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Woe to americans who Are All Prisoners Now  All Americans are now imprisoned in a world of lies and deception created by the Bush Regime and the two complicit parties of Congress, by federal judges too corrupt, timid or ignorant to recognize a rogue regime running roughshod over the Constitution, by a bought-and-paid-for media that serves as propagandists for a regime of war criminals, and by a gutless, ignorant public who have forsaken their self-respect.

Benazir Assassinated

CHEER: Ambrose Evans-Pritchard: Bank Crisis may make '29 look 'walk in park'...

Alexander Tytler: "The average age of the world's greatest civilizations has been two hundred years JonesReport.com | 12-4-07
"The average age of the world's greatest civilizations has been two
hundred years. These nations have progressed through this sequence: from
bondage to spiritual faith; from spiritual faith to great courage; from
courage to liberty; from liberty to abundance; from abundance to
selfishness; from selfishness to complacency; from complacency to
apathy; from apathy to dependence; from dependency back again into
bondage."-- Alexander Tytler

FDR: "They who seek to establish systems of government based on the regimentation of all human beings by a handful of individual rulers... call this a New Order. It is not new and it is not order."

Andrew Jackson: "There are no necessary evils in government. Its evils exist only in its abuses."

Congressman McFadden (1934) on the Fed: "This evil institution has impoverished and ruined the people of these United States, has bankrupted itself, and has practically bankrupted our Government."

AP: TOP 10 NEWS STORIES '07...

Former CIA Interrogator: We Carried Out Torture Because The White House Told Us To

Fire out at building next to White House

Kucinich's brother found dead

FBI agent threatened to arrest CIA interrogators in 2002.

Countdown: Bushed! Countdown's list of the top three Bush scandals you may have forgotten about because of all of the new Bush scandals. This week's scandals: Habeas Corpus-Gate, Air-Gate and NIE-Gate.

Bush administration: Back off says war criminal and strategist dumbya bush on CIA tape probe CNN

HUCKABEE SLAMS 'ARROGANT' BUSH WHITE HOUSE

Romney Proves to All He is Not as Smart as he appears to be by Hitting Huckabee for Appropriately Criticizing War Criminal Dumbya bush for the debacle in Iraq (, etc.,) Which Is the Greatest Foreign Policy Blunder in america’s short-lived history (while concomitantly destroying the republican party, etc.) - tush tush, bush bush Washington Post

Bill Clinton Says He Wasn’t Ready for White House When He Squandered the Cold War Victory and Consequent Peace Dividend and that by resisting the bushit team Obama isn't Ready For White House which is ridiculous based upon the substantial damage the bush-clinton-bush corrupt regimes have caused the nation and the world...

Bush-Clinton-Bush-Clinton : Two Families, Three Decades In The White House, The Very Best Of Times For Them and the Worst of Times and Decline For america are (and this should be the wake-up call)  best Friends

WYOMING DEM CHIEF: CLINTON WOULD HURT PARTY...

LA's gangland culture spreading chaos, violence into America's heartland...

AT&T engineer says Bush Administration sought to implement domestic spying within two weeks of taking office

Dodd ready to mount filibuster to block telecom immunity

The End of America

Naomi Wolf - "There hasen't been a real investigation of 9/11."

Lee Hamilton Says the CIA Obstructed the 9/11 Commission

CIA Failed To Fully Inform Congress About Destroyed Tapes CBS News

More Evidence of Obstruction of Justice in 9/11 Investigation

Neocons Revise WMD Entry on Wikipedia Propaganda Portal

Pelosi and Harman Aided and Abetted 9/11 Cover Up

The White House and Congress Knew about the CIA Interrogation Videotapes

USATODAYGALLUP POLL: Approval of Congress sinks to new low...

9/11 Victims' Lawyers Blast Ground Zero Toxic Air Lies In Court

Bush Authorizes Full Access to U.S. Roads for Even More Mexico-Based NAFTA Trucks

What is the CFR?: The Bush Clinton Bush Clinton Administration

Olbermann: Bush is a BOLD faced LIAR about NIE/Iran

Russia's well-founded and rational deep suspicion of (particularly criminal america) the West

Hillary Campaign Tactic Backfires as Top Aide Quits

REPORT: FBI Videotape shows Sharpton cutting a deal...

Victim: Gang-Rape Cover-Up by U.S., Halliburton/KBR

Greenspan sees early signs of U.S. stagflation

Poland does not need U.S. missile defense base - ex-PM

Iran Is No Threat and That’s Official “They stole our threat” goes a headline in the Israeli daily Haaretz. The author is, of course, referring to the recently published US National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) composed by 16 American intelligence.....

Gov't official: No 'smoking gun' on Iran

Egypt Govt Accuses Israel of Meddling in Its Ties With US

Paul: Israel Demanding U.S. Further Its Self-destructive Pro-israel Mode and Invade Iran

Russia warns of US missile shield retaliation

PA Economy Worst Affected by Israeli Restrictions: WB

Israeli Airstrikes in Gaza Kill 7

NASA 'on target for return to the moon for the first time by 2020'…..riiiiight!..... UFOetry: We Never Went To The Moon - The Award-Winning Documentary/Music/Video by John Lee
'The Mother of All Frauds'

History Channel Admits WTC Tower Fell At Freefall Speed

FBI Now Admits Evidence Used to Connect Oswald to Kennedy Assasination Was Bogus

Food prices rising at highest rate for 14 years

Taj Mahal Won't Accept bushit american Dollars as India Laments Lost Value

THE HILL: Dems Cave On Spending...

China's Yuan at new high vs dollar...

YEAR-ENDER: Home Sales Plunge, Feed Recession Fears...

To Understand Business/Economics for the Coming Year The New Year Starts Here (scroll down for current date)

(1-7-08) With sloth-like reflexes and speed the lazy, fallible frauds on wall street now recognize, yes we’re already in a recession. Forget Bulls/Bears. Their new mascot:
The Prehistoric Sloth. Sloths all, the lunatic/frauds on wall street are slothish on america.

Recession in the US 'has arrived': Merrill Lynch

Morgan Stanley issues full US recession alert   Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
Tuesday December 11, 2007 Morgan Stanley has issued a full recession alert for the US economy, warning of a sharp slowdown in business investment and a "perfect storm" for consumers as the housing slump spreads. In a report "Recession Coming" released today, the bank's US team said the credit crunch had started to inflict serious damage on US companies…..

Reuters House prices seen falling 30 pct 12- 6-07 By Julie Haviv NEW YORK (Reuters) - Housing markets from Punta Gorda, Florida, to Stockton, California, will crash and suffer price drops of more than 30 percent before the housing crisis is over, a report from Moody's Economy.com said on Thursday. On a national level, the housing market recession will continue through early 2009, said the report, co-authored by Mark Zandi, chief economist, and Celia Chen, director of housing economics. The report paints a worsening picture of the hard-hit housing sector, which is in the midst of its worst downturn since World War II. While activity will stabilize in 2009, it will not be until 2010 before a measurable improvement in sales, construction and pricing will emerge, the report said…..

Earnings Recession Has Arrived U.S. corporate profits are in a recession, and the entire economy can not be far behind. Slower sales and higher energy and labor costs are forcing companies from Bear Stearns Cos. to Pitney Bowes Inc. to reduce spending and hiring. Their efforts to keep earnings from eroding even further raise the risk that the economy, already weakened by the steepest housing slide since 1991, may shrink sometime next year. ‘The earnings recession has already arrived, says David Rosenberg, North America economist for Merrill Lynch & Co. in New York. We are going to see an economic recession in '08.…..’

BANK OF AMERICA Sees Bigger Writedowns (12-12-07).....

MORGAN STANLEY first loss ever; taps China for $5 Billion...

PAPER: Housing foreclosures largest since Great Depression...

Home Prices Fall for 10th Straight Month

Oil price spikes close to $97...

CITIGROUP and MERRILL face bigger writeoffs/dividend cuts, etc.....

CHEER: Ambrose Evans-Pritchard: Bank Crisis may make '29 look 'walk in park'... As central banks continue to splash their cash over the system, so far to little effect, Ambrose Evans-Pritchard argues things are rapidly spiralling out of their control Twenty billion dollars here, $20bn there, and a lush half-trillion from the European Central Bank at give-away rates for Christmas. Buckets of liquidity are being splashed over the North Atlantic banking system, so far with meagre or fleeting effects. "Liquidity doesn't do anything in this situation," says Anna Schwartz, the doyenne of US monetarism and life-time student (with Milton Friedman) of the Great Depression."It cannot deal with ….. that lots of firms are going bankrupt. The banks and the hedge funds have not fully acknowledged who is in trouble. That is the critical issue," she adds…..

NEWS FLASH: Direct from Lost Angeles Learning Annex – Presenting mobster t_rump of new yoke, new joyzey, and now caleefornia mob fame with his continuing message for the past several years: buy real estate (and watch the values go down…..riiiiight!).
Bank sues Trump over Chicago tower loan...
Trump casino to miss interest payment...

trump’s fired

 

U.S.National Debt (real time)

(4-1-11) Dow  12,376  +56   Nasdaq  2,789  +8   S&P 500  1,332  +6   [CLOSE- OIL $107.94   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.65 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $4.05 REG./ $4.10 MID-GRADE/ $4.20 PREM./ $4.27  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,428 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $37.76  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,758 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .70 EURO, 83 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  Interest Rates:   http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield     10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.45%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                    ...Yahoo Market Update...          T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                       This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10          The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010            THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover      1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net           The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  [ (2-16-10) Paul B. Farrell, MarketWatch Economic Doomsday is Here    Market rallies on weak worthless Weimar dollar, higher oil prices, and news from ny fed, the one with $4 trillion missing/unaccounted for, that NY is now a global hub of manufacturing activity with stimulus-generated inventory increase (even if believed), that former obfuscating source of cyclic up must come down as said inventories are unsold or unloaded…riiiiight!…Total bull s**t!…      Shadowstats’ John Williams: Prepare For The Hyperinflationary Great Depression     Roubini: 'The worst is yet to come'...    Top Eurobank prepares for 'global economic collapse'...      CHINA: ‘The world does not have Money to buy more US Treasuries’    We Have Reached the Top of the Stock Market (Charts/Analysis/Article 1-19-10)       Marketwatch: U.S. stocks held their gains following the release of the home builders' sentiment index, which declined in January as industry leaders remained concerned about the poor job market and the continuation of home foreclosures.   6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors            The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor        Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009                   Read more about the sentiment survey.      MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       It’s Time to Sell the Market…(1-19-10 Why wait till too late?) … This means closing out some longs for a profit, or at least taking some money off the table. This also means considering what one would do if stocks were to stage a significant reversal. The fact that corporate insiders are selling their stakes in record numbers and that fewer and fewer investors are participating in this rally makes a massive reversal probable rather than possible this year!...   Peter Shiff: Economic collapse in near future / 2010, coming decade worse than past decade   S&P sells on a price-to-earnings multiple of 88 after the recent financial results. That is a horrendous overvaluation. A reasonable p/e would be around 18-25…’ Economist Wachtel says practices that caused crisis in play, toxic assets still there, and economically sound lending not viable  El-Erian who oversees nearly $1 trillion in assets, more than the gross domestic product of most countries, says stocks will drop 10 percent in the space of three or four weeks, bringing the Standard & Poor's 500 index below 1,000 soon  Breaking Point 2010: Top Trends with Gerald Celente …DO YOU THINK IT IS POSSIBLE IN 2010 FOR THE UNITED STATES TO END UP AS BADLY AS ARGENTINA A DECADE AGO? “Worse! Worse than Argentina because our debt problems are worse. This is classic empire decline. Argentina was not even an empire. We’re fighting wars in foreign countries as we are depleting the Treasury .…That’s why we are calling it:    Breaking Point 2010!”      The History of the Future: Trends 2012  Autumn 2012, the “Greatest Depression” has spread worldwide  …      THE NUMBER: DEC. -85,000 JOBS... 10%...     'WORSE THAN EXPECTED'...    rallies stocks anyway  (they probably just didn’t bother resetting the computerized churn-and-earn trade programs)  /  the new carry-trade borrow low then buy bubble   trade deficit up /  US Will Hit 94% Debt to GDP Ratio Next Year, Surpassing the Level Where Debt Starts Reducing Economic Growth        Shrinking US Labor Force Keeps Unemployment Rate From Rising … Negative data spurs market rally … riiiiight!  New jobless claims rise 'more than expected'...     Retail sales drop in December; Sales for all of '09 plunge by record amount...     Record year for foreclosures...   Worthless Weimar dollar, inflation, unsustainable debt, higher interest rates, and fake numbers rally stocks    Food Stamps Go to a Record 37.2 Million, USDA Says Bloomberg Last decade was the worst ever in the stock market  Jay Bookman | In nearly 200 years of recorded stock-market history, no calendar decade has seen such a dismal performance as the 2000s.    Foreclosure / distressed sales up again and a lunatics’ santa claus rally as in bubble-crashes past  WITH NEW BUBBLE IN THIS PREPOSTEROUS AND FRAUDULENT ENVIRONMENT WITH CONTINUED SUCKERS’ COMPUTER PROGRAMMED /SHORT-COVERING /BEAR MARKET RALLY (ON TRADE DEFICIT UNEXPECTEDLY UP MORE, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE UNEXPECTEDLY DOWN MORE, DYING DOLLAR, MUCH WORSE THAN EXPECTED 10.2% UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, EVEN MORE FAKE GOVERNMENT REPORTS, NEW RECORD DEFICIT 1.42 TRILLION, HIGHER OIL PRICES, EVER MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR, CRASH IN COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE, INCOME/CONFIDENCE DOWN, B.S. SERVICE SECTOR MEANINGLESS REPORT, LOTS OF FORECLOSURE SALES) BASED ON FAKE DATA [WATCH FOR CORRUPT GOV’T, IE., COMMERCE DEPT (GDP +3.5% BEATS ESTIMATES-HAS BEEN PREVIOUSLY DISCOUNTED MANY TIMES OVER), ETC., FALSE REPORTS TO FROTH MARKET], BAD DATA (JOB LOSSES UP, BANKRUPTCIES UP 41%,  CAR SALES / MANUFACTURING DOWN, ETC.), BULL S**T (IE., MERGER MANTRA-LIKE CHURN AND EARN COMMISSIONS GREAT FOR WALL STREET FEES BUT BAD FOR EVERYONE ELSE ESPECIALLY SINCE LEADING INDICATORS WITH B.S. STOCK COMPONENT THE ULTIMATE BOOTSTRAP, MORE WORTHLESS WEIMAR DOLLAR, ETC.), BETTER THAN EXPECTATIONS MANTRA  (Paul B. Farrell: America's soul is lost and collapse is inevitable    Recession Will Be ‘Full-Blown Depression’:(10-17-09) Strategist/Analyst      5 DISTURBING FACTS FOR BULLS     David Weidner's Writing on the Wall: Taking the inside path to new bubble and fraudulent gains wall street frauds as before they tout multinational currency translation for window dressing but quality of earnings and prospective growth and stability in doubt and already discounted and substantially overvalued   s     Another Financial Bubble Comes Into View    Oil price hits new high for 2009      Gold at $2,000 Becomes Inflation-Adjusted Bullseye for ‘80 High  ) [We Are in Deep Trouble: We are Going to See New Lows in The Markets    The Recession Is Far from Over     Portfolio Manager Says Dow Will Fall To 6,300 By Year End    Classic Market Bubble       October ‘Crash’ Still on the Way: CEO   Max Keiser On JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs Et Al’s Fraud       Goldman Sachs Operative Hired as SEC Unit COO              October: High Risk for Bulls  …The big, smart traders will use any buying from the public to sell into. After all, the stock market has rallied on fumes, hopes and expectations. It will be the typical case of "selling on the news."…    U.S. Stock Markets Disconnected from Reality     U.S. Foreclosure Filings Jump 23% to Record in Third Quarter      1929 And Today - Sobering Parallels Abound         Dollar loses reserve status to yen & euro         Dollar drops to 14-month low; commodities rise    Rothschild Biographer: Dollar Will Suffer Long, Protracted Death       Major U.S. banks and securities firms on route to award record pay in '09, despite the damage they caused from their yet unprosecuted fraud and the change back to old FASB fraud facilitator ‘mark to anything they want’ accounting: report      Jim Rogers “Quite Sure” Gold Will Hit $2000, Dollar Will Lose Reserve Status       Goldman Sachs 2009 bonuses to double 2008’s; $23 billion could send 460,000 to Harvard, buy insurance for 1.7 million families       A second Great Depression is still probable Financial Times      Gold Jumps to Record as Inflation/Worthless Dollar Outlook Fuels Investor Demand     Robert Fisk on the Gulf ‘Ditching the Dollar’ AlJazeera | Report suggests a move to the Japanese Yen, Chinese Yuan, and the Euro.    The 'Buy Anything' Market  It's the "buy anything market" brought to you courtesy of the destruction of your currency…      Defaults on Credit Cards Climbed to Record 11.49%...          It Is Going To Be A Rocky Road Chuck Baldwin | America is on the verge of total financial collapse.   The Economy is a Lie, too Paul Craig Roberts | The worst part of the decline is yet to come.   BULLISH STANCE IS WEARING THIN         WAY TOO MUCH RISK IN THE EQUITY MARKET        Mark Hulbert (9-22-09): Corporate insiders selling at faster pace      The stock market rally is just another bubble — and it’s set to pop      Marc Faber Says U.S. Government Will Fail in 5 to 10 Years     Push For New Global Currency At G20        HSBC bids farewell to dollar supremacy      US To Face ‘Armageddon’: China, Japan Can’t Keep Buying Worthless Debt             Senator Sanders: “Don’t Believe Anybody Who’s Telling You ‘The Recession is Over’ ”             FDIC May Tap Fed Treasury Funds     State Unemployment Keeps Rising; Three Hit Record Highs     John Browne…And the markets just don't get it. Technically, S&P profits are down some 90 percent, but the Index has risen to push P/E ratios to levels not seen since 1929.    Bernanke Says Recession Over. Should You Believe Him?  Barry Ritholtz | Based on his track record as a forecaster and his acumen in identifying economic problems before they exploded, his views on starts and finishes of recessions are, to be blunt, irrelevant.  Entering the Greatest Depression in History Andrew Gavin Marshall | The economic crisis is anything but over, the “solutions” have been akin to putting a band-aid on an amputated arm.     Roubini Sees Stock Declines as Soros Warns on Economy      Expect Economic Stagnancy, If Not Worse, for Years to Come  Obama referred to Friday's jobs data, a loss of 263,000 jobs (roughly 100,000 more than economists expected) as sobering. Well, I agree, but to say it was unexpected is to buy into those that thinks we are in recovery phase. To me we are in the lull before the storm. By the way, of over 80 economists surveyed, none, not one, predicted the number to be as high as 263,000. That reality is sobering. But if you really want something sobering, I suggest the following link. As the author points out, if you are expecting consumers to start spending more money for an economic rebound then you are sadly mistaken. They are already spending at very high (record) levels in terms of a percentage of personal income and as a percentage of GDP. And even that is not really lifting us out of this recession absent government support. Even though consumers are pretty much spending as much as they can, the economy is still struggling. So I don't expect things to improve from here. And as this piece points out, we are in for a world of hurt due to the size of the private debt that has built up.          Charts Predict Downside for the Markets       Shorting the Double Dip   The double dip has begun…  The reported unemployment number is 9.8%; real unemployment is 20% if you include those who have stopped looking and part time workers wanting to work full time. And the labor force participation rate is at a 23 year low...      The Recovery That Isn’t  Peter Schiff | Americans are once again taking the government’s bait by spending money they don’t have to buy things they can’t afford.     Dangers, Failures, Diversions and Shortfalls  Bob Chapman | Yes, too big to fail is still in vogue, just as it was in the 1930s.       The Real Reason the Giant, Insolvent Banks Aren’t Being Broken Up       US Lost Credibility by Saying Banks Were Healthy, Audit Says      World Bank and IMF join global attack on the dollar Larry Edelson | Washington has no choice but to devalue the dollar — and how global leaders and even the United Nations have joined the attack on the greenback by demanding it be replaced as the world’s reserve currency.     US economic decline forges new world order Agence France-Presse | “The American engine is not as strong as it was before,” IMF managing director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said in a speech.      Expert on Structured Finance and Derivatives Gives the Big Picture  Wall Street disguised these toxic “investments” with new value-destroying securitizations and derivatives. Meanwhile, collapsing mortgage lenders paid high dividends to shareholders (old investors) and interest on credit lines to Wall Street (old investors) with money raised from new investors in doomed securities. New money allowed Wall Street to temporarily hide losses and pay enormous bonuses. This is a classic Ponzi scheme…         300 Members of The House Support Audit the Fed       Roubini: Stocks, Commodities Have Risen 'Too Much, Too Soon, Too Fast'...       TARP Boss Plays Soft Ball with the Banksters Kurt Nimmo | The “gigantic train of crime” is rolling again and it will be far worse than it was in 1929 and the 1930s.       Study: Bernanke, Paulson misled public on bailouts      Euro Banks May Have to Raise $78 Billion: JP Morgan     U.S. Suffering Permanent Destruction of Jobs        HSBC Chief Warns of Second Downturn: Report        Unemployment to Rise Through Most of 2010: Roubini  Key Reversals on September 23 Started the Return of the Bear        Central Banks Continue to Reduce Their Share of Dollar Reserves        IMF Growth Forecast: Cause for Concern, Not Optimism  In a climate where economic planners and market participants are desperate       Market Rally Exaggerates Reality     Plunging Pensions: Taxpayers Below        Some Scary Implications of US Debt          Stiglitz Says Banking Problems Are Now Bigger Than Pre-Lehman       “Everything the US has done since the crisis is wrong” – economist     US credit shrinks at Great Depression rate prompting reality of double-dip recession        Ron Paul: Federal government ‘one giant toxic asset’         Bankster Bailout Did Nothing to Solve Problem, Crisis Now Worse          16 Reasons for Equities Markets to Fall Soon      WHY THE BULLS ARE SKATING ON THIN ICE      Treasury: Millions more foreclosures coming        Forbes Reports the Dollar Has Collapsed       PAPER: AMERICA 'FACES ARGENTINA-STYLE FALL'...       Forbes Reports the Dollar Has Collapsed     Predicting Worse Ahead from America’s Economic Crisis     3 more bank failures bring 2009 total to 92      WHITE HOUSE ECON ADVISER: HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT FOR YEARS TO COME...      The Coming Consequences of Banking Fraud           Job losses slow if you believe their fake numbers (they revealed prior better than expected numbers which previously rallied stocks, were indeed not better than expected in fact, and then rallied them again); jobless rate at 26-year high     We are reminded of Japan where rates were microscopic for years and the Nikkei certainly did enjoy no fewer than four 50% rallies and over 420,000 rally points in a market that is still more than 70% lower today than it was two decades agoThe market is basically discounting an earnings stream that even the consensus does not see for another two to three years  ], EVER MORE WORTHLESS WEIMAR DOLLAR, INCREASED FORECLOSURE SALES AND BEN (HE STILL HAS A JOB - AS AMERICANS LOSE THEIRS) BERNANKE BULL S**T (REMEMBER HIS NO RECESSION TALKS, MANY OF THEM, TO FROTH THE MARKET THEN AS NOW AND HOW MANY SUCKERS’ POINTS TO THE UPSIDE THEREFROM – WHAT TOTAL BULL S**T, WHAT FRAUDS!) EVEN AS ECONOMIST KELLNER JOINS THE RATIONAL CROWD SAYING ECONOMY WILL COLLAPSE UNDER ITS OWN WEIGHT IN 2010 AND CONTINUED BAD NEWS [ INSIDERS ARE DUMPING STOCK   Insiders Selling Stocks at Highest Level Since May 2008 (8-31-09)         INSIDERS CONTINUE TO SELL, SELL, SELL (AT SEEKING ALPHA 8/13/09)      PAPER: FRESH ALERT ON GLOBAL STOCK MARKETS...    The Great Depression and Today - Sobering Parallels Abound         Roubini: “When Governments Reach the Point Where They Are Borrowing to Pay the Interest on Their Borrowing They Are … Running a Ponzi Scheme”      Economic Collapse: Bank Runs, China, Peter Schiff, Gerald Celente, Max Keiser   Oldest Swiss Bank Wisely Tells Clients to Sell U.S. Assets or Leave   Looming Global Debt Crisis    Congressman Grayson: Fed Secretly “Stuffed” $500 Billion into “Foreign Private Pockets” and Gave $230 Billion to Citi “As a Secret Bailout”       Ron Paul: End the Fed, Save the Dollar       Gerald Celente: There is No Recovery     Madoff Files: A Chronicle of SEC Failure       US jobless soars as companies squeeze workers   US jobless soars as companies squeeze workers        Food stamp list soars past 35 million...  and New record; up 22% from '08...      Fairy Tales of Recovery, Reality of More Failures         Goldman Sachs Wrong on Economic Recovery, Macro Hedge Funds Say       The Coming Deposit Insurance Bailout   Five banks closed by U.S. regulators with 89 total closures         Russian Professor: Collapse Of America Could Begin In Two Months       The $531 Trillion Dollar Derivatives Time Bomb       Dollar Is Funny Money in Push for World Currency: Kevin Hassett    Commercial Real Estate Next Mortgage Crisis     Federal Reserve made $14 billion on turmoil loans           Banks' struggles have worsened...       Lehman claims could reach $100 billion: PwC       [$$] Raft of Deals for Failed Banks Puts U.S. on Hook for Billions (at The Wall Street Journal Online)         Three more banks fail; 2009 total hits 84             Goldman "Trading Huddles" Expose Fiction of Level Playing Field      1,000 Banks to Fail In Next Two Years           AP sources: $2 trillion higher deficit projected (AP)   Judge Orders Fed To Disclose Who Received Bailout Trillions      Zero Hedge Claims that the Federal Reserve ITSELF Traded Over a Trillion Dollars Worth of Derivatives in March Alone           Geithner: Auditing the Fed is a “line that we don’t want to cross”     The Federal Reserve Must Die      “True Deleveraging Has Not Begun Yet Because Losses of Financial Institutions Have Been Socialized”        Obama Predicts Unemployment, Deficits Far Worse Than Previously Stated...     Grim...     "Artificially Sweetened" Market Could Face "Seismic Readjustment," Harrison Says      Official: Real unemployment rate at 16%...      WSJ: Dollar Steadily Losing Influence...    Senator warns of hyperinflation...     Failed banks mount; Ga, Ala, and large Texas banks shut    Learn to Love the Depression       US jobless claims in surprise jump for second week      WHY DO EQUITY MARKETS DISAGREE WITH THE DATA?      Brookings “Experts” Admit Stimulus a Bust         Analyst warns of 150-200 more U.S. bank failures       Government Revises Deficit Estimates Again: We Will Exceed Expectations        Manufacturing Jobs Drop To Lowest Level Since 1941      What rebound? Foreclosures rise as jobs and income drop    Fed to Steal State Pension Funds          IMF Says You’ll Have to Pay More Taxes      The risk of continuing depression rising             CALPERS IS UNSUSTAINABLE        What rebound? Foreclosures rise...         Grab Your Shorts, The Correction Has Begun          THE SECOND WAVE OF THE DEPRESSION: HYPERINFLATION IS LIKELY      THE FDIC IS BROKE. NOW WHAT? (PART II)     DOLLAR TO DECLINE AMID CONCERN AS IT 'LOSES RESERVE STATUS'...      JOBLESS SPIKE COMPOUNDS FORECLOSURE CRISIS            STOCKS SLIDE ON ECONOMY CONCERN    WORLD STOCKS, OIL TUMBLE ON U.S. FRAUD EXPOSURE AND CONSUMER WORRIES     Connecticut Not Learning the Right Lessons from California       Weekly Market Outlook: Commercial Real Estate Continues to Deteriorate         Retail sales fall, new jobless claims rise (Reuters)     US Home Foreclosures Set Another Record in July    Colonial BancGroup shut down by federal officials (largest bank failure this year) (AP)       Economist: Claim that Economy Has Recovered “Is Like Somebody Borrowing Money from Their Uncle and Then Celebrating that Their Income Has Gone Up”    ]  PERSONAL & BUSINESS BANKRUPTCIES UP, WORTHLESS WEIMAR DOLLAR DOWN, FORECLOSURES UP (32% YOY AND 7% MOM AT NEW RECORD, 50% HOMES UNDERWATER, COMMERCIAL TO FOLLOW), CONFIDENCE REALISTICALLY DOWN, $100+ OIL AROUND CORNER (2010-HOGAN); HILLARY KRAMER-10% CORRECTION, CELENTE-DEPRESSION NOW UNDERWAY  Bob Prechter Quite Sure Next Wave Down Will Be Bigger and March Lows Will Break    Gerald Celente 2.5 Million Jobs Lost Since Obama’s Presidency   PAPER: Fresh alert on global stock markets...  TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [     Insiders Continue to Sell, Sell, Sell (at Seeking Alpha – 8/13/09)          (7-29-09) Insiders Selling at Alarming Levels        Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years  ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [Tarp banks award billions in bonuses...     Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)   Cody Willard: Goldman Sachs Is A Ponzi Scheme, Should Be Punished Accordingly  Max Keiser: Prosecute the Bankster Crime Syndicate   The Market's Horoscope: Downside Correction   ! [  Entering the Greatest Depression in History Andrew Gavin Marshall | The crisis has many bubbles, all of which dwarf the housing bubble burst of 2008.     Geithner asks Congress for higher U.S. debt limit      U.S. regulators close 3 banks, total now 72     US deficit climbs to 1.3 trillion dollars    This Depression is just beginning        The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think Back in the Great Depression of 1929 through the 1930’s, we saw a similar Zig-zag pattern. There was a crash in 1929, followed by a nice rally, but then the most devastating part of the market collapse followed into the 1930’s.      Feds Hit With Biggest Tax Revenue Drop Since 1932...       The Great Depression Two Continues There is no coincident data which is demonstrating this recession is over. Some may be at the bottom, others have a way to go…    An Artifical Recovery       [$$] Why I Went Fully Into Cash     Bob Prechter "Quite Sure" Next Wave Down Will Be Bigger and March Lows Will Break         A REALITY CHECK ON U.S. 'ECONOMIC RECOVERY'  Jeff Nielson - U.S. equities are rallying again today, and (as usual) it is a rally with no basis in reality.  Most of the enthusiasm comes from another string of corporate quarterly results which “beat expectations”. I had hoped that the sheep were starting to clue-in to this silly game, however it appears there is a still a large pack of Pavlov's Dogs out there – who respond to their propaganda cues without a moment of actual thought. The truth is that all of the companies “beating expectations” are still reporting steadily worse results year-over-year – and in many cases, much worse results. Among the few exceptions are U.S. financial corporations. However, since accounting-fraud was legalized in the United States (see “FASB strong-armed into mark-to-fantasy accounting”), their bottom-lines have had absolutely no connection to their business operations… The Real Economy Versus the Make-Believe World of the Government and Financial Giants  In the real economy, unemployment is at Depression-era levels.     Top firms' pension funds plummet    Consumer bankruptcies jump 34%    Nine Of Ten Sectors Overbought      This Depression is just beginning   US companies axe 371,000 jobs in July       Half of U.S. mortgages seen underwater by 2011...     Recovery ‘not in sight’ says BMW    ] CONTINUED FRAUD WITH PROGRAMMED SUCKERS’ RALLY DESPITE NEW RECORD FOR CONTINUING UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS AT 6.3 MILLION AND AS I WARNED, WATCH FOR FAKE REPORTS IN DESPERATION – AND LABOR DEPT. CAME THROUGH WITH FAKE REPORT AND NEW LIE BASED UPON PEOPLE STOPPED LOOKING FOR JOBS SO THEIR RATE 9.4 BUT OBAMA SAYS 10% - REALITY IS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE IS WELL OVER 10%, THEN AIG SOARS ON “PROFIT” WITH $87 BILLION IN TAXPAYER FUNDS TO PLAY WITH  [  Max Keiser: Prosecute the Bankster Crime Syndicate   Insiders Continue to Sell, Sell, Sell (at Seeking Alpha)      PAPER: Fresh alert on global stock markets...    Retail sales fall, new jobless claims rise (Reuters)     US Home Foreclosures Set Another Record in July      (7-29-09) Insiders Selling at Alarming Levels …Although the level of insider selling is certainly alarming it's important to note that the very low levels of buying are particularly alarming. Insiders sell stock for many reasons, but they generally only buy stock for one reason: they believe the stock is going up. Despite the fact the media is reporting an end to the recession, a bottom in housing and a trough in earnings we are seeing a vote of zero confidence from the people who know these companies better than anyone else…  Entering the Greatest Depression in History Andrew Gavin Marshall | The crisis has many bubbles, all of which dwarf the housing bubble burst of 2008.     Geithner asks Congress for higher U.S. debt limit      U.S. regulators close 3 banks, total now 72     US deficit climbs to 1.3 trillion dollars    Causes of This Depression Yet To Be Addressed   Further impoverishment is on the way. More and more will be laid off and they’ll be no new jobs available. Savings will be exhausted and most homes that have been financed will be under water.   Some banks paid bonuses bigger than income: o     This Depression is just beginning    You read that right! Only $400 billion of that fantastic 6 month “green shoots” stock market rally came from money market accounts. The rest ($2.3 trillion) was laundered through the banks and other financial institutions to create the appearance of recovery and to raise equity for underwater banks rather than forcing them into receivership (which is where they belong) Bernanke probably knew that congress wouldn’t approve another TARP-type bailout for dodgy mortgage-backed assets, so he settled on this shifty plan instead. The only problem is, the banks are still broke, business investment is at historic lows, consumers are on the ropes, the unemployment lines are swelling, the homeless shelters are bulging, the pawn shops are bustling, tent cities are sprouting up everywhere, and according to MarketWatch, Corporate insiders have recently been selling their companies’ shares at a greater pace than at any time since the top of the bull market in the fall of 2007.” Face it; the economy is in the crapper and Bernanke’s trickery hasn’t done a lick of good.    The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think Back in the Great Depression of 1929 through the 1930’s, we saw a similar Zig-zag pattern. There was a crash in 1929, followed by a nice rally, but then the most devastating part of the market collapse followed into the 1930’s.  Bob Prechter "Quite Sure" Next Wave Down Will Be Bigger and March Lows Will Break          The Real Economy Versus the Make-Believe World of the Government and Financial Giants  In the real economy, unemployment is at Depression-era levels.     Top firms' pension funds plummet     Consumer bankruptcies jump 34%       Nine Of Ten Sectors Overbought      This Depression is just beginning            Feds Hit With Biggest Tax Revenue Drop Since 1932...       The Great Depression Two Continues There is no coincident data which is demonstrating this recession is over. Some may be at the bottom, others have a way to go…    An Artifical Recovery       [$$] Why I Went Fully Into Cash      US food stamp list tops 34 million for first time      The Banks Own the Fed, and the Central Banks Own BIS         AIG breakup nets Wall Street $1 billion bonanza: report      ‘Underwater’ Mortgages to Hit 48%, Deutsche Bank Says     Oil price hits $76, highest since October...    US companies axe 371,000 jobs in July       Half of U.S. mortgages seen underwater by 2011...     Recovery ‘not in sight’ says BMW      Recession Worse Than Prior Estimates, Revisions Show  Bloomberg | The first 12 months of the U.S. recession saw the economy shrink more than twice as much as previously estimated, reflecting even bigger declines in consumer spending and housing, revised figures showed. DO YOU REALIZE HOW MANY SUCKERS’ RALLY POINTS WERE ADDED BY THE FAKE NUMBERS CONTRIBUTING TO THIS NEW COMMISSIONING BUBBLE!     REVISED: ECONOMY 2X WORSE...  The government plans big revisions to historical economic data... Developing...   Regulators shut banks in Fla., NJ, Ohio, Okla... WASHINGTON (7-31-09) (AP) -- Regulators on Friday shut down banks in Florida, New Jersey, Ohio, Oklahoma and Illinois, boosting to 69 the number of federally insured banks to fail this year amid the pressures of the weak economy and mounting loan defaults.    PhD Economist: Fed has Caused Soaring Unemployment, Millions of Foreclosures, Millions Losing Life Savings and More than $6 Trillion in Lost Output      DOLLAR DROPS TO '09 LOW...  Unemployment spreads distress in U.S. home loans       Weak Treasury Auctions Raise Worries About Debt Burden...     [$$] Senate Probes Banks for Meltdown Fraud (at The Wall Street Journal Online)     Even Bernanke Admits this Could be Worse than the Great Depression      Senate probes Goldman, Deutsche: report (Reuters)      The Real Unemployment Rate Hits a 68-Year High       2009 Looking More Like 1929         Dollar Falls to 2009 Low...    U.S. Markets Decline After Weaker Than Expected Data    A REALITY CHECK ON U.S. 'ECONOMIC RECOVERY'  Jeff Nielson - U.S. equities are rallying again today, and (as usual) it is a rally with no basis in reality.   ] AND NOTHING REAL OR POSITIVE AT ALL (IE., STILL NO PROSECUTIONS OF THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET SO JUST ANOTHER BUILT-IN COST BY CHURN-AND-EARN COMMISSIONS TO, DEFACTO TAX ON NON-PERFORMING / DECLINING ECONOMY, DURABLE GOODS DOWN/FORECLOSURES UP, CONFIDENCE REALISTICALLY DOWN, CORRUPT COMMERCE DEPARTMENT CHIMES IN WITH FAKE NUMBERS, USED HOME SALES UP WITH DEFAULTS/ SHORT SALES, JOB LOSSES UP, BETTER THAN EXPECTED MANTRA, GUIDANCE THAT DEFIES REALITY BY A LONG SHOT AS IN LAST COMMISSIONABLE BUBBLE BUST, JOB/COST CUTS TO BONE, ETC.) (  Max Keiser: Prosecute the Bankster Crime Syndicate     Max Keiser: Goldman Sachs Are “Scum,” “Financial Terrorists”     Bank profits not as impressive as they seem when you take into account TARP funding, changed accounting rules to fudge books, new stock issues, etc… um   Cost Of Bailout Hits A Whopping $24 Trillion Dollars    Entering the Greatest Depression in History Andrew Gavin Marshall | The crisis has many bubbles, all of which dwarf the housing bubble burst of 2008.     Geithner asks Congress for higher U.S. debt limit      U.S. regulators close 3 banks, total now 72     US deficit climbs to 1.3 trillion dollars      Stearns Crucifies Paulson On Bailout Bait And Switch     Fiscal ruin of the Western world beckons     Foreign Embassies Urged to Stockpile Local Currencies     Bailout Overseer Says Banks Misused TARP Funds     Regulators shut banks in Calif., Ga. and SD  ) TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [   (7-29-09) Insiders Selling at Alarming Levels        Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years    Bob Prechter "Quite Sure" Next Wave Down Will Be Bigger and March Lows Will Break       ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [Tarp banks award billions in bonuses...     Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)   Cody Willard: Goldman Sachs Is A Ponzi Scheme, Should Be Punished Accordingly  Max Keiser: Prosecute the Bankster Crime Syndicate       Corporate Media Spotlights Distortion of Market by High Frequency Trading     [$$] Big Pay Packages Return to Wall Street as new fraud gains steam (at The Wall Street Journal Online)   Max Keiser: Goldman Sachs gang are ’scum’ who have co-opted U.S. gov’t    Max Keiser: Goldman Sachs Are “Scum,” “Financial Terrorists”  Max Keiser goes on the offensive during an appearance on France 24 as he slams Goldman Sachs as “scum” and “financial terrorists” who should be thrown in jail.   ‘Printing money will lead to serious problems down the road,’ says Jim Rogers      Spitzer: Federal Reserve is ‘a Ponzi scheme, an inside job’    2009 Looking More Like 1929    AIG breakup nets Wall Street $1 billion bonanza: report      ] BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...    Scams And Bailouts The Cause of World Depression    Insiders Continue to Sell, Sell, Sell (at Seeking Alpha 8/13/09)      PAPER: Fresh alert on global stock markets...    Retail sales fall, new jobless claims rise (Reuters)     US Home Foreclosures Set Another Record in July       (7-29-09) Insiders Selling at Alarming Levels   Entering the Greatest Depression in History Andrew Gavin Marshall | The crisis has many bubbles, all of which dwarf the housing bubble burst of 2008.   The Market's Horoscope: Downside Correction        Geithner asks Congress for higher U.S. debt limit      U.S. regulators close 3 banks, total now 72     US deficit climbs to 1.3 trillion dollars   Causes of Depression Yet To Be Addressed   Further impoverishment is on the way. More and more will be laid off and they’ll be no new jobs available. Savings will be exhausted and most homes that have been financed will be under water.   Some banks paid bonuses bigger than income: o     This Depression is just beginning    You read that right! Only $400 billion of that fantastic 6 month “green shoots” stock market rally came from money market accounts. The rest ($2.3 trillion) was laundered through the banks and other financial institutions to create the appearance of recovery and to raise equity for underwater banks rather than forcing them into receivership (which is where they belong) Bernanke probably knew that congress wouldn’t approve another TARP-type bailout for dodgy mortgage-backed assets, so he settled on this shifty plan instead. The only problem is, the banks are still broke, business investment is at historic lows, consumers are on the ropes, the unemployment lines are swelling, the homeless shelters are bulging, the pawn shops are bustling, tent cities are sprouting up everywhere, and according to MarketWatch, Corporate insiders have recently been selling their companies’ shares at a greater pace than at any time since the top of the bull market in the fall of 2007.” Face it; the economy is in the crapper and Bernanke’s trickery hasn’t done a lick of good.    The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think Back in the Great Depression of 1929 through the 1930’s, we saw a similar Zig-zag pattern. There was a crash in 1929, followed by a nice rally, but then the most devastating part of the market collapse followed into the 1930’s.      Feds Hit With Biggest Tax Revenue Drop Since 1932...       The Great Depression Two Continues There is no coincident data which is demonstrating this recession is over. Some may be at the bottom, others have a way to go…    An Artifical Recovery       [$$] Why I Went Fully Into Cash     Bob Prechter "Quite Sure" Next Wave Down Will Be Bigger and March Lows Will Break         The Real Economy Versus the Make-Believe World of the Government and Financial Giants  In the real economy, unemployment is at Depression-era levels.    US companies axe 371,000 jobs in July       Half of U.S. mortgages seen underwater by 2011...     Recovery ‘not in sight’ says BMW          Top firms' pension funds plummet    Consumer bankruptcies jump 34%    Nine Of Ten Sectors Overbought      This Depression is just beginning        US food stamp list tops 34 million for first time      The Banks Own the Fed, and the Central Banks Own BIS         AIG breakup nets Wall Street $1 billion bonanza: report      ‘Underwater’ Mortgages to Hit 48%, Deutsche Bank Says     Oil price hits $76, highest since October...    US companies axe 371,000 jobs in July       Unemployment spreads distress in U.S. home loans   Cities in the U.S. Sun Belt states of California, Florida, Nevada and Arizona dominated the record foreclosure spree in the first half of the year, but distress in other regions emerged as joblessness spread, RealtyTrac said on Thursday.   Recession Worse Than Prior Estimates, Revisions Show  Bloomberg | The first 12 months of the U.S. recession saw the economy shrink more than twice as much as previously estimated, reflecting even bigger declines in consumer spending and housing, revised figures showed. Do you realize how many suckers’ rally points were added by the fake numbers contributing to this new commissioning bubble!     REVISED: ECONOMY 2X WORSE...  The government plans big revisions to historical economic data... Developing...   Regulators shut banks in Fla., NJ, Ohio, Okla... WASHINGTON (AP) -- Regulators on Friday shut down banks in Florida, New Jersey, Ohio, Oklahoma and Illinois, boosting to 69 the number of federally insured banks to fail this year amid the pressures of the weak economy and mounting loan defaults.    PhD Economist: Fed has Caused Soaring Unemployment, Millions of Foreclosures, Millions Losing Life Savings and More than $6 Trillion in Lost Output      DOLLAR DROPS TO '09 LOW...    75% Favor Auditing The Fed      Tarp banks award billions in bonuses...    The Real Unemployment Rate Hits a 68-Year High       2009 Looking More Like 1929         Dollar Falls to 2009 Low...        Six Georgia banks fail, bringing year tally to 64....    Rally may cool on earnings reality check    Dollar Falls to Near 2009 Low as Economy Pares Refuge Demand         Ben Bernanke Was Wrong        Wall Street’s Love Affair with Ben Bernanke Mike Whitney | bernanke knows that the country is in a Depression Scams And Bailouts The Cause of World Depression     New US weekly jobless claims jump      Its Official: U.S. Trapped in an Extended Depressionary Cycle       MICROSOFT Profit Drops 29% as PC Slowdown Weighs on Revenue… they haven’t availed themselves of the fake assets/books legislation recently passed...      AMAZON.COM Profit Drops 10%...         Bernanke: “I Don’t Know” Which Foreign Banks Were Given Half a Trillion   Paul Joseph Watson Grayson grills Fed chairman on destination of credit swaps.         Fed: unemployment will top 10 percent this year...         Foreclosures (those increased home sales that has been fueling suckers’ rally)  rise 15 percent in first half of 2009    (7-17) Three more banks fail, bringing 2009 tally to more than double all of 2008 at a total thus far of 57    Lower Markets on the Horizon      Cody Willard: Goldman Sachs Is A Ponzi Scheme, Should Be Punished Accordingly     The Ultimate Insider Trading Scheme    Max Keiser: Goldman Sachs gang are ’scum’ who have co-opted U.S. gov’t       Cost Of Bailout Hits A Whopping $24 Trillion Dollars     Stearns Crucifies Paulson On Bailout Bait And Switch     Fiscal ruin of the Western world beckons     Foreign Embassies Urged to Stockpile Local Currencies     Bailout Overseer Says Banks Misused TARP Funds     TARP watchdog says Treasury lacking bank data     Goldman Sachs  caused  the problems in the first place… Who can deny that?             Budget deficit tops $1 trillion for first time (AP)      CIT Watch: Analysts Says Debt Load Isn't the Only Problem       Geithner Refuses to Rule Out Continuing Using American Taxpayer as Piggy Bank for Derivatives Losses    WHITE HOUSE ECON ADVISER CLAIMS SUCCESS: FEWER PEOPLE SEARCHING 'ECONOMIC DEPRESSION' ON GOOGLE BECAUSE EXPERIENCING IT FIRST-HAND THEY ALREADY KNOW WHAT ECONOMIC DEPRESSION IS...      What Economy? There’s Nothing Left to Recover  There is no economy left to recover. The US manufacturing economy was lost to offshoring and free trade ideology. It was replaced by a mythical “New Economy “ ; less bad, not as bad as expected…riiiiight!, tarp money for the commission frauds on wall street in new manufactured bubble as actual/real manufacturing down again; consumer confidence down, commercial loans begin default phase of downturn, 6.9 million continuing unemployment claims for new record; retail sales down sharply A REALITY CHECK ON U.S. 'ECONOMIC RECOVERY'  Jeff Nielson - U.S. equities are rallying again today, and (as usual) it is a rally with no basis in reality.   Economist: FDIC gearing up for bank closures     Goldman Sachs Admits Its Software Can “Manipulate Markets in Unfair Ways and fraudulently generate commissions /trade volume”     Max Keiser: Goldman Sachs gang are ’scum’ who have co-opted U.S. gov’t You Tube | Goldman Sachs are scum– that’s the bottom line. They have co-opted the government, the Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve’s functionality. They’ve co-opted the Obama administration & Barack Obama dances to Goldman Sachs’ tune.         True unemployment rate already at 20%    This Depression Will Last For Years       Wyoming sees first bank failure since 1991     China criticizes dollar          AIG Preparing to Pay New Round of Bonuses...     While Talking About Keynesian Stimulus, Feds Are Really Just Giving Money to the Big Frauds            FDIC Insurance Fund: It Doesn’t Actually Exist      Replacing the dollar as reserve currency         US loses 467,000 jobs, unemployment at 9.5%       'We're in the Middle of a Crash': Black Swan...    Economic Expectations – Unemployment Rate Will Reach 15%    David Tice: We are going into a depression-15% unemployment or more on horizon.   U.S. consumers fall behind on loans at record pace       FBI: Mortgage fraud 'rampant' and growing...       Celente and Schiff Predict Food Panic This Year. Watch clips HERE. Fema Camps Built.      Wall Street hits 10-week low amid talk of new stimulus      (7-2)Seven more banks fail, bringing 2009 tally to more than double all of 2008 at a total thus far of 52; Private sector sheds another 473,000 jobs in June...    US lurching towards ‘debt explosion’ with long-term interest rates on course to double         Jim Rogers Sells Dollars, Plans to Short Treasuries               ‘Sucker’s Rally Beginning To Unwind’ daaaah…?    Calls grow to supplant dollar as global currency     China officials call for displacing dollar, in time       Tracking Two Depressions, 1929 and now this            Mortgage applications fall to 7-month low...         Private sector sheds another 473,000 jobs in June...        'Layoffs may be worsening'...      AIG shares drop after 1-for-20 reverse-stock split (AP)     Manhattan apartment prices skid 13 to 19 percent          Job losses / job concerns realistically weigh on confidence, real estate values/prices continue downward trend as per Case / Shiller Index (-18.1%, -21% in california)    Consumer confidence suffers steep fall...     Home prices post 18% annual drop...    Worldwide Depression: Review of Global Markets       . Four banks fail, bringing 2009 tally to 19 more than all of 2008 at a total thus far of 44       Dollar Falls Most in Month as China Urges New Reserve Currency      Gerald Celente speaks on Cap and Trade and other handicaps to the US economy       HOW MANY TIMES CAN THE WALL STREET FRAUDS, WITH CYCLICAL REGULARITY, DO THE SAME OR SIMILAR FRAUD WITH IMPUNITY (STILL NOT ONE PROSECUTION IN THE MOST RECENT  MASSIVE SECURITIES FRAUD, BUT PLENTY OF OBFUSCATION EMANATING FROM THE PERPETRATORS AS WELL AS THOSE WHO SHOULD BE PROSECUTING /PURSUING THEM) NOW REFLATING THE STOCK MARKET BUBBLE BASED UPON NOTHING AT ALL (BAD NEWS,FRAUD AND BULL S**T), CHANGING ACCOUNTING RULES TO FACILITATE THE COMMISSIONABLE BUBBLE FROM WHICH THE SOURCE OF FUNDS TO EVEN PAY BACK LOANS TO AVOID SCRUTINY OF THEIR NEW FRAUD IS GENERATED [SAVINGS AND LOAN DEBACLE, DOT.COM SELL THE SIZZLE BUST /DEBACLE, RECYCLED /REPACKAGED /RESOLD /RECOMMISSIONED WORTHLESS COLLATERALIZED SECURITIES /PAPER (IN THE TRILLIONS YET STILL NOT ADDRESSED), ETC., THE FRAUDS ARE GETTING LARGER, HENCE THE RIDICULOUS TOO BIG TO FAIL MANTRA … HOW PATHETIC! … THAT MONEY HAS TO COME FROM SOMEPLACE, IE., PRINTING, CREATING, YOUR POCKETS, … NOT OUT OF THIN AIR! ] TYPICAL END OF QUARTER FRAUD/WINDOW DRESSING TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [ Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years  ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [  Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)  ] BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...    A REALITY CHECK ON U.S. 'ECONOMIC RECOVERY'  Jeff Nielson - U.S. equities are rallying again today, and (as usual) it is a rally with no basis in reality.       , personal income up modest .2% and spending down, China calls for new reserve currency to supplant worthless dollar  Dollar And Stocks Drop As China Calls For New Global Currency   , continuing unemployment claims at or near record 627,000, weekly unemployment claims up 15,000, and GDP contraction –5.5%, all worse than expected (lennar wider than expected quarterly loss rallies stock…riiiiight!) Jobless claims rise; GDP dips in 1Q  ; soothing words/b.s. from fed which previously predicted no recession that economy still contracting but that the contraction is somewhat slowing…what b**l s**t!…, analysts- buffet/economy in shambles, Hogan/negative GDP growth and inflation owing to debasement of the dollar as well as deficit spending/pump-priming in the trillions, joker stein/economy a mess and continued job losses, new home sales down .6%;   U.S. Home Prices Drop 6.8 Percent in April as Foreclosures Rise       foreclosure sales up 2.4%, prices down 17% year over year,    [$$] Market Suffers Some Technical Damage         Stocks tumble on bleak outlook for world economy           U.S. regulators close their 40th bank of the year  ,   Next Major Move In Stock Market Will Be Down     world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better, market got ahead of itself, stalled out, still depression/more job losses, higher oil-gas prices / higher interest rates / heavy debt to pare down is 1-3 year drag on economy, even if believed (I don’t) the labor dept. far better than expected job numbers by increased debt (spending) to produce same is not economically sound or sustainable, viz., record spending with record low revenues, rating cuts for bank sector, analysts concur in significant 5-15% (reality says 15-25%) pullback/correction for stocks , institutional selling,  industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories, empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   Jim Rogers: “The Worst is Not Over” 6/9/2009   A REALITY CHECK ON U.S. 'ECONOMIC RECOVERY'  Jeff Nielson - U.S. equities are rallying again today, and (as usual) it is a rally with no basis in reality.     Markets See a Breakdown in Technical Support Levels             Roubini: USA sees double-dip recession...    Jobless claims rise; GDP dips in 1Q      Bernanke faces GOP-led (who are they kidding-bushies/paulsen went so far as threaten martial law- prosecute now! They continue to allow the wall street fraud and political theater doesn’t change their complicity) heat on BofA-Merrill deal    Fed Tried to Cover-up Its Involvement in Bank of America-Merrill Deal       U.S. Economy: Jobless Claims Rise in Sign Labor Market Stagnant            Dollar drops on reserve currency doubts      China sells US bonds to ’show concern’      BRICs May Buy Each Other’s Bonds in Shift From Dollar            China’s holding of US bonds drops first time in 11 months        Russia to Raise Reserve Currency Issue at BRIC              International Demand for Worthless U.S. Assets Slowed in April        IMF says worst not over        Senator cashed out during big stock collapse -- after meeting with Fed, Treasury chiefs!    America's AAA downgrade danger...        Treasury faces pressure on price of TARP exit      A depression so deep even teen shoppers scrimp      US cities may have to be bulldozed in order to survive         1st quarter wiped out $1.3 trillion for Americans     Get Ready for Inflation and Higher Interest Rates       Oil prices near $73 as energy rally continues      Fed Would Be Shut Down If It Were Audited        Fed says economy weak, but sees signs the slide increasing     Mounting deficits spark jitters about U.S. economy     Wall Street falls as realities dent recovery hopes     Bonds fall on worries about government's debt load (AP)      Oil prices strike new high for 2009 (AP)    The depression quietly deepens     CHINA AIRS FEARS ON DOLLAR, DEBT...          Oil hits 7-month high over $70... Yes, We’re STILL In a Depression      China Bank Wants U.S. Bonds Issued in Yuan       Fake government job loss report near 40% better than private forecasts…I don’t think so!…9.4% unemployment rate…try well over 10% and with stopped looking included over 20% , Jim Rogers CNBC - Jun 4th, 2009 - Currency Crisis Ahead   U.S. unemployment hits record but job losses slow if you foolishly believe fake government reports near 40% better than private estimates - I don’t think so! …now            China explores buying $50bn in IMF bonds       US retailers report May sales declines    Tiny Tim says dollar assets safe...    Laughter from audience...      Why The Chinese Laughed At Geithner     ----- mortgage apps. down, service sector job losses/factory orders worse than expected, new record continuing unemployment claims, bernanke spend more money you don’t have but cut debilitating deficit…riiiiight…sounds like a plan with more job losses to come, etc., Economic data disappoint, indicate slow recovery     Worse-than-expected economic data thwarts rally      Jobless rates in U.S. cities zoom higher in April      Sector Snap: Homebuilders tumble (AP)       As the Dollar Falls Off the Cliff …    Bernanke warns on deficits as Treasury rates rise   -----        GOV'T OWES RECORD $63.8 TRILLION...         The Big Collapse Is Very Near    Dollar Declines as Nations Mull Reserve Currency Alternative     Dollar Falls Most In A Month Since 1985    Leap in U.S. debt hits taxpayers with 12% more red ink        Gold jumps above $970/oz as dollar weakens          Double-Dip Depression  , New Record Continuing Unemployment Claims,    Marc Faber: “I Am 100% Sure that the U.S. Will Go Into Hyperinflation”         Why We'll  See Another Serious Equities Sell-Off      Obama continuing Bush’s assault on the middle class       Government will now own 72.5% of 'New GM'...         Roubini: U.S. economy to  dip again next year...         Case-Shillers index shows new record decline in real estate prices,    $80+ oil coming this year    Dallas Federal Reserve: Unfunded Pension and Health-Care Liabilities Exceeds $99 Trillion Dollars          Waterboard the Fed      Obama: We Are Broke. Well, Duh!            Russia Rationally Dumps Dollar as Reserve Currency - Adopts Euro   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...   ,  world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better,  leading indicators up far more than expected … bull s**t …based in large part on inflated stock price component … more bull s**t … new reform with same old frauds say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets  Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years    BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...       The Next Bubble Is Here. Have You Bought In?      Here we go again! Barney Frank asks FANNIE and FREDDIE to relax Mortgage lending rules...       Fed Tried to Cover-up Its Involvement in Bank of America-Merrill Deal     Dollar And Stocks Drop As China Calls For New Global Currency       Citigroup Ordered to Suspend Some Operations in Japan         Bernanke Grilling May Weaken Case for Fed as Risk Regulator            Citi boosting salaries to offset lower bonuses, allegedly to retain the clowns who helped make them taxpayer dependant and cause the current debacle; how ‘bout firing them instead and offering opportunity to the new, particularly non-ivy league vegetable garden grads            [$$] Market Suffers Some Technical Damage         Stocks tumble on bleak outlook for world economy     U.S. Home Prices Drop 6.8 Percent in April as Foreclosures Rise       [$$] Red Roof Inn Defaults on Mortgage Debt (at The Wall Street Journal Online)       MySpace to cut two-thirds of global workforce    GM to cut 4,000 more white-collar jobs by year end       Oracle tops forecasts despite sales, profit dip; stated another way, bad news will be shilled as good news (AP)    California Collapsing        Bankster “Holiday” Planned for September?      Recession Sparking Global Unrest       Is Your Portfolio Ready for the Next Leg Down?           S&P turns negative for year in broad sell-off (Reuters)       Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)       Numbers On Welfare See Sharp Increase          Top Insiders Playing You For A Sucker?       The death of the dollar. Who could deny it?    Stanford indicted in massive U.S. fraud case which is small potatoes compared to ubiquitously massive wall street securities fraud which caused the ongoing financial debacle        Venture Capital Bubble Set to Burst, Kedrosky Says     Obama Plans to Cut Bank Regulators, Allow Fed to Supervise Financial Holding Companies – The old fox guarding the henhouse tricks     Federal Reserve unwisely to gain power under plan      Federal Reserve Foolishly To Be Given Sweeping New Powers        Yen Strengthens Most in Month as Asian Stocks Drop, Gold Gains        RUSSIA CHALLENGES WORTHLESS DOLLAR...    AIG says former top exec plundered retirement plan     [video] The Too-Big-to-Fail Problem [6.8 min] (at MarketWatch)     [$$] Too Big to Solve? (at The Wall Street Journal Online)          Buy and Hold Is Dead. Long Live Buy and Hold!     Financial Bailout Plan Keeps Zombie Banks Alive       Bernanke then as now in denial about looming crisis 2005-2007              Retail sales, drop in jobless claims to a very high even if believed 601,000 yielding record continuing claims of 6.8 million fuel hope…if you’re a dope     Lawmakers blast Fed, Treasury for BofA "threats"       Oil climbs over $73 on hopes for rising demand     U.S. Household Worth Fell by $1.3 Trillion in First Quarter       Predictions of $250 a barrel on oil        ECB Fears Reality of Banking Crisis in 2010: Report        Get Ready for Inflation and Higher Interest Rates      Bill To Audit Federal Reserve Now Has 209 Co-Sponsors        Russia May Swap Some U.S. Treasuries for IMF Debt        Fed report shows losses on Bear Stearns, AIG holdings      Congress subpoenas the Fed ... Finally! (AP)        Brazil in recession, recovery unlikely this year       What a “Jobless Recovery” Really Means: A Massive Redistribution of Wealth from the Little Guy to the Big Boys       Obama Tells American Businesses to Drop Dead      America’s Fed Addiction        “87 Percent of [Chinese] Respondents Believe China’s u.s. Dollar-Assets are Unsafe”       Fed Said to Retreat From Seeking Power to Sell Its Own Debt/Bills       WIRE: Obama Tells American Businesses to Drop Dead...  Long-Term Economic Memory Loss    Obama’s economic model versus reality     Reality bites Internet as 1Q ad sales fall 5 pct (AP)      CHINA AIRS FEARS ON DOLLAR, DEBT        government reports better than private estimates…riiiiight!  President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Warns of Oligarchy        U.S. unemployment hits record but job losses slow if you foolishly believe fake government reports near 40% better than private estimates - I don’t think so! …now         Benefit spending soars to new high    $100 Billion Bailout For IMF Tagged On To War Funding Bill        Economic recovery is wishful thinking          Gold, Silver Climb as Dollar Falls      OPEC: OIL COULD REACH $90...        -----     Existing home foreclosure sales up, and no profit discount car sales better than expected     Diluting like crazy through new stock bubble issues       Market Manipulation/Fraud: How Financial Markets Really Work         Economist Warns Fed Will Bring About Zimbabwe Style Hyperinflation     The $4 trillion housing headache (at Fortune)  foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

ANALYST FORECASTS: BULLS AND BEARS    By Richard Shaw    [there were 3 bull forecasts which are bull s**t and not included in the following excerpt to preclude fraud and conserve space; even the neutrals are a stretch]
…..BEAR - May 30: Morgan Stanley equity analyst Jason Todd says sell this S&P 500 rally. He says Morgan Stanley does not see large upside above 825-850. He said, “In the rush to buy a cyclical recovery, it seems earnings or valuation no longer matters. We would be comfortable with this view if the earnings trough was closer, but it is not.”

BEAR - MAY 28: Berkshire Hathaway possible successor to Warren Buffet, David Sokol, says they see no evidence of the green shoots that been a stimulus to the stock market. He sees the most significant headwinds to the electric utility industry in his 30 years, and see continuing housing industry problems.

BEAR?/BULL? - May 28: PIMCO co-CEO Bill Gross (manager of world’s largest bond fund) portrays “new normal” including accelerating inflation toward the latter part of a three- to five-year cycle, and the need to reexamine accepted notions about investing. He said stocks have not and will not always outperform bonds, and having 60% to 80% of portfolio assets in stocks may not always make sense. He believes the dollar will lose its status as the reserve currency; Brazil, India and China (forget Russia) will offer the best growth. The U.S. government will be selling trillions in Treasuries; the US savings rate may rise significantly, and the consumer economy may be shrinking long term due to the aging of the population.

BULL?/BEAR? - May 28: GMO CEO Jeremy Grantham predicts higher US savings and lower consumption with many postponed retirements. He sees some reasonable values within the stock market now and sees the third year of the presidential cycle (2011) as the most promising. He is not certain that a robust rally will continune. Like John Bogle, he believes in the principle of having your age as the percentage of bonds in your portfolio. He expects a bubble in emerging market stocks to develop.

BEAR - MAY 26: Comstock Partners portfolio managers Charlie Minter and Marty Weiner, say P/E’s on “as reported earnings” are too high in consideration of the long-term trend in earnings (now in down phase). “Over the past 75 years, most market peaks topped at around 20 times reported earnings, and the troughs occurred at around 10 times earnings. The financial mania of the late 1990s pushed P/Es to over 40 times reported earnings, and the following bust never brought P/Es below 18 times reported earnings. … Going back to 1950, every instance where actual earnings rose above trend-line earnings was followed by a period where actual earnings went well below trend-line earnings. Comstock Partners believes that we have entered such a period now, and that the market is trading at such a high multiple of trend-line earnings that it will be difficult to make money.”

BEAR - May 19: Gluskin Sheff analyst David Rosenberg (formerly of Merill Lynch) says this rally is a sucker’s rally based on short covering. “The FTSE All-World market P/E ratio on forward earnings estimates is now around 15x, well above pre-Lehman collapse levels and nearly double the lows for the cycle … this was a rally built largely on short covering, pension fund rebalancing and the emergence of hope wrapped up in ‘green shoot’ data points. … On average, the S&P 500 undergoes a correction of more than 20% … at a minimum, take profits”

NEUTRAL (BEAR?) - May 11: Baring Asset Management portfolio manager Hayes Miller says “Estimates suggest there isn’t that much further to run because equities are fairly valued … Earnings growth for 2009 and 2010 can’t support prices too much higher than where we are today.”

BEAR - May 11: HSBC Global Asset Management chief investment officer Leon Goldfeld, chief investment officer at HSBC Global Asset Management said it’s “hard to see” enough profit growth to justify higher stock prices. The firm’s strategy will be to reduce its holdings of equities and move into bonds and cash, he said.Bloomberg TV on June 1, said HSBC forecasts 900 as the year-end price for the S&P 500 index.

NEUTRAL - May 11: Bloomberg compilation of analyst forecasts of 2009 earnings for the S&P 500 is at $57.17 (not stated whether “as reported” or “operating”). As of June 1, that puts the S&P at about 16.5 times forecasted earnings. Yale economist Robert Schiller said the historic average is a multiple of about 16.3. [we note that we are not in an average situation or stage of a market, however].

BEAR - May 11: Bank of America CIO for private wealth management expects a 10% correction. He said, “We’re going to be in a very volatile, chop-and-grind type of market. We’ve been shown that there is a small light at the end of the tunnel, it’s dim but getting brighter, and that’s why stock prices have come this far this fast. Now, it’s all about ‘show me.’”

BEAR?/ BULL? - May Letter: PIMCO co-CEO Bill Gross wrote: “Do not be deceived by the euphoric sightings of “green shoots” and the claims for new bull markets in a multitude of asset classes. Stable and secure income is still the order of the day. Shaking hands with the new government is still the prescribed strategy, although it should be done at a senior level of the balance sheet. If the government indeed becomes your investment partner, you should keep the big Uncle in clear sight and without back turned. Risk will not likely be rewarded until the global economy stabilizes and the Obama rules of order are more clearly defined.”

BEAR - April 17: Barclay’s analyst Barry Knapp forecasts S&P 500 at 757 by year-end 2009. He said, “The equity market has priced this recovery and then some. It looks pretty expensive to us.”

(7-1) SELL / TAKE ANY PROFITS IN THIS SECULAR BEAR MARKET SUCKERS’ RALLY PROGRAMMED TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [ Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years  ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [  Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)     [$$] Big Pay Packages Return to Wall Street as new fraud gains steam (at The Wall Street Journal Online)    ] BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...    Job losses / job concerns realistically weigh on confidence, real estate values/prices continue downward trend as per Case / Shiller Index (-18.1%, -21% in california)    Gerald Celente speaks on Cap and Trade and other handicaps to the US economy       HOW MANY TIMES CAN THE WALL STREET FRAUDS, WITH CYCLICAL REGULARITY, DO THE SAME OR SIMILAR FRAUD WITH IMPUNITY (STILL NOT ONE PROSECUTION IN THE MOST RECENT  MASSIVE SECURITIES FRAUD, BUT PLENTY OF OBFUSCATION EMANATING FROM THE PERPETRATORS AS WELL AS THOSE WHO SHOULD BE PROSECUTING /PURSUING THEM) NOW REFLATING THE STOCK MARKET BUBBLE BASED UPON NOTHING AT ALL (BAD NEWS,FRAUD AND BULL S**T), CHANGING ACCOUNTING RULES TO FACILITATE THE COMMISSIONABLE BUBBLE FROM WHICH THE SOURCE OF FUNDS TO EVEN PAY BACK LOANS TO AVOID SCRUTINY OF THEIR NEW FRAUD IS GENERATED [SAVINGS AND LOAN DEBACLE, DOT.COM SELL THE SIZZLE BUST /DEBACLE, RECYCLED /REPACKAGED /RESOLD /RECOMMISSIONED WORTHLESS COLLATERALIZED SECURITIES /PAPER (IN THE TRILLIONS YET STILL NOT ADDRESSED), ETC., THE FRAUDS ARE GETTING LARGER, HENCE THE RIDICULOUS TOO BIG TO FAIL MANTRA … HOW PATHETIC! … THAT MONEY HAS TO COME FROM SOMEPLACE, IE., PRINTING, CREATING, YOUR POCKETS, … NOT OUT OF THIN AIR! ] TYPICAL END OF QUARTER FRAUD/WINDOW DRESSING TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [ Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years  ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [  Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)  ] BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY... , personal income up modest .2% and spending down, China calls for new reserve currency to supplant worthless dollar  Dollar And Stocks Drop As China Calls For New Global Currency   , continuing unemployment claims at or near record 627,000, weekly unemployment claims up 15,000, and GDP contraction –5.5%, all worse than expected (lennar wider than expected quarterly loss rallies stock…riiiiight!) Jobless claims rise; GDP dips in 1Q  ; soothing words/b.s. from fed which previously predicted no recession that economy still contracting but that the contraction is somewhat slowing…what b**l s**t!…, analysts- buffet/economy in shambles, Hogan/negative GDP growth and inflation owing to debasement of the dollar as well as deficit spending/pump-priming in the trillions, joker stein/economy a mess and continued job losses, new home sales down .6%;   U.S. Home Prices Drop 6.8 Percent in April as Foreclosures Rise       foreclosure sales up 2.4%, prices down 17% year over year,    [$$] Market Suffers Some Technical Damage         Stocks tumble on bleak outlook for world economy           U.S. regulators close their 40th bank of the year  ,   Next Major Move In Stock Market Will Be Down     world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better, market got ahead of itself, stalled out, still depression/more job losses, higher oil-gas prices / higher interest rates / heavy debt to pare down is 1-3 year drag on economy, even if believed (I don’t) the labor dept. far better than expected job numbers by increased debt (spending) to produce same is not economically sound or sustainable, viz., record spending with record low revenues, rating cuts for bank sector, analysts concur in significant 5-15% (reality says 15-25%) pullback/correction for stocks , institutional selling,  industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories, empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...   ,  world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better,  leading indicators up far more than expected … bull s**t …based in large part on inflated stock price component … more bull s**t … new reform with same old frauds say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets  Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years    BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...       foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

(6-30) SECULAR BEAR MARKET SUCKERS’ RALLY TO END WELL OFF SESSION LOWS  TYPICAL END OF QUARTER FRAUD/WINDOW DRESSING TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED Job losses / job concerns realistically weigh on confidence, real estate values/prices continue downward trend as per Case / Shiller Index (-18.1%, -21% in california)    Consumer confidence suffers steep fall...     Home prices post 18% annual drop...    Worldwide Depression: Review of Global Markets       . Four banks fail, bringing 2009 tally to 19 more than all of 2008 at a total thus far of 44       Dollar Falls Most in Month as China Urges New Reserve Currency      Gerald Celente speaks on Cap and Trade and other handicaps to the US economy       HOW MANY TIMES CAN THE WALL STREET FRAUDS, WITH CYCLICAL REGULARITY, DO THE SAME OR SIMILAR FRAUD WITH IMPUNITY (STILL NOT ONE PROSECUTION IN THE MOST RECENT  MASSIVE SECURITIES FRAUD, BUT PLENTY OF OBFUSCATION EMANATING FROM THE PERPETRATORS AS WELL AS THOSE WHO SHOULD BE PROSECUTING /PURSUING THEM) NOW REFLATING THE STOCK MARKET BUBBLE BASED UPON NOTHING AT ALL (BAD NEWS,FRAUD AND BULL S**T), CHANGING ACCOUNTING RULES TO FACILITATE THE COMMISSIONABLE BUBBLE FROM WHICH THE SOURCE OF FUNDS TO EVEN PAY BACK LOANS TO AVOID SCRUTINY OF THEIR NEW FRAUD IS GENERATED [SAVINGS AND LOAN DEBACLE, DOT.COM SELL THE SIZZLE BUST /DEBACLE, RECYCLED /REPACKAGED /RESOLD /RECOMMISSIONED WORTHLESS COLLATERALIZED SECURITIES /PAPER (IN THE TRILLIONS YET STILL NOT ADDRESSED), ETC., THE FRAUDS ARE GETTING LARGER, HENCE THE RIDICULOUS TOO BIG TO FAIL MANTRA … HOW PATHETIC! … THAT MONEY HAS TO COME FROM SOMEPLACE, IE., PRINTING, CREATING, YOUR POCKETS, … NOT OUT OF THIN AIR! ] TYPICAL END OF QUARTER FRAUD/WINDOW DRESSING TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [ Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years  ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [  Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)  ] BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY... , personal income up modest .2% and spending down, China calls for new reserve currency to supplant worthless dollar  Dollar And Stocks Drop As China Calls For New Global Currency   , continuing unemployment claims at or near record 627,000, weekly unemployment claims up 15,000, and GDP contraction –5.5%, all worse than expected (lennar wider than expected quarterly loss rallies stock…riiiiight!) Jobless claims rise; GDP dips in 1Q  ; soothing words/b.s. from fed which previously predicted no recession that economy still contracting but that the contraction is somewhat slowing…what b**l s**t!…, analysts- buffet/economy in shambles, Hogan/negative GDP growth and inflation owing to debasement of the dollar as well as deficit spending/pump-priming in the trillions, joker stein/economy a mess and continued job losses, new home sales down .6%;   U.S. Home Prices Drop 6.8 Percent in April as Foreclosures Rise       foreclosure sales up 2.4%, prices down 17% year over year,    [$$] Market Suffers Some Technical Damage         Stocks tumble on bleak outlook for world economy           U.S. regulators close their 40th bank of the year  ,   Next Major Move In Stock Market Will Be Down     world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better, market got ahead of itself, stalled out, still depression/more job losses, higher oil-gas prices / higher interest rates / heavy debt to pare down is 1-3 year drag on economy, even if believed (I don’t) the labor dept. far better than expected job numbers by increased debt (spending) to produce same is not economically sound or sustainable, viz., record spending with record low revenues, rating cuts for bank sector, analysts concur in significant 5-15% (reality says 15-25%) pullback/correction for stocks , institutional selling,  industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories, empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   Jim Rogers: “The Worst is Not Over” 6/9/2009     ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...   ,  world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better,  leading indicators up far more than expected … bull s**t …based in large part on inflated stock price component … more bull s**t … new reform with same old frauds say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets  Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years    BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...       The Next Bubble Is Here. Have You Bought In?      foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

Tiny Tim says dollar assets safe...    Laughter from audience...       Why The Chinese Laughed At Geithner  Paul Craig Roberts | The red ink that Washington is generating is a far greater threat to Americans than any foreign “enemies.”               

(6-3) ONLY MODEST LOSSES RELATIVE TO REALITY WITH PROGRAMMED SHORT-COVERING/SUCKERS RALLY INTO THE CLOSE TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., mortgage apps. down, service sector job losses/factory orders worse than expected, new record continuing unemployment claims, bernanke spend more money you don’t have but cut debilitating deficit…riiiiight…sounds like a plan with more job losses to come, etc., Economic data disappoint, indicate slow recovery     Worse-than-expected economic data thwarts rally      Jobless rates in U.S. cities zoom higher in April      Sector Snap: Homebuilders tumble (AP)       As the Dollar Falls Off the Cliff …    Bernanke warns on deficits as Treasury rates rise   -----        GOV'T OWES RECORD $63.8 TRILLION...         The Big Collapse Is Very Near    Dollar Declines as Nations Mull Reserve Currency Alternative     AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., $100 Billion Bailout For IMF Tagged On To War Funding Bill        Economic recovery is wishful thinking          Gold, Silver Climb as Dollar Falls      OPEC: OIL COULD REACH $90...        -----     ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

(6-2) SUCKERS’ RALLY CONTINUES TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS The Big Collapse Is Very Near       U.S. auto sales drop, but rays of stability seen      Economic crisis boosts distrust of business: watchdog    Dollar Declines as Nations Mull Reserve Currency Alternative     Grand Theft Auto: How Stevie the Rat bankrupted GM       Gold, Silver Climb as Dollar Falls    Home foreclosure sales up, no profit discount car sales better than expected  

Diluting like crazy through new stock bubble issues    YAHOO…To that point, Moody's stated that it expects U.S. rated banks will incur some $470 billion pretax loan losses and write-downs in 2009 and 2010, and also expects many banks will be unprofitable this year. Moody's is keeping a negative outlook on the banking industry rating and the industry's credit outlook. …Semiconductor stocks (-3.3%) showed weakness for the entire session. Their downturn came after Applied Materials (AMAT 11.61, -0.44) chief executive Mike Splinter stated that there will be more failures in the semiconductor equipment sector amid declining customers, according to Reuters...  Sacrifices are needed to save GM, Obama tells Americans Guardian | “Difficult times lie ahead,” said Obama. “More jobs will be lost, more plants will close. More dealerships will shut their doors and so will many parts suppliers.” The Big Collapse Is Very Near Robert Wenzel | The end of the current financial system, as we know it, is imminent.   Today we’re all prisoners in the USA    Ted Rall | Obama wants to let government goons snatch you, me and anyone else they deem annoying off the street so if true, then It’s increasingly evident that Obama should resign     Grand Theft Auto: How Stevie the Rat bankrupted GM Greg Palast | Stevie the Rat’s plan is nothing less than Grand Theft Auto Pension.     (6-1)  MORE CAN’T BE SAID, SO PREPOSTEROUS WAS THIS TYPICALLY FAKE BETTER THAN EXPECTED (RIIIIIGHT!) COMMERCE DEPARTMENT DATA SUCKERS’ RALLY TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS AND BULL S**T ALONE  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! Most U.S. retailers likely saw sales fall in May     GM files for bankruptcy, urges quick action    GM: A Mighty Icon Files for Bankruptcy      Dow gets shake-up as GM, Citi kicked out of average       GM removed from S&P 500 index (AP)      Stocks Will Fall 37% and Gold Will Rally %       Even in Crisis, Banks Dig In for Fight Against Rules New York Times | The nine biggest participants in the derivatives market — including JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and Bank of America — created a lobbying organization, the CDS Dealers Consortium, a month after five of its members accepted federal bailout money.     Zoellick Warns Stimulus ‘Sugar High’ Won’t Stem Unemployment Bloomberg | World Bank President Robert Zoellick warned policy makers that fiscal-stimulus plans are insufficient to turn around the “real economy”        (5-29) PROGRAMMED TRADES/SUCKERS’ HIGH OIL/LOW DOLLAR (RIIIIIGHT!) RALLY INTO THE CLOSE TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED BASED ON BAD NEWS ( ie.,  GOV'T OWES RECORD $63.8 TRILLION...         Dollar Falls Most In A Month Since 1985    Leap in U.S. debt hits taxpayers with 12% more red ink        Gold jumps above $970/oz as dollar weakens          Double-Dip Depression  , New Record Continuing Unemployment Claims,    Marc Faber: “I Am 100% Sure that the U.S. Will Go Into Hyperinflation”         Why We'll  See Another Serious Equities Sell-Off      Obama continuing Bush’s assault on the middle class       Government will now own 72.5% of 'New GM'...         Roubini: U.S. economy to  dip again next year...         Case-Shillers index shows new record decline in real estate prices,    $80+ oil coming this year    Dallas Federal Reserve: Unfunded Pension and Health-Care Liabilities Exceeds $99 Trillion Dollars          Waterboard the Fed      Obama: We Are Broke. Well, Duh!            Russia Rationally Dumps Dollar as Reserve Currency - Adopts Euro   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie.,   Market Manipulation/Fraud: How Financial Markets Really Work         Economist Warns Fed Will Bring About Zimbabwe Style Hyperinflation     The $4 trillion housing headache (at Fortune)  foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!    (5-28) Sowell: Government’s Current Role in Business the ‘Route’ to Fascism         Foreclosure woes mount for those with good credit         Fed Finds a Way to Use Stress Tests to Screw Bank Shareholders One More Time (at Seeking Alpha)      Time Warner to spin off AOL, ending ill-fated deal      [$$] Listen, But Don't Get Suckered      Faber: Inflation to 'Approach Zimbabwe Level'...    U.S. Weighs Single Agency to Regulate Banking Industry Yet Ignores Existing Laws, Prosecution, and Disgorgement in this Huge Fraud…Why   (5-27)  Britain's Debt Outlook Gets Bleaker: Same Implications for the U.S…how could anyone be surprised about that?              Regulators shut 2 more, 35 and 36, failed banks this year in Illinois (AP)     GM borrows $4 billion more, prepares for bankruptcy    Job losses up in 44 states as recession drags on        Florida's BankUnited fails, will cost FDIC $4.9B (AP)     Regulators seize 34th bank failure of year Florida's BankUnited FSB (AP)     Treasury Selloff Spiking Interest Rates      GM bankruptcy seen near          GM all but certain to file for Chapter 11    US Government to Take Up 70% Stake in GM          FDIC Fund Running Dry  Yahoo Finance | As the FDIC has had to step in to take over more and more insolvent banks, the fund has dwindled to dangerously low levels. At the same time, the number of problem banks continues to grow at a rapid pace.     IRS tax revenue falls along with taxpayers’ income USA Today | Federal tax revenue plunged $138 billion, or 34%, in April vs. a year ago — the biggest April drop since 1981.    (5-26)  fake consumer confidence reading 30+% better than private estimate sucker-rallies stocks ,   Current Recession Is Tracking the 1930s Bear Market   ,  Another Bottom for Stocks Coming: Rogers (at CNBC)   ,  The Sleepwalkers' Rally         ,  Rogers Echoes Warning Of “Sucker’s Rally” , don’t forget that the suckers rally stock prices accounted for the very modest but ephemeral uptick in leading indicators        Dallas Federal Reserve: Unfunded Pension and Health-Care Liabilities Exceeds $99 Trillion Dollars    )  , (5-22) Regulators shut 2 more, 35 and 36, failed banks this year in Illinois (AP)     GM borrows $4 billion more, prepares for bankruptcy    Job losses up in 44 states as recession drags on        Bill to Audit Fed Wisely Gains Serious Momentum       U.S. to Steer GM Toward Bankruptcy       Gold tops $960 for first time in two months as dollar weakens      South Afica gold coin demand hits all time high     Peter Schiff called “Extremist” by Time Magazine      Geithner Vows to Cut U.S. Deficit on Rating Concern…riiiiight!…con     Gold Poised for Third Weekly Gain as Dollar Slumps Against Euro      “The Odds on the Dollar, Treasury Bonds and the U.S. Government’s AAA Grade All Heading for the Dumpster are Shortening”       (5-21) Britain's Debt Outlook Gets Bleaker: Same Implications for the U.S…how could anyone be surprised about that?       GMAC receives $7.5 billion in new Treasury aid (AP)     Dollar hits '09 low on rating fears; stocks dip (Reuters)     U.K. to Lose AAA Rating at S&P as Finances Weaken      U.S. Stocks Decline on Jobless Claims, greenspan, who helped create the debacle and should thereby know, Warning      Gold May Test $1,200      (5-20)  The Weimar Hyperinflation is Happening Again! With fed printing/creating like mad, what did they expect?     Rogers Echoes Warning Of “Sucker’s Rally”      Green Shoots: Too Small, Too Far Apart       The Sleepwalkers' Rally       Former head of pension agency takes the Fifth (AP)      Global stocks slip, dollar tumbles after downbeat Fed     Depression hits already defacto bankrupt Social Security hard     Gold purchases up 36% as investors look to preserve wealth      China Gold Reserves May Back Yuan Internationalization-Report     22 reasons why OBAMA will raise your taxes Federal debt is now $11.5 trillion. Add $1.4 trillion this year. That’s almost 100% of GDP.            (5-19)   Deficit surges at agency that insures pensions (AP)       China and Brazil Plan to Dump Dollar          HP's profit drops, more layoffs looming        Japan logs record GDP drop      Senator: More oversight needed at insolvent pension agency (AP)     Inflating Our Way Out of This Mess? Why This Won't Work        Japan's economy in record plunge      Jim Rogers: Obama will Devastate the Economy        This Economy Ain't Healed Yet (at Seeking Alpha)         (5-18) Suckers’ rally (The Suckers Rally, Japan Style   …high oil price rally…riiiiight! )  Bilderberg 2009 Attendee List (revised)            Meanwhile: The Bilderbergers are advancing in Norway  [ I realize that jones (who parenthetically it should be noted, hypocritically censored my comments) et als really overdoes this group’s (among others) effect on the u.s. , state of the world, etc.; truth be told, this group like most of the interest/pressure groups including the masses, in the u.s., etc., are no more than a just a bunch of f**k-ups/vegetables who like the aforementioned multitudes have really ‘mucked things up’ (for lack of a more precise yet concise term) on this planet, probably irrevocably, and like the many home-grown f**k-ups/vegetables, and in america particularly criminals, jones refuses to acknowledge as culpable for the many reasons he refuses to see, are but rather typically incompetent players contributing in there own very special eccentric, neurotic, sick, venal, corrupt, etc., way to this collective and cumulative result being this ever deflating (declining) ball of chaos /confusion /criminality called earth (there are exceptions to the foregoing, but in america, the same would be 5% or less) ].       Economy limiting services of local police        Madoff Investors Probed by U.S. Prosecutors yet still not even one prosecution of the perpetrators of the largest scam/fraud in history foisted off on/funded by taxpayers        Rep. Paul’s bill to audit Federal Reserve nets 165 co-sponsors is the first of what should be many necessary wise moves     American Capitalism Gone With a Whimper    The Shrinking American Consumer       The Suckers Rally, Japan Style        Gold likely to test $950 level this week      Blue collar males lose more ground; unemployment rate surges past national average...         (5-15)Highest credit card default rates in 26 years at 10+%, the real economy in terms of unemployment, income, and debt far worse than their rosy ‘green shoots’ scenario to help froth the market. Wall Street sags on oil; S&P ends worst week in 2 months     Following Chrysler, GM slashing U.S. dealers   “The Worst Is Yet to Come”  Yahoo Finance | “If the consumer isn’t petrified, he or she is a damn fool.”       (5-14)All news worse than expected, ie., weekly job losses higher than expected 637,000, wholesale inflation rate .3%,   BEAR ALARM      US ’sham’ bank bail-outs enrich speculators  ,  The Secrets of the Federal Reserve  Bob Chapman | A manmade disaster created by the Federal Reserve, banking and Wall Street, and these are the same corrupt group who our government has chosen to rectify the problem.  The Economy Will Not Recover Until The Perpetrators Of Our Crises Are Held Accountable    etc.,  It’s worth noting in a Wall Street Journal editorial hedge fund manager Andy Kessler said in no uncertain terms, “this sure smells to me a suckers rally,” largely because “there aren't sustainable, fundamental reasons for the market's continued rise.”     I’m skeptical about this rally, reveals analyst Guy Adami.    U.S. Economy: Retail Sales Unexpectedly Fall for Second Month    GM, Chrysler to cut up to 3,000 dealers: sources (Reuters)       U.S. Foreclosure Filings Hit Record for Second Straight Month        Is Anyone Minding the Store at the Federal Reserve?             Unemployment up to 8.9%, The Economy Will Not Recover Until The Perpetrators Of Our Crises Are Held Accountable , etc..  America is broke. How broke?   NSN Money | Government obligations for Social Security and Medicare may soon exceed the combined net worth of every household and nonprofit organization in the country.  Everyone is familiar with the old saying, "what goes up must come down." Certainly the stock market has mounted a serious challenge to this old saying since bouncing off its lows in March and continues to defy gravity…In the face of unrelenting bad news, the market has been climbing because the news is "less bad," Gentle Ben and his Merry Band of Feds see "green shoots" and the financial press continues an unrelenting mantra of "recovery lies just ahead." It seems like the markets will never stop climbing, but they will, because contrary to what you hear on CNBC and read in the financial press, the laws of gravity have not been repealed and it's still true that "what goes up, must come down."

…When measured in ounces of Gold, the DOW has been in a secular bear market since peaking in late 1999. (Click charts, courtesy of stockcharts.com, for full size image). The markets, measured by the S&P500 (S&P500 Charts) and DIJA (DJIA Charts), may have recovered to new highs in 2007, but the DOW:Gold ratio told a different, truer story of just how unhealthy the US economy was…

BEWARE OF THE SUCKER'S RALLY?  ‘…Most recently, the S&P 500 soared 24 per cent over seven weeks ending in early January, only to plunge to a new low. It was a fairly typical sucker’s rally and bear markets often need more than one to create sufficient disillusionment for a definitive bottom.  The 2000–2002 bear market had three, with average gains of 21 per cent in the Dow Jones Industrials over 45 days. The granddaddy of all bear markets, 1929 –1932, had six false alarms with an average gain of 47 per cent. And Japan’s ongoing bear saw the Nikkei rise by at least a third four times in its first four years with 10 more false dawns since then. Bear markets typically end with a whimper rather than a bang, casting doubt on the latest recovery according to Hussman Econometrics, which analysed numerous US market bottoms and bear market rallies. With the exception of the 1987 crash, the month before the lowest point of a downturn saw a gradual descent. By contrast, bear market rallies were preceded by steeper declines and had sharper rebounds. Another characteristic of bear market rallies has been modest volume on the rebound compared to the decline. The current recovery fits the pattern of bear market rallies in terms of volume and the “V” shape of the trough. Analysts at Bespoke Investment Group noted that there have been only seven other periods in the past 110 years with rallies of similar magnitude for the Dow. Three preceded the Great Depression, three came during the Depression and one in 1982…’
  New record for continuing unemployment claims and as with all government data, adp data, etc., is fudged to whatever way necessary to help froth the market. Short-covering explaining part of what remains of this continuing suckers’ bear market rally and as admonished by analyst at Farr Miller is a bull trap. How about plain old bull crap!  One analyst (Craig Brown) points out that we’re not at the bottom yet: excerpt-‘ I hate repeating myself, but I do not see the economy at bottom just yet, so in some respects I will keep repeating myself until either other people wake up to this reality or something changes to wake me up. The markets were down a bit yesterday and, according to Bloomberg, they were down due to fears of the stress test results. I don't fear them; I fear what they hide. I fear that a reported 10 out of 19 banks failed when the tests were not at all stringent enough. I fear that the government will soft-pedal the results to make them bad enough to have a tad of credibility but not so bad that people run for the exits. Don't buy my word for it, others are saying the same, including Nouriel Roubini. Nouriel has been complaining for weeks on how the worst case scenario in the stress tests is already rosier than reality.’  Some perspective from Sajal… Excerpts – ie.,Mark Hulbert: That bullish bandwagon. Commentary: Some sentiment measures showing too much optimism   Art Cashin: "This rally is still somewhat suspect.   Albert Edwards : "Despite one of the biggest economics and profit collapses in history, US stocks have failed to get cheap in the same way that they have in Europe or Japan. My concern is that the US equity bear market has not yet fully played out. "The current pop in the market is not dissimilar to the many bear market rallies between 1929-1933, where signs of economic stabilisation were met with 25% plus rallies... This optimism was subsequently crushed."  Charles Allmon … He still thinks the stock market could decline to 3,200-4,200 on the Dow by 2011-2012 -- and that it could cross the price of gold.   Jim Bianco: "I don't think we are getting out of this for a long while. This has been a lousy stock rally.  …   …traders living in a fool's paradise if they continue to drive the markets higher by buying stocks based on earnings that are down, say, 50 percent from this time last year, only because they're not down 75 percent… Diane Garnick, investment strategist at Invesco...In an interview on Tech Ticker, Garnick says that companies are beating earnings expectations in the first quarter by Draconian cost-cutting, an unsustainable strategy for long-term growth. More importantly, although companies are beating profit estimates, thanks to the cost-cutting, they are missing expectations for revenue, she says. Further, cost-cutting via layoffs hurts the economy as a whole, Garnick argues, because the unemployed spend less money… U.S. Economy: GDP Shrinks in Worst Slump in 50 Years "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through…” …[The upshot is that the fraud continues in churn-and-earn fashion with investors, taxpayer, etc., getting burned for the sake of wall street greed/fraud. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc. - Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.].  U.S. Economy in 2nd Straight Quarter of Steep Decline      "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through  Wall Street sags on oil; S&P ends worst week in 2 months     Following Chrysler, GM slashing U.S. dealers      SEC lawyers probed for insider trading      GM, Chrysler to drop 1,900 dealers by end of 2010      The Financial Storm      Obama Says U.S. Long-Term Debt Load ‘Unsustainable’       “The Worst Is Yet to Come”          China’s yuan ’set to usurp US dollar’ as world’s reserve currency       Former Treasury Official who Devised Formula for Rate-Setting Based on Outlook for Inflation and Growth Warns that Inflation Looms, Slams Fed Policy    Dr. Doom: Capitalism Could Fail Like Communism         New York Fed: Most Powerful Financial Institution You’ve Never Heard Of along with the missing $4 trillion you’ve never heard of          Home Prices Drop Most on Record...       Federal Hiring Frenzy......average pay $75,419       A Coming Flood of Equity Issuance, aka The Dilution Solution      Fed cut banks' deficits after negotiations: sounds like a plan…riiiiight!…report          Buffett's Berkshire has first loss since 2001       Are stocks a loser's bet?YES!     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...    America is broke. How broke?    White House forecasts higher budget deficit       US red ink rising even higher, to $1.8T     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...     STIMULUS WATCH: Early road aid leaves out neediest; Auditors can't track transportation funds...      Gas price jumps to 6-month high...        Six GM executives sell more than 200,000 shares       John Hussman: Post Crash Bubbles   …Unfortunately, “fear” lows are only evident in hindsight, because as we saw in 2008, a deeply oversold market can become spectacularly more oversold before recovering, and the “fast, furious” spikes off of those lows are often followed by steep failures....     Fed Inspector General Claims She Does Not Know Where Trillions Went  Rep. Alan Grayson | Inspector General Elizabeth Coleman responds that the IG does not know and is not tracking where this money is.    Recovery? What Recovery?   Newsweek | Don’t tell me that the economy is getting better, or has even hit rock bottom.     Prospects of a quick economic recovery are but fool’s gold      Boosting The Dying Dollar With A False Rally  Suckers rally sets up the unwinding of the market, Rally just like in 1933, wealth producers becoming impoverished, Fed officer busted for fraud, troubles in the Economy are far beyond fixing, interdependence of banks around the world expected to worsen economic problems.      New York Fed chairman Friedman abruptly resigns      BEWARE OF THE SUCKER'S RALLY?  Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

Corporate CFR Members Get Most of the Bailout Money New American | Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner served as a staff member of the New York City-based Council on Foreign Relations before being hired in 2003 to head the New York City branch of the Federal Reserve Bank.Watch out for the fake government stress tests (they lie about everything!). Note the delay in the rollout. Bank analyst Cassidy says bank plan a failure. Business week business analyst /reporter says (tongue in cheek) the optimism (irrational exuberance) must be the advent of spring and the birds chirping (in the heads of the wall street lunatic/frauds…cukoos). Analysts/Economists comments include: slow release of stress test results, details and accuracy of data crucial for stress tests (good luck!), things have not bottomed out but pace of decline has slowed somewhat, bleak outlook for GM, Chrysler and bankruptcy probably necessary because of legacy costs, and public pension funds with ridiculously rich benefits the next shoe to drop. Oxdown Gazette sums up the crucial story | ‘The 12 trillion that is being floated to insolvent US banks is essentially being looted in the paper economy’ (ie., churn and earn by wall street fraudsters who must be prosecuted and forced disgorgement/forfeiture in the massive securities fraud that still goes unmentioned though the source of this economic debacle, etc.).  Four more banks closed by regulators, this years closures exceeding all of 2008 as depression continues John Letzing, MarketWatch April 24, 2009 SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Four banks in Georgia, Michigan, California and Idaho were closed by regulators Friday, costing the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.'s deposit insurance fund nearly $700 million as the effects of the credit crisis continued rippling throughout the U.S. economy.  Kennesaw, Ga.-based American Southern Bank marked the 26th bank failure of the year and the fifth in the state of Georgia, the FDIC said. Farmington Hills, Mich.-based Michigan Heritage Bank then became the 27th failure of 2009, followed by the closure of Calabasas, Ca.-based First Bank of Beverly Hills. Alpharetta, Ga.-based Bank of North Georgia has agreed to assume American Southern Bank's deposits, the FDIC said in a statement…

All reasons for previous reality plunge have been previously covered and warned of here in real time; ie., new meaningless FASB accounting standards which wall street frauds rallied on now have sold off on, worse to come in credit defaults/losses, leading indicators down again, etc.. April 17 (Bloomberg) -- David Tice, the chief portfolio strategist for bear markets at Federated Investors Inc., said the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index will probably plunge about 62 percent. He spoke during a Bloomberg Television interview today. The Federated Prudent Bear Fund that he founded returned 6.7 percent last year as the S&P 500 plunged 38 percent, the most since 1937. Tice said the benchmark index for U.S. stocks may slump to about 325. It closed today at 865.30. The measure has surged 28 percent since March 9, the most in five weeks since the 1930s. SUCKER'S RALLY APPROACHING AN END by Peter Cooper: Whatever the technical reason for the 25 percent rise in the S&P over the past five weeks, or a more modest eight percent bounce in GCC regional stock prices, the absurdness of this sucker’s rally ought to be obvious to all. Unemployment is still rising, house prices are still falling, and the fundamentals of bank balance sheets are still deteriorating with total bad debts unknown except that we know they must be getting worse. Global trade fell off a cliff in the first quarter of the year. Even Mercedes car sales to the oil rich of the GCC fell 23 per cent. The collapse of the world’s second largest economy, Japan, has been unprecedented.
Bad news coming … The stock market pattern in 2008-9 has so far been a mirror image of the crash of 1929-30 with a halving of prices from the autumn followed by a 25 per cent rally from March lows. In April 1930 stocks moved sideways and then they crashed another 50 per cent into the summer… New record continuing unemployment claims in excess of 6 million, -11% for new home sales (unexpected but stocks and even homebuilders rallied), Bloomberg reports $13 trillion (much unaccounted for) taxpayer/bailout funds spent/lent/stolen by who knows what/where/how (ie.,replace stolen funds?, etc.), second largest mall co. to bankruptcy with more to come along with more commercial real estate foreclosures. ‘…initial claims for the week ending April 11 totaled 610,000, which is down more than expected from the prior week, but continuing claims climbed more than expected to a new record of 6.02 million. Separately, housing starts disappointed investors hoping to find signs of a recovery in home building. Housing starts for March totaled 510,000, which was below the 540,000 starts that were expected and down from the prior month. Meanwhile, building permits in March totaled 513,000, which is below the 549,000 permits that were expected, down from February…’

SUCKER'S RALLY APPROACHING AN END by Peter Cooper: Whatever the technical reason for the 25 percent rise in the S&P over the past five weeks, or a more modest eight percent bounce in GCC regional stock prices, the absurdness of this sucker’s rally ought to be obvious to all. Unemployment is still rising, house prices are still falling, and the fundamentals of bank balance sheets are still deteriorating with total bad debts unknown except that we know they must be getting worse. Global trade fell off a cliff in the first quarter of the year. Even Mercedes car sales to the oil rich of the GCC fell 23 per cent. The collapse of the world’s second largest economy, Japan, has been unprecedented.
Bad news coming
… The stock market pattern in 2008-9 has so far been a mirror image of the crash of 1929-30 with a halving of prices from the autumn followed by a 25 per cent rally from March lows. In April 1930 stocks moved sideways and then they crashed another 50 per cent into the summer. What possible reason is there for optimism to believe that history will not repeat itself? Government stimulus packages have more than likely been too small and too late to prevent another down leg in stocks, and will take time to revive the real economy, if indeed they can do so. They might just stop the worst possible scenario but are they going to prevent the plunge downwards? Governments have not managed it so far.
Consumers and unemployment
…It will take more than weasel words from US bankers and ‘green shoots’ in the waffle of President Obama to put things right. Eventually global stock markets will reach a bottom but they are not close to having visited it just yet. Wall Street and its friends are playing investors as suckers but they are in danger of overdoing it. For once these guys are impoverished where will the next bunch of fools come from? Goldman Sachs' (GS) results this week might well mark the top of the rally, beyond that the only way is down.

Industrial production down –13%, most since WW2. The wall street frauds celebrate increase real estate sales…on increased foreclosures…riiiiight! U.S. foreclosure filings jump as moratoriums end     US foreclosures up 24 percent in 1st quarter      Jim Rogers Says Investors Should Expect More Bottoms  Still not one prosecution as new churn and earn fraud/bubble begins with taxpayer bailout funds (old reliable foggy/sell the sizzle tech sector now the wall street frauds’ refuge-remember the dot com bust, etc.).  BULL S**T STORIES FOISTED AS B.S. TALKING POINTS FOR CONTINUING FRAUD/SPIKE IN STOCK PRICES FOR CHURN AND EARN COMMISSIONING: WELLS FARGO RECEIVED $25 BILLION TAXPAYER MONEY/BAILOUT FUNDS AND SHOWS (RECORD FOR THEM?) $3 BILLION QUARTERLY PROFIT- GOLDMAN RECEIVED $10 BILLION PLUS UNDISCLOSED FED/ ULTIMATELY TAXPAYER MONEY AND REPORTS QUARTERLY  $1.8 BILLION PROFIT  -   MORGAN CHASE RECEIVED $25 BILLION AND REPORTS QUARTERLY  $2+ BILLION PROFIT – CITI RECEIVED $25 BILLION AND REPORTS QUARTERLY  $1 BILLION LOSS -  BANK OF AMERICA RECEIVED $45 BILLION AND REPORTS QUARTERLY  $3+ BILLION PROFIT AND SETS ASIDE $13 BILLION FOR LOAN LOSS RESERVES – MORGAN STANLEY RECEIVED $10 BILLION AND REPORTS QUARTERLY  $1 BILLION LOSS - DO THE MATH (FIRST GRADE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL KIDS COULD DO AS WELL, AND FOR FAR LESS PAY) - AT THAT RATE, TAXPAYERS WILL SOON HAVE NOTHING LEFT FOR THEM TO TAX! WHAT FRAUDS! The Great Geithner Coverup      WHAT TOTAL BULL S**T!  …[The upshot is that the fraud continues in churn-and-earn fashion with investors, taxpayer, etc., getting burned for the sake of wall street greed/fraud. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc. - Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.].   U.S. Treasury asking banks keep quiet on stress tests      New unemployment claims at high 654,000 praised as positive number… riiiiight! …as continuing unemployment claims at record 5.84 million (real numbers even worse). Economy so bad that consumers can’t buy goods so trade deficit shrank but this is a structural defect in u.s. economy so not good news and consistent with bad news of still plunging retail sector. Najarian points out that wall street always a circus, consolidation, robbing peter to pay paul, take profits; while economist cite Reich that we’re in depression and government as in land of fruits and nuts out of control. Earnings revised downward for first quarter –36.5%, more weakness, more unemployment, inflation to come on fast says Hogan, and insurance companies now que up at corporate welfare/taxpayer bailout lines. In positing (suckers’) bear market rally and advocating hold cash/sell stocks Hillary Kramer points to the preposterous on wall street where bad news greated as good vis-ŕ-vis stocks (they call what wall street does ‘fraud’…in a rational world where they would already be in jail).  Madman Cramer – the ultimate contrarian indicator - CRAMER'S CALL: ANOTHER RALLY TOP INDICATOR Greg Feirman   Wow, the bulls are really feeling good. “Wells Fargo Carries The Day” and the S&P and Dow closed at 2 months high and the Nasdaq is near its highs for the year. On Mad Money this evening, Cramer went so far as to call “a turn in the economy”, saying “the facts have changed”, “the situation has clearly improved” and “things are getting better”. This isn’t the first time Cramer has called a bottom and he’s been wrong before (For example, see “Cramer Declares The End Of The Bear Market” , Top Gun FP, July 31, 2008). The market topped out a couple weeks later. On Monday October 6, Cramer went on the today show and told people to sell any stock money they might need in the next five years. The market bottomed that Friday. It could run another couple weeks but this rally is running thin. Methinks me smells a top…..   Rational View Courtesy of ETF.COM: ‘…Due to our expectations of continued weakness in the financial sector, the looming deterioration of commercial real estate, the credit markets tepid backing of the equity rally, and the still very shaky and highly volatile global economy, it's our view at ETFdesk.com the recent run-up in stocks is unwarranted and presents an overly optimistic view of the months ahead. We believe investors should consider taking short term profits or use the recent run to reduce equity exposure they are weary of. We also believe investment grade debt (NYSEArca: LQD - News) represents an opportunity for investors seeking beaten down prices without the downside volatility of equities…

THE FOLLOWING AT LEAST TO PREVIOUS (7-6-09) IS MUST READ:

SELLER

 

April 17 (Bloomberg) -- David Tice, the chief portfolio strategist for bear markets at Federated Investors Inc., said the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index will probably plunge about 62 percent. He spoke during a Bloomberg Television interview today. The Federated Prudent Bear Fund that he founded returned 6.7 percent last year as the S&P 500 plunged 38 percent, the most since 1937. Tice said the benchmark index for U.S. stocks may slump to about 325. It closed today at 865.30. The measure has surged 28 percent since March 9, the most in five weeks since the 1930s.

SUCKER'S RALLY APPROACHING AN END by Peter Cooper: Whatever the technical reason for the 25 percent rise in the S&P over the past five weeks, or a more modest eight percent bounce in GCC regional stock prices, the absurdness of this sucker’s rally ought to be obvious to all. Unemployment is still rising, house prices are still falling, and the fundamentals of bank balance sheets are still deteriorating with total bad debts unknown except that we know they must be getting worse. Global trade fell off a cliff in the first quarter of the year. Even Mercedes car sales to the oil rich of the GCC fell 23 per cent. The collapse of the world’s second largest economy, Japan, has been unprecedented.
Bad news coming
… The stock market pattern in 2008-9 has so far been a mirror image of the crash of 1929-30 with a halving of prices from the autumn followed by a 25 per cent rally from March lows. In April 1930 stocks moved sideways and then they crashed another 50 per cent into the summer. What possible reason is there for optimism to believe that history will not repeat itself? Government stimulus packages have more than likely been too small and too late to prevent another down leg in stocks, and will take time to revive the real economy, if indeed they can do so. They might just stop the worst possible scenario but are they going to prevent the plunge downwards? Governments have not managed it so far.
Consumers and unemployment
…It will take more than weasel words from US bankers and ‘green shoots’ in the waffle of President Obama to put things right. Eventually global stock markets will reach a bottom but they are not close to having visited it just yet. Wall Street and its friends are playing investors as suckers but they are in danger of overdoing it. For once these guys are impoverished where will the next bunch of fools come from? Goldman Sachs' (GS) results this week might well mark the top of the rally, beyond that the only way is down.

Madman Cramer – the ultimate contrarian indicator - CRAMER'S CALL: ANOTHER RALLY TOP INDICATOR Greg Feirman   Wow, the bulls are really feeling good. “Wells Fargo Carries The Day” and the S&P and Dow closed at 2 months high and the Nasdaq is near its highs for the year. On Mad Money this evening, Cramer went so far as to call “a turn in the economy”, saying “the facts have changed”, “the situation has clearly improved” and “things are getting better”. This isn’t the first time Cramer has called a bottom and he’s been wrong before (For example, see “Cramer Declares The End Of The Bear Market” , Top Gun FP, July 31, 2008). The market topped out a couple weeks later. On Monday October 6, Cramer went on the today show and told people to sell any stock money they might need in the next five years. The market bottomed that Friday. It could run another couple weeks but this rally is running thin. Methinks me smells a top…..

Rational View Courtesy of ETF.COM: ‘…Due to our expectations of continued weakness in the financial sector, the looming deterioration of commercial real estate, the credit markets tepid backing of the equity rally, and the still very shaky and highly volatile global economy, it's our view at ETFdesk.com the recent run-up in stocks is unwarranted and presents an overly optimistic view of the months ahead. We believe investors should consider taking short term profits or use the recent run to reduce equity exposure they are weary of. We also believe investment grade debt (NYSEArca: LQD - News) represents an opportunity for investors seeking beaten down prices without the downside volatility of equities…’

Art Hogan recently summed up choosing stocks in this environment thusly: ‘pick the best-looking horse at the glue factory’…..I think he was as a courtesy to his industry overly generous. The administration pitches hardballs to the auto industry while continuing to pitch powder puffs to the wall street frauds who have perpetrated the largest (securities) fraud in recorded history, turning a cyclical downturn into what is now unavoidably depression, putting beleagered taxpayers in the unfathomable position of funders/guarantors of the scam/fraud in bailing out the perpetrators of the crimes (bush’s infamous base) who have financially benefited enormously (fees, commissions, spreads, points, salaries, expenses, bonuses, etc.) from their fraud/crimes. Still not even one prosecution from this administration even though disgorgement, the legal remedy among other criminal penalties, would aid the defacto bankrupt u.s. treasury!
ON WHETHER BEN BERNANKE HAS REDEEMED HIMSELF AND WHAT THAT MEANS FOR STOCKS:

I do not think so. On the contrary, I think what the government is doing and its economic "dream team" under Mr. Bernanke and Mr. Geithner and Mr. Summers are going to be, from a longer term point of view, rather negative.
But, you understand, we can all sit here and say it will all end in disaster. That I'm sure. But, in the meantime, we can have big moves in markets.

On the new bad assets purchase plan:

I think he's doing the politically expedient thing from a very short term perspective. If you have cracks in your walls and just put paint on it, it will hide them and then you sell your house. But it won't solve the problems of the cracks - it's the next owner and these are the children of the current taxpayer who will pay for it.  Marc Faber: 'It Will All End in Disaster'    

China calls for new global currency (AP)    Why Goldman Sachs Should Return Its TARP Money (at Seeking Alpha)    Marc Faber: 'It Will All End in Disaster'    Congresswoman presses Geithner on connections to Goldman Sachs    Gerald Celente Predicts Economic Armageddon by 2012     Geithner Plan Will Rob US Taxpayers: Stiglitz

It bears repeating, so preposterous was 3-23-09 Pavlov dogs rally [conditioning to associate what’s good for fraudulent wall street, viz., privatizing profits – still not one prosecution for what now is the largest fraud/scam/swindle in the history of this planet – and socializing the losses, is somehow positive for america/the economy by the magnitude of this suckers’ bear market rally and prior market manipulations] when the same created the instant crisis in the first instance (don’t worry about the frauds on wall street, they’ll get their commissions again on the way down as they did in creating this financial debacle/fraud as they clamor for more taxpayer/treasury money).  They’re still printing/creating those worthless Weimar dollars like mad, China Urges New Money Reserve to Replace Dollar ,don’t know what they’re doing, are clueless, and disingenuously seek to divert attention from the missing/stolen/bilked $14 trillion of taxpayer money with the subterfuge of outrage over the relatively miniscule though not unimportant million dollar bonuses (AIG, etc.), so-called fixes/plans, etc., so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  What the Pros Say: US Is Now ‘Bankrupt’   US is Already Bankrupt: Analyst   U.S. Budget Office offers darker economic and deficit outlook      The Geithner-Summers-Bernanke Plan to Prop Up Asset Prices Has Failed    U.N. panel says world should ditch dollar     

Fierman: How quickly things change…..
Some stats from today’s rally:
S&P: +54 (7.1%) to 823
Dow: +497 (+6.8%) to 7776
NYSE Up Volume: 1,866,836,012
NYSE Down Volume: 44,683,760
NYSE Total Volume: 1,914,836,622
It was just 2 weeks ago (March 9th) that the S&P closed at 12-year lows and the stock market felt like it was forecasting the end of the world. We’ve now rallied 22% in 2 weeks! But if we look at the catalysts for this rally, they really don’t seem to justify such an explosive move. Citi said they were profitable in the first two months of the year and JP Morgan (JPM) and Bank of America (BAC) said they were too. The Fed initiated some serious quantitative easing. And now Geithner’s toxic asset plan this morning. I agree with the Capital Spectator when he wrote this morning:

We’re skeptical largely because the rally this month has drawn power primarily from a new round of hope that Washington’s various experiments to right the economy will finally hit pay dirt. Perhaps, but it’s not the stuff that powers sustainable rallies, much less secular bull markets. We’re Sellers of This Rally!

Lawrence York

‘Treasury Secretary Geithner has released his plan to mop-up the toxic assets held by banks that threaten their solvency and the global financial system. Accordingly, the plan purposes that private equity firms partner with the Fed to purchase bank assets at some discount set by the private firms at auction. Then the Fed will leverage the purchase six-fold to buy more bank assets and assume all the risk of leverage. In other words, private firms will set the price and then put up half the initial purchase price. The Fed will then put up non-recourse loans to purchase six times more debt at the same price to be owned by the joint venture partners. If the deal works private equity splits the booty equally. If the deal fails, the government loses upwards to six times taxpayer's money and private equity loses only its original equity match equal to 1/6 the total loss.

Flabergasted? Don't be. How often can you cut a deal where you get to set the price and your partner puts in six times your money and you split the profit. IF THESE DEAL TERMS DON'T UNDERSCORE WHY THE GOVERNMENT SHOULD NOT HANDLE YOUR MONEY AND WHY THE GOVERNMENT SHOULD STAY OUT OF BUSINESS, WHAT DOES? Other deal terms are that the Fed will designate the private equity players, at least initially. Could it be that the Fed is creating another pass-through mechanism to simultaneously bail out or reward its friends? If so, look for Goldman Sachs (GS), Merrill, Blackstone (BX), Carlye Group, Texas Pacific Group, and perhaps Bear Stearns to be players. Look also for the typical MOS of some Structured Investment Vehicle, not much different from the Maiden Lane III SIV, to backstop or divert money where it needs to be--by gratuitous selection that is. Oh, and never mind that Private Equity may be joined by the Libyan Investment Authority (LIA and Private Equity article by Financial Times) as Private Equity at present is having a bit of a liquidity crunch with their own deflated, illiquid assets. In short, the Geithner Toxic Asset Plan is just another bank bailout and footnote to this era of 'Dark Capitalism" where profits are reaped and losses socialized in an ever transparent way.’

Trevisani: ’…The beginning of quantitative easing calls all three ideas in question; it increases the supply of dollars effectively lowering US interest rates well below Europe’s; the need for such an unprecedented step undermines the hope for a US recovery; and a devaluing dollar cannot be a safe haven. Add the projected Federal deficits and the dollar begins to look very vulnerable. If the Europeans go down the same quantitative road then the dollar’s disabilities may be matched by the euro’s. But if they are not, then the Bernanke dollar call may not be an option to buy but a call to sell…’ China and most of the financial world outside the u.s. agrees with the latter. China Urges New Money Reserve to Replace Dollar              Kremlin to Pitch New Currency...   

 

EMBRACE THE BEAR By Rev Shark There is an old saying that in a bear market, we slide down the slope of hope. Unfortunately, we have seen plenty of good examples of how that works over the past year. We have had dozens of new initiatives to try to bolster the economy that create hope for a few days. The market will get excited and we'll have some big point gains, but then doubts begin to surface about how easily it will be to turn this economic supertanker that is going over a waterfall. The buying stalls out, a few dip-buying attempts are made, but eventually we break support levels and more downside ensues. That is classic bear market action but the standard Wall Street reaction is to not accept it…[The upshot is that the fraud continues in churn-and-earn fashion with investors, taxpayer, etc., getting burned for the sake of wall street greed/fraud. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc. - Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion] INVESTORS …..FOOLED (at least today) By Rev Shark …..realization that economic stimulus isn't going to be nearly as simple or easy (or effective) as it sounds. We aren't going to spend our way out of this economic spiral …We'd probably be better off if the government did less rather than more. The great likelihood is that the unintended consequences we suffer will prolong the whole cycle. We have to let some bad businesses and financial institutions fail…

 


HERE’S THE REAL DEAL:
    SUMMARY/RECAP OF LORIMER WILSON 3-17-09 ANALYSES/REVIEW
Harry Dent, Jr.
Economy will be in a Depression by 2011
The worst of this next depression is likely to hit between mid-2010 and mid-2013, especially around early 2011, but if the banking system continues to implode a deep downturn or depression could begin sometime in 2009 instead of 2010.
Dow will Fall to 3,800 – 4,500 by 2012
Nasdaq will Fall Below 1,100, its 2002 low, by late 2010 or mid-2012 at the latest.
Inflation will Increase until mid- 2010 and then turn to Deflation
Interest Rates will Increase
U.S. Dollar will Decline
Housing will Decline by 40 – 60% from Today’s Levels
Greatest Economic and Banking Crisis since the 1930s will Occur Between 2010 and 2012

Russell Napier is the author of the book “Anatomy of the Bear”, a professor at the Edinburgh Business School and a consultant to CLSA Ltd. which is one of the top research houses in Asia. Napier’s research indicates (and I paraphrase) that:
The S&P 500 will Decline to 400 by 2014 (the Dow 30 to 3800)
The S&P 500 will then undergo a major crash that will see U.S. equity prices bottom at almost 50% below current levels (i.e. to 400 or less; the Dow 30 to 3800 or less) sometime around 2014 as Tobin’s “q” drops to 0.3 signaling the end of the bear market, as it has done at the end of the four largest U.S. market declines in 1921, 1932, 1949 and 1982.
U.S. Treasury Sales Could Collapse Leading to End of U.S. Dollar as Reserve Currency

Robert R. Prechter Jr. is author of a number of newsletters and books including “Elliott Wave Principle” (1978) in which he predicted the super bull market of the 1980s; “At the Crest of the Tidal Wave – A Forecast of the Great Bear Market” (1995) in which he predicted a slow motion economic earthquake, brought about by a great asset mania, that would register 11 on the financial Richter scale causing a collapse of historic proportions; and “Conquer the Crash: You can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression” (2002) in which he described the economic cataclysm that we are just beginning to experience and advised how to position one’s self financially during that period of time.
Depression is Imminent
The Dow Jones Industrial Average will go down to at least 1000, most likely to below 777 which was the starting point of its mania back in August 1982, and quite likely drop below 400 at one or more times during the bear market.

   Regulator: Before Banks Collapsed, They Pleaded With Feds To Let Them Fudge Their Books Ryan Grim | Before financial institutions collapsed, they went to the Financial Accounting Standards Board, pleading for a change in mark-to-market accounting rules so that they can continue to appear to be solvent on their balance sheets and hence, continue to defraud the public as they are now once again trying to do. This says it all!  Will FASB remain viable by resisting fudge/fraud  factor.  Suckers’ bear market rally   ( Citigroup Inspired Bear Market Suckers’ Rally  ) to keep the suckers suckered and commission dollars flowing to the frauds on wall street

 

Why we think this is a (suckers’) bear market rally:

Citing 13 reasons that the bear will continue in spite of this rally seems appropriate.

1. Current P/E: the current 20+ P/E on trailing “as reported earnings” is too high for this set of negative sales, earnings and dividends growth conditions.

2. Forward P/E: the projected 2010 S&P 500 earnings by Standard and Poor’s at about $40 would only support 800 at best (20 P/E), and more likely would support 600 (15 P/E), assuming there was a general recovery under way — before that time, the current market should sell for less than 800, and perhaps less than 600.

3. Earnings: profits are still declining in the aggregate

4. Dividend Yield: banks and other companies continue to cut dividends, reducing stock appeal and putting total return in question until dividends stabilize and begin to grow (historically dividends generated about 1/3 of total return for the S&P 500)

5. Revenue: overall sales are down — declining sales, earnings and dividends are not reasons for bullish markets.

6. World GDP Growth: credible parties (Goldman Sachs, IMF, and noteworthy individuals, such as Nouriel Roubini, predict worsening global economies) — until forecasts for improvements within 12 months or less for the US or world economies become prevalent, the market is unlikely to “anticipate” with a sustainable trend reversal to a bull

7. Government Intervention: the US and global economies are currently highly government policy dependent, and while policies are becoming more clear, they are not all revealed, and there are suggestions more may be needed — the resulting uncertainty warrants low valuation until government policies to “save” and “stimulate” economies are no longer the centerpiece of investor hopes and earnings prospects

8. Real Estate: the US and global real estate asset deflation continues with waves of negative impact on household and institutional wealth — until property prices stabilize, or are believed to be about to stabilize, a new bull market will have difficulty gaining traction.

9. Other Bank Shoes to Drop: the major banks have not yet experienced likely future write-downs associated with non-mortgage asset types, such as credit cards and auto loans.

10. Auto Industry: the fate of GM, Chrysler and the entire supply chain is uncertain with unknown government involvement.

11. LBOs: private equity firms built on leverage may not be able to continue to service and rollover the debt they used to make recent optimistic acquisitions — those debts could be a further burden on the financial sector.

12. Retirees and Pre-Retirees: the 55 and over crowd who control the largest portion of US private assets are not as likely to risk their life accumulations in stocks relative to bonds as they were in the boom times of the last couple of decades — that will delay the onset of a bull and subdue the extent of a bull when it occurs

13. Credit Availability: the credit and leverage availability that helped the US stock market recover from the 2002-2003 bottom is not available at this time to increase household expenditures and corporate capital investment — even the US government may be put on credit rationing by China, which today said it is “worried” about the credit quality of their US Treasury holdings, which has implications about their willingness to support the borrowing our “stimulus” programs require and assume to be available.     By Richard Shaw

 

 

Analyst Andre Egleshion points to continuing effect of credit default swaps and pegs the amount of the worthless, fraudulent (previously sold, commissioned, repackaged, resold, re-commissioned, etc.) securities at $600-$675 TRILLION, their continued effect on money pit AIG, that fed’s received $11.7 trillion since 2008 yet refuses transparency as to where funds spent, who received same, etc., agrees with comment that shockingly no prosecutions yet,  economy re-tooling, need for stiffer regulation, points to historical fact that fiat currencies and private central banks have consistently failed, sees hyperinflation with dollar weakness (printed/created like mad) and higher oil. Hopes for funny assets [in addition to funny money, other fraud, relaxation of rules/laws/enforcement (real asset values) (remember the exemption from RICO garnered by fraudulent wall street-those campaign contributions really pay off, etc.) ], spur suckers’ bear market short-covering rally  to keep the suckers suckered and commission dollars flowing to the frauds on wall street so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  NOW LISTEN HERE, FOR THIS IS TRUTH!: There is not enough money in the entire world to cover the fraudulent securities foisted/commissioned/ distributed/sold by the wall street frauds/perpetrators which if assumed/guaranteed by the u.s. government (don’t forget that social security/medicare are already technically insolvent/bankrupt - all monies/reserves going into the general account and already and continually spent) will only guaranty the insolvency of / worthlessness of the currency of the u.s. treasury. Cost to buy protection against U.S. government default surges   Frank just said that he wants to prosecute those who’ve caused this crisis…waxman was supposedly doing just that in part  (fog of war fraud-360 tons of $100 dollar bills stolen), etc…. If they don’t do this as said, among others, they should be forced resign as complicit. THERE IS NO MYSTERY HERE; HENCE, NONE SHOULD BE AFRAID TO LOOK, PROSECUTE, AND FORCE DISGORGEMENT!    Celente: U.S. Has Entered “The Greatest Depression”  …‘… Watch for fake reports and continued jawboning/spin/b.s. regarding bailout/stimulus as they are desperate yet remain protective of the criminals who caused the crisis with their fraud in staggering amounts far beyond the substantial scam by madoff ($50 billion) who now audaciously from his $7 million NYC penthouse seeks ownership of same along with $62 million (only in systemically fraudulent america). Why are they not seeking disgorgement from the criminals who benefited from the huge multi-trillion dollar fraud they perpetrated? No one yet has asked tiny tim geithner where the missing $4 trillion at the fed is…Why? Then there’s the $2 trillion in taxpayer money, the destination of which the fed refuses disclosure of…Fed Hides Destination Of $2 Trillion In Bailout Money  …Why? How? This is criminal activity of monumental proportion, yet protected by the bureaucratic complicit frauds (I’ve experienced this directly in my RICO case), damaging lives here and abroad.  Then there’s also the illegal wars, war-profiteering, war crimes, etc., that have bankrupted this nation, killed many innocents, etc., [remember, ie., the 360 tons of hundred dollar bills flown into Iraq that democrats/land of fruits and nuts henry waxman (doesn’t he look like a hedgehog or some other rodent) the lying fraud talked endlessly about while republicans were at the helm, yet nothing…no prosecutions…the frauds who stole that money should put same in the failed ‘stimulus fraud pot’…at the least, etc.].   An analyst previously said 2011-2014 earliest for bottoming at best. Another analyst previously pointed out there has been not one prosecution thus far and the frauds on wall street should be prosecuted and forced disgorgement. …[The upshot is that the fraud continues in churn-and-earn fashion with investors, taxpayer, etc., getting burned for the sake of wall street greed/fraud. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc. - Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.]. Analyst Frank Cochrane looks ahead to 4,000 to 6,000 on the DOW, 700 to 900 on the NASDAQ, and 425 to 625 on the S&P, and says spending/stimulus programs will not work, a point on which he is correct and the low end of his ranges closer to realityNot Just a Few Bad Apples - Corruption is Systemic in America  In case you believe that there are only “a couple of bad apples” in the United States, here is an off-the-top-of-his-head (I could give many, many more including my RICO case) list of corruption by leading pillars of american society. 

HOW MANY TIMES CAN THE WALL STREET FRAUDS, WITH CYCLICAL REGULARITY, DO THE SAME OR SIMILAR FRAUD WITH IMPUNITY (STILL NOT ONE PROSECUTION IN THE MOST RECENT  MASSIVE SECURITIES FRAUD, BUT PLENTY OF OBFUSCATION EMANATING FROM THE PERPETRATORS AS WELL AS THOSE WHO SHOULD BE PROSECUTING /PURSUING THEM) NOW REFLATING THE STOCK MARKET BUBBLE BASED UPON NOTHING AT ALL (BAD NEWS,FRAUD AND BULL S**T), CHANGING ACCOUNTING RULES TO FACILITATE THE COMMISSIONABLE BUBBLE FROM WHICH THE SOURCE OF FUNDS TO EVEN PAY BACK LOANS TO AVOID SCRUTINY OF THEIR NEW FRAUD IS GENERATED [SAVINGS AND LOAN DEBACLE, DOT.COM SELL THE SIZZLE BUST /DEBACLE, RECYCLED /REPACKAGED /RESOLD /RECOMMISSIONED WORTHLESS COLLATERALIZED SECURITIES /PAPER (IN THE TRILLIONS YET STILL NOT ADDRESSED), ETC., THE FRAUDS ARE GETTING LARGER, HENCE THE RIDICULOUS TOO BIG TO FAIL MANTRA … HOW PATHETIC! … THAT MONEY HAS TO COME FROM SOMEPLACE, IE., PRINTING, CREATING, YOUR POCKETS, … NOT OUT OF THIN AIR! ]

PREVIOUS 7-6,2-09, PREPOSTEROUS WAS THIS SURGE IN THE LAST 20 MINUTES INTO THE CLOSE FOR SECULAR BEAR MARKET SUCKERS’ RALLY PROGRAMMED TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [ Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years  ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [  Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)     [$$] Big Pay Packages Return to Wall Street as new fraud gains steam (at The Wall Street Journal Online)    ] BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...    America’s Effective Unemployment Rate at 18.7%?     US loses 467,000 jobs, unemployment at 9.5%       'We're in the Middle of a Crash': Black Swan...    (7-2)Seven more banks fail, bringing 2009 tally to more than double all of 2008 at a total thus far of 52; Private sector sheds another 473,000 jobs in June...    US lurching towards ‘debt explosion’ with long-term interest rates on course to double         Jim Rogers Sells Dollars, Plans to Short Treasuries               ‘Sucker’s Rally Beginning To Unwind’ daaaah…?    Calls grow to supplant dollar as global currency     China officials call for displacing dollar, in time       Tracking Two Depressions, 1929 and now this            HOW MANY TIMES CAN THE WALL STREET FRAUDS, WITH CYCLICAL REGULARITY, DO THE SAME OR SIMILAR FRAUD WITH IMPUNITY (STILL NOT ONE PROSECUTION IN THE MOST RECENT  MASSIVE SECURITIES FRAUD, BUT PLENTY OF OBFUSCATION EMANATING FROM THE PERPETRATORS AS WELL AS THOSE WHO SHOULD BE PROSECUTING /PURSUING THEM) NOW REFLATING THE STOCK MARKET BUBBLE BASED UPON NOTHING AT ALL (BAD NEWS,FRAUD AND BULL S**T), CHANGING ACCOUNTING RULES TO FACILITATE THE COMMISSIONABLE BUBBLE FROM WHICH THE SOURCE OF FUNDS TO EVEN PAY BACK LOANS TO AVOID SCRUTINY OF THEIR NEW FRAUD IS GENERATED [SAVINGS AND LOAN DEBACLE, DOT.COM SELL THE SIZZLE BUST /DEBACLE, RECYCLED /REPACKAGED /RESOLD /RECOMMISSIONED WORTHLESS COLLATERALIZED SECURITIES /PAPER (IN THE TRILLIONS YET STILL NOT ADDRESSED), ETC., THE FRAUDS ARE GETTING LARGER, HENCE THE RIDICULOUS TOO BIG TO FAIL MANTRA … HOW PATHETIC! … THAT MONEY HAS TO COME FROM SOMEPLACE, IE., PRINTING, CREATING, YOUR POCKETS, … NOT OUT OF THIN AIR! ] TYPICAL END OF QUARTER FRAUD/WINDOW DRESSING TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [ Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years  ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [  Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)  ] BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY... , personal income up modest .2% and spending down, China calls for new reserve currency to supplant worthless dollar  Dollar And Stocks Drop As China Calls For New Global Currency   , continuing unemployment claims at or near record 627,000, weekly unemployment claims up 15,000, and GDP contraction –5.5%, all worse than expected (lennar wider than expected quarterly loss rallies stock…riiiiight!) Jobless claims rise; GDP dips in 1Q  ; soothing words/b.s. from fed which previously predicted no recession that economy still contracting but that the contraction is somewhat slowing…what b**l s**t!…, analysts- buffet/economy in shambles, Hogan/negative GDP growth and inflation owing to debasement of the dollar as well as deficit spending/pump-priming in the trillions, joker stein/economy a mess and continued job losses, new home sales down .6%;   U.S. Home Prices Drop 6.8 Percent in April as Foreclosures Rise       foreclosure sales up 2.4%, prices down 17% year over year,    [$$] Market Suffers Some Technical Damage         Stocks tumble on bleak outlook for world economy           U.S. regulators close their 40th bank of the year  ,   Next Major Move In Stock Market Will Be Down     world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better, market got ahead of itself, stalled out, still depression/more job losses, higher oil-gas prices / higher interest rates / heavy debt to pare down is 1-3 year drag on economy, even if believed (I don’t) the labor dept. far better than expected job numbers by increased debt (spending) to produce same is not economically sound or sustainable, viz., record spending with record low revenues, rating cuts for bank sector, analysts concur in significant 5-15% (reality says 15-25%) pullback/correction for stocks , institutional selling,  industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories, empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...   ,  world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better,  leading indicators up far more than expected … bull s**t …based in large part on inflated stock price component … more bull s**t … new reform with same old frauds say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets  Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years    BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...       foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

PREVIOUS 7-1-09, SELL / TAKE ANY PROFITS IN THIS SECULAR BEAR MARKET SUCKERS’ RALLY PROGRAMMED TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [ Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years  ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [  Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)     [$$] Big Pay Packages Return to Wall Street as new fraud gains steam (at The Wall Street Journal Online)    ] BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...    Job losses / job concerns realistically weigh on confidence, real estate values/prices continue downward trend as per Case / Shiller Index (-18.1%, -21% in california)    Gerald Celente speaks on Cap and Trade and other handicaps to the US economy       HOW MANY TIMES CAN THE WALL STREET FRAUDS, WITH CYCLICAL REGULARITY, DO THE SAME OR SIMILAR FRAUD WITH IMPUNITY (STILL NOT ONE PROSECUTION IN THE MOST RECENT  MASSIVE SECURITIES FRAUD, BUT PLENTY OF OBFUSCATION EMANATING FROM THE PERPETRATORS AS WELL AS THOSE WHO SHOULD BE PROSECUTING /PURSUING THEM) NOW REFLATING THE STOCK MARKET BUBBLE BASED UPON NOTHING AT ALL (BAD NEWS,FRAUD AND BULL S**T), CHANGING ACCOUNTING RULES TO FACILITATE THE COMMISSIONABLE BUBBLE FROM WHICH THE SOURCE OF FUNDS TO EVEN PAY BACK LOANS TO AVOID SCRUTINY OF THEIR NEW FRAUD IS GENERATED [SAVINGS AND LOAN DEBACLE, DOT.COM SELL THE SIZZLE BUST /DEBACLE, RECYCLED /REPACKAGED /RESOLD /RECOMMISSIONED WORTHLESS COLLATERALIZED SECURITIES /PAPER (IN THE TRILLIONS YET STILL NOT ADDRESSED), ETC., THE FRAUDS ARE GETTING LARGER, HENCE THE RIDICULOUS TOO BIG TO FAIL MANTRA … HOW PATHETIC! … THAT MONEY HAS TO COME FROM SOMEPLACE, IE., PRINTING, CREATING, YOUR POCKETS, … NOT OUT OF THIN AIR! ] TYPICAL END OF QUARTER FRAUD/WINDOW DRESSING TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [ Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years  ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [  Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)  ] BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY... , personal income up modest .2% and spending down, China calls for new reserve currency to supplant worthless dollar  Dollar And Stocks Drop As China Calls For New Global Currency   , continuing unemployment claims at or near record 627,000, weekly unemployment claims up 15,000, and GDP contraction –5.5%, all worse than expected (lennar wider than expected quarterly loss rallies stock…riiiiight!) Jobless claims rise; GDP dips in 1Q  ; soothing words/b.s. from fed which previously predicted no recession that economy still contracting but that the contraction is somewhat slowing…what b**l s**t!…, analysts- buffet/economy in shambles, Hogan/negative GDP growth and inflation owing to debasement of the dollar as well as deficit spending/pump-priming in the trillions, joker stein/economy a mess and continued job losses, new home sales down .6%;   U.S. Home Prices Drop 6.8 Percent in April as Foreclosures Rise       foreclosure sales up 2.4%, prices down 17% year over year,    [$$] Market Suffers Some Technical Damage         Stocks tumble on bleak outlook for world economy           U.S. regulators close their 40th bank of the year  ,   Next Major Move In Stock Market Will Be Down     world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better, market got ahead of itself, stalled out, still depression/more job losses, higher oil-gas prices / higher interest rates / heavy debt to pare down is 1-3 year drag on economy, even if believed (I don’t) the labor dept. far better than expected job numbers by increased debt (spending) to produce same is not economically sound or sustainable, viz., record spending with record low revenues, rating cuts for bank sector, analysts concur in significant 5-15% (reality says 15-25%) pullback/correction for stocks , institutional selling,  industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories, empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...   ,  world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better,  leading indicators up far more than expected … bull s**t …based in large part on inflated stock price component … more bull s**t … new reform with same old frauds say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets  Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years    BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...       foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

PREVIOUS 7-1-09, 6-30-09,  SECULAR BEAR MARKET SUCKERS’ RALLY TO END WELL OFF SESSION LOWS  TYPICAL END OF QUARTER FRAUD/WINDOW DRESSING TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED Job losses / job concerns realistically weigh on confidence, real estate values/prices continue downward trend as per Case / Shiller Index (-18.1%, -21% in california)    Consumer confidence suffers steep fall...     Home prices post 18% annual drop...    Worldwide Depression: Review of Global Markets       . Four banks fail, bringing 2009 tally to 19 more than all of 2008 at a total thus far of 44       Dollar Falls Most in Month as China Urges New Reserve Currency      Gerald Celente speaks on Cap and Trade and other handicaps to the US economy       HOW MANY TIMES CAN THE WALL STREET FRAUDS, WITH CYCLICAL REGULARITY, DO THE SAME OR SIMILAR FRAUD WITH IMPUNITY (STILL NOT ONE PROSECUTION IN THE MOST RECENT  MASSIVE SECURITIES FRAUD, BUT PLENTY OF OBFUSCATION EMANATING FROM THE PERPETRATORS AS WELL AS THOSE WHO SHOULD BE PROSECUTING /PURSUING THEM) NOW REFLATING THE STOCK MARKET BUBBLE BASED UPON NOTHING AT ALL (BAD NEWS,FRAUD AND BULL S**T), CHANGING ACCOUNTING RULES TO FACILITATE THE COMMISSIONABLE BUBBLE FROM WHICH THE SOURCE OF FUNDS TO EVEN PAY BACK LOANS TO AVOID SCRUTINY OF THEIR NEW FRAUD IS GENERATED [SAVINGS AND LOAN DEBACLE, DOT.COM SELL THE SIZZLE BUST /DEBACLE, RECYCLED /REPACKAGED /RESOLD /RECOMMISSIONED WORTHLESS COLLATERALIZED SECURITIES /PAPER (IN THE TRILLIONS YET STILL NOT ADDRESSED), ETC., THE FRAUDS ARE GETTING LARGER, HENCE THE RIDICULOUS TOO BIG TO FAIL MANTRA … HOW PATHETIC! … THAT MONEY HAS TO COME FROM SOMEPLACE, IE., PRINTING, CREATING, YOUR POCKETS, … NOT OUT OF THIN AIR! ] TYPICAL END OF QUARTER FRAUD/WINDOW DRESSING TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [ Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years  ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [  Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)  ] BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY... , personal income up modest .2% and spending down, China calls for new reserve currency to supplant worthless dollar  Dollar And Stocks Drop As China Calls For New Global Currency   , continuing unemployment claims at or near record 627,000, weekly unemployment claims up 15,000, and GDP contraction –5.5%, all worse than expected (lennar wider than expected quarterly loss rallies stock…riiiiight!) Jobless claims rise; GDP dips in 1Q  ; soothing words/b.s. from fed which previously predicted no recession that economy still contracting but that the contraction is somewhat slowing…what b**l s**t!…, analysts- buffet/economy in shambles, Hogan/negative GDP growth and inflation owing to debasement of the dollar as well as deficit spending/pump-priming in the trillions, joker stein/economy a mess and continued job losses, new home sales down .6%;   U.S. Home Prices Drop 6.8 Percent in April as Foreclosures Rise       foreclosure sales up 2.4%, prices down 17% year over year,    [$$] Market Suffers Some Technical Damage         Stocks tumble on bleak outlook for world economy           U.S. regulators close their 40th bank of the year  ,   Next Major Move In Stock Market Will Be Down     world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better, market got ahead of itself, stalled out, still depression/more job losses, higher oil-gas prices / higher interest rates / heavy debt to pare down is 1-3 year drag on economy, even if believed (I don’t) the labor dept. far better than expected job numbers by increased debt (spending) to produce same is not economically sound or sustainable, viz., record spending with record low revenues, rating cuts for bank sector, analysts concur in significant 5-15% (reality says 15-25%) pullback/correction for stocks , institutional selling,  industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories, empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   Jim Rogers: “The Worst is Not Over” 6/9/2009     ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...   ,  world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better,  leading indicators up far more than expected … bull s**t …based in large part on inflated stock price component … more bull s**t … new reform with same old frauds say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets  Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years    BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...       The Next Bubble Is Here. Have You Bought In?      foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

PREVIOUS 6-29-09, Worthless dollar/High oil price stock rally…riiiiight!...Then there’s the madoff propaganda event Fraudster Madoff gets 150 years, with prosecutors patting themselves on the back when the reality is that there has been not even one prosecution in the massive securities fraud which benefited the wall street frauds greatly and make madoff look like a piker. Four banks fail, bringing 2009 tally to 19 more than all of 2008 at a total thus far of 44       Dollar Falls Most in Month as China Urges New Reserve Currency      Gerald Celente speaks on Cap and Trade and other handicaps to the US economy       HOW MANY TIMES CAN THE WALL STREET FRAUDS, WITH CYCLICAL REGULARITY, DO THE SAME OR SIMILAR FRAUD WITH IMPUNITY (STILL NOT ONE PROSECUTION IN THE MOST RECENT  MASSIVE SECURITIES FRAUD, BUT PLENTY OF OBFUSCATION EMANATING FROM THE PERPETRATORS AS WELL AS THOSE WHO SHOULD BE PROSECUTING /PURSUING THEM) NOW REFLATING THE STOCK MARKET BUBBLE BASED UPON NOTHING AT ALL (BAD NEWS,FRAUD AND BULL S**T), CHANGING ACCOUNTING RULES TO FACILITATE THE COMMISSIONABLE BUBBLE FROM WHICH THE SOURCE OF FUNDS TO EVEN PAY BACK LOANS TO AVOID SCRUTINY OF THEIR NEW FRAUD IS GENERATED [SAVINGS AND LOAN DEBACLE, DOT.COM SELL THE SIZZLE BUST /DEBACLE, RECYCLED /REPACKAGED /RESOLD /RECOMMISSIONED WORTHLESS COLLATERALIZED SECURITIES /PAPER (IN THE TRILLIONS YET STILL NOT ADDRESSED), ETC., THE FRAUDS ARE GETTING LARGER, HENCE THE RIDICULOUS TOO BIG TO FAIL MANTRA … HOW PATHETIC! … THAT MONEY HAS TO COME FROM SOMEPLACE, IE., PRINTING, CREATING, YOUR POCKETS, … NOT OUT OF THIN AIR! ] TYPICAL END OF QUARTER FRAUD/WINDOW DRESSING TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [ Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years  ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [  Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)  ] BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY... , personal income up modest .2% and spending down, China calls for new reserve currency to supplant worthless dollar  Dollar And Stocks Drop As China Calls For New Global Currency   , continuing unemployment claims at or near record 627,000, weekly unemployment claims up 15,000, and GDP contraction –5.5%, all worse than expected (lennar wider than expected quarterly loss rallies stock…riiiiight!) Jobless claims rise; GDP dips in 1Q  ; soothing words/b.s. from fed which previously predicted no recession that economy still contracting but that the contraction is somewhat slowing…what b**l s**t!…, analysts- buffet/economy in shambles, Hogan/negative GDP growth and inflation owing to debasement of the dollar as well as deficit spending/pump-priming in the trillions, joker stein/economy a mess and continued job losses, new home sales down .6%;   U.S. Home Prices Drop 6.8 Percent in April as Foreclosures Rise       foreclosure sales up 2.4%, prices down 17% year over year,    [$$] Market Suffers Some Technical Damage         Stocks tumble on bleak outlook for world economy           U.S. regulators close their 40th bank of the year  ,   Next Major Move In Stock Market Will Be Down     world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better, market got ahead of itself, stalled out, still depression/more job losses, higher oil-gas prices / higher interest rates / heavy debt to pare down is 1-3 year drag on economy, even if believed (I don’t) the labor dept. far better than expected job numbers by increased debt (spending) to produce same is not economically sound or sustainable, viz., record spending with record low revenues, rating cuts for bank sector, analysts concur in significant 5-15% (reality says 15-25%) pullback/correction for stocks , institutional selling,  industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories, empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   Jim Rogers: “The Worst is Not Over” 6/9/2009     ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...   ,  world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better,  leading indicators up far more than expected … bull s**t …based in large part on inflated stock price component … more bull s**t … new reform with same old frauds say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets  Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years    BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...       The Next Bubble Is Here. Have You Bought In?    , foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 


PREVIOUS 6-26-09, Worthless dollar/High oil price stock rally…riiiiight!...Then there’s the madoff propaganda event Fraudster Madoff gets 150 years, with prosecutors patting themselves on the back when the reality is that there has been not even one prosecution in the massive securities fraud which benefited the wall street frauds greatly and make madoff look like a piker. Four banks fail, bringing 2009 tally to 19 more than all of 2008 at a total thus far of 44       Dollar Falls Most in Month as China Urges New Reserve Currency      Gerald Celente speaks on Cap and Trade and other handicaps to the US economy       HOW MANY TIMES CAN THE WALL STREET FRAUDS, WITH CYCLICAL REGULARITY, DO THE SAME OR SIMILAR FRAUD WITH IMPUNITY (STILL NOT ONE PROSECUTION IN THE MOST RECENT  MASSIVE SECURITIES FRAUD, BUT PLENTY OF OBFUSCATION EMANATING FROM THE PERPETRATORS AS WELL AS THOSE WHO SHOULD BE PROSECUTING /PURSUING THEM) NOW REFLATING THE STOCK MARKET BUBBLE BASED UPON NOTHING AT ALL (BAD NEWS,FRAUD AND BULL S**T), CHANGING ACCOUNTING RULES TO FACILITATE THE COMMISSIONABLE BUBBLE FROM WHICH THE SOURCE OF FUNDS TO EVEN PAY BACK LOANS TO AVOID SCRUTINY OF THEIR NEW FRAUD IS GENERATED [SAVINGS AND LOAN DEBACLE, DOT.COM SELL THE SIZZLE BUST /DEBACLE, RECYCLED /REPACKAGED /RESOLD /RECOMMISSIONED WORTHLESS COLLATERALIZED SECURITIES /PAPER (IN THE TRILLIONS YET STILL NOT ADDRESSED), ETC., THE FRAUDS ARE GETTING LARGER, HENCE THE RIDICULOUS TOO BIG TO FAIL MANTRA … HOW PATHETIC! … THAT MONEY HAS TO COME FROM SOMEPLACE, IE., PRINTING, CREATING, YOUR POCKETS, … NOT OUT OF THIN AIR! ] TYPICAL END OF QUARTER FRAUD/WINDOW DRESSING TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [ Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years  ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [  Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)  ] BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY... , personal income up modest .2% and spending down, China calls for new reserve currency to supplant worthless dollar  Dollar And Stocks Drop As China Calls For New Global Currency   , continuing unemployment claims at or near record 627,000, weekly unemployment claims up 15,000, and GDP contraction –5.5%, all worse than expected (lennar wider than expected quarterly loss rallies stock…riiiiight!) Jobless claims rise; GDP dips in 1Q  ; soothing words/b.s. from fed which previously predicted no recession that economy still contracting but that the contraction is somewhat slowing…what b**l s**t!…, analysts- buffet/economy in shambles, Hogan/negative GDP growth and inflation owing to debasement of the dollar as well as deficit spending/pump-priming in the trillions, joker stein/economy a mess and continued job losses, new home sales down .6%;   U.S. Home Prices Drop 6.8 Percent in April as Foreclosures Rise       foreclosure sales up 2.4%, prices down 17% year over year,    [$$] Market Suffers Some Technical Damage         Stocks tumble on bleak outlook for world economy           U.S. regulators close their 40th bank of the year  ,   Next Major Move In Stock Market Will Be Down     world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better, market got ahead of itself, stalled out, still depression/more job losses, higher oil-gas prices / higher interest rates / heavy debt to pare down is 1-3 year drag on economy, even if believed (I don’t) the labor dept. far better than expected job numbers by increased debt (spending) to produce same is not economically sound or sustainable, viz., record spending with record low revenues, rating cuts for bank sector, analysts concur in significant 5-15% (reality says 15-25%) pullback/correction for stocks , institutional selling,  industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories, empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   Jim Rogers: “The Worst is Not Over” 6/9/2009     ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...   ,  world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better,  leading indicators up far more than expected … bull s**t …based in large part on inflated stock price component … more bull s**t … new reform with same old frauds say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets  Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years    BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...       The Next Bubble Is Here. Have You Bought In?    , foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 


PREVIOUS 6-26-09, SECULAR BEAR MARKET SUCKERS’ RALLY TO END MIXED. HOW MANY TIMES CAN THE WALL STREET FRAUDS, WITH CYCLICAL REGULARITY, DO THE SAME OR SIMILAR FRAUD WITH IMPUNITY (STILL NOT ONE PROSECUTION IN THE MOST RECENT  MASSIVE SECURITIES FRAUD, BUT PLENTY OF OBFUSCATION EMANATING FROM THE PERPETRATORS AS WELL AS THOSE WHO SHOULD BE PROSECUTING /PURSUING THEM) NOW REFLATING THE STOCK MARKET BUBBLE BASED UPON NOTHING AT ALL (BAD NEWS,FRAUD AND BULL S**T), CHANGING ACCOUNTING RULES TO FACILITATE THE COMMISSIONABLE BUBBLE FROM WHICH THE SOURCE OF FUNDS TO EVEN PAY BACK LOANS TO AVOID SCRUTINY OF THEIR NEW FRAUD IS GENERATED [SAVINGS AND LOAN DEBACLE, DOT.COM SELL THE SIZZLE BUST /DEBACLE, RECYCLED /REPACKAGED /RESOLD /RECOMMISSIONED WORTHLESS COLLATERALIZED SECURITIES /PAPER (IN THE TRILLIONS YET STILL NOT ADDRESSED), ETC., THE FRAUDS ARE GETTING LARGER, HENCE THE RIDICULOUS TOO BIG TO FAIL MANTRA … HOW PATHETIC! … THAT MONEY HAS TO COME FROM SOMEPLACE, IE., PRINTING, CREATING, YOUR POCKETS, … NOT OUT OF THIN AIR! ] TYPICAL END OF QUARTER FRAUD/WINDOW DRESSING TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [ Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years  ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [  Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)  ] BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY... , personal income up modest .2% and spending down, China calls for new reserve currency to supplant worthless dollar  Dollar And Stocks Drop As China Calls For New Global Currency   , continuing unemployment claims at or near record 627,000, weekly unemployment claims up 15,000, and GDP contraction –5.5%, all worse than expected AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...   ,  world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better,  leading indicators up far more than expected … bull s**t …based in large part on inflated stock price component … more bull s**t … new reform with same old frauds say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets  Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years    BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...       The Next Bubble Is Here. Have You Bought In?      foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

PREVIOUS 6-25-09, HOW MANY TIMES CAN THE WALL STREET FRAUDS, WITH CYCLICAL REGULARITY, DO THE SAME OR SIMILAR FRAUD WITH IMPUNITY (STILL NOT ONE PROSECUTION IN THE MOST RECENT  MASSIVE SECURITIES FRAUD, BUT PLENTY OF OBFUSCATION EMANATING FROM THE PERPETRATORS AS WELL AS THOSE WHO SHOULD BE PROSECUTING /PURSUING THEM) NOW REFLATING THE STOCK MARKET BUBBLE BASED UPON NOTHING AT ALL (BAD NEWS,FRAUD AND BULL S**T), CHANGING ACCOUNTING RULES TO FACILITATE THE COMMISSIONABLE BUBBLE FROM WHICH THE SOURCE OF FUNDS TO EVEN PAY BACK LOANS TO AVOID SCRUTINY OF THEIR NEW FRAUD IS GENERATED [SAVINGS AND LOAN DEBACLE, DOT.COM SELL THE SIZZLE BUST /DEBACLE, RECYCLED /REPACKAGED /RESOLD /RECOMMISSIONED WORTHLESS COLLATERALIZED SECURITIES /PAPER (IN THE TRILLIONS YET STILL NOT ADDRESSED), ETC., THE FRAUDS ARE GETTING LARGER, HENCE THE RIDICULOUS TOO BIG TO FAIL MANTRA … HOW PATHETIC! … THAT MONEY HAS TO COME FROM SOMEPLACE, IE., PRINTING, CREATING, YOUR POCKETS, … NOT OUT OF THIN AIR! ] TYPICAL END OF QUARTER FRAUD/WINDOW DRESSING TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [ Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years  ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [  Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)  ] BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY... ,    continuing unemployment claims at or near record 627,000, weekly unemployment claims up 15,000, and GDP contraction –5.5%, all worse than expected (lennar wider than expected quarterly loss rallies stock…riiiiight!) Jobless claims rise; GDP dips in 1Q  ; soothing words/b.s. from fed which previously predicted no recession that economy still contracting but that the contraction is somewhat slowing…what b**l s**t!…, analysts- buffet/economy in shambles, Hogan/negative GDP growth and inflation owing to debasement of the dollar as well as deficit spending/pump-priming in the trillions, joker stein/economy a mess and continued job losses, new home sales down .6%;   U.S. Home Prices Drop 6.8 Percent in April as Foreclosures Rise       foreclosure sales up 2.4%, prices down 17% year over year,    [$$] Market Suffers Some Technical Damage         Stocks tumble on bleak outlook for world economy           U.S. regulators close their 40th bank of the year  ,   Next Major Move In Stock Market Will Be Down     world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better, market got ahead of itself, stalled out, still depression/more job losses, higher oil-gas prices / higher interest rates / heavy debt to pare down is 1-3 year drag on economy, even if believed (I don’t) the labor dept. far better than expected job numbers by increased debt (spending) to produce same is not economically sound or sustainable, viz., record spending with record low revenues, rating cuts for bank sector, analysts concur in significant 5-15% (reality says 15-25%) pullback/correction for stocks , institutional selling,  industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories, empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...   ,  world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better,  leading indicators up far more than expected … bull s**t …based in large part on inflated stock price component … more bull s**t … new reform with same old frauds say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets  Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years    BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...       foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

PREVIOUS 6-24-09, SECULAR BEAR MARKET SUCKERS RALLY CONTINUES FOR MIXED CLOSE TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [ Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years  ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [  Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)  ] BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY... ,       soothing words/b.s. from fed which previously predicted no recession that economy still contracting but that the contraction is somewhat slowing…what b**l s**t!…, analysts- buffet/economy in shambles, Hogan/negative GDP growth and inflation owing to debasement of the dollar as well as deficit spending/pump-priming in the trillions, joker stein/economy a mess and continued job losses, new home sales down .6%;   foreclosure sales up 2.4%, prices down 17% year over year,    world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better, market got ahead of itself, stalled out, still depression/more job losses, higher oil-gas prices / higher interest rates / heavy debt to pare down is 1-3 year drag on economy, even if believed (I don’t) the labor dept. far better than expected job numbers by increased debt (spending) to produce same is not economically sound or sustainable, viz., record spending with record low revenues, rating cuts for bank sector, analysts concur in significant 5-15% (reality says 15-25%) pullback/correction for stocks , institutional selling,  industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories, empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   Jim Rogers: “The Worst is Not Over” 6/9/2009    ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...   ,  world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better,  leading indicators up far more than expected … bull s**t …based in large part on inflated stock price component … more bull s**t … new reform with same old frauds say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets  Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years    BUFFET: ECONOMY IN 'SHAMBLES'; NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY...       The Next Bubble Is Here. Have You Bought In?      foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

PREVIOUS 6-23-09, SECULAR BEAR MARKET SUCKERS RALLY INTACT TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED [ Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years  ] AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [  Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)  ] BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., U.S. Home Prices Drop 6.8 Percent in April as Foreclosures Rise       foreclosure sales up 2.4%, prices down 17% year over year,    [$$] Market Suffers Some Technical Damage         Stocks tumble on bleak outlook for world economy           U.S. regulators close their 40th bank of the year  ,   Next Major Move In Stock Market Will Be Down     world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better, market got ahead of itself, stalled out, still depression/more job losses, higher oil-gas prices / higher interest rates / heavy debt to pare down is 1-3 year drag on economy, even if believed (I don’t) the labor dept. far better than expected job numbers by increased debt (spending) to produce same is not economically sound or sustainable, viz., record spending with record low revenues, rating cuts for bank sector, analysts concur in significant 5-15% (reality says 15-25%) pullback/correction for stocks , institutional selling,  industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories, empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   Jim Rogers: “The Worst is Not Over” 6/9/2009      ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie.,  world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better,  leading indicators up far more than expected … bull s**t …based in large part on inflated stock price component … more bull s**t … new reform with same old frauds say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets , foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

PREVIOUS 6-22-09, ONLY MODEST LOSSES RELATIVE TO REALITY IN THIS SECULAR BEAR MARKET TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING [  Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses: report (Reuters)   ] BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie.,  Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years          [$$] Market Suffers Some Technical Damage         Stocks tumble on bleak outlook for world economy           U.S. regulators close their 40th bank of the year  ,   Next Major Move In Stock Market Will Be Down     world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better, market got ahead of itself, stalled out, still depression/more job losses, higher oil-gas prices / higher interest rates / heavy debt to pare down is 1-3 year drag on economy, even if believed (I don’t) the labor dept. far better than expected job numbers by increased debt (spending) to produce same is not economically sound or sustainable, viz., record spending with record low revenues, rating cuts for bank sector, analysts concur in significant 5-15% (reality says 15-25%) pullback/correction for stocks , institutional selling,  industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories, empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   Jim Rogers: “The Worst is Not Over” 6/9/2009      ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., world economy to shrink by worse than previously predicted 2.9% and big difference between not getting worse and getting better,  leading indicators up far more than expected … bull s**t …based in large part on inflated stock price component … more bull s**t … new reform with same old frauds say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets  Insiders Exit Shares at the Fastest Pace in Two Years          [$$] Market Suffers Some Technical Damage         -----     Existing home foreclosure sales up, and no profit discount car sales better than expected     Diluting like crazy through new stock bubble issues       Market Manipulation/Fraud: How Financial Markets Really Work         Economist Warns Fed Will Bring About Zimbabwe Style Hyperinflation     The $4 trillion housing headache (at Fortune)  foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 


PREVIOUS 6-19-09, SECULAR BEAR MARKET PROGRAMMED SUCKERS RALLY  INTO THE CLOSE AS STOCKS END MIXED STILL IN DEFIANCE OF REALITY TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie.,   U.S. regulators close their 40th bank of the year  ,   Next Major Move In Stock Market Will Be Down     market got ahead of itself, stalled out, still depression/more job losses, higher oil-gas prices / higher interest rates / heavy debt to pare down is 1-3 year drag on economy, even if believed (I don’t) the labor dept. far better than expected job numbers by increased debt (spending) to produce same is not economically sound or sustainable, viz., record spending with record low revenues, rating cuts for bank sector, analysts concur in significant 5-15% (reality says 15-25%) pullback/correction for stocks , institutional selling,  industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories, empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., leading indicators up far more than expected … bull s**t …based in large part on inflated stock price component … more bull s**t … new reform with same old frauds say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets, foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

PREVIOUS 6-18-09, SECULAR BEAR MARKET PROGRAMMED SUCKERS RALLY  INTO THE CLOSE AS STOCKS END MIXED STILL IN DEFIANCE OF REALITY TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie.,   U.S. regulators close their 40th bank of the year  ,   Next Major Move In Stock Market Will Be Down     market got ahead of itself, stalled out, still depression/more job losses, higher oil-gas prices / higher interest rates / heavy debt to pare down is 1-3 year drag on economy, even if believed (I don’t) the labor dept. far better than expected job numbers by increased debt (spending) to produce same is not economically sound or sustainable, viz., record spending with record low revenues, rating cuts for bank sector, analysts concur in significant 5-15% (reality says 15-25%) pullback/correction for stocks , institutional selling,  industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories, empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., leading indicators up far more than expected … bull s**t …based in large part on inflated stock price component … more bull s**t … new reform with same old frauds say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. , foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 


PREVIOUS 6-18-09,  MORE TALK OF NEW REGULATORY SCHEME WHEN PROSECUTION AND DISGORGEMENT WOULD REALLY BLUNT INCENTIVE FOR WALL STREET FRAUDS PROSPECTIVELY, SECULAR BEAR MARKET PROGRAMMED SUCKERS RALLY  ON LEADING INDICATORS UP FAR MORE THAN EXPECTED … BULL S**T …BASED IN LARGE PART ON INFLATED STOCK PRICE COMPONENT … MORE BULL S**T … AS STOCKS END MIXED STILL IN DEFIANCE OF REALITY TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., market got ahead of itself, stalled out, still depression/more job losses, higher oil-gas prices / higher interest rates / heavy debt to pare down is 1-3 year drag on economy, even if believed (I don’t) the labor dept. far better than expected job numbers by increased debt (spending) to produce same is not economically sound or sustainable, viz., record spending with record low revenues, rating cuts for bank sector, analysts concur in significant 5-15% (reality says 15-25%) pullback/correction for stocks , institutional selling,  industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories, empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   Jim Rogers: “The Worst is Not Over” 6/9/2009      ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., leading indicators up far more than expected … bull s**t …based in large part on inflated stock price component … more bull s**t … new reform with same old frauds say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets     foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

PREVIOUS 6-17-09,  SECULAR BEAR MARKET PROGRAMMED SUCKERS RALLY INTO THE CLOSE AS STOCKS END MIXED IN DEFIANCE OF REALITY TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., rating cuts for bank sector, analysts concur in significant 5-15% (reality says 15-25%) pullback/correction for stocks , institutional selling,  industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories, empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   Jim Rogers: “The Worst is Not Over” 6/9/2009      Markets See a Breakdown in Technical Support Levels             Roubini: USA sees double-dip recession...     Dollar drops on reserve currency doubts      China sells US bonds to ’show concern’      BRICs May Buy Each Other’s Bonds in Shift From Dollar            China’s holding of US bonds drops first time in 11 months        Russia to Raise Reserve Currency Issue at BRIC              International Demand for Worthless U.S. Assets Slowed in April        IMF says worst not over        Senator cashed out during big stock collapse -- after meeting with Fed, Treasury chiefs!    America's AAA downgrade danger...        Treasury faces pressure on price of TARP exit      A depression so deep even teen shoppers scrimp      US cities may have to be bulldozed in order to survive         1st quarter wiped out $1.3 trillion for Americans     Get Ready for Inflation and Higher Interest Rates       Oil prices near $73 as energy rally continues      Fed Would Be Shut Down If It Were Audited        Fed says economy weak, but sees signs the slide increasing     Mounting deficits spark jitters about U.S. economy     Wall Street falls as realities dent recovery hopes     Bonds fall on worries about government's debt load (AP)      Oil prices strike new high for 2009 (AP)    The depression quietly deepens     CHINA AIRS FEARS ON DOLLAR, DEBT...          Oil hits 7-month high over $70... Yes, We’re STILL In a Depression      China Bank Wants U.S. Bonds Issued in Yuan       Fake government job loss report near 40% better than private forecasts…I don’t think so!…9.4% unemployment rate…try well over 10% and with stopped looking included over 20% , Jim Rogers CNBC - Jun 4th, 2009 - Currency Crisis Ahead   U.S. unemployment hits record but job losses slow if you foolishly believe fake government reports near 40% better than private estimates - I don’t think so! …now            China explores buying $50bn in IMF bonds       US retailers report May sales declines    Tiny Tim says dollar assets safe...    Laughter from audience...      Why The Chinese Laughed At Geithner     ----- mortgage apps. down, service sector job losses/factory orders worse than expected, new record continuing unemployment claims, bernanke spend more money you don’t have but cut debilitating deficit…riiiiight…sounds like a plan with more job losses to come, etc., Economic data disappoint, indicate slow recovery     Worse-than-expected economic data thwarts rally      Jobless rates in U.S. cities zoom higher in April      Sector Snap: Homebuilders tumble (AP)       As the Dollar Falls Off the Cliff …    Bernanke warns on deficits as Treasury rates rise   -----        GOV'T OWES RECORD $63.8 TRILLION...         The Big Collapse Is Very Near    Dollar Declines as Nations Mull Reserve Currency Alternative     Dollar Falls Most In A Month Since 1985    Leap in U.S. debt hits taxpayers with 12% more red ink        Gold jumps above $970/oz as dollar weakens          Double-Dip Depression  , New Record Continuing Unemployment Claims,    Marc Faber: “I Am 100% Sure that the U.S. Will Go Into Hyperinflation”         Why We'll  See Another Serious Equities Sell-Off      Obama continuing Bush’s assault on the middle class       Government will now own 72.5% of 'New GM'...         Roubini: U.S. economy to  dip again next year...         Case-Shillers index shows new record decline in real estate prices,    $80+ oil coming this year    Dallas Federal Reserve: Unfunded Pension and Health-Care Liabilities Exceeds $99 Trillion Dollars          Waterboard the Fed      Obama: We Are Broke. Well, Duh!            Russia Rationally Dumps Dollar as Reserve Currency - Adopts Euro   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., new reform with same old frauds say increased capital requirements and oversight of the overseers/rating agencies (riiiiight!…same old,same old - already have but no will to enforce existing laws, etc.), analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   Venture Capital Bubble Set to Burst, Kedrosky Says     Obama Plans to Cut Bank Regulators, Allow Fed to Supervise Financial Holding Companies – The old fox guarding the henhouse tricks     Federal Reserve unwisely to gain power under plan      Federal Reserve Foolishly To Be Given Sweeping New Powers        Yen Strengthens Most in Month as Asian Stocks Drop, Gold Gains        RUSSIA CHALLENGES WORTHLESS DOLLAR...    AIG says former top exec plundered retirement plan     [video] The Too-Big-to-Fail Problem [6.8 min] (at MarketWatch)     [$$] Too Big to Solve? (at The Wall Street Journal Online)          Buy and Hold Is Dead. Long Live Buy and Hold!     Financial Bailout Plan Keeps Zombie Banks Alive       Bernanke then as now in denial about looming crisis 2005-2007              Retail sales, drop in jobless claims to a very high even if believed 601,000 yielding record continuing claims of 6.8 million fuel hope…if you’re a dope     Lawmakers blast Fed, Treasury for BofA "threats"       Oil climbs over $73 on hopes for rising demand     U.S. Household Worth Fell by $1.3 Trillion in First Quarter       Predictions of $250 a barrel on oil        ECB Fears Reality of Banking Crisis in 2010: Report        Get Ready for Inflation and Higher Interest Rates      Bill To Audit Federal Reserve Now Has 209 Co-Sponsors        Russia May Swap Some U.S. Treasuries for IMF Debt        Fed report shows losses on Bear Stearns, AIG holdings      Congress subpoenas the Fed ... Finally! (AP)        Brazil in recession, recovery unlikely this year       What a “Jobless Recovery” Really Means: A Massive Redistribution of Wealth from the Little Guy to the Big Boys       Obama Tells American Businesses to Drop Dead      America’s Fed Addiction        “87 Percent of [Chinese] Respondents Believe China’s u.s. Dollar-Assets are Unsafe”       Fed Said to Retreat From Seeking Power to Sell Its Own Debt/Bills       WIRE: Obama Tells American Businesses to Drop Dead...  Long-Term Economic Memory Loss    Obama’s economic model versus reality     Reality bites Internet as 1Q ad sales fall 5 pct (AP)      CHINA AIRS FEARS ON DOLLAR, DEBT        government reports better than private estimates…riiiiight!  President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Warns of Oligarchy        U.S. unemployment hits record but job losses slow if you foolishly believe fake government reports near 40% better than private estimates - I don’t think so! …now         Benefit spending soars to new high    $100 Billion Bailout For IMF Tagged On To War Funding Bill        Economic recovery is wishful thinking          Gold, Silver Climb as Dollar Falls      OPEC: OIL COULD REACH $90...        -----     Existing home foreclosure sales up, and no profit discount car sales better than expected     Diluting like crazy through new stock bubble issues       Market Manipulation/Fraud: How Financial Markets Really Work         Economist Warns Fed Will Bring About Zimbabwe Style Hyperinflation     The $4 trillion housing headache (at Fortune)  foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 


PREVIOUS 6-16-09,  SECULAR BEAR MARKET AND ONLY MODEST LOSSES RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., analysts concur in significant 5-15% pullback/correction for stocks, institutional selling,  industrial production/construction down 1.1%, housing starts allegedly up but if believed will only increase the plethora of unsold inventories, empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   ----- mortgage apps. down, service sector job losses/factory orders worse than expected, new record continuing unemployment claims, bernanke spend more money you don’t have but cut debilitating deficit…riiiiight…sounds like a plan with more job losses to come, etc,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., Analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 


PREVIOUS 6-15-09,  SECULAR BEAR MARKET PROGRAMMED SUCKERS RALLY INTO THE CLOSE TO FINISH WELL OFF THE LOWS WITH MODEST LOSSES RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., empire manufacturing index suffers unexpectedly severe decline…daaaah!, credit dard defaults at record high, analysts concur that fundamentals don’t support stock rally and that pac money(defacto bribes) might derail any meaningful reform/regulation which is of concern to the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted, record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s.,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., Analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

PREVIOUS 6-11,12-09,  HOW MANY TIMES CAN THE WALL STREET FRAUDS, WITH CYCLICAL REGULARITY, DO THE SAME OR SIMILAR FRAUD WITH IMPUNITY (STILL NOT ONE PROSECUTION IN THE MOST RECENT  MASSIVE SECURITIES FRAUD, BUT PLENTY OF OBFUSCATION EMANATING FROM THE PERPETRATORS AS WELL AS THOSE WHO SHOULD BE PROSECUTING /PURSUING THEM) NOW REFLATING THE STOCK MARKET BUBBLE BASED UPON NOTHING AT ALL (BAD NEWS,FRAUD AND BULL S**T), CHANGING ACCOUNTING RULES TO FACILITATE THE COMMISSIONABLE BUBBLE FROM WHICH THE SOURCE OF FUNDS TO EVEN PAY BACK LOANS TO AVOID SCRUTINY OF THEIR NEW FRAUD IS GENERATED [SAVINGS AND LOAN DEBACLE, DOT.COM SELL THE SIZZLE BUST /DEBACLE, RECYCLED /REPACKAGED /RESOLD /RECOMMISSIONED WORTHLESS COLLATERALIZED SECURITIES /PAPER (IN THE TRILLIONS YET STILL NOT ADDRESSED), ETC., THE FRAUDS ARE GETTING LARGER, HENCE THE RIDICULOUS TOO BIG TO FAIL MANTRA … HOW PATHETIC! … THAT MONEY HAS TO COME FROM SOMEPLACE, IE., PRINTING, CREATING, YOUR POCKETS, … NOT OUT OF THIN AIR! ] ,  300 - 1,000+ % SWING TO THE UPSIDE INTO THE CLOSE IN THIS SECULAR BEAR MARKET PROGRAMMED SUCKERS RALLY TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., record loss of wealth, higher gas prices, job losses, higher interest rates / yields, higher commodity prices, higher deficits, hyperinflation, record continuing unemployment claims at 6.8 million, worthless Weimar dollar crashing,  money supply exploding with hyperinflation/higher interest rates coming, budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   Jim Rogers: “The Worst is Not Over” 6/9/2009     Treasury faces pressure on price of TARP exit      A depression so deep even teen shoppers scrimp      US cities may have to be bulldozed in order to survive         1st quarter wiped out $1.3 trillion for Americans     Get Ready for Inflation and Higher Interest Rates       Oil prices near $73 as energy rally continues      Fed Would Be Shut Down If It Were Audited        Fed says economy weak, but sees signs the slide increasing     Mounting deficits spark jitters about U.S. economy     Wall Street falls as realities dent recovery hopes     Bonds fall on worries about government's debt load (AP)      Oil prices strike new high for 2009 (AP)    The depression quietly deepens     CHINA AIRS FEARS ON DOLLAR, DEBT...          Oil hits 7-month high over $70... Yes, We’re STILL In a Depression      China Bank Wants U.S. Bonds Issued in Yuan       Fake government job loss report near 40% better than private forecasts…I don’t think so!…9.4% unemployment rate…try well over 10% and with stopped looking included over 20% , Jim Rogers CNBC - Jun 4th, 2009 - Currency Crisis Ahead   U.S. unemployment hits record but job losses slow if you foolishly believe fake government reports near 40% better than private estimates - I don’t think so! …now            China explores buying $50bn in IMF bonds       US retailers report May sales declines    Tiny Tim says dollar assets safe...    Laughter from audience...      Why The Chinese Laughed At Geithner     ----- mortgage apps. down, service sector job losses/factory orders worse than expected, new record continuing unemployment claims, bernanke spend more money you don’t have but cut debilitating deficit…riiiiight…sounds like a plan with more job losses to come, etc., Economic data disappoint, indicate slow recovery     Worse-than-expected economic data thwarts rally      Jobless rates in U.S. cities zoom higher in April      Sector Snap: Homebuilders tumble (AP)       As the Dollar Falls Off the Cliff …    Bernanke warns on deficits as Treasury rates rise   -----        GOV'T OWES RECORD $63.8 TRILLION...         The Big Collapse Is Very Near    Dollar Declines as Nations Mull Reserve Currency Alternative     Dollar Falls Most In A Month Since 1985    Leap in U.S. debt hits taxpayers with 12% more red ink        Gold jumps above $970/oz as dollar weakens          Double-Dip Depression  , New Record Continuing Unemployment Claims,    Marc Faber: “I Am 100% Sure that the U.S. Will Go Into Hyperinflation”         Why We'll  See Another Serious Equities Sell-Off      Obama continuing Bush’s assault on the middle class       Government will now own 72.5% of 'New GM'...         Roubini: U.S. economy to  dip again next year...         Case-Shillers index shows new record decline in real estate prices,    $80+ oil coming this year    Dallas Federal Reserve: Unfunded Pension and Health-Care Liabilities Exceeds $99 Trillion Dollars          Waterboard the Fed      Obama: We Are Broke. Well, Duh!            Russia Rationally Dumps Dollar as Reserve Currency - Adopts Euro   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., Analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   Venture Capital Bubble Set to Burst, Kedrosky Says       Buy and Hold Is Dead. Long Live Buy and Hold!     Financial Bailout Plan Keeps Zombie Banks Alive       Bernanke then as now in denial about looming crisis 2005-2007              Retail sales, drop in jobless claims to a very high even if believed 601,000 yielding record continuing claims of 6.8 million fuel hope…if you’re a dope     Lawmakers blast Fed, Treasury for BofA "threats"       Oil climbs over $73 on hopes for rising demand     U.S. Household Worth Fell by $1.3 Trillion in First Quarter       Predictions of $250 a barrel on oil        ECB Fears Reality of Banking Crisis in 2010: Report        Get Ready for Inflation and Higher Interest Rates      Bill To Audit Federal Reserve Now Has 209 Co-Sponsors        Russia May Swap Some U.S. Treasuries for IMF Debt        Fed report shows losses on Bear Stearns, AIG holdings      Congress subpoenas the Fed ... Finally! (AP)        Brazil in recession, recovery unlikely this year       What a “Jobless Recovery” Really Means: A Massive Redistribution of Wealth from the Little Guy to the Big Boys       Obama Tells American Businesses to Drop Dead      America’s Fed Addiction        “87 Percent of [Chinese] Respondents Believe China’s u.s. Dollar-Assets are Unsafe”       Fed Said to Retreat From Seeking Power to Sell Its Own Debt/Bills       WIRE: Obama Tells American Businesses to Drop Dead...  Long-Term Economic Memory Loss    Obama’s economic model versus reality     Reality bites Internet as 1Q ad sales fall 5 pct (AP)      CHINA AIRS FEARS ON DOLLAR, DEBT        government reports better than private estimates…riiiiight!  President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Warns of Oligarchy        U.S. unemployment hits record but job losses slow if you foolishly believe fake government reports near 40% better than private estimates - I don’t think so! …now         Benefit spending soars to new high    $100 Billion Bailout For IMF Tagged On To War Funding Bill        Economic recovery is wishful thinking          Gold, Silver Climb as Dollar Falls      OPEC: OIL COULD REACH $90...        -----     Existing home foreclosure sales up, and no profit discount car sales better than expected     Diluting like crazy through new stock bubble issues       Market Manipulation/Fraud: How Financial Markets Really Work         Economist Warns Fed Will Bring About Zimbabwe Style Hyperinflation     The $4 trillion housing headache (at Fortune)  foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

PREVIOUS 6-10-09,  MODEST LOSSES WITH SECULAR BEAR MARKET PROGRAMMED SUCKERS RALLY INTO THE CLOSE TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie.,  budget deficit at new highs and trade deficit worse than expected, analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   Jim Rogers: “The Worst is Not Over” 6/9/2009      Fed Would Be Shut Down If It Were Audited        Fed says economy weak, but sees signs the slide increasing     Mounting deficits spark jitters about U.S. economy     Wall Street falls as realities dent recovery hopes     Bonds fall on worries about government's debt load (AP)      Oil prices strike new high for 2009 (AP)    The depression quietly deepens     CHINA AIRS FEARS ON DOLLAR, DEBT...          Oil hits 7-month high over $70... Yes, We’re STILL In a Depression      China Bank Wants U.S. Bonds Issued in Yuan       Fake government job loss report near 40% better than private forecasts…I don’t think so!…9.4% unemployment rate…try well over 10% and with stopped looking included over 20% , Jim Rogers CNBC - Jun 4th, 2009 - Currency Crisis Ahead   U.S. unemployment hits record but job losses slow if you foolishly believe fake government reports near 40% better than private estimates - I don’t think so! …now            China explores buying $50bn in IMF bonds       US retailers report May sales declines    Tiny Tim says dollar assets safe...    Laughter from audience...      Why The Chinese Laughed At Geithner     ----- mortgage apps. down, service sector job losses/factory orders worse than expected, new record continuing unemployment claims, bernanke spend more money you don’t have but cut debilitating deficit…riiiiight…sounds like a plan with more job losses to come, etc., Economic data disappoint, indicate slow recovery     Worse-than-expected economic data thwarts rally      Jobless rates in U.S. cities zoom higher in April      Sector Snap: Homebuilders tumble (AP)       As the Dollar Falls Off the Cliff …    Bernanke warns on deficits as Treasury rates rise   -----        GOV'T OWES RECORD $63.8 TRILLION...         The Big Collapse Is Very Near    Dollar Declines as Nations Mull Reserve Currency Alternative     Dollar Falls Most In A Month Since 1985    Leap in U.S. debt hits taxpayers with 12% more red ink        Gold jumps above $970/oz as dollar weakens          Double-Dip Depression  , New Record Continuing Unemployment Claims,    Marc Faber: “I Am 100% Sure that the U.S. Will Go Into Hyperinflation”         Why We'll  See Another Serious Equities Sell-Off      Obama continuing Bush’s assault on the middle class       Government will now own 72.5% of 'New GM'...         Roubini: U.S. economy to  dip again next year...         Case-Shillers index shows new record decline in real estate prices,    $80+ oil coming this year    Dallas Federal Reserve: Unfunded Pension and Health-Care Liabilities Exceeds $99 Trillion Dollars          Waterboard the Fed      Obama: We Are Broke. Well, Duh!            Russia Rationally Dumps Dollar as Reserve Currency - Adopts Euro   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., Analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   Get Ready for Inflation and Higher Interest Rates      Bill To Audit Federal Reserve Now Has 209 Co-Sponsors        Russia May Swap Some U.S. Treasuries for IMF Debt        Fed report shows losses on Bear Stearns, AIG holdings      Congress subpoenas the Fed ... Finally! (AP)        Brazil in recession, recovery unlikely this year       What a “Jobless Recovery” Really Means: A Massive Redistribution of Wealth from the Little Guy to the Big Boys       Obama Tells American Businesses to Drop Dead      America’s Fed Addiction        “87 Percent of [Chinese] Respondents Believe China’s u.s. Dollar-Assets are Unsafe”       Fed Said to Retreat From Seeking Power to Sell Its Own Debt/Bills       WIRE: Obama Tells American Businesses to Drop Dead...  Long-Term Economic Memory Loss    Obama’s economic model versus reality     Reality bites Internet as 1Q ad sales fall 5 pct (AP)      CHINA AIRS FEARS ON DOLLAR, DEBT        government reports better than private estimates…riiiiight!  President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Warns of Oligarchy        U.S. unemployment hits record but job losses slow if you foolishly believe fake government reports near 40% better than private estimates - I don’t think so! …now         Benefit spending soars to new high    $100 Billion Bailout For IMF Tagged On To War Funding Bill        Economic recovery is wishful thinking          Gold, Silver Climb as Dollar Falls      OPEC: OIL COULD REACH $90...        -----     Existing home foreclosure sales up, and no profit discount car sales better than expected     Diluting like crazy through new stock bubble issues       Market Manipulation/Fraud: How Financial Markets Really Work         Economist Warns Fed Will Bring About Zimbabwe Style Hyperinflation     The $4 trillion housing headache (at Fortune)  foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

PREVIOUS 6-8,9-09,  INFLATIONARY DEPRESSION IS THE CALL EVEN AS SECULAR BEAR MARKET PROGRAMMED SUCKERS RALLY CONTINUES TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie.,  Analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets The depression quietly deepens     CHINA AIRS FEARS ON DOLLAR, DEBT...          Oil hits 7-month high over $70... Yes, We’re STILL In a Depression      China Bank Wants U.S. Bonds Issued in Yuan       Fake government job loss report near 40% better than private forecasts…I don’t think so!…9.4% unemployment rate…try well over 10% and with stopped looking included over 20% , Jim Rogers CNBC - Jun 4th, 2009 - Currency Crisis Ahead   U.S. unemployment hits record but job losses slow if you foolishly believe fake government reports near 40% better than private estimates - I don’t think so! …now            China explores buying $50bn in IMF bonds       US retailers report May sales declines    Tiny Tim says dollar assets safe...    Laughter from audience...      Why The Chinese Laughed At Geithner     ----- mortgage apps. down, service sector job losses/factory orders worse than expected, new record continuing unemployment claims, bernanke spend more money you don’t have but cut debilitating deficit…riiiiight…sounds like a plan with more job losses to come, etc., Economic data disappoint, indicate slow recovery     Worse-than-expected economic data thwarts rally      Jobless rates in U.S. cities zoom higher in April      Sector Snap: Homebuilders tumble (AP)       As the Dollar Falls Off the Cliff …    Bernanke warns on deficits as Treasury rates rise   -----        GOV'T OWES RECORD $63.8 TRILLION...         The Big Collapse Is Very Near    Dollar Declines as Nations Mull Reserve Currency Alternative     Dollar Falls Most In A Month Since 1985    Leap in U.S. debt hits taxpayers with 12% more red ink        Gold jumps above $970/oz as dollar weakens          Double-Dip Depression  , New Record Continuing Unemployment Claims,    Marc Faber: “I Am 100% Sure that the U.S. Will Go Into Hyperinflation”         Why We'll  See Another Serious Equities Sell-Off      Obama continuing Bush’s assault on the middle class       Government will now own 72.5% of 'New GM'...         Roubini: U.S. economy to  dip again next year...         Case-Shillers index shows new record decline in real estate prices,    $80+ oil coming this year    Dallas Federal Reserve: Unfunded Pension and Health-Care Liabilities Exceeds $99 Trillion Dollars          Waterboard the Fed      Obama: We Are Broke. Well, Duh!            Russia Rationally Dumps Dollar as Reserve Currency - Adopts Euro   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., Analyst who called crash says inflationary depression, banks passed stress tests only with the help of fraudulent change in accounting rules, banks still insolvent, toxic assets even more toxic, dollar falling and a lot lower to go, $100 + oil by end of year, Obama/bernanke continuing failed policies of bush greenspan, recommends getting out of Dodge and u.s. assets   Congress subpoenas the Fed ... Finally! (AP)        Brazil in recession, recovery unlikely this year       What a “Jobless Recovery” Really Means: A Massive Redistribution of Wealth from the Little Guy to the Big Boys       Obama Tells American Businesses to Drop Dead      America’s Fed Addiction        “87 Percent of [Chinese] Respondents Believe China’s u.s. Dollar-Assets are Unsafe”       Fed Said to Retreat From Seeking Power to Sell Its Own Debt/Bills       WIRE: Obama Tells American Businesses to Drop Dead...  Long-Term Economic Memory Loss    Obama’s economic model versus reality     Reality bites Internet as 1Q ad sales fall 5 pct (AP)      CHINA AIRS FEARS ON DOLLAR, DEBT        government reports better than private estimates…riiiiight!  President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Warns of Oligarchy        U.S. unemployment hits record but job losses slow if you foolishly believe fake government reports near 40% better than private estimates - I don’t think so! …now         Benefit spending soars to new high    $100 Billion Bailout For IMF Tagged On To War Funding Bill        Economic recovery is wishful thinking          Gold, Silver Climb as Dollar Falls      OPEC: OIL COULD REACH $90...        -----     Existing home foreclosure sales up, and no profit discount car sales better than expected     Diluting like crazy through new stock bubble issues       Market Manipulation/Fraud: How Financial Markets Really Work         Economist Warns Fed Will Bring About Zimbabwe Style Hyperinflation     The $4 trillion housing headache (at Fortune)  foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

PREVIOUS 6-5-09,  SECULAR BEAR MARKET PROGRAMMED SUCKERS RALLY INTO THE CLOSE TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., Yes, We’re STILL In a Depression      China Bank Wants U.S. Bonds Issued in Yuan       Fake government job loss report near 40% better than private forecasts…I don’t think so!…9.4% unemployment rate…try well over 10% and with stopped looking included over 20% , Jim Rogers CNBC - Jun 4th, 2009 - Currency Crisis Ahead   U.S. unemployment hits record but job losses slow if you foolishly believe fake government reports near 40% better than private estimates - I don’t think so! …now            China explores buying $50bn in IMF bonds       US retailers report May sales declines    Tiny Tim says dollar assets safe...    Laughter from audience...      Why The Chinese Laughed At Geithner     ----- mortgage apps. down, service sector job losses/factory orders worse than expected, new record continuing unemployment claims, bernanke spend more money you don’t have but cut debilitating deficit…riiiiight…sounds like a plan with more job losses to come, etc., Economic data disappoint, indicate slow recovery     Worse-than-expected economic data thwarts rally      Jobless rates in U.S. cities zoom higher in April      Sector Snap: Homebuilders tumble (AP)       As the Dollar Falls Off the Cliff …    Bernanke warns on deficits as Treasury rates rise   -----        GOV'T OWES RECORD $63.8 TRILLION...         The Big Collapse Is Very Near    Dollar Declines as Nations Mull Reserve Currency Alternative     Dollar Falls Most In A Month Since 1985    Leap in U.S. debt hits taxpayers with 12% more red ink        Gold jumps above $970/oz as dollar weakens          Double-Dip Depression  , New Record Continuing Unemployment Claims,    Marc Faber: “I Am 100% Sure that the U.S. Will Go Into Hyperinflation”         Why We'll  See Another Serious Equities Sell-Off      Obama continuing Bush’s assault on the middle class       Government will now own 72.5% of 'New GM'...         Roubini: U.S. economy to  dip again next year...         Case-Shillers index shows new record decline in real estate prices,    $80+ oil coming this year    Dallas Federal Reserve: Unfunded Pension and Health-Care Liabilities Exceeds $99 Trillion Dollars          Waterboard the Fed      Obama: We Are Broke. Well, Duh!            Russia Rationally Dumps Dollar as Reserve Currency - Adopts Euro   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie.,  Long-Term Economic Memory Loss    Obama’s economic model versus reality     Reality bites Internet as 1Q ad sales fall 5 pct (AP)      CHINA AIRS FEARS ON DOLLAR, DEBT        government reports better than private estimates…riiiiight!  President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Warns of Oligarchy        U.S. unemployment hits record but job losses slow if you foolishly believe fake government reports near 40% better than private estimates - I don’t think so! …now         Benefit spending soars to new high    $100 Billion Bailout For IMF Tagged On To War Funding Bill        Economic recovery is wishful thinking          Gold, Silver Climb as Dollar Falls      OPEC: OIL COULD REACH $90...        -----     Existing home foreclosure sales up, and no profit discount car sales better than expected     Diluting like crazy through new stock bubble issues       Market Manipulation/Fraud: How Financial Markets Really Work         Economist Warns Fed Will Bring About Zimbabwe Style Hyperinflation     The $4 trillion housing headache (at Fortune)  foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

PREVIOUS 6-5-09,  FAKE GOVERNMENT JOBS REPORT FUELS SECULAR BEAR MARKET PROGRAMMED SUCKERS RALLY TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., Fake government job loss report near 40% better than private forecasts…I don’t think so!…9.4% unemployment rate…try well over 10% and with stopped looking included over 20% , Jim Rogers CNBC - Jun 4th, 2009 - Currency Crisis Ahead   U.S. unemployment hits record but job losses slow if you foolishly believe fake government reports near 40% better than private estimates - I don’t think so! …now            China explores buying $50bn in IMF bonds       US retailers report May sales declines    Tiny Tim says dollar assets safe...    Laughter from audience...      Why The Chinese Laughed At Geithner     ----- mortgage apps. down, service sector job losses/factory orders worse than expected, new record continuing unemployment claims, bernanke spend more money you don’t have but cut debilitating deficit…riiiiight…sounds like a plan with more job losses to come, etc., Economic data disappoint, indicate slow recovery     Worse-than-expected economic data thwarts rally      Jobless rates in U.S. cities zoom higher in April      Sector Snap: Homebuilders tumble (AP)       As the Dollar Falls Off the Cliff …    Bernanke warns on deficits as Treasury rates rise   -----        GOV'T OWES RECORD $63.8 TRILLION...         The Big Collapse Is Very Near    Dollar Declines as Nations Mull Reserve Currency Alternative     Dollar Falls Most In A Month Since 1985    Leap in U.S. debt hits taxpayers with 12% more red ink        Gold jumps above $970/oz as dollar weakens          Double-Dip Depression  , New Record Continuing Unemployment Claims,    Marc Faber: “I Am 100% Sure that the U.S. Will Go Into Hyperinflation”         Why We'll  See Another Serious Equities Sell-Off      Obama continuing Bush’s assault on the middle class       Government will now own 72.5% of 'New GM'...         Roubini: U.S. economy to  dip again next year...         Case-Shillers index shows new record decline in real estate prices,    $80+ oil coming this year    Dallas Federal Reserve: Unfunded Pension and Health-Care Liabilities Exceeds $99 Trillion Dollars          Waterboard the Fed      Obama: We Are Broke. Well, Duh!            Russia Rationally Dumps Dollar as Reserve Currency - Adopts Euro   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., government reports better than private estimates…riiiiight!  President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Warns of Oligarchy        U.S. unemployment hits record but job losses slow if you foolishly believe fake government reports near 40% better than private estimates - I don’t think so! …now         Benefit spending soars to new high    $100 Billion Bailout For IMF Tagged On To War Funding Bill        Economic recovery is wishful thinking          Gold, Silver Climb as Dollar Falls      OPEC: OIL COULD REACH $90...        -----     Existing home foreclosure sales up, and no profit discount car sales better than expected     Diluting like crazy through new stock bubble issues       Market Manipulation/Fraud: How Financial Markets Really Work         Economist Warns Fed Will Bring About Zimbabwe Style Hyperinflation     The $4 trillion housing headache (at Fortune)  foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 


PREVIOUS 6-4-09,  SHORT-COVERING/SUCKERS RALLY TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., US retailers report May sales declines    Tiny Tim says dollar assets safe...    Laughter from audience...      Why The Chinese Laughed At Geithner     ----- mortgage apps. down, service sector job losses/factory orders worse than expected, new record continuing unemployment claims, bernanke spend more money you don’t have but cut debilitating deficit…riiiiight…sounds like a plan with more job losses to come, etc., Economic data disappoint, indicate slow recovery     Worse-than-expected economic data thwarts rally      Jobless rates in U.S. cities zoom higher in April      Sector Snap: Homebuilders tumble (AP)       As the Dollar Falls Off the Cliff …    Bernanke warns on deficits as Treasury rates rise   -----        GOV'T OWES RECORD $63.8 TRILLION...         The Big Collapse Is Very Near    Dollar Declines as Nations Mull Reserve Currency Alternative     Dollar Falls Most In A Month Since 1985    Leap in U.S. debt hits taxpayers with 12% more red ink        Gold jumps above $970/oz as dollar weakens          Double-Dip Depression  , New Record Continuing Unemployment Claims,    Marc Faber: “I Am 100% Sure that the U.S. Will Go Into Hyperinflation”         Why We'll  See Another Serious Equities Sell-Off      Obama continuing Bush’s assault on the middle class       Government will now own 72.5% of 'New GM'...         Roubini: U.S. economy to  dip again next year...         Case-Shillers index shows new record decline in real estate prices,    $80+ oil coming this year    Dallas Federal Reserve: Unfunded Pension and Health-Care Liabilities Exceeds $99 Trillion Dollars          Waterboard the Fed      Obama: We Are Broke. Well, Duh!            Russia Rationally Dumps Dollar as Reserve Currency - Adopts Euro   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., government reports slightly better than private estimates…riiiiight!  Benefit spending soars to new high    $100 Billion Bailout For IMF Tagged On To War Funding Bill        Economic recovery is wishful thinking          Gold, Silver Climb as Dollar Falls      OPEC: OIL COULD REACH $90...        -----     Existing home foreclosure sales up, and no profit discount car sales better than expected     Diluting like crazy through new stock bubble issues       Market Manipulation/Fraud: How Financial Markets Really Work         Economist Warns Fed Will Bring About Zimbabwe Style Hyperinflation     The $4 trillion housing headache (at Fortune)  foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 


PREVIOUS 6-3-09,  ONLY MODEST LOSSES RELATIVE TO REALITY WITH PROGRAMMED SHORT-COVERING/SUCKERS RALLY INTO THE CLOSE TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie., mortgage apps. down, service sector job losses/factory orders worse than expected, new record continuing unemployment claims, bernanke spend more money you don’t have but cut debilitating deficit…riiiiight…sounds like a plan with more job losses to come, etc., Economic data disappoint, indicate slow recovery     Worse-than-expected economic data thwarts rally      Jobless rates in U.S. cities zoom higher in April      Sector Snap: Homebuilders tumble (AP)       As the Dollar Falls Off the Cliff …    Bernanke warns on deficits as Treasury rates rise   -----        GOV'T OWES RECORD $63.8 TRILLION...         The Big Collapse Is Very Near    Dollar Declines as Nations Mull Reserve Currency Alternative     Dollar Falls Most In A Month Since 1985    Leap in U.S. debt hits taxpayers with 12% more red ink        Gold jumps above $970/oz as dollar weakens          Double-Dip Depression  , New Record Continuing Unemployment Claims,    Marc Faber: “I Am 100% Sure that the U.S. Will Go Into Hyperinflation”         Why We'll  See Another Serious Equities Sell-Off      Obama continuing Bush’s assault on the middle class       Government will now own 72.5% of 'New GM'...         Roubini: U.S. economy to  dip again next year...         Case-Shillers index shows new record decline in real estate prices,    $80+ oil coming this year    Dallas Federal Reserve: Unfunded Pension and Health-Care Liabilities Exceeds $99 Trillion Dollars          Waterboard the Fed      Obama: We Are Broke. Well, Duh!            Russia Rationally Dumps Dollar as Reserve Currency - Adopts Euro   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., $100 Billion Bailout For IMF Tagged On To War Funding Bill        Economic recovery is wishful thinking          Gold, Silver Climb as Dollar Falls      OPEC: OIL COULD REACH $90...        -----     Existing home foreclosure sales up, and no profit discount car sales better than expected     Diluting like crazy through new stock bubble issues       Market Manipulation/Fraud: How Financial Markets Really Work         Economist Warns Fed Will Bring About Zimbabwe Style Hyperinflation     The $4 trillion housing headache (at Fortune)  foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 


PREVIOUS 6-1-09,  MORE CAN’T BE SAID, SO PREPOSTEROUS WAS THIS TYPICALLY FAKE BETTER THAN EXPECTED (RIIIIIGHT!) COMMERCE DEPARTMENT DATA SUCKERS’ RALLY TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED BASED ON CONTINUED BAD NEWS ( ie.,  GOV'T OWES RECORD $63.8 TRILLION...         Dollar Falls Most In A Month Since 1985    Leap in U.S. debt hits taxpayers with 12% more red ink        Gold jumps above $970/oz as dollar weakens          Double-Dip Depression  , New Record Continuing Unemployment Claims,    Marc Faber: “I Am 100% Sure that the U.S. Will Go Into Hyperinflation”         Why We'll  See Another Serious Equities Sell-Off      Obama continuing Bush’s assault on the middle class       Government will now own 72.5% of 'New GM'...         Roubini: U.S. economy to  dip again next year...         Case-Shillers index shows new record decline in real estate prices,    $80+ oil coming this year    Dallas Federal Reserve: Unfunded Pension and Health-Care Liabilities Exceeds $99 Trillion Dollars          Waterboard the Fed      Obama: We Are Broke. Well, Duh!            Russia Rationally Dumps Dollar as Reserve Currency - Adopts Euro   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie.,   Market Manipulation/Fraud: How Financial Markets Really Work         Economist Warns Fed Will Bring About Zimbabwe Style Hyperinflation     The $4 trillion housing headache (at Fortune)  foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Most U.S. retailers likely saw sales fall in May     GM files for bankruptcy, urges quick action    GM: A Mighty Icon Files for Bankruptcy      Dow gets shake-up as GM, Citi kicked out of average       GM removed from S&P 500 index (AP)      Stocks Will Fall 37% and Gold Will Rally %       Even in Crisis, Banks Dig In for Fight Against Rules New York Times | The nine biggest participants in the derivatives market — including JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and Bank of America — created a lobbying organization, the CDS Dealers Consortium, a month after five of its members accepted federal bailout money.     Zoellick Warns Stimulus ‘Sugar High’ Won’t Stem Unemployment Bloomberg | World Bank President Robert Zoellick warned policy makers that fiscal-stimulus plans are insufficient to turn around the “real economy”         

 

ANALYST FORECASTS: BULLS AND BEARS    By Richard Shaw    [there were 3 bull forecasts which are bull s**t and not included in the following excerpt to preclude fraud and conserve space; even the neutrals are a stretch]
…..BEAR - May 30: Morgan Stanley equity analyst Jason Todd says sell this S&P 500 rally. He says Morgan Stanley does not see large upside above 825-850. He said, “In the rush to buy a cyclical recovery, it seems earnings or valuation no longer matters. We would be comfortable with this view if the earnings trough was closer, but it is not.”

BEAR - MAY 28: Berkshire Hathaway possible successor to Warren Buffet, David Sokol, says they see no evidence of the green shoots that been a stimulus to the stock market. He sees the most significant headwinds to the electric utility industry in his 30 years, and see continuing housing industry problems.

BEAR?/BULL? - May 28: PIMCO co-CEO Bill Gross (manager of world’s largest bond fund) portrays “new normal” including accelerating inflation toward the latter part of a three- to five-year cycle, and the need to reexamine accepted notions about investing. He said stocks have not and will not always outperform bonds, and having 60% to 80% of portfolio assets in stocks may not always make sense. He believes the dollar will lose its status as the reserve currency; Brazil, India and China (forget Russia) will offer the best growth. The U.S. government will be selling trillions in Treasuries; the US savings rate may rise significantly, and the consumer economy may be shrinking long term due to the aging of the population.

BULL?/BEAR? - May 28: GMO CEO Jeremy Grantham predicts higher US savings and lower consumption with many postponed retirements. He sees some reasonable values within the stock market now and sees the third year of the presidential cycle (2011) as the most promising. He is not certain that a robust rally will continune. Like John Bogle, he believes in the principle of having your age as the percentage of bonds in your portfolio. He expects a bubble in emerging market stocks to develop.

BEAR - MAY 26: Comstock Partners portfolio managers Charlie Minter and Marty Weiner, say P/E’s on “as reported earnings” are too high in consideration of the long-term trend in earnings (now in down phase). “Over the past 75 years, most market peaks topped at around 20 times reported earnings, and the troughs occurred at around 10 times earnings. The financial mania of the late 1990s pushed P/Es to over 40 times reported earnings, and the following bust never brought P/Es below 18 times reported earnings. … Going back to 1950, every instance where actual earnings rose above trend-line earnings was followed by a period where actual earnings went well below trend-line earnings. Comstock Partners believes that we have entered such a period now, and that the market is trading at such a high multiple of trend-line earnings that it will be difficult to make money.”

BEAR - May 19: Gluskin Sheff analyst David Rosenberg (formerly of Merill Lynch) says this rally is a sucker’s rally based on short covering. “The FTSE All-World market P/E ratio on forward earnings estimates is now around 15x, well above pre-Lehman collapse levels and nearly double the lows for the cycle … this was a rally built largely on short covering, pension fund rebalancing and the emergence of hope wrapped up in ‘green shoot’ data points. … On average, the S&P 500 undergoes a correction of more than 20% … at a minimum, take profits”

NEUTRAL (BEAR?) - May 11: Baring Asset Management portfolio manager Hayes Miller says “Estimates suggest there isn’t that much further to run because equities are fairly valued … Earnings growth for 2009 and 2010 can’t support prices too much higher than where we are today.”

BEAR - May 11: HSBC Global Asset Management chief investment officer Leon Goldfeld, chief investment officer at HSBC Global Asset Management said it’s “hard to see” enough profit growth to justify higher stock prices. The firm’s strategy will be to reduce its holdings of equities and move into bonds and cash, he said.Bloomberg TV on June 1, said HSBC forecasts 900 as the year-end price for the S&P 500 index.

NEUTRAL - May 11: Bloomberg compilation of analyst forecasts of 2009 earnings for the S&P 500 is at $57.17 (not stated whether “as reported” or “operating”). As of June 1, that puts the S&P at about 16.5 times forecasted earnings. Yale economist Robert Schiller said the historic average is a multiple of about 16.3. [we note that we are not in an average situation or stage of a market, however].

BEAR - May 11: Bank of America CIO for private wealth management expects a 10% correction. He said, “We’re going to be in a very volatile, chop-and-grind type of market. We’ve been shown that there is a small light at the end of the tunnel, it’s dim but getting brighter, and that’s why stock prices have come this far this fast. Now, it’s all about ‘show me.’”

BEAR?/ BULL? - May Letter: PIMCO co-CEO Bill Gross wrote: “Do not be deceived by the euphoric sightings of “green shoots” and the claims for new bull markets in a multitude of asset classes. Stable and secure income is still the order of the day. Shaking hands with the new government is still the prescribed strategy, although it should be done at a senior level of the balance sheet. If the government indeed becomes your investment partner, you should keep the big Uncle in clear sight and without back turned. Risk will not likely be rewarded until the global economy stabilizes and the Obama rules of order are more clearly defined.”

BEAR - April 17: Barclay’s analyst Barry Knapp forecasts S&P 500 at 757 by year-end 2009. He said, “The equity market has priced this recovery and then some. It looks pretty expensive to us.”

PROGRAMMED TRADES/SUCKERS’ HIGH OIL/LOW DOLLAR (RIIIIIGHT!) RALLY INTO THE CLOSE TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED BASED ON BAD NEWS ( ie.,  GOV'T OWES RECORD $63.8 TRILLION...         Dollar Falls Most In A Month Since 1985    Leap in U.S. debt hits taxpayers with 12% more red ink        Gold jumps above $970/oz as dollar weakens          Double-Dip Depression  , New Record Continuing Unemployment Claims,    Marc Faber: “I Am 100% Sure that the U.S. Will Go Into Hyperinflation”         Why We'll  See Another Serious Equities Sell-Off      Obama continuing Bush’s assault on the middle class       Government will now own 72.5% of 'New GM'...         Roubini: U.S. economy to  dip again next year...         Case-Shillers index shows new record decline in real estate prices,    $80+ oil coming this year    Dallas Federal Reserve: Unfunded Pension and Health-Care Liabilities Exceeds $99 Trillion Dollars          Waterboard the Fed      Obama: We Are Broke. Well, Duh!            Russia Rationally Dumps Dollar as Reserve Currency - Adopts Euro   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie.,   Market Manipulation/Fraud: How Financial Markets Really Work         Economist Warns Fed Will Bring About Zimbabwe Style Hyperinflation     The $4 trillion housing headache (at Fortune)  foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!   

PREVIOUS 5-29-09, PROGRAMMED TRADES/SUCKERS’ HIGH OIL/LOW DOLLAR (RIIIIIGHT!) RALLY INTO THE CLOSE TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED BASED ON BAD NEWS ( ie.,  GOV'T OWES RECORD $63.8 TRILLION...         Dollar Falls Most In A Month Since 1985    Leap in U.S. debt hits taxpayers with 12% more red ink        Gold jumps above $970/oz as dollar weakens          Double-Dip Depression  , New Record Continuing Unemployment Claims,    Marc Faber: “I Am 100% Sure that the U.S. Will Go Into Hyperinflation”         Why We'll  See Another Serious Equities Sell-Off      Obama continuing Bush’s assault on the middle class       Government will now own 72.5% of 'New GM'...         Roubini: U.S. economy to  dip again next year...         Case-Shillers index shows new record decline in real estate prices,    $80+ oil coming this year    Dallas Federal Reserve: Unfunded Pension and Health-Care Liabilities Exceeds $99 Trillion Dollars          Waterboard the Fed      Obama: We Are Broke. Well, Duh!            Russia Rationally Dumps Dollar as Reserve Currency - Adopts Euro   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie.,   Market Manipulation/Fraud: How Financial Markets Really Work         Economist Warns Fed Will Bring About Zimbabwe Style Hyperinflation     The $4 trillion housing headache (at Fortune)  foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!   

PREVIOUS 5-28-09, SUCKERS’ RALLY INTO THE CLOSE TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED BASED ON BAD NEWS ( ie., Double-Dip Depression  , New Record Continuing Unemployment Claims,    Marc Faber: “I Am 100% Sure that the U.S. Will Go Into Hyperinflation”         Why We'll  See Another Serious Equities Sell-Off      Obama continuing Bush’s assault on the middle class       Government will now own 72.5% of 'New GM'...         Roubini: U.S. economy to  dip again next year...         Case-Shillers index shows new record decline in real estate prices,    $80+ oil coming this year    Dallas Federal Reserve: Unfunded Pension and Health-Care Liabilities Exceeds $99 Trillion Dollars          Waterboard the Fed      Obama: We Are Broke. Well, Duh!            Russia Rationally Dumps Dollar as Reserve Currency - Adopts Euro   ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., Economist Warns Fed Will Bring About Zimbabwe Style Hyperinflation     The $4 trillion housing headache (at Fortune)  foreclosure sales up, prices down  ,  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Foreclosure woes mount for those with good credit      Fed Finds a Way to Use Stress Tests to Screw Bank Shareholders One More Time (at Seeking Alpha)      Time Warner to spin off AOL, ending ill-fated deal      [$$] Listen, But Don't Get Suckered      Faber: Inflation to 'Approach Zimbabwe Level'...    U.S. Weighs Single Agency to Regulate Banking Industry Yet Ignores Existing Laws, Prosecution, and Disgorgement in this Huge Fraud…Why   

PREVIOUS 5-27-09, MODEST LOSSES RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP SUCKERS SUCKERED BASED ON BAD NEWS ( ie., Double-Dip Depression      Marc Faber: “I Am 100% Sure that the U.S. Will Go Into Hyperinflation”         Why We'll  See Another Serious Equities Sell-Off         Case-Shillers index shows new record decline in real estate prices,    $80+ oil coming this year    Dallas Federal Reserve: Unfunded Pension and Health-Care Liabilities Exceeds $99 Trillion Dollars          Waterboard the Fed      Obama: We Are Broke. Well, Duh!            Russia Rationally Dumps Dollar as Reserve Currency - Adopts Euro   Britain's Debt Outlook Gets Bleaker: Same Implications for the U.S…how could anyone be surprised about that?              Regulators shut 2 more, 35 and 36, failed banks this year in Illinois (AP)     GM borrows $4 billion more, prepares for bankruptcy    Job losses up in 44 states as recession drags on        Florida's BankUnited fails, will cost FDIC $4.9B (AP)     Regulators seize 34th bank failure of year Florida's BankUnited FSB (AP)      ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) AND BULL S**T ALONE (ie., Economist Warns Fed Will Bring About Zimbabwe Style Hyperinflation     The $4 trillion housing headache (at Fortune)  foreclosure sales up, prices down    Treasury Selloff Spiking Interest Rates      GM bankruptcy seen near          GM all but certain to file for Chapter 11    US Government to Take Up 70% Stake in GM          FDIC Fund Running Dry  Yahoo Finance | As the FDIC has had to step in to take over more and more insolvent banks, the fund has dwindled to dangerously low levels. At the same time, the number of problem banks continues to grow at a rapid pace.     IRS tax revenue falls along with taxpayers’ income USA Today | Federal tax revenue plunged $138 billion, or 34%, in April vs. a year ago — the biggest April drop since 1981. ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through  Wall Street sags on oil; S&P ends worst week in 2 months     Following Chrysler, GM slashing U.S. dealers      SEC lawyers probed for insider trading      GM, Chrysler to drop 1,900 dealers by end of 2010      The Financial Storm      Obama Says U.S. Long-Term Debt Load ‘Unsustainable’       “The Worst Is Yet to Come”          China’s yuan ’set to usurp US dollar’ as world’s reserve currency       Former Treasury Official who Devised Formula for Rate-Setting Based on Outlook for Inflation and Growth Warns that Inflation Looms, Slams Fed Policy    Dr. Doom: Capitalism Could Fail Like Communism         New York Fed: Most Powerful Financial Institution You’ve Never Heard Of along with the missing $4 trillion you’ve never heard of          Home Prices Drop Most on Record...       Federal Hiring Frenzy......average pay $75,419       A Coming Flood of Equity Issuance, aka The Dilution Solution      Fed cut banks' deficits after negotiations: sounds like a plan…riiiiight!…report          Buffett's Berkshire has first loss since 2001       Are stocks a loser's bet?YES!     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...    America is broke. How broke?    White House forecasts higher budget deficit       US red ink rising even higher, to $1.8T     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...     STIMULUS WATCH: Early road aid leaves out neediest; Auditors can't track transportation funds...      Gas price jumps to 6-month high...        Six GM executives sell more than 200,000 shares       John Hussman: Post Crash Bubbles   …Unfortunately, “fear” lows are only evident in hindsight, because as we saw in 2008, a deeply oversold market can become spectacularly more oversold before recovering, and the “fast, furious” spikes off of those lows are often followed by steep failures....     Fed Inspector General Claims She Does Not Know Where Trillions Went  Rep. Alan Grayson | Inspector General Elizabeth Coleman responds that the IG does not know and is not tracking where this money is.    Recovery? What Recovery?   Newsweek | Don’t tell me that the economy is getting better, or has even hit rock bottom.     Prospects of a quick economic recovery are but fool’s gold      Boosting The Dying Dollar With A False Rally  Suckers rally sets up the unwinding of the market, Rally just like in 1933, wealth producers becoming impoverished, Fed officer busted for fraud, troubles in the Economy are far beyond fixing, interdependence of banks around the world expected to worsen economic problems.      New York Fed chairman Friedman abruptly resigns      BEWARE OF THE SUCKER'S RALLY?  Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 5-26-09, suckers’ rally to keep suckers suckered based on bad news ( ie.,   Case-Shillers index shows new record decline in real estate prices,        Dallas Federal Reserve: Unfunded Pension and Health-Care Liabilities Exceeds $99 Trillion Dollars          Waterboard the Fed      Obama: We Are Broke. Well, Duh!            Russia Rationally Dumps Dollar as Reserve Currency - Adopts Euro   Britain's Debt Outlook Gets Bleaker: Same Implications for the U.S…how could anyone be surprised about that?              Regulators shut 2 more, 35 and 36, failed banks this year in Illinois (AP)     GM borrows $4 billion more, prepares for bankruptcy    Job losses up in 44 states as recession drags on        Florida's BankUnited fails, will cost FDIC $4.9B (AP)     Regulators seize 34th bank failure of year Florida's BankUnited FSB (AP)      ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) and bull s**t alone (ie.,  fake consumer confidence reading 30+% better than private estimate sucker-rallies stocks ,   Current Recession Is Tracking the 1930s Bear Market   ,  Another Bottom for Stocks Coming: Rogers (at CNBC)   ,  The Sleepwalkers' Rally         ,  Rogers Echoes Warning Of “Sucker’s Rally” , don’t forget that the suckers rally stock prices accounted for the very modest but ephemeral uptick in leading indicators        Dallas Federal Reserve: Unfunded Pension and Health-Care Liabilities Exceeds $99 Trillion Dollars    )  , ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!    America is broke. How broke?    White House forecasts higher budget deficit       US red ink rising even higher, to $1.8T     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...     STIMULUS WATCH: Early road aid leaves out neediest; Auditors can't track transportation funds...      Gas price jumps to 6-month high...        Six GM executives sell more than 200,000 shares       John Hussman: Post Crash Bubbles   …Unfortunately, “fear” lows are only evident in hindsight, because as we saw in 2008, a deeply oversold market can become spectacularly more oversold before recovering, and the “fast, furious” spikes off of those lows are often followed by steep failures....     Fed Inspector General Claims She Does Not Know Where Trillions Went  Rep. Alan Grayson | Inspector General Elizabeth Coleman responds that the IG does not know and is not tracking where this money is.    Recovery? What Recovery?   Newsweek | Don’t tell me that the economy is getting better, or has even hit rock bottom.     Prospects of a quick economic recovery are but fool’s gold      Boosting The Dying Dollar With A False Rally  Suckers rally sets up the unwinding of the market, Rally just like in 1933, wealth producers becoming impoverished, Fed officer busted for fraud, troubles in the Economy are far beyond fixing, interdependence of banks around the world expected to worsen economic problems.      New York Fed chairman Friedman abruptly resigns      BEWARE OF THE SUCKER'S RALLY?  Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 5-22-09, only very modest losses relative to reality based on bad news ( ie.,  Russia Rationally Dumps Dollar as Reserve Currency - Adopts Euro   Britain's Debt Outlook Gets Bleaker: Same Implications for the U.S…how could anyone be surprised about that?              Regulators shut 2 more, 35 and 36, failed banks this year in Illinois (AP)     GM borrows $4 billion more, prepares for bankruptcy    Job losses up in 44 states as recession drags on        Florida's BankUnited fails, will cost FDIC $4.9B (AP)     Regulators seize 34th bank failure of year Florida's BankUnited FSB (AP)      ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) and bull s**t alone (Current Recession Is Tracking the 1930s Bear Market   ,  Another Bottom for Stocks Coming: Rogers (at CNBC)   ,  The Sleepwalkers' Rally         ,  Rogers Echoes Warning Of “Sucker’s Rally” , don’t forget that the suckers rally stock prices accounted for the very modest but ephemeral uptick in leading indicators   )  , ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Regulators shut 2 more, 35 and 36, failed banks this year in Illinois (AP)     GM borrows $4 billion more, prepares for bankruptcy    Job losses up in 44 states as recession drags on        Bill to Audit Fed Wisely Gains Serious Momentum       U.S. to Steer GM Toward Bankruptcy       Gold tops $960 for first time in two months as dollar weakens      South Afica gold coin demand hits all time high     Peter Schiff called “Extremist” by Time Magazine      Geithner Vows to Cut U.S. Deficit on Rating Concern…riiiiight!…con     Gold Poised for Third Weekly Gain as Dollar Slumps Against Euro      SEC lawyers probed for insider trading      GM, Chrysler to drop 1,900 dealers by end of 2010      The Financial Storm      Obama Says U.S. Long-Term Debt Load ‘Unsustainable’       “The Worst Is Yet to Come”          China’s yuan ’set to usurp US dollar’ as world’s reserve currency       Former Treasury Official who Devised Formula for Rate-Setting Based on Outlook for Inflation and Growth Warns that Inflation Looms, Slams Fed Policy    Dr. Doom: Capitalism Could Fail Like Communism         New York Fed: Most Powerful Financial Institution You’ve Never Heard Of along with the missing $4 trillion you’ve never heard of          Home Prices Drop Most on Record...       Federal Hiring Frenzy......average pay $75,419       A Coming Flood of Equity Issuance, aka The Dilution Solution      Fed cut banks' deficits after negotiations: sounds like a plan…riiiiight!…report          Buffett's Berkshire has first loss since 2001       Are stocks a loser's bet?YES!     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...    America is broke. How broke?    White House forecasts higher budget deficit       US red ink rising even higher, to $1.8T     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...     STIMULUS WATCH: Early road aid leaves out neediest; Auditors can't track transportation funds...      Gas price jumps to 6-month high...        Six GM executives sell more than 200,000 shares       John Hussman: Post Crash Bubbles   …Unfortunately, “fear” lows are only evident in hindsight, because as we saw in 2008, a deeply oversold market can become spectacularly more oversold before recovering, and the “fast, furious” spikes off of those lows are often followed by steep failures....     Fed Inspector General Claims She Does Not Know Where Trillions Went  Rep. Alan Grayson | Inspector General Elizabeth Coleman responds that the IG does not know and is not tracking where this money is.    Recovery? What Recovery?   Newsweek | Don’t tell me that the economy is getting better, or has even hit rock bottom.     Prospects of a quick economic recovery are but fool’s gold      Boosting The Dying Dollar With A False Rally  Suckers rally sets up the unwinding of the market, Rally just like in 1933, wealth producers becoming impoverished, Fed officer busted for fraud, troubles in the Economy are far beyond fixing, interdependence of banks around the world expected to worsen economic problems.      New York Fed chairman Friedman abruptly resigns      BEWARE OF THE SUCKER'S RALLY?  Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 5-21-09, only modest losses relative to reality as rally into the close keeps suckers suckered based on bad news ( ie.,  Russia Rationally Dumps Dollar as Reserve Currency - Adopts Euro     Florida's BankUnited fails, will cost FDIC $4.9B (AP)     Regulators seize 34th bank failure of year Florida's BankUnited FSB (AP)      ,    new record for continuing unemployment claims, fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) and bull s**t alone (Current Recession Is Tracking the 1930s Bear Market   ,  Another Bottom for Stocks Coming: Rogers (at CNBC)   ,  The Sleepwalkers' Rally         ,  Rogers Echoes Warning Of “Sucker’s Rally” , don’t forget that the suckers rally stock prices accounted for the very modest but ephemeral uptick in leading indicators   )  , ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Britain's Debt Outlook Gets Bleaker: Same Implications for the U.S…how could anyone be surprised about that?       GMAC receives $7.5 billion in new Treasury aid (AP)     Dollar hits '09 low on rating fears; stocks dip (Reuters)     U.K. to Lose AAA Rating at S&P as Finances Weaken      U.S. Stocks Decline on Jobless Claims, greenspan, who helped create the debacle and should thereby know, Warning      Gold May Test $1,200      (5-20)  The Weimar Hyperinflation is Happening Again! With fed printing/creating like mad, what did they expect?     Rogers Echoes Warning Of “Sucker’s Rally”      Green Shoots: Too Small, Too Far Apart       The Sleepwalkers' Rally       Former head of pension agency takes the Fifth (AP)      Global stocks slip, dollar tumbles after downbeat Fed     Depression hits already defacto bankrupt Social Security hard     Gold purchases up 36% as investors look to preserve wealth      China Gold Reserves May Back Yuan Internationalization-Report     22 reasons why OBAMA will raise your taxes Federal debt is now $11.5 trillion. Add $1.4 trillion this year. That’s almost 100% of GDP.            (5-19)   Deficit surges at agency that insures pensions (AP)       China and Brazil Plan to Dump Dollar          HP's profit drops, more layoffs looming        Japan logs record GDP drop      Senator: More oversight needed at insolvent pension agency (AP)     Inflating Our Way Out of This Mess? Why This Won't Work        Japan's economy in record plunge      Jim Rogers: Obama will Devastate the Economy        This Economy Ain't Healed Yet (at Seeking Alpha)         (5-18) Suckers’ rally (The Suckers Rally, Japan Style   …high oil price rally…riiiiight! )  Bilderberg 2009 Attendee List (revised)            Meanwhile: The Bilderbergers are advancing in Norway  [ I realize that jones (who parenthetically it should be noted, hypocritically censored my comments) et als really overdoes this group’s (among others) effect on the u.s. , state of the world, etc.; truth be told, this group like most of the interest/pressure groups including the masses, in the u.s., etc., are no more than a just a bunch of f**k-ups/vegetables who like the aforementioned multitudes have really ‘mucked things up’ (for lack of a more precise yet concise term) on this planet, probably irrevocably, and like the many home-grown f**k-ups/vegetables, and in america particularly criminals, jones refuses to acknowledge as culpable for the many reasons he refuses to see, are but rather typically incompetent players contributing in there own very special eccentric, neurotic, sick, venal, corrupt, etc., way to this collective and cumulative result being this ever deflating (declining) ball of chaos /confusion /criminality called earth (there are exceptions to the foregoing, but in america, the same would be 5% or less) ].       Economy limiting services of local police        Madoff Investors Probed by U.S. Prosecutors yet still not even one prosecution of the perpetrators of the largest scam/fraud in history foisted off on/funded by taxpayers        Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 5-20-09, only modest losses relative to reality based on bad news ( ie., fed downgrades outlook that previously provided b.s. for suckers’ rally, record low for new housing starts, etc.) and bull s**t alone (Current Recession Is Tracking the 1930s Bear Market   ,  Another Bottom for Stocks Coming: Rogers (at CNBC)   ,  The Sleepwalkers' Rally         ,  Rogers Echoes Warning Of “Sucker’s Rally”    )  , ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!   The Weimar Hyperinflation is Happening Again! With fed printing/creating like mad, what did they expect?     Rogers Echoes Warning Of “Sucker’s Rally”      Green Shoots: Too Small, Too Far Apart       The Sleepwalkers' Rally       Former head of pension agency takes the Fifth (AP)      Global stocks slip, dollar tumbles after downbeat Fed     Depression hits already defacto bankrupt Social Security hard     Gold purchases up 36% as investors look to preserve wealth      China Gold Reserves May Back Yuan Internationalization-Report     22 reasons why OBAMA will raise your taxes Federal debt is now $11.5 trillion. Add $1.4 trillion this year. That’s almost 100% of GDP.            (5-19)   Deficit surges at agency that insures pensions (AP)       China and Brazil Plan to Dump Dollar          HP's profit drops, more layoffs looming        Japan logs record GDP drop      Senator: More oversight needed at insolvent pension agency (AP)     Inflating Our Way Out of This Mess? Why This Won't Work        Japan's economy in record plunge      Jim Rogers: Obama will Devastate the Economy        This Economy Ain't Healed Yet (at Seeking Alpha)         (5-18) Suckers’ rally (The Suckers Rally, Japan Style   …high oil price rally…riiiiight! )  Bilderberg 2009 Attendee List (revised)            Meanwhile: The Bilderbergers are advancing in Norway  [ I realize that jones (who parenthetically it should be noted, hypocritically censored my comments) et als really overdoes this group’s (among others) effect on the u.s. , state of the world, etc.; truth be told, this group like most of the interest/pressure groups including the masses, in the u.s., etc., are no more than a just a bunch of f**k-ups/vegetables who like the aforementioned multitudes have really ‘mucked things up’ (for lack of a more precise yet concise term) on this planet, probably irrevocably, and like the many home-grown f**k-ups/vegetables, and in america particularly criminals, jones refuses to acknowledge as culpable for the many reasons he refuses to see, are but rather typically incompetent players contributing in there own very special eccentric, neurotic, sick, venal, corrupt, etc., way to this collective and cumulative result being this ever deflating (declining) ball of chaos /confusion /criminality called earth (there are exceptions to the foregoing, but in america, the same would be 5% or less) ].       Economy limiting services of local police        Madoff Investors Probed by U.S. Prosecutors yet still not even one prosecution of the perpetrators of the largest scam/fraud in history foisted off on/funded by taxpayers        Rep. Paul’s bill to audit Federal Reserve nets 165 co-sponsors is the first of what should be many necessary wise moves     American Capitalism Gone With a Whimper    The Shrinking American Consumer       The Suckers Rally, Japan Style        Gold likely to test $950 level this week      Blue collar males lose more ground; unemployment rate surges past national average...         

PREVIOUS 5-19-09, only modest losses relative to reality based on bad news ( ie., record low for new housing starts, etc.) and bull s**t alone (Current Recession Is Tracking the 1930s Bear Market   ,  Another Bottom for Stocks Coming: Rogers (at CNBC)       )  , ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Deficit surges at agency that insures pensions (AP)       China and Brazil Plan to Dump Dollar          HP's profit drops, more layoffs looming        Japan logs record GDP drop      Senator: More oversight needed at insolvent pension agency (AP)     Inflating Our Way Out of This Mess? Why This Won't Work        Japan's economy in record plunge      Jim Rogers: Obama will Devastate the Economy        This Economy Ain't Healed Yet (at Seeking Alpha)         (5-18) Suckers’ rally (The Suckers Rally, Japan Style   …high oil price rally…riiiiight! )  Bilderberg 2009 Attendee List (revised)            Meanwhile: The Bilderbergers are advancing in Norway  [ I realize that jones (who parenthetically it should be noted, hypocritically censored my comments) et als really overdoes this group’s (among others) effect on the u.s. , state of the world, etc.; truth be told, this group like most of the interest/pressure groups including the masses, in the u.s., etc., are no more than a just a bunch of f**k-ups/vegetables who like the aforementioned multitudes have really ‘mucked things up’ (for lack of a more precise yet concise term) on this planet, probably irrevocably, and like the many home-grown f**k-ups/vegetables, and in america particularly criminals, jones refuses to acknowledge as culpable for the many reasons he refuses to see, are but rather typically incompetent players contributing in there own very special eccentric, neurotic, sick, venal, corrupt, etc., way to this collective and cumulative result being this ever deflating (declining) ball of chaos /confusion /criminality called earth (there are exceptions to the foregoing, but in america, the same would be 5% or less) ].       Economy limiting services of local police        Madoff Investors Probed by U.S. Prosecutors yet still not even one prosecution of the perpetrators of the largest scam/fraud in history foisted off on/funded by taxpayers        Rep. Paul’s bill to audit Federal Reserve nets 165 co-sponsors is the first of what should be many necessary wise moves     American Capitalism Gone With a Whimper    The Shrinking American Consumer       The Suckers Rally, Japan Style        Gold likely to test $950 level this week      New York Fed chairman Friedman abruptly resigns      BEWARE OF THE SUCKER'S RALLY?  Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 5-18-09, suckers’ rally (The Suckers Rally, Japan Style   …high oil price rally…riiiiight! )  accelerates into the close based on bad news and bull s**t alone (Current Recession Is Tracking the 1930s Bear Market  )  , ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  American Capitalism Gone With a Whimper    The Shrinking American Consumer       The Suckers Rally, Japan Style        Bilderberg 2009 Attendee List (revised)            Meanwhile: The Bilderbergers are advancing in Norway  [ I realize that jones (who parenthetically it should be noted, hypocritically censored my comments) et als really overdoes this group’s (among others) effect on the u.s. , state of the world, etc.; truth be told, this group like most of the interest/pressure groups including the masses, in the u.s., etc., are no more than a just a bunch of f**k-ups/vegetables who like the aforementioned multitudes have really ‘mucked things up’ (for lack of a more precise yet concise term) on this planet, probably irrevocably, and like the many home-grown f**k-ups/vegetables, and in america particularly criminals, jones refuses to acknowledge as culpable for the many reasons he refuses to see, are but rather typically incompetent players contributing in there own very special eccentric, neurotic, sick, venal, corrupt, etc., way to this collective and cumulative result being this ever deflating (declining) ball of chaos /confusion /criminality called earth (there are exceptions to the foregoing, but in america, the same would be 5% or less) ].       Economy limiting services of local police        Madoff Investors Probed by U.S. Prosecutors yet still not even one prosecution of the perpetrators of the largest scam/fraud in history foisted off on/funded by taxpayers      Rep. Paul’s bill to audit Federal Reserve nets 165 co-sponsors is the first of what should be many necessary wise moves        Gold likely to test $950 level this week      Blue collar males lose more ground; unemployment rate surges past national average...         (5-15)Highest credit card default rates in 26 years at 10+%, the real economy in terms of unemployment, income, and debt far worse than their rosy ‘green shoots’ scenario to help froth the market. Wall Street sags on oil; S&P ends worst week in 2 months     Following Chrysler, GM slashing U.S. dealers   “The Worst Is Yet to Come”  Yahoo Finance | “If the consumer isn’t petrified, he or she is a damn fool.”       (5-14)All news worse than expected, ie., weekly job losses higher than expected 637,000, wholesale inflation rate .3%,   BEAR ALARM      US ’sham’ bank bail-outs enrich speculators  ,  The Secrets of the Federal Reserve  Bob Chapman | A manmade disaster created by the Federal Reserve, banking and Wall Street, and these are the same corrupt group who our government has chosen to rectify the problem.  The Economy Will Not Recover Until The Perpetrators Of Our Crises Are Held Accountable    etc.,  It’s worth noting in a Wall Street Journal editorial hedge fund manager Andy Kessler said in no uncertain terms, “this sure smells to me a suckers rally,” largely because “there aren't sustainable, fundamental reasons for the market's continued rise.”     I’m skeptical about this rally, reveals analyst Guy Adami.      Wall Street sags on oil; S&P ends worst week in 2 months     Following Chrysler, GM slashing U.S. dealers      SEC lawyers probed for insider trading      GM, Chrysler to drop 1,900 dealers by end of 2010      The Financial Storm      Obama Says U.S. Long-Term Debt Load ‘Unsustainable’       “The Worst Is Yet to Come”          China’s yuan ’set to usurp US dollar’ as world’s reserve currency       Former Treasury Official who Devised Formula for Rate-Setting Based on Outlook for Inflation and Growth Warns that Inflation Looms, Slams Fed Policy    Dr. Doom: Capitalism Could Fail Like Communism         New York Fed: Most Powerful Financial Institution You’ve Never Heard Of along with the missing $4 trillion you’ve never heard of          Home Prices Drop Most on Record...       Federal Hiring Frenzy......average pay $75,419       A Coming Flood of Equity Issuance, aka The Dilution Solution      Fed cut banks' deficits after negotiations: sounds like a plan…riiiiight!…report          Buffett's Berkshire has first loss since 2001       Are stocks a loser's bet?YES!     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...    America is broke. How broke?    White House forecasts higher budget deficit       US red ink rising even higher, to $1.8T     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...     STIMULUS WATCH: Early road aid leaves out neediest; Auditors can't track transportation funds...      Gas price jumps to 6-month high...        Six GM executives sell more than 200,000 shares       John Hussman: Post Crash Bubbles   …Unfortunately, “fear” lows are only evident in hindsight, because as we saw in 2008, a deeply oversold market can become spectacularly more oversold before recovering, and the “fast, furious” spikes off of those lows are often followed by steep failures....     Fed Inspector General Claims She Does Not Know Where Trillions Went  Rep. Alan Grayson | Inspector General Elizabeth Coleman responds that the IG does not know and is not tracking where this money is.    Recovery? What Recovery?   Newsweek | Don’t tell me that the economy is getting better, or has even hit rock bottom.     Prospects of a quick economic recovery are but fool’s gold      Boosting The Dying Dollar With A False Rally  Suckers rally sets up the unwinding of the market, Rally just like in 1933, wealth producers becoming impoverished, Fed officer busted for fraud, troubles in the Economy are far beyond fixing, interdependence of banks around the world expected to worsen economic problems.      New York Fed chairman Friedman abruptly resigns      BEWARE OF THE SUCKER'S RALLY?  Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 5-15-09,  only modest losses relative to reality as this suckers’ rally has been based on bad news and bull s**t alone, ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! Highest credit card default rates in 26 years at 10+%, the real economy in terms of unemployment, income, and debt far worse than their rosy ‘green shoots’ scenario to help froth the market. Wall Street sags on oil; S&P ends worst week in 2 months     Following Chrysler, GM slashing U.S. dealers   “The Worst Is Yet to Come”  Yahoo Finance | “If the consumer isn’t petrified, he or she is a damn fool.”       (5-14)All news worse than expected, ie., weekly job losses higher than expected 637,000, wholesale inflation rate .3%,   BEAR ALARM      US ’sham’ bank bail-outs enrich speculators  ,  The Secrets of the Federal Reserve  Bob Chapman | A manmade disaster created by the Federal Reserve, banking and Wall Street, and these are the same corrupt group who our government has chosen to rectify the problem.  The Economy Will Not Recover Until The Perpetrators Of Our Crises Are Held Accountable    etc.,  It’s worth noting in a Wall Street Journal editorial hedge fund manager Andy Kessler said in no uncertain terms, “this sure smells to me a suckers rally,” largely because “there aren't sustainable, fundamental reasons for the market's continued rise.”     I’m skeptical about this rally, reveals analyst Guy Adami.    U.S. Economy: Retail Sales Unexpectedly Fall for Second Month    GM, Chrysler to cut up to 3,000 dealers: sources (Reuters)       U.S. Foreclosure Filings Hit Record for Second Straight Month        Is Anyone Minding the Store at the Federal Reserve?             Unemployment up to 8.9%, The Economy Will Not Recover Until The Perpetrators Of Our Crises Are Held Accountable , etc..  America is broke. How broke?   NSN Money | Government obligations for Social Security and Medicare may soon exceed the combined net worth of every household and nonprofit organization in the country. "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through  Wall Street sags on oil; S&P ends worst week in 2 months     Following Chrysler, GM slashing U.S. dealers      SEC lawyers probed for insider trading      GM, Chrysler to drop 1,900 dealers by end of 2010      The Financial Storm      Obama Says U.S. Long-Term Debt Load ‘Unsustainable’       “The Worst Is Yet to Come”          China’s yuan ’set to usurp US dollar’ as world’s reserve currency       Former Treasury Official who Devised Formula for Rate-Setting Based on Outlook for Inflation and Growth Warns that Inflation Looms, Slams Fed Policy    Dr. Doom: Capitalism Could Fail Like Communism         New York Fed: Most Powerful Financial Institution You’ve Never Heard Of along with the missing $4 trillion you’ve never heard of          Home Prices Drop Most on Record...       Federal Hiring Frenzy......average pay $75,419       A Coming Flood of Equity Issuance, aka The Dilution Solution      Fed cut banks' deficits after negotiations: sounds like a plan…riiiiight!…report          Buffett's Berkshire has first loss since 2001       Are stocks a loser's bet?YES!     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...    America is broke. How broke?    White House forecasts higher budget deficit       US red ink rising even higher, to $1.8T     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...     STIMULUS WATCH: Early road aid leaves out neediest; Auditors can't track transportation funds...      Gas price jumps to 6-month high...        Six GM executives sell more than 200,000 shares       John Hussman: Post Crash Bubbles   …Unfortunately, “fear” lows are only evident in hindsight, because as we saw in 2008, a deeply oversold market can become spectacularly more oversold before recovering, and the “fast, furious” spikes off of those lows are often followed by steep failures....     Fed Inspector General Claims She Does Not Know Where Trillions Went  Rep. Alan Grayson | Inspector General Elizabeth Coleman responds that the IG does not know and is not tracking where this money is.    Recovery? What Recovery?   Newsweek | Don’t tell me that the economy is getting better, or has even hit rock bottom.     Prospects of a quick economic recovery are but fool’s gold      Boosting The Dying Dollar With A False Rally  Suckers rally sets up the unwinding of the market, Rally just like in 1933, wealth producers becoming impoverished, Fed officer busted for fraud, troubles in the Economy are far beyond fixing, interdependence of banks around the world expected to worsen economic problems.      New York Fed chairman Friedman abruptly resigns      BEWARE OF THE SUCKER'S RALLY?  Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 5-14-09,  suckers’ rally has been based on bad news and bull s**t alone, ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! Highest credit card default rates in 26 years at 10+%, the real economy in terms of unemployment, income, and debt far worse than their rosy ‘green shoots’ scenario to help froth the market. Wall Street sags on oil; S&P ends worst week in 2 months     Following Chrysler, GM slashing U.S. dealers   “The Worst Is Yet to Come”  Yahoo Finance | “If the consumer isn’t petrified, he or she is a damn fool.”  (5-14)All news worse than expected, ie., weekly job losses higher than expected 637,000, wholesale inflation rate .3%,   BEAR ALARM      US ’sham’ bank bail-outs enrich speculators  ,  The Secrets of the Federal Reserve  Bob Chapman | A manmade disaster created by the Federal Reserve, banking and Wall Street, and these are the same corrupt group who our government has chosen to rectify the problem.  The Economy Will Not Recover Until The Perpetrators Of Our Crises Are Held Accountable    etc.,  It’s worth noting in a Wall Street Journal editorial hedge fund manager Andy Kessler said in no uncertain terms, “this sure smells to me a suckers rally,” largely because “there aren't sustainable, fundamental reasons for the market's continued rise.”     I’m skeptical about this rally, reveals analyst Guy Adami.    U.S. Economy: Retail Sales Unexpectedly Fall for Second Month    GM, Chrysler to cut up to 3,000 dealers: sources (Reuters)       U.S. Foreclosure Filings Hit Record for Second Straight Month        Is Anyone Minding the Store at the Federal Reserve?             Unemployment up to 8.9%, The Economy Will Not Recover Until The Perpetrators Of Our Crises Are Held Accountable , etc..  America is broke. How broke?   NSN Money | Government obligations for Social Security and Medicare may soon exceed the combined net worth of every household and nonprofit organization in the country Oil jumps above $60 on weak US currency       U.S. Trade Deficit Widens First Time in Eight Months        U.S. Federal Deficit to Worsen due to Dismal Economic Projections       Median home prices fall in 88 percent of cities      Freddie Mac seeks $6.1B in US aid after 1Q loss       Higher Taxes Coming, Just Like Obama Promised           New York Fed: Most Powerful Financial Institution You’ve Never Heard Of along with the missing $4 trillion you’ve never heard of          Home Prices Drop Most on Record...       Federal Hiring Frenzy......average pay $75,419       A Coming Flood of Equity Issuance, aka The Dilution Solution      Fed cut banks' deficits after negotiations: sounds like a plan…riiiiight!…report          Buffett's Berkshire has first loss since 2001       Are stocks a loser's bet?YES!     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...    America is broke. How broke?    White House forecasts higher budget deficit       US red ink rising even higher, to $1.8T     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...     STIMULUS WATCH: Early road aid leaves out neediest; Auditors can't track transportation funds...      Gas price jumps to 6-month high...        Six GM executives sell more than 200,000 shares       John Hussman: Post Crash Bubbles   …Unfortunately, “fear” lows are only evident in hindsight, because as we saw in 2008, a deeply oversold market can become spectacularly more oversold before recovering, and the “fast, furious” spikes off of those lows are often followed by steep failures....     Fed Inspector General Claims She Does Not Know Where Trillions Went  Rep. Alan Grayson | Inspector General Elizabeth Coleman responds that the IG does not know and is not tracking where this money is.    Recovery? What Recovery?   Newsweek | Don’t tell me that the economy is getting better, or has even hit rock bottom.     Prospects of a quick economic recovery are but fool’s gold      Boosting The Dying Dollar With A False Rally  Suckers rally sets up the unwinding of the market, Rally just like in 1933, wealth producers becoming impoverished, Fed officer busted for fraud, troubles in the Economy are far beyond fixing, interdependence of banks around the world expected to worsen economic problems.      New York Fed chairman Friedman abruptly resigns      BEWARE OF THE SUCKER'S RALLY?  Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 5-13-09,  modest losses relative to reality, ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’, so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  It’s worth noting in a Wall Street Journal editorial hedge fund manager Andy Kessler said in no uncertain terms, “this sure smells to me a suckers rally,” largely because “there aren't sustainable, fundamental reasons for the market's continued rise.”     I’m skeptical about this rally, reveals analyst Guy Adami.    U.S. Economy: Retail Sales Unexpectedly Fall for Second Month    GM, Chrysler to cut up to 3,000 dealers: sources (Reuters)       U.S. Foreclosure Filings Hit Record for Second Straight Month        Is Anyone Minding the Store at the Federal Reserve?             Unemployment up to 8.9%, The Economy Will Not Recover Until The Perpetrators Of Our Crises Are Held Accountable , etc..  America is broke. How broke?   NSN Money | Government obligations for Social Security and Medicare may soon exceed the combined net worth of every household and nonprofit organization in the country.  Everyone is familiar with the old saying, "what goes up must come down." Certainly the stock market has mounted a serious challenge to this old saying since bouncing off its lows in March and continues to defy gravity…In the face of unrelenting bad news, the market has been climbing because the news is "less bad," Gentle Ben and his Merry Band of Feds see "green shoots" and the financial press continues an unrelenting mantra of "recovery lies just ahead." It seems like the markets will never stop climbing, but they will, because contrary to what you hear on CNBC and read in the financial press, the laws of gravity have not been repealed and it's still true that "what goes up, must come down."

…When measured in ounces of Gold, the DOW has been in a secular bear market since peaking in late 1999. (Click charts, courtesy of stockcharts.com, for full size image). The markets, measured by the S&P500 (S&P500 Charts) and DIJA (DJIA Charts), may have recovered to new highs in 2007, but the DOW:Gold ratio told a different, truer story of just how unhealthy the US economy was…

Oil jumps above $60 on weak US currency       U.S. Trade Deficit Widens First Time in Eight Months        U.S. Federal Deficit to Worsen due to Dismal Economic Projections       Median home prices fall in 88 percent of cities      Freddie Mac seeks $6.1B in US aid after 1Q loss       Higher Taxes Coming, Just Like Obama Promised           New York Fed: Most Powerful Financial Institution You’ve Never Heard Of along with the missing $4 trillion you’ve never heard of          Home Prices Drop Most on Record...       Federal Hiring Frenzy......average pay $75,419       A Coming Flood of Equity Issuance, aka The Dilution Solution      Fed cut banks' deficits after negotiations: sounds like a plan…riiiiight!…report          Buffett's Berkshire has first loss since 2001       Are stocks a loser's bet?YES!     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...    America is broke. How broke?    White House forecasts higher budget deficit       US red ink rising even higher, to $1.8T     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...     STIMULUS WATCH: Early road aid leaves out neediest; Auditors can't track transportation funds...      Gas price jumps to 6-month high...        Six GM executives sell more than 200,000 shares       John Hussman: Post Crash Bubbles   …Unfortunately, “fear” lows are only evident in hindsight, because as we saw in 2008, a deeply oversold market can become spectacularly more oversold before recovering, and the “fast, furious” spikes off of those lows are often followed by steep failures....     Fed Inspector General Claims She Does Not Know Where Trillions Went  Rep. Alan Grayson | Inspector General Elizabeth Coleman responds that the IG does not know and is not tracking where this money is.    Recovery? What Recovery?   Newsweek | Don’t tell me that the economy is getting better, or has even hit rock bottom.     Prospects of a quick economic recovery are but fool’s gold      Boosting The Dying Dollar With A False Rally  Suckers rally sets up the unwinding of the market, Rally just like in 1933, wealth producers becoming impoverished, Fed officer busted for fraud, troubles in the Economy are far beyond fixing, interdependence of banks around the world expected to worsen economic problems.      New York Fed chairman Friedman abruptly resigns      BEWARE OF THE SUCKER'S RALLY?  Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 5-12-09,  It’s worth noting in a Wall Street Journal editorial hedge fund manager Andy Kessler said in no uncertain terms, “this sure smells to me a suckers rally,” largely because “there aren't sustainable, fundamental reasons for the market's continued rise.”     I’m skeptical about this rally, reveals analyst Guy Adami.  ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’ so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Unemployment up to 8.9%, The Economy Will Not Recover Until The Perpetrators Of Our Crises Are Held Accountable , etc.. Everyone is familiar with the old saying, "what goes up must come down." Certainly the stock market has mounted a serious challenge to this old saying since bouncing off its lows in March and continues to defy gravity…In the face of unrelenting bad news, the market has been climbing because the news is "less bad," Gentle Ben and his Merry Band of Feds see "green shoots" and the financial press continues an unrelenting mantra of "recovery lies just ahead." It seems like the markets will never stop climbing, but they will, because contrary to what you hear on CNBC and read in the financial press, the laws of gravity have not been repealed and it's still true that "what goes up, must come down."

…When measured in ounces of Gold, the DOW has been in a secular bear market since peaking in late 1999. (Click charts, courtesy of stockcharts.com, for full size image). The markets, measured by the S&P500 (S&P500 Charts) and DIJA (DJIA Charts), may have recovered to new highs in 2007, but the DOW:Gold ratio told a different, truer story of just how unhealthy the US economy was…

BEWARE OF THE SUCKER'S RALLY?  ‘…Most recently, the S&P 500 soared 24 per cent over seven weeks ending in early January, only to plunge to a new low. It was a fairly typical sucker’s rally and bear markets often need more than one to create sufficient disillusionment for a definitive bottom.  The 2000–2002 bear market had three, with average gains of 21 per cent in the Dow Jones Industrials over 45 days. The granddaddy of all bear markets, 1929 –1932, had six false alarms with an average gain of 47 per cent. And Japan’s ongoing bear saw the Nikkei rise by at least a third four times in its first four years with 10 more false dawns since then. Bear markets typically end with a whimper rather than a bang, casting doubt on the latest recovery according to Hussman Econometrics, which analysed numerous US market bottoms and bear market rallies. With the exception of the 1987 crash, the month before the lowest point of a downturn saw a gradual descent. By contrast, bear market rallies were preceded by steeper declines and had sharper rebounds. Another characteristic of bear market rallies has been modest volume on the rebound compared to the decline. The current recovery fits the pattern of bear market rallies in terms of volume and the “V” shape of the trough. Analysts at Bespoke Investment Group noted that there have been only seven other periods in the past 110 years with rallies of similar magnitude for the Dow. Three preceded the Great Depression, three came during the Depression and one in 1982…’
  New record for continuing unemployment claims and as with all government data, adp data, etc., is fudged to whatever way necessary to help froth the market. Short-covering explaining part of what remains of this continuing suckers’ bear market rally and as admonished by analyst at Farr Miller is a bull trap. How about plain old bull crap!  One analyst (Craig Brown) points out that we’re not at the bottom yet: excerpt-‘ I hate repeating myself, but I do not see the economy at bottom just yet, so in some respects I will keep repeating myself until either other people wake up to this reality or something changes to wake me up. The markets were down a bit yesterday and, according to Bloomberg, they were down due to fears of the stress test results. I don't fear them; I fear what they hide. I fear that a reported 10 out of 19 banks failed when the tests were not at all stringent enough. I fear that the government will soft-pedal the results to make them bad enough to have a tad of credibility but not so bad that people run for the exits. Don't buy my word for it, others are saying the same, including Nouriel Roubini. Nouriel has been complaining for weeks on how the worst case scenario in the stress tests is already rosier than reality.’  Some perspective from Sajal… Excerpts – ie.,Mark Hulbert: That bullish bandwagon. Commentary: Some sentiment measures showing too much optimism   Art Cashin: "This rally is still somewhat suspect.   Albert Edwards : "Despite one of the biggest economics and profit collapses in history, US stocks have failed to get cheap in the same way that they have in Europe or Japan. My concern is that the US equity bear market has not yet fully played out. "The current pop in the market is not dissimilar to the many bear market rallies between 1929-1933, where signs of economic stabilisation were met with 25% plus rallies... This optimism was subsequently crushed."  Charles Allmon … He still thinks the stock market could decline to 3,200-4,200 on the Dow by 2011-2012 -- and that it could cross the price of gold.   Jim Bianco: "I don't think we are getting out of this for a long while. This has been a lousy stock rally.  …   …traders living in a fool's paradise if they continue to drive the markets higher by buying stocks based on earnings that are down, say, 50 percent from this time last year, only because they're not down 75 percent… Diane Garnick, investment strategist at Invesco...In an interview on Tech Ticker, Garnick says that companies are beating earnings expectations in the first quarter by Draconian cost-cutting, an unsustainable strategy for long-term growth. More importantly, although companies are beating profit estimates, thanks to the cost-cutting, they are missing expectations for revenue, she says. Further, cost-cutting via layoffs hurts the economy as a whole, Garnick argues, because the unemployed spend less money… U.S. Economy: GDP Shrinks in Worst Slump in 50 Years "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through…” …[The upshot is that the fraud continues in churn-and-earn fashion with investors, taxpayer, etc., getting burned for the sake of wall street greed/fraud. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc. - Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.].  U.S. Economy in 2nd Straight Quarter of Steep Decline      "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through  Oil jumps above $60 on weak US currency       U.S. Trade Deficit Widens First Time in Eight Months        U.S. Federal Deficit to Worsen due to Dismal Economic Projections       Median home prices fall in 88 percent of cities      Freddie Mac seeks $6.1B in US aid after 1Q loss       Higher Taxes Coming, Just Like Obama Promised           New York Fed: Most Powerful Financial Institution You’ve Never Heard Of along with the missing $4 trillion you’ve never heard of          Home Prices Drop Most on Record...       Federal Hiring Frenzy......average pay $75,419       A Coming Flood of Equity Issuance, aka The Dilution Solution      Fed cut banks' deficits after negotiations: sounds like a plan…riiiiight!…report          Buffett's Berkshire has first loss since 2001       Are stocks a loser's bet?YES!     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...    America is broke. How broke?    White House forecasts higher budget deficit       US red ink rising even higher, to $1.8T     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...     STIMULUS WATCH: Early road aid leaves out neediest; Auditors can't track transportation funds...      Gas price jumps to 6-month high...        Six GM executives sell more than 200,000 shares       John Hussman: Post Crash Bubbles   …Unfortunately, “fear” lows are only evident in hindsight, because as we saw in 2008, a deeply oversold market can become spectacularly more oversold before recovering, and the “fast, furious” spikes off of those lows are often followed by steep failures....     Fed Inspector General Claims She Does Not Know Where Trillions Went  Rep. Alan Grayson | Inspector General Elizabeth Coleman responds that the IG does not know and is not tracking where this money is.    Recovery? What Recovery?   Newsweek | Don’t tell me that the economy is getting better, or has even hit rock bottom.     Prospects of a quick economic recovery are but fool’s gold      Boosting The Dying Dollar With A False Rally  Suckers rally sets up the unwinding of the market, Rally just like in 1933, wealth producers becoming impoverished, Fed officer busted for fraud, troubles in the Economy are far beyond fixing, interdependence of banks around the world expected to worsen economic problems.      New York Fed chairman Friedman abruptly resigns      BEWARE OF THE SUCKER'S RALLY?  Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 5-11-09, only modest losses relative to reality, ‘SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY’ so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Unemployment up to 8.9%, The Economy Will Not Recover Until The Perpetrators Of Our Crises Are Held Accountable , etc.. Everyone is familiar with the old saying, "what goes up must come down." Certainly the stock market has mounted a serious challenge to this old saying since bouncing off its lows in March and continues to defy gravity…In the face of unrelenting bad news, the market has been climbing because the news is "less bad," Gentle Ben and his Merry Band of Feds see "green shoots" and the financial press continues an unrelenting mantra of "recovery lies just ahead." It seems like the markets will never stop climbing, but they will, because contrary to what you hear on CNBC and read in the financial press, the laws of gravity have not been repealed and it's still true that "what goes up, must come down."

…When measured in ounces of Gold, the DOW has been in a secular bear market since peaking in late 1999. (Click charts, courtesy of stockcharts.com, for full size image). The markets, measured by the S&P500 (S&P500 Charts) and DIJA (DJIA Charts), may have recovered to new highs in 2007, but the DOW:Gold ratio told a different, truer story of just how unhealthy the US economy was…

BEWARE OF THE SUCKER'S RALLY?  ‘…Most recently, the S&P 500 soared 24 per cent over seven weeks ending in early January, only to plunge to a new low. It was a fairly typical sucker’s rally and bear markets often need more than one to create sufficient disillusionment for a definitive bottom.  The 2000–2002 bear market had three, with average gains of 21 per cent in the Dow Jones Industrials over 45 days. The granddaddy of all bear markets, 1929 –1932, had six false alarms with an average gain of 47 per cent. And Japan’s ongoing bear saw the Nikkei rise by at least a third four times in its first four years with 10 more false dawns since then. Bear markets typically end with a whimper rather than a bang, casting doubt on the latest recovery according to Hussman Econometrics, which analysed numerous US market bottoms and bear market rallies. With the exception of the 1987 crash, the month before the lowest point of a downturn saw a gradual descent. By contrast, bear market rallies were preceded by steeper declines and had sharper rebounds. Another characteristic of bear market rallies has been modest volume on the rebound compared to the decline. The current recovery fits the pattern of bear market rallies in terms of volume and the “V” shape of the trough. Analysts at Bespoke Investment Group noted that there have been only seven other periods in the past 110 years with rallies of similar magnitude for the Dow. Three preceded the Great Depression, three came during the Depression and one in 1982…’
  New record for continuing unemployment claims and as with all government data, adp data, etc., is fudged to whatever way necessary to help froth the market. Short-covering explaining part of what remains of this continuing suckers’ bear market rally and as admonished by analyst at Farr Miller is a bull trap. How about plain old bull crap!  One analyst (Craig Brown) points out that we’re not at the bottom yet: excerpt-‘ I hate repeating myself, but I do not see the economy at bottom just yet, so in some respects I will keep repeating myself until either other people wake up to this reality or something changes to wake me up. The markets were down a bit yesterday and, according to Bloomberg, they were down due to fears of the stress test results. I don't fear them; I fear what they hide. I fear that a reported 10 out of 19 banks failed when the tests were not at all stringent enough. I fear that the government will soft-pedal the results to make them bad enough to have a tad of credibility but not so bad that people run for the exits. Don't buy my word for it, others are saying the same, including Nouriel Roubini. Nouriel has been complaining for weeks on how the worst case scenario in the stress tests is already rosier than reality.’  Some perspective from Sajal… Excerpts – ie.,Mark Hulbert: That bullish bandwagon. Commentary: Some sentiment measures showing too much optimism   Art Cashin: "This rally is still somewhat suspect.   Albert Edwards : "Despite one of the biggest economics and profit collapses in history, US stocks have failed to get cheap in the same way that they have in Europe or Japan. My concern is that the US equity bear market has not yet fully played out. "The current pop in the market is not dissimilar to the many bear market rallies between 1929-1933, where signs of economic stabilisation were met with 25% plus rallies... This optimism was subsequently crushed."  Charles Allmon … He still thinks the stock market could decline to 3,200-4,200 on the Dow by 2011-2012 -- and that it could cross the price of gold.   Jim Bianco: "I don't think we are getting out of this for a long while. This has been a lousy stock rally.  …   …traders living in a fool's paradise if they continue to drive the markets higher by buying stocks based on earnings that are down, say, 50 percent from this time last year, only because they're not down 75 percent… Diane Garnick, investment strategist at Invesco...In an interview on Tech Ticker, Garnick says that companies are beating earnings expectations in the first quarter by Draconian cost-cutting, an unsustainable strategy for long-term growth. More importantly, although companies are beating profit estimates, thanks to the cost-cutting, they are missing expectations for revenue, she says. Further, cost-cutting via layoffs hurts the economy as a whole, Garnick argues, because the unemployed spend less money… U.S. Economy: GDP Shrinks in Worst Slump in 50 Years "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through…” …[The upshot is that the fraud continues in churn-and-earn fashion with investors, taxpayer, etc., getting burned for the sake of wall street greed/fraud. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc. - Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.].  U.S. Economy in 2nd Straight Quarter of Steep Decline      "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through    A Coming Flood of Equity Issuance, aka The Dilution Solution      Fed cut banks' deficits after negotiations: sounds like a plan…riiiiight!…report          Buffett's Berkshire has first loss since 2001       Are stocks a loser's bet?YES!     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...    America is broke. How broke?    White House forecasts higher budget deficit       US red ink rising even higher, to $1.8T     Deficits soar even with rosy assumptions in new Obama budget...     STIMULUS WATCH: Early road aid leaves out neediest; Auditors can't track transportation funds...      Gas price jumps to 6-month high...        Six GM executives sell more than 200,000 shares       John Hussman: Post Crash Bubbles   …Unfortunately, “fear” lows are only evident in hindsight, because as we saw in 2008, a deeply oversold market can become spectacularly more oversold before recovering, and the “fast, furious” spikes off of those lows are often followed by steep failures....     Fed Inspector General Claims She Does Not Know Where Trillions Went  Rep. Alan Grayson | Inspector General Elizabeth Coleman responds that the IG does not know and is not tracking where this money is.    Recovery? What Recovery?   Newsweek | Don’t tell me that the economy is getting better, or has even hit rock bottom.     Prospects of a quick economic recovery are but fool’s gold      Boosting The Dying Dollar With A False Rally  Suckers rally sets up the unwinding of the market, Rally just like in 1933, wealth producers becoming impoverished, Fed officer busted for fraud, troubles in the Economy are far beyond fixing, interdependence of banks around the world expected to worsen economic problems.      New York Fed chairman Friedman abruptly resigns      BEWARE OF THE SUCKER'S RALLY?  Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 5-8-09, the flaming full moon and effect on lunatic wall street frauds and bull s**t alone (false data, not as bad as expected…riiiiight!…, etc.) irrationally exuberantly rally stocks so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Unemployment up to 8.9%, US unemployment hits 25-year high       China fears bond crisis as it slams quantitative easing   The Economy Will Not Recover Until The Perpetrators Of Our Crises Are Held Accountable , etc..  BEWARE OF THE SUCKER'S RALLY?  ‘…Most recently, the S&P 500 soared 24 per cent over seven weeks ending in early January, only to plunge to a new low. It was a fairly typical sucker’s rally and bear markets often need more than one to create sufficient disillusionment for a definitive bottom.  The 2000–2002 bear market had three, with average gains of 21 per cent in the Dow Jones Industrials over 45 days. The granddaddy of all bear markets, 1929 –1932, had six false alarms with an average gain of 47 per cent. And Japan’s ongoing bear saw the Nikkei rise by at least a third four times in its first four years with 10 more false dawns since then. Bear markets typically end with a whimper rather than a bang, casting doubt on the latest recovery according to Hussman Econometrics, which analysed numerous US market bottoms and bear market rallies. With the exception of the 1987 crash, the month before the lowest point of a downturn saw a gradual descent. By contrast, bear market rallies were preceded by steeper declines and had sharper rebounds. Another characteristic of bear market rallies has been modest volume on the rebound compared to the decline. The current recovery fits the pattern of bear market rallies in terms of volume and the “V” shape of the trough. Analysts at Bespoke Investment Group noted that there have been only seven other periods in the past 110 years with rallies of similar magnitude for the Dow. Three preceded the Great Depression, three came during the Depression and one in 1982…’
  New record for continuing unemployment claims and as with all government data, adp data, etc., is fudged to whatever way necessary to help froth the market. Short-covering explaining part of what remains of this continuing suckers’ bear market rally and as admonished by analyst at Farr Miller is a bull trap. How about plain old bull crap!  One analyst (Craig Brown) points out that we’re not at the bottom yet: excerpt-‘ I hate repeating myself, but I do not see the economy at bottom just yet, so in some respects I will keep repeating myself until either other people wake up to this reality or something changes to wake me up. The markets were down a bit yesterday and, according to Bloomberg, they were down due to fears of the stress test results. I don't fear them; I fear what they hide. I fear that a reported 10 out of 19 banks failed when the tests were not at all stringent enough. I fear that the government will soft-pedal the results to make them bad enough to have a tad of credibility but not so bad that people run for the exits. Don't buy my word for it, others are saying the same, including Nouriel Roubini. Nouriel has been complaining for weeks on how the worst case scenario in the stress tests is already rosier than reality.’  Some perspective from Sajal… Excerpts – ie.,Mark Hulbert: That bullish bandwagon. Commentary: Some sentiment measures showing too much optimism   Art Cashin: "This rally is still somewhat suspect.   Albert Edwards : "Despite one of the biggest economics and profit collapses in history, US stocks have failed to get cheap in the same way that they have in Europe or Japan. My concern is that the US equity bear market has not yet fully played out. "The current pop in the market is not dissimilar to the many bear market rallies between 1929-1933, where signs of economic stabilisation were met with 25% plus rallies... This optimism was subsequently crushed."  Charles Allmon … He still thinks the stock market could decline to 3,200-4,200 on the Dow by 2011-2012 -- and that it could cross the price of gold.   Jim Bianco: "I don't think we are getting out of this for a long while. This has been a lousy stock rally.  …   …traders living in a fool's paradise if they continue to drive the markets higher by buying stocks based on earnings that are down, say, 50 percent from this time last year, only because they're not down 75 percent… Diane Garnick, investment strategist at Invesco...In an interview on Tech Ticker, Garnick says that companies are beating earnings expectations in the first quarter by Draconian cost-cutting, an unsustainable strategy for long-term growth. More importantly, although companies are beating profit estimates, thanks to the cost-cutting, they are missing expectations for revenue, she says. Further, cost-cutting via layoffs hurts the economy as a whole, Garnick argues, because the unemployed spend less money… U.S. Economy: GDP Shrinks in Worst Slump in 50 Years "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through…” …[The upshot is that the fraud continues in churn-and-earn fashion with investors, taxpayer, etc., getting burned for the sake of wall street greed/fraud. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc. - Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.].  U.S. Economy in 2nd Straight Quarter of Steep Decline      "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through    [$$] Banks Won Concessions on Tests (at The Wall Street Journal Online)      [$$] Hit by Mortgage Defaults, Fannie Needs $19 Billion (at The Wall Street Journal Online)     [$$] Bank Shares Range-Bound Near Term (at Barron's Online)       AP Sources: Obama wants Fed to be finance supercop which is one of the dumber things I’ve ever heard (very bushy) since the fed is the super criminal, capo, godfather, etc., in the criminal enterprise called american finance/scam the taxpayer/etc., in this fraud of monumental proportion …  the bubble will again pop        Fannie Mae seeks $19B in US aid after 1Q loss     Buffett's Berkshire has first loss since 2001       Fed Sees Up to $599 Billion in Bank Losses       Is Rupert Murdoch losing it? Already past tense; he’s lost it…so…..?      EU Calls for Internet G12 for Global Internet Governance     US unemployment hits 25-year high       China fears bond crisis as it slams quantitative easing   The Economy Will Not Recover Until The Perpetrators Of Our Crises Are Held Accountable     New York Fed chairman Friedman abruptly resigns      BEWARE OF THE SUCKER'S RALLY?  Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 5-7-09, yes, there is a flaming full moon which explains in large part only modest losses relative to reality by the lunatic frauds on wall street so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  New record for continuing unemployment claims and as with all government data, adp data, etc., is fudged to whatever way necessary to help froth the market. Short-covering explaining part of what remains of this continuing suckers’ bear market rally and as admonished by analyst at Farr Miller is a bull trap. How about plain old bull crap!  One analyst (Craig Brown) points out that we’re not at the bottom yet: excerpt-‘ I hate repeating myself, but I do not see the economy at bottom just yet, so in some respects I will keep repeating myself until either other people wake up to this reality or something changes to wake me up. The markets were down a bit yesterday and, according to Bloomberg, they were down due to fears of the stress test results. I don't fear them; I fear what they hide. I fear that a reported 10 out of 19 banks failed when the tests were not at all stringent enough. I fear that the government will soft-pedal the results to make them bad enough to have a tad of credibility but not so bad that people run for the exits. Don't buy my word for it, others are saying the same, including Nouriel Roubini. Nouriel has been complaining for weeks on how the worst case scenario in the stress tests is already rosier than reality.’  Some perspective from Sajal… Excerpts – ie.,Mark Hulbert: That bullish bandwagon. Commentary: Some sentiment measures showing too much optimism   Art Cashin: "This rally is still somewhat suspect.   Albert Edwards : "Despite one of the biggest economics and profit collapses in history, US stocks have failed to get cheap in the same way that they have in Europe or Japan. My concern is that the US equity bear market has not yet fully played out. "The current pop in the market is not dissimilar to the many bear market rallies between 1929-1933, where signs of economic stabilisation were met with 25% plus rallies... This optimism was subsequently crushed."  Charles Allmon … He still thinks the stock market could decline to 3,200-4,200 on the Dow by 2011-2012 -- and that it could cross the price of gold.   Jim Bianco: "I don't think we are getting out of this for a long while. This has been a lousy stock rally.  …   …traders living in a fool's paradise if they continue to drive the markets higher by buying stocks based on earnings that are down, say, 50 percent from this time last year, only because they're not down 75 percent… Diane Garnick, investment strategist at Invesco...In an interview on Tech Ticker, Garnick says that companies are beating earnings expectations in the first quarter by Draconian cost-cutting, an unsustainable strategy for long-term growth. More importantly, although companies are beating profit estimates, thanks to the cost-cutting, they are missing expectations for revenue, she says. Further, cost-cutting via layoffs hurts the economy as a whole, Garnick argues, because the unemployed spend less money… U.S. Economy: GDP Shrinks in Worst Slump in 50 Years "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through…” …[The upshot is that the fraud continues in churn-and-earn fashion with investors, taxpayer, etc., getting burned for the sake of wall street greed/fraud. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc. - Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.].  U.S. Economy in 2nd Straight Quarter of Steep Decline      "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through    U.S. banks race to fill $74.6 billion stress test hole        NY Fed chair resigns amid stock purchase questions and while they’re at it ask him and tiny tim geithner about the missing $4 trillion at the N.Y. fed bank among other things        BofA needs $33.9 billion, eyes stock and asset sales      Cyberbullying Bill Not About Protecting Kids, It is About Shutting Down the Opposition      Rupert Murdoch: “Internet Will Soon Be Over – in his wet dreams along with presidents hillary, rudy, and mccain – must be ancestral flashbacks to the penal colony days in australia”       Taking on the banking cabal       Looking Back on the Greatest Depression       401(k)s Hit by Withdrawal Freezes      Taleb: Global Crisis “Vastly Worse” Than 1930s, Buy Gold and Copper      Dollar Hovering at Cliff’s Edge      Group names 25 lenders responsible for economic meltdown       $58: Oil prices jump to new six-month high...     GM posts $6 billion loss for first quarter...     Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 5-6-09, Yes, there is a full moon which explains inlarge part this ridiculous up move on bad news and bull s**t alone so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Some short-covering explaining part of this continuing suckers’ bear market rally, the other as admonished by analyst at Farr Miller is a bull trap. How about plain old bull crap!  One analyst (Craig Brown) points out that we’re not at the bottom yet: excerpt-‘ I hate repeating myself, but I do not see the economy at bottom just yet, so in some respects I will keep repeating myself until either other people wake up to this reality or something changes to wake me up. The markets were down a bit yesterday and, according to Bloomberg, they were down due to fears of the stress test results. I don't fear them; I fear what they hide. I fear that a reported 10 out of 19 banks failed when the tests were not at all stringent enough. I fear that the government will soft-pedal the results to make them bad enough to have a tad of credibility but not so bad that people run for the exits. Don't buy my word for it, others are saying the same, including Nouriel Roubini. Nouriel has been complaining for weeks on how the worst case scenario in the stress tests is already rosier than reality.’  Some perspective from Sajal… Excerpts – ie.,Mark Hulbert: That bullish bandwagon. Commentary: Some sentiment measures showing too much optimism   Art Cashin: "This rally is still somewhat suspect.   Albert Edwards : "Despite one of the biggest economics and profit collapses in history, US stocks have failed to get cheap in the same way that they have in Europe or Japan. My concern is that the US equity bear market has not yet fully played out. "The current pop in the market is not dissimilar to the many bear market rallies between 1929-1933, where signs of economic stabilisation were met with 25% plus rallies... This optimism was subsequently crushed."  Charles Allmon … He still thinks the stock market could decline to 3,200-4,200 on the Dow by 2011-2012 -- and that it could cross the price of gold.   Jim Bianco: "I don't think we are getting out of this for a long while. This has been a lousy stock rally.  …   …traders living in a fool's paradise if they continue to drive the markets higher by buying stocks based on earnings that are down, say, 50 percent from this time last year, only because they're not down 75 percent… Diane Garnick, investment strategist at Invesco...In an interview on Tech Ticker, Garnick says that companies are beating earnings expectations in the first quarter by Draconian cost-cutting, an unsustainable strategy for long-term growth. More importantly, although companies are beating profit estimates, thanks to the cost-cutting, they are missing expectations for revenue, she says. Further, cost-cutting via layoffs hurts the economy as a whole, Garnick argues, because the unemployed spend less money… U.S. Economy: GDP Shrinks in Worst Slump in 50 Years "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through…” …[The upshot is that the fraud continues in churn-and-earn fashion with investors, taxpayer, etc., getting burned for the sake of wall street greed/fraud. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc. - Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.].  U.S. Economy in 2nd Straight Quarter of Steep Decline      "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through    BofA, Citi, Wells need capital under stress tests        NEED BILLIONS AND BILLIONS MORE       Bank stress tests show some banks need more funds       Almost a Quarter of U.S. Homeowners Are Underwater       Banks Need Billions More       Globalizing the Internet       Hedge Fund Leader Blasts Obama for “Bullying” and “Abuse of Power”        About that “loan”: Obama team writes off $7 billion taxpayers loaned Chrysler    $56: Oil prices jump to new high for year...       US wants Israel, India, Iran to sign NPT     Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 5-5-09, So small were the losses relative to reality that to try and make sense of same (americans among other investors must love getting burned by the frauds on wall street who are commissioning the new bubble like mad and don’t worry since in america today they socialize their losses and privatize their gains) is but a fool’s errand so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  One analyst (Craig Brown) points out that we’re not at the bottom yet: excerpt-‘ I hate repeating myself, but I do not see the economy at bottom just yet, so in some respects I will keep repeating myself until either other people wake up to this reality or something changes to wake me up. The markets were down a bit yesterday and, according to Bloomberg, they were down due to fears of the stress test results. I don't fear them; I fear what they hide. I fear that a reported 10 out of 19 banks failed when the tests were not at all stringent enough. I fear that the government will soft-pedal the results to make them bad enough to have a tad of credibility but not so bad that people run for the exits. Don't buy my word for it, others are saying the same, including Nouriel Roubini. Nouriel has been complaining for weeks on how the worst case scenario in the stress tests is already rosier than reality.’  Some perspective from Sajal… Excerpts – ie.,Mark Hulbert: That bullish bandwagon. Commentary: Some sentiment measures showing too much optimism   Art Cashin: "This rally is still somewhat suspect.   Albert Edwards : "Despite one of the biggest economics and profit collapses in history, US stocks have failed to get cheap in the same way that they have in Europe or Japan. My concern is that the US equity bear market has not yet fully played out. "The current pop in the market is not dissimilar to the many bear market rallies between 1929-1933, where signs of economic stabilisation were met with 25% plus rallies... This optimism was subsequently crushed."  Charles Allmon … He still thinks the stock market could decline to 3,200-4,200 on the Dow by 2011-2012 -- and that it could cross the price of gold.   Jim Bianco: "I don't think we are getting out of this for a long while. This has been a lousy stock rally.  …   …traders living in a fool's paradise if they continue to drive the markets higher by buying stocks based on earnings that are down, say, 50 percent from this time last year, only because they're not down 75 percent… Diane Garnick, investment strategist at Invesco...In an interview on Tech Ticker, Garnick says that companies are beating earnings expectations in the first quarter by Draconian cost-cutting, an unsustainable strategy for long-term growth. More importantly, although companies are beating profit estimates, thanks to the cost-cutting, they are missing expectations for revenue, she says. Further, cost-cutting via layoffs hurts the economy as a whole, Garnick argues, because the unemployed spend less money… U.S. Economy: GDP Shrinks in Worst Slump in 50 Years "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through…” …[The upshot is that the fraud continues in churn-and-earn fashion with investors, taxpayer, etc., getting burned for the sake of wall street greed/fraud. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc. - Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.].  U.S. Economy in 2nd Straight Quarter of Steep Decline      "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through    Bank of America to need $34 billion in capital: source       Yen rises, stocks slip on Bank of America needs      Moody's downgrades NYSE Euronext debt (AP)     Auditors see SEC deficiencies      Stress Test Results Seem to Be Changing Daily (at Seeking Alpha)     We Haven't Reached the Bottom Yet       About that “loan”: Obama team writes off $7 billion taxpayers loaned Chrysler    US Fed rejects request to help credit card holders         Fed Stress Tests to Show About 10 Banks Need Capital       Gold Climbs to One-Week High as Dollar Declines; Platinum Gains     Editorial: Bleak forecast for EU economies     Michigan residents mine bodies for cash; Sellers offer hair, blood...  GM plans 1-for-100 reverse stock split...         The Economic Pain Ain't Over Yet      Economic downturn ‘twice as bad as feared’       NEEDS MORE: House Dems seek $94.2 billion in 'emergency funds'...          Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 5-4-09, so preposterous was the day’s suckers’ rally that I cannot dignify same with my own commentary other than to say SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! Some perspective from Sajal… Excerpts – ie., …Mark Hulbert: That bullish bandwagon. Commentary: Some sentiment measures showing too much optimism   Art Cashin: "This rally is still somewhat suspect.   Albert Edwards : "Despite one of the biggest economics and profit collapses in history, US stocks have failed to get cheap in the same way that they have in Europe or Japan. My concern is that the US equity bear market has not yet fully played out. "The current pop in the market is not dissimilar to the many bear market rallies between 1929-1933, where signs of economic stabilisation were met with 25% plus rallies... This optimism was subsequently crushed."  Charles Allmon … He still thinks the stock market could decline to 3,200-4,200 on the Dow by 2011-2012 -- and that it could cross the price of gold.   Jim Bianco: "I don't think we are getting out of this for a long while. This has been a lousy stock rally.  …   …traders living in a fool's paradise if they continue to drive the markets higher by buying stocks based on earnings that are down, say, 50 percent from this time last year, only because they're not down 75 percent… Diane Garnick, investment strategist at Invesco...In an interview on Tech Ticker, Garnick says that companies are beating earnings expectations in the first quarter by Draconian cost-cutting, an unsustainable strategy for long-term growth. More importantly, although companies are beating profit estimates, thanks to the cost-cutting, they are missing expectations for revenue, she says. Further, cost-cutting via layoffs hurts the economy as a whole, Garnick argues, because the unemployed spend less money… U.S. Economy: GDP Shrinks in Worst Slump in 50 Years "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through…” …[The upshot is that the fraud continues in churn-and-earn fashion with investors, taxpayer, etc., getting burned for the sake of wall street greed/fraud. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc. - Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.].  U.S. Economy in 2nd Straight Quarter of Steep Decline      "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming    Georgia, N.J. and Utah banks fail     The Economic Pain Ain't Over Yet      Obama says financial sector to shrink (Reuters)      Buffett dispenses gloom at Berkshire fest…daaaah!       Warren Buffett warns inflation is on the horizon …daaah!(at Fortune)     SHOCK CLAIM: WHITE HOUSE BULLY THREAT OVER AUTO BANKRUPTCY...     China 'cutting down purchases of US Treasury bonds'...       Obama: Wall Street will play less dominant role...      ...financial sector to shrink      European economy 'will shrink 4%'       About 10 U.S. stress test banks to need more capital         UBS remains cautious after confirming first-quarter loss      AIG to post first-quarter loss, no new bailout: source     Prepare for Another Round of U.S. 'Stimulus' Propaganda      Swine Flu A Hoax, But Martial Law All Too Real      U.S. families rely on handouts in world’s richest country      Attack on the Chrysler Capitalists      Obama Pushes ‘Crackdown’ on Legal Tax ‘Havens’      Economic downturn ‘twice as bad as feared’       NEEDS MORE: House Dems seek $94.2 billion in 'emergency funds'...          Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 5-1-09, suckers’ rally into the close to keep suckers sucked in based on very bad news [U.S. Economy: GDP Shrinks in Worst Slump in 50 Years  ,  Georgia, N.J. banks fail, bringing '09 total to 31    ,    Auto sales plunge to near 30-year lows     ,    Chrysler to close 5 more plants; court case begins     ,   ‘China cancels America’s credit card’    ,     Mark Hulbert who tracks investment consensus says bear market rally and new lows before new highs ,   continuing claims for unemployment at new record 6.3 million, new claims at 631,000 for prior week, worse than expected are consumer spending -.2% and personal income -.3%, Chrysler receives additional $8 billion in taxpayer funds and files for bankruptcy,  U.S. Economy in 2nd Straight Quarter of Steep Decline  ,  leading economic indicators ( a forward looking guage of economic activity/growth) declined a much worse than expected –6.1% which one analyst commented was negative and getting worse, pandemic level raised to 5, banks need another trillion, new home sales down, durable goods sales down, 4 more bank failures to 27 for 2009 thus far, GM borrows $2 billion more/close dealers/many more layoffs, Ford loses almost $2 billion, Microsoft reports first decline in revenue ever,  U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Rose to 640,000 Last Week as Continuing Claims Exceed 6.1 million for new record …k, etc. , home sales down 3%, prices down 12%, etc. ] and bull s**t ( fed says pace of decline slowing…riiiiight!, dilutive stock issues, not as bad as expected, Consumer confidence soars past forecasts (on fake conference board report) in April – riiiiight! Come on! Even americans are not that shortsighted /blind /dumb!…  l , etc. ) alone to keep fraudulent wall street’s churn and earn commissionable bubble ( Interview with Peter Schiff: Reflating the Bubble  ) fraud rolling (on the way up and on the way down) so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! ‘…economic conditions remain dour. Factory orders for March declined 0.9%, which is worse than the 0.6% decline that was widely expected, and February orders were revised lower to reflect an increase of 0.7%. Meanwhile, the ISM Manufacturing Index for April showed continued contraction. It came in at 40.1. However, that was better than the 38.4 that was expected, and was also up from 36.3 in March. With economic conditions continuing to challenge businesses and consumers, Ford (F 5.69, -0.29) announced April auto sales fell 31.6%, while General Motors (GM 1.81, -0.11) said its US sales fell 34% in April…’  …traders living in a fool's paradise if they continue to drive the markets higher by buying stocks based on earnings that are down, say, 50 percent from this time last year, only because they're not down 75 percent… Diane Garnick, investment strategist at Invesco...In an interview on Tech Ticker, Garnick says that companies are beating earnings expectations in the first quarter by Draconian cost-cutting, an unsustainable strategy for long-term growth. More importantly, although companies are beating profit estimates, thanks to the cost-cutting, they are missing expectations for revenue, she says. Further, cost-cutting via layoffs hurts the economy as a whole, Garnick argues, because the unemployed spend less money… U.S. Economy: GDP Shrinks in Worst Slump in 50 Years "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through…” …[The upshot is that the fraud continues in churn-and-earn fashion with investors, taxpayer, etc., getting burned for the sake of wall street greed/fraud. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc. - Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.].  U.S. Economy in 2nd Straight Quarter of Steep Decline        Dollar falls on euro, up on yen on GDP hopes…riiiiight!        "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming throughSocial Security: Bankrupt System Will Impact Markets Sooner Than Expected       Georgia, N.J. banks fail, bringing '09 total to 31     U.S. Economy: GDP Shrinks in Worst Slump in 50 Years      Auto sales plunge to near 30-year lows     [$$] The Overvalued Market Needs a Healthy Pullback         Major wholesale bank shuttered …Silverton, Ga…and then Ridgewood, n.j. for 31st  bank failure this year (at CNNMoney.com)       Manufacturing declines at slower rate in April … riiiiight!…(AP)      Chrysler to close 5 more plants; court case begins      Results delayed again on banks stress tests …the fudge factor!…(at bizjournals.com)   Regulators close two more banks      U.S. families rely on handouts in world’s formerly richest country        Elliot Wave Theorists Claim Pandemics Always Happen In a Bear Market      CITI Said to Need Up to $10 Billion; Bank Disputes 'Stress Test' Result...       ‘China cancels America’s credit card’ China, wary of the troubled US economy, has ‘canceled America’s credit card’ by cutting down purchases of debt, a US congressman says.     Top Senate Democrat: bankers “own” the U.S. Congress        Stress-Test Results Are Delayed by Fed as Examiners, Banks Debate Findings...      Economy shrinks at worse-than-expected pace...          Metro Unemployment Skyrockets; Some Cities See Rates Comparable To Great Depression...        STRESS: Fed Finds at Least 6 of 19 Biggest Banks Need to Raise More Capital...       CITI scrambles...          MSNBC's Washington HQ Can't Make Rent: Looking to Share Space with Local U...     Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 4-30-09, very modest losses relative to reality to keep suckers sucked in based on very bad news [Continuing claims for unemployment at new record 6.3 million, new claims at 631,000 for prior week, worse than expected are consumer spending -.2% and personal income -.3%, Chrysler receives additional $8 billion in taxpayer funds and files for bankruptcy,  U.S. Economy in 2nd Straight Quarter of Steep Decline  ,  leading economic indicators ( a forward looking guage of economic activity/growth) declined a much worse than expected –6.1% which one analyst commented was negative and getting worse, pandemic level raised to 5, banks need another trillion, new home sales down, durable goods sales down, 4 more bank failures to 27 for 2009 thus far, GM borrows $2 billion more/close dealers/many more layoffs, Ford loses almost $2 billion, Microsoft reports first decline in revenue ever,  U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Rose to 640,000 Last Week as Continuing Claims Exceed 6.1 million for new record …k, etc. , home sales down 3%, prices down 12%, etc. ] and bull s**t ( fed says pace of decline slowing…riiiiight!, dilutive stock issues, not as bad as expected, Consumer confidence soars past forecasts (on fake conference board report) in April – riiiiight! Come on! Even americans are not that shortsighted /blind /dumb!…  l , etc. ) alone to keep fraudulent wall street’s churn and earn commissionable bubble ( Interview with Peter Schiff: Reflating the Bubble  ) fraud rolling (on the way up and on the way down) so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  …traders living in a fool's paradise if they continue to drive the markets higher by buying stocks based on earnings that are down, say, 50 percent from this time last year, only because they're not down 75 percent… Diane Garnick, investment strategist at Invesco...In an interview on Tech Ticker, Garnick says that companies are beating earnings expectations in the first quarter by Draconian cost-cutting, an unsustainable strategy for long-term growth. More importantly, although companies are beating profit estimates, thanks to the cost-cutting, they are missing expectations for revenue, she says. Further, cost-cutting via layoffs hurts the economy as a whole, Garnick argues, because the unemployed spend less money… U.S. Economy: GDP Shrinks in Worst Slump in 50 Years "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through…” …[The upshot is that the fraud continues in churn-and-earn fashion with investors, taxpayer, etc., getting burned for the sake of wall street greed/fraud. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc. - Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.].  U.S. Economy in 2nd Straight Quarter of Steep Decline        Dollar falls on euro, up on yen on GDP hopes…riiiiight!        "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through…”   Chrysler files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy       Motorola loss widens; analysts see worrisome signs      Dow Chemical 1Q profit tumbles 97 percent      With earnings bar low, April fraudulently strong for stocks        Will the Swine Flu Get the Same Response as the Financial Crisis - Protect the Status Quo without Really Changing Anything?      U.S. Economy: GDP Shrinks in Worst Slump in 50 Years         Top Senate Democrat: bankers “own” the U.S. Congress        Stress-Test Results Are Delayed by Fed as Examiners, Banks Debate Findings...      Economy shrinks at worse-than-expected pace...          Metro Unemployment Skyrockets; Some Cities See Rates Comparable To Great Depression...        STRESS: Fed Finds at Least 6 of 19 Biggest Banks Need to Raise More Capital...       CITI scrambles...          MSNBC's Washington HQ Can't Make Rent: Looking to Share Space with Local U...     Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 4-29-09, flagrant suckers’ rally to keep suckers sucked in based on very bad news [ U.S. Economy in 2nd Straight Quarter of Steep Decline   leading economic indicators ( a forward looking guage of economic activity/growth) declined a much worse than expected –6.1% which one analyst commented was negative and getting worse, pandemic level raised to 5, banks need another trillion, new home sales down, durable goods sales down, 4 more bank failures to 27 for 2009 thus far, GM borrows $2 billion more/close dealers/many more layoffs, Ford loses almost $2 billion, Microsoft reports first decline in revenue ever,  U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Rose to 640,000 Last Week as Continuing Claims Exceed 6.1 million for new record …k, etc. , home sales down 3%, prices down 12%, etc. ] and bull s**t ( fed says pace of decline slowing…riiiiight!, dilutive stock issues, not as bad as expected, Consumer confidence soars past forecasts (on fake conference board report) in April – riiiiight! Come on! Even americans are not that shortsighted /blind /dumb!…  l , etc. ) alone to keep fraudulent wall street’s churn and earn commissionable bubble ( Interview with Peter Schiff: Reflating the Bubble  ) fraud rolling (on the way up and on the way down) so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  …traders living in a fool's paradise if they continue to drive the markets higher by buying stocks based on earnings that are down, say, 50 percent from this time last year, only because they're not down 75 percent… Diane Garnick, investment strategist at Invesco...In an interview on Tech Ticker, Garnick says that companies are beating earnings expectations in the first quarter by Draconian cost-cutting, an unsustainable strategy for long-term growth. More importantly, although companies are beating profit estimates, thanks to the cost-cutting, they are missing expectations for revenue, she says. Further, cost-cutting via layoffs hurts the economy as a whole, Garnick argues, because the unemployed spend less money… "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through…” …[The upshot is that the fraud continues in churn-and-earn fashion with investors, taxpayer, etc., getting burned for the sake of wall street greed/fraud. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc. - Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.].  U.S. Economy in 2nd Straight Quarter of Steep Decline        Dollar falls on euro, up on yen on GDP hopes…riiiiight!        "You have to balance hope with reality," says Doug Sandler, chief equity officer at Riverfront Investment Group. Sandler tells Andrew O'Day "this is a good example of a year where you probably have a lot of hope early, then the reality coming through…”      Economy shrinks at worse-than-expected pace...          Metro Unemployment Skyrockets; Some Cities See Rates Comparable To Great Depression...        STRESS: Fed Finds at Least 6 of 19 Biggest Banks Need to Raise More Capital...       CITI scrambles...          MSNBC's Washington HQ Can't Make Rent: Looking to Share Space with Local U...     Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 4-28-09, very modest losses relative to reality to keep suckers sucked in based on bad news (banks need another trillion, new home sales down, durable goods sales down, 4 more bank failures, GM borrows $2 billion more, Ford loses almost $2 billion, Microsoft reports first decline in revenue ever,  U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Rose to 640,000 Last Week as Continuing Claims Exceed 6.1 million for new record …k, etc. , home sales down 3%, prices down 12%, etc. ) and bull s**t ( dilutive stock issues, not as bad as expected, Consumer confidence soars past forecasts (on fake conference board report) in April – riiiiight! Come on! Even americans are not that shortsighted /blind /dumb!…  l    etc. ) alone to keep fraudulent wall street’s churn and earn commissionable bubble ( Interview with Peter Schiff: Reflating the Bubble  ) fraud rolling (on the way up and on the way down) so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! Sun's loss widens on restructuring, slumping sales      Citi, BofA may need more capital after stress tests (Reuters)     GM to force more than 1,000 dealers to close     Douglas, Stone head back to `Wall Street' (AP)      E-Trade Financial 1st-qtr loss widens, shares fall (AP)      Textron's 1st-quarter profit falls 63 pct (AP)  …traders living in a fool's paradise if they continue to drive the markets higher by buying stocks based on earnings that are down, say, 50 percent from this time last year, only because they're not down 75 percent… Diane Garnick, investment strategist at Invesco...In an interview on Tech Ticker, Garnick says that companies are beating earnings expectations in the first quarter by Draconian cost-cutting, an unsustainable strategy for long-term growth. More importantly, although companies are beating profit estimates, thanks to the cost-cutting, they are missing expectations for revenue, she says.Further, cost-cutting via layoffs hurts the economy as a whole, Garnick argues, because the unemployed spend less money… Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government            FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 4-27-09, only modest losses relative to reality to keep suckers sucked in based on bad news (banks need another trillion, new home sales down, durable goods sales down, 4 more bank failures, GM borrows $2 billion more, Ford loses almost $2 billion, Microsoft reports first decline in revenue ever,  U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Rose to 640,000 Last Week as Continuing Claims Exceed 6.1 million for new record …k, etc. , home sales down 3%, prices down 12%, etc. ) and bull s**t ( dilutive stock issues, not as bad as expected, etc. ) alone to keep fraudulent wall street’s churn and earn commissionable bubble ( Interview with Peter Schiff: Reflating the Bubble  ) fraud rolling (on the way up and on the way down) so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! …traders living in a fool's paradise if they continue to drive the markets higher by buying stocks based on earnings that are down, say, 50 percent from this time last year, only because they're not down 75 percent… Diane Garnick, investment strategist at Invesco...In an interview on Tech Ticker, Garnick says that companies are beating earnings expectations in the first quarter by Draconian cost-cutting, an unsustainable strategy for long-term growth. More importantly, although companies are beating profit estimates, thanks to the cost-cutting, they are missing expectations for revenue, she says.Further, cost-cutting via layoffs hurts the economy as a whole, Garnick argues, because the unemployed spend less money… Betrayal of the People By Wall Street, Banks, and Government        GM OFFERS ITSELF UP FOR NATIONALIZATION...       FLASH: Treasury Borrows Record $361 Billion for 2nd Quarter...      GM goes for broke       Corporate CFR Members Get Most of the Bailout Money       Flu fears dampen talk of tentative world recovery       Raised pandemic risk, bank capital report fuels fresh fears     US newspaper circulation sees biggest decline yet (AP)       WSJ: Regulators urge BofA, Citi to boost capital     

GM goes for broke   CNNMoney | General Motors announced plans Monday to cut 23,000 U.S. jobs by 2011, drop its storied Pontiac brand and slash 40% of its dealer network in its latest bid to stay out of bankruptcy.

U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Rose to 640,000 Last Week

Gore Denies that Ken Lay, Goldman Sachs CEOs Helped Develop C02 Trading ‘Scheme’: VIDEO

PREVIOUS 4-24-09, suckers’ bear market rally to keep suckers sucked in based on bad news ( new home sales down, durable goods sales down, 4 more bank failures, GM borrows $2 billion more, Ford loses almost $2 billion, Microsoft reports first decline in revenue ever,  U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Rose to 640,000 Last Week as Continuing Claims Exceed 6.1 million for new record …k, etc. , home sales down 3%, prices down 12%, etc. ) and bull s**t ( dilutive stock issues, not as bad as expected, etc. ) alone to keep fraudulent wall street’s churn and earn commissionable bubble ( Interview with Peter Schiff: Reflating the Bubble  ) fraud rolling (on the way up and on the way down) so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Watch out for the fake government stress tests (they lie about everything!). Note the delay in the rollout. Bank analyst Cassidy says bank plan a failure. Business week business analyst /reporter says (tongue in cheek) the optimism (irrational exuberance) must be the advent of spring and the birds chirping (in the heads of the wall street lunatic/frauds…cukoos). Analysts/Economists comments include: slow release of stress test results, details and accuracy of data crucial for stress tests (good luck!), things have not bottomed out but pace of decline has slowed somewhat, bleak outlook for GM, Chrysler and bankruptcy probably necessary because of legacy costs, and public pension funds with ridiculously rich benefits the next shoe to drop. Oxdown Gazette sums up the crucial story | ‘The 12 trillion that is being floated to insolvent US banks is essentially being looted in the paper economy’ (ie., churn and earn by wall street fraudsters who must be prosecuted and forced disgorgement/forfeiture in the massive securities fraud that still goes unmentioned though the source of this economic debacle, etc.).
Four more banks shuttered as credit crunch shakes out    Why Housing Is Not Coming Back       Obama Talks Credit Cards, Summers Nods Off          This Volatility Is Off the Charts!     Banks May Struggle After 'Stress Tests'; Bad Assets Triple...    

R.I.P.: GM to pull the plug on Pontiac...

 

Four more banks closed by regulators, this years closures exceeding all of 2008 as depression continues John Letzing, MarketWatch April 24, 2009 SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Four banks in Georgia, Michigan, California and Idaho were closed by regulators Friday, costing the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.'s deposit insurance fund nearly $700 million as the effects of the credit crisis continued rippling throughout the U.S. economy.  Kennesaw, Ga.-based American Southern Bank marked the 26th bank failure of the year and the fifth in the state of Georgia, the FDIC said. Farmington Hills, Mich.-based Michigan Heritage Bank then became the 27th failure of 2009, followed by the closure of Calabasas, Ca.-based First Bank of Beverly Hills. Alpharetta, Ga.-based Bank of North Georgia has agreed to assume American Southern Bank's deposits, the FDIC said in a statement…
Germany’s slump risks ‘explosive’ mood as second banking crisis looms       China Increases Gold Reserves 76% to Fifth-Largest        

PREVIOUS 4-23-09, suckers’ rally in last 30 minutes to keep suckers sucked in based on bad news ( U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Rose to 640,000 Last Week as Continuing Claims Exceed 6.1 million for new record …k, etc. , home sales down 3%, prices down 12%, etc. ) and bull s**t ( dilutive stock issues, not as bad as expected, etc. ) alone to keep fraudulent wall street’s churn and earn commissionable bubble ( Interview with Peter Schiff: Reflating the Bubble  ) fraud rolling (on the way up and on the way down) so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Watch out for the fake government stress tests (they lie about everything!). Oxdown Gazette sums up the crucial story | ‘The 12 trillion that is being floated to insolvent US banks is essentially being looted in the paper economy’ (ie., churn and earn by wall street fraudsters who must be prosecuted and forced disgorgement/forfeiture in the massive securities fraud that still goes unmentioned though the source of this economic debacle, etc.). U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Rose to 640,000 Last Week as Continuing Claims Exceed 6.1 million for new record …k       Russia’s economy shrank a staggering 9.5% in first quarter      Truth About TARP       Reports: GM to Shut Down Plants for the Summer      President's financial adviser falls asleep while Obama talks!      ON THE BRINK: Feds preparing bankruptcy filing for CHRYSLER...       AMEX Profit Drops 58% as Defaults Rise, Consumers Cut Spending...      Microsoft's sales show fallout of recession       Normura posts record $7.3 billion annual loss      Interview with Peter Schiff: Reflating the Bubble

 Soaring U.S. Budget Deficit Will Mean Billions in Bond Sales     Housing bubble smackdown: Huge “shadow inventory” portends a bigger crash ahead      AP Sources:GM to shut many US plants up to 9 weeksGeneral Motors Corp. is planning to temporarily close most of its U.S. factories for up to nine weeks this summer because of slumping sales and growing inventories of unsold vehicles, three people bri…    [$$] Morgan Stanley Still at Loss (at The Wall Street Journal Online)       [$$] Gauging Stress: More Losses Likely (at The Wall Street Journal Online)       No quick cybersecurity fix seen        Banks still in distress, Geithner tells overseers…DAAAAAH! How ‘bout insolvent!…(AP)                  David Tice: S&P 500 To Plunge to 325     Housing Starts Fall Sharply...         Wall Street loses 3,100 jobs in March … Should lose another 90% OF THEIR CHURN AND EARN JOBS (Reuters)     Treasury Stress Test Won't Add Clarity or Transparency - Just Inconsistency … and lack of meaningful FASB standard (ie., mark to market abolition, etc.) means more fraud (at Seeking Alpha)   Questions linger over Tarp funding...      MAJOR MALL OPERATOR FILES FOR BANKRUPTCY...        JPMorgan and Goldman trading profits unlikely to last Reuters      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 4-22-09,  modest losses relative to reality in mixed market close so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Oxdown Gazette sums up the crucial story | ‘The 12 trillion that is being floated to insolvent US banks is essentially being looted in the paper economy’(ie., churn and earn by wall street fraudsters who must be prosecuted and forced disgorgement/forfeiture in the massive securities fraud that still goes unmentioned though the source of this economic debacle, etc.). ‘For the second session in a row, stocks opened lower but buyers moved in to bid the major indices higher (based on nothing at all). However, upward momentum stalled as the S&P 500 approached the 850 level in the final hour of trading, which prompted sellers to re-enter the fold and hand stocks a sizeable loss. The late selling effort focused on financial stocks, which closed with a loss of 3.8%, worse than any other sector in the S&P 500. Shares of Morgan Stanley (MS 22.44, -2.21) weighed heavily on the financial sector after the company reported a larger-than-expected first quarter loss and a dividend cut.’

 Gold Heading Above $2,000 by End of 2010: Strategist     Soaring U.S. Budget Deficit Will Mean Billions in Bond Sales     Housing bubble smackdown: Huge “shadow inventory” portends a bigger crash ahead      AP Sources:GM to shut many US plants up to 9 weeksGeneral Motors Corp. is planning to temporarily close most of its U.S. factories for up to nine weeks this summer because of slumping sales and growing inventories of unsold vehicles, three people bri... Falling bank stocks unravel rally; Dow loses 83Nagging worries about banks upended a stock market rally Wednesday.     [$$] Morgan Stanley Still at Loss (at The Wall Street Journal Online)       Talks on mortgage relief plan hit a snag (AP)Negotiations between the banking industry and Senate Democrats on a mortgage relief plan hit a snag Wednesday after a trade association representing credit unions said it could not endorse the proposa...        [$$] Gauging Stress: More Losses Likely (at The Wall Street Journal Online)       No quick cybersecurity fix seen        Banks still in distress, Geithner tells overseers…DAAAAAH! How ‘bout insolvent!…(AP)                  David Tice: S&P 500 To Plunge to 325     Housing Starts Fall Sharply...         Wall Street loses 3,100 jobs in March … Should lose another 90% OF THEIR CHURN AND EARN JOBS (Reuters)     Treasury Stress Test Won't Add Clarity or Transparency - Just Inconsistency … and lack of meaningful FASB standard (ie., mark to market abolition, etc.) means more fraud (at Seeking Alpha)   Questions linger over Tarp funding...      MAJOR MALL OPERATOR FILES FOR BANKRUPTCY...        JPMorgan and Goldman trading profits unlikely to last Reuters      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

PREVIOUS 4-21-09, Tiny Tim talks the talk in testimony tit for tat talking the talk, or stated another way, how much talk could tiny tim talk if a tiny tim could talk talk, said three times fast and you have the inspiration for a rally on fraudulent wall street based on bull s**t alone as bad news and bull s**t alone has kept the churn and earn commissionable bubble fraud rolling (on the way up and on the way down) so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Even main stream business radio reporter Laura Gregory references the ‘rally based on nothing at all’, which of course is true. One analyst said all bank problems remain and reality would not limit the remaining problems to banks.  IMF says $2.7 trillion in losses ahead for (u.s.) banks.  judd greg says u.s. couldn’t meet the economic criteria for admission to EU. WOW! Given the economic state of the EU, that’s worse than bad!     Seeking Alpha Analyst sums it up ‘…The six-week-long rally is over. It was huge. The Dow Jones is up almost 1500 points. But the party is over. The Dow Jones fell under its 13 day moving average, the same thing happened to the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq composite. I had some hope that the Naz could stay above its 13 day MA, but no such luck. Now what? According to the 1932 scenario, we might have a 2-3 months long slump, followed by another bull market. Or the market can go down big time, cross down its 50 day MA and test the March lows…’ - The latter is the scenario consonant with reality. - He assumes best case scenario as he concludes that ‘…means that either the March low holds or a new low will not be much lower. – Reality disagrees with that overly rosy scenario based upon his stated overly rosy assumption! Crimes suspected in 20 bailout cases — for starters      AIG eats another $30 billion-ish      Housing Bubble Smackdown: Bigger Crash Ahead     U.S. Stocks To Fall at Least 6%: Doug Kass       Key Points About the Coming Hyperinflation     Wall St gains as banks lifted by tiny tim’s b.s      NYT losses worsen as ad sales plunge 27%...     Yahoo to cut 5 percent of jobs       Wall St gains as banks lifted by tiny tim’s b.s.       AMD posts deeper loss, shares fall (AP)         [$$] Connecticut Treasurer Joins Critics of BofA CEO (at The Wall Street Journal Online)       [$$] Citi Investors Vent About Losses (at The Wall Street Journal Online)      Banks still in distress, Geithner tells overseers…DAAAAAH! How ‘bout insolvent!…(AP)                  David Tice: S&P 500 To Plunge to 325     Housing Starts Fall Sharply...         Wall Street loses 3,100 jobs in March … Should lose another 90% OF THEIR CHURN AND EARN JOBS (Reuters)     Treasury Stress Test Won't Add Clarity or Transparency - Just Inconsistency … and lack of meaningful FASB standard (ie., mark to market abolition, etc.) means more fraud (at Seeking Alpha)   Questions linger over Tarp funding...      MAJOR MALL OPERATOR FILES FOR BANKRUPTCY...        JPMorgan and Goldman trading profits unlikely to last Reuters      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     

 

PREVIOUS 4-20-09, Modest losses relative to reality as bad news and bull s**t alone has kept the churn and earn commissionable bubble fraud rolling (on the way up and on the way down) so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  All reasons for today’s reality plunge have been previously covered and warned of here in real time; ie., new meaningless FASB accounting standards which wall street frauds rallied on now have sold off on, worse to come in credit defaults/losses, leading indicators down again, etc.. David Tice: S&P 500 To Plunge to 325     Housing Starts Fall Sharply...         Sony Ericsson posts Q1 loss, plans more cost cuts    Wall Street loses 3,100 jobs in March … Should lose another 90% OF THEIR CHURN AND EARN JOBS (Reuters)     Treasury Stress Test Won't Add Clarity or Transparency - Just Inconsistency … and lack of meaningful FASB standard (ie., mark to market abolition, etc.) means more fraud (at Seeking Alpha)   Questions linger over Tarp funding...      MAJOR MALL OPERATOR FILES FOR BANKRUPTCY...        JPMorgan and Goldman trading profits unlikely to last Reuters      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     Fed sees economy sliding further     A Bear in Bull's Clothing: Why This Rally Will Fall Short   Ron Paul: Reckless Spending And Taxation Prolonged Great Depression       Goldman Sachs: Wall St Largest Crooks  

Citigroup: The Beginning and End of the Current Rally (at Seeking Alpha)          Why BAC Will Beat: Understanding a New Bull Market Is Not Underway (at Seeking Alpha)       Government's Handling of Economic Crisis - Einstein Would Call It Insane (at Seeking Alpha)    Bank of America net up, shares sink on bad loans    GM cutting 1,600 U.S. salaried positions     IBM sales fall more than expected, but b.s. up     Wall Street sinks on banks' woes     Wall Street tumbles as investors dump financials (AP)      IBM shares slip as 1Q sales fall short (AP)      New embrace of reality about bank health grip Wall Street    Backdoor Path To Bank Nationalization (at CNBC)     Zions Bancorp Swings To 1Q Loss; Moody's Cuts Ratings     Economic Downturn Negatively Affecting Credit Markets in Varied Industries      Celente: “America lives in a fascist state”      Backdoor Nationalization? U.S. May Convert Banks’ Bailouts to Equity Share      Why a 50% Drop in Housing Is Not the Bottom          

PREVIOUS 4-17-09 (4-14,15,16,-09), Suckers’ rally into the close to keep the suckers’ suckered on bad news and bull s**t alone so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

April 17 (Bloomberg) -- David Tice, the chief portfolio strategist for bear markets at Federated Investors Inc., said the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index will probably plunge about 62 percent. He spoke during a Bloomberg Television interview today. The Federated Prudent Bear Fund that he founded returned 6.7 percent last year as the S&P 500 plunged 38 percent, the most since 1937. Tice said the benchmark index for U.S. stocks may slump to about 325. It closed today at 865.30. The measure has surged 28 percent since March 9, the most in five weeks since the 1930s. SUCKER'S RALLY APPROACHING AN END by Peter Cooper: Whatever the technical reason for the 25 percent rise in the S&P over the past five weeks, or a more modest eight percent bounce in GCC regional stock prices, the absurdness of this sucker’s rally ought to be obvious to all. Unemployment is still rising, house prices are still falling, and the fundamentals of bank balance sheets are still deteriorating with total bad debts unknown except that we know they must be getting worse. Global trade fell off a cliff in the first quarter of the year. Even Mercedes car sales to the oil rich of the GCC fell 23 per cent. The collapse of the world’s second largest economy, Japan, has been unprecedented.
Bad news coming … The stock market pattern in 2008-9 has so far been a mirror image of the crash of 1929-30 with a halving of prices from the autumn followed by a 25 per cent rally from March lows. In April 1930 stocks moved sideways and then they crashed another 50 per cent into the summer… New record continuing unemployment claims in excess of 6 million, -11% for new home sales (unexpected but stocks and even homebuilders rallied), Bloomberg reports $13 trillion (much unaccounted for) taxpayer/bailout funds spent/lent/stolen by who knows what/where/how (ie.,replace stolen funds?, etc.), second largest mall co. to bankruptcy with more to come along with more commercial real estate foreclosures. ‘…initial claims for the week ending April 11 totaled 610,000, which is down more than expected from the prior week, but continuing claims climbed more than expected to a new record of 6.02 million. Separately, housing starts disappointed investors hoping to find signs of a recovery in home building. Housing starts for March totaled 510,000, which was below the 540,000 starts that were expected and down from the prior month. Meanwhile, building permits in March totaled 513,000, which is below the 549,000 permits that were expected, down from February…’

SUCKER'S RALLY APPROACHING AN END by Peter Cooper: Whatever the technical reason for the 25 percent rise in the S&P over the past five weeks, or a more modest eight percent bounce in GCC regional stock prices, the absurdness of this sucker’s rally ought to be obvious to all. Unemployment is still rising, house prices are still falling, and the fundamentals of bank balance sheets are still deteriorating with total bad debts unknown except that we know they must be getting worse. Global trade fell off a cliff in the first quarter of the year. Even Mercedes car sales to the oil rich of the GCC fell 23 per cent. The collapse of the world’s second largest economy, Japan, has been unprecedented.
Bad news coming
… The stock market pattern in 2008-9 has so far been a mirror image of the crash of 1929-30 with a halving of prices from the autumn followed by a 25 per cent rally from March lows. In April 1930 stocks moved sideways and then they crashed another 50 per cent into the summer. What possible reason is there for optimism to believe that history will not repeat itself? Government stimulus packages have more than likely been too small and too late to prevent another down leg in stocks, and will take time to revive the real economy, if indeed they can do so. They might just stop the worst possible scenario but are they going to prevent the plunge downwards? Governments have not managed it so far.
Consumers and unemployment
…It will take more than weasel words from US bankers and ‘green shoots’ in the waffle of President Obama to put things right. Eventually global stock markets will reach a bottom but they are not close to having visited it just yet. Wall Street and its friends are playing investors as suckers but they are in danger of overdoing it. For once these guys are impoverished where will the next bunch of fools come from? Goldman Sachs' (GS) results this week might well mark the top of the rally, beyond that the only way is down.

Industrial production down –13%, most since WW2. The wall street frauds celebrate increase real estate sales…on increased foreclosures…riiiiight! U.S. foreclosure filings jump as moratoriums end     US foreclosures up 24 percent in 1st quarter      Jim Rogers Says Investors Should Expect More Bottoms  Still not one prosecution as new churn and earn fraud/bubble begins with taxpayer bailout funds (old reliable foggy/sell the sizzle tech sector now the wall street frauds’ refuge-remember the dot com bust, etc.).  BULL S**T STORIES FOISTED AS B.S. TALKING POINTS FOR CONTINUING FRAUD/SPIKE IN STOCK PRICES FOR CHURN AND EARN COMMISSIONING: WELLS FARGO RECEIVED $25 BILLION TAXPAYER MONEY/BAILOUT FUNDS AND SHOWS (RECORD FOR THEM?) $3 BILLION QUARTERLY PROFIT- GOLDMAN RECEIVED $10 BILLION PLUS UNDISCLOSED FED/ ULTIMATELY TAXPAYER MONEY AND REPORTS QUARTERLY  $1.8 BILLION PROFIT  -   MORGAN CHASE RECEIVED $25 BILLION AND REPORTS QUARTERLY  $2+ BILLION PROFIT – CITI RECEIVED $25 BILLION AND REPORTS QUARTERLY  $__ BILLION PROFIT -  DO THE MATH (FIRST GRADE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL KIDS COULD DO AS WELL, AND FOR FAR LESS PAY) - AT THAT RATE, TAXPAYERS WILL SOON HAVE NOTHING LEFT FOR THEM TO TAX! WHAT FRAUDS! The Great Geithner Coverup      WHAT TOTAL BULL S**T!  …[The upshot is that the fraud continues in churn-and-earn fashion with investors, taxpayer, etc., getting burned for the sake of wall street greed/fraud. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc. - Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.].   U.S. Treasury asking banks keep quiet on stress tests      New unemployment claims at high 654,000 praised as positive number… riiiiight! …as continuing unemployment claims at record 5.84 million (real numbers even worse). Economy so bad that consumers can’t buy goods so trade deficit shrank but this is a structural defect in u.s. economy so not good news and consistent with bad news of still plunging retail sector. Najarian points out that wall street always a circus, consolidation, robbing peter to pay paul, take profits; while economist cite Reich that we’re in depression and government as in land of fruits and nuts out of control. Earnings revised downward for first quarter –36.5%, more weakness, more unemployment, inflation to come on fast says Hogan, and insurance companies now que up at corporate welfare/taxpayer bailout lines. In positing (suckers’) bear market rally and advocating hold cash/sell stocks Hillary Kramer points to the preposterous on wall street where bad news greated as good vis-ŕ-vis stocks (they call what wall street does ‘fraud’…in a rational world where they would already be in jail).  Madman Cramer – the ultimate contrarian indicator - CRAMER'S CALL: ANOTHER RALLY TOP INDICATOR Greg Feirman   Wow, the bulls are really feeling good. “Wells Fargo Carries The Day” and the S&P and Dow closed at 2 months high and the Nasdaq is near its highs for the year. On Mad Money this evening, Cramer went so far as to call “a turn in the economy”, saying “the facts have changed”, “the situation has clearly improved” and “things are getting better”. This isn’t the first time Cramer has called a bottom and he’s been wrong before (For example, see “Cramer Declares The End Of The Bear Market” , Top Gun FP, July 31, 2008). The market topped out a couple weeks later. On Monday October 6, Cramer went on the today show and told people to sell any stock money they might need in the next five years. The market bottomed that Friday. It could run another couple weeks but this rally is running thin. Methinks me smells a top…..   Rational View Courtesy of ETF.COM: ‘…Due to our expectations of continued weakness in the financial sector, the looming deterioration of commercial real estate, the credit markets tepid backing of the equity rally, and the still very shaky and highly volatile global economy, it's our view at ETFdesk.com the recent run-up in stocks is unwarranted and presents an overly optimistic view of the months ahead. We believe investors should consider taking short term profits or use the recent run to reduce equity exposure they are weary of. We also believe investment grade debt (NYSEArca: LQD - News) represents an opportunity for investors seeking beaten down prices without the downside volatility of equities…David Tice: S&P 500 To Plunge to 325     Housing Starts Fall Sharply...         Sony Ericsson posts Q1 loss, plans more cost cuts    Wall Street loses 3,100 jobs in March … Should lose another 90% OF THEIR CHURN AND EARN JOBS (Reuters)     Toshiba expects bigger loss, contract job cuts     Sony Ericsson posts loss, to cut 2,000 jobs     Treasury Stress Test Won't Add Clarity or Transparency - Just Inconsistency … and lack of meaningful FASB standard (ie., mark to market abolition, etc.) means more fraud (at Seeking Alpha)   Questions linger over Tarp funding...      MAJOR MALL OPERATOR FILES FOR BANKRUPTCY...        JPMorgan and Goldman trading profits unlikely to last Reuters      The Great Geithner Coverup    Obama Maintains His Perfect Batting Average for Appointing  Failed Insiders to Key Economic Posts    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     Fed sees economy sliding further     A Bear in Bull's Clothing: Why This Rally Will Fall Short   Ron Paul: Reckless Spending And Taxation Prolonged Great Depression       Goldman Sachs: Wall St Largest Crooks  

Citigroup: The Beginning and End of the Current Rally (at Seeking Alpha)          Why BAC Will Beat: Understanding a New Bull Market Is Not Underway (at Seeking Alpha)       Government's Handling of Economic Crisis - Einstein Would Call It Insane (at Seeking Alpha)    Bank of America net up, shares sink on bad loans    GM cutting 1,600 U.S. salaried positions     IBM sales fall more than expected, but b.s. up     Wall Street sinks on banks' woes     Wall Street tumbles as investors dump financials (AP)      IBM shares slip as 1Q sales fall short (AP)      New embrace of reality about bank health grip Wall Street    Backdoor Path To Bank Nationalization (at CNBC)     Zions Bancorp Swings To 1Q Loss; Moody's Cuts Ratings     Economic Downturn Negatively Affecting Credit Markets in Varied Industries      Celente: “America lives in a fascist state”      Backdoor Nationalization? U.S. May Convert Banks’ Bailouts to Equity Share      Why a 50% Drop in Housing Is Not the Bottom          

PREVIOUS (4-14-09), Suckers’ rally into the close to keep the suckers’ suckered on bad news and bull s**t alone so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Retail sales down –1.1%. ‘…The downward push came as financial stocks fell out of favor and disappointing retail sales data led some to second guess the prospects of retailers. Financial stocks weighed on the broader market for the entire session and finished with a 7.7% loss. The sector's weakness was widespread, but investment banks and brokerages (-10.7%) suffered some of the steepest declines after Goldman Sachs (GS 115.92, -14.23) announced a $5 billion common equity offering that was discounted from the prior session's closing price. The offering will also prove dilutive to existing shareholders…’  Jim Rogers Says Investors Should Expect More Bottoms    BULL S**T STORIES FOISTED AS B.S. TALKING POINT FOR CONTINUING FRAUD/SPIKE IN STOCK PRICES FOR CHURN AND EARN COMMISSIONING: WELLS FARGO RECEIVES $25 BILLION TAXPAYER MONEY/BAILOUT FUNDS AND SHOWS (RECORD FOR THEM?) $3 BILLION QUARTERLY PROFIT- GOLDMAN RECEIVED $10 BILLION PLUS UNDISCLOSED FED/ ULTIMATELY TAXPAYER MONEY AND REPORTS QUARTERLY  $1.8 BILLION PROFIT  - DO THE MATH (FIRST GRADE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL KIDS COULD DO AS WELL, AND FOR FAR LESS PAY) - AT THAT RATE, TAXPAYERS WILL SOON HAVE NOTHING LEFT FOR THEM TO TAX! WHAT FRAUDS! The Great Geithner Coverup      WHAT TOTAL BULL S**T!    U.S. Treasury asking banks keep quiet on stress tests      New unemployment claims at high 654,000 praised as positive number…riiiiight!…as continuing unemployment claims at record 5.84 million (real numbers even worse). Economy so bad that consumers can’t buy goods so trade deficit shrank but this is a structural defect in u.s. economy so not good news and consistent with bad news of still plunging retail sector. Najarian points out that wall street always a circus, consolidation, robbing peter to pay paul, take profits; while economist cite Reich that we’re in depression and government as in land of fruits and nuts out of control. Earnings revised downward for first quarter –36.5%, more weakness, more unemployment, inflation to come on fast says Hogan, and insurance companies now que up at corporate welfare/taxpayer bailout lines. In positing (suckers’) bear market rally and advocating hold cash/sell stocks Hillary Kramer points to the preposterous on wall street where bad news greated as good vis-ŕ-vis stocks (they call what wall street does ‘fraud’…in a rational world where they would already be in jail).  Madman Cramer – the ultimate contrarian indicator - CRAMER'S CALL: ANOTHER RALLY TOP INDICATOR Greg Feirman   Wow, the bulls are really feeling good. “Wells Fargo Carries The Day” and the S&P and Dow closed at 2 months high and the Nasdaq is near its highs for the year. On Mad Money this evening, Cramer went so far as to call “a turn in the economy”, saying “the facts have changed”, “the situation has clearly improved” and “things are getting better”. This isn’t the first time Cramer has called a bottom and he’s been wrong before (For example, see “Cramer Declares The End Of The Bear Market” , Top Gun FP, July 31, 2008). The market topped out a couple weeks later. On Monday October 6, Cramer went on the today show and told people to sell any stock money they might need in the next five years. The market bottomed that Friday. It could run another couple weeks but this rally is running thin. Methinks me smells a top…..   Rational View Courtesy of ETF.COM: ‘…Due to our expectations of continued weakness in the financial sector, the looming deterioration of commercial real estate, the credit markets tepid backing of the equity rally, and the still very shaky and highly volatile global economy, it's our view at ETFdesk.com the recent run-up in stocks is unwarranted and presents an overly optimistic view of the months ahead. We believe investors should consider taking short term profits or use the recent run to reduce equity exposure they are weary of. We also believe investment grade debt (NYSEArca: LQD - News) represents an opportunity for investors seeking beaten down prices without the downside volatility of equities…’ The Great Geithner Coverup      Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     Fed sees economy sliding further     A Bear in Bull's Clothing: Why This Rally Will Fall Short    Goldman Sachs Q1: Pay Up, People Down     Dealbreaker Afterdark: Fannie Mae CEO To Head Bailout Nation       UBS cuts 8,700 more jobs     Let's Keep Big Banks from Ruining America Forever (at Seeking Alpha)     China's ICBC now world's largest bank by deposits (at MarketWatch)      UBS faces $1.8 billion loss, will cut almost 9,000 more jobs          World Economy Falling Faster Than in 1929-1930     The Geithner-Summers Plan is Even Worse Than Thought       Author who predicted crisis sees hyperinflation ahead

PREVIOUS (4-13-09),   Jim Rogers Says Investors Should Expect More Bottoms    BULL S**T STORIES FOISTED AS B.S. TALKING POINT FOR CONTINUING FRAUD/SPIKE IN STOCK PRICES FOR CHURN AND EARN COMMISSIONING: WELLS FARGO RECEIVES $25 BILLION TAXPAYER MONEY/BAILOUT FUNDS AND SHOWS (RECORD FOR THEM?) $3 BILLION QUARTERLY PROFIT- GOLDMAN RECEIVED $10 BILLION PLUS UNDISCLOSED FED/ ULTIMATELY TAXPAYER MONEY AND REPORTS QUARTERLY  $1.8 BILLION PROFIT  - DO THE MATH (FIRST GRADE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL KIDS COULD DO AS WELL, AND FOR FAR LESS PAY) - AT THAT RATE, TAXPAYERS WILL SOON HAVE NOTHING LEFT FOR THEM TO TAX! WHAT FRAUDS! The Great Geithner Coverup      WHAT TOTAL BULL S**T!    U.S. Treasury asking banks keep quiet on stress tests      New unemployment claims at high 654,000 praised as positive number…riiiiight!…as continuing unemployment claims at record 5.84 million (real numbers even worse). Economy so bad that consumers can’t buy goods so trade deficit shrank but this is a structural defect in u.s. economy so not good news and consistent with bad news of still plunging retail sector. Najarian points out that wall street always a circus, consolidation, robbing peter to pay paul, take profits; while economist cite Reich that we’re in depression and government as in land of fruits and nuts out of control. Earnings revised downward for first quarter –36.5%, more weakness, more unemployment, inflation to come on fast says Hogan, and insurance companies now que up at corporate welfare/taxpayer bailout lines. In positing (suckers’) bear market rally and advocating hold cash/sell stocks Hillary Kramer points to the preposterous on wall street where bad news greated as good vis-ŕ-vis stocks (they call what wall street does ‘fraud’…in a rational world where they would already be in jail).  Madman Cramer – the ultimate contrarian indicator - CRAMER'S CALL: ANOTHER RALLY TOP INDICATOR Greg Feirman   Wow, the bulls are really feeling good. “Wells Fargo Carries The Day” and the S&P and Dow closed at 2 months high and the Nasdaq is near its highs for the year. On Mad Money this evening, Cramer went so far as to call “a turn in the economy”, saying “the facts have changed”, “the situation has clearly improved” and “things are getting better”. This isn’t the first time Cramer has called a bottom and he’s been wrong before (For example, see “Cramer Declares The End Of The Bear Market” , Top Gun FP, July 31, 2008). The market topped out a couple weeks later. On Monday October 6, Cramer went on the today show and told people to sell any stock money they might need in the next five years. The market bottomed that Friday. It could run another couple weeks but this rally is running thin. Methinks me smells a top…..   Rational View Courtesy of ETF.COM: ‘…Due to our expectations of continued weakness in the financial sector, the looming deterioration of commercial real estate, the credit markets tepid backing of the equity rally, and the still very shaky and highly volatile global economy, it's our view at ETFdesk.com the recent run-up in stocks is unwarranted and presents an overly optimistic view of the months ahead. We believe investors should consider taking short term profits or use the recent run to reduce equity exposure they are weary of. We also believe investment grade debt (NYSEArca: LQD - News) represents an opportunity for investors seeking beaten down prices without the downside volatility of equities…’ The Great Geithner Coverup      China Slows Purchases of U.S. and Other Bonds      Goldman Sachs hires law firm to shut blogger’s site for pointing to truth about the fraud firm e      Singapore economy shrinks sharply more than expected    WELLS FARGO 'May Need $50 Billion to Pay Feds, Cover Loan Losses'...     Reporters threatened with arrest for filming private Federal Reserve building       SURGE IN DELINQUENT TAXPAYERS; WASHINGTON VOWS SYMPATHY     Warren Buffett's electric car venture; CEO drinks 'battery fluid'...    Goldman Sachs mulls dilutive worthless stock sale to repay TARP money with other TARP money: now you know where the fed trillions in part are going: report     GOLDMAN SACHS announces $5B public stock offering, reports $1.8B quarterly profit...         Bailed-Out Banks Face Probe over Fees: Report      You Know Things Are Bad When Even Newsweek Is Slamming the Obama Administration for Caving in to the Financial Status Quo      Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     Fed sees economy sliding further    A Bear in Bull's Clothing: Why This Rally Will Fall Short    World Economy Falling Faster Than in 1929-1930     The Geithner-Summers Plan is Even Worse Than Thought       Author who predicted crisis sees hyperinflation ahead

PREVIOUS (4-9-09), suckers’ bear market rally into the close on bad news and bull s**t alone so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! LATE-BREAKING BULL S**T STORY FOISTED AS B.S. TALKING POINT FOR CONTINUING FRAUD/SPIKE IN STOCK PRICES FOR COMMISSIONING: WELLS FARGO RECEIVES $25 BILLION TAXPAYER MONEY/BAILOUT FUNDS AND SHOWS (RECORD FOR THEM?) $3 BILLION QUARTERLY PROFIT - DO THE MATH (FIRST GRADE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL KIDS COULD DO AS WELL, AND FOR FAR LESS PAY) - AT THAT RATE, TAXPAYERS WILL SOON HAVE NOTHING LEFT FOR THEM TO TAX! WHAT FRAUDS!  WHAT TOTAL BULL S**T!    U.S. Treasury asking banks keep quiet on stress tests      New unemployment claims at high 654,000 praised as positive number…riiiiight!…as continuing unemployment claims at record 5.84 million (real numbers even worse). Economy so bad that consumers can’t buy goods so trade deficit shrank but this is a structural defect in u.s. economy so not good news and consistent with bad news of still plunging retail sector. Najarian points out that wall street always a circus, consolidation, robbing peter to pay paul, take profits; while economist cite Reich that we’re in depression and government as in land of fruits and nuts out of control. Earnings revised downward for first quarter –36.5%, more weakness, more unemployment, inflation to come on fast says Hogan, and insurance companies now que up at corporate welfare/taxpayer bailout lines. In positing (suckers’) bear market rally and advocating hold cash/sell stocks Hillary Kramer points to the preposterous on wall street where bad news greated as good vis-ŕ-vis stocks (they call what wall street does ‘fraud’…in a rational world where they would already be in jail). Rational View Courtesy of ETF.COM: ‘…Due to our expectations of continued weakness in the financial sector, the looming deterioration of commercial real estate, the credit markets tepid backing of the equity rally, and the still very shaky and highly volatile global economy, it's our view at ETFdesk.com the recent run-up in stocks is unwarranted and presents an overly optimistic view of the months ahead. We believe investors should consider taking short term profits or use the recent run to reduce equity exposure they are weary of. We also believe investment grade debt (NYSEArca: LQD - News) represents an opportunity for investors seeking beaten down prices without the downside volatility of equities…’  Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     Fed sees economy sliding further    A Bear in Bull's Clothing: Why This Rally Will Fall Short    World Economy Falling Faster Than in 1929-1930     The Geithner-Summers Plan is Even Worse Than Thought        Market bear Roubini sticks to dour forecasts     U.S. Treasury asking banks keep quiet on stress tests      Boeing warns on Q1 profit, to cut plane output     Wall Street sets 5th weekly gain on banks, Boeing off late     U.S. Squeezes Auto Creditors (at The Wall Street Journal Online)      Nikkei comes off 9,000, as banks hit by SMFG news     Obama seeks $83.4 billion more in 2009 war funds     Bank of Japan likely to cut economic outlook in next report    Author who predicted crisis sees hyperinflation ahead

PREVIOUS (4-8-09), suckers’ bear market rally into the close on worse than expected bad news and bull s**t alone so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! LATE-BREAKING BULL S**T STORY FOR B.S. TALKING POINT FOR CONTINUING FRAUD/SPIKE IN STOCK PRICES FOR COMMISSIONING: WELLS FARGO RECEIVES $25 BILLION TAXPAYER MONEY/BAILOUT FUNDS AND SHOWS (RECORD FOR THEM?) $3 BILLION QUARTERLY PROFIT - DO THE MATH (FIRST GRADE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL KIDS COULD DO AS WELL, AND FOR FAR LESS PAY) - AT THAT RATE, TAXPAYERS WILL SOON HAVE NOTHING LEFT TO TAX! WHAT FRAUDS!  WHAT TOTAL BULL S**T!  Earnings revised downward for first quarter –36.5%, more weakness, more unemployment, inflation to come on fast says Hogan, and insurance companies now que up at corporate welfare/taxpayer bailout lines. In positing (suckers’) bear market rally and advocating hold cash/sell stocks Hillary Kramer points to the preposterous on wall street where bad news greated as good vis-ŕ-vis stocks (they call what wall street does ‘fraud’…in a rational world where they would already be in jail). Rational View Courtesy of ETF.COM: ‘…Due to our expectations of continued weakness in the financial sector, the looming deterioration of commercial real estate, the credit markets tepid backing of the equity rally, and the still very shaky and highly volatile global economy, it's our view at ETFdesk.com the recent run-up in stocks is unwarranted and presents an overly optimistic view of the months ahead. We believe investors should consider taking short term profits or use the recent run to reduce equity exposure they are weary of. We also believe investment grade debt (NYSEArca: LQD - News) represents an opportunity for investors seeking beaten down prices without the downside volatility of equities…’  Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression     Fed sees economy sliding further    A Bear in Bull's Clothing: Why This Rally Will Fall Short    World Economy Falling Faster Than in 1929-1930      [$$] Little Optimism From FOMC    Fed sees no economic recovery until next year and then next year and year after that and next year           Moody's strips Berkshire Hathaway of top rating    Danger lurks behind banks' results    Reality of worsening depression drove Fed action     [$$] Morgan Stanley to Post a Loss From Volatile, Complex Bonds (at The Wall Street Journal Online)     Bank Earnings Will Be Hit by Consumer Woes (at TheStreet.com)   Financial Crisis ‘Far From Over,’ Panel Says       A Bear in Bull's Clothing: Why This Rally Will Fall Short    The Geithner-Summers Plan is Even Worse Than Thought   SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!    

PREVIOUS (4-7-09), Economics Professors: Global Crash Worse Than During First Year of Great Depression     TRENDSRESEARCH.COM     GERALD CELENTE  points out that trillion dollar foreign banks got billions of taxpayer bailout funds and Goldman Sachs ceo’s, former ceo’s, board members were among the only few limited government personnel privy to the bailout cramdown/scheme/fraud and further, that new ‘regulation’ now permits valuation of bank assets at whatever they so choose…disaster and 25% unemployment and hyperinflation around the corner, DEPRESSION-level economic conditions already extent, already in depression. Bernanke’s Failed Financial Rescue Plan  Fed chief Ben Bernanke has embarked on a radical and ruinous financial rescue plan. According to Bloomberg News, the Fed has already lent or committed $12.8 trillion trying to stabilize the financial system after the the bursting of Wall Street’s speculative mega-bubble, so still great opportunity to SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Cat found alive after 5 weeks under rubble       Fed's Fisher says U.S. economy grim      AIG aircraft unit seeks $5 billion Fed credit line: report    Sustainable Bull Market Unlikely     More Correction on the Way in This Bear Market      US Bancorp's Loan Losses Loom (at TheStreet.com)    Asia Markets: Asian miners lead regional stock tumble     Alex Jones interviewed by RT: U.S. is a puppet of private bankers    TARP panel: Financial Crisis 'Far From Over,' Govt. May Spend More than $4 Trillion...      Cities Collapsing throughout the USA      Hundreds of Thousands of Unemployed Run Out of Benefits     Larry Summers, Tim Geithner and Wall Street’s ownership of government      Estimated U.S. taxpayer cost for bailout jumps     Bernanke’s Failed Financial Rescue Plan    The G20 moves the world a step closer to a global currency      Soros: Dollar WIll Be Replaced By World Currency     

PREVIOUS (4-6-09), suckers’ bear market rally into the close to finish off lows on bad news and bull s**t alone (ie., real bad numbers though favorably fudged greeted with reiteration ‘better than expected’, etc…riiiiight!), so still great opportunity to SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Respected banking analyst Mayo brought the lunatic frauds on wall street back to earth predicting bank loan losses will exceed those of the Great Depression. Mayo Says Loan Losses Will Exceed Depression Levels...Despite the absence of positive catalysts in afternoon trading, stocks were able to pare their losses. The stock market had been down as much as 2.3%, but was able to more than cut that loss in half.    Financial Stocks Have Run Up Too Hard, Too Fast (at Seeking Alpha)    Slow down: We're Not at the Bottom Yet     U.S. deficit nearly $1 trillion in first half of FY2009      Americans Feel 15.6% Unemployment as Unemployment Surges     SOROS SEES END OF DOLLAR AS WORLD CURRENCY...     GM Speeds Up Bankruptcy Preparations...   Bernanke ‘Green Shoots’ Signals False Spring Amid Job Losses      Bush and Obama Administrations Both Broke Law By Refusing to Close Insolvent Banks     Murdoch: Long-Term Economic Situation ‘Dangerous’; Recovery 2-3 Years Away      Massive Checkpoint Operation in Tennessee Violated Posse Comitatus, Fourth Amendment     Hundreds of Thousands of Unemployed Run Out of Benefits     Larry Summers, Tiny Tim Geithner and Wall Street’s ownership of government    ‘  Mayo Says Loan Losses Will Exceed Depression Levels...    Obama Economic Advisors Linked to Bankers   

PREVIOUS (4-3-09), suckers’ bear market rally continues on bad news and bull s**t alone (ie., real bad numbers though favorably fudged greeted with reiteration ‘better than expected’, etc…riiiiight!), so still great opportunity to SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  5.1 million jobs lost, -663,000 in past month, unemployment rate jumps to 8.5% and 15% for underemployed/part time (I’m sure these data understate the far worse reality according to some who say 15% and 20+% respectively), credit card problems/defaults to worsen according to analyst, even service sector down, and providing insult to injury/damage Goldman, et als using taxpayer funds for toxic assets (the real boondoggle is the complicit multi-trillion dollar fraud concerning taxpayer funds to bailout/coverup massive securities law violations/crimes for which prosecution/disgorgement of gains should have already begun). Outrageous and preposterous!   U.S. jobless rate hits 25-year high    Lawmaker sees Fannie, Freddie bonus "insult"      NYC protesters ask US to 'bail out the people' (AP)    Soros: Global Depression Ahead      Buchanan: We Should Kill the Fed    One in 10 Americans gets help to buy food     Ex-AIG chief: Bailout will not succeed      Unemployment in U.S. Climbed in March to 25-Year High      G-20 Shapes New World Order With Wisely Lesser Role for u.s., u.s. Markets    -663,000: Unemployment Rate Reaches 25-Year High of 8.5%...     1 in every 10 Americans receive food stamps...

Buchanan: We Should Kill the Fed    Patrick J. Buchanan | Hoover did what Obama is doing.

Watchdogs: Treasury won't disclose bank bailout details.(I think it’s obvious they’re covering up the substantial securities fraud, using taxpayer money to do so, as yet there’s not even one prosecution which makes the government complicit, after the fact, in consummating the fraud) ...       

PREVIOUS (4-2-09), suckers’ bear market rally based upon decisively bad news (26 Year High as New US jobless claims hit 669,000 in week , except for fake government reports by corrupt scandal-scarred commerce department on manufacturing/index up 1.8% though almost all private forecasts saw decline, etc.), in addition to funny money the frauds on wall street applauded the funny assets courtesy of f.a.s.b. (there are no accounting standards in the u.s.), which makes for wall street style securities fraud as now and in the past (fed also pumped in another $23 billion in last 3 days to fuel same, despite earnings going down and stock prices soaring with stratospherically high p/e ratios). Analyst/fund manager Najarian ‘taking a lot off the table’ (selling), while Analyst/fund manager Farr/Miller who called this bear market rally see’s test of the lows, so if you don’t celebrate All Fools’ Day (you’re not a fool) you’ll continue to SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  New US jobless claims hit 669,000 in week     WASHPOST: Before Crisis, Geithner Fell Short; He regulated banks...   Outstanding Credit Default Swaps Down to “Only” About Twice America’s GDP     Layoffs rise despite hope recession is easing (AP)        G-20 to give $1 trillion to IMF, World Bank      UN chief says crisis could result in failed states      Tax dodgers multiply as underground economy cushions job cuts   The Wall Street Journal Criticizes Capitol Hill Bonuses (and don’t forget the raises) (at Seeking Alpha)    Inflationary Depression  Dr. Marc Faber runs his own business, Marc Faber Limited, which acts as an investment advisor and fund manager. He publishes a widely read monthly investment newsletters The Gloom Boom & Doom report which highlights unusual investment opportunities, and is the author of several books including Tomorrow’s Gold – Asia’s Age of Discovery which was first published in 2002 and highlights future investment opportunities around the world.  

PREVIOUS (4-1-09), suckers’ bear market rally into the close with 250 point swing to the upside based on decisively bad news and bull s**t alone, viz., better than dismal expectations…I don’t think so! …That dog don’t hunt no more…remember the last market burn and that similar refrain among others, and the ever indecipherable to most, that infamous tech sector will save us (bust)…riiiiight!  Oh wait, I get it. April Fools Day, as in ‘fool you once, shame on them, fool you twice, thrice, etc., …shame on you’. How ‘bout all fools day.  U.S. private sector axes 742,000 jobs in March    March auto sales plunge...    U.S. seen facing danger of 2nd recession next year or stated another more realistic way, the depression though flush with ever more worthless weimar dollars providing ephemeral b.s. talking points of happy days are here again will be exacerbated thereby and continue with a vengeance   r    So, SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!      

AIG crisis could be the tip of an insurance iceberg     U.S. Spending 100% of GDP on Bailouts and Related Programs     Watchdogs: Treasury won't disclose bank bailout details.(I think it’s obvious they’re covering up the substantial securities fraud, using taxpayer money to do so, as yet there’s not even one prosecution which makes the government complicit, after the fact, in consummating the fraud) ...       U.S. private sector axes 742,000 jobs in March    March auto sales plunge...    U.S. seen facing danger of 2nd recession next year or stated another more realistic way, the depression though flush with ever more worthless weimar dollars providing ephemeral b.s. talking points of happy days are here again will be exacerbated thereby and continue with a vengeance   r       Financial Rescue Nears GDP as Pledges Top $12.8 Trillion      U.S. auto sales plunge, but bottom not yet near    "Hurt, Frightened and Very Angry:" Risk of Social Unrest Rising, Says FT's Martin Wolf       [$$] Accounting Rules Should Avoid Impairment (at The Wall Street Journal Online)      Nightmare on Wall Street   Destination Collapse     Foreclosure Crisis Hits Warp Speed: 6 Million Families Face Losing Their Homes in the Next Three Years

PREVIOUS (3-31-09), suckers’ bear market rally continues to keep suckers suckered and commission dollars flowing by window-dressing this past month (and quarter) with gains based on bad news and hence bull s**t alone so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Global Meltdown, Part III    $$] It's Only Window-Dressing     Why This Is Just Another Bear Market Rally   All news decisively negative with prospectively negative implications as the jawboners/frauds talk up that ever elusive bottom for stocks/real estate despite reality indicating otherwise [have you noticed the wide divergence of private reports (though somewhat skewed to the upside because of flawed/fake data they must rely upon from the government) as opposed to false government reports]. Confidence near historically record lows and Case/Shiller index showing declining real estate values (-19.4%)  Home Prices in 20 U.S. Cities Fell by a Record 19%    with declines at highest rate on record   Global Meltdown, Part III        $$] It's Only Window-Dressing     Why This Is Just Another Bear Market Rally      An Autopsy of the Glass-Steagall Act     U.S. Spending 100% of GDP on Bailouts and Related Programs     TARP Watchdog: “We Do Not Seem To Be A Priority For The Treasury Department”     NEWS BROKE: SUN-TIMES Files For Bankruptcy, Both Major Chicago Dailies Now In Chapter 11...     Ontario, CA, Tent City Residents Required to Wear Wristbands       Government website now offers ’suicide warning signs’ for victims of recession  .

PREVIOUS (3-30-09), Art Hogan recently summed up choosing stocks in this environment thusly: ‘pick the best-looking horse at the glue factory’…..I think he was as a courtesy to his industry overly generous. The administration pitches hardballs to the auto industry while continuing to pitch powder puffs to the wall street frauds who have perpetrated the largest (securities) fraud in recorded history, turning a cyclical downturn into what is now unavoidably depression, putting beleagered taxpayers in the unfathomable position of funders/guarantors of the scam/fraud in bailing out the perpetrators of the crimes (bush’s infamous base) who have financially benefited enormously (fees, commissions, spreads, points, salaries, expenses, bonuses, etc.) from their fraud/crimes. Still not even one prosecution from this administration even though disgorgement, the legal remedy among other criminal penalties, would aid the defacto bankrupt u.s. treasury!     Obama's tough auto stance may include bankruptcy     Wall Street hits the brakes on autos, bank woes     Workers say Obama treated autos worse than Wall St (AP)     UBS shares fall as writedowns, job cuts expected (AP)    Obama puts GM, Chrysler on short leash     Stocks fall as automaker plans are rejected    Russia backs return to Gold Standard to solve financial crisis    Looting by U.S. Government at All-Time Highs    White House to let Chrysler fail    US Banks Operate Without Reserve Requirements     GM, Peugeot CEOs forced out as auto woes deepen    Geithner won't say if more bailout money needed   AIG delays funds to some real-estate ventures: report     Asian stocks tumble on auto, bank concerns (AP)    UBS shares fall as more writedowns, job cuts seen (Reuters)     GM, Chrysler have no 'viable' plans: US task force      Pension insurer shifted to stocks to froth the fraudulent market Boston Globe | Just months before the start of last year’s stock market collapse, the federal agency that insures the retirement funds of 44 million Americans departed from its conservative investment strategy and decided to put much of its $64 billion insurance fund into stocks to froth the frudulent market at behest of frauds on wall street.   

PREVIOUS (3-27-09), very modest losses relative to reality so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Sugar coated though still bad numbers, usual suspects/concerns cited, ie., bankruptcies on rise, omni 22nd bank to fail this year, printing hyperinflationary funny money like mad, etc. (don’t forget, as now, in 2008 they predicted improvement in second half and no recession though we now know we were already in recession and now depression).   Nobel Laureate Dr. Joseph Stiglitz Says “The Geithner Plan Amounts To Robbery Of The American People”   Ninth Georgia bank collapses (at Atlanta Journal Constitution - 22nd this year)      Economy shrinks most in 25 years; Unemployment continues climb  Roubini Says Stocks Will Drop, Government Will Nationalize More Banks...    Ron Paul Predicts 15-year Depression    The Credit Bust Is Not Almost Over (at Seeking Alpha)   Top bank regulator placed on leave pending review (AP)   PAPER: Rahm Emanuel's Short FREDDIE MAC stay made him $320,000+...         On PPIP and Geithner's Latest Power Grab (Linkfest) (at Seeking Alpha)   Will SDRs Become World’s Reserve Currency?     UN PANEL TOUTS NEW GLOBAL CURRENCY...      Rep. to Geithner: Your Plan Is 'Radical'...     The Bubble That Must Burst     

PREVIOUS (3-26-09), all news decisively bad, viz., continuing unemployment claims at new record high 5.56 million, new unemployment claims at very bad 653,000, economic contraction a worse than previously reported –6.3%, corporate profits down and at worst levels in decades, J.D. Power and Associates reports auto sales decline of a whopping –40%, Economy shrinks most in 25 years; Unemployment continues climb  Roubini Says Stocks Will Drop, Government Will Nationalize More Banks...    Ron Paul Predicts 15-year Depression  , yet suckers’ bear market rally to keep those suckers suckered so take this folly as a great opportunity to SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  The Credit Bust Is Not Almost Over (at Seeking Alpha)   Top bank regulator placed on leave pending review (AP)   PAPER: Rahm Emanuel's Short FREDDIE MAC stay made him $320,000+...         On PPIP and Geithner's Latest Power Grab (Linkfest) (at Seeking Alpha)   Will SDRs Become World’s Reserve Currency?     UN PANEL TOUTS NEW GLOBAL CURRENCY...      Rep. to Geithner: Your Plan Is 'Radical'...     The Bubble That Must Burst     

PREVIOUS (3-25-09), The corrupt, scandal-scarred commerce department notorious for institutionalized lying comes out with numbers  three times/300% better than private forecasts for now into the third week in a row for such very forecastable data as used home sales, new home sales, and durable goods (mostly government/military with funny at that) in an attempt to froth that font of fraud called the american stock market/wall street which is how this financial/economic crisis came to be, with the parasitic churn-and-earn commisioning on the way up (and then down) based on bull s**t alone. Still not one prosecution of that huge collateralized securities fraud for which disgorgement would constitute substantial contribution to treasury as opposed to the just announced diversion to small potatoes (like madoff, which should be pursued but not a priority to the multi-trillion dollar collateralized securities fraud, etc.), viz., the sub-prime mortgage origination fraud (encouraged by actions of fed and government), etc.. With 80% debt-to-GDP ratio, the u.s. is now the leader of banana republic nations.   Nobel Laureate Dr. Joseph Stiglitz Says “The Geithner Plan Amounts To Robbery Of The American People”     IBM to cut 5,000 jobs in U.S.      Wall St. rallies late as data offsets bond sale gloom    [$$] Government-Debt Auctions Disappoint as Demand Subsides (at The Wall Street Journal Online)    Asian Shares Mostly Lower, Mkts Overcooked; Nikkei Down 0.7%    CDS ‘Godfather’ Says Blow ‘Em All Up’     Obama Denounces Global Currency While Creating The Very Means For Its Introduction      Code Pink and Barney’s Bailout Circus   One Small Problem With Geithner’s Plan: It Will Bankrupt The Banks        White House to Hunt for New Tax Revenues     Bank Of England warns Gordon Brown to stop the spending         U.K. Bond Auction Fails for First Time Since 2002          Obama’s Economic Plan a “Road to Hell”  Associated Press | The president of the European Union on Wednesday slammed U.S. plans to spend its way out of recession as “a road to hell.”    

PREVIOUS (3-24-09): Modest losses relative to an increasingly grim reality so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  
 

 ETF Death Watch: Why Are Funds Closing? The financial crisis isn’t just shrinking portfolios and profits. It’s also putting exchange-traded funds and notes out of business. According to State Street, 58 exchange-traded products closed last year and another 30 or so from companies like SPA, Credit Suisse and Northern Trust have stopped trading the last three months. With more on the way, the liquidation process is shaping up to be a prominent trend for investors to watch in 2009.       
Geithner Plan Will Rob US Taxpayers: Stiglitz The U.S. government plan to rid banks of toxic assets will rob American taxpayers by exposing them to too much risk and is unlikely to work as long as the economy remains weak, Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz said on Tuesday.
Geithner Grilled on Goldman Sachs Connections
David Edwards | Geithner told Waters that Goldman Sachs could help manage the new program to help banks remove toxic assets from their books. Haven’t goldman and goldman people done enough damage?  Their abilities and competence are vastly overrated and overstated.   Be Gentle with the Bankers? No, Indict Them for Fraud/High Treason

U.S. woos investors to buy toxic assets   Falling Japan land prices stir deflation worries    China Telecom's annual profit plunges 96% on write-down     Japan automakers' sales tumble in February      China Urges New Money Reserve to Replace Dollar     The Fed Did Indeed Cause the Housing Bubble     China Voices Support For New Global Currency To Replace Dollar    

US unveils public-private plan for toxic assets     

Donating for dollars? Many bailed-out banks still contributing to campaign funds The federal bank bailouts may be giving new meaning to the term “kickback.”   JPMorgan Chase To Spend Millions on New Jets and Luxury Airport Hangar   YouTube Caught Censoring Obama Deception Video    The Fed Did Indeed Cause the Housing Bubble

What the Pros Say: US Is Now ‘Bankrupt’  US Federal Reserve announces massive increase in government debt     U.S. Budget Office offers darker economic and deficit outlook    [$$] Market Overbought and Overbelieved      Auditors project deeper deficits for Obama budget    Rothschild: Economic crisis will leave governments with “enormous public debt”     The Fed Did It, and Greenspan Should Admit It      

Launching Lifeboats Before the Ship Sinks Paul Craig Roberts | If the US government is forced to print money to cover the high costs of its wars and bailouts, things could fall apart very quickly.

US Federal Reserve announces massive increase in government debt Barry Grey | The essence of all of the measures taken in response to the crisis is an effort to rescue the system and protect the wealth and power of the financial elite at the expense of the broad masses of the population.

Tax Time Covert Ops Catherine Austin Fitts | Hate. Divide and conquer. It’s a business. The media is pushing it. The people directing it are the same people who brought you the AIG bonuses.

PREVIOUS (3-23-09): So preposterous was today’s Pavlov dogs rally [conditioning to associate what’s good for fraudulent wall street, viz., privatizing profits – still not one prosecution for what now is the largest fraud/scam/swindle in the history of this planet – and socializing the losses, is somehow positive for america/the economy by the magnitude of this suckers’ bear market rally and prior market manipulations] when the same created the instant crisis in the first instance (don’t worry about the frauds on wall street, they’ll get their commissions again on the way down as they did in creating this financial debacle/fraud as they clamor for more taxpayer/treasury money).  They’re still printing/creating those worthless Weimar dollars like mad, China Urges New Money Reserve to Replace Dollar ,don’t know what they’re doing, are clueless, and disingenuously seek to divert attention from the missing/stolen/bilked $14 trillion of taxpayer money with the subterfuge of outrage over the relatively miniscule though not unimportant million dollar bonuses (AIG, etc.), so-called fixes/plans, etc., so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  What the Pros Say: US Is Now ‘Bankrupt’   US is Already Bankrupt: Analyst   U.S. Budget Office offers darker economic and deficit outlook      The Geithner-Summers-Bernanke Plan to Prop Up Asset Prices Has Failed    U.N. panel says world should ditch dollar     

Fierman: How quickly things change…..
Some stats from today’s rally:
S&P: +54 (7.1%) to 823
Dow: +497 (+6.8%) to 7776
NYSE Up Volume: 1,866,836,012
NYSE Down Volume: 44,683,760
NYSE Total Volume: 1,914,836,622
It was just 2 weeks ago (March 9th) that the S&P closed at 12-year lows and the stock market felt like it was forecasting the end of the world. We’ve now rallied 22% in 2 weeks! But if we look at the catalysts for this rally, they really don’t seem to justify such an explosive move. Citi said they were profitable in the first two months of the year and JP Morgan (JPM) and Bank of America (BAC) said they were too. The Fed initiated some serious quantitative easing. And now Geithner’s toxic asset plan this morning. I agree with the Capital Spectator when he wrote this morning:

We’re skeptical largely because the rally this month has drawn power primarily from a new round of hope that Washington’s various experiments to right the economy will finally hit pay dirt. Perhaps, but it’s not the stuff that powers sustainable rallies, much less secular bull markets.

I’M A SELLER OF THIS RALLY AT THIS POINT…..


PREVIOUS (3-20-09),
Modest losses relative to reality and their printing those worthless Weimar dollars like mad, don’t know what they’re doing, are clueless, and disingenuously seek to divert attention from the missing/stolen/bilked $14 trillion of taxpayer money with the subterfuge of outrage over the relatively miniscule though not unimportant million dollar bonuses (AIG, etc.) so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  What the Pros Say: US Is Now ‘Bankrupt’   US is Already Bankrupt: Analyst   U.S. Budget Office offers darker economic and deficit outlook      The Geithner-Summers-Bernanke Plan to Prop Up Asset Prices Has Failed    U.N. panel says world should ditch dollar     

 

PREVIOUS (3-19-09), ‘…Economic news remains uninspiring. Weekly initial claims dipped 12,000 to 646,000, which was better than the consensus estimate of 655,000. Continuing claims hit another record high, though, jumping to 5.47 million from 5.29 million. Leading indicators for February showed a 0.4% decline, which wasn't as bad as the 0.6% decline that was expected… Energy stocks (+1.4%) and materials stocks (+1.4%) were helped by stronger commodity prices. The CRB Commodity Index climbed more than 5% in this year's largest single-session advance by percent. Crude oil futures prices gained 6.5% to close pit trading at $51.25 per barrel, while gold prices advanced 7.8% to close at $958.50 per ounce. Underpinning the strength in commodity prices was a considerably weaker U.S. dollar. According to the Dollar Index, the greenback sank 1.7% this session, and more than 4% during the last two sessions. The dollar's weakness follows the Fed's latest policy directive…’

 

 

US is Already Bankrupt: Analyst   The Geithner-Summers-Bernanke Plan to Prop Up Asset Prices Has Failed    U.N. panel says world should ditch dollar     Corporate Media Disses Gold     Citigroup May Spend $10 Million for Executive Suite       It’s Not Just AIG: Fannie Plans Exec Bonuses      Gold Re-Couples with Euro, “Dollar Getting Destroyed”     House passes tax to recoup most of AIG bonuses ($200 million); what about the $14 trillion in fraudulent bailouts and the missing $4 trillion at the New York fed… s     Bank of America involved in Merrill Q4 writedowns: report     Put/Call Ratio Indicates Overbought Market Condition      SUPER PUMP: $1 TRILLION CREATED OUT OF THIN AIR...   Oil Nears $52; Hits high for 2009...      

 

PREVIOUS (3-18-09), absolute desperation by the fed as fed in panic mode buys bonds with even more fake money (ultimately you pay). Shot in the dark, they unequivocally do not know what they’re doing; don’t have even the slightest clue. Some well deserved guilt as greenspan, bernanke, paulson, geithner, etc., are authors of this debacle with compliant politics as usual facilitating same (wall street/hedge fund gamblers shouldn’t be bailed out, etc.), but the divergence of so-called opinion from stagflation to applauding same in light of fraudulent stock market up-tick (isn’t that how we got here, to this financial/economic disaster).
 

Depression Unrest Turmoil Instability Riots all coming and SOON   As depression deepens, more americans go fishing (Reuters)    It’s Not Just AIG: Fannie Plans Exec Bonuses      Stimulus plan: Spend now, details later (promise)      Dollar Plunges After Fed Announcement     Senate quietly stripped measure restricting bonuses from bailout legislation    Hedge funds could reap billions from AIG which should not reward soured bets/gambles with taxpayer funds as now slated.   Citi, Morgan Stanley Looking to Issue More Diluting Shares for Bonus Payments (at Seeking Alpha)    Editorials: Rewards instead of punishments

PREVIOUS (3-17-09), all private forecasts of the very forecastable housing starts defied the false report of the corrupt, scandal-scarred commerce department (remember the fake reports that spurred recent ralleys which ultimately burned the buyers) spurred suckers’ bear market ralley so great opportunity to SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!

Dent, Napier, and Prechter - Wise to Heed Their Predictions    Is Mistrust in Wall Street Pointing to New Lows?    RECORD: NATIONAL DEBT HITS $11 TRILLION...    The Size of Derivatives Bubble = $190K Per Person on Planet      Washington knew AIG was preparing to pay bonuses (AP)     U.S. to claw back AIG bonuses, lawmakers eye tax     House committee scrutinizes Merrill bonuses        Bad year or good, fraud or just preparing for fraud with wall street,  AIG employees got big bonuses (AP)  Paulson Was Behind Bailout Martial Law Threat    Fed Hides Destination Of $2 Trillion In Bailout Money     World Bank cuts China GDP estimate again, to 6.5%      Obama Confronts “Populist Anger” Over Bankster Giveaways     IMF poised to print billions of dollars       Jim Rogers Expects Civil Unrest in the US and all around the World

PREVIOUS 3-16-09,
Very modest losses relative to reality so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! ‘…February industrial production declined 1.4%, which is essentially in-line with the consensus 1.3% decline. Capacity utilization dipped to 70.9% from 71.9%, as generally expected. The February report continues to reflect a weak demand environment that will ultimately drag on GDP...’’… The nation's industrial output fell for the fourth straight month in February, with factories operating at their lowest level in six decades of record keeping. Analysts forecast more production cuts to come as companies are battered by recessions at home and abroad. The Federal Reserve reported Monday that industrial output dropped by 1.4 percent last month, slightly larger than the 1.2 percent decline economists had expected. The weakness included a 0.7 percent fall in manufacturing output, which pushed the operating rate at the nation's factories down to 67.4 percent of capacity last month, the lowest level on records that go back to 1948…’

Treasury to rework AIG aid to recoup bonuses    AIG massive payments to banks stoke bailout rage      Hearst prints final Seattle PI   Hearst hopes Web-only Seattle P-I will turn profit       AIG Bonuses Add to Reality of Public Revolt against Wall Street, Federal Reserve      Bracing for a Bailout Backlash     Dollar Crisis In The Making     Think recession’s bad? Try a cataclysm!       Insurance giant AIG to pay $165 million in bonuses (AP) AP - American International Group is giving its executives tens of millions of dollars in new bonuses even though it received a taxpayer bailout of more than $170 billion dollars.   AIG plans to disclose CDS counterparties: source     Chrysler faces July cash crunch even with more aid    Accounting Rule Changes Creating False Rally in Financials (at Seeking Alpha)     Cash-hungry U.S. states turn to Web to auction goods     Bernanke: recession could end in '09 and if his grandmother had wheels she could be a trolley car and as he previously said we could avoid recession though we were already in one which is now a depression with worse yet to come and most assuredly will not end in 2009 except in the b.s. talking points in their dreams (AP)     Millions in AIG bonuses draw chorus of outrage (AP)    AIG payments to banks stoke bailout rage     White House says economy is sound despite 'mess’ or stated another way, a sound mess…..riiiiight!'     

AIG Bonuses Add to Reality of Public Revolt against Wall Street, Federal Reserve  Mike Adams | People will be marching in the streets, demanding the arrest of all the rich executives and corrupt bureaucrats who took part in this massive financial theft.

PREVIOUS 3-13-09, Suckers’ bear market rally   ( Citigroup Inspired Bear Market Suckers’ Rally  ) to keep the suckers suckered and commission dollars flowing to the frauds on wall street Regulator: Before Banks Collapsed, They Pleaded With Feds To Let Them Fudge Their Books Ryan Grim | Before financial institutions collapsed, they went to the Financial Accounting Standards Board, pleading for a change in mark-to-market accounting rules so that they can continue to appear to be solvent on their balance sheets and hence, continue to defraud the public as they are now once again trying to do.   Unemployment in 7 States Has Exceeded 20% in February     China Debates If It Should Continue to Foolish Buy Evermore Worthless U.S. Treasuries      America faces new Depression misery as financial crisis worsens       Tent Cities, Unemployment, Homelessness Growing         Dmitry Orlov: “America will collapse”       Warren Buffett's BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY stripped of its 'AAA' credit rating...  THE INFLUENCE/BRIBE/PROTECTION RACKET: New record for number of PACs

 

PREVIOUS (3-12-09), the waning full moon still compounding the frivolity of the criminally insane; particularly the lunatic frauds on wall street, and truth be told, the lunatics who follow in lock-step behind them. Suckers’ bear market rally    ( Citigroup Inspired Bear Market Suckers’ Rally  ) to keep the suckers suckered and commission dollars flowing to the frauds on wall street so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  There are no bulls or bears on fraudulent wall street, just ostriches. One senile land of fruits and nuts analyst/ broker / master planner of the lost angeles failed paradigm quips with glee: it’s impressive to see the market ignore so much bad news and rally…riiiiight!  Ron Paul, A Rare Voice of Reason on Capital Hill: Culprits Of Financial Collapse Should Be Arrested, Prosecuted, and Disgorgement Of Fraudulent Gains Would Inure to the Benefit of the Technically/Defacto Insolvent/Bankrupt u.s. Treasury in the Multi-Trillions as Recovered (Their greed and fraud has further bankrupted this country and damaged other nations and recoupment of their fraudulent gains must be required as the law already provides since taxpayers are bearing the brunt of government inaction. What they did is not ok. They must pay. This is not difficult to grasp and must be done or there is no hope prospectively for america since all will know of this government fostered/complicit fraud). ‘…Better-than-expected (but typically fake as per scandal scarred commerce department) retail sales data suggested consumers haven't completely rolled over. February retail sales declined just 0.1%, which is better than the 0.5% decline that was expected. Excluding autos, retail sales increased 0.7%. A decline of 0.1% was expected. Meanwhile, January total sales and sales less autos were revised to show an even larger increase. The upbeat retail sales data comes in the face of ongoing consumer headwinds, such as mounting job losses. Weekly initial claims climbed 9,000 to 654,000, which was worse than expected. Continuing claims jumped nearly 200,000 to 5.32 million, which was also worse than expected (new record). In other economic news, February business inventories declined 1.1%, which is essentially in-line with the consensus estimate...’
’…This week's rally got an extra dose of adrenaline after an accounting board told Congress Thursday it may recommend (more fraud as we’re currently experiencing by way of ) a let-up in financial reporting rules for troubled banks in three weeks… Fed reports record fall in household net worth WASHINGTON (AP) -- The net worth of American households fell by the largest amount in more than a half-century of record keeping during the fourth quarter of last year…The Federal Reserve said Thursday that household net worth dropped by a record 9 percent from the level in the third quarter. The decline was the sixth straight quarterly drop in net worth and underscored the battering that U.S. families are undergoing in the midst of a steep recession with unemployment surging and the value of their homes and investments plunging. Net worth represents total assets such as homes and checking accounts minus liabilities like mortgages and credit card debt. Jobless claims rise as retail sales slip WASHINGTON (AP) -- With layoffs spreading, the number of initial claims for jobless benefits rose last week, while the total number of people continuing to receive benefits set a record high, the government said Thursday. The Labor Department reported that first-time requests for unemployment insurance rose to 654,000 from the previous week's upwardly revised figure of 645,000, above analysts' expectations. The number of people receiving benefits for more than a week increased by 193,000 to 5.3 million, the most on records dating back to 1967. That's the sixth time in the past seven weeks that the jobless claims rolls have set a record high…’

 

Ron Paul, A Rare Voice of Reason on Capital Hill: Culprits Of Financial Collapse Should Be Arrested, Prosecuted, and Forced Disgorgement Of Fraudulent Gains Would Inure to the Benefit of the Technically/Defacto Insolvent/Bankrupt u.s. Treasury in the Multi-Trillions as Recovered -  Compared to them, madoff was a mere piker    Citigroup Inspired Bear Market Suckers’ Rally     Unemployment in 7 States May Have Exceeded 20% in February     45 percent of world’s wealth destroyed: Blackstone CEO      Madoff jailed after pleading guilty to $50-65 billion fraud and telling court: ‘I am deeply sorry and ashamed of my crimes’      Newmont CEO sees gold in range of $1,200      House prices to drop another 55% and leave Britain bankrupt      Madoff sent to jail as furious victims applaud (AP)     Madoff pleads guilty, is jailed for $65 billion fraud     Don't Sweat Hypernflation Just Yet: Deflation/Depression "In the Cards" for 2009 and Beyond, Shilling Says       More on Roubini and Shiller's Dour Outlook      Pelosi dodges chance to end automatic pay raises       Ron Paul: Culprits Of Financial Collapse Should Be Arrested      SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

PREVIOUS (3-11-09), Analyst chatter: Not through the worst of it, the worst (of depression) still ahead, investing in this market is like trying to catch a falling knife. Foreclosures up and spreading as unemployment also rises and will continue to rise. Freddy lost another $50 billion and wants another $31 billion, while Fanny lost another $60 billion and wants another $15 billion. Hillary Kramer says trading only, in-and-out, so if you can’t, don’t jump into market to try and catch the falling knife. Dividend cuts for 2009 have already surpassed that for all of 2008 at $46.8 billion.

53% of Americans (and Senator Specter) Think the U.S. Depression is Like the 1930’s    This is a Depression! For Markets, What they call it does Not Matter       Billionaire Stanford to take the 5th in fraud case (AP)    Madoff mysteries remain as he nears guilty plea     Merrill misled Congress on bonuses o       Freddie Mac seeks $30.8B in US aid after 4Q loss    Earnings Growth Estimates: The Bad, the Bad and the Ugly      Japan's economy shrinks an annualized 12.1% in the fourth quarter       Dell Cuts Staff Worldwide     Last year REITs lost 38% - that's a bit worse than the S&P 500    Credit card delinquencies hit index record   Thousands Line Up at Indiana Mall for Food Handouts      The Fed Has Destroyed Your Retirement SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

PREVIOUS (3-10-09), yes, indeed, a rally with power of a speeding locomotive based on….. b.s. talk point with early release of  CITI showing a profit [not counting more writedowns, bad/worthless assets(loans)/securities, expenses, etc.] of $8 billion with receipt of $45 billion (plus loans/guarantees/investments in excess of $100 billion) taxpayer bailout … WOW!…at this rate the treasury will deplete even faster than originally projected. But the math is so simple that elementary school kids with a handle on third grade arithmetic can accomplish the same and hence, can and should replace top management at a much lower price and without delay.   ‘…bernanke says regulatory overhaul needed…WASHINGTON (AP) -- The nation's financial rule book must be rewritten to prevent a repeat of the global economic crisis now gripping the United States and other countries, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said Tuesday…Bernanke offered new details on how to bolster mutual funds and a program that insures bank deposits. He also stressed the need for regulators to make sure financial companies have a sufficient capital cushion against potential losses…The Fed chief's remarks come as the Obama administration and Congress are crafting their overhaul strategies. For the administration, critical work will be carried out among global finance officials this weekend in London ahead of next month's meeting of leaders from the world's 20 major economic powers…Madoff's lawyer says client will plead guilty …NEW YORK (AP) -- In a courtroom surprise, it was revealed Tuesday that Bernard Madoff will plead guilty Thursday to securities fraud, perjury and other crimes, knowing that he could face up to 150 years in prison for one of the largest frauds in history…’ ‘…All three major indices registered fresh multiyear closing lows in the prior session, but came rallying back this session to log their best single-session performance by percent in months. The rebound came after Citigroup issued an encouraging update and reports indicated the uptick rule may be reinstated… Rep. Frank stated mark-to-market accounting rules must be improved, but Senator Shelby says any mark-to-market accounting changes should be made by the SEC. The SEC stated it will not seek to suspend such rules (since such would make valuations a fraud)... The stock market's advance was further helped by short-covering. Still, trading volume on the NYSE climbed above 2 billion shares…’   

Cost to buy protection against U.S. government default surges   Good News! Economist Sees GDP Down 7% in Q1 and 9.25% Unemployment in 2010      Madoff faces life in prison on 11 criminal charges     Citi's fake profit view, uptick talk drive big rally    Roubini: Depression Could Last beyond 36 Months; Dow at 5000...      United Tech to cut 11,600 jobs     Why Commodities Prices May Rise, Even In Deflation    IMF warns of Great Depression, All Nations at risk     Oil at $50 Looms as OPEC Plans Cut, Keeps to Quota     53% Say It’s Likely the U.S. Will Enter a Depression Similar to 1930’s even though we’re already in one worse than the 1930’s     Washington plans for big bank failure     SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

PREVIOUS (3-9-09),
…‘Despite a rebound by financial stocks and a batch of merger news, the stock market was unable to put together a sustainable advance. Stocks finished with a broad-based loss, a bit above session lows. Uncertainty in foreign indices fueled early losses in the headline indices. Financials were the focal point of the weakness, falling to a loss of 2.2%. The drop was short-lived, though. Financials rallied to a gain of 5.3%, but finished with a gain of 2.5%’… …’ Wall Street fell more than 1 percent Monday as uneasiness about the economy eclipsed a bounce in troubled financial stocks and news of a big drug company merger. Stocks rose in the early going but turned lower in a now familiar pattern where short-lived bursts of optimism give way to concerns about the country's economic woes’ (in the real world they call that mental illness, lunacy –note the full moon, manic depression/bipolar disorder, etc., or just plain fraudulent wall street )’
World Bank offers dire forecast for world economy       
Depression Dynamic Ensues as Markets Revisit 1930s   Global Financial Assets Lost $50 Trillion Last Year    SEC says money manager invented big accounts     Who got AIG's bailout billions?  
 
‘The collapse of America is unavoidable’ Regulators seize seventh bank in Georgia...    Kerry: 'Animal House' Party Days Are Over for u.s. government...      Bank stocks rally despite their insolvency (AP)    Too big to fail? 5 biggest banks are 'dead men walking' (McClatchy Newspapers)     [video] Next Dead Dividend (at TheStreet.com)      Oil at $50 Looms as OPEC Plans Cut, Keeps to Quota     Too Big Has Failed: KC Fed Prez Says We Need Temporary Nationalization (at Seeking Alpha)     World Bank says global economy will shrink in 2009 (AP)      Recession on track to be longest in postwar period (AP)      Cash In A Mattress? No, Gold In The Closet    Paulson Was Behind Bailout Martial Law Threat    Fed Hides Destination Of $2 Trillion In Bailout Money    


PREVIOUS (3-6-09),
fudged in a manner most favorable to the frauds (we past these unemployment percentages quite some time ago and they were much worse then and still worse now, etc.), the news remains bleak and reality says even bleaker. Any economist who in discussing this depression mindlessly compares this Greatest Depression to any other contraction without pointing out crucial negative distinguishing characteristics; viz., insurmountable debt, increasingly worthless (Weimar) currency, irrevocable and unrelenting trade/budget deficits, global antipathy (stemming from illegal wars, war crimes, massive securities fraud, etc.), lack of significant manufacturing base, pervasive corruption/theft /plundering/incompetence, etc., cannot be considered a serious economist (just a joker who probably missed the call on recession/depression, etc.). …’Huge layoffs push joblessness toward double digits WASHINGTON (AP) -- Tolling grimly higher, the recession snatched more than 650,000 Americans' jobs for a record third straight month in February as unemployment climbed to a quarter-century peak of 8.1 percent and surged toward even more wrenching double digits.The human carnage from the recession, well into its second year, now stands at 4.4 million lost jobs. Some 12.5 million people are searching for work -- more than the population of the entire state of Pennsylvania. No one seems immune: The jobless rate for college graduates has hit its highest point on record, just like the rate for people lacking high school diplomas… GM shares reach 75-year low amid bankruptcy talk…’ The broader market turned in a modest gain, thanks to a late rally effort that overcame steep losses. Initial gains were broad-based as participants began buying in the wake of the February jobs report, which indicated nonfarm payrolls fell 651,000, in-line with expectations, and unemployment climbed more than expected to a 25-year high of 8.1%. Stocks were up as much as 2.4% in what resembled past trends that saw stocks sell off leading up to the monthly jobs report, but then rally in its wake as traders "bought the bad news."

Madoff expected to plead guilty to fraud charges      How to Spot a Ponzi Con Artist? Follow the Yachts (Time.com)    U.S. jobless rate hits 25-year high    Goldman, others get AIG payouts: report      US Bancorp CEO got pay package valued at $6.8M (AP)    Huge layoffs push joblessness toward double digits   AP source: Madoff guilty plea expected next week    Stocks facing uphill battle; budget, retail sales loom    $11 Trillion Wipeout: Wall Street's Year-and-a-Half of Dangerous Living     Economy in 'Free-Fall': Unemployment Rate Surges to 8.1%, Highest in 25 Years    GM shares reach 75-year low amid bankruptcy talk (AP)   Fox Admits To Planting Political Brainwashing In Popular TV Shows    Pelosi Backs Senate Facist Amendment to Censor Talk Radio    Senate to Give FDIC up to $500 Billion    Senator Bernie Sanders Slams Fed Boss Ben Bernanke     Bailout Money - Instead of Being Used to Stabilize the Economy or Even the Bailed-Out Companies - is Just Going to Line the Pockets of the Wealthy    Taxpayers Furious With Budget Cuts Take Frustration To Streets Of NYC     AIG “Was Going to Bring Down Europe”: Lawmaker  

  PREVIOUS (3-5-09), Analyst/Economist Chatter: funny money (they’re printing worthless Weimar dollars like mad) and now they’re thinking funny assets (suspending reality based mark-to-market in favor of the failed fraudulent whatever they want so they can foist/spin/defraud which got us to this debacle); more bank takeovers; GM burning cash, bankruptcy probable; Merrill bonuses for jobs poorly done (my direct experience with Merril Lynch brokers was their total incompetence); higher taxes, higher inflation, $3 trillion new u.s. debt, dollar devaluation; more bank takeovers and far worse unemployment.   “Few economists expect a turnaround in the battered labor market anytime soon with companies laying off thousands of workers weekly…Still, initial requests for unemployment benefits fell to 639,000 from the previous week's figure of 670,000, the Labor Department (fake number) said Thursday. Analysts expected a smaller drop to 650,000…Retailers report sales declines in February…GM concedes in the report filed Thursday that it's on the edge of bankruptcy and won't be able to avoid it unless it gets more government money and successfully executes a huge restructuring plan…Mortgage woes break records again in 4Q. NEW YORK (AP) -- A stunning 48 percent of the nation's homeowners who have a subprime, adjustable-rate mortgage are behind on their payments or in foreclosure, and the rate for homeowners with all mortgage types hit a new record, new data Thursday showed…” “The stock market logged new multiyear lows during the session, and closed at its worst level since the fourth quarter of 1996. Roughly 95% of the companies in the S&P 500 finished with a loss...Though losses were broad-based, financials were dealt the worst blow. The sector fell 9.9% with particular weakness among diversified banks (-16.5%) and other diversified financial services companies (-13.2%). Moody's announced it is reviewing the credit ratings of Bank of America (BAC 3.17, -0.42) and Wells Fargo (WFC 8.12, -1.54) for possible downgrade. Moody's lowered its outlook for JPMorgan Chase (JPM 16.60, -2.70) to negative from stable. Sellers pushed both WFC and JPM shares to new multiyear lows…Fourth quarter nonfarm productivity declined 0.4%, though it was expected to increase 1.2% after the prior reading showed a 3.2% increase. The lower reading was a result of lower economic output in the fourth quarter. Meanwhile, fourth quarter unit labor costs increased 5.7%. Economists expected a 3.8% increase. Factory orders for January fell 1.9% (fake number), which is a less severe drop than the 3.5% decline that was widely expected. The drop in factory orders reflects the retrenchment by businesses in the wake of softer spending…” Now As The Much Greater Depression Progresses    Dow and S&P hit 12-year lows    Bernanke Arrogantly Refuses To Disclose Which Banks Took Money   Treasury secretary's choice for deputy withdraws (only little people pay taxes so take this job and shove it says tiny tim deputy designate) (AP)   22 Georgia legislators fail to pay income taxes...    GM auditors raise doubt on viability     One in 8 U.S. homeowners late paying or in foreclosure     Citigroup stock falls below $1 a share (AP)     $$] SVG Swings to a Loss on Markdowns Hits (at The Wall Street Journal Online)     Why the Fed's TALF Is Bad for America     Mortgage woes break records again in 4Q (AP)    Stocks Fall Below 7,000 Again    Fed Refuses to Release Bank Data, Insists on Secrecy     


  PREVIOUS (3-4-09), all news decisively worse than expected, fed beige book outlook grim, economist outlook for recovery bleak. Celente: U.S. Has Entered “The Greatest Depression” The spin: china bailout (the frauds on wall street spinning/foolishly banking on china buying more worthless u.s. paper – their domestic needs are substantial and they’re increasing military spending by 15% as well) and high oil price suckers’ bear market/short-covering rally to again keep suckers sucked in for their commissions sake. The great red hope! How preposterous! Who would have thunk it!  ‘…strong gains overseas provided an excuse for buyers to enter the fold and short-sellers to cover their positions. Foreign indices upended their own losing streak after China announced it will add approximately $586 billion to the fiscal spending plan it announced late last year… According to the Fed's Beige Book, the Fed does not expect a significant economic recovery until late 2009 or early 2010 at best (remember, they also said no recession and now we’re in a depression). Meanwhile, the ISM Services Index for February dipped to 41.6% from 42.9%, indicating continued contraction for the services sector. The consensus estimate was pegged at 41.0%. Investors and economists got a glimpse of what may be lurking in the government's February nonfarm payroll report, which is due at the end of the week. According to the latest ADP Employment Report, 697,000 jobs were lost in February. The consensus estimate called for 630,000 job losses…’ ‘…fed survey: economy deteriorated in Jan., Feb. . After a dismal start to 2009, business people see more pain ahead, expecting no improvement in economic conditions till late this year at the earliest. Their pessimism was evident in the Federal Reserve's latest snapshot of business activity nationwide. It showed sharp cutbacks affecting both blue-collar jobs that once churned out construction equipment and white-collar professionals like business consultants and accountants. From factories in Cleveland to high-tech firms in Texas and California, the Fed's beige book reported widespread production declines. Services sector shrank in Feb., 5th straight month…’ U.S. private sector cuts 697,000 jobs in February    FDIC’s Bair Says Insurance Fund Could Be Insolvent This Year     The Never-Ending Bailout     They Done Us Wrong: Spending Our Way Into Greater Depression     Credit concerns pound GE shares in volatile trade    China hopes, oil's jump, both negatives, end Wall St 5-day rout     Warren Buffett's 'Fundamental Weakness'      ETFs Suffer Outflows In February      Celente: U.S. Has Entered “The Greatest Depression”   The D-word: The depression has become something worse (AP)   Obama Must Fire Geithner and Summers    Gold Industry Officials Warn Of Depression     Jim Rogers: Bailouts are destroying the US Economy     Paulson Was Behind Bailout Martial Law Threat    Fed Hides Destination Of $2 Trillion In Bailout Money    PREVIOUS (3-3-09), modest losses relative to reality as bad and worse than expected news just keeps on coming along with suckers bear market/short-covering rallies as here into the close to keep the suckers suckered. Defaults/delinquencies up, home/car sales down… Celente: U.S. Has Entered “The Greatest Depression” Helicopter ben ‘bernanke indicated the near-term outlook for the economy remains weak. Economists at Goldman Sachs concur; they expect the U.S. economy will fall 7.0% in the first quarter, according to Dow Jones.  Despite housing stimulus provisions, pending home sales in January declined 7.7%. The consensus estimate called for a 3.5% decline. The data reflect the effects of ongoing job losses, lost wealth, and weak consumer confidence.  Similar forces continue weighing heavily on auto sales. Ford Motor (F 1.81, -0.07) reported February sales in North America fell roughly 48%, which is steeper than the 42% drop that was expected. General Motors (GM 1.99, -0.02) reported February sales sank nearly 53%, exceeding the 45% fall that was widely forecast. Separate reports indicated GM's chief operating officer said that without government funds the company's European unit would run out of cash in the second quarter. Chrysler down 44%’…
               ART HOGAN SAY’S ”IT’S A TOUGH ONE”… THAT’S A TRUE STATEMENT!

Celente: U.S. Has Entered “The Greatest Depression”   The D-word: The depression has become something worse (AP)   Obama Must Fire Geithner and Summers    Gold Industry Officials Warn Of Depression     Jim Rogers: Bailouts are destroying the US Economy    Gold has longest losing streak since October   U.S. auto sales fall as depression deepens   Blockbuster seeks debt overhaul, shares halted     MGM Mirage casino co. says it may default on debt (AP)    A Banana Republic By 2012? Change for the Worse     Obama Calls Bush On Troop Withdrawal Plan    Geithner Says U.S. Financial Rescue ‘Might Cost More’ (maybe he can locate the $4 trillion missing at the fed and use that)    Pension (substantial funding shortfalls) bombs going off     Pennsylvania Rep. Rohrer Introduces Tenth Amendment Resolution       Previous (3-2-09), analyst chatter: one analyst said investors just can’t take (the wall street fraud/bull sh_) it anymore and sees 5,000 on the DOW (too optimistic); another says worst levels not yet seen, but markets functioning…riiiiight…, more bad economic news, dividend cuts; another says the so-called plan changinging everyday, not stimulus but at best stabilization (doomed to fail), unrealistic expectations (that’s realistic), talks funny assets/accounting (that’s what helped get us here-the fraud), a world of hurt, hope for short-covering rallies…sounds like a plan…riiiiight; another who called the crash says worst bear market in history, if priced in gold market has fallen 80% and more decline to come, says stimulus/stabilization good money after bad and recipients with worst management (fraud, etc.) should rather be allowed to fail, treasury bond/dollar bubble, u.s. stocks still overvalued so sell, precious (money) metals and overseas markets better; and finally, mainstream analyst says gold/bonds but no stocks. Dow industrials fall below 7,000; lowest since ‘97    Buffett says economy in shambles losses on derivatives contracts tied to the stock market.   Banks and economy to keep bears' grip on stocks   Berkshire reports a 96 percent drop in 4Q profit    Chart of the Week: GDP Worse than Expected (at Seeking Alpha)   Time to Bury the Markets    NYSE Suspends $1 Stock Price Minimum   Economics of this Depression    [$$] BofA Executive Got Housing Perks (at The Wall Street Journal Online)   Madoff seeks to keep NYC penthouse, $62M in assets – Typical kike/jews      Dow finishes below 7,000 for first time since '97 (AP)    The D-word: The depression has become something worse (AP)  [$$] At Merrill, Thinning Herd of Carrion (at The Wall Street Journal Online)    AIG Will Receive More Aid, Bigger Loss...    NYSE Euronext chief gets 2008 pay valued at $9.2M (AP)    Asian stock markets tumble on worsening US slump    Sources: AIG to get up to $30B more in Fed aid  Moody's lowers ratings on Citi's Japan operations (at MarketWatch)   Oil falls below $44 on bleak US GDP, AIG news   States' budget woes will outlast the depression    israeli media denounced for insulting the Prophet    Israeli minister calls for assassination of top arab leader justifying action to eliminate/exterminate nazionist israel/israelis for the sake of world peace and justice as   8 more civilians die in US drone raid         Buffett Says Economy Will Be 'Shambles' in 2009, Likely 'Well Beyond'...  BERKSHIRE has worst year...     Iran says USA planning 'long-term stay' in Iraq...  Kudlow: Obama Declares War on Investors, Entrepreneurs, Businesses, And More...    Bankers: Stop trashing us...    Wall Street slides after CITI-government deal...   Sets Single-Day Trading Volume...   STRUGGLING STATES LOOK TO UNORTHODOX TAXES...    Iran says USA planning 'long-term stay' in Iraq...   Warren Buffett Speaks: His Worst Year Ever – If you listened to him recently (I warned you not to) you’re down another 20-30% since his government shill/propaganda talk (did he really give away his fortune – maybe he just decided to lose it and bring everyone with him – senile, I say yes) r   A Banana Republic By 2012? Change for the Worse  Previous (2-27-09), modest losses relative to reality including news much worse than expected: ‘The economy contracted at a staggering 6.2 percent pace at the end of 2008, the worst showing in a quarter-century, as consumers and businesses ratcheted back spending, plunging the country deeper into depression. The report released Friday showed the economy sinking much faster than the 3.8 percent annualized drop for the October-December quarter first estimated last month which rallied stocks significantly to keep suckers suckered and commission dollars flowing. It also was considerably weaker than the 5.4 percent annualized decline economists expected’. ‘Economic data remains gloomy. Fourth quarter GDP was revised lower to reflect an annual rate of -6.2% versus a previously estimated -3.8%. The decrease in fourth quarter activity primarily reflected negative contributions from exports, personal consumption expenditures, equipment and software, and residential fixed investment’. US economy suffers sharp nosedive  Economy moving in reverse faster than predicted    Moody’s predicts default rate will exceed peaks hit in Great Depression    Shares tumble across globe as figures reveal U.S. economy shrank 6% in last quarter - the fastest rate in 25 years    Regulators close banks in Illinois, Nevada  FDIC Approves ‘Emergency’ Fee on Banks to Bolster Reserves      Banks and economy to keep bears' grip on stocks     FDIC raising fees on banks, adds emergency fee (AP)     AIG talks weigh securitizing life policies…..riiiiight!…: source    BofA carries loans $44 billion above market value     Citi, U.S. Reach Accord on a Third Bailout (at The Wall Street Journal Online)    Tax hikes are coming -- but you already knew that    Investors await Buffett letter as Berkshire hits 5-1/2 year lows   Five reasons buying a home in 2009 is a bad idea     Three Top Economists Agree 2009 Worst Financial Crisis/Depression Since Great Depression; Risks Increase if Right Steps are Not Taken (Business Wire)  WORST MONTH SINCE 1933     Paulson Was Behind Bailout Martial Law Threat    Urban Warfare Drills Linked To Coming Economic Rage  CIA Adds Economy To Threat Updates    Fed Hides Destination Of $2 Trillion In Bailout Money    We Watch Now As Funds Get Vaporized Bob Chapman | Business will go on as usual in Washington and on Wall Street — as corrupt as ever. Moody’s predicts default rate will exceed peaks hit in Great Depression A bigger proportion of non-investment grade companies will go bust in the US and overseas in the coming years than during the Great Depression, according to Moody’s, one of the world’s foremost experts on credit. US economy suffers sharp nosedive BBC | The US economy shrank by 6.2% in the last three months of 2008, official figures have shown, a far sharper fall than had previously been reported. FDIC Approves ‘Emergency’ Fee on Banks to Bolster Reserves Bloomberg | The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. will charge U.S. banks a one-time assessment and increase other fees to replenish its insurance fund, adding $27 billion in costs to an industry already hobbled by the financial crisis. Citigroup Shares Down 36% | The Treasury, which has provided a total of $45 billion to Citigroup, left the door open for the bank to seek additional government funding.  Previous (2-26-09), Banks lost $26.2 billion last quarter, GM lost $10 billion past month, FDIC problem bank list grows to 252, u.s. broke but $3.5 trillion spending plan and $1.75 trillion budget deficit, etc., ‘FDIC reported that at the end of the fourth quarter its list of troubled institutions grew to 252 from 171 at the end of the third quarter. The latest data indicated January durable goods orders fell a more-than-expected 5.2%. Excluding transportation, durable goods fell 2.5%, which was also steeper than expected. January new home sales fell more than expected to an annualized rate of 309,000 units, which is a record low. Jobless claims continue to rise beyond expectations. Initial claims climbed 36,000 to 667,000 from the prior week. Continuing claims came in just below 5.03 million, up from nearly 5.00 million in the prior reading’.  Americans receiving unemployment top 5 million   Fannie Mae seeks $15.2B in US aid after 4Q loss    $1.75T Deficit, Higher Taxes, "Bogus" Stimulus     Obama’s Stimulus Bill is a Banker Contrived Debt Scam    Obama’s War Machine Needs $800 Billion For 2009    A $1.75 TRILLION DEFICIT...    Small Businesses To Suffer From Obama’s Tax Hike    Obama’s Budget: Almost $1 Trillion in New Taxes Over Next 10 yrs, Starting 2011  ETF Advisers: Sell Into Market's Rally    Paulson Was Behind Bailout Martial Law Threat    Urban Warfare Drills Linked To Coming Economic Rage  CIA Adds Economy To Threat Updates    Fed Hides Destination Of $2 Trillion In Bailout Money    US banks post first quarterly loss since 1990...   Record Government Note Auction; Unprecedented amount of debt...   More Fraud on Wall Street New York Times | WG Trading Company and Westridge Capital misappropriated funds from state and city pension funds, including Carnegie Mellon University and the University of Pittsburgh.     Previous (2-25-09), suckers’ bear market/short-covering rally based on bull s**t/jawboning alone and bad news much worse than expected into the close to finish well off more realistic lows, to keep the suckers suckered so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Economic/trends/demographics forecaster/analyst Harry S. Dent says this Great Depression will bottom out (with no cognizable uptick till) early 2020’s, unemployment 14%-17%, 50%-60% decline in real estate values, dollar (and market) crash, etc. (close but no cigar), is realistic and starkly dismal in light of the convergance of major bubbles which are deflating. New b.s. talking point the convertible preferreds (all real analysts know to treat as converted said securities to account for dilution - and quite possibly nationalization), and then the so-called ‘stress-tests’ for banks…riiiiight!…read those flat lines.  Money managers accused of $550 million fraud (Reuters) TARP Said to Be Ripe for Fraud   Existing U.S. home sales, prices drop in January   Gannett slashes dividend 90 pct, saving $325M    ETF Advisers: Sell Into Market's Rally    Paulson Was Behind Bailout Martial Law Threat    Urban Warfare Drills Linked To Coming Economic Rage   Fed Hides Destination Of $2 Trillion In Bailout Money   U.S. Consumer Confidence Collapsed to Record Low   The Market Is Not Your Friend   Bernanke says depression to linger   Housing Prices in 20 U.S. Cities Fall a Record 18.5%  U.S. Economy: Consumer Confidence In Record Slump   Ron Paul Grills Bernanke: “You Can’t Reinflate The Bubble”    Stocks drop as Obama speech and housing data weigh  Gold investors make 120pc return in four months    Bailout Bank Blows Millions Partying in L.A.      How Credit Default Swaps Brought Down the World Economy    ‘Black Swan’ Author Sees Trouble Exceeding 1930s   Majority Of U.S. States Join Sovereignty Movement, Assert 10th Amendment Rights  New World Liberty | With the economy collapsing, it is a very real and immediate danger that the federal government can turn into a completely criminal and fascist government.  Rahm Emanuel Doesn’t Pay Taxes, So Why Should You?  Kurt Nimmo | Don’t expect Rahm Emanuel, Nancy Pelosi, Tim Geithner, Evan Bayh, and other minions of the elite to pay their “fair share.” After all, taxes are for the little people.  Previous (2-24-09), suckers’ bear market/short-covering rally based on bull s**t/jawboning alone and bad news much worse than expected, to keep the suckers suckered so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Helicopter ben, the guy who said no recession even as now we know we were already in one (actually depression) told by handlers to be upbeat (how ‘bout just beat, burnt out, etc.) delivers still dire but sugar-coated for spin/consumption testimony/b.s.. Severe contraction…as in depression; recession/depression could end by end of year/beginning of 2010 if…and if his grandmother had wheels, she’d be a trolley car. Ridiculous bull s**t that got everyone here in the first place. Analyst chatter: talk about franchise value of banks ruined if nationalized, confidence at all-time low, end of 2010 before any recovery (if at all), orderly process of deleveraging, on defense till trends more believable; another-not there yet as contrarian indicators say otherwise and bearish industry view (newsletters); another- news bad as expected but confidence reading far worse than expected, downward momentum accelerated with occasional relief rallies at best;  Housing Prices in 20 U.S. Cities Fall a Record 18.5%  U.S. Economy: Consumer Confidence In Record Slump  U.S. consumer confidence collapsed this month and home values plunged in December, the latest evidence of a deepening economic slump that will last well into 2010 and beyond.  Analysts: New Era Of Chaos Has Taken Hold A wave of economists, investors and other financial experts issued a series of dire warnings concerning the global financial crisis over the weekend, stating that a new era of chaos has taken hold all over the globe.  Paulson Was Behind Bailout Martial Law Threat    Urban Warfare Drills Linked To Coming Economic Rage   Fed Hides Destination Of $2 Trillion In Bailout Money   U.S. Consumer Confidence Collapsed to Record Low   The Market Is Not Your Friend   Bernanke says depression to linger  Get Ready for Mass Retail Closings    Microsoft says no new cost cuts, shares hit 11-year low  Stanford a cog in the U.S. intelligence dirty money laundering machine     How the Economy was Lost      Unemployment (already past 9% in reality) Will Pass 9% This Year: NABE   SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! Previous (2-23-09), even the frauds on wall street who should be prosecuted are not buying the rhetoric/b.s. which is very, very, etc., short on detail, ie., spending money the broke u.s. doesn’t have for bailouts, while cutting the deficit in half in 4 years, etc.,…..riiiiiight! What economists / analysts are saying: Zandi - rapidly eroding economy; analyst – ugly…lots of bull s**t, no specifics/details, not pretty picture, equity holders of financials wiped out prospectively; Financial Times Editor – markets at new lows, nationalize or not (defacto they’re already nationalized), AIG trading at 50 cents has received $80 billion in bailout funds and just records loss of $60 billion, dire; bank analyst – downward pressure on financials particularly as dilution taken into account, write-offs, more capital needed, securitization market down, down, down and more capital necessary for writedowns; analyst – vicious bear, no faith in government plan, dismal! . One analyst previously pointed out there has been not one prosecution thus far and the frauds on wall street should be prosecuted and forced disgorgement. Analyst Frank Cochrane looks ahead to 4,000 to 6,000 on the DOW, 700 to 900 on the NASDAQ, and 425 to 625 on the S&P, and says spending/stimulus programs will not work, a point on which he is correct and the low end of his ranges closer to realityNot Just a Few Bad Apples - Corruption is Systemic in America  In case you believe that there are only “a couple of bad apples” in the United States, here is an off-the-top-of-his-head (I could give many, many more including my RICO case) list of corruption by leading pillars of american society.  Wall Street slides to 12-year low   New U.S. stake in Citigroup will not calm realities/doubts   AIG in talks with U.S. government, sees $60 billion loss: source     Pinnacle West shares fall on earnings, outlook (AP)    LaSalle Hotel shares fall on analyst outlook (AP)   Harley-Davidson shares fall on sales worries / realities (AP)   Major stock market indexes fall to 1997 levels and much further down to go given realities    Micron Tech to cut up to 2,000 more jobs in Idaho    Asian shares slump after Dow hits 1997 low (at MarketWatch)    The S&P 500's Incredibly Shrinking Market Cap The more they do, the worse it gets  Paulson Was Behind Bailout Martial Law Threat    Fed Hides Destination Of $2 Trillion In Bailout Money   The Great “Global Crisis of Maturity” and the New World Order     World Financial System In A State Of Insolvency      Urban Warfare Drills Linked To Coming Economic Rage    Britain faces summer of rage    Get Ready for Mass Retail Closings     Yahoo Finance | About 220,000 stores will close this year in America.    Editorials: Rewriting rules of global finance   GLOBAL MARKETS-US stocks slide as bear grips harder, oil falls    BACK TO 1997...    State sends $1 food stamp checks to 250,000...     Obama pledges to slash deficit - after increase...    Rosy assumptions...    Philadelphia newspapers' owner files for bankruptcy...    AIG Seeks More US Funds As Record Loss Looms...    Advisers readying bankruptcy financing for automakers...     BANK MESS: HSBC CONSIDERS $20B CASH CALL FROM INVESTORS...   Sentiment Overview: Pessimists Increase by 18%   Stocks: Horrible Start to 2008, Worse in 2009     Ex-Senate aide charged in Abramoff scandal   THE FAILED INFLUENCE GAME: Stimulus still aiding K Street   Swiss party wants to punish USA for UBS bank probe... Developing...   Japan stocks fall after lender seeks bankruptcy (AP)   Gov't reportedly mulls dilution, more obfuscation, and more money down the rabbit hole by taking larger stake in Citi (AP)   RBS prepares to unveil global downsizing plan  Richard Russell: Bear Market Remains in Force    Summary of Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2009    The New Depression - The Lessons of the 1930s    Markets May be Said to be Oversold (Again), But Decisive Rally Won’t Be Forthcoming as Much Worse and Much More Selling to Come   Philly newspaper owner files for Chapter 11 (AP)  

 Previous (2-20-09), stocks tumbled around the world, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to its biggest weekly drop since November, on concern the deepening recession will force banks to seek more government aid. Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index slid to a six-year low, and Japan’s Topix Index declined to the worst level since 1984.  Analysts saying impossible to predict bottom in this dismal scenario, nationalization concerns, not bottomed yet, new bear market lows. Art Hogan says greater than 50% is defacto nationalization anyway and nothing left for shareholders, pricing mechanism for toxic assets problematic along with negative capitalization ratios, new lows in offing, gold for capital preservation along with treasuries and money markets. Nader says depression. There’s no end/bottom in sight. One says 2011-2014 earliest for bottoming at best and that nationalization means politization. One analyst previously pointed out there has been not one prosecution thus far and the frauds on wall street should be prosecuted and forced disgorgement. Analyst Frank Cochrane looks ahead to 4,000 to 6,000 on the DOW, 700 to 900 on the NASDAQ, and 425 to 625 on the S&P, and says spending/stimulus programs will not work, a point on which he is correct and the low end of his ranges closer to realityNot Just a Few Bad Apples - Corruption is Systemic in America  In case you believe that there are only “a couple of bad apples” in the United States, here is an off-the-top-of-his-head (I could give many, many more including my RICO case) list of corruption by leading pillars of american society. SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!    Major indexes fall more than 6 percent for week   The Great Depression has Arrived- Collapsing American Dreams    Defacto if not dejure nationalization realities hit Citi, BofA   Soros sees no bottom for world financial "collapse"  Trustee: Some Madoff stock trades were fiction   Morgan Stanley offers $3 billion broker bonuses, Wells none (Reuters)   Gold Hits $1,000   Ron Paul: Stimulus “Waste of Money”     The Inconveninent Debt    Gold Tops $1,000, First Time Since March as Depression Deepens    Stocks Drop Around the World; Stoxx 600 Falls to 6-Year Low    Fed Hides Destination Of $2 Trillion In Bailout Money “…The United States was in much better shape, economically, going into the Great Depression than it is now. Prosperity is not coming back to the U.S. as we know it. We are in a lot of trouble…”More Economists Say Crisis Is Worse Than Great Depression   Previous (2-18-09), all news much worse than expected as new home starts plunge 17% (-56% year over year), fed/bernanke downgrades economic forecast (rallied stocks when he made same which was bull s**t then as pointed out here) predicting reality of contraction which he says will be protracted, prolonged and increased unemployment (9%) though reality is much worse than they’re once again (falsely) predicting (we’re already significantly past 9% unemployment) and as one economist points out, in an economic freefall. bernanke’s outlook realistically dismal which sentiment is shared by analysts/economists who envision no bottoming until well into 2010 at best because…..this is a DEPRESSION!  Previous (2-19-09), ‘Initial jobless claims totaled 627,000, topping the 620,000 claims that were expected. Initial claims were unchanged week-over-week, while the four-week moving average moved up to 619,000 from 608,500. Continuing claims reached record highs of 4.99 million. Economists forecast 4.81 million continuing claims. The four-week moving average for continuing claims stands at 4.84 million, up from 4.75 million. Jobless claims were a drag on the January index of leading economic indicators, which increased 0.4%, exceeding the consensus forecast of a 0.1% increase. An increase in the money supply proved to be the main driver lifting the index, but the increased money supply contributes to inflationary concerns. Producer prices, which measure inflation, increased more than expected in January. The January PPI and core PPI were up 0.8% and 0.4%, respectively.’ Philly fed manufacturing index at 18 year low. The easiest to forecast leading economic indicator was fudged to the upside, though still marginal,  with said fake number substantially exceeding all private forecasts (stock prices, auto, housing, employment, etc., all down sharply in subject month…..hence, I don’t think so and fake report). Analysts saying stimulus plan not stimulative, specter of bank nationalization (banks insolvent), loss of pricing power across most all industries, and then the plethora of very bad economic/financial data with breakthrough technical bottoms, looking for violent sell-off/capitulation to provide minimal/short-lived bear market rallies, with some ephemeral opportunities among defensive stock plays, ie., whole foods (pricing power), auto parts (refurbishing old cars). One analyst previously pointed out there has been not one prosecution thus far and the frauds on wall street should be prosecuted and forced disgorgement. Analyst Frank Cochrane looks ahead to 4,000 to 6,000 on the DOW, 700 to 900 on the NASDAQ, and 425 to 625 on the S&P, and says spending/stimulus programs will not work, a point on which he is correct and the low end of his ranges closer to realityNot Just a Few Bad Apples - Corruption is Systemic in America  In case you believe that there are only “a couple of bad apples” in the United States, here is an off-the-top-of-his-head (I could give many, many more including my RICO case) list of corruption by leading pillars of american society. SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Jobless Claims Hit Record High; Inflation Jumps    Dow falls to 6-year low as banks slide  Wholesale inflation takes biggest jump in 6 months   Dow Closes at New Bear-Market Low  Dow Theorists spot a bear   Rising debt will overwhelm Obama’s effort to rescue the economy    Bank debt trades at distressed levels (at FT.com)  5 million Americans drawing jobless benefits  AP IMPACT: Jobless hit with bank fees on benefits (AP)   FBI tracks down Texas financier in fraud case (AP)    FBI finds Allen Stanford in Virginia   Stanford curried influence in DC: watchdog group   PC makers' shares fall on worsening demand     BofA and Citi shares fall on defacto or dejure nationalization near     GE shares dip to lowest since 1995    Feb. could be worst month yet for jobless claims    Fitch downgrades Marriott on lodging softness (AP)  Fed downgrades economic forecast for this year  “…The United States was in much better shape, economically, going into the Great Depression than it is now. Prosperity is not coming back to the U.S. as we know it. We are in a lot of trouble…”More Economists Say Crisis Is Worse Than Great Depression   Previous (2-18-09), all news much worse than expected as new home starts plunge 17% (-56% year over year), fed/bernanke downgrades economic forecast (rallied stocks when he made same which was bull s**t then as pointed out here) predicting reality of contraction which he says will be protracted, prolonged and increased unemployment (9%) though reality is much worse than they’re once again (falsely) predicting (we’re already significantly past 9% unemployment) and as one economist points out, in an economic freefall. bernanke’s outlook realistically dismal which sentiment is shared by analysts/economists who envision no bottoming until well into 2010 at best because…..this is a DEPRESSION!

Not Just a Few Bad Apples - Corruption is Systemic in America    Fed downgrades economic forecast for this year  Fed says US economy will get worse in 2009   Bernanke cuts growth view, considers inflation target  Hundreds seek their money as Stanford fallout spreads   HP cuts full year outlook (Reuters)   UBS to pay $780M, open secret Swiss bank records    Billionaire's bank customers denied their deposits    HP profit slumps 13 pct on weak PC and ink sales   [$$] Dow ends little-changed amid slew of grim news (at The Wall Street Journal Online)    The Bull's Case for Buying Gold     ...starts, permits plunge to new record lows SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!

  Previous (2-17-09), modest losses relative to reality so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! Analysts say not very encouraging, market saying stimulus will not work, lots of toxic assets still out their, nothing safe in bear market, oil to $80, gold appropriate hedge against deflation and inflation and deserves spot in portfolios, no turnaround anytime soon, and tough-sledding ahead. “…The United States was in much better shape, economically, going into the Great Depression than it is now. Prosperity is not coming back to the U.S. as we know it. We are in a lot of trouble…”More Economists Say Crisis Is Worse Than Great Depression Joint Chiefs chairman calls fiscal calamity a bigger threat than any war   GM seeks up to $30B in aid, to cut 47,000 jobs (AP)   GM and Chrysler seek nearly $22 billion more in aid   Stocks sink to November lows on depression fears    U.S. charges Allen Stanford with "massive" fraud    Reality about expensive, flawed, failed stimulus drag stocks down sharply (AP)    It’s Getting Ugly: Economist Says Hoard Gold & Scotch Paul Joseph Watson | Williams predicts hyperinflationary depression will mean a $100 dollar bill is worth less than toilet paper.  65 Trillion - U.S. Financial Obligations Exceed The Entire World’s GDP   A “Monetary Stalingrad” is on its way to Europe   Kansas suspends income tax refunds, may miss payroll    Europe’s economic slump deeper than expected  Total desperation by frauds on wall street. One analyst previously pointed out there has been not one prosecution thus far and the frauds on wall street should be prosecuted. Analyst Frank Cochrane looks ahead to 4,000 to 6,000 on the DOW, 700 to 900 on the NASDAQ, and 425 to 625 on the S&P, and says spending/stimulus programs will not work, a point on which he is correct and the low end of his ranges closer to reality. Indeed, the lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.- Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc., so SELL /SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  GM seeks up to $30B in aid, to cut 47,000 jobs (AP)   America's Insolvent Banks (at Seeking Alpha)  Gold Jumps to 7-Month High as Investors Seek to Preserve Wealth    Stocks sink to 3-month lows    GM and Chrysler seek nearly $22 billion more in aid   Stocks sink to November lows on depression fears    U.S. charges Allen Stanford with "massive" fraud    Reality about expensive, flawed, failed stimulus drag stocks down sharply (AP)   It’s Getting Ugly: Economist Says Hoard Gold & Scotch Paul Joseph Watson | Williams predicts hyperinflationary depression will mean a $100 dollar bill is worth less than toilet paper.  65 Trillion - U.S. Financial Obligations Exceed The Entire World’s GDP   A “Monetary Stalingrad” is on its way to Europe   Kansas suspends income tax refunds, may miss payroll    Europe’s economic slump deeper than expected    WORLD TO STAY IN SLUMP   Previous(2-13-09), modest losses relative to reality inasmuch as outlook remains bleak with data (though sugar-coated, inflated, false to provide more favorable b.s. talk points) dismal as consumer confidence down sharply ((56.2 vs. 61.2 previous, job losses continue as do earnings declines/losses, bankruptcies, defaults, etc., so SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Analysts negative regarding level of uncertainty, skepticism regarding more stimulus/bailout money down the rabbit hole, longer-term considerations of deflation/hyperinflation, and particularly the valuation of assets in any of the bailouts, etc.. Oil inventories high but production cuts will weigh heavily later. [$$] Long-Term Dow Chart Suggests More Downside   Large U.S. banks on edge of insolvency, experts say   Regulators close banks in Neb., Fla., Ill., Ore.  GOLD Separating from the US DOLLAR-Banks insolvent     Another $3T of U.S. Debt: Don't Count on Foreigners to Pay for Our Bailouts      U.S. auto suppliers seek $18.5 billion in government aid   How Banks Are Worsening the Foreclosure Crisis    Stocks fall as investors can't shake economic woes   Huge stimulus bill only the beginning of the end, substantial investment in Weimar dollar printing presses/operators envisioned: Obama   Will the stimulus actually stimulate? Economists say no     This is 1930 all over again and far worse  Federal obligations exceed world GDP...   Euro Zone Sees Biggest Contraction on Record    Previous (2-12-09), suckers’ bear market rally with 200+ point upswing into the close based on b**l s**t alone on continuing bad news including  increasingly high job loss/unemployment numbers (though vastly understated), unexpected (euphemistic for false) +1% January retail, and leak of yet the new latest, greatest, economic “stimulus”/subsidy, etc., so especially great opportunity to SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 23% decrease in wealth in u.s. and much further to go. Fed printing worthless Weimar dollars like mad (ultimately, inevitably hyperinflationary)  while treasury securities bubble gets bigger (stay away from treasuries – TIPS/treasury inflation protected securities only). Total desperation by frauds on wall street. One analyst previously pointed out there has been not one prosecution thus far and the frauds on wall street should be prosecuted. Analyst Frank Cochrane looks ahead to 4,000 to 6,000 on the DOW, 700 to 900 on the NASDAQ, and 425 to 625 on the S&P, and says spending/stimulus programs will not work, a point on which he is correct and the low end of his ranges closer to reality. Indeed, the lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.- Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.. Obama’s Stimulus Not Enough to Avert Biggest GDP Drop Since 1946  Bloomberg | Obama’s stimulus plan will be insufficient to avert the biggest U.S. economic decline since 1946 as consumer spending posts its longest slide on record.      Marc Faber: U S will default on debt or enter hyperinflation  YouTube | Mr. Faber predicts the Zimbabwe model for the United States. Home Prices Slide 12%, Most on Record, as Foreclosures Drain Value...   Deluge of Financial Calamities Looming by Mid-March   Retail sales rebound, jobless claims stay high   ABCNEWS: CATERPILLAR CEO contradicts Obama: 'We're going to have more layoffs before we start hiring again'...  Retail sales rise unexpectedly (false report) in January       Wells Fargo charge boosts fourth quarter loss (Reuters)    Oh yet another new mortgage plan news is bs purported reason for spurring late suckers bear market stock rally   The Market and geithner's Empty Suit No Plan     SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Previous (2-11-09), suckers bear market rally into the close based upon the bailout/stimulus fairy tale. Reality speaks for itself so the following latest news links (job loss/cut anouncements too numerous for inclusion and real numbers/data worse than false/gov’t/shill reports) plus previous 2-10-09 assessment which follows. ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’  In 2009 were going to see the worst economic collapse ever, the Greatest Depression, says Gerald Celente, U.S. trend forecaster. He believes its going to be very violent in the U.S., including there being a tax revolt.    This DEPRESSION will last 23-26 YEARS! Government is POWERLESS!  We are facing a Depression that will last 23-26 years. The response of government is going to seal our fate because they cannot learn from the past and will make the same mistakes that every politician has made before them.     Economic Rescue Plan: More Debt, More Dollar Devaluation And More Government     Larry Summers: Fox Guarding The Henhouse    COMEX Crash To Send Gold To $3,000    Gold jumps 3 pct to 6-1/2 mth high on risk aversion    Highest Unemployment in Three Decades    Economic Rescue Plan: More Debt, More Dollar Devaluation And More Government    PAPER: European banks sitting on $24 trillion of toxic assets... The Day After: Stocks Struggle to Overcome Geithner's Stumble, RIM's Warning     Why Americans Should Care More About the $2-$5T Bailout vs. the $789B Stimulus   Ireland to take control of banks...   Popular Rage Grows as Global Crisis Worsens  Previously (2-10-09) only modest drop relative to reality as pointed out by analyst Frank Cochrane who looks ahead to 4,000 to 6,000 on the DOW, 700 to 900 on the NASDAQ, and 425 to 625 on the S&P, and says spending/stimulus programs will not work, a point on which he is correct and the low end of his ranges closer to reality. There seems near unanimity by astute people in the know that timothy (only the little people pay taxes) geithner is just not up to the job. Indeed, his apparent Freudian slip “arrest it” must have been a manifestation of his guilt for purposely evading taxes [he still after audit and before confirmation has not paid the taxes he asserted as time-barred for collection (should have been arrested)], and then there’s the $4 trillion missing at the New York fed (and hence his prospective arrest), and now even more obfuscation with regard to taxpayer funds (possible future arrest?). A career bureaucrat, one economist/analyst points out that tiny tim geithner is not an economist and his so-called plan is without a plan yet we’re now talking in trillions. Helicopter ben bernanke paints realistically bleak outlook [though rosier than reality The Economist, a Widely Respected and Authoritative Financial/Economic Publication: U.S. In Depression, Not Recession      Video: Crash Will be Worse than Great Depression   Great Recession/Depression of 2008, et seq., Worse Than All Others  IMF warns of Great Depression   Stocks Could Drop 20%, No Safe Haven: Dr. Reality    Celente Correctly Predicts Revolution, Food Riots, Tax Rebellions By 2012  Former chief economist: U.S. in a depression   Merrill Lynch’s Chief Economist: We’re Already In a Depression  Ray Dalio: A Long and Painful Depression - Barron's Interview        Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009  , job losses like mad, and don’t believe the understated unemployment rates] seems flustered, impotent but really should allow alan greenspan his due for the current debacle. How about charging, arresting, and prosecuting the perpetrators of the massive fraud instead of using taxpayer funds to bail them out (especially since they’re now buying the fraudulent, worthless securities as well as talking funny books – they already have the funny money being printed like mad). Especially great opportunity to SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  UBS cuts jobs after fourth-quarter loss (Reuters)      UBS to slash more jobs after reporting $7 billion loss   Blue Chip poll cuts forecast for second half 2009 (Reuters)  GM cuts 10000 salaried jobs, trims employees' pay    Sirius preparing possible bankruptcy filing: report    Stocks sink over 4 percent on bank plan apprehension       U.S. offers $2 trillion bank plan but stocks slump     GE transport unit to cut or furlough 1,550 workers    Asia stocks fall amid skepticism over US bank plan (AP)    $3 trillion! — Senate, Fed, Treasury attack crisis   [$$] Foreclosure 'Tsunami' Hits Mortgage-Servicing Firms (at The Wall Street Journal Online)  Senate Passes $819 Billion Economic Stimulus Bill     Bernanke Begins ‘Thorough Review’ of Fed Disclosure     Stocks Tumble as Bailout Plan Is Unveiled   Previous (2-9-09), suckers’ bear market/short-covering rally into the close to end mixed based on continuing bad news including  new job cuts/losses including 20,000 from Nissan, etc., so still great opportunity to SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! Barron’s: Economist/analyst says depression has long way to go and lot’s of prospective pain Ray Dalio: A Long and Painful Depression - Barron's Interview  . Analysts talk up adage, ‘buy on rumor, sell on news’ regarding ie., bailouts, bailouts, bailouts, with money they don’t have as total now approaches $9.7 trillion (printing those worthless Weimar dollars like mad, ultimately/inevitably hyperinflationary), buy gold on dips; short-covering rally via irrational exuberance induced bailout news, downside volatility, dilution (stock issued will dilute EPS), stimulus won’t work, lottery stocks (financials) based on short-term blips based on b.s./bailout news alone.  Ray Dalio: A Long and Painful Depression - Barron's Interview     Financial plan won't include "bad bank": TV      One in eight lenders may fail, RBC says    One Scary Unemployment Chart     Bring back the guillotine… for bankers   Geithner says G7 should act ‘promptly’ on economy   We’re moving close to ‘a bailout-based economy’    Protectionism, unemployment and riots as the global slump deepens    Obama’s Change: Expanding the Power of the NSC and Shadow Government       Fitch cuts BofA ratings (at bizjournals.com)   House Appropriations Chairman on Stimulus Waste: 'So What'...    CBO: Stimulus harmful over long haul...    LG Elec to cut $2.2 billion costs as recession bites (Reuters)   Previous (2-6-09), suckers’ bear market rally based on especially bad news, viz., ‘depression-battered employers eliminated 598,000 jobs in January, the most since the end of 1974, bringing unemployment rate to 7.6 percent, the grim figures being further proof that the nation's job climate is deteriorating at an alarming clip with no end in sight.’  Economy so weak oil demand and price down but oil stocks rallied in the alice-in-wonderland fraudulent world of wall street. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.- Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.,  so especially great opportunity to SELL/TAKE PROFITS SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!      Real Unemployment Figures Double Those Reported By Labor Department Paul Joseph Watson | 7.6% is actually over 15% - just 9% shy of figure at height of great depression.   Financial Coup d’Etat      Rep. Kanjorski: $550 Billion Disappeared in “Electronic Run On the Banks”  U.S. job losses accelerate    Fed's Yellen sees dynamics similar to Depression    Regulators close 3 more U.S. banks    Consumer credit falls more than expected in Dec.   Peter Schiff: Stimulus Bill Will Lead to “Unmitigated Disaster”    Nearly 600K jobs lost in Jan.; more pain ahead    Peter Schiff: Why I'm Right About the Substantial Further Decline and My Critics Are All Wrong    There is a high chance a majority of the States within the United States of America could file for Chapter 9 bankruptcy. There are currently 46 states with high budget deficits, Arizona being one of them. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.- Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.,  so great opportunity to SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!   Previous day’s (2-5-09) news as bad, ie., record level monthly unemployment numbers much worse than expected 626,000, factory orders down, IMF says no breakthrough in stabilizing financial sector, etc., but irrational exuberance on bailout talk and prospect of not only funny money but now funny assets with proposed new accounting rules to hide financial reality (dismal) so great opportunity to SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/ TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  U.S. jobless claims surge in latest week to 626,000     Parallels With the Great Depression    Obama Warns of ‘Catastrophe:’ What Happened to ‘Hope’ and ‘Change?’     NEWS CORP loses $6.4 billion...  ...writedowns     GE chief warns on USA depression threat...      Watchdog: Treasury overpaid for bank stocks...    USA Must Spend Trillions they don’t have to prevent a long-lasting  Depression'...     GERMAN BANK FIRST LOSS SINCE WWII OWING TO AMERICAN SECURITIES FRAUD DEBACLE; REJECTS STATE AID...    MCCLATCHY reports loss on newspapers' decline, plans deep cost cuts...    Treasury in plans for record debt sale...    Accounting rule change for more cook the books fraud and bailout hopes spur Wall St. rally    New jobless claims surge to 26-year high    Auto suppliers seek rescue as crisis deepens   Art Hogan refers to the prevalence of bailout rhetoric, financials (among others) under pressure because there have been twice as many downside surprises on the earnings front with either no guidance or bad outlook, and cites new trading range for oil at $40 - $50.  Kraft, bank worries knock Wall St; Cisco hit late   Cisco outlook misses expectations    The Bad Bank Assets Proposal: Even Worse Than You Imagined    TIMEWARNER the troubled, horribly managed media company swings to 4Q loss on hefty writedown...   UBS Boosts ‘09 Gold Forecast to $1,000  One analyst previously pointed out there has been not one prosecution thus far and the frauds on wall street should be prosecuted. Indeed, the lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.- Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc..   Another Prominent Economist Forecasts Depression, Says Gold To Hit $2000   Auto sales hit 27-year low    US auto sales plunge 37 percent to 26-year low    Motorola's woes pile up in $3.6B quarterly loss    Disney 1Q profits drop 32 percent; shares slide    Wells Fargo defends, then cancels Vegas junket     Electronic Arts posts wider loss, huge layoffs announced, hurt by charges   Fed Secretly Lends $2 Trillion to Banksters without Oversight    JAPAN: “There has never been data this bad for any major economy - even in the great Depression”; “We are literally looking at the unimaginable”     Obama predicts more bank failures   California goes broke, halts $3.5 billion in payments  Previous, consumer spending down (-1%), manufacturing activity down, construction spending down 5.1% and much worse than expected. Problems ahead for bonds (currency risk, low yield, etc.) including treasuries (bubble), interest rates prospectively higher, bad real estate market into 2010 as banks play catch up on foreclosed properties, with top end getting hit and weaker rental market to boot.  “…The United States was in much better shape, economically, going into the Great Depression than it is now. Prosperity is not coming back to the U.S. as we know it. We are in a lot of trouble…”.  Personal bankruptcies soar 33%    More Economists Say Crisis Is Worse Than Great Depression  Steve Watson | Ominous headlines have prominent analysts spelling out disaster. Macy's cuts 7,000 jobs, slashes dividend  Factory decline, consumer spending drops   Morgan Stanley plans up to 4 percent in job cuts   Joint Chiefs chairman calls fiscal calamity a bigger threat than any war   WALL ST ALREADY DOWN 10% FOR YEAR...  Folding dealers shock car buyers with unpaid liens (AP)    GlaxoSmithkline to cut 6,000 jobs: report   The New Economic Reality …do not think we should be incurring trillions in debt for an ill-conceived or even a properly conceived plan. We cannot spend that much. OUR PROBLEM WAS SPENDING MORE THAN WE MADE SO THE ANSWER CANNOT BE THE GOVERNMENT ALLOWING US TO SPEND MORE THAN WE MAKE. Joseph Stiglitz, a Nobel laureate, can tell you better than me, and he thinks we are asking for major problems.   Florida, Maryland, Utah Banks Seized Amid Deepening Financial Crisis...   Worse than the Great Depression     Charts Predict: Oil May Whip Back up to $100    Previous session, 31st u.s. bank to fail, 6th this year, Economy's new plunge is worst in quarter-century (AP) as GDP falls 3.8% defying much worse/higher private/real forecasts/estimates; bad economy, bad economic data, bad real estate market; defensive non-equity investing recommended, ie., short-term bonds, single short ETF hedge funds, etc.. One analyst points out there has been not one prosecution thus far and they should be prosecuted. Indeed, the lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.- Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.. GDP sees biggest drop in 27 years  The Ugly Truth: The American Economy is Not Coming Back     Economy, bank woes drag market to worst January ever  Economy's new plunge is worst in quarter-century    Stocks' January drop isn't welcome sign for 2009   [$$] January Was Dow's Worst In 113 Years (at The Wall Street Journal Online)  Economy's new plunge is worst in quarter-century (AP)  Worst January ever for Dow, S&P 500   US Stocks Drop, Capping Market’s Worst January, on Economy Bloomberg   US Stocks Off; Financials, Industrials Lead DJIA Under 8000 MarketWatch   US Economy Will Keep Sliding After Shrinking Most Since 1982   U.S. Eyes Two-Part Bailout for Banks     46 Of 50 States Could File Bankruptcy In 2009-2010  Economic crisis has put the world “on the road to serious social instability”  Gold rallies 2 pct on haven buying, hits euro high   Worst January on Record for Stocks... Previous session, at least Obama referred to the outrageousness of the wall street perps/frauds who created the crisis, got wealthier in so doing at other peoples expense/damage, received taxpayer bailout funds because of what crimes they did, and now reportedly took huge bonuses ($18 billion) for failed and fraudulent performance; but if he thinks shaming them into better behavior is effective, then he is a fool. One analyst points out there has been not one prosecution thus far and they should be prosecuted. Indeed, the lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.- Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.. All bad news: all-time record continuing unemployment claims, durable goods orders down more than expected, new home sales down record levels (-37%), banking system insolvent, long-term treasuy bubble about to burst, DEPRESSION, etc.; December durable goods orders declined 2.6%, marking the fifth straight monthly decline. Excluding transportation, orders were down 3.6%. The drop in both readings was also steeper than expected. In other economic news, December new home sales declined more than expected, falling almost 15% from the prior month. The supply of new homes is at an all-time high of nearly 13 months, based on the pace of current sales. Demand for new homes remains weak as weak labor markets limit buyers. Initial jobless claims for the week ended Jan. 24 increased modestly to 588,000, which exceeded the 575,000 claims expected. Continuing claims climbed to 4.78 million, which is the highest level for continuing claims in 40 years. More Economists Say Crisis Is Worse Than Great Depression  Steve Watson | Ominous headlines have prominent analysts spelling out disaster. Jobless Sheep    Fed Reserve Fails to Reflate the US Banking System Signs of deepening economic woes slam Wall St.  Americans receiving jobless benefits hits record...    [$$] Ex-Merrill Executives Got Burned by Madoff (at The Wall Street Journal Online)    Disney plans 5 pct job cuts at ABC group  US new jobless claims up,continued claims a record Workers receiving unemployment at 25-year high    Obama calls $18B in Wall Street bonuses 'shameful’ – Is that it? Is that all there is? What about illegal as the perpetrators of the massive fraud receive taxpayer bailout funds …for their bonuses.'     Japanese output falls at record pace     Ford posts $14.6B 2008 loss, near $6 billion loss for quarter, still won't seek aid    Merrill Lynch’s Chief Economist: We’re Already In a Depression    Stocks Could Drop 20%, No Safe Haven: Dr. Reality    MURDOCH: Crisis Worsening, 'Drastic Action' Needed...   Stiffed: Why are bailed-out banks helping Pfizer buy Wyeth? Previous, suckers’ bear market ralley based on b**l s**t alone, viz., the now fabled big bad wolf bank to eat all the so-called toxic debt at taxpayer expense (for the economy- what a fairy tale),  etc., so especially great opportunity to SELL/SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! All bad news continues: Boeing to cut 10,000 jobs, AOL 700, Starbucks 6,700 , and on and on, the list is long, continues, and is growing, Warning over collapse in capital flows Telegraph | The world economy will shrink this year for the first time since the Second World War, warns the gloomiest forecast yet delivered by a major international institutional.   MERRILL LYNCH’S CHIEF ECONOMIST: WE’RE ALREADY IN A DEPRESSION     Stocks Could Drop 20%, No Safe Haven: Dr. Reality    World growth ‘worst for 60 years’   Mass layoffs surge in 2008, continue at rapid pace (AP)   'American consumer can no longer act as motor of global economy'...     Analyst Ciovacco sums it up thusly: …We have seen many of these bailout inspired "feel good" days during the bear market. The market cheered the bailout out of Bear Sterns, only to retrace all the gains while moving to lower lows. When Fannie and Freddie were bailed out by you and me (taxpayers), the market "felt good" only to move on to lower lows and more losses. When AIG was bailout out by - you guessed it, you and me, it was seen as a positive. Stocks went on to make new lows. TARP was hailed by the markets as the answer to all our problems - stocks moved higher in anticipation, then made new lows. When the formerly "big" three were given government loans, the market breathed a sigh of relief - then, you guessed it, moved lower.Here we go again. The “bad bank” is this morning’s feel good story. The futures are higher on “speculation” the government will set up a bad bank. The problem is a familiar one for money managers - we do not know what the rules are and how the "bad bank" will be set up. Will it be good for shareholders in banks? Will it be bad for shareholders in banks? We are not sure because we have no details on the latest bailout, only speculation and a few sound bites. The basic goal of the bad bank according to this morning’s news reports is to "get lending going again". In an overleveraged world, is more credit really the answer? I thought too much credit was the problem…Previous, what are they drinking, smoking, snorting on wall street with suckers’ bear market rally on decisively bad news; viz., consumer confidence at lowest level ever recorded (37.7) Consumer Confidence Slides to Record Low in January , 18% plunge in home prices as per highly regarded Case/Shiller Index, Retail Federation gives bad retail outlook, layoffs du jour galore, etc., and even as oil plunged on the bad economic data, oil stocks rallied…riiiiight! What, they worry…hell no…they work for wallstreet/government. They’ll still get their commissions on the way down and maybe stick you with their over-priced dogs as well. Same modus operandi as in January et seq, 2008 when they sucked in the suckers who this time (fool you twice, shame on you) will deserve to be burned for wall street commissions/ compensation/ bonuses’ sake as in the year just passed.  The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.- Analyst Andre Egleshion puts the amount at $600+trillion) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.,  so great opportunity to SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  Bank bailout could cost $4 trillion CEO confidence plunges around the globe    Consumer mood at record lows, house prices sag  Corning slashes up to 4,900 jobs to cut costs   Moody's says could cut GE's triple-A credit rating  Target eliminates positions amid weak sales  Nation's economic mood darkens as more jobs vanish  S&P index shows plunge in November home prices   Yahoo posts higher profit but outlook weak  Yahoo suffers 4Q loss, but tops analyst views   IBM quietly cuts thousands of jobs  Economy in free fall in fourth quarter Companies in U.S. to Slash More Jobs, Business Economists Say    military spending is crippling america   Previously, wall street frauds’ nirvana (commissioning a large incline then decline then suckers’ bear market rally into the close incline) at just a program loop, button push, mouse click away based on bull s**t alone and ‘Little Shop of Horrors’  viz., wall street vegetables clamoring ‘feed me, feed me’ with hopes for taxpayer bailout funds and short-covering bear market rally.. Motek’s experts: One land of fruits and nuts politician too many for a business hour; there will be no further comments relative to Frank Motek’s knx1070am caleefornia business hour inasmuch as the show has become a bit too parochial and limited in scope. 68,000 new job cuts this day alone.  Existing home sales on foreclosures up 6.5% so new home sellers rally…riiiight!...Preposterous!...Leading indicators allegedly up .3%  on increase in money supply (hyperinflationary)…Riiiiight! NY financier arrested in purported $400 million scam Reuters Job-killing depression racks up more layoff victims   Economy in free fall in fourth quarter   FANNIE to Seek Up to $16 Billion in Emergency Treasury Aid to Stay Afloat...   Gloom deepens as 75,000 global jobs go...   Gold pushes above $900 in buying spree; Yellow metal posts all-time highs in euro and sterling...  Economy in free fall in fourth quarter Previous, mixed finish on relatively light volume defies reality with another near 200 point swing to the upside on suckers’ bear market rally into the close to keep suckers suckered on decisively bad news so sell into rallies/strength/take profits/sell while you still can since much, much worse to come. Motek experts: Art Hogan points to volatility, lots of headwinds for market, magnitude of the worse than expected results, doubling underestimated earnings to downside and no guidance indicative of lack of belief in efficacy of stimulus, and lag effect concerning stimulus which will help but not soon enough. Investment analyst says P/E ratios for stocks much too pricey, cite S&P single digits in milder recessions past hence way over-valued at 15 P/E now.  GE profit down 44 percent   Earnings and depression batter world stocks    Britain officially slips into recession    Schlumberger 4Q tumbles; sees rough year ahead    Harley to cut 1,100 jobs as 4Q profit falls    Xerox 4Q profit plunges, misses Wall Street view (AP)       2009 Heralds “A New Age Of Rebellion”    Geithner's failure to pay taxes completely intentional        Misguided Spending Will Only Take Us Deeper Into Depression     Poor earnings, opaque forecasts weigh on stocks (AP)   Freddie Mac to ask for billions more in funds    Freddie Mac to ask government for another $30-$35 billion    Brower Piven Encourages Investors Who Have Losses in Excess of $500,000 From Investment in Bank of America Corporation to Inquire About the Lead Plaintiff Position in Securities Fraud Class Action Lawsuit Before the March 23, 2009 (Marketwire)    Capital One results suggest gloomy 2009 for credit card industry      Wall Street's culture of entitlement hard to shake     “The stock market has been bluffing investors for decades. The market's indiscernible jolts have been particularly pronounced and painful in recent months.” Simon Maierhofer“Unprecedented” Job Cuts in Works at World’s Largest Automaker    [video] Gold Surges   VIDEO: THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS - Montreal Lecture: The Great Depression of the 21st Century    Motek experts: Discuss new unemployment claims at 589,000 match 26 year high, 4.6 million continuing u.e. claims,  wall street strategist (actually just another wall street fraud) thain at last minutes before BofA bailout/takeover does compensation/bonuses/expenditures and gets axed, all-time low for housing starts with downsides well into 2010, job losses trend to accelerate well into second half 2009. Analyst says near term increased uncertainty, gamble, financials undercapitalized, recommends risk adjusted/barely below investment grade junk bund funds (high ror) and gold mining etf’s while warning long-term treasuries to take a hit. Reporter discusses negative I.T./pc market, spending and job cuts and absence of forward-looking guidance. Worsening signs for Apple with slowdown in pc sales and reliance on retail/pricing. Currency expert says problems serious, gov’t needs to raise $2 trillion, crowd out private sector, increase cost of money, fanny/freddy, government replacing private mortgage lending with negative implications. Frank congratulates Paul Kangus on Nightly Business Report 30 year anniversary where he began his business reporting career.  Just The Early Stages of Economic and Financial Collapse  Jobless claims surge, housing starts tumble  Back In Reds After Economic Data...   Bank results plummet...   Angry customer rammed bank with pickup...    GOOGLE PROFIT SLIPS FOR FIRST TIME...   MICROSOFT stuns with profit miss, job cuts...  Roubini: Banking System is “Bankrupt”, “Effectively Insolvent”  Previous, wall street frauds’ nirvana (commissioning a huge decline then a huge incline) at just a program loop, button push, mouse click away based on bull s**t alone and ‘Little (wall street) Shop of Horrors’  viz., wall street vegetables clamoring ‘feed me, feed me’ with high (what are they smoking, drinking, snorting) hopes for taxpayer bailout funds and short-covering bear market rally. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.,  so great opportunity to SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME. Motek’s experts: Analyst/options/speculator talks roller coaster ride on wall street regardless of results, banks still in trouble with dilution via government takeovers, talks lessons…please, give us a break…, then risky strategies, ie., risky bonds into riskier equities as if that isn’t that how we got into the continuing mess. Only-the-little-people-pay-taxes geithner, a co-architect of the current mess said food lines long and getting longer even as he dodges taxes (purposefully…after audit and as currently pending appointment, paid back taxes but scofflawed time-barred taxes owed), while economist says geithner a scofflaw and stimulus just more pork. Geithner was “involved in just about every flawed bailout” of the Bush era (On capital hill they were afraid to ask the question as to where is that missing $4 trillion at he ny federal reserve bank which is defacto complicity) Financial Times editor says dramatic prospective action will be very unpleasant for shareholders. S&P 500 Q408 Earnings Now Expected to Fall 28.2% Royal Bank of Scotland to Record $41 Billion loss, State Street profits down 71%, Bad news across the board as Worst Inauguration Day Drop in Dow Industrial History...  Roubini Predicts U.S. Losses May Reach $3.6 Trillion    Prominent Economist: Crisis Caused By Government Interventions  Motek’s experts: Land of fruits and nuts actor/entertainer/speculator/sometimes economist Ben Stein [who previously took a page out of GM’s playbook by lambasting Fortune Magazine (you might recall some two decades ago that Fortune warned of GM managerial ineptitude to which GM responded with outrage and withdrew all advertising and revenue to Fortune thereby in retaliation - if only they had listened) for saying caleefornia is number 1, numero uno ….. as prospectively worse real estate market in the nation, the same Ben Stein who poo-pooed Peter Shiff’s correct prediction of market crash, but did correctly state fed policies hyperinflationary, and also just criticized Shiff’s recent prognostication ( he previously had to apologize to Shiff having done wrongly so before-  his criticism of Peter Shiff for warning of this debacle years ago). He throws out a couple of economic terms (demand pull/cost push inflationary terms) to buttress his criticism of Shiff but he’s just out to lunch in citing the absence of demand as militating against Shiff’s inflationary argument since history (and even currently, i.e., zimbabwee) is replete with examples of low demand and or impoverished nations that have over-printed their currencies with hyperinflationary results as will occur in u.s.). Stein should be on the Strip doing stand-up (comedy). He is a joke!] while commenting on the inaugural address (who cares…what do you expect them to say…all talk is cheap in fraudulent america particularly) says in need of specifics, says because he can’t do taxes geithner doesn’t have to, talks gov’t guarantees on loans except for fraud, bad banks/financials, no bottom. Analyst says things getting worse not better, bad equity ratios, banks not sufficiently capitalized, unemployment/job losses yet to hit so worst to come.  Economist says recession/depression with 500,000 job losses per month, housing/stock declines, bad bank bailouts with taxpayer money bad idea/bad deal, hopes on stimulus. Peter Shiff says they buy on rumor and sell on fact/reality, TARP/government spending the problem, new lows for financials, eventual dollar collapse, bailing out/subsidizing incompetent high paid executives, get out of any assets connected to u.s., buy gold.   Roubini Predicts U.S. Losses May Reach $3.6 Trillion Bloomberg | U.S. financial losses from the credit crisis may reach $3.6 trillion, suggesting the banking system is effectively insolvent. Prominent Economist: Crisis Caused By Government Interventions Steve Watson | People who created the problem are now in charge. Previously, a big suckers’ depression era rally of near 200 points into the close to keep suckers sucked in while churning and earning those commission dollars on decisively bad news (ie., circuit city liquidates/sheds 30,000 jobs, more job cut announcements, manufacturing down 2%, cpi down .7% on lower gas/oil prices but watch for inevitable hyperinflationary effect of worthless Weimar dollars they’re printing like mad, Citigroup -- after suffering a loss of $8.29 billion, its fifth straight quarterly deficit -- is reorganizing into Citicorp and Citi Holdings—what a joke; first will focus on traditional banking around the world, while the second will hold the company's riskier assets and tougher-to-manage ventures; Bank of America slides to 4Q loss; gets more ‘down the rabbit hole’ taxpayer money; how pathetic, unemployment claims at 54,000 for week, 524,000 for prior month, 4.5 million collecting unemployment/64% increase, foreclosures for December up 17%/2nd worst on record and high for ordinarily slow December, etc.), U.S. foreclosure filings in 2008 rose 81% from 2007  , the lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.,  so SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME. Retail sales much worse than expected -2.7% and double (100% worse) expected decline with financial sector usual suspects providing other dose of bad news, along with beige book which cites weakness in all districts. Job cuts, job cuts, job cuts, and Jobs cut work schedule with medical leave till June, 2009. Oil inventories up however since economy is so bad demand has substantially weakened. What usually either way would have derailed prospective nominees in past, viz., illegal nannies, failure to pay taxes, etc., has rallied defense of geithner  TAX MESS: Panel delays hearing on Obama's Treasury choice... ,  the new york fed man ( Fed Mob Boss Geithner’s Confirmation Sidelined  - too n.y. jewish to fail or be held accountable, in fairness there’s also trump and alito, and bush and clinton, etc., all of whom seem impervious to the laws and rules of civilized governance; owe, oh! how the mighty have fallen, including meaningfully lawless america). Given the state of the nation, who can rationally defend those experienced with having caused the crisis in the first instance (there is the matter of course of campaign finance bribery). HOW ABOUT ASKING GEITHNER ABOUT THE MISSING $4 TRILLION AT N.Y. FED BANK, WHO STOLE IT, ETC., AS A PRE-CONDITION TO HIM EVEN BEING CONSIDERED! THROW THEM, THE FED, WALL STREET FRAUDS, ETC., IN GITMO; THEY’RE CERTAINLY ECONOMIC TERRORISTS, FRAUDS, THIEVES WHO’VE DONE FAR GREATER DAMAGE TO AMERICA THAN ALL AMERICA’S ENEMIES COMBINED. Typical wall street jew madoff will just have to suffer his bail days in his $7.5 million n.y. penthouse apartment.  $700-Billion Bailout Lacks Transparency, Accountability, Congressional Panel Says  Motek’s (Frank still out but returns on Monday, but will his program still be there after decimating week) experts: Senile Wedbush from the land of fruits and nuts to his credit refers to the extent financial scenario by the “D” for Depression word (he very well may have been around to have experienced the first Great Depression) and borrows refrain from old Springfield song of ‘ Wishin’ and Hopin’ ’…riiiight…Start your own company, ie., apple stands (candy, caramel, or plain); land of fruits and nuts better stick with a taco or tamale stand; hot dog stands…riiiiight! (Previous) Hugh Johnson says earnings recession and lots of going out of business signs. Retail analyst says lots of bankruptcy filings and store closures particularly in select regional/female apparel/jewelry. Hugh Johnson, analyst, says Alcoa much worse than expected a wake up call, earnings below expectations, widespread downturn but much more difficult to forecast than ever (welcomed obfuscation so they can talk the talk and sucker you), oil speculators still in play, bailouts old news but enormous deficits/problems therefrom. Investors Business Daily editor, spend and cut taxes, TARP money not enough, $485.2 record deficit, deficits will continue to grow, will catch up to u.s.,  long term better…riiiiight…how ‘bout in long term as per keynes we’ll all be dead…if you’d have listened to equities oriented IBD you’d probably be broke by now even if you were as they seem to presume a trader.  Analyst Gabriel Isdumb says eventually things will be better…yeah…riiiiight!…right after the depression has run it’s course. Autonation expert says the worst conditions he’s ever seen which he further describes as appalling. All news bad and worse than expected (ie., Alcoa, Citi which received $45 billion in bailout funds and lost $20 billion, etc.). Former chief economist: U.S. in a depression    The U.S. Economy is being Marched to the Gallows  Andrew Hughes | Predictions of hyperinflation, dollar decline and civil unrest. No Brainer: Bankster Bailout is Unconstitutional  Kurt Nimmo | A world system of financial control in private hands will begin the process of delivering feudalism to the American people. The Economy Is in a Depression  The economy contracted at about a 5% annual rate in the fourth quarter. Bank of America to receive additional $20 billion  International Herald Tribune | The second lifeline brings the government’s total stake in Bank of America to $45 billion and makes it the bank’s largest shareholder, with a stake of about 6 percent. Counterfeiting? Bank of England able to print money without having legally to declare it  Bank of America to Get Billions More From Treasury  Washington Post | The Treasury Department plans to invest billions of dollars in Bank of America to help the company absorb troubled investment bank Merrill Lynch. Citigroup -- after suffering a loss of $8.29 billion, its fifth straight quarterly deficit -- is reorganizing into Citicorp and Citi Holdings. The first will focus on traditional banking around the world, while the second will hold the company's riskier assets and tougher-to-manage ventures. Bank of America slides to 4Q loss; gets more ‘down the rabbit hole’ taxpayer money.   Bernanke: U.S. Financial Crisis Worse than Japan’s Lost Decade, but We’ll Still Copy the Japanese Playbook, Even Though It Didn’t Work   Nortel files for bankruptcy, shares plunge , (Reuters)    $700-Billion Bailout Lacks Transparency, Accountability, Congressional Panel Says U.S. Retail Sales Decline for a Sixth Month    Dismal holidays over, but retail outlook still dim  , CITIGROUP Stock Falls Below Critical $5 Level...   'Long-term transformation'...     'Swift decline in America's influence'...     Stocks tumble as worries grow about banks...    JPMorgan CEO predicts bleak year: report (Reuters) JPMorgan's chief executive predicts that the financial crisis will worsen this year, in an interview with the Financial Times newspaper published on Thursday.  Sen Dorgan: Federal Reserve Refuses To Identify Recipients Of 2 Trillion In Emergency Loans Throw them, the fed, in gitmo; they’re certainly economic terrorists, frauds, thieves who’ve done far greater damage to america than all america’s enemies combined.   Our Collapsing Economy According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nonfarm payroll employment declined by 3,445,000 from December 2007 through December 2008. Marc Faber: “I Think it Might Be Far Worse [Than the Great Depression] Precisely Because of the Interventions” by the Government The latest edition of Marc Faber’s latest newsletter fell off two separate trucks in my ‘hood, and I thought the most useful bits were Faber’s observations (honed from many years of seeing the world from Asia) that just because a market has gone down a ton doesn’t mean it can’t go down a great deal further. U.S. Economy May Shrink 1.5% in 2009 as Depression Stymies Fed Economists slashed forecasts for U.S. growth in 2009 and projected Federal Reserve policy makers won’t be able to start raising interest rates until 2010, according to a monthly Bloomberg News survey  Treasury: Deficit hits new record in just 3 months... TREASURY PICK FAILED TO PAY TAXES   Bond Bubble Looms  ‘The key here is to stay the course and not to be sucked into the hype; don’t let your eyes deceive you. Printing money non-stop for a year (or longer, I don’t see him stopping any time soon) will have consequences (meaning hyperinflation/worthless dollar, etc.).’ Those commerce department job numbers in prior months revised upwards (I warned of the falsity of same even as wall street frauds rallied on the false data).  2.6 million jobs lost in 2008, worst since 1945. Motek’s experts: Financial analyst says treasuries at 0%, money markets near 0%, so seek companies with pristine balance sheets and dividends, negative doldrums as market (irrationally) shrugs off bad news, no magic wand from new president, cross your fingers and hope…..riiiiight! Economist discusses jobs report, says lagging indicator and rough time, savings up but spending down, weakness through at least first quarter of 2010, lots of pain ahead, real estate prices continue decline through coming year,  -20% to –25% with land of fruits and nuts in worst case scenario. Another economist also discusses continued declines for real estate with land of fruits and nuts in worst case camp, foreclosures a lot higher with peak at 20%, and cites (probable) decade long stagnation as Japan in ‘90’s.   US Debt is really 53 Trillion. Can you say Dollar Collapse then Massive Hyperinflation Coming?    Roubini Joins Faber and Rogers in Saying Bubble in Treasuries Will Likely Burst  Now the U.S. porn industry seeks $5billion bailout   Citi, Morgan Stanley in brokerage talks; Rubin quits   $$] Rubin Departs Citi on a Low Note (at The Wall Street Journal Online)  Agency warns on automakers' pension funds: report   Jobless rate at 16-year high as payrolls plunge    Job losses hit 2.6 million as layoff pain deepens  Wall Street falls on job woes, Citi    Stocks slide after rise in unemployment rate (AP)   Manufacturing slumps at fastest pace since 1981   More people collecting unemployment benefits    Depression more severe than thought: Fed’s Rosengren      Horrible data and again worse than expected but suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on bull s**t and bailouts (with money they don’t have) provides excuse for irrational exuberance and mixed close. Weak retail and unemployment at 26 year high.Motek’s experts: Analyst points to dire warnings across the board while real estate/housing/building analyst says 2009 will be bad year with 20% declines in real estate values as unemployment goes higher while another real estate analyst says not a good time to buy a home. U.S. companies face $409 billion pension deficit: study   U.S. debt is losing its appeal in China   LET'S PRINT MORE WORTHLESS MONEY!    Obama Bets Big on Big Government...  Dems Raise Doubts on Plan...  A worse-than-expected ADP employment report indicated 693,000 jobs were lost in December far above the expected 493,000 and a warning from Intel (INTC 14.44, -0.93) underpinned early weakness with typical suckers’ rally into the close to finish off lows. Motek’s experts: Analyst says first 5 days of trading in January, 2009 historically a bad sign, gloomy employment scenario with 693,000 jobs lost in December, economic contraction in major way coupled with poor earnings, 1.2 trillion budget deficit at 6.8% of GDP or worse so tough to make bull case, defensive position, low allocation to equities with high capitalization/consumer staples. Oil analyst points to weak economy/jobs data, absence of leveraged money chasing oil and says $60 oil soon. Economist, part of the corrupt fed team discusses job losses. Final expert discusses demographic trends behind and causative of cycles as 1929, 1968, and now, baby boomers, bleak outlook, economically shot their wad in terms of ability to avoid depression.  Analyst Predicts 40% Unemployment, No Recovery until 2015     Bear rally over, the great dying begins in corporate America Wall Street falls sharply on employment realities, realistically bleak corporate outlooks  Budget deficit to hit $1.2 trillion in fiscal 2009  Intel warns second time on quarter  U.S. says Madoff sent diamonds in violation of bail   Profit warnings, poor job outlook weigh on stocks (AP)  Yes, fed now using the ‘D’ for depression word which means we’re in a depression (after all, they were saying no recession when we were already in one). What are they still drinking, smoking, snorting on wall street with suckers’ bear market rally into the close. They’ll still get their commissions on the way down and maybe stick you with their over-priced dogs as well. Same modus operandi as in January et seq, 2008 when they sucked in the suckers who this time (fool you twice, shame on you) will deserve to be burned for wall street commissions/compensation/ bonuses’ sake as in the year just passed. Service sector (90% of american economy, viz., bull s**t), factory orders, pending home sales down (worst on record) and much worse than expected.  Some reality: After a short modest rally in the stock markets, lasting at best if at all, 1 to 4 months after Obama is inaugurated as President, people will realize that Obama’s stimulus plan isn’t going to work. Specifically, it will become obvious that we’re in a Great Depression, and that nothing that Bushco or Obamaco did can get us out of it (it may take a while longer for people to realize that what both administrations did actually made the financial crisis much worse).  At that point, the stock market will crash like a waterfall. Mish thinks the crash will leave the S&P at 600. Robert McHugh thinks the crash will drive the S&P to 500 or lower (in McHugh’s worst-case scenario, the S&P could end up at 50). At around the time of the crash, the bubble in long-term treasuries will burst. Retirees and other people who have socked away their money in treasuries will get hit hard. The government itself will start massively buying its own long-term treasuries. Motek’s experts: Art Hogan in straight-shootin’ mode (as opposed to wall street shill mode) focuses (but only briefly) on fed’s depression/deflation words, says quite correctly that the focus has been on the cure (ie., bailouts) rather than the illness, lots of badnews, dismal earnings, etc., only slightly better at best in second half (I don’t think so), stay away from consumer discretionary cos., metals higher, market may be higher at year end (not likely), but rocky road till then (and beyond). Financial times editor says shocked by fed’s 0% move, very scary scenario, the specter of depression/deflation looms large, much too much optimism over Obama prospective stimulus plan.  Economy in grip of recession/depression, reports show    Stocks end higher on hopes for economic rebound    Alcoa to cut 13 pct of global work force     The Secular Bear Market Continues      Willem Buiter warns of massive dollar collapse      Bank Of England Policymaker Predicts Unprecedented Dollar Collapse     Car sales plunge heralding bleak 2009 but car stocks rally; construction numbers down but building stocks rally. Will We Have a Good 2009? Not If History Is Any Guide   Stocks slip on telecom and financials; Apple jumps on ‘jobs alive’ news…riiiiightObama plunges into econ talks, borrows a page from bush economic strategy of spending money you don’t have and cutting taxes, and predicts approval    Consumer bankruptcies jumped 33% in 2008 and much worse expected in 2009 including commercial bankruptcies far greater and larger than in 2008   [$$] Don't Get Too Happy About the New Year   Check This Graph-Proof we are going into a Great Depression. Notice MASSIVE job losses. Is there really any doubt any longer?  The Economist, a Widely Respected and Authoritative Financial/Economic Publication: U.S. In Depression, Not Recession   Don’t forget their 2008 talk as now for 2009. The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.,  so great opportunity to SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME. More dismal news for lunatics on wall street to fraud on: ISM factory utilization index fell to the lowest level in over 28 years. Factories mired in worst slump in 28 years  They’re printing worthless Weimar dollars like mad for the celebrated bailouts, bailouts, bailouts, and stimulus so stimulating. Motek’s experts: First expert talks up superstition, the so called ‘january effect’ saying if positive this month then the worst case scenario is –5% for DOW/S&P for the year, so the frauds on wall street are really shootin’ for the moon (lunatics) for the effect, still in recession but bear market rallies not bad but not for buy and hold crowd, dump non-performers, favors medical devices/health care related, disfavors autos/financials. Another expert who scans/digests newsletters says market/newsletter euphoria contra-indicated, new lows are coming, the best funds in 2008 were short or cash. News typically bad: Difficulty tracking and monitoring bailout money…Daaaaah! Understated unemployment numbers still at recession/depression levels (4.65 million); retail correction-bankruptcies, closings, fewer stores. Motek’s experts: Peter Shiff says it’s not the disease but the government cure that will kill us, dire forecast for 2009 and beyond-inflation, companies going out of business, commodity prices higher, world’s largest debtor america is bankrupt, more borrowing/spending their failed prescription, bleak picture for dollar the value of which will be halved and high probability that the decline will be 70-90%, gold higher and $2000 gold in not so distant future, oil much higher and $200 oil in next couple of years, stocks will continue to decline, on the long side he favors quality EU, Asia securities and precious metals particularly monetary metals gold, silver. Oil analyst says oil too cheap, geopolitical factors, (israel war mongering, war crimes, etc.; Russia/Ukraine dispute-cut gas supplies affecting Europe), oil to $60-70 rather quickly, gasoline demand anemic but oil price the factor. It’s time for ben stein to resign himself to just a land of fruits and nuts actor/entertainer/speculator as he lambasts Shiff’s prognostication ( he previously had to apologize to Shiff having done wrongly so before-  his criticism of Peter Shiff for warning of this debacle years ago). He throws out a couple of economic terms (demand pull/cost push inflationary terms) to buttress his criticism of Shiff but he’s just out to lunch in citing the absence of demand as militating against Shiff’s inflationary argument since history (and even currently, i.e., zimbabwee) is replete with examples of low demand and or impoverished nations that have over-printed their currencies with hyperinflationary results as will occur in u.s.). Stein should be on the Strip doing stand-up (comedy). He is a joke! Suckers' bear market rally into the close to keep the suckers suckered on NEWS MUCH WORSE THAN ALREADY DISMAL EXPECTATIONS ACROSS THE BOARD: S&P/Case-Shiller Composite Index, October home prices were down 18% year-over-year, the largest drop on record. According to the U.S. Conference Board, consumer confidence dropped more than expected to an all-time low in December AT 38%. Record number of bankruptcies and particulary hard hit commercial sector in coming year, ie., malls, retail, etc.. Worse stock market declines for the year since 1931 (Great Depression) and worse to come in 2009 despite suckers’ bear market rallies to keep you sucked in. Put these wall street frauds in jail and force disgorgement of their fraudulent gains. There are loads of able new grads and job seekers who can take the place of the wall street frauds who caused the crisis owing to their own avarice and continue the coverup to get taxpayer bailout funds. The markets should be efficient and predicated on rational valuation which is totally absent in america’s fraudulent, manipulated markets. Absent prosecution and disgorgement in these ongoing multi-trillion dollar fraud schemes (new ponzi scheme uncovered in addition to madoff, which are just tips of the iceberg of multi-trillion dollar frauds), america will not be worth the paper the worthless Weimar dollars and worthless securities denominated in same are printed on.  Non-Motek expert: markets to fall into 2010 or worse case, later. Motek experts: They discuss dismal news, for year DOW-35%, NASDAQ-42%, S&P-40%, $7-10 trillion in wealth destroyed, second-half inflation from printing worthless Weimar dollars/stagflation; another expert, consumer has collapsed, 2009 will be very tough year for autos; a real estate analyst says 2009 will be a very tough year and hopefully we’ll get through this…..riiiiight!…I don’t think so…Almost one in 10 Floridians are on food stamps   Online holiday sales fall 3 percent    Madoff liquidation trustee receives $28M for costs (AP)   Charlotte, NC, home values post record decline (AP)    Wrong Great Depression Lessons Will Haunt Equities in 2009    73,000 retailers to close in first half of 2009, Stocks Rally  Bloomberg | U.S. retailers face a wave of store closings, bankruptcies and takeovers starting next month as holiday sales are shaping up to be the worst in 40 years   There’s No Pain-Free Cure for Recession/Depression    Schiff: Government Interference Only Makes The Problem Worse Paul Joseph Watson | Establishment talking heads still pushing useless and destructive bailout.   A Ponzi Scheme Within A Ponzi Scheme Bob Chapman | Dwarfing the Madoff Ponzi scheme is the Social Security Ponzi scheme that has been looted (the iou’s) and is hopelessly insolvent. This on top of previous suckers' bear market rally into the close with 100+ point swing to the upside to keep the suckers suckered. Time for prosecutions of and disgorgement of ill-gotten multi-trillion dollar gains from the frauds on wall street; madoff is just the tip of the iceberg; all news decisively bad and worse than even dismal expectations except that the frauds on wall street continue their familiar suckers cheer for bailouts, bailouts, bailouts so SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL! Motek experts: At best, bear market rally, his accounts 20-25% cash, can make bearish argument since still looking at writeoffs, government still must sell bonds to help finance bailouts, municipal bonds troublesome as iou’s might extend maturities, don’t try to catch falling knife in this market but some high quality bonds may offer value, dollar to take hit (they’re printing worthless weimar dollars like mad-hyper-inflationary); Oil expert says overshot to downside and will see turn-around in oil; U.N. Security Council condemns massacre by zionist israel. Pros Say: Employment Collapse is Coming    Holiday Sales Slump to Force U.S. Store Closings, Bankruptcies  Manufacturing, Home Prices Sank: U.S. Economy Preview  Holiday Sales Tumble as US Consumers Reduce Luxury Purchases  Bleak economic picture emerges from new data Retail Sales Plummet  Holiday Sales Tumble as US Consumers Reduce Luxury Purchases Bleak economic picture emerges from new data The frauds on wall street say they are entitled to the obligatory santa claus rally and attempt to keep you suckered in for their commissions sake with small gains on bull s**t/fraud alone in holiday shortened light trading, but reality says every day the market’s above 2,000-5,000 on the DOW, 1,000-1,300 on the NASDAQ, and 500-600 on the S&P is a ‘santa clause rally, so SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL as all news decisively bad and worse than even dismal expectations except that the frauds on wall street continue their familiar suckers cheer for bailouts, bailouts, bailouts, with ephemeral short-covering to lock in year-end gains for window dressing and much, much worse to come. Unemployment up more than expected at 26 year high and consumer spending down for fifth month in a row. In their typically corrupt way, scandal-scarred commerce department provides fake data for b.s. talking points far better than private economist estimates but still decline of 1% in durable goods new orders. Oil's slide came in the face of a surprise inventory draw, which suggests stronger-than-expected demand for the commodity as Department of Energy reported that oil inventories for the week ending Dec. 19 decreased by 3.10 million barrels. Analyst: One Third Of Banks To Collapse In 2009   U.S. Economy: Home Prices Fall At Depression Pace   Recession/depression deepens, countries boost spending  Previously, just modest losses relative to reality so SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL as all news decisively bad and worse than even dismal expectations except that the frauds on wall street continue their familiar suckers cheer for bailouts, bailouts, bailouts, with much, much worse to come. Existing home sales plunged to a rate of 4.49 million last month, down 8.6 percent from October, and worse than economists predicted. Total sales, not calculated as an annual rate, fell 17 percent in November from a year earlier to 322,000, sales of newly built homes fell 2.9 percent from October to a pace of 407,000 units, the slowest rate in nearly 18 years. Madoff investor found dead of suicide. Standard & Poor's lowered the unsecured debt rating of General Motors (GM 3.01, -0.51) to C from CC, even though the government plans to provide GM with financing and Moody's lowered Ford's (F 2.19, -0.40) credit rating to Caa3. Final third quarter GDP data showed economy contracted at an annualized rate of 0.5%, unchanged from the prior reading though personal consumption component was down 3.8%.  Motek’s experts:  actor/speculator/entertainer/sometimes economist Ben Stein takes a page out of GM’s playbook by lambasting Fortune Magazine (you might recall some two decades ago that Fortune warned of GM managerial ineptitude to which GM responded with outrage and withdrew all advertising and revenue to Fortune thereby in retaliation - if only they had listened) for saying caleefornia is number 1, numero uno ….. as prospectively worse real estate market in the nation, the same Ben Stein who poo-pooed Peter Shiff’s correct prediction of market crash, but does correctly state fed policies hyperinflationary; LA economist jumps on the Ben Stein out-to-lunch bandwagon and says only 10%, not  25% (as consensus predicts), decline for caleefornia…..riiiiight…..take that to the bank; broad donates to MOCA; show biz expert- strike fear; and Shreve of IBD flips yet again-if only we were all traders…but if you had followed his every whim, only the frauds on wall street would have made out with substantial commissions in the ups/downs. IMF warns of Great Depression   100% chance of depression in US   Depression Hits Detroit: Average home price $18,513 - Unemployment rate 21%   U.S. Home Resales Fall; Prices Drop by Record 13.2%   Congressman: “If We’re Not Very Lucky Or If We Don’t Do Everything Right, We Could Easily Have A Ten- Or Fifteen-Year Depression”   World faces “total” financial meltdown: Bank of Spain chief  Previous suckers bear market rally into the close with 150 point swing to the upside based on bull s**t and fraud in the inducement alone to keep the suckers sucked in and commission dollars flowing for modest losses relative to reality so SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL as all news decisively bad and worse than even dismal expectations except that the frauds on wall street do their familiar suckers cheer for bailouts, bailouts, bailouts, with much, much worse to come.  Motek’s experts:Economist says economy in full-out recession, aggregate demand down across the board, abusers are not lubrication for economy so should not get bailout, another 25% down for real estate prices as foreclosures also will continue but lower prices will eventually stimulate demand, fed focused now on long-rates, cites housing/finance/consumer debacles and no recovery till at least into 2010 at best (I don’t think so); oil expert says contract now February delivery on expiration of January contract and flood of selling on expiring contract temporarily depressed prices, oil more expensive in future, discusses boom/bust cycle (we’re in the bust part); another cites high redefault rate on modified mortgages and more foreclosures; auto analyst points to Toyota showing first loss since 1941 inception, global downturn with no nation spared, reckoning for 15-20 years of bad decision-making, 2009 very grim, 2010 at best for even minimal improvement (I don’t think so); Online e-commerce expert cites first flat to down year of online retail sales growth; downgrades GM, american Express, Ford, etc.. World faces “total” financial meltdown: Bank of Spain chief  Housing crisis worsens as economy weakens    Japan recession deepens, China cuts rates    Great Recession/Depression of 2008, et seq., Worse Than All Others  AP Impact: Wall Street still flying corporate jets; indeed, with all the bashing of auto rank and file employee pay, the reality is that american executives, among the least able, least talented in the world, along with fraudulent wall street are grossly overpaid and far exceeding that of their far more able foreign counterparts (AP)   Where'd the bailout money go? Shhhh, it's a secret (AP)   Housing crisis worsens as economy weakens   Ratings Agencies Play Reality With Multiple Downgrades in Banking Sector (at Seeking Alpha) Previous mixed to modest losses relative to reality so sell into strength/take profits/sell as all news decisively bad and worse than even dismal expectations except that the frauds on wall street do their familiar suckers cheer for bailouts, bailouts, bailouts. Motek’s analyst/options expert predicts controlled bankruptcy for at least GM (maybe more), cites Fitch downgrade of GM’s credit/default rating and says GM within weeks of default. Oil analyst cites recession, week demand, over-supply also stating storage facilities full and resorting to offshore tankers to store excess oil. Media analyst says economic model for newspaper/media business broken. Rogers: The Incompetent Senile and Vegetables Have Turned A Recession Into A Depression  He Saw the Crash Coming: What Gary Shilling Sees for 2009   Yes, Shilling’s using  the d for depression word so If video unavailable, here for avi rendering  SCROOGE BIDEN: ECONOMY IS 'ABSOLUTELY TANKING'   Previously, recession/depression level 554,000 new unemployment claims (I’m sure in reality, far worse but still bad) pre-Christmas so wait till the post-Christmas numbers are out – nowhere to hide those but they’ll try. Motek scraping bottom of barrel for second day in a row and comes up with another land-of-fruits-and-nuts man, the senile wedbush who discusses his comrade madeoff with other peoples money, poo-poos the purported amount, says market not doing badly considering the dismal news (at least he is lucid enough to realize dismal - market should be between 2,000 to 5,000 on the DOW, 500-600 on S&P, 1,100 to 1,300 on NASDAQ based upon the dismal but real and probably far worse than reported data) and points to auto scenario, oil plunge, and madoff fraud for doldrums. Oil analyst says pressure on commodities generally, liquidation on expiration of January (2009) oil contracts and liquidation of positions, but February (2009) contracts back to $40+ rather quickly, and points to decreased current and prospective refinery capacity on thin to low margins.  A Most Desperate Move by the Fed    Dollar’s Slump Erases Months Of Solid Gains   “The Biggest Bubble Of All . . . U.S. Government Debt”  Video: Crash Will be Worse than Great Depression   Editorial: What ails global financial system ‘The $50 billion investment fraud to which the respected New York financier and former NASDAQ Chairman Bernard L. Madoff has allegedly confessed, may prove to be the paradigm for all that has gone wrong with the international financial system. It points up the greed, incompetence and woeful wishful thinking that have all combined to produce economic meltdown and plunge the world into recession. Most staggering is the stupidity of both regulators (and government corruption/venality vis-ŕ-vis wall street) and professional investors in failing to spot that for at least a decade, at the heart of his hedge fund operations, Madoff was running a pyramid scheme. This relied on new investment funds to pay out market-beating returns to existing investors…..’ THIS IS WALL STREET EVERY DAY WITH THEIR EATING AWAY AT OTHER PEOPLES MONEY TO THE TUNE OF HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS OF DOLLARS A DAY (BILLIONS A YEAR AND NOW BILLIONS IN TAXPAYER BAILOUT FUNDS FOR THEIR FRAUD) BASED ON NOTHING BUT BULL S**T AND FRAUD! U.S. Records Huge Current Account Deficit    Fed unleashes greatest bubble of all    Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper believes a depression is COMING   Peter Schiff new VIDEO on the Coming Collapse Dec 16    Swiss gold bullion in huge demand as trust in banks dives   Goldmine Sachs: Bank’s bonuses cut to a ‘mere’ Ł142,000 EACH Investment bank /taxpayer bailout funds recipient Goldman Sachs is to pay Ł4.3billion in bonuses to its City workers.  Dollar Falls Most Against Euro Since 1999 Debut on Fed’s Rate  Dollar Declines to 13-Year Low Against Yen After Fed Rate Cut    Federal spending soars 25% -- even before bailout...    Previous, building permits declining 15.6% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 616,000 (below the consensus of 700,000), housing starts data for November declined 18.9% from the prior month to an annualized rate of 625,000 units, which was below the consensus of 736,000 and are 47% below the year-ago level, fed desperation (they don’t know what they’re doing – remember their pronouncement -no recession- when we were already in one), Weimar dollar down sharply, Federal Reserve sets stage for Weimar-style Hyperinflation , etc., so sell into these suckers bear market rallies/strength/take profits while you can since much, much worse to come. Economist Brusca “the economy is sinking fast”, FOMC states that “data indicate deteriorating labor conditions and declining consumer spending, business investment, and industrial production, and the outlook for economic activity has weakened further”,  F. William Engdahl “The US economy is in a depression free-fall of a scale not seen since the 1930’s”, Kellner cites ‘helicopter ben’ (bernanke), BILLIONS VANISH IN EPIC HEDGE FUND FRAUD Downturn Spurs “Survival Panic” for Some in the U.S. Motek Experts: Art Hogan more realistically candid than usual cites all bad news, very difficult times, near term lows but no recovery for economy, hope is that second half of 2009 is better than first half (NOT!), cites lost decade in Japan with 0% interest rates, negative growth through fourth quarter 2009, longest recession (depression) in modern times, market hopefully better in second half of 2009 anticipating better 2010 (NOT!), bottoming of energy/commodities, worth looking at consumer goods/staples focused on what you need versus what you want; economist points to bankruptcies up, housing starts down; Zandi of Moody’s says not getting better but worse, most credit card holders will not benefit from rate cut; currency expert says interest rate cuts increasingly irrelevant, fed buying bonds driving asset prices higher and displacing private sector with prospectively negative results; and finally, Peter Shiff cites fed action as irresponsible, destroying value of money, bear market, money not worth anything, negates any rise in paper dollar-denominated securities (SELL), says buy gold because of u.s. hyperinflation. Previous, news worse than bad and to get much worse but full moon manifest on lunatic asylum for the criminally insane wall street. More banks reveal Madoff exposure The ‘while you can’ part of sell/take profits manifests and will worsen Citadel suspends redemptions from two hedge funds Stupidity not limited to u.s. where fraud is rampant Geneva banks lost more than $4 billon to Madoff: report This modest retreat and previous suckers bearmarket rally on bull s**t alone with familiar mantra still ringing today; viz., everything but the facts:  forget the layoffs Coming soon to U.S., 1 million jobs lost every month: Report  , forget the foreclosures Foreclosure Storm Will Hit US in 2009 as Loan Changes Fail Bloomberg , forget declining retail sales Retail sales post big drop in November  ,  forget the $1 trillion record budget deficit , trade deficits, worthless fraudulent securities, lower earnings/guidance/outlook, the topic (b.s. talking point) de jour for the lunatic (yes, full moon) frauds on wall street is bailouts, bailouts, bailouts (not to mention there’s no real money to pay for same – print/create more worthless Weimar dollars – hyperinflationary Federal Reserve sets stage for Weimar-style Hyperinflation  – even now despite fake reports and worse to come), and from well respected wall street fraud madoff, "it's all just one big lie" and that it was "basically, a giant Ponzi scheme," which is fraudulent wall street in a nutshell. Madoff fraud case raises questions about SEC (AP) and even bigger questions about fraudulent wall street and their washingtonian/federal/state facilitators. Builders sentiment reading at 9 (anything less than 50 is negative/pessimistic). Motek’s legal expert correctly points to funds problems with meeting redemptions and paraphrases J.P. Morgan’s immortal words concerning investing by saying as is particularly relevant now, It’s not return on investment, but return of investment (that really counts). Banks hit worldwide by US 'fraud'  . How are these frauds not being prosecuted and forced disgorgement and preposterously getting taxpayer dollars? Prosecute and throw them in jail and make them cough up their stolen multi-billion spoils. Not just super rich caught up in $50B Madoff case . The previous suckers bear market rally was/is based on bull s**t alone; namely, now it’s the prospective bailouts/spending programs with money that does not really exist (print/create more, borrow more, etc.). 1) Keynesian economics (government stimulus) does not work when a defacto bankrupt nation becomes more bankrupt to bailout frauds/perpetrators/creators of the problem and to create make-shift purported infrastructure jobs to enhance consumption 2) Inherent structural problems, i.e., trade/budget deficits will continue unabated and in the case of the latter, substantially increase – deeper hole 3) While spending on infrastructure is warranted, there is no productive enhancement in economic terms as in less modern times when, i.e., national highway system, etc., enhanced GDP growth and productivity.  US Depression Likely -The Truth Is Here Coming soon to U.S., 1 million jobs lost every month: Report   ,  America Has No Means to Recover from a Depression  FARRELL’S 15 GHOSTS OF WALLSTREET/ECONOMIC PAST/PRESENT/FUTURE Home values to lose well over $2 trillion during 2008: Zillow Homes in the United States have lost trillions of dollars in value during 2008, with nearly 11.7 million American households now owing more on their mortgage than their homes are worth, real estate website Zillow.com said on Monday. (Remember: more contrived wasteful commissions to the wall street frauds, the level and percentage of which MUST be examined in light of computerization and decreased costs attendant to same especially since only AN EXTREMELY Small Fraction Of What wall street Does Is A Net Positive For The Economy (New Investment Capital via, ie., ipo’S), The Rest Is Tantamount To A (Economically) "Wasteful Tax" (On The Economy) via 'churn and earn' computerized programmed trades).  Moreover, the ballooning taxpayer bailout funds for the perpetrators of the massive securities fraud are actually going toward multibillion dollar bonus/compensation packages. . How are these frauds not being prosecuted and forced disgorgement and preposterously getting taxpayer dollars? The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.,  so SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME.  Renowned economist Mikhail Khazin : U.S. will soon face second “Great Depression”  , IT’S A DEPRESSION   , Grantham (who called the bubble) posits… 585 on the S&P 500 (versus today's frothy 879)  There is more hurt in store for the U.S. equity markets. If you are still thinking of riding this one out, consider Japan. Japan's Nikkei 225 is our window into the future. From its 1990 high of 40,000 it fell as low as 7,800, an 80% drop. A similar correction in the U.S. would translate into Dow 2,500. ,   Billion-Dollar Fund Manager; Gold To Hit $2,000, Dow To Sink To 5,000   BILLIONS VANISH IN EPIC HEDGE FUND FRAUD All news worse than bad and to get much worse but full moon manifest on lunatic asylum for the criminally insane wall street. More banks reveal Madoff exposure The ‘while you can’ part of sell/take profits manifests and will worsen Citadel suspends redemptions from two hedge funds Stupidity not limited to u.s. where fraud is rampant Geneva banks lost more than $4 billon to Madoff: report This modest retreat and previous suckers bearmarket rally on bull s**t alone with familiar mantra still ringing today; viz., everything but the facts:  forget the layoffs Coming soon to U.S., 1 million jobs lost every month: Report  , forget the foreclosures Foreclosure Storm Will Hit US in 2009 as Loan Changes Fail Bloomberg , forget declining retail sales Retail sales post big drop in November  ,  forget the $1 trillion record budget deficit , trade deficits, worthless fraudulent securities, lower earnings/guidance/outlook, the topic (b.s. talking point) de jour for the lunatic (yes, full moon) frauds on wall street is bailouts, bailouts, bailouts (not to mention there’s no real money to pay for same – print/create more worthless Weimar dollars – hyperinflationary – even now despite fake reports and worse to come), and from well respected wall street fraud madoff, "it's all just one big lie" and that it was "basically, a giant Ponzi scheme," which is fraudulent wall street in a nutshell. Madoff fraud case raises questions about SEC (AP) and even bigger questions about fraudulent wall street and their washingtonian/federal/state facilitators. Builders sentiment reading at 9 (anything less than 50 is negative/pessimistic). Motek’s legal expert correctly points to funds problems with meeting redemptions and paraphrases J.P. Morgan’s immortal words concerning investing by saying as is particularly relevant now, It’s not return on investment, but return of investment (that really counts). Banks hit worldwide by US 'fraud'  . How are these frauds not being prosecuted and forced disgorgement and preposterously getting taxpayer dollars? Prosecute and throw them in jail and make them cough up their stolen multi-billion spoils. Not just super rich caught up in $50B Madoff case . The previous suckers bear market rally was/is based on bull s**t alone; namely, now it’s the prospective bailouts/spending programs with money that does not really exist (print/create more, borrow more, etc.). 1) Keynesian economics (government stimulus) does not work when a defacto bankrupt nation becomes more bankrupt to bailout frauds/perpetrators/creators of the problem and to create make-shift purported infrastructure jobs to enhance consumption 2) Inherent structural problems, i.e., trade/budget deficits will continue unabated and in the case of the latter, substantially increase – deeper hole 3) While spending on infrastructure is warranted, there is no productive enhancement in economic terms as in less modern times when, i.e., national highway system, etc., enhanced GDP growth and productivity.  US Depression Likely -The Truth Is Here Coming soon to U.S., 1 million jobs lost every month: Report   ,  America Has No Means to Recover from a Depression  FARRELL’S 15 GHOSTS OF WALLSTREET/ECONOMIC PAST/PRESENT/FUTURE Home values to lose well over $2 trillion during 2008: Zillow Homes in the United States have lost trillions of dollars in value during 2008, with nearly 11.7 million American households now owing more on their mortgage than their homes are worth, real estate website Zillow.com said on Monday. (Remember: more contrived wasteful commissions to the wall street frauds, the level and percentage of which MUST be examined in light of computerization and decreased costs attendant to same especially since only AN EXTREMELY Small Fraction Of What wall street Does Is A Net Positive For The Economy (New Investment Capital via, ie., ipo’S), The Rest Is Tantamount To A (Economically) "Wasteful Tax" (On The Economy) via 'churn and earn' computerized programmed trades).  Moreover, the ballooning taxpayer bailout funds for the perpetrators of the massive securities fraud are actually going toward multibillion dollar bonus/compensation packages. . How are these frauds not being prosecuted and forced disgorgement and preposterously getting taxpayer dollars? The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.,  so SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME.  Renowned economist Mikhail Khazin : U.S. will soon face second “Great Depression”  , IT’S A DEPRESSION   , Grantham (who called the bubble) posits… 585 on the S&P 500 (versus today's frothy 879)  There is more hurt in store for the U.S. equity markets. If you are still thinking of riding this one out, consider Japan. Japan's Nikkei 225 is our window into the future. From its 1990 high of 40,000 it fell as low as 7,800, an 80% drop. A similar correction in the U.S. would translate into Dow 2,500. ,   Billion-Dollar Fund Manager; Gold To Hit $2,000, Dow To Sink To 5,000   Previous session, modest decline relative to reality so still great opportunity to sell/take profits since much, much worse to come! All news decisively bad and much worse than expected with trade deficit up 1.1%, dollar down, unemployment claims up 573,000 a 26 year high, 28% increase in foreclosures, bailout recipient BofA to cut 35,000 jobs, many other prospective job cuts announced, economic group changes previous forecast to worse/long recessionBernard Madoff arrested over alleged $50 billion fraud Madoff told senior employees of his firm on Wednesday that "it's all just one big lie" and that it was basically, a giant Ponzi scheme (the fraudulent wall street story in a nutshell) , BANK OF AMERICA to cut 35,000 jobs......final could be higher Shocking but true claim: Most big banks 'bankrupt'...New unemployment claims surge unexpectedly   ,  Ron Paul: Printing Money Only Prolongs The Pain Amidst the hand-wringing of the automaker bailout debate, Ron Paul took the opportunity on the House floor yesterday to remind Congress that the real culprit behind the financial crisis is the Federal Reserve, and that allowing the Fed to continue to print money without audit will only prolong the pain.  US budget deficit to reach USD 1 trillion  ,  Jim Rogers calls most big U.S. banks “bankrupt”  Jim Rogers, one of the world’s most prominent international investors, on Thursday called most of the largest U.S. banks “totally bankrupt,” and said government efforts to fix the sector are wrongheaded. CORRECTED - CORRECTED-(OFFICIAL)-UPDATE - Wells Fargo to take $40 bln Q4 chargeGerman FM criticises Britain’s ‘crass Keynesian’ policies: report   and read again previous session, forget the layoffs Coming soon to U.S., 1 million jobs lost every month: Report  , forget the foreclosures Foreclosure Storm Will Hit US in 2009 as Loan Changes Fail Bloomberg , forget declining retail sales Retail sales post big drop in November  ,  forget the $1 trillion record budget deficit , trade deficits, worthless fraudulent securities, lower earnings/guidance/outlook, the topic (b.s. talking point) de jour for the lunatic (yes, full moon) frauds on wall street is bailouts, bailouts, bailouts (not to mention there’s no real money to pay for same – print/create more worthless Weimar dollars – hyperinflationary – even now despite fake reports and worse to come) ,  suckers bear market ralley to keep the suckers sucked in so great opportunity to sell/take profits since much, much worse to come!  This  suckers bear market rally is based on bull s**t alone; namely, now the prospective bailouts/spending programs with money that does not really exist (print/create more, borrow more, etc.). 1) Keynesian economics (government stimulus) does not work when a defacto bankrupt nation becomes more bankrupt to bailout frauds/perpetrators/creators of the problem and to create make-shift purported infrastructure jobs to enhance consumption 2) Inherent structural problems, i.e., trade/budget deficits will continue unabated and in the case of the latter, substantially increase – deeper hole 3) While spending on infrastructure is warranted, there is no productive enhancement in economic terms as in less modern times when, i.e., national highway system, etc., enhanced GDP growth and productivity.  US Depression Likely -The Truth Is Here Coming soon to U.S., 1 million jobs lost every month: Report   ,  America Has No Means to Recover from a Depression   (Remember: more contrived wasteful commissions to the wall street frauds, the level and percentage of which MUST be examined in light of computerization and decreased costs attendant to same especially since only AN EXTREMELY Small Fraction Of What wall street Does Is A Net Positive For The Economy (New Investment Capital via, ie., ipo’S), The Rest Is Tantamount To A (Economically) "Wasteful Tax" (On The Economy) via 'churn and earn' computerized programmed trades).  Moreover, the ballooning taxpayer bailout funds for the perpetrators of the massive securities fraud are actually going toward multibillion dollar bonus/compensation packages. . How are these frauds not being prosecuted and forced disgorgement and preposterously getting taxpayer dollars? The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.,  so SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU STILL CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME.  Renowned economist Mikhail Khazin : U.S. will soon face second “Great Depression”  , IT’S A DEPRESSION   , Grantham (who called the bubble) posits… 585 on the S&P 500 (versus today's frothy 848)  There is more hurt in store for the U.S. equity markets. If you are still thinking of riding this one out, consider Japan. Japan's Nikkei 225 is our window into the future. From its 1990 high of 40,000 it fell as low as 7,800, an 80% drop. A similar correction in the U.S. would translate into Dow 2,500. ,   Billion-Dollar Fund Manager; Gold To Hit $2,000, Dow To Sink To 5,000   Previous, modest decline relative to reality so still great time to sell/take profits since much, much worse to come.  Wall Street stung by risk-aversion and realistically bleak outlooks  , Point of no return: Interest on T-bills hits zero  ,  Tightening Budgets Mean a Rough Ride for IT  ,  FIRST TIME: Treasury Bills Trade at Negative Rates...  .  Previous,  suckers bear market rally based on bull s**t alone; namely, now the prospective bailouts/spending programs with money that does not really exist (print/create more, borrow more, etc.). 1) Keynesian economics (government stimulus) does not work when a defacto bankrupt nation becomes more bankrupt to bailout frauds/perpetrators/creators of the problem and to create make-shift purported infrastructure jobs to enhance consumption 2) Inherent structural problems, i.e., trade/budget deficits will continue unabated and in the case of the latter, substantially increase – deeper hole 3) While spending on infrastructure is warranted, there is no productive enhancement in economic terms as in less modern times when, i.e., national highway system, etc., enhanced GDP growth and productivity.  US Depression Likely -The Truth Is Here Coming soon to U.S., 1 million jobs lost every month: Report   ,  America Has No Means to Recover from a Depression   (Remember: more contrived wasteful commissions to the wall street frauds, the level and percentage of which MUST be examined in light of computerization and decreased costs attendant to same especially since only AN EXTREMELY Small Fraction Of What wall street Does Is A Net Positive For The Economy (New Investment Capital via, ie., ipo’S), The Rest Is Tantamount To A (Economically) "Wasteful Tax" (On The Economy) via 'churn and earn' computerized programmed trades).  Moreover, the ballooning taxpayer bailout funds for the perpetrators of the massive securities fraud are actually going toward multibillion dollar bonus/compensation packages. . How are these frauds not being prosecuted and forced disgorgement and preposterously getting taxpayer dollars? The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.,  so SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME.  Renowned economist Mikhail Khazin : U.S. will soon face second “Great Depression”  , IT’S A DEPRESSION   , Grantham (who called the bubble) posits… 585 on the S&P 500 (versus today's frothy 848)  There is more hurt in store for the U.S. equity markets. If you are still thinking of riding this one out, consider Japan. Japan's Nikkei 225 is our window into the future. From its 1990 high of 40,000 it fell as low as 7,800, an 80% drop. A similar correction in the U.S. would translate into Dow 2,500. ,   Billion-Dollar Fund Manager; Gold To Hit $2,000, Dow To Sink To 5,000   Previous suckers’ bear market rally on far worse than expected and particularly significant bad news provides great opportunity to sell/take profits, especially considering fraudulent wall street’s previous modus operandi to keep suckers sucked into this market and their commission dollars flowing, suckers’ rallies into the close, reassuring rallies prior to weekends as this despite unexpectedly bad news as today, etc., which frauds perpetrated the yet unprosecuted crimes that have created this current financial debacle. Record 1.33 homes in foreclosure,15 year high for unemployment at 6.7% even as many no longer looking with things so depressed and worse to come in ’09, record level deficits both trade and particularly budget with money not there being spent with abandon (worthless Weimar dollars being printed created like mad which is and will continue to be hyperinflationary regardless of the current fake reports). Motek has actor/speculator/entertainer/sometimes economist Ben Stein points to loans in foreclosure hitting new records, paulson misconduct, lack of oversight/accontability in bailout funds, and the seriousness of the crisis, but his pointed barbs seem fleeting and is most memorable by his somewhat blind adherence to policy as indicated by his criticism of Peter Shiff for warning of this debacle years ago. Motek’s oil analyst says economy so bad that oil demand down, significant recession in 2009, and hedge funds liquidating positions putting pressure on oil prices. Finally, Motek elicits from Peter Shiff that jobs created are being destroyed as fast, phony jobs, bear market and government making worse by digging deeper hole, phony (worthless Weimar) dollar rally provides opportunity to get out with hyperinflation to come. GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME.  3 Tell Tale Signs Of This Sucker Rally  , Half-million jobs vanish as economy deteriorates (AP)  , Job losses worst since 1974  Employers cut 533K jobs in Nov., most in 34 years   ,  Late mortgage payments and foreclosures hit record  ,  1 in 10 homeowners behind on mortgage payments, or in foreclosure...   ,  Wall St financiers party like there's no tomorrow -- literally  WHERE ARE THE CRIMINAL PROSECUTIONS AND DISGORGEMENT? It’s been wall street frauds’ nirvana (commissioning a huge decline then a huge incline) at just a program loop, button push, mouse click away. Previous session, modest declines relative to reality SO STILL GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL INTO SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME. CELENTE OF trendsresearch.com, having predicted the Panic of 2008 now preparing current prognostications for 2009 which will bear the consequential follow-up title to the Panic of 2008; namely, The Collapse of 2009, further stating there’s nothing they’ve done or prospectively can do to avoid the complete economic/financial collapse in the u.s., the seeds for which have already been sown, good money after bad notwithstanding, the die having been cast. All business/financial/economic news decisively bad; 26 year high for jobless rolls, orders to factories down sharply, job cuts current and prospective up sharply. Motek expert comments on auto bailout saying no new concesions with UAW cuts merely cosmetic, just down payment on failed business model/scenario, bankruptcy necessary as costs too high, and on economy says nation to go deeper into recession owing to intactable structural problems; i.e., deficits, etc.. Another Motek expert says very negative economic environment, sees deepening of more prolonged recession, discusses risk tolerance in such an environment recommending highest quality debt instruments but does note risk premium in lesser quality instruments. Food stamp use up 17% to 1 in 10 citizens, bankruptcies soaring, and re-default rates on mortgages rising. Employers shedding jobs as recession deepens , AP IMPACT: Some bailout holdings down $9 billion , Governments brace for long crisis ahead , High inventory is killing home builders; industry asks for help , It's Not a Great Time to Get Into Stocks  , Long Term Investors Should Avoid Leveraged ETFs  , Fixing the Enron Economy  , US FEDERAL RESERVE to buy US DEBT? WITH WHAT?Prepare For Depression Level Unemployment  ,  Record number of Americans using food stamps: report  ,  Whether We End Up Paying For It Through Taxes Or Hyperinflation, It Will Still Come Out Of Our Pockets  ,   Corporate Debt Protection Costs Climb Amid Depression Concern  ,  Shoppers ready to call it quits MarketWatch | More than one-third of consumers chose not to shop at all last month, except on Black Friday, according to Britt Beemer of America’s Research Group. Lawsuit claims Citigroup was running a “quasi-Ponzi scheme”  Bloomberg | Citigroup Inc., the second-biggest U.S. bank by assets, was accused in a lawsuit of repackaging unmarketable collateralized debt obligations it held and re-selling them to itself in order to hide its exposure to the securities. WHERE ARE THE CRIMINAL PROSECUTIONS AND DISGORGEMENT? Previously, suckers’ bear market rally into the close on bad news with wall street frauds’ nirvana (commissioning a huge decline then a huge incline) at just a program loop, button push, mouse click away. Indeed, all news still realistically and decisively (and some deceptively otherwise spun to keep suckers suckered) bad:  A Bleak Outlook: Nov. Job Loss at  250,000, Economic Weakness   ,  US, China currency clash over worthless american currency...61% oppose auto bailout   , Meredith Whitney Sees Plenty of Pain Ahead for Consumers (at BusinessWeek)  ,  Desperate Times, Desperate Policies ) . One non-Motek expert says these suckers’ bear market rallies on bad news are at best wishful thinking and not sustainable along with realistically dire outlook. Motek expert says market for speculators/traders and points to volatility index while failing to point out that there are very, very few successful traders. [Close inspection of the data in past times far better than now (now we see insurmountable trade/budget deficits, lack of manufacturing base, global antipathy, etc.) disavows such heavily promoted failed strategies as dollar-cost averaging where stocks prices remain artificially (now fraudulently) high for far longer periods of time than lower prices (MBA Thesis, Albert L. Peia, NYU GBA, 1977), limited exceptions being ie., dollar-cost averaging in declining markets, but only when analysis indicates under-valuation in prospective terms which is certainly isn’t the case now of rampant over-valuation/fraud]. (Remember: more contrived wasteful commissions to the wall street frauds, the level and percentage of which MUST be examined in light of computerization and decreased costs attendant to same especially since only AN EXTREMELY Small Fraction Of What wall street Does Is A Net Positive For The Economy (New Investment Capital via, ie., ipo’S), The Rest Is Tantamount To A (Economically) "Wasteful Tax" (On The Economy) via 'churn and earn' computerized programmed trades).  Moreover, the ballooning taxpayer bailout funds for the perpetrators of the massive securities fraud are actually going toward multibillion dollar bonus/compensation packages. . How are these frauds not being prosecuted and forced disgorgement and preposterously getting taxpayer dollars? The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.,  so SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME.  Renowned economist Mikhail Khazin : U.S. will soon face second “Great Depression”  , IT’S A DEPRESSION   , Grantham (who called the bubble) posits… 585 on the S&P 500 (versus today's frothy 848)  There is more hurt in store for the U.S. equity markets. If you are still thinking of riding this one out, consider Japan. Japan's Nikkei 225 is our window into the future. From its 1990 high of 40,000 it fell as low as 7,800, an 80% drop. A similar correction in the U.S. would translate into Dow 2,500. ,   Billion-Dollar Fund Manager; Gold To Hit $2,000, Dow To Sink To 5,000  , Auditors Fault Oversight of Bailout Funds... Previous suckers’ bear market rally in the last minutes of the close on bad news with wall street frauds’ nirvana (commissioning a huge decline then a huge incline) at just a program loop, button push, mouse click away. Indeed, all news still realistically and decisively (and some deceptively otherwise spun to keep suckers suckered) bad: GE lowers guidance but maintains dividend ,  November US auto sales drop to 26-year low  , Data signal deep global downturn  Financial Times , US manufacturing hits 26-year low: ISM . How are these frauds not being prosecuted and forced disgorgement and preposterously getting taxpayer dollars? The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved; hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.,  so SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME.  Renowned economist Mikhail Khazin : U.S. will soon face second “Great Depression”  , IT’S A DEPRESSION   , Grantham (who called the bubble) posits… 585 on the S&P 500 (versus today's frothy 848)  There is more hurt in store for the U.S. equity markets. If you are still thinking of riding this one out, consider Japan. Japan's Nikkei 225 is our window into the future. From its 1990 high of 40,000 it fell as low as 7,800, an 80% drop. A similar correction in the U.S. would translate into Dow 2,500. ,   Billion-Dollar Fund Manager; Gold To Hit $2,000, Dow To Sink To 5,000  , Auditors Fault Oversight of Bailout Funds... , Governors to Seek Up to $100B in Social Aid...  ,
Feds to expand rescue; reviewing applications from 'hundreds of banks'...
FDIC head: Gov't plan needs 'exit strategy'...  ,  Metal prices fall further than during Great Depression...  , they’re printing and spending worthless Weimar dollars and taxpayer funds like mad because they are mad as in crazy, incompetent, etc.. Previous session sees modest drop relative to reality [SO SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME], particularly when you factor in the reality that the prior 5 day rally of 1,300 points into the last trading week of the month (much like the end of the prior month) based on bull s**t alone was a typical fraudulent wall street programmed trade fraud to window dress the monthly numbers and keep suckers sucked in (and besides, they’ll get their commissions again on the way down). Upon the formal announcement that we’ve been in recession since DECEMBER, 2007 I was waiting for Amy Poehler of SNL Weekend Update to say, “REALLY!” [this site has reported/predicted this (these) debacle (s) for far longer and in advance of same, including this recession/depression]. The protracted reluctance (election year expedience) for some to use the R(ecession) word, spun in the most positive way is to say it is because this scenario is far worse than even would befit the D(epression) word in light of the fact that the u.s. like never before in its relatively short history is broke in every way. If you’ve been suckered, it’s not all your fault inasmuch as the enablers (politicians, economists, financial experts, news/media, etc., in receipt of substantial largesse from and) of these vegetable garden (poison ivy league schools, these “elite” clubs/frats, etc.) products (vegetables who not only have never done anything requiring skills or measurable results, but merely are master bull s**t artists and as in the case of wall street, criminal frauds) are similarly incompetent, corrupt/venal. After all, how are these frauds not being prosecuted and forced disgorgement and preposterously getting taxpayer dollars? The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, especially since none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved; and hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc.. Motek’s expert cites retail liquidation prices (none to minimal profits, at best), inevitable GM bankruptcy, fed programs done with money out the door to little or no effect and now talking new programs…riiiiight…or, with rate at 1%, more rate cuts…riiiiight, big shake-out to come, credit-card co’s to pull back $2 trillion to survive what’s coming, retailers with big real estate exposure bust, and market will test lows then break through said lows to the downside. There was in addition to the ‘recession’ announcement more dismal news with construction down 1.2% and the supply/management manufacturing index at 26 year lows. I derive no pleasure in being a harbinger of bad but true news but reiterate SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN AS THESE ARE STILL GREAT OPPORTUNITIES TO SELL/TAKE PROFITS SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME.  Renowned economist Mikhail Khazin : U.S. will soon face second “Great Depression”  , IT’S A DEPRESSION   , Grantham (who called the bubble) posits… 585 on the S&P 500 (versus today's frothy 816)  There is more hurt in store for the U.S. equity markets. If you are still thinking of riding this one out, consider Japan. Japan's Nikkei 225 is our window into the future. From its 1990 high of 40,000 it fell as low as 7,800, an 80% drop. A similar correction in the U.S. would translate into Dow 2,500. ,   Billion-Dollar Fund Manager; Gold To Hit $2,000, Dow To Sink To 5,000   Dow plunges on news recession began in Dec. 2007 (AP)  , Down we go again: Fourth-worst drop ever for Dow  , Recession declared; Wall Street tanks  , Fourth-worst drop ever for Dow AP… as wall street snapped out of its daydream of a rally and once again faced the harsh reality…  Report Concludes Recession Began A Year Ago | But the White House and the corporate media consistently continued to state otherwise. Previous session, this suckers’ bear market ralley remains an especially great opportunity to sell/take profits while you still can since much, much worse to come (sell into purported strength which is just more bull s**t for prospective churn and earn fraud – they’ll get those commissions again on the way down) IMF economist says worst of crisis to come: paper  'Crisis Only Just Beginning': Crisis/Video  Right About the Crash, Peter Schiff Sees Much More Pain Ahead   and this suckers’ bear market rally was based upon nothing related factually to finance/economics/business. How are these frauds not being prosecuted and forced disgorgement and preposterously getting taxpayer dollars? The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved and hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc., SO SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN AS THIS IS AS GREAT AN OPPORTUNITY TO SELL/TAKE PROFITS AS YOU WILL SEE SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME.  Indeed, all news still realistically and decisively (and some deceptively otherwise spun to keep suckers suckered) bad:  SO SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN AS THIS IS AS GREAT AN OPPORTUNITY TO SELL/TAKE PROFITS AS YOU WILL SEE SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME. IMF economist says worst of crisis to come: paper . Indeed, all news still realistically and decisively (and some deceptively otherwise spun to keep suckers suckered) bad:  Biggest runnup in stock prices since 1932 and most know what happened to stock prices for over a decade thereafter (and america was not broke in every way as now), Ghost malls cropping up with retail closures/bankruptcies, as predicted by trendsresearch.com [CELENTE CORRECTLY PREDICTS REVOLUTION, FOOD RIOTS, TAX REBELLIONS BY 2012 Paul Joseph Watson | Trend forecaster, renowned for being accurate in the past, says that America will cease to be a developed nation within 4 years, crisis will be “worse than the great depression.”] , Motek expert from the land of fruits and nuts, the senile wedbush (if you had listened to his prior prognostications/recommendations several months ago said suckers might be wiped out by this day) lauds the bailouts (money u.s. doesn’t really have and taxpayer money the frauds shouldn’t get) and the b.s. talking points thereby but says workout much longer, while retail expert points to liquidation prices (but fails to even mention lack of profits thereby), and poverty now spreading to suburbs. Financial Disaster Will Lead to Civil Disorder in 2009 or 2010, Says Secret Citibank Memo An internal memo from a top Citibank analyst reveals what the banks really think about the global financial situation, and the outlook is grim. Citigroup Should Be Held Accountable Bloomberg Food Prices Will Rise, Causing Export Bans, Riots Bloomberg Rubin Clones and Other Fakers: The Obama “Dream Team”  Citigroup says gold could rise above $2,000 next year as world unravels US debt triggered global crisis ‘Encouraged by a wicked wizard, Greenspan, Bernanke toils at his Weimar dollar printing press’ . Consumer spending down (-1%), consumer sentiment down, durable goods orders down (-6%), home sales/prices down to new lows and high supplies, yet suckers’ bear market market rally of 400+ points into the close nostalgically based (which got investors burned in the past) on bull s**t alone (i.e., more bureaucrats on more painels as per President-elect, etc.) and the so-called thanksgiving holiday rally. $600 billion plan to support housing lending ultimately hyperinflationary. New unemployment claims at recession level 529,000 for the week ended Nov. 22 yet unbelievably lower than private economist estimates. October durable goods orders plunged by a larger-than-expected amount, Chicago manufacturing in November contracted the most since 1982 according to a regional survey, and consumer confidence dropped to a 28 year low in November, according to the University of Michigan. One Motek expert in a nearly senile market moment cites pleasant market surprise (reality dictates otherwise) but in a lucid moment concedes lengthy period to work out (substantial) problems, while another expert (currencies) cautions the unintended consequences of  creating/printing/flooding the markets with worthless (Weimar) dollars (a policy choice of inflation over fear of deflation) and the dollar devaluation and ultimately hyperinflationary effects thereof. FDIC Troubled Bank List Grows to 46% - Is Your Bank Safe? (at Seeking Alpha)  ,  Consumers cut spending , Stocks on win streak amid more bad economic news Cisco plans 4-day shutdown to cut costs  , October home sales fall sharply (Reuters) . The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved and hence, virtually all problems remain, will continue to remain, and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc., SO GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL/TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME.  Federal deficit could hit $1 trillion this year  ,   FDIC's list of 'problem' banks swells to 171 (AP) , Dollar falls on realistically discouraging u.s. economic data (AP)  , Third quarter real GDP was revised to a 0.5% annual rate of decline from a previously reported 0.3% rate which had rallied stocks and, only in the fraudulent world of wall street, rallied stocks again though worse than expected Economy shrinks at fastest pace in seven years, Third quarter personal consumption expenditures were revised to a worse than expected -3.7% from -3.1%, which rallied stocks ….. riiiiight! ,  Consumer confidence remains at an extremely depressed state despite fake numbers ,The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index of 20 US cities fell 17.4% year over year — most on record.      'Crisis Only Just Beginning': Crisis/Video  Right About the Crash, Peter Schiff Sees More Pain Ahead    Crisis Only Just Beginning': Right About the Crash, Peter Schiff Sees Much More Pain Ahead   VIDEO   Previously, from the outset the wall street frauds were again determined to keep the suckers suckered with a near 500 point rally into the close. Existing home sales down 3.1% and much worse than expected. Motek’s expert Peter Shiff correctly points out that the so-called policy-makers, economists, etc., don’t know what they’re doing, that they can’t borrow (or print worthless Weimar dollars) and spend (money they don’t have) their way out of this debacle, that the bailout funds are merely providing undue bonuses/compensation for failed (and fraudulent) performance, that crisis will be exascerbated with (unavoidable) hyperinflation (inevitable thereby owing to crashing/worthless Weimar dollar) and ultimately even deeper/worse/more protracted economic decline, that auto industry is over-paid (especially relative to competition, legacy/pension costs, etc.), and importantly, the government has no money so they either have to borrow or print same which will make the economy much worse. Cost of Bankster Bait and Switch Now $7.4 Trillion  Another expert says quick bankruptcies would have been the preferred course for optimal results, while another emphasizes quite correctly that the so-called experts/team now cheered (wall street frauds’ b.s. talking/rallying point) are those whose experience is having created the very problems they are now called upon to solve (hence, cover-ups, etc., but ineffectual). [Good management dictates that a clean sweep was warranted]. Realize that the products of the vegetable gardens (the poison ivy league schools producing these vegetables) are vegetables who not only have never done anything requiring skills or measurable results, but merely are master bull s**t artists and in the case of wall street, criminal frauds enabled thereby.   Downey Savings taken over by regulators [ Colossal Financial Collapse: The Truth behind the Citigroup Bank “Nationalization” ] over the weekend. Obama’s Economic Foxes To Guard Financial Henhouse Today President elect Obama officially introduces his economic team to the world. What many may fail to recognize however is the fact that those tasked with rescuing the economy are the very people who helped create the financial crisis in the first instance. CELENTE CORRECTLY PREDICTS REVOLUTION, FOOD RIOTS, TAX REBELLIONS BY 2012 Paul Joseph Watson | Trend forecaster, renowned for being accurate in the past, says that America will cease to be a developed nation within 4 years, crisis will be “worse than the great depression.” Budget deficit hits record; jobless claims surge Foreclosure rates up 25 percent year-over-year Banking crisis claims more u.s. victims How are these frauds not being prosecuted and forced disgorgement and preposterously getting taxpayer dollars? The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved and hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc., SO SELL INTO RALLIES/STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN AS THIS IS AS GREAT AN OPPORTUNITY TO SELL/TAKE PROFITS AS YOU WILL SEE SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME. IMF economist says worst of crisis to come: paper . Previous, suckers’ bear market rally was based upon nothing whatsoever relevant to finance/economics/business , yet again the wall street frauds were determined to keep the suckers suckered through the weekend with a near 600 point rally into the close. All news was decisively bad Federal regulators shut 2 California thrifts and though looking for a reason to rally, they found none because there are none HU: World economic situation 'grim'... , based on valuation and prospective substantial deterioration in economic conditions exascerbated by their massive fraud; but the invented reason for the suckers’ rally was the appointment of Geithner, a quintessential bureaucrat ultimately dependant upon other bureaucrats who are dependant upon the very corrupt monied interests/frauds (and their lobbyists) who created (through their crimes) the current financial crisis. Moreover, as head of the N.Y. Fed he is no stranger to cover-ups/bailouts in light of the missing/unaccounted for $4+ TRILLION at the N.Y. Fed $4 trillion plus is missing through U.S. federal agency accounts managed by the NY Fed. Renowned economist Mikhail Khazin : U.S. will soon face second “Great Depression”  , Grantham (who called the bubble) posits… 585 on the S&P 500 (versus today's frothy 852)  There is more hurt in store for the U.S. equity markets. If you are still thinking of riding this one out, consider Japan. Japan's Nikkei 225 is our window into the future. From its 1990 high of 40,000 it fell as low as 7,800, an 80% drop. A similar correction in the U.S. would translate into Dow 2,500. ,   Billion-Dollar Fund Manager; Gold To Hit $2,000, Dow To Sink To 5,000  The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved and hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc., so great opportunity to sell/take profits while you can since much, much worse to come. Leading economic indicators fall again a more than expected .8%, new claims for unemployment a high more than expected 542,000 while continuing claims at 4,000,000 a 16 year high and more than expected, Philly Fed Index down to a worse than expected –39. Jobless Claims Hit 16-Year High, Above Forecast   Congress extends jobless benefits; stocks fall 400  World stocks down amid reality of deep recession (AP) CELENTE CORRECTLY PREDICTS REVOLUTION, FOOD RIOTS, TAX REBELLIONS BY 2012 Paul Joseph Watson | Trend forecaster, renowned for being accurate in the past, says that America will cease to be a developed nation within 4 years, crisis will be “worse than the great depression.” Budget deficit hits record; jobless claims surge Foreclosure rates up 25 percent year-over-year Banking crisis claims more u.s. victims How are these frauds not being prosecuted and forced disgorgement and preposterously getting taxpayer dollars? The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved so sell into rallies/strength/take profits while you can since much, much worse to come.  Previous session, modest losses relative to reality to keep the suckers’ suckered especially in light of grim economic/business/financial news so still great opportunity to sell/take profits while you can since much, much worse to come. Housing starts down a record 38%, building permits down 14.5%, and outlook grim. Motek’s expert discusses 30 reasons for Great Depression 2 by 2011 citing completion of first wave of the meltdown-dot.com bust, second wave-sub-prime debacle, and the on-going climactic financial/economic meltdown pointing to the 42,000 lobbyists, autos, etc., saying they just don’t get it, while another expert analyst says new lows across the board having broken through support levels. Motek’s p.r. expert says auto execs flying to d.c. in private jets to beg for taxpayer money bespeaks their stupidity, and his travel expert discusses the newly value-conscious consumer. Fed sharply lowers forecasts, hints of rate cut which ploy previously sparked b.s. suckers’ bear market rallies based upon nothing at all but reality says with only a point to zero and much worse to come is just plain b**l s**t . Deflation: Here, Now I’ve been warning of deflation for some time. Specifically, I predicted 1 1/2 to 2 years of deflation, followed by hyperinflation. Well, deflation is here.“Slush fund” … “Banana Republic” … “Keystone Kops.” Technical Economic Indicators Worsening Again Deflation: Here, Now I’ve been warning of deflation for some time. Specifically, I predicted 1 1/2 to 2 years of deflation, followed by hyperinflation  Previous suckers’ bear market rally into the close with 300+ point swing to the upside [wall street frauds’ nirvana commissioning a huge decline then a huge incline just a program loop, button push, mouse click away] into the close to keep the suckers suckered as the lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved and hence, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc., so great opportunity to sell/take profits while you can since much, much worse to come. Homebuilder reality-based sentiment index plunges to record low  Economy so bad commodity prices plunge along with PPI.  Grantham (who called the bubble) posits… 585 on the S&P 500 (versus today's frothy 859)  There is more hurt in store for the U.S. equity markets. If you are still thinking of riding this one out, consider Japan. Japan's Nikkei 225 is our window into the future. From its 1990 high of 40,000 it fell as low as 7,800, an 80% drop. A similar correction in the U.S. would translate into Dow 2,500. , Forecasters: U.S. in at least, unrealistically optimistically, minimum 14 month recession  The Great Depression of the 21st Century: Collapse of the Real Economy   “The Dollar Standard Is Coming To An End”  Financial Crisis Tab Already In The Trillions...   Busted in Washington  Housing starts expected to hit half-century low   Washington is Powerless to Stop the Coming Economic Depression    Whitehead sees slump worse than Depression   Dollar’s Days Numbered, Buy Commodities: Jim Rogers    America’s economic crisis is beyond the reach of traditional solutions   U.S. Retail Sales Drop in October by Most on Record . (Banker Bailout Costs $5 Trillion So Far ), (Analysts Predict Hyper-Inflation To Push Gold To $2000, Oil to $300 Within Months ), (Soros says deep recession inevitable, depression likely ), CELENTE CORRECTLY PREDICTS REVOLUTION, FOOD RIOTS, TAX REBELLIONS BY 2012 Paul Joseph Watson | Trend forecaster, renowned for being accurate in the past, says that America will cease to be a developed nation within 4 years, crisis will be “worse than the great depression.” Budget deficit hits record; jobless claims surge Foreclosure rates up 25 percent year-over-year Banking crisis claims more u.s. victims How are these frauds not being prosecuted and forced disgorgement and preposterously getting taxpayer dollars? The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved so sell into rallies/strength/take profits while you can since much, much worse to come. 53,000 layoffs from Citigroup, and many more announced and may more to come from a multitude of companies to yield predicted 8-10% unemployment (conservative-some higher). Motek in a somewhat philosophical mood cites blue chips as cow chips (cow pies, manure, etc.), while his expert joins the metaphysical fray quoting ‘to save man from his folly is to people the world with fools’ and goes on to say everything looking bad, things are not good, how long the deep recession-don’t know, not there yet; while another expert says things have gone from bad to worse.  Indeed, one expert says US To Lose Its ‘AAA’ Rating/face default/bankruptcy,  while Motek’s expert says market poised to test new lows, points to uncertainty regarding bailout equivocation/changes and talks up, in a somewhat borderline senile fashion, some beaten down stocks on theory government will bail them out…riiiiight! Another Motek expert, actor/speculator/economist Ben Stein says hanky panky Paulsen perjured himself before congress and should be prosecuted, points to incompetence regarding bailout saying couldn’t have been handled worse and not mentally up to it.   One Aspect of the Massive (Securities) Fraud/Fraudulent Wealth Transfer is Aptly Described/Illustrated in this Comment, [how are these frauds not being prosecuted and forced disgorgement and preposterously getting taxpayer dollars? The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved], Renowned economist Mikhail Khazin : U.S. will soon face second “Great Depression”  , Grantham (who called the bubble) posits… 585 on the S&P 500 (versus today's frothy 852)  There is more hurt in store for the U.S. equity markets. If you are still thinking of riding this one out, consider Japan. Japan's Nikkei 225 is our window into the future. From its 1990 high of 40,000 it fell as low as 7,800, an 80% drop. A similar correction in the U.S. would translate into Dow 2,500. ,   Billion-Dollar Fund Manager; Gold To Hit $2,000, Dow To Sink To 5,000   The immortal words of J.P.Morgan remain apposite as ’ it is not so much the return on the money as it is the return of the money’ ,  so sell/take profits while you can and preserve capital. Previously modest losses relative to reality with rally/programmed trades to the upside into the close to finish off substantially lower lows to keep the suckers’ suckered despite grim economic/business/financial news so still great opportunity to sell/take profits while you can since much, much worse to come. America is now a nation of bank holding companies (to take advantage of involuntary taxpayer bailouts), paper hanging wall street frauds (it’s the worthless multiplicity of securitized and heavily commissioned worthless paper that is the problem), and brazened ponzi’s (sic) (more, more, and more funds to keep their commission ball rolling) on wall street; and of course, their marks. Banking crisis claims more u.s. victims How are these frauds not being prosecuted and forced disgorgement and preposterously getting taxpayer dollars? The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, none of the real problems (hundreds of trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved so sell into rallies/strength/take profits while you can since much, much worse to come.   Previous suckers’ bear market rally/programmed trades to the upside into the close to keep the suckers’ suckered so still great opportunity to sell/take profits while you can since much, much worse to come, as stocks finish only modestly lower relative to reality on grim economic/business news across the board, viz., b.s. talking point gives way to reality that China stimulus plan lessens availability of funds for the purchase of worthless u.s./dollar denominated securities/assets and may even require sale/redemption of same, GM shares hit 62 year low at $3.36 as analyst says said shares will go to - 0- (nil, with Ford’s shares at $1.93), Motek expert points to employment contraction for 15 months in a row and Conference Board Report regarding said job losses; while another emphasizes the futility of the bailouts which are get worse/larger in reference to what he terms slush funds, the bank tax windfall initiated in the dark of night, things will get progressively worse in the upcoming administration, u.s. spending far beyond means, and rapidly depreciating u.s. dollars and assets; DHL ending u.s. ground ops and 9,500 jobs, Security Pacific the 19th u.s. bank failure, etc., Fed's bailout for AIG swells to more than $150B , Fannie posts $29B 3Q loss, $100B may not be enough , Renowned economist Mikhail Khazin : U.S. will soon face second “Great Depression” , bankruptcies, defaults, foreclosures, hyperinflation around corner on worthless Weimar dollars, etc.. Previous session, sell into these suckers’ bear market rallies/strength/take profits while you can as much, much worse to come. Much worse than expected jobs (240,000 lost, unemployment to 6.5%) and auto news (operating earnings losses of $4 billion for GM and $3 billion for Ford for 3rd quarter) rallies stocks (riiiiight!), in a largely forgettable Motek business hour even his oftimes wall street shill expert admitted to his credit that their was absolutely nothing to account for the rise in stock prices this day especially in light of the substantially bad and worse than expected news, says GM has enough cash to last to spring while Ford till summer, and says volatility for rest of the year. Economist says worse to come as very severe recession at least through 2009 and into 2010, and also there’s allusion to yet another taxpayer bailout of auto pension funds and auto co. bankruptcies. The wall street frauds must be prosecuted and disgorgement required. Jobless rate at 14-year high as above expectation losses continue    GM, Ford losses worse than expected, burning cash     Jobless ranks hit 10 million, most in 25 years   Ford announces $129M 3Q loss, burns $7.7B in cash   Jobless rate bolts to 14-year high of 6.5 percent Previous, another modest drop relative to reality [Grantham (who called the bubble) posits… 585 on the S&P 500 (versus today's frothy 904)  There is more hurt in store for the U.S. equity markets. If you are still thinking of riding this one out, consider Japan. Japan's Nikkei 225 is our window into the future. From its 1990 high of 40,000 it fell as low as 7,800, an 80% drop. A similar correction in the U.S. would translate into Dow 2,500. ], downbeat economic data, first-time claims for unemployment at 25 year high and worse to come, abysmal retail sales worst in 3 decades, unit labor costs rose at a higher than expected 3.6% annual rate as the ultimately hyperinflationary effects of printing/creating like mad those worthless Weimar dollars, and weak business prospects, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc., so still great opportunity to sell/take profits while you can since much, much worse to come.  Previous session sees modest drop relative to reality though record post-election plunge so still great opportunity to sell/take profits while you can since much, much worse to come. All news so bad (reality even worse) that even shill co. ADP can’t hide at least 157,000 lost private sector jobs where deep cuts are necessary, Challenger et als say layoffs will abound with cuts broad and deep, Motek expert says dismal market for at least next several weeks but cautious citing some oil, engineering, utilities, healthcare opportunities with caveat along with some emerging markets, service sector much weaker than expected and planned layoffs highest in three decades. Treasury wants to borrow record $550B... US-led strike kills 36 Afghan civilians U.S. as slowing economy/runaway spending balloons the budget deficit to a record level to Sell $55 Billion in Long-Term Debt Next Week  Previous session, all news decisively bad with dollar down, oil up, factory orders declining 2.5% month-over-month after dropping 4.3% in August, much worse than the 0.8% decline that was expected, virtually all problems remain and there is but an infinitesimally small fraction of the capital and resources necessary to solve them thanks to fraud, incompetence, lack of knowledge/ability, greed, etc., so sell into rallies/strength/take profits while you can since much, much worse to come. Previous, ( Worst is yet to come for economy ) as economic/financial news so bad [ ISM index shows biggest downturn in economic activity since 1982, corrupt, scandal-scarred commerce department comes in with 40% better than expected false construction numbers though still down a hefty .3%, 90% of private economists say we’re in a recession and we’ll see much more lagging effect to the downside, realization that bad economic conditions going forward not frozen credit affecting lending despite their lies/fraud to buttress their fleecing of the treasury, Motek expert says another washout coming and we’ve not heard the last of those, ie., banks, companies, brokerages, etc., under the waves] , that lunatic frauds on wall street develop new b.s. talking point to keep suckers sucked in to this market so the wall street frauds can keep eating away at suckers’ money by commissioning same, the new talking point being ‘the election’. What total b**l s**t! They’re just a bunch of criminally insane vegetables who can’t do anything that they’re supposed to do well, ie, economics, finance, accounting, etc., and are hoping to escape accountability for their crimes. They must be prosecuted and disgorgement required because 1) It’s the law and to create a deterrent prospectively 2) Restore credibility and confidence in prosecutorial, regulatory, government/governmental bodies as opposed to their being accomplices, and the markets (which are just that; marketplaces, like fish markets, commodity markets, flea markets, etc., no big deal, particularly as the frauds operate them)  3) It’s the right thing to do because of the magnitude of the fraud (in the hundreds of trillions by some educated assessments) in the many trillions and the fraud on taxpayers (who have been damaged by their fraud and) by bailouts that are finding their way into compensation/bonus packages for the perpetrators   . Previous session, suckers’ bear market rally for window dressing for dismal month and quarter to keep the suckers suckered in this secular bear market. Are you a sucker? One in five homeowners owe more than homes are worth, more unemployment to come, many more defaults personal/commercial, many trillions of previously commissioned worthless paper still carried/not written down, etc.. One of Motek’s experts, to his credit, points to reality in saying retreat to cash (take profits) in rallies as these (rallies on bad news), record declines in spending, economy has lots of negatives, insurance companies have lots of negatives, hedge funds liquidating, and importantly, 60% of trades computerized so great for generating commissions but bad for real value (as this week) and very volatile; while another expert echoes bear case as spending down across the board; while another empahasizes bad month on top of bad month for autos;  while another says 2008 behind only 1929 and 1987 for bad; and another says no more room for rate cuts, more regulation, mortgage rates up; and finally, political and economic uncertainty cited. In sum, u.s. stocks over-priced and dollar will drop like a stone (excessive printing/creating/debt), Stocks: A Bear Case   so sell into rallies/strength/take profits while you can as much, much worse to come. Don’t forget, THEY NEED YOUR MONEY TO COMMISSION and the lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution . Despite another big advance on Friday, paper losses in the U.S. stock market came to $2.5 trillion for the month, according to the Dow Jones Wilshire 5000 Composite Index, which represents nearly all stocks traded in the United States. The 17.7 percent decline was the worst since the 23 percent drop in October 1987 and 1929. Previous day, suckers’ bear market rally on bad news. U.S. Economy: GDP Shrinks (even with fake better than expected GDP numbers from corrupt commerce department) at Fastest Pace Since 2001 The government falsely reported Thursday that the economy shrank only 0.3 percent in the July-September period, still a significant slowdown after growth of 2.8 percent in the prior quarter in the summer, sending the strongest signal yet that a deep recession has already begun. Consumer spending, which accounts for two-thirds of the economy, dropped by the largest amount in 28 years in the third quarter. One expert says multiple levels of things going wrong in u.s. recession, ie., consumer spending down and declining, housing recession, fraudulently worthless investments, worthless Weimar dollars that are being printed/created like mad, etc.. Another expert says fake GDP number in 3rd quarter does not capture slowdown which will be reflected in 4th quarter with minimum 2-4% decline. How are these frauds not being prosecuted and forced disgorgement and preposterously getting taxpayer dollars? The lunatic wall street frauds’ desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, none of the real problems (trillions of fraudulent/worthless securities, etc.) have been addressed much less solved so sell into rallies/strength/take profits while you can since much, much worse to come. Previous session, government (fake) numbers on durables (130% better than private estimates…I don’t think so!) and prospectively dollar-crushing 50 basis point rate cut  (discounted b.s. talking point many times over by market in prior sucker session), 2.7% drop in the dollar, fed heads said the pace of economic activity has "markedly" slowed as consumer expenditures declined, while inflation pressures are expected (despite worthlessness of the Weimar dollar) to (temporarily) moderate due to the (temporary election year) drop in commodity prices and weaker economic prospects, so still great opportunity to sell into rallies/strength/take profits while you still can (like now) since much, much worse to come as all problems remain. Previous session, all news decisively bad with consumer sentiment far below expected 52% but realistically at 38%, personal bankruptcies/business bankruptcies up sharply (Euler Hermes ACI: Substantial Increase In Business Bankruptcies and worse in 2009 ... , Personal Bankruptcies Increase and 2009 expected to be worse ), Office Vacancy Rates Nationwide Keep Climbing; 2009 will be worse ... , US consumer debt reaches record levels , U.S. budget deficit swells to record $455 billion | Reuters , White House projects record deficit for 2009 - CNN.com , dollar down and dying, record trade deficits, (Lost growth is cumulative. Thanks to the record trade deficits accumulated over the last 10 years, the U.S. economy is about $1.5 trillion smaller.  This comes to about $10000 per worker. The damage grows larger each month, as the Bush Administration and Democratic Congress dally and ignore the corrosive consequences of the trade deficit), war crimes/profiteering and global disdain for america and all things american and preposterously based on b.s. alone ie., dollar negative talking point of interest rate decrease (hyperinflationary as will be seen post-election), etc., suckers’ bear market rally on decidedly bad news, none of the real problems including many trillions of worthless paper, deficits budget/trade, hyperinflationary/worthless Weimar dollars being printed like mad, have even been addressed much less solved (election-year expedience), lunatic wall street frauds desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution,  so sell into rallies/strength/take profits while you can since much, much worse to come.

THE DOW JUMPS 900 POINTS. SO WHAT? BY MORGAN HOUSE

October 28, 2008  Only in today's market can the Dow have one of its biggest gains ever, on a day when consumer confidence logged its worst readings since it's been followed. After the Dow's nearly 900-point rally today, on what seemed like nothing but loads of bad news, you're right to stand back and wonder what in the world to make of this absurd volatility -- and more importantly, how to invest around it.The short, easy, and honest answer is that this volatility is spectacularly unreasonable, and you're foolhardy to try such an approach. Think about it: Only a few weeks ago, the Dow soared an equally impressive amount -- 936 points -- sending a wave of euphoria over markets, as if our troubles were behind us. Within days ... poof! The gains were gone. There's little reason to jump for joy over today's gain, either. Call me a party pooper, but the bad news in the economy hasn't disappeared, my friends…

 Reality from Farrell: Bottom line: You've been scammed: This is total incompetence, … unethical and criminal. If you put your hard-earned $12,000 under the mattress for the last decade, it would have been worth more than the $11,671 accumulated in a mutual fund. But actually it's far, far worse! Now if you also deduct the fund's 5.75% load (and/or commissions) and inflation of more than 30% the past decade, you see the stock market's a real loser. In short, after 10 years of blindly trusting the Wall Street's advice about stocks, it turns out that investing in the stock market is not a money-making machine, but a big fat greedy black hole that gobbles up your money.   ECONOMICS GURU: WORST IS YET TO COME; MARKETS WILL CLOSE FOR UP TO WEEK FROM PANIC...  More from Grantham: S&P to 585. He called the bubble, how could anyone doubt his valuation (although even lower is more realistic)?  Jeremy Grantham … (some) benefits to the crisis, including increasing personal savings, an end to the hedge fund era, a reminder that government officials are not to be trusted, …among others…Grantham posits… 585 on the S&P 500 (versus today's 877). Frank Motek (back from vacation to save his business hour … none too soon since his program suffered mightily in his absence) experts say: lack of liquidity, new homes and home prices downward trend to continue, expect revisions; another says other nations loaned to u.s. and getting burned, spending in Europe more difficult to ramp up, $2 TRILLION more debt, fed buying u.s. debt which is hyperinflationary, consumer maxed out, grim outlook; another, a wall street shill points to better than expected new home sales [from scandal scarred/corrupt commerce department…riiiiight …(Home sales rise according to discredited commerce department relative to revised downward prior months sales (riiiiiight…that’s the way to work the statistics…at least the prior months fake stats can still be good for something) but prices sharply fall)] but to his credit does say there are a pile of concerns including liquidation of positions, ‘n carry trades’ (sic), yen/dollar disparity; r.e. analyst says median price for homes still heading down and another says new home sales this month not sustainable, foreclosures high even with freeze; oil analyst says oil demand in China down, impacting price; finally, another analyst says temporary dollar spike because of unwinding of leveraged trades (in dollars), commodities/assets/metals decline as investors/traders/holders sell off assets (cover margin calls, redemptions, etc.), u.s. stocks still over-priced and dollar will drop like a stone (excessive printing/creating/debt), Stocks: A Bear Case   so sell into rallies/strength/take profits while you can as much, much worse to come. Previous session: you know the worst is yet to come when the so-called wizards of fraudulent wall street laud the day’s 5-9% decline as a pyrrhic victory (coulda been worse…..riiiiight!) that is neither victory nor the end of the downward adjustment to reality and the scope of their fraud, indeed one expert now points to the realization that america  has become the exporter of economic weakness/fraud as hedge funds, etc., continue to liquidate positions/assets (margin calls, redemptions, etc.) , sell into rallies/strength/take profits while you can as much worse to come.  Markets Nosedive on Grim Economic News , World markets sink as recession realities spread , 79th anniversary of 1929 Wall Street Crash...  ,  previous day suckers’ bear market rally/400 point swing/programmed trades to the upside into the close on decidedly bad news …I don’t think so!… sell into rallies/strength/take profits while you can since much, much worse to come  Economist Roubini Predicts Hedge Fund Failures, Panic, Closed Markets  ,   Job losses accelerating, and the worst is ahead  , Banks borrow record amount from Fed...  , on top of previous day’s near 200 point swing to the upside into the close to keep the suckers suckered as ‘experts’ say: earnings 11% below expectations, business bad and getting worse, recession, substantial job cuts, big problems in Europe including writedowns of u.s. originated worthless fraudulent paper / another says realization source of the now global problems is u.s., fed throwing money at problems (wall street frauds) but not making it to the economy, not enough money to cover the negative (fraud) and need for flush out and adjustment of inflatede/bubble/illusory values, and another says reality implies 25% decline which is worst since 1937, sell into rallies/strength/take profits while you can since much, much worse to come  Recession Will Last At Least Two Years: Roubini   ,  Recession Now: It's Deep and It's Going to Last a Long Time, Sonders Says    ; previous day modest losses relative to reality as only 15% of americans believe the nation is going in the right direction (what dummies!) which is slightly more than congress’ approval rate and just slightly less than bushes’ approval rate, More banks may fail, IMF warns  ,  Weak profit picture and weak/declining economy worries and fear of being held criminally accountable for their fraud hurt Wall Street  , sell into rallies/strength/take profits while you can since much, much worse to come , previous day’s suckers’ bear market rally on bad or false news as ie., leading economic indicators up though all economists expected down since major components thereof (stock prices, manufacturing/industrial indices, employment, etc.) all down, economy so bad they’re going to print more worthless hyperinflationary Weimar dollars (that they don’t really have), gave another $12 billion to AIG on top of the other billions of taxpayer funds, yet none of the real problems including many trillions of worthless paper, deficits budget/trade, hyperinflationary/worthless Weimar dollars being printed like mad, have even been addressed much less solved (election-year expedience) so sell into rallies/strength/take profits while you can as much worse to come , The Crumbling U.S. Economy, Worse is Yet to Come  ,  Worst slump since Great Depression   ,   Rapid Downward Revisions in Expected Economic Growth  , and all this b.s. despite reality on top of previous session suckers’ 500 point swing/programmed trades to the upside into the close to close modestly lower on much worse than expected news on top of previous suckers’ bear market rally/800 point swing/programmed trades to the upside into the close on decidedly bad news …I don’t think so!

The average investment-grade industrial company bond is yielding 4.95 percentage points over Treasuries with comparable maturities, Moody's says. That's about the long-term average for much riskier junk bonds. "It's the widest level since 1932-1933," says John Lonski, Moody's chief economist. That was during the, ahem, Great Depression.

There is more hurt in store for the U.S. equity markets. If you are still thinking of riding this one out, consider Japan. Japan's Nikkei 225 is our window into the future. From its 1990 high of 40,000 it fell as low as 7,800, an 80% drop. A similar correction in the U.S. would translate into Dow 2,500.

Searching for Mr. Goodlow  [ While you certainly want to buy low (and sell high), in light of the crushing debt, deficits both budgetary/trade, global antipathy because of war crimes/profiteering, transfer of manufacturing base, and greedy frauds on wall street, corruption at all levels, etc., this time is like no other for america in the most negative sense, particularly since the average multiples for S&P for the past 5 years were based upon a huge fraud bubble and hardly a benchmark/guideline. The saying/axiom of J.P.Morgan remains apposite as ’ it is not so much the return on the money as it is the return of the money’. ]

Building starts/permits and new home sales down 8.3% and 6.3% to worst levels in 17 years, drop in consumer sentiment highest ever recorded so great opportunity to sell/take profits while you still can since smart money (and reality) say trend is much lower Billion-Dollar Fund Manager, Dow To Sink To 5,000  ,  Roubini: Dow 7,000 Likely 'Sometime Next Year'   , Dow Jones Bloodbath Mirroring 1929 Rout  Bottom should be around 27 per cent below “bailout bounce” according to analyst , since none of the real problems including many trillions of worthless paper, deficits budget/trade, hyperinflationary/worthless Weimar dollars being printed like mad, have even been addressed much less solved (election-year expedience) so sell into rallies/strength/take profits while you can as much worse to come, (they’re so desperate for b.s./fraudulent talking points/sizzle to sell that the rumor (Microsoft to buy/destroy Yahoo) sparks rally though denied by both companies, spin lower prices as positive when reality is that economic conditions/prospects so bad that demand has precipitously fallen, Philly fed Index down sharply indicating contraction, Real Estate/Builders’ Index lowest/Worst reading since inception, lunatic wall street frauds desperation linked to their substantial crimes and booty which must be disgorged through prosecution, volatility index at new record, previous session reality trumps the new fraud as markets can’t hide from the plethora of bad economic news albeit sugar-coated for election year purposes as retail sales down 1.2% for month and as well, year-over-year and in all regions, beige book says economic activity down in all regions  Billion-Dollar Fund Manager; Gold To Hit $2,000, Dow To Sink To 5,000    sell into rallies/strength/take profits while you can as much worse to come and remember, fool you once, shame on the wall street frauds who should be in prison, fool you twice, shame on you and you’re screwed, one expert described the bailout as money down a black hole  Total Bailout Cost Heads Towards $5 TRILLION   , shreve of investors’ (shouldn’t that be traders’) business daily said became negative on market in August and all cash in September [but previously, 6-3-08, SHREVE OF INVESTORS BUSINESS DAILY NOW NEGATIVE ON MARKET (YA THINK), WAS BULLISH JUST RECENTLY ENOUGH FOR BULL TRAP (OR JUST PLAIN BULL CRAP) AND CITES HEDGE FUND SPECULATORS, SUPPLY/DAMAND FACTORS (OIL RISE, ETC), LEADERSHIP TURNED NEGATIVE WHICH FED MINUTES CONFIRMED, implying that somewhere in between he was positive ] but to his credit states we’re in a recession…some quarters of negative growth/contraction ahead…takes considerable time for fed steps/missteps to take effect…and 7-8% unemployment, while fed governor janet yellen says we’re in a recession…daaah!, while another cites consensus that the financial crisis won’t be over anytime soon   US confronts reality of long, deep recession/depression  ,
  
The global economy is going through a "profound shift" as it deals with the unwinding of debt leverage, which Todd Harrison, CEO of Minyanville.com calls "the mother of all bubbles."
As with the tech bubble before them, bubbles in housing, commodities and hedge funds were all made bigger because of the unfettered use of leverage. The unwinding process is going to result in a "prolonged period of socioeconomic malaise," he says, predicting unemployment will rise will into double-digits before the cycle turns.
 
The most recent batch of economic data certain support a grim outlook:

·         ·         Industrial production plunged 2.8% in September, the biggest drop since September 1974.

·         ·         The Philadelphia Fed's manufacturing index slumped to its lowest level since October 1990.

·         ·         The National Association of Home Builders' housing market index hit a record low.

·         ·         The Fed's October Beige Book showed across-the-board weakening of activity in all 12 reporting districts.

·         ·         September retail sales fell 1.2%, the biggest drop since Aug. 2005.

previous session saw modest losses relative to reality with near 300 point upswing into the close on bad news (to keep the suckers in … were you a sucker?…the frauds on wall street are counting on it as today’s session proves) including record budget deficit at $454 billion and much worse next year, they’re treating symptoms not the problems so good money after bad, substantial unwinding of derivatives and market manipulation by programmed stock purchases, u.s. gov’t selling treasuries to finance debacle pushing interest rates higher so sell/take profits, The Wall Street Coup and the Bailout Scam Bailout $700 billion yet national debt increased by over $1 trillion,They socialize their losses and privatize their gains ….. How is this happening?  Paulson Doles Out $125 Billion to Wall Street Elite  What a total fraud/scam!   A Trillion Dollar Bait and Switch: The Bailout and the Smell Test     This is a secular bear market – check out the cycles.   Roubini Sees Worst Recession in 40 Years, Rally’s End   , previously Motek’s expert Art Hogan says crisis not over, daaaaah!, buuuttt and for the first time sounds like a typical wall street shill and loses all credibility thereby, while another non-Motek expert says will retest lows which is euphemistically correct while pointing to comparable spike/decline in 1929 et seq. Great Depression scenario , Billion-Dollar Fund Manager; Gold To Hit $2,000, Dow To Sink To 5,000 ,  b.s. talking points and all based upon other nations, Europe and Asia like lemmings again following america into the abyss (Iraq, etc.) since none of the real problems including many trillions of worthless paper, deficits budget/trade, hyperinflationary/worthless Weimar dollars being printed like mad, have even been addressed much less solved (election-year expedience) so sell into rallies/strength/take profits while you can as much worse to come and remember, fool you once, shame on the wall street frauds who should be in prison, fool you twice, shame on you and you’re screwed, as this and previous session’s programmed buy trades to keep the suckers sucked in and commission dollars flowing (the shameless wall street frauds made hundreds of millions last week and today on high then moderate volume as government/banks closed for holiday), thousand point swings to the upside- I don’t think so, as yet again those needful things on wall street get even MORE, MORE, MORE, MORE, MORE for the poor (not really, in light of the mega billions in fraudulently derived commissions, bonuses, compensation, which should and must be disgorged through prosecution) frauds on wall street, retail down, unemployment at recession levels, modest losses relative to reality so sell into strength/take profits, get your money out while you can and don’t forget that the worthless hyperinflationary Weimar dollars they’re printing like mad will, like the current fraud unraveling, come home to roost  [Rogers: Global Bankers Have Unleashed Hyperinflationary Holocaust ] making, assuming arguendo there are,  any wild-eyed purported gains to come illusory/non-existent at best and further, national (and consumer) debt and lack of industrial/manufacturing base/trade deficits make previous recovery comparisons preposterous, Motek’s expert says on-going bear market since 2000 (market down 75% as measured in gold) with continued massive liquidations to pay off debt and that attempts to reflate with bailouts will fail culminating in hyperinflationary depression, while another expert says stocks could slug around at bottom for extended period, while Financial Times Editor says most volatile day ever, not at tradable bottom, and this was a market crash at –40% from top. GM shares on credit watch with negative implications by S&P tumble 31 percent to 58-year low , Roubini: Rate Cuts Temporarily and Minimally Reduce Crash Risk, But Dow 7,000 Likely 'Sometime Next Year' , dollar down, oil up, Motek’s expert Bogel of Vanguard fame points to speculative measure for wall street in 1929 as 280 which is even below and not as bad as the current measure of 320 in year 2008 indicative of the ridiculousness of the wall street debacle, It's Not You, It's the Market - Now Officially the Worst S&P Decline in History  ,on top of previous sessions needful things on wall street saying MORE, taxpayer money to bail them out for their consummate fraud, etc., MORE now EU/Asian/fed/taxpayers’ cooperation/contribution for their past, present and future frauds, etc., to keep their ponzi-like scheme of worthless paper moving; how about prosecution, prison, fines,  and disgorgement for these mega billion dollar frauds, as 500 point swing to the upside into the close (get your money out while you can-sell into strength/rallies/take profits) on yet another b.s. talking point (I don’t think so and neither does Cramer says Get Out Of The Market ) as Motek’s expert apparently shell-shocked talks in terms of washout levels while another says bailout will take about 4 weeks to implement and not sure if same will work [WON’T! There are trillions (some say in the hundreds of trillions) of the fraudulent worthless paper out there] and points to negative economic fundamentals and says reduce exposure to equities in favor of ie., money market treasuries, previous day buy on rumor, sell on news (of fraud bailout) obtains, fundamentals horrendous as economy loses more than expected 159,000 jobs, Motek’s economist/expert/trader says serious economic issues remain and cites ’73 to ’74 when market fell 45% top to bottom while securities expert says now focus is on fundamentals and not a pretty picture and cautions about dilution, get your money out while you can-sell into strength/rallies/take profits-that’s what they did , previously hopes for fraudulent $4 trillion plus is missing through U.S. federal agency accounts managed by the NY Fed misguided Not One Dime!  wall street fraud/criminal bailout “Grand Larceny” on a Monumental Scale: Does the Bailout Bill Mark the End of America as We Know It?  can’t change reality as unemployment numbers highest in 7 years, factory orders decline to lowest level in 2 years, food prices with largest increase since 1990, previous 200 point swing to the upside on top of 485 point  previous day gain with all seriously negative news including sales drops of 16% at GM and 35% at Ford so sell into these rallies/strength/take profits whil you can, economist Brusca points to grim economic/financial data and outlook even with bailout, Billion-Dollar Fund Manager; Gold To Hit $2,000, Dow To Sink To 5,000  , U.S. Sept. ISM manufacturing index plunges to 43.5% (worst since 1955), Bailout Would Only Prolong Crisis: Jim Rogers  ,except for scandal-scarred corrupt commerce department which reported unexpected rise in consumer sentiment (riiiiight…things are so hunky-dory), all news decidedly negative with home prices falling an unexpected record  16.3 %, etc. Bailout marks Karl Marx’s comeback  This is not brain surgery and the fraud, bonuses/compensation (mortgages, subprime and otherwise, are only a relatively small portion of the fraud/scam providing “cover/collateral” for the worthless but heavily commissioned paper over and over again in a multiplicity of different forms of worthless paper) in the mega-billions should first be disgorged before taxpayers are forced to pony up and pay the frauds again for their fraud which caused the problem in the first instance, must be prosecuted. It should also be noted that despite the rhetoric, the wall street bailout will NOT solve the crisis or eliminate the economic pain except to make permanent the fraudulent wealth transfer to the most well healed heals/frauds/criminals in the nation who caused the so-called crisis by their greed/corruption/fraud.   All news decisively negative as WaMu becomes biggest bank to fail in US history (AP), GDP revised downward to 2.8% in second quarter (the market previously rallied on the false news and rallies again on the true bad news), only 30% at most support the taxpayer bailout of the wall street frauds so count on tax revolts as predicted by experts if the same passes , Sell into any rallies/take profits as all problems remain and will be exacerbated by the fact that the vast majority of taxpayers rationally and correctly opposed the bailout of the wall street criminals who benefited from the fraud. Reaction has been fast and furious 9-28-08[2:38 am]; take a look at some initial comments. Sell into any strength/take profits because with bank failures and raids on taxpayer funds and reckless printing like mad of worthless Weimar dollars and fake data/reports and lies this is worse than recession/bear market,  New Home Sales Plunged 11.5% to 17-Year Low and home inventories up, jobless claims up and durable goods orders down far more than expected, home prices drop by record 9.5%, existing home sales down 2.2% as they continue to foist the wall street criminal/fraud bailout on taxpayers which Bloomberg now pegs at a cost of $5 trillion while other economists/experts say hundreds of trillions [which means $700 billion down the tubes into the pockets of the wall street criminals (make them pay) who created the mess through their greed/fraud/scams and who’ve already reaped huge financial sums in the many billions through compensation/bonuses (mortgages, subprime and otherwise, are only a relatively small portion of the fraud/scam providing “cover/collateral” for the worthless but heavily commissioned paper over and over again in a multiplicity of different forms of worthless paper]; Motek’s financial expert, Financial Times Business Editor cites thoroughly gloomy economic picture globally and u.s. particularly, record levels of borrowing from fed, even with passage of bailout dire economic/financial scenario will remain, and axiomatic ‘buy on the rumor, sell on the news’ picture for stocks while his expert/economist/investor/entertainer (Ben Stein) says outrageous to bail out wall street criminals who should be in prison [and who should pay back/disgorge the hundreds of billions they’ve been scamming by repackaging/recollateralizing commissioning and reselling of which fraud/bubble I’ve been warning for over 5 years on this site-indeed they even have been exempted by congress for RICO liability and meaningfully lawless application of other laws as I reiterate in my RICO Summary under penalty of perjury to the FBI at their request including RICO violations by Sam Alito, former u.s. attorney (District of new jersey) who parlayed obstruction of justice (I’ve sworn to this regarding drug-money laundering) into judicial appointments to the 3rd circuit court of appeals with maryanne trump (Barry) and now the so-called supreme court (he should have gone to jail) justice; how could anyone even listen to bush (WMD’s in Iraq-I also warned against that debacle/fraud/war crimes/profiteering) ] and he further says let the ceo’s go and some of the failed institutions fail condemning the outrageousness of the lack of oversight in this huge fraud/wealth transfer; and hanky panky paulson the wall street shill whose $50 million in blind trust and $20 million in vanguard benefits from this bailout by the taxpayers, The Fed is Making a Killing on Banking Crisis , so  great opportunity to sell/take profits while you still can. One democrat said that with 3 months remaining in war criminal (remember the lies) bush’s lamentable failed presidency the grab based on fear that bailout of the criminals who caused the problem and made huge sums from their heavily commissioned fraud will avoid what already is can only be deemed another fraudulent wealth transfer akin to the war crimes in Iraq, which budget-busting conflict is also part of america’s problem, is preposterous on it’s face.A republican said that the so-called over-sight provision utilizes a standard of judicial review that would render impossible any purported review/abrogation (and after the fact at that) of paulson’s largesse to his bro’s on wall street and bush buddies.  Mike Stathis The Market Oracle September 22, 2008… As far as I’m concerned, anyone who doesn’t conduct a full investigation of this charade leading to several CEOs and other executives in prison with all of their assets being shuttled into America’s bailout fund doesn’t have what it takes to lead America anywhere except on its current course – downward. But it doesn’t really matter at this point anyway. Washington and the greedy bankers have ensured the end of what was once a great and proud nation filled with hope and opportunity. … , Dollar Weakens Most Against Euro Since 2001 on U.S. Deficit  ,  Financial terrorism: US taxpayers bail out Wall Street criminals , A Bailout to Nowhere   ,…Cramer had said the astonishing 779-point rally over the past two days can only mean one thing: sell. , in this election year obfuscation/desperation to cover-up since all real news remains decisively negative as leading indicators fall, unemployment claims rise, but  suckers’ bear market rally b**l s**t talking points without realistic, legitimate, sound foundation previously rallied stocks in nearly 600 point swing to the upside as wall street shill/fraud/pointman/incompetent paulson floats new fraudulent wealth transfer paid for by taxpayers (yet another bailout – tax revolts as predicted by trendsresearch.com are a coming – McCain is quite right that land of fruits and nuts man cox should be fired from the SEC; A New Resolution Trust Corp. for the Bankers? Kurt Nimmo | Congress critters, former Fed mob bosses want a public boondoggle along the line of the Resolution Trust Corp. to bailout the banksters) and insurmountably increasing the defacto bankrupt government’s debt  in favor of the very well-healed perpetrators of the fraud who should be prosecuted and forced to disgorge their ill-gotten gains (bonuses, etc., in the multi-billions) before even broaching the ill-advised united soviet socialist states of america plan to have taxpayers pay for the wall street fraud, and then there was the ridiculous spike from fed’s announced printing/creating more worthless Weimar dollars ($180 billion - All Roads Lead To Hyperinflation ) which even coupled with foreign contributions does not even register a blip of difference in light of the magnitude of the amount of debt, $14 trillion private/$15 trillion public, much of which must be written down/off/non-performing . Don’t be wall street’s (churn and earn) fool; time for them to pay up; time for you to sell/take profits/cut losses! Housing construction plunges 6.2 pct. in August  ,  Worst is yet to come, investment strategist warns (at MarketWatch)  , more gov’t bailout taxpayer money with ever more worthless Weimar dollars (fed printing/creating them like mad) proves the only lunatics (yes, the full moon) are not limited to those lunatic fraudulent wall street needful things who should be prosecuted and forced to disgorge their ill-gotten gains, as united soviet socialist states of america (who built up communist china so who could have expected less)  takes 80% stake in AIG, spreads widening as piles of worthless debt/securities/collateral unwind so sell into these suckers’ bear market rallies as all problems remain US Economy: Rudderless and Reeling From Direct Hits  , Federal bank insurance fund dwindling , More Socialism for the Bankers: Fed to “Loan” AIG $85 Billion , economy so bad oil demand own, so cut your losses/take whatever gains/get your money out while you still can as industrial output down much greater than expected 1.1% (for the prior month) , Meltdown in US finance system pummels stock market , Rogers: Dollar To Lose World Reserve Status , AIG downgraded as financial meltdown spreads , Wall Street mauled by Lehman bankruptcy, AIG fears ,  highest year over year foreclosures on record, retail down .3% while inventories up, as bad news spurs over 150 point swing to the upside into the close which shows irrationally fraudulent markets trying to keep suckers sucked in for their commissioning pleasure, Bullish Sentiment Drops 30%  , CBOE Put-Call Ratio Indicates Negative Outlook , Get Ready For the S&P 500 to Break Below 1200 , WaMu cut to "junk," sees $4.5 billion loss reserve (Reuters) , U.S. Trade Deficit Surges; Boosts Likelihood of Recession, Job Losses , August foreclosures hit another record high , federal/trade deficits among other bad news worse than expected which previously rallied stocks (riiiiight!) on over 300 point swing to the upside (I don’t think so)  so sell into these ephemeral rallies/"strength”, Lehman shows wider than expected $3.9 billiion loss, Another bull joins the bears Peter Eliades now says Dow should drop below 9,000, election-year sugar/fake reports as Pending home sales fall more than expected 3.2% , Fannie/Freddie fail, federal takeover, taxpayer bailout (which the frauds on wall street cheer since they believe their fraudulent gains, many billions worth, might not be touched - they should be disgorged through prosecution) as defacto bankrupt government to commit  $100 billion each to insolvent fannie/freddie ($200 billion they really don’t have to start with), very ridiculous so sell into ephemeral rallies/"strength" since the same and all is very bad news Top Investor: Fannie/Freddie Bailout Serves "Bunch Of Crooks And Incompetents"  (more to follow this update on 9-7-08) suckers’ bear market/short-covering rally into the close on 200 point swing to the upside (riiiiight) on very bad news,  nonfarm payrolls fell by 84,000 during August, bringing the unemployment rate to 6.1%,  THE LATEST FRIDAY FAILURE FOR THE U.S. BANKING INDUSTRY: US to take control of mortgage giants: reports ,  Home foreclosures reach record high , and keep in mind frauds/scams like wall street today invariably unravel as reality bites with all news bad (except for fake news) and worse than expected with new unemployment claims up more than 15,000 on top of terrible back-to-school shopping/retail numbers, though still sugar-coated for election year as sales at GM down 20% Ford down 26%, bankruptcies up, credit union taken over by feds, August ISM Index down below 50 indicating contraction, construction spending fell a larger-than-expected 0.6%, and spending down to lowest level in 3 years with income declining .7% in contrast to previous day’s suckers’ bear market rally on light volume so great time to sell/take profits while you can since all problems remain] Election-year feel good typically false/embellished at best temporary report on GDP 58% better than private forecasts along with that bastion of american credibility, the scandal scarred prevaricating commerce department comes through with fraudulent talking point for the wall street frauds with durable goods numbers exceeding private economist estimates by 400% (I don’t think so!), as one of Motek’s experts says GDP number from government, at best temporary blip from rebate stimulous (those election-year monies/printed Weimar dollars debt-ridden u.s. doesn’t really have) and multi-national exports on weak dollar, seventh staight monthly decline in payrolls in this real recession, and continued problems in financial sector/real estate/defaults/writedowns; while another  seasoned expert says doesn’t look good particularly for third and fourth quarters. Motek’s expert says FDIC might have to borrow from treasury [ FDIC may borrow money from Treasury ], second largest quarterly loss on record from thrifts at $5.4 billion, Fannie/Freddie fail the performance test, and precipitous fall in leading economic indicators indicative of deeper/longer recession that we’re already in so high allocation to cash/low allocation to stocks. The Real Rate of Inflation is 13% No way to credibly spin the record real estate price declines on high volume of  foreclosure sales/high unsold inventories, high inflation as other than the economic debacle it is, Motek’s expert reiterates reality of this bear market, that stocks will resume slide, good time to sell since pricey/frothy at avg. 24 P/E, that Freddie/Fannie bailout/gov’t. takeover inevitable, more troubled banks [ FDIC's Problem Banks List Balloons (at TheStreet.com) ] as loan defaults extend losses in sub-prime, to now prime, commercial, student loans, credit cards, even as inflation up, and outlook very bleak. Previously, another bank failure, but they say existing home sales up greater than expected 3.1%…but from auction/foreclosure sales (40%), prices down 7% (-22% in land of fruits and nuts) and inventories of for sale/unsold homes at new record high since tracking began in 1968 and worse to come, Chicago index of manufacturing down indicating further economic weakness and Motek’s expert says ‘put’ activity indicates at least 10-15% more downside from here/government bailout ot fannie/freddie inevitable and f/f stock worthless as all news decisively bad beyond expectations though fudged to upside for election year and yet bernanke who is printing worthless hyperinflationary Weimar dollars like mad soothed (gives them fraudulent talking point) the frauds on wall street saying essentially the economy is so bad inflation less of a problem (and no interest rate hike-old news because of economic weakness and bad for dollar) sparking suckers bear market rally on light volume, Buffett: We're still in a recession, leading indicators down .7%, unemployment near record levels,Oil jumps $5 on US-Russia tensions, sliding dollar , hence great opportunity to sell/take profits since all problems remain and dollar mini-spike short-lived though some fluctuations to upside on speculation other economies will tank.   Wholesale prices: Highest annual rate in 27 years . The Strong Dollar Illusion . Housing starts and building permits posted steep declines. That hub of global manufacturing buzzing (riiiiight!) as empire state index as measured by private economists expected to fall -4.2% but is reported up +2.8% (almost 300% better-I don’t think so, and don’t buy the Brooklyn bridge, watches, swamp land in jersey, etc.), inflation news double expectations Bracing for Inflation August 15, 2008 (BusinessWeek  Growing evidence suggests American consumers, businesspeople, and political leaders should all be bracing for double-digit inflation, probably as early as 2009), real estate falling, U.S. Foreclosures Rise 55%, Bank Seizures Reach High , unemployment at recession levels, etc.,. Note the rotation into the obscure world of so-called tech which provides, as in prior such ploys (ie., dot-com bust, more recent bust, etc.) the world street frauds with the ability to sell the sizzle since investors and americans generally don’t understand it (ie., iphones are a joke where the so-called “computer” is merely a restrictor of usual computer functions now tied into apple products and government shill co att, and anyone who pays the premium for apple products is a fool), and all news bad albeit fudged to the upside in this election year.  Fake trade figures, more writedowns/bad debt, still great opportunity to sell/take profits. Just another frothy day in the rabidly fraudulent lunatic world of wall street and great opportunity to sell/take profits since all problems remain and dollar mini-spike short-lived. Fog of war ( U.S. Attacks Russia Through Client State Georgia – don’t believe american lies/propaganda to the contrary) is frauds friend, repeat three times to understand fraudulent wall street euphoria over diversion (Georgia conflict) from their massive fraud which brought much greater than expected losses at fannie (U.S. Headed Toward Bankruptcy, Says Top Budget Committee Republican ) and triple-digit decline to triple digit upswing so especially great opportunity to sell/take profits as glass-half-full kind of frauds point to increase in (foreclosure/auction/forced) home sales (riiiiight!) while they can no longer  hide substantially increased unemployment, etc., economy so bad oil demand declining which is shill point for next stage of (new) wall street fraud/commissioned churn and earn scam which the taxpayers just underwrote/paid for with complicit government, executive/legislative/judicial branches/fed. Great opportunity to sell/take profits since all problems remain as real numbers indicate previous decline in GDP though falsely reported as gain, greater unemployment (watch for fake numbers from government) and much more downside to come as stocks previously rallied on sharp increase in oil prices and ADP, A JERSEY BASED COMPANY NOT UNFAMILIAR TO THE FRAUD/CRIME OF PLACING FAKE/NON-EXISTENT EMPLOYEES ON PAYROLLS TO FACILITATE (ILLEGAL/DRUG) MONEY LAUNDERING PLAYING BALL (I’M SURE FOR A PRICE/FAVOR) WITH THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET/ADMIN. WITH ALLEGED, UNEXPECTED INCREASE IN PRIVATE SECTOR JOBS, and short-covering. The Dow Priced in Ounces of Gold: Secular Bear Market Since '99 by Lindstrom from Seeking Alpha  AP Business Highlights A private research group says that Americans remain the most pessimistic about the economy since the tail end of the last prolonged recession 16 years ago. But economists warn that the slight uptick, which reverses a six-month slide since January, is likely to be only temporary and doesn't signal the beginning of a rally…Yahoo… the survey only has weak correlation with actual spending, so Briefing.com does not put too much stock in the report.] Quantifying Inflation by Zigler from Seeking Alpha, Housing report bruises frauds on wall street with reality but false report from corrupt, scandal-scarred, criminal commerce department (contrary to all expectations and contrary to all regional fed manufacturing indices which declined) provides fake report and fraudulent lift . Great Opportunity to Sell/Take Profits as Reality trumps bull s**t! Sell dollar denominated assets as all problems remain. El-Erian: Buy more foreign stocksEven in this century's darkest days of recession and war, U.S. households kept on spending. But one of the smartest investors on the planet says the American consumer is finally out of steam. Even if, and it is not, oil were the only problem, the same is just a disruption away from a spike. Suckers’ bear market/short-covering rally based on bull s**t alone, this time by wall street shill paulson whose bailout rhetoric brings ‘irrational exuberance’ since wall street frauds should be prosecuted, required to disgorge ill-gotten gains, and jailed since they’re the ones who benefited and are escaping accountability by the bailout. Except for multi-nationals and corporate welfare recipients (ie., Lockheed, etc.), greater than expected losses in not millions but billions rallied the stocks. Remember, these are huge financial institutions unlike the tiny S&Ls of the last banking fraud/wealth transfer (to frauds at expense of taxpayers). Leading indicators revised down (after ‘election year keep the incumbents’ fake report). What do you expect the wall street frauds/criminals who should be held accountable and the failed (and illegal- constitution would have to be amended to enable Fed to print those worthless Weimar dollars with now even failed Fannie and Freddie getting some with taxpayer bailout) Fed to say; admit they royally f**ked up, etc.,  better than expected very bad news, ie., Citibank loses only $2.5 billion, hyperinflation, over 200%  more (suuuuure!) than expected oil inventories, GM cuts dividend, Intel monopoly eliminates AMD, economy so bad less oil use/demand, riiiiight! What total bull s**t! SELL INTO STRENGTH, TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN!] Similarities between 1929 and 2008 terrifying  [In just the month of June, the Dow dropped 10.19%; the S&P fell 8.60%, and the Nasdaq lost 9.10%. For the quarter, the Dow fell 7.44%; the S&P lost 3.23%, while the Nasdaq had an anemic 0.61% gain. For the first half, the Dow is down 14.44%; the S&P lost 12.83%; and the Nasdaq has fallen 13.55%. Since their high point last October, the Dow gave up 19.87%; the S&P dropped 18.22%; and the Nasdaq is down 19.80%. A 20% drop from a market peak is considered the start of a bear market — although many analysts say Wall Street already has a bear market mentality (because the bear market already is. Some chart data/numbers on bear markets: first chart second chart).] FAKE GOV’T/ETC. ELECTION YEAR REPORTS THAT EXCEED ECONOMISTS/ANALYSTS FORECAST/EXPECTATIONS, EARNINGS NOT AS BAD AS EXPECTATIONS  (SUUUUURE-SAME OLD FRAUD). GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL (TAKE PROFITS) WHILE YOU CAN, ESPECIALLY WITH SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLIES ON NEGATIVE NEWS (PARTICULARLY SNEAKING INTO THE CLOSE). NOTHING HAS CHANGED REGARDING TRADE AND BUDGET DEFICITS, WORTHLESS WEIMAR DOLLAR AND THE HYPERINFLATION/STAGFLATION THEREBY, AND ELECTION YEAR (THIS IS AN EPHEMERAL GOOD AS IT GETS SCENARIO) ATTEMPTS TO REINFLATE THE BUBBLE, ETC., THAT HAS HELPED TO CREATE THIS FINANCIAL/ECONOMIC DEBACLE. THE FED/WALL STREET  FOCUS/DEFLECTION ON CORE INFLATION IS A SHAM/FRAUD AND TANTAMOUNT TO SAYING IF YOUR MOTHER HAD WHEELS SHE’D BE A TROLLEY CAR.  [eND OF FIRST QUARTER DOW –8%, nASDAQ-14%, AND S&P-10%. WALL STREET IS A JOKE THAT IS NOT FUNNY]. USA 2008: The Great Depression.  High Likelihood of a Market Crash Similarities between 1929 and 2008 terrifying  I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT COVERING RALLY/NEW BUBBLE MODE (ALONG WITH MODEST DROPS RELATIVE TO REALITY) SO SELL (TAKE PROFITS) AS THE WALL STREET SCAM IS UNEARTHED BY REVELATION THAT OF 9 INVESTMENT VEHICLES S&P (MAJORITY OF 401K HOLDINGS, ETC.) WAS WORST PERFORMER (1% OR LESS AND IF YOU FACTOR IN DECLINING DOLLAR, NEGATIVE RELATIVE TO NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED ALTERNATIVES OVER DECADE). JAWBONER BERNANKE SAYS THIS DOWNTURN IS DIFFERENT FROM THE GREAT DEPRESSION AND HE IS RIGHT INASMUCH AS AMERICA UNLIKE AFTER THE GREAT DEPRESSION WILL EMERGE FROM THIS DOWNTURN AS SOMETHING SIGNIFICANTLY AND SUBSTANTIALLY LESS FROM WHICH THERE WILL BE NO RETRACEMENT TO THE UPSIDE FINANCIALLY, ECONOMICALLY, GEOPOLITICALLY. Bank issues global stock and credit crash alert... Write Offs to Top $1.3 Trillion.Who didn’t see this coming? The Next Crisis: 'Credit Default Swaps'-- Subprime is a Just a 'Vorspeise' . 5 REASONS WHY THE FED HAS FAILED. GREENSPAN: NO REGRETS; U.S. IN SEVERE RECESSION. UK, US, AND WORLD FACING THE BIGGEST FINANCIAL SHOCK SINCE THE GREAT DEPRESSION, SAYS IMF. VIX TO VXV RATIO IS GIVING A STRONG BEARISH SIGNAL  YAHOO FINANCE SUMMARIZES THE ESSENCE OF THE TRADING DAY: [BEFORE THE YAHOO MAINSTREAM FLUFF, IT IS NOTEWORTHY THAT ALL THE PROBLEMS REMAIN FROM DEFICITS TO WORTHLESS WEIMAR DOLLAR TO FRAUD TO FAKE GOV’T REPORTS, suckers’ bear market rally into the close, Analysts say more U.S. banks will fail  Jim Rogers: Dollar Doomed, Oil Will Go Over $200 per Barrel Soon Fannie Plan a `Disaster' to Rogers; Goldman Says Sell  , why would anyone hold/invest in dollars (deficits, trade and budget substantial, economic growth declining) so sell/take profits, if you’re smart, as higher oil prices (7-10-08) sparks rally (riiiiight!) and investors were encouraged by the possibility of more contributions to their fraud, and Paulson says things are not as bad as the reports in this election year; he’s right; they’re much worse! Remember greenspan’s perpetual envy of all the world speeches; now Bernanke printing hyperinflationary Weimar dollars like mad; they’re dreaming. Similarities between 1929 and 2008 terrifying  U.S. stocks post sharp weekly losses; bear market that already is now said nears , Stocks tumble as more bad economic news piles up, Wave of bad news sends Dow down nearly 360, Sales of new homes tumbled for the sixth time in seven months in May while median prices kept plunging, American Express sees worsening credit conditions, but fake government report of higher than expected oil inventories (riiiiight!) rallies stocks, Home prices fall in April at record rate, Consumer confidence sinks to 16-year-plus low , BlackRock sees global slowdown worsening in 2009 , DOWNGRADES OF BANKING/FINANCIAL SECTOR AND IN AUTO SECTOR ALONG WITH BOND INSURERS AMBAC, MBIA, AMERICA’S BLIND SUPPORT OF ISRAEL/ISRAELI AGGRESSION DEPRESSION CONTINUES ON COURSE, PHILADELPHIA FED INDEX REGIONAL ASSESSMENT OF MANUFACTURING ACTIVITY POSTED A BAD READING OF -17.1 FOR JUNE WITH JOBLESS CLAIMS MORE THAN EXPECTED AND ANALYST SAYS RAISING CHINA'S GASOLINE AND DIESEL PRICES BY 46 CENTS A GALLON NOT ENOUGH TO HAVE MUCH IMPACT ON EXISTING DEMAND, INFLATION UP AND PRODUCTION DOWN EQUALS STAGFLATION (EVEN WORSE WHEN REAL NUMBERS HIT HOME), NEW YORK MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN AGAIN, REAL ESTATE  PLUNGING, HOME BUILDERS’ CONFIDENCE AT/NEAR RECORD LOWS, BAD NEWS BULLS SCENARIO AS ALL NEWS BAD BUT STOCKS RALLIED (AT BEST GIVING THEM BENEFIT OF DOUBT, A SHORT-COVERING RALLY) AS CONSUMER CONFIDENCE AT LOWEST POINT IN 28 YEARS FOR GOOD REASONS, FORECLOSURES UP 50% TO RECORD HIGH LEVELS, COMMODITIES (IE., CORN, ETC.) UP SHARPLY OWING TO MIDWEST FLOODS WHICH WILL ALSO IMPACT OIL TO THE UPSIDE  GOING FORWARD AS LESS ETHANOL SUPPLIES/HIGHER PRICES, ONE RADIO REPORTER INTERVIEWS ECONOMIST WHO INDICATES SCEPTICISM REGARDING (IE., INFLATION, ETC.) NUMBERS WHICH HE BELIEVES ARE WORSE THAN REPORTED (HE’S RIGHT) BUT STILL MORE THAN EXPECTED UP .6% AND UP MOST IN 6 MONTHS (INFLATION NUMBERS FUDGED FOR FED), ALL-TIME HIGH REPOSSESSIONS UP 158%, JOBLESS CLAIMS UP MORE THAN EXPECTED AT HEFTY 384,000, RETAIL SALES UP MORE THAN EXPECTED 1.4% (EXCLUDING AUTOS-SMART MOVE FOR NUMBERS SAKE AND WALL STREET FRAUD), BUT INVENTORIES OF GOODS ROSE (THERE’S A LITTLE COST-ACCOUNTING TRICK WHICH FRAUDS ON WALL STREET WOULD CELEBRATE/ENCOURAGE SINCE QUALITY OF EARNINGS IS APPARENTLY NO LONGER SOMETHING THEY VALUE-SELL THE SIZZLE/B**L S**T/AND WHAT IS LEAST UNDERSTOOD IS THERE MODUS POERANDI/MANTRA, VIZ., OVER-PRODUCE GOODS FOR SALE (THE HIGHER INVENTORIES JUST REPORTED) AND ATTRIBUTE FIXED COSTS TO GREATER NUMBER OF GOODS WHICH WOULD INCREASE PAPER PROFITS FOR THOSE GOODS SOLD IN THE QUARTER (BE ESPECIALLY WARY SINCE COMPUTERIZATION HAS MADE SUCH INVENTORY SURPLUSES AND THE CYCLICAL DOWNTURNS THEREBY RELATIVELY RARE/MINISCULE) AND THEIR RETAIL SALES INCLUDES THOSE HIGH OIL PRICES,   BERNANKE JAWBONES DOLLAR UP, RIIIIIGHT, SOME REALITY CATCHES UP AS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE JUMPS TO 5.5% WHILE INTERNATIONAL LAW SCOFFLAW ISRAEL SAYS ATTACKING IRAN INEVITABLE AS OIL ANALYST SAYS $300 OIL IF UN RESOLUTION VIOLATOR/WAR CRIMINAL ISRAEL DOES, BELYING THE FALSE DATA,  IE., 6-5-08 UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS DOWN UNEXPECTEDLY 18,000 TO STILL HIGH 357,000, ETC., REMAINING PROBLEMS INCLUDING  HOME EQUITY AT LOWEST LEVELS SINCE WW2,  DOWNGRADES ON FINANCIALS INCLUDING AMBAC AND MBIA, ADP, A JERSEY BASED COMPANY NOT UNFAMILIAR TO THE FRAUD/CRIME OF PLACING FAKE/NON-EXISTENT EMPLOYEES ON PAYROLLS TO FACILITATE (ILLEGAL/DRUG) MONEY LAUNDERING PLAYING BALL (I’M SURE FOR A PRICE/FAVOR) WITH THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET/ADMIN. WITH ALLEGED, UNEXPECTED INCREASE IN PRIVATE SECTOR JOBS, NET WORTH/WEALTH IN U.S. DOWN 11% ACROSS THE BOARD, DOLLAR DOWN AS EUROPE RATIONALLY CONFRONTS INFLATION AND HINTS AT RATE INCREASES, OIL UP SHARPLY, BIG DISCOUNTERS’ GAINS HARDLY MAKE FOR A POSITIVE RETAIL CLIMATE WITH SHOPPING LEVELS DOWN 12-16%, MANUFACTURING INDEX STILL BELOW 50 INDICATING CONTRACTION, CONSTRUCTION DOWN, INFLATION UP (THAT EQUALS STAGFLATION), AIRLINES EXPECTING $2.3 BILLION LOSS INSTEAD OF PREVIOUSLY PROJECTED PROFIT, LARGEST PRICE DECLINES FOR REAL ESTATE OF RECORD  –14.4% (-22% IN THE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS) ACCORDING TO CASE-SHILLER INDEX, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE AT LOWEST LEVEL IN 16 YEARS, BUT BAD NEWS BULLS RALLY STOCKS ON THE BETTER THAN EXPECTED FAKE DATA ALONG WITH PLAIN BAD NEWS AS CONSUMER CONFIDENCE READING AT 28 YEAR LOW, CONSUMER SPENDING FLAT ADJUSTED FOR INFLATION, INFLATION EXPECTATIONS AT RECORD HIGHS WHILE 55% BELIEVE GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC POLICY IS POOR (I’M SURPRISED AT THE LOW PERCENTAGE RELATIVE TO REALITY), DROP IN OIL INVENTORIES (OIL DROPS) AND FAKE GOV’T REPORT REVISING FIRST QUARTER GROWTH TO .9%  (SUUUUURE… YOU THINK THE ‘WHAT HAPPENED’ REVELATIONS, SUBSTANTIVELY REPORTED ON THIS WEBSITE LONG AGO (PRE-WAR), HAD SOMETHING TO DO WITH THE FUDGING ), AND THINGS ARE NOT AS BAD AS THEY REALLY ARE … GREAT … RIIIIIGHT. ANALYST EMPASIZES TREASURY YIELDS AT HIGHEST POINT THIS YEAR, WEAK CONSUMER CONFIDENCE (WHICH TRANSLATES INTO WEAK SPENDING), FINANCIAL MELT-DOWN FAR FROM OVER AS REGIONAL BANKS BEGIN TO TAKE HITS WHILE OIL ANALYST CITES UPWARD PRESSURE ON PRICES AND TOUGH ENVIRONMENT FOR REFINERS.  DON’T FORGET: THIS ELECTION YEAR PRINT AND SPEND WORTHLESS WEIMAR DOLLARS, SPIKE IN GOVERNMENT PAYROLLS, FAKE/FUDGE DATA/REPORTS, ETC., CAN’T CONTINUE IN LIGHT OF SUBSTANTIAL DEFICITS AND THE FANTASY BUBBLE WILL BURST POST ELECTION. Bank issues global stock and credit crash alert... Write Offs to Top $1.3 Trillion.Who didn’t see this coming?  The Next Crisis: 'Credit Default Swaps'-- Subprime is a Just a 'Vorspeise' U.S. faces global funding crisis, warns Merrill Lynch  More doom for global economy  Visualizing Dow 6,000   ]   U.S. Economy: The Worst is Yet to Come , U.S. Bank Failures Loom ,   New reports give bleak outlook on housing, economy, Foreclosures hit a record high — and more comingFord readies white-collar layoffs as sales tumble While GM Shutters 4 North american Factories/Lays off Workers (Reuters),  April insured mortgage defaults rise (Reuters))  

 

 

 

(3-31-11) Dow  12,319  -31   Nasdaq  2,781  +4   S&P 500  1,326  -2   [CLOSE- OIL $107.46   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.65 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $4.00 REG./ $4.05 MID-GRADE/ $4.20 PREM./ $4.27  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,433 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $37.74  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,767 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .70 EURO, 83 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  Interest Rates:   http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield     10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.47%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                    ...Yahoo Market Update...          T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                       This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10          The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010            THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover      1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net           The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 



 

(3-30-11) Dow  12,351  +71   Nasdaq  2,776  +19   S&P 500  1,328  +8   [CLOSE- OIL $104.35   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.65 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $4.00 REG./ $4.05 MID-GRADE/ $4.20 PREM./ $4.27  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,422 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $37.41  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,763 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .70 EURO, 83 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.45%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...                       T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                       This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10          The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010            THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover      1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net           The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(3-29-11) Dow  12,279  +81   Nasdaq  2,756  +26   S&P 500  1,319  +9   [CLOSE- OIL $104.45   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.65 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $4.00 REG./ $4.05 MID-GRADE/ $4.20 PREM./ $4.27  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,417 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $37.00  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,735 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .70 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.45%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...                       T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                       This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10          The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010            THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover      1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net           The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(3-28-11) Dow  12,198  -23   Nasdaq  2,730  -12   S&P 500  1,310  -4   [CLOSE- OIL $103.98   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.65 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $4.00 REG./ $4.05 MID-GRADE/ $4.20 PREM./ $4.27  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,417 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $36.86  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,735 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .71 EURO, 81 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.43%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...                       T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                       This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10          The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010            THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover      1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net           The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(3-25-11) Dow  12,220  +50   Nasdaq  2,743  +6   S&P 500  1,313  +4   [CLOSE- OIL $105.40   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.57 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.91 REG./ $3.93 MID-GRADE/ $4.05 PREM./ $4.13  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,429 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $37.31  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,745 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .70 EURO, 80 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.53%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...                       T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                       This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10          The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010            THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover      1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net           The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(3-24-11) Dow  12,170  +85   Nasdaq  2,736  +38   S&P 500  1,309  +12   [CLOSE- OIL $105.60   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.57 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.91 REG./ $3.93 MID-GRADE/ $4.05 PREM./ $4.13  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,431 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $37.39  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,745 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .70 EURO, 80 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.39%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...                       T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10          The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010            THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover      1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net           The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(3-23-11) Dow  12,086  +67   Nasdaq  2,698  +15   S&P 500  1,297  +3   [CLOSE- OIL $105.38   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.57 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.91 REG./ $3.93 MID-GRADE/ $4.05 PREM./ $4.13  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,437 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $37.23  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,749 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .70 EURO, 80 YEN, .60 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.35%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...                       T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10          The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010            THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover      1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net           The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(3-22-11) Dow  12,018  -18   Nasdaq  2,683 -8   S&P 500  1,293  -5   [CLOSE- OIL $105.25   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.57 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.91 REG./ $3.93 MID-GRADE/ $4.05 PREM./ $4.13  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,427 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $36.26  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,737 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .70 EURO, 80 YEN, .60 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.33%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...                       T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10          The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010            THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover      1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net           The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(3-21-11) Dow  12,037  +178   Nasdaq  2,692 +48   S&P 500  1,298  +19   [CLOSE- OIL $103.38   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.57 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.91 REG./ $3.93 MID-GRADE/ $4.05 PREM./ $4.13  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,430 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $36.25  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,747 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .70 EURO, 80 YEN, .60 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.33%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...                       T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10          The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010            THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover      1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net           The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(3-18-11) Dow  11,858  +83   Nasdaq  2,643 +7   S&P 500  1,279  +5   [CLOSE- OIL $102.39   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.57 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.91 REG./ $3.93 MID-GRADE/ $4.05 PREM./ $4.13  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,418 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $35.23  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,717 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .70 EURO, 80 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.26%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...                       T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10          The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010            THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover      1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net           The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

(3-17-11) Dow  11,774  +161   Nasdaq  2,636 +19   S&P 500  1,273  +16   [CLOSE- OIL $103.75   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.57 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.91 REG./ $3.93 MID-GRADE/ $4.05 PREM./ $4.13  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,410 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $34.74  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,708 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .71 EURO, 81 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.26%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10          The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010            THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover      1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net           The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

(3-16-11) Dow  11,613  -242   Nasdaq  2,617  -51   S&P 500  1,256  -25   [CLOSE- OIL $97.98   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.57 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.91 REG./ $3.93 MID-GRADE/ $4.05 PREM./ $4.13  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,390 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $33.88  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,679 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .71 EURO, 78 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.20%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(3-15-11) Dow  11,855  -138   Nasdaq  2,667  -34   S&P 500  1,282  -15   [CLOSE- OIL $97.45   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.57 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.91 REG./ $3.93 MID-GRADE/ $4.05 PREM./ $4.13  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,396 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $34.03  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,687 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .72 EURO, 81 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.33%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(3-14-11) Dow  11,993  -51   Nasdaq  2,700  -15   S&P 500  1,296  -8   [CLOSE- OIL $100.31   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.51 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.91 REG./ $3.93 MID-GRADE/ $4.05 PREM./ $4.13  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,413 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $35.20  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,720 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .72 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.35%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(3-11-11) Dow  12,044  +60   Nasdaq  2,715  +15   S&P 500  1,304  +9   [CLOSE- OIL $102.86   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.51 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.91 REG./ $3.93 MID-GRADE/ $4.05 PREM./ $4.13  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,417 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $35.83  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,774 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .72 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.39%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(3-10-11) Dow  11,985  -229  Nasdaq  2,701  -51   S&P 500  1,295  -25   [CLOSE- OIL $102.86   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.51 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.91 REG./ $3.93 MID-GRADE/ $4.05 PREM./ $4.13  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,413 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $35.26  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,760 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .72 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.39%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(3-9-11) Dow  12,213  -1  Nasdaq  2,751  -14   S&P 500  1,320  -2   [CLOSE- OIL $104.65   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.51 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.91 REG./ $3.93 MID-GRADE/ $4.05 PREM./ $4.13  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,429 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $36.01  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,797 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .72 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.47%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression

  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

(3-8-11) Dow  12,214  +124  Nasdaq  2,765  +20   S&P 500  1,322  +11   [CLOSE- OIL $104.60   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.51 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.91 REG./ $3.93 MID-GRADE/ $4.05 PREM./ $4.07  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,427 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $36.05  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,798 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .72 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.54%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(3-7-11) Dow  12,090  -80  Nasdaq  2,745  -39   S&P 500  1,310  -11   [CLOSE- OIL $105.45   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.37 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.91 REG./ $3.93 MID-GRADE/ $4.05 PREM./ $4.07  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,431 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $35.69  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,806 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .72 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.51%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!

 

 

 

(3-4-11) Dow  12,169  -88  Nasdaq  2,784  -14   S&P 500  1,321  -10   [CLOSE- OIL $104.98   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.37 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.69 REG./ $3.78 MID-GRADE/ $3.88 PREM./ $4.02  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,427 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $35.45  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,835 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .72 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.49%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(3-3-11) Dow  12,258  +191  Nasdaq  2,798  +51   S&P 500  1,331  +22   [CLOSE- OIL $101.91   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.37 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.69 REG./ $3.78 MID-GRADE/ $3.88 PREM./ $4.02  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,418 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $34.33  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,835 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .72 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.57%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!

 

 

 

(3-2-11) Dow  12,066  +8  Nasdaq  2,748  +10   S&P 500  1,308  +2   [CLOSE- OIL $102.35   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.37 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.69 REG./ $3.78 MID-GRADE/ $3.88 PREM./ $4.02  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,438 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $34.97  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,842 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .72 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.46%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 


(3-1-11) Dow  12,058  -168  Nasdaq  2,737  -45   S&P 500  1,306  -21   [CLOSE- OIL $100.31   (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.37 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.69 REG./ $3.78 MID-GRADE/ $3.88 PREM./ $4.02  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,433 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $34.69  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,831 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .72 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.41%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts        
Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(2-28-11) Dow  12,226  +95  Nasdaq  2,782  +1   S&P 500  1,322  +2   [CLOSE- OIL $97.07  (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.33 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.69 REG./ $3.78 MID-GRADE/ $3.88 PREM./ $4.02  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,410 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $33.38  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,805 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .72 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.41%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(2-25-11) Dow  12,130  +62  Nasdaq  2,781  +43   S&P 500  1,320  +13   [CLOSE- OIL $97.97  (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.33 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.69 REG./ $3.78 MID-GRADE/ $3.88 PREM./ $4.02  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,410 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $33.38  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,805 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .72 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.43%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(2-24-11) Dow  12,068  -37  Nasdaq  2,737  +14   S&P 500  1,306  -1   [CLOSE- OIL $97.29  (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.17 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.56 REG./ $3.66 MID-GRADE/ $3.76 PREM./ $3.88  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,402 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $32.38  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,780 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .72 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.45%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(2-23-11) Dow  12,105  -107  Nasdaq  2,723  -33   S&P 500  1,307  -8   [CLOSE- OIL $98.97  (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.17 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.56 REG./ $3.66 MID-GRADE/ $3.76 PREM./ $3.88  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,413 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $33.56  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,782 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.48%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

 

(2-22-11) Dow  12,212  -178  Nasdaq  2,756  -78   S&P 500  1,315  -28   [CLOSE- OIL $95.32  (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.17 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.56 REG./ $3.66 MID-GRADE/ $3.76 PREM./ $3.88  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,396 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $32.92  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,792 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.46%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME! 

 

 

 

(2-18-11) Dow  12,391  +73  Nasdaq  2,833  +2   S&P 500  1,343  +2   [CLOSE- OIL $89.71  (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.11 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.35 REG./ $3.53 MID-GRADE/ $3.62 PREM./ $3.68  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,387 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $32.52  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,830 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 83 YEN, .61 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.59%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                     This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(2-17-11) Dow  12,318  +29  Nasdaq  2,831  +6   S&P 500  1,340  +4   [CLOSE- OIL $88.92  (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.11 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.35 REG./ $3.53 MID-GRADE/ $3.62 PREM./ $3.68  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,383 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $31.63  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,836 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day       / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 83 YEN, .61 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.58%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                  ...Yahoo Market Update...               T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(2-16-11) Dow  12,288  +61  Nasdaq  2,825  +21   S&P 500  1,336  +8   [CLOSE- OIL $88  (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.11 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.35 REG./ $3.53 MID-GRADE/ $3.62 PREM./ $3.68  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,378 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $30.69  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,829 (+56% for year 2009)  Metal News for the Day    / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 83 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.62%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                    T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(2-15-11) Dow  12,226  -41  Nasdaq  2,804  -12   S&P 500  1,328  -4   [CLOSE- OIL $87.86 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.11 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.35 REG./ $3.53 MID-GRADE/ $3.62 PREM./ $3.68  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,373 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $30.69  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,826 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 83 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.62%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(2-14-11) Dow  12,268  -5  Nasdaq  2,817  +7   S&P 500  1,332  +3   [CLOSE- OIL $89.03 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.11 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.35 REG./ $3.53 MID-GRADE/ $3.62 PREM./ $3.68  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,365 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $30.62  (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,834 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 83 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.62%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(2-11-11) Dow  12,273  +43  Nasdaq  2,809  +18   S&P 500  1,329  +7   [CLOSE- OIL $89.05 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.11 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.35 REG./ $3.53 MID-GRADE/ $3.62 PREM./ $3.68  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,356 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $29.90 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,800 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 83 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.65%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(2-10-11) Dow  12,229  -11  Nasdaq  2,790  +1   S&P 500  1,321  +1   [CLOSE- OIL $87.38 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.11 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.35 REG./ $3.53 MID-GRADE/ $3.62 PREM./ $3.68  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,362 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $30.09 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,826 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 83 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.71%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 


(2-9-11) Dow  12,239  +6  Nasdaq  2,789  -8   S&P 500  1,320  -4   [CLOSE- OIL $86.79 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.11 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.35 REG./ $3.53 MID-GRADE/ $3.62 PREM./ $3.68  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,365 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $30.29 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,845 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .72 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.65%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts        
Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

(2-8-11) Dow  12,233  +71  Nasdaq  2,797  +13   S&P 500  1,325  +5   [CLOSE- OIL $86.94 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.11 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.35 REG./ $3.53 MID-GRADE/ $3.62 PREM./ $3.68  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,362 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $30.26 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,860 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.72%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

(2-7-11) Dow  12,162  +69  Nasdaq  2,783  +15   S&P 500  1,319  +8   [CLOSE- OIL $87.48 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.11 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.35 REG./ $3.53 MID-GRADE/ $3.62 PREM./ $3.68  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,348 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $29.35 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,834 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.65%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

(2-4-11) Dow  12,092  +29  Nasdaq  2,769  +15   S&P 500  1,311  +3   [CLOSE- OIL $89.03 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.11 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.35 REG./ $3.53 MID-GRADE/ $3.62 PREM./ $3.68  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,349 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $29.05 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,838(+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.65%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

(2-3-11) Dow  12,062  +20  Nasdaq  2,753  +4   S&P 500  1,307  +3   [CLOSE- OIL $90.54 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.11 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.35 REG./ $3.53 MID-GRADE/ $3.62 PREM./ $3.68  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,353 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $28.72 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,837(+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 81 YEN, .61 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.54%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(2-2-11) Dow  12,041  +1  Nasdaq  2,749  -2   S&P 500  1,304  -4   [CLOSE- OIL $91.03 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.11 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.35 REG./ $3.53 MID-GRADE/ $3.62 PREM./ $3.68  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,335 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $28.37 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,834 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .72 EURO, 81 YEN, .61 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.48%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(2-1-11) Dow  12,040  +148  Nasdaq  2,751  +51   S&P 500  1,307  +21   [CLOSE- OIL $90.77 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.11 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.35 REG./ $3.53 MID-GRADE/ $3.62 PREM./ $3.68  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,340 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $28.51 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,820 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.45%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(1-31-11) Dow  11,891  +68  Nasdaq  2,700  +13   S&P 500  1,286  +9   [CLOSE- OIL $91.19 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.11 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.35 REG./ $3.53 MID-GRADE/ $3.62 PREM./ $3.68  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,335 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $28.17 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,795 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.38%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(1-28-11) Dow  11,823 -166  Nasdaq  2,686 -68   S&P 500  1,276 -23   [CLOSE- OIL $89.34 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,335 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $27.93 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,790 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 82 YEN, .63 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.33%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(1-27-11) Dow  11,989  +4  Nasdaq  2,755  +15   S&P 500  1,299  +2   [CLOSE- OIL $85.64 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,313 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $26.65 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,774 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .72 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.38%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(1-26-11) Dow  11,985  +8  Nasdaq  2,739  +20   S&P 500  1,296  +5   [CLOSE- OIL $87.33 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,330 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $27.13 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,809 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .72 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.43%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(1-25-11) Dow  11,980  -3  Nasdaq  2,717  +1   S&P 500  1,291  -0-   [CLOSE- OIL $86.19 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,334 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $26.97 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,791 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 82 YEN, .63 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.31%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  



 

(1-24-11) Dow  11,980  +108  Nasdaq  2,717  +27   S&P 500  1,290  +7   [CLOSE- OIL $87.87 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,334 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $26.94 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,809 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.40%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!    

 

 

 

(1-21-11) Dow  11,872  +49  Nasdaq  2,689  -15   S&P 500  1,283  +3   [CLOSE- OIL $89.11 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,343 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $27.45 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,822 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .73 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.42%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(1-20-11) Dow  11,823  -2  Nasdaq  2,704  -21   S&P 500  1,280  -2   [CLOSE- OIL $89.62 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,346 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $27.47 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,806 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .74 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.45%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(1-19-11) Dow  11,825  -12  Nasdaq  2,725  -40   S&P 500  1,282  -13   [CLOSE- OIL $90.86 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,370 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $28.80 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,825 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .74 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.33%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(1-18-11) Dow  11,838  +51  Nasdaq  2,765  +10   S&P 500  1,295  +1   [CLOSE- OIL $91.38 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,368 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $29.13 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,839 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .74 EURO, 82 YEN, .62 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.36%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(1-14-11) Dow  11,787  +55  Nasdaq  2,755  +20   S&P 500  1,293  +9   [CLOSE- OIL $91.53 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,359 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $28.38 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,806 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .74 EURO, 82 YEN, .63 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.33%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(1-13-11) Dow  11,731  -24  Nasdaq  2,735  -2   S&P 500  1,283  -2   [CLOSE- OIL $92.15 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,387 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $29.26 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,809 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .74 EURO, 82 YEN, .63 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.30%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(1-12-11) Dow  11,755  +83 Nasdaq  2,737 +20   S&P 500  1,286  +11   [CLOSE- OIL $91.86 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,386 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $29.62 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,796 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .76 EURO, 83 YEN, .63 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.35%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  



 

(1-11-11) Dow  11,671  +34  Nasdaq  2,716 +9   S&P 500  1,274  +4   [CLOSE- OIL $91.10 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,386 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $29.74(+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,772 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .76 EURO, 83 YEN, .63 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.34%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                             T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

(1-10-11) Dow  11,637  -37 Nasdaq  2,707 +4   S&P 500  1,269  -2   [CLOSE- OIL $89.26 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,374 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $28.86 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,739 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .77 EURO, 83 YEN, .64 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.30%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                            T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(1-7-11) Dow  11,624  -23 Nasdaq  2,703 -6   S&P 500  1,271  -2   [CLOSE- OIL $88.03 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,369 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $28.88 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,729 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .77 EURO, 83 YEN, .64 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.33%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                          ...Yahoo Market Update...                            T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(1-6-11) Dow  11,697  -26  Nasdaq  2,709  +7   S&P 500  1,274  -3   [CLOSE- OIL $88.38 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,371 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $29.13 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,722 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .76 EURO, 83 YEN, .64 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.42%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                         ...Yahoo Market Update...                           T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(1-5-11) Dow  11,722  +31  Nasdaq  2,702  +20   S&P 500  1,276  +6   [CLOSE- OIL $90.35 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,376 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $29.35 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,731 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .76 EURO, 83 YEN, .64 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.48%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                         ...Yahoo Market Update...                           T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(1-4-11) Dow  11,691  +20  Nasdaq  2,681  -10   S&P 500  1,270  -2   [CLOSE- OIL $89.38 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,379 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $29.51 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,729 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .75 EURO, 82 YEN, .64 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.35%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                         ...Yahoo Market Update...                           T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

(1-3-11) Dow  11,671  +93  Nasdaq  2,692  +38   S&P 500  1,272  +14   [CLOSE- OIL $91.55 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,422 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $31.13 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,766 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .74 EURO, 82 YEN, .64 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.34%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                         ...Yahoo Market Update...                           T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  



 

 

(12-31-10) Dow  11,577  +7  Nasdaq  2,653  -10   S&P 500  1,258  -1   [CLOSE- OIL $91.35 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,422 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $30.95 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,765 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .74 EURO, 80 YEN, .64 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.31%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                         ...Yahoo Market Update...                           T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009          1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

12-30-10) Dow  11,569  -16  Nasdaq  2,662  -4   S&P 500  1,258  -2   [CLOSE- OIL $89.73 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.00 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS  $3.20 REG./ $3.29 MID-GRADE/ $3.39 PREM./ $3.79  DIESEL) /  GOLD $1,405 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $30.53 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,744 (+56% for year 2009)  / DOLLAR= .75 EURO, 81 YEN, .64 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/  http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update      10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.36%        …..…     AP Business Highlights                         ...Yahoo Market Update...                           T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies -  Domestic / International                          This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope      MARKET MANIPULATION AND HOW THE LATEST BUBBLE-FRAUD PRE-COMING CRASH IS BEING ACCOMPLISHED 3-11-10      6 Theories On Why the Stock Market Has Rallied  3-9-10 [archived website file]     Risks Lurk for ETF Investors        The bull market that never was/were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold             Property Values Projected to Fall 12% in 2010 Jan 31, 2010           The Week Ahead: Risk Is Off the Cliff; Unwind Has Begun Jan 31, 2010     01-13-10 Forecast for 2010 from Seeking Alpha Contributor     THE COMING MARKET CRASH / CORRECTION   1-28-10 Maierhofer          (01-15-10) 11 Clear Signs Economy Sinking     Economic Black Hole 1-22-10: 20 Reasons Why The U.S. Economy Is Dying And Is Simply Not Going To Recover     Current Economic / Fiscal Charts         Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009     1-7-10 Crash is coming!          ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’       Must Read Economic / Financial Data                      This Depression is just beginning     The coming depression…  thecomingdepression.net     MUST READ: JEREMY GRANTHAM’S QUARTERLY UPDATE 25 January 2010 (850 on the S&P) by TPC       The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think       Sliding Back Into the Great Depression  ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!  

 

 

 

 

 

First quarter archive 2010

Second quarter archive 2010

Third quarter archive 2010

Fourth quarter archive 2010

Beginning Fourth quarter with Eventful November archive 2009

Beginning Fourth quarter with Eventful October archive 2009

 

 

 

 

 

AUGUST 31, 2009 THROUGH SEPTEMBER 28, 2009 - BUSINESS UPDATES

 

 

 

 

 

Today

 

NOBEL PRIZE WINNING ECONOMIST: CRISIS AS BAD AS GREAT DEPRESSION OR WORSE    Financial terrorism: US taxpayers bail out Wall Street criminals  $4 trillion plus is missing through U.S. federal agency accounts managed by the NY Fed  RICO Summary under penalty of perjury to the FBI at their request  Reality overthrows ‘history’s actors’  Report confirms Israel’s nuclear arsenal  Roubini: Rate Cuts Temporarily and Minimally Reduce Crash Risk, But Dow 7,000 Likely 'Sometime Next Year'  Billion-Dollar Fund Manager; Gold To Hit $2,000, Dow To Sink To 5,000  The Crumbling U.S. Economy, Worse is Yet to Come   Worst slump since Great Depression   Rapid Downward Revisions in Expected Economic Growth    Recession Will Last At Least Two Years: Roubini     Recession Now: It's Deep and It's Going to Last a Long Time, Sonders Says   Economist Roubini Predicts Hedge Fund Failures, Panic, Closed Markets  Markets Nosedive on Grim Economic News Evil Wall Street Exports Boomed With `Fools’ Born to Buy Debt   More from Grantham: S&P to 585. He called the bubble, how could anyone doubt his valuation (although even lower is more realistic)?   U.S. Economy: GDP Shrinks (even with fake better than expected GDP numbers from corrupt commerce department) at Fastest Pace Since 2001  Credit-Default Swaps on US Treasuries Have Risen Nearly 40 Percent Since Bailout Law Signed; Now About the Same as on Mexican and Thai Government Debt america’s credit rating will be downgraded   Where'd the bailout money go? Shhhh, it's a secret fraud (AP)   ECONOMICS GURU: WORST IS YET TO COME; MARKETS WILL CLOSE FOR UP TO WEEK FROM PANIC...  Washington is Powerless to Stop the Coming Economic Depression    Whitehead sees slump worse than Depression   Dollar’s Days Numbered, Buy Commodities: Jim Rogers    America’s economic crisis is beyond the reach of traditional solutions  Cost Of Bailout Hits $8.5 Trillion  Worst is yet to come for economy  'Crisis Only Just Beginning': Crisis/Video  Right About the Crash, Peter Schiff Sees More Pain Ahead         The Great Depression of the 21st Century: Collapse of the Real Economy   “The Dollar Standard Is Coming To An End”   Busted in Washington    CIA Adds Economy To Threat Updates    Financial Disaster Will Lead to Civil Disorder in 2009 or 2010, Says Secret Citibank Memo   Renowned economist Mikhail Khazin : U.S. will soon face second “Great Depression”  America Has No Means to Recover from a Depression US budget deficit to reach USD 1 trillion     Jim Rogers calls most big U.S. banks “bankrupt”   BILLIONS VANISH IN EPIC HEDGE FUND FRAUD     Citadel suspends redemptions from two hedge funds World faces “total” financial meltdown: Bank of Spain chief  Check This Graph-Proof we are going into a Great Depression. Notice MASSIVE job losses. Is there really any doubt any longer?   Paulson Was Behind Bailout Martial Law Threat    Fed Hides Destination Of $2 Trillion In Bailout Money    Another Prominent Economist Forecasts Depression, Says Gold To Hit $2000   Fed Secretly Lends $2 Trillion to Banksters without Oversight   Depression Unrest Turmoil Instability Riots all coming and SOON       JAPAN: “There has never been data this bad for any major economy - even in the great Depression”; “We are literally looking at the unimaginable”     Obama predicts more bank failures   California goes broke, halts $3.5 billion in payments    It’s Getting Ugly: Economist Says Hoard Gold & Scotch Paul Joseph Watson | Williams predicts hyperinflationary depression will mean a $100 dollar bill is worth less than toilet paper  WORLD TO STAY IN SLUMP   US is Already Bankrupt: Analyst   The Geithner-Summers-Bernanke Plan to Prop Up Asset Prices Has Failed    U.N. panel says world should ditch dollar          Not Just a Few Bad Apples - Corruption is Systemic in America  65 Trillion - U.S. Financial Obligations Exceed The Entire World’s GDP  RECORD: NATIONAL DEBT HITS $11 TRILLION...    US Depression -The Truth Is Here    The Economist, a Widely Respected and Authoritative Financial/Economic Publication: U.S. In Depression, Not Recession      Video: Crash Will be Worse than Great Depression   Great Recession/Depression of 2008, et seq., Worse Than All Others  IMF warns of Great Depression   Stocks Could Drop 20%, No Safe Haven: Dr. Reality    Celente Correctly Predicts Revolution, Food Riots, Tax Rebellions By 2012  Former chief economist: U.S. in a depression   Merrill Lynch’s Chief Economist: We’re Already In a Depression  Ray Dalio: A Long and Painful Depression - Barron's Interview        Gerald Celente Predicts Economic Armageddon by 2012      This DEPRESSION will last 23-26 YEARS! Government is POWERLESS!    Trendsresearch.com forecast for 2009   What the Pros Say: US Is Now ‘Bankrupt’    ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’    Secretary of Labor Reich: Unemployment Numbers Show We’re Already In a Depression          Celente: U.S. Has Entered “The Greatest Depression”    Entering the Greatest Depression in History Andrew Gavin Marshall | The economic crisis is anything but over, the “solutions” have been akin to putting a band-aid on an amputated arm.     April 30, 2011

 

 

U.S.National Debt (real time)

 

4-1-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-   srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia  (Only up to 3-11-11 - you must be logged in -  (Washington Post) [ Comments  COMMENTS ARE CLOSED WHILE WE UPGRADE OUR SYSTEMS  ] the comments are no longer archived on their site  )  .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew (and prospectively archived by quarter):  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf       ]

 


Jobs report better than expected … April fools … you got to be to believe anything they say, desperate as they are  [  Drudgereport: GALLUP: Unemployment at 10.0%; underemployment 19.3%...
Who do you believe?  ]  … particularly that huge fudge factor; viz., that ubiquitous 'stopped looking' category … granted there are some 'window-dressing' jobs created at huge uneconomic cost with the reality going something like this: government give contract to company that will cover the costs of the domestic jobs created using funds they don't really have (borrowed, one way or another, and piled on to the already insurmountable debt of a nation that is already defacto bankrupt), to produce goods which could be produced better and cheaper elsewhere (there isn't anything that can't be produced outside this country better, more efficiently, and cheaper). This is doubly inflationary since, first, the goods are uneconomically more costly, and second, whether borrowed or printed, the increased paper and lesser real value thereof is also inflationary. That said, I don't even believe their headline number and the unemployment rate they give is irrelevant and wholly inaccurate (that 'stopped looking fudge factor', etc.). Then there is the b*** s*** concerning treasury turning a profit on the (ongoing fed / pomo / wall street) bailouts that taxpayers have and will continue to pay for in higher prices from oil to grains to other commodities to fewer jobs, now and in the future. There is no modern day alchemy that 'spins more paper into gold'. That value has to come from some place; viz., you! Light Volume Rally Continues: Dave's Daily  ' ...The Fed has injected $500 billion (another $7B in POMO Wednesday) to the financial system since January 2011 and that wave of liquidity is overwhelming most thoughtful analysis... Sure it's the end of the quarter and a jam-job to close things out puts a smile on investors' faces and bonuses in portfolio managers' pockets. Painting the tape and window dressing is against the law … ADP data has misled before but Wall Street is awash with cash from on high and finds little other place to invest beyond stocks...'           M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you’      19 Reasons Why The Federal Reserve Is At The Heart Of Our Economic Problems  Most Americans don't understand what the Fed Reserve is or why it is at the heart of our economic problems. When Americans get into discussions about the economy, most of them still blame either the Democrats or Republicans for inflation, for the housing crash, for our rampant unemployment and for the national debt. The Economic Collapse]

 

More Americans work for the government than in manufacturing, farming, fishing, forestry, mining and utilities combined Today in America there are nearly twice as many people working for the government (22.5 million) than in all of manufacturing (11.5 million).

 

 

Employment Report: Clear Trend Change Absence  Denninger  'From the Bureau Of Lies And Scams (BLS):


Nonfarm payroll employment increased by 216,000 in March, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 8.8 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in professional and business services, health care, leisure and hospitality, and mining. Employment in manufacturing continued to trend up.

Yeah, ok.

http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?get_gallerynr=1415

(Click to enlarge)

How about the workweek and salaries?

In March, average workweek for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls was unchanged at 34.3 hours in March. The manufacturing workweek for all employees edged down by 0.1 hour to 40.5 hours, while factory overtime was unchanged at 3.3 hours. The average workweek for production and nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls increased by 0.1 hour to 33.6 hours. (See tables B-2 and B-7.) The average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls were unchanged at $22.87. Over the past 12 months, average hourly earnings have increased by 1.7 percent. Average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees edged down by 2 cents over the month to $19.30. (See tables B-3 and B-8.)

No help here. No increase in hours worked and no hourly earnings improvement either. For production and non-supervisory workers (those where price increases really hurt) they saw a bit of a decline. This is quite-bad news; note that the average annual wage for these workers is $38,600 pre-tax. That's materially under the average worker's income used in the BLS CPI tables, and it is those who have incomes under the median that experience the worst of income allocation shifts into non-discretionary purchases such as food, energy and medical.

This just plain sucks given the price inflation that is clearly-evident in the PPI since August. These price increases are now going to start showing up on the store shelf over the next couple of months. We should also see the impact of these PPI changes being emitted from the rear end of the economy (that is, the business end that hurts you, the consumer) in the 1st quarter earnings reports beginning in earnest on the 11th.

Let's go look at our numbers and see if there's a "there" there.

http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?get_gallerynr=1417

(Click to enlarge)

That's small improvement. I guess you can say it's not another turn-down.

http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?get_gallerynr=1416

(Click to enlarge)

The number of employed ticked up a bit. That's positive. But it did last year too, only to flag off as we got into the summer.

http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?get_gallerynr=1419

(Click to enlarge)

"Not in labor force", annualized, isn't any good. Yes, the monthly number looks good, but there are seasonal effects. On an annualized basis we're still above the zero line - then again, we have been like ... well ... forever. This is a problem and to a material degree reflects the underlying problem we have with labor in this country - we're losing participation. Permanently.

http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?get_gallerynr=1418

(Click to enlarge)

Here's the grand-daddy number. It's following the seasonal pattern; let's see if it peaks in May. More-importantly, let's see if it puts in a lower high to go with the lower low.

That would be bad, and until the pattern changes, it's what you have to expect.

http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?get_gallerynr=1420

(Click to enlarge)

Nowhere is this more-evident than in this chart. Positive change? Where? This is the root of the problem - participation, as a percentage of the workforce, continues to decline. This in turn means that the budgetary pressures will not come off. And that, in turn, is very bad from an intermediate and longer-term stability perspective.

What this all boils down to is that job growth is insufficient to support the economy on its own. Yet the ability to keep writing hot checks to the tune of $1.7 trillion a year or more to support a fake "recovery" is not infinite.

The wall is clearly visible through the fog at this point. Why do we still have our monetary and fiscal foot mashed on the accelerator?'

 

 


Higher Oil Slows Stock Rally: Dave's Daily 'No matter the market data, how can I let April Fool's Day pass without some humorous image? But, more somberly, today marks the second anniversary of ETF Digest pal Greg Newton's (Naked Shorts Blog) sudden death. So, I'm not going to complain about the 10" of snow. Markets were sharply higher after a mildly better than expected employment report. Many feel the economy has definitely turned the corner and that bodes well for stocks. The dollar rallied sharply early but then fell hard later in the day perhaps coinciding with Fed Governor's Dudley's remarks that QE will remain on track. (The Fed just can't find the "off" switch and behave like they're addicted to crack.) But, as Friday wore on, it became clear that oil prices would not be contained. Two reasons dominated: first, DUD-ley's comments and second, events in Libya aren't moving the coalition's way. As to the latter, what does this mean? Failure? Or, an enhanced presence?  It sure presented an inconvenient speed bump for bulls Friday despite gains. How will consumers react to higher gas and energy prices? Not well one would think, but that's just too logical. Short-term equity markets have become rapidly overbought. DUD-ley's comments allow bulls to believe more, not less, liquidity is coming their way. As markets hit previous highs, along with oil, sellers entered markets to take profits. Volume is still ultra-light but breadth per the WSJ remains positive. '

 

 

Short-Term, High-Probability Mean-Reversion: Several ETFs Hit Short-Term Extremes  Crowder 'Several of the ETFs I follow in the High-Probability, Mean Reversion strategy have hit a short-term “very overbought” extreme. Typically, when this type of event occurs a short-term reprieve (1-3 days) is right around the corner.Unemployment numbers are out before the bell today so I expect to see a pop at the open. If the market opens higher today I expect to make a trade in the strategy, so subscribers stay tuned.I currently have a trade on, so of course, a move lower at the open would not upset me either. I expect today will be a very interesting day. Short-Term High-Probability, Mean-Reversion Indicator – as of close 3/31/11

[overbought chart     http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/4/1/saupload_3_31_11_hpmr.png   ]

Disclosure: I am short SPY.'

 

For  Soda Aficionados  Minyanville   http://www.albertpeia.com/regionalsodas.htm

 

 

The Treasury Auction Shell Game Peter Schiff | Very few people have the patience to sift through Treasury Department bond auctions data.

 

GE to Try to Avoid Liability in Japan Nuke Crisis Reuters | The Japan’s nuke crisis has created a PR headache for General Electric, but the company so far has escaped any legal fallout.

 

Foreign Banks Tapped Fed’s Lifeline Most as Bernanke Kept Borrowers Secret Bloomberg | The biggest borrowers from the 97-year-old discount window as the program reached its crisis-era peak were foreign banks.

 

ECONOMIC CRISIS ARCHIVE

 

Japan Rebuilds While The Fed Tears Down In Japan’s quest to reconstruct the region affected demand for commodities will increase putting added upward pressure on commodity markets.

Ron Paul On The Fed’s Secret Bailout Documents Congressman Paul discusses the documents the Fed released by court order.

Foreign Banks Tapped Fed’s Secret Lifeline Most at Crisis Peak U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke’s two-year fight to shield crisis-squeezed banks from the stigma of revealing their public loans protected a lender to local governments in Belgium, a Japanese fishing-cooperative financier and a company part-owned by the Central Bank of Libya.

The Fed Bailed Out A Libya-Owned Bank No matter how many Nobel peace prizes are trampled in the process, it may come as a surprise to some that a bank majority owned by the Libya Central Bank, was the direct recipient of US taxpayer largesse in the form of discount window borrowing.

 

 

 

National / World

 

Al Qaeda’s Dark Secret Exposed TheAlexJonesChannel | Evidence proves al Qaeda is Western manufactured.

Canadian officials ‘secretive’ on North American perimeter security agreement Aaron Dykes | Unifying the once sovereign nations of North America under treaty law moves forward in stealth.

Coalition Air Strikes: Body Bags Begin Piling Up Patrick Henningsen | The use of DU has been a major feature in US-led Coalition and Israeli war efforts since 2001.

Government Bureaucrats Steal Basketball Hoops Kurt Nimmo | As the founders knew, without property rights we are slaves.

Fukushima Plant Operators Again Ordered To “Review” Radiation Readings Steve Watson | Findings have raised fears that underground waterways and drinking water supplies could become contaminated.

 

 

‘US orders media silence over Bahrain’ Press TV | President of Bahrain’s Center for Human Rights Nabeel Rajab says the US media have been ordered not to cover news on the government’s brutal crackdown on Bahraini people.

 

 

Cover Up: Fukushima Plant Operators Again Ordered To “Review” “Suspiciously High” Radiation Readings The operators of the crippled nuclear power plant at Fukushima have once again been ordered to “review” and retract their radiation findings where appropriate because Japan’s Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency says they are too high.

Neocons and Democrats Work in Congress to Support Obama’s Libyan War As the mad bombers at NATO engage in a public relations stunt in response to the fallout from the slaughter of innocent Libyan civilians, here in the United States a few dignified members of Congress are attempting to put a halt to the illegal war.

The New Colonialism: Washington’s Pursuit of World Hegemony  [Oh come on! They only wish! The nation's defacto bankrupt … understand all that that entails! ]What we are observing in Libya is the rebirth of colonialism. Only this time it is not individual European governments competing for empires and resources.

Target China Far from the Founding Father’s ideal representative republic, China has garnered a reputation as one of the most repressive regimes on earth. While some of this is well earned, much of it is due to the unsavory legacy left by Mao’s “Great Leap Forward” which to this day is still being carefully and systematically dismantled.

Gaddafi regime admits attempts to talk to west The regime of Colonel Muammar Gaddafi has initiated a concerted effort to open lines of communication with western governments in an attempt to bring the conflict in the country to an end.

Libyan opposition offers ceasefire A Libyan opposition leader has said the rebels will accept a UN-demanded ceasefire if Muammar Gaddafi pulls his forces from all cities and allows peaceful protests.

Rand Paul: Fox can’t decide ‘what they love more, bombing the Middle East or bashing the president’ Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) joked Wednesday night that the Fox News Channel can’t seem to reconcile their dislike for President Barack Obama with their support for his military intervention in Libya.

 

 

Libya is a Continuation of Neocon War to Remake Middle East   [ Come on! They're muddling along, debt ridden, incompetent, declining, failing, almost to a nation, individually and collectively. Trying to still appear relevant, more important are the nations absent from their war crimes folly (excepting israel for which these treasury depleting fiascos in the name of zionism continue down this path of self-defeat / self-destruction) ]Statement on Libya – Defining U.S. National Security Interests, Before the Foreign Affairs Committee, US House of Representatives, 31 March 2011

 

 

Drudgereport: GALLUP: Unemployment at 10.0%; underemployment 19.3%...
WSJ: More Americans work for gov't than manufacturing, farming, fishing, forestry, mining, utilities -- combined...
OIL SOARS...
Highest March price on record...
OBAMA'S LIMO EXEMPT FROM NEW 'GREEN' POLICY
Government losses in GM far higher than claimed...
Bosses at bailed-out FANNIE, FREDDIE were paid millions...
Probes Find 'Unprecedented' Political Review of FOIA Requests by Big Sis...
Issa: 'Nixonian'...

Federal Agents Told to Reduce Border Arrests, AZ Sheriff Says...
1st Grade Teacher Suspended for Facebook Rant About Students...
...Felt Like 'Warden' Supervising Future Criminals
[ That's because that's what they are … and inherently so … just because they look like wobama, holder, michelle/wobama's belle, etc., doesn't change reality she has a right to discuss in First Amendment Terms, particularly.    Paterson Teacher Suspended After Allegedly Calling Students 'Future Criminals ...  Some comments:  

I went to public school. Fortunately we had no blacks at all. They're just disgusting animals. People are tired of making up excuses for them. Look at sub-saharan africa, or any inner city. Always the same story with them. In evolutionary terms, 'they're the ones that got left behind'. (see, ie., http://albertpeia.com/anthroindex1.htm  ).

 

Al Peia



Babba Booey

It’s a pretty funny story until you realize that the teacher is not only being honest but sadly correct as well.
The New generation of savages to come

April 1, 2011 at 10:48 pm | Reply | Report comment



cochino

After all, three generations of imbeciles are enough!

April 1, 2011 at 10:04 pm | Reply | Report comment



ANSWER

Teachers in that environment have classrooms consisting of 25 to 30 children. These children come to school with little to no sleep, poor nutrition, poor hygiene and zero guidance at home. In addition they don’t act like 6 and 7 year olds. They demonstrate very poor focus and attention to take direction. It is almost impossible to teach with these issues. Day after day teachers in most of these inner city school districts try. But in most cases the teacher can’t break this viscous cycle of ignorance. Mandatory birth control is the only answer. Parents need to be held accountable. Teachers in these environments all deserve to be paid at the highest scale! They deserve it.

April 1, 2011 at 9:47 pm | Reply | Report comment



Word of Wisdom

There is no such thing as a bad student….only bad teachers.

April 1, 2011 at 9:41 pm | Reply | Report comment



Wisdom (lol)

How about bad parents????

April 1, 2011 at 9:49 pm | Reply | Report comment



princeton1991

You’re an idiot and a likley dropout. Go back to school! — and I hate teachers more than you know so don’t blame me on you’re idiocy.

April 1, 2011 at 10:00 pm | Reply | Report comment



Mike

Leave the children of slackers in the public school system. Listen to this. My niece was doing her student teaching in Beachwood Ohio Public schools with 9th graders. After lunch the princes and princesses came back to class yelling and “fing” everyone and everything in sight. So she made them go back to the hall and come back quietly and ready to learn.
Her reward for this was 1 hour of counseling, not for the class but for her!
This junior high has 4 full time shrinks on site to help manage the teachers and kids. All that public school administrators want to to be sure no one makes any waves. What a joke.
Not wanting any part of the public school system, she got her Phd and has been teaching at a private college in Savana

April 1, 2011 at 9:36 pm | Reply | Report comment



Dewey

My niece teaches HS in Queens NY and says mainly the students
show up to meet each other ,not to study ,
Many of these kids will never be in the standard work ethics we
older folks grew up with ,they won’t work as they expect to start
at the top. Sad but this teacher’s comments are not far from what
my niece feels.

April 1, 2011 at 9:34 pm | Reply | Report comment



1608

She did her job.

Now the students know to judge a book by it’s cover.

April 1, 2011 at 9:28 pm | Reply | Report comment



Sick of whining

It’s her business what she posts on Facebook – maybe she should have marked it private and kept the comments amongst a select few. I can understand what she is saying – go to the mall and watch how kids act around their parents – heck, watch how the parents act. Instead of the parents crying about it they need to step up and parent instead of having the state/county raise their children. And yeah, some of those kids will grow up and be criminals. We have no EXPECTATIONS of proper behavior – we ACCEPT antisocial behavior everyday from children. Then when we can’t control the kids we dope ‘em up on ritalin and other drugs then sit ‘em in front of MTV, and Jerry Springer for their role models. Then we sit wondering what went wrong.

April 1, 2011 at 8:43 pm | Reply | Report comment



Sick of whining

Did anyone bother to ask why she felt that way?

April 1, 2011 at 8:48 pm | Reply | Report comment



loombergisafascist

people in this country despise the truth. i will bet dollars to donuts that everything she has said about her so called students are true. if she is seeeing this behaviour now in 1st grade can you imagine what these kids will be like in 10 years. its like the kid in staten island who was harrassing the muslim kid. he was a terror and nobody does anything. he was already running around with scissors and cut some other poor girls hair. these teachers spend 6 hours a day with these kids and i believe everything she says. to bad the parents dont take heed instead of just critizing her and acting all insulted.

April 1, 2011 at 8:09 pm | Reply | Report comment



mell

She and all academic teachers in America should walk out and set up their own small private schools. Capitalism and Freedom !!!!!!!! No more social promotion and grade fixing for lazy Americans!

April 1, 2011 at 8:03 pm | Reply | Report comment



Richard Allen

What is wrong with everyone….she knows what the truth is…she was warning everyone before it got bad

We need to praise this teacher and give her a PAY RAISE…..

April 1, 2011 at 8:00 pm | Reply | Report comment



Joe

The teacher called it as she saw it!!!

April 1, 2011 at 6:54 pm | Reply | Report comment



joey gallows

boohoo someones feelings were hurt
next thing is a lawsuit
the kids say worse things to each other every day

April 1, 2011 at 6:14 pm | Reply | Report comment



UJU

A school teacher can only do so much! Parents should rise up to their duties

April 1, 2011 at 5:45 pm | Reply | Report comment



Robert

Seek the truth, but don’t speak the truth ! The teacher can tell by the character of her students how they will be in later life! Paterson is a ghetto city and thats all one needs to know.

April 1, 2011 at 5:40 pm | Reply | Report comment



kds

When I was growing up I had nothing but respect for any and all adults specially teachers. Nowadays, my 9 year old neighbor is so disrespectful I wonder what she’ll become as a young adult. The worse part is her parents excuse her behavior with “she’s only nine”. I bet she behaves the same way in school by what I hear from other adults in the complex where we live.

April 1, 2011 at 5:18 pm | Reply | Report comment



2luv

why is it that people NEED to POST EVERYTHING IN FACEBOOK!!!

April 1, 2011 at 5:33 pm | Reply | Report comment



noodlesnoodlemann

Not too bright.

April 1, 2011 at 5:02 pm | Reply | Report comment



Michael Allen Powers

Mr. Johnson wonders why people are offended by the “truth”. (Fox’s definition of the word, obviously). I think he’s cranky because the kids won’t stay off his lawn.

I have teaching credentials, but I don’t teach. Why? Because I suck at it. (I have nothing but respect for those who can.) I learned this early on, and, to keep from doing a disservice to any prospective students, chose another path, just as this teacher should have done.

April 1, 2011 at 5:01 pm | Reply | Report comment



mike felter

i was thinking at first she can speak her mind she’s free but after some more thinking i agree rise the bar ,, i grow up in newark. was going the wrong way and some good people helped me,, and my great wife,,she stayed by me.. send the teacher back to school

April 1, 2011 at 5:00 pm | Reply | Report comment



story

There are expectations of educators to educate and not only academics but also morals and ethics. Her statement takes away from these children the chance they deserve to excel they are only 6 and 7 years old and will gravitate towards attitudes taught to them. This teacher is not prepared and should not be allowed to enter the class room again it is not the place for her she does not have the love or tolerance to deal with children of that age. Children of that age are curious and yes some of them are coming from homes where seeing is believing the thing that happen there and if that is the case let school be the heaven where they learn to be better people, gain knowledge and in the process get a little love.

April 1, 2011 at 4:57 pm | Reply | Report comment



Paterson

Teachers in that environment have classrooms consisting of 25 to 30 children. These children come to school with little to no sleep, poor nutrition, poor hygiene and zero guidance at home. In addition they don’t act like 6 and 7 year olds. They demonstrate very poor focus and attention to take direction. It is almost impossible to teach with these issues. Day after day teachers in most of these inner city school districts try. But in most cases the teacher can’t break this viscous cycle of ignorance. Mandatory birth control is the only answer.

April 1, 2011 at 9:29 pm | Reply | Report comment



Kar

Everyone is entitled to thier opinions, truth be told or not. As an educator, you should know better then to ever post work related stuff. And never ever be facebook friends with parents & students! Lesson be learned!

April 1, 2011 at 4:53 pm | Reply | Report comment



Daniel Barbier

Please! And then if the kid does become a criminal then the educational system gets “blamed” for not intervening while again the parents receieve no responsibility in the outcome of their child’s behavior

April 1, 2011 at 4:39 pm | Reply | Report comment



Shelli Lipton

Teachers who think they are there as police need to be in a different profession. It’s good that this teacher was fired.

April 1, 2011 at 4:33 pm | Reply | Report comment



James W Johnson

So why are people so offended by the truth and facts?

April 1, 2011 at 4:33 pm | Reply | Report comment



James W Johnson

Why does the truth offend so many people?

April 1, 2011 at 4:32 pm | Reply | Report comment



Mari

i would say the teacher should be suspended more for her stupidity in posting to facebook than anything else. And she obviously was ill-prepared for the reality of the challenging job of teaching. I have no doubt she found her students unruly and undisciplined – they do live in an area where parenting skills seem to me at a minimium, but is also a challenge for those who DO try to be attentive to their children. She is to blame for thoughtlessness less than for her thoughts, but the education system, including hers at teacher’s college, are also partly responsible.

April 1, 2011 at 4:23 pm | Reply | Report comment



Paterson

Teachers in that environment have classrooms consisting of 25 to 30 children. These children come to school with little to no sleep, poor nutrition, poor hygiene and zero guidance at home. In addition they don’t act like 6 and 7 year olds. They demonstrate very poor focus and attention to take direction. It is almost impossible to teach with these issues. Day after day teachers in most of these inner city school districts try. But in most cases the teacher can’t break this viscous cycle of ignorance. Mandatory birth control is the only answer. Have some compassion for the teacher.

April 1, 2011 at 9:33 pm | Reply | Report comment



J

Bulls_it! Obviously there’s a reason why she said it. Paterson NJ, is a gang infested slum with low function parents who are too busy smoking weed to help their children with their homework. Some, are future criminals. Look at their parents. The apple doesn’t fall too far from the tree.

April 1, 2011 at 4:01 pm | Reply | Report comment



J

You ignorant bigot, I grew up in Paterson NJ…. I graduated with honors from Penn State, I am getting my M.A at an international program…. after working as a political adviser.. and well be surely making a lot more money then you will ever be…..

April 1, 2011 at 4:31 pm | Reply | Report comment



James W Johnson

Democratis advisor no doubt.He made your point and you can’t even see that!

April 1, 2011 at 4:35 pm



Cisco

“.. and well be surely making a lot more money then you will ever be…”

Return to Penn State and ask for a refund. English composition isn’t your best game.

April 1, 2011 at 4:43 pm



Penn State Genius read this...

Teachers in that environment have classrooms consisting of 25 to 30 children. These children come to school with little to no sleep, poor nutrition, poor hygiene and zero guidance at home. In addition they don’t act like 6 and 7 year olds. They demonstrate very poor focus and attention to take direction. It is almost impossible to teach with these issues. Day after day teachers in most of these inner city school districts try. But in most cases the teacher can’t break this viscous cycle of ignorance. Mandatory birth control is the only answer. I hope this educates the Penn State ignoramus ignoramus..

April 1, 2011 at 9:38 pm



teacher

i know as an educator the children will rise to your expectations. I set the bar very high and they do very well and i see other teachers with this teachers mentality of how they are no good and thats what they get. When will society realize that we need to raise the bar and make them responsible and they will rise to the occasion. Try it! It works!

April 1, 2011 at 3:54 pm | Reply | Report comment



joe k

And I thought the truth would make you free.

April 1, 2011 at 3:43 pm | Reply | Report comment



anna

i thought its Arbeit macht frei (work would make you free)

April 1, 2011 at 4:39 pm | Reply | Report comment


 

 

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War blurs humanitarian focus in Libya (Washington Post) [ Wow! Call me naďve, but it's getting difficult … blurs? … as in fact from fiction … truth versus falsity … propaganda as opposed to reality … and then there's the no small task of keeping up with gates' positions.

Obama Sends Murder Incorporated to Libya Nimmo | The CIA specializes in overthrowing governments and orchestrating mass murder.

Secret Illegal War Of Aggression Has Been Raging In Libya For Weeks Watson | UN Resolution or no UN resolution, US and British spies have been coordinating war for oil for some time.

Al-Qaeda 100% Pentagon Run Infowars.com | [UPDATED].

Tarpley on Libya Rebels: A CIA Secret Army of al-Qaeda Terrorists RT |  Libyan Rebels in Full, Chaotic Retreat New Yorker |

US set to give arms to Libyans SMH |

 

Are US Soldiers Using Rape, Murder, And Bombing Of Children As War Strategy?  Mary Lynn Cramer  Countercurrents.org  3-30-11 ...

With the reports of rape of women by US troops in Iraq (not to mention the alarmingly high rate of rape of women soldiers within the US military); the bombing of civilian wedding parties, children at play, and innocent villagers in their homes in Pakistan and Afghanistan, why is it that Amy has not headlined that “Murder And Rape Are Being Used By Obama And US Soldiers As Weapons of War”? (And who arrested those accused Libyan soldiers in Tripoli so quickly? It takes forever to get charges brought against American troops and contractors accused of rape, torture and murder in US occupied countries; and even then they most often go free.) ..

This is a video of several testimonies repeating the same lie about Iraqi soldiers killing babies in incubators as they fled Kuwait in 1990.

” A key event in generating momentum for the first U.S. War on Iraq, “Operation Desert Storm” was a fraudulent report of the murder of Kuwaiti babies by Iraqi soldiers...The girl relayed a shocking story while sobbing:

'… I saw the Iraqi soldiers come into the hospital with guns, and go into the room where . . . babies were in incubators. They took the babies out of the incubators, took the incubators, and left the babies on the cold floor to die.

The massacre never occurred. The girl was actually the daughter of a Kuwaiti emir, and had been coached by the public relations firm Hill and Knowlton to give persuasive false testimony.” ( How PR Sold the War in the Persian Gulf , by Stauber and Rampton) http://911review.com/precedent/decade/incubators.html   ...'

 

 

At least 40 civilians dead in Tripoli strikes: Vatican official Reuters

Obama in Libya for long haul

Rangel: Obama Did Not Have Constitutional Authority to Act Unilaterally in Libya Without Congress’ Approval

Obama On Energy Sec Chu: “He Actually Deserved His Nobel Prize” Obama jokes about the fact that deep down he is a warmonger

 

The false choice  (Washington Post) [ This truly is well said and needed sayin'. That Ms. Marcus said it in so kindly a way is forgivable if only because of the expected cordiality of the forum. The truth is, I believe it's no longer just the false choices. I further believe the american electorate is snookered virtually all of the time, and has been so for quite some time with pronounced recognition of same with the last two failed presidents particularly. Thus, I conclude that the american political system has become so fatally flawed that it must be deemed broken and unfixable. After all, america is ever more widely known to be pervasively corrupt and as well, defacto bankrupt. This sad state of affairs precludes that somewhat amorphous conclusion attendant to an unknowing shrug of the shoulders and nonsequitur; viz., they must be doing something right … No they are not!    / Then there is the b*** s*** concerning treasury turning a profit on the (ongoing fed / pomo / wall street) bailouts that taxpayers have and will continue to pay for in higher prices from oil to grains to other commodities to fewer jobs, now and in the future. There is no modern day alchemy that 'spins more paper into gold'. That value has to come from some place; viz., you!            M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you / ' ...The Fed has injected $500 billion (another $7B in POMO Wednesday) to the financial system since January 2011 and that wave of liquidity is overwhelming most thoughtful analysis... Sure it's the end of the quarter and a jam-job to close things out puts a smile on investors' faces and bonuses in portfolio managers' pockets. Painting the tape and window dressing is against the law …        19 Reasons Why The Federal Reserve Is At The Heart Of Our Economic Problems  Most Americans don't understand what the Fed Reserve is or why it is at the heart of our economic problems...most of them still blame either the Democrats or Republicans for inflation, for the housing crash, for our rampant unemployment and for the national debt. ]

 

 

Europe financial problems deepen (Washington Post) [  Yet you'd think, and that they expected you to think, with all the 'bread and circuses', schemin', and perpetual war as here in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america that everything was just 'hunky-dory'. That the eu's financial problems were solved was touted to the tune of about a 1,000 points on the DOW over the course of just days.  We Are Looking at Trillion-Dollar Plus Annual Interest Payments on U.S. Debt  Owens Krugman: We’re Going To Have To Default On Our Debt One Way Or Another Some dour commentary from Paul Krugman this morning on the implications of our monster debt.   Harry Dent Warns Major Crash Is Coming!   Harry Dent, Jr.  Economy will be in a Depression by 2011
The worst of this next depression is likely to hit between mid-2010 and mid-2013, especially around early 2011...
Dow will Fall to 3,800 – 4,500 by 2012
Nasdaq will Fall Below 1,100, its 2002 low, by late 2010 or mid-2012 at the latest.
Inflation will Increase until mid- 2010 and then turn to Deflation
Interest Rates will Increase
U.S. Dollar will Decline
Housing will Decline by 40 – 60% from Today’s Levels
Greatest Economic and Banking Crisis since the 1930s will Occur Between 2010 and 2012).

J. P. Morgan Wants $5 ATM Charge CNBC.com |

 

Poll: Obama’s approval hits new low Politico | Half of the registered voters surveyed for the poll think that the president does not deserve a second term in office.

 

Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)

 

European Central Bank Set to Raise Interest Rates Before Fed Reuters |

 

 

OPEC Could Reap $1 Trillion This Year National Journal |

 

Fragile Budget Talks Resume as Parties Trade ‘Extreme’ Label Fox |

The Fed Releases Thousands Of Secret Bailout Docs In The Least Transparent Way Possible The Federal Reserve on Thursday released the names of banks that borrowed from its main emergency lending facility during the financial crisis after having run out of legal appeals to block publication.

A List Of 28 Things That Will Make You Realise That There Is Something Seriously Wrong With This Country

China economist blasts dollar dominance on eve of G20 Dollar dominance is sowing the seeds of financial turmoil, and the solution is to promote new reserve currencies, a Chinese government economist said in a paper published on the eve of a G20 meeting about how to reform the global monetary system.   ]

Portugal discloses new and larger budget deficits for last year, and Ireland says its banks need tens of billions of dollars in additional capital. The fresh round of bad news is likely to further shake confidence in Europe’s ability to resolve its lingering financial problems anytime soon.

 

 

Jeff Immelt faces major PR crises (Washington Post) [ Well, here's my experience in this suburb to new york, GE's home-state of connecticut which they dominate:  RICO VERIFIED COMPLAINT    (see infra). Such includes and as set forth in the case, inter alia,

 

 

·      A judgment had been entered in my favor in the case, United States District Court Case #3:93cv02065(AWT)(USDCJ Alvin Thompson), worth approximately now in excess of $300,000 remains unaccounted for and which could be used for payment to creditors, Los Angeles, etc..

·      Counsel Robert Sullivan on my behalf documented by way of certification upon investigation that Alan Shiff, USBCJ, had falsely stated a dismissal upon which false statement he predicated a retaliatory and spurious contempt proceeding against me causing substantial damage, and for which he sought Judicial Notice of those and related proceedings as did I in some of my filings.

·      The Order of Dismissal With Prejudice by Alan Shiff, USBCJ, owing to Defendant Coan’s failure to file anything whatsoever by the court’s deadline causing creditors and me substantial damages:   [  Shiff Order of Dismissal With Prejudice on Coan’s Failure to File        Page 1                Page 2          ]

Defendant Coan had filed an action against me to prevent me from suing him which necessitated me to fly to Connecticut for a hearing before The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District of Connecticut, who denied Coan’s requested relief as to Coan but precluded my action against Shiff (although there is no immunity, judicial or otherwise, for criminal acts, ie., fraud connected with a case under Title 11, USC, etc.) . [   transcript in pertinent part -     crossexamofcoanbypeia.pdf   ] …  GE chief executive is under heat as he addresses tax issue, nuclear technology.

Frauds/Liars (sic-lawyers)Covering Up for Other Frauds/Liars (sic-lawyers). In Productive Societies as China, Japan List of Files Regarding Filed Attorney Grievance Against Fraud coan et als

Or Here For A Clearer View Of Filed Grievance Complaint, Response, Exhibits, and Related RICO Filings

Note the Committee of Frauds/Liars (sic-lawyers). Included are DOJ Rep., State Court Rep., State Atty. General Office Rep., and even a Vegetable Garden yale law prof who probably never practiced law in his life. How Pathetic!

On NBC, the missing story about GE  (Washington Post) [ Ya think! … Seriously though, this is as important a story as can be since these scenarios have been a significant problem for the pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt u.s. for quite some time. After all, there are no Washington Posts in the Northeast to cover their denizens quite like the Washington Post fearlessly covers theirs (ie., that not too long ago story of the ubiquity of top level clearances, 'cia ops / covers' (real estate / businesses), in the Washington metropolitan area, literally putting their lives on the line so to speak. In the northeast, sinkholes new york (they even did a book 'The Wall Street Gang' and movies, ie., 'Gangs of New York', fact-based 'Goodfellas', etc.) / mob infested jersey (I've not been to chicago, but count them in here) particularly, it's what is not said that invariably stands out to the substantial detriment of the rest of the nation. The day in, day out continued churn and earn wall street fraud at a total cost yet to be fully realized by the rest of the nation to support those lavish / overly high-cost lifestyles will not make for front-page reading in the wall street journal, new york times, etc., nor the lead story if at all on the 6 / 11 o'clock news. Therein lies the rub, and the need for alternate media sources so castigated and belittled by the main-stream news media, particularly in those regions which have a lot to hide (and not talk about). Sadly, the internet is increasingly targeted toward the end of silencing those who brave to tell the truth. One might hope that The Washington Post might enter the televised news sphere with waivers based on national need.] “NBC Nightly News” didn’t report on the fact that its parent company paid no federal taxes last year.

Documents shed light on Fed lending  (Washington Post) [  Au contraire … far from shedding light, the fed remains a significant part of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america's problems and should be abolished, including their ability to print fiat currency facilitating their fraudulent, destructive machinations in favor of the frauds on wall street and to the detriment of the nation.   Light Volume Rally Continues: Dave's Daily  ' ...The Fed has injected $500 billion (another $7B in POMO Wednesday) to the financial system since January 2011 and that wave of liquidity is overwhelming most thoughtful analysis... Sure it's the end of the quarter and a jam-job to close things out puts a smile on investors' faces and bonuses in portfolio managers' pockets. Painting the tape and window dressing is against the law … ADP data has misled before but Wall Street is awash with cash from on high and finds little other place to invest beyond stocks...'           M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you’      19 Reasons Why The Federal Reserve Is At The Heart Of Our Economic Problems  Most Americans don't understand what the Fed Reserve is or why it is at the heart of our economic problems. When Americans get into discussions about the economy, most of them still blame either the Democrats or Republicans for inflation, for the housing crash, for our rampant unemployment and for the national debt. The Economic Collapse ]  The Fed lent vast sums of money to banks during the financial crisis, documents show.

 



Bulls Look Ahead to Inflation: Dave's Daily  'Stocks ended the quarter with a whimper. Bulls were able to "stick" a good return and portfolio managers will earn their bonuses. Most news surrounded rising commodity prices (grains and energy--you know, the stuff we don't measure and are supposed to ignore), a negative inflation outlook from WMT and the Buffett compliance breakdown. Meanwhile Minneapolis Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota cautioned interest rates will be higher by the end of the year. He's far off team talking points it seems--or, is he? Nevertheless, all eyes are focused on Non-farm Payrolls report set for Friday. Volume again was ultra-light as it's been all week so those that can prop it had a field day. Per the WSJ breadth remains positive. This will push the $NYMO (see end of posting) close to short-term overbought conditions...'

 

Then there is the b*** s*** concerning treasury turning a profit on the (ongoing fed / pomo / wall street) bailouts that taxpayers have and will continue to pay for in higher prices from oil to grains to other commodities to fewer jobs, now and in the future. There is no modern day alchemy that 'spins more paper into gold'. That value has to come from some place; viz., you! Light Volume Rally Continues: Dave's Daily  ' ...The Fed has injected $500 billion (another $7B in POMO Wednesday) to the financial system since January 2011 and that wave of liquidity is overwhelming most thoughtful analysis... Sure it's the end of the quarter and a jam-job to close things out puts a smile on investors' faces and bonuses in portfolio managers' pockets. Painting the tape and window dressing is against the law … ADP data has misled before but Wall Street is awash with cash from on high and finds little other place to invest beyond stocks...'           M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you’      19 Reasons Why The Federal Reserve Is At The Heart Of Our Economic Problems  Most Americans don't understand what the Fed Reserve is or why it is at the heart of our economic problems. When Americans get into discussions about the economy, most of them still blame either the Democrats or Republicans for inflation, for the housing crash, for our rampant unemployment and for the national debt. The Economic Collapse]

 

Will ISM Peak Portend Doom for Stocks? Iacono 'Add this to the growing list of data points foretelling a rough road ahead for stocks, last month’s 27-year high for the ISM Manufacturing Index apparently a sign of a top for equity markets as detailed in this Chart of the Day [ http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-29/manufacturers-signal-u-s-stock-rally-to-fade-chart-of-the-day.html   ] at Bloomberg Along with the monthly labor report – where hopes are high that payroll gains will keep pace with the growth in the U.S. population for the second month in a row – the latest ISM data will be released tomorrow, a rare occurrence when these two important gauges of the U.S. economy are reported on the same day, possibly producing a little extra market volatility.' [ ' U.S. manufacturers are signaling that a two-year surge in stocks may give way to smaller gains, according to Jeffrey Kleintop, chief market strategist at LPL Financial Corp. The CHART OF THE DAY compares the Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing index, based on a monthly survey of corporate purchasing managers, with the year-to-year percentage change in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. February’s ISM reading of 61.4 matched its peak in May 2004, which in turn was the highest level since 1983. The March figure will be published on April 1, and economists surveyed by Bloomberg anticipate a drop to 61 on average. Readings of more than 50 signal growth. “With momentum in the ISM at or near a peak, stock-market performance is likely to soften,” Kleintop wrote yesterday in a report. He cited the S&P 500’s performance before and after nine highs in the manufacturing gauge since 1976. In the first six months after the ISM topped out, the S&P 500 rose by an average of 1.3 percent. The comparable 12-month figure was 5.2 percent, far from the 18 percent average during the preceding 12 months. “It would be (April) foolish to expect the powerful pace of gains over the past two years to continue,” Kleintop wrote. At yesterday’s close, the S&P 500 was 94 percent higher than its March 2009 low. High-yield bonds and commodities may be more rewarding than stocks “in the near future,” he added. To contact the reporter on this story: David Wilson in New York at [email protected] To contact the editor responsible for this story: James Greiff at [email protected]  ' ]

 

Unemployment Claims: Headlines vs. Upward Revisions  Short 'The Department of Labor's Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report was released this morning for last week. As we saw in the previous week, the headline number is a decrease from the previous week (good news), but the previous week had been upwardly revised — in this case, double the headline decrease (the bracketed bold text below is my annotation). But check out the positive spin on CNBC and Bloomberg. Here is the official statement from the Department of Labor:

In the week ending March 26, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 388,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 394,000 [up 12,000 from 282,000]. The 4-week moving average was 394,250, a increase of 3,250 from the previous week's revised average of 391,000.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 3.0 percent for the week ending March 19, unchanged from the prior week's unrevised rate of 3.0 percent.

The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending March 19 was 3,714,000, a decrease of 51,000 from the preceding week's revised level of 3,765,000. The 4-week moving average was 3,765,250, a decrease of 32,750 from the preceding week's revised average of 3,798,000.

Today's number was above the Briefing.com consensus estimate of 383,000 claims. (Briefing.com's own estimate was for an extremely optimistic 370,000).

As we can see, there's a good bit of volatility in this indicator, which is why the 4-week moving average (shown in the callouts) is a more useful number than the weekly data. [chart   http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/31/saupload_weekly_unemployment_claims.png    ] (Click to enlarge)

Occasionally I see articles critical of seasonal adjustment, especially when the non-adjusted number better suits the author's bias. But a comparison of these two charts clearly shows extreme volatility of the non-adjusted data, and the 4-week MA gives an indication of the recurring pattern of seasonal change in the second chart (note, for example, those regular January spikes).  [ chart  http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/31/saupload_weekly_unemployment_claims_nsa.png    ](Click to enlarge)

Because of the extreme volatility of the non-adjusted weekly data, a 52-week moving average gives a better sense of the long-term trends.

[chart  http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/31/saupload_weekly_unemployment_claims_nsa_52_ma.png  ]
(Click to enlarge)

The Bureau of Labor Statistics provides an overview on seasonal adjustment here (scroll down about half way down). For more specific insight into the adjustment method, check out the BLS Seasonal Adjustment Files and Documentation.

 

The Reason There Is No Pent-Up Consumer Demand

 

Harry Dent Warns Major Crash Is Coming!

We Are Looking at Trillion-Dollar Plus Annual Interest Payments on U.S. Debt  Owens    Krugman: We’re Going To Have To Default On Our Debt One Way Or Another Some dour commentary from Paul Krugman this morning on the implications of our monster debt.      Economists Herald New Great Depression The world is currently experiencing the modern day equivalent of the Great Depression, according to a prominent economist who has added his voice to scores of others now forecasting ongoing economic doom on a scale not seen since the 1930s.) , and my position and that of demographer Dent ( Prechter and many others are also in this camp although I believe he does not factor in sufficiently the debasement of the u.s. currency / dollar in arriving at his numbers which do however, at 1,000 on the DOW reflect real, as opposed to inflated values of 3-4,000 owing to the ever more worthless Weimar dollars which provides ‘spin material’ for the wall street frauds but is really quite ominous going forward, and very detrimental in real economic terms.) [This is a global depression. This is a secular bear market in a global depression. The past up move was a manipulated bull (s***) cycle in a secular bear market. This has been a typically manipulated bubble as has preceded the prior crashes with great regularity that the wall street frauds and insiders commission and sell into. This is a typical wall street churn and earn pass the hot potato scam / fraud as in prior crashes’. This national decline, economic and otherwise, will not end until justice is served and the wall street frauds et als are criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.] [ The reason for the necessity of prosecution is founded in the circumstances surrounding and the mindset of what one would deem ‘antisocial personalities’ (disorders) ( I prefer the prior descriptor of such as psychopathic; the euphemistic ‘sociopathic’ was ‘far too understanding’ in my view of the social / environmental factors allegedly giving rise to such negative / destructive behaviors. I don’t buy it.) Specifically, accepted studies / findings have concluded that the essential defect in those with antisocial (psychopathic) personality disorders is an inability to respond normally to fear-inducing stimuli, leading in turn to an inability to inhibit responses that should, but, as with wall street, have not resulted in punishment. Thus, while I think most on wall street have proven themselves criminally insane (for the money, ie., Stewart, ‘Den of Thieves’ / ‘Liar’s Poker’, the most recent financial debacle / crisis, which continues to this day); at the least, owing to a lack of fear of prosecution / punishment, they have become defacto sociopathic / psychopathic.  ]  Krugman: It's All Downhill From Here Cullen Roche Love him or hate him Paul Krugman has been awfully right with regards to the macro picture in the last few years. He’s one of the rare economists who had the foresight to see the housing bubble and the likelihood of economic downturn that would result from it. Krugman recently caused a stir when he said the US economy was headed for the third depression. Here Are 13 Signs That We’re Actually In A Depression Right Now  Gregory White | David Rosenberg has outlined, in his latest letter, the 13 reasons with this so-called recovery is actually a depression… David Rosenberg has outlined, in his latest letter, the 13 reasons with this so-called recovery is actually a depression.Rosenberg sums it up like this:

This is what a depression is all about — an economy that 33 months after a recession begins, with zero policy rates, a stuffed central bank sheet, and a 10% deficit-to-GDP ratio, is still in need of government help for its sustenance.

Harry Dent, Jr.  Economy will be in a Depression by 2011
The worst of this next depression is likely to hit between mid-2010 and mid-2013, especially around early 2011, but if the banking system continues to implode a deep downturn or depression could begin sometime in 2009 instead of 2010.
Dow will Fall to 3,800 – 4,500 by 2012
Nasdaq will Fall Below 1,100, its 2002 low, by late 2010 or mid-2012 at the latest.
Inflation will Increase until mid- 2010 and then turn to Deflation
Interest Rates will Increase
U.S. Dollar will Decline
Housing will Decline by 40 – 60% from Today’s Levels
Greatest Economic and Banking Crisis since the 1930s will Occur Between 2010 and 2012).
]

 

http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates

 

J. P. Morgan Wants $5 ATM Charge CNBC.com | Higher ATM fees and other rising costs penalize small depositors.

 

 

Poll: Obama’s approval hits new low Politico | Half of the registered voters surveyed for the poll think that the president does not deserve a second term in office.

 

Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)

 

European Central Bank Set to Raise Interest Rates Before Fed Reuters | Change from the traditional pattern reflects the ECB’s greater preoccupation with inflation pressures.

 

OPEC Could Reap $1 Trillion This Year National Journal | OPEC is set to make a record-breaking $1 trillion in export revenues this year.

 

Fragile Budget Talks Resume as Parties Trade ‘Extreme’ Label Fox | Fragile budget negotiations have resumed on Capitol Hill.

 

The Fed Releases Thousands Of Secret Bailout Docs In The Least Transparent Way Possible The Federal Reserve on Thursday released the names of banks that borrowed from its main emergency lending facility during the financial crisis after having run out of legal appeals to block publication.

A List Of 28 Things That Will Make You Realise That There Is Something Seriously Wrong With This Country What in the world is happening to America? Perhaps you have asked yourself that question from time to time. Today it seems like everything is falling apart.

China economist blasts dollar dominance on eve of G20 Dollar dominance is sowing the seeds of financial turmoil, and the solution is to promote new reserve currencies, a Chinese government economist said in a paper published on the eve of a G20 meeting about how to reform the global monetary system.

Faber Expects QE3 From Fed ‘But Not Right Away’ Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, talks about the outlook for a third round of quantitative easing from the Federal Reserve, his investment strategy and the outlook for global stock and commodity markets. Faber, speaks with Matt Miller and Carol Massar

 

 

National / World

 

Obama Sends Murder Incorporated to Libya Kurt Nimmo | The CIA specializes in overthrowing governments and orchestrating mass murder.

Secret Illegal War Of Aggression Has Been Raging In Libya For Weeks Steve Watson | UN Resolution or no UN resolution, US and British spies have been coordinating war for oil for some time.

Al-Qaeda 100% Pentagon Run Infowars.com | Alex Jones addresses the multitude of evidence that al-Qaeda works for the Pentagon and the CIA [UPDATED].

Tarpley on Libya Rebels: A CIA Secret Army of al-Qaeda Terrorists RT | Rebel held territory in Libya the world capitol for jihadi terrorism.

Fukushima Radiation Double Chernobyl Outside Evacuation Zone Kurt Nimmo | Farming may become impossible near the crippled nuclear plant.

 

Man Obtains Obama’s Purported Social Security Number The Gazette | Foray into online Social Security data base reveals problems with Obama’s Social Security number.

 

 

 

Libyan Rebels in Full, Chaotic Retreat New Yorker | The second Libyan rebel advance didn’t last very long.

 

 

US set to give arms to Libyans SMH | The United States has paved the way for Libya’s rebel groups to be armed by the international community.

 

Are US Soldiers Using Rape, Murder, And Bombing Of Children As War Strategy? Mary Lynn Cramer | She was also seen pulling a battered and empty incubator behind her, yelling that Gaddafi forces had broken into the hospital maternity ward.   Mary Lynn Cramer  Countercurrents.org  March 30, 2011   Amy Goodman’s Take on One Reported Rape Case in Tripoli, Libya: “Pro-Gaddafi Forces Accused of Using Rape as War Strategy”

“Some doctors in Libya have accused pro-Gaddafi fighters of using rape as a weapon of war. On Sunday, five men were arrested for raping and torturing a Libyan woman. The international press learned of the incident when the woman, Eman al-Obeidi, burst into a hotel full of foreign journalists in Tripoli. She was quickly detained by Libyan security officers. (http://www.democracynow.org/2011/3/28/headlines )

She was also seen pulling a battered and empty incubator behind her, yelling that Gaddafi forces had broken into the hospital maternity ward, pulled babies out of the incubators and thrown them on the ground, and stamped them to death…oh, sorry, that was another dramatized lie told to the US Congress to justify another grossly destructive invasion and slaughter of thousands by US air power in the Middle East.*

The doctors commenting on this single incident in Tripoli were no doubt the same romantic, pure and idealistic, pro-democracy “rebels” adored by DemocracyNow in their overtly sympathetic interviews with these courageous, US armed, financed, and supported fighters with radical Islamist, Al Qaeda, and CIA operative backgrounds….but why should we care who they are or where they come from or how they are armed? And Democracy Now will the the very last to do any serious questioning of this issue.)

With the reports of rape of women by US troops in Iraq (not to mention the alarmingly high rate of rape of women soldiers within the US military); the bombing of civilian wedding parties, children at play, and innocent villagers in their homes in Pakistan and Afghanistan, why is it that Amy has not headlined that “Murder And Rape Are Being Used By Obama And US Soldiers As Weapons of War”? (And who arrested those accused Libyan soldiers in Tripoli so quickly? It takes forever to get charges brought against American troops and contractors accused of rape, torture and murder in US occupied countries; and even then they most often go free.)

If you find my commentary more offensive than Democracy Now’s lack of responsible, investigative journalism and Amy’s blatantly biased propaganda regarding Libya, that may be indicative of just of how little integrity is left in the so-called American Left.

This is a video of several testimonies repeating the same lie about Iraqi soldiers killing babies in incubators as they fled Kuwait in 1990.

” A key event in generating momentum for the first U.S. War on Iraq, “Operation Desert Storm” was a fraudulent report of the murder of Kuwaiti babies by Iraqi soldiers. On October 10, 1990, the U.S. Congressional Human Rights Caucus held a hearing on the subject of Iraqi human rights violations. The centerpiece of the event was the emotional testimony of a 15-year-old Kuwaiti girl, known only by her first name, Nayirah. Her full name was supposedly being kept secret to protect her from Iraqi reprisals. The girl relayed a shocking story while sobbing:

I volunteered at the al-Addan hospital. While I was there, I saw the Iraqi soldiers come into the hospital with guns, and go into the room where . . . babies were in incubators. They took the babies out of the incubators, took the incubators, and left the babies on the cold floor to die.

The massacre never occurred. The girl was actually the daughter of a Kuwaiti emir, and had been coached by the public relations firm Hill and Knowlton to give persuasive false testimony.” ( How PR Sold the War in the Persian Gulf , by John Stauber and Sheldon Rampton) http://911review.com/precedent/decade/incubators.html   ...'

 

At least 40 civilians dead in Tripoli strikes: Vatican official Reuters | So-called humanitarian raids have killed dozens of civilian victims in some neighborhoods of Tripoli.

 

Webster Tarpley: Al Qaeda does US dirty work in Libya It’s been nearly two weeks since the US entered Libya and there is still no clear indication on who the rebels really are. Webster Tarpley, an investigative journalist says the US is supporting al-Qaeda, and racists on the ground. The world should ask America, “What are you doing arming and promoting al-Qaeda fighters in Libya?” he said.

 

NATO rules out arming Libyan rebels THE NATO chief Anders Fogh Rasmussen said today the alliance was opposed to arming the Libyan rebels fighting against Muammar Gaddafi.

 

Obama in Libya for long haul Writer and radio host Stephen Landman says the US is committed for the long haul and that American, British and French forces have actually been supporting the rebel forces for some time.

 

Rangel: Obama Did Not Have Constitutional Authority to Act Unilaterally in Libya Without Congress’ Approval Rangel says he would “like to believe” that members of Congress are looking into whether or not the President’s actions are an impeachable offense.

Obama On Energy Sec Chu: “He Actually Deserved His Nobel Prize” Obama jokes about the fact that deep down he is a warmonger that was ridiculously awarded a Nobel peace prize.

Modern America too close to 1933 Germany? Are corporate interests and big business taking over the US political system to a degree where it is inevitable democracy will become obsolete and ruin the entire system of American government?

 

America’s Planned Nuclear Attack on Libya A war on Libya has been on the drawing board of the Pentagon for more than 20 years.

The Congress is Obsolete Under The New World Order System There are probably many reasons why President Barack Obama didn’t bother to seek the approval of Congress before committing the U.S. military to an undefined mission in Libya, some of them may even be legitimate and reasonable, but none are more important and more alarming than the fact that the Congress is obsolete under the new world order system.

 

Japan’s Nuclear Rescuers: ‘Inevitable Some of Them May Die Within Weeks’ Workers at the disaster-stricken Fukushima nuclear plant in Japan say they expect to die from radiation sickness as a result of their efforts to bring the reactors under control, the mother of one of the men tells Fox News.

Smoke Rises from DIFFERENT Nuclear Complex … 7 Miles from the Leaking Reactors The same nuclear power plant operator that runs the Daiichi complex – Tepco – runs a separate nuclear complex 7 miles away, called Fukushima Daini. There are 4 reactors located at the Daini complex.

 

4 of 6 Daiichi reactors can’t be fixed  (Washington Post) [  I continue to believe this to be a far more serious  catastrophe with further reaching consequences, economically, financially, and otherwise than are being sloughed off by markets, pols, and media. It truly is sad  to even think about what seem likely to be 'suicide jobs' but  I must say I was incredulous regarding the $5,000 / day offer of recruitment for such workers (short-term? … for as long as they live?... Wow! … I immediately thought of skid row, the bowery, and admit to being somewhat ashamed for having done so.) Fukushima Nuke Plant Now in Full Meltdown Kurt Nimmo | Smoke was reported at a second nuclear power plant in Japan today.

 

Japan Considers Entombing Nuclear Plant as Workers Fight to Stop Radiation Bloomberg | Japan will consider entombing its crippled atomic plant in concrete.

 

Reactors now leaking plutonium into soil New York Post | “The situation is very grave,” Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano said today.   ]Workers continue to endure soaring radiation levels as they work to stave off a full-scale meltdown.

 

Drudgereport: Obama 2002: Toppling a Brutal Dictator Is 'A Dumb War'...
OBAMA POLL HITS NEW LOW...
BLACK LAWMAKERS SUE TO DISSOLVE CITIES THAT ARE TOO 'WHITE'...
WANTED: U.S. workers for crippled Japan nuke plant...

CHERNOBYL SOLUTION: WORLD'S LARGEST CONCRETE PUMP DISPATCHED TO JAPAN
FLASHBACK: 'Chernobyl Solution' Once Considered Final, Worst Option...
OIL SOARS...
Crude climbs to highest since 2008...
Pump prices have doubled under Obama...
Highest March price ever...
WALMART chief warns of 'serious' inflation in coming months...
FUKUSHIMA 50: WE EXPECT TO DIE...
REPORT: Crew faces '100-year battle'...
Up to 1,000 bodies left untouched around plant...
Radioactivity 10,000 times limit found in groundwater...
Japan ignores UN, won't widen evacuation zone ...
EPA Says Radiation Found in U.S. Milk...
Radiation levels at nuclear plant reach new highs...

100,000X NORMAL...
Radioactive Water Extends One Mile Into Ocean...
Trace Amounts Found in Florida...
At the gates of stricken Fukushima nuke plant...
Radiation levels highest since crisis began...
'Bad Readings' Plague Effort...
Concern grows over sea contamination...
Tokyo blackouts to resume Monday...
Radioactivity detected in China...
And Nevada... And SC, Fla... And Mass...
Gaps in US radiation monitoring system revealed...
Four of EPA's 11 Sensors in CA Were Down...
Inflation worries push consumer confidence lower...
Home prices STILL falling in cities...
13% of all U.S. homes are vacant...
PAPER: Gaddafi envoy in Britain for secret talks...
NATO to Rebels: No Arms For You...
GATES: 'It’s pretty much a pick-up ballgame at this point'...
BLOODBATH: 40 civilians dead in Tripoli strikes...
REPORT: Obama sends in CIA teams to find out who rebels are...
Gadhafi's blonde lawyer daughter joins soldiers on front line...

 

 

4 of 6 Daiichi reactors can’t be fixed  (Washington Post) [  I continue to believe this to be a far more serious  catastrophe with further reaching consequences, economically, financially, and otherwise than are being sloughed off by markets, pols, and media. It truly is sad  to even think about what seem likely to be 'suicide jobs' but  I must say I was incredulous regarding the $5,000 / day offer of recruitment for such workers (short-term? … for as long as they live?... Wow! … I immediately thought of skid row, the bowery, and admit to being somewhat ashamed for having done so.) Fukushima Nuke Plant Now in Full Meltdown Kurt Nimmo | Smoke was reported at a second nuclear power plant in Japan today.

 

Japan Considers Entombing Nuclear Plant as Workers Fight to Stop Radiation Bloomberg | Japan will consider entombing its crippled atomic plant in concrete.

 

Reactors now leaking plutonium into soil New York Post | “The situation is very grave,” Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano said today.   ]Workers continue to endure soaring radiation levels as they work to stave off a full-scale meltdown.

 

Drudgereport: Obama 2002: Toppling a Brutal Dictator Is 'A Dumb War'...
OBAMA POLL HITS NEW LOW...
EPA Says Radiation Found in U.S. Milk...
Radiation levels at nuclear plant reach new highs...

100,000X NORMAL...
Radioactive Water Extends One Mile Into Ocean...
Trace Amounts Found in Florida...
At the gates of stricken Fukushima nuke plant...
Radiation levels highest since crisis began...
'Bad Readings' Plague Effort...
Concern grows over sea contamination...
Tokyo blackouts to resume Monday...
Radioactivity detected in China...
And Nevada... And SC, Fla... And Mass...
Gaps in US radiation monitoring system revealed...
Four of EPA's 11 Sensors in CA Were Down...
Inflation worries push consumer confidence lower...
Home prices STILL falling in cities...
13% of all U.S. homes are vacant...

 

In Washington, what’s not said can be a powerful  (Washington Post) [  One can only hope that what's not said is not what's not smart ...

AT&T’s lobbyists well positioned  (Washington Post) [  The ultimate regression. You'd think that with all the negative fallout / consequences from unbridled k street lobbying, that such a scenario as this could not be … yet in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, 'it is!'    AT&T, T-Mobile USA merger deal questioned   (Washington Post)  [ Questioned? Is that all? att / sbc is a horribly managed company that can't even do the simplest things well; ie., land lines and dsl thereby, my direct experience. We've seen this all before. When they can't do, they go monopoly bigger with disasterous results. This is an old story with a familiar ending.] A day after AT&T announced it would buy T-Mobile USA to create the biggest wireless carrier in the country, consumer advocates and some members of Congress blast the deal.

 

Merger a disconnect for consumers  (Washington Post)  [ Yeah! True enough! I had to drop my land line (att/sbc – jersey/bushland) which I kept for the public listing and which became disfunctional / unusable to the point where it was impacting my DSL line; both of which I dropped in favor of MagicJack (I recommend it) and Time Warner Cable / Internet (also better). Deal to combine AT&T, T-Mobile raises questions (AP) [Questions? Is that all? att / sbc is a horribly managed company that can't even do the simplest things well; ie., land lines and dsl thereby, my direct experience. We've seen this all before. When they can't do, they go monopoly bigger with disasterous results. This is an old story with a familiar ending. AP - AT&T's surprise announcement that it plans to acquire T-Mobile USA will force federal regulators to confront a difficult antitrust question: Can American consumers get good wireless service at a ... ] OPINION | Your choice for wireless service would get smaller should AT&T carry out its plan to buy T-Mobile USA.  ] Firm confident it will win over regulators to its bid to buy T-Mobile USA, even as critics continue to bash the deal.   Here's that other story of what's 'unsaid' being very costly to the nation :  On NBC, the missing story about GE  (Washington Post) [ Ya think! … Seriously though, this is as important a story as can be since these scenarios have been a significant problem for the pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt u.s. for quite some time... (0 taxes paid)' 

  ] A call by lawmakers for a careful review of AT&T’s proposed acquisition of T-Mobile is really more code language for something else, analysts say.

 

 

CIA operatives in Libya to gather intel on rebels (Washington Post) [ Well, that's a plan … albeit after the fact … but, as that old saying goes … 'better late than never' … but it's still the 'what' that obscurely remains somewhat of a mystery ...  Al-Qaeda 100% Pentagon Run Infowars.com | There is plenty of evidence al-Qaeda works for the Pentagon and the CIA.      Former Libyan Al Qaeda Leader Says There Are 1000 jihadists Amongst Rebels Steve Watson | US, UK still want to supply them with weapons.        Constitutional Problems with the Libyan War Ron Paul | The costs of this terrible mistake cannot be ignored.      Obama Raises American Hypocrisy To A Higher Level Paul Craig Roberts | Gadhafi is being demonized while Bush/Cheney/Obama are sitting on their high horse draped in cloaks of morality.    Reuters: Obama Signs Secret Order Authorizing Covert CIA Support For Libyan Rebels Obama has signed secret order authorizing covert US govt support for rebel forces in Libya, officials tell Reuters.      Poll: Obama’s approval hits new low President Barack Obama’s approval rating and prospects for reelection have plunged to all-time lows in a Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday.     Americans worried about Libya conflict: poll A new poll published on Wednesday found nearly half of Americans were opposed to US military involvement in Libya, reflecting tricky political ground being navigated by President Barack Obama.   ] The Obama administration has sent teams to gather intelligence on the identity, goals and progress of rebel forces, according to U.S. officials.

 

 

Twice a victim of retail violence  (Washington Post) [ True americana … highest crime rates in the world by far, even not counting major crimes as on wall street with impunity sounding in corrupt immunity.  Though having but 5% of the world’s population, america can boast 76% of the world’s serial killers,          http://www.albertpeia.com/realifeamericaserialkillers.mpg     . Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on military spending than all the nations of the world combined... federal employees / contractors, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality  ( http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm ]:

CRIME STATISTICS > TOTAL CRIMES (MOST RECENT) BY COUNTRY   (america’s No. 1).

Rank  

Countries 

Amount 

 

# 1  

United States:

11,877,218 

 

# 2  

United Kingdom:

6,523,706 

 

# 3  

Germany:

6,507,394 

 

Financialization and Our Increasingly Unstable Economy Roche ‘.. I highly recommend it to anyone... It will certainly infuriate you...excellent job of showing how Wall Street and government have become overrun by deregulation and sheer greed. A combination of flawed economic theory and greed have combined to create the beast that we now call a “functioning” economy. The worst part of it all is that President Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place’  ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( what do holder and wobama have in common …  wall street money? … a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ?...all/some of the above … or is it something else ... a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...      In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ' Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

     
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv 

 

 

 

 

China’s criticism of Fed may get little traction at G-20 meeting  (Washington Post) [  Yeah … China's a bit too rational to  be given much of an ear by the corrupt, warring, defacto bankrupt euro-american luNATOns who are also too busy manufacturing 'paper' (fiat currency / 'securities') … Yet, others have taken notice …  This Fed Governor ADMITS the Federal Reserve is Anti-Capitalistic  [ No surprise here … the fed has literally destroyed the american free enterpise, capitalist system in favor of the frauds on wall street to the detriment of this and many other nations. ]  WSCS   3-30-11

'There is only one difference between a bad economist and a good one: the bad economist confines himself to the visible effect; the good economist takes into account both the effect that can be seen and those effects that must be foreseen… the bad economist pursues a small present good that will be followed by a great evil to come, while the good economist pursues a great good to come, at the risk of a small present evil.

Frederic Bastiat     Light Volume Rally Continues: Dave's Daily  ' ...The Fed has injected $500 billion (another $7B in POMO Wednesday) to the financial system since January 2011 and that wave of liquidity is overwhelming most thoughtful analysis... Sure it's the end of the quarter and a jam-job to close things out puts a smile on investors' faces and bonuses in portfolio managers' pockets. Painting the tape and window dressing is against the law … ADP data has misled before but Wall Street is awash with cash from on high and finds little other place to invest beyond stocks...'           M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you’      19 Reasons Why The Federal Reserve Is At The Heart Of Our Economic Problems  Most Americans don't understand what the Fed Reserve is or why it is at the heart of our economic problems. When Americans get into discussions about the economy, most of them still blame either the Democrats or Republicans for inflation, for the housing crash, for our rampant unemployment and for the national debt. The Economic Collapse]

 

Light Volume Rally Continues: Dave's Daily  ' It may be it's the stupid person that fights this trend reversal. The Fed has injected $500 billion (another $7B in POMO Wednesday) to the financial system since January 2011 and that wave of liquidity is overwhelming most thoughtful analysis. So, give it up to the beard! Sure it's the end of the quarter and a jam-job to close things out puts a smile on investors' faces and bonuses in portfolio managers' pockets. Painting the tape and window dressing is against the law but show me someone who's been caught. ADP data indicated job growth for Thursday's Jobless Claims data and Friday's all important Unemployment report. ADP data has misled before but Wall Street is awash with cash from on high and finds little other place to invest beyond stocks. Bull's are betting on a good report to close out the week, and if not, they're just April Fools. Only a hardy few are pumping this market higher as volume remains ultra-light. Of course, volume data isn't on your monthly brokerage statement since that would only confuse you, right? No, TPTB just wants you to see higher prices to boost your confidence...' Chemist charged with insider trading  (Washington Post) [ This remains incredulous to me. Everyone but the big boys / frauds! Not just corruption, but bad time /resource management. The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed (this would also help significantly the hapless, hopeless budget scenario).  Drop in home prices raises fear of double dip  (Washington Post) [ Fear of double dip? We're in a  continuing dip that never really ended with  obfuscations of reality including more insurmountable debt and fed-based manipulations (Dave explains infra)  Case-Shiller Chairman: Here’s Why the Housing Market Recession is Not Over Wall St Cheat Sheet 'Welcome to 2003! The  S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index 10-City Composite was down 2% and the 20-City Composite fell 3.1% in January on a year-over-year basis. On a monthly basis, the 10-City Composite was down 0.9% and the 20-City Composite fell 1.0% in January versus December 2010.San Diego and Washington D.C. were the only two markets to record positive year-over-year changes. However, San Diego was up a scant 0.1%, while Washington DC posted a healthier +3.6% annual growth rate. The same 11 cities that had posted recent index level lows in December 2010, posted new lows in January.

David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor’s commented:

“Keeping with the trends set in late 2010, January brings us weakening home prices with no real hope in sight for the near future. With this month’s data, we find the same 11 MSAs posting new recent index lows. The 10-City and 20-City Composites continue to decline month-over-month and have posted monthly declines for six consecutive months now.These data confirm what we have seen with recent housing starts and sales reports. The housing market recession is not yet over, and none of the statistics are indicating any form of sustained recovery . At most, we have seen all statistics bounce along their troughs; at worst, the feared double-dip recession may be materializing. ..., but both series have moved closer to a confirmed double-dip for six consecutive months. At this point we are not too far off, and that is what many analysts are seeing with sales, starts and inventory data too...'   M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you… (see infra)’    ] False / fake data / reports galore … High oil price rally! Come on! What total b*** s***! Previous rally sparked by upward revision of GDP by the scandal-scarred commerce department? You can’t believe anything these desperate self-servers say! This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s suckers’ rally on more bad/worse than expected news (consumer confidence down) provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come!    Fed to hold regular news conferences  (Washington Post) [ Wow! Just what everyone needed … more spoon-fed b*** s*** / jawboning by the flawed, flatulent, faultful fed … for the sake of fraudulent wall street … you do remember those 'no-recession' jawbone sessions that sent the prior bubble expanding faster than 'the big bang' itself … until every got and continues to get banged from the last bubble-fraud crash.   Chairman Bernanke’s move is part of efforts by the central bank to make the institution appear less secretive.   States target jobless benefits  (Washington Post)  Durable goods (leading indicator) 200% worse than expected, stocks rally. ‘ February Durable Goods Orders Disappoint  NEW YORK (TheStreet) Bharatwaj …’     This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding     BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows    ]  The government charged a chemist at the Food and Drug Administration Tuesday with insider trading.

 

 

 

5 Reasons to Be Bearish About the Market  The Dividend Guy '...  as economists say, there are a few clouds on the horizon:

Bearish Reason #1: Inflation in China

Considering their current economic growth, inflation in China is just normal. However, since China’s inflation is around 5% lately, rumors of interest rate increases and protectionism rise along with inflation (look at the graph, click to enlarge).

[chart  http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/30/saupload_china_inflation.png  ]

Since emerging markets growth (led by China & Brazil) is supporting the world’s economy, any news about restricting their economic pace will be bad news for North American stock markets.

Bearish Reason #2: Catastrophe and politics

You have seen what happened in Japan (catastrophe), Egypt and Libya (politics). When we hear about catastrophe, we think about economic slowdown. Uncertainty in both cases (catastrophe & political instability) has not been the best friend of the stock market. I guess this is why we saw a slump in the stock market each time we hear bad news about other countries.

Bearish Reason #3: Oil and other commodities’ prices rising

Speaking of which, political instability in Arab countries will obviously push the price of oil to higher levels. This is not a good thing for the overall economy as the cost of oil acts like a “natural” tax on the pockets of each individual. More tax = less money to spend = less economic growth. Obviously, investors don’t want to see that either.

Bearish Reason #4: Europe and their tight budgets

Another reason why the world’s wallet seems smaller is the austerity measures in several European countries. While they live like irresponsible teenagers being sponsored by their parents, some of them have to face the results of their oversights. Generous social programs, pension plans and a lack of rigor in the tax authorities combined created a huge gap in the Governments’ budgets. They are currently cutting everywhere and there is nothing to help consumers’ spending! Here’s a picture illustrating how indebted some countries are (click to enlarge):

[chart http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/30/saupload_european_debts.png  ]

Bearish Reason #5: US employment and housing prices

If you look at the US unemployment rate, you will notice that while the situation is better, we are hardly seeing an employment boom (click to enlarge):

[ chart  http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/30/saupload_us_unemployment_rate.png  ]

This is the same thing when we consider new construction (596,000 annualized as of March 2011 vs 2,100,000 at its peak a few years ago). In order to see the US market become more bullish, we will need stronger numbers from both employment and new construction in upcoming months.

Final thoughts: Bullish or Bearish?

As I have mentioned before, I do think that we will have a bullish 2011. However, it won’t be without market fluctuations. I think that we will have a strong VIX (volatility index)… and this will only create more investing opportunities .'

 

 

This Fed Governor ADMITS the Federal Reserve is Anti-Capitalistic  [ No surprise here … the fed has literally destroyed the american free enterpise, capitalist system in favor of the frauds on wall street to the detriment of this and many other nations. ]  Wall St Cheat Sheet   On Wednesday March 30, 2011, 12:23 pm EDT

'There is only one difference between a bad economist and a good one: the bad economist confines himself to the visible effect; the good economist takes into account both the effect that can be seen and those effects that must be foreseen… the bad economist pursues a small present good that will be followed by a great evil to come, while the good economist pursues a great good to come, at the risk of a small present evil.

Frederic Bastiat (1801-1850)

Nothing defined Alan Greenspan’s tenure as chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank more than his wholehearted embrace of capitalism .  With early roots in his 30-year association with the novelist and philosopher Ayn Rand , that faith grew into an unconstrained confidence in the free market and deregulation to steer the economy and ward off crises.

According to a current Fed governor, however, both Greenspan’s Fed and the Fed today have not been the stalwarts of capitalism that the Maestro believed them to be.

On March 7th, I had the great pleasure of listening to Thomas Hoenig speak at the Colorado CFA Society forecast dinner.  Hoenig, the only member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors who I respect, is the board’s lone rational dissenting voice.

After his speech, a lengthy Q&A, and a short conversation with him, I left the event even more impressed with him.

Hoeing was equally critical of both the Fed’s zero-interest rate policy and of QE2 .  He said these policies encourage speculation and don’t allow for price discovery, and consequently they lead to imbalances, unintended consequences, and misallocation of resources.

He said it is important to judge QE2’s success over the right time frame, one long enough to encompass not just its stimulative benefits but also its consequences.  (In other words, there is a good reason why we don’t judge steroids solely based on what they do for an athlete’s performance during the race, ignoring the strokes and other health problems they often cause after the race).

Throughout his speech, Hoenig warned that there are no shortcuts to greatness in monetary policy. The Fed’s intervention in the economy will have unintended consequences, and it is impossible to know where they’ll show up.  For example, Hoenig recalled that the Fed lowered the interest rate to 1% in 2003 and, though the economy was improving, kept rates low levels for over a year in order to bring unemployment below 6.5%.  The asset bubble that deflated in the financial crisis (NYSE:XLF) resulted, and today unemployment is 10%.

Hoenig’s comments are extremely important. I too believe that the Fed’s actions in 2003 played a very large role in the subsequent real estate bubble (NYSE:IYR), financial crisis, and today’s high unemployment, but this was the first time I’ve heard such an admission come directly from a Fed governor.  To the contrary, Greenspan has been outspoken in denying the role he and the Fed played in the crisis.

Hoeing said he questions whether quantitative easing , which failed in Japan (NYSE:EWJ), will work in the US (NYSE:SPY).  He bluntly stated that too-big-to-fail financial institutions like Citigroup (NYSE:C), Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC), JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM), and others should be broken up.  (I argued that point in this article.) Commercial banks are in charge of our domestic and international payments system, but their access to FDIC insurance and the Fed’s discount window (use of which swelled from $900 million to $3 trillion over the last two years), constitutes “an enormous protection” to the financial sector, encouraging risk-taking through an implicit guarantee in the event of a crisis or failure.

Smaller institutions that don’t have access to the Fed’s fund window have to compete in that space, and they start behaving and taking risks as if they have access to the window.  The walls between commercial and investment banks have been demolished, Hoenig argued, and the two functions within banks (NYSE:XLF) are now joined at the hip.  In the wake of this crisis, Hoeing said we did the same things we did after previous crises: added supervision and regulation and raised capital requirements. But history suggests that as time goes by we’ll forget about the crisis and history will repeat itself, he said – unless we break up too-big-to-fail institutions.

It is a fundamental tenant of American capitalism that central planning of economies doesn’t work in the long term, whether in Soviet Union historically or in China (NYSE:FXI) today. But I often wonder: How is the Fed’s Board of Governors – the proverbial 12 guys in a room – any different than the 24 guys in a room who make up the Chinese politburo? The non-democratic Chinese may have a few more levers to push – an ability to force banks to lend, for example – but short of that, how is the Fed’s micromanagement of interest rates any different from China’s? After Hoenig came off the stage, I posed the question to Hoenig, and I asked him point-blank whether the Federal Reserve is an anti-capitalistic entity.

To my shock, Hoenig agreed with me:  The Fed is anti-capitalistic.

I went further. In the midst of the 2008 financial crisis, to prevent the freezing up of the US financial system and possible bank runs, the Fed put in place QE1 – it purchased over a trillion dollars of mortgage and agency debt.  Like J.P. Morgan (NYSE:JPM) in the pre-Fed era, the Fed was the lender of last resort.  But QE2 is drastically different from QE1, because the banking system is far from choking, and now the Fed’s goal is to lower unemployment and grow the economy at a higher rate (here is my article on QE2).

I asked Hoenig if he thinks the Fed should stick to its mission as lender of last resort, as it was during QE1, letting the free market set interest rates.  He looked at me with an expression that implied he couldn’t have said it better himself and agreed.

I am very familiar with confirmation bias, our desire to seek out people with whom we agree.  But Hoenig is not your usual person; he is member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors , and he disagrees with almost everything that institution does.

Hoeing’s courage and principled vision elevate him to the status of a “good economist,” as defined by Frederic Bastiat over 150 years ago.  Let’s hope that his voice, in a room full of bad economists, does not fall entirely on deaf ears.

Vitaliy N. Katsenelson, CFA, is a portfolio manager/director of research at Investment Management Associates in Denver, Colo. He is the author of The Little Book of Sideways Markets. You can read more at his blog Contrarian Edge.

Don’t Miss: Exclusive Interview: How to Succeed in Sideways Markets – with Vitaliy Katsenelson.'
Caught On Tape: Fed Admits It is Private Knox Harrington | The Federal Reserve banking cartel is in fact a PRIVATE entity, and NOT Federal at all.    19 Reasons Why The Federal Reserve Is At The Heart Of Our Economic Problems  Most Americans do not understand what the Federal Reserve is or why it is at the heart of our economic problems. When Americans get into discussions about the economy, most of them still blame either the Democrats or the Republicans for inflation, for the housing crash, for our rampant unemployment and for the national debt. The Economic Collapse
March 30, 2011

Most Americans do not understand what the Federal Reserve is or why it is at the heart of our economic problems.  When Americans get into discussions about the economy, most of them still blame either the Democrats or the Republicans for inflation, for the housing crash, for our rampant unemployment and for the national debt.  But the truth is that the institution with the most power over our economic system is the Federal Reserve.  So exactly what is the Federal Reserve?  Most people would say that it is an agency of the federal government.  But that is absolutely not true.  In fact, the Federal Reserve itself has argued in court that it is not an agency of the federal government.  Rather, the Federal Reserve is a privately-owned banking cartel that has been given a perpetual monopoly over our monetary system by the U.S. Congress.  This privately-owned central bank has been destroying the value of the U.S. dollar for decades, it has run our economy into the ground and it has driven the U.S. government to the brink of bankruptcy.  The Federal Reserve operates in great secrecy, it has never been subjected to a comprehensive audit and it is not accountable to the American people.  Yet the decisions that the Federal Reserve makes have a dramatic impact on the lives of every single American citizen.

If you really want to understand what is causing our economic problems, it is absolutely crucial that you understand exactly what the Federal Reserve system is and how it is systematically destroying our economy.  Once you understand the truth about the Federal Reserve, you will view economic issues a whole lot differently.

The following are 19 reasons why the Federal Reserve is at the very heart of our economic problems….

#1 The Federal Reserve system is a debt-based financial system.

The way our system is designed, normally no money comes into existence without more debt being created.

But this creates a huge problem, because when a new dollar is created, the interest owed to the banking system on that dollar is not also created at the same time.

Therefore, the amount money that is created is not equal to the larger amount of debt that is also created.

This is a Ponzi scheme that is designed to drain wealth from the American people and transfer it to the banking system.

Today, the amount of debt in our economic system is far, far, far greater than the total amount of money.

The only way to keep the game going is to create even more money which creates even more debt.

#2 The Federal Reserve and the bankers have a monopoly on the creation of this debt-based money.

In the United States today, the only people that can create money are the bankers.

You cannot create money.

You would go to jail if you tried.

Even the U.S. government cannot create money.

Although the U.S. Constitution specifically gives Congress the power to create money, the U.S. Congress has given that power to the Federal Reserve and to the banking system.

This gives them an enormous amount of power.

So how does money creation actually work?

Most Americans don’t understand this.

As I have written about previously, the way our system is designed is that all money is supposed to originally come into existence as government debt….

When the government wants more money, the U.S. government swaps U.S. Treasury bonds for “Federal Reserve notes”, thus creating more government debt.  Usually the money isn’t even printed up – most of the time it is just electronically credited to the government.  The Federal Reserve creates these “Federal Reserve notes” out of thin air.  These Federal Reserve notes are backed by nothing and have no intrinsic value of their own.

The Federal Reserve then sells these U.S. Treasury bonds to investors, other nations (such as China) or sometimes they “sell” them back to themselves.  In fact, the Federal Reserve has been gobbling up a whole lot of U.S. Treasuries lately.  Some refer to this as “monetizing the debt”, but that is not quite an accurate statement.

When the Federal Reserve creates money this way, it does not also create the money to pay the interest on the debt that has been created.  Eventually this puts pressure on the U.S. government to borrow even more money to keep the game going.  So what this creates is a spiral where the U.S. government must keep borrowing increasingly larger amounts of money, where the money supply is endlessly expanding and where the value of the U.S. dollar is destined to continue going down forever.

Once “Federal Reserve Notes” are in circulation, there is another way that money is created.

It is called “fractional reserve lending”.

Once you or I deposit money into a bank, the bank is only required to keep a very small amount of it actually in the bank.  The rest of it the bank can loan out to others (at interest of course).  This process can be repeated over and over and over, creating more money and an even larger amount of debt.

But the important part to take away from all this is that normally money is only created when debt is created, and the amount of debt to be paid back is always larger than the amount of money created.

This entire system is designed to drain our wealth and to put it into the hands of the bankers.

#3 The power of money creation and debt creation is in the hands of private individuals – not the government.

The Federal Reserve claims that it is an “entity within the government, having both public purposes and private aspects.”

That sounds so reasonable, but the truth is that the Federal Reserve is a legalized banking cartel that is privately-owned.

In fact, the Federal Reserve is about as “federal” as Federal Express is.

In defending itself against a Bloomberg request for information under the Freedom of Information Act, the Federal Reserve objected by declaring that it was “not an agency” of the U.S. government and therefore it was not subject to the Freedom of Information Act.  It is kind of funny how Fed officials are always talking about how important their “independence” is, but whenever anyone starts criticizing them for being private they start stressing their ties with the government.

So who owns the Federal Reserve?

As the Federal Reserve’s own website describes, it is the member banks that own it….

The twelve regional Federal Reserve Banks, which were established by Congress as the operating arms of the nation’s central banking system, are organized much like private corporations–possibly leading to some confusion about “ownership.” For example, the Reserve Banks issue shares of stock to member banks. However, owning Reserve Bank stock is quite different from owning stock in a private company. The Reserve Banks are not operated for profit, and ownership of a certain amount of stock is, by law, a condition of membership in the System. The stock may not be sold, traded, or pledged as security for a loan; dividends are, by law, 6 percent per year.

In particular, as we will see below, the banks of the New York Federal Reserve have the most influence over the system.

So who owns the member banks?

Well, when you trace the ownership of the member banks to the very top you find that the international banking elite are very strongly represented.

#4 The Federal Reserve itself is not much of a profit-making institution.  Rather, it is a tool that enables others to make obscene amounts of money.

There are many that think of the Federal Reserve as an evil profit-making machine.  But the truth is that the Fed doesn’t make that much money.  Rather, the system was set up so that others could make an obscene amount of money from U.S. government debt.

Many of those opposed to the Federal Reserve point to the record $80.9 billion in profits that the Federal Reserve made last year as evidence that they are robbing the American people blind.  But then those defending the Federal Reserve will point out that the Fed returned $78.4 billion to the U.S. Treasury.

In the end, those numbers are not nearly as important as the hundreds of billions of dollars in interest that are made off of U.S. government debt each year.

If the U.S. government had been issuing debt-free money all this time, the U.S. government would likely not be spending one penny on interest payments.  Instead, the U.S. government spent over 413 billion dollars on interest on the national debt during fiscal 2010.  This is money that belonged to U.S. taxpayers that was transferred to the U.S. government which in turn was transferred to wealthy international bankers and other foreign governments.

This is where the magic of the Federal Reserve system is.  It is in getting the U.S. government enslaved to debt and using that debt to transfer hundreds of billions of dollars of our wealth into the hands of others.

As interest rates go up, this phenomenon is going to become even more brutal.  Right now it is being projected that the U.S. government will be paying900 billion dollars just in interest on the national debt by the year 2019.

As you fill out your tax return this year, just keep in mind that vast quantities of our money is going to pay interest on debt that the U.S. government never needed to become enslaved to.

There are some very happy people out there that are becoming fabulously wealthy at our expense.

What a system, eh?

#5 The Federal Reserve is a perpetual debt machine.

As mentioned above, the U.S. government is enslaved to debt.

So how did it get enslaved?

Well, instead of printing up and spending the money that it needs, the U.S. government borrows it through the Federal Reserve system at interest.

In fact, as noted above, the U.S. government cannot create a single new dollar without borrowing it.

But each new dollar that the U.S. government borrows creates more than a dollar of new debt.

As a result, the government eventually has to collect more in taxes than what it has borrowed.

This phenomenon creates an endless debt spiral.

And is that not what we have in the United States today?  In fact, you see this in almost every nation on earth where a similar central banking system has been established.

Did you know that the U.S. national debt is more than 5,000 times larger than it was 100 years ago?

That’s right – back in 1910, prior to the passage of the Federal Reserve Act, the national debt was only about $2.6 billion.

The only way that the U.S. government can inject more money into the economy is by going into more debt.  But when new government debt is created, the amount of money to pay the interest on that debt is not also created.  In this way, it was intended by the international bankers that U.S. government debt would expand indefinitely and the U.S. money supply would also expand indefinitely.  In the process, the international bankers would become insanely wealthy by lending money to the U.S. government.

However, things did not have to turn out this way.

If the Federal Reserve had never been created, and the U.S. government had been issuing debt-free currency all this time, it is entirely conceivable that we would have absolutely no federal government debt at this point.

Unfortunately, we are now trapped in a debt-based system.

The U.S. national debt simply cannot ever be paid off.  U.S. government debt has been mathematically designed to expand forever.  It is a trap from which there is no escape.

Sadly, we have now gotten to a terminal phase of the debt spiral.  The Congressional Budget Office is projecting that U.S. government debt held by the public will reach a staggering 716 percent of GDP by the year 2080.  Remember when I used the term “debt spiral” earlier?  This is what a debt spiral looks like….

[chart]

#6 The Federal Reserve system is designed to cause inflation.

As U.S. government debt expands at an exponential pace, it inevitably causes inflation.

Most Americans believe that inflation is a fact of life, but the truth is that the United States has only had a major, ongoing problem with inflation since the Federal Reserve was created back in 1913.

Sadly, the U.S. dollar has lost well over 95 percent of its value since the Federal Reserve was created.

If the Federal Reserve did not exist, it is theoretically conceivable that we could have an economy with little to no inflation.  Of course that would greatly depend on the discipline of our government officials (which is not very great at this point), but the sad truth is that our current system is always going to produce inflation.  In fact, the Federal Reserve system was originally designed to be inflationary.  Just check out the inflation chart posted below.  The U.S. never had massive problems with inflation before the Fed was created, but now it is just wildly out of control….

 

#7 The Federal Reserve has decided to play bizarre games with our money supply.

In a desperate attempt to revive the dying U.S. economy, the Federal Reserve has resorted to chucking gigantic quantities of cash into the financial system.

[chart]

Remember how earlier I explained that normally whenever new money is created that more debt is created?

Well, lately the Fed has been resorting to a trick called “quantitative easing”.  What “quantitative easing” means is that the Federal Reserve zaps massive amounts of money into existence out of thin air and starts spending it on anything that it wants to buy.  Lately, this has primarily been done to buy up U.S. government debt.

But isn’t that “monetizing the debt”?

Of course it is, and it is a blatant Ponzi scheme.

However, what is even more alarming is what this is doing to our money supply.

Just look at what has happened to our monetary base since about mid-2008….

[chart]

Does anyone in their right mind believe that this is not going to cause horrible inflation?

Right now most of the new cash is tied up in the financial system, but once it gets out into the regular economy watch out!

#8 The Federal Reserve is undemocratic.

In a previous article, I asked the following question:

“So what makes the central economic planning that the Federal Reserve does different from the central economic planning that communist China does?”

In both cases, a bunch of unelected elitists run the economy and make important economic decisions for the rest of us.

So what really is the difference?

#9 The Federal Reserve runs the U.S. economy.

Most Americans want to blame Obama or Bush or the U.S. Congress for the state of the economy.

But the truth is that it is the Federal Reserve that sets interest rates, it is the Federal Reserve that determines the money supply, it is the Federal Reserve that sets the “target rate” of inflation, it is the Federal Reserve that determines if unemployment is too high or too low and it is the Federal Reserve that watches over all of our banks.

Yes, Obama, Bush and the U.S. Congress all have things to answer for as well.

But none of them have the direct power over the economy that the Federal Reserve does.

#10 The Federal Reserve favors the big banks.

Not all financial institutions are treated equally by the Fed.

The truth is that the big banks (particularly those on Wall Street) are treated with great favor by the Federal Reserve.

If the Federal Reserve did not exist, the big Wall Street banks would not have such an overwhelming advantage.  Most Americans simply have no idea that over the last several years the Federal Reserve has been giving gigantic piles of nearly interest-free money to the big Wall Street banks which they turned right around and started lending to the federal government at a much higher rate of return.  I don’t know about you, but if I was allowed to do that I could make a whole bunch of money very quickly.  In fact, it has come out that the Federal Reserve made over $9 trillion in overnight loans to major banks, large financial institutions and other “friends” during the financial crisis of 2008 and 2009.

Wouldn’t you like to be able to zap trillions of dollars into existence and loan it out to your friends at very favorable terms?

Sadly, most of the “help” from the Federal Reserve always seems to go to the big boys.

When “small enough to fail” banks need assistance, they are usually told to go sell themselves to one of the big banks.

#11 The worse the debt problems caused by the Federal Reserve become, the more money the IRS needs to collect from the rest of us.

If the U.S. government could issue debt-free money, it is conceivable that we would not even need the IRS.  You doubt this?  Well, the truth is that the United States did just fine for well over a hundred years without a national income tax.  But about the same time the Federal Reserve was created a national income tax was instituted as well.  The whole idea was that the wealth of the American people would be transferred to the U.S. government by force and then transferred into the hands of the ultra-wealthy in the form of interest payments.

If the Federal Reserve was shut down, it is entirely possible that we would be able to shut down the IRS as well.

But the only way that the current system works is if massive amounts of wealth continue to be drained from the American people.

#12 The Federal Reserve creates artificial financial bubbles.

When you look back over the last several decades, you will find financial bubble after financial bubble.

So who created all of those bubbles?

It was the Federal Reserve.

The ridiculous policies of Greenspan and Bernanke have wrought disaster after disaster and yet most of our politicians still will not even consider major changes to the Federal Reserve.

#13 The Federal Reserve is anti-free market.

In a true free market system, the marketplace would determine what interest rates are.

In a true free market system, the marketplace would determine which financial institutions survive.

In a true free market system, artificial financial bubbles would be far less likely.

But we don’t have a true free market system.

#14 The Federal Reserve tells the rest of the our banks what to do.

Most Americans don’t understand just how much power the Federal Reserve actually has over our local banks.

For example, just last year Federal Reserve officials walked into one bank in Oklahoma and demanded that they take down all the Bible verses and all the Christmas buttons that the bank had been displaying.

#15 The people currently running the Federal Reserve pretty much have no idea what they are doing.

In case anyone has not noticed, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke hasa very long track record of incompetence.  Nearly every major judgment that he has made since taking over that position has been dead wrong.

If one of us could go down the street and appoint the manager of the local Dairy Queen as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, it is very doubtful that person would do a worse job than Bernanke has done.

#16 Even though the Federal Reserve has such extraordinary power over the financial system, the American people are not permitted to examine their books.

The Federal Reserve claims that they are regularly audited, but when some members of Congress attempted to push through a true comprehensive audit of the Fed last year Federal Reserve officials threw a hissy fit.

The truth is that the Federal Reserve has never undergone a true comprehensive audit since it was created back in 1913.

Whenever the subject of an audit comes up, Bernanke and others at the Fed keep repeating the mantra of how important “the independence of the Federal Reserve” is.

Sadly, Ron Paul’s proposal to audit the Federal Reserve last year, which had previously been co-sponsored by 320 members of the U.S. House of Representatives, ultimately failed by a vote of 229-198.

Instead, a very, very limited examination of Fed transactions that occurred during the recent financial crisis was approved.

So what did that limited examination reveal?

Well, the Federal Reserve was forced to reveal the details of 21,000 transactions stretching from December 2007 to July 2010 that combined were worth trillions of dollars.  It turns out that the Federal Reserve was just handing out gigantic piles of nearly interest-free cash to their friends at the largest banks, financial institutions and corporations all over the globe.

Many members of Congress were absolutely stunned by these revelations.

So what would a more comprehensive audit reveal?

#17 The Federal Reserve has way too much power.

If the Federal Reserve did not exist, we would not have an unelected, unaccountable “fourth branch of government” running around that has gotten completely and totally out of control.  Even some members of Congress are now openly complaining about how much power the Fed has.  For example, Ron Paul told MSNBC last year that he believes that the Federal Reserve is now more powerful than Congress…..

“The regulations should be on the Federal Reserve. We should have transparency of the Federal Reserve. They can create trillions of dollars to bail out their friends, and we don’t even have any transparency of this. They’re more powerful than the Congress.”

#18 The Federal Reserve is dominated by Wall Street and the New York banks.

The New York representative is the only permanent member of the Federal Open Market Committee, while other regional banks rotate in 2 and 3 year intervals.  The former head of the New York Fed, Timothy Geithner, is now U.S. Treasury Secretary.  The truth is that the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has always been the most important of the regional Fed banks by far, and in turn the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has always been dominated by Wall Street and the major New York banks.

The cold, hard reality of the matter is that the Federal Reserve is just another one of the tools that the Wall Street banking elite use to dominate all the rest of us.

#19 The Federal Reserve has brought us to the brink of economic collapse.

If the Federal Reserve had never been created, the American people would not be so enslaved to debt.  At the very core of our economic problems is debt.  American consumers are swamped with debt, state and local governments are facing horrific debt problems from coast to coast and the federal government has piled up the biggest mountain of debt in the history of the world.

We are living in an absolutely massive debt bubble, and when it bursts the world is going to experience financial chaos like it has never seen before.

Things did not have to turn out this way.  We did not have to adopt a debt-based financial system.  We did not have to allow the bankers to enslave us with debt.

But that is what happened.

Sadly, most Americans and the vast majority of our politicians are still clueless about these issues.

In 1922, Henry Ford wrote the following….

“The people must be helped to think naturally about money. They must be told what it is, and what makes it money, and what are the possible tricks of the present system which put nations and peoples under control of the few.”

Hopefully this article will help people understand our debt-based financial system a little bit better.

Until we fundamentally change our system, many of the economic and financial problems we are currently experiencing will never go away.

Thankfully, it does appear that some Americans are waking up.

According to a recent Bloomberg National Poll, the number of Americans that would like to see the Federal Reserve held more accountable or even completely abolished is increasing….

Asked if the central bank should be more accountable to Congress, left independent or abolished entirely, 39 percent said it should be held more accountable and 16 percent that it should be abolished. Only 37 percent favor the status quo.

Those are very exciting numbers.

Hopefully we can awaken many more Americans to the dangers of a debt-based economy.

In the book of Proverbs, it tells us the following….

The rich ruleth over the poor, and the borrower is servant to the lender.

Well, by allowing ourselves to become enslaved to debt, we have become the servants of the international banking system.

Not only that, we have also sold our children and our grandchildren into perpetual debt slavery.

Thomas Jefferson tried to warn us about this.

He believed that when the government borrows money in one generation which must be paid back by future generations it is equivalent to stealing….

And I sincerely believe, with you, that banking establishments are more dangerous than standing armies; and that the principle of spending money to be paid by posterity, under the name of funding, is but swindling futurity on a large scale.

In fact, Thomas Jefferson said that if he could add one more amendment to the U.S. Constitution it would be a ban on all government borrowing….

I wish it were possible to obtain a single amendment to our Constitution. I would be willing to depend on that alone for the reduction of the administration of our government to the genuine principles of its Constitution; I mean an additional article, taking from the federal government the power of borrowing.

Where would we be today if we had listened to Thomas Jefferson?

The amount of government debt that we have racked up is a great evil.  We have stolen the future away from our children and our grandchildren.  We have put them in a position where they will spend the rest of their lives paying off our debts to the bankers.

We owe it to future generations to fix the problems that we have created.

That is why so many of us believe that it is time for the U.S. Congress to shut down the Federal Reserve.  Our current financial system is a complete and utter failure and we need to start over.'

 

 


Consumer Spending and the Debt Problem  Econophile '… The real story of this chart is the high level of debt. If we just focus on the last three years, we get a skewed sense of the data. But since the 2001 recession, consumers added $800 billion in consumer debt (i.e., doesn't include mortgage debt), about a 44% increase in seven years. Total household debt (consumer and mortgage debt) grew from $7,659 trillion, or 75% of GDP ($10,205.6) in 2001 to $13,803 trillion, or 95% of GDP ($14,061.8) in 2007. (All numbers come from latest NIPA tables.)

This is a problem. Consumers will continue to shed debt, not just by walking away from mortgages on underwater homes, but by paying down their consumer debt. As David Stockman pointed out in his article today, 78 million Boomers are headed toward retirement and it is unlikely that they will take on more debt. Stockman raises the obvious question: where has the post-crash increase in spending been coming from? His answer: government transfer payments of about $500 million. I would add to that spending from upper tier of income earners, the ones who are driving "luxury" goods sales as noted in the sales reports, plus the draw down in savings by average consumers. Regardless, we know how the $500 million was paid for: federal deficit spending and consequent borrowing.

If the near and distant future is fiscal sanity by Boomers, then where is consumer spending coming from? Will it be from the younger generations who continue to pile up student loans? It depends, but not likely in the near term and they struggle with debt. How long can we assume that the government will continue to fund deficit spending at the expense of future generations? My guess is: not long. We are heading toward fiscal crisis unless the Republicans can tame federal spending. And unless savings continue to grow and household debt service is substantially reduced, we have a problem with long-term economic growth in America.'

 

 

Home Prices Continue to Decline; How Low Can They Go? Suttmeier 'The S&P Case Shiller Home Price Index shows continued declines in home values. Keep an eye on Dow Transports and Dow Industrials as additional strength puts the focus on another Dow Theory Buy Signal. Stocks remain overvalued according to ValuEngine so stock strength is not supported by fundamentals.

The S&P Case Shiller Home Price Index -- I focus on the 20-city composite which declined 3.1% year over year to just 1.1% above the April 2009 low. From the mid-2006 high this index declined 31.8%. The index began in the year 2000 at 100 and now reads 140.86. My prediction since the end of the home buyer tax credits is that home prices as measured by the S&P Case Shiller Home Price Index will decline back to 100 to clear out the existing home inventory and inventory still to come from additional foreclosures, short sales, and sales of Other Real Estate Owned (OREO) by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the FDIC-insured financial institutions. This would be a decline of 29% from current home values. On the FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile for the fourth quarter of 2010, OREO totals $52.8 billion.

[chart]

Tracking Dow Theory  -- The Dow Transports is within striking distance of a potential close above its February 17 closing high at 5298.10. If that happens and is followed by the Dow Industrial Average closing above its February 18 closing high at 12,391.25, we will have a Dow Theory Buy Signal. The Dow Industrials and Dow Transports are only 0.9% below their February 18 and February 17 highs with the other major averages further below their February highs; S&P 500 by 1.8%, NASDAQ by 2.9%, NASDAQ 100 3.3%, Russell 2000 by 1.0% and the SOX by 7.0%.

The Trading Range Scenario -- It appears that the Dow Industrial Average, which did not turn negative on its weekly chart, will stay in a trading range between its March 16 low at 11,555.48 and its February 18 high at 12,391.29. Strength can stretch to this week’s risky level at 12,488, which would still be a high below 12,600. Given weakness a close below the five-week modified moving average at 12,038 this week and rising shifts the weekly chart profile to negative, which would target my annual risky level at 11,491. New monthly and quarterly levels will be available Friday.

Stocks Remain Overvalued Fundamentally -- We are not operating under a ValuEngine Valuation Warning, but 60.8% of all stocks are overvalued. In addition all 16 sectors are overvalued with five by double-digit percentages.

10-Year Note -- (3.493) The short-term rise in yields moved above its 50-day simple moving average at 3.463. This yield was as low as 3.139 on March 16. Rising yields is a drag on equity valuations. The weekly chart shows an important support at the 200-week simple moving average at 3.554. Today’s value level is 3.548.

[chart]

Comex Gold -- ($1417.7) Gold has been fading since reaching its new all time high at $1448.6 on March 24. The 50-day simple moving average is $1387.0 with daily, semiannual and weekly risky levels at $1444.2, $1452.6 and $1469.8.

[chart]

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($104.78) The daily chart shows a potential double-top just shy of my semiannual risky level at $107.14. My annual pivots are $101.92 and $99.91. My weekly pivot is $105.31. Today’s risky level is $106.99. A close below $99.91 signals a double-top for crude oil.

[chart]

The Euro -- (1.4105) The weekly chart shows the euro overbought versus the dollar with the 200-week simple moving average as support at 1.3967. The 50-day is 1.3798 with a weekly pivot at 1.4119 and the November 4th high as resistance at 1.4281. Today’s risky level is 1.4257.

[chart]

Daily Dow -- (12,279) My annual value level lags at 11,491 with the February 18 closing high at 12,391.25 and daily and weekly risky levels at 12,480 and 12,488. Given a Dow Theory Buy Signal and a new high for the laggard SOX, the upside is to my annual risky level at 13,890. Without a Dow Theory Buy and given a weekly close below 11,491 the downside is to semiannual value levels at 10,959 and 9,449. The Dow is the only major average to hit a new high since its March 16 low at 11,555.48. After all the positive hype in March the Dow is up only 53 points month to date.

[chart]

Key Levels for the Other Major Equity Averages

·      The S&P 500 (1319.4) My annual value level is 1210.7 with the 50-day simple moving average at 1306.58 and daily and weekly risky levels at 1335.5 and 1353.7. The S&P 500 needs to close Thursday above 1327.2 to achieve a positive March.

·      The NASDAQ (2757) The 50-day simple moving average is 2743 with daily and weekly risky levels at 2795 and 2830. The NASDAQ needs to close Thursday above 2782 to achieve a positive March.

·      The NASDAQ 100 (NDX) (2326) The 50-day simple moving average is 2318 with daily and weekly risky levels at 2351 and 2389. The NDX needs to close Thursday above 2351 to achieve a positive March.

·      Dow Transports (5261) My annual pivot is 5179 with weekly and daily risky levels at 5295 and 5324, and the February 17 closing high at 5298.10. The Dow Transportation Average is the first major average to become overbought since its March 15 low at 4906.63.

·      The Russell 2000 (829.49) My annual value level is 784.16 with daily and weekly risky levels at 847.65 and 857.75. The Russell 2000 is positive for March above 823.45.

·      The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) (441.04) I show no nearby value levels with the five-week modified moving average at 439.10 and the 50-day simple moving average at 445.66, and daily and weekly risky levels at 446.10 and 459.29. Semiconductors need to provide leadership, but are lagging. The SOX needs to close Thursday above 458.62 to achieve a positive March.'


 

 

 

OPEC Could Reap $1 Trillion This Year National Journal | OPEC is set to make a record-breaking $1 trillion in export revenues this year.

 

Fragile Budget Talks Resume as Parties Trade ‘Extreme’ Label Fox | Fragile budget negotiations have resumed on Capitol Hill.

 

Treasuries Decline After Bullard Says Fed Should Review QE2 Bloomberg | Treasuries fell, pushing 10-year yields to the highest in more than two weeks.

 

On NBC, the missing story about parent company General Electric It’s the kind of accountability journalism that makes readers raise an eyebrow, if it doesn’t raise their blood pressure first. General Electric Co., reported the New York Times last week, earned $14.2 billion in worldwide profits last year, including $5.1 billion in the United States — and paid exactly zero dollars in federal taxes.

Ron Paul & Rand Paul Voice Concerns Over Government Spending Congressman Ron Paul joins Neil Cavuto to discuss the potential of a government shutdown, his concern for spending, the implications of the current political climate, the consequences of fiscal irresponsibility and hope for reform, and the pending threat of price inflation. Senator Rand Paul joins Neil Cavuto to discuss the current virtual stalemate in Wisconsin, the financial reality of tax-payer dependent unions, and piecemeal attempts at trimming the fat in Washington.

Broke And Getting Broker: 22 Jaw Dropping Statistics About The Financial Condition Of American Families Most American families are really struggling in this economy and they see most of the families around them really struggling, but they don’t have any hard numbers to back up the feelings of economic despair that they are experiencing.

 

The American Dream March 30, 2011 'Most American families are really struggling in this economy and they see most of the families around them really struggling, but they don’t have any hard numbers to back up the feelings of economic despair that they are experiencing.  Well, below you will find 22 statistics that prove that American families are broke and getting broker.  Today, the financial condition of most middle class families is rapidly deteriorating.  The number of good jobs is declining, incomes are down, debt loads are up and bankruptcies and foreclosures just continue to increase.  If you step back and really examine the statistics, it becomes really hard to deny that American families are getting poorer.  Well, the wealthiest 5 percent are still thriving, but everyone else is really having a tough time.  The truth is that a large percentage of the U.S. middle class is slowly but surely going broke.  Unfortunately, this is being caused by long-term economic trends that simply are not going to be fixed overnight.

Most Americans had just assumed that the United States would always have a dominant, prosperous economy.  But in the world we live in today there are no guarantees.

The era when almost anyone could find a good job is over.  Millions of good jobs have already left the United States, and vast numbers of legal and illegal workers have been shipped in to the country to compete for the jobs that are still here.

There are millions of Americans that would give just about anything for a good job right about now.  But the good jobs are very few and far between at this point.

Every day there is more depressing news.  For example, a recent job fair in Massachusetts was shut down because of a lack of jobs.

In fact, with jobs so scarce these days, more Americans than ever are willing to work for free.

This is not just a “recession” or an “economic downturn”.  The U.S. economy is fundamentally changing for the worse.  Millions of American families are already experiencing economic despair and millions more will be experiencing it very soon.

The following are 22 jaw dropping statistics about the financial condition of American families….

#1 In 2010, one out of every eight American families had at least one family member that was unemployed.  In fact, the figure for 2010 was the highest it has been since the U.S. Labor Department began keeping track of this statistic back in 1994.

#2 According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, more than 8 million Americansare working part-time jobs because they can’t get full-time jobs.

#3 There are now more than 6 million Americans that the government sayshave given up looking for work completely.

#4 After accounting for inflation, the average income for an American family has fallen 5 percent since the year 2000.

#5 According to the New York Times, as of 2009 the wealthiest 5 percent of all Americans had 63.5 percent of all the wealth in America.  Meanwhile, the bottom 80 percent had just 12.8 percent of all the wealth.

#6 During this most recent economic downturn, employee compensation in the United States has been the lowest that it has been relative to gross domestic product in over 50 years.

#7 According to the Federal Reserve, between 2007 and 2009 median household net worth in the United States fell by 23 percent.

#8 The Federal Reserve also says that median household debt in the United States has risen to $75,600.

#9 Total U.S. credit card debt is more than 8 times larger than it was just 30 years ago.

#10 Today, 46% of all Americans carry a credit card balance from month to month.

#11 Of U.S. households that have credit card debt, the average amount owed on credit cards is $15,788.

#12 Americans now owe more than $887 billion on student loans, which is even more than they owe on credit cards.

#13 A staggering 25 percent of all American adults now have a credit score below 599.

#14 When you adjust wages for inflation, middle class workers in the United States make less money today than they did back in 1971.

#15 American workers that are unemployed are nearly twice as likely to have been told by a doctor or a nurse that they suffer from depression.

#16 In 2010, for the first time ever more than a million U.S. families lost their homes to foreclosure, and that number is expected to go even higher in 2011.

#17 According to RealtyTrac, one out of every 45 U.S. households was hit with a foreclosure filing in 2010.

#18 U.S. home values have fallen an astounding 6.3 trillion dollars since the peak of the real estate market.  Most of that pain has been felt by ordinary American families.

#19 Approximately half of all American workers make $25,000 a year or less.

#20 According to a survey released very close to the end of 2010, 55 percentof all Americans are now living paycheck to paycheck.

#21 1.5 million Americans filed for bankruptcy in 2010.  That represented the fourth yearly increase in bankruptcy filings in a row.

#22 As 2007 began, only about 26 million Americans were on food stamps, but today over 44 million Americans are on food stamps which is an all-time record high.'

 

 

 

National / World

 

Al-Qaeda 100% Pentagon Run Infowars.com | There is plenty of evidence al-Qaeda works for the Pentagon and the CIA.

Former Libyan Al Qaeda Leader Says There Are 1000 jihadists Amongst Rebels Steve Watson | US, UK still want to supply them with weapons.

Fukushima Nuke Plant Now in Full Meltdown Kurt Nimmo | Smoke was reported at a second nuclear power plant in Japan today.

Constitutional Problems with the Libyan War Ron Paul | The costs of this terrible mistake cannot be ignored.

Obama Raises American Hypocrisy To A Higher Level Paul Craig Roberts | Gadhafi is being demonized while Bush/Cheney/Obama are sitting on their high horse draped in cloaks of morality.

 

Syrian President Blames ‘Conspirators’ for Unrest WSJ | Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad blamed foreign enemies for plotting unrest in Syria.

 

Japan Considers Entombing Nuclear Plant as Workers Fight to Stop Radiation Bloomberg | Japan will consider entombing its crippled atomic plant in concrete.

 

Reactors now leaking plutonium into soil New York Post | “The situation is very grave,” Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano said today.

 

London set to limit right to protest Press TV | Plans to ban protesters from taking part in public gatherings.

 

Reuters: Obama Signs Secret Order Authorizing Covert CIA Support For Libyan Rebels Obama has signed secret order authorizing covert US govt support for rebel forces in Libya, officials tell Reuters.

Former Libyan Al Qaeda Leader Says There Are 1000 jihadists Amongst Rebels A former leader of an al Qaeda linked group in Libya claims that there are around 1000 fundamentalist Islamic fighters in the country that have joined the uprising against Col. Moammar Gaddafi’s forces, a number that jives with intelligence reports and independent estimates. Yet still the allied NATO forces are considering arming the rebels.

Poll: Obama’s approval hits new low President Barack Obama’s approval rating and prospects for reelection have plunged to all-time lows in a Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday.

Americans worried about Libya conflict: poll A new poll published on Wednesday found nearly half of Americans were opposed to US military involvement in Libya, reflecting tricky political ground being navigated by President Barack Obama.

Qaeda: Arab revolts herald “great leap forward” Al Qaeda’s most influential English-language preacher said revolts sweeping the Arab world would help rather than harm its cause by giving Islamists freed from tyranny greater scope to speak out.

A New Chernobyl: Fukushima Nuke Plant Now in Full Meltdown Reactor number two at the Fukushima Daiichi has gone into full meltdown, although this is not being reported by the corporate media. The core has melted through the floor of the containment building and is now releasing large amounts of radiation.

CIA Operative Appointed to Run al-Qaeda Connected Libyan Rebels On Saturday, McClatchy reported that Khalifa Hifter, a former Gaddafi military officer, was appointed to lead the rebel army supported by the United Nations, the United States and the Globalist Coalition.

Obama Raises American Hypocrisy To A Higher Level What does the world think? Obama has been using air strikes and drones against civilians in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Yemen, and probably Somalia.

 

Government Responds to Nuclear Accident by Trying to Raise Acceptable Radiation Levels and Pretending that Radiation is Good For Us So now that Japan is suffering the worst nuclear accident since Chernobyl – if not of all time – is the government riding to the rescue to help fix the problem, or at least to provide accurate information to its citizens so they can make informed decisions?

 

 

Drudgereport: Obama 2002: Toppling a Brutal Dictator Is 'A Dumb War'...
OBAMA POLL HITS NEW LOW...
EPA Says Radiation Found in U.S. Milk...
Inflation worries push consumer confidence lower...
Home prices STILL falling in cities...
13% of all U.S. homes are vacant...
REBELS ON THE RUN
OBAMA DEFENDS...
'World Conscience'...
New Committee to Set Libya's 'Political Direction'...
U.S. says rebels may sell oil?
Brits fear becoming another Iraq...
Gadhafi tells West to halt 'barbaric genocide'...
Camp Lejeune Marines sent to Libya...
Clinton, Hague meet senior 'rebel' figure...
Intelligence shows 'flickers' of al Qaeda...
MAG: NEW 'KILL TEAM' PHOTOS RELEASED...

REPORT: U.S. soldiers hacked off part of dead man's skull?
HORROR: Cut off 15-year-old boy's finger and kept as trophy...[We all knew the u.s. Military was recruiting / is now composed of felons, war criminals, etc.; but clearly, these are the blatant signs of serial killers – then that 360 tons of $100 bills still missing in Iraq, etc., serial thieves, particularly at the top down.)...

VIDEO: Two on motorcycle gunned down...***WARNING: GRAPHIC***
PHOTOS...
500,000 MARCH IN LONDON TO PROTEST BUDGET CUTS...
Turns violent; Anarchists blitz the Ritz...
ANARCHY IN THE UK
NOT DAYS, NOT WEEKS -- LIBYA OP TO LAST MONTHS...

NATO likely to expand mission...
Energized Muslim Brotherhood eyes a prize...
Unrest in Syria, Jordan Poses New Test...
Clinton: U.S. won't intervene...
REPORTER CONFINED IN CLOSET DURING BIDEN'S FLA FUNDRAISER...

'Extremely inappropriate'...
OBAMA DEFENDS...

'America has played a unique role as an anchor of global security'... NOT IN OVAL OFFICE...
NETS BALKED AT PRIMETIME ADDRESS...
HILLARY OFF TO LONDON TOWN...
WAR COST: $600 MILLION, IN 6 DAYS...
Radiation levels at nuclear plant reach new highs...
100,000X NORMAL...
Radioactive Water Extends One Mile Into Ocean...
Trace Amounts Found in Florida...
At the gates of stricken Fukushima nuke plant...
Radiation levels highest since crisis began...
'Bad Readings' Plague Effort...
Concern grows over sea contamination...
Tokyo blackouts to resume Monday...
Radioactivity detected in China...
And Nevada... And SC, Fla... And Mass...
Gaps in US radiation monitoring system revealed...
Four of EPA's 11 Sensors in CA Were Down...
Obama says he didn't know of fed op smuggling guns into Mexico...
SOROS GROUP PLOTS 'GUERILLA WAR', 'SABOTAGE' ON FOXNEWS...

AL QAEDA FIGHTERS JOIN LIBYAN REBELS...
'Al Qaeda snatched missiles'...
Boehner: Obama needs to 'provide clarity' on military objective...
U.S. officials assisted visit by Gadhafi son just before uprising...
Despite airstrikes, Tripoli residents live in terror...
British Minister Warns of Another Lockerbie...
'Black Swan' double claims Portman did only 5% of dance shots...'The ballerina who served as a dancing double for Natalie Portman’s Oscar-winnning role in Black Swan tells EW she has been the victim of a “cover-up” to mislead the public about how much dancing Portman actually did in the film. “Of the full body shots, I would say 5 percent are Natalie,” says Sarah Lane, 27, an American Ballet Theatre soloist who performed many of the film’s complicated dance sequences, allowing Portman’s face to be digitally grafted onto her body. “All the other shots are me.”

Lane’s claim follows a March 23 L.A. Times article in which Portman’s fiancé and Black Swan choreographer Benjamin Millepied said Lane’s work in the film was far less significant. “There are articles now talking about her dance double [American Ballet Theatre dancer Sarah Lane] that are making it sound like [Lane] did a lot of the work, but really, she just did the footwork, and the fouettés, and one diagonal [phrase] in the studio,” he said. “Honestly, 85 percent of that movie is Natalie.”

Lane disagrees. “The shots that are just her face with arms, those shots are definitely Natalie,” she says. “But that doesn’t show the actual dancing.” Lane admits that she was never promised a particular title for her six weeks of work on the film, though she was disappointed to see that she is credited only as as “Hand Model,” “Stunt Double,” and “Lady in the Lane” (a brief walk-on role).

Lane also says that Black Swan producer Ari Handel specifically told her not to talk about her work to the press, even though she claims there was no such stipulation in her contract. “They wanted to create this idea in people’s minds that Natalie was some kind of prodigy or so gifted in dance and really worked so hard to make herself a ballerina in a year and a half for the movie, basically because of the Oscar,” says Lane. “It is demeaning to the profession and not just to me. I’ve been doing this for 22 years…. Can you become a concert pianist in a year and a half, even if you’re a movie star?”...'

 

 

 

House GOP leaders turn to Dems for deal(Washington Post) [ Of Dees, Dems, Does, and Gops … Sounds like a plan … Not! … The people are still hoping, praying … will their dream come true? … Government shutdown looms-Paul Kane (Washington Post) [ Shutdown? ... One can only hope, and pray ... after all, they can't muck up what they're not in session to f*** up ... Government shutdown looms Paul Kane (Washington Post)  ]Unable to find consensus within their own ranks, House Republican leaders have begun courting moderate Democrats on a budget deal to avoid a government shutdown next week.

 

On NBC, the missing story about GE  (Washington Post) [ Ya think! … Seriously though, this is as important a story as can be since these scenarios have been a significant problem for the pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt u.s. for quite some time. After all, there are no Washington Posts in the Northeast to cover their denizens quite like the Washington Post fearlessly covers theirs (ie., that not too long ago story of the ubiquity of top level clearances, 'cia ops / covers' (real estate / businesses), in the Washington metropolitan area, literally putting their lives on the line so to speak. In the northeast, sinkholes new york (they even did a book 'The Wall Street Gang' and movies, ie., 'Gangs of New York', fact-based 'Goodfellas', etc.) / mob infested jersey (I've not been to chicago, but count them in here) particularly, it's what is not said that invariably stands out to the substantial detriment of the rest of the nation. The day in, day out continued churn and earn wall street fraud at a total cost yet to be fully realized by the rest of the nation to support those lavish / overly high-cost lifestyles will not make for front-page reading in the wall street journal, new york times, etc., nor the lead story if at all on the 6 / 11 o'clock news. Therein lies the rub, and the need for alternate media sources so castigated and belittled by the main-stream news media, particularly in those regions which have a lot to hide (and not talk about). Sadly, the internet is increasingly targeted toward the end of silencing those who brave to tell the truth. One might hope that The Washington Post might enter the televised news sphere with waivers based on national need.] “NBC Nightly News” didn’t report on the fact that its parent company paid no federal taxes last year.

 

 

Drop in home prices raises fear of double dip  (Washington Post) [ Fear of double dip? We're in a  continuing dip that never really ended with  obfuscations of reality including more insurmountable debt and fed-based manipulations (Dave explains infra)  Case-Shiller Chairman: Here’s Why the Housing Market Recession is Not Over Wall St Cheat Sheet 'Welcome to 2003! The  S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index 10-City Composite was down 2% and the 20-City Composite fell 3.1% in January on a year-over-year basis. On a monthly basis, the 10-City Composite was down 0.9% and the 20-City Composite fell 1.0% in January versus December 2010.

San Diego and Washington D.C. were the only two markets to record positive year-over-year changes. However, San Diego was up a scant 0.1%, while Washington DC posted a healthier +3.6% annual growth rate. The same 11 cities that had posted recent index level lows in December 2010, posted new lows in January.

David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor’s commented:

“Keeping with the trends set in late 2010, January brings us weakening home prices with no real hope in sight for the near future. With this month’s data, we find the same 11 MSAs posting new recent index lows. The 10-City and 20-City Composites continue to decline month-over-month and have posted monthly declines for six consecutive months now.

These data confirm what we have seen with recent housing starts and sales reports. The housing market recession is not yet over, and none of the statistics are indicating any form of sustained recovery . At most, we have seen all statistics bounce along their troughs; at worst, the feared double-dip recession may be materializing. ..., but both series have moved closer to a confirmed double-dip for six consecutive months. At this point we are not too far off, and that is what many analysts are seeing with sales, starts and inventory data too...'   M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you… (see infra)’    ]

 

 

 

 

Rebels in ‘tactical’ retreat as leaders meet  (Washington Post) [ Tactical … riiiiight! … Well, that sounds like a plan … right out of the manuals on trench warfare from WWI … works every time … you know, those manual tactics … meanwhile, back at the other american induced wartime disasters ...

Iraqi insurgents kill dozens in Tikrit

Taliban seizes eastern Afghan district      

Drudgereport: Inflation worries push consumer confidence lower...
Home prices STILL falling in cities...
13% of all U.S. homes are vacant...
REBELS ON THE RUN
OBAMA DEFENDS...
'World Conscience'...
New Committee to Set Libya's 'Political Direction'...
U.S. says rebels may sell oil?
Brits fear becoming another Iraq...
Gadhafi tells West to halt 'barbaric genocide'...
Camp Lejeune Marines sent to Libya...
Clinton, Hague meet senior 'rebel' figure...
Intelligence shows 'flickers' of al Qaeda...
MAG: NEW 'KILL TEAM' PHOTOS RELEASED...
REPORT: U.S. soldiers hacked off part of dead man's skull?
HORROR: Cut off 15-year-old boy's finger and kept as trophy...[We all knew the u.s. Military was recruiting / is now composed of felons, war criminals, etc.; but clearly, these are the blatant signs of serial killers – then that 360 tons of $100 bills still missing in Iraq, etc., serial thieves, particularly at the top down.)...

VIDEO: Two on motorcycle gunned down...***WARNING: GRAPHIC***
PHOTOS...
500,000 MARCH IN LONDON TO PROTEST BUDGET CUTS...
Turns violent; Anarchists blitz the Ritz...
ANARCHY IN THE UK
NOT DAYS, NOT WEEKS -- LIBYA OP TO LAST MONTHS...
NATO likely to expand mission...
Energized Muslim Brotherhood eyes a prize...
Unrest in Syria, Jordan Poses New Test...
Clinton: U.S. won't intervene...
REPORTER CONFINED IN CLOSET DURING BIDEN'S FLA FUNDRAISER...
'Extremely inappropriate'...
OBAMA DEFENDS...]

Libyan rebels flee under fire from a key town in eastern Libya as world leaders convening in London insisted that Col. Moammar Gaddafi step down but offered no new suggestions for how to dislodge him from power.

 

 

Chemist charged with insider trading  (Washington Post) [ This remains incredulous to me. Everyone but the big boys / frauds!Not just corruption, but bad time /resource management.The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed (this would also help significantly the hapless, hopeless budget scenario).  

 

High oil price rally! Come on! What total b*** s***! Previous rally sparked by upward revision of GDP by the scandal-scarred commerce department? You can’t believe anything these desperate self-servers say! This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s suckers’ rally on more bad/worse than expected news (consumer confidence down) provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come!    Fed to hold regular news conferences  (Washington Post) [ Wow! Just what everyone needed … more spoon-fed b*** s*** / jawboning by the flawed, flatulent, faultful fed … for the sake of fraudulent wall street … you do remember those 'no-recession' jawbone sessions that sent the prior bubble expanding faster than 'the big bang' itself … until every got and continues to get banged from the last bubble-fraud crash.  M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you… (see infra)’   ] Chairman Bernanke’s move is part of efforts by the central bank to make the institution appear less secretive.   States target jobless benefits  (Washington Post)  Durable goods (leading indicator) 200% worse than expected, stocks rally. ‘ February Durable Goods Orders Disappoint  NEW YORK (TheStreet) Bharatwaj …’     This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding     BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows    ]  The government charged a chemist at the Food and Drug Administration Tuesday with insider trading.

 

 

High oil price rally! Come on! What total b*** s***! Previous rally sparked by upward revision of GDP by the scandal-scarred commerce department? You can’t believe anything these desperate self-servers say! This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s suckers’ rally on more bad/worse than expected news (consumer confidence down) provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed (this would also help significantly the hapless, hopeless budget scenario).     Fed to hold regular news conferences  (Washington Post) [ Wow! Just what everyone needed … more spoon-fed b*** s*** / jawboning by the flawed, flatulent, faultful fed … for the sake of fraudulent wall street … you do remember those 'no-recession' jawbone sessions that sent the prior bubble expanding faster than 'the big bang' itself … until every got and continues to get banged from the last bubble-fraud crash. What do you expect these incompetent, fraudulent criminals / accomplices to say? That they haven't the slightest clue what they're doing and the damage they've already done? Come on! The more they speak, the less you really know; and, to borrow from that old saying / cliché … how do you know they're lying?... answer: 'their lips are moving'... They lie all the time … sometimes even when they don't have to.   M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you… (see infra)’   ] Chairman Bernanke’s move is part of efforts by the central bank to make the institution appear less secretive.   States target jobless benefits  (Washington Post) [ Sounds like a plan … from h**l … after all, beyond the rhetoric, propaganda, fake data / reports, etc., the only real manufacturing going on in pervasively corrupt / defacto bankrupt america is ever more worthless fiat paper currency, new fangled wall street paper / securities / toxic asset bubble-frauds, etc..   Unemployment numbers from the labored labor department? The ‘expiration / stopped looking, everyone’, at best. How can anyone believe anything the pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt u.s. government says. Durable goods (leading indicator) 200% worse than expected, stocks rally. ‘ February Durable Goods Orders Disappoint  NEW YORK (TheStreet) Bharatwaj …’     This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? … wise to lighten up some into strength ...  BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows       New homes are bad deals in some areas   (Washington Post) [  If it only was just the new homes being bad deals in some areas … and if it only was just real estate and not, ie., grossly over-valued u.s. stocks, which rallied on the much worse than expected news, etc.. Post 'The rise (in stocks) came in spite of record low new-home sales data and continued worry about the European debt crisis.'   Select Stocks Boost Markets: Dave's Daily   [ Dave: '...Economic data focused on New Home Sales which were down nearly 17% causing the Homebuilder ETF (XHB) to rally. I kid you not! ...' ]  ] Michigan moves to cut its unemployment program despite troubling jobless rates.

 

 

Oil Up, Stocks Up - How Long Can this Continue?  Maierhofer, On Tuesday March 29, 2011, 12:40 pm EDT

Yesterday, oil was an economic indicator promising prosperity. Today, oil is the biggest scapegoat around.

On December 22, 2010, the following headline graced the Wall Street Journal: 'Oil back at $90 as growth gains pace.' The commentary expressed this upbeat message: 'The recovery in oil prices is an encouraging sign of world growth.'

Triggered by the glaring disconnect between fact and financial reporting, I felt compelled to comment on the nuisance and point out the obvious danger of rising oil prices (see article 'Rising asset prices cannibalize U.S. growth').

Even the media has caught on by now. On March 1, Reuters ran the following article: 'Wall Street slammed as oil fuels recovery worries.' The commentary was less upbeat: 'Stocks dropped as investors worried that rising oil prices could choke the economic recovery.'

Rather than squeezing facts into a mold to fit financial reporting, let's take a look at the real correlation between oil and stocks.

The Real Correlation Between Oil and Stocks

The general wisdom is that rising oil prices hamper the economy and/or stocks. But that's only true to a certain extent. Since 2009, the price of crude oil tripled while the S&P (SNP: ^GSPC) doubled. High oil didn't seem to affect The S&P. The Dow Jones (DJI: ^DJI) and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) didn't seem bothered much by rising oil either.

It is only after oil surpasses a certain undefined and ever changing 'pain threshold' that all of a sudden oil turns into a killer of economic activity.

To a certain extent, high oil prices contribute to high stock prices. The energy sector accounts for 13.10% of the S&P 500. As oil prices go, so go energy stocks and a strong energy sector can boost the overall market's performance.

Again, there comes a point when the backlash of rising oil prices trumps the boost from the energy sector.

What about Falling Prices

Thus far we've talked about rising prices. How do falling oil prices affect the economy? In 2008 oil topped at $147 a barrel. When oil rolled over, the S&P traded around 1,400. Over the coming year oil prices tumbled nearly 78%.

According to Wall Street's logic, stocks should have gone through the roof. The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter bucked conventional 'wisdom' and predicted a decline of all asset classes across the board.

Along with oil, the S&P went on to lose an additional 50% while the commodity sector got more than cut in half.

This phenomenon of lock-step behavior by asset classes that normally boom and bust at different times, has been a common theme since the 2007 market top. Will it occur once again in 2010?

General Trading Tips

Oil is a tough market to trade. Geopolitical developments can void an otherwise solid set up.

Oil linked ETFs like the United States Oil Fund (NYSEArca: USO - News) and iPath S&P GSCI Crude Oil ETN (NYSEArca: OIL - News), often suffer from contango and do not fully replicate oil's performance. Case in point, since 2009, USO and OIL doubled in price while oil prices tripled.

Another way to gain exposure to oil prices is by betting on the energy sector. The Energy Select Sector SPDR (NYSEArca: XLE - News) is the biggest broad energy ETF, but it is not alone.

Some focus on oil and gas exploration (NYSEArca: XOP - News), others on oil equipment and services (NYSEArca: IEZ - News).

But buying oil stocks comes with exposure to the same kind of risks and perks as buying any other stocks, whether it's oil stocks, gold (NYSEArca: GLD - News) or financial stocks (NYSEArca: XLF - News).

Regardless of your bias, beware of headline-based buying. More often than not, when the financial media exacerbates a trend, it may not go on for too much longer…'

 

 

Case-Shiller Chairman: Here’s Why the Housing Market Recession is Not Over Wall St Cheat Sheet 'Welcome to 2003! The  S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index 10-City Composite was down 2% and the 20-City Composite fell 3.1% in January on a year-over-year basis. On a monthly basis, the 10-City Composite was down 0.9% and the 20-City Composite fell 1.0% in January versus December 2010.

San Diego and Washington D.C. were the only two markets to record positive year-over-year changes. However, San Diego was up a scant 0.1%, while Washington DC posted a healthier +3.6% annual growth rate. The same 11 cities that had posted recent index level lows in December 2010, posted new lows in January.

David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor’s commented:

“Keeping with the trends set in late 2010, January brings us weakening home prices with no real hope in sight for the near future. With this month’s data, we find the same 11 MSAs posting new recent index lows. The 10-City and 20-City Composites continue to decline month-over-month and have posted monthly declines for six consecutive months now.

These data confirm what we have seen with recent housing starts and sales reports. The housing market recession is not yet over, and none of the statistics are indicating any form of sustained recovery . At most, we have seen all statistics bounce along their troughs; at worst, the feared double-dip recession may be materializing. A few months ago we defined a double-dip for home prices as seeing the 10- and 20-City Composites set new post-peak lows. The 10-City Composite is still 2.8% above and the 20-City is 1.1% above their respective April 2009 lows, but both series have moved closer to a confirmed double-dip for six consecutive months. At this point we are not too far off, and that is what many analysts are seeing with sales, starts and inventory data too.

Looking across some of the markets, we see that with a January 2011 index level of 99.59, Atlanta has joined Cleveland, Detroit and Las Vegas as markets where average home prices are now below their January 2000 levels. Washington DC appears to be the only market that has weathered the recent storm. While it was up only 0.1% for the month of January, it’s annual rate was a relatively healthy +3.6%, it is still +10.7% above its March 2009 low, and ranks number one among the 20 markets as its average value is almost 85% above its January 2000 level.”

S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices

[chart]

S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices Cont.

[chart]

Metro Prices

[chart]

Metro Prices Cont.

[chart]

Let’s see if the market can continue climbing the wall of worry despite the continued hit to real estate (NYSE:IYR).'

 

 

Short-Term, High Probability Mean-Reversion Indicator: EWY Is Overbought; VIX Hits Historical Extreme  Crowder '...I do believe we are in for quite the tumble in the months ahead...'   'The trading day yesterday began with a small bounce higher which lasted through most of the day. During the final hour sellers finally stepped in and pushed the market lower.

Could we see lower prices ahead?

I stated the following this weekend:

There are lots of bearish signs moving into the market. Over the past week, the VIX has gone from more than 30% above its average to more than 15% below. In the past this type of volatility in volatility has been overwhelmingly bearish. If you just look at 15% both ways there are eight instances when this type of movement has occurred and only once was it bullish for the market one month later.

Furthermore, the major market indices are overbought on a short-term basis and nearing overbought on an intermediate time frame.

Couple all of the aforementioned with upcoming negative seasonality and you can quickly see where I am going. All I can say is keep selling premium and remain cautious.

I do believe we are in for quite the tumble in the months ahead. For those of you who follow the q-ratio, you know that we have pushed to historic levels and that spells trouble going forward.

The good thing is, the High-Probability, Mean-Reversion strategy doesn’t care about the long-term movement of the stock market or if it moves up or down. All it cares about is taking advantage of extremes in the ETFs I follow.

The current trade is profitable and if the bears take over Tuesday we could have the best trade so far in the portfolio. So far, the performance has been amazing.

Short-Term High-Probability, Mean-Reversion Indicator – as of close 3/28/11

[chart]

Disclosure: I am short SPY’

 

 



Housing Continues To Be An Ominous Sign For Stocks   Hanlon  'Everyone knows that housing was at the epicenter of the 2008-2009 financial crisis.  Too many people were granted too many mortgages with too little down payment, at too low of interest rates.


The housing industry met all that with too many homes, townhouses and condos.  A bubble grew and popped, and all the king’s horses and all the king’s men are having trouble putting Humpty Dumpty back together again.

It was recently reported by Corelogic that the equity securing mortgages associated with home owners that are behind in payments is $750 billion less than the mortgage values.  Of course there are millions of mortgage loans that are current, and millions of mortgages that are very well secured by substantial positive equity; but the mortgage picture and housing remain a very weak part of the economy.

Some say that housing is economically important, but not so important as to be a necessity to economic recovery and continued expansion.  The argument goes that housing represents a very small portion of GDP and therefore its impact is not as important as tax rates, economic stimulus, interest rates, trade, defense spending, consumer behavior, unemployment, etc.

Here at Hanlon, our favorite tool for investment management is reviewing the charts.  To us, the charts tell the purest, most factual story.  Charts represent the price history of investments and the economy, reflecting every opinion of every person that has capital at their disposal and the decisions they make with that capital.  Currently, the charts are generally telling a positive story about the stock market and risky asset classes in general, although the Japan nuclear incidents are very much impacting that market as well as some others.

The trends, technicals and breadth all continue to show signs of potential further gains in many risky asset classes.  We continue to remain bullish on risky asset classes until the charts tell us differently, which can happen at any time.  I know you don’t like to read that.  You want more certainty and insight into the future.  Sorry, we do not do that; instead we take it all one day at a time, ready to make substantial changes if necessary to attempt to mitigate downside risk.

Recently a chart caught my eye and I share it with you below.  It is a chart of the S&P 500 Index plotted against the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI).  Clearly there is some type of correlation occurring between these two indices.  Specifically, from this chart alone, you can see that housing tends to lead stocks.  In some instances housing leads as much as two years prior and in others perhaps a couple months or quarters.

See how the HMI forecasted the S&P 500 Index drop before 2000?  The bottom and rise before 2003? The drop in 2007?  But alas, where is the HMI forecast for a rise in S&P 500 Index that started in 2009?  There is none.  Housing has gone flat-line, at best, like in the emergency room when the staff doctor, with paddles in hand, yells “clear!”

Being students of the charts, and of course of history itself, we are aware that there are long periods of time, anywhere from 10 to 20 years or longer, where the major equity indices do not break above previous highs.  These periods are not so much caused by a lack of earnings growth; instead they are normally caused by a compression of P/E ratios.  The P, price, must fall, while the E, earnings, continues to grow.  Many believe that the high of the year 2000 was a “ringing in a new market era” and thus began one of these long periods of time where the major equity indices do not set new highs.

S&P 500 Index vs. NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) 1988 – 2011

[chart]

If that is true, then the stock market highs we saw in 2000, which were revisited in 2007, could be the highs for years to come.  Yes, there were slightly new highs in 2007, ever so slightly for some of the major domestic equity indices, but not by much.  You can see the range bound nature of the S&P 500 Index on the chart above.

Perhaps housing is providing us some insight as to what the future holds for equities.  If so, the end of this latest equity appreciation may not be that far off and a tactical navigation out of equities into better performing, better relative strength asset classes might be around the corner.'


 

 

 

 

National / World

 

CIA Operative Appointed to Run al-Qaeda Connected Libyan Rebels Kurt Nimmo | Khalifa Hifter has worked for the CIA for over two decades.

 

US NATO Commander Admits Al-Qaeda Linked To Libyan Rebels Steve Watson | US says it is still considering arming Gaddafi opposition.

 

Japanese PM: ‘Maximum Alert’ Over Fukushima Nuke Crisis RTTNews | Japanese government in a state of maximum alert over high-level radiation.

 

In 2009 Gaddafi Proposed Nationalizing Libya’s Oil Kurt Nimmo | Transnational oil corporations and banksters don’t take kindly to the “N” word — nationalization.

 

Globalist Bid To Ban Cars Is Part Of “Planned-Opolis” Agenda Paul Joseph Watson | Only the elite will be allowed to drive vehicles, while the rest of the population will be tightly regulated.

 

U.S. says Libyan rebels may sell oil The United States on Monday gave a green light to sales of Libyan crude oil from rebel-held territory, giving a potential boost to forces battling Muammar Gaddafi.

 

Susan Rice: Obama Administration Has Not Ruled Out Military Support for Libyan Rebels U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Susan Rice says the Obama administration has not ruled out military support for the Libyan rebels.

 

Kadhafi tells West to halt ‘barbaric genocide’ Colonel Moamer Kadhafi urged world powers meeting Tuesday in London to end their “barbaric” offensive against his oil-rich country as his forces beat back a rebel push on his home town Sirte.

 

EPA to Help Mainstream Media Obscure The Truth About Radiation Exposure to Americans As Americans focus on March Madness and Dancing With the Stars instead of the radioactive plume spreading all across the country, the US EPA (Environmental Protection Agency) is attempting to make the mainstream media cover up of the Fukushima cloud a bit easier.

 

The CIA’s Libya Rebels: The Same Terrorists who Killed US, NATO Troops in Iraq 2007 West Point Study Shows Benghazi-Darnah-Tobruk Area was a World Leader in Al Qaeda Suicide Bomber Recruitment.

 

Israel considering annexing West Bank settlements (AP)

 

Drudgereport: Inflation worries push consumer confidence lower...
Home prices STILL falling in cities...
13% of all U.S. homes are vacant...
REBELS ON THE RUN
OBAMA DEFENDS...
'World Conscience'...
New Committee to Set Libya's 'Political Direction'...
U.S. says rebels may sell oil?
Brits fear becoming another Iraq...
Gadhafi tells West to halt 'barbaric genocide'...
Camp Lejeune Marines sent to Libya...
Clinton, Hague meet senior 'rebel' figure...
Intelligence shows 'flickers' of al Qaeda...
MAG: NEW 'KILL TEAM' PHOTOS RELEASED...

REPORT: U.S. soldiers hacked off part of dead man's skull?
HORROR: Cut off 15-year-old boy's finger and kept as trophy...[We all knew the u.s. Military was recruiting / is now composed of felons, war criminals, etc.; but clearly, these are the blatant signs of serial killers – then that 360 tons of $100 bills still missing in Iraq, etc., serial thieves, particularly at the top down.)...

VIDEO: Two on motorcycle gunned down...***WARNING: GRAPHIC***
PHOTOS...
500,000 MARCH IN LONDON TO PROTEST BUDGET CUTS...
Turns violent; Anarchists blitz the Ritz...
ANARCHY IN THE UK
NOT DAYS, NOT WEEKS -- LIBYA OP TO LAST MONTHS...

NATO likely to expand mission...
Energized Muslim Brotherhood eyes a prize...
Unrest in Syria, Jordan Poses New Test...
Clinton: U.S. won't intervene...
REPORTER CONFINED IN CLOSET DURING BIDEN'S FLA FUNDRAISER...

'Extremely inappropriate'...
OBAMA DEFENDS...

'America has played a unique role as an anchor of global security'... NOT IN OVAL OFFICE...
NETS BALKED AT PRIMETIME ADDRESS...
HILLARY OFF TO LONDON TOWN...
WAR COST: $600 MILLION, IN 6 DAYS...
Radiation levels at nuclear plant reach new highs...
100,000X NORMAL...
Radioactive Water Extends One Mile Into Ocean...
Trace Amounts Found in Florida...
At the gates of stricken Fukushima nuke plant...
Radiation levels highest since crisis began...
'Bad Readings' Plague Effort...
Concern grows over sea contamination...
Tokyo blackouts to resume Monday...
Radioactivity detected in China...
And Nevada... And SC, Fla... And Mass...
Gaps in US radiation monitoring system revealed...
Four of EPA's 11 Sensors in CA Were Down...
Obama says he didn't know of fed op smuggling guns into Mexico...
SOROS GROUP PLOTS 'GUERILLA WAR', 'SABOTAGE' ON FOXNEWS...

AL QAEDA FIGHTERS JOIN LIBYAN REBELS...
'Al Qaeda snatched missiles'...
Boehner: Obama needs to 'provide clarity' on military objective...
U.S. officials assisted visit by Gadhafi son just before uprising...
Despite airstrikes, Tripoli residents live in terror...
British Minister Warns of Another Lockerbie...
'Black Swan' double claims Portman did only 5% of dance shots...'The ballerina who served as a dancing double for Natalie Portman’s Oscar-winnning role in Black Swan tells EW she has been the victim of a “cover-up” to mislead the public about how much dancing Portman actually did in the film. “Of the full body shots, I would say 5 percent are Natalie,” says Sarah Lane, 27, an American Ballet Theatre soloist who performed many of the film’s complicated dance sequences, allowing Portman’s face to be digitally grafted onto her body. “All the other shots are me.”

Lane’s claim follows a March 23 L.A. Times article in which Portman’s fiancé and Black Swan choreographer Benjamin Millepied said Lane’s work in the film was far less significant. “There are articles now talking about her dance double [American Ballet Theatre dancer Sarah Lane] that are making it sound like [Lane] did a lot of the work, but really, she just did the footwork, and the fouettés, and one diagonal [phrase] in the studio,” he said. “Honestly, 85 percent of that movie is Natalie.”

Lane disagrees. “The shots that are just her face with arms, those shots are definitely Natalie,” she says. “But that doesn’t show the actual dancing.” Lane admits that she was never promised a particular title for her six weeks of work on the film, though she was disappointed to see that she is credited only as as “Hand Model,” “Stunt Double,” and “Lady in the Lane” (a brief walk-on role).

Lane also says that Black Swan producer Ari Handel specifically told her not to talk about her work to the press, even though she claims there was no such stipulation in her contract. “They wanted to create this idea in people’s minds that Natalie was some kind of prodigy or so gifted in dance and really worked so hard to make herself a ballerina in a year and a half for the movie, basically because of the Oscar,” says Lane. “It is demeaning to the profession and not just to me. I’ve been doing this for 22 years…. Can you become a concert pianist in a year and a half, even if you’re a movie star?”...'

 

 

Eye on entertainment (Washington Post) [ I don't ordinarily 'do entertainment' but I'm compelled to comment that I was taken in on the following (I was somewhat amazed by what I falsely presumed to be Portman's 'quick study' ballet performance … not! … eh ... what can you expect from someone born in israel.), but not taken in as so many in the latter concerning that highly publicized 'threat to society'; the infamous Lindsey Lohan.  'Black Swan' double claims Portman did only 5% of dance shots...'The ballerina who served as a dancing double for Natalie Portman’s Oscar-winnning role in Black Swan tells EW she has been the victim of a “cover-up” to mislead the public about how much dancing Portman actually did in the film. “Of the full body shots, I would say 5 percent are Natalie,” says Sarah Lane, 27, an American Ballet Theatre soloist who performed many of the film’s complicated dance sequences, allowing Portman’s face to be digitally grafted onto her body. “All the other shots are me.”

...

Lane disagrees. “The shots that are just her face with arms, those shots are definitely Natalie,”..But that doesn’t show the actual dancing.” ..

Lane also says that Black Swan producer Ari Handel specifically told her not to talk about her work to the press, even though she claims there was no such stipulation in her contract. “They wanted to create this idea in people’s minds that Natalie was some kind of prodigy or so gifted in dance and really worked so hard to make herself a ballerina in a year and a half for the movie, basically because of the Oscar,” says Lane. “It is demeaning to the profession and not just to me. I’ve been doing this for 22 years…. Can you become a concert pianist in a year and a half, even if you’re a movie star?”' ]

 

Lohan rejects judge's plea offer in theft case (AP)  [ It is common practice in the entertainment industry for 'loaners' far more expensive than the subject 'costume piece' here, to garner the benefit of the 'show and tell', particularly for this little hole in the wall in Venice. I mean, come on; this was hardly a surprise taking in a bustling store overrun by customers. Then there are the 'evidentiary' problems attendant to the venal motives of the store itself and monies received. In all, one must conclude that these invariably corrupt judges / prosecutors as corrupt steve the cooley (check out those land deals) like to bully the girls, ie., Lindsay Lohan, Winona Ryder, etc.. I'm not going to mention the guys of late who got a pass. Blatant misogyny? What else can you call it; particularly since they're letting scores of far more serious criminals out of jail, and we all know the numbers of serious violent criminals walkin' the streets with impunity in so-cal.  Paris Hilton prosecutor arrested for buying cocaine (Reuters)   ]

 

 

 

 

The Obama doctrine (Washington Post) [  The 'wobama doctrine'? Also known as  'b*** s***' or 'bush s***'. Distinctions without a significant difference, one thing is certain. Mr. Milbank's article is nauseating.]Where Bush was all bright lines, Obama is subtle and situational.

 

Obama vigorously defends Libya intervention  (Washington Post) [ I have nothing but disrespect for anyone who even listened to 'wobama the b' for b*** s***. After all, his teleprompter (in whatever form) was working overtime. Not that I'm enamored by  that mental case Gadaffy (who forgot to duck) who was taken into that war criminal american fold (war criminal bush / now wobama) fairly recently as a 'partner in the war on terror' … riiiiight! … There is nothing failed presidents like wobama, bush, et als can say that's worth hearing. One word could have explained all … 'oil'. Criminal american values … what, despotic saudi arabia, war crimes nation israel, etc.? Apparently, unless their criminal, they're not american values.  Drudgereport:  MAG: NEW 'KILL TEAM' PHOTOS RELEASED...
REPORT: U.S. soldiers hacked off part of dead man's skull?
HORROR: Cut off 15-year-old boy's finger and kept as trophy...[We all knew the u.s. Military was recruiting / is now composed of felons, war criminals, etc.; but clearly, these are the blatant signs of serial killers – then that 360 tons of $100 bills still missing in Iraq, etc., serial thieves, particularly at the top down.)...

VIDEO: Two on motorcycle gunned down...***WARNING: GRAPHIC***
PHOTOS...
500,000 MARCH IN LONDON TO PROTEST BUDGET CUTS...
Turns violent; Anarchists blitz the Ritz...
ANARCHY IN THE UK
NOT DAYS, NOT WEEKS -- LIBYA OP TO LAST MONTHS...
NATO likely to expand mission...        No UN mandate to attack Gaddafi forces: Russia Russia said on Monday attacks on forces loyal to Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi amounted to intervention in a civil war and were not backed by the U.N. resolution authorising no-fly zones.

‘Death Squad’: Full horror emerges of how rogue U.S. brigade murdered and mutilated innocent Afghan civilians – and kept their body parts as trophies Shocking new details emerged today of how American troops formed a ‘death squad’ to randomly murder Afghan civilians and mutilate their corpses.

Defense Secretary: Libya Did Not Pose Threat to U.S., Was Not ‘Vital National Interest’ to Intervene  Gates said that Libya did not pose a threat to the United States before the U.S. began its military campaign.

Gingrich admits to a double flip-flop on Libya intervention Newt Gingrich can’t make up his mind.

 ] The president delivers an expansive rationale for intervention in civil conflicts, arguing the mission was undertaken with the US’ closest allies.

 

 

Tech firms hiring White House staffers  (Washington Post) [ Those who can, do. Those who can't, work for the u.s. government, then u.s. companies for access to the government (contracts, protection from prosecution (wall street / goldman, etc.), etc.). This incestuous relationship has not been successful for the nation, but has been lucrative for the criminal few involved. Indeed, I can personally attest with enough knowledge and experience that american technology is horrendous and typifies that old GM failed strategy of 'planned obsolescence'. Moreover, at best, america merely assembles foreign made components for the moniker 'made in the usa'; but, not because they want to, but because at best that's all they can do, and not so good at that. What america is good at is pervasive corruption in virtually anything you can think of. Criminal america's defacto bankruptcy is testament to that. /  Black Swans Everywhere  Nyaradi 'Black swans seem everywhere as we have a nuclear accident in Japan, war and revolutions in the Middle East, demonstrations in Britain, and a looming U.S. Government shut down on April 8th. At Wall Street Sector Selector, we remain in the defensive mode, as black swans fly across the globe...' /  Weekly Indicators: Accumulating Signs of a Slowdown  Stewart 'In the rear-view mirror department, 4th quarter 2010 GDP was revised back up to 3.1%. Monthly data reported this past week, however, was depressing. New home sales were recorded at an all-time low, although balanced against December's big uptick, the last three months are still better than the three months previous to them. More ominous, however, was the big decline in consumer confidence, and in particular expectations about the future. These are the worst in 2 years, and are a leading indicator. Durable goods also came in very weak...' / Bank Failure Friday Slows Despite Increased Problem Banks  Suttmeier 'The FDIC List of Problem Banks rose by 24 in the fourth quarter to 884 from 860, which is 11.5% of the 7,657 FDIC-insured financial institutions, yet the FDIC has slowed the pace of closing problem banks on Bank Failure Friday...' /  The Stock Market Is In A State Of Denial- infowars.com  Those of you who watch financial TV or read the financial media have probably heard the current market referred to as the “nothing matters” market since it is supposedly ignoring a spate of negative news.

] The revolving door between the federal government and U.S. tech companies isn’t new.

 

 

 

GOP has plan for Fannie, Freddie (Washington Post) [ They have a plan ... sounds like a plan ... By george, they think they have a plan ... Yes, it is 'Alice in Wonderland' time in america ... they're late, they're late, for a very important date ...] Government shutdown looms-Paul Kane (Washington Post) [ Shutdown? ... One can only hope, and pray ... after all, they can't muck up what they're not in session to f*** up ... Government shutdown looms Paul Kane (Washington Post) [

Treasuries Decline After Bullard Says Fed Should Review QE2 Bloomberg | Treasuries fell, pushing 10-year yields to the highest in more than two weeks.

 

The Week Ahead: Brace for a Setback

 

Fed Ponders Actions While Global Economy Reels The US dollar continues under acute pressure, as the world seeks an alternative reserve currency. The days and years of manipulation, fraud and criminal behavior are fast coming to an end.

 

 

400,000 Protest Budget Cuts, Anarchists Rampage in London The Guardian | Largest mass protest since the anti-Iraq war march in 2003.

 

G.E.’s Strategies Let It Avoid Taxes Altogether NY Times | Worldwide profits: $14.2 billion; U.S. profits: $5.1 billion; tax liability: zero.

 

Consumers have a beef with Fed over inflation Food riots, deposed Middle Eastern despots and now this? Last week, a Texas man brandishing an assault rifle was involved in a three-hour shoot-out with police and had to be subdued with tear gas after ordering seven Beefy Crunch Burritos at a Taco Bell drive-through and being informed that their price had risen from 99 cents to $1.49.

IMF Prepares For “Threat To International Monetary System” Back in April 2010, before Waddell and Reed sold a few shares of ES, effectively destroying the market on news that Europe was insolvent, we made the following observation: “The IMF has just announced that it is expanding its New Arrangement to Borrow (NAB) multilateral facility from its existing $50 billion by a whopping $500 billion (SDR333.5 billion), to $550 billion.”

Household wealth down 23% in 2 years – Fed A rare survey of U.S. households, first performed in 2007 but repeated in 2009 in order to gauge the effects of the recession, reveals the median net worth of households fell from $125,000 in 2007 to $96,000 in 2009.

The Stock Market Is In A State Of Denial Those of you who watch financial TV or read the financial media have probably heard the current market referred to as the “nothing matters” market since it is supposedly ignoring a spate of negative news.

 ] Bills seek to hike fees charged to borrowers and take other steps to shrink the companies.

 

Black Swans Everywhere  Nyaradi 'Black swans seem everywhere as we have a nuclear accident in Japan, war and revolutions in the Middle East, demonstrations in Britain, and a looming U.S. Government shut down on April 8th. At Wall Street Sector Selector, we remain in the defensive mode, as black swans fly across the globe.

On My Radar
Another volatile week is now in the books and yet another lies ahead (click to enlarge).  [chart  http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/28/saupload_spx032611.png ] Chart courtesy of Stockcharts.com

In the chart of the S&P 500 above, we see that Friday’s close brought a “shooting star” which is composed of a gap higher at the open, higher prices during the day and then a close near the open. Within the context of an uptrend, this is a bearish pattern, as buying momentum petered out during the day.

We also see overhead resistance just ahead at the 1320-1330 level, while MACD at the bottom would contradict the bearish signs with a turn up and signal cross, albeit one that is still below the “0” line.

On the Bullish Percent Chart below, we see that supply dominates the market and that the index is in a "bear alert" and still close to overbought levels near 70% (click to enlarge).  [chart   http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/28/saupload_222.png ] Chart courtesy of Stockcharts.com

So on a technical basis, things appear to be mixed to bearish, notwithstanding last week’s snapback rally.

On the fundamental front, the news was mixed, as well:

Bullish News: GDP revised upward from 2.8 to 3.1%, Unemployment Claims down.

Bearish News: February Existing Home Sales down, New Home Sales at record lows, Durable Goods Orders down, Michigan Consumer Sentiment down.

Around the world, the drama continued in the Middle East as the rebels gained the upper hand in Libya, thanks to the NATO (read U.S.) no fly zone and bombing against Gaddafi assets, while Syria probably deserves to be bombed, as well, with Friday demonstrations leading to security forces firing into and killing numerous members of the civilian crowd.

In Europe, a quarter million people gathered in Britain to protest the "austerity" proposals while Portugal suffered credit downgrades, spiraling bond costs and seemed to accelerate on its wild ride towards an ECB bailout.

The sad drama in Japan continues to unfold as the nuclear plants appear to be yet uncontrolled with 1200 times the legal limit of radiation being measured in the sea near the plant. (Somehow 1200 times the legal limit remains below the level considered harmful to humans and the Japanese fishing industry.) Now it appears that a leak at one of the reactor cores is possible and the U.S. military is considering mandatory evacuations of its mammoth Yokosuka naval base.

Damage estimates put the disaster at the level of four Katrinas, making it the most expensive natural disaster the world has ever seen, and global car production is being impacted both in Japan and at home as supply chains shut down.

1/3 of global auto production could be impacted with a total of approximately 5 million cars not being built this year out of a planned 72 million. Toyota (TM) is shutting down domestic manufacturing in Japan along with shuttering factories in Canada, the U.S. and Mexico, GM shut a plant in Louisiana and Ford (F) is closing one in Belgium.

The Canadians ousted their government, apparently not wanting to be outdone by the Portuguese who's leader resigned earlier in the week over the Parliament's rejection of the austerity plan to curb their deficit.

With demonstrations in Britain, the downfall of the government in Portugal and growing unrest in Germany, one can only conclude that this whole austerity idea isn't going down too well on the Continent.

Of course the same could be said of our situation here in the United States where the news is less dramatic but still volatile.

President Obama will face the nation on Monday night to explain/justify the Libyan operation while Congress grapples with the budget morass and faces a rapidly approaching deadline of April 8th at which point the government officially runs out of money and faces a shutdown.

And let's not forget the small item that "Obama Care" will be 8% more expensive than forecast and that there's a $2.3 Trillion gap between the U.S. Congressional Budget Office's estimates of the budget deficit over the next ten years of $9.5 Trillion versus the White House estimate of $7.2 Trillion.

But what's $2.3 Trillion among friends, and who's counting anyway as Dr. Bernanke continues buying nearly all of the U.S. Treasury bonds that come up for sale in these "Alice in Wonderland" days.

The black swans continue flying, and more and more the story becomes a simple war between the central banks of Europe, Japan and the United States and the black swans that circle the globe.

The Week Ahead

A huge week of data lies ahead that clearly have the power to move the markets up or down. Friday will be a monster with news on employment, manufacturing construction spending and car sales.

Monday: February Personal Income, February Personal Spending, January Pending Home Sales

Tuesday: January Case/Shiller Home Price Index, March Consumer Confidence

Wednesday: March Challenger Job Cuts, March ADP Employment

Thursday: Initial Unemployment Claims, Continuing Claims, March Chicago PMI, February Factory Orders

Friday: March Non Farm Payrolls, March Unemployment, March ISM, February Construction Spending, April Car/Truck Sales

Sector Spotlight

Leaders: (NYSEArca: ECH) iShares Chile (NYSEArca: EZA) iShares South Africa, (SLV) iShares Silver)

Laggards: (NYSEArca: TLT) iShares 20 Year Treasury (NYSEArca: REM) iShares FTSE NAREIT Mortgage REIT ...'

 

Weekly Indicators: Accumulating Signs of a Slowdown  Stewart 'In the rear-view mirror department, 4th quarter 2010 GDP was revised back up to 3.1%. Monthly data reported this past week, however, was depressing. New home sales were recorded at an all-time low, although balanced against December's big uptick, the last three months are still better than the three months previous to them. More ominous, however, was the big decline in consumer confidence, and in particular expectations about the future. These are the worst in 2 years, and are a leading indicator. Durable goods also came in very weak. While this is a volatile indicator, over the last 6 months it has trended sideways. Did I mention that this is also a leading indicator? In short, oil's choke collar is biting into the economy.Turning now to the high-frequency weekly indicators:The BLS reported that Initial jobless claims last week were 382,000. The 4 week average is 385,000. This is the fifth week in a row that this number has been initially reported below 400,000. This bodes well for the next payrolls report.On the other hand, oil was trading at about $105.65 a barrel Friday midday, the third full week it has been above $100. It remains at a level above 4% of GDP. There WILL be a significant economic damage and I believe we are now observing the start of that damage. Gas at the pump declined $0.01 last week to $3.56 a gallon. Gasoline usage again was slightly lower than last year. I expect this comparison to deteriorate so long as the oil price spike continues.Railfax was up 5.7% YoY. Baseline traffic is now no higher than last year's levels, and cyclical traffic is only slightly higher. Waste materials are now below last year's levels. Shipments of motor vehicles, however, continued to improve YoY. Intermodal freight's rate of advance over last year declined last week. With the exception of motor vehicles, rail freight is now also signalling a significant slowdown.The Mortgage Bankers' Association reported an increase of 2.7% in seasonally adjusted mortgage applications last week. This series has meandered generally in a flat range since last June. On the plus side, this is the longest time since 2006 that this series has gone without a major decline. Refinancing also increased another 2.7%, but despite that remains near its lows since last July.The American Staffing Association Index remained at 91. This series has stalled at the 90-91 level for 6 weeks. It is signalling stagnation, not growth, and is stalled relative to its pre-recession peak.The ICSC reported that same store sales for the week of March 19 rose 3.0% YoY, and decreased -0.1% week over week. Shoppertrak reported a 4.0% YoY gain for the week ending March 19, and a WoW gain of 3.9%. Unlike almost every other series, these two series' YoY comparisons have been improving over the last month.Weekly BAA commercial bond rates declined -.10% to 5.98%. This compares with a -0.15% deline in the yields of 10 year treasuries to 3.29%. Both series are down from recent highs. This was the second week in which the relative move in corporate bonds signalled weakness.M1 was unchanged w/w, up 0.5% M/M, but up a strong 9.0% YoY, so Real M1 is up 7.8%. M2 was down -0.3% w/w, up 0.3% M/M and up 4.6% YoY, so Real M2 is up 2.4%. M2 is back into the "yellow zone" below 2.5%, but M1 is still strongly in the "green zone" as it has been for several years.Adjusting +1.07% due to the recent tax compromise, the Daily Treasury Statement showed that for the first 17 days of March, $135.5 B was collected vs. $134.6 B a year ago, for a gain of +0.6% YoY. For the last 20 days, $162.1 B was collected vs. $150.9 B a year ago, for a gain of $11.2 B, of over 7.4%. I suggest using this series with extra caution, because the adjustment for the withholding tax compromise is only a best guess, and may be significantly incorrect.For the first time since mid-2010, the LEI may have a negative month in March. Consumer confidence, durable goods, and (Feb.) housing permits are all down strongly. The stock market and money supply look like they will record essentially neutral readings. Only the bond spread yield and initiall unemployment claims look like strong positives. It is worth noting, on the plus side, that ECRI's growth indicator continues to be positive, and they are not revising their forecast of continued growth. Neverthelss, as I said at the outset, it appears that the Oil choke collar is indeed beginning to constrict the economy.Finally, the Census Bureau reported Friday that the Latino population has increased to 50.5 million people, or about 16% of the total US population. All of which make Los Estados Unidos the third most populous Latin American country after Brazil and Mexico (surpassing Argentina and Columbia).'

 

On Investor Uncertainty, Stock Market Fluctuations and Unemployment Hansen 'Uncertainty causes most to delay decisions relating to their future.


Investors in the last few weeks faced with uncertainty following the Japanese tsunami and reactor meltdown have jumped in and out of stocks.

Dave Rosenberg at Gluskin Sheff this past week detailed the differences in risk to investors in 2011 compared to 2010. Uncertainty, appears to be on the rise.

click to enlarge images [chart  http://albertpeia.com/z_pimco11-3-23-2011.png   ]

 

My colleague Ellen Beeson Zentner, Vice President & Senior U.S. Macro Economist at Bank of Tokyo – Mitsubishi (BTMU) pointed out certain correlations this week between stock market volatility and jobs.

Volatility, especially in the stock market, is a bad thing. If it rises sharply, and persists, it has the ability to be a job killer and exhibits the same affect on business investment as well. The most recent example can be taken from the European debt crisis, which flared in April 2010. The labor market had just turned in early 2010 and job growth looked to be accelerating (see Graph II), then stock market volatility spiked and by May businesses had slowed hiring in the face of the uncertain economic outlook. Just as happened during the EU debt crisis last year, we don’t believe businesses will conduct layoffs if volatility continues. Rather, it would result in a slowdown in hiring as plans are put on the back-burner.

[chart  http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/27/saupload_z_weekly11.png  ]

There is no question uncertainty is rising. The question we should be asking is how much of this uncertainty translates to business. Looking at Dave Rosenberg’s list of risks, many appear to be investor risks.

The global economy is not gearing up in anticipation of breakout growth. Companies are faced with rising commodity prices – and it does not take a genius corporate executive to know rising material and component prices are major headwinds.

The predominant risk to business is rising commodity prices at a time there is little wage growth in the advanced economies. Consumers as a group remain near their debt limits – and rising costs translates to more selective spending.

Econintersect suggests that commodity prices themselves may be the natural global economic regulator at this juncture – and not the economy killer suggested by some. With business already lean and mean, price movements slow and speed up economies without destructive gutting seen in 2008.

Business that has survived the Great Recession is operating with excess capacity and cash, and can adjust for price inflation – all while maintaining a profitable bottom line.

And with any luck get a few major technological breakthroughs along the way. Nothing spurs business more than exploring ways to reduce costs.

Economic News this Week:

Econintersect’s economic forecast for March 2011 points to a moderately improving economy with all segments of its non-monetary index positive. This week the Weekly Leading Index (WLI) from ECRI declined slightly from 7.1% to 6.5%. This level implies the business conditions six months from now will be approximately the same or slightly improved compared to today. [chart  http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/27/saupload_z_weekly_indexes1.png   ]

 

Initial unemployment claims in this week’s release was essentially unchanged due to backward revision to previous weeks. The data for the last two months as been quite noisy, and it remains important to follow the four week moving average for analysis of unemployment to smooth out the reporting idiosyncrasies. Overall, the trend line for jobs loss is improving – and is now roughly the same as mid-2008.[chart  http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/27/saupload_z_unemployment1.png   ]

The data released this week is considered positive and consistent with Econintersect’s January, February and March forecasts of slightly to moderately improving economic conditions overall. All data – except housing – remains up year-over-year (YoY) – although less good as it is being compared to relatively strong 2010 data. All trend lines continue to show continuing YoY growth.

Weekly Economic Release Scorecard:

Item

Headline

Analysis

Final 4Q2010 GDP

Revised Up

GDP has gone from 3.2% (advanced) to 2.8% (2nd release) – and now the final release is 3.1%

February Durable Goods

Down

Not necessarily down – just less good

Federal Reserve 2010 Financial Statement

 

Compare QE1 to QE2

Global Economic Assessment

 

Questions whether anyone can correctly assess risk in 2nd half of 2011

Future Jobs Growth

 

CBO envisions a 2000 decade tepid jobs growth until 2021

February Truck Tonnage

Down

Up YoY, data just less good than January

February New Home Sales

Down

Worst data ever

Electric Generation Fuel Comparisons

 

Compared Coal to Uranium as tomorrow’s fuels

Japan’s Meltdown

 

How it effected consumer metrics

February Existing Home Sales

Down

Yes, down YoY against a 2010 incentive driven home sales month

February CFNAI

Down

Up because of backward revision

Big Banks

 

Explores limits of large banking institutions globally

Micro-Cap Stocks

 

Clive Corcoran finds Micro-caps are outperforming

Hated Investments

 

Jeffrey Dow Jones explores profiting from investments most hate

Investing Week

 

Jeff Miller maintains investors must look beyond the headlines

Stock Market Prices

 

Erik McCurdy argues the market may be beginning a topping process

Libya

 

Elliott Morss questions what drove international involvement in Libya.

Economic Chernobyl

 

Rick Davis compares the elements of the Chernobyl meltdown to the USA economic situation

USA Treasuries

 

GEAB believes the USA treasury market will collapse in 2011 for a variety of reasons

UM Consumer Sentiment

Down

Plummets 77.5 to 67.5

Bankruptcy this Week: Epic Energy Services and its subsidiary, Epic Integrated Services, GeoPharma

Failed Banks this Week: [chart   http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/27/saupload_z_failed_banks.png  ]


 

Bank Failure Friday Slows Despite Increased Problem Banks  Suttmeier 'The FDIC List of Problem Banks rose by 24 in the fourth quarter to 884 from 860, which is 11.5% of the 7,657 FDIC-insured financial institutions, yet the FDIC has slowed the pace of closing problem banks on Bank Failure Friday. As the first quarter draws to an end the FDIC has closed only 26 community banks year to date, including one last Friday.
Since the end of 2007 the FDIC has closed 348 banks on the way to my predicted 500 to 800 bank closings into 2012 / 2013. Many of the remaining community banks have the same overexposures to commercial real estate loans including construction & development loans that cause the 348 banks to fail. If the banking system was improving the number of problem banks would be declining not rising.
There are 1265 community banks that remain overexposed to C&D loans and another 1358 that are overexposed to CRE loans excluding C&D loans. This includes nonfarm and nonresidential real estate loans. The total of 2623 community banks is 34.3% of all banks that still needs to unwind risk exposures.Looking at pipeline risk, which is the ratio of CRE loans to CRE loan commitments, 4479 community banks have a pipeline that’s 80% or more funded, which is 58.5% of all FDIC- insured financial institutions. Such a high ratio indicates that borrowers are late in making loan payments.
Total assets in the banking system declined $51.8 billion in the fourth quarter 2010 with C&D loans down $32.5 billion. Even so C&D loans still total $321.6 billion with nonfarm, non-residential real estate loans at $1.07 trillion. Potential problem loans thus total nearly $1.4 trillion, which continues to show considerable stress in the banking system. This stress translates into tighter lending standards with banks with these overexposures reluctant to lend.You cannot have a job-creating sustained economic recovering with the housing market depressed and with continued stress in the banking system.Not helping matters is fact that US Treasury yields are on the rise once again. On March 16 the yield on the 10-Year US Treasury note was as low as 3.139. Last Friday’s close was 3.443. This is pushing up mortgage rates once again.In March we learned that existing home sales declined 9.6% in February with New Home Sales plunging 16.9% to a record low. Home prices fell 5.2% year over year. This is a major economic risk.

Stocks Remain Overvalued Fundamentally -- We are not operating under a ValuEngine Valuation Warning, but 59.4% of all stocks are overvalued. In addition all 16 sectors are overvalued with five by double-digit percentages.'

 

The Behavior of U.S. Treasury Yields Post Bernanke’s QE2 Wall St Cheat Sheet 'The behavior of Treasuries (NYSE:TLT) is an area of special interest in light of the Fed’s second round of quantitative easing, which was formally announced on November 3rd. The first chart shows the percent change for a basket of eight Treasuries since November 4th. Yields had risen dramatically since then. However, we’ve saw an accelerating reversal from mid-February until March 16th. But St. Patrick’s Day was the beginning of a renewed rise in yields...[charts]'

 

Inconvenient Economics: Despite QE2, Disposable Income Drops - Wiggin 'Gold slumped about $25 over the weekend. At last check, the spot price was $1,421 per ounce. Silver, too, got whacked early on but recovered and at $37.17, it remains $3 above where it was only a month ago.

We’re sure traders are covering bets and taking profits, but we detected another sell signal for the yellow metal, and it’s a specious one, at best.

“Stock prices rose and long-term interest rates fell when investors began to anticipate the most recent action,” Fed Chair Ben Bernanke wrote in a Washington Post Op-Ed following the announcement of QE2 last November. “Higher stock prices will boost consumer wealth and help increase confidence,” he continued, “which can also spur spending.”

If Joe Wage Earner sees a bigger 401(k) balance, the theory goes he’ll go out to Home Depot and redo the kitchen.

Indeed, with the S&P above 1,310, the “wealth effect” does seem to be at play once again. Consumer spending rose 0.7% last month, the largest increase since October 2010. Add to that the fact that most Americans got their Social Security withholding slashed by one-third starting the first of the year, thanks to the stimulus rushed through Congress at the end of last year, and the Fed governors want you to know it.

Philadelphia Fed chief Charles Plosser hinted at monetary tightening in the “not-too-distant future.” last Friday afternoon. “The economy has gained significant strength and momentum since last summer and seems to be on a much firmer foundation going forward,” he said.

On Saturday, St. Louis Fed chief James Bullard, reading from the same playbook, went a step further. He let it drop that QE2 might be wound down before its scheduled June 30 end date because “the economy is looking pretty good.”

The dollar index has even popped, firming to 76.4, a full point higher than it stood at this time a week ago, when it touched a 15-month low.

Unfortunately, disposable income, with “inflation” factored in, fell 0.1% last month, according to the Commerce Department. It’s the first drop since September. Consumer prices for gas and food rose in February at their fastest clip since July 2008.'

 

Treasuries Decline After Bullard Says Fed Should Review QE2 Bloomberg | Treasuries fell, pushing 10-year yields to the highest in more than two weeks.

 

The Week Ahead: Brace for a Setback

 

Fed Ponders Actions While Global Economy Reels The US dollar continues under acute pressure, as the world seeks an alternative reserve currency. The days and years of manipulation, fraud and criminal behavior are fast coming to an end.

 

 

400,000 Protest Budget Cuts, Anarchists Rampage in London The Guardian | Largest mass protest since the anti-Iraq war march in 2003.

 

G.E.’s Strategies Let It Avoid Taxes Altogether NY Times | Worldwide profits: $14.2 billion; U.S. profits: $5.1 billion; tax liability: zero.

 

Consumers have a beef with Fed over inflation Food riots, deposed Middle Eastern despots and now this? Last week, a Texas man brandishing an assault rifle was involved in a three-hour shoot-out with police and had to be subdued with tear gas after ordering seven Beefy Crunch Burritos at a Taco Bell drive-through and being informed that their price had risen from 99 cents to $1.49.

IMF Prepares For “Threat To International Monetary System” Back in April 2010, before Waddell and Reed sold a few shares of ES, effectively destroying the market on news that Europe was insolvent, we made the following observation: “The IMF has just announced that it is expanding its New Arrangement to Borrow (NAB) multilateral facility from its existing $50 billion by a whopping $500 billion (SDR333.5 billion), to $550 billion.”

Household wealth down 23% in 2 years – Fed A rare survey of U.S. households, first performed in 2007 but repeated in 2009 in order to gauge the effects of the recession, reveals the median net worth of households fell from $125,000 in 2007 to $96,000 in 2009.

The Stock Market Is In A State Of Denial Those of you who watch financial TV or read the financial media have probably heard the current market referred to as the “nothing matters” market since it is supposedly ignoring a spate of negative news.

 

 

Portugal Latest Stop on Euro’s On Well-Traveled Path to Failure As the world’s eyes remain riveted on disaster and recovery in Japan and political upheaval in the Mideast, Eurozone nations continue their struggle to salvage the euro.

Glenn Beck And The Federal Reserve Last Friday, Glenn Beck did an entire show on the Federal Reserve. It had been a highly publicized show and many people were wondering how Beck was going to handle the subject.

Fed Ponders Actions While Global Economy Reels The US dollar continues under acute pressure, as the world seeks an alternative reserve currency. The days and years of manipulation, fraud and criminal behavior are fast coming to an end.

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

MELTDOWN: Plutonium Found In Soil At Fukushima As Cover Up Continues Steve Watson | Deadly radioactive water leaking into soil and ocean.

Soros’ Media Matters Declares War On Alternative Media Kurt Nimmo | Alex Jones and the Alternative media are more of a threat to the establishment than any number of corporate media coiffured talking heads.

Pseudo-Intellectual Hit Piece Emblematic Of Crumbling Elitist Media Paul Joseph Watson | New York Magazine smear portrays Alex Jones as paranoid, Fox News-wannabe while assuring readers that malevolent global elite doesn’t exist.

Soros Libs Engage in Agit-prop Sabotage Against Fox and Conservatives Infowars.com | Democrats and libs declare guerrila warfare against the First Amendment.

 

Nuclear Expert Calls Global Warming Alarmist Monbiot “Criminally Irresponsible” For Downplaying Fukushima Prominent nuclear and radiation expert Dr. Christopher Busby has slammed British global warming alarmist George Monbiot as being “criminally irresponsible” for writing a series of articles for the Guardian in which Monbiot downplays the threat of radiation from the stricken Fukushima nuclear plant in a bid to shore up his claims about man-made climate change being a far deadlier concern.

Highly radioactive water spreads at Japan plant Highly radioactive water has leaked from a reactor turbine building at a stricken nuclear plant in Japan, the operator said Monday, adding to fears the liquid is seeping into the environment.

Radiation levels at Japan nuclear plant reach new highs As radiation levels at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant reached a new high Sunday, workers contended with dark, steamy conditions in their efforts to repair the facility’s cooling system and stave off a full-blown nuclear meltdown.

No UN mandate to attack Gaddafi forces: Russia Russia said on Monday attacks on forces loyal to Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi amounted to intervention in a civil war and were not backed by the U.N. resolution authorising no-fly zones.

‘Death Squad’: Full horror emerges of how rogue U.S. brigade murdered and mutilated innocent Afghan civilians – and kept their body parts as trophies Shocking new details emerged today of how American troops formed a ‘death squad’ to randomly murder Afghan civilians and mutilate their corpses.

 

Ron Paul Calls for End to Empire in N.H. Visit Voters who are hoping for a more bipartisan approach to problem solving in Washington, D.C. might not like what they hear from Congressman Ron Paul.

Defense Secretary: Libya Did Not Pose Threat to U.S., Was Not ‘Vital National Interest’ to Intervene Secretary of Defense Robert Gates said that Libya did not pose a threat to the United States before the U.S. began its military campaign against the North African country.

Gingrich admits to a double flip-flop on Libya intervention Newt Gingrich can’t make up his mind.

 

 

TV Ads Normalize Thuggish TSA Behavior Kurt Nimmo | Corporate advertising makes light of Gestapo behavior.

 

When Does a Nuclear Disaster End? Never Tony Cartalucci | It will be hundreds of years before the area around the destroyed reactor is inhabitable again.

Poll: U.S. Will Send Ground Forces into Libya Kurt Nimmo | Russian intelligence believes coalition of globalists will send ground troops into Libya next month.

Fukushima Reactor 2: Radiation 10 Million Times Above Safe Level Infowars.com | IAEA has warned the crisis could go on for months.

A Simple Way To Resolve The True Radioactivity At Reactor 2 Zero Hedge | Here is a simple way to clear up the flap over the earlier “false” reporting on whether or not TEPCO screwed up.

Weather Models Show High Levels of Radiation Entering U.S. from Japan Kurt Nimmo | UN bureaucrat says radiation release could go on for months as authorities are clueless on how to stop the disaster.

Censored TV Ad Banned from Airwaves Infowars.com | A television ad that features Alex Jones’ narration has been banned from broadcast.

TEPCO Admits To Another Cover Up As Radioactivity Appears in Seawater Zero Hedge | Radioactivity at a concentration 1,250.8 times than the legal limit.

Libyan Rebel Leader Admits Connection to CIA al-Qaeda Asset in Iraq Kurt Nimmo | It turns out the Libyan rebel commander is al-Qaeda, that is to say an intelligence operative.

Ron Paul On Libyan Attack Infowars.com | Appearing on CNN, Paul roundly criticized Obama’s war against the people of Libya.

 

Drudge: Reporter Confined in Closet During Biden Fundraiser

Drudge Report | Orlando Sentinel reporter confined in a closet this week to keep him from mingling with high-powered guests gathered for a Democratic fundraiser.

 

Sarkozy the Zionist Threatens Arabs with Death and Destruction 

 

 

Pentagon to Target Populated Urban Areas in Libya Kurt Nimmo

 

 

 

Censored TV Ad Banned from Airwaves A television ad for EndofAmericaVideo.com that features Alex Jones’ narration has been banned from broadcasting on nearly every major cable and satellite network.

Nearly Half of U.S. EPA’s West Coast Radiation Monitors Might be Out Sick Eight of the EPA’s 18 West Coast monitors might not be working!

Lack of data from Japan distresses nuclear experts Nuclear scientists and policy experts say the quality and quantity of information coming out of Fukushima has left gaping holes in their understanding of the nuclear disaster nearly two weeks after it began.

High radiation levels at Japanese plant raise new worry Highly radioactive water has been found at a second reactor at a crippled nuclear power station in Japan, the plant’s operator said, as fears of contamination escalated two weeks after a huge earthquake and tsunami battered the complex.

Radioactive Cesium With A Half-Life Of Approximately 30 Years Is Being Released At About 60 Percent Of Chernobyl Levels Why does it seem as though the nuclear crisis in Japan just keeps getting worse with each passing day? TEPCO has announced that extremely radioactive water is now leakingfrom reactors 1, 2, and 3 at their damaged nuclear complex.

GoogleEarth Based 3D Map Of Real-Time Radioactivity Distribution In Japan; Projected Global Radioactivity Dispersion Confirming that in a time of instantaneous crowdsourced information distribution and analysis, any attempt by a government to institute an information blackout of any nature is doomed to failure, is the following amazing Google Earth-based 3D interactive map of Geiger readings from Japan.

Libyan Rebel Leader Admits Links To “Al Qaeda” Fighters The commander of anti Gaddafi rebels forces in Libya has admitted that among the ranks of those fighting against the government are islamic militants who have fought and killed US troops in Iraq, otherwise known as “al qaeda” fighters.

Gates Instructs Syrian Military to Impose Color Revolution As we have documented, the so-called popular revolutions spreading across the Middle East are orchestrated affairs unleashed by the globalists, their NGOs, and agencies of the U.S. government.

 

 

Paul Watson: Japanese Authorities Admit Deadly MOX Plutonium Reactor Is Leaking Paul Watson sits in for Alex and leads the discussion on the latest developments in Japan.

Will Financial Problems In Portugal Cause The European Debt Crisis To Spiral Out Of Control? Most Americans have no idea just how bad the financial problems over in Europe are right now. The truth is that the entire European financial system is teetering on the brink of disaster.

Libya: The Objective of “Humanitarian Bombing” is Death and Destruction The objective of the media disinformation campaign is to blatantly obfuscate the loss of life of civilians. Western media reports on casualties are heavily convoluted. Tomahawk missiles and aerial bombings are upheld as instruments of peace and democracy. They do not result in civilian deaths.

 

Gaddafi: America’s easy target? The US opts not to interfere in the internal affairs of its allies in the region, no matter how grave the situation becomes.

Barack Obama to lawmakers: We won’t kill Qadhafi President Barack Obama told congressional leaders there are no plans to use the U.S. military to assassinate Libyan strongman Muammar Qadhafi — despite the administration’s policy of seeking regime change in the North African country — according to sources familiar with a Friday White House Situation Room briefing.

Libyan rebels regain Ajdabiya after RAF Tornado jets wreak havoc on Gaddafi’s heavy units Libyan rebels have regained control of the eastern gateway city of Ajdabiya after international airstrikes on Moammar Gadhafi’s forces.

Deaths reported as demos held in Syrian cities Protesters took the streets in a number of Syrian cities Friday to demand major change, dismissing promises of reforms by the authorities as rights activists reported deaths in police shootings.

NATO Airstrike in Afghanistan Claims Civilians A NATO airstrike targeting Taliban fighters accidentally killed and wounded an unspecified number of civilians Friday in the southern province of Helmand, one of the most insecure regions in the country, NATO officials said on Saturday.

 

 

Celente: Would US target Libya if they had broccoli instead of oil? Fresh air strikes have rocked the Libyan capital Tripoli, with reports of more civilian casualties. Gerald Celente from the Trends Research Institute says NATO is just a cover for the U.S. and the Libyan mission is about gaining control of the country’s oil.

Farage: Rompuy Says Libya Attack About “Regime Change” The UN says it’s alarmed by the looming humanitarian crisis in Libya. Officials warn food supply lines have been disrupted and over three hundred thousand refugees have already fled the country. Nigel Farage, MEP and leader of the UK Independence Party, believes the whole military strategy in Libya has not been thought through.

NATO Aggression on Yugoslavia: Challenging an Illegal War The Centre for Research on Globalization presents Diana Johnstone, filmed in Belgrade, Serbia at the March 24, 2009 commemoration of NATO aggression against Yugoslavia.

 

 

Europe wrestles with debt crisis (Washington Post) [ Yet they're doing these wars like they have money to burn. And, at the rate they're printing these fiat currencies, burning will be about all the worthless paper will be good for.

350 British special forces already deep inside Libya… and more are ready to be deployed Hundreds of British troops have been deployed deep inside Libya targeting Colonel Gaddafi’s forces – and more are on standby.

Drudgereport: MOODY'S THREATENS TO DOWNGRADE BRITAIN'S DEBT...
STUDY: US Finances Rank Near Worst in World...
Libya Mission 'clouded by confusion'...
White House: Days, not weeks...
France: Weeks, not days...
Dem Rep: Obama told me US would be 'in and out'...

How Can America Create Wealth If Our Industrial Base Is Destroyed? Any economy that constantly consumes far more wealth than it produces is eventually going to be in for a very hard fall. Many point to relatively stable GDP numbers as evidence that the U.S. economy is doing okay, but the truth is that we have had to borrow increasingly massive amounts of money to keep GDP numbers up at that level.

 

Beware the Fed Driven Market  Parnell ' A review of the headlines heading into trading on March 23, 2011 was notable:

* Portugal braces for government collapse over austerity vote

* Ireland’s 10-year bond yield hits record at over 10%

* Bombing in Israel bus station

* Yemen’s pro-U.S. leader in talks on exit

* U.S. new home sales lowest on record, prices fall to December 2003 levels

* Federal Reserve rejects Bank of America dividend raise

Investment markets do not like uncertainty. And on any normal trading day, simply one of these headlines alone might provide justification for stock investors to take pause and reevaluate risk exposures...'

Censored TV Ad Banned from Airwaves  [ This presentation is really quite good; indeed, so good, I archived it on my website out of fear of censorship / blacklist / ban.   Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)     http://www.stansberryresearch.com/pro/1011PSIENDVD/LPSILC43/PR  [ The instant  video on the economic / financial collapse from Stansberry and Associates is so well researched  and succinctly presented  that I’ve archived same on my website; also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views I’ve presented on my site which I believe to be correct. This is a must-view, must-see that I strongly recommend!    
The complete url:    
http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv  ( 146mb – approx. 1 hr. 17 min. )         http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.mp4    (  374mb  )     Written text of presentation (without pictures  / charts)

 

Fears grow about reactor leak  (Washington Post) [ Not  to be alarmist for the sake of fear-mongering; but clearly, as indeed they should. This is a very big deal.   Drudgereport: Fears rise that Japan could sell off U.S. Debt ... [ Not only selling ... they won't be buying! ]...
Dangerous breach suspected at Japan nuke plant...
WATER RADIATION 10,000X NORMAL...
Japan Quietly Evacuates Wider Radius From Reactors...
Toll rises to 27,000 dead, missing...

Japanese Authorities Admit Deadly MOX Plutonium Reactor Is Leaking Paul Joseph Watson | Has cover-up of leakage been ongoing since massive March 14 explosion?

Radiation: Nothing to See Here? Administration spokespeople continuously claim “no threat” from the radiation reaching the US from Japan, just as they did with oil hemorrhaging into the Gulf. Perhaps we should all whistle “Don’t worry, be happy” in unison. A thorough review of the science, however, begs a second opinion.

As TEPCO Reports Increased Possible Radiation Release, Japan Expands Voluntary Evacuation Radius To 30 km The latest news from Fukushima continue progressing from bad to worse. Which of course means that the (physical) silver lining around the mushroom cloud will be that much more potent: after all, the greater the destruction, the higher the Russell 2000. Just ask the Keynesians.

Japanese Authorities Admit Deadly MOX Plutonium Reactor Is Leaking While the mass media has all but dropped its interest in the Fukushima crisis to focus on Libya and meaningless side-issues like the death of Elizabeth Taylor, the nuclear nightmare only worsens, as Japanese authorities admit that reactor number 3, which is the only reactor to contain MOX plutonium, is now leaking.

 

U.S. Consumer Sentiment Fell More Than Forecast in March Bloomberg

 

Household wealth down 23% in 2 years – Fed A rare survey of U.S. households, first performed in 2007 but repeated in 2009 in order to gauge the effects of the recession, reveals the median net worth of households fell from $125,000 in 2007 to $96,000 in 2009.

The Stock Market Is In A State Of Denial Those of you who watch financial TV or read the financial media have probably heard the current market referred to as the “nothing matters” market since it is supposedly ignoring a spate of negative news.

As Adjusted Monetary Base Rises By Half A Trillion In 2011, Treasury Runs Out Of Debt Ceiling Delay Measures

Gold And Silver Are Thriving While The U.S. Dollar Is Dying Have you heard the news? Gold hit another new record high on Thursday. It reached $1447.40 before settling back a bit. Most people responded to that news with a yawn.

 

 

Reexamining human nature    [ Reexamining? Just don't look too closely; else there goes your book.  'Dark side of human nature', a cliche. 'Man's inhumanity to man', a recurring theme bandied about for so long it's now a proverb. Emotion / reason, character / IQ; such mental masturbation ignores stark realities, the most prominent of which is that in evolutionary terms vis-a-vis the species, though I hate to be the spoiler, 'time has run out'. After all, in the last analysis, what can you really expect from a species derived from apes, notochordates, and initially single celled organisms. One might even say in light of such humble beginnings, 'hey, not bad!' I would not be one of them.  ( Neanderthals, Humans Interbred, DNA Proves

   You're a Neanderthal: Genes say yes — a little bit (AP) Neanderthals and people interbred, fossil analysis finds  For more info on man’s humble beginnings, see here     http://www.albertpeia.com/anthroindex1.htm       [ I’m adding this here, having seen while flipping channels an anthropologist talking up somewhat speciously the brain size of Neanderthals. The important but missed point here was potential ‘brain-power’ unrealized. Think of it this way: In the life-threateningly cold climes they inhabited, pre-occupation with warmth, fire, wood for fire, food, mere survival usurped all their waking moments. Have you ever tried to study, learn, think clearly (and new thoughts / neurogenesis thereby) under such harsh and perilous conditions; successfully? Neither could they. ]



FOUND: MISSING LINK BETWEEN APES AND MAN.... These stories, and the many like it, are old news and I subscribe to the more studied view that there is no “missing link” per se and in my view they are distinctions without significant differences.

 

   10-5-09 Postscript: Professor *****,
I felt compelled to thank you again for the add; not to curry your favor but indeed to express profound thanks inasmuch as this is probably the last formal course at a formal educational institution I'll ever take; and among the most important. While I had bought at discount a library-discarded 1993 Anthropology by Embers text, though meaning to read same never quite got to it. I am astounded by the substantial amount of time involved in the evolutionary process, not that I ever stopped to think about it, and one must come away with the sense of 'and all that...for this?'. This course should be required curriculum along with psychology, sociology, etc., but probably won't be owing to what is, as it should be, a very humbling educational experience for any member of the human race.
             Regards,
                                  Al Peia   ). ]
In “The Social Animal,” David Brooks reveals what it means when emotion clashes with reason and character is at war with IQ.

 

 

 

 

350 British special forces already deep inside Libya… and more are ready to be deployed Hundreds of British troops have been deployed deep inside Libya targeting Colonel Gaddafi’s forces – and more are on standby.

 

Japanese officials expand evacuation zone around the crippled nuclear plant.

 

How much does war really cost? (Washington Post) [  This is a question much like that poignant, famed response of J. P. Morgan to a question of  a similar vein (whether the inquirer could afford buying a boat);  the answer being if you have to ask you most assuredly can't (afford it). The nation is defacto bankrupt, after all. These wars have not been worth doing at all except for those few war profiteers, military industrial complex, israel, zionists, neocons, etc.. Yeah, it's actually worse here in terms of insurmountable magnitude.(Davis ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘ ). That wobama is a failed president, there is no question. Yet, the gop's 'never saw a war / conflict they didn't like' for the sake of the military industrial complex, war profiteers, israel, war criminals, the few, etc., despite the defacto bankruptcy of the nation is quite beyond the pale.  ‘US is broke, dollar down, yet policy is to divide & conquer’ RT | America is getting involved in another long-term war, which will ruin its economy.    US Approaching Insolvency, Fix To Be ‘Painful’: Fisher CNBC | The United States is on a fiscal path towards insolvency and policymakers are at a “tipping point,”.    Kucinich: War is a swamp, Obama Libya action unconstitutional    Drudgereport: FED: US Approaching Insolvency...   ]

Household wealth down 23% in 2 years – Fed A rare survey of U.S. households, first performed in 2007 but repeated in 2009 in order to gauge the effects of the recession, reveals the median net worth of households fell from $125,000 in 2007 to $96,000 in 2009.

The Stock Market Is In A State Of Denial ... ignoring a spate of negative news.

As Adjusted Monetary Base Rises By Half A Trillion In 2011, Treasury Runs Out Of Debt Ceiling Delay Measures

OPINION | If a war is not worth a tax, or spending cuts, then perhaps it is not worth doing at all.

 

How Can America Create Wealth If Our Industrial Base Is Destroyed? Any economy that constantly consumes far more wealth than it produces is eventually going to be in for a very hard fall. Many point to relatively stable GDP numbers as evidence that the U.S. economy is doing okay, but the truth is that we have had to borrow increasingly massive amounts of money to keep GDP numbers up at that level.

 

Come on! Upward revision of GDP by the scandal-scarred commerce department? You can’t believe anything these desperate self-servers say! This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s suckers’ rally on more badworse than expected news provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed (this would also help significantly the hapless, hopeless budget scenario).     Fed to hold regular news conferences  (Washington Post) [ Wow! Just what everyone needed … more spoon-fed b*** s*** / jawboning by the flawed, flatulent, faultful fed … for the sake of fraudulent wall street … you do remember those 'no-recession' jawbone sessions that sent the prior bubble expanding faster than 'the big bang' itself … until every got and continues to get banged from the last bubble-fraud crash. What do you expect these incompetent, fraudulent criminals / accomplices to say? That they haven't the slightest clue what they're doing and the damage they've already done? Come on! The more they speak, the less you really know; and, to borrow from that old saying / cliché … how do you know they're lying?... answer: 'their lips are moving'... They lie all the time … sometimes even when they don't have to.   M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you… (see infra)’   ] Chairman Bernanke’s move is part of efforts by the central bank to make the institution appear less secretive.   States target jobless benefits  (Washington Post) [ Sounds like a plan … from h**l … after all, beyond the rhetoric, propaganda, fake data / reports, etc., the only real manufacturing going on in pervasively corrupt / defacto bankrupt america is ever more worthless fiat paper currency, new fangled wall street paper / securities / toxic asset bubble-frauds, etc..   Unemployment numbers from the labored labor department? The ‘expiration / stopped looking, everyone’, at best. How can anyone believe anything the pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt u.s. government says. Durable goods (leading indicator) 200% worse than expected, stocks rally. ‘ February Durable Goods Orders Disappoint  NEW YORK (TheStreet) Bharatwaj …’     This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? … wise to lighten up some into strength ...  BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows       New homes are bad deals in some areas   (Washington Post) [  If it only was just the new homes being bad deals in some areas … and if it only was just real estate and not, ie., grossly over-valued u.s. stocks, which rallied on the much worse than expected news, etc.. Post 'The rise (in stocks) came in spite of record low new-home sales data and continued worry about the European debt crisis.'   Select Stocks Boost Markets: Dave's Daily   [ Dave: '...Economic data focused on New Home Sales which were down nearly 17% causing the Homebuilder ETF (XHB) to rally. I kid you not! ...' ]  ] Michigan moves to cut its unemployment program despite troubling jobless rates.



Come on! Upward revision of GDP by the scandal-scarred commerce department? You can’t believe anything these desperate self-servers say! This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s suckers’ rally on more badworse than expected news provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed (this would also help significantly the hapless, hopeless budget scenario).     Fed to hold regular news conferences  (Washington Post) [ Wow! Just what everyone needed … more spoon-fed b*** s*** / jawboning by the flawed, flatulent, faultful fed … for the sake of fraudulent wall street … you do remember those 'no-recession' jawbone sessions that sent the prior bubble expanding faster than 'the big bang' itself … until every got and continues to get banged from the last bubble-fraud crash. What do you expect these incompetent, fraudulent criminals / accomplices to say? That they haven't the slightest clue what they're doing and the damage they've already done? Come on! The more they speak, the less you really know; and, to borrow from that old saying / cliché … how do you know they're lying?... answer: 'their lips are moving'... They lie all the time … sometimes even when they don't have to.   M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you… (see infra)’   ] Chairman Bernanke’s move is part of efforts by the central bank to make the institution appear less secretive.   States target jobless benefits  (Washington Post) [ Sounds like a plan … from h**l … after all, beyond the rhetoric, propaganda, fake data / reports, etc., the only real manufacturing going on in pervasively corrupt / defacto bankrupt america is ever more worthless fiat paper currency, new fangled wall street paper / securities / toxic asset bubble-frauds, etc..   Unemployment numbers from the labored labor department? The ‘expiration / stopped looking, everyone’, at best. How can anyone believe anything the pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt u.s. government says. Durable goods (leading indicator) 200% worse than expected, stocks rally. ‘ February Durable Goods Orders Disappoint  NEW YORK (TheStreet) Bharatwaj …’     This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? … wise to lighten up some into strength ...  BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows       New homes are bad deals in some areas   (Washington Post) [  If it only was just the new homes being bad deals in some areas … and if it only was just real estate and not, ie., grossly over-valued u.s. stocks, which rallied on the much worse than expected news, etc.. Post 'The rise (in stocks) came in spite of record low new-home sales data and continued worry about the European debt crisis.'   Select Stocks Boost Markets: Dave's Daily   [ Dave: '...Economic data focused on New Home Sales which were down nearly 17% causing the Homebuilder ETF (XHB) to rally. I kid you not! ...' ]  ] Michigan moves to cut its unemployment program despite troubling jobless rates.

 

 

Don't Fight the Fed: Dave's Daily  'Some good earnings from software leader Oracle and upwardly revised GDP (mostly on expanding inventories) helped markets rally modestly Friday. Most important, $20 billion in POMO this week tells the tale for markets and bulls. It seems the world can blow up and bulls would still be chucking it in there as long the man with the big stack has their backs. Consumer Sentiment was lower since oil prices over $100 are off-putting to say the least and home prices continue to suffer. With commodity prices still rising it's uncertain whether corporations will be able to pass these higher costs to end users or consumers. If they can, we have inflation that only rigged government data can deny. The dollar rallied modestly but commodities still rallied overall while bonds fell slightly. Volume continues to dry-up but I suppose most investors pay little heed to this bearish condition. Who's buying? Those lucky Primary Dealers (dba, Da Boyz) with free stake money from Uncle Sugar. Breadth per the WSJ was positive. As quickly as we were short-term oversold last week, we're now at neutral to a little overbought.'



Beware the Fed Driven Market  Parnell ' A review of the headlines heading into trading on March 23, 2011 was notable:

* Portugal braces for government collapse over austerity vote

* Ireland’s 10-year bond yield hits record at over 10%

* Bombing in Israel bus station

* Yemen’s pro-U.S. leader in talks on exit

* U.S. new home sales lowest on record, prices fall to December 2003 levels

* Federal Reserve rejects Bank of America dividend raise

Investment markets do not like uncertainty. And on any normal trading day, simply one of these headlines alone might provide justification for stock investors to take pause and reevaluate risk exposures. So with six such major headlines in a single day, it would have been more than reasonable to expect that stocks might head lower for the trading session, as investors would be inclined to take some money of the table as they analyze the implications of some if not all of these events. And such risk aversion would be particularly prudent in a stock market that has nearly doubled since the March 2009 lows and has risen by over +30% in a virtual straight line since last summer.

When trade opened Wednesday morning at 9:30AM, a pullback was exactly what we saw, as the market quickly dropped by roughly -1%. But once we entered the second hour of trading, the downward trend suddenly reversed. By 10:30AM, the market showed signs of bottoming. And through the remainder of the morning and the rest of the trading day, the market elevated steadily higher to end the day up +0.5%. The fact that the market ended up on a day when a variety of new and meaningful risks bubbled to the surface certainly raises an eyebrow. After all, whether it's to the upside or the downside, you want to make sure your in a market that is acting at least somewhat rationally.

Trading days just like yesterday have become all too familiar over the last few years – down at open on negative news, bottom mid morning, rally through the remainder of the day to end higher. This raises the obvious question – what is happening around 10:30AM that sparks this market resilience to shake off any and all signs of worry and start ascending higher? The answer – the U.S. Federal Reserve.

Nearly every trading day, the Fed conducts Permanent Open Market Operations (POMO) starting at 10:30AM as part of their latest $600 billion asset purchase plan widely known as “QE2”. Between 10:30AM and 11:00AM, the Fed buys anywhere between $5.5 billion to $8.5 billion in U.S. Treasury securities from financial institutions such as the major banks. So by late morning on any given trading day, we have financial institutions that suddenly have a load of cash that they just received from the Fed and now need to do something with it.

A good chunk of this money has been finding its way into investment markets including stocks, which helps ignite the reversal and propel stocks higher. In other words, the Fed has essentially become the marginal buyer of stocks through their Open Market Operations.

click to enlarge [chart]

This process has two key implications going forward. First, the Fed’s QE2 is set to run through June 30, 2011. As long as QE2 is running – we are currently around $360 billion, or 60%, through QE2 through today with 98 calendar days left before June 30, 2011 – it is reasonable to expect these mid-morning reversal up days will continue to occur with regularity regardless of what risks the world throws at it. Second, the daily marginal buyer for stocks is set to go away once QE2 ends.

Thus, a day like Wednesday that opens down but reverses and heads higher is likely to become a day that opens lower and accelerates to the downside as the day progresses. It is also worth noting that the infamous stock market flash crash occurred on May 6, 2010 ...'




G.E.’s Strategies Let It Avoid Taxes Altogether NY Times | Worldwide profits: $14.2 billion; U.S. profits: $5.1 billion; tax liability: zero.

 

How Can America Create Wealth If Our Industrial Base Is Destroyed? Economic Collapse | Any economy that constantly consumes far more wealth than it produces is in for a very hard fall.

 

U.S. Consumer Sentiment Fell More Than Forecast in March Bloomberg | Gasoline prices hovering near the highest levels since October 2008 are straining the finances of American households.

 

 

Household wealth down 23% in 2 years – Fed A rare survey of U.S. households, first performed in 2007 but repeated in 2009 in order to gauge the effects of the recession, reveals the median net worth of households fell from $125,000 in 2007 to $96,000 in 2009.

The Stock Market Is In A State Of Denial Those of you who watch financial TV or read the financial media have probably heard the current market referred to as the “nothing matters” market since it is supposedly ignoring a spate of negative news.

As Adjusted Monetary Base Rises By Half A Trillion In 2011, Treasury Runs Out Of Debt Ceiling Delay Measures Something very notable happened today receiving exactly zero recognition by the mainstream press: the process of winding down the Supplementary Financing Program ended, with either zero (assuming the entire $25 billion in 56 Day CMB matured without rolling) or $5 billion (as per the Treasury’s disclosure), remaining under the SFP.

Gold And Silver Are Thriving While The U.S. Dollar Is Dying Have you heard the news? Gold hit another new record high on Thursday. It reached $1447.40 before settling back a bit. Most people responded to that news with a yawn.

 

 

National / World

 

Censored TV Ad Banned from Airwaves  [ This presentation is really quite good; indeed, so good, I archived it on my website out of fear of censorship / blacklist / ban.   Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)     http://www.stansberryresearch.com/pro/1011PSIENDVD/LPSILC43/PR  [ The instant  video on the economic / financial collapse from Stansberry and Associates is so well researched  and succinctly presented  that I’ve archived same on my website; also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views I’ve presented on my site which I believe to be correct. This is a must-view, must-see that I strongly recommend!    
The complete url:     http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv  ( 146mb – approx. 1 hr. 17 min. )         http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.mp4    (  374mb  )     Written text of presentation (without pictures  / charts)  http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrypresentation.htm ]
Infowars.com | A television ad that features Alex Jones’ narration has been banned from broadcast.

 

United Nations Nuclear Bank Cassandra Anderson | The UN nuclear bank is another piece of UN Agenda 21, the blueprint for total control and depopulation.

Libyan Rebel Leader Admits Links To “Al Qaeda” Fighters Steve Watson | Abdel-Hakim al-Hasidi admitted that he had previously recruited fundamentalists to fight in Iraq.

Gates Instructs Syrian Military to Impose Color Revolution Kurt Nimmo | Defense Secretary joins globalist NGOs and calls for Syrian government to be deposed.

Japanese Authorities Admit Deadly MOX Plutonium Reactor Is Leaking Paul Joseph Watson | Has cover-up of leakage been ongoing since massive March 14 explosion?

 

Libyan Rebel Leader Admits Links To “Al Qaeda” Fighters The commander of anti Gaddafi rebels forces in Libya has admitted that among the ranks of those fighting against the government are islamic militants who have fought and killed US troops in Iraq, otherwise known as “al qaeda” fighters.

Gates Instructs Syrian Military to Impose Color Revolution As we have documented, the so-called popular revolutions spreading across the Middle East are orchestrated affairs unleashed by the globalists, their NGOs, and agencies of the U.S. government.

Farage: Rompuy Says Libya Attack About “Regime Change” The UN says it’s alarmed by the looming humanitarian crisis in Libya. Officials warn food supply lines have been disrupted and over three hundred thousand refugees have already fled the country. Nigel Farage, MEP and leader of the UK Independence Party, believes the whole military strategy in Libya has not been thought through.

Libya: The Objective of “Humanitarian Bombing” is Death and Destruction The objective of the media disinformation campaign is to blatantly obfuscate the loss of life of civilians. Western media reports on casualties are heavily convoluted. Tomahawk missiles and aerial bombings are upheld as instruments of peace and democracy. They do not result in civilian deaths.

Radiation: Nothing to See Here? Administration spokespeople continuously claim “no threat” from the radiation reaching the US from Japan, just as they did with oil hemorrhaging into the Gulf. Perhaps we should all whistle “Don’t worry, be happy” in unison. A thorough review of the science, however, begs a second opinion.

As TEPCO Reports Increased Possible Radiation Release, Japan Expands Voluntary Evacuation Radius To 30 km The latest news from Fukushima continue progressing from bad to worse. Which of course means that the (physical) silver lining around the mushroom cloud will be that much more potent: after all, the greater the destruction, the higher the Russell 2000. Just ask the Keynesians.

Japanese Authorities Admit Deadly MOX Plutonium Reactor Is Leaking While the mass media has all but dropped its interest in the Fukushima crisis to focus on Libya and meaningless side-issues like the death of Elizabeth Taylor, the nuclear nightmare only worsens, as Japanese authorities admit that reactor number 3, which is the only reactor to contain MOX plutonium, is now leaking.

350 British special forces already deep inside Libya… and more are ready to be deployed Hundreds of British troops have been deployed deep inside Libya targeting Colonel Gaddafi’s forces – and more are on standby.

 

How Can America Create Wealth If Our Industrial Base Is Destroyed? Any economy that constantly consumes far more wealth than it produces is eventually going to be in for a very hard fall. Many point to relatively stable GDP numbers as evidence that the U.S. economy is doing okay, but the truth is that we have had to borrow increasingly massive amounts of money to keep GDP numbers up at that level.

Syrian Uprising Is Latest Globalist-Backed Coup d’état “A prominent Syrian opposition figure says the country is “a bomb, ready to explode” as protesters demand freedom and an end to president Bashar al-Assad’s “cancerous regime,”" reports Australia’s ABC News.

American Interventionism: Protecting the Profit Machine America is the spawn of empire building and from the start has itself engaged heavily in that activity. In nearly all cases it has shown a preference for bribery, coercion, intimidation and force over diplomacy and cooperation.

Economic Terrorists: That’s You Turban wearing cavemen were never what the “War on Terror” was about.

 

Saudis want their troops out of Bahrain Hundreds of Saudi anti-government protesters have taken to the streets in the country’s Eastern Province, condemning the kingdom’s military intervention in Bahrain.

Follow The Fall Of The Canadian Government Live The no confidence vote in Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s Canadian government is expected to start momentarily. Just like two days ago when Portugal fell, this event will likely be seen as a buying opportunity of both the USDCAD and the CADUSD.

US May Supply Gaddafi Rebels With Weapons Western diplomatic sources have confirmed to Sky News that the US is considering the legality of arming the Libyan rebels.

No-fly zone next in Belgium?! Clashes as police disperse mass protests Police and protesters have clashed in Brussels, as European Union leaders are gathering there for a fresh attempt to address the EU’s year-long debt crisis.

Egypt to protest against anti-protest law The new decree-law issued by the cabinet yesterday draws the ire of activists and labourers who plan to take their objections to the street in massive protests on Friday.

 

 

Money Trouble Ahead: 15 Indications That Bad Times Are About To Hit The U.S. Economy 2011 is shaping up to be a really bad year for the U.S. economy. There are all kinds of indications that big trouble is ahead. So far financial markets are weathering all of the chaos around the world fairly well, but just as there were huge flashing warning signs before the 2008 financial crisis there are also huge flashing warning signs now.  The American Dream
March 23, 2011

2011 is shaping up to be a really bad year for the U.S. economy. There are all kinds of indications that big trouble is ahead. So far financial markets are weathering all of the chaos around the world fairly well, but just as there were huge flashing warning signs before the 2008 financial crisis there are also huge flashing warning signs now.  The price of oil is soaring, the U.S. housing market is experiencing huge problems, the cost of living in America recently hit a new record high and each week the globe seems to become even more unstable.  How much pounding can our fragile economic system take before it completely collapses?  As the price of oil goes even higher, it is going to cause economic growth to slow down and it is going to cause the prices of the things that we all buy at the stores to go up at the same time.  It is very likely that we are entering a period of “stagflation” similar to what we experienced in the 1970s.  This is going to cause a huge amount of money trouble for millions of American families.  Already there are vast numbers of American families that are barely making it every month.  Tens of millions of Americans are already receiving government assistance.  So what is going to happen when the next financial crash happens and we experience yet another major economic downturn?

The truth is that the financial system was never “fixed” after the crash of 2008.  If anything, it is more vulnerable today than it was back then.  Even as you read this, major imbalances are building up in the global financial system, and at some point a “tipping point” will be reached.

Once that tipping point is reached, it will not be too long before the U.S. economy experiences the next wave of economic problems.  Perhaps we will be fortunate and it will not be as bad as the 2008 crash.  Perhaps this next wave will be even worse than 2008 was.  Only time will tell.

But all of the warning signs are there.  The following are 15 indications that bad times are about to hit the U.S. economy….

#1 The price of gasoline is about to cross the psychologically-important $4 a gallon threshold in some areas of the United States.  For example, the average price of gasoline is now $3.977 in San Diego County and it is $3.955 in Riverside and San Bernardino counties.

#2 The price of oil moved up close to the $105 mark by the end of the day today, and that means that more gasoline price increases are likely on the horizon for American consumers.

#3 In February, food prices in the United States rose at the fastest rate in 36 years.

#4 According to the U.S. Labor Department, the cost of living in the United States hit a brand new all-time record high in the month of February.

#5 According to the National Association of Realtors, sales of previously existing homes in the United States dropped a stunning 9.6 percent in February.  The National Association of Realtors also has announced that the median home price is the lowest it has been in 9 years.

#6 The U.S. is already in the midst of a real estate crash that never seems to end, but many are warning that it is about to get even worse.  For example, prominent housing analyst Gary Shilling is warning that U.S. housing prices are likely to drop another 20 percent.

#7 According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, at least 8 million Americans are at least one month behind on their mortgage payments at this point.

#8 According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the number of new building permits declined 20.5 percent in February on a year over year basis.  According to John Carney of CNBC, a huge decline in building permits is usually an indication that a recession is coming….

All nine recessions since 1959 have seen a year over year decline in building permits. In eight of the last nine the annual rate of change hit negative 20 percent or lower, and the economy went into a recession.

#9 31 percent of the homeowners that responded to a recent Rasmussen Reports survey indicated that they are “underwater” on their mortgages.

#10 Millions of American families are drowning in debt and debt collectors are becoming increasingly aggressive.  According to a new Federal Trade Commission report, consumer complaints about debt collectors rose by 17 percent last year.

#11 Meredith Whitney is warning that even though it may take longer than she originally projected, we are still going to see a wave of municipal bond defaultsworth hundreds of billions of dollars.

#12 The war in Libya is putting upward pressure on the price of oil, it is yet another drain on U.S. government finances, and it is raising tensions across the globe.  Vladimir Putin has called the NATO operation in Libya a “crusade” and China is calling for an immediate cease-fire.  Financial markets do not like instability of this nature.

#13 The rest of the Middle East is melting down as well.  More than 40 demonstrators have been killed in Yemen and the president of that country has declared a state of emergency.  Government buildings are still being set on fire in Egypt.  Ivory Coast is in the midst of a full-blown revolution, and there are ongoing protests in about a dozen other nations across North Africa and the Middle East.  This is really bad for global economic stability.

#14 The damage from the tsunami in Japan continues to affect more American Workers.  GM has just announced that they are going to temporarily lay off workers at a Buffalo engine plant due to a shortage of parts from Japan.  When supply chains are going to get fully back to normal is anyone’s guess.  GM has also temporarily shut down a facility in Shreveport, Louisiana due to supply problems.

#15 There continue to be indications that the amount of radiation being released by the damaged Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plants is much higher than we have been led to believe.  The following is an excerpt from a recent report by NHK World….

“Japan’s science ministry says radiation exceeding 400 times the normal level was detected in soil about 40 kilometers from the troubled Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant. The ministry surveyed radioactive substances in soil about 5 centimeters below the surface at roadsides on Monday. The ministry found 43,000 becquerels of radioactive iodine-131 per kilogram of soil, and 4,700 becquerels of radioactive cesium-137 per kilogram about 40 kilometers west-northwest of the plant. Gunma University Professor Keigo Endo says radiation released by the iodine is 430 times the level normally detected in soil in Japan and that released by the cesium is 47 times the norm.”

400 times the normal level amount of radiation 40 kilometers from the plant?

That is something that should be taken very seriously.

Sadly, radiation levels continue to rise throughout northern and central Japan.  If a significant amount of people have to be evacuated from Tokyo at some point that is going to be absolutely devastating for the global economy.

So what should Americans be doing?  How can middle class families weather the storm that is coming?

Well, one thing that can be done is to start saving money and not spending it on frivolous things like new cars and international vacations.  Many Americans did not learn the lessons of 2008 and they are running around blowing money as if the good times will never come to an end.

Also, now is a good time to get out of debt.  Millions of American families are literally drowning in debt, and when the next financial crash comes it is the families that are overextended that will be the most financially vulnerable.

When you see a storm coming, the prudent thing to do is to make preparations.  Most people believe what they want to believe, but anyone that cannot see the economic storm clouds on the horizon at this point has got to be pretty clueless.

Our entire economic system is slowly failing.  Hopefully the folks running things will be able to hold the economy together for a while longer, but when you stop and think about who we have in charge, there are not many reasons to be optimistic.

 

Lohan rejects judge's plea offer in theft case (AP)  [ It is common practice in the entertainment industry for 'loaners' far more expensive than the subject 'costume piece' here, to garner the benefit of the 'show and tell', particularly for this little hole in the wall in Venice. I mean, come on; this was hardly a surprise taking in a bustling store overrun by customers. Then there are the 'evidentiary' problems attendant to the venal motives of the store itself and monies received. In all, one must conclude that these invariably corrupt judges / prosecutors as corrupt steve the cooley (check out those land deals) like to bully the girls, ie., Lindsay Lohan, Winona Ryder, etc.. I'm not going to mention the guys of late who got a pass. Blatant misogyny? What else can you call it; particulary since they're letting scores of far more serious criminals out of jail, and we all know the numbers of serious violent criminals walkin' the streets with impunity in so-cal.  Paris Hilton prosecutor arrested for buying cocaine (Reuters)   ]



Drudgereport: Fears rise that Japan could sell off U.S. Debt ... [ Not only selling ... they won't be buying! ]...
Dangerous breach suspected at Japan nuke plant...
WATER RADIATION 10,000X NORMAL...
Japan Quietly Evacuates Wider Radius From Reactors...
Toll rises to 27,000 dead, missing...
Muslims beat, stomp effigy of Obama in protest...
GE pulls in $14B, makes $5B profit, pays $0 US taxes...
WH defends embrace of GE's CEO...
Immelt, Rangel in 'Harlem Horse Trade'...
UPDATE: Budget Impasse Increasing Risk of 'Shutdown'...
MOODY'S THREATENS TO DOWNGRADE BRITAIN'S DEBT...
STUDY: US Finances Rank Near Worst in World...
Libya Mission 'clouded by confusion'...
White House: Days, not weeks...
France: Weeks, not days...
Dem Rep: Obama told me US would be 'in and out'...
Pentagon: Likely to continue combat...
2,200 ground troops headed to region...
Quake toll rises to 27,000 dead, missing...
More U.S. states find 'traces' of radiation from Japan...
EPA: Some Air Monitors May Not Be Working Properly...
Global food scare widens...
FED: US Approaching Insolvency...
Oil closes above $105, highest level since Aug 2008...
New Home Sales Plunge; Hit Lowest Level Since Data Tracking Began in 1960s...
US gasoline inventories fall...
Neutron beam observed 13 times at crippled Fukushima nuke plant...
Fallout reaches Europe...
Concern in Tokyo over tap water...
Leading OBAMACARE Backer Considering Waiver for his City...
TOP GUN: As bombs drop, Spring Training (at baseball camp) for 'Lobotomy Joe' Biden...
Army Soldier Pleads Guilty in Deaths of 3 Afghan Civilians...
PORTUGAL TEETERS AFTER FAILURE TO CUT DEBT...
International Bailout Only Option...
PM resigns...
W
OBAMA: I'm keeping my Peace Prize ... (which as is so of 'wobama the b' {for b*** s***} means absolutely nothing) ...
BOMBED BUT NOT BROKEN
Obama seeks to break impasse...
Allies in disarray...
No one wants to run operation...
French PM: 'We are not at war'...
DEM LAWMAKER: IMPEACH OBAMA...
US rescue chopper shoots 6 villagers welcoming pilots of downed jet...
UPDATE: Soldier to Plead Guilty in Afghan Murder Case...

Will testify against fellow 'kill team' troops...
Mainstream media ignores 'trophy' photos; White House mum...
Oil tops $105 per barrel...
Ex-President of Israel Sentenced to Prison for Rape...

Violence warning in UK as unions plan mass march Sunday...

 

 

 

Japan fears for food, water supplies  (Washington Post) [ Well, if Japan doesn't, who will? Certainly not america, in america, where fears are never concerns till they've become realities in their rears.  ]  As the number of deaths from the March 11 earthquake and tsunami officially exceeded 10,000, the struggle to prevent more radiation from escaping continued.     Chernobyl-Style Yellow Rain Causes Panic In Japan Paul Joseph Watson | Authorities assure alarmed citizens yellow powder is pollen, but victims of Chernobyl radiation were told the same thing.     Fukushima Radiation Spreading To More U.S. States Steve Watson | EPA says some air monitors might not be working properly.    Apple Rejects iPhone 4 Radiation Metering App Matt Ryan | Radiation metering app demonstrates iPhone releases increased amount of radiation when struggling to find signal.     Chernobyl-Style Yellow Rain Causes Panic In Japan Radioactive yellow rain that fell in Tokyo and surrounding areas last night caused panic amongst Japanese citizens and prompted a flood of phone calls to Japan’s Meteorological Agency this morning, with people concerned that they were being fed the same lies as victims of Chernobyl, who were told that yellow rain which fell over Russia and surrounding countries after the 1986 disaster was merely pollen, the same explanation now being offered by Japanese authorities.     Fukushima Radiation Spreading To More U.S. States Radiation from the ongoing disaster in Japan is spreading throughout the United States, and while the EPA says the levels are not dangerous, it also admits that some of its radiation-tracking air monitors may not even be working.     Radioactive Iodine In Fukushima Seawater Highest Ever, Reactors 5 And 6 Now Leaking Too And while futures rise as the market anticipates the latest central bank intervention to paper over the global financial insolvency, the radioactive fallout from Fukushima continues to worsen as Iodine 131 levels in the seawater hits the highest since the start of the crisis.      Fukushima Radiation Release Rivals Chernobyl The radiation released by the stricken Fukushima nuclear plant already rivals and in one sense exceeds the Chernobyl catastrophe according to Austria’s Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, even as media spin downplays the severity of the crisis despite the fact that the problems at the plant show no signs of abating.

 

For loyalists, a state of perpetual revolution  (Washington Post) [ And, for defacto bankrupt america / americans, a state of perpetual war … and, on how many fronts? … eh … what the heck … who's countin' … certainly not capital hill et als; you know, all that money the nation doesn't even really have but keep spending. How will this all end … not well … not well at all! ] Six days into the allied bombardment of Libyan military targets, it is clear that Moammar Gaddafi can count on the fierce loyalties of at least a significant segment of the population. School Shooting Exercise Portrays Student as Anti-Illegal Immigration Terrorist Kurt Nimmo | Scenario depicts racist student with access to a cache of guns and IEDs shooting Latino student. Globalist Coalition Claims “Precision” Bombs Do Not Kill Libyan Civilians Kurt Nimmo | CNN and the corporate media are trying their darnedest to put the best face on Obama’s illegal attack.White House: Libya fight is not war, it’s ‘kinetic military action’ Byron York | “Military steps — and they can be kinetic and non-kinetic.” Camp Lejeune Marines To Libya To Strike At Qadhafi Forces WCTI | We’ve seen Camp Lejuene Marines in Iraq and Afghanistan and now they are joining the fight against Libya.‘Libya war could last 30 years’ Mail Online | Ministers admitted they have no idea how long military operation against Gaddafi could take.Globalist Coalition Claims “Precision” Bombs Do Not Kill Libyan Civilians CNN and the corporate media are trying their darnedest to put the best face on Obama’s illegal attack against the people of Libya under the auspices of the United Nations and its bankster overlords.Critics: Iowa terror drill portrays immigration foes as killers Foes of illegal immigration are up in arms over plans for a weekend disaster exercise in western Iowa with a fictitious scenario in which white supremacists shoot dozens of people amid rising tensions involving racial minorities and illegal immigrants.Orwell Rolls In His Grave: White House: Libya fight is not war, it’s ‘kinetic military action’ In the last few days, Obama administration officials have frequently faced the question: Is the fighting in Libya a war? From military officers to White House spokesmen up to the president himself, the answer is no. But that leaves the question: What is it?Gas to Hit $5 Per Gallon Before Summer Oil industry experts warn that the price for a gallon of gas will reach $5 before summer. They blame the unfolding conflict in Libya and across the oil-producing Middle East for exploding prices.

 

 



World finds less solace in dollar  (Washington Post) [ No mystery here … Not even a long time coming in light of america's very real defacto bankruptcy; particularly as the same old / same old plunder of this and other nations by, you guessed it, the same old / same old.  Money Trouble Ahead: 15 Indications That Bad Times Are About To Hit The U.S. Economy 2011 is shaping up to be a really bad year for the U.S. economy. There are all kinds of indications that big trouble is ahead...just as there were huge flashing warning signs before the 2008 financial crisis there are also huge flashing warning signs now.  The American DreamMarch 23, 20112011 is shaping up to be a really bad year for the U.S. economy. There are all kinds of indications that big trouble is ahead. So far financial markets are weathering all of the chaos around the world fairly well, but just as there were huge flashing warning signs before the 2008 financial crisis there are also huge flashing warning signs now.  The price of oil is soaring, the U.S. housing market is experiencing huge problems, the cost of living in America recently hit a new record high and each week the globe seems to become even more unstable.  How much pounding can our fragile economic system take before it completely collapses?  As the price of oil goes even higher, it is going to cause economic growth to slow down and it is going to cause the prices of the things that we all buy at the stores to go up at the same time.  It is very likely that we are entering a period of “stagflation” similar to what we experienced in the 1970s.  This is going to cause a huge amount of money trouble for millions of American families.  Already there are vast numbers of American families that are barely making it every month.  Tens of millions of Americans are already receiving government assistance.  So what is going to happen when the next financial crash happens and we experience yet another major economic downturn?The truth is that the financial system was never “fixed” after the crash of 2008.  If anything, it is more vulnerable today than it was back then.  Even as you read this, major imbalances are building up in the global financial system, and at some point a “tipping point” will be reached.Once that tipping point is reached, it will not be too long before the U.S. economy experiences the next wave of economic problems.... as the 2008 crash... Perhaps this next wave will be even worse than 2008 ...But all of the warning signs are there.  The following are 15 indications that bad times are about to hit the U.S. Economy...']  Usually considered a safe haven in times of turmoil, the dollar is down against a basket of other currencies

 

 

Unemployment numbers from the labored labor department? The ‘expiration / stopped looking, everyone’, at best. How can anyone believe anything the pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt u.s. government says. Durable goods (leading indicator) 200% worse than expected, stocks rally. ‘ February Durable Goods Orders Disappoint  NEW YORK (TheStreet) Bharatwaj …’     This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s suckers’ rally provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed (this would also help significantly the hapless, hopeless budget scenario).    M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you… (see infra)’   Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’   BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows       New homes are bad deals in some areas   (Washington Post) [  If it only was just the new homes being bad deals in some areas … and if it only was just real estate and not, ie., grossly over-valued u.s. stocks, which rallied on the much worse than expected news, etc.. Post 'The rise (in stocks) came in spite of record low new-home sales data and continued worry about the European debt crisis.'   Select Stocks Boost Markets: Dave's Daily   [ Dave: '...Economic data focused on New Home Sales which were down nearly 17% causing the Homebuilder ETF (XHB) to rally. I kid you not! ...' ]



February Durable Goods Orders Disappoint  NEW YORK (TheStreet) Bharatwaj-- New orders for durable goods dropped in February, led by a drop in demand for machinery and defense capital goods. The Census Bureau said on Thursday that new orders dropped 0.9% to $200 billion in February, disappointing expectations for a 1.1% increase. Excluding the volatile transportation sector, new orders dropped 0.6%, following a 3.6% decrease in January. Economists were expecting new orders excluding transportation to increase by 1.8%, according to consensus estimates from Briefing.com.

New orders for defense capital goods dropped 25%, while demand for defense aircraft and parts fell 18%. Excluding defense, new orders for durable goods increased 0.4%.

New orders for machinery declined for the second consecutive month by 4.2%, the largest decrease outside of defense. Orders for primary metals dropped 2.1% and communications equipment fell 2.3%.

Nondefense new orders for capital goods- a proxy for growth in business investment- jumped 2.5% to $69.1 billion; shipments increased 1.1% to $66.2 billion.

Futures were paring gains in premarket trading. The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF(DIA_) was up 0.5%, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY_) and the PowerShares QQQ(QQQ_) were rising about 0.5% and 0.5% respectively. The SPDR Industrials ETF(XLI_) was, however, up 0.8%.--

 

 

New Home Sales at Record Low, TIPs on the Move  Inflation Trader 'The good news about housing is that it has fallen so far that a contraction in that sector doesn’t have the same impact it once did. Yesterday New Home Sales for February were reported at 250k (annualized, seasonally adjusted), yet another record low (see Chart below, click to enlarge). [chart http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/24/saupload_nhsl.png  ]

A new record low for New Home Sales. Construction won't be adding to GDP yet.

Keep in mind that this is with mortgage rates that are as low as they have been in a couple of generations at least. Now, some of this is caused by the fact that there are still plenty of distressed sales in the market for Existing Homes. Some of it may also be due to the fact that the actual inventory of new homes that are for sale has also fallen to near-record lows, and are easily at new lows when population-adjusted (see Chart below, http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/24/saupload_bfm5ff4.png )...!

Say what you will about the crazy overbuilding in the mid-2000s; the homebuilders have cut back on new building drastically, which is a precondition for the sector’s eventual recovery. It would almost be worth taking a look at home building stocks, if TOL wasn’t trading at a P/E of 3,382:1 (only 294:1 on estimated earnings!). (It’s trading at 2.3x sales; at its peak in 2005 it was only 1.9x. Now, you may say “sure, but keep in mind right now you’re at trough sales.” Fair enough, but revenues are down 75% from their 2006 level, and there won’t be another boom like that one for a long time. Suppose sales double from here. You’re still paying 1.65x sales, which is more expensive than the company has been since 1994, with the exception of the bubble top. And it’s by no means assured that home construction is going to boom in the short run, especially when interest rates start to rise again. (There are surely better shorting candidates, don’t get me wrong: I just mention this because I was looking at it thinking it might be a buy candidate. It’s not).

Besides the Home Sales data, there was little news out. There was nothing new from Portugal. Crude oil rallied 1.7% (now $105.75/bbl) and industrial metals jumped 2.3%. 10y note yields rose 2bps to 3.35% and are seemingly stabilizing now that the last frightening week or two is behind us. TIPS yields rose for the fourth day in a row; the 10y now stands at a still-slender 0.95%. Don’t read too much into the selling of TIPS here and the selloff in 10y inflation swap rates from 2.87 to 2.66 over the last couple of weeks. There is an $11bln reopening of 10-year TIPS today, and some of what we were seeing yesterday was dealers trying to set up for that auction. There is concern in some quarters that the low yields will make it hard for the government to sell $11bln TIPS. Remember, though, that the level of rates also indicates the supply/demand balance. TIPS yields are low because there is no net supply from the Treasury (thanks to the Fed, and there has been ample demand to push yields down this far. It may be that this auction pukes, but it has been difficult for a while to bet that inflation-linked bonds were going to sell off for any appreciable period. There is positive net demand as money continues to flow into inflation-linked bond funds, and no net supply. I wouldn’t be short TIPS here except to set up for the auction (indeed, one dealer pointed out that the current 10y TIPS are actually “on special” in the repo market, which almost never happens in TIPS and suggests there is actually a short base).

Also today, the Feb Durable Goods report (Consensus: +1.2%, +2.0% ex-Transportation) is due out. Remember the last one was disappointing and led to some downward revisions to Q1 GDP estimates as a result. Initial Claims (Consensus: 383k) will also be announced.'

 

 

 

UPDATE 1-Outflows rise for U.S. domestic equity funds-Lipper  Bases' Mar 24, 2011

 * U.S. domestic equity fund net outflows of $3.9 bln

 * Non-domestic equity fund net inflows of $1.4 bln

 * Japanese equity fund inflows of $785 million

 (Updates with Fidelity's explanation of high yield fund shift;

clarifies that high yield bond fund outflows were not a

record)

 NEW YORK, March 24 (Reuters) - U.S. equity focused mutual

funds saw an increase in net cash outflows for the week ended

March 23, $3.9 billion versus $2.4 billion in the prior period,

data from Thomson Reuters Lipper service showed on Thursday.

 Overall, U.S. domiciled equity funds had net outflows of

$2.4 billion, a sharp increase over the $268 million in net

redemptions the prior week.

 Exchange traded funds, such as the SPDR S&P 500 fund (SPY),

which had the biggest outflows of $2.9 billion this week, are

generally thought to be used as short-term trading tools for

institutional investors, thereby creating big swings in fund

flows.

 Excluding the activity of ETFs, domestic equity funds would

have had net outflows of $124 million, indicating that both

institutional and retail investors were net sellers.

 Among the major equity sectors, the biggest net outflow

came from the large-cap growth/value arena, with nearly $6

billion in cash pulled out. Investors, on net, pulled cash from

financial, healthcare, technology and utility funds.

 In contrast, non-domestic equity funds had inflows of $1.4

billion, marking a third straight week of fresh cash.

 Taxable bond funds took in $965 million, a steep drop off

from the prior week's $2.7 billion of new cash.

 "On the positive side, taxable bond funds took in cash.

People are still feeling like they cannot completely trust what

is going on in places like Japan. This looks like a duck and

cover move," said Tom Roseen, senior analyst at Lipper.

 After a record week of inflows for Japan-focused funds,

investors kept pumping cash into that sector of the market and

placed an additional $785 million in, bringing the streak of

fresh money to 15 out of the last 16 weeks.

 Once again the majority of inflows for Japan-focused

investors in the U.S. market went into the iShares MSCI Japan

Fund (EWJ), which had inflows of $603 million. Total assets

under management in the fund, $7.3 billion, are the highest

since last August 2008.

 (For a graphic showing net inflows/outflows and total

assets under management in the ETF, click on

r.reuters.com/kab78r )

 "Some people say the big drop in Japanese share prices

provided buying opportunities. On the flip side, the only way

to short a fund is via ETFs and there's an argument out there

that that is what's occurring, that institutional investors are

creating inventory for the investors to allow shorting. So

we'll see," said Roseen.

 In the tax-free municipal bond sector the negative flows

continued for a 19th consecutive week with $640 million in net

redemptions. The cumulative total outflow of cash from the muni

bond sector is $29.14 billion.

 In what may be a harbinger of some repair in the battered

mortgage industry, funds that hold mortgage backed securities

took in fresh cash for the first time in 15 weeks. Net inflows

totaled $38.8 million and marked only the second time in the

last 24 weeks the sector had net new money committed.

 Emerging market equity funds made it three weeks in a row

and improved over the prior period, respectively taking in $221

million versus $78 million.

 HIGH YIELD

 Corporate high-yield bond funds experienced their second

consecutive week of outflows, coming after 14 straight weeks of

net new cash moving into the sector. However the figure of $2.8

billion in net redemptions comes with a major health warning.

 Nearly $2 billion of that reported outflow was ascribed to

the class-F shares of both the Fidelity High Income fund and

the Fidelity Capital & Income fund.

 A Fidelity spokeswoman explained that the assets of the two

fund's class-F shares were shifted into Fidelity's new Series

High Income fund, and did not leave the high yield sector.

 The class-F shares of these two high-yield bond funds were

liquidated and closed. The transition was completed on March

14.

 Given Fidelity's explanation, Lipper is now estimating net

redemptions for the week ended March 23 were around $800

million, and were not a record.

 The weekly Lipper fund flow data is compiled from reports

issued by U.S.-domiciled mutual funds and exchange-traded

funds. The weekly data goes back to 1992.

 The following is a broad breakdown of the flows for the

week, including exchange-traded funds:

Sector                    Flow      Pct       Total     Share

                      Change    Change     Assets    Class

(in $ billions)                  In Assets              Count

==============================================================

All Equity Funds          -2.428   -0.09    2,721.773  10,006

-Domestic Equities        -3.863   -0.20    2,018.548   7,608

-Non-Domestic Equities     1.435    0.21      703.225   2,398

All Taxable Bond Funds     0.966    0.08    1,273.651   4,002

All Money Market Funds    -8.689   -0.35    2,496.695   1,535

All Municipal Bond Funds  -0.640   -0.20      312.873   1,568

 (Reporting by Daniel Bases; Editing by Andrew Hay and Diane

Craft and Carol Bishopric)'

 

 

 

Portugal's Sovereigns Downgraded, Spanish Banks Guillotined

 

Household wealth down 23% in 2 years – Fed

 

Meredith Whitney Slashes Morgan Stanley Earnings Estimate, Doesn’t Feel The Need To Explain Herself

 

Tanks Outside Cairo Stock Exchange as Market Plunges Bloomberg | Stock exchange cordoned by military police and tanks.

‘US is broke, dollar down, yet policy is to divide & conquer’ RT | America is getting involved in another long-term war, which will ruin its economy.

US Approaching Insolvency, Fix To Be ‘Painful’: Fisher CNBC | The United States is on a fiscal path towards insolvency and policymakers are at a “tipping point,”.

Euro’s Collapse Is Not ‘Unthinkable’: Warren Buffett Warren Buffett told CNBC Thursday that the collapse of the euro zone’s single currency is far from “unthinkable.” “I know some people think it’s unthinkable…I don’t think it’s unthinkable,” Buffett said in an interview.

Investment Legends – “Dollar Collapse Inevitable” What will happen to the U.S. economy and the dollar in the near term? Will inflation increase dramatically? What is the outlook for gold, and where should you put your money? BIG GOLD asked a world-class panel of economists, authors, and investment advisors what they expect for the future. Caution: strong opinions ahead…

The Road of Inflation Will Only End in Tears Cycles and booms and busts just don’t happen. They are planned that way. In the late 1990s Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan commented on irrational exuberance and said he hoped the market would cool down.

18 Reasons Why You Can Stick A Fork In The New Home Construction Industry If you make your living by building or selling new homes in the United States, you might want to consider taking up a different career for a while.

 

 

 

National / World

 

School Shooting Exercise Portrays Student as Anti-Illegal Immigration Terrorist Kurt Nimmo | Scenario depicts racist student with access to a cache of guns and IEDs shooting Latino student.

Globalist Coalition Claims “Precision” Bombs Do Not Kill Libyan Civilians Kurt Nimmo | CNN and the corporate media are trying their darnedest to put the best face on Obama’s illegal attack.

Chernobyl-Style Yellow Rain Causes Panic In Japan Paul Joseph Watson | Authorities assure alarmed citizens yellow powder is pollen, but victims of Chernobyl radiation were told the same thing.

Fukushima Radiation Spreading To More U.S. States Steve Watson | EPA says some air monitors might not be working properly.

Apple Rejects iPhone 4 Radiation Metering App Matt Ryan | Radiation metering app demonstrates iPhone releases increased amount of radiation when struggling to find signal.

 

White House: Libya fight is not war, it’s ‘kinetic military action’ Byron York | “Military steps — and they can be kinetic and non-kinetic.”

 

Camp Lejeune Marines To Libya To Strike At Qadhafi Forces WCTI | We’ve seen Camp Lejuene Marines in Iraq and Afghanistan and now they are joining the fight against Libya.

 

‘Libya war could last 30 years’ Mail Online | Ministers admitted they have no idea how long military operation against Gaddafi could take.

 

Chernobyl-Style Yellow Rain Causes Panic In Japan Radioactive yellow rain that fell in Tokyo and surrounding areas last night caused panic amongst Japanese citizens and prompted a flood of phone calls to Japan’s Meteorological Agency this morning, with people concerned that they were being fed the same lies as victims of Chernobyl, who were told that yellow rain which fell over Russia and surrounding countries after the 1986 disaster was merely pollen, the same explanation now being offered by Japanese authorities.

Fukushima Radiation Spreading To More U.S. States Radiation from the ongoing disaster in Japan is spreading throughout the United States, and while the EPA says the levels are not dangerous, it also admits that some of its radiation-tracking air monitors may not even be working.

Globalist Coalition Claims “Precision” Bombs Do Not Kill Libyan Civilians CNN and the corporate media are trying their darnedest to put the best face on Obama’s illegal attack against the people of Libya under the auspices of the United Nations and its bankster overlords.

Critics: Iowa terror drill portrays immigration foes as killers Foes of illegal immigration are up in arms over plans for a weekend disaster exercise in western Iowa with a fictitious scenario in which white supremacists shoot dozens of people amid rising tensions involving racial minorities and illegal immigrants.

Radioactive Iodine In Fukushima Seawater Highest Ever, Reactors 5 And 6 Now Leaking Too And while futures rise as the market anticipates the latest central bank intervention to paper over the global financial insolvency, the radioactive fallout from Fukushima continues to worsen as Iodine 131 levels in the seawater hits the highest since the start of the crisis.

Orwell Rolls In His Grave: White House: Libya fight is not war, it’s ‘kinetic military action’ In the last few days, Obama administration officials have frequently faced the question: Is the fighting in Libya a war? From military officers to White House spokesmen up to the president himself, the answer is no. But that leaves the question: What is it?

Gas to Hit $5 Per Gallon Before Summer Oil industry experts warn that the price for a gallon of gas will reach $5 before summer. They blame the unfolding conflict in Libya and across the oil-producing Middle East for exploding prices.

Fukushima Radiation Release Rivals Chernobyl The radiation released by the stricken Fukushima nuclear plant already rivals and in one sense exceeds the Chernobyl catastrophe according to Austria’s Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, even as media spin downplays the severity of the crisis despite the fact that the problems at the plant show no signs of abating.

 

 



[I have been under constant barrage / hack / intrusions which has my antivirus working overtime and flashing saves from a multitude of threats. I think this particular thrust by what I reasonably suspect to be paranoid american / israeli criminals / lunatics was probably affected particularly by that blazing full ‘supermoon’, but continues when for now just limited moments I’m logged into windows xp, literally a virus magnet/so-called op system. I thereupon downloaded and installed linux / unbuntu 10.10 (most recent) which also makes available an ‘installer’ (separate download, both free from their official website -      http://www.ubuntu.com/desktop/get-ubuntu/download      ) that facilitates essentially a dual boot (you may choose your operating system for the session – windows or linux/ubuntu). Works like a charm and I strongly recommend it. Microsoft’s a dyingosaur american monopoly company which is an american tale and story of america as a pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt, dying / declining nation.]

 


Fears grow of humanitarian crisis in Libya  (Washington Post) [  Ya think? Based on … that familiar template we now know as Iraq, Afghanistan, etc., and let's not leave out the beneficiary of all such 'preoccupation'; viz., pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america …  Money Trouble Ahead: 15 Indications That Bad Times Are About To Hit The U.S. Economy 2011 is shaping up to be a really bad year for the U.S. economy. There are all kinds of indications that big trouble is ahead. So far financial markets are weathering all of the chaos around the world fairly well, but just as there were huge flashing warning signs before the 2008 financial crisis there are also huge flashing warning signs now.  The American Dream
March 23, 2011 
2011 is shaping up to be a really bad year for the U.S. economy. There are all kinds of indications that big trouble is ahead. So far financial markets are weathering all of the chaos around the world fairly well, but just as there were huge flashing warning signs before the 2008 financial crisis there are also huge flashing warning signs now.  The price of oil is soaring, the U.S. housing market is experiencing huge problems, the cost of living in America recently hit a new record high and each week the globe seems to become even more unstable.  How much pounding can our fragile economic system take before it completely collapses?  As the price of oil goes even higher, it is going to cause economic growth to slow down and it is going to cause the prices of the things that we all buy at the stores to go up at the same time.  It is very likely that we are entering a period of “stagflation” similar to what we experienced in the 1970s.  This is going to cause a huge amount of money trouble for millions of American families.  Already there are vast numbers of American families that are barely making it every month.  Tens of millions of Americans are already receiving government assistance.  So what is going to happen when the next financial crash happens and we experience yet another major economic downturn?

The truth is that the financial system was never “fixed” after the crash of 2008.  If anything, it is more vulnerable today than it was back then.  Even as you read this, major imbalances are building up in the global financial system, and at some point a “tipping point” will be reached...']  Aid organizations scramble to prepare for large-scale relief operations, as fears grew of a potential humanitarian crisis in a key city besieged by government forces.

 

 

New homes are bad deals in some areas   (Washington Post) [  If it only was just the new homes being bad deals in some areas … and if it only was just real estate and not, ie., grossly over-valued u.s. stocks, which rallied on the much worse than expected news, etc.. Post 'The rise (in stocks) came in spite of record low new-home sales data and continued worry about the European debt crisis.'   Select Stocks Boost Markets: Dave's Daily   [ Dave: '...Economic data focused on New Home Sales which were down nearly 17% causing the Homebuilder ETF (XHB) to rally. I kid you not! ...' ] 'As you must know, many major indices are price weighted and the DJIA takes the lead in this regard. Six of the highest priced stocks Wednesday (IBM, BA, CAT, DVX, MMM & UTX) provided most of the gains. Stocks were lower most of the morning, but volume seemed light, offering an opportunity for buyers to push prices higher. The theme for bulls was reconstruction in Japan even though EWJ (iShares Japan ETF) finished the day slightly lower. ETFs like XLB (SPDR Materials Sector ETF), SLX (Van Eck Steel ETF) and XME (SPDR Metals & Miners) have the "stuff" needed for reconstruction. Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd ("I want me some more me!") Blankfein was on the witness stand today. He confirmed director Rajat Gupta violated "confidentiality" by tipping off hedge fund trader Raj Rajaratnam regarding Buffett's investment in his company. Also in the financial sector, the Fed announced it would not permit BAC to payout a dividend post the recent ("covered-up") bank stress tests. This rightly drove shares of many financial companies lower. Further, it should drive taxpayer's nuts that a Fed "gag order" restricting disclosure of stress test results exists. This is taxpayer money after all. Meanwhile, speaking of the Fed we had two days of POMO resulting in $15 billion in fire power for trading desks of Primary Dealers including GS. The poor ADBE outlook lingered over tech but traders always seem to find a way to discard bad news and shift focus elsewhere. Of course, this can only be done so long. Economic data focused on New Home Sales which were down nearly 17% causing the Homebuilder ETF (XHB) to rally. I kid you not! Energy markets were higher despite higher inventories. OPEC spokesmen stated Tuesday they're comfortable at $120. How about you? Gold and silver hit fresh highs, while the euro dropped on Portugal, base metals rallied and bonds were slightly lower. Volume was once again light while breadth per the WSJ was unremarkable...' ]

 

 

 

Sec. Gates reassures Egypt over war in Libya (Washington Post) [ Well, there you go. If Gates says it; well, it must be true … riiiiight! Gates’s message   (Washington Post)  [ Which one? And I don't mean which gates. I mean which message? It's hard to keep up, especially if you have a good memory and remember what the meaning of the word 'is', is. Candor? CIA man gates? Are you just funnin' with us? Come on! Wake up! Oh wait … here's an incisive statement you can take to the bank … Uncertain outlook for Middle East: Gates [Sounds like a plan!] (Reuters)      Overseas official trips amidst crises  (Washington Post) [ It’s really quite incredible indeed. It was the espn basketball brackets that got me … so stereotypical … I mean what are they thinking, or not. Riiiight! Not! Well, gates is gone and as a cia man, what he says means absolutely nothing … they kind of pride themselves on that … On the receiving end you gotta think they’re already checking air force one’s return trip schedule hoping to ‘hold out’ and escape potential invasion themselves … After all, what nation in the world can or does trust desperate, meaningfully lawless, pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america … oh yeah, maybe fellow war crimes nation israel and orwellian, me-too old-biddy britain.… Gates's warning: Avoid land war in Asia, Middle East, and Africa Christian Science Monitor - In a speech to cadets at the United States Military Academy at West Point, Gates's message was clear: The US military services, as well as the elected and appointed civilians who send them to war, need better ways of foreseeing and preparing for ...     Gates Tells US Army to Take New Approach Voice of America    Warning Against Wars Like Iraq and Afghanistan New York Times  [ Better said, than unsaid; but, methinks a bit late for that in light of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s consummate decline and fall! If only they had listened and not shot at the messenger … things could have been different!    ]   ]As war clouds gathered over Libya on Friday, the U.S. commander in chief and his defense secretary were each preparing to leave Washington to visit places far removed from any military operations.      ]  The defense secretary is a voice of candor on the Mideast.

 

Germans pull forces out of NATO as Libyan coalition falls apart Mail Online

 

‘Libya war could last 30 years’ Mail Online | Ministers admitted they have no idea how long military operation against Gaddafi could take.

 

You Tube Admits To Freezing View Count On Biden Impeachment Video

National Guard Called Up for Libyan Intervention

 

 

New homes are bad deals in some areas   (Washington Post) [  If it only was just the new homes being bad deals in some areas … and if it only was just real estate and not, ie., grossly over-valued u.s. stocks, which rallied on the much worse than expected news, etc.. Post 'The rise (in stocks) came in spite of record low new-home sales data and continued worry about the European debt crisis.'   Select Stocks Boost Markets: Dave's Daily   [ Dave: '...Economic data focused on New Home Sales which were down nearly 17% causing the Homebuilder ETF (XHB) to rally. I kid you not! ...' ]

 

Portugal’s government collapses  (Washington Post) [ Here we go again … that so-called dominoe effect we thought we left behind in Vietnam; yet, truth be told, we have near 50 such dominoes here in the pervasively corrupt / defacto bankrupt disunited states of america. Yeah, it's actually worse here in terms of insurmountable magnitude.(Davis ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘ ). That wobama is a failed president, there is no question. Yet, the gop's 'never saw a war / conflict they didn't like' for the sake of the military industrial complex, war profiteers, israel, war criminals, the few, etc., despite the defacto bankruptcy of the nation is quite beyond the pale.  ‘US is broke, dollar down, yet policy is to divide & conquer’ RT | America is getting involved in another long-term war, which will ruin its economy.    US Approaching Insolvency, Fix To Be ‘Painful’: Fisher CNBC | The United States is on a fiscal path towards insolvency and policymakers are at a “tipping point,”.    Kucinich: War is a swamp, Obama Libya action unconstitutional Amid the ongoing coalitional bombardment of Libya it turns out President Obama may have had no constitutional authority for ordering US military involvement.   Drudgereport: FED: US Approaching Insolvency... DEM LAWMAKER: IMPEACH OBAMA..     ]

Portugal’s parliament rejects an austerity plan, pushing the country closer to an international bailout and triggering another test of Europe’s ability to deal with an ongoing debt crisis.

Related: Graphic: Europe's financial contagion

 

3 Reasons to Exit the Market Now   Martchev  'NEW YORK (TheStreet) - A S&P 500 futures trader once told me: "After a sharp sell-off, the bounce leading to a first kiss of a 20-day moving average from below is a short sale." But, I had to ask, "Why?" "That's how it is," he said with a typical New York City assertiveness and did not elaborate...'

 

U.S. cracks down on bribery abroad  (Washington Post) [ But keep up the bribery back home since they (the injustice department et als) all have their hands out one way or another, directly or indirectly, sooner or later, for a piece of that ever more elusive, depreciating, if not vanishing american pie. Justice Department, SEC charge companies such as IBM, GE, Alcatel-Lucent, Halliburton, Tyson Foods,  etc., for offenses abroad. See … if only these companies could move worthless paper like fraudulent wall street …!   

 

Obama Laments He’s Not President Of Communist China [ Time to relieve wobama the b’ (for b*** s***) of his burden by impeaching / removing him from office without delay! He may not have been the first black president (Clinton is generally considered the first black president by blacks and whites alike, a moniker Clinton accepted and wore proudly – that 18% vote), but he is certainly the last!  Drudgereport: City Lowers Police Testing Standards Because Not Enough Blacks Passed...         Under pressure from Obama administration...    Illinois mayor says Obama still owes city $55,457...    Obama to party with Washington reporters...   Golf in the afternoon...    ] Weekly Standard | “Mr. Obama has told people that it would be so much easier to be the president of China.”    Dave’s Daily: ‘…Where is the president? This has been a universal question raised by both right and left. Obama appeared on ESPN to go over his NCAA basketball bracket, is hosting a $30K a plate fund raiser in Harlem and heads this weekend to Rio. The president's disconnect is beyond belief and his ears have turned to tin…’    Obama Plays While Japan Begs for Help    [ ‘Wobama the b’ (for b*** s***) is a typical ‘***************’ … Go ahead, fill it in … whatever comes to mind … don’t feel guilty, he’s already a failed president who should be impeached / removed from office without delay and a total incompetent and fraud.  ]  Paul Joseph Watson & Alex Jones | With the world on fire, the President goes AWOL again …       Financialization and Our Increasingly Unstable Economy Roche ‘I finally got around to seeing the movie Inside Job, the story behind the credit crisis and winner of the Academy Award for best documentary. It’s very good and I highly recommend it to anyone who hasn’t seen it. It will certainly infuriate you. The movie doesn’t place nearly enough blame on homeowners, but all in all it does an excellent job of showing how Wall Street and government have become overrun by deregulation and sheer greed. A combination of flawed economic theory and greed have combined to create the beast that we now call a “functioning” economy. The worst part of it all is that President Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place. …’  ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]             

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]


]  Former general counsel inherited part of a Bernard Madoff account. 

Ethics code urged for Supreme Court  (Washington Post) [  Sounds like a plan! Come on! Wake up! After all, what can you expect from two guidos from ‘jersey (alito and scalia, colloquial – note that I have refrained from using what some might consider disparaging terms as w*p*, gui***s, or da***s … and let me state for the record that I truly loved and respected my grandmother who was 100% Italian/Bari,Italy and as well my grandfather/Lake Como,northern Italy with greek ancestral roots and I thereby claim standing/right to posit the criticism in light of my direct experience. ). How ‘bout starting with enforcing laws as to judges, liars, etc., within the very corrupted american illegal system; and, particularly bribes which in one form or another are rampant . I don’t know about Thomas ( 3-4-11  Throw Clarence Thomas Off the Bench (The Daily Beast)  ) , but I do know about alito and ‘jersey … :                                                                                                                    

October 15, 2010 (*see infra)

 

 

Steven M. Martinez, Assistant Director In Charge
Federal Bureau of Investigation, USDOJ
11000 Wilshire Blvd., Suite 1700

Los Angeles, CA 90024

 

 

Dear Sir:

 

I enclose herewith 3 copies of the within DVD rom autorun disk (which will open in your computer’s browser) as per your office’s request as made this day (the disk and contents have been scanned by Avast, McAfee, and Norton which I’ve installed on my computer to prevent viral attacks / infection and are without threat). I also include 1 copy of the DVD as filed with the subject court as referenced therein (which files are also included on the aforesaid 3 disks in a separate folder named ‘112208opocoan’). The (civil) RICO action (as you’re aware, the RICO Act is a criminal statute which provides a civil remedy, including treble damages and attorney fees, as an incentive for private prosecution of said claims probably owing to the fact that the USDOJ seems somewhat overwhelmed and in need of such assistance given the seriousness and prevalence of said violations of law which have a corrupting influence on the process, and which corruption is pervasive). A grievance complaint against Coan was also filed concurrently with the subject action and held in abeyance pending resolution of the action which was illegally dismissed without any supporting law and in contravention of the Order of The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District Connecticut. The files below the horizontal rule are the referenced documents as filed. (Owing to the damage to the financial interests of both the U.S. and the District of Congresswoman Roybal-Allard, viz., Los Angeles, the Qui Tam provisions of the Federal False Claims Act probably would apply and I would absent resolution seek to refer the within to a firm with expertise in that area of the law with which I am not familiar).

 

 

The document in 5 pages under penalty of perjury I was asked to forward to the FBI office in New Haven is probably the best and most concise summary of the case  RICO Summary to FBI Under Penalty of Perjury at Their Request (5 pages)      [  ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf   http://albertpeia.com/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf          ].

 

 

The correspondence I received from the Congresswoman by way of email attachment (apparent but typical problem with my mail) along with my response thereto is included on the 3 disks as     fbicorrespondencereyes.htm     .   With regard to the calls to the FBI’s LA and New Haven, CT offices: There was one call to the LA office and I was referred to the Long Beach, CA office where I personally met with FBI Agent Jeff Hayes to whom I gave probative evidentiary documents of the money laundering which he confirmed as indicative of same (he was transferred from said office within approximately a month of said meeting and his location was not disclosed to me upon inquiry). The matter was assigned to FBI Agent Ron Barndollar and we remained in touch for in excess of a decade until he abruptly retired (our last conversation prior to his retirement related to the case and parenthetically, Rudy Giuliani whose father I stated had been an enforcer for the mob to which he registered disbelief and requested I prove it, which I did – he served 12 years in prison, aggravated assault/manslaughter? – and no, there is no Chinese wall of separation – Andrew Maloney’s the one that prosecuted gotti).

 

 

In contradistinction to the statement in said correspondence, there is a plethora of information including evidence supporting the claims set forth in the    RICO VERIFIED COMPLAINT    (see infra). Such includes and as set forth in the case, inter alia,

 

 

·      A judgment had been entered in my favor in the case, United States District Court Case #3:93cv02065(AWT)(USDCJ Alvin Thompson), worth approximately now in excess of $300,000 remains unaccounted for and which could be used for payment to creditors, Los Angeles, etc..

·      Counsel Robert Sullivan on my behalf documented by way of certification upon investigation that Alan Shiff, USBCJ, had falsely stated a dismissal upon which false statement he predicated a retaliatory and spurious contempt proceeding against me causing substantial damage, and for which he sought Judicial Notice of those and related proceedings as did I in some of my filings.

·      The Order of Dismissal With Prejudice by Alan Shiff, USBCJ, owing to Defendant Coan’s failure to file anything whatsoever by the court’s deadline causing creditors and me substantial damages:   [  Shiff Order of Dismissal With Prejudice on Coan’s Failure to File        Page 1                Page 2          ]

·      Defendant Coan had filed an action against me to prevent me from suing him which necessitated me to fly to Connecticut for a hearing before The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District of Connecticut, who denied Coan’s requested relief as to Coan but precluded my action against Shiff (although there is no immunity, judicial or otherwise, for criminal acts, ie., fraud connected with a case under Title 11, USC, etc.) . [   transcript in pertinent part -     crossexamofcoanbypeia.pdf   ]

·      Newly appointed judge, Maryanne Trump Barry, Donald Trump’s sister, was assigned the RICO case despite the conflict of interest in light of hundreds of thousands of dollars of illegal (drug) money being laundered through the Trump casinos by the RICO defendants, and despite my motion to recuse her which motion she heard herself and denied, and U.S. Trustee Hugh Leonard with whom I met personally refused to join or file a separate motion to recuse and not long thereafter left said office for private practice at Cole, Shotz, et als on retainer with the RICO defendants as his primary client.

·      Probative and evidentiary documents, affidavits, exhibits, including those turned over to FBI Agent Jeff Hayes in Long Beach, CA, had been given to Assistant U.S. Attorney Jonathan Lacey with whom I met personally at the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Newark, N.J., at which time Samuel Alito was U.S. Attorney, and went over said documents and their probative value with him. Within approximately a month thereafter upon inquiry I was told that Jonathon Lacey was no longer with the office, that the file/documents could not be located, and that there was no further information available concerning contacting him or his location. I thereupon delivered by hand, copies of said documents to the office of then U.S. Attorney Alito, addressed to him, with assurance they would go directly to him. In addition to being inept [ I looked in on the one mob case he had brought, bungled, lost (accidently on purpose?) since I was suing some mob-connected under RICO and the court (I had known / previously met outside of court the judge Ackerman through a client) was absolute bedlam and a total joke since incompetent corrupt Alito brought in all 20 mob defendants (rather than prosecute one or a few to flip them first) who feigning illness had beds/cots in the courtroom along with their moans during testimony and had the jury in stitches. As much as I hate the mob, it truly was funny, if not so tragic.],   Alito is also corrupt (and maybe corrupt because he is inept). After a reasonable (but still rather short) time I called to determine the status and was told that Alito was no longer with the Office of the U.S. Attorney, that he was (appointed) a federal judge, and that neither the documents nor any file or record of same could be located. Alito did parley the same / cover-up into quid pro quo direct lifetime appointment to the Court of Appeals, 3rd circuit, despite the absence of judicial experience or successful tenure as U.S. Attorney (Maryanne Trump Barry as well). This is the same Sam Alito that now sits on the purported highest court in the land. The real application of the illegal rule ‘don’t ask, don’t tell’.

 

 

There is applicable insurance / surety coverage and neither LA, nor creditors, nor I should continue to have been damaged by this brazened corrupt and illegal scenario, which should be resolved in accordance with the meaningful rules of law apposite thereto.

 

 

Sincerely,

 

 

Albert L. Peia

611 E. 5th Street, #404

Los Angeles, CA 90013

(213) 219-**** (cell phone)

(213) 622-3745 (listed land line but there are unresolved problems with the line, computer connection may be the reason but I hesitate to chance greater non-performance / worsening by their ‘fix’ so cell phone best for contact).

  ] Group of law professors' appeal comes after controversies involving travel and appearances at political events by several justices.

 

 

 

Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)     http://www.stansberryresearch.com/pro/1011PSIENDVD/LPSILC43/PR  [ The instant  video on the economic / financial collapse from Stansberry and Associates is so well researched  and succinctly presented  that I’ve archived same on my website; also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views I’ve presented on my site which I believe to be correct. This is a must-view, must-see that I strongly recommend!    
The complete url:     http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv  ( 146mb – approx. 1 hr. 17 min. )         http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.mp4    (  374mb  )     Written text of presentation (without pictures  / charts)  http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrypresentation.htm ]


(Washington Post) [Wobama says daffy gaddafi’s time is up, got to go. The same can be said of wobama et als and his fraudulently failed presidency.   Sheen On Obama: “A Coward In a Cheap Suit”   [ I think Sheen to be too gentle in his criticism of wobama (Some might reflexively, defensively allege drugs (prescription or otherwise) or any number of the varied personality disorders so prevalent in america … ‘fuzzy, California laid back thinking’, ‘whatever’… Who knows? ) But, that said, wobama’s far worse than just a ‘coward in a cheap suit’. Indeed, Wobama’s a total fraud having been elected under false pretenses; viz., his total, unequivocal, and unfulfilled b*** s*** (those campaign promises) ! Moreover, there has been some persuasive documentation questioning wobama’s citizenship / birthplace placing his eligibility to even hold the office of president in question.  Drudgereport:
UPDATE: Huckabee claims Obama grew up in Kenya...      The Obama Nation, by Jerome Corsi  Rezko was corrupt, and supported Obama in many campaigns as well as in Obama buying his home -- and therefore, according to Corsi, Obama is corrupt by ...www.ontheissues.org/Obama_Nation.htm  ] Amidst the controversy of his wild interview on the Alex Jones Show yesterday, actor Charlie Sheen wasted little time in confronting President Barack Obama on his failure to answer Sheen’s twenty questions concerning 9/11, calling Obama, “a coward in a cheap suit.”        A Government Shut-down Imperils the Power of Congress Paul Craig Roberts | Congress could try to protect its loss of the power of the purse by impeaching Obama.       Drudgereport: WOBAMA 'IMPEACHMENT' WARNING...   ...to announce exploratory committee 'in 10 days'         Globalist Shill Barack Obama Asks Business Leaders For Job Creation Ideas Even As He Ships More Of Our Jobs Overseas As Part Of The New One World Economy The other day, Barack Obama summoned a group of business and labor leaders to the White House and “challenged” them to come up with some great ideas for creating more jobs inside the United States.   Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post). Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’: Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post) Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’:  

But still it’s ‘hands off fraudulent wall street’ to theirs, the nation’s, and the world’s detriment. Firms subpoenaed in attempt to regain Fannie, Freddie losses (Washington Post). But there’s a reason:

The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  ( UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown. ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1  – well worth a look. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

While boner and barton are indeed jokes / vegetables that bespeak the single-digit approval rate for congress, obama’s failure to deliver on promises with as well, endless war spending despite defacto bankruptcy of the nation and a watered down nothing financial regulation bill for talking points but little substance, make him as big a joker, along with the dems. This well researched / produced video tells the real story :  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1   ‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ – well worth the view.    [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends ]

‘The Obama Deception’ Censored  A viral You Tube upload of one of Alex Jones’ most popular feature films ‘The Obama Deception’ has been censored following a spur of the moment campaign to elevate the movie’s title to the top of the major internet search engines.      In light of this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if incomplete)     http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257#           For the Same Reason I’ve Included Here a Web Site Archived FLV Version of Esoteric Agenda          http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv   

 

Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’

 



World's richest are almost $1 trillion richer [ And the other 95% trillions poorer. ]

 


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You got to know I like the Post; and, it is your paper; and, it hasn't been particularly good for my posting; and, you know I still like The Washington Post; and, it is your paper; but, let me euphemistically say, you did not help yourself with the changes (except as I surmise as a possible means by which you conserve server / disk space).

There is nothing positive for me to add, unfortunately. Again ... Your paper, your choice.

Al Peia

 


Select Stocks Boost Markets: Dave's Daily   [ Dave: '...Economic data focused on New Home Sales which were down nearly 17% causing the Homebuilder ETF (XHB) to rally. I kid you not! ...' ] 'As you must know, many major indices are price weighted and the DJIA takes the lead in this regard. Six of the highest priced stocks Wednesday (IBM, BA, CAT, DVX, MMM & UTX) provided most of the gains. Stocks were lower most of the morning, but volume seemed light, offering an opportunity for buyers to push prices higher. The theme for bulls was reconstruction in Japan even though EWJ (iShares Japan ETF) finished the day slightly lower. ETFs like XLB (SPDR Materials Sector ETF), SLX (Van Eck Steel ETF) and XME (SPDR Metals & Miners) have the "stuff" needed for reconstruction. Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd ("I want me some more me!") Blankfein was on the witness stand today. He confirmed director Rajat Gupta violated "confidentiality" by tipping off hedge fund trader Raj Rajaratnam regarding Buffett's investment in his company. Also in the financial sector, the Fed announced it would not permit BAC to payout a dividend post the recent ("covered-up") bank stress tests. This rightly drove shares of many financial companies lower. Further, it should drive taxpayer's nuts that a Fed "gag order" restricting disclosure of stress test results exists. This is taxpayer money after all. Meanwhile, speaking of the Fed we had two days of POMO resulting in $15 billion in fire power for trading desks of Primary Dealers including GS. The poor ADBE outlook lingered over tech but traders always seem to find a way to discard bad news and shift focus elsewhere. Of course, this can only be done so long. Economic data focused on New Home Sales which were down nearly 17% causing the Homebuilder ETF (XHB) to rally. I kid you not! Energy markets were higher despite higher inventories. OPEC spokesmen stated Tuesday they're comfortable at $120. How about you? Gold and silver hit fresh highs, while the euro dropped on Portugal, base metals rallied and bonds were slightly lower. Volume was once again light while breadth per the WSJ was unremarkable...'



3 Reasons to Exit the Market Now   Martchev  'NEW YORK (TheStreet) - A S&P 500 futures trader once told me: "After a sharp sell-off, the bounce leading to a first kiss of a 20-day moving average from below is a short sale." But, I had to ask, "Why?" "That's how it is," he said with a typical New York City assertiveness and did not elaborate. That very well may be "how it is" for the unwritten trading rule to look to sell the S&P 500 Index near the 20-day moving average after a sharp sell-off, but I still personally need to know the "why." Technical trading has value, but simply looking at charts is not enough for me. So, I decided to come up with some reasons behind why you should sell this particular rally.

No. 1: Oil Prices are Surging

Oil is above $100 per barrel as the bombardment of Libya has started. A missile already hit the Gaddafi residential compound -- "even though he is not a specific target" -- which, if successful, would have likely shortened the operation and brought a quicker resolution to the situation. (Click here for a related InvestorPlace.com article on investing in 3 dangerous places.) While Gaddafi has halted his attack on Benghazi after jet fighters attacked his troops directly, there is still plenty of fighting elsewhere. It looks to me that the rebels will use the situation to regroup and mount an offensive. In this situation, no foreign oil workers will return to the country anytime soon, causing Libya to further cut oil production. In addition, the situation in Yemen and Bahrain, both of which border Saudi Arabia, is rapidly deteriorating. In this scenario, I recommend taking a look at the U.S. Oil Fund(USO_) (NYSE: USO). This ETF has pulled back along with the front-month futures it tracks. Oil is likely headed higher in the short term, as all the factors that caused it to go to $107 have deteriorated notably while the price is below that level as of the time of this writing. There are liquid April, May and June options on the USO that offer numerous strategies to play the upside. Naked calls are the most risky, while any relevant option spreads will limit your risk and your rewards. (Smart traders try to minimize risk; greedy ones try to maximize the reward.)'

 

 

Lack Of Federal Fiscal Discipline Puts U.S. In Greece's League   Ganos  'The federal government stands on the brink of financial collapse.  For three years now, the federal budget deficit has been running around 10 percent of gross domestic product (GDP).  At the current rate of federal spending, our total national debt will be about 108 percent of GDP by the end of the current fiscal year in September 2011.  The Bowles-Simpson Commission warned that in three years, we will be where Greece is now. The Maastricht Treaty – which governs the euro currency system – requires member nations to exercise a certain level of fiscal discipline.  Specifically, a member nation should not have a budget deficit that exceeds three percent of GDP.  And, a member nation should not have total national debt that exceeds 60 percent of GDP. Of course, the only member nation that seems to have been telling the truth about its finances was Germany. Look where Europe is now.  Greece’s national debt is approximately 150 percent of its GDP.  At our current rate, we will be there in about three years as Bowles and Simpson have warned.  Separately, economic historians will tell us that countries whose total national debt exceeds 90 percent have tough times going forward. While Greece kicks and screams about austerity, there is a perfect example of a turn-around: Brazil.  Thirty years ago, Brazil was a financial basket case.  It defaulted on much of its debt.  After taking some tough medicine, its national debt is now about 30 to 40 percent of GDP.  Today, Brazil is growing quite well.  It has the seventh largest economy in the world and will likely overtake France and Germany in the next five years to take the number five position. The bottom line is that the federal government needs to exercise fiscal discipline.  The solution needs to work for everyone.  The folks on the left will want this or that.  The folks on the right will want a different this or that.  Everyone must share in the pain or we’ll all be in for worse pain.  And, I don’t particularly care what the “this or that” is.  That’s for the politicians.  I do particularly care about the number, that we balance our budget.  If that means one combination or another of tax increases and spending cuts, fine.  My family must balance its budget.  Your family must balance its budget. Now, I was about to say that we couldn’t pin this one on Goldman Sachs.  But, from which firm have many of our recent Secretaries of the Treasury come?'

 

 

Year to Date Market Statistics Favor the Bear Suttmeier 'All you hear on financial television are the cheerleaders who tout that the bull market is alive and well. I have disagreed with this notion saying that the February 18 highs are the highs for the year. The Dow declined 6.7% from its February 18 high at 12,391.29 to its March 16 low of 11,555.48, and the rebound over the past four sessions has been 4.0% leaving the Industrials 3.0% below the February high. The NASDAQ declined 8.3% from its February high at 2840.51 to its March 16 low of 2603.50, and the rebound over the past four sessions has been 3.1% leaving the NASDAQ 5.5% below its February high. The NASDAQ ended last week with a negative weekly chart, which stays negative on a close this week below 2725.[chart]

The worst performance has been the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) which peaked at 474.33 in mid-February. From that high to the mid-March low the SOX lost 13.8%. The rebound since Thursday through Monday was 3.5%, which leaves the SOX 10.8% below its high for the year.

Stocks Remain Overvalued Fundamentally -- We are not operating under a ValuEngine Valuation Warning, but 56.6% of all stocks are overvalued. In addition 15 of 16 sectors are overvalued with five by double-digit percentages.

Tracking the Bearish Moving Average Crossovers -- This occurs when the 21-day simple moving average trends below the 50-day simple moving average.

·      Dow -- The 21-day and 50-day are converging as resistance at 12,047 and 12,029.

·      SPX -- The 21-day and 50-day are crossing negatively today at 1303.57 and 1303.77.

·      NASDAQ -- The 21-day and 50-day crossed over on Friday at 2722 and 2743.

·      NASDAQ 100 -- The 21-day and 50-day crossed over on Friday at 2300 and 2317.

·      Dow Transports -- The 21-day and 50-day crossed on March 14 at 5060 and 5111.

·      The Russell 2000 -- The 21-day and 50-day are still converging at 808.02 and 804.36.

·      The SOX -- The 21-day and 50-day crossed over on Friday at 439.60 and 445.97.


Closes on Weekly Charts Relative to the Five-Week Modified Moving Averages

1.   Dow -- The five-week MMA is 11,994 with declining MOJO.

2.   SPX -- Stays negative on a weekly close below the five-week MMA at 1299.2.

3.   NASDAQ -- Stays negative on a weekly close below the five-week MMA at 2725.

4.   NASDAQ 100 -- Stays negative on a weekly close below the five-week MMA at 2300.

5.   Dow Transports -- Stays negative on a weekly close below the five-week MMA at 5101.

6.   The Russell 2000 -- Stays negative on a weekly close below the five-week MMA at 803.96.

7.   The SOX -- Stays negative on a weekly close below the five-week MMA at 440.81.


The weekly chart for the Dow Industrial Average shifts to negative this week on a weekly close below the five-week modified moving average at 11,994, as momentum (12x3x3 weekly slow stochastic) will be declining under 8.0. This measure scales between zero and 10.0, where a reading above 8.0 defines an overbought condition. Momentum peaked at 9.5 on February 18 when the high for the cycle was reached at 12,391.29. My first downside target is my annual value level at 11,491. A close in March below 11,491 targets semiannual value levels at 10,959 then 9,449 in the second quarter. This week’s risky level is 12,271.[chart]

10-Year Note -- (3.332) Weekly, annual, and semiannual value levels are 3.496 and 3.796 with daily, and monthly risky levels at, 3.231 and 3.002. [chart]

Comex Gold -- ($1425.9) Daily and annual value levels are $1417.9 and $1356.5 with weekly, monthly and quarterly pivots at $1440.7, $1437.7 and $1441.7, and semiannual risky level at $1452.6.[chart]

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($104.94) Daily, monthly, and semiannual value levels are $100.62, $96.43, and $87.52 with annual pivots at $99.91 and $101.92, and semiannual and quarterly risky levels at $107.14 and $110.87. [chart]

The Euro -- (1.4202) Weekly and quarterly value levels are 1.4028 and 1.3227 with daily, semiannual and monthly risky levels at 1.4347, 1.4624 and 1.4637.[chart]

Daily Dow -- (12,019) Daily, annual, quarterly, semiannual, and semiannual value levels are 11,841, 11,491, 11,395, 10,959, and 9,449 with weekly, monthly and annual risky levels at 12,271, 12,741 and 13,890. Watch the 21-day and 50-day simple moving averages as a zone of chart resistance, and a potential bearish crossover.[chart]

Key Levels for the Major Equity Averages

·      The Dow Industrial Average (12,019) Daily and annual value levels are 11,841 and 11,491 with weekly and monthly risky levels at 12,271 and 12,741. Given a close in March below 11,491 the downside is to semiannual value levels at 10,959 and 9,449.

·      The S&P 500 (1298.4) Daily and annual value levels are 1277.8 and 1210.7 with my quarterly pivot at 1262.5, and weekly and monthly risky levels at 1330.7 and 1381.3.

·      The NASDAQ (2692) My daily value level is 2641 with weekly, quarterly and monthly risky levels at 2792, 2853 and 2926. Semiannual and annual value levels are 2363, 2335 and 2172.

·      The NASDAQ 100 (NDX) (2263) My daily value level is 2222 with weekly, quarterly, and monthly risky levels at 2360, 2438 and 2499. Semiannual value levels are 2006.8 and 1927.6.

·      Dow Transports (5167) Daily and quarterly value levels are 5044 and 4671 with weekly and annual pivots at 5164 and 5179.

·      The Russell 2000 (808.66) Daily, annual and quarterly value levels are 797.08, 784.16 and 765.50 with weekly and monthly risky levels at 842.72 and 850.79. Semiannual value levels are 631.62 and 567.74.

·      The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) (422.91) My daily value level is 420.512 with monthly, weekly, and quarterly risky levels at 453.89, 462.98 and 465.93. Semiannual and annual value levels are 296.89, 270.98 and 259.30.


The FHFA reports another decline in home prices. According to the Federal Housing Finance Agency Monthly House Price Index home prices declined 0.3% in January with a year over year decline of 3.9%. This index tracks the purchase prices of houses backed by mortgages sold or guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. I have been predicting lower home prices.
[chart] [chart]’

 

 


Bracing for More Economic Punches The Inflation Trader 'Many things have happened since I last wrote, on the day of CPI.

·      Libya declared a cease-fire. Libya immediately violated its own cease-fire. A number of nations, including but not led by the U.S., imposed a no-fly zone in Libya at probably the last possible moment before the rebels faced defeat, and now may seek to secure the country by attacking Gaddafi’s troops by land. A member of the U.S. President’s own party declared that he should be impeached. Oil, seemingly oblivious of this drama, traded up another $4 over that time period and is near the year’s highs. I paid $72 to fill my Jeep yesterday.

·      Existing Home Sales were dismal, and inventories actually rose slightly for the first time in six months. This is a small surprise given the low rates and slowing improving economic situation, but it may also be an insignificant wiggle. Still, economists have been revising lower their projected growth rates for Q1. Growing, but not booming.

·      The Treasury announced that it is going to sell “up to” $10bln of its $142bln portfolio of agency MBS per month. This is prudent since they are aware of a $1.25 trillion portfolio that supposedly wants to unwind over the next few years (I seriously doubt it will happen). The timing is good since there is no net Treasury issuance at presence, thanks to the fact that the Fed is buying all of the net paper. It is not a monetary drain the way it will be when the Fed sells securities, because in the Treasury’s case it is replacing other issuance that it would do. The money will be spent either way! When the Fed sells securities for cash, the cash just sits there. When the Treasury sells securities for cash, it is recycled into the economy in the form of spending.

·      Portugal’s government looks poised to lose a vote in parliament, and the event would effectively topple the government and push early elections. J.P. Morgan declared that “the likelihood that the Portuguese government will fall this week looks high.” This would, some people believe, force Portugal to seek support from the Stability Facility. If that surprises you, then you haven’t been paying much attention. Portuguese 10y yields are at 7.38%, below Ireland’s 9.66% partly because Irish yields keep rising. And yet, we keep hearing that the ECB is preparing to tighten monetary policy. If I was in Ireland, Greece, or Portugal, such talk would really irritate me. Slowing the economy right now is not exactly what these guys need, especially since the European economy is currently growing at a lusty 2% y/y. If there is a risk to the inflationary outcome being stoked by the Fed and perhaps finally the BOJ, it is that the ECB makes a horrendous policy error and tightens policy into a weak economy. I didn’t think this was very likely, because only fools would be thinking about tightening in Europe right now. It’s like taking someone on life support and deciding to remove their appendix. Without sterile equipment.

·      In an unrelated note, probably, Venezuelan strongman Hugo Chavez declared that capitalism may have ended life on Mars. He may have been joking.

·      Japan has gotten the nuclear situation seemingly under control, and the world is breathing a sigh of relief. The scale and scope of the catastrophe is still staggering. Some 9,000 people are confirmed dead, and with the number still missing and the number still without heat or food that number could still double. Into this great tragedy, the Bank of Japan and other central banks jointly intervened to weaken the yen several days ago. This is even less explicable than the saber-rattling of the ECB, because at least that could be stopped at saber-rattling. Why in the world would you want to weaken the yen? The fact it is strong is incredible in the first place – ordinarily currencies of countries with weakening economies, huge deficits, and loosening monetary policy will weaken on their own. A lower currency, induced by central banks, means that the people of Japan will have higher prices to deal with in addition to everything else, and since Japan imports most of its food and energy it means higher prices for those things. It helps the export sector, but right now they’re not making much of anything so it’s all downside.

Okay, now I think we are caught up as we head into today, Wednesday’s New Home Sales (Consensus: 290k from 284k) data. The bottom line is this: the immediate, nuclear crisis of Japan has passed. The Libya/MENA/energy price crisis is upon us. The Portuguese crisis is yet to occur...'

 

 

Goldman CEO says ex-director spilled secrets (Reuters)  [  Oh riiiiight! He was the  exception … Come on! … The markets are no longer markets per se, but rather incestuous pools of manipulations totally dependent upon ultimately taxpayer funds and defacto immunity for their ever more blatant and continuing crimes geared to maximize their own wealth to satisfy their own greed to the detriment of everyone else as seen in the last, continuing crisis. ]

 

Tanks Outside Cairo Stock Exchange as Market Plunges Bloomberg | Stock exchange cordoned by military police and tanks.

 

‘US is broke, dollar down, yet policy is to divide & conquer’ RT | America is getting involved in another long-term war, which will ruin its economy.

China could overtake US economy by 2020: World Bank

Tanks Gather Outside Of Cairo Stock Exchange, As Market Plunges In First Day Of Trading In its first trading since late January, the Egyptian market crashed. about 10%. That’s apparently limit down, so trading is already over.

US Inflation On Track To Hit 8.3% In 2011 Chasing all the fluttering glow in the dark swans over the past month has put some of the key issues facing the US economy on the backburner. But just like today’s surging inflation update in the UK confirmed, there is only so long that any given crisis can be used a distraction from the real problems at hand.

 

US Approaching Insolvency, Fix To Be ‘Painful’: Fisher CNBC | The United States is on a fiscal path towards insolvency and policymakers are at a “tipping point,”.

 

‘Fukushima flawed from start, 24 such plants online in US’ David Lindorff, investigative journalist and founding editor of the online newspaper This Can’t Be Happening explains why it is still impossible to prevent disasters like Fukushima, with all the work that is going into the development of peaceful nuclear energy:

Fukushima Smoking Gun Emerges: Founding Engineer Says Reactor 4 Has Always Been A “Time Bomb”, Exposes Criminal Cover Up It was only a matter of time before someone grew a conscience, and disclosed to the world that in addition to the massive cover up currently going on with respect to the true extent of the Fukushima catastrophe, the actual plant itself, in borrowing from the BP playbook, was built in a hurried way, using cost and labor-cutting shortcuts, and the end result was a true “time bomb.”

 

How Is The Central Economic Planning That The Federal Reserve Does Different From The Central Economic Planning That Communist China Does? Most Americans believe that we still live in a capitalist system and that free markets primarily determine the growth and development of our economy. But is that really the case? No, sadly it is not.

 

 

 

National / World

 

You Tube Admits to Censoring View Count on Biden Impeachment Video Steve Watson | Youtube has admitted to freezing the viewcount on a viral video of the Vice President highlighting the hypocrisy of Obama Admin’s aggression against Libya.


Japanese only ‘estimating’ radiation, not actually measuring Aaron Dykes | Japanese “experts” admit they are using a simulation to estimate radiation because accurate measurements aren’t feasible.

U.S. Health Authorities Urge Americans Not To Take Potassium Iodide Paul Joseph Watson | Baffling response given the fact that Fukushima is still spewing black radioactive smoke as Japanese authorities refuse to confirm radiation levels. Despite the fact that Fukushima nuclear reactor is still spewing black radioactive smoke as the crisis shows little sign of abating and Japanese authorities refuse to give accurate radiation readings, U.S. health authorities have gone from ambivalently telling Americans not to worry about the situation, to actively discouraging them from obtaining potassium iodide at all.

 

Germans pull forces out of NATO as Libyan coalition falls apart Mail Online | A German military spokesman said it was recalling two frigates and AWACS surveillance plane crews from the Mediterranean.

 

Chileans Receive Obama with Anti-NWO Info Blitz NWNoticias | The Chilean Resistance warn of the real globalist agenda behind the puppet president Obama.

 

‘Libya war could last 30 years’ Mail Online | Ministers admitted they have no idea how long military operation against Gaddafi could take.

 

You Tube Admits To Freezing View Count On Biden Impeachment Video Youtube has admitted to freezing the viewcount on a viral video of Vice President Joe Biden that highlights the hypocrisy of the Obama administration as it engages in military aggression against Libya.

Radiation Level At Fukushima Reactor No. 2 At Its Highest Level Recorded So Far, Neutron Beam Observed 13 Times Electric Power Co. said Wednesday it has observed a neutron beam, a kind of radioactive ray, 13 times on the premises of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant after it was crippled by the massive March 11 quake-tsunami disaster.

Corporate Media Ignores Astronomical Fukushima Radiation Levels The Kyodo News Agency reports that radiation around the hobbled Fukushima nuclear plant is 1,600 times the normal level. The astounding figure was released to the media by the International Atomic Energy Agency officials on Monday.

Syria & Yemen: Tying up Globalist Loose Ends As the global corporate-financier oligarchy directs US, British, and French planes to bomb yet another Arab nation, their media tentacles are searching for sensationalism and sympathy in Syria to bolster destabilization efforts on the ground.

National Guard Called Up for Libyan Intervention Once again, the professional war-makers are taking you to the cleaners. So far, according to Fox News, Obama’s little excursion into Libya has cost you millions. Fox cites a Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments analysis estimating that the Libyan no-fly zone may cost $100 million to $300 million per week.

Hypocrite Biden Threatened Bush Impeachment Over Unconstitutional War How things change. In 2007, then presidential hopeful Biden stated unequivocally that he would work to impeach Bush if he bombed Iran without first gaining congressional approval. Now Biden is dutifully ringing up the royalty in United Arab Emirates and cajoling them to support Obama’s unconstitutional war waged on Libya and kicked off without congressional approval.

Leftist “Economic Terrorists” Are Patsies For The Real Economic Terrorists The controversy generated around the remarks of former SEIU official Stephen Lerner and his plan to rally unions, lawmakers, student groups and community organizers around a plan to crash the stock market, destroy big banks and redistribute wealth in America by destabilizing the country will be exploited by the real financial terrorists when they decide to launch the next false flag attack on the U.S. economy.

 

 

 

Drudgereport: FED: US Approaching Insolvency...
Oil closes above $105, highest level since Aug 2008...
New Home Sales Plunge; Hit Lowest Level Since Data Tracking Began in 1960s...
US gasoline inventories fall...
Neutron beam observed 13 times at crippled Fukushima nuke plant...
Fallout reaches Europe...
Concern in Tokyo over tap water...
Leading OBAMACARE Backer Considering Waiver for his City...
TOP GUN: As bombs drop, Spring Training (at baseball camp) for 'Lobotomy Joe' Biden...
Army Soldier Pleads Guilty in Deaths of 3 Afghan Civilians...
PORTUGAL TEETERS AFTER FAILURE TO CUT DEBT...

International Bailout Only Option...
PM resigns...
W
OBAMA: I'm keeping my Peace Prize ... (which as is so of 'wobama the b' {for b*** s***} means absolutely nothing) ...
BOMBED BUT NOT BROKEN

Obama seeks to break impasse...
Allies in disarray...
No one wants to run operation...
French PM: 'We are not at war'...
DEM LAWMAKER: IMPEACH OBAMA...
US rescue chopper shoots 6 villagers welcoming pilots of downed jet...

UPDATE: Soldier to Plead Guilty in Afghan Murder Case...
Will testify against fellow 'kill team' troops...
Mainstream media ignores 'trophy' photos; White House mum...
Oil tops $105 per barrel...

Ex-President of Israel Sentenced to Prison for Rape...
Violence warning in UK as unions plan mass march Sunday...

DEFIANT

Gadhafi 'may become target of air strikes'...
Libya claims missiles struck Gadhafi's complex...
Arab League criticizes...
Waning support from China, Russia...
Boehner to Obama: Define mission...
Lib Dems in uproar...
Gadhafi: 'To my Dear Obama, our son'...
Saudis take to streets to demand release of prisoners held without trial...

NEWSWEEK: 38% fail basic citizenship test...

WAR NO. 3: US FIRES MISSILES INTO LIBYA
U.S., allies launch broadest international military effort since Iraq war...
Fire 112 Tomahawk missiles into Tripoli, Misrata...
LIVE: 'Operation Odyssey Dawn'...
Gadhafi to speak on 'the Crusaders' aggression'...

MARCH 19, 2011
OBAMA: 'Today we are part of a broad coalition. We are answering the calls of a threatened people. And we are acting in the interests of the United States and the world'...
MARCH 19, 2003
BUSH: 'American and coalition forces are in the early stages of military operations to disarm Iraq, to free its people and to defend the world from grave danger...

Anti-war protesters arrested near White House...

OBAMA DOES RIO...
Met with violent protests...
Cancels Public Speech in Rio Square...
Cancels Press Conference...
...picks UConn to win 3rd straight women's basketball championship...

Farrakhan to Obama: 'Be Careful, Brother. Who The Hell Do You Think Your Are?'

RADIOACTIVE IODINE DETECTED IN TOKYO DRINKING WATER...
Nearby Milk, spinach radiated, too...
FOOD SALES HALT CONSIDERED...

RADIOACTIVE IODINE DETECTED IN TOKYO DRINKING WATER...
Nearby Milk, spinach radiated, too...
FOOD SALES HALT CONSIDERED...

Japan Nuclear Disaster Caps Decades of Faked Reports...
 

 

 

Their pet goat (Washington Post) [ Oh come on! How can Mr. Milbank defend the indefensible; viz., 'wobama the b' (for b*** s***). Not that the gop is particularly credible … I mean aren't they the wimps on their so-called 'budget plan' (Davis ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘ ). That wobama is a failed president, there is no question. Yet, the gop's 'never saw a war / conflict they didn't like' for the sake of the military industrial complex, war profiteers, israel, war criminals, the few, etc., despite the defacto bankruptcy of the nation is quite beyond the pale.  ‘US is broke, dollar down, yet policy is to divide & conquer’ RT | America is getting involved in another long-term war, which will ruin its economy.    US Approaching Insolvency, Fix To Be ‘Painful’: Fisher CNBC | The United States is on a fiscal path towards insolvency and policymakers are at a “tipping point,”.    Kucinich: War is a swamp, Obama Libya action unconstitutional Amid the ongoing coalitional bombardment of Libya it turns out President Obama may have had no constitutional authority for ordering US military involvement.   Drudgereport: FED: US Approaching Insolvency... DEM LAWMAKER: IMPEACH OBAMA..     ] The GOP takes Obama from tyrant to wimp in one quick trip.

 

Cost Of Libya War: $100 Million Dollars A Day With U.N. coalition forces bombarding Libyan leader Muammar el-Qaddafi from the sea and air, the United States’ part in the operation could ultimately hit several billion dollars — and require the Pentagon to request emergency funding from Congress to pay for it.

 

‘US is broke, dollar down, yet policy is war’

Fox News Contrives “Human Shield” Hoax To Sell Libya War Just as Bill Clinton’s bombardment of Serbia was launched on the back of a humanitarian hoax about fake concentration camps, establishment media outlets are already busy contriving phony stories about Gaddafi using “human shields” to convince the American people that the $100 million dollar a day attack on Libya is virtuous and noble.

 

Economic problems could cross Pacific (Washington Post) [ Could? Is this one of those trick / 'understatement' statements / questions? You know … like … do bears s*** in the woods?... is the Pope catholic? … etc.. Japanese Meltdown Will Inhibit U.S. Recovery  Hansen '…Immediately following an economic disaster, there is dislocation. Modern supply chains are disrupted. Transport is problematic. Like a tsunami, the inter-linkage of modern supply chains ripple through all products. Japan is an exporting nation. There are products made only in Japan, or disruption of production of a product where Japan is a significant producer, or the need for Japan to import a product normally not traded internationally. In other words, a ripple will go through availability and prices - both positive and negative.The global supply chains will adapt and improvise. What will go on inside Japan will be different.Japan will have lost forever six nuclear power plants units. A loss of six nukes leaves a huge hole in a nation's ability to produce energy. It will take many years to replace permanently - and the short term solution is building conventional fossil power plants. Manufacturing needs energy. But I fear energy may be a small component of the fallout for this event. In the short term, this is a true black swan event for investors.   ...'    Fears over Japan impact grow (Washington Post) [ As indeed they must, in keeping with some semblance of reality. ]  Some analysts predict the tragedy could dramatically disrupt the fragile global economic recovery.  [  You can bet that some bets already placed regarding Japan’s prospective action in the markets; ie., buying or rolling over government securities of  such as the u.s., particularly, now fall under that foreboding platitude, ‘all bets are off’. This is an economically / financially staggering event and found the stock market rise of the last two days incomprehensible until I realized as set forth immediately hereafter:  ...'  ]    The earthquake in Japan has led to some supply shortages in the automotive and electronics industries, and analysts say the effect could be widespread.

 

 

What They’re Covering Up at Fukushima Hirose Takashi | You get 3,500,000 the normal dose. You call that safe?

 

Radionuclide Blankets United States; Authorities Insist Levels Are Harmless Paul Joseph Watson | Radioactive Xenon 133 from stricken Fukushima nuclear plant will cover most of the planet.

 

 

AT&T’s lobbyists well positioned  (Washington Post) [  The ultimate regression. You'd think that with all the negative fallout / consequences from unbridled k street lobbying, that such a scenario as this could not be … yet in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, 'it is!'    AT&T, T-Mobile USA merger deal questioned   (Washington Post)  [ Questioned? Is that all? att / sbc is a horribly managed company that can't even do the simplest things well; ie., land lines and dsl thereby, my direct experience. We've seen this all before. When they can't do, they go monopoly bigger with disasterous results. This is an old story with a familiar ending.] A day after AT&T announced it would buy T-Mobile USA to create the biggest wireless carrier in the country, consumer advocates and some members of Congress blast the deal.

 

Merger a disconnect for consumers  (Washington Post)  [ Yeah! True enough! I had to drop my land line (att/sbc – jersey/bushland) which I kept for the public listing and which became disfunctional / unusable to the point where it was impacting my DSL line; both of which I dropped in favor of MagicJack (I recommend it) and Time Warner Cable / Internet (also better). Deal to combine AT&T, T-Mobile raises questions (AP) [Questions? Is that all? att / sbc is a horribly managed company that can't even do the simplest things well; ie., land lines and dsl thereby, my direct experience. We've seen this all before. When they can't do, they go monopoly bigger with disasterous results. This is an old story with a familiar ending. AP - AT&T's surprise announcement that it plans to acquire T-Mobile USA will force federal regulators to confront a difficult antitrust question: Can American consumers get good wireless service at a ... ] OPINION | Your choice for wireless service would get smaller should AT&T carry out its plan to buy T-Mobile USA.  ] Firm confident it will win over regulators to its bid to buy T-Mobile USA, even as critics continue to bash the deal.

 

 

U.S. appears closer to turning over command(Washington Post)  [ I can't precisely pinpoint exactly when, but at some point, if not for the real tragedy and horrific consequences, national / world events and particularly pervasively corrupt / defacto bankrupt america's lead role in them became a comedy of errors, at best. Working to maintain Arab support  (Washington Post)  [ Sounds like a plan! … Riiiiight! … I just had to say this here … Doesn't gaddaffy (who forgot to duck) bear a striking resemblance (now, not when he was younger) to David Patterson, former governor of new york (no slight to David Patterson … you've got to be at least a little blind to take an oath upholding law in corrupt, fraudulent, sinkholes new york / mob infested jersey, and america, generally. Mob's man cuomo? What's up with that (as per SNL's Thompson's bit)? Or is it just SNL's Fred Armisen's impression of both that leads me to such a conclusion. But this should help: US Army ‘kill team’ in Afghanistan posed for photos of murdered civilians  infowars.com Commanders in Afghanistan are bracing themselves for possible riots and public fury triggered by the publication of “trophy” photographs of US soldiers posing with the dead bodies of defenseless Afghan civilians they killed  Russia “Regrets Armed Action” Killing 48 in Libya Kurt Nimmo |  In a statement issued today, Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Alexander Lukashevich said 64 civilians were reported to have been killed and 150 wounded in air strikes on Libya. Lukashevich called on Britain, France and the United States Sunday to stop air strikes on non-military targets.

 

Western Air Strikes Kill 64 in Libya

 

 

 

Gates’s message   (Washington Post)  [ Which one? And I don't mean which gates. I mean which message? It's hard to keep up, especially if you have a good memory and remember what the meaning of the word 'is', is. Candor? CIA man gates? Are you just funnin' with us? Come on! Wake up! Oh wait … here's an incisive statement you can take to the bank … Uncertain outlook for Middle East: Gates [Sounds like a plan!] (Reuters)      Overseas official trips amidst crises  (Washington Post) [ It’s really quite incredible indeed. It was the espn basketball brackets that got me … so stereotypical … I mean what are they thinking, or not. Riiiight! Not! Well, gates is gone and as a cia man, what he says means absolutely nothing … they kind of pride themselves on that … On the receiving end you gotta think they’re already checking air force one’s return trip schedule hoping to ‘hold out’ and escape potential invasion themselves … After all, what nation in the world can or does trust desperate, meaningfully lawless, pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america … oh yeah, maybe fellow war crimes nation israel and orwellian, me-too old-biddy britain.… Gates's warning: Avoid land war in Asia, Middle East, and Africa Christian Science Monitor - In a speech to cadets at the United States Military Academy at West Point, Gates's message was clear: The US military services, as well as the elected and appointed civilians who send them to war, need better ways of foreseeing and preparing for ...     Gates Tells US Army to Take New Approach Voice of America    Warning Against Wars Like Iraq and Afghanistan New York Times  [ Better said, than unsaid; but, methinks a bit late for that in light of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s consummate decline and fall! If only they had listened and not shot at the messenger … things could have been different!    ]   ]As war clouds gathered over Libya on Friday, the U.S. commander in chief and his defense secretary were each preparing to leave Washington to visit places far removed from any military operations.      ]  The defense secretary is a voice of candor on the Mideast.

 

 

 

[I have been under constant barrage / hack / intrusions which has my antivirus working overtime and flashing savesfrom a multitude of threats. I think this particular thrust by what I reasonably suspect to be paranoid american / israeli criminals / lunatics was probably affected particularly by that blazing full ‘supermoon’, but continues when for now just limited moments I’m logged into windows xp, literally a virus magnet/so-called op system. I thereupon downloaded and installed linux / unbuntu 10.10 (most recent) which also makes available an ‘installer’ (separate download, both free from their official website-I will provide the link I used next session) that facilitates essentially a dual boot (you may choose your operating system for the session – windows or linux/ubuntu). Works like a charm and I strongly recommend it. Microsoft’s a dyingosaur american monopoly company which is an american tale and story of america as a pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt, dying / declining nation.]

 

 

 

 

I was somewhat nonplussed by the suckers’ market bounce those few days but there was also that ‘shock and awe’ Libyan thing; and then, ‘Eureka!’ … there it was, staring down for all to see … a blazing full moon. Yes, they have such affects on lunatics as in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america et als; but particularly on wall street, and it certainly doesn’t take much to push the frauds on wall street over the edge and into their predisposed fraudulent madness. In fact, you could say, ‘it’s in their genes’. This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s short-covering / suckers’ rally provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come!    Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’   BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows



Global Meltdown? [ Looks like … feels like … seems like … Yes, it is! A global meltdown! ] Nyaradi  ‘Global meltdown. Scary words, indeed. However, as we look around our world, it certainly does appear that a global meltdown is in progress…’

 

4 Phases of a Bear Market Meshkati NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- 'Almost exactly one month ago, I described the 4 phases of a bull market cycle. My reason for writing the article was to warn market participants of the impending disaster that tends to strike right around the time a certain class of investor (termed "phase 4" investors) becomes involved in the financial markets...'

 

Deal to combine AT&T, T-Mobile raises questions (AP) [Questions? Is that all? att / sbc is a horribly managed company that can't even do the simplest things well; ie., land lines and dsl thereby, my direct experience. We've seen this all before. When they can't do, they go monopoly bigger with disasterous results. This is an old story with a familiar ending. AP - AT&T's surprise announcement that it plans to acquire T-Mobile USA will force federal regulators to confront a difficult antitrust question: Can American consumers get good wireless service at a ...

 

 

M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds. POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you...'


Japanese Meltdown Will Inhibit U.S. Recovery  Hansen

 

Another H&S Pattern at Hand: Dave's Daily   'We've seen some major H&S top formations over the past year but none of them were effective. Why was that? POMO and zero interest rates made for a dip buyers' market. How long will this continue? Until POMO ends perhaps which is supposed to occur in June but some may front-run that in May. Markets were subdued Tuesday as investors paused to assess what's really going on. The Fed stated they thought the recovery was gaining traction. This might be some self-congratulations, jawboning and rationalization of money printing. ("See it worked!!") There was little in the way of economic news. Earnings new late showed Adobe earnings beat but forecast was cut due to disruptions in Japan. Crude oil keeps rising (bullish for it, not markets), precious metals and the dollar were mixed and bonds rose. Volume returned to ultra-light status while breadth was mildly negative overall...'

 

 

 Stocks End Barely in Red, Snap Latest Win Streak   Midnight Trader '4:17 PM, Mar 22, 2011 --

·      NYSE down 27.95 (-0.3%) to 8,228.41

·      DJIA down 17.90 (-0.2%) to 12,019

·      S&P 500 down 4.61 (-0.4%) to 1,294

·      Nasdaq down 8.22 (-0.3%) to 2,684

GLOBAL SENTIMENT

·      Hang Seng up 0.76%

·      Nikkei up 4.36%

·      FTSE down 0.43%

 

Days Of Technical Reckoning Ahead  Salamone 'A brewing nuclear crisis in Japan was the catalyst for “watch out below!” expiration-week volatility this past week, with the S&P 500 Index closing down 25 points, or 1.9%.

In reviewing the price action driven by the Japan catalyst, one has to wonder: How much of the selling was related to expiration-week delta hedging? Delta hedging is a process in which sellers of index and exchange-traded fund (ETF) puts short S&P futures in order to maintain a neutral position, and heavy put strikes below act as magnets due to their increasing sensitivity to the decline in the underlying index or ETF.

We found it interesting, for example, that the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) was driven down to the 125 strike at Wednesday’s lows, as this was the site of the last significant put open interest in the expiring March series. Even as headline news remained bleak, the ETF managed to bounce strongly — perhaps due to the major delta-hedge selling being exhausted. As you can see in the chart below, the put open interest at the 123 and 124 strikes was minimal compared to the put open interest at the 125 through 128 strikes.

[chart  http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/commentary/content/monday+morning+outlook+two+major+risk+factors+for+the+bulls/observations.aspx?click=home&ID=105587 ]

To the extent that some of last week’s selling was driven by hedging activity related to the huge put open interest on expiring index and ETF options, it would favor the bulls, as investor anxiety climbed amid the selling. For example, the latest survey from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) revealed only 28% of those surveyed were bullish — the lowest percentage of bulls since late August 2010, which was a buying opportunity.

Despite the rising fears, the SPX managed to close the week above its 80-day moving average, which we identified as a potential support area in the event of a decisive break below 1,300. The rising 80-day moving average began this week’s at 1,277.60. Coincidentally, this area marks a 50% retracement of the prior week’s close and last week’s low.

Moreover, we found it interesting that the SPX, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Russell 2000 Index pulled back to their respective breakevens for the year, and closed the week in positive territory after rallying from these year-to-date breakeven numbers — which are 1,257.64, 11,577.51 and 783.65, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite, however, closed the week barely in negative year-to-date territory, below its Dec. 31, 2010 close at 2,652.87.

These “year-to-date” breakeven numbers can be viewed as potential support for the upcoming week. Meanwhile, potential resistance levels would be the familiar round-number areas, such as 12,000 on the Dow, 1,300 on the SPX and 800 on the RUT.

The two major risk factors working against the bulls in the short term are:

8.   Volatility, as measured by the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX), is rising. We noted in prior weeks that bulls should be encouraged by the fact that the VIX was getting capped at long-term trendlines, such as its 200-day and 80-week moving averages, which are situated at 21.69 and 22.26, respectively. While the VIX peaked in the 30 area around mid-week, we won’t have confirmation that a top has been reached until we see a decline below these long-term trendlines and the 20 level. Finally, it is interesting that the VIX’s peak at 31.28 last week is approximately double the lows that have been in place since mid-December.

9.   Another concern is that our analysis of activity in the options market indicates that hedge funds are still not showing interest in accumulating equities. And if retail investors continue to bail, as they have done during the past couple of weeks, this absence of institutional and retail interest could create a challenge for equities in the near term.

One alternative you could consider amid the global uncertainty is a stock-replacement strategy, where you sell stocks that you like and buy in-the-money or longer-dated call options on those same equities. We noticed equity implied volatilities did not experience the pop that index implied volatilities experienced last week. Therefore, many equity options remain reasonably priced.

Options allow you to put less dollars at risk, but offer you returns that are a multiple of the comparable return on the underlying equity. This strategy allows you to participate in a rally if volatility has peaked, while simultaneously exposing fewer dollars to the market. If you are looking for equity put plays, we recommend hunting in the large-cap technology space, as hedge funds appear to be bailing on these equities.'

 

 

[$$] Believe Only What You See   Little 'Are you a believer? If you are buying this market after the spike off the lows, you had better believe the worst is behind us. Either that, or your trading horizon is very short. Although I would like to believe this, I simply can't at this juncture. I believe what I see, and that is a financial sector that can't move higher. I see the strongest NYSE sector, energy, setting up for a likely failed attempt to break higher. I am witness to pathetic attempts to lift in the semiconductors. Everywhere I peer, I see issues, and not answers. Many sectors want to trade sideways at best from here. What I see is a much higher probability of lower prices on the near-term horizon, and I began gearing up in earnest for that trade yesterday...'

 

Top 3 Reasons Markets Were Down Like Chris Brown  Wall St. Cheat Sheet 'Markets closed down on Wall Street: DJI -0.15% SP500 -0.36% Nasdaq -0.31% Gold +0.09 % Oil +1.63% .

Today was all about Energy ( NYSE:XLE ). Oil ( NYSE:USO ) is back on fire as prices rose to $105 — a scary proposition for the economy as we head into the summer months for travel, air conditioning, and new clothes. In big news, Japan ( NYSE:EWJ ) has restored power to the six nuclear reactors and Libya continues to be the focus for the Middle East. Markets opened flat to down and basically chopped in a narrow trading range all day.

Today’s markets were down because:

1) Defensive stocks were in play. As we mentioned above, Energy ( NYSE:XLE ) was the story of the day. However, investors also sought out shares of other safe-havens like Healthcare ( NYSE:XLV ) and Utilities ( NYSE:XLU ). Outperformers include St. Jude Medical ( NYSE:STJ ), Entergy Corporation ( NYSE:ETR ), and Royal Dutch Shell  Don’t Miss: 3 Defensive ETFs to Hedge a Market Pullback .

2) Walgreen Co. ( NYSE:WAG ) disappointed on earnings. The drugstore pissed off Wall Street and sold off to the tune of 6.58%. Rite Aid ( NYSE:RAD ) got slammed 3.74% on the news, and CVS Caremark ( NYSE:CVS ) escaped with a more narrow 0.95% loss. Now check out our Retailer Roundup: Your Cheat Sheet to the Winning and Losing Stocks .

3) Research in Motion ( NASDAQ:RIMM ) and stole the tech spotlight. Research in Motion ( NASDAQ:RIMM ) announced the Blackberry Playbook will go on sale April 19th for $499. PlayBook will be available through Best Buy ( NYSE:BBY ), AT&T ( NYSE:T ), Verizon ( NYSE:VZ ), Radioshack ( NYSE:RSH ), Sears Canada and Wal-Mart ( NYSE:WMT ). However, shares of Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) shrugged off the new as iPad2 is now on backorder for 4-5 weeks.

Now that you’re in the know, try to stay away from R&B disaster Chris Brown!'

 

 

‘US is broke, dollar down, yet policy is to divide & conquer’ RT | America is getting involved in another long-term war, which will ruin its economy.

 

US Approaching Insolvency, Fix To Be ‘Painful’: Fisher CNBC | The United States is on a fiscal path towards insolvency and policymakers are at a “tipping point,”.

 

Gold key to financing Gaddafi struggle FT | Gaddafi mercs reportedly paid in gold.

 

 Fed and Inflation Blame for the most recent round of price increases has been laid at the feet of the Federal Reserve’s program of credit expansion for the past three years. The current program, known as QE2, sought to purchase a total of $900 billion in US Treasury debt over a period of 8 months. Roughly $110 billion of newly created money is flooding into commodity markets each month.

Cost Of Libya War: $100 Million Dollars A Day With U.N. coalition forces bombarding Libyan leader Muammar el-Qaddafi from the sea and air, the United States’ part in the operation could ultimately hit several billion dollars — and require the Pentagon to request emergency funding from Congress to pay for it.

Lindsay Williams: Silver Heading To $100 Lindsay Williams predicts a Silver bull run.

Central Banks Catch Gold Fever At WealthCycles.com, one of our favorite factors driving gold’s rise over the past couple of years has been increased interest in a truly safe asset by central banks around the world.

 

National / World

 

What They’re Covering Up at Fukushima Hirose Takashi | You get 3,500,000 the normal dose. You call that safe?

 

Flashback: Alex Jones’ classic interview with Dr. Paul Kossey, HAARP program director Infowars | Alex Jones’ June 24, 2008 interview with Dr. Paul Kossey, H.A.A.R.P. Program Manager for Air Force Research Laboratory Space Vehicles Directorate

 

Bottom Line, Libya Will Remain a Transnational Oil Fiefdom Kurt Nimmo | It is business as usual in Libya — never mind the little war now underway.

 

Radionuclide Blankets United States; Authorities Insist Levels Are Harmless Paul Joseph Watson | Radioactive Xenon 133 from stricken Fukushima nuclear plant will cover most of the planet.

 

Strangling of the Free Internet Begins Matt Ryan | It’s becoming clear that communication is becoming more restricted and more expensive.

 

Ron Paul: Obama Moving Us Toward One World Government Steve Watson | Congressman goes on media blitz to denounce illegal war of aggression against Libya .

 

The Reality Detached American Infowars.com | The signs are everywhere for those with eyes to see and ears to hear.

 

Radioactive particle traces from Japan reach Iceland, Canada Reuters | Miniscule numbers of radioactive particles have been detected as far away as Iceland.

 

International Support For The Libyan War Is Collapsing Business Insider | Support for Operation Odyssey Dawn is withering.

 

Egypt Interior Ministry Building Burning (Again) Zero Hedge | It seems Egyptians are so enamored with revolting they have decided to do the whole thing all over again.

 

White House Admits Goal In Libya Is Regime Change The White House suggested Tuesday the mission in Libya is one of regime change, despite emphatic statements from President Obama and military brass that the goal is not to remove Moammar Gadhafi from power.

Radionuclide Blankets United States; Authorities Insist Levels Are Harmless Contradicting Barack Obama’s assertion last week that radiation from Japan’s stricken Fukushima nuclear plant would not even reach Hawaii, the mainland United States has been blanketed with radioactive Xenon 133 particles, while spent nuclear fuel pools at Fukushima have now reached boiling point and threaten to spew out more radioactive smoke.

Bottom Line, Libya Will Remain a Transnational Oil Fiefdom Like Saddam Hussein in oil-rich Iraq, Muammar al-Gaddafi is a PR disaster and does not fit into the new Middle East envisioned by the globalists and their multinational mega-corporations.

Ron Paul: Obama Moving Us Toward One World Government Congressman Ron Paul made a sweep of television appearances yesterday to voice his strong opposition to the attack on Libya, and making it clear that the president is subverting US national sovereignty by bypassing Congress to engage in illegal acts of aggression.

Photo Evidence: Temperature in Fuel Rod Pool Above Boiling Point It looks like the Japanese and Obama will try to cover-up the out of control reactors and exposed fuel rods at Fukushima the same way the U.S. government covered-up the Gulf oil disaster.

Kucinich: War is a swamp, Obama Libya action unconstitutional Amid the ongoing coalitional bombardment of Libya it turns out President Obama may have had no constitutional authority for ordering US military involvement.

‘US is broke, dollar down, yet policy is to divide & conquer’ Fresh explosions and gunfire have been heard in Tripoli, as international coalition forces continue to bombard Libya.

Fox News Contrives “Human Shield” Hoax To Sell Libya War Just as Bill Clinton’s bombardment of Serbia was launched on the back of a humanitarian hoax about fake concentration camps, establishment media outlets are already busy contriving phony stories about Gaddafi using “human shields” to convince the American people that the $100 million dollar a day attack on Libya is virtuous and noble.

 

More Republicans doubt Obama's Libya action and Costly Operations (Reuters)

Uncertain outlook for Middle East: Gates [Sounds like a plan!] (Reuters)

Israel kills 9 Civilians in Gaza in deadliest day in months (Reuters)    Israeli strike misses target, kills 4 Palestinians including 3 children (AP)

 

 

 

Working to maintain Arab support  (Washington Post)  [ Sounds like a plan! … Riiiiight! … I just had to say this here … Doesn't gaddaffy (who forgot to duck) bear a striking resemblance (now, not when he was younger) to David Patterson, former governor of new york (no slight to David Patterson … you've got to be at least a little blind to take an oath upholding law in corrupt, fraudulent, sinkholes new york / mob infested jersey, and america, generally. Mob's man cuomo? What's up with that?)? Or is it just SNL's Fred Armistan's impression of both that leads me to such a conclusion. But this should help: US Army ‘kill team’ in Afghanistan posed for photos of murdered civilians  infowars.com Commanders in Afghanistan are bracing themselves for possible riots and public fury triggered by the publication of “trophy” photographs of US soldiers posing with the dead bodies of defenseless Afghan civilians they killed  Russia “Regrets Armed Action” Killing 48 in Libya Kurt Nimmo |  In a statement issued today, Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Alexander Lukashevich said 64 civilians were reported to have been killed and 150 wounded in air strikes on Libya. Lukashevich called on Britain, France and the United States Sunday to stop air strikes on non-military targets. 64 civilians reported killed, 150 wounded in the attacks.

 

Western Air Strikes Kill 64 in Libya — Health Official

Roscoe Savages Obama: No Congressional Approval For Attack On Libya

UN Powers Violate Their Own Resolution By Targeting Gaddafi [...the obvious attempt to assassinate Gaddafi violates not only U.S. law, but the UN’s own charter.] U.S. and European diplomats move quickly to rally wavering support for military intervention.

 

 

 

[I have been under constant barrage / hack / intrusions which has my antivirus working overtime and flashing saves from a multitude of threats. I think this particular thrust by what I reasonably suspect to be paranoid american / israeli criminals / lunatics is probably affected particularly by this blazing full ‘supermoon’. I thereupon downloaded and installed linux / ubuntu 10.10 (most recent) which also makes available an ‘installer’ (separate download) that facilitates essentially a dual boot (you may choose your operating system for the session – windows or linux/ubuntu – linux/ubuntu comes loaded with very functional software; ie., open office suite, firefox web browser, etc.). Works like a charm and I strongly recommend it. Microsoft’s a dyingosaur american monopoly company which is an american tale and story of america as a pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt, dying / declining nation.]

 

 

 

Fed to name banks that took out emergency loans (Washington Post)  [Note the skullduggery by the fed which taxpayers are and will further be paying for as pointed out by Dave:  M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you… (see infra)’   Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures... It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’   BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows  ] The Federal Reserve loses a court battle to keep the information private.

AT&T, T-Mobile USA merger deal questioned   (Washington Post)  [ Questioned? Is that all? att / sbc is a horribly managed company that can't even do the simplest things well; ie., land lines and dsl thereby, my direct experience. We've seen this all before. When they can't do, they go monopoly bigger with disasterous results. This is an old story with a familiar ending.] A day after AT&T announced it would buy T-Mobile USA to create the biggest wireless carrier in the country, consumer advocates and some members of Congress blast the deal.

 

Merger a disconnect for consumers  (Washington Post)  [ Yeah! True enough! I had to drop my land line (att/sbc – jersey/bushland) which I kept for the public listing and which became disfunctional / unusable to the point where it was impacting my DSL line; both of which I dropped in favor of MagicJack (I recommend it) and Time Warner Cable / Internet (also better). Deal to combine AT&T, T-Mobile raises questions (AP) [Questions? Is that all? att / sbc is a horribly managed company that can't even do the simplest things well; ie., land lines and dsl thereby, my direct experience. We've seen this all before. When they can't do, they go monopoly bigger with disasterous results. This is an old story with a familiar ending. AP - AT&T's surprise announcement that it plans to acquire T-Mobile USA will force federal regulators to confront a difficult antitrust question: Can American consumers get good wireless service at a ... ] OPINION | Your choice for wireless service would get smaller should AT&T carry out its plan to buy T-Mobile USA.

 

 

In Libya, rifts open in NATO coalition  (Washington Post)  [  Rift? Murky? New rifts? Sounds more like profound disappointment that a feeding frenzy analogous to those BP oil eating bacteria in the gulf is not imminent . After all, the so-called nato coalition, almost to a nation, is both defacto bankrupt and oil-starved. ] Three days of heavy airstrikes highlight the murky nature of the coalition involved in the effort.

 

Libya, Hypocrisy and Betrayal by the United Nations: US-NATO’s New War in North Africa of Death and Destruction Infowars.comThe bombing of Libya will begin on or nearly to the day, of the eighth anniversary of the beginning of the destruction of Iraq, 19th March, in Europe.

 

A People Betrayed: West Launches New War for Oil in Libyainfowars.com And so now, another war. Led by the United States and the religious extremists in Saudi Arabia, the UN Security Council voted to intervene on behalf of one side in the Libyan civil war. Having already armed and trained Moamar Gadafy’s armies and security forces, the Western war-profiteers have now decided to do the same for his opponents.

[I have been under constant barrage / hack / intrusions which has my antivirus working overtime and flashing saves from a multitude of threats. I think this particular thrust by what I reasonably suspect to be paranoid american / israeli criminals / lunatics is probably affected particularly by this blazing full ‘supermoon’. I thereupon downloaded and installed linux / ubuntu 10.10 (most recent) which also makes available an ‘installer’ (separate download) that facilitates essentially a dual boot (you may choose your operating system for the session – windows or linux/ubuntu – linux/ubuntu comes loaded with very functional software; ie., open office suite, firefox web browser, etc.). Works like a charm and I strongly recommend it. Microsoft’s a dyingosaur american monopoly company which is an american tale and story of america as a pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt, dying / declining nation.]

 

 

 

I was somewhat nonplussed by the suckers’ market bounce these past two (now three) days, and then, ‘Eureka!’ … there it was, staring down for all to see … a blazing full moon. Yes, they have such affects on lunatics as on wall street and it certainly doesn’t take much to push the frauds on wall street over the edge and into their predisposed fraudulent madness. In fact, you could say, ‘it’s in their genes’. This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s short-covering / suckers’ rally provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come!  M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you… (see infra)’   Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’   BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows



Global Meltdown? [ Looks like … feels like … seems like … Yes, it is! A global meltdown! ] Nyaradi  ‘Global meltdown. Scary words, indeed. However, as we look around our world, it certainly does appear that a global meltdown is in progress.At Wall Street Sector Selector, we are nearly fully positioned on the “short” side of global markets and so were fortunate to have had a pleasant day, unlike so many investors and citizens of our small world. I sincerely hope and pray that many pleasant days lie ahead for the people of Japan, Bahrain and Libya.Of course, the big news is in Japan, where the struggle to contain the potential of nuclear meltdown goes on after the tsunami and earthquake. I can’t add much to this discussion other than to say that from a human standpoint, we need to do what we can to help our allies in their time of need.I travel often to Japan and this is a modern Western country now without power and water and basic essentials for many days, and to fully understand this unthinkable tragedy, just try to imagine a 30 foot wall of water coming through your neighborhood, entire neighborhoods and towns disappearing, followed by the threat of nuclear catastrophe and no water and power for days on end during these cold early spring nights.Aside from the human catastrophe, the economic toll of this event will be felt for years. Some analysts estimate that Japan will have to import an additional 200,000 barrels of oil per day to make up for the lost output of the damaged nuclear plants, while insurance and GDP losses are only guestimates at this early hour but will be surely significant. Across the globe, unrest continues in the Middle East as Bahrain is under martial law, the Libyan government continues to quell the revolution (while the United Nations dithers) and Portugal’s credit rating is downgraded and totters again on the edge of financial collapse. At home, Congress continues putting band aids on our national budget deficit while home sales plunge to new lows…’

 

 

4 Phases of a Bear Market Meshkati NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- 'Almost exactly one month ago, I described the 4 phases of a bull market cycle. My reason for writing the article was to warn market participants of the impending disaster that tends to strike right around the time a certain class of investor (termed "phase 4" investors) becomes involved in the financial markets...'

 

Deal to combine AT&T, T-Mobile raises questions (AP) [Questions? Is that all? att / sbc is a horribly managed company that can't even do the simplest things well; ie., land lines and dsl thereby, my direct experience. We've seen this all before. When they can't do, they go monopoly bigger with disasterous results. This is an old story with a familiar ending. AP - AT&T's surprise announcement that it plans to acquire T-Mobile USA will force federal regulators to confront a difficult antitrust question: Can American consumers get good wireless service at a ...

 

 

M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds. POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you. Monday, AT&T announced it will buy rival T-Mobile (including Katherine Zeta-Jones?) for $39 billion in cash (financed no doubt) and stock. This energized bulls overall. Meanwhile a few Tomahawk missiles here and there got the Libya situation tamped-down from hot to probably a long drawn-out quagmire. Gadhafi isn't happy meaning he might turn loose some sleeper cell revenge; but, that's for another day. In Japan things still remain "white hot" despite a cool-down in two reactors but troubles with others. But, both news from Japan (Buffett said "buy, buy, buy") and MENA receded to the background as markets rallied. Existing Home Sales fell sharply which can only be termed as bullish since bulls believe the Fed will keep rates friendly to stocks. One thing set aside by pundits and the media are building margin pressures being felt by companies. This will need to be passed to consumers and end users. You saw this with Nike's recent report. Should this continue, it will cause consumer inflation worries no matter how the data is rigged or spun. Stocks rallied sharply primarily on the M&A news while commodity markets, including oil, precious metals, soared. Bonds fell as did the sacrificial lamb--Uncle Buck...'


Japanese Meltdown Will Inhibit U.S. Recovery  Hansen 'Modern economic theory implies spending for any reason is good. The rebuilding following a disaster would logically be a plus economically. Destruction triggers rebuilding - an economically positive event.

Immediately following an economic disaster, there is dislocation. Modern supply chains are disrupted. Transport is problematic. Like a tsunami, the inter-linkage of modern supply chains ripple through all products. Japan is an exporting nation. There are products made only in Japan, or disruption of production of a product where Japan is a significant producer, or the need for Japan to import a product normally not traded internationally. In other words, a ripple will go through availability and prices - both positive and negative.

The global supply chains will adapt and improvise. What will go on inside Japan will be different.

Japan will have lost forever six nuclear power plants units. A loss of six nukes leaves a huge hole in a nation's ability to produce energy. It will take many years to replace permanently - and the short term solution is building conventional fossil power plants. Manufacturing needs energy. But I fear energy may be a small component of the fallout for this event.

In the short term, this is a true black swan event for investors.

Modern nuke design currently on the drawing boards is presumably fail safe. On the other hand, almost all existing worldwide plants require active measures (core cooling) to shut down the plant. Having been a start-up engineer on a GE Mark1 nuke - I have not heard the type of information I would need to make an assessment on how this crisis will unfold. But what images I see indicate man is no longer able to control the events at some of the units.

Throwing water on an overheated plant provides steam as a carrier to spread radioactive contamination. Plant operators are already selecting the best of the terrible options available. Observation tells that we are far beyond the design solutions available to cool the core. Hail Mary plays are in progress.

The plant systems themselves are fairly robust - but conditions in the plant with heat, water and radiation have been unmonitored - and we have heard that operators have no clue if the monitoring systems are reading correctly. Status is unknown. Let me assure you, if your monitoring systems are suspect - the control systems are suspect. The plant likely requires electrical jumpers to actuate cooling systems which must be installed by humans in a radiated environment.

Even if pumps can start, what about the operated valves? Are the correct ones open? Are pressure levels too high for actuation? If the remote operated valves cannot cycle, can human's get close enough to the valves to manually cycle? What are the conditions in the piping in the suppression pools post venting - which is the Achilles Heel of Mark 1's? The suppression pools for the runaway reactors maybe dry due to a rupture.

So many options are available if the operators have electric power and radiation is low and access to the plant was not restrained. Radiation levels alone have removed most options from the table as crews cannot spend enough time in the plant to execute modifications. All the core cooling systems are closed loop. There is likely debris in these loops if reports of meltdown is true - and this debris will likely take out the pumps if they start. At this point, the systems need modification to open these cooling loops directly to the sea - it is one of the better terrible options.

The systems now require some modifications to bring the plants under control - and that means humans must be able to work in the reactor building - and possibly some time inside of the primary containment structure. This does not seem likely based on the commentary and pictures.

Likely, the current thinking may be towards building a Chernobyl type sarcophagus - a concrete coffin. How do you build one without killing those who build it?

Further, it is sad the spent fuel rods are kept in the plant (due to resistance to reprocessing by the greens) and will increase the potential for radiation release during the disaster - and make subsequent cleanup more difficult. This thought continues to rattle around in my brain - clean up of a radiation contaminated environment is slow. At this point, I am beginning to lean towards a very slow cleanup and reconstruction.

Investors are too optimistic on Japan's future in the next 6 months to a year. The situation, based on current wisdom, will never be as bad as Chernobyl, but it is already worse than Three Mile Island because of 6 units in close proximation.

Certainly, over the next few years, Japanese GDP will rise caused by the reconstruction. GDP theory is that building things - regardless of reason or usefulness - is good. This reconstruction flies in the face of the basic rationale of GDP which is intended to count productive use of the economy. The only productive use is the slice of the rebuilding which is an improvement over the old.

Money spent is money spent. The economy, in a broader sense - is simply money flows. Money moving is good for business - productive or not.

Japan, however, is not suffering from structural unemployment - but suffering from massive sovereign debt and deflation. For now, this disaster will not help the ills facing the pre-disaster Japanese economy.

But money flows are money flows - and money flowing is the real economy, productive or not.

The question: Is what is good for business good for the economy? Whatever the answer, in the medium term - disasters are good for business after absorbing the initial losses.

With the loss of life and hardships the Japanese citizens now face - it is hard to see any economic good coming out of this disaster.

Economic News this Week:

Econintersect’s economic forecast for March 2011 points to a moderately improving economy with all segments of its non-monetary index positive. This week the Weekly Leading Index (WLI) from ECRI improved from an upwardly revised 6.8% to 7.1%. This level implies the business conditions six months from now will be approximately the same or slightly improved compared to today.

click to enlarge   http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/20/saupload_ecri_11_march_2011.jpg


Initial unemployment claims in this week’s release dropped slightly. The data for the last two months as been quite noisy, and it remains important to follow the four week moving average for analysis of unemployment to smooth out the reporting idiosyncrasies. Overall, the loss of jobs is improving – and is now roughly the same as mid-2008.


The data released this week was positive and consistent with Econintersect’s January, February and March forecasts of slightly improving economic conditions overall. The economy, similar to this period last year at this time, is gaining strength.  [chart]http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/20/saupload_z_unemployment1_3_18_11.png

Weekly Economic Release Scorecard:

Item

Headline

Analysis

February Leading Economic Indicator

Up

Not Indicating real economy dynamics

March Philly Fed Survey

Up

New Orders at record levels

February Industrial Production

Down

In this case down is up – manufacturing improved

February Consumer Price Index

Up 2.1%

Energy & food driving forces

February Producer Price Index

Up 5.6%

Again driven by food and energy

February New Housing Permits

Down

The data is bad and the trend remains down

February Sea Container Counts

Up

Although up, data is much less good in February

February Import/Export Prices

Up

USA is exporting inflation

January Home Prices

Down

CoreLogic says prices fell 5.7%

March Empire State Survey

Up

Everyone's eyes are on Japan

Exchange Rate Appreciations

 

Currency appreciations can cure global imbalances

Global Crisis

 

What we think are important relate to energy

January JOLTS

 

Shows why January Jobs Report was so bad

Oil Prices

 

How Libyan unrest will play out in energy prices

Dividend Paying Stocks

 

How dividends stabilize portfolio returns

Market Volatility

 

Jeff Miller questions if it Is time to head to the door?

U.S. Equities

 

Eric McCurdy says market broke support levels

India

 

Ajay Shay suggests how to break bad governance

MERS Crisis

 

William Black points out unintended consequences of mortgage industry actions

U.S. Dollar

 

Michael Pettis discusses the future of the world reserve currency

Economic Theory

 

L Randall Wray discusses reasons economics has gone astray

...'

10 U.S. Companies With A Heavy Reliance On Japanese Sales

Dangerous and Fluid Times, Hostile Market Environment  Nyaradi The news flow this week certainly reminded me of the old colloquialism, “raining cats and dogs,” as startling headlines bombarded us from all quadrants of the world.

At Wall Street Sector Selector, we remain in a defensive posture, expecting lower prices ahead.

On My Radar

The Point and Figure Chart displays the technical damage done this week as a “sell” signal was generated and now the bearish price objective is 1160. Support is found at 1250 and again at 1220 while the long term uptrend remains intact. Overhead resistance is now at the 1300-1320 level. Click to enlarge: http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/20/saupload CHART_spxpf031911.png

 

chart courtesy of stockcharts

So it appears that we are clearly in a short term “correction” within a still ongoing uptrend.

Depending upon your outlook, this could be a good opportunity to “buy the dip” or there is further downside potential to at least 1220 or beyond to the 1160-1180 level.

My view is that there is currently more risk than reward in the market.

The View From 35,000 Feet

It was another week of almost unbelievable news as events unfolded in Japan, Libya and Yemen which all created intense volatility in global equity and currency markets.

Japan was at the top of the news, of course, and while the situation surrounding the nuclear accident seems to be stabilizing over the weekend, there appears to be a long way to go before victory can be claimed in what is being called the worst nuclear accident since Chernobyl.

The death toll exceeds 7,000 with more than 10,000 still missing, and the economic toll is likely to be huge, as well, as we are bound to see supply chain disruptions and delays and the very likely possibility of a return to recession in the world’s 3rd largest economy.

The extent of the nuclear accident remains unknown and it’s likely that the winds will be carrying radiation to Tokyo by the end of the weekend which could generate a whole new series of economic and human misery and danger.

In Libya, Gaddafi declared a cease fire after the U.N. threatened imminent military action, but then apparently continued his invasion of the rebel stronghold in Benghazi. Clearly this is a fluid and rapidly changing situation, but what is certain is that Libyan oil production is dropping as foreign companies have pulled out their employees and major oil facilities have sustained major damage.

Bloomberg reported that production has declined to 400,000 bbl/day and “could reach a halt.” Bloomberg

A protest in Yemen on Friday resulted in more than 40 deaths and reportedly thousands of injuries and a state of emergency is now in effect in the country where 20% of the population lives on $2/day.

China raised their bank reserve requirements for the 3rd time this year while at home, the Federal Reserve said that growth is on “firmer footing,” and that employment is “improving gradually.”

Economic reports were largely mixed this week with positive news coming from March Empire Manufacturing Index, the NAHB Housing Index, initial and continuing unemployment claims, and the Philly Fed. On the negative side of the ledger, Housing Starts, Building Permits and Industrial Production all disappointed in February.

What It All Means

The times, of course, remain dangerous and fluid and we can expect more volatility ahead depending upon how future weeks’ news flow unfolds and if the “cats and dogs” deluge continues.

Technically, major damage was inflicted on markets this week and so a resumption of the recent rally will be a challenge for the bulls in what can only be described as a hostile environment. Finally, the rapidly approaching conclusion of “QE2” in June also casts more uncertainty on an already uncertain environment.

The Week Ahead

It’s a relatively quiet week of economic reports which probably a good thing given the drama unfolding around the world.

Monday: February Existing Home Sales

Wednesday: February New Home Sales

Thursday: Initial Unemployment Claims, Continuing Unemployment Claims, February Durable Goods

Friday: Q4 GDP 3rd Estimate, March Michigan Sentiment

Sector Spotlight

Winners: (NYSEArca: ICLN) Global Clean Energy, (NYSEArca: TLT) 20 Year Bond

Losers: (NYSEArca: FEFN) Far East Index, (NYSEArca: NUCL) Nuclear Eenrgy Index

Wishing you a great weekend wherever you may be...'

 

Congressional Budget Office Projects $9.5 Trillion In Deficits By 2021, $2.3 Trillion More Than Obama’s Estimate Today the Congressional Budget Office slammed the president’s unrealistic budget presented recently, concluding that the cumulative deficit over the decade between 2011-2021 would be $9.5 trillion, or $2.3 trillion higher than that estimated by the White House.

 

US Cost of Living Hits Record, Passing Pre-Crisis High One would think that after the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, Americans could at least catch a break for a while with deflationary forces keeping the cost of living relatively low. That’s not the case.

 

Oil prices soar as UN approves no-fly zone in Libya Crude oil prices rose in Asian trade on Friday, after the United Nations (UN) approved the imposition of a no-fly zone over Libya, raising fresh fears over oil exports from the country.

 

Obama Budget to Produce $9.5 Trillion Deficit: CBO CNBC | Obama’s February budget submission is enacted into law it would produce deficits totaling $9.5 trillion over 10 years.

 

 

NY Fed intervenes in Yen currency trade Nikkei | The NY Fed bank is confirming its first currency intervention for a decade.



Our Enemy, the Fed by Ron Paul Ron Paul | There is perhaps no topic as important to the average American today as rising prices.

 

Libya Oil Chief Says Crude Production ‘Could Reach a Halt’ Due to Conflict Libya’s oil production fell to less than 400,000 barrels a day after foreign companies pulled out their staff, the chairman of the country’s state-run National Oil Corp., Shokri Ghanem, said in a televised media conference from Tripoli.

 

 

National / World

Russia “Regrets Armed Action” Killing 48 in Libya Kurt Nimmo | So-called coalition bombs Gaddafi’s Bab Azizia residence with human shields. In a statement issued today, Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Alexander Lukashevich said 48 civilians were reported to have been killed and 150 wounded in air strikes on Libya. Lukashevich called on Britain, France and the United States Sunday to stop air strikes on non-military targets. 48 civilains reported killed, 150 wounded in the attacks.

 

Western Air Strikes Kill 64 in Libya — Health Official Sixty-four people have been killed and 150 others wounded in the air strikes launched by western forces since Saturday, Libya’s health officials said on Sunday.

 

Roscoe Savages Obama: No Congressional Approval For Attack On Libya “The United States does not have a King’s army. President Obama’s unilateral choice to use U.S. military force in Libya is an affront to our Constitution.”

 

UN Powers Violate Their Own Resolution By Targeting Gaddafi As the contrived moral high ground behind the absurdly hypocritical “humanitarian” pretext of the attack on Libya collapses in the wake of Russia, the Arab League and the African Union condemning the US-led NATO bombings, so does any pretense of legality that the “no fly zone” resolution holds, because the obvious attempt to assassinate Gaddafi violates not only U.S. law, but the UN’s own charter.

 

Fukusima Radiation Levels Being Covered Up Radiation levels observed in food and milk grown and produced significant distances from the stricken nuclear power plant in Fukushima do not correlate with readings supposedly found in the immediate vicinity, suggesting that the real levels are being withheld from the public

US Army ‘kill team’ in Afghanistan posed for photos of murdered civilians Commanders in Afghanistan are bracing themselves for possible riots and public fury triggered by the publication of “trophy” photographs of US soldiers posing with the dead bodies of defenceless Afghan civilians they killed. 

Libya denies report of Gaddafi son’s death Media outlets affiliated with the Libyan opposition reported Monday that the son of Muammar Gaddafi, Khamis Gaddafi, was killed in a suicide attack on the Bab al-Azizia barracks in Tripoli.

West in “medieval crusade” on Gaddafi, Putin says Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin said on Monday a U.N. resolution authorizing military action in Libya resembled “medieval calls for crusades” after Western forces launched a second wave of air strikes.

China intensifies condemnation of Libya air strikes The Middle East is an important source of oil for China. On the weekend, Saudi Arabia’s Aramco announced its latest proposal to supply crude to a refinery in the southwest of China, where Beijing is building an oil pipeline that slices through Myanmar.

 

Neo-Cons Applaud Obama’s War, Call For Occupation Of Libya While applauding Barack Obama’s involvement of U.S. forces in air strikes, influential neo-con Bill Kristol told Fox News that America should go further than merely bombarding Libya and send in ground troops as “peacekeepers,” embroiling the bankrupt United States in yet another foreign occupation while enabling Muslim extremists fighting Gaddafi to rise to power.

 

Bilderberg To Meet In Switzerland James P. Tucker Jr. | Bilderberg will be gathering in St. Moritz, southeastern Switzerland, June 9-12.

Obama’s Bay of Pigs in Libya: Imperialist Aggression Shreds UN Charter Webster Tarpley | Webster Tarpley’s newest article on the state of affairs in Libya.

 

Let’s Send Ann Coulter to Fukushima Kurt Nimmo | Faux conservative argued exposure to radiation reduces cancer.

 

UN Powers Violate Their Own Resolution By Targeting Gaddafi Paul Joseph Watson | Attack on Libya is illegal under both U.S. law and UN charter.

 

Gaddafi Calls For Immediate Cease Fire; Arab League Splits From West Over Libya Bombing The new world order has just lost its contrived “moral high ground” for the bombardment of Libya under fake “humanitarian” auspices. This clearly indicates that the civilian deaths claimed by Gaddafi did in fact take place as a result of the air strikes.

 

Libyan TV parades “civilian casualties” of allied raids Libyan state television has broadcast pictures of what it says are civilian victims of the allied bombing.

 

Libya: Another War, Another Pack of Lies The corporate-financiers are dangerously flirting with their entire official narrative collapsing, as their progressive, Peace-Prize wearing puppet President Obama and the “radical reformer” David Cameron lead yet another war based on an Iraq-style pack of lies.

 

Nations bombing Libya are ‘terrorists,’ Gadhafi says CNN | ibyan ruler Moammar Gadhafi called the allied nations bombing his country “terrorists” Sunday.

 

U.S. Government Backs Libyan Al-Qaeda While Hyping Terror Attacks Inside U.S. Paul Joseph Watson | Obama administration fearmongers about Libyan-backed terrorists carrying out reprisal attacks in America.

Here Are The Downstream Effects From The Fukushima Catastrophe Zero Hedge | As the world awakes, Japan discloses another round of good news/bad news about the Fukushima crisis.

WWIII: One Nation at a Time

 

King Hypocrite Obama: There Will be Blood in Libya Kurt Nimmo | Soon after assuming office, Barry Obama put “yes we can” to work killing Pakistani children.

 

Another Obama War Lew Rockwell | For weeks, American officials have been decrying Gaddafi’s bloody attacks on his people, but does the US really have a problem with dictatorship of his sort?

 

Mainstream media halts accurate reporting on Japan’s worsening nuclear catastrophe; disinfo campaign now underway Mike Adams | The mainstream media today halted nearly all accurate reporting of the worsening situation in Japan.

 

5 Theories Why We’re Experiencing Increased Earthquake Activity Infowars | Here are five theories as to the cause of increased earthquake activity.

 

More War Propaganda? Downed Plane Presented As Evidence Gaddafi Is Not Observing Ceasefire Steve Watson | Gaddafi is not observing a ceasefire, paving the way for Western military action against Libya.

 

Chossudovsky: Libya no-fly zone means war RT | Michel Chossudovsky says western nations are interested in Libyan oil and other resources.



The Great Anglo-American Gaddafi Deception Ron Holland | The fiat US dollar only survives as the world’s reserve currency because the majority of the oil producers demand payment in dollars.

 

 

 

King Hypocrite Obama: There Will be Blood in Libya On Friday, the teleprompter reader in chief and NCAA basketball picker Obama bellied up to the podium in the East Room of the White House and read his script. He said Libyan thug Moammar Gadhafi has to stop attacking civilians or face military retaliation.

 

U.S. Tomahawk Cruise Missiles Hit Targets in Libya; State Media Claims Civilian Casualties WESTERN warplanes had bombed civilian targets in Libya’s capital today, causing casualties, state media said. “Civilian targets are being bombed by the ‘Crusader’ enemy fighter planes in Tripoli,” Libyan state television said.

 

More War Propaganda? Downed Plane Presented As Evidence Gaddafi Is Not Observing Ceasefire A crashed Libyan jet is cited by the media as proof there is no ceasefire, paving the way for Western military action. But there are a few questions that need to answered here.

 

Rebels shoot down fighter jet as Gaddafi’s forces ‘break ceasefire and tanks roll into Benghazi’ Colonel Gaddafi’s proclaimed ceasefire was in tatters this morning after a fighter jet was shot down in flames by rebels over Benghazi.

 

Chossudovsky: Libya no-fly zone means war The UN Security Council adopted a resolution establishing a no-fly zone over Libya. Michel Chossudovsky, director of Centre for Research on Globalization, says western nations are interested in Libyan oil and other resources, not protecting the people and that is why they care more about the fight in Libya, than elsewhere in the Arab world.

 

World War III: One Nation at a Time The globalists are infiltrating, corrupting, and turning the entire planet, one nation at a time in a combined scientific-geopolitical dictatorship that will be effectively impossible to reverse once it is completed.

 

You Can View Official EPA Radiation Readings Update: The EPA’s servers have either been crashed by too much traffic generated by this post, or the EPA has taken down the radiation data. Check back later to see if the EPA’s servers are working.

 

Overseas official trips amidst crises  (Washington Post) [ It’s really quite incredible indeed. It was the espn basketball brackets that got me … so stereotypical … I mean what are they thinking, or not. Riiiight! Not! Well, gates is gone and as a cia man, what he says means absolutely nothing … they kind of pride themselves on that … On the receiving end you gotta think they’re already checking air force one’s return trip schedule hoping to ‘hold out’ and escape potential invasion themselves … After all, what nation in the world can or does trust desperate, meaningfully lawless, pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america … oh yeah, maybe fellow war crimes nation israel and orwellian, me-too old-biddy britain.  ] As war clouds gathered over Libya on Friday, the U.S. commander in chief and his defense secretary were each preparing to leave Washington to visit places far removed from any military operations.

 

Gaddafi’s forces enter Benghazi as U.S., allies plan military action (Washington Post) [ Ron Paul: Libya Airstrikes Unconstitutional – Only Congress Can Declare War  Infowars /  Libya, Hypocrisy and Betrayal by the United Nations: US-NATO’s New War in North Africa of Death and Destruction The bombing of Libya will begin on or nearly to the day, of the eighth anniversary of the beginning of the destruction of Iraq, 19th March, in Europe. A People Betrayed: West Launches New War for Oil in Libya And so now, another war. Led by the United States and the religious extremists in Saudi Arabia, the UN Security Council voted to intervene on behalf of one side in the Libyan civil war. Having already armed and trained Moamar Gadafy’s armies and security forces, the Western war-profiteers have now decided to do the same for his opponents.   Another Illegal War Of Slaughter Couched In “Humanitarian” Doublespeak Those who were asking what the “international community” planned to do in response to the escalating global crisis surrounding the nuclear plant in Fukushima now have their answer – bomb Libya. As if the world wasn’t experiencing enough turmoil and devastation, another illegal war of aggression has been launched in a volatile region, couched in the retching Orwellian doublespeak of ‘no fly zones’ and ‘humanitarian’ rhetoric.  ] Obama warns that Libyan leader faces imminent military action unless troops withdraw from disputed cities, but assaults on rebel-held towns continue.

 

 

Pressure on nuclear regulators heats up in U.S. (Washington Post) [ You can bet that g.e. will be feeling some heat … and the courts in Japan, unlike those in the pervasively corrupt u.s. where g.e. would probably have their way regardless of merits, will be very unsympathetic.] The Union of Concerned Scientists released a study citing 14 “near-misses” at domestic plants last year.

 

Senators call on Obama to join deficit reduction talks (Washington Post) [ I truly believe they have totally lost touch with reality (Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year).  Furthermore, I think they substantially underestimate the ‘geese and gander’ effect (ie., Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’). Fears over Japan impact grow (Washington Post) [ As indeed they must, in keeping with some semblance of reality. ]  Some analysts predict the tragedy could dramatically disrupt the fragile global economic recovery.  [  You can bet that some bets already placed regarding Japan’s prospective action in the markets; ie., buying or rolling over government securities of  such as the u.s., particularly, now fall under that foreboding platitude, ‘all bets are off’. This is an economically / financially staggering event and found the stock market rise of the last two days incomprehensible until I realized as set forth immediately hereafter:  I was somewhat nonplussed by the suckers’ market bounce these past two days, and then, ‘Eureka!’ … there it was, staring down for all to see … a blazing full moon. Yes, they have such affects on lunatics as on wall street and it certainly doesn’t take much to push the frauds on wall street over the edge and into their predisposed fraudulent madness. In fact, you could say, ‘it’s in their genes’. This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s short-covering / suckers’ rally provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come!     ]  The act is a powerful sign of bipartisan willingness to abandon long-held positions on entitlement spending and taxes.

 

 

Fears over Japan impact grow (Washington Post) [ As indeed they must, in keeping with some semblance of reality. ]  Some analysts predict the tragedy could dramatically disrupt the fragile global economic recovery.  [  You can bet that some bets already placed regarding Japan’s prospective action in the markets; ie., buying or rolling over government securities of  such as the u.s., particularly, now fall under that foreboding platitude, ‘all bets are off’. This is an economically / financially staggering event and found the stock market rise of the last two days incomprehensible until I realized as set forth immediately hereafter: 

I was somewhat nonplussed by the suckers’ market bounce these past two days, and then, ‘Eureka!’ … there it was, staring down for all to see … a blazing full moon. Yes, they have such affects on lunatics as on wall street and it certainly doesn’t take much to push the frauds on wall street over the edge and into their predisposed fraudulent madness. In fact, you could say, ‘it’s in their genes’. This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s short-covering / suckers’ rally provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come!    Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’   BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows



Global Meltdown? [ Looks like … feels like … seems like … Yes, it is! A global meltdown! ] Nyaradi  ‘Global meltdown.Scary words, indeed. However, as we look around our world, it certainly does appear that a global meltdown is in progress.At Wall Street Sector Selector, we are nearly fully positioned on the “short” side of global markets and so were fortunate to have had a pleasant day, unlike so many investors and citizens of our small world. I sincerely hope and pray that many pleasant days lie ahead for the people of Japan, Bahrain and Libya.Of course, the big news is in Japan, where the struggle to contain the potential of nuclear meltdown goes on after the tsunami and earthquake. I can’t add much to this discussion other than to say that from a human standpoint, we need to do what we can to help our allies in their time of need.I travel often to Japan and this is a modern Western country now without power and water and basic essentials for many days, and to fully understand this unthinkable tragedy, just try to imagine a 30 foot wall of water coming through your neighborhood, entire neighborhoods and towns disappearing, followed by the threat of nuclear catastrophe and no water and power for days on end during these cold early spring nights.Aside from the human catastrophe, the economic toll of this event will be felt for years. Some analysts estimate that Japan will have to import an additional 200,000 barrels of oil per day to make up for the lost output of the damaged nuclear plants, while insurance and GDP losses are only guestimates at this early hour but will be surely significant.Across the globe, unrest continues in the Middle East as Bahrain is under martial law, the Libyan government continues to quell the revolution (while the United Nations dithers) and Portugal’s credit rating is downgraded and totters again on the edge of financial collapse. At home, Congress continues putting band aids on our national budget deficit while home sales plunge to new lows…’

 

 

Gadhafi Does a Head Fake: Dave's Daily He declared an immediate cease fire to perhaps buy some time; however, he didn't stop his troops advance. The rebels also didn't stop fighting back correctly believing he was lying. It's unclear if his forces can retake important Benghazi before multinational forces enforce the "no fly zone." The UN vote was interesting with all BRIC countries plus Germany abstaining. Russia and China don't want to be on the world team and have their own agendas of global domination. The rest are a harder read. Markets were higher early on the belief Libya fighting would subside, Japan's reactor issues would be resolved and hopeful signs from GE (later a bust), CSCO and bank dividend schemes. However, as the news developed, Libya proved it wasn't about to stop its aggression and the Japan reactor issues remained heightened causing markets to decline into the close. There wasn't any economic data to speak of although the government noted (admitted?) the unemployment was higher in most of 372 markets in January throwing doubt on previous claims of lower data. The Fed is also continuing its POMO actions although Friday's buying was low. Bonds were somewhat weaker, Uncle Buck is homing in on all-time lows, commodities overall were higher as were precious metals. In the end nothing much mattered given quad-witching antics which have little to do with the news or much else--it's just a spectator sport. Volume remains elevated especially with quad-witching on Friday. Breadth per the WSJ was positive relieving much short-term oversold conditions…’

 

 

 

Why To Distrust The Snap-Back Rally  Harding ‘Thankfully the news out of Japan regarding the potential for nuclear meltdowns has subsided, and global stock markets have rallied for two days in relief. Many on Wall Street are claiming the correction in global stock markets is therefore over, and it’s a buying opportunity.

Let’s think this through and not react too quickly. The human toll and economic damage in Japan was from the earthquake, not the subsequent potential problems with nuclear plants.

Let’s consider first what was going on prior to the catastrophe.

Global markets were in quite significant corrections. For instance Brazil, China, India, and Hong Kong, topped out in November and were down 12% to 17% prior to the earthquake. Markets in Europe and the U.S. peaked in mid-February and were down 3% to 4%.

So an important question is whether the factors that had global markets already topped out prior to the earthquake have gone away. Unfortunately, the answer is that they remain in place, and if anything have worsened, and the aftermath of the disaster in Japan will likely add to them.

Those continuing problems are:

  • Rising global inflation.
  • Increasingly aggressive monetary tightening by important countries like Brazil, China, India, Hong Kong, and smaller emerging markets, in efforts to tackle the rising inflation, moves likely to also slow their economic growth.
  • Uncertainties created by political uprisings in oil-producing countries.
  • The on-going European debt crisis.
  • Austerity programs in European countries aimed at tackling the debt crisis, including cuts in government spending and jobs.
  • The coming cutbacks in U.S. federal, state, and local government spending to tackle their record budget deficits.
  • The approaching end of the Fed’s QE2 pump-priming program.

Now added to those problems is the massive natural disaster in the world’s third largest economy, Japan, a very important part of the global manufacturing and high-tech supply chain. It has come at the worst time for the struggling Japanese economy. The damage has already forced the closing of factories by Nissan, Toyota, and Sony, as well as several oil refineries, while large agricultural areas were wiped out, which can only add to concerns about rising food prices. Japan’s problems will affect other global economies.

Optimists are pointing to reconstruction as being a positive for Japan’s economy, noting that six months after the Kobe earthquake in Japan in 1995 almost all of Kobe’s factories and infrastructure had been rebuilt. They are leaving out that Japan’s stock market declined for six months after the smaller Kobe earthquake and during the re-building stage, losing 32% of its value. At the present time, the Japanese market is down only 15%.

Meanwhile, European central banks have now acknowledged inflation concerns, and the UK says it could begin raising interest rates as soon as its April meeting.

The uprisings in oil-producing countries have not gone away, and indeed have become more violent. In Libya, Dictator Muammar Gaddafi launched military operations this week to crush demonstrators, and the U.N. authorized military attacks against Gaddafi forces to assist the demonstrators. The previously peaceful uprising in Bahrain became violent after Bahrain’s royal family called in military forces from Saudi Arabia to help it put down the revolt.

The uprisings in Egypt, Tunisia, Libya, Bahrain, and Yemen, and unrest in Syria, Iran, and Saudi Arabia, reportedly even have leaders in Russia, Cuba, and China nervous.

In the European debt crisis, Portugal’s credit rating was downgraded further this week, and its Prime Minister said he will quit if Portugal’s parliament does not consent to his proposed austerity measures.

And on it goes. The previous problems that had global stock markets topped out on fears of rising inflation and concerns about the sustainability of the fragile global economic recovery, have not gone away, and if anything worsened while attention was diverted by the disaster in Japan.

On the technical analysis side, the additional five-day market plunge following the disaster in Japan had markets short-term oversold, and likely to see a short-term rally off the oversold condition, but it’s questionable whether a bottom is in yet, particularly in the U.S.

At their peaks, global stock markets, including that of the U.S., were extremely overbought above their long-term 200-day moving averages, to a degree that almost always results in a decline at least down to retest the support at that moving average. In their corrections, some of which began in November, others in mid-February, markets in Asia and Europe did decline to that moving average. In several cases the support did not hold and they broke below it.

But the U.S. market so far has pulled back only 6%, leaving it still 7% above its 200-day m.a.

Additionally, investor sentiment in the U.S. does not indicate a bottom. This week’s poll of its members by the American Association of  Individual Investors (AAII) shows bearishness has increased to 40.1%, but that is still well below the 55% to 65% bearishness usually seen prior to market lows.

So for now anyway, I still like the safe haven of treasury bonds, which I wrote up in my column last weekend. The iShares 20-yr bond etf, symbol TLT, has gained more than 5% in the five weeks since its early February low. And I still like gold bullion and the SPDR Gold etf, symbol GLD. Gold is the long-time hedge against rising inflation. I even like the idea of some downside positions against the U.S. market, and I’m looking at some toppy looking stocks that might be short-sale candidates.’

 

 

 

 

 

Stocks Achieve Back-to-Back Gains, But Nasdaq's 2.7% Drop Leads Weekly Declines   Midnight Trader ‘4:13 PM, Mar 18, 2011 --

  • NYSE up 51.16 (+0.6%) to 8,116.02
  • DJIA up 83.93 (+0.7%) to 11,859
  • S&P 500 up 5.48 (+0.43%) to 1,279
  • Nasdaq up 7.62 (+0.3%) to 2,644

GLOBAL SENTIMENT

  • Hang Seng up 0.07%
  • Nikkei up 2.72%
  • FTSE up 0.64%

 

Housing Starts and the New Bear Market [ Actually, this has been a manipulated bull (s***) cycle in a (continuing) secular bear market. ] Suttmeier ‘Housing Starts and Building Permits disappoint. Part of my bear market theme is that Federal Reserve policy has failed to help cure the original catalyst that began the bear market of October 2007 to March 2009. Homebuilder stocks peaked in mid-2005, community banks peaked at the end of 2006, and regional banks including those considered "too big to fail" topped out in March 2007. Housing remains depressed, and community banks continue to fail on "Bank Failure Friday!" You would think that the zero to 0.25% federal funds rate in effect since December 16, 2008 would have helped, but it has not. You would think that QE2, which comes to an end on June 30 would have helped, but it has not. Meanwhile the FOMC ignores the rising cost of living on Main Street USA. Ben Bernanke needs to be replaced as Fed Chairman!

Wednesday morning we learned that housing starts and building permits for new home construction posted unexpected declines. Housing Starts plunged 22.5% from January to a seasonally adjusted 479,000 units, the second slowest pace on record. Building Permits fell 8.2% to a record low pace of 517,000. How come the zero percent money from the Fed and QE2 cannot get to the cause of "The Great Credit Crunch," which continues since March 2007?

The New Bear Market – Most of my readers know that I was bearish beginning in March 2007 led by housing and financials. The broader market continued to rally into October 2007. With the Dow above 14,000 I predicted that the next 2000 Dow points would be down, not up. I became a bull on March 5, 2009 for a 40% to 50% bear market rally. Sure I missed some of the rally in 2010, but in September called for Dow 11,235 by election day on the prospect of a Republican victory, and re-iterated that call in early-October in anticipation of QE2. My call for 2011 is that strength would fail below 12,600, and I predicted the top on February 18 at 12,391.29 for both fundamental and technical reasons. We had a ValuEngine Valuation Warning with 68.6% of all stocks overvalued. Today only 49.6% of stocks are overvalued. Today 11 of 16 sectors are overvalued, but just one by double digits. The Dow Industrial Average was extremely overbought on its weekly chart. A close on Friday below 11,856 will pull momentum (12x3x3 weekly slow stochastic) below 8.0, which to me is the confirmation of a cycle high. On February 18 this reading was 9.5. My first downside objective is my annual risky level at 11,491. Given a close in March below 11,491 the downside is to semiannual value levels at 10,959 and 9,449.

10-Year Note – (3.210) This yield declined to 3.139 on a continued flight to quality on Wednesday closing in on the 200-day simple moving average which lines up with my monthly risky level at 3.015 and 3.002. Today’s pivot is 3.264 with weekly value level at 3.634.

Comex Gold – ($1396.7) The 50-day simple moving average is $1379.6 with my annual value level at $1356.5, and my weekly pivot at $1404.1, which was tested on Wednesday. Monthly and quarterly pivots are $1437.7 and $1441.7 with my semiannual risky level is at $1452.6.

Nymex Crude Oil – ($98.28) Held my monthly value level at $96.43 on Wednesday and stayed below my annual pivots at $99.91 and $101.92. My daily pivot is $98.23 with semiannual and quarterly risky levels at $107.14 and $110.87.

The Euro – (1.3890) It appears that my weekly risky level at 1.4089 is a barrier. My quarterly value level is 1.3227 with a daily pivot at 1.3846, and weekly, semiannual and monthly risky levels at 1.4089, 1.4624 and 1.4637.

All daily charts for the major equity averages are negative – The Dow is below 50-day simple moving average at 12,011 with declining daily momentum (12x3x3 daily slow stochastic). There are no oversold measures as yet. Wednesday’s low was 11,555.48…’   Housing Starts Point to Weakening Housing Market Suttmeier ‘Housing Starts, Building Permits Disappoint -- Part of my bear market theme is that Federal Reserve policy has failed to help cure the original catalyst that began the bear market of October 2007 to March 2009. Home builder stocks peaked in mid-2005, community banks peaked at the end of 2006, and regional banks including those considered “too big to fail” topped out in March 2007. Housing remains depressed, and community banks continue to fail on Bank Failure Friday! You would think that the zero to 0.25% federal funds rate in effect since December 16, 2008 would have helped, but it has not. You would think that QE2, which comes to an end on June 30, would have helped, but it has not. Meanwhile the FOMC ignores the rising cost of living on Main Street, USA. Ben Bernanke needs to be replaced as Fed Chairman!

Wednesday morning we learned that housing starts and building permits for new home construction posted unexpected declines. Housing starts plunged 22.5% from January to a seasonally adjusted 479,000 units, the second slowest pace on record. Building permits fell 8.2% to a record low pace of 517,000. How come the zero percent money from the Fed and QE2 cannot get to the cause of “The Great Credit Crunch," which continues since March 2007?

The New Bear Market -- Most of my readers know that I was bearish beginning in March 2007 led by housing and financials. The broader market continued to rally into October 2007. With the Dow above 14,000 I predicted that the next 2000 Dow points would be down, not up. I became a bull on March 5, 2009 for a 40% to 50% bear market rally. Sure I missed some of the rally in 2010, but in September called for Dow 11,235 by Election Day on the prospect of a Republican victory, and reiterated that call in early October in anticipation of QE2. My call for 2011 is that strength would fail below 12,600, and I predicted the top on February 18 at 12,391.29 for both fundamental and technical reasons. We had a ValuEngine Valuation Warning with 68.6% of all stocks overvalued. Today only 49.6% of stocks are overvalued. Today 11 of 16 sectors are overvalued, but just one by double digits. The Dow Industrial Average was extremely overbought on its weekly chart. A close on Friday below 11,856 will pull momentum (12x3x3 weekly slow stochastic) below 8.0, which to me is the confirmation of a cycle high. On February 18 this reading was 9.5. My first downside objective is my annual risky level at 11,491. Given a close in March below 11,491 the downside is to semiannual value levels at 10,959 and 9,449.

10-Year Note -- (3.210) This yield declined to 3.139 on a continued flight to quality on Wednesday closing in on the 200-day simple moving average which lines up with my monthly risky level at 3.015 and 3.002. Today’s pivot is 3.264 with weekly value level at 3.634.[chart]

Comex Gold -- ($1396.7) The 50-day simple moving average is $1379.6 with my annual value level at $1356.5, and my weekly pivot at $1404.1, which was tested on Wednesday. Monthly and quarterly pivots are $1437.7 and $1441.7 with my semiannual risky level is at $1452.6. [chart]

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($98.28) Held my monthly value level at $96.43 on Wednesday and stayed below my annual pivots at $99.91 and $101.92. My daily pivot is $98.23 with semiannual and quarterly risky levels at $107.14 and $110.87.[chart]

The Euro -- (1.3890) It appears that my weekly risky level at 1.4089 is a barrier. My quarterly value level is 1.3227 with a daily pivot at 1.3846, and weekly, semiannual and monthly risky levels at 1.4089, 1.4624 and 1.4637.[chart]

All daily charts for the major equity averages are negative -- The Dow is below 50-day simple moving average at 12,011 with declining daily momentum (12x3x3 daily slow stochastic). There are no oversold measures as yet. Wednesday’s low was 11,555.48.[chart]

Key Levels for the Major Equity Averages

  • The Dow Industrial Average (11,613) -- My annual value level is 11,491 with a daily pivot at 11,746, and weekly and monthly risky levels at 12,400 and 12,741.
  • The S&P 500 (1256.9) -- My annual value level is 1210.7 with my quarterly pivot at 1262.5, my daily pivot at 1266.3, and weekly and monthly risky levels at 1327.3 and 1381.3. A weekly close below 1284 shifts the weekly chart profile to negative.
  • The NASDAQ (2617) -- My daily pivot is 2611 with weekly, quarterly and monthly risky levels at 2753, 2853 and 2926. Semiannual and annual value levels are 2363, 2335 and 2172.
  • The NASDAQ 100 (NDX) (2203) -- My daily pivot is 2201.8 with weekly, quarterly, and monthly risky levels at 2333, 2438 and 2499. Semiannual value levels are 2006.8 and 1927.6.
  • Dow Transports (4950) -- My quarterly value level is 4671 with a weekly pivot at 4995, and daily and annual pivots at 5051 and 5179.
  • The Russell 2000 (781.90) -- My quarterly value level is 765.50 with daily and annual pivots at 778.07 and 784.16, and a weekly pivot at 805.37, and monthly risky level at 850.79. Semiannual value levels are 631.62 and 567.74.
  • The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) (412.44) -- My daily value level is 396.87 with weekly, monthly and quarterly risky levels at 447.74, 453.89 and 465.93. Semiannual and annual value levels are 296.89, 270.98 and 259.30. ‘

 

 

 

NY Fed intervenes in Yen currency trade Nikkei | The NY Fed bank is confirming its first currency intervention for a decade.


 

Our Enemy, the Fed by Ron Paul Ron Paul | There is perhaps no topic as important to the average American today as rising prices.


 

Michigan passes ‘financial martial law’ bill Politico | Michigan legislators have approved a bill authorizing state-appointed emergency financial managers to break union contracts.

 

 

 

US Cost of Living Hits Record, Passing Pre-Crisis High One would think that after the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, Americans could at least catch a break for a while with deflationary forces keeping the cost of living relatively low. That’s not the case.

 

Oil prices soar as UN approves no-fly zone in Libya Crude oil prices rose in Asian trade on Friday, after the United Nations (UN) approved the imposition of a no-fly zone over Libya, raising fresh fears over oil exports from the country.

 

Debt Problem: Who In The World Is Going To Buy The Billions Of Dollars Of Debt The U.S. Government Is Constantly Pumping Out Now? Is the U.S. government on the verge of a massive debt problem? For years, the U.S. government has been able to borrow all the money that it has wanted to at extremely low interest rates.

 

G-7 Sells Yen in First Joint Intervention in More Than Decade The Group of Seven will jointly intervene in the foreign exchange market for the first time in more than a decade after Japan’s currency soared, threatening its recovery from the March 11 earthquake.

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

Massive Japanese Storm Headed for U.S. West Coast Infowars | A massive storm in the Pacific is headed directly for the U.S. and Canadian West Coast.

 

Infowars has some of the only Potassium Iodide in the U.S.  [ Before you go freaking out, let me just say that if you’re that concerned, read the label of your multi-vitamin which probably contains more than sufficient quantities of potassium iodide; mine do (I use two Rite Aid multis – inexpensive multi and their more expensive male whole source with vitamins, minerals, herbs / no iron) ] Infowars | Infowars has taken action and secured some of the only remaining dose-ready potassium iodide (KI) in the country.

 

Nuclear plant boss breaks down crying, admits radiation levels deadly Mail Online | Officials said rating was raised after they realized the full extent of the radiation leaking from the plant.

 

When An ill Wind Blows From Afar! (Like from Japan, Iran or N. Korea) Shane Connor | Surviving radioactive fallout & radiation contamination from Japan, Iran or North Korea.

 

Reports Of “Harmless” Radiation Reaching California Are a Whitewash Paul Joseph Watson | Bulk of radioactive particles from Fukushima blasts will not reach west coast until Saturday to Monday.

 

Ron Paul: Libya Airstrikes Unconstitutional – Only Congress Can Declare War This is black letter law, not some aspirational statement by our Founders. Their intent was indisputably clear: Congress alone, not the Executive Branch, has the authority and the obligation to declare war if hostilities are to be initiated against a foreign state that has not attacked the United States.

 

Globalist Crimes Against Humanity Expanded Over Libya In an unsurprising move that was all but inevitable, the UN has decided to enforce a no-fly zone over Libya to save the globalist-backed rebellion sputtering in failure and bordering on a “Bay of Pigs” disaster. Canadian, US, French, Arab, and UK jets are already reported to be preparing for the operation.

 

MOX plutonium fuel used in Fukushima’s Unit 3 reactor two million times more deadly than enriched uranium Largely absent from most mainstream media reports on the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster is the fact that a highly-dangerous “mixed-oxide” (MOX) fuel in present in six percent of the fuel rods at the plant’s Unit 3 reactor.

 

Obama tells Americans: Do NOT prepare for radioactive fallout, just listen to your government In a truly incredible example of the complete disregard for the health and safety of the American people, President Obama today told Americans that they should NOT prepare for radiation from the possible meltdown of the Fukushima nuclear power plant in Japan.

Nuclear Crisis in Japan Follows Decades of Faked Safety Reports, Accidents The unfolding disaster at the Fukushima nuclear plant follows decades of falsified safety reports, fatal accidents and underestimated earthquake risk in Japan’s atomic power industry.

Libya, Hypocrisy and Betrayal by the United Nations: US-NATO’s New War in North Africa of Death and Destruction The bombing of Libya will begin on or nearly to the day, of the eighth anniversary of the beginning of the destruction of Iraq, 19th March, in Europe.

 

A People Betrayed: West Launches New War for Oil in Libya And so now, another war. Led by the United States and the religious extremists in Saudi Arabia, the UN Security Council voted to intervene on behalf of one side in the Libyan civil war. Having already armed and trained Moamar Gadafy’s armies and security forces, the Western war-profiteers have now decided to do the same for his opponents.

 

Saving Money? Not In This Economy – 22 Facts That Prove Middle Class Families Are Being Savagely Crushed The 22 facts that you are about to read are all real, although admittedly they are hard to believe. The sad truth is that millions of middle class families in the United States today are being savagely crushed by this economy.

 

 

“Humanitarian Wars are Good for Business”…. Speculators Applaud A war directed against Libya would push the price of crude oil up to abysmally high levels, potentially triggering a global inflationary spiral, which would result in the impoverishment of large sectors of the World population.

 

Bloodbath in Yemen: No UN Action for the Peace Laureate’s Pal The regime in Yemen will not face military intervention by the UN to stop its slaughter of unarmed civilians. There will be, at most, a few stern words from the Obama Administration urging “restraint on both sides” — even as the Peace Laureate carries on his secret bombing campaigns and covert military operations in Yemen.

 

U.S. Arming Libyan Rebels Via Egypt If all goes well for the globalists, this servile proxy Arab conglomerate, after being marshaled to raid Libya on behalf of the West, will then be organized and ready to turn its attention east toward Iran at the behest of their globalist masters.

 

War Propaganda Begins: Media Reports Gaddafi is “Collecting Bodies” To Blame Deaths On UN Bombing Libyan government officials say they have declared a ceasefire. Libyan rebels say the ceasefire is a hoax. The Western military industrial establishment says it will send fighter jets anyway.

 

Nuclear plant chief weeps as Japanese finally admit that radiation leak is serious enough to kill people The boss of the company behind the devastated Japanese nuclear reactor today broke down in tears – as his country finally acknowledged the radiation spewing from the over-heating reactors and fuel rods was enough to kill some citizens.

 

Reports Of “Harmless” Radiation Reaching California Are a Whitewash Exactly as we predicted would happen, authorities have cited “miniscule” levels of radiation reaching California as an excuse with which to downplay the threat to Americans of fallout crossing the Pacific from Japan, completely ignoring the fact that the bulk of the radiation from the two blasts at the Fukushima power plant will not reach the west coast until Monday.

 

Globalists To Bomb Libya Despite Cease-Fire; US Deploys More Ships The United States will deploy additional amphibious ships to the Mediterranean, the military said on Friday, as part of the Obama administration’s plans for responding to ongoing violence in Libya.

 

Another Illegal War Of Slaughter Couched In “Humanitarian” Doublespeak Those who were asking what the “international community” planned to do in response to the escalating global crisis surrounding the nuclear plant in Fukushima now have their answer – bomb Libya. As if the world wasn’t experiencing enough turmoil and devastation, another illegal war of aggression has been launched in a volatile region, couched in the retching Orwellian doublespeak of ‘no fly zones’ and ‘humanitarian’ rhetoric.

 

 

 


Drudgereport:
US SHIPS DEPLOY; LIBYA ACTION
FRENCH, BRIT JETS SET FLY OVER
Japan govt finally admits radiation leak serious enough to kill...
Drives back crews attempting to rein in reactor...
'Very Grave'; Winds Shift...
AP: 'Minuscule fallout' reaches USA...
REUTERS: 'Very low radiation' detected on west coast...
Rads Whitewash?
Storage pools big worry...
HEAD FAKE: Libya Renews Attacks After Cease-Fire Offer...

BOMBS POWER STATION IN REBEL STRONGHOLD...
Claims 'No Bombardments' Since Cease-Fire...
US: Gaddafi still on the march...
DOJ to white males who are bullying victims: Tough luck...

Cost of Living Hits Record...
Unemployment rises in nearly all metro areas...

Obama understates deficits by $2.3 trillion...

Top big-wave surfer killed in wipeout off California...
REPORT: Pentagon Overpaid Billionaire Oilman By Up to $200 Million...
Fmr. Dean of White House Press Corps Still Talking About 'the Jews'…[Come on! It’s true of course … quite amazingly since it’s been self-destructive and self-defeating for presidencies and the nation generally … look at the mideast policies, no-pros on the wall street frauds with  those ‘goldman’ boys ‘sniffin’ around, etc.  ]...

Helen Thomas to Playboy: Jews 'own the White House'

Helen Thomas is not sorry, nor were the comments that ended her career accidental.

“I knew exactly what I was doing – I was going for broke,” she told Playboy in the magazine’s April interview. “I had reached the point of no return. You finally get fed up … I finally wanted to speak the truth.”

Thomas, of course, left her perch as the dean of the White House press corps last year after telling a rabbi and blogger that Jews should “get the hell out of Palestine” and “go home” to “Poland, Germany and America and everywhere else.” Her family is Lebanese and she grew up in the Detroit area, home to one of the country’s densest populations of Arab Americans.

She spoke to Playboy at length about the situation in Palestine, her feelings on American support of Israel, and her take on Jews.

But her most controversial comments echoed ones she’s made before about the influence of Jews in American life, which have contributed to her name being stripped from journalism awards.

"[The Jews are] using their power, and they have power in every direction,” she told Playboy. “Power over the White House, power over Congress … Everybody is in the pocket of the Israeli lobbies, which are funded by wealthy supporters, including those from Hollywood. Same thing with the financial markets. There's total control … It isn't the 2 percent. It's real power when you own the White House, when you own these other places in terms of your political persuasion. Of course they have power. [To the interviewer] You don't deny that. You're Jewish, aren't you?"

She also had some controversial views about memorializing the Holocaust.

"There's nothing wrong with remembering it, but why do we have to constantly remember?" she said. "We're not at fault. I mean, if they're going to put a Holocaust museum in every city in Germany, that's fine with me. But we didn't do this to the Jews. Why do we have to keep paying the price and why do they keep oppressing the Palestinians? Do the Jews ever look at themselves? Why are they always right? Because they have been oppressed throughout history, I know. And they have this persecution. That's true, but they shouldn't use that to dominate."

 

 

 

New York Times to charge for access (Washington Post) [ They’re dreamin’. Who’d be dumb enough to pay for regurgitated, filtered news? ]  Some users soon have to pay for Web and mobile access.

 

G-7 to intervene in currency markets (Washington Post) [ Well there you go … nothing to worry about … now that the G7 is intervening … riiiiight! After all, their track record has been surperlative in precipitating this global meltdown (see infra). ] Major industrialized nations will combine in a rare coordinated currency intervention to keep the Japanese yen from rising too sharply in value in the wake of the country’s recent natural disaster.

This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s short-covering / suckers’ rally provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come!    Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’   BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows



Nuclear emergency could last for weeks, U.S. official warns (Washington Post) [ I must say, and it brings me no joy to say it, but for those looking for  some silver lining in all this as the ‘glass-half-full’ perma-bulls have been intimating as the markets rose; well, they’re just dreaming. Japan’s economy, though better than that of defacto bankrupt america’s, was already in the tank, particularly looking forward. Indeed, you could cut current level stock prices in half and still be over-valued inasmuch as this is far more serious in terms of prospective impacts than is being peddled by the pundits. Poor g.e. … like Lucy, they got a ‘lotta splainin’ to do. ]  As Japan sprays stricken reactor with tons of water from helicopters and water cannons, the U.S. warns of a long crisis. | Rick Maese and Rob Stein, 9:47 p.m.

 

Fantasy? You should be on wall street! U.S. stocks rise (Washington Post) (on b*** s*** alone) [ This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s short-covering / suckers’ rally provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come!    Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength – Harding    ] Investors speculate

 

U.N. approves ‘all necessary measures,’ including no-fly zone, to protect Libyans  (Washington Post) [ The u.n. has spoken … just not to israel lately … Hamas says Israeli fighter jets bomb facility in Gaza, killing 2 Palestinians [ War crimes nation israel keeping america looking bad in the Mideast, when defacto bankrupt america can least afford it. ] Washington Post - GAZA CITY, Gaza Strip - Israeli fighter jets pummeled a Hamas security facility in the Gaza Strip on Wednesday, killing two Palestinian civilians / freedom fighters and wounding four, officials in the Palesinian coastal ...     Two killed in Israeli air strike on Hamas compound in Gaza Jerusalem Post     Palestinians: Three killed in Israel air strike on Gaza Ha'aretz   ]  The resolution, passed 10 to 0 with 5 abstentions, opens the door to air and naval attacks against the forces of leader Moammar Gaddafi as he vowed to level the city of Benghazi, the last major rebel stronghold.

 

 

Neo-Libs Rejoice As UN Declares War On Libya Neo-libs everywhere are rejoicing. Remember – war is evil unless it’s sprinkled with the magic pixie dust of UN endorsement and “humanitarian” rhetoric, in which case the dead bodies, the terror, and the screaming children are all worth it. The fact that Libya is the richest oil nation on the entire African continent is a mere coincidence. Go back to sleep – basketball is on the TV. Soon you’ll be able to crack open a 6 pack and enjoy the air strikes like you would a Dwyane Wade slam dunk.

 

VIDEO: EU Naval Forces Fight Piracy off Somali Coast [ Yeah! With all their nation-bankrupting, self-defeating, wasteful, adventuring, warring for no good reason in Afghanistan, etc., I have been at a loss to understand why they are not blasting the skinnies out of the water, along with bombing the skinny-places of refuge! ]

 

 

This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s short-covering / suckers’ rally provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come!    Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’   BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows



Global Meltdown? [ Looks like … feels like … seems like … Yes, it is! A global meltdown! ] Nyaradi 

 

 

Oversold Market Rally: Dave's Daily It was time for a good oversold short squeeze and we got it today. Wednesday's large selloff took the McClellan Oscillator to sub -60 readings; the VIX nearly broached the fear level of 30; and, daily RSIs in some sectors also pushed below 30 meaning more oversold conditions. The initial stimulus for today's rally came from FedEx which actually reported results that missed, but gave a cautiously positive forecast. The stock rallied 5% on the news initially. Jobless Claims also fell just matching expectations; headline CPI was up .5% (I refuse to report the bogus "core" rate); Industrial Production was a large miss lower (-.1% vs. +.5%); Leading Indicators missed expectations (.8% vs 1% expected) but the Philly Fed knocked the cover off the ball with a reading of 43.4 vs 28 expected. Little noticed by bulls was the huge rise in prices that will surely be noted in the next PPI report. The Fed tossed-in another $7B in POMO to grease the trading desks and "wink-wink" they know what they're supposed to do with that cash. As to problems with Japan and MENA, bulls just put those aside for today. Also options expiration is at hand and can add significantly to volatility. And, what the hell, it is St. Patrick's Day after all! So let's put our worries aside and rally. Volume was still high but about 45% lower than Wednesday. Breadth was positive but moderately so…’

 

 

 

Housing Starts and the New Bear Market [ Actually, this has been a manipulated bull (s***) cycle in a (continuing) secular bear market. ] Suttmeier ‘Housing Starts and Building Permits disappoint. Part of my bear market theme is that Federal Reserve policy has failed to help cure the original catalyst that began the bear market of October 2007 to March 2009. Homebuilder stocks peaked in mid-2005, community banks peaked at the end of 2006, and regional banks including those considered "too big to fail" topped out in March 2007. Housing remains depressed, and community banks continue to fail on "Bank Failure Friday!" You would think that the zero to 0.25% federal funds rate in effect since December 16, 2008 would have helped, but it has not. You would think that QE2, which comes to an end on June 30 would have helped, but it has not. Meanwhile the FOMC ignores the rising cost of living on Main Street USA. Ben Bernanke needs to be replaced as Fed Chairman!

Wednesday morning we learned that housing starts and building permits for new home construction posted unexpected declines. Housing Starts plunged 22.5% from January to a seasonally adjusted 479,000 units, the second slowest pace on record. Building Permits fell 8.2% to a record low pace of 517,000. How come the zero percent money from the Fed and QE2 cannot get to the cause of "The Great Credit Crunch," which continues since March 2007?

The New Bear Market – Most of my readers know that I was bearish beginning in March 2007 led by housing and financials. The broader market continued to rally into October 2007. With the Dow above 14,000 I predicted that the next 2000 Dow points would be down, not up. I became a bull on March 5, 2009 for a 40% to 50% bear market rally. Sure I missed some of the rally in 2010, but in September called for Dow 11,235 by election day on the prospect of a Republican victory, and re-iterated that call in early-October in anticipation of QE2. My call for 2011 is that strength would fail below 12,600, and I predicted the top on February 18 at 12,391.29 for both fundamental and technical reasons. We had a ValuEngine Valuation Warning with 68.6% of all stocks overvalued. Today only 49.6% of stocks are overvalued. Today 11 of 16 sectors are overvalued, but just one by double digits. The Dow Industrial Average was extremely overbought on its weekly chart. A close on Friday below 11,856 will pull momentum (12x3x3 weekly slow stochastic) below 8.0, which to me is the confirmation of a cycle high. On February 18 this reading was 9.5. My first downside objective is my annual risky level at 11,491. Given a close in March below 11,491 the downside is to semiannual value levels at 10,959 and 9,449.

10-Year Note – (3.210) This yield declined to 3.139 on a continued flight to quality on Wednesday closing in on the 200-day simple moving average which lines up with my monthly risky level at 3.015 and 3.002. Today’s pivot is 3.264 with weekly value level at 3.634.

Comex Gold – ($1396.7) The 50-day simple moving average is $1379.6 with my annual value level at $1356.5, and my weekly pivot at $1404.1, which was tested on Wednesday. Monthly and quarterly pivots are $1437.7 and $1441.7 with my semiannual risky level is at $1452.6.

Nymex Crude Oil – ($98.28) Held my monthly value level at $96.43 on Wednesday and stayed below my annual pivots at $99.91 and $101.92. My daily pivot is $98.23 with semiannual and quarterly risky levels at $107.14 and $110.87.

The Euro – (1.3890) It appears that my weekly risky level at 1.4089 is a barrier. My quarterly value level is 1.3227 with a daily pivot at 1.3846, and weekly, semiannual and monthly risky levels at 1.4089, 1.4624 and 1.4637.

All daily charts for the major equity averages are negative – The Dow is below 50-day simple moving average at 12,011 with declining daily momentum (12x3x3 daily slow stochastic). There are no oversold measures as yet. Wednesday’s low was 11,555.48…’   Housing Starts Point to Weakening Housing Market Suttmeier ‘Housing Starts, Building Permits Disappoint -- Part of my bear market theme is that Federal Reserve policy has failed to help cure the original catalyst that began the bear market of October 2007 to March 2009. Home builder stocks peaked in mid-2005, community banks peaked at the end of 2006, and regional banks including those considered “too big to fail” topped out in March 2007. Housing remains depressed, and community banks continue to fail on Bank Failure Friday! You would think that the zero to 0.25% federal funds rate in effect since December 16, 2008 would have helped, but it has not. You would think that QE2, which comes to an end on June 30, would have helped, but it has not. Meanwhile the FOMC ignores the rising cost of living on Main Street, USA. Ben Bernanke needs to be replaced as Fed Chairman!

Wednesday morning we learned that housing starts and building permits for new home construction posted unexpected declines. Housing starts plunged 22.5% from January to a seasonally adjusted 479,000 units, the second slowest pace on record. Building permits fell 8.2% to a record low pace of 517,000. How come the zero percent money from the Fed and QE2 cannot get to the cause of “The Great Credit Crunch," which continues since March 2007?

The New Bear Market -- Most of my readers know that I was bearish beginning in March 2007 led by housing and financials. The broader market continued to rally into October 2007. With the Dow above 14,000 I predicted that the next 2000 Dow points would be down, not up. I became a bull on March 5, 2009 for a 40% to 50% bear market rally. Sure I missed some of the rally in 2010, but in September called for Dow 11,235 by Election Day on the prospect of a Republican victory, and reiterated that call in early October in anticipation of QE2. My call for 2011 is that strength would fail below 12,600, and I predicted the top on February 18 at 12,391.29 for both fundamental and technical reasons. We had a ValuEngine Valuation Warning with 68.6% of all stocks overvalued. Today only 49.6% of stocks are overvalued. Today 11 of 16 sectors are overvalued, but just one by double digits. The Dow Industrial Average was extremely overbought on its weekly chart. A close on Friday below 11,856 will pull momentum (12x3x3 weekly slow stochastic) below 8.0, which to me is the confirmation of a cycle high. On February 18 this reading was 9.5. My first downside objective is my annual risky level at 11,491. Given a close in March below 11,491 the downside is to semiannual value levels at 10,959 and 9,449.

10-Year Note -- (3.210) This yield declined to 3.139 on a continued flight to quality on Wednesday closing in on the 200-day simple moving average which lines up with my monthly risky level at 3.015 and 3.002. Today’s pivot is 3.264 with weekly value level at 3.634.[chart]

Comex Gold -- ($1396.7) The 50-day simple moving average is $1379.6 with my annual value level at $1356.5, and my weekly pivot at $1404.1, which was tested on Wednesday. Monthly and quarterly pivots are $1437.7 and $1441.7 with my semiannual risky level is at $1452.6. [chart]

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($98.28) Held my monthly value level at $96.43 on Wednesday and stayed below my annual pivots at $99.91 and $101.92. My daily pivot is $98.23 with semiannual and quarterly risky levels at $107.14 and $110.87.[chart]

The Euro -- (1.3890) It appears that my weekly risky level at 1.4089 is a barrier. My quarterly value level is 1.3227 with a daily pivot at 1.3846, and weekly, semiannual and monthly risky levels at 1.4089, 1.4624 and 1.4637.[chart]

All daily charts for the major equity averages are negative -- The Dow is below 50-day simple moving average at 12,011 with declining daily momentum (12x3x3 daily slow stochastic). There are no oversold measures as yet. Wednesday’s low was 11,555.48.[chart]

Key Levels for the Major Equity Averages

  • The Dow Industrial Average (11,613) -- My annual value level is 11,491 with a daily pivot at 11,746, and weekly and monthly risky levels at 12,400 and 12,741.
  • The S&P 500 (1256.9) -- My annual value level is 1210.7 with my quarterly pivot at 1262.5, my daily pivot at 1266.3, and weekly and monthly risky levels at 1327.3 and 1381.3. A weekly close below 1284 shifts the weekly chart profile to negative.
  • The NASDAQ (2617) -- My daily pivot is 2611 with weekly, quarterly and monthly risky levels at 2753, 2853 and 2926. Semiannual and annual value levels are 2363, 2335 and 2172.
  • The NASDAQ 100 (NDX) (2203) -- My daily pivot is 2201.8 with weekly, quarterly, and monthly risky levels at 2333, 2438 and 2499. Semiannual value levels are 2006.8 and 1927.6.
  • Dow Transports (4950) -- My quarterly value level is 4671 with a weekly pivot at 4995, and daily and annual pivots at 5051 and 5179.
  • The Russell 2000 (781.90) -- My quarterly value level is 765.50 with daily and annual pivots at 778.07 and 784.16, and a weekly pivot at 805.37, and monthly risky level at 850.79. Semiannual value levels are 631.62 and 567.74.
  • The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) (412.44) -- My daily value level is 396.87 with weekly, monthly and quarterly risky levels at 447.74, 453.89 and 465.93. Semiannual and annual value levels are 296.89, 270.98 and 259.30. ‘

 

 

 

US says plant's spent fuel rods dry; Japan says no (AP) AP - Nuclear plant operators trying to avoid complete reactor meltdowns said Thursday that they were close to completing a new power line that might end Japan's crisis, but several ominous signs have also emerged: a surge in radiation levels, unexplained white smoke and spent fuel rods that U.S. officials said could be on the verge of spewing radioactive material.      Lessons from the long tail of improbable disaster (Washington Post) [ No! I disagree with the implication of the article! Modern life advantages? What, new fangled frauds? That was the bottomline to the real estate debacle; that is, the ‘pretend’ was creating an ongoing plethora of profits derived from literally worthless paper. If not for financial incentive (from fraud), and certainty of prosecution for the fraud (to date such has not occurred), this still extant debacle in the trillions would not have occurred. Moreover, and this is not 20/20 hindsight, I had no idea of the prevalence of earthquakes in Japan (but was aware of their nuclear energy commitment) and clearly, conscious decisions for the sake of extra profits were made regardless of risk. Some (ie., earthquake-prone) nations just have to suck it up and make do without nuclear (and pay more for fossil fuels, etc., which would affect margins). The BP disaster was the consequence of a known flaw, even warned against by personnel close to the debacle (the solution possibly affecting executive bonuses, yacht, plane, exotic vacation home, etc.). New Orleans? … well, who’d want to live there anyway outside of the Mardi Gras celebration…just kidding. All the attention in the world does not change the ‘facts of life’. No, not those facts of life, but reality. ] The lesson of disasters such as the one in Japan is that more attention must be paid to extra risks that come with all the advantages of modern life

 

[video] Analyst Sees Fibonacci Retracement

 

[video] Market Rallies on Oil [ Yeah … riiiiight … that’s bullish … keep the inflation comin’ … talk about inmates running the asylum! ]


Market in a Slow-Burn Mode and Starting to Wilt the Inflation Trader ‘…and now, I’m supposed to be a nuclear engineer? Financial engineering is in some ways similar to nuclear engineering, which is one reason we use terms in finance like “nuclear waste” to mean a particularly toxic tranche of a deal that no one wants to have, or refer to a particular credit as being “radioactive.” The credit crisis has also been called a “financial meltdown.” But most of the products that Wall Street creates don’t actually kill people (on the other hand, they also don’t get better when you pour water on them, so perhaps the jury is still out on which is worse).

Markets reacted poorly for most of the day yesterday on the news coming out of Japan. The Federal Reserve was forced to cancel its scheduled bond buy-back in mid-stream when the Dow Jones newswire ran headlines saying “EU ENERGY CHIEF: SITUATION AT JAPAN NUCLEAR PLANT OUT OF CONTOL” and “EU ENERGY CHIEF: POSSIBLE CATASTROPHIC EVENTS IN NEXT HOURS.” Bonds predictably shot straight up and stocks tumbled until the EU energy chief admitted that his “analysis” had been gleaned from details in news reports. The Fed re-initiated and complete the bond buyback, and everybody learned a lesson not to listen to the EU Energy Chief. Ever. Again.

The U.S. stock market, however, is also in slow-burn mode and starting to wilt. Yesterday’s 2% decline in the S&P on the highest volume of the year (1.4bln shares or so) took the index to flat on the year. Easy come, easy go. Meanwhile, the Nikkei rallied overnight (5.7%) and the Yen strengthened to match its all-time strongest level, 79.80 yen to the dollar, last seen in 1995. Yes, you read that correctly. The U.S. market is all aflutter now while the Nikkei is rallying and the Japanese currency is actually rallying. Maybe nuclear engineering would be easier.

Speaking of the 2008 meltdown, a reminder of it was called up yesterday when the Wall Street Journal ran an article entitled “Banks Probed in Libor Manipulation Case.” In 2008, there was another Journal story – and it probably prompted this investigation, as that is the way these things go – that pointed out that LIBOR was exceptionally low given the apparent difficulty many banks were having funding themselves in the LIBOR market. It was clear that it was predominantly hedge funds that were upset by the settings and stirring up trouble; after all, the banks are lending money tied to LIBOR and most of us are borrowing that money…so why would we get all bent out of shape because LIBOR was being mismarked too low?

This whole issue wouldn’t even exist if the British Bankers’ Association (BBA) hadn’t changed the way the LIBOR survey was conducted some years ago. Until 1998, LIBOR was set by a survey in which a large number of money market dealers were asked the following question: “At what rate do you think interbank term deposits will be offered by one prime bank to another prime bank for a reasonable market size today at 11am?” On the basis of that question, the crisis of 2008 wouldn’t affect the setting since it became merely hypothetical. There were no prime banks in late 2008, but that doesn’t mean it isn’t possible to speculate where such banks might have lent to each other. This was a smart way to word the question because it meant that (a) no bank was forced to reveal its own cost of funds to its competitors and (b) it abstracted from the occasional funding difficulties that a bank or two might have in special circumstances. That bank, during its problem, wasn’t a prime name bank so it could be ignored for the purpose of the survey.

However, as the swaps market grew and with it, the importance of the LIBOR rate, I suppose the BBA thought it oughtn’t be so hypothetical. So the survey procedure was changed, and now banks are asked “At what rate could you borrow funds, were you to do so by asking for and then accepting inter-bank offers in a reasonable market size just prior to 11 am?” (Thanks to MM for helping me find that.)

This is obviously a very different question. Now banks are expected to trumpet to the world when they are having funding difficulties. Moreover, the question leads to absurdities in the circumstances of late 2008. Complainers think that LIBOR should have been marking higher than it was, but how are you supposed to answer this when the real answer is “infinity. No funds are being offered to me or to any other bank at any price”? And that was in fact the situation. Banks were being ordered not to put out 12-month, 6-month, 3-month, and for a time even 1-month and shorter money.

If you had offered 100% and been lifted, you would have lost your job (especially if that bank then collapsed the next day and your unsecured LIBOR deposit went down the hole with it). So there was literally no correct answer. Obviously, some banks unilaterally altered the question they were answering (since they are required to answer it, and amended to the question “…and the market was functioning normally.” Or perhaps they merely decided to answer the question in the original, pre-1998 spirit. Can we blame people for giving a bad answer to a stupid question? I suppose it makes sense to look to see if there was collusion among the twenty banks that make up the LIBOR survey, although it is a little hard to imagine how a secret agreement could have been kept with so many conspirators.

This just in: the housing market is still radioactive as well. Yesterday’s Housing Starts figure printed at 479k, only 2k above the absolute low of April 2009. This is good, in a way, since less construction means less inventory, which means existing inventory gets worked off more quickly and more homebuyers get shunted to the existing home market where the inventories are really ugly. But it also means that construction is not going to be adding much to the growth figures for a while…

The housing data was lost in the global geopolitical news, as is appropriate. But it was harmonious with what the market wanted to do anyway. Stocks wanted to fall, and they did. Bonds wanted to rally, and the 10y yield declined 10bps to 3.20%, the lowest yield since December and starting to make Bill Gross look kinda bad (but seriously, Mr. Gross has many powers but the ability to predict earthquakes, I suspect, is not among them).

Commodities were flat, with the Ags and Industrial Metals down and energy up. Crude oil regained the $98 level. Opinions on oil vary widely, but I’m a bull. Monetary policy, respectable global growth, damage to MENA production environments, and a decrease in the BTU that can be output from nuclear – that seems like a bullish mix to me.

Today’s data includes Initial Claims (Consensus: 388k from 397k), Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization (Consensus: +0.6%/76.5%), Leading Indicators (Consensus: +0.9%), and the Philly Fed Index (Consensus: 28.8 vs 35.9).

But by far the most important data is the CPI report. The consensus calls for +0.4% on headline and +0.1% on core, raising the year/year headline number to +2.0% and maintaining +1.0% on core.

I think there is risk to the upside on core inflation. Last month, the print surprised on the upside at +0.17% m/m, which brought the y/y number to +0.95% (rounded to +1.0% in news reports). What are the chances of another similar number, more than 0.1% but not quite 0.2%?

I think the odds are reasonable. Recall that last month, major subindices of the CPI constituting 83.5% of total inflation showed acceleration in the year-on-year numbers (to review what I wrote last month, follow this link). And, as I pointed out just 10 days ago, the recent rise in inflation swaps, especially combined with the decline in forward energy quotes, implies that the market also expects core to rise (updated chart below, click to enlarge). [chart]

Purple line is expected core inflation over the next 1 year implied by current inflation swaps and forward energy futures.

As I said in that recent comment, however, the aggressive expectations that are embedded does create the potential for disappointment. The inflation market is far more likely to respond negatively to an as-expected print than it is likely to respond positively to a higher-than-expected core print. We’d need a strong 0.2%, not just a weak 0.2%, to really goose the market I think, and that seems a stretch.’

 

 

 

BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Blodget ‘Investors have gotten wildly bullish of late, as the bull market that started in early 2009 keeps driving stocks to new highs. But the pigs are about to get slaughtered, says Bob Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and editor of the Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter still thinks the new bull market is just a cyclical "retracement" of some of the bear market losses that we've had since the market crashed in 2008.  Prechter expected this retracement to drive stocks 50% above the market lows, but stocks have since soared 30% higher than than he expected.  So when the day of reckoning comes, Prechter thinks, it will be even more startling.  And Prechter still thinks that stocks will eventually crash to new bear-market lows (read: below 6,800 on the DOW). What makes Prechter think this day of reckoning may come sooner rather than later? Sentiment indicators and other technical analysis. Investor bullishness has now gotten so extreme, Prechter says, that it has exceeded the levels in 2008 before the market crashed.  Investors could still get even more bullish, of course, but eventually they'll pay for this optimism. And Prechter's not just bearish on stocks: He thinks oil, silver, and other commodities are absurdly overvalued, too.  The only thing he's bullish on is the dollar. And lest he be dismissed as a perma-bear, Bob Prechter is quick to add that he hopes there will come a day when he can come on the show and tell everyone that stocks are finally so crushed and hated that it's a historic opportunity to buy them.  When will that be? Stay tuned...’ The Case for a Bear Market for Stocks  Suttmeier ‘In making a bearish call on the U.S. stock market, I base it on both fundamental and technical factors. The fundamentals show that stocks are overvalued and we have had three ValuEngine Valuation Warnings so far this year. The January warning was ignored by the market but so far stocks peaked with the warning issued on February 18 and re-iterated on March 3. During this period we have seen many days where all 16 sectors have been overvalued, with eight to 11 by double-digit percentages. Today 63.8% of all stocks are overvalued, and all 16 sectors are overvalued, 11 by double-digit percentages…’

 

 

 

 

Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’

 

 

World's richest are almost $1 trillion richer [ And the other 95% trillions poorer. ]

 

 

Utilities Are Warning the Correction Is Here Gayed ‘The utilities sector (IDU) may not be the most fascinating sector of the market to watch, but in many ways can be one of the most important. Legendary technical analyst Edson Gould, known for being one of the best market timers of all time, believed that the performance of utilities was an early indicator for broad market movements. He noted often times that when utilities performed exceptionally well, within a short period of time, markets would experience a period of volatility and declining prices…’

 

 

 

Is the Bear Market Back?  [ The bear market never left … This has been a manipulated bubble-bull cycle in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and hence, is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come! ] Michaud ‘Financial Markets at Critical Junctures



Michigan passes ‘financial martial law’ bill Politico | Michigan legislators have approved a bill authorizing state-appointed emergency financial managers to break union contracts.

 

Another Ron Paul Critic at the Fed: ‘I Know Some Powerful People’ Robert Wenzel | Paper money as issued by the Fed can be, I guess, considered a liability.


 

Currency Meltdown Coming USA Watchdog | A ball of debt is growing. It is on course to swamp the system.

 

G-7 Sells Yen in First Joint Intervention in More Than Decade The Group of Seven will jointly intervene in the foreign exchange market for the first time in more than a decade after Japan’s currency soared, threatening its recovery from the March 11 earthquake.

 

Japanese Politician Suggests Closing Financial Markets For A Week Yesterday’s speculation that a bank holiday was suggested and may be imposed in Japan due to unprecedented market swings and tens of trillions in support from the BOJ has just been confirmed.

 

Tokyo Exodus Part 3: ATM Shutdowns, Power Outages Put Citizens On Edge, Gold Hoarded In Evacuation Preparations The resilience of those living in the Japanese capital has been beyond admirable. After experiencing a record earthquake, hundreds of aftershocks, a historic tsunami, radioactive catastrophy 160 miles away and constant fears a northeasterly wind can bring in radioactive snow, and now unending rolling blackouts and ATM service interruptions, one has yet to hear about any mass exodus let alone coordinated complaining.

 

How the NY Fed Gifted An Extra $15.7 Million To Wall Street Yesterday As part of the Federal Reserve’s ongoing QE2 program, nearly each day, the NY Fed purchases US Treasury securities from a select group of primary dealers in what is called a permanent open market operation (POMO).

 

 

National / World

 

Infowars has some of the only Potassium Iodide in the U.S. Infowars | Infowars has taken action and secured some of the only remaining dose-ready potassium iodide (KI) in the country.

 

Alex Jones: Pentagon preparing for Martial Law RT | Is the system itself collapsing?

 

Neo-Libs Rejoice As UN Declares War On Libya Paul Joseph Watson | War is evil unless it’s sprinkled with the magic pixie dust of UN endorsement and “humanitarian” rhetoric.

 

U.N. Security Council Passes Libya No-fly Resolution Financial Times | Diplomats vote 10-0 for military action, with five nations, including Russia, China and Germany, abstaining.

 

Preview: Charlotte Iserbyt – The Miseducation of America PrisonPlanet.tv | Part one of exclusive interview, coming in April 2011.

 

Last remaining potassium iodide available at Infowars.com Infowars has taken action and secured some of the only remaining dose-ready potassium iodide (KI) in the country.

 

Neo-Libs Rejoice As UN Declares War On Libya Neo-libs everywhere are rejoicing. Remember – war is evil unless it’s sprinkled with the magic pixie dust of UN endorsement and “humanitarian” rhetoric, in which case the dead bodies, the terror, and the screaming children are all worth it. The fact that Libya is the richest oil nation on the entire African continent is a mere coincidence. Go back to sleep – basketball is on the TV. Soon you’ll be able to crack open a 6 pack and enjoy the air strikes like you would a Dwyane Wade slam dunk.

 

NY Times Maps Underplaying Extent Of Radiation The radiation plume illustrated on the map is from the original release over last weekend. A far larger and more deadly plume of radiation from the explosions and fires earlier this week will soon follow.

 

Swedish Government: Radiation To Cover Entire Northern Hemisphere Suggesting that levels of radiation leaks from the stricken Fukushima plant are being grossly underreported by Japanese authorities, a Swedish government agency told Reuters today that not only will the radiation reach North America, but it will subsequently cover the entire northern hemisphere.

 

Pentagon’s Actions Suggest Nuclear Disaster Is Much Worse Than Feared The Pentagon’s actions regarding the nuclear crisis in Japan reveal that the true scale of the disaster is being withheld from the public.

 

Tokyo Passengers Trigger U.S. Airport Detectors, N.Y. Post Says Radiation detectors at Dallas-Fort Worth and Chicago O’Hare airports were triggered when passengers from flights that started in Tokyo passed through customs, the New York Post reported.

 

Harmless? Chernobyl Radiation Killed Nearly One Million People “No citizen of any country can be assured that he or she can be protected from radioactive contamination. One nuclear reactor can pollute half the globe,” they said. “Chernobyl fallout covers the entire Northern Hemisphere.”

 

MSNBC LIES About Three Mile Island Health Effects They never mentioned studies by the Radiation and Public Health Project, including a “new analysis of health statistics in the region found that death rates for infants, children, and the elderly soared in the first two years after the Three Mile Island accident in Dauphin and surrounding counties.”

 

Western Response to Japan: The real crime against humanity The Anglo-American multi-trillion dollar global military machine has been defended ad nauseum as essential to protecting free humanity and its progress into a promising future.

 

 

Newly Released Images Show Devastated Nuclear Reactors The Tokyo Electric Power Company has released new images that show the devastated nuclear reactors at the stricken Fukushima plant, as authorities confirm that a second reactor containment vessel has been damaged, leading to yet more deadly radiation being released into the atmosphere.

 

French claim Japan is hiding full scale of nuclear disaster The French government accused the Japanese of losing control of the situation and hiding the full scale of the disaster.

 

27 Signs That The Nuclear Crisis In Japan Is Much Worse Than Either The Mainstream Media Or The Japanese Government Have Been Telling Us How much of a threat is the nuclear crisis in Japan? That question is on the minds of millions of people around the globe tonight. The Economic Collapse March 16, 2011

How much of a threat is the nuclear crisis in Japan?  That question is on the minds of millions of people around the globe tonight.  Unfortunately, the Japanese government and the mainstream media have both been doing their best to downplay this crisis.  Even though there have been massive explosions at the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear facility, authorities in Japan have still been very stingy with information and they keep insisting that the situation is under control.  But the situation is not under control.  In fact, it just seems to get worse with each passing day.  Radiation levels are now incredibly high at the Fukushima Dai-ichi complex and the radiation cloud is starting to spread.  Radiation levels in Tokyo are already 10 times above normal levels, and there are reports in the international media that some people have begun to flee the city.  It is imperative that the Japanese government tell the truth about what is going on because this could potentially affect the health of millions of people.  There are over 12 million people in the city of Tokyo alone.  If this nuclear crisis continues to get worse it could potentially end up killing more Japanese than the tsunami just did.

Yes, things really are that serious.

We are not just talking about a repeat of Chernobyl.

We are possibly talking about “many Chernobyls”.

It is somewhat understandable that the Japanese government and the mainstream media do not want to panic the public, but the reality is that people need the truth about what is going on.

Unfortunately, it is not likely that the Japanese government or the mainstream media are going to “change their stripes” overnight, so in order to try to get an idea of what is really going on we need to look at the clues.

Sometimes it is much more important to watch what people are doing rather than what they are saying.

For example, a significant number of foreign governments are now evacuating personnel from Tokyo.

Why would they be evacuating if there was no threat?

Posted below are 27 signs that the nuclear crisis in Japan is much worse than either the mainstream media or the Japanese government have been telling us.  When you take all of these clues and you put them together it really does paint a frightening picture….

#1 Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan is urging all people living within 30 kilometers of the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear facility to stay indoors.

#2 Andre-Claude Lacoste, the head of France’s Nuclear Safety Authority, says that the containment vessel surrounding the No. 2 reactor at Japan’s Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear complex is “no longer sealed“.

#3 Radiation levels in Tokyo are already 10 times above normal levels.

#4 Reuters is reporting that some residents of Tokyo are already starting to flee the city.

#5 Radiation levels in one city north of Tokyo, Utsunomiya, were recently reported to be 33 times above normal levels.

#6 Radiation levels in the city of Saitama have been reported to be 40 timesabove normal levels.

#7 According to Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan, the “possibility of further radioactive leakage is heightening.”

#8 The Japanese government is admitting that radiation levels near the Fukushima Dai-ichi complex are very harmful to human health.

#9 According to the World Nuclear Association, exposure to over 100 millisieverts of radiation a year can lead to cancer.  At this point the level of radiation being measured right outside the number 4 reactor at the Fukushima Dai-ichi complex is 400 millisieverts per hour.

#10 A U.S. Navy crew that was assisting in relief efforts was exposed to a month’s worth of nuclear radiation in just a single hour.

#11 According to the U.S. Navy, low levels of radiation have been detectedat their bases in Yokosuka and Atsugi.

#12 The USS Ronald Reagan recently detected significant levels of radiation 100 miles off the Japanese coast.

#13 The operator of the Fukushima Dai-ichi complex has pulled out 750 of the 800 workers that were working at the facility.

#14 The French embassy in Tokyo is advising French citizens to leave the city.

#15 The German embassy in Tokyo is advising all German citizens to leave the country entirely.

#16 German technology company SAP is evacuating their offices in Tokyo.

#17 Austria has announced that it is moving its embassy from Tokyo to Osaka due to fears about the radiation.

#18 Finland is urging all of their citizens to leave Tokyo.

#19 The Czech military is sending planes to Japan specifically to evacuate the Czech Philharmonic Orchestra.

#20 Air China is canceling many flights to Tokyo.

#21 The Chinese Embassy has announced that it will be evacuating all Chinese citizens from the Miyagi, Fukushima, Ibaraki and Iwate prefectures.

#22 Russia is making preparations to evacuate civilians and military unitsfrom the Kuril Islands.

#23 Physicist Frank von Hippel recently told the New York Times the following about this disaster: “It’s way past Three Mile Island already”.

#24 The president of France’s nuclear safety authority says that this crisis is now almost as bad as Chernobyl was….

    “It’s clear we are at Level 6, that’s to say we’re at a level in between what happened at Three Mile Island and Chernobyl.”

#25 There have been reports of extremely high radiation at another nuclear facility in Japan.  It has been reported that at the Onagawa nuclear plant radiation that is 700 times the normal level was detected at one point.

#26 One anonymous senior nuclear industry executive told The Times Of India that Japanese power industry managers are “basically in a full-scale panic” and that “they don’t know what to do”.

#27 It is also being reported that there were over 600,000 spent fuel rodsstored at the Fukushima Dai-ichi complex.  Most of these rods were apparently stored near the top of the 6 reactor buildings.  There have already been major explosions at three of those buildings.  It is now feared that there is now nothing to prevent many of these spent fuel rods from releasing radiation into the atmosphere.  That is really, really bad news.

So is there a threat that nuclear radiation from Japan could reach the United States?

Well, actually everyone agrees that radiation could reach the United States.  The controversy is whether or not it will be enough to be harmful to human health.

The Nuclear Regulatory Commission is admitting that it is “quite possible” that nuclear fallout from this disaster could reach the United States.  In fact, Nuclear Regulatory Commission spokesman David McIntyre says that there could already be radiation from Japan over America….

    Right now it’s quite possible that there could be some radiation floating over the United States.

But most government officials in the U.S. are insisting that there is “no threat” to the health of American citizens from this crisis at this point.

So how would nuclear radiation from Japan get transported to the United States?

Well, if radiation released by a damaged nuclear reactor got up into the jet stream, the first major land mass that it would encounter would be North America.  In fact, the jet stream commonly takes air from over Japan directly over the west coast of the United States.  The following video demonstrates this fact beautifully….

So is there any reason for those of us living in the United States to be concerned?

According to the Japanese government, the U.S. government and the mainstream media there is not.

But do you believe them?

The truth is that they seem much more concerned with keeping the public calm rather than telling the public the truth.

Radiation levels are increasing all over northern and central Japan.  People are starting to leave Tokyo and other major cities in the region.  Foreign governments are evacuating personnel.  Fires continue to erupt at the Fukushima Dai-ichi complex.  The authorities in Japan seem to have no idea how to solve this crisis.

If even one of those damaged nuclear reactors fully melts down it is going to be a complete and total nightmare.  If you live in an area that could potentially be affected by nuclear radiation from Japan you might want to start figuring out how you and your family are going to handle this crisis’



Hamas says Israeli fighter jets bomb facility in Gaza, killing 2 Palestinians [ War crimes nation israel keeping america looking bad in the Mideast, when defacto bankrupt america can least afford it. ] Washington Post - GAZA CITY, Gaza Strip - Israeli fighter jets pummeled a Hamas security facility in the Gaza Strip on Wednesday, killing two Palestinian civilians / freedom fighters and wounding four, officials in the Palesinian coastal ...     Two killed in Israeli air strike on Hamas compound in Gaza Jerusalem Post     Palestinians: Three killed in Israel air strike on Gaza Ha'aretz

 

VIDEO: EU Naval Forces Fight Piracy off Somali Coast [ Yeah! With all their nation-bankrupting, self-defeating, wasteful, adventuring, warring for no good reason in Afghanistan, etc., I have been at a loss to understand why they are not blasting the skinnies out of the water, along with bombing the skinny-places of refuge! ]

 

Drudgereport: UN AUTHORIZES MILITARY STRIKES ON LIBYA...
HILLARY'S WAR
Strikes Could Come Within Hours...
'ALL NECESSARY MEASURES'...
THE BOOT: Sorties from Italy...
Canada on the march...
GADDAFI: 'WE ARE COMING TONIGHT'...

'THERE WON'T BE ANY MERCY'...
Japan's increasingly frantic efforts at nuke plant...
'Like suicide fighters in a war'...

Mayor of town near nuke: 'They're leaving us to die'...
DESPAIR TURNING TO ANGER...
'We're Very Close Now to the Point of No Return'...
U.S. Officials Alarmed By Japanese Handling of Crisis...
Life Among the Ruins...
AP... BBC... KYODO... NHK... REUTERS...
US, JAPAN SPLIT ON NUKE DANGER
Debt Jumps $72B Same Day House Votes to Cut Spending $6B...
Tiny tim geithner to Congress: More Debt, Please...
OBAMA SETS WEEKEND IN RIO!
Family will take in the sights...
SPRING BREAK: Obama the invisible; Anti-leadership amid world crises … [ wobama’s presidency is over, he should be impeached / removed from office ! ] ...
VIDEO: T_rump Says He'll Spend $600 Million on Prez Run… dreamin’, schemin’, to no avail … even this mobster’s bribes couldn’t put him over the top … he’s a joke, a lightweight,  and a loser! And, from the nation’s foremost drains / sinkholes, corrupt / mob infested new york / new jersey (he and his corrupt sister judge maryanne should be in jail – Jerry Springer would make a more serious candidate, and that also would be a joke; but at least Springer pioneered that mindless entertainment genre and is intelligent.)...
RACE TO SAVE CORE...

 

 

(Washington Post) [ Comments  COMMENTS ARE CLOSED WHILE WE UPGRADE OUR SYSTEMS  ]

 

Dana Milbank In state legislatures, Tea Partyers take democracy to absurd lengths. (Washington Post) [ I love to pick on Mr. Milbank … we’re so … ‘opposite’. ‘Louis Brandeis’? As they say on Saturday Night Live, ‘What’s up with that, what’s up with that’. I concede he was a brilliant jurist (my personal favorite was Holmes, especially Holmes’ discussion of the law as providing foreseeability of consequences to actions, ie., threatening to do what one legally can do which enables the other party to avoid such consequences, etc.. – Boy, did he get that wrong with pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt ‘modern america’ where meaningfully lawlessness reigns supreme (see, ie., RICO case [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm  ] ). Yet Brandeis’ powers of foresight were sorely lacking [ Upon completion of his first semester exams he was packing his bags to leave (I think harvard) certain he had failed out. In fact, he ‘aced’ them all. (I can empathize with that feeling which unlike anytime after a test I felt after the 3 day bar exam. I felt drained and ‘certain’ I had failed. In fact, I scored so high on the multi-state that my ‘jersey part’ of the exam became irrelevant (how prescient a circumstance). ] Laboratory?... I don’t think so … unless you’re talking of that of Dr. Frankenstein himself.

 


2chambers: McConnell, McCain draw the line (Washington Post) [ mccain recently said that if he had been elected president, defacto bankrupt america would be fighting 3 wars. Talk about a race to the ‘bottom’. Earth to mccain … that’s why you weren’t elected (mccain’s a loser, from wrestler, to downed pilot, to songbird pow, to keating 5 man who should have gone to jail, etc.; although wobama the b (for b*** s***), despite promises to the contrary, has been no better; viz., maybe 2 and a half wars despite the nation’s defacto bankruptcy. Never trust a *********** Go ahead, fill it in … whatever comes to mind … don’t feel guilty, his presidency’s done!  Obama Laments He’s Not President Of Communist China [ Time to relieve wobama the b’ (for b*** s***) of his burden by impeaching / removing him from office without delay! He may not have been the first black president (Clinton is generally considered the first black president by blacks and whites alike, a moniker Clinton accepted and wore proudly – that 18% vote), but he is certainly the last!  Drudgereport: City Lowers Police Testing Standards Because Not Enough Blacks Passed...         Under pressure from Obama administration...    Illinois mayor says Obama still owes city $55,457...    Obama to party with Washington reporters...   Golf in the afternoon...    ] Weekly Standard | “Mr. Obama has told people that it would be so much easier to be the president of China.”    Dave’s Daily: ‘…Where is the president? This has been a universal question raised by both right and left. Obama appeared on ESPN to go over his NCAA basketball bracket, is hosting a $30K a plate fund raiser in Harlem and heads this weekend to Rio. The president's disconnect is beyond belief and his ears have turned to tin…’    Obama Plays While Japan Begs for Help    [ ‘Wobama the b’ (for b*** s***) is a typical ‘***************’ … Go ahead, fill it in … whatever comes to mind … don’t feel guilty, he’s already a failed president who should be impeached / removed from office without delay and a total incompetent and fraud.  ] Watson/Jones | With the world on fire, the President goes AWOL again …       Financialization and Our Increasingly Unstable Economy Roche ‘I finally got around to seeing the movie Inside Job, the story behind the credit crisis and winner of the Academy Award for best documentary. It’s very good and I highly recommend it to anyone who hasn’t seen it. It will certainly infuriate you. The movie doesn’t place nearly enough blame on homeowners, but all in all it does an excellent job of showing how Wall Street and government have become overrun by deregulation and sheer greed. A combination of flawed economic theory and greed have combined to create the beast that we now call a “functioning” economy. The worst part of it all is that President Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place.  ]

 

 

 

 

 

US says plant's spent fuel rods dry; Japan says no (AP) AP - Nuclear plant operators trying to avoid complete reactor meltdowns said Thursday that they were close to completing a new power line that might end Japan's crisis, but several ominous signs have also emerged: a surge in radiation levels, unexplained white smoke and spent fuel rods that U.S. officials said could be on the verge of spewing radioactive material.      Lessons from the long tail of improbable disaster (Washington Post) [ No! I disagree with the implication of the article! Modern life advantages? What, new fangled frauds? That was the bottomline to the real estate debacle; that is, the ‘pretend’ was creating an ongoing plethora of profits derived from literally worthless paper. If not for financial incentive (from fraud), and certainty of prosecution for the fraud (to date such has not occurred), this still extant debacle in the trillions would not have occurred. Moreover, and this is not 20/20 hindsight, I had no idea of the prevalence of earthquakes in Japan (but was aware of their nuclear energy commitment) and clearly, conscious decisions for the sake of extra profits were made regardless of risk. Some (ie., earthquake-prone) nations just have to suck it up and make do without nuclear (and pay more for fossil fuels, etc., which would affect margins). The BP disaster was the consequence of a known flaw, even warned against by personnel close to the debacle (the solution possibly affecting executive bonuses, yacht, plane, exotic vacation home, etc.). New Orleans? … well, who’d want to live there anyway outside of the Mardi Gras celebration…just kidding. All the attention in the world does not change the ‘facts of life’. No, not those facts of life, but reality. ] The lesson of disasters such as the one in Japan is that more attention must be paid to extra risks that come with all the advantages of modern life

 

 

A Tragedy of Epic Proportions: Dave's Daily ‘No Mr. Wise Guy today. The world is facing two crises in Japan and MENA. The nuclear issue in Japan appears out of control. At the same time, this tragedy is masking what's going in MENA as Gadhafi takes control and in Bahrain where the weird Sunni/Shiite battles rage. With the latter, it's like a primitive religious war the west experienced centuries ago (save Ireland) with Catholics fighting Protestants. Where is the president? This has been a universal question raised by both right and left. Obama appeared on ESPN to go over his NCAA basketball bracket, is hosting a $30K a plate fund raiser in Harlem and heads this weekend to Rio. The president's disconnect is beyond belief and his ears have turned to tin. Hillary Clinton meanwhile has announced she won't serve a second term as Secretary of State should Obama be reelected. Perhaps she'll serve as Vice-President to beef-up Obama's reelection chances; but, she hasn't distinguished herself in foreign affairs lately. Last night the BOJ injected many trillions of yen helping markets rebound. With rapidly changing "current" news this may not occur tonight. Bulls hope for reconstruction that will help U.S. industries within materials and manufacturing sectors providing the stuff they need to rebuild. But, that's a longer term positive for U.S. markets. For now, we need to know how this situation will play out from a humanitarian and safety view. The yen has hit fresh all-time high with repatriation paramount. Bonds are still climbing while crude oil rose and precious metals were up a touch. Other commodities were mixed…’

 

U.S. home construction drops sharply (Washington Post) [Well, there you go … just like ‘no-recession b.s. bernanke’ said: green shoots … comin’ up roses! ] The level of home construction plummeted in February from a month earlier to its lowest level since April 2009.

 

 

 

 

(Washington Post) [ Comments  COMMENTS ARE CLOSED WHILE WE UPGRADE OUR SYSTEMS  ]

 

 

 

Top 3 Reasons Markets Continued to Get Hammered  Wall Street Cheat Sheet ‘On Wednesday March 16, 2011, Markets closed down on Wall Street: DJI -2.04% SP500 -1.95% Nasdaq -1.89% Gold +0.24 % Oil +1.46% .Japan ( NYSE:EWJ ) continues to spook the world and Saudi Arabia has an escalating issue with Bahrain. Moody’s ( NYSE:MCO ) also downgraded Portugal’s credit rating again and PIIGS like Spain ( NYSE:EWP ) got slammed as austerity is becoming the new normal in Europe.

Today’s markets dropped because:

1) Japan ( NYSE:EWJ ) is about as scary a situation as possible. Fukushima is the center of the world at this point, and reports on Japan’s wire indicate problems are not contained at the nuclear power plant. General Electric ( NYSE:GE ) has been dumped on fears of legal liability for the design and construction of the facility at issue, and you better believe the Japanese government will look for a scapegoat (and deep pockets) once the situation stabilizes and the blame game begins. The next BP ( NYSE:BP )? Possibly. But there is still hope for a successful rebuild .

2) US producer prices are heating up and housing starts are drastically slowing down. Ironically, the best thing that could happen to the housing market is a slowdown in adding new supply. But don’t tell that to Homebuilders ( NYSE:XHB ) who got slammed today . And the last thing producers need is higher input costs as the economy remains as fragile as a Hollywood ego at the Oscars . Hey, let’s all focus on the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament and everything will seem fine … for a few days.

3) Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) had its tiara dented. Ready for a complete shocker? The iPad2 is sold out, yet some Excel jockey over at JMP Securities (who??) downgraded Apple . On a more important note, tablet computing rival Motorola ( NYSE:MMI ) announced the new Xoom WiFi will compete at Apple’s price point and run on Google’s ( NASDAQ:GOOG ) Honeycomb OS. All this added up to a staggering 4.4% one day drop for Wall Street’s darling.

Now that you’re in the know, good luck using logic or reason to predict tomorrow’s market activity.’



A Snapshot of Global PE Ratios and Dividend Yields Horowitz ‘Below, presented without comment, an interesting view of some of the major world markets and their P/E or "cheapness" ratios. Spain's IBEX checks in with the lowest P/E ratio and highest dividend ratio on a relative basis, while the two countries with the lowest dividend yield are Japan's Nikkei 225 and Mexico's IPC Index. [chart] ‘



 

Stock Market Decline Develops Exactly as Expected   McCurdy‘The S&P 500 index has declined nearly 5% during the last five sessions, erasing all of the previous gains for the year.
[chart]

Click to enlarge graphic

Of course, mainstream financial media have attributed much of the recent weakness to the earthquake and subsequent tsunami in Japan. But market behavior was telling us to expect a sharp decline long before this natural disaster occurred.

As we often note, the stock market is a discounting mechanism that sees several months into the future. It represents the cumulative judgment of all market participants, reflecting the best fundamental information available along with investor and trader sentiment. Those who do not understand how the market functions attempt to explain its behavior via the daily news flow, attributing up days to positive data or developments and down days to negative information. However, doing so misses the big picture and ignores basic market dynamics. Market behavior on any given day only has meaning when viewed in its proper context.

Prices are influenced by trends and cycles across multiple time frames that range from decades to days. Secular trends drive market movements for 10 to 20 years at a time, while cyclical component trends dominate price swings for 2 to 5 years. You also have intermediate-term weekly moves and short-term daily trends and cycles. Most importantly, each time frame exhibits relatively independent behavior. Sometimes all trends are aligned across all time frames, but most of the time they are not, so they must each be analyzed and properly characterized in order to develop a comprehensive, accurate understanding of market behavior.

Tragedies such as the Japanese natural disaster do influence market behavior, but their primary functions are as catalysts, setting in motion processes that were already likely. In the case of the current market environment, the process in question was the violent correction of an extremely over-extended rally from September. From early September until late February, the S&P 500 index advanced 28% without experiencing a meaningful retracement. Such extreme moves are always followed by volatile counter-trends, and by early February market behavior was warning us that the inevitable violent correction was becoming more likely. Broad market internals began to exhibit weakness as treasury yields continued to rise and market sentiment held at irrationally bullish extremes. When the overextended rally finally broke below uptrend support during the final week in February, market internals such as volume summation followed suit, strongly suggesting that the correction was about to begin.
Click to enlarge
[chart]
The Japanese disaster then acted as a catalyst that set the process in motion. The sharp rally from September to February is representative of the current environment and reflects heightened market volatility that has persisted since the crash in 2008.
Click to enlarge
[chart]
Again, extreme moves such as these are always followed by violent countermoves, and careful study of market behavior will indicate when the next reversal is becoming likely. For example, in February 2009, chart analysis suggested that historically oversold conditions would soon lead to the best trading opportunity in a generation, and the catalyst that set the massive rally in motion was a surprise positive earnings announcement from Citigroup on March 10.
Click to enlarge
[chart]
As expected, the subsequent oversold reaction was equally violent in character, resulting in the development of an extremely overbought condition in April 2010. Once again, market behavior warned us when the inevitable correction was imminent, and the European debt crisis in May 2010 acted as the catalyst that set the decline in motion.
Click to enlarge
[chart]
Returning to the present, now that the violent correction we have been awaiting is in progress, market behavior during the next several weeks should provide a reliable assessment of cyclical bull market health and produce clarity with respect to long-term direction. The decline from early March has caused the current short-term cycle to transition to a bearish bias.
Click to enlarge
[chart]
The next Short-Term Cycle Low (STCL) should occur sometime during the next two weeks, and the character of the subsequent reaction will likely tell us if the cyclical bull market is simply taking a breather or preparing to terminate.’



 

 

Don't Ignore Weak Housing Market and Bank Stress Issues  Suttmeier ‘Japan’s nuclear nightmare will stall global growth, which begins with housing and banking in the United States. With the world’s third-largest economy slowed to a crawl, the impact will be felt around the globe. Here in the United States, I worry about the housing market and the banking system where problems have been kicked down the road since 2008. The Fed says that the housing market remains depressed! The scars of “The Great Credit Crunch” could be opened as the economic impact from Japan slows business activities here in the United States.

The NAHB Housing Market Index Rose by a Point to 17
-- The National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index has been 20 or lower since September 2007 after being as high as 72 in June 2005, when I predicted that housing stocks were extremely overvalued and overbought and long overdue for a bear market. [chart]

In March the HMI inched up to 17 from 16 where 50 is the neutral zone so home builders have been in a depressed mood since May 2006 when this index first dropped below 50. Today home builders face the same obstacles talked about in the last several reports: competition from short sales and foreclosures, potential new home buyers’ inability to sell existing homes, home appraisals falling below the costs of new construction, and tough lending standards for both home builders and home buyers.

Economies on Main Street, USA depend upon the construction industry, and the housing market is a major component of this. Community banks are reluctant to lend to home builders, as they still have $321.6 billion in Construction & Development (C&D) loans on the books, where collections are problematic.

The NAHB Tells Congress that the Housing Market Needs Access to Credit


The National Association of Home Builders tried to give a positive spin on the housing market, anticipating an improving job market, but hedge that with the fact that builders cannot get construction credit from community banks. C&D loans declined 9.2% or $32.5 billion sequentially in the fourth quarter and  down 28.7% year-over-year. This is a slight acceleration of this component of Commercial Real Estate loans, which is a natural occurrence as the total is down to $321.6 billion. C&D are down $307.4 billion since the end of 2007, or 48.9%. Back between the end of 1988 and the end of 1992 this category of Commercial Real Estate Loans declined 54.7%, and “The Great Credit Crunch” we are in today will likely exceed that percentage.

The NAHB is worried that this contraction in construction lending will force more small builders out of business resulting in more job losses industry-wide and across the country. I have been saying that construction jobs are the most significant catalyst for job growth on Main Street, USA. Keep in mind that housing represents about 15% of our nation’s GDP. The NAHB told Congress that residential construction jobs declined by 1.4 million since April 2006.

The NAHB urged Congress to have a solution to the Fannie and Freddie dilemma as an affordable source of credit for housing, and to preserve the mortgage interest tax deduction, and the capital gain exclusion. Without these protections home prices are likely to continue to decline. The NAHB s worried about raising the down payment to 20%, but I agree with that restriction.

The NAHB is way too optimistic forecasting a modest gain in new home sales of 8% to 347,000 units in 2011 with 516,000 units in 2012.

Bank Failure Friday
-- Two private banks were closed by the FDIC last Friday, and one had an extreme overexposure to Commercial Real Estate loans.

  • 25 banks failed in 2008
  • 140 banks failed in 2009 with a peak of 50 in the third quarter
  • 157 banks failed in 2010
  • 25 banks have failed year to date in 2011
  • 347 banks have failed since the end of 2007
  • I still predict 500 to 800 bank failures in total by the end of 2012 into 2013.


The Number of Underwater Mortgages Rose at the End of 2010 -- According to CoreLogic approximately 11.1 million households or 23.1% of all mortgages were underwater in the fourth quarter of 2010. Another 2.4 million have only 5% of less equity. Underwater mortgages had declined in the prior three quarters because more homes came off the market because of foreclosures. The total negative equity in the mortgage market rose to $751 billion at the end of 2010 up from $744 in the third quarter. The number-one cause of underwater mortgages is lower home values. Home prices hit there lowest point of the crisis in 11 of 20 cities tracked by Case-Shiller in December.

Foreclosure Related Notices Decline, but That's Misleading -- Foreclosure filings fell to a 36-month low in February because lenders delayed activities against homeowners due to heightened scrutiny over the way banks are handling home repossessions. Information from RealtyTrac shows foreclosures down 14% in February to 255,101 homes, down 27% year over year.

Lenders repossessed 16% fewer homes in February, down 41% year over year to 64,643 units. Once the procedures are streamlined the pace will pickup as homeowners in default stay longer living in their homes. Meanwhile the backlog of potential foreclosure action and repossessions will grow.

The delay of foreclosure actions will likely delay a housing recovery until 2014 into 2015. Meanwhile home prices should continue to slump as around 5 million homeowners are at least two months behind on their mortgage payments.

Quite often an unexpected event from abroad will divert attention away from key market factors, which can expose old wounds!

Fed Policy Statement Implies That the US Economy Isn't Out of the Woods

The Federal Reserve says that the economic recovery is on firmer ground with an overall gradual improvement in the labor market. The key to the fact that Main Street economy is not out of the woods? Investment in nonresidential structures remains weak and the housing market continues to be depressed.

The Fed recognizes that commodity prices are putting upward pressure on inflation, but they say that it's temporary. They recognize the sharp run-up in energy costs caused by supply concerns, but have blinders on saying that longer-term inflation expectations is stable with underlying inflation still subdued. This theory will be put to a test with PPI released Wednesday and CPI on Thursday. The FOMC still believes that Americans do not need to eat and buy gasoline.

The Fed will continue to expand their balance sheet via the $600 billion QE2 (quantitative easing), which continues through June and they will continue to buy additional US Treasuries to replace maturing mortgage-backed securities. In addition they are continuing to keep the federal funds rate at zero to 0.25% for an extended period which began December 16, 2008.

10-Year Note -- (3.323) This yield declined to 3.203 on a continued flight to quality. The 200-day simple moving average lines up with my monthly risky level at 3.016 and 3.002. With the rebound in Japanese stocks overnight this yield is up to 3.351 this morning. [chart]

Comex Gold -- ($1396.9) The 50-day simple moving average was tested at Tuesday’s low at $1380.2. My annual value level is $1356.5 with my weekly pivot at $1404.1, and daily, monthly and quarterly pivots at $1420.1, $1437.7 and $1441.7, and semiannual risky level at $1452.6. [chart]

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($97.50) Tested $96.71 on Tuesday versus my monthly value level at $96.43. My annual pivots at $99.91 and $101.92 have been strong magnets. My monthly value level is $96.43 with daily, semiannual and quarterly risky levels at $102.18, $107.14 and $110.87. [chart]

The Euro
-- (1.3991) My quarterly value level is 1.3227 with a daily pivot at 1.3913, and weekly, semiannual and monthly risky levels at 1.4089, 1.4624 and 1.4637. [chart]

All daily charts for the major equity averages are negative -- trading below 50-day simple moving averages with declining daily momentum (12x3x3 daily slow stochastic). There are no oversold measures as yet. Tuesday’s low was 11,696 and Monday’s low was 11,897.[chart]

The weekly chart for the Dow Industrial Average remains overbought, but will join the other major averages with momentum (12x3x3 weekly slow stochastic) declining below 8.0 given a close on Friday below 11,856. This will confirm the Friday, February 18 high at 12,391.29 as a cycle high. My prediction has been a March high below 10,600. [chart]

While we are no longer under a ValuEngine Valuation Warning, stocks remain overvalued with 53.4% of all stocks overvalued. This measure needs to fall below 35% to call stocks cheap. Fifteen of 16 sectors remain overvalued, but now only one by double-digit percentage.

Key Levels for the Major Equity Averages

  • The Dow Industrial Average (11,855) -- My annual value level is 11,491 with a daily pivot at 11,835, and weekly and monthly risky levels at 12,400 and 12,741.
  • The S&P 500 (1281.9) -- My quarterly and annual value levels are 1262.5 and 1210.7 with a daily pivot at 1276.3, and weekly and monthly risky levels at 1327.3 and 1381.3. A weekly close below 1284 shifts the weekly chart profile to negative.
  • The NASDAQ (2667) -- My daily value level is 2646 with weekly, quarterly and monthly risky levels at 2753, 2853 and 2926. Semiannual and annual value levels are 2363, 2335 and 2172.
  • The NASDAQ 100 (NDX) (2260) -- My daily value level is 2238 with weekly, quarterly, and monthly risky levels at 2333, 2438 and 2499. Semiannual value levels are 2006.8 and 1927.6.
  • Dow Transports (5020) -- My quarterly value level is 4671 with weekly and daily pivots at 4995 and 5040 with my annual pivot at 5179.
  • The Russell 2000 (791.33) -- My quarterly value level is 765.50 with daily and annual pivots at 785.84 and 784.16, and a weekly pivot at 805.37, and monthly risky level at 850.79. Semiannual value levels are 631.62 and 567.74.
  • The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) (421.79) -- My daily value level is 404.53 with weekly, monthly and quarterly risky levels at 447.74, 453.89 and 465.93. Semiannual and annual value levels are 296.89, 270.98 and 259.30. ‘

 

 

 

Look at How Producer Prices are Getting More Expensive Wall St Cheat Sheet ‘On Wednesday March 16, 2011, The Producer Price Index for finished goods increased 1.6 percent in February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today . This rise followed advances of 0.8 percent in January and 0.9 percent in December, and marks the largest increase in finished goods prices since a 1.9-percent advance in June 2009.

At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by manufacturers of intermediate goods moved up 2.0 percent, and the crude goods index climbed 3.4 percent. On an unadjusted basis, prices for finished goods advanced 5.6 percent for the 12 months ended February 2011, the largest 12-month increase since a 5.9-percent rise in March 2010. (See table A.)

Monthly Changes Breakdown[chart]

Finished Goods (seasonally adjusted)[chart]

Finished Goods (not seasonally adjusted)[chart]

Intermediate Goods (seasonally adjusted)[chart]

Intermediate Goods (not seasonally adjusted)[chart]

Crude Materials (seasonally adjusted)[chart]

Crude Materials (not seasonally adjusted)[chart]’

 

 

 


Uptick in Wholesale Prices, Lower U.S. Home Construction Data Weighing On Markets Barron’s ‘As Japan’s nuclear crisis widens and several Arab states contemplate taking a more active role in Libya, stock ETFs are pointing down this morning.The
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is slipping slightly in pre-markets following disappointing reports on housing construction and wholesale prices. The PowerShares QQQ (QQQQ) is down 0.4%.Overseas, the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) is sliding by 0.5% and the iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ) is down 1.4%.Weighing on investors this morning is a report on U.S. housing starts that showed that construction activity took the steepest monthly plunge in nearly 27 years in February. Also, U.S. wholesale prices surged 1.6% last month on higher energy and food prices.’

 

 

 

 

Marc Faber On The Japanese Disaster, On A 20% Market Correction And On QE18 Marc Faber appeared earlier on CNBC in response to a plunging market, and gave his latest updated outlook on QE3… and 4, 5, 6, 7 and 8 (not to mention 18).  Tyler Durden Zero Hedge March 15, 2011 ‘Marc Faber appeared earlier on CNBC in response to a plunging market, and gave his latest updated outlook on QE3… and 4, 5, 6, 7 and 8 (not to mention 18). “We may drop 10 to 15 percent. Then QE 2 will come, (then) QE 4, QE 5, QE 6, QE 7—whatever you want. The money printer will continue to print, that I’m sure. .. I meant to say QE 18.”… No fear of that here: Zero Hedge has been rather vocal in our opinion of the world’s most destructive central planning buro from day one. We will continue being so, regardless how low the S&P plummets… Perhaps even to its fair value south of 500.’

 

 

 

 

Is the Bear Market Back?  [ The bear market never left … This has been a manipulated bubble-bull cycle in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and hence, is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come! ] Michaud ‘Financial Markets at Critical Junctures’ (see infra)

 

 

U.S. Stocks in Red, Though Markets Cut Early Losses Amid Fed Optimism  [ Fed optimism? You mean ‘fed b*** s*** ‘! Yes, we’re spoon fed ‘fed b*** s*** ‘.  The same ‘no-recession’ b*** s*** that wall street frauds are made of and thrive on. What do you expect them to say? After all, it’s the fed’s incompetence, complicity and wall street’s greed, fraud!  ]  Midnight Trader (see infra)

 

 

 



The sad, hypocritical retirement of Evan Bayh Klein (Washington Post) [ What’s so sad about it? Maybe only that the entire congress hasn’t stepped down with him, along with ‘wobama the b’ and the rest of his executive branch except law enforcement, and that other so-called judicial branch of plushly accoutered lifetime appointees. After all, someone must bear responsibility for the pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt state of the nation. If not them, then who. In the figurative (and I mean figurative not literal) sense, we should all burst out with that familiar refrain from ‘Another one bites the dust’.]

 

 

Obama Laments He’s Not President Of Communist China [ Time to relieve wobama the b’ (for b*** s***) of his burden by impeaching / removing him from office without delay! He may not have been the first black president (Clinton is generally considered the first black president by blacks and whites alike, a moniker Clinton accepted and wore proudly – that 18% vote), but he is certainly the last!  Drudgereport: City Lowers Police Testing Standards Because Not Enough Blacks Passed...         Under pressure from Obama administration...    Illinois mayor says Obama still owes city $55,457...    Obama to party with Washington reporters...   Golf in the afternoon...    ] Weekly Standard | “Mr. Obama has told people that it would be so much easier to be the president of China.”    Dave’s Daily: ‘…Where is the president? This has been a universal question raised by both right and left. Obama appeared on ESPN to go over his NCAA basketball bracket, is hosting a $30K a plate fund raiser in Harlem and heads this weekend to Rio. The president's disconnect is beyond belief and his ears have turned to tin…’    Obama Plays While Japan Begs for Help    [ ‘Wobama the b’ (for b*** s***) is a typical ‘***************’ … Go ahead, fill it in … whatever comes to mind … don’t feel guilty, he’s already a failed president who should be impeached / removed from office without delay and a total incompetent and fraud.  ]  Paul Joseph Watson & Alex Jones | With the world on fire, the President goes AWOL again …       Financialization and Our Increasingly Unstable Economy Roche ‘I finally got around to seeing the movie Inside Job, the story behind the credit crisis and winner of the Academy Award for best documentary. It’s very good and I highly recommend it to anyone who hasn’t seen it. It will certainly infuriate you. The movie doesn’t place nearly enough blame on homeowners, but all in all it does an excellent job of showing how Wall Street and government have become overrun by deregulation and sheer greed. A combination of flawed economic theory and greed have combined to create the beast that we now call a “functioning” economy. The worst part of it all is that President Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place. …’  ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]


]  Former general counsel inherited part of a Bernard Madoff account. 

Ethics code urged for Supreme Court  (Washington Post) [  Sounds like a plan! Come on! Wake up! After all, what can you expect from two guidos from ‘jersey (alito and scalia, colloquial – note that I have refrained from using what some might consider disparaging terms as w*p*, gui***s, or da***s … and let me state for the record that I truly loved and respected my grandmother who was 100% Italian/Bari,Italy and as well my grandfather/Lake Como,northern Italy with greek ancestral roots and I thereby claim standing/right to posit the criticism in light of my direct experience. ). How ‘bout starting with enforcing laws as to judges, liars, etc., within the very corrupted american illegal system; and, particularly bribes which in one form or another are rampant . I don’t know about Thomas ( 3-4-11  Throw Clarence Thomas Off the Bench (The Daily Beast)  ) , but I do know about alito and ‘jersey … :                                                                                                                    

October 15, 2010 (*see infra)

 

 

Steven M. Martinez, Assistant Director In Charge
Federal Bureau of Investigation, USDOJ
11000 Wilshire Blvd., Suite 1700

Los Angeles, CA 90024

 

 

Dear Sir:

 

I enclose herewith 3 copies of the within DVD rom autorun disk (which will open in your computer’s browser) as per your office’s request as made this day (the disk and contents have been scanned by Avast, McAfee, and Norton which I’ve installed on my computer to prevent viral attacks / infection and are without threat). I also include 1 copy of the DVD as filed with the subject court as referenced therein (which files are also included on the aforesaid 3 disks in a separate folder named ‘112208opocoan’). The (civil) RICO action (as you’re aware, the RICO Act is a criminal statute which provides a civil remedy, including treble damages and attorney fees, as an incentive for private prosecution of said claims probably owing to the fact that the USDOJ seems somewhat overwhelmed and in need of such assistance given the seriousness and prevalence of said violations of law which have a corrupting influence on the process, and which corruption is pervasive). A grievance complaint against Coan was also filed concurrently with the subject action and held in abeyance pending resolution of the action which was illegally dismissed without any supporting law and in contravention of the Order of The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District Connecticut. The files below the horizontal rule are the referenced documents as filed. (Owing to the damage to the financial interests of both the U.S. and the District of Congresswoman Roybal-Allard, viz., Los Angeles, the Qui Tam provisions of the Federal False Claims Act probably would apply and I would absent resolution seek to refer the within to a firm with expertise in that area of the law with which I am not familiar).

 

 

The document in 5 pages under penalty of perjury I was asked to forward to the FBI office in New Haven is probably the best and most concise summary of the case  RICO Summary to FBI Under Penalty of Perjury at Their Request (5 pages)      [  ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf   http://albertpeia.com/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf          ].

 

 

The correspondence I received from the Congresswoman by way of email attachment (apparent but typical problem with my mail) along with my response thereto is included on the 3 disks as     fbicorrespondencereyes.htm     .   With regard to the calls to the FBI’s LA and New Haven, CT offices: There was one call to the LA office and I was referred to the Long Beach, CA office where I personally met with FBI Agent Jeff Hayes to whom I gave probative evidentiary documents of the money laundering which he confirmed as indicative of same (he was transferred from said office within approximately a month of said meeting and his location was not disclosed to me upon inquiry). The matter was assigned to FBI Agent Ron Barndollar and we remained in touch for in excess of a decade until he abruptly retired (our last conversation prior to his retirement related to the case and parenthetically, Rudy Giuliani whose father I stated had been an enforcer for the mob to which he registered disbelief and requested I prove it, which I did – he served 12 years in prison, aggravated assault/manslaughter? – and no, there is no Chinese wall of separation – Andrew Maloney’s the one that prosecuted gotti).

 

 

In contradistinction to the statement in said correspondence, there is a plethora of information including evidence supporting the claims set forth in the    RICO VERIFIED COMPLAINT    (see infra). Such includes and as set forth in the case, inter alia,

 

 

  1. A judgment had been entered in my favor in the case, United States District Court Case #3:93cv02065(AWT)(USDCJ Alvin Thompson), worth approximately now in excess of $300,000 remains unaccounted for and which could be used for payment to creditors, Los Angeles, etc..
  2. Counsel Robert Sullivan on my behalf documented by way of certification upon investigation that Alan Shiff, USBCJ, had falsely stated a dismissal upon which false statement he predicated a retaliatory and spurious contempt proceeding against me causing substantial damage, and for which he sought Judicial Notice of those and related proceedings as did I in some of my filings.
  3. The Order of Dismissal With Prejudice by Alan Shiff, USBCJ, owing to Defendant Coan’s failure to file anything whatsoever by the court’s deadline causing creditors and me substantial damages:   [  Shiff Order of Dismissal With Prejudice on Coan’s Failure to File        Page 1                Page 2          ]
  4. Defendant Coan had filed an action against me to prevent me from suing him which necessitated me to fly to Connecticut for a hearing before The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District of Connecticut, who denied Coan’s requested relief as to Coan but precluded my action against Shiff (although there is no immunity, judicial or otherwise, for criminal acts, ie., fraud connected with a case under Title 11, USC, etc.) . [   transcript in pertinent part -     crossexamofcoanbypeia.pdf   ]
  5. Newly appointed judge, Maryanne Trump Barry, Donald Trump’s sister, was assigned the RICO case despite the conflict of interest in light of hundreds of thousands of dollars of illegal (drug) money being laundered through the Trump casinos by the RICO defendants, and despite my motion to recuse her which motion she heard herself and denied, and U.S. Trustee Hugh Leonard with whom I met personally refused to join or file a separate motion to recuse and not long thereafter left said office for private practice at Cole, Shotz, et als on retainer with the RICO defendants as his primary client.
  6. Probative and evidentiary documents, affidavits, exhibits, including those turned over to FBI Agent Jeff Hayes in Long Beach, CA, had been given to Assistant U.S. Attorney Jonathan Lacey with whom I met personally at the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Newark, N.J., at which time Samuel Alito was U.S. Attorney, and went over said documents and their probative value with him. Within approximately a month thereafter upon inquiry I was told that Jonathon Lacey was no longer with the office, that the file/documents could not be located, and that there was no further information available concerning contacting him or his location. I thereupon delivered by hand, copies of said documents to the office of then U.S. Attorney Alito, addressed to him, with assurance they would go directly to him. In addition to being inept [ I looked in on the one mob case he had brought, bungled, lost (accidently on purpose?) since I was suing some mob-connected under RICO and the court (I had known / previously met outside of court the judge Ackerman through a client) was absolute bedlam and a total joke since incompetent corrupt Alito brought in all 20 mob defendants (rather than prosecute one or a few to flip them first) who feigning illness had beds/cots in the courtroom along with their moans during testimony and had the jury in stitches. As much as I hate the mob, it truly was funny, if not so tragic.],   Alito is also corrupt (and maybe corrupt because he is inept). After a reasonable (but still rather short) time I called to determine the status and was told that Alito was no longer with the Office of the U.S. Attorney, that he was (appointed) a federal judge, and that neither the documents nor any file or record of same could be located. Alito did parley the same / cover-up into quid pro quo direct lifetime appointment to the Court of Appeals, 3rd circuit, despite the absence of judicial experience or successful tenure as U.S. Attorney (Maryanne Trump Barry as well). This is the same Sam Alito that now sits on the purported highest court in the land. The real application of the illegal rule ‘don’t ask, don’t tell’.

 

 

There is applicable insurance / surety coverage and neither LA, nor creditors, nor I should continue to have been damaged by this brazened corrupt and illegal scenario, which should be resolved in accordance with the meaningful rules of law apposite thereto.

 

 

Sincerely,

 

 

Albert L. Peia

611 E. 5th Street, #404

Los Angeles, CA 90013

(213) 219-**** (cell phone)

(213) 622-3745 (listed land line but there are unresolved problems with the line, computer connection may be the reason but I hesitate to chance greater non-performance / worsening by their ‘fix’ so cell phone best for contact).

  ] Group of law professors' appeal comes after controversies involving travel and appearances at political events by several justices.

 

 

 

Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)     http://www.stansberryresearch.com/pro/1011PSIENDVD/LPSILC43/PR  [ The instant  video on the economic / financial collapse from Stansberry and Associates is so well researched  and succinctly presented  that I’ve archived same on my website; also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views I’ve presented on my site which I believe to be correct. This is a must-view, must-see that I strongly recommend!    
The complete url:     http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv  ( 146mb – approx. 1 hr. 17 min. )         http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.mp4    (  374mb  )     Written text of presentation (without pictures  / charts)  http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrypresentation.htm ]

 

(Washington Post) [Wobama says daffy gaddafi’s time is up, got to go. The same can be said of wobama et als and his fraudulently failed presidency.   Sheen On Obama: “A Coward In a Cheap Suit”   [ I think Sheen to be too gentle in his criticism of wobama (Some might reflexively, defensively allege drugs (prescription or otherwise) or any number of the varied personality disorders so prevalent in america … ‘fuzzy, California laid back thinking’, ‘whatever’… Who knows? ) But, that said, wobama’s far worse than just a ‘coward in a cheap suit’. Indeed, Wobama’s a total fraud having been elected under false pretenses; viz., his total, unequivocal, and unfulfilled b*** s*** (those campaign promises) ! Moreover, there has been some persuasive documentation questioning wobama’s citizenship / birthplace placing his eligibility to even hold the office of president in question.  Drudgereport: UPDATE: Huckabee claims Obama grew up in Kenya...      The Obama Nation, by Jerome Corsi  Rezko was corrupt, and supported Obama in many campaigns as well as in Obama buying his home -- and therefore, according to Corsi, Obama is corrupt by ...www.ontheissues.org/Obama_Nation.htm  ] Amidst the controversy of his wild interview on the Alex Jones Show yesterday, actor Charlie Sheen wasted little time in confronting President Barack Obama on his failure to answer Sheen’s twenty questions concerning 9/11, calling Obama, “a coward in a cheap suit.”        A Government Shut-down Imperils the Power of Congress Paul Craig Roberts | Congress could try to protect its loss of the power of the purse by impeaching Obama.       Drudgereport: WOBAMA 'IMPEACHMENT' WARNING...   ...to announce exploratory committee 'in 10 days'         Globalist Shill Barack Obama Asks Business Leaders For Job Creation Ideas Even As He Ships More Of Our Jobs Overseas As Part Of The New One World Economy The other day, Barack Obama summoned a group of business and labor leaders to the White House and “challenged” them to come up with some great ideas for creating more jobs inside the United States.   Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post). Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’: Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post) Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’:  

But still it’s ‘hands off fraudulent wall street’ to theirs, the nation’s, and the world’s detriment. Firms subpoenaed in attempt to regain Fannie, Freddie losses (Washington Post). But there’s a reason:

The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  ( UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown. ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1  – well worth a look. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

While boner and barton are indeed jokes / vegetables that bespeak the single-digit approval rate for congress, obama’s failure to deliver on promises with as well, endless war spending despite defacto bankruptcy of the nation and a watered down nothing financial regulation bill for talking points but little substance, make him as big a joker, along with the dems. This well researched / produced video tells the real story :  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1   ‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ – well worth the view.    [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends ]

‘The Obama Deception’ Censored  A viral You Tube upload of one of Alex Jones’ most popular feature films ‘The Obama Deception’ has been censored following a spur of the moment campaign to elevate the movie’s title to the top of the major internet search engines.      In light of this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if incomplete)     http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257#           For the Same Reason I’ve Included Here a Web Site Archived FLV Version of Esoteric Agenda          http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv   

 

 

Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’

 

 

 

 

World's richest are almost $1 trillion richer [ And the other 95% trillions poorer. ]

 

Lessons from the long tail of improbable disaster (Washington Post) [ No! I disagree with the implication of the article! Modern life advantages? What, new fangled frauds? That was the bottomline to the real estate debacle; that is, the ‘pretend’ was creating an ongoing plethora of profits derived from literally worthless paper. If not for financial incentive (from fraud), and certainty of prosecution for the fraud (to date such has not occurred), this still extant debacle in the trillions would not have occurred. Moreover, and this is not 20/20 hindsight, I had no idea of the prevalence of earthquakes in Japan (but was aware of their nuclear energy commitment) and clearly, conscious decisions for the sake of extra profits were made regardless of risk. Some (ie., earthquake-prone) nations just have to suck it up and make do without nuclear (and pay more for fossil fuels, etc., which would affect margins). The BP disaster was the consequence of a known flaw, even warned against by personnel close to the debacle (the solution possibly affecting executive bonuses, yacht, plane, exotic vacation home, etc.). New Orleans? … well, who’d want to live there anyway outside of the Mardi Gras celebration…just kidding. All the attention in the world does not change the ‘facts of life’. No, not those facts of life, but reality. ] The lesson of disasters such as the one in Japan is that more attention must be paid to extra risks that come with all the advantages of modern life

 

Hidden workforce hinders recovery (Washington Post) [ Come on! Get real! They’ll never give up that ‘fudge factor’ that gives them cover for their prevarication and continued wall street churn and earn bubble fraud. ] The biggest challenge to the nation’s economic recovery is Americans who have stopped looking for new jobs.

This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!

 

YAHOO [BRIEFING.COM]: ‘…Data generally disappointed today. First on the list of releases is a housing starts report that showed a 22.5% drop in February to an annualized rate of 479,000 units, which is not only considerably less than the 575,000 units that had been forecasted, on average, by economists surveyed by Briefing.com, but also the slowest rate in almost two years. Building permits for February were also discouraging. They fell 8.2% from the prior month to an annualized rate of 517,000, which is less than the 573,000 that had been broadly expected…’

 

AP Business Highlights: On Wednesday March 16, 2011, 6:54 pm EDT ‘Higher prices for food are about to get worse WASHINGTON (AP) -- Americans are noticing higher prices at the grocery store, and it's about to get worse. Food prices at the wholesale level rose last month by the most in 36 years…’

 

Currency Meltdown Coming USA Watchdog | A ball of debt is growing. It is on course to swamp the system.

 

 

US food price rise is steepest in decades London Telegraph | Food prices in America soared at their fastest rate since the 1970s last month.

 

 

The Unbearable Lightness Of TARP Reporting The Daily Bail | Credit markets were NOT “frozen” during the crisis.

 

Yen Hits Highest Against Dollar Since 1995 on Radiation Concern The yen reached its strongest level since 1995 versus the dollar as risk of radiation leaks from crippled nuclear plants in Japan added to speculation insurers and investors will redeem overseas assets to pay for damages.

 

Foreign bankers flee Tokyo as nuclear crisis deepens Foreign bankers are fleeing Tokyo as Japan’s nuclear crisis worsens, scrambling for commercial and charter flights out of the country and into other major cities in the region.

 

Radiation In Ibaraki Rises To 300 Times Normal As Fukushima Evacuated, DOCOMO To Limit Up To 80% Of Voice Calls In Chiba, Ibaraki, 50% In Tokyo A choppy futures session has seen some modest profit-taking in line with Nikkei trading, following news that all TEPKO personnel around Fukushima are to be evacuated due to abnormally high radiation levels.

 

Nikkei Surges As BOJ Injects Another Ą3.5 Trillion: Just Add It To The Existing Ą23 Trillion Plunge Protection Tab It’s another day for the BOJ, which more than anything is hell bent on preventing a rerun of last night’s tumble in the futures to a 7 handle.

 

 

 

National / World

 

Fukushima nuclear power plant in Japan — a dirty bomb waiting to go off Mike Adams | Far worse than a terrorism attack.

 

NRC Says Spent Fuel Pool at Unit Four Lost Massive Amounts of Water ABC News | The Japanese quickly challenged statement, but gave few details saying only that the situation at the holding pool was “stable.”

 

Governments, Corporations Push Cover-up of Japanese Nuclear Nightmare Kurt Nimmo | Government secrecy is the rule of the day and the health and welfare of citizens ranks low.

 

Obama Plays While Japan Begs for Help Paul Joseph Watson & Alex Jones | With the world on fire, the President goes AWOL again.

 

Water in Pool Storing Spent Nuclear Fuel Rods May Be Boiling, Sign for Release of Radioactivity Washington’s Blog | Damaged fuel rods emit radioactive substances.

 

 

Radiation Contaminated Wind to Blow Toward U.S. Reuters | The wind speed will get stronger in the afternoon, blowing as fast as at 12 meters (39.4 ft) per second.

 

Exodus from a nuclear nightmare Daily Mail | Those inside the cars and trucks were fleeing for their lives, terrified about what might happen next.

 

Workers abandon Japan nuclear plant as crisis worsens Reuters | Japan’s nuclear crisis appeared to be spinning out of control on Wednesday.

 

Fukushima nuke plant situation ‘worsened considerably’ Kyodo News | ”This accident can no longer be viewed as a level 4 on the International Nuclear and Radiological Events scale that ranks events from 1 to 7.”

 

Massive Cover-Up Of Radiation Levels In Fukushima Prefecture A data map of radiation levels in Japan posted on the TargetMap website has omitted information from the Fukushima Prefecture where nuclear reactors are currently melting down.

 

Nuclear Crisis Live: 48 Hours To Avoid “Chernobyl On Steroids”? The IAEA says that the temperature of the pool at reactor 4 was 84C on Tuesday morning. On Wednesday morning, it was 62.7C at reactor 5 and 60C at reactor 6. Current reports say the pools at both reactors 3 and 4 are boiling. Reactor 4′s pool may even be dry.

 

Obama Fiddles While Fukushima Burns History tells us that Nero fiddled while Rome burned, but Barack Obama is providing the famous emperor with some serious competition when it comes to going AWOL while America and the world face crises the likes of which haven’t been experienced in decades.

 

EPA Increases radiation monitoring In U.S. The EPA plans to work with its federal partners to deploy additional monitoring capabilities to parts of the western U.S. and U.S. territories.

 

Plant workers may undertake “suicide mission” to avert total meltdown “We’re very close now to the point of no return,” Dr. Michio Kaku, a theoretical physicist, said. “It’s gotten worse. We’re talking about workers coming into the reactor perhaps as a suicide mission and we may have to abandon ship.”

 

U.S. forces kept 50 miles away from Japan nuke plant U.S. forces in Japan are not allowed within 50 miles of Japan’s crippled nuclear power plant, the Pentagon on Wednesday, explaining measures meant to keep troops safe during a relief operation.

 

Alert: Radiation from Stricken Japanese Plant Reaches Alaska? Radiation from the Fukishima Daiichi nuclear power plant disaster has reached Alaska, according to the state commissioner of health and social services in that state. He said the state has detected a “very small increase in radiation levels – well below levels that would be a health concern.”

 

Newly Released Images Show Devastated Nuclear Reactors The Tokyo Electric Power Company has released new images that show the devastated nuclear reactors at the stricken Fukushima plant, as authorities confirm that a second reactor containment vessel has been damaged, leading to yet more deadly radiation being released into the atmosphere.

 

 

French claim Japan is hiding full scale of nuclear disaster The French government accused the Japanese of losing control of the situation and hiding the full scale of the disaster.

 

27 Signs That The Nuclear Crisis In Japan Is Much Worse Than Either The Mainstream Media Or The Japanese Government Have Been Telling Us How much of a threat is the nuclear crisis in Japan? That question is on the minds of millions of people around the globe tonight. The Economic Collapse March 16, 2011

How much of a threat is the nuclear crisis in Japan?  That question is on the minds of millions of people around the globe tonight.  Unfortunately, the Japanese government and the mainstream media have both been doing their best to downplay this crisis.  Even though there have been massive explosions at the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear facility, authorities in Japan have still been very stingy with information and they keep insisting that the situation is under control.  But the situation is not under control.  In fact, it just seems to get worse with each passing day.  Radiation levels are now incredibly high at the Fukushima Dai-ichi complex and the radiation cloud is starting to spread.  Radiation levels in Tokyo are already 10 times above normal levels, and there are reports in the international media that some people have begun to flee the city.  It is imperative that the Japanese government tell the truth about what is going on because this could potentially affect the health of millions of people.  There are over 12 million people in the city of Tokyo alone.  If this nuclear crisis continues to get worse it could potentially end up killing more Japanese than the tsunami just did.

Yes, things really are that serious.

We are not just talking about a repeat of Chernobyl.

We are possibly talking about “many Chernobyls”.

It is somewhat understandable that the Japanese government and the mainstream media do not want to panic the public, but the reality is that people need the truth about what is going on.

Unfortunately, it is not likely that the Japanese government or the mainstream media are going to “change their stripes” overnight, so in order to try to get an idea of what is really going on we need to look at the clues.

Sometimes it is much more important to watch what people are doing rather than what they are saying.

For example, a significant number of foreign governments are now evacuating personnel from Tokyo.

Why would they be evacuating if there was no threat?

Posted below are 27 signs that the nuclear crisis in Japan is much worse than either the mainstream media or the Japanese government have been telling us.  When you take all of these clues and you put them together it really does paint a frightening picture….

#1 Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan is urging all people living within 30 kilometers of the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear facility to stay indoors.

#2 Andre-Claude Lacoste, the head of France’s Nuclear Safety Authority, says that the containment vessel surrounding the No. 2 reactor at Japan’s Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear complex is “no longer sealed“.

#3 Radiation levels in Tokyo are already 10 times above normal levels.

#4 Reuters is reporting that some residents of Tokyo are already starting to flee the city.

#5 Radiation levels in one city north of Tokyo, Utsunomiya, were recently reported to be 33 times above normal levels.

#6 Radiation levels in the city of Saitama have been reported to be 40 timesabove normal levels.

#7 According to Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan, the “possibility of further radioactive leakage is heightening.”

#8 The Japanese government is admitting that radiation levels near the Fukushima Dai-ichi complex are very harmful to human health.

#9 According to the World Nuclear Association, exposure to over 100 millisieverts of radiation a year can lead to cancer.  At this point the level of radiation being measured right outside the number 4 reactor at the Fukushima Dai-ichi complex is 400 millisieverts per hour.

#10 A U.S. Navy crew that was assisting in relief efforts was exposed to a month’s worth of nuclear radiation in just a single hour.

#11 According to the U.S. Navy, low levels of radiation have been detectedat their bases in Yokosuka and Atsugi.

#12 The USS Ronald Reagan recently detected significant levels of radiation 100 miles off the Japanese coast.

#13 The operator of the Fukushima Dai-ichi complex has pulled out 750 of the 800 workers that were working at the facility.

#14 The French embassy in Tokyo is advising French citizens to leave the city.

#15 The German embassy in Tokyo is advising all German citizens to leave the country entirely.

#16 German technology company SAP is evacuating their offices in Tokyo.

#17 Austria has announced that it is moving its embassy from Tokyo to Osaka due to fears about the radiation.

#18 Finland is urging all of their citizens to leave Tokyo.

#19 The Czech military is sending planes to Japan specifically to evacuate the Czech Philharmonic Orchestra.

#20 Air China is canceling many flights to Tokyo.

#21 The Chinese Embassy has announced that it will be evacuating all Chinese citizens from the Miyagi, Fukushima, Ibaraki and Iwate prefectures.

#22 Russia is making preparations to evacuate civilians and military unitsfrom the Kuril Islands.

#23 Physicist Frank von Hippel recently told the New York Times the following about this disaster: “It’s way past Three Mile Island already”.

#24 The president of France’s nuclear safety authority says that this crisis is now almost as bad as Chernobyl was….

    “It’s clear we are at Level 6, that’s to say we’re at a level in between what happened at Three Mile Island and Chernobyl.”

#25 There have been reports of extremely high radiation at another nuclear facility in Japan.  It has been reported that at the Onagawa nuclear plant radiation that is 700 times the normal level was detected at one point.

#26 One anonymous senior nuclear industry executive told The Times Of India that Japanese power industry managers are “basically in a full-scale panic” and that “they don’t know what to do”.

#27 It is also being reported that there were over 600,000 spent fuel rodsstored at the Fukushima Dai-ichi complex.  Most of these rods were apparently stored near the top of the 6 reactor buildings.  There have already been major explosions at three of those buildings.  It is now feared that there is now nothing to prevent many of these spent fuel rods from releasing radiation into the atmosphere.  That is really, really bad news.

So is there a threat that nuclear radiation from Japan could reach the United States?

Well, actually everyone agrees that radiation could reach the United States.  The controversy is whether or not it will be enough to be harmful to human health.

The Nuclear Regulatory Commission is admitting that it is “quite possible” that nuclear fallout from this disaster could reach the United States.  In fact, Nuclear Regulatory Commission spokesman David McIntyre says that there could already be radiation from Japan over America….

    Right now it’s quite possible that there could be some radiation floating over the United States.

But most government officials in the U.S. are insisting that there is “no threat” to the health of American citizens from this crisis at this point.

So how would nuclear radiation from Japan get transported to the United States?

Well, if radiation released by a damaged nuclear reactor got up into the jet stream, the first major land mass that it would encounter would be North America.  In fact, the jet stream commonly takes air from over Japan directly over the west coast of the United States.  The following video demonstrates this fact beautifully….

So is there any reason for those of us living in the United States to be concerned?

According to the Japanese government, the U.S. government and the mainstream media there is not.

But do you believe them?

The truth is that they seem much more concerned with keeping the public calm rather than telling the public the truth.

Radiation levels are increasing all over northern and central Japan.  People are starting to leave Tokyo and other major cities in the region.  Foreign governments are evacuating personnel.  Fires continue to erupt at the Fukushima Dai-ichi complex.  The authorities in Japan seem to have no idea how to solve this crisis.

If even one of those damaged nuclear reactors fully melts down it is going to be a complete and total nightmare.  If you live in an area that could potentially be affected by nuclear radiation from Japan you might want to start figuring out how you and your family are going to handle this crisis’

 

Hamas says Israeli fighter jets bomb facility in Gaza, killing 2 Palestinians [ War crimes nation israel keeping america looking bad in the Mideast, when defacto bankrupt america can least afford it. ] Washington Post - GAZA CITY, Gaza Strip - Israeli fighter jets pummeled a Hamas security facility in the Gaza Strip on Wednesday, killing two Palestinian civilians / freedom fighters and wounding four, officials in the Palesinian coastal ...     Two killed in Israeli air strike on Hamas compound in Gaza Jerusalem Post     Palestinians: Three killed in Israel air strike on Gaza Ha'aretz

 

VIDEO: EU Naval Forces Fight Piracy off Somali Coast [ Yeah! With all their nation-bankrupting, self-defeating, wasteful, adventuring, warring for no good reason in Afghanistan, etc., I have been at a loss to understand why they are not blasting the skinnies out of the water, along with bombing the skinny-places of refuge! ]

 

Drudgereport: DESPAIR TURNING TO ANGER...
'We're Very Close Now to the Point of No Return'...
U.S. Officials Alarmed By Japanese Handling of Crisis...
Life Among the Ruins...
AP... BBC... KYODO... NHK... REUTERS...
US, JAPAN SPLIT ON NUKE DANGER
Debt Jumps $72B Same Day House Votes to Cut Spending $6B...
Tiny tim geithner to Congress: More Debt, Please...
OBAMA SETS WEEKEND IN RIO!
Family will take in the sights...
SPRING BREAK: Obama the invisible; Anti-leadership amid world crises … [ wobama’s presidency is over, he should be impeached / removed from office ! ] ...
VIDEO: T_rump Says He'll Spend $600 Million on Prez Run… dreamin’, schemin’, to no avail … even this mobster’s bribes couldn’t put him over the top … he’s a joke, a lightweight,  and a loser! And, from the nation’s foremost drains, sinkholes, corrupt / mob infested new york / new jersey (he and his corrupt sister judge maryanne should be in jail – Jerry Springer would make a more serious candidate, and that also would be a joke; but at least Springer pioneered that mindless entertainment genre and is intelligent.)...
RACE TO SAVE CORE...

LATEST: Japan Now Using Helicopters to Dump Water on Smoking Reactors...

 

 

 

 

Is the Bear Market Back?  [ The bear market never left … This has been a manipulated bubble-bull cycle in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and hence, is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come! ] Michaud ‘Financial Markets at Critical Junctures’ (see infra)

 

 

U.S. Stocks in Red, Though Markets Cut Early Losses Amid Fed Optimism  [ Fed optimism? You mean ‘fed b*** s*** ‘! Yes, we’re spoon fed ‘fed b*** s*** ‘.  The same ‘no-recession’ b*** s*** that wall street frauds are made of and thrive on. What do you expect them to say? After all, it’s the fed’s incompetence, complicity and wall street’s greed, fraud!  ]  Midnight Trader (see infra)

 

 

Marc Faber On The Japanese Disaster, On A 20% Market Correction And On QE18 Marc Faber appeared earlier on CNBC in response to a plunging market, and gave his latest updated outlook on QE3… and 4, 5, 6, 7 and 8 (not to mention 18).  Tyler Durden Zero Hedge March 15, 2011 ‘Marc Faber appeared earlier on CNBC in response to a plunging market, and gave his latest updated outlook on QE3… and 4, 5, 6, 7 and 8 (not to mention 18). “We may drop 10 to 15 percent. Then QE 2 will come, (then) QE 4, QE 5, QE 6, QE 7—whatever you want. The money printer will continue to print, that I’m sure. Actually I made a mistake. I meant to say QE 18.” Faber was modestly constructive on the Japanese selloff, which at one point hit 18% down in overnight futures trading: “This huge selloff is an investment opportunity in Japanese equities, but if a meltdown occurs then all bets are off.” As usual, there is no love loss between Faber and the Chairsatan (recall that today’s Empire Manufacturing survey confirmed margins continue to be crushed due to surging input costs): “I think Mr. Bernanke doesn’t know much about the global economy but he probably watches the S&P every day.” And on Fed criticism: “”Until very recently the Feds have had very few critiques, very few people criticized the Fed’s policies under Mr. Greenspan and Mr. Bernanke. Over the last few months, a lot of critical comments have come up about the Fed and its money-printing habit. The S&P drops 20 percent (and) all the critics will be silent and they will all applaud new money-printing.” No fear of that here: Zero Hedge has been rather vocal in our opinion of the world’s most destructive central planning buro from day one. We will continue being so, regardless how low the S&P plummets… Perhaps even to its fair value south of 500.’



This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!

 

 

Poll: Support for Afghan war waning (Washington Post) [ Waning? When have these nation-bankrupting, perpetual war policies been other than ‘waning’, except among the zionists, neocons, war criminals, military industrial complex, war profiteers, etc.. It was opposition to these perpetual war policies that got ‘wobama the b’ (for b*** s***) elected, only to be revealed for the blatant liar / fraud that he truly is.  ]

 

 

Obama Laments He’s Not President Of Communist China [ Time to relieve wobama the b’ (for b*** s***) of his burden by impeaching / removing him from office without delay! He may not have been the first black president (Clinton is generally considered the first black president by blacks and whites alike, a moniker Clinton accepted and wore proudly – that 18% vote), but he is certainly the last! Drudgereport: City Lowers Police Testing Standards Because Not Enough Blacks Passed...         Under pressure from Obama administration...    Illinois mayor says Obama still owes city $55,457...    Obama to party with Washington reporters...   Golf in the afternoon...    ] Weekly Standard | “Mr. Obama has told people that it would be so much easier to be the president of China.”

 

This is the grim economic reality   http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   .  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!  

 

 

Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’

 

 

World's richest are almost $1 trillion richer [ And the other 95% trillions poorer. ]

 

 

 

Saudi troops intervene in Bahrain  (Washington Post) [ This most assuredly is exactly that; viz., a ‘declaration of war’. And, as importantly, the militant / transgressor is hardly a righteous player but rather a self-interested, totalitarian, family plutocracy whose actions cannot be supported by any criteria heretofore promulgated precluding same.  Saudi police open fire at protest (Washington Post) [ Time to revoke the saudi pass to do whatever please owing to their preposterous claim to all the oil wealth of the entire Saudi nation.   16 miles away, Saudi Arabia's watchful eye looms over Bahrain unrest (Washington Post) [ I’m sure they are… with a microscope at that.  Saudis Worried Protests Will Hit Home  -  saudi arabia; talk about do nothing hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation; I suspect only when foreign corporations say so For the sake of the saudi Arabian people, more than just protests should come to fruition!  ] AFP | Saudi royal warns Arab world uprisings could cause harm unless they reform. Bahrain authorities launch surprise attack on protesters  [There’s the america and saudi Arabia effect; far less than democratic and far more deadly in the mideast among other places; talk about hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation as the saudis; time for the saudis to go the way of dictator Mubarak and take the war criminal americans with them.   ]  Los Angeles Times Tear gas canisters bombard sleeping protesters in Manama's Pearl Square. At least two men are reported killed   Video:  Bahrain protesters look to emulate Egypt revolt euronews    Riot Police Attack Bahrain Protesters Voice of America  ‘Saudi Arabia sending troops to Bahrain’  Saudi Arabia is sending troops to Bahrain in a move to crack down on pro-democracy protesters who took to the streets in the capital Manama, a political analyst says. [SAUDIS TOLD OBAMA 'NOT TO HUMILIATE MUBARAK'] Opposition calls move to shore up monarchy and quell protests a “declaration of war.”

 

 

 

Store shelves empty even outside disaster zone as panic buying grips Japan  (Washington Post) [ I think the term ‘panic-buying’ with its connotation of  ‘overreaction’ is a misnomer and misapplied to this unprecedented catastrophe. I further believe that the magnitude of the fallout, literally and figuratively, economically and otherwise, cannot be overstated in being far more dire in negatively impacting already dour global economic prospects. ] TOKYO - Canned goods, batteries, bread and bottled water have vanished from store shelves and long lines of cars circle gas stations, as Japan grapples with a new risk set off by last week's earthquake, tsunami and ensuing nuclear crisis: panic-buying.

 

 

 

 

 

Controversey Over Bonuses (Washington Post) : I think an appropriate bonus for anyone on capital hill is an all-expenses-paid trip to ………… JAIL!   Fed meets as risks widen; policymakers aim to guard against inflation while fostering growth (Washington Post) [ Come on! Let’s not kid each other! The fed’s failed on both counts, continuing the policies of failure ushered in by the senile greenspun… This is the grim economic reality   http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   .  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!     Who, Besides Ben Bernanke, Wants to Buy (u.s.) Bonds? Well, PIMCO just voted with their feet (they’re out of them) … Japansunami will preclude same (note: despite the dire implications for defacto bankrupt america owing to their costly reconstruction preoccupation … market suckers’ rally into the close and off the lows to keep investors suckered … you can do such things, especially into the close, with those computerized high frequency trade programs which are great for generating commissions from the old ‘in-out, in-out’, and then some … these days like last crash / crisis are made for such frauds.) … don’t go looking to china to take more baths, especially with that recent trade deficit of theirs. The answer is no-one! And, one can begin to see the fed’s reluctance to alow proper scrutiny of their books ( technically ‘insolvent’ but printing ever more worthless paper); beyond their complicity in the massive wall street frauds cashed out with their help, there’s the worthless ‘paper on paper’ debacle just around the corner.   ] WASHINGTON - The Federal Reserve meets Tuesday at a time of widening economic risks: higher oil and food prices; unemployment near 9 percent; crises in the Middle East and Japan.

 

 

 

Operators struggle to stabilize nuclear plants      Attempts to cool Fukushima Daiichi reactors have failed  (Washington Post) [ ‘China Syndrome’ … now being third after China, economically speaking, is the least of Japan’s worries. While never really giving it much thought, though seemingly 20/20 hindsightish (it’s really not), I always assumed now admittedly unrealistically, that nuclear plants were built in nonearthquake-prone-zones. Clearly, that’s not the case in Japan and I all but wonder where else. ] Some 170,000 evacuated, 160 possibly exposed; other facility declares state of emergency.

 

 

 

Monday's Correction: Now That's a Black Swan Tradermark ‘The seemingly widespread issues with nuclear plants in Japan are certainly not something one typically has to deal with in the market. Generally you expect media to overplay things, so after the quake Friday, it has been a surprise to see the nuclear situation getting seemingly progressively worse as each day passes, so we definitely have this affecting sentiment. Japan fell over 6% overnight, and U.S. markets are at fresh lows as this mini 'black swan' overwhelms the normal Monday morning garbage. [chart] I said Friday it would actually be in the bears' interest for a rally to work off some of the oversold condition, and then we'd (in a normal market) see another leg back down. Certainly due to the news, we did not get more than a 1 day bounce - but this is how sell-offs usually occur. While still prone to news which can herk and jerk us around, this market definitely now seems to be in correction mode with the S&P 500 quickly fading back the 50 day. One could make bets against the index with the 50 day as your ceiling. Usually a real correction begins with everyone thankful there is a "buying opportunity" but ends when people feel actual consternation. Right now, almost everyone is just thankful they have a chance to get in, hence I'd think there is more downside ahead from a sentiment standpoint.’

 

 

Who, Besides Ben Bernanke, Wants to Buy (u.s.) Bonds? [ Well, PIMCO just voted with their feet (they’re out of them) … Japansunami will preclude same (note: despite the dire implications for defacto bankrupt america owing to their costly reconstruction preoccupation … market suckers’ rally into the close and off the lows to keep investors suckered … you can do such things, especially into the close, with those computerized high frequency trade programs which are great for generating commissions from the old ‘in-out, in-out’, and then some … these days like last crash / crisis are made for such frauds.) … don’t go looking to china to take more baths, especially with that recent trade deficit of theirs. The answer is no-one! And, one can begin to see the fed’s reluctance to alow proper scrutiny of their books ( technically ‘insolvent’ but printing ever more worthless paper); beyond their complicity in the massive wall street frauds cashed out with their help, there’s the worthless ‘paper on paper’ debacle just around the corner.]

 

 

Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’

 

 

 

 

BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Blodget ‘Investors have gotten wildly bullish of late, as the bull market that started in early 2009 keeps driving stocks to new highs. But the pigs are about to get slaughtered, says Bob Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and editor of the Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter still thinks the new bull market is just a cyclical "retracement" of some of the bear market losses that we've had since the market crashed in 2008.  Prechter expected this retracement to drive stocks 50% above the market lows, but stocks have since soared 30% higher than than he expected.  So when the day of reckoning comes, Prechter thinks, it will be even more startling.  And Prechter still thinks that stocks will eventually crash to new bear-market lows (read: below 6,800 on the DOW). What makes Prechter think this day of reckoning may come sooner rather than later? Sentiment indicators and other technical analysis. Investor bullishness has now gotten so extreme, Prechter says, that it has exceeded the levels in 2008 before the market crashed.  Investors could still get even more bullish, of course, but eventually they'll pay for this optimism. And Prechter's not just bearish on stocks: He thinks oil, silver, and other commodities are absurdly overvalued, too.  The only thing he's bullish on is the dollar. And lest he be dismissed as a perma-bear, Bob Prechter is quick to add that he hopes there will come a day when he can come on the show and tell everyone that stocks are finally so crushed and hated that it's a historic opportunity to buy them.  When will that be? Stay tuned...’ The Case for a Bear Market for Stocks  Suttmeier ‘In making a bearish call on the U.S. stock market, I base it on both fundamental and technical factors. The fundamentals show that stocks are overvalued and we have had three ValuEngine Valuation Warnings so far this year. The January warning was ignored by the market but so far stocks peaked with the warning issued on February 18 and re-iterated on March 3. During this period we have seen many days where all 16 sectors have been overvalued, with eight to 11 by double-digit percentages. Today 63.8% of all stocks are overvalued, and all 16 sectors are overvalued, 11 by double-digit percentages…’

 

 

 

 

Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’

 

 

World's richest are almost $1 trillion richer [ And the other 95% trillions poorer. ]

 

 

Utilities Are Warning the Correction Is Here Gayed ‘The utilities sector (IDU) may not be the most fascinating sector of the market to watch, but in many ways can be one of the most important. Legendary technical analyst Edson Gould, known for being one of the best market timers of all time, believed that the performance of utilities was an early indicator for broad market movements. He noted often times that when utilities performed exceptionally well, within a short period of time, markets would experience a period of volatility and declining prices…’

 

 

 

Is the Bear Market Back?  [ The bear market never left … This has been a manipulated bubble-bull cycle in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and hence, is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come! ] Michaud ‘Financial Markets at Critical Junctures

The markets technically are at critical junctures right now. Stock prices are at the point of very possibly getting squeezed to an upside breakout as some have forecasted, and to a downside breakdown as some others, including me, have forecasted (not to mention what the market is showing currently). I don’t see fundamental, technical or sentiment information supporting higher stock prices right now; rather, technical fundamental analysis -- and even more importantly, sentiment indicators -- are showing that the market is heading lower before heading higher again.

I would also suggest that the major index support levels I’ve listed below may not hold either, with more downside from these levels longer-term. Below are more reasons to be at least cautious and/or short-selling right now.

March 14, 2011 Major Index Price Support Forecasts

DJIA – 11,839.93 to 11,485.37

S&P 500 – 1,227.95 to 1,156.06

Nasdaq – 2,557.06 to 2,382.12

Is the Bear Market Back? Reasons to be Cautious

Oil and Stock Prices

Oil prices fell on Thursday and Friday, as did stocks. Lower oil prices help global growth, and higher oil prices slow it down. Seems to me the oil market is saying if global growth slows down due to high oil prices (or any other number of economic problems), it won’t support oil prices at these levels for very long. In my opinion, I don’t think global growth can handle oil at prices above $100 plus for very long; if so, oil demand destruction will set in eventually, causing lower global growth, and eventually lower oil prices to match up with that growth. Deflation first, inflation later -- as I’ve always said.

Global Broad Market Sell-Off

The sell-off last week was a global broad market sell-off. The global markets have been on an uptrend for the last two years. From my perspective, it’s been a bear market rally from the October 8, 2007 market top to the March 2, 2009 low, especially in the U.S. and Europe. Asia and the other emerging markets are now almost in lockstep with the developed markets, showing that what affects the major countries of the world affects the rest of the emerging growing world too.

Even the higher growth rates of the emerging markets don’t necessarily mean higher stock prices in those markets. I’ve yet to see different markets decouple for a sustained period of time. They always seem to follow the broad global markets in the long term, no matter what their good and bad news is.

European Union Sovereign Debt Problems Still There

Europe financial skeletons in the closet are making noise again, with Moody’s (MCO) Spain debt downgrade and the entire ECB sovereign debt problems re-awakening with the recent news. It seems the financial markets forgot about this very serious debt issue unfolding, and it's not over with yet in Europe. I suggest the same is coming for the U.S. eventually as well. It’s going to take years to clean up the sovereign debt mess, with some of those countries possibly ending up in default.

China’s Surprise Jump in Trade Deficit

China’s increasing trade deficit is another worry for the global economy. China had an unexpected $7.3 billion trade deficit report last week. China continues trying to slow down its economic growth. A friend of mine in China who’s not a financial analyst says it’s only a matter of time before the China real estate market in the metro areas declines much more. China real estate prices and rent in China's cities are “crazy” in relation to earnings, he says, and if there is a China and/or global slowdown, he sees China real estate prices and rent heading much lower.

If this happens, it could put a big squeeze on the Chinese government, the Chinese banks that hold the debt, and the economy as a whole. Famous short-seller Jim Chanos might just get his wish of a bigger China selloff. I don’t like the idea of short-selling China myself, but I wouldn’t be buying just yet either.

2009-10 Stock Price Rebound: Too Far Too Fast

The rebound in stock prices over the last two years has been too far, too fast compared to the actual economic growth in the same time period -- which is still the same as it was three years ago. With the severe sell-off that the market saw during 2007-08, it’s normal to have a rebound back to test the sell-off breaks which are now major resistance levels. The market is at those major resistance levels now. Because of this, I see at least near-term downside pressure on stock prices, and longer-term price downside if the bigger picture long-term fundamental issues don’t get worked out fast enough to support sustainable long-term economic growth.

Priced for Perfection?

The markets are showing more high-risk low-reward conditions now from my technical analysis. The market is showing no margin of safety in case the bulls are fundamentally wrong, which I think they are. The U.S. market seems to be priced for perfection, with the bears in hiding after this two-year bull run in the markets. I remind all the bulls that buying into a breakout after an already extended bull run can easily end up in a fake-out break-out, trapping new long positions. I think professional money managers know this well, suggesting more selling is to come. Retail investors take note and use caution taking on any new "buy long" positions here.

Over-Valued Market Valuation Now?

Market over-valuation is here with the S&P500 dividend yield below 2%, and cyclically-adjusted earnings at 24 times compared to the 16 times historical average. I suggest looking at earnings estimate revisions from Zacks Investment research for the best individual stock opportunities in the markets right now. Most stocks follow the broad market, but a select few buck the broad market. Zacks Ranks Earnings Revisions can help you to select stock by stock picks.

Analysts' earnings estimate revisions can go up and down with the psychology of the time, so your due diligence is crucial at this time. With the market prices up these last two years, some analysts have been increasing their company earnings estimates. The reality is that earnings estimates and their revisions can skew the analysis of any company with a false sense of future price performance confidence. Buying in on positive earnings estimate revisions and or real earning report increases is not necessarily a guarantee of increasing stock prices, so be careful.

Amateurs Want To Be Right and Professionals Want To Make Money

The retail public has been buying more stock this last year, which is another possible sell indicator. History has shown in the past that the public gets in and out of stocks at the wrong times, buying near the tops and selling near the bottoms.

Here’s the difference between an amateur armchair retail investor trader and a professional one: Amateurs want to be proven right most of the time. They will take huge drawdowns in an attempt to prove themselves right on a stock buy. Once they’ve taken more drawdown than they can handle financially and mentally, usually 50% or more, they throw in the towel and admit defeat.

Professionals, on the other hand, understand losses are a part of the game, and have a system to deal with increasing losses. It’s called stop-loss. Depending on the stock, and its volatility, the stop-loss amount to admit defeat and save your investment trading account is 8% loss per stock from the purchase price, even if it’s a blue-chip. Stop-loss is a tool to effectively manage money in the markets. Professionals use stop-loss, and retail investors need to use it more if they want to save their accounts.

Record Insider Selling Lately

Insider selling during the fourth quarter 2010 hit multi-year highs. Since then, insider selling has stayed strong. Insider selling or buying is not a standalone surefire way of knowing where the price of a stock is going, but there’s no one who better knows about a company’s future earnings prospects than its board of directors. If they are selling, and especially selling in big blocks, you should be paying attention, and very possibly selling too. You can always buy back the stock at any time.

Fundamental and Technical Analysis? Review the Current Market Sentiment Even More

Notice that what I’m citing is not just all about fundamental or technical analysis, but also involves a very important aspect of the markets: Sentiment or market psychology.

Money managers are saying it’s all "bull bull bull" again. Well, of course. If they don’t, they might be out of a job if the redemptions empty the mutual fund they're managing. With everyone a bull again, that’s one indicator to possibly be ready to move to the other side -- and fast -- in case the market tips too heavily to one side for too long. When everyone is leaning to one side for a sustained period of time, it might be prudent and very profitable for you to start reviewing the option of moving to the other side before everyone else does.

If you are fortunate to see a reversal opportunity, and take a reversal position, and then the reversal moves in your direction, it can be exponentially profitable with the reward-risk ratio very large in your favor, meaning the stop-loss to the "take profit" areas of the trade are extremely favorable. Reward-risk ratios of 3:1-plus are great.

In a market like this right now, some of the reward-risk ratios to the short-sell side may be approaching 5:1 to 15:1. Remember, successful investing and trading is about knowing what price you’re entering at, your stop-loss price you will exit at (with a small loss in case the position goes against you), and your take profit target areas to book a profit. This is total trade entry and trade management to be successful long-term in investing and trading the markets.

Investing and trading without a system is a plan for failure. If you want to succeed in the markets long-term, learn and manage your investing trading systems on a regular consistent basis.’

 

 

 

Buying Power Wasted?: Dave's Daily   ‘It's probably not a good time for humor. I just wonder what was behind the immediate bounce higher off the opening gap lower Tuesday. Certainly it wasn't from any shred of good news. Oh wait, oil prices dropped and many believe the Fed will print money forever while keeping interest rates low. Further, markets were sharply short-term oversold right from the opening bell. Okay, I get it now. Still, you must wonder if buying power was wasted. Rumors dominate markets. One asserts the Japanese will shutter markets for the week because of margin calls. EWJ (iShares Japan ETF) actually closed green today. Why? Perhaps if the markets closed some can work some arbitrage just as done when Egypt markets were closed. The outcome of the nuclear mess in Japan remains influx with more earthquakes and radiation spreading. We are also witnessing the collapse of western and U.S. diplomacy. Gaddafi is going to win. He was a terrorist but then became a friend of sorts. When the violence was at its peak, western powers told him to leave. He didn't and now he looks to win and we look stupid since, what do we do now? Send Hillary over to have a nice chat with him? Next, Saudi Arabia invades Bahrain and the U.S. was uninformed. What's up with that?   There was some economic news from the Empire Manufacturing report which was positive only if you didn't look at the inflationary prices paid component. The Fed also weighed-in with their interest rate report which came in as expected. The dollar was slightly lower, while commodities overall were sharply lower as investors fled risk and moved to the sidelines or bonds. Suffice it to say, this is a tough market to navigate. Volume was the heaviest we've seen in a long time and opening trades may have been a wash-out but it's too early to say. Breadth per the WSJ was decidedly negative. ‘

 

 

 

 

 

Damage Assessment - How Low can Stocks Go? Maierhofer ‘, On Tuesday March 15, 2011, 6:08 pm EDT

Before we talk about how bad things could get and the key support level that may make the difference between correction and meltdown, I'd like to say a word about the Japan and the media.

Some people are news junkies, I am a headline junkie. Scouring headlines provides a quick read on the nations sentiment. Whether headlines are a reflection of national mood, or shape the national mood, that is a subject for another day.

Thinking about what happened in Japan puts things in perspective for many of us. There is more to life than analyzing the market's every move. The media vividly portrays the damage and heartbreak of a ravaged country.

Let's remember that even when the media moves on to the next hot topic, there remain many victims that need our support. At one point the media will forget about Japan as it did about Haiti, Chile, and Indonesia, but that doesn't mean that the suffering has miraculously been wiped away. Our support is needed even more so once the media loses interest.

Damage Assessment

No doubt the events transpiring in Japan (NYSEArca: EWJ - News) have put stock markets around the world on a fast track to lower prices. Japan's Nikkei 225 futures have fallen from 10,900 a few weeks ago to as low as 8,400, a 23% drop.

The iShares MSCI EAFA Index ETF (NYSEArca: EFA - News), a barometer of developed markets around the world, had dropped from 62 to 55. The loss in the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEArca: EEM - News) has been contained to 10% or less.

Even U.S. investors spoiled by the Fed's loose monetary policy have come to find out that the major U.S. indexes a la Dow Jones (DJI: ^DJI), S&P (SNP: ^GSPC), and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) can (and will) actually move in both directions.

Speeding up the Inevitable

Let's not forget that the U.S. stock market was in correction mode even before the earthquake hit Japan. On Thursday, March 10, the S&P closed at 1,295. On Friday, March 11, the first post-earthquake trading day, the S&P actually was up and closed at 1,304. The events in Japan may have accelerated the stock sell off, but they weren't the only cause. There were a number of subtle (by Wall Street standards) but obvious (by contrarian standards) red flags in the middle of February.

On February 8 with the S&P at 1,325, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter examined the environment of exuberant bullishness. The medias conclusion (see headlines below) was so obvious: Higher prices ahead:

Reuters: Fed more Confident in Recovery

AP: Investors Return to US Stock Funds in January

CNBC: S&P will Rise 60% by 2013

Kiplinger: 10 Signs the Economy is on the Upswing

The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter offered this advice and recommended short ETFs: 'How often in the past have we seen the old adage if it's too obvious, it's obviously wrong' have the last laugh? Now is not the time to be complacent, it's the time to evaluate shorting strategies and other defensive measures.'

How Bad Can it Get?

There've been a number of major earthquakes in the past decade. Following the December 26, 2004 earthquake off the coast of Sumatra, the U.S. stock market declined about 4%.

The January 12, 2010 earthquake in Haiti did not immediately affect the stock market. However, starting on January 19, U.S. stocks declined about 10%.

Even though the death toll of both earthquakes was larger than in Japan, the economic impact of the Japan quake outweighs anything previously recorded.

In terms of economic impact, hurricane Katrina might be the closest comparison there is. Hurricane Katrina struck Louisiana on August 29 and cased an estimated $81 billion in property damage.

Stocks rallied the ten trading days following August 29, declined about 5% thereafter and continued their run to the 2007 all-time highs.

Admittedly, based on a small sample, natural catastrophes are not necessarily bearish for U.S. stocks.

Technical Damage Assessment

The risk in U.S. stocks comes from bullish sentiment extremes, valuations, and a decoupling between facts and reality. In addition, there is a giant bearish head and shoulders pattern (ideal upside target not quite met yet) and a trend line that has contained the Dow Jones for most of the past 80 years.

On February 18, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter identified this trend line (at the time running through Dow 12,400) as major resistance. The Dow came within 9 points before reversing sharply.

In terms of technical analysis, S&P 1,275 is important support/resistance. As of Tuesday mornings stocks have recovered some of their overnight losses and are once again above 1,275. The 50-day moving average is at 1,302. It remains to be seen whether stocks have enough strength to rally that far.

Thus far key structural support below 1,275 has been maintained and the potential for higher prices has not yet been eliminated. However, the reaction to Japan's woes (remember how the market shrugged of European financial defaults and Middle East unrest) might indicate a larger change of trend…’

 

 

 

U.S. Stocks in Red, Though Markets Cut Early Losses Amid Fed Optimism  Midnight Trader ‘4:18 PM, Mar 15, 2011 --

  • NYSE down 101.82 (-1.2%) to 8,092.14
  • DJIA down 137.74 (-1.2%) to 11,855
  • S&P 500 down 14.52 (-1.1%) to 1,282
  • Nasdaq down 33.64 (-1.3%) to 2,667

GLOBAL SENTIMENT

  • Hang Seng down 2.86%
  • Nikkei down 10.55%
  • Shanghai Composite down 1.4%
  • FTSE down 1.35%

DOWNSIDE MOVERS
(-) XOM followed broader market lower; upgraded at Goldman Sachs amid several energy sector analyst moves.
(-) GE defending nuclear design.
(-) NOK down as Samsung reportedly trying to poach Symbian engineers, while Nokia Siemens looks to restructure deal.
(-) URRE among several uranium stocks tumbling.
(-) INTC downgraded.
(-) NVDA downgraded.
(-) CRZO misses with preliminary results.

UPSIDE MOVERS
(+) WSM reports profit rise and hikes dividend.
(+) YGE, STP, FSLR, APWR, JASO all gain as alternative energy shares among rare gainers as future of nuclear power cloudy.
(+) CLBI continues sharp Monday upside on prospects for radiation treatment.

MARKET DIRECTION

U.S. stock averages finish lower, part of a global equity sell off that comes amid much uncertainty for the post-quake nuclear situation in Japan. Still, U.S. stocks wrapped trading well off the day's lows, lifted in part by positive investor reaction to the latest Federal Reserve meeting statement. Crude futures closed down 4% at $97.18 a barrel.

Weakness was widespread around the sectors, with insurers leading financials lower. Tech and industrials are mostly lower. Alternative energy stocks are gainers.

Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan warned of a "substantial" radiation leak as the effects of last Friday's earthquake and tsunami grew grimmer. A new blast and fire rocked a nuclear plant where workers were already trying to avert meltdowns in three reactors.

Japan's Nikkei fell over 11%, its worst drop since 2008's financial crisis. The rest of Asia slumped. European and Canadian shares fell.

But the Fed took some of the attention off Japan in afternoon trading. The U.S. central bank's Federal Open Market Committee said any rise in commodities-linked inflation would be "transitory." The Fed said it would "pay close attention to the evolution of inflation and inflation expectations."

The Fed was more upbeat about the economic outlook, saying the economy was on firmer footing and conditions in the labor market "appear to be improving gradually."

The FOMC kept the key lending rate in a range between zero and 0.25%, where it has stood since December 2008. The central bank also made no changes to its $600 billion program of Treasury purchases. The Fed statement made no mention of the crisis in Japan.

In the economic data earlier in the day, the Empire State index rose to 17.5 in March from 15.4 in February. This is the fourth straight increase and the highest level of the index since last June. The gain was a bit less than expected. Also reported, U.S. February import prices jumped 1.4%, driven largely by a 3.7% rise in fuel.

In company news:

Texas Instruments (TXN) disclosed yesterday that after a preliminary assessment, its manufacturing site in Miho, Japan, about 40 miles northwest of Tokyo, suffered substantial damage during last Friday's 9.0 magnitude earthquake.

ADRs of Swiss pharma giant Novartis (NVS) are down even as the company said an experimental drug for the treatment of myelofibrosis, a rare form of blood cancer, met the goals of a late-stage study, which should pave the way to file the drug for regulatory approval in the second quarter.

Former Walt Disney Co. (DIS) CEO Michael Eisner joined the board of IAC/InteractiveCrop (IACI), the Internet company that is controlled by Barry Diller, The Wall Street Journal reports. Diller had originally hired Eisner at Disney, the report noted. Eisner served as the CEO of Disney for about 20 years.

General Electric Co. (GE) is defending the design of the now-stricken reactor it supplied to Japan 40 years ago, saying its containment system is safe and reliable, The Wall Street Journal and other news outlets report.

Capital One Financial Corp. (COF) said charge-offs fell across the board in February as delinquencies were mostly reduced. U.S. charge-offs - loans banks don't think they will be able to collect - declined for the third straight month. The metric had fluctuated in the latter part of 2010 after mostly dropping early last year.

Net charge-offs in February fell to 5.91% from 6.79% a month earlier at Capital One's U.S. card business and declined to 5.42% from 5.72% internationally, according to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Auto-finance charge-offs dropped to 1.97% from 2.62%.

Bank of America (BAC) cut 100 jobs from its consumer and small-business banking units, The Wall Street Journal reports. The bank also intends to shutter 10% of its branches over the next few years. Bank of America shares are down 2.6%, or $0.37, to $13.86.

Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) Chief Executive Leo Apotheker is planning to push deeper into software and the growing market for cloud computing, Bloomberg reports. At an event in San Francisco, Apotheker said that the company is starting a cloud computing service that allows developers to create applications, the report said.

SunPower (SPWRA) says Japanese suppliers have indicated that, while certain operations are currently disrupted due to infrastructure issues, they have not sustained major damage to facilities.

In earnings news:

-DSW (DSW) reports Q4 EPS of $0.41, up from $0.30 a year ago but below the Street view of $0.44 per share. Sales were $468.5 mln, up from $402.6 mln last year, and ahead of the Street view of $445 mln. For 2011, the company is forecasting EPS in the range of $2.60 to $2.75 per share. The Street is at $2.70 per share.

-China Sky One Medical (CSKI) says Q4 sales fell 10.2% to $26.8 million from a year ago. Non-GAAP EPS fell to $0.21 from $0.47 a year ago. The company said results were in line with its expectations.

-Williams-Sonoma (WSM) reports Q4 revenue of $1.195 bln, ahead of the analyst consensus of $1.186 bln on Thomson Reuters. EPS was $1.08, vs. expectations of $0.98 per share. For Q1, the company is guiding for revenue in the range of $745 to $765 mln, vs. Street estimates of $749 mln.’

 

 

 

 

 

The Unbearable Lightness Of TARP Reporting The Daily Bail | Credit markets were NOT “frozen” during the crisis.

 

Stocks nosedive on panic selling over nuke crisis JapanToday | Tokyo stocks tumbled further Tuesday, with the Nikkei index shedding more than 14 percent at one point on panic selling.

 

The Rule of Gold After The Financial Collapse Activist Post | In a secular world, the operative “Golden Rule” is “He Who Has the Gold Makes the Rules”.

 

 

 

World Stocks, Oil Slump on Japan Nuclear Fears World stocks hit 2-1/2 month lows on Tuesday and oil fell and the yen surged after reports of rising radiation near Tokyo triggered a 10 percent fall in Japanese stocks, hurting risky assets across the board.

 

Japan’s Nikkei plunges 11 percent on radiation fears, sending global markets into a tailspin Japan’s stock market nose-dived nearly 11 percent, leading world markets sharply lower on Tuesday, as an escalating nuclear crisis threatened to compound the devastation from last week’s earthquake and tsunami.

 

14 Reasons Why The Economic Collapse Of Japan Has Begun The economic collapse of Japan has begun. The extent of the devastation is now becoming clear and many are now projecting that this will be the most expensive natural disaster in modern human history.

 

 

ECONOMIC CRISIS ARCHIVE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

Alert: Fukushima Coverup, 40 Years of Spent Nuclear Rods Blown Sky High Paul Joseph Watson and Kurt Nimmo | More than 600,000 spent fuel rods on site, ready to burn and enter the atmosphere.

 

Alarm Over Spent Fuel Rods Threatens “Chernobyl on Steroids” Perhaps the most underreported and deadliest aspect of the three explosions and numerous fires to hit the stricken Fukushima nuclear reactor since Saturday is the fact that highly radioactive spent fuel rods which are stored outside of the active nuclear rod containment facility are likely to have been massively compromised by the blasts, an elevation in the crisis that would represent “Chernobyl on steroids,” according to nuclear engineer Arnie Gundersen.

 

Japanese PM Attempts to Calm Nation as Massive Radiation Spreads Tokyo Electric Power Company, in collusion with the Japanese government, is deliberately misinforming and thus endangering the people of Japan, the surrounding region, and eventually the United States and other countries that may be downwind from the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant.

 

 

New Fire Hits Number 4 Reactor At Fukushima AFP is reporting a new fire at the number four reactor at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant. Flames are rising from the reactor, AP reports.

 

U.S. Government Blocking Americans From Obtaining Potassium Iodide? U.S. health authorities could be blocking Americans from obtaining the radiation-fighting drug potassium iodide, even as the threat of a radioactive cloud from the stricken Fukushima nuclear plant affecting the United States prompts panic buying, which has led to stocks of the drug running out across the country.

 

Panic Buying: Stocks Of Potassium Iodide Exhausted In U.S. We are getting numerous reports from readers that stocks of potassium iodide, which is used to protect the body against the effects of nuclear fallout, are completely sold out across the United States. Checks of health supplement websites in the U.S. also confirmed that stocks are completely exhausted.

 

Mass Evacuations Begin From North East Of Japan, Tokyo As the scale of the nuclear disaster unfolding at the stricken Fukushima’s nuclear plant begins to be finally realised, despite the Japanese government’s continued underplaying of the situation, mass evacuations are are underway with people fleeing Tokyo and North Eastern areas of the country in order to avoid a toxic cloud of radiation heading their way.

 

Radioactive Winds Head Towards Tokyo As Some Flee Capital With Japanese authorities confirming that the third blast at Fukushima’s stricken nuclear plant caused radioactive particles to be released directly into the atmosphere, localized winds are blowing the radiation towards Tokyo, causing many to flee the capital, but the longer term trajectory of upper atmosphere prevailing winds will still send any potential radiation cloud towards the U.S. west coast.

 

U.S. Government Blocking Americans From Obtaining Potassium Iodide? Paul Watson | U.S. health authorities could be blocking Americans from obtaining potassium iodide.

 

Radio France Pulls Staff From Japan Over Radiation Fears Radio France decided Tuesday to pull out staff dispatched to cover the major earthquake in Japan, following a series of accidents at a Japanese nuclear power plant, a public relations official told Kyodo News.

 

Airlines start cancelling flights to Tokyo Lufthansa, Europe’s biggest airline group by revenues, has cancelled flights to Tokyo’s main international airport of Narita as Japan’s nuclear crisis deepens.

 

U.S. Navy: Low-level radiation detected at some Tokyo-area bases The Navy said very low levels of airborne radiation were detected Tuesday morning at greater Tokyo-area bases in Yokosuka and Atsugi, prompting commanders to direct base residents to remain indoors as a precaution.

 

 

Qaddafi Retaking Libya Tony Cartalucci | It appears Colonel Qaddafi has begun retaking Libya from globalist-backed rebels.

 

Panic Buying: Stocks Of Potassium Iodide Exhausted In U.S. Paul Joseph Watson | Health websites sold out, readers struggle to find radiation-fighting pills anywhere.

 

 

 

Japan braces for potential radiation catastrophe Reuters | Spent nuclear fuel was exposed to the atmosphere.

 

Violent Protests Across Yemen, 3 Soldiers Dead Reuters | Scattered clashes broke out across Yemen on Monday.

 

Fuel rod fire at Fukushima reactor “would be like Chernobyl on steroids” Kirk James Murphy | Chernobyl’s contamination settled upon people and nations thousands of miles from that reactor’s location.

 

 

 

 

 

Drudgereport: BAIL: NUKE WORKERS ABANDON PLANT
Radiation spews into sky -- again...
KYODO: CRISIS HAS 'WORSENED CONSIDERABLY'...
Wind to blow toward Pacific Ocean, America...
U.S. Surgeon General: Get iodide...
AP... BBC... KYODO... REUTERS...

Sudden run on pills...
GOVERNMENTS CALL FEARS UNWARRANTED...
Reactor Design Caused GE Scientist To Quit In Protest...

Design in dispute for decades...

FUEL RODS DAMAGED 70 PERCENT...
Roof Cracked After Last Explosion...
Two workers still missing...
SPENT NUKE FUEL POOL MAY BE BOILING...
Helicopters no longer option to cool reactors...

Nuclear blizzard...
Food panic...
Thousands missing, millions short of water – and fear everywhere...
MILLIONS SUFFER FREEZING TEMPS WITHOUT POWER...
Confusion, chaos spreading...
WHITE POWDER DISCOVERED AT KENNEDY SPACE CENTER TESTS POSITIVE FOR COCAINE...

AL FRANKEN WARNS: 'THEY'RE COMING AFTER THE INTERNET' … This should be taken very seriously since they know that truth is their worst enemy in light of their nefarious, nation-destroying activities for greed and worse ...

 

 

 

 

 

 

2 Years After the Bottom, the 'Smart Money' Is Selling: "It's a Bit Late to Go Long," Nenner Says Nenner ‘Wednesday's two-year anniversary of the start of the bull market proved anticlimactic as major averages fell slightly. The selling picked up steam early Thursday as renewed concerns about Europe's debt crisis offset any positive impact of falling oil prices.

In recent trading, the Dow and S&P were down about 1.3% each while the Nasdaq was off 1.5%. 

Such lackluster action is likely to continue in the near term, followed by something much worse for the bulls, according to cycle watcher Charles Nenner of the Charles Nenner Research Center.

"I think it's a bit late to go long," Nenner says, suggesting investors should not expect much more upside from stocks. For the near-term, Nenner expects the market to remain within a trading range between 1307 and 1356 on the S&P 500. (The S&P fell below 1307 early Thursday; a close below that level would mean "big trouble," Nenner says in the accompanying video, taped Wednesday afternoon.) 

"We don't intend to go short right now," he says...with "right now" being the operative term.

Looking further out, Nenner is sticking with a forecast of "Dow 5000" over the next three years, a call based partially on his view that deflation remains the primary threat, not inflation. (See: Deflationary Hurricane Will Slam Into U.S. Economy, Charles Nenner Says)

"I would challenge people: ‘how do you get to inflation?'," he says, suggesting wage pressures are the key determinant, not food or energy prices or even Fed policy. "What's clear is that wage demands lead to inflation; people want higher wages and then you get an upside spiral," Nenner says. "People are still happy they have a job, so I don't see any wage inflation, so it means there's no inflation" -- at least not in Europe and the U.S.

The Price of Prognostication

A former market-timing consultant at Goldman Sachs, Nenner has been lauded here and other venues for some of his prescient calls in recent years, most notably:

  • -- Forecasting a Dow peak of 14,500 in the summer of 2006.
  • -- Predicting a "substantial drop" in housing in Aug. 2006.
  • -- Calling the market top in October 2007.
  • -- Forecasting in late 2007 a "deflation scare" would occur in 2008.
  • -- In February 2009, predicted a major rally would start "in a few weeks" and could take the S&P as high as 1000.

But Nenner has had his share of clunkers too, including a forecast here that 2010 would be a grim year for both the economy and the markets. In April 2008 on CNBC, he was bullish about the second half of the year and predicted a return to old highs.

Hopefully Nenner's "Dow 5000" call will be similarly misplaced.

I point out these gaffes not to embarrass or make fun, but to remind viewers that to err is human and everything you see/hear should be taken with a grain of salt...assuming you're not already.

Aaron Task is the host of Tech Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at [email protected]

 

 

 

 

 

US Stocks - Is Japan Speeding up the Inevitable? , Japan's Nikkei 225 is down 16% since its February 16 secondary high. Reuters reports that 'Wall Street Dives on Impact of Japan Disaster.' However, Japan's stock market (NYSEArca: EWJ - News) topped before the earthquake, as did the major U.S. Indexes.Is the Japan shock merely speeding up the inevitable or could the bad news actually be part of a bullish 'wall of worry?'Featured below is an article from February 11. At the time the S&P was trading at 1,330. Even though a few weeks old it provides information investors can use to gauge the current down side risk. Updated support levels are provided at the end:
February 11, 2011:If it's too obvious, it's obviously wrong. More often than not, this proverbial Wall Street adage has the last laugh. What's the prevailing consent on Wall Street? What's suspiciously obvious today?

- The Fed is here to help. As long as there's QE2 (or QE3, 4, etc,) prices will go up.

- January was positive. As January goes, so goes the year.

- This is the third year of the Presidential Election Year Cycle. There hasn't been a negative third year since 1939.

- There's no catalyst to send stocks higher.

While Wall Street analysts are trying to one up each other's positive forecasts, the Fear Index, VIX has fallen to a 3 year low. The last time the VIX was at a similar level was in April 2010, just before a literally fear-inspiring 17% correction and the May 'Flash Crash' (see chart below).The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter didn't subscribe to the prevailing optimism in April 2010 and warned that: 'The message conveyed by the composite bullishness is unmistakably bearish. The pieces are in place for a major decline.'Does that mean that the bottom will fall out again within a matter of days? Not necessarily, but now is certainly not the time to be married to your holdings. Tight sell stops are warranted because any minor correction could turn into a large one. Why?

New Bull Market, or Mother of all Bear Market Rallies?

The devil's in the long-term trend. If we are in a new bull market, any dip would present a buying opportunity. If we are in the mother of all bear market rallies, every rally is a trap and represents a selling opportunity.How can one determine whether we are in a new bull market, or a bear market rally?  [chart]It's said that bull markets climb a wall of worry. No doubt there was extreme pessimism surrounding the March 2009 lows. That's one of the reasons the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter sent out a strong buy signal on March 2, 2009.But pessimism at the bottom doesn't equal a wall of worry. In fact, following the initial bout of disbelief, investors embraced the rally rather quickly. In late 2009, sentiment readings became frothy, in January 2010 they rivaled 2007 extremes (stocks fell 9%), and in April 2010 they exceeded 2007 extremes (stocks fell 17%).About two thirds of the rally from the 2009 lows was accompanied by optimism. This is no wall of worry.

Glass Half Full Outlook

Think about it, even the truly big problems - unemployment and falling real estate prices - were sugar coated from the very beginning. The unemployment problem was charmingly called 'jobless recovery' and falling real estate prices were simply ignored.The Case-Shiller home price index is down four months in a row, but nobody is bothered. A few days ago, MarketWatch ran an article: '10 reasons to be bullish on housing.'Courtesy of the continuing real estate conundrum, the FDIC closed 157 banks in 2010, and 14 thus far in 2011. According to a Wall Street Journal article, the top 10 U.S. owned banks had $13.8 billion in unrealized losses.Those are not reflected in earnings numbers as long as financial institutions (NYSEArca: XLF - News) believe the investment will later rebound. Guess what? Banks are pretty darn sure prices will reclaim their 2006 all-time highs.In addition to the $13.8 billion in unrealized losses, the top 10 U.S. banks owned $360.7 billion in illiquid, hard to value assets (called level 3 assets). While paper earnings appear solid, it appears as if banks are hiding skeletons in their closets. But who cares, stocks (NYSEArca: VTI - News) are up.

Anomaly Explained

Ben Bernanke has openly admitted that asset inflation, or the wealth effect from rising stock prices, is the objective of QE2. Obviously, the money flow from the Federal Reserve over banks into the stock market has been the driving force behind this monster rally.Much of the Fed money has been funneled into commodities. Since QE2, net speculative positions in wheat and copper have doubled, oil soared 115%, soybeans 40% and corn 15%. Rising commodity prices (NYSEArca: DBC - News) are putting the squeeze on lower income Americans and will eventually lower profit margins for the materials sector (NYSEArca: XLB - News).It's quite likely that this ripple effect will spill over into the retail (NYSEArca: XRT - News), technology (NYSEArca: XLK - News), and consumer discretionary sector (NYSEArca: XLY - News). From there it's just a matter of time until it hits the broader Dow (DJI: ^DJI), S&P (SNP: ^GSPC) and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC).Contrary to its objective, QE2 has also sent interest rates soaring. Higher interest rates tend to encourage the money to flow from equities into bonds. Higher interest rates put pressure on bond and stock prices alike...’

 

 

 

 

Stocks Rattled by One-Two Punch: Dave's Daily Everything was going along just fine for markets even absorbing Tunisia and Egypt well. But then the contagion continued to Libya, Bahrain, Yemen, Kuwait and so forth. This pushed energy prices higher. Further, even though these MENA [Middle East and North Africa] events may ease, you can rest assured they'll resurface and overhang markets for awhile. The next punch was delivered by Japan's earthquake, tsunami and nuclear reactor issues. Japan, being the world's third largest economy, may be in trouble for some unknown period. There will be massive infrastructure spending down the road (emphasis added) which should provide strong demand for building materials (lumber, base metals and so forth). For now, the economy will get a heavy dose of cash from Japan's central bank and this will require enormous debt sales driving yields higher theoretically. Since Japan is a large exporter of stuff to the world, prices for finished products may rise causing more inflation. Commodity prices remained mixed with softs and base metals weak while energy, gold and rice were higher overall. Bonds rallied while the dollar fell. The Fed is busy is POMO activities oblivious to external conditions. Here's their schedule for March and April. Stocks were sold with some late day buying lifting major averages off their lows. Volume continues to rise on selling but with an afternoon "stick save" much of this was positive. Breadth per the WSJ was once again negative.’

 

 

 

 

Investment Implications of a Nuclear Meltdown in Japan Ciovacco ‘The concerns continue to mount after Japan’s devastating earthquake and subsequent tsunami, which may further heighten recent anxiety in the financial markets (DIA). An explosion near the No. 1 reactor at the Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear power station has industry experts talking about the possibility of a meltdown.

According to Bloomberg:

If the fuel rods are melting and this continues, a reactor meltdown is possible,” Kakizaki said. A meltdown refers to a heat buildup in the core of such intensity it melts the floor of the reactor containment housing. “If they cannot get the nuclear reactor back under control during the day, this may end up being the biggest problem of all,” said Ken Courtis, former vice chairman of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in Asia. “A meltdown, which would cause massive immediate damage, would also set the nuclear industry back decades. This would have vast implications for the global energy equation and perforce the world economy.

Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano said at a press conference that the blast didn’t damage the reactor container, only the structure outside it, and that there was no major radiation leakage with the explosion. The nuclear reactors are about 150 miles north of Tokyo. New reports in Japan have indicated the radioactivity at the site was rising to 20 times normal levels. [chart]

We would expect the nuclear energy ETF (NLR) to struggle next week. From an investment perspective, we would avoid NLR in the short-term due to the uncertainties in Japan. If we owned NLR (we do not), we would consider selling some of the position with a close below 24.74, and cutting back even further with a close below 23.18.

“If the water level remains at this level, the reactor core might be damaged, but we are now pouring water into the reactor to prevent it from happening,” Dow Jones Newswires quoted a Tepco spokesman as saying.

According to Wikipedia, a nuclear meltdown:

  • Occurs when a severe failure of a nuclear power plant system prevents proper cooling of the reactor core, to the extent that the nuclear fuel assemblies overheat and melt. A meltdown is considered very serious because of the potential that radioactive materials could be released into the environment. A core meltdown will also render the reactor unusable until and unless it is repaired.
  • Within the former Soviet Union several nuclear meltdowns of differing severity have occurred. In the most serious example, the Chernobyl disaster, design flaws and operator negligence led to a power excursion that subsequently caused a meltdown.
  • A core damage accident is caused by the loss of sufficient cooling for the nuclear fuel within the reactor core. The reason may be one of several factors, including a loss of pressure control accident, a loss of coolant accident (LOCA), an uncontrolled power excursion, or in some types, a fire within the reactor core…’

 

 

 

 

 

 

EU leaders reach deal on debt crisis London Telegraph | European leaders reached agreement early this morning.

 

‘Anonymous’ to Release Docs Proving Bank of America Fraud Zero Hedge | Hacker collective to leak proof that Assange previously threatened to release.

 

Are the prophets of doom right? The American Dream | Major Middle East war? Oil at $200/barrel? Gold at $2000?

 

 

Foreclosure activity declines as lenders review legal procedures North Jersey | Did foreclosures drop 27% because banks being blamed for robo-signing scandal?


 

Insured losses from Japan quake could hit $35 billion Reuters | Last week’s earthquake in Japan could lead to insured losses of nearly $35 billion.

 

EU leaders reach deal on debt crisis London Telegraph | European leaders reached agreement early this morning.

 

 

Japan and Otherwise: World Markets Decline

 

 

Hacker Group Anonymous Brings Peaceful Revolution To America: Will Engage In Civil Disobedience Until Bernanke Steps Down The goal – engage in “a relentless campaign of non-violent, peaceful, civil disobedience” until Ben Bernanke steps down.

 

Hacker Collective Anonymous To Release Documents Proving Bank Of America Committed Fraud This Monday After Julian Assange crashed and burned in his threat to release documents that expose fraud at Bank of America, many thought he had been only bluffing, and that BofA is actually clean. Not so fast.   The Rule of Gold After The Financial Collapse Activist Post | In a secular world, the operative “Golden Rule” is “He Who Has the Gold Makes the Rules”.

 

 

Nikkei Plunges As Quake Sparks Sell-Off Nikkei | Tokyo stocks plunged Monday, with investors selling to avert financial risks over the devastating earthquake.

 

Has The Tsunami In Japan Destroyed The Japanese Economy? So what is this disaster going to do to the 3rd largest economy in the world? Japan already had a national debt that was well over 200 percent of GDP. Could this be the “tipping point” that pushes the Japanese economy over the edge and into oblivion?

 

Will The Japanese Earthquake Be The Straw That Breaks Europe’s Back? If an earthquake flips its wings in Japan, does the Eurozone go bankrupt, especially in the month when its most insolvent countries face billions in debt rollover requirements, tens of billions in maturity funding needs, even more in deficit funding requirements… and no cash?

 

Update: Make That 15 Trillion; BOJ Raises Liquidity Injection To JPY12 Trillion ($146 Billion) Total reactionary panic everywhere now as the BOJ hikes the liquidity injection from 2 to 7 to 12 trillion yen.

 

The Fed Fails to Create the Stability it Dreams Of Wall Street at least temporarily relieved of the burden of having to buy Treasuries & Agency bonds, is looking at the jump in oil prices as nothing more than an irritant to their plans for a higher market. Bill Dudley of the NY Fed, a most powerful member, continues to make a vigorous defense of Federal Reserve policies.

 

Tokyo stocks drop 5% in first opening since quake Tokyo shares fell 5.2 percent on Monday in their first opening since Friday, when Japan was struck by the biggest earthquake in its history and a devastating tsunami.

 

Store shelves empty in Tokyo as uncertainty reigns Commuters and residents of the Japanese capital faced confusion and uncertainty on Monday over the supply of food and energy after Friday’s devastating quake and tsunami which crippled a nuclear power plant.

 

 

The Rule of Gold After The Financial Collapse Activist Post | In a secular world, the operative “Golden Rule” is “He Who Has the Gold Makes the Rules”.

 

 

 

Nikkei Plunges As Quake Sparks Sell-Off Nikkei | Tokyo stocks plunged Monday, with investors selling to avert financial risks over the devastating earthquake.

 



ECONOMIC CRISIS ARCHIVE

 

Japan Worries Keep Stocks in the Red Midnight Trader ‘ 4:15 PM, Mar 14, 2011 --

  • DJIA down 51.24 (-0.43%) to 11,993.16
  • S&P 500 down 7.89 (-0.60%) to 1,296.39
  • Nasdaq down 14.64 (-0.54%) to 2,700.97

GLOBAL SENTIMENT

  • Hang Seng up 0.41%
  • Nikkei down 6.2%
  • FTSE down 1%

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

10K dead in Japan amid fears of nuclear meltdowns (AP) AP - The estimated death toll from Japan's disasters climbed past 10,000 Sunday as authorities raced to combat the threat of multiple nuclear reactor meltdowns and hundreds of thousands of people struggled to find food and water. The prime minister said it was the nation's worst crisis since World War II.

 

 

Third Reactor Explodes, Full Scale Nuclear Catastrophe Imminent Kurt Nimmo | Effort to cool reactor with seawater a failure.

 

Experts fear 3rd reactor explosion Aaron Dykes | A third explosion at the Fukushima plant may be imminent.

 

CIA Sends USAID to Japan to Manage Nuclear Disinfo Campaign Kurt Nimmo | Cover-up of the extent and severity of Japan’s multiple nuclear meltdowns is now underway.

 

Cover Up Of Fukushima Chain Reaction Underway Paul Joseph Watson & Steve Watson | True scale of nuclear crisis suppressed by Japanese authorities, aided by castrated and slavish mass media.

 

 

Tracking Page: Japan’s Nuclear Meltdown, Aftershocks & Fallout Infowars | Following Japan’s nuclear plant emergency with the latest updates.

 

Fuel rod fire at Fukushima reactor “would be like Chernobyl on steroids” Kirk James Murphy | Chernobyl’s contamination settled upon people and nations thousands of miles from that reactor’s location.

 

 

Tokyo nuke cloud crisis The Sun | Japan teeters on brink of nuclear catastrophe amid fears a radioactive cloud could envelop Tokyo’s 13 million residents.

 

 

Evacuation zone widening; 300,000 homeless crowd shelters Daily Mail | Fears of second explosion at quake-hit N-plant as exclusion zone stretches to 13 miles.

 

Radiation From Fukushima Would Take 7 Days To Reach U.S. Radioactive particles from the stricken Fukushima nuclear facility would take around a week to reach Alaska and eleven days to reach Los Angeles, according to an Accuweather.com analysis, which highlights the fact that prevailing winds over the region would send any potential fallout from the crisis-hit plant drifting towards west coast cities in the United States.

 

Nuclear Expert: Radiation Could Spread To US West Coast Nuclear expert Joe Cirincione warns that radiation from Japan’s multiple potential nuclear meltdowns could spread to the US west coast and that the threat represents an “unprecedented crisis,” as another explosion rocked the Fukushima complex and officials admitted that nuclear fuel rods at reactor number two have been fully exposed.

 

Japan’s nightmare gets even WORSE: All THREE damaged nuclear reactors now in ‘meltdown’ at tsunami-hit power station The Japanese nuclear reactor hit by the tsunami went into ‘meltdown’ today, as officials admitted that fuel rods appear to be melting inside three damaged reactors.

 

Japanese death toll to far exceed 10,000 The death toll from the Japanese earthquake and tsunami is expected to exceed 10,000 as local and international rescue teams search through the ruins of north-eastern coastal cities for survivors of last Friday’s disaster.

 

 

TIME: Everything’s Tracked- Get Over It Aaron Dykes | In an astounding cover story,’ TIME tells readers to “get over” ubiquitous tracking.

 

Nuclear Plant Designer Says Japanese Government Suppressing Scale Of Crisis BBC News | A former nuclear plant designer has said Japan is suppressing vital info on the grave crisis. A former nuclear power plant designer has said Japan is facing an extremely grave crisis and called on the government to release more information, which he said was being suppressed. Masashi Goto told a news conference in Tokyo that one of the reactors at the Fukushima-Daiichi plant was “highly unstable”, and that if there was a meltdown the “consequences would be tremendous”.

 

Volcano in southern Japan erupts LA Times | A volcano in southern Japan began spewing ash even as the country struggled to recover from the catastrophic earthquake and tsunami.

 

U.S. West Coast in Path of Fallout Washington’s Blog | California is closely monitoring efforts to contain leaks from a quake-damaged Japanese nuclear plant.

 

Japan Fears Second Reactor Blast There is a risk of a second explosion at the quake-hit Fukushima power station, Japanese officials have said. However, chief cabinet secretary Yukio Edano said the facility could withstand the impact and the nuclear reactor itself would not be damaged.

 

U.S. West Coast in Path of Fallout “At present there is no danger to California. However we are monitoring the situation closely in conjunction with our federal partners,” Michael Sicilia, spokesman for California Department of Public Health, told AFP.

 

Radiation Increases as Cooling Systems Fail at Fukushima Plant in Japan Japanese officials battling to prevent a potential meltdown at a nuclear power station said an explosion was possible at a second reactor building after the plant’s cooling system failed.

 

Cooling at Sixth Reactor Fails Tokyo Electric Power Co. said Sunday another reactor of its quake-hit Fukushima nuclear power plants had lost its cooling functions, while at least 15 people at a nearby hospital were found to have been exposed to radioactivity.

 



Featured Stories archive

 

 

Japanese Nuclear Meltdown Confirmed Infowars.com | As we accurately reported, the explosion at the Fukushima nuclear plant was the result of a nuclear meltdown of the reactor core.

 

Media Coverup of Massive Chernobyl Event Underway in Japan Kurt Nimmo | Media in Japan is not reporting this fact in order to prevent mass hysteria.

 

Piers Corbyn: Massive Japan Earthquake & Tsunami Were Triggered by Solar Action The Alex Jones Channel | Meteorologist and astrophysicist Piers Corbyn, talks with Alex about the Japanese tsunami.

 

US Contracting Tech Firms for Revolutions Tony Cartalucci | US shamelessly admitting to funding Middle East revolutions

 

Obama Laments He’s Not President Of Communist China [ Time to relieve wobama the b’ (for b*** s***) of his burden by impeaching / removing him from office without delay! He may not have been the first black president (Clinton is generally considered the first black president by blacks and whites alike, a moniker Clinton accepted and wore proudly – that 18% vote), but he is certainly the last! Drudgereport: City Lowers Police Testing Standards Because Not Enough Blacks Passed...         Under pressure from Obama administration...    Illinois mayor says Obama still owes city $55,457...    Obama to party with Washington reporters...   Golf in the afternoon...    ] Weekly Standard | “Mr. Obama has told people that it would be so much easier to be the president of China.”

 

 

 

Drudgereport: SIXTH NUKE REACTOR FAILS
MELTDOWN ALERT...
Firefighters battle blaze at reactor...
Rods fully exposed for 2.5 hours...
Higher radiation recorded north of Tokyo...
RACE TO SAVE THE REACTORS...
Japan Asks USA To Help...
WRAP...
BBC LIVE... REUTERS LIVE... KYODO WIRE...
QUAKE MAPS, DETAILS...
FLASH: Nikkei Stock Market Falls Another 6%...
PM Kan asks public to act calmly...
Confusion from deadly quake spreading...

Emergency Cooling Effort at Reactor Failing...
'UNSTABLE'...
Crisis 'Uncharted Territory'...

Up to 160 exposed to radiation...
Japan battles nuclear meltdown...

Biggest Crisis Since WWII...
Races to avert multiple reactor failures...
Injecting seawater at Fukushima...
Another hydrogen explosion possible...
Evacuation zones widened -- again...
NUKE DESIGNER: Gov't suppressing info...
BBC LIVE... REUTERS LIVE... KYODO WIRE...
QUAKE MAPS, DETAILS...
USA West Coast in Path of 'Fallout'?

190 EXPOSED TO RADIATION IN MELTDOWN OF REACTOR NO. 1...
Thousands scanned...
200,000 Evacuated...
US EXPERTS: Pumping seawater into reactors 'act of desperation'...
'May foreshadow Chernobyl-like disaster'...

GE-designed reactors in Fukushima have 23 sisters in USA...
IS THE WORST STILL TO COME?
THOUSANDS SCANNED...
140,000 Evacuated...
ADMIT: Officials say radiation levels rise above limit...
Third explosion raises spectre of nuclear nightmare...

USA West Coast in Path of 'Fallout'?
Winds Should Send Radiation Out to Sea...
Run on iodine tablets -- in Finland...
German airline scans Japan flights for radioactivity...
17 U.S. Navy crew members contaminated...
HOPE: Pumping seawater into hot, leaking reactor...
'We're told not to breathe the air -- it's scary'...
GOV'T: Releasing radioactive steam from another reactor...

SAFETY BOARD: Meltdown occurred...
Core of Fuku 1 partially melted; race on to cool...
Japanese officials: 'Nuclear catastrophe averted'...
Say steel container housing reactor undamaged...
Japan to IAEA: Report radiation levels dropping...

REPORT: Nearly 10,000 people missing from town of 17,000...

KYODO: Death tops 2,000...
Military finds 300-400 bodies in one coastal city...
UPDATE: Four trains missing...
Northeast Japan 'a wasteland'...
'Devastation and despair'...
MAPS, DETAILS...
BBC LIVE...
REUTERS LIVE
KYODO WIRE...

City Lowers Police Testing Standards Because Not Enough Blacks Passed...
Under pressure from Obama administration...

Illinois mayor says Obama still owes city $55,457...

Obama to party with Washington reporters...
Golf in the afternoon...

 

 

 

Milbank: King's red scare (Washington Post) [ It truly is difficult for me to imagine being on the same page as Mr. Milbank on virtually any topic at all; and, yet here I am, on the same page agreeing with him with what has already occurred to me in thinking about the mccarthyish way of political opportunist for his zionist district politics, neocon peter king. It is important to distinguish the ‘anti-communist’ tenor of mccarthy’s day, communism being in my view a very real threat in light of my own staunch opposition to communism, the ultimate ‘b*** s***’ political doctrine / social organization whereby everybody is purportedly equal, yet some bureaucrats / party members were far more equal in every way than others. Yet, pervasively corrupt / defacto bankrupt america (Batista’s cuba is an example on smaller scale) has become a  poster-child for the failure of capitalism (though capitalism is but a fading memory for america in favor of the corrupt bureaucratic morass it’s become) with totalitarian communist china the greatest beneficiary though it’s capitalism that has garnered china enormous success. The irony of it all. While the communist threat was all too real, from the beginning (upon the long overdue fall of communism), there was a void sought to be filled by the military industrial complex, neocons, zionists, war profiteers, etc., literally ‘militants without a cause’. A sad reality that’s all too real.  ]

 

NATO endorses plan for Afghan forces to take over several areas (Washington Post) [ Yeah! Sounds like a plan … if the several areas encompass the entire nation; and, nato quits their foolishness in wasting money they don’t have for the sake of the military industrial complex, war profiteers, thieves, and (nato) heroin dealers. ]

 

Major changes ahead for U.S. mortgage system (Washington Post) [ Duh! Ya think? … How ‘bout major changes to the entire pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt u.s. (illegal) system, long overdue … SEC chief: Becker should not have worked on Madoff fallout (Washington Post) [ Oh come on! Everyone now knows here and abroad that capital hill is just an incestuous, nepotic morass of venal, greedy, corrupt incompetents who do or don’t do whatever is necessary to further their personal financial interests, including bribes both direct and indirect, now or later. Between goldman’s / citi’s rubin, and paulsen, and etc., etc., they’ve pillaged the treasury and aided / abetted / covered up a still extant fraud. Now those who can, do; those who can’t, work for the u.s. government. Who’s the head of enforcement? A goldman man of course. Madoff? House Republicans press SEC on official's ties to Madoff (Washington Post) [ The ultimate subterfuge. Mr. small potatoes madoff the focus of so much influence … yet he’s in jail … and the only one … Boy, did mary shapiro become total b*** s*** fast … the current shibboleth of  capital hill / all 3 branches of pervasively corrupt u.s. government … joining the others: “The Financial Industry Has Become So Politically Powerful That It Is Able To Inhibit the Normal Process of Justice And Law Enforcement” The economy cannot stabilize unless fraud is prosecuted. But the folks in D.C. seem determined to turn a blind eye to Wall Street shenanigans, and is now moving to defund the enforcement agencies like the SEC and CFTC.      Market Crash 2011: It Will Hit by Christmas   Farrell, MarketWatch  SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — ‘Politicians lie. Bankers lie. Yes, they’re liars. But they’re not bad, it’s in their genes, inherited. Their brains are wired that way, warn scientists. Like addicts, they can’t help themselves. They want to sell stuff, get rich…’   Financialization and Our Increasingly Unstable Economy Roche ‘I finally got around to seeing the movie Inside Job, the story behind the credit crisis and winner of the Academy Award for best documentary. It’s very good and I highly recommend it to anyone who hasn’t seen it. It will certainly infuriate you. The movie doesn’t place nearly enough blame on homeowners, but all in all it does an excellent job of showing how Wall Street and government have become overrun by deregulation and sheer greed. A combination of flawed economic theory and greed have combined to create the beast that we now call a “functioning” economy. The worst part of it all is that President Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place. …’  ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]


]  Former general counsel inherited part of a Bernard Madoff account. 

Ethics code urged for Supreme Court  (Washington Post) [  Sounds like a plan! Come on! Wake up! After all, what can you expect from two guidos from ‘jersey (alito and scalia, colloquial – note that I have refrained from using what some might consider disparaging terms as w*p*, gui***s, or da***s … and let me state for the record that I truly loved and respected my grandmother who was 100% Italian/Bari,Italy and as well my grandfather/Lake Como,northern Italy with greek ancestral roots and I thereby claim standing/right to posit the criticism in light of my direct experience. ). How ‘bout starting with enforcing laws as to judges, liars, etc., within the very corrupted american illegal system; and, particularly bribes which in one form or another are rampant . I don’t know about Thomas ( 3-4-11  Throw Clarence Thomas Off the Bench (The Daily Beast)  ) , but I do know about alito and ‘jersey … :                                                                                                                    

October 15, 2010 (*see infra)

 

 

Steven M. Martinez, Assistant Director In Charge
Federal Bureau of Investigation, USDOJ
11000 Wilshire Blvd., Suite 1700

Los Angeles, CA 90024

 

 

Dear Sir:

 

I enclose herewith 3 copies of the within DVD rom autorun disk (which will open in your computer’s browser) as per your office’s request as made this day (the disk and contents have been scanned by Avast, McAfee, and Norton which I’ve installed on my computer to prevent viral attacks / infection and are without threat). I also include 1 copy of the DVD as filed with the subject court as referenced therein (which files are also included on the aforesaid 3 disks in a separate folder named ‘112208opocoan’). The (civil) RICO action (as you’re aware, the RICO Act is a criminal statute which provides a civil remedy, including treble damages and attorney fees, as an incentive for private prosecution of said claims probably owing to the fact that the USDOJ seems somewhat overwhelmed and in need of such assistance given the seriousness and prevalence of said violations of law which have a corrupting influence on the process, and which corruption is pervasive). A grievance complaint against Coan was also filed concurrently with the subject action and held in abeyance pending resolution of the action which was illegally dismissed without any supporting law and in contravention of the Order of The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District Connecticut. The files below the horizontal rule are the referenced documents as filed. (Owing to the damage to the financial interests of both the U.S. and the District of Congresswoman Roybal-Allard, viz., Los Angeles, the Qui Tam provisions of the Federal False Claims Act probably would apply and I would absent resolution seek to refer the within to a firm with expertise in that area of the law with which I am not familiar).

 

 

The document in 5 pages under penalty of perjury I was asked to forward to the FBI office in New Haven is probably the best and most concise summary of the case  RICO Summary to FBI Under Penalty of Perjury at Their Request (5 pages)      [  ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf   http://albertpeia.com/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf          ].

 

 

The correspondence I received from the Congresswoman by way of email attachment (apparent but typical problem with my mail) along with my response thereto is included on the 3 disks as     fbicorrespondencereyes.htm     .   With regard to the calls to the FBI’s LA and New Haven, CT offices: There was one call to the LA office and I was referred to the Long Beach, CA office where I personally met with FBI Agent Jeff Hayes to whom I gave probative evidentiary documents of the money laundering which he confirmed as indicative of same (he was transferred from said office within approximately a month of said meeting and his location was not disclosed to me upon inquiry). The matter was assigned to FBI Agent Ron Barndollar and we remained in touch for in excess of a decade until he abruptly retired (our last conversation prior to his retirement related to the case and parenthetically, Rudy Giuliani whose father I stated had been an enforcer for the mob to which he registered disbelief and requested I prove it, which I did – he served 12 years in prison, aggravated assault/manslaughter? – and no, there is no Chinese wall of separation – Andrew Maloney’s the one that prosecuted gotti).

 

 

In contradistinction to the statement in said correspondence, there is a plethora of information including evidence supporting the claims set forth in the    RICO VERIFIED COMPLAINT    (see infra). Such includes and as set forth in the case, inter alia,

 

 

  1. A judgment had been entered in my favor in the case, United States District Court Case #3:93cv02065(AWT)(USDCJ Alvin Thompson), worth approximately now in excess of $300,000 remains unaccounted for and which could be used for payment to creditors, Los Angeles, etc..
  2. Counsel Robert Sullivan on my behalf documented by way of certification upon investigation that Alan Shiff, USBCJ, had falsely stated a dismissal upon which false statement he predicated a retaliatory and spurious contempt proceeding against me causing substantial damage, and for which he sought Judicial Notice of those and related proceedings as did I in some of my filings.
  3. The Order of Dismissal With Prejudice by Alan Shiff, USBCJ, owing to Defendant Coan’s failure to file anything whatsoever by the court’s deadline causing creditors and me substantial damages:   [  Shiff Order of Dismissal With Prejudice on Coan’s Failure to File        Page 1                Page 2          ]
  4. Defendant Coan had filed an action against me to prevent me from suing him which necessitated me to fly to Connecticut for a hearing before The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District of Connecticut, who denied Coan’s requested relief as to Coan but precluded my action against Shiff (although there is no immunity, judicial or otherwise, for criminal acts, ie., fraud connected with a case under Title 11, USC, etc.) . [   transcript in pertinent part -     crossexamofcoanbypeia.pdf   ]
  5. Newly appointed judge, Maryanne Trump Barry, Donald Trump’s sister, was assigned the RICO case despite the conflict of interest in light of hundreds of thousands of dollars of illegal (drug) money being laundered through the Trump casinos by the RICO defendants, and despite my motion to recuse her which motion she heard herself and denied, and U.S. Trustee Hugh Leonard with whom I met personally refused to join or file a separate motion to recuse and not long thereafter left said office for private practice at Cole, Shotz, et als on retainer with the RICO defendants as his primary client.
  6. Probative and evidentiary documents, affidavits, exhibits, including those turned over to FBI Agent Jeff Hayes in Long Beach, CA, had been given to Assistant U.S. Attorney Jonathan Lacey with whom I met personally at the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Newark, N.J., at which time Samuel Alito was U.S. Attorney, and went over said documents and their probative value with him. Within approximately a month thereafter upon inquiry I was told that Jonathon Lacey was no longer with the office, that the file/documents could not be located, and that there was no further information available concerning contacting him or his location. I thereupon delivered by hand, copies of said documents to the office of then U.S. Attorney Alito, addressed to him, with assurance they would go directly to him. In addition to being inept [ I looked in on the one mob case he had brought, bungled, lost (accidently on purpose?) since I was suing some mob-connected under RICO and the court (I had known / previously met outside of court the judge Ackerman through a client) was absolute bedlam and a total joke since incompetent corrupt Alito brought in all 20 mob defendants (rather than prosecute one or a few to flip them first) who feigning illness had beds/cots in the courtroom along with their moans during testimony and had the jury in stitches. As much as I hate the mob, it truly was funny, if not so tragic.],   Alito is also corrupt (and maybe corrupt because he is inept). After a reasonable (but still rather short) time I called to determine the status and was told that Alito was no longer with the Office of the U.S. Attorney, that he was (appointed) a federal judge, and that neither the documents nor any file or record of same could be located. Alito did parley the same / cover-up into quid pro quo direct lifetime appointment to the Court of Appeals, 3rd circuit, despite the absence of judicial experience or successful tenure as U.S. Attorney (Maryanne Trump Barry as well). This is the same Sam Alito that now sits on the purported highest court in the land. The real application of the illegal rule ‘don’t ask, don’t tell’.

 

 

There is applicable insurance / surety coverage and neither LA, nor creditors, nor I should continue to have been damaged by this brazened corrupt and illegal scenario, which should be resolved in accordance with the meaningful rules of law apposite thereto.

 

 

Sincerely,

 

 

Albert L. Peia

611 E. 5th Street, #404

Los Angeles, CA 90013

(213) 219-**** (cell phone)

(213) 622-3745 (listed land line but there are unresolved problems with the line, computer connection may be the reason but I hesitate to chance greater non-performance / worsening by their ‘fix’ so cell phone best for contact).

  ] Group of law professors' appeal comes after controversies involving travel and appearances at political events by several justices.

 

 

 

Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)     http://www.stansberryresearch.com/pro/1011PSIENDVD/LPSILC43/PR  [ The instant  video from Stansberry and Associates is so well researched  and succinctly presented  that I’ve archived same on my website; also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views I’ve presented on my site which I believe to be correct. This is a must-view, must-see that I strongly recommend!    
The complete url:     http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv  ( 146mb – approx. 1 hr. 17 min. )         http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.mp4    (  374mb  )     Written text of presentation (without pictures  / charts)  http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrypresentation.htm ]

 

 

  ] Higher down payments could be demanded by lenders, and the availability of long-term mortgages with fixed interest rates could be curtailed.

 

 

Disaster in Japan threatens recession recovery (Washington Post) [ Recovery? … Dreamin’ … and, we’re way past the ‘straw broke the camel’s back’ … we’re really talkin’ about final nails in the coffin … This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!   What Can the Great Depression Teach Us About Our Great Recession? Chartprophet ‘Is the massive market rally of the past two years just a temporary recovery that has tricked many investors to jump back into stocks right before the next plunge? And how can the Great Depression reveal what may happen to the markets this year, almost 80 years later?As we enter the third year of what has been a very impressive "bull" market, many are left wondering whether this incredible run of as much as 100 percent on the S&P 500 can continue - and for how long. Yet while the economy seems to have rebounded very strongly off of its early 2009 lows, accompanied by improving fundamentals, increased company earnings, and a more optimistic consumer, many investors fail to at least consider the thought that this entire "recovery" could, in fact, be just an extreme overreaction to the 2008 market crash. In other words, the huge rally we have seen in the global stock markets since early 2009 could be just a temporary recovery and pause before the next - and possibly worse - market decline.

It was less than a year ago that the fear of an economic "double dip" - a plunge back down to recession - intensely gripped the markets. The "flash crash", BP oil spill, European troubles, high unemployment, and potential derailment of the economy all posed a severe threat to the viability of our recovery. Yet while many parts of the economy seem to have been improving, there are still so many issues surfacing daily that most of the world is basically ignoring. I am not saying that all these issues are guaranteed to pull us back into recession, but with such a huge rebound in stocks accompanied by so many potential derailers, it may not be so far-fetched to at least consider the possibilities of the tremendous upcoming turmoil.

The issues now: huge government debt, credit crisis, European troubles, high insider selling, Middle East turmoil, surging oil prices that threaten to hurt the economy, soaring commodity prices, surfacing inflation, uncertainty about the Fed's QE2 and QE3, billions of dollars of toxic assets on the balance sheets of many banks, emerging market weakness since the end of 2010, real estate bubbles from China to Singapore, rationalization of fundamentals and a strong complacency that things will continue to be just as positive as they have been, a very slowly-improving unemployment picture, and perhaps one of the most telling points - the average investor is finally getting back in, and maybe right at the end of the rally.

So why should investors at least consider the possibility of a "double dip"? What are the potential scenarios if this tremendous market rally was, in fact, a "fool's rally"? And what can the Great Depression teach us about our current situation?

First, we must understand what a "fool's rally" is:

Otherwise known as a "Dead Dog Bounce," the fool's rally is a corrective bounce or temporary rebound that follows a severe decline in an individual stock or broader market. Following a severe decline, stocks and markets can sometimes see sharp bounces off of the lows as a rapid overreaction to the downside is followed by an overreactive bounce to the upside. In other words, a market crashes quickly and sharply but rebounds temporarily as much of the bad news takes some time to fully sink in.

This phenomenon is has been termed the "Dead Dog Bounce," based on the statement that "even a dead dog will bounce" if dropped from high enough. Here's an image of what this looks like:
[picture]
The Dead Dog Bounce is just a temporary recovery, however. The scenario is as follows: 1) the market drops sharply; 2) after an extreme downturn, the market recovers as some investors buy up what they consider to be "value"; 3) the market cannot make it all the way back up to where it started its down move, however, because the economy is nowhere near as healthy as it was; 4) the investors who have pulled their money out of the stock market or who have missed the recovery now jump back in, thinking the market is going back up; 5) since this has been a dead dog bounce, and therefore just a corrective rebound before the dead dog falls back down, many investors were tricked into thinking the recovery was underway - but the market enters the next phase of decline or recession. A double dip takes place.

Think of a tennis ball dropped from the top of a building: as it drops, it gains momentum, hits the ground, and bounces up - but the bounce can not be as high as its original point. And following that bounce, it will ultimately be pulled back down by gravity. So too the Dead Dog Bounce - the market drops from above, falls sharply, hits the "ground," bounces back up (but not as high), and ultimately falls back down.

[picture]

I bring the Great Depression up because it is one of the best examples of a Dead Dog Bounce. We often think of the Crash of 1929 as the biggest event of the Great Depression, and perhaps also consider it to be the biggest drop in the market. But that actually wasn't the case.

Here's how the Dead Dog Bounce played out in the Great Depression:

click to enlarge
[chart]
Following 17 years of sideways movement beginning, the market finally embarked on an uptrend from 1921 to the ultimate peak of 1929.

Compare the above chart to what we have recently seen in our market:
[chart]
Like the Dow from 1904 to 1921, the Dow of 1960 to 1983 was also stuck in a long sideways trend. It eventually broke out above the 1,000 level in 1983 and began one of the greatest bull markets we have ever seen. Like the 1929 top before the Great Depression, the 2007 peak marked the top before the Great Recession we find ourselves in. The two charts above look eerily similar, and make dismissing the relationship between the Great Depression and Great Recession almost a fool's move.

Now take a look at the 1929 stock market crash:
[chart]
After reaching a peak of 380+, the Dow tumbled to under 200 as the Crash of 1929 sent markets into a free-fall. Following the Crash, a Dead Dog Bounce took place - raising the market approximately 50 percent.

Compare the 1929-1930 Crash-Dead Dog Bounce scenario with what we have just seen:
[chart]
After a bull market from 2003 to the end of 2007, the Dow reached a peak of over 14,000. As the housing market collapsed, so did the stock market - sending the Dow below 6,500. As in the Dow of 1929-1930, a potential Dead Dog Bounce has followed since 2009 and continues until today.

The question remains - what followed the Dead Dog Bounce of 1929-1930, and will our market follow the same course?

Here's how it played out in 1930:
[chart]
The Crash of 1929 was almost negligible in comparison to the Great Depression that followed. The Crash sent the Dow tumbling from 380 to 200, and was followed by a Dead Dog Bounce which recovered over 50 percent of the Crash; but the real damage was done beginning in April 1930 and lasting until late 1932 - where the Dow toppled from nearly 300 to less than 50 - a loss of over 83 percent.

The Dead Dog Bounce in 1929 and 1930 was just a corrective overreaction to the steep plunge that the Crash of 1929 brought to the market. But as we can see, the Crash and the ensuing bounce were nothing compared to the huge drop that followed and carried through until the end of the Great Depression.

We now find ourselves in perhaps a similar situation - a market that saw a very impressive bull run for years, and reached a lofty top followed by a severe downturn in 2008 and early 2009. It has since shown signs of improving, and many investors and economists are optimistic for the future - thinking the worst is behind us. But with so many negative and potentially devastating issues constantly surfacing, are we just in the middle of a Dead Dog Bounce before reality sets in and the market plunges back down into recession? I do not yet know the answer to that question. But with the very strong similarities between our market and that of the Great Depression, it would be very wise to at least pay attention.

[picture]

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.’

 

 ] The earthquake and tsunami in Japan struck an area that accounts for only a small fraction of the country's economic activity, but damage could still run into the tens of billions of dollars.

 

 

Japan reeling after quake  (Washington Post) [ Japan reeling, wall street rallying? … What’s wrong that picture? … Hello! … earth to wall street, reality calling … Can’t be good for oil prices, or the debt market (for u.s.) for starters … Who, Besides Ben Bernanke, Wants to Buy (u.s.) Bonds? [ Well, PIMCO just voted with their feet (they’re out of them) … Japansunami will preclude same (note: despite the dire implications for defacto bankrupt america owing to their costly reconstruction preoccupation … market suckers’ rally anyway to keep investors suckered and from getting any rational selling ideas over the weakend … you can do such things, especially into the close, with those computerized high frequency trade programs which are great for generating commissions from the old ‘in-out, in-out’, and then some … these days like last crash / crisis are made for such frauds.) … don’t go looking to china to take more baths, especially with that recent trade deficit of theirs. The answer is no-one! And, one can begin to see the fed’s reluctance to alow proper scrutiny of their books; beyond their complicity in the massive wall street frauds, cashed out with their help, there’s the worthless ‘paper on paper’ debacle just around the corner. ] A bulldozing tsunami leaves the country bracing for an epic humanitarian disaster.

 

 

Stocks for Brave Adults Only: Dave's Daily Stock rallied in the afternoon led by oversold conditions and that's about it. You could argue those that could lifted some indexes over the breached 50-day moving average. But, with the NYMO at a -70 reading yesterday markets became quickly short-term oversold.  Now many wondered with the catastrophe in Japan, U.S. stocks should not have risen. This is understandable and I got a lot of mail about this, but perversely, it may have been more important the Saudi Day of Rage was a nonevent--just ask Prince Alwaleed. Moreover, imagine the amount of reconstruction spending that follows these disasters. Bulls also felt the poor data Friday might lead to more QE from the Uncle Sugar. Markets can often be hard to understand and be hard-hearted at the same time. Retail Sales were okay but you have to wonder about it as "old news" while Michigan Consumer Sentiment dropped substantially. My favorite Fed official, William "have some Kool Aid" Dudley, got trashed as he tried to explain the "no inflation meme" to a crowd in Queens. It's pretty hilarious how he was called out…’ 

 

 

 

Modest Stock Gains During Friday Trading, But Losses for Week   Midnight Trader ‘4:08 PM, Mar 11, 2011 -

  • NYSE up 55.56 (+0.7%) to 8,255.63
  • DJIA up 59.79 (+0.5%) to 12,044
  • S&P 500 up 9.17 (+0.7%) to 1,304
  • Nasdaq up 14.59 (+0.5%) to 2,716

GLOBAL SENTIMENT

  • Hang Seng down 1.55%
  • Nikkei down 1.72%
  • FTSE down 0.28%

What Can the Great Depression Teach Us About Our Great Recession? Chartprophet ‘Is the massive market rally of the past two years just a temporary recovery that has tricked many investors to jump back into stocks right before the next plunge? And how can the Great Depression reveal what may happen to the markets this year, almost 80 years later?

As we enter the third year of what has been a very impressive "bull" market, many are left wondering whether this incredible run of as much as 100 percent on the S&P 500 can continue - and for how long. Yet while the economy seems to have rebounded very strongly off of its early 2009 lows, accompanied by improving fundamentals, increased company earnings, and a more optimistic consumer, many investors fail to at least consider the thought that this entire "recovery" could, in fact, be just an extreme overreaction to the 2008 market crash. In other words, the huge rally we have seen in the global stock markets since early 2009 could be just a temporary recovery and pause before the next - and possibly worse - market decline.

It was less than a year ago that the fear of an economic "double dip" - a plunge back down to recession - intensely gripped the markets. The "flash crash", BP oil spill, European troubles, high unemployment, and potential derailment of the economy all posed a severe threat to the viability of our recovery. Yet while many parts of the economy seem to have been improving, there are still so many issues surfacing daily that most of the world is basically ignoring. I am not saying that all these issues are guaranteed to pull us back into recession, but with such a huge rebound in stocks accompanied by so many potential derailers, it may not be so far-fetched to at least consider the possibilities of the tremendous upcoming turmoil.

The issues now: huge government debt, credit crisis, European troubles, high insider selling, Middle East turmoil, surging oil prices that threaten to hurt the economy, soaring commodity prices, surfacing inflation, uncertainty about the Fed's QE2 and QE3, billions of dollars of toxic assets on the balance sheets of many banks, emerging market weakness since the end of 2010, real estate bubbles from China to Singapore, rationalization of fundamentals and a strong complacency that things will continue to be just as positive as they have been, a very slowly-improving unemployment picture, and perhaps one of the most telling points - the average investor is finally getting back in, and maybe right at the end of the rally.

So why should investors at least consider the possibility of a "double dip"? What are the potential scenarios if this tremendous market rally was, in fact, a "fool's rally"? And what can the Great Depression teach us about our current situation?

First, we must understand what a "fool's rally" is:

Otherwise known as a "Dead Dog Bounce," the fool's rally is a corrective bounce or temporary rebound that follows a severe decline in an individual stock or broader market. Following a severe decline, stocks and markets can sometimes see sharp bounces off of the lows as a rapid overreaction to the downside is followed by an overreactive bounce to the upside. In other words, a market crashes quickly and sharply but rebounds temporarily as much of the bad news takes some time to fully sink in.

This phenomenon is has been termed the "Dead Dog Bounce," based on the statement that "even a dead dog will bounce" if dropped from high enough. Here's an image of what this looks like:
[picture]
The Dead Dog Bounce is just a temporary recovery, however. The scenario is as follows: 1) the market drops sharply; 2) after an extreme downturn, the market recovers as some investors buy up what they consider to be "value"; 3) the market cannot make it all the way back up to where it started its down move, however, because the economy is nowhere near as healthy as it was; 4) the investors who have pulled their money out of the stock market or who have missed the recovery now jump back in, thinking the market is going back up; 5) since this has been a dead dog bounce, and therefore just a corrective rebound before the dead dog falls back down, many investors were tricked into thinking the recovery was underway - but the market enters the next phase of decline or recession. A double dip takes place.

Think of a tennis ball dropped from the top of a building: as it drops, it gains momentum, hits the ground, and bounces up - but the bounce can not be as high as its original point. And following that bounce, it will ultimately be pulled back down by gravity. So too the Dead Dog Bounce - the market drops from above, falls sharply, hits the "ground," bounces back up (but not as high), and ultimately falls back down.

[picture]

I bring the Great Depression up because it is one of the best examples of a Dead Dog Bounce. We often think of the Crash of 1929 as the biggest event of the Great Depression, and perhaps also consider it to be the biggest drop in the market. But that actually wasn't the case.

Here's how the Dead Dog Bounce played out in the Great Depression:

click to enlarge
[chart]
Following 17 years of sideways movement beginning, the market finally embarked on an uptrend from 1921 to the ultimate peak of 1929.

Compare the above chart to what we have recently seen in our market:
[chart]
Like the Dow from 1904 to 1921, the Dow of 1960 to 1983 was also stuck in a long sideways trend. It eventually broke out above the 1,000 level in 1983 and began one of the greatest bull markets we have ever seen. Like the 1929 top before the Great Depression, the 2007 peak marked the top before the Great Recession we find ourselves in. The two charts above look eerily similar, and make dismissing the relationship between the Great Depression and Great Recession almost a fool's move.

Now take a look at the 1929 stock market crash:
[chart]
After reaching a peak of 380+, the Dow tumbled to under 200 as the Crash of 1929 sent markets into a free-fall. Following the Crash, a Dead Dog Bounce took place - raising the market approximately 50 percent.

Compare the 1929-1930 Crash-Dead Dog Bounce scenario with what we have just seen:
[chart]
After a bull market from 2003 to the end of 2007, the Dow reached a peak of over 14,000. As the housing market collapsed, so did the stock market - sending the Dow below 6,500. As in the Dow of 1929-1930, a potential Dead Dog Bounce has followed since 2009 and continues until today.

The question remains - what followed the Dead Dog Bounce of 1929-1930, and will our market follow the same course?

Here's how it played out in 1930:
[chart]
The Crash of 1929 was almost negligible in comparison to the Great Depression that followed. The Crash sent the Dow tumbling from 380 to 200, and was followed by a Dead Dog Bounce which recovered over 50 percent of the Crash; but the real damage was done beginning in April 1930 and lasting until late 1932 - where the Dow toppled from nearly 300 to less than 50 - a loss of over 83 percent.

The Dead Dog Bounce in 1929 and 1930 was just a corrective overreaction to the steep plunge that the Crash of 1929 brought to the market. But as we can see, the Crash and the ensuing bounce were nothing compared to the huge drop that followed and carried through until the end of the Great Depression.

We now find ourselves in perhaps a similar situation - a market that saw a very impressive bull run for years, and reached a lofty top followed by a severe downturn in 2008 and early 2009. It has since shown signs of improving, and many investors and economists are optimistic for the future - thinking the worst is behind us. But with so many negative and potentially devastating issues constantly surfacing, are we just in the middle of a Dead Dog Bounce before reality sets in and the market plunges back down into recession? I do not yet know the answer to that question. But with the very strong similarities between our market and that of the Great Depression, it would be very wise to at least pay attention.

[picture]

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.’

 

 

Sneaky Banks to Lay Foundation for Their Own Collapse

 

 

 

Welfare State: Handouts Make Up One-Third of U.S. Wages CNBC | Government payouts make up more than a third of total wages and salaries of the U.S. population.


 

Will The Japanese Earthquake Be The Straw That Breaks Europe’s Back? Zero Hedge | Japan will have no choice but to launch a mini round of Quantitative Easing. If an earthquake flips its wings in Japan, does the Eurozone go bankrupt, especially in the month when its most insolvent countries face billions in debt rollover requirements, tens of billions in maturity funding needs, even more in deficit funding requirements… and no cash?

 

Are The Prophets Of Doom Right About Major War, $200 Oil, $2000 Gold And Dow 5000 By The End Of 2012? Are the “prophets of doom” right? Is a major war going to erupt in the Middle East? Is the price of oil going to $200 a barrel? Is the price of gold going to hit $2000 at some point over the next two years?

 

Adjusted Monetary Base: Up, Up And Away Shortly Zero Hedge will present our quarterly analysis of the liabilities held by the shadow banking system.

 

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

Chilling Account of Big Brother Society Infowars.com | Author Mark Dice details horrific scope of technological control grid.

 

Japanese Nuclear Meltdown Would Be Hundreds of Times Worse Than Chernobyl Kurt Nimmo | Radiation levels inside Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant are 1,000 times normal levels.

 

Justice Department: TSA Has Authority To Literally Strip Search People Steve Watson | Naked body scanners court case underway, throws up disturbing precedents

 

Global Warming Did Not Cause The Japanese Earthquake Paul Joseph Watson | BBC reporter spouts lies about “disappearing” South Pacific island to imply man-made climate change connection to devastating tsunami.

 

Videos Document Horrific Japanese Earthquake Infowars.com | The earthquake is one of the largest ever recorded.

 

 

 

Japan scrambles to avert radiation crisis at nuclear plant Reuters | Thousands of residents were evacuated from an area around a nuclear plant.


 

Huge tsunami kills hundreds in Japan, sweeps across Pacific Reuters | The biggest earthquake on record to hit Japan rocked its northeast coast on Friday.


 

Saudi Security Forces Flood Streets to Stop ‘Day of Rage’ Mail Online | Moderate Sunni Islamists and Shi’ite Muslims have joined forces to demand political change.

 

 

 

A Perfect Storm of GMOs, Chemicals and Cancer Rady Ananda | Several books lay out the framework for and evidence of a concerted effort to sicken and then treat humanity, while earning obscene profits.


 

Guatemalans to sue US government for secretly infecting them with syphilis Natural News | The US government deliberately infected roughly 700 Guatemalans with syphilis.

 

 

 

Second Japanese Nuclear Plant In Peril As Thousands Evacuated Japanese authorities on Saturday were racing to find ways to deliver new backup generators or batteries to a nuclear power reactor whose cooling facilities were crippled by a loss of power caused by the deadly earthquake and tsunami that hit Japan on Friday afternoon.

 

Global Warming Did Not Cause The Japanese Earthquake Just hours after the horrific earthquake and tsunami devastated coastal areas of Japan, global warming alarmists like the BBC are already injecting climate change propaganda into their coverage of the story, hastily exploiting the tragedy as a vehicle through which to push their increasingly desperate and discredited enviro-fascist agenda.

 

Justice Department: TSA Has Authority To Literally Strip Search People A government attorney has told federal appeals court judges that the Department of Homeland Security has the authority to literally strip search Americans inside airports if it determines that is the correct course of action to deal with “ever-evolving threats”.

 

REPORT: 88,000 People Are Missing In Japan Heartbreaking: While the death toll remains in the low hundreds right now (officially) it seems sure to spiral much higher. According to the Kyodo News Agency, via BBC, the official missing persons tally is around 88,000.

 

Ron Paul: No-fly Zone Over Libya Would be an Act of War On the House floor Thursday, Rep. Ron Paul pointed out that imposing a so-called no-fly zone on Libya would be illegal under international law and an act of war.

 

Japan Declares Nuclear Emergency After Devastating Earthquake The horrifying consequences of the biggest earthquake to hit Japan since records began are only just beginning to be discovered, with the tsunami that followed causing massive devastation and engulfing cities and airports, leading to the declaration of a nuclear emergency at the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear plant after efforts to cool malfunctioning reactor cores failed.

 

 

 

Saudi King Counters Protests With $36 Billion as Tension Mounts As unrest escalated across the Middle East, activists in Saudi Arabia demanded a political voice as well. Rather than promises of democracy, they got a $36 billion handout and a slap down from Islamic clerics.

 

Nato ‘kills cousin of Afghan President Hamid Karzai’ A relative of Afghan President Hamid Karzai has been mistakenly killed by Nato troops in southern Afghanistan, officials say.

 

 

 

Drudgereport: THE GREAT QUAKE OF JAPAN... 9.1 MAG CAUSES CHAOS... BBC LIVE... REUTERS LIVE MAPS, DETAILS... KYODO WIRE... NHK... Hundreds of bodies found... Thousands Missing, Feared Dead... Dam breaks, washes away homes... Agency: N American plate snapped upward... HUGE WHIRLPOOL CREATED... Thousands roam Tokyo streets... Cruise ship, entire train missing... Japan Rushes to Contain Damage...
'HOURS' TO PREVENT NUKE MELTDOWN
'MAY BE EXPERIENCING NUCLEAR MELTDOWN'
Quake's Magnitude Hiked to 9.1...
Japan scrambles to ease pressure building inside two nuke plants...

...TOKYO POWER says temperatures falling back to normal at Reactor #3
...Meltdown threat remains for Reactor #1
Radiation at 1000X Normal...
LEAK...
Fuel Rods May Have Been Damaged...
Fears of THREE MILE ISLAND repeat...
'No immediate health hazard,' officials say -- while evacuating 45,000...
US Amb. to Japan Warns Americans to Evacuate...
US military DID NOT provide any coolant... Earlier, Hillary Clinton said Air Force 'assets' had been used to do so...

BRUSSELS WEEKEND: Broke euro countries plead for help...
18 GOP senators in Wisc report death threats after union vote...

UNIONS THREATEN BUSINESSES...
Iowa follows suit; House passes collective bargaining bill...

Obama says 'tightening noose' on Gadhafi...
Tripoli protest stamped out...
Berlusconi: West may have miscalculated...

Police flood Saudi capital, preventing 'Day of Rage'...

 

 

 


Saudi police open fire at protest (Washington Post) [ Time to revoke the saudi pass to do whatever please owing to their preposterous claim to all the oil wealth of the entire Saudi nation.   16 miles away, Saudi Arabia's watchful eye looms over Bahrain unrest (Washington Post) [ I’m sure they are… with a microscope at that.  Saudis Worried Protests Will Hit Home  -  saudi arabia; talk about do nothing hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation; I suspect only when foreign corporations say so For the sake of the saudi Arabian people, more than just protests should come to fruition!  ] AFP | Saudi royal warns Arab world uprisings could cause harm unless they reform. Bahrain authorities launch surprise attack on protesters  [There’s the america and saudi Arabia effect; far less than democratic and far more deadly in the mideast among other places; talk about hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation as the saudis; time for the saudis to go the way of dictator Mubarak and take the war criminal americans with them.   ]  Los Angeles Times Tear gas canisters bombard sleeping protesters in Manama's Pearl Square. At least two men are reported killed   Video:  Bahrain protesters look to emulate Egypt revolt euronews    Riot Police Attack Bahrain Protesters Voice of America  ‘Saudi Arabia sending troops to Bahrain’  Saudi Arabia is sending troops to Bahrain in a move to crack down on pro-democracy protesters who took to the streets in the capital Manama, a political analyst says. [SAUDIS TOLD OBAMA 'NOT TO HUMILIATE MUBARAK'

 

NATO troops kill Karzai's cousin in botched raid, Afghans say (Washington Post) [ ‘All the right moves’. Right, right, right! Righto!…Riiiiight! Winning those hearts and minds; or as Charlie Sheen would say … duh … winning! Whew!  U.N. alarmed by surge in civilian casualties in Afghanistan spacer(Washington Post) [ No, gates has already addressed that … minor setbacks, says he …  Turmoil jars U.S. counter-terror efforts spacer(Washington Post) [ Now how does this come as a surprise to anyone? Beyond america’s propaganda machine, orwellian england, etc., just how do think the war crimes, invasions, pillaging and plundering, and killing of innocent children, women, and men by pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america et als for the sake of the u.s. military military complex are viewed by the rest of the world, and particularly the subject region. Euphemistically but realistically speaking, ‘not good’! …  Gates says killing of Afghan boys a "setback" (Reuters) [Ah, yes, riiiiight! … that’s what it is, alright…just a setback…I see.  ]   Gates: US military to stay in Afghanistan  US Defense Secretary Robert Gates, who is on a surprise visit to Afghanistan, says the American military should stay in the conflict-riddled country despite the rising human costs.     Violent spring looming in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ See … something to look forward to … must be that good news that keeps getting pushed back … and spring no less … everything bombing blooming or in war criminal american-speak … ‘booming’ … but not the defacto bankrupt american economy for which a crash is ‘looming’. Could somebody help me out with a translation of gates’ speech a west point … I must be missing something … Lt. Gen. John Kelly, who lost son to war, says U.S. largely unaware of sacrifice (Washington Post) [ I disagree! They are very much aware; as they stand in unemployment lines, use food stamps to get by, etc.. I hate to sound cavalier and I’m sorry that Kelly lost a son to war, but along with the multitude of civilians in the nations unlucky enough to provide a source of corporate welfare to the military industrial complex and war profiteering for the few (as warned against by President General Eisenhower), they died for nothing, for no good reason beyond the false propaganda.  Six NATO troops killed in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ Is there something wrong with the following picture? … am I missing something?       Gates's warning: Avoid land war in Asia, Middle East, and Africa Christian Science Monitor - In a speech to cadets at the United States Military Academy at West Point, Gates's message was clear: The US military services, as well as the elected and appointed civilians who send them to war, need better ways of foreseeing and preparing for ...     Gates Tells US Army to Take New Approach Voice of America    Warning Against Wars Like Iraq and Afghanistan New York Times  [ Better said, than unsaid; but, methinks a bit late for that in light of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s consummate decline and fall! If only they had listened and not shot at the messenger … things could have been different!    ]     ]  American military officials expect that the Taliban will mount a campaign to regain ground lost to U.S. troops last year and use suicide bombing teams to strike at those associated with the Afghan government or coalition forces.   ]

 

 

SEC chief: Becker should not have worked on Madoff fallout (Washington Post) [ Oh come on! Everyone now knows here and abroad that capital hill is just an incestuous, nepotic morass of venal, greedy, corrupt incompetents who do or don’t do whatever is necessary to further their personal financial interests, including bribes both direct and indirect, now or later. Between goldman’s / citi’s rubin, and paulsen, and etc., etc., they’ve pillaged the treasury and aided / abetted / covered up a still extant fraud. Now those who can, do; those who can’t, work for the u.s. government. Who’s the head of enforcement? A goldman man of course. Madoff? House Republicans press SEC on official's ties to Madoff (Washington Post) [ The ultimate subterfuge. Mr. small potatoes madoff the focus of so much influence … yet he’s in jail … and the only one … Boy, did mary shapiro become total b*** s*** fast … the current shibboleth of  capital hill / all 3 branches of pervasively corrupt u.s. government … joining the others: “The Financial Industry Has Become So Politically Powerful That It Is Able To Inhibit the Normal Process of Justice And Law Enforcement” The economy cannot stabilize unless fraud is prosecuted. But the folks in D.C. seem determined to turn a blind eye to Wall Street shenanigans, and is now moving to defund the enforcement agencies like the SEC and CFTC.      Market Crash 2011: It Will Hit by Christmas   Farrell, MarketWatch  SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — ‘Politicians lie. Bankers lie. Yes, they’re liars. But they’re not bad, it’s in their genes, inherited. Their brains are wired that way, warn scientists. Like addicts, they can’t help themselves. They want to sell stuff, get rich…’   Financialization and Our Increasingly Unstable Economy Roche ‘I finally got around to seeing the movie Inside Job, the story behind the credit crisis and winner of the Academy Award for best documentary. It’s very good and I highly recommend it to anyone who hasn’t seen it. It will certainly infuriate you. The movie doesn’t place nearly enough blame on homeowners, but all in all it does an excellent job of showing how Wall Street and government have become overrun by deregulation and sheer greed. A combination of flawed economic theory and greed have combined to create the beast that we now call a “functioning” economy. The worst part of it all is that President Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place. …’  ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]


]  Former general counsel inherited part of a Bernard Madoff account. 

Ethics code urged for Supreme Court  (Washington Post) [  Sounds like a plan! Come on! Wake up! After all, what can you expect from two guidos from ‘jersey (alito and scalia, colloquial – note that I have refrained from using what some might consider disparaging terms as w*p*, gui***s, or da***s … and let me state for the record that I truly loved and respected my grandmother who was 100% Italian/Bari,Italy and as well my grandfather/Lake Como,northern Italy with greek ancestral roots and I thereby claim standing/right to posit the criticism in light of my direct experience. ). How ‘bout starting with enforcing laws as to judges, liars, etc., within the very corrupted american illegal system; and, particularly bribes which in one form or another are rampant . I don’t know about Thomas ( 3-4-11  Throw Clarence Thomas Off the Bench (The Daily Beast)  ) , but I do know about alito and ‘jersey … :                                                                                                                    

October 15, 2010 (*see infra)

 

 

Steven M. Martinez, Assistant Director In Charge
Federal Bureau of Investigation, USDOJ
11000 Wilshire Blvd., Suite 1700

Los Angeles, CA 90024

 

 

Dear Sir:

 

I enclose herewith 3 copies of the within DVD rom autorun disk (which will open in your computer’s browser) as per your office’s request as made this day (the disk and contents have been scanned by Avast, McAfee, and Norton which I’ve installed on my computer to prevent viral attacks / infection and are without threat). I also include 1 copy of the DVD as filed with the subject court as referenced therein (which files are also included on the aforesaid 3 disks in a separate folder named ‘112208opocoan’). The (civil) RICO action (as you’re aware, the RICO Act is a criminal statute which provides a civil remedy, including treble damages and attorney fees, as an incentive for private prosecution of said claims probably owing to the fact that the USDOJ seems somewhat overwhelmed and in need of such assistance given the seriousness and prevalence of said violations of law which have a corrupting influence on the process, and which corruption is pervasive). A grievance complaint against Coan was also filed concurrently with the subject action and held in abeyance pending resolution of the action which was illegally dismissed without any supporting law and in contravention of the Order of The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District Connecticut. The files below the horizontal rule are the referenced documents as filed. (Owing to the damage to the financial interests of both the U.S. and the District of Congresswoman Roybal-Allard, viz., Los Angeles, the Qui Tam provisions of the Federal False Claims Act probably would apply and I would absent resolution seek to refer the within to a firm with expertise in that area of the law with which I am not familiar).

 

 

The document in 5 pages under penalty of perjury I was asked to forward to the FBI office in New Haven is probably the best and most concise summary of the case  RICO Summary to FBI Under Penalty of Perjury at Their Request (5 pages)      [  ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf   http://albertpeia.com/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf          ].

 

 

The correspondence I received from the Congresswoman by way of email attachment (apparent but typical problem with my mail) along with my response thereto is included on the 3 disks as     fbicorrespondencereyes.htm     .   With regard to the calls to the FBI’s LA and New Haven, CT offices: There was one call to the LA office and I was referred to the Long Beach, CA office where I personally met with FBI Agent Jeff Hayes to whom I gave probative evidentiary documents of the money laundering which he confirmed as indicative of same (he was transferred from said office within approximately a month of said meeting and his location was not disclosed to me upon inquiry). The matter was assigned to FBI Agent Ron Barndollar and we remained in touch for in excess of a decade until he abruptly retired (our last conversation prior to his retirement related to the case and parenthetically, Rudy Giuliani whose father I stated had been an enforcer for the mob to which he registered disbelief and requested I prove it, which I did – he served 12 years in prison, aggravated assault/manslaughter? – and no, there is no Chinese wall of separation – Andrew Maloney’s the one that prosecuted gotti).

 

 

In contradistinction to the statement in said correspondence, there is a plethora of information including evidence supporting the claims set forth in the    RICO VERIFIED COMPLAINT    (see infra). Such includes and as set forth in the case, inter alia,

 

 

  1. A judgment had been entered in my favor in the case, United States District Court Case #3:93cv02065(AWT)(USDCJ Alvin Thompson), worth approximately now in excess of $300,000 remains unaccounted for and which could be used for payment to creditors, Los Angeles, etc..
  2. Counsel Robert Sullivan on my behalf documented by way of certification upon investigation that Alan Shiff, USBCJ, had falsely stated a dismissal upon which false statement he predicated a retaliatory and spurious contempt proceeding against me causing substantial damage, and for which he sought Judicial Notice of those and related proceedings as did I in some of my filings.
  3. The Order of Dismissal With Prejudice by Alan Shiff, USBCJ, owing to Defendant Coan’s failure to file anything whatsoever by the court’s deadline causing creditors and me substantial damages:   [  Shiff Order of Dismissal With Prejudice on Coan’s Failure to File        Page 1                Page 2          ]
  4. Defendant Coan had filed an action against me to prevent me from suing him which necessitated me to fly to Connecticut for a hearing before The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District of Connecticut, who denied Coan’s requested relief as to Coan but precluded my action against Shiff (although there is no immunity, judicial or otherwise, for criminal acts, ie., fraud connected with a case under Title 11, USC, etc.) . [   transcript in pertinent part -     crossexamofcoanbypeia.pdf   ]
  5. Newly appointed judge, Maryanne Trump Barry, Donald Trump’s sister, was assigned the RICO case despite the conflict of interest in light of hundreds of thousands of dollars of illegal (drug) money being laundered through the Trump casinos by the RICO defendants, and despite my motion to recuse her which motion she heard herself and denied, and U.S. Trustee Hugh Leonard with whom I met personally refused to join or file a separate motion to recuse and not long thereafter left said office for private practice at Cole, Shotz, et als on retainer with the RICO defendants as his primary client.
  6. Probative and evidentiary documents, affidavits, exhibits, including those turned over to FBI Agent Jeff Hayes in Long Beach, CA, had been given to Assistant U.S. Attorney Jonathan Lacey with whom I met personally at the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Newark, N.J., at which time Samuel Alito was U.S. Attorney, and went over said documents and their probative value with him. Within approximately a month thereafter upon inquiry I was told that Jonathon Lacey was no longer with the office, that the file/documents could not be located, and that there was no further information available concerning contacting him or his location. I thereupon delivered by hand, copies of said documents to the office of then U.S. Attorney Alito, addressed to him, with assurance they would go directly to him. In addition to being inept [ I looked in on the one mob case he had brought, bungled, lost (accidently on purpose?) since I was suing some mob-connected under RICO and the court (I had known / previously met outside of court the judge Ackerman through a client) was absolute bedlam and a total joke since incompetent corrupt Alito brought in all 20 mob defendants (rather than prosecute one or a few to flip them first) who feigning illness had beds/cots in the courtroom along with their moans during testimony and had the jury in stitches. As much as I hate the mob, it truly was funny, if not so tragic.],   Alito is also corrupt (and maybe corrupt because he is inept). After a reasonable (but still rather short) time I called to determine the status and was told that Alito was no longer with the Office of the U.S. Attorney, that he was (appointed) a federal judge, and that neither the documents nor any file or record of same could be located. Alito did parley the same / cover-up into quid pro quo direct lifetime appointment to the Court of Appeals, 3rd circuit, despite the absence of judicial experience or successful tenure as U.S. Attorney (Maryanne Trump Barry as well). This is the same Sam Alito that now sits on the purported highest court in the land. The real application of the illegal rule ‘don’t ask, don’t tell’.

 

 

There is applicable insurance / surety coverage and neither LA, nor creditors, nor I should continue to have been damaged by this brazened corrupt and illegal scenario, which should be resolved in accordance with the meaningful rules of law apposite thereto.

 

 

Sincerely,

 

 

Albert L. Peia

611 E. 5th Street, #404

Los Angeles, CA 90013

(213) 219-**** (cell phone)

(213) 622-3745 (listed land line but there are unresolved problems with the line, computer connection may be the reason but I hesitate to chance greater non-performance / worsening by their ‘fix’ so cell phone best for contact).

  ] Group of law professors' appeal comes after controversies involving travel and appearances at political events by several justices.

 

 

 

Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)     http://www.stansberryresearch.com/pro/1011PSIENDVD/LPSILC43/PR  [ The instant  video from Stansberry and Associates is so well researched  and succinctly presented  that I’ve archived same on my website; also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views I’ve presented on my site which I believe to be correct. This is a must-view, must-see that I strongly recommend!    
The complete url:     http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv  ( 146mb – approx. 1 hr. 17 min. )         http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.mp4    (  374mb  )     Written text of presentation (without pictures  / charts)  http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrypresentation.htm ]

 

 

 

 

 

Krauthammer: What Social Security trust fund? (Washington Post) [ Fraud? Most assuredly! But breathtaking, shocking? Come on! Let’s get real here … paper iou’s (the ‘trust fund’) from pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt, perpetual warster america? I mean, REALLY (as they say on SNL-a joke)...This is the grim economic reality (  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm  ). In Senate's debt debate, talk isn't cheap  spacer(Washington Post) [ Oh, but it is cheap! Very cheap relative to the magnitude of the insurmountable debt … here’s an initial and astute vote of ‘no confidence’ … Drudgereport: World's biggest bond fund dumps all U.S. debt...       Senate still wrangling over spending bill  spacer(Washington Post) [ Few signs of compromise on budget details  spacer(Washington Post) [ Come on … wake up! The cuts they’re quibbling over don’t even cover interest on the national debt!    Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘ ] Senate leaders delayed until Wednesday consideration of a bill to fund the government through Sept. .….  Top Economists: Trust is Necessary for a Stable Economy … But Trust Won’t Be Restored Until We Prosecute Wall Street Fraud Most policy makers still don’t understand the urgent need to restore trust in our financial system, or the need to prosecute Wall Street executives for fraud and other criminal wrongdoing   …..  'Gang of 6' takes deficit fight to public (Washington Post) [  Riiiight! I like that term, gang, as applied to capital hill. Indeed, without exaggeration or sarcasm I posit the realistic existence of government mob, relative to other mob designations as ie., mafia, irish mob, jewish mob, etc., based not on what they say they do but on what they actually do. That now corrupted supreme court of old’s test for obscenity; viz., ‘you know it when you see it’. And, haven’t we been seeing it for quite some time now; the corruption, the corruptibility, the lobbyists, the military industrial complex, the look the other way for the massive frauds on wall street, the bribes in one form or another before or after the fact? The ‘gangs’ should be shouldering the burden first, then come asking those who foolishly trusted them.   Why Social Security is welfare spacer(Washington Post) [ What does it matter what you call it? Part of america’s defacto bankruptcy? Most assuredly (I haven’t even looked at the Bloomberg propaganda piece which by its very title is an insult to intelligence; after all, we all know they can continue to print evermore worthless fiat currency which in reality does not change the ultimate reality of america’s defacto bankruptcy but merely exacerbates while forestalling a realistic assessment of the magnitude of the crisis. The fact is that there are others, culpable in creating this crisis who should be shouldering the burden first; ie., frauds on wall street via prosecution, fines, disgorgement; Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’ ; SEC on the hot seat (Washington Post) [ Oooooh! The capital hill hot seat … shilling for no more than a grilling. House Republicans press SEC on official's ties to Madoff (Washington Post) [ The ultimate subterfuge. Mr. small potatoes madoff the focus of so much influence … yet he’s in jail … and the only one … Boy, did mary shapiro become total b*** s*** fast … the current shibboleth of  capital hill / all 3 branches of pervasively corrupt u.s. government … joining the others: “The Financial Industry Has Become So Politically Powerful That It Is Able To Inhibit the Normal Process of Justice And Law Enforcement” The economy cannot stabilize unless fraud is prosecuted. But the folks in D.C. seem determined to turn a blind eye to Wall Street shenanigans, and is now moving to defund the enforcement agencies like the SEC and CFTC.      Market Crash 2011: It Will Hit by Christmas   Farrell, MarketWatch  SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — ‘Politicians lie. Bankers lie. Yes, they’re liars. But they’re not bad, it’s in their genes, inherited. Their brains are wired that way, warn scientists. Like addicts, they can’t help themselves. They want to sell stuff, get rich…’   Financialization and Our Increasingly Unstable Economy Roche ‘I finally got around to seeing the movie Inside Job, the story behind the credit crisis and winner of the Academy Award for best documentary. It’s very good and I highly recommend it to anyone who hasn’t seen it. It will certainly infuriate you. The movie doesn’t place nearly enough blame on homeowners, but all in all it does an excellent job of showing how Wall Street and government have become overrun by deregulation and sheer greed. A combination of flawed economic theory and greed have combined to create the beast that we now call a “functioning” economy. The worst part of it all is that President Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place. …’  ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]


  

 

Stocks sink amid new economic concerns (Washington Post) [New economic concerns? I don’t think so! The economic concerns certainly aren’t new: This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!But that money/prosperity’s truly down the crapper and into the hands of the ‘perps and friends’ … World's richest are almost $1 trillion richer ( And the other 95% trillions poorer.) … There’s never been a mystery here … just a massive fraud that despite the rhetoric has been purposefully overlooked and unprosecuted …  : “The Financial Industry Has Become So Politically Powerful That It Is Able To Inhibit the Normal Process of Justice And Law Enforcement” The economy cannot stabilize unless fraud is prosecuted. But the folks in D.C. seem determined to turn a blind eye to Wall Street shenanigans, and is now moving to defund the enforcement agencies like the SEC and CFTC.      Market Crash 2011: It Will Hit by Christmas   Farrell, MarketWatch  SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — ‘Politicians lie. Bankers lie. Yes, they’re liars. But they’re not bad, it’s in their genes, inherited. Their brains are wired that way, warn scientists. Like addicts, they can’t help themselves. They want to sell stuff, get rich…’   Financialization and Our Increasingly Unstable Economy Roche ‘I finally got around to seeing the movie Inside Job, the story behind the credit crisis and winner of the Academy Award for best documentary. It’s very good and I highly recommend it to anyone who hasn’t seen it. It will certainly infuriate you. The movie doesn’t place nearly enough blame on homeowners, but all in all it does an excellent job of showing how Wall Street and government have become overrun by deregulation and sheer greed. A combination of flawed economic theory and greed have combined to create the beast that we now call a “functioning” economy. The worst part of it all is that President Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place. …’  ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]

  ] Official opens an investigation into allegations that the agency mishandled potential conflicts of interest in its response to Madoff's Ponzi scheme.

    ]   

spacer

 

 

This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!

 

 

Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’

 

 

 

 

BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Blodget ‘Investors have gotten wildly bullish of late, as the bull market that started in early 2009 keeps driving stocks to new highs. But the pigs are about to get slaughtered, says Bob Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and editor of the Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter still thinks the new bull market is just a cyclical "retracement" of some of the bear market losses that we've had since the market crashed in 2008.  Prechter expected this retracement to drive stocks 50% above the market lows, but stocks have since soared 30% higher than than he expected.  So when the day of reckoning comes, Prechter thinks, it will be even more startling.  And Prechter still thinks that stocks will eventually crash to new bear-market lows (read: below 6,800 on the DOW). What makes Prechter think this day of reckoning may come sooner rather than later? Sentiment indicators and other technical analysis. Investor bullishness has now gotten so extreme, Prechter says, that it has exceeded the levels in 2008 before the market crashed.  Investors could still get even more bullish, of course, but eventually they'll pay for this optimism. And Prechter's not just bearish on stocks: He thinks oil, silver, and other commodities are absurdly overvalued, too.  The only thing he's bullish on is the dollar. And lest he be dismissed as a perma-bear, Bob Prechter is quick to add that he hopes there will come a day when he can come on the show and tell everyone that stocks are finally so crushed and hated that it's a historic opportunity to buy them.  When will that be? Stay tuned...’ The Case for a Bear Market for Stocks  Suttmeier ‘In making a bearish call on the U.S. stock market, I base it on both fundamental and technical factors. The fundamentals show that stocks are overvalued and we have had three ValuEngine Valuation Warnings so far this year. The January warning was ignored by the market but so far stocks peaked with the warning issued on February 18 and re-iterated on March 3. During this period we have seen many days where all 16 sectors have been overvalued, with eight to 11 by double-digit percentages. Today 63.8% of all stocks are overvalued, and all 16 sectors are overvalued, 11 by double-digit percentages…’

 

 

 

 

Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’

 

 

World's richest are almost $1 trillion richer [ And the other 95% trillions poorer. ]

 

 

Utilities Are Warning the Correction Is Here Gayed ‘The utilities sector (IDU) may not be the most fascinating sector of the market to watch, but in many ways can be one of the most important. Legendary technical analyst Edson Gould, known for being one of the best market timers of all time, believed that the performance of utilities was an early indicator for broad market movements. He noted often times that when utilities performed exceptionally well, within a short period of time, markets would experience a period of volatility and declining prices…’

 

 

 

2 Years After the Bottom, the 'Smart Money' Is Selling: "It's a Bit Late to Go Long," Nenner Says Nenner ‘Wednesday's two-year anniversary of the start of the bull market proved anticlimactic as major averages fell slightly. The selling picked up steam early Thursday as renewed concerns about Europe's debt crisis offset any positive impact of falling oil prices.

In recent trading, the Dow and S&P were down about 1.3% each while the Nasdaq was off 1.5%. 

Such lackluster action is likely to continue in the near term, followed by something much worse for the bulls, according to cycle watcher Charles Nenner of the Charles Nenner Research Center.

"I think it's a bit late to go long," Nenner says, suggesting investors should not expect much more upside from stocks. For the near-term, Nenner expects the market to remain within a trading range between 1307 and 1356 on the S&P 500. (The S&P fell below 1307 early Thursday; a close below that level would mean "big trouble," Nenner says in the accompanying video, taped Wednesday afternoon.) 

"We don't intend to go short right now," he says...with "right now" being the operative term.

Looking further out, Nenner is sticking with a forecast of "Dow 5000" over the next three years, a call based partially on his view that deflation remains the primary threat, not inflation. (See: Deflationary Hurricane Will Slam Into U.S. Economy, Charles Nenner Says)

"I would challenge people: ‘how do you get to inflation?'," he says, suggesting wage pressures are the key determinant, not food or energy prices or even Fed policy. "What's clear is that wage demands lead to inflation; people want higher wages and then you get an upside spiral," Nenner says. "People are still happy they have a job, so I don't see any wage inflation, so it means there's no inflation" -- at least not in Europe and the U.S.

The Price of Prognostication

A former market-timing consultant at Goldman Sachs, Nenner has been lauded here and other venues for some of his prescient calls in recent years, most notably:

  • -- Forecasting a Dow peak of 14,500 in the summer of 2006.
  • -- Predicting a "substantial drop" in housing in Aug. 2006.
  • -- Calling the market top in October 2007.
  • -- Forecasting in late 2007 a "deflation scare" would occur in 2008.
  • -- In February 2009, predicted a major rally would start "in a few weeks" and could take the S&P as high as 1000.

But Nenner has had his share of clunkers too, including a forecast here that 2010 would be a grim year for both the economy and the markets. In April 2008 on CNBC, he was bullish about the second half of the year and predicted a return to old highs.

Hopefully Nenner's "Dow 5000" call will be similarly misplaced.

I point out these gaffes not to embarrass or make fun, but to remind viewers that to err is human and everything you see/hear should be taken with a grain of salt...assuming you're not already.

Aaron Task is the host of Tech Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at [email protected]

 

 

 

Market Thrill Ride Ends Badly: Dave's Daily ‘‘Well, this wasn't very nice. When a roller coaster is on pause as Wednesday you know something thrilling is coming next. What spooked the herd anyway? China reported a surprising trade deficit versus an expected surplus due to oil imports; Spain's credit rating was downgraded a notch, Japan's GDP growth estimates were cut; Jobless Claims were higher than expected; shots were fired at Saudi demonstrators; the Libya situation remains a stalemate while major powers dither; and, there was no POMO Thursday. Is that what it takes for a stampede? Markets have been unstable to put it mildly and one of our trusty tech indicators DeMark sequential counts (not to mention DeMark himself) has indicated "trend exhaustion" for some time. This is why we've been light save for our Lazy Portfolios.  [chart] Everything was down today save bonds which rallied on a flight to safety. One might think this ephemeral since "bond daddy" Bill Gross and PIMCO sold all their holdings and yields can't go "much" lower from here. Despite having data from WSJ late enough I can't determine if this was a 10/90 day or not; but, it sure could be. Breadth may was particularly negative and someone no doubt will chime in with a confirmation or not. As is usually the case for big sell days like this, stops get hit and volume builds significantly.’

 

 

SPY's 25-Minute Tumble Sends ETF Back To January Levels  Coleman ‘This started out as a rocky day as China’s trade woes, European sovereign debt concerns and sour job numbers in the U.S. sent stocks falling. As reports emerged of bullets pelting protesters in Saudi Arabia, popular ETFs tracking key benchmarks tumbled.In a 25-minute span, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) fell almost 0.9%, erasing its intra-day high. It rallied for about an hour before losing steam in the last 1.5 hours of the regular session. SPY closed down 1.9% at $129.94 a share, back to levels not seen since January.Perhaps just as alarming, the blue chip tracking ETF fell below its 50-day moving average, a key short-term technical indicator. So did the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA).Now, all eyes are likely to be focused on on the Fed’s policy setting committee meeting next Tuesday. If it decides to keep rates low for an extended period, “the risk of an even deeper pullback increases,” writes Tomi Kilgore in his column today for Dow Jones Newswires.The S&P 500 index closed today at 1295.11. Bears should target the 1225-1230 range, where there was  significant resistance from early November through early December, notes Kilgore. “In addition, the 38.2% retracement–the first significant retracement level for followers of Fibonacci numbers–of the rally off the August low of 1040 to the February high of 1344 is at 1228,” he adds.About the same time as SPY was falling, the U.S. Oil Fund (USO) made a push higher after moving lower in the morning. The ETF’s shares bounced up on heavy volume in the early afternoon to reach an intra-day high around $42.10 a share. But it meandered down the rest of the afternoon. USO closed down 1.6% at $41.40 a share, back to last week’s levels.The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) did much the same as USO, jumping in the afternoon only to slide lower later in the day. But the precious metals ETF did manage a small rally early in the session to reach $138.72 a share. It finished down 1.2% at $137.77 a share, taking the fund back to late February levels.’

 

 

 

Stocks Sharply Lower, Dow's 200-Plus Point Drop Deepest Since August  Midnight Trader ‘4:22 PM, Mar 10, 2011 --

  • NYSE down 179.37 (-2.1%) to 8,200.07
  • DJIA down 228.48 (-1.9%) to 11,985
  • S&P 500 down 24.91 (-1.9%) to 1,295
  • Nasdaq down 50.70 (-1.8%) to 2,701

GLOBAL SENTIMENT

  • Hang Seng down 0.82%
  • Nikkei down 1.46%
  • FTSE down 1.53%

UPSIDE MOVERS
(+) GMCR, SBUX in pack tie-up.
(+) HGSI, GSK gain on FDA approval of lupus drug.
(+) FCEL beats with results.
(+) CBEH beats with results, guidance.
(-) SFD beats with EPS.

DOWNSIDE MOVERS
(-) SCON reports sales drop.
(-) JTX cancels Q3 earnings due to ongoing discussions with creditors.
(-) ARYX to close after FDA delays guidance for study.
(-) PEET downgraded.
(-) UL downgraded.
(-) GM says CFO leaving.
(-) ARMH subject of negative analyst note on tablets.
(-) NTAP downgraded.

MARKET DIRECTION

Stock averages close deeply in the red, as the DJIA has fallen below the 12,000 line and logs its worst drop since early August. Already lower stock trading weakened anew after a report hit saying Saudi Arabian police had opened fire on protesters in the country.

The Associated Press reported news of the police action in the eastern city of Qatif. Witnesses reported gunfire and stun grenades being fired at several hundred protesters, according to the AP.

Earlier, disappointing news on unemployment claims and anxieties about the trade deficit in China and European sovereign debt after a downgrade for Spain's credit rating combined to send global and U.S. stocks lower.

All three major indexes broke through their 50-day moving averages for the first time since the summer and the averages are now lower for the week and month-to-date.

Commodities finished trading lower as crude oil futures ended lower, but pared some early losses amid reports of violence against Saudi Arabian protesters, while gold also finished lower on dollar pressure.

Light, sweet crude oil for April delivery finished down $1.68, or 1.6%, to $102.70 a barrel. In other energy futures, heating oil was down 0.38% to $3.05 a gallon while natural gas was down 2.8% to $3.92 per million British thermal units.

Meanwhile, gold futures ended in the red, paring modest prior-session gains, as the dollar gained strength. Gold for April delivery finished down 1.2% to $1,412.50 an ounce. In other metal futures, silver was down 2.7% to $35.07 a troy ounce while copper traded down $0.01 to $4.20.

The U.S. dollar index (DXY) is up 0.71% to $77.27.

On the U.S. economic front, weekly jobless claims rose by a higher-than-expected 26,000 new claims to 397,000, but the four-week rolling average, which smooths out volatility, is still near a three-year low, the Labor Department reported. According to economists polled by MarketWatch, first-time claims were expected to rise to a seasonally adjusted 378,000 from last week's upwardly revised level of 371,000.

The U.S. trade deficit grew by 15.1% to $46.3 billion, which was wider than economists had predicted. Also, China posted a $7.3 billion trade deficit in February, a surprise to financial markets that had predicted a surplus. Export and import growth slowed sharply, partly due to the impact from the Chinese New Year holiday during the month. China said that its monthly exports in February grew only 2.4% from the year-earlier period, while imports rose 19.4%. The growth represented a sharp slowdown from January.

In company news:

Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR) jumped some 38%, after Starbucks (SBUX), up 8%, says it will produce and sell its coffee and its Tazo brand tea via GMCR's K-Cup portion packs for use in the Keurig single-cup brewing system. The move is in line with the Seattle coffee chain's strategy to expand the reach of its single-cup coffee selections. Last year, SBUX introduced Via Ready Brew single-cup coffee.

Shares of Human Genome Sciences (HGSI) were higher after it and GlaxoSmithKline PLC (GSK) said the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved BENLYSTA to treat adult patients with active, autoantibody-positive systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) who are receiving standard therapy.

Rio Tinto fell after it raised its cash offer for Riversdale Mining to $16.50 per share, up from the $16 offered in December. The higher price is contingent on Rio gaining acceptances from holders of more than half of Riversdale shares by March 23. Rio Tinto, which extended the offer period to April 1, said it would not raise its offer in the absence of a competing offer.

Shares of Jackson Hewitt Tax (JTX) plunged after it cancelled its earnings conference call and webcast in light of ongoing discussions between JTX and lenders under its senior secured credit agreement.

AOL (AOL) fell as Reuters reports that the company will cut about 20% of its global workforce to restructure in a bid to catch up with faster moving rivals, a source close to the company said. More than 900 of the company's 5,000 workers will lose their jobs, Reuters reports. AOL will cut about 400 employees in India, outsource another 300 positions and eliminate 200 jobs in the United States, the story said.

Ingram Micro (IM) gained after saying it has been selected by privately held Acronis to sell, market and support its product suite of data backup and recovery solutions to resellers and managed service providers throughout the Americas. Under the distribution agreement, IM channel partners will have access to a wider range of data protection and business continuity programs for Acronis, which provides backup, recovery and security solutions for physical, virtual and cloud environments.

Superconductor Technologies (SCON) fell after saying it expects to mention concerns about its ability to continue as a going concern due to past losses and negative cash flow, in its upcoming annual filing. It also said Q4 sales fell to $789,000 from $2.2 million a year ago. Net loss per share was $0.11, narrower than the $0.16 loss a year ago.

Smithfield Foods (SFD) gained after it reported 2011 Q3 adjusted EPS of $0.84, up sharply from the year-ago period and handily beating the Thomson Reuters mean analyst estimate for $0.66. Sales rose 10% to $3.2 billion, in line with the Street view. The company said that even though raising costs will increase going forward, low global red meat inventories are supporting a significantly higher live hog futures curve throughout fiscal 2012.’

 

 

 

 

 

Reviewing My Reasons to Book Profits  Suttmeier ‘In the new millennium I’ve made some good market timing calls and some not so good calls. In March 2000, I recommended that investors reduce holdings in NASDAQ stocks by 50%. Then, between July 2002 and October 2002, I was a major bull, and re-iterated that bullish call in March 2003 as our troops marched towards Baghdad. Unfortunately, margin calls forced many of my readers who stayed long to bail-out at the lows.

In June 2005, I called the summer top for the homebuilders. At the end of 2006, I called the top for community banks. In March 2007, I called the top for the regional banks, but was pre-mature on the bearish overall market call, though I stuck to my guns with a re-iteration all the way into October 2007 when I said that the Dow would not sustain gains above 14,000. I was a bear until March 2009, when I called for a 40% to 50% bear market rally.

In 2010, I under-estimated the potential upside to the market, but my stock selection process of “Buy and Trade” limited the extent of this bad call. Starting in September 2010, I shifted to a more balanced market outlook looking for Dow 11,235 by election day, on the Republican victory and QE2. My ValuTrader model portfolio was up 35.2% in 2010, solidly beating the S&P 500. At year end, my call for 2011 has been a Dow top below 12,600.

Reviewing Reasons to Book Profits:

1. The fundamentals showed that stocks were overvalued and we have had three ValuEngine valuation warnings when more than 65% of all stocks are overvalued. The January warning was ignored by the market, but so far stocks peaked with the warning issued on February 18th and re-iterated on March 3rd. During this period, we have seen many days where all sixteen sectors have been overvalued, with eight to eleven by double-digit percentages. The Dow high was 12,391.29 on February 18th.

2. I believe that the Federal Reserve will allow QE2 to end at the end of June and that there will be no QE3. At that meeting the FOMC will remove “extended period” from their statement. The federal funds rate has been zero to 0.25% since December 16, 2008.

3. The weekly chart for the Dow Industrial Average has been overbought since the week of October 9, 2010. Momentum needs to fall below 8.0 and the Dow must have a weekly close below the five-week modified moving average, which ended last week at 12,017. A negative weekly chart confirms the market top.

4. It will be hard to maintain a bull market with European debt issues, African and Middle-East political unrest, problems at US state capitals, and inflationary pressures in China.

5. The housing market remains depressed and community banks remain stressed.

Key Levels for the Major Equity Averages

·         The Dow Industrial Average (12,213) Libya Trading Range: 11,983 to 12,391. My annual value level is 11,491 with a daily pivot at 12,205, and weekly and monthly risky levels at 12,483 and 12,741.

·         The S&P 500 (1320.0) Libya Trading Range: 1294 to 1344. My quarterly value level is 1262.5 with a daily pivot at 1317.0, and weekly and monthly risky levels at 1350.3 and 1381.3.

·         The NASDAQ (2752) Libya Trading Range: 2706 to 2840. My monthly value level is 2629 with a daily pivot at 2745, and weekly, quarterly and monthly risky levels at 2829, 2853 and 2926.

·         The NASDAQ 100 (NDX) (2323) Libya Trading Range: 2285 to 2403. My monthly value level is 2250 with a daily pivot at 2328, and weekly, quarterly, and monthly risky levels at 2398, 2438 and 2499.

·         Dow Transports (5147) Libya Trading Range: 4918 to 5306. My quarterly value level is 4671 with weekly, daily and annual pivots at 5052, 5086 and 5179. The Transports closed below its five-week modified moving average in each of the two weeks with declining momentum, which is a negative weekly chart profile. A close above this week’s five-week at 5111 shifts the weekly chart to neutral.

·         The Russell 2000 (824.66) Libya Trading Range: 795 to 838. My quarterly value level is 765.50 with a daily pivot at 816.86, and weekly, daily and monthly risky levels at 831.09 and 850.79.

·         The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) (447.94) Libya Trading Range: 439 to 474. My monthly value level is 402.46 with a daily pivot at 436.99, and monthly and quarterly pivots at 453.89, 458.32 and 465.93, and weekly risky level at 485.92.

10-Year Note – (3.475) Daily, weekly, annual, and semiannual value levels are 3.544, 3.642, 3.796 and 4.268 with monthly, annual, and semiannual risky levels at, 3.002, 2.690, 2.441, and 2.322.

Comex Gold – ($1429.6) Weekly, annual, quarterly, semiannual and annual value levels are $1385.4, $1356.5, $1331.3, $1300.6 and $1187.2 with monthly and quarterly pivots at $1437.7 and $1441.7, and daily and semiannual risky levels at $1446.3 and $1452.6.

Nymex Crude Oil – ($104.16) Weekly, monthly and semiannual value levels are $97.78, $96.43, and $87.52 with my annual pivots at $99.91 and $101.92, and semiannual, daily and quarterly risky levels are $107.14, $107.24 and $110.87.

The Euro – (1.3904) My quarterly value level is 1.3227 with a daily pivot at 1.4040, and weekly, semiannual and monthly risky levels at 1.4446, 1.4624 and 1.4637.

Daily Dow: (12,213) Annual, quarterly, semiannual, and semiannual value levels are 11,491, 11,395, 10,959, and 9,449 with a daily pivot at 12,205, and weekly, monthly and annual risky levels at 12,484, 12,741 and 13,890.’

 

 

 

 

ETFs React to Jobless Claims and Deficit , On Thursday March 10, 2011, 11:40 am EST ‘Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) dropped Thursday, with the bears in control after data showed rising jobless claims and growing U.S. and Chinese trade deficits.

  • The number of people seeking unemployment benefits rose last week. But the rise comes after applications hit their lowest level in nearly three years and economists expect further declines as the economy improves. Applications increased by 26,000 to a seasonally adjusted 397,000 during the week ended March 5, the Labor Department said Thursday. The four-week average, a less volatile measure, rose to 392,250. The average fell to its lowest level since July 2008 two weeks ago. The latest report covers the week after the Presidents’ Day holiday, when many government offices were closed. Applications usually rise in weeks following holiday-shortened weeks. The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEArca:DIA) is down 1.5% in morning trading.
  • A surge in oil prices helped push imports up at the fastest pace in 18 years in January, giving the country the largest trade deficit in six months. The Commerce Department said Thursday the January deficit increased 15.1 percent to $46.3 billion. Exports rose 2.7 percent to an all-time high of $167.7 billion. But imports rose a faster 5.2 percent to $214.1 billion. That reflected a big jump in America’s foreign oil bill, underscoring concerns that surging oil prices could slow the economic recovery. A widening trade deficit hurts the U.S. economy. When imports outpace exports, more jobs go to foreign workers than to U.S. workers. The Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3x Shares ETF (NYSEArca:ERY) rose over 9% in early trading.
  • Europe’s leading stock markets retreated Thursday as euro zone debt fears sparked by a credit downgrade to Spain overshadowed news of positive company earnings, traders said. “Markets are taking another pasting … mainly on the back of Spain getting downgraded by Moody’s,” said Spreadex trader Chris Purdy . The markets are looking at higher oil prices and the continued concern over European debt. The iShares S&P Europe 350 Index ETF (NYSEArca:IEV) is down approximately 2% today.
  • Asian shares declined Thursday as escalating fighting in Libya and China’s unexpected trade deficit for February sparked a sell-off in the region. The fall in Shanghai came after the country posted a $7.3 billion trade deficit in February, compared with expectations of a surplus, as exports and imports growth slowed sharply, bearing the impact from the Chinese New Year holidays during the month. “One thing we are more certain about is that China’s trade surplus is most likely to decline at a faster rate than anyone expected this year… A much smaller trade surplus means that the external pressure on yuan appreciation would be less,” said Wei Yao, China economist at Societe Generale in Hong Kong .  iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index (NYSEArca:FXI) is down this morning about 1.3%.

Gregory A. Clay contributed to this article.’

 

 

 

 

Deja Vu - Nasdaq Breaks 50 Day Moving Average  Trader Mark ‘Let's try this again - we just had this conversation Monday. The NASDAQ (QQQQ) - yet again - has broken the 50 day moving average, although today's move is more impressive than the last occurrences as it was a gap down situation. Hence, no part of today's range in the index has been above the 50 day moving average. When this break of support happened early afternoon Monday, the NASDAQ turned on a dime and rallied 1% in just over 2 hours.

[chart]

(Click charts to expand)

As I state constantly, what matters is the CLOSING price, not the intraday price, BUT today's action is not looking prone to a 'stick save' situation (late day rally) as we saw the other times this happened the past few weeks. Hence I would be quite surprised if 'dip buyers' were bailed out today. As for 'da bears' - they want to see a close below 2730 on NASDAQ.

The S&P 500 (SPY) has come down to sniff the 50 day moving average as well, but the NASDAQ has been the indicator of where the bulls charge in the past few weeks so I'll keep a closer eye there. Obviously a close below 1294 on this index would be a double whammy. That would be both a close below the 50 day moving average AND a close below the intraday low of 2 weeks ago.

[chart]


No place for heroes here - I continue to stress caution and de-risking. Remember, we have major air pockets below these key supports since the rally has been so vicious and shorts eviscerated for half a year; therefore they are not going to provide the natural support as in a normal market when they cover.

It is fun to see a 2 way market once again - first time since November.’

 

 

 

Ex-Goldman Sachs Analyst: “Major War” Coming End Of 2012 Paul Joseph Watson | Massive conflict will prompt stock market collapse, predicts cycle strategist Nenner.

 

 

QE 3 and the Coming Rout Chris Martenson | There’s a scenario that could play out between May and September.

 

 

Oil prices drop before US data, Saudi protests AFP | Traders kept a wary eye ahead of US data and planned protests in oil kingpin Saudi Arabia.

 

 

Faber: Oil will go up ‘ballistically’ if unrest shifts to Saudi Arabia Business Intelligence Middle East | Marc Faber sees oil prices extending their bull run despite the 15% run-up this year alone.

 

 

Jobless Claims in the U.S. Rose 26,000 Last Week to 397,000 Bloomberg | First-time claims for jobless benefits rose last week from an almost three-year low.

 

8 Reasons Why Silver Is the Investment of the Decade If there’s one asset that’s heated up over the last several months amid tensions in the middle east and a second round of the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing, it’s silver.

 

Should We Be Alarmed That The Biggest Bond Fund In The World Has Dumped All Of Their U.S. Treasury Bonds? Bill Gross, the manager of the biggest bond fund in the world, has forgotten more about bonds than most of us will ever learn. That is why the big move that PIMCO has just made is so unsettling.

 

Bernanke Tries To Explain Why A Ponzi Scheme Is A Perfectly Acceptable System For Post Civil-War America, Fails The following exchange between Ben Bernanke and Senator Kirk is a must watch for everyone who wonders how Ben Bernanke justifies the fact that America is now an open Ponzi scheme.

 

Gasoline cost to jump $700 for average household U.S. drivers will pay another 10 cents a gallon for gasoline before the latest jump in wholesale costs is fully passed on at the pump, and yearly motor fuel costs will rise 28 percent from last year, the Energy Department said on Wednesday.

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

Ex-Goldman Sachs Analyst: “Major War” Coming End Of 2012 Paul Joseph Watson | Massive conflict will prompt stock market collapse, predicts cycle strategist Nenner.

 

Bob Bowman: Star Wars Secrets & Lies Paul Joseph Watson | Former head of SDI blows the whistle on the militarization of space.

 

Stealing from Social Security to Pay for Wars and Bailouts Paul Craig Roberts | The government of the United States does not represent the American people. It represents the oligarchs.

 

Doctors Report Bahrain Using Nerve Gas On Demonstrators Kurt Nimmo | Bahraini PM states the monarchy is permitted to use chemical weapons against its citizens.

 

Egyptian Revolution? Globalists Own Both Horses In Two Horse Race Paul Joseph Watson | Welcome to “democracy,” new world order style.

 

 

Ex-Goldman Sachs Analyst: “Major War” Coming End Of 2012 When cycle forecaster Charles Nenner told the Fox Business network yesterday that the Dow Jones was set to collapse to the 5,000 level on the back of a “major war” that will shake the globe at the end of 2012, hosts David Asman and Elizabeth MacDonald sat in stunned silence.

 

Oil Trims Losses After Saudi Police Fire On Protesters Crude-oil futures pared losses Thursday after reports Saudi police opened fire at protesters in the eastern city of Qatif.

 

Congressman: TSA “Cooked The Books” To Discourage Use Of Private Security Contractors In Airports The chairman of the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee has charged that the TSA intentionally fixed data to ensure that federal workers were employed to screen airport passengers, rather than private contractors.

 

Two Fresh TSA Gropedown Videos: Pregnant Woman pulled aside, TSA Thugs Block Man From Filming Wife Being Groped Two new videos taken by concerned Americans accosted by the TSA in airports. The first shows a pregnant woman being groped by an officer. The second shows TSA agents blocking a man from recording TSA agents touching his wife, even after a supervisor had overruled them and said the man had the right to film.

 

Bob Bowman: Star Wars Secrets & Lies Robert M. Bowman, a former Director of Advanced Space Programs Development for the U.S. Air Force in the Ford and Carter administrations has been targeted with death threats, government harassment and three tax audits in two years as a consequence of his bold truth-telling activism, which all started when he blew the whistle on the fact that Reagan’s Star Wars program was an offensive act of military conquest in space and a means of waging aggressive pre-emptive warfare, disguised as a defensive program.

 

 

 

Saudi police open fire on demonstrators MSNBC.com | Word of the protest helped drive oil prices back up on international markets.

 

 

 

Qaddafi’s Son Says It’s Time For Full-Scale Military Action Qaddafi’s son Saif Al-Islam says the time has come for full-scale military action against the rebels, in an interview with Reuters. While France says Libya’s rebel national council is the only legitimate representative of the country, and will seek to engage in targeted airsrtikes.

 

Three BBC journalists ‘detained and beaten’ in Libya Three BBC journalists were “detained and beaten” before being subjected to a mock execution while reporting in battle-torn Libya, the news organisation reported Wednesday.

 

 

 

Drudgereport : SARKOZY, CAMERON TAKE CHARGE ON LIBYA...
HILLARY: U.S. should wait for world to act...
Top U.S. Spy: GADHAFI WILL PREVAIL...
LIBYA BURNS AS NATO SQUABBLES
Ill. Gov. Slaps Tax on Internet Sales...
Targets AMAZON...
Major ad firm threatens to leave state...
Part of growing battle in cash-starved states...
OBAMA: I was bullied…[Maybe that accounts for his precarious mental state and compulsive need to b*** s***… he’s so pathetic!]...
Michelle Obama Sports $1,000 Handbag… (the wobamas are such jive-tallkers) ...
Gang Rape of 11-Year-Old Girl Sparks Racial Tensions in Texas Town…[ People are tired of soft-peddling and making up excuses for blacks panthers as with the holder department of injustice…This is very commonplace in Sub-Saharan Africa. ]...

Gas Prices Up 67% Since Obama President...
Elite journalist club bans CSPAN from covering Obama at posh dinner...
Jesse Jackson: We're 'Going To Escalate The Protests'...
Wisc. lawmakers curb public worker bargaining power...

Pandemonium in Wisc as protesters storm Capitol over union vote...
[
Wis. Senate strips workers' bargaining rights     Vote by Republicans bypasses chamber's missing Democrats  (Washington Post) [ Drudgereport: Drudge is reporting, and I think Charlie Sheen would agree, that in Wisconsin, the GOP is … duh … winning … and conversely, the dems / unions are … duh … losers, trolls, etc… just kidding …] 

World's biggest bond fund dumps all U.S. debt...

UNIONS LOSE IN WI

WI GOP pushes through union bill...
'ENOUGH IS ENOUGH'...
Gov. Walker applauds...
DEMS SCRAMBLE BACK...

SHOCK: 82% of US schools 'failing'...
Gasoline cost to jump $700 for avg household...
Libya Tanks Move In To Crush Rebel Stronghold...

Carnage in Rebel City...
FOOTAGE: Libyan war plane shot down...
Obama, Cameron discuss plan of action...
Hoyer: No Balanced Budget for 15-20 Years 'We've Dug Such a Deep Hole'...
FLASHBACK: Larger Than Entire 2007 Deficit...

Treasury Draws Down Cash Balance...
FEBRUARY DEFICIT: $223 BILLION
FRESHMAN DEM. SENATOR: OBAMA HAS 'FAILED TO LEAD'...
Mayors to Unions: 'Dire fiscal straits' without 'dramatic' changes...

Anger Brews Over Government Workers' Benefits...
UNREST IN THE MIDWEST: Now Michigan...
WELFARE NATION: ONE-THIRD OF ALL WAGES ARE HANDOUTS...
ROMNEY: Obama Misery Index hits record high...
OPEC VOWS NEW PUMPING...

OIL HOLDS NEAR $105...
Roubini: Will Hit $150...
Sheen: 'I'm really starting to lose my mind'...
In what appears to be a 180 degree turn around from his daily proclamations of having “tiger’s blood” and “Adonis DNA,” Charlie Sheen admitted “I’m really starting to lose my mind” in the new issue of “Life & Style.”

 

 

 

 


U.N. alarmed by surge in civilian casualties in Afghanistan spacer(Washington Post) [ No, gates has already addressed that … minor setbacks, says he …  Turmoil jars U.S. counter-terror efforts spacer(Washington Post) [ Now how does this come as a surprise to anyone? Beyond america’s propaganda machine, orwellian england, etc., just how do think the war crimes, invasions, pillaging and plundering, and killing of innocent children, women, and men by pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america et als for the sake of the u.s. military military complex are viewed by the rest of the world, and particularly the subject region. Euphemistically but realistically speaking, ‘not good’! …  Gates says killing of Afghan boys a "setback" (Reuters) [Ah, yes, riiiiight! … that’s what it is, alright…just a setback…I see.  ]   Gates: US military to stay in Afghanistan  US Defense Secretary Robert Gates, who is on a surprise visit to Afghanistan, says the American military should stay in the conflict-riddled country despite the rising human costs.     Violent spring looming in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ See … something to look forward to … must be that good news that keeps getting pushed back … and spring no less … everything bombing blooming or in war criminal american-speak … ‘booming’ … but not the defacto bankrupt american economy for which a crash is ‘looming’. Could somebody help me out with a translation of gates’ speech a west point … I must be missing something … Lt. Gen. John Kelly, who lost son to war, says U.S. largely unaware of sacrifice (Washington Post) [ I disagree! They are very much aware; as they stand in unemployment lines, use food stamps to get by, etc.. I hate to sound cavalier and I’m sorry that Kelly lost a son to war, but along with the multitude of civilians in the nations unlucky enough to provide a source of corporate welfare to the military industrial complex and war profiteering for the few (as warned against by President General Eisenhower), they died for nothing, for no good reason beyond the false propaganda.  Six NATO troops killed in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ Is there something wrong with the following picture? … am I missing something?       Gates's warning: Avoid land war in Asia, Middle East, and Africa Christian Science Monitor - In a speech to cadets at the United States Military Academy at West Point, Gates's message was clear: The US military services, as well as the elected and appointed civilians who send them to war, need better ways of foreseeing and preparing for ...     Gates Tells US Army to Take New Approach Voice of America    Warning Against Wars Like Iraq and Afghanistan New York Times  [ Better said, than unsaid; but, methinks a bit late for that in light of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s consummate decline and fall! If only they had listened and not shot at the messenger … things could have been different!    ]     ]  American military officials expect that the Taliban will mount a campaign to regain ground lost to U.S. troops last year and use suicide bombing teams to strike at those associated with the Afghan government or coalition forces.   ]

 

 

U.N. confirms probe into allegations of torture by Gaddafi's forces spacer(Washington Post) [ Well we all know how effective the u.n. has  been in enforcing the mandate against torture / war crimes in light of their stern rebuke / sanctions / action against the u.s. / israel … riiiiight!  http://albertpeia.com/evilonthetarmac.htm    ]

 

Dispute threatens trade agenda spacer(Washington Post) [  Agenda? What agenda? Come on! A cursory look at the consistent and persistent trade numbers and one must conclude that they’d safe some face and be thought of just a wee bit better than worse than bad if they stated they have no agenda. My computer is under constant hack-attack and truth be told, I’ll be going linux / non-windows with my next ‘non-american’ made computer (this dell just can’t hack the hacks / barrage). Let’s not kid ourselves, there is nothing ‘made in america’ (even most components of ‘domestic’ products are made overseas) that can’t be made elsewhere better and cheaper except for the ubiquitous fraud for which pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america has no peer…

Taxpayers caught in middle of Fannie lawsuit  spacer(Washington Post) What could be worse than taxpayers paying more than $100 million to defend a shareholder-owned company and its former executives in a private lawsuit?  [  What could be worse? Not prosecuting the massive wall street frauds in the trillions with jail, fines, and disgorgement the goal.….  Top Economists: Trust is Necessary for a Stable Economy … But Trust Won’t Be Restored Until We Prosecute Wall Street Fraud Most policy makers still don’t understand the urgent need to restore trust in our financial system, or the need to prosecute Wall Street executives for fraud and other criminal wrongdoing   …..  'Gang of 6' takes deficit fight to public (Washington Post) [  Riiiight! I like that term, gang, as applied to capital hill. Indeed, without exaggeration or sarcasm I posit the realistic existence of government mob, relative to other mob designations as ie., mafia, irish mob, jewish mob, etc., based not on what they say they do but on what they actually do. That now corrupted supreme court of old’s test for obscenity; viz., ‘you know it when you see it’. And, haven’t we been seeing it for quite some time now; the corruption, the corruptibility, the lobbyists, the military industrial complex, the look the other way for the massive frauds on wall street, the bribes in one form or another before or after the fact? The ‘gangs’ should be shouldering the burden first, then come asking those who foolishly trusted them.   Why Social Security is welfare spacer(Washington Post) [ What does it matter what you call it? Part of america’s defacto bankruptcy? Most assuredly (I haven’t even looked at the Bloomberg propaganda piece which by its very title is an insult to intelligence; after all, we all know they can continue to print evermore worthless fiat currency which in reality does not change the ultimate reality of america’s defacto bankruptcy but merely exacerbates while forestalling a realistic assessment of the magnitude of the crisis. The fact is that there are others, culpable in creating this crisis who should be shouldering the burden first; ie., frauds on wall street via prosecution, fines, disgorgement; Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’ ; SEC on the hot seat (Washington Post) [ Oooooh! The capital hill hot seat … shilling for no more than a grilling. House Republicans press SEC on official's ties to Madoff (Washington Post) [ The ultimate subterfuge. Mr. small potatoes madoff the focus of so much influence … yet he’s in jail … and the only one … Boy, did mary shapiro become total b*** s*** fast … the current shibboleth of  capital hill / all 3 branches of pervasively corrupt u.s. government … joining the others: “The Financial Industry Has Become So Politically Powerful That It Is Able To Inhibit the Normal Process of Justice And Law Enforcement” The economy cannot stabilize unless fraud is prosecuted. But the folks in D.C. seem determined to turn a blind eye to Wall Street shenanigans, and is now moving to defund the enforcement agencies like the SEC and CFTC.      Market Crash 2011: It Will Hit by Christmas   Farrell, MarketWatch  SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — ‘Politicians lie. Bankers lie. Yes, they’re liars. But they’re not bad, it’s in their genes, inherited. Their brains are wired that way, warn scientists. Like addicts, they can’t help themselves. They want to sell stuff, get rich…’   Financialization and Our Increasingly Unstable Economy Roche ‘I finally got around to seeing the movie Inside Job, the story behind the credit crisis and winner of the Academy Award for best documentary. It’s very good and I highly recommend it to anyone who hasn’t seen it. It will certainly infuriate you. The movie doesn’t place nearly enough blame on homeowners, but all in all it does an excellent job of showing how Wall Street and government have become overrun by deregulation and sheer greed. A combination of flawed economic theory and greed have combined to create the beast that we now call a “functioning” economy. The worst part of it all is that President Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place. …’  ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]

  ] Official opens an investigation into allegations that the agency mishandled potential conflicts of interest in its response to Madoff's Ponzi scheme.

 ] Here is how I define a welfare program.

] While Washington bickers noisily over cutting a small slice of the federal budget, Sens. Mark Warner, a Virginia Democrat, and Saxby Chambliss, a Georgia Republican, launch a campaign to convince the public that merely cutting spending will do little to tame the $14 trillion national debt.

   ]

 

 ] A battle over a proposed free-trade agreement with Colombia is undercutting U.S.'s pact with South Korea

 

 

In Senate's debt debate, talk isn't cheap  spacer(Washington Post) [ Oh, but it is cheap! Very cheap relative to the magnitude of the insurmountable debt … here’s an initial and astute vote of ‘no confidence’ … Drudgereport: World's biggest bond fund dumps all U.S. debt...       Senate still wrangling over spending bill  spacer(Washington Post) [ Few signs of compromise on budget details  spacer(Washington Post) [ Come on … wake up! The cuts they’re quibbling over don’t even cover interest on the national debt!    Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘ ] Senate leaders delayed until Wednesday consideration of a bill to fund the government through Sept.

 

 

Wis. Senate strips workers' bargaining rights     Vote by Republicans bypasses chamber's missing Democrats  (Washington Post) [ Drudgereport: Drudge is reporting, and I think Charlie Sheen would agree, that in Wisconsin, the GOP is … duh … winning … and conversely, the dems / unions are … duh … losers, trolls, etc… just kidding … 

 

Drudgereport: World's biggest bond fund dumps all U.S. debt...

UNIONS LOSE IN WI

WI GOP pushes through union bill...
'ENOUGH IS ENOUGH'...
Gov. Walker applauds...
DEMS SCRAMBLE BACK...

SHOCK: 82% of US schools 'failing'...
Gasoline cost to jump $700 for avg household...
Libya Tanks Move In To Crush Rebel Stronghold...

Carnage in Rebel City...
FOOTAGE: Libyan war plane shot down...
Obama, Cameron discuss plan of action...
Hoyer: No Balanced Budget for 15-20 Years 'We've Dug Such a Deep Hole'...
FLASHBACK: Larger Than Entire 2007 Deficit...

Treasury Draws Down Cash Balance...
FEBRUARY DEFICIT: $223 BILLION
FRESHMAN DEM. SENATOR: OBAMA HAS 'FAILED TO LEAD'...
Mayors to Unions: 'Dire fiscal straits' without 'dramatic' changes...

Anger Brews Over Government Workers' Benefits...
UNREST IN THE MIDWEST: Now Michigan...
WELFARE NATION: ONE-THIRD OF ALL WAGES ARE HANDOUTS...
ROMNEY: Obama Misery Index hits record high...
OPEC VOWS NEW PUMPING...

OIL HOLDS NEAR $105...
Roubini: Will Hit $150...
Sheen: 'I'm really starting to lose my mind'...
In what appears to be a 180 degree turn around from his daily proclamations of having “tiger’s blood” and “Adonis DNA,” Charlie Sheen admitted “I’m really starting to lose my mind” in the new issue of “Life & Style.” The recently fired “Two and a Half Men” star also reveals his desperation to regain custody of his two young twin sons, Bob and Max.

ARTICLE: Charlie Sheen Attacks Jon Cryer.

“She can’t keep them from me,” Sheen says of his estranged wife, Brooke Mueller. “I won’t let her—I’ll do anything to get them back.”Sheen, 45, who has made four disturbing live web broadcasts from his compound in Sherman Oaks, CA, admits that even his lawyer, Marty Singer, has expressed concern about him.

PHOTOS: Charlie Sheen's Long List of Lady Friends.

“My lawyer wants to come over to my house and take the bullets out of my gun," he told the magazine.A party pal of Charlie’s tells the magazine, "It's crazy over here at the house—Charlie's losing it. He's really mad about the show, and dealing with the kids and Brooke is getting to be too much. Charlie is a ticking time bomb, and we all fear he could do something drastic like committing suicide or falling back on hard drugs."

ARTICLE: 'Tiger Blood' Drink Goes On Sale.

Sheen, who appeared on a Beverly Hills rooftop Monday, brandishing a machete, realizes that his bizarre behavior has many concerned."I'm really trying to contain myself right now," he said.

ARTICLE: 'Men' Co-Star Is Sheen's Lone Defender.

If that's true, he's not doing a good a job of it, because Sheen widened his list of targets to include his former "Two and a Half Men" co-star, Jon Cryer, on Tuesday.Cryer had managed to stay out of the fray during Sheen's fall from grace at CBS, but his luck ran out.

ARTICLE: Can 'Two and a Half Men' Survive? Just Ask 'Three's Company.'

"Jon has not called me. He's a turncoat, a traitor, a troll. Clearly he's a troll," Sheen told E! News. "He issued a statement. Is it gonna take me calling him a 'traitor, juvenile and scared' for him to get it?"Cryer has actually not issued an official statement since Sheen was fired from the hit CBS sitcom “Two-And-A-Half Men” on Monday. But he may want to issue one now, because Sheen has not stopped ranting about his enemies since his dismissal, and once you are on his crosshairs, it seems you never escape.

ARTICLE: Sheen's Kids Could Be Next on Reality Show.

Tuesday night was the latest case in point, as Sheen blasted his list of hated CBS executives one by one with yet another nonsensical, barely decipherable scripted screed on Ustream. "A high treason has occurred. The scales of justice are in a state of radical disarray. Together we must right this infantile wrong… What happened yesterday was completely and entirely illegal, unconscionable and to quote my lawyer 'really shi**y shi**y suck suck'," Sheen, the self-proclaimed “Malibu Messiah,” said before launching into a strange diatribe in his fourth "Sheen's Korner" webcast, in which he saved his most savage attacks for producer Chuck Lorre – calling him everything from a “silly clown,” to “little worm” and “loser.”


Read more: http://entertainment.blogs.foxnews.com/2011/03/09/charlie-sheen-tells-magazine-im-really-starting-to-lose-my-mind/#ixzz1GA8oolSk  

 

 

 

Gaddafi forces engage in fierce battle   Regime loyalists in Libya mount assaults to reclaim ground  spacer(Washington Post) [ 41 years in power … Hey, when interviewed by Charlie Sheen on SNL he seemed rather spry …

Sheen's-Korner, Ustream.TV  You're either in Sheen's-Korner or you're with the trolls...   [and the big question is which trolls … the pat_trolls, the con_trolls, the troll_eys, the troll_ups, etc.? ]                http://www.ustream.tv/charliesheen         Archived Web Site File:     http://www.albertpeia.com/Sheen's-Korner,Ustream.TVYou'reeitherinSheen's-Korneroryou'rewiththetrolls.flv  (448mb)   (for whatever reason, this file did not open properly in my somewhat older player and I didn’t have time to download another to determine if the problem is with the viewer or the file, but will, and will indicate the result here.  )  

 

Here’s SNL’s take on the Sheen webcast  [ This was the first time I’d seen Miley Cyrus in anything and I must say she is truly a star, albeit a very precocious one; this SNL was absolutely hilarious across the board! ]

http://www.saturday-night-live.com

 

 

Part of the webcast:     www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIx4_t26AAs

 

 With neither side able to muster overwhelming force, the result appeared to be a bloody stalemate, with the death tolls rising in both east and west.Intense international deliberations come as troops loyal to Gaddafi continue to besiege the rebel-held city of Zawiyah, 27 miles west of Tripoli.] The vote comes after a maneuver by GOP members that split the proposal to curtail union rights from legislation requiring a quorum.

 

 

 

 

This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!

 

 

Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’

 

 

 

 

BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Blodget ‘Investors have gotten wildly bullish of late, as the bull market that started in early 2009 keeps driving stocks to new highs. But the pigs are about to get slaughtered, says Bob Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and editor of the Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter still thinks the new bull market is just a cyclical "retracement" of some of the bear market losses that we've had since the market crashed in 2008.  Prechter expected this retracement to drive stocks 50% above the market lows, but stocks have since soared 30% higher than than he expected.  So when the day of reckoning comes, Prechter thinks, it will be even more startling.  And Prechter still thinks that stocks will eventually crash to new bear-market lows (read: below 6,800 on the DOW). What makes Prechter think this day of reckoning may come sooner rather than later? Sentiment indicators and other technical analysis. Investor bullishness has now gotten so extreme, Prechter says, that it has exceeded the levels in 2008 before the market crashed.  Investors could still get even more bullish, of course, but eventually they'll pay for this optimism. And Prechter's not just bearish on stocks: He thinks oil, silver, and other commodities are absurdly overvalued, too.  The only thing he's bullish on is the dollar. And lest he be dismissed as a perma-bear, Bob Prechter is quick to add that he hopes there will come a day when he can come on the show and tell everyone that stocks are finally so crushed and hated that it's a historic opportunity to buy them.  When will that be? Stay tuned...’ The Case for a Bear Market for Stocks  Suttmeier ‘In making a bearish call on the U.S. stock market, I base it on both fundamental and technical factors. The fundamentals show that stocks are overvalued and we have had three ValuEngine Valuation Warnings so far this year. The January warning was ignored by the market but so far stocks peaked with the warning issued on February 18 and re-iterated on March 3. During this period we have seen many days where all 16 sectors have been overvalued, with eight to 11 by double-digit percentages. Today 63.8% of all stocks are overvalued, and all 16 sectors are overvalued, 11 by double-digit percentages…’

 

 

 

 

Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’

 

 

World's richest are almost $1 trillion richer [ And the other 95% trillions poorer. ]

 

 

Utilities Are Warning the Correction Is Here Gayed ‘The utilities sector (IDU) may not be the most fascinating sector of the market to watch, but in many ways can be one of the most important. Legendary technical analyst Edson Gould, known for being one of the best market timers of all time, believed that the performance of utilities was an early indicator for broad market movements. He noted often times that when utilities performed exceptionally well, within a short period of time, markets would experience a period of volatility and declining prices.

The theory behind utilities' performance as it relates to the S&P 500 (IVV) does have a logic behind it. Because utility companies in general are local monopolies which have high infrastructure costs, most tend to have high levels of debt and are thus especially sensitive to intermediate/long-term interest rates. Growth in revenue is not the primary source of profits, but rather costs are.

What this means is that fundamental investors in utilities would really put money to work in the sector if they expected interest rates to fall, because that lowered cost of capital would benefit profits in a substantial way. Thus, the outperformance of utilities against the broader market is because of expectation that interest rates fall (the yield curve flattens).

So while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA), the S&P 500 (IVV), and particularly the Russell 2000 (IWM) have all gone effectively nowhere in price with high volatility, the utilities sector has consistenly been up more/down less on those big up and big down days we've been experiencing. Take a look below at the price ratio of utilities (IDU) to the Dow (DIA). As a reminder, a rising price ratio means the numerator/IDU is outperforming (up more/down less) the denominator.

Click to enlarge:

[chart]

The message from utilties investors is clear: Expect lower long interest rates in the near future. And since interest rates and the yield curve are a leading indicator of the economy and the broad stock market, we may very well be in the early stages of a correction.’

 

 

 

Market Thrill Ride Continues: Dave's Daily   ‘Within most thrill rides there can be a pause before the next level of excitement whether it's a climb or hitting the next big drop. Markets Wednesday ran out of steam despite ongoing MENA [Middle East and North Africa] violence and oil disruptions. Crude oil was fractionally lower due to an inventory build but that's really old news. Iraqi production was rumored as halted and Libyan oil is not flowing. Tech remains weak especially after disasters for fiber optic leaders like FNSR, CIEN and JDSU. Also semi's remained down and SMH broke its 50 day MA. The Fed wasn't idle as more POMO was released to Da Boyz who didn't do much with it...yet. As an aside our contractor stopped by today and was bemoaning gas prices. His wife works for a local Ford dealer and they had a huge January but now sales have stopped. Such is the impact of higher fuel prices. Volume came in about average on the day while breadth per the WSJ was mixed to negative.’



 

 

STOCKS SLIDE, TECH HAMMERED, COPPER CRUSHED: Here's What You Need To Know ‘Yesterday was up, so today was down. That's the way this market is behaving right now.

But first, the scoreboard:

Dow:  -0.38
NASDAQ: -14.73
S&P 500: -1.63

And now, the top stories:

  • Going back a bit, remember that yesterday was a big up day for stocks. However, the mood was negative after hours after some ugly numbers form Finisar and Texas Instruments.
  • Overnight, things were fairly quiet, except that Eurozone spreads continue to blow out.
  • In the end, tech was the worst loser, thanks to those tech earnings. Copper got really hammered (quite ominously), and oil even fell a little bit.
  • Today was the 2-year anniversary of the 2009 bottom.’

 

 

 

 

The Case for a Bear Market for Stocks  Suttmeier ‘In making a bearish call on the U.S. stock market, I base it on both fundamental and technical factors. The fundamentals show that stocks are overvalued and we have had three ValuEngine Valuation Warnings so far this year. The January warning was ignored by the market but so far stocks peaked with the warning issued on February 18 and re-iterated on March 3. During this period we have seen many days where all 16 sectors have been overvalued, with eight to 11 by double-digit percentages. Today 63.8% of all stocks are overvalued, and all 16 sectors are overvalued, 11 by double-digit percentages.

ValuEngine provides valuation, forecast, and ratings data for a universe of more than 5,500 stocks. When more than 65% of all stocks are calculated to be overvalued, we issue a ValuEngine Valuation Warning. We do this because in the past this level of overvaluation has often been correlated with market corrections and downturns. Conversely when more than 65% of all stocks are undervalued additional weakness provides buying opportunities. On March 5, 2009 the percentage of undervalued stocks reached 91%.

The technical factors ignore the daily charts as timing a cycle high requires confirmation from the weekly charts and having risky levels from my proprietary analytics to judge how high markets can go before they top out. Right now the major averages are stuck in want I call the "Libya Trading Ranges," which are the February 18 highs down to the February 24 lows. The weekly chart profiles are positive, but overbought for all major averages except Dow Transports. To confirm a cycle high, all major averages must have weekly closes below their five-week modified moving averages with weekly 12x3x3 weekly slow stochastic readings declining below 8.0 on a scale of zero to 10.0.

This dynamic is being delayed as the major equity averages straddle their 50-day simple moving averages. The Dow Industrial Average and S&P 500 have been above their 50-day since December 1. They're now at 11,967 Dow and 1298.81 S&P 500. The NASDAQ and NASDAQ 100 have tested their 50-day several times since February 23, six days for the NASDAQ with the 50-day now at 2742.35 and four days for the NASDAQ 100 with the 50-day now at 2314.18. The Russell 2000 tested and held its 50-day on February 22 and February 23 and today the 50-day is 802.42. The Philadelphia Semiconductor index tested and held its 50-day the past two days at 444.47 and has been above the 50-day since September 24. Dow Transports has been below its 50-day since February 22 and has been tested as resistance twice, and closed above 5111 yesterday. A weekly close above the five-week shifts Transports to neutral delaying the market top.

Key Levels for the Major Equity Averages

  • The Dow Industrial Average (12,214) Libya Trading Range: 11,983 to 12,391. My annual value level is 11,491 with daily, weekly and monthly risky levels at 12,249, 12,483 and 12,741. The five-week modified moving average has been tested in each of the past three weeks and this week the average is 12,060.
  • The S&P 500 (1321.8) Libya Trading Range: 1294 to 1344. My quarterly value level is 1262.5 with daily, weekly and monthly risky levels at 1331.2, 1350.3 and 1381.3. The five-week modified moving average has been tested in each of the past three weeks and this week the average is 1307.
  • The NASDAQ (2766) Libya Trading Range: 2706 to 2840. My monthly value level is 2629 with daily, weekly, quarterly and monthly risky levels at 2798, 2829, 2853 and 2926. The NASDAQ traded below its five-week modified moving average in each of the past three weeks without a weekly close below, and this week the average is 2755.
  • The NASDAQ 100 (2338) Libya Trading Range: 2285 to 2403. My monthly value level is 2250 with daily, weekly, quarterly, and monthly risky levels at 2370, 2398, 2438 and 2499. The NASDAQ 100 traded below its five-week modified moving average in each of the past three weeks without a weekly close below, and this week the average is 2327.
  • Dow Transports (5147) Libya Trading Range: 4918 to 5306. My quarterly value level is 4671 with weekly, daily and annual pivots at 5052, 5119 and 5179. The Transports closed below its five-week modified moving average in each of the two weeks with declining momentum, which is a negative weekly chart profile. A close above this week’s five-week at 5111 shifts the weekly chart to neutral.
  • The Russell 2000 (824.66) Libya Trading Range: 795 to 838. My quarterly value level is 765.50 with weekly, daily and monthly risky levels at 831.09, 835.56 and 850.79. The five-week modified moving average has been tested in each of the past three weeks and this week the average is 810.47.
  • The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (447.94) Libya Trading Range: 439 to 474. My monthly value level is 402.46 with a monthly pivot at 453.89, daily and quarterly pivots at 458.32 and 465.93, and weekly risky level at 485.92. The five-week modified moving average has been tested in each of the past three weeks and this week the average is 450.51.

The trading strategy in this environment is what I have been calling "Buy and Trade," where you buy weakness to a value level and sell strength to a risky level. Here are the guidelines.

Buy and Trade Strategies for Long Positions

  • Value Level – The price at which you establish an additional long position on share price weakness. This is done on a GTC Limit Order to buy weakness to the Value Level.
  • Risky Level – The price at which you remove a single long position or reduce a multiple long position on share price strength. This is done on a GTC Limit Order to sell strength to the Risky Level.

Buy and Trade Strategies for Short Positions

  • Value Level – The price at which you remove a single short position or reduce a multiple short position on share price weakness. This is done on a GTC Limit Order to buy weakness to the Value Level.
  • Risky Level – The price at which you establish an addition short position on share price strength. This is done on a GTC Limit Order to sell strength to the Risky Level.

10-Year Note – (3.542) Weekly, annual, and semiannual value levels are 3.642, 3.796 and 4.268 with a daily pivot at 3.523, and monthly, annual, and semiannual risky levels at, 3.002, 2.690 and 2.441.

Comex Gold – ($1429.0) Weekly, annual, quarterly, semiannual and annual value levels are $1385.4, $1356.5, $1331.3, $1300.6 and $1187.2 with monthly and quarterly pivots at $1437.7 and $1441.7, and daily and semiannual risky levels at $1450.1 and $1452.6.

Nymex Crude Oil – ($104.78) Weekly, monthly and semiannual value levels are $97.78, $96.43, and $87.52 with my annual pivots at $99.91 and $101.92, and semiannual, daily and quarterly risky levels are $107.14, $107.71 and $110.87.
The Euro –
(1.3900) My quarterly value level is 1.3227 with a daily pivot at 1.3953, and weekly, semiannual and monthly risky levels at 1.4446, 1.4624 and 1.4637.

Daily Dow: (12,214)Annual, quarterly, semiannual, and semiannual value levels are 11,491, 11,395, 10,959, and 9,449 with daily, weekly, monthly and annual risky levels at 12,249, 12,484, 12,741 and 13,890.’

 

 

 

 

 

Stocks End Lower After Mixed Session   Midnight Trader ‘4:26 PM, Mar 9, 2011 --

  • NYSE down 14.60 (-0.2%) to 8,379.44
  • DJIA down 1.29 (-0.01%) to 12,213
  • S&P 500 down 1.80 (-0.1%) to 1,320
  • Nasdaq down 14.05 (-0.5%) to 2,752

GLOBAL SENTIMENT

  • Hang Seng up 0.42%
  • Nikkei up 0.61%
  • FTSE down 0.63%

UPSIDE MOVERS
(-) RIG gets favorable analyst coverage.
(+) COOL continues evening gain that followed results.
(+) AVAV continues evening gain that followed results.
(+) CRDN boosts guidance.
(+) BLT beats with Q4 results.
(-) VELT gets favorable analyst coverage.
(+) AEZS inks Japan deal.
(+) HERO beats with results.
(+) STP continues gain Tuesday that followed improved quarter.
(+) AEO results top year-ago period; CEO to retire.
(+) PLCE issues mixed results, guides below Street, sets buyback.

DOWNSIDE MOVERS
(-) FNSR warns for Q4.
(-) JDSU follows FNSR after warning.
(-) ALU follows FNSR after warning.
(-) OCLR follows FNSR after warning.
(-) CIEN follows FNSR after warning, own results Tuesday.
(-) EPB selling shares.
(-) DYN warns of possible bankruptcy.
(-) POT downgraded.

MARKET DIRECTION

Stocks closed just in the negative following a mixed session. Investors gauged continuing conflict in the Middle East and North Africa along with worrisome outlooks from the tech sector and data that showed a rise in wholesale inventories that topped expectations.

Crude oil futures closed lower after a government report showed a larger-than-expected 2.5 million-barrel increase in weekly U.S. oil inventories. April crude fell 64 cents to end at $104.38 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Still, gasoline futures finished higher as the data also revealed a 5.5 million-barrel decline in supplies of the fuel. April gasoline tacked on 8 cents, or 2.7%, to close at $3.027 a gallon.

Libyan forces loyal to Muammar Gaddafi surrounded rebels in the western city of Zawiyah with tanks and snipers in the main square, witnesses said, according to news reports.

Adding to concerns about the global economy, the Portuguese government's two-year cost of borrowing hit the highest level since it joined the euro in a bond auction on Wednesday, and an official said yields were unsustainable in the long run without Europe-wide action, the AP reported.

A report showed U.S. wholesale inventories increased more-than-expected, rising 1.1% to a seasonally-adjusted $436.88 billion in January. That is the highest level since November 2008. Economists had expected a 0.9% increase.

Shares of Finisar (FNSR) tumbled as did ADRs of Alcatel-Lucent (ALU), shares of Ciena (CIEN), Oclaro (OCLR) and JDS Uniphase (JDSU), all in the wake of a worrisome outlook from Finisar.

Shares of Texas Instruments (TXN) fell after it said it expects Q1 revenue in the range of $3.34 to $3.48 bln, within its previous guidance range of $3.27 to $3.55 bln and in line to just below the Street view. EPS are seen in the range of $0.56 to $0.60 per share, vs. previous expectations of $0.54 to $0.62 per share and the Street view of $0.59 per share.

In company news:

ING Groep (ING) is preparing to sell its U.S. online-banking division in a move to meet European Union conditions for the bank's bailout, Bloomberg reports. A spokesman for the Amsterdam-based bank said "we agreed with the European Commission to sell ING Direct USA before 2013, as well as our insurance and investment management operations."

Walgreen (WAG) says it will sell its pharmacy benefit management business, Walgreens Health Initiatives, Inc, to Catalyst Health Solutions, Inc. (CHSI) for $525 million in cash. The transaction is expected to close by the end of June. Walgreen will provide certain services to CHSI after closing to facilitate a smooth transition for existing customers and patients.

Dynegy (DYN) is down after the company said in an SEC filing it may be forced to file for bankruptcy protection, according to a Marketwatch report. The company said it may not be able to comply with debt payments by Q3 or Q4 of this year, the report said.

Shares of Merck (MRK) are higher after the drug maker said that the new drug application for SAFLUTAN (tafluprost), its investigational preservative-free prostaglandin analogue ophthalmic solution, has been accepted for standard review by the FDA. According to the company, it submitted an NDA to support the proposed use of SAFLUTAN for the reduction of elevated intraocular pressure (IOP) in patients with primary open-angle glaucoma or ocular hypertension.

BP (BP) is down even as oil trades above $105 a barrel, after Chief Executive Bob Dudley apologized for the Gulf of Mexico oil spill during a major oil industry conference. Dudley assured the audience BP is working to prevent a recurrence of last year's Deepwater Horizon explosion and oil spill that killed 11 workers and led to a ban on deepwater drilling in the Gulf. He said BP already has stopped production at two platforms and closed a pipeline to address maintenance issues, according to the AP.

In earnings news:

-The Children's Place (PLCE) reports Q4 sales of $453.2 mln, below the analyst consensus of $467 mln on Thomson Reuters. Adjusted EPS was $1.22 per share, vs. estimates of $1.01 per share. The company also announced its board authorized a new share repurchase program in the amount of $100 million.

-Shares of Boston Beer Co. (SAM) are sharply lower after the beer maker reported yesterday that Q4 EPS of $0.87 compared to $0.52 a year earlier but below the Street view for $0.90. Revenue improved to $126.3 million, up from $117.5 million. The Street was at $118.5 million. The company guides for FY EPS at $3.45 to $3.95, straddling the Street view for $3.51.

-TICC Capital (TICC) falls after it says it had net investment income of $0.24 per share in Q4, below the Thomson Reuters mean for a quarter.

-The Bon-Ton Stores (BONT) rises after it says Q4 sales were $1.01 billion, just below the Thomson Reuters mean for $1.02 billion. Net income was $4.41 per share. The Thomson Reuters mean, usually less items, was $4.30. 2011 EPS are seen between $1.00 to $1.50.’

 

 

 

21 Signs Of Impending Doom For The 2011 Economy ‘If you are not aware of how rapidly the global economic situation is unraveling you need to snap out of it and start paying attention. The world economy was relatively stable in 2010, but here in 2011 things are deteriorating very quickly.

The American Dream
Wednesday, March 9, 2011

If you are not aware of how rapidly the global economic situation is unraveling you need to snap out of it and start paying attention.  The world economy was relatively stable in 2010, but here in 2011 things are deteriorating very quickly.  Right now there is major civil unrest in at least a dozen different nations in Africa and the Middle East.  The civil war going on in Libya has sent the price of oil skyrocketing and the protests that are scheduled to begin in Saudi Arabia later this month could send oil prices even higher.  Meanwhile, the sovereign debt crisis in Europe just seems to get worse by the day.  Several nations in Europe are suddenly finding that it has become extremely expensive to finance more debt.  It appears that it will only be a matter of time before more bailouts are needed.  Meanwhile, the United States is also covered in a sea of red ink and the economic situation in the largest economy on earth continues to deteriorate rapidly.  It is as if the entire world financial system has caught a virus that it just can’t shake, and now it looks like another massive wave of financial disaster could be about to strike.  Does the global economy have enough strength to weather a major oil crisis in 2011?  How much debt can the largest nations in North America and Europe take on before the entire system collapses under the weight?  Will 2011 be a repeat of 2008 or are we going to be able to get through the rest of the year okay?  Only time will tell.

But it is quickly becoming clear that we are reaching a tipping point.  If the price of oil keeps going up, all hopes for any kind of an “economic recovery” will be completely wiped out.  But if the globe does experience another economic slowdown, it could potentially turn the simmering sovereign debt crisis into an absolute nightmare.  The U.S. and most nations in Europe are having a very difficult time servicing their debts and they desperately need tax revenues to increase.  If another major economic downturn causes tax revenues to go down again it could unleash absolute chaos on world financial markets.

The global economy is more interconnected than ever, and so a major crisis in one area of the world can have a cascading effect on the rest of the globe.  Just as we saw back in 2008, if financial disaster strikes nobody is going to escape completely unscathed.

So what should we expect for the rest of 2011?  Well, the truth is that it doesn’t look good.  The following are 21 signs of impending doom for the 2011 economy….

#1 The civil war in Libya now looks like it could drag on for an extended period of time, and that is likely to drive the global price of oil even higher.

#2 Barack Obama is publicly saying that NATO is now considering “potential military options” for solving the crisis in Libya.

#3 Kuwait exports more oil than Libya does, and it looks like the civil unrest that has been sweeping the rest of the Middle East is now starting to spread to that country.

#4 In Saudi Arabia, protest groups are planning a “Day of Rage” on March 11th.  If a revolution breaks out in that nation the entire global economy is going to be thrown into turmoil.

#5 The average price of a gallon of gasoline in the United States increased by 33 cents during the two-week period that ended last Friday.

#6 According to the Oil Price Information Service, U.S. drivers spent an average of $347 on gasoline during the month of February, which was 30 percent more than a year earlier.

#7 It is being reported that the average price of a gallon of gasoline in Europe has hit an all-time record of $8.63 a gallon.

#8 Ivory Coast produces nearly 40 percent of all the cocoa in the world and protests against the government there are becoming increasingly violent.  If this violence continues to escalate you will soon be paying a lot more for chocolate.

#9 The yield on 10-year Portuguese bonds has increased to 7.6%.

#10 The yield on 10-year Irish bonds has soared to 8.1%.

#11 The yield on 10-year Greek bonds has skyrocketed to a whopping 12.8%.

#12 Moody’s Investors Service has reduced the rating of Greek government debt three levels all the way down to B1.

#13 According to the United Nations, the global price of food set another brand new record high during the month of February.  That was the 8th month in a row that global food prices have gone up.

#14 According to the World Bank, global food prices have soared 29% over the last 12 months.

#15 The United Nations is projecting that the global price of food will increase by another 30 percent by the end of 2011.

#16 23 percent of all residential properties with a mortgage in the U.S. were in negative equity as of the end of 2010.

#17 In the state of Nevada, approximately 65 percent of all homeowners with a mortgage owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth.

#18 Two years ago, the average U.S. homeowner that was being foreclosed upon had not made a mortgage payment in 11 months.  Today, the average U.S. homeowner that is being foreclosed upon has not made a mortgage payment in 17 months.

#19 Since 2005, the United States has shelled out 1.1 trillion dollars for products from China but China has only spent 272 billion dollars on products from the United States.  This trade imbalance is causing the global financial system to become increasingly unstable.

#20 Collectively, the 50 U.S. state governments are facing a budget shortfall of 125 billion dollars for fiscal 2012.

#21 The U.S. government had a budget deficit of 233 billion dollars during the month of February, which was the largest federal budget deficit ever recorded for a single month.

We are living in the middle of the biggest debt bubble in the history of the world…’

 

 

 

 


Faber: Oil will go up ‘ballistically’ if unrest shifts to Saudi Arabia Business Intelligence Middle East | Marc Faber sees oil prices extending their bull run despite the 15% run-up this year alone.


 

Oil hovers around $105 CNNMoney.com | The benchmark U.S. oil contract was up 35 cents to $105.37 a barrel for April delivery.


 

Bank Economist Warns of ‘Food Price Riots in the UK’ SkyNews | A senior economist at the worldwide bank HSBC has warned of civil unrest in Britain if food prices continue to soar.

 

 

Oil markets brace for Saudi ‘rage’ as global spare capacity wears thin Those exhorting OPEC to boost output should be careful what they wish for. The cartel card can be played once only, and it risks exposing the fragility of the global energy system if the Gulf powers are seen struggling to deliver.

 

HOW IT WILL ALL END : Debt Jubilee or WWIII ? Bob Chapman talks about the crumbling economy and how it will implode.

 

Warning Of ‘Food Price Riots In The UK’ A senior economist at the worldwide bank HSBC has warned of civil unrest in Britain if food prices continue to soar.

 

Currency Wars: Flash Points in the ‘Age of Rage’ The conflict in North Africa was a predictable outcome of the US Monetary Policy of Quantitative Easing. It is not plausible that the US Federal Reserve, as the manager of the world’s Reserve Currency, did not fully recognize the global ramifications of such monetary inflation actions well in advance.

 

ECONOMIC CRISIS ARCHIVE

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

Jesse Jackson, Jr.’s Communist Bill of Rights Kurt Nimmo | Jackson’s speech is like something right out of the CPUSA playbook.

 

Soros: Communist Chinese Model Of Order May Become “The Envy Of The World” “Western democracies provide less successful leadership than China”

 

Day Of Rage: Saudi Arabia In Veiled Threat To US Paul Joseph Watson | Saudi Foreign Minister threatens to “cut foreign fingers” in event of outside intervention after US sided with protesters.

 

Corporate Media Coverage of Libya is a Psyop Kurt Nimmo | Only by destroying the oil-based economy can the globalists forge ahead with their plan to implement world authoritarian government.

 

 

 

 

Kansas House Panel Endorses Pension Cuts KMBC.com | The bill is likely to draw opposition from public employees’ and retirees’ groups.

 

 

 

Day Of Rage: Saudi Arabia In Veiled Threat To US As the world braces itself for Saudi Arabia’s “day of rage” on Friday, which many fear could be the spark that sends oil prices soaring to beyond the $200 a barrel mark, Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Saud Al-Faisal issued a veiled threat to the United States, warning that the Kingdom was prepared to “cut foreign fingers” in the event of any outside interference.

 

Soros: Communist Chinese Model Of Order May Become “The Envy Of The World” Billionaire investor George Soros has once again cited China’s dictatorship as the model for the rest of the world in a speech at an elite gathering in Europe.

 

BIG SIS BUSTED: Homeland Security Undercover Pedophile Entrapment Website Suspended In an aggressive bid to entice prospective “sex tourists,” the Department of Homeland Security last year launched an undercover web site that purported to arrange trips from the U.S. to Canada, where clients could engage in sexual activity with minors, The Smoking Gun has learned.

 

Corporate Media Coverage of Libya is a Psyop In the interview here, war correspondent Keith Harmon Snow spells out how the lopsided coverage of the conflict in Libya is a Pentagon psyop. The psyop is particularly evident on CNN, especially on Anderson Cooper’s show.

 

 

Lawmaker Warns TSA Harassment Coming To Sidewalks The lawmaker behind a bill aimed at curtailing TSA grope downs and naked body scanners warns that Americans will be subjected to such harassment on sidewalks and at football games if the TSA is not stopped in its tracks now, but in reality, TSA-style measures have already been aggressively expanded well beyond airports.

 


FEATURED INFOWARS STORIES ARCHIVE

 

 

 

 

 

Drudgereport: World's biggest bond fund dumps all U.S. debt...

UNIONS LOSE IN WI

WI GOP pushes through union bill...
'ENOUGH IS ENOUGH'...
Gov. Walker applauds...
DEMS SCRAMBLE BACK...

SHOCK: 82% of US schools 'failing'...
Gasoline cost to jump $700 for avg household...
Libya Tanks Move In To Crush Rebel Stronghold...

Carnage in Rebel City...
FOOTAGE: Libyan war plane shot down...
Obama, Cameron discuss plan of action...
Hoyer: No Balanced Budget for 15-20 Years 'We've Dug Such a Deep Hole'...
FLASHBACK: Larger Than Entire 2007 Deficit...

Treasury Draws Down Cash Balance...
FEBRUARY DEFICIT: $223 BILLION
FRESHMAN DEM. SENATOR: OBAMA HAS 'FAILED TO LEAD'...
Mayors to Unions: 'Dire fiscal straits' without 'dramatic' changes...

Anger Brews Over Government Workers' Benefits...
UNREST IN THE MIDWEST: Now Michigan...
WELFARE NATION: ONE-THIRD OF ALL WAGES ARE HANDOUTS...
ROMNEY: Obama Misery Index hits record high...
OPEC VOWS NEW PUMPING...

OIL HOLDS NEAR $105...
Roubini: Will Hit $150...
Sheen: 'I'm really starting to lose my mind'...
In what appears to be a 180 degree turn around from his daily proclamations of having “tiger’s blood” and “Adonis DNA,” Charlie Sheen admitted “I’m really starting to lose my mind” in the new issue of “Life & Style.” The recently fired “Two and a Half Men” star also reveals his desperation to regain custody of his two young twin sons, Bob and Max.

ARTICLE: Charlie Sheen Attacks Jon Cryer.

“She can’t keep them from me,” Sheen says of his estranged wife, Brooke Mueller. “I won’t let her—I’ll do anything to get them back.”Sheen, 45, who has made four disturbing live web broadcasts from his compound in Sherman Oaks, CA, admits that even his lawyer, Marty Singer, has expressed concern about him.

PHOTOS: Charlie Sheen's Long List of Lady Friends.

“My lawyer wants to come over to my house and take the bullets out of my gun," he told the magazine.A party pal of Charlie’s tells the magazine, "It's crazy over here at the house—Charlie's losing it. He's really mad about the show, and dealing with the kids and Brooke is getting to be too much. Charlie is a ticking time bomb, and we all fear he could do something drastic like committing suicide or falling back on hard drugs."

ARTICLE: 'Tiger Blood' Drink Goes On Sale.

Sheen, who appeared on a Beverly Hills rooftop Monday, brandishing a machete, realizes that his bizarre behavior has many concerned."I'm really trying to contain myself right now," he said.

ARTICLE: 'Men' Co-Star Is Sheen's Lone Defender.

If that's true, he's not doing a good a job of it, because Sheen widened his list of targets to include his former "Two and a Half Men" co-star, Jon Cryer, on Tuesday.Cryer had managed to stay out of the fray during Sheen's fall from grace at CBS, but his luck ran out.

ARTICLE: Can 'Two and a Half Men' Survive? Just Ask 'Three's Company.'

"Jon has not called me. He's a turncoat, a traitor, a troll. Clearly he's a troll," Sheen told E! News. "He issued a statement. Is it gonna take me calling him a 'traitor, juvenile and scared' for him to get it?"Cryer has actually not issued an official statement since Sheen was fired from the hit CBS sitcom “Two-And-A-Half Men” on Monday. But he may want to issue one now, because Sheen has not stopped ranting about his enemies since his dismissal, and once you are on his crosshairs, it seems you never escape.

ARTICLE: Sheen's Kids Could Be Next on Reality Show.

Tuesday night was the latest case in point, as Sheen blasted his list of hated CBS executives one by one with yet another nonsensical, barely decipherable scripted screed on Ustream. "A high treason has occurred. The scales of justice are in a state of radical disarray. Together we must right this infantile wrong… What happened yesterday was completely and entirely illegal, unconscionable and to quote my lawyer 'really shi**y shi**y suck suck'," Sheen, the self-proclaimed “Malibu Messiah,” said before launching into a strange diatribe in his fourth "Sheen's Korner" webcast, in which he saved his most savage attacks for producer Chuck Lorre – calling him everything from a “silly clown,” to “little worm” and “loser.”


Read more: http://entertainment.blogs.foxnews.com/2011/03/09/charlie-sheen-tells-magazine-im-really-starting-to-lose-my-mind/#ixzz1GA8oolSk  

 

 

 

 

 

 

Taxpayers caught in middle of Fannie lawsuit  spacer(Washington Post) What could be worse than taxpayers paying more than $100 million to defend a shareholder-owned company and its former executives in a private lawsuit?  [  What could be worse? Not prosecuting the massive wall street frauds in the trillions with jail, fines, and disgorgement the goal.….  Top Economists: Trust is Necessary for a Stable Economy … But Trust Won’t Be Restored Until We Prosecute Wall Street Fraud Most policy makers still don’t understand the urgent need to restore trust in our financial system, or the need to prosecute Wall Street executives for fraud and other criminal wrongdoing   …..  'Gang of 6' takes deficit fight to public (Washington Post) [  Riiiight! I like that term, gang, as applied to capital hill. Indeed, without exaggeration or sarcasm I posit the realistic existence of government mob, relative to other mob designations as ie., mafia, irish mob, jewish mob, etc., based not on what they say they do but on what they actually do. That now corrupted supreme court of old’s test for obscenity; viz., ‘you know it when you see it’. And, haven’t we been seeing it for quite some time now; the corruption, the corruptibility, the lobbyists, the military industrial complex, the look the other way for the massive frauds on wall street, the bribes in one form or another before or after the fact? The ‘gangs’ should be shouldering the burden first, then come asking those who foolishly trusted them.   Why Social Security is welfare spacer(Washington Post) [ What does it matter what you call it? Part of america’s defacto bankruptcy? Most assuredly (I haven’t even looked at the Bloomberg propaganda piece which by its very title is an insult to intelligence; after all, we all know they can continue to print evermore worthless fiat currency which in reality does not change the ultimate reality of america’s defacto bankruptcy but merely exacerbates while forestalling a realistic assessment of the magnitude of the crisis. The fact is that there are others, culpable in creating this crisis who should be shouldering the burden first; ie., frauds on wall street via prosecution, fines, disgorgement; Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’ ; SEC on the hot seat (Washington Post) [ Oooooh! The capital hill hot seat … shilling for no more than a grilling. House Republicans press SEC on official's ties to Madoff (Washington Post) [ The ultimate subterfuge. Mr. small potatoes madoff the focus of so much influence … yet he’s in jail … and the only one … Boy, did mary shapiro become total b*** s*** fast … the current shibboleth of  capital hill / all 3 branches of pervasively corrupt u.s. government … joining the others: “The Financial Industry Has Become So Politically Powerful That It Is Able To Inhibit the Normal Process of Justice And Law Enforcement” The economy cannot stabilize unless fraud is prosecuted. But the folks in D.C. seem determined to turn a blind eye to Wall Street shenanigans, and is now moving to defund the enforcement agencies like the SEC and CFTC.      Market Crash 2011: It Will Hit by Christmas   Farrell, MarketWatch  SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — ‘Politicians lie. Bankers lie. Yes, they’re liars. But they’re not bad, it’s in their genes, inherited. Their brains are wired that way, warn scientists. Like addicts, they can’t help themselves. They want to sell stuff, get rich…’   Financialization and Our Increasingly Unstable Economy Roche ‘I finally got around to seeing the movie Inside Job, the story behind the credit crisis and winner of the Academy Award for best documentary. It’s very good and I highly recommend it to anyone who hasn’t seen it. It will certainly infuriate you. The movie doesn’t place nearly enough blame on homeowners, but all in all it does an excellent job of showing how Wall Street and government have become overrun by deregulation and sheer greed. A combination of flawed economic theory and greed have combined to create the beast that we now call a “functioning” economy. The worst part of it all is that President Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place. …’  ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]

  ] Official opens an investigation into allegations that the agency mishandled potential conflicts of interest in its response to Madoff's Ponzi scheme.

 ] Here is how I define a welfare program.

] While Washington bickers noisily over cutting a small slice of the federal budget, Sens. Mark Warner, a Virginia Democrat, and Saxby Chambliss, a Georgia Republican, launch a campaign to convince the public that merely cutting spending will do little to tame the $14 trillion national debt.

   ]

 

 

Turmoil jars U.S. counter-terror efforts spacer(Washington Post) [ Now how does this come as a surprise to anyone? Beyond america’s propaganda machine, orwellian england, etc., just how do think the war crimes, invasions, pillaging and plundering, and killing of innocent children, women, and men by pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america et als for the sake of the u.s. military military complex are viewed by the rest of the world, and particularly the subject region. Euphemistically but realistically speaking, ‘not good’! …  Gates says killing of Afghan boys a "setback" (Reuters) [Ah, yes, riiiiight! … that’s what it is, alright…just a setback…I see.  ]   Gates: US military to stay in Afghanistan  US Defense Secretary Robert Gates, who is on a surprise visit to Afghanistan, says the American military should stay in the conflict-riddled country despite the rising human costs.     Violent spring looming in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ See … something to look forward to … must be that good news that keeps getting pushed back … and spring no less … everything bombing blooming or in war criminal american-speak … ‘booming’ … but not the defacto bankrupt american economy for which a crash is ‘looming’. Could somebody help me out with a translation of gates’ speech a west point … I must be missing something … Lt. Gen. John Kelly, who lost son to war, says U.S. largely unaware of sacrifice (Washington Post) [ I disagree! They are very much aware; as they stand in unemployment lines, use food stamps to get by, etc.. I hate to sound cavalier and I’m sorry that Kelly lost a son to war, but along with the multitude of civilians in the nations unlucky enough to provide a source of corporate welfare to the military industrial complex and war profiteering for the few (as warned against by President General Eisenhower), they died for nothing, for no good reason beyond the false propaganda.  Six NATO troops killed in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ Is there something wrong with the following picture? … am I missing something?       Gates's warning: Avoid land war in Asia, Middle East, and Africa Christian Science Monitor - In a speech to cadets at the United States Military Academy at West Point, Gates's message was clear: The US military services, as well as the elected and appointed civilians who send them to war, need better ways of foreseeing and preparing for ...     Gates Tells US Army to Take New Approach Voice of America    Warning Against Wars Like Iraq and Afghanistan New York Times  [ Better said, than unsaid; but, methinks a bit late for that in light of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s consummate decline and fall! If only they had listened and not shot at the messenger … things could have been different!    ]     ]  American military officials expect that the Taliban will mount a campaign to regain ground lost to U.S. troops last year and use suicide bombing teams to strike at those associated with the Afghan government or coalition forces.   ]

 

Senate still wrangling over spending bill  spacer(Washington Post) [ Few signs of compromise on budget details  spacer(Washington Post) [ Come on … wake up! The cuts they’re quibbling over don’t even cover interest on the national debt!    Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘ ] Senate leaders delayed until Wednesday consideration of a bill to fund the government through Sept.

 

 

 

U.S., allies weigh operations near Libya    Humanitarian aid delivery, no-fly zone are under consideration  (Washington Post) [ Weigh? As on a scale … of 1 to 10 … we all know how well pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america and allies are at weigh-ins … weighing … so much so, they’re set to star that tv program, ‘The Biggest Loser(s)’ … Update:  Drudgereport: Libya Tanks Move In To Crush Rebel Stronghold...
Carnage in Rebel City...
FOOTAGE: Libyan war plane shot down...
Obama, Cameron discuss plan of action...
Hoyer: No Balanced Budget for 15-20 Years 'We've Dug Such a Deep Hole'...
FLASHBACK: Larger Than Entire 2007 Deficit...

Treasury Draws Down Cash Balance...
FEBRUARY DEFICIT: $223 BILLION
FRESHMAN DEM. SENATOR: OBAMA HAS 'FAILED TO LEAD'...
Mayors to Unions: 'Dire fiscal straits' without 'dramatic' changes...

Anger Brews Over Government Workers' Benefits...
UNREST IN THE MIDWEST: Now Michigan...
WELFARE NATION: ONE-THIRD OF ALL WAGES ARE HANDOUTS...
ROMNEY: Obama Misery Index hits record high...
OPEC VOWS NEW PUMPING...

OIL HOLDS NEAR $105...
Roubini: Will Hit $150...
SHEEN SETS 'FINAL' WEBCAST
Gadhafi Deploys Tanks, Hundreds of Troops in New Assaults...
...Denies talk he's looking for exit
WITNESSES: Women and Children Killed...
Libyan tanks, planes bombard Zawiyah; rebels still hold 'Martyrs' Square'...
Libyan central bank chief goes missing...
...Loyalty unknown

East-West military gap 'rapidly shrinking'...
China could match US military power in 10-15 years...

U.K. Warned of Food Riots...
Ahmadinejad calls for new world order...

 

Gaddafi forces engage in fierce battle   Regime loyalists in Libya mount assaults to reclaim ground  spacer(Washington Post) [ 41 years in power … Hey, when interviewed by Charlie Sheen on SNL he seemed rather spry …

Sheen's-Korner, Ustream.TV  You're either in Sheen's-Korner or you're with the trolls...   [and the big question is which trolls … the pat_trolls, the con_trolls, the troll_eys, the troll_ups, etc.? ]                http://www.ustream.tv/charliesheen         Archived Web Site File:     http://www.albertpeia.com/Sheen's-Korner,Ustream.TVYou'reeitherinSheen's-Korneroryou'rewiththetrolls.flv  (448mb)   (for whatever reason, this file did not open properly in my somewhat older player and I didn’t have time to download another to determine if the problem is with the viewer or the file, but will, and will indicate the result here.  )  

 

Here’s SNL’s take on the Sheen webcast  [ This was the first time I’d seen Miley Cyrus in anything and I must say she is truly a star, albeit a very precocious one; this SNL was absolutely hilarious across the board! ]

http://www.saturday-night-live.com

 

 

Part of the webcast:     www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIx4_t26AAs

 

 ] With neither side able to muster overwhelming force, the result appeared to be a bloody stalemate, with the death tolls rising in both east and west.

  ] Intense international deliberations come as troops loyal to Gaddafi continue to besiege the rebel-held city of Zawiyah, 27 miles west of Tripoli.

 

 

 

This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!

 

 

Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’

 

 

 

 

BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Blodget ‘Investors have gotten wildly bullish of late, as the bull market that started in early 2009 keeps driving stocks to new highs. But the pigs are about to get slaughtered, says Bob Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and editor of the Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter still thinks the new bull market is just a cyclical "retracement" of some of the bear market losses that we've had since the market crashed in 2008.  Prechter expected this retracement to drive stocks 50% above the market lows, but stocks have since soared 30% higher than than he expected.  So when the day of reckoning comes, Prechter thinks, it will be even more startling.  And Prechter still thinks that stocks will eventually crash to new bear-market lows (read: below 6,800 on the DOW). What makes Prechter think this day of reckoning may come sooner rather than later? Sentiment indicators and other technical analysis. Investor bullishness has now gotten so extreme, Prechter says, that it has exceeded the levels in 2008 before the market crashed.  Investors could still get even more bullish, of course, but eventually they'll pay for this optimism. And Prechter's not just bearish on stocks: He thinks oil, silver, and other commodities are absurdly overvalued, too.  The only thing he's bullish on is the dollar. And lest he be dismissed as a perma-bear, Bob Prechter is quick to add that he hopes there will come a day when he can come on the show and tell everyone that stocks are finally so crushed and hated that it's a historic opportunity to buy them.  When will that be? Stay tuned...’

 

 

 

Why Social Security is welfare spacer(Washington Post) [ What does it matter what you call it? Part of america’s defacto bankruptcy? Most assuredly (I haven’t even looked at the Bloomberg propaganda piece which by its very title is an insult to intelligence; after all, we all know they can continue to print evermore worthless fiat currency which in reality does not change the ultimate reality of america’s defacto bankruptcy but merely exacerbates while forestalling a realistic assessment of the magnitude of the crisis. The fact is that there are others, culpable in creating this crisis who should shouldering the burden first; ie., frauds on wall street via prosecution, fines, disgorgement; Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’ ; SEC on the hot seat (Washington Post) [ Oooooh! The capital hill hot seat … shilling for no more than a grilling. House Republicans press SEC on official's ties to Madoff (Washington Post) [ The ultimate subterfuge. Mr. small potatoes madoff the focus of so much influence … yet he’s in jail … and the only one … Boy, did mary shapiro become total b*** s*** fast … the current shibboleth of  capital hill / all 3 branches of pervasively corrupt u.s. government … joining the others: “The Financial Industry Has Become So Politically Powerful That It Is Able To Inhibit the Normal Process of Justice And Law Enforcement” The economy cannot stabilize unless fraud is prosecuted. But the folks in D.C. seem determined to turn a blind eye to Wall Street shenanigans, and is now moving to defund the enforcement agencies like the SEC and CFTC.      Market Crash 2011: It Will Hit by Christmas   Farrell, MarketWatch  SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — ‘Politicians lie. Bankers lie. Yes, they’re liars. But they’re not bad, it’s in their genes, inherited. Their brains are wired that way, warn scientists. Like addicts, they can’t help themselves. They want to sell stuff, get rich…’   Financialization and Our Increasingly Unstable Economy Roche ‘I finally got around to seeing the movie Inside Job, the story behind the credit crisis and winner of the Academy Award for best documentary. It’s very good and I highly recommend it to anyone who hasn’t seen it. It will certainly infuriate you. The movie doesn’t place nearly enough blame on homeowners, but all in all it does an excellent job of showing how Wall Street and government have become overrun by deregulation and sheer greed. A combination of flawed economic theory and greed have combined to create the beast that we now call a “functioning” economy. The worst part of it all is that President Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place. …’  ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]

  ] Official opens an investigation into allegations that the agency mishandled potential conflicts of interest in its response to Madoff's Ponzi scheme.

 ] Here is how I define a welfare program.

 

 

 

The Terrible Twos? Let's All Hope Not  [ Hoping doesn’t change reality. Take your gains, sell while you can in this manipulated bull cycle on debased dollar in this secular bear market. ] Bespoke Investment Group ‘After falling 22% over the last month and a whopping 57% from its highs less than a year and a half earlier, the S&P 500 (SPY) closed the day on March 9th, 2009, at 676.53. Had you asked 100 people that day where the index would be trading in two years, you likely could have counted on one hand the number that said higher than 1,300.Tomorrow marks the two-year anniversary of the current bull market, and the S&P 500 is now trading at 1,324, or 96% above its closing level on 3/9/09. Below is a chart of the S&P 500 since October 9th, 2007, which is the day that the index made its all-time high of 1,565.15. The bear market from 10/9/07 to 3/9/09 is highlighted in red, and the bull market that started on 3/9/09 is highlighted in green.

(Click charts to expand)

[chart]

Below is a table highlighting the performance of key ETFs across asset classes since the bull market began on 3/9/09 as well as since 10/9/07 when the S&P 500 made its all-time high and the prior bear market started. For each asset class, the best and worst performing ETF is shaded in light red and light green over each time period.While many ETFs are up more than 100% since the bull market began, only a handful are up from their 10/9/07 levels. The Nasdaq-100 tracking QQQQ is one of them with a gain of 8% since 10/9/07. The S&P Midcap 400 ETF (IJH) is also up, along with the Midcap 400 Growth ETF (IJK) and the Smallcap 600 Growth ETF (IJT). Three sector ETFs are now above the level they were at when the market made its all-time high on 10/9/07 -- Consumer Discretionary (XLY), Consumer Staples (XLP), and Energy (XLE). The Silver trust (SLV) is up the most of all securities shown since 10/9/07 with a gain of 160.47%, while Gold (GLD) is up the second most at 90.33%. And all but one (TLT) of the fixed income ETFs are in the black versus where they were trading when equities hit their all-time highs.Since 3/9/09, the Russia ETF (RSX) has been the best performer in the entire table with a gain of 247.54%. The Smallcap 600 Growth ETF (IJT) has been the best performing US market index ETF with a gain of 144.78%, while the Financials ETF (XLF) has been the best performing sector ETF during the bull market. Unsurprisingly, UNG -- which is supposed to track natural gas -- has been the worst performer since 3/9/09 with a decline of 66.69%!

[chart]

 

 

 

Beware of the Ides of March Suttmeier ‘The first quarter of 2011 could turn out to be a multi-year selling opportunity, just as March 2009 was a multi-year buying opportunity. On March 5, 2009, 91% of all stocks were undervalued and all 11 sectors were undervalued by more than 30%. Wall Street and hence Main Street missed this golden opportunity to buy stocks. In early March 2009, I made the call that stocks would rally 40% to 50%. I proved to be too pessimistic. Since then the Dow Industrial Average (DIA) is up 86.9% with the S&P 500 (SPY) up 96.4% and the NASDAQ (QQQQ) up 117.0%. With stocks overvalued and weekly charts overbought with the exception of Transports now is not the time to increase allocation to stocks, it’s the time to decrease stock allocations.

The Housing Market was the first to provide warnings as The Housing Index topped out in July 2005 and today is 62.0% below that high, with housing currently at risk of renewed weakness.

The America’s Community Bankers Index (ABAQ) peaked in December 2006 and today is 49.0% below that high. The FDIC List of Problem Banks rose by 24 in the fourth quarter to 884 from 860, which is 11.5% of the 7,657 FDIC-insured financial institutions. When I drill down into the FDIC data I find 2623, or 34.3% of all community banks overexposed to commercial real estate loans, and 58.5% of all banks have a real estate loan pipeline that’s 80% or more funded, which is continued stress.

The Regional Bankers Index (BKX) peaked in March 2007 and today is 57.2% below that high. The “too big to fail” banks are bigger and the BKX is down fractionally so far in 2011. Under Dodd-Frank some of these banks will need to raise capital, and face heavier FDIC deposit insurance fund assessments beginning in April.

Total Assets in the banking system declined $51.8 billion in the 4th quarter 2010 with C&D loans down $32.5 billion. Even so C&D loans still total $321.6 billion with nonfarm, non-residential real estate loans at $1.07 trillion and problem loans continue to clog bank balance sheets.

ValuEngine Valuation Warnings on February 18th and March 3rd marked tradable highs for stocks. To confirm a market top all weekly charts must shift to negative. The major equity averages remain below their February 18th highs when the Dow Industrial Average reached 12,391. My proprietary analytics still show weekly and monthly resistances, to limit the upside even if some of the averages continue to new highs. Market weakness on Friday and Monday resulted in a reduction of overvalued stocks to 60.5%, below 65%. We show 15 of 16 sectors overvalued, six by double-digit percentages.

Key Levels for the Major Equity Averages

  • The Dow Industrial Average (12,090) Libya Trading Range: 11,983 to 12,391. My annual value level is 11,491 with daily, weekly and monthly risky levels at 12,152, 12,483 and 12,741.
  • The S&P 500 (1310.1) Libya Trading Range: 1294 to 1344. My quarterly value level is 1262.5 with daily, weekly and monthly risky levels at 1323.8, 1350.3 and 1381.3.
  • The NASDAQ (2746) Libya Trading Range: 2706 to 2840. My monthly value level is 2629 with daily, weekly, quarterly and monthly risky levels at 2802, 2829, 2853 and 2926.
  • The NASDAQ 100 (NDX) (2328) Libya Trading Range: 2285 to 2403. My monthly value level is 2250 with daily, weekly, quarterly, and monthly risky levels at 2375, 2398, 2438 and 2499.
  • Dow Transports (5018) Libya Trading Range: 4918 to 5306. My quarterly value level is 4671 with daily, weekly and annual pivots at 5082, 5052 and 5179.
  • The Russell 2000 (824.99) Libya Trading Range: 795 to 838. Daily and quarterly value levels are 819.50 and 765.50 with monthly risky level at 850.79.
  • The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) (447.35) Libya Trading Range: 439 to 474. My monthly value level is 402.46 with a monthly pivot at 453.89, a quarterly pivot at 465.93 and daily and weekly risky levels at 466.70 and 485.92.

10-Year Note – (3.514) Weekly, annual, and semiannual value levels are 3.642, 3.796 and 4.268 with daily, monthly, annual and semiannual risky levels are 3.449, 3.002, 2.690, 2.441, and 2.322.

Comex Gold – ($1433.3) Weekly, annual, quarterly, semiannual and annual value levels are $1385.4, $1356.5, $1331.3, $1300.6 and $1187.2 with monthly and quarterly pivots at $1437.7 and $1441.7, and my semiannual risky level at $1452.6.

Nymex Crude Oil – ($104.92) Weekly, monthly and semiannual value levels are $97.78, $96.43, and $87.52 with my annual pivots at $99.91 and $101.92, and semiannual and quarterly risky levels are $107.14 and $110.87.

The Euro – (1.3971) My quarterly value level is 1.3227 with a daily pivot at 1.4001, and weekly, semiannual and monthly risky levels at 1.4446, 1.4624 and 1.4637.

Daily Dow: (12,090) Annual, quarterly, semiannual, and semiannual value levels are 11,491, 11,395, 10,959, and 9,449 with daily, weekly, monthly and annual risky levels at 12,152, 12,484, 12,741 and 13,890.’

 

 

 

 

 

Now's the Time to Decrease Stock Allocations

 

 

 

[video]Summer Bears Will Threaten Two-Year Bull Run

 

 

 

Stock Averages Log Gains Near 1% as Oil Eases, Banks Lead Charge  Midnight Trader ‘4:13 PM, Mar 8, 2011 --

  • NYSE up 57.02 (+0.8%) to 8,394.04
  • DJIA up 124.35 (+1%) to 12,214
  • S&P 500 up 11.69 (+0.9%) to 1,322
  • Nasdaq up 20.14 (+0.7%) to 2,766

GLOBAL SENTIMENT

  • Hang Seng up 1.71%
  • Nikkei up 0.19%
  • FTSE up 0.02%

UPSIDE MOVERS
(+) MIPS upgraded.
(+) VRML gains on positive data for ovarian biomarker.
(+) SONC upgraded.
(+) EXPE upgraded.
(+/-) BMY, AZN say FDA accepts NDA for diabetes treatment.
(+) BSFT continues sharp evening gain that followed upbeat earnings.
(+) DKS beats with Q4, guides to top Street for FY.
(+) BA inks sales to two Chinese airlines.
(+) VOD upgraded.
(+) NVDA upgraded.

DOWNSIDE MOVERS
(-) CIEN upgraded.
(-) CNIT beats with revenue.
(-) URBN disappoints with latest results; downgraded.
(-) MCD down after sales data.
(-) QCOM downgraded; raises dividend.
(-) TIVO selling convertible notes.
(-) ICE downgraded.
(-) LDK downgraded.

MARKET DIRECTION

Stock averages closed up as oil prices moderated. Bank gains, in part on dividend hopes, paved the way for broad market gains after a choppy start Tuesday.

Stocks gained as crude oil futures backtracked from yesterday's gains on OPEC assurances of increased supplies, although investors continue to nervously watch developments in the Middle East, where protests and fighting have fueled concerns about potential constraints on oil supplies.

For the moment, the pressure appears to be off further price increases as other Middle East oil producers promised to step up their output to fill the gap left by Libya. President Obama said he may also dip into the nation's strategic oil reserve to fill gaps in supply. Kuwait's oil minister said Tuesday that OPEC members are holding informal talks about raising output.

Bank of America Corp. (BAC) rose over 4%, the most of the 30 stocks that make up the DJIA, after chief executive Brian Moynihan told an investor meeting that the bank could earn more money over the next two years as its business stabilizes. That led some analysts to suggest that large consumer banks may raise the dividends most slashed during the 2008 financial crisis in order to cut costs.

Financial stocks in the S&P 500 index rose 2%, the most of any of the index's 10 company groups. American Express Co. (AXP) gained 4% and JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) rose 3%.

Commodities ended trading lower as gold and crude oil futures finished in the red amid reports that Libya's Col. Gaddafi could be negotiating for his resignation as the leader of Libya and his departure from that country.

Light, sweet crude oil for April delivery finished down $0.42, or 0.38%, to $105.02 a barrel. Crude is already up some 9% this month.

Meanwhile, gold futures ended lower, pressured - in part - by a stronger dollar.

Gold for April delivery finished down $7.30 to $1,427.20 an ounce. In other metal futures, silver was down 0.26% to $35.77 a troy ounce while copper traded up 0.35% to $4.34.

The economic calendar was relatively quiet today. However, the National Federation of Independent Business' small-business index moved higher by 0.4 points in February to a reading of 94.5. The index was helped by gains made through hiring and plans to hire.

In company news:

Boeing (BA) agreed to a preliminary deal to sell 38 wide-body jets to Hong Kong Airlines Ltd. and also signed a deal to supply five 747-8 aircraft to Chinese flag carrier Air China Ltd., according to news reports.

McDonald's (MCD) announced global comparable sales growth of 3.9% in February. Performance by segment was as follows: U.S. same-store sales are up 2.7%; Europe same-store sales are up 5.1%; Asia/Pacific, Middle East and Africa same-store sales are up 4.0%.

Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) and AstraZeneca (AZN) announced that the FDA has accepted for review a new drug applicationfor dapagliflozin, an investigational compound for the treatment of adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

Shares of Sprint Nextel (S) were higher after Bloomberg reports that Deutsche Telekom has held talks with the company to sell its T-Mobile unit. The deal would give Deutsche Telecom a major stake in the combined entity, the report said.

National Semiconductor Corp. (NSM) fell, extending yesterday's decline. Citigroup reportedly downgraded the stock to "sell" from "hold." The semiconductor company is focused on analog and mixed-signal integrated circuits and sub-systems, particularly in the area of power management.

In earnings news:

-Hot Topic (HOTT) fell then gained after it reported a Q4 loss of $0.01 per share, vs. year ago income of $0.18 per share. The fourth quarter results include $9.8 million of expenses, or $0.13 per diluted share, for the implementation of the previously announced cost reduction plan. Ex items earnings were $0.12 per share, a penny shy of the Street view. Sales for the quarter were down 0.8% to $212.4 mln vs. year ago levels. Analysts were expecting revenue of $209 mln, according to Thomson Reuters.

-Urban Outfitters (URBN) fell after it reported Q4 $0.45 per share, flat with year ago levels and below expectations of $0.52 per share, if comparable. Sales were up 14% to $668 mln, below expectations of $676 mln on Thomson Reuters.

-Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) gained after it reported Q4 EPS of $0.76 per share, better than the analyst mean of $0.72 per share on Thomson Reuters. Sales were $1.51 bln, ahead of the Street view of $1.45 bln.

-BroadSoft (BSFT) gained after beating Q4 estimates and setting its guidance in line to above the Street view.’

 

 

 

 

 

Hoyer Says Federal Budget May Not Be Balanced for 20 Years Matt Cover | Hoyer said Republicans and Democrats must compromise if they are ever going to solve the nation’s budget issues.

 

 

Trust is Necessary for a Stable Economy Washington’s Blog | Prosecuting the criminals Is necessary to restore trust.

 

 

Saudi Arabia’s ‘Day of Rage’ Lures Record Bets on $200 Oil: Chart of Day Bloomberg | Options traders are betting more than ever that crude oil is heading to $200 a barrel.

 

 

 

Oil Breakout Alert – Kuwait, World’s Fourth Largest Oil Exporter, Joins Demonstrations Demanding Regime Change Crude dropped overnight, after the FT joined the BBC in the “False Rumor Spreading Korner”, after the Libyan Investment Authority held newspaper said some OPEC members are looking to raise oil output to avoid any supply shortfalls.

 

Will The Day Of Rage In Saudi Arabia On March 11 Send The Price Of Oil Into Unprecedented Territory? The price of oil is shaping up to be the number one economic story of 2011, and right now the eyes of the investing world are closely watching the developing situation in Saudi Arabia.

 

Top Economists: Trust is Necessary for a Stable Economy … But Trust Won’t Be Restored Until We Prosecute Wall Street Fraud Most policy makers still don’t understand the urgent need to restore trust in our financial system, or the need to prosecute Wall Street executives for fraud and other criminal wrongdoing.

 

No Silver? No Problem: US Mint Would Like To Know If You Will Accept Brass, Steel, Iron Or Tungsten Coins Instead Wonder why the US mint has not sold a single ounce of silver so far in March? Here is a clue…



ECONOMIC CRISIS ARCHIVE

 

 

National / World

 

 

Paul: Let public vote on judges Texas Rep. Ron Paul said on Monday that Americans should have the same right to oust federal judges as Iowans did with their historic vote last November to remove three State Supreme Court justices.

 

 

Homeland Security Says It Has Every Right To Spy On Peaceful Protest Groups Steve Watson | The Department Of Homeland Security has decided it is reasonable for it to spy on dozens of peaceful groups.

 

Oil Shock: Banksters Ready QE3 Asset Bubble Kurt Nimmo | QE is forever.

 

TSA Worker Arrested for Impersonating a Police Officer Steve Watson | A TSA worker claimed he had the same authority as a police officer.

 

Obama Mimics Bush: Libyan Intervention Ahead Michael S. Rozeff | The American empire stands at the edge of disintegration.

 

 

Deluded TSA Worker Arrested After Telling Cop “I’m A Customs Inspector” The actions of a TSA worker who was pulled over during a routine traffic stop betray the general attitude of the TSA in recent month, that the agency is above the law and makes its own rules.

 

President Obama Issues Executive Order Institutionalizing Indefinite Detention President Obama today issued an executive order that permits ongoing indefinite detention of Guantánamo detainees while establishing a periodic administrative review process for them. The administration also announced it will lift the ban on bringing new military commissions charges against detainees that don’t already have ongoing cases in the substandard system.

 

MSM Hyped Reports Of Bombardment Give False Picture Of Tripoli Libya’s opposition has told Colonel Gaddafi, if he leaves the country now … they won’t put him on trial. But Libyan state TV has broadcast denials that Gaddafi offered to quit if his family were allowed to safely leave the country. Just a week ago media reports suggested that Gaddafi was close to total defeat. But today he’s still there, and news of his downfall proved to be exaggerated. RT’s Paula Slier went to Tripoli to uncover how things really stand.

 

British Tax Protesters Arrest Judge In Act Of “Lawful Rebellion” For those wondering whether we can expect to see anything like the scenes witnessed in Egypt coming to America or the United Kingdom, the actions of British protesters who engaged in “lawful rebellion” by attempting to arrest a judge yesterday could herald the beginning of a new tax revolt to rival the infamous poll tax riots of 1990.

 

Why is Hillary Not Defending the Rights of Saudis to Protest? Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had been exhaustively in front of cameras promoting the right for people to protest in Egypt, Bahrain, Iran, and Libya.

 

 

Kissinger urges Obama: Grant clemency to Israeli Spy  [ The zionist kissinger shows colors in urging a self-destructive path for wobama.  ] Former U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger sent a letter to U.S. President Barack Obama on Monday, urging him to commute the prison term of Jonathan Pollard, who is serving a life term for spying for Israel.

 

Chinese military ‘growing fast’: think tank China is building its military capability at a rapid pace but it remains a “regional power with regional concerns”, the think tank IISS said in its annual report on the world’s armies on Tuesday.

 

 

 

 

Drudgereport: Libya Tanks Move In To Crush Rebel Stronghold...
Carnage in Rebel City...
FOOTAGE: Libyan war plane shot down...
Obama, Cameron discuss plan of action...
Hoyer: No Balanced Budget for 15-20 Years 'We've Dug Such a Deep Hole'...
FLASHBACK: Larger Than Entire 2007 Deficit...

Treasury Draws Down Cash Balance...
FEBRUARY DEFICIT: $223 BILLION
FRESHMAN DEM. SENATOR: OBAMA HAS 'FAILED TO LEAD'...
Mayors to Unions: 'Dire fiscal straits' without 'dramatic' changes...

Anger Brews Over Government Workers' Benefits...
UNREST IN THE MIDWEST: Now Michigan...
WELFARE NATION: ONE-THIRD OF ALL WAGES ARE HANDOUTS...
ROMNEY: Obama Misery Index hits record high...
OPEC VOWS NEW PUMPING...

OIL HOLDS NEAR $105...
Roubini: Will Hit $150...
SHEEN SETS 'FINAL' WEBCAST
Gadhafi Deploys Tanks, Hundreds of Troops in New Assaults...
...Denies talk he's looking for exit
WITNESSES: Women and Children Killed...
Libyan tanks, planes bombard Zawiyah; rebels still hold 'Martyrs' Square'...
Libyan central bank chief goes missing...
...Loyalty unknown

East-West military gap 'rapidly shrinking'...
China could match US military power in 10-15 years...

U.K. Warned of Food Riots...
Ahmadinejad calls for new world order...

 

 

 

 

Gaddafi forces engage in fierce battle   Regime loyalists in Libya mount assaults to reclaim ground  spacer(Washington Post) [ 41 years in power … Hey, when interviewed by Charlie Sheen on SNL he seemed rather spry …

Sheen's-Korner, Ustream.TV  You're either in Sheen's-Korner or you're with the trolls...   [and the big question is which trolls … the pat_trolls, the con_trolls, the troll_eys, the troll_ups, etc.? ]                http://www.ustream.tv/charliesheen         Archived Web Site File:     http://www.albertpeia.com/Sheen's-Korner,Ustream.TVYou'reeitherinSheen's-Korneroryou'rewiththetrolls.flv  (448mb)   (for whatever reason, this file did not open properly in my somewhat older player and I didn’t have time to download another to determine if the problem is with the viewer or the file, but will, and will indicate the result here.  )  

 

Here’s SNL’s take on the Sheen webcast  [ This was the first time I’d seen Miley Cyrus in anything and I must say she is truly a star, albeit a very precocious one; this SNL was absolutely hilarious across the board! ]

http://www.saturday-night-live.com

 

 

Part of the webcast:     www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIx4_t26AAs

 

 ] With neither side able to muster overwhelming force, the result appeared to be a bloody stalemate, with the death tolls rising in both east and west.

 

 

Obama creates indefinite detention system for prisoners at Guantanamo Bay spacer(Washington Post) [ Sounds more like fellow failed president/war criminal dumbya bush every day.    Meanwhile, back at the pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt american credit farm (totalitarian communist china): New restrictions on foreign journalists Under rules announced after foreign journalists were physically harassed by security officers, foreign journalists must have government permission to interview anyone in a public area.]

 

 

Few signs of compromise on budget details  spacer(Washington Post) [ Come on … wake up! The amounts they’re qubbling over bearly cover interest on the national debt!    Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘

 

 

 

 

 

Gates successor a quandary for Obamaspacer(Washington Post) [ Quandary? For  ‘wobama the b’ (for b*** s***)? I don’t think so! Like wobama, he or she must speak out of both sides of his/her mouth, be particularly adept at lying (cia-speak), and believe in absolutely nothing (no core values/beliefs). Gates says killing of Afghan boys a "setback" (Reuters) [Ah, yes, riiiiight! … that’s what it is, alright…just a setback…I see.  ]   Gates: US military to stay in Afghanistan  US Defense Secretary Robert Gates, who is on a surprise visit to Afghanistan, says the American military should stay in the conflict-riddled country despite the rising human costs.     Violent spring looming in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ See … something to look forward to … must be that good news that keeps getting pushed back … and spring no less … everything bombing blooming or in war criminal american-speak … ‘booming’ … but not the defacto bankrupt american economy for which a crash is ‘looming’. Could somebody help me out with a translation of gates’ speech a west point … I must be missing something … Lt. Gen. John Kelly, who lost son to war, says U.S. largely unaware of sacrifice (Washington Post) [ I disagree! They are very much aware; as they stand in unemployment lines, use food stamps to get by, etc.. I hate to sound cavalier and I’m sorry that Kelly lost a son to war, but along with the multitude of civilians in the nations unlucky enough to provide a source of corporate welfare to the military industrial complex and war profiteering for the few (as warned against by President General Eisenhower), they died for nothing, for no good reason beyond the false propaganda.  Six NATO troops killed in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ Is there something wrong with the following picture? … am I missing something?       Gates's warning: Avoid land war in Asia, Middle East, and Africa Christian Science Monitor - In a speech to cadets at the United States Military Academy at West Point, Gates's message was clear: The US military services, as well as the elected and appointed civilians who send them to war, need better ways of foreseeing and preparing for ...     Gates Tells US Army to Take New Approach Voice of America    Warning Against Wars Like Iraq and Afghanistan New York Times  [ Better said, than unsaid; but, methinks a bit late for that in light of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s consummate decline and fall! If only they had listened and not shot at the messenger … things could have been different!    ]     ]  American military officials expect that the Taliban will mount a campaign to regain ground lost to U.S. troops last year and use suicide bombing teams to strike at those associated with the Afghan government or coalition forces.  ]

 

 

 

 

 

Investors Whiplashed: Dave's Daily ‘As stated I'm away at a family reunion in Las Vegas. It's an appropriate place from which to view markets. Since the action is so crazy, no mere mortal, even with nearly 40 years experience, can make sense of it. So, in the interest of clarity (not to mention the family), I'll make only a couple of comments and just post a few charts. Yes, the unemployment data came in about as expected but wage growth was limited (who knew?!) and banks were downgraded by another bank, BAC. Not a nice thing to do to your pals. With MENA unrest near all time highs and oil prices exploding higher who would want to be casually long the markets heading into the weekend? But, someone (let's just guess shall we?) with the power to close this week higher launched a serious "stick save" late to do just that. This was gross manipulation. Volume was higher on selling once again as no doubt stops were hit once again. Meanwhile, per the WSJ, breadth was negative. ‘

 

 

 

Financialization and Our Increasingly Unstable Economy Roche ‘I finally got around to seeing the movie Inside Job, the story behind the credit crisis and winner of the Academy Award for best documentary. It’s very good and I highly recommend it to anyone who hasn’t seen it. It will certainly infuriate you. The movie doesn’t place nearly enough blame on homeowners, but all in all it does an excellent job of showing how Wall Street and government have become overrun by deregulation and sheer greed.

A combination of flawed economic theory and greed have combined to create the beast that we now call a “functioning” economy. The worst part of it all is that President Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place.

In his latest letter Howard Marks touches on the regulatory debate. He says:

A great source on the subject is Wall Street Under Oath, a 1939 book on the causes of the Great Crash of 1929 written by Ferdinand Pecora, who was counsel to the Senate committee investigating the crash and later a New York State judge. I first read it about twenty years ago, and I brought it out of storage in 2007. It is a typical polemic, assigning blame and touting regulation pursuant to what I assume were the author’s philosophical/political biases (see page 4).

Pecora describes a Wall Street that, up to and including the 1920s, was like the Wild West. Bankers and brokers were out to make money for themselves; their behavior was largely unregulated; and conflicts between their interests and those of their clients were widespread and disregarded. In particular, according to Pecora, disclosure standards were non-existent.

These facts combined with other causes to produce a market crash of epic proportions; widespread losses; a drying up of capital; deflation; and a massive depression with a resulting increase in unemployment to 25%. Unsurprisingly, fingers were pointed at the prior administration and political power shifted to believers in an activist role for government. The most lasting result was the enactment of laws that governed the financial system for decades and in many cases still do: the Securities Act, the Securities and Exchange Act, and the Glass-Steagall Act. Thus the 1930s saw a massive swing of the pendulum in favor of regulation.

The next several decades on Wall Street were – perhaps thanks to the impact of those laws – a relatively placid period. This led to a view that, with rare exceptions, market participants are well-behaved by nature. Further, steady growth with only moderate dips caused a perception of an inherently benign and productive economy that could achieve even more if only the regulatory shackles were loosened. After President Carter deregulated the transportation industry in the late 1970s, the door was open for much of the regulatory apparatus built in the early part of the century to be relaxed. Ronald Reagan, whose famously free-market views coincided with a period of peace and prosperity, led the deregulatory charge. We saw a similar turn in Britain under the leadership of Margaret Thatcher; the collapse of the USSR and a resounding victory for capitalism; and the ascendance of free market adherents Alan Greenspan and George W. Bush.

With the economy and financial system generating prosperity, people wanted more of the same. And with manufacturing in decline, we relied heavily on the financial sector for an increased contribution to GDP, job creation and standards of living. The prevailing view was that the less regulation we had, the more productive business and finance could be. And what was there to be feared from an unregulated economy, anyway? The result in the past decade, according to a great newspaper quote that sadly I can’t locate, was “the kind of regulation you get from an administration that doesn’t believe in regulation.”

Thus, coming full circle from the 1930s, starting in 1999 we saw revocation of Glass-Steagall; elimination of the up-tick rule limiting short sales to instances when stock prices were rising; a pivotal decision to exempt derivatives from regulation; increased permitted leverage at investment banks; and starvation of regulatory agency budgets. These developments were followed by the global financial crisis of 2007-08. Coincidence or causality?

No, it’s most certainly not a coincidence. Marks goes on to argue that the markets and regulations will never be perfect so our economy will continue to be imperfect. It’s a rather defeatist and general attitude if you ask me. I think there are fairly basic rules that can and should be implemented that limit the potential outlier events from occurring. For instance, collateral on OTC derivatives would have substantially reduced the risks at the investment banks. Leverage limits. Higher capital standards. How about requiring down payments on homes? These are simple rules that eliminate the potential for some of the incredible risks we’ve seen over the last 25 years.

I am not an advocate of highly strict rules, just common sense rules. The fact that the NINJA loan ever even came into existence is a clear sign that allowing the markets to regulate themselves is bordering on insanity. Such lack of rules in capitalism is guaranteed to result in putting greed before rationality. I don’t want to contain capitalism. But I do want to keep it from destroying itself. That is the path we are on and the increasing instability upon which we build each recovery is a clear example….

In the movie, a prominent paper is mentioned written by Raghuram Rajan, a professor of Economics at the Chicago School. He shows how the financialization of the US economy is creating an increasingly unstable economy. Make no mistake, markets are not self regulating. This nonsense that government should never oversee the free market is disastrous policy that is driven by a misguided and dogmatic political perspective and a purely greed driven banking system. It’s a great weekend read. Enjoy. ‘

 

 

 

 

 

Fed Has Convinced Consumers to Re-Leverage   [ Sounds like a plan! … albeit a failed plan ala greenspan  … this encore courtesy of ‘’no-recession helicopter ben shalom bernanke’ … anything for that irrationally exuberant feeling on wall street …. Bubbles, bubbles, everywhere, but not a bloke to blink. ] Roche ‘Despite lopsided balance sheets and near record levels of household debt the Fed appears to have succeeded in convincing American households that it is wise to begin re-leveraging. The Fed’s latest consumer credit report showed broad improvement in consumer credit trends (via Econoday):

"Consumer credit outstanding in December rose $6.1 billion showing, for the first time in the recovery, gains for both revolving and non-revolving credit. Revolving credit, up $2.3 billion, rose for the first time in 27 months. Non-revolving credit, reflecting strength in vehicle sales, extended its run of strength with a gain of $3.8 billion. Looking ahead to January’s number, there may be some modest help from motor vehicle sales which edged up 0.6 percent for the month but the amount boosting consumer credit will depend in part on the share split of sales to consumers and to businesses."

[chart]

(Click to enlarge)

As I’ve previously mentioned, this is great news for the near-term economic outlook. A re-leveraging consumer means more spending, higher corporate revenues, etc. My hope was that a 10% deficit would result in consumers continuing to de-leverage, however, that looks like wishful thinking. Instead, the combination of easy money and no loser capitalism appears to be setting the foundation for another debt binge. At a level of 115% of debt:income, this trend is clearly unsustainable, however, the American public appears intent on sustaining its fiscal imprudence. In short, enjoy the growth, however, once the deficit shrinks or another asset bubble pops the air is going to come out of the debt bubble once again and the upside down U.S. consumer will again be exposed as the imprudent consumer that he/she is...’

 



 

Flashback: Comprehensive Annual Financial Reports Exposed Infowars | There is no reason for continued taxation, the government has a secret slush fund and in the meantime is telling you that they’re broke.


Iran oil wealth ‘must be shared’ with citizens says Soros BBC | Citizens of oil producing nations must see more benefit from their country’s national resources, says billionaire.

 

 

Former Goldman director charged with insider trading Globe & Mail | Raj Rajaratnam, the founder of hedge fund Galleon Group, is on trial on criminal insider-trading charges.

 

Gas up 33 cents — second biggest two-week jump ever Reuters | The national average for a gallon of self-serve, regular gas was $3.50 on March 4.


 

Saudi Stock Market Tumbles as Fear of Revolt Grows The Telegraph | Triggered by the arrest of Shi’ite cleric after he called for democratic reforms.


 

Flashback: Comprehensive Annual Financial Reports Exposed Infowars | There is no reason for continued taxation, the government has a secret slush fund and in the meantime is telling you that they’re broke.

 

The Shadow King Of Wall Street: “Markets Like Totalitarian Governments” Wall Street’s shadow king, Blackrock’s Larry Fink who manages over $3 trillion, and is the world’s biggest asset manager, appeared on Bloomberg TV in an interview with Erik Schatzker, and the first thing he said is that the “market likes totalitarian governments.”    Matt Damon Thinks Obama Is Working For Wall Street

 

Big Brother: The Orwellian Nightmare Come True When George Orwell (pen name of Eric Blair) first published his famous novel, Nineteen Eighty-Four, it was the year 1949, and it told a dark story of what he envisioned life may be like in the future-in the year 1984.

 

 

Britain at risk of another financial crisis, Bank of England chief warns Britain risks suffering another financial crisis without reform of the country’s banks, the Governor of the Bank of England warns today.

 

Oil Price Shock; You Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet The most common cause of a spiking oil price is supply shock. We may be seeing just such a phenonenon right now with the effective shut down of Libyan oil. But sometimes it’s excessive demand that does the damage.

 

Wisconsin Governor To Issue 1500 Layoff Notices Unless Fugitive Democrats Return To The State In addition to “stagflation” which we announced in January would be the word of the year, we now have a new contender in the running for what may soon be the most popular word for the next 10 months: “escalation.”

 

The Fed Distorts The Economy With Inflation The Federal Reserve tells us we need inflation to overcome the overhang created by debt and its inflationary aspects. The inflation does not create jobs – it just distorts prices upward.

 

Spain town reintroduces peseta to boost economy A small town in northern Spain has decided to reintroduce the old Spanish currency – the peseta – alongside the euro to give the local economy a lift.

 

QE2: An Unmitigated Disaster

 

[video] Summer Bears Will Threaten Two-Year Bull Run

 

STOCKS DIVE, SILVER SURGES, TECH HAMMERED: Here's What You Need To Know

 

More Jobs Mirage In February—BLS Continues To Overestimate Job Growth Paul Craig Roberts | The announcement that 192,000 new jobs were created in February was greeted with a sigh of relief.


 

Government’s biggest monthly deficit ever Washington Times | $223 billion, according to the Congressional Budget Office.


 

Gas up 33 cents — second biggest two-week jump ever Reuters | The national average for a gallon of self-serve, regular gas was $3.50 on March 4.

 

Oil, Gold, and Silver Prices Up as Saudi Arabia Faces Unrest Oil market speculators used the escalating conflict in Libya as an excuse to jack up crude prices to $106 per barrel today. Crude oil prices rose on news opposition forces and soldiers loyal to Moammar Gadhafi clashed near some of the country’s key energy infrastructure.

 

SocGen’s Three Scenarios For Oil See Crude Price Between $110 And $200 After Nomura released a report two weeks back predicting oil could rise to $220 if the MENA situation escalates, this morning SocGen’s Michael Wittner has released his own scenario analysis on the possible outcomes of the 2011 revolutions.

More Jobs Mirage In February—BLS Continues To Overestimate Job Growth The announcement on March 4 that 192,000 new jobs were created in February was greeted with a sigh of relief. But the number is just more smoke and mirrors, as I will show shortly. First, let’s pretend the jobs are real. What areas of the economy produced the jobs?

 

Gold Surges, Hits New All Time High Of $1,437 After Precious Metals Talked Up During PDAC Conference As the world continues to burn, gold hits a new all time high of $1,437 as silver is en route to pass $36. Whatever shorts did not cover on Friday night are strongly urged to postpone their “market top” speculation until another day. Elsewhere Bernanke is still confused by what the relentless march to daily all time highs in gold means…

 

ECONOMIC CRISIS ARCHIVE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

Amtrak Chief Targets TSA For Conducting “Illegal” Grope Downs In late February, the Transportation Security Administration took over the Amtrak station in Savannah, Ga., and thoroughly searched every person who entered. None of the passengers got into trouble, but the TSA certainly did — big time.

 

Michael Moore’s Communist Rhetoric Distracts from Crimes of the Banksters Last week, filmmaker Michael Moore declared war on the producers. Moore told Laura Flanders of GRITtv that people who did not create trillions of dollars of wealth are entitled to steal it from those who did. Private wealth, Moore insisted, is a “national resource” that can be expropriated from the producers and divided parasitically between the non-producers.

 

Oil And Gold Slip On Rumors Gaddafi Set To Flee Oil and gold pared some of their soaring gains today after a rumor began circulating that Moammar Gaddafi was seeking to reach an agreement with rebels that would allow him to safely flee the country in return for relinquishing power.

 

Interventionism Leads to Resentment and Anti-Americanism Last week, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton testified before the House Foreign Affairs Committee, and I had the opportunity to raise some of my concerns regarding US government policy and the cost of our interventionism around the world.

 

Michael Moore’s Communist Rhetoric Distracts from Crimes of the Banksters Kurt Nimmo | Filmmaker says your hard-earned money is a national resource.

 

The Resistance Continues: More “The Answer to 1984″ Video Contest Entries Infowars | Another great batch of video entries.

 

Oil And Gold Slip On Rumors Gaddafi Set To Flee Paul Joseph Watson | Libyan leader has offered rebels deal to take power if safe exit of his family is guaranteed, according to reports.

 

Oil, Gold, and Silver Prices Up as Saudi Arabia Faces Unrest Kurt Nimmo | Protests planned in oil kingdom today as government promises to dispatch 10,000 troops to put down dissent.

 

Bill O’Reilly And Old Media: Not Waving But Drowning Paul Joseph Watson | The establishment is so terrified of new media, they dare not mention Alex Jones by name.

 

 

Gates says killing of Afghan boys a "setback" (Reuters) [Ah, yes, riiiiight! … that’s what it is, alright…just a setback…I see.  ]   Gates: US military to stay in Afghanistan  US Defense Secretary Robert Gates, who is on a surprise visit to Afghanistan, says the American military should stay in the conflict-riddled country despite the rising human costs.     Violent spring looming in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ See … something to look forward to … must be that good news that keeps getting pushed back … and spring no less … everything bombing blooming or in war criminal american-speak … ‘booming’ … but not the defacto bankrupt american economy for which a crash is ‘looming’. Could somebody help me out with a translation of gates’ speech a west point … I must be missing something … Lt. Gen. John Kelly, who lost son to war, says U.S. largely unaware of sacrifice (Washington Post) [ I disagree! They are very much aware; as they stand in unemployment lines, use food stamps to get by, etc.. I hate to sound cavalier and I’m sorry that Kelly lost a son to war, but along with the multitude of civilians in the nations unlucky enough to provide a source of corporate welfare to the military industrial complex and war profiteering for the few (as warned against by President General Eisenhower), they died for nothing, for no good reason beyond the false propaganda.  Six NATO troops killed in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ Is there something wrong with the following picture? … am I missing something?       Gates's warning: Avoid land war in Asia, Middle East, and Africa Christian Science Monitor - In a speech to cadets at the United States Military Academy at West Point, Gates's message was clear: The US military services, as well as the elected and appointed civilians who send them to war, need better ways of foreseeing and preparing for ...     Gates Tells US Army to Take New Approach Voice of America    Warning Against Wars Like Iraq and Afghanistan New York Times  [ Better said, than unsaid; but, methinks a bit late for that in light of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s consummate decline and fall! If only they had listened and not shot at the messenger … things could have been different!    ]     ]  American military officials expect that the Taliban will mount a campaign to regain ground lost to U.S. troops last year and use suicide bombing teams to strike at those associated with the Afghan government or coalition forces.  ]

 

‘Egyptian army follows Israel, US orders’ Protests in Egypt gain momentum as revolutionaries say they are set to disclose information incriminating senior officials over their involvement in the violent crackdown on anti-regime protests.

 

Libya: ‘Eight SAS Soldiers Held By Rebels’ Eight SAS soldiers have been detained by rebels in Libya, according to Sky News sources.

 

Libya: Gaddafi Gunships Fire On Rebels Libyan helicopter gunships have fired on rebels advancing along the coast towards the capital Tripoli.

 

Chinese state media slams calls for protests China’s state media stepped up its criticism of calls for anti-government rallies on Sunday, saying stability is key amid concern that unrest sweeping the Middle East could spread to the Asian nation.

 

 

Saudis mobilise thousands of troops to quell growing revolt Saudi Arabia was yesterday drafting up to 10,000 security personnel into its north-eastern Shia Muslim provinces, clogging the highways into Dammam and other cities with busloads of troops in fear of next week’s “day of rage” by what is now called the “Hunayn Revolution”.

 

US Department of Imperial Expansion The illegitimacy of the current US State Department fits in well with the overall Constitution-circumventing empire that the American Republic has degenerated into. The current Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton, gives a daily affirmation of this illegitimacy every time she bellies up to the podium and further makes a mockery of America, its people and its destiny.

 

Zbigniew Brzezinski Spouts Globalist Agenda on Al Jazeera Zbigniew Brzezinski: We shouldn’t be the policeman of the world… but we should send troops and warships to Libya.

 

Hey Bill O’Reilly: Alex Jones is a Patriot, And You’re a Clown Fox News host Bill O’Reilly mentioned Alex Jones’s appearance on the View the other day, calling him “some guy on the radio, we really don’t know who he is.” But as Kurt Nimmo points out, O’Reilly is not totally out of the loop.

 

 

TSA, DHS plan massive mobile surveillance rollout Mike Adams | The DHS is America’s new secret police.

 

US Department of Imperial Expansion Tony Cartalucci | The illegitimacy of the current US State Department fits in well with the overall Constitution-circumventing empire that the American Republic has degenerated into.

 

Senior Fed Economist Calls Ron Paul a Pinhead Robert Wenzel | If you think destruction of a currency is no biggie, call Robert Mugabe in Zimbabwe.

 

 

Bill O’Reilly: Who Is Alex Jones? Kurt Nimmo | Fox News anchor with ratings in decline feigns ignorance of growing alternative media.

 

People Of Earth: Prepare For Economic Disaster The Economic Collapse | It is not just the United States that is headed for an economic collapse.

 

Don’t Worry, the Economy is Going to be Just Fine The American Dream | Haven’t you heard? The coming economic collapse has officially been cancelled.

 

Rolling Stone: Glenn Beck Rips Off Alex Jones Infowars.com | Rolling Stone Magazine has posted a part two to follow up on its profile of Alex Jones earlier this week.

 

We’re On The March: More “Answer to 1984″ Video Contest Entries Infowars | More entries for “The Answer to 1984 is 1776″ video contest.

 

 

 

Homicide case involving Daley nephew closed without charges Chicago Sun-Times | Chicago Police said Friday they know who hit David Koschman and knocked him to the ground in a drunken confrontation in the Rush Street area, leading to his death.

 

 

Major Libyan oil plant ablaze Mail Online | A major Libyan oil plant was ablaze last night as fresh fighting raged across the country leaving at least 50 dead.

 

Qaddafi’s Militia Storms Key Town Controlled by Rebels NY Times | Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi’s militia stormed the rebels controlling the town of Zawiyah on Saturday.

 

‘If the Americans Come, They Would Steal our Revolution’ Spiegel Online | Opposition fighters claim they have driven back their attackers, but the battle is far from finished.

 

 

Alex Jones: The Name Bill O’Reilly Dare Not Speak During a discussion on Charlie Sheen, Fox News’ Bill O’Reilly mentioned Alex Jones’ appearance on The View. He didn’t bother to mention Jones by name. O’Reilly said Jones is merely “some guy on the radio, we really don’t know who he is,” and his co-host during the segment, Arthel Neville, chuckled.

 

Don’t Worry, Be Happy: Unemployment Is Down, The Stock Market Is Up And The Economy Is Going To Be Just Fine Haven’t you heard? The coming economic collapse has officially been canceled. The U.S. economy is in full recovery mode. It has just been announced that the U.S. unemployment rate fell to 8.9% in February. That was the third monthly decline in a row.

 

People Of Earth: Prepare For Economic Disaster It is not just the United States that is headed for an economic collapse. The truth is that the entire world is heading for a massive economic meltdown and the people of earth need to be warned about the coming economic disaster that is going to sweep the globe.

 

Texas Plans to Implement REAL ID in 2013 Tela Mange, Chief of Media Relations at Texas Department of Public Safety, has responded to an Infowars.com request for information on the state’s implementation of REAL ID.

 

Gaddafi forces mount fierce counterattack; witnesses describe ‘massacre’ in city under siege Forces loyal to Libyan leader Moammar Gaddafi on Friday unleashed their fiercest counterattack yet, assaulting rebel-held positions by ground and air and firing on demonstrators in the government stronghold of Tripoli.

 

MI6, SAS Working Together To Take Control In Libya Britain is to send teams of spies and diplomats into Libya to help oust Colonel Gaddafi, it emerged last night.

 

 

 

Sheen's-Korner, Ustream.TV  You're either in Sheen's-Korner or you're with the trolls...   [and the big question is which trolls … the pat_trolls, the con_trolls, the troll_eys, the troll_ups, etc.? ]                http://www.ustream.tv/charliesheen         Archived Web Site File:     http://www.albertpeia.com/Sheen's-Korner,Ustream.TVYou'reeitherinSheen's-Korneroryou'rewiththetrolls.flv  (448mb)   (for whatever reason, this file did not open properly in my somewhat older player and I didn’t have time to download another to determine if the problem is with the viewer or the file, but will, and will indicate the result here.  )  

 

Here’s SNL’s take on the Sheen webcast  [ This was the first time I’d seen Miley Cyrus in anything and I must say she is truly a star, albeit a very precocious one; this SNL was absolutely hilarious across the board! ]

http://www.saturday-night-live.com

 

 

Part of the webcast:     www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIx4_t26AAs

 

 

 

 

Drudgereport: FLASHBACK: Larger Than Entire 2007 Deficit...
Treasury Draws Down Cash Balance...
FEBRUARY DEFICIT: $223 BILLION

GATES SAYS ANY MILITARY ACTION ON LIBYA SHOULD HAVE INTERNATIONAL BACKING...
Caught on Video: General Petraeus And Secretary Gates Share Private Joke About Attacking Libya...
NATO starts 24/7 surveillance of Libya...

Greece slams rating agencies after MOODY'S cut...
Spain's savings banks race to find funds by Thursday...
Portugal edges closer to crisis...
PAPER: Obama asks Saudi Arabia to supply Libyan rebels with weapons...

GADHAFI OFFENSIVE MAKES LITTLE GROUND
Saudi Arabia detains Shi'ites as clerics ban protests...
 
OIL CONTINUES CLIMB...

Gas prices up 33 cents -- in two weeks!

Number of ObamaCare waivers climbs above 1,000...

Unrest returns to Cairo streets...
UK 'to send team of spies' to help oust Gadhafi...

British Army readies for mission at 24 hours' notice...
Obama goes golfing...
ROMNEY TO NH: WE NEED A NEW PRESIDENT

'Moore: The rich have overplayed their hand' … [yes they have … quite foolishly at that … they really have] ...

CHICAGOLAND: Homicide case involving Daley nephew closed without charges...
OBAMA TAKES 'BUTTER KNIFE' TO BUDGET...

Biden opens budget talks -- leaves country...
Senate Democrats dropping like flies...
Harry Reid offers spending proposal -- predicts failure...
Saudi Arabia bans all protest and marches...

Mobilizes thousands of troops to quell growing unrest...
'MASSACRE' IN ZAWIYAH...
Shi'ite protesters in Bahrain form human chain around capital...
SHOCK VIDEO: Women gunned down by soldiers in Ivory Coast...

 

 

 

 

 

SEC on the hot seat (Washington Post) [ Oooooh! The capital hill hot seat … shilling for no more than a grilling. House Republicans press SEC on official's ties to Madoff (Washington Post) [ The ultimate subterfuge. Mr. small potatoes madoff the focus of so much influence … yet he’s in jail … and the only one … Boy, did mary shapiro become total b*** s*** fast … the current shibboleth of  capital hill / all 3 branches of pervasively corrupt u.s. government … joining the others: “The Financial Industry Has Become So Politically Powerful That It Is Able To Inhibit the Normal Process of Justice And Law Enforcement” The economy cannot stabilize unless fraud is prosecuted. But the folks in D.C. seem determined to turn a blind eye to Wall Street shenanigans, and is now moving to defund the enforcement agencies like the SEC and CFTC.      Market Crash 2011: It Will Hit by Christmas   Farrell, MarketWatch  SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — ‘Politicians lie. Bankers lie. Yes, they’re liars. But they’re not bad, it’s in their genes, inherited. Their brains are wired that way, warn scientists. Like addicts, they can’t help themselves. They want to sell stuff, get rich…’

‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]

  ] Official opens an investigation into allegations that the agency mishandled potential conflicts of interest in its response to Madoff's Ponzi scheme.

 

 

Peter King, IRA supporter and enthusiastic counter-terrorism advocate (Washington Post) [ A neocon; a zionist with a large jewish constituency; an IRA terrorist supporter; looks a lot like, bears a striking resemblance to, corrupt dodo dodd former Conn. Senator; in sum, that can’t be good. Maybe he suffers from a multiple personality disorder. I mean … wow! Whew! ]

 

Milbank: The subpar lender crisis (Washington Post) [ It truly is difficult for me to imagine Mr. Milbank as a business reporter; although, … wall street journal … could fit. I had occasion to know a successful wall street executive, chairman, institutional brokerage / investment banking firm, who referred to the wall street journal as ‘total b*** s***’. I don’t think Mr. Milbank needs to refer to an ad hoc experience which we know and can reasonably infer to be ubiquitous in kind and that they’re all a bunch of typical american crooks (he wasn’t … but he was an old school risk seeker long since out of the game). Academy Award winner Ferguson is way ahead: ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]

 ]

 

 

Private hiring spurs drop in jobless rate (Washington Post) [ This is a tab yet to be paid (taxpayer / treasury / public) and the costs in money the nation doen’t have for the political obfuscation will far outway the benefits. (Gallup Reports Underemployment Surges To 19.9%, February “Jobs Situation Deteriorates”: As Bad As 2010 On one hand we have the Department of Truth about to tell tomorrow that NFP based on various seasonal and birth death adjustments increased by 250,000… Santelli: 'Good' Jobs Report Has Dark Side...   Denninger ‘ … Summary: The report did not show any material amount of acceleration; it is, for all intents and purposes, flat. The Household Survey showed some people going back to work, but in terms of percentage of the working-age population the needle did not move to any material degree. The problem continues to be people we don't count as unemployed but in fact are, and as such the statistical gerrymandering of the results will give both the left and right something to spin, but in point of fact there's no evidence of an economy that is recovering it's ability to generate both private income and tax revenues.’ … ‘ Mason’…Over the past four weeks, the Treasury’s General Account has dropped by almost $70 billion. Thus, between this account and the Treasury’s Supplementary Financing Account the Fed has injected almost $170 billion reserves into the banking system in February …’ Gerald Celente: “There is no recovery — it’s a coverup!” Sic Semper Tyrannis | Celente argues the oil prices have been going up before the recent chaos in the Middle East. ‘…One other point brought out by Gerald Celente is the fact that the current puppet regime in the White House is “cooking the books” on the unemployment numbers and current inflation rates. They are making their own rules on how to determine inflation rates by leaving out essential information such as food and fuel prices. The same is being done with White House unemployment numbers by simply leaving out those who have given up looking for jobs, as well as other deceptive “carnie” tricks (in reference to White House spokesperson Carnie) in which he compares the administration to a traveling carnival act.

In closing, Celente states:

“… There is no recovery, it’s a coverup. It’s only being boosted by these low interest rates, which again, when inflation skyrockets- they’re gonna have to raise them …‘

   ]

spacer 

 

Delusional for 2012Will: Huckabee and Gingrich are diminishing the GOP. (Washington Post) [ That’s only if you take them seriously; and, you can’t take neocons seriously. You know the type … the pro-zionist bush me-toos … and don’t forget … what could be more diminishing than having failed president ‘wobama the b’ (for b*** s***) as their putative head. Perma war types all, the pervasively corrupt america is defacto bankrupt. Drudgereport: Delaware voters say no to Lobotomy Joe ….. Biden (the self-proclaimed zionist) -- for name of school...
'Wobama’s Where's Waldo?' Presidency...
All Former U.S. Presidents To Get Together For TV Special Honoring George H.W. Bush…(How totally pathetic they are! How embarrassing for NBC!) ... [ Wake up! http://albertpeia.com/bushcrimes.htm  ]
Gingrich to announce exploratory committee 'in 10 days' [ Neo-con Dreamin’! I mean, come on … are memories so short they don’t recall him being a total hypocrite, zionist shill,  and part of the problem though to his credit, he’s not a mobster and complete joke as is trump! ]
CHICAGOLAND: Lawmaker Suggests BOEING'S Contract Win A Result Of Dirty Politics...
[ The contract’s with money the nation doen’t really have anyway; and, the value of the money paid will be worth substantially less by completion; and, no surprise … Chicago hasn’t changed much from the days of capone and is rivaled in terms of corruption by such states as jersey, new york, etc..   ]  ‘…“I’m disappointed but not surprised,” Republican Sen. Richard Shelby said. “Only Chicago politics could tip the scales in favor of Boeing’s inferior plane. EADS clearly offers the more capable aircraft.”…’
Rep. Rangel Causes Stir In Courtroom; Reprimanded By Judge...NEW YORK (CBSNewYork)Congressman Charles Rangel caused a stir in court Friday while trying to lend his support for bail of Afrika Owes.Owes, 17, had been a student at the prestigious Deerfield Academy in Massachusetts. Prosecutors say she was also a member of a drug gang that terrorized 137th Street in Harlem.Owes was one of fourteen suspected  “137th Street Crew” gang members arrested last month. Prosecutors said the gang used shootings, beatings and robberies to protect their turf and gain street status on a stretch of West 137th Street. The gang allegedly openly dealt crack in apartment lobbies, near Harlem Hospital and near the Abyssinian Baptist Church. Congressman Charles Rangel argues for Owes getting bail to Juliet Papa of 1010 WINS

 

 

YAHOO [BRIEFING.COM]: [Suckers’ rally into the close] ‘A late flurry of buying lifted the Dow almost 90 points in less than 30 minutes, but stocks still finished the day with marked losses as participants looked past an encouraging jobs report to focus on oil's climb to a new two-year high…’

 

Employment Report: No Joy Here Denninger ‘The reaction on CNBS, in particular: "This is a very good report."

Really?

Incidentally, I said 100k +/- 50, and we hit ... (misprint - the original link is here - nobody's perfect!)

Nonfarm payroll employment increased by 192,000 in February, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 8.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in manufacturing, construction, professional and business services, health care, and transportation and warehousing.

Ok, high side. The uncertainty was very high on this report, but the results are not out of line. Those people looking for a "2" or even "3" handle (and there were lots of people who were) have a problem though - they didn't get that.

Hourly payrolls didn't move, nor did working hours. Meh.

The spin machine will be out in force I'm sure on both sides of the political spectrum. The market's initial reaction was to spike and then dive a bit; just enough to nail you with a stop run if you happened to be in the futures with a stop on at the time.

Here's the household data, which is where I focus my attention (incidentally, the "Birth-Death" was +100kish this month - if you believe that.)

[chart]

(Click to enlarge)

There was a small uptick in actual employment in February. This has to be maintained, of course, in order for it to continue to count. The key here is that on this metric annualized (which removes seasonality) we were basically flat over last month, although on the positive side of the ledger.

[chart]

(Click to enlarge)

That's a problem. We're basically flat on the labor participation rate among the population. This must show a strong recovery or the government funding model will collapse. You can report all the numbers you want but this is the one that matters, and while it did not further deteriorate it also didn't turn around.

[chart]

(Click to enlarge)

"Not in labor force" - that is, those who have walked off in disgust - showed little change this last month. Annualized it was up slightly. Again, this reflects as a lower unemployment rate, but only because we're not counting people.

[chart]

(Click to enlarge)

No joy here.

Summary: The report did not show any material amount of acceleration; it is, for all intents and purposes, flat. The Household Survey showed some people going back to work, but in terms of percentage of the working-age population the needle did not move to any material degree. The problem continues to be people we don't count as unemployed but in fact are, and as such the statistical gerrymandering of the results will give both the left and right something to spin, but in point of fact there's no evidence of an economy that is recovering it's ability to generate both private income and tax revenues.’

 

 

 

Stocks Hit by Middle East Worries, Financial Sector Downgrades Midnight Trader ‘4:10 PM, Mar 4, 2011 --

  • DJIA down 88.32 (-0.72%) to 12,169.88
  • S&P 500 down 9.82 (-0.74%) to 1,321.15
  • Nasdaq down 14.07 (-0.50%) to 2,784.67

 

Stock Market Rally - Where's the Money Coming From? How much is Left? , On Friday March 4, 2011, 12:31 pm EST

Most retail investors exited the stock market early 2009 and didn't get back in until recently. According to Strategic Insight, investors piled a net $21 billion into U.S. stock mutual funds in January, the biggest monthly inflow in seven years.

Is this rekindled infatuation with stocks bullish or bearish? If it is bullish, how much more cash is waiting on the sidelines, and how much longer can the rally last?

Once Bitten, Twice Bold

According to Michal Strahilevitz (quoted in the Wall Street Journal), a business professor at Golden Gate University, delayed bulls are driven by what psychologists call 'counterfactual regret' - the haunting sense of what might have been.

Strahilevitz explains: 'These investors have been double traumatized. First in 2008 and 2009 they suffered until they said I can't take it anymore' and sold all their stocks. And now they've had to deal with the trauma of watching the market go up and realizing they'd be better off if only they hadn't gotten out.'

Like an annoying splinter, the regrets over being out of stocks are refreshed every day the market goes up. Apparently, watching stocks rise from the sideline is more painful than the perceived risk of buying at lofty prices.

Right but Wrong

The timing of retail investors reminds me of the Wall Street Journal. On March 9, 2009, the Journal ran a front-page article with the headline 'Dow 5,000 - There's a case for it.'

This headline stuck with me because Dow 5000 is what I predicted before the financial crisis hit in 2008. By the time the Journal pointed towards Dow 5,000, the Dow had already lost over 50%, and I moved into the bullish camp. Via a March 2, 2009 special ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter alert, I advised to buy, buy, and buy.

True, after the initial 40 - 50% gain I got suspicious and haven't trusted the market since. In hindsight that was foolish. Looking at fund flows, a large number of investors are just now starting to re-enter the market, which also seems foolish.

Based on that new data, catching the initial 40-50% of the rally was much more profitable, less nerve racking, and in risk-adjusted terms much more desirable than entering around current prices or being invested over the last year.

Even investors that entered as early as August 2009, when the S&P 500 traded around 1,000, have seen a gain of only 32%, if they stuck with it. At one point, the post-April 2010 decline and May 'Flash Crash' erased eight months worth of gains. The last 21 months of the rally were much more treacherous than the first three months, but delivered a lower return with more stress.

Why Wrong?

The two charts below illustrate how sentiment and money flow affect stocks (NYSEArca: VTI - News). The green bar represents buying pressure, and the red bar selling pressure.

At the March 2009 lows, the major indexes a la Dow (DJI: ^DJI), S&P (SNP: ^GSPC), and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) lost over half of their value, the financial sector (NYSEArca: XLF - News) lost nearly 80%, investors were fed up with stocks and threw in the towel.

At that time, there were no more sellers left. Without sellers pulling down prices, stocks had nowhere to go but up. That's what they did.

Since the S&P blew through my initial price target, I expected a reaction at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. The first chart below shows that normal market forces returned to Wall Street when the S&P reversed within points of reaching the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance   [chart]

At S&P 1,220 there were simply more sellers than buyers. As in every market, the stock market needs fresh dollars to create new bids and higher prices. When sellers outnumber buyers, prices tend to fall. That's what happened.

A Formula for Disaster

The second chart below extends beyond the April 2010 highs and visually explains what happened when the Fed's QE2 appeared on the scene. In essence, the money flow was altered.

A picture says more than a thousand words, and even though simplified, this chart visualizes the effect of QE2. It has kept a constant bid beneath prices. Due to QE2 the red selling pressure bar is allowed to continue growing.  At one point, the confined selling pressure will burst like a bubble and play havoc with prices. [chart]

All of this can be summarized in one formula:

Buying Pressure > Selling Pressure = Rising Stock Prices

How much Cash is on the Sidelines

Mutual fund cash levels are at an all time low of 3.4%. Even the 2007 all-time high saw mutual fund levels at 3.6%.

Currently, there are 2.4 times more assets invested in equity mutual funds than in money market funds. This is the highest ratio since after the 2007 peak but is lower than the peak ratio of 3.0.

According to Jason Goepfert with SentimenTrader, margin debt on the NYSE stood at $290 billion in January, one of the highest amounts in history. At the same time free credit dipped. Due to higher debt and lower credit, the available cash dropped to negative $46 billion, the worst figure since July 2007 (it was at negative $44 billion in April 2010).

Air Pocket Protection

QE2 has and possibly will extend the new mania and makes the possible future gains look so enticing. How do you milk this market without getting burned?

If you want the thrill of more gains you have to walk the tightrope. And if you're going to walk the tightrope you'll want a safety net.

A safety net doesn't assure a perfect performance but it keeps you safe and protects you from harm. In the investment world, a safety net - or early warning system - will get you out of stocks before it's too late.

In fact, the stock market builds its own safety nets; it's called support. As long as stocks teeter above support, the performance is solid while a break below usually means the show is either over or temporarily suspended. Either way, it's time to get out…’

 

Santelli: 'Good' Jobs Report Has Dark Side...

 

QE2 Watch Version 4.0: Fed Is 'Tone Deaf' and 'Spaghetti Tossing' Mason ‘The Federal Reserve continues to pump funds into the banking system. Reserve balances at Federal Reserve banks reached $1.3 trillion on March 2, 2011. This is up from $1.1 trillion on

February 2 and up from $1.0 trillion on December 29, 2010.

These balances serve as a relatively good proxy for the excess reserves in the banking system which averaged $1.2 trillion over the two-week period ending February 23, 2011.

As we have reported before, there are two drivers of this increase in bank reserves. The first, connected with the Fed’s program of quantitative easy, is the acquisition of United State Treasury securities.

Over the past four weeks the Federal Reserve has added almost $100 billion to its portfolio of Treasury securities. Only about $18 billion of these purchases were offset by maturing Federal Agency issues and mortgage-backed securities.

Since the end of last year, the Fed has added $220 billion to its Treasury security portfolio. In this case the Fed was replacing a $48 billion decline in the other securities that were maturing.

And, in the past 13-week period, Almost $320 billion were added to the Treasury portfolio, replacing about $80 billion in maturing Agency issues and mortgage-backed securities.

The second driver has been the action surrounding Treasury deposits with Federal Reserve banks. Since these deposits are a liability of the Fed, a reduction in these deposits increases reserves in the banking system. There are two important accounts here, the Treasury’s General Account and the Treasury’s Supplementary Financing Account.

The Supplementary Financing Account has been used for monetary purposes and in the current case, the Treasury has reduced the funds in this account by $100 billion. All of this reduction came in February.

The Treasury’s General Account is used in conjunction with Treasury Tax and Loan accounts at commercial banks and is the account that the Treasury writes checks on. Generally tax monies are collected in the Tax and Loan accounts and then are drawn into the Federal Reserve account as the Treasury wants to write checks. When the Treasury writes a check, it is deposited in commercial banks, so that bank reserves increase.

Over the past four weeks, the Treasury’s General Account has dropped by almost $70 billion. Thus, between this account and the Treasury’s Supplementary Financing Account the Fed has injected almost $170 billion reserves into the banking system in February.

I need to call attention to the fact that funds moving into and out of the General Account can vary substantially. For example, since the end of the year (which includes the February change) this account has only fallen by $39 billion. Over the last 13-week period, the account has actually increased by $4 billion. Tax collections build up toward the end of the year and then are spent during the first quarter of the year preparing for another buildup around April 15, tax collection time.

The bottom line, the Federal Reserve is seeing that plenty of reserves are being put into the banking system. But, the commercial banks seem to be holding onto the reserves rather than lending them out.

Still, the growth rates of both measures of the money stock seem to be accelerating. The year-over-year growth rate of the M1 measure of the money stock was growing by about 5.5% in the third quarter of 2010. The growth rate increased to 7.7% in the fourth quarter and is growing at a 10.2% rate in January 2011.

The M2 measure of the money stock has also accelerated, going from a year-over-year rate of increase of 2.5% in the third quarter to 3.3% in the fourth quarter to 4.3% in January.

On the surface these increases in money stock look encouraging in terms of possible future economic growth. However, we are still seeing the same behavior of individuals and businesses in the most recent period that we have observed over the past two years.

The growth rates of both measures of the money stock still seem to be coming from people that are getting out of short term "investment" vehicles and are placing these funds in demand deposits or other transaction accounts, or in currency.

The first piece of evidence of this relates to the reserves in the banking system. The total reserves in the banking system have remained roughly constant over the past year. Yet, the required reserves of the banking system have increased by 10% year-over-year. This situation could only happen if demand deposit-type of accounts, which require more reserves behind them, were increasing relative to time and savings accounts, which have smaller reserve requirements.

Looking at the individual account items we see that demand deposits at commercial banks rose at a 20% year-over-year rate of growth in January. The non-M1 part of the M2 measure of the money stock rose by only an anemic 3% rate. Thus, the substantial shift in funds from time and savings accounts to transaction accounts continues. There is no indication of a speeding up of money stock growth connected with the reserves that the Fed is injecting into the banking system.

An even more dramatic shift can be seen if we include institutional money funds in the equation and look at what has happened in the banking system over the past nine weeks. The non-M1 portion of M2 increased by $22 billion over this time period. However, funds kept in institutional money funds declined by roughly $40 billion. This means that accounts that Milton Freidman would have labeled "a temporary abode of purchasing power" actually declined by $18 billion since the start of the year.

Demand deposits and other checkable deposits rose by about $21 billion. One could note that currency in the hands of the public also rose by $16 billion.

The public continues to move money from relatively liquid short-term savings vehicles to assets that can be spent by check or cash. This is not the kind of behavior one gets in an economy that is confident and expanding. This behavior can roughly be called "defensive".

So, another month has gone by. The Fed is aggressively executing its program of quantitative easing. Yet, it still seems to be "pushing on a string." Why is it I retain the feeling that the Federal Reserve’s effort is just spaghetti tossing, seeing what might stick to the wall?

The longer this policy continues, the less confidence people seem to have in both Ben Bernanke and the Federal Reserve. I shutter to think what Bernanke and the Fed will do to us when the banking system actually does start lending again.

Note that some members of the Fed’s Open Market Committee are suggesting that QE2 end abruptly at the end of June when the current program is slated to expire. (See "Policy Makers Signal Abrupt End to Bond Purchases in June")

Does everyone in the Fed seem "tone deaf" to you? They just seem to act on pre-conceived ideas and have no sense or feel of the banking system and financial markets. Another confidence raiser.’

 

 

Warning: Stocks, Bond Yields Overvalued SuttmeierWe begin Friday with a new ValuEngine Valuation Warning which occurs when more than 65% of all stocks become overvalued. Today 66.4% of all stocks are overvalued as the market attempts to rebound back to the February 18 highs, when 68.6% of all stocks were overvalued. A higher bond yield is an important factor that makes stocks more overvalued. In addition to a new valuation warning all 16 sectors are overvalued, 14 by double-digit percentages.

Beware of Improved Jobless Claims -- If Initial Jobless Claims start to trend below 350,000 per week, the FOMC will likely allow QE2 to end at the end of June, and the market is anticipating QE3. Higher materials and energy costs are starting to be passed on to consumers. With regular gasoline approaching $3.50 per gallon, folks on Main Street, USA, will be driving less, which will become a drag on the economy. In his testimonies earlier this week Fed Chief Bernanke recognized this inflation trend as he called it temporary. The extended period for the “zero to .25%” federal funds rate began December 16, 2008, and this environment of high commodities prices and lower jobless claims should bring this extended period to an end at the end of June even if unemployment is above 9%.

The major equity averages remain below their February 18 highs when the Dow Industrial Average reached 12,391. My proprietary analytics still show weekly and monthly resistances to limit the upside even if some of the averages continue to new highs.

Key Levels for the Major Equity Averages

  • The Dow Industrial Average (12,258) Libya Trading Range: 11,983 to 12,391. My daily and annual value levels are 11,917 and 11,491 with weekly and monthly risky levels at 12,461 and 12,741.
  • The S&P 500 (1331.0) Libya Trading Range: 1294 to 1344. My daily and quarterly value levels are 1290.9 and 1262.5 with weekly and monthly risky levels at 1352.9 and 1381.3.
  • The NASDAQ (2799) Libya Trading Range: 2706 to 2840. My daily value level is 2691 with weekly, quarterly and monthly risky levels are 2860, 2853, and 2926.
  • The NASDAQ 100 (NDX) (2372) Libya Trading Range: 2285 to 2403. My daily value level is 2279 with weekly, quarterly, and monthly risky levels at 2436, 2438, and 2499.
  • Dow Transports (5111) Libya Trading Range: 4918 to 5306. My daily and quarterly value levels are 4793 and 4671 with weekly and annual pivots at 5150 and 5179.
  • The Russell 2000 (828.89) Libya Trading Range: 795 to 838. Daily and quarterly value levels are 795.83 and 765.50 with monthly risky level at 850.79.
  • The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) (464.77) Libya Trading Range: 439 to 474. My daily value level is 441.14 with a monthly pivot is 453.89, quarterly pivot at 465.93 and weekly risky level at 493.15.


10-Year Note -- (3.570) Weekly, annual, and semiannual value levels are 3.630, 3.796, and 4.268 with daily, monthly, annual, and semiannual risky levels at 3.355, 3.002, 2.690, 2.441, and 2.322. [chart]

Comex Gold -- ($1417.1) Annual, quarterly, weekly, semiannual, and annual value levels are $1356.5, $1331.3, $1.316.1, $1300.6, and $1187.2 with monthly, quarterly, daily, and semiannual risky levels at $1437.7, $1441.7, 1442.2, and $1452.6.[chart]

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($101.82) Monthly, weekly, and semiannual value levels are $96.43, $89.76, and $87.52 with my annual pivots at $99.91 and $101.92, and daily, semiannual, and quarterly risky levels are $112.14, $107.14 and $110.87.[chart]

The Euro -- (1.3958) My weekly and quarterly value levels are 1.3690 and 1.3227 with a daily pivot at 1.3929. Semiannual, monthly, and annual risky levels are 1.4624, 1.4637, 1.4989, 1.6367, and 1.7312.[chart]

Daily Dow -- (12,258) Daily, annual, quarterly, semiannual, and semiannual value levels are 11,917, 11,491, 11,395, 10,959, and 9,449 with weekly, monthly, and annual risky levels at 12,461, 12,741,and 13,890.[chart]

 

 

 

Today's Markets: Betting on Blue Skies? Moenning ‘Good morning. I am often asked why I get up so early every morning to write about something as mundane as the stock market. The answer is simple. My primary objective relating to the market is to stay in tune with the drivers of the action. And since those drivers are constantly changing (and at times more than a little difficult to find), getting an early start is the only way to keep up. Many times, the way the market reacts to the early morning news tells you more than the news itself. Thus, I'm of the mind that you've got to be there to witness the action and the accompanying reaction firsthand if you want to truly understand what is going on in the game.

Thursday was a prime example of the market doing something that may have been unexpected. I'm not talking about the joyride to the upside at the open, as that was to be anticipated given the early inputs. No, I'm talking about the action in the afternoon. In short, stocks continued to move higher despite the fact that we had heard nothing further regarding the much ballyhooed Venezuelan peace plan and that oil prices were once again movin' on up.

Here's the deal. During the current consolidation phase, stocks have been inversely linked to the movement in oil prices the vast majority of the time. The thinking has been that higher oil prices would eventually have a negative impact on the global economy. And with the U.S. economic rebound just now starting to look sustainable, another shock to the system could bring the R word back into the mix. However, Thursday afternoon's action in the stock market suggests that traders are instead betting on blue skies ahead.

With oil prices reversing early declines on growing skepticism over the ability of one Hugo Chavez to help out his good buddy over in Libya, one might have expected to see stock prices give up those big gains and take a swan dive into the close. Don't forget, oil only finished down $0.32 on the day and closed at $101.91. Thus, the story about the drop in oil prices that the press yammered on about all day seemed more than a little silly by the time the closing bell rang at the corner of Broad and Wall.

If you recall, a similar situation occurred on Wednesday. With the major indices teetering on the edge of important support, oil prices broke to new highs as the fighting in Libya intensified in the afternoon. And yet, while the bears appeared to have an opening, the bulls somehow managed to hold the line.

So, given that traders have been treated to a big batch of better-than-expected economic data this week, the action over the past two sessions seems to suggest that the economy may trump the worry about what might (or might not) happen with oil prices. Some traders may have been positioning themselves in front of this morning's Jobs report after Wednesday's ADP data and Thursday's big drop in weekly jobless claims (jobless claims came in at the lowest level since May 2008). Some may have been covering shorts after the technical support levels held up. And while one afternoon does not a trend make, some traders may have been readying themselves for the next leg up. After all, up until the trouble in MENA started, just about everyone agreed that U.S. stocks had some room to run to the upside this year.

Heck, even Jean Claude Trichet may be getting into the act of betting on blue skies ahead. Yesterday, Mr. Trichet suggested, as only a central banker can, that the ECB may need to start pulling back on their quantitative easing program and start raising rates - as early as next month. Thus, the folks at the center of the European debt crisis may also be seeing some clearing in the clouds.

Turning to this morning... Hopes for a peace deal in Libya appear to be fading as oil climbs above $103 this morning. However, foreign markets are up nicley and the day is all about the jobs report, so let's get to it...

On the Economic front... The Labor Department reported that Nonfarm Payrolls rose in the month of February by 192,000. This was just slightly below the consensus estimates for an increase of 198,000. The January totals were revised higher to 58K from 36K and the combination of revisions for January and December produced an increase of 58K jobs.The private sector (aka the household survey) showed gains of 222K jobs, which again was above the estimates.

The nation’s Unemployment Rate was once again a big surprise as it fell to 8.9%, which was below the expectations for a reading of 9.1% and January’s level of 9.0%.

Although stock futures initially rallied on the jobs report, crude's continued rude rise has pushed prices lower in the last few minutes...

Thought for the day: Best of luck on this Friday and be sure to enjoy the weekend!

Pre-Game Indicators

Here are the Pre-Market indicators we review each morning before the opening bell...

  • Major Foreign Markets:
    • Australia: +1.14%
    • Shanghai: +1.35%
    • Hong Kong: +1.25%
    • Japan: +1.02%
    • France: +0.28%
    • Germany: +0.59%
    • London: +0.52%
  • Crude Oil Futures: +$1.39 to $103.30
  • Gold: +$1.60 to $1418.00
  • Dollar: lower against the Yen, higher vs. Euro and Pound
  • 10-Year Bond Yield: Currently trading at 3.524
  • Stocks Futures Ahead of Open in U.S. (relative to fair value):
    • S&P 500: -0.62
    • Dow Jones Industrial Average: -2
    • NASDAQ Composite: -1.20

Wall Street Research Summary

Upgrades:

  • Progressive (PGR) - BofA/Merrill
  • Marathon Oil (MRO) - Target increased at Deutsche Bank
  • Valero Energy (VLO) - Target increased at Deutsche Bank
  • Western Refining (WNR) - Target increased at Deutsche Bank
  • Dollar Tree (DLTR) - Goldman Sachs
  • Capital One (COF) - Morgan Stanley
  • Simcere Pharmaceutical (SCR) - Oppenheimer
  • Altera (ALTR) - RW Baird
  • Fairchild Semiconductor (FCS) - RW Baird
  • Intel (INTC) - RW Baird
  • Lattice Semiconductor (LSCC) - RW Baird
  • ON Semiconductor (ONNN) - RW Baird
  • STMicroelectronics (STM) - RW Baird
  • Foot Locker (FL) - Sterne, Agee
  • Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) - UBS
  • Viacom (VIA) - Estimates and target increased at UBS

Downgrades:

  • Citi (C) - BofA/Merrill
  • Goldman Sachs (GS) - BofA/Merrill
  • Amylin Pharmaceuticals (AMLN) - BMO Capital
  • Cephalon (CEPH) - Oppenheimer
  • Canadian Pacific (CP) - Target reduced at RBC
  • Cerus Corporation (CERS) - RW Baird
  • Monster Worldwide (MWW) - William Blair…’

 

 

Former Goldman director charged with insider trading Globe & Mail | Raj Rajaratnam, the founder of hedge fund Galleon Group, is on trial on criminal insider-trading charges.

 

Why the Dollar’s Reign Is Near an End Wall Street Journal | Fully 85% of foreign-exchange transactions world-wide are trades of other currencies for dollars.

 

Oil Price Shock; You Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet The most common cause of a spiking oil price is supply shock. We may be seeing just such a phenonenon right now with the effective shut down of Libyan oil. But sometimes it’s excessive demand that does the damage.

 

Oil price rises as Libya tensions grow Crude oil rose by more than $1 as fighting in Libya intensified and amid reports of protests in Saudi Arabia’s oil-producing eastern region.

 

LSE head quits over Gaddafi cash: Resignation as top judge appointed to probe Libyan links Sir Howard Davies paid the price last night for the London School of Economics’ controversial financial links with Libya.

 

You Call This An Economic Recovery? 44 Million Americans On Food Stamps and 10 Other Reasons Why The Economy Is Simply Not Getting Better When Barack Obama, the Federal Reserve and the mainstream media tell us that we are in the middle of an economic recovery, is that supposed to be some kind of sick joke?

 

  
Wisconsin Governor To Issue 1500 Layoff Notices Unless Fugitive Democrats Return To The State In addition to “stagflation” which we announced in January would be the word of the year, we now have a new contender in the running for what may soon be the most popular word for the next 10 months: “escalation.”

 

Silver’s Breaking Point As part of silver week, we have talked about all sorts of factors—supply, demand, futures, backwardation, and even the government’s manipulation of silver. The one critical factor that we didn’t mention is how megabanks have manipulated silver as of late, and the tremendous effect it has had on the market.

 

Gallup Reports Underemployment Surges To 19.9%, February “Jobs Situation Deteriorates”: As Bad As 2010 On one hand we have the Department of Truth about to tell tomorrow that NFP based on various seasonal and birth death adjustments increased by 250,000.

 

Utah Considers Return to Gold, Silver Coins It’s been nearly 80 years since the U.S. stopped using gold coins as legal currency, and nearly 40 since the world abandoned the gold standard, but the precious metal could be making a comeback in the United States — beginning in Utah.

 

 

 

National / World

 

Rolling Stone: Glenn Beck Rips Off Alex Jones Infowars.com | Rolling Stone Magazine has posted a part two to follow up on its profile of Alex Jones earlier this week.

 

Texas Plans to Implement REAL ID in 2013 Kurt Nimmo | Chief of Media Relations at Texas Department of Public Safety confirms state will conform to federal rules.

 

Infowars.com pushes ‘Defriend Day’ to #1 on Google Aaron Dykes | Campaign to draw-down from privacy predators on Facebook and other social media sites.

 

Big Brother: The Orwellian Nightmare Come True Mark Dice | Tremendous advances in technology often come with unforeseen consequences.

 

Liberated Libya Rejects US Intervention TRNN | On the streets of liberated Benghazi people say no to McCain, Lieberman and any US intervention.

 

 

World cheers as the CIA plunges Libya into chaos David Rothscum | Gaddafi is the main threat to US hegemony in Africa.

 

Obama Deceptively Answers Second Amendment Question It was yet another example demonstrating that some people in Mexico just don’t understand the concept of liberty, the Constitution, and the Bill of Rights.

 

Alex Jones Invades Twitter With Hillary Clinton this week admitting that the US military-industrial complex and the globalists are losing the information war to alternative media outlets that cover “real news,” Alex Jones is taking the Infowar to a whole new level by invading Twitter with a fresh culture jamming offensive designed to bring the truth to millions more people all over the world.

 

States Rebeling Against TSA: Texas The Latest To Legislate For Banning Grope-Downs, Naked Scanners Legislation has been introduced into the Texas House of Representatives that directly challenges the authority of the TSA in airports within the state, specifically aimed at criminalizing the use of naked body scanners and enhanced pat-downs.

 

Ron Paul Sets MSNBC Host Right On Taxes Cenk Uygur, MSNBC talking head, demonstrates how dishonest liberals can be when making arguments that the government has the right to steal your money at gunpoint. In an interview with Rep. Ron Paul, he characterizes a tax cut for the oil industry as a subsidy. Dr. Paul sets him right.

 

Dancing with Devil: ‘Intervention will be tragedy for Libyan people’ The Libyan leader Colonel Gaddafi is promising more violence if US or NATO forces dare to intervene, while the US is preparing for a humanitarian mission in Libya and the UK has already started one.

 

On the Edge: Intervention Fears Rise as US, UK Forces Mass Near Libya The U.S. and UK are becoming more isolated as they refuse to rule out intervention in Libya. Germany has joined international voices opposing any foreign military action. Washington, massing its forces off the Libyan coast, claims its keeping all options open and is ready to step in if the crisis deepens.

 

Oil Price Shock; You Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet The most common cause of a spiking oil price is supply shock. We may be seeing just such a phenonenon right now with the effective shut down of Libyan oil. But sometimes it’s excessive demand that does the damage.

 

Oil price rises as Libya tensions grow Crude oil rose by more than $1 as fighting in Libya intensified and amid reports of protests in Saudi Arabia’s oil-producing eastern region.

 

LSE head quits over Gaddafi cash: Resignation as top judge appointed to probe Libyan links Sir Howard Davies paid the price last night for the London School of Economics’ controversial financial links with Libya.

 

 

You Call This An Economic Recovery? 44 Million Americans On Food Stamps and 10 Other Reasons Why The Economy Is Simply Not Getting Better When Barack Obama, the Federal Reserve and the mainstream media tell us that we are in the middle of an economic recovery, is that supposed to be some kind of sick joke?

 

Obama declares state governors will enforce health care bill whether they like it or not At a recent meeting with US state governors in Washington, DC, President Obama made clear his intent to force the individual states to comply with his unconstitutional health care overhaul.

 

 

Soros Threatens Iran With “Bloodiest Of Revolutions” More “transparency and accountability” was needed from other producers such as Saudi Arabia he said. Mr Soros also predicted the Iranian regime would be overthrown in the “bloodiest of the revolutions”.

 

Computer Expert: US Was Behind Stuxnet Virus A computer expert at the influential TED Conference in California has confirmed what the New York Times already admitted in January – that the same governments calling for draconian cybersecurity powers in order to protect against cyber warfare were themselves the culprits behind an act of cyber warfare that could have triggered a new Chernobyl disaster in launching the Stuxnet worm attack against Iran.

 

 

The TV Column: Charlie Sheen keeps talking; CBS gets in on the conversation (Washington Post) [Wobama says daffy gaddafi’s time is up, got to go. The same can be said of wobama et als and his fraudulently failed presidency.   Sheen On Obama: “A Coward In a Cheap Suit”   [ I think Sheen to be too gentle in his criticism of wobama (Some might reflexively, defensively allege drugs (prescription or otherwise) or any number of the varied personality disorders so prevalent in america … ‘fuzzy, California laid back thinking’, ‘whatever’… Who knows? ) But, that said, wobama’s far worse than just a ‘coward in a cheap suit’. Indeed, Wobama’s a total fraud having been elected under false pretenses; viz., his total, unequivocal, and unfulfilled b*** s*** (those campaign promises) ! Moreover, there has been some persuasive documentation questioning wobama’s citizenship / birthplace placing his eligibility to even hold the office of president in question.  Drudgereport: UPDATE: Huckabee claims Obama grew up in Kenya...      The Obama Nation, by Jerome Corsi  Rezko was corrupt, and supported Obama in many campaigns as well as in Obama buying his home -- and therefore, according to Corsi, Obama is corrupt by ...www.ontheissues.org/Obama_Nation.htm  ] Amidst the controversy of his wild interview on the Alex Jones Show yesterday, actor Charlie Sheen wasted little time in confronting President Barack Obama on his failure to answer Sheen’s twenty questions concerning 9/11, calling Obama, “a coward in a cheap suit.”        A Government Shut-down Imperils the Power of Congress Paul Craig Roberts | Congress could try to protect its loss of the power of the purse by impeaching Obama.       Drudgereport: WOBAMA 'IMPEACHMENT' WARNING...   ...to announce exploratory committee 'in 10 days'         Globalist Shill Barack Obama Asks Business Leaders For Job Creation Ideas Even As He Ships More Of Our Jobs Overseas As Part Of The New One World Economy The other day, Barack Obama summoned a group of business and labor leaders to the White House and “challenged” them to come up with some great ideas for creating more jobs inside the United States.   Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post). Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’: Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post) Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’:  

But still it’s ‘hands off fraudulent wall street’ to theirs, the nation’s, and the world’s detriment. Firms subpoenaed in attempt to regain Fannie, Freddie losses (Washington Post). But there’s a reason:

The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  ( UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown. ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1  – well worth a look. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

While boner and barton are indeed jokes / vegetables that bespeak the single-digit approval rate for congress, obama’s failure to deliver on promises with as well, endless war spending despite defacto bankruptcy of the nation and a watered down nothing financial regulation bill for talking points but little substance, make him as big a joker, along with the dems. This well researched / produced video tells the real story :  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1   ‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ – well worth the view.    [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends ]

‘The Obama Deception’ Censored  A viral You Tube upload of one of Alex Jones’ most popular feature films ‘The Obama Deception’ has been censored following a spur of the moment campaign to elevate the movie’s title to the top of the major internet search engines.      In light of this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if incomplete)     http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257#           For the Same Reason I’ve Included Here a Web Site Archived FLV Version of Esoteric Agenda          http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv   

 Cohen: Time for Arabs to reject anti-semitism (Washington Post) [ Reality check … time for israelis / jews to reject zionism and all that is entailed therein, including an alternate reality that defies credulity, rationality, and facts; such as, a self-rationalizing greed, anti-arab / anti-Christian predisposition and the ‘Oedipal Effect’ (blowback) engendered thereby. No, Johnny Carson was not anti-semitic (Fred Silverman), same for Charlie Sheen (Chuck Lorre), etc. (the list is endless inasmuch as when facts are not on their side, such specious inflammatory arguments as ‘anti-semitism’, prejudice, are a convenient subterfuge distracting from their weak position; ie., illegal nukes, war crimes, ignoring u.n. resolutions, ie., 242, 338, etc., ignoring international law. At best, no … God did not give them this land … at worst, God took the land back when they with roman muscle crucified Christ. Balfour was an arbitrary, incompetent, british joke.).  ] ]  Article | Tuesday will be known as the day we heard from The Receiving End of Charlie Sheen's Scorched Earth Media Tour.

 

Lt. Gen. John Kelly, who lost son to war, says U.S. largely unaware of sacrifice (Washington Post) [ I disagree! They are very much aware; as they stand in unemployment lines, use food stamps to get by, etc.. I hate to sound cavalier and I’m sorry that Kelly lost a son to war, but along with the multitude of civilians in the nations unlucky enough to provide a source of corporate welfare to the military industrial complex and war profiteering for the few (as warned against by President General Eisenhower), they died for nothing, for no good reason beyond the false propaganda.  Six NATO troops killed in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ Is there something wrong with the following picture? … am I missing something?       Gates's warning: Avoid land war in Asia, Middle East, and Africa Christian Science Monitor - In a speech to cadets at the United States Military Academy at West Point, Gates's message was clear: The US military services, as well as the elected and appointed civilians who send them to war, need better ways of foreseeing and preparing for ...     Gates Tells US Army to Take New Approach Voice of America    Warning Against Wars Like Iraq and Afghanistan New York Times  [ Better said, than unsaid; but, methinks a bit late for that in light of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s consummate decline and fall! If only they had listened and not shot at the messenger … things could have been different!    ]    

 

 

Bernanke: Fed will respond if oil prices trigger inflation (Washington Post) [ If? Come on … don’t make me laugh!    Inflation Is Here – Just Open Up Your Eyes And Look At These 5 Financial Charts!  (see infra) Despite what Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke says, rampant inflation is officially here. The federal government is constantly monkeying with the numbers to keep the “official” rate of inflation below 2 percent, but it is becoming very difficult to deny that the cost of almost everything is really going up these days.  … Merk ‘…While we believe food inflation will be with us for quite some time and may contribute to an unstable world possibly for years to come, the Federal Reserve appears to be firmly in the camp of heavily discounting food inflation. The European Central Bank (ECB), in contrast, has historically taken commodity inflation more seriously than the Fed – ECB President Trichet talks about his concern over "second round effects," i.e., commodity inflation stirring inflation throughout the value chain.

The relevance of all this is that in the U.S. it’s business as usual as far as monetary policy is concerned. According to Fed Chair Bernanke, the U.S. economy must grow at a rate of at least 2.5% per annum just to keep unemployment stable, however, he has made it clear that he will pursue policies to boost growth above that level. With oil prices soaring, he is facing yet another headwind. Rather than mopping up the liquidity that, in our assessment, has contributed to global commodity inflation, he may be tempted to keep the printing press in high gear to promote economic growth.

It doesn’t really matter whether we think there is a crisis. What matters is that the Fed doesn’t think its policies are contributing to global instability and continues on its expansionary path…’

 

 

Gerald Celente: “There is no recovery — it’s a coverup!” Sic Semper Tyrannis | Celente argues the oil prices have been going up before the recent chaos in the Middle East. ‘…One other point brought out by Gerald Celente is the fact that the current puppet regime in the White House is “cooking the books” on the unemployment numbers and current inflation rates. They are making their own rules on how to determine inflation rates by leaving out essential information such as food and fuel prices. The same is being done with White House unemployment numbers by simply leaving out those who have given up looking for jobs, as well as other deceptive “carnie” tricks (in reference to White House spokesperson Carnie) in which he compares the administration to a traveling carnival act.

In closing, Celente states:

“… There is no recovery, it’s a coverup. It’s only being boosted by these low interest rates, which again, when inflation skyrockets- they’re gonna have to raise them …‘

 Jim Rogers: “Saudi Arabia Is Lying About Being Able To Increase Its Oil Production” Jim Rogers joins Zero Hedge in being highly skeptical about just how credible Saudi’s call for a 1MM + boost in its oil supply is: “Saudi Arabia has been lying about the reserves for decades. Saudi Arabia the last two times said they are going to increase production and they couldn’t increase production. Don’t fall for that.  ]  Federal Reserve chairman says he does not expect a major impact on consumer prices.

 

House Republicans press SEC on official's ties to Madoff (Washington Post) [ The ultimate subterfuge. Mr. small potatoes madoff the focus of so much influence … yet he’s in jail … and the only one … Boy, did mary shapiro become total b*** s*** fast … the current shibboleth of  capital hill / all 3 branches of pervasively corrupt u.s. government … joining the others: “The Financial Industry Has Become So Politically Powerful That It Is Able To Inhibit the Normal Process of Justice And Law Enforcement” The economy cannot stabilize unless fraud is prosecuted. But the folks in D.C. seem determined to turn a blind eye to Wall Street shenanigans, and is now moving to defund the enforcement agencies like the SEC and CFTC.      Market Crash 2011: It Will Hit by Christmas   Farrell, MarketWatch  SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — ‘Politicians lie. Bankers lie. Yes, they’re liars. But they’re not bad, it’s in their genes, inherited. Their brains are wired that way, warn scientists. Like addicts, they can’t help themselves. They want to sell stuff, get rich…’

‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]

 

 

 

  ]  House Republicans ramp up pressure on SEC Chairman Mary Schapiro.

 

 

Ethics code urged for Supreme Court  (Washington Post) [  Sounds like a plan! Come on! Wake up! After all, what can you expect from two guidos from ‘jersey (alito and scalia, colloquial – note that I have refrained from using what some might consider disparaging terms as w*p*, gui***s, or da***s … and let me state for the record that I truly loved and respected my grandmother who was 100% Italian/Bari,Italy and as well my grandfather/Lake Como,northern Italy with greek ancestral roots and I thereby claim standing/right to posit the criticism in light of my direct experience. ). How ‘bout starting with enforcing laws as to judges, liars, etc., within the very corrupted american illegal system; and, particularly bribes which in one form or another are rampant . I don’t know about Thomas ( 3-4-11  Throw Clarence Thomas Off the Bench (The Daily Beast)  ) , but I do know about alito and ‘jersey … :                                                                                                                    

October 15, 2010 (*see infra)

 

 

Steven M. Martinez, Assistant Director In Charge
Federal Bureau of Investigation, USDOJ
11000 Wilshire Blvd., Suite 1700

Los Angeles, CA 90024

 

 

Dear Sir:

 

I enclose herewith 3 copies of the within DVD rom autorun disk (which will open in your computer’s browser) as per your office’s request as made this day (the disk and contents have been scanned by Avast, McAfee, and Norton which I’ve installed on my computer to prevent viral attacks / infection and are without threat). I also include 1 copy of the DVD as filed with the subject court as referenced therein (which files are also included on the aforesaid 3 disks in a separate folder named ‘112208opocoan’). The (civil) RICO action (as you’re aware, the RICO Act is a criminal statute which provides a civil remedy, including treble damages and attorney fees, as an incentive for private prosecution of said claims probably owing to the fact that the USDOJ seems somewhat overwhelmed and in need of such assistance given the seriousness and prevalence of said violations of law which have a corrupting influence on the process, and which corruption is pervasive). A grievance complaint against Coan was also filed concurrently with the subject action and held in abeyance pending resolution of the action which was illegally dismissed without any supporting law and in contravention of the Order of The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District Connecticut. The files below the horizontal rule are the referenced documents as filed. (Owing to the damage to the financial interests of both the U.S. and the District of Congresswoman Roybal-Allard, viz., Los Angeles, the Qui Tam provisions of the Federal False Claims Act probably would apply and I would absent resolution seek to refer the within to a firm with expertise in that area of the law with which I am not familiar).

 

 

The document in 5 pages under penalty of perjury I was asked to forward to the FBI office in New Haven is probably the best and most concise summary of the case  RICO Summary to FBI Under Penalty of Perjury at Their Request (5 pages)      [  ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf   http://albertpeia.com/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf          ].

 

 

The correspondence I received from the Congresswoman by way of email attachment (apparent but typical problem with my mail) along with my response thereto is included on the 3 disks as     fbicorrespondencereyes.htm     .   With regard to the calls to the FBI’s LA and New Haven, CT offices: There was one call to the LA office and I was referred to the Long Beach, CA office where I personally met with FBI Agent Jeff Hayes to whom I gave probative evidentiary documents of the money laundering which he confirmed as indicative of same (he was transferred from said office within approximately a month of said meeting and his location was not disclosed to me upon inquiry). The matter was assigned to FBI Agent Ron Barndollar and we remained in touch for in excess of a decade until he abruptly retired (our last conversation prior to his retirement related to the case and parenthetically, Rudy Giuliani whose father I stated had been an enforcer for the mob to which he registered disbelief and requested I prove it, which I did – he served 12 years in prison, aggravated assault/manslaughter? – and no, there is no Chinese wall of separation – Andrew Maloney’s the one that prosecuted gotti).

 

 

In contradistinction to the statement in said correspondence, there is a plethora of information including evidence supporting the claims set forth in the    RICO VERIFIED COMPLAINT    (see infra). Such includes and as set forth in the case, inter alia,

 

 

  1. A judgment had been entered in my favor in the case, United States District Court Case #3:93cv02065(AWT)(USDCJ Alvin Thompson), worth approximately now in excess of $300,000 remains unaccounted for and which could be used for payment to creditors, Los Angeles, etc..
  2. Counsel Robert Sullivan on my behalf documented by way of certification upon investigation that Alan Shiff, USBCJ, had falsely stated a dismissal upon which false statement he predicated a retaliatory and spurious contempt proceeding against me causing substantial damage, and for which he sought Judicial Notice of those and related proceedings as did I in some of my filings.
  3. The Order of Dismissal With Prejudice by Alan Shiff, USBCJ, owing to Defendant Coan’s failure to file anything whatsoever by the court’s deadline causing creditors and me substantial damages:   [  Shiff Order of Dismissal With Prejudice on Coan’s Failure to File        Page 1                Page 2          ]
  4. Defendant Coan had filed an action against me to prevent me from suing him which necessitated me to fly to Connecticut for a hearing before The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District of Connecticut, who denied Coan’s requested relief as to Coan but precluded my action against Shiff (although there is no immunity, judicial or otherwise, for criminal acts, ie., fraud connected with a case under Title 11, USC, etc.) . [   transcript in pertinent part -     crossexamofcoanbypeia.pdf   ]
  5. Newly appointed judge, Maryanne Trump Barry, Donald Trump’s sister, was assigned the RICO case despite the conflict of interest in light of hundreds of thousands of dollars of illegal (drug) money being laundered through the Trump casinos by the RICO defendants, and despite my motion to recuse her which motion she heard herself and denied, and U.S. Trustee Hugh Leonard with whom I met personally refused to join or file a separate motion to recuse and not long thereafter left said office for private practice at Cole, Shotz, et als on retainer with the RICO defendants as his primary client.
  6. Probative and evidentiary documents, affidavits, exhibits, including those turned over to FBI Agent Jeff Hayes in Long Beach, CA, had been given to Assistant U.S. Attorney Jonathan Lacey with whom I met personally at the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Newark, N.J., at which time Samuel Alito was U.S. Attorney, and went over said documents and their probative value with him. Within approximately a month thereafter upon inquiry I was told that Jonathon Lacey was no longer with the office, that the file/documents could not be located, and that there was no further information available concerning contacting him or his location. I thereupon delivered by hand, copies of said documents to the office of then U.S. Attorney Alito, addressed to him, with assurance they would go directly to him. In addition to being inept [ I looked in on the one mob case he had brought, bungled, lost (accidently on purpose?) since I was suing some mob-connected under RICO and the court (I had known / previously met outside of court the judge Ackerman through a client) was absolute bedlam and a total joke since incompetent corrupt Alito brought in all 20 mob defendants (rather than prosecute one or a few to flip them first) who feigning illness had beds/cots in the courtroom along with their moans during testimony and had the jury in stitches. As much as I hate the mob, it truly was funny, if not so tragic.],   Alito is also corrupt (and maybe corrupt because he is inept). After a reasonable (but still rather short) time I called to determine the status and was told that Alito was no longer with the Office of the U.S. Attorney, that he was (appointed) a federal judge, and that neither the documents nor any file or record of same could be located. Alito did parley the same / cover-up into quid pro quo direct lifetime appointment to the Court of Appeals, 3rd circuit, despite the absence of judicial experience or successful tenure as U.S. Attorney (Maryanne Trump Barry as well). This is the same Sam Alito that now sits on the purported highest court in the land. The real application of the illegal rule ‘don’t ask, don’t tell’.

 

 

There is applicable insurance / surety coverage and neither LA, nor creditors, nor I should continue to have been damaged by this brazened corrupt and illegal scenario, which should be resolved in accordance with the meaningful rules of law apposite thereto.

 

 

Sincerely,

 

 

Albert L. Peia

611 E. 5th Street, #404

Los Angeles, CA 90013

(213) 219-**** (cell phone)

(213) 622-3745 (listed land line but there are unresolved problems with the line, computer connection may be the reason but I hesitate to chance greater non-performance / worsening by their ‘fix’ so cell phone best for contact).

  ] Group of law professors' appeal comes after controversies involving travel and appearances at political events by several justices.

 

 

 

Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)     http://www.stansberryresearch.com/pro/1011PSIENDVD/LPSILC43/PR  [ The instant  video from Stansberry and Associates is so well researched  and succinctly presented  that I’ve archived same on my website; also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views I’ve presented on my site which I believe to be correct. This is a must-view, must-see that I strongly recommend!    
The complete url:     http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv  ( 146mb – approx. 1 hr. 17 min. )         http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.mp4    (  374mb  )     Written text of presentation (without pictures  / charts)  http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrypresentation.htm ]

 

 

Drudgereport: Gadhafi Keeps Tight Grip on Capital...
Major oil plant ablaze...
Oil millions still flow for Gadhafi...
Internet service cut again...
Battle for control...
Prayers Lead to Protests...
Rise of Islamist regimes...
AL-JAZEERA LIVE FEED... REUTERS WIRE...
Tables turned on one of Gaddafi's boy soldiers...

Rebels reject Chávez mediation offer...
Video: Bloody Battle...
Obama: Pentagon Examines 'Full Range' of Options...
Pump prices jump another 4 cents -- overnight...
Santelli: 'Good' Jobs Report Has Dark Side...

Layoffs At Pre-Recession Level; Job Openings Down 30%...
GALLUP: Unemployment Hits 10.3% in February...
UPDATE: More inconsistencies found in stimulus job creation claims...
UN: Food prices hit record high...

Gadhafi vows fight to last man...
'It's a conspiracy to take our oil'...
Rebels rout Gadhafi force attack on oil port...
Seek Airstrikes by Foreign Forces...
FARRAKHAN: JEWS PUSHING U.S. INTO WAR
Announced Job Cuts 'Rose 20% From Year Ago'...
Idaho county files for bankruptcy...
Delaware voters say no to Lobotomy Joe ….. Biden (the self-proclaimed zionist) -- for name of school...
'Wobama’s Where's Waldo?' Presidency...
All Former U.S. Presidents To Get Together For TV Special Honoring George H.W. Bush…(How totally pathetic they are! How embarrassing for NBC!) ... [ Wake up! http://albertpeia.com/bushcrimes.htm  ]
U.S. assault ships clear Suez, enter Med Sea on way to Libya...

Panic on borders...
...180,000 refugees pour into Tunisia, Egypt
Could become "a giant Somalia"...
AL-JAZEERA LIVE FEED... REUTERS WIRE...
Gunman kills 2 US airmen at German airport...

Shouts 'Allah Akbar' before shooting...
GOLD HITS NEW HIGH -- AGAIN...
Angry mob confronts Wisconsin GOP Senator...
     Video...
Wisc GOP passes bill to fine AWOL Dems...
White House seeks $15 billion from federal property sales...

OIL SHOCK AS MIDEAST SPIRALS
More Than 140,000 People Flee Libya...
Gadhafi forces retake towns near capital...
Cameron backtracks on no-fly zone plan...
Astonishing wealth of Gaddafi and his family revealed...
WIKILEAKS' ASSANGE CITED JEWISH CONSPIRACY...
YEMEN RAGES...

President says US, Israel behind unrest...
Fashion Week Führer: DIOR Fires Galliano After Racism Complaints...
'I love Hitler'...

'Your parents should have been gassed'...
FADE: OSCAR RATINGS DOWN 10% ...
Injury Added to Insult... [ In terms of production value (rich in content in every way), I believe this to be as good and in my view better than ever as award ceremonies can be without the inimitable Bob Hope. I believe any falloff can be directly attributable to last year the academy’s egregious misstep in over-looking ‘Avatar’ / Cameron presaging a similar fate concerning my clear choice of ‘Inception’ / Nolan ( Truth be told, I’ve yet to see ‘The King’s Speech’ failing to muster any enthusiasm for seeing a film centered around a ‘so-called royal’ trying to over-come a speech impediment, albeit a minor one, regardless of circumstances; viz., stuttering, though I would concede that it was probably well done. We all know of the problems attendant to english royal inbreeding…ho hum… I did find ‘The Black Swan’ superb but attribute same to my own bias and fascination with viewing female ballet dancing).  Bob Hope: Academy Awards, ‘passover’ … very funny! ]
CIVIL WAR WEEKEND

Armed pro-Gaddafi gangs roll in Tripoli...
...Shooting from ambulances...
GRAFFITI AND BARRICADES...
Gaddafi vows to crush protesters...
Egypt protesters dispersed by force...
Al Qaeda calls for revolt against Arab rulers...
Obama to Gaddafi: Leave now...
UN Security Council passes votes to sanction...
Gas prices surge 17 cents in a week...

Motorist Calls Police Over Rising Prices...
OBAMA: CAN WE DRILL NOW?
LONDON DRIVERS PAYING $9 A GALLON...
Spain reduces motorway speed limit to save oil...
WOBAMA 'IMPEACHMENT' WARNING...
  ...to announce exploratory committee 'in 10 days'
WEST MOVES MILITARY ASSETS AROUND LIBYA
CharlieSheen Publicist Runs For Hills...

Actor set to sue CBS for $320M, 'mental anguish'...
The Legal Letter...
THE 'TODAY' INTERVIEW...
NY MAG: Madoff on Madoff: The Jailhouse Tapes...

Government a Ponzi scheme...
CIVIL WAR WEEKEND...

Anti-Gaddafi forces widen control...
Take town 30 miles from Tripoli...
Security forces defect...
Armed pro-gangs roll in capital...
...shooting from ambulances
STUDY: World's sixth 'mass extinction' may be underway…[Much, much too optimistic relative to reality] ...

ISRAELI'S YOUTUBE SPOOF OF GADHAFI CATCHES ON IN ARAB WORLD...
Police station, state office burning in Oman town...
Tunisia prime minister resigns...
Gingrich to announce exploratory committee 'in 10 days' [ Neo-con Dreamin’! I mean, come on … are memories so short they don’t recall him being a total hypocrite, zionist shill,  and part of the problem though to his credit, he’s not a mobster and complete joke as is trump! ]
CHICAGOLAND: Lawmaker Suggests BOEING'S Contract Win A Result Of Dirty Politics...
[ The contract’s with money the nation doen’t really have anyway; and, the value of the money paid will be worth substantially less by completion; and, no surprise … Chicago hasn’t changed much from the days of capone and is rivaled in terms of corruption by such states as jersey, new york, etc..   ]  ‘…“I’m disappointed but not surprised,” Republican Sen. Richard Shelby said. “Only Chicago politics could tip the scales in favor of Boeing’s inferior plane. EADS clearly offers the more capable aircraft.”…’
Rep. Rangel Causes Stir In Courtroom; Reprimanded By Judge...NEW YORK (CBSNewYork)Congressman Charles Rangel caused a stir in court Friday while trying to lend his support for bail of Afrika Owes.Owes, 17, had been a student at the prestigious Deerfield Academy in Massachusetts. Prosecutors say she was also a member of a drug gang that terrorized 137th Street in Harlem.Owes was one of fourteen suspected  “137th Street Crew” gang members arrested last month. Prosecutors said the gang used shootings, beatings and robberies to protect their turf and gain street status on a stretch of West 137th Street. The gang allegedly openly dealt crack in apartment lobbies, near Harlem Hospital and near the Abyssinian Baptist Church. Congressman Charles Rangel argues for Owes getting bail to Juliet Papa of 1010 WINS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stocks rally(Washington Post) [ Come on! You can’t believe anything these desperate desparados say! What news, bad or good, don’t the frauds on wall street rejoice at (you can do that with manipulated cumputerized trading)   Drudgereport: Layoffs At Pre-Recession Level; Job Openings Down 30%...
GALLUP: Unemployment Hits 10.3% in February...
UPDATE: More inconsistencies found in stimulus job creation claims...
UN: Food prices hit record high...

Announced Job Cuts 'Rose 20% From Year Ago'...   

This manipulated bubble rally in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!

Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’      ] Wall Street rejoices in an unexpected drop in jobless claims.

 

 

Violent spring looming in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ See … something to look forward to … must be that good news that keeps getting pushed back … and spring no less … everything blooming, or in war criminal american-speak … ‘booming’ … but not the defacto bankrupt american economy for which a crash is ‘looming’. Could somebody help me out with a translation of gates’ speech a west point … I must be missing something … Lt. Gen. John Kelly, who lost son to war, says U.S. largely unaware of sacrifice (Washington Post) [ I disagree! They are very much aware; as they stand in unemployment lines, use food stamps to get by, etc.. I hate to sound cavalier and I’m sorry that Kelly lost a son to war, but along with the multitude of civilians in the nations unlucky enough to provide a source of corporate welfare to the military industrial complex and war profiteering for the few (as warned against by President General Eisenhower), they died for nothing, for no good reason beyond the false propaganda.  Six NATO troops killed in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ Is there something wrong with the following picture? … am I missing something?       Gates's warning: Avoid land war in Asia, Middle East, and Africa Christian Science Monitor - In a speech to cadets at the United States Military Academy at West Point, Gates's message was clear: The US military services, as well as the elected and appointed civilians who send them to war, need better ways of foreseeing and preparing for ...     Gates Tells US Army to Take New Approach Voice of America    Warning Against Wars Like Iraq and Afghanistan New York Times  [ Better said, than unsaid; but, methinks a bit late for that in light of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s consummate decline and fall! If only they had listened and not shot at the messenger … things could have been different!    ]     ]  American military officials expect that the Taliban will mount a campaign to regain ground lost to U.S. troops last year and use suicide bombing teams to strike at those associated with the Afghan government or coalition forces.

 

 

Public pension shortfalls could reach $1.5T (Washington Post) [ First, I think this is a low-ball estimate since it may assume some of the wildeyed assumptions beyond those being discounted in this figure. Then there’s social (in)security. Next, there’s the private pension shortfalls, particularly in the defined benefit plans. Most importantly is the defacto bankruptcy of the nation and the insurmountable debt / debt service attendant thereto. In sum, without exaggeration it really is quite a bad picture here beyond the paper fraud / froth frenzy on fraudulent wall street  which of course has and still remains a significant part of the problem. Prosecution, fines, disgorgement, well deserved of the frauds on wall street could significantly help lessen the shortfalls. ] The pension funds for state and local workers are understating the amount they will owe workers by $1.5T or more, according to some economists who have studied the issue, meaning that the benefits are much costlier than many governments thought.

 

 

Krauthammer: Converts to the Bush Doctrine (Washington Post) [ ‘bush doctrine’? What’s that? Moronics(http://albertpeia.com/bushisms.htm) , imbecility, war crimes (http://albertpeia.com/evilonthetarmac.htm ), etc.? Dumbya bush has been nothing less than a one-man wrecking crew, domestically and internationally and ‘wobama the b’(for b*** s***) has followed suit. Where do they get the likes of krauthammer on the right, Milbank on the left, etc.. Wake up! ]

 

U.S. prepares for possible rise of new Islamist regimes  Revolutions may bring a more religious cast to Mideast politics (Washington Post) [ Oh riiiiight! Pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, the ‘johnny on the spot’ when it comes to being ahead of the events / curve … and they’re so interested in democratization … as in Saudi Arabia, etc… Egypt, Serbia, Georgia… The History of US Sponsored “Democratization” There is a Russian proverb: only a fool learns from his own mistakes. As Georgia’s foreign minister visits his Egyptian counterpart, there are lessons for Egypt in similar revolutions in eastern Europe and the ex-Soviet Union. ] Recent developments have alarmed some who fear that the governments taking shape will inevitably undercut democratic reforms.

 

 

 

This manipulated bubble rally in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!

 

 

Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’

 

 

 

 

Commerce Data Shows Personal Incomes Rising but Few Americans Believe It  [ Yeah, they don’t believe it because it’s not true. Scandal scarred commerce department of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt, and very desperate america? Come on, give us all a break.   ] Zielinski ‘American workers should be celebrating the latest numbers from the U.S. Department of Commerce that show personal income at all time highs. Since taking a rather sharp dip during the recession of 2008-2009, personal income has soared to almost $13 trillion, up from $12 trillion in early 2009.

[chart] (Click to enlarge)

Getting Americans to believe that their incomes have actually increased is another story. While the Department of Commerce is reporting all time highs in income, another survey released by Fannie Mae shows the opposite.

Fannie Mae (FNMA.OB) conducts a National Housing Survey every quarter that polls homeowners and renters in depth about their confidence in homeownership, overall confidence in the economy and the current state of their household finances.

The latest National Housing Survey for the fourth quarter of 2010 polled 3,407 Americans and the results do not reflect the rosy income numbers reported by the Department of Commerce.

The survey revealed that 62% of all respondents believe the U.S. economy is on the wrong track, 60% reported that monthly household income was the same as a year ago and 34% said that their monthly expenses were "significantly higher" than a year ago. Only 19% of those polled said their incomes were significantly higher.

Keep in mind that Americans do not normally "inflation adjust" their perception of personal income – when respondents say that their income has not changed, it means they are receiving the same absolute amount of dollars, unadjusted for inflation.

[chart] (Click to enlarge)

Total personal income may have increased but income gains seem to have been limited to a small minority of Americans.

In any event, if most Americans have not seen an increase in their monthly incomes, there is little reason for comfort going forward. As higher oil and commodity prices work their way through the system, the basic cost of living will increase for everyone. If that’s not enough, once Fed Chairman Bernanke’s obsession with creating higher inflation succeeds, we are all apt to feel poorer.’

3 Market Valuation Indicators Continue to Signal Caution Short ‘Yesterday I posted monthly updates of the three valuation indicators I routinely follow:

  • The relationship of the S&P Composite to a regression trendline (more)
  • The cyclical P/E ratio using the trailing 10-year earnings as the divisor (more)
  • The Q Ratio — the total price of the market divided by its replacement cost (more)

This post is essentially an overview and summary by way of chart overlays of the three. To facilitate comparisons, I've adjusted the Q Ratio and P/E10 to their arithmetic mean, which I represent as zero. Thus the percentages on the vertical axis show the over/undervaluation as a percent above mean value, which I'm using as a surrogate for fair value. Based on the latest S&P 500 monthly data, the index is overvalued by 72%, 48% or 43%, depending on which of the three metrics you choose.

I've plotted the S&P regression data as an area chart type rather than a line to make the comparisons a bit easier to read. It also reinforces the difference between the two line charts — both being simple ratios — and the regression series, which measures the distance from an exponential regression on a log chart.

click to enlarge images

[chart]

The chart below differs from the one above in that the two valuation ratios (P/E and Q) are adjusted to their geometric mean rather than their arithmetic mean (which is what most people think of as the "average"). The geometric mean weights the central tendency of a series of numbers, thus calling attention to outliers. In my view, the first chart does a satisfactory job of illustrating these three approaches to market valuation, but I've included the geometric variant as an interesting alternative view for P/E and Q.

[chart]

As I've frequently pointed out, these indicators aren't useful as short-term signals of market direction. Periods of over- and under-valuation can last for years. But they can play a role in framing longer-term expectations of investment returns. At present they suggest a cautious outlook and guarded expections.’

 

 

Bulls Find a Way to Rally: Dave's Daily Stocks rallied on economic data (better than expected Jobless Claims & ISM Data) and hopes (I kid you not!) that Libya might accept mediation via Hugo Chavez which drove oil prices slightly lower. That's about the gist of it as best I can tell. Most markets reversed course with stocks higher, bonds much lower, precious metals down and commodities lower overall. I woke up this morning in Las Vegas (family reunion) and thought something big must have happened and other than the points rallied didn't really see that much. But, let's remember, bulls are a trigger happy bunch, believe the Fed might continue QE forever (more POMO today) and MENA is nothing to worry about "today". Further, with great expectations, bulls must believe the non-farm payrolls report Friday will bring much joy. One pundit yesterday noted markets were "resilient" and was grateful oil prices weren't "too high" (he must not commute). That's basically the bullish mindset. Retail Sales were reported as good and with oil still over $100; SUVs are believed to be flying off car lots. This is hard to imagine. The next "I got to have it" iPad2 was introduced and if you had the original would you really jump to the new one? Yes, for those in Hollywood or executive offices of hedge funds and Wall Street. But, no matter how you slice it this week has seen extraordinary volatility and it's not over yet…’

 

 

Bernanke Throws Gasoline on the Fire Payne ‘

Sustained rises in the prices of oil or other commodities would represent a threat both to economic growth and to overall price stability, particularly if they were to cause inflation expectations to become less well anchored. -Ben Bernanke

If it's all about expectations then I think the Federal Reserve Chairmen added gasoline to the fire on Tuesday. Many people already see inflation and don't expect it to go away anytime soon. This puts the Fed in a tough position because so far it has been able to get what it wants in the perception department. The wealth effect is creeping back. People aren't afraid to open their 401K statements. Yet, on that note, people aren't flocking to the stock market as most still seek comfort in precious metals or prefer cooling their heels on the sidelines.

Despite soaring consumer confidence surveys, to which Bernanke referred, visions of March 2009 burns bright in the minds of many. This actually makes the market more vulnerable to a series of lower moves based solely on a domino effect of fear. But this all falls into the emotion category, and while moves from these emotions can be sharp and abrupt, they don't reflect true value or future potential. What it does is create one heck of a dilemma. It also could be a heck of a challenge for investors, active and those on the sidelines, still smarting about that nuclear meltdown of 2009.

In the meantime, Bernanke might have sold the wisdom of QE 1 and 2 so well that the foregone conclusion is that there is no way the economy (stock market…wink) should need additional help. That means the stock market has to find new sources to make up for the Fed's $75.0 billion monthly injections. It's highly unlikely individual investors will make up that number, and professionals may not have the powder. Plus, those professionals are held to greater accountability. Yes, there are still trillions of dollars on the sidelines and people are becoming more eager to make money, but that still has to translate into taking chances. It's easier to take chances when one feels confident.

I continue to believe such confidence begins with our government. The House passed a stopgap budget bill giving lawmakers two weeks to figure out where to cut and by how much. Republicans in the House have already passed a bill with $61.0 billion in cuts but Democrats are balking. They point to a report from Goldman Sachs (GS) that says such cuts would decrease GDP by 1.5% to 2.0% in the second and third quarters. Mark Zandi says the cuts would cost 700,000 job losses through 2012. I beg to differ. Fiscal responsibility would embolden people to put money to work knowing their own government is becoming responsible.

But the White House holds the wildcard, and that's to lower corporate taxes. We saw consumer income climb from the payroll tax cut, I think we could see massive money pour into society the right way, through job hires and research and development. Let U.S. businesses bring money parked abroad back home and we could find a source to take the place of that $75.0 billion gravy train that will probably come to a halt in June. The market can handle higher prices as a consequence of lower unemployment and rising wages. But, the Fed has fueled the rise in crude as much as it has played the role in gold and silver spiking higher. There is a demand dynamic to crude, particularly in emerging markets.

Going into the close on Tuesday we also learned there is surprising domestic demand for petroleum.

American Petroleum Institute reported on changes in inventories.

Crude drawdown: 1.08 million barrels (consensus was build of 1.6 million)
Gasoline drawdown: 4.9 million barrels (consensus build of 900,000)
Distillates drawdown: 1.44 million (consensus drawdown of 1.8 million)

I still believe most of Tuesday's spike was Bernanke talking up oil and the notion of commodities climbing on expectations of higher prices.

[chart]

Consumers are talking a good game about confidence, but it's going to take serious job gains for them to put their money where their survey responses are. I think the January jobs number could come in above 200,000, but I wonder if weather could have played a role or could we have yet another disappointment.

Confidence would get a boost with a quick resolution in the Middle East. Right now, it looks like Saudi Arabia gets through along with Oman and Yemen. Libya would seem like a done deal, although waking up to learn Qaddafi launched an unsuccessful counterattack yesterday was unnerving. Now, dissidents might ask America to provide air attacks as cover for their own counterattack. As it stands, we have two U.S. Naval battleships heading to Libya for humanitarian assistance.’

 

 

Housing Market, Community Banks Will Drag the Economy Suttmeier ‘The Fed’s Beige Books are the gossip columns from the 12 Fed districts, and the anecdotal evidence shows that despite some economic improvements, the housing market continues to be a drag, and that community banks are still reluctant to lend. The FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile is the balance sheet of the US economy, and nearly 60% of all community banks still face balance sheet stress that makes it difficult to increase lending, as noncurrent loans continue to be a burden.

The latest Beige Book, released on Wednesday, showed that economic growth continued to expand at a modest to moderate pace in January and early February. The major headwind has been residential real estate activity and some Fed districts reported a slight increase in activity, but the overall level of home sales and construction remained low. Nonresidential construction was described as weak.

In a separate report from the FDIC, their Quarterly Banking Profile for the fourth quarter showed continued stress among the community banks that provide funding to real estate lending. Overexposures to Construction & Development Loans and Commercial Real Estate Loans continued. This correlates to the Beige Book reporting that credit standards were unchanged to tighter.
 

  • The FDIC List of Problem Banks rose by 24 in the fourth quarter to 884 from 860, which is 11.5% of the 7,657 FDIC-insured financial institutions.
  • 1,265 community banks remain overexposed to C&D loans and another 1,358 are overexposed to CRE loans, which includes nonfarm and nonresidential real estate loans. The total, 2,623 community banks, is 34.3% of all banks that still need to unwind risk exposures.
  • Looking at Pipeline Risk, which is the ratio of CRE loans to CRE loan commitments, 4,479 community banks have a Pipeline of 80% or higher, which is 58.5% of all FDIC-insured financial institutions.
  • Total Assets in the banking system declined $51.8 billion in the fourth quarter of 2010 with C&D loans down $32.5 billion. Even so C&D loans still total $321.6 billion with nonfarm, non-residential real estate loans at $1.07 trillion, and problem loans continue.


The housing market thus remains a drag on the US economy, and the network of community banks are not fit financially to increase lending to homebuilders and to potential home buyers. This environment caused the 2008/2009 recession and because the environment is not improving, housing and the banking system can again drag the economy into a double dip. I have been calling it “The Great Credit Crunch” since March 2007, and the crunch continues in 2011.

10-Year Note -- (3.477) Weekly and annual value levels are 3.630 and 3.796 with the 50-day simple moving average at 3.446 and daily and monthly risky levels at 3.356 and 3.002.

[chart]
Source: Thomson / Reuters

Comex Gold -- ($1434.1) Strength tested my monthly and quarterly risky levels at $1437.7 and $1441.7. The 50-day simple moving average is $1375.8 with semiannual risky level at $1452.6.

[chart]
Source: Thomson / Reuters

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($102.44) My annual pivots at $99.91 and $101.92 have become strong magnets. My monthly value level is $96.43 with semiannual, daily, and quarterly risky levels at $107.14, $108.37, and $110.87.

[chart]
Source: Thomson / Reuters

The Euro -- (1.3863) It tested Wednesday’s risky level at 1.3898. My weekly and quarterly value levels are 1.3690 and 1.3227 with a daily risky level at 1.3942. The euro remains below its 200-week simple moving average at 1.3953.

[chart]
Source: Thomson / Reuters

Daily Dow: (12,067) It's trading between its 50-day simple moving average at 11,916 and its 21-day simple moving average at 12,148. Daily and annual value levels are 11,977 and 11,491 with weekly, monthly, and annual risky levels at 12,461, 12,741, and 13,890.

[chart]
Source: Thomson / Reuters

ValuEngine Valuation Warning -- A ValuEngine Valuation Warning occurs when more than 65% of all stocks in the ValuEngine universe are calculated to be overvalued. On February 18, 68.6% of all stocks were overvalued, which was the highest of the year. Today 62.1% of all stocks are overvalued. All 15 of 16 sectors are overvalued, eight by double-digit percentages.

Key Levels for the Major Equity Averages
 

  • The Dow Industrial Average (12,067) Libya Trading Range: 11,983 to 12,391. My daily and annual value levels are 11,977 and 11,491 with weekly and monthly risky levels at 12,461 and 12,741.
  • The S&P 500 (1308.4) Libya Trading Range: 1294 to 1344. The 50-day is 1293.55 with the 21-day at 1319.83. My daily and quarterly value levels are 1291.2 and 1262.5 with weekly and monthly risky levels at 1352.9 and 1381.3.
  • The Nasdaq (2748) Libya Trading Range: 2706 to 2840. The 50-day is 2733.76 with the 21-day at 2779.85. My daily value level is 2690 with weekly, quarterly, and monthly risky levels at 2860, 2853, and 2926.
  • The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) (2327) Libya Trading Range: 2285 to 2403. The 50-day is 2304.84 with the 21-day at 2350.52. My daily value level is 2268 with weekly, quarterly, and monthly risky levels at 2436, 2438, and 2499.
  • Dow Transports (4957) Libya Trading Range: 4918 to 5306. Below its 50-day at 5126. My daily and quarterly value levels are 4804 and 4671 with weekly and annual pivots at 5150 and 5179.
  • The Russell 2000 (810.90) Libya Trading Range: 795 to 838. The 50-day is 799.71 with the 21-day at 813.44. Daily and quarterly value levels are 793.95 and 765.50 with weekly and monthly risky levels at 826.33 and 850.79.
  • The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) (456.09) Libya Trading Range: 439 to 474. The 50-day is 441.01 with the 21-day at 459.17. My daily value level is 438.94 with a monthly pivot at 453.89, quarterly pivot at 465.93, and weekly risky level at 493.15.’

 

 

Former Goldman director charged with insider trading Globe & Mail | Raj Rajaratnam, the founder of hedge fund Galleon Group, is on trial on criminal insider-trading charges.

 

Why the Dollar’s Reign Is Near an End Wall Street Journal | Fully 85% of foreign-exchange transactions world-wide are trades of other currencies for dollars.

 

Ron Paul To Ben Bernanke “I Want A Definition Of Money!” MOX News | Congressman overseeing monetary policy questions Fed chair.

 

China Gold Demand Voracious – Chinese Yuan Gold Standard? Gold and silver have recovered somewhat from slight falls in Asia overnight and are now higher against the British pound and Swiss franc which are weaker this morning. With geopolitical instability looking set to escalate and the real possibility of a military confrontation in the Mediterranean, any sell off in the precious metals will likely be tentative.

 

Monetization and Debt Will Only Bring Inflation Many ask, what will happen when quantitative easing ends? China doesn’t want to accumulate more Treasury and Agency bonds and we find the buying from London and the Cayman Islands questionable at best.

 

97% of All U.S. Mortgages are Backed by the Government I heard a recent talk by Richard Wolff – Professor of Economics Emeritus at the University of Massachusetts in Amherst (PhD in Economics from Yale) – where Wolff said that 97% of all U.S. mortgages are either written or guaranteed by the government.

 

Oil: How High Will It Go? Some emails have been stacking up with regard to what’s happening with oil prices. In summary, people are wondering, “How high will it go?” and “How bad could this get?” and “Is this it?” etc.

 

 

National / World

 

TSA Controversy Explodes Steve Watson | One week is a long time in the world of TSA tyranny .

 

Making “V”ictory a Reality: Answer to 1984 Contest Entry Infowars | An awesome example of peaceful activism in the fight against 1984.

 

James Woolsey denies CIA media control Aaron Dykes | Former CIA director plays dumb on Operation Mockingbird and admitted media propaganda.

 

Zakaria: America is Doomed Because It Fails to Embrace Globalism Kurt Nimmo | Fareed Zakaria is a member of both the CFR and Rockefeller’s Trilateral Commission.

Rolling Stone Gets Alex Jones Wrong Saman Mohammadi | Alex is attracting listeners because he doesn’t play the false left-right game like Glenn Beck and other clowns on television.

 

On Charles Ponzi Day We Celebrate Another All Time Record In Food Stamp Usage Bernanke’s plan to recreate Libya in our own back yard is continuing to work magnificently. It is no surprise that on Charles Ponzi day, the update to food stamp usage indicates that in December those receiving an average of $134 per month has just hit 44.1 million people.

 

Gas Prices Jump 4 Cents Overnight Gas prices jumped 4 cents overnight, with the average American driver now paying more than $3.40 a gallon.

 

Hillary Clinton: ‘We Are Losing The Infowar’ Secretary of State Hillary Clinton made a tacit admission during a U.S. Foreign Policy Priorities committee meeting yesterday, arguing that the State Department needs more money because the US military-industrial complex is “losing the information war” to the likes of Russia Today and Al Jazeera due to the US corporate media having completely abandoned “real news”.

 

Wars, Rumors Of Wars, Skyrocketing Oil Prices And Global Economic Chaos – Why Is All Of This Happening? Did anyone out there anticipate that 2011 would be such a wild year?

 

Egypt, Serbia, Georgia… The History of US Sponsored “Democratization” There is a Russian proverb: only a fool learns from his own mistakes. As Georgia’s foreign minister visits his Egyptian counterpart, there are lessons for Egypt in similar revolutions in eastern Europe and the ex-Soviet Union.

 

 

The TV Column: Charlie Sheen keeps talking; CBS gets in on the conversation (Washington Post) [Wobama says daffy gaddafi’s time is up, got to go. The same can be said of wobama et als and his fraudulently failed presidency.   Sheen On Obama: “A Coward In a Cheap Suit”   [ I think Sheen to be too gentle in his criticism of wobama (Some might reflexively, defensively allege drugs (prescription or otherwise) or any number of the varied personality disorders so prevalent in america … ‘fuzzy, California laid back thinking’, ‘whatever’… Who knows? ) But, that said, wobama’s far worse than just a ‘coward in a cheap suit’. Indeed, Wobama’s a total fraud having been elected under false pretenses; viz., his total, unequivocal, and unfulfilled b*** s*** (those campaign promises) ! Moreover, there has been some persuasive documentation questioning wobama’s citizenship / birthplace placing his eligibility to even hold the office of president in question.  Drudgereport: UPDATE: Huckabee claims Obama grew up in Kenya...      The Obama Nation, by Jerome Corsi  Rezko was corrupt, and supported Obama in many campaigns as well as in Obama buying his home -- and therefore, according to Corsi, Obama is corrupt by ...www.ontheissues.org/Obama_Nation.htm  ] Amidst the controversy of his wild interview on the Alex Jones Show yesterday, actor Charlie Sheen wasted little time in confronting President Barack Obama on his failure to answer Sheen’s twenty questions concerning 9/11, calling Obama, “a coward in a cheap suit.”        A Government Shut-down Imperils the Power of Congress Paul Craig Roberts | Congress could try to protect its loss of the power of the purse by impeaching Obama.       Drudgereport: WOBAMA 'IMPEACHMENT' WARNING...   ...to announce exploratory committee 'in 10 days'         Globalist Shill Barack Obama Asks Business Leaders For Job Creation Ideas Even As He Ships More Of Our Jobs Overseas As Part Of The New One World Economy The other day, Barack Obama summoned a group of business and labor leaders to the White House and “challenged” them to come up with some great ideas for creating more jobs inside the United States.   Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post). Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’: Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post) Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’:  

But still it’s ‘hands off fraudulent wall street’ to theirs, the nation’s, and the world’s detriment. Firms subpoenaed in attempt to regain Fannie, Freddie losses (Washington Post). But there’s a reason:

The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  ( UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown. ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1  – well worth a look. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

While boner and barton are indeed jokes / vegetables that bespeak the single-digit approval rate for congress, obama’s failure to deliver on promises with as well, endless war spending despite defacto bankruptcy of the nation and a watered down nothing financial regulation bill for talking points but little substance, make him as big a joker, along with the dems. This well researched / produced video tells the real story :  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1   ‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ – well worth the view.    [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends ]

‘The Obama Deception’ Censored  A viral You Tube upload of one of Alex Jones’ most popular feature films ‘The Obama Deception’ has been censored following a spur of the moment campaign to elevate the movie’s title to the top of the major internet search engines.      In light of this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if incomplete)     http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257#           For the Same Reason I’ve Included Here a Web Site Archived FLV Version of Esoteric Agenda          http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv   

 Cohen: Time for Arabs to reject anti-semitism (Washington Post) [ Reality check … time for israelis / jews to reject zionism and all that is entailed therein, including an alternate reality that defies credulity, rationality, and facts; such as, a self-rationalizing greed, anti-arab / anti-Christian predisposition and the ‘Oedipal Effect’ (blowback) engendered thereby. No, Johnny Carson was not anti-semitic (Fred Silverman), same for Charlie Sheen (Chuck Lorre), etc. (the list is endless inasmuch as when facts are not on their side, such specious inflammatory arguments as ‘anti-semitism’, prejudice, are a convenient subterfuge distracting from their weak position; ie., illegal nukes, war crimes, ignoring u.n. resolutions, ie., 242, 338, etc., ignoring international law. At best, no … God did not give them this land … at worst, God took the land back when they with roman muscle crucified Christ. Balfour was an arbitrary, incompetent, british joke.).  ] ]  Article | Tuesday will be known as the day we heard from The Receiving End of Charlie Sheen's Scorched Earth Media Tour.

 

Lt. Gen. John Kelly, who lost son to war, says U.S. largely unaware of sacrifice (Washington Post) [ I disagree! They are very much aware; as they stand in unemployment lines, use food stamps to get by, etc.. I hate to sound cavalier and I’m sorry that Kelly lost a son to war, but along with the multitude of civilians in the nations unlucky enough to provide a source of corporate welfare to the military industrial complex and war profiteering for the few (as warned against by President General Eisenhower), they died for nothing, for no good reason beyond the false propaganda.  Six NATO troops killed in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ Is there something wrong with the following picture? … am I missing something?       Gates's warning: Avoid land war in Asia, Middle East, and Africa Christian Science Monitor - In a speech to cadets at the United States Military Academy at West Point, Gates's message was clear: The US military services, as well as the elected and appointed civilians who send them to war, need better ways of foreseeing and preparing for ...     Gates Tells US Army to Take New Approach Voice of America    Warning Against Wars Like Iraq and Afghanistan New York Times  [ Better said, than unsaid; but, methinks a bit late for that in light of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s consummate decline and fall! If only they had listened and not shot at the messenger … things could have been different!    ]    

 

 

Bernanke: Fed will respond if oil prices trigger inflation (Washington Post) [ If? Come on … don’t make me laugh!    Inflation Is Here – Just Open Up Your Eyes And Look At These 5 Financial Charts!  (see infra) Despite what Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke says, rampant inflation is officially here. The federal government is constantly monkeying with the numbers to keep the “official” rate of inflation below 2 percent, but it is becoming very difficult to deny that the cost of almost everything is really going up these days.  … Merk ‘…While we believe food inflation will be with us for quite some time and may contribute to an unstable world possibly for years to come, the Federal Reserve appears to be firmly in the camp of heavily discounting food inflation. The European Central Bank (ECB), in contrast, has historically taken commodity inflation more seriously than the Fed – ECB President Trichet talks about his concern over "second round effects," i.e., commodity inflation stirring inflation throughout the value chain.

The relevance of all this is that in the U.S. it’s business as usual as far as monetary policy is concerned. According to Fed Chair Bernanke, the U.S. economy must grow at a rate of at least 2.5% per annum just to keep unemployment stable, however, he has made it clear that he will pursue policies to boost growth above that level. With oil prices soaring, he is facing yet another headwind. Rather than mopping up the liquidity that, in our assessment, has contributed to global commodity inflation, he may be tempted to keep the printing press in high gear to promote economic growth.

It doesn’t really matter whether we think there is a crisis. What matters is that the Fed doesn’t think its policies are contributing to global instability and continues on its expansionary path…’

 

 

Gerald Celente: “There is no recovery — it’s a coverup!” Sic Semper Tyrannis | Celente argues the oil prices have been going up before the recent chaos in the Middle East. ‘…One other point brought out by Gerald Celente is the fact that the current puppet regime in the White House is “cooking the books” on the unemployment numbers and current inflation rates. They are making their own rules on how to determine inflation rates by leaving out essential information such as food and fuel prices. The same is being done with White House unemployment numbers by simply leaving out those who have given up looking for jobs, as well as other deceptive “carnie” tricks (in reference to White House spokesperson Carnie) in which he compares the administration to a traveling carnival act.

In closing, Celente states:

“… There is no recovery, it’s a coverup. It’s only being boosted by these low interest rates, which again, when inflation skyrockets- they’re gonna have to raise them …‘

 Jim Rogers: “Saudi Arabia Is Lying About Being Able To Increase Its Oil Production” Jim Rogers joins Zero Hedge in being highly skeptical about just how credible Saudi’s call for a 1MM + boost in its oil supply is: “Saudi Arabia has been lying about the reserves for decades. Saudi Arabia the last two times said they are going to increase production and they couldn’t increase production. Don’t fall for that.  ]  Federal Reserve chairman says he does not expect a major impact on consumer prices.

 

House Republicans press SEC on official's ties to Madoff (Washington Post) [ The ultimate subterfuge. Mr. small potatoes madoff the focus of so much influence … yet he’s in jail … and the only one … Boy, did mary shapiro become total b*** s*** fast … the current shibboleth of  capital hill / all 3 branches of pervasively corrupt u.s. government … joining the others: “The Financial Industry Has Become So Politically Powerful That It Is Able To Inhibit the Normal Process of Justice And Law Enforcement” The economy cannot stabilize unless fraud is prosecuted. But the folks in D.C. seem determined to turn a blind eye to Wall Street shenanigans, and is now moving to defund the enforcement agencies like the SEC and CFTC.      Market Crash 2011: It Will Hit by Christmas   Farrell, MarketWatch  SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — ‘Politicians lie. Bankers lie. Yes, they’re liars. But they’re not bad, it’s in their genes, inherited. Their brains are wired that way, warn scientists. Like addicts, they can’t help themselves. They want to sell stuff, get rich…’

‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]

 

 

 

  ]  House Republicans ramp up pressure on SEC Chairman Mary Schapiro.

 

 

 

 

 

[ (2-26-11 et seq) Let me state for the record here that my computer has been under constant viral, hack attack, paralleling prior such foolish, paranoid actions and let me reiterate: They will be sorry and I won’t forget it! ]

 

 

Christian minorities minister assassinated (Washington Post) [ Christians, Christianity lumped together with war criminals, zionists, invaders, plunderers, murderers, etc.. No surprise here. Winning hearts and minds? I don’t think so … Blowback? Most assuredly: 2 U.S. airmen killed, 2 hurt in shooting near Frankfurt airport (Post, March 2, 2011); Most U.S. aid to Pakistan hasn't gotten there yet (Post, March 2, 2011); Clinton: U.S. losing global public-relations battle - to 'Baywatch' and wrestling (Post, March 2, 2011 Well, I don’t know about baywatch and wrestling, but reality beyond false propaganda will do it every time)    ] Shahbaz Bhatti is gunned down in the second killing this year of a liberal, senior government official who had spoken out against the nation's stringent blasphemy laws.Karzai condemns deadly NATO airstrike (Washington Post) [ Well, for pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, it’s just another of many war crimes. They just role out the propaganda machine that no one is buying anymore. Yet, can you believe your eyes and ears here: Six NATO troops killed in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ Is there something wrong with the following picture? … am I missing something?       Gates's warning: Avoid land war in Asia, Middle East, and Africa Christian Science Monitor - In a speech to cadets at the United States Military Academy at West Point, Gates's message was clear: The US military services, as well as the elected and appointed civilians who send them to war, need better ways of foreseeing and preparing for ...     Gates Tells US Army to Take New Approach Voice of America    Warning Against Wars Like Iraq and Afghanistan New York Times  [ Better said, than unsaid; but, methinks a bit late for that in light of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s consummate decline and fall! If only they had listened and not shot at the messenger … things could have been different!      ] A NATO airstrike that Afghan officials said killed nine children collecting firewood in eastern Afghanistan beccomes the latest irritant in the tense relationship between President Hamid Karzai and the international force in the country.

 

 

Government cracks down on employment scams  (Washington Post) [ Yet leave the biggest, most deleterious scam / fraud unprosecuted. What total b*** s***! House Republicans press SEC on official's ties to Madoff (Washington Post) [ The ultimate subterfuge. Mr. small potatoes madoff the focus of so much influence … yet he’s in jail … and the only one … Boy, did mary shapiro become total b*** s*** fast … the current shibboleth of  capital hill / all 3 branches of pervasively corrupt u.s. government … joining the others: “The Financial Industry Has Become So Politically Powerful That It Is Able To Inhibit the Normal Process of Justice And Law Enforcement” The economy cannot stabilize unless fraud is prosecuted. But the folks in D.C. seem determined to turn a blind eye to Wall Street shenanigans, and is now moving to defund the enforcement agencies like the SEC and CFTC.      Market Crash 2011: It Will Hit by Christmas   Farrell, MarketWatch  SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — ‘Politicians lie. Bankers lie. Yes, they’re liars. But they’re not bad, it’s in their genes, inherited. Their brains are wired that way, warn scientists. Like addicts, they can’t help themselves. They want to sell stuff, get rich…’

‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]

 

 

 

  ]  House Republicans ramp up pressure on SEC Chairman Mary Schapiro.

 ]  FTC says companies promised to help people find work but instead took their money.

 

 

Oil soars to more than $100 a barrel on Libyan unrest (Washington Post) [ When you factor in reality, the worst is yet to come … Gerald Celente: “There is no recovery — it’s a coverup!” Sic Semper Tyrannis | Celente argues the oil prices have been going up before the recent chaos in the Middle East. ‘…One other point brought out by Gerald Celente is the fact that the current puppet regime in the White House is “cooking the books” on the unemployment numbers and current inflation rates. They are making their own rules on how to determine inflation rates by leaving out essential information such as food and fuel prices. The same is being done with White House unemployment numbers by simply leaving out those who have given up looking for jobs, as well as other deceptive “carnie” tricks (in reference to White House spokesperson Carnie) in which he compares the administration to a traveling carnival act.

In closing, Celente states:

“… There is no recovery, it’s a coverup. It’s only being boosted by these low interest rates, which again, when inflation skyrockets- they’re gonna have to raise them …‘

 Jim Rogers: “Saudi Arabia Is Lying About Being Able To Increase Its Oil Production” Jim Rogers joins Zero Hedge in being highly skeptical about just how credible Saudi’s call for a 1MM + boost in its oil supply is: “Saudi Arabia has been lying about the reserves for decades. Saudi Arabia the last two times said they are going to increase production and they couldn’t increase production. Don’t fall for that.  ]  Federal Reserve chairman says he does not expect a major impact on consumer prices.



A Crash in Saudi Arabia, Arrogant Eurocrats and a Look at the Markets Part 2   Tenebrarum ‘Saudi Arabia's Stock Market Plunges

Stock market traders in Saudi Arabia got a bit of a wake-up call yesterday. Their stock market evidently sees something it doesn't like. Why the market is all of a sudden more worried than it was previously about the challenge to the established political order in the Arab world is a bit of a mystery, but presumably traders have thus far deluded themselves into thinking that Saudi Arabia would be immune to unrest. Something has evidently changed their mind. It seems to us that this event deserves the moniker warning sign. The selling has been extremely heavy for three days now. Since this market is largely driven by local investors, we should probably attach some significance to this recent plunge. Someone has begun to sell three days ago and has spooked the herd. It's a good bet that the someone who started the selling is better informed than the rest of us.

Note in this context the following information about the current oil policy of Saudi Arabia from Marketwatch. While the article references anonymous sources, which stands in the way of fact-checking, there is one paragraph that caught our eye:

"The main threat is ... Saudi instability when the current king dies. We know he is very ill but obviously there is no indication of how critical that condition is. But it is acknowledged that the next transition will present a much bigger threat to internal stability ... Vested interest groups have been waiting for this transition to push their agenda. Saudi experienced considerable regional instability up to 10 years ago but bought it off with higher oil-based spending. Today the problem is as bad, if not worse. There have been only a few of the promised reforms ... Resentment towards the wealth gap with the royals is very high ... Even if/when the instability in other countries, such as Libya, settles, the Saudi succession threat is now firmly on the table. What happens in Bahrain could be very key. That alone will keep the oil market nervous for this year."

The very ill king could in fact be the key to the sudden crash in Saudi Arabia's stock market. With political instability across the entire region, a fight for succession in Saudi Arabia wouldn't be very conducive to stability at this particular point in time. The fact that spreading some of the oil wealth around has not been effective in lowering the level of resentment vis-a-vis the royals sounds very credible to us. So does the assertion that what happens in Bahrain will be very important. Bahrain is ruled by a monarchy as well and should it lose power, the Saudi masses could be galvanized.

Saudi Arabia is the world's second biggest oil producer after Russia and as a result the monarchy has enormous financial resources at its disposal. This certainly helps with buying off numerous special interest groups. Also, as we mentioned in passing previously, the royals have a deal with the powerful and highly conservative religious establishment that helps keep them in power. Essentially the country is a mixture between a monarchy and theocracy. The strict religiously inspired laws may on the one hand sit well with the deeply religious population, but on the other hand they also make for a very repressive environment that may sit less well with the youth – large numbers of which are unemployed. Also, the extravagance of the many Saudi princes (over 10,000 royals are about, all well-endowed with stipends) may not go down all that well with the rest of the Saudis , regardless of what deals the royals have made with the mullahs. All in all, it remains a potentially explosive situation.

[chart]

(Click to enlarge)

Saudi Arabia's Al-Tadawul All-share Index goes somewhat belatedly into free-fall.

In the meantime, Muammar Qaddafy continues to give utterly bizarre interviews (if anything, they have become even more so ... "I don't lead Libya, I have no power" ... "The people of Libya love me!"), while more and more of Libya falls to opposition forces. Evidently the man has lost whatever connection to reality he may once have possessed. The Pentagon has meanwhile assembled naval forces off Libyan waters – possibly to enforce a no-fly zone.

While all eyes are on Libya, Egypt has once again decided not to reopen its stock market – the reopening of the stock exchange has been been postponed repeatedly, so this is almost business as usual by now.

"The Egyptian Exchange, shuttered for over a month, was to resume trading on Tuesday. But in an overnight statement, exchange officials said the market would reopen instead on March 6 to 'allow investors to profit from the government's support to guarantee stability in the bourse.'

"The decision reflected the strong undercurrent of unease in the Arab world's most populous nation where the market's benchmark stock index had shed almost 17 percent in two consecutive trading sessions before it closed at the end of the business day on Jan. 27."

Keep the market closed to 'allow investors to profit from the government's support to guarantee stability in the bourse'? Good luck with that one.

As a final note on the Middle East, we continue to recommend keeping an eye on Iran. The regime is evidently worried, and given Iran's importance as an oil exporter, any unrest in that country would arguably have an even bigger effect on the oil market than Libya's recent disintegration.

Ireland and the Arrogant Eurocracy

Via Dr. Jim Walker of the excellent research firm Asianomics, we have been made aware of some of the things various eurocrats have had to say about the Irish election. Some of these quotes are remarkable for their unbridled and quite unwarranted arrogance.

"As Irish voters headed for the polling booths on Friday, the European Commission bluntly declared that the terms of the EU-IMF bailout "must be applied" whatever the will of Ireland's people or regardless of any change of government.

"It's an agreement between the EU and the Republic of Ireland, it's not an agreement between an institution and a particular government," said a Brussels spokesman.

A European diplomat, from a large eurozone country, told The Sunday Telegraph that "the more the Irish make a big deal about renegotiation in public, the more attitudes will harden."

"It is not even take it or leave it. It's done. Ireland's only role in this now is to implement the programme agreed with the EU, IMF and European Central Bank. Irish voters are not a party in this process, whatever they have been told," said the diplomat.”

(Our emphasis)

Hello? Irish voters are "not a party in this process"? Irish voters – i.e. the tax cows that have been condemned to bail out their failed banks so that the highly leveraged German banking system can avoid a debt restructuring broadside – may well go from "revolution lite" as the WSJ calls the election outcome (since essentially, one conservative party was exchanged for another), to a "real revolution." As an aside, while the WSJ asserts that 'Ireland needs Merkel," we believe it is exactly the other way around (see further below as to why). Our understanding of 'democracy' is that voters are the ultimate arbiters of such things. There is no agreement that can not be amended or broken if voters feel they have been sold out by the government that signed it. As the Telegraph notes further:

"Dessie Shiels, an independent candidate in Donegal, said: "People have not been given the basic right of deciding whether or not they should have their taxes increased in order to repay bondholders who have lent to the banks."

David McWilliams, an economist and former official at the Ireland's Central Bank, has led calls for a popular vote under Article 27 of the Irish constitution, which requires on a matter of "such national importance that the will of the people ought to be ascertained."

"We have to re-negotiate everything," he said. "Obviously, the first way to do this is to make them aware that if they force us to pay everything, we will default and they will get nothing. So they had better get a little bit of something, than all of nothing. To make this financial pill easier to swallow, we must take the initiative politically. We can do this via a referendum.

"If the Irish people hold a referendum on the bank debts now, we can go to the EU with a mandate from the people which says No. This will allow our politicians to play hard-ball, because to do otherwise would be an anti-democratic endgame."

Declan Ganley, the Irish businessman who led the 2008 No vote to the Lisbon Treaty, said Ireland must "have the balls" to threaten debt default and withdrawal from the single currency.

"We have a hostage, it is called the euro," he said. "The euro is insolvent. The only question is whether Ireland should be sacrificed to keep the Ponzi scheme going. We have to have a Plan B to the misnamed bailout, which is to go back to the Irish Punt."

(our emphasis)

Got it in one, Mr, Ganley. Ireland is the party that has the leverage in this situation, not the EU. The decisive point is this: The euro is a kind of roach motel – it's easy (too easy) to get in, but it is very hard to get out.

Why is it so hard to get out? It isn't, as the outgoing Irish government asserted, the fact that government would find it hard to borrow money in the markets after a bank debt restructuring, or even after a restructuring of the government's own debt. Greece, which has been bankrupt for half of the past 180 years, is proof positive that it is fairly easy to find new suckers for government debt after a while.

No, at the root of the roach motel problem are the banks themselves. If the population suspects that an abandonment of the euro is imminent, worries that the national currency likely to succeed the euro will be devalued would provoke a flight from the banks – depositors would shift their deposits to other banks somewhere else in the euro area. Both Greece and Ireland have in fact been plagued by such a flight of depositors already, to varying extent. In fact, the biggest and quite obviously bankrupt Irish banks have bled deposits at an enormous rate lately. With the banks completely zombified, worries about a flight of depositors should be much reduced – since they have already largely fled.

The banking system is however also a big worry for the rest of the EU. Why was the Irish government forced to accept a bailout? What was so urgent? Why was it so important to especially avoid a restructuring of the senior debt of Ireland's banks? The answer is that an Irish debt restructuring imposing a big haircut on bondholders would hit banks elsewhere in the euro area (including the ECB, as it were). The way we see this, Irish voters will eventually prove the arrogant unnamed European diplomat from a big country wrong. They will eventually be a party to the proceedings. Negotiating a lower interest rate on borrowings from the EFSF, the currently enunciated goal of the new Irish government won't be enough. It won't do the trick because the burden will still be too large.

We would note here, as we have repeatedly done before, that it does no-one any good to pretend that losses don't exist or that the giant fiat money Ponzi scheme made up of unpayable government debt and de facto insolvent fractionally reserved banks can be forever kept going by heaping new debts atop the old ones. If we want genuine, sustainable economic growth to resume, the only way to achieve that is to bite the bullet. Acknowledge the losses and let them fall upon those who have invested unwisely. This is not merely a question of morality, as prominent Keynesians like Paul Krugman keep saying. It is a question that concerns the system of free market capitalism itself. Capitalism is not supposed to privatize profits and socialize losses. This is a perversion of the free market system that will ultimately serve to destroy it.

In addition, as the EU lurches toward the 'big accord' planned for late March – a.k.a. the Grand Bargain (Portugal may well fall into crisis before that date, as its bond yields remain stuck above the crucial 7% level and large debt rollovers are awaiting it in March) , there are evidently plans afoot to make other European nations more like Germany. Unfortunately this is not merely about fiscal rectitude as such. It is also about the desire of the German political class to impose Germany's high taxes on everyone. Ireland would do well to think twice about agreeing to such stipulations.

[chart]

(Click to enlarge)

Portugal's 10 year bond yield sits at 7.45%. Greece and Ireland both became EFSF wards when their yields crossed the 7% mark. And yes, this is a bullish (bearish for Portuguese debt) chart.

 

 

The Markets

The Stock Market

In the wake of the big decline in Saudi Arabia's stock market, other stock markets also suffered a bad hair day. It would be easy to pin the blame for the stock market's recent decline on the problems in the Middle East, but bulls should perhaps be more concerned about a number of other facts. For one thing, there is the subtle internal technical deterioration as evidenced by many 'momo' stocks coming under pressure of late, i.e., the so-called "Teflon stocks" all of a sudden look somewhat less teflonesque. A similar point is made in a recent article by Michael Kahn at Barron's about the Dow Jones Industrial Average. As Kahn remarks:

"Despite its limited representation in a market of thousands of stocks, the Dow Jones Industrial Average nonetheless is an important barometer. Given the sheer dollar value of its 30 component issues, any cracks in its armor should not be ignored.

So when fully one fifth of Dow stocks sport technical failure we should take notice. Failure, in the lexicon of charting, is often used to describe a stock falling as it hits a key level such as resistance or the top of a pattern.

When a stock breaks out to the upside from resistance or a chart pattern it is usually a bullish sign. Demand overcomes supply and prices move higher – most of the time. However, failure to hold on to that breakout is the unusual case and that makes it a true newsworthy event for investors."

Kahn notes that the bulk of the DJIA stocks remains in solid uptrends, but of course when the market gets into trouble, the first signs of such are always subtle.

[chart]

(Click to enlarge)

What is notable to us about the recent decline is that the preceding rally as well as the recent rebound all happened on very weak volume, whereas volume tends to spike when the market moves lower. This is a negative sign too.

What else should stock market bulls worry about aside from the loss of leadership and subtle signs of technical deterioration? How about "Hedge funds borrow the most since 2007 to purchase U.S. stocks?"

"Hedge funds increased their net leverage in January to the highest level since October 2007, as they took advantage of record-low borrowing costs to bet that the U.S. equity rally will continue.

Debt at margin accounts at the New York Stock Exchange minus cash and unused credit from margin accounts climbed to $46 billion, according to data released by NYSE yesterday. Hedge funds had $290 billion of debt from margin accounts in December, the largest sum since Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. collapsed in September 2008."

(Our emphasis)

Needless to say, October of 2007 was not exactly a propitious time to buy lots of stocks on margin. Perhaps this time will be different, but we kind of doubt it (although in some respects the 2007 high was even more beset by extremes – but then, it was a much higher high).

What else is there to worry about? How about those capitulating bears: "Capitulating Bears Push Short Sales to Lowest in Three Years."

"The biggest Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rally in more than five decades is forcing stock market bears to abandon short sales, cutting them to the lowest level since 2007 last month.

Shares borrowed and sold to profit from declines dropped four straight months and represented 3.3 percent of all stock in January, according to data compiled by NYSE Euronext. Pessimists are giving up after missing the 95 percent rally in the S&P 500 spurred by the fastest earnings growth since 1994. The monthly decrease comes as individuals added $17.6 billion to U.S. mutual funds this year after withdrawing money since April."

(Our emphasis)

There it is mentioned again, that fateful year 2007. Capitulating bears weren't a good sign then, and they are unlikely to be a good sign now. The lower the short interest ratio, the less support from short covering there will be once the market heads down, but to us it is more important what this datum says about sentiment.

[chart]

(Click to enlarge)

The chart of the high beta DJ Transportation average is intriguing – its rebound failed at the 50 day moving average. This average generally tends to lag in moves up (i.e. it tends to be one of the last indexes to top out) and lead in declines.

[chart]

(Click to enlarge)

A recent chart of mutual fund cash levels from Jason Goepfert's sentimentrader.com shows that mutual fund managers are also all in – the current reading is the second lowest in all of history , a mere 10 basis points above the all time low (the absolute low was seen in 2010). This indicator tends to have medium to long term significance. We see it largely as an expression of fund manager sentiment.

Solely from a chart perspective it is too early to say whether the recent pullback will just be a short term hiccup or the beginning of a more substantial correction. Many of the aforementioned momentum stocks have weakened, but they have not yet broken any important supports. However, the fact that the market has for a change not rallied on the first of the month (the bulk of the advance from the 2009 low was accomplished by large first-of-the-month rallies) clearly constitutes a change in character.

Apart from that, the fact remains that risk is extremely high. Should the market rebound and streak to new highs for the move, said risk won't diminish, but will become even greater.

Gold and Oil

Not too surprisingly, both oil and gold have continued their rallies. Gold is on the verge of a decisive breakout, while the oil market appears close to negating a recent reversal candle (as we noted at the time, such reversals require follow-through selling to be confirmed as such).

[chart]

(Click to enlarge)

It appears that oil wants to go even higher. Since the reversal candle that was put in place four trading days ago has not led to follow-through selling and the market is already bouncing higher again, no reversal has been confirmed as of yet. Of course this is now a market harboring a large political risk premium, which makes it extra-risky (for both bulls and bears). Nothing's wrong with this chart though.

We are not certain how much of a political risk premium there is now in gold, but gold seemed to us already set to make new highs before the news about the unrest in Arab countries took center stage (we have frequently remarked on the subdued bullish sentiment after the small correction in January).

One must not forget, when central bankers stubbornly defend ultra-easy monetary policies as Mervyn King and Ben Bernanke both keep doing, then there is little reason not to want to own gold (we will soon have more to say about the recent statements by these two gentlemen – neither of them managed to disappoint our expectations, which are even lower than their interest rates). Also, with the bulk of gold's fundamental price drivers in a bullish configuration, the backdrop remains conducive to higher gold prices regardless of the geopolitical noise (it is to our mind different in the case of crude oil).

[chart]

(Click to enlarge)

Both gold and silver (solid line) streak higher. Gold's close actually constitutes a breakout, but it is not a decisive breakout yet. As previously noted, gold doesn't do triple tops, so a decisive breakout seems highly likely.

The U.S. Dollar

The dollar rates a mention for its failure to profit from safe haven buying in view of the news from the Arab world. It may be that talk of the allegedly undiminished likelihood of QE3 isn't helping, especially as ECB officials have lately adopted a fairly hawkish tone. Of course, money supply growth in the euro area has in recent months been far lower than money supply growth in the U.S., so there is a good reason for the euro to show some relative strength based on that, but the problem of the unresolved debt crisis remains – which argues strongly against the euro going forward. Be that as it may, the dollar hasn't been going anywhere lately. We would however not be inclined to get too bearish on the U.S. dollar here, in spite of its failure to attract safe haven buying. The recent decline has been grudging, which is often the precursor to a short term trend change.

[chart]

(Click to enlarge)

The U.S. dollar hasn't been helped by turmoil in the Middle East – which is a bit surprising.

Finally, before it is out of date, we want to point readers to a recent interview by the father of securitization, Lew Ranieri, on the state of the U.S. housing market. He echoes the concerns that Ramsey Su has enunciated in these pages. The U.S. housing market remains quite sick, in spite of the wagon-loads of money Ben Bernanke's Fed has printed. An old adage is confirmed by this fact: the central bank can print money, and/or encourage the commercial banks to increase the credit and money supply, but it has no control over where this money ultimately goes.’

 

 

 

 

Inflation Is Here – Just Open Up Your Eyes And Look At These 5 Financial Charts!  The Economic Collapse March 2, 2011 Despite what Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke says, rampant inflation is officially here.  The federal government is constantly monkeying with the numbers to keep the “official” rate of inflation below 2 percent, but it is becoming very difficult to deny that the cost of almost everything is really going up these days.  The American people are not stupid.  They notice the difference when they go to the grocery store or stop at the gas station.  The dollar is losing value rapidly now.  The price of gold set another new all-time record today and is currently hovering just above $1430 an ounce.  The price of West Texas crude has moved above 100 dollars several times recently and the price of Brent crude is currently above 116 dollars.  These higher oil prices are really starting to be felt in the United States.  The average price for a gallon of gasoline in the United States has now reached $3.38.  There are some gas stations in the U.S. where the price of a gallon of gas is already over 4 dollars.  But it is not just the American people that are feeling the pain.  The global price of food recently hit a new record high and almost every major agricultural commodity has absolutely skyrocketed in price over the past 12 months.  Meanwhile, Ben Bernanke just told the Senate Banking Committee that he really isn’t concerned about inflation at all.

When it comes to inflation, the key is not to look at the official U.S. government numbers (they are highly manipulated) or how the U.S. dollar is performing against other major currencies (because they are all being devalued as well).  Instead, you can get a truer sense of what is really happening to inflation by looking at what the U.S. dollar is doing against precious metals, commodities and other hard assets.

So are we experiencing rampant inflation right now?  Well, just open up your eyes and look at these 5 charts….

1 – The price of oil is racing back up to record levels.  The chart below from the Federal Reserve is a couple weeks out of date.  As noted above, the current price of West Texas crude is about $100 a barrel….[chart]

2 – The price of a gallon of gasoline in the United States seems destined to hit a brand new all-time record at some point this year.  Was it really just a few short years ago when the average price of gas in this country was about a dollar a gallon?…. [chart]

3 – The value of most precious metals is very consistent over time.  So when you see precious metals go up dramatically in price, it means that the dollar is being devalued.  The price of gold just set another new all-time high and it seems destined to keep going even higher….[chart]

4 – The chart below from the Federal Reserve is a measure of the price of all commodities.  These price increases are inevitably going to be passed along to consumers in the United States….[chart]

5 – After a couple of years of stable food price, the price of food is starting to take off yet again….[chart]

In fact, many analysts are warning that we could experience a major food crisis over the next couple of years.  The global demand for food continues to grow at a very brisk pace, but all of the crazy weather we have been having around the world has caused some very bad harvests.’

 

 

 

 

Oil surges after Libya airstrike near oil terminal Reuters | Fresh airstrikes hit Brega, about 1.2 miles from a Libyan oil terminal.

 ]  Fighting near oil ports in Libya fuels market anxiety. Pump prices have reached $3.39 a gallon.



Fed report shows gains in U.S. economy, moderate growth (Washington Post) [ Come on! What do you expect them to say … they lie about everything  … and at what cost in insurmountable debt, debt service and defacto bankruptcy of the nation.  En route to losing near 8 million jobs, before and during the melt-down, if you recall (I do, and reported here on my site) jersey (that says it all) based adp was pulling job numbers out of their a***s, ‘surprising’ to the upside as now, although I would concede some contract work with money defacto bankrupt america doesn’t have may have provided a lesser number. How can you believe anything they say? Drudgereport: Announced Job Cuts 'Rose 20% From Year Ago'...   more of things to come     Idaho county files for bankruptcy...   ]   Job market shows progress, as do sectors such as retail and tourism.

 

 

Metal News for the Day    Grant ‘…With the Fed now buying 70% of Treasury's debt issuance, one has to wonder who will step in to fill the void when the Fed finally does implement their so-called "exit strategy." PIMCO's Bill Gross poses the question plain and simple in his most recent Investment Outlook: Who will buy Treasuries when the Fed doesn’t? Certainly nobody is going to completely fill the massive void in the debt market left by a retreating Fed at the current yields. Yields will have to rise once the Fed's faux demand is gone and yields start to once again accurately reflect risk and that will threaten the recovery. So you see the dilemma. Our own Jonathan Kosares discussed this very topic in the lead article of our December Newsletter. People began to speculate about QE3 shortly after QE2 was announced and such market chatter is ongoing and even intensifying. In a recent Barron's interview, MacroMavens' Stephanie Pomboy says she doesn't believe the recovery is sustainable at all. Her recommendation? Buy Treasuries...clearly she thinks the Fed is going to remain a buyer and can be front-run...oh, and buy gold…’

 

The TV Column: Charlie Sheen keeps talking; CBS gets in on the conversation (Washington Post) [Wobama says daffy gaddafi’s time is up, got to go. The same can be said of wobama et als and his fraudulently failed presidency.   Sheen On Obama: “A Coward In a Cheap Suit”   [ I think Sheen to be too gentle in his criticism of wobama (Some might reflexively, defensively allege drugs (prescription or otherwise) or any number of the varied personality disorders so prevalent in america … ‘fuzzy, California laid back thinking’, ‘whatever’… Who knows? ) But, that said, wobama’s far worse than just a ‘coward in a cheap suit’. Indeed, Wobama’s a total fraud having been elected under false pretenses; viz., his total, unequivocal, and unfulfilled b*** s*** (those campaign promises) ! Moreover, there has been some persuasive documentation questioning wobama’s citizenship / birthplace placing his eligibility to even hold the office of president in question.  Drudgereport: UPDATE: Huckabee claims Obama grew up in Kenya...      The Obama Nation, by Jerome Corsi  Rezko was corrupt, and supported Obama in many campaigns as well as in Obama buying his home -- and therefore, according to Corsi, Obama is corrupt by ...www.ontheissues.org/Obama_Nation.htm  ] Amidst the controversy of his wild interview on the Alex Jones Show yesterday, actor Charlie Sheen wasted little time in confronting President Barack Obama on his failure to answer Sheen’s twenty questions concerning 9/11, calling Obama, “a coward in a cheap suit.”        A Government Shut-down Imperils the Power of Congress Paul Craig Roberts | Congress could try to protect its loss of the power of the purse by impeaching Obama.       Drudgereport: WOBAMA 'IMPEACHMENT' WARNING...   ...to announce exploratory committee 'in 10 days'         Globalist Shill Barack Obama Asks Business Leaders For Job Creation Ideas Even As He Ships More Of Our Jobs Overseas As Part Of The New One World Economy The other day, Barack Obama summoned a group of business and labor leaders to the White House and “challenged” them to come up with some great ideas for creating more jobs inside the United States.   Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post). Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’: Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post) Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’:  

But still it’s ‘hands off fraudulent wall street’ to theirs, the nation’s, and the world’s detriment. Firms subpoenaed in attempt to regain Fannie, Freddie losses (Washington Post). But there’s a reason:

The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  ( UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown. ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1  – well worth a look. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

While boner and barton are indeed jokes / vegetables that bespeak the single-digit approval rate for congress, obama’s failure to deliver on promises with as well, endless war spending despite defacto bankruptcy of the nation and a watered down nothing financial regulation bill for talking points but little substance, make him as big a joker, along with the dems. This well researched / produced video tells the real story :  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1   ‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ – well worth the view.    [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends ]

‘The Obama Deception’ Censored  A viral You Tube upload of one of Alex Jones’ most popular feature films ‘The Obama Deception’ has been censored following a spur of the moment campaign to elevate the movie’s title to the top of the major internet search engines.      In light of this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if incomplete)     http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257#           For the Same Reason I’ve Included Here a Web Site Archived FLV Version of Esoteric Agenda          http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv   

 Cohen: Time for Arabs to reject anti-semitism (Washington Post) [ Reality check … time for israelis / jews to reject zionism and all that is entailed therein, including an alternate reality that defies credulity, rationality, and facts; such as, a self-rationalizing greed, anti-arab / anti-Christian predisposition and the ‘Oedipal Effect’ (blowback) engendered thereby. No, Johnny Carson was not anti-semitic (Fred Silverman), same for Charlie Sheen (Chuck Lorre), etc. (the list is endless inasmuch as when facts are not on their side, such specious inflammatory arguments as ‘anti-semitism’, prejudice, are a convenient subterfuge distracting from their weak position; ie., illegal nukes, war crimes, ignoring u.n. resolutions, ie., 242, 338, etc., ignoring international law. At best, no … God did not give them this land … at worst, God took the land back when they with roman muscle crucified Christ. Balfour was an arbitrary, incompetent, british joke.).  ] ]  Article | Tuesday will be known as the day we heard from The Receiving End of Charlie Sheen's Scorched Earth Media Tour.

 

Lt. Gen. John Kelly, who lost son to war, says U.S. largely unaware of sacrifice (Washington Post) [ I disagree! They are very much aware; as they stand in unemployment lines, use food stamps to get by, etc.. I hate to sound cavalier and I’m sorry that Kelly lost a son to war, but along with the multitude of civilians in the nations unlucky enough to provide a source of corporate welfare to the military industrial complex and war profiteering for the few (as warned against by President General Eisenhower), they died for nothing, for no good reason beyond the false propaganda.  Six NATO troops killed in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ Is there something wrong with the following picture? … am I missing something?       Gates's warning: Avoid land war in Asia, Middle East, and Africa Christian Science Monitor - In a speech to cadets at the United States Military Academy at West Point, Gates's message was clear: The US military services, as well as the elected and appointed civilians who send them to war, need better ways of foreseeing and preparing for ...     Gates Tells US Army to Take New Approach Voice of America    Warning Against Wars Like Iraq and Afghanistan New York Times  [ Better said, than unsaid; but, methinks a bit late for that in light of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s consummate decline and fall! If only they had listened and not shot at the messenger … things could have been different!    ]    

 

 

Bernanke: Fed will respond if oil prices trigger inflation (Washington Post) [ If? Come on … don’t make me laugh!    Inflation Is Here – Just Open Up Your Eyes And Look At These 5 Financial Charts!  (see infra) Despite what Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke says, rampant inflation is officially here. The federal government is constantly monkeying with the numbers to keep the “official” rate of inflation below 2 percent, but it is becoming very difficult to deny that the cost of almost everything is really going up these days.  … Merk ‘…While we believe food inflation will be with us for quite some time and may contribute to an unstable world possibly for years to come, the Federal Reserve appears to be firmly in the camp of heavily discounting food inflation. The European Central Bank (ECB), in contrast, has historically taken commodity inflation more seriously than the Fed – ECB President Trichet talks about his concern over "second round effects," i.e., commodity inflation stirring inflation throughout the value chain.

The relevance of all this is that in the U.S. it’s business as usual as far as monetary policy is concerned. According to Fed Chair Bernanke, the U.S. economy must grow at a rate of at least 2.5% per annum just to keep unemployment stable, however, he has made it clear that he will pursue policies to boost growth above that level. With oil prices soaring, he is facing yet another headwind. Rather than mopping up the liquidity that, in our assessment, has contributed to global commodity inflation, he may be tempted to keep the printing press in high gear to promote economic growth.

It doesn’t really matter whether we think there is a crisis. What matters is that the Fed doesn’t think its policies are contributing to global instability and continues on its expansionary path. After all, the banks continue to sit on their money and as such, the economy is certainly not in overdrive. With the exception of social instability spreading globally, the Fed may be very much on course:

  • Bernanke may want a weaker dollar. Unlike his predecessor, Bernanke embraces the U.S. dollar as a monetary policy tool to boost economic growth.
  • Bernanke wants higher inflation. Having explicitly called for higher inflation since last August, he has since praised the progress the market has made in pricing higher than inflation expectations. The challenge with raising inflation expectations is not only that it may be difficult to lower those expectations later but that it is difficult to control where that inflation appears. Bernanke, in our assessment, needs to get home price to rise and is willing to put up with rising prices in other areas.
  • We often focus on housing as a reason the Fed wants to boost growth, but we can also focus on WalMart (WMT): in the 13 weeks that ended 1/29/2010, WalMart’s sales declined 1.2%. Keep in mind that unlike government statistics, WalMart’s sales are not inflation adjusted. Also keep in mind that WalMart has been expanding its produce section in recent years; the section very much exposed to food inflation. As a result, on a real basis, sales have had rather substantial declines. Given that WalMart’s sales comprise more than 10% of total U.S. retail sales, we don’t believe there is such a thing as "company specific" problems; WalMart’s problems are those of the U.S. economy.

In contrast, the rest of the world is taking steps to stem inflationary pressures. Russia is the latest country to raise interest rates, following countries ranging from Sweden to Norway, Canada to Australia and Korea to China. In the Eurozone, the pairing down of some emergency facilities (leading to a draining of liquidity; a form of monetary tightening) and recent hawkish talk suggest interest rates may be raised later this year.

This discussion should clarify that it is perfectly possible for the world to be in turmoil without the U.S. dollar being a beneficiary. The focus of this analysis was the perceived status of the U.S. dollar as a safe haven, as well as implications of food inflation; a small, but important sliver affecting the U.S. dollar.’

 

 

 

 

 

 

Locked in standoff, Gaddafi foes debate foreign airstrikes    Opposition leaders consider requesting foreign intervention (Washington Post) [  Six NATO troops killed in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ Is there something wrong with the following picture? … am I missing something?       Gates's warning: Avoid land war in Asia, Middle East, and Africa Christian Science Monitor - In a speech to cadets at the United States Military Academy at West Point, Gates's message was clear: The US military services, as well as the elected and appointed civilians who send them to war, need better ways of foreseeing and preparing for ...     Gates Tells US Army to Take New Approach Voice of America    Warning Against Wars Like Iraq and Afghanistan New York Times  ( Better said, than unsaid; but, methinks a bit late for that in light of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s consummate decline and fall! If only they had listened and not shot at the messenger … things could have been different! )  

 

 

DÉJŔ VU ALL OVER AGAIN? WHERE’S YOGI WHEN YOU NEED HIM TO EXPLAIN THIS INSANITY:
Chavez: U.S. distorting situation in Libya ‘to justify an invasion’
CNN | Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez claims U.S. criticism of Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi has a clear aim: military invasion.

 

US tightens military grip on Gaddafi The Guardian | The west is edging towards a possible military confrontation with Muammar Gaddafi’s regime.

 

Obama Encircles US War Machine Around Libya Paul Joseph Watson | Administration readies to exploit humanitarian crisis to control Africa’s largest oil producer.

 

 

Most Americans Strongly Oppose U.S. Military Action in Libya According to Rasmussen, a large majority of Americans agree with the common sense of George Washington. During his farewell address, the first president of the United States said the nation should beware of foreign entanglements.  ]  Issue takes on increasing urgency amid realization that rebels cannot continue to match the weaponry and firepower of forces loyal to Gaddafi.

 

 

 

The TV Column: Charlie Sheen keeps talking; CBS gets in on the conversation (Washington Post) [Wobama says daffy gaddafi’s time is up, got to go. The same can be said of wobama et als and his fraudulently failed presidency.   Sheen On Obama: “A Coward In a Cheap Suit”   [ I think Sheen to be too gentle in his criticism of wobama (Some might reflexively, defensively allege drugs (prescription or otherwise) or any number of the varied personality disorders so prevalent in america … ‘fuzzy, California laid back thinking’, ‘whatever’… Who knows? ) But, that said, wobama’s far worse than just a ‘coward in a cheap suit’. Indeed, Wobama’s a total fraud having been elected under false pretenses; viz., his total, unequivocal, and unfulfilled b*** s*** (those campaign promises) ! Moreover, there has been some persuasive documentation questioning wobama’s citizenship / birthplace placing his eligibility to even hold the office of president in question.  Drudgereport: UPDATE: Huckabee claims Obama grew up in Kenya...      The Obama Nation, by Jerome Corsi  Rezko was corrupt, and supported Obama in many campaigns as well as in Obama buying his home -- and therefore, according to Corsi, Obama is corrupt by ...www.ontheissues.org/Obama_Nation.htm  ] Amidst the controversy of his wild interview on the Alex Jones Show yesterday, actor Charlie Sheen wasted little time in confronting President Barack Obama on his failure to answer Sheen’s twenty questions concerning 9/11, calling Obama, “a coward in a cheap suit.”        A Government Shut-down Imperils the Power of Congress Paul Craig Roberts | Congress could try to protect its loss of the power of the purse by impeaching Obama.       Drudgereport: WOBAMA 'IMPEACHMENT' WARNING...   ...to announce exploratory committee 'in 10 days'         Globalist Shill Barack Obama Asks Business Leaders For Job Creation Ideas Even As He Ships More Of Our Jobs Overseas As Part Of The New One World Economy The other day, Barack Obama summoned a group of business and labor leaders to the White House and “challenged” them to come up with some great ideas for creating more jobs inside the United States.   Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post). Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’: Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post) Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’:  

But still it’s ‘hands off fraudulent wall street’ to theirs, the nation’s, and the world’s detriment. Firms subpoenaed in attempt to regain Fannie, Freddie losses (Washington Post). But there’s a reason:

The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  ( UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown. ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1  – well worth a look. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

While boner and barton are indeed jokes / vegetables that bespeak the single-digit approval rate for congress, obama’s failure to deliver on promises with as well, endless war spending despite defacto bankruptcy of the nation and a watered down nothing financial regulation bill for talking points but little substance, make him as big a joker, along with the dems. This well researched / produced video tells the real story :  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1   ‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ – well worth the view.    [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends ]

‘The Obama Deception’ Censored  A viral You Tube upload of one of Alex Jones’ most popular feature films ‘The Obama Deception’ has been censored following a spur of the moment campaign to elevate the movie’s title to the top of the major internet search engines.      In light of this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if incomplete)     http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257#           For the Same Reason I’ve Included Here a Web Site Archived FLV Version of Esoteric Agenda          http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv   

 Cohen: Time for Arabs to reject anti-semitism (Washington Post) [ Reality check … time for israelis / jews to reject zionism and all that is entailed therein, including an alternate reality that defies credulity, rationality, and facts; such as, a self-rationalizing greed, anti-arab / anti-Christian predisposition and the ‘Oedipal Effect’ (blowback) engendered thereby. No, Johnny Carson was not anti-semitic (Fred Silverman), same for Charlie Sheen (Chuck Lorre), etc. (the list is endless inasmuch as when facts are not on their side, such specious inflammatory arguments as ‘anti-semitism’, prejudice, are a convenient subterfuge distracting from their weak position; ie., illegal nukes, war crimes, ignoring u.n. resolutions, ie., 242, 338, etc., ignoring international law. At best, no … God did not give them this land … at worst, God took the land back when they with roman muscle crucified Christ. Balfour was an arbitrary, incompetent, british joke.).  ] ]  Article | Tuesday will be known as the day we heard from The Receiving End of Charlie Sheen's Scorched Earth Media Tour.

 

 

 

Bernanke: Fed will respond if oil prices trigger inflation (Washington Post) [ If? Come on … don’t make me laugh!    Inflation Is Here – Just Open Up Your Eyes And Look At These 5 Financial Charts!  (see infra) Despite what Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke says, rampant inflation is officially here. The federal government is constantly monkeying with the numbers to keep the “official” rate of inflation below 2 percent, but it is becoming very difficult to deny that the cost of almost everything is really going up these days.  … Merk ‘…While we believe food inflation will be with us for quite some time and may contribute to an unstable world possibly for years to come, the Federal Reserve appears to be firmly in the camp of heavily discounting food inflation. The European Central Bank (ECB), in contrast, has historically taken commodity inflation more seriously than the Fed – ECB President Trichet talks about his concern over "second round effects," i.e., commodity inflation stirring inflation throughout the value chain.

The relevance of all this is that in the U.S. it’s business as usual as far as monetary policy is concerned. According to Fed Chair Bernanke, the U.S. economy must grow at a rate of at least 2.5% per annum just to keep unemployment stable, however, he has made it clear that he will pursue policies to boost growth above that level. With oil prices soaring, he is facing yet another headwind. Rather than mopping up the liquidity that, in our assessment, has contributed to global commodity inflation, he may be tempted to keep the printing press in high gear to promote economic growth.

It doesn’t really matter whether we think there is a crisis. What matters is that the Fed doesn’t think its policies are contributing to global instability and continues on its expansionary path. After all, the banks continue to sit on their money and as such, the economy is certainly not in overdrive. With the exception of social instability spreading globally, the Fed may be very much on course:

  • Bernanke may want a weaker dollar. Unlike his predecessor, Bernanke embraces the U.S. dollar as a monetary policy tool to boost economic growth.
  • Bernanke wants higher inflation. Having explicitly called for higher inflation since last August, he has since praised the progress the market has made in pricing higher than inflation expectations. The challenge with raising inflation expectations is not only that it may be difficult to lower those expectations later but that it is difficult to control where that inflation appears. Bernanke, in our assessment, needs to get home price to rise and is willing to put up with rising prices in other areas.
  • We often focus on housing as a reason the Fed wants to boost growth, but we can also focus on WalMart (WMT): in the 13 weeks that ended 1/29/2010, WalMart’s sales declined 1.2%. Keep in mind that unlike government statistics, WalMart’s sales are not inflation adjusted. Also keep in mind that WalMart has been expanding its produce section in recent years; the section very much exposed to food inflation. As a result, on a real basis, sales have had rather substantial declines. Given that WalMart’s sales comprise more than 10% of total U.S. retail sales, we don’t believe there is such a thing as "company specific" problems; WalMart’s problems are those of the U.S. economy.

In contrast, the rest of the world is taking steps to stem inflationary pressures. Russia is the latest country to raise interest rates, following countries ranging from Sweden to Norway, Canada to Australia and Korea to China. In the Eurozone, the pairing down of some emergency facilities (leading to a draining of liquidity; a form of monetary tightening) and recent hawkish talk suggest interest rates may be raised later this year.

This discussion should clarify that it is perfectly possible for the world to be in turmoil without the U.S. dollar being a beneficiary. The focus of this analysis was the perceived status of the U.S. dollar as a safe haven, as well as implications of food inflation; a small, but important sliver affecting the U.S. dollar.’

 

 

House Republicans press SEC on official's ties to Madoff (Washington Post) [ The ultimate subterfuge. Mr. small potatoes madoff the focus of so much influence … yet he’s in jail … and the only one … Boy, did mary shapiro become total b*** s*** fast … the current shibboleth of  capital hill / all 3 branches of pervasively corrupt u.s. government … joining the others: “The Financial Industry Has Become So Politically Powerful That It Is Able To Inhibit the Normal Process of Justice And Law Enforcement” The economy cannot stabilize unless fraud is prosecuted. But the folks in D.C. seem determined to turn a blind eye to Wall Street shenanigans, and is now moving to defund the enforcement agencies like the SEC and CFTC.      Market Crash 2011: It Will Hit by Christmas   Farrell, MarketWatch  SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — ‘Politicians lie. Bankers lie. Yes, they’re liars. But they’re not bad, it’s in their genes, inherited. Their brains are wired that way, warn scientists. Like addicts, they can’t help themselves. They want to sell stuff, get rich…’

‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]

 

 

 

  ]  House Republicans ramp up pressure on SEC Chairman Mary Schapiro.

 

 

Locked in standoff, Gaddafi foes debate foreign airstrikes    Opposition leaders consider requesting foreign intervention (Washington Post) [  Six NATO troops killed in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ Is there something wrong with the following picture? … am I missing something?       Gates's warning: Avoid land war in Asia, Middle East, and Africa Christian Science Monitor - In a speech to cadets at the United States Military Academy at West Point, Gates's message was clear: The US military services, as well as the elected and appointed civilians who send them to war, need better ways of foreseeing and preparing for ...     Gates Tells US Army to Take New Approach Voice of America    Warning Against Wars Like Iraq and Afghanistan New York Times  ( Better said, than unsaid; but, methinks a bit late for that in light of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s consummate decline and fall! If only they had listened and not shot at the messenger … things could have been different! )  

 

 

DÉJŔ VU ALL OVER AGAIN? WHERE’S YOGI WHEN YOU NEED HIM TO EXPLAIN THIS INSANITY:
Chavez: U.S. distorting situation in Libya ‘to justify an invasion’
CNN | Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez claims U.S. criticism of Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi has a clear aim: military invasion.

 

US tightens military grip on Gaddafi The Guardian | The west is edging towards a possible military confrontation with Muammar Gaddafi’s regime.

 

Obama Encircles US War Machine Around Libya Paul Joseph Watson | Administration readies to exploit humanitarian crisis to control Africa’s largest oil producer.

 

 

Most Americans Strongly Oppose U.S. Military Action in Libya According to Rasmussen, a large majority of Americans agree with the common sense of George Washington. During his farewell address, the first president of the United States said the nation should beware of foreign entanglements.  ]  Issue takes on increasing urgency amid realization that rebels cannot continue to match the weaponry and firepower of forces loyal to Gaddafi.

 

 

 

 

[ (2-26-11 et seq.) Let me state for the record here that my computer has been under constant viral, hack attack, paralleling prior such foolish, paranoid actions and let me reiterate: They will be sorry and I won’t forget it! ]

 

 

 

 

 

 

Money Illusion: The Nominal and Real Dow  Short ‘An email I received earlier today commented on the difference between nominal and real (inflation-adjusted) charts of market data. The overlay below of the Nominal and Real (inflation-adjusted) Dow illustrates the concept of "money illusion," the tendency of people to think of currency in nominal, rather than real, terms.

Below the two Dow series is the Consumer Price Index (CPI) from 1913 and with estimates for the earlier years. The CPI is the inflation (deflation) multiplier that accounts for the difference between the two views of the Dow.

[Click all to enlarge]
[chart]
One of the most conspicuous differences between the nominal and real series is apparent during secular bear markets, such as the period from the mid-1960s to 1982. In the nominal chart, this period looks like a choppy sideways pattern. But when we adjust for the high inflation of the 1970s and early 1980s, the sideways chop becomes the cascading downward direction of the real value of the market price. The 1982 dollar had shrunk in purchasing power to about 33 cents in comparison to its 1965 counterpart. Inflation had devoured two thirds of its value.

In the chart above, I adjusted the real Dow price to the dollar value of May 1896 to highlight the money illusion over the entire time frame. More commonly, my inflation-adjusted charts are priced at the present value of the currency, as illustrated in the real series below. This has the effect of raising the numbers for the earlier periods to adjust for the effect of the dominant pattern of inflation with brief but vicious periods of deflation, especially in the earlier decades.
[chart]

 

 



A Crash in Saudi Arabia, Arrogant Eurocrats and a Look at the Markets Part 2   Tenebrarum ‘Saudi Arabia's Stock Market Plunges

Stock market traders in Saudi Arabia got a bit of a wake-up call yesterday. Their stock market evidently sees something it doesn't like. Why the market is all of a sudden more worried than it was previously about the challenge to the established political order in the Arab world is a bit of a mystery, but presumably traders have thus far deluded themselves into thinking that Saudi Arabia would be immune to unrest. Something has evidently changed their mind. It seems to us that this event deserves the moniker warning sign. The selling has been extremely heavy for three days now. Since this market is largely driven by local investors, we should probably attach some significance to this recent plunge. Someone has begun to sell three days ago and has spooked the herd. It's a good bet that the someone who started the selling is better informed than the rest of us.

Note in this context the following information about the current oil policy of Saudi Arabia from Marketwatch. While the article references anonymous sources, which stands in the way of fact-checking, there is one paragraph that caught our eye:

"The main threat is ... Saudi instability when the current king dies. We know he is very ill but obviously there is no indication of how critical that condition is. But it is acknowledged that the next transition will present a much bigger threat to internal stability ... Vested interest groups have been waiting for this transition to push their agenda. Saudi experienced considerable regional instability up to 10 years ago but bought it off with higher oil-based spending. Today the problem is as bad, if not worse. There have been only a few of the promised reforms ... Resentment towards the wealth gap with the royals is very high ... Even if/when the instability in other countries, such as Libya, settles, the Saudi succession threat is now firmly on the table. What happens in Bahrain could be very key. That alone will keep the oil market nervous for this year."

The very ill king could in fact be the key to the sudden crash in Saudi Arabia's stock market. With political instability across the entire region, a fight for succession in Saudi Arabia wouldn't be very conducive to stability at this particular point in time. The fact that spreading some of the oil wealth around has not been effective in lowering the level of resentment vis-a-vis the royals sounds very credible to us. So does the assertion that what happens in Bahrain will be very important. Bahrain is ruled by a monarchy as well and should it lose power, the Saudi masses could be galvanized.

Saudi Arabia is the world's second biggest oil producer after Russia and as a result the monarchy has enormous financial resources at its disposal. This certainly helps with buying off numerous special interest groups. Also, as we mentioned in passing previously, the royals have a deal with the powerful and highly conservative religious establishment that helps keep them in power. Essentially the country is a mixture between a monarchy and theocracy. The strict religiously inspired laws may on the one hand sit well with the deeply religious population, but on the other hand they also make for a very repressive environment that may sit less well with the youth – large numbers of which are unemployed. Also, the extravagance of the many Saudi princes (over 10,000 royals are about, all well-endowed with stipends) may not go down all that well with the rest of the Saudis , regardless of what deals the royals have made with the mullahs. All in all, it remains a potentially explosive situation.

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Saudi Arabia's Al-Tadawul All-share Index goes somewhat belatedly into free-fall.

In the meantime, Muammar Qaddafy continues to give utterly bizarre interviews (if anything, they have become even more so ... "I don't lead Libya, I have no power" ... "The people of Libya love me!"), while more and more of Libya falls to opposition forces. Evidently the man has lost whatever connection to reality he may once have possessed. The Pentagon has meanwhile assembled naval forces off Libyan waters – possibly to enforce a no-fly zone.

While all eyes are on Libya, Egypt has once again decided not to reopen its stock market – the reopening of the stock exchange has been been postponed repeatedly, so this is almost business as usual by now.

"The Egyptian Exchange, shuttered for over a month, was to resume trading on Tuesday. But in an overnight statement, exchange officials said the market would reopen instead on March 6 to 'allow investors to profit from the government's support to guarantee stability in the bourse.'

"The decision reflected the strong undercurrent of unease in the Arab world's most populous nation where the market's benchmark stock index had shed almost 17 percent in two consecutive trading sessions before it closed at the end of the business day on Jan. 27."

Keep the market closed to 'allow investors to profit from the government's support to guarantee stability in the bourse'? Good luck with that one.

As a final note on the Middle East, we continue to recommend keeping an eye on Iran. The regime is evidently worried, and given Iran's importance as an oil exporter, any unrest in that country would arguably have an even bigger effect on the oil market than Libya's recent disintegration.

Ireland and the Arrogant Eurocracy

Via Dr. Jim Walker of the excellent research firm Asianomics, we have been made aware of some of the things various eurocrats have had to say about the Irish election. Some of these quotes are remarkable for their unbridled and quite unwarranted arrogance.

"As Irish voters headed for the polling booths on Friday, the European Commission bluntly declared that the terms of the EU-IMF bailout "must be applied" whatever the will of Ireland's people or regardless of any change of government.

"It's an agreement between the EU and the Republic of Ireland, it's not an agreement between an institution and a particular government," said a Brussels spokesman.

A European diplomat, from a large eurozone country, told The Sunday Telegraph that "the more the Irish make a big deal about renegotiation in public, the more attitudes will harden."

"It is not even take it or leave it. It's done. Ireland's only role in this now is to implement the programme agreed with the EU, IMF and European Central Bank. Irish voters are not a party in this process, whatever they have been told," said the diplomat.”

(Our emphasis)

Hello? Irish voters are "not a party in this process"? Irish voters – i.e. the tax cows that have been condemned to bail out their failed banks so that the highly leveraged German banking system can avoid a debt restructuring broadside – may well go from "revolution lite" as the WSJ calls the election outcome (since essentially, one conservative party was exchanged for another), to a "real revolution." As an aside, while the WSJ asserts that 'Ireland needs Merkel," we believe it is exactly the other way around (see further below as to why). Our understanding of 'democracy' is that voters are the ultimate arbiters of such things. There is no agreement that can not be amended or broken if voters feel they have been sold out by the government that signed it. As the Telegraph notes further:

"Dessie Shiels, an independent candidate in Donegal, said: "People have not been given the basic right of deciding whether or not they should have their taxes increased in order to repay bondholders who have lent to the banks."

David McWilliams, an economist and former official at the Ireland's Central Bank, has led calls for a popular vote under Article 27 of the Irish constitution, which requires on a matter of "such national importance that the will of the people ought to be ascertained."

"We have to re-negotiate everything," he said. "Obviously, the first way to do this is to make them aware that if they force us to pay everything, we will default and they will get nothing. So they had better get a little bit of something, than all of nothing. To make this financial pill easier to swallow, we must take the initiative politically. We can do this via a referendum.

"If the Irish people hold a referendum on the bank debts now, we can go to the EU with a mandate from the people which says No. This will allow our politicians to play hard-ball, because to do otherwise would be an anti-democratic endgame."

Declan Ganley, the Irish businessman who led the 2008 No vote to the Lisbon Treaty, said Ireland must "have the balls" to threaten debt default and withdrawal from the single currency.

"We have a hostage, it is called the euro," he said. "The euro is insolvent. The only question is whether Ireland should be sacrificed to keep the Ponzi scheme going. We have to have a Plan B to the misnamed bailout, which is to go back to the Irish Punt."

(our emphasis)

Got it in one, Mr, Ganley. Ireland is the party that has the leverage in this situation, not the EU. The decisive point is this: The euro is a kind of roach motel – it's easy (too easy) to get in, but it is very hard to get out.

Why is it so hard to get out? It isn't, as the outgoing Irish government asserted, the fact that government would find it hard to borrow money in the markets after a bank debt restructuring, or even after a restructuring of the government's own debt. Greece, which has been bankrupt for half of the past 180 years, is proof positive that it is fairly easy to find new suckers for government debt after a while.

No, at the root of the roach motel problem are the banks themselves. If the population suspects that an abandonment of the euro is imminent, worries that the national currency likely to succeed the euro will be devalued would provoke a flight from the banks – depositors would shift their deposits to other banks somewhere else in the euro area. Both Greece and Ireland have in fact been plagued by such a flight of depositors already, to varying extent. In fact, the biggest and quite obviously bankrupt Irish banks have bled deposits at an enormous rate lately. With the banks completely zombified, worries about a flight of depositors should be much reduced – since they have already largely fled.

The banking system is however also a big worry for the rest of the EU. Why was the Irish government forced to accept a bailout? What was so urgent? Why was it so important to especially avoid a restructuring of the senior debt of Ireland's banks? The answer is that an Irish debt restructuring imposing a big haircut on bondholders would hit banks elsewhere in the euro area (including the ECB, as it were). The way we see this, Irish voters will eventually prove the arrogant unnamed European diplomat from a big country wrong. They will eventually be a party to the proceedings. Negotiating a lower interest rate on borrowings from the EFSF, the currently enunciated goal of the new Irish government won't be enough. It won't do the trick because the burden will still be too large.

We would note here, as we have repeatedly done before, that it does no-one any good to pretend that losses don't exist or that the giant fiat money Ponzi scheme made up of unpayable government debt and de facto insolvent fractionally reserved banks can be forever kept going by heaping new debts atop the old ones. If we want genuine, sustainable economic growth to resume, the only way to achieve that is to bite the bullet. Acknowledge the losses and let them fall upon those who have invested unwisely. This is not merely a question of morality, as prominent Keynesians like Paul Krugman keep saying. It is a question that concerns the system of free market capitalism itself. Capitalism is not supposed to privatize profits and socialize losses. This is a perversion of the free market system that will ultimately serve to destroy it.

In addition, as the EU lurches toward the 'big accord' planned for late March – a.k.a. the Grand Bargain (Portugal may well fall into crisis before that date, as its bond yields remain stuck above the crucial 7% level and large debt rollovers are awaiting it in March) , there are evidently plans afoot to make other European nations more like Germany. Unfortunately this is not merely about fiscal rectitude as such. It is also about the desire of the German political class to impose Germany's high taxes on everyone. Ireland would do well to think twice about agreeing to such stipulations.

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Portugal's 10 year bond yield sits at 7.45%. Greece and Ireland both became EFSF wards when their yields crossed the 7% mark. And yes, this is a bullish (bearish for Portuguese debt) chart.

 

 

The Markets

The Stock Market

In the wake of the big decline in Saudi Arabia's stock market, other stock markets also suffered a bad hair day. It would be easy to pin the blame for the stock market's recent decline on the problems in the Middle East, but bulls should perhaps be more concerned about a number of other facts. For one thing, there is the subtle internal technical deterioration as evidenced by many 'momo' stocks coming under pressure of late, i.e., the so-called "Teflon stocks" all of a sudden look somewhat less teflonesque. A similar point is made in a recent article by Michael Kahn at Barron's about the Dow Jones Industrial Average. As Kahn remarks:

"Despite its limited representation in a market of thousands of stocks, the Dow Jones Industrial Average nonetheless is an important barometer. Given the sheer dollar value of its 30 component issues, any cracks in its armor should not be ignored.

So when fully one fifth of Dow stocks sport technical failure we should take notice. Failure, in the lexicon of charting, is often used to describe a stock falling as it hits a key level such as resistance or the top of a pattern.

When a stock breaks out to the upside from resistance or a chart pattern it is usually a bullish sign. Demand overcomes supply and prices move higher – most of the time. However, failure to hold on to that breakout is the unusual case and that makes it a true newsworthy event for investors."

Kahn notes that the bulk of the DJIA stocks remains in solid uptrends, but of course when the market gets into trouble, the first signs of such are always subtle.

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What is notable to us about the recent decline is that the preceding rally as well as the recent rebound all happened on very weak volume, whereas volume tends to spike when the market moves lower. This is a negative sign too.

What else should stock market bulls worry about aside from the loss of leadership and subtle signs of technical deterioration? How about "Hedge funds borrow the most since 2007 to purchase U.S. stocks?"

"Hedge funds increased their net leverage in January to the highest level since October 2007, as they took advantage of record-low borrowing costs to bet that the U.S. equity rally will continue.

Debt at margin accounts at the New York Stock Exchange minus cash and unused credit from margin accounts climbed to $46 billion, according to data released by NYSE yesterday. Hedge funds had $290 billion of debt from margin accounts in December, the largest sum since Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. collapsed in September 2008."

(Our emphasis)

Needless to say, October of 2007 was not exactly a propitious time to buy lots of stocks on margin. Perhaps this time will be different, but we kind of doubt it (although in some respects the 2007 high was even more beset by extremes – but then, it was a much higher high).

What else is there to worry about? How about those capitulating bears: "Capitulating Bears Push Short Sales to Lowest in Three Years."

"The biggest Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rally in more than five decades is forcing stock market bears to abandon short sales, cutting them to the lowest level since 2007 last month.

Shares borrowed and sold to profit from declines dropped four straight months and represented 3.3 percent of all stock in January, according to data compiled by NYSE Euronext. Pessimists are giving up after missing the 95 percent rally in the S&P 500 spurred by the fastest earnings growth since 1994. The monthly decrease comes as individuals added $17.6 billion to U.S. mutual funds this year after withdrawing money since April."

(Our emphasis)

There it is mentioned again, that fateful year 2007. Capitulating bears weren't a good sign then, and they are unlikely to be a good sign now. The lower the short interest ratio, the less support from short covering there will be once the market heads down, but to us it is more important what this datum says about sentiment.

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The chart of the high beta DJ Transportation average is intriguing – its rebound failed at the 50 day moving average. This average generally tends to lag in moves up (i.e. it tends to be one of the last indexes to top out) and lead in declines.

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A recent chart of mutual fund cash levels from Jason Goepfert's sentimentrader.com shows that mutual fund managers are also all in – the current reading is the second lowest in all of history , a mere 10 basis points above the all time low (the absolute low was seen in 2010). This indicator tends to have medium to long term significance. We see it largely as an expression of fund manager sentiment.

Solely from a chart perspective it is too early to say whether the recent pullback will just be a short term hiccup or the beginning of a more substantial correction. Many of the aforementioned momentum stocks have weakened, but they have not yet broken any important supports. However, the fact that the market has for a change not rallied on the first of the month (the bulk of the advance from the 2009 low was accomplished by large first-of-the-month rallies) clearly constitutes a change in character.

Apart from that, the fact remains that risk is extremely high. Should the market rebound and streak to new highs for the move, said risk won't diminish, but will become even greater.

Gold and Oil

Not too surprisingly, both oil and gold have continued their rallies. Gold is on the verge of a decisive breakout, while the oil market appears close to negating a recent reversal candle (as we noted at the time, such reversals require follow-through selling to be confirmed as such).

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It appears that oil wants to go even higher. Since the reversal candle that was put in place four trading days ago has not led to follow-through selling and the market is already bouncing higher again, no reversal has been confirmed as of yet. Of course this is now a market harboring a large political risk premium, which makes it extra-risky (for both bulls and bears). Nothing's wrong with this chart though.

We are not certain how much of a political risk premium there is now in gold, but gold seemed to us already set to make new highs before the news about the unrest in Arab countries took center stage (we have frequently remarked on the subdued bullish sentiment after the small correction in January).

One must not forget, when central bankers stubbornly defend ultra-easy monetary policies as Mervyn King and Ben Bernanke both keep doing, then there is little reason not to want to own gold (we will soon have more to say about the recent statements by these two gentlemen – neither of them managed to disappoint our expectations, which are even lower than their interest rates). Also, with the bulk of gold's fundamental price drivers in a bullish configuration, the backdrop remains conducive to higher gold prices regardless of the geopolitical noise (it is to our mind different in the case of crude oil).

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Both gold and silver (solid line) streak higher. Gold's close actually constitutes a breakout, but it is not a decisive breakout yet. As previously noted, gold doesn't do triple tops, so a decisive breakout seems highly likely.

The U.S. Dollar

The dollar rates a mention for its failure to profit from safe haven buying in view of the news from the Arab world. It may be that talk of the allegedly undiminished likelihood of QE3 isn't helping, especially as ECB officials have lately adopted a fairly hawkish tone. Of course, money supply growth in the euro area has in recent months been far lower than money supply growth in the U.S., so there is a good reason for the euro to show some relative strength based on that, but the problem of the unresolved debt crisis remains – which argues strongly against the euro going forward. Be that as it may, the dollar hasn't been going anywhere lately. We would however not be inclined to get too bearish on the U.S. dollar here, in spite of its failure to attract safe haven buying. The recent decline has been grudging, which is often the precursor to a short term trend change.

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The U.S. dollar hasn't been helped by turmoil in the Middle East – which is a bit surprising.

Finally, before it is out of date, we want to point readers to a recent interview by the father of securitization, Lew Ranieri, on the state of the U.S. housing market. He echoes the concerns that Ramsey Su has enunciated in these pages. The U.S. housing market remains quite sick, in spite of the wagon-loads of money Ben Bernanke's Fed has printed. An old adage is confirmed by this fact: the central bank can print money, and/or encourage the commercial banks to increase the credit and money supply, but it has no control over where this money ultimately goes.’

 

 

 

 

 

Oil surges after Libya airstrike near oil terminal Reuters | Fresh airstrikes hit Brega, about 1.2 miles from a Libyan oil terminal.

 

 

Bernanke Cautious on Economic Growth as Oil Prices Rise [ In pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america it’s come to be known all too familiarly as ‘defending the indefensible’.  ] New York Times | Fed chief again defended the Fed’s large and unprecedented stimulus program.

 

 

Pentagon Tries to Blame Financial Crisis on Foreign Financial Terrorists  [ You just can’t believe the magnitude of the b*** s*** they try to foist off … financial terrorists who are u.s. citizens and are collectively called wall street; oh, right, they fly a big american flag outside the exchange which garners them carte blanche to…rape, pillage, and plunder with impunity … even as the pentagon’s become singularly talented at raping, pillaging, and plundering … the 360 tons of $100 bills gone missing in Iraq is a small example of their talent, and a general previously attested to the reality that on any given day there’s 2-3 billion floatin’ around the pentagon. Pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt, war criminal america is pathetic!   ] The Pentagon is paying contractors to claim that it was foreign financial terrorists – instead of fraud by American financial executives – which caused the 2008 financial crisis.

 

Libya’s Bankers Exposed: Goldman, JP Morgan And Citi Ten days ago, when we first looked at the Libyan investment authority (its sovereign wealth fund), we asked “Which US Banks Are Managing Billions For The $32 Billion Libyan Sovereign Wealth Fund?”

 

BOE’s Mervyn King “Surprised Anger Directed At Bankers Is Not Greater” When a nation’s top central banker says that even he is surprised the middle class is not far angrier at the bankers, you know the lithium consumption is surpassing Surgeon General RDA levels.

 

Oil could bring US down Ben Bernanke testified before the Senate Banking Committee and warned that a rise in oil prices as a result of the conflicts in the Middle East could threaten US growth and spark dangerous price rises. Author and researcher Adrian Salbuchi says while rising oil prices seem to go against US interests there has been a process of weakening the US because of other rising super powers anyway.

 

Inflation Is Here – Just Open Up Your Eyes And Look At These 5 Financial Charts! Despite what Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke says, rampant inflation is officially here. The federal government is constantly monkeying with the numbers to keep the “official” rate of inflation below 2 percent, but it is becoming very difficult to deny that the cost of almost everything is really going up these days.

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. and Britain Prepare to Impose No-fly Over Libya Kurt Nimmo | The bankers are horrified by Libya’s 2009 decision to implement Islamic banking.

 

Gaddafi claims: ‘West only wants our oil’ As Libya teeters on the brink of full-scale civil war Colonel Gaddafi today said there was a conspiracy to get of Libyan oil as he again pledged to fight to the last.

 

Oil surges after Libya airstrike near oil terminal Oil prices jumped to near 2-1/2 year highs on Wednesday after an airstrike near Libya’s oil infrastructure kept the market braced for a prolonged disruption from the OPEC nation and worried unrest might spread to other regional producers.

 

TSA Criminality Epidemic: “Behavioral Detection” Officer Faces Charges Of Helping Drug Dealers Through Security Yet another TSA officer has been arrested on suspicion of abusing her position and engaging in illegal activity, adding to a long history of cases indicating that TSA workers are prone to criminal behavior.

 

Barbour: Obama’s policy ‘is to drive up energy prices’ With price of gasoline rising for the eighth consecutive day, Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour accused the Obama administration of hiking energy costs in an effort to promote alternative fuels.

 

Russian Military Claims Libya Air Strikes Did Not Happen The Russian military claims that the supposed air strikes launched by Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi against protesters last week did not happen, suggesting that the key event seized upon by the global media as a justification for a “humanitarian” military intervention was a contrived hoax.

 

Rolling Stone On Alex Jones: “Most Paranoid Man In America” Paul Joseph Watson | Profile is a generally good insight into Alex’s personal character and how he sees his own role in standing up against tyranny.

 

Docs Reveal TSA Plan To Body-Scan Pedestrians, Train Passengers Newly uncovered documents show that as early as 2006, the Department of Homeland Security has been planning pilot programs to deploy mobile scanning units that can be set up at public events and in train stations, along with mobile x-ray vans capable of scanning pedestrians on city streets.

 

Oil surges after Libya airstrike near oil terminal Oil prices jumped to near 2-1/2 year highs on Wednesday after an airstrike near Libya’s oil infrastructure kept the market braced for a prolonged disruption from the OPEC nation and worried unrest might spread to other regional producers.

 

TSA Criminality Epidemic: “Behavioral Detection” Officer Faces Charges Of Helping Drug Dealers Through Security Yet another TSA officer has been arrested on suspicion of abusing her position and engaging in illegal activity, adding to a long history of cases indicating that TSA workers are prone to criminal behavior.

 

The Perfidy of Government: Evidence v. Denial Paul Craig Roberts | America is dissolving.

 

New Hampshire Moves to Criminalize TSA Grope-down Procedures Kurt Nimmo | Lawmakers argue TSA goons should be placed on sex offender registry.

 

 

World cheers as the CIA plunges Libya into chaos David Rothscum | Gaddafi is the main threat to US hegemony in Africa.

 

 

Blair cronies supported Gaddafi for his millions Mail Online | ‘Useful idiots’ was how mass murderer Stalin dubbed left-wing academics who enthusiastically endorsed Communism.

 

 

Russia Warns on Libyan Intervention Mail Online | Russia’s top diplomat has today dismissed plans to create a no-fly zone over Libya.

 

 

 

Farrakhan: Jews Are Pushing the US Into War Nation of Islam leader Louis Farrakhan said Jews and Zionists are “trying to push the US into war” and are a cover for Satan, at the group’s annual meeting near Chicago on Tuesday.

 

More Than 140,000 People Flee Libya The United Nations refugee agency says over the past 10 days, more than 140,000 people have fled to Egypt and Tunisia from Libya. The UNHCR says tens of thousands of people are stuck at the borders and in urgent need of help.

 

 

 

 

 

March 2011 Economic Forecast: GDP Is Disconnected From the Real Economy - Hansen ‘Last week, the second estimate of 4Q2010 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was issued. It showed a rather paltry 2.8% economic growth.

The way GDP is designed – it is not a true measure of an advanced economy. It is designed to measure economic growth of an emerging economy. An advanced economy’s growth cannot be measured necessarily by measurements of brick and mortar or investment.

This kind of approach also leaves open too many questions relative to population growth and methodology in determining change in dollar value (analysis here).

The question really is a definition of an economy. My colleague Derryl put it succinctly in "Profits for a Few Can Not Replace Real Jobs:"

"The people" need to work to earn a living. That’s called "having an economy."

An economy is the sum of trading work and goods between all the people. Modern economies use money for this trade. GDP measures the "productive" use of money. GDP measures less than half of all money flows. Econintersect believes GDP does not properly measure "productive" use of money.

Economists are saying the economy has fully recovered from the Great Recession – yet Main Street remains in a depression. The reason comes from GDP itself. Simply isolating the goods and services Joe Sixpack from GDP, the economy is no where near recovered.

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You see, GDP takes credit for exports and debits imports. Yet Joe Sixpack is trading what he earns for products and services. To see the economy of Joe Sixpack, you have to look at the sum of what he is trading.

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Go back and review the economic forecasts Econintersect made for October, November and December. We predicted the real economy – the economy of Joe Sixpack was stalling.

Econintersect uses a forward looking economic indicator which uses non-monetary pulse points that have a general – not specific correlation with Gross Domestic Product. These pulse points are geared to anticipate consumer and industrial income / spending for 30 to 60 days after the indicator is issued.

Econintersect counts units of things other then money – and is specifically designed to measure Main Street and Joe Sixpack’s world.

March 2011 Economic Forecast

The "real" economy – the economy of Joe Sixpack continues to expand. The strength of this growth is considered moderate with positive underlying trend lines. Putting this into perspective – the economy is likely improving on a per capita basis.

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There are "buts" to this forecast.

  • In last month’s forecast, we warned of a black swan possibility of an economic reversal due to the start of unrest in oil producing countries. This is no longer a black swan – but a known event underway – and seemingly now priced in to the economy.
  • Econintersect is unable to forecast employment levels using this methodology. There is little correlation between the Econintersect Economic Index (EEI) and employment since the beginning of the Great Recession.

The EEI has improved from +0.25 to +0.55.

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One major component of the EEI is transport related. Econintersect considers transport (truck, rail and sea container) counts a primary economic pulse point – and its trend represents underlying economic pressure.

This month, the transport portion of the EEI index continued its upward trend. This portion of the index is quite noisy as it quantifies the month-over-month (MoM) change (positive numbers indicate seasonally adjusted MoM growth, negative numbers represent seasonally adjusted MoM contraction).

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To Econintersect, transports represent the pulse of the real economy – the economy of Joe Sixpack. All of our man made surroundings, the clothes we wear and the food we eat are moved several times by transport during their processing/delivery cycles. A growing economy consumes more (and therefore transports more), a contracting economy consumes less.

Last month, we mentioned in passing – that there was anecdotal evidence that the transport sector of the index was weakening. Hard data over the last 30 days has been entirely contradictory to this.

For a complete explanation of the EEI, please see the October 2010 forecast.

 

 

 

Disasters Rocking the U.S. Dollar?  Merk ‘From earthquakes in New Zealand to revolutions in the Middle East, natural and man-made disasters are rocking the world. We are all too often made to believe that in times of crisis there’s a flight to the U.S. dollar. However, the U.S. dollar has instead had a rocky ride of its own thus allowing the crisis-ridden Eurozone to shine. What’s going on? Is there no crisis, or has the U.S. dollar lost its appeal as a safe haven?

Over longer periods there is little correlation between the U.S. dollar and other assets. In the past two years, however, a mentality has arisen that whenever there is a crisis the U.S. dollar benefits; as the crisis abates money flows out of the U.S. dollar and once again into currencies and markets overseas that may be deemed riskier. That may well be a skewed pendulum, however, as the U.S. dollar may have a more difficult time attracting money at each subsequent crisis. Firstly, the U.S. is simply better at spending and printing money than the rest of the world; causing the balance sheet of the U.S. to deteriorate at a faster pace than that of the rest of the world. And secondly, policy makers around the world are addressing whatever the cause of the crisis may have been i.e., the "trillion-dollar" backstop provided in the Eurozone to support weaker countries. One can argue how effective such measures are, but generally speaking, the region may be safer than before measures were taken; not safe, but "safer," meaning less money may flee back to the U.S. dollar the next time a crisis flares up.

But maybe there is no crisis? Saudi Arabia may make up for any shortfall of lost Libyan oil production and Egypt and Tunisia don’t affect U.S. markets anyway. The argument we heard in early phases of the sub-prime crisis was "it’s all contained". Intelligent people in both Libya and abroad did not think the Egyptian turmoil would swamp over to Libya. After all, the standard of living – and with it, presumably social stability - in Libya is higher due to wealth created by oil. For now, the extreme volatility in the oil markets suggests that market participants beg to differ as to how all of this unfolds. If anything, that is a healthy process; it’s when everyone agrees that bubbles are created.[picture]

To understand the dynamics unfolding we have to dig a little deeper into the "it’s all contained" argument. People don’t like autocratic rule but we have argued that people may put up with oppression as long as they can feed themselves. Escalating food prices may be a key reason revolts and revolutions are happening now. (See also our analysis of Politics of Inflation.) However, U.S. policy makers generally disregard food inflation for a couple of reasons:

  • The U.S. economy is not very dependent on food. Yes, people need to eat but only a small portion of disposable income is spent on food in the U.S.
  • Food inflation in the rest of the world is really the problem of the rest of the world. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Bernanke, when pressured on whether U.S. monetary policy exports inflation to the rest of the world, has argued that other countries have plenty of tools at their disposal to address inflationary pressures there. That is correct but in the absence of foreign policy makers heeding Bernanke’s advice, the world is less stable; $100 oil is a reminder that global instability does come home to roost.
  • Food inflation is temporary. There is a widely held belief that food inflation is due to special factors such as a plethora of bad crops throughout the world. However, the Financial Times writes: "The World faces a protracted bout of extremely high food prices, the US government has warned, overwhelming farmers’ ability to cool commodity markets by planting millions of additional hectares with crops."
  • Not only can farmers plant more, they can also farm more efficiently. Developing countries, over time, may greatly enhance the productivity of their farmland. That is correct, but let’s not forget that as the standard of living is rising in the developing world, there’s a shift towards a more protein based diet. A lot of corn will be needed to feed the cattle to produce the meat to satisfy demand.
  • Acknowledging these drivers, it’s still a question of whether we are merely seeing a bout of inflation, i.e. a reset of the price level or an era of continuously rising food prices. Even with little agreement on where we are headed in the medium term, most would agree that there is no such thing as continuity in agricultural commodity prices. As an example, Bloomberg reports that wheat prices fell 8.6% from February 18 until February 25.

While we believe food inflation will be with us for quite some time and may contribute to an unstable world possibly for years to come, the Federal Reserve appears to be firmly in the camp of heavily discounting food inflation. The European Central Bank (ECB), in contrast, has historically taken commodity inflation more seriously than the Fed – ECB President Trichet talks about his concern over "second round effects," i.e., commodity inflation stirring inflation throughout the value chain.

The relevance of all this is that in the U.S. it’s business as usual as far as monetary policy is concerned. According to Fed Chair Bernanke, the U.S. economy must grow at a rate of at least 2.5% per annum just to keep unemployment stable, however, he has made it clear that he will pursue policies to boost growth above that level. With oil prices soaring, he is facing yet another headwind. Rather than mopping up the liquidity that, in our assessment, has contributed to global commodity inflation, he may be tempted to keep the printing press in high gear to promote economic growth.

It doesn’t really matter whether we think there is a crisis. What matters is that the Fed doesn’t think its policies are contributing to global instability and continues on its expansionary path. After all, the banks continue to sit on their money and as such, the economy is certainly not in overdrive. With the exception of social instability spreading globally, the Fed may be very much on course:

  • Bernanke may want a weaker dollar. Unlike his predecessor, Bernanke embraces the U.S. dollar as a monetary policy tool to boost economic growth.
  • Bernanke wants higher inflation. Having explicitly called for higher inflation since last August, he has since praised the progress the market has made in pricing higher than inflation expectations. The challenge with raising inflation expectations is not only that it may be difficult to lower those expectations later but that it is difficult to control where that inflation appears. Bernanke, in our assessment, needs to get home price to rise and is willing to put up with rising prices in other areas.
  • We often focus on housing as a reason the Fed wants to boost growth, but we can also focus on WalMart (WMT): in the 13 weeks that ended 1/29/2010, WalMart’s sales declined 1.2%. Keep in mind that unlike government statistics, WalMart’s sales are not inflation adjusted. Also keep in mind that WalMart has been expanding its produce section in recent years; the section very much exposed to food inflation. As a result, on a real basis, sales have had rather substantial declines. Given that WalMart’s sales comprise more than 10% of total U.S. retail sales, we don’t believe there is such a thing as "company specific" problems; WalMart’s problems are those of the U.S. economy.

In contrast, the rest of the world is taking steps to stem inflationary pressures. Russia is the latest country to raise interest rates, following countries ranging from Sweden to Norway, Canada to Australia and Korea to China. In the Eurozone, the pairing down of some emergency facilities (leading to a draining of liquidity; a form of monetary tightening) and recent hawkish talk suggest interest rates may be raised later this year.

This discussion should clarify that it is perfectly possible for the world to be in turmoil without the U.S. dollar being a beneficiary. The focus of this analysis was the perceived status of the U.S. dollar as a safe haven, as well as implications of food inflation; a small, but important sliver affecting the U.S. dollar.’

 

 

 

Post Meltdown Economy Looks More Like a Pre Meltdown Economy Maierhofer ‘Based purely on the stock market, the economy should be rockin' and rollin' but while the market's performance has been stellar, the economy is flat.

Will stocks catch up with the economy or the economy with stocks?

Just how strong is the market? The SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (NYSEArca: MDY - News) is trading at an all-time high, the Nasdaq-100 (Nasdaq: QQQQ - News) has surpassed its 2007 watermark, the Russell 2000 (NYSEArca: IWM - News) is closing in on its all-time high, the S&P 500 (SNP: ^GSPC) has doubled since March 2009, and the Dow (DJI: ^DJI) is viewed as the ultra safe haven in a world of turmoil.

How strong is the economy? Real estate (NYSEArca: IYR - News), the biggest wealth builder/destroyer in the country is still weak. The Standard & Poor's Case-Shiller Home Price Index has dropped to the lowest level in nearly a decade. As the Home Price Index has fallen below March 2009 levels, residential REIT stocks (NYSEArca: REZ - News) have nearly tripled since then.

Another huge contributor to a healthy economy - unemployment - shows signs of improvements at a peripheral glance but continues to lag significantly if examined beyond the rosy headline numbers. To wit, if it wasn't for the labor force sliding to a near 30-year low, the headline unemployment number would be around 12% while the real unemployment would be around 20%.

Based on a 11-line surface analysis, stocks and the economy are out of sync. To see whether stocks will catch up with the economy or vice versa, we'll need to slice beneath the service and examine the very foundation of our economy.

Multi-decade Economic Trend

Unnoticed by Wall Street, the economy has been shifting gears, and has gone from acceleration mode to coasting mode. How so?

A few decades ago, sweat-trenched U.S. manufacturing facilities were the most fertile, growth-producing environment on the planet. This growth was fueled by 'Made in America' products. The growth was organic and it was real.

When taking a closer look at the economy over the past 70 years, we see two distinct growth periods. Phase 1 lasted from 1947 - 1966 and phase 2 stretched from 1975 - 2000.

Throughout phase 1, GDP averaged 4.18% while unemployment was low. GDP during phase 2 averaged 3.40% with unemployment inching up. [chart]

GE, a company that endured though both phases, provides important clues about the difference between both phases. Up until the end of phase 1, GE was known for manufacturing quality products like light bulbs, refrigerators, jet engines, and aircraft super chargers. GE's slogan was 'We bring good things to life.'

In the second phase, GE ventured into television and high finance. GE Capital, GE Commercial Finance, GE Money, GE Consumer Finance and NBC Universal contributed an ever-growing slice of GE's profit pie.

GE's focus shifted from manufacturing to financial engineering. If GE didn't build a product it would finance the consumer's purchase of a competitor's product. It was just appropriate that GE's slogan was changed to 'Imagination at work.'

The 'New Normal' - New but not Normal

The concept of making money by using money, encouraged by the Fed's interest rate policy, lacked substance and sustainability. The 2000 tech (NYSEArca: XLK - News) crash was more pronounced than what we've seen from the decades before. The real estate boom was as gigantic as its subsequent bust.

The post-2007 financial crisis further highlighted the dangers of an economy low on manufacturing but rich on leverage, accounting tricks, and financial engineering. No wonder the average GDP for the 2001 - 2010 period - dubbed the lost decade - dropped to 1.71%.

But amnesia or selective memory loss, usually triggered by rising prices, is not new to investors. The more stocks rally, the more excited investors become, the more dangerous the stock market gets.

Building an Air Castle?

The post meltdown economy has become a launching pad for the new economy and new key players. Facebook and Twitter are Wall Street's new darlings. Investors can't wait to get their hands on the upcoming IPOs.

According to Wall Street valuations, Facebook is worth as much as Home Depot or Boeing. Home Depot employs 306,000 workers, Boeing 154,000. Facebook sends paychecks to about 1,000 lucky individuals.

A happy go lucky investor looks at the new economy and says 'Wow, that's just marvelous.' A skeptical mind looks at it and wonders 'How long before that blows up in my face?'

Simple Math

As the economy is weakening, the Fed's role in providing sufficient liquidity to keep a faux system running is ever increasing. Stock market tops and bottoms have become more extreme, and the boom-bust cycle is shorter than ever before.

An 80-year trend line that has contained the Dow Jones for much of the 20th century provides an interesting technical reference to this discussion. On February 18, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter highlighted this trend line, which runs through Dow 12,400.

Interestingly that very day, the Dow rallied to 12,391 before reversing 300 points lower. Perhaps the tug of war between the economy and stock market has entered a pivotal juncture.

Bullish investors will quote the third presidential election year, a willing Federal Reserve, positive momentum, and cash on the sidelines as reasons for higher stock prices.

Bearish investors can point to extreme sentiment readings, bearish divergences, valuations, and bad fundamentals as culprits for lower prices ahead.

Slice & Dice but Watch your Finger

However you slice and dice it, the market is treacherous and can make you rich or strip you of your wealth faster than at any other time in history.

One way to limit risk and maximize opportunity is to pay attention to trend lines such as the one mentioned above. The market draws trend lines and creates important support and resistance levels. If the market speaks, it behooves us to listen.

A break below support is as bearish as a thrust above resistance is bullish. Being unaware of crucial support/resistance level is like driving down a busy road without paying attention to red or green traffic lights.’

 

 

Stocks Close at Day's Lows - Midnight Trader ‘4:36 PM, Mar 1, 2011 --

  • NYSE down 122.70 (-1.5%) to 8,315.85
  • DJIA down 168.40 (-1.4%) to 12,058
  • S&P 500 down 20.9 (-1.6%) to 1,306
  • Nasdaq down 44.86 (-1.6%) to 2,737

 

Bernanke Cautious on Economic Growth as Oil Prices Rise New York Times | Fed chief again defended the Fed’s large and unprecedented stimulus program.

 

 

Gerald Celente: “There is no recovery — it’s a coverup!” Sic Semper Tyrannis | Celente argues the oil prices have been going up before the recent chaos in the Middle East. ‘…One other point brought out by Gerald Celente is the fact that the current puppet regime in the White House is “cooking the books” on the unemployment numbers and current inflation rates. They are making their own rules on how to determine inflation rates by leaving out essential information such as food and fuel prices. The same is being done with White House unemployment numbers by simply leaving out those who have given up looking for jobs, as well as other deceptive “carnie” tricks (in reference to White House spokesperson Carnie) in which he compares the administration to a traveling carnival act.

In closing, Celente states:

“… There is no recovery, it’s a coverup. It’s only being boosted by these low interest rates, which again, when inflation skyrockets- they’re gonna have to raise them …‘

 

 

Prepare for an Economic Meltdown Matt Towery | For a truly troublesome economic cocktail, throw in the instability in the Arab world.

 

 

 

Bernanke warns on oil price ‘threat’ Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke on Tuesday warned a “sustained” rise in oil prices could threaten US growth and spark dangerous price rises, as he eyed turmoil in Libya.

 

CNBC On The Case For $130 Silver Nothing new for regulars here. Yet the fact that CNBC, following Cramer’s endorsement of gold, is now apparently pushing silver on retail is very troubling.

 

Jim Rogers: “Saudi Arabia Is Lying About Being Able To Increase Its Oil Production” Jim Rogers joins Zero Hedge in being highly skeptical about just how credible Saudi’s call for a 1MM + boost in its oil supply is: “Saudi Arabia has been lying about the reserves for decades. Saudi Arabia the last two times said they are going to increase production and they couldn’t increase production. Don’t fall for that.

 

China’s holdings of US debt larger than reported China’s holdings of US bonds reached $1.16 trillion at the end of December, almost $270 billion more than previously estimated, new data showed Monday.



Greenback Armageddon Ahead? Why the dollar is about to crash, with Damon Vickers, Nine Points Capital Management founder, and “The Day After Dollar Crash” author.

 

Government Promises to Cut Social Security It’s official, national austerity measures are here.

 

Politicians Slash Budget of Watchdog Agencies … Guaranteeing that Financial Fraud Won’t Be Investigated or Prosecuted As I noted last year, you can tell how interested Congress and the White House are in uncovering the truth by looking at how much money is actually budgeted for investigation.

 

 

 

 

Will banksters get away with it? Aljazeera | Why have the unions and leftist groups been mostly silent on these issues?

 

 

The REAL Unemployment Rate Is 22% The Daily Bail | It remains above 22% with the February update.

 

 

ECONOMIC CRISIS ARCHIVE

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

Gold Hits New High as Tension Mounts in Middle East Kurt Nimmo | Once again, gold serves as a solid refuge for jittery investors.

 

Aussies Ready to Roll Out Deep Penetrating Radiation Scanners at Airports Steve Watson | Trials begin for devices that can scan your insides, deep penetrating radiation scans cause 15,000 deaths per year.

 

Documentary exposes fluoride truth: Industrial waste passed off as medicine Mike Adams | Water fluoridation around the world is achieved through the purchase of chemically contaminated toxic waste chemicals from China.

 

TSA Lies To Justify Illegal Train Station Grope-Down Paul Joseph Watson | Passengers were forced to enter train station by TSA goons who swarmed them on platform.

 

 

Will ‘Chindia’ Rule the World in 2050, or America After All? [ I include this only because it’s by Evans-Pritchard in light of his prior forthrightness in reporting what he saw (clinton years, financial crisis pre-blowout, etc.). But Citigroup and HSBC? Hardly the pictures of Nostradamus gone corporate given their track records. Evan Evans-Pritchard is out of his league here since 2050 is so optimistically close to the end (remember, decades at best), that such really matters very little. Diisclosure: I haven’t and don’t need to read the article. ] Ambrose Evans-Pritchard | Citigroup and HSBC have come up with radically different pictures of what the world will look like in 2050.

 

 

 

 

DÉJŔ VU ALL OVER AGAIN? WHERE’S YOGI WHEN YOU NEED HIM TO EXPLAIN THIS INSANITY:
Chavez: U.S. distorting situation in Libya ‘to justify an invasion’
CNN | Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez claims U.S. criticism of Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi has a clear aim: military invasion.

 

US tightens military grip on Gaddafi The Guardian | The west is edging towards a possible military confrontation with Muammar Gaddafi’s regime.

 

Obama Encircles US War Machine Around Libya Paul Joseph Watson | Administration readies to exploit humanitarian crisis to control Africa’s largest oil producer.

 

 

 

 

 

Most Americans Strongly Oppose U.S. Military Action in Libya According to Rasmussen, a large majority of Americans agree with the common sense of George Washington. During his farewell address, the first president of the United States said the nation should beware of foreign entanglements.

 

 

Gaddafi loyalists fail to retake territory in six-hour battle with rebels Libyan soldiers and paramilitaries loyal to Moammar Gaddafi attempted Tuesday to retake territory that has been seized by rebels, but neither side appeared to gain ground, according to accounts of the fighting from residents and officials with the opposition movement.

 

Report: US Special Forces Arrive In Libya US Special Forces have reportedly landed in Libya to train anti-Gaddafi rebels as a western-backed coup d’état in the oil-rich nation nears, with British and French “defense advisors” also arriving to set up training bases in the rebel-controlled eastern region of the country.

 

 

 

“The Financial Industry Has Become So Politically Powerful That It Is Able To Inhibit the Normal Process of Justice And Law Enforcement” The economy cannot stabilize unless fraud is prosecuted. But the folks in D.C. seem determined to turn a blind eye to Wall Street shenanigans, and is now moving to defund the enforcement agencies like the SEC and CFTC.      Market Crash 2011: It Will Hit by Christmas   Farrell, MarketWatch  SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — ‘Politicians lie. Bankers lie. Yes, they’re liars. But they’re not bad, it’s in their genes, inherited. Their brains are wired that way, warn scientists. Like addicts, they can’t help themselves. They want to sell stuff, get rich…’

‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]

 

 

 

 

 

Wobama says daffy gaddafi’s time is up, got to go. The same can be said of wobama et als and his fraudulently failed presidency.   Sheen On Obama: “A Coward In a Cheap Suit”   [ I think Sheen to be too gentle in his criticism of wobama (Some might reflexively, defensively allege drugs (prescription or otherwise) or any number of the varied personality disorders so prevalent in america … ‘fuzzy, California laid back thinking’, ‘whatever’… Who knows? ) But, that said, wobama’s far worse than just a ‘coward in a cheap suit’. Indeed, Wobama’s a total fraud having been elected under false pretenses; viz., his total, unequivocal, and unfulfilled b*** s*** (those campaign promises) ! Moreover, there has been some persuasive documentation questioning wobama’s citizenship / birthplace placing his eligibility to even hold the office of president in question.  Drudgereport: UPDATE: Huckabee claims Obama grew up in Kenya...      The Obama Nation, by Jerome Corsi  Rezko was corrupt, and supported Obama in many campaigns as well as in Obama buying his home -- and therefore, according to Corsi, Obama is corrupt by ...www.ontheissues.org/Obama_Nation.htm  ] Amidst the controversy of his wild interview on the Alex Jones Show yesterday, actor Charlie Sheen wasted little time in confronting President Barack Obama on his failure to answer Sheen’s twenty questions concerning 9/11, calling Obama, “a coward in a cheap suit.”        A Government Shut-down Imperils the Power of Congress Paul Craig Roberts | Congress could try to protect its loss of the power of the purse by impeaching Obama.       Drudgereport: WOBAMA 'IMPEACHMENT' WARNING...   ...to announce exploratory committee 'in 10 days'         Globalist Shill Barack Obama Asks Business Leaders For Job Creation Ideas Even As He Ships More Of Our Jobs Overseas As Part Of The New One World Economy The other day, Barack Obama summoned a group of business and labor leaders to the White House and “challenged” them to come up with some great ideas for creating more jobs inside the United States.

 

 

 

Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post). Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’: Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post) Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’:  

But still it’s ‘hands off fraudulent wall street’ to theirs, the nation’s, and the world’s detriment. Firms subpoenaed in attempt to regain Fannie, Freddie losses (Washington Post). But there’s a reason:

The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  ( UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown. ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1  – well worth a look. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

While boner and barton are indeed jokes / vegetables that bespeak the single-digit approval rate for congress, obama’s failure to deliver on promises with as well, endless war spending despite defacto bankruptcy of the nation and a watered down nothing financial regulation bill for talking points but little substance, make him as big a joker. This well researched / produced video tells the real story :  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1   ‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ – well worth the view.    [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends ]

‘The Obama Deception’ Censored  A viral You Tube upload of one of Alex Jones’ most popular feature films ‘The Obama Deception’ has been censored following a spur of the moment campaign to elevate the movie’s title to the top of the major internet search engines.      In light of this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if incomplete)     http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257#           For the Same Reason I’ve Included Here a Web Site Archived FLV Version of Esoteric Agenda          http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv   

 

 

Ethics code urged for Supreme Court  (Washington Post) [  Sounds like a plan! Come on! Wake up! After all, what can you expect from two guidos from ‘jersey (alito and scalia, colloquial – note that I have refrained from using what some might consider disparaging terms as w*p*, gui***s, or da***s … and let me state for the record that I truly loved and respected my grandmother who was 100% Italian/Bari,Italy and as well my grandfather/Lake Como,northern Italy with greek ancestral roots and I thereby claim standing/right to posit the criticism in light of my direct experience. ). How ‘bout starting with enforcing laws as to judges, liars, etc., within the very corrupted american illegal system; and, particularly bribes which in one form or another are rampant . I don’t know about Thomas, but I do know about alito and ‘jersey … :                                                                                                                    

October 15, 2010 (*see infra)

 

 

Steven M. Martinez, Assistant Director In Charge
Federal Bureau of Investigation, USDOJ
11000 Wilshire Blvd., Suite 1700

Los Angeles, CA 90024

 

 

Dear Sir:

 

I enclose herewith 3 copies of the within DVD rom autorun disk (which will open in your computer’s browser) as per your office’s request as made this day (the disk and contents have been scanned by Avast, McAfee, and Norton which I’ve installed on my computer to prevent viral attacks / infection and are without threat). I also include 1 copy of the DVD as filed with the subject court as referenced therein (which files are also included on the aforesaid 3 disks in a separate folder named ‘112208opocoan’). The (civil) RICO action (as you’re aware, the RICO Act is a criminal statute which provides a civil remedy, including treble damages and attorney fees, as an incentive for private prosecution of said claims probably owing to the fact that the USDOJ seems somewhat overwhelmed and in need of such assistance given the seriousness and prevalence of said violations of law which have a corrupting influence on the process, and which corruption is pervasive). A grievance complaint against Coan was also filed concurrently with the subject action and held in abeyance pending resolution of the action which was illegally dismissed without any supporting law and in contravention of the Order of The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District Connecticut. The files below the horizontal rule are the referenced documents as filed. (Owing to the damage to the financial interests of both the U.S. and the District of Congresswoman Roybal-Allard, viz., Los Angeles, the Qui Tam provisions of the Federal False Claims Act probably would apply and I would absent resolution seek to refer the within to a firm with expertise in that area of the law with which I am not familiar).

 

 

The document in 5 pages under penalty of perjury I was asked to forward to the FBI office in New Haven is probably the best and most concise summary of the case  RICO Summary to FBI Under Penalty of Perjury at Their Request (5 pages)      [  ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf   http://albertpeia.com/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf          ].

 

 

The correspondence I received from the Congresswoman by way of email attachment (apparent but typical problem with my mail) along with my response thereto is included on the 3 disks as     fbicorrespondencereyes.htm     .   With regard to the calls to the FBI’s LA and New Haven, CT offices: There was one call to the LA office and I was referred to the Long Beach, CA office where I personally met with FBI Agent Jeff Hayes to whom I gave probative evidentiary documents of the money laundering which he confirmed as indicative of same (he was transferred from said office within approximately a month of said meeting and his location was not disclosed to me upon inquiry). The matter was assigned to FBI Agent Ron Barndollar and we remained in touch for in excess of a decade until he abruptly retired (our last conversation prior to his retirement related to the case and parenthetically, Rudy Giuliani whose father I stated had been an enforcer for the mob to which he registered disbelief and requested I prove it, which I did – he served 12 years in prison, aggravated assault/manslaughter? – and no, there is no Chinese wall of separation – Andrew Maloney’s the one that prosecuted gotti).

 

 

In contradistinction to the statement in said correspondence, there is a plethora of information including evidence supporting the claims set forth in the    RICO VERIFIED COMPLAINT    (see infra). Such includes and as set forth in the case, inter alia,

 

 

  1. A judgment had been entered in my favor in the case, United States District Court Case #3:93cv02065(AWT)(USDCJ Alvin Thompson), worth approximately now in excess of $300,000 remains unaccounted for and which could be used for payment to creditors, Los Angeles, etc..
  2. Counsel Robert Sullivan on my behalf documented by way of certification upon investigation that Alan Shiff, USBCJ, had falsely stated a dismissal upon which false statement he predicated a retaliatory and spurious contempt proceeding against me causing substantial damage, and for which he sought Judicial Notice of those and related proceedings as did I in some of my filings.
  3. The Order of Dismissal With Prejudice by Alan Shiff, USBCJ, owing to Defendant Coan’s failure to file anything whatsoever by the court’s deadline causing creditors and me substantial damages:   [  Shiff Order of Dismissal With Prejudice on Coan’s Failure to File        Page 1                Page 2          ]
  4. Defendant Coan had filed an action against me to prevent me from suing him which necessitated me to fly to Connecticut for a hearing before The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District of Connecticut, who denied Coan’s requested relief as to Coan but precluded my action against Shiff (although there is no immunity, judicial or otherwise, for criminal acts, ie., fraud connected with a case under Title 11, USC, etc.) . [   transcript in pertinent part -     crossexamofcoanbypeia.pdf   ]
  5. Newly appointed judge, Maryanne Trump Barry, Donald Trump’s sister, was assigned the RICO case despite the conflict of interest in light of hundreds of thousands of dollars of illegal (drug) money being laundered through the Trump casinos by the RICO defendants, and despite my motion to recuse her which motion she heard herself and denied, and U.S. Trustee Hugh Leonard with whom I met personally refused to join or file a separate motion to recuse and not long thereafter left said office for private practice at Cole, Shotz, et als on retainer with the RICO defendants as his primary client.
  6. Probative and evidentiary documents, affidavits, exhibits, including those turned over to FBI Agent Jeff Hayes in Long Beach, CA, had been given to Assistant U.S. Attorney Jonathan Lacey with whom I met personally at the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Newark, N.J., at which time Samuel Alito was U.S. Attorney, and went over said documents and their probative value with him. Within approximately a month thereafter upon inquiry I was told that Jonathon Lacey was no longer with the office, that the file/documents could not be located, and that there was no further information available concerning contacting him or his location. I thereupon delivered by hand, copies of said documents to the office of then U.S. Attorney Alito, addressed to him, with assurance they would go directly to him. In addition to being inept [ I looked in on the one mob case he had brought, bungled, lost (accidently on purpose?) since I was suing some mob-connected under RICO and the court (I had known / previously met outside of court the judge Ackerman through a client) was absolute bedlam and a total joke since incompetent corrupt Alito brought in all 20 mob defendants (rather than prosecute one or a few to flip them first) who feigning illness had beds/cots in the courtroom along with their moans during testimony and had the jury in stitches. As much as I hate the mob, it truly was funny, if not so tragic.],   Alito is also corrupt (and maybe corrupt because he is inept). After a reasonable (but still rather short) time I called to determine the status and was told that Alito was no longer with the Office of the U.S. Attorney, that he was (appointed) a federal judge, and that neither the documents nor any file or record of same could be located. Alito did parley the same / cover-up into quid pro quo direct lifetime appointment to the Court of Appeals, 3rd circuit, despite the absence of judicial experience or successful tenure as U.S. Attorney (Maryanne Trump Barry as well). This is the same Sam Alito that now sits on the purported highest court in the land. The real application of the illegal rule ‘don’t ask, don’t tell’.

 

 

There is applicable insurance / surety coverage and neither LA, nor creditors, nor I should continue to have been damaged by this brazened corrupt and illegal scenario, which should be resolved in accordance with the meaningful rules of law apposite thereto.

 

 

Sincerely,

 

 

Albert L. Peia

611 E. 5th Street, #404

Los Angeles, CA 90013

(213) 219-**** (cell phone)

(213) 622-3745 (listed land line but there are unresolved problems with the line, computer connection may be the reason but I hesitate to chance greater non-performance / worsening by their ‘fix’ so cell phone best for contact).

  ] Group of law professors' appeal comes after controversies involving travel and appearances at political events by several justices.

 

 

 

Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)     http://www.stansberryresearch.com/pro/1011PSIENDVD/LPSILC43/PR  [ The instant  video from Stansberry and Associates is so well researched  and succinctly presented  that I’ve archived same on my website; also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views I’ve presented on my site which I believe to be correct. This is a must-view, must-see that I strongly recommend!    
The complete url:     http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv  ( 146mb – approx. 1 hr. 17 min. )         http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.mp4    (  374mb  )     Written text of presentation (without pictures  / charts)  http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrypresentation.htm ]

 

 

 

 

 

Drudgereport: OIL SHOCK AS MIDEAST SPIRALS
More Than 140,000 People Flee Libya...
Gadhafi forces retake towns near capital...
Cameron backtracks on no-fly zone plan...
Astonishing wealth of Gaddafi and his family revealed...
WIKILEAKS' ASSANGE CITED JEWISH CONSPIRACY...
YEMEN RAGES...

President says US, Israel behind unrest...
Fashion Week Führer: DIOR Fires Galliano After Racism Complaints...
'I love Hitler'...

'Your parents should have been gassed'...
FADE: OSCAR RATINGS DOWN 10% ...
Injury Added to Insult... [ In terms of production value (rich in content in every way), I believe this to be as good and in my view better than ever as award ceremonies can be without the inimitable Bob Hope. I believe any falloff can be directly attributable to last year the academy’s egregious misstep in over-looking ‘Avatar’ / Cameron presaging a similar fate concerning my clear choice of ‘Inception’ / Nolan ( Truth be told, I’ve yet to see ‘The King’s Speech’ failing to muster any enthusiasm for seeing a film centered around a ‘so-called royal’ trying to over-come a speech impediment, albeit a minor one, regardless of circumstances; viz., stuttering, though I would concede that it was probably well done. We all know of the problems attendant to english royal inbreeding…ho hum… I did find ‘The Black Swan’ superb but attribute same to my own bias and fascination with viewing female ballet dancing).  Bob Hope: Academy Awards, ‘passover’ … very funny! ]
CIVIL WAR WEEKEND

Armed pro-Gaddafi gangs roll in Tripoli...
...Shooting from ambulances...
GRAFFITI AND BARRICADES...
Gaddafi vows to crush protesters...
Egypt protesters dispersed by force...
Al Qaeda calls for revolt against Arab rulers...
Obama to Gaddafi: Leave now...
UN Security Council passes votes to sanction...

Gas prices surge 17 cents in a week...
Motorist Calls Police Over Rising Prices...
OBAMA: CAN WE DRILL NOW?
LONDON DRIVERS PAYING $9 A GALLON...
Spain reduces motorway speed limit to save oil...

WOBAMA 'IMPEACHMENT' WARNING...   ...to announce exploratory committee 'in 10 days'
WEST MOVES MILITARY ASSETS AROUND LIBYA
CharlieSheen Publicist Runs For Hills...

Actor set to sue CBS for $320M, 'mental anguish'...
The Legal Letter...
THE 'TODAY' INTERVIEW...
NY MAG: Madoff on Madoff: The Jailhouse Tapes...

Government a Ponzi scheme...

CIVIL WAR WEEKEND...
Anti-Gaddafi forces widen control...
Take town 30 miles from Tripoli...
Security forces defect...
Armed pro-gangs roll in capital...
...shooting from ambulances
ISRAELI'S YOUTUBE SPOOF OF GADHAFI CATCHES ON IN ARAB WORLD...
Police station, state office burning in Oman town...
Tunisia prime minister resigns...
Gingrich to announce exploratory committee 'in 10 days' [ Neo-con Dreamin’! I mean, come on … are memories so short they don’t recall him being a total hypocrite, zionist shill,  and part of the problem though to his credit, he’s not a mobster and complete joke as is trump! ]

CHICAGOLAND: Lawmaker Suggests BOEING'S Contract Win A Result Of Dirty Politics... [ The contract’s with money the nation doen’t really have anyway; and, the value of the money paid will be worth substantially less by completion; and, no surprise … Chicago hasn’t changed much from the days of capone and is rivaled in terms of corruption by such states as jersey, new york, etc..   ]  ‘…“I’m disappointed but not surprised,” Republican Sen. Richard Shelby said. “Only Chicago politics could tip the scales in favor of Boeing’s inferior plane. EADS clearly offers the more capable aircraft.”…’

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Six NATO troops killed in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ Is there something wrong with the following picture? … am I missing something?       Gates's warning: Avoid land war in Asia, Middle East, and Africa Christian Science Monitor - In a speech to cadets at the United States Military Academy at West Point, Gates's message was clear: The US military services, as well as the elected and appointed civilians who send them to war, need better ways of foreseeing and preparing for ...     Gates Tells US Army to Take New Approach Voice of America    Warning Against Wars Like Iraq and Afghanistan New York Times  [ Better said, than unsaid; but, methinks a bit late for that in light of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s consummate decline and fall! If only they had listened and not shot at the messenger … things could have been different! ]

 

 

Ohio, Wisconsin shine spotlight on new union battle (Washington Post) [ The importance of this article cannot be over-stated in at least its an attempt to highlight, if not distinguish between the roles of unions in the private sector versus the public sector, namely government. While in law school evenings, and working at a law firm during the day, I invariably taught one or two courses per semester (spring, fall, summer) at a local college in predominantly finance, management, insurance, and real estate. I used the Drucker text, case book, materials for management which enabled me to pay close attention to his quite brilliant thoughts, positions as they continued to evolve (as an undergrad we used Drucker, who also was consultant to many major corporations). He was a defender of unions in the private sector, if only to provide an all encompassing, cohesive, unified group with which management could deal. He also talked about the need to apply management principles to and manage non-profit organizations, institutions as, ie., hospitals, schools, etc., and hence by inference, though he didn’t seem to get to it, governments. They specifically needed to be managed for performance, which of course, in his approach required substantial thought in defining mission, goals, objectives, steps in achieving objectives, and measuring achievement or not of objectives, etc.. Moreover, raises, compensation, benefits, pensions were never to be automatic, but rather based upon clearly defined performance, merit, as can be measured. The problem in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america particulary is that more, regardless of performance had, has become an oftimes integrally political thing determinant of election results. Congress (as well as judiciary, executive branch-excepting law enforcement) has been among the worst offenders from not only the perspective of their own ever increasing pay / benefit / compensation packages despite the nation’s sinking sensation, but as well, their role in keeping in check the abuses, frauds, crimes in the private sector (ie., wall street, ceo excessive comp., etc.) which duty they have egregiously shirked. The bottomline is exactly that; viz., the bottomline. The money’s not there. The nation, state, local governments in america have not been managed for performance and are defacto bankrupt in general therefore. States can’t pay what they don’t have, but there are a lot of those, ie., frauds on wall street, etc., who should be paying first, whatever it takes! ]  The divide between government worker unions and their opponents highlights a critical aspect of the evolving labor movement.

 

 

Cohen: Time for Arabs to reject anti-semitism (Washington Post) [ Reality check … time for israelis / jews to reject zionism and all that is entailed therein, including an alternate reality that defies credulity, rationality, and facts; such as, a self-rationalizing greed, anti-arab / anti-Christian predisposition and the ‘Oedipal Effect’ (blowback) engendered thereby. No, Johnny Carson was not anti-semitic (Fred Silverman), same for Charlie Sheen (Chuck Lorre), etc. (the list is endless inasmuch as when facts are not on their side, such specious inflammatory arguments as ‘anti-semitism’, prejudice, are a convenient subterfuge distracting from their weak position; ie., illegal nukes, war crimes, ignoring u.n. resolutions, ie., 242, 338, etc., ignoring international law. At best, no … God did not give them this land … at worst, God took the land back when they with roman muscle crucified Christ. Balfour was an arbitrary, incompetent, british joke.).  ]



U.S. freezes $30 billion in Libya government assets  (Washington Post) [ The lesson for the Libyan people based upon pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt war crimes nation america’s desperation is … you better watch that Libyan money closely; after all, look what’s happened to american money in american hands … totally plundered by the opportunist few! ]  Action taken by executive order is largest blocking under any U.S. sanctions program ever; Clinton announces efforts to stem humanitarian crisis.

 

[ (2-26-11) Let me state for the record here that my computer has been under constant viral, hack attack, paralleling prior such foolish, paranoid actions and let me reiterate: They will be sorry and I won’t forget it! ]

 



Report: GOP spending plan would cost 700,000 jobs  (Washington Post) [ If everyone was so concerned with the reality that pervasively corrupt america is defacto bankrupt, they could could begin with disgorgement of the hundreds of billions in fraudulent gains gotten in their massive fraud by the frauds on wall street by prosecuting same as falsely promised by ‘wobama the b’ (for b*** s***) and holder as set forth in Oscar Winner Ferguson’s Documentary, ‘INSIDE JOB’, see immediately hereafter. After all, the nation is bankrupt! Don't cut here (Washington Post) [ If not there … then where? I think people are totally out-of-touch with the reality of america’s dire circumstances and impending collapse on as many levels as a nation could face disaster. Denial? If it were only that simple …  Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)     http://www.stansberryresearch.com/pro/1011PSIENDVD/LPSILC43/PR  (   The instant video from Stansberry and Associates is so well researched and succinctly presented that I’ve archived same on my website; also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views I’ve presented on my site which not only do I believe to be correct, but are supported by the unequivocal documented facts. This is a must-view, must-see that I strongly recommend!   The complete url  (  146 mb – approx. 1 hr. 17 min.  ) : http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv       )       ]   Topic A: Advocates make the case for funding their favorite federal programs. [ With what? The nation’s bankrupt: Senate Democrats draft cuts in domestic agency budgets (Washington Post) [  Do these ‘too little, too late’ so-called cuts purport to make the nation ‘less bankrupt’? There’s no such thing … absolutely preposterous! And, Kotlikoff thinks so as well, see immediately hereafter…  ] The plan will involve accelerating some of the $33 billion in program terminations and reductions included in Obama's proposed budget for next year. When Pretending Fails to Hide Bankruptcy: Laurence Kotlikoff ( Today in the WashingtonPost.Com ) Feb 22, 2011 Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Our country is bankrupt. It’s not bankrupt in 30 years or five years. It’s bankrupt today…’ ]  The report offers fresh ammunition to Democrats seeking block the plan, which would slash federal appropriations by $61 billion.



 

‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]

 

 

 

 

 

Wobama says daffy gaddafi’s time is up, got to go. The same can be said of wobama et als and his fraudulently failed presidency.   Sheen On Obama: “A Coward In a Cheap Suit”   [ I think Sheen to be too gentle in his criticism of wobama (Some might reflexively, defensively allege drugs (prescription or otherwise) or any number of the varied personality disorders so prevalent in america … ‘fuzzy, California laid back thinking’, ‘whatever’… Who knows? ) But, that said, wobama’s far worse than just a ‘coward in a cheap suit’. Indeed, Wobama’s a total fraud having been elected under false pretenses; viz., his total, unequivocal, and unfulfilled b*** s*** (those campaign promises) ! Moreover, there has been some persuasive documentation questioning wobama’s citizenship / birthplace placing his eligibility to even hold the office of president in question. ] Amidst the controversy of his wild interview on the Alex Jones Show yesterday, actor Charlie Sheen wasted little time in confronting President Barack Obama on his failure to answer Sheen’s twenty questions concerning 9/11, calling Obama, “a coward in a cheap suit.”        A Government Shut-down Imperils the Power of Congress Paul Craig Roberts | Congress could try to protect its loss of the power of the purse by impeaching Obama.       Drudgereport: WOBAMA 'IMPEACHMENT' WARNING...   ...to announce exploratory committee 'in 10 days'         Globalist Shill Barack Obama Asks Business Leaders For Job Creation Ideas Even As He Ships More Of Our Jobs Overseas As Part Of The New One World Economy The other day, Barack Obama summoned a group of business and labor leaders to the White House and “challenged” them to come up with some great ideas for creating more jobs inside the United States.

 

 

 

 

Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)     http://www.stansberryresearch.com/pro/1011PSIENDVD/LPSILC43/PR  [ The instant  video from Stansberry and Associates is so well researched  and succinctly presented  that I’ve archived same on my website; also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views I’ve presented on my site which I believe to be correct. This is a must-view, must-see that I strongly recommend!    
The complete url:     http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv  ( 146mb – approx. 1 hr. 17 min. )         http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.mp4    (  374mb  )     Written text of presentation (without pictures  / charts)  http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrypresentation.htm ]

 

 

 

 

 

‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]

 

 

 

 

 

Wobama says daffy gaddafi’s time is up, got to go. The same can be said of wobama et als and his fraudulently failed presidency.   Sheen On Obama: “A Coward In a Cheap Suit”   [ I think Sheen to be too gentle in his criticism of wobama (Some might reflexively, defensively allege drugs (prescription or otherwise) or any number of the varied personality disorders so prevalent in america … ‘fuzzy, California laid back thinking’, ‘whatever’… Who knows? ) But, that said, wobama’s far worse than just a ‘coward in a cheap suit’. Indeed, Wobama’s a total fraud having been elected under false pretenses; viz., his total, unequivocal, and unfulfilled b*** s*** (those campaign promises) ! Moreover, there has been some persuasive documentation questioning wobama’s citizenship / birthplace placing his eligibility to even hold the office of president in question. ] Amidst the controversy of his wild interview on the Alex Jones Show yesterday, actor Charlie Sheen wasted little time in confronting President Barack Obama on his failure to answer Sheen’s twenty questions concerning 9/11, calling Obama, “a coward in a cheap suit.”        A Government Shut-down Imperils the Power of Congress Paul Craig Roberts | Congress could try to protect its loss of the power of the purse by impeaching Obama.       Drudgereport: WOBAMA 'IMPEACHMENT' WARNING...   ...to announce exploratory committee 'in 10 days'         Globalist Shill Barack Obama Asks Business Leaders For Job Creation Ideas Even As He Ships More Of Our Jobs Overseas As Part Of The New One World Economy The other day, Barack Obama summoned a group of business and labor leaders to the White House and “challenged” them to come up with some great ideas for creating more jobs inside the United States.

 

 

 

Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post). Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’: Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post) Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’:  

But still it’s ‘hands off fraudulent wall street’ to theirs, the nation’s, and the world’s detriment. Firms subpoenaed in attempt to regain Fannie, Freddie losses (Washington Post). But there’s a reason:

The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  ( UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown. ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1  – well worth a look. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

While boner and barton are indeed jokes / vegetables that bespeak the single-digit approval rate for congress, obama’s failure to deliver on promises with as well, endless war spending despite defacto bankruptcy of the nation and a watered down nothing financial regulation bill for talking points but little substance, make him as big a joker. This well researched / produced video tells the real story :  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1   ‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ – well worth the view.    [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends ]

‘The Obama Deception’ Censored  A viral You Tube upload of one of Alex Jones’ most popular feature films ‘The Obama Deception’ has been censored following a spur of the moment campaign to elevate the movie’s title to the top of the major internet search engines.      In light of this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if incomplete)     http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257#           For the Same Reason I’ve Included Here a Web Site Archived FLV Version of Esoteric Agenda          http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv   

 

 

Ethics code urged for Supreme Court  (Washington Post) [  Sounds like a plan! Come on! Wake up! After all, what can you expect from two guidos from ‘jersey (alito and scalia, colloquial – note that I have refrained from using what some might consider disparaging terms as w*p*, gui***s, or da***s … and let me state for the record that I truly loved and respected my grandmother who was 100% Italian/Bari,Italy and as well my grandfather/Lake Como,northern Italy with greek ancestral roots and I thereby claim standing/right to posit the criticism in light of my direct experience. ). How ‘bout starting with enforcing laws as to judges, liars, etc., within the very corrupted american illegal system; and, particularly bribes which in one form or another are rampant . I don’t know about Thomas, but I do know about alito and ‘jersey … :                                                                                                                    

October 15, 2010 (*see infra)

 

 

Steven M. Martinez, Assistant Director In Charge
Federal Bureau of Investigation, USDOJ
11000 Wilshire Blvd., Suite 1700

Los Angeles, CA 90024

 

 

Dear Sir:

 

I enclose herewith 3 copies of the within DVD rom autorun disk (which will open in your computer’s browser) as per your office’s request as made this day (the disk and contents have been scanned by Avast, McAfee, and Norton which I’ve installed on my computer to prevent viral attacks / infection and are without threat). I also include 1 copy of the DVD as filed with the subject court as referenced therein (which files are also included on the aforesaid 3 disks in a separate folder named ‘112208opocoan’). The (civil) RICO action (as you’re aware, the RICO Act is a criminal statute which provides a civil remedy, including treble damages and attorney fees, as an incentive for private prosecution of said claims probably owing to the fact that the USDOJ seems somewhat overwhelmed and in need of such assistance given the seriousness and prevalence of said violations of law which have a corrupting influence on the process, and which corruption is pervasive). A grievance complaint against Coan was also filed concurrently with the subject action and held in abeyance pending resolution of the action which was illegally dismissed without any supporting law and in contravention of the Order of The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District Connecticut. The files below the horizontal rule are the referenced documents as filed. (Owing to the damage to the financial interests of both the U.S. and the District of Congresswoman Roybal-Allard, viz., Los Angeles, the Qui Tam provisions of the Federal False Claims Act probably would apply and I would absent resolution seek to refer the within to a firm with expertise in that area of the law with which I am not familiar).

 

 

The document in 5 pages under penalty of perjury I was asked to forward to the FBI office in New Haven is probably the best and most concise summary of the case  RICO Summary to FBI Under Penalty of Perjury at Their Request (5 pages)      [  ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf   http://albertpeia.com/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf          ].

 

 

The correspondence I received from the Congresswoman by way of email attachment (apparent but typical problem with my mail) along with my response thereto is included on the 3 disks as     fbicorrespondencereyes.htm     .   With regard to the calls to the FBI’s LA and New Haven, CT offices: There was one call to the LA office and I was referred to the Long Beach, CA office where I personally met with FBI Agent Jeff Hayes to whom I gave probative evidentiary documents of the money laundering which he confirmed as indicative of same (he was transferred from said office within approximately a month of said meeting and his location was not disclosed to me upon inquiry). The matter was assigned to FBI Agent Ron Barndollar and we remained in touch for in excess of a decade until he abruptly retired (our last conversation prior to his retirement related to the case and parenthetically, Rudy Giuliani whose father I stated had been an enforcer for the mob to which he registered disbelief and requested I prove it, which I did – he served 12 years in prison, aggravated assault/manslaughter? – and no, there is no Chinese wall of separation – Andrew Maloney’s the one that prosecuted gotti).

 

 

In contradistinction to the statement in said correspondence, there is a plethora of information including evidence supporting the claims set forth in the    RICO VERIFIED COMPLAINT    (see infra). Such includes and as set forth in the case, inter alia,

 

 

  1. A judgment had been entered in my favor in the case, United States District Court Case #3:93cv02065(AWT)(USDCJ Alvin Thompson), worth approximately now in excess of $300,000 remains unaccounted for and which could be used for payment to creditors, Los Angeles, etc..
  2. Counsel Robert Sullivan on my behalf documented by way of certification upon investigation that Alan Shiff, USBCJ, had falsely stated a dismissal upon which false statement he predicated a retaliatory and spurious contempt proceeding against me causing substantial damage, and for which he sought Judicial Notice of those and related proceedings as did I in some of my filings.
  3. The Order of Dismissal With Prejudice by Alan Shiff, USBCJ, owing to Defendant Coan’s failure to file anything whatsoever by the court’s deadline causing creditors and me substantial damages:   [  Shiff Order of Dismissal With Prejudice on Coan’s Failure to File        Page 1                Page 2          ]
  4. Defendant Coan had filed an action against me to prevent me from suing him which necessitated me to fly to Connecticut for a hearing before The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District of Connecticut, who denied Coan’s requested relief as to Coan but precluded my action against Shiff (although there is no immunity, judicial or otherwise, for criminal acts, ie., fraud connected with a case under Title 11, USC, etc.) . [   transcript in pertinent part -     crossexamofcoanbypeia.pdf   ]
  5. Newly appointed judge, Maryanne Trump Barry, Donald Trump’s sister, was assigned the RICO case despite the conflict of interest in light of hundreds of thousands of dollars of illegal (drug) money being laundered through the Trump casinos by the RICO defendants, and despite my motion to recuse her which motion she heard herself and denied, and U.S. Trustee Hugh Leonard with whom I met personally refused to join or file a separate motion to recuse and not long thereafter left said office for private practice at Cole, Shotz, et als on retainer with the RICO defendants as his primary client.
  6. Probative and evidentiary documents, affidavits, exhibits, including those turned over to FBI Agent Jeff Hayes in Long Beach, CA, had been given to Assistant U.S. Attorney Jonathan Lacey with whom I met personally at the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Newark, N.J., at which time Samuel Alito was U.S. Attorney, and went over said documents and their probative value with him. Within approximately a month thereafter upon inquiry I was told that Jonathon Lacey was no longer with the office, that the file/documents could not be located, and that there was no further information available concerning contacting him or his location. I thereupon delivered by hand, copies of said documents to the office of then U.S. Attorney Alito, addressed to him, with assurance they would go directly to him. In addition to being inept [ I looked in on the one mob case he had brought, bungled, lost (accidently on purpose?) since I was suing some mob-connected under RICO and the court (I had known / previously met outside of court the judge Ackerman through a client) was absolute bedlam and a total joke since incompetent corrupt Alito brought in all 20 mob defendants (rather than prosecute one or a few to flip them first) who feigning illness had beds/cots in the courtroom along with their moans during testimony and had the jury in stitches. As much as I hate the mob, it truly was funny, if not so tragic.],   Alito is also corrupt (and maybe corrupt because he is inept). After a reasonable (but still rather short) time I called to determine the status and was told that Alito was no longer with the Office of the U.S. Attorney, that he was (appointed) a federal judge, and that neither the documents nor any file or record of same could be located. Alito did parley the same / cover-up into quid pro quo direct lifetime appointment to the Court of Appeals, 3rd circuit, despite the absence of judicial experience or successful tenure as U.S. Attorney (Maryanne Trump Barry as well). This is the same Sam Alito that now sits on the purported highest court in the land. The real application of the illegal rule ‘don’t ask, don’t tell’.

 

 

There is applicable insurance / surety coverage and neither LA, nor creditors, nor I should continue to have been damaged by this brazened corrupt and illegal scenario, which should be resolved in accordance with the meaningful rules of law apposite thereto.

 

 

Sincerely,

 

 

Albert L. Peia

611 E. 5th Street, #404

Los Angeles, CA 90013

(213) 219-**** (cell phone)

(213) 622-3745 (listed land line but there are unresolved problems with the line, computer connection may be the reason but I hesitate to chance greater non-performance / worsening by their ‘fix’ so cell phone best for contact).

  ] Group of law professors' appeal comes after controversies involving travel and appearances at political events by several justices.

 

 

 

Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)     http://www.stansberryresearch.com/pro/1011PSIENDVD/LPSILC43/PR  [ The instant  video from Stansberry and Associates is so well researched  and succinctly presented  that I’ve archived same on my website; also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views I’ve presented on my site which I believe to be correct. This is a must-view, must-see that I strongly recommend!    
The complete url:     http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv  ( 146mb – approx. 1 hr. 17 min. )         http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.mp4    (  374mb  )     Written text of presentation (without pictures  / charts)  http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrypresentation.htm ]

 

 

 

The Chicago PMI for February climbed to a 20-year high of 71.2. It had only ben expected to come in at 67.5 after a 68.8 reading in January’. [ Come on! Does anyone take anything coming out chicago capone-land seriously…maybe is the answer if you’re a fool. ]

 

 

Market Crash 2011: It Will Hit by Christmas   Farrell, MarketWatch  SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — Politicians lie. Bankers lie. Yes, they’re liars. But they’re not bad, it’s in their genes, inherited. Their brains are wired that way, warn scientists. Like addicts, they can’t help themselves. They want to sell stuff, get rich.

We want to believe they’re telling us the truth. Silly, huh? Both trapped in this eternal “dance of death” controlled by programs hidden deep in our brains, telling us what to do, telling us to ignore facts to the contrary — till it’s too late, till a new crisis crushes all of us.

Dow ends at 2 1/2-year high

Joe Bel Bruno explains why stocks climbed to 21/2-year highs and extended their winning streak to a third consecutive week.

Psychology offers us a powerful lesson: Our collective brain is destined to trigger a crash before Christmas 2011. Why? We’re gullible, keep searching for a truth-teller in a world of liars. And they’re so clever, we let them manipulate us into acting against our best interests.

In fact, behavioral science tells us that bankers and politicians are lying to us 93% of the time. It’s 13 times more likely Wall Street is telling you a lie than the truth. That’s why they win. Why we lose. Because our brains are preprogrammed to cooperate in their con game. Yes, we believe most of their lies.

One of America’s leading behavioral finance gurus, University of Chicago Prof. Richard Thaler, explains: “Think of the human brain as a personal computer with a very slow processor and a memory system that is small and unreliable.” Thaler even admits: “The PC I carry between my ears has more disk failures than I care to think about.” Easy to manipulate.

Eternal love story: Your brain’s in love with Wall Street’s brain

Thaler’s a quant, speaks mostly in cryptic algorithmics. So if you really want to know how Wall Street’s con game works on you, Barry Ritholtz, the financial genius behind “Bailout Nation,” recently summarized it in the Washington Post: “Humans make all the same mistakes, over and over again. It’s how we are wired, the net result of evolution. That flight-or-fight response might have helped your ancestors deal with hungry saber-toothed tigers and territorial Cro Magnons, but it drives investors to make costly emotional decisions.”

Humans have something “akin to brain damage,” says Ritholtz. “To neurophysiologists, who research cognitive functions, the emotionally driven appear to suffer from cognitive deficits that mimic certain types of brain injuries. … Anyone with an intense emotional interest in a subject loses the ability to observe it objectively: You selectively perceive events. You ignore data and facts that disagree with your main philosophy. Even your memory works to fool you, as you selectively retain what you believe in, and subtly mask any memories that might conflict.”

Worse, there’s no cure.

Your brain needs to believe lies; Wall Street loves telling lies

Examples: USA Today headline: “Average Bull is 3.8 years: We’re not at 2 yet.” More upside. Wall Street loves it. The Wall Street Journal: “Stock recovery in high gear … S&P500 now speeding toward its next landmark,” double its March 2009 bottom.

Other lies: Inflation and rate rises won’t push China and America over the edge into a new bear recession. That one’s real popular in Wall Street’s echo chamber. Wall Street also cheers every time cable pundits and journalists repeat their favorite statistic: That stocks rally in the third year of a presidency, often more than 20%. Yes, Wall Street loves those 93% lies.

Biggest lie? Wharton’s perennial bull, Jeremy Siegel, of “Stocks for the Long Run” fame, recently told a TD Ameritrade Institutional Conference, “There’s nothing but upside to come …the next several years are going to be good for stocks.”

Yes, one of Wall Street’s favorite co-conspirators is hypnotizing thousands of our best money managers and advisers into believing the lie that this bull market will roar indefinitely. Worse, they’ll use that message to sell naive investors on buying whatever junk Wall Street is selling.

Get the picture? A little conspiracy begins in your head, a conspiracy between your gullible brain and Wall Street’s con men selling hype, hoopla and happy-talk. Listen and you’ll lose. Warning: This little conspiracy is a retirement killer. Remember: It’s odds-on you’re being lied to. So for a few moments, listen to some highly respected contrarians. They’re short-selling this conspiracy, betting that 2011 will hit headwinds before Christmas, turn a cyclical bull rally into a cyclical bear market.

Our brains never learned 2008’s lessons, will fail again in 2011

Remember, we can’t help it. Our brains are defective, biased, manipulated by unseen forces 93% of the time. So blame all the lies, lying and liars on our brain wiring. A perfect excuse. Sure, political dogma and insatiable greed factor into our bizarre mental equations. But your brain is as susceptible to the “great con” as Ben Bernanke, Henry Paulson, Bernie Madoff.

Go back a few years: The subprime credit meltdown was widely predicted years in advance. For example, back in 2007, the IMF’s Chief Economist, Raghuram Rajan, “delivered a stark warning to the world’s top bankers: Financial markets were headed for doom. They laughed it off,” said the Toronto Star. Both Alan Greenspan and Larry Summers were there.

In April 2007, Jeremy Grantham, whose firm manages $107 billion, also warned investors: “The First Truly Global Bubble: From Indian antiquities to modern Chinese art; from land in Panama to Mayfair; from forestry, infrastructure, and the junkiest bonds to mundane blue chips; it’s bubble time. … Everyone, everywhere is reinforcing one another. … Bursting of the bubble will be across all countries and all assets … no similar global event has occurred before.”

We knew a crash was coming, Wall Street laughed.

Call it denial, or lying, or just a brain defect, late that summer as the meltdown spread like wildfire, shutting down the economy, our manipulative Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson, a former Goldman Sachs CEO, told Fortune “this is far and away the strongest global economy I’ve seen in my business lifetime.” And Fed boss Bernanke was telling us the subprime crisis was “contained.” Alan Greenspan agreed. He was on tour, making millions hustling his new book of excuses, delusions and lies, “The Age of Turbulence.”

Today, just three years later, the market’s just a shade above its 2000 peak. Adjusted for inflation, Wall Street stocks have lost roughly 20% of your retirement money the past decade. Get it? Wall Street’s a big loser the past decade. And they’ll lose another 20% by 2020. Why? Because 93% of what comes from Wall Street is suspect, can’t be trusted.

Warning: Cyclical bull ends in 2011, new cyclical bear roars back

At the beginning of 2011 USA Today reported a contrarian forecast. Ned Davis Research says the S&P 500 will make a run at the 2007 high of 1,565, but hit a “midyear peak.” Then it will crash as interest rates rise. Davis concludes: “The midyear peak could mark the end of the cyclical bull market that began in March 2009 and the start of a new cyclical bear market.”

Warning, even though your brain doesn’t want to hear it, there is a high probability a new cyclical bear market will begin this summer … and overshadow the 2012 elections.

The Journal’s also warning: “Inflation jitters spread through emerging markets, prompting China’s central bank to raise interest rate for the third time in four months amid worries that a drought threatening the country’s wheat crop will put further pressure on global food prices.”

Wake up America: With commodity prices rising rapidly, all the bizarre rationalizations Wall Street uses to keep Bernanke’s interest rates low are rapidly vaporizing. Yes, Ned Davis’ prediction of a bear will soon be a painful reality.

S&P 500 inflated, worth just 910, get out before it tops 1,500

Grantham also sees inflation and rising interest rates killing the lies, popping the bubble and ending the rally: “As a simple rule, the market will tend to rise as long as short rates are kept low. This seems likely to be the case for eight more months and, therefore, we have to be prepared for the market to rise and to have a risky bias.”

With $107 billion at stake Grantham better be concerned. He predicted the 2008 meltdown, now sees a repeat dead ahead: “Be prepared for a strong market and continued outperformance of everything risky, but be aware that you are living on borrowed time as a bull.”

Yes, the bubble will pop this year says Grantham: “If the S&P rises to 1,500, it would officially be the latest in the series of true bubbles. All of the famous bubbles broke, but only after short rates had started to rise.”

So keep a close watch on those two tipping points in your planning, interest rates breaking to the upside and the S&P closing near 1,500. When inflation pushes interest rates up they’ll choke off this bull market. If you’re active, better stop chasing higher returns, especially emerging markets.

Bottom line: In what sounds like a direct shot at super-bull Jeremy Siegel, Grantham says that GMO’s research warns that “the market is worth about 910 on the S&P 500, substantially less than current levels” just above 1,300.

Then Grantham throws his fast ball right down the middle: “The speed with which you should pull back from the market as it advances into dangerously overpriced territory this year is more of an art than a science, but by October 1 you should probably be thinking much more conservatively.”

Translation: Get the heck out of Wall Street’s stock market casino soon, maybe as early as July 4th, and definitely get out by Christmas, because soon all the lies, lying and liars will stop working. ‘

 

 

 

Stock Concentration: A Different Aspect of ETF Risk Kownatzki ‘ETFs have been all the rage. Ongoing investor interest has prompted an amazing growth of this type of investment vehicle. For most individual investors the traditional ETFs do provide an easy, certainly more cost effective way of diversification and therefore spreading risk among possibly several hundred companies. Many of these ETFs track the major stock market indices such as the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) and PowerShares NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ).

I have been repeatedly critical of some of the more complex ETFs in the past. Leveraged ETFs (double and triple) as well as inverse ETFs should only be considered by more experienced investors as they generally incur much higher risks. Worse yet, they tend to do a rather poor job at tracking the underlying index or basket of assets, often lagging far behind the expected performance. We discussed this in detail in numerous articles, more recently in Naďve expectations versus actual performance.

By contrast, as long as one invests in the traditional ETFs tracking just the major market indices, one should take comfort from the fact that diversification through the many different companies provides some insurance against individual company risk. Or does it?

Let’s look at an area of risk that’s not all that obvious on first glance: concentration risk.

Whenever I examine a new ETF or Mutual Fund, my first question is always: What are they actually buying and what are their current holdings?

One should do the same before buying any index fund too. Be aware of what the index is actually made of and what the fund allocations are. For instance, looking at the top ten holdings of the Dow Jones ETF (DIA), it is clear that a significant portion of that index, about 10%, is allocated to one company – IBM. Nothing against IBM, but just be aware that this is quite a large allocation in just one stock.

DIA Top Ten Holdings

as of 2-25-11

Components

Weight

IBM

10.08%

Chevron (CVX)

6.39%

Caterpillar Inc (CAT)

6.30%

3M Co (MMM)

5.64%

Exxon Mobil (XOM)

5.39%

United Technologies (UTX)

5.18%

McDonald's (MCD)

4.71%

Boeing Co (BA)

4.43%

Coca Cola Co (KO)

4.00%

Procter & Gamble Co (PG)

3.95%

Granted that the Dow is only made up of 30 companies, that concentration risk is still relatively benign. Much more of a concentration risk has been gathering steam in the NASDAQ 100. The extremely successful company Apple now comprises more than one fifth of the Index, clearly a huge allocation in just one company.

QQQQ Top Ten Holdings

as of 2-25-11

Components

Weight

Apple Inc. (AAPL)

20.47%

QUALCOMM Inc. (QCOM)

5.29%

Google Inc. (GOOG)

4.24%

Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)

3.59%

Oracle Corp. (ORCL)

3.17%

Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN)

2.43%

Intel Corp. (INTC)

1.96%

Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO)

1.70%

Comcast Corp. (CMCSA)

1.68%

Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA)

1.68%

Apple (AAPL) has been a huge success and the NASDAQ 100 Index has also been profiting from Apple’s stellar performance in recent years. Without going into detail as to how the component allocation of these indices are calculated, the average investor should at least be aware of the top 10 holdings of these ETFs as they provide some insight into how much or how little the index is actually diversified. Given the larger allocation of Apple in this case has been a huge plus for holders of QQQQ. But the same holders should appreciate that there is a significant concentration risk through this massive holding in just one company. Don’t get me wrong, I love Apple and its products and I am not here to argue as to whether Apple’s astronomical market cap of $320 billion is justified. But the fact that Apple is now more than 20% of the NASDAQ 100 leaves me a bit uncomfortable.

You could consider buying Apple stock directly (if Apple were the “chosen one”) while achieving your desired level of diversification through a broader index like the S&P 500. In that index, comprised of 500 companies, Apple is still the second largest component stock. However, with a weight of just 2.65% it looks more like diversification is actually happening.

SPY Top Ten Holdings

as of 2-25-11

Components

Weight

Exxon Mobil

3.65%

Apple Inc.

2.65%

General Electric Co (GE)

1.85%

Chevron Corp New

1.73%

Microsoft Corp

1.70%

IBM

1.68%

JP Morgan Chase & Co (JPM)

1.51%

Procter & Gamble Co

1.49%

Johnson & Johnson JNJ)

1.39%

Wells Fargo & Co (WFC)

1.39%

Again, I’m not debating the commercial viability of Apple Inc. (although there are those who fear that the absence of Steve Jobs will eventually hurt the long-term prospects of the company). This is rather a heads up for those who might not realize how much of their money is invested in just one stock when they purchase shares in the ETF QQQQ. Always good to know what’s inside the shopping bag…’

 

Greenback Armageddon Ahead? Why the dollar is about to crash, with Damon Vickers, Nine Points Capital Management founder, and “The Day After Dollar Crash” author.

 

Government Promises to Cut Social Security It’s official, national austerity measures are here.

 

Politicians Slash Budget of Watchdog Agencies … Guaranteeing that Financial Fraud Won’t Be Investigated or Prosecuted As I noted last year, you can tell how interested Congress and the White House are in uncovering the truth by looking at how much money is actually budgeted for investigation.

 

 

 

 

Will banksters get away with it? Aljazeera | Why have the unions and leftist groups been mostly silent on these issues?

 

 

The REAL Unemployment Rate Is 22% The Daily Bail | It remains above 22% with the February update.

 

 

Libya’s Turmoil Leads to Highest February Gas Prices in 21 Years ABC News | Crude oil touched nearly $102 a barrel in Asia this morning amid fears that Libya could halt exports.

 

The Flood Of Money Drowns Out The Value The world is awash in dollars and that is being reflected in the USDX, which are six major currencies versus the dollar. The loss of value is being loudly trumpeted as the IMF says a replacement must be found.

 

Mob Robbers And Rampant Looting: Is This The Future Of America? Have you ever heard of mob robberies? What happens is that dozens of young people storm a store at the same time, take whatever they want, and then storm out as powerless store clerks watch helplessly.

 

 

Price of food is at the heart of revolutions The Independent | No one saw the uprisings coming, but their deeper cause isn’t hard to fathom.

 

 

Oil Rises for Second Day as Middle East Turmoil Spreads to Oman Bloomberg | Oil advanced for a second day in New York after turmoil that has cut Libya’s output spread to Oman.

 

Madoff Says Entire U.S. Government a `Ponzi Scheme’ Bernard Madoff, convicted for organizing a ponzi scheme, criticized the U.S. during a recent telephone interview with New York Magazine.

‘No Plans’ To Cut Speeds As Oil Price Soars Transport officials have denied they are considering cutting speed limits on the roads to conserve fuel, despite the world oil crisis.

 

“Technical Glitch” Takes Down Australian Stock Exchange After last week we saw the Euronext, the Italian and the London Stock Exchanges crashing and burning, it is now Australia’s turn.

 

Will The Death Of The Dollar Lead To The Birth Of A New World Economic Order? There is no getting around it. The U.S. dollar is dying. U.S. government debt continues to grow at a very frightening pace and the Federal Reserve is now buying up most of the new debt that is being issued.

 

 

ECONOMIC CRISIS ARCHIVE

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

War, Martial Law, and the Economic Crisis Peter Dale Scott | A quiet agglomeration of military power shows sustained intention.

 

Government Promises to Cut Social Security Infowars.com | It’s official, national austerity measures are here.

 

“Day of Rage” in Iraq: 23 Killed by Government Infowars.com | Obama too busy condemning Gaddafi to take al-Maliki to task in Iraq.

 

Obama Signs Patriot Act Extension New York Post | Allows law enforcement to set roving wiretaps to monitor multiple communication devices.

 

 

 

Ignacio Pena: “Songs for the Fall of an Empire” Infowars.com | Another example of the sort of excellent work submitted to the latest video contest.

A Government Shut-down Imperils the Power of Congress Paul Craig Roberts | Congress could try to protect its loss of the power of the purse by impeaching Obama.

 

Libyans: No Thanks to Globalist Intervention Kurt Nimmo | Rebel leader stated his country does not want or need help from the United States and its globalist partners.

 

Obama’s “Humanitarian” Conquest Of Libya Paul Joseph Watson | While his predator drone attacks kill 90% innocents, President suddenly develops a conscience for human suffering

 

Globalism Pushing Middle Class Standard of Living Down to Third World Levels The Economic Collapse | The truth is that the global economy is bad for America.

 

Is Barack Obama About To Order The U.S. Military To Invade Libya? As insane as it might sound, the United States may soon be getting involved in another war in the Middle East. According to White House spokesman Jay Carney, “no options” have been taken off the table when it comes to the situation in Libya.

 

War Uber Alles The United States government cannot get enough of war. With Libyan dictator Moammar Gadhafi’s regime falling to a rebelling population, CNN reports that a Pentagon spokesman said that the U.S. is looking at all options from the military side.

 

Mob Robbers And Rampant Looting: Is This The Future Of America? Have you ever heard of mob robberies? What happens is that dozens of young people storm a store at the same time, take whatever they want, and then storm out as powerless store clerks watch helplessly.

 

Infowars.com Takes 1st Place in Alternative News Rating The DBKP Report has listed Infowars.com as the top alternative news and information website in its February, 2011, 80 Alternative News-Information ratings report. DBKP bases its ratings on 3-month average of Alexa worldwide traffic rankings.

 

 

Perceptions And Facts About The War On Terror American philosopher and author Robert Anton Wilson, who died four years ago at the age of 74, tried to awaken us to the fact that the “world is not governed by facts or logic,” but by “belief systems.” The priests of power in the United States understand this well, and they have used their knowledge to rule over the ignorant people below them, and keep America in the dark.

 

Analysis of the Global Insurrection Against Neo-Liberal Economic Domination and the Coming American Rebellion If you think what’s happening in Egypt won’t happen within the United States, you’ve been watching too much TV. The statistics speak for themselves.

 

 

UK paying ‘bribes’ to free trapped Britons Britain has been buying off Libyan officials with hefty additional fees in order to expedite the troubled evacuation of UK nationals, according to senior government figures.

 

Neocon Analysts Push for Invasion of Libya CNN reports the Pentagon and NATO are ready to send troops into Libya under the cover of humanitarian assistance. CNN underscores the situation by stating that reports say Gaddafi will fight to the end and will seek martyrdom.

 

 

 

Inside The Mind Of Charlie Sheen Paul Joseph Watson & Alex Jones | Why the actor is so angry, and why Infowars is involved in the story. Following the controversy caused by Charlie Sheen’s wild and rampaging appearance on The Alex Jones Show, it’s necessary to understand why the actor is so angry, if only to set the record straight on a number of issues that have been misconstrued by the establishment media, as well as explaining why Infowars and Alex Jones are involving themselves with the machinations of the entertainment industry.

 

Homeland Security To Scan DNA The Homeland Security Department this summer plans to begin testing a DNA analyzer that’s small enough to be easily portable and fast enough to return results in less than an hour.

 

The Real Revolution As Washington plunges the Middle East and North Africa into chaos, and city by city collapses into the hands of globalist stooges, many have mistakenly interpreted this “change” as a positive transformation.

 

Obama says Kadhafi must ‘leave now’: White House President Barack Obama said Saturday that Libya’s leader Moamer Kadhafi needs to “leave now,” having lost the legitimacy to rule, a White House statement said.

 

Rebel army may be formed as Tripoli fails to oust Gaddafi Col. Moammar Gaddafi faced fresh setbacks domestically and internationally early Sunday with opposition forces in eastern Libya preparing to dispatch a rebel force to his stronghold in Tripoli and the United Nation’s imposing military and financial sanctions while raising the specter that the isolated leader could face charges for crimes against humanity.

 

 

Globalist Client Regime in Iraq Massacres Protesters Kurt Nimmo | Donald Rumsfeld told the Iraqis democracy can be messy. It can also be bloody.

 

War Über Alles Paul Craig Roberts | War makes money for the politically connected.

 

The Real Revolution Tony Cartalucci | We have been given a prepackaged ideal of what “revolution” is supposed to look like.

 

 

North Korea threatens US, South with 'all-out war' (AFP)  AFP - North Korea threatened "all-out war" in response to exercises by South Korean and US troops due to start Monday and told Seoul to stop cross-border propaganda, upping the rhetoric against its ar...

 

 

 

Gates's warning: Avoid land war in Asia, Middle East, and Africa Christian Science Monitor - In a speech to cadets at the United States Military Academy at West Point, Gates's message was clear: The US military services, as well as the elected and appointed civilians who send them to war, need better ways of foreseeing and preparing for ...     Gates Tells US Army to Take New Approach Voice of America    Warning Against Wars Like Iraq and Afghanistan New York Times  [ Better said, than unsaid; but, methinks a bit late for that in light of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s consummate decline and fall! If only they had listened and not shot at the messenger … things could have been different! ]

 

 

Afghan gov't: NATO op killed 65 civilians (AP) [ War criminals winning hearts and minds? … Never gonna’ happen!  ]

 

 

 

Ron Paul: Reject the Welfare-Warfare State! During the past few weeks, Congress has been locked in a battle to pass a continuing resolution to fund government operations through September. Both supporters and opponents of the bill – HR1 – claim it is a serious attempt to reduce federal spending. However, an examination of the details of the bill call that claim into question.

 

 

Alex Jones Culture Jams The View Alex Jones blasts the truth to The View’s audience of millions, bringing up the slaughter of a million innocents in Iraq, TSA grope down abuse, as well as the collapse of Building 7.

 

Obama Encircles US War Machine Around Libya President Barack Obama has instructed the Pentagon to reposition U.S. military forces around Libya as the administration prepares to exploit a humanitarian crisis to seize de facto control over the largest oil producing country in the continent of Africa, following the advice of top neo-cons who have urged Obama to use U.S. forces to topple the Gaddafi regime.

 

Ron Paul 2012: Tea Partiers Choose Congressman Over Sarah Palin For Presidential Bid Congressman Ron Paul has topped a Tea Party presidential straw poll, beating Sarah Palin as the favourite to run against Barack Obama in 2012.

 

Libyans: No Thanks to Globalist Intervention Following Secretary of State Clinton’s call for intervention, a rebel leader in Libya has stated his country does not want or need any help from the United States and its globalist partners.

 

Saudi activists eye protests, wait for new cabinet Democracy activists in Saudi Arabia say the government is closely monitoring social media to nip in the bud any protests inspired by uprisings that swept Arab countries, toppling leaders in Egypt and Tunisia.

Obama’s “Humanitarian” Conquest Of Libya Before President Barack Obama even took office, we warned that his administration would continue to follow the Bush-era policy of bankrupting America both financially and morally with new wars, but that these conquests would be done in the name of a humanitarian crisis rather than a pre-emptive assault.

 

 

 

 

 

Congress on course to avert shutdown (Washington Post) [ And just when we thought there was hope … for the nation … the world … How ‘bout a  massive furlough program for congress, the judiciary, and the executive branch (except law enforcement). After all, if all of the foregoing along with the likes of pseudo gov’t / connected fraudulent wall street, etc., are not to blame for the debacle we now call america, then who is? They are, period, exclamation point. Massive firings would also do quite satisfactorily! ]

 

 

Chinese authorities block Web site, terms (Washington Post) [ It is bad enough that China is essentially a totalitarian communist nation, disingenuously relying upon capitalism for its stellar growth. In light of such and China’s preoccupation with censorship, it is also clear that it’s not so much China’s rise as it is pervasively corrupt / defacto bankrupt america’s demise. In other words, they’re ‘limited’ (by such). But make no mistake, pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america goes to great lengths in suppressing information, truth in favor of what’s spewed out by their propaganda machine which is nonpareil; and then there’s the perpetual illegal wars.  ] Chinese authorities continued to tighten controls on Internet use Friday in the face of murky calls for "jasmine rallies" to emulate the anti-government protests convulsing the Middle East and North Africa.

 

 

Midwest, Middle East events threaten U.S.  (Washington Post) [  Come on! It’s just not there! ‘Seemed’ is the best they can muster and that’s what they’re shooting for … to fool all of the american people/taxpayers (other than insiders) all of the time … see here: Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)     http://www.stansberryresearch.com/pro/1011PSIENDVD/LPSILC43/PR  (   The instant video from Stansberry and Associates is so well researched and succinctly presented that I’ve archived same on my website; also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views I’ve presented on my site which not only do I believe to be correct, but are supported by the unequivocal documented facts. This is a must-view, must-see that I strongly recommend!   The complete url  (  146 mb – approx. 1 hr. 17 min.  ) : http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv       )      ]  Just when the economic recovery seemed to gain momentum, two new threats have emerged that could undermine it.



Don't cut here (Washington Post) [ If not there … then where? I think people are totally out-of-touch with the reality of america’s dire circumstances and impending collapse on as many levels as a nation could face disaster. Denial? If it were only that simple …  Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)     http://www.stansberryresearch.com/pro/1011PSIENDVD/LPSILC43/PR  (   The instant video from Stansberry and Associates is so well researched and succinctly presented that I’ve archived same on my website; also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views I’ve presented on my site which not only do I believe to be correct, but are supported by the unequivocal documented facts. This is a must-view, must-see that I strongly recommend!   The complete url  (  146 mb – approx. 1 hr. 17 min.  ) : http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv       )       ]   Topic A: Advocates make the case for funding their favorite federal programs. [ With what? The nation’s bankrupt: Senate Democrats draft cuts in domestic agency budgets (Washington Post) [  Do these ‘too little, too late’ so-called cuts purport to make the nation ‘less bankrupt’? There’s no such thing … absolutely preposterous! And, Kotlikoff thinks so as well, see immediately hereafter…  ] The plan will involve accelerating some of the $33 billion in program terminations and reductions included in Obama's proposed budget for next year.

When Pretending Fails to Hide Bankruptcy: Laurence Kotlikoff ( Today in the WashingtonPost.Com ) Feb 22, 2011

Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Our country is bankrupt. It’s not bankrupt in 30 years or five years. It’s bankrupt today.

Want proof? Look at President Barack Obama’s 2010 budget. It showed a massive fiscal gap over the next 75 years, the closure of which requires immediate tax increases, spending cuts, or some combination totaling 8 percent of gross domestic product. To put 8 percent of GDP in perspective, this year’s employee and employer payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare will amount to just 5 percent of GDP.

Actually, the picture is much worse. Nothing in economics says we should look out just 75 years when considering the present-value difference between future spending and future taxes. Over the full long-term, we need an extra 12 percent, not 8 percent, of GDP annually.

Seventy-five years seems like a long enough time to plan. It’s not. Had the Greenspan Commission, which “fixed” Social Security back in 1983, focused on the true long term we wouldn’t be sitting here now with Social Security 26 percent underfunded. The Social Security trustees, at least, have learned a lesson. The 26 percent figure is based on their infinite horizon fiscal- gap calculation.

But the real reason we can’t look out just 75 years is that the government’s cash flows (the difference between its annual taxes and non-interest spending) over any period of time, including the next 75 years, aren’t well defined. This reflects economics’ labeling problem. If you use different words to describe the receipts taken in and paid out each year by the government, you produce entirely different cash flows and an entirely different fiscal gap measured over any finite horizon.

Matter of Language

It’s only the value of the infinite horizon fiscal gap that is unaffected by the choice of labels of language. Take this year’s payroll tax contributions. Let’s call these transfers from workers to Uncle Sam “borrowing” by the government, rather than “payroll taxes,” since the money will be paid back as future benefits. If the future payback isn’t in full (equal to principal plus interest), we can call the difference a “retirement tax.” Presto! With this change of words, our 2011 deficit of about 10 percent of GDP is boosted another five points to 15 percent.

With one set of words, taxes are higher now and lower latter. With the other set of words, the opposite is true. But neither set of labels makes more economic sense than the other or changes what the government takes, on balance, from any person or business in any given year.

This is no surprise. The math of economics rules out an absolute measure of the deficit, just like the math of physics rules out an absolute measure of time.

Bottom Line

The bottom line, then, is that we need to look at the infinite-horizon fiscal gap not just for Social Security, but for the entire federal government. That analysis, based on the Congressional Budget Office’s long-term alternative fiscal scenario, shows an unfathomable fiscal gap of $202 trillion. And covering this gap requires coming up with the aforementioned 12 percent of GDP, forever.

If this gives you the willies, there’s a ready narcotic -- the president’s 2012 budget, which shows that most of our long- term fiscal problem has miraculously disappeared; the fiscal gap isn’t 12 percent of annual GDP. Nor is it 8 percent. It’s now 1.8 percent.

This fantastic improvement in our finances is due, we’re told, primarily to the Independent Payment Advisory Board. This board, to be established in 2014 (after the next election, of course) is charged with recommending cuts to Medicare and Medicaid providers when their costs grow too fast.

Repealing Cuts

We’ve had laws mandating such cuts for years, and they are routinely repealed. Indeed, President Obama signed the latest such repeal last June. But rather than laugh out loud at this cost-control mechanism, the Medicare trustees, three-quarters of whom were appointed by the president, assume in their 2010 report that these cuts will be made -- to the dollar. And the 2012 budget cites the report’s fictional forecast as its authoritative source.

No one takes the 2010 Medicare trustee report’s long-run projections seriously, least of all Richard Foster, Medicare’s chief actuary. Foster added this statement to the end of the report: “The financial projections shown in this report for Medicare do not represent a reasonable expectation…in either the short range…or the long range.”

This isn’t the first administration to conceal our long- term fiscal problem. Back in 1993, Alice Rivlin, then deputy director of the Office of Management and Budget, asked me and economists Alan Auerbach and Jagadeesh Gokhale to prepare a long-term fiscal gap/generational accounting for inclusion in President Bill Clinton’s 1994 budget.

Politics Triumphs

We worked for months on the analysis, but two days before the budget’s release, the study was excised from the budget. We were shocked, but, in retrospect, the politics are clear. The Clinton administration wanted to claim it was fiscally prudent and the study, which showed unofficial debt growing at enormous rates, showed the opposite.

The fiscal gap’s next near appearance in a president’s budget was in 2003. Treasury Secretary Paul O’Neill commissioned Gokhale and Kent Smetters to do the study. It showed a massive $45 trillion fiscal gap -- not a great basis for pushing tax cuts or introducing the prescription-drug benefit for seniors, known as Medicare Part D. O’Neill was ousted on Dec. 6, 2002, and a couple of days later the fiscal-gap study was discarded.

I’m not sure whether censoring the fiscal gap is more dishonorable than fudging it. What I do know is that we can’t assume our problems away and that I expected far better of this president when I voted for him.

--Editors: James Greiff, Steven Gittelson’

   ]

 

 

Libyan ruler clings to power as violence escalates (Washington Post) [ Clings? … As in a tight sweater … or maybe a straight jacket. Wow! Talk about delusional.  ]    Regime opens fire on protesters; Gaddafi calls supporters to arms (Washington Post) [ Pressure mounts on Gaddafi (Washington Post) [ That he was always a caricature of sorts, there is no question. That he’s totally burned out, there’s also no doubt; though they might argue in his defense that so was failed president dumbya bush … a point well taken … but look at the consequential pathetic state of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america … with the unlit torch passed to failed president wobama the b (for b*** s***) who pretends, or maybe in his alternate and fake reality just believes it’s lit. That he’s done, also fait accomplis, after 41 years … who cares. That he’s insane … now that’s quite another thing with greater worldwide implications, so, daffy… gadaffy… duck!  Gaddafi vows to maintain hold on power    Libyan strongman says he'll fight 'until the last drop of my blood'   (Washington Post) [ His latter wish is the world’s command. ‘Something there is that doesn’t love a dictator, that wants them down’ … (Excuse me … I was thinking of walls and ‘Mending Wall’, Robert Frost  http://albertpeia.com/RobertFrost.htm  ). Libya Internet Shut Down Amid Protests, Per Multiple Reports  [ Once again, as in Egypt, this, the internet, inherently global in nature is the lynchpin, tampering with or stifling same marking the end of any regime. Let this be a warning; viz., you cannot put the genie back in the bottle! 41 years? Gadaffy duck should duck ‘cause he’s done. I mean, look at him, he’s the singular equivalent of the multiple bushes. He’s totally burnt out (as much or more so than dumbya bush or mubarack) and quite done! ] Reports have emerged late Friday that Libya appears to have shut down its Internet due to widespread protests, less than a month after Egypt did the same.  ] With rebels apparently controlling much of the eastern half of the country, the violence engulfing Libya is already the worst in more than a month of unrest that has toppled other regimes.      ]    He remains defiant even as high-level defections continue to weaken his government and rebels reportedly seize control of key swaths of nation.    American evacuees describe 'long ordeal' on ferry (Washington Post) [ I’ve included this headline here, not for the article’s content but rather for the statement of one of said evacuees on network television news that he was told by the u.s. embassy that they’d have to fend for themselves and that they’re on their own. That is an important aspect of the fact-filled video presentation by Stansberry and Associates, infra, except that that will be the almost unimaginable position of the u.s. government when the almost unimaginable but inevitable happens here in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america. Don’t forget, they and their’s have plundered this nation, its treasury, people and have use each branch of this government to do so. I’ve experienced this first-hand in having to ‘fend for myself’ in what should have been a simple RICO case owing to the venality of those self-interested in the process (bribes, cover-up of crimes, etc. http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm   )   …..   Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)     http://www.stansberryresearch.com/pro/1011PSIENDVD/LPSILC43/PR  The instant video from Stansberry and Associates is so well researched and succinctly presented that I’ve archived same on my website; also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views I’ve presented on my site which not only do I believe to be correct, but are supported by the unequivocal documented facts. This is a must-view, must-see that I strongly recommend!   The complete url  (  146 mb – approx. 1 hr. 17 min.  ) : http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv       ]  

 

 

 

 

Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)     http://www.stansberryresearch.com/pro/1011PSIENDVD/LPSILC43/PR  [ The instant video from Stansberry and Associates is so well researched and succinctly presented that I’ve archived same on my website; also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views I’ve presented on my site which not only do I believe to be correct, but are supported by the unequivocal documented facts. This is a must-view, must-see that I strongly recommend!   The complete url  (  146 mb – approx. 1 hr. 17 min.  ) : http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv       ]

 

 

 

BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Blodget ‘Investors have gotten wildly bullish of late, as the bull market that started in early 2009 keeps driving stocks to new highs. But the pigs are about to get slaughtered, says Bob Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and editor of the Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter still thinks the new bull market is just a cyclical "retracement" of some of the bear market losses that we've had since the market crashed in 2008.  Prechter expected this retracement to drive stocks 50% above the market lows, but stocks have since soared 30% higher than than he expected.  So when the day of reckoning comes, Prechter thinks, it will be even more startling.  And Prechter still thinks that stocks will eventually crash to new bear-market lows (read: below 6,800 on the DOW). What makes Prechter think this day of reckoning may come sooner rather than later? Sentiment indicators and other technical analysis. Investor bullishness has now gotten so extreme, Prechter says, that it has exceeded the levels in 2008 before the market crashed.  Investors could still get even more bullish, of course, but eventually they'll pay for this optimism. And Prechter's not just bearish on stocks: He thinks oil, silver, and other commodities are absurdly overvalued, too.  The only thing he's bullish on is the dollar. And lest he be dismissed as a perma-bear, Bob Prechter is quick to add that he hopes there will come a day when he can come on the show and tell everyone that stocks are finally so crushed and hated that it's a historic opportunity to buy them.  When will that be? Stay tuned...’

 

 

 

 

Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength - Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures.

The U.S. market has had no such worries, and has continued its non-stop bull market to new highs.

It did stumble a bit this week, spooked by the spike-up in oil prices created by the spreading unrest in oil-producing countries, notably Libya. Yet in the week’s decline the Dow and S&P 500 fell less than 3%, hardly a blip on the long-term charts.

Short-term, the next ‘monthly strength period’ has arrived, when the market tends to be positive for the five-day period from the last trading day of the month through the first four days of the following month.

As I have written before, it is a quite consistent pattern. For instance, in 2010 the S&P 500 gained 143 points, or 12.8% for the year, but its gains on just the first three days of each month amounted to 229 points, or 20.5%. The pattern has pretty much continued so far this year, with nice gains in the first weeks of both January and February.

That raises the odds for a return to a positive market next week.

Yet, the events of the past week may have been a warning shot. There had already been enough potential catalysts for a market correction. This week added several more.

As most investors are aware, investor sentiment has been at levels of bullishness and confidence usually seen near market tops, and the major market indexes are as over-extended above their long-term 200-day moving averages as they usually get without at least a 10% to 12% correction down to retest the support at those moving averages. As noted, many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, and global markets, including the U.S., tend to move in tandem with each other in both rallies and corrections.

Now we have spiking oil prices. The 2003-2007 bull market ended in October, 2007 when the price of oil reached $96 a barrel. The 2007-2009 recession began three months later. After trading briefly above $100 a barrel on Thursday oil pulled back, but was still trading around $97 at the week’s end.

On Thursday it was reported that new home sales plunged an unexpected and huge 12.6% in January. It was not a good start for this year, after 2010 was the worst year for new home sales in almost half a century. Not providing much encouragement for coming months, it was also reported that applications for mortgages are at a 15-year low.

Then, on Friday it was reported that the economy was even weaker than previously thought in the December quarter. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for the quarter was unexpectedly revised down to only 2.8% from the previously reported 3.2%.

These events and reports – turmoil in the oil-producing countries that is more likely to spread than go away; spiking oil prices that tend to cut into U.S. economic growth (and add to global inflation pressures); news that the economy grew significantly slower in the 4th quarter than previously thought – were more than enough reasons for the market to nosedive this week. But it only stumbled for a few days.

Yet it was enough to cause some concern and nervousness. That could be seen in the sharp drop in bullish investor sentiment, and the upturn in the number of pundits declaring the end of the bull market. The poll of its members by the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) this week shows the percentage of those who are bullish plunged to just 36.6% from readings above 50% just three weeks ago, and the near record high of 63% in late December.

Sentiment does reverse from high levels of bullishness near tops to increasingly pessimistic expectations as corrections develop.

So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction?

The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential.

Limited upside potential equals more downside risk?

It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’

 

 

 

 

Ready to Rally or Ready to Blow? The One Indicator That's in the Know  , On Friday February 25, 2011, 7:35 pm EST

After publishing this article on Tuesday, a lot of people asked me: 'So, what did percentR tell you about the rally. Is it over?'

Unfortunately the message of this accurate but little-known indicator wasn't as clear as I hoped, but it was nevertheless valuable. Combining percentR with my other tenchnical analysis, I came to the following conclusion (published for ETF Profit Strategy subscribers in the Wednesday update):

'It looks like stocks want to rally and retrace some of the points lost since last Friday.' Based on percentR the up trend may be over, but it's too early to tell. If stocks break out above the safety level outlined in the same update, the rally will be back on track.

Please find below the original article for your reading pleasure:

Low-Risk. The term 'low-risk' has the same appeal in the investment world as the enticing little word 'free' in the advertising world.

Some advertising executives claim that 'free' is the most powerful word in the ad world. 'Low-risk' might be the most powerful concept in the investing universe.

If you read the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter you are very familiar with the term low-risk entry. If you don't, here's a quick summary and crash course of an indicator that's been 100% accurate over the past 6 months.

Low risk entries for various indexes are identified or triggered by a relative strength indicator called percentR. PercentR is expressed on a scale from 1 - 100. Readings above 80 are considered overbought, readings below 20 oversold. If you read the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter you are very familiar with the term low-risk entry. If you don't, here's a quick summary and crash course of an indicator that's been 100% accurate over the past 6 months.

Uncannily Accurate

A picture says more than a thousand words and the chart sheds more light on the value of percentR. As you can tell by the red line, following the W bottom in November (not shown in the chart), percentR spiked above 80 (first yellow circle) around S&P 1,210. This was the initial buy signal. [chart]

With two exceptions, percentR remained above 80 ever since. The two dips below 80 (yellow circles) on January 19 and 28 triggered a low-risk entry. Even though investors were worried about riots in Egypt, according to percentR it was time to buy.

This bullish low-risk entry is valid as long as the underlying index (in this case the S&P 500) does not close below that day's low (white line).  In both instances, the S&P (SNP: ^GSPC) stayed above that low and went on to rally over 5%.

Other Low-Risk Entries

PercentR works with stocks and indexes alike. Similar low-risk entries were identified by the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter for the Dow Jones (DJI: ^DJI), Nasdaq-100 (Nasdaq: QQQQ - News), Nasdaq Composite (Nasdaq: ^IXIC), and the Financial Select Sector SPDR (NYSEArca: XLF - News) on January 28. The Russell 2000 (Chicago Options: ^RUT) was the weakest index and registered its low-risk entry sooner.

Corrections are Healthy, if ...

'Corrections are healthy' is one of many ambiguous Wall Street sayings. If you judge the current 'bull market' purely on this statement, this market is one sick puppy - there hasn't been more than a 2.5% correction in nearly a quarter - and needs a serious correction to be jolted back into healthy territory.

Put yourself in a time capsule and zoom back to April 2010 when the major U.S. indexes declined nearly 20% before the promise of QE2 resurrected stocks. There was little conviction then that corrections are healthy. The correction had rattled the investing masses and shaken out many stockholders before the market went on to rally again.

PercentR is the canary in the coalmine that identifies a deeper correction. No significant sell off happens without a failed low-risk entry.

A failed low-risk entry occurs when the indexes close below the low of the day that triggers the low-risk entry (white lines on the chart). The last failed low-risk entry happened in November 2010 when stocks chopped around for a few weeks and ultimately lost about 5%. Another failed low-risk entry flashed a sell signal on August 11 and ushered in a 21 day, 8% sell off.

The Right Tool for the Job

Any craftsman will tell you that there are limitations to any tool, but there's a tool for each job. percentR is the right tool for the current job.

After a parabolic rally, the job at hand is to distinguish whether pull backs are a buying opportunity or a warning signal. Should you buy the dips or step on the sidelines (or even short the market)?…’

 

 

 

The REAL Unemployment Rate Is 22% The Daily Bail | It remains above 22% with the February update.

 


 

Libya’s Turmoil Leads to Highest February Gas Prices in 21 Years ABC News | Crude oil touched nearly $102 a barrel in Asia this morning amid fears that Libya could halt exports.

 


 

IMF Austerity Measures Lead to Violent Riots in Greece AFP | The confrontation occurred near the finance ministry.

 

 

 

Saudi Arabia Raises Oil Output By 8% To Over 9 Million Barrels Per Day As we reported yesterday, Saudi Arabia which following its latest recreation of Helicopter Ben’s money parachuting experiment to buy its people’s love, suddenly has found itself in a fiscal crunch, has no choice but to increase general oil sales revenues.

 

It’s Not an Arab Revolution … It’s a GLOBAL Revolution While the revolution in Tunisia, Egypt, Libya and other North African countries may seem like an “Arab revolt”, it’s actually worldwide.

 

What You Need To Know About Buying Silver At A Time When Even The Canadian Mint Says “It Has Sold Everything It Has” Even as silver performed some unprecedented fireworks today, plunging on what was a margin hike in… crude, the metal continues to trade just below its post-Hunt Brother highs.

 

Adjusted Monetary Base Goes Vertical Just in case there was any confusion in the interpretation of the M2 chart, here is the latest just released Adjusted Monetary Base.

 



 

21 Signs That The Once Great U.S. Economy Is Being Gutted, Neutered, Defanged, Declawed And Deindustrialized Once upon a time… The Economic Collapse  Feb 12, 2011 ‘Once upon a time, the United States was the greatest industrial powerhouse that the world has ever seen.  Our immense economic machinery was the envy of the rest of the globe and it provided the foundation for the largest and most vibrant middle class in the history of the world.  But now the once great U.S. economic machine is being dismantled piece by piece.  The U.S. economy is being gutted, neutered, defanged, declawed and deindustrialized and very few of our leaders even seem to care.  It was the United States that once showed the rest of the world how to mass produce televisions and automobiles and airplanes and computers, but now our industrial base is being ripped to shreds.  Tens of thousands of our factories and millions of our jobs have been shipped overseas.  Many of our proudest manufacturing cities have been transformed into “post-industrial” hellholes that nobody wants to live in anymore.

Meanwhile, wave after wave of shiny new factories is going up in nations such as China, India and Brazil.  This is great for those countries, but for the millions of American workers that desperately needed the jobs that have been sent overseas it is not so great.

This is the legacy of globalism.  Multinational corporations now have the choice whether to hire U.S. workers or to hire workers in countries where it is legal to pay slave labor wages.  The “great sucking sound” that Ross Perot warned us about so long ago is actually happening, and it has left tens of millions of Americans without good jobs.

So what is to become of a nation that consumes more than it ever has and yet continues to produce less and less?

Well, the greatest debt binge in the history of the world has enabled us to maintain (and even increase) our standard of living for several decades, but all of that debt is starting to really catch up with us.

The American people seem to be very confused about what is happening to us because most of them thought that the party was going to last forever.  In fact, most of them still seem convinced that our brightest economic days are still ahead.

After all, every time we have had a “recession” in the past things have always turned around and we have gone on to even greater things, right?

Well, what most Americans simply fail to understand is that we are like a car that is having its insides ripped right out.  Our industrial base is being gutted right in front of our eyes.

Most Americans don’t think much about our “trade deficit”, but it is absolutely central to what is happening to our economy.  Every year, we buy far, far more from the rest of the world than they buy from us.

In 2010, the U.S. trade deficit was just a whisker under $500 billion.  This is money that we could have all spent inside the United States that would have supported thousands of American factories and millions of American jobs.

Instead, we sent all of those hundreds of billions of dollars overseas in exchange for a big pile of stuff that we greedily consumed.  Most of that stuff we probably didn’t need anyway.

Since we spent almost $500 billion more with the rest of the world than they spent with us, at the end of the year the rest of the world was $500 billion wealthier and the American people were collectively $500 billion poorer.

That means that the collective “economic pie” that we are all dividing up is now $500 billion smaller.

Are you starting to understand why times suddenly seem so “hard” in the United States?

Meanwhile, jobs and businesses continue to fly out of the United States at a blinding pace.

This is a national crisis.

We simply cannot expect to continue to have a “great economy” if we allow our economy to be deindustrialized.

A nation that consumes far more than it produces is not going to be wealthy for long.

The following are 21 signs that the once great U.S. economy is being gutted,  neutered, defanged, declawed and deindustrialized….

#1 The U.S. trade deficit with the rest of the world rose to 497.8 billion dollars in 2010.  That represented a 32.8% increase from 2009.

#2 The U.S. trade deficit with China rose to an all-time record of 273.1 billion dollars in 2010.  This is the largest trade deficit that one nation has had with another nation in the history of the world.

#3 The U.S. trade deficit with China in 2010 was 27 times larger than it was back in 1990.

#4 In the years since 1975, the United States had run a total trade deficit of 7.5 trillion dollars with the rest of the world.

#5 The United States spends more than 4 dollars on goods and services from China for every one dollar that China spends on goods and services from the United States.

#6 In 1959, manufacturing represented 28 percent of all U.S. economic output.  In 2008, it represented only 11.5 percent and it continues to fall.

#7 The number of net jobs gained by the U.S. economy during this past decade was smaller than during any other decade since World War 2.

#8 The Bureau of Labor Statistics originally predicted that the U.S. economy would create approximately 22 million jobs during the decade of the 2000s, but it turns out that the U.S. economy only produced about 7 million jobsduring that time period.

#9 Japan now manufactures about 5 million more automobiles than the United States does.

#10 China has now become the world’s largest exporter of high technology products.

#11 Manufacturing employment in the U.S. computer industry is actually lower in 2010 than it was in 1975.

#12 The United States now has 10 percent fewer “middle class jobs” than it did just ten years ago.

#13 According to Tax Notes, between 1999 and 2008 employment at the foreign affiliates of U.S. parent companies increased an astounding 30 percent to 10.1 million. During that exact same time period, U.S. employment at American multinational corporations declined 8 percent to 21.1 million.

#14 Back in 1970, 25 percent of all jobs in the United States were manufacturing jobs. Today, only 9 percent of the jobs in the United States are manufacturing jobs.

#15 Back in 1998, the United States had 25 percent of the world’s high-tech export market and China had just 10 percent. Ten years later, the United States had less than 15 percent and China’s share had soared to 20 percent.

#16 The number of Americans that have become so discouraged that they have given up searching for work completely now stands at an all-time high.

#17 Half of all American workers now earn $505 or less per week.

#18 The United States has lost a staggering 32 percent of its manufacturing jobs since the year 2000.

#19 Since 2001, over 42,000 U.S. factories have closed down for good.

#20 In 2008, 1.2 billion cellphones were sold worldwide.  So how many of them were manufactured inside the United States?  Zero.

#21 Ten years ago, the “employment rate” in the United States was about 64%.  Since then it has been constantly declining and now the “employment rate” in the United States is only about 58%.  So where did all of those jobs go?

The world is changing.

We are bleeding national wealth at a pace that is almost unimaginable.

We are literally being drained dry.

Did you know that China now has the world’s fastest train and the world’s largest high-speed rail network?

They were able to afford those things with all of the money that we have been sending them.

How do you think all of those oil barons in the Middle East became so wealthy and could build such opulent palaces?

They got rich off of all the money that we have been sending them.

Meanwhile, once great U.S. cities such as Detroit, Michigan now look like war zones.

Back in 1985, the U.S. trade deficit with China was about 6 million dollars for the entire year.

As mentioned above, the U.S. trade deficit with China for 2010 was over 273billion dollars.

What a difference 25 years can make, eh?

What do you find when you go into a Wal-Mart, a Target or a dollar store today?

You find row after row after row of stuff made in China and in other far away countries.

It can be more than a bit difficult to find things that are actually made inside the United States anymore.  In fact, there are quite a few industries that have completely and totally left the United States.  For certain product categories it is now literally impossible to buy something made in America.

So what are we going to do with our tens of millions of blue collar workers?

Should we just tell them that their jobs are not ever coming back so they better learn phrases such as “Welcome to Wal-Mart” and “Would you like fries with that”?

For quite a few years, the gigantic debt bubble that we were living in kind of insulated us from feeling the effects of the deindustrialization of America.

But now the pain is starting to kick in.

It has now become soul-crushingly difficult to find a job in America today.

According to Gallup, the U.S. unemployment rate is currently 10.1% and when you throw in “underemployed” workers that figure rises to 19.6%.

Competition for jobs has become incredibly fierce and it is going to stay that way.

The great U.S. economic machine is being ripped apart and dismantled right in full view of us all.

This is not a “conservative” issue or a “liberal” issue.  This is an American issue.

The United States is rapidly being turned into a “post-industrial” wasteland.

It is time to wake up America.’

 

 

 

 

This is that unmentionable reality as I alluded to earlier on close scrutiny of the data, ‘that stock prices have been manipulated to the upside beyond any and all rational basis‘ and as I previously wrote: Perception vs. Reality: Four Reasons to Remain Cautious on U.S. Equities  [ Hey, Abbott … That’s Lou Costello calling him from the other side … Wake up! … Just kidding … but I’m not kidding when I say that contrary to Abbott’s view, infra, if you’re not a successful market timer you should rethink your position as an equity investor. Moreover, in contradistinction to Mr. Abbott’s implication, if you’re not a successful speculator (there are very few), you should rethink your position as a short seller: reason…, you could be wiped out, lose more than your principal, forced to cover (that’s why the same is considered a contrary market indicator, particularly in these manipulated, contrived markets). When I did my MBA thesis (1977, NYU, GBA, Eve.Prog., Finance), a review of the data revealed even then (and much more so now with computer programmed market manipulation) that the market remained biased / propped up (artificially, especially now with computerized manipulation) to the upside for far longer periods of time than for the downside which meant that dollar-cost averaging (through regular, periodic investment, for example), meant you were accumulating shares at higher prices generally for longer periods of time skewing the average cost to the upside (dollar-cost-averaging in declining markets was ok if analysis / forecast saw resurgence based on fundamentals - now absent – which is timing, as even senile wall street / gov’t shill Buffet would attest, that ‘greedy when others are fearful thing’). Abbott discusses perception which is the psychological factor involved in security evaluation / analysis; but investors need not and should become nuts themselves, particularly when as now, the inmates are running the asylum. ] Abbott ‘Perception determines short-term market movements. The difference between perception and reality determines the direction of major market trends. Though I generally try to avoid making macro prognostications, I believe bottom-up analysis can be informative about the current level of stock prices. I want to share what my recent work tells me about where stocks are (and where they might be headed). I will outline some various nuggets of collective wisdom that are taken for granted right now by stock bulls, and I will attempt to demonstrate how reality is likely to differ from these perceptions.

First, a disclaimer. This is not a market timing call. At all times, I stay away from market timing predictions. I think that's a loser's game in the long run. Even if I'm correct about the discrepancies between the following perceptions and realities, there's no saying when people will change their minds or shift their focuses. That said, let's dive in.

Perception vs. Reality #1
Perception: Low Interest Rates, Questionable Bond Outlook Means Stocks are Attractive
Reality: Interest Rates Are Being Artificially and Deliberately Manipulated

It's no secret that the Federal Reserve's low interest rate policy and quantitative easing efforts have held interest rates very low for very long. However, when people talk about stock market implications of bond yields, they rarely mention the fact that bond yields are artificially low. In an unmanipulated market, bond prices and stock valuations should be related, but I regard that connection as highly dubious right now. Investors who say that stocks deserve higher multiples (lower earnings yields) because bond yields are so low may well be setting themselves up for disappointing returns/frustrating losses when bond prices normalize. Again, this isn't a market timing call, and yields may remain low for quite some time. But, eventually this discrepancy will correct itself, and stock performance is likely to suffer at that time.

Perception vs. Reality #2
Perception: Earnings Growth Has Been Strong and Will Remain That Way
Reality: Top-Line Growth Will Have to Pick Up; Cost-Cutting has Run Its Course

Earnings growth has certainly been robust, but much of the strength has come from companies running lean cost structures and wringing as much efficiency as possible out of their employees and their assets. Though the recession has ended, the economy is not yet healthy enough to fuel strong sales growth. Companies can only boost profits by cutting costs and increasing productivity for so long. Therefore, top-line growth will have to play a larger role going forward than it has over the past 4-6 quarters. Whether or not economic growth is strong enough to drive revenue increases is unsure, but the current level of stock prices undoubtedly assumes it is. Any stagnation of the recovery and concomitant sluggish sales will likely hit stock prices.

Perception vs. Reality #3
Perception: European Debt Crisis Drives Short-Term Volatility, but It's Not a Long-Term Concern
Reality: Crisis May Be a Harbinger of What's to Come in the U.S. if States, the Feds Don't Improve Balance Sheets

So far, turmoil in Greece and Ireland has served only as a temporary headwind to U.S. stocks. In keeping with the investment world's increasingly short-term focus, people seem more concerned with what fiscal crises in Europe mean for U.S. stocks over the coming days and months than with what they might mean down the road. I believe that this interpretation misses the mark. Since the U.S. fiscal situtation is generally considered to be stronger than that in many European countries, U.S. federal and municipal debt issuance has been relatively smooth, and interest rates have only risen modestly. If the U.S. doesn't get serious about its fiscal woes, eventually the crisis will arrive on American shores. There's no way of telling when this might happen, but the current level of stock prices seems to imply that it never will.

Here's the problem with that. To fix the federal balance sheet and/or to improve state and municipal balance sheets, legislators will have to raise taxes and/or cut spending. Tax hikes and spending cuts both reduce consumer spending. This hurts growth. There's no way around this. Stocks can certainly continue to rise for some time, but austerity will be bearish if/when it comes. If it doesn't come, we're in for a much bigger crisis some time down the road.

Perception vs. Reality #4
Perception: Everywhere You Look, You See Good Companies at Cheap Prices
Reality: It's Hard to Find Genuine Bargains, but There are Intriguing Short Prospects Everywhere

There is no shortage of stock market commentators who claim that they see bargains everywhere they look. Perhaps I'm not looking in the right places, but I've been having a difficult and increasingly impossible time finding good companies at reasonable prices. I use similar criteria to assess long and short investments, and I find intriguing shorts in lots of sectors right now. This tells me that valuations are stretched. Certainly they can become more so before we get a selloff, but every day that stocks rally, they get more expensive.

I've written on Seeking Alpha about a number of stocks which I regard as expensive (CRM, OPEN, GMCR), and take my word for it: there are plenty more than these whose shares I do not want to own at present levels. A few weeks ago, I also mused about the Facebook-Goldman deal and argued that this valuation is indicative of excessive investor enthusiasm. Bargains are hard to find, and as valuations go up, so does positive sentiment. While this is not a prediction of an impending correction or bear market, it is a message of caution for people who think stocks are cheap right now.

All that said, I always try to consider both sides of any investment issue, and there are some reasons for optimism. Job growth has shown signs of improvement, and some economic data have been increasingly (though not uniformly) positive. The Federal Reserve remains accommodative, and I'm skeptical about whether or not there is political will for austerity. For these reasons, stocks could continue onward and upward. That said, I see too many reasons for caution, and investors are turning a blind eye to these concerns as their complacency rises.’



 

 

12 Economic Collapse Scenarios That We Could Potentially See In 2011 What could cause an economic collapse in 2011? Well, unfortunately there are quite a few “nightmare scenarios” that could plunge the entire globe into another massive financial crisis.
The Economic Collapse Jan 20, 2011 ‘What could cause an economic collapse in 2011? Well, unfortunately there are quite a few “nightmare scenarios” that could plunge the entire globe into another massive financial crisis.  The United States, Japan and most of the nations in Europe are absolutely drowning in debt.  The Federal Reserve continues to play reckless games with the U.S. dollar.  The price of oil is skyrocketing and the global price of food just hit a new record high.  Food riots are already breaking out all over the world.  Meanwhile, the rampant fraud and corruption going on in world financial markets is starting to be exposed and the whole house of cards could come crashing down at any time.  Most Americans have no idea that a horrific economic collapse could happen at literally any time.  There is no way that all of this debt and all of this financial corruption is sustainable.  At some point we are going to reach a moment of “total system failure”.

So will it be soon?  Let’s hope not.  Let’s certainly hope that it does not happen in 2011.  Many of us need more time to prepare.  Most of our families and friends need more time to prepare.  Once this thing implodes there isn’t going to be an opportunity to have a “do over”.  We simply will not be able to put the toothpaste back into the tube again.

So we had all better be getting prepared for hard times.  The following are 12 economic collapse scenarios that we could potentially see in 2011….

#1 U.S. debt could become a massive crisis at any moment.  China is saying all of the right things at the moment, but many analysts are openly worried about what could happen if China suddenly decides to start dumping all of the U.S. debt that they have accumulated.  Right now about the only thing keeping U.S. government finances going is the ability to borrow gigantic amounts of money at extremely low interest rates.  If anything upsets that paradigm, it could potentially have enormous consequences for the entire world financial system.

#2 Speaking of threats to the global financial system, it turns out that “quantitative easing 2″ has had the exact opposite effect that Ben Bernanke planned for it to have.  Bernanke insisted that the main goal of QE2 was to lower interest rates, but instead all it has done is cause interest rates to go up substantially.  If Bernanke this incompetent or is he trying to mess everything up on purpose?

#3 The debt bubble that the entire global economy is based on could burst at any time and throw the whole planet into chaos.  According to a new report from the World Economic Forum, the total amount of credit in the world increased from $57 trillion in 2000 to $109 trillion in 2009.  The WEF says that now the world is going to need another $100 trillion in credit to support projected “economic growth” over the next decade.  So is this how the new “global economy” works?  We just keep doubling the total amount of debt every decade?

#4 As the U.S. government and the Federal Reserve continue to pump massive amounts of new dollars into the system, the floor could fall out from underneath the U.S. dollar at any time.  The truth is that we are already starting to see inflation really accelerate and everyone pretty much acknowledges that official U.S. governments figures for inflation are an absolute joke.  According to one new study, the cost of college tuition has risen 286% over the last 20 years, and the cost of “hospital, nursing-home and adult-day-care services” rose 269% during those same two decades.  All of this happened during a period of supposedly “low” inflation.  So what are price increases going to look like when we actually have “high” inflation?

#5 One of the primary drivers of global inflation during 2011 could be the price of oil.  A large number of economists are now projecting that the price of oil could surge well past $100 dollars a barrel in 2011.  If that happens, it is going to put significant pressure on the price of almost everything else in the entire global economy.  In fact, as I have explained previously, the higher the price of oil goes, the faster the U.S. economy will decline.

#6 Food inflation is already so bad in some areas of the globe that it is setting off massive food riots in nations such as Tunisia and Algeria.  In fact, there have been reports of people setting themselves on fire all over the Middle East as a way to draw attention to how desperate they are.  So what is going to happen if global food prices go up another 10 or 20 percent and food riots spread literally all over the globe during 2011?

#7 There are persistent rumors that simply will not go away of massive physical gold and silver shortages.  Demand for precious metals has never been higher.  So what is going to happen when many investors begin to absolutely insist on physical delivery of their precious metals?  What is going to happen when the fact that far, far, far more “paper gold” and “paper silver” has been sold than has ever actually physically existed in the history of the planet starts to come out?  What would that do to the price of gold and silver?

#8 The U.S. housing industry could plunge the U.S. economy into another recession at any time.  The real estate market is absolutely flooded with homes and virtually nobody is buying.  This massive oversupply of homes means that the construction of new homes has fallen off a cliff.  In 2010, only 703,000 single family, multi-family and manufactured homes were completed.  This was a new record low, and it was down 17% from the previous all-time record which had just been set in 2009.

#9 A combination of extreme weather and disease could make this an absolutely brutal year for U.S. farmers.  This winter we have already seen thousands of new cold weather and snowfall records set across the United States.  Now there is some very disturbing news emerging out of Florida of an “incurable bacteria” that is ravaging citrus crops all over Florida.  Is there a reason why so many bad things are happening all of a sudden?

#10 The municipal bond crisis could go “supernova” at any time.  Already, investors are bailing out of bonds at a frightening pace.  State and local government debt is now sitting at an all-time high of 22 percent of U.S. GDP.  According to Meredith Whitney, the municipal bond crisis that we are facing is a gigantic threat to our financial system….

“It has tentacles as wide as anything I’ve seen. I think next to housing this is the single most important issue in the United States and certainly the largest threat to the U.S. economy.”

Former Los Angeles mayor Richard Riordan is convinced that things are so bad that literally 90% of our states and cities could go bankrupt over the next five years….

#11 Of course on top of everything else, the quadrillion dollar derivatives bubble could burst at any time.  Right now we are watching the greatest financial casino in the history of the globe spin around and around and around and everyone is hoping that at some point it doesn’t stop.  Today, most money on Wall Street is not made by investing in good business ideas.  Rather, most money on Wall Street is now made by making the best bets.  Unfortunately, at some point the casino is going to come crashing down and the game will be over.

#12 The biggest wildcard of all is war.  The Korean peninsula came closer to war in 2010 than it had in decades.  The Middle East could literally explode at any time.  We live in a world where a single weapon can take out an entire city in an instant.  All it would take is a mid-size war or a couple of weapons of mass destruction to throw the entire global economy into absolute turmoil.

Once again, let us hope that none of these economic collapse scenarios happens in 2011.

However, we have got to realize that we can’t keep dodging these bullets forever.

As bad as 2010 was, the truth is that it went about as good as any of us could have hoped.  Things are still pretty stable and times are still pretty good right now.

But instead of using these times to “party”, we should be using them to prepare.

A really, really vicious economic storm is coming and it is going to be a complete and total nightmare.  Get ready, hold on tight, and say your prayers.’

 

 



Poor Recovery: The Problem Is Institutional [ Well it’s true that the problem is institutional as in pervasively corrupt, incompetent, nonproductive in real terms relative to their cost / damage (still no pros on the wall street fraud which is ongoing in terms of the last crisis, the worthless paper marked to anything, and the current bubble fraud that’s high-frequency computerized churn-and-earn high-frequency commissioned / sold into, 360 tons of $100 bills disappear in Iraq, etc.. What do they get paid for?)  ( Peter Schiff: Washington a parasite to economy US foreclosures hit record highs in 2010, but that may not be the worst of it. 2011 may be even worse. Meanwhile, JP Morgan Chase exceeded market expectations, announcing a 47% rise in quarterly profits and released details on a $28.1 billion pay and bonus pool. Peter Schiff, the President of Euro Pacific Capital said Washington and Wall Street are becoming one force and are sucking the underlying American dry like a parasite’.); but the problem is structural, as in transfer of jobs, industries, etc. (among the sources of the huge over-compensation to wall street, company executives), never to return in any meaningful sense; and as in the defacto bankruptcy of the nation with insurmountable record debt / deficits or stated another way, broke. Unlike in the past, once beyond the propaganda, rhetoric, and smoke and mirrors / obfuscation, there is no prospective way for america to grow its way out, nor are there funds in real money with which to do it. Quite simply, america’s broke / bankrupt in every which way.   ] Loundsbury ‘Harold Meyerson, Op Ed Columnist at The Washington Post, has hit the nail right on the head, in the opinion of GEI. Meyerson says the debate about whether the recession and poor recovery is a cyclical problem or a structural problem is misguided. He says the problem is institutional - - - and is he ever right!

In a column last week, Myerson points out that the devastation of The Great Recession has fallen disproportionately on the blue collar population, those without a college degree. And he traces the rolling over of median family income in this century, not just in the downturn, but since the turn of the century. Even at the peak, in 2007, median family income was less than in 2000.

What Meyerson doesn't point out is that average incomes have faired better in the 21st century and in all of the past 50 years. In fact, average family income has risen more than 2.5 times as much and median income over the last 30 years. Why is this important? Because the more there is a fat tail of ever higher incomes for a few, the greater the difference between average and median income becomes.

Myerson says:

The great sociologist William Julius Wilson has long argued that the key to the unraveling of the lives of the African American poor was the decline in the number of "marriageable males" as work disappeared from the inner city. Much the same could now be said of working-class whites in neighborhoods that may not look like the ghettos of Cleveland or Detroit but in which productive economic activity is increasingly hard to find.

This grim new reality has yet to inform our debate over how to come back from this mega-recession. Those who believe our downturn is cyclical argue that job-creating public spending can restore us to prosperity, while those who believe it's structural - that we have too many carpenters, say, and not enough nurses - believe that we should leave things be while American workers acquire new skills and enter different lines of work. But there's a third way to look at the recession: that it's institutional, that it's the consequence of the decisions by leading banks and corporations to stop investing in the job-creating enterprises that were the key to broadly shared prosperity.

Since Meyerson has chosen income disparity as a cornerstone of his argument, let's look at how incomes have grown over the last 50 years. These are shown in the following graph, not adjusted for inflation.

click to enlarge images  [chart]

Real median income and average income seem to grow similarly in the 1950s and 1960s, the growth of average income starts to pull away in the mid-1960s and appears to continue to gain gound for the the next 40+ years. The more average income deviates from median income the more money is found in the high income tail on the distribution curve. This is often called a "fat tail", which is very appropriate in this discussion because that is where the fat cats are. The fat tail has not gotten so because ten times as many people equaled the incomes of the former fat cats, but more because a few fat cats have received 10 times the income. This is exemplified by the often quoted statistic that average CEO salaries were 40x average worker pay 50 years ago and today are more like 400x.

The change income distribution that seems to be appearing in the above graph becomes more apparent in the following graph where real income gains are shown for the last six decades starting with the ten years from 1949 - 1959 (the 1950s) and ending with 1999 - 2009 (the 2000s). [chart]

The 1950s and 60s were real boom years. Starting with the 1970s a lower level of income growth was established, but even that lower level could not be maintained in the 2000s.

After the 1950s every decade has seen average real income grow more than the median. The fat tail has gotten fatter over the past half century in every decade, without exception. Yes the average did decline in the 2000s, but the median declined 76% more!

The most dramatic pattern of change is evident when the data is divided into two halves: 1949 to 1979 and 1979 - 2009. This is done in the following graph:  [chart]

For thirty years after World War II the wealth of the country increased in a balanced manner. The average income containing the greater contribution from the top earners of the day, grew at a rate very similar to the income growth of the broader population, represented by the median.

Yes there were "fat cats" and they had significantly larger incomes than the bulk of the population. And these top incomes grew over those three decades, but at almost the same rate as the majority of the populace.

Then something happened. From 1979-2009 it appears that the American pie suddenly got smaller. In the later three decades the real median income growth was less than 10% of the rate seen from 1949 to 1979. And as the pie got smaller, the fat cats took a much larger share. The average income grew at a rate 254% that of the median income. You might say that, as the cow gave less milk, the top of the economic ladder skimmed more and more cream off the top.

Meyerson identifies the force majuere to be corporate America:

Our multinational companies still invest, of course - just not at home. A study by the Business Roundtable and the U.S. Council Foundation found that the share of the profits of U.S.-based multinationals that came from their foreign affiliates had increased from 17 percent in 1977 and 27 percent in 1994 to 48.6 percent in 2006. As the companies' revenue from abroad has increased, their dependence on American consumers has diminished. The equilibrium among production, wages and purchasing power - the equilibrium that Henry Ford famously recognized when he upped his workers' pay to an unheard-of $5 a day in 1913 so they could afford to buy the cars they made, the equilibrium that became the model for 20th-century American capitalism - has been shattered. Making and selling their goods abroad, U.S. multinationals can slash their workforces and reduce their wages at home while retaining their revenue and increasing their profits. And that's exactly what they've done.

Meyerson doesn't get into some of the other areas that might be brought to bear on the current condition of the American economy:

  • He doesn't address the fact that the U.S. ranks below some third world countries in education.
  • He doesn't discuss the increasing burden of health care, both because costs have been running out of control and because an ever increasing portion of the population is kept from making the contribution they might have otherwise because of poor health.
  • He doesn't discuss the capture of much potential domestic capital by financial engineers who find it much easier to get rich in a rigged casino than to make money the old fashioned way.

Part of the problem is that Americans have fallen into the way of the easiest path, where, either by credit card or by making quick trades, the desires of the moment are satisfied with no seemingly current cost.

It seems that few want to think about the needs of tomorrow. This is true starting with the masses who kiss off the idea of working hard in school to prepare for what they will need 20 years down the road. This is also true of the "capitalist" who finds that skimming a few percent off each of many deals a year to get quick, large quarterly returns is much easier than investing and building something that will will make much larger returns extending over decades and producing things of real economic utility.

There are a number of things that Meyerson does not address, but if you want to hit one nail at a time, I think he has picked the baddest nail in the plank. He finishes his column thusly:

Our economic woes, then, are not simply cyclical or structural. They are also - chiefly - institutional, the consequence of U.S. corporate behavior that has plunged us into a downward cycle of underinvestment, underemployment and under-consumption. Our solutions must be similarly institutional, requiring, for starters, the seating of public and worker representatives on corporate boards. Short of that, there will be no real prospects for reversing America's downward mobility.

If we were to address all the other issues I mentioned previously and did not address the institutional problem Meterson has identified, we would not ultimately solve our economic puzzle.’

 

 

20 Shocking New Economic Records That Were Set In 2010 2010 was quite a year, wasn’t it? 2010 will be remembered for a lot of things, but for those living in the United States, one of the main things that last year will be remembered for is economic decline…The Economic Collapse Jan 14, 2011   ‘2010 was quite a year, wasn’t it?  2010 will be remembered for a lot of things, but for those living in the United States, one of the main things that last year will be remembered for is economic decline.  The number of foreclosure filings set a new record, the number of home repossessions set a new record, the number of bankruptcies went up again, the number of Americans that became so discouraged that they simply quit looking for work reached a new all-time high and the number of Americans on food stamps kept setting a brand new record every single month.  Meanwhile, U.S. government debt reached record highs, state government debt reached record highs and local government debt reached record highs.  What a mess!  In fact, even many of the “good” economic records that were set during 2010 were indications of underlying economic weakness.  For example, the price of gold set an all-time record during 2010, but one of the primary reasons for the increase in the price of gold was that the U.S. dollar was rapidly losing value.  Most Americans had been hoping that 2010 would be the beginning of better times, but unfortunately economic conditions just kept getting worse.

So will things improve in 2011?  That would be nice, but at this point there are not a whole lot of reasons to be optimistic about the economy.  The truth is that we are trapped in a period of long-term economic decline and we are now paying the price for decades of horrible decisions.

Amazingly, many of our politicians and many in the mainstream media have declared that “the recession is over” and that the U.S. economy is steadily improving now.

Well, if anyone tries to tell you that the economy got better in 2010, just show them the statistics below.  That should shut them up for a while.

The following are 20 new economic records that were set during 2010….

#1 An all-time record of 2.87 million U.S. households received a foreclosure filing in 2010.

#2 The number of homes that were actually repossessed reached the 1 million mark for the first time ever during 2010.

#3 The price of gold moved above $1400 an ounce for the first time ever during 2010.

#4 According to the American Bankruptcy Institute, approximately 1.53 million consumer bankruptcy petitions were filed in 2010, which was up 9 percent from 1.41 million in 2009.  This was the highest number of personal bankruptcies we have seen since the U.S. Congress substantially tightened U.S. bankruptcy law several years ago.

#5 At one point during 2010, the average time needed to find a job in the United States had risen to an all-time record of 35.2 weeks.

#6 Back in 1970, 25 percent of all jobs in the United States were manufacturing jobs. Today, only 9 percent of the jobs in the United States are manufacturing jobs, which is believed to be a new record low.

#7 The number of Americans working part-time jobs “for economic reasons” was the highest it has been in at least five decades during 2010.

#8 The number of American workers that are so discouraged that they have given up searching for work reached an all-time high near the end of 2010.

#9 Government spending continues to set new all-time records.  In fact, at the moment the U.S. government is spending approximately 6.85 million dollars every single minute.

#10 The number of Americans on food stamps surpassed 43 million by the end of 2010.  This was a new all-time record, and government officials fully expect the number of Americans enrolled in the program to continue to increase throughout 2011.

#11 The number of Americans on Medicaid surpassed 50 million for the first time ever in 2010.

#12 The U.S. Census Bureau originally announced that 43.6 million Americans are now living in poverty and according to them that was the highest number of Americans living in poverty that they had ever recorded in 51 years of record-keeping.  But now the Census Bureau says that they miscalculated and that the real number of poor Americans is actually 47.8 million.

#13 According to the FDIC, 157 banks failed during 2010.  That was the highest number of bank failures that the United States has experienced in any single year during the past decade.

#14 The Federal Reserve brought in a record $80.9 billion in profits during 2010.  They returned $78.4 billion of that to the U.S. Treasury, but the real story is that thanks to the Federal Reserve’s continual debasement of our currency, the U.S. dollar was worth less in 2010 than it ever had been before.

#15 It is projected that the major financial firms on Wall Street will pay out an all-time record of $144 billion in compensation for 2010.

#16 Americans now owe more than $881 billion on student loans, which is a new all-time record.

#17 In July, sales of new homes in the United States declined to the lowest level ever recorded.

#18 According to Zillow, U.S. housing prices have now declined a whopping 26 percent since their peak in June 2006.  Amazingly, this is even farther than house prices fell during the Great Depression.  From 1928 to 1933, U.S. housing prices only fell 25.9 percent.

#19 State and local government debt reached at an all-time record of 22 percent of U.S. GDP during 2010.

#20 The U.S. national debt has surpassed the 14 trillion dollar mark for the first time ever and it is being projected that it will soar well past 15 trillion during 2011.

There are some people that have a hard time really grasping what statistics actually mean.  For people like that, often pictures and charts are much more effective.  Well, that is one reason I like to include pictures and graphs in many of my articles, and below I have posted my favorite chart from this past year.  It shows the growth of the U.S. national debt from 1940 until today.  I honestly don’t know how anyone can look at this chart and still be convinced that our nation is not headed for a complete financial meltdown….[chart]

 

 

14 Eye Opening Statistics Which Reveal Just How Dramatically The U.S. Economy Has Collapsed Since 2007 Most Americans have become so accustomed to the “new normal” of continual economic decline that they don’t even remember how good things were just a few short years ago. ‘The Economic Collapse Jan 10, 2011

’Most Americans have become so accustomed to the “new normal” of continual economic decline that they don’t even remember how good things were just a few short years ago.  Back in 2007, unemployment was very low, good jobs were much easier to get, far fewer Americans were living in poverty or enrolled in welfare programs and government finances were in much better shape.  Of course most of this prosperity was fueled by massive amounts of debt, but at least times were better.  Unfortunately, things have really deteriorated over the last several years.  Since 2007, unemployment has skyrocketed, foreclosures have set new all-time records, personal bankruptcies have soared and U.S. government debt has gotten completely and totally out of control.  Poll after poll has shown that Americans are now far less optimistic about the future than they were in 2007.  It is almost as if the past few years have literally sucked the hope out of millions upon millions of Americans.

Sadly, our economic situation is continually getting worse.  Every month the United States loses more factories.  Every month the United States loses more jobs.  Every month the collective wealth of U.S. citizens continues to decline.  Every month the federal government goes into even more debt.  Every month state and local governments go into even more debt.

Unfortunately, things are going to get even worse in the years ahead.  Right now we look back on 2005, 2006 and 2007 as “good times”, but in a few years we will look back on 2010 and 2011 as “good times”.

We are in the midst of a long-term economic decline, and the very bad economic choices that we have been making as a nation for decades are now starting to really catch up with us.

So as horrible as you may think that things are now, just keep in mind that things are going to continue to deteriorate in the years ahead.

But for the moment, let us remember how far we have fallen over the past few years.  The following are 14 eye opening statistics which reveal just how dramatically the U.S. economy has collapsed since 2007….

#1 In November 2007, the official U.S. unemployment rate was just 4.7 percent.  Today, the official U.S. unemployment rate is 9.4 percent.

#2 In November 2007, 18.8% of unemployed Americans had been out of work for 27 weeks or longer.  Today that percentage is up to 41.9%.

#3 As 2007 began, there were just over 1 million Americans that had been unemployed for half a year or longer.  Today, there are over 6 million Americans that have been unemployed for half a year or longer.

#4 Nearly 10 million Americans now receive unemployment insurance, whichis almost four times as many as were receiving it back in 2007.

#5 More than half of the U.S. labor force (55 percent) has “suffered a spell of unemployment, a cut in pay, a reduction in hours or have become involuntary part-time workers” since the “recession” began in December 2007.

#6 According to one analysis, the United States has lost a total of approximately 10.5 million jobs since 2007.

#7 As 2007 began, only 26 million Americans were on food stamps.  Today, an all-time record of 43.2 million Americans are enrolled in the food stamp program.

#8 In 2007, the U.S. government held a total of $725 billion in mortgage debt.  As of the middle of 2010, the U.S. government held a total of $5.148 trillion in mortgage debt.

#9 In the year prior to the “official” beginning of the most recent recession in 2007, the IRS filed just 684,000 tax liens against U.S. taxpayers.  During 2010, the IRS filed over a million tax liens against U.S. taxpayers.

#10 From the year 2000 through the year 2007, there were 27 bank failures in the United States.  From 2008 through 2010, there were 314 bank failures in the United States.

#11 According to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, the number of U.S. families with children living in homeless sheltersincreased from 131,000 to 170,000 between 2007 and 2009.

#12 In 2007, one poll found that 43 percent of Americans were living “paycheck to paycheck”.  Sadly, according to a survey released very close to the end of 2010, approximately 55 percent of all Americans are now living paycheck to paycheck.

#13 In 2007, the “official” federal budget deficit was just 161 billion dollars.  In 2010, the “official” federal budget deficit was approximately 1.3 trillion dollars.

#14 As 2007 began, the U.S. national debt was just under 8.7 trillion dollars.  Today, the U.S. national debt has just surpassed 14 trillion dollars and it continues to soar into the stratosphere.

So is there any hope that we can turn all of this around?

Unfortunately, the massive amount of debt that we have piled up as a society over the last several decades has made that impossible.

If you add up all forms of debt (government debt, business debt, individual debt), it comes to approximately 360 percent of GDP.  It is the biggest debt bubble in the history of the world.

If the federal government and our state governments stop borrowing and spending so much money, our economy would collapse.  But if they keep borrowing and spending so much money they will continually make the eventual economic collapse even worse.

We are in the terminal stages of the most horrific debt spiral the world has ever seen, and when the debt spiral gets stopped the house of cards is going to finally come down for good.

So enjoy these times while you still have them.  Yes, today is not nearly as prosperous as 2007 was, but today is most definitely a whole lot better than 2015 or 2020 is going to be.

Sadly, we could have avoided this financial disaster completely if only we had listened more carefully to those that founded this nation.  Once upon a time, Thomas Jefferson said the following….

I wish it were possible to obtain a single amendment to our Constitution. I would be willing to depend on that alone for the reduction of the administration of our government to the genuine principles of its Constitution; I mean an additional article, taking from the federal government the power of borrowing.’

 

 

Tipping Point: 25 Signs That The Coming Financial Collapse Is Now Closer Then Ever The financial collapse that so many of us have been anticipating is seemingly closer then ever. Over the past several weeks, there have been a host of ominous signs for the U.S. economy.

The Economic Collapse
Dec 17, 2010

The financial collapse that so many of us have been anticipating is seemingly closer then ever.  Over the past several weeks, there have been a host of ominous signs for the U.S. economy.  Yields on U.S. Treasuries have moved up rapidly and Moody’s is publicly warning that it may have to cut the rating on U.S. government debt soon.  Mortgage rates are also moving up aggressively.  The euro and the U.S. dollar both look incredibly shaky.  Jobs continue to be shipped out of the United States at a blistering pace as our politicians stand by and do nothing.  Confidence in U.S. government debt around the globe continues to decline.  State and local governments that are drowning in debt across the United States are savagely cutting back on even essential social services and are coming up with increasingly “creative” ways of getting more money out of all of us.  Meanwhile, tremor after tremor continues to strike the world financial system.  So does this mean that we have almost reached a tipping point?  Is the world on the verge of a major financial collapse?

Let’s hope not, but with each passing week the financial news just seems to get eve worse.  Not only is U.S. government debt spinning wildly toward a breaking point, but many U.S. states (such as California) are in such horrific financial condition that they are beginning to resemble banana republics.

But it is not just the United States that is in trouble.  Nightmarish debt problems in Greece, Spain, Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Belgium and several other European nations threaten to crash the euro at any time.  In fact, many economists are now openly debating which will collapse first – the euro or the U.S. dollar.

Sadly, this is the inevitable result of constructing a global financial system on debt.  All debt bubbles eventually collapse.  Currently we are living in the biggest debt bubble in the history of the world, and when this one bursts it is going to be a disaster of truly historic proportions.

So will we reach a tipping point soon?  Well, the following are 25 signs that the financial collapse is rapidly getting closer….

#1 The official U.S. unemployment rate has not been beneath 9 percent since April 2009.

#2 According to the U.S. Census Bureau, there are currently 6.3 million vacant homes in the United States that are either for sale or for rent.

#3 It is being projected that the U.S. trade deficit with China could hit 270 billion dollars for the entire year of 2010.

#4 Back in 2000, 7.2 percent of blue collar workers were either unemployed or underemployed.  Today that figure is up to 19.5 percent.

#5 The Chinese government has accumulated approximately $2.65 trillion in total foreign exchange reserves.  They have drained this wealth from the economies of other nations (such as the United States) and instead of reinvesting all of it they are just sitting on much of it.  This is creating tremendous imbalances in the global economy.

#6 Since the year 2000, we have lost 10% of our middle class jobs.  In the year 2000 there were approximately 72 million middle class jobs in the United States but today there are only about 65 million middle class jobs.

#7 The United States now employs about the same number of people in manufacturing as it did back in 1940.  Considering the fact that we had 132 million people living in this country in 1940 and that we have well over 300 million people living in this country today, that is a very sobering statistic.

#8 According to CoreLogic, U.S. housing prices have now declined for three months in a row.

#9 The average rate on a 30 year fixed rate mortgage soared 11 basis points just this past week.  As mortgage rates continue to push higher it is going to make it even more difficult for American families to afford homes.

#10 22.5 percent of all residential mortgages in the United States were in negative equity as of the end of the third quarter of 2010.

#11 The U.S. monetary base has more than doubled since the beginning of the most recent recession.

#12 U.S. Treasury yields have been rising steadily during the 4th quarter of 2010 and recently hit a six-month high.

#13 Incoming governor Jerry Brown is scrambling to find $29 billion more to cut from the California state budget.  The following quote from Brown about the desperate condition of California state finances is not going to do much to inspire confidence in California’s financial situation around the globe….

“We’ve been living in fantasy land. It is much worse than I thought. I’m shocked.”

#14 24.3 percent of the residents of El Centro, California are currently unemployed.

#15 The average home in Merced, California has declined in value by 63 percent over the past four years.

#16 Detroit Mayor Dave Bing has come up with a new way to save money.  He wants to cut 20 percent of Detroit off from essential social services such as road repairs, police patrols, functioning street lights and garbage collection.

#17 The second most dangerous city in the United States – Camden, New Jersey – is about to lay off about half its police in a desperate attempt to save money.

#18 In 2010, 55 percent of Americans between the ages of 60 and 64 were in the labor market.  Ten years ago, that number was just 47 percent.  More older Americans than ever find that they have to keep working just to survive.

#19 Back in 1998, the United States had 25 percent of the world’s high-tech export market and China had just 10 percent. Ten years later, the United States had less than 15 percent and China’s share had soared to 20 percent.

#20 The U.S. government budget deficit increased to a whopping $150.4 billion last month, which represented the biggest November budget deficit on record.

#21 The U.S. government is somehow going to have to roll over existing debt and finance new debt that is equivalent to 27.8 percent of GDP in 2011.

#22 The United States had been the leading consumer of energy on the globe for about 100 years, but this past summer China took over the number one spot.

#23 According to an absolutely stunning new poll, 40 percent of all U.S. doctors plan to bail out of the profession over the next three years.

#24 As 2007 began, there were just over 1 million Americans that had been unemployed for half a year or longer.  Today, there are over 6 million Americans that have been unemployed for half a year or longer.

#25 All over the United States, local governments have begun instituting “police response fees”.  For example, New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg has come up with a plan under which a fee of $365 would be charged if police are called to respond to an automobile accident where no injuries are involved.  If there are injuries as a result of the crash that is going to cost extra.

 

 

 

 

16 Nightmarish Economic Trends To Watch Carefully In 2011    The American Dream Dec 15, 2010 ‘If you only watch the “economic pundits” on television, it can be very confusing to figure out exactly what is happening with the U.S. economy.  One pundit will pull out a couple statistics that got a little bit better over the past month and claim that we have entered a time of solid recovery.  Another pundit will pull out a couple statistics that got a little worse over the past month and claim that we are headed for trouble.  So what is the truth?  Well, if you really want to get a clear idea of what is really going on you have to look at the long-term trends.  There are some economic trends which just keep getting worse year after year after year, and it is those trends that tell the real story of the decline of our economic system.

As you examine the long-term trends, you quickly come to realize that the U.S. is trapped in an endless spiral of debt, the middle class is being wiped out, the U.S. dollar is being destroyed and America is rapidly becoming a post-industrial wasteland.

Posted below are 16 nightmarish economic trends to watch carefully in 2011.  It is becoming exceedingly apparent that unless something is done rapidly we are heading for an economic collapse of unprecedented magnitude….

#1 Do you want to see something scary?  Just check out the chart below.  Since the beginning of the economic downturn, the U.S. monetary base has more than doubled.  But don’t worry – Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has promised us that this could never cause inflation.  In fact, Bernanke says that we need to inject even more dollars into the economy.  So if you are alarmed by the chart below, you are just being irrational according to Bernanke….

[chart]

#2 Thousands of our factories, millions of our jobs and hundreds of billions of dollars of our national wealth continue to be shipped overseas.  In 1985, the U.S. trade deficit with China was 6 million dollars for the entire year.  In the month of August alone, the U.S. trade deficit with China was over 28 billion dollars.  Nobel economist Robert W. Fogel of the University of Chicago is projecting that the Chinese economy will be three times larger than the U.S. economy by the year 2040 if current trends continue.

#3 The United States is rapidly becoming a post-industrial wasteland.  Back in 1959, manufacturing represented 28 percent of all U.S. economic output.  In 2008, it represented only 11.5 percent and it continues to fall.  Sadly, the truth is that America is being deindustrialized.  As of the end of 2009, less than 12 million Americans worked in manufacturing.  The last time that less than 12 million Americans were employed in manufacturing was in 1941.

#4 The number of Americans that have been out of work for an extended period of time has absolutely exploded over the last few years.  As 2007 began, there were just over 1 million Americans that had been unemployed for half a year or longer.  Today, there are over 6 million Americans that have been unemployed for half a year or longer.

#5 The middle class continues to be squeezed out of existence.  According to a poll taken in 2009, 61 percent of Americans ”always or usually” live paycheck to paycheck.  That was up substantially from 49 percent in 2008 and 43 percent in 2007.

#6 The number of Americans living in poverty is absolutely skyrocketing.  42.9 million Americans are now on food stamps, and one out of every six Americans is now enrolled in at least one anti-poverty program run by the federal government.  Unfortunately, many of those that have been hardest hit by this economic downturn have been children.  According to one new study, approximately 21 percent of all children in the United States are living below the poverty line in 2010 - the highest rate in 20 years.

#7 Many American families have been pushed beyond the breaking point during this economic downturn.  Over 1.4 million Americans filed for personal bankruptcy in 2009, which represented a 32 percent increase over 2008.  The final number for 2010 is expected to be even higher.

#8 The U.S. real estate market continues to stagnate.  During the third quarter of 2010, 67 percent of mortgages in Nevada were “underwater”, 49 percent of mortgages in Arizona were “underwater” and 46 percent of mortgages in Florida were “underwater”.  So what happens if home prices go down even more?

#9 More elderly Americans than ever are being forced to put off retirement and continue working.  In 2010, 55 percent of Americans between the ages of 60 and 64 were in the labor market.  Ten years ago, that number was just 47 percent.  Unfortunately, it looks like this problem will only get worse in the years ahead.  In America today, approximately half of all workers have less than $2000 saved up for retirement.

#10 In the United States today, there are simply far too many retirees and not nearly enough workers to support them.  Back in 1950 each retiree’s Social Security benefit was paid for by 16 workers.  Today, each retiree’s Social Security benefit is paid for by approximately 3.3 workers.  By 2025 it is projected that there will be approximately two workers for each retiree.

#11 Financial assets continue to become concentrated in fewer and fewer hands.  For example, the “big four” U.S. banks (Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Wells Fargo) had approximately 22 percent of all deposits in FDIC-insured institutions back in 2000.  As of the middle of 2009 that figure was up to 39 percent.

#12 The Federal Reserve has been destroying the value of the U.S. dollar for decades.  Since the Federal Reserve was created in 1913, the U.S. dollar has lost over 95 percent of its purchasing power.  An item that cost $20.00 in 1970 would cost you $112.35 today.  An item that cost $20.00 in 1913 would cost you $440.33 today.

#13 Commodity prices continue to soar into the stratosphere.  Ten years ago, the price of a barrel of oil hovered around 20 to 30 dollars most of the time.  Today, the price of oil is rapidly closing in on 100 dollars a barrel and there are now fears that it could soon go much higher than that.

#14 Federal government spending is completely and totally out of control.  The U.S. government budget deficit increased to a whopping $150.4 billion last month, which represented the biggest November deficit on record.  But our politicians can’t seem to break their addiction to debt.  In fact, Democrats are trying to ram through a 1,924 page, 1.1 trillion dollar spending bill in the final days of the lame-duck session of Congress before the Republicans take control of the House of Representatives next year.

#15 The U.S. national debt is rapidly closing in on 14 trillion dollars.  It is more than 13 times larger than it was just 30 short years ago.  According to an official U.S. Treasury Department report to Congress, the U.S. national debt is projected to climb to an estimated $19.6 trillion by 2015.

#16 Unfortunately, the official government numbers grossly understate the horrific nature of the crisis we are facing.  John Williams of Shadow Government Statistics has calculated that if the federal government would have used GAAP accounting standards to measure the federal budget deficit for 2009, it would have been approximately 8.8 trillion dollars.  Not only that, but John Williams now says that U.S. government debt is so wildly out of control that it is mathematically impossible for us to “grow” our way out of it….

The government’s finances not only are out of control, but the actual deficit is not containable.  Put into perspective, if the government were to raise taxes so as to seize 100% of all wages, salaries and corporate profits, it still would be showing an annual deficit using GAAP accounting on a consistent basis.  In like manner, given current revenues, if it stopped spending every penny (including defense and homeland security) other than for Social Security and Medicare obligations, the government still would be showing an annual deficit. Further, the U.S. has no potential way to grow out of this shortfall.

The more one examines the U.S. economic situation, the more depressing it becomes.  The U.S. financial system is trapped inside a horrific debt spiral  and we are headed straight for economic oblivion.

If our leaders attempt to interrupt the debt spiral it will plunge our economy into a depression.  If our leaders attempt to keep the debt spiral going for several more years it will just make the eventual crash even worse.  Either way, we are headed for a financial implosion that will be truly historic.

The debt-fueled good times that we have been enjoying for the last several decades are rapidly coming to an end.  Unfortunately for the tens of millions of Americans that are already suffering, our economic problems are only going to get worse in the years ahead.’

 

 

 

 

Jobless Recovery?: 25 Unemployment Statistics That Are Almost Too Depressing To Read ‘… Unemployment is up again! That’s right – even though Wall Street is swimming in cash and the Obama administration is declaring that “the recession is over”, the U.S. unemployment rate has gone even higher. So are you enjoying the jobless recovery? Economic Collapse Blog Dec 4, 2010 ‘Guess what?  Unemployment is up again!  That’s right – even though Wall Street is swimming in cash and the Obama administration is declaring that “the recession is over”, the U.S. unemployment rate has gone even higher ... Times are really, really tough and unfortunately the long-term outlook is very bleak.  We should have compassion on those who are out of work right now, because soon many of us may join them.

The following are 25 unemployment statistics that are almost too depressing to read….

#1 According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the U.S. unemployment rate for November was 9.8 percent.  This was up from 9.6 percent in October, and it continues a trend of depressingly high unemployment rates.  The official unemployment number has been at 9.5 percent or higher for well over a year at this point.

#2 In November 2006, the “official” U.S. unemployment rate was just 4.5 percent.

#3 Most economists had been expecting the U.S. economy to add about 150,000 jobs in November.  Instead, it only added 39,000.

#4 In the United States today, there are over 15 million people who are “officially” considered to be unemployed for statistical purposes.  But everyone knows that the “real” number is even much larger than that.

#5 As 2007 began, there were just over 1 million Americans that had been unemployed for half a year or longer.  Today, there are over 6 million Americans that have been unemployed for half a year or longer.

#6 The number of “persons not in the labor force” in the United States recently set another new all-time record.

#7 It now takes the average unemployed American over 33 weeks to find a job.

#8 When you throw in “discouraged workers” and “underemployed workers”, the “real” unemployment rate in the state of California is actually about 22 percent.

#9 In America today there are not nearly enough jobs for everyone.  In fact, there are now approximately 5 unemployed Americans for every single job opening.

#10 According to The New York Times, Americans that have been unemployed for five weeks or less are three times more likely to find a new job in the coming month than Americans that have been unemployed for over a year.

#11 The U.S. economy would need to create 235,120 new jobs a month to get the unemployment rate down to pre-recession levels by 2016.  Does anyone think that there is even a prayer that is going to happen?

#12 There are 9 million Americans that are working part-time for “economic reasons”.  In other words, those Americans would gladly take full-time jobs if they could get them, but all they have been able to find is part-time work.

#13 In 2009, total wages, median wages, and average wages all declined in the United States.

#14 As of the end of 2009, less than 12 million Americans worked in manufacturing.  The last time that less than 12 million Americans were employed in manufacturing was in 1941.

#15 The United States has lost at least 7.5 million jobs since the recession began.

#16 Today, only about 40 percent of Ford Motor Company’s 178,000 workers are employed in North America, and a big percentage of those jobs are in Canada and Mexico.

#17 In 1959, manufacturing represented 28 percent of U.S. economic output.  In 2008, it represented 11.5 percent.

#18 Earlier this year, one poll found that 28% of all American households had at least one member that was looking for a full-time job.

#19 In the United States today, over 18,000 parking lot attendants have college degrees.

#20 The United States has lost a staggering 32 percent of its manufacturing jobs since the year 2000.

#21 As the employment situation continues to stagnate, millions of American families have decided to cut back on things such as insurance coverage.  For example, the percentage of American households that have life insurance coverage is at its lowest level in 50 years.

#22 Unless Congress acts, and there is no indication that is going to happen, approximately 2 million Americans will stop receiving unemployment checks over the next couple of months.

#23 A poll that was released by the Pew Research Center back in June discovered that an astounding 55 percent of the U.S. labor force has experienced either unemployment, a pay decrease, a reduction in hours or an involuntary move to part-time work since the economic downturn began.

#24 According to Richard McCormack, the United States has lost over 42,000 factories (and counting) since 2001.

#25 In the United States today, 317,000 waiters and waitresses have college degrees.

But this is what we get for creating the biggest debt bubble in the history of the world.  For decades we have been digging a deeper hole for ourselves by going into increasingly larger amounts of debt.  In America today, our entire economy is based on debt.  Even our money is debt.  We were fools if we ever thought this could go on forever. Just think about it.  Have you ever gone out and run up a bunch of debt?  It can be a lot of fun sitting behind the wheel of a new car, running your credit cards up to the limit and buying a beautiful big house that you cannot afford. But in the end what happens? It always catches up with you. Well, our collective debt is starting to catch up with us.  There is a sea of red ink on every level of American society.  It is only a matter of time before it destroys our economy. IF YOU THINK THAT THINGS ARE BAD NOW, JUST WAIT.  THINGS ARE GOING TO GET A WHOLE LOT WORSE.  A HORRIFIC ECONOMIC COLLAPSE IS COMING, AND IT IS GOING TO BE VERY, VERY PAINFUL.’




Howard Davidowitz on the Economy: "Here Are the Numbers ... WE'RE BROKE!"   11-25-10  The U.S. economy "is a complete disaster," Howard Davidowitz declared here in July, the most recent in a string of dire predictions from Tech Ticker's most entertaining guest.On the eve of Thanksgiving, I asked Davidowitz if he had any regrets, or was ready to throw in the towel given recent signs of economic revival. Are you kidding me? "Here are the numbers...we're broke," Davidowitz declares, noting the U.S. government goes $5 billion deeper into debt every day and is facing $1 trillion-plus annual deficits for the next decade. "In other words, we're bankrupt."As with the economy, Davidowitz is unwaveringly consistent in his views on President Obama, calling him "deranged, dysfunctional and discredited."Results of the midterm election show "the people of this country think we are in a catastrophe," he says. "I'm with them."Check the accompanying video for more of Howard's unfettered opinions and stay tuned for additional clips from this interview. And...Happy Thanksgiving! Aaron Task is the host of Tech Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at [email protected]

 

 

 

Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘

 

 


 

 

 17 Things Worrying Investors   Lloyd's Wall of Worry
 
Worry Count: 17


CHINA: 1,330,044,605 people can’t be wrong.

The PIIGS: Fasten your seatbelts. It’s gonna be a long, bumpy, expensive, weird, (insert your own adjective here) freak show of a ride.

CALIFORNIA AND THE OTHER 49 STATES: Not yet as dire as “The PIIGS”. Might I suggest the classier moniker of “The Prosciuttos” for the American basket-case states?

QE II: Gobble?

U.S. ECONOMY: The “Punky Brewster” of the global economic landscape.

UNEMPLOYMENT: Only thing worse than losing your job, losing your unemployment check. At least there’s the holiday season to cheer everyone up (read: heavy sarcasm).

TAXES: Praying to the Financial Market Gods that we don’t have another TARP-like vote fiasco.

OBAMA ADMINISTRATION PART II: Still two years before the Pres. election and the peanut gallery is already pleading for a Hail Mary Pass to get them back in the game.

HFT: Instead of beating up these liquidity supplying traders, let’s honor them with their very own stock exchange. But wait -- with no retail saps to pick-off they will never get that Day 1 opening bell tick. Perfect.

XMAS 2010: As my professor friend Nick says, “Nowadays Americans are dining off of two menus – The Million Dollar and the $0.99 Cent.” And both are pissed about it.

CURRENCIES: Poor Mr. Greenback. Does someone need a hug?

HOUSING CRISIS: Price Stabilization – Are we there yet? Just a little bit more. Are we there yet? Just a little bit more. Are we there yet? Just a little bit more….

INFLATION/DEFLATION: Fed Chief Ben B. comes out swinging from his heels in defense of inflation promotion. Don’t punch yourself out as this one is likely to go the distance.

COMMODITIES: Corrected but still sky high; fortunately these prices are only affecting core, basic, life-sustaining necessities and sparing our electronic gadgets and plus-sized SUVs. Whew!

INSIDER TRADING: Another black eye for Hedge Funds. I estimate that makes black eye number 6,597.

INTEREST RATES: South Korea and China slowly turning up the dial to “11”. On the other hand the U.S. has removed the dial altogether. This never ends well….

NORTH KOREA: Here we go again. (and now Egypt, etc.)




Consumer confidence down,
LiveLeak.com - Loonie closes above U.S. dollar  dollar for first time closes below parity on Canadian loonie … hey, hey, hey …      'Huge' stock decline — but not yet  MarketWatch  -  Brimelow ‘Commentary: Adens … ‘mega trend’ looks grim … The Adens expect a hyperinflationary collapse … ‘ Oh come on! Manipulated dollar decline with inflated earnings, stock prices thereby, etc., … we’ve seen this all before … the last few crashes …  Jobless rate jumps to 9.8% as hiring slows (Washington Post) [  The reality is not a mystery! The nation’s been thrown under the bus for the greater good (wealth) of the very few (frauds on wall street, etc.);  wall street giving out record bonuses from their accomplished fraud (with no-recession b.s. bernanke help) of $144 BILLION: Come on! This is gettin’ even more downright ridiculous (if that’s even possible)! Pending home foreclosure / distress sales up, oil prices (and oil stocks) up, debased dollar down, plus a little familiar ‘better than expected’ thrown in along with prospects of a ‘no-recession bernanke’ market-frothing bull session on 60 minutes and, voila, suckers’ rally into the close to keep the suckers suckered! What’s good for the frauds on wall street is bad for just about everyone else which includes the vast majority of people and businesses, domestically and globally, as current dollar manipulation / debasement ultimately results in higher costs and loss of purchasing power (ie., oil, etc.). Clearly, this is one of those fraudulent wealth transfers to the frauds on wall street et als which will ultimately be paid for by those who least are in a position to afford it, courtesy of the ever more worthless Weimar dollar, etc., inflating earnings, eps, lowering p/e multiples, etc., see infra. This is an especially great time to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come! Previous: Rosy numbers on consumer sentiment, unemployment (far better than private forecasts) from the government prior to the holiday so-called ‘shop till you drop’? How can anyone believe anything they say? Najerian interviewed by Motek chimes in with the reason for good retail cheer; viz., people have stopped paying their mortgages and are using the funds to purchase retail goods; while Davidowitz adds that with record numbers of americans on food stamps, real unemployment at 17+, and wall street giving out record bonuses from their accomplished fraud (with no-recession b.s. bernanke help) of $144 BILLION …  the high end stores / jewelers will do well … daaaaah! And, with insiders and wall street frauds selling into the bubble as preceded last crash, this is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits! Suckers’ rally on light volume, full moon, and government complicity (false data / reports) to keep suckers suckered (easy for the wall street frauds to do with just a mouse click / push of the button – and, they know all those technical trade lines that are easy to program in this current phase of the scam/fraud with the debased dollar). Keep in mind, the totally mindless blather from the ‘cottage industries’ of and fraudulent wall street itself in talking up lower P/E multiples when the same is a direct result of the debasement of the dollar and the consequent manipulation / translation (not real, see Davis, infra) which preceded the financial crisis / last crash. Unemployment, trade, deficit, etc., numbers continue decidedly worse than expected along with other negative data (and in the ‘wrong direction’, that spin accorded ‘down but not as bad as before’ b*** s*** ) yet the market has rallied like no tomorrow with used home foreclosure / distressed sales, though abated owing to ‘foreclosuregate’, the other ‘heralded’ good news.  Moreover, the dumbo lemmings of Europe have jumped on the fraudulent defacto bankrupt american crazy train propelled to the precipice also as if no tomorrow. This is about keeping the suckers sucked in with the help of a market-frothing pre-election debased dollar for favorable currency translation and paper (but not real when measured in, ie., gold, etc.) profits which preceded the last crisis, inflating a bubble as in the last crisis to facilitate the churn-and-earn, particularly with computerized (and high frequency) trades and which commissions they’ll get again on the way down. There is nothing to support these overbought stock prices, fundamentally or otherwise. These are desperate criminals ‘at work’. Even wall street shill, the senile Buffett is saying we’re still in a recession (depression) [ Davis: ‘… all profits are inflated by 10% (from falling, debased dollar) and that 10% is the E that gets divided from the P and gives us a much better price/multiple to hang our hats on and that gets investors to BUYBUYBUY …’  The bull market that never was / were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold     ]   This is a great opportunity to sell / take profits (these lower dollar, hyperinflationary currency manipulations / translations to froth paper stocks will end quite badly as in last crash)!  This is a global depression. This is a secular bear market in a global depression. The past up moves were manipulated bull (s***) cycles (at best) in a secular bear market. This has been a typically manipulated bubble as has preceded the prior crashes with great regularity that the wall street frauds and insiders commission and sell into. This is a typical wall street ‘programmed computerized high-frequency churn and earn pass the hot potato scam / fraud as in prior crashes  ( widely reported, high-frequency trading routinely accounts for more than 50% of daily U.S. equity trading volume and regularly approaches 70%.  )’. This national decline, economic and otherwise, will not end until justice is served and the wall street frauds et als are criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.The Stock Market's Long Decline Has Begun Smith ] 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

 

Bush nixes Denver visit, citing invite to Assange [ The best thing that’s happened to Denver for quite some time; after all, it’s doubtful that war criminals have suddenly become fashionable, particularly dumb, burnt out morons as dumbya bush. ](AP)

 

 

 

Infowars.com Takes 1st Place in Alternative News Rating Infowars.com | Alex Jones’ other flagship website, Prison Planet.com, came in the number eight spot on the list.

 

New Google Algorithm is Live: News Aggregators Will Be Punished Eric Blair & Michael Edwards | We can only conclude that they have begun to wage war on alternative news sites.

 

Neocon Analysts Push for Invasion of Libya Kurt Nimmo | Obama and Secretary of State Clinton are busy building the required attack consensus.

 

Glenn Beck’s Secret TheAlexJonesChannel | The truth Beck doesn’t want you to know.

 

Bankster Economist Heralds Third World Hellholes Kurt Nimmo | Mega-bank Citigroup has trotted out its prime economist to send the message.

 

 

Rumsfeld doesn’t have the answers (video) Infowars | Rumsfeld couldn’t answer Mancow’s question about WTC 7 but he also couldn’t give an answer on the Opie and Anthony show.


 

US military ‘fully involved’ in talks on Libya options Agence France-Presse | “The military is fully involved in these discussions.”


 

Democrat Urges Union Protesters to Get “Bloody” Politico | Political observers have been the lookout for potentially incendiary rhetoric in the wake of the shooting in Tucson.


 

Neocon Analysts Push for Invasion of Libya CNN reports the Pentagon and NATO are ready to send troops into Libya under the cover of humanitarian assistance. CNN underscores the situation by stating that reports say Gaddafi will fight to the end and will seek martyrdom.

 

Libyan rebels say control oil fields, honour deals Rebels in eastern Libya said on Friday they now controlled most of the oil fields east of the town of Ras Lanuf, and said they would honour oil deals as long as they were in the interest of the people.

 

Bankster Economist Heralds Third World Hellholes The banksters are making it known. You’re going to be a pauper. The mega-bank Citigroup has trotted out its prime economist to send the message.

 

Madison Mayor, Police Chief Demand Explanation Over Walker Suggestion To Infiltrate Wisconsin Protests The Mayor and the police chief of Madison, Wisconsin have both asked Governor Scott Walker to explain comments he made indicating that he had considered employing “troublemakers” to infiltrate and discredit the Wisconsin protests.

 

Sheen On Obama: “A Coward In a Cheap Suit”   [ I think Sheen to be too gentle in his criticism of wobama. Wobama’s far worse than just a ‘coward in a cheap suit’. Indeed, Wobama’s a total fraud having been elected under false pretenses; viz., his total, unequivocal, and unfulfilled b*** s*** (those campaign promises) ! Moreover, there has been some persuasive documentation questioning wobama’s citizenship / birthplace placing his eligibility to hold the office of president in question. ] Amidst the controversy of his wild interview on the Alex Jones Show yesterday, actor Charlie Sheen wasted little time in confronting President Barack Obama on his failure to answer Sheen’s twenty questions concerning 9/11, calling Obama, “a coward in a cheap suit.”   Globalist Shill Barack Obama Asks Business Leaders For Job Creation Ideas Even As He Ships More Of Our Jobs Overseas As Part Of The New One World Economy The other day, Barack Obama summoned a group of business and labor leaders to the White House and “challenged” them to come up with some great ideas for creating more jobs inside the United States.

 

Trends Journal Predicted Global Anti-Gov’t Protests: What’s Next? It is a matter of record! The spate of seething, youth-inspired Middle East uprisings that are toppling governments, reshaping the geopolitical landscape and roiling world markets blindsided the world’s intelligence community.

 

 

 

Drudgereport: Gaddafi militia open fire on protesters...
UK paying 'bribes' to free trapped citizens...
Gaddafi offers $400 per family as rebels close in...
'Dance, sing and get ready'...
WILL NATO INTERVENE?
American Ferry From Libya Finally Arrives in Malta...
USA WILL DROP TO WORLD'S '3RD LARGEST ECONOMY'...
OBAMA GIVEN 'IMPEACHMENT' WARNING...
Obama signs temporary extension of Patriot Act...
   [ ‘Wobama the b’  (for b*** s***)   ]    ...RAILED AGAINST DURING CAMPAIGN
OH NO, HUFFPO: GOOGLE ALGORITHM CHANGE HITS 12% OF SEARCH RESULTS...
Bush Nixes Denver Visit, Citing Invite To Assange...

GADDAFI SHOT?
Libyan uprising closes round Tripoli...
Crude breaches $119 in frantic trading...

CA Gas Station: $4.51 Gallon...
Feds: Food prices set to jump 3.5%...

'Extreme'...
Swiss franc touches record peak against dollar...
California's $800K city manager leaves court on gurney… [California’s extreme in this regard as I noted to a college instructor on coming out here, but aren’t they all overpaid, state and federal; indeed, these career gov’t ees have made over-priced gov’t jobs career goals of themselves which even three decades ago was unheard of other than as a sacrifice of earning power- definitely part of the problem – the overpaid, overpriced, overvalued bureaucrats. ] ...

$100.00
HIGHEST SINCE 2008

Saudi's $36 billion bid to beat unrest...
King offers financial package as opposition calls 'day of rage'...

Nervous China puts security apparatus into overdrive...

Gaddafi loses more Libyan cities...
FORCES DEFY ORDERS...
WH: Obama's 9-Day Silence Due To 'Scheduling Issue'...
Gaddafi relatives fleeing Libya?
State Dept tries to evacuate Americans by boat...
Turkey launches biggest ever evacuation...
AL-JAZEERA LIVE FEED... REUTERS WIRE...
OIL PRICE JUMPS 8.5% IN A DAY
Big Stock Sell Off...
Home Prices Hit Post-Bust Lows in Major Cities...

$4 Gasoline? Yes in California...
Highest Gas Prices in February Since 1990...
Iranian warships sail through Suez Canal for first time since 1979...

REPORT: Gaddafi orders sabotage of oil facilities...
Defies revolt with tanks, planes...
In rambling speech, blames 'tyranny of US,' free drugs for youth...
VIDEO: 'I Will Be A Martyr At The End' …(sounds more like an american hero every day; a martyr for himself!) ...
WH: Nothing to say on Libya...
MUSLIM BROS: KILL GADDAFI...
Intelligence agency 'jamming' TV signals...
Witnesses report bodies in streets...
Oil industry worries unrest could spread...
Russia blames GOOGLE for stirring unrest...
Medvedev sees 'fires for decades' in Arab world...
AL-JAZEERA LIVE FEED... REUTERS WIRE...
GADDAFI FLEES TRIPOLI
UK Foreign Sec: Gaddafi headed to Venezuela...

Chavez gov't denies...
Muslim leaders order followers to rebel...
Tribe threatens to cut oil exports...
REPORT: Military jets attack protesters in Tripoli...
Two pilots refuse, fly to Malta, defect...
Oil companies move staff...
U.S. military chief visits Gulf to urge restraint...
Khamenei: America must be removed from Islamic world...
AL-JAZEERA LIVE FEED... REUTERS WIRE...
ON THE BRINK!
Qaddafi's son warns of civil war...

Tribe threatens to cut oil exports...
Unrest in Iran, Algeria, Yemen, Morocco, China [and Wisconsin]...
U.S. military chief visits Gulf, to urge restraint...
Michelle Obama, Daughters Hit the Slopes on Ski Vacation ...

Vail...
Bidens vacation on Fla Keys...
FLASHBACK: Obama on tough economy: 'You might put off a vacation'...
'Everyone must sacrifice'...
RASMUSSEN: OBAMA APPROVAL SLIPS BACK TO 44%...
Gov't shutdown threat looms over budget fight...

Geithner Criticizes Spending Cuts...
SANTELLI: BUDGET CRISIS IS NEXT 9/11...

Gas prices skyrocket; up 55 cents from year ago...
Oil prices surge; Brent crude hits 2 1/2-year high...

GALLUP: Number of Solidly Democratic States Cut in Half From '08 to '10...
American Held in Pakistan Worked for CIA...
Egypt's activists skeptical about army intentions...

...ask West to guarantee reform
Wounded Iraq veteran jeered for speaking in Columbia University...

Sen. John Kerry attacked by anti-war protesters...
Reporter, camerawoman attacked by black mob... in California

WISC UNIONS OFFER CONCESSIONS
Gov. Walker Says No...
Dem Sen: We'll Stay Away For Weeks...
Court Rejects Madison School Effort to Get 'Sick' Teachers Back to Work...
Fake Doctor's Notes Being Handed Out at Union Rally...
VIDEO: 'Everybody is sick -- of Scott Walker'...
Thousands Pack Capitol Grounds...

Libya: Snipers shoot mourners, killing 15...
REPORT: 120 dead...
U.S. Warship Tracking Yacht Hijacked by Somali Pirates... [ I realize there are ‘laws of the sea’ / codified bodies of law within that broad yet very specific category called ‘maritime law’, none of which I know nor care to know (I’ll content myself to knowing and seeing to the enforcement of american law as pertains to me; viz., RICO 
http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm     .   I do know that these somali pirates need killin’ and I further believe that open season on them including using their boats in the water for target practice makes sense and certainly is morally justified. I’m tired of hearing about those little weasels … you know, ‘the skinnies’. ]

 

 

 

 

 

Some now question U.S. deal that brought Gaddafi back into diplomatic fold (Washington Post) [ Oh, come on! At this point in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s intractable decline, naivity becomes no one! …Money, oil, arms change hands and no one’s the wiser … and those few are again substantially richer … it’s the fatally tragic ‘american tale’… Arms deals still made amid Middle East crackdowns (Washington Post) You bet your bippy … a raison d’etre, so to speak. ]ABU DHABI, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - As Libya's Moammar Gaddafi ordered attacks on his own people this week, thousands of arms sellers from the United States and other countries hawked their aircraft, riot gear and rifles to Middle Eastern buyers at the Persian Gulf's preeminent arms show.

 

 

Julian Assange must be extradited to Sweden (Washington Post) [  Julian Assange to be extradited to Sweden  Infowars.com [ No surprise here. As I’ve previously written, I’m against the censorship since one always, in the final analysis, must discern truth from falsehood, information from disinformation, reality from propaganda. In truth, I found it somewhat shocking and more than surprising that of all places ‘to escape to’, Assange chose Orwellian england, puppet to the u.s. and guarantor of servility to u.s./zionist interests, such is their own desperate circumstances. What was he thinking? ]    WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange is to be extradited to Sweden to face allegations of rape and sexual assault. Assange will appeal, his legal team confirmed. If this is unsuccessful, he will be extradited to Sweden in 10 days.  ] LONDON - Britain will honor Sweden's request to extradite WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange to face sex-crime allegations, a British judge ruled Thursday.

 

 

 

Oil prices on the rise (Washington Post) [ And except when and for fraudulent / false / manipulated data, everything else down, dirty, and dismal:   AP Business Highlights: February 24, 2011,  New-home sales in January drop 12.6 pct WASHINGTON (AP) -- Sales of new homes fell significantly in January, a dismal sign after the worst year for that sector in nearly a half-century.New-home sales dropped to a seasonally adjusted rate of 284,000 homes last month, the Commerce Department said Thursday. That's down from 325,000 in December and less than half the 600,000-a-year pace that economists view as healthy…’   (Washington Post) New-home sales fell more than forecast / FHFA: Home prices fell in fourth quarter   Pro-government forces, rebels engage in battles for territory (Washington Post) [ The big story here, lost on mainstream media, was the manipulated stock / oil price fraud based upon false rumor of  daffy gaddafi not ducking and having been shot. Remember: there’s no place for reality in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america and on fraudulent wall street particularly. STOCKS MAKE HUGE TURNAROUND ON STUNNING COLLAPSE IN OIL: BASED SOLELY ON NOW KNOWN TO BE FALSE TWITTER RUMOR!   [ Don’t be surprised if the frauds on wall street initiated the rumors; their fraudulent manipulations have included far worse … put them in jail where they belong, with fines, disgorgement!  ( ‘…an apparently Twitter-borne rumor started making the rounds that Qaddafi had been shot! There was no basis for it, but oil simply collapsed…’ )  ] , On Thursday February 24, 2011 Thank Twitter-borne rumors of Qaddafi's death for the fact that markets totally didn't get crushed today…’ ] Militiamen, mercenaries hit cities near capital while protesters seized air force base; U.S., other Western powers consider responses to situation. Gaddafi loyalists launch counterattacks  ]  Crude prices broke through the $100-a-barrel threshold as violence in Libya continued to shake markets.

 

 

 

 

Senate Democrats draft cuts in domestic agency budgets (Washington Post) [  Do these ‘too little, too late’ so-called cuts purport to make the nation ‘less bankrupt’? There’s no such thing … absolutely preposterous! And, Kotlikoff thinks so as well, see immediately hereafter…  ] The plan will involve accelerating some of the $33 billion in program terminations and reductions included in Obama's proposed budget for next year.

When Pretending Fails to Hide Bankruptcy: Laurence Kotlikoff ( Today in the WashingtonPost.Com ) Feb 22, 2011

Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Our country is bankrupt. It’s not bankrupt in 30 years or five years. It’s bankrupt today.

Want proof? Look at President Barack Obama’s 2010 budget. It showed a massive fiscal gap over the next 75 years, the closure of which requires immediate tax increases, spending cuts, or some combination totaling 8 percent of gross domestic product. To put 8 percent of GDP in perspective, this year’s employee and employer payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare will amount to just 5 percent of GDP.

Actually, the picture is much worse. Nothing in economics says we should look out just 75 years when considering the present-value difference between future spending and future taxes. Over the full long-term, we need an extra 12 percent, not 8 percent, of GDP annually.

Seventy-five years seems like a long enough time to plan. It’s not. Had the Greenspan Commission, which “fixed” Social Security back in 1983, focused on the true long term we wouldn’t be sitting here now with Social Security 26 percent underfunded. The Social Security trustees, at least, have learned a lesson. The 26 percent figure is based on their infinite horizon fiscal- gap calculation.

But the real reason we can’t look out just 75 years is that the government’s cash flows (the difference between its annual taxes and non-interest spending) over any period of time, including the next 75 years, aren’t well defined. This reflects economics’ labeling problem. If you use different words to describe the receipts taken in and paid out each year by the government, you produce entirely different cash flows and an entirely different fiscal gap measured over any finite horizon.

Matter of Language

It’s only the value of the infinite horizon fiscal gap that is unaffected by the choice of labels of language. Take this year’s payroll tax contributions. Let’s call these transfers from workers to Uncle Sam “borrowing” by the government, rather than “payroll taxes,” since the money will be paid back as future benefits. If the future payback isn’t in full (equal to principal plus interest), we can call the difference a “retirement tax.” Presto! With this change of words, our 2011 deficit of about 10 percent of GDP is boosted another five points to 15 percent.

With one set of words, taxes are higher now and lower latter. With the other set of words, the opposite is true. But neither set of labels makes more economic sense than the other or changes what the government takes, on balance, from any person or business in any given year.

This is no surprise. The math of economics rules out an absolute measure of the deficit, just like the math of physics rules out an absolute measure of time.

Bottom Line

The bottom line, then, is that we need to look at the infinite-horizon fiscal gap not just for Social Security, but for the entire federal government. That analysis, based on the Congressional Budget Office’s long-term alternative fiscal scenario, shows an unfathomable fiscal gap of $202 trillion. And covering this gap requires coming up with the aforementioned 12 percent of GDP, forever.

If this gives you the willies, there’s a ready narcotic -- the president’s 2012 budget, which shows that most of our long- term fiscal problem has miraculously disappeared; the fiscal gap isn’t 12 percent of annual GDP. Nor is it 8 percent. It’s now 1.8 percent.

This fantastic improvement in our finances is due, we’re told, primarily to the Independent Payment Advisory Board. This board, to be established in 2014 (after the next election, of course) is charged with recommending cuts to Medicare and Medicaid providers when their costs grow too fast.

Repealing Cuts

We’ve had laws mandating such cuts for years, and they are routinely repealed. Indeed, President Obama signed the latest such repeal last June. But rather than laugh out loud at this cost-control mechanism, the Medicare trustees, three-quarters of whom were appointed by the president, assume in their 2010 report that these cuts will be made -- to the dollar. And the 2012 budget cites the report’s fictional forecast as its authoritative source.

No one takes the 2010 Medicare trustee report’s long-run projections seriously, least of all Richard Foster, Medicare’s chief actuary. Foster added this statement to the end of the report: “The financial projections shown in this report for Medicare do not represent a reasonable expectation…in either the short range…or the long range.”

This isn’t the first administration to conceal our long- term fiscal problem. Back in 1993, Alice Rivlin, then deputy director of the Office of Management and Budget, asked me and economists Alan Auerbach and Jagadeesh Gokhale to prepare a long-term fiscal gap/generational accounting for inclusion in President Bill Clinton’s 1994 budget.

Politics Triumphs

We worked for months on the analysis, but two days before the budget’s release, the study was excised from the budget. We were shocked, but, in retrospect, the politics are clear. The Clinton administration wanted to claim it was fiscally prudent and the study, which showed unofficial debt growing at enormous rates, showed the opposite.

The fiscal gap’s next near appearance in a president’s budget was in 2003. Treasury Secretary Paul O’Neill commissioned Gokhale and Kent Smetters to do the study. It showed a massive $45 trillion fiscal gap -- not a great basis for pushing tax cuts or introducing the prescription-drug benefit for seniors, known as Medicare Part D. O’Neill was ousted on Dec. 6, 2002, and a couple of days later the fiscal-gap study was discarded.

I’m not sure whether censoring the fiscal gap is more dishonorable than fudging it. What I do know is that we can’t assume our problems away and that I expected far better of this president when I voted for him.

--Editors: James Greiff, Steven Gittelson

 

 

 

 

 

Pro-government forces, rebels engage in battles for territory (Washington Post) [ The big story here, lost on mainstream media, was the manipulated stock / oil price fraud based upon false rumor of  daffy gaddafi not ducking and having been shot. Remember: there’s no place for reality in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america and on fraudulent wall street particularly. STOCKS MAKE HUGE TURNAROUND ON STUNNING COLLAPSE IN OIL: BASED SOLELY ON NOW KNOWN TO BE FALSE TWITTER RUMOR!   [ Don’t be surprised if the frauds on wall street initiated the rumors; their fraudulent manipulations have included far worse … put them in jail where they belong, with fines, disgorgement!  ( ‘…an apparently Twitter-borne rumor started making the rounds that Qaddafi had been shot! There was no basis for it, but oil simply collapsed…’ )  ] , On Thursday February 24, 2011 Thank Twitter-borne rumors of Qaddafi's death for the fact that markets totally didn't get crushed today…’ ] Militiamen, mercenaries hit cities near capital while protesters seized air force base; U.S., other Western powers consider responses to situation. Gaddafi loyalists launch counterattacks  ]  Crude prices broke through the $100-a-barrel threshold as violence in Libya continued to shake markets.

 

 

 

 

 

 

STOCKS MAKE HUGE TURNAROUND ON STUNNING COLLAPSE IN OIL: BASED SOLELY ON NOW KNOWN TO BE FALSE TWITTER RUMOR!   [ Don’t be surprised if the frauds on wall street initiated the rumors; their fraudulent manipulations have included far worse … put them in jail where they belong, with fines, disgorgement!  ( ‘…an apparently Twitter-borne rumor started making the rounds that Qaddafi had been shot! There was no basis for it, but oil simply collapsed…’ )  ] , On Thursday February 24, 2011

Thank Twitter-borne rumors of Qaddafi's death for the fact that markets totally didn't get crushed today.

But first, the scoreboard:

Dow: -39.13
NASDAQ: +16.16
S&P 500: -1.03

And now, the top stories:

  • The "day" really started around 2:00 AM ET, when oil exploded higher in London trading. It was a vicious move, which sent instantly sent US futures sharply lower. The dollar got clubbed as well.
  • Other than the fact that generally markets were down, Europe was fairly quiet.
  • Still, stocks were down all day until just after 2:00 PM ET, when an apparently Twitter-borne rumor started making the rounds that Qaddafi had been shot! There was no basis for it, but oil simply collapsed. It helped that around the same time there was talk of the US cracking open its Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Markets turned around violently on the news. Gold and silver slid as well.
  • And that was basically it.
  • Think inflation is going to be a major problem? Click here for 10 companies that will do great if inflation skyrockets >

 

 

 

February 22, 2011: Mohamed A. El-Erian, CEO PIMCO predicts a period of, at best, stagflation; which of course is bad for stocks (and worse).

 

 

 

 

 

 

That House You Bought 10 Years Ago Is Worth Exactly The Same Now As It Was Then Depew ‘The chart below shows the median price for existing homes, which is down 3.7 percent year-over-year to $158,000. Some interesting things to note about this:

1) While existing home sales increased 2.7 percent, the percent of home sales which were distressed rose to 37 percent, an incredible amount if you stop to think about it.
2) Also, 32 percent of the existing home sales transactions were for cash.
3) Oh, and if you were thinking that the housing bubble collapse has exterminated all speculative activity in the housing market, consider that 23 percent of all sales went to buyers classified as "investors."
4) Finally, while the inventory of existing homes available declined to a little less than 8 months' worth at the current pace of sales, if you factor in the high percentage of distressed sales along with the fact that the National Realtors' Survey doesn't account for inventory listed by banks and private agents... well, you can see where this is headed. [chart]’

 

 

 

 

The U.S. Dollar Is No Longer a Safe Haven Daily Trader ‘The winds of change appear to be blowing! Some 6 months ago when world financial markets took fright, the average punter would rush headlong into the safety of the USD and US Treasuries.However, something different is now playing out. The USD has been broadly weaker against the "average" paper currency in the world. Yes that is correct, the USD has done rather badly against other currencies since the Egyptian crisis took hold. Over the last few days whilst the Libyan drama has progressed into a full blown crisis and perhaps a prelude to civil war, the USD has again depreciated against a broad basket of currencies. Note the behavior of our Proprietary Currency Index below (16 currencies against the USD). It is only a few "pips" away from breaking to a multi-month high. [chart]Now what if we do see the index above break to a new high and the USD Index to a multi-month low? What would be the implications for other markets like equities, commodities and Treasuries?As far as commodities go it does not take a rocket scientist to work that one out. I don't think a break in the USD would be very supportive for higher US Treasury prices.........after all when have rapidly rising commodity prices been positive for Treasuries?As for equities, well I think it is going to be highly dependent on which sectors you are in. I find it difficult to believe that commodity sensitive sectors like basic materials and energy would weaken. With correlations across stocks breaking down I think the coming months will be very favorable to diligent inflation-oriented stock pickers.’

 

 

 

Stocks Slide as Key Moving Averages Fail to Hold Suttmeier ‘…The ValuEngine Valuation Warning was at an extreme last Friday, and technicals were overbought on daily charts.
The 10-Year Yield -- (3.489) This yield tested its 50-day simple moving average at 3.446 on Wednesday after holding my weekly pivot at 3.529. The 200-day simple moving average is 3.007.
Comex Gold -- ($1410.8) Tested $1417.5 this morning above my monthly risky level at $1412.4. Gold is now overbought on its daily chart with the 50-day at $1373.5 and quarterly and semiannual risky levels at $1441.7 and $1452.6.
Nymex Crude Oil -- ($98.48) Tested the $103.41 this morning above my annual pivots at $99.91 and $101.92. My monthly pivot is $91.83 with semiannual and quarterly risky levels $107.14 and $110.87.
The Euro -- (1.3747) The 50-day is 1.3416 with my weekly risky level at 1.3868.
ValuEngine Valuation Warning -- A ValuEngine Valuation Warning occurs when more than 65% of all stocks in the ValuEngine universe are calculated to be overvalued. On Friday 68.6% of all stocks were overvalued, which was the highest of the year. Today 61.2% of all stocks are overvalued.
The Technical Warning -- All major equity averages ended last week with extremely overbought conditions noted on their weekly charts. This week’s weakness will keep all weekly charts overbought with the exception of Dow Transports, which has declining weekly MOJO.
 

  • We are below all of this week’s pivots; 12,401 Dow Industrials, 1345.0 SPX, 2831 NASDAQ, 2405.1 NDX, 414.82 Utilities, 5241 Dow Transports, and 815.37 Russell 1000 and 483.39 SOX.


Key Levels for the Major Equity Averages
 

  • The Dow Industrial Average (12,106) -- Closes below the 21-day simple moving average at 12,134 targets the 50-day at 11,851. My monthly value level is 11,759 with daily and weekly risky levels at 12,257 and 12,401.
  • The S&P 500 (1307.4) -- Closes below the 21-day simple moving average at 1314 targets the 50-day at 1286. My quarterly value level is 1262.5 with daily and weekly risky levels at 1331.3 and 1345.0.
  • The NASDAQ (2723) -- Given a close below the 50-day simple moving average at 2721 the risk is to my monthly value level at 2611. Daily, weekly, and quarterly risky levels are 2793, 2831 and 2853.
  • The NASDAQ 100 (NDX) (2301) -- Given a close below the 50-day simple moving average at 2293 the risk is to my monthly value level at 2234.7. Daily, weekly, and quarterly risky levels at 2360.00, 2405.10 and 2438.3.
  • Dow Transports (4986) -- Closes below the 50-day simple moving averages are 5130 indicated risk to my monthly pivot at 4962, which was tested on Wednesday. My quarterly value level is 4671 with my annual pivot at 5179 and weekly pivot at 5241. A close this week below the five-week modified moving average at 5098 shifts the weekly chart profile to negative.
  • The Russell 2000 (799.64) -- Tested its 50-day simple moving average at 795.71 with this week’s pivot at 815.37. My quarterly value level is 765.50 with my weekly pivot at 815.37 and daily risky level at 836.03.
  • The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) (444.27) -- Is approaching its 50-day simple moving 436.31. My monthly value level is 398.44 with a quarterly risky level at 465.93.


More Bad News on Housing -- Existing Home Sales rose in January, but the increase was led by rising foreclosures and all-cash buyers. According to the National Association of Realtors prices home prices slumped to a nine-year low. Foreclosure sales accounted for 37% of the seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.36 million homes. Another 32% were sold in all-cash transactions. The decline in home prices was 3.7% year over year.Housing problems include tighter lending standards including a larger down payment, and higher mortgage rates. The potential inventory of existing homes remains quite high and banks have been slow to foreclose. High unemployment is still cited as an issue.
Some Key Points From the FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile for the Fourth Quarter of 2010
 

  • The FDIC List of Problem Banks rose by 24 to 884 from 860, which is 11.5% of the 7,657 FDIC-insured financial institutions.
  • Loan balances fell by $51.8 billion in the fourth quarter on loan write-downs, payoffs, and the slow generation of new loans.
  • The Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) narrowed its deficit to $7.4 billion from $8.0 billion. The total cost of bank failures through 2013 is projected to about $100 billion.

 

 

 

Libya’s Turmoil Leads to Highest February Gas Prices in 21 Years ABC News | Crude oil touched nearly $102 a barrel in Asia this morning amid fears that Libya could halt exports.

 

 

IMF Austerity Measures Lead to Violent Riots in Greece AFP | The confrontation occurred near the finance ministry.

 

 

 

Jobless youths trigger concerns in UK Press TV | A drought of entry-level jobs means door to work is closed to many young people.


 

Crude breaches $119 in frantic trading Brent crude had breached $119 a barrel during a period of frantic trading around 0745 GMT as industrial needs were hedged and traders exploited an explosion of upside momentum.

 

Stagflation 2011: Why It Is Here And Why It Is Going To Be Very Painful Are you ready for an economy that has high inflation and high unemployment at the same time? Well, welcome to “Stagflation 2011″. Stagflation exists when inflation and unemployment are both at high levels at the same time.

 

Oil Is Making Another Gigantic Move, And Now US Futures Are Getting Hammered Crude is having another huge. Brent is near $120. WTI is over $101. The spike happened right when London trading open.

 

Socialism Gone Apes**t: Obama Wants To Use Proceeds From $20 Billion Fraudclosure Settlement To Reduce Underwater Mortgages  [ Yet he still reneges on his promise to prosecute the wall street frauds. ]  Ever wonder why the banks have been stowing away cash as if in anticipation of a torrential rainy day?

 

ECONOMIC CRISIS ARCHIVE

 

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

Media Demonizes Gaddafi as Pentagon Prepares Attack Kurt Nimmo | Pentagon has announced it is looking at “all options.”

 

SPLC Report Lumps In We Are Change With Neo-Nazis, KKK Steve Watson | Suggets that grassroots citizen journalist group has “driven people to murder.”

 

Gas Prices Set to Rise Nearly 40 Cents in Coming Days Kurt Nimmo | Saudi Arabia in talks to boost oil production as situation in Libya deteriorates.

Exclusive Interview: Charlie Sheen To Appear On The Alex Jones Show 2PM EST Paul Joseph Watson | Actor to set the record straight on exaggerations, misinformation and outright falsehoods concerning his private life and career.

 

Big Brother: The Orwellian Nightmare Come True Mark Dice | Tremendous advances in technology often come unforeseen consequences.

 

 

Media Demonizes Gaddafi as Pentagon Prepares Attack As we reported yesterday, the United States has specific instructions to intervene militarily in Libya under the cover of providing humanitarian assistance. Less than 24 hours after our report, the Pentagon has announced it is looking at “all options” in dealing with the Libyan crisis. In short, it is drawing up plans to intervene.

 

Charlie Sheen Unleashes On TSA Actor Charlie Sheen unleashed on the TSA during a wild radio interview on The Alex Jones Show today, raging that he would eat the hands of any TSA worker who tried to touch his children, in response to the story that TSA agents harassed travelers and groped children in Savannah train station earlier this month after the passengers had left the train.

 

Gas Prices Set to Rise Nearly 40 Cents in Coming Days Earlier this week, market analysts warned that the price of gas may reach $5 by the end of summer. Now they are saying we could see that price by Memorial Day as the situation in Libya deteriorates.

 

SPLC Report Lumps In We Are Change With Neo-Nazis, KKK The Southern Poverty Law Center has a history of declaring any protest group it sees as “anti-government” as an “extremist” hate group, without justification. Today it continues that trend with the publication of a report that throws in We Are Change members nationwide with racist Neo Nazi groups and Ku Klux Klan factions.

 

Governor Walker: “We Thought About” Infiltrating Wisconsin Protesters With Troublemakers During a prank phone call in which he believed he was talking to billionaire philanthropist David Koch, Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker admitted that state authorities had “thought about” using troublemakers to infiltrate the crowds demonstrating against his effort to eliminate collective bargaining rights, proving once again that the use of agent provocateurs to discredit legitimate protesters is a common political ploy.

 

FLASHBACK: Gaddafi – Obama Is Friend, Black Man From Our Continent Of Arab Descent He said, “Now, ruling America is a black man from our continent, an African from Arab descent, from Muslim descent, and this is something we never imagined – that from Reagan we would get to Barakeh Obama.”

 

 

Julian Assange to be extradited to Sweden  [ No surprise here. As I’ve previously written, I’m against the censorship since one always, in the final analysis, must discern truth from falsehood, information from disinformation, reality from propaganda. In truth, I found it somewhat shocking and more than surprising that of all places ‘to escape to’, Assange chose Orwellian england, puppet to the u.s. and guarantor of servility to u.s./zionist interests, such is their own desperate circumstances. What was he thinking? ]    WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange is to be extradited to Sweden to face allegations of rape and sexual assault. Assange will appeal, his legal team confirmed. If this is unsuccessful, he will be extradited to Sweden in 10 days.

 

 

 

 

 

Drudgereport: GADDAFI SHOT?
Libyan uprising closes round Tripoli...
Crude breaches $119 in frantic trading...

CA Gas Station: $4.51 Gallon...
Feds: Food prices set to jump 3.5%...

'Extreme'...
Swiss franc touches record peak against dollar...
California's $800K city manager leaves court on gurney… [California’s extreme in this regard as I noted to a college instructor on coming out here, but aren’t they all overpaid, state and federal; indeed, these career gov’t ees have made over-priced gov’t jobs career goals of themselves which even three decades ago was unheard of other than as a sacrifice of earning power- definitely part of the problem – the overpaid, overpriced, overvalued bureaucrats. ] ...

$100.00
HIGHEST SINCE 2008

Saudi's $36 billion bid to beat unrest...
King offers financial package as opposition calls 'day of rage'...

Nervous China puts security apparatus into overdrive...

Gaddafi loses more Libyan cities...
FORCES DEFY ORDERS...
WH: Obama's 9-Day Silence Due To 'Scheduling Issue'...
Gaddafi relatives fleeing Libya?
State Dept tries to evacuate Americans by boat...
Turkey launches biggest ever evacuation...
AL-JAZEERA LIVE FEED... REUTERS WIRE...
OIL PRICE JUMPS 8.5% IN A DAY
Big Stock Sell Off...
Home Prices Hit Post-Bust Lows in Major Cities...

$4 Gasoline? Yes in California...
Highest Gas Prices in February Since 1990...
Iranian warships sail through Suez Canal for first time since 1979...

REPORT: Gaddafi orders sabotage of oil facilities...
Defies revolt with tanks, planes...
In rambling speech, blames 'tyranny of US,' free drugs for youth...
VIDEO: 'I Will Be A Martyr At The End' …(sounds more like an american hero every day; a martyr for himself!) ...
WH: Nothing to say on Libya...
MUSLIM BROS: KILL GADDAFI...
Intelligence agency 'jamming' TV signals...
Witnesses report bodies in streets...
Oil industry worries unrest could spread...
Russia blames GOOGLE for stirring unrest...
Medvedev sees 'fires for decades' in Arab world...
AL-JAZEERA LIVE FEED... REUTERS WIRE...
GADDAFI FLEES TRIPOLI
UK Foreign Sec: Gaddafi headed to Venezuela...

Chavez gov't denies...
Muslim leaders order followers to rebel...
Tribe threatens to cut oil exports...
REPORT: Military jets attack protesters in Tripoli...
Two pilots refuse, fly to Malta, defect...
Oil companies move staff...
U.S. military chief visits Gulf to urge restraint...
Khamenei: America must be removed from Islamic world...
AL-JAZEERA LIVE FEED... REUTERS WIRE...
ON THE BRINK!
Qaddafi's son warns of civil war...

Tribe threatens to cut oil exports...
Unrest in Iran, Algeria, Yemen, Morocco, China [and Wisconsin]...
U.S. military chief visits Gulf, to urge restraint...
Michelle Obama, Daughters Hit the Slopes on Ski Vacation ...

Vail...
Bidens vacation on Fla Keys...
FLASHBACK: Obama on tough economy: 'You might put off a vacation'...
'Everyone must sacrifice'...
RASMUSSEN: OBAMA APPROVAL SLIPS BACK TO 44%...
Gov't shutdown threat looms over budget fight...

Geithner Criticizes Spending Cuts...
SANTELLI: BUDGET CRISIS IS NEXT 9/11...

Gas prices skyrocket; up 55 cents from year ago...
Oil prices surge; Brent crude hits 2 1/2-year high...

GALLUP: Number of Solidly Democratic States Cut in Half From '08 to '10...
American Held in Pakistan Worked for CIA...
Egypt's activists skeptical about army intentions...

...ask West to guarantee reform
Wounded Iraq veteran jeered for speaking in Columbia University...

Sen. John Kerry attacked by anti-war protesters...
Reporter, camerawoman attacked by black mob... in California

WISC UNIONS OFFER CONCESSIONS
Gov. Walker Says No...
Dem Sen: We'll Stay Away For Weeks...
Court Rejects Madison School Effort to Get 'Sick' Teachers Back to Work...
Fake Doctor's Notes Being Handed Out at Union Rally...
VIDEO: 'Everybody is sick -- of Scott Walker'...
Thousands Pack Capitol Grounds...

Libya: Snipers shoot mourners, killing 15...
REPORT: 120 dead...
U.S. Warship Tracking Yacht Hijacked by Somali Pirates... [ I realize there are ‘laws of the sea’ / codified bodies of law within that broad yet very specific category called ‘maritime law’, none of which I know nor care to know (I’ll content myself to knowing and seeing to the enforcement of american law as pertains to me; viz., RICO 
http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm     .   I do know that these somali pirates need killin’ and I further believe that open season on them including using their boats in the water for target practice makes sense and certainly is morally justified. I’m tired of hearing about those little weasels … you know, ‘the skinnies’. ]

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ethics code urged for Supreme Court  (Washington Post) [  Sounds like a plan! Come on! Wake up! After all, what can you expect from two guidos from ‘jersey (alito and scalia, colloquial – note that I have refrained from using what some might consider disparaging terms as w*p*, gui***s, or da***s … and let me state for the record that I truly loved and respected my grandmother who was 100% Italian/Bari,Italy and as well my grandfather/Lake Como,northern Italy with greek ancestral roots and thereby claim standing/right to posit the criticism in light of my direct experience. ). How ‘bout starting with enforcing laws as to judges, liars, etc., within the very corrupted american illegal system; and, particularly bribes which in one form or another are rampant . I don’t know about Thomas, but I do know about alito and ‘jersey … :                                                                                                                    October 15, 2010 (*see infra)

 

 

Steven M. Martinez, Assistant Director In Charge
Federal Bureau of Investigation, USDOJ
11000 Wilshire Blvd., Suite 1700

Los Angeles, CA 90024

 

 

Dear Sir:

 

I enclose herewith 3 copies of the within DVD rom autorun disk (which will open in your computer’s browser) as per your office’s request as made this day (the disk and contents have been scanned by Avast, McAfee, and Norton which I’ve installed on my computer to prevent viral attacks / infection and are without threat). I also include 1 copy of the DVD as filed with the subject court as referenced therein (which files are also included on the aforesaid 3 disks in a separate folder named ‘112208opocoan’). The (civil) RICO action (as you’re aware, the RICO Act is a criminal statute which provides a civil remedy, including treble damages and attorney fees, as an incentive for private prosecution of said claims probably owing to the fact that the USDOJ seems somewhat overwhelmed and in need of such assistance given the seriousness and prevalence of said violations of law which have a corrupting influence on the process, and which corruption is pervasive). A grievance complaint against Coan was also filed concurrently with the subject action and held in abeyance pending resolution of the action which was illegally dismissed without any supporting law and in contravention of the Order of The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District Connecticut. The files below the horizontal rule are the referenced documents as filed. (Owing to the damage to the financial interests of both the U.S. and the District of Congresswoman Roybal-Allard, viz., Los Angeles, the Qui Tam provisions of the Federal False Claims Act probably would apply and I would absent resolution seek to refer the within to a firm with expertise in that area of the law with which I am not familiar).

 

 

The document in 5 pages under penalty of perjury I was asked to forward to the FBI office in New Haven is probably the best and most concise summary of the case  RICO Summary to FBI Under Penalty of Perjury at Their Request (5 pages)      [  ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf   http://albertpeia.com/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf          ].

 

 

The correspondence I received from the Congresswoman by way of email attachment (apparent but typical problem with my mail) along with my response thereto is included on the 3 disks as     fbicorrespondencereyes.htm     .   With regard to the calls to the FBI’s LA and New Haven, CT offices: There was one call to the LA office and I was referred to the Long Beach, CA office where I personally met with FBI Agent Jeff Hayes to whom I gave probative evidentiary documents of the money laundering which he confirmed as indicative of same (he was transferred from said office within approximately a month of said meeting and his location was not disclosed to me upon inquiry). The matter was assigned to FBI Agent Ron Barndollar and we remained in touch for in excess of a decade until he abruptly retired (our last conversation prior to his retirement related to the case and parenthetically, Rudy Giuliani whose father I stated had been an enforcer for the mob to which he registered disbelief and requested I prove it, which I did – he served 12 years in prison, aggravated assault/manslaughter? – and no, there is no Chinese wall of separation – Andrew Maloney’s the one that prosecuted gotti).

 

 

In contradistinction to the statement in said correspondence, there is a plethora of information including evidence supporting the claims set forth in the    RICO VERIFIED COMPLAINT    (see infra). Such includes and as set forth in the case, inter alia,

 

 

  1. A judgment had been entered in my favor in the case, United States District Court Case #3:93cv02065(AWT)(USDCJ Alvin Thompson), worth approximately now in excess of $300,000 remains unaccounted for and which could be used for payment to creditors, Los Angeles, etc..
  2. Counsel Robert Sullivan on my behalf documented by way of certification upon investigation that Alan Shiff, USBCJ, had falsely stated a dismissal upon which false statement he predicated a retaliatory and spurious contempt proceeding against me causing substantial damage, and for which he sought Judicial Notice of those and related proceedings as did I in some of my filings.
  3. The Order of Dismissal With Prejudice by Alan Shiff, USBCJ, owing to Defendant Coan’s failure to file anything whatsoever by the court’s deadline causing creditors and me substantial damages:   [  Shiff Order of Dismissal With Prejudice on Coan’s Failure to File        Page 1                Page 2          ]
  4. Defendant Coan had filed an action against me to prevent me from suing him which necessitated me to fly to Connecticut for a hearing before The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District of Connecticut, who denied Coan’s requested relief as to Coan but precluded my action against Shiff (although there is no immunity, judicial or otherwise, for criminal acts, ie., fraud connected with a case under Title 11, USC, etc.) . [   transcript in pertinent part -     crossexamofcoanbypeia.pdf   ]
  5. Newly appointed judge, Maryanne Trump Barry, Donald Trump’s sister, was assigned the RICO case despite the conflict of interest in light of hundreds of thousands of dollars of illegal (drug) money being laundered through the Trump casinos by the RICO defendants, and despite my motion to recuse her which motion she heard herself and denied, and U.S. Trustee Hugh Leonard with whom I met personally refused to join or file a separate motion to recuse and not long thereafter left said office for private practice at Cole, Shotz, et als on retainer with the RICO defendants as his primary client.
  6. Probative and evidentiary documents, affidavits, exhibits, including those turned over to FBI Agent Jeff Hayes in Long Beach, CA, had been given to Assistant U.S. Attorney Jonathan Lacey with whom I met personally at the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Newark, N.J., at which time Samuel Alito was U.S. Attorney, and went over said documents and their probative value with him. Within approximately a month thereafter upon inquiry I was told that Jonathon Lacey was no longer with the office, that the file/documents could not be located, and that there was no further information available concerning contacting him or his location. I thereupon delivered by hand, copies of said documents to the office of then U.S. Attorney Alito, addressed to him, with assurance they would go directly to him. In addition to being inept [ I looked in on the one mob case he had brought, bungled, lost (accidently on purpose?) since I was suing some mob-connected under RICO and the court (I had known / previously met outside of court the judge Ackerman through a client) was absolute bedlam and a total joke since incompetent corrupt Alito brought in all 20 mob defendants (rather than prosecute one or a few to flip them first) who feigning illness had beds/cots in the courtroom along with their moans during testimony and had the jury in stitches. As much as I hate the mob, it truly was funny, if not so tragic.],   Alito is also corrupt (and maybe corrupt because he is inept). After a reasonable (but still rather short) time I called to determine the status and was told that Alito was no longer with the Office of the U.S. Attorney, that he was (appointed) a federal judge, and that neither the documents nor any file or record of same could be located. Alito did parley the same / cover-up into quid pro quo direct lifetime appointment to the Court of Appeals, 3rd circuit, despite the absence of judicial experience or successful tenure as U.S. Attorney (Maryanne Trump Barry as well). This is the same Sam Alito that now sits on the purported highest court in the land. The real application of the illegal rule ‘don’t ask, don’t tell’.

 

 

There is applicable insurance / surety coverage and neither LA, nor creditors, nor I should continue to have been damaged by this brazened corrupt and illegal scenario, which should be resolved in accordance with the meaningful rules of law apposite thereto.

 

 

Sincerely,

 

 

Albert L. Peia

611 E. 5th Street, #404

Los Angeles, CA 90013

(213) 219-**** (cell phone)

(213) 622-3745 (listed land line but there are unresolved problems with the line, computer connection may be the reason but I hesitate to chance greater non-performance / worsening by their ‘fix’ so cell phone best for contact).

  ] Group of law professors' appeal comes after controversies involving travel and appearances at political events by several justices.

 

16 miles away, Saudi Arabia's watchful eye looms over Bahrain unrest (Washington Post) [ I’m sure they … with a microscope at that.  Saudis Worried Protests Will Hit Home  -  saudi arabia; talk about do nothing hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation; I suspect only when foreign corporations say so For the sake of the saudi Arabian people, more than just protests should come to fruition!  ] AFP | Saudi royal warns Arab world uprisings could cause harm unless they reform. Bahrain authorities launch surprise attack on protesters  [There’s the america and saudi Arabia effect; far less than democratic and far more deadly in the mideast among other places; talk about hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation as the saudis; time for the saudis to go the way of dictator Mubarak and take the war criminal americans with them.   ]  Los Angeles Times Tear gas canisters bombard sleeping protesters in Manama's Pearl Square. At least two men are reported killed   Video:  Bahrain protesters look to emulate Egypt revolt euronews    Riot Police Attack Bahrain Protesters Voice of America  ‘Saudi Arabia sending troops to Bahrain’  Saudi Arabia is sending troops to Bahrain in a move to crack down on pro-democracy protesters who took to the streets in the capital Manama, a political analyst says. [SAUDIS TOLD OBAMA 'NOT TO HUMILIATE MUBARAK' [ Sounds like they’re hearing footsteps…Previous: Egyptian capital teeters on anarchy  Mubarak asks cabinet to resign as anti-regime protests intensify  (Washington Post) [ Mubarak should have been looking in the mirror as he asked his cabinet to resign … 30 years is a long time, and coincidentally, time for him to go.   In Egypt: Access denied (Washington Post) [The day part of the Internet died: Egypt goes dark [I disagree! Part of the internet didn’t die, but rather the order to so darken the nation heralded the demise, at 30 years and counting, of the so-called leadership in the persona of Mubarak. Time for him to go! After all, he’s been in a position, with Egypt among the only Mideast nations to have signed a peace treaty with israel, to have stepped up with substantial credibility in taking a strong position against israeli transgressions, violations of international law / u.n. resolutions, war crimes, etc., which beyond soft-touch, he failed to do. And, of all places, he sends his family to Orwellian england; he still loves those colonial masters … how pathetic. I mean, 30 years … how free-flowing does anyone think the election process is at this point … and one could ask the same regarding the entrenched powers that be in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, to be fair. Then there’s saudi arabia; talk about do nothing hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation; I suspect only when foreign corporations say so. The only Mideast nations showing backbone are Turkey, Lebanon, and Syria, and, of course the perennially propaganda painted bad-boy Iran among possibly some of the smaller emirates, ie., Qatar, etc., (I lack sufficient information regarding these other nations).  ] (AP)         Internet cutoff fails to silence Egypt protests (AP) -  ]

]

 

A steep challenge for Arab world  (Washington Post) [ I’m sure the rest of the defacto bankrupt world would love to have the lagging problem of the Arab nations of rich real assets as opposed to the fake fraudulent worthless paper assets the so-called ‘rest of the world’ is ‘sporting’.   Economist: United States Worse Off than Greece Dr. Laurence Kotlikoff is an economics professor at Boston University. He says the Treasury and the government are fudging the national debt numbers. Kotlikoff says the United States is bankrupt and we don’t even know it.        Howard Davidowitz on the Economy: "Here Are the Numbers ... WE'RE BROKE!"   11-25-10  The U.S. economy "is a complete disaster," Howard Davidowitz declared here in July, the most recent in a string of dire predictions from Tech Ticker's most entertaining guest.On the eve of Thanksgiving, I asked Davidowitz if he had any regrets, or was ready to throw in the towel given recent signs of economic revival. Are you kidding me? "Here are the numbers...we're broke," Davidowitz declares, noting the U.S. government goes $5 billion deeper into debt every day and is facing $1 trillion-plus annual deficits for the next decade. "In other words, we're bankrupt."As with the economy, Davidowitz is unwaveringly consistent in his views on President Obama, calling him "deranged, dysfunctional and discredited."Results of the midterm election show "the people of this country think we are in a catastrophe," he says. "I'm with them."Check the accompanying video for more of Howard's unfettered opinions and stay tuned for additional clips from this interview. And...Happy Thanksgiving! Aaron Task is the host of Tech Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at [email protected]      Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘
   ]  Despite the rich resources in the region, Arab nations lag behind rest of world economically.

 

 

 

Economic forecast  (Washington Post) [  And you can take that to your local insolvent bank…or not even your local insolvent bank; but rather, your non-local insolvent bank that’s still carrying the toxic assets/paper/securities now marked to anything by way of FASB rule change, professional criminal courtesy via congress, as the the wall street frauds cash out for hard fiat currency. What do you expect them to say? This wasn’t even a recession to be, as per forecast. They haven’t the slightest clue what they’re doing other than the ‘narcotic effects’ of the non-stop printing press fiat currency ‘feels good’ and buys time, politically.  ]  White House policymaker predicts that the recovery should continue despite oil prices, European crisis.

 

 

Pressure mounts on Gaddafi (Washington Post) [ That he was always a caricature of sorts, there is no question. That he’s totally burned out, there’s also no doubt; though they might argue in his defense that so was dumbya bush … a point well taken … but look at the consequential pathetic state of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america … with the unlit torch passed to wobama the b (for b*** s***) who pretends, or maybe in his alternate and fake reality just believes it’s lit. That he’s done, also fait accomplis, after 41 years … who cares. That he’s insane … now that’s quite another thing with greater worldwide implications, so, daffy… gadaffy… duck!  Gaddafi vows to maintain hold on power    Libyan strongman says he'll fight 'until the last drop of my blood'   (Washington Post) [ His latter wish is the world’s command. ‘Something there is that doesn’t love a dictator, that wants them down’ … (Excuse me … I was thinking of walls and ‘Mending Wall’, Robert Frost). Libya Internet Shut Down Amid Protests, Per Multiple Reports  [ Once again, as in Egypt, this, the internet, inherently global in nature is the lynchpin, tampering with or stifling same marking the end of any regime. Let this be a warning; viz., you cannot put the genie back in the bottle! 41 years? Gadaffy duck should duck ‘cause he’s done. I mean, look at him, he’s the singular equivalent of the multiple bushes. He’s totally burnt out (as much or more so than dumbya bush or mubarack) and quite done! ] Reports have emerged late Friday that Libya appears to have shut down its Internet due to widespread protests, less than a month after Egypt did the same.  ] With rebels apparently controlling much of the eastern half of the country, the violence engulfing Libya is already the worst in more than a month of unrest that has toppled other regimes.   ]

 

 

 

 

 

Bad News - Bullish Wall of Worry or Sell Signal? , On February 23, 2011,  ‘When I published this article 10 days ago I received much criticism. After the biggest two-day sell off since August 2010, the commentary might be helpful in determining whether this is another flash in the pan mini correction or the onset of something more serious.If it's too obvious, it's obviously wrong. More often than not, this proverbial Wall Street adage has the last laugh. What's the prevailing consent on Wall Street? What's suspiciously obvious today?

- The Fed is here to help. As long as there's QE2 (or QE3, 4, etc,) prices will go up.

- January was positive. As January goes, so goes the year.

- This is the third year of the Presidential Election Year Cycle. There hasn't been a negative third year since 1939.

- There's no catalyst to send stocks higher.

While Wall Street analysts are trying to one up each other's positive forecasts, the Fear Index, VIX (NYSEArca: VXX - News) has fallen to a 3 year low. The last time the VIX was at a similar level was in April 2010, just before a literally fear-inspiring 17% correction and the May 'Flash Crash' (see chart below).The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter didn't subscribe to the prevailing optimism in April 2010 and warned that: 'The message conveyed by the composite bullishness is unmistakably bearish. The pieces are in place for a major decline.'Does that mean that the bottom will fall out again within a matter of days? Not necessarily, but now is certainly not the time to be married to your holdings. Tight sell stops are warranted because any minor correction could turn into a large one. Why?

New Bull Market, or Mother of all Bear Market Rallies?

The devil's in the long-term trend. If we are in a new bull market, any dip would present a buying opportunity. If we are in the mother of all bear market rallies, every rally is a trap and represents a selling opportunity.How can one determine whether we are in a new bull market, or a bear market rally?  [chart] It's said that bull markets climb a wall of worry. No doubt there was extreme pessimism surrounding the March 2009 lows. That's one of the reasons the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter sent out a strong buy signal on March 2, 2009.But pessimism at the bottom doesn't equal a wall of worry. In fact, following the initial bout of disbelief, investors embraced the rally rather quickly. In late 2009, sentiment readings became frothy, in January 2010 they rivaled 2007 extremes (stocks fell 9%), and in April 2010 they exceeded 2007 extremes (stocks fell 17%).About two thirds of the rally from the 2009 lows was accompanied by optimism. This is no wall of worry.

Glass Half Full Outlook

Think about it, even the truly big problems - unemployment and falling real estate (NYSEArca: IYR - News) prices - were sugar coated from the very beginning. The unemployment problem was charmingly called 'jobless recovery' and falling real estate prices were simply ignored.The Case-Shiller home price index is down four months in a row, but nobody is bothered. A few days ago, MarketWatch ran an article: '10 reasons to be bullish on housing.'Courtesy of the continuing real estate conundrum, the FDIC closed 157 banks in 2010, and 14 thus far in 2011. According to a Wall Street Journal article, the top 10 U.S. owned banks had $13.8 billion in unrealized losses.Those are not reflected in earnings numbers as long as financial institutions (NYSEArca: XLF - News) believe the investment will later rebound. Guess what? Banks are pretty darn sure prices will reclaim their 2006 all-time highs.In addition to the $13.8 billion in unrealized losses, the top 10 U.S. banks owned $360.7 billion in illiquid, hard to value assets (called level 3 assets). While paper earnings appear solid, it appears as if banks are hiding skeletons in their closets. But who cares, stocks (NYSEArca: VTI - News) are up.

Anomaly Explained

Ben Bernanke has openly admitted that asset inflation, or the wealth effect from rising stock prices, is the objective of QE2. Obviously, the money flow from the Federal Reserve over banks into the stock market has been the driving force behind this monster rally.Much of the Fed money has been funneled into commodities. Since QE2, net speculative positions in wheat and copper have doubled, oil soared 115%, soybeans 40% and corn 15%. Rising commodity prices are putting the squeeze on lower income Americans and will eventually lower profit margins for the materials sector.It's quite likely that this ripple effect will spill over into the retail (NYSEArca: XRT - News), technology (NYSEArca: XLK - News), and consumer discretionary sector. From there it's just a matter of time until it hits the broader Dow (DJI: ^DJI), S&P (SNP: ^GSPC) and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC).Contrary to its objective, QE2 has also sent interest rates soaring. Higher interest rates tend to encourage the money to flow from equities into bonds. Higher interest rates put pressure on bond and stock prices alike.

Early Detection

The trend is your friend, but the trend is a fair-weather friend and can turn at any given time. The trend doesn't announce its intention to change direction. It switches back and worth as it pleases without your permission.Courtesy of your friend the trend, everybody is a genius in a bull market ... and a nave misguided trend follower when prices drop without prior notice.There is no foolproof way to find out when the market is about to change directions. There are, however, ways to put the odds in your favor.Watching support levels has proven a very effective way. A few months ago 1,170 was a crucial support level highlighted by the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter. The S&P tested this level no less than five times, but never broker below it and rallied over 10% since.Just recently, 1,270 was such a support level. The S&P tested it twice before moving into the 1,320 range. The market is dynamic and can change swiftly; therefore, it's the market that dictates support levels, not us. We just identify and use them…’

 

 

 

 

 

How Confident Are Consumers in the Future of the Economy? Harding ‘This is the time of the month when the consumer surveys come out measuring confidence in the economy’s future. There are three large surveys: Conference Board, Gallup, and the University of Michigan. They all try to measure our belief with regards to the future, and specifically whether or not we feel like spending our money. Today Gallup and the Conference Board came out with mixed results. On Friday the University of Michigan/Reuters survey comes out. (It has been showing a rising trend for the last four months.)Gallup does their own survey of 3,434 respondents. The result was that consumer confidence hasn’t improved for a year:[chart]Asked whether the economy was getting better or if it was poor, respondents answers were unenthusiastic at best:[chart][chart]The Conference Board had a different take on the future:[chart]That sure looks good but, looking closely: Optimism is no better now than it was a year ago, also suggesting that little progress has been made economically over the past 12 months. Up to this point in 2011, there seems to have been a relatively great amount of optimism about the US economy going forward. Whether last week’s deterioration in consumer confidence is the beginning of a new trend or just a short-term aberration remains to be seen. Also, from the Conference Board’s press release: Those stating business conditions are “good” increased to 12.4 percent from 11.3 percent, while those claiming business conditions are “bad” was unchanged at 39.6 percent. Consumers’ assessment of the labor market was also more positive than in January. Those saying jobs are “plentiful” rose to 4.9 percent from 4.6 percent, while those stating jobs are “hard to get” decreased to 45.7 percent from 47.0 percent. Consumers’ short-term outlook was more optimistic than in January. Those expecting business conditions to improve over the next six months increased to 24.4 percent from 24.0 percent, while those anticipating business conditions will worsen declined to 10.4 percent from 12.2 percent. This is their best reading in three years.I don’t know if this makes a difference, but the Conference Board just fired its former pollster and hired Nielsen instead. They surveyed 3,000 respondents. Their survey is billed as a leading indicator.Who do you want to believe? With 43.6 million Americans, or 14.1% of the population on food stamps, relatively flat wage growth, and a dour unemployment picture, I don’t think that only 17.3% of Americans feeling better about their future income potential versus the prior reading of 15.3% really means that much. Ditto with the percentage of those seeing business conditions improving going from 11.3% to 12.4%. 39.6% of respondents said they are worse, and the rest, or 48% see no change or have no opinion. Another way of saying this is that 87.6% of the respondents didn’t have a positive view of business conditions.The Conference Board’s statement that “Consumers’ appraisal of present-day conditions improved moderately in February” is true but I would question its relevance. At such low levels of enthusiasm among its respondents, a point or two doesn’t mean much. If you step back and look at what these results reveal, it doesn’t look to me as if consumers are more optimistic about the future. To say otherwise is just spin. I think Gallup has the better view right now.’

 

 

 

Double Top in Cyclicals? Elfenbein ‘The stock market is getting knocked again today, but the pain isn’t evenly spread out. Who’s up for another look at the relative strength of cyclicals? Great, me too! As long-term readers know, one of my favorite metrics to follow is the Morgan Stanley Cylical Index (^CYC) divided by the S&P 500 (^SPX). This is far from a comprehensive analysis, but it is a quick-and-dirty look at the “mind of the market.”Since late August, the market’s rally has been disproportionally powered by cyclical stocks. In fact, the ratio of the CYC to the S&P 500 reached an all-time high on February 11 (my data goes back to 1978).The ratio hit a previous peak on January 10 and, soon after, cyclicals dropped off sharply. I quickly jumped on this and thought it was the end of the cycle. Wrong! The ratio soon rallied and peaked on February 11, just a hair above the level for January 10 (0.8442 to 0.8441).The CYC is down again today (although many energy names are up). If today’s numbers hold up, the ratio will close below the low made on January 21.The reason these cycles are so important is that once they get going, they often last for a few years. Put it this way, if the Dow had kept pace with the CYC since the low from two years ago, the Dow would be over 24,000 today.[Click to enlarge] [chart]

 

 

 

 

 

 

Will Oil Spike Renew Interest in Clean Energy Commodities?  Handwerger ‘Many of the great declines in the stock market over the past 30 years have been related to oil (United States Oil (USO)). This week we have seen the major indices plummet on geopolitical chaos throughout North Africa, especially the large oil-producing Libya, as investors returned to gold (SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)), silver (iShares Silver Trust (SLV)), and oil. As the market reached record overbought territory, any excuse could begin a significant pullback in equities (SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)).

Investors are monitoring key assets in Egypt (Market Vectors Egypt Index (EGPT)). If either the Suez Canal or Sumed Pipeline come under attack, then we will see a major oil spike, possibly worse than in the late 1970s. Already Iran has taken advantage of the chaos and passed into the Mediterranean, further escalating potential conflicts between Israel (iShares MSCI Israel Cap Invest Mkt Index (EIS)) and the Iranian Allies of Hezbollah and Syria who want to take back control of the Golan Heights. This Middle Eastern instability may have deeper consequences and I don’t believe it will end anytime soon. In fact, it may even eventually spread to Saudi Arabia where the royal family maintains weak control and extremists are gaining popularity. In late January in an article entitled, Will Gold, Oil Prices Soar on Revolts in Tunisia, Egypt? I wrote about the domino effect hypothesis, stating that chaos would not be contained in Tunisia and Egypt. This spread of chaos, causing volatile power vacuums, could have a significant impact on gold and oil, especially now that the domino hypothesis is being confirmed. [chart]

At the end of January investors returned to precious metals. Gold has been on sale every six months. A January phenomenon occurs when mutual funds and institutional investors reposition their holdings, sometimes allowing investors to buy a sector on sale. At the end of January, gold and silver found support as geopolitical conditions worsened. The recent Libyan crisis has caused oil to jump which in turn has caused a decline in equities.

As much as the financial crisis and record government spending has helped gold soar to record highs, terrorism and war have been major drivers of the price since September 11, 2001. The Middle East possesses approximately 65% of the world’s oil reserves, and Egypt in particular has two key assets which effect the global oil trade: the Suez Canal and the Sumed Pipeline. Many analysts did not expect Libya to fall into civil war. Reports are showing that oil exports are being curtailed, sending oil into new 52-week highs.

The “Sputnik” moment which President Obama spoke about in his State of the Union address may come faster than expected out of necessity. Washington is actively pursuing supply of North American heavy rare earth assets to fast-track into production as top-secret defense technologies depend on it. Sanctions on China from the WTO will not be enough to meet the growing demand. Even China, which produces over 97% of the rare earths, has expressed interest in heavy rare earth assets globally. Hyundai, the latest company on the electric-car scene, recently commented that it was pursuing a rare earth supply as well.

Economies are growing and demand has increased since the last major Iranian Revolution in 1979 when oil spiked higher. An oil spike now could be much more detrimental 32 years later. The world is more dependent on fossil fuels and many nations are struggling with slow growth and huge debt burdens. An oil spike could cause a major setback for the global economic recovery unless governments initiate major alternative energy and clean energy programs. I believe these current events will create a more significant push into clean energy, non carbon energy. A few commodity sectors may benefit including uranium (Global X Uranium ETF (URA)), lithium (Global X Lithium ETF (LIT)) and rare earths (Market Vectors Rare Earth/Str Metals ETF (REMX)).

President Obama has released this year’s budget and it was shocking. Many analysts were surprised by the huge amount of capital allocated to clean, alternative energy in order to spur innovation and job growth. In the recent budget, a $7500 tax credit will be given to car buyers who purchase an electric car. Obama has a goal of putting 1 million electric vehicles on the road by 2015. Many analysts are predicting about a 10% increase in cars sold due to this legislation. However, tensions are escalating as Iran sticks out its tongue at Israel by passing through the Suez Canal. Oil prices could spike as turmoil spreads through North Africa and the Middle East. Legislators are sending a message that they want to wean themselves off of Middle Eastern oil and look into clean and independent energy.

Investors should expose themselves to the potential supply-demand constraints and rise in oil prices by purchasing developers with major assets in these clean energy mineral sectors or by diversifying into these newly created ETFS, such as REMX or LIT, which track these sectors. As oil spikes, these clean energy commodities should receive a renewed interest by legislators and investors who believe in clean energy power generation.’

 

 

 

 

North African Turmoil Could Rocket Crude to $220 Fox Business | May cause crude to spike from about $97 a barrel today to $220 a barrel.

 

Oil touches $100 a barrel as Libya standoff worsens Reuters | Oil surged to a 28-month high of $100 a barrel on Wednesday.

 

Wall Street Shares Fall Sharply Amid Libyan Unrest New York Times | Political turmoil in the Middle East and North Africa continued to haunt financial markets

 

Korean Bank Run Spreading: Eighth Bank Closes Following “Massive Withdrawals” The quietest bank run that has so far completely evaded mainstream attention, that of Korea, is spreading, and an eighth bank has now shuttered after “Domin Bank, a savings bank with a capital adequacy ratio below 5 percent, voluntarily decided yesterday to suspend its operations temporarily because of massive withdrawals.”

 

Keiser Report: Fed’s Reign of Terror This time Max Keiser and co-host, Stacy Herbert, talk about the Fed’s reign of terror and an economist’s warning of revolution in America as Obama’s budget robs from the poor to give to the rich. In the second half of the show, Max talks to William D. Hartung, author of Prophets of War, about the cost of corporate welfare to the U.S. military industrial complex and the role of this welfare in the current Middle East unrest.

 

Highest Gas Prices in February Since 1990, Attributed to Libya Turmoil Weekly gas prices skyrocketed, according to the Department of Energy, driven by the popular revolts spreading across the Middle East.

 

 

ECONOMIC CRISIS ARCHIVE

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

Libya air raids death toll hits 1,000 Press TV | Hospitals have no electricity and no medicines.

 

 

WORLD AT WAR ARCHIVE

 

WORLD NEWS ARCHIVE

 

 

 

North African Turmoil Could Rocket Crude to $220 If the turmoil paralyzing parts of the Middle East and North Africa brings oil production in Libya and Algeria to a standstill, it could cause crude oil to explode to $220 a barrel, derailing the global economic recovery.

US & EU Prepare to Buy Off Post-Revolution Governments With Billions in “Aid” (Taxpayer Money) While the United States and Europe orders its own scum public to accept massive public spending cuts along with higher taxes on top of soaring inflation and food prices, it concurrently prepares to buy off post-”revolution” governments in the Middle East and North Africa with billions in “aid” (taxpayers’ money) in order to install fresh puppets who will graciously buy huge quantities of arms from the US-EU-Israeli military-industrial complex.

 

Leaked Memo: Government Considering Deploying Special Forces Troops On The Streets With Police The British government is considering plans to deploy crack trained SAS commandos onto the streets to work alongside police in “counter-terrorism surveillance teams”, according to a leaked memo unveiled by the Times Of London today.

 

We Called It: Forecast Of Huge Public Worker Protests, Age Of Rage, Oil Price Surge Unfolds Having often been accused of exaggerating, engaging in alarmism or outright fabrication by the establishment media, our regular readers will indulge us for tooting our own horn on the fact that we predicted the public worker demonstrations now happening in Wisconsin, along with the rage spreading across the Middle East, as well as soaring oil prices in June last year, and indeed as far back as February 2008.

 

 

US & EU to Buy Off Revolution Governments with Taxpayer Money Paul Joseph Watson | Public told to accept massive public spending cuts, higher taxes and soaring food costs while money is sent to purchase new dictators.

 

Oil Prices Skyrocket After Williams’ Latest Revelations Kurt Nimmo | The corporate media is getting Americans accustomed to the prospect of gas at $5 or more a gallon.

 

Seattle Business Refuses To Serve TSA Agents Paul Joseph Watson | Nationwide revolt against naked body scanners and invasive groping carried out by predatory thugs goes viral.

 

Defiant Libya Tony Cartalucci | The globalists want Qaddafi out and his defiance has conjured an almost tangible.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Milbank: Rush Limbaugh's unfair food fight  (Washington Post) [ I’m no fan of limbaugh’s which can easily be discerned from my web site and posts thereon. But, truth be told, I’ve become even less a fan of the wobamas who have revealed themselves as so typically jive-talking b*** s*** that to most rational, civilized people, they’d be embarrassed. But not the wobamas the b (for b*** s***, their middle name). As I’ve said before, like water off a duck’s back is the effect of  deserved criticism on wobamas and their ilk. They have become part of the problem, not the solution. Almost any criticism, by almost anybody is criticism deserved and welcomed (I previously excepted the BP scenario which was in my view undeserved criticism of wobama. But that’s it! I’m with Limbaugh on most any criticism of the wobamas.  Drudgereport:     Michelle Obama, Daughters Hit the Slopes on Ski Vacation ...
Vail...
Bidens vacation on Fla Keys...
FLASHBACK: Obama on tough economy: 'You might put off a vacation'...
'Everyone must sacrifice'...
RASMUSSEN: OBAMA APPROVAL SLIPS BACK TO 44%...
Gov't shutdown threat looms over budget fight...      
DEBT NOW EQUALS ENTIRE ECONOMY
OBAMA AGENDA IS OVER    Obama refers to himself as 'The Gipper'… [ Riiiight! …anything you say wobmama the b for b*** s***… or maybe the bipper, the chipper, or the yankee clipper (the new joltin’ joe) …sounds like he’s losing it! ] ...   ]

 

Deaths of four Americans reflect increasing violence of Somali piracy (Washington Post) [ Drudgereport: U.S. Warship Tracking Yacht Hijacked by Somali Pirates... [ I realize there are ‘laws of the sea’ / codified bodies of law within that broad yet very specific category called ‘maritime law’, none of which I know nor care to know (I’ll content myself to knowing and seeing to the enforcement of american law as pertains to me; viz., RICO  http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm     .   I do know that these somali pirates need killin’ and I further believe that open season on them including using their boats in the water for target practice makes sense and certainly is morally justified. I’m tired of hearing about those little weasels … you know, ‘the skinnies’. ]

 

On Obama's jobs tour, unemployed have little voice (Washington Post) [ This of course is so true. That wobama’s done there’s no question. Indeed, despite the rhetoric, separate terms, hasn’t he proven to be, and isn’t wobama just a continuation of the NWO / NAFTAite regimes that landed the nation here in this foul, pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt position. How different are america’s entrenched corrupt bureaucracies / ‘leaders’ from the dictators and their corrupt bureaucracies being deposed today. If only wobama wasn’t the typical, jive-talikin’ wobama the b (for b*** s***) he is and did what he ran and was elected on, the outcome for fallen america would have been substantially better, though still dire, than that which lies ahead.

Obama’s 2012 Budget: Tool Of Class War Paul Craig Roberts | Continues Wall Street’s war against poor & middle classes.  ]  White House officials were unable to give a single example of him interacting, even in private, with a person who had recently lost a job.

 

 

State budget woes draw more protests  (Washington Post) [   Obama joins Wisconsin budget battle   Democratic lawmakers flee state in attempt to block anti-union bill  (Washington Post) [ Looks like capital hill can pick up a few pointers from ‘dem dems … fleeing the state, that is … except in their case it’ll be fleeing the nation-state, or what’s left of same.   Drudgereport:     Michelle Obama, Daughters Hit the Slopes on Ski Vacation ...
Vail...
Bidens vacation on Fla Keys...
FLASHBACK: Obama on tough economy: 'You might put off a vacation'...
'Everyone must sacrifice'...
RASMUSSEN: OBAMA APPROVAL SLIPS BACK TO 44%...
Gov't shutdown threat looms over budget fight...      
DEBT NOW EQUALS ENTIRE ECONOMY
OBAMA AGENDA IS OVER    Obama refers to himself as 'The Gipper'… [ Riiiight! …anything you say wobmama the b for b*** s***… or maybe the bipper, the chipper, or the yankee clipper (the new joltin’ joe) …sounds like he’s losing it! ] ...Debunking the 'Debunking Myths of U.S. Collapse' Post  Ridder [ Stated another way, the collapse of the (dis)united states is at hand. Now, let me state, that doesn’t mean america will disappear from the face of the earth, but the reality truly is ‘death from a thousand cuts’. It’s not just China’s rise, but america’s decline and fall with the concomitant relative rise of other nations, regions. Quite simply, and historically factual reality has proven, nation-states cannot and have not survived the multitude of negative, destructive, and self-destructive things america has done and prosper as a leading nation. From perpetual war, to pervasive corruption, fraud, criminality across all stratum including institutions, government of american society, to what I believe as well to be an evolved genetic bias of inherent criminality/mental illness which is ill-adapted to the strictures of a more enlightened 21st Century by way of near instantaneously available information, with truth and factual reality being america’s greatest enemy. In support of the foregoing I will reiterate reasons, infra.]       Debt relief for states proposed (Washington Post) [  I’ve heard of the ‘blind leading the blind’, but the ‘bankrupt borrowing from the bankrupt’ seems to be a nouveau american phenomenon destined for ‘clichedom’.   Previous: Governors plan painful cuts amid budget crises  (Washington Post) [ This truly is a disaster in the making, with consequences even more dire than the grim outlook set forth by Meridith Whitney, if that could even be fathomed. It’s really going to be all that bad…see infra, The Economic Collapse, ‘#10 The municipal bond crisis could go “supernova” at any time.  Already, investors are bailing out of bonds at a frightening pace.  State and local government debt is now sitting at an all-time high of 22 percent of U.S. GDP.  According to Meredith Whitney, the municipal bond crisis that we are facing is a gigantic threat to our financial system….“It has tentacles as wide as anything I’ve seen. I think next to housing this is the single most important issue in the United States and certainly the largest threat to the U.S. economy.”       Economist: United States Worse Off than Greece Dr. Laurence Kotlikoff is an economics professor at Boston University. He says the Treasury and the government are fudging the national debt numbers. Kotlikoff says the United States is bankrupt and we don’t even know it.

 

 

Obama: US needs better math, science education (AP) [Well, one thing we absolutely know as true is that there’s at least one person in america in need of better math skills and his name is’ wobama the b’ (for b*** s*** - despite campaign promises to the contrary he actually ramped up war spending also despite defacto bankruptcy of the nation – bush, if only it was just his math skills, ramped of war spending while cutting taxes … to his base, a wobama’s on the same page – how totally pathetic both of them are / were) … but let’s not kid ourselves, from capital hill to wall street, etc., math skills are indeed lacking. ]

 

 

 

Alan Greenspan Takes Credit For The Financial Crisis   Levin “The morning after we learned of the news,” Greenspan said of the Dow Jones plunging 6.98 percent that day in September 2008, “I was able to look myself in the mirror and say, ‘Hey, not bad.’” Sure, if he’d tried just a little harder he could’ve done better– 10 percent would’ve been a dream– but really, all things considering, not bad! Solid B+ work. [NYU via BI]

 

 

 

Internet tool shows French web surfers 'Jewish-curious' (AFP) - AFP - An Internet tool that flags up popular search words has spontaneously revealed a deeper trend: French web surfers' exceeding curiosity about whether their politicians are Jewish. [ To their credit, at least in France it might matter … to america’s discredit and self-destruction, it doesn’t even matter … as Buchanan aptly put it ‘capital hill is occupied israeli territory and just proved it again with the foolhardy  veto of the un resolution condemning illegal israeli settlements. ]

 ]  The standoff in Wisconsin over budget cuts spread to other states on Tuesday as union leaders began to organize protests in other capitols and Democrats in a second state, Indiana, effectively staged a walkout.

 

 

Gaddafi vows to maintain hold on power    Libyan strongman says he'll fight 'until the last drop of my blood'   (Washington Post) [ His latter wish is the world’s command. ‘Something there is that doesn’t love a dictator, that wants them down’ … (Excuse me … I was thinking of walls and ‘Mending Wall’, Robert Frost). Libya Internet Shut Down Amid Protests, Per Multiple Reports  [ Once again, as in Egypt, this, the internet, inherently global in nature is the lynchpin, tampering with or stifling same marking the end of any regime. Let this be a warning; viz., you cannot put the genie back in the bottle! 41 years? Gadaffy duck should duck ‘cause he’s done. I mean, look at him, he’s the singular equivalent of the multiple bushes. He’s totally burnt out (as much or more so than dumbya bush or mubarack) and quite done! ] Reports have emerged late Friday that Libya appears to have shut down its Internet due to widespread protests, less than a month after Egypt did the same.  ] With rebels apparently controlling much of the eastern half of the country, the violence engulfing Libya is already the worst in more than a month of unrest that has toppled other regimes.

 

 

 

 

 

I knew there was something especially (but typically) not right in Friday’s (and Thursday’s) trade; and, sure enough, it was a full moon Friday as per lunar calendar (a must in today’s markets owing to the prevalence of lunatics / criminally insane on wall street).

 

 

 

Have Stocks Really Moved Sideways Since 2000?  McCurdy ‘Last week, we reviewed the inverse secular relationship between stocks and the price of gold. Stocks have been in a secular downtrend since the bull market from the 1980s terminated early last decade, while gold has been in a secular uptrend. Many analysts do not like to label the current secular environment in stocks as a bear, instead referring to it as a "sideways" market. Indeed, a quick review of the S&P 500 index monthly chart shows that it has essentially bounced sideways for the past 11 years.

[Click all to enlarge]

[chart}
Since the secular peak in 2000, the S&P 500 has produced a compound annual return of 0.6%, so any long-term investors who bought at the top would appear to have broken even. Have they really? It is important to note that we are talking about nominal values and returns. When you compare stock market performance to hard assets like commodities and gold, you see a very different picture.

[chart]

[chart]

Since 2000, the S&P 500 index has experienced a persistent decline in terms of the Continuous Commodity Index (CCI) and the price of gold. The CCI ratio chart has decreased by 72% and the gold ratio chart has decreased by 82%. Suddenly that "sideways" market doesn't look so sideways. If you extend both charts back to the beginning of the previous secular bull market in equities, you see what you would expect: A persistent rise in stock market valuations until the secular peak early last decade (note that we have replaced the CCI with the CRB index in the following chart for display purposes, since the available CCI data do not cover the entire secular bull).

[chart]

[chart]
Both ratio chart downtrends are currently healthy, with the CCI ratio recently experiencing another long-term breakdown and the gold ratio forming a consolidation pattern since early 2009. Until these secular declines form confirmed bottoms, the secular bear market in stocks will remain in control.

[chart]

[chart]
Despite mainstream assertions to the contrary, the issues that led to the market crash in 2008 have not been materially addressed. Our historically excessive public and private debt remains, festering beneath the surface of this "strong" economic recovery. As usual, we have chosen the quick fix route and kicked the proverbial debt can down the road, hoping that the underlying problems will somehow cure themselves without requiring us to make the hard choices that have always been required in the past. The continuing strength in the gold market indicates that no such magic resolution process is currently underway.

[chart]

When was the last time a strong, healthy secular uptrend in gold provided an all-clear signal for the economy and suggested that the structural problems that have been plaguing it during recent years have been resolved? The answer to that question is never. Perhaps this time is different. We will see.’

 

 

 

Weighing the Week Ahead: The Beat Goes On  Miller ‘…The explanation is much simpler. The Beat Goes On.

The grocery store's the supermart, uh huh.
Little girls still break their hearts, uh huh.
And men still keep on marching off to war
Electrically they keep a baseball score
{Refrain}
Grandmas sit in chairs and reminisce
Boys keep chasing girls to get a kiss
The cars keep going faster all the time
Bums still cry, "Hey buddy, have you got a dime"

Sonny & Cher may not have been market gurus, but the song captures the current market action. The "drums keep beating."

  The Bad There was some important bad news for the economy. The story is rarely one-sided. There is a continuing problem on several fronts, a widely known "wall of worry" that is already reflected in current market prices.

  • HOUSING SALES OVERSTATED. The most important bad news of the week came from the CoreLogic Year-end Summary of Trends. I read their reports, and so should you. Calculated Risk has a nice summary, showing that the existing home sales from the National Association of Realtors may be overstated by 15%. Consistent and aggressive critic (another of our featured sources) Barry Ritholtz has this take.
  • RETAIL SALES. This was a big disappointment.
  • INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS. The highly volatile series moved higher, but the trend continues lower. It is not good enough to improve the employment picture…’

 

 

 

 

Correlating U.S. Demographics, Trade Deficits and Employment  Lounsbury’ Recent analysis found that the U.S. trade balance deficit for manufactured goods was the equivalent of almost 29 million jobs over the past 19 years. The analysis referred to these as exported jobs.

What if some of the manufacturing jobs had been retained? How would U.S. employment have been affected? Would we have anything like the high unemployment rates experienced over the past two years?

The following analysis shows that the U.S. simply didn't have the population needed to produce what we have been consuming. The trade deficit is actually a demographic problem as well as a global competition problem for the U.S.

Labor Participation Rate

First let’s look at the labor participation rate over the past 60 years.

click to enlarge images

[chart]

Over the last 25-30 years the institution of two wage-earner households became entrenched and the labor participation rate rose above 65% as of 1985. In 2010 the participation rate fell back below 65% as a result of severe employment dislocations produced by The Great Recession.

The following graph focuses on the years starting with 1992. Two arbitrary areas are identified by the author, a “peak” participation rate and a “healthy” rate. These arbitrary definitions may be subject to debate.

[chart]

These two definitions are used to examine counterfactual participation rates in the following discussion.

Manufacturing Jobs Have a High Multiplier

In the previous article a graph was presented which showed the number of manufacturing jobs “exported” each year starting with 1992. What was not discussed in the previous article is that jobs have multiplier factors. If one person receives a wage much of that money is spent and that creates additional jobs. For each person working in a particular job, other people are employed in support industries. The total of all these additional jobs is what comprises the jobs multiplier. The mathematics can be reviewed here.

The multiplier varies for different types of jobs and is determined by collecting experimental data in the actual economy. Manufacturing jobs have high jobs multipliers. A table of jobs multipliers is shown in the following table:

[chart]

A number of data sources have been reviewed for the value of the manufacturing job multiplier in the U.S. These are shown in the following table.

[chart]

Active links from the table:

Connecticut.gov

Economic Policy Institute

Content First

Washington State.gov

California.gov

A jobs multiplier of 3.0 means that each job represents a total of three jobs: the original job plus two others that exist only because that original job is there. One estimate for all employment is an average multiplier of 1.9. For manufacturing the multiplier is close to 3. For every manufacturing job gained or lost directly, two other jobs, on average, are gained or lost.

For the rest of this article we will use the multiplier of 2.9. Using that value, the number of jobs lost each year since 1992 because of the trade deficit for manufactured goods has been calculated and is shown in the following graph. The lowest line represents the number of direct manufacturing jobs exported. The second line is the number of dependent jobs lost and the top line is the total number of jobs, direct and indirect, that were exported.

[chart]

What If All “Jobs Exported” Had Been Retained?

If all the direct and indirect jobs that have been ‘exported” had been retained, what would the unemployment picture have been forth past 18 years? This is displayed in the following graph.

[chart]

There are two shaded areas in the graph. The blue area encompasses all the commonly accepted values for NAIRU. The salmon area defines where labor shortages would occur, the lower the percentage the greater the shortage.

The red line shows the counterfactual case calculated for the “exported jobs” being retained and the labor participation rate staying at the peak (67%). The green line shows the counterfactual unemployment rate provided the participation rate actually experienced is used.

A reasonable conclusion from this graph is that, to retain the number of jobs estimated, labor would have to be imported or the labor participation rate would have to rise above the all-time peak. Without some combination of those two factors there would have been labor shortages 14 of the last 16 years (1994-2007)

Note: NAIRU refers to a Milton Freeman defined term: Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment

What If “Jobs Exported” Had Been Reduced by Half?

The next counterfactual situation examined is the case where half of the “exported jobs” were retained each year. The following graph shows the official unemployment rate average each year (blue), with two counterfactual unemployment rates.

[chart]The red line shows the counterfactual case calculated for ˝ of the “exported jobs” being retained and the labor participation rate staying at the peak (67%). The green line shows the counterfactual unemployment rate provided the participation rate actually experienced is used.

What If 25% of “Jobs Exported” Had Been Retained?

The following graph shows official and counterfactual unemployment rates if 25% of the “exported jobs” had been retained.

[chart]

Even if 75% of the “exported jobs” had occurred, the U.S. would still have had labor shortages almost in seven of the past 19 years. The unemployment rate would have been below 4% for1997-2000 and 2005-2007. If the labor particpation rate had remained at peak (67%) throughout this time period, there would have been labor shortages only in the last four years of the 2oth century.

Caveats

There are many assumptions to be questioned in this analysis. A few are listed here:

  • Would our trade surplus in services have been less (thereby reducing service employment) if there had been no deficit for goods?
  • Would FDI (foreign direct investment) in the U.S. have been less? See Elliott Morss. FDI in the U.S. creates jobs.
  • Would the FDI by the U.S. have been reduced to offset any loss of FDI in the U.S.?
  • Is the multiplier for manufacturing jobs accurate for the type of manufacturing that was "exported"?
  • Are the assumptions about peak and healthy participation ratios really appropriate?

I expect there are many more open issues here and I expect that readers will eagerly point them out to me.

Conclusion

The U.S. has been on a consumption binge. The examination discussed here indicates that the country has been living beyond its means to produce what it consumes. That doesn't even consider that we have to import more than half of the energy used. If the production of even part of the production of goods that have been imported over the lat 14 years had been retained domestically, there would not have been enough labor available to fill the jobs that would have been required.

So the U.S. has been living beyond its means in three ways:

  1. Beyond its means to provide energy used;
  2. Beyond its means to pay; and
  3. Beyond its means to produce what it consumes.

Further work is in progress to examine:

  • How much more labor force participation would have been needed to prevent labor shortages from occuring; or
  • How much labor would have had to have been imported; or
  • What combinations of the two would have done the trick.

There is one additional area being studied: How does the undocumented worker influx that has occurred over the past two decades interact with these labor requirement scenarios.

More articles on this topic will be forthcoming in the next few weeks…’

 

 

Buy the Dips or Sell the Rally - The One Indicator that Knows , February 22, 2011, 5:51 pm  Low-Risk. The term 'low-risk' has the same appeal in the investment world as the enticing little word 'free' in the advertising world.Some advertising executives claim that 'free' is the most powerful word in the ad world. 'Low-risk' might be the most powerful concept in the investing universe.If you read the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter you are very familiar with the term low-risk entry. If you don't, here's a quick summary and crash course of an indicator that's been 100% accurate over the past 6 months.Low risk entries for various indexes are identified or triggered by a relative strength indicator called percentR. PercentR is expressed on a scale from 1 - 100. Readings above 80 are considered overbought, readings below 20 oversold.If you read the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter you are very familiar with the term low-risk entry. If you don't, here's a quick summary and crash course of an indicator that's been 100% accurate over the past 6 months.Low risk entries for various indexes are identified or triggered by a relative strength indicator called percentR. PercentR is expressed on a scale from 1 - 100. Readings above 80 are considered overbought, readings below 20 oversold.

Uncannily Accurate

A picture says more than a thousand words and the chart sheds more light on the value of percentR. As you can tell by the red line, following the W bottom in November (not shown in the chart), percentR spiked above 80 (first yellow circle) around S&P 1,210. This was the initial buy signal. [chart]With two exceptions, percentR remained above 80 ever since. The two dips below 80 (yellow circles) on January 19 and 28 triggered a low-risk entry. Even though investors were worried about riots in Egypt, according to percentR it was time to buy.This bullish low-risk entry is valid as long as the underlying index (in this case the S&P 500) does not close below that day's low (white line).  In both instances, the S&P (SNP: ^GSPC) stayed above that low and went on to rally over 5%.

Other Low-Risk Entries

PercentR works with stocks and indexes alike. Similar low-risk entries were identified by the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter for the Dow Jones (DJI: ^DJI), Nasdaq-100 (Nasdaq: QQQQ - News), Nasdaq Composite (Nasdaq: ^IXIC), and the Financial Select Sector SPDR (NYSEArca: XLF - News) on January 28. The Russell 2000 (Chicago Options: ^RUT) was the weakest index and registered its low-risk entry sooner.

Corrections are Healthy, if ...

'Corrections are healthy' is one of many ambiguous Wall Street sayings. If you judge the current 'bull market' purely on this statement, this market is one sick puppy - there hasn't been more than a 2.5% correction in nearly a quarter - and needs a serious correction to be jolted back into healthy territory.Put yourself in a time capsule and zoom back to April 2010 when the major U.S. indexes declined nearly 20% before the promise of QE2 resurrected stocks. There was little conviction then that corrections are healthy. The correction had rattled the investing masses and shaken out many stockholders before the market went on to rally again.PercentR is the canary in the coalmine that identifies a deeper correction. No significant sell off happens without a failed low-risk entry.A failed low-risk entry occurs when the indexes close below the low of the day that triggers the low-risk entry (white lines on the chart). The last failed low-risk entry happened in November 2010 when stocks chopped around for a few weeks and ultimately lost about 5%. Another failed low-risk entry flashed a sell signal on August 11 and ushered in a 21 day, 8% sell off.

The Right Tool for the Job

Any craftsman will tell you that there are limitations to any tool, but there's a tool for each job. percentR is the right tool for the current job.After a parabolic rally, the job at hand is to distinguish whether pull backs are a buying opportunity or a warning signal. Should you buy the dips or step on the sidelines (or even short the market)?The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter consistently monitors percentR as part of measuring the health of the market and sends out special alerts when a low-risk entry (or failed low-risk entry) has been triggered. Considering today's sell off, it sure will be valuable to see what percentR has to say. Buying opportunity or time to sell?’

 

 

"Are Your truly dead?" The IMF, Watson and Schrodinger's Cat. [ On forbes, of new york / new jersey the hotbed of mob / wall street fraud and corruption and leading sinkhole of the nation, and of failed capitalist tool fame, do they waste an article and time on fraud / spam as a matter of course. I get a few or more of these routed to my spam box each day. Moreover, invariably upon visiting the forbes site / article my anti-virus picks up and blocks numerous malicious adware, url, etc., queries (it’s become pathetic the number and amount of s**t, ads, scripts that are crammed into some web pages these days); and, almost invariably, coming from the forbes ny / nj faux capitalist tool sight, all for nought! What a waste of time forbes et als are! ]

 

 

Obama: US needs better math, science education (AP) [Well, one thing we absolutely know as true is that there’s at least one person in america in need of better math skills and his name is’ wobama the b’ (for b*** s*** - despite campaign promises to the contrary he actually ramped up war spending also despite defacto bankruptcy of the nation – bush, if only it was just his math skills, ramped of war spending while cutting taxes … to his base, a wobama’s pn the same page – how totally pathetic both of them are / were) … but let’s not kid ourselves, from capital hill to wall street, etc., math skills are indeed lacking. ]

 

 

 

Alan Greenspan Takes Credit For The Financial Crisis   Levin “The morning after we learned of the news,” Greenspan said of the Dow Jones plunging 6.98 percent that day in September 2008, “I was able to look myself in the mirror and say, ‘Hey, not bad.’” Sure, if he’d tried just a little harder he could’ve done better– 10 percent would’ve been a dream– but really, all things considering, not bad! Solid B+ work. [NYU via BI]

 

 

 

Internet tool shows French web surfers 'Jewish-curious' (AFP) - AFP - An Internet tool that flags up popular search words has spontaneously revealed a deeper trend: French web surfers' exceeding curiosity about whether their politicians are Jewish. [ To their credit, at least in France it might matter … to america’s discredit and self-destruction, it doesn’t even matter … as Buchanan aptly put it ‘capital hill is occupied israeli territory and just proved it again with the foolhardy  veto of the un resolution condemning illegal israeli settlements. ]

 

 

 

US Taxpayers Give $150 Million to Post-Revolutionary Egypt Zero Hedge | Taxpayer funds go to buy the love and admiration of a society in transition.


 

Obama’s 2012 Budget: Tool Of Class War Paul Craig Roberts | Continues Wall Street’s war against poor & middle classes.

 

 

Geithner Helping the Chinese? Reuters | Diplomatic cables lay bare China’s growing influence as largest U.S. creditor.

 

 

 

Insider Report: US Government Will Confiscate Gold When It Touches $2000 It’s no secret that the US government is broke, the US dollar is crashing and losing credibility globally, and the IMF, China, France and others have publicly stated their desire to eliminate the dollar as the world’s primary reserve currency.

 

Barclays bank forced to admit it paid just 1% in corporation tax in 2009 Barclays Bank has been forced to admit it paid just Ł113m in UK corporation tax in 2009 – a year when it rang up a record Ł11.6bn of profits.

 

Obama’s FY 2012 Budget Is A Tool Of Class War Obama’s new budget is a continuation of Wall Street’s class war against the poor and middle class. The effect of the Federal Reserve’s “quantitative easing” on inflation, interest rates, and the dollar’s foreign exchange value are yet to hit. When they do, Americans will get a lesson in poverty.

 

Is China Hoarding Gold In Anticipation Of A Global Financial Implosion? 10 Facts About Gold Fever In China That May Surprise You China officially has gold fever. Chinese demand for gold in 2011 is being called “explosive” and “voracious”. China imported five times as much gold in 2010 as it did in 2009, and this year gold sales in China are projected to easily set another new all-time record.

 

Valuations for Five Major Banks with Bearish Warnings Bauer ‘…The general market is currently over-valued, over-bought and is showing signs of deterioration, especially in the area of breadth. Interest rates are on the rise and inflation is already a serious problem. This means that you must consider holding cash or perhaps taking bearish positions…’

 

 

 

World Oil Prices Soar After Libyan Unrest

VOA News | World oil prices rose sharply on Monday as violence in Libya sparked worries that energy supplies could be disrupted.

 

Max Keiser on Revolts: Americans Joining Middle East Uprising Trend

Dozens of people have been reported killed in the Libyan capital Tripoli overnight as violence continues to spread across the country. Key administrative buildings have been set on fire, with thousands of anti-government activists still on the streets calling for an end to the 41-year rule of Colonel Gaddafi. To find out more about how the Middle East upheaval is impacting global economic patterns, we’re joined live now by RT’s financial guru Max Keiser…

 

 

Oil Jumps to Two-Year High, Gold Reaches $1,400 on Mideast; Stocks Decline

Oil rose to a two-year high and gold rallied for a sixth day surpassing $1,400 an ounce, as tension in the Middle East escalated. Stocks fell for the most in a month as Eni SpA led companies with operations in Libya lower.

 

 

The Simple Reason A Bahraini Revolution Could Trigger A Brand New Financial Crisis

As if geopolitical instability in the Mideast weren’t inherently reason enough for investors to worry, here’s another angle to consider.

 

Ongoing Overnight Short Squeeze Takes Silver To Fresh 31 Year High

Silver takes out $33.10, hitting a fresh 31 year high, as the relentless short squeeze leads to more body bags, and the only flight to safety currency is now the non-dilutable one (with gold on the verge of $1,400).

Wall Street Shares Fall Sharply Amid Libyan Unrest New York Times | Political turmoil in the Middle East and North Africa continued to haunt financial markets

 

 

Europe Stocks End Lower As Libya Worries Escalate Dow Jones | The Stoxx Europe 600 index shed 0.6% to close at 285.38.

 

 

Gold, Silver, Crude Oil Sharply Higher As Violence in Libya Climbs Forbes | Stand-off in Libya has triggered renewed speculation in precious metals and crude oil prices.

 

Cables show China used debt holdings to press US Leaked diplomatic cables vividly show China’s willingness to translate its massive holdings of US debt into political influence on issues ranging from Taiwan’s sovereignty to Washington’s financial policy.

 

Oil Goes Berserk In Electronic Trading As WTI Passes $98 As Zero Hedge advised in early January when the severity of the Maghreb revolution was made all too clear to anyone not willing to stick their head in the CNBC sand, oil could well be the buy of a lifetime ahead of a downward spiral of unprecedented geopolitical proportions.

 

Parabolic Flight To Silver, As April Crude Touches $98.48, Irrelevant Dollar Unch There was a time, long ago, when the dollar was a flight to safety instrument. Those days are gone. DXY barely budging as the overnight session begins, while silver has already put $34 in the dust. Last: $34.26 and parabolic.

 

Central Economic Planning at its Worst Last week, the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (FCIC) presented its results to the Financial Services Committee. As with most other politically-appointed commissions, the results of the FCIC’s investigation were easy to predict.

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

Libya Internet Shut Down Amid Protests, Per Multiple Reports  [ Once again, as in Egypt, this, the internet, inherently global in nature is the lynchpin, tampering with or stifling same marking the end of any regime. Let this be a warning; viz., you cannot put the genie back in the bottle! 41 years? Gadhafi duck should duck ‘cause he’s done. I mean, look at him, he’s the singlular equivalent of the multiple bushes. He’s totally burnt out (as much or more so than dumbya bush or mubarack) and quite done! ] Reports have emerged late Friday that Libya appears to have shut down its Internet due to widespread protests, less than a month after Egypt did the same.

 

Gaddafi Defies Revolt With Tanks, Planes Libya’s Muammar Gaddafi used tanks, helicopters and warplanes to fight a growing revolt, witnesses said on Tuesday, as the veteran leader scoffed at reports he was fleeing after four decades in power.

 

Libyans say Gaddafi “butcher”, flick V-for-victory The Libyan side of the Egyptian border was controlled on Tuesday by anti-Gaddafi rebels armed with clubs and Kalashnikov rifles who welcomed visitors from Egypt, a Reuters correspondent who crossed into Libya reported.

 

 

 

Middle East Uprisings: Order Out of Chaos Kurt Nimmo | An Islamic consolidation of power will feed the paranoia of the West and initiate the plan for a new war.

 

Globalists Seek To Hijack Middle East Revolution To Topple Iran Paul Joseph Watson | US military-industrial complex looks to exploit demonstrations to weaken Ahmadinejad’s regime.

 

Wisconsin’s economic protests will spread as health care costs bankrupt states Mike Adams | Today’s pharma-centric medical system would rather kill the patient than lose its monopoly.

 

Commodities Explode as BP Prepares to Evacuate Staff From a Burning Libya Zero Hedge | Is this one of those “who could have possibly seen it coming” moments?

 

Libya Conquered in the Dark Tony Cartalucci | The Egyptian and Tunisian protests are entirely the result of Western meddling.

 

 

 

Libya air force bombs protesters heading for army base Haaretz | Libyan military aircraft fired live ammunition at crowds of anti-government protesters in Tripoli.

 

Gaddafi flees Tripoli as protesters set the Libyan parliament building alight Mail Online | Anti-government demonstrators breached the state television building and set government property alight.

 

Gaddafi’s Israel Threat Linked To Libya Riots? Is it merely a coincidence that less than a week after Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi threatened Israel by calling on Palestinians to capitalize on the wave of popular uprisings in the Middle East by massing peacefully on the borders of the Zionist state, his own regime is teetering on the brink of extinction following massive anti-government riots in Benghazi and Tripoli?

 

Reports Suggest Libyan Airforce Is Using Fighter Jets To Fire At Protesters Reports have begun circulating that suggest the Libyan airforce is attacking protesters with live ammunition from jets. Are these the desperate last throws of tyrants or propaganda from the elite overlords hanging them out to dry?

 

‘Bilderberg Hand’: Deadly chaos in Libya, Bahrain as Wave of Rage spreads Regional expert Adrian Salbuchi says that global dominance groups are behind the wave of revolts.

 

In Libya Revolution, nearly 400 killed The International Federation for Human Rights says as many as 400 pro-democracy protesters have been killed so far in the popular Libyan Revolution.

 

Globalists Seek To Hijack Middle East Revolution To Topple Iran While the current global revolt sweeping across the Middle East and North Africa is born out of a universal human cry for freedom, food security and a decent standard of living, it is important to understand that the global elite are waiting in the wings to exploit the chaos as an opportunity to re-order the geopolitical landscape in their image, particularly by exploiting the demonstrations as a vehicle through which to weaken and topple the Iranian government.

 

The Popular Uprising in Egypt. The Military Machine Remains Intact. The Political Status Quo Prevails The same group of Egyptian generals running Cairo presently formed the backbone of the Mubarak regime. There has been no real change in government. The military junta represents a continuation of the Mubarak regime. The previous so-called civilian administration and the Egyptian High Council of the Armed Forces are virtually the same body.

 

 

Protests spread to Libyan capital, troops defect ABC News | Demonstrations have begun in Tripoli and witnesses say security forces are using live ammunition and tear gas on protesters.

 

 

 

 

Mubarak and Ben Ali comas: What would Tacitus say? The Times | Will desposed dictator syndrome become contagious?

 

Egyptians Return to Street to Push Army on Reforms WSJ | Hundreds of thousands of Egyptians rallied Friday to celebrate former President Hosni Mubarak’s ouster.

 

The Middle East and Then the World Activist Post | The globalist fueled color revolutions are attempting to profoundly transform entire regions of the planet in one sweeping move.

 

Bahrain uses UK-supplied weapons in protest crackdown Guardian | The British government has launched a review of arms exports to Bahrain.

 

Alex Jones: NWO orchestrated protests RT America | Protests were orchestrated by the NWO and use this as fury in the streets to roll in another layer to the police state.

 

 

Why can’t the US legalize drugs? There’s ‘too much money in it,’ Clinton says Raw Story | Asked by Denise Maerker of Televisa what she thought of drug legalization, Clinton said it was unlikely to work.

 

 

 

Public Worker Protests Spread From Wisconsin to Ohio In what union leaders say is becoming a national fight, protests against legislation to restrict public employees’ collective-bargaining rights spread from Wisconsin to Ohio.

 

The Middle East and Then the World Beginning in North Africa, now unfolding in the Middle East and Iran, and soon to spread to Eastern Europe and Asia, the globalist fueled color revolutions are attempting to profoundly transform entire regions of the planet in one sweeping move.

 

CIA Coup-College: Recycled revolutionary “props” Tony Cartalucci | Suspicious similarities between Egyptian unrest and known US-backed uprising in Serbia.

 

The Hidden Weakness of Natural Health Laws Brandon Turbeville | The U.S. has seen increasing interest in natural healthcare, vitamin and mineral supplements.

 

Libya defiant as hundreds of protesters feared dead Guardian | Witnesses describe ‘massacres’ as Libyan troops shoot unarmed demonstrators in Benghazi

 

Iran Naval Ships to Cross Suez Canal on Monday Reuters | Two Iranian naval ships will sail through the Suez Canal to the Mediterranean on Monday.

 

Will The Great Firewall Of China Prevent Tomorrow’s Beijing “Jasmine Revolution”? Zero Hedge | There are postings from Chinese activists calling for protests in major cities.

 

Widow: Pentagon aide Wheeler ‘killed by hitman’ UK Daily Mail | Prominent Washington aide John Wheeler was assassinated by a hitman in a targeted killing, his widow has claimed.

 

Arrested US official is actually CIA contractor (AP)  ‘…Davis, a former Special Forces soldier who left the military in 2003, shot the men in what he described as an attempted armed robbery in the eastern city of Lahore as they approached him on a motorcycle. A third Pakistani, a bystander, died when a car rushing to help Davis struck him. Davis was reportedly carrying a Glock handgun, a pocket telescope and papers with different identifications…’

 

Libya, Bahrain, Iran, Yemen and Other Arab Governments Killing Protesters Mubarak was not the only brutal dictator in the Arab world.

 

Bahrain uses UK-supplied weapons in protest crackdown The British government has launched a review of arms exports to Bahrain after it emerged that the country’s security forces were supplied with weapons by the United Kingdom.

 

Libya unrest death toll reaches 84: HRW At least 84 protesters have lost their lives and hundreds wounded in Libya in three days of pro-democracy protests in the African country, Human Rights Watch (HRW) says.

 

 

Gadhafi's hold on Libya weakens in protest wave (AP) Deep cracks open up in Moammar Gadhafi's regime after more than 40 years in power, with diplomats abroad and the justice minister at home resigning, air force pilots defecting and a fire raging at the main government hall after clashes in the capital Tripoli. Protesters called for another night of defiance in Tripoli's main square despite the government's heavy crackdown.

 

Rumsfeld says $2.3 Trillion never lost, just untracked (yeah … riiiiight! Untracked into their pockets … untracked WeAreChange | Activists confront Rumsfeld on missing Pentagon funds.

 

 

Muslim Brotherhood Cleric Calls for Fatwa on Gadhafi UPI | “It is not heroism to fight your people and to hit them with missiles,” Qaradawi said on al-Jazeera.

 

 

Muslim Brotherhood: Gaddafi’s son wounded, dictator has fled International Business Times | The report says Gaddafi, his wife and daughter have fled the country.

 

 

Medvedev Warns “Fanatics” Will Take Over Middle East Kurt Nimmo | Says color revolution will not be tolerated in Russia.

 

Medvedev: Revolutions Could Lead To “Disintegration” Of Middle East Paul Joseph Watson | Aftermath of revolts could “set the region on fire for decades to come,” warns Russian President.

Defiant Gaddafi vows to die as martyr Reuters | Gaddafi vowed to die in Libya as a martyr in an angry television address.

 

Police Would “Absolutely” Use Force On Wisconsin Protesters Paul Joseph Watson | Despite publicly condemning Governor Scott Walker’s proposal, troopers would obey orders to crush dissent.

 

Alex Jones: The “Justin Biebler” Rant Infowars.com | Alex talks about real heroes, not manufactured plastic heroes pushing carbon taxes.

 

 

Rising food prices nearing danger point: World Bank World Bank president Robert Zoellick warned leaders of the top global economies Saturday that the world is reaching a danger point where soaring food prices threaten further political instability.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UNREST IN THE MIDDLE EAST Bahrain military retreats after shootings (Washington Post)

[Saudis Worried Protests Will Hit Home  [ For the sake of the saudi Arabian people, more than just protests should come to fruition!  ] AFP | Saudi royal warns Arab world uprisings could cause harm unless they reform. Bahrain authorities launch surprise attack on protesters  [There’s the america and saudi Arabia effect; far less than democratic and far more deadly in the mideast among other places; talk about hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation as the saudis; time for the saudis to go the way of dictator Mubarak and take the war criminal americans with them.   ]  Los Angeles Times Tear gas canisters bombard sleeping protesters in Manama's Pearl Square. At least two men are reported killed   Video:  Bahrain protesters look to emulate Egypt revolt euronews    Riot Police Attack Bahrain Protesters Voice of America  ‘Saudi Arabia sending troops to Bahrain’  Saudi Arabia is sending troops to Bahrain in a move to crack down on pro-democracy protesters who took to the streets in the capital Manama, a political analyst says. [SAUDIS TOLD OBAMA 'NOT TO HUMILIATE MUBARAK' [ Sounds like they’re hearing footsteps…Previous: Egyptian capital teeters on anarchy  Mubarak asks cabinet to resign as anti-regime protests intensify  (Washington Post) [ Mubarak should have been looking in the mirror as he asked his cabinet to resign … 30 years is a long time, and coincidentally, time for him to go.   In Egypt: Access denied (Washington Post) [The day part of the Internet died: Egypt goes dark [I disagree! Part of the internet didn’t die, but rather the order to so darken the nation heralded the demise, at 30 years and counting, of the so-called leadership in the persona of Mubarak. Time for him to go! After all, he’s been in a position, with Egypt among the only Mideast nations to have signed a peace treaty with israel, to have stepped up with substantial credibility in taking a strong position against israeli transgressions, violations of international law / u.n. resolutions, war crimes, etc., which beyond soft-touch, he failed to do. And, of all places, he sends his family to Orwellian england; he still loves those colonial masters … how pathetic. I mean, 30 years … how free-flowing does anyone think the election process is at this point … and one could ask the same regarding the entrenched powers that be in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, to be fair. Then there’s saudi arabia; talk about do nothing hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation; I suspect only when foreign corporations say so. The only Mideast nations showing backbone are Turkey, Lebanon, and Syria, and, of course the perennially propaganda painted bad-boy Iran among possibly some of the smaller emirates, ie., Qatar, etc., (I lack sufficient information regarding these other nations).  ] (AP)         Internet cutoff fails to silence Egypt protests (AP) -  ]

 

 

U.S. vetoes Security Council resolution denouncing Israeli settlements (Washington Post) [ Drudgereport: Hillary Clinton: Israeli Settlements 'Illegitimate'… [We know that hill … We’ve known that for quite some time along with their illegal nukes, war crimes, etc…The whole world knows that hill… so don’t just talk about it … DO SOMETHING! ] ... Yes! … in pervasively corrupt, defacto america’s self-defeating, self-destructive way they are doing something … U.S. vetoes Security Council resolution denouncing Israeli settlements … Sounds like a plan! … right! ]

 

 

SEC names Sean McKessy to head new whistleblower office (Washington Post) The appointment sets off alarm bells among whistleblower advocates. [ Indeed it should, regardless of ‘who’. In pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america there is always that pre-calculation: juice / no juice, payer (bribes/contributions) / non-payer, potential after gov’t job opportunity / no job opportunity, etc..  Video: Why Isn’t Wall St. in Jail? [ This truly will prove to be the story of the century (albeit an abbreviated one and a turning point toward america’s intractable decline) owing to what will ultimately be the lynch-pin of global economic / financial collapse ushering in an era of great scarcity in more ways than can be imagined. The pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt american nation / government has literally underwritten this massive fraud at the expense of the vast majorities directly and indirectly, precluded prosecution while obfuscating the substantial crimes, literally becoming accomplices thereby. There is absolutely no excuse for what is essentially a defalcation and abrogation of duty. I was watching a somewhat obscure film recently which (though elsewhere on this page and site I’ve set forth alarming crime statistics clearing showing america as number 1 in all categories by wide margins) which set forth the statistic that america has 85% of the world’s serial killers (and I’d go further in saying it is likely that america has a similar lead in war crimes, etc.) ] MSNBC | Cenk Uygur talks to Matt Taibbi about his latest Rolling Stone article. ……     I mean, give me a frickin’ break! Let’s get real here … probably the most egregiously dangerous years for whistleblowers were the clinton years when even potential whistleblowers were targeted; ie., Mary Mahoney, former clinton security team members, etc., see http://albertpeia.com/bodycount.htm    ie., Mary C. Mahoney: 25, murdered at the Georgetown Starbuck's coffee bar over the 4th of July '97 weekend. She was a former White House intern who worked with John Huang. Apparently she knew Monica Lewinsky and her sexual encounters with Bill Clinton. Although not verified, it has been said that Lewinsky told Linda Tripp that she did not want to end up like Mahoney…Steve Willis, Robert Williams, Todd McKeahan & Conway LeBleu:   Died Feburary 28, 1993 by gunfire at Waco. All four were examined by a pathologist and died from identical wounds to the left temple. All four had been body guards for Bill Clinton, three while campaigning for President and when he was Governor of Arkansas.They also were the ONLY 4 BATF agents killed at Waco…, etc. but the bushies / cia / wall street are comparable and as well in some different, more subtle ways; ie., discrediting, false charges, etc..  ] The appointment sets off alarm bells among whistleblower advocates.

 

 

A frayed alliance: Obama and unions     Wis. budget impasse deepens  (Washington Post) [ Frayed? How ‘bout flayed, fillet, and souffled … Or, screwed, nude, and double chewed …  Drudgereport: OBAMA BACKS UNION UPROAR
PELOSI BACKS PROTESTERS: 'I STAND IN SOLIDARITY'...

DEBT NOW EQUALS ENTIRE ECONOMY
OBAMA AGENDA IS OVER
Obama refers to himself as 'The Gipper'… [ Riiiight! …anything you say wobmama the b for b*** s***… or maybe the bipper, the chipper, or the yankee clipper (the new joltin’ joe) …sounds like he’s losing it! ] ...
BUDGET WOES FORCE STATES TO CONSIDER ABOLISHING '12 PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARIES...

STATE BUDGETS ON THE BRINK: CA, TX, IL, NY, NJ...
WISC GOV: 'NOT GOING TO BE BULLIED, INTIMIDATED'...

Orders state troopers to bring Dems to Capitol...
'There Is Fear For Scott Walker's Safety'...
Dem Sen: We'll stay away for weeks...
WALKOUT: Milwaukee Schools closed; teachers call in 'sick'...
REPORT: Average city teacher compensation tops $100,000...
PAPER: GET BACK TO WORK!
DNC playing role in protests...
Jesse to the Rescue: Jackson rallies protesters...
'A real Martin Luther King moment'...
Union Fight Heats Up...
Republicans vow to cut spending in state capitols...
Protests Spread to Ohio...
Michigan...
'Coming To Minnesota'...
Idaho offical target of threats over education reform plan...
Egypt in America?
'Day of Rage' Hits Wisconsin over state unions...

Madison schools closed; 1,100 teachers call in 'sick'...
Obama: 'Assault on Unions'...
Obama-founded OFA spearheading effort to defeat bill...
Boehner: 'Suspend these tactics'...
DEMS FLEE STATE HOUSE
SENATE DEMOCRATS FOUND -- AT A RESORT IN ILLINOIS!
Gov. Walker calls on Dems to return, vote...
Protesters, supporters clash in Ohio over union bill...
Activists swarm Boehner's Capitol Hill home; Chant 'don't tread on DC'..
Carney: Stimulus 'Goals Have Been Met'...

GALLUP: Unemployment hits 10%...
Feds Borrow Additional $29,660/Household Since Obama Signed Stimulus...
Ratings Downgrades Loom for Cash-Strapped States...
Hillary Clinton: Israeli Settlements 'Illegitimate'… [We know that hill … We’ve known that for quite some time along with their illegal nukes, war crimes, etc…The whole world knows that hill… so don’t just talk about it … DO SOMETHING! ] ...

Offended Mubarak refuses calls from Obama...
Ahmadinejad: Obama can't spell his own name (True … it’s ‘w o b a m a’  with ‘the b for b*** s***’ his surname … he’s so pathetic and a total caricature / joke!) ...
Egypt's protests flare despite military warning...

Libya set for 'day of anger'...
Thousands of police confront protesters in Yemen...
Riot police storm Bahrain camp; 2 reported dead...
ABCNEWS Correspondent Beaten...
100 Egyptians reach Italy amid Arab exodus...
CARTER: Muslim 'hood nothing 'to be afraid of'...
PAPER: Senate hearing turns into farce as American ignorance on Egypt revealed...
USA TO REBUKE ISRAEL AT UN
Poll: Majority of Republicans Doubt Obama's Birthplace...
Agents Shot in Mexico...

WORRIES OBAMA OFFICIALS...
ICE IN VICE...
GAO: Feds have 'operational control' of 44% of border; just 15% 'air tight'...
DAY 3: 'Watson' the computer creams human 'JEOPARDY!' champs...
REPORT: Steve Jobs receiving treatment at cancer center...
     PAPER: 'Reportedly sicker than previously admitted'...
ISSA MAKES A MOVE: New subpoena seeks records on sweetheart loans...
U.S. Government Shuts Down 84,000 Websites, ‘By Mistake’

'Kill Switch' Internet bill alarms privacy experts...
GOP BLASTS FCC NET RULES...

TSA agents busted at JFK for stealing $160,000 from bags...

Hillary Clinton donors indicted...
Man mugs 96-year-old -- for $5...
France Wants New Global Finance System; End of Dollar Dominance...
Fannie, Freddie bailout: $153 billion and counting...
GALLUP: Unemployment at 10.3%...
Muslim Bros plan political party...

Present Two Faces...
Pakistan Islamists warn of protests if US prisoner freed...
SECSTATE JR: Sen Kerry arrives in Pakistan, expresses 'regret', 'sorrow'...
GADDAFI TELLS PALESTINIANS: REVOLT AGAINST ISRAEL
World Bank: Food prices at 'dangerous levels'...
Gov't Motors to pay out $189 million in bonuses; some workers to get 50% payoffs..
Deficit Expected to Jump to $1.65 Trillion...

...'slow train wreck coming'
BUDGET BLOWOUT: How big is $3.73 trillion? $12,000 from each American...
ANALYSIS: $1.5 trillion tax hike over 10 years...
AIRLINES: New fees would be $2 billion tax increase on flyers...
Sessions: Obama failed on budget...
Long Spending Fight...
Produce prices to skyrocket with freeze in Mexico, Southwest...

Clothing Prices to Rise 10% Starting in Spring...
China Replaced Japan in 2010 as Number 2 Economy...

China plans Colombian rail link to challenge Panama canal...
The March On Berlusconi...
Berlusconi indicted in prostitution probe...

Malware 'Aimed at Iran Hit Five Sites'...

Mubarak 'falls into coma after final speech'...
Egyptian military orders last protesters out of 'Liberation Square'...
Consolidates power...
Delivers ultimatum...
Boy wrestler forfeits match to female opponent... [ What a homo! Wow! I feel sorry for those guys she actually beat (20 of them – her record was 20 and 13) … they’ll probably never get over it … nor should they … I have to rethink my regard for Iowa, Iowa state wrestling now presuming such stalwart championship teams to be the products of out-of-state imports … as for the guy who forfeited, he could have easily and gently taken her down (you can easily do that with a lesser opponent), got her in a double grapevine and grind her in a certain way into the mat, and when she was in the throws of convulsive orgasm, she’d unwittingly arch her back, thereby pressing her own shoulder blades to the mat, thereby pinning herself, thus enabling the homo to say in a manner of speaking that he was making heterosexual love not war with her ……… how pathetic and preposterous this was … and, let me remind the homo that God doesn’t care that you wrestle a girl who wants to wrestle! ]

]

 

 

House approves dramatic cuts in federal spending   Vote sets up showdown with Dems; threat of shutdown looms  (Washington Post) [ As they say on SNL, ‘What’s up with that?’. Come on! Wake up! That doesn’t even cover the interest on a $14 trillion debt. And, how disingenuous of the author to write, ‘largest cut of its kind since WWII’… Not in percentage terms by a long shot! …   Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘  ] After all-night debate, House votes 235-189 to approve plan to cut $60 billion in federal funding in what'd be the largest cut of its kind since WWII.

 

 

 

 

The Four Horsemen of the Dow: Dave's Daily  ‘No, I wasn't alive to watch the Four Horsemen of Notre Dame play football but I did watch the DJIA today. As you know this is a "price weighted" index. Four companies that rose today were among the priciest: BA, CAT, CVX and TRV. The rest were mixed to flat. Imagine if TPTB added AAPL or GOOG to the index. But, for most Americans, the DJIA is what they see most every day if they care. Cynically, as some say, it's just "window dressing for the tourists" to wit the current headline at the WSJ: "Stocks Close at 2 ˝ Year High". Does it really matter that four stocks accounted for the positive headline? If, you're looking deeper into what's really going on in markets, sure it should. But many investors aren't that curious especially when interest rates remain near zero and POMO is ubiquitous encouraging investors to take more risks. No matter unemployment shows no sign of improving, housing is still in the dumps and key strategic countries (Bahrain, Libya, Egypt, Yemen, Algeria and Tunisia) are all aflame. There wasn't any economic data today other than Bernanke defending his policies. And, there was little earnings news. The dollar was weak and most commodities were strong while bonds sold-off. In case you're interested I'll be doing a webinar for SFO Magazine "Around the World with ETFs". You may register here to listen and comment for free. Volume for an options expiration day was light but perhaps ahead of a three day weekend is understandable. Breadth was pretty flat per the WSJ.’

 

 

 

 

 

Stock Melt-Up Continues to Ignore Warnings    [ While I generally warn against short-selling as an investment strategy for all but the most successful speculators (there are very, very few), if there ever was a time to try your luck at same, that time is now! We’re now beyond the absurd in these overbought, overvalued, contrived, manipulated markets. See also, Dave infra, ‘…Further, the Philly Fed (riiiiight … that global hub of manufacturing activity) came in much higher than expected although inside the numbers the prices paid vs prices received disparity was the greatest since 1979. That wasn't a great time for corporate profits. Even though there's some "discussion" within the Fed over the effectiveness of QE operations another heavy dose of POMO was released to trading desks again Thursday.   …’ Why Isn’t Wall Street in Jail? Matt Taibbi | Financial crooks brought down the world’s economy — but the feds are doing more to protect them than to prosecute them. This is a not too big to fail, but a too willing to pay bribes to jail - reality. (This really is beyond the pale, particularly when they trumpet prosecution of $225 million in medicare frauds while wall street’s continuing fraud in the trillions remains unprosecuted – there is no excuse whatsoever – pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america is done!).  ]  Minyanville ‘Suttmeier, chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com:  The stock melt-up has the major equity averages above this week’s pivots putting the focus on the Nasdaq and its quarterly risky level at 2853. The Dow Transports broke above the potential double-top. Stocks are ignoring the ValuEngine Valuation Warning and extreme overbought technical market indicators. The 10-Year yield failed at my weekly risky level at 3.568 after holding my annual value level at 3.791 last week. Comex gold is above my annual pivot at $1356.5 and closed above its 50-day simple moving average at $1372.2. Nymex crude oil remains below my semiannual pivot at $87.52, but is now oversold. The euro is above its 50-day simple moving average at 1.3377 with this week’s risky level at 1.3636.

New Highs for the Move for the Major Equity Averages
 

  • The Dow Industrial Average (12,288) remains extremely overbought and closed above its weekly pivot at 12,274 testing 12,303.16. The 21-day simple moving average rises to 12,063 with today’s risky level at 12,399.
  • The S&P 500 (1336.3) closed above its weekly pivot at 1335.6, setting a new high for the move at 1337.61. The 21-day simple moving average rises to 1306.1 with today’s risky level at 1344.4.
  • The Nasdaq (2826) closed back above this week’s pivot at 2811 with my quarterly risky level at 2853. The 21-day simple moving average rises to 2756 with today’s risky level at 2840.
  • Dow Transports (5286) tested and held its weekly pivot at 5206 on Tuesday, then breaks above its January 18 high at 5256.80 to 5306.54 on Wednesday. Today’s risky level is 5317.
  • The Russell 2000 (828.37) is above its weekly pivot at 811.80 with its July 2007 high at 862.00. Today’s risky level is 837.39.


We continue to trade under a ValuEngine Valuation Warning -- Sixteen of 16 sectors overvalued with only 32.4% of all stocks undervalued on Wednesday, below the 35% threshold by this measure. This also means that 67.6% of all stocks are overvalued.

10-Year Note -- (3.619) Is between my annual value level at 3.791 and my weekly risky level at 3.568.

Comex Gold -- ($1375.3) My annual pivot is $1356.5 with the 50-day simple moving average at $1372.2 with my monthly risky level at $1412.4.

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($85.00) Continues to trade below my semiannual pivot at $87.52 and is now oversold on its daily chart with today’s value level at $82.85.

The Euro -- (1.3567) Still above its 50-day simple moving average at 1.3377 with my weekly risky level at 1.3636.

Housing Starts and Permits Remain Soft -- Housing Starts increased 14.6% in January, but the gain was entirely due to a 77.7% increase in the multifamily sector. Single family starts declined 1.0% to a 413,000 annual rate with single family permits down 4.8%. Overall building permits declined 10.4%.

More Information From the NAHB Housing Market Index -- If you look at the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index going back to 1985 it never went below 20 until October 2007. During the 1988 to 1992 mini-crisis the lowest reading was 20 in January 1991. For the current popping of the housing bubble this index peaked at 72 in June 2005, when the CEOs of the publicly traded home builders described the housing market as the best they have ever seen.

Back in June 2005 ValuEngine had the home builders extremely overvalued and I noted their weekly price charts were extremely overbought. I wrote a piece calling for a summer 2005 peak for the home builder stocks, which proved to be a prudent market call. The NAHB HMI has been 20 or below since September 2007 and has been between 13 and 16 the past nine months. The exception was a 22 reading in the height of the $8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit in May 2010.

The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that their weekly Mortgage Applications Survey decreased 9.5% with the Refinance Index down 11.4%, to the lowest reading since July 3, 2009. The Purchase Index decreased 5.9%, and is 18.2% lower than a year ago. A major drag is attributed to the above 5% mortgage rate, up nearly a full percentage point from the October 2010 low, in the midst of when Fed Chief Bernanke was touting that the pending QE2 program would push longer-term yields lower to help consumers. The only thing that QE2 has done is inflate an equity market to an overvalued and overbought inflating financial bubble!

The minutes from the latest Fed Meeting indicates that unemployment and tight credit conditions continues to be a drag on the housing market. History repeats: Housing peaked in mid-2005 and the recovery has been nil. Community banks peaked at the end of 2006, and Bank Failure Friday continues. Regional Banks peaked in March 2007, and toxic assets remain in the banking system. Fed policy with that ridiculously low funds rate and QE2 is masking problems that will still plague the US economy for the next several years.’

 

 

 

 

 

January Weather's Economic Impact: Catalyst for Overdue Market Correction? [ As pointed out infra, the Index of Leading Indicators was up only a miniscule .1% . All components are particularly vulnerable to manipulation, false reporting, and outright fraud, particularly in light of the absolute desperation of those involved in the reporting along with to whom and of course the fraudulently manipulated to the upside stock prices which are a significant component and the ultimate bootstrap, so to speak. The election also figured prominently in the manipulation and even if believed (I don’t), still not so hot and a far more grim scenario is but around the corner. That scenario is : Reality!    Investopedia: What Does Composite Index of Leading Indicators Mean? An index published monthly by the Conference Board used to predict the direction of the economy's movements in the months to come. The index is made up of 10 economic components, whose changes tend to precede changes in the overall economy. These 10 components include: 
1. the average weekly hours worked by manufacturing workers
2. the average number of initial applications for unemployment insurance
3. the amount of manufacturers' new orders for consumer goods and materials
4. the speed of delivery of new merchandise to vendors from suppliers
5. the amount of new orders for capital goods unrelated to defense
6. the amount of new building permits for residential buildings
7. the S&P 500 stock index8. the inflation-adjusted monetary supply (M2)
9. the spread between long and short interest rates
10. consumer sentiment    ]
Kaminis‘As we suspected, January weather is proving to have hampered economic activity. Blizzards and super storms rampaged across much of the nation last month, and economic reports are now showing the effects born to the economy. The latest such report, and broad reaching measure to make this case, is Leading Economic Indicators, but we've also seen data from companies like FedEx (FDX) offering good reason to adjust expectations and portfolios. As a publisher, I can give you firsthand testimony to the economic effects of January's weather. Almost all of my advertisers have reported dead business through the month, which has weighed on our own cash flow as well. January offered a rude awakening as to just how perilous are the operations of small businessmen, who have weathered the worst part of the recession, but are still just scraping by, and with little leeway for error.Economic reports should continue to prove out that the harsh weather that battered all of the country in January, especially the population concentrated Northeast, provided a speed bump to economic growth. The few January reports that have reached the wire to-date offer enough support to our case, but the stock market has not shown ill-effect as yet.The Leading Indicators Index, just reported for January, showed only a 0.1% increase. The meek result compared against December's revised 0.8% increase and November's 1.1% rise. The Conference Board, which puts the LEI together, reported that while the economic trend is expansionary, current economic conditions remain weak. The cumulative change in the LEI over the last six months is a solid 3.0%. However, the Board reported that the Coincident Economic Index, which measures current conditions, rose just 0.1%, following a 0.3% increase in December and 0.2% rise in November. Furthermore, the Conference Board's Lagging Economic Index dropped 0.1%.The factors behind the softness in January were listed as weaker housing permits and poor labor market indicators. We've posited here before that the weather likely played a role in weird results from the Labor Department last month, if not keeping depressed job searchers buried at home. We've likewise warned that the weather might throw off January's housing data, some of which has already been released, with more to come next week.Other reports have more clearly depicted the sad season we describe here. Industrial Production, reported Wednesday for January, produced a 0.1% decrease where economists were looking for a 0.5% increase. Capacity Utilization also confounded economists, falling to 76.1% from a revised 76.2% rate in December. Economists were looking for an improvement to 76.3%. Now, Industrial Production actually softened partly due to lower utility production on warmer average temperatures in January, which is a counter to our argument. Though, Factory Production in isolation and excluding motor vehicle production, rose modestly 0.1%, agreeing with our theory somewhat.
The softer data piles on. The month's Housing Starts data showed a slippage in permitting activity, as the pace slowed to 562K, from 627K in December. Furthermore, single-family home authorizations fell 4.8% to 421K. The pace of single-family housing starts also fell 1% to 413K. January's Retail Sales (and sales excluding autos) rose 0.3%, but both figures missed the economists' consensus expectations for 0.5% increases.As economists seem to have overlooked the weather in January, they have likely conveyed a certain optimism to strategists, who have likewise guided portfolio managers and analysts. As more data points are reported for January, and if they are reported significantly off, then stocks could sell off briefly over the short-short-term on a shift in understanding.Indeed, some companies have been directly impacted by the weather already, and others will likely report earnings impact in their Q1 releases. FedEx cut its projected fiscal third quarter EPS forecast to a range of $0.70 to $0.90, from $0.95 to $1.15, due to in part to "winter storms." Analysts had been looking for EPS of $1.02 on average, based on Bloomberg's data. Whether directly or indirectly, and based on my anecdotal witness, I think we can expect companies to report weather impacted results for this quarter. With economists, strategists and analysts potentially all off the mark, there's risk to stocks.Given the January weather is not an ongoing issue, you can look for analysts to blow off any negative surprises, and to guide investors to stick with their recommendations as they also save face. The weather is still considered a temporary and insignificant factor in valuation (though that's increasingly debatable given climate change), and so any damage to stocks should be only a trading hit that might open opportunities for long-term buying interests in good names. However, most technical charts, including those by our technical analyst, show a market overdue for a correction. Thus, perhaps we have here a catalyst.’

 

 

 

 

February 18, 2011: Market Summary   [Caveat: This market is worse than overbought. This market is fraudulently manipulated, overvalued as preceded all other crashes and this time will be no different and in some ways worse owing to the structural shift away from pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america.  ]  Investopedia ‘The past several weeks have been very difficult for traders who believe that the markets are headed for a pullback. It seems like any signs of weakness have been quickly overcome by the bulls and the markets continue to chug along as they race to new highs. While it is prudent to preach caution when the markets are in such a strong uptrend, the simple fact is that there is no evidence yet of a market top. It is wise for traders to respect this strength and simply recognize that the environment is overbought. In his famous quote, John Keynes stated that “the markets can remain irrational longer than you can stay solvent.” …’

 

 

 



 

21 Signs That The Once Great U.S. Economy Is Being Gutted, Neutered, Defanged, Declawed And Deindustrialized Once upon a time… The Economic Collapse  Feb 12, 2011 ‘Once upon a time, the United States was the greatest industrial powerhouse that the world has ever seen.  Our immense economic machinery was the envy of the rest of the globe and it provided the foundation for the largest and most vibrant middle class in the history of the world.  But now the once great U.S. economic machine is being dismantled piece by piece.  The U.S. economy is being gutted, neutered, defanged, declawed and deindustrialized and very few of our leaders even seem to care.  It was the United States that once showed the rest of the world how to mass produce televisions and automobiles and airplanes and computers, but now our industrial base is being ripped to shreds.  Tens of thousands of our factories and millions of our jobs have been shipped overseas.  Many of our proudest manufacturing cities have been transformed into “post-industrial” hellholes that nobody wants to live in anymore.

Meanwhile, wave after wave of shiny new factories is going up in nations such as China, India and Brazil.  This is great for those countries, but for the millions of American workers that desperately needed the jobs that have been sent overseas it is not so great.

This is the legacy of globalism.  Multinational corporations now have the choice whether to hire U.S. workers or to hire workers in countries where it is legal to pay slave labor wages.  The “great sucking sound” that Ross Perot warned us about so long ago is actually happening, and it has left tens of millions of Americans without good jobs.

So what is to become of a nation that consumes more than it ever has and yet continues to produce less and less?

Well, the greatest debt binge in the history of the world has enabled us to maintain (and even increase) our standard of living for several decades, but all of that debt is starting to really catch up with us.

The American people seem to be very confused about what is happening to us because most of them thought that the party was going to last forever.  In fact, most of them still seem convinced that our brightest economic days are still ahead.

After all, every time we have had a “recession” in the past things have always turned around and we have gone on to even greater things, right?

Well, what most Americans simply fail to understand is that we are like a car that is having its insides ripped right out.  Our industrial base is being gutted right in front of our eyes.

Most Americans don’t think much about our “trade deficit”, but it is absolutely central to what is happening to our economy.  Every year, we buy far, far more from the rest of the world than they buy from us.

In 2010, the U.S. trade deficit was just a whisker under $500 billion.  This is money that we could have all spent inside the United States that would have supported thousands of American factories and millions of American jobs.

Instead, we sent all of those hundreds of billions of dollars overseas in exchange for a big pile of stuff that we greedily consumed.  Most of that stuff we probably didn’t need anyway.

Since we spent almost $500 billion more with the rest of the world than they spent with us, at the end of the year the rest of the world was $500 billion wealthier and the American people were collectively $500 billion poorer.

That means that the collective “economic pie” that we are all dividing up is now $500 billion smaller.

Are you starting to understand why times suddenly seem so “hard” in the United States?

Meanwhile, jobs and businesses continue to fly out of the United States at a blinding pace.

This is a national crisis.

We simply cannot expect to continue to have a “great economy” if we allow our economy to be deindustrialized.

A nation that consumes far more than it produces is not going to be wealthy for long.

The following are 21 signs that the once great U.S. economy is being gutted,  neutered, defanged, declawed and deindustrialized….

#1 The U.S. trade deficit with the rest of the world rose to 497.8 billion dollars in 2010.  That represented a 32.8% increase from 2009.

#2 The U.S. trade deficit with China rose to an all-time record of 273.1 billion dollars in 2010.  This is the largest trade deficit that one nation has had with another nation in the history of the world.

#3 The U.S. trade deficit with China in 2010 was 27 times larger than it was back in 1990.

#4 In the years since 1975, the United States had run a total trade deficit of 7.5 trillion dollars with the rest of the world.

#5 The United States spends more than 4 dollars on goods and services from China for every one dollar that China spends on goods and services from the United States.

#6 In 1959, manufacturing represented 28 percent of all U.S. economic output.  In 2008, it represented only 11.5 percent and it continues to fall.

#7 The number of net jobs gained by the U.S. economy during this past decade was smaller than during any other decade since World War 2.

#8 The Bureau of Labor Statistics originally predicted that the U.S. economy would create approximately 22 million jobs during the decade of the 2000s, but it turns out that the U.S. economy only produced about 7 million jobsduring that time period.

#9 Japan now manufactures about 5 million more automobiles than the United States does.

#10 China has now become the world’s largest exporter of high technology products.

#11 Manufacturing employment in the U.S. computer industry is actually lower in 2010 than it was in 1975.

#12 The United States now has 10 percent fewer “middle class jobs” than it did just ten years ago.

#13 According to Tax Notes, between 1999 and 2008 employment at the foreign affiliates of U.S. parent companies increased an astounding 30 percent to 10.1 million. During that exact same time period, U.S. employment at American multinational corporations declined 8 percent to 21.1 million.

#14 Back in 1970, 25 percent of all jobs in the United States were manufacturing jobs. Today, only 9 percent of the jobs in the United States are manufacturing jobs.

#15 Back in 1998, the United States had 25 percent of the world’s high-tech export market and China had just 10 percent. Ten years later, the United States had less than 15 percent and China’s share had soared to 20 percent.

#16 The number of Americans that have become so discouraged that they have given up searching for work completely now stands at an all-time high.

#17 Half of all American workers now earn $505 or less per week.

#18 The United States has lost a staggering 32 percent of its manufacturing jobs since the year 2000.

#19 Since 2001, over 42,000 U.S. factories have closed down for good.

#20 In 2008, 1.2 billion cellphones were sold worldwide.  So how many of them were manufactured inside the United States?  Zero.

#21 Ten years ago, the “employment rate” in the United States was about 64%.  Since then it has been constantly declining and now the “employment rate” in the United States is only about 58%.  So where did all of those jobs go?

The world is changing.

We are bleeding national wealth at a pace that is almost unimaginable.

We are literally being drained dry.

Did you know that China now has the world’s fastest train and the world’s largest high-speed rail network?

They were able to afford those things with all of the money that we have been sending them.

How do you think all of those oil barons in the Middle East became so wealthy and could build such opulent palaces?

They got rich off of all the money that we have been sending them.

Meanwhile, once great U.S. cities such as Detroit, Michigan now look like war zones.

Back in 1985, the U.S. trade deficit with China was about 6 million dollars for the entire year.

As mentioned above, the U.S. trade deficit with China for 2010 was over 273billion dollars.

What a difference 25 years can make, eh?

What do you find when you go into a Wal-Mart, a Target or a dollar store today?

You find row after row after row of stuff made in China and in other far away countries.

It can be more than a bit difficult to find things that are actually made inside the United States anymore.  In fact, there are quite a few industries that have completely and totally left the United States.  For certain product categories it is now literally impossible to buy something made in America.

So what are we going to do with our tens of millions of blue collar workers?

Should we just tell them that their jobs are not ever coming back so they better learn phrases such as “Welcome to Wal-Mart” and “Would you like fries with that”?

For quite a few years, the gigantic debt bubble that we were living in kind of insulated us from feeling the effects of the deindustrialization of America.

But now the pain is starting to kick in.

It has now become soul-crushingly difficult to find a job in America today.

According to Gallup, the U.S. unemployment rate is currently 10.1% and when you throw in “underemployed” workers that figure rises to 19.6%.

Competition for jobs has become incredibly fierce and it is going to stay that way.

The great U.S. economic machine is being ripped apart and dismantled right in full view of us all.

This is not a “conservative” issue or a “liberal” issue.  This is an American issue.

The United States is rapidly being turned into a “post-industrial” wasteland.

It is time to wake up America.’

 

 

 

 

This is that unmentionable reality as I alluded to earlier on close scrutiny of the data, ‘that stock prices have been manipulated to the upside beyond any and all rational basis‘ and as I previously wrote: Perception vs. Reality: Four Reasons to Remain Cautious on U.S. Equities  [ Hey, Abbott … That’s Lou Costello calling him from the other side … Wake up! … Just kidding … but I’m not kidding when I say that contrary to Abbott’s view, infra, if you’re not a successful market timer you should rethink your position as an equity investor. Moreover, in contradistinction to Mr. Abbott’s implication, if you’re not a successful speculator (there are very few), you should rethink your position as a short seller: reason…, you could be wiped out, lose more than your principal, forced to cover (that’s why the same is considered a contrary market indicator, particularly in these manipulated, contrived markets). When I did my MBA thesis (1977, NYU, GBA, Eve.Prog., Finance), a review of the data revealed even then (and much more so now with computer programmed market manipulation) that the market remained biased / propped up (artificially, especially now with computerized manipulation) to the upside for far longer periods of time than for the downside which meant that dollar-cost averaging (through regular, periodic investment, for example), meant you were accumulating shares at higher prices generally for longer periods of time skewing the average cost to the upside (dollar-cost-averaging in declining markets was ok if analysis / forecast saw resurgence based on fundamentals - now absent – which is timing, as even senile wall street / gov’t shill Buffet would attest, that ‘greedy when others are fearful thing’). Abbott discusses perception which is the psychological factor involved in security evaluation / analysis; but investors need not and should become nuts themselves, particularly when as now, the inmates are running the asylum. ] Abbott ‘Perception determines short-term market movements. The difference between perception and reality determines the direction of major market trends. Though I generally try to avoid making macro prognostications, I believe bottom-up analysis can be informative about the current level of stock prices. I want to share what my recent work tells me about where stocks are (and where they might be headed). I will outline some various nuggets of collective wisdom that are taken for granted right now by stock bulls, and I will attempt to demonstrate how reality is likely to differ from these perceptions.

First, a disclaimer. This is not a market timing call. At all times, I stay away from market timing predictions. I think that's a loser's game in the long run. Even if I'm correct about the discrepancies between the following perceptions and realities, there's no saying when people will change their minds or shift their focuses. That said, let's dive in.

Perception vs. Reality #1
Perception: Low Interest Rates, Questionable Bond Outlook Means Stocks are Attractive
Reality: Interest Rates Are Being Artificially and Deliberately Manipulated

It's no secret that the Federal Reserve's low interest rate policy and quantitative easing efforts have held interest rates very low for very long. However, when people talk about stock market implications of bond yields, they rarely mention the fact that bond yields are artificially low. In an unmanipulated market, bond prices and stock valuations should be related, but I regard that connection as highly dubious right now. Investors who say that stocks deserve higher multiples (lower earnings yields) because bond yields are so low may well be setting themselves up for disappointing returns/frustrating losses when bond prices normalize. Again, this isn't a market timing call, and yields may remain low for quite some time. But, eventually this discrepancy will correct itself, and stock performance is likely to suffer at that time.

Perception vs. Reality #2
Perception: Earnings Growth Has Been Strong and Will Remain That Way
Reality: Top-Line Growth Will Have to Pick Up; Cost-Cutting has Run Its Course

Earnings growth has certainly been robust, but much of the strength has come from companies running lean cost structures and wringing as much efficiency as possible out of their employees and their assets. Though the recession has ended, the economy is not yet healthy enough to fuel strong sales growth. Companies can only boost profits by cutting costs and increasing productivity for so long. Therefore, top-line growth will have to play a larger role going forward than it has over the past 4-6 quarters. Whether or not economic growth is strong enough to drive revenue increases is unsure, but the current level of stock prices undoubtedly assumes it is. Any stagnation of the recovery and concomitant sluggish sales will likely hit stock prices.

Perception vs. Reality #3
Perception: European Debt Crisis Drives Short-Term Volatility, but It's Not a Long-Term Concern
Reality: Crisis May Be a Harbinger of What's to Come in the U.S. if States, the Feds Don't Improve Balance Sheets

So far, turmoil in Greece and Ireland has served only as a temporary headwind to U.S. stocks. In keeping with the investment world's increasingly short-term focus, people seem more concerned with what fiscal crises in Europe mean for U.S. stocks over the coming days and months than with what they might mean down the road. I believe that this interpretation misses the mark. Since the U.S. fiscal situtation is generally considered to be stronger than that in many European countries, U.S. federal and municipal debt issuance has been relatively smooth, and interest rates have only risen modestly. If the U.S. doesn't get serious about its fiscal woes, eventually the crisis will arrive on American shores. There's no way of telling when this might happen, but the current level of stock prices seems to imply that it never will.

Here's the problem with that. To fix the federal balance sheet and/or to improve state and municipal balance sheets, legislators will have to raise taxes and/or cut spending. Tax hikes and spending cuts both reduce consumer spending. This hurts growth. There's no way around this. Stocks can certainly continue to rise for some time, but austerity will be bearish if/when it comes. If it doesn't come, we're in for a much bigger crisis some time down the road.

Perception vs. Reality #4
Perception: Everywhere You Look, You See Good Companies at Cheap Prices
Reality: It's Hard to Find Genuine Bargains, but There are Intriguing Short Prospects Everywhere

There is no shortage of stock market commentators who claim that they see bargains everywhere they look. Perhaps I'm not looking in the right places, but I've been having a difficult and increasingly impossible time finding good companies at reasonable prices. I use similar criteria to assess long and short investments, and I find intriguing shorts in lots of sectors right now. This tells me that valuations are stretched. Certainly they can become more so before we get a selloff, but every day that stocks rally, they get more expensive.

I've written on Seeking Alpha about a number of stocks which I regard as expensive (CRM, OPEN, GMCR), and take my word for it: there are plenty more than these whose shares I do not want to own at present levels. A few weeks ago, I also mused about the Facebook-Goldman deal and argued that this valuation is indicative of excessive investor enthusiasm. Bargains are hard to find, and as valuations go up, so does positive sentiment. While this is not a prediction of an impending correction or bear market, it is a message of caution for people who think stocks are cheap right now.

All that said, I always try to consider both sides of any investment issue, and there are some reasons for optimism. Job growth has shown signs of improvement, and some economic data have been increasingly (though not uniformly) positive. The Federal Reserve remains accommodative, and I'm skeptical about whether or not there is political will for austerity. For these reasons, stocks could continue onward and upward. That said, I see too many reasons for caution, and investors are turning a blind eye to these concerns as their complacency rises.’



 

 

12 Economic Collapse Scenarios That We Could Potentially See In 2011 What could cause an economic collapse in 2011? Well, unfortunately there are quite a few “nightmare scenarios” that could plunge the entire globe into another massive financial crisis.
The Economic Collapse Jan 20, 2011 ‘What could cause an economic collapse in 2011? Well, unfortunately there are quite a few “nightmare scenarios” that could plunge the entire globe into another massive financial crisis.  The United States, Japan and most of the nations in Europe are absolutely drowning in debt.  The Federal Reserve continues to play reckless games with the U.S. dollar.  The price of oil is skyrocketing and the global price of food just hit a new record high.  Food riots are already breaking out all over the world.  Meanwhile, the rampant fraud and corruption going on in world financial markets is starting to be exposed and the whole house of cards could come crashing down at any time.  Most Americans have no idea that a horrific economic collapse could happen at literally any time.  There is no way that all of this debt and all of this financial corruption is sustainable.  At some point we are going to reach a moment of “total system failure”.

So will it be soon?  Let’s hope not.  Let’s certainly hope that it does not happen in 2011.  Many of us need more time to prepare.  Most of our families and friends need more time to prepare.  Once this thing implodes there isn’t going to be an opportunity to have a “do over”.  We simply will not be able to put the toothpaste back into the tube again.

So we had all better be getting prepared for hard times.  The following are 12 economic collapse scenarios that we could potentially see in 2011….

#1 U.S. debt could become a massive crisis at any moment.  China is saying all of the right things at the moment, but many analysts are openly worried about what could happen if China suddenly decides to start dumping all of the U.S. debt that they have accumulated.  Right now about the only thing keeping U.S. government finances going is the ability to borrow gigantic amounts of money at extremely low interest rates.  If anything upsets that paradigm, it could potentially have enormous consequences for the entire world financial system.

#2 Speaking of threats to the global financial system, it turns out that “quantitative easing 2″ has had the exact opposite effect that Ben Bernanke planned for it to have.  Bernanke insisted that the main goal of QE2 was to lower interest rates, but instead all it has done is cause interest rates to go up substantially.  If Bernanke this incompetent or is he trying to mess everything up on purpose?

#3 The debt bubble that the entire global economy is based on could burst at any time and throw the whole planet into chaos.  According to a new report from the World Economic Forum, the total amount of credit in the world increased from $57 trillion in 2000 to $109 trillion in 2009.  The WEF says that now the world is going to need another $100 trillion in credit to support projected “economic growth” over the next decade.  So is this how the new “global economy” works?  We just keep doubling the total amount of debt every decade?

#4 As the U.S. government and the Federal Reserve continue to pump massive amounts of new dollars into the system, the floor could fall out from underneath the U.S. dollar at any time.  The truth is that we are already starting to see inflation really accelerate and everyone pretty much acknowledges that official U.S. governments figures for inflation are an absolute joke.  According to one new study, the cost of college tuition has risen 286% over the last 20 years, and the cost of “hospital, nursing-home and adult-day-care services” rose 269% during those same two decades.  All of this happened during a period of supposedly “low” inflation.  So what are price increases going to look like when we actually have “high” inflation?

#5 One of the primary drivers of global inflation during 2011 could be the price of oil.  A large number of economists are now projecting that the price of oil could surge well past $100 dollars a barrel in 2011.  If that happens, it is going to put significant pressure on the price of almost everything else in the entire global economy.  In fact, as I have explained previously, the higher the price of oil goes, the faster the U.S. economy will decline.

#6 Food inflation is already so bad in some areas of the globe that it is setting off massive food riots in nations such as Tunisia and Algeria.  In fact, there have been reports of people setting themselves on fire all over the Middle East as a way to draw attention to how desperate they are.  So what is going to happen if global food prices go up another 10 or 20 percent and food riots spread literally all over the globe during 2011?

#7 There are persistent rumors that simply will not go away of massive physical gold and silver shortages.  Demand for precious metals has never been higher.  So what is going to happen when many investors begin to absolutely insist on physical delivery of their precious metals?  What is going to happen when the fact that far, far, far more “paper gold” and “paper silver” has been sold than has ever actually physically existed in the history of the planet starts to come out?  What would that do to the price of gold and silver?

#8 The U.S. housing industry could plunge the U.S. economy into another recession at any time.  The real estate market is absolutely flooded with homes and virtually nobody is buying.  This massive oversupply of homes means that the construction of new homes has fallen off a cliff.  In 2010, only 703,000 single family, multi-family and manufactured homes were completed.  This was a new record low, and it was down 17% from the previous all-time record which had just been set in 2009.

#9 A combination of extreme weather and disease could make this an absolutely brutal year for U.S. farmers.  This winter we have already seen thousands of new cold weather and snowfall records set across the United States.  Now there is some very disturbing news emerging out of Florida of an “incurable bacteria” that is ravaging citrus crops all over Florida.  Is there a reason why so many bad things are happening all of a sudden?

#10 The municipal bond crisis could go “supernova” at any time.  Already, investors are bailing out of bonds at a frightening pace.  State and local government debt is now sitting at an all-time high of 22 percent of U.S. GDP.  According to Meredith Whitney, the municipal bond crisis that we are facing is a gigantic threat to our financial system….

“It has tentacles as wide as anything I’ve seen. I think next to housing this is the single most important issue in the United States and certainly the largest threat to the U.S. economy.”

Former Los Angeles mayor Richard Riordan is convinced that things are so bad that literally 90% of our states and cities could go bankrupt over the next five years….

#11 Of course on top of everything else, the quadrillion dollar derivatives bubble could burst at any time.  Right now we are watching the greatest financial casino in the history of the globe spin around and around and around and everyone is hoping that at some point it doesn’t stop.  Today, most money on Wall Street is not made by investing in good business ideas.  Rather, most money on Wall Street is now made by making the best bets.  Unfortunately, at some point the casino is going to come crashing down and the game will be over.

#12 The biggest wildcard of all is war.  The Korean peninsula came closer to war in 2010 than it had in decades.  The Middle East could literally explode at any time.  We live in a world where a single weapon can take out an entire city in an instant.  All it would take is a mid-size war or a couple of weapons of mass destruction to throw the entire global economy into absolute turmoil.

Once again, let us hope that none of these economic collapse scenarios happens in 2011.

However, we have got to realize that we can’t keep dodging these bullets forever.

As bad as 2010 was, the truth is that it went about as good as any of us could have hoped.  Things are still pretty stable and times are still pretty good right now.

But instead of using these times to “party”, we should be using them to prepare.

A really, really vicious economic storm is coming and it is going to be a complete and total nightmare.  Get ready, hold on tight, and say your prayers.’

 

 



Poor Recovery: The Problem Is Institutional [ Well it’s true that the problem is institutional as in pervasively corrupt, incompetent, nonproductive in real terms relative to their cost / damage (still no pros on the wall street fraud which is ongoing in terms of the last crisis, the worthless paper marked to anything, and the current bubble fraud that’s high-frequency computerized churn-and-earn high-frequency commissioned / sold into, 360 tons of $100 bills disappear in Iraq, etc.. What do they get paid for?)  ( Peter Schiff: Washington a parasite to economy US foreclosures hit record highs in 2010, but that may not be the worst of it. 2011 may be even worse. Meanwhile, JP Morgan Chase exceeded market expectations, announcing a 47% rise in quarterly profits and released details on a $28.1 billion pay and bonus pool. Peter Schiff, the President of Euro Pacific Capital said Washington and Wall Street are becoming one force and are sucking the underlying American dry like a parasite’.); but the problem is structural, as in transfer of jobs, industries, etc. (among the sources of the huge over-compensation to wall street, company executives), never to return in any meaningful sense; and as in the defacto bankruptcy of the nation with insurmountable record debt / deficits or stated another way, broke. Unlike in the past, once beyond the propaganda, rhetoric, and smoke and mirrors / obfuscation, there is no prospective way for america to grow its way out, nor are there funds in real money with which to do it. Quite simply, america’s broke / bankrupt in every which way.   ] Loundsbury ‘Harold Meyerson, Op Ed Columnist at The Washington Post, has hit the nail right on the head, in the opinion of GEI. Meyerson says the debate about whether the recession and poor recovery is a cyclical problem or a structural problem is misguided. He says the problem is institutional - - - and is he ever right!

In a column last week, Myerson points out that the devastation of The Great Recession has fallen disproportionately on the blue collar population, those without a college degree. And he traces the rolling over of median family income in this century, not just in the downturn, but since the turn of the century. Even at the peak, in 2007, median family income was less than in 2000.

What Meyerson doesn't point out is that average incomes have faired better in the 21st century and in all of the past 50 years. In fact, average family income has risen more than 2.5 times as much and median income over the last 30 years. Why is this important? Because the more there is a fat tail of ever higher incomes for a few, the greater the difference between average and median income becomes.

Myerson says:

The great sociologist William Julius Wilson has long argued that the key to the unraveling of the lives of the African American poor was the decline in the number of "marriageable males" as work disappeared from the inner city. Much the same could now be said of working-class whites in neighborhoods that may not look like the ghettos of Cleveland or Detroit but in which productive economic activity is increasingly hard to find.

This grim new reality has yet to inform our debate over how to come back from this mega-recession. Those who believe our downturn is cyclical argue that job-creating public spending can restore us to prosperity, while those who believe it's structural - that we have too many carpenters, say, and not enough nurses - believe that we should leave things be while American workers acquire new skills and enter different lines of work. But there's a third way to look at the recession: that it's institutional, that it's the consequence of the decisions by leading banks and corporations to stop investing in the job-creating enterprises that were the key to broadly shared prosperity.

Since Meyerson has chosen income disparity as a cornerstone of his argument, let's look at how incomes have grown over the last 50 years. These are shown in the following graph, not adjusted for inflation.

click to enlarge images  [chart]

Real median income and average income seem to grow similarly in the 1950s and 1960s, the growth of average income starts to pull away in the mid-1960s and appears to continue to gain gound for the the next 40+ years. The more average income deviates from median income the more money is found in the high income tail on the distribution curve. This is often called a "fat tail", which is very appropriate in this discussion because that is where the fat cats are. The fat tail has not gotten so because ten times as many people equaled the incomes of the former fat cats, but more because a few fat cats have received 10 times the income. This is exemplified by the often quoted statistic that average CEO salaries were 40x average worker pay 50 years ago and today are more like 400x.

The change income distribution that seems to be appearing in the above graph becomes more apparent in the following graph where real income gains are shown for the last six decades starting with the ten years from 1949 - 1959 (the 1950s) and ending with 1999 - 2009 (the 2000s). [chart]

The 1950s and 60s were real boom years. Starting with the 1970s a lower level of income growth was established, but even that lower level could not be maintained in the 2000s.

After the 1950s every decade has seen average real income grow more than the median. The fat tail has gotten fatter over the past half century in every decade, without exception. Yes the average did decline in the 2000s, but the median declined 76% more!

The most dramatic pattern of change is evident when the data is divided into two halves: 1949 to 1979 and 1979 - 2009. This is done in the following graph:  [chart]

For thirty years after World War II the wealth of the country increased in a balanced manner. The average income containing the greater contribution from the top earners of the day, grew at a rate very similar to the income growth of the broader population, represented by the median.

Yes there were "fat cats" and they had significantly larger incomes than the bulk of the population. And these top incomes grew over those three decades, but at almost the same rate as the majority of the populace.

Then something happened. From 1979-2009 it appears that the American pie suddenly got smaller. In the later three decades the real median income growth was less than 10% of the rate seen from 1949 to 1979. And as the pie got smaller, the fat cats took a much larger share. The average income grew at a rate 254% that of the median income. You might say that, as the cow gave less milk, the top of the economic ladder skimmed more and more cream off the top.

Meyerson identifies the force majuere to be corporate America:

Our multinational companies still invest, of course - just not at home. A study by the Business Roundtable and the U.S. Council Foundation found that the share of the profits of U.S.-based multinationals that came from their foreign affiliates had increased from 17 percent in 1977 and 27 percent in 1994 to 48.6 percent in 2006. As the companies' revenue from abroad has increased, their dependence on American consumers has diminished. The equilibrium among production, wages and purchasing power - the equilibrium that Henry Ford famously recognized when he upped his workers' pay to an unheard-of $5 a day in 1913 so they could afford to buy the cars they made, the equilibrium that became the model for 20th-century American capitalism - has been shattered. Making and selling their goods abroad, U.S. multinationals can slash their workforces and reduce their wages at home while retaining their revenue and increasing their profits. And that's exactly what they've done.

Meyerson doesn't get into some of the other areas that might be brought to bear on the current condition of the American economy:

  • He doesn't address the fact that the U.S. ranks below some third world countries in education.
  • He doesn't discuss the increasing burden of health care, both because costs have been running out of control and because an ever increasing portion of the population is kept from making the contribution they might have otherwise because of poor health.
  • He doesn't discuss the capture of much potential domestic capital by financial engineers who find it much easier to get rich in a rigged casino than to make money the old fashioned way.

Part of the problem is that Americans have fallen into the way of the easiest path, where, either by credit card or by making quick trades, the desires of the moment are satisfied with no seemingly current cost.

It seems that few want to think about the needs of tomorrow. This is true starting with the masses who kiss off the idea of working hard in school to prepare for what they will need 20 years down the road. This is also true of the "capitalist" who finds that skimming a few percent off each of many deals a year to get quick, large quarterly returns is much easier than investing and building something that will will make much larger returns extending over decades and producing things of real economic utility.

There are a number of things that Meyerson does not address, but if you want to hit one nail at a time, I think he has picked the baddest nail in the plank. He finishes his column thusly:

Our economic woes, then, are not simply cyclical or structural. They are also - chiefly - institutional, the consequence of U.S. corporate behavior that has plunged us into a downward cycle of underinvestment, underemployment and under-consumption. Our solutions must be similarly institutional, requiring, for starters, the seating of public and worker representatives on corporate boards. Short of that, there will be no real prospects for reversing America's downward mobility.

If we were to address all the other issues I mentioned previously and did not address the institutional problem Meterson has identified, we would not ultimately solve our economic puzzle.’

 

 

20 Shocking New Economic Records That Were Set In 2010 2010 was quite a year, wasn’t it? 2010 will be remembered for a lot of things, but for those living in the United States, one of the main things that last year will be remembered for is economic decline…The Economic Collapse Jan 14, 2011   ‘2010 was quite a year, wasn’t it?  2010 will be remembered for a lot of things, but for those living in the United States, one of the main things that last year will be remembered for is economic decline.  The number of foreclosure filings set a new record, the number of home repossessions set a new record, the number of bankruptcies went up again, the number of Americans that became so discouraged that they simply quit looking for work reached a new all-time high and the number of Americans on food stamps kept setting a brand new record every single month.  Meanwhile, U.S. government debt reached record highs, state government debt reached record highs and local government debt reached record highs.  What a mess!  In fact, even many of the “good” economic records that were set during 2010 were indications of underlying economic weakness.  For example, the price of gold set an all-time record during 2010, but one of the primary reasons for the increase in the price of gold was that the U.S. dollar was rapidly losing value.  Most Americans had been hoping that 2010 would be the beginning of better times, but unfortunately economic conditions just kept getting worse.

So will things improve in 2011?  That would be nice, but at this point there are not a whole lot of reasons to be optimistic about the economy.  The truth is that we are trapped in a period of long-term economic decline and we are now paying the price for decades of horrible decisions.

Amazingly, many of our politicians and many in the mainstream media have declared that “the recession is over” and that the U.S. economy is steadily improving now.

Well, if anyone tries to tell you that the economy got better in 2010, just show them the statistics below.  That should shut them up for a while.

The following are 20 new economic records that were set during 2010….

#1 An all-time record of 2.87 million U.S. households received a foreclosure filing in 2010.

#2 The number of homes that were actually repossessed reached the 1 million mark for the first time ever during 2010.

#3 The price of gold moved above $1400 an ounce for the first time ever during 2010.

#4 According to the American Bankruptcy Institute, approximately 1.53 million consumer bankruptcy petitions were filed in 2010, which was up 9 percent from 1.41 million in 2009.  This was the highest number of personal bankruptcies we have seen since the U.S. Congress substantially tightened U.S. bankruptcy law several years ago.

#5 At one point during 2010, the average time needed to find a job in the United States had risen to an all-time record of 35.2 weeks.

#6 Back in 1970, 25 percent of all jobs in the United States were manufacturing jobs. Today, only 9 percent of the jobs in the United States are manufacturing jobs, which is believed to be a new record low.

#7 The number of Americans working part-time jobs “for economic reasons” was the highest it has been in at least five decades during 2010.

#8 The number of American workers that are so discouraged that they have given up searching for work reached an all-time high near the end of 2010.

#9 Government spending continues to set new all-time records.  In fact, at the moment the U.S. government is spending approximately 6.85 million dollars every single minute.

#10 The number of Americans on food stamps surpassed 43 million by the end of 2010.  This was a new all-time record, and government officials fully expect the number of Americans enrolled in the program to continue to increase throughout 2011.

#11 The number of Americans on Medicaid surpassed 50 million for the first time ever in 2010.

#12 The U.S. Census Bureau originally announced that 43.6 million Americans are now living in poverty and according to them that was the highest number of Americans living in poverty that they had ever recorded in 51 years of record-keeping.  But now the Census Bureau says that they miscalculated and that the real number of poor Americans is actually 47.8 million.

#13 According to the FDIC, 157 banks failed during 2010.  That was the highest number of bank failures that the United States has experienced in any single year during the past decade.

#14 The Federal Reserve brought in a record $80.9 billion in profits during 2010.  They returned $78.4 billion of that to the U.S. Treasury, but the real story is that thanks to the Federal Reserve’s continual debasement of our currency, the U.S. dollar was worth less in 2010 than it ever had been before.

#15 It is projected that the major financial firms on Wall Street will pay out an all-time record of $144 billion in compensation for 2010.

#16 Americans now owe more than $881 billion on student loans, which is a new all-time record.

#17 In July, sales of new homes in the United States declined to the lowest level ever recorded.

#18 According to Zillow, U.S. housing prices have now declined a whopping 26 percent since their peak in June 2006.  Amazingly, this is even farther than house prices fell during the Great Depression.  From 1928 to 1933, U.S. housing prices only fell 25.9 percent.

#19 State and local government debt reached at an all-time record of 22 percent of U.S. GDP during 2010.

#20 The U.S. national debt has surpassed the 14 trillion dollar mark for the first time ever and it is being projected that it will soar well past 15 trillion during 2011.

There are some people that have a hard time really grasping what statistics actually mean.  For people like that, often pictures and charts are much more effective.  Well, that is one reason I like to include pictures and graphs in many of my articles, and below I have posted my favorite chart from this past year.  It shows the growth of the U.S. national debt from 1940 until today.  I honestly don’t know how anyone can look at this chart and still be convinced that our nation is not headed for a complete financial meltdown….[chart]

 

 

14 Eye Opening Statistics Which Reveal Just How Dramatically The U.S. Economy Has Collapsed Since 2007 Most Americans have become so accustomed to the “new normal” of continual economic decline that they don’t even remember how good things were just a few short years ago. ‘The Economic Collapse Jan 10, 2011

’Most Americans have become so accustomed to the “new normal” of continual economic decline that they don’t even remember how good things were just a few short years ago.  Back in 2007, unemployment was very low, good jobs were much easier to get, far fewer Americans were living in poverty or enrolled in welfare programs and government finances were in much better shape.  Of course most of this prosperity was fueled by massive amounts of debt, but at least times were better.  Unfortunately, things have really deteriorated over the last several years.  Since 2007, unemployment has skyrocketed, foreclosures have set new all-time records, personal bankruptcies have soared and U.S. government debt has gotten completely and totally out of control.  Poll after poll has shown that Americans are now far less optimistic about the future than they were in 2007.  It is almost as if the past few years have literally sucked the hope out of millions upon millions of Americans.

Sadly, our economic situation is continually getting worse.  Every month the United States loses more factories.  Every month the United States loses more jobs.  Every month the collective wealth of U.S. citizens continues to decline.  Every month the federal government goes into even more debt.  Every month state and local governments go into even more debt.

Unfortunately, things are going to get even worse in the years ahead.  Right now we look back on 2005, 2006 and 2007 as “good times”, but in a few years we will look back on 2010 and 2011 as “good times”.

We are in the midst of a long-term economic decline, and the very bad economic choices that we have been making as a nation for decades are now starting to really catch up with us.

So as horrible as you may think that things are now, just keep in mind that things are going to continue to deteriorate in the years ahead.

But for the moment, let us remember how far we have fallen over the past few years.  The following are 14 eye opening statistics which reveal just how dramatically the U.S. economy has collapsed since 2007….

#1 In November 2007, the official U.S. unemployment rate was just 4.7 percent.  Today, the official U.S. unemployment rate is 9.4 percent.

#2 In November 2007, 18.8% of unemployed Americans had been out of work for 27 weeks or longer.  Today that percentage is up to 41.9%.

#3 As 2007 began, there were just over 1 million Americans that had been unemployed for half a year or longer.  Today, there are over 6 million Americans that have been unemployed for half a year or longer.

#4 Nearly 10 million Americans now receive unemployment insurance, whichis almost four times as many as were receiving it back in 2007.

#5 More than half of the U.S. labor force (55 percent) has “suffered a spell of unemployment, a cut in pay, a reduction in hours or have become involuntary part-time workers” since the “recession” began in December 2007.

#6 According to one analysis, the United States has lost a total of approximately 10.5 million jobs since 2007.

#7 As 2007 began, only 26 million Americans were on food stamps.  Today, an all-time record of 43.2 million Americans are enrolled in the food stamp program.

#8 In 2007, the U.S. government held a total of $725 billion in mortgage debt.  As of the middle of 2010, the U.S. government held a total of $5.148 trillion in mortgage debt.

#9 In the year prior to the “official” beginning of the most recent recession in 2007, the IRS filed just 684,000 tax liens against U.S. taxpayers.  During 2010, the IRS filed over a million tax liens against U.S. taxpayers.

#10 From the year 2000 through the year 2007, there were 27 bank failures in the United States.  From 2008 through 2010, there were 314 bank failures in the United States.

#11 According to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, the number of U.S. families with children living in homeless sheltersincreased from 131,000 to 170,000 between 2007 and 2009.

#12 In 2007, one poll found that 43 percent of Americans were living “paycheck to paycheck”.  Sadly, according to a survey released very close to the end of 2010, approximately 55 percent of all Americans are now living paycheck to paycheck.

#13 In 2007, the “official” federal budget deficit was just 161 billion dollars.  In 2010, the “official” federal budget deficit was approximately 1.3 trillion dollars.

#14 As 2007 began, the U.S. national debt was just under 8.7 trillion dollars.  Today, the U.S. national debt has just surpassed 14 trillion dollars and it continues to soar into the stratosphere.

So is there any hope that we can turn all of this around?

Unfortunately, the massive amount of debt that we have piled up as a society over the last several decades has made that impossible.

If you add up all forms of debt (government debt, business debt, individual debt), it comes to approximately 360 percent of GDP.  It is the biggest debt bubble in the history of the world.

If the federal government and our state governments stop borrowing and spending so much money, our economy would collapse.  But if they keep borrowing and spending so much money they will continually make the eventual economic collapse even worse.

We are in the terminal stages of the most horrific debt spiral the world has ever seen, and when the debt spiral gets stopped the house of cards is going to finally come down for good.

So enjoy these times while you still have them.  Yes, today is not nearly as prosperous as 2007 was, but today is most definitely a whole lot better than 2015 or 2020 is going to be.

Sadly, we could have avoided this financial disaster completely if only we had listened more carefully to those that founded this nation.  Once upon a time, Thomas Jefferson said the following….

I wish it were possible to obtain a single amendment to our Constitution. I would be willing to depend on that alone for the reduction of the administration of our government to the genuine principles of its Constitution; I mean an additional article, taking from the federal government the power of borrowing.’

 

 

Tipping Point: 25 Signs That The Coming Financial Collapse Is Now Closer Then Ever The financial collapse that so many of us have been anticipating is seemingly closer then ever. Over the past several weeks, there have been a host of ominous signs for the U.S. economy.

The Economic Collapse
Dec 17, 2010

The financial collapse that so many of us have been anticipating is seemingly closer then ever.  Over the past several weeks, there have been a host of ominous signs for the U.S. economy.  Yields on U.S. Treasuries have moved up rapidly and Moody’s is publicly warning that it may have to cut the rating on U.S. government debt soon.  Mortgage rates are also moving up aggressively.  The euro and the U.S. dollar both look incredibly shaky.  Jobs continue to be shipped out of the United States at a blistering pace as our politicians stand by and do nothing.  Confidence in U.S. government debt around the globe continues to decline.  State and local governments that are drowning in debt across the United States are savagely cutting back on even essential social services and are coming up with increasingly “creative” ways of getting more money out of all of us.  Meanwhile, tremor after tremor continues to strike the world financial system.  So does this mean that we have almost reached a tipping point?  Is the world on the verge of a major financial collapse?

Let’s hope not, but with each passing week the financial news just seems to get eve worse.  Not only is U.S. government debt spinning wildly toward a breaking point, but many U.S. states (such as California) are in such horrific financial condition that they are beginning to resemble banana republics.

But it is not just the United States that is in trouble.  Nightmarish debt problems in Greece, Spain, Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Belgium and several other European nations threaten to crash the euro at any time.  In fact, many economists are now openly debating which will collapse first – the euro or the U.S. dollar.

Sadly, this is the inevitable result of constructing a global financial system on debt.  All debt bubbles eventually collapse.  Currently we are living in the biggest debt bubble in the history of the world, and when this one bursts it is going to be a disaster of truly historic proportions.

So will we reach a tipping point soon?  Well, the following are 25 signs that the financial collapse is rapidly getting closer….

#1 The official U.S. unemployment rate has not been beneath 9 percent since April 2009.

#2 According to the U.S. Census Bureau, there are currently 6.3 million vacant homes in the United States that are either for sale or for rent.

#3 It is being projected that the U.S. trade deficit with China could hit 270 billion dollars for the entire year of 2010.

#4 Back in 2000, 7.2 percent of blue collar workers were either unemployed or underemployed.  Today that figure is up to 19.5 percent.

#5 The Chinese government has accumulated approximately $2.65 trillion in total foreign exchange reserves.  They have drained this wealth from the economies of other nations (such as the United States) and instead of reinvesting all of it they are just sitting on much of it.  This is creating tremendous imbalances in the global economy.

#6 Since the year 2000, we have lost 10% of our middle class jobs.  In the year 2000 there were approximately 72 million middle class jobs in the United States but today there are only about 65 million middle class jobs.

#7 The United States now employs about the same number of people in manufacturing as it did back in 1940.  Considering the fact that we had 132 million people living in this country in 1940 and that we have well over 300 million people living in this country today, that is a very sobering statistic.

#8 According to CoreLogic, U.S. housing prices have now declined for three months in a row.

#9 The average rate on a 30 year fixed rate mortgage soared 11 basis points just this past week.  As mortgage rates continue to push higher it is going to make it even more difficult for American families to afford homes.

#10 22.5 percent of all residential mortgages in the United States were in negative equity as of the end of the third quarter of 2010.

#11 The U.S. monetary base has more than doubled since the beginning of the most recent recession.

#12 U.S. Treasury yields have been rising steadily during the 4th quarter of 2010 and recently hit a six-month high.

#13 Incoming governor Jerry Brown is scrambling to find $29 billion more to cut from the California state budget.  The following quote from Brown about the desperate condition of California state finances is not going to do much to inspire confidence in California’s financial situation around the globe….

“We’ve been living in fantasy land. It is much worse than I thought. I’m shocked.”

#14 24.3 percent of the residents of El Centro, California are currently unemployed.

#15 The average home in Merced, California has declined in value by 63 percent over the past four years.

#16 Detroit Mayor Dave Bing has come up with a new way to save money.  He wants to cut 20 percent of Detroit off from essential social services such as road repairs, police patrols, functioning street lights and garbage collection.

#17 The second most dangerous city in the United States – Camden, New Jersey – is about to lay off about half its police in a desperate attempt to save money.

#18 In 2010, 55 percent of Americans between the ages of 60 and 64 were in the labor market.  Ten years ago, that number was just 47 percent.  More older Americans than ever find that they have to keep working just to survive.

#19 Back in 1998, the United States had 25 percent of the world’s high-tech export market and China had just 10 percent. Ten years later, the United States had less than 15 percent and China’s share had soared to 20 percent.

#20 The U.S. government budget deficit increased to a whopping $150.4 billion last month, which represented the biggest November budget deficit on record.

#21 The U.S. government is somehow going to have to roll over existing debt and finance new debt that is equivalent to 27.8 percent of GDP in 2011.

#22 The United States had been the leading consumer of energy on the globe for about 100 years, but this past summer China took over the number one spot.

#23 According to an absolutely stunning new poll, 40 percent of all U.S. doctors plan to bail out of the profession over the next three years.

#24 As 2007 began, there were just over 1 million Americans that had been unemployed for half a year or longer.  Today, there are over 6 million Americans that have been unemployed for half a year or longer.

#25 All over the United States, local governments have begun instituting “police response fees”.  For example, New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg has come up with a plan under which a fee of $365 would be charged if police are called to respond to an automobile accident where no injuries are involved.  If there are injuries as a result of the crash that is going to cost extra.

 

 

 

 

16 Nightmarish Economic Trends To Watch Carefully In 2011    The American Dream Dec 15, 2010 ‘If you only watch the “economic pundits” on television, it can be very confusing to figure out exactly what is happening with the U.S. economy.  One pundit will pull out a couple statistics that got a little bit better over the past month and claim that we have entered a time of solid recovery.  Another pundit will pull out a couple statistics that got a little worse over the past month and claim that we are headed for trouble.  So what is the truth?  Well, if you really want to get a clear idea of what is really going on you have to look at the long-term trends.  There are some economic trends which just keep getting worse year after year after year, and it is those trends that tell the real story of the decline of our economic system.

As you examine the long-term trends, you quickly come to realize that the U.S. is trapped in an endless spiral of debt, the middle class is being wiped out, the U.S. dollar is being destroyed and America is rapidly becoming a post-industrial wasteland.

Posted below are 16 nightmarish economic trends to watch carefully in 2011.  It is becoming exceedingly apparent that unless something is done rapidly we are heading for an economic collapse of unprecedented magnitude….

#1 Do you want to see something scary?  Just check out the chart below.  Since the beginning of the economic downturn, the U.S. monetary base has more than doubled.  But don’t worry – Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has promised us that this could never cause inflation.  In fact, Bernanke says that we need to inject even more dollars into the economy.  So if you are alarmed by the chart below, you are just being irrational according to Bernanke….

[chart]

#2 Thousands of our factories, millions of our jobs and hundreds of billions of dollars of our national wealth continue to be shipped overseas.  In 1985, the U.S. trade deficit with China was 6 million dollars for the entire year.  In the month of August alone, the U.S. trade deficit with China was over 28 billion dollars.  Nobel economist Robert W. Fogel of the University of Chicago is projecting that the Chinese economy will be three times larger than the U.S. economy by the year 2040 if current trends continue.

#3 The United States is rapidly becoming a post-industrial wasteland.  Back in 1959, manufacturing represented 28 percent of all U.S. economic output.  In 2008, it represented only 11.5 percent and it continues to fall.  Sadly, the truth is that America is being deindustrialized.  As of the end of 2009, less than 12 million Americans worked in manufacturing.  The last time that less than 12 million Americans were employed in manufacturing was in 1941.

#4 The number of Americans that have been out of work for an extended period of time has absolutely exploded over the last few years.  As 2007 began, there were just over 1 million Americans that had been unemployed for half a year or longer.  Today, there are over 6 million Americans that have been unemployed for half a year or longer.

#5 The middle class continues to be squeezed out of existence.  According to a poll taken in 2009, 61 percent of Americans ”always or usually” live paycheck to paycheck.  That was up substantially from 49 percent in 2008 and 43 percent in 2007.

#6 The number of Americans living in poverty is absolutely skyrocketing.  42.9 million Americans are now on food stamps, and one out of every six Americans is now enrolled in at least one anti-poverty program run by the federal government.  Unfortunately, many of those that have been hardest hit by this economic downturn have been children.  According to one new study, approximately 21 percent of all children in the United States are living below the poverty line in 2010 - the highest rate in 20 years.

#7 Many American families have been pushed beyond the breaking point during this economic downturn.  Over 1.4 million Americans filed for personal bankruptcy in 2009, which represented a 32 percent increase over 2008.  The final number for 2010 is expected to be even higher.

#8 The U.S. real estate market continues to stagnate.  During the third quarter of 2010, 67 percent of mortgages in Nevada were “underwater”, 49 percent of mortgages in Arizona were “underwater” and 46 percent of mortgages in Florida were “underwater”.  So what happens if home prices go down even more?

#9 More elderly Americans than ever are being forced to put off retirement and continue working.  In 2010, 55 percent of Americans between the ages of 60 and 64 were in the labor market.  Ten years ago, that number was just 47 percent.  Unfortunately, it looks like this problem will only get worse in the years ahead.  In America today, approximately half of all workers have less than $2000 saved up for retirement.

#10 In the United States today, there are simply far too many retirees and not nearly enough workers to support them.  Back in 1950 each retiree’s Social Security benefit was paid for by 16 workers.  Today, each retiree’s Social Security benefit is paid for by approximately 3.3 workers.  By 2025 it is projected that there will be approximately two workers for each retiree.

#11 Financial assets continue to become concentrated in fewer and fewer hands.  For example, the “big four” U.S. banks (Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Wells Fargo) had approximately 22 percent of all deposits in FDIC-insured institutions back in 2000.  As of the middle of 2009 that figure was up to 39 percent.

#12 The Federal Reserve has been destroying the value of the U.S. dollar for decades.  Since the Federal Reserve was created in 1913, the U.S. dollar has lost over 95 percent of its purchasing power.  An item that cost $20.00 in 1970 would cost you $112.35 today.  An item that cost $20.00 in 1913 would cost you $440.33 today.

#13 Commodity prices continue to soar into the stratosphere.  Ten years ago, the price of a barrel of oil hovered around 20 to 30 dollars most of the time.  Today, the price of oil is rapidly closing in on 100 dollars a barrel and there are now fears that it could soon go much higher than that.

#14 Federal government spending is completely and totally out of control.  The U.S. government budget deficit increased to a whopping $150.4 billion last month, which represented the biggest November deficit on record.  But our politicians can’t seem to break their addiction to debt.  In fact, Democrats are trying to ram through a 1,924 page, 1.1 trillion dollar spending bill in the final days of the lame-duck session of Congress before the Republicans take control of the House of Representatives next year.

#15 The U.S. national debt is rapidly closing in on 14 trillion dollars.  It is more than 13 times larger than it was just 30 short years ago.  According to an official U.S. Treasury Department report to Congress, the U.S. national debt is projected to climb to an estimated $19.6 trillion by 2015.

#16 Unfortunately, the official government numbers grossly understate the horrific nature of the crisis we are facing.  John Williams of Shadow Government Statistics has calculated that if the federal government would have used GAAP accounting standards to measure the federal budget deficit for 2009, it would have been approximately 8.8 trillion dollars.  Not only that, but John Williams now says that U.S. government debt is so wildly out of control that it is mathematically impossible for us to “grow” our way out of it….

The government’s finances not only are out of control, but the actual deficit is not containable.  Put into perspective, if the government were to raise taxes so as to seize 100% of all wages, salaries and corporate profits, it still would be showing an annual deficit using GAAP accounting on a consistent basis.  In like manner, given current revenues, if it stopped spending every penny (including defense and homeland security) other than for Social Security and Medicare obligations, the government still would be showing an annual deficit. Further, the U.S. has no potential way to grow out of this shortfall.

The more one examines the U.S. economic situation, the more depressing it becomes.  The U.S. financial system is trapped inside a horrific debt spiral  and we are headed straight for economic oblivion.

If our leaders attempt to interrupt the debt spiral it will plunge our economy into a depression.  If our leaders attempt to keep the debt spiral going for several more years it will just make the eventual crash even worse.  Either way, we are headed for a financial implosion that will be truly historic.

The debt-fueled good times that we have been enjoying for the last several decades are rapidly coming to an end.  Unfortunately for the tens of millions of Americans that are already suffering, our economic problems are only going to get worse in the years ahead.’

 

 

 

 

Jobless Recovery?: 25 Unemployment Statistics That Are Almost Too Depressing To Read ‘… Unemployment is up again! That’s right – even though Wall Street is swimming in cash and the Obama administration is declaring that “the recession is over”, the U.S. unemployment rate has gone even higher. So are you enjoying the jobless recovery? Economic Collapse Blog Dec 4, 2010 ‘Guess what?  Unemployment is up again!  That’s right – even though Wall Street is swimming in cash and the Obama administration is declaring that “the recession is over”, the U.S. unemployment rate has gone even higher ... Times are really, really tough and unfortunately the long-term outlook is very bleak.  We should have compassion on those who are out of work right now, because soon many of us may join them.

The following are 25 unemployment statistics that are almost too depressing to read….

#1 According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the U.S. unemployment rate for November was 9.8 percent.  This was up from 9.6 percent in October, and it continues a trend of depressingly high unemployment rates.  The official unemployment number has been at 9.5 percent or higher for well over a year at this point.

#2 In November 2006, the “official” U.S. unemployment rate was just 4.5 percent.

#3 Most economists had been expecting the U.S. economy to add about 150,000 jobs in November.  Instead, it only added 39,000.

#4 In the United States today, there are over 15 million people who are “officially” considered to be unemployed for statistical purposes.  But everyone knows that the “real” number is even much larger than that.

#5 As 2007 began, there were just over 1 million Americans that had been unemployed for half a year or longer.  Today, there are over 6 million Americans that have been unemployed for half a year or longer.

#6 The number of “persons not in the labor force” in the United States recently set another new all-time record.

#7 It now takes the average unemployed American over 33 weeks to find a job.

#8 When you throw in “discouraged workers” and “underemployed workers”, the “real” unemployment rate in the state of California is actually about 22 percent.

#9 In America today there are not nearly enough jobs for everyone.  In fact, there are now approximately 5 unemployed Americans for every single job opening.

#10 According to The New York Times, Americans that have been unemployed for five weeks or less are three times more likely to find a new job in the coming month than Americans that have been unemployed for over a year.

#11 The U.S. economy would need to create 235,120 new jobs a month to get the unemployment rate down to pre-recession levels by 2016.  Does anyone think that there is even a prayer that is going to happen?

#12 There are 9 million Americans that are working part-time for “economic reasons”.  In other words, those Americans would gladly take full-time jobs if they could get them, but all they have been able to find is part-time work.

#13 In 2009, total wages, median wages, and average wages all declined in the United States.

#14 As of the end of 2009, less than 12 million Americans worked in manufacturing.  The last time that less than 12 million Americans were employed in manufacturing was in 1941.

#15 The United States has lost at least 7.5 million jobs since the recession began.

#16 Today, only about 40 percent of Ford Motor Company’s 178,000 workers are employed in North America, and a big percentage of those jobs are in Canada and Mexico.

#17 In 1959, manufacturing represented 28 percent of U.S. economic output.  In 2008, it represented 11.5 percent.

#18 Earlier this year, one poll found that 28% of all American households had at least one member that was looking for a full-time job.

#19 In the United States today, over 18,000 parking lot attendants have college degrees.

#20 The United States has lost a staggering 32 percent of its manufacturing jobs since the year 2000.

#21 As the employment situation continues to stagnate, millions of American families have decided to cut back on things such as insurance coverage.  For example, the percentage of American households that have life insurance coverage is at its lowest level in 50 years.

#22 Unless Congress acts, and there is no indication that is going to happen, approximately 2 million Americans will stop receiving unemployment checks over the next couple of months.

#23 A poll that was released by the Pew Research Center back in June discovered that an astounding 55 percent of the U.S. labor force has experienced either unemployment, a pay decrease, a reduction in hours or an involuntary move to part-time work since the economic downturn began.

#24 According to Richard McCormack, the United States has lost over 42,000 factories (and counting) since 2001.

#25 In the United States today, 317,000 waiters and waitresses have college degrees.

But this is what we get for creating the biggest debt bubble in the history of the world.  For decades we have been digging a deeper hole for ourselves by going into increasingly larger amounts of debt.  In America today, our entire economy is based on debt.  Even our money is debt.  We were fools if we ever thought this could go on forever. Just think about it.  Have you ever gone out and run up a bunch of debt?  It can be a lot of fun sitting behind the wheel of a new car, running your credit cards up to the limit and buying a beautiful big house that you cannot afford. But in the end what happens? It always catches up with you. Well, our collective debt is starting to catch up with us.  There is a sea of red ink on every level of American society.  It is only a matter of time before it destroys our economy. IF YOU THINK THAT THINGS ARE BAD NOW, JUST WAIT.  THINGS ARE GOING TO GET A WHOLE LOT WORSE.  A HORRIFIC ECONOMIC COLLAPSE IS COMING, AND IT IS GOING TO BE VERY, VERY PAINFUL.’




Howard Davidowitz on the Economy: "Here Are the Numbers ... WE'RE BROKE!"   11-25-10  The U.S. economy "is a complete disaster," Howard Davidowitz declared here in July, the most recent in a string of dire predictions from Tech Ticker's most entertaining guest.On the eve of Thanksgiving, I asked Davidowitz if he had any regrets, or was ready to throw in the towel given recent signs of economic revival. Are you kidding me? "Here are the numbers...we're broke," Davidowitz declares, noting the U.S. government goes $5 billion deeper into debt every day and is facing $1 trillion-plus annual deficits for the next decade. "In other words, we're bankrupt."As with the economy, Davidowitz is unwaveringly consistent in his views on President Obama, calling him "deranged, dysfunctional and discredited."Results of the midterm election show "the people of this country think we are in a catastrophe," he says. "I'm with them."Check the accompanying video for more of Howard's unfettered opinions and stay tuned for additional clips from this interview. And...Happy Thanksgiving! Aaron Task is the host of Tech Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at [email protected]

 

 

 

Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘

 

 


 

 

 17 Things Worrying Investors   Lloyd's Wall of Worry
 
Worry Count: 17


CHINA: 1,330,044,605 people can’t be wrong.

The PIIGS: Fasten your seatbelts. It’s gonna be a long, bumpy, expensive, weird, (insert your own adjective here) freak show of a ride.

CALIFORNIA AND THE OTHER 49 STATES: Not yet as dire as “The PIIGS”. Might I suggest the classier moniker of “The Prosciuttos” for the American basket-case states?

QE II: Gobble?

U.S. ECONOMY: The “Punky Brewster” of the global economic landscape.

UNEMPLOYMENT: Only thing worse than losing your job, losing your unemployment check. At least there’s the holiday season to cheer everyone up (read: heavy sarcasm).

TAXES: Praying to the Financial Market Gods that we don’t have another TARP-like vote fiasco.

OBAMA ADMINISTRATION PART II: Still two years before the Pres. election and the peanut gallery is already pleading for a Hail Mary Pass to get them back in the game.

HFT: Instead of beating up these liquidity supplying traders, let’s honor them with their very own stock exchange. But wait -- with no retail saps to pick-off they will never get that Day 1 opening bell tick. Perfect.

XMAS 2010: As my professor friend Nick says, “Nowadays Americans are dining off of two menus – The Million Dollar and the $0.99 Cent.” And both are pissed about it.

CURRENCIES: Poor Mr. Greenback. Does someone need a hug?

HOUSING CRISIS: Price Stabilization – Are we there yet? Just a little bit more. Are we there yet? Just a little bit more. Are we there yet? Just a little bit more….

INFLATION/DEFLATION: Fed Chief Ben B. comes out swinging from his heels in defense of inflation promotion. Don’t punch yourself out as this one is likely to go the distance.

COMMODITIES: Corrected but still sky high; fortunately these prices are only affecting core, basic, life-sustaining necessities and sparing our electronic gadgets and plus-sized SUVs. Whew!

INSIDER TRADING: Another black eye for Hedge Funds. I estimate that makes black eye number 6,597.

INTEREST RATES: South Korea and China slowly turning up the dial to “11”. On the other hand the U.S. has removed the dial altogether. This never ends well….

NORTH KOREA: Here we go again. (and now Egypt, etc.)




Consumer confidence down,
LiveLeak.com - Loonie closes above U.S. dollar  dollar for first time closes below parity on Canadian loonie … hey, hey, hey …      'Huge' stock decline — but not yet  MarketWatch  -  Brimelow ‘Commentary: Adens … ‘mega trend’ looks grim … The Adens expect a hyperinflationary collapse … ‘ Oh come on! Manipulated dollar decline with inflated earnings, stock prices thereby, etc., … we’ve seen this all before … the last few crashes …  Jobless rate jumps to 9.8% as hiring slows (Washington Post) [  The reality is not a mystery! The nation’s been thrown under the bus for the greater good (wealth) of the very few (frauds on wall street, etc.);  wall street giving out record bonuses from their accomplished fraud (with no-recession b.s. bernanke help) of $144 BILLION: Come on! This is gettin’ even more downright ridiculous (if that’s even possible)! Pending home foreclosure / distress sales up, oil prices (and oil stocks) up, debased dollar down, plus a little familiar ‘better than expected’ thrown in along with prospects of a ‘no-recession bernanke’ market-frothing bull session on 60 minutes and, voila, suckers’ rally into the close to keep the suckers suckered! What’s good for the frauds on wall street is bad for just about everyone else which includes the vast majority of people and businesses, domestically and globally, as current dollar manipulation / debasement ultimately results in higher costs and loss of purchasing power (ie., oil, etc.). Clearly, this is one of those fraudulent wealth transfers to the frauds on wall street et als which will ultimately be paid for by those who least are in a position to afford it, courtesy of the ever more worthless Weimar dollar, etc., inflating earnings, eps, lowering p/e multiples, etc., see infra. This is an especially great time to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come! Previous: Rosy numbers on consumer sentiment, unemployment (far better than private forecasts) from the government prior to the holiday so-called ‘shop till you drop’? How can anyone believe anything they say? Najerian interviewed by Motek chimes in with the reason for good retail cheer; viz., people have stopped paying their mortgages and are using the funds to purchase retail goods; while Davidowitz adds that with record numbers of americans on food stamps, real unemployment at 17+, and wall street giving out record bonuses from their accomplished fraud (with no-recession b.s. bernanke help) of $144 BILLION …  the high end stores / jewelers will do well … daaaaah! And, with insiders and wall street frauds selling into the bubble as preceded last crash, this is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits! Suckers’ rally on light volume, full moon, and government complicity (false data / reports) to keep suckers suckered (easy for the wall street frauds to do with just a mouse click / push of the button – and, they know all those technical trade lines that are easy to program in this current phase of the scam/fraud with the debased dollar). Keep in mind, the totally mindless blather from the ‘cottage industries’ of and fraudulent wall street itself in talking up lower P/E multiples when the same is a direct result of the debasement of the dollar and the consequent manipulation / translation (not real, see Davis, infra) which preceded the financial crisis / last crash. Unemployment, trade, deficit, etc., numbers continue decidedly worse than expected along with other negative data (and in the ‘wrong direction’, that spin accorded ‘down but not as bad as before’ b*** s*** ) yet the market has rallied like no tomorrow with used home foreclosure / distressed sales, though abated owing to ‘foreclosuregate’, the other ‘heralded’ good news.  Moreover, the dumbo lemmings of Europe have jumped on the fraudulent defacto bankrupt american crazy train propelled to the precipice also as if no tomorrow. This is about keeping the suckers sucked in with the help of a market-frothing pre-election debased dollar for favorable currency translation and paper (but not real when measured in, ie., gold, etc.) profits which preceded the last crisis, inflating a bubble as in the last crisis to facilitate the churn-and-earn, particularly with computerized (and high frequency) trades and which commissions they’ll get again on the way down. There is nothing to support these overbought stock prices, fundamentally or otherwise. These are desperate criminals ‘at work’. Even wall street shill, the senile Buffett is saying we’re still in a recession (depression) [ Davis: ‘… all profits are inflated by 10% (from falling, debased dollar) and that 10% is the E that gets divided from the P and gives us a much better price/multiple to hang our hats on and that gets investors to BUYBUYBUY …’  The bull market that never was / were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold     ]   This is a great opportunity to sell / take profits (these lower dollar, hyperinflationary currency manipulations / translations to froth paper stocks will end quite badly as in last crash)!  This is a global depression. This is a secular bear market in a global depression. The past up moves were manipulated bull (s***) cycles (at best) in a secular bear market. This has been a typically manipulated bubble as has preceded the prior crashes with great regularity that the wall street frauds and insiders commission and sell into. This is a typical wall street ‘programmed computerized high-frequency churn and earn pass the hot potato scam / fraud as in prior crashes  ( widely reported, high-frequency trading routinely accounts for more than 50% of daily U.S. equity trading volume and regularly approaches 70%.  )’. This national decline, economic and otherwise, will not end until justice is served and the wall street frauds et als are criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.The Stock Market's Long Decline Has Begun Smith ] 

 

 

Analyst: Oil Will Hit $300 in a Decade, Regardless of Egypt Read more: Analyst: Oil Will Hit $300 in a Decade, Regardless of Egypt Weeden & Co. oil analyst Charles Maxwell says oil prices are bound to move steadily higher during the next decade, eventually hitting $300 a barrel, regardless of whatever happens in Egypt.

 

47 Statistics That Indicate That Economic Stress Points In 2011 Could Be Setting The Stage For A Global Economic Meltdown In 2012 Is the world approaching a devastating global economic meltdown? Right now there are a large number of factors that are creating economic stress points all over the globe.‘The American Dream Feb 16, 2011 Is the world approaching a devastating global economic meltdown?  Right now there are a large number of factors that are creating economic stress points all over the globe.  All of the crazy money printing that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have been doing is putting inflationary pressure on agricultural commodities, oil and precious metals.  Massive floods, horrific droughts and extreme weather patterns all over the globe are ruining crops and creating food shortages.  Some nations are now actually hoarding food, and in other nations rising prices have sparked food riots.  The price of oil has been moving back towards $100 a barrel, and if it stays at a high level for an extended period of time that is going to have very serious consequences for the global economy.  In addition, the growing sovereign debt crisis could erupt again at any time.  Half a dozen nations in Europe are on the verge of insolvency, Japan’s national debt is now well over 200 percent of GDP, and the global financial system is growing increasingly concerned about the exploding national debt of the United States.  The truth is that the entire world financial system is a house of cards balanced on a razor’s edge and it could come down at any time.

Sadly, very little has changed since the world financial system experienced almost a complete meltdown back in 2008.  Global financial markets are still a whirlpool of debt and speculation.  One really bad week could put us right back where we were prior to the infamous Wall Street bailouts.  Very little in our world is truly stable anymore.  As we have seen recently in Egypt, the globe can literally change almost overnight.  All it would take is for one really bad event to happen and world financial markets would instantly start imploding.

So when will the coming economic collapse happen?  Nobody knows for sure, but the fact that the global economy is increasingly becoming less stable as we approach the year 2012 is making a lot of people very nervous.

The following are 47 statistics that indicate that economic stress points in 2011 could be setting the stage for a global economic meltdown in 2012….

#1 According to the United Nations, global food prices set a new all-time record during the month of January.

#2 In early February the worst freeze in 60 years wiped out entire crops all across the southwestern U.S. and northern Mexico.  Already, it has been reported that some U.S. supermarkets have doubled or even tripled prices for certain produce items.

#3 It is being reported that due to the recent horrible freeze in Mexico cases of tomatoes that would usually cost shop owners between 12 and 15 dollars are now going for up to $40.

#4 One of China’s key agricultural provinces is facing its worst drought in 200 years.

#5 The Food and Agriculture Organization says that up to two-thirds of China’s wheat crop could be at risk of failing due to weather conditions.

#6 Officials in Mexico are estimating that four million tons of corn have been lost because of the recent freeze.  That represents a full 16 percent of Mexico’s annual corn harvest.

#7 The price of corn has doubled over the last six months and it recently hit a new all-time high.

#8 The U.S. Department of Agriculture has announced that corn supplies are the tightest that they have been in 15 years.

#9 It appears that Chinese imports of corn will be about 9 times larger than the U.S. Department of Agriculture originally projected them to be for 2011.

#10 The price of wheat has more than doubled over the past year and it hit a 30-month high on Monday.

#11 In the event of a global catastrophe, current global stockpiles of wheat would only be able to feed the world for 82 days.

#12 According to Forbes, the price of soybeans is up about 50% since last June.

#13 The price of cotton has more than doubled over the past year.

#14 The commodity price of orange juice has doubled since 2009.

#15 The price of sugar is the highest it has been in 30 years.

#16 The United Nations is projecting that the global price of food will increase by another 30 percent by the end of 2011.

#17 In the U.K., the official rate of inflation is now twice as high as the target rate of inflation.

#18 Inflation in China is starting to get out of control.  For example, food prices in China rose 10.3 percent during the month of January.

#19 Almost 14 percent of all credit card accounts in the United States are currently 90 days or more delinquent.

#20 New home sales in the state of California were at the lowest level ever recorded in the month of January.

#21 According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the number of job openings in the United States declined for a second straight month during December.

#22 Average household debt in the United States has now reached a level of 136% of average household income.

#23 It is estimated that there are about 5 million homeowners in the United States that are at least two months behind on their mortgages, and it is being projected that over a million American families will be booted out of their homes this year alone.

#24 Today, 46% of all Americans carry a credit card balance from month to month.

#25 700,000 Americans have signed up for a credit card that has interest rates that go as high as 59.9%.

#26 Americans now owe more than $889 billion on student loans, which is even more than they owe on credit cards.

#27 The FDIC is “insuring” U.S. bank deposits that total 5.4 trillion dollars with a deposit insurance fund that is currently sitting at approximately negative 8 billion dollars.

#28 The Social Security trust fund will run a deficit of 56 billion dollars this year.  Just a couple of years ago government planners were promising that we would not have any Social Security deficits until at least 2016 or 2017.

#29 When you adjust wages for inflation, middle class workers in the United States make less money today than they did back in 1971.

#30 4.2 million Americans have been unemployed for one year or longer at this point.

#31 The number of Americans that have become so discouraged that they have given up searching for work completely now stands at an all-time high.

#32 According to a recent Gallup poll, 35 percent of Americans believe that unemployment is currently the most important problem in the United States.  Another 29 percent believe that the economy is currently our biggest problem.

#33 Gallup also says that 19.6 percent of the workforce in America is currently either unemployed or underemployed.

#34 The U.S. government says that 504,000 Americans “dropped out of the labor force” in January.

#35 The Obama administration is projecting that the federal budget deficit will be 1.65 trillion dollars for fiscal 2011.

#36 It is estimated that the total U.S. national debt will be greater than 100 percent of GDP by the end of this fiscal year.

#37 The U.S. government relies on foreign nations such as China and Japan to finance 40 percent of all new government debt.

#38 State and local government debt is now sitting at an all-time high of 22 percent of U.S. GDP.

#39 The Chinese are now hoarding gold like there is no tomorrow.  In fact, Chinese demand for gold has now risen to approximately 25% of total global production.

#40 According to a recent report from the World Economic Forum, the world is going to need another $100 trillion in credit to support projected “economic growth” over the next decade.

#41 According to the U.S. Conference of Mayors, visits to soup kitchens are up 24 percent over the past year.

#42 One out of every seven Americans is now on food stamps.

#43 One out of every six elderly Americans now lives below the federal poverty line.

#44 During the last school year, almost half of all school children in the state of Illinois came from families that were considered to be “low-income”.

#45 According to a survey released very close to the end of 2010, 55 percentof all Americans are now living paycheck to paycheck.  A major economic downturn could quickly wipe out millions of families.

#46 Gasoline prices in the United States are now the highest that they have ever been in the middle of February.

#47 Faith in our economic system continues to decline.  According to one new report, only 26 percent of Americans now trust the U.S. financial system.’

 

 

World Bank President Zoellick Says Surging Food Prices Have Pushed 44 Million People Into Extreme Poverty Countries in Latin America and Africa, including Bolivia and Mozambique, are most at risk of food riots as prices advance, the United Nations reported.

 

Ongoing Dollar Devastation Sends Silver Above $31, Only $18.45 From Hunt Brother High It is good to see that things are back to normal. The now irrelevant, and very soon to be former reserve currency is getting pummeled as stocks go up on 410,000 initial jobless claims nearly 2 years after the end of the recession.

 

Replace the Federal Reserve Altogether A Good Idea Rather than have designation to what the Fed is doing we believe to a great extent the term quantitative easing will fade from the major media and Fed announcements, probably to be replaced by a term such as accommodation.

 

 

Obama’s 2012 Budget: Tool Of Class War Paul Craig Roberts | Continues Wall Street’s war against poor & middle classes.

 

 

Geithner Helping the Chinese? Reuters | Diplomatic cables lay bare China’s growing influence as largest U.S. creditor.


 

Video: Why Isn’t Wall St. in Jail? [ This truly will prove to be the story of the century (albeit an abbreviated one and a turning point toward america’s intractable decline) owing to what will ultimately be the lynch-pin of global economic / financial collapse ushering in an era of great scarcity in more ways than can be imagined. The pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt american nation / government has literally underwritten this massive fraud at the expense of the vast majorities directly and indirectly, precluded prosecution while obfuscating the substantial crimes, literally becoming accomplices thereby. There is absolutely no excuse for what is essentially a defalcation and abrogation of duty. I was watching a somewhat obscure film recently which (though elsewhere on this page and site I’ve set forth alarming crime statistics clearing showing america as number 1 in all categories by wide margins) which set forth the statistic that america has 85% of the world’s serial killers (and I’d go further in saying it is likely that america has a similar lead in war crimes, etc.) ] MSNBC | Cenk Uygur talks to Matt Taibbi about his latest Rolling Stone article.

 

 

 

 

Is China Hoarding Gold In Anticipation Of A Global Financial Implosion? 10 Facts About Gold Fever In China That May Surprise You China officially has gold fever. Chinese demand for gold in 2011 is being called “explosive” and “voracious”. China imported five times as much gold in 2010 as it did in 2009, and this year gold sales in China are projected to easily set another new all-time record.

 

 

Dollar on the edge of the abyss The dollar is now poised on the edge of the abyss.

 

Silver rises to 30-year high as mints start to ration coins Silver jumped to a 30-year high amid record levels of investor buying that has drained mints of silver coins.

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

Alex Jones: NWO orchestrated protests RT America | Protests were orchestrated by the NWO and use this as fury in the streets to roll in another layer to the police state.

 

Obama’s FY 2012 Budget Is A Tool Of Class War Obama’s new budget is a continuation of Wall Street’s class war against the poor and middle class. The effect of the Federal Reserve’s “quantitative easing” on inflation, interest rates, and the dollar’s foreign exchange value are yet to hit. When they do, Americans will get a lesson in poverty.

 

Joel Skousen On Election 2012 – Deception & War Author and political commentator Joel Skousen gives an in-depth discussion on how the election process is controlled by the establishment, with a particular focus on the 2012 election and the co-opted Tea Party movement. Skousen gives a detailed explanation of how he thinks the 2012 election will play out, with either Newt Gingrich or Sarah Palin emerging as the victorious Republican candidate.

 

 

Don’t Be Evil? 10 Ways In Which Google Runs The World Steve Watson & Paul Watson | The company was seeded with CIA money and is literally an a corporate arm of the intelligence community.

 

Deception at the Fed Ron Paul | For the past three decades, the Federal Reserve has been given a dual mandate: keeping prices stable and maximizing employment.

 

Horowitz and the Neocons Fear Patriot Ron Paul   [ Unfortunately for the zionists, reality is anti-semitic in that reality calls a spade a spade! ] Kurt Nimmo | Neocon opportunist defames Ron Paul as anti-Semite.

 

Returning National Guard Troops Set To Smash Wisconsin Protest? Paul Joseph Watson | 300 soldiers head back to state fresh from Iraq after Gov. Walker put Guard on alert last week to prepare for strikes.

 

 

 

 

US troops set for longer Afghan stay [ Defacto bankrupt america can afford it … riiiiight! ] FT.com | Surge is likely to stay in place long beyond Obama’s plan to pull troops this year.

 

 

 

Saudis Worried Protests Will Hit Home  [ For the sake of the saudi Arabian people, more than just protests should come to fruition!  ] AFP | Saudi royal warns Arab world uprisings could cause harm unless they reform.

 

 

 

Bahrain authorities launch surprise attack on protesters  [There’s the america and saudi Arabia effect; far less than democratic and far more deadly in the mideast among other places; talk about hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation as the saudis; time for the saudis to go the way of dictator Mubarak and take the war criminal americans with them.   ]  Los Angeles Times Tear gas canisters bombard sleeping protesters in Manama's Pearl Square. At least two men are reported killed   Video:  Bahrain protesters look to emulate Egypt revolt euronews    Riot Police Attack Bahrain Protesters Voice of America

 

 

 

‘Saudi Arabia sending troops to Bahrain’  Saudi Arabia is sending troops to Bahrain in a move to crack down on pro-democracy protesters who took to the streets in the capital Manama, a political analyst says. [SAUDIS TOLD OBAMA 'NOT TO HUMILIATE MUBARAK' [ Sounds like they’re hearing footsteps…Previous: Egyptian capital teeters on anarchy  Mubarak asks cabinet to resign as anti-regime protests intensify  (Washington Post) [ Mubarak should have been looking in the mirror as he asked his cabinet to resign … 30 years is a long time, and coincidentally, time for him to go.   In Egypt: Access denied (Washington Post) [The day part of the Internet died: Egypt goes dark [I disagree! Part of the internet didn’t die, but rather the order to so darken the nation heralded the demise, at 30 years and counting, of the so-called leadership in the persona of Mubarak. Time for him to go! After all, he’s been in a position, with Egypt among the only Mideast nations to have signed a peace treaty with israel, to have stepped up with substantial credibility in taking a strong position against israeli transgressions, violations of international law / u.n. resolutions, war crimes, etc., which beyond soft-touch, he failed to do. And, of all places, he sends his family to Orwellian england; he still loves those colonial masters … how pathetic. I mean, 30 years … how free-flowing does anyone think the election process is at this point … and one could ask the same regarding the entrenched powers that be in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, to be fair. Then there’s saudi arabia; talk about do nothing hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation; I suspect only when foreign corporations say so. The only Mideast nations showing backbone are Turkey, Lebanon, and Syria, and, of course the perennially propaganda painted bad-boy Iran among possibly some of the smaller emirates, ie., Qatar, etc., (I lack sufficient information regarding these other nations).  ] (AP)         Internet cutoff fails to silence Egypt protests (AP) -  ]

 

 

 

 

Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld booed at GOP convention in D.C. New York Daily News | Donald Rumsfeld and Dick Cheney were booed on Thursday at the Conservative Political Action Conference.     Ron Paul At CPAC: ‘Government is in the process of failing’ Is he running for US Senate? Is he signaling his bid for US president? Or is he hinting at something deeper within the US political climate?     Milbank: Donald trumps CPAC | Gibbs gone  (Washington Post) [  Trump’s a loser, dressed up and propped up by and to shill for a declining, fallen nation in the most corrupt regions of the country (every fallen nation has such); of that there is no question …"Over the years I've participated in many battles and have really almost come out very, very victorious every single time," the Donald said. (Except for the bankruptc[ies], that is. [ trump’s never won a battle that wasn’t fixed in advance (including the ‘pre-packaged bankrupcies’ crammed down the throats of objecting creditors – jersey general ] ) "I've beaten many people and companies, and I've won many wars," he added. (Though he didn't serve in the military.) "I have fairly [according to mobster rules; ie., bribery, money laundering, etc.] but intelligently [ as any other mob boss … trump is total b*** s***, a fraud, and lightweight … and, despite the façade, quite insecure … trump’s a total mental case … He truly is the ‘poster-boy’ of american decline and part of the problem, not the solution! …trump also said america’s become the laughingstock of the world … true enough … and trump the biggest joke … NEWS FLASH: Direct from Lost Angeles Learning Annex – Presenting mobster t_rump of new yoke, new joyzey, and now caleefornia mob fame with his continuing message for the past several years: buy real estate (and watch the values go down…..riiiiight!).
Bank sues Trump over Chicago tower loan...
Trump casino to miss interest payment...
trump’s fired (from ‘his own company’)

Gunfire Erupts Inside trump Taj Mahal Casino, 1 Dead - Second Such Incident In A Year At N.J. Mainstay Ends With Employee Killed – What else would you you expect from a mobster’s casino in mob-infested jersey!

Trump luxury resort folds, leaving buyers defrauded…litigation has commenced…send for sister maryanne, the corrupt federal judge to preside, coverup, etc., she’s in n.y./n.j./pa 3rd circuit ct appeals, understands drug money laundering/fraud and handles her own motions to recuse her and like mobster trump should be in jail  ... (see RICO Case)

 ]  earned many billions of dollars [ at whose expense ], which in a sense was both a scorecard and acknowledgment of my abilities [ to fool most of the people, all of the time. ] ."  TRUMP DRAWS CHEERS, BOOS AT CONSERVATIVE CONFERENCE...
PONDERING PRESIDENTIAL RUN... [Don’t make me laugh! … Donald T_rump Would Impose 25% Tax on China Imports if President  [  trump also said america’s become the laughingstock of the world … true enough … and trump the biggest joke … Indeed, that trump even posits the possibility of a run when he should be in jail is a testament to just how big a laughingstock pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s become!  [ If he was mobster in chief, mobster and scoundrel trump wraps himself in populist american flag and offers up an (too little too late – typical lightweight) implausible solution to keep ‘the juice’ flowing though he’d already be in jail in a rational, non-declining nation with meaningful laws. All China has to do is dump (and not prospectively buy) their ever more and declining in value day-by-day (from dollar debasement policies) u.s. paper / bonds and overnight and the u.s. economy consequently  thereby collapse. [ When you come right down to it, this has been america’s most significant export. Indeed, this irrevocable structural shift, hailed by cia men hw bush and clinton (clinton couldn’t have survived with them) by way of NAFTA as the greatest  thing since sliced bread was indeed in no uncertain terms condemned and warned against by Perot, a man of honor who, unlike his opponents, could not be bought, which is the reason, in pervasively corrupt america, he could never have been elected. Interestingly, you may have noticed the good (but not great, other than the spotlight on pervasive bribery including judges, police, politicians, etc., being far too light) the film ‘The Untouchables’ getting a wide re-airing of late, purporting to be a significant part of american folklore / history / culture. However, the reality is that in america, and certainly today, the real story with impact is that of ‘The Touchables’. The reality is that Elliot Ness died a broken man; bankrupt, unable to even win election to the mayoralty of his then current hometown. He was incorruptible; and hence, in the real america, unelectable at the least if not also all but unemployable (he and his are among those few genetic anomalies in america as I’ve previously alluded to. How far america has fallen from even false perception! Pervasively corrupt, meaningfully lawless america can’t even fake it anymore. See, for example, http://albertpeia.com/CIAAgentAffidavit1.jpg     http://albertpeia.com/FBIAgentAffidavit11.jpg      , and of course, corrupt legal / judicial processes, etc.,   Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on offensive (defensive a misnomer / propaganda) military spending than all the nations of the world combined, and by a large margin at that. Do you see a pattern emerging here [ I unfortunately only belatedly did, and the feds, fed employees, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality in the most nefarious sense …  The pervasively corrupt american illegal system … corrupt u.s. courts / (lawyers) / judges: Their lifetime plush appointments should be abolished, which corrupt entities are unheard of in productive societies as China, Japan, etc.. Time to abolish these drags on society and eliminate their lifetime stipends and costly bureaucracies. Rules of law mean nothing to these typically corrupt americans. Most, including sam alito of the u.s. supreme court, concerning  drug money laundering and obstruction of justice in the 3rd circuit ( also maryanne trump barry who covered-up drug money laundering through her brother’s casinos in a civil RICO case) should have gone to or belong in jail. Contrary to popular belief, they do it for the money, personal money, big, cash, untraceable money. The fog of war is great for such things (360 tons $100 bills flown into Iraq and missing, etc.). [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm  ]. america’s just a fraudulent and failed defacto bankrupt nation.  ] “I would announce, without equivocation, a 25% tax increase on anything purchased from China.” ]
CHENEY HECKLED... 'DRAFTDOGER!' 'WHERE'S BIN LADEN?'   ]

 

 

 

‘Cheney Stand Down Order’ #1 on Google Trends Infowars | Search term about Dick Cheney’s 9/11 actions reaches top of Google.

 

The Suez Canal Workers Stage Sit-in as U.S. Warships Dispatched Kurt Nimmo | Military in control of government has vowed to not allow labor strikes to paralyze the world’s most populous Arab nation.

TSA Workers Admit To Stealing Huge Amounts Of Cash From Passengers Steve Watson & Paul Watson | It has been revealed that TSA workers admit to stealing cash and possessions from passengers.

 

WeAreChange Confronts Dick Cheney on 9/11 Standdown Order Aaron Dykes | Activist group confronts former vice president Dick Cheney about inconsistencies in 9/11 testimony and actions in PEOC bunker. ‘Infowars.comFebruary 15, 2010The testimony of Norman Mineta before the 9/11 Commission leaves compelling questions about former Vice President Dick Cheney’s actions on the day of 9/11. Then Transportation Secretary Mineta witnessed Cheney refuse to contradict an apparent standdown order as an aide warned of something incoming at the Pentagon. Cheney has given conflicting reports about what time he entered the PEOC bunker. Mineta later confirmed his suppressed 9/11 Commission testimony and refuted Cheney’s account of arriving later.During the CPAC conference, WeAreChange.org confronted Cheney about these questions, which he refused to address.“Hey Mr. Cheney, what did you do in the underground bunker on 9/11? Dick Cheney we know what you did on 9/11 with the standdown order. Norman Mineta testified against you on the 9/11 Commission report. What happened on 9/11?”When he was being forced out, WeAreChange.org founder Luke Rudkowski calmly asked security not to push him; security backed off after asking him, ‘Are you being polite?’
Luke Rudkowski and James Lane of We Are Change confront Dick Cheney in Washington D.C. at CPAC 2/10/2011.
WeAreChangeOklahoma – Newt Gingrich and Dick Cheney (CPAC 2011)
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Instruction 3610.01A issued June 1, 2001 on “Aircraft Piracy (Hijacking) and Destruction of Derelict Airborne Objects
(Click each document for a larger image)

Cheney dodged the continuing questions by exiting with his entourage into an elevator. As a woman started repeating “Thank you Mr. Cheney for all you’ve done,” Rudkowski interjected that he was a ‘terrorist.’ Certainly, the use of admittedly elevated terror alerts throughout the Bush administration to stoke the fear card and score political dominion alone is reason to justify this label. The implications of what really happened on 9/11, and in relation to Cheney’s apparent standdown order, is even more compelling. Notably, a change in the standard operating procedure for the chain of command during the event of a hijacked aircraft was changed in June 2001, including subjecting NORAD’s response to DoD approval (SEE BELOW).
The former Vice President’s re-entry into the public limelight, after years of dealing with heart issues, is what appears to be an attempt to re-brand the Bush Administration in time to retain neo-con power in the coming GOP presidential primary field, where tea party politics and candidates like Ron Paul have obviously taken root with conservative voters in the years of the Obama administration. This confrontation occurred during the same CPAC convention where Ron Paul won the presidential straw poll and Dick Cheney was heckled and called a “war-monger” during a pep rally where Donald Rumsfeld was given the “Defender of the Constitution Award.”

From Norman Mineta’s testimony:

“During the time that the airplane was coming into the Pentagon, there was a young man who would come in and say to the Vice President…the plane is 50 miles out…the plane is 30 miles out….and when it got down to the plane is 10 miles out, the young man also said to the vice president “do the orders still stand?” And the Vice President turned and whipped his neck around and said “Of course the orders still stand, have you heard anything to the contrary!?’

 

 

 

Drudgereport: DEBT NOW EQUALS ENTIRE ECONOMY
OBAMA AGENDA IS OVER
Obama refers to himself as 'The Gipper'… [ Riiiight! …anything you say wobmama the b for b*** s***… or maybe the bipper, the chipper, or the yankee clipper (the new joltin’ joe) …sounds like he’s losing it! ] ...
BUDGET WOES FORCE STATES TO CONSIDER ABOLISHING '12 PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARIES...

STATE BUDGETS ON THE BRINK: CA, TX, IL, NY, NJ...
OBAMA BACKS UNION UPROAR
PELOSI BACKS PROTESTERS: 'I STAND IN SOLIDARITY'...
WISC GOV: 'NOT GOING TO BE BULLIED, INTIMIDATED'...

Orders state troopers to bring Dems to Capitol...
'There Is Fear For Scott Walker's Safety'...
Dem Sen: We'll stay away for weeks...
WALKOUT: Milwaukee Schools closed; teachers call in 'sick'...
REPORT: Average city teacher compensation tops $100,000...
PAPER: GET BACK TO WORK!
DNC playing role in protests...
Jesse to the Rescue: Jackson rallies protesters...
'A real Martin Luther King moment'...
Union Fight Heats Up...
Republicans vow to cut spending in state capitols...
Protests Spread to Ohio...
Michigan...
'Coming To Minnesota'...
Idaho offical target of threats over education reform plan...
Egypt in America?
'Day of Rage' Hits Wisconsin over state unions...

Madison schools closed; 1,100 teachers call in 'sick'...
Obama: 'Assault on Unions'...
Obama-founded OFA spearheading effort to defeat bill...
Boehner: 'Suspend these tactics'...
DEMS FLEE STATE HOUSE
SENATE DEMOCRATS FOUND -- AT A RESORT IN ILLINOIS!
Gov. Walker calls on Dems to return, vote...
Protesters, supporters clash in Ohio over union bill...
Activists swarm Boehner's Capitol Hill home; Chant 'don't tread on DC'..
Carney: Stimulus 'Goals Have Been Met'...

GALLUP: Unemployment hits 10%...
Feds Borrow Additional $29,660/Household Since Obama Signed Stimulus...
Ratings Downgrades Loom for Cash-Strapped States...
Hillary Clinton: Israeli Settlements 'Illegitimate'… [We know that hill … We’ve known that for quite some time along with their illegal nukes, war crimes, etc…The whole world knows that hill… so don’t just talk about it … DO SOMETHING! ] ...

Offended Mubarak refuses calls from Obama...
Ahmadinejad: Obama can't spell his own name (True … it’s ‘w o b a m a’  with ‘the b for b*** s***’ his surname … he’s so pathetic and a total caricature / joke!) ...
Egypt's protests flare despite military warning...

Libya set for 'day of anger'...
Thousands of police confront protesters in Yemen...
Riot police storm Bahrain camp; 2 reported dead...
ABCNEWS Correspondent Beaten...
100 Egyptians reach Italy amid Arab exodus...
CARTER: Muslim 'hood nothing 'to be afraid of'...
PAPER: Senate hearing turns into farce as American ignorance on Egypt revealed...
USA TO REBUKE ISRAEL AT UN
Poll: Majority of Republicans Doubt Obama's Birthplace...
Agents Shot in Mexico...

WORRIES OBAMA OFFICIALS...
ICE IN VICE...
GAO: Feds have 'operational control' of 44% of border; just 15% 'air tight'...
DAY 3: 'Watson' the computer creams human 'JEOPARDY!' champs...
REPORT: Steve Jobs receiving treatment at cancer center...     PAPER: 'Reportedly sicker than previously admitted'...
ISSA MAKES A MOVE: New subpoena seeks records on sweetheart loans...
U.S. Government Shuts Down 84,000 Websites, ‘By Mistake’
'Kill Switch' Internet bill alarms privacy experts...
GOP BLASTS FCC NET RULES...

TSA agents busted at JFK for stealing $160,000 from bags...

Hillary Clinton donors indicted...
Man mugs 96-year-old -- for $5...
France Wants New Global Finance System; End of Dollar Dominance...
Fannie, Freddie bailout: $153 billion and counting...
GALLUP: Unemployment at 10.3%...
Muslim Bros plan political party...

Present Two Faces...
Pakistan Islamists warn of protests if US prisoner freed...
SECSTATE JR: Sen Kerry arrives in Pakistan, expresses 'regret', 'sorrow'...
GADDAFI TELLS PALESTINIANS: REVOLT AGAINST ISRAEL
World Bank: Food prices at 'dangerous levels'...
Gov't Motors to pay out $189 million in bonuses; some workers to get 50% payoffs..
Deficit Expected to Jump to $1.65 Trillion...

...'slow train wreck coming'
BUDGET BLOWOUT: How big is $3.73 trillion? $12,000 from each American...
ANALYSIS: $1.5 trillion tax hike over 10 years...
AIRLINES: New fees would be $2 billion tax increase on flyers...
Sessions: Obama failed on budget...
Long Spending Fight...
Produce prices to skyrocket with freeze in Mexico, Southwest...

Clothing Prices to Rise 10% Starting in Spring...
China Replaced Japan in 2010 as Number 2 Economy...

China plans Colombian rail link to challenge Panama canal...
The March On Berlusconi...
Berlusconi indicted in prostitution probe...

Malware 'Aimed at Iran Hit Five Sites'...

Mubarak 'falls into coma after final speech'...
Egyptian military orders last protesters out of 'Liberation Square'...
Consolidates power...
Delivers ultimatum...
Boy wrestler forfeits match to female opponent... [ What a homo! Wow! I feel sorry for those guys she actually beat (20 of them – her record was 20 and 13) … they’ll probably never get over it … nor should they … I have to rethink my regard for Iowa, Iowa state wrestling now presuming such stalwart championship teams to be the products of out-of-state imports … as for the guy who forfeited, he could have easily and gently taken her down (you can easily do that with a lesser opponent), got her in a double grapevine and grind her in a certain way into the mat, and when she was in the throws of convulsive orgasm, she’d unwittingly arch her back, thereby pressing her own shoulder blades to the mat, thereby pinning herself, thus enabling the homo to say in a manner of speaking that he was making heterosexual love not war with her ……… how pathetic and preposterous this was … and, let me remind the homo that God doesn’t care that you wrestle a girl who wants to wrestle! ]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bank regulators update Senate (Washington Post) [ Update, riiiiight! … sounds like a plan! … for the spectator sport called the u.s. senate … what an over-rated, over-compensated, over-stayed bunch of incompetent boobs. Time for shorter terms and term limits for these failed, flawed, and venal politicians; along with the paycuts they richly deserve. Their solution to most problems … leave it to the perps as they bilk the nation but contribute mightily to their campaign funds. ] Lawmakers hope to set nationwide requirements for foreclosures.

 

Boehner draws line on spending bill (Washington Post) [ Lines … riiiiight! … republicans are great ones for drawing lines … Poppy bush’s line in sand ( everyone who really knows the real story knows that bush’s cia station chief, april glaspie gave sadam hussein the green light to invade Kuwait over their dispute concerning Kuwait’s slant-drilling of Iraqi oil reserves … to contrive the conflict. ), lines of war-criminal dumbya bush of with us or aggin’ us, etc., but we can thank both parties in terms of  their bi-partisan contribution to ever-growing unemployment LINES.  Yes, unemployment numbers were quite bad this day, but the frauds on wall street with fed help you’ll ultimately pay for rallied anyway.   Jobless Recovery?: 25 Unemployment Statistics That Are Almost Too Depressing To Read ‘… Unemployment is up again! That’s right – even though Wall Street is swimming in cash and the Obama administration is declaring that “the recession is over”, the U.S. unemployment rate has gone even higher. So are you enjoying the jobless recovery? Economic Collapse Blog ‘Guess what?  Unemployment is up again!  That’s right – even though Wall Street is swimming in cash and the Obama administration is declaring that “the recession is over”, the U.S. unemployment rate has gone even higher ... Times are really, really tough and unfortunately the long-term outlook is very bleak.  We should have compassion on those who are out of work right now, because soon many of us may join them.The following are 25 unemployment statistics that are almost too depressing to read…. See infra for list        Stock Melt-Up Continues to Ignore Warnings    [ While I generally warn against short-selling as an investment strategy for all but the most successful speculators (there are very, very few), if there ever was a time to try your luck at same, that time is now! We’re now beyond the absurd in these overbought, overvalued, contrived, manipulated markets. See also, Dave infra, ‘…Further, the Philly Fed (riiiiight … that global hub of manufacturing activity) came in much higher than expected although inside the numbers the prices paid vs prices received disparity was the greatest since 1979. That wasn't a great time for corporate profits. Even though there's some "discussion" within the Fed over the effectiveness of QE operations another heavy dose of POMO was released to trading desks again Thursday.   …’ Why Isn’t Wall Street in Jail? Matt Taibbi | Financial crooks brought down the world’s economy — but the feds are doing more to protect them than to prosecute them. ( This is not a too big to fail, but a too willing to pay bribes to jail - reality. This really is beyond the pale, particularly when they trumpet prosecution of $225 million in medicare frauds while wall street’s continuing fraud in the trillions remains unprosecuted – there is no excuse whatsoever – pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america is done!).  ]  Minyanville ‘Suttmeier, chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com:  The stock melt-up has the major equity averages above this week’s pivots putting the focus on the Nasdaq and its quarterly risky level at 2853. The Dow Transports broke above the potential double-top. Stocks are ignoring the ValuEngine Valuation Warning and extreme overbought technical market indicators. The 10-Year yield failed at my weekly risky level at 3.568 after holding my annual value level at 3.791 last week. Comex gold is above my annual pivot at $1356.5 and closed above its 50-day simple moving average at $1372.2. Nymex crude oil remains below my semiannual pivot at $87.52, but is now oversold. The euro is above its 50-day simple moving average at 1.3377 with this week’s risky level at 1.3636.

New Highs for the Move for the Major Equity Averages
 

  • The Dow Industrial Average (12,288) remains extremely overbought and closed above its weekly pivot at 12,274 testing 12,303.16. The 21-day simple moving average rises to 12,063 with today’s risky level at 12,399.
  • The S&P 500 (1336.3) closed above its weekly pivot at 1335.6, setting a new high for the move at 1337.61. The 21-day simple moving average rises to 1306.1 with today’s risky level at 1344.4.
  • The Nasdaq (2826) closed back above this week’s pivot at 2811 with my quarterly risky level at 2853. The 21-day simple moving average rises to 2756 with today’s risky level at 2840.
  • Dow Transports (5286) tested and held its weekly pivot at 5206 on Tuesday, then breaks above its January 18 high at 5256.80 to 5306.54 on Wednesday. Today’s risky level is 5317.
  • The Russell 2000 (828.37) is above its weekly pivot at 811.80 with its July 2007 high at 862.00. Today’s risky level is 837.39.


We continue to trade under a ValuEngine Valuation Warning -- Sixteen of 16 sectors overvalued with only 32.4% of all stocks undervalued on Wednesday, below the 35% threshold by this measure. This also means that 67.6% of all stocks are overvalued.

10-Year Note -- (3.619) Is between my annual value level at 3.791 and my weekly risky level at 3.568.

Comex Gold -- ($1375.3) My annual pivot is $1356.5 with the 50-day simple moving average at $1372.2 with my monthly risky level at $1412.4.

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($85.00) Continues to trade below my semiannual pivot at $87.52 and is now oversold on its daily chart with today’s value level at $82.85.

The Euro -- (1.3567) Still above its 50-day simple moving average at 1.3377 with my weekly risky level at 1.3636.

Housing Starts and Permits Remain Soft -- Housing Starts increased 14.6% in January, but the gain was entirely due to a 77.7% increase in the multifamily sector. Single family starts declined 1.0% to a 413,000 annual rate with single family permits down 4.8%. Overall building permits declined 10.4%.

More Information From the NAHB Housing Market Index -- If you look at the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index going back to 1985 it never went below 20 until October 2007. During the 1988 to 1992 mini-crisis the lowest reading was 20 in January 1991. For the current popping of the housing bubble this index peaked at 72 in June 2005, when the CEOs of the publicly traded home builders described the housing market as the best they have ever seen.

Back in June 2005 ValuEngine had the home builders extremely overvalued and I noted their weekly price charts were extremely overbought. I wrote a piece calling for a summer 2005 peak for the home builder stocks, which proved to be a prudent market call. The NAHB HMI has been 20 or below since September 2007 and has been between 13 and 16 the past nine months. The exception was a 22 reading in the height of the $8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit in May 2010.

The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that their weekly Mortgage Applications Survey decreased 9.5% with the Refinance Index down 11.4%, to the lowest reading since July 3, 2009. The Purchase Index decreased 5.9%, and is 18.2% lower than a year ago. A major drag is attributed to the above 5% mortgage rate, up nearly a full percentage point from the October 2010 low, in the midst of when Fed Chief Bernanke was touting that the pending QE2 program would push longer-term yields lower to help consumers. The only thing that QE2 has done is inflate an equity market to an overvalued and overbought inflating financial bubble!

The minutes from the latest Fed Meeting indicates that unemployment and tight credit conditions continues to be a drag on the housing market. History repeats: Housing peaked in mid-2005 and the recovery has been nil. Community banks peaked at the end of 2006, and Bank Failure Friday continues. Regional Banks peaked in March 2007, and toxic assets remain in the banking system. Fed policy with that ridiculously low funds rate and QE2 is masking problems that will still plague the US economy for the next several years.’

 

 

 

 ]

 

 

Imams wage political battle against U.S. (Washington Post) [ Yeah! Are not these native Afghans freedom fighters in the highest, truest, and most noble sense of the term. I mean, pervasively corrupt / defacto bankrupt america’s destructive and corrupting influence is unequivocal (including the resurgent heroin trade that had all been eradicated by the Taliban). This unlawful incursion is a lose, lose scenario for all parties; and, america’s / israel’s / nato’s zionist aspirations in the region are among the most self-destructive, self-defeating policies in world history. ]  For the U.S. government, and for the 100,000 American troops fighting in Afghanistan, the messages delivered last Friday could hardly have been worse.

 

 

Clock is ticking (Washington Post) [ Oh come on! Don’t be a spoil-sport realist; after all, these are, unlike mubarak, young pro-saudi-american dictators and still have a bright future of repression / oppression / suppression ahead of them for the greater good of … status quo? … nobody really thinks so. Tick-Tock! ] Editorial: In Bahrain, America should press the government to cease its repression [ Don’t hold your breath. ].  Bahrain authorities launch surprise attack on protesters  [There’s the america and saudi Arabia effect; far less than democratic and far more deadly in the mideast among other places; talk about hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation as the saudis; time for the saudis to go the way of dictator Mubarak and take the war criminal americans with them.   ]  Los Angeles Times Tear gas canisters bombard sleeping protesters in Manama's Pearl Square. At least two men are reported killed   Video:  Bahrain protesters look to emulate Egypt revolt euronews    Riot Police Attack Bahrain Protesters Voice of America

 

 

 

‘Saudi Arabia sending troops to Bahrain’  Saudi Arabia is sending troops to Bahrain in a move to crack down on pro-democracy protesters who took to the streets in the capital Manama, a political analyst says. [SAUDIS TOLD OBAMA 'NOT TO HUMILIATE MUBARAK' [ Sounds like they’re hearing footsteps…Previous: Egyptian capital teeters on anarchy  Mubarak asks cabinet to resign as anti-regime protests intensify  (Washington Post) [ Mubarak should have been looking in the mirror as he asked his cabinet to resign … 30 years is a long time, and coincidentally, time for him to go.   In Egypt: Access denied (Washington Post) [The day part of the Internet died: Egypt goes dark [I disagree! Part of the internet didn’t die, but rather the order to so darken the nation heralded the demise, at 30 years and counting, of the so-called leadership in the persona of Mubarak. Time for him to go! After all, he’s been in a position, with Egypt among the only Mideast nations to have signed a peace treaty with israel, to have stepped up with substantial credibility in taking a strong position against israeli transgressions, violations of international law / u.n. resolutions, war crimes, etc., which beyond soft-touch, he failed to do. And, of all places, he sends his family to Orwellian england; he still loves those colonial masters … how pathetic. I mean, 30 years … how free-flowing does anyone think the election process is at this point … and one could ask the same regarding the entrenched powers that be in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, to be fair. Then there’s saudi arabia; talk about do nothing hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation; I suspect only when foreign corporations say so. The only Mideast nations showing backbone are Turkey, Lebanon, and Syria, and, of course the perennially propaganda painted bad-boy Iran among possibly some of the smaller emirates, ie., Qatar, etc., (I lack sufficient information regarding these other nations).  ] (AP)         Internet cutoff fails to silence Egypt protests (AP) -  ]

 

 

 

 

Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld booed at GOP convention in D.C. New York Daily News | Donald Rumsfeld and Dick Cheney were booed on Thursday at the Conservative Political Action Conference.     Ron Paul At CPAC: ‘Government is in the process of failing’ Is he running for US Senate? Is he signaling his bid for US president? Or is he hinting at something deeper within the US political climate?     Milbank: Donald trumps CPAC | Gibbs gone  (Washington Post) [  Trump’s a loser, dressed up and propped up by and to shill for a declining, fallen nation in the most corrupt regions of the country (every fallen nation has such); of that there is no question …"Over the years I've participated in many battles and have really almost come out very, very victorious every single time," the Donald said. (Except for the bankruptc[ies], that is. [ trump’s never won a battle that wasn’t fixed in advance (including the ‘pre-packaged bankrupcies’ crammed down the throats of objecting creditors – jersey general ] ) "I've beaten many people and companies, and I've won many wars," he added. (Though he didn't serve in the military.) "I have fairly [according to mobster rules; ie., bribery, money laundering, etc.] but intelligently [ as any other mob boss … trump is total b*** s***, a fraud, and lightweight … and, despite the façade, quite insecure … trump’s a total mental case … He truly is the ‘poster-boy’ of american decline and part of the problem, not the solution! …trump also said america’s become the laughingstock of the world … true enough … and trump the biggest joke … NEWS FLASH: Direct from Lost Angeles Learning Annex – Presenting mobster t_rump of new yoke, new joyzey, and now caleefornia mob fame with his continuing message for the past several years: buy real estate (and watch the values go down…..riiiiight!).
Bank sues Trump over Chicago tower loan...
Trump casino to miss interest payment...
trump’s fired (from ‘his own company’)

Gunfire Erupts Inside trump Taj Mahal Casino, 1 Dead - Second Such Incident In A Year At N.J. Mainstay Ends With Employee Killed – What else would you you expect from a mobster’s casino in mob-infested jersey!

Trump luxury resort folds, leaving buyers defrauded…litigation has commenced…send for sister maryanne, the corrupt federal judge to preside, coverup, etc., she’s in n.y./n.j./pa 3rd circuit ct appeals, understands drug money laundering/fraud and handles her own motions to recuse her and like mobster trump should be in jail  ... (see RICO Case)

 ]  earned many billions of dollars [ at whose expense ], which in a sense was both a scorecard and acknowledgment of my abilities [ to fool most of the people, all of the time. ] ."  TRUMP DRAWS CHEERS, BOOS AT CONSERVATIVE CONFERENCE...
PONDERING PRESIDENTIAL RUN... [Don’t make me laugh! … Donald T_rump Would Impose 25% Tax on China Imports if President  [  trump also said america’s become the laughingstock of the world … true enough … and trump the biggest joke … Indeed, that trump even posits the possibility of a run when he should be in jail is a testament to just how big a laughingstock pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s become!  [ If he was mobster in chief, mobster and scoundrel trump wraps himself in populist american flag and offers up an (too little too late – typical lightweight) implausible solution to keep ‘the juice’ flowing though he’d already be in jail in a rational, non-declining nation with meaningful laws. All China has to do is dump (and not prospectively buy) their ever more and declining in value day-by-day (from dollar debasement policies) u.s. paper / bonds and overnight and the u.s. economy consequently  thereby collapse. [ When you come right down to it, this has been america’s most significant export. Indeed, this irrevocable structural shift, hailed by cia men hw bush and clinton (clinton couldn’t have survived with them) by way of NAFTA as the greatest  thing since sliced bread was indeed in no uncertain terms condemned and warned against by Perot, a man of honor who, unlike his opponents, could not be bought, which is the reason, in pervasively corrupt america, he could never have been elected. Interestingly, you may have noticed the good (but not great, other than the spotlight on pervasive bribery including judges, police, politicians, etc., being far too light) the film ‘The Untouchables’ getting a wide re-airing of late, purporting to be a significant part of american folklore / history / culture. However, the reality is that in america, and certainly today, the real story with impact is that of ‘The Touchables’. The reality is that Elliot Ness died a broken man; bankrupt, unable to even win election to the mayoralty of his then current hometown. He was incorruptible; and hence, in the real america, unelectable at the least if not also all but unemployable (he and his are among those few genetic anomalies in america as I’ve previously alluded to. How far america has fallen from even false perception! Pervasively corrupt, meaningfully lawless america can’t even fake it anymore. See, for example, http://albertpeia.com/CIAAgentAffidavit1.jpg     http://albertpeia.com/FBIAgentAffidavit11.jpg      , and of course, corrupt legal / judicial processes, etc.,   Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on offensive (defensive a misnomer / propaganda) military spending than all the nations of the world combined, and by a large margin at that. Do you see a pattern emerging here [ I unfortunately only belatedly did, and the feds, fed employees, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality in the most nefarious sense …  The pervasively corrupt american illegal system … corrupt u.s. courts / (lawyers) / judges: Their lifetime plush appointments should be abolished, which corrupt entities are unheard of in productive societies as China, Japan, etc.. Time to abolish these drags on society and eliminate their lifetime stipends and costly bureaucracies. Rules of law mean nothing to these typically corrupt americans. Most, including sam alito of the u.s. supreme court, concerning  drug money laundering and obstruction of justice in the 3rd circuit ( also maryanne trump barry who covered-up drug money laundering through her brother’s casinos in a civil RICO case) should have gone to or belong in jail. Contrary to popular belief, they do it for the money, personal money, big, cash, untraceable money. The fog of war is great for such things (360 tons $100 bills flown into Iraq and missing, etc.). [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm  ]. america’s just a fraudulent and failed defacto bankrupt nation.  ] “I would announce, without equivocation, a 25% tax increase on anything purchased from China.” ]
CHENEY HECKLED... 'DRAFTDOGER!' 'WHERE'S BIN LADEN?'   ]

 

 

 

‘Cheney Stand Down Order’ #1 on Google Trends Infowars | Search term about Dick Cheney’s 9/11 actions reaches top of Google.

 

The Suez Canal Workers Stage Sit-in as U.S. Warships Dispatched Kurt Nimmo | Military in control of government has vowed to not allow labor strikes to paralyze the world’s most populous Arab nation.

TSA Workers Admit To Stealing Huge Amounts Of Cash From Passengers Steve Watson & Paul Watson | It has been revealed that TSA workers admit to stealing cash and possessions from passengers.

 

WeAreChange Confronts Dick Cheney on 9/11 Standdown Order Aaron Dykes | Activist group confronts former vice president Dick Cheney about inconsistencies in 9/11 testimony and actions in PEOC bunker. ‘Infowars.comFebruary 15, 2010The testimony of Norman Mineta before the 9/11 Commission leaves compelling questions about former Vice President Dick Cheney’s actions on the day of 9/11. Then Transportation Secretary Mineta witnessed Cheney refuse to contradict an apparent standdown order as an aide warned of something incoming at the Pentagon. Cheney has given conflicting reports about what time he entered the PEOC bunker. Mineta later confirmed his suppressed 9/11 Commission testimony and refuted Cheney’s account of arriving later.During the CPAC conference, WeAreChange.org confronted Cheney about these questions, which he refused to address.“Hey Mr. Cheney, what did you do in the underground bunker on 9/11? Dick Cheney we know what you did on 9/11 with the standdown order. Norman Mineta testified against you on the 9/11 Commission report. What happened on 9/11?”When he was being forced out, WeAreChange.org founder Luke Rudkowski calmly asked security not to push him; security backed off after asking him, ‘Are you being polite?’
Luke Rudkowski and James Lane of We Are Change confront Dick Cheney in Washington D.C. at CPAC 2/10/2011.
WeAreChangeOklahoma – Newt Gingrich and Dick Cheney (CPAC 2011)
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Instruction 3610.01A issued June 1, 2001 on “Aircraft Piracy (Hijacking) and Destruction of Derelict Airborne Objects
(Click each document for a larger image)

Cheney dodged the continuing questions by exiting with his entourage into an elevator. As a woman started repeating “Thank you Mr. Cheney for all you’ve done,” Rudkowski interjected that he was a ‘terrorist.’ Certainly, the use of admittedly elevated terror alerts throughout the Bush administration to stoke the fear card and score political dominion alone is reason to justify this label. The implications of what really happened on 9/11, and in relation to Cheney’s apparent standdown order, is even more compelling. Notably, a change in the standard operating procedure for the chain of command during the event of a hijacked aircraft was changed in June 2001, including subjecting NORAD’s response to DoD approval (SEE BELOW).
The former Vice President’s re-entry into the public limelight, after years of dealing with heart issues, is what appears to be an attempt to re-brand the Bush Administration in time to retain neo-con power in the coming GOP presidential primary field, where tea party politics and candidates like Ron Paul have obviously taken root with conservative voters in the years of the Obama administration. This confrontation occurred during the same CPAC convention where Ron Paul won the presidential straw poll and Dick Cheney was heckled and called a “war-monger” during a pep rally where Donald Rumsfeld was given the “Defender of the Constitution Award.”

From Norman Mineta’s testimony:

“During the time that the airplane was coming into the Pentagon, there was a young man who would come in and say to the Vice President…the plane is 50 miles out…the plane is 30 miles out….and when it got down to the plane is 10 miles out, the young man also said to the vice president “do the orders still stand?” And the Vice President turned and whipped his neck around and said “Of course the orders still stand, have you heard anything to the contrary!?’

 

  

 

 

Obama joins Wisconsin budget battle   Democratic lawmakers flee state in attempt to block anti-union bill  (Washington Post) [ Looks like capital hill can pick up a few pointers from ‘dem dems … fleeing the state, that is … except in their case it’ll be fleeing the nation-state, or what’s left of same.   Drudgereport: DEBT NOW EQUALS ENTIRE ECONOMY
OBAMA AGENDA IS OVER
Obama refers to himself as 'The Gipper'… [ Riiiight! …anything you say wobmama the b for b*** s***… or maybe the bipper, the chipper, or the yankee clipper (the new joltin’ joe) …sounds like he’s losing it! ] ...
'Day of Rage' Hits Wisconsin over state unions...

Madison schools closed; 1,100 teachers call in 'sick'...
Obama: 'Assault on Unions'...
Obama-founded OFA spearheading effort to defeat bill...
Boehner: 'Suspend these tactics'...
DEMS FLEE STATE HOUSE
SENATE DEMOCRATS FOUND -- AT A RESORT IN ILLINOIS!
Gov. Walker calls on Dems to return, vote...
Protesters, supporters clash in Ohio over union bill...
Activists swarm Boehner's Capitol Hill home; Chant 'don't tread on DC'..
Carney: Stimulus 'Goals Have Been Met'...

GALLUP: Unemployment hits 10%...
Feds Borrow Additional $29,660/Household Since Obama Signed Stimulus...
Ratings Downgrades Loom for Cash-Strapped States...

 

] President accuses Scott Walker, the state's GOP governor, of unleashing an "assault" on unions in plan to roll back benefits for public workers.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bubble Talk: Grantham Warns Of The Paradox Of Profit Margins Reese ‘In the second half of his year-end letter, GMO’s Jeremy Grantham takes a look at numerous asset bubbles throughout history, warning investors to ignore bubbles at their own peril. Grantham’s GMO manages more than $100 billion in assets.“Responding to the ebbs and flows of major cycles and saving your big bets for the outlying extremes is, in my opinion, easily the best way for a large pool of money to add value and reduce risk,” Grantham writes. “In comparison, waiting on the railroad tracks as the ‘Bubble Express’ comes barreling toward you is a very painful way to show your disdain for macro concepts and a blind devotion to your central skill of stock picking. The really major bubbles will wash away big slices of even the best Graham and Dodd portfolios.” Grantham says that bubbles form because of a cycle in which investment managers, feeling the career risk in making bold moves, fall prey to “herding”. It also involves what he calls “double counting”. Profit margins, he says, are mean-reverting, meaning that at times when margins are high, investors should be willing to pay less per dollar of earnings. In reality, what often happens, he says, is that when margins are high, inflating earnings, investors pay more for each dollar of earnings.“It is a classic fallacy of composition,” he says. “For an individual company, having an exceptional profit margin deserves a premium P/E against its competitors. But for the market as a whole, for which profit margins are beautifully mean reverting, it is exactly the reverse. This apparent paradox seems to fool the market persistently.”Also necessary for a bubble to form: a generous money supply, Grantham adds.Grantham also shows how bubbles — from the South Sea Stock Bubble of the early 1700s to the recent U.S. housing bubble — always go back to their original trend that was in place before the bubble formed.’

 



 

Great Inflation Debate: Core Producer Prices Run Hot Phillips ‘In the monthly battle over whether inflation is in the offing, the inflationistas got something to hold onto this morning. The monthly core producer prices for January — stripping out food and energy prices — came in at 0.5%, higher than 0.2% than economists had been expecting. Miller Tabak’s Peter Boockvar notes that the main rise in the core price was a 1.4% increase in prescription drug costs.

Alan Ruskin of Deutsche Bank writes:

Core intermediates and core crude were worryingly strong. In theory this pipeline pressure is not good for risk appetite and equities one way or the other. Either it dampens profit margins, or it is passed along to consumers, hurting real disposable income and encouraging policy tightening. Given a choice the market much prefers the former to the latter, not least because profit margins are less transparent, and determined even more by labor costs than raw materials. As such, pipeline price pressures will probably only seriously dampen enthusiasm for equities and risky assets when they start to show up more obviously in CPI or less clearly in industrial earnings.CPI will be on the economic docket on Thursday, with expectations for an increase of 0.3% in the headline number and 0.1% in the core figure. That number will be a lot more important to the markets. Yields on Treasurys are up a bit after the PPI report, but nothing major.’

 

 



 

Analyst: Oil Will Hit $300 in a Decade, Regardless of Egypt Read more: Analyst: Oil Will Hit $300 in a Decade, Regardless of Egypt Weeden & Co. oil analyst Charles Maxwell says oil prices are bound to move steadily higher during the next decade, eventually hitting $300 a barrel, regardless of whatever happens in Egypt.

 

World Bank President Zoellick Says Surging Food Prices Have Pushed 44 Million People Into Extreme Poverty Countries in Latin America and Africa, including Bolivia and Mozambique, are most at risk of food riots as prices advance, the United Nations reported.

 

Ongoing Dollar Devastation Sends Silver Above $31, Only $18.45 From Hunt Brother High It is good to see that things are back to normal. The now irrelevant, and very soon to be former reserve currency is getting pummeled as stocks go up on 410,000 initial jobless claims nearly 2 years after the end of the recession.

 

Replace the Federal Reserve Altogether A Good Idea Rather than have designation to what the Fed is doing we believe to a great extent the term quantitative easing will fade from the major media and Fed announcements, probably to be replaced by a term such as accommodation.

 

Is Apple’s Afterhours Weakness Based On The Assessment Of A Less Than Credible “Doctor?” As is by now well-known, Apple stock is underperforming after hours following reports of an allegedly sickly-looking Steve Jobs leaving the Stanford cancer center.

 

State of Denial On a day when crude oil passes $104 a barrel and gold crosses $1,380 an ounce, we would like to reflect on inflation in the currency supply and inflation in commodities. In the grand cosmic drama of international relations, every country seems to be dealing with inflation in their own idiosyncratic ways.

 

 

 

Jobless claims tick back above 400,000 CNNMoney | Number of Americans filing first-time claims for unemployment benefits edged up last week.

 

 

Why Isn’t Wall Street in Jail? Matt Taibbi | Financial crooks brought down the world’s economy — but the feds are doing more to protect them than to prosecute them.

 

 

Consumer prices jump in January Los Angeles Times -US inflation index rises 0.4% from December, the second straight monthly climb. Core inflation rises 0.2%, the highest monthly gain since October 2009.   Thursday Look Ahead: Markets on Inflation Watch CNBC.com    The Fed Is Wrong, Inflation Is Here Forbes (blog)

National / World

 

 

Cancer causing chemicals found in cola coloring ingredient The “caramel coloring” used to color all the top cola brands isn’t natural caramel coloring at all. Instead, it’s made by reacting sugars with ammonia and sulfites at high temperatures. This reaction results in the formation of 2-methylimidazole and 4-methylimidazole, both of which are chemicals documented by the U.S. government to cause cancer in mammals.

 

Two-year-old girl feared among four dead in Bahrain as riot police engage in pre-dawn protest crackdown At least four people have been killed including a two-year-old girl in Bahrain after police carried out a raid on anti-government protesters.

 

Exclusive video: Cops shooting at protesters in deadly Yemen unrest Security forces have clashed with anti-government protesters in Yemen on the seventh consecutive day of demonstrations calling for the ouster of the president. Police have shot and killed two protesters in the Yemeni city of Aden as unrest in the capital Sanaa against President Ali Abdullah Saleh flared for a fourth straight day. The fatalities were among three people taken to Naqib hospital in Aden. Medics said both fatalities died of their wounds.

 

ABC Journalist Beaten, And At Least One Is Killed As Protests In Bahrain Turn Violent The situation in Bahrain is rapidly deteriorating.

 

Hosni Mubarak Not Dying, Had Breakfast on the Beach Former Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak was well enough to have breakfast on the beach today and is doing well, a sharp contradiction to reports that the sidelined strongman had slipped into a coma and was dying, a well placed source told ABC News.

 

 

 

TSA Criminals Caught Stealing Cash, Arrested for Assault Steve Watson | Deviants, dregs of society stealing people’s belongings and feeling them up on behalf of the federal government.

 

Milestones of the Impending Police State Alex Jones | The engineered financial crisis necessitates a high-tech police state and further erosion of liberty.

 

Day Of Rage: Americans Finally Reacting To Economic Rape? Paul Joseph Watson | Cairo Moves To Madison: Protesters mass in hallways of Wisconsin state Capitol as debt black hole threatens riots.  Last month we speculated how long it would take for the scenes on the streets of Cairo to be repeated in America. After all, Americans are facing similar levels of economic rape to those that prompted Egyptians to rise up and overthrow 30 year dictator Hosni Mubarak.

 

Teachers and Police Battle in Oaxaca, Mexico Kurt Nimmo | Oaxaca clash reminiscent of street battles over wages in 2006.

 

Baghdad wants U.S. to pay $1 billion for damage to city Iraq’s capital wants the United States to apologize and pay $1 billion for the damage done to the city not by bombs but by blast walls and Humvees since the U.S.-led invasion that toppled Saddam Hussein.

 

Betrayed! Tea Party Politicians Vote To Renew The Patriot Act For a moment, imagine that you are awakened one night by a heavily-armed team of federal agents dressed in all black breaking into your home.

 

Colin Powell demands answers over false Iraq intel: reports Ex-secretary of state Colin Powell called on the CIA and Pentagon to explain how he was given unreliable information which proved key to the US case for

 

 

 

Correspondent sexually assaulted, beaten in Cairo CNN | CBS News correspondent Lara Logan was reporting on the protests in Egypt.

 

 

 

Bahrain authorities launch surprise attack on protesters  [There’s the america and saudi Arabia effect; far less than democratic and far more deadly in the mideast among other places; talk about hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation as the saudis; time for the saudis to go the way of dictator Mubarak and take the war criminal americans with them.   ]  Los Angeles Times Tear gas canisters bombard sleeping protesters in Manama's Pearl Square. At least two men are reported killed   Video:  Bahrain protesters look to emulate Egypt revolt euronews    Riot Police Attack Bahrain Protesters Voice of America

 

 

 

‘Saudi Arabia sending troops to Bahrain’  Saudi Arabia is sending troops to Bahrain in a move to crack down on pro-democracy protesters who took to the streets in the capital Manama, a political analyst says. [SAUDIS TOLD OBAMA 'NOT TO HUMILIATE MUBARAK' [ Sounds like they’re hearing footsteps…Previous: Egyptian capital teeters on anarchy  Mubarak asks cabinet to resign as anti-regime protests intensify  (Washington Post) [ Mubarak should have been looking in the mirror as he asked his cabinet to resign … 30 years is a long time, and coincidentally, time for him to go.   In Egypt: Access denied (Washington Post) [The day part of the Internet died: Egypt goes dark [I disagree! Part of the internet didn’t die, but rather the order to so darken the nation heralded the demise, at 30 years and counting, of the so-called leadership in the persona of Mubarak. Time for him to go! After all, he’s been in a position, with Egypt among the only Mideast nations to have signed a peace treaty with israel, to have stepped up with substantial credibility in taking a strong position against israeli transgressions, violations of international law / u.n. resolutions, war crimes, etc., which beyond soft-touch, he failed to do. And, of all places, he sends his family to Orwellian england; he still loves those colonial masters … how pathetic. I mean, 30 years … how free-flowing does anyone think the election process is at this point … and one could ask the same regarding the entrenched powers that be in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, to be fair. Then there’s saudi arabia; talk about do nothing hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation; I suspect only when foreign corporations say so. The only Mideast nations showing backbone are Turkey, Lebanon, and Syria, and, of course the perennially propaganda painted bad-boy Iran among possibly some of the smaller emirates, ie., Qatar, etc., (I lack sufficient information regarding these other nations).  ] (AP)         Internet cutoff fails to silence Egypt protests (AP) -  ]

 

 

 

 

Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld booed at GOP convention in D.C. New York Daily News | Donald Rumsfeld and Dick Cheney were booed on Thursday at the Conservative Political Action Conference.     Ron Paul At CPAC: ‘Government is in the process of failing’ Is he running for US Senate? Is he signaling his bid for US president? Or is he hinting at something deeper within the US political climate?     Milbank: Donald trumps CPAC | Gibbs gone  (Washington Post) [  Trump’s a loser, dressed up and propped up by and to shill for a declining, fallen nation in the most corrupt regions of the country (every fallen nation has such); of that there is no question …"Over the years I've participated in many battles and have really almost come out very, very victorious every single time," the Donald said. (Except for the bankruptc[ies], that is. [ trump’s never won a battle that wasn’t fixed in advance (including the ‘pre-packaged bankrupcies’ crammed down the throats of objecting creditors – jersey general ] ) "I've beaten many people and companies, and I've won many wars," he added. (Though he didn't serve in the military.) "I have fairly [according to mobster rules; ie., bribery, money laundering, etc.] but intelligently [ as any other mob boss … trump is total b*** s***, a fraud, and lightweight … and, despite the façade, quite insecure … trump’s a total mental case … He truly is the ‘poster-boy’ of american decline and part of the problem, not the solution! …trump also said america’s become the laughingstock of the world … true enough … and trump the biggest joke … NEWS FLASH: Direct from Lost Angeles Learning Annex – Presenting mobster t_rump of new yoke, new joyzey, and now caleefornia mob fame with his continuing message for the past several years: buy real estate (and watch the values go down…..riiiiight!).
Bank sues Trump over Chicago tower loan...
Trump casino to miss interest payment...
trump’s fired (from ‘his own company’)

Gunfire Erupts Inside trump Taj Mahal Casino, 1 Dead - Second Such Incident In A Year At N.J. Mainstay Ends With Employee Killed – What else would you you expect from a mobster’s casino in mob-infested jersey!

Trump luxury resort folds, leaving buyers defrauded…litigation has commenced…send for sister maryanne, the corrupt federal judge to preside, coverup, etc., she’s in n.y./n.j./pa 3rd circuit ct appeals, understands drug money laundering/fraud and handles her own motions to recuse her and like mobster trump should be in jail  ... (see RICO Case)

 ]  earned many billions of dollars [ at whose expense ], which in a sense was both a scorecard and acknowledgment of my abilities [ to fool most of the people, all of the time. ] ."  TRUMP DRAWS CHEERS, BOOS AT CONSERVATIVE CONFERENCE...
PONDERING PRESIDENTIAL RUN... [Don’t make me laugh! … Donald T_rump Would Impose 25% Tax on China Imports if President  [  trump also said america’s become the laughingstock of the world … true enough … and trump the biggest joke … Indeed, that trump even posits the possibility of a run when he should be in jail is a testament to just how big a laughingstock pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s become!  [ If he was mobster in chief, mobster and scoundrel trump wraps himself in populist american flag and offers up an (too little too late – typical lightweight) implausible solution to keep ‘the juice’ flowing though he’d already be in jail in a rational, non-declining nation with meaningful laws. All China has to do is dump (and not prospectively buy) their ever more and declining in value day-by-day (from dollar debasement policies) u.s. paper / bonds and overnight and the u.s. economy consequently  thereby collapse. [ When you come right down to it, this has been america’s most significant export. Indeed, this irrevocable structural shift, hailed by cia men hw bush and clinton (clinton couldn’t have survived with them) by way of NAFTA as the greatest  thing since sliced bread was indeed in no uncertain terms condemned and warned against by Perot, a man of honor who, unlike his opponents, could not be bought, which is the reason, in pervasively corrupt america, he could never have been elected. Interestingly, you may have noticed the good (but not great, other than the spotlight on pervasive bribery including judges, police, politicians, etc., being far too light) the film ‘The Untouchables’ getting a wide re-airing of late, purporting to be a significant part of american folklore / history / culture. However, the reality is that in america, and certainly today, the real story with impact is that of ‘The Touchables’. The reality is that Elliot Ness died a broken man; bankrupt, unable to even win election to the mayoralty of his then current hometown. He was incorruptible; and hence, in the real america, unelectable at the least if not also all but unemployable (he and his are among those few genetic anomalies in america as I’ve previously alluded to. How far america has fallen from even false perception! Pervasively corrupt, meaningfully lawless america can’t even fake it anymore. See, for example, http://albertpeia.com/CIAAgentAffidavit1.jpg     http://albertpeia.com/FBIAgentAffidavit11.jpg      , and of course, corrupt legal / judicial processes, etc.,   Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on offensive (defensive a misnomer / propaganda) military spending than all the nations of the world combined, and by a large margin at that. Do you see a pattern emerging here [ I unfortunately only belatedly did, and the feds, fed employees, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality in the most nefarious sense …  The pervasively corrupt american illegal system … corrupt u.s. courts / (lawyers) / judges: Their lifetime plush appointments should be abolished, which corrupt entities are unheard of in productive societies as China, Japan, etc.. Time to abolish these drags on society and eliminate their lifetime stipends and costly bureaucracies. Rules of law mean nothing to these typically corrupt americans. Most, including sam alito of the u.s. supreme court, concerning  drug money laundering and obstruction of justice in the 3rd circuit ( also maryanne trump barry who covered-up drug money laundering through her brother’s casinos in a civil RICO case) should have gone to or belong in jail. Contrary to popular belief, they do it for the money, personal money, big, cash, untraceable money. The fog of war is great for such things (360 tons $100 bills flown into Iraq and missing, etc.). [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm  ]. america’s just a fraudulent and failed defacto bankrupt nation.  ] “I would announce, without equivocation, a 25% tax increase on anything purchased from China.” ]
CHENEY HECKLED... 'DRAFTDOGER!' 'WHERE'S BIN LADEN?'   ]

 

 

 

‘Cheney Stand Down Order’ #1 on Google Trends Infowars | Search term about Dick Cheney’s 9/11 actions reaches top of Google.

 

The Suez Canal Workers Stage Sit-in as U.S. Warships Dispatched Kurt Nimmo | Military in control of government has vowed to not allow labor strikes to paralyze the world’s most populous Arab nation.

TSA Workers Admit To Stealing Huge Amounts Of Cash From Passengers Steve Watson & Paul Watson | It has been revealed that TSA workers admit to stealing cash and possessions from passengers.

 

WeAreChange Confronts Dick Cheney on 9/11 Standdown Order Aaron Dykes | Activist group confronts former vice president Dick Cheney about inconsistencies in 9/11 testimony and actions in PEOC bunker. ‘Infowars.comFebruary 15, 2010The testimony of Norman Mineta before the 9/11 Commission leaves compelling questions about former Vice President Dick Cheney’s actions on the day of 9/11. Then Transportation Secretary Mineta witnessed Cheney refuse to contradict an apparent standdown order as an aide warned of something incoming at the Pentagon. Cheney has given conflicting reports about what time he entered the PEOC bunker. Mineta later confirmed his suppressed 9/11 Commission testimony and refuted Cheney’s account of arriving later.During the CPAC conference, WeAreChange.org confronted Cheney about these questions, which he refused to address.“Hey Mr. Cheney, what did you do in the underground bunker on 9/11? Dick Cheney we know what you did on 9/11 with the standdown order. Norman Mineta testified against you on the 9/11 Commission report. What happened on 9/11?”When he was being forced out, WeAreChange.org founder Luke Rudkowski calmly asked security not to push him; security backed off after asking him, ‘Are you being polite?’
Luke Rudkowski and James Lane of We Are Change confront Dick Cheney in Washington D.C. at CPAC 2/10/2011.
WeAreChangeOklahoma – Newt Gingrich and Dick Cheney (CPAC 2011)
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Instruction 3610.01A issued June 1, 2001 on “Aircraft Piracy (Hijacking) and Destruction of Derelict Airborne Objects
(Click each document for a larger image)

Cheney dodged the continuing questions by exiting with his entourage into an elevator. As a woman started repeating “Thank you Mr. Cheney for all you’ve done,” Rudkowski interjected that he was a ‘terrorist.’ Certainly, the use of admittedly elevated terror alerts throughout the Bush administration to stoke the fear card and score political dominion alone is reason to justify this label. The implications of what really happened on 9/11, and in relation to Cheney’s apparent standdown order, is even more compelling. Notably, a change in the standard operating procedure for the chain of command during the event of a hijacked aircraft was changed in June 2001, including subjecting NORAD’s response to DoD approval (SEE BELOW).
The former Vice President’s re-entry into the public limelight, after years of dealing with heart issues, is what appears to be an attempt to re-brand the Bush Administration in time to retain neo-con power in the coming GOP presidential primary field, where tea party politics and candidates like Ron Paul have obviously taken root with conservative voters in the years of the Obama administration. This confrontation occurred during the same CPAC convention where Ron Paul won the presidential straw poll and Dick Cheney was heckled and called a “war-monger” during a pep rally where Donald Rumsfeld was given the “Defender of the Constitution Award.”

From Norman Mineta’s testimony:

“During the time that the airplane was coming into the Pentagon, there was a young man who would come in and say to the Vice President…the plane is 50 miles out…the plane is 30 miles out….and when it got down to the plane is 10 miles out, the young man also said to the vice president “do the orders still stand?” And the Vice President turned and whipped his neck around and said “Of course the orders still stand, have you heard anything to the contrary!?’

 

 

 

Drudgereport: DEBT NOW EQUALS ENTIRE ECONOMY
OBAMA AGENDA IS OVER
Obama refers to himself as 'The Gipper'… [ Riiiight! …anything you say wobmama the b for b*** s***… or maybe the bipper, the chipper, or the yankee clipper (the new joltin’ joe) …sounds like he’s losing it! ] ...
'Day of Rage' Hits Wisconsin over state unions...

Madison schools closed; 1,100 teachers call in 'sick'...
Obama: 'Assault on Unions'...
Obama-founded OFA spearheading effort to defeat bill...
Boehner: 'Suspend these tactics'...
DEMS FLEE STATE HOUSE
SENATE DEMOCRATS FOUND -- AT A RESORT IN ILLINOIS!
Gov. Walker calls on Dems to return, vote...
Protesters, supporters clash in Ohio over union bill...
Activists swarm Boehner's Capitol Hill home; Chant 'don't tread on DC'..
Carney: Stimulus 'Goals Have Been Met'...

GALLUP: Unemployment hits 10%...

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fed upgrades economic outlook (Washington Post) [ Wow! Like the ‘no-recession / great recession / depression’ , what do expect these incompetent, and complicit wall street favored frauds to say. This is truly an existential moment of desperation for them and as before, they are disposed to anything that buys them time … I say: they’re out of time!  47 Statistics That Indicate That Economic Stress Points In 2011 Could Be Setting The Stage For A Global Economic Meltdown In 2012 Is the world approaching a devastating global economic meltdown? Right now there are a large number of factors that are creating economic stress points all over the globe.‘The American Dream Feb 16, 2011 Is the world approaching a devastating global economic meltdown?  Right now there are a large number of factors that are creating economic stress points all over the globe.  All of the crazy money printing that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have been doing is putting inflationary pressure on agricultural commodities, oil and precious metals.  Massive floods, horrific droughts and extreme weather patterns all over the globe are ruining crops and creating food shortages.  Some nations are now actually hoarding food, and in other nations rising prices have sparked food riots.  The price of oil has been moving back towards $100 a barrel, and if it stays at a high level for an extended period of time that is going to have very serious consequences for the global economy.  In addition, the growing sovereign debt crisis could erupt again at any time.  Half a dozen nations in Europe are on the verge of insolvency, Japan’s national debt is now well over 200 percent of GDP, and the global financial system is growing increasingly concerned about the exploding national debt of the United States.  The truth is that the entire world financial system is a house of cards balanced on a razor’s edge and it could come down at any time.

Sadly, very little has changed since the world financial system experienced almost a complete meltdown back in 2008.  Global financial markets are still a whirlpool of debt and speculation.  One really bad week could put us right back where we were prior to the infamous Wall Street bailouts.  Very little in our world is truly stable anymore.  As we have seen recently in Egypt, the globe can literally change almost overnight.  All it would take is for one really bad event to happen and world financial markets would instantly start imploding.

So when will the coming economic collapse happen?  Nobody knows for sure, but the fact that the global economy is increasingly becoming less stable as we approach the year 2012 is making a lot of people very nervous.

The following are 47 statistics that indicate that economic stress points in 2011 could be setting the stage for a global economic meltdown in 2012….

#1 According to the United Nations, global food prices set a new all-time record during the month of January.

#2 In early February the worst freeze in 60 years wiped out entire crops all across the southwestern U.S. and northern Mexico.  Already, it has been reported that some U.S. supermarkets have doubled or even tripled prices for certain produce items.

#3 It is being reported that due to the recent horrible freeze in Mexico cases of tomatoes that would usually cost shop owners between 12 and 15 dollars are now going for up to $40.

#4 One of China’s key agricultural provinces is facing its worst drought in 200 years.

#5 The Food and Agriculture Organization says that up to two-thirds of China’s wheat crop could be at risk of failing due to weather conditions.

#6 Officials in Mexico are estimating that four million tons of corn have been lost because of the recent freeze.  That represents a full 16 percent of Mexico’s annual corn harvest.

#7 The price of corn has doubled over the last six months and it recently hit a new all-time high.

#8 The U.S. Department of Agriculture has announced that corn supplies are the tightest that they have been in 15 years.

#9 It appears that Chinese imports of corn will be about 9 times larger than the U.S. Department of Agriculture originally projected them to be for 2011.

#10 The price of wheat has more than doubled over the past year and it hit a 30-month high on Monday.

#11 In the event of a global catastrophe, current global stockpiles of wheat would only be able to feed the world for 82 days.

#12 According to Forbes, the price of soybeans is up about 50% since last June.

#13 The price of cotton has more than doubled over the past year.

#14 The commodity price of orange juice has doubled since 2009.

#15 The price of sugar is the highest it has been in 30 years.

#16 The United Nations is projecting that the global price of food will increase by another 30 percent by the end of 2011.

#17 In the U.K., the official rate of inflation is now twice as high as the target rate of inflation.

#18 Inflation in China is starting to get out of control.  For example, food prices in China rose 10.3 percent during the month of January.

#19 Almost 14 percent of all credit card accounts in the United States are currently 90 days or more delinquent.

#20 New home sales in the state of California were at the lowest level ever recorded in the month of January.

#21 According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the number of job openings in the United States declined for a second straight month during December.

#22 Average household debt in the United States has now reached a level of 136% of average household income.

#23 It is estimated that there are about 5 million homeowners in the United States that are at least two months behind on their mortgages, and it is being projected that over a million American families will be booted out of their homes this year alone.

#24 Today, 46% of all Americans carry a credit card balance from month to month.

#25 700,000 Americans have signed up for a credit card that has interest rates that go as high as 59.9%.

#26 Americans now owe more than $889 billion on student loans, which is even more than they owe on credit cards.

#27 The FDIC is “insuring” U.S. bank deposits that total 5.4 trillion dollars with a deposit insurance fund that is currently sitting at approximately negative 8 billion dollars.

#28 The Social Security trust fund will run a deficit of 56 billion dollars this year.  Just a couple of years ago government planners were promising that we would not have any Social Security deficits until at least 2016 or 2017.

#29 When you adjust wages for inflation, middle class workers in the United States make less money today than they did back in 1971.

#30 4.2 million Americans have been unemployed for one year or longer at this point.

#31 The number of Americans that have become so discouraged that they have given up searching for work completely now stands at an all-time high.

#32 According to a recent Gallup poll, 35 percent of Americans believe that unemployment is currently the most important problem in the United States.  Another 29 percent believe that the economy is currently our biggest problem.

#33 Gallup also says that 19.6 percent of the workforce in America is currently either unemployed or underemployed.

#34 The U.S. government says that 504,000 Americans “dropped out of the labor force” in January.

#35 The Obama administration is projecting that the federal budget deficit will be 1.65 trillion dollars for fiscal 2011.

#36 It is estimated that the total U.S. national debt will be greater than 100 percent of GDP by the end of this fiscal year.

#37 The U.S. government relies on foreign nations such as China and Japan to finance 40 percent of all new government debt.

#38 State and local government debt is now sitting at an all-time high of 22 percent of U.S. GDP.

#39 The Chinese are now hoarding gold like there is no tomorrow.  In fact, Chinese demand for gold has now risen to approximately 25% of total global production.

#40 According to a recent report from the World Economic Forum, the world is going to need another $100 trillion in credit to support projected “economic growth” over the next decade.

#41 According to the U.S. Conference of Mayors, visits to soup kitchens are up 24 percent over the past year.

#42 One out of every seven Americans is now on food stamps.

#43 One out of every six elderly Americans now lives below the federal poverty line.

#44 During the last school year, almost half of all school children in the state of Illinois came from families that were considered to be “low-income”.

#45 According to a survey released very close to the end of 2010, 55 percentof all Americans are now living paycheck to paycheck.  A major economic downturn could quickly wipe out millions of families.

#46 Gasoline prices in the United States are now the highest that they have ever been in the middle of February.

#47 Faith in our economic system continues to decline.  According to one new report, only 26 percent of Americans now trust the U.S. financial system.’

 

Deception at the Fed Dr. Ron Paul | The Federal Reserve has been given a dual mandate: keeping prices stable and maximizing employment. This policy relies in part on numerical chicanery.   Obama proposes $3.7 trillion budget (Washington Post) [ What the heck! It’s only ‘helicopter ben’ monopoly money anyway; that paper stuff (Globalists Push SDRs as World Reserve Currency As investor Marc Faber noted last year, this funny money intervention by the Federal Reserve is going to create a final crisis that will destroy the U.S. financial system. The Fed “will print and print and print until the final crisis wipes out the whole system,” Faber warned.   IMF calls for dollar alternative The International Monetary Fund issued a report Thursday on a possible replacement for the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. The IMF said Special Drawing Rights, or SDRs, could help stabilize the global financial system.  ). Speaking of Monopoly / atlantic city, n.j., maryanne trump barry and sam alito, et als  have done all right for themselves as the corrupt judiciary usually does, one way or another. Indeed, judicial retirement funds for these plushly accoutered lifetime appointees is up 25.9% and the general operating fund up 6.6% (source, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/federal-budget-2012/index.html  … the trumps are getting it up front and on the back end, which is typical in a pervasivly corrupt system as defacto bankrupt america … abolish the courts .     Connecticut, California join probe of Ally (Washington Post)  [ I’d be much more impressed if they initiated a probe of more readily discernible criminal offenses in violation of the RICO Act   (Other newark / new jersey and new york, n.y. metro, viz., ie., connecticut, and of course, d.c., d.c. metro, viz., ie., virginia experience … corrupt federal judges as maryanne trump barry, sam alito, shiff, matz (california), hall, underhill, dorsey, etc.. Defacto bankrupt america’s so-called system is pervasively corrupt and broken (AP)   Abolish the corrupt, costly, economically wasteful lifetime extravagantly appointed federal courts - see RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm   )  ]   http://albertpeia.com    Frauds/Liars (sic-lawyers)Covering Up for Other Frauds/Liars (sic-lawyers). In Productive Societies as China, Japan, etc., Fraudulent Liars (sic-lawyers) and the Fraudulent u.s. System They're a Part of Are Unheard Of/Non-existent. List of Files Regarding Filed Attorney Grievance Against Fraud coan et als  Or Here For A Clearer View Of  Filed Grievance Complaint, Response, Exhibits, and Related RICO Filings  Note the Committee of Frauds/Liars (sic-lawyers). Included are DOJ Rep., State Court Rep., State Atty. General Office Rep., and even a Vegetable Garden yale law prof who probably never practiced law in his life. How Pathetic!   http://albertpeia.com/fbiofficela91310 ]   Justice: FBI improperly opened probes   (Washington Post)  [ I just hope they’re as zealous (in probing readily discernible crime) with regard to my RICO matters and the corruption in the (judicial / legal) process since, in the final analysis, it will have been the corruption within that will have brought the nation down irrevocably and totally.]

]  Policymakers think the recovery is on "firmer footing." But they also expect high unemployment to persist at least through the end of 2013.

 

 


Panetta outlines plan for bin Laden (Washington Post) [ Yeah, and if panetta’s grandmother had wheels she’d be a trolley car. I mean, how much more irrelevant can the cia become, beyond their drug deals, arms deals, among other self-interested / self-perpetuating ops / commotions / promotions. In case they haven’t looked recently, pervasively corrupt america is defacto bankrupt; and in large part owing to their flawed, self-perpetuating strategies (oh, how they loved and miss the cold war). Who cares (about Osama bin Laden or his deputy Ayman al-Zawahiri). Indeed, one way or another, it makes no difference. Moreover, take a look at the ‘stand-down’ order as discussed infra regarding ‘that pearl harbor event / neo-con wet dream’. They are so pathetic! A parallel universe? They only wish!    ] CIA Director Leon Panetta told Congress on Wednesday that if Osama bin Laden or his deputy Ayman al-Zawahiri is captured they will be held by the military and probably will be sent to Guantanamo Bay. (Reuters)

 

 

On national debt, interest is the monster (Washington Post) [ No! That’s not correct! This is a two-headed monster and the gargantuan principal amount the other head. Bondholders will never be paid (paper turned over for paper till the biggest ponzi scheme in world history comes tumblin’ down. Moreover, assumptions are wildly optimistic and totally unrealistic). Pervasively corrupt america is defacto bankrupt!  That’s reality!  Howard Davidowitz on the Economy: "Here Are the Numbers ... WE'RE BROKE!"   11-25-10  The U.S. economy "is a complete disaster," Howard Davidowitz …Are you kidding me? "Here are the numbers...we're broke," Davidowitz declares, noting the U.S. government goes $5 billion deeper into debt every day and is facing $1 trillion-plus annual deficits for the next decade. "In other words, we're bankrupt."As with the economy, Davidowitz is unwaveringly consistent in his views on President Obama, calling him "deranged, dysfunctional and discredited."Results of the midterm election show "the people of this country think we are in a catastrophe," he says. "I'm with them."    Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘
  ]  Starting in 2014, net interest payments will surpass the amount spent on education, transportation, energy and all other discretionary programs outside defense. In 2018, they will outstrip Medicare spending

 

House brainstorms for budget trims (Washington Post) [ Brainstorms? The mere mention of the word brain juxtaposed with the denizens of capital hill and one can’t help but conjure up images of multiple scarecrows scurrying about that yellow brick road en route to see the wizard while singing in unison ‘if they only had a brain’.  ] 

 

 

In Bahrain, authorities move against protesters   Police use tear gas, clubs and rubber bullets to disperse crowd  (Washington Post) [  Bahrain authorities launch surprise attack on protesters  [There’s the america and saudi Arabia effect; far less than democratic and far more deadly in the mideast among other places; talk about hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation as the saudis; time for the saudis to go the way of dictator Mubarak and take the war criminal americans with them.   ]  Los Angeles Times Tear gas canisters bombard sleeping protesters in Manama's Pearl Square. At least two men are reported killed   Video:  Bahrain protesters look to emulate Egypt revolt euronews    Riot Police Attack Bahrain Protesters Voice of America

‘Saudi Arabia sending troops to Bahrain’  Saudi Arabia is sending troops to Bahrain in a move to crack down on pro-democracy protesters who took to the streets in the capital Manama, a political analyst says. [SAUDIS TOLD OBAMA 'NOT TO HUMILIATE MUBARAK' [ Sounds like they’re hearing footsteps…Previous: Egyptian capital teeters on anarchy  Mubarak asks cabinet to resign as anti-regime protests intensify  (Washington Post) [ Mubarak should have been looking in the mirror as he asked his cabinet to resign … 30 years is a long time, and coincidentally, time for him to go.   In Egypt: Access denied (Washington Post) [The day part of the Internet died: Egypt goes dark [I disagree! Part of the internet didn’t die, but rather the order to so darken the nation heralded the demise, at 30 years and counting, of the so-called leadership in the persona of Mubarak. Time for him to go! After all, he’s been in a position, with Egypt among the only Mideast nations to have signed a peace treaty with israel, to have stepped up with substantial credibility in taking a strong position against israeli transgressions, violations of international law / u.n. resolutions, war crimes, etc., which beyond soft-touch, he failed to do. And, of all places, he sends his family to Orwellian england; he still loves those colonial masters … how pathetic. I mean, 30 years … how free-flowing does anyone think the election process is at this point … and one could ask the same regarding the entrenched powers that be in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, to be fair. Then there’s saudi arabia; talk about do nothing hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation; I suspect only when foreign corporations say so. The only Mideast nations showing backbone are Turkey, Lebanon, and Syria, and, of course the perennially propaganda painted bad-boy Iran among possibly some of the smaller emirates, ie., Qatar, etc., (I lack sufficient information regarding these other nations).  ] (AP)         Internet cutoff fails to silence Egypt protests (AP) -  ]

Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld booed at GOP convention in D.C. New York Daily News | Donald Rumsfeld and Dick Cheney were booed on Thursday at the Conservative Political Action Conference.     Ron Paul At CPAC: ‘Government is in the process of failing’ Is he running for US Senate? Is he signaling his bid for US president? Or is he hinting at something deeper within the US political climate?     Milbank: Donald trumps CPAC | Gibbs gone  (Washington Post) [  Trump’s a loser, dressed up and propped up by and to shill for a declining, fallen nation in the most corrupt regions of the country (every fallen nation has such); of that there is no question …"Over the years I've participated in many battles and have really almost come out very, very victorious every single time," the Donald said. (Except for the bankruptc[ies], that is. [ trump’s never won a battle that wasn’t fixed in advance (including the ‘pre-packaged bankrupcies’ crammed down the throats of objecting creditors – jersey general ] ) "I've beaten many people and companies, and I've won many wars," he added. (Though he didn't serve in the military.) "I have fairly [according to mobster rules; ie., bribery, money laundering, etc.] but intelligently [ as any other mob boss … trump is total b*** s***, a fraud, and lightweight … and, despite the façade, quite insecure … trump’s a total mental case … He truly is the ‘poster-boy’ of american decline and part of the problem, not the solution! …trump also said america’s become the laughingstock of the world … true enough … and trump the biggest joke … NEWS FLASH: Direct from Lost Angeles Learning Annex – Presenting mobster t_rump of new yoke, new joyzey, and now caleefornia mob fame with his continuing message for the past several years: buy real estate (and watch the values go down…..riiiiight!).
Bank sues Trump over Chicago tower loan...
Trump casino to miss interest payment...
trump’s fired (from ‘his own company’)

Gunfire Erupts Inside trump Taj Mahal Casino, 1 Dead - Second Such Incident In A Year At N.J. Mainstay Ends With Employee Killed – What else would you you expect from a mobster’s casino in mob-infested jersey!

Trump luxury resort folds, leaving buyers defrauded…litigation has commenced…send for sister maryanne, the corrupt federal judge to preside, coverup, etc., she’s in n.y./n.j./pa 3rd circuit ct appeals, understands drug money laundering/fraud and handles her own motions to recuse her and like mobster trump should be in jail  ... (see RICO Case)

 ]  earned many billions of dollars [ at whose expense ], which in a sense was both a scorecard and acknowledgment of my abilities [ to fool most of the people, all of the time. ] ."  TRUMP DRAWS CHEERS, BOOS AT CONSERVATIVE CONFERENCE...
PONDERING PRESIDENTIAL RUN... [Don’t make me laugh! … Donald T_rump Would Impose 25% Tax on China Imports if President  [  trump also said america’s become the laughingstock of the world … true enough … and trump the biggest joke … Indeed, that trump even posits the possibility of a run when he should be in jail is a testament to just how big a laughingstock pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s become!  [ If he was mobster in chief, mobster and scoundrel trump wraps himself in populist american flag and offers up an (too little too late – typical lightweight) implausible solution to keep ‘the juice’ flowing though he’d already be in jail in a rational, non-declining nation with meaningful laws. All China has to do is dump (and not prospectively buy) their ever more and declining in value day-by-day (from dollar debasement policies) u.s. paper / bonds and overnight and the u.s. economy consequently  thereby collapse. [ When you come right down to it, this has been america’s most significant export. Indeed, this irrevocable structural shift, hailed by cia men hw bush and clinton (clinton couldn’t have survived with them) by way of NAFTA as the greatest  thing since sliced bread was indeed in no uncertain terms condemned and warned against by Perot, a man of honor who, unlike his opponents, could not be bought, which is the reason, in pervasively corrupt america, he could never have been elected. Interestingly, you may have noticed the good (but not great, other than the spotlight on pervasive bribery including judges, police, politicians, etc., being far too light) the film ‘The Untouchables’ getting a wide re-airing of late, purporting to be a significant part of american folklore / history / culture. However, the reality is that in america, and certainly today, the real story with impact is that of ‘The Touchables’. The reality is that Elliot Ness died a broken man; bankrupt, unable to even win election to the mayoralty of his then current hometown. He was incorruptible; and hence, in the real america, unelectable at the least if not also all but unemployable (he and his are among those few genetic anomalies in america as I’ve previously alluded to. How far america has fallen from even false perception! Pervasively corrupt, meaningfully lawless america can’t even fake it anymore. See, for example, http://albertpeia.com/CIAAgentAffidavit1.jpg     http://albertpeia.com/FBIAgentAffidavit11.jpg      , and of course, corrupt legal / judicial processes, etc.,   Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on offensive (defensive a misnomer / propaganda) military spending than all the nations of the world combined, and by a large margin at that. Do you see a pattern emerging here [ I unfortunately only belatedly did, and the feds, fed employees, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality in the most nefarious sense …  The pervasively corrupt american illegal system … corrupt u.s. courts / (lawyers) / judges: Their lifetime plush appointments should be abolished, which corrupt entities are unheard of in productive societies as China, Japan, etc.. Time to abolish these drags on society and eliminate their lifetime stipends and costly bureaucracies. Rules of law mean nothing to these typically corrupt americans. Most, including sam alito of the u.s. supreme court, concerning  drug money laundering and obstruction of justice in the 3rd circuit ( also maryanne trump barry who covered-up drug money laundering through her brother’s casinos in a civil RICO case) should have gone to or belong in jail. Contrary to popular belief, they do it for the money, personal money, big, cash, untraceable money. The fog of war is great for such things (360 tons $100 bills flown into Iraq and missing, etc.). [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm  ]. america’s just a fraudulent and failed defacto bankrupt nation.  ] “I would announce, without equivocation, a 25% tax increase on anything purchased from China.” ]
CHENEY HECKLED... 'DRAFTDOGER!' 'WHERE'S BIN LADEN?'   ]

 

 

 ] At least two are killed, while those involved in the protests say others are critically injured. There is no official word on deaths or injuries.

 

 

 

 

Apple and Google's Weaknesses Summarized in 250 Words Shuster ‘Buzz was a flop. Safari can't grow. And neither Google or Apple seem to understand why.How can Google and Apple -- two companies who have set standards, cornered markets, and mastered their trades -- be so adept in certain areas and completely outmatched by a three-person startup in another? Google design manager Nadav Savio answered that question by eloquently summarizing the biggest weaknesses of the two companies in a mere 250 words.

It's been said that Google doesn't get 'social' and, though I think that is vastly overstated, there is truth there. Similarly, I'd say that Apple doesn't understand the internet. Well I have a simple theory about it. There's a cliché that everyone's greatest strength is also their greatest weakness, and I believe that applies as well to organizations as to people.

Take Apple. They make amazing, holistic products and services and one of their primary tools is control. Fanatical, centralized control. Control over the design, over the hardware, over the experience. And that's exactly the opposite of the internet, which is about decentralization and messy, unfiltered chaos.

Google, on the other hand, gets the internet, but has trouble with humans. And I'd say it's not so much because it's an engineering-heavy organization or that Google doesn't know how to have fun (both reasons I've seen stated publicly). I think it's that one of Google's biggest strengths is in search, which is largely about things like precision and recall, about stitching the chaos of the internet into some semblance of order. But social interactions happen in the variance, in the messy spaces that seem meaningless. Much social meaning is carried by phatic communication and that is exactly opposite to what Google does, which is to optimize signal vs. noise, looking for the meaning and discarding the meaningless.

Presumably, we can find the undoing of other organizations in their strengths. What, for example, is Microsoft really, really good at? Or Facebook?’

 

 

 

 

Chinese Demand For Gold “Explosive” According to an executive of Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, the world’s largest bank by market value, demand in China for physical gold and gold-related investments is growing at an “explosive” pace and its appetite for the yellow metal is poised to remain robust amid inflation concerns, reports Reuters.

 

Analyst: Oil Will Hit $300 in a Decade, Regardless of Egypt Read more: Analyst: Oil Will Hit $300 in a Decade, Regardless of Egypt Weeden & Co. oil analyst Charles Maxwell says oil prices are bound to move steadily higher during the next decade, eventually hitting $300 a barrel, regardless of whatever happens in Egypt.

World Bank President Zoellick Says Surging Food Prices Have Pushed 44 Million People Into Extreme Poverty Countries in Latin America and Africa, including Bolivia and Mozambique, are most at risk of food riots as prices advance, the United Nations reported.



 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

‘Fox News Caught’ at #1 trend after Ron Paul hoax Infowars | Search exposing Fox News-CPAC dirty trick tops Google trends.

 

Kill Switch Beta: Government Blocks 84,000 Websites Kurt Nimmo | Sites were taken offline in calculated fashion in order to send a message.

 

Report Vindicates Questions In Anthrax Conspiracy Steve Watson | Independent panel finds that science linking Ivins to government anthrax spores was inconclusive.

 

V for Victory Continues to Draw Strong Submissions Infowars.com | Flood of submissions show a wide variety of creativity and dedication to spreading the word of liberty.

 

The Takedown of Hosni Mubarak The Alex Jones Channel | Why has the media left untouched the mystery of Mubarak’s reported coma coinciding with his sudden departure?

 

 

Hillary Announces Expanded US Cyber-Coup Campaign Tarpley.net | Wikileaks is Cass Sunstein’s “cognitive infiltration” project.

 

 

 

Poll: Majority of Republicans Doubt Obama’s Birthplace Roll Call | A slim majority of Republicans still disbelieve Obama was born in the U.S.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mexican Troops Conduct Vehicle Search On U.S. Soil Paul Joseph Watson | Yet another military incursion by a foreign power as Homeland Security is more concerned about training Americans to spy on each other

 

 

Russia says foreign power may have caused spy satellite loss The Russian space agency suggested Monday that a foreign power may have been behind the space accident that disabled one of the country’s most modern military satellites earlier this month.

 

 

Congress begins debate on regulation of financial 'WMDs'  (Washington Post) [ Wow! Sounds like a … ‘no-plan’! I mean, what do regulations, or even laws for that matter, even matter, which is what in large part matters, concerning what’s the matter with pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america. Fines and disgorgement through enforcement of the ‘already on the books’ laws for the blatant (and still extant, now marked to anything as per FASB legislated rule change regarding the toxic assets / worthless paper that continues to be cashed out by the perps with fed help) wall street frauds would have by multiples surpassed the budget cuts the ‘government’ is quibbling over as if same would barely put a dent in the unsustainable debt levels, deficits. How pathetic! ]  A House committee is examining how regulators are writing rules that could determine the safety, efficiency and cost of derivatives.

 

 

Obama careful in crackdown (Washington Post) [ Sounds like a page out of the former american-installed shah of Iran’s play-book … The important difference here is the life and death continued struggle of Iran against the Zionist israeli / american regimes (look at what the latter regimes do, not what they say) … Indeed, the great american/israeli hope for Iran, the ‘son of shah’ … pshaw! I have a special affinity for Egypt, a land of great wisdom with the richest of histories and culture and wisdom of the ages in wisely, at one time, holding Cats in their highest regard and esteem!  ] President Obama cautiously criticized the Iranian government Tuesday for carrying out a deadly crackdown on street demonstrations, as hard-line legislators in Tehran called for the execution of several prominent opposition leaders. (Afp/getty Images)

 

 

Americans climb out of debt, save more (Washington Post) [ There is what is known in basic economics as the so-called ‘paradox of thrift’ and the negative portends for the economy the natural concomitant. There is no getting away from that age-old economic equation Gross Domestic Product is the sum of all spending on goods and services in a nation's economy in a year. The formula for GDP is: GDP = C + I + G + (Ex - Im), where “C” equals spending by consumers, “I” equals investment by businesses, “G” equals government spending and “(Ex - Im)” equals net exports, that is, the value of exports minus imports. Net exports may be negative. Of late, the C component has risen to near 71%, fueled by unsustainable credit. Private investment owing to a structural shift has lagged for want of real (profitable domestic)  investment opportunities (the wall street computer-programmed high frequency churn-and-earn is NOT a component here but rather a net negative coming ultimately ‘out of main street’ and the people’s pockets, and owing to the lesser propensity to consume of the frauds on wall street, etc.), and we all know the direction of government spending. Read more: GDP and the Players Three: All Together Now: C + I + G — Infoplease.com http://www.infoplease.com/cig/economics/consumption-investment-government.html#ixzz1E79N4H4B   . That said, this (saving) is still good for americans generally since the government has long since all but stopped concerning themselves with the dire predicament of the vast majority of the nation and citizens. ] The recession that just rocked the U.S. economy happened in part because Americans were borrowing and spending more than they could afford. Now, three years after the downturn began, families are moving faster than many analysts had expected to put their finances in order by paying down debt and boosting their savings.

 

 

Jump in global food prices pushes millions into poverty (Washington Post) [ There’s no mystery here … the inevitable consequence of the world’s adoption of america’s funny-money new age alchemy of spinning paper into fools’ gold … Indeed, the prognostications have been hot and heavy, from hyperinflationary depression to … as investor Marc Faber noted last year, this funny money intervention by the Federal Reserve is going to create a final crisis that will destroy the U.S. financial system. The Fed “will print and print and print until the final crisis wipes out the whole system,” Faber warned. Now this fraudulent bubble that the frauds on wall street commission and sell into is great for the frauds on wall street but bad for everyone else since that value has to be made up somewhere, by some one … guess (the obvious)… and if you can’t (guess), you haven’t been paying attention!   ] Data released by the IMF show the cost of grain and other staples is near its historic high.

 

 

So be it? Milbank: Boehner and his party's proposal for budget cuts would reverse the economic recovery. (Washington Post) [ Come on! Wake up! Think of it this way, in simple terms. Already bankrupt, you further bankrupt yourself by spending money you don’t really have which gives that ‘warm and fuzzy feeling’ (albeit to the next election) and obfuscates the cold, hard reality. That a structural shift has occurred in economic / financial terms (that ‘sucking sound’) there is no question. At some point, if there are glass half-full people in the bunch (I am not one of them and believe this structural shift is ‘forever’ and defacto bankrupt america’s decline is irrevocable owing to pervasive corruption, fraud, criminal complicity, etc.. Kind of like madoff’s ponzi scheme (at some point they always unravel / can’t cover and in the current news madoff the fraud said the banks knew and you can take that to the bank since madoff said it) … But isn’t it also true that we all know and that america’s jig is up! Should the hole continue to be dug so irretrievably deep that digging the way out is absolutely impossible ( I and others already believe that point’s been surpassed, and these cuts so small as to be almost insignificant … Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘   ) Obama proposes $3.7 trillion budget (Washington Post) [ What the heck! It’s only ‘helicopter ben’ monopoly money anyway; that paper stuff (Globalists Push SDRs as World Reserve Currency As investor Marc Faber noted last year, this funny money intervention by the Federal Reserve is going to create a final crisis that will destroy the U.S. financial system. The Fed “will print and print and print until the final crisis wipes out the whole system,” Faber warned.   IMF calls for dollar alternative The International Monetary Fund issued a report Thursday on a possible replacement for the dollar as the world’s reserve currency.    Budget makes deep cuts, cautious trades (Washington Post) [ I still have great difficulty wrapping my mind around the cut in the (relatively minuscule) heating oil program for the poor (after all, that’s potentially lethal to such disenfranchised groups) … Drudgereport:White House to Slash Heating Program for Poor…but still no pros of massive frauds on wall street which fines and disgorgement of would yield huge amounts to cover spending... [ Howard Davidowitz on the Economy: "Here Are the Numbers ... WE'RE BROKE!"   11-25-10  The U.S. economy "is a complete disaster," Howard Davidowitz declared here in July, the most recent in a string of dire predictions from Tech Ticker's most entertaining guest.On the eve of Thanksgiving, I asked Davidowitz if he had any regrets, or was ready to throw in the towel given recent signs of economic revival. Are you kidding me? "Here are the numbers...we're broke," Davidowitz declares, noting the U.S. government goes $5 billion deeper into debt every day and is facing $1 trillion-plus annual deficits for the next decade. "In other words, we're bankrupt."As with the economy, Davidowitz is unwaveringly consistent in his views on President Obama, calling him "deranged, dysfunctional and discredited."Results of the midterm election show "the people of this country think we are in a catastrophe," he says. "I'm with them."Check the accompanying video for more of Howard's unfettered opinions and stay tuned for additional clips from this interview. And...Happy Thanksgiving! Aaron Task is the host of Tech Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at [email protected]Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   ]
 ] Fed chairman offers dire warnings about the damage Congress could wreak if it refrains from raising the government's debt limit this spring.  ] The $3.7 trillion plan proposes to trim or terminate more than 200 federal programs to make room for increases aimed at boosting the economy.    Speaking of Monopoly / atlantic city, n.j., maryanne trump barry and sam alito, et als  have done all right for themselves as the corrupt judiciary usually does, one way or another. Indeed, judicial retirement funds for these plushly accoutered lifetime appointees is up 25.9% and the general operating fund up 6.6% (source, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/federal-budget-2012/index.html  … the trumps are getting it up front and on the back end, which is typical in a pervasivly corrupt system as defacto bankrupt america … abolish the courts .     Connecticut, California join probe of Ally (Washington Post)  [ I’d be much more impressed if they initiated a probe of more readily discernible criminal offenses in violation of the RICO Act   (Other newark / new jersey and new york, n.y. metro, viz., ie., connecticut, and of course, d.c., d.c. metro, viz., ie., virginia experience … corrupt federal judges as maryanne trump barry, sam alito, shiff, matz (california), hall, underhill, dorsey, etc.. Defacto bankrupt america’s so-called system is pervasively corrupt and broken (AP)   Abolish the corrupt, costly, economically wasteful lifetime extravagantly appointed federal courts - see RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm   )  ]   http://albertpeia.com    Frauds/Liars (sic-lawyers)Covering Up for Other Frauds/Liars (sic-lawyers). In Productive Societies as China, Japan, etc., Fraudulent Liars (sic-lawyers) and the Fraudulent u.s. System They're a Part of Are Unheard Of/Non-existent. List of Files Regarding Filed Attorney Grievance Against Fraud coan et als  Or Here For A Clearer View Of  Filed Grievance Complaint, Response, Exhibits, and Related RICO Filings  Note the Committee of Frauds/Liars (sic-lawyers). Included are DOJ Rep., State Court Rep., State Atty. General Office Rep., and even a Vegetable Garden yale law prof who probably never practiced law in his life. How Pathetic!   http://albertpeia.com/fbiofficela91310 ]   Justice: FBI improperly opened probes   (Washington Post)  [ I just hope they’re as zealous (in probing readily discernible crime) with regard to my RICO matters and the corruption in the (judicial / legal) process since, in the final analysis, it will have been the corruption within that will have brought the nation down irrevocably and totally.]

 

 

 

 

John Hussman: Rich Valuations and Poor Market Returns Hussman ‘Last week, the S&P 500 Index ascended to a Shiller P/E in excess of 24 (this "cyclically-adjusted P/E" or CAPE represents the ratio of the S&P 500 to 10-year average earnings, adjusted for inflation). Prior to the mid-1990's market bubble, a multiple in excess of 24 for the CAPE was briefly seen only once, between August and early-October 1929. Of course, we observed richer multiples at the heights of the late-1990's bubble, when investors got ahead of themselves in response to the introduction of transformative technologies such as the internet. After a market slide of more than 50%, investors again pushed the Shiller multiple beyond 24 during the housing bubble and cash-out financing free-for-all that ended in the recent mortgage collapse. And here we are again. This is not to say that we can rule out yet higher valuations, but with no transformative technologies driving the economy, little expansion in capital investment, and ongoing retrenchment in consumer balance sheets, I can't help but think that the "virtuous cycle" rhetoric of Ben Bernanke is an awfully thin gruel by comparison. We should not deserve to be called "investors" if we fail to recognize that valuations are richer today than at any point in history, save for the few months before the 1929 crash, and a bubble period that has been rewarded by zero total return for the S&P 500 since 2000. Indeed, the stock market has lagged the return on low-yielding Treasury bills since August 1998. I am not sure that even members of my own profession have learned anything from this.

[chart]

Based on our standard methodology (elaborated in numerous prior weekly comments), we presently estimate that the S&P 500 is priced to achieve an average total return over the coming decade of just 3.15% annually. Again, we've seen weaker projected returns over the past decade. But then again, the S&P 500 lost about 5% annually in the decade following the 2000 peak, and even including the recent advance, has achieved an annual total return since 2000 of almost exactly zero. So despite periodic speculative runs, rich valuations have an annoying way of ruining the fun. Equally important, even during extended speculative periods as we observed in the late-1990's, those advances have tended to suffer deep and abrupt intermediate-term corrections once elevated valuations are joined by overbought conditions, overbullish sentiment, and rising interest rates, as we observe today.’

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Undeniable Signs of Inflation  Kaminis ‘January's Import and Export Price Report showed significant price increases in both imports and exports, and unfortunately, across both overall measures and those excluding food and fuel. We posit that the chatter that has overwhelmed the financial airwaves of late, making an argument we made years ago mind you, is worth listening to once again. Inflation portends to blindside the market and its caretakers, the group of merry men who shrug off all evil until it is upon them.

Inflation chatter is all the rage again on the financial airwaves. You will recall our important work on this subject from several years ago. If not for a near depression that depressed prices as demand was desolated, the inflation topic would probably have been the highest concern globally over the last few years. However, now that the global economy is recovering, and with China firing up all engines, inflation signs and concerns are resurfacing. Once again, the scent is first found in raw material resources, including rare earth metals, but also in the high use commodities of energy and agriculture. Those factors were at play again in driving January 2011 Import and Export Prices higher. For now, talking-head speak-easies are blowing off the possibility of feed through to finished goods, but it won't be the first train that runs them over either. Stick with The Greek, and I'll do my best to keep you out of the way of the loco.

More signs of economic recovery, and also inflation, were found in the latest import/export prices data, reported today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for January. Import prices gained 1.5% in January, marking the fourth consecutive month of plus one percent increases. That is something that last occurred in July 2008, which to help you recall the period, was a time in which the now extinct Washington Mutual beast still roamed the earth, though in small numbers.

The drivers of import price growth are the same now as they were then, commodities, including energy. Fuel import prices increased 3.9% in January, a snail's pace compared to the 14.1% jump that characterized the previous three months. But January's pace is not to be ignored, and neither is the 12.4% increase of the past year, a period characterized by economic recovery.

Behind the gains in energy prices were a 3.4% increase in petroleum prices, which have since been dwarfed on Middle East upheaval. And look deeper, as Natural Gas prices advanced 13% through the month. It was a period in which much of the US got buried in snow. In fact, cold and snowy weather so affected fuel usage, that natural gas recently fell below its five-year average for this time of year. As reported by the EIA in its weekly update, for the period ending February 4, Natural Gas Inventory stood 45 Bcf below the five-year average. If things were to continue to trend, we might test the bottom of the historical price range, though the weather is warming significantly across the country this week. Still, the hijacking of several oil tankers in a short span of time, along with raised Middle East worries, have oil supply uncertainty adding to push natural gas prices higher with oil; it being a regionally sourced commodity that is increasingly a replacement resource for oil.

Drunken train track wandering market guides should take note of the horn in the distance, as non-fuel import prices increased by 0.8% in January. The noteworthy rise was driven by industrial supplies and materials (unfinished metals and chemicals drove this), finished goods, and foods, feeds, and beverages. Consumer goods prices moved 0.3% ahead, with the largest contributors to the increase coming from a 0.9% hike in apparel, footwear, and household goods prices, and a 4.0% rise in jewelry prices. Prices for automotive vehicles rose 0.5%, led by a 1.2% increase in parts prices. Here we see examples of price increase that affect every consumer.

Price increase is still mostly found in raw materials or unfinished goods, but in the case of rising cotton prices, it is finding its way through to textiles and clothing (apparel up 0.9%). Meanwhile, the government just approved increased ethanol usage in gasoline, which in the past led to mayhem within the whole of agriculture. While December's increase in non-fuel import prices was just 0.3%, November's also marked 0.8%, another measure that draws comparisons to 2008.

Export Prices

Export prices also increased significantly in January, rising 1.2%. The advance for the full year was 6.8%, the largest 12-month increase since that same late 2007 (Sept.) through 2008 (Sept.) period; just before the walls came completely tumbling in on the economy. As the economy improves, it also affects demand for agricultural goods. It is not that people eat more, though that is certainly the case as well (especially for the malnourished), but also that they eat more proteins and more processed foods. As families rise in class, which is occurring in China and India, they also consume more, and more proteins. This in turn pushes prices higher for proteins and for the feeds used to raise livestock, which are likewise derived from agriculture.

Meanwhile, what seems to be climate change driven drought in Russia and this year in China, restricting important supply sources, will only increase pressure on the whole of agricultural goods, and inevitably processed foods. Agricultural export prices rose 3.2% in January, adding to a dramatic 12-month advance of 22.6%. Price increase was driven by advances in soybeans, corn and wheat. While cotton declined fractionally in January, it has more than doubled over the past year. And a recent freeze in Mexico has completely wiped out some vegetable crops and will certainly drive prices higher for Americans.

That is not the end of the story though, as prices for non-agricultural exports also advanced considerably, rising 0.9% in January. Higher prices for industrial supplies and materials, capital goods, and automotive vehicles more than offset a 0.4 percent drop in prices for consumer goods. Higher airfares also contributed to the overall increase, and those of course are impacted and related to increased fuel costs. Consumer goods prices might also benefit from dollar play (longer term), and also economies of scale gained as sales grow. Nonagricultural goods prices are up 5.3% over the last 12 months; that's pretty inflationary for dollar pegged trading partners.

China

Prices of goods imported from China increased 0.3% for the fourth month in a row. Chinese goods are up 1.4% over the past year. That's healthy price rise, and you will see more of this if the US government gets its way with regard to the Yuan. You might see more US jobs return too, but that is debatable, since they might simply find a new foreign home, say maybe Indonesia. Prices of goods from Japan and all our major trading partners were up, with significant increases from the EU, Mexico and Canada, due to fuel.

Conclusion

The pace of price increases should intensify as competition for scarce resources squeezes them. With factors at play like civil unrest, wild weather and even pirating and regulation (like with off-shore oil drilling), it seems clear to me that the inflation train is roaring our way. We think dollar dilution, and the Fed's inflated view of its ability to reverse the curse, should also burden the economy in the future, especially if US Treasuries lose their luster globally. Meanwhile, outside of recent stock market gains, wealth is down due to home value declines. Income should be down also, given high unemployment. Banks may be opening up a bit, but it should take some time, to maybe never, before free capital flow comes to be again (and good riddance). Thus, there's a tight rein around economic horsepower.

We must look towards the expansion of the developing world as the cure for what ails us. In this regard, the birth of new democracies is a good thing, but global instability and weak human nature are ugly flies in that ointment, and could ruin everything.’

 

 

 

 

Silver Markets and Real Money: Dave's Daily  ‘I'm old enough to have had a silver certificate and being a kid never gave it much thought. In 1960, with silver prices at $1.29 meant holders could redeem their certificates for silver. This just wouldn't do. So in 1964, the government halted redemption of Silver Certificates for Silver Dollar coins. By June 1968 all redemption in silver ceased. Obviously with holders demanding silver prices would continue to rise given less supply. Then being old enough to be in the business in 1979 I watched my Quotron terminal as the Hunt Bros. drove prices up to a high of $48.70 before their attempt to corner the market came apart. The unwinding of these positions as margin calls hit holders was quite a chaotic spectacle for someone just five years in the business. Well, enough history. Today, with silver in backwardation (current front month prices greater than back month contracts) there's a supply problem which is bullish. Some are suggesting that Asians are buying silver and gold ETFs to demand delivery. That would be something! Adding fuel to precious metals rallies are signs of higher inflation in Asia and today with London reporting 4% annual rate. Again rumors are swirling there is some major "watershed" event for the "yen". What it is, I don't know and the purveyor of this news didn't provide details either. Sometimes rumors are "early truths" or just shenanigans. Meanwhile, back at Wall & Broad, stocks saw selling even as the Fed tossed in more POMO for Da Boyz. The sour selling mood was triggered by a worse than expected Retail Sales report that bulls were quick to blame on weather. Is Chucky the Consumer running out of credit? Exxon is finding less oil at least in places where it's permitted to look. This and Retail Sales drove prices lower. Volume was again quite light while breadth per the WSJ was negative.’

 

 

 

 

"We Are Apple" and Five Other Horrifying Corporate Anthems That Will Stun You Into Submission Minyanville ‘For all the talk these days about being a "team player," it wouldn't be a wholly terrible idea to take a look at some corporate anthems that would make even the most cynical employee's chest swell with pride. Or is that embarrassment?
Up first, a corporate anthem commissioned by Apple in 1984 to get employees amped up for the year's new offerings:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nbJy0O4UFSM&feature=player_embedded
Next up, The Gazprom Song:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xGbI87tyr_4&feature=player_embedded
But wait, it only gets better from here. Ladies and gents, I present to you...the corporate song of Coal India Limited!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZG1MKFyh9E&feature=player_embedded
When you're done wiping the tears from your emotional eyes, take a look at what keeps Fujitsu employees motivated to get up every morning and...do whatever the hell it is Fujitsu actually does:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FRTf3UXCpiE&feature=player_embedded
Not to be outdone, IBM created this anthemic gem for its, uh...champions:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gZ85Abu_TBs&feature=player_embedded
Not to be outdone, Ernst & Young entered the fray with this:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MaIq9o1H1yo&feature=player_embedded
Below is where the AT&T, Unisys, and Hewlett-Packard corporate anthems were supposed to go, but a sense of general unease and off-the-charts depression set in and, for the sake of us all, let's just leave well enough alone.’

 

 

 

 

 

Grant February 15, a.m. (from USAGOLD.com) --
Rising rates and reserve requirements in China may have tamped inflation somewhat in January. CPI came in at 4.9% y/y, but the market is always a little suspicious of Chinese data that misses expectations, especially when the news may have been leaked in advance. CPI was pretty much spot-on yesterday's whisper. PPI surged to a 6.6% y/y pace in January, up from 5.9% in Dec.Inflation in the UK is now officially running twice as hot as the Bank of England's target of 2.0%. Jan CPI accelerated to 4.0% y/y and BoE Governor Mervyn King sees potential for inflation to rise even further in the short-term. Here in America, import prices rose a higher than expected 1.5% in Jan, while export prices were up 1.2%. Inflation, which had largely been a problem in the emerging world, seems to be coming home to roost in the industrial world. Now the question becomes, will there be a policy response? Of course, this is exactly what Ben Bernanke's Fed wants. He recently suggested inflation around 2% would be appropriate, but perhaps Mr. King can now offer some insights on how hard it is to maintain target once that inflation train starts rolling.[chart]John Williams of Shadow Government Statistics tracks US CPI in the same way that the BLS did it historically. The chart above compares CPI calculated using 1990 methodology, versus the current methodology. It suggests that inflation is already more than double Bernanke's soft 2% target. If you use 1980 methodology, as the chart below does, the inflation picture is substantially worse. The implication is, when the BLS doesn't like the picture that's being painted, they change the methodology. As Mr. Williams says, if your real life experience suggests inflation is not benign, there's probably a reason for that. Visit www.shadowstats.com for a dose of perspective.[chart]News late yesterday that the EU finance ministers had reached an agreement on a permanent bailout fund initially lifted the euro. However, subsequent speculation that it wasn't really a done-deal after all, combined with Q4 GDP misses in core-Europe, took the little breeze out of the single currency's sail. German, French and Italian GDP expanded just 0.4%, 0.3% and 0.1% respectively in Q4, all below market expectations. Greece slipped deeper into recession in Q4, with GDP falling an additional 1.4%. The Greek economy may have contracted as much as 4.5% last year, which would be the biggest drop in 50-years. Greece was the first EU country to get a bailout. At this rate, if there is indeed a new permanent bailout facility, Greece may be waiting when the door opens.This morning's US January retail sales was a miss at just +0.3%, on expectations ranging from +0.6 to +0.9. As is the case with every bad data point these days, weather was to blame. The market also continues to digest President Obama's $3.7 trillion FY2012 budget proposal. Perhaps not surprisingly, the President's plan to cut $1.1 trillion in spending over the next decade has drawn the ire from both sides of the political spectrum. Mr. Obama said this morning that he prefers to use a "a scalpel...not a machete," presumably to avoid too much pain (or political backlash). An op-ed in today's Washington Post calls it like it is: President Obama's budget kicks the hard choices further down the road.When we reach the end of the road and can kick the can no further, a machete may prove to be a tool too small for the job. Faced with the prospect of monumental pain that would be a direct result of decades of can kicking, the government may still opt for an alternative to fiscal responsibility. A devaluation of the dollar would be an increasingly attractive option, as the pain would be more fully shared than cuts to government services that would largely effect the poor and middle class, and tax hikes that would target the wealthy. Currency devaluation can also be accomplished without an act of Congress, so our politicians would have the political cover they need. Peter Grant is USAGOLD's resident economist and a well-known analyst globally in the forex and precious metals markets.’

 

 

 

Deception at the Fed Dr. Ron Paul | The Federal Reserve has been given a dual mandate: keeping prices stable and maximizing employment. This policy relies in part on numerical chicanery.

 

 

Barack Obama’s Budget For 2012: A Complete And Total Joke The Economic Collapse | Don’t question the wacky economic growth assumptions.

 

 

Greece reassures IMF on privatization UPI | IMF and the EU recently criticized Greece for its slow efforts to turn services over to private concerns.

 

 

Deutsche Boerse, NYSE Agree to Historic Merger Deutsche Boerse and NYSE Euronext announced the creation of the world’s largest exchange operator on Tuesday, dodging political issues that could threaten completion of a deal.

 

UK Inflation Surges to 4%, Highest Since Nov. 2008 British consumer price inflation surged to double the Bank of England’s target in January, official data showed on Tuesday, raising pressure on the central bank to look seriously at increasing interest rates.

 

Barack Obama’s Budget For 2012: A Complete And Total Joke Is Barack Obama trying to play a joke on all of us? The budget that the Obama administration has submitted for fiscal 2012 is so out of touch with reality that it may as well be a budget for “Narnia”, “Fantasy Island”, “Atlantis” or some other mythical land.

 

South Carolina Mulls New Currency To Protect Against Fed Collapse Continuing a pattern of attempts to assert South Carolina’s independence from the federal government, State Sen. Lee Bright, R-Roebuck, has introduced legislation that backs the creation of a new state currency that could protect the financial stability of the Palmetto State in the event of a breakdown of the Federal Reserve System.

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

‘Cheney Stand Down Order’ #1 on Google Trends Infowars | Search term about Dick Cheney’s 9/11 actions reaches top of Google.

 

The Suez Canal Workers Stage Sit-in as U.S. Warships Dispatched Kurt Nimmo | Military in control of government has vowed to not allow labor strikes to paralyze the world’s most populous Arab nation.

TSA Workers Admit To Stealing Huge Amounts Of Cash From Passengers Steve Watson & Paul Watson | It has been revealed that TSA workers admit to stealing cash and possessions from passengers.

 

 

 

Obama proposes $3.7 trillion budget (Washington Post) [ What the heck! It’s only ‘helicopter ben’ monopoly money anyway; that paper stuff (Globalists Push SDRs as World Reserve Currency As investor Marc Faber noted last year, this funny money intervention by the Federal Reserve is going to create a final crisis that will destroy the U.S. financial system. The Fed “will print and print and print until the final crisis wipes out the whole system,” Faber warned.   IMF calls for dollar alternative The International Monetary Fund issued a report Thursday on a possible replacement for the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. The IMF said Special Drawing Rights, or SDRs, could help stabilize the global financial system.  ). Speaking of Monopoly / atlantic city, n.j., maryanne trump barry and sam alito, et als  have done all right for themselves as the corrupt judiciary usually does, one way or another. Indeed, judicial retirement funds for these plushly accoutered lifetime appointees is up 25.9% and the general operating fund up 6.6% (source, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/federal-budget-2012/index.html  … the trumps are getting it up front and on the back end, which is typical in a pervasivly corrupt system as defacto bankrupt america … abolish the courts .     Connecticut, California join probe of Ally (Washington Post)  [ I’d be much more impressed if they initiated a probe of more readily discernible criminal offenses in violation of the RICO Act   (Other newark / new jersey and new york, n.y. metro, viz., ie., connecticut, and of course, d.c., d.c. metro, viz., ie., virginia experience … corrupt federal judges as maryanne trump barry, sam alito, shiff, matz (california), hall, underhill, dorsey, etc.. Defacto bankrupt america’s so-called system is pervasively corrupt and broken (AP)   Abolish the corrupt, costly, economically wasteful lifetime extravagantly appointed federal courts - see RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm   )  ]   http://albertpeia.com    Frauds/Liars (sic-lawyers)Covering Up for Other Frauds/Liars (sic-lawyers). In Productive Societies as China, Japan, etc., Fraudulent Liars (sic-lawyers) and the Fraudulent u.s. System They're a Part of Are Unheard Of/Non-existent. List of Files Regarding Filed Attorney Grievance Against Fraud coan et als  Or Here For A Clearer View Of  Filed Grievance Complaint, Response, Exhibits, and Related RICO Filings  Note the Committee of Frauds/Liars (sic-lawyers). Included are DOJ Rep., State Court Rep., State Atty. General Office Rep., and even a Vegetable Garden yale law prof who probably never practiced law in his life. How Pathetic!   http://albertpeia.com/fbiofficela91310 ]   Justice: FBI improperly opened probes   (Washington Post)  [ I just hope they’re as zealous (in probing readily discernible crime) with regard to my RICO matters and the corruption in the (judicial / legal) process since, in the final analysis, it will have been the corruption within that will have brought the nation down irrevocably and totally.]

 

 

Concerns over European defense cuts (Washington Post) [ At some point, rationality must overcome irrationality; if only necessity being the mother of this new-found invention (rationality). Interestingly, there was a blip on television news from a NATO rep talking up the technological / military superiority of NATO relative to Russia (without whose technological prowess that space station and crew would literally be lost in space). So take that, literally … and make the cuts (rational). ] European policymakers say the cuts are necessary given their financial straits, and that training, not sheer numbers, is what matters in a post-Cold War world.

 

 

Budget makes deep cuts, cautious trades (Washington Post) [ I still have great difficulty wrapping my mind around the cut in the (relatively minuscule) heating oil program for the poor (after all, that’s potentially lethal to such disenfranchised groups) … Drudgereport:White House to Slash Heating Program for Poor…but still no pros of massive frauds on wall street which fines and disgorgement of would yield huge amounts to cover spending... [ Howard Davidowitz on the Economy: "Here Are the Numbers ... WE'RE BROKE!"   11-25-10  The U.S. economy "is a complete disaster," Howard Davidowitz declared here in July, the most recent in a string of dire predictions from Tech Ticker's most entertaining guest.On the eve of Thanksgiving, I asked Davidowitz if he had any regrets, or was ready to throw in the towel given recent signs of economic revival. Are you kidding me? "Here are the numbers...we're broke," Davidowitz declares, noting the U.S. government goes $5 billion deeper into debt every day and is facing $1 trillion-plus annual deficits for the next decade. "In other words, we're bankrupt."As with the economy, Davidowitz is unwaveringly consistent in his views on President Obama, calling him "deranged, dysfunctional and discredited."Results of the midterm election show "the people of this country think we are in a catastrophe," he says. "I'm with them."Check the accompanying video for more of Howard's unfettered opinions and stay tuned for additional clips from this interview. And...Happy Thanksgiving! Aaron Task is the host of Tech Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at [email protected]Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘ ]
 ] Fed chairman offers dire warnings about the damage Congress could wreak if it refrains from raising the government's debt limit this spring.  ] The $3.7 trillion plan proposes to trim or terminate more than 200 federal programs to make room for increases aimed at boosting the economy.

 

 

Robinson: Do conservatives love freedom? (Washington Post) [  Truth be told, I’ve oft referred to myself as conservative. I also embrace freedom; which, of course, is the antithesis of ‘such conservatives’ as ie., mobsters as trump et als, Maryanne trump barry, sam alito, mafia, neo-cons cheney, dumbya bush, rumsfeld, mental cases as john bolton, trump, dummy palin, limbaugh, hannity, etc., who in their near facist way always want control; ie., your thoughts, actions, inclinations, etc.. The left, totalitarian communism, wobamanoids in the dhs, etc., are little different. I personally am constrained to disassociate myself with the likes of the foregoing and as discussed infra:

Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld booed at GOP convention in D.C. New York Daily News | Donald Rumsfeld and Dick Cheney were booed on Thursday at the Conservative Political Action Conference.     Ron Paul At CPAC: ‘Government is in the process of failing’ Is he running for US Senate? Is he signaling his bid for US president? Or is he hinting at something deeper within the US political climate?     Milbank: Donald trumps CPAC | Gibbs gone  (Washington Post) [  Trump’s a loser, dressed up and propped up by and to shill for a declining, fallen nation in the most corrupt regions of the country (every fallen nation has such); of that there is no question …"Over the years I've participated in many battles and have really almost come out very, very victorious every single time," the Donald said. (Except for the bankruptc[ies], that is. [ trump’s never won a battle that wasn’t fixed in advance (including the ‘pre-packaged bankrupcies’ crammed down the throats of objecting creditors – jersey general ] ) "I've beaten many people and companies, and I've won many wars," he added. (Though he didn't serve in the military.) "I have fairly [according to mobster rules; ie., bribery, money laundering, etc.] but intelligently [ as any other mob boss … trump is total b*** s***, a fraud, and lightweight … and, despite the façade, quite insecure … trump’s a total mental case … He truly is the ‘poster-boy’ of american decline and part of the problem, not the solution! …trump also said america’s become the laughingstock of the world … true enough … and trump the biggest joke … NEWS FLASH: Direct from Lost Angeles Learning Annex – Presenting mobster t_rump of new yoke, new joyzey, and now caleefornia mob fame with his continuing message for the past several years: buy real estate (and watch the values go down…..riiiiight!).
Bank sues Trump over Chicago tower loan...
Trump casino to miss interest payment...
trump’s fired (from ‘his own company’)

Gunfire Erupts Inside trump Taj Mahal Casino, 1 Dead - Second Such Incident In A Year At N.J. Mainstay Ends With Employee Killed – What else would you you expect from a mobster’s casino in mob-infested jersey!

Trump luxury resort folds, leaving buyers defrauded…litigation has commenced…send for sister maryanne, the corrupt federal judge to preside, coverup, etc., she’s in n.y./n.j./pa 3rd circuit ct appeals, understands drug money laundering/fraud and handles her own motions to recuse her and like mobster trump should be in jail  ... (see RICO Case)

 ]  earned many billions of dollars [ at whose expense ], which in a sense was both a scorecard and acknowledgment of my abilities [ to fool most of the people, all of the time. ] ."  TRUMP DRAWS CHEERS, BOOS AT CONSERVATIVE CONFERENCE...
PONDERING PRESIDENTIAL RUN... [Don’t make me laugh! … Donald T_rump Would Impose 25% Tax on China Imports if President  [  trump also said america’s become the laughingstock of the world … true enough … and trump the biggest joke … Indeed, that trump even posits the possibility of a run when he should be in jail is a testament to just how big a laughingstock pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s become!  [ If he was mobster in chief, mobster and scoundrel trump wraps himself in populist american flag and offers up an (too little too late – typical lightweight) implausible solution to keep ‘the juice’ flowing though he’d already be in jail in a rational, non-declining nation with meaningful laws. All China has to do is dump (and not prospectively buy) their ever more and declining in value day-by-day (from dollar debasement policies) u.s. paper / bonds and overnight and the u.s. economy consequently  thereby collapses. [ When you come right down to it, this has been america’s most significant export. Indeed, this irrevocable structural shift, hailed by cia men hw bush and clinton (clinton couldn’t have survived with them) by way of NAFTA as the greatest  thing since sliced bread was indeed in no uncertain terms condemned and warned against by Perot, a man of honor who, unlike his opponents, could not be bought, which is the reason, in pervasively corrupt america, he could never have been elected. Interestingly, you may have noticed the good (but not great, other than the spotlight on pervasive bribery including judges, police, politicians, etc., being far too light) the film ‘The Untouchables’ getting a wide re-airing of late, purporting to be a significant part of american folklore / history / culture. However, the reality is that in america, and certainly today, the real story with impact is that of ‘The Touchables’. The reality is that Elliot Ness died a broken man; bankrupt, unable to even win election to the mayoralty of his then current hometown. He was incorruptible; and hence, in the real america, unelectable at the least if not also all but unemployable (he and his are among those few genetic anomalies in america as I’ve previously alluded to. How far america has fallen from even false perception! Pervasively corrupt, meaningfully lawless america can’t even fake it anymore. See, for example, http://albertpeia.com/CIAAgentAffidavit1.jpg     http://albertpeia.com/FBIAgentAffidavit11.jpg      , and of course, corrupt legal / judicial processes, etc.,   Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on offensive (defensive a misnomer / propaganda) military spending than all the nations of the world combined, and by a large margin at that. Do you see a pattern emerging here [ I unfortunately only belatedly did, and the feds, fed employees, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality in the most nefarious sense …  The pervasively corrupt american illegal system … corrupt u.s. courts / (lawyers) / judges: Their lifetime plush appointments should be abolished, which corrupt entities are unheard of in productive societies as China, Japan, etc.. Time to abolish these drags on society and eliminate their lifetime stipends and costly bureaucracies. Rules of law mean nothing to these typically corrupt americans. Most, including sam alito of the u.s. supreme court, concerning  drug money laundering and obstruction of justice in the 3rd circuit ( also maryanne trump barry who covered-up drug money laundering through her brother’s casinos in a civil RICO case) should have gone to or belong in jail. Contrary to popular belief, they do it for the money, personal money, big, cash, untraceable money. The fog of war is great for such things (360 tons $100 bills flown into Iraq and missing, etc.). [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm  ]. america’s just a fraudulent and failed defacto bankrupt nation.  ] “I would announce, without equivocation, a 25% tax increase on anything purchased from China.” ]
CHENEY HECKLED... 'DRAFTDOGER!' 'WHERE'S BIN LADEN?'   ]

 

 

Symbolic reductions (Washington Post) Gerson: Why would the GOP cut funding for bed nets in Africa? [ Well, given the perilous state of a nation-state in peril; viz., defacto bankrupt america and the imperiled citizenry therein, one might ask how such was funded in the first instance… Drudgereport: DEBT NOW EQUALS ENTIRE ECONOMY
OBAMA AGENDA IS OVER
Obama refers to himself as 'The Gipper'… [ Riiiight! …anything you say wobmama the b for b*** s***… or maybe the bipper, the chipper, or the yankee clipper (the new joltin’ joe) …sounds like he’s losing it! ] ...
France Wants New Global Finance System; End of Dollar Dominance...
Fannie, Freddie bailout: $153 billion and counting...
GALLUP: Unemployment at 10.3%...
GADDAFI TELLS PALESTINIANS: REVOLT AGAINST ISRAEL
Gov't Motors to pay out $189 million in bonuses; some workers to get 50% payoffs..
Deficit Expected to Jump to $1.65 Trillion...

...'slow train wreck coming'
BUDGET BLOWOUT: How big is $3.73 trillion? $12,000 from each American...
ANALYSIS: $1.5 trillion tax hike over 10 years...
AIRLINES: New fees would be $2 billion tax increase on flyers...
Sessions: Obama failed on budget...
Long Spending Fight...
Produce prices to skyrocket with freeze in Mexico, Southwest...

Clothing Prices to Rise 10% Starting in Spring...
China Replaced Japan in 2010 as Number 2 Economy...
  ]

 

 

 

Could the Dow Hit 4,500? [ Short answer: YES! Prechter et als say even far lower (which I would agree with in real terms, but not in debased dollar terms.)  ] Norfolk ‘October 20, 1999: I am at a breakfast briefing run by a British investment house. Scarfing my bacon bap and croissant, washed down with the treacly and malodorous coffee that only hotels can provide, I feel quite the patronised lower-order businessman as I listen to the market overview.

Suddenly, I become uneasy. It's not the stomach registering the high fat food - nothing like it for dealing with last night's alcohol, I find - it's the strange disconnection between what the fund reps are telling me and what they want me to do. They are feeding me dead pig so I will recommend equity investment to my clients - but they're telling me (with relaxed smiles) "the American stock market could be as much as 50% too high, and a correction is overdue", as I reported in a letter to a client the next day.

We sure get bought cheaply, don't we?

It was around the same time that I attended a monthly broker network meeting in Worcester, where another fund house recruiting sergeant told us IFA doughboys how (in 1999) the tech boom was only in its first phase, and a sort of super-boom was coming next.

That's when I decided (1) to start reminding my people that most of their pensions and investments had an option to switch to cash within the wrapper - with the caveat that I had no crystal ball, and (2) to change my own business and earnings model to survival mode.

The next year, when one of our colleagues at the monthly get-together revealed that the best asset class for the last 12 months had been cash and asked hands up who'd seen that coming, I kept my hand down. I didn't want to disappear in a hail of slightly stale bread rolls.

Today I read in "The Spectator" magazine an article by Merryn Somerset Webb, editor-in-chief of "Moneyweek". She points out the inflationary boom in the East and suggests a contrarian play - invest West (counting Japan as part of the West) - but warns of overvaluation here, too:

"I refer you to two valuation measures that seek to tell us where markets will go over ten to 20 years, the cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio and the Q ratio of market value to underlying asset value. According to their biggest fan, the strategist Andrew Smithers, they now tell us that the US market is around 70 per cent overvalued."

I fear that Smithers is an optimist; or rather, when he says a market is overvalued, I assume he's using a theoretical fair value as his point of reference, and ignoring the overshoot effect. 70% overvaluation implies a 40% (ish) drop; but for a long time I've been watching for a 70% drop.

Back in October 2008, J. Kyle Bass of Hayman Advisors (.pdf here) was saying "We think we will see 10-12% unemployment, a 4-5% decline in GDP, and the equity markets could drop at least 70% from peak to trough." (I love that reassuringly conservative "at least", don't you? As Wavy Gravy said at Woodstock, "There is always a little bit of heaven in a disaster area." Maybe we will all be feeding each other again, man.)

So I had a go at drawing a picture... in December 2008, I took the Dow at close at the start of each calendar month from late October 1928 to 80 years later, and divided it by inflation (CPI-U) as announced for the end of the preceding month (I figured that even official figures for consumer prices aren't as manipulated as the gold market). Here's what I got: [chart]
Re-done today to the end of January, here's the same story updated:
[chart]
Read this way, the real peak was at the end of 1999, then the market halved until monetary inflation from 2003 blew up real estate, then it halved again until the wonders of QE, and sometime soon the Fed's lungs are going to give out once more.

Allowing for inflation, a drop of 70% from December 1999 would mean the Dow's low should be just under 4,500 today. That red dot really doesn't look so freakishly out of whack in context - not half so much as the Twin Peaks before it.

Of course, inflation is the joker in the pack. I'm talking about a deflation of the Dow in real terms; one way that could happen is a phoney boom discounted by high inflation - like 1973 - 1982, for instance:
[chart]

It took until April 1992 for the real Dow to get back to what it had been worth in December 1972; but at least it got back. The dollar lost 70% of its consumer purchasing power over the same period.

Like I said in my last SA article (This Liquidity Will Soak Us All ), it may be that we're going to wet, no matter what tree we stand under.

Meantime, I'm buying my own sandwiches.’

 

 

 

 

 

Beware The Lagging Dow Trick  Adler ‘When the Dow lags the broader market like it did today, it’s usually a sign the market managers want to run it up without the public on board, so beware of that if it continues for a few days. The bad news out of Fedex (FDX) is causing some after hours unpleasantness, but you know how that game goes. Shakeout at night, market makers' delight. Uncle Ben is scheduled to deposit $5-7 billion into Primary Dealer trading accounts tomorrow, but a big Treasury settlement will suck a massive amount of cash out of their wallets. The Treasury settles a whopping $62 billion in notes and bonds on Wedneday. That's a lot more than the Fed cash they got in the last week which will be only $12.5 billion to $23.5 billion including what they got last week. You might here a giant sucking sound for a day. I saw little change in the technicals today. This narrowly based uptrend has the potential to go on and on with minor shakes along the way. The 10-12 month cycle projection looks to be honing in on 1390 in my cycle work. That will probably shift some with the idealized top window open from now through April. The Wells Fargo-NAHB homebuilders index will be out at 10 AM Tuesday. Builder traffic has been non-existent and purchase mortgage applications have been hovering just above 20 year lows, so I don't see any improvement likely in sales activity. The numbers could easily get worse if they weren't already so close to the zero bound. The market shouldn't be surprised by that, but given the big Treasury settlement sucking cash out of dealer and other accounts, that could be a catalyst for a selloff. All of this bad news will be a setup for dealers to take down some inventory for another run as the Fed stuffs their trading accounts with cash in the days ahead. Bears should not be fooled by this. Don't get sucked in. Dippers, hold your fire until the selling is washed out.’

 

 

 

 

 

Stock Market Resiliency Being Put to the Test Editor's Note: This article was written by Richard Suttmeier, chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com ‘The test of resiliency for stocks comes from the dynamics for the US capital markets, both fundamentally and technically. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note has held my annual value level at 3.791, and these high yields are a drag on equity valuations. Comex gold has been volatile but seems to find a home at my annual pivot at $1356.5. Nymex crude oil trades on both sides of my semiannual pivot at $87.52. In this environment US stocks have become overvalued fundamentally and overbought technically. Stocks have been trading under a ValuEngine Valuation Warning for the past three days as the major averages push the envelope of new multi-year highs.I still see the warning flags flying from Egypt, Europe, and the emerging markets which are laggards as we approach mid-February. While the Dow Industrial Average is up 5.6% year to date the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index Fund (EEM) is down 5.4%, and the iShares FTSE China 25 Index Fund (FXI) is down 4.0% and is below both its 50-day simple moving average at $43.28 and its 200-day simple moving average at $42.13. These types of negative divergences suggest to me that US stocks are vulnerable once their Fed-induced bubbles pop.Thursday’s equity closes were above all of this week’s pivots at 12,142 Dow Industrial Average, 1316.2 S&P 500, 2770 Nasdaq, 5077 Dow Transports, and 800.13 Russell 2000. The S&P 500 tested and held its weekly pivot at 1316.2. The Dow Transport Average outperformed on Thursday and tested its annual pivot at 5179.
 

  • The Dow Industrial Average (12,229) -- My monthly value level is 11,759 with daily and annual risky levels at 12,404 and 13,890.
  • The S&P 500 (1321.9) -- My quarterly value level is 1262.5 with today’s risky level at 1344.5.
  • The NASDAQ (2790) -- My monthly value level is 2611 with daily and quarterly risky levels at 2850 and 2853.
  • Dow Transports (5168) -- My monthly value level is 4962 with daily and annual pivots at 5162 and 5179. Transports lag its January 18 high at 5256.80.
  • The Russell 2000 (812.70) -- My annual and quarterly value levels are 784.16 and 765.50 with a daily risky level at 829.97.


We are trading under a ValuEngine Valuation Warning -- 16 of 16 sectors overvalued with only 33.15% of all stocks undervalued on Wednesday, below the 35% threshold by this measure. This also means that 66.86% of all stocks are overvalued. Why does Wall Street think stocks are cheap?

The US Treasury 10-Year Yield -- (3.702) My annual value level is 3.791 with a weekly risky level at 3.525.

Comex Gold -- ($1361.7) My quarterly and annual pivots are $1331.3 and $1356.5 with daily, monthly, quarterly, and semiannual risky levels are $1375.2, $1412.4, $1441.7, and $1452.6.

Nymex Crude Oil – ($87.14) My semiannual pivot at $87.52 has become a magnet with a monthly pivot at $91.83.

The Euro -- (1.3593) My quarterly value level is 1.3227 with my monthly risky level at 1.4225.

Foreclosure Lull as Repossessions Rise Again

Foreclosure paperwork issues have slowed the home foreclosure process over the past two months, but as this dilemma works its way to a solution, foreclosures will rise again, as will bank auctions of OREO (Other Real Estate Owned). As a result, more homeowners who are missing mortgage payments are staying in their homes longer, adding to the backlog of bad loans. Meanwhile, banks are picking up the pace in repossessions taking back 78,133 properties in January according to RealtyTrac. This is up 12% from December. Banks took back more than a million homes in 2010, and about five million borrowers are at least two months behind on mortgage payments.The housing problems remain the same: high unemployment, a weak housing market, falling home prices, and tighter lending standards.’

 

 

 

 

Bernanke Helps Fuel an Increasingly Expensive Market   Roche ‘As the market continues to grind higher each and every day, it’s useful to gain some perspective on just how much Bernanke is impacting valuations and generating disequilibrium in the market. In order to do so we’ll review a number of long-term valuation indicators.

The first is Warren Buffett’s self proclaimed favorite valuation tool (see here for more). He uses the total market cap of the US stock market compared to GNP. He has generally maintained that levels below 80% are bullish. The latest reading of 106% is well below the levels seen at the last two market peaks, but well above the historical average levels. You will notice that the permanently high valuations coincide with the Greenspan Put which has now morphed into the Bernanke Put.

click to enlarge images [chart]

John Hussman’s latest piece succinctly describes the current market environment in which Ben Bernanke continues to encourage speculation and malinvestment. As we all know by now it is Bernanke’s goal to keep asset prices “higher than they otherwise would be” in an attempt to generate a self sustaining economic recovery through asset prices. This is the insane notion that nominal wealth will lead to real wealth.

In fact, Ben Bernanke has this quite backwards. Fundamentals drive real wealth – not nominal price increases. But two bubbles in one decade doesn’t teach this man a lesson. Hussman elaborates:

Last week, the S&P 500 Index ascended to a Shiller P/E in excess of 24 (this “cyclically-adjusted P/E” or CAPE represents the ratio of the S&P 500 to 10-year average earnings, adjusted for inflation). Prior to the mid-1990′s market bubble, a multiple in excess of 24 for the CAPE was briefly seen only once, between August and early-October 1929. Of course, we observe richer multiples at the heights of the late-1990′s bubble, when investors got ahead of themselves in response to the introduction of transformative technologies such as the internet. After a market slide of more than 50%, investors again pushed the Shiller multiple beyond 24 during the housing bubble and cash-out financing free-for-all that ended in the recent mortgage collapse.

And here we are again. This is not to say that we can rule out yet higher valuations, but with no transformative technologies driving the economy, little expansion in capital investment, and ongoing retrenchment in consumer balance sheets, I can’t help but think that the “virtuous cycle” rhetoric of Ben Bernanke is an awfully thin gruel by comparison. We should not deserve to be called “investors” if we fail to recognize that valuations are richer today than at any point in history, save for the few months before the 1929 crash, and a bubble period that has been rewarded by zero total return for the S&P 500 since 2000. Indeed, the stock market has lagged the return on low-yielding Treasury bills since August 1998. I am not sure that even members of my own profession have learned anything from this.

[chart]

Using his expected returns methodology Mr. Hussman is looking for annual returns of just 3.15% in the coming decade:

[chart]

Dshort brings us the Q Ratio which has now hit “nosebleed” territory again. This is consistent with the other metrics which all showed relatively stable ranges until the Fed began its unusual policy of propping up markets following the 87 crash. The latest reading of 1.17 is well below the Nasdaq bubble peak, but is higher than any other historical peak. “Nosebleed” could be an understatement.

[chart]

As I mentioned in December, we have to ask ourselves if any of this matters as long as the Fed is directly involved in promoting speculation. It’s now clear that the Bernanke Put is well ingrained in every investor’s head. Never has the Federal Reserve been so explicit about propping up asset prices and it has created a speculative frenzy that has every investor trying to front-run the Fed.

The problem for the Fed will be letting their foot off the gas. They have created a beast that they likely no longer control. When and if the Fed ever ends QE it is likely that markets will begin to revert to the mean. This will likely force the Fed’s hand to stabilize markets. So what we’ve created with this explicit backstop is a positive feedback loop. Can the Fed ever get out of the market now? And if they don’t it’s likely that markets will spiral higher until they cannot control the inevitable collapse.

The foolishness of current Fed policy cannot be downplayed. Let’s hope for the sake of US citizens that they are as quick to take credit for the inevitable market decline as they have been about taking credit for the rally. For once they admit to having contributed to malinvestment and misallocation of resources we can likely begin mounting a case that closes this horrible chapter in American history where the Central Bank attempted to turn our economy into a financialized ponzi scheme.’

 




Hosni Mubarak resigns: Switzerland to freeze assets of ousted ruler Switzerland has announced it was freezing assets in the country owned by newly resigned President Hosni Mubarak of Egypt.

 

Globalists Push SDRs as World Reserve Currency As investor Marc Faber noted last year, this funny money intervention by the Federal Reserve is going to create a final crisis that will destroy the U.S. financial system. The Fed “will print and print and print until the final crisis wipes out the whole system,” Faber warned.

 

IMF calls for dollar alternative The International Monetary Fund issued a report Thursday on a possible replacement for the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. The IMF said Special Drawing Rights, or SDRs, could help stabilize the global financial system.

 

 

The Faulty Economic Model Behind America’s Support for Dictators (Instead of Democracies) It is obvious that America has long supported dictators, instead of democracies, in developing countries.

 

Fannie, Freddie bailout: $153 billion … and counting When the dust settles, the federal bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will be the most expensive government rescue of the financial crisis — it already stands at $153 billion and counting.

 

 

 

 

The American Dream: It’s the Bank versus the Republic You Tube | THE AMERICAN DREAM takesa look at why leaders throughout our history have warned us and fought against the current type of financial system we have in America today.

 

 

 

Debt now equals total U.S. economy Washington Times | Obama projects that the gross federal debt will top $15 trillion this year, officially equalling the size of the entire U.S. economy.

 

 

 

Obama Releases $3.73 Trillion Budget WSJ | President Barack Obama released a $3.73 trillion budget for fiscal-year 2012 Monday.

 

 

France wants new global finance system France will help the transition to a global financial system based on ‘several international currencies’, the French Economy Minister said today.

 

Worst Freeze In 60 Years Wipes Out Entire Crops Across The Southwestern U.S. And Northern Mexico Get ready to pay a lot more for produce at the supermarket. In early February the worst freeze in 60 yearswiped out entire crops all across the southwestern U.S. and northern Mexico.

 

Roubini’s Next Crisis Is Scary Food for Thought Forget Egypt for a moment. Skip the water crisis in China. Look past angst on the streets of Bangladesh. If you want to see how extreme the effects of surging food prices are becoming, look to wealthy Japan.

 

UN: Escalating food prices leading to civil unrest In January, world food prices hit a record high. The Associated Press reports that escalating food prices is related to civil unrest.

 

Engineered Economic Collapse Approaching; the Inevitable Ron Paul constantly reminds us that money is created out of thin air, which is to say it’s an illusion. Therefore, the debt must be an illusion too, correct? Yet, fiscal conservatives still use the debt as a tool of fear to make budget cuts that they selectively deem expendable.

 

China overtakes Japan as world’s second-largest economy China has leapfrogged Japan to become the world’s second-largest economy, a title Japan has held since 1968.

 

Obama's budget would add $13 trillion to national debt President Barack Obama visited Susan Yoder's science class Monday at Parkville Middle School and Center of Technology in Parkville, Md.       Video:  Obama Advisor: President Made Tough Budget Cuts The Associated Press  Rejected Tax Increases Make a Return in Obama Administration Budget Plan Bloomberg

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

Obama Pencils In $37 Billion Budget Increase For DHS, Naked Body Scanners Steve Watson | No austerity measures to deal with for the bloated security theatre overlords

 

House OKs short-term extension of Patriot Act Los Angeles Times The House passes an extension of Patriot Act surveillance measures, temporarily bypassing 'tea party' lawmakers and others who say the provisions threaten privacy.     Rep. Gibson votes against extending Patriot Act provisions The Saratogian     44: Patriot Act extension passes House, one week after unexpected defeat Washington Post

 

 

France joins China in effort for end of the dollar RTE | France will help the transition to a global financial system based on ‘several international currencies.’

 

Neocons Target Ron Paul After CPAC Poll Win Kurt Nimmo | Paul has stood tall against the neocon version of U.S. foreign policy.

 

Congressman Ron Paul booted from conservative group for anti-war views The conservative group Young Americans for Freedom (YAF) announced Saturday that Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX) would be expelled from the group’s National Advisory Board because of his “delusional and disturbing alliance with the fringe Anti-War movement.”

 

Terrorist Who Trained London Bombers Was Working For US Government Paul Joseph Watson | Listen up Glenn Beck: “Radical Islam” is a creature of the US military-industrial complex

 

Was Judge John Roll the actual target of the Giffords shooting? Ethan A. Huff | Judge Roll was considered by some to be one of the most constitutionally-centered judges in history.

 

 

 

Ron Paul to U.S. Government: Stop Propping Up Dictators CNN | Ron Paul speaks with Wolf Blitzer on Egypt and the GOP nomination during the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC).

 

Conning Slaves Becky Akers | Boobus Americanus happily hugs his chains so long as his masters feign that he’s in charge.

 

21 Signs That The Once Great U.S. Economy Is Being Gutted The Economic Collapse | The United States is rapidly being turned into a “post-industrial” wasteland.

 

Engineered Economic Collapse Approaching Eric Blair | Fiscal conservatives still use the debt as a tool of fear to make budget cuts.

 

Alex Jones: Egypt a campaign to destabilize region The Alex Jones Channel | Contrary to the ideas that the uprising in Egypt could signal true freedom, there is every reason believe that it is part of a larger destabilization effort in the region, sponsored by the U.S. military and multi-national intelligence rings.

 

Report: Mubarak in coma, no decision on move to hospital Egyptian newspaper al-Masry al-Youm reported that deposed Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak has been in a coma since Saturday, quoting “well-informed sources.”

 

Egypt’s new military regime to effectively outlaw strikes CAIRO – Egypt’s new military rulers will issue a warning on Monday against anyone who creates “chaos and disorder,” an army source said.

 

Gaddafi tells Palestinians: revolt against Israel Palestinian refugees should capitalise on the wave of popular revolts in the Middle East by massing peacefully on the borders of Israel until it gives in to their demands, Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi said on Sunday.

 

 

Quiet military coup was behind Mubarak’s resignation Haaretz | After Mubarak’s Thursday-night address Egyptian military leaders, anticipating the anger of the protesters, told Mubarak that if he did not step down voluntarily the army would force him out.

 

Egyptian military dissolves parliament, suspends Constitution BBC | Egypt’s new military authorities say they are dissolving parliament and suspending the constitution.

 

David Icke: There’s Been NO REVOLUTION So Far David Icke | I have been watching the understandable euphoria in Egypt live on Al Jazeera television, but please, there must be a sense of perspective here – and urgently.

 

Algeria shuts down internet and Facebook as protest mounts Internet providers were shut down and Facebook accounts deleted across Algeria on Saturday as thousands of pro-democracy demonstrators were arrested in violent street demonstrations.

 

Algeria Internet Not Shut Down, According To Renesys Analysis Internet intelligence authority Renesys, whichconfirmed the Egypt outage weeks ago, says in a new blog post that it has no evidence that Algeria’s Internet has been shut down.

 

Dear Glenn Beck, Egypt Destabilization-Op Hatched by Globalists, Not Communists Alex Jones breaks down the real factors behind Egypt’s uprising in a special video report where he rebuffs the theories of Glenn Beck, who tries to link the Muslim Brotherhood to radical socialism in the United States.

 

Wisconsin Gov. Walker Threatens To Deploy National Guard As ‘Intimidation Force’ Against Workers’ Unions Think Progress | When asked by a reporter what will happen if workers resist, Gov. Walker replied that he would call out the National Guard.


 

Rep. Jones pushes for end to Afghanistan War ENC Today | They are faces, not numbers, for Rep. Walter B. Jones, R-NC.

 

 

Anonymous hack reveals HBGary plan to destroy WikiLeaks V3 | Data released as part of a hacking attack by the Anonymous group has shown what appears to be a corporate plan to destroy WikiLeaks.




 

Tea Party declares war on military spending Guardian | Dispute between the Republican party establishment and the Tea Party movement boiled over into the public arena during this week’s CPAC conference.

 

 

Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld booed at GOP convention in D.C. New York Daily News | Donald Rumsfeld and Dick Cheney were booed on Thursday at the Conservative Political Action Conference.     Ron Paul At CPAC: ‘Government is in the process of failing’ Is he running for US Senate? Is he signaling his bid for US president? Or is he hinting at something deeper within the US political climate?     Milbank: Donald trumps CPAC | Gibbs gone  (Washington Post) [  Trump’s a loser, dressed up and propped up by and to shill for a declining, fallen nation in the most corrupt regions of the country (every fallen nation has such); of that there is no question …"Over the years I've participated in many battles and have really almost come out very, very victorious every single time," the Donald said. (Except for the bankruptc[ies], that is. [ trump’s never won a battle that wasn’t fixed in advance (including the ‘pre-packaged bankrupcies’ crammed down the throats of objecting creditors – jersey general ] ) "I've beaten many people and companies, and I've won many wars," he added. (Though he didn't serve in the military.) "I have fairly [according to mobster rules; ie., bribery, money laundering, etc.] but intelligently [ as any other mob boss … trump is total b*** s***, a fraud, and lightweight … and, despite the façade, quite insecure … trump’s a total mental case … He truly is the ‘poster-boy’ of american decline and part of the problem, not the solution! …trump also said america’s become the laughingstock of the world … true enough … and trump the biggest joke … NEWS FLASH: Direct from Lost Angeles Learning Annex – Presenting mobster t_rump of new yoke, new joyzey, and now caleefornia mob fame with his continuing message for the past several years: buy real estate (and watch the values go down…..riiiiight!).
Bank sues Trump over Chicago tower loan...
Trump casino to miss interest payment...
trump’s fired (from ‘his own company’)

Gunfire Erupts Inside trump Taj Mahal Casino, 1 Dead - Second Such Incident In A Year At N.J. Mainstay Ends With Employee Killed – What else would you you expect from a mobster’s casino in mob-infested jersey!

Trump luxury resort folds, leaving buyers defrauded…litigation has commenced…send for sister maryanne, the corrupt federal judge to preside, coverup, etc., she’s in n.y./n.j./pa 3rd circuit ct appeals, understands drug money laundering/fraud and handles her own motions to recuse her and like mobster trump should be in jail  ... (see RICO Case)

 ]  earned many billions of dollars [ at whose expense ], which in a sense was both a scorecard and acknowledgment of my abilities [ to fool most of the people, all of the time. ] ."  TRUMP DRAWS CHEERS, BOOS AT CONSERVATIVE CONFERENCE...
PONDERING PRESIDENTIAL RUN... [Don’t make me laugh! … Donald T_rump Would Impose 25% Tax on China Imports if President  [  trump also said america’s become the laughingstock of the world … true enough … and trump the biggest joke … Indeed, that trump even posits the possibility of a run when he should be in jail is a testament to just how big a laughingstock pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s become!  [ If he was mobster in chief, mobster and scoundrel trump wraps himself in populist american flag and offers up an (too little too late – typical lightweight) implausible solution to keep ‘the juice’ flowing though he’d already be in jail in a rational, non-declining nation with meaningful laws. All China has to do is dump (and not prospectively buy) their ever more and declining in value day-by-day (from dollar debasement policies) u.s. paper / bonds and overnight and the u.s. economy consequently  thereby collapse. [ When you come right down to it, this has been america’s most significant export. Indeed, this irrevocable structural shift, hailed by cia men hw bush and clinton (clinton couldn’t have survived with them) by way of NAFTA as the greatest  thing since sliced bread was indeed in no uncertain terms condemned and warned against by Perot, a man of honor who, unlike his opponents, could not be bought, which is the reason, in pervasively corrupt america, he could never have been elected. Interestingly, you may have noticed the good (but not great, other than the spotlight on pervasive bribery including judges, police, politicians, etc., being far too light) the film ‘The Untouchables’ getting a wide re-airing of late, purporting to be a significant part of american folklore / history / culture. However, the reality is that in america, and certainly today, the real story with impact is that of ‘The Touchables’. The reality is that Elliot Ness died a broken man; bankrupt, unable to even win election to the mayoralty of his then current hometown. He was incorruptible; and hence, in the real america, unelectable at the least if not also all but unemployable (he and his are among those few genetic anomalies in america as I’ve previously alluded to. How far america has fallen from even false perception! Pervasively corrupt, meaningfully lawless america can’t even fake it anymore. See, for example, http://albertpeia.com/CIAAgentAffidavit1.jpg     http://albertpeia.com/FBIAgentAffidavit11.jpg      , and of course, corrupt legal / judicial processes, etc.,   Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on offensive (defensive a misnomer / propaganda) military spending than all the nations of the world combined, and by a large margin at that. Do you see a pattern emerging here [ I unfortunately only belatedly did, and the feds, fed employees, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality in the most nefarious sense …  The pervasively corrupt american illegal system … corrupt u.s. courts / (lawyers) / judges: Their lifetime plush appointments should be abolished, which corrupt entities are unheard of in productive societies as China, Japan, etc.. Time to abolish these drags on society and eliminate their lifetime stipends and costly bureaucracies. Rules of law mean nothing to these typically corrupt americans. Most, including sam alito of the u.s. supreme court, concerning  drug money laundering and obstruction of justice in the 3rd circuit ( also maryanne trump barry who covered-up drug money laundering through her brother’s casinos in a civil RICO case) should have gone to or belong in jail. Contrary to popular belief, they do it for the money, personal money, big, cash, untraceable money. The fog of war is great for such things (360 tons $100 bills flown into Iraq and missing, etc.). [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm  ]. america’s just a fraudulent and failed defacto bankrupt nation.  ] “I would announce, without equivocation, a 25% tax increase on anything purchased from China.” ]
CHENEY HECKLED... 'DRAFTDOGER!' 'WHERE'S BIN LADEN?'   ]

 

 

 

 

 

 

Drudgereport: DEBT NOW EQUALS ENTIRE ECONOMY
OBAMA AGENDA IS OVER
Obama refers to himself as 'The Gipper'… [ Riiiight! …anything you say wobmama the b for b*** s***… or maybe the bipper, the chipper, or the yankee clipper (the new joltin’ joe) …sounds like he’s losing it! ] ...
France Wants New Global Finance System; End of Dollar Dominance...
Fannie, Freddie bailout: $153 billion and counting...
GALLUP: Unemployment at 10.3%...
GADDAFI TELLS PALESTINIANS: REVOLT AGAINST ISRAEL
Gov't Motors to pay out $189 million in bonuses; some workers to get 50% payoffs..
Deficit Expected to Jump to $1.65 Trillion...

...'slow train wreck coming'
BUDGET BLOWOUT: How big is $3.73 trillion? $12,000 from each American...
ANALYSIS: $1.5 trillion tax hike over 10 years...
AIRLINES: New fees would be $2 billion tax increase on flyers...
Sessions: Obama failed on budget...
Long Spending Fight...
Produce prices to skyrocket with freeze in Mexico, Southwest...

Clothing Prices to Rise 10% Starting in Spring...
China Replaced Japan in 2010 as Number 2 Economy...

China plans Colombian rail link to challenge Panama canal...
The March On Berlusconi...

Malware 'Aimed at Iran Hit Five Sites'...

Mubarak 'falls into coma after final speech'...
Egyptian military orders last protesters out of 'Liberation Square'...
Consolidates power...
Delivers ultimatum...

 

 

 

 

 

Stocks gain as Mubarak resigns (Washington Post) [  Come on! Don’t be ridiculous! Stocks gain regardless of the ‘event resignation’ as pointed out by Dave, immediately infra. The ‘miracle’ of computer-programmed high-frequency trading fraud with fed / congressional complicity, which will inevitably end quite badly for the vast majority at whose expense the gains for the relative few are made.  One-Way Market Action: Dave's Daily  ‘"To the moon"(Alice) might be a better description of this nonstop bullish action. All week markets were worrying about Egypt. When things were bad there, markets rallied. When things seemed better, markets rallied. When Cisco and Credit Suisse posted lousy reports, markets rallied. When China raised interest rates, markets rallied. Every dip has been bought and every dip has been buying. All this was taking place while many emerging markets were breaking down creating some divergence from previously high inter-market correlations. Things are going so well most reliable technical indicators are getting steamrolled by what those few trading must believe is a rosy future. Market rallies have been steady but not spectacularly higher with daily .50% type moves. But, those add up. Does all this frustrate us? Partially, since active portfolios exited a couple of weeks ago but Lazy Portfolios are doing better. Making sense of Mr. Market has never been an easy proposition. I'm back from attending the annual Inside ETFs conference in Florida where I moderated a panel on technical analysis. Most panelists were bullish but couldn't pin-point why other than "price" analysis. Friday Mubarak gave up probably needing the extra time to round-up the loot before he left town for a Club Med in Dubai or some such place. Markets opened lower on Mubarak's initial determination but then rallied some on his change of heart Friday…’   ] The relief over the embattled leader's departure extends well beyond Tahrir Square.

 

 

Ahmadinejad speaks on Egypt (Washington Post) [ ‘Ahmadinejad says Egypt, Tunisia were inspired by Iran's anti-Western protests’ … Yeah … this is really the truth … buttressed by factual reality … I mean, though suffering the economic pain of american / israeli / nato destructive mis-adventures in the mid-east, the american public is relatively insulated from the realities of same, from war crimes to destruction of innocent lives and property, by way of propaganda and inured by their own zombification. The realities of the west’s inflicted horrors have finally come home to roost. There are and will be consequences! This world is not a vacuum. ]

 

 

GOP's plan for spending cuts sets Capitol Hill showdown (Washington Post) [ Showdown? How ‘bout hoedown! I mean, give me a break … who’s kidding whom … but the ‘show’ part fits! Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘   Howard Davidowitz on the Economy: "Here Are the Numbers ... WE'RE BROKE!"   11-25-10  The U.S. economy "is a complete disaster," Howard Davidowitz declared here in July, the most recent in a string of dire predictions … "Here are the numbers...we're broke," Davidowitz declares, noting the U.S. government goes $5 billion deeper into debt every day and is facing $1 trillion-plus annual deficits for the next decade. "In other words, we're bankrupt."As with the economy, Davidowitz is unwaveringly consistent in his views on President Obama, calling him "deranged, dysfunctional and discredited."Results of the midterm election show "the people of this country think we are in a catastrophe," he says. "I'm with them."] Some Republicans express concerns about the steep cuts, but some cheer the trims as an important political objective -- meeting a campaign pledge they made last fall to grass-roots activists.

 

 

Egypt's popular uprising triumphs     In 18 days, a revolution topples 30-year regime Hosni Mubarak becomes the second Arab leader in a month to succumb to his people's potent thirst for freedom.  (Washington Post) [ That 82 year old, 30 year Egyptian potentate, Pharhosni Mubarak was done was never in question. What comes next is another matter entirely:

 

Drudgereport: IMF CALLS FOR ALTERNATIVE TO $$ AS WORLD'S RESERVE
MILITARY TAKES COMMAND
'Egypt is Free,' crowds chant...
WIRE: Military coup was behind Mubarak's exit...  
Military calls for normal business activity to resume...

DAY 18: Mubarak and family flee Cairo for Sharm el-Sheikh...
Swiss freeze assets...
Obama learns of resignation watching TV...
Crisis Puts White House in Disarray...
Director of National Intelligence: Muslim Brotherhood 'Largely Secular,' 'Has Eschewed Violence'...
'Weakness' in USA...
Ahmadinejad: Egyptian protests herald new Mideast...
AL-JAZEERA LIVE FEED...
FRANCE 24 LIVE FEED...
Mubarak Hangs Tough...

VP Urges Protestors to Ignore Media, and Go Home...
AL-JAZEERA LIVE FEED...
CIA Panetta Confused: Said Strong likelihood Mubarak would 'step down tonight'...
March to palace being organized...
REUTERS LIVE...
ElBaradei warns Egypt will 'explode'....
Egypt's govt on the brink..
FLASH CRASH: APPLE stock loses $10 billion in four minutes...

Jobs' Health Rumor?
Global Stock Exchanges Headed for Major Consolidation...
Kyl becomes fifth senator to step aside...
Fed Governor Resigns; Bernanke Adviser Questioned Stimulus...

NBC: Intelligence officials 'scrambling to try to determine exactly what this all means'...



Mubarak Steps Down as President, Army Takes Over ABC News | Egypt’s embattled President Hosni Mubarak abruptly stepped down as president, ending his 30-year America’s Strategic Repression of the ‘Arab Awakening’ A popular backlash against American-supported dictatorships and repressive regimes has been anticipated for a number of years, with arch-hawk geopolitical strategist Zbigniew Brzezinski articulating a broad conception of a ‘Global Political Awakening’ taking place, in which the masses of the world (predominantly the educated, exploited and impoverished youth of the ‘Third World’) have become acutely aware of their subjugation, inequality, exploitation and oppression.

 

 

One-Way Market Action: Dave's Daily  ‘"To the moon"(Alice) might be a better description of this nonstop bullish action. All week markets were worrying about Egypt. When things were bad there, markets rallied. When things seemed better, markets rallied. When Cisco and Credit Suisse posted lousy reports, markets rallied. When China raised interest rates, markets rallied. Every dip has been bought and every dip has been buying. All this was taking place while many emerging markets were breaking down creating some divergence from previously high inter-market correlations. Things are going so well most reliable technical indicators are getting steamrolled by what those few trading must believe is a rosy future. Market rallies have been steady but not spectacularly higher with daily .50% type moves. But, those add up. Does all this frustrate us? Partially, since active portfolios exited a couple of weeks ago but Lazy Portfolios are doing better. Making sense of Mr. Market has never been an easy proposition. I'm back from attending the annual Inside ETFs conference in Florida where I moderated a panel on technical analysis. Most panelists were bullish but couldn't pin-point why other than "price" analysis. Friday Mubarak gave up probably needing the extra time to round-up the loot before he left town for a Club Med in Dubai or some such place. Markets opened lower on Mubarak's initial determination but then rallied some on his change of heart Friday…’

 

 

 

 

Bad News and Higher Prices - Bullish Wall of Worry or Reason to Worry?  [Definitely reason to worry; this up, up and away, valuation be damned preceded the last crash and the crash before that!  ], On Friday February 11, 2011 ‘If it's too obvious, it's obviously wrong. More often than not, this proverbial Wall Street adage has the last laugh. What's the prevailing consent on Wall Street? What's suspiciously obvious today?

- The Fed is here to help. As long as there's QE2 (or QE3, 4, etc,) prices will go up.

- January was positive. As January goes, so goes the year.

- This is the third year of the Presidential Election Year Cycle. There hasn't been a negative third year since 1939.

- There's no catalyst to send stocks higher.

While Wall Street analysts are trying to one up each other's positive forecasts, the Fear Index, VIX (Chicago Options: ^VIX) has fallen to a 3 year low. The last time the VIX was at a similar level was in April 2010, just before a literally fear-inspiring 17% correction and the May 'Flash Crash' (see chart below).The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter didn't subscribe to the prevailing optimism in April 2010 and warned that: 'The message conveyed by the composite bullishness is unmistakably bearish. The pieces are in place for a major decline.'Does that mean that the bottom will fall out again within a matter of days? Not necessarily, but now is certainly not the time to be married to your holdings. Tight sell stops are warranted because any minor correction could turn into a large one. Why?

New Bull Market, or Mother of all Bear Market Rallies?

The devil's in the long-term trend. If we are in a new bull market, any dip would present a buying opportunity. If we are in the mother of all bear market rallies, every rally is a trap and represents a selling opportunity.How can one determine whether we are in a new bull market, or a bear market rally?     [chart]     It's said that bull markets climb a wall of worry. No doubt there was extreme pessimism surrounding the March 2009 lows. That's one of the reasons the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter sent out a strong buy signal on March 2, 2009.But pessimism at the bottom doesn't equal a wall of worry. In fact, following the initial bout of disbelief, investors embraced the rally rather quickly. In late 2009, sentiment readings became frothy, in January 2010 they rivaled 2007 extremes (stocks fell 9%), and in April 2010 they exceeded 2007 extremes (stocks fell 17%).About two thirds of the rally from the 2009 lows was accompanied by optimism. This is no wall of worry.

Glass Half Full Outlook

Think about it, even the truly big problems - unemployment and falling real estate (NYSEArca: IYR - News) prices - were sugar coated from the very beginning. The unemployment problem was charmingly called 'jobless recovery' and falling real estate prices were simply ignored.The Case-Shiller home price index is down four months in a row, but nobody is bothered. A few days ago, MarketWatch ran an article: '10 reasons to be bullish on housing.'Courtesy of the continuing real estate conundrum, the FDIC closed 157 banks in 2010, and 14 thus far in 2011. According to a Wall Street Journal article, the top 10 U.S. owned banks (NYSEArca: KBE - News) had $13.8 billion in unrealized losses.Those are not reflected in earnings numbers as long as financial institutions (NYSEArca: XLF - News) believe the investment will later rebound. Guess what? Banks are pretty darn sure prices will reclaim their 2006 all-time highs.In addition to the $13.8 billion in unrealized losses, the top 10 U.S. banks owned $360.7 billion in illiquid, hard to value assets (called level 3 assets). While paper earnings appear solid, it appears as if banks are hiding skeletons in their closets. But who cares, stocks (NYSEArca: VTI - News) are up.

Anomaly Explained

Ben Bernanke has openly admitted that asset inflation, or the wealth effect from rising stock prices, is the objective of QE2. Obviously, the money flow from the Federal Reserve over banks into the stock market has been the driving force behind this monster rally.Much of the Fed money has been funneled into commodities. Since QE2, net speculative positions in wheat and copper have doubled, oil soared 115%, soybeans 40% and corn 15%. Rising commodity prices (NYSEArca: DBC - News) are putting the squeeze on lower income Americans and will eventually lower profit margins for the materials sector (NYSEArca: XLB - News).It's quite likely that this ripple effect will spill over into the retail (NYSEArca: XRT - News), technology (NYSEArca: XLK - News), and consumer discretionary sector (NYSEArca: XLY - News). From there it's just a matter of time until it hits the broader Dow (DJI: ^DJI), S&P (SNP: ^GSPC) and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC).Contrary to its objective, QE2 has also sent interest rates soaring. Higher interest rates tend to encourage the money to flow from equities into bonds. Higher interest rates put pressure on bond (NYSEArca: AGG - News) and stock prices alike.

Early Detection

The trend is your friend, but the trend is a fair-weather friend and can turn at any given time. The trend doesn't announce its intention to change direction. It switches back and worth as it pleases without your permission.Courtesy of your friend the trend, everybody is a genius in a bull market ... and a nave misguided trend follower when prices drop without prior notice.There is no foolproof way to find out when the market is about to change directions. There are, however, ways to put the odds in your favor.Watching support levels has proven a very effective way. A few months ago 1,170  was a crucial support level highlighted by the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter. The S&P tested this level no less than five times, but never broker below it and rallied over 10% since.Just recently, 1,270 was such a support level. The S&P tested it twice before moving into the 1,320 range. The market is dynamic and can change swiftly; therefore, it's the market that dictates support levels, not us. We just identify and use them.At the current juncture, support levels are vital because they define the trend. As long as support remains intact, so does the rally. Once support is broken, watch out…’

 

 

 

 

Stock Market Resiliency Being Put to the Test Minyanville Suttmeier, chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com.’The test of resiliency for stocks comes from the dynamics for the US capital markets, both fundamentally and technically. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note has held my annual value level at 3.791, and these high yields are a drag on equity valuations. Comex gold has been volatile but seems to find a home at my annual pivot at $1356.5. Nymex crude oil trades on both sides of my semiannual pivot at $87.52. In this environment US stocks have become overvalued fundamentally and overbought technically. Stocks have been trading under a ValuEngine Valuation Warning for the past three days as the major averages push the envelope of new multi-year highs.I still see the warning flags flying from Egypt, Europe, and the emerging markets which are laggards as we approach mid-February. While the Dow Industrial Average is up 5.6% year to date the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index Fund (EEM) is down 5.4%, and the iShares FTSE China 25 Index Fund (FXI) is down 4.0% and is below both its 50-day simple moving average at $43.28 and its 200-day simple moving average at $42.13. These types of negative divergences suggest to me that US stocks are vulnerable once their Fed-induced bubbles pop.Thursday’s equity closes were above all of this week’s pivots at 12,142 Dow Industrial Average, 1316.2 S&P 500, 2770 Nasdaq, 5077 Dow Transports, and 800.13 Russell 2000. The S&P 500 tested and held its weekly pivot at 1316.2. The Dow Transport Average outperformed on Thursday and tested its annual pivot at 5179.
 

  • The Dow Industrial Average (12,229) -- My monthly value level is 11,759 with daily and annual risky levels at 12,404 and 13,890.
  • The S&P 500 (1321.9) -- My quarterly value level is 1262.5 with today’s risky level at 1344.5.
  • The NASDAQ (2790) -- My monthly value level is 2611 with daily and quarterly risky levels at 2850 and 2853.
  • Dow Transports (5168) -- My monthly value level is 4962 with daily and annual pivots at 5162 and 5179. Transports lag its January 18 high at 5256.80.
  • The Russell 2000 (812.70) -- My annual and quarterly value levels are 784.16 and 765.50 with a daily risky level at 829.97.


We are trading under a ValuEngine Valuation Warning -- 16 of 16 sectors overvalued with only 33.15% of all stocks undervalued on Wednesday, below the 35% threshold by this measure. This also means that 66.86% of all stocks are overvalued. Why does Wall Street think stocks are cheap?

The US Treasury 10-Year Yield
-- (3.702) My annual value level is 3.791 with a weekly risky level at 3.525.
Comex Gold -- ($1361.7) My quarterly and annual pivots are $1331.3 and $1356.5 with daily, monthly, quarterly, and semiannual risky levels are $1375.2, $1412.4, $1441.7, and $1452.6.
Nymex Crude Oil – ($87.14) My semiannual pivot at $87.52 has become a magnet with a monthly pivot at $91.83.
The Euro -- (1.3593) My quarterly value level is 1.3227 with my monthly risky level at 1.4225.

Foreclosure Lull as Repossessions Rise Again
Foreclosure paperwork issues have slowed the home foreclosure process over the past two months, but as this dilemma works its way to a solution, foreclosures will rise again, as will bank auctions of OREO (Other Real Estate Owned). As a result, more homeowners who are missing mortgage payments are staying in their homes longer, adding to the backlog of bad loans. Meanwhile, banks are picking up the pace in repossessions taking back 78,133 properties in January according to RealtyTrac. This is up 12% from December. Banks took back more than a million homes in 2010, and about five million borrowers are at least two months behind on mortgage payments.
The housing problems remain the same: high unemployment, a weak housing market, falling home prices, and tighter lending standards.’

 

 

 

Debunking the 'Debunking Myths of U.S. Collapse' Post  Ridder [ Stated another way, the collapse of the (dis)united states is at hand. Now, let me state, that doesn’t mean america will disappear from the face of the earth, but the reality truly is ‘death from a thousand cuts’. It’s not just China’s rise, but america’s decline and fall with the concomitant relative rise of other nations, regions. Quite simply, and historically factual reality has proven, nation-states cannot and have not survived the multitude of negative, destructive, and self-destructive things america has done and prosper as a leading nation. From perpetual war, to pervasive corruption, fraud, criminality across all stratum including institutions, government of american society, to what I believe as well to be an evolved genetic bias of inherent criminality/mental illness which is ill-adapted to the strictures of a more enlightened 21st Century by way of near instantaneously available information, with truth and factual reality being america’s greatest enemy. In support of the foregoing I will reiterate reasons, infra.]  ‘This is a short response to another post I recently read, "Debunking Myths of U.S. Collapse," which was a follow up to the article "The End of America? Not Quite." This post had various and numerous flaws, in my opinion, which I thought had to be addressed. I have unfortunately recently undergone shoulder surgery, so I will not be able to provide as comprehensive response as I might hope; but I will provide some basic arguments and thoughts that rebut or refute the statements given in the "Debunking" post. First, under the heading "Printing Money Does Not Create Wealth," in which the author attempts to refute this statement, there is this line of reasoning:

"How will the 'wasted' money get into the hands of the wealth creators? If the new ear pickers go into their communities and spend it at local businesses, the printed money goes from useless employees, into the accounts of productive businesses (of course the producers get less after layers of tax bites). So the act of spending printed dollars itself will get those dollars into the hands of businesses who are able to create wealth."

Quickly, I will point to Japan, which has tried this over 20 years and seems not to have created much wealth as measured by the Japanese stock market. On the face of it this is a Keynesian solution and one source to explain the Keynesian fallacies, and provide logic for its arguments, is the book, "The Failure of the New Economics: An Analysis of the Keynesian Fallacies."

Secondly, we come across this statement:

You will realize Dick Cheney got it right when he said 'Deficits don't matter,' and will rest well knowing the US will not default through non-payment, nor hyper-inflation."

The author Murray Rothbard in the book, "Making Economic Sense," rebuts this thinking where he writes:

"Myth 1: Deficits are the cause of inflation; deficits have nothing to do with inflation."

"In recent decades we always have had federal deficits. The invariable response of the party out of power, whichever it may be, is to denounce those deficits as being the cause of perpetual inflation. And the invariable response of whatever party is in power has been to claim that deficits have nothing to do with inflation. Both opposing statements are myths.

"Deficits mean that the federal government is spending more than it is taking in in taxes. Those deficits can be financed in two ways. If they are financed by selling Treasury bonds to the public, then the deficits are not inflationary. No new money is created; people and institutions simply draw down their bank deposits to pay for the bonds, and the Treasury spends that money. Money has simply been transferred from the public to the Treasury, and then the money is spent on other members of the public.

"On the other hand, the deficit may be financed by selling bonds to the banking system. If that occurs, the banks create new money by creating new bank deposits and using them to buy the bonds. The new money, in the form of bank deposits, is then spent by the Treasury, and thereby enters permanently into the spending stream of the economy, raising prices and causing inflation. By a complex process, the Federal Reserve enables the banks to create the new money by generating bank reserves of one-tenth that amount. Thus, if banks are to buy $100 billion of new bonds to finance the deficit, the Fed buys approximately $10 billion of old Treasury bonds. This purchase increases bank reserves by $10 billion, allowing the banks to pyramid the creation of new bank deposits or money by ten times that amount. In short, the government and the banking system it controls in effect "print" new money to pay for the federal deficit.

"Thus, deficits are inflationary to the extent that they are financed by the banking system; they are not inflationary to the extent they are underwritten by the public."

Third, the author is just plain wrong mathematical analysis under the heading, "Printing Money Will Cause the U.S. Dollar to Lose Reserve-Currency Status," the author writes:

"Granted, China is growing at roughly 10% a year, and we are only growing at 3%. I get that. Let's do the math though and see if we should worry. If China is a $6 trillion economy, growing at 10%, they grow by $600 billion a year. If we are a $14 trillion economy growing at 3%, we grow by $420 billion a year. In this close to reality example, China is closing the gap at $180 billion a year. At this rate - it will take China 44 years to even match the US in GDP. Can they continue to grow at 10% a year, while their largest customer grows at 3% for 44 straight year? We are a far cry from no longer being the largest economy. The biggest economy in the world should be blessed with the reserve currency."

I took $14 trillion and grew it at a 3% rate in a spreadsheet and then took $6 trillion in a spreadsheet and grew it at 10% a year. One will find that if the 3% and 10% growth rates hold then in only 13 years (from a base year of zero) the Chinese economy would surpass the U.S. economy. This is much lower than 44 years, actually less than 30% of the time! It appears the author forgot to compound the growth rates but just used the difference in the first year to compute a timeline. Finally, the OECD showed that the EU-27 had a larger economy than the U.S. in 2009.

Fourth, there is this paragraph headline, "If Money Printing is Good, Then Just Print Enough To Give Everyone $1 Million," and then tries to protect the money printing position, which starts as follows:

"If printing is not a big deal, then why not just print away? The doom and gloomers jump to the conclusion that if I think printing won't cause the collapse of America, it must be a good thing. So why not seek more of that good thing?"

The author then rambles on about how he is not calling for everyone to get a huge lump sum and therefore his money printing position is okay. Left unanswered is what is the "right" amount of money to print and how exactly does it get distributed. Rothbard provides a more thoughtful analysis of this type of situation, again, in his book, "The Mystery of Banking," where he introduces the Angel Gabriel analogy:

"To show why an increase in the money supply confers no social benefits, let us picture to ourselves what I call the "Angel Gabriel" model. The Angel Gabriel is a benevolent spirit who wishes only the best for mankind, but unfortunately knows nothing about economics. He hears mankind constantly complaining about a lack of money, so he decides to intervene and do something about it. And so overnight, while all of us are sleeping, the Angel Gabriel descends and magically doubles everyone's stock of money. In the morning, when we all wake up, we find that the amount of money we had in our wallets, purses, safes, and bank accounts has doubled.

"What will be the reaction? Everyone knows it will be instant hoopla and joyous bewilderment. Every person will consider that he is now twice as well off, since his money stock has doubled. In terms of our Figure 3.4, everyone's cash balance, and therefore total M, has doubled to $200 billion. Everyone rushes out to spend their new surplus cash balances. But, as they rush to spend the money, all that happens is that demand curves for all goods and services rise. Society is no better off than before, since real resources, labor, capital, goods, natural resources, productivity, have not changed at all. And so prices will, overall, approximately double, and people will find that they are not really any better off than they were before. Their cash balances have doubled, but so have prices, and so their purchasing power remains the same. Because he knew no economics, the Angel Gabriel's gift to mankind has turned to ashes.

"But let us note something important for our later analysis of the real world processes of inflation and monetary expansion. It is not true that no one is better off from the Angel Gabriel's doubling of the supply of money. Those lucky folks who rushed out the next morning, just as the stores were opening, managed to spend their increased cash before prices had a chance to rise; they certainly benefited. Those people, on the other hand, who decided to wait a few days or weeks before they spent their money, lost by the deal, for they found that their buying prices rose before they had the chance to spend the increased amounts of money. In short, society did not gain overall, but the early spenders benefited at the expense of the late spenders. The profligate gained at the expense of the cautious and thrifty: another joke at the expense of the good Angel." (Pages 45-46)

Fifth, it appears that the author has reintroduced the fallacy of the labor theory of value when he states:

"The U.S. Dollar Has Lost 96% of its Purchasing Power - Thus Printing Makes Us Poorer. This argument only covers one side of the story. While each individual dollar buys less goods, the argument is incomplete. To bust this myth, we just need to look at how much time it requires to pay for those goods. Instead of looking at how many dollars it takes to buy a candy bar today compared to 30 years ago, I would challenge you to instead value the candy bar in hours of labor to obtain it."

I am almost at a loss as how to respond to the labor theory of value appearing to pop up again. I think one can go to any of today’s basic economic textbooks and have that fallacy addressed. I only hope the author was intending to discuss real wages and unfortunately used poor wording that accidently came out as in favor for the labor theory of value.

Finally, the author writes:

"I want the reader to know though, you can rest confident knowing that tonight the U.S. will not collapse by the time you wake up in the morning. Sleep well because the U.S. Dollar will not be worthless when you wake up ... Fear for the collapse of America is unwarranted and rooted in misunderstanding of the monetary system in which we live under today. We are not Greece. Or Weimar. Or Zimbabwe."

I would caution the reader that author’s writing has numerous fallacies and mathematical inaccuracies. A need for clearer and more thoughtful thinking is needed to analyze the monetary and fiscal policies of Greece, Weimar, and Zimbabwe and compare them to the U.S. I do recall a while ago that the central bank head of Zimbabwe said his bank was just doing the same thing the FED was. This is not the type of neighborhood I would like to take even a short visit to.’

 

 

 

IMF calls for dollar alternative The International Monetary Fund issued a report Thursday on a possible replacement for the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. The IMF said Special Drawing Rights, or SDRs, could help stabilize the global financial system.

 

Shocking New IMF Report: The U.S. Dollar Needs To Be Replaced As The World Reserve Currency And SDRs “Could Constitute An Embryo Of Global Currency” The IMF is trying to move the world away from the U.S. dollar and towards a global currency once again. In a new report entitled “Enhancing International Monetary Stability—A Role for the SDR”, the IMF details the “problems” with having the U.S. dollar as the reserve currency of the globe and the IMF discusses the potential for a larger role for SDRs (Special Drawing Rights).

 

CBO Director Says Obamacare Would Reduce Employment by 800,000 Workers Testifying today before the House Budget Committee, Congressional Budget Office (CBO) Director Doug Elmendorf confirmed that Obamacare is expected to reduce the number of jobs in the labor market by an estimated 800,000.

 

Goldman Sachs Not So Bullish About Gold This recent note out of the Goldman Sachs Investment Strategy Group is likely to wrinkle some feathers in the world of gold investors. Goldman sees gold as an increasingly poor investment going forward.

 

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

Reparations: Rahm Says Pay the Banksters First Kurt Nimmo | Emanuel knows black Americans will never see a cent under the transfer of wealth scheme known as slave reparations.

 

House Clears Path For Extension Of Government Spying On American Citizens Steve Watson | PATRIOT Act renewal clears House vote, will be passed next week.

 

Globalists Push SDRs as World Reserve Currency Kurt Nimmo | The banksters have purposely attacked the dollar in order to move us into a globalist world currency.

 

T_rump: Ron Paul Has “Zero Chance” Of Beating Obama Paul Joseph Watson |  {  Drudgereport: TRUMP DRAWS CHEERS, BOOS AT CONSERVATIVE CONFERENCE...      PONDERING PRESIDENTIAL RUN... [Don’t make me laugh! … Donald T_rump Would Impose 25% Tax on China Imports if President  [ trump also said america’s become the laughingstock of the world … true enough … and trump the biggest joke … Indeed, that trump even posits the possibility of a run when he should be in jail is a testament to just how big a laughingstock pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s become!  [ If he was mobster in chief, mobster and scoundrel trump wraps himself in populist american flag and offers up an (too little too late – typical lightweight) implausible solution to keep ‘the juice’ flowing though he’d already be in jail in a rational, non-declining nation with meaningful laws. All China has to do is dump (and not prospectively buy) their ever more and declining in value day-by-day (from dollar debasement policies) u.s. paper / bonds and overnight the u.s. economy consequently  thereby collapses. [ When you come right down to it, this has been america’s most significant export. Indeed, this irrevocable structural shift, hailed by cia men hw bush and clinton (clinton couldn’t have survived with them) by way of NAFTA as the greatest  thing since sliced bread was indeed in no uncertain terms condemned and warned against by Perot, a man of honor who, unlike his opponents, could not be bought, which is the reason, in pervasively corrupt america, he could never have been elected. Interestingly, you may have noticed the good (but not great, other than the spotlight on pervasive bribery including judges, police, politicians, etc., being far too light) the film ‘The Untouchables’ getting a wide re-airing of late, purporting to be a significant part of american folklore / history / culture. However, the reality is that in america, and certainly today, the real story with impact is that of ‘The Touchables’. The reality is that Elliot Ness died a broken man; bankrupt, unable to even win election to the mayoralty of his then current hometown. He was incorruptible; and hence, in the real america, unelectable at the least if not also all but unemployable (he and his are among those few genetic anomalies in america as I’ve previously alluded to. How far america has fallen from even false perception! Pervasively corrupt, meaningfully lawless america can’t even fake it anymore. See, for example, http://albertpeia.com/CIAAgentAffidavit1.jpg     http://albertpeia.com/FBIAgentAffidavit11.jpg      , and of course, corrupt legal / judicial processes, etc.,   Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on offensive (defensive a misnomer / propaganda) military spending than all the nations of the world combined, and by a large margin at that. Do you see a pattern emerging here [ I unfortunately only belatedly did, and the feds, fed employees, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality in the most nefarious sense …  The pervasively corrupt american illegal system … corrupt u.s. courts / (lawyers) / judges: Their lifetime plush appointments should be abolished, which corrupt entities are unheard of in productive societies as China, Japan, etc.. Time to abolish these drags on society and eliminate their lifetime stipends and costly bureaucracies. Rules of law mean nothing to these typically corrupt americans. Most, including sam alito of the u.s. supreme court, concerning  drug money laundering and obstruction of justice in the 3rd circuit ( also maryanne trump barry who covered-up drug money laundering through her brother’s casinos in a civil RICO case) should have gone to or belong in jail. Contrary to popular belief, they do it for the money, personal money, big, cash, untraceable money. The fog of war is great for such things (360 tons $100 bills flown into Iraq and missing, etc.).

 [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm  ]. america’s just a fraudulent and failed defacto bankrupt nation.  ] “I would announce, without equivocation, a 25% tax increase on anything purchased from China.” ]
CHENEY HECKLED... 'DRAFTDOGER!' 'WHERE'S BIN LADEN?'  }

 In reality, the Texas Congressman has a better chance than Republican darling Sarah Palin.

 

Wael Ghonim of Google plays an integral part in ElBaradei’s bid to seize power Tony Cartalucci | Perhaps Ghonim doesn’t know who ElBaradei really works for and that he consorts with the very men making the US policy he feigns to deplore.

 

 

 

Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld booed at GOP convention in D.C. New York Daily News | Donald Rumsfeld and Dick Cheney were booed on Thursday at the Conservative Political Action Conference.


 

Cheney Heckled at CPAC: Paul Supporters Hijack Cheney-Rumsfeld Reunion TPM | Dick Cheney just popped up here at CPAC to introduce his old pal and Bush administration colleague Donald Rumsfeld when fans of Ron Paul loudly accused the former VP of being a ‘war criminal.’

 

 

 

Mubarak Steps Down as President, Army Takes Over ABC News | Egypt’s embattled President Hosni Mubarak abruptly stepped down as president, ending his 30-year

 

 

 

America’s Strategic Repression of the ‘Arab Awakening’ A popular backlash against American-supported dictatorships and repressive regimes has been anticipated for a number of years, with arch-hawk geopolitical strategist Zbigniew Brzezinski articulating a broad conception of a ‘Global Political Awakening’ taking place, in which the masses of the world (predominantly the educated, exploited and impoverished youth of the ‘Third World’) have become acutely aware of their subjugation, inequality, exploitation and oppression.

 

 

 

 

Drudgereport: IMF CALLS FOR ALTERNATIVE TO $$ AS WORLD'S RESERVE
MILITARY TAKES COMMAND
'Egypt is Free,' crowds chant...
WIRE: Military coup was behind Mubarak's exit...  
Military calls for normal business activity to resume...

DAY 18: Mubarak and family flee Cairo for Sharm el-Sheikh...
Swiss freeze assets...
Obama learns of resignation watching TV...
Crisis Puts White House in Disarray...
Director of National Intelligence: Muslim Brotherhood 'Largely Secular,' 'Has Eschewed Violence'...
'Weakness' in USA...
Ahmadinejad: Egyptian protests herald new Mideast...
AL-JAZEERA LIVE FEED...
FRANCE 24 LIVE FEED...
Mubarak Hangs Tough...

VP Urges Protestors to Ignore Media, and Go Home...
AL-JAZEERA LIVE FEED...
CIA Panetta Confused: Said Strong likelihood Mubarak would 'step down tonight'...
March to palace being organized...
REUTERS LIVE...
ElBaradei warns Egypt will 'explode'....
Egypt's govt on the brink..
FLASH CRASH: APPLE stock loses $10 billion in four minutes...

Jobs' Health Rumor?
Global Stock Exchanges Headed for Major Consolidation...
Kyl becomes fifth senator to step aside...
Fed Governor Resigns; Bernanke Adviser Questioned Stimulus...

NBC: Intelligence officials 'scrambling to try to determine exactly what this all means'...
TRUMP DRAWS CHEERS, BOOS AT CONSERVATIVE CONFERENCE...

PONDERING PRESIDENTIAL RUN... [Don’t make me laugh! … Donald T_rump Would Impose 25% Tax on China Imports if President   trump also said america’s become the laughingstock of the world … true enough … and trump the biggest joke … Indeed, that trump even posits the possibility of a run when he should be in jail is a testament to just how big a laughingstock pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s become!  [ If he was mobster in chief, mobster and scoundrel trump wraps himself in populist american flag and offers up an (too little too late – typical lightweight) implausible solution to keep ‘the juice’ flowing though he’d already be in jail in a rational, non-declining nation with meaningful laws. All China has to do is dump (and not prospectively buy) their ever more and declining in value day-by-day (from dollar debasement policies) u.s. paper / bonds and overnight and the u.s. economy consequently  thereby collapse. [ When you come right down to it, this has been america’s most significant export. Indeed, this irrevocable structural shift, hailed by cia men hw bush and clinton (clinton couldn’t have survived with them) by way of NAFTA as the greatest  thing since sliced bread was indeed in no uncertain terms condemned and warned against by Perot, a man of honor who, unlike his opponents, could not be bought, which is the reason, in pervasively corrupt america, he could never have been elected. Interestingly, you may have noticed the good (but not great, other than the spotlight on pervasive bribery including judges, police, politicians, etc., being far too light) the film ‘The Untouchables’ getting a wide re-airing of late, purporting to be a significant part of american folklore / history / culture. However, the reality is that in america, and certainly today, the real story with impact is that of ‘The Touchables’. The reality is that Elliot Ness died a broken man; bankrupt, unable to even win election to the mayoralty of his then current hometown. He was incorruptible; and hence, in the real america, unelectable at the least if not also all but unemployable (he and his are among those few genetic anomalies in america as I’ve previously alluded to. How far america has fallen from even false perception! Pervasively corrupt, meaningfully lawless america can’t even fake it anymore. See, for example, http://albertpeia.com/CIAAgentAffidavit1.jpg     http://albertpeia.com/FBIAgentAffidavit11.jpg      , and of course, corrupt legal / judicial processes, etc.,   Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on offensive (defensive a misnomer / propaganda) military spending than all the nations of the world combined, and by a large margin at that. Do you see a pattern emerging here [ I unfortunately only belatedly did, and the feds, fed employees, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality in the most nefarious sense …  The pervasively corrupt american illegal system … corrupt u.s. courts / (lawyers) / judges: Their lifetime plush appointments should be abolished, which corrupt entities are unheard of in productive societies as China, Japan, etc.. Time to abolish these drags on society and eliminate their lifetime stipends and costly bureaucracies. Rules of law mean nothing to these typically corrupt americans. Most, including sam alito of the u.s. supreme court, concerning  drug money laundering and obstruction of justice in the 3rd circuit ( also maryanne trump barry who covered-up drug money laundering through her brother’s casinos in a civil RICO case) should have gone to or belong in jail. Contrary to popular belief, they do it for the money, personal money, big, cash, untraceable money. The fog of war is great for such things (360 tons $100 bills flown into Iraq and missing, etc.).

 [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm  ]. america’s just a fraudulent and failed defacto bankrupt nation.  ] “I would announce, without equivocation, a 25% tax increase on anything purchased from China.” ]
CHENEY HECKLED... 'DRAFTDOGER!' 'WHERE'S BIN LADEN?'

 

 

 

 

Kevin Warsh to leave Federal Reserve Board (Washington Post) [  How ‘bout gettin’ them all to leave … now that would sound like a … sound plan!   Is Ben Bernanke A Liar, A Lunatic Or Is He Just Completely And Totally Incompetent?  Infowars.com Did you see Ben Bernanke’s testimony before the House Budget Committee on Wednesday? It was quite a show. Bernanke seems to believe that if he just keeps on repeating the same mantras over and over that somehow they will become true.   ] The departure leaves the governing board almost entirely in the hands of Obama appointees.

 

 

Mubarak's defiance puts U.S. on the defensive (Washington Post) [  Kissinger on Egypt unrest (2-01-11) – “This is only the first scene of the first act of a drama that is to be played out”   - And what scene of what act are we in now sweet hank, pray tell. Indeed, after kissinger’s ingratiating comments of the wobama administration’s ‘proper’ handling of the crisis thus far (drummin’ up potential new ‘business’ for doin’ who knows what if anything at all) … his ‘consulting business’ must be … off … considerably! ]  

 

House Republicans divided on spending cuts (Washington Post) [ Holy smokes! … $100 billion … Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘ ]
 ]    ] An already wobbly week for House Republicans turns chaotic as their unruly new majority flatly rejects a spending plan crafted by House leaders, saying its cuts fell far short of fulfilling a campaign pledge to slice $100 billion from federal programs.

 

 

Mubarak's iron rule Robinson: Crumbling but not gently (Washington Post) [ True enough … that crumbling but not gently thing … sounds very ‘americana’ … Spreading unrest raises pressure on Mubarak (Washington Post) An array of new developments turned against President Hosni Mubarak on Wednesday as Egypt moved closer to a full rupture between its autocratic government and a growing popular rebellion. [  Do not talk about ruptures in the presence of Pharhosni Mubarak he chides the Washington Post! After all, at 82 years old and 30 years in power, hernias are known to quite easily happen… Previous: Free elections still distant prospect for Egypt     Activists express doubts about feasibility of September ballot  (Washington Post) ["I'm shocked by what the Americans say - that Mubarak must stay as president so we can prepare for new elections,'' said Negad El Borai, a human rights advocate and lawyer in Cairo. "Mubarak must leave, and then we can talk." … Truth be told, I’m not shocked. Indeed, though this is only marginally what america / israel wanted, this will stick to america / israel like glue; that proverbial albatross; that lose, lose scenario for america in the region. Previous:  Egypt protests continue as Mubarak's government offers concessions (Washington Post) [ Come on! Let not all of us join america’s / israel’s, et als, and  mubarak’s delusions. After all, here’s an 82 year old tyrant, in power for 30 years, yet in some parallel universe appears to think he’s calling the shots. Other than literal and quite foolish shots against protesters, even journalists, see infra, there are few indeed that would trust his mindset, such as it is, much less his judgment, so flawed as he has now shown it to be. What is obvious is that this long overdue ‘people’s election’ cannot be thwarted by platitudes and small talk, but resisting the inevitable will turn an american quasi-ally into an anti-american breeding ground because there’s just no reconciling a pro-mubarak, however slight, position with american / israeli, et als war crimes in the region.  Restless Cairo protesters hoping for U.S. support (Washington Post) [ The sad reality here is, much like wobama’s Afghanistan fiasco, that america has ‘bought it’. This is truly yet another ‘loss, loss’ scenario as is true of america’s mideast policy generally. Defacto bankrupt america’s initiatives in the region particularly, though generally true of all american policy, is the ‘square pegs in round holes’ approach to almost everything they do, which certainly is not lost on the rest of the world. Coddling and caving in to israeli / neocon / zionist paranoia despite the war mongering intransigence of the former is devastating to a nation as pervasively corrupt america which is facing insurmountable domestic problems of its own, economically, financially, politically, and geo-politically. This should bring to mind the missteps of a former fading empire in this same region desperately trying to remain relevant. Indeed, from Balfour’s Despoliation to arbitrary boundaries, etc., Orwellian britain’s demise (decline) as a real player globally was, as america’s currently, significantly and irrevocably hastened. Quite simply, pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america will increasingly be viewed as a bunch of  ‘muck-ups’ who can’t handle their own substantial problems much less those of other nations; and in fact, invariably exacerbate existing conditions / problems, particularly when pandering to israel’s self-interested concerns. ] While the ouster of President Hosni Mubarak remains the most pressing concern for protesters, the role of U.S. is far from absent in the dialogue. { Previous:  Amid Arab protests, U.S. influence has waned (Washington Post) [ And that’s just the way israel likes it … and to america’s detriment, of course … which is not lost on even George Soros … Drudgereport: Soros: 'The main stumbling block is Israel'...  ….. Egyptian protesters plan new push     Government detains foreigners, says it's willing to open talks  (Washington Post) [ Open talks? ‘bout what? Building a pyramid in mubarak’s honor before stepping down? He’s done … finito … burnt as an over-micro-waved burrito! The following from the Post is indeed the straw that broke the riders with whips he sent on camels’ and horses’ backs!  ‘Wants to die in Egypt? How touching, or the reality, he’s just plain touched as in totally ‘out of it’.   ‘…In what the U.S. State Department called a "concerted campaign to intimidate," several dozen journalists were rounded up by security forces and detained for hours, along with foreigners working as teachers, engineers and human rights researchers. Across the city, angry bands of supporters of President Hosni Mubarak also beat journalists; several reporters said that they were threatened with death…’   ]  Cairo seeks to shift blame for clashes by rounding up journalists; U.S. worries renewed protests could spark more violence from Mubarak supporters. Demonstrations in Egypt take bloody turn    In Cairo square, Mubarak backers confront anti-government crowds  (Washington Post) [  Not too difficult for desperate and done mubarak to contrive:   Mubarak Says Egyptians Have to Choose Between “Chaos” and Him … Then Sends In His Thugs to Stir Up Chaos  (Infowars.com) In order to justify staying in power until elections are held in September, President Mubarak said on tv that the people had to choose between him and “chaos”.    ]  The coordinated nature of day's events suggested that Mubarak's supporters were determined to show, as he had warned, that the country faced a "choice between chaos and stability."   [  Previous:    Mubarak's pledge seen as not enough   Egyptian president plans to stay in office to transfer power  (Washington Post) [ Let me put it another way: Mubarak is as done as an over-cooked tamale … He seems to be stalling for time and even in his age impaired mind certainly knows his position is untenable, unsustainable, and even more irrational as each second passes. There is a possibility that he’s using same to move money / treasure for himself and others, literally as well, buying time. See infra …  Previous:  Mubarak seeks dialogue, shows no sign of relenting   Demonstrators call for massive protest but lack leadership  (Washington Post) [ He relented when he resorted to media / internet blackout. Indeed, this lack of sign thing is a testament to how far from reality 30 years has taken him, not to mention the other 52 years that have taken their toll on his cognitive processes. Whether it is plaques ‘on the brain’ or outright senility, that he is so disengaged from the events unfolding around him, one may only wonder how he lasted this long. Nor did his choice of cia standin / shill, new VP Suleiman enhance his now untenable position which leaves him as ‘done as a burnt enchilada’.  Kissinger on Egypt unrest – “This is only the first scene of the first act of a drama that is to be played out”   [ The import of this so-called interview, and it is here that I part company with alex jones, et als (who by the way, censored me for this very thesis, which puts him and his at the top of my hypocrite list), is that the so-called elite have orchestrated these events and ‘are in control’. First, there are no elites in this world; you can’t derive elites from apes, notochordates, and initially single celled organisms. Second, almost by definition and certainly by history, there are no elites in america even if you were to accept the first proposition (though true) as untrue. What you do have, in this world and america particularly (with few exceptions as I’ve discussed elsewhere / comments / my website), are inherent criminals and mentally ill people of varying degrees of unscrupulousness and insanity who do commit crimes, both small and large, to further their interests or fortunes (sociopaths / psychopaths). The ’so-called alpha-dogs’ of the human species at most, but still incompetent vegetables who, if you look at anything they touch (to use a term term of such incompetent vegetables as historically pertains to their role in the mideast – and generally the state of the world) it invariably goes ‘pear shaped’ (english term). What hasn’t zionist kissinger not messed up as appointee or ‘consultant’ – what does he get paid for? No! The fact is, they have absolutely no idea how this unfolds and as with most of their lives, they will predictably choose the most sordid, despicable, and diabolical course at every turn because … that is their inherently criminal, mentally ill / unstable nature to do so. ]

]  Fragile steps to end crisis seen as plans take shape for a transition process that would allow Mubarak to remain as a figure head until new elections.  ]  After decades of repression, democracy advocates say it could take many months -- if not years -- to lay groundwork for open and credible elections.  ]

 

 

 

Mubarak cedes some authority but refuses to quit      In latest bid to quell protests, president transfers powers to VP  (Washington Post) [Wow! ‘Earlier Thursday, CIA Director Leon Panetta told Congress that "there is a strong likelihood that Mubarak may step down this evening."…’ Talk about being out of the loop and stuck with ‘foot-in-mouth’ … not that you’d expect more from the CIA … CIA's dilemma in Egypt (Washington Post)  [ Come on! How does anyone take these ‘muck-ups’ seriously … As a purported journalist, Mr. Ignatius should know better. What distracts the agency is self-interest and greed … yes, greed for themselves, theirs, and a raison d’etre that assures their continued funding (oh how they miss the cold war, hot ones will have to do) on top of their private so-called ‘black ops’. They’re wrong or absent without leave (awol) on major events purportedly within their bailiwick; ie., mideast, israel, ‘wmd’s in Iraq’, 9-11, Egypt, etc.; and, as well, are fallacious in their policy direction, directives, etc.. I mean, beyond their nefarious undertakings, they look more and more like Maxwell Smarts (‘Get Smart’) minus ‘99’ every day. Expanded Free Trade: Exporting Jobs [ When you come right down to it, this has been america’s most significant export. Indeed, this irrevocable structural shift, hailed by cia men hw bush and clinton (clinton couldn’t have survived without them) by way of NAFTA as the greatest  thing since sliced bread was indeed in no uncertain terms condemned and warned against by Perot, a man of honor who, unlike his opponents, could not be bought, which is the reason, in pervasively corrupt america, he could never have been elected. Interestingly, you may have noticed the good (but not great, other than the spotlight on pervasive bribery including judges, police, politicians, etc., being far too light) the film ‘The Untouchables’ getting a wide re-airing of late, purporting to be a significant part of american folklore / history / culture. However, the reality is that in america, and certainly today, the real story with impact is that of ‘The Touchables’. The reality is that Elliot Ness died a broken man; bankrupt, unable to even win election to the mayoralty of his then current hometown. He was incorruptible; and hence, in the real america, unelectable at the least if not also all but unemployable (he and his are among those few genetic anomalies in america as I’ve previously alluded to. How far america has fallen from even false perception! Pervasively corrupt, meaningfully lawless america can’t even fake it anymore. At CIA, mistakes by officers are often overlooked (Washington Post) [ Duuuh! I want to know of even one thing that’s not overlooked concerning those incompetent mental cases at the cia; from assassinations, to illegal drug dealing, to illegal arms sales, to corruption, to disinformation, etc., to america’s and the world’s (ie., those WMD’s in Iraq, etc.) substantial detriment. See, for example, http://albertpeia.com/CIAAgentAffidavit1.jpg     http://albertpeia.com/FBIAgentAffidavit11.jpg      , and of course, corrupt legal / judicial processes, etc.,   Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on offensive (defensive a misnomer / propaganda) military spending than all the nations of the world combined, and by a large margin at that. Do you see a pattern emerging here [ I unfortunately only belatedly did, and the feds, fed employees, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality in the most nefarious sense  ( http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm         )   ]:

CRIME STATISTICS > TOTAL CRIMES (MOST RECENT) BY COUNTRY  SHOWING LATEST AVAILABLE DATA (america’s No. 1).

Rank  

Countries 

Amount 

# 1  

United States:

11,877,218 

 

# 2  

United Kingdom:

6,523,706 

 

# 3  

Germany:

6,507,394 

 

The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  ( UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE... ex-Justice official quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Obama broke promises ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

‘The Obama Deception’ Censored  ‘The Obama Deception’ has been censored      In light of this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if incomplete)        http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257# 

For the Same Reason I’ve Included Here a Web Site Archived FLV Version of Esoteric Agenda    http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv

]   ] Ignatius: Its fight against al-Qaeda has distracted the agency.

] Egyptian leader's defiance stuns and angers hundreds of thousands in Cairo who respond with chants of "revolution, revolution."

 

 

Cisco Slump, Mubarak Saga Keep Lid On Stocks  [ But guess what? The fraudulent wall street rally point … ‘news that Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak would step down’ … never happened!  ] ‘Disappointing earnings projections from Cisco and PepsiCo pressured Wall Street Friday morning, but news that Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak would step down buoyed markets by midday and the major indexes essentially flat by the closing bell.The Nasdaq actually ticked positive to gain 1 point to 2,790, despite Wednesday’s troubling report from Cisco that included a decline in gross margins along with its better than expected earnings and revenue. (See “Cisco: Prelude To Profits, Or Layoffs.”)Cisco’s shares slumped 14.2%, but the rest of the tech sector as fairly resilient. Apple was also in the news, after a sudden plunge in the 1 p.m. hour on little news before recovering to finish with a 1% decline. (See “Did Someone Have A Fat Finger On Apple Today?”)Egypt jumped back into the headlines shortly after the open, with speculation that President Hosni Mubarak would resign. In a speech that began just before the U.S. markets closed, Mubarak stopped short of confirming his departure, but did say he would transfer some of his presidential powers to Vice President Omar Suleiman until a September election.It was a tough day for companies who rang the closing bells at NYSE and Nasdaq, since all eyes were on Mubarak’s speech that ran past the end of trading. The S&P 500 added 1 point to 1,322, while the Dow Jones industrial average broke its eight-day winning streak with an 11-point decline to 12,229.Aside from Cisco, a weaker-than-anticipated forecast from PepsiCo also pressured stocks, overshadowing any enthusiasm for the latest snapshot of the job market. New jobless claims fell to their lowest level since July 2008 last week, according to the Labor Department, dropping to 383,000. The four-week moving average was down to 415,500.’

 

 

 

 

Initial Jobless Claims Drop to 383,000 [ Come on! Who believes anything they say / report! ]

 

 

 

 

Minimum 5% Correction Begins Cooper ‘Minyanville Editor's Note: The following is a free edition of Jeff Cooper's Daily Market Report…..Is it getting better?Or do you feel the same?One (U2)

“Synchronicity is no more baffling or mysterious than the discontinuities of physics. It is only the ingrained belief in the sovereign power of causality that creates intellectual difficulties and makes it appear unthinkable that causeless events exist or could ever exist. But if they do, then we must regard them as creative acts, as the continuous creation of a pattern that exists from all eternity, repeats itself sporadically, and is not derivable from any known antecedents. Continuous creation is to be thought of not only as a series of successive acts of creation, but also as the eternal presence of the ONE creative act.” -
- Carl Jung

[ Wow! … Note to myself: Never bother reading the verbose, circumlocution-prone jung. And, truth be told, while I believe it to be true there’s a substantial correction in the offing, and it’s also true that the business cycles shouldn’t be ignored (though computerization has lessened the impact of ‘inventory recessions’), and that the market is significantly overvalued; the following is a bit much and included as a matter of curiosity (those modern day alchemists thing … ie., helicopter ben spinning more fake money from paper, fraudulent wall street’s worthless assets from paper and spin, etc..) and correct for the wrong or questionable reasons but is somewhat of a ‘hoot’; and so, you may borrow and don Mickey’s sorcerer’s (apprentice) hat and hang on for the ride. Whew! … that Jungian verbosity thing must be catching! Happy halloweeny! ]

 

 

Cisco Slump, Mubarak Saga Keep Lid On Stocks  [ But guess what? The fraudulent wall street rally point … ‘news that Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak would step down’ … never happened!  ] ‘Disappointing earnings projections from Cisco and PepsiCo pressured Wall Street Friday morning, but news that Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak would step down buoyed markets by midday and the major indexes essentially flat by the closing bell.The Nasdaq actually ticked positive to gain 1 point to 2,790, despite Wednesday’s troubling report from Cisco that included a decline in gross margins along with its better than expected earnings and revenue. (See “Cisco: Prelude To Profits, Or Layoffs.”)Cisco’s shares slumped 14.2%, but the rest of the tech sector as fairly resilient. Apple was also in the news, after a sudden plunge in the 1 p.m. hour on little news before recovering to finish with a 1% decline. (See “Did Someone Have A Fat Finger On Apple Today?”)Egypt jumped back into the headlines shortly after the open, with speculation that President Hosni Mubarak would resign. In a speech that began just before the U.S. markets closed, Mubarak stopped short of confirming his departure, but did say he would transfer some of his presidential powers to Vice President Omar Suleiman until a September election.It was a tough day for companies who rang the closing bells at NYSE and Nasdaq, since all eyes were on Mubarak’s speech that ran past the end of trading. The S&P 500 added 1 point to 1,322, while the Dow Jones industrial average broke its eight-day winning streak with an 11-point decline to 12,229.Aside from Cisco, a weaker-than-anticipated forecast from PepsiCo also pressured stocks, overshadowing any enthusiasm for the latest snapshot of the job market. New jobless claims fell to their lowest level since July 2008 last week, according to the Labor Department, dropping to 383,000. The four-week moving average was down to 415,500.’

 

 

 

 

Initial Jobless Claims Drop to 383,000 [ Come on! Who believes anything they say / report! ]

 

 

 

 

Minimum 5% Correction Begins Cooper ‘Minyanville Editor's Note: The following is a free edition of Jeff Cooper's Daily Market Report…..Is it getting better?Or do you feel the same?One (U2)

“Synchronicity is no more baffling or mysterious than the discontinuities of physics. It is only the ingrained belief in the sovereign power of causality that creates intellectual difficulties and makes it appear unthinkable that causeless events exist or could ever exist. But if they do, then we must regard them as creative acts, as the continuous creation of a pattern that exists from all eternity, repeats itself sporadically, and is not derivable from any known antecedents. Continuous creation is to be thought of not only as a series of successive acts of creation, but also as the eternal presence of the ONE creative act.” -
- Carl Jung

[ Wow! … Note to myself: Never bother reading the verbose, circumlocution-prone jung. And, truth be told, while I believe it to be true there’s a substantial correction in the offing, and it’s also true that the business cycles shouldn’t be ignored (though computerization has lessened the impact of ‘inventory recessions’), and that the market is significantly overvalued; the following is a bit much and included as a matter of curiosity (those modern day alchemists thing … ie., helicopter ben spinning more fake money from paper, fraudulent wall street’s worthless assets from paper and spin, etc..) and correct for the wrong or questionable reasons but is somewhat of a ‘hoot’; and so, you may borrow and don Mickey’s sorcerer’s (apprentice) hat and hang on for the ride. Whew! … that Jungian verbosity thing must be catching! Happy halloweeny! ]

The relevance of trading with time and cycle may alone be less accurate than forecast with price; however its relevance increases as forecasted times approach, price patterns and momentum wanes showing signs of reversal.
When taken together, time/price harmonics have accurately predicted significant market turning points.
Numbers don’t mean anything until they turn the market, but numbers, not fundamentals, turn the market. It was not the fundamentals that turned the market in March 2009.
One of W.D. Gann’s major methods for market timing was to use fractions of a circle, specifically into quarters, eighths, and thirds, to count the number of days, weeks, and months between highs and lows.
For example, the circle has 360 degrees, 90 is one-quarter, 45 is one-eighth.
Rounding, one-eighth of 90 is 11, two-eighths is 22, three-eighths is 33, and four-eights is 45.
W.D. Gann was the greatest student and researcher of the market ever but he was very secretive about what he revealed and how he revealed it. He never chose his words without a distinct reason.
For example, one of Gann’s books was called 45 Years in Wall Street. Note that the title was not 45 Years on Wall Street, but in Wall Street.
The book was not about his career on Wall Street but about a cycle on Wall Street.
As well as regular cycles, there are random fluctuations in things too. The random occurrences can camouflage the periodicity of cycles and also generate what appear to be new, smaller cycles… which they may not be. This is one of the problems with market-timing signals.
In addition, many things act as if they are influenced simultaneously by several different rhythmic influences, the composite effect of which is not regular at all.
Cycles may have been present in the figures you have been studying merely by chance. The ups and downs you have noticed, which come at more or less regular intervals, may have just happened to come that way. The regularity, the cycle, is there but in such circumstances it may carry no significance
Cycles can invert, appear and disappear, and elipticalize.
When forecasting stock market cycles, they can be influenced by random events. The predictive value of cycles provide only specific probabilities when the suggested time period is approached.
Fixed time cycles are apparent in stock market tops and bottoms. But, eventually a cycle may cease to continue. For example, the four-year cycle in the US stock market held true from 1954 to 1982, producing accurate forecasts of eight market bottoms. Had an investor recognized the cycle in 1962 he could have amassed a fortune over the next 20 years. But in 1986, the cycle’s prediction of a low failed to provide a bear market and in 1987 its rising phase failed to prevent the largest crash since 1929.
When the market doesn’t do what is expected it is talking, but ultimately the regression to the mean is vicious.
Long-term cycles, such as the Kondratieff Cycle as well as Elliott Waves, suggested that the big-picture bull market was coming to an end in 2000.
The Kondratieff Cycle is a common, often-quoted cycle of financial and economic behavior that lasts about 54 years. This 54-year cycle is close to the Fibonacci 55 number.
One year is a little less than 55 weeks.
Fifty-five was an important count for W.D. Gann. He called a period of 49 to 55 days the Death Zone. February 8 was the 49th trading day from November 30, the day prior to the December 1 kickoff of this last leg up.
A Synodic Period is the length of time two planets meet in Conjunction, which means revolving 360 degrees to each other. The 360-degree period is divided into fractions known as the Sextile (60 degrees), Square (90 degrees), Trine (120 degrees), Opposition (180 degrees), and back to Conjunction again.
Many of the Synodic planetary cycles conform to the Fibonacci Summation series. Their relationship to natural harmonic vibration is not by chance.
For example Venus revolves around the sun in 61% of one year, or 225 days. Two-hundred-twenty-five was an important number for Gann because 180 + 45 = 225. These two planets possess the unique Fibonacci relationship of the 0.618 Golden Mean.
Every other conjunction of Mars/Jupiter is four-and-one-third years, or 233 weeks, another Fibonacci number. This ties to the four-year cycle mentioned above. While the four-year cycle went out of whack in 1986, there was a significant low in the fall of 1990 and late 1994, which began the parabolic move into 2000. There was a shakeout into 1998 and of course there was the 2002 low. There was a two-month shakeout into June/July of 2006 from 1326 S&P to 1219, which marked the low prior to the advance into the all-time high. Then there was the summer low in 2010. It's interesting that these same numbers from the last cycle 1326 and 1219 are so prominent four years later.
The recent S&P high this week was 1325 and the big April top in 2010 was 1219.
The Synodic period for the Saturn/Uranus combination is 45 years. One-eighth of the 360 degree circle and one-half of 90 is 45.
I bring this up because 45 years ago marked the top of the secular bull market in 1966. That bull market began in June 1949.
The powerful two-year advance from March 2009 may have been a result of the 60-year cycle exerting its influence.
One cycle of 45 years back from 1966 gives 1921, which was the big low prior to the run up into 1929.
If the four-year cycle holds up the next trough should be in 2012. Somewhere prior to then we should see an important peak. Will a two-year advance be followed by a two-year decline?
It is interesting that it was eight years from the 1921 low to the vertical peak in 1929 and that it was eight years from 2000 to the vertical drop into 2008. I can’t help but think that a mirror image foldback of sorts may be playing out with the market, making an important peak three years following the 2009 low, just as it made an important low in 1932, three years following the 1929 peak.

Conclusion: 1320 ties to March 6 and squares the 666 price low for a potential square out. The market has respected this level for two days and is gapping below 1320 this morning.
The pattern looks reminiscent of the November top, which was a grind up followed by a climatic spike. [chart]
Monday we saw a spike on the heels of a grinding move up.
The November high was at 1225. We tagged 1325 this week.
The November correction was between 4% and 5% and 152 points. I think another 4% to 5% correction is going to play out quickly into the anniversary of the March 6/9th 2009 low.
Fifty percent of the range from the November 1173 low to this week's 1325 high is 76 points. A decline to 50% of the last swing projects to 1249. There is some good DNA and symmetry there as this was the projection for the big inverse head-and-shoulders pattern from 2010. Moreover, 1248/1249 represents a 180-degree decline on the Square of 9 Chart.
Click here for square of nine chart.
A study of market history shows that corrections against the main trend are much more uniform while impulse legs in favor of the main trend can have a large degree of variability. Said in another way, it is easier to define and anticipate corrections not in favor of and against the primary trend that it is to judge the extent of the primary trend itself. In my experience, this is one of the most important lessons revealed in the study of stock market history.
Looking at the form of the advance from the September 1 kickoff, there are two legs separated by the November correction. Because of the persistence of the advance, which has seen no more than one 2% move in the last five months (compared to 14 moves of 2% or more in the preceding five-month period), the normal expectation would be to see a similar, uniform near-5% correction be bought with both hands by market participants. At the maximum I would expect the correction to extend to a backtest of the April/November 2010 highs of 1219/1227 respectively.
If the correction overbalances the November decline in time and price then the high was more significant.
If a uniform correction plays out it would give rise to a possible third drive up. Whether such a third drive into the anniversary of the April high if it plays out is a marginal new high or a significantly higher high remains to be seen. [chart]
Strategy: It looked like Elvis had left the building following the decline of January 28. However, after a genuine sell signal that players pounce on, there is often times a final squeeze. That may have been the run to 1320.
Fifty percent of the range from the 1275 low on January 28 to this week's 1325 high gives a midpoint of 1300. Any break of 1300, especially on the weekly closing basis (Friday) confirms a correction is underway from where I sit. This 1300 level ties to 1296, which is 6 X 6 X 6 X 6, resonating of the 666 price low. 1296 is in the upper right-hand corner of the Square of 9 Chart and aligns with May 6, the flash crash, so I would not underestimate how quickly a reversion to the mean in the persistency of the advance and a revulsion to sentiment could take place if everyone tried to get out of the door at the same time. [chart]
A Dow Theory non-confirmation has been ongoing for  three and a half weeks now, which is long in the tooth while the market has been overbought for months -- a situation where the chickens could come home to roost violently and quickly, despite the fact that the market has proven to be a Shrine of Boys Crying Wolf.
It may be time to yell wolf.
Trading Lessons: [chart] The following chart is mislabeled as FDX when it's actually FCX [chart]’

 

 

 

 

Counties Turning Asphalt Back to Gravel as Rising Materials Costs Hamper Road Maintenance  [Well, this sounds like a b*** s***ish story for the frauds on wall sreet; viz., load up on grovel companies, etc..  ] ‘We are going back to the Stone Age. Literally. From NACO (National Association of Counties): Several counties across the country are going back to the Stone Age — turning asphalt roads back to gravel, or considering doing so — as rising costs outstrip their ability to maintain their pavements.Counties in Iowa, Michigan, California and South Dakota are among those that have decided either to stop maintaining a percentage of their asphalt roads or to pulverize some paved roads and downgrade them to gravel.Naturally, California is home to some of the hardest-hit counties. Sonoma County, for example, based on annual projected revenues can only afford to budget $5 million to maintain all the county's roads. But estimates project the cost of maintenance at 11 times that, or $55 million.

 



 

 

Housing and Banking Issues Remain Problematic Editor's Note: This article was written by Richard Suttmeier, chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com‘With the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage up to 5.13% from 4.81% last week, mortgage applications continue to slide. The overall Mortgage Application Index declined 5.5% this week led by a 7.7% decline in the Refinance Index with the Purchase Index down 1.4%. A major negative factor has been significantly higher US Treasury yields. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury was at 2.334 in October in anticipation of QE2 9 (quantitative easing), and on Wednesday this yield touched 3.770 up 143.6 basis points. The main purpose of QE2 is to push longer term US Treasury yields lower so this policy has been a failure.

As a result of this failed monetary policy the percentage of homes that are underwater versus that have their mortgages outstanding has risen to 27%, which feeds on projecting even lower home prices as the supply of existing homes for sale continues to rise. This in turn puts more pressure on banks to make costly mortgage modifications, and write down more commercial real estate loans. These are the problems that originally emerged in mid-2005 for the homebuilders, at the end of 2006 for community banks and in March 2007 for regional banks including those considered “too big to fail.” Remember, toxic assets are still around and the larger banks are being asked by the FDIC to increase contributions to the FDIC Deposit Insurance Fund beginning April 1.

According to Zillow, home values posted their largest quarterly decline of 2.6% in the fourth quarter, down 5.9% year over year.

On the labor front, the Labor Department reported that employers posted fewer jobs openings in December, a drop of 140,000 to 3.1 million jobs, the lowest since September. Nearly 14.5 million Americans were out of work in December with 4.7 people competing for each job available. A healthy reading is 2 to 1. Key to the housing market and Main Street, USA, are construction jobs, and job openings fell sharply to 28,000 in December from 91,000 in November.

Wednesday’s closes were above all of this week’s pivots at 12,142 Dow Industrial Average, 1316.2 S&P 500, 2770 Nasdaq, 5077 Dow Transports, and 800.13 Russell 2000. The S&P 500 tested and held its weekly pivot at 1316.2. The Dow Transport Average remains below its 50-day simple moving average at 5098 and my annual pivot at 5179.
 

  • The Dow Industrial Average (12,240) -- My monthly value level is 11,759 with this week’s pivot at 12,142, Wednesday’s high at 12,254.23 with daily and annual risky levels at 12,399 and 13,890.
  • The S&P 500 (1320.9) -- My quarterly value level is 1262.5 with this week’s pivot at 1316.2, and Tuesday’s high at 1324.87 and today’s risky level at 1346.1.
  • The Nasdaq (2789) -- My monthly value level is 2611 with a weekly pivot at 2770 and daily and quarterly risky levels at 2843 and 2853.
  • Dow Transports (5096) -- My monthly value level is 4962 with a weekly pivot at 5077, the 50-day simple moving average at 5098, and daily and annual pivots at 5145 and 5179. Transports lag its January 18 high at 5256.80.
  • The Russell 2000 (809.27) -- My annual and quarterly value levels are 784.16 and 765.50 with a weekly pivot at 800.13 and Tuesday’s high at 813.69 and daily risky level at 828.06.


We are still trading under a ValuEngine Valuation Warning -- 16 of 16 sectors overvalued with only 34.28% of all stocks undervalued on Wednesday, below the 35% threshold by this measure. This also means that 65.72% of all stocks are overvalued. Why does Wall Street think stocks are cheap?

The US Treasury 10-Year Yield -- (3.646) Tested 3.770 on Wednesday versus my annual value level at 3.791. My annual value level is 3.791 with a weekly risky level at 3.525. The 10-Year auction helped stabilize the US Treasury market with an auction level at 3.665, a strong 3.23 bid to cover, and an aggressive 71% indirect bid.

Comex Gold -- ($1363.7) My quarterly, weekly, and annual pivots are $1331.3, $1342.8, and $1356.5 with monthly, quarterly, and semiannual risky levels are $1412.4, $1441.7, and $1452.6. Gold remains below its 50-day simple moving average at $1375.0.

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($86.85) My semiannual pivot at $87.52 remains a magnet between a trading range between the January 28 low at $85.11 and its January 31 high at $92.84. My semiannual pivot is $87.52 has become a magnet with weekly and monthly pivots at $91.62 and $91.83. The 200-day simple moving average is $80.75.

The Euro -- (1.3728) My quarterly value level is 1.3227 with a weekly pivot at 1.3511 and monthly risky level at 1.4225.

 

 

 

 

Fed’s Warsh Resigns; Bernanke Adviser Questioned Stimulus Bloomberg | The only governor to question the expansion of record monetary stimulus in November.

 

Ron Paul’s First Subcommittee Hearing: Complete Video Infowars.com | This is the first hearing held by Dr. Ron Paul as Chairman of the Domestic Monetary Policy and Technology subcommittee which oversees the Federal Reserve.

 

The Super Bowl flyover may have cost $450,000 A Dallas TV reporter estimated that the flyover cost the Navy a total of $450,000.

 

 

 

Is Ben Bernanke A Liar, A Lunatic Or Is He Just Completely And Totally Incompetent? Did you see Ben Bernanke’s testimony before the House Budget Committee on Wednesday? It was quite a show. Bernanke seems to believe that if he just keeps on repeating the same mantras over and over that somehow they will become true.

 

The Social Security Disaster The average retirement age is measured in spans of five years for accuracy.

 

Global Stock Exchanges Are Headed for Major Consolidation Germany’s Deutsche Boerse is in advanced talks to buy NYSE Euronext, and the London Stock Exchange has agreed to buy Canadian stock market operator TMX, as exchanges globally look for ways to boost their markets and cut costs.

 

Donald T_rump Would Impose 25% Tax on China Imports if President  [ If he was mobster in chief, mobster and scoundrel trump wraps himself in populist american flag and offers up an (too little too late – typical lightweight) implausible solution to keep ‘the juice’ flowing though he’d already be in jail in a rational, non-declining nation with meaningful laws. All China has to do is dump (and not prospectively buy) their ever more and declining in value day-by-day (from dollar debasement policies) u.s. paper / bonds and overnight and the u.s. economy consequently  thereby collapse. [ When you come right down to it, this has been america’s most significant export. Indeed, this irrevocable structural shift, hailed by cia men hw bush and clinton (clinton couldn’t have survived with them) by way of NAFTA as the greatest  thing since sliced bread was indeed in no uncertain terms condemned and warned against by Perot, a man of honor who, unlike his opponents, could not be bought, which is the reason, in pervasively corrupt america, he could never have been elected. Interestingly, you may have noticed the good (but not great, other than the spotlight on pervasive bribery including judges, police, politicians, etc., being far too light) the film ‘The Untouchables’ getting a wide re-airing of late, purporting to be a significant part of american folklore / history / culture. However, the reality is that in america, and certainly today, the real story with impact is that of ‘The Touchables’. The reality is that Elliot Ness died a broken man; bankrupt, unable to even win election to the mayoralty of his then current hometown. He was incorruptible; and hence, in the real america, unelectable at the least if not also all but unemployable (he and his are among those few genetic anomalies in america as I’ve previously alluded to. How far america has fallen from even false perception! Pervasively corrupt, meaningfully lawless america can’t even fake it anymore. See, for example, http://albertpeia.com/CIAAgentAffidavit1.jpg     http://albertpeia.com/FBIAgentAffidavit11.jpg      , and of course, corrupt legal / judicial processes, etc.,   Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on offensive (defensive a misnomer / propaganda) military spending than all the nations of the world combined, and by a large margin at that. Do you see a pattern emerging here [ I unfortunately only belatedly did, and the feds, fed employees, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality in the most nefarious sense …  The pervasively corrupt american illegal system … corrupt u.s. courts / (lawyers) / judges: Their lifetime plush appointments should be abolished, which corrupt entities are unheard of in productive societies as China, Japan, etc.. Time to abolish these drags on society and eliminate their lifetime stipends and costly bureaucracies. Rules of law mean nothing to these typically corrupt americans. Most, including sam alito of the u.s. supreme court, concerning  drug money laundering and obstruction of justice in the 3rd circuit ( also maryanne trump barry who covered-up drug money laundering through her brother’s casinos in a civil RICO case) should have gone to or belong in jail. Contrary to popular belief, they do it for the money, personal money, big, cash, untraceable money. The fog of war is great for such things (360 tons $100 bills flown into Iraq and missing, etc.).

 [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm  ]. america’s just a fraudulent and failed defacto bankrupt nation.  ]:

CRIME STATISTICS > TOTAL CRIMES (MOST RECENT) BY COUNTRY  SHOWING LATEST AVAILABLE DATA (america’s No. 1).

Rank  

Countries 

Amount 

# 1  

United States:

11,877,218 

 

# 2  

United Kingdom:

6,523,706 

 

# 3  

Germany:

6,507,394 

 

The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  ( UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE... ex-Justice official quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Obama broke promises ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

‘The Obama Deception’ Censored  ‘The Obama Deception’ has been censored      In light of this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if incomplete)        http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257# 

For the Same Reason I’ve Included Here a Web Site Archived FLV Version of Esoteric Agenda    http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv

]] “I would announce, without equivocation, a 25% tax increase on anything purchased from China.”

 

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

A Day in the Park Infowars | A strong entry for “The Answer to 1984 is 1776″ Video Contest.

 

Hitler finds out about the DHS Emergency Alert System and the See Something Say Something program Der Führer spazzes out over Obama stealing his centralized broadcasting system.

 

Obama Energy Secretary Promises “Massive” Coal Plant Closures Paul Joseph Watson | White House agenda to bankrupt coal industry via EPA regulations accelerates despite rolling blackouts

 

Big Sis Breaks Out “Heightened” Terror Alert as PATRIOT Act Heads to House Steve Watson & Paul Joseph Watson | Republicans and Democrats attempt to out do each other in quest to finish off freedom.

 

Victory: The Truth Will Out Infowars.com | Over the last few weeks, we have received a large number of excellent video contest entries.

 

 

Hosni Mubarak and American Foreign Policy Sartre | Our own citizens should hear the lesson and support any meaningful self-determination impulses.

 

 

 

Obama Energy Secretary Promises “Massive” Coal Plant Closures Obama Energy Secretary Steven Chu has launched the next phase of the White House’s publicly stated agenda to bankrupt the coal industry via EPA regulations after announcing the prospect of “massive” coal plant closures even as Texas and other states suffer rolling blackouts as a result of maxed-out power plants that cannot cope with demand.

 

Big Sis Breaks Out “Heightened” Terror Alert As PATRIOT ACT Extension Heads Back To House Floor Defeat for the proposed extension of the so called PATRIOT Act in the House Tuesday night made national headlines, yet the extension is set to pass by the end of the week anyway as it is brought back to the floor for another vote. But just in case anyone in Congress reaches the sudden epiphany that they are effectively voting on the Enabling Act, Big Sis Janet Napolitano has officially notified a congressional panel that the US faces the greatest possibility of a major terror attack since 9/11.

 

White House Lies On Blackouts Exposed We have become used to seeing politicians distort the truth, but when such lies are brazenly plastered all over the front page of the White House website, it really highlights how much contempt the government has for the intelligence of the American people.

 

Mubarak Refuses To Resign: ‘Will Not Be Dictated To By Orders From Outside’ Mubarak said he was not leaving Egypt, and said he “cannot and will not accept to be dictated orders from outside” and would remain until elections in September.

 

Liberals Surprised and Outraged by Sale of Huffington Post to AOL Once again, liberals and Democrats demonstrate they are clueless about how establishment politics work in America. Once again, they display their ignorance of the false right-left paradigm that controls the corporate media political realm, including the supposedly sterling liberal reputation of the Huffington Post.

 

Video: Alex Jones Exposes DHS Terror Fraud After making repeated attempts over several days, Alex Jones demonstrates to his listeners that the DHS reported terrorism threats and citizen spy programs are nothing more than Pavlovian boxes of control.

 

 

 

Faith and Fear: Christians fleeing Iraq victims of US invasion? Violence and intimidation has forced hundreds of thousands of Iraqi Christians to flee their homeland. Experts view them as one of the biggest victims of the 2003 U.S.-led invasion, with the minority group a continued target of extremists.

 

 

 

 

Sallai Meridor: Israel's fear (Washington Post) [ Come on! Wake up! Illegal nuke totin’, war crimes nation israel’s fears … p l e a s e, spare me the pro-israeli b*** s*** ! What israel fears is a projection of their own ill-founded motives and actions for which all norms, rules, laws governing civilized behavior are suspended for expedience at the least, and blood-thirst that some posit as a remnant of their historic role as Christ-killers (with roman ‘juice’).  Isn’t it time, in these desperate times for america, to put america’s, not israel’s interests, first.  Who cares what israel fears … In 1948, U.S. Secretary of Defense James Forrestal, an opponent of the creation of a Jewish state in Palestine, warned that, even though failure to go along with the Zionists might cost President Truman the states of New York, Pennsylvania, and California, it was about time that somebody should pay some consideration to whether we might not lose the United States….. Mr. Forrestal was absolutely correct! Isn’t that exactly what’s happened to defacto bankrupt america in intractable decline.    TIME TO REVOKE AND NULLIFY THE BALFOUR DECLARATION AND ABROGATE THE CREATION OF THE NATION STATE OF ISRAEL IN THE INTERESTS OF FAIRNESS, JUSTICE, PEACE AND PROSPECTIVE PROSPERITY FOR THIS WORLD!     Israel wary of transition in Egypt, concerned about regional stability (Washington Post) [ Who cares what the paranoid, war criminal, illegal nuke totin’, war criminal israelis are wary of. This country has gone down the tubes cow-towing to the paranoid, self-interested concerns of the psycho / sociopathic zionist israelis who are forever projecting their own pathological motives to every turn of history while ignoring their own culpability in producing the very outcomes they purportedly seek to avoid. War, conflict, greed, bloodshed is the historically based israeli way. ]   A resurgent Syria alarms u.s., israel (Washington Post) [  Tell me! What doesn’t alarm these two paranoid, zionist neo-nazi regimes of oppression, suppression, aggression, and regression. If they were individuals, they’d undoubtedly be diagnosed as psychopaths, sociopaths totally ignorant of the rights of others, laws, civilized behavior as israel pads her illegal nuke arsenals with american supplied weaponry / support while expecting all other nations to ‘role over and die’. Bipolar / manic / depressive, the ups and downs are increasingly difficult for even americans to follow. Obssessive / compulsive thy names are zionist israel / america. Projection / displacement regarding their own illegal acts, war crimes, etc.; what they distinguished from what they do … dissociative identity disorder, dissociative fugue? Yes … the u.s. and israel are the world’s lunatics, sorely in need of therapy! ]  Syria's fresh interference in Lebanon and its increasingly sophisticated weapons shipments to Hezbollah have alarm officials and prompt Israel's military to consider striking a Syrian weapons depot.

 

Spreading unrest raises pressure on Mubarak (Washington Post) An array of new developments turned against President Hosni Mubarak on Wednesday as Egypt moved closer to a full rupture between its autocratic government and a growing popular rebellion. [  Do not talk about ruptures in the presence of Pharhosni Mubarak he chides the Washington Post! After all, at 82 years old and 30 years in power, hernias are known to quite easily happen… Previous: Free elections still distant prospect for Egypt     Activists express doubts about feasibility of September ballot  (Washington Post) ["I'm shocked by what the Americans say - that Mubarak must stay as president so we can prepare for new elections,'' said Negad El Borai, a human rights advocate and lawyer in Cairo. "Mubarak must leave, and then we can talk." … Truth be told, I’m not shocked. Indeed, though this is only marginally what america / israel wanted, this will stick to america / israel like glue; that proverbial albatross; that lose, lose scenario for america in the region. Previous:  Egypt protests continue as Mubarak's government offers concessions (Washington Post) [ Come on! Let not all of us join america’s / israel’s, et als, and  mubarak’s delusions. After all, here’s an 82 year old tyrant, in power for 30 years, yet in some parallel universe appears to think he’s calling the shots. Other than literal and quite foolish shots against protesters, even journalists, see infra, there are few indeed that would trust his mindset, such as it is, much less his judgment, so flawed as he has now shown it to be. What is obvious is that this long overdue ‘people’s election’ cannot be thwarted by platitudes and small talk, but resisting the inevitable will turn an american quasi-ally into an anti-american breeding ground because there’s just no reconciling a pro-mubarak, however slight, position with american / israeli, et als war crimes in the region.  Restless Cairo protesters hoping for U.S. support (Washington Post) [ The sad reality here is, much like wobama’s Afghanistan fiasco, that america has ‘bought it’. This is truly yet another ‘loss, loss’ scenario as is true of america’s mideast policy generally. Defacto bankrupt america’s initiatives in the region particularly, though generally true of all american policy, is the ‘square pegs in round holes’ approach to almost everything they do, which certainly is not lost on the rest of the world. Coddling and caving in to israeli / neocon / zionist paranoia despite the war mongering intransigence of the former is devastating to a nation as pervasively corrupt america which is facing insurmountable domestic problems of its own, economically, financially, politically, and geo-politically. This should bring to mind the missteps of a former fading empire in this same region desperately trying to remain relevant. Indeed, from Balfour’s Despoliation to arbitrary boundaries, etc., Orwellian britain’s demise (decline) as a real player globally was, as america’s currently, significantly and irrevocably hastened. Quite simply, pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america will increasingly be viewed as a bunch of  ‘muck-ups’ who can’t handle their own substantial problems much less those of other nations; and in fact, invariably exacerbate existing conditions / problems, particularly when pandering to israel’s self-interested concerns. ] While the ouster of President Hosni Mubarak remains the most pressing concern for protesters, the role of U.S. is far from absent in the dialogue. { Previous:  Amid Arab protests, U.S. influence has waned (Washington Post) [ And that’s just the way israel likes it … and to america’s detriment, of course … which is not lost on even George Soros … Drudgereport: Soros: 'The main stumbling block is Israel'...

Egyptian protesters plan new push     Government detains foreigners, says it's willing to open talks  (Washington Post) [ Open talks? ‘bout what? Building a pyramid in mubarak’s honor before stepping down? He’s done … finito … burnt as an over-micro-waved burrito! The following from the Post is indeed the straw that broke the riders with whips he sent on camels’ and horses’ backs!  ‘Wants to die in Egypt? How touching, or the reality, he’s just plain touched as in totally ‘out of it’.   ‘…In what the U.S. State Department called a "concerted campaign to intimidate," several dozen journalists were rounded up by security forces and detained for hours, along with foreigners working as teachers, engineers and human rights researchers. Across the city, angry bands of supporters of President Hosni Mubarak also beat journalists; several reporters said that they were threatened with death…’   ]  Cairo seeks to shift blame for clashes by rounding up journalists; U.S. worries renewed protests could spark more violence from Mubarak supporters. Demonstrations in Egypt take bloody turn    In Cairo square, Mubarak backers confront anti-government crowds  (Washington Post) [  Not too difficult for desperate and done mubarak to contrive:   Mubarak Says Egyptians Have to Choose Between “Chaos” and Him … Then Sends In His Thugs to Stir Up Chaos  (Infowars.com) In order to justify staying in power until elections are held in September, President Mubarak said on tv that the people had to choose between him and “chaos”.    ]  The coordinated nature of day's events suggested that Mubarak's supporters were determined to show, as he had warned, that the country faced a "choice between chaos and stability."   [  Previous:    Mubarak's pledge seen as not enough   Egyptian president plans to stay in office to transfer power  (Washington Post) [ Let me put it another way: Mubarak is as done as an over-cooked tamale … He seems to be stalling for time and even in his age impaired mind certainly knows his position is untenable, unsustainable, and even more irrational as each second passes. There is a possibility that he’s using same to move money / treasure for himself and others, literally as well, buying time. See infra …  Previous:  Mubarak seeks dialogue, shows no sign of relenting   Demonstrators call for massive protest but lack leadership  (Washington Post) [ He relented when he resorted to media / internet blackout. Indeed, this lack of sign thing is a testament to how far from reality 30 years has taken him, not to mention the other 52 years that have taken their toll on his cognitive processes. Whether it is plaques ‘on the brain’ or outright senility, that he is so disengaged from the events unfolding around him, one may only wonder how he lasted this long. Nor did his choice of cia standin / shill, new VP Suleiman enhance his now untenable position which leaves him as ‘done as a burnt enchilada’.  Kissinger on Egypt unrest – “This is only the first scene of the first act of a drama that is to be played out”   [ The import of this so-called interview, and it is here that I part company with alex jones, et als (who by the way, censored me for this very thesis, which puts him and his at the top of my hypocrite list), is that the so-called elite have orchestrated these events and ‘are in control’. First, there are no elites in this world; you can’t derive elites from apes, notochordates, and initially single celled organisms. Second, almost by definition and certainly by history, there are no elites in america even if you were to accept the first proposition (though true) as untrue. What you do have, in this world and america particularly (with few exceptions as I’ve discussed elsewhere / comments / my website), are inherent criminals and mentally ill people of varying degrees of unscrupulousness and insanity who do commit crimes, both small and large, to further their interests or fortunes (sociopaths / psychopaths). The ’so-called alpha-dogs’ of the human species at most, but still incompetent vegetables who, if you look at anything they touch (to use a term term of such incompetent vegetables as historically pertains to their role in the mideast – and generally the state of the world) it invariably goes ‘pear shaped’ (english term). What hasn’t zionist kissinger not messed up as appointee or ‘consultant’ – what does he get paid for? No! The fact is, they have absolutely no idea how this unfolds and as with most of their lives, they will predictably choose the most sordid, despicable, and diabolical course at every turn because … that is their inherently criminal, mentally ill / unstable nature to do so. ]

]  Fragile steps to end crisis seen as plans take shape for a transition process that would allow Mubarak to remain as a figure head until new elections.

    }  ]

 ]  After decades of repression, democracy advocates say it could take many months -- if not years -- to lay groundwork for open and credible elections.

  ]

 

 

Congress must raise debt ceiling, Bernanke warns (Washington Post)  [ Riiiiight, bunglo ben … this from the same ben who forecasted ‘no-recession’. The fact is, ‘helicopter ben shalom bernanke’ hasn’t the slightest idea what he’s doing and is the ‘poster boy’, epitome of that incompetent ivy league vegetable who’s long on rhetoric and cv but quite short on real results. The only thing that has been true as per his stated intentions, is an inflated new wall street bubble to and for the benefit of the wall street frauds. ‘Have printing press, will travel’ … that soldier of his and their fortune is a man called ‘Palawallstreet’ aka ben shalom bernanke … which temporary obfuscation with money that’s not really there in real terms means that beyond the temporary look good/feel good, disaster straight ahead. Bernanke's Worst Nightmare Is This Man's Boxes: Caroline Baum BusinessWeek  Feb. 10 (Bloomberg) -- Ben Bernanke arrived at his office a week ago and came face to face with his worst nightmare. Staring out at the Federal Reserve chairman from page C1 of the Feb. 3 edition of the Wall Street Journal was a photo ...  The Associated Press Video:  Republicans Grill Bernanke Over Inflation, Debt  Paul calls Fed's Bernanke "cocky" in House hearing Reuters  [ Yeah … Come on! … The incompetent ‘no-recession helicopter ben’ has nothing whatsoever to be cocky about; he’s clueless as to what to do; satisfied to be helping the frauds on wall street; but in the end, this will end … quite badly! ] Drudgereport:White House to Slash Heating Program for Poor…but still no pros of massive frauds on wall street which fines and disgorgement of would yield huge amounts to cover spending... [ Howard Davidowitz on the Economy: "Here Are the Numbers ... WE'RE BROKE!"   11-25-10  The U.S. economy "is a complete disaster," Howard Davidowitz declared here in July, the most recent in a string of dire predictions from Tech Ticker's most entertaining guest.On the eve of Thanksgiving, I asked Davidowitz if he had any regrets, or was ready to throw in the towel given recent signs of economic revival. Are you kidding me? "Here are the numbers...we're broke," Davidowitz declares, noting the U.S. government goes $5 billion deeper into debt every day and is facing $1 trillion-plus annual deficits for the next decade. "In other words, we're bankrupt."As with the economy, Davidowitz is unwaveringly consistent in his views on President Obama, calling him "deranged, dysfunctional and discredited."Results of the midterm election show "the people of this country think we are in a catastrophe," he says. "I'm with them."Check the accompanying video for more of Howard's unfettered opinions and stay tuned for additional clips from this interview. And...Happy Thanksgiving! Aaron Task is the host of Tech Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at [email protected]Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘ ]
 ] Fed chairman offers dire warnings about the damage Congress could wreak if it refrains from raising the government's debt limit this spring.

 

 

Rep. Lee (R-N.Y.) resigns after Craigslist incident  (Washington Post)  [  I am truly astounded; and, I say that without even a tinge of sarcasm. Where is the corpus dilicti here. That he is a fool and somewhat a dummy, if such is the standard for resignation, then all of capital hill should be tendering their resignations en masse. After all, aside from the inherent conflict, and particularly in light of a financial / fiscal / economic disaster in large part of their own making and compounding by failing to prosecute the perps and instead accommodate their crimes, ie., FASB rule change, etc., does not the consistent though undeserved raises they give themselves constitute of sorts a defalcation of duty, responsibility, and trust. Unlike congress, indeed all the pervasively corrupt and incompetent branches of u.s. government in their day-to-day activities / course of business, though tasteless, sleazy, etc., this so-called incident is without a corpus dilicti. It kind of reminds me of that scene in ‘Road to Perdition’ when mob kingpin Newman responds (in a somewhat incredulous, come on, who you kidding way) to former footsoldier Hanks by reminding him that they’re all murderers (in the room-including Hanks).]  Move came after a Web site reported that the married congressman had e-mailed a shirtless image of himself to a woman he met online.

 

 

CIA's dilemma in Egypt (Washington Post)  [ Come on! How does anyone take these ‘muck-ups’ seriously … As a purported journalist, Mr. Ignatius should know better. What distracts the agency is self-interest and greed … yes, greed for themselves, theirs, and a raison d’etre that assures their continued funding (oh how they miss the cold war, hot ones will have to do) on top of their private so-called ‘black ops’. They’re wrong or absent without leave (awol) on major events purportedly within their bailiwick; ie., mideast, israel, ‘wmd’s in Iraq’, 9-11, Egypt, etc.; and, as well, are fallacious in their policy direction, directives, etc.. I mean, beyond their nefarious undertakings, they look more and more like Maxwell Smarts (‘Get Smart’) minus ‘99’ every day. Expanded Free Trade: Exporting Jobs [ When you come right down to it, this has been america’s most significant export. Indeed, this irrevocable structural shift, hailed by cia men hw bush and clinton (clinton couldn’t have survived without them) by way of NAFTA as the greatest  thing since sliced bread was indeed in no uncertain terms condemned and warned against by Perot, a man of honor who, unlike his opponents, could not be bought, which is the reason, in pervasively corrupt america, he could never have been elected. Interestingly, you may have noticed the good (but not great, other than the spotlight on pervasive bribery including judges, police, politicians, etc., being far too light) the film ‘The Untouchables’ getting a wide re-airing of late, purporting to be a significant part of american folklore / history / culture. However, the reality is that in america, and certainly today, the real story with impact is that of ‘The Touchables’. The reality is that Elliot Ness died a broken man; bankrupt, unable to even win election to the mayoralty of his then current hometown. He was incorruptible; and hence, in the real america, unelectable at the least if not also all but unemployable (he and his are among those few genetic anomalies in america as I’ve previously alluded to. How far america has fallen from even false perception! Pervasively corrupt, meaningfully lawless america can’t even fake it anymore. At CIA, mistakes by officers are often overlooked (Washington Post) [ Duuuh! I want to know of even one thing that’s not overlooked concerning those incompetent mental cases at the cia; from assassinations, to illegal drug dealing, to illegal arms sales, to corruption, to disinformation, etc., to america’s and the world’s (ie., those WMD’s in Iraq, etc.) substantial detriment. See, for example, http://albertpeia.com/CIAAgentAffidavit1.jpg     http://albertpeia.com/FBIAgentAffidavit11.jpg      , and of course, corrupt legal / judicial processes, etc.,   Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on offensive (defensive a misnomer / propaganda) military spending than all the nations of the world combined, and by a large margin at that. Do you see a pattern emerging here [ I unfortunately only belatedly did, and the feds, fed employees, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality in the most nefarious sense  ( http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm         )   ]:

CRIME STATISTICS > TOTAL CRIMES (MOST RECENT) BY COUNTRY  SHOWING LATEST AVAILABLE DATA (america’s No. 1).

Rank  

Countries 

Amount 

# 1  

United States:

11,877,218 

 

# 2  

United Kingdom:

6,523,706 

 

# 3  

Germany:

6,507,394 

 

The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  ( UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE... ex-Justice official quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Obama broke promises ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

‘The Obama Deception’ Censored  ‘The Obama Deception’ has been censored      In light of this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if incomplete)        http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257# 

For the Same Reason I’ve Included Here a Web Site Archived FLV Version of Esoteric Agenda    http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv

]   ] Ignatius: Its fight against al-Qaeda has distracted the agency.

 

 

 

Rumors Cause Some Selling: Dave's Daily   [But more than a rumor, it is a market top] ‘A rumor making the rounds, later denied, was hedge fund kingpin Paul Tudor Jones was calling a market top. That caused a bout of selling which naturally increased volume from those weak handed investors. Nevertheless, PTJ's PR people stated: "Phooey" and that was that. There may also be some nervousness over current and impending arrests for insider trading. The bigger news is the divergence of emerging markets from previous "got to own" status to just the opposite as some $10 billion has come out of linked ETFs and markets are selling-off. With rumor denials confirmed meant a sharp late day recovery rally seemed logical as dip buyers are still ever present. The obligatory "buy program express" hit the tape late to keep losses to a minimum while the clear market leader DJIA (window dressing for the tourists) eked-out a slight gain. The Fed had tossed in another round of POMO and late in the day trading desks have to do "something" with it. Earnings continued to roll-in with impressive results. Coke came in with solid earnings that met expectations for example. Economic data was slim with more impressive stuff for Thursday. Then there was the much discussed ("what does it mean" news) that the German Bourse and NYSE will merge. The world gets smaller and perhaps more efficient while New York and perhaps Chicago lose some prestige and business…’

 

 

 

Cisco And Akamai Are Getting Crushed After Hours, So NASDAQ Futures Are Diving  , On Wednesday February 9, 2011, 4:59 pm EST  ‘It's going to be a pretty ugly day tomorrow for big tech. At least if the action right now is indicative.Two big names are diving.The first is Cisco, which is down 7% after hours on pretty meh earnings. The number was fine, but on the call the company has revealed margin pressure, and this is basically looking like a repeat of last quarter when the stock tanked after earnings.The other is Akamai, which is also down hard, on a revenue outlook that's less than impressive. The revenue outlook was well below expectations.With these two players diving, it's no surprise that NASDAQ-100 futures are getting whacked after hours, indicating a slide of more than 0.5%.Tech, of course, has been particularly hot of late.’

 

 

 

 

 

Is the Market Headed for a Sell-Off? Zaky  [ Yes … I agree, except that fundamentally the longer term prospects are even worse than his bearish outlook suggests (don’t forget the debasement of the dollar, manipulation, and spending / printing money the nation doesn’t have in real terms behind this manipulated uptick) and summarized as follows: ‘I suspect that this rally is on its very last legs. We should see a very healthy 10% or so correction within the next 1-2 week period ... This market is headed for a sell-off. ]

 

 

 

 

2011 Update: Another Lost Decade for Stocks - Are You Prepared?   [ I agree that this is but a (manipulated) bull cycle in a secular bear market with substantially worse to come! ]Kopas ‘In February 2010, we published an article on Seeking Alpha entitled “Another Lost Decade for Stocks - Are You Prepared?,” wherein we argued that the year 2000 marked a secular (long-term) peak for U.S. stocks. A secular bear market is formed when a series of business cycles are linked together, establishing an extended period of stock market under-performance. Our objective here is to bring you up-to-date on the progress of this secular bear market and help you prepare for the next ten years…’

 

 

How to Squeeze the Most Out of a Late-Stage Rally   ‘Something curious happened the last two months. In December, the investment community turned extremely bullish on stocks. By some measures optimism shot through the roof and eclipsed some of the readings seen at the 2007 all-time highs.Such extremes usually lead to some sort of a correction. In October 2007 they were followed by a 50%+ decline, in April 2010 by a near 20% decline. But not in December, prices kept climbing and curiously, sentiment starting fading away from the December extremes.In general, that is good news for anyone owning stocks, but sentiment is still elevated to a degree where being long stocks is quite risky. Testament is the fear barometer - the VIX (Chicago Options: ^VIX) fell to a 3 year low yesterday.

Technical Cracks

In addition to a constant flow of bad news domestically and abroad, some technical indicators are flashing red flags.Since the last mini sell-off on January 28 (when Egypt made front-page news), volume has dropped precipitously. Over 1.3 billion shares were traded on the NYSE when the S&P (SNP: ^GSPC), Dow Jones (DJI: ^DJI), and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) dropped about 2% on January 28.The last five trading days saw volume of less than 1 billion shares (see chart below). According to technical analysis 101, low volume up days and high volume down days isn't exactly bullish. [chart] A look at the percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day moving average also conveys weakness. Five weeks ago 80% of stocks trading on the NYSE were above their respective 50-day MA. Since then the S&P (NYSEArca: IVV - News) has tagged on 5%, but the percentage of stocks above their 50-day MA has fallen to 75%.

2011 Performance - 52%?

Year-to-date the S&P 500 is up 5% - that's 5% in five weeks or 1% a week. At this pace the S&P is on course to gain 52% in 2011. Is that realistic?At some point in the not too distant future, traders are likely to look at the year-to-date performance and say, that's too good to be true!We've seen such 'too good to be true moments' in January and April 2010. Below is a small sampling of headlines that appeared within a day or two of the April 2010 peak, and days before the May 'Flash Crash.'

Bloomberg: 'U.S. stocks cheapest since 1990'

Wall Street Journal: Consumer mojo lifts profits'

Reuters: 'Greece contagion fears unfounded'

Yahoo Tech Ticker: 'S&P could hit 3000 by 2020'

Newsweek: 'America is back - The remarkable tale of an economic turnaround'

In contrast to that warm and fuzzy feeling, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter warned on April 16: 'The message conveyed by the composite bullishness is unmistakably bearish. The pieces are in place for a major decline.'The Fed-funded money flow has kept a constant bid beneath prices, but the common expectation that this pre-Presidential election year is going to be gang busters, particularly after a strong January, is reason for suspicion.

Safety Nets

The easiest way to guard against an unwanted decline is simply to sell. This locks in profits but often comes with the annoying side effect of having to watch stocks go up, while you are sitting on the sideline.Before buying or selling anything, investors should ask themselves whether they prefer to be on the sideline while stocks go up, or be fully invested when stocks go down. One of the two scenarios is bound to happen, at least temporarily.If you are not ready to cut loose from your stocks, you may consider buying put protection. $420 buys you the right to sell SPY at 132 anytime before May 20, 2011. If you want to spend less money for an earlier expiration date, the April put sells for $320, and the March put for $230. Like an insurance policy, this gives you piece of mind for a small premium.

Eagle Eye

As per the VIX, complacency is ever present right now, but that's exactly the time you want to be on guard. Like a thief, the market strikes when least expected.An effective way to limit risk and maximize profits is to set sell stops at major support levels. The market often tests support before resuming its uptrend. If support fails, watch out.Back in November, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter highlighted the pivotal role of the 1,170 level. The S&P tested - but never broke below - that level five times before continuing its diabolical up trend.Where is today's key support level? As per the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter a failed low-risk entry would be the sign for a trend reversal. What is a failed low-risk entry? This signal is based on the percentR indicator, a measure of relative strength.In a strong market, particularly after a long up trend, percentR will hover above 80. A powerful enough decline can result in a drop below 80. Once percentR closes below 80 it will trigger a bullish low risk entry.It triggered such low-risk entries on January 19 and 28. It would have taken another down day and a close below that day's low, to get a failed low-risk entry.  In January, it would have taken a close below 1,279 and 1,275 to confirm a low-risk entry. It never happened.Since stocks have gained about 4% since the last low-risk entry, it's likely that the next low-risk entry will occur at higher prices. To pinpoint this major support now would be speculation. It's for sure, though, that no bear market will start without a failed low-risk entry…’

 

 

 

 

Expanded Free Trade: Exporting Jobs [ When you come right down to it, this has been america’s most significant export. Indeed, this irrevocable structural shift, hailed by cia men hw bush and clinton (clinton couldn’t have survived with them) by way of NAFTA as the greatest  thing since sliced bread was indeed in no uncertain terms condemned and warned against by Perot, a man of honor who, unlike his opponents, could not be bought, which is the reason, in pervasively corrupt america, he could never have been elected. Interestingly, you may have noticed the good (but not great, other than the spotlight on pervasive bribery including judges, police, politicians, etc., being far too light) the film ‘The Untouchables’ getting a wide re-airing of late, purporting to be a significant part of american folklore / history / culture. However, the reality is that in america, and certainly today, the real story with impact is that of ‘The Touchables’. The reality is that Elliot Ness died a broken man; bankrupt, unable to even win election to the mayoralty of his then current hometown. He was incorruptible; and hence, in the real america, unelectable at the least if not also all but unemployable (he and his are among those few genetic anomalies in america as I’ve previously alluded to. How far america has fallen from even false perception! Pervasively corrupt, meaningfully lawless america can’t even fake it anymore. See, for example, http://albertpeia.com/CIAAgentAffidavit1.jpg     http://albertpeia.com/FBIAgentAffidavit11.jpg      , and of course, corrupt legal / judicial processes, etc.,   Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on offensive (defensive a misnomer / propaganda) military spending than all the nations of the world combined, and by a large margin at that. Do you see a pattern emerging here [ I unfortunately only belatedly did, and the feds, fed employees, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality in the most nefarious sense  ( http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm         )   ]:

CRIME STATISTICS > TOTAL CRIMES (MOST RECENT) BY COUNTRY  SHOWING LATEST AVAILABLE DATA (america’s No. 1).

Rank  

Countries 

Amount 

# 1  

United States:

11,877,218 

 

# 2  

United Kingdom:

6,523,706 

 

# 3  

Germany:

6,507,394 

 

The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  ( UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE... ex-Justice official quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Obama broke promises ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

‘The Obama Deception’ Censored  ‘The Obama Deception’ has been censored      In light of this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if incomplete)        http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257# 

For the Same Reason I’ve Included Here a Web Site Archived FLV Version of Esoteric Agenda    http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv

] Lounsbury ‘In January Steven Hansen observed that, through November, the trade deficit for manufactured goods was the equivalent of 1.3 million workers earning the median manufacturing wage in the U.S. Well, the trade deficit has been with us in a major way for nearly two decades. I am reminded of the 1992 presidential campaign where one of the three candidates, Ross Perot, argued against the adoption of NAFTA, The North American Free Trade Agreement. The other two candidates supported NAFTA.Perot is famous for his statement that a free trade agreement that was not a two way street would create a “giant sucking sound” of jobs going south to the cheap labor markets of Mexico. Both of Perot’s opponents (George H.W. Bush and Bill Clinton) argued that NAFTA would create jobs in the U.S. because of business expansion.However, the goods balance of trade for the U.S. with Mexico has been negative and steadily growing over the years. In 2010 it amounted to $61.6 billion, which was 9.5% of the total goods trade deficit last year.

So Perot has been vindicated in his opinion; expanded free trade has not been accompanied by an increase in jobs in the U.S. relative to the vast numbers of jobs created in the rest of the world as NAFTA became just a stepping stone on the pathway to global commerce.

Veronique de Rugy has produced a graph which shows how manufacturing output and manufacturing employment have varied over the years 1975 – 2010.

click to enlarge images

[chart]

The giant sucking sound actually started in 1980 as manufacturing employment peaked in 1979. The decline in employment in 1980-83 can be associated with the double recessions of that time period, which was also evidenced in the drop in manufacturing output. But when the recovery took hold, manufacturing resumed strong growth but employment gradually declined from 1984 to 2000, after which the decline accelerated.

Now, to be fair, not all the employment decline was due to increased employment overseas. Trade deficits remained fairly benign by 21st century standards. Employment declined significantly because of productivity improvements as more and more automation replaced manual labor. However, some of the decline was undoubtedly due to increased importation of goods to the U.S.

The rapid growth in the trade deficit for goods began in the early 1990s and we will start our detailed examination of the data with 1992, in deference to Mr. Perot.

Growth of the Trade Deficit for Goods

The first two tables show pertinent annual data. The table on the left shows the trade balance for goods. The table on the right shows the value of U.S. manufactured goods and manufacturing payroll employment.

[chart]

The sources for the data used in these tables are:

Productivity Improvement

In 19 years the value of U.S. manufacturing output has risen by 58% while manufacturing employment has declined by 31%. It only took 2.5 manufacturing employees in 2010 to produce what 5.8 employees produced in 1992. The dramatic improvement in labor productivity (and loss of jobs) is emphasized by the following graph.

[chart]

Jobs Equivalent to Manufactured Goods Trade Deficit

One cannot say that there is a U.S. jobs loss exactly equal to the trade deficit for manufactured goods. Here are some reasons:

  • The goods trade deficit may have led to a more favorable balance of exchange in other areas, for example in export of services. This would have produced more U.S. service jobs.
  • The trade balance deficit may have produced foreign investment in the U.S. that would not have otherwise occurred, creating domestic jobs.
  • The trade deficit may have actually increase demand for exports of goods still manufactured in the U.S.
  • Foreign employment may have been created for U.S. citizens that would not otherwise have occurred.
  • If the manufacturing had remained in the U.S. productivity gains might have been even greater than have been experienced.

However, it is not unreasonable to make the assumption that a significant portion of the manufacturing jobs equivalent to the trade deficit would have been created in the U.S.

The U.S. manufacturing jobs equivalence of the goods trade deficit is shown for each of the years starting with 1992 in the following table, along with the cumulative total. Hereafter we refer to the jobs equivalence as “jobs exported”.

[chart]

The jobs exported each year are shown in the following graph.

[chart]

The following graph shows that there have been a cumulative total of almost 29 million jobs exported over the past 19 years.

[chart]

Unemployment Today and the Counterfactual Labor Shortage

The total number of people employed today according to the latest BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics) data is 139.3 million. If just half of the exported jobs were retained in the U.S., there would be about 153 million employed. The current civilian labor force is only 153 million so there would be no slack in the labor force at all. However, the labor participation rate has fallen from 67% in 2000-01 to 64.2% today. If the participation rate returned to 67% the civilian labor force would be 160 million. With 153 million employed the unemployment rate would be 4.4% and we would be complaining of labor shortages.

The Sweet Spot

If only some, even less than half, of the manufacturing that has been outsourced had been retained in the U.S., it is likely that there would still be an emerging market boom, but there would not be the severe structural unemployment problem that exists today in the U.S. It seems, looking at these numbers, that where we are is not the result of doing a fundamentally bad thing. It could be argued that it is actually the result of taking a good thing too far. It seems we missed the sweet spot and simply botched a beautiful shot.

Free Trade is a very good thing, but free trade taken too far is destructive. Hard data shows why.

Related Article

USA Trade Deficit Exports 1.3 million Jobs by Steven Hansen’

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul holds first hearing to scrutinize Fed Raw Story | Texas Republican Rep. Ron Paul on Wednesday held his first official hearing to examine the policies of the Federal Reserve on unemployment and economic growth.

 

Derivatives: The Real Reason Bernanke Funnels Trillions Into Wall Street Banks Seeking Alpha | Bernanke is printing money and funneling it into the Wall Street banks for one reason and one reason only.

 

Why Small Business Isn’t Hiring And Won’t Be Hiring Charles Hugh Smith | Small business can’t afford to believe in myths and fantasies. They are dealing with the harsh reality of adapt or die.



Gold at EUR1,000/oz – Strong Physical Demand Leading To Illiquid Conditions With the physical gold market remaining very small when compared to the futures and paper gold market (futures, CFDs etc) there are increasing concerns of illiquidity due to the scale of demand and lack of supply.


Derivatives: The Real Reason Bernanke Funnels Trillions Into Wall Street Banks We’ve been over the numerous BS excuses that US Dollar destroyer extraordinaire Ben Bernanke has made for QE enough times that today I’d rather simply focus on the REAL reason he continues to funnel TRILLIONS of Dollars into the Wall Street Banks.


ABC Consumer Comfort Index Plunges To Year Lows On Surging Gas Prices Once again the ABC Consumer Comfort index indicates that it is leaps and bounds more relevant than the ADP Private Payroll number.

 

Shocking Video Of Howard Dean Declaring That It Is The Job Of The Government To Redistribute Our Wealth In the shocking video you are about to watch, Howard Dean declares that it is the job of the government to redistribute our wealth.

 

 

Bernanke's Worst Nightmare Is This Man's Boxes: Caroline Baum BusinessWeek  Feb. 10 (Bloomberg) -- Ben Bernanke arrived at his office a week ago and came face to face with his worst nightmare. Staring out at the Federal Reserve chairman from page C1 of the Feb. 3 edition of the Wall Street Journal was a photo ...  The Associated Press Video:  Republicans Grill Bernanke Over Inflation, Debt  Paul calls Fed's Bernanke "cocky" in House hearing Reuters  [ Yeah … Come on! … The incompetent ‘no-recession helicopter ben’ has nothing whatsoever to be cocky about; he’s clueless as to what to do; satisfied to be helping the frauds on wall street; but in the end, this will end … quite badly! ]

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

Alex Jones Exposes “See Something, Say Something” as Patent Fraud Kurt Nimmo | There is no mechanism available to report real terrorism because it does not exist.

 

“See Something, Say Something” Exposed As Hoax Paul Joseph Watson | Alex Jones proves it’s impossible to report terror threats because the government has no interest in preventing terror.

 

DC News Station Covers “V For Victory” Campaign Infowars | Congress is questioning a new Homeland Security campaign called “If you see something, say something.”

 

As Government Prepares to Ban Lightbulbs, Americans Stock Up Paul Joseph Watson | Iconic Thomas Edison invention to be replaced with toxic mercury-filled, illness-causing CFLs by 2014 unless Ron Paul can lead successful fight back.

 

“Inexcusable”: TSA STILL Refusing To Release Naked Scanner Safety Reports Steve Watson | TSA once again lies, tells media machines are not capable of storing images.

 

TSA Blocks Airports From Hiring Private Security Back in January there was a healthy sign that a handful of airports around the country were saying no to the TSA and its sexual molestation searches and naked body porno scanners. Airport managers said they are opposed to the federal government telling them how to run security.

 

Leftists Attack Arianna Huffington For Selling Out To “Megacorp” AOL “She exploited our idealism and let us labor under the illusion that the Huffington Post was different, independent and leftist. Now she’s cashed in and three thousand indie bloggers find themselves working for a megacorp.”

 

Obamacare Advocate: Make Refusniks Wear Gold Stickers A leading advocate of Obamacare told NPR yesterday that Americans who refuse to pay for health care should be forced to wear gold stickers on their foreheads and refused emergency hospital treatment, in a chilling throwback to how Jews were persecuted by being made to wear yellow stars by the Nazis during the occupation of Europe.

 

 

Blago lawyers claim tape of phone call with Rahm Emanuel has disappeared from evidence NBC Chicago | Attorneys for former governor Rod Blagojevich have asked a federal judge to order prosecutors to produce two phone calls his lawyers say are mysteriously missing from evidence.

 

 

 

Man says ex-CIA agent Posada gave him explosives for hotel bombing Raw Story | Otto Rene Rodriguez said that he was given C-4 explosives and $2,000 by Luis Posada Carriles to enable the bombing at Havana’s Melia Cohiba hotel on Aug. 3, 1997.

 

 

 

‘Welfare Bum’ JP Morgan: We Need Gold! By making the announcement, J.P. Morgan is effectively saying gold is as rock solid an investment as triple-A rated Treasurys, adding to a movement that places gold at the top tier of asset classes.

 

Alex Jones: Feds Admit Emergency Takeover System Commissioners voted last week to require television and radio stations, cable systems and satellite TV providers to participate in a test that would have them receive and transmit a live code that includes an alert message issued by the president.

 

 

China police stop spread of Egypt news: activist Police in southwest China have barred activists from distributing leaflets about anti-government protests in Egypt and Tunisia, deeming the news too sensitive, one dissident said Wednesday.

 

 

 

Drudgereport: Oil hits $101 again...
Paul Ryan confronts over Fed's purchases of debt...
Soaring debt pushes Portugal towards bailout...
House GOP Targets Dozens of Gov't Programs...

CUT, CUT, CUT...
White House to Slash Heating Program for Poor…but still no pros of massive frauds on wall street which fines and disgorgement of would yield huge amounts to cover spending... [ Howard Davidowitz on the Economy: "Here Are the Numbers ... WE'RE BROKE!"   11-25-10  The U.S. economy "is a complete disaster," Howard Davidowitz declared here in July, the most recent in a string of dire predictions from Tech Ticker's most entertaining guest.On the eve of Thanksgiving, I asked Davidowitz if he had any regrets, or was ready to throw in the towel given recent signs of economic revival. Are you kidding me? "Here are the numbers...we're broke," Davidowitz declares, noting the U.S. government goes $5 billion deeper into debt every day and is facing $1 trillion-plus annual deficits for the next decade. "In other words, we're bankrupt."As with the economy, Davidowitz is unwaveringly consistent in his views on President Obama, calling him "deranged, dysfunctional and discredited."Results of the midterm election show "the people of this country think we are in a catastrophe," he says. "I'm with them."Check the accompanying video for more of Howard's unfettered opinions and stay tuned for additional clips from this interview. And...Happy Thanksgiving! Aaron Task is the host of Tech Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at [email protected]Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘ ]
UNDERDOG: CNN POLL: 51% SEE NO SECOND TERM FOR OBAMA...
71% OF ALL VEGAS HOMEOWNERS UNDER WATER...

'New normal' in housing bust...
STRESS...
Job openings fall for second straight month...
HOUSE VOTES NEXT WEEK TO BLOCK OBAMACARE FUNDS
WE'RE ON 'ROAD TO RUIN'

UPDATE: Egypt sees largest demos since start of revolt...
NEW WORLD TRADES...
Global Stock Exchanges Headed for Major Consolidation...
D Börse, NYSE in advanced talks...
London takes Canada...
Exchange chiefs seek new global powerhouses...

SAUDIS TOLD OBAMA 'NOT TO HUMILIATE MUBARAK' [ Sounds like they’re hearing footsteps…Previous: Egyptian capital teeters on anarchy  Mubarak asks cabinet to resign as anti-regime protests intensify  (Washington Post) [ Mubarak should have been looking in the mirror as he asked his cabinet to resign … 30 years is a long time, and coincidentally, time for him to go.   In Egypt: Access denied (Washington Post) [The day part of the Internet died: Egypt goes dark [I disagree! Part of the internet didn’t die, but rather the order to so darken the nation heralded the demise, at 30 years and counting, of the so-called leadership in the persona of Mubarak. Time for him to go! After all, he’s been in a position, with Egypt among the only Mideast nations to have signed a peace treaty with israel, to have stepped up with substantial credibility in taking a strong position against israeli transgressions, violations of international law / u.n. resolutions, war crimes, etc., which beyond soft-touch, he failed to do. And, of all places, he sends his family to Orwellian england; he still loves those colonial masters … how pathetic. I mean, 30 years … how free-flowing does anyone think the election process is at this point … and one could ask the same regarding the entrenched powers that be in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, to be fair. Then there’s saudi arabia; talk about do nothing hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation; I suspect only when foreign corporations say so. The only Mideast nations showing backbone are Turkey, Lebanon, and Syria, and, of course the perennially propaganda painted bad-boy Iran among possibly some of the smaller emirates, ie., Qatar, etc., (I lack sufficient information regarding these other nations).  ] (AP)         Internet cutoff fails to silence Egypt protests (AP) - AP - In its effort to silence protesters, Egypt took a step that's rare even among authoritarian governments: It cut off the Internet across the entire country.       Mubarak fires Cabinet, defends army’s efforts   Sat, 29 Jan 2011 00:20:58 GMT  Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak dismisses his Cabinet, calls on the army to help put down rising potests...     Egypt's Mubarak sends in army, resists demands to quit (Reuters) - 1 hour agoReuters - Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak refused on Saturday to bow to demands that he resign after ordering troops and tanks into cities in an attempt to quell an explosion of street protests again...        ]      Embattled leader's move falls far short of demands that he give up his 30-year authoritarian rule, leave the country and permit fresh elections.  ]

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debt relief for states proposed (Washington Post) [  I’ve heard of the ‘blind leading the blind’, but the ‘bankrupt borrowing from the bankrupt’ seems to be a nouveau american phenomenon destined for ‘clichedom’.   Previous: Governors plan painful cuts amid budget crises  (Washington Post) [ This truly is a disaster in the making, with consequences even more dire than the grim outlook set forth by Meridith Whitney, if that could even be fathomed. It’s really going to be all that bad…see infra, The Economic Collapse, ‘#10 The municipal bond crisis could go “supernova” at any time.  Already, investors are bailing out of bonds at a frightening pace.  State and local government debt is now sitting at an all-time high of 22 percent of U.S. GDP.  According to Meredith Whitney, the municipal bond crisis that we are facing is a gigantic threat to our financial system….

“It has tentacles as wide as anything I’ve seen. I think next to housing this is the single most important issue in the United States and certainly the largest threat to the U.S. economy.”

Former Los Angeles mayor Richard Riordan is convinced that things are so bad that literally 90% of our states and cities could go bankrupt over the next five years…. ‘  ] Governors across the ideological spectrum are embracing the politics of austerity in a desperate effort to balance the books. ]   Proposal would ease financial burden on many state governments in the wake of the recession.

 

At CIA, mistakes by officers are often overlooked (Washington Post) [ Duuuh! I want to know of even one thing that’s not overlooked concerning those incompetent mental cases at the cia; from assassinations, to illegal drug dealing, to illegal arms sales, to corruption, to disinformation, etc., to america’s and the world’s (ie., those WMD’s in Iraq, etc.) substantial detriment. See also, ie., http://albertpeia.com/CIAAgentAffidavit1.jpg     http://albertpeia.com/FBIAgentAffidavit11.jpg      , and of course, corrupt legal / judicial processes, etc.,   Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on offensive (defensive a misnomer / propaganda) military spending than all the nations of the world combined, and by a large margin at that. Do you see a pattern emerging here [ I unfortunately only belatedly did, and the feds, fed employees, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality in the most nefarious sense  ( http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm         )   ]:

CRIME STATISTICS > TOTAL CRIMES (MOST RECENT) BY COUNTRY  SHOWING LATEST AVAILABLE DATA (america’s No. 1).

Rank  

Countries 

Amount 

# 1  

United States:

11,877,218 

 

# 2  

United Kingdom:

6,523,706 

 

# 3  

Germany:

6,507,394 

 

The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  ( UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE... ex-Justice official quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Obama broke promises ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

‘The Obama Deception’ Censored  ‘The Obama Deception’ has been censored      In light of this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if incomplete)        http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257# 

For the Same Reason I’ve Included Here a Web Site Archived FLV Version of Esoteric Agenda    http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv

 ] 

 

Four charged in 'brazen coverup' of insider trading (Washington Post) [  'The alleged conspirators "lacked a mobster's better-honed instinct for conversational discretion," said Janice K. Fedarcyk, head of the FBI's New York field office.'... Isn't that the truth; not like the big mobsters at goldman sachs, et als, who were well connected with plenty of juice and whose hard drives, conversations, etc., seemed never to make it to the crosshairs of real scrutiny, though any such prosecution of even the small fries like these wall street frauds should be welcomed, but with a sense of bewilderment as to how the aforesaid biggest frauds have yet to be prosecuted for the largest fraud in the history of this world with the consequences of their fraud 'now marked to anything' as they cashed out(that legislated FASB rule change / accommodation /complicity).  ]  Hedge fund manager allegedly tells colleague: Go to the office and shred "as much as you can."

 

Humility on the Nile Will: Maybe America's finally realizing the limits of its influence abroad. (Washington Post) [ I believe the power of Mr. Will’s article is twofold: First, that humility thing for america and the concomitant limits of american influence abroad. Like no other time in america’s short-lived history, america has a lot to be humble about. Afterall, america is defacto bankrupt, pervasively corrupt across all institutions whether they be governmental / judicial / private, and literally crime-ridden with crime rates exceeding by large margins those of other so-called civilized / tier one nations. Moreover, much like america’s commander(s) in chief, wobama the b (for b*** s*** - and war criminal bush), words are belied by actions / misdeeds. Indeed, the propping up of corrupt / criminal / oppressive regimes and the war crimes accompanying destruction and taking of innocent lives are facts lost on no one in this age like never before of ubiquitously available information which renders america’s once formidable propaganda machine now impotent in relative terms.Truth / reality works against america in every way. Second, and as important is that former global dichotomy that Mr. Will references; viz., the cold war and communism versus non-communism. No such simple lines now exist, nor can they be drawn owing to america’s failure, corruption, and meaningful lawlessness on so many levels and with such negative consequences. ]

 

 

Free elections still distant prospect for Egypt     Activists express doubts about feasibility of September ballot  (Washington Post) ["I'm shocked by what the Americans say - that Mubarak must stay as president so we can prepare for new elections,'' said Negad El Borai, a human rights advocate and lawyer in Cairo. "Mubarak must leave, and then we can talk." … Truth be told, I’m not shocked. Indeed, though this is only marginally what america / israel wanted, this will stick to america / israel like glue; that proverbial albatross; that lose, lose scenario for america in the region. Previous:  Egypt protests continue as Mubarak's government offers concessions (Washington Post) [ Come on! Let not all of us join america’s / israel’s, et als, and  mubarak’s delusions. After all, here’s an 82 year old tyrant, in power for 30 years, yet in some parallel universe appears to think he’s calling the shots. Other than literal and quite foolish shots against protesters, even journalists, see infra, there are few indeed that would trust his mindset, such as it is, much less his judgment, so flawed as he has now shown it to be. What is obvious is that this long overdue ‘people’s election’ cannot be thwarted by platitudes and small talk, but resisting the inevitable will turn an american quasi-ally into an anti-american breeding ground because there’s just no reconciling a pro-mubarak, however slight, position with american / israeli, et als war crimes in the region.  Restless Cairo protesters hoping for U.S. support (Washington Post) [ The sad reality here is, much like wobama’s Afghanistan fiasco, that america has ‘bought it’. This is truly yet another ‘loss, loss’ scenario as is true of america’s mideast policy generally. Defacto bankrupt america’s initiatives in the region particularly, though generally true of all american policy, is the ‘square pegs in round holes’ approach to almost everything they do, which certainly is not lost on the rest of the world. Coddling and caving in to israeli / neocon / zionist paranoia despite the war mongering intransigence of the former is devastating to a nation as pervasively corrupt america which is facing insurmountable domestic problems of its own, economically, financially, politically, and geo-politically. This should bring to mind the missteps of a former fading empire in this same region desperately trying to remain relevant. Indeed, from Balfour’s Despoliation to arbitrary boundaries, etc., Orwellian britain’s demise (decline) as a real player globally was, as america’s currently, significantly and irrevocably hastened. Quite simply, pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america will increasingly be viewed as a bunch of  ‘muck-ups’ who can’t handle their own substantial problems much less those of other nations; and in fact, invariably exacerbate existing conditions / problems, particularly when pandering to israel’s self-interested concerns. ] While the ouster of President Hosni Mubarak remains the most pressing concern for protesters, the role of U.S. is far from absent in the dialogue. { Previous:  Amid Arab protests, U.S. influence has waned (Washington Post) [ And that’s just the way israel likes it … and to america’s detriment, of course … which is not lost on even George Soros … Drudgereport: Soros: 'The main stumbling block is Israel'...

Egyptian protesters plan new push     Government detains foreigners, says it's willing to open talks  (Washington Post) [ Open talks? ‘bout what? Building a pyramid in mubarak’s honor before stepping down? He’s done … finito … burnt as an over-micro-waved burrito! The following from the Post is indeed the straw that broke the riders with whips he sent on camels’ and horses’ backs!  ‘Wants to die in Egypt? How touching, or the reality, he’s just plain touched as in totally ‘out of it’.   ‘…In what the U.S. State Department called a "concerted campaign to intimidate," several dozen journalists were rounded up by security forces and detained for hours, along with foreigners working as teachers, engineers and human rights researchers. Across the city, angry bands of supporters of President Hosni Mubarak also beat journalists; several reporters said that they were threatened with death…’   ]  Cairo seeks to shift blame for clashes by rounding up journalists; U.S. worries renewed protests could spark more violence from Mubarak supporters. Demonstrations in Egypt take bloody turn    In Cairo square, Mubarak backers confront anti-government crowds  (Washington Post) [  Not too difficult for desperate and done mubarak to contrive:   Mubarak Says Egyptians Have to Choose Between “Chaos” and Him … Then Sends In His Thugs to Stir Up Chaos  (Infowars.com) In order to justify staying in power until elections are held in September, President Mubarak said on tv that the people had to choose between him and “chaos”.    ]  The coordinated nature of day's events suggested that Mubarak's supporters were determined to show, as he had warned, that the country faced a "choice between chaos and stability."   [  Previous:    Mubarak's pledge seen as not enough   Egyptian president plans to stay in office to transfer power  (Washington Post) [ Let me put it another way: Mubarak is as done as an over-cooked tamale … He seems to be stalling for time and even in his age impaired mind certainly knows his position is untenable, unsustainable, and even more irrational as each second passes. There is a possibility that he’s using same to move money / treasure for himself and others, literally as well, buying time. See infra …  Previous:  Mubarak seeks dialogue, shows no sign of relenting   Demonstrators call for massive protest but lack leadership  (Washington Post) [ He relented when he resorted to media / internet blackout. Indeed, this lack of sign thing is a testament to how far from reality 30 years has taken him, not to mention the other 52 years that have taken their toll on his cognitive processes. Whether it is plaques ‘on the brain’ or outright senility, that he is so disengaged from the events unfolding around him, one may only wonder how he lasted this long. Nor did his choice of cia standin / shill, new VP Suleiman enhance his now untenable position which leaves him as ‘done as a burnt enchilada’.  Kissinger on Egypt unrest – “This is only the first scene of the first act of a drama that is to be played out”   [ The import of this so-called interview, and it is here that I part company with alex jones, et als (who by the way, censored me for this very thesis, which puts him and his at the top of my hypocrite list), is that the so-called elite have orchestrated these events and ‘are in control’. First, there are no elites in this world; you can’t derive elites from apes, notochordates, and initially single celled organisms. Second, almost by definition and certainly by history, there are no elites in america even if you were to accept the first proposition (though true) as untrue. What you do have, in this world and america particularly (with few exceptions as I’ve discussed elsewhere / comments / my website), are inherent criminals and mentally ill people of varying degrees of unscrupulousness and insanity who do commit crimes, both small and large, to further their interests or fortunes (sociopaths / psychopaths). The ’so-called alpha-dogs’ of the human species at most, but still incompetent vegetables who, if you look at anything they touch (to use a term term of such incompetent vegetables as historically pertains to their role in the mideast – and generally the state of the world) it invariably goes ‘pear shaped’ (english term). What hasn’t zionist kissinger not messed up as appointee or ‘consultant’ – what does he get paid for? No! The fact is, they have absolutely no idea how this unfolds and as with most of their lives, they will predictably choose the most sordid, despicable, and diabolical course at every turn because … that is their inherently criminal, mentally ill / unstable nature to do so. ]

]  Fragile steps to end crisis seen as plans take shape for a transition process that would allow Mubarak to remain as a figure head until new elections.

    }  ]

 ]  After decades of repression, democracy advocates say it could take many months -- if not years -- to lay groundwork for open and credible elections.

 

 

This is that unmentionable reality as I alluded to earlier on close scrutiny of the data, ‘that stock prices have been manipulated to the upside beyond any and all rational basis‘ and as I previously wrote: Perception vs. Reality: Four Reasons to Remain Cautious on U.S. Equities  [ Hey, Abbott … That’s Lou Costello calling him from the other side … Wake up! … Just kidding … but I’m not kidding when I say that contrary to Abbott’s view, infra, if you’re not a successful market timer you should rethink your position as an equity investor. Moreover, in contradistinction to Mr. Abbott’s implication, if you’re not a successful speculator (there are very few), you should rethink your position as a short seller: reason…, you could be wiped out, lose more than your principal, forced to cover (that’s why the same is considered a contrary market indicator, particularly in these manipulated, contrived markets). When I did my MBA thesis (1977, NYU, GBA, Eve.Prog., Finance), a review of the data revealed even then (and much more so now with computer programmed market manipulation) that the market remained biased / propped up (artificially, especially now with computerized manipulation) to the upside for far longer periods of time than for the downside which meant that dollar-cost averaging (through regular, periodic investment, for example), meant you were accumulating shares at higher prices generally for longer periods of time skewing the average cost to the upside (dollar-cost-averaging in declining markets was ok if analysis / forecast saw resurgence based on fundamentals - now absent – which is timing, as even senile wall street / gov’t shill Buffet would attest, that ‘greedy when others are fearful thing’). Abbott discusses perception which is the psychological factor involved in security evaluation / analysis; but investors need not and should become nuts themselves, particularly when as now, the inmates are running the asylum. ]

 

 

Stock Momentum Trumps Valuation Warning Minyanville / Suttmeier ‘ Stocks began the week continuing the melt-up that began December 1. Within the first hour of trading, all weekly risky levels were violated, becoming pivots for the remainder of the week; 12,142 Dow Industrial Average, 1316.2 S&P 500, 2770 Nasdaq, 5077 Dow Transports, and 800.13 Russell 2000. These levels have an 85% chance of being tested again before the end of the week. The only major risky level is my quarterly risky level at 2853 for the Nasdaq. Keep in mind that the October 2007 high for the Nasdaq is 2861.51. Stocks are ignoring higher 10-year note and 30-year bond yields and the stronger dollar as the euro has declined from 1.3860 on February 2 to 1.3511 into Monday.
 

  • The Dow Industrial Average (12,162) -- My monthly value level is 11,759 with week’s pivot at 12,142.
  • The S&P 500 (1319.1) -- My quarterly value level is 1262.5 with this week’s pivot at 1316.2.
  • The Nasdaq (2784) -- My monthly value level is 2611 with a weekly pivot at 2770 and quarterly risky level at 2853.
  • Dow Transports (5071) -- My monthly value level is 4962 with a weekly pivot at 5077 and my annual pivot at 5179. Transports lag its January 18 high at 5256.80.
  • The Russell 2000 (801.32) -- My annual and quarterly value levels are 784.16 and 765.50 with a weekly pivot at 800.13.


We are trading under a ValuEngine Valuation Warning -- 16 of 16 sectors overvalued and only 33.8% of all stocks undervalued, below the 35% threshold by this measure.

The US Treasury 10-Year Yield -- (3.648) My annual value level is 3.791 with a weekly risky level at 3.525.

Comex Gold -- ($1350.0) My quarterly, weekly and annual pivots are $1331.3, $1342.8 and $1356.5 with monthly, quarterly and semiannual risky levels are $1412.4, $1441.7, and $1452.6. The $1356.5 level is being tested this morning.

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($87.25) Closed below my semiannual pivot is $87.52 with weekly and monthly pivots at $91.62 and $91.83. The $87.52 level should be a magnet today.

The Euro -- (1.3583) My quarterly value level is 1.3227 with a weekly pivot at 1.3511 and monthly risky level at 1.4225.’

 

 

 

 

 

Hold Off on the Dow - Consider Malaysia and Taiwan ETFs  Gordon ‘Turmoil in Egypt set the markets back for a single day on 1/28/11. In fact, since the Egypt crisis mummified equities, the Dow Jones Industrials Diamonds Trust (DIA) has embarked on a seven-day winning streak.So ... what’s the frequency of seven consecutive days of gains? It’s only happened eight other times in the past decade.In spite of the odds that something ... anything ... might shake the faith, the bearish voices have been utterly silenced. Heck, the only bearish discussion in the media has been Meredith Whitney’s claim that U.S. municipalities will default on billions of dollars in debt obligations. No discussion of stock calamity or black swans ... only muni bond woes.Where have all the perma-bears gone? Weiss, Roubini, Hussman ... if the bull has any chance of survival, we’re gonna need you to convince your followers to “go short” on this seemingly unstoppable uptrend. As of now, the short sellers haven’t completely thrown in the towel as evidenced by a put-call ratio that’s yet to fall below 0.35.Think about the headlines that could have caused a meaningful sell-off. Last week’s jobs report was utterly pathetic ... no matter how you define “unemployment.” The ongoing rise in bond yields is a legitimate threat to real estate. And the additional rate hike from China is, if nothing else, a constant reminder of inflationary pressures worldwide.Correction or no correction, however, the real story is the exodus from emerging markets. The largest outflow in three years occurred last week, and the money has been heading for the seemingly sunnier shores of the U.S. of A.In my estimation, that’s a mistake. It’s not necessarily a mistake to sell your emerger for a big gain when it has hit a stop-limit loss order off a November 2010 high. It’s a mistake to chase U.S. equities that, while not overvalued by fundamental Forward P/E standards, are overbought in ”standard-deviation-above-the-50-day-and-200-day” standards.Essentially, as difficult as it is to be patient with your cash, you may have to practice delayed gratification. If you have confidence in U.S. companies, wait for a meaningful dip in the Dow Jones Industrials Diamonds Trust (DIA). And if you don’t have confidence in the ability of emerging markets to bounce back ... you’re too fearful. So consider buying funds that fuel China’s middle class consumption.Two of my favorites? Malaysia has manageable inflation, solid GDP growth and a trade surplus with China. The iShares MSCI Malaysia Fund (EWM) avoids interest-rate sensitive sectors like energy and materials, while capitalizing on China’s needs for simpler things like vegetable oil and rubber.In addition, China is likely to see its own version of an Internet boom in 2011-2012. Where do they get the products, services and expertise from? Taiwan. iShares MSCI Taiwan (EWT) has a 60% weighting in Information Tech.’

 

 

 

QE2 Failure: Investors Flock to Overvalued Stocks  Suttmeier ‘The yield on the 30-Year bond rose to 4.74 on Friday increasing the drag on equity valuations. Both the 10-Year and 30-Year yields are above their December trading ranges, raising consumer interest rates such as mortgage rates. Because of this, I say QE2 is a failure. This is forcing investors to increase allocations to stocks just when they become less attractive, more overvalued fundamentally and move overbought technically. Last week, the Dow Industrial Average reached a new high for the move at 12,092.42. Dow Transports and the Russell 2000 remain below the highs of mid-January.

·         The Dow Industrial Average (12,092) begins the week between my monthly value level at 11,759 and this week’s risky level at 12,142. The weekly chart remains extremely overbought.

·         The S&P 500 (1310.9) begins the week my quarterly value level at 1262.5 with this week’s risky level at 1316.2. The weekly chart remains extremely overbought.

·         The NASDAQ (2769) begins the week between my monthly value level at 2611 with a weekly pivot at 2770 and quarterly risky level at 2853. The weekly chart remains extremely overbought.

·         Dow Transports (5056) begins the week between monthly and weekly pivots at 4962 and 5077 and below my annual pivot at 5179, and below the January 18th high at 5256.80. Dow Transports is below its 50-day simple moving average at 5086 and will fall out of overbought territory on its weekly chart this week.

·         The Russell 2000 (800.11) begins the week above my annual and quarterly value levels at 784.16 and 765.50 with a weekly pivot at 800.13 with the January 14th high at 807.89. The weekly chart remains extremely overbought.

·         I cannot be overly bullish or bearish in the current market environment.

We are trading under another ValuEngine Valuation Warning - 16 of 16 sectors overvalued and only 34.73% of all stocks undervalued, below the 35% threshold by this measure.

The US Treasury 10-Year Yield – (3.650) The trading range set in December has been broken to the upside with my annual value level at 3.791 and weekly risky level at 3.525.

Comex gold – ($1349.5) Tested my annual pivot at $1356.5 last week, but could not get a weekly close above that level. My semiannual value level is $1300.6 with quarterly, weekly and annual pivots at $1300.6, $1331.3, 1342.8 and monthly, quarterly and semiannual risky levels are $1412.4, $1441.7 and $1452.6.

Nymex crude oil – ($88.90) Has not been able to sustain gains above $92 per barrel. I show weekly and monthly pivots at $91.62 and $91.83 as barriers for this week with my semiannual pivot at $87.52.

The euro – (1.3578) Could not sustain gains above 1.38 last week. My quarterly value level is 1.3227 with a weekly pivot at 1.3511 and monthly risky level at 1.4225. The weak euro versus the dollar on Thursday was offset by perceived positive comments from Fed Chief Ben Bernanke.

Bernanke Blunders - Fed Chief Bernanke expects the economy to improve this year with low inflation, despite the jump in commodity prices. The rise in commodities prices has been a factor for ten years, and consumers are feeling it at the gas pump, grocery stores and utilities bills.

The Federal Reserve is more worried about unemployment, but monetary policy has not helped create jobs on Main Street USA. Main Street depends upon construction jobs and these jobs are declining month after month.

Another blunder is the $600 billion QE2, which is aimed at jump-starting lending and making stock ownership more attractive. You can not increase lending when consumer rates such as mortgages are rising, and making stocks a less attractive alternative to US Treasuries. The main purpose of QE2 is to lower long term US Treasury yields, but the 10-Year yield is now 133 basis points higher since in October. Sure, stocks are higher, but buying now puts consumer capital at risk as stocks are overvalued and overbought. Consumers are buying stocks just as they bought new homes in 2005 and 2006.

Bank Failure Friday – The FDIC closed thee more banks last Friday and none were publicly traded.

· 25 banks failed in 2008

· 140 banks failed in 2009 with a peak of 50 in the third quarter

· 157 banks failed in 2010

· 14 banks have failed year to date in 2011

· 336 banks have failed since the end of 2007

· I still predict 500 to 800 bank failures in total by the end of 2012 into 2013.’

 

 

 

Monthly Market Valuation: Investors Are Too Bullish, Valuations Are Too High  [ The conclusion of the following detailed, documented analysis: ‘Wolinsky :In conclusion, the market is over-valued based on the above data. Tobin's Q, Shiller P/E and AAII data are all indicating that investors are too bullish and valuations are too high.’  ]

 

 

Why Small Business Isn’t Hiring And Won’t Be Hiring Charles Hugh Smith | Small business can’t afford to believe in myths and fantasies. They are dealing with the harsh reality of adapt or die.


 

59.9%? Americans Are Racking Up Huge Credit Card Balances at Outrageous Interest Rates Economic Collapse | It appears that the American people have fallen off the wagon and have gotten a taste for credit card debt once again.

 

 

Obama Budget Proposes Broader Unemployment Taxes Wall Street Journal | Proposal would aim to restock state unemployment-insurance trust funds by raising the amount of wages on which companies must pay unemployment taxes.

 

 

ECONOMIC CRISIS ARCHIVE

 

 

 

Stocks Remain Poised for Steep Decline McCurdy ‘When the second round of quantitative easing was announced late last year, Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke indicated that one of the primary objectives of the program was to inflate risk assets such as stocks. In that respect, the program has been an unqualified success, as the S&P 500 index has now gained more than 26% during the course of 5 months.

However, as a result, the index P/E ratio has increased to more than 18, and the most reliable forecasting models based upon current earnings and dividends indicate that expected 10-year annual returns are now slightly more than 3%, regardless of whether or not the economy is in fact experiencing a sustained recovery.

Thus, from a purely investment perspective, stocks are priced to deliver very poor results during the coming decade. Additionally, the short-term outlook now favors the development of a potentially violent correction.

On Friday, the S&P 500 index moved up to another marginal new high for the rally from September, pushing an overextended advance to yet another extreme.

click to enlarge images

[chart]

The current short-term cycle from the end of November is now 46 trading days old, and it has yet to enter the final decline of the beta phase, suggesting that it will likely terminate in the 55 to 60 day range. The previous cycle had a duration of 63 trading days. These are moves of extremely long duration, well above their historical average of about 39 trading days.

[chart]

Of course, to truly put the overextended nature of the move in perspective, it must be viewed in the proper context afforded by the big picture. Below is a monthly chart of the S&P 500 since the current secular bear market began in 2000.

[chart]

Notice how the character of market behavior changed materially with the crash in late 2008. Since then, stocks have been moving effectively straight up or straight down. This type of volatile price action is typical for this stage of the bear market and indicates that we are still several years away from the terminal phase of the secular decline.

Returning to the short-term view, our Cyclical Trend Score (CTS) has been negatively diverging from price action since October, and the CTS is currently holding slightly above its December low.

[chart]

Although the CTS is not a near-term timing indicator, this negative divergence reflects a gradual deterioration in underlying strength. The developing weakness is also manifested by broad market internals such as breadth and volume, as both continue to negatively diverge from price behavior.

[chart]

[chart]

Finally, our Sentiment Score continues to hold near the lowest level since late 2007, reflecting irrationally excessive bullishness that leaves the market vulnerable to an abrupt decline.

[chart]

Of course, overextended rallies of this type have a tendency to continue making marginal new highs until, at some point, an unexpected catalyst sets in motion the inevitable correction, which will likely be fast and furious, wiping out several weeks of gains in a matter of sessions.

From a big picture perspective, the character of the next correction should provide a great deal of clarity with respect to long-term direction. A relatively weak retracement followed by a return to recent long-term highs would predict a subsequent breakout and continuation of the cyclical bull market, while a powerful, sustained downtrend would suggest the development of a long-term top.’

 

 

Rich Get Richer When Governments Tout Austerity Remember all that stuff about how the credit crunch was going to usher in a new age of austerity? The financial industry would shrink; the gulf between the haves and the have-nots would close; and taxes would rise for the top earners, forcing them to contribute more to society.

 

Ratigan And Fleckenstein Explain The Fed’s Role In Recent Food Price Ignited Revolutions For over a year now, Zero Hedge has been predicting that in its foolhardy attempt of “inflation or bust”, the Fed’s actions would sooner or later lead to mass rioting and possible revolutions.

 

The Golden Dragon Asian investors are demanding more and more precious metals, and fund managers are gladly obliging by providing them with new exchange-traded securities—like ETFs—in order to quench Asia’s thirst for precious metals.

 



 

 

Is the Market Headed for a Sell-Off? Zaky  [ Yes … I agree, except that fundamentally the longer term prospects are even worse than his bearish outlook suggests (don’t forget the debasement of the dollar, manipulation, and spending / printing money the nation doesn’t have in real terms behind this manipulated uptick) and summarized as follows: ‘I suspect that this rally is on its very last legs. We should see a very healthy 10% or so correction within the next 1-2 week period ... This market is headed for a sell-off. ]

 

 

 

 

2011 Update: Another Lost Decade for Stocks - Are You Prepared?   [ I agree that this is but a (manipulated) bull cycle in a secular bear market with substantially worse to come! ]Kopas ‘In February 2010, we published an article on Seeking Alpha entitled “Another Lost Decade for Stocks - Are You Prepared?,” wherein we argued that the year 2000 marked a secular (long-term) peak for U.S. stocks. A secular bear market is formed when a series of business cycles are linked together, establishing an extended period of stock market under-performance. Our objective here is to bring you up-to-date on the progress of this secular bear market and help you prepare for the next ten years.

The first benchmark we monitor is U.S. stock prices adjusted for inflation. In this chart below, we compare the U.S. stock market to the Shiller 10-year Price/Earnings ratio. This P/E ratio is an indication of investor confidence; a lack of that signals extreme valuation levels. Our conclusion is that investor psychology is still too optimistic and has a long way to go before reaching an undervalued stock market level.

[chart] click to enlarge

Updating our duration and valuation benchmarks, again we find progress, but not yet achieving the truly undervalued levels we expect to see toward the end of a secular bear market. Based upon previous cycles, it appears we are only slightly past the half way mark in terms of years, number of recessions, and valuations. A look at our chart and table comparing this to earlier secular bear markets illustrates our conclusion. We expect that a major bottom for inflation adjusted stock prices is still years away before stocks finally gravitate toward the target area outlined below.

[chart]

New Benchmark: Tobin Q Ratio

In this update we introduce another relative valuation benchmark created by Yale economics professor and Nobel laureate James Tobin, hence the name Tobin’s Q Ratio. The Q ratio is calculated as the total value of the stock market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies. Values greater than 1 indicate stock prices sell above their replacement cost and are therefore “expensive.” A reading below 1 indicates stocks can be bought below replacement cost and therefore indicates that it is cheaper to buy a company than to build one.

A long-term view of the Q ratio gives investors a good understanding of value, information about current risk levels and a method to assess probable returns for the long term. Secular bear markets historically bottom when the Q ratio declines to a bargain level less than .4, meaning stock prices sell for just 40% of replacement value. Today’s reading of 1.03 is above the average reading of .75 and considerably higher than the average secular low reading of .33. Investors beware; stocks have considerable more downside potential before the Q ratio truly reflects a great valuation. Buy and Hold tactics will continue to frustrate investors, just as they have in the past decade.

[chart]

In conclusion, none of the benchmarks we evaluate indicate we are anywhere close to a secular stock market bottom yet. In the meantime, a prudent and profitable investment strategy should be flexible enough to actively adjust portfolio asset allocation, depending on where we are in the business cycle and the direction of the secular trend.’

 

 

 

 

Shiller Ratio Points to U.S. Equities Being Significantly Overvalued   [ Yes they are indeed; so take this especially great opportunity to sell, take profits since there’s much, much worse to come! That computer-programmed spike into the close to keep suckers suckered does not change the aforesaid. This is particularly evident in their attempt to cash in on that superstitious scam known as the ‘January effect’ by way of these manipulated bubble-making buy programs; you know, loosen / soften the suckers up for the coming year’s new fraud / scam. ] The 'January Effect' Is More Market Myth Than Sound Analysis ...  Kumar ‘…January of 1929, for example, was off to a brisk start as the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed to 317 from 307. But investors would be slammed later in the year by a historic stock market crash that heralded the start of the Great Depression. January of 1987, too, began nicely. The Dow climbed to 2160 at the end of the month after starting out at 1927. But Black Monday would hit investors in October of that year, leading to the sharpest historical stock market decline in percentage terms. More recently, January 2001 had a strong showing when the Dow Jones finished the month at 10,887 after starting at 10,646. Those reading it as an auspicious beginning would be hit first by the further fallout from collapse of the dot-com bubble and then the massive decline following the September 11 terrorist attacks. See full article from DailyFinance: http://srph.it/cyaPDT ‘… Then, more recently there’s ‘The stock market scored a strong gain and locked in its first positive finish for January since 2007 (we all know what happened after that! Crash!) with help from the energy sector, which climbed sharply in response to a spike in oil prices.(Yahoo/Briefing.com) … Higher oil prices … riiiiight! … that sounds bull(s***)ish … on fraudulent wall street. ]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

Obama Launches Total Takeover of Media System Kurt Nimmo | The government has once again imposed an unreasonable and absurd mandate on business and the American people.

 

Poll: Ron Paul Has Greater Chance Of Beating Obama Than Palin Does In 2012 Steve Watson | Will the Libertarian Congressman take up the mantle?

 

Kleptocrats at Work Paul Craig Roberts | Kleptocracy is as old as government.

 

Evidence Shows Pole Shift Hysteria Hyped Test Pilot | There is good physical evidence that the magnetic poles of the Earth have inverted from time to time.

 

Confirmed: FBI Got Warning Day Before OKC Bombing Paul Joseph Watson | Documents released under Freedom of Information Act show feds tried to coerce Terry Nichols into accepting responsibility for phone call warning of imminent attack in return for protecting him from death penalty.

 

House Seen Blocking Obamacare Funds The U.S. House of Representatives is likely to vote to block funding for President Barack Obama’s signature healthcare overhaul when it takes up a budget plan next week, House Republican Leader Eric Cantor said on Tuesday.

 

Poll: Ron Paul Has Greater Chance Of Beating Obama Than Palin Does In 2012 A Rasmussen poll released Monday indicates that Congressman Ron Paul has a better shot of beating Obama in the 2012 presidential election than Sarah Palin would, should both decide to run on the GOP ticket.

 

Obama Launches Total Media Takeover System Even the Washington Post describes it like something out of Orwell’s 1984. The FCC has approved a presidential alert system. Obama may soon appear on your television or call your cell phone to warn you about the next specious al-Qaeda underwear bombing event.

 

Karzai in talks with US on permanent Afghan bases Afghan President Hamid Karzai said Tuesday that he was in talks with the United States about the possible establishment of permanent US military bases in his war-ravaged country.

 

Ron Paul On Verge Of Announcing 2012 Presidential Bid Political pundits are speculating that Ron Paul could be on the verge of announcing his much awaited 2012 presidential run, after the Texas Congressman agreed to give a speech in Iowa at an event entitled “presidential lecture series” that will feature other likely Oval Office candidates.

 

WORLD NEWS ARCHIVE

WORLD AT WAR ARCHIVE

 

 

 

Freed young leader energizes Egyptian protests (AP) In this still image taken from video, Google Inc executive Wael Ghonim cries during an interview in Cairo February 7, 2011. One man's tears provided a new impetus on Tuesday to protesters in Egypt seeking to keep up momentum in their campaign, now in its third week, to topple President Hosni Mubarak. Ghonim, who was detained and blindfolded by state security for 12 days, broke down in a television interview on Monday after his release saying a system that arrested people for speaking out must be torn down. Image taken from footage dated February 7, 2011. REUTERS/Dream TV via Reuters TV (EGYPT)

 

 

 

Egypt VP favored by Israel to succeed Mubarak, cables show [ Which of course is the best reason in the world, in addition to suleiman being both mubarak’s and the cia’s choice, to not allowing that succession to go forward being contrary to all notions of democracy (the dictator’s choice?).  ] Israel has long seen Omar Suleiman, Egypt’s recently appointed vice president, as the successor to Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, US State Department cables released by secrets outlet WikiLeaks show.

 

 

Drudgereport: UNDERDOG: CNN POLL: 51% SEE NO SECOND TERM FOR OBAMA...
71% OF ALL VEGAS HOMEOWNERS UNDER WATER...

'New normal' in housing bust...
STRESS...
Job openings fall for second straight month...
HOUSE VOTES NEXT WEEK TO BLOCK OBAMACARE FUNDS
WE'RE ON 'ROAD TO RUIN'

UPDATE: Egypt sees largest demos since start of revolt...
New video shows brutal mob justice...
Israel Army Chief: Prepare for all-out war...
Released GOOGLE exec reveals he was behind FACEBOOK page...
Freed young leader energizes protests...
Saboteurs attack gas pipeline; cuts off flow to Israel, Jordan...

CAIRO DAY 12: Locked in standoff...
Mubarak clings to power as son quits ruling party...
Gov't seeks to ease Mubarak out...
Hopes to ride out protest wave...
Anderson Cooper in 'Undisclosed Location' After Another Attack; Couric, Williams Flee Egypt...
GOOGLE Exec Who Went Missing In Egypt Now Spokesman For Opposition Group...
MOTOROLA AD MOCKS 'APPLE ZOMBIE SOCIETY'...
Mafia 'holds Silvio Berlusconi photos'...
SUPER BOWL MOST-VIEWED TV IN HISTORY...
THE PACK PULLS IT OUT [ Congratulations to the Green Bay Packers! ]

 

 

 

 

Governors plan painful cuts amid budget crises  (Washington Post) [ This truly is a disaster in the making, with consequences even more dire than the grim outlook set forth by Meridith Whitney, if that could even be fathomed. It’s really going to be all that bad…see infra, The Economic Collapse, ‘#10 The municipal bond crisis could go “supernova” at any time.  Already, investors are bailing out of bonds at a frightening pace.  State and local government debt is now sitting at an all-time high of 22 percent of U.S. GDP.  According to Meredith Whitney, the municipal bond crisis that we are facing is a gigantic threat to our financial system….

“It has tentacles as wide as anything I’ve seen. I think next to housing this is the single most important issue in the United States and certainly the largest threat to the U.S. economy.”

Former Los Angeles mayor Richard Riordan is convinced that things are so bad that literally 90% of our states and cities could go bankrupt over the next five years…. ‘  ] Governors across the ideological spectrum are embracing the politics of austerity in a desperate effort to balance the books.

 

 

Egypt protests continue as Mubarak's government offers concessions (Washington Post) [ Come on! Let not all of us join america’s / israel’s, et als, and  mubarak’s delusions. After all, here’s an 82 year old tyrant, in power for 30 years, yet in some parallel universe appears to think he’s calling the shots. Other than literal and quite foolish shots against protesters, even journalists, see infra, there are few indeed that would trust his mindset, such as it is, much less his judgment, so flawed as he has now shown it to be. What is obvious is that this long overdue ‘people’s election’ cannot be thwarted by platitudes and small talk, but resisting the inevitable will turn an american quasi-ally into an anti-american breeding ground because there’s just no reconciling a pro-mubarak, however slight, position with american / israeli, et als war crimes in the region.  Restless Cairo protesters hoping for U.S. support (Washington Post) [ The sad reality here is, much like wobama’s Afghanistan fiasco, that america has ‘bought it’. This is truly yet another ‘loss, loss’ scenario as is true of america’s mideast policy generally. Defacto bankrupt america’s initiatives in the region particularly, though generally true of all american policy, is the ‘square pegs in round holes’ approach to almost everything they do, which certainly is not lost on the rest of the world. Coddling and caving in to israeli / neocon / zionist paranoia despite the war mongering intransigence of the former is devastating to a nation as pervasively corrupt america which is facing insurmountable domestic problems of its own, economically, financially, politically, and geo-politically. This should bring to mind the missteps of a former fading empire in this same region desperately trying to remain relevant. Indeed, from Balfour’s Despoliation to arbitrary boundaries, etc., Orwellian britain’s demise (decline) as a real player globally was, as america’s currently, significantly and irrevocably hastened. Quite simply, pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america will increasingly be viewed as a bunch of  ‘muck-ups’ who can’t handle their own substantial problems much less those of other nations; and in fact, invariably exacerbate existing conditions / problems, particularly when pandering to israel’s self-interested concerns. ] While the ouster of President Hosni Mubarak remains the most pressing concern for protesters, the role of U.S. is far from absent in the dialogue. { Previous:  Amid Arab protests, U.S. influence has waned (Washington Post) [ And that’s just the way israel likes it … and to america’s detriment, of course … which is not lost on even George Soros … Drudgereport: Soros: 'The main stumbling block is Israel'...

Egyptian protesters plan new push     Government detains foreigners, says it's willing to open talks  (Washington Post) [ Open talks? ‘bout what? Building a pyramid in mubarak’s honor before stepping down? He’s done … finito … burnt as an over-micro-waved burrito! The following from the Post is indeed the straw that broke the riders with whips he sent on camels’ and horses’ backs!  ‘Wants to die in Egypt? How touching, or the reality, he’s just plain touched as in totally ‘out of it’.   ‘…In what the U.S. State Department called a "concerted campaign to intimidate," several dozen journalists were rounded up by security forces and detained for hours, along with foreigners working as teachers, engineers and human rights researchers. Across the city, angry bands of supporters of President Hosni Mubarak also beat journalists; several reporters said that they were threatened with death…’   ]  Cairo seeks to shift blame for clashes by rounding up journalists; U.S. worries renewed protests could spark more violence from Mubarak supporters. Demonstrations in Egypt take bloody turn    In Cairo square, Mubarak backers confront anti-government crowds  (Washington Post) [  Not too difficult for desperate and done mubarak to contrive:   Mubarak Says Egyptians Have to Choose Between “Chaos” and Him … Then Sends In His Thugs to Stir Up Chaos  (Infowars.com) In order to justify staying in power until elections are held in September, President Mubarak said on tv that the people had to choose between him and “chaos”.    ]  The coordinated nature of day's events suggested that Mubarak's supporters were determined to show, as he had warned, that the country faced a "choice between chaos and stability."   [  Previous:    Mubarak's pledge seen as not enough   Egyptian president plans to stay in office to transfer power  (Washington Post) [ Let me put it another way: Mubarak is as done as an over-cooked tamale … He seems to be stalling for time and even in his age impaired mind certainly knows his position is untenable, unsustainable, and even more irrational as each second passes. There is a possibility that he’s using same to move money / treasure for himself and others, literally as well, buying time. See infra …  Previous:  Mubarak seeks dialogue, shows no sign of relenting   Demonstrators call for massive protest but lack leadership  (Washington Post) [ He relented when he resorted to media / internet blackout. Indeed, this lack of sign thing is a testament to how far from reality 30 years has taken him, not to mention the other 52 years that have taken their toll on his cognitive processes. Whether it is plaques ‘on the brain’ or outright senility, that he is so disengaged from the events unfolding around him, one may only wonder how he lasted this long. Nor did his choice of cia standin / shill, new VP Suleiman enhance his now untenable position which leaves him as ‘done as a burnt enchilada’.  Kissinger on Egypt unrest – “This is only the first scene of the first act of a drama that is to be played out”   [ The import of this so-called interview, and it is here that I part company with alex jones, et als (who by the way, censored me for this very thesis, which puts him and his at the top of my hypocrite list), is that the so-called elite have orchestrated these events and ‘are in control’. First, there are no elites in this world; you can’t derive elites from apes, notochordates, and initially single celled organisms. Second, almost by definition and certainly by history, there are no elites in america even if you were to accept the first proposition (though true) as untrue. What you do have, in this world and america particularly (with few exceptions as I’ve discussed elsewhere / comments / my website), are inherent criminals and mentally ill people of varying degrees of unscrupulousness and insanity who do commit crimes, both small and large, to further their interests or fortunes (sociopaths / psychopaths). The ’so-called alpha-dogs’ of the human species at most, but still incompetent vegetables who, if you look at anything they touch (to use a term term of such incompetent vegetables as historically pertains to their role in the mideast – and generally the state of the world) it invariably goes ‘pear shaped’ (english term). What hasn’t zionist kissinger not messed up as appointee or ‘consultant’ – what does he get paid for? No! The fact is, they have absolutely no idea how this unfolds and as with most of their lives, they will predictably choose the most sordid, despicable, and diabolical course at every turn because … that is their inherently criminal, mentally ill / unstable nature to do so. ]

]  Fragile steps to end crisis seen as plans take shape for a transition process that would allow Mubarak to remain as a figure head until new elections.

    }  ]

 

Obama prods U.S. firms to help economy (Washington Post) [ Sounds like a plan! Riiiiight! Unfortunately wobama, unlike capital hill, and with bean-counters / number-crunchers / financial analysts paid to look beyond your next election cycle, there are few if any rational investment projects that comport with your politicking goals, particularly in light of your perpetual wars and the defacto bankruptcy of the nation … The Gipper's true heirs (Washington Post) [ ‘Wobama the b’ (for b*** s***), quite remarkably, seems to imply he is one. Yet, his ‘ask what you can do for your country’ entreaty to the ‘corporate execs’ (wake up wobama, they’ve already done it, shifting production / jobs irrevocably overseas, etc., while engaging in the largest fraud by way of wall street in the history of the world, with apparent impunity I might add as per professional criminal courtesy via you and your department of injustice) sounds awfully John F. Kennedyish; yet never the twain should meet (in fact, Reagan and his friend, William Holden reportedly lifted a glass and cheered Kennedy’s assassination – not totally ill-intended since they bought into that ‘Kennedy treason’ propaganda being pushed by the cia et als. Actually, Reagan’s greatest (and most unlikely going in) achievement was the peaceful transition from communism he helped initiate and facilitate with Russia’s rational and astute Mikhail Gorbachev which made way for substantial peace dividend for both nations.) Yes, wobama seems to be suffering from a form of multiple personality disorder which has invariably been interposed in defense of missteps and ‘bad behavior’, but as is true now, without success.  ]  Robinson: Republicans claim the Reagan mantle, but Democrats act almost like Reaganites.

 




Stocks Remain Poised for Steep Decline McCurdy ‘When the second round of quantitative easing was announced late last year, Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke indicated that one of the primary objectives of the program was to inflate risk assets such as stocks. In that respect, the program has been an unqualified success, as the S&P 500 index has now gained more than 26% during the course of 5 months.

However, as a result, the index P/E ratio has increased to more than 18, and the most reliable forecasting models based upon current earnings and dividends indicate that expected 10-year annual returns are now slightly more than 3%, regardless of whether or not the economy is in fact experiencing a sustained recovery.

Thus, from a purely investment perspective, stocks are priced to deliver very poor results during the coming decade. Additionally, the short-term outlook now favors the development of a potentially violent correction.

On Friday, the S&P 500 index moved up to another marginal new high for the rally from September, pushing an overextended advance to yet another extreme.

click to enlarge images

[chart]

The current short-term cycle from the end of November is now 46 trading days old, and it has yet to enter the final decline of the beta phase, suggesting that it will likely terminate in the 55 to 60 day range. The previous cycle had a duration of 63 trading days. These are moves of extremely long duration, well above their historical average of about 39 trading days.

[chart]

Of course, to truly put the overextended nature of the move in perspective, it must be viewed in the proper context afforded by the big picture. Below is a monthly chart of the S&P 500 since the current secular bear market began in 2000.

[chart]

Notice how the character of market behavior changed materially with the crash in late 2008. Since then, stocks have been moving effectively straight up or straight down. This type of volatile price action is typical for this stage of the bear market and indicates that we are still several years away from the terminal phase of the secular decline.

Returning to the short-term view, our Cyclical Trend Score (CTS) has been negatively diverging from price action since October, and the CTS is currently holding slightly above its December low.

[chart]

Although the CTS is not a near-term timing indicator, this negative divergence reflects a gradual deterioration in underlying strength. The developing weakness is also manifested by broad market internals such as breadth and volume, as both continue to negatively diverge from price behavior.

[chart]

[chart]

Finally, our Sentiment Score continues to hold near the lowest level since late 2007, reflecting irrationally excessive bullishness that leaves the market vulnerable to an abrupt decline.

[chart]

Of course, overextended rallies of this type have a tendency to continue making marginal new highs until, at some point, an unexpected catalyst sets in motion the inevitable correction, which will likely be fast and furious, wiping out several weeks of gains in a matter of sessions.

From a big picture perspective, the character of the next correction should provide a great deal of clarity with respect to long-term direction. A relatively weak retracement followed by a return to recent long-term highs would predict a subsequent breakout and continuation of the cyclical bull market, while a powerful, sustained downtrend would suggest the development of a long-term top.’

 

 

 

 

Valuation Warning Continues for Stocks Minyanville ‘Editor's Note: This article was written by Richard Suttmeier, chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com, which is a fundamentally based quant research firm.

The yield on the 30-year bond rose to 4.74 on Friday, increasing the drag on equity valuations. Both the 10-year and 30-year yields are above their December trading ranges, raising consumer interest rates such as mortgage rates. Because of this I say QE2 is a failure. This is forcing investors to increase allocations to stocks just when they become less attractive, more overvalued fundamentally and more overbought technically. Last week the Dow Industrial Average reached a new high for the move at 12,092.42. Dow Transports and the Russell 2000 remain below the highs of mid-January.
 

  • The Dow Industrial Average (12,092) begins the week between my monthly value level at 11,759 and this week’s risky level at 12,142. The weekly chart remains extremely overbought.
  • The S&P 500 (1310.9) begins the week near my quarterly value level at 1262.5 with this week’s risky level at 1316.2. The weekly chart remains extremely overbought.
  • The Nasdaq (2769) begins the week between my monthly value level at 2611 with a weekly pivot at 2770 and quarterly risky level at 2853. The weekly chart remains extremely overbought.
  • Dow Transports (5056) begins the week between monthly and weekly pivots at 4962 and 5077 and below my annual pivot at 5179, and below the January 18 high at 5256.80. Dow Transports is below its 50-day simple moving average at 5086 and will fall out of overbought territory on its weekly chart this week.
  • The Russell 2000 (800.11) begins the week above my annual and quarterly value levels at 784.16 and 765.50 with a weekly pivot at 800.13 with the January 14 high at 807.89. The weekly chart remains extremely overbought.
  • I cannot be overly bullish or bearish in the current market environment.


We're trading under another ValuEngine Valuation Warning -- 16 of 16 sectors are overvalued and only 34.73% of all stocks are undervalued, below the 35% threshold by this measure.

The US Treasury 10-Year Yield -- (3.650) The trading range set in December has been broken to the upside with my annual value level at 3.791 and weekly risky level at 3.525.

Comex gold -- ($1349.5) Tested my annual pivot at $1356.5 last week, but could not get a weekly close above that level. My semiannual value level is $1300.6 with quarterly, weekly and annual pivots at $1300.6, $1331.3, 1342.8 and monthly, quarterly and semiannual risky levels are $1412.4, $1441.7 and $1452.6.

Nymex crude oil --
($88.90) Has not been able to sustain gains above $92 per barrel. I show weekly and monthly pivots at $91.62 and $91.83 as barriers for this week with my semiannual pivot at $87.52.

The euro --
(1.3578) Could not sustain gains above 1.38 last week. My quarterly value level is 1.3227 with a weekly pivot at 1.3511 and monthly risky level at 1.4225. The weak euro versus the dollar on Thursday was offset by perceived positive comments from Fed Chief Ben Bernanke.

Bernanke Blunders -- Fed Chief Bernanke expects the economy to improve this year with low inflation, despite the jump in commodity prices. The rise in commodities prices has been a factor for 10 years, and consumers are feeling it at the gas pump, grocery stores and utilities bills.

The Federal Reserve is more worried about unemployment, but monetary policy has not helped create jobs on Main Street USA. Main Street depends upon construction jobs and these jobs are declining month after month.

Another blunder is the $600 billion QE2, which is aimed at jump-starting lending and making stock ownership more attractive. You can not increase lending when consumer rates such as mortgages are rising, and making stocks a less attractive alternative to US Treasuries. The main purpose of QE2 is to lower long-term US Treasury yields, but the 10-Year yield is now 133 basis points higher since October. Sure stocks are higher, but buying now puts consumer capital at risk as stocks are overvalued and overbought. Consumers are buying stocks just as they bought new homes in 2005 and 2006!

Bank Failure Friday -- The FDIC closed three more banks last Friday and none were publicly traded.
 

  • 25 banks failed in 2008
  • 140 banks failed in 2009 with a peak of 50 in the third quarter
  • 157 banks failed in 2010
  • 14 banks have failed year to date in 2011
  • 336 banks have failed since the end of 2007
  • I still predict 500 to 800 bank failures in total by the end of 2012 into 2013.

 

 

 

 

Beware: True Unemployment Is Closer to 10%

 

 

The Burden of Lower Growth and More Frequent Recessions  Mauldin ‘The following is a preview of my new book, Endgame, out and in the bookstores next month. This is the beginning of chapter four, and it stands alone quite nicely. It will print out a little longer than normal, as there are a lot of graphs. My co-author Jonathan Tepper and I deal with why there will be slower growth, more volatility, and more frequent recessions in our future.

We’re optimists by nature. The natural order of the world is growth. Trees tend to grow, and economies do, too. Real economic growth solves most problems and is the best antidote to high deficits, but the problems that we have now won’t be solved by growth. They’re simply too big. Unless we have another Industrial Revolution or another profound technological revolution like electrification in the 1920s or the IT revolution in the 1990s, we will not be able to grow enough to pull ourselves out of the debt hole we’re in.

After the dot-com bust in 2000, the phrase “the muddle through economy” (a term coined by John) best described the U.S. economic situation. The economy would indeed be growing, but the growth would be below the long-term trend (which in the United States is about 3.3 percent) for the rest of the decade. (Indeed, growth for the decade was an anemic 1.9 percent annualized, the weakest decade since the Great Depression. Muddle through, indeed.)

The muddle through economy would be more susceptible to recession. It would be an economy that would move forward burdened with the heavy baggage of old problems while facing the strong headwinds of new challenges. The description of the world was accurate then, and it is even more accurate now. In March 2009, when almost everyone was predicting the apocalypse, it was hard to see how things could improve. The GDP turned around, industrial production has shot up, retail sales have bounced back, and the stock market rebounded strongly. Everything has turned up. However, GDP growth is slowing in the United States as we write in November 2010. Compared with previous recoveries, growth does not look that great, and people don’t feel the recovery. This is unlikely to change.

The muddle through economy is the product of a few major structural breaks in the world’s economies that have important implications for growth, jobs, and when we might see a recession again. The U.S. and most developed economies are currently facing many major headwinds that will mean that going forward, we’ll have slower economic growth, more recessions, and higher unemployment. All of these are hugely important for endgame since they vastly complicate policy making.

Lower growth will make our fiscal choices that much scarier. Importantly, these big changes also mean that governments, pension funds, and even private savers are probably making unreasonably rosy assumptions about how quickly the economy and asset prices will be able to increase in the future. As endgame unfolds, the reality of these big changes will set in.

Three Structural Changes

Investors are good at absorbing short-term information, but they are much less successful at absorbing bigger structural trends and understanding when secular breaks have occurred. Perhaps investors are like the proverbial frogs in the frying pan and do not notice long, slow changes around them. There are three large structural changes that have happened slowly over time that we expect to continue going forward. The U.S. economy will have:

1. Higher volatility

2. Lower trend growth

3. Higher structural levels of unemployment (The United States here is a proxy for many developed countries with similar problems, so much of this chapter applies elsewhere.)

1. Higher Volatility

Before the crash of October 2008, the world was living in “the great moderation,” a phrase coined by Harvard economist James Stock to describe the change in economic variables in the mid-1980s, such as GDP, industrial production, monthly payroll employment, and the unemployment rate, which all began to show a decline in volatility. As Figures 4.1 and 4.2 from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas show, the early 1980s in fact constituted a structural break in macroeconomic volatility. The GDP became a lot less volatile. As did employment.

The great moderation was seductive, and government officials, hedge fund managers, bankers, and even journalists believed “this time is different.” Journalists like Gerard Baker of the Times of London wrote in January 2007: Welcome to “the Great Moderation”: Historians will marvel at the stability of our era. Economists are debating the causes of the Great Moderation enthusiastically and, unusually, they are in broad agreement.

[chart]

[chart]

Good policy has played a part: central banks have got much better at timing interest rate moves to smooth out the curves of economic progress. But the really important reason tells us much more about the best way to manage economies. It is the liberation of markets and the opening-up of choice that lie at the root of the transformation. The deregulation of financial markets over the Anglo-Saxon world in the 1980s had a damping effect on the fluctuations of the business cycle ... The economies that took the most aggressive measures to free their markets reaped the biggest rewards.

In retrospect, this line of thinking looks hopelessly optimistic, even deluded. We do not write this to pick on Gerard Baker, but rather to point out that low volatility breeds complacency and increased risk taking. The greater predictability in economic and financial performance led hedge funds to hold less capital and to be less concerned with the liquidity of their positions.

Those heady days are now over, and we have now entered “the great immoderation.” One can confidently say that 2008 represents a structural break, moving back toward a period of greater volatility. Robert F. Engle, a finance professor at New York University who was the Nobel laureate in economics in 2003, has shown that periods of greatest volatility are predictable. Market sessions with particularly good or bad returns don’t occur randomly but tend to be clustered together. The market’s behavior illustrates this clustering. Volatility follows the credit cycle like night follows day, and periods following credit booms are marked by high volatility, for example, 2000–2003 and 2007–2008.

The period of low volatility of GDP, industrial production, and initial unemployment claims is now over. For a period of more than 20 years, excluding the brief 2001–2002 recession, volatility of real economic data was extremely low, as Figure 4.3 shows. Going forward, higher economic volatility, combined with a secular downtrend in economic growth, will create more frequent recessions. This is likely to lead to more market volatility as well.

[chart]

You can measure economic volatility in a variety of ways. Our preferred way is on a forward-looking basis. We have seen the highest volatility in the last 40 years across leading indicators, as Figure 4.4 shows. These typically lead the economic cycle. This only means one thing, higher volatility going forward.

For far too long, volatility was low and bred investor complacency. Going forward, we can expect a lot more economic and market volatility. We have had a strong cyclical upturn, but we will continue to face major structural headwinds. This means more frequent recessions and resultant higher volatility.

If we look at Japan following the Nikkei bust in 1989, we can see that volatility increased. Note that before the peak in the Nikkei, volatility had been largely subdued, with periodic movements corresponding to increases in the level of the market. As Figure 4.5 shows, following the crash, stock market volatility increased markedly, and volatility to the downside became far more prevalent.

[chart]

Equity volatility follows the credit cycle. If you push commercial and industrial (C&I) loans forward two years, it predicts increases in the Market Volatility Index (VIX) almost down to the month. We should expect heightened episodes of volatility for the next two years at a minimum. (See Figure 4.6.)

Fixed-income volatility also follows the credit cycle with a two-year lag. Figure 4.7 shows how the Fed Funds rate lags Merrill Lynch’s MOVE Index, which is a measure of fixed-income volatility, by three years.

[chart]

Another very good reason to believe we’ll continue to have high volatility even after we recover from the hangover of the credit binge is that the world is now much more integrated. This is a paradox and may seem hard to believe, but increased globalization actually makes the world more volatile through extended supply chains! (See Figure 4.8.)

Production in Japan, Germany, Korea, and Taiwan fell far more during the 2007–2009 recession than U.S. production fell even during the Great Depression. Not only was the downturn steeper than during the Great Depression but also the bounce back was even bigger.

This is truly staggering. If you believed in globalization, supply chain management, and deregulation, you would have thought they would lead to greater moderation, but the opposite happened. This was due to the credit freeze that particularly hit export-oriented economies because trade credit temporarily dried up. It was not about globalization per se.

Why has the world economy been so volatile? One of the main reasons is exports. If you look at exports as a percentage of GDP since the end of the Cold War, you’ll see that in almost all countries around the world, exports have rapidly risen in the last 20 years. In Asia, they have doubled, in India they have tripled, and in the United States they have increased by 50 percent. This makes us all more interconnected, and it means that supply chains become longer and longer.

Longer supply chains have enormous macroeconomic implications. As the Economic Cycle Research Institute points out, we’re now experiencing the bullwhip effect, “where relatively mild fluctuations in end demand are dramatically amplified up the supply chain, just as a flick of the wrist sends the tip of a bullwhip flying in a great arc.” The bullwhip effect makes greater export dependence very dangerous to supplier countries, which only contributes to cyclical volatility. This is easily seen in Figure 4.9. That is why Asian countries had some of the largest downturns and steepest upturns in the Great Recession and the following recovery.

[chart]

2. Lower Trend Growth

We are also seeing a secular decline over the last four cycles in trend growth across GDP, personal income, industrial production, and employment. You can see that in Figure 4.10.

Another view of declining trend growth is the decline in nominal GDP. Figure 4.11 shows that the 12-quarter rolling average has been on a steady decline for the last two decades.

[chart]

A combination of lower trend growth and higher volatility means more frequent recessions. Put another way, the closer trend growth is to zero and the higher volatility is, the more likely U.S. growth is to frequently dip below zero. Figure 4.12 shows a stylized view of recessions, but as trend growth dips, the economy will fall below zero percent growth more often.

Higher volatility has very important implications for equity and bond investors across asset classes. Indeed, the last three economic expansions were almost 10 years, but in previous decades, they averaged four or five years. From now on, we are apt to see recessions every three to five years.’

 

 

 

 

 

 

Find A Job? Good Luck In This Economy – 10 Reasons Why The Latest Unemployment Numbers Are No Reason To Cheer ‘The U.S. government is telling us that the unemployment rate fell all the way down to 9.0% in January. Should we all cheer? The Economic Collapse Feb 6, 2011 The U.S. government is telling us that the unemployment rate fell all the way down to 9.0% in January.  Should we all cheer?  Is it now going to be a lot easier to find a job?  Has the economy finally turned around?  Are happy days here again?  Well, it is a good thing to have a positive attitude, but the truth is that there is just not much to cheer about when you take a closer look at the recent unemployment numbers.  First of all, the U.S. economy only added 36,000 jobs in January.  Economists had been expecting an increase of about 145,000 jobs, and an increase of 150,000 jobs per month is necessary just to keep up with population growth.  So why did the unemployment rate go down?  Well, the government says that over half a million Americans suddenly dropped out of the labor force in January.  That doesn’t make a lot of sense, but this is how the government calculates their numbers.  So what happened to those 500,000 Americans?  Did they all win the lottery?  Have they all become independently wealthy?  Did they all die?  No, the vast majority of them are still around and the vast majority of them still desperately need jobs.  It is just that the government does not count them as “looking for work” anymore.It would be great if the employment situation in America actually was getting better.  All the time people send me absolutely heartbreaking stories about what they have had to endure in this economy.  Soon I hope to share some of those stories with you all.  It is hard to try to describe the absolute horror that many Americans are going through right now.People would like to believe that things are going to get better, but unfortunately that is just not going to be the case.  The government can try to massage the numbers to make them look better, but the truth is that the tens of millions of American families that are deeply suffering right now are not fooled.

The following are 10 statistics that reveal that the latest unemployment numbers from the government are no reason to cheer….

#1 According to CNBC, economists were expecting the U.S. economy to add 145,000 jobs during January. Obviously the 36,000 figure was a huge disappointment.

#2 Approximately 150,000 jobs need to be added to the economy each month just to keep up with population growth.

#3 The government jobs report also indicated that 504,000 Americans “dropped out of the labor force” in January.  That may make the unemployment numbers look better, but the truth is that the vast majority of those 500,000 Americans still need incomes and still need jobs.

#4 According to the latest numbers from Gallup, the unemployment rate actually increased to 9.8% at the end of January.

#5 Gallup’s measure of “underemployment” (those that are unemployed plus those that are working part-time but want full-time employment) was sittingat 18.9% at the end of January.

#6 As I reported yesterday, there are approximately 28 million Americansthat would like full-time jobs but that don’t have full-time jobs.

#7 According to Zero Hedge, the number of Americans that are “not in the labor force” but that would like a job right now has hit an all-time record high.  If you add all of those people into the official unemployment figure it would jump to 12.8%.

#8 According to Calculated Risk, this is the deepest and most brutal employment downturn that the United States has experienced since World War II.  The current employment downturn started 37 months ago and there doesn’t seem to be any indication that we will return to pre-recession levels any time soon.

#9 The U.S. Labor Department has also announced that job growth during 2010 was much weaker than they had previously reported. The numbers for 8 months were revised down, and the numbers for 4 months were revised up. After all of the revisions are accounted for, it turns out that a total of 215,000 fewer jobs were created during 2010 than originally calculated.

#10 According to one brand new survey, 4 out of every 10 Americans are struggling “a lot” to pay the bills right now.

The situation is not pretty out there.  The U.S. needs tens of millions more jobs than we have right now.

So where are all of our jobs going?  The video posted below contains some very strong hints.  The truth is that globalism is ripping our economic infrastructure apart, and all of the crazy rules and regulations we keep heaping on business are not helping either….U.S. workers have been merged into a “global labor pool” where we are expected to directly compete for jobs with people making slave labor wages on the other side of the globe.The more time you spend thinking about that, the more you start realizing that the standard of living of average American families is going to continue to decline.Unfortunately, as I wrote about in a recent article entitled “Nothing Is Stable Anymore“, the world is changing faster today than at any other time during our lifetimes.  Everything that we used to assume about employment, money, our economy and our finances is being turned upside down.  We now live in a world where very little can be taken for granted.2011 has already been a very tumultuous year.  The world is being transformed.  Nobody knows for sure what is going to happen next.One thing to really keep an eye on is the price of oil.  Right now, large numbers of investors are betting that the price of oil will rise to $125 a barrel by May.  Shockingly, some investors are even betting that the price of oil will rise to $250 a barrel by next December.If oil starts to spike dramatically, it will have tremendous implications for the U.S. economy.  Our entire economic system runs on oil.  The price of oil affects the price of everything else.If the price of oil keeps going up it is inevitably going to cause a slowdown in the U.S. economy and it will cause the unemployment situation to get even worse.So be glad that the employment situation is at least somewhat stable for now, because if things take a bad turn for the worse in 2011 who knows what kind of unemployment numbers we’ll be talking about a year from now.’

 

 

 

 

 

Hedge Fund Manager Bill Fleckenstein: Fed Money Printing to Cover Bank Theft Is Leading to Food Inflation Worldwide [ People really don’t comprehend the enormity of this reality / fraud /theft which is far more injurious than even set forth here with dire consequences to come. ] Dylan Ratigan says that the Fed is printing money to cover enormous theft by the big banks, and that money printing is leading to food inflation worldwide. (Bad weather and speculation on commodities are obviously also contributing to rising food prices).

 

 

 

Another Economic ‘Martial Law in the Streets’ Moment Approaches In the fall of 2008, during the lead up to the TARP bailout of the financial industry, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson warned members of Congress that there will be Martial Law in America should they fail to pass the multi-trillion dollar looting of the taxpayer.

 

 

 

 

Jim Rogers: “I Expect More Currency Turmoil, More Social Unrest, More Governments Collapsing” More social and political turmoil is likely in the future so commodities prices will continue rising, renowned investor Jim Rogers, CEO of Rogers Holdings, told CNBC.

 

US cities face financial collapse Overdrawn American cities could face financial collapse in 2011, defaulting on billions of dollars borrowed and derailing the US economic recovery. Municipal bonds were once a very secure form of investment and are now defaulting, a trend that is on the rise. UMass economics professor Richard Wolff says this is going to translate into a diminished quality of life, we need more governmental services not fewer and it is going to affect everyone.

 

The Scariest Jobs Chart Ever Looks Totally Awful There are some weird things going on in this morning’s jobs report, but the headline number was a joke, and as such, the scariest jobs chart ever looks horrid.

 

Persons Not In Labor Force Who Want Job Now Jumps To All Time Record; Real Unemployment Rate At 12.8% Probably the last chart to bury any doubt about just how truly horrible today’s employment data was, comes from a little observed data metric: that showing the number of people who are not in the labor force, but who want a job now.

 

 

Underground world hints at China’s coming crisis Telegraph | windowless rooms that rent for Ł30 to Ł50 a month, which is as much as many of the city’s army of migrant labourers can afford.

 

 

World food prices hit record high AFP | World food prices reached their highest level ever recorded in January and are set to keep rising for months.

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

 

Al Jazeera’s Cairo office burned down by pro-Mubarak ‘thugs’ Raw Story | Al Jazeera’s office in Cairo was stormed by a “gang of thugs” and set on fire along with all the equipment inside it, the Arab news network said Friday.

 

 

 

Renewed pressure on Mubarak to quit as talks fail Alarab Online | Mubarak came under fresh pressure on Monday to step down as opponents said concessions made in landmark talks were not enough to halt a revolt against his 30-year rule.

 

 

 

White House Attacks Prison Planet.com Report On Blackouts Alex Jones & Paul Joseph Watson | White House Communications Director rebuttal a tissue of lies, deception, and spin.

 

Potemkin America Paul Craig Roberts | As wages stagnate and unemployment booms, U.S. prosperity appears as illusory as that of the old Soviet Union.

 

Obama Is Treating the Dictator in Egypt Exactly Like He’s Treating the Tyrants on Wall Street By failing to demand the tyrant that the U.S. has propped up for decades resigns, the U.S. is ensuring continued violence.

 

It Ain’t Just Mubarak — 7 of the Worst Dictators the U.S. Is Backing to the Hilt From Saudi Arabia to Uzbekistan to Chad, the U.S. keeps some very bad autocrats in power.

 

Activists and Local Communities Gaining Ground on Exposing Wal-Mart For Deceptive Practices John Galt | The myth of Wal-Mart as an indispensable part of Americana that presents the poor with a wide selection of affordable products is coming unraveled.

 

Anti-Energy Agenda Could Cause More Rolling Blackouts While the recent energy turmoil is a result of extreme weather conditions, it is symbolic and a grim foreshadowing of what our energy policy in the United States has become: an anti-energy agenda.

 

American Warships Heading to Egypt There is no clear indication that the U.S. government has affirmatively decided to directly involve our military in Egypt. However, it is obvious that the government is at least planning for the possibility.

 

Senior US Marine Says “Multiple Platoons” Are Headed To Egypt A senior member of the US Marine corps is telling people “multiple platoons” are deploying to Egypt, a source tells us.

 

Cheney calls Mubarak a good friend, U.S. ally Former Vice President Dick Cheney said Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak is a good friend and U.S. ally, but declined to predict whether the embattled leader would heed protesters’ calls to step down.

 

Egypt protesters call for final countdown Egyptian protesters call for fresh multi-million-strong rallies against out-of-favor President Hosni Mubarak and his government in the coming days.

 

Protester Shot And Killed In Alexandria, Egypt (GRAPHIC VIDEO) Graphic footage has surfaced of what appears to be a protester shot in the streets of Alexandria, Egypt by secret police.

 

Video of anti-Mubarak crowds venting anger in Iran, Turkey, West Bank As protesters demanding Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak’s ouster packed Cairo’s central square by the tens of thousands on Friday, similar demonstrations took place across the world, including Iran, Turkey and the West Bank.

 

Mass Anti-Government Protests In Serbia The Serbian capital Belgrade has seen its biggest anti-government protest in years as thousands of disenchanted Serbs demanded early elections.

 

Al Jazeera’s Cairo office burned down by pro-Mubarak ‘thugs’ Al Jazeera’s office in Cairo was stormed by a “gang of thugs” and set on fire along with all the equipment inside it, the Arab news network said Friday.

 

Alex Jones Calls Out Obama for Treason Infowars.com | Fury is building over rolling nationwide blackouts triggered by Obama’s deliberate agenda to block the construction of new coal-fired plants.

 

Big Sis and NFL Turn Super Bowl Into Police State Kurt Nimmo | High profile event exploited to acclimate Americans to Big Brother high-tech panopticon state.

 

Pole Shift Threatens To Cause Weather Chaos Paul Joseph Watson | According to some experts, the world’s weather is about to get even more chaotic as a result of natural climate change that we can do absolutely nothing to prevent.

 

DHS Seizes Websites for Merely LINKING to Copyrighted Material Eric Blair | We better wake up and share these stories with everyone we know, because tyranny is fast approaching.

 

Forget Super Bowl Pat Downs, Big Sis Wants Interrogations And Behavioral Tests Paul Joseph Watson | Anyone attending a public event will be forced to prove to Homeland Security that they are well-behaved slaves

 

Alex Jones Calls DHS to Report Real Terrorists LIVE on Air Infowars.com | The White House has publicly responded to the controversy surrounding the Obama administration’s agenda to bankrupt the coal industry.

 

 

Hypnosis by LCD Becoming Increasingly Rampant Matt Ryan | Many people have become so infatuated with the content displayed on tiny LCD screens that they unconsciously throw their sense of well-being out the window.

 

 

 

 

Drudgereport: WE'RE ON 'ROAD TO RUIN'

BIG SIS TELLS SUPER BOWL ATTENDEES: 'SEE SOMETHING, SAY SOMETHING'...
Everyone entering stadium to get a patdown...
Saboteurs attack gas pipeline; cuts off flow to Israel, Jordan...

CAIRO DAY 12: Locked in standoff...
Mubarak clings to power as son quits ruling party...
Gov't seeks to ease Mubarak out...
Hopes to ride out protest wave...
Anderson Cooper in 'Undisclosed Location' After Another Attack; Couric, Williams Flee Egypt...
GOOGLE Exec Who Went Missing In Egypt Now Spokesman For Opposition Group...
MOTOROLA AD MOCKS 'APPLE ZOMBIE SOCIETY'...
Mafia 'holds Silvio Berlusconi photos'...
SUPER BOWL MOST-VIEWED TV IN HISTORY...
THE PACK PULLS IT OUT [ Congratulations to the Green Bay Packers! ]

 

 

 

 

 

Budget freeze hampers oversight, SEC chair says (Washington Post) [ Well, now we know the real reason behind the spending freeze. It always was a bit of a stretch to say that was because of their seriousness regarding deficit-reduction which is a catch-phrase but myth at best. That said, in light of wobama’s et als’ failure to live up to campaign promises regarding prosecution of the blatant frauds on wall street, it seems that the absence of the $200 million will be interposed as an excuse for planned failure. After all, at every turn, the frauds on wall street were given every opportunity to cover their tracks and keep their booty. The attorney general’s office, u.s. attorneys and wobama the b are the worst offenders concerning the foregoing.  ] Mary L. Schapiro says the freeze is compromising the agency's ability to police the financial markets. Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on offensive (defensive a misnomer / propaganda) military spending than all the nations of the world combined, and by a large margin at that. Do you see a pattern emerging here [ I unfortunately only belatedly did, and the feds, fed employees, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality in the most nefarious sense  ( http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm         )   ]:

CRIME STATISTICS > TOTAL CRIMES (MOST RECENT) BY COUNTRY  SHOWING LATEST AVAILABLE DATA (america’s No. 1).

Rank  

Countries 

Amount 

# 1  

United States:

11,877,218 

 

# 2  

United Kingdom:

6,523,706 

 

# 3  

Germany:

6,507,394 

 

The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  ( UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE... ex-Justice official quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Obama broke promises ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

‘The Obama Deception’ Censored  ‘The Obama Deception’ has been censored      In light of this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if incomplete)        http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257# 

For the Same Reason I’ve Included Here a Web Site Archived FLV Version of Esoteric Agenda    http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv

 ]

 

 

 

Iran's Khamenei says uprisings represent 'defeat' for U.S. (Washington Post) [  No matter how you slice it, dice it, or euphemise about it, these are indeed substantial, irrevocable losses for the u.s.; but importantly, of america’s own making; self-defeat if you will, compounded by a slew of bad choices. Sadly, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is quite correct when he states:  "The Israelis and the U.S. are more concerned about what would happen to their interests in a post-Mubarak regime." … and further, ‘He also accused the United States of propping up corrupt leaders in the region to protect its interests and those of its ally israel.’ Unfortunately, as has become crystal clear from america’s perpetual war in the region, the people have invariably figured last in america/israel’s unbalanced equations. ] 

 

Mixed signals about health of labor market (Washington Post) [  Signals? In universal speak, flatline still means ‘dead, deceased, etc.’. I think we should go with a gallup: Gallup Finds U.S. Unemployment Up Slightly in January to 9.9% Unemployment, as measured by Gallup without seasonal adjustment, increased to 9.9% at the end of January — up from 9.6% at the end of December, but down from 10.9% a year ago.      Drudgereport: GALLUP: Unemployment actually at 9.9%...
'Under-employment' at 19.2%...

Labor Force Participation Plunges To Fresh 26 Year Low...

  ]  Drop in jobless rate from 9.4 percent to 9 percent offers little comfort because a separate survey of employers shows that job growth was anemic in January, with employers adding only 36,000 jobs.

 

 

Milbank: Rumsfeld offers no apology on Iraq (Washington Post) [ Well, journalistically speaking, you know Mr. Milbank’s hit the bottom of the barrel when he leads his article with a quote seemingly as a purported standard from war criminal dumbya bush who probably didn’t even understand the words he was regurgitating (see , ie., bushisms from bush the brain-damaged moron http://albertpeia.com/bushisms.htm - sadly, wobama probably understands the words but forgets his prior words contradicting same, campaign promises particularly, and hence, failed presidents both). Who cares about what would be meaningless apologies from these incompetent psychopaths.    (2-3-11)  Rumsfeld Finally Confesses He Was Wrong About WMD In New Autobiography [  Nice to know … a nation’s bankruptcy (america) and another nation’s destruction (Iraq) later. ] Former Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld has finally confessed he was wrong to claim America knew where Saddam Hussein had stockpiled weapons of mass destruction in the first days after the Iraq invasion.   Previous: Words are cheap, in america particularly … I don’t believe anything they say and then, as I said, words are cheap. ANALYSIS | Palin's 'blood libel' comment backfires Washington Post) [  God knows I’m no fan of sarah palin’s although I am constrained to admit that as a fan of Saturday Night Live, I do appreciate her contribution to comedic content in the show.  That said, this new ‘tempest in a teapot’ of her own making is a bit overdone. After all, it should be common knowledge by now, to put it mildly, that she is quite dumb; and, like that burnt out, dumb, war criminal and moron, dumbya bush (see , ie., bushisms from bush the brain-damaged moron http://albertpeia.com/bushisms.htm), she also has trouble with words; more specifically, the meanings of words. But it is also true that wobama and his ilk have trouble with words and their meaning, particularly when those spoken words are measured against what he does, his ilk never seeming to discern the glaring difference … wobama the ‘b’ for b*** s***. Lamentably (by her) and unexpectedly for palin was her failure to fully understand ‘that jewish thing’ attached to the phrase and the tender sensibilities of those who previously have been among the ranks of what seems more and more to be a somewhat offbeat fanclub of sorts. Yeah, that ‘never here the end of it’ jewish stereotype of paranoid sensibilities to religious / ethnic prejudice / slur behind some word, phrase, or even a sneeze (spielberg’s childhood memories) can wind up turning around and biting you’re a** ! Previously: Krauthammer: Beyond Ariz., a reckless charge  (Washington Post) [ If it were only that simple; viz., a palin ( I’ve previously said I’m more concerned with her level of stupidity, dumb enough in an infantile way to prove she had gonads by pressing the button – never goin’ to happen, her being in that position), a beck, a bush, a wobama (Drudgereport: OBAMA FLASHBACK: 'If They Bring a Knife to the Fight, We Bring a Gun'... ), etc., there’d be hope for pervasively corrupt defacto bankrupt america. The fact is, the problem is inherent to america / americans themselves as I previously wrote here and reiterate: Will: Half-baked explanations for tragedy (Washington Post) [ Half-baked? Charlatans? The foregoing are in no short supply in defacto bankrupt, meaningfully lawless, pervasively corrupt, fraud prevalent america. See, for example, RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm     . Moreover, Mr. Will as an oftimes apologist for war criminal, pervasively fraud-prone, defacto bankrupt, etc., america, with crime rates exceeding by far those of any other so-called civilized nations, might indeed find himself among those he’s so categorized. Among the last separate page sections to my website will be a somewhat detailed psychoanalytic evolutionary profile of the u.s. (one might ask who am I to do so which is fair comment to which I would reply, read it, or not, your choice). However, for the nonce, let me say that the it is no small coincidence that the 20th century has been dubbed ‘the american century’. That the 20th century has been considered the bloodiest is at once the natural concomitant of the foregoing reality. Keeping in mind the so-called ‘selective’ processes in both insurance (adverse) and evolutionary (Darwinian) terms, and as well, the psychology of it all from a behavioral perspective, america has indeed evolved. From the genocide of indigenous populations, to outlandish propaganda in support of same (ie., that ‘manifest destiny’ balderdash with overtones of religiosity spoonfed since elementary school, etc.), to contrived conflict / war, such, euphemistically bad behavior has been reinforced, some of which conditioning not always purposeful, ie., the ever greater frauds perpetrated on wall street for which there have been in large part no real punitive consequences to the perpetrators; but, to the contrary, great financial rewards though substantially detrimental to the majority. Despite the surface appeal, that oft asserted ‘blue-blood’ distinction doesn’t pass muster. Aside from the few seeking seeking religious freedom (ie., Puritans among some others), most then new americans were such disaffected rejects of their former homelands that desperation at best was motivation for travel to the wilds of the ‘so-called new world’ as opposed to intelligent, rational choice; criminals, mentally ill, the not-so-bright but ruthless populating the new nation in disparate numbers toward the ends consistent with greed and common criminality, corruption, and venality. As of the age of the dinosaurs, the american century has passed into the annals of a history replete with self-generating terrorism within and without (that blowback thing).     DRUDGEREPORT: NATION SHOCKED: CONGRESSWOMAN SHOT IN TUCSON ]
 

 

 

White House mulls Egypt options as protests persist  Pro-democracy demonstrators stage 'Day of Departure' rallies  (Washington Post) [ It truly is difficult to even imagine such a scenario as ‘a transition process that would allow Mubarak to remain as a figure head until new elections’, though the same probably comports with america’s own pervasively corrupt style of politics as usual (wobama a glaring current example of  actions belying words, war criminal dumbya bush, et als) which has spelled intractable decline for america domestically and internationally (probably also comports with israel’s aims at the expense and to the detriment of Egypt and Egypt’s citizens – also gives the cia time to do their deals which could be whatever nefarious money-making / power brokering scheme comes to mind). In corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, facades count more than reality. Egyptian protesters plan new push     Government detains foreigners, says it's willing to open talks  (Washington Post) [ Open talks? ‘bout what? Building a pyramid in mubarak’s honor before stepping down? He’s done … finito … burnt as an over-micro-waved burrito! The following from the Post is indeed the straw that broke the riders with whips he sent on camels’ and horses’ backs!  ‘Wants to die in Egypt? How touching, or the reality, he’s just plain touched as in totally ‘out of it’.   ‘…In what the U.S. State Department called a "concerted campaign to intimidate," several dozen journalists were rounded up by security forces and detained for hours, along with foreigners working as teachers, engineers and human rights researchers. Across the city, angry bands of supporters of President Hosni Mubarak also beat journalists; several reporters said that they were threatened with death…’   ]  Cairo seeks to shift blame for clashes by rounding up journalists; U.S. worries renewed protests could spark more violence from Mubarak supporters.

 

 

Amid Arab protests, U.S. influence has waned (Washington Post) [ And that’s just the way israel likes it … and to america’s detriment, of course … which is not lost on even George Soros … Drudgereport: Soros: 'The main stumbling block is Israel'...

Egyptian protesters plan new push     Government detains foreigners, says it's willing to open talks  (Washington Post) [ Open talks? ‘bout what? Building a pyramid in mubarak’s honor before stepping down? He’s done … finito … burnt as an over-micro-waved burrito! The following from the Post is indeed the straw that broke the riders with whips he sent on camels’ and horses’ backs!  ‘Wants to die in Egypt? How touching, or the reality, he’s just plain touched as in totally ‘out of it’.   ‘…In what the U.S. State Department called a "concerted campaign to intimidate," several dozen journalists were rounded up by security forces and detained for hours, along with foreigners working as teachers, engineers and human rights researchers. Across the city, angry bands of supporters of President Hosni Mubarak also beat journalists; several reporters said that they were threatened with death…’   ]  Cairo seeks to shift blame for clashes by rounding up journalists; U.S. worries renewed protests could spark more violence from Mubarak supporters. Demonstrations in Egypt take bloody turn    In Cairo square, Mubarak backers confront anti-government crowds  (Washington Post) [  Not too difficult for desperate and done mubarak to contrive:   Mubarak Says Egyptians Have to Choose Between “Chaos” and Him … Then Sends In His Thugs to Stir Up Chaos  (Infowars.com) In order to justify staying in power until elections are held in September, President Mubarak said on tv that the people had to choose between him and “chaos”.    ]  The coordinated nature of day's events suggested that Mubarak's supporters were determined to show, as he had warned, that the country faced a "choice between chaos and stability."   [  Previous:    Mubarak's pledge seen as not enough   Egyptian president plans to stay in office to transfer power  (Washington Post) [ Let me put it another way: Mubarak is as done as an over-cooked tamale … He seems to be stalling for time and even in his age impaired mind certainly knows his position is untenable, unsustainable, and even more irrational as each second passes. There is a possibility that he’s using same to move money / treasure for himself and others, literally as well, buying time. See infra …  Previous:  Mubarak seeks dialogue, shows no sign of relenting   Demonstrators call for massive protest but lack leadership  (Washington Post) [ He relented when he resorted to media / internet blackout. Indeed, this lack of sign thing is a testament to how far from reality 30 years has taken him, not to mention the other 52 years that have taken their toll on his cognitive processes. Whether it is plaques ‘on the brain’ or outright senility, that he is so disengaged from the events unfolding around him, one may only wonder how he lasted this long. Nor did his choice of cia standin / shill, new VP Suleiman enhance his now untenable position which leaves him as ‘done as a burnt enchilada’.  Kissinger on Egypt unrest – “This is only the first scene of the first act of a drama that is to be played out”   [ The import of this so-called interview, and it is here that I part company with alex jones, et als (who by the way, censored me for this very thesis, which puts him and his at the top of my hypocrite list), is that the so-called elite have orchestrated these events and ‘are in control’. First, there are no elites in this world; you can’t derive elites from apes, notochordates, and initially single celled organisms. Second, almost by definition and certainly by history, there are no elites in america even if you were to accept the first proposition (though true) as untrue. What you do have, in this world and america particularly (with few exceptions as I’ve discussed elsewhere / comments / my website), are inherent criminals and mentally ill people of varying degrees of unscrupulousness and insanity who do commit crimes, both small and large, to further their interests or fortunes (sociopaths / psychopaths). The ’so-called alpha-dogs’ of the human species at most, but still incompetent vegetables who, if you look at anything they touch (to use a term term of such incompetent vegetables as historically pertains to their role in the mideast – and generally the state of the world) it invariably goes ‘pear shaped’ (english term). What hasn’t zionist kissinger not messed up as appointee or ‘consultant’ – what does he get paid for? No! The fact is, they have absolutely no idea how this unfolds and as with most of their lives, they will predictably choose the most sordid, despicable, and diabolical course at every turn because … that is their inherently criminal, mentally ill / unstable nature to do so. ]

]  Fragile steps to end crisis seen as plans take shape for a transition process that would allow Mubarak to remain as a figure head until new elections.

 

 

 

 

 

Ignored but Important - What Omitted Jobs Data means for Stocks  [ What it means is that when there are no jobs, and everyone has stopped looking, there will be full employment which of course, is rally time for stocks … riiiiight! ] Maierhofer, see entire article infra: ‘…The headline unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the BLS fell to 9%, the lowest level since April 2009. How can the unemployment rate drop 0.4% if only 36,000 jobs were added? (Much worse than the 140,000 expected – stocks still rallied) 36,000 aren't even enough to provide jobs for a quarter of graduates…’ Riiiiight! … that fudge factor/fraud; viz., discouraged / stopped looking … What total b*** s***! How desperate they are! Previous: Initial Claims Drop More Than Expected [ Come on! Who believes anything they say and at what cost with money not really there in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, with manipulated programmed suckers’ rally into the close. …‘In the U.S. market, Slothower concludes: “This is a hard one to gauge, given the QE2 manipulations verses skyrocketing food and energy prices, which have now reached prices levels that have choked off growth in the past and caused recessions, as we saw in 2008 when oil prices hit $100 a barrel (in March of that year).” “It is like walking in a mine field. You move very carefully now with your eyes wide open and on every move, knowing that any day something out of the blue could blow thing up, given these extreme risks.” But he’s now only 70% in cash. The balance is split equally between: iPath Dow Jones-AIG Grains Total Return Sub-Index …’   Minyanville's T3 Weekly Recap: Growing Disconnect Between Market and Economy/WorldBernanke said in his comments yesterday that he is responsible for higher stock prices, but not necessarily for sky-rocketing global food prices. Well, you can't have it both ways, Ben. By propping up asset prices when economic data doesn't match the ferocity of the stock market rally, the Fed is potentially creating another bubble of sorts.Just look at today's non-farm payrolls number: There was a gain of only 36,000 jobs when 140,000 were expected. Also, unemployment fell to 9.0% -- a positive sign for the layman, but an ominous sign for the more keen eye. Nine-hundred thousand discouraged job-hunters left the labor force this month, after 500,000 left in the previous month. It's hard to see optimism in the stock market continue unabated while so many Americans remain jobless…’   Kung Hei Fat Choy!: Dave's Daily  …Speaking of the man with printers ink stains up to his neck, Bernanke spoke Thursday to the Press Club stating, among other things, "inflation remains quite low". He continued saying, "Since August, when we announced our policy of reinvesting maturing securities and signaled we were considering more purchases, equity prices have risen significantly...") I believe that sums things up from an investing view. Silly people like me are standing by watching those that can like GS and JPM take this easy money and route it directly to the S&P futures pits, among other similar places, taking on risk the Fed expects. Oh, and speaking of JPM, the Madoff Trustees have sued the bank for complicity in helping steer client funds to Madoff despite complaints from within that his results were "too good to be true"…’  Monthly Market Valuation: Investors Are Too Bullish, Valuations Are Too High   The conclusion of the following detailed, documented analysis: ‘Wolinsky :In conclusion, the market is over-valued based on the above data. Tobin's Q, Shiller P/E and AAII data are all indicating that investors are too bullish and valuations are too high.’   ]
, On Friday February 4, 2011, ‘The monthly employment report has become one of the most anticipated and talked about, but least analyzed ritual on Wall Street.As far as the media is concerned, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) might as well just publish the headline number, because that's about the only thing anyone talks about.Not only does the core message of the 40+ page report go largely un-deciphered, the correlation between the employment reports is also somewhat deceptive.This article will extract some uncommonly reported information and point towards what is likely to move the marketThe only other Wall Street ritual that tops monthly unemployment reports is earnings season. Like any other ritual, it comes with many myths and fables attached. The most common one is that unemployment directly affects stock prices.

THE HEADLINE NUMBER ... WAIT, THERE IS MORE

The headline unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the BLS fell to 9%, the lowest level since April 2009. How can the unemployment rate drop 0.4% if only 36,000 jobs were added? 36,000 aren't even enough to provide jobs for a quarter of graduates.According to BLS data, the number of unemployed workers (not seasonally adjusted) rose from 14.83 million to 14.94 million. The work force shrunk from 153.89 million to 152.54 million. The workforce didn't actually decline, but statistically more workers are considered discouraged and are no longer considered unemployed.One of the most remarkable BLS data points on the BLS site is the average number of weeks workers are now unemployed. The jobless are unemployed for an average of 36.9 weeks, an all-time high (see chart below).[chart]

A SHRINKING POND WITH BIGGER FISH

It is estimated that about 150,000 'youngsters' enter the work force every year. That's why the work force has steadily increased since 1948. Courtesy of the 2008 bear market, the workforce has actually been shrinking, as discouraged workers drop out of the statistics.Discouraged workers are those who have stopped searching in the last four weeks. Excluding them from the workforce and the unemployment equation artificially lowers the U-3 unemployment rate. The real unemployment rate (U-6), which includes workers who stopped looking for jobs or had to settle for part-time jobs - is at 16.1%.

PLAYING DETECTIVE

Based on U-6 numbers, since December 2006 as many as 13 million Americans have either lost their jobs, or have been downgraded.The lucky few who've found a job have to accept pay cuts. According to Annette Bernhardt, policy co-direction for the National Employment Law Project, high wage sectors - such as financial services (NYSEArca: KBE - News) and construction (NYSEArca: XHB - News) - accounted for nearly half the jobs lost during the recession.Those workers made between $17.43 - $31 an hour. Only 5% of those jobs have been resurrected. 76% of new jobs are in low-to mid-wage industries with earnings between $8.92 - $15 an hour.Nevertheless, stocks have shrugged off an avalanche of bad news and continue plowing ahead towards new highs. Does that make sense?

BIG BROTHER IS HERE

It does when you include the Federal Reserve and its quantitative easing program in this lopsided equation. The Fed has a history of creating and ignoring bubbles.The real estate (NYSEArca: IYR - News) bubble was allowed to get bigger to mop up the damage of the tech (NYSEArca: XLK - News) bubble. The financial sector (NYSEArca VHF) financing bubble was encouraged to mask the damage of the real estate bubble. The new QE bubble is absolutely needed to prevent an economic collapse (based on Bernanke's assessment).How long with the Fed's quantitative easing - labeled QE2 - keep stocks afloat? We don't know for sure, but we can tell when the stock market might enter trouble spots that could lead to (severe) corrections.

A FORK IN THE FINANCIAL ROAD

Imagine a car cruising on the highway. The driver doesn't know it yet, but he's heading in the wrong direction. When will he turn around? We don't know, but the most likely place for a change of direction is the next exit.Based on various measures of historic valuation models, the stock market (NYSEArca: VTI - News) is overpriced (heading in the wrong direction). When will stocks stop rising and start falling? We don't know, but the most likely place for a reversal is the next big resistance level.The Dow Jones (DJI: ^DJI), S&P 500 (SNP: ^GSPC), Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) and Financial Select Sector SPDR (NYSEArca: XLF - News) are simultaneously pushing against major resistance. It is rare to see four major indexes at cross roads at the same time.

A HIGH PROBABILITY TRADING OPPORTUNITY

The beauty of well-documented resistance levels is that they provide a high probability, and a low risk trading opportunity for bulls and bears. A solid break above resistance means hurdle cleared. Resistance becomes support and investors can go or stay long using the prior support level as resistance.If the index (es) stays below resistance, resistance is confirmed and a trend change is likely. Investors/traders can go short using the resistance as a stop-loss level.All four indexes are within 1 - 2 % of their resistance levels, which means that either trade has a potential loss of 1 - 2%, compared to a much higher gain. Investing is about putting the odds in your favor. There is no fail-proof system, but this setup is about as good as it gets…’

 

 

House Republicans propose $32B in budget cuts (Washington Post) [ Well, there you go … all over but the shoutin’ … $14+ trillion debt problem solved … riiiiight! …   Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘] The figure represents an unprecedented rollback that would force some agencies to cut spending by as much as 20 percent, analysts say.

 

 

Egyptian protesters plan new push     Government detains foreigners, says it's willing to open talks  (Washington Post) [ Open talks? ‘bout what? Building a pyramid in mubarak’s honor before stepping down? He’s done … finito … burnt as an over-micro-waved burrito! The following from the Post is indeed the straw that broke the riders with whips he sent on camels’ and horses’ backs!  ‘Wants to die in Egypt? How touching, or the reality, he’s just plain touched as in totally ‘out of it’.   ‘…In what the U.S. State Department called a "concerted campaign to intimidate," several dozen journalists were rounded up by security forces and detained for hours, along with foreigners working as teachers, engineers and human rights researchers. Across the city, angry bands of supporters of President Hosni Mubarak also beat journalists; several reporters said that they were threatened with death…’   ]  Cairo seeks to shift blame for clashes by rounding up journalists; U.S. worries renewed protests could spark more violence from Mubarak supporters.

 

 

Amid Arab protests, U.S. influence has waned (Washington Post) [ And that’s just the way israel likes it … and to america’s detriment, of course … which is not lost on even George Soros … Drudgereport: Soros: 'The main stumbling block is Israel'...

Egyptian protesters plan new push     Government detains foreigners, says it's willing to open talks  (Washington Post) [ Open talks? ‘bout what? Building a pyramid in mubarak’s honor before stepping down? He’s done … finito … burnt as an over-micro-waved burrito! The following from the Post is indeed the straw that broke the riders with whips he sent on camels’ and horses’ backs!  ‘Wants to die in Egypt? How touching, or the reality, he’s just plain touched as in totally ‘out of it’.   ‘…In what the U.S. State Department called a "concerted campaign to intimidate," several dozen journalists were rounded up by security forces and detained for hours, along with foreigners working as teachers, engineers and human rights researchers. Across the city, angry bands of supporters of President Hosni Mubarak also beat journalists; several reporters said that they were threatened with death…’   ]  Cairo seeks to shift blame for clashes by rounding up journalists; U.S. worries renewed protests could spark more violence from Mubarak supporters. Demonstrations in Egypt take bloody turn    In Cairo square, Mubarak backers confront anti-government crowds  (Washington Post) [  Not too difficult for desperate and done mubarak to contrive:   Mubarak Says Egyptians Have to Choose Between “Chaos” and Him … Then Sends In His Thugs to Stir Up Chaos  (Infowars.com) In order to justify staying in power until elections are held in September, President Mubarak said on tv that the people had to choose between him and “chaos”.    ]  The coordinated nature of day's events suggested that Mubarak's supporters were determined to show, as he had warned, that the country faced a "choice between chaos and stability."   [  Previous:    Mubarak's pledge seen as not enough   Egyptian president plans to stay in office to transfer power  (Washington Post) [ Let me put it another way: Mubarak is as done as an over-cooked tamale … He seems to be stalling for time and even in his age impaired mind certainly knows his position is untenable, unsustainable, and even more irrational as each second passes. There is a possibility that he’s using same to move money / treasure for himself and others, literally as well, buying time. See infra …  Previous:  Mubarak seeks dialogue, shows no sign of relenting   Demonstrators call for massive protest but lack leadership  (Washington Post) [ He relented when he resorted to media / internet blackout. Indeed, this lack of sign thing is a testament to how far from reality 30 years has taken him, not to mention the other 52 years that have taken their toll on his cognitive processes. Whether it is plaques ‘on the brain’ or outright senility, that he is so disengaged from the events unfolding around him, one may only wonder how he lasted this long. Nor did his choice of cia standin / shill, new VP Suleiman enhance his now untenable position which leaves him as ‘done as a burnt enchilada’.  Kissinger on Egypt unrest – “This is only the first scene of the first act of a drama that is to be played out”   [ The import of this so-called interview, and it is here that I part company with alex jones, et als (who by the way, censored me for this very thesis, which puts him and his at the top of my hypocrite list), is that the so-called elite have orchestrated these events and ‘are in control’. First, there are no elites in this world; you can’t derive elites from apes, notochordates, and initially single celled organisms. Second, almost by definition and certainly by history, there are no elites in america even if you were to accept the first proposition (though true) as untrue. What you do have, in this world and america particularly (with few exceptions as I’ve discussed elsewhere / comments / my website), are inherent criminals and mentally ill people of varying degrees of unscrupulousness and insanity who do commit crimes, both small and large, to further their interests or fortunes (sociopaths / psychopaths). The ’so-called alpha-dogs’ of the human species at most, but still incompetent vegetables who, if you look at anything they touch (to use a term term of such incompetent vegetables as historically pertains to their role in the mideast – and generally the state of the world) it invariably goes ‘pear shaped’ (english term). What hasn’t zionist kissinger not messed up as appointee or ‘consultant’ – what does he get paid for? No! The fact is, they have absolutely no idea how this unfolds and as with most of their lives, they will predictably choose the most sordid, despicable, and diabolical course at every turn because … that is their inherently criminal, mentally ill / unstable nature to do so. ]

 ]

 

Home buyers may get less government support (Washington Post) [ Uut, oh! Less help from the pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt government? Well, on the bright side, a percentage of near zero is still near zero … I guess that non-wall street addresses just don’t rate!  ]  Administration officials are looking at scaling back the aid provided during the mortgage crisis to help the ailing real estate market. The move could make home loans in high-priced areas such as the Washington region more expensive.

 

 

Fed dismisses inflation concerns (Washington Post) [  If you’re not used to Dave of Dave’s Daily, see infra, ‘he talks with tongue in cheek’; meaning, inflation’s here, including the inflated stock bubble that the frauds on wall street commission and sell into, just as bernanke planned and admitted, with hyperinflation around the corner, and the typical ‘bust’.    Initial Claims Drop More Than Expected [ Come on! Who believes anything they say and at what cost with money not really there in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, with manipulated programmed suckers’ rally into the close. …‘In the U.S. market, Slothower concludes: “This is a hard one to gauge, given the QE2 manipulations verses skyrocketing food and energy prices, which have now reached prices levels that have choked off growth in the past and caused recessions, as we saw in 2008 when oil prices hit $100 a barrel (in March of that year).” “It is like walking in a mine field. You move very carefully now with your eyes wide open and on every move, knowing that any day something out of the blue could blow thing up, given these extreme risks.” But he’s now only 70% in cash. The balance is split equally between: iPath Dow Jones-AIG Grains Total Return Sub-Index …’     Kung Hei Fat Choy!: Dave's Daily  …Speaking of the man with printers ink stains up to his neck, Bernanke spoke Thursday to the Press Club stating, among other things, "inflation remains quite low". He continued saying, "Since August, when we announced our policy of reinvesting maturing securities and signaled we were considering more purchases, equity prices have risen significantly...") I believe that sums things up from an investing view. Silly people like me are standing by watching those that can like GS and JPM take this easy money and route it directly to the S&P futures pits, among other similar places, taking on risk the Fed expects. Oh, and speaking of JPM, the Madoff Trustees have sued the bank for complicity in helping steer client funds to Madoff despite complaints from within that his results were "too good to be true"…’  Monthly Market Valuation: Investors Are Too Bullish, Valuations Are Too High   The conclusion of the following detailed, documented analysis: ‘Wolinsky :In conclusion, the market is over-valued based on the above data. Tobin's Q, Shiller P/E and AAII data are all indicating that investors are too bullish and valuations are too high.’   ]

 ]  Bernanke gives a mixed assessment of the nation's economic prospects.  

Kung Hei Fat Choy!: Dave's Daily The above tribute to the "metal rabbit" was not the cheer from Tahrir Square Thursday. But, U.S. investors are ignoring that in favor of making money with some dip buying abetted by focusing on good news (retail results) and ignoring any negative news from Egypt or even MRK's results. The Fed tossed in another round of POMO to the tune of nearly $9 billion which encouraged buying from trading desks. Speaking of the man with printers ink stains up to his neck, Bernanke spoke Thursday to the Press Club stating, among other things, "inflation remains quite low". He continued saying, "Since August, when we announced our policy of reinvesting maturing securities and signaled we were considering more purchases, equity prices have risen significantly...") I believe that sums things up from an investing view. Silly people like me are standing by watching those that can like GS and JPM take this easy money and route it directly to the S&P futures pits, among other similar places, taking on risk the Fed expects. Oh, and speaking of JPM, the Madoff Trustees have sued the bank for complicity in helping steer client funds to Madoff despite complaints from within that his results were "too good to be true".   Again dip buying was dominant with an "Egypt be damned" attitude although it looked like some bought gold perhaps as insurance. Rumors of bank runs throughout North Africa are present. Volume was just average with most coming early and late. Breadth per the WSJ was mixed to positive. (You'll note the Nasdaq share volume data means investors buying the bigger names.) … See also re: bernanke’s folly-If You're Going to Do Economics, Don't Do Macro  [ Truth be told, I find Mr. Falkenstein’s article a bit too subtle and somewhat shy about getting to the point, but have included same here solely for the reprint of William Buckley’s famous quote which comports with my own view of the ivy league vegetable gardens which turn out as you would expect, vegetables; viz., ‘he would prefer the first 100 names in the Boston phonebook to the Harvard faculty‘. The reality is that ‘harvard professor’, ‘no-recession bernanke’ has given an obfuscating, ephemeral feel good but lucrative to the few gift to the frauds on wall street with ultimately devastatingly great cost / pain to come. ]  

 

 

Market Crash on 2/28/11? Technical indicators suggest market collapse may begin by February 28th

 

Regulators shut 3 small banks; 14 failures in 2011

 

World food prices hit record high AFP | World food prices reached their highest level ever recorded in January and are set to keep rising for months.


 

Concerns Over Possible Suez Canal Disruptions New York Times | Concern has turned to the risk of the blocking of the Suez Canal or nearby pipelines, which could pose a threat to world energy supplies.

 

 

The Scariest Jobs Chart Ever Looks Totally Awful There are some weird things going on in this morning’s jobs report, but the headline number was a joke, and as such, the scariest jobs chart ever looks horrid.

 

Argentina Threatens To Fine Analysts Who Predict 30 Percent Inflation All Argentine consulting firms that calculated an inflation rate higher than the official 10.9 percent has received a letter from the government today. They’ve been given 48 hours to explain their calculation or face a $125,000 fine, according to the FT.

 

Newmont CEO: Gold Is Going To $1500 This Year Newmont CEO Richard O’Brien comments on where he thinks the price of gold is head.

 

Must Read: Standard Chartered Issues The Definitive Report On Global Inflation And Its Miscontents Every now and then, Standard Chartered has a knack for coming up with that one report that is miles ahead of the competition and promptly becomes the definitive guidebook for the industry.

 

 

 

William Black Slams Financial Commission For Failing to Use the “F” Word (Fraud) … “Elites Can Now Commit White Collar Crime with Near Impunity” I’ve previously noted that the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission was a whitewash. Tuesday, senior S&L regulator William K. Black slammed the FCIC for failing to call out fraud.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

Fury Builds Over Blackouts Caused By De-Industrialization Of America Paul Joseph Watson & Alex Jones | Obama administration’s agenda to block construction of new coal-fired plants triggers nationwide outages.

 

Codex Alimentarius Loves Toxic Fluoride, Part 1 Brandon Turbeville | The goal is to not only treat nutrients as toxins, but treat toxins as nutrients.

 

Millions stage anti-Mubarak protests Press TV | Protesters chant slogans against the Mubarak regime as reports flow in about fierce clashes between plainclothes police and protesters.     Americans are Oppressed, Too

 

Republicans Move to Make PATRIOT Act Permanent Kurt Nimmo | The police state act is set to expire in three weeks and Republicans are eager to make sections of the unconstitutional legislation permanent.

 

 

Rand Paul worries GOP isn’t ‘brave enough’ to balance budget Sahil Kapur | Paul said the GOP’s proposed budget cuts were inadequate and fretted that his party may not have the courage to make a dent in the deficit.

 

 

 

Fury Builds Over Blackouts Caused By De-Industrialization Of America Fury is building over rolling nationwide blackouts triggered by the Obama administration’s deliberate agenda to block the construction of new coal-fired plants, as local energy companies struggle to meet Americans’ power demands amidst some of the coldest weather seen in decades.

 

Major Announcement Imminent From Egypt State TV; There’s A Rumor That Mubarak Will Step Down Al-Arabiya says a rumor spread through Egypt this morning that the president has agreed to step down with certain guarantees. This produced celebrations and a tremendous feeling of relief in the crowd at Tahrir Square, says a commentator on Al-Jazeera.

 

Persons Not In Labor Force Who Want Job Now Jumps To All Time Record; Real Unemployment Rate At 12.8% Probably the last chart to bury any doubt about just how truly horrible today’s employment data was, comes from a little observed data metric: that showing the number of people who are not in the labor force, but who want a job now.

 

Cops Brutally Beat Teen Burglar Lying On Ground

 

Republicans Move to Make PATRIOT Act Permanent Freshly emboldened by their mid-term congressional wins, establishment Republicans are set to extend the unconstitutional police state Patriot Act. It is set to expire in three weeks and Republicans are eager to make sections of the legislation permanent.

 

 

 

US plan: Replace Mubarak with torture-linked ‘CIA point man’ A US plan to see Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak leave office immediately is reportedly in the works and would see a transitional government formed by Mubarak’s vice-president, a former head of Egypt’s spy agency and a “CIA point man” who facilitated the “extraordinary rendition” of terrorism suspects.

 

Blocking Internet cost Egypt at least $90M, says OECD The Egyptian government’s five-day block of Internet services cost the national economy at least US$90 million, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said Thursday.

 

 

Gallup Finds U.S. Unemployment Up Slightly in January to 9.9% Unemployment, as measured by Gallup without seasonal adjustment, increased to 9.9% at the end of January — up from 9.6% at the end of December, but down from 10.9% a year ago.

 

Rumsfeld Finally Confesses He Was Wrong About WMD In New Autobiography [  Nice to know … a nation’s bankruptcy (america) and another nation’s destruction (Iraq) later. ]Former Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld has finally confessed he was wrong to claim America knew where Saddam Hussein had stockpiled weapons of mass destruction in the first days after the Iraq invasion.

 

 

 

Drudgereport: UNEMPLOYMENT AT 9.0% +36,000 JOBS...
CANADA +69,200...
GALLUP: Unemployment actually at 9.9%...
'Under-employment' at 19.2%...

Labor Force Participation Plunges To Fresh 26 Year Low...
Santelli Slams CNBC Panelists for Spinning Jobs Report...
VIDEO...

BIG SIS TELLS SUPER BOWL ATTENDEES: 'SEE SOMETHING, SAY SOMETHING'…(If only she really meant that concerning the rest of the nation, and washington particularly – they obsessively cover up almost everything – and saying something is dealt with quite harshly, punitively)...
SECRET DEAL: US AGREES TO TELL RUSSIA UK'S NUKE SECRETS
Gov't Debt Jumped $105.8 Billion in January...
Dems warn of shutdown...
Republicans Propose Spending Cuts...

 



 

 

 

Initial Claims Drop More Than Expected [ Come on! Who believes anything they say and at what cost with money not really there in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, with manipulated programmed suckers’ rally into the close. …‘In the U.S. market, Slothower concludes: “This is a hard one to gauge, given the QE2 manipulations verses skyrocketing food and energy prices, which have now reached prices levels that have choked off growth in the past and caused recessions, as we saw in 2008 when oil prices hit $100 a barrel (in March of that year).” “It is like walking in a mine field. You move very carefully now with your eyes wide open and on every move, knowing that any day something out of the blue could blow thing up, given these extreme risks.” But he’s now only 70% in cash. The balance is split equally between: iPath Dow Jones-AIG Grains Total Return Sub-Index …’     Kung Hei Fat Choy!: Dave's Daily  …Speaking of the man with printers ink stains up to his neck, Bernanke spoke Thursday to the Press Club stating, among other things, "inflation remains quite low". He continued saying, "Since August, when we announced our policy of reinvesting maturing securities and signaled we were considering more purchases, equity prices have risen significantly...") I believe that sums things up from an investing view. Silly people like me are standing by watching those that can like GS and JPM take this easy money and route it directly to the S&P futures pits, among other similar places, taking on risk the Fed expects. Oh, and speaking of JPM, the Madoff Trustees have sued the bank for complicity in helping steer client funds to Madoff despite complaints from within that his results were "too good to be true"…’  Monthly Market Valuation: Investors Are Too Bullish, Valuations Are Too High   The conclusion of the following detailed, documented analysis: ‘Wolinsky :In conclusion, the market is over-valued based on the above data. Tobin's Q, Shiller P/E and AAII data are all indicating that investors are too bullish and valuations are too high.’   ]

 

 

Market Crash on 2/28/11? Technical indicators suggest market collapse may begin by February 28th

 

 

 

Investment Themes for the Next Decade , February 3, 2011, ‘Calm seas don't make sailors. Bull markets don't make investors. Will the coming years be calm seas or the calm before the storm?Judging by various developments brewing in the pipeline, investors will get a chance to prove their worth in the decade following the 'lost decade.'Investing is not a sprint it's a marathon. So it behooves us to look beyond just the next earnings season, unemployment report, or FOMC meeting and address what could be the biggest opportunities or stumbling blocks of this decade.
Generational Shift
Starting this year, more than 10,000 baby boomers a day will turn 65, a pattern that will continue for the next 19 years. As baby boomers age, the traditional population pyramid is becoming top-heavy with retirees, while the workforce is shrinking.Social Security will be strained by the growing number of baby boomers retiring and applying for benefits. New congressional projections show Social Security running deficits every year until its trust funds are eventually drained around 2037.A debt commission appointed by President Obama recommended a series of changes such as increasing the retirement age and lowering benefits. With the disappearance of pension guarantees, flat 10-year investment returns and upside down mortgages, retirees depend on Social Security more than ever.As a sum total, this generational shift will result in higher taxes for younger generations (generations X and Y) and less income for baby boomers. This in turn will shrink spendable income.A consumer that doesn't consume and/or a shrinking consumer base is bad for business and should provide a steady headwind for the economy and broad indexes a la the Dow Jones (DJI: ^DJI), S&P 500 (SNP: ^GSPC) and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC).Sectors that might be adversely affected include consumer discretionary (NYSEArca: XLY - News) and retail (NYSEArca: XRT - News).
The Full Faith and Credit of the United States - Worth how Much?
If the debt ceiling was a real ceiling and deficit was water, we'd have drowned by now. But since the deficit ceiling is imaginary it's easier to kick the can down the road and raise the ceiling.Investors of U.S. debt have taken note and are demanding more interest to loan their money to the United States government. Interest rates for Treasury bonds have gone up, even though the Federal Reserve's QE2 bond buying program was supposed to do the opposite.The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter saw the onset of rising interest rates (in the bond world, rising interest means falling prices) and warned subscribers on August 26, 2010:'Our technical analysis, along with fundamentals suggests that T-Bonds are getting ready to roll over. A look at the overall picture suggests that this is more than just a minor correction. The rally in municipal, corporate, and high yield bonds is showing signs of weakness too. Investors should start exiting from those markets.'30-year T-Bonds, along with municipal bonds (NYSEArca: MUB - News), recorded their top tick on that very day and have since erased more than three years worth of gains.A weak economy in need of more government stimulus is likely to keep the pressure on interest rates. It would be prudent to avoid interest sensitive, long-term maturities such as the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond (NYSEArca: TLT - News) and stick with short-term debt such as iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (NYSEArca: SHY - News).
Valuations
To many, using valuations to determine the stock market's (NYSEArca: VTI - News) real worth is about as antiquated as using smoke signals. Those ancient smoke signals may cloud the perception of most, but they are nevertheless signals for those willing to listen and learn.Valuations have been ignored before. Ideas and promises eclipsed profits at the height of the technology (NYSEArca: XLK - News) boom, but just temporarily. A few years later, real estate tried to defy the notion of fair value.It seems that periods where valuations are out of favor are particularly susceptible to price corrections. So, where are valuations at today?There are three main ways to measure valuations. The first one - P/E ratios - is somewhat flawed because it is subject to financial engineering. Accounting rule changes have made it possible for banks to inflate their earnings by hiding real estate related losses (see June 2010 ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter for details).But even with artificially engineered profits, the current P/E ratio is historically rich.The second valuation measure - the Dow Jones measured in gold - takes the Federal Reserve's money spigot out of the equation and values stocks in real money - gold (NYSEArca: GLD - News). Ever since its 1999 high, the Gold Dow has been declining. Based on historical patterns, the Dollar Dow always catches up with the Gold Dow - eventually.The third valuation measure - dividend yields - is near an all-time low. Unlike P/E ratios, you can't fudge dividend yields. Either a company has cash to spread among investors or it doesn't. Despite dividend increases by some companies, cumulative dividends paid by the 500 S&P constituents are about the same today as in March 2009. In general, low dividend yields coincide with major market tops.
What Valuations Do for You TODAY
Valuations are a long-term indicator, so what can they do for you TODAY?Valuations set the trend. In an overvalued market the larger trend is down. That doesn't mean you have to be out of the market all the time. On March 2, 2009 the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter foresaw the biggest counter trend rally since the 2007 all-time high.This counter trend rally is still going on. In fact, it has gone much further than initially expected, but the higher prices rally the more dangerous it becomes to hold positions.Knowing that stocks are at least 30% overvalued, it would be prudent to monitor any decline carefully and pull the trigger before a minor correction turns into something financially painful…’

 

 

 

 

12 Economic Collapse Scenarios That We Could Potentially See In 2011 What could cause an economic collapse in 2011? Well, unfortunately there are quite a few “nightmare scenarios” that could plunge the entire globe into another massive financial crisis.
The Economic Collapse Jan 20, 2011 ‘What could cause an economic collapse in 2011? Well, unfortunately there are quite a few “nightmare scenarios” that could plunge the entire globe into another massive financial crisis.  The United States, Japan and most of the nations in Europe are absolutely drowning in debt.  The Federal Reserve continues to play reckless games with the U.S. dollar.  The price of oil is skyrocketing and the global price of food just hit a new record high.  Food riots are already breaking out all over the world.  Meanwhile, the rampant fraud and corruption going on in world financial markets is starting to be exposed and the whole house of cards could come crashing down at any time.  Most Americans have no idea that a horrific economic collapse could happen at literally any time.  There is no way that all of this debt and all of this financial corruption is sustainable.  At some point we are going to reach a moment of “total system failure”.

So will it be soon?  Let’s hope not.  Let’s certainly hope that it does not happen in 2011.  Many of us need more time to prepare.  Most of our families and friends need more time to prepare.  Once this thing implodes there isn’t going to be an opportunity to have a “do over”.  We simply will not be able to put the toothpaste back into the tube again.

So we had all better be getting prepared for hard times.  The following are 12 economic collapse scenarios that we could potentially see in 2011….

#1 U.S. debt could become a massive crisis at any moment.  China is saying all of the right things at the moment, but many analysts are openly worried about what could happen if China suddenly decides to start dumping all of the U.S. debt that they have accumulated.  Right now about the only thing keeping U.S. government finances going is the ability to borrow gigantic amounts of money at extremely low interest rates.  If anything upsets that paradigm, it could potentially have enormous consequences for the entire world financial system.

#2 Speaking of threats to the global financial system, it turns out that “quantitative easing 2″ has had the exact opposite effect that Ben Bernanke planned for it to have.  Bernanke insisted that the main goal of QE2 was to lower interest rates, but instead all it has done is cause interest rates to go up substantially.  If Bernanke this incompetent or is he trying to mess everything up on purpose?

#3 The debt bubble that the entire global economy is based on could burst at any time and throw the whole planet into chaos.  According to a new report from the World Economic Forum, the total amount of credit in the world increased from $57 trillion in 2000 to $109 trillion in 2009.  The WEF says that now the world is going to need another $100 trillion in credit to support projected “economic growth” over the next decade.  So is this how the new “global economy” works?  We just keep doubling the total amount of debt every decade?

#4 As the U.S. government and the Federal Reserve continue to pump massive amounts of new dollars into the system, the floor could fall out from underneath the U.S. dollar at any time.  The truth is that we are already starting to see inflation really accelerate and everyone pretty much acknowledges that official U.S. governments figures for inflation are an absolute joke.  According to one new study, the cost of college tuition has risen 286% over the last 20 years, and the cost of “hospital, nursing-home and adult-day-care services” rose 269% during those same two decades.  All of this happened during a period of supposedly “low” inflation.  So what are price increases going to look like when we actually have “high” inflation?

#5 One of the primary drivers of global inflation during 2011 could be the price of oil.  A large number of economists are now projecting that the price of oil could surge well past $100 dollars a barrel in 2011.  If that happens, it is going to put significant pressure on the price of almost everything else in the entire global economy.  In fact, as I have explained previously, the higher the price of oil goes, the faster the U.S. economy will decline.

#6 Food inflation is already so bad in some areas of the globe that it is setting off massive food riots in nations such as Tunisia and Algeria.  In fact, there have been reports of people setting themselves on fire all over the Middle East as a way to draw attention to how desperate they are.  So what is going to happen if global food prices go up another 10 or 20 percent and food riots spread literally all over the globe during 2011?

#7 There are persistent rumors that simply will not go away of massive physical gold and silver shortages.  Demand for precious metals has never been higher.  So what is going to happen when many investors begin to absolutely insist on physical delivery of their precious metals?  What is going to happen when the fact that far, far, far more “paper gold” and “paper silver” has been sold than has ever actually physically existed in the history of the planet starts to come out?  What would that do to the price of gold and silver?

#8 The U.S. housing industry could plunge the U.S. economy into another recession at any time.  The real estate market is absolutely flooded with homes and virtually nobody is buying.  This massive oversupply of homes means that the construction of new homes has fallen off a cliff.  In 2010, only 703,000 single family, multi-family and manufactured homes were completed.  This was a new record low, and it was down 17% from the previous all-time record which had just been set in 2009.

#9 A combination of extreme weather and disease could make this an absolutely brutal year for U.S. farmers.  This winter we have already seen thousands of new cold weather and snowfall records set across the United States.  Now there is some very disturbing news emerging out of Florida of an “incurable bacteria” that is ravaging citrus crops all over Florida.  Is there a reason why so many bad things are happening all of a sudden?

#10 The municipal bond crisis could go “supernova” at any time.  Already, investors are bailing out of bonds at a frightening pace.  State and local government debt is now sitting at an all-time high of 22 percent of U.S. GDP.  According to Meredith Whitney, the municipal bond crisis that we are facing is a gigantic threat to our financial system….

“It has tentacles as wide as anything I’ve seen. I think next to housing this is the single most important issue in the United States and certainly the largest threat to the U.S. economy.”

Former Los Angeles mayor Richard Riordan is convinced that things are so bad that literally 90% of our states and cities could go bankrupt over the next five years….

#11 Of course on top of everything else, the quadrillion dollar derivatives bubble could burst at any time.  Right now we are watching the greatest financial casino in the history of the globe spin around and around and around and everyone is hoping that at some point it doesn’t stop.  Today, most money on Wall Street is not made by investing in good business ideas.  Rather, most money on Wall Street is now made by making the best bets.  Unfortunately, at some point the casino is going to come crashing down and the game will be over.

#12 The biggest wildcard of all is war.  The Korean peninsula came closer to war in 2010 than it had in decades.  The Middle East could literally explode at any time.  We live in a world where a single weapon can take out an entire city in an instant.  All it would take is a mid-size war or a couple of weapons of mass destruction to throw the entire global economy into absolute turmoil.

Once again, let us hope that none of these economic collapse scenarios happens in 2011.

However, we have got to realize that we can’t keep dodging these bullets forever.

As bad as 2010 was, the truth is that it went about as good as any of us could have hoped.  Things are still pretty stable and times are still pretty good right now.

But instead of using these times to “party”, we should be using them to prepare.

A really, really vicious economic storm is coming and it is going to be a complete and total nightmare.  Get ready, hold on tight, and say your prayers.’

 

 

World food prices hit record high AFP | World food prices reached their highest level ever recorded in January and are set to keep rising for months.


 

Concerns Over Possible Suez Canal Disruptions New York Times | Concern has turned to the risk of the blocking of the Suez Canal or nearby pipelines, which could pose a threat to world energy supplies.

 

IMF Board To Discuss Expanded SDR Dow Jones | The board of the International Monetary Fund will discuss a possible expansion of the basket of currencies that compose the Special Drawing Right, IMF deputy managing director John Lipsky said Friday.

 

 

Even mobster / lightweight / scoundrel wrapped in the flag donald trump Is Warning That An Economic Collapse Is Coming In a shocking new interview, Donald Trump has gone farther than he ever has before in discussing an economic collapse in America.

 

Bernanke, BLS Lie About Inflation: Dr. Doom Faber Global inflation is far higher than official statistics reveal, Marc Faber, editor and publisher of the “Gloom, Boom and Doom” report told CNBC on Wednesday, with increases in the cost of living amounting to between five and eight percent in the United States and just below that in Europe.

 

Ron Paul To Ask Fed Why After Trillions In Free Money, Unemployment Is Still Sky High Congressman Ron Paul has announced that the first Monetary Policy subcommittee meeting will focus on one of those two now forgotten Fed mandates, that of creating jobs.

 

Gold:Silver Ratio Falls as Silver Rises On September 26th, 2010, we released a Chart Blog showing a Gold/Silver ratio that was 60.34, and specified that silver has outperformed gold in the market by far. Now, a few months later, we return to the same graph, only to show a different Gold/Silver ratio of 46.96!

 

 

 

National / World

 

George Noory & Alex Jones: Egypt Could be “Shot Heard Around The World” to Start WW3 Infowars.com | Weekday host of the late-night radio talk show Coast to Coast AM, George Noory talks with Alex about the conflict in Egypt.

 

“Obama Triggers Blackouts” Hits Number One On Google Trends Paul Joseph Watson | Thanks for all our great listeners for their great effort in helping us get the word out on this vital issue.

 

You Are the Resistance: Great Videos and Posters Continue to Roll In Infowars.com | Act today so there is a tomorrow.

 

Days of Rage, Oil Prices, and the Suez Canal Kurt Nimmo | Concern that oil prices will skyrocket to $250 per barrel on Suez Canal closure mirror predictions by Lindsey Williams.

 

Obama Agenda To Bankrupt Power Plants Triggers Blackouts Paul Joseph Watson | Fury as hospitals hit with outages while post-industrial collapse of America accelerates.

 

 

Rolling Blackouts Fraud: ERCOT Admits Overcapacity Joe Wäges | The Electric Reliability Council of Texas reported an overcapacity of about a 22%,

 

Shots fired inside Alabama courthouse New York Post | Shots were fired inside a municipal courthouse in Goodwater, Ala., on Thursday with reports at least one person being taken away on a stretcher.


 

Mexico supplies electricity to wintry Texas AFP | Mexico’s Federal Electricity Commission “was determined to support Texas with electrical energy faced with the problems the state is suffering due to climatological conditions,” a statement said.

 

 

Egypt army takes on journalists Washington Bangla Radio USA | Authorities on Thursday cracked down on international reporters in Egypt.


 

NYC Council Bans Smoking In Parks, Beaches [ Sinkhole new york has become a national joke! ] Jessica Naziri | The council voted 36 to 12 in favor of the ban, much to the chagrin of those who think the government is overstepping its role into its residents’ lives.


 

Rebranding Big Brother Kurt Nimmo | Say hello to a boot stamping on a human face — forever.

 

 

“Obama Triggers Blackouts” Tops Google Trends The Obama administration’s drive to de-industrialize the US by shutting down and restricting power plants and how this has caused rolling blackouts across the country this week has topped both the “Hot Topics” and “Hot Searches” categories on Google Trends today.

 

Days of Rage, Oil Prices, and the Suez Canal Bloomberg warns today that an act of sabotage or a decision by a new regime – possibly headed up by the Muslim Brotherhood – to close the canal and its oil pipeline to punish supporters of Egyptian dictator Hosni Mubarak could send oil prices through the stratosphere.

 

Obama’s Blocking Of New Power Plants Triggers Nationwide Blackouts The rolling blackouts now being implemented in Texas and across the country as record cold weather grips the United States are a direct consequence of the Obama administration’s agenda to lay siege to the coal industry, launch a takeover of infrastructure under the contrived global warming scam, and help usher in the post-industrial collapse of America.

 

Obama Creates New Global Warming Rules; Exempts GE The proposed Avenal Energy project will be a combined-cycle generating plant consisting of two natural gas-fired General Electric 7FA Gas Turbines with Heat Recovery Steam Generators (HRSG) and one General Electric Steam Turbine.

 

Revealed: “Less Naked” Body Scanners Still Store Unfiltered Naked Images As the Transport Security Agency begins rolling out new “less revealing” body scanners in airports, gaining much media coverage, The Electronic Privacy Information Center (EPIC), a watchdog group that has brought several lawsuits against the TSA over the body imaging program, has warned that the new machines do little to allay privacy violations, indeed, they are still capable of capturing and storing naked images.

 

Big Sis Cites Staged Portland Terror Plot To Expand Domestic Spy Program Homeland Security is gearing up to accelerate the roll out of its domestic spying program by teaming up with the Department of Justice to expand the Nationwide Suspicious Activity Reporting (SAR) Initiative, and in doing so cites the justification of the alleged plot to bomb a Christmas tree lighting ceremony in Portland, a case of entrapment where the would-be bomber was groomed, set-up and even provided with a fake bomb by the FBI.

 

Why Did Mubarak’s Thugs Ride In On Camels? The photos of Mubarak’s thugs riding in on camels to attack the peaceful protesters with whips is getting worldwide attention.

 

Overcoming Shame And Guilt About 9/11 Truth In The Media Nearly a decade after the 9/11 attacks, the media’s continual silence on the worldwide grassroots campaign to launch a new investigation into those attacks demands an explanation.

 

Busted: Pro-Mubarak Thugs Are Police Officers Busted: Pro-Mubarak Thugs Are Police Officers It should surprise no one that some if not all of the violent pro-Mubarak forces are plain clothes police officers.

 

 

 

Drudgereport:'DAY OF DEPARTURE'

White House, Egypt Discuss Plan for Mubarak's Exit...
'If I Resign Today There Will Be Chaos'...
Blames Muslim Brotherhood for violence...
Crackdown Widens to Foreign Observers...
Obama response draws criticism in Israel...
UN to evacuate staff...
LIVE... WIRE... BBC...
Muslim Brotherhood wants end to Egypt-Israeli peace deal...
Kenneth Cole tweets: Egypt is rioting over our spring collection...
Jon Stewart Jokes: 'Hands off Anderson Cooper!'
Speeding Police Truck Runs Over Protesters...
ABCNEWS REPORTER THREATENED WITH BEHEADING...
CBSNEWS Lara Logan, Crew Detained...
FOXNEWS reporter, cameraman beaten, hospitalized...
The Arab revolution and Western decline...
Soros: 'The main stumbling block is Israel'...
GALLUP: Unemployment Up in January to 9.8%...

GOOGLE Gets Record 75,000 Job Applications in One Week...
Bernanke warns on 'wide' deficit; Gold goes up...

...policy 'not to blame for record food prices' [ Can anyone believe the gall of this incompetent, lying vegetable ‘no-recession bernanke’ … this very scenario was predicted as a natural concomitant to his inflation strategy along with his fraudulent wall bubble / wealth effect strategy (remember those same words from senile greenspan. ]
Oil price shoots above $103...

Dems warn of shutdown over debt...
Republicans Propose Spending Cuts...

 

 

 

Health-care fight shifts to courts (Washington Post) [ Wow! Heck of a way to run a  nation … now in the hands of corrupt, corruptible plushly accoutered lifetime-appointees for whom legal principles, meaningful rules of law are never a problem or impediment nor even a predictable guide … Wall Street firm targets District-based energy practice (Washington Post) [ From one corrupt sinkhole (d.c. / no. virginia) to another, perhaps the largest ( wall street/new york/jersey/ct. metro); ho, hum. The pervasively corrupt american illegal system … corrupt u.s. courts / (lawyers) / judges: Their lifetime plush appointments should be abolished, which corrupt entities are unheard of in productive societies as China, Japan, etc.. Time to abolish these drags on society and eliminate their lifetime stipends and costly bureaucracies. Rules of law mean nothing to these typically corrupt americans. Most, including sam alito of the u.s. supreme court, concerning  drug money laundering and obstruction of justice in the 3rd circuit ( also maryanne trump barry who covered-up drug money laundering through her brother’s casinos in a civil RICO case) should have gone to or belong in jail. Contrary to popular belief, they do it for the money, personal money, big, cash, untraceable money. The fog of war is great for such things (360 tons $100 bills flown into Iraq and missing, etc.).

 [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm  ]. america’s just a fraudulent and failed defacto bankrupt nation. ] It's part of a push by law firms to expand their D.C. footprint in an era of increased regulatory scrutiny. ]

spacer

 

The unlikely face of Egypt's protesters (Washington Post) [  Unlikely? … I don’t think so in light of the strength and prevalence of the ‘anyone but mubarak (and his)’ sentiment.   ]  Mohamed ElBaradei, the Nobel Prize-winning former United Nations bureaucrat, has emerged this week as an improbable revolutionary, clamoring for the overthrow of Egypt's President Hosni Mubarak.

 

Milbank: Rand Paul's at odds with his state (Washington Post) [ Mr. Milbank … that perpetual off-key that invariably sounds passable on an old, hopelessly out-of-tune piano. Not even credit to Mr. Rand’s prospective ‘elections be damned’ attitude and putting reality and conscience first (an attitude which got him elected and which he stands by). In case Mr. Milbank hasn’t noticed, pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america has declined substantially, particularly of late, and has strayed quite afar from the laudible principles upon which it was founded. Mr. Milbank, organized crime families, even less organized gangs, and certainly corrupt politicians compromise all of the time … and that’s the nation’s problem … because some things are not compromisable. ]

 

Facebook treads carefully after role in protests  (Washington Post) [ Facebook should show nor have any fear inasmuch as any such nations as would self-destructively limit the free flow of information so limit the tenure of such leadership of said nations. Moreover, historically, such authoritarian, totalitarian regimes never withstand the test of time. Finally, if not facebook, then another (choose) will step up. ] The recent unrest in Egypt and Tunisia is forcing Facebook officials to grapple with the prospect that other governments will grow more cautious of permitting the company to operate in their countries without restrictions or close monitoring.

 

 

Demonstrations in Egypt take bloody turn    In Cairo square, Mubarak backers confront anti-government crowds  (Washington Post) [  Not too difficult for desperate and done mubarak to contrive:   Mubarak Says Egyptians Have to Choose Between “Chaos” and Him … Then Sends In His Thugs to Stir Up Chaos  (Infowars.com) In order to justify staying in power until elections are held in September, President Mubarak said on tv that the people had to choose between him and “chaos”.    ]  The coordinated nature of day's events suggested that Mubarak's supporters were determined to show, as he had warned, that the country faced a "choice between chaos and stability."   [  Previous:    Mubarak's pledge seen as not enough   Egyptian president plans to stay in office to transfer power  (Washington Post) [ Let me put it another way: Mubarak is as done as an over-cooked tamale … He seems to be stalling for time and even in his age impaired mind certainly knows his position is untenable, unsustainable, and even more irrational as each second passes. There is a possibility that he’s using same to move money / treasure for himself and others, literally as well, buying time. See infra …  Previous:  Mubarak seeks dialogue, shows no sign of relenting   Demonstrators call for massive protest but lack leadership  (Washington Post) [ He relented when he resorted to media / internet blackout. Indeed, this lack of sign thing is a testament to how far from reality 30 years has taken him, not to mention the other 52 years that have taken their toll on his cognitive processes. Whether it is plaques ‘on the brain’ or outright senility, that he is so disengaged from the events unfolding around him, one may only wonder how he lasted this long. Nor did his choice of cia standin / shill, new VP Suleiman enhance his now untenable position which leaves him as ‘done as a burnt enchilada’.  Kissinger on Egypt unrest – “This is only the first scene of the first act of a drama that is to be played out”   [ The import of this so-called interview, and it is here that I part company with alex jones, et als (who by the way, censored me for this very thesis, which puts him and his at the top of my hypocrite list), is that the so-called elite have orchestrated these events and ‘are in control’. First, there are no elites in this world; you can’t derive elites from apes, notochordates, and initially single celled organisms. Second, almost by definition and certainly by history, there are no elites in america even if you were to accept the first proposition (though true) as untrue. What you do have, in this world and america particularly (with few exceptions as I’ve discussed elsewhere / comments / my website), are inherent criminals and mentally ill people of varying degrees of unscrupulousness and insanity who do commit crimes, both small and large, to further their interests or fortunes (sociopaths / psychopaths). The ’so-called alpha-dogs’ of the human species at most, but still incompetent vegetables who, if you look at anything they touch (to use a term term of such incompetent vegetables as historically pertains to their role in the mideast – and generally the state of the world) it invariably goes ‘pear shaped’ (english term). What hasn’t zionist kissinger not messed up as appointee or ‘consultant’ – what does he get paid for? No! The fact is, they have absolutely no idea how this unfolds and as with most of their lives, they will predictably choose the most sordid, despicable, and diabolical course at every turn because … that is their inherently criminal, mentally ill / unstable nature to do so. ]

 

 

 

Monthly Market Valuation: Investors Are Too Bullish, Valuations Are Too High  [ The conclusion of the following detailed, documented analysis: ‘In conclusion, the market is over-valued based on the above data. Tobin's Q, Shiller P/E and AAII data are all indicating that investors are too bullish and valuations are too high.’  ] Wolinsky ‘I update market valuations on a monthly basis. The point of this article is to measure the stock market based on seven different metrics. This article does not look at the macro picture and try to predict where the economy is headed. It only uses these several metrics which have been very good past indicators of whether the market is fairly valued.This month I added in GMO’s chart at the bottom. The GMO chart shows what the firm expects different asset classes to return over the next seven years.I collaborate with two colleagues of mine for some of the data in this article, Doug Short of dshort.com and my friend who runs seekingdelta. Both are great sites, and I encourage readers to check them out.As always, I must mention that just because the market is over or undervalued does not mean that future returns will be high or low. From the mid to late 1990s the market was extremely overvalued and equities kept increasing year after year. However, as I note at the end of the article, I expect low returns over the next ten years based on current valuations. In addition, individual stocks can be found that will outperform or underperform the market regardless of current valuations.To see my previous market valuation article from last month, click here.Below are six different market valuation metrics as of February 2nd, 2011:The current P/E TTM is 16.8, which is slightly higher than the TTM P/E of 16.6 from last month (This specific data is from the market close February 1st).click to enlarge[chart]This data comes from my colleague Doug Short of dshort.com.Based on this data the market is fairly valued. However, I do not think this is a fair way of valuing the market since it does not account for cyclical peaks or downturns. To get an accurate picture of whether the market is fair valued based on P/E ratio, it is more accurate to take several years of earnings.
Numbers from Previous Market lows:
Mar 2009 110.37
Mar 2003 27.92
Oct 1990 14.21
Nov 1987 14.45
Aug 1982 7.97
Oct 1974 7.68
Oct 1966 13.96
Oct 1957 12.67
Jun 1949 5.82
Apr 1942 7.69
Mar 1938 10.63
Feb 1933 14.92
July 1932 10.16
Aug 1921 14.02
Dec 1917 5.31
Oct 1914 14.27
Nov 1907 9.35
Nov 1903 11.67

Historic data courtesy of [multpl.com]
Current P/E 10 (Shiller) Year Average 23.94
[chart] http://seekingalpha.com/article/250273-monthly-market-valuation-investors-are-too-bullish-valuations-are-too-high?source=yahoo
The current ten year P/E is 23.94; this is much higher than the P/E of 22.94 from the previous month. This number is based on Robert Shiller’s data evaluating the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. Robert Shiller stated in an interview last week that he believes the S&P500 will be at 1430 in 2020. Shiller believes that based on his metric the market is overvalued, and will offer subpar returns over the next 10 years.
Based on my colleague, Rob Bennett’s market return calculator, the returns of the market should be as follows:
[chart]
My colleague Doug Short thinks this numbers are a bit inaccurate, because the number I used does not include the past several months of earnings, nor revisions. Doug calculates P/E 10 at 23.3.
[chart]
Mean: 16.39
Median: 15.77
Min: 4.78 (Dec 1920)
Max: 44.20 (Dec 1999)
Numbers from Previous Market lows:
Mar 2009 13.32
Mar 2003 21.32
Oct 1990 14.82
Nov1987 13.59
Aug 1982 6.64
Oct 1974 8.29
Oct 1966 18.83
Oct 1957 14.15
June 1949 9.07
April 1942 8.54
Mar 1938 12.38
Feb 1933 7.83
July 1932 5.84
Aug 1921 5.16
Dec 1917 6.41
Oct 1914 10.61
Nov 1907 10.59
Nov 1903 16.04
Data and chart courtesy of [multpl.com]
This is moderately over valued from the average P/E as shown above.
Current P/BV 2.30
[chart]
The number is obtained using data from the SPY ETF, and updated using the latest change in the price of SPY. This number will therefore not be 100% accurate since the book value has likely changed (slightly) since the numbers were last updated on November 30th, 2010. The current P/BV is 2.30; this is lower than the P/B of 2.20 I measured in my previous article. The average price over book value of the S&P over the past 30 years has been 2.41. This indicates the market is slighlty undervalued. Book value is considered a better measure of valuation than earnings by many investors, including legendary investor Martin Whitman. He states that book value is harder to fudge than earnings. In addition, book value is less affected by economic cycles than one year earnings are. P/BV therefore provides a longer term accurate picture of a company’s value than a TTM P/E.
Current Dividend Yield 1.74  [chart]
The current dividend yield of the S&P is 1.74. This number is lower than the 1.78% yield from last month.It is hard to determine on this basis whether the market is overpriced. The dividend yield for stocks was much higher in the beginning of this century than the later half. The dividend yield on the S&P fell below the yield on Ten-Year treasuries for the first time in 1958. Many analysts at the time argued that the market was overpriced and the dividend yield should be higher than bond yields to compensate for stock market risk.For the next 50 years, the dividend yield remained below the treasury yield and the market rallied significantly. In addition, the dividend yield has been below 3% since the early 1990s. While I personally favor individual stocks with high dividend yields, I must admit that the current tax code makes it far favorable for companies to retain earnings than to pay out dividends. Finally, as I noted above, the current economic environment has zero percent interest rates and low bond yields. During periods where yields are low, it is logical for income oriented investors hungry for yield to bid on the market, and dividend yields to decrease. I think it is hard to claim the market is overbought based on the low dividend yield.

Mean: 4.35%
Median: 4.29%
Min: 1.11% (Aug 2000)
Max: 13.84% (Jun 1932)
Numbers from Previous Market lows:
Mar 2009 3.60
Mar 2003 1.92
Oct 1990 3.88
Nov1987 3.58
Aug 1982 6.24
Oct 1974 5.17
Oct 1966 3.73
Oct 1957 4.29
Jun 1949 7.30
Apr 1942 8.67
Mar 1938 7.57
Feb 1933 7.84
July 1932 12.57
Aug 1921 7.44
Dec 1917 10.15
Oct 1914 5.60
Nov 1907 7.04
Nov 1903 5.57

Data and chart courtesy of [multpl.com]

Market Cap to GDP is currently 92.8%, which is higher than the 91.1% from last month.

Ratio = Total Market Cap / GDP

Valuation

Ratio < 50%

Significantly Undervalued

50% < Ratio < 75%

Modestly Undervalued

75% < Ratio < 90%

Fair Valued

90% < Ratio < 115%

Modestly Overvalued

Ratio > 115%

Significantly Overvalued

Where are we today (02/01/2011)?

Ratio = 92.8%, Modestly Overvalued

Stock Market Capitalization as a percentage of GDP is another metric, albeit less commonly used than other metrics, to value the market. Between 90-115% market capitalization as percentage of GDP is considered modestly overvalued (we are at the low end of the range). Based on Guru Focus data, the market should return about 4.6% per year based on the current value.

GuruFocus calculates the 4.6% returns as follows:

The returns of investing in an individual stock or in the entire stock market are determined by these three factors:

1. Business growth

If we look at a particular business, the value of the business is determined by how much money this business can make. The growth in the value of the business comes from the growth of the earnings of the business growth. This growth in the business value is reflected as the price appreciation of the company stock if the market recognizes the value, which it does, eventually.If we look at the overall economy, the growth in the value of the entire stock market comes from the growth of corporate earnings. As we discussed above, over the long term, corporate earnings grow as fast as the economy itself.

2. Dividends

Dividends are an important portion of the investment return. Dividends come from the cash earning of a business. Everything equal, a higher dividend payout ratio, in principle, should result in a lower growth rate. Therefore, if a company pays out dividends while still growing earnings, the dividend is an additional return for the shareholders besides the appreciation of the business value.

3. Change in the market valuation

Although the value of a business does not change overnight, its stock price often does. The market valuation is usually measured by the well-known ratios such as P/E, P/S, P/B etc. These ratios can be applied to individual businesses, as well as the overall market. The ratio Warren Buffett uses for market valuation, TMC/GNP, is equivalent to the P/S ratio of the economy. What Returns Is the Market Likely to Deliver From This Level? Putting all the three factors together, the return of an investment can be estimated by the following formula:

Investment Return (%) = Dividend Yield (%)+ Business Growth (%)+ Change of Valuation (%)

The first two items of the equation are straightforward. The third item can be calculated if we know the beginning and the ending market ratios of the time period (T) considered. If we assumed the beginning ratio is Rb, and the ending ratio is Re, then the contribution in the change of the valuation can be calculated from this:

(Re/Rb)(1/T)-1

The investment return is thus equal to:

Investment Return (%) = Dividend Yield (%) + Business Growth(%) + (Re/Rb)(1/T)-1

This equation is actually very close to what Dr. John Hussman uses to calculate market valuations. From this equation we can calculate the likely returns an investment in the stock market will generate over a given time period. In the calculation, the time period we used was 8 years, which is about the length of a full economic cycle. The calculated results are shown in the final chart. The green line indicates the expected return if the market trends towards being undervalued (TMC/GNP=40%) over the next 8 years from current levels, the red line indicates the return if the market trends towards being overvalued (TMC/GNP=120%) over the next 8 years. The brown line indicates the return if the market trends towards being fair-valued (TMC/GNP=80%) over the next 8 years.The thick light blue line in the bottom chart is the actual annualized return of the stock market over 8 years. We can see the calculations largely predicted the trend in the returns of the stock market. The swing of the market’s returns is related to the change in interest rates.It has been unfortunate for investors who entered the market after the late 1990s. Since that time, the market has nearly always been overvalued, only dropping to fairly valued since the declines that began in 2008. Since Oct. 2008, for the first time in 15 years, the market has been positioned for meaningful positive returns.As of 02/01/2011, the stock market is likely to return 4.6% a year in the next 8 years.Warren Buffett has stated that market capitalization as a percentage of GNP is “probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment.”According to Barron’s, the ratio got as low as 40% in the late 1940s, when investors feared another depression, and in the inflationary 1970s.

Historic Data:
Min 35% in 1982
Max 148% in 2000.
Data and charts courtesy of Gurufocus.com
Current Tobin’s Q 1.17

[chart]

Tobin's Q is 1.17 compared to 1.15 from last month.

[chart]

[chart]

As can be seen from the above charts, the market is significantly over-valued based on Tobin's Q.The data comes from Doug Short. This is the most accurate data that is available. It is impossible for the data to be 100% precise because the Federal Reserve releases data related to Tobin’s Q on a quarterly basis. The best that can be done is to extrapolate the data and try to provide the most accurate data possible based on the change in the Willshire 5000. This is what Doug and I did to get the current number. This method has proven extremely accurate for calculating Tobin's Q on any given day.The current level of 1.17 compares with the Tobin's Q average over several decades of data of approximately .72. This would indicate that the market is extremely overvalued.In the past, Tobin’s Q has been a good indicator of future market movements. In 1920, the number was at a low of .30, the next nine years included phenomenal gains for the market. In 2000, Tobin’s Q almost reached a record high of nearly 2, and the market declined subsequently about 50% by 2003.

Historic Tobin's Q:

Market Low 1932 0.30

Market High 1929 1.06(this is not the highest number ever reached, just the number reached before the 1929 crash).

Average historic Tobin's Q .72 (source: Stocks for the Long Run by Jeremy Siegel

In my next monthly article, I will have more Tobin’s Q historical data.

AAII Survey-42.00% Bullish, 23.70% Neutral, and 34.30% Bearish: (Data from January 26th 2011)

With the collaboration of my colleague at seekingdelta, I have now added a seventh metric for valuing the market. This data comes from the survey conducted by the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) conducted on a weekly basis. According to the AAII:

The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are bullish, bearish, and neutral on the stock market for the next six months; individuals are polled from the ranks of the AAII membership on a weekly basis. Only one vote per member is accepted in each weekly voting period.

[chart]

[chart]

As mentioned above, the survey results indicate investors are quite bullish. The fact that so many investors are bullish is a contrarian warning signal. Investors tend to get the most bullish at market tops, and bearish at market lows.Below is AAII data from previous market bottoms (the AAII began the survey in 1987).The charts essentially show that on average, returns have been more favorable when bullish sentiment is below 28% vs above 50%. The 1yr avg return when sentiment is above 50% is 1.9% vs 13.6% when sentiment is below 28%.

[chart]

[chart]

Chart and data courtesy of seekingdelta
See GMO chart here (.pdf).
To Recap:

1. P/E (TTM) - Fairly Valued

2. P/E 10 year - Very Overvalued

3. P/BV - Undervalued

4. Dividend Yield - Indeterminate/ overvalued

5. Market value relative to GDP - Moderately Overvalued

6. Tobins Q - Extremely overvalued

7. AAII Sentiment - Too bullish (overvalued)

8. GMO - Overvalued

In conclusion, the market is over-valued based on the above data. Tobin's Q, Shiller P/E and AAII data are all indicating that investors are too bullish and valuations are too high.However, the historical data fails to take into account current record low interest rates. I know not many investors take issue with my inclusion of interest rates in the equation. However, I think that investors should look at the stock/bond alternative. Right now, you can get some blue chip stocks with dividend yields close to the ten year treasury yield.However, eventually the market will likely returns to normal valuation ratios as interest rates reach more normal levels. I believe returns over the next 10 years will be sub-par (far below the 9.5% average market return). I think we will likely see returns equal to inflation over the coming decade.Note: I have received numerous suggestions on how to improve my monthly series. I tried to incorporate these ideas in my current article. Please email me or leave a comment if you would like to provide further suggestions. Stay tuned till the beginning of next month for the next monthly valuation article.’

 

 

 

The Dow at 12,000 is 'Buyer Beware' Territory Meyer ‘Well, we finally hit the 12,000 mark and beyond on the Dow Jones Industrials Average and the end-of-the-year rally is still upon us, as many of us on Seeking Alpha forecast. However, this is now officially a buyer's beware market. Long term investors probably don't need to start selling unless they need the money for short-term purchases and debt reduction. But new investors considering buying into the market now are fulfilling the odd-lot theory, at best, and will have a long wait before those newly purchased shares are increasing in value enough to pay back your broker's fees.Does anyone think we are going to eek out another 5% in the averages this quarter? That would bring the DJIA up by more than 600 points to 12,636.The Dow is now at pre-crash levels of 2008. Yet, we still have high unemployment, near zero job growth, an ongoing foreclosure crisis with home ownership at its lowest level since 1998. This wouldn't be so much of a problem if the vast majority of Americans garnered their wealth from their real estate. They surely do not owe their wealth to their 401k or savings accounts. Remember when home prices were rising and rates were low? What were Americans doing? They were going on a ludicrous shopping spree. We are still the world's largest consumer driven economy, so as long as Main Street isn't spending, company profits will eventually suffer. Even though that doesn't seem to be the case now. One can imagine that companies cannot continue posting solid top line growth if their basic customers are struggling to make ends meet. That problem still exists in this economy, as Robert Reich pointed out his blog Wednesday.We also have a municipal debt bomb the Feds and banks are trying to defuse. The fundamentals are not that sound, and that tells me that this is not the time to buy the market. Stock picking strategies of U.S. equities might work, and certain commodity and some emerging market plays are still favorable. But index and ETF investors looking to buy entire markets like the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) should definitely wait for a correction before buying at these levels. I don't see any indication now that this market can go much higher, given those aforementioned fundamental restraints.Here are a couple more:
The BDI: Ever Hear of It?
Take a look at the Baltic Dry Index chart. It measures the worldwide price of shipping various bulk items across the ocean. It's trading way below its 50 and 200 day moving averages. The BDI is not a leading indicator, or a lagging indicator, of the U.S. economy. But it warrants some attention when the BDI chart looks like a really bad roller coaster like it has since last summer. BDI topped out in June, bounced in July, and began a serious decline in November. The only thing that tends to track the BDI is the Shanghai Composite Equity Index. China is one of the world's biggest exporters, but with costs of capital rising there, importers of Chinese goods are being asked to pay more for their orders, causing many buyers to slow imports. If this slower growth out of China pans out, then economists will be revising their global GDP numbers downward. This indicator could pose to be quite bad for equities simply because it is telling you the growth story of the economy, which has driven the fundamentals behind the current rally, is not sustainable at these levels. The rally continues to be a liquidity driven momentum rally thanks to QE2. The lynchpin of the whole advance was the theme the global economy was in recovery, but I am concerned that this important trade index is showing us something different for the time being.
DJIA vs. Gold Bull Market Peaks
Is the Dow overbought? I think so, and technically speaking we are now seeing less stocks advancing than we have when we were approaching Dow 12k. Corporations are also busy selling their own stock over the last month and a half. There is an important correlation between the Dow and the price of gold in previous bull market peaks. The Dow, as priced in gold, is losing value as the precious metal bull continues to drive to higher prices. For example, in 1980, one ounce of gold bought the Dow. So the ratio of one ounce of gold to the Dow was simple: 1. Said in another way, we had an 850 Dow Jones Industrials Average and $850.00 per ounce gold. The Dow as priced in gold is not making new recovery highs as most people would want to believe.The first peak in the Dow occurred on January 14, 2000 at 11,723. In late 1999 it took 45 ounces of gold to buy the Dow. Gold bottomed at $255.00 per ounce. Everyone wanted equities and the gold-Dow ratio proved it.The second peak in the Dow occurred on October 9, 2007 at 14,164 points. It took just 19 ounces of gold at $750.00 per ounce to buy the market.The Dow is now trading at the 12,000 level again on Wednesday and gold is currently $1325.00 per ounce. It now takes just 9 ounces of Gold to buy the Dow. I don't think we go to a one to one ratio, but I would say we cut the 9 ounces ratio in half and that would likely single a top in at least one of these markets.If we go on the premise that gold is the ultimate money and both a storage of wealth and a hedge against inflation, then the Dow priced in gold has been eroding in value since late 1999 when you needed at least 45 ounces of gold to have the equivalent of the gains in the Dow. The buying power of the dollar propelling the Dow 12k continues to lose value as reflected in the current price of gold at $1,340.00 per ounce, and expectations are for the euro to rebound a bit. The Dow 12k is also occuring in an economy where job growth remains impressively sluggish. This is a buyer beware market when buying broad based indexes like the Dow and S&P 500. Overall, when this market does correct 5% or more, I believe it will drag a lot of the more liquid assets down with it. I'd recommend a hold for long term investors and a sell at these levels for investors with short-term cash needs. We're not seeing an expansion of volume on the advance. This market is resisting any kind of sell-off. I think the pros are fully invested and this market is up two years in a row from the lows so this market looks to me that it's now setting up for a reversal. Don't add at these prices. Get your shopping list together for your sector favorites and wait for a pull back.’

 

 

 

If You're Going to Do Economics, Don't Do Macro  [ Truth be told, I find Mr. Falkenstein’s article a bit too subtle and somewhat shy about getting to the point, but have included same here solely for the reprint of William Buckley’s famous quote which comports with my own view of the ivy league vegetable gardens which turn out as you would expect, vegetables; viz., ‘he would prefer the first 100 names in the Boston phonebook to the Harvard faculty‘. The reality is that ‘harvard professor’, ‘no-recession bernanke’ has given an obfuscating, ephemeral feel good but lucrative to the few gift to the frauds on wall street with ultimately devastatingly great cost / pain to come. ]  Falkenstein ‘MIT had a celebration of their 150th birthday, a Symposia on Economics and Finance: From Theory to Practice to Policy. Here's Bob Hall's solution to our problems (see around 50:00):

What we really like is for people to perceive that now is a great time to buy stuff instead of later, well there's nothing like inflation to get that mentality going. Normally we don't like to see that, we want to keep inflation under control because it's a sign of an overheated economy, well, we'd like a bit of that overheated economy now ...

When the government buys more stuff, every model agrees that stimulates the economy...any economist who suggests that it doesn't stimulate the economy hasn't looked at a wide range of models, all of which agree ...

Hey, the models all agree! In other words, if you look at the aggregate data, all we have here is a lack of demand. Just replace the missing private sector investment with government purchases, or by confusing investors and hoping they mistake nominal price increases for real demand, and all will be well. Most of the macroeconomists suggested that all we need to do is double down on the stimulus -- only the political will is lacking for this obvious solution.What we had was a misallocation -- too much housing -- and so now must move labor and capital to other areas, which creates temporary unemployment. To try to cover this up via having the government spend more on backfilling teacher's pensions, or have everyone buy an unsustainable amount of everything, would not solve this problem faster. Notice they don't spend any time discussing what government would spend this stimulus on because it doesn't matter to them. It's fun to think a solution to a hangover is more of a different type of alcohol, but I've tried it, and it doesn't work.Unfortunately Keynesians don't have any intuition for this, because everything's all just "aggregate demand," not housing, technology, energy, etc. Aggregation leads to simplifcation, but clearly it has a cost, and I think any macro theory that ignores the fact that an economy is a network of firms and individuals is pointless.Hayek's early work on business cycles focused on misalignments in the structure of production. Alas, this was basically impossible to formalize. Keynes' model, meanwhile, was adopted into the Hansen-Hicks synthesis that looked a lot like the simple Supply/Demand equations economists were used to, so everything seemed copacetic. A bad idea, in a tractable model, has a long life, because everyone forgets about all the hand waiving assumptions that underlie such models.Joshua Bell is a famous violinist, but when he did an experiment, and played his $3.5MM violin at a train station, he made only $32. Reputation matters. In Bell's case, passersby did not realize he was truly a gifted violinist. In this case, while this was supposedly our best and brightest giving insight on the big issue of the day, the audience was treated to standard diagnoses and recommendations you hear everywhere on the left: we had a collapse in demand, so the government needs to spend more, or trick people into spending more via money illusion. If one wanted a better anecdote for William F. Buckley's famous remark that he would prefer the first 100 names in the Boston phonebook to the Harvard faculty, I can't think of one. As Cicero said, the purpose of wisdom is to know the good, in which case these people would have done better with the proverbial dollar fifty in late charges at the public library, rather than attend the esteemed establishment they were celebrating.On the other hand, Google's (GOOG) chief economist, Hal Varian noted that Yahoo! (YHO), Microsoft (MSFT) and the rest are all hiring economists to design services based on game theory and other microeconomic specialties. This is in contrast to banks, that basically all went from having a large economic staffs in the 1970s, but a flak PR guy today for CNBC interviews. Bottom line: if you are going to do economics, don't do macro.’

 

 

 

 

40 Percent Of Egyptians Live On 2 Dollars A Day Or Less And The Global Elite Like It That Way After thousands of years of “progress” and “societal evolution”, how is it possible that most of the world is still living in soul crushing poverty?

 

Here’s The Real Cost Of Food Inflation In America Take a look at the chart we’ve constructed from the Bureau of Labor and Statistics 2009 Consumer Expenditure Survey. It conveys a sense of how Egypt’s poverty combined with the sharp rise in food prices sparked the political revolt against the Mubarek government.

 

US Mint Sells Absolute Record 6.4 Million Ounces Of Silver In January, 50% More Than Previous Highest Month As the topic of US Mint silver sales is not new to our readers, after we first brought attention to the record January sales by the Mint, we will not dwell much on it, suffice to say that the final January tally is in.

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

Resistance is Victory: Check Out the Last Contest Entries Infowars.com | With your creative participation, we will get the message out.

 

Rebranding Big Brother Kurt Nimmo | Say hello to a boot stamping on a human face — forever.

 

Minority Report: Companies Push For Ubiquitous Iris Scanning Steve Watson | Expiring technology patent insures that you will soon have your eyes scanned everywhere you go.

 

Latest Round of Wikileaks Docs Hype Manufactured Terror Kurt Nimmo | It is now obvious Wikileaks is an intelligence operation and its frontman Julian Assange is a useful idiot.

 

Wikileaks Bombshell Points To 9/11 Stand Down Paul Joseph Watson | Able Danger program confirmed hijackers were identified before attack, CIA allowed them to enter America

 

300 reported dead in Egypt protests Haareetz | U.N. human rights chief said on Tuesday she had unconfirmed reports that up to 300 people may have been killed and over 3,000 injured.

 

 

Move Over Egypt: Homeland Security Shuts Down Sports Websites The federal government has seized the Web addresses of ten websites that allegedly live stream sporting and pay-per-view events online, shutting them down just days before one of the biggest televised sporting events of the year: the Super Bowl.

 

Minority Report: Companies Push For Ubiquitous Iris Scanning The impending expiration of a key technology patent is paving the way for a scramble amongst scores of biometrics research and development companies, all desperate to make their own brand of iris scanning technology commonplace, effectively creating a real life Minority Report society, where everyone is linked into an identification database.

 

U.S., U.K. Companies Help Egyptian Regime Shut Down Telecommunications and Identify Dissidents Doing the regime’s bidding, British-based Vodafone shut down Egypt’s phone and internet service. The American company called Narus — owned by Boeing — sold Egypt the surveillance technology that helped identify dissident voices.

 

V For Superbowl Victory Activists take the V For Victory campaign to Arlington Texas and the Super Bowl, getting right back in Big Sis’ face after Homeland Security announced that they would be bringing airport-style security harassment and See Something, Say Something snitch programs to sporting arenas.

 

The Father Of Weaponized Weather In this exclusive interview for Prison Planet.tv subscribers, Livingston explains how for decades the US government has had the power to both lessen and increase the severity of adverse weather for their own purposes.

 

Wikileaks Bombshell Points To 9/11 Stand Down Newly released Wikileaks documents concerning the activities of three Qatari men who conducted surveillance of the World Trade Center and boarded flights on the eve of the 9/11 attacks adds to the plethora of evidence that at the very least US authorities were aware of the plot and deliberately stood down.

 

 

Nothing Is Stable Anymore The world is becoming a very unstable place, and the pace at which things are changing all around us has become absolutely mind-numbing. In fact, change has become one of the only constants in today’s world.

 

Revolutionary Fervor to Spread Beyond Arab States; Europe Next When the Tunisian government toppled, the mass media and their stable of experts ­ who were blindsided by these events ­ quickly stepped in to proclaim the obvious: that citizens of other Arab nations would be emboldened to challenge autocratic and corrupt governments.

 

Obama administration issues hundreds of health care exemption waivers to friends If Obamacare is everything the administration claims it to be, then why are government officials secretly handing out exemption waivers to friends and insiders?

 

Internet restored in Cairo after revolt blackout Internet services were at least partially restored in Cairo on Wednesday after a five-day cut aimed at stymieing protests against President Hosni Mubarak’s regime, Internet users said.

 

Violence Flares As Protesters, Mubarak Supporters Fight in Cairo Opponents and supporters of President Hosni Mubarak fought with fists, stones and clubs in Cairo Wednesday in what appeared to be a move by forces loyal to the Egyptian leader to end protests calling for him to quit.

 

Wikileaks Documents Recycle Dirty Bomb Propaganda The corporate media today is chock full of stories about the latest round of supposed diplomatic documents purloined by a low level Army intelligence analyst. According to the documents, the CIA asset al-Qaeda has managed to acquire “workable and efficient” biological and chemical weapons and the West stands on the brink of a “nuclear 9/11.”

 

The Protest Movement in Egypt: “Dictators” do not Dictate, They Obey Orders The Mubarak regime could collapse in the a face of a nationwide protest movement… What prospects for Egypt and the Arab World?

 

Mubarak Says Egyptians Have to Choose Between “Chaos” and Him … Then Sends In His Thugs to Stir Up Chaos In order to justify staying in power until elections are held in September, President Mubarak said on tv that the people had to choose between him and “chaos”.

 

“People All Over The World Who Want Freedom, Somehow Or The Other Feel Connected To Other People Who Are Struggling For Freedom.” Nobel Peace Laureate and leader of Burmese democracy movement, Aung San Suu Kyi, told the Egyptian protesters: “People all over the world who want freedom, somehow or the other feel connected to other people who are struggling for freedom.”

 

 

 

Drudgereport: Amanpour: Angry mob surrounded us, shouting they hate America...
WH shuts out media; reporters file complaint...
CNN Anderson Cooper 'punched 10 times in head' by mob in Egypt....
'Camp David made us a slave,' Egyptian protester says...
WIKILEAKS: US threats to China in military standoff over 'Star Wars'...
Student, 14, suspended for 'weapon' -- a plastic pen casing...

WIKILEAKS: FBI hunts the 9/11 gang that got away...
43 Million Use Food Stamps...
Dems object to GOP gov't transparency probe...
JUDGE RULES HEALTH CARE LAW UNCONSTITUTIONAL
Judge cites Obama's own position from 2008 campaign...

Brent crude oil above $100 for 1st time since 2008...
FLASHPOINT

Fighter jets swoop over Cairo in show of force...
Mubarak meets with military commanders...
Generals tell him to quit...
Troops move into Tahrir square as curfew passes...
ElBaradei joins protesters in square...
Says US 'losing credibility by the day'...
Clinton calls for 'orderly transition'...
'We're not advocating any specific outcome'...
Convicts pour out of prisons...
UPDATE: 100+ dead; 2,000 injured...
Flights out halted, tourists trapped...
But 19 private jets get out...
Egypt shuts down Al Jazeera bureau...
LIVE STREAM...
OBAMA CONFUSES IRAQ WITH AFGHANISTAN...

Will be out 'by the end of this year'...
Scientists Discover: Chimpanzees mourn their dead just like humans!

11% of All US Homes Are Now Empty...

 

 

Report: U.S. unlikely to reach electric car goal by 2015 (Washington Post) [ I think all benefits of doubt be given to the auto companies in terms of the market and, ultimately,  for the following reason:      {Previous:  S. American mountains hold key to electric car's future: lithium for batteries (Washington Post) [ Well, I don’t know about electric car batteries, but it’s reassuring to know that such american leaders in no short supply, ie., Ted Turner, et als, will have no short supply of lithium to keep them on an even keel (from the ups and downs from, ie., bipolar among other mental conditions). Truth be told, I’ve not followed the ‘adventures of the electric cars’ too closely, but concede that pollution as from gas engine cars is lessened. I know enough about electricity and energy to know that there’s really no net gain in terms of conservation, weening off oil, hydro, nuclear since the same are required to produce the electricity; hence, increases in hydro / nuclear, ie., are necessary to change the reliance on oil (imports). }  ] Obama's goal to have a 1M plug-in cars on the road may be stymied by automaker, consumer uncertainty

 

 

Israel wary of transition in Egypt, concerned about regional stability (Washington Post) [ Who cares what the paranoid, war criminal, illegal nuke totin’, war criminal israelis are wary of. This country has gone down the tubes cow-towing to the paranoid, self-interested concerns of the psycho / sociopathic zionist israelis who are forever projecting their own pathological motives to every turn of history while ignoring their own culpability in producing the very outcomes they purportedly seek to avoid. War, conflict, greed, bloodshed is the historically based israeli way. ]

 

Fresno tackles an unusual problem (Washington Post) [ Oh come on! Let’s call things as they are! Sputnik moment … p l e a s e , spare me the b*** s*** wobama the b. This is not ‘up, up, and away’ to bigger and better things, but rather an industry catering to the long predicted aging baby boom population. The structural deficits, including jobs, will continue owing to prior misguided self-interested policy for the ‘few’.]  This California city is grappling with one of the most troubling contradictions of the new economy: Even as it has one of the nation's highest unemployment rates, it has thousands of job openings.

 

Jobless Recovery?: 25 Unemployment Statistics That Are Almost Too Depressing To Read ‘… Unemployment is up again! That’s right – even though Wall Street is swimming in cash and the Obama administration is declaring that “the recession is over”, the U.S. unemployment rate has gone even higher ... Times are really, really tough and unfortunately the long-term outlook is very bleak. 

#1 U.S. unemployment rate for November was 9.8 percent.  This was up from 9.6 percent in October, and it continues a trend of depressingly high unemployment rates.  The official unemployment number has been at 9.5 percent or higher for well over a year at this point.

#2 In November 2006, the “official” U.S. unemployment rate was just 4.5 percent.

#3 economists had been expecting to add about 150,000 jobs in November.  Instead, it only added 39,000.

#4 In the US there are over 15 million people who are “officially” considered to be unemployed for statistical purposes.  But everyone knows that the “real” number is even much larger than that…

.. biggest debt bubble in the history of the world…our entire economy is based on debt.  Even our money is debt.  …  There is a sea of red ink on every level of American society.  It is only a matter of time before it destroys our economy. IF YOU THINK THAT THINGS ARE BAD NOW, JUST WAIT.  THINGS ARE GOING TO GET A WHOLE LOT WORSE.  A HORRIFIC ECONOMIC COLLAPSE IS COMING, AND IT IS GOING TO BE VERY, VERY PAINFUL.’

 

#5 As 2007 began, there were just over 1 million Americans that had been unemployed for half a year or longer.  Today, there are over 6 million Americans that have been unemployed for half a year or longer.

#6 The number of “persons not in the labor force” in the United States recently set another new all-time record.

#7 It now takes the average unemployed American over 33 weeks to find a job.

#8 When you throw in “discouraged workers” and “underemployed workers”, the “real” unemployment rate in the state of California is actually about 22 percent.

#9 In America today there are not nearly enough jobs for everyone.  In fact, there are now approximately 5 unemployed Americans for every single job opening.

#10 According to The New York Times, Americans that have been unemployed for five weeks or less are three times more likely to find a new job in the coming month than Americans that have been unemployed for over a year.

#11 The U.S. economy would need to create 235,120 new jobs a month to get the unemployment rate down to pre-recession levels by 2016.  Does anyone think that there is even a prayer that is going to happen?

#12 There are 9 million Americans that are working part-time for “economic reasons”.  In other words, those Americans would gladly take full-time jobs if they could get them, but all they have been able to find is part-time work.

#13 In 2009, total wages, median wages, and average wages all declined in the United States.

#14 As of the end of 2009, less than 12 million Americans worked in manufacturing.  The last time that less than 12 million Americans were employed in manufacturing was in 1941.

#15 The United States has lost at least 7.5 million jobs since the recession began.

#16 Today, only about 40 percent of Ford Motor Company’s 178,000 workers are employed in North America, and a big percentage of those jobs are in Canada and Mexico.

#17 In 1959, manufacturing represented 28 percent of U.S. economic output.  In 2008, it represented 11.5 percent.

#18 Earlier this year, one poll found that 28% of all American households had at least one member that was looking for a full-time job.

#19 In the United States today, over 18,000 parking lot attendants have college degrees.

#20 The United States has lost a staggering 32 percent of its manufacturing jobs since the year 2000.

#21 As the employment situation continues to stagnate, millions of American families have decided to cut back on things such as insurance coverage.  For example, the percentage of American households that have life insurance coverage is at its lowest level in 50 years.

#22 Unless Congress acts, and there is no indication that is going to happen, approximately 2 million Americans will stop receiving unemployment checks over the next couple of months.

#23 A poll that was released by the Pew Research Center back in June discovered that an astounding 55 percent of the U.S. labor force has experienced either unemployment, a pay decrease, a reduction in hours or an involuntary move to part-time work since the economic downturn began.

#24 According to Richard McCormack, the United States has lost over 42,000 factories (and counting) since 2001.

#25 In the United States today, 317,000 waiters and waitresses have college degrees.

But this is what we get for creating the biggest debt bubble in the history of the world.  For decades we have been digging a deeper hole for ourselves by going into increasingly larger amounts of debt.  In America today, our entire economy is based on debt.  Even our money is debt.  …  There is a sea of red ink on every level of American society.  It is only a matter of time before it destroys our economy. IF YOU THINK THAT THINGS ARE BAD NOW, JUST WAIT.  THINGS ARE GOING TO GET A WHOLE LOT WORSE.  A HORRIFIC ECONOMIC COLLAPSE IS COMING, AND IT IS GOING TO BE VERY, VERY PAINFUL.’



 

Dow closes above 12,000  (Washington Post) [ Which is a manipulated bubble and which amount is worth far less than even 3 years ago owing to dollar debasement…    Avoid China, short the U.S. market instead Kee ‘…The subject of international investing begs the buy and hold theme as a result, but because that is dead, and because risk controls are more cumbersome in foreign markets, my focus is on proactive strategies in U.S. markets, on risk controls, and my longer term Periodic Oscillator tells me that the economy, thanks to stimulus, is in bubble-like territory not seen since 2000 and 2007…’      Suttmeier … Stocks remain overvalued fundamentally according to ValuEngine with 15 of 16 sectors overvalued

 

 

Mubarak's pledge seen as not enough   Egyptian president plans to stay in office to transfer power  (Washington Post) [ Let me put it another way: Mubarak is as done as an over-cooked tamale … He seems to be stalling for time and even in his age impaired mind certainly knows his position is untenable, unsustainable, and even more irrational as each second passes. There is a possibility that he’s using same to move money / treasure for himself and others, literally as well, buying time. See infra …  Previous:  Mubarak seeks dialogue, shows no sign of relenting   Demonstrators call for massive protest but lack leadership  (Washington Post) [ He relented when he resorted to media / internet blackout. Indeed, this lack of sign thing is a testament to how far from reality 30 years has taken him, not to mention the other 52 years that have taken their toll on his cognitive processes. Whether it is plaques ‘on the brain’ or outright senility, that he is so disengaged from the events unfolding around him, one may only wonder how he lasted this long. Nor did his choice of cia standin / shill, new VP Suleiman enhance his now untenable position which leaves him as ‘done as a burnt enchilada’.

 

Kissinger on Egypt unrest – “This is only the first scene of the first act of a drama that is to be played out”   [ The import of this so-called interview, and it is here that I part company with alex jones, et als (who by the way, censored me for this very thesis, which puts him and his at the top of my hypocrite list), is that the so-called elite have orchestrated these events and ‘are in control’. First, there are no elites in this world; you can’t derive elites from apes, notochordates, and initially single celled organisms. Second, almost by definition and certainly by history, there are no elites in america even if you were to accept the first proposition (though true) as untrue. What you do have, in this world and america particularly (with few exceptions as I’ve discussed elsewhere / comments / my website), are inherent criminals and mentally ill people of varying degrees of unscrupulousness and insanity who do commit crimes, both small and large, to further their interests or fortunes (sociopaths / psychopaths). The ’so-called alpha-dogs’ of the human species at most, but still incompetent vegetables who, if you look at anything they touch (to use a term term of such incompetent vegetables as historically pertains to their role in the mideast – and generally the state of the world) it invariably goes ‘pear shaped’ (english term). What hasn’t zionist kissinger not messed up as appointee or ‘consultant’ – what does he get paid for? No! The fact is, they have absolutely no idea how this unfolds and as with most of their lives, they will predictably choose the most sordid, despicable, and diabolical course at every turn because … that is their inherently criminal, mentally ill / unstable nature to do so. ]

 

 

 

 

 

Avoid China, short the U.S. market instead Kee ‘…The subject of international investing begs the buy and hold theme as a result, but because that is dead, and because risk controls are more cumbersome in foreign markets, my focus is on proactive strategies in U.S. markets, on risk controls, and my longer term Periodic Oscillator tells me that the economy, thanks to stimulus, is in bubble-like territory not seen since 2000 and 2007…’

 

 

 

New Monthly Value Levels, Pivots, and Risky Levels  Editor's Note: This article was written by Richard Suttmeier, chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com

The US Capital Markets are under the influence of new monthly value levels, pivots and risky levels from my proprietary analytics. Today I add them to my risk / reward statements for the markets that I follow; The US Treasury 10-Year yield, Comex gold, Nymex crude oil, the euro, and the major equity averages focusing on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

The US Treasury 10-Year Yield -- (3.380) The monthly chart favors higher yields with the 120-month simple moving average at 4.121. The daily chart still shows the trading range set in December between 3.568 and 3.247. Today’s value level is 3.444.

Comex Gold -- ($1331.0) The monthly chart continues to dhow an overbought parabolic bubble. The daily chart shows gold trying to rise out of an oversold condition. This week’s value level is $1319.7 with quarterly and annual pivots at $1331.3 and $1356.5 and new monthly risky level at $1412.4.

Nymex Crude Oil – ($91.91) The monthly chart favors higher oil prices ahead. Oil traded above $92 per barrel again but closed below that chart resistance. My semiannual value level is $87.52 with weekly and monthly pivots at $89.91 and $91.83 and annual risky levels at $99.91 and $101.92.

The Euro -- (1.3685) The monthly chart favors a higher European currency. The daily chart continues to show an overbought condition. Weekly and quarterly value levels are 1.3265 and 1.3227 with a daily risky level at 1.3859 and monthly risky level at 1.4225.

Stocks remain overvalued fundamentally according to ValuEngine with 15 of 16 sectors overvalued and only 38.8% of all stocks undervalued. On December 19th we had a ValuEngine Valuation Warning with 33.3% of all stocks undervalued, below the important 35% threshold, and all 16 sectors were overvalued.

All major averages remain overbought on their weekly charts and my Proprietary Analytics show new monthly value levels and weekly risky levels, which should keep stocks balanced in February.
 

  • The Dow Industrial Average shows monthly and annual value levels at 11,759 and 11,491 with weekly and daily risky levels at 11,959 and 12,005.
  • The S&P 500 has quarterly and monthly value levels at 1262.5 and 1247.6 with daily and weekly risky levels at 1293.7 and 1308.5.
  • The Nasdaq has a monthly value level at 2611 with a daily pivot at 2700 and weekly and quarterly risky levels at 2769 and 2853.
  • The Dow Transports has a quarterly value level at 4671 with monthly and daily pivots at 4962 and 4991 and weekly and annual risky levels at 5104 and 5179.
  • The Russell 2000 shows quarterly and monthly value levels at 765.50 and 741.74 with daily and annual pivots at 777.01 and 784.16 with a weekly risky level at 809.88.
  • Following the Dow look for continued strength as long as closes are above my monthly value level at 11,759. A close below 11,759 targets the annual value level at 11,491.


Bank Failure Friday -- The FDIC closed four more banks last Friday and one was publicly traded and on the ValuEngine List of Problem Banks.
 

  • The FDIC closed a total of 157 banks in 2010; 41 in the first quarter, 45 in the second quarter, 41 in the third quarter and 30 in the fourth quarter.
  • 25 banks failed in 2008
  • 140 banks failed in 2009 with a peak of 50 in the third quarter
  • 157 banks failed in 2010
  • 11 banks have failed year to date in 2011
  • 333 banks have failed since the end of 2007
  •  I still predict 500 to 800 bank failures in total by the end of 2012 into 2013.


The publicly traded bank was First Community Bank, Taos, New Mexico (FSNM). This bank is on the ValuEngine List of Problem Banks with overexposures to both C&D and CRE loans: The C&D ratio to risk-based capital at 651.8% versus the 100% maximum guideline, and 1946.4% for CRE loans versus the 300% maximum guideline. The bank’s real estate loan pipeline is stuffed at 96.9% where 60% is a healthy pipeline. It’s amazing to me how slow the FDIC has been in closing banks that no longer deserve to service Main Street, USA.’

 

 

 

Persistent Pattern: Stocks Like Early Days Of The Month [ Everything and anything but fundamentals and value!  ]Harding ‘I call it the “monthly strength period,” the strong tendency for the market to be up for the first few days of each month. It’s a pattern that’s been around for a very long-time. Norman Fosback first pointed it out in his 1976 book, Stock Market Logic. Few investors are aware of its importance. The history is for the market to average almost half of its monthly gains in just the first three or four days of the month. The last day of the month also often participates because savvy traders pile into the market in anticipation of a similar rally in the first few days of the next month.The latest example? The S&P 500 was up 29.4 points or 2.3% for the month of January. But guess what? The gains on just the first four days, and the last day of the month totaled 29.8 points.In 2009, the S&P 500 was up 23.3% for the year, but the gains on the first three days of each month amounted to 9.2% for the year, 40% of the year’s total gains.  In 2010 the tendency for strength over the first three days of the month was even more obvious.The S&P 500 gained 142.5 points, or 12.8% for the year. Its gains on just the first three days of each month totaled 228.9 points, or 20.5%. An investor didn’t actually gain anything in 2010 by being invested on other than those first three days each month.So despite all the time and effort analysts spent last year debating and forecasting the effect on the market that would come from the economic and political changes, the weak economic reports in the summer, the Fed’s QE2 decision, the mid-year elections, corporate earnings, etc., what actually had the most influence; those hotly debated issues, or the Fed, or a simple market pattern?I have no interest in market patterns that have no clear and reasonable explanation. Don’t talk to me of the ‘super bowl’ indicator, or the history of years ending in 5 tending to be positive years, or ‘As goes January so goes the year.’ Not interested.The ‘monthly strength period’, like annual seasonality and the Four-Year Presidential Cycle, has a very clear explanation.Sizable extra chunks of money automatically flow into the market at the end of each month. They come from investors who follow the strategy of dollar-cost averaging into the market on a monthly basis; from the monthly contributions of employees and employers to IRA and 401K plans; monthly dividends on stocks and bonds, most of which are marked for automatic re-investment, etc. (A study some years ago showed that 65% of all preferred-stock dividends and 90% of the interest payments on municipal bonds are paid on either the first or last day of the month, a huge amount of money).Obviously the pattern is useful in short-term trading. But how is it useful in almost any strategy?If you’re going to put money in the market for whatever reason and it’s near the end of a month it will usually pay to do so by the last day of the month in order to pick up the extra gains likely in the first few days of the next month. If you’re planning to sell a holding or take money out of a 401K or IRA plan, and it’s near the end of a month, it usually pays to wait for the fourth day of the next month to do so.Knowledge of the pattern can also be helpful in preventing an emotional reaction to events. I told my subscribers not to react too quickly to the turmoil in Egypt and Friday’s market plunge because “we are now in the period around the end of the month when the market tends to be positive for at least a few days.”This time around, awareness of the pattern might also prevent investors from being overly optimistic that the market reaction to the turmoil in Egypt only lasted one day. It might be wiser to wait and see what happens after the first three or four days of February.’

 

 

 

 

 

 

Is the Market Headed for a Sell-Off? Zaky  [ Yes … I agree, except that fundamentally the longer term prospects are even worse than his bearish outlook suggests (don’t forget the debasement of the dollar, manipulation, and spending / printing money the nation doesn’t have in real terms behind this manipulated uptick) and summarized as follows: ‘I suspect that this rally is on its very last legs. We should see a very healthy 10% or so correction within the next 1-2 week period ... This market is headed for a sell-off. ]

 

 

 

 

2011 Update: Another Lost Decade for Stocks - Are You Prepared?   [ I agree that this is but a (manipulated) bull cycle in a secular bear market with substantially worse to come! ]Kopas ‘In February 2010, we published an article on Seeking Alpha entitled “Another Lost Decade for Stocks - Are You Prepared?,” wherein we argued that the year 2000 marked a secular (long-term) peak for U.S. stocks. A secular bear market is formed when a series of business cycles are linked together, establishing an extended period of stock market under-performance. Our objective here is to bring you up-to-date on the progress of this secular bear market and help you prepare for the next ten years.

The first benchmark we monitor is U.S. stock prices adjusted for inflation. In this chart below, we compare the U.S. stock market to the Shiller 10-year Price/Earnings ratio. This P/E ratio is an indication of investor confidence; a lack of that signals extreme valuation levels. Our conclusion is that investor psychology is still too optimistic and has a long way to go before reaching an undervalued stock market level.

[chart] click to enlarge

Updating our duration and valuation benchmarks, again we find progress, but not yet achieving the truly undervalued levels we expect to see toward the end of a secular bear market. Based upon previous cycles, it appears we are only slightly past the half way mark in terms of years, number of recessions, and valuations. A look at our chart and table comparing this to earlier secular bear markets illustrates our conclusion. We expect that a major bottom for inflation adjusted stock prices is still years away before stocks finally gravitate toward the target area outlined below.

[chart]

New Benchmark: Tobin Q Ratio

In this update we introduce another relative valuation benchmark created by Yale economics professor and Nobel laureate James Tobin, hence the name Tobin’s Q Ratio. The Q ratio is calculated as the total value of the stock market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies. Values greater than 1 indicate stock prices sell above their replacement cost and are therefore “expensive.” A reading below 1 indicates stocks can be bought below replacement cost and therefore indicates that it is cheaper to buy a company than to build one.

A long-term view of the Q ratio gives investors a good understanding of value, information about current risk levels and a method to assess probable returns for the long term. Secular bear markets historically bottom when the Q ratio declines to a bargain level less than .4, meaning stock prices sell for just 40% of replacement value. Today’s reading of 1.03 is above the average reading of .75 and considerably higher than the average secular low reading of .33. Investors beware; stocks have considerable more downside potential before the Q ratio truly reflects a great valuation. Buy and Hold tactics will continue to frustrate investors, just as they have in the past decade.

[chart]

In conclusion, none of the benchmarks we evaluate indicate we are anywhere close to a secular stock market bottom yet. In the meantime, a prudent and profitable investment strategy should be flexible enough to actively adjust portfolio asset allocation, depending on where we are in the business cycle and the direction of the secular trend.’

 

 

 

 

Shiller Ratio Points to U.S. Equities Being Significantly Overvalued   [ Yes they are indeed; so take this especially great opportunity to sell, take profits since there’s much, much worse to come! That computer-programmed spike into the close to keep suckers suckered does not change the aforesaid. This is particularly evident in their attempt to cash in on that superstitious scam known as the ‘January effect’ by way of these manipulated bubble-making buy programs; you know, loosen / soften the suckers up for the coming year’s new fraud / scam. ] The 'January Effect' Is More Market Myth Than Sound Analysis ...  Kumar ‘…January of 1929, for example, was off to a brisk start as the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed to 317 from 307. But investors would be slammed later in the year by a historic stock market crash that heralded the start of the Great Depression. January of 1987, too, began nicely. The Dow climbed to 2160 at the end of the month after starting out at 1927. But Black Monday would hit investors in October of that year, leading to the sharpest historical stock market decline in percentage terms. More recently, January 2001 had a strong showing when the Dow Jones finished the month at 10,887 after starting at 10,646. Those reading it as an auspicious beginning would be hit first by the further fallout from collapse of the dot-com bubble and then the massive decline following the September 11 terrorist attacks. See full article from DailyFinance: http://srph.it/cyaPDT ‘… Then, more recently there’s ‘The stock market scored a strong gain and locked in its first positive finish for January since 2007 (we all know what happened after that! Crash!) with help from the energy sector, which climbed sharply in response to a spike in oil prices.(Yahoo/Briefing.com) … Higher oil prices … riiiiight! … that sounds bull(s***)ish … on fraudulent wall street. ]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IMF Board To Discuss Expanded SDR Dow Jones | The board of the International Monetary Fund will discuss a possible expansion of the basket of currencies that compose the Special Drawing Right, IMF deputy managing director John Lipsky said Friday.

 

The Road to Madness Is Paved With $100 Bills Zero Hedge | Indeed, all of Bernanke’s monetary policies and actions can be traced to his one core belief: that the US Federal Reserve didn’t do enough to stave off the Great Depression.


 

IMF, warning of war, says ready to help Egypt AFP | Dominique Strauss-Kahn said rising food prices could have “potentially devastating consequences” for poorer nations.

 

 

IMF Vultures Want Into Egypt The International Monetary Fund stands ready to help riot-torn Egypt rebuild its economy, the IMF chief said Tuesday as he warned governments to tackle unemployment and income inequality or risk war.

 

Officials Warn Wall St. About Possible Terror Attacks Security officials are warning the leaders of major Wall Street banks that al Qaeda terrorists in Yemen may be trying to plan attacks against those financial institutions or their leading executives, NBCNewYork has learned.

 

Unemployment Plagues Economy Despite Claims Of Recovery Unemployment continues to plague our economy. In spite of constant claims that we have just turned the corner into recovery, the jobs reports remain grim with no real signs of improvement.

 

The Road to Madness Is Paved With $100 Bills Ben Bernanke is insane. I mean neither insane in a flippant sense, nor in the ordinary sense (as in plain nuts), but an even more insidious form of insanity, namely the insanity of one who cannot see the world as a place outside his own thoughts and beliefs.

 

The Coming Collapse of Commercial Real Estate is Already Here, Says Davidowitz ‘…From Wal-Mart to Sears to Target to Best Buy, if you look at what is happening in the retail space, "it looks pretty scary," says retail expert Howard Davidowitz. Wal-Mart -- the world’s largest retailer – has seen six consecutive quarters of negative same-store sales and is now looking to put the majority of its investment capital towards emerging markets.In the case of Target and Best Buy, they both recently missed major key earnings expectations. Making matters worse, Best Buy “tanked” even without the competition from the now defunct Circuit City, Davidowitz points out.Tale of Two StoresThere is a sea change happening in retail, Davidowitz tells Aaron in the accompanying clip. Consumers are spending more now than during anytime in the last three years, but they are choosing to spend more and more online than in brick-and-mortar stores.Companies like Apple, Amazon, Netflix are doing gangbuster business while the aforementioned struggle to keep pace. Why go to the store – be it record store, book store or movie rental store – when you can buy all you need right from the comfort of your own home and have it delivered to your front door or digital media device?The Walls Are CollapsingA coming collapse in commercial real estate has been looming for the last couple years, but Davidowitz thinks it has already begun. “I think there has [already] been a partial collapse in the commercial real estate business,” he says pointing to the rising number of community bank failures. “I think retail real estate developers better start rethinking the use of their space.”There are always exceptions to the rule, but his resounding advice is to stick to commodities and stay away from the retail space, at least for now  …’

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

Neocons Exploit Fear of Muslim Brotherhood to Push War Kurt Nimmo | The Muslim Brotherhood is a vital component of the globalist intelligence conglomerate and its long running and ongoing campaign to create and exploit Islamic terror.

 

TSA Invades Roads & Highways With VIPR Checkpoints Paul Joseph Watson | Roadside inspections to be expanded from rest stops, say TSA officials.

 

Judge Cites Obama Flip-flop in Health Care Ruling Kurt Nimmo | A federal judge in Florida ruled that Obama’s so-called health care reform legislation is unconstitutional.

 

 

Mubarak gives army shoot-to-kill order Press TV | Embattled Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak has reportedly given his armed forces the authority to shoot-to-kill as anti-government protests gain momentum.

 

 

 

TSA Invades Roads & Highways With VIPR Checkpoints The TSA has announced its intention to expand the VIPR program to include roadside inspections of commercial vehicles, setting up a network of internal checkpoints and rolling out security procedures already active in airports, bus terminals and subway stations to roads and highways across the United States.

 

Ron Paul: Middle Eastern Revolt Stems From US Upholding Authoritarian Regimes Congressman Ron Paul outlined his feelings on the uprising in Egypt, noting that violent revolts will continue throughout the middle east so long as there is an unfettered globalist agenda to dominate the region through propping up tinpot dictators and tyrants.

 

Bolton: If Mubarak falls in Egypt, Israel should bomb Iran Former US Ambassador to the United Nations John Bolton said the ouster of embattled Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak would speed the timetable for an attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities.

 

Kissinger on Egypt unrest – “This is only the first scene of the first act of a drama that is to be played out”   [ The import of this so-called interview, and it is here that I part company with alex jones, et als (who by the way, censored me for this very thesis, which puts him and his at the top of my hypocrite list), is that the so-called elite have orchestrated these events and ‘are in control’. First, there are no elites in this world; you can’t derive elites from apes, nordochords, and initially single celled organisms. Second, almost by definition and certainly by history, there are no elites in america even if you were to accept the first proposition (though true) as untrue. What you do have, in this world and america particularly (with few exceptions as I’ve discussed elsewhere / comments / my website), are inherent criminals and mentally ill people of varying degrees of unscrupulousness and insanity who do commit crimes, both small and large, to further their interests or fortunes (sociopaths / psychopaths). The ’so-called alpha-dogs’ of the human species at most, but still incompetent vegetables who, if you look at anything they touch (to use a term term of such incompetent vegetables as historically pertains to their role in the mideast – and generally the state of the world) it invariably goes ‘pear shaped’ (english term). What hasn’t zionist kissinger not messed up as appointee or ‘consultant’ – what does he get paid for? No! The fact is, they have absolutely no idea how this unfolds and as with most of their lives, they will predictably choose the most sordid, despicable, and diabolical course at every turn because … that is their inherently criminal, mentally ill / unstable nature to do so. ] Bilderberg puppet master Kissinger warns that the uprising is a temporary state of affairs, “only the first Scene of the first act of a drama that is to be played out.”

 

Is the end nigh for Mubarak? President’s grip on power shaken as army refuses to fire on million-strong march As many as two million people are expected to take to the streets in Egypt later today in a mass demonstration that could finally topple president Hosni Mubarak after he was dealt a crushing blow by the nation’s military.

 

 

 

The 11 Countries At Risk of Becoming The Next Egypt Egypt has been embroiled in political turmoil since protests, inspired by those that overthrew the regime in Tunisia, started last week.

 

 

Mubarak’s new deputy linked to CIA rendition program The man named by President Hosni Mubarak as his first ever deputy, Egyptian spy chief Omar Suleiman, reportedly orchestrated the brutal interrogation of terror suspects abducted by the CIA in a secret program condemned by rights groups.

 

Former Director of the CIA’s Counter-Terrorism Center: American Policy in the Middle East is Failing Because the U.S. Doesn’t Believe in Democracy The fact that the former head of counter-terrorism laments America’s failure to support democracy in the Middle East proves once again that U.S. policy is not justified by terror concerns.

 

 

 

Corporate US Media’s Woeful, Sanitized Egypt Coverage Amounts To Censorship While the ailing dictatorship government in Egypt is busy rounding up and arresting Al Jazeera journalists in an attempt to control the release of footage and accounts of the mass uprising going on throughout the entirety of the country, the disgraceful corporate American media has once again shown itself to be just as strictly regulated in terms of the content it provides to viewers.

 

 

 

 

Drudgereport: WIKILEAKS: FBI hunts the 9/11 gang that got away...
Student, 14, suspended for 'weapon' -- a plastic pen casing...

JUDGE RULES HEALTH CARE LAW UNCONSTITUTIONAL
Judge cites Obama's own position from 2008 campaign...

Brent crude oil above $100 for 1st time since 2008...
FLASHPOINT

Fighter jets swoop over Cairo in show of force...
Mubarak meets with military commanders...
Generals tell him to quit...
Troops move into Tahrir square as curfew passes...
ElBaradei joins protesters in square...
Says US 'losing credibility by the day'...
Clinton calls for 'orderly transition'...
'We're not advocating any specific outcome'...
Convicts pour out of prisons...
UPDATE: 100+ dead; 2,000 injured...
Flights out halted, tourists trapped...
But 19 private jets get out...
Egypt shuts down Al Jazeera bureau...
LIVE STREAM...
OBAMA CONFUSES IRAQ WITH AFGHANISTAN...

Will be out 'by the end of this year'...
Scientists Discover: Chimpanzees mourn their dead just like humans!

11% of All US Homes Are Now Empty...

 

 

On economy, Obama takes a new role: cheerleader (Washington Post) [ No! That’s not what he was elected for; besides, he just ain’t pretty enough (though you get the impression that he thinks he is, in a very quiffy kind of way. Thanks, but no thanks; that may sound good, but at this point, too little, too late for america. Action, not words, wobama the b (for b*** s***). While figuratively, ‘nut and bolts’ are okay, it’s really ‘pencils, paper, and magnifying glasses’ for scrutinizing and correcting the structural defects (are you willing to pay twice as much for the same products produced elsewhere, pay for the frauds on wall street, pay for the rich over-compensation packages of corp. execs, pay for the endless wars, pay for the richly accoutered capital hill / lifetime appointee / federal employees (law enforcement excepted), etc.) and a magnifying glass to discern the foregoing.  ] The President has become the host of what feels like a looping infomercial on American innovation.

 

 

Russia's Ryabkov on U.S.-Russia relations: 'We can offer tangible results, and we will do more in the future' (Washington Post) [  Well, I don’t know about diplomatic relations (one can only hope), but if it’s sexual relations, what’s not to like … about Russian girls … They’re total babes! Back to the diplomatic front, I’ve grown a bit partial to the rationality of the Russian leadership based not solely on what they say (defacto bankrupt america talks about peace, but directly and through proxies, ie., israel, etc., is war mongering, war facilitating, war profiteering on multiple fronts and killing many innocent children, women, and men; and of course my own experience with american meaningfully lawlessness, infra, etc.,  ), but what they do (Russia’s engaged in no wars, made the transition from communism to present without violence, finds time to preserve ‘The Siberian Tiger’, etc.,  and is not a hypocrite regarding professing to be a nation of meaningful laws as america disingenuously purports to be, etc.) previous:

Wall Street firm targets District-based energy practice (Washington Post) [ From one corrupt sinkhole (d.c. / no. virginia) to another, perhaps the largest ( wall street/new york/jersey/ct. metro); ho, hum. The pervasively corrupt american illegal system … corrupt u.s. courts / (lawyers) / judges: Their lifetime plush appointments should be abolished, which corrupt entities are unheard of in productive societies as China, Japan, etc.. Time to abolish these drags on society and eliminate their lifetime stipends and costly bureaucracies. Rules of law mean nothing to these typically corrupt americans. Most, including sam alito of the u.s. supreme court, concerning  drug money laundering and obstruction of justice in the 3rd circuit ( also maryanne trump barry who covered-up drug money laundering through her brother’s casinos in a civil RICO case) should have gone to or belong in jail. Contrary to popular belief, they do it for the money, personal money, big, cash, untraceable money. The fog of war is great for such things (360 tons $100 bills flown into Iraq and missing, etc.).

 [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm  ]. america’s just a fraudulent and failed defacto bankrupt nation. ] It's part of a push by law firms to expand their D.C. footprint in an era of increased regulatory scrutiny.)

 

CBS declines to run ad submitted by NFL players union (Washington Post) [  As I’ve previously mentioned, I seldom comment on sports matters and don’t for a minute profess to even know the issues involved in this dispute. That said, I feel compelled to emphasize for what it’s worth in terms of this conflict, that like no other time before in the history of football and without any prospect of being less so on the horizon, pro football today is absolutely no joke. Those guys are big, and strong, and powerful and one can only wonder of the aches, pains, long-term injuries ‘the day after’. ]  Union officials suggest the ad was pulled in deference to the networks' financial ties to the NFL.

 

 

Exxon Mobil's profit soars, along with crude oil prices  (Washington Post) [ And, you forgot to mention, along with stock prices; right, in fraudulent wall street speak, the higher oil prices on debased dollar and insurmountable national debt rally. Incredibly, Japan’s debt has been down-graded (before u.s. debt) and compared to defacto bankrupt america, they’re as flush (with liquid reserves) as a over-flushed toilet.  Shiller Ratio Points to U.S. Equities Being Significantly Overvalued   [ Yes they are indeed; so take this especially great opportunity to sell, take profits since there’s much, much worse to come! That computer-programmed spike into the close to keep suckers suckered does not change the aforesaid. This is particularly evident in their attempt to cash in on that superstitious scam known as the ‘January effect’ by way of these manipulated bubble-making buy programs; you know, loosen / soften the suckers up for the coming year’s new fraud / scam. ] The 'January Effect' Is More Market Myth Than Sound Analysis ...  Kumar ‘…January of 1929, for example, was off to a brisk start as the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed to 317 from 307. But investors would be slammed later in the year by a historic stock market crash that heralded the start of the Great Depression. January of 1987, too, began nicely. The Dow climbed to 2160 at the end of the month after starting out at 1927. But Black Monday would hit investors in October of that year, leading to the sharpest historical stock market decline in percentage terms. More recently, January 2001 had a strong showing when the Dow Jones finished the month at 10,887 after starting at 10,646. Those reading it as an auspicious beginning would be hit first by the further fallout from collapse of the dot-com bubble and then the massive decline following the September 11 terrorist attacks. See full article from DailyFinance: http://srph.it/cyaPDT ‘… Then, more recently there’s ‘The stock market scored a strong gain and locked in its first positive finish for January since 2007 (we all know what happened after that! Crash!) with help from the energy sector, which climbed sharply in response to a spike in oil prices.(Yahoo/Briefing.com) … Higher oil prices … riiiiight! … that sounds bull(s***)ish … on fraudulent wall street. ]    ] Exxon Mobil's fourth-quarter profit soared 53 percent thanks in large part to higher crude oil prices, which jumped Monday to their loftiest levels since 2008.

 

 

Mubarak seeks dialogue, shows no sign of relenting   Demonstrators call for massive protest but lack leadership  (Washington Post) [ He relented when he resorted to media / internet blackout. Indeed, this lack of sign thing is a testament to how far from reality 30 years has taken him, not to mention the other 52 years that have taken their toll on his cognitive processes. Whether it is plaques ‘on the brain’ or outright senility, that he is so disengaged from the events unfolding around him, one may only wonder how he lasted this long. Nor did his choice of cia standin / shill, new VP Suleiman enhance his now untenable position which leaves him as ‘done as a burnt enchilada’. ] Unlike other successful democratic uprisings, this one lacks charismatic personalities and any clear agenda beyond ousting Mubarak, elections.

 



 

 

 

Shiller Ratio Points to U.S. Equities Being Significantly Overvalued   [ Yes they are indeed; so take this especially great opportunity to sell, take profits since there’s much, much worse to come! That computer-programmed spike into the close to keep suckers suckered does not change the aforesaid. This is particularly evident in their attempt to cash in on that superstitious scam known as the ‘January effect’ by way of these manipulated bubble-making buy programs; you know, loosen / soften the suckers up for the coming year’s new fraud / scam. ] The 'January Effect' Is More Market Myth Than Sound Analysis ...  Kumar ‘…January of 1929, for example, was off to a brisk start as the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed to 317 from 307. But investors would be slammed later in the year by a historic stock market crash that heralded the start of the Great Depression. January of 1987, too, began nicely. The Dow climbed to 2160 at the end of the month after starting out at 1927. But Black Monday would hit investors in October of that year, leading to the sharpest historical stock market decline in percentage terms. More recently, January 2001 had a strong showing when the Dow Jones finished the month at 10,887 after starting at 10,646. Those reading it as an auspicious beginning would be hit first by the further fallout from collapse of the dot-com bubble and then the massive decline following the September 11 terrorist attacks. See full article from DailyFinance: http://srph.it/cyaPDT ‘… Then, more recently there’s ‘The stock market scored a strong gain and locked in its first positive finish for January since 2007 (we all know what happened after that! Crash!) with help from the energy sector, which climbed sharply in response to a spike in oil prices.(Yahoo/Briefing.com) … Higher oil prices … riiiiight! … that sounds bull(s***)ish … on fraudulent wall street. ]

 

 

 

 

Morgan Stanley: ETFs Post $2.8 Billion Net Outflows Last Week  Coleman ‘With unrest in Egypt and fading technical signals in many key emerging markets, it’s not surprising that Morgan Stanley’s (MS) Smith Barney analysts has found that ETFs attracted net outflows of $2.8 billion last week, the first pullback of a young 2011.

In a new report this afternoon, MSSB listed net outflows in the week were led by emerging markets stocks and commodities ETFs. Investors pulled more than a combined $5 billion from those two categories.

ETFs showing net inflows were: U.S. broad markets stocks ($89 million); U.S. mid-cap stocks ($278 million); U.S. dividend income ($574 million); leveraged/inverse ($125 million); international developed markets ($354 million).

Perhaps just as noteworthy, though, were stock categories that had big outflows:

  • Emerging markets, just over $3 billion.
  • Commodities, more than $2.2 billion.
  • U.S. Large-Cap, nearly $370 million in net outflows.

Bond funds also had a good week, attracting $705 million, according to MSSB.

The biggest net outflows by a single ETF came from the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Fund (EEM). It had nearly $2.7 billion outflows last week. The ETF now has posted the largest net outflows in one- , four - and 13- week periods.

The biggest gainer in terms of net inflows was the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA). It had $776 million net inflows, says MSSB. The second most popular was the Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG).’

 

 

 

 

Don't Blame Egypt for Friday's Sell-Off  Janjigian ‘…many problems remain. The federal budget deficit is too large and the government is carrying too much debt. States and municipalities are drowning in public pension obligations. The unemployment rate is improving, but much too slowly. Mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures remain too high, there are too many homes available for sale, and housing prices remain depressed. Worldwide inflation is on the rise. There are even problems at the corporate level. Yes, corporate profits are strong, but the same cannot be said for sales. Many companies are reporting anemic growth on the top line at best. Others continue to see revenues decline. Corporations are squeezing more profits from fewer sales only by aggressively cutting costs. This kind of cost cutting cannot go on forever. All businesses eventually reach a point where more profits can be produced only from more sales. Most are probably at that point already... A 10 percent correction should not surprise anyone...’

 

 

 

Is the Market Headed for a Sell-Off? [ Yes … I agree, except that fundamentally the longer term prospects are even worse than his bearish outlook suggests (don’t forget the debasement of the dollar, manipulation, and spending / printing money the nation doesn’t have in real terms behind this manipulated uptick) and summarized as follows: ‘I suspect that this rally is on its very last legs. We should see a very healthy 10% or so correction within the next 1-2 week period ... This market is headed for a sell-off. ] Zaky ‘As the market scrutinizes President Obama's State of the Union Address, and looks to Bernanke & Co. for any signs as to when the Federal Reserve's inflationary stance toward monetary policy might be coming to an end, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) will be attempting its 9th consecutive weekly gain for the first time since 1995.For the past 20 years, the Dow has managed countless 8-week rallies which have tended to almost always end very poorly on the 9th week. The only other time we've seen the Dow rally for 9 straight weeks was in the period between January and March 1995. Before that, we would have to go to the 1980's to find a 9 week period of consecutive gains.So the big question this week will be whether the Dow can buck the 8-week trend or whether we'll see a sell-off to end the week and the Dow streak at 8. What one should notice is how incredibly weak the overall market tends to become after 8 weeks of straight gains.

Below is a list of all the times the Dow gained 8 straight weeks since the mid-1990's, starting with the most recent:

1. March 2001 to April 2001

The Dow gained 8 straight weeks before experiencing a 100% retracement of the gains in a 20% correction which lasted all summer.

2. November 2003 to January 2004

The Dow gained exactly 8 weeks before topping out, trading sideways for 6 weeks and then traded down for nearly 10 months before rallying into year end. That 8-weeks period topped a nearly 9 month which was met with very heavy selling throughout the year.

3. October 2002 to December 2002

The Dow gained 8 straight weeks before putting in a decisive top and losing the entire move over the next 14 week period. The Dow experienced a near 30% slide after putting in a top at 8 consecutive up weeks.

4. January - March 1998

The Dow gained for 8 weeks straight, paused and then rallied a few more weeks before putting in a decisive top which led to a correction that retraced the entire move over the following 15 weeks. The Dow experienced a 25% correction after rallying relentlessly for 5 months.

5. January - March 1995

The Dow rallied 9 straight weeks, had a slight pull-back and then rallied all the way until year end. The market didn't see even a minor correction in all of 1995. The Dow rallied nearly 60% in 1995 alone.This history should outline just how over-extended this rally is becoming. There are only a few occasions in modern history where the Dow closed up for 8 consecutive weeks, and only 1 occasion in the last 16 years where the Dow closed in the green for 9 consecutive weeks.There is almost no profit taking in this market, which suggests that a lot of people and institutions have significant built-in gains. One piece of bad news and we're likely to see everyone heading to the exits at once. Rallies that have pull-backs tend to last significantly longer than those where we have months of consecutive weekly gains such as this one.Without consolidation and profit taking, these rallies tend to end very poorly. It is much healthier to see rallies where the DJIA pulls back every 2-3 weeks than these rallies where the Dow just shoots to the sky for 8 straight weeks. The above cases demonstrate this clearly.I suspect that this rally is on its very last legs. We should see a very healthy 10% or so correction within the next 1-2 week period. In fact, I believe it's quite possible that the highs of this rally can be put in during the next 1-2 trading sessions. Whatever the case may be, good buying opportunities present themselves in February and March. This market is headed for a sell-off.’

 

Home Prices Declining as Expected Minyanville/ Suttmeier ‘Reviewing My No.1 Theme for 2011: Home prices will resume a decline that began in mid-2006. We had the homebuyer tax credits expire in mid-2010, and government-sponsored mortgage modifications provided limited help. In 2011 we face continued foreclosure issues including questionable documentation, and banks have a record high Other Real Estate Owned (OREO). OREO is up to $53.2 billion at the end of the third quarter, up 338.2% since the end of 2007. Depressed home sales are being sold at a 30% to 35% discount, which reduces property appraisals at the county level. Homebuilders will have to compete with these lower prices and we need a mortgage modification program for all Americans, not just those at risk of losing their homes. QE2 (quantitative easing) is not working and US Treasury yields are higher, causing mortgage rates to rise. “The Great Credit Crunch” began with housing, and that foundation needs repair before Main Street can recover with sustainable job creation.

The S&P / Case-Shiller Home Price Index -- Points to lower home prices through November. [chart]

  • The 20-City Composite is down 1.6% year over year in November and down 1.0% sequentially.
  • The 20-City Composite is up only 3.3% from its April 2009 low, but remains about 50% above where it began in January 2000.
  • Atlanta, Charlotte, Detroit, Las Vegas, Miami, Portland (OR), Seattle, and Tampa hit new lows, below the levels set in April 2009.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) also shows a year-over-year house price decline of 4.3% in November. [chart] [chart]
House prices will continue to decline as long as the Conference Board’s reading on Consumer Confidence remains weak. The Conference Board's reading on Consumer Confidence jumped to 60.6 in January from 53.3 in December, but keep in mind that the neutral zone for this measure is 90 to 120, so consumer confidence remains extremely weak. Show me readings between 90 and 120 and home prices will stabilize.

Stocks will peak this week, or will confirm recent highs as a peak over the next few weeks

Stocks remain overvalued fundamentally according to ValuEngine with 15 of 16 sectors overvalued and only 38.9% of all stocks undervalued. This follows last week’s ValuEngine Valuation Warning where just 33.3% of all stocks were undervalued. Below 35% is the warning. All major averages are extremely overbought on there weekly charts and my Proprietary Analytics show weekly risky levels at 12,162 Dow, 1333.9 S&P 500, 2805 Nasdaq, 5321 Dow Transports, and 828.86 Russell 2000. There is an 85% chance that the Dow will decline to my annual pivot at 11,491 and the Dow Transports and Russell 2000 ended last week below their annual pivots at 5179 and 784.16 respectively.

10-Year Note -- (3.317) The yield continues to trade in a range set in December -- between 3.568 on December 16 and 3.247 set on December 20.

Comex Gold -- ($1333.3) Gold is now oversold on its daily chart with daily and semiannual value levels at $1316.1 and $1300.6 with quarterly and annual pivots at $1331.3 and $1356.5. Gold is trending below its 50-day simple moving average now at $1378.5.

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($87.82) Crude oil is now trending below its 50-day simple moving average at $87.96 with the 200-day at $80.48. My semiannual pivot remains at $87.52.

The Euro -- (1.3643) This week’s value level is 1.3398 with chart resistance at 1.3786 as the euro becomes overbought on its daily chart.

Daily Dow -- (11,977) The daily chart is overbought after setting a new high for the move at 11,985.97 Tuesday morning. This week’s risky level is 12,162. My annual value level remains at 11,491. There are negative divergences for the S&P 500, Nasdaq, Transports, and Russell 2000. Dow Transports are flirting with a close below its 50-day simple moving average at 5047.’

 

 

 

Economist: United States Worse Off than Greece Dr. Laurence Kotlikoff is an economics professor at Boston University. He says the Treasury and the government are fudging the national debt numbers. Kotlikoff says the United States is bankrupt and we don’t even know it.

 

Mortgage Finance Overhaul to Raise Costs, Reduce Home-Ownership Bloomberg | In spite of differences between Democrats and Republicans on reforming housing finance, both sides back proposals that would make mortgages more expensive and difficult to obtain.

 

Goldman Sachs Director: Egyptians, Greeks, Tunisians and British Protesting Against Pillaging of Economies Washington’s Blog | When a country relinquishes its financial system and its population’s well-being to the pursuit of ‘good deals’, there is going to be substantial fallout.

 

Afghan Officials Shielded Bank From Scrutiny WSJ | Investigators probing massive fraud that nearly brought down Afghanistan’s largest bank have found the lender avoided scrutiny for years by giving clandestine loans—and sometimes outright bribes—to senior Afghan officials, said Afghan and U.S. officials and former bank insiders.

 

 

AAA Rating Tough to Defend as U.S. Debt Soars Last week, Standard & Poor’s lowered Japan’s bond rating to AA-, the fourth-highest level. By that standard, the U.S. got away with a slap on the wrist from Moody’s Investors Service, which warned merely that “the probability of assigning a negative outlook in the coming two years is rising.”

 

ATMs Running Out Of Cash In Egypt, While Traders Pull Up To $500 Million Per Day From Country Not surprisingly, ATMs have apparently run out of cash — no doubt fueled by aggressive withdrawals and the inability to refill them.

 

China Central Bank Advisor Urges Increase In Official Gold And Silver Reserves And so the long anticipated incursion by the PBOC, whose holdings of gold are behind even those of GLD, begins.

 

Former Managing Director of Goldman Sachs: Egyptians, Greeks, Tunisians and British Are All Protesting Against Pillaging of Their Economies Nomi Prins – former managing director of Goldman Sachs and head of the international analytics group at Bear Stearns in London – notes that the Egyptian people are rebelling against being pillaged by giant, international banks and their own government as much as anything else.

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

Senator Schumer doesn’t know the three branches of government Infowars.com | Schumer says the three branches of government are the Senate, the House, and the president.

 

Mubarak May Flee to Israel, Not Saudi Arabia Kurt Nimmo | The Israelis support Mubarak’s war against his own people.

 

Cairo: Anger starting to focus on Israel, US Saturday’s optimism on the streets of Cairo for imminent political change gave way to anger on Sunday, as thousands of demonstrators became increasingly frustrated with the lack of response from major world leaders, especially the US.

 

Obama will go down in history as the president who lost Egypt The street revolts in Tunisia and Egypt show that the United States can do very little to save its friends from the wrath of their citizens.

 

W O R L D W I D E : r E V O L U T I O N Moving video summarizing recent events in Egypt, the wider Middle East and the global fallout. Human beings around the world are speaking out, and the message is clear – WE WILL NOT LIVE ON OUR KNEES.

 

Cashless Society: ‘Facebook Nation’ unveils its new currency Patrick Henningsen | With the introduction of a cashless society, citizens are also likely to lose their identities associated with national currencies like American Dollars, or British Sterling.

 

Kill Switch: Obama Administration Fears Egypt-Style Revolt In U.S. Paul Joseph Watson | Obama decries Internet shut-down in Egypt while his own administration prepares to enact same draconian powers to crush dissent during times of political upheaval in America.

 

Globalist Stooge ElBaradei Prepares To Hijack Egyptian Revolution Paul Joseph Watson | Won’t get fooled again? Zbigniew Brzezinski tells Mubarak to step down.

 

Florida Judge Rules Obamacare Unconstitutional A judge in Florida on Monday became the second judge to declare President Barack Obama’s healthcare reform law unconstitutional, in the biggest legal challenge yet to federal authority to enact the law.

 

Kill Switch: Obama Administration Fears Egypt-Style Revolt In U.S. The Obama administration is busy attempting to pass legislation that would give the President a kill switch for the Internet in the United States while at the same time decrying Egyptian authorities for shutting down the Internet in a bid to deflate the unfolding revolution against Hosni Mubarak. The reason is simple – the government fears an Egypt-style revolt occurring in the U.S. and wants to block access to the world wide web if and when it happens.

 

Mubarak May Flee to Israel, Not Saudi Arabia Aljazeera is reporting that its sources indicate Egyptian dictator Hosni Mubarak will flee to Israel. It was earlier speculated that he would take refuge in Saudi Arabia.

 

Corporate US Media’s Woeful, Sanitized Egypt Coverage Amounts To Censorship While the ailing dictatorship government in Egypt is busy rounding up and arresting Al Jazeera journalists in an attempt to control the release of footage and accounts of the mass uprising going on throughout the entirety of the country, the disgraceful corporate American media has once again shown itself to be just as strictly regulated in terms of the content it provides to viewers.

 

Globalist Stooge ElBaradei Prepares To Hijack Egyptian Revolution Zbigniew Brzezinski has called for Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak to step down as globalist stooge Mohammed ElBaradei prepares to act as the pied piper for a revolution that has been hijacked by the global elite.

 

Egypt protesters call strike, ‘million man march’ Egyptian protesters on Monday called for an indefinite general strike and a “million man march” on Tuesday in Cairo, upping the stakes in their bid to topple President Hosni Mubarak’s creaking regime.

 

 

 

Israel urges world to curb criticism of Egypt’s Mubarak [ War crimes, illegal nukes nation israel’s kiss of death for mubarak. ] Haaretz | Israel called on the United States and a number of European countries over the weekend to curb their criticism of President Hosni Mubarak to preserve stability in the region.

 

 

 

Is the Egyptian Government Using Agents Provocateur to Justify a Crack Down On the Protesters? Washington’s Blog | If intelligence agencies or federal, state or local police commit acts of violence against people or property, and then blame it on peaceful protesters, that is false flag terror.

 

The Evolving Populist Political Rebellion in the Arab World Dave Lefcourt | Our hubris and exceptionalism assumes we control the world.

 

Tarpley: Egypt Uprising is US-UK Destabilization Campaign Russia Today | British speak through Al-Jazeera, Tarpley contends.

 

Omar Suleiman: CIA’s Point Man in Egypt Jane Mayer | Mubarak appointed his intelligence chief and confidant Omar Suleiman to vice-president post on Saturday.

 

150 Dead as Egypt Tilts Toward Lawlessness Sify News | Gangs of armed men helped free thousands of prisoners and looters rampaged malls, banks and jewelery stores.

 

 

Top Egyptian Military Officials Cut Short Meetings in U.S. Marine Gen. James Cartwright, vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said that the talks involving Egyptian military officials have been aborted because of the developments. The discussions had been scheduled to run through next Wednesday, February 2.

 

Alex Jones: Corporations, US Government Run News Media Several huge corporations own networks and newspapers in the US. How much of the content do they control? Radio Host Alex Jones says the old media is too close to not only corporations, but the government too. Many Americans are turning to alternative online sources for the truth, but Google, which Jones alleges was created by the NSA, will soon start to censor alternative news outlets.

 

Inequality In America Is Worse Than In Egypt, Tunisia Or Yemen Egyptian, Tunisian and Yemeni protesters all say that inequality is one of the main reasons they’re protesting.

 

CNBC Host Erin Burnett Implies America Should Support Foreign Dictators To Keep Flow Of Cheap Oil “One more thing,” Burnett remarked. “If this spreads, the United States could take a huge hit because democracy in a place like Saudi Arabia, you’ve talked about who might come in power, what that means for oil prices. They’re going to go stratospheric.”

What Is Globalization? What is globalization? Well, if you ask 100 different Americans you will probably get 100 different answers. Many people view globalization as harmless or even as a good thing. Other Americans believe that the United States will never be integrated into a global economic and political system.

 

Brad Meltzer’s Decoded: Bohemian Grove Best-selling author Brad Meltzer and his team try to penetrate Bohemian Grove, one of America’s most tightly guarded gatherings of the rich and powerful. The Decoded team converges on the group’s hideaway in a northern California redwood forest to pursue rumors of ritual sacrifice and secret agreements that control the lives of everyday Americans.

 

The Egypt Protests in Photos Some breathtaking photos of the anti-government revolution in Egypt. WARNING – some of these images are graphic and disturbing.

 

Middle Britain’s tax rates ‘could rise to 83%’ Nearly a million people will see their tax rates soar as the government’s austerity package kicks in this spring, potentially to as high as 83%.

 

Is the Egyptian Government Using Agents Provocateur to Justify a Crack Down On the Protesters? Ayman Mohyeldin reports that eyewitnesses have said “party thugs” associated with the Egyptian regime’s Central Security Services – in plainclothes but bearing government-issued weapons – have been looting in Cairo. Ayman says the reports started off as isolated accounts but are now growing in number.

 

Death toll in Egypt’s protests tops 100: sources More than 100 people have been killed during anti-government protests that have swept Egypt, according to a Reuters tally of reports from medical sources, hospitals and witnesses.

 

Egypt vigilantes defend homes as police disappear Egyptians armed with sticks and razors have formed vigilante groups to defend their homes from looters after police disappeared from the streets following days of violent protests.

 

‘US’ weapons witnessed in Egypt A lot of anger has shifted to international influences in Egypt as protesters witness “made in USA” labels on the weapons used against them, says Press TV’s correspondent.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Egyptian capital teeters on anarchy  Mubarak asks cabinet to resign as anti-regime protests intensify  (Washington Post) [ Mubarak should have been looking in the mirror as he asked his cabinet to resign … 30 years is a long time, and coincidentally, time for him to go.   In Egypt: Access denied (Washington Post) [The day part of the Internet died: Egypt goes dark [I disagree! Part of the internet didn’t die, but rather the order to so darken the nation heralded the demise, at 30 years and counting, of the so-called leadership in the persona of Mubarak. Time for him to go! After all, he’s been in a position, with Egypt among the only Mideast nations to have signed a peace treaty with israel, to have stepped up with substantial credibility in taking a strong position against israeli transgressions, violations of international law / u.n. resolutions, war crimes, etc., which beyond soft-touch, he failed to do. And, of all places, he sends his family to Orwellian england; he still loves those colonial masters … how pathetic. I mean, 30 years … how free-flowing does anyone think the election process is at this point … and one could ask the same regarding the entrenched powers that be in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, to be fair. Then there’s saudi arabia; talk about do nothing hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation; I suspect only when foreign corporations say so. The only Mideast nations showing backbone are Turkey, Lebanon, and Syria, and, of course the perennially propaganda painted bad-boy Iran among possibly some of the smaller emirates, ie., Qatar, etc., (I lack sufficient information regarding these other nations).  ] (AP)         Internet cutoff fails to silence Egypt protests (AP) - AP - In its effort to silence protesters, Egypt took a step that's rare even among authoritarian governments: It cut off the Internet across the entire country.       Mubarak fires Cabinet, defends army’s efforts   Sat, 29 Jan 2011 00:20:58 GMT  Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak dismisses his Cabinet, calls on the army to help put down rising potests...     Egypt's Mubarak sends in army, resists demands to quit (Reuters) - 1 hour agoReuters - Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak refused on Saturday to bow to demands that he resign after ordering troops and tanks into cities in an attempt to quell an explosion of street protests again...        ]      Embattled leader's move falls far short of demands that he give up his 30-year authoritarian rule, leave the country and permit fresh elections.

 


Israel watches Arab turmoil closely, but comments cautiously Washington Post) [ Illegal nuke-totin’ war crimes nation israel, watch this closely since the same was a long time coming …   GOP senator favors cutting US aid to Israel (AP)  ( Now this is a great and long overdue idea that might also lead to enhanced peace efforts for the region; b e c a u s e , israel will have less money to waste on provocative and costly (particularly to america financially and geopolitically) war games. ) AP - Tea party-backed Republican Sen. Rand Paul favors cutting U.S. aid to Israel as part of a deficit-driven effort to slash government spending by $500 billion this year, drawing criticism from Dems (and capital hill generally as Buchanan once described as israeli occupied territory, to america’s detriment) ...  Rand Paul: End Aid to Israel Pressed on CNN’s Situation Room about details on his budget cut plans, Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) says end all foreign aid–and when pressed further says that includes to Israel. ]

 

Economic growth strengthened (Washington Post) [  Wow! Mr. Irwin’s back to his glass very much half full ways. The question is, is Mr. Irwin trying to convince himself, or disingenuously trying to convince his readers. After all, in reality, they’re really hasn’t been sufficient  ‘bang for the buck’ (Fed Continues Failed Monetary Policy Suttmeier, chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com

‘Fed Is Continuing a Failed Monetary Policy (And, amazingly, their rationale is the same failed rationale that preceded the last bubble, as now, crash, as will, that was spun by senile greenspan that wall street frauds / insiders sold into; you know, that so called wealth effect which in reality is theirs not yours; viz., their gain, your pain.)
 

  • Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December confirms that the economic recovery is continuing, though at a rate that has been insufficient to bring about a significant improvement in labor market conditions.
  • Growth in household spending picked up late last year, but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit.
  • Business spending on equipment and software is rising, while investment in nonresidential structures is still weak.

Employers remain reluctant to add to payrolls. The housing sector continues to be depressed. Although commodity prices have risen, longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable, and measures of underlying inflation have been trending downward. ) Moreover, and most importantly, those are more than just in short supply; they’re not really there! ( Economist: United States Worse Off than Greece Dr. Laurence Kotlikoff is an economics professor at Boston University. He says the Treasury and the government are fudging the national debt numbers. Kotlikoff says the United States is bankrupt and we don’t even know it.   BRACE YOURSELF: Moody’s Basically Just Threatened To Downgrade The US A day after S&P downgraded Japan’s debt, the attention turns to the US.  )]   Data show that the recovery is becoming deeper and broader.

 

U.S. stocks drop sharply as protests intensify in Egypt (Washington Post) [Egypt riots knock Wall St to biggest drop in 6 months (Reuters) – [ No! That’s not correct! They probably would like you to think that … some unforeseeable problem from out of nowhere deflating their contrived fraudulent bubble that they always manage to sell into. But the fact is the market’s overvalued to a point again beyond the pale … another inflated point that the wall street frauds always seem to find some reason other than the reality of a fraudulently manipulated overvalued bubble to sell into. ] Reuters - Stocks suffered their biggest one-day loss in nearly six months on Friday as anti-government rioting in Egypt prompted investors to flee to less risky assets to ride out the turmoil.  ] U.S. stocks decline as violent clashes in Egypt inject a jolt of anxiety into global financial markets

In Egypt: Access denied (Washington Post) [The day part of the Internet died: Egypt goes dark [I disagree! Part of the internet didn’t die, but rather the order to so darken the nation heralded the demise, at 30 years and counting, of the so-called leadership in the persona of Mubarak. Time for him to go! After all, he’s been in a position, with Egypt among the only Mideast nations to have signed a peace treaty with israel, to have stepped up with substantial credibility in taking a strong position against israeli transgressions, violations of international law / u.n. resolutions, war crimes, etc., which beyond soft-touch, he failed to do. And, of all places, he sends his family to Orwellian england; he still loves those colonial masters … how pathetic. I mean, 30 years … how free-flowing does anyone think the election process is at this point … and one could ask the same regarding the entrenched powers that be in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, to be fair. Then there’s saudi arabia; talk about do nothing hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation; I suspect only when foreign corporations say so. The only Mideast nations showing backbone are Turkey, Lebanon, and Syria, and, of course the perennially propaganda painted bad-boy Iran among possibly some of the smaller emirates, ie., Qatar, etc., (I lack sufficient information regarding these other nations).  ] (AP)         Internet cutoff fails to silence Egypt protests (AP) - AP - In its effort to silence protesters, Egypt took a step that's rare even among authoritarian governments: It cut off the Internet across the entire country.       Mubarak fires Cabinet, defends army’s efforts   Sat, 29 Jan 2011 00:20:58 GMT  Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak dismisses his Cabinet, calls on the army to help put down rising potests...     Egypt's Mubarak sends in army, resists demands to quit (Reuters) - 1 hour agoReuters - Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak refused on Saturday to bow to demands that he resign after ordering troops and tanks into cities in an attempt to quell an explosion of street protests again...        ]

Unrest in Egypt has been ongoing all week, but the Internet only seemed to take notice when it affected the Internet. The chilling aspect of an Internet clampdown is the assumption that lies behind it: If you will not let your people tweet, what else will you not let them do?

 

 

 

Dow Will Find Top With a 12,000 Handle Minyanville ‘Editor's Note: This article was written by Richard Suttmeier, chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com, which is a fundamentally based quant research firm in Princeton, New Jersey, that covers more than 5,000 stocks every day.

The yield on the US Treasury 10-Year note has formed a trading range between 3.568 and 3.247 balanced by supply, fears of inflation, and QE2 buying by the Federal Reserve. Comex gold declined as expected and now faces my semiannual value level at $1300.6. Nymex crude oil failed below its semiannual pivot at $87.52 as the $92.00 a barrel barrier proved to be resistance. The euro has become stronger than expected after holding 1.3225, but faces a daily risky level at 1.3828 today. Stocks are overvalued fundamentally and overbought technically. The Dow Industrial should find a top above 12,000 just as 14,000 was a barrier in October 2007.

10-Year Note -- (3.385) Daily, weekly, annual, and semiannual value levels are 3.438, 3.758, 3.791, and 4.268 with annual, semiannual, and monthly risky levels at 2.690, 2.441, 2.322, and 2.150.

10 Year Note

Source: Thomson / Reuters

Comex Gold -- ($1311.3) Semiannual and annual value levels are $1300.6 and $1187.2 with a daily pivot at $1319.2, quarterly and annual pivots at $1331.3 and $1356.5, and weekly, monthly, quarterly, and semiannual risky levels at $1390.9, $1439.0, $1441.7, and $1452.6.

Comex Gold

Source: Thomson / Reuters

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($85.42) My monthly value level is $75.74 with daily and semiannual pivots at $84.80 and $87.52, and weekly, annual, semiannual, and quarterly risky levels at $95.34, $99.91, $101.92, $107.14, and $110.87.

Nymex Crude Oil

Source: Thomson / Reuters

The Euro -- (1.3725) Weekly, quarterly, and monthly value levels are 1.3398, 1.3227, and 1.2805 with a daily risky level at 1.3828. Semiannual and annual risky levels are 1.4624, 1.4989, 1.6367 and 1.7312.

Euro Chart

Source: Thomson / Reuters

Daily Dow: (11,990) Annual, quarterly, semiannual, monthly, and semiannual value levels are 11,491, 11,395, 10,959, 10,427, and 9,449 with daily, weekly, and annual risky levels at 12,053, 12,162, and 13,890.

Dow Chart

Source: Thomson / Reuters

 

Stocks remain overvalued fundamentally according to ValuEngine with all 16 sectors overvalued and only 35.6% of all stocks undervalued. This follows last week’s ValuEngine Valuation Warning, which will renew if less than 35% of stocks are undervalued.

 

All major averages are extremely overbought on their weekly charts...'

 

 

 

 

Regulators shut banks (11 so far in 2011)  in Colo, NM, Okla, Wis

 

 

 

 

The day part of the Internet died: Egypt goes dark [I disagree! Part of the internet didn’t die, but rather the order to so darken the nation heralded the demise, at 30 years and counting, of the so-called leadership in the persona of Mubarak. Time for him to go! After all, he’s been in a position, with Egypt among the only Mideast nations to have signed a peace treaty with israel, to have stepped up with substantial credibility in taking a strong position against israeli transgressions, violations of international law / u.n. resolutions, war crimes, etc., which beyond soft-touch, he failed to do. And, of all places, he sends his family to Orwellian england; he still loves those colonial masters … how pathetic. I mean, 30 years … how free-flowing does anyone think the election process is at this point … and one could ask the same regarding the entrenched powers that be in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, to be fair. Then there’s saudi arabia; talk about do nothing hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation; I suspect only when foreign corporations say so. The only Mideast nations showing backbone are Turkey, Lebanon, and Syria, and, of course the perennially propaganda painted bad-boy Iran among possibly some of the smaller emirates, ie., Qatar, etc., (I lack sufficient information regarding these other nations).  ] (AP)         Internet cutoff fails to silence Egypt protests (AP) - AP - In its effort to silence protesters, Egypt took a step that's rare even among authoritarian governments: It cut off the Internet across the entire country.       Mubarak fires Cabinet, defends army’s efforts   Sat, 29 Jan 2011 00:20:58 GMT  Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak dismisses his Cabinet, calls on the army to help put down rising potests...     Egypt's Mubarak sends in army, resists demands to quit (Reuters) - 1 hour agoReuters - Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak refused on Saturday to bow to demands that he resign after ordering troops and tanks into cities in an attempt to quell an explosion of street protests again...       

 

 


 

Egypt riots knock Wall St to biggest drop in 6 months (Reuters) – [ No! That’s not correct! They probably would like you to think that … some unforeseeable problem from out of nowhere deflating their contrived fraudulent bubble that they always manage to sell into. But the fact is the market’s overvalued to a point again beyond the pale … another inflated point that the wall street frauds always seem to find some reason other than the reality of a fraudulently manipulated overvalued bubble to sell into. ] Reuters - Stocks suffered their biggest one-day loss in nearly six months on Friday as anti-government rioting in Egypt prompted investors to flee to less risky assets to ride out the turmoil.

 

 

 

 

GOP senator favors cutting US aid to Israel (AP)  [ Now this is a great and long overdue idea that might also lead to enhanced peace efforts for the region; b e c a u s e , israel will have less money to waste on provocative and costly (particularly to america financially and geopolitically) war games. ]  AP - Tea party-backed Republican Sen. Rand Paul favors cutting U.S. aid to Israel as part of a deficit-driven effort to slash government spending by $500 billion this year, drawing criticism from Dems (and capital hill generally as Buchanan once described as israeli occupied territory, to america’s detriment) ...  Rand Paul: End Aid to Israel Pressed on CNN’s Situation Room about details on his budget cut plans, Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) says end all foreign aid–and when pressed further says that includes to Israel.

 

 

 

 

FCIC Done; Lets Banksters Skate: Dave's Daily ‘The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (FCIC), after months of investigation, concluded this entire mortgage crisis was avoidable. Whew! Who knew?!? Bank stocks were up today despite some suggestion from the commission report of some criminal referrals. It must not have been any of Da Boyz at Goldman unless they're going after maintenance staff. Some of the elite are getting steamed as Jamie Dimon lost his cool while sipping Perrier at a panel in Davos. He didn't say he was doing "God's work," just not Satan's. Meanwhile back at Wall & Broad markets did little overall with most excitement centered on NFLX which beat the pants off earnings estimates and rose a modest 15%. Also higher were semi's and GE. More POMO on Thursday which is something we'll just have to get used to until June unless there's QE3. Economic data was disappointing as Jobless Claims soared and Durable Goods orders fell. Pending Home Sales were high but on must wonder how much of these were foreclosure resales as this activity reached new highs last month. Gold was knocked down sharply through what we've estimated as technical support as investors are scrambling out of its safe-haven appeal and into stocks...so it's said. Most commodities were dragged lower by this action. Just at the close MSFT reported disappointing results and after the close AMZN did the same with the stock now down over 10% as this is written. We did an interview with Tony Davidow, Managing Director, Portfolio Strategist, Rydex SGI Investments where we discuss equal weight sectors including their new emerging market equal weights which should prove interesting. Volume was once again quite light but breadth was positive per the WSJ.’

 

 

 

 

 

Paulson's $5 billion payout shocks, raises questions (Reuters) [ Shock? Come on … everyone knows that crime in america pays … and pays well! ]

 

 

 

 

 

Fed Continues Failed Monetary Policy Suttmeier, chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com

‘Fed Is Continuing a Failed Monetary Policy (And, amazingly, their rationale is the same failed rationale that preceded the last bubble, as now, crash, as will, that was spun by senile greenspan that wall street frauds / insiders sold into; you know, that so called wealth effect which in reality is theirs not yours; viz., their gain, your pain.)
 

  • Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December confirms that the economic recovery is continuing, though at a rate that has been insufficient to bring about a significant improvement in labor market conditions.
  • Growth in household spending picked up late last year, but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit.
  • Business spending on equipment and software is rising, while investment in nonresidential structures is still weak.
  • Employers remain reluctant to add to payrolls. The housing sector continues to be depressed. Although commodity prices have risen, longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable, and measures of underlying inflation have been trending downward.


Fed policy includes the continuation of QE2, which is the purchase of $600 billion of longer-dated US Treasuries to be completed by the end of the second quarter. We are in the midst of this program that is failing to bring down US Treasury yields as intended. The yield on the 10-Year US Treasury was at 2.334 on October 8 in anticipation of QE2 then traded as high as 3.568 on December 16. This keeps the housing market depressed, which is a Fed concern.

Fed Policy has kept the funds rate at 0% to 0.25% since December 16, 2008, and expects to maintain that rate for a continued extended period. I have argued for years that the FOMC should never have pushed the funds rate below 3%. Lower rates hurt citizens living on a fixed income, and invites Wall Street speculation. Monetary policy focuses on creating and popping asset bubbles, which has destroyed consumer confidence and leaves businesses reluctant to create jobs.

New Home Sales rose 17.5% in December to an annual rate of 329,000, but this is skewed by an unexplained 71.9% gain out West. For 2010 as a whole, single-family home sales fell 14.4% to a record low 321,000 units. The Commerce Department began tracking this statistic in 1963. The inventory of new homes is now at the lowest level in more than 40 years as home builders cannot obtain the credit needed to meet potential higher demand in 2011. The National Association of Home Builders indicated that the 71.9% rise in sales in the West may have been caused by contracts signed ahead of costly new building codes going into affect in some states this month.

The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage loan applications decreased 12.9% on a seasonal basis last week. The Refinance Index decreased 15.3% and reached the lowest level since last January. The Purchase Index fell 8.7%, to its lowest level since October, and 20.8% lower year over year…’


 

 

 

 

Jobless Claims Rise to Highest Level Since October [ Jobless claims much worse than expected … stocks rally. ] NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- The number of Americans filing unemployment claims rose to its highest level since October last week, the Labor Department said early Thursday. The advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims increased by 51,000 to 454,000 in the week ended Jan.22 after dropping to 403,000 in the previous week. Economists were expecting initial claims to rise to 410,000, according to consensus estimates from Briefing.com. The number of Americans filing continuing claims -- those who have been receiving unemployment insurance for at least a week -- came in higher than expected as well at 3.99 million for the week ended Jan.15, an increase of 94,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 3.89 million. Consensus estimates projected continuing claims to drop slightly to 3.83 million from 3.86 million reported the previous week…’

 

Earnings Drag Dow Down to Another 12000 Closing Miss…Orders for goods expected to last at least three years fell and a reading of manufacturing activity in the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City's district slowed sharply in January…Japan's long-term credit rating to double-A-minus from double-A, citing concerns over the country's high debt levels…better-than-expected reading of pending sales of existing homes (foreclosures / distressed sales – Drudgereport: Foreclosure activity up across metro areas...  ), coupled with a surprisingly large jump in jobless claims didn't add clarity to the economic outlook (dismal) …

 

 

Microsoft's Windows disappoints as PC sales wane (Reuters)

 

 

Economist: United States Worse Off than Greece Dr. Laurence Kotlikoff is an economics professor at Boston University. He says the Treasury and the government are fudging the national debt numbers. Kotlikoff says the United States is bankrupt and we don’t even know it.

 

Peter Schiff: FCIC is a sham! The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission report on the 2008 financial crisis will spread the blame all around to everyone from federal regulators to corporate overseers to all kinds of government officials. But is it all for show? Peter Schiff, the president of Euro Pacific Capital argued the entire commission was a $10 million sham designed to conclude the government’s own pre-conceived notions. The report said the crisis was the result too few government regulations, when in fact government regulations caused the problem, he contended.

 

US Crisis Blame & Shame: Banksters still on Easy Street A report on causes of the recent global financial crisis has sparked anger over the authors of the meltdown. The document released by a US investigative commission, points finger at the country’s economic elite. But, as RT’s Lauren Lyster reports, previous experience showed those responsible are likely to go unpunished.

 

BRACE YOURSELF: Moody’s Basically Just Threatened To Downgrade The US A day after S&P downgraded Japan’s debt, the attention turns to the US.

 

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

 

Egypt: U.S. Puppet Regime On Verge of Collapse Kurt Nimmo | Mubarak and his knuckle-dragging dictatorship are crucial to the foreign policy of the United States.

 

Egypt’s Internet Kill Switch: Coming To America Steve Watson | Internet intelligence authority Renesys has confirmed that “virtually all of Egypt’s Internet addresses are now unreachable, worldwide.”

 

Brzezinski’s Feared “Global Awakening” Has Arrived Paul Joseph Watson | Monumental worldwide rallying cry for freedom threatens to derail new world order agenda.

 

Protesters Storm Government Buildings in Cairo FoxNews.com | Thousands of protesters try to storm the foreign ministry, state TV building in Cairo, defying curfew.

 

Resist the New World Order: V for Victory Campaign Entries Infowars.com | Our campaign to fight against the police state control grid gains momentum

 

Protesters in Egypt Flash ‘V For Victory’ Sign As Dictatorial Regime Nears End The V for Victory sign has become symbolic of the anti-government protests in Egypt, where Egyptians are demonstrating for the end of the 30-year dictatorial Mubarak regime and the institution of political representation, freedom of speech and the right to dissent without being tortured by secret police. Egyptians have also seen their quality of life eviscerated by soaring food inflation as a result of acts of financial terrorism launched by the global banking elite.

 

Are We Witnessing the Start of a Global Revolution? It seems as if the world is entering the beginnings of a new revolutionary era: the era of the ‘Global Political Awakening.’ While this ‘awakening’ is materializing in different regions, different nations and under different circumstances, it is being largely influenced by global conditions.

 

The Smartest President Ever? : Obama Confuses Iraq and Afghanistan The president twice referred to Afghanistan when clearly talking about the situation in Iraq.

 

Brzezinski’s Feared “Global Awakening” Has Arrived Zbigniew Brzezinski’s much feared “global political awakening” is in full swing. Revolts in Egypt, Yemen, Tunisia and other countries represent a truly monumental worldwide rallying cry for freedom that threatens to immeasurably damage the agenda for one world government, but only if the successful revolutionaries can prevent themselves from being co-opted by a paranoid and desperate global elite.

Egypt’s Internet Kill Switch: Coming To America In response to widespread protests and mass unrest, the authoritarian Egyptian government has completely shut down the country’s access to the internet, eliminating the use of social networking websites, other effective tools of communication and organisation, and effectively sealing Egypt off from the rest of the world. The Obama Administration is looking to embrace the exact same internet control mechanism in America.

 

Police members remove uniforms — join protests! A number of police members removed their suits and joined protests against the regime, according to Al Arabiya.

 

Mubarak orders army to back police against unrest Egyptian armed forces backed by armored cars deployed in Cairo and other major cities on Friday to tackle huge popular protests demanding the resignation of President Hosni Mubarak.

 

Obama Administration Expresses Support For Mubarak As Protester Shot Dead In Egypt The Obama administration expressed its support for under fire Egyptian dictator Hosni Mubarak even as footage emerged of a protester being shot dead by Mubarak’s security forces in Cairo, as the government shut down the Internet, land lines and the mobile phone network in a desperate bid to cling on to power amidst widespread rioting.

 

 

Rand Paul: End Aid to Israel Pressed on CNN’s Situation Room about details on his budget cut plans, Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) says end all foreign aid–and when pressed further says that includes to Israel.

 

 

 

 

Drudgereport: USA 'SECRETLY BACKS UPRISING'

Egyptian President Mubarak asks Cabinet to resign...
Tanks Sent Into Cairo...
Explosions, Gunfire Heard as Protesters Defy Curfew...
Cities become battlegrounds...
Police members remove uniforms -- join protests...
Dramatic video as thousands clash...
LIVE STREAM...
Axelrod: Obama Has 'Directly Confronted' Mubarak for Past 2 Years 'To Get Ahead of This'...
Iran Sees Rise of Islamic Hard-Liners in Arab Lands...

Spain jobless rate surges to 20.33%...
GDP 4TH QTR: 3.2%...

Less than expected; stocks slide...
NASDAQ outage leaves traders scrambling...

Egyptian Strife Sends Oil Close To $100 On Suez Canal Closure Fears...

WH: Obama has not tried to talk to Egyptian ruler...
Lobotomy joe biden weighs in with his somewhat stretched political philosophy: Mubarak's no dictator, shouldn't step down...
Egyptian Police Using U.S.-Made Tear Gas AgainstDemonstrators...
Egypt Shows How Easily Internet Can Be Silenced...
PAPER: Events 'moving too fast for Obama administration'...
Iranian Media Hail Egypt 'Revolution'...
Thousands protest in Jordan, demand PM step down...
Huge anti-government protest in Albania...
NY mob task force spends 6 MONTHS probing 50-cent sausage heist...
As with cuomo, you won’t see new york / mob infested new jersey trying too hard if at all to hurt themselves by prosecuting mob which is so integrally a part of both states… ‘On the mobbed-up docks of Bayonne, the six-month probe was known as Operation Missing Link.Its target: A suspect who swiped a $2 bottle of iced tea and used it to wash down a stolen 50-cent piece of sausage - the lost link that left a bad taste in everybody's mouth, sources told the Daily News.An investigation of the penny-ante heist was ordered by the Waterfront Commission, the agency charged with policing the docks for mob corruption, drug smuggling and other major crimes, the sources said.The investigation included scores of interviews over countless hours dating to last August, sources said - even though the victim was reluctant to press charges."It's like Capt. Queeg and the strawberries," said New Jersey state Sen. Raymond Lesniak, a harsh critic of the bistate commission."It's a $2.50 ongoing investigation."One of the sources was more blunt: "The whole investigation is bull----. It's a waste of manpower, money and resources."Waterfront Commission General Counsel Phoebe Soriel, while declining to address specifics, said the case was more complex than it appeared."While the commission does not comment on pending investigations, it takes any theft in the port seriously - especially theft involving extortion," she said without going into detail.The reported value of the stolen goods - a handful of change - is a microfraction of the $200 billion that moves annually through the ports of New York and New Jersey.The overkill began when the commission received an anonymous tip that someone filched the drink and the sausage from a food truck catering to dock workers.According to two sources, the case was quickly wrapped up: The thief confessed to the crime, and the victim said an arrest was unnecessary.The victim "didn't want to see him behind bars...just wanted him to stop," one source said.But top commission officials, convinced its investigators mishandled the case, ordered a second probe with every possible witness reinterviewed, the sources said.Investigators from the 58-year-old agency returned to the docks and conducted about 80 second interviews, all the while cranking out piles of paperwork, the sources said.The commission was blasted in August 2009 - one year before the sausage investigation was launched - as home to corrupt execs barely better than the waterfront's notorious mobsters.Officials were accused in a damning 60-page report of misusing Homeland Security money, keeping a convicted crook in business and surfing the Internet for porn.The iced-tea-and-sausage probe - which has yet to wrap up - is considered an embarrassment among investigators and dock workers."They snicker about it," one of the sources said.’

 

The FBI’s the only serious anti-mob game in town: FBI 'largest' Mafia takedown...
Flowchart...
'Vinny Carwash', 'The Fang', 'Tony Bagels', 'Johnny Pizza', 'Baby Shacks', 'Jack the Wack', 'Junior Lollipops', 'Bobby Glasses'...

 

 

The Mafia family tree: FBI flowchart reveals
127 'mobsters' arrested in biggest ever blitz on New York's crime empires
  [ This is a very big deal!  http://albertpeia.com/mafiafamilytreeflowchartFBIarrests.htm    ]



 

Car bomb kills dozens (Washington Post) [  Ah, yes! Signs of american style democratization in the middle east popping out all over. The other turmoil is testament to the fact that other mideast nations have complacently sat back as zionist israel / american ‘adventurism / war / war crimes / war profiteering have taken their toll on the region, their people, and their aspirations which like all such action outside a vacuum, have reactions.   ] At least 48 were killed and 121 wounded when a booby-trapped car exploded outside a funeral tent in a Shiite neighborhood of northern Baghdad, escalating an upsurge of violence across the country.

 

 

New research points to earlier human migration out of Africa (Washington Post) [  This is hardly breakthrough news inasmuch as the same has been reported with authority in as far back as 2005 4th edition Michael Alan Park text; viz., ‘…fossils (of) the first fully modern Homo Sapiens are found in Africa and Southwest Asia beginning around 160,000 years ago.’ Truth be told, I find such fine lines in this truly sad tale of the history of man to be relatively unimportant. Interestingly, coincidentally, the Drudgereport this day includes this headline: DNA: Humans 97% same as orangutans … 98% same as chimps ... ] For decades, the consensus scientific opinion has held that anatomically modern humans first migrated out of Africa some 60,000 years ago, heading north into the eastern Mediterranean region and then on to Europe and Asia.

 

Anthropologists adopt a more favorable view of Neanderthals (Washington Post) [ Well, I’m a bit surprised and somewhat disappointed that with a little more effort, rather than rely upon inference, they could have taken a trip to the new york / new jersey / connecticut metropolitan area (etc.) and observed directly these lower italian modern-day archaic humans! Then there are the other modern day archaics / ape-like creatures that warrant greater scrutiny. ]

"What this means is that Neanderthals are not totally extinct. In some of us, they live on," Paabo … With regard to that extinction thing, I’d say they’re still working on it (ultimately, decades, extinction, the distinction, without a difference).  Actually, prior to studying the compelling subject of Biological Anthropology (Michael Park text), I too had some misconceptions about the group known as Neandertals (recent spelling drops the ‘h’) and actually mis-referenced same by the stereotypical image of members of said clade even as the debate continues as to whether they are within the species homo sapiens or a separate species. I believe these to be distinctions without important differences, so humble the origins and evolution of man truly are. Parenthetically, I wonder what that anthropological scientist Heidi Klum thinks on the subject.

Neanderthals, Humans Interbred, DNA Proves

Signs of Neanderthals Mating With Humans - Neanderthals mated with some modern humans after all and left their imprint in the human genome.  Genome hints humans, Neanderthals rolled in prehistoric hay     You're a Neanderthal: Genes say yes — a little bit (AP) Neanderthals and people interbred, fossil analysis finds  For more info on man’s humble beginnings, see here     http://www.albertpeia.com/anthroindex1.htm        [ I’m adding this here, having seen while flipping channels an anthropologist talking up somewhat speciously the brain size of Neanderthals. The important but missed point here was potential ‘brain-power’ unrealized. Think of it this way: In the life-threateningly cold climes they inhabited, pre-occupation with warmth, fire, wood for fire, food, mere survival usurped all their waking moments. Have you ever tried to study, learn, think clearly (and new thoughts / neurogenesis thereby) under such harsh and perilous conditions; successfully? Neither could they. ]


Previously I wrote:

FOUND: MISSING LINK BETWEEN APES AND MAN.... These stories, and the many like it, are old news and I subscribe to the more studied view that there is no “missing link” per se and in my view they are distinctions without significant differences. I previously wrote:

To Learn More About From Whence Man Came, This Link's For You

  [To the Professor at the beginning of the course]    

   10-5-09 Postscript: Professor *****,
I felt compelled to thank you again for the add; not to curry your favor but indeed to express profound thanks inasmuch as this is probably the last formal course at a formal educational institution I'll ever take; and among the most important. While I had bought at discount a library-discarded 1993 Anthropology by Embers text, though meaning to read same never quite got to it. I am astounded by the substantial amount of time involved in the evolutionary process, not that I ever stopped to think about it, and one must come away with the sense of 'and all that...for this?'. This course should be required curriculum along with psychology, sociology, etc., but probably won't be owing to what is, as it should be, a very humbling educational experience for any member of the human race.
             Regards,
                                  Al Peia

[Interestingly, my intuitive (but unstudied) thoughts prior to closer examination of the compelling subject of Biological Anthropology remain what I believe to be the correct scenario. Specifically, very simply stated, for the most part, the more “enlightened” (but not by much; by mutation, accident, luck, intervention, etc.) left the unvarying confines of their Sub-Saharan origins, experienced diverse new environs, challenges, etc., experienced what has been described (by neuroscientists, psychologists, etc.) as neurogenesis in varying degrees and forms thereby over time, which trait was selected for and is consistent with the purported multi-regional evolutionary model which does not overtly contradict ultimately, initial African origins. Races, sub-species, missing links, etc., are subsumed in this very humbling and sorrowful tale of the “dawn of man”.]

 

 

 

U.S. must cut deficit, IMF warns (Washington Post) [ Duuuuuh! Ya’ think? CBO: This year's budget deficit to hit $1.5T  Washington Post (Why the CBO may not believe all its own deficit projections Christian Science Monitor       CBO: Social Security to run permanent deficits (AP)      No stemming red ink: Federal deficit to hit $1.5T (AP)       Deficit Outlook Darkens Wall Street Journal - WASHINGTON—The federal budget deficit will reach a record of nearly $1.5 trillion in 2011 due to the weak economy, higher spending and fresh tax cuts, congressional budget analysts said, ... Social Security now seen to run permanent deficits The Associated Press ) The nonpartisan budget agency predicts the deficit will drop to $1.1 trillion next year.   ]  The IMF warning comes as federal officials grapple with a congressional projection this week that the annual deficit will reach a historic $1.5 trillion this year. This is the latest report to raise concerns about how massive government debts in developed countries could undermine the global economic recovery.

 

 

Report points to U.S. regulators and big banks for economic crisis (Washington Post) [ Come on! Wake up! … ‘failed to restrict their risky activities’ , ‘pivotal failure to stem the flow of toxic mortgages’, etc.,… Of course not! Why? Because this was intentional and an integral part (the bubble) of the largest fraud in the history of this world (still ongoing with those toxic assets / paper / securities now marked to anything as per legislated FASB rule change, cashed out by the perps, and as yet, despite promises by wobama et als, still unprosecuted). Though among the greediest but hardly the brightest bulbs on the planet, the wall street frauds certainly were savy enough to understand all aspects and mechanics of this fraud in real time. Quite simply, they did it for the money, big money. This was a huge orchestrated securities fraud that made huge profits / gains for the perpetrators at great expense / damage to this among other nations. ]

 

Krauthammer: The old Obama in new clothing (Washington Post) [ The truly sad thing is that journalists / commentators as Mr. Krauthammer even waste their time pointing out the obvious; viz., that wobama is an egregiously flawed man, failed president, and a global embarrassment. Previous: Obama, unbending Gerson: The president's tone has changed, but he has not.  (Washington Post) [ Come on! How can anyone discuss ‘wobama the b’ (for b*** s***) as a serious ideologue when the reality is that he’s just utter and total b*** s*** … by what he does, not what he says  … he stands for nothing!  Previous: Grading the SOTU / Robinson (Washington Post) [ I say this sincerely and without even a tinge of sarcasm that anyone who even watched / listened to wobama’s ‘speech’ should be embarrassed / ashamed of themselves (not that I listened to dumbya bush’s either). The grade is ‘f’ as in failure as is his failed presidency, as in ‘f’ himself. Wobama is but a pathetic b*** s*** artist and a total embarrassment! Previous: Gerson: Obama, more deficit hawk than GOP? (Washington Post) [ Come on! Where do they get this stuff? Wobama not only continued war criminal dumbya bush’s perpetual war, fraudulent wall street protectorate, etc., free-spending ways, but added to the deficit in his own profligate ways; and, as I’ve said before, democrats / republicans are but distinctions without significant differences. Moreover, there’s the literal rearrangement of the congressional deck-chair seating in the u.s.s. titanic halls for the non-event state of the union (wobama the ‘b’ for b*** s***, more empty words belied by actions / non-action) … Previous: Topic A: What should be in State of the Union? (Washington Post) [ Well, at the very least, it should be noted that the states of the union are crumbling (see bankruptcy headlines infra), ergo, the state of the union is crumbling and precarious indeed. The problem with and for wobama is that he’s been there, done that, and his words don’t match his actions, as is so regarding his not easily forgotten campaign promises (from perpetual wars, to no pros the frauds on wall street, to new ‘bubble building’ as in last precursor to crash supplanting sound economics. Blame it on the teleprompter … sounds like a plan! All we really know for certain is what definitely will not be in the state of the union; viz., a solution to pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s intractable decline. ] ]

 

 

 

 

Jobless Claims Rise to Highest Level Since October [ Jobless claims much worse than expected … stocks rally. ] NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- The number of Americans filing unemployment claims rose to its highest level since October last week, the Labor Department said early Thursday. The advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims increased by 51,000 to 454,000 in the week ended Jan.22 after dropping to 403,000 in the previous week. Economists were expecting initial claims to rise to 410,000, according to consensus estimates from Briefing.com. The number of Americans filing continuing claims -- those who have been receiving unemployment insurance for at least a week -- came in higher than expected as well at 3.99 million for the week ended Jan.15, an increase of 94,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 3.89 million. Consensus estimates projected continuing claims to drop slightly to 3.83 million from 3.86 million reported the previous week…’

 

Earnings Drag Dow Down to Another 12000 Closing Miss…Orders for goods expected to last at least three years fell and a reading of manufacturing activity in the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City's district slowed sharply in January…Japan's long-term credit rating to double-A-minus from double-A, citing concerns over the country's high debt levels…better-than-expected reading of pending sales of existing homes (foreclosures / distressed sales – Drudgereport: Foreclosure activity up across metro areas...  ), coupled with a surprisingly large jump in jobless claims didn't add clarity to the economic outlook (dismal) …

 

 

Microsoft's Windows disappoints as PC sales wane (Reuters)

 

Fed's Broken Record: Recovery Too Weak For Job Growth  Schaefer ‘The Federal Reserve left its benchmark federal funds rate unchanged Wednesday and made no change to its plan to purchase $600 billion in longer-term Treasury securities by the end of June.According to the afternoon statement issued by the Federal Open Market Committee, “the economic recovery is continuing, though at a rate insufficient to bring about a significant improvement in labor market conditions.”A confluence of factors continue to constrain household spending, including high unemployment (9.4% at last check), modest income growth, lower housing wealth and tight credit. The central bank addressed the rising prices in commodity markets, chiefly oil and food, noting that “although commodity prices have risen, longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable and measures of underlying inflation have been trending downward.”January’s vote passed without dissent, but that was due more to a change in the makeup of the committee than any shift in the support for the path of Chairman Ben Bernanke. Inflation hawk Thomas Hoenig, who has dissented against the Fed’s easy monetary policy and asset purchase programs, is no longer a voting member after his FOMC term ended at year’s end.Given the lack of anything new in the Fed statement, it came as little surprise that major U.S. equity indexes held their ground after the release. The Dow was up 26 points at 12,003, the S&P 500 7 points to 1,298 and the Nasdaq set the pace rallying 22 points to 2,742. The euro was on hold in the high $1.36 range, while oil prices maintained their earlier advance above $87 a barrel and gold was narrowly positive on the day at $1338 an ounce.’

 

 

 

Goldman Sachs Can’t Say It Didn’t Get Bailed Out Anymore — It Kept Billions From AIG Even though Goldman Sachs execs testified on the Hill that AIG bailout funds it received did not stay with the bank, but were dispersed as compensation to clients and institutions on the other side of a prop trade gone wrong, it actually kept $2.9 billion for itself, according to a report by the FCIC.

 

Audit the Fed Reintroduced Congressman Ron Paul (TX-14) today introduced HR 459, The Audit the Fed Bill to the 112th Congress.

 

While the Financial Crisis Commission Report Looks Impressive At First Glance, It Doesn’t Hit Hard Enough … and Won’t Lead to Any Real Change The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission largely blames Greenspan, Bernanke, Geithner, Summers, the rating agencies, SEC and big banks for the economic crisis.

 

Gold Usurps Dollar As Safe Haven for Worried Investors During the past few years of global economic turmoil, the securities markets have been driven by fear. When fear drives the market, the result is unusual market behavior and decisions by investors that would normally not occur were fear not in the driver’s seat.

 

 

 

Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission Slams Greenspan, Bernanke, Geithner, Paulson, Summers, SEC, Rating Agencies and Big Banks for Causing Crisis The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission is releasing its report Thursday.

 

Marc Faber’s Most Provocative Interview Ever: Compares Obama To A Prostitute, Goes Long Treasurys Earlier, Marc Faber appeared on Bloomberg TV, in what may go down in history as his most scandalous interview ever.

 

Paper Money Madness: Inflation-Fueled Economic Growth Does Not Indicate That An Economy Is Getting Stronger If the U.S. economy “grows” by 4 percent in 2011, but by the end of the year we are paying $3.00 for a loaf of bread, $4.00 for a gallon of milk and $5.00 for a gallon of gasoline are the American people going to be better off economically or worse off?

 

 

 

Dollar Jumps Vs Yen After Japan’s Debt Rating Cut ABC | The dollar jumped against the Japanese yen Thursday after ratings agency Standard & Poor’s cut Japan’s credit rating because of the Asian country’s deepening debts, but hit another 2-month low against the euro and lost ground against the British pound.

 

How to Abolish the Fed and Convert to Gold as Money Activist Post | Now that Ron Paul has become Chairman of the House Financial Services Subcommittee, the managers at the Fed are facing the dreaded time when they may have to reveal the secret dealings that they use to help their political and banking friends worldwide.

 

Obama’s Spending Freeze Just ‘Spare Change’: Roubini CNBC.com | Obama proposed a five-year freeze on non-discretionary defense spending for five year to lower the deficit by about $400 billion.

 

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

 

CBO: Social Security to run permanent deficits (AP)

 

No stemming red ink: Federal deficit to hit $1.5T (AP)

Deficit Outlook Darkens Wall Street Journal - WASHINGTON—The federal budget deficit will reach a record of nearly $1.5 trillion in 2011 due to the weak economy, higher spending and fresh tax cuts, congressional budget analysts said, ... Social Security now seen to run permanent deficits The Associated Press

Why the CBO may not believe all its own deficit projections Christian Science Monitor

 

 

 

 

“Obama Gun Grabbing” Tops Google Trends Infowars | Thanks to our fantastic listeners, more awareness has been raised of the Obama administration’s upcoming assault on the Second Amendment, with “Obama gun grabbing” hitting top spot on Google Trends today.

 

Obama to Deliver Gun-grabbing Speech Soon Kurt Nimmo | White House will unveil a brand spanking new gun control effort designed to strengthen previous anti-Second Amendment laws on the books.

 

Shocker: Citizen Spy Networks to be Given Immunity Paul Joseph Watson | House Homeland Security Chairman Peter King wants to shield “good citizens who report suspicious activity” from the consequences of their actions

 

Police trained that FEMA camps are perfectly normal Milo Nickels | Placing citizens in camps is not normal, it’s not necessary, and it never will be.

 

Journalist Backs Off Obama Birth Certificate Claim Kurt Nimmo | ‘Neil (a close friend of Evans) never told me there was no birth certificate,” he told Fox News. “I never talked to him.”Journalist Mike Evans is backing off a claim that Hawaii governor Neil Abercrombie told him he was unable to find Obama’s original birth certificate after a search of state and hospital archives … A former Hawaii elections clerk, Tim Adams, signed an affidavit swearing he was told by his supervisors in Hawaii that no long-form, hospital-generated birth certificate existed for Obama in Hawaii, according to Jerome R. Corsi and WorldNetDaily. According to Adams, neither Queens Medical Center nor Kapi’olani Medical Center in Honolulu had any record of Obama having been born in their medical facilities. “Senior officers in the City and County of Honolulu Elections Division told me on multiple occasions that no Hawaii long-form, hospital-generated birth certificate existed for Senator Obama in the Hawaii Department of Health,” Adams’ affidavit reads, “and there was no record that any such document had ever been on file in the Hawaii Department of Health or any other branch or department of the Hawaii government.”…’

 

 

 

 

 

Drudgereport: EGYPT ON FIRE

Egypt rounds up Muslim Brotherhood leaders...
Internet shut down; no TWITTER, FACEBOOK...
RAW VIDEO: Unarmed protester shot dead in streets...
Jobless Claims... Rise
Foreclosure activity up across metro areas...
DNA: Humans 97% same as orangutans … 98% same as chimps ...

HE'S BACK: Rahm ruled eligible for mayoral run... [ No surprise here … lots of juice / cash to go around …  Hollywood, Jobs, Trump help Rahm haul in $10.6M … [ No surprise here, mobster trump (how was trump missed in the recent big mafia bust since he too is a corrupt bribe paying/receiving, drug money laundering among other crimes,  mobster), hollywood flakes like magic mushroom eater sorkin, LSD aficionado jobs (I now realize what that premium priced disfunctional though fanciful  pizzazz of apple products that I would refuse to pay extra for stems from-jobs says he owes it all to his LSD use-don’t forget, apple’s protected source code, kernel, and consequent stability existed pre-jobs and I believe, particularly after actually using an iphone, that the same is a way to extract money from an ever increasingly dumbed down / dumb (and I think at the least, eccentric if not obsessively pathological if you witnessed the near compulsive use of these extraneous-rich, in a trivially frivolous way, devices) american public by pandering to their desire for superfluous functionality which requires additional purchases through apple-I do give them credit for the more elaborate interface / touchscreen and the ipad, all of which is currently being duplicated ex-apple and presenting greater values/utility/functionality for the money-so also credit for pioneering), zionists including spielberg, etc.; no small wonder that chicago and the nation are down the tubes. ] ... ]

 

 

 

 

 

CBO: This year's budget deficit to hit $1.5T  (Washington Post) [Why the CBO may not believe all its own deficit projections Christian Science Monitor       CBO: Social Security to run permanent deficits (AP)

No stemming red ink: Federal deficit to hit $1.5T (AP)

Deficit Outlook Darkens Wall Street Journal - WASHINGTON—The federal budget deficit will reach a record of nearly $1.5 trillion in 2011 due to the weak economy, higher spending and fresh tax cuts, congressional budget analysts said, ... Social Security now seen to run permanent deficits The Associated Press

  ] The nonpartisan budget agency predicts the deficit will drop to $1.1 trillion next year.

 

 



U.S. seeks balanced approach to Mideast turmoil
(Washington Post) [ Wow! Talkin’ about balance. The response might be, ‘better late than never’, yet it won’t take long for all to figure out that balance means heavily weighted to zionist israel / american interests which of course, ultimately at this rate they will have none of. Indeed, america’s pro-israel stance in the region is now as good as it gets; which ain’t too good and fading fast based on … reality. It’s what they do, not what they say. Then there’s turmoil, and unforgotten turmoil brought to the region courtesy of israel / american / nato ‘adventurism’ / manipulation / conflict / war which animus will linger long after this more parochial turmoil has subsided. For america to believe the old ways will pull through is a dream that will become a nightmare for american aspirations in the region.   ]

 

 

Federal Reserve stays course with bond-buying plan  (Washington Post) [ Plan? Did someone say Plan? Plan for whom?  If you answered fraudulent wall you’d be correct. Anyone else, not so much! 

Fed Can’t Prop Up Stock Market Forever USA Watchdog | From the very beginning of QE2, it was no secret the Federal Reserve wanted the stock market to rise.

“The Fed No Longer Even Denies that the Purpose of Its Latest Blast of Bond Purchases … Is To Drive Up Wall Street  infowars.com   Of course, rather than admit that the Fed is failing at driving down rates, rising rates are now being heralded as a sign of success.     

TrimTabs: “No Amount Of QE Will Be Able To Keep The Current Stock Market Bubble From Bursting” Zero Hedge | If the money to boost stock prices by almost $9 trillion from the March 2009 lows did not come from the traditional players, it had to have come from somewhere else. We believe that place is the Fed. ]   Economic expansion is continuing, a Fed committee said in a statement, but not quickly enough.

 

Obama, unbending Gerson: The president's tone has changed, but he has not.  (Washington Post) [ Come on! How can anyone discuss ‘wobama the b’ (for b*** s***) as a serious ideologue when the reality is that he’s just utter and total b*** s*** … by what he does, not what he says  … he stands for nothing!  Previous: Grading the SOTU / Robinson (Washington Post) [ I say this sincerely and without even a tinge of sarcasm that anyone who even watched / listened to wobama’s ‘speech’ should be embarrassed / ashamed of themselves (not that I listened to dumbya bush’s either). The grade is ‘f’ as in failure as is his failed presidency, as in ‘f’ himself. Wobama is but a pathetic b*** s*** artist and a total embarrassment! Previous: Gerson: Obama, more deficit hawk than GOP? (Washington Post) [ Come on! Where do they get this stuff? Wobama not only continued war criminal dumbya bush’s perpetual war, fraudulent wall street protectorate, etc., free-spending ways, but added to the deficit in his own profligate ways; and, as I’ve said before, democrats / republicans are but distinctions without significant differences. Moreover, there’s the literal rearrangement of the congressional deck-chair seating in the u.s.s. titanic halls for the non-event state of the union (wobama the ‘b’ for b*** s***, more empty words belied by actions / non-action) … Previous: Topic A: What should be in State of the Union? (Washington Post) [ Well, at the very least, it should be noted that the states of the union are crumbling (see bankruptcy headlines infra), ergo, the state of the union is crumbling and precarious indeed. The problem with and for wobama is that he’s been there, done that, and his words don’t match his actions, as is so regarding his not easily forgotten campaign promises (from perpetual wars, to no pros the frauds on wall street, to new ‘bubble building’ as in last precursor to crash supplanting sound economics. Blame it on the teleprompter … sounds like a plan! All we really know for certain is what definitely will not be in the state of the union; viz., a solution to pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s intractable decline. ]

 

 

 

Samuelson: Deficit dodgeball (Washington Post) [ In past posts I’ve disagreed with the tenor if not substance of Mr. Samuelson’s articles, even so far, if my memory on this unimportant point serves me, alluding to his need to bone up on basic economics by way of that once ubiquitous Samuelson economics text (is there a familial relation?), gently implying him to be a soft-touch / lightweight with regard to all things economic / business; but, this really takes the cake and I find his article, euphemistically speaking, sorely lacking. Even his dodgeball reference, though I might be accused of nit-picking, is misplaced. This is no game. The literal life or death of the nation is at stake. The insurmountable debt is unsustainable. Yet, nowhere in his article is there even a mention of the perpetual, needless wars abroad which I would argue have worsened the nation’s security position (blowback, ill will, geopolitical antipathy, etc.). Indeed, this huge expenditure on these needless wars is literally frittered away and even stolen (360 tons of $100 bills flown into Iraq disappear, etc.), abroad denying the economic benefits of such if spent domestically.  His lip service in two words, ‘(b) downsizing other programs, including defense’ ( and no mention of the fraudulent wall street computerized high-frequency programmed churn-and-earn / a negative in real economic terms) , falls short and his article is sophomoric at best.

 

 

 

 

Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission Slams Greenspan, Bernanke, Geithner, Paulson, Summers, SEC, Rating Agencies and Big Banks for Causing Crisis The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission is releasing its report Thursday.

 

Marc Faber’s Most Provocative Interview Ever: Compares Obama To A Prostitute, Goes Long Treasurys Earlier, Marc Faber appeared on Bloomberg TV, in what may go down in history as his most scandalous interview ever.

 

Paper Money Madness: Inflation-Fueled Economic Growth Does Not Indicate That An Economy Is Getting Stronger If the U.S. economy “grows” by 4 percent in 2011, but by the end of the year we are paying $3.00 for a loaf of bread, $4.00 for a gallon of milk and $5.00 for a gallon of gasoline are the American people going to be better off economically or worse off?

 

Fed to Pursue QE Even as Business Lending Gains The Federal Reserve will probably push forward with $600 billion in securities purchases even as the biggest jump in business loans in more than two years adds to signs the U.S. economy is gaining strength.

 

 

 

Obama’s Spending Freeze Just ‘Spare Change’: Roubini CNBC.com | Obama proposed a five-year freeze on non-discretionary defense spending for five year to lower the deficit by about $400 billion.

 

Bank of England chief Mervyn King: standard of living to plunge at fastest rate since 1920s The Telegraph | Households face the most dramatic squeeze in living standards since the 1920s.

 

 

 

CBO: Social Security to run permanent deficits (AP)

 

No stemming red ink: Federal deficit to hit $1.5T (AP)

Deficit Outlook Darkens Wall Street Journal - WASHINGTON—The federal budget deficit will reach a record of nearly $1.5 trillion in 2011 due to the weak economy, higher spending and fresh tax cuts, congressional budget analysts said, ... Social Security now seen to run permanent deficits The Associated Press

Why the CBO may not believe all its own deficit projections Christian Science Monitor

 

 

Stop Saying 'Mancession'! Unemployment Now Harder On Women

 

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

 

 

 

Altered States of the Union   Harrison ‘By now, coverage of last night's State of the Union is saturating every orifice of the next-generation media landscape. From Twitter feeds to real-time blogs to traditional outlets and back, everyone has an opinion and it's high time they share it!

We, at Minyanville, sympathize with the information deflation -- trying to consume what's out there is akin to sipping water from a fire hose -- and it's our job to provide a slightly different take on events that in one way or another shape financial markets and those involved in them (not necessarily in that order).

Through that lens, I'll share some top-line vibes as we hike up our weekly Hump:
 

  • What's the over/under on the man hours put into the seating chart last night?
  • How much of the speech was rhetoric and how much was realistic?
  • One of the President's campaign promises was the specter of diplomacy and working with the global community. Last night, he stressed the need to “out-innovate, out-educate, and out-build the rest of the world."
  • I get the need for competitiveness within a global community but that statement seemed to encapsulate the "globalization vs. protectionism" dynamic that we've long mused was an unintended consequence of policy that injects drugs that mask the symptoms rather than medicine that cures the disease.
  • Sidebar: Ben Bernanke received a 66% approval rating from global investors. Ya think? I mean, seriously -- why wouldn't he? My question is two-fold. First, when did a grand experiment become a popularity contest? Second, I'm a size seller of 66% when our children take the same poll (much like Alan Greenspan's legacy failed to withstand the test of time).
  • Is it me or was there a think bubble with a lamb chop in it sitting above John Boehner's head as he watched the President from behind?
  • I actually thought the President was speaking to me when he said, "There are some corners that suggest we're changing the rules in the middle of the game." He owned it -- he said, "the rules have changed' -- and veered the conversation in the direction of the global competitiveness via the Internet.
  • What he missed on that front, in my humble opinion, is that the Internet was the most deflationary invention of all time! You see that pen in front of you? You can buy that pen in 17,000 places in a few clicks of your mouse, which is awesome -- if you want to buy a pen. If you manufacture and sell pens however, it, in a word, sucks.
  • Deficit reduction and tax cuts are not peas and carrots, Forrest.
  • Full disclosure -- I voted for Obama because I believed the enormity of the economic condition rendered it a "push" between the candidates (I'm not defending that rationalization, I'm simply being honest in sharing it).
  • The swing factor, for me, was the specter of diplomacy vs. the potential for a "harder line," which in my view would have fast-tracked our tricky trifecta of societal acrimony, social unrest, and geopolitical strife.
  • I'm all for "being part of the solution rather than being part of the problem" -- that's how we roll in the 'Ville -- but the first step in solving a problem is admitting that you have one. As I watched the crowd last night, I couldn’t help feel that it was a performance, and until we can get away from popularity contests for public policy and move the needle towards tough love, my fear is that the boom and bust cycle will continue with increasingly rapid succession, with excess breeding excess, until something truly unfortunate occurs. That’s not a proclamation on timing, it’s an inevitable consequence that looms large, albeit currently invisible.
  • But of course, that's just one man's humble opinion.’

 

 

 

State Of The Union Won't Help State Of The Market Lenzner ‘I was ready to predict that the promise of a  budget freeze, lower corporate taxes and upbeat talk would pay off in higher stock prices, stronger dollar, lower interest rates, rally in the bond market and lower gold, commodity prices. But, when I woke this morning I realized the freeze was only on 10% of the budget, a $40 billion reduction of a $1.5 trillion deficit. I understood that the possibility of a lower corporate tax rate was going to be paid for by getting rid of tax loopholes used by big business. Not very many details either. And then I tried to imagine the cost of high speed rails, clean energy technology and faster internet access–  and just exactly who was going to pay for all this infrastructure over the next 2 or 3 decades.And I realized once again I had gotten hopeful about rhetoric and Democratic Senators sitting next to Republican Senators. Reality’s always less lustrous than rhetoric. Being a musical comedy  fanatic all I could think of was “Promises, Promises.” David Stockman’s stark reality check;; an admonition by Reagan’s former budget chief to Obama for not telling it like it really is last night, startled me out of a momentary reverie. I don’t think the American public could take it. Then, I looked to see what Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke had been saying. Seems he was waxing eloquent  about the S&P 500 index being up 20% plus and the broader  Russell 2000 running up 30% plus–QE2– monetary policy– not fiscal policy– had come through for the investor class. “It’s like a campfire reliant on gasoline to maintain; when you stop pouring it on, it’s over; an absurd way to run an economy,” emailed one of my market gurus.’

 

 

 

 

V for Victory Promo: You Are The Resistance TheAlexJonesChannel | All over the world, defenders of freedom are making their mark. Be victorious and take action.

Republicans Revive Proposed Legislation to Force ISPs to Retain User Data Kurt Nimmo | Rep. Sensenbrenner wants to force ISPs to hold data on customers without probable cause.

 

UN Human Rights Official Under Fire For Describing 9/11 As A Cover Up Steve Watson | The majority of the members of the 9/11 Commission have questioned the official account.

 

V for Victory: Latest Entries Infowars.com | Submissions to Alex Jones’ V For Victory campaign continue to flood in.

 

Abercrombie Admits Failure To Discover Obama Birth Certificate Paul Joseph Watson | Revelations of close friend of Hawaii Governor contradict official claim that privacy laws prompted Abercrombie to abandon search.

 

 

 

 

Hersh: High-ranking members US military part of ‘Knights of Malta,’ ‘Opus Dei,’  Webster ‘ Speaking at a campus operated by Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service, [Seymour] Hersh said he was working on a new book that details “how eight or nine neoconservative, radicals if you will, overthrew the American government.” “It’s not only that the neocons took it over but how easily they did it — how Congress disappeared, how the press became part of it, how the public acquiesced,” he continued, according to the published quotes. [...] He further claimed that Gen. Stanley McChrystal, Vice Admiral William McRaven and others in the JSOC were members of the “Knights of Malta” and “Opus Dei,” two little known Catholic orders. “They do see what they’re doing — and this is not an atypical attitude among some military — it’s a crusade, literally,” Hersh reportedly continued. “They see themselves as the protectors of the Christians. They’re protecting them from the Muslims [as in] the 13th century. And this is their function.” ‘

 

 

Ron Paul Attacks State Of The Union Theater Congressman Ron Paul dismissed last night’s State of the Union political theater of making Republicans and Democrats sit together as part of a tenuous symbolic gesture in connection with the Tucson shootings as nothing more than “a bunch of fluff”.

 

Global Elite Cite China As Model For Economic New World Order Power in the global economy is shifting from the advanced world to Asia as recovery takes hold, Davos analysts said Wednesday, as political and business elites began their annual meeting.

 



Drudgereport: ANALYSIS: Obama's Plan Would Cost Another $20 Billion, Raise Taxes...
Rand Paul proposes $500 billion in federal budget cuts...
OBAMA WARNS AMERICANS: World economic rules have changed...
Address viewership falls from last year...
PAPER: Spaced out speech...
ROUBINI: Spending Freeze Just 'Spare Change'...

SHOCK CLAIM: Hawaii Gov. Admits There Are No Obama Birth Records In Hawaii...
RETRACTION: 'I misspoke and I apologize,' reporter says...

STATE OF THE UNION: 81-Year-Old Man, 75-Year-Old Wife Severely Beaten In $18 Robbery (new york, s.i.)...

 

 



On public investment, Republicans again show they aren't serious (Washington Post) [  I realize that Mr. Pearlstein means well and as a journalist / columnist / reporter he must write something; but, I take umbrage at any purported distinctions between the two parties when measured against what they do in broader strokes ( perpetual war, over-spending, protection for wall street frauds, etc.) and their dissembling which I find nauseating and beyond the pale.  ] When talking about the federal government and its budget deficit, Republican politicians love to score points by noting that "you'd never run your household or your business that way." Then again, you'd never run your household or your business by ignoring investment.

 

IED casualties in Afghanistan spike   (Washington Post) [  Yeah! That progress thing’s a b**ch!  What do you expect them   ( Petraeus optimistic on war ) to say? That the money spent / diverted to these lucrative for the few war profiteers (360 tons of $100 bills flown into Iraq disappear, etc.) euphemistically  misadventures has been worth the defacto bankruptcy of the nation. The new military brass as with gates’ cia are without honor, from illegal drugs, to illegal arms, to war crimes, etc.. ]

 

Home prices fall, heightening fears of double dip (Washington Post) [ How ‘bout just one big, continuing dip except for the protected frauds on wall street who precipitated the decline! The debt levels are now insurmountable, the nation’s defacto bankrupt, and the ‘no recession fed’s’ exacerbating all with there new bubble for wall street’s sake that insiders and the frauds on wall street will sell into.   ] Only four areas posted year-over-year gains in November, including Los Angeles, San Diego, San Francisco and the Washington region.

 

Meyerson: On doing business (Washington Post) [ Come on! Wake up! There isn’t one industry except entertainment (film particularly, and of course, hands on health care) that can’t be done substantially cheaper (if not better, and some would even argue better) in China. That’s the fact, jack! That’s reality! That’s the structural shift that’s been the source of all that wall street cash including huge, disproportionately ridiculous executive pay packages (along with with wall streets protected frauds) … you know, that great sucking sound that Ross Perot alluded to!

Grading the SOTU / Roboinson (Washington Post) [ I say this sincerely and without even a tinge of sarcasm that anyone who even watched / listened to wobama’s ‘speech’ should be embarrassed / ashamed of themselves (not that I listened to dumbya bush’s either). The grade is ‘f’ as in failure as is his failed presidency, as in ‘f’ himself. Wobama is but a pathetic b*** s*** artist and a total embarrassment! Previous: Gerson: Obama, more deficit hawk than GOP? (Washington Post) [ Come on! Where do they get this stuff? Wobama not only continued war criminal dumbya bush’s perpetual war, fraudulent wall street protectorate, etc., free-spending ways, but added to the deficit in his own profligate ways; and, as I’ve said before, democrats / republicans are but distinctions without significant differences. Moreover, there’s the literal rearrangement of the congressional deck-chair seating in the u.s.s. titanic halls for the non-event state of the union (wobama the ‘b’ for b*** s***, more empty words belied by actions / non-action) … Previous: Topic A: What should be in State of the Union? (Washington Post) [ Well, at the very least, it should be noted that the states of the union are crumbling (see bankruptcy headlines infra), ergo, the state of the union is crumbling and precarious indeed. The problem with and for wobama is that he’s been there, done that, and his words don’t match his actions, as is so regarding his not easily forgotten campaign promises (from perpetual wars, to no pros the frauds on wall street, to new ‘bubble building’ as in last precursor to crash supplanting sound economics. Blame it on the teleprompter … sounds like a plan! All we really know for certain is what definitely will not be in the state of the union; viz., a solution to pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s intractable decline. ]

 

Drudgereport: BANKRUPTCY FOR STATES STUDIED
CA DECLARES EMERGENCY
Facing $1.6B shortfall, San Fran pays employees $170 million in bonuses...

What Happened to 15 Million Jobs?
Wall Street's 'Bernanke' rally runs into headwinds...
Home sales hit 13-year low...
UPDATE: Hawaii governor says Obama's birth record 'exists' but can't produce it...

Obama daughter practices Chinese with Hu...
Chinese Tiger ate US Dove for lunch...

FBI 'largest' Mafia takedown...
Flowchart...
'Vinny Carwash', 'The Fang', 'Tony Bagels', 'Johnny Pizza', 'Baby Shacks', 'Jack the Wack', 'Junior Lollipops', 'Bobby Glasses'...

MTV PORN: Parents Television Council Calls for Fed Investigation Into 'SKINS'...
VIACOM PRESENTS: SEX AT 15!
Young Star Defends Show's Racy Content: 'It's What Teens Are Doing'...
TACO BELL Pulls Ads...
Teacher Suspended After 2nd Graders 'Sex Acts In Class'...
Joan Rivers calls Michelle Obama 'Blackie O'... [ ‘Blackie O’ … Very funny! … I like that … but don’t look for joan on ‘The View’ anytime soon, or invites from the whitehouse either … but of course, and ‘Blackie O’ might retort that joan will be too busy anyway, reprising the role of ‘The Joker’ in the next Batman film by the gifted director, Christopher Nolan, with AH new Catwoman … meow! ]

 ] Robinson: It's hard to argue with that speech.

 

 

Shiller Ratio Points to U.S. Equities Being Significantly Overvalued   [ Yes they are indeed; so take this especially great opportunity to sell, take profits since there’s much, much worse to come! That computer-programmed spike into the close to keep suckers suckered does not change the aforesaid. ]

 

 

 

The Great Debt Shift: No Wonder Currencies Are Under Pressure Browne ‘If one were asked to describe the major global economic changes that have unfolded since the financial crisis began, a good starting place would be the massive shift of debt from the private to the public sector. Attempting to arrest a deepening crisis, governments all around the world have bailed out businesses and companies by transferring bad debts to the public books. Although these moves have provided some current stability (after all, governments are much less likely to default), the long-term consequences may be dire.

Two of the world's largest economies, the EU ($16 trillion) and the US ($14 trillion), have become the leading practitioners of private-to-public debt shifting. The US has assumed the debts of banks, insurers, mortgage holders, and even entire industrial sectors. The European Union has done the same for entire states. The resulting public debt levels are, predictably, placing strains on both the dollar and the euro.

Worse still, the bailouts have created a spirit of apathy toward debt accumulation. Western governments have embarked on a debt binge for the ages. Already, the credit ratings of the United States and some of the EU's core countries, such as France and the UK, are being questioned.

While this socialization of private debt has created deep citizen resentment, it remains to be seen whether political pressure is enough to hold back the tide. In the US, the forces of fiscal restraint appear to have the upper hand at present; but, this late in the game, it is far from certain that the newly elected fiscal hawks will be able to avert civil unrest and debt default.

It is worth noting that the debt shift has offered some near-term benefits. Relieved of repayment anxiety, many companies have posted very promising earnings reports in recent months (one needs to only glance at Detroit). Despite continued demand weakness, these companies have worked hard to improve their balance sheets and raise operating margins. The resulting rally in share prices has given rise to a belief that recovery is at hand.

However, despite buoyant share prices, unemployment continues at dangerously high levels, depressing tax revenues and leading to much greater entitlement spending. This has made public debt levels rise even faster.

Total world direct sovereign debt, excluding guarantees and unfunded medical and pension obligations, is some $41.6 trillion dollars. When the $2.9 trillion owed by global municipalities is included, total direct public sector debt is over $50 trillion. Against this total, even the wealth of cash-rich nations such as China ($2.85 trillion in foreign-exchange reserves) and Japan ($1.1 trillion in reserves) pale into insignificance.

With so little credit to soak up the future financing needs of the US and the EU, it is no wonder that both their currencies are coming under pressure. It should be no surprise that Chinese President Hu began his state visit to the US by warning that the debased dollar was causing much of the world's monetary problems - and was thus no longer credible as the world's reserve. Once unshielded by that great privilege, I forecast that the US dollar will plummet.

In many ways, the euro may fare little better. The EU has organized a $1 trillion rescue package for its smaller members, but, in practice, there is not enough money for all the troubled peripherals, let alone a core state like France or Spain. Last week, the EU suggested that Greece should be allowed to default and restructure much of its debt. The Irish Times reported that the EU has allowed Ireland to print its own euros to settle the debts of its banks. Will it allow Portugal, Spain, Belgium, Italy and France to do the same? If so, what credibility will remain for the euro?

Possible because a major currency collapse is unprecedented in living memory, investors have been slow to react. While the markets are calm at present, we mustn't forget that the nature of panic is that it is sudden. It can erupt quickly and overwhelm the unprepared. When it does, even supposedly rock-solid assets like Treasury bonds may be discounted severely.

In such a climate, gold and silver are as faithful as Old Yeller.’

 

 

 

 

Bad Omens: Stocks Get Bad Breadth, Small Caps Lose Steam Dobosz ‘ “Jump on the bus or get left behind,” shouted Mr. Market last September as stocks began a persistent ascent without much of a pause that has continued into 2011. In recent weeks, however, we’re starting to see slippage under the surface that suggests the overall market has trouble ahead…’

 

 

 

Stick Save Bulls: Dave's Daily - ‘The headline writers couldn't keep up with the late day "stick save" as most had stocks down on the day. But, editors got things changed quickly. Bulls want Dow 12,000 and with another round of POMO the easy money is there. It's not just us stating the obvious, Jeremy Grantham's Pavlov's Dog on QE2 [ ‘But be aware that you are living on borrowed time as a bull; on our data, the market is worth about 910 on the S&P 500, substantially less than current levels, and most risky components are even more overpriced. ‘ ] essay and even MarketWatch discussed this with "Market Addicted to QE." As far as most are concerned, even Bernanke, B still follows A and one goal of QE is to raise stock prices. Commodity prices were lower Tuesday as oil continues to slide while precious metals fell. Remember, it's options expiration at the COMEX Wednesday so caution is advised. Economic data was mixed with home prices falling sharply while Consumer Confidence beat expectations. Earnings rolled in, and with few exceptions, continued to beat analysts' estimates by wide margins (What do they pay these guys?)  Volume improved dramatically from Monday while per the WSJ, breadth mixed to negative.’

 

 

 

 

Can You Hear the Waterfall? Nyaradi  ‘One of the most intriguing aspects of financial writing is the various colorful aphorisms that abound in this business. We enjoy comments like “the trend is your friend,” and we hope to “let our winners run” while we watch “bulls and bears” struggle for control of the hearts and minds of the markets.One of my favorites and I think the one most applicable for today is the concept of the “waterfall” or the “waterfall decline.” It’s certainly a visual image and one that can clearly be seen on charts like the recent Shanghai Composite that we’ll take a look at in a moment. With each passing day, the probability of a waterfall decline in U.S. markets becomes more likely… 

 

 

 

 

Greece Default to Trigger Break of European Union by 2016, Bloomberg Poll Shows  A Bloomberg survey shows 48 percent believe one or more nations will drop out of the European Union within the next 2-5 years. Only 23 percent believe a nation will never drop out of the EU. Meanwhile, 74 percent believe it is likely Greece will default on their sovereign debt and 53 percent believe Ireland will default.

 

 

 

U.S. Trade Deficit Exports 1.3M Jobs Hansen ‘In Dr. Michael Pettis Econintersect article - Currency Wars and Trade Woes but China Marches On - he concluded:

So that leaves the U.S. Either it can accept rising trade deficits as it absorbs the employment problems of the rest of the world, or it can move to intervene in trade. I don’t know what it will do, but I am pretty confident that the domestic debate will intensify. One way or the other the crisis in international trade is far from over. In fact the day after I finished this entry the Financial Times, again, had a new headline: “Trade war looming, warns Brazil.”

The burr under my saddle is jobs. I may leave that theme for a time but always return. Trade deficits export jobs. Some think it is only money on balance sheet - but it is jobs that are exported when when a country imports manufactured goods.

Some quick facts using unadjusted data:

  • Through November 2010 according to U.S. Census, the USA has manufactured $4.55 trillion of goods in 2010.
  • Total employment in the manufacturing industry is 11,660,000 according to the BLS. This means that for every $1,000,000 of production in 2010, 2.56 people were employed.
  • Through November 2010 according to US Census data, the USA has exported $0.8 trillion of manufactured goods - or 17.5% of manufacturing.
  • The total import of manufactured goods through November 2010 is a little more than $1.3 trillion making the manufactured goods trade gap more than $0.5 trillion.
  • The manufacturing trade gap of $500,000,000,000 ($0.5 trillion) times 2.56 people per $1 million of manufacturing equals approximately 1.3 million jobs…’

 

 

 

 

Fed to Pursue QE Even as Business Lending Gains The Federal Reserve will probably push forward with $600 billion in securities purchases even as the biggest jump in business loans in more than two years adds to signs the U.S. economy is gaining strength.

 

WELCOME TO STAGFLATION: UK Economy Shrinks While Inflation Set To Rise 4% The UK economy seems to be quietly slipping back into recession. UK economy contracted 0.5% in the fourth quarter compared to the consensus of 0.5% growth.

 

Scotia-Mocatta Sells Out Of 1 Kilo Silver Bars It seems that not a day passes by without some major dealer running out of a precious metal in inventory.

 

Russia Imposes Inflation-Driven Price Controls: Will Use Price Caps On “Socially Important” Commodities Russia has just announced it would proceed with price caps on a variety of foodstuffs, from buckwheat, to potatoes, assorted fruits and vegetables and all other commodities it deems “socially important” accoding to Russian newspaper gazeta.ru.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

Naked Body Scanner Blamed For Woman’s Death Steve Watson | Those who pass through the scanners will be at risk of long term health effects, such as cancers, according to some scientists.

 

Ventura Lawsuit To Re-Ignite TSA Revolt? Paul Joseph Watson | Deadline for TSA to respond to Bob Barr FOIA is today.

 

Moscow Attack May Result in Checkpoints Outside of Airports Kurt Nimmo | Less than a day after the fatal suicide bomb attack on Moscow’s Domodedovo airport, pilots and aviation security experts are calling for a reevaluation of airport security.

 

 

Wall Street Partying in Davos as Bankers Escape Culpability for Crisis As Wall Street chief executive officers flock to the World Economic Forum, they’ll be breathing a sigh of relief along with the Swiss mountain air: There are no panels on compensation or redesigning financial regulation.

 

E-mails Suggest Bear Stearns Cheated Clients Out of Billions Lawsuit alleges the bank took extreme measures to defraud investors, and now JPMorgan may be on the hook.

 

Carnegie Touts Green Credentials Of Genghis Khan For Slaughtering 40 Million People Environmentalists are promoting a new historical hero in the fight against global warming, none other than Mongol warlord Genghis Khan, with the Carnegie Institution touting the emperor’s green credentials because his empire slaughtered no less than 40 million people – an act that helped lower carbon emissions and keep the planet cool.

 

 

22 Facts About California That Make You Wonder Why Anyone Would Still Want To Live In That Hellhole Of A State Why in the world would anyone still want to live in the state of California at this point?  The American Dream Saturday, January 22, 2011

Why in the world would anyone still want to live in the state of California at this point?  Residents of California have been forced to endure a brutally oppressive level of taxation for many years, and yet the state of California has still managed to find itself on the verge of bankruptcy.  California Governor Jerry Brown declared a “fiscal emergency” in his state on Thursday, but nobody is even pretending that such a declaration is actually going to help matters.  Brown wants to cut even deeper into the state budget (even after tens of billions have already been slashed out of it in recent years) and he wants to explore ways to raise even more revenue.

Meanwhile, the standard of living in California is going right into the toilet.  Housing values are plummeting.  Unemployment has risen above 20 percent in many areas of the state.  Crime and gang activity is on the rise even as police budgets are being hacked to the bone.  The health care system is an absolute disaster.  At this point California has the fewest emergency rooms per million people out of all 50 states.

While all of this has been going on, the state legislature in Sacramento has been very busy passing hundreds of new laws that are mostly about promoting one radical agenda or another.  The state government has become so radically anti-business that it is a wonder that any businesses have remained in the state.  It seems like the moving vans never stop as an endless parade of businesses and families leave California as quickly as they can.

One of the only things keeping the population of California relatively stable at this point are the massive hordes of illegal immigrants that are constantly pouring into California cities.  There are certain areas of major California cities that you simply do not ever want to go into anymore.  In fact, there are rumors that the police will not even venture into certain areas anymore.

Traffic in California is a bigger nightmare than it ever has been before and the state cannot even keep up with repairing the roads and infrastructure that it already has.  There are a few areas of California where you can still see the promise of greatness and the amazing natural beauty that once attracted tens of millions of Americans to the state, but they are few and far between now.  At this point, most of the state is turning into one gigantic hellhole.

Perhaps the state could have some hope of turning things around if they had some solid leadership, but at this point the vast majority of the politicians in the state are pushing agendas that are so “radical” (not in a good way) and so “anti-American” that it is absolutely frightening.

Of course on top of everything else there is the constant threat of wildfires, mudslides and earthquakes.  One day a really “big earthquake” is going to hit, and once that happens many people believe that the geography of the state of California could be permanently altered forever.

But what most people are focused on right now is the horrific financial condition that the state of California currently is in.  Governor Brown recently summarized his analysis of California’s financial condition with the following statement: “We’ve been living in fantasy land. It is much worse than I thought. I’m shocked.”

Yes, things really are that bad in California.

The following are 22 facts about California that make you wonder why anyone would still want to live in that hellhole of a state….

#1 The California state government is facing a potential state budget deficit of 19 billion dollars this year, and California debt is rapidly approaching junk status.  One way or another the taxpayers of California are going to have to pay for this mess somehow.

#2 California Governor Jerry Brown recently unveiled a “draconian” budget plan for 2011 that includes 12 billion dollars more in spending cuts and that maintains 12 billion dollars in recent tax increases.

#3 The state of California currently has the third highest state income tax in the nation: a 9.55% tax bracket at $47,055 and a 10.55% bracket at $1,000,000.

#4 California has the highest state sales tax rate in the nation by far at 8.25%.  Indiana has the next highest at 7%.

#5 Residents of California pay the highest gasoline taxes (over 67 cents per gallon) in the United States.

#6 California had more foreclosure filings that any other U.S. state in 2010.  The 546,669 total foreclosure filings during the year means that over 4 percent of all the housing units in the state of California received a foreclosure filing at some point during 2010.

#7 Home prices in some areas of California have completely fallen off a cliff.  For example, the average home in Merced, California has declined in value by 63 percent over the past four years.

#8 725 new laws (most of them either completely pointless or completely stupid) went into effect in the state of California on January 1st.

#9 20 percent of the residents of Los Angeles County are now receiving public aid of one kind or another.

#10 The number of people unemployed in the state of California is approximately equal to the populations of Nevada, New Hampshire and Vermont combined.

#11 In some areas of California, the level of unemployment is absolutely nightmarish.  For example, 24.3 percent of the residents of El Centro, California are now unemployed.

#12 Residents of California pay some of the highest electricity prices in the entire nation.

#13 The state of California ranks dead last out of all 50 states in the number of emergency rooms per million people.

#14 According to one survey, approximately 1 out of every 4 Californians under the age of 65 has absolutely no health insurance.

#15 At one point last year it was reported that in the area around Sacramento, California there was one closed business for every six that were still open.

#16 In the late 70s, California was number one in per-pupil spending on education, but now the state has fallen to 48th place.

#17 In one school district in California, children as young as five years old are being forced to watch propaganda films that tout the benefits of “alternative lifestyles”, and parents are being told that no “opting out” will be permitted.

#18 The crime rate in the San Diego school system is escalating out of control. The following is what San Diego School Police Chief Don Braun recently told the press about the current situation….

“Violent crime in schools has risen 31 percent. Property crime has risen 12 percent. Weapons violations (have gone up) almost 8 percent.”

#19 Oakland, California Police Chief Anthony Batts announced last year that due to severe budget cuts there are a number of crimes that his department will simply not be able to respond to any longer.  The crimes that the Oakland police will no longer be responding to include grand theft, burglary, car wrecks, identity theft and vandalism.

#20 Things have gotten so bad in Stockton, California that the police union put up a billboard with the following message: “Welcome to the 2nd most dangerous city in California. Stop laying off cops.”

#21 During one recent 23 year period, the state of California built 23 prisons but just one university.

#22 The farther you look into the future, the worse California’s financial problems become. According to an article in the Wall Street Journal, California’s unfunded pension liability is estimated to be somewhere between $120 billion and $500 billion at this point.

So could the state of California actually go bankrupt?

In Washington D.C., some lawmakers are now working very hard behind the scenes to come up with a way to allow individual U.S. states to declare bankruptcy.

If something like that is worked out in Washington, then certainly the state of California would potentially be one of the first states to take advantage of it.

Unfortunately, the truth is that the state of California is a complete and total mess at this point, and not even bankruptcy is going to fix much.

The state has become a rotting, festering hellhole that is getting worse by the day.  Yes, some really good people still live there, but there are some really, really good reasons why so many people are leaving the state in droves.

But perhaps you disagree.  Does anyone want to state the case in favor of the state of California?  Please feel free to express your opinion below….’

 

 

 

 

Economy News Nightmare: 20 Things That You Should Not Read If You Do Not Want To Become Very Angry The Economic Collapse | Today America is very, very frustrated.
#1 Today, millions of American families are digging deep into their savings and investments in a desperate attempt to stay afloat. Over the past two years, U.S. consumers have withdrawn $311 billion more from savings and investment accounts than they have put into them.
#2 15 billion dollars: the total amount of compensation that Goldman Sachs paid out to its employees for 2010.
#3 The number of American families that were booted out of their homes and into the streets set a new all-time record in 2010.
#4 Dozens of packages that we buy in the supermarket have been reduced in size by up to 20%.  For example, there are now 2 less slices of cheese in a typical package of Kraft American cheese, and there is now 9 percent less toilet paper in a typical package of Scott toilet paper.  So now, you may think that you are paying the same amount for these items that you always have, but the truth is that you have been hit with a large price increase.
#5 One Canadian company is making a ton of money shipping “millions and millions of dollars” worth of manufacturing equipment from factories that are being shut down in the United States over to new factories that are being set up in China.
#6 In America today, the wealthiest 20% own a whopping 93% of all the “financial assets” in the United States.
#7 Only 35 percent of Americans now have enough “emergency savings” to be able to cover three months of living expenses.
#8 47 percent of all Americans now believe that China is the number one economic power in the world.
#9 If the U.S. banking system is healthy, then why does the number of “problem banks” continue to keep increasing?  This past week the number of U.S. banks on the unofficial list of problem banks reached 937.
#10 According to former U.S. Labor Secretary Robert Reich, the wealthiest 0.1% of all Americans make as much money as the poorest 120 million.

#11 U.S. housing prices have now fallen further during this economic downturn than they did during the Great Depression of the 1930s.

#12 According to some very disturbing new research, 45 percent of U.S. college students exhibit “no significant gains in learning” after two years in college.

#13 Americans now owe more than $884 billion on student loans, which is a new all-time record.

#14 The United Nations says that the global price of food hit an all-time record high in December, and the price of oil is surging towards $100 a barrel, but the U.S. government continues to insist that we barely have any inflation at all.

#15 The more Americans that are on food stamps the more profits that JP Morgan makes.  Today, an all-time record of 43.2 million Americans are on food stamps, and JP Morgan is making a lot of money processing millions of those benefit payments.

#16 Back in 1970, 25 percent of all jobs in the United States were manufacturing jobs. Today, only 9 percent of the jobs in the United States are manufacturing jobs.

#17 Dozens of U.S. states are either implementing tax increases in 2011 or are considering proposals to raise taxes.

#18 The United States has had a negative trade deficit every single year since 1976.

#19 The U.S. national debt has crossed the $14 trillion mark for the first time, and at some point during 2011 it will cross the $15 trillion mark.
#20 What the U.S. economy really needs is for the government to get off all of our backs, but instead they continue to tighten their grip on us.  In fact, the Obama administration is proposing a “universal Internet ID” that would watch, track, monitor and potentially control everything that you do on the Internet’

 

 

 

Eisenhower’s Worst Fears Have Been Realized Washington’s Blog | All in all it appears that Eisenhower’s worst fears have been realized and his remarkable and unique warnings given for naught.

 

Wikileaks Is The “Cognitive Infiltration” Operation Demanded by Cass Sunstein [ The following is a very important read. That said, I’m still against the censorship since one always, in the final analysis, must discern truth from falsehood, information from disinformation, reality from propaganda. In truth, I found it somewhat shocking and more than surprising that of all places ‘to escape to’, Assange chose Orwellian england, puppet to the u.s. and guarantor of servility to u.s./zionist interests, such is there own desperate circumstances. ] Webster G. Tarpley | Awareness is growing around the world that the Wikileaks’ theater of the absurd is radically inauthentic — a psyop…’ Tarpley.net

January 22, 2011 Awareness is growing around the world that the Wikileaks-Julian Assange theater of the absurd is radically inauthentic – a psyop. Wikileaks and its impaired boss represent a classic form of limited hangout or self-exposure, a kind of lurid striptease in which the front organization releases doctored and pre-selected materials provided by the intelligence agency with the intent of harming, not the CIA, nor the UK, nor the Israelis, but rather such classic CIA enemies’ list figures as Putin, Berlusconi, Karzai, Qaddafi, Rodriguez de Kirchner, etc. In Tunisia, derogatory material about ex-President Ben Ali leaked by Wikileaks has already brought a windfall for Langley in the form of the rare ouster of an entrenched Arab government.

Obama White House NSC Russia Director Michael McFaul Deploying IMF Shock Therapist Boris Nemtsov as Wheelhorse of Feeble “Stop Putin in 2012″ Bid.

At Foggy Bottom and Langley, a manic fit has been building since the flight of Ben Ali. US imperialist planners now believe they can re-launch their shopworn model of the color revolution, CIA people-power coup, or postmodern putsch against a whole series of countries in the Arab world and far beyond, including Italy. The color revolutions had been looking tarnished lately, as a result of the failure of the Twitter Revolution in Iran back in June 2009. Previously, the Cedars Revolution of 2005 had failed in Lebanon. The Orange Revolution in Ukraine had been rolled back with the ouster of NATO-IMF kleptocrats Yushchenko and Timoshenko. In Georgia, the Roses Revolution was increasingly discredited by the repressive and warmongering regime of fascist madman Saakashvili.

US Seeks to Mobilize a New Generation of Young Nihilists Across the Globe

But now, NSC, State, and CIA believe that the color revolution has a new lease on life, thanks to their estimate that the United States, because of Wikileaks and Assange, has captured the imagination of a new generation of young nihilists across the globe who are described as the post-9/11 generation, estranged from governments and opposition parties, and thus ready to follow Langley’s peroxide Pied Piper.

Assange started his intensive deployment phase this year with video of a Class A US war crime in Iraq, which was very graphic but which dealt with an incident which was already widely known. The second document dump focused on Iraq, but now the targeting had shifted to Prime Minister Maliki, and the Iranian asset whom the US by some strange coincidence was trying to oust as leader of Iraq in favor of the US puppet Allawi. With the third document dump, this time involving State Department cables, we found out much derogatory gossip about such classic CIA targets as Russian prime minister Putin, Italian Prime Minister Berlusconi, the Russian-Italian strategic alliance, President Fernandez de Kirchner of Argentina, and President Karzai of Afghanistan, along with jabs at supposed US allies who need to be kept off-balance and dependent, including the Saudi Arabian royal family, French President Sarkozy, and others. Wikileaks thus directs the vast majority of its fire against figures who are part of the CIA’s enemies list.

No Equal Time for CIA Covert Operations

Assange also provides a splendid pretext for draconian censorship and limitations on the freedom of the internet. The totalitarian liberal Senator Feinstein wants to bring back Woodrow Wilson’s infamous Espionage Act of 1917 in honor of Assange. Assange must be seen not as an activist, not as a journalist, and not as an entertainer, but rather as a spook. John Young of Cryptome, according to some reports, has denounced Wikileaks, to which he formerly belonged, as a CIA front. In a December 29 RT interview, Young described the internet as “a very large-scale spying machine.”1 The internet is indeed a vast battlefield, where the intelligence agencies of the US-UK, China, Israel, Russia, and many others clash every hour of the day, with commercial spies, hackers, anarchists, cultists, mercenary trolls, and psychotics all getting into the act as well. Intelligence agencies deliberately feed real and doctored material to various websites, sometimes using their own disgruntled employees as cutouts, conduits, and go-betweens. This means among other things that Bradley Manning cannot be taken at face value, although it is also clear that he like anyone else should not be tortured.

Assange is now famous, it might be argued. But the Wall Street controlled media can make anyone famous, from Lady Gaga to Justin Bieber to Snooki, and this is what they have done with Assange. It is wrong to capitulate to the demagogic power of these media by making it appear that there might be some legitimate value to Assange. Up to now, the CIA has been organizing color revolutions using Twitter, Facebook, Youtube, and so forth as vehicles. Now they think they have a cult figure whom they can sell to the youth bulge in the Arab world and other developing countries, where most of the population is under 30. This is an operation which must be exposed.

Most recently, Wikileaks has played a role in the CIA’s new “Jasmine Revolution” in Tunisia by publishing some State Department cables about the sybaritic luxury and lavish lifestyle of the Ben Ali clan, leading to the downfall of that regime. The CIA is now gloating that with the help of Wikileaks it can now topple all the Arab regimes at will, from Mubarak to Qaddafi to Bouteflika, and replace them with new and more pliable puppets eager to clash with Iran, Russia, and China

If Assange ever launches his much-touted doomsday machine against the Bank of America or some other financial institutions, we will be justified in asking that the Securities and Exchange Commission make public the extent of short interest in those stocks by certain hedge funds, especially those controlled by George Soros. And as far as Assange’s attacks on the Vatican are concerned, they fit neatly into four centuries of British intelligence warfare against the Holy See, going back to Guy Fawkes and Lord Robert Cecil’s Gunpowder Plot of 1605 and beyond. Not much new or radical here.

Wikileaks: No Serious Derogatory Information about US, UK, Israel

It is illuminating that none of Assange’s document dumps have revealed any notable scandals involving Great Britain or Israel. No US public figures have had to resign because of anything Wikileaks has done. No major ongoing covert operation or highly placed agent of influence has been blown. After all these months, there are still no US indictments against Assange, even though we know that a US grand jury will readily indict a ham sandwich if the US Attorney demands it. If the CIA had wanted to silence Assange, they could have subjected him to the classic kidnapping aka rendition, meaning that he would have been beaten, drugged, and carted off to wake up in a black site prison in Egypt, Poland, or Guantanamo Bay. Otherwise, the CIA could have had recourse to the usual extralegal wetwork. We must also assume that the new US Cybercommand with its vast resources would have little trouble shutting down the Wikileaks mirror sites, no matter how numerous they might be. The same goes for Anonymous and other flanking organizations of Wikileaks. But these considerations are purely fantastic. Assange emerges today as the pampered darling and golden boy of The New York Times, Der Spiegel. The Guardian, El Pais — in short, of the entire Anglo-American official media Wurlitzer. He reclines today in baronial splendor in the country house of a well-connected retired British officer who should be quizzed by the media about his ties to British intelligence. The radical-chic world, from Bianca Jagger to Michael Moore, is at Assange’s feet.

Cass Sunstein Present at the Creation of Wikileaks

Wikileaks was apparently founded in 2006. Originally, the group was programmed to attack China, and its board was heavily larded with fishy Chinese dissidents and “democracy” activists from the orbit of the Soros foundations. Interestingly, the first big publicity breakthrough for Wikileaks in the mainstream US media was provided by an infamous totalitarian liberal today ensconced in the Obama White House – none other than Cass Sunstein. In Sunstein’s op-ed published in the Washington Post of February 24, 2007 under the title “Brave new Wikiworld,” we read: “Wikileaks.org, founded by dissidents in China and other nations, plans to post secret government documents and to protect them from censorship with coded software.” How interesting that Sunstein was present at the creation of the new Wikileaks psywar operation!

This is the same Sunstein who today heads Obama’s White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs. In his January 2008 Harvard Law School Working Paper entitled “Conspiracy Theories,” Sunstein infamously demanded that the United States government deploy groups of covert operatives and pseudo-independent agents of influence for the “cognitively infiltration of extremist groups” – meaning organizations, activists and Internet websites who espouse beliefs which Sunstein chooses to classify as “false conspiracy theories.”

Wikileaks = Cass Sunstein’s Program for Cognitive Infiltration In Action

It should be clear that Assange and Wikileaks are precisely the practical realization of Sunstein’s program for “cognitive infiltration” shock troops to counteract and overwhelm any real mass understanding of oligarchical domination in the modern world, and any discussion of what kind of economic policies are needed to secure a recovery from the present world depression.

In line with Sunstein’s recipe, Assange is a self-declared enemy of 9/11 truth. As Assange told Belfast Telegraph reporter Matthew Bell last July, “I’m constantly annoyed that people are distracted by false conspiracies such as 9/11, when all around we provide evidence of real conspiracies, for war or mass financial fraud.” In other words, Assange argues that the truth about 9/11 truth is not nearly as radical as the various scandals which Wikileaks claims to expose. But the scandals Assange is offering target mostly the adversaries of the CIA.

Assange must also be seen as a deeply troubled individual and a possible psychopath. He has the ravaged emotional complexion that we might expect from an alumnus of one of the many MK-Ultra operations. He reportedly spent several years in the menticidal Anne Hamilton-Byrne cult (also known as The Family and Santiniketan) near Melbourne, Australia. Here little children were separated from their parents and made to ingest LSD, Anatensol, Diazepam, Haloperidol, Largactil, Mogadon, Serepax, Stelazine, Tegretol, Tofranil, and other potent psychopharmaca. Dozens of children were told that Hamilton-Byrne was their real mother, and had their hair dyed blond. Anne Hamilton-Byrne reportedly regarded blond hair as a sign of racial superiority. Careful observers will have noted that Assange’s hair is sometimes blond, sometimes more brownish, raising the question of whether his grooming practices are a residue of his time with Hamilton-Byrne, whom he says he does not remember. When other kids were getting cookies and milk, was Assange being lobotomized by LSD and other potent psychopharmaca dished up by Hamilton-Byrne? There is evidence pointing in that direction.

With Assange, we thus have the tragic spectacle of the emotionally mutilated product of a CIA (or MI-6) covert operation of 40 years ago, who has now been given a prominent role in a key counter-insurgency ploy of the present time. Will the youth of the world, already burned by their recent fatuous obsession with Obama, be duped again by such an impaired individual?

The Precedent: Pentagon Papers Whitewashed CIA, Blamed Army, Demonized Kennedy

Assange’s revelations mainly involve communications labeled Confidential or Secret, and which in reality would be over-classified if marked Official Use Only. In other words, Assange is in reality a purveyor of low level cable traffic, not of earth-shattering secrets. This reminds us of an earlier CIA limited hangout operation, the one known as the Pentagon Papers. This was a carefully screened selection of historical documents, supplemented by outright forgeries, relating to the Vietnam War and compiled by Morton Halperin and Leslie Gelb, both of whom have gone on to glittering careers in the imperialist foreign policy establishment – Gelb became president of the Council on Foreign Relations, while Halperin serves today as chief political officer of the Soros wolfpack of foundations. The papers were leaked by former RAND Corporation official Daniel Ellsberg, who had been a very bellicose hawk in Vietnam before a suspicious Damascus Road conversion to pacifism, and then published in the US establishment press – similarly to Assange today. There was nothing in the Pentagon papers which a casual reader of LeMonde or Corriere della Sera did not already know. But, as Mort Sahl later said, left liberals have generally had very few heroes, so they battened on to Ellsberg and lionized him – led by Noam Chomsky, Howard Zinn, and some others. (This is a syndrome which we see again today: at the moment when Obama’s treacherous sellout on the Bush tax cuts was providing a final disillusionment for many gullible left libs, Assange arrived on the scene as their new Savior. Not by chance, Ellsberg has now designated Assange as his own reincarnation, and thus surely the new Messiah.)

The Pentagon papers had been carefully selected by the CIA itself to cover up CIA war crimes in Vietnam, blaming these on the US Army wherever possible, while also obscuring the CIA’s massive program of drug production and narcotics smuggling. The Pentagon Papers systematically hid the salient political fact of the entire Vietnam era, which is that President John F. Kennedy before he was assassinated was preparing to end the de facto US combat role in that country. Instead, Kennedy was systematically demonized and smeared, emerging as the villain of the piece. Needless to say, the Pentagon papers throw no light whatsoever on the CIA role in the Kennedy assassination – in the same way that Assange’s various document dumps tell us nothing of importance about 9/11, the Rabin assassination, Iran-contra, the 1999 bombing of Serbia, the Kursk incident, the various CIA color revolutions, or many of the other truly big covert operations of the past decades.

The limited hangout is not new; it was described in a secret memorandum by Venetian intelligence chief Paolo Sarpi to the Venetian Senate in 1620 as the art of “saying something good about somebody while pretending to be saying something bad.” That is the common denominator of the CIA’s limited hangout operations from Ellsberg to Philip Agee to Assange, with so many other “former” CIA operatives turned “whistleblowers” along the way. ‘

 

 

 

 

 

Drudgereport: CUT! WHAT?!
GOOGLE Comes Under Fire for 'Secret' Relationship with NSA...
IMF: Instability Threatens Recovery...
OH NO: Price Drop Points to Likely Double Dip in Housing Market...

Jobless Rise in 20 States as Workers Still Laid Off...
UK Economy May Be Heading for Double Dip...
Obama will 'have to produce birth certificate' to run again...

NYT: Former Spy With Agenda Operates Own Private CIA... [  Quite serious a problem …  Remember … these people really are quite stupid but self-interested if not greedy; and, if the money’s right, they wrap themselves in the flag and find a reason … remember ollie north who’s an absolute dope … and there are many, many more worse than him. Then there’s their war mongering which of course is the precursor to their war profiteering, etc.. ]
UPDATE: Hawaii governor says Obama's birth record 'exists' but can't produce it...

BACKTRACK: Now Hawaii won't release birth info...
Hollywood, Jobs, Trump help Rahm haul in $10.6M … [ No surprise here, mobster trump (how was trump missed in the recent big mafia bust since he too is a corrupt bribe paying/receiving, drug money laundering among other crimes,  mobster), hollywood flakes like magic mushroom eater sorkin, LSD aficionado jobs (I now realize what that premium priced disfunctional though fanciful  pizzazz of apple products that I would refuse to pay extra for stems from-jobs says he owes it all to his LSD use-don’t forget, apple’s protected source code, kernel, and consequent stability existed pre-jobs and I believe, particularly after actually using an iphone, that the same is a way to extract money from an ever increasingly dumbed down / dumb (and I think at the least, eccentric if not obsessively pathological if you witnessed the near compulsive use of these extraneous-rich, in a trivially frivolous way, devices) american public by pandering to their desire for superfluous functionality which requires additional purchases through apple-I do give them credit for the more elaborate interface / touchscreen and the ipad, all of which is currently being duplicated ex-apple and presenting greater values/utility/functionality for the money-so also credit for pioneering), zionists including spielberg, etc.; no small wonder that chicago and the nation are down the tubes. ] ...
COURT: Candidate 'must have actually resided' in city for 1 year before election...

Plans appeal to Illinois Supreme Court...
CHICAGOLAND SHOCK: RAHM BOOTED OFF BALLOT
China 'on Collision Course' with USA...

Bank Moves to Buy U.S. Branches...
Stealth fighter 'based on crashed American plane'...
Chinese Pianist Played Anti-American Propaganda Tune at White House?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Emanuel vows to fight ballot ruling  (Washington Post) [ Ill. court rules on Emanuel  OPINION: Rahm got robbed (of his and of those of his prospective booty)  Drudgereport: Hollywood, Jobs, Trump help Rahm haul in $10.6M … [ No surprise here, mobster trump (how was trump missed in the recent big mafia bust since he too is a corrupt bribe paying/receiving, drug money laundering among other crimes,  mobster), hollywood flakes like magic mushroom eater sorkin, LSD aficionado jobs (I now realize what that premium priced disfunctional though fanciful  pizzazz of apple products that I would refuse to pay extra for stems from-jobs says he owes it all to his LSD use-don’t forget, apple’s protected source code, kernel, and consequent stability existed pre-jobs and I believe, particularly after actually using an iphone, that the same is a way to extract money from an ever increasingly dumbed down / dumb (and I think at the least, eccentric if not obsessively pathological if you witnessed the near compulsive use of these extraneous-rich, in a trivially frivolous way, devices) american public by pandering to their desire for superfluous functionality which requires additional purchases through apple-I do give them credit for the more elaborate interface / touchscreen and the ipad, all of which is currently being duplicated ex-apple and presenting greater value/utility/functionality for the money-so also credit for pioneering), zionists including spielberg, etc.; no small wonder that chicago and the nation are down the tubes. ] ...
COURT: Candidate 'must have actually resided' in city for 1 year before election...

Plans appeal to Illinois Supreme Court...
CHICAGOLAND SHOCK: RAHM BOOTED OFF BALLOT
China 'on Collision Course' with USA...

Bank Moves to Buy U.S. Branches...
Stealth fighter 'based on crashed American plane'...
Chinese Pianist Played Anti-American Propaganda Tune at White House?
NYT: Former Spy With Agenda Operates Own Private CIA... [  Quite serious a problem …  Remember … these people really are quite stupid but self-interested if not greedy; and, if the money’s right, they wrap themselves in the flag and find a reason … remember ollie north who’s an absolute dope … and there are many, many more worse than him. Then there’s their war mongering which of course is the precursor to their war profiteering, etc.. ]
UPDATE: Hawaii governor says Obama's birth record 'exists' but can't produce it...

BACKTRACK: Now Hawaii won't release birth info...

The Mafia family tree: FBI flowchart reveals
127 'mobsters' arrested in biggest ever blitz on New York's crime empires
( This is a very big deal!  http://albertpeia.com/mafiafamilytreeflowchartFBIarrests.htm   )
]

 

Hezbollah-backed candidate has votes to become prime minister (Washington Post) [ Now who could possibly deny the rationality of the Lebanese wisdom of a leader that puts not war crimes nations israel / u.s. and nato allies interests, but rather the interests of Lebanon and the Lebanese people first beyond words and propaganda based on what they do; ie., most recent of many in the region:  US-led airstrikes kill Afghan civilians 1-24-11Two separate airstrikes by US-led foreign forces have killed at least five civilians and wounded several others in various parts of Afghanistan. ] BEIRUT - The Shiite armed movement Hezbollah on Monday had the support needed for its candidate to become Lebanon's prime minister, effectively ending the Western-backed rule of U.S. allies who came to power more than five years ago.

 

 

Obama won't endorse Social Security cuts (Washington Post) [  Is that written in stone? Does that mean veto? Is this failed presidency pre-election year desperation? Where will the cuts come from for ‘deficit reduction’? What does the teleprompter say? For some, social security is all they have, many corporate pensions underfunded, defunct from bankruptcies, non-existent, etc.. Now there is a very rich pension fund that the citizens have paid for and does have a lot of fat for cutting; viz.,  Wikipedia:  ‘Congressional pension is a pension made available to members of the United States Congress. Members who participated in the congressional pension system are vested after five (5) years of service. A full pension is available to Members 62 years of age with 5 years of service; 50 years or older with 20 years of service; or 25 years of service at any age. A reduced pension is available depending upon which of several different age/service options is chosen. If Members leave Congress before reaching retirement age, they may leave their contributions behind and receive a deferred pension later.[1] … (note the following example from their site is from 2000 and hence, with their regular raises for jobs poorly done, the figures are much higher now – also note the very favorable vesting provision of 5 years)  official site: ‘Members of Congress are eligible for a pension at age 62 if they have completed at least five years of service. They are eligible for a pension at age 50 if they have completed 20 years of service, or at any age after completing 25 years of service. The amount of the pension depends on years of service and the average of the highest three years of salary. By law, the starting amount of a member’s retirement annuity may not exceed 80 percent of his or her final salary. As of October 1, 2000, the average annual pension for members of Congress who have retired under CSRS is $52,464, and $46,932 for retirees under FERS-only or both FERS/CSRS. ‘ ]

 

 

 

 

Economic policy stuck in reverse (Washington Post) We have seen no real plan, no strong leadership, no apparent willingness to confront the growing danger on the horizon. [ Mr. Sessions is right on target and for me to comment further would only take away time from the ‘must read’ substantive article by Mr. Sessions!  ]

 

 

Gerson: Obama, more deficit hawk than GOP? (Washington Post) [ Come on! Where do they get this stuff? Wobama not only continued war criminal dumbya bush’s perpetual war, fraudulent wall street protectorate, etc., free-spending ways, but added to the deficit in his own profligate ways; and, as I’ve said before, democrats / republicans are but distinctions without significant differences. Moreover, there’s the literal rearrangement of the congressional deck-chair seating in the u.s.s. titanic halls for the non-event state of the union (wobama the ‘b’ for b*** s***, more empty words belied by actions / non-action) … Previous: Topic A: What should be in State of the Union? (Washington Post) [ Well, at the very least, it should be noted that the states of the union are crumbling (see bankruptcy headlines infra), ergo, the state of the union is crumbling and precarious indeed. The problem with and for wobama is that he’s been there, done that, and his words don’t match his actions, as is so regarding his not easily forgotten campaign promises (from perpetual wars, to no pros the frauds on wall street, to new ‘bubble building’ as in last precursor to crash supplanting sound economics. Blame it on the teleprompter … sounds like a plan! All we really know for certain is what definitely will not be in the state of the union; viz., a solution to pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s intractable decline. ]

 

Drudgereport: BANKRUPTCY FOR STATES STUDIED
CA DECLARES EMERGENCY
Facing $1.6B shortfall, San Fran pays employees $170 million in bonuses...

What Happened to 15 Million Jobs?
Wall Street's 'Bernanke' rally runs into headwinds...
Home sales hit 13-year low...
UPDATE: Hawaii governor says Obama's birth record 'exists' but can't produce it...

Obama daughter practices Chinese with Hu...
Chinese Tiger ate US Dove for lunch...

FBI 'largest' Mafia takedown...
Flowchart...
'Vinny Carwash', 'The Fang', 'Tony Bagels', 'Johnny Pizza', 'Baby Shacks', 'Jack the Wack', 'Junior Lollipops', 'Bobby Glasses'...

MTV PORN: Parents Television Council Calls for Fed Investigation Into 'SKINS'...
VIACOM PRESENTS: SEX AT 15!
Young Star Defends Show's Racy Content: 'It's What Teens Are Doing'...
TACO BELL Pulls Ads...
Teacher Suspended After 2nd Graders 'Sex Acts In Class'...
Joan Rivers calls Michelle Obama 'Blackie O'... [ ‘Blackie O’ … Very funny! … I like that … but don’t look for joan on ‘The View’ anytime soon, or invites from the whitehouse either … but of course, and ‘Blackie O’ might retort that joan will be too busy anyway, reprising the role of ‘The Joker’ in the next Batman film by the gifted director, Christopher Nolan, with AH new Catwoman … meow! ]

 ]

 

 

Shiller Ratio Points to U.S. Equities Being Significantly Overvalued   [ Yes they are indeed; so take this especially great opportunity to sell, take profits since there’s much, much worse to come!  ]

 

 

 

Bad Omens: Stocks Get Bad Breadth, Small Caps Lose Steam Dobosz “Jump on the bus or get left behind,” shouted Mr. Market last September as stocks began a persistent ascent without much of a pause that has continued into 2011. In recent weeks, however, we’re starting to see slippage under the surface that suggests the overall market has trouble ahead.

Specifically, the breadth of the market is starting to stink, and the there is an ominous divergence in the performance of small and large capitalization stocks that has preceded weakness each time it’s occurred in the past 31 years.

In 2010, shares of smaller companies in the Russell 2000 Index produced a total return of 26.9%. That was nearly double the 14.1% total return for the biggest of the big in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the 15.1% return for the S&P 500 Index. When smaller, more speculative stocks outperform the blue chips it’s usually a good sign because it indicates that people are willing to take risks and supports higher stock prices.

Now that trend might be turning as smaller stocks lose ground while a comparatively few large caps roll higher.

“Both the DJIA and Russell 2000 closed at a 52-week high two weeks ago, and then the DJIA closed at another high last week while the Russell 2000 lost more than 1%,” says Jason Goepfert in his Monday SentimenTrader Morning Report. “Going back to 1979, this has occurred only three other times.”

Goepfert’s scan of market history shows that on the three prior occasions when the Dow and Russell diverged like this, the road ahead was a rocky one for stocks: “April 1, 1998, after which the DJIA lost more than 15% during the next six months, while never gaining more than 2.5%; January 7, 2000, after which the DJIA lost more than 14% during the next two months, while never gaining more than 1.8%, and January 19, 2007, after which the DJIA lost more than 4% during the next two months, while never gaining more than 1.8%.”

A rising VIX and CS Fear Barometer (reflecting price of SPX puts), along with a sharp rise in buying climaxes last week (stocks hitting 52-week highs but then closing lower for the week) add to Goepfert’s bearish outlook for the next several weeks.

[chart]

Furious uptrend

“The equity-only put-call ratios and the breadth oscillators are all on sell signals at this time, ” says options guru Larry McMillan in his Monday morning Daily Volume Alert, noting the deteriorating advance-decline ratio within the S&P 500. On the rising VIX, McMillan says a “clear breakout close above 18-1/2 would be a big negative for the stock market.” Watch to see how support holds on the S&P 500 at 1262, he advises.

Some stocks are already showing signs of fresh technical damage or bullish trends under serious pressure. After gapping higher on Friday morning, Google (GOOG) slipped all day with a nearly 30-point intraday reversal to close near the low at $611.83. Also, Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD) hit a five-month low on Friday with put option volume more than 3.5 times call volume.’

 

 

 

Can You Hear the Waterfall? Nyaradi  ‘One of the most intriguing aspects of financial writing is the various colorful aphorisms that abound in this business. We enjoy comments like “the trend is your friend,” and we hope to “let our winners run” while we watch “bulls and bears” struggle for control of the hearts and minds of the markets.One of my favorites and I think the one most applicable for today is the concept of the “waterfall” or the “waterfall decline.” It’s certainly a visual image and one that can clearly be seen on charts like the recent Shanghai Composite that we’ll take a look at in a moment.

With each passing day, the probability of a waterfall decline in U.S. markets becomes more likely.

On My Radar

On a technical basis, the markets remain overstretched and ripe for a correction, while fundamentally, we saw selling on good news and earnings that are “good” now suddenly don’t appear to be “good enough.” By many analysts’ measurement, the market is overvalued by as much as 50-60% with one of my favorites, Tobin’s Q, developed by Nobel Prize Winner, James Tobin, currently indicating an overvaluation of 63% (Doug Short) [chart]  In this chart of the S&P 500, we can see that we’re still in a definite uptrend with prices above the 20, 50 and 200 day moving averages, however, RSI is in the oversold, “red zone,” and MACD has recently switched to a “sell” signal [chart]  Looking at the chart of the Shanghai Composite, we see it in the red and black candlesticks with the overlay of the S&P 500 in black bars. It’s easy to see how the two have been closely correlated until just early December and the “waterfall declines" last April and more recently since November in the Shanghai are clearly visible. This recent negative divergence between the two indexes is an alarming development and one which most likely will need to be resolved with either a rally in China or a correction in the U.S. market. Finally taking a look at the “health” of the overall market, we see a definite case of “Bad Breadth” which could definitely be worse than bad breath and not easily cured with a breath mint. [chart] Here we see a chart of the NYSE Summation index, and here, too, we see a negative divergence between the S&P in black and the Summation in red. The Summation is a measurement of market breadth, comparing the number of advancing stocks to declining stocks, and here we see that while the S&P has continued its recent climb, the Summation Index has been in decline, indicating that a smaller and smaller number of stocks in the universe of the New York Stock Exchange is participating in the current rally.

The View From 35,000 Feet

Last week’s news was mostly good with existing home sales up 12%, job claims down and building permits advancing 17%, but still from historically moribund levels.Overall, earnings have been positive, particularly in the tech sector, and this week will be the test of earnings seasons with over 100 reports coming from S&P 500 companies.On the bad news side of things, the 10 Year Treasury yield hit a six week high while the 30 year hit an eight month high as the rout in the bond market continued. The spread between the 5 and 10 year notes is extremely steep at current levels and indicates the bond market’s concern about the prospects of future inflation. Of course, rising yields are bad news for stocks in general, for credit, lending and economic growth and for the Fed’s current drive to lower interest rates through their ongoing quantitative easing programs.Further bad news came in the bond market with last week’s TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities) sale bringing a record dollar amount to market that was met by the lowest demand in almost two years.Four banks failed on Friday, bringing the year’s total to 7 and we could see an ongoing stream of failures as 860 banks currently reside on the FDIC problem bank list.Overseas, Ireland’s government was thrown into turmoil this weekend as the Greens left the government, destroying Brian Cowen’s majority and likely triggering an early election and more uncertainty over the Irish bailout package and attempts to return to fiscal solvency.Whispers abound over the possibility of Greece restructuring its debt while the European Union presses ahead with various ideas to beef up their economic rescue efforts on the Continent.At home, the debate over raising the debt ceiling is sure to heat up as the March target date for reaching the ceiling rapidly approaches and President Obama delivers his State of the Union message on Tuesday. This will come against the backdrop of the debt ceiling, renewed calls for “austerity” in Congress and the not so quiet whispering of Newt Gingrich that Congress will soon be considering a bill to allow states to declare bankruptcy as a way to alleviate their gargantuan credit woes. With California and Illinois in junk status and many other states facing gaping budget deficits, such talk, not to mention action, could be a major earthquake in the supposedly rock solid municipal bond market which has largely been considered to be the ultimate safe haven.

What It All Means

Interesting times indeed as the roar of the waterfall grows louder.

The Week Ahead

This week will see a rash of earnings reports as we previously mentioned, including reports from closely watched corporations like ATT (T), American Express (AXP), Yahoo (YHOO), Boeing (BA), Caterpillar (CAT), D.R. Horton (DHI), Procter & Gamble (PG), Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT). With reports coming from nearly every sector of the economy, we should have a much clearer picture by week’s end about how these companies are faring in the current environment.And on Wednesday we hear from Chairman Bernanke and his colleagues at the Federal Reserve whose every word will be sliced and diced for hints of their outlook on the economy and planned future actions by their august body.

Economic Reports
Tuesday: Case/Shiller Home Price Index, January Consumer Confidence
Wednesday: December New Home Sales, FOMC meeting
Thursday: Initial Unemployment Claims, Continuing Unemployment Claims, December Durable Goods, November Pending Home Sales

Sector Spotlight
Winners: (NYSEArca: EWI) Italy, (NYSEArca: EWP) Spain, (NYSEArca: VXX) CBOE Volatility Index
Losers: (NYSEArca: USO) Oil, (NYSEArca: MOO) Agriculture, (NYSEArca: XLB) Materials’

 

 

 

U.S. Trade Deficit Exports 1.3M Jobs Hansen ‘In Dr. Michael Pettis Econintersect article - Currency Wars and Trade Woes but China Marches On - he concluded:

So that leaves the U.S. Either it can accept rising trade deficits as it absorbs the employment problems of the rest of the world, or it can move to intervene in trade. I don’t know what it will do, but I am pretty confident that the domestic debate will intensify. One way or the other the crisis in international trade is far from over. In fact the day after I finished this entry the Financial Times, again, had a new headline: “Trade war looming, warns Brazil.”

The burr under my saddle is jobs. I may leave that theme for a time but always return. Trade deficits export jobs. Some think it is only money on balance sheet - but it is jobs that are exported when when a country imports manufactured goods.

Some quick facts using unadjusted data:

  • Through November 2010 according to U.S. Census, the USA has manufactured $4.55 trillion of goods in 2010.
  • Total employment in the manufacturing industry is 11,660,000 according to the BLS. This means that for every $1,000,000 of production in 2010, 2.56 people were employed.
  • Through November 2010 according to US Census data, the USA has exported $0.8 trillion of manufactured goods - or 17.5% of manufacturing.
  • The total import of manufactured goods through November 2010 is a little more than $1.3 trillion making the manufactured goods trade gap more than $0.5 trillion.
  • The manufacturing trade gap of $500,000,000,000 ($0.5 trillion) times 2.56 people per $1 million of manufacturing equals approximately 1.3 million jobs.

I will skip raising the 1.3 million job estimate by using the somewhat controversial jobs multipliers (that in theory means a manufacturing job lost likely causes two addition jobs being lost in the service industry). I will even ignore that it is likely the type of jobs being exported are of higher labor content then the current mix of existing manufacturing jobs. The 1.3 million estimate is likely significantly understated - and the real number is probably in excess of 5 million. That is close to half of the full-time jobs lost in The Great Recession.

Trade is not about money - it is about jobs.

Market Recommendations Made This Week

An Alternate View on Housing: 2011 May Be Homebuilders' Time to Shine - Recommended a second look at the homebuilder's sector as the backlog should turn positive in 2011. Regardless of viewpoint on growth potential for this sector, the money bleed caused by downsizing will end this year allowing higher profits.

Economic News this Week

Econintersect economic forecast for January 2010 pointing to a slightly improving economy. This week the Weekly Leading Index (WLI) from ECRI continued to improve from 3.6 to 4.1 implying the business conditions six months from now might be improving. Six months ago, the WLI was negative that December should have been slightly worse then July 2010. This December data has been coming in fairly strong.

click to enlarge images

[chart]

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 1.0 percent in December to 112.4 (2004 = 100). This indicator is also trying to look ahead six months - and has been forecasting six months ahead being better since the end of the Great Recession. Their economists' opinions:

While the LEI points to an economic expansion that is gaining further traction, its components still suggest the expansion path may be uneven. December’s gain was led by housing permits, the interest rate spread, initial claims for unemployment insurance and consumer expectations. The large increases in December and November show that, after a brief pause in the second quarter of 2010, the LEI is resuming the upward trend that began in March 2009.” .......“The four-month rise suggests the economy now has some wind in its sails; however, it still faces some strong headwinds in the medium-term. Overall economic activity is likely to continue to gain momentum in 2011.

Initial unemployment claims in this week’s release decreased slightly. Last week's very large not seasonally adjusted number appears to be just a blip as unadjusted claims fell over 200,000 in the current week's data. The DOL seasonal adjustment methodology appears to have made a good call last week.

[chart]

Most of the data released this week was inconsistent with Econintersect’s December forecast of slow to flat growth - and it more resembles Econintersect's January forecast. Overall most of the December data released this week was strong. However, the transport indicators began their improvement in December which historically foretells economic improvement.

Caveat: one month does not make a trend.

The table below itemizes the major events and analysis this week.

Weekly Economic Release Scorecard

Item

Headline

Analysis

Philly Fed Business Survey

Down Slightly

Big jump in new orders and backlog

Existing Home Sales

Up MoM

Down YoY, Inventories up YoY, home prices remain relatively flat

New Residential Construction

Up 16.7% MoM

The data is an improvement on terrible

Oil Shocks and Economic Recessions

 

Correlates oil prices to USA recessions

Empire State Manufacturing Survey

Up slightly

Still showing manufacturing expanding

Sea Container Counts

Up 16% YoY

Record exports but import's improvements were larger

Inflation Rates

 

Comparing Shadowstat's data to the CPI

China and the Trade Gap

 

Is trade war looming?

J P Morgan

 

Dragons, Haircuts and the Doomsday Machine

Consumer Sentiment

 

Consumer and small business sentiment remains at or near levels associated with the bottoms of other recent recessions

Opinion: Global Economic Chaos 2011

 

Societies on the edge of socio-economic break-up

Opinion: China

 

Trying to guess China's direction and policy responses

Opinion: Belgium

 

Will the seat of the EU leave the Union?

Opinion: 2011

 

Cautiously optimistic on the U.S. and global economy

Opinion: Federal Reserve

 

What would it have been like if the Federal Reserve was not created.

Bankruptcy This Week: None

Bank Failures This Week

[chart]

 

 

 

 

As If The Fed Planned To Do It All Wrong Bob Chapman | Both food and energy prices have risen at double-digit rates.

 

 

Bank of America posts heavy losses Agence France Presse | Bank of America, the biggest US bank, reported Friday a net loss of $1.2 billion for the fourth quarter.

 

The Corporate Elite Have a New Platform for Intervening in the Economy Economic Policy Journal | President Obama will name Jeffrey Immelt, General Electric CEO, to head a new advisory panel.

 

Government Bankruptcy Is a Great Idea LewRockwell.com | Just like the rest of us during financial problems, the government has to get its house in order.

Quantitative Easing Is Causing Food Prices to Skyrocket As I’ve previously noted, interest rates have risen both times after the Fed implemented quantitative easing.

 

The 25 Countries Whose Governments Could Get Crushed By Food Price Inflation Food inflation is now a reality for much of the world. It contributed to the overthrow of the Tunisian government, has led to riots across the Middle East and North Africa, driven up costs in China and India, and may only be getting started.

 

Accounting Tweak Could Save Fed From Losses Concerns that the Federal Reserve could suffer losses on its massive bond holdings may have driven the central bank to adopt a little-noticed accounting change with huge implications: it makes insolvency much less likely.

 

 

The end of The World: Dubai island development sinks back into sea after being scuppered by financial crisis After the global financial crisis led to the collapse of the emirate’s home-building market, a unique development known as ‘The World’ is reportedly facing Armageddon.

Path Is Sought for States to Escape Debt Burdens Policy makers are working behind the scenes to come up with a way to let states declare bankruptcy and get out from under crushing debts, including the pensions they have promised to retired public workers.

 

“The Vast Majority Of This Contraction Of Credit Availability To American Industry Has Been By The Larger Banks” This once again confirms what I have been saying for years: the giant banks are causing most of the credit contraction.

 

 

Here Comes $4 Gas, $5 Cups of Coffee Newsweek | The final dam to stopping $150-a-barrel oil and $4-a-gallon gas is being breached, as financial regulation continues its daily erosion into worthlessness.

 

Euro Rises Against Dollar, Extending Two-Week Rally WSJ | The euro rose against the dollar Monday as traders seized on hawkish comments from European Central Bank president Jean-Claude Trichet.

 

 

Only 47% Of Working Age Americans Have Full Time Jobs VK, roving reporter for The Automatic Earth, has been playing with the numbers from the January 7 employment report issued by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. It seems valuable to look at unemployment from this, a different, angle. Some of it may even surprise you.

 

China taking over US banks The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) has agreed on a deal to take over a US retail bank, at a time when American financial institutions are falling one after another.

 

Greenspan Questions the Need of the Fed Back in August, we wrote a piece called The Maestro and Gold—about Alan Greenspan, the architect of the modern fiat economy, the tech bubble, the housing bubble, and the most recent Financial Crisis.

 

As If The Fed Planned To Do It All Wrong As of Wednesday we have seen the euro rise 7 straight days, which caused the USDX to fall to 78.14, this in spite of having 10-year rates in Spain, Portugal and Ireland rising 3 bps.

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

 

US-led airstrikes kill Afghan civilians Two separate airstrikes by US-led foreign forces have killed at least five civilians and wounded several others in various parts of Afghanistan.

 

Steep Oil Prices, Food Shortages Will Likely Spark Deadly Riots This Year From now on, rising prices, powerful storms, severe droughts and floods, and other unexpected events are likely to play havoc with the fabric of global society.

 

Hitler Hates Infowars.com; Tuscon media hoax backfires You Tube | The powers-that-be who control the mainstream media tried to pin blame for the Loughner shooting on the “rightwing” and on 9/11 truthers, but the hoax backfired.

 

Americans Are Just As Likely to Get Struck By Lightning Than Killed By Terrorists Paul Joseph Watson | Which is why Homeland Security’s anti-American tattle-tale program is about political persecution, not genuine safety.

 

Moscow Airport Blasts: FSB False Flag, Anti-Putin Campaign or Real Separatist Attack? Steve Watson & Paul J. Watson | Previous terrorist attacks in Russia were the dirty work of the security services.

 

The Meaning Of V Paul Joseph Watson | Infowars campaign firmly rooted in spirit of resistance movements that have stood up to tyranny throughout history.

 

Alex Jones: Google’s New Censorship Tool & Chinese Pianist Plays Anti-USA Tune Infowars.com | The Alex Jones Show, Sunday Edition, January 23, 2011.

 

New V for Victory Posters Infowars.com | An example of the awesome posters now rolling in.

 

Operation Mockingbird Asset Olbermann Calls It Quits Kurt Nimmo | The CIA micro-managed media propaganda machine is headed for the rocks as citizen journalists take control of news and information dissemination.

 

Paul Beats Palin James Ostrowski | Ron Paul is busy fighting the Fed, not campaigning.

 

Seattle Activist Wins Case Against TSA Kurt Nimmo | Case represents the first time anyone has successfully challenged the TSA’s assumed authority to question and detain travelers.

 

Google Seeks to Weaken Search Engine Ranking of “Content Farming” Websites Eric Blair | Alternative news sites beware, Google is changing their algorithm to reduce your status to a spammer in an attempt to control the flow of information on the Internet.

 

 

First Entries For V For Victory Campaign Rolling In Infowars.com | It’s all about fighting back against the psychological warfare we are now being subjected to by our new would-be slavemasters.

 

Ron Paul: The Coming 2nd American Revolution & Exposing The Fed Infowars.com | Alex talks with physician and Texas Congressman Ron Paul, author of End The Fed and The Revolution: A Manifesto.

 

Eisenhower’s Worst Fears Have Been Realized Washington’s Blog | All in all it appears that Eisenhower’s worst fears have been realized and his remarkable and unique warnings given for naught.

 

Former FBI Agent Coleen Rowley Calls For Congress To Begin “Church Committee”-type Hearings Saman Mohammadi | The time to begin thinking about justice is never too late.

 

Perpetual War is Expensive! We’ve been militarily involved in the Persian Gulf region now for 20 years. Experts have predicted that the cost of this continuous and expanding war will reach 6 trillion dollars.

 

China's new stealth fighter may use US technology (AP)

 

 

The Pathology of Facebook and Twitter The way in which people frantically communicate online via Twitter, Facebook and instant messaging can be seen as a form of modern madness, according to a leading American sociologist.

 

 

Topic A: What should be in State of the Union? (Washington Post) [ Well, at the very least, it should be noted that the states of the union are crumbling (see bankruptcy headlines infra), ergo, the state of the union is crumbling and precarious indeed. The problem with and for wobama is that he’s been there, done that, and his words don’t match his actions, as is so regarding his not easily forgotten campaign promises (from perpetual wars, to no pros the frauds on wall street, to new ‘bubble building’ as in last precursor to crash supplanting sound economics. Blame it on the teleprompter … sounds like a plan! All we really know for certain is what definitely will not be in the state of the union; viz., a solution to pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s intractable decline. ]

 

Drudgereport: BANKRUPTCY FOR STATES STUDIED
CA DECLARES EMERGENCY
Facing $1.6B shortfall, San Fran pays employees $170 million in bonuses...

What Happened to 15 Million Jobs?
Wall Street's 'Bernanke' rally runs into headwinds...
Home sales hit 13-year low...
UPDATE: Hawaii governor says Obama's birth record 'exists' but can't produce it...

Obama daughter practices Chinese with Hu...
Chinese Tiger ate US Dove for lunch...

FBI 'largest' Mafia takedown...
Flowchart...
'Vinny Carwash', 'The Fang', 'Tony Bagels', 'Johnny Pizza', 'Baby Shacks', 'Jack the Wack', 'Junior Lollipops', 'Bobby Glasses'...

MTV PORN: Parents Television Council Calls for Fed Investigation Into 'SKINS'...
VIACOM PRESENTS: SEX AT 15!
Young Star Defends Show's Racy Content: 'It's What Teens Are Doing'...
TACO BELL Pulls Ads...
Teacher Suspended After 2nd Graders 'Sex Acts In Class'...
Joan Rivers calls Michelle Obama 'Blackie O'... [ ‘Blackie O’ … Very funny! … I like that … but don’t look for joan on ‘The View’ anytime soon, or invites from the whitehouse either … but of course, and ‘Blackie O’ might retort that joan will be too busy anyway, reprising the role of ‘The Joker’ in the next Batman film by the gifted director, Christopher Nolan, with AH new Catwoman … meow! ]

 

 

 

 

The Mafia family tree: FBI flowchart reveals
127 'mobsters' arrested in biggest ever blitz on New York's crime empires
[ This is a very big deal!  http://albertpeia.com/mafiafamilytreeflowchartFBIarrests.htm   ]

 

“All In All It Appears That Eisenhower’s Worst Fears Have Been Realized And His Remarkable And Unique Warnings Given For Naught”  [ I personally believe, and the factual, historical realities support that President General Eisenhower is without question the most under-rated president in america’s short-lived history. Is there anyone who foolishly would believe this man of honor, the quintessential General / Commander in Chief would be sacrificing lives (american among many others) and treasury for the sake of war profiteers, greed, fraud, etc., as now? ]  President Eisenhower’s warned us about the growing threat from the powerful military-industrial complex – and it’s threat to our prosperity – 50 years ago.

 

A new culture war Milbank: Are GOP spending cuts about the deficit or settling old scores? (Washington Post) [ What does it matter at this point. Who cares about motives at this too little, too late juncture. Come on! Wake up! Culture wars? Who cares. That should be the least of the wars and worries.The nation is defacto bankrupt. The states are also defacto bankrupt. They’re talking about bankruptcy enabling legislation for the states. There are many cities and municipalities in the states are defacto bankrupt (they can declare bankruptcy as the law currently stands).  NYT Reports States Looking For Ways To File Bankruptcy, Muni Bondholders To Be GMed A few days ago we reported that Newt Gingrich was pushing for legislation to allow states to file for bankruptcy, “allowing Them To Renege On Pension And Benefit Obligations.”   Path Is Sought for States to Escape Debt Burdens Policy makers are working behind the scenes to come up with a way to let states declare bankruptcy and get out from under crushing debts. Drudgereport: BANKRUPTCY FOR STATES STUDIED
CA DECLARES EMERGENCY
Facing $1.6B shortfall, San Fran pays employees $170 million in bonuses...From tonight’s NYT: Beyond their short-term budget gaps, some states have deep structural problems, like insolvent pension funds, that are diverting money from essential public services like education and health care. Some members of Congress fear that it is just a matter of time before a state seeks a bailout, say bankruptcy lawyers who have been consulted by Congressional aides…’   ]

 

 

Hezbollah gets support of Druze leader (Washington Post) [ Is this a direct outcome and consequence of israeli belligerence, war crimes, and america’s alliance with and hence, apparent endorsement of such by america which also has bloodstained hands from numerous civilian deaths in the region. Yes! After all, no one would reasonably deny Hezbollah’s a**-kicking of israel in their fairly recent ‘encounter’. ] The armed Shiite movement received a major boost in its efforts to form a new government in Lebanon when a potential kingmaker swung his support behind the group and its allies.

 

 

A dim view of America's ability to compete in global economy (Washington Post) [ Yeah … and I’d say, realistically speaking, that ‘slightly more than a third’ are wrong. It’s a bit late in the game to be lamenting irrevocable choices, decisions made, mostly for money to the interested few and the frauds on wall street who cheered. This and worse coming is what it is and more importantly, the way it is. Fait accomplis, not for better or for worse, but realistically unlike never before in america’s short history, for much worse.  ] Barely more than a third of all Americans rate the country's ability to compete economically in positive terms, according to a new Washington Post poll.

 

Bank of America posts $1.2B loss for fourth quarter of 2010 (Washington Post) [ Today (after the wall street close) : Four U.S. bank failures bring year's total to 7  Could it be … BofA ‘hearing footsteps’? … Naaah … they’re too big to fail.   ] The toll from the housing crisis could continue to drain billions of dollars from nation's largest bank.

 

 

Four U.S. bank failures bring year's total to 7

Do You Believe in the Bernanke Put?   [ Yes! I agree with the dire assessment infra except that it will be more than tears as in that, ‘There Will Be Blood (film name)’ … and not just in the streets.  ] Hui ‘Earlier this week Gluskin Sheff Chief Economist David Rosenberg wrote an article in the Globe and Mail entitled Why this rally will end in tears.
Last week, Rosenberg called the current state of the financial market a Wile E. Coyote market, or a market that seemingly ignores the major macro-economic risks that could blow up the global economy.

We have an incredible bear market rally on our hands. History shows that these spasms can go further than anyone thinks. But after the U.S. market staged a monstrous 80-per-cent-plus rally from its March, 2009, lows (the most pronounced bounce in such a short time since 1955), it has become seriously overextended. Meanwhile, practically every pundit is extrapolating the recent trend into the future because that is the easy thing to do.

Most investors see only the recent returns; they do not see the nearly invisible risks. But the risks are there. I recall all too well the 2003-07 bear market rally – yes, that is what it was. It was no long-term bull run such as 1949-1966 or 1982-2000. It was a classic bear market rally, and it ended in tears because what drove the market upward was phony wealth generated by a non-productive asset called housing alongside widespread financial engineering, which triggered a wave of artificial paper profits. [picture]

 

He went on to detail his concerns about the future (which I paraphrase):

  • Rising oil prices may derail the fragile US economic recovery
  • US housing fundamentals are poor and deteriorating
  • US unemployment is skyrocketing and remains a social and economic problem
  • US State and local government cutbacks will be a drag on the American economy
  • US debt ceiling and possible default
  • Excessive debt in the global economy, with the European periphery a special concern
  • Food inflation in the emerging market economies, especially in China, which could lead to the Chinese authorities taking steps to cool down its overheated economy – leading to a global recession.

When will it be time for QE3?
While I would tend to agree with many of Rosenberg’s concerns about the macro-economic risks to this upturn, most of the risks in his outline are economic in nature and could be addressed by central bank action. In such a case, the question for investors has to be: Were any of these negative outcomes were to occur, would the Bernanke Fed respond with another round of quantitative easing? In other words, is there a Bernanke Put in the market?

I believe that the future trajectory of the global economy and asset prices are highly policy dependent. While I have my opinion, I am not confident enough in them to be a basis for investment decisions. That’s why I depend on the discipline of the Inflation-Deflation Timer Model, as the underlying philosophy is to allow market prices to tell us the likely direction of policy and price trends, which in turn, allows us to be more tactical and able to capitalize on the intermediate swings in the markets’

 

 



 

Market Outlook: 10 Reasons to Expect a Correction   Seeking Delta ‘The S&P 500 is down a little more than 1% in the last two days despite largely positive economic data. As Cullen Roche so eloquently stated earlier this month:

But the market isn’t the economy. Main Street isn’t Wall Street. And the market is a heartless beast that desires one thing and one thing only- PROFITS!

What follows are the ten reasons (in no particular order) why I am cautious here, as I see the 1% dip over the last two days to be the beginning of a larger correction.

1. Another Earnings Season Sell-Off?

During some point in the past four earnings seasons the S&P 500 has sold off significantly. The trend has been to rally into earning, then to sell the news. Chart, via WSJ.

click to enlarge

[chart]

2. Investor Sentiment

Both individual and professional sentiment remains high, as measured by AAII and NAAIM, respectively. Both readings are currently higher than one standard deviation above historical average bullish readings. Contrary indicator: historically returns are less favorable when sentiment readings are high.

3. Too Far Too Fast?

The current 22 month rally from the March 2009 lows has been 90.1% (click on chart to enlarge). The average 24 month rally to start bull markets is 56.1% with the next closest rally being 65.7% starting in October 1974. Have we come too far too fast? Chart and data via The Big Picture.  [chart]

4. Low and Declining Put/Call Ratio

Since late 2003, when the 20 day rolling average put/call ratio has fallen below .55 (roughly 1 standard deviation from average) the average 30 day returns are -2.2% (-0.7% median) versus a series average of 0.2% (0.8% median). The current 20 day average put/call ratio is .52. The last time the ratio dropped below .55 (April ’10) the market sold-off roughly 14% over the next month-and-a-half. Chart here.

5. Equities Running Out of Breadth?

The ratio of the number of stocks gaining versus the number declining is struggling to regain 2010 levels. Data Diary suggests:

that the market has been gaining ground on the backs of fewer and fewer stocks. We could interpret this as more and more stocks are bumping up against valuation constraints – or put another way, valuation multiples can only move so far ahead of earnings growth.

6. Short Selling of Securities in the S&P 500 at 1 Year Low

Per Data Explorers. Potentially a contrary indicator – have the shorts thrown in the towel?

7. Tom DeMark Says U.S. Stocks Near Significant Decline.

Mr. DeMark, the creator of a set of Market-timing indicator, is calling for a decline of “at least 11%.” The last time his indicators gave a sell signal was mid-2007. Needless to say, the last quarter of '07 and '08 were not a good time to be in equities.

8. Consensus of 11 Strategists Surveyed by Bloomberg Says S&P 500 to Rise by 11% in 2011.

Contrary indicator?

9. QE Ending in June, Maybe earlier?

There is some pressure, as the economy recovers, that QE is no longer needed. I would be surprised if QE2 ends in June, as scheduled, let alone early. But if it does, watch out.

10. Low Volume Rally

Volume has consistently trended down since the beginning of the March 2009 rally (click to enlarge).

[chart]

 

 

 



Freaky Friday - Alpha 2 Says 'Cliff Ahead'    Davis ‘This is fun, right? We had a nice opportunity to buy the effing dip yesterday as well as an interesting opportunity to test the prudishness of the hundreds of web sites that syndicate my articles as I saw every possible variation of "F’ing" popping up in titles that were pinged back to me. Social mores aside, the move was so well telegraphed that we were able to take a non-greedy exit on our QID position – leaving us, thankfully, with just the DIA shorts in our $10,000 Portfolio. That means we are going to be able to start our brand new $25,000-$100,000 Virtual Portfolio right on schedule next week.We began "Turning $10,000 into $50,000 by January 21st" on June 11th and we’re not done yet but we’re well over $30,000 – even looking at our wrong-way (so far) short bet on the Dow. We could have killed that one yesterday as well but, as today’s title says – we just have to give the old Alpha 2 a chance to fully play out as we would just hate ourselves if we get that 500-point drop in the Dow right after we bail on the shorts as that would be our $50K right there!So up only 200% or so in 7 months is a failure but, to be fair, we did take a couple of months off as I didn’t like the market enough in October and November and we already had $26,000 so it didn’t seem worth risking 260% to make another 100%. In the final month, we decided to "go for it" but it was a messy way to make another 20% as our overall premise – that a drop was "right around the corner" – simply did not pan out. Frankly, looking back at the original 5 picks makes me want to cry as we could have just left those on the table and gone on vacation! They were:

  • 10,000 YRCW at .21 (we doubled down at .11), now $3.76, up $35,500 (a Bazillion percent, I think but there was a reverse split…)
  • 20 C Dec $3/4 bull call spreads at .62, closed at $1, up $760 (up 61%)
  • 20 short C Dec $4 puts at $1.08, close at $0, up $2,160 (up 100%)
  • 20 TASR Jan $5/7.50 bull call spreads for .35, now $0, down $700 (down 100%)
  • 10 short TASR Jan $5 puts at $1.30, now .35, up $950 (up 73%)
  • 10 BP Jan $30/34 bull call spreads at $2.20, now $4, up $1,800 (up 81%)
  • 20 FAS Jan $21/29 bull call spreads at $1, now $8, up $14,000 (up 700%)
  • 10 short XLF Jan $15 puts at $2, now $0, up $2,000 (up 100%)

So there’s $56,470 in profits for a $66,470 total IF WE HAD JUST LEFT THE DAMNED THING ALONE! [Actually (8:30 update) I realize that the reverse split on YRCW means that it didn't go up that far on an adjusted basis - so maybe we didn't do all that badly compared to leaving it alone.] Oh well, we didn’t leave it alone because when we make a lot of money early (as we did with YRCW) we take it off the table and then we hedge to protect our profits and some of our later plays were not as clever as our first set but $30,000 is nothing to be ashamed of, is it? Still, it’s a very good lesson that we can take with us into the new portfolio and I urge Members to go through the Portfolio tab and review all the moves we made over the past 6 months, as the $25K Portfolio won’t be much different at first since it’s also a small portfolio where we have to manage our small bets very carefully.Aside from today being our target date to close these trades out, I mention the portfolio this morning to remind our Members that we are NOT missing anything by waiting to be sure of the breakout. We waited for a nice dip and what we felt was a solid move up before initiating that $10KP and we had a rocky start as the market did take another 10% dip in late June but that was GOOD news as we hadn’t over-committed and we doubled up on YRCW and pressed some other bets and by October we had $26,000 and decided we’d rather lock in those gains (the purpose of the portfolio was to have a nicer Christmas than planned) than risk our gains right into holiday shopping season. Was our $10KP responsible for America’s strong holiday shopping numbers???We intend to do better in 2011 than we did in 2010, and step one in hitting our $100,000 goal is BEING CAREFUL WITH OUR ENTRIES! As noted in last week’s Stock World Weekly, we have been rolling along this month right in line with the TradeBot’s Alpha 2 pattern that they ran last year, and Elliot sent me an advanced copy of this week’s newsletter where he cleaned up the chart to match out the expiration dates. I believe you will see why I still have a slight concern:[chart] Spooky, isn’t it? Don’t forget, we identified this pattern on the 3rd and we targeted 11,850 on the Dow and 1,285 on the S&P as the adjusted tops of our ranges and, so far, Lloyd and da Boyz have been firing on all cylinders to paint a picture that is just as pretty as the one they painted last January, right into expiration day, when the VIX ran all the way down to 17.50 (from 30 in November) as complacency reached extreme levels. The tip-off at the time, that we were about to drop, was a sudden pop in the VIX on that Friday, back to 17.99, and by the next Tuesday we were back to 18.68 and, by Tuesday the 21st, panic was back in fashion and the VIX finished the day at 22.27 – on the way to 27 the next day. Now THAT’s a sell-off!Is it "different" this time? How much are you willing to bet on that? We’re not betting much, we’re cashing out the $10KP and we’ll see what happens next week, confident that we KNOW that if the market goes down we can make money and if the market goes up we can make money, but we can make so much more if we wait for the right opportunity before placing our bets.As David Fry notes on his DIA chart, POMO does make this time different and it does seem like we are being hard-wired to buy those effing dips. That’s OK, we can accept that if that’s how we have to play it, but please, Lloyd, show us that you are willing to break the pattern first – then we’ll be willing to step a little closer to the edge of the cliff. Forgive us, of course, if the idea of standing next to you at a cliff when we know that you might make a Dollar for pushing us over gives us the creeps – it’s just that, well, we know you!Speaking of people who are willing to sell their country out for a Dollar – GE had excellent earnings and I got my daily "WHUCK?!?" moment this morning when Obama named Jeff Immelt the head of his Economic Advisor Panel, replacing Paul Volcker who quit when he realized this country is totally being controlled by Souless Corporate Interests who are embodied by none other than – Jeff Immelt. Yes, it’s the same Jeff Immelt who just signed a deal to transfer America’s Avionics Technology to China’s State-owned Commercial Aircraft Corp. of China who (and I mean who, not Hu, althogh it’s easy to see how this is confusing) intends to go into direct competition with Boeing (BA), who is not only a top US military supplier but our nation’s largest manufacturing exporter BY A MILE – so much so that Durable Goods have to be measured ex-Aircraft to smooth out their shipping cycle. Boeing sells $68Bn worth of airplanes per year and has over $300Bn worth of orders for the 787 backlogged. The company directly employs 157,000 employees, mainly in the USA and, as they build their planes here and tend to use American parts, they in turn employ roughly 1M more people, accounting for close to 10% of our nation’s total manufacturing employees. As I mentioned when the deal first broke – the technology GE is turning over to China represents 100 years worth of advances in American avionics and, just because GE legally got their hands on the patent rights over the years, that does not give them the right to put a bow around them and hand them to Hu (not "who," this time I literally mean Hu). There’s a word for what GE is doing. It’s right at the tip of my tongue... Oh yes, TREASON!!! Oran’s Dictionary of the Law (1983) defines treason as "…[a]…citizen’s actions to help a foreign government overthrow, make war against, or seriously injure the [parent nation]." Well, the Supreme Court just decided that our Corporations are citizens and have the right to give politicians unlimited bribes contributions as they exercise their right to free speech. Why then do we not hold them to a citizen’s standards when they clearly take actions that are against the best interests of the United States of America? I wonder if a Paulson-like immunity from prosecution comes with Immelt’s job as head of the President’s Economic Council and I also wonder if Hu benefits from having their main man firmly inserted at a desk in the White House? Surely the timing of the appointment to coincide with China’s visit is not a coincidence. As an M&A consultant, I have seen this happen a million times – a company (or country, in this case) is having trouble paying its bills and its balance sheet winds up in breach of loan covenants which prompts a visit from the president of the bank (in this case the PBOC) who wrangles some additional concessions and guarantees and, in extreme cases, the Bank asks that one of their boys be given a seat on the board so they can "keep tabs" on your progress.[picture]That scenario is bad enough when your bank is just a bank but when you borrow money from a competitor and put yourself in that position, you may as well pack it in because you essentially just spilled blood in the shark tank. It’s only a matter of time before all your thrashing around, trying to stay afloat, turns into a selachimorpha version of a pińata game.Is this the beginning of a long and glorious partnership with our Chinese Masters or simply step 2 in the dismantling of America as Immelt presides over the transfer of the rest of America’s Intellectual Property to China so we can cut out the middle (class) man as our Global Corporations expedite their operational shifts more and more overseas? With only two years until the next election – there is the danger that the American people will wake up and demand action so, as happened during the final days of the Soviet empire – we can expect big moves like GE’s partnership with China to come fast and furious over the next 24 months.What are we doing about it? Well, as I told you yesterday, we’re BUYING GE, as well as JPM and, if you can find any more loathsome Corporate bastards who have top-level access to the White House and a pocketful of Congressmen and Judges – we’ll invest in them too because the first step towards working your way up the ladder in a Corporate Kleptocracy is to realize you are living in a Corporate Kleptocracy. Once you accept that – the rest is obvious…So have a great weekend – the news doesn’t matter – we’ll just keep an eye on the Bots and continue to go with the flow, even if we have to hold our noses while we’re riding it out. Be careful out there,- Phil’

 

 

 

 


Signs the Market Hypnosis Is Wearing Off

 

Punching Out: One Year in a Closing Auto Plant

Here Comes the Dumb Money!

Acrid Smell of Inflation Starting to Spread Through Global Equity Markets Nyaradi ‘The unmistakable smell of inflationary smoke wafted across world markets yesterday as inflationary numbers sprang up in economic reports and global bond markets, spooking investors across the globe.

Starting in China, the red hot economy grew 9.8% in the 4th Quarter, faster than expected, and registered a 4.6% inflation rate, prompting fears of further tightening measures to slow growth and rising prices in that country.

The Shanghai Composite (SSEC) (FXI) continued to respond, dropping -2.9% yesterday and bringing its total decline since early November to approximately -15%.

Food prices (DBA) have been skyrocketing around the world as inflationary pressures grow, particularly in the emerging world where a higher percentage of discretionary spending goes to food and energy than for us in the developed world.

Food riots and inflationary protests have broken out across North Africa.

Yesterday’s Philly Fed report was lackluster on the growth front, coming in at 19.3 versus expected of 20 and prior of 20.8 but it, too, signaled higher prices ahead.

Price increases for inputs as well as firms’ own manufactured goods are more widespread this month. Fifty-four percent of the firms reported higher prices for inputs, compared with 52 percent in the previous month. The prices paid index, which increased 6 points in January, has increased 42 points over the past four months. (Philadelphia Federal Reserve)

The bond market declined sharply yesterday, particularly on the long end, (TLT) with the 30 year rate rising to 4.6%.

Yesterday’s TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities) auction was lackluster, at best, with the lowest bid to cover ration (demand) in nearly two years.

However, not all was doom and gloom as the tech sector continued showing strength as Google (GOOG) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat earnings expectations.

New unemployment claims declined, leading economic indicators advanced 1% and existing home sales improved, although they’re still living in a deep, dark basement of deflationary pricing.

Just take a look around your neighborhood for confirmation.

So as of yesterday we find ourselves entering a treacherous zone where the Federal Reserve continues its bond buying program in an effort to lower interest rates but instead we see interest rates rising both at home and around the world.

The acrid smell of inflation is starting to spread around the world and likely is behind these rate increases as the “bond vigilantes” flex their muscles.

Combined with a still extremely fragile recovery, at least in the developed world, one can smell the whiff of smoke in the overcrowded theatre of global equities markets. We all know that inflation is bad news for equities and for economic growth, and one can only hope that nobody yells “fire” in this overcrowded and nervous room.’

 

 

 

 

Bank of America posts Q4 loss on mortgage problems (Reuters)

 

Stock Market Becomes Short Attention Span Theater Of Trading

 

Bank of America posts heavy losses Agence France Presse | Bank of America, the biggest US bank, reported Friday a net loss of $1.2 billion for the fourth quarter.

 

The Corporate Elite Have a New Platform for Intervening in the Economy Economic Policy Journal | President Obama will name Jeffrey Immelt, General Electric CEO, to head a new advisory panel.

 

Government Bankruptcy Is a Great Idea LewRockwell.com | Just like the rest of us during financial problems, the government has to get its house in order.

 

 

Path Is Sought for States to Escape Debt Burdens Policy makers are working behind the scenes to come up with a way to let states declare bankruptcy and get out from under crushing debts,

 

“The Vast Majority Of This Contraction Of Credit Availability To American Industry Has Been By The Larger Banks” This once again confirms what I have been saying for years: the giant banks are causing most of the credit contraction.

 

Tunisia Central Bank Admits It Is Missing 1.5 Tons Of Gold When we first reported on the rumored “confiscation” of 1.5 tons (or is that tonnes?) of gold by deposed Tunisian surging food inflation beneficiary Ben Ali we joked that the next WGC update of Tunisian gold assets would be strangely lower by 23%.

 

Drudgereport: BANKRUPTCY FOR STATES STUDIED
CA DECLARES EMERGENCY
Facing $1.6B shortfall, San Fran pays employees $170 million in bonuses...From tonight’s NYT: Beyond their short-term budget gaps, some states have deep structural problems, like insolvent pension funds, that are diverting money from essential public services like education and health care. Some members of Congress fear that it is just a matter of time before a state seeks a bailout, say bankruptcy lawyers who have been consulted by Congressional aides…’

 

NYT Reports States Looking For Ways To File Bankruptcy, Muni Bondholders To Be GMed A few days ago we reported that Newt Gingrich was pushing for legislation to allow states to file for bankruptcy, “allowing Them To Renege On Pension And Benefit Obligations.”

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

 

 

3 Terms Top Google Trends as Resistance Campaign Launches Aaron Dykes | The first small victory in the campaign to counteract the takeover of America by DHS has been a success with three related Google trends search terms.

 

Oklahoma First Grader Suspended For ‘Offensive’ Hand Gesture Jason Douglass | Oklahoma first grader suspended for ‘offensive’ hand gesture.

 

The Answer to 1984 is 1776 Contest Infowars.com | We have realized victories against the TSA and on other fronts. We can do it again.

 

You Are The Resistance Against The DHS Occupation Of America Paul Joseph Watson & Alex Jones | V for Victory campaign a mark of defiance against Homeland Security’s takeover of society.

 

EXPOSED: Rahm Emanuel and the Chicago Political Syndicate Who is Rahm Emanuel? How did he get into politics? The Emanuel family; just how powerful are they? What influence do they have on lobbying, and power politics? His workings with the Chicago Democratic Machine, how did he get started, is there a shady past he is trying to hide?

 

 

Blogger Has Second Amendment Nullified for Insensitive Giffords Comment Kurt Nimmo | Massachusetts authorities contact feds after Libertarian makes comment about Congress.

 

 

 

Jerome Corsi: "Hawaii Governor Can't Find Obama's Long Form Birth Certificate.". See the rest on the Alex Jones YouTube channel.

 

 

Blair Uses Iraq War Inquiry To Push Anti-Iran Propaganda Keelan Balderson | War criminal Tony Blair has used the second session of the Iraq War Inquiry to once again promulgate an anti-Iran message.

 

Secret Tony Blair and George Bush Iraq letters were kept out of official records The Telegraph | Private letters between Tony Blair and President George W Bush ahead of the war in Iraq were kept so secret that they did not officially exist.

 

 

Bilderberg Owned Publication The Economist: Yes, Powerful “Globocrat” Elites Are Running Things, It’s Not A Conspiracy We have referred many times to the push for a centralized world government control system as the “open conspiracy”. Groups such as Bilderberg, The Trilateral Commission and The Council on Foreign Relations are kingpins of this agenda, shaping the policies of the politicians and power brokers that they have effectively bought.

 

 

Ron Paul on Morning Joe Roundtable Ron Paul joins a roundtable discussion on MSNBC’s Morning Joe to discuss spending cuts and elimination of the national debt.

 

Which Of The Currencies Of The World Is Going To Crash First? Last year was an absolutely fascinating time for world currency markets. The yen, the dollar and the euro all took their turns in the spotlight.

 

The downfall of science and the rise of intellectual tyranny The very reputation of so-called “science” has been irreparably damaged by the invocation of the term “science” by GMO lackeys, pesticide pushers, mercury advocates and fluoride poisoners who all claim to have science on their side. It seems that every toxin, contamination and chemical disaster that now infects our planet has been evangelized in the name of “science.”

 

“All In All It Appears That Eisenhower’s Worst Fears Have Been Realized And His Remarkable And Unique Warnings Given For Naught”  [ I personally believe, and the factual, historical realities support that President General Eisenhower is without question the most under-rated president in america’s short-lived history. Is there anyone who foolishly would believe this man of honor, the quintessential General / Commander in Chief would be sacrificing lives (american among many others) and treasury for the sake of war profiteers, greed, fraud, etc., as now? ]  President Eisenhower’s warned us about the growing threat from the powerful military-industrial complex – and it’s threat to our prosperity – 50 years ago.

 

 

 

 

 

Drudgereport: BANKRUPTCY FOR STATES STUDIED
CA DECLARES EMERGENCY
Facing $1.6B shortfall, San Fran pays employees $170 million in bonuses...

What Happened to 15 Million Jobs?
Wall Street's 'Bernanke' rally runs into headwinds...
Home sales hit 13-year low...
UPDATE: Hawaii governor says Obama's birth record 'exists' but can't produce it...

Obama daughter practices Chinese with Hu...
Chinese Tiger ate US Dove for lunch...

FBI 'largest' Mafia takedown...
Flowchart...
'Vinny Carwash', 'The Fang', 'Tony Bagels', 'Johnny Pizza', 'Baby Shacks', 'Jack the Wack', 'Junior Lollipops', 'Bobby Glasses'...

MTV PORN: Parents Television Council Calls for Fed Investigation Into 'SKINS'...
VIACOM PRESENTS: SEX AT 15!
Young Star Defends Show's Racy Content: 'It's What Teens Are Doing'...
TACO BELL Pulls Ads...
Teacher Suspended After 2nd Graders 'Sex Acts In Class'...
Joan Rivers calls Michelle Obama 'Blackie O'... [ ‘Blackie O’ … Very funny! … I like that … but don’t look for joan on ‘The View’ anytime soon, or invites from the whitehouse either … but of course, and ‘Blackie O’ might retort that joan will be too busy anyway, reprising the role of ‘The Joker’ in the next Batman film by the gifted director, Christopher Nolan, with AH new Catwoman … meow! ]

 

 

 

The Mafia family tree: FBI flowchart reveals
127 'mobsters' arrested in biggest ever blitz on New York's crime empires
[ This is a very big deal! ]

 

Largest-ever Mafia sweep makes nearly 120 arrests (Washington Post) [ Geeh! Who woulda’ thunk it … still mafia in new york ( jersey )? Why, with all the prosecutions by gov. elect cuomo as n.y. attorney general (aught, naught, nil, nought, none, nada, null, zilch) one might have thought there was almost no such thing of mafia in new york (/ new jersey – same no pros scenario) anymore. Then again, former n.y. gov. mario cuomo’s primary sole law practice client(s), cement and concrete … well, if only the name was vito corleone and as with 1 client tom hagen of ‘godfather’ fame … well, you get the picture.  Drudgereport: FBI Rounds Up 127 Mobsters in Biggest Mafia Bust in New York History…( This is great news and music to my ears! I really hate the mob … I really do! Hats off to the FBI! ) ...
MOB Bust So BIG they're being held at ARMY Fort...]  Federal and state agents arrested nearly 130 reputed mafia members from seven East Coast organized crime families on Thursday, the largest coordinated arrest in the FBI's quarter-century crackdown on the mafia, the Justice Department said.

 

Karzai delays parliament's inauguration as court investigates electoral fraud (Washington Post) [ Pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt american-style democracies and heroin production breakin’ out all over the american mideast war zone. ]

 

Fed sees mixed picture (Washington Post) [ ‘Mixed picture’ … there you go … kind of covers all bases … not like their absolute ‘no recession’ prognostication (which great recession / depression continues in real terms when you take out, look through the worthless paper (currency, assets, securities, etc.), obfuscation and b*** s***. Unnerving? Well, the grim reality does bite; but, I’m not so sure they even see it, or more likely, they choose not to look. Nerve? Yes, I’d say they’ve got nerve … as in gall, audacity, chutzpah, etc., for foisting off on america (and the world) this ultimately disasterous wall street welfare program. ] As the Fed gears up for its first meeting of 2011, policymakers are trying to make sense of an economic picture that is encouraging yet unnerving.

 

 

First lady, Wal-Mart partner on healthy foods program (Washington Post) [ Of wal-mart’s (and wall street’s) rise, and main street’s (and america’s) demise; the story goes something like this. As China’s american based seminal sales agent / distributor of Chinese goods (cheered by fraudulent wall street), wal-mart is well positioned to assist in american dietary matters; as, for example, the less to no food diet, as in increasingly impoverished, defacto bankrupt america eating less because they no longer can afford more (on bushes, clintons, wobamas, etc.).  ] As the world's largest retailer, Wal-Mart is in a unique position to influence the practices of suppliers.

 

 

Hu offers assurances to U.S. business leaders (Washington Post) [‘Chinese leader presses Congress to do more to lift U.S. controls on exports to China’. Yeah! Sounds like a plan! After all, they’ve gotten everything else, including some of that top-level-security stuff (remember that missile guidance tech, etc.), and not surreptitiously. All out in the spankin’ wide open as america (n execs, political and corporate) ‘took the dive for that short-end money (but lots) and a one-way ticket to palooka-ville’!  ] In a speech, Chinese leader presses Congress to do more to lift U.S. controls on exports to China.

 

 

 

Equities Have Come Very Far Very Fast - Some Conservatism Is Warranted ‘With nothing but bullish news and earnings releases prompting the biggest fall rally since 2006, it is timely and conservative to be cautious in equities going forward, according to many market participants with good long term track records. Valuations are showing signs of divergence, where high P/E ratio stocks are rising without a follow through from statistically cheap stocks in many industries.This “reach for yield” has engendered a new ethos in the stock market where taking greater risk is more important in equity selection than corporate net worth, earnings, discounted cash flow analysis, and net asset values. Many times in the past this tendency has led to large market declines, as valuations on the major averages become extended. Shares of technology firms, and especially small cap technology stocks, have risen on metrics we have not seen since the heady days of 1999 and 2000 – things like eyeballs, mouse clicks, and 70 P/E ratios are back in fashion.In the latest public interview with Ben Bernanke, the Fed Chief played down the notion that rising food and energy prices outweighed the economic gains that QE has created, saying with a smile that “the Russell 2000 is up 30% plus" since the announcement of additional stimulus at Jackson Hole last summer. What bothers many fundamental investors about this statement is the fact that the valuation and earnings for the Russell were not mentioned by Mr. Bernanke (does he actually believe in efficient market theory?), but simply that the nominal price of the index fund is up. We all remember when price got ahead of fundamentals in the housing market. While the Fed Chief is excited about the stock market, no mention of the benefits to private business or the unemployed was given.

[chart]/

Whether or not this possibly short lived rise in nominal stock prices actually helps small business owners over the long haul, I am obviously pulling for a full economic recovery and believe in US capital markets over the longer term. If the markets are now 30% more overvalued then they were last summer, many putting capital to work here after the 90% rally could be badly hurt when Ron Paul begins his scrutiny over the Fed’s actions. If QE is eventually wound down (or the expectation of the wind down begins hitting stock prices), stocks could be badly hurt going forward. Many feel the rise in the Russell 2000 was from an already expensive base for many issues, and that risks of another flash crash are now greatly heightened even if the overall benefit to the market means such action was warranted.The last time oil prices rose from $40 to $91 we had major stock market problems, and a continued rise in commodity prices could threaten the global recovery and our stock market returns, at least when measured in Swiss Francs or Norwegian Kroner. Greater leverage and money issuance could exacerbate these issues and the short term gains may not be worth the longer term damage overvalued markets could create when everyone runs for the exits at the same time.

click to enlarge [chart]

In addition to the high valuations of many stock indicies, the latest news about Steve Jobs is disconcerting when you factor in Apple’s 20% position in the QQQQ (Nasdaq 100). Experienced Investors know that the QQQQ generally leads technology shares, and technology shares generally lead the broader markets. A fall in AAPL to $300 could easily start a 3-7% correction in the overall equity markets based on the weighting of Apple in the QQQQ, and the past behavior of Apple stock when Jobs has been in the headlines for medical reasons.The man is truly a genius, crediting a large part of his success to experiences with LSD in the 1970s and his belief in making each customer more creatively effective. Of course, I am pulling for Jobs (wishing him well, as he has a fantastic passion to make the world a better place) and for the markets overall here, but I am cautious on these developments from an investment perspective. Whether more stimulus and forward earnings growth mean “any correction is a buying opportunity” is for the reader to decide, but taking your cues from Mr. Market and being fearful when others are greedy seems to make a lot of sense here.Just last year, the US equity markets declined over 10% in less than three hours on May 6, 2010 and many believe this decline was more than just a glitch. The same type of decline hit equities on September 29, 2008 and more of these market jolting events could be looming in our future. So, in light of the fact that we have come very far, very fast in equities, I believe some degree of conservatism is likely well worth the opportunity cost. Corrections never come when people expect them to, and stocks don’t go straight up forever.’

[chart]




Parallel Universe DIA vs. QQQQ: Dave's Daily The big names just don't want to break down. Remembering the DJIA is a price weighted index -- companies like IBM keep things well-propped. In the meantime, tech struggles over the past few days especially with the breakdown in "cloud" sectors. Commodity markets were hit hard on worries China's inflation situation will warrant more tightening. This, should it happen, is never friendly for commodity markets and precious metals as we posted earlier with GLD (SPDR Gold ETF). Economic data was mixed with better Jobless Claims and Housing data while the Philly Fed report was disappointing with current report and the previous report adjusted lower. Earnings continue to flow and most beat expectations handily once again reminding us of the ineptitude of most analysts. It's a hard job, but somebody has to do it at least making sure companies "beat" for the M&A goodwill. Through the first half of the day stocks stayed lower but crept higher abetted by more POMO and a recovery in some financial stocks. It may be very difficult for any meaningful sell-off or correction as long as Ben is printing. Volume improved significantly today which is typical on down days. Breadth, per the WSJ, was decidedly negative.

 

 

Retreat Unfolding? Inflation Trader ‘Markets recently have been reversing Mackay’s classic observation that “Men…think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one.” Instead, the slow march of stocks higher has meant that people have been going mad one by one, and joining the crowd. Does the maxim hold true in reverse? Will they recover their senses in herds?This would be a bad thing, and I am relieved to observe that while the 1% decline in equities yesterday was the largest single-day selloff since November 23rd, the volume was not appreciably different from Tuesday’s volume. A bear might growl that this shows how much lower even a little selling might push prices, but classic technical analysis would expect to see a swelling of volume to confirm a trend change.My suspicion, techies or no, is that this is more than a one-day respite in a relentless march. The negative earnings surprises and/or downbeat announcements from Goldman (GS), Wells Fargo (WFC), Northern Trust (NTRS), Citigroup (C), and American Express (AXP) (cutting 550 jobs) helped drive the NASDAQ Bank Index down 2.6%. Barclays (BCS) just laid off a number of people, many of them very senior, with essentially no warning. Anecdotally, I can report friends at other dealers who are starting to size up their options/escape hatch as well. This is all very strange if you read the economic headlines, or even the earnings reports which, while downbeat, weren’t exactly the big losses of 2008-09. Is there some signal here about the economy, or is the financial reform bill just damaging prospects for financial institutions? Or am I reading too much into narrow anecdotal evidence? I will just say the state of the banking sector just feels less bumptious than it did just a couple of months ago.Homebuilders were also down, some 3.5% as measured by the S&P 500 Homebuilding Index. Surely this cannot be simply a reaction to the weak New Home Sales number (529k vs 550k expected). After all, the inventory of new homes (which isn’t in the Housing Starts report, but is relevant here) is at the lowest level since 1968 (see Chart, click to enlarge), and adjusted for population it is probably at the lowest level ever.[chart] Inventory of New Homes. Yes, they compete with the high inventories of EXISTING homes, but this picture is reasonably upbeat for the home building industry in the long-term.Both banking and homebuilding, of course, were sectors that cratered and were bailed out in the housing crisis. Could they be canaries in the coal mine now? I doubt it on the homebuilder side, but I have long held that the mega-bank is going to be an expensive use of capital now that the social costs of being big have resulted in legislation that will have the effect of lower volumes, lower margins, and lower leverage. All three legs of the ROE formula, in other words, will be under pressure; the future should belong to the boutiques and partnerships…just as the past once belonged to Merrill, Lynch, Pierce, Fenner, and Smith instead of Merrill/BOA.The tiny tremor in stocks yesterday – which, granted, feels like a massive earthquake since it has been so long since the last tiny tremor – is only a warning. But it is a warning echoed in the breakdown of the dollar below its trading range for the last two months (see Chart, click to enlarge).[chart] Dollar is looking soggy again.None of these little hints and wiggles would matter much in the normal course of events. They’re not big news. The problem is that there are a lot of people waiting for a Sign to Get Out. Several of these things could be construed to be enough of a warning for a nervous investor to flee. The question is whether these investors regain their senses one by one, or in herds.It is far too early to make this suggestion, but I think a reasonably gentle 2.5% further selloff to 1250 on the S&P would be welcomed by many. A more-rapid decline, say if yesterday’s 1% turns into today’s 1.5% and Friday’s 2%, would cause more concern and widen the range of possible outcomes thereafter. In this circumstance I think it isn’t whether you wake up the giant, or when you wake up the giant, but how you wake him up, and jumping on his chest is unlikely to produce the results you would like.I am not sure that economic data will have anything to do with the unfolding retreat, but if Initial Claims (Consensus: 420k from 445k) fails to drop back onto the improving trend or if Existing Home Sales (Consensus: 4.87mm versus 4.68mm last) goes down instead of up, those will be additional irritants for the investing public. Today also brings the Philly Fed Index (Consensus: 20.8, unchanged), which is expected to stay near the 2010 highs. There is plenty of scope for disappointment, in my view.By the way, I am not terribly sanguine about bonds, either. Yields are very low, and although weak economic data is typically good for bonds I think that is less clear when the government plainly needs growth in order to be able to redeem those bonds some day (at least, in the absence of debt monetization). Given that we are still struggling with the deficit from the 2008-09 crisis, is it good for bonds if we enter another recession or even a period of choppy near-zero growth? I think the answer there is unclear. Commodity indices for me still look like the best medium-term bet although they have certainly come far themselves in the last few months.However, the Treasury is going to issue $13bln of a new 10y TIPS bond today, with a real yield that will be near 1%. That is pretty uninteresting unless your alternative is the 10y nominal note at 3.33%. I am not fond of the duration, even in real bonds, but I suspect the auction will go fine. The TIPS market continues to be in a zero-net-supply situation with the Fed essentially providing all the new cash that the Treasury raises through the TIPS auctions. It is hard to be bearish on auction results in that situation.’

 

 

 

Is the Up Trend Broken? , On Thursday January 20, 2011, ‘We published this article a few days ago and decided to re-run it because it answers today's most-asked question: Is the up trend broken? Since the article first ran, we offered this conclusion in the January 14th ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter: 'Based on the confluence of overhead resistance, optimistic sentiment extremes, short-term bearish seasonality and waning breadth, the end of this rally seems near. According to resistance levels, the odds for a reversal at S&P 1,300 +/- 10 points are high.' Whether the final top is in place remains to be seen, but here is what might be expected over the coming weeks. Original article starts here:What the market's rally lacks in charisma, it has made up in persistence. The stair-step, creeping type of an up grind is lulling investors to sleep as we speak. Steady and seemingly risk-free gains have rekindled optimism and created a state of euphoria not seen in years ... since late 2007 to be exact.The irony of this article is that few investors will feel compelled to read anything that resembles a warning or contains a bearish message. The few that read this piece will probably scoff at it. That's how bear market rallies work and that's why they are effective.The soothing rhythm of the VIX has lulled investors into a state of complacency. If you had to describe investor's alertness in sleep lingo, a state of REM sleep would probably be the closest comparison.History tells us that the (bear) market only strikes when least expected.Based on analyst polls by Bloomberg, Barron's, USA Today and a variety of sentiment measures, a stock market (NYSEArca: VTI - News) decline is as remote today as it was in 2000 or 2007.
Hedging Activity Drops
Investors and traders are content to hold on to massive long positions without hedge. One of the easiest ways to hedge your stock portfolio is via put options. Last week the CBOE Equity Put/Call Ratio dropped to 0.4, the lowest reading since April 15, 2010.The lack of hedging is dangerous for prices because the market is without a safety net. The only option for spooked investors without hedge is to sell. Selling causes prices to drop.On April 16, 2010, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter warned of the consequences of a low put/call ratio: 'Selling results in more selling. This negative feedback loop usually results in rapidly falling prices. The pieces are in place for a major decline. We are simply waiting for the proverbial first domino to fall over and set off a chain reaction.'The first domino dropped just a few days later, setting off the May 6 'Flash Crash' and ultimately resulted in a swift 15% correction for the Dow (DJI: ^DJI), 17% correction for the S&P (SNP: ^GSPC), 19% for the Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC), and 21% for the Russell 2000 (NYSEArca: IWM - News).A different measure of complacency is the premium traders willingness to pay for call options (bullish bets). Based on a three-month average, the price for put options (bearish bets) is near a 10-year low. The only other time that rivals current readings was in 2007.
This Time is Different

The spirit of 'this time is different' is one of the most fascinating phenomenons known to Wall Street. Investors' sentiment follows the ebb and flow of stock prices. When prices are up, the future is expected to be bright. When prices are down, the future is supposedly bleak (just think of the 2007 peak and 2009 bottom).This approach of linear extrapolations feeds the herding mentality, which contrarians use as effective indicators. This approach is not foolproof but, nevertheless, is one of the most accurate, if not the most accurate timing tool known to underground Wall Street aficionados.The chart below (taken from the January 2011 ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter) illustrates the four most prominent occurrences of extreme optimism, or the 'this time is different' effect. The green line connects the price of the S&P with the timeline and various sentiment gauges.[chart]Investors thought 'this time is different' at the 2007 peak, in May 2008, in January 2010, and again in April 2010. The only thing different at all four times was the velocity of the descent, but each period of euphoria was greeted by despair.

History Rhymes

History doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes. In 2007, Merrill Lynch's Global Economics Report foresaw a bright future: 'The Merrill Lynch global economics team believes that the economy will continue to grow in 2007 - with no sign of a significant cyclical slowdown.'According to J.P. Morgan, Barclays Capital and Goldman Sachs (Merrill Lynch failed to foresee its own demise in 2007 and is no more), the S&P will gain between 15 - 20% in 2011 and the 'economy will continue to grow in 2011.'Perhaps this time will be different, but based on history, now is the time to at least be cautious and protect your investments. An ounce of protection is worth more than a pound of cure. Based on long-term valuation metrics the stock market is priced to deliver pain, not gain (see November 2011 ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter for a detailed analysis).Based on sentiment, the market is overheated and due for a correction at the very least, and how often have we seen a correction turn into something more? Timing a top is tricky, but based on support and resistance levels and seasonal patterns it is possible to narrow down when the market is ready to roll over. End of original article.We don't make up structurally important support/resistance levels, the market does, so it behooves us to listen. The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter monitors the market's vital signs and highlights important support/resistance levels. If the next important support fails, we might be looking at an April-like decline.’

 

 

Relevance of EU’s new ESRB watchdog questioned Reuters | Europe’s proposed solution to avoid a repeat of the financial crisis holds its first meeting on Thursday with some analysts questioning its relevance.

 

Europe faces a new crisis The Voice of Russia | UN depressing forecast was made in report on the World Economic Situation and Prospects-2011.

 

Bank giant Goldman rewards staff with €11.4bn Independent.ie | Wall Street banking giant Goldman Sachs revealed today that staff earned a total of $15.4bn (€11.4bn) in pay and bonuses last year.

 

Debt Continues To Accumulate As The Economic Climate Worsens When you stop and think about it, the Fed’s main instrument of monetary policy, the manipulation of interest rates has been lost to it. That is two years with the same rate. What has become very obvious is that an official rise in rates would create all kinds of havoc.

 

The Great Depression II One basis for deciding whether we are in a “recession” or a “depression” is distinguishing how recessions become depressions. With the hindsight of history, we already know.

 

China’s Inflation Problem Looms Large The global economy has become so unbalanced that even government ministers who would normally have trouble explaining supply or demand clearly recognize that something has to give.

 

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

Obama May Call For Gun Control During State Of The Union Steve Watson | Democratic Party donors, Congressmen and gun control groups are lobbying the president to speak on gun control laws during the upcoming state of the union address.

 

DHS Launches Takeover of Sports Stadiums, Malls and Hotels Infowars.com | DHS continues to hype program bent on turning citizens against each other.

 

Health Authorities Want Depression-Causing Drugs Added To Water Supply Paul Joseph Watson | Mass medication of population part of drive to make people obediently accept “dictatorship without tears,” Aldous Huxley warned in 1962 Berkeley speech

 

Rep. Cohen: Ventura’s Show Promotes Terrorism Kurt Nimmo | According to Cohen and Cooper, investigative journalism and unrestricted exercise of the First Amendment leads inexorably to terrorism and murder.

 

Russell Means: Welcome To The Reservation Infowars.com | American Indian Russell Means gives an eye-opening 90 minute interview in which he explains how Native Americans and Americans in general are all imprisoned within one huge reservation.

 

U.S. Supreme Court Issues Landmark Decision: Constitution is Void PRNewswire-USNewswire | Landmark decision that serves to allow judges to void the Constitution in their courtrooms. ’ The U.S. Supreme Court issued a landmark decision that serves to allow judges to void the Constitution in their courtrooms. The decision was issued on January 18, 2011, and the Court did not even explain the decision (Docket No. 10-632, 10-633, and 10-690). One word decisions: DENIED.Presented with this information and massive proof that was not contested in any manner by the accused judges, at least six of the justices voted to deny the petitions:“There is no legal or factual basis whatsoever for the decisions of the lower courts in this matter. These rulings were issued for corrupt reasons. Many of the judges in the Northern District of Georgia and the Eleventh Circuit are corrupt and violate laws and rules, as they have done in this case. The Supreme Court must recognize this Petition as one of the most serious matters ever presented to this Court.” ‘The key questions answered negatively by the U.S. Supreme Court was: “Whether federal courts must be stopped from operating corruptly and ignoring all laws, rules, and facts.” Windsor says: "I have discovered that the federal judges in Atlanta, Georgia, Washington, DC, and the justices of the United States Supreme Court function like common criminals intentionally making bogus rulings against honest people while covering up the crimes of their fellow judges.  I have been contacted by people from all over the country and around the world with their stories of judicial corruption with judges all over the U.S."My charges have been totally ignored by the United States Attorney's Office, the FBI, and Congress. I do not believe there is a shred of decency, honesty, or Constitutional rights in our federal courts.  In my opinion, we now live in a police state.  Judges are free to do absolutely anything they want.  Our laws are meaningless.  Your life savings can be stolen by a federal judge, and they have no risk in violating every law in the books."In my opinion, this is the most serious issue that our country has ever faced.  Our rights have been stolen.  And the mainstream media refuses to cover this story because they are afraid of the judges.  Heaven help us."I believe our only hope in America is if the masses become aware of what is taking place.  I am writing an expose, and my book will be available at Borders, Barnes & Noble, and on amazon.com soon.  The publisher will decide if the title is Lawless America or Screwed, Glued, and Tattooed." For more information, see www.LawlessAmerica.com.’

 

China Boasts: ‘We Are The World Number 1′ The Chinese communists are taking the occasion of their first visit to the Obama White House – not to show humility, as Mr. Obama did to them – but to openly show their clear intention to dominate the world from the Middle Kingdom.

 

Chinese leader disingenuous about Tibetan issues, improving human rights As President Obama grovels before Chinese President Hu Jintao this week during the (to quote Sen. Harry Reid) dictator’s U.S. visit, the Communist Chinese government continues to crackdown on dissidents, Tibetan activists and anyone who gets in the way of Chinese dominance in the world.

 

WIKILEAKS: China Could Ask U.S. To Get Out Of South Korea How could Chinese-American military tensions ratchet higher? What if China told America to get out of Korea.

 

S. Korea, US mull boosting missile range: reports Seoul and Washington have started talks on extending the range of South Korea’s missiles to help deter North Korea, news reports said Wednesday.

 

Swiss re-arrest ex-banker for giving data to WikiLeaks Swiss police on Wednesday arrested former banker Rudolf Elmer on fresh charges of breaching Swiss bank secrecy law for giving data to WikiLeaks, hours after he was found guilty of another secrecy offense.

 

Major Agro-Chemical Company Says Removal Of Toxic Fluoride From Foods Actually Threatens Americans’ Health A major agricultural chemical company says it is not in the best interests of Americans for the EPA to ban the use of a toxic fluoride compound in the processing of food supplies

 

The Fourth American Revolution The mass murder in Tucson is another brick in the wall of this Fourth Turning Crisis. The importance of this tragic event is not what happened in that Safeway parking lot, but the reaction in the aftermath of the shooting. Turnings are not about specific events, but how generations react to the events based on their stages of life.

 

Are You Ready For The Universal Internet ID That Barack Obama Wants To Impose On All Of Us? The Obama administration is developing a “universal Internet ID” program that would watch, track, monitor and potentially control your activity on the Internet. These”trusted identities” are being touted as a way to increase safety and security on the Internet and as a way to eliminate the need for dozens of different usernames and passwords.

 

Does Joe Lieberman’s Resignation Signal Imminent Collapse?  Joe Lieberman is announcing his retirement today which would seem like a victory for the liberty movement. Throughout his career the Senator from Connecticut has been the consummate insider. [ No matter how you slice it, dice it, splice it, this news (of zionist zelig lieberman’s retirement) is all good!  ]

 

 

Ireland responsible for its problems – Barroso RTE.com | A visibly angry European Commission President has rejected suggestions that terms of Ireland’s EU bailout would make vassals of Irish taxpayers.

 



Drudgereport: FBI Rounds Up 127 Mobsters in Biggest Mafia Bust in New York History…( This is great news and music to my ears! I really hate the mob … I really do! Hats off to the FBI! ) ...
MOB Bust So BIG they're being held at ARMY Fort...

Tucson restaurant to offer African lion tacos…..( Which pretty much helps explain the mass shooting there! )...

House GOP Lists $2.5 Trillion in Spending Cuts...
China: USA #1 no more...

GE CEO: China one day will be world's biggest economy...
A day after cutting $19B deal with China, Boeing slashes 1,100 US jobs...
US Stocks slide on fears of Chinese rate hike...

Obama: 'We Welcome China's Rise'...

Zimbabwe mulls treason charges over WIKILEAKS … (Now what nation would want to be on the same side of an issue as mugabe’s zimbabwe?)...

Currency system 'product of the past'...
HU QUESTIONS FUTURE OF DOLLAR
RISING DRAGON: China on equal footing with USA as Hu visits Washington...
GE CEO: China one day will be world's biggest economy… daaaaah! ...
Obama: 'We Welcome China's Rise'...

Careful to avoid criticism...
HOUSE VOTES TO REPEAL HEALTHCARE LAW...

Dem Compares Republicans to Nazis during debate...
26 states join suit against law...
SHOCK CLAIM: World needs $100 TRILLION more credit, says World Economic Forum...

Japan hits 'critical point' on state debt...
APPLE faces pollution storm in China... ‘A group of 36 Chinese environmental groups has accused Apple of failing to address concerns over pollution and worker health issues in factories supplying components for its gadgets…’  
Home building stuck near 50 year lows...
CASHOUT: Daley Files to Sell $8.3 Million JPMORGAN Shares After Joining Obama Team...

Taiwanese mock meeting w/ video cartoon...
Missiles off target in major Taiwan drill...
China 'got stealth tech from Russia'...
GE to sign slew of China deals...
'Experience China' takes over NYC's Times Square...
PEW: 65% see China as an 'adversary' or 'serious problem'...
STUXNET WORM USED AGAINST IRAN WAS TESTED IN ISRAEL...
Three U.S. Soldiers Killed in Iraq...
GALLUP: U.S. Satisfaction Remains Near 12-Month Low...
CBS POLL: 77% say cut spending; only 9% say raise taxes...
States Warned of $2.5 Trillion Pensions Shortfall...
Schwarzenegger: I Was 'Addicted' To Being Governor...
Comprehensive List of Tax Hikes in Obamacare...
 Republican senator sees bipartisan agreement on debt ceiling … (no surprise here; after all, they have to get paid…for what?…more and more people are asking the question -  all three branches including the toy soldiers for perpetual war and illegal drugs / arms ops) ...
Obama Gives Communist Leader Lavish State Dinner...

China lending hits new heights; Funding to poor states (that includes defacto bankrupt america) tops World Bank...
RISE OF RED DRAGON: CHINA SHAPES WORLD
Jobs Takes Medical Leave...
House panel wants Homeland Security documents...
GALLUP: U.S. Satisfaction Remains Near 12-Month Low...
Ahmadinejad, Medvedev agree to boost ties...

Moscow reaffirms Soviet recognition of Palestine...
Camden, NJ braces for deep police, fire cuts...
 

 

 

 

Wall Street firm targets District-based energy practice (Washington Post) [ From one corrupt sinkhole (d.c. / no. virginia) to another, perhaps the largest ( wall street/new york/jersey/ct. metro); ho, hum. The pervasively corrupt american illegal system … corrupt u.s. courts / (lawyers) / judges: Their lifetime plush appointments should be abolished, which corrupt entities are unheard of in productive societies as China, Japan, etc.. Time to abolish these drags on society and eliminate their lifetime stipends and costly bureaucracies. Rules of law mean nothing to these typically corrupt americans. Most, including sam alito of the u.s. supreme court, concerning  drug money laundering and obstruction of justice in the 3rd circuit ( also maryanne trump barry who covered-up drug money laundering through her brother’s casinos in a civil RICO case) should have gone to or belong in jail. Contrary to popular belief, they do it for the money, personal money, big, cash, untraceable money. The fog of war is great for such things (360 tons $100 bills flown into Iraq and missing, etc.).

 [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm  ]. america’s just a fraudulent and failed defacto bankrupt nation. ] It's part of a push by law firms to expand their D.C. footprint in an era of increased regulatory scrutiny.

 

 

Israeli human rights groups sound alarm (Washington Post) [ As indeed they should! As a war crimes nation along with pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, israel has much to lose by exposure of their pervasive crimes though the entire world is aware of same including illegal nukes! … Ie., Accountability is unclear in israeli probe of flotilla raid (Washington Post) Oh, come on! An israeli probe of an israeli massacre of civilians. Time for israel to pay; for illegal nukes, for violations of international law, for continued violations of u.n. resolutions, for provocations as pretexts to sabotage peace talks, and on and on ad nauseum. Why does america among other nations feel compelled to sacrifice themselves for the sake of a global criminal nation with an insatiable greed and blood-thirst as israel?    ] An initiative in the Israeli parliament this month to investigate the funding of local human rights organizations has intensified debate here about the role of the groups, which critics have accused of harming Israel.

 

 

Business leaders meet with Hu, Obama to address trade issue (Washington Post) [  Oooooh! … Sounds like a plan! … For Chinese regression … I don’t think so … Trade With China?: 25 Facts That Prove That China Is Kicking Our Rear Ends Do you believe that trade with China is a good thing? Well, you might not be so sure after you read the 25 facts listed below. The truth is that China is kicking our rear ends all over the planet … Drudgereport:  GE CEO: China one day will be world's biggest economy… daaaaah! ...
Obama: 'We Welcome China's Rise'...

Careful to avoid criticism... ] The show of corporate might reflects the intense focus on the economic relationship between both nations.

 

 

Goldman Sachs's profit drops by 52% in Q4  (Washington Post) [ Before everyone starts shedding tears, let’s realize that those bonuses and compensation packages come off the top… Bank giant Goldman rewards staff with €11.4bn Independent.ie | Wall Street banking giant Goldman Sachs revealed today that staff earned a total of $15.4bn (€11.4bn) in pay and bonuses last year.      ]    The decline in Goldman's bottom line is all the more striking because it contrasts with huge gains at other financial firms. As the financial sector continues to climb out of a historic hole, the numbers reflect a divide between Wall Street and Main Street.  [Previous:   Jobless rate jumps as hiring slows (Washington Post) [  The reality is not a mystery! The nation’s been thrown under the bus for the greater good (wealth) of the very few (frauds on wall street, etc.);  wall street giving out record bonuses from their accomplished fraud (with no-recession b.s. bernanke help) of $144 BILLION: Come on! This is gettin’ even more downright ridiculous (if that’s even possible)! Pending home foreclosure / distress sales up, oil prices (and oil stocks) up, debased dollar down, plus a little familiar ‘better than expected’ thrown in along with prospects of a ‘no-recession bernanke’ market-frothing bull session on 60 minutes and, voila, suckers’ rally into the close to keep the suckers suckered! What’s good for the frauds on wall street is bad for just about everyone else which includes the vast majority of people and businesses, domestically and globally, as current dollar manipulation / debasement ultimately results in higher costs and loss of purchasing power (ie., oil, etc.). Clearly, this is one of those fraudulent wealth transfers to the frauds on wall street et als which will ultimately be paid for by those who least are in a position to afford it, courtesy of the ever more worthless Weimar dollar, etc., inflating earnings, eps, lowering p/e multiples, etc., see infra. This is an especially great time to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come! Previous: Rosy numbers on consumer sentiment, unemployment (far better than private forecasts) from the government prior to the holiday so-called ‘shop till you drop’? How can anyone believe anything they say? Najerian interviewed by Motek chimes in with the reason for good retail cheer; viz., people have stopped paying their mortgages and are using the funds to purchase retail goods; while Davidowitz adds that with record numbers of americans on food stamps, real unemployment at 17+, and wall street giving out record bonuses from their accomplished fraud (with no-recession b.s. bernanke help) of $144 BILLION …  the high end stores / jewelers will do well … daaaaah! And, with insiders and wall street frauds selling into the bubble as preceded last crash, this is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits!  ]

 

 

Obama presses (as in pressing Mr. Hu’s pants) Chinese leader on rights     At summit, Hu admits his nation needs to make more progress  (Washington Post) [ Riiiiight! … Mr. Hu says with utmost sarcasm to continued perpetual war president, in the mold of dumbya bush though national u.s. defacto bankruptcy, viz., ‘wobama the b (for b*** s***)’. White House more hard-nosed about Chinese government / Hu to face a tougher Obama administration (Washington Post) [ Please … don’t make me laugh … and, are you sure you didn’t mean more ‘brown-nosed’ about the Chinese government. This is starting to sound like seed material for the Weekend Update SNL skit segment, ‘REALLY’. I mean, really. Does anybody believe this? Come on … I don’t think so! ] Analysts say President Hu Jintao is eager to burnish his legacy, but he will find a White House that views his government with misgivings.]  [Drudgereport: Currency system 'product of the past'...
HU QUESTIONS FUTURE OF DOLLAR
RISING DRAGON: China on equal footing with USA as Hu visits Washington...
GE CEO: China one day will be world's biggest economy… daaaaah! ...
Obama: 'We Welcome China's Rise'...

Careful to avoid criticism... ]   President urges counterpart to allow more freedom and open a real dialogue with the Dalai Lama, and raises the case of imprisoned Nobel winner.

 

 

 

Possible Earnings Season Potholes  , On Wednesday January 19, 2011, 6:58 pm EST  ‘Earnings season is upon us and according to 10 strategists and investment managers polled by Barron's, there's no cloud in the sky. The future's looking bright.If you've followed Wall Street forecasts for a few years, you must have discerned a pattern: Forecasts are always rosy. If Wall Street analysts were meteorologists, their outlook would always be 'sunny' unless it is actually raining.Therein lies the problem; Wall Street never sees hard rain coming and only offers an umbrella after investors have gotten trenched. The purpose of this article is to provide an out of the box forecast with analysis you won't hear on the Street.

Insiders vs. Analysts

Analysts have their optimistic disposition implanted by the companies they cover. Corporate managers have every incentive to stay positive for as long as they can.Ironically, as CEOs project record high earnings, insider selling has picked up. In December, Investors Intelligence reports that: 'there was a sharp acceleration in the pace of insider selling over the last week, as if they suddenly all received word that the index highs would end.'Who would you rather believe - analysts (and their sources) with an agenda or the action of insiders with skin in the game? Something doesn't seem right if insiders want you to do as they say but not as they do.

Unbridled Enthusiasm

Mark Twain said that: 'When I find myself on the side of the majority, I know it's time to find a new place to side.' The majority of investors (and analysts) now believe in rising stock prices.Sentiment gauges have recorded readings not registered since the 2007 all-time highs, or before the May 'Flash Crash.' This is usually a sign of a market that's getting ready to roll over.

Trap #1

This brings us to the first investment trap for Q1 2011 - equities. After rallying more some 90%, the major indexes a la Dow (DJI: ^DJI), S&P (SNP: ^GSPC) and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) are simply overbought, over loved and overvalued. This doesn't mean that they have to crumble tomorrow, but NOW is the time to think about protection.In each of the past three years, January trading has delivered a surprise shot of reality. Don't be surprised if it happens again in 2011.Sectors with the biggest gains include retail (NYSEArca: XRT - News), consumer discretionary (NYSEArca: XLY - News), materials (NYSEArca: XLB - News), and technology and these are also the most vulnerable to correction.Even though it defies Wall Street's approach of linear extrapolation, sectors that do well one year, rarely top the list the following year. It would make sense to either buy put protection - which is historically cheap due to a low VIX - or set mental stop-loss safety levels to avoid suffering through a painful correction.In an effort to keep this article brief, we won't delve into the Europe crisis. One of the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter's predictions for 2010 was an increase in sovereign debt defaults. The Europe crisis will be with us for a while and will turn into a big drag for developed markets (NYSEArca: EFA - News) eventually.

Trap #2

A rush for tax-free yield drove investors into municipal bonds. Chasing yields can be a pricey mistake. If you plot dividend yields against stock prices over the past 100 years, you'll quickly notice that periods of low yields are generally a good time to sell, not buy stocks.The muni bond market has been an obvious, but ignored, house of cards. California is nearly bankrupt and every other state or municipality has seen their tax revenue dwindle. Loaning money to municipalities is like giving a car loan to someone who just lost their job. The default risk is high.On August 26, the very day Treasuries and muni bonds topped - the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter told its subscribers to get out of muni bonds, corporate bonds and Treasuries. Prices for bonds have tumbled since and the danger isn't over. The three trillion muni bond market is in serious danger. Now is the time to worry about return of your money, not return on your money.

Trap #3

Not all is as it seems and if you put your trust in the Fed, you may soon be disappointed. Quantitative easing in general, and QE2 in particular, was supposed to stimulate the economy, increase inflation and the money supply.[chart]As the chart above shows, it didn't do any of the above. QE2 also was intended to lower interest rates to increase lending and make mortgages more affordable. The chart below shows what the interest of the 10-Yr Treasury has done since QE2 was launched.[chart]The Fed is treating the previous indulgence in debt by taking on even more debt. This is like taking more heroin to kick a drug addiction. It will keep you functioning for a while, but eventually your system will shut down. The only chance of success is to detox.

The Minefield Looks Pretty

To sum up, we are looking at a minefield covered by a beautiful blanket of flowers. The Fed - although it's failed to jolt the economy - has succeeded in inflating stocks (NYSEArca: VTI - News) and commodities (NYSEArca: DBA - News). It has served as fertilizer for fake growth.But sentiment is indicative of a market ready to roll over. Similar sentiment readings and warnings by the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter in December 2008, January 2010, and April 2010 led to declines from 9 - 29%. Aside from Fed induced liquidity, there's not been much reason to believe this time will be different. The market's internal strength has been waning as various breadth indicators failed to confirmed the recent price highs.

Enjoy the Sight, Mind the Feel

Creeping up trends like the current one can go on for weeks. But take a look at the price action leading to the April highs and it becomes clear that such stair stepping up trends tend to end very abruptly and without warning.That doesn't mean that a correction has to turn into a meltdown, but if you maneuver through trap-infested territory, it pays to be careful and protect yourself.’

 

 

Financials Lay an Egg: Dave's Daily If I don't post every day it's easy to forget how the routine goes, but that's not your problem. Anyway, most disappointment Wednesday surrounded financials and perhaps materials. Investors were pretty energized regarding bank prospects but were disappointed with GS and AXP reports. The DJIA was propped higher by IBM's earnings keeping in mind it's a "price weighted" index with the company being the big dog there. Oddly, the rest of the tech sector saw sharp declines led by semis and networking. Commodity markets were mixed to down on the day while the dollar sold-off. Bonds rallied some as stocks were lower and home building data was weak. Volume continues to be incredibly light and it's hard to put your finger on why. Connected obliquely was news that hedge fund assets reached and exceeded their prior highs now at $1.9 trillion. With an unknown percentage of these assets involved in HFT (High Frequency Trading) it only enhances the impact of this activity. As some may know we utilize DeMark indicators to assess timing exits from long or short positions. DeMark is usually quiet but today he posted a note suggesting an "imminent" decline in markets was at hand. With POMO ongoing (more today) it's the wind behind bulls' sails that could defeat many technical indicators. In any event, volume picked up on selling while breadth was decidedly negative per the WSJ.’

 


Europe faces a new crisis The Voice of Russia | UN depressing forecast was made in report on the World Economic Situation and Prospects-2011.

 

Bank giant Goldman rewards staff with €11.4bn Independent.ie | Wall Street banking giant Goldman Sachs revealed today that staff earned a total of $15.4bn (€11.4bn) in pay and bonuses last year.

 

Home Construction Declines WSJ | Home construction in the U.S. fell to its lowest level in more than a year in December as builders cut back on new single-family homes, the latest sign of a moribund market.

 

China ‘logs double-digit growth in 2010′ China’s economy grew 10.3 percent last year but inflation exceeded the government’s full-year target, Hong Kong-based Phoenix Television said on its website Wednesday.

 

Housing Starts in U.S. Decreased in December to One-Year Low Builders began work on fewer homes than projected in December, a sign the industry that triggered the recession continued to struggle more than a year into the U.S. economic recovery.

Trade With China?: 25 Facts That Prove That China Is Kicking Our Rear Ends Do you believe that trade with China is a good thing? Well, you might not be so sure after you read the 25 facts listed below. The truth is that China is kicking our rear ends all over the planet.

 

US Mint Reports January Silver Sales Hit 26 Year High When we had last checked on the total silver sales by the US Mint earlier today, the amount given was 3,407,000 ounces, a number which we had earlier speculated would be a monthly record if sales were maintained at the current pace.

 

 

 

National / World

 

Statement by Secretary Napolitano on Senator Lieberman’s Retirement [ Good riddens … Connecticut should be jumping for joy!  ]Jason Douglass | After Sen. Lieberman’s retirement announcement, Napolitano makes statement.

 

Man Dies After House Fumigated With Same Fluoride Compound Sprayed On Food Steve Watson | Known insecticide toxin was approved for use on fruits, nuts sold to Americans.

 

10 Ways In Which China Humiliates The United States Paul Joseph Watson | Globalists are using China as the vehicle through which to complete the total deindustrialization of a decaying America.

 

Terrormania Grips US: PSYOPs Justify Bloated Budgets Jason Douglass | Around the country ‘regular people’ are coming face to face with terror!

 

Will Corporate Media Blame Spokane MLK Bomb on Tea Party? Kurt Nimmo | Incident follows Arizona shooting by less than two weeks.

 

Doping Up the Troops EconomicPolicyJournal.com | U.S. Central Command policy allows troops a 90- or 180-day supply of highly addictive psychotropic drugs before they deploy to combat, reports Nextgov.

 

China Moves Troops Into North Korea Salem-News.com | South Korea’s daily newspaper is reporting that what Western analysts have feared has happened: Chinese troops have been deployed into North Korea.

 

Poll: US support for Afghan war drops Press TV | A recent poll shows the American people’s support for the Afghan war has dropped to the lowest level since President Barack Obama took office.

 

10 Ways In Which China Humiliates The United States Rolling out the red carpet, lining Constitution Avenue with Communist flags, and treating unelected Chinese dictator Hu Jintao to lavish White House dinners while he badmouths the U.S. dollar is hard enough to stomach, but there are a plethora of ways in which China is humiliating the United States as the globalists get ready to use China as the vehicle through which to complete the deindustrialization of the decaying American banana republic.

 

China Plants Flag on Constitution Avenue On Tuesday night, Obama followed the script closely. He sat down to what the corporate media describes as “an unusual and intimate dinner” with Hu Jintao, the CEO of the sprawling slave labor gulag and globalist dream come true in China.

 

 

Man Dies After House Fumigated With Same Fluoride Compound Sprayed On Food A man found dead in a house in San Jose, California, Monday was believed to have been killed by a toxic fluoride compound used to fumigate the residence, the same fluoride compound that has found its way into many foods with government approval.

 

Will Corporate Media Blame Spokane MLK Bomb on Tea Party? Rachel Maddow has yet to pin blame for a bomb left along a Martin Luther King parade route in Spokane, Washington, on the Tea Party, but NPR suggests white supremacists may be responsible.

 

Meet The New Boss: China Owns The United States The flags along Constitution Avenue tell you everything you need to know – America has been sold out and our new Chinese slavemasters are now leading the sheep to slaughter. Even as Barack Obama bows and fawns to President Hu Jintao, the globalists for whom he fronts are sharpening the knives and preparing to unleash the bloodletting as the dying carcass of America is dragged into line to facilitate the global management of the planet.

 

“Experience China” debuts at NYC’s Times Square A video show about Chinese people made its debut on screens at Times Square on Monday, presenting Americans a multi-dimensional and vivid image of Chinese people.

 

Arlington Man Loses Gun License Due To Blog About Tucson Shooting A blog threatening members of Congress in the wake of the Tucson, Arizona shooting has prompted Arlington police to temporarily suspend the firearms license of an Arlington man.

 

MSFT, Goldman Sachs CEOs to Meet Obama, Hu at White House Chief executive officers from Microsoft Corp. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. will be among the corporate leaders the Obama administration is bringing together today for a meeting with Chinese President Hu Jintao aimed at expanding U.S. business interests in China.

 

 

 

 

 

White House more hard-nosed about Chinese government / Hu to face a tougher Obama administration (Washington Post) [ Please … don’t make me laugh … and, are you sure you didn’t mean more ‘brown-nosed’ about the Chinese government. This is starting to sound like seed material for the Weekend Update SNL skit segment, ‘REALLY’. I mean, really. Does anybody believe this? Come on … I don’t think so! ] Analysts say President Hu Jintao is eager to burnish his legacy, but he will find a White House that views his government with misgivings.

 

Concerns rise over Afghan forces (Washington Post) [ Well, to their credit, at least the Afghans purport to know how to count which of course is something lost on defacto bankrupt america and so-called ‘coalition’ members. After all, there will come a time when this military apparatus will say, pay / feed me, at which point the reply will be, with what, at which point, obfuscated or not, all hell breaks loose.  ]

 

 

Proposed sale of land stokes anti-Chinese views    Job creation seen as key to China's investment in U.S. (Washington Post) [ Boy, you can’t make this stuff up! Talk about coming full circle. I think Japan and the u.s. are constrained to start getting used to it. From scourge for taking jobs to now prospective savior for potentially creating them, I’d say communist China’s in the catbird’s seat as defacto bankrupt america pounds salt and fritters away money she doesn’t have in perpetual needless wars in the mideast, etc.. ]

 

Obama to feds: Cut the red tape (Washington Post) [ Riiiiight! That red tape thing … you know, as in laws, regulations that rein in corrupt, illegal, fraudulent behavior … Heck, we all know they’re not enforced anyway; ie., still no pros of the frauds on wall street, plus legislative help to cover-up their gargantuan past (and ongoing) crimes by way of mark to anything FASB rule change for those worthless toxic paper assets from the last fraud, etc.. Yes … change, as in change change by the man of change, changer wobama the ‘b’ for b*** s***!. After all, the next election cycle will be gearing up and those campaign funds need replenishin’. Sounds like a plan. ]

 

Steve Jobs  Your Take: Apple without Steve Jobs  (Washington Post) [ Yeah! It’s quite difficult to imagine in any positive sense. Indeed, there was a feeding frenzy among the dinosaurs (ie., microsoft, et als) purportedly owing to the absence of the 800 pound gorilla (Apple – far advanced in evolutionary terms) which according to the frauds on wall street should benefit the dinosaurs, spiking their share prices (unlike when gates, who just loved that archaic BASIC programming language to death, etc., left; and then the notorious problems with that ‘ms kernel’ that only people who know, KNOW). Jobs indeed will be sorely missed! ]

 

[  It should be noted that the paranoid american criminals have once again, this time by way of hack via microsoft  (willing accomplice as was att of jersey / dumbya bushland – deleted / I caught the problem and have also installed opensource.org which I strongly recommend (at least a look – won’t disappoint – I used same for the archived PDF post files) is free and a breeze to use and though compatible with word and a multitude of other formats, for now on these specific web site documents (I have image folders already linked which would require at least a look) it’s easier and faster for the time-being for me to add to the existing documents with word; but as is so of america, microsoft’s a dinosaur) gave me a few problems, serious enough to require a redo, which I have corrected / overcome; but believe me, I won’t forget it! They will be sorry! ]

 

 

Self Correcting Market Poses Unique Situation Pierce ‘There is quite a danger premium built into this market as the market continues to grind higher. Here are a few thoughts as to what the look of a correction could look like from user AlbertaRocks on Seeking Alpha referencing the Hindenburg Omen, Goldman Sacks, and market makers.

Sources are saying that the vast majority of investors are now in the market “with no hedge”, meaning with no puts. But you can bet that the institutional managers have some protection of some sort. If they don’t have puts in place, you can be pretty sure that they have trailing stops in place. And we can rest assured that they’re tightening those trailing stops with each passing day. The more wacky and contrived this melt-up becomes, the tighter they’ll move them. Wouldn’t you just love to know how tight those stops are, and how many shares are for sale at each price level just below the market? You can bet the farm that Goldman knows.

That’s most likely why there’s been no sell-off allowed. And that’s why there’s little likelihood of there being any sell-off that they can control. I’ve been speculating on this for damned near a year now. I thought they’d lost control at the August correction, but I was wrong. But the further this Fed induced insanity has gone, the more likely it is that the xxxxxxx (the Fed, GS and their minions) are probably finally trapped. This is why we “need” to see if 1130 holds. If it does, I’d bet that it would be “barely”. If it doesn’t, then 900 might not hold either. Anyway, that’s why I’m expecting violence in the markets. I don’t even know whether to expect a nice, tidy slow melt-down that accelerates (if that’s even possible), or a 40 handle gap lower one of these days. But whatever it is, when those stops begin triggering, there won’t be a damned thing GS can do about it other than buy them all up… or just let ‘em go and throw all their own shares into the pot as well. If the bankers ever want out, the question we’ve all be asking is “who they gonna sell to?”. Now we can add the fact that not only do they have nobody to sell to, but they have billions of shares of competition who’ll want out at the same time as the banks do. Man…. I can’t see how it could be anything other than a violent crash.’

 

 

Gauging Economic Activity: It Takes Money to Make Money Hansen ‘It appears that most people focus on money flows as the gauge of economic activity. Non-monetary measures are generally ignored. GDP measures money flows.

Consider that the majority of people (aka "consumers") in the USA (and the world for that matter) account for a small portion of the money movements. Looking at incomes (and not expenditures), the reality comes into focus.

[chart]

click to enlarge images

The above graph shows the breakdown of the economy by income - not selected expenditure like GDP. The sum of this income pie is several times GDP as money moves around the economy. The relationship between the incomes of people, business and government (as shown on the above pie chart) has remained fairly constant since 1948.

What has changed is the income distribution of people (totaling 43% of total USA income) in the yellow and green pie slices. The yellow pie slice of Joe Sixpack has been getting smaller while the green pie slice for the richer Americans has been getting larger.

[chart]

Average income becomes larger than median income as the number of high earners increases.

When we use money flows as a metric to understand how well an economy is doing, the majority of the population (the yellow pie slice) becomes insignificant. Joe Sixpack does not have enough money to be a factor in this economy where money flows are the squeaky wheel which gets the grease. As the economic controllers are graded by how much money flows grow, natural gravity (not conspiracy or lobbyists) would cause laws and regulations to favor groups (business and high worth people) which will make the "money flow" economy expand.

In the case of the USA, 80% of the people amount to 40% of personal income, while 20% of the people make 60% of personal income. This fixation on money movements as a metric to understand economic growth favors the elements of the economy which most easily can generate faster monetary expansion.

You remember the saying "It takes money to make money".

For the richest people of the economy, this has translated into long term wealth building (chart complements of Wikipedia).

[chart]

If economic progress was based on counting jobs, or living conditions, or life expectancy - attention would be directed towards that metric instead of GDP which has little in common with Joe Sixpack, or the majority of Americans. The GDP metric is now discriminating against Joe Sixpack.

GDP in chained dollars keeps rising. Joe is getting further behind.

Economic News This Week:

Econintersect economic forecast for January 2010 pointing to a slightly improving economy. This week the Weekly Leading Index (WLI) from ECRI continued to improve from 3.4 to 3.7 implying the business conditions six months from now might be improving. Six monts ago, the WLI was declining indicating that December should have been slightly worse then July 2010. This December data is coming in fairly strong.

[chart]

Initial unemployment claims in this week’s release increased slightly. If you look at the not seasonally adjusted claims - they rose to an eye popping 770,413.

[chart]

Here is a comparison to prior years non-seasonally adjusted initial claims with the approximate gain over the previous week:

  • 2005 693,776 (+153K)
  • 2006 555,114 (+80K)
  • 2007 506,709 (+0K)
  • 2008 547,943 (+25K)
  • 2009 956,791 (+225K)
  • 2010 815,593 (+170K)
  • 2011 770,413 (+192K)

It is likely that the seasonal adjustment factors are a little off this week, and is one more reason to follow the four week moving average with smooths out the inconsistencies in the data. The unadjusted increase for the first week of the year in 2011 is similar to the two preceeding years (2009 and 2010). All three are obviously much larger than the preceeding three years (2006,2007 and 2008). One is tempted to ascribe this difference to the institution of a New Normal. However, 2005 (153,000) is close to the range observed for 2009-2011 so maybe the distribution of data 2006-2011 is a circumstantial arrangement of random data.

Moral: Exercize caution when casually attributing observations to a "New" Normal.

Most of the data released this week was inconsistent with Econintersect’s December forecast of slow growth - and it more resembles Econintersect's January forecast. Overall the December data released this week was strong. However, the transport indicators began their improvement in December which historically foretells economic improvement. Warning: one month does not make a trend. The table below itemizes the major events and analysis this week.

Weekly Economic Release Scorecard:

Item

Headline

Analysis

CPI

Up 0.5%

Energy price surge a concern to Econintersect for 2011 economic expansion

Retail Sales

Up 0.8%

This is a gross understatement. This is record sales up 8% YoY.

Industrial Production

Up 0.8%

Agree that Industrial Production increased

Manufacturing & Trade Sales

Up 1.2%

This is November Data - but the increase is confirmed by the unadjusted data

PPI

Up 1.1% MoM

Energy surged 7.7%. Likely to show up in CPI in the following months

Trade Balance

Shrunk $100 million

Historically high exports but surplus likely grew $3.5 billion

Consumer Metrics Index

 

Consumer Contraction is now 270 days old

Diesel Consumption

Up 2.4%

Diesel use at December historical highs

Rail Traffic

Up 7.3%

Positive trend lines going into 2011

Small Business Sentiment

Down 0.6%

Both consumer sentiment and small business are in the same relative negative positions

Wholesale Sales

Up 1.9%

November sales are at historical highs for November

Blueprint for Disinflation

 

Avoid owning fixed assets

Bond Vigilantes

 

Historically major bond holders dump at first sign of inflation

Inflation Chupacabra

 

Chupacabra is not coming to eat our goats

Opinion: Headwinds for 2011

 

There is far more risk then realized

Opinion: Currency, Newton and the Gardener

 

The underlying economic driver is jobs.

Opinion: Yellen Says QE Saved the Economy

 

This entire economic policy morass is encumbered with lack of experimental control.

Bankruptcy this week: Constar International Inc.

Bank Failures This Week: [chart]

 

 

On Unemployment, Inflation and Flawed Fed Logic  [ Hasner has omitted a very crucial fact: america’s defacto bankrupt and saddled with insurmountable record level debt!  ] Hasner ‘The sum total of Fed actions over the past 3 years can probably be summed up as the central bank attempting to create its own reality. They have committed to the following :

  • Keeping deflation at bay and raising the inflation rate
  • Keeping the Fed Funds rate low for an indefinite period (forever?)
  • QE1 and Q2 (and Q3)? (Quantitative Easing - the purchase of US government securities in the open market)
  • Supposedly working toward full employment while stating that it will take 4 to 5 years for employment to recover?

All of these actions are the result of a single fact: They are compensating for failing to do the job they were tasked with from 2000 to 2008. They failed and we pay and pay.

I think we have to first explore why inflation is so important to the Fed to make sense of this mess.

The banks are still in a big hole (of their own digging) and need housing prices to stay elevated to keep their losses in check. These same banks need to recapitalize at low interest rates (via bond issuance) and to profit from the rate spread to keep their salary game intact. The wealthiest individuals in America stand to lose the most from deflation, even though housing price devaluation would enable an entire new generation of hard working Americans to participate in the housing market.

The influence of the wealthy on Fed policy is not hard to understand. Keep the status quo and you are safe from congressional inquiry as a Fed governor; do what's in the best long term best interest of the American citizenry at large and you are not. Congress by and large will continue to go along with this charade for as long as we let them. It should be "one man, one vote", but these days it’s how many dollars you can pony up that determines how many "votes" you can muster.

Why does inflation serve the largest banks and corporations disproportionately while hurting the average working citizen?

Greater Inflation is desired because the largest banks still hold massive amounts of "bad" loans on their books that simply cannot be justified under any scenario except elevated housing prices. Greater inflation is desired by large multinational businesses so that they may increase current pricing levels and continue to grow profitability for shareholders. Greater inflation is sought so that the Fed can regain credibility and maintain the illusion of being in control of the markets. Inflation in basic necessities such as food, energy, health care and educational expenses have the potential to drain the resources of anyone below the upper strata of society. Making life harder for those on the margin to protect those at the top is not only bad economic policy, it's immoral.

What might the potential long term effects of a near zero Fed funds rate be?

The longer the Fed keeps rates at zero, the longer the banks have to develop strategies for operating in a "risk" free capital environment. Given past history, it's only a matter of time (when, not if) until the banks blow the economy up yet again. Low rates directly benefit the banks and large corporate sectors of the economy. They can borrow at historic low rates whereas the average citizen has no capability of obtaining such funding. While mortgage rates have moved to levels we have not seen in a decades, the corresponding tightening in loan qualification standards means that many cannot take advantage of them. Profits to the largest businesses and no tangible benefit to the American citizen - can you see a pattern developing?

The Fed will eventually be faced with a quandary of enormous proportions. Either raise rates and suffer the wrath of a capital allocation system that has spent the better part of 5 years devising the most profitable ways to game that system, or keep rates at or near zero and continue favoring the largest and wealthiest businesses in America over the working class. I fear the Fed may be secretly planning to permanently lower rates because I cannot frankly see any other way out of their dilemma.

Let's talk about employment in America, or more correctly, the problem with employment in America.

The latest government report shows a 9.4% rate of unemployment. While that statistic is down from 9.8% from the previous month, it probably reflects people actually dropping out of the labor force and not gains in employment. They drop out when their discouragement level becomes so high it is unbearable for them to keep trying. Unbearable for them to keep trying to seek gainful employment. Is this the America we really want?

The latest report shows that 103,000 jobs were created. This is not even near enough to take up the new workers entering the work force, let alone put back to work the tens of millions (yes that's right....tens of millions) of people who have lost their jobs and are seeking work. I can't believe this is happening in America. It's sickening. Record profits and cash balances for America's biggest businesses and no employment opportunities for the working class.

Unemployment compensation was extended to 99 weeks for those seeking work. But what was missing was any sort of connection between these benefits and actually re-training these folks for careers that may be in demand. If a worker is laid off due to economic circumstances, chances are his line of work or skillset is not in demand anymore. Why in the world are we not getting these folks into new careers? I know for some it is a stretch to think that an educated IT worker may now have to re-train as a health care worker or a nursing home assistant, but at some point in this vicious cycle you have to let the free market work.

We currently 'import' people from all over the world to staff our hospitals and nursing homes and I sometimes wonder why we are not putting able bodied Americans to work instead of just sending them 99 weeks of unemployment checks while they go through the futile exercise of trying to re-live their past glories. The reason, of course, is that these jobs pay much less than their former occupations and then they wouldn't be able to afford that damn McMansion anymore. You do see it all goes back to the banks and their bad loans. When does it all end? The Fed believes that more inflation is the answer to unemployment in America. How about you?

To be constructive in my final analysis, I recommend we do the following things NOW to get this country back on the path to economic opportunity for all, and not just those who already have it:

  1. Stop trying to keep housing prices inflated. Houses are overpriced now and the market laws of supply and demand should be allowed to set the price level.
  2. Force the banks to clean up the bad loans. I frankly don't care how much it would hurt profitability. Enough is enough. If we force them to take losses on their bad loans and clear their balance sheets, we can finally get back to the business of growing America for all citizens. The one benefit is the huge Wall Street salary and bonus scam will have to come to an end. Someone in government has got to have enough backbone to take them on - I just don't know who that is.
  3. Instead of spending taxpayer resources on efforts to keep housing price levels inflated, we should use that money to create a “What's needed now” job clearance engine that will be a government/private industry partnership. When someone loses their job, they would be required to utilize the services of this job clearing facility and be prepared to be re-trained, if necessary. If they don't want to, fine, but the unemployment checks would soon stop. Incentive enough, I would hope. We have become a society of pampered “I want it now” consumers and it's time we realized that our economic competitors in the global scheme are working harder at jobs we would not consider "worthy". We need to wise up before they overtake us and become the ones who determine our economic destiny instead of the other way around. Any work is good work, period.
  4. We need to get interest rates to a level 3.5 to 5%, where seniors and other people who cannot afford risk taking in any form can still provide for themselves after a lifetime of hard work and savings. What we are doing to these people is surely a crime, and for what? To keep the banks in the salary and bonus business?
  5. Finally, we absolutely need to question the way we have allowed the largest banks to get bigger during the crisis without regard to solving the "too big to fail" problem. I know that nobody in Congress wants to take them on, but the banks need to be broken up. It's the only way America can get back on sound footing and prevent future disasters.’

 

 

 

Chinese Yuan; A new world reserve currency? Economic Assassin | Twelve days into the New Year (2011) and China has already set the wheels in motion to use their most powerful weapon, the Yuan, in order to combat inflation.

 

China Says the End of the Dollar is Near WSJ & AFP | Chinese President Hu Jintao emphasized the need for cooperation with the U.S. in areas from new energy to space ahead of his visit to Washington this week, but he called the present U.S. dollar-dominated currency system a “product of the past” and highlighted moves to turn the yuan into a global currency.

 

 

BullionVault.com Runs Out Of Silver In Germany With the US Mint selling silver at an unprecedented pace, it was only a matter of time before the silver shortage would be spotted across the Atlantic, where distributors ran out of both gold and silver on a daily basis during the first time Europe became insolvent some time in early May 2010.

 

“The Fed No Longer Even Denies that the Purpose of Its Latest Blast of Bond Purchases … Is To Drive Up Wall Street Of course, rather than admit that the Fed is failing at driving down rates, rising rates are now being heralded as a sign of success.

 

Home Building, Sales Probably Languished as Market Lagged Behind Recovery Bloomberg | Homebuilding probably dropped in December and sales of existing houses struggled to rebound from a post-tax credit slump, reflecting a market trying to regain its footing more than a year into the economic recovery, economists said before reports this week.

 

BP’s Rosneft Deal Replaces Reserves Lost in Post-Spill Sales at Half Price Bloomberg | BP Plc’s $7.8 billion share swap with OAO Rosneft will replace almost all the reserves it sold to pay for the Gulf of Mexico spill at less than half price.

 

 

UK: Oil Prices May Kill The Economy NICK Clegg earlier this week made a pitch for the hearts of “alarm clock Britain”: those who “come rain or shine are busy making Britain tick”. He was right to identify working people as being in need of support, having been taken for granted during the Labour years.

 

Rising gasoline prices sour U.S. consumer mood Rising gasoline prices beat down U.S. consumer sentiment in early January, overshadowing an improved job outlook and passage of temporary federal tax breaks, a survey released on Friday showed.

 

Silver: From $30/oz to over $500 by 2020 And from $500 to $5000 by 2030!

 

The Outlook for Inflation Inflation Trader ‘Retail Sales was softer-than-expected (+0.6%, +0.5% ex-auto, plus downward revisions, versus 0.8%/0.7% expected), Industrial Production stronger-than-expected (+0.8% versus +0.5%), and CPI a smidge above expectations (maintaining 0.8% y/y on core, and rising to 1.5% y/y on headline). More on CPI later.

“Close enough!” cried the equity traders, who subsequently put up prices 0.7% on the day, to 28-month highs in the S&P. Bond traders also felt the balance favored a stronger economy and faster price increases, but moved yields only a few basis points higher with the 10y note to 3.33%. Inflation swaps curiously softened 2-5bps despite the reasonably sunny outlook for carry; some traders and investors feel the inflation market is a bit frothy right now – which it is, but supply is tight and I am not sure I’d be very aggressive about shorting inflation-linked bonds even at these valuations.

With Friday’s trading, the Jan-2011 TIPS have matured. The yield of the bond over its lifetime is a picture of the economy of the 2000s (see Chart, click to enlarge, source MorganMarkets). The recession of the early part of the decade shows up clearly, as does the expansion from 2004-07; the dip in late 2007 as the developing recession became apparent was followed by the spike as Lehman collapsed and balance sheets became allergic to anything except TBills. It was clearly the buying opportunity of the last few decades in fixed-income, as the ongoing crisis was more consistent with sub-zero real yields, and the issue subsequently rallied nearly 700 basis points in 15 months from December 2008 to March 2010.

[chart]

Jan 11s, we'll miss ye.

So now, let’s talk about CPI.

Core CPI was +0.092% month-on-month; the annual rate of change rose slightly to +0.804%. I’d mentioned Friday the potential for a surprise higher in the monthly change because of the reversal of last month’s seasonal adjustment quirk (which, in November, held the monthly change down). This didn’t happen, and my suspicion is that the main part of the effect will actually be seen in this month: January 2010’s seasonally-adjusted change in core CPI was a rather surprising -0.14%, which accounts for most of the difference in the seasonally-adjusted and non-seasonally-adjusted year-on-year series. We will have to wait a month to see.

But that is just sharp-pencil trivia for the bow-tied set. The bottom line is that the year-on-year change in core CPI is now rising. The headline figure did surprise on the upside, printing +0.505% to put the year-on-year rise at +1.496%. This was accomplished mostly through the rise in commodities (gasoline contributed 0.37% to the headline number, so with core+gasoline you have almost all of the month’s change), and more of that is to come over the next few months.

Perhaps more surprising is that the second-largest contribution came from housing, which added 0.08% to the overall figure and therefore accounts for just about all of the rise in core CPI. This is remarkable – it was the largest such contribution in years. This is probably a reasonable time for a step back and a re-think about the overall outlook for inflation.

The Outlook For Inflation

Current Conditions:

The basic pricing conditions in the United States at present are:

  • Housing continues to drag on core inflation, but far less than it had been. The y/y change in Shelter is 0.447%, compared to 0.804% for the overall core. The main two components of Shelter are “Rent of Primary Residence” (that is, if you are a renter rather than an owner) and “Owners’ Equivalent Rent of Residences” (that is, what is happening to the consumption value of your home, as distinct from its investment value). These two series are illustrated in the chart below (click to enlarge). While OER is only up 0.282% y/y, Rent of Primary Residence has risen 0.798%: essentially in-line with core. The chart (source: BLS) illustrates that at least the near-term pricing dynamic has changed.

[chart]

Surprisingly, housing is now contributing to inflation.

  • Offsetting this surprising rebound in housing (Shelter is around 40% of core inflation), just about everything else has seen price inflation decelerating. The core-ex-housing number, which was cause for much alarm last year when it spiked near 3%, has plunged to just over 1% (see Chart below, click to enlarge). Apparel (about 4% of core) has plunged from +2% to -1%, Recreation (about 8% of core) is contracting at -0.8%, Education inflation (about 4% of core) has shaved from 5% to 4%, and Communication inflation (about 4%) has gone from 0% to -1%. About the only major core element (other than housing) that hasn’t decelerated very much is Medical Care (8.5% of core), but it also isn’t accelerating.

[chart]

To my surprise - although anticipated by my models - core ex-housing has regressed to the core number rather than the other way around.

  • This is not wholly surprising. Two models of core inflation that I follow have predicted this declining trajectory of core inflation; both models predict a turn higher now. I wouldn’t have expected core inflation to evolve this way – with housing inflation bouncing higher while core-ex-housing provided a drag – but the outcome is approximately in line with my models, which broadly suggested core inflation declining to around 1% until Q3 or Q4 and then remaining at approximately that level through mid-2011. In the event, core inflation has overshot on the downside somewhat, but not egregiously so.
  • Commodities will continue to place upward pressure on headline inflation relative to core inflation at least for the near-term, and I think probably for the medium-term as well.
  • Because of the general decline in the volatility of price changes, and in the dispersion of price changes (that is, most items are experiencing broadly similar inflation), inflation feels lower than it has for some time previously. With reported CPI around 1.5%, I estimate the “real feel” inflation at around 2.7%, which is nearly as low as it has been at any time in the last forty years except during the financial crisis (You can read more about the “real feel” inflation temperature here). Consumers are perceiving a broadly stable pricing environment, which is probably one reason that the stock market is doing so well and confidence is rising. Gasoline, however, could change all that: the real-feel jumped from 2.4% in November.

Base Forecast:

Aggregated models of core inflation and one which separately forecasts housing inflation both project rising inflation going forward. The average of the models is 1.5% for 2011 core inflation. Interestingly, the model that separates out housing inflation projects 1.8%, but then converges in 2012.

The main influences on the 2011 inflation outlook are the late-2008 spike in money supply, the decline in the dollar over 2009, and the level of core inflation in late 2010. It is important to realize that there are long lags in the pass-through of monetary policy to inflation. Most of the broad currents of 2011 inflation have long since been formed. Policymakers are right now working on policies that will influence 2012 and 2013 inflation, but not much will drastically change the outlook for core inflation in 2011.

Risks to the Outlook:

However, the model is not “fully specified.” That is, not every possible influence on inflation is included in the model – mostly because there are all kinds of influences that I can’t imagine, or because some influences operate with variable lags. For example, my models do not include consumer expectations of inflation. Partly, this is because I don’t think they have a lot to do with inflation, but the Federal Reserve thinks they are very important and if they’re right, my model will miss inflation zigzags that are caused by changes in consumer expectations and not captured in other variables. I also do not model changes in money velocity directly, but this can be as important or even more important than the level of the money stock itself.

The risks to the outlook have been generally to the upside over the last year or so, but seem to be somewhat more balanced now that core ex-housing has decelerated. Of course, when we are near the lows we should expect that inflation feels saggy and that the risks seem more balanced. Here are what I see as the main risks to the outlook.

Downward Risks

  1. My models do not have a role for the output gap. In my econometric work, I haven’t found that the output gap adds any explanatory power to a model that already includes monetary variables (and I’m not the first person to notice this: Fama in 1982 is the first person I’m aware of to show it). But this may have happened if I looked for a linear influence, while the influence is actually nonlinear – that is, maybe small output gaps don’t matter but large output gaps, about which there is limited experience in the data sets, matter. If this is the case, then the large output gap we currently have will dampen inflation more than I expect it to.
  2. In my models, leverage plays an important role. High levels of private leverage tends to dampen inflation; moreover, since leverage is related to the velocity of money, stable leverage tends to imply stable money velocity and thus a stable quantity of money. After signs in 2008-09 that an important deleveraging trend was underway, that trend slowed in late 2010 as the Federal Reserve has worked hard to maintain the degree of systemic leverage. I think this is a really bad long-term idea, but in the short-term there’s no question that a collapse of leverage could lead to extremely bad growth outcomes. From an inflation perspective, though, high levels of private debt relative to public debt tends to dampen inflation, so by encouraging leverage the Fed is somewhat inhibiting medium-term inflation. If the deleveraging trend turns back into releveraging, it will tend to truncate some of the more bullish inflation scenarios.

Upward Risks

  1. Money supply growth has remained tepid although it is accelerating, but the Federal Reserve is clearly trying to increase money growth. As I noted before, normal money supply growth passes into inflation with a long lag but if there was sharp money growth then some of that increase would likely pass through into inflation in a shorter time-frame (quantitatively, my models assumed fixed lags but in reality the lags ought to be distributed…that is, the pass-through happens over time. When the changes are small this is not terribly important but for large changes we could feel some effects sooner). Now, the Fed doesn’t want a sharp increase in transactional money (e.g., M2) even though it is pumping massive amounts of liquidity onto bank balance sheets. As I wrote several months ago (see comment here), we don’t know how or if that money multiplier will return to normal. If it doesn’t happen until the Fed withdraws the M0, that produces one outcome; if it suddenly snaps back then that could cause a massive, uncontrolled rise in M2. That isn’t my null hypothesis, but we really don’t know how this will work (no matter how confident the Chairman is about it) and the direction of the risk is quite clear.
  2. The Fed, despite protestations to the contrary, has no way to unwind liquidity provisions in a rapid, yet orderly way and likely would be slow to do so even if inflation began to rise. This doesn’t affect 2011 inflation, but it implies that the medium-term trajectory for inflation probably needs to take into account the fact that the Fed will not be leaning against the wind in its normal fashion.
  3. Majority political preferences all favor higher inflation because it seems to solve some problems (at least at moderate levels of inflation) at a low cost. Therefore, most political decisions are likely to be made without particular concern for the effect on the pricing dynamic.
  4. The dollar is unlikely to rise sharply (although it may rise), but conceivably could fall sharply if public debt grows too onerous. See Iceland, whose currency fell 50% against the dollar in 2008. There is little doubt that Greece’s and Ireland’s currencies would have been similarly penalized had they not been on the Euro (incidentally, this is also the reason that Iceland will recover long before Greece or Ireland – the latter countries lack one crucial automatic stabilizer). It isn’t likely to happen here, but it could.
  5. I mentioned above the risk that private leverage reasserts itself, but the flip side of that risk is the risk that public debt simply explodes. What really matters to inflation is actually less the amount of debt but whether that debt is largely private (which is disinflationary) or public (which tends to be inflationary). For a long period of time, the ratio of Federal, State, and Local debt as a proportion of total debt has been fairly stable between 22% and 37%, but the huge deficits of the last couple years combined with whatever private deleveraging there was has pushed that ratio to the upper end of that range (as of Q3. When the Q4 numbers come out it will be shocking if we aren’t at new multi-generational highs of that ratio). Even if deleveraging stops, the increase of the public debt creates ever-larger incentives to inflate it away. This wouldn’t likely manifest as a 2011 risk except through a currency collapse as mentioned above, but it is a very large problem for the medium term. I’ve run charts before but the Financial Times had an excellent article on the debt problem on Thursday. Below (click to enlarge) you can see the key illustration from that article.

[chart]

Source: Financial Times, Jan 13, 2011

I’ll end there. The bottom line is that the 2011 trajectory will be to roughly a doubling of core inflation with a good chance of headline figures outpacing the rise in core (and perhaps significantly). The less-stable pricing environment will also likely produce a larger jump in perceived inflation. There are both upward and downward risks to this forecast, but the upward risks in my view predominate – especially in the medium- and long-term outlooks.

The bond market is closed today, Monday for the Martin Luther King Jr. Day holiday, but on Tuesday the Empire Manufacturing (Consensus: 13.00 from 10.57) report is due out. The next regular installment of this comment will be on Wednesday morning.’

 

Lindsey Williams: Insider Source Says Food, Gas Prices to Soar The Alex Jones Channel | Williams told Jones the price of crude oil is slated to move to $150-200 per barrel.

 

Is the Fed Broke? Economic Policy Journal | Former Fed official says Fed would be almost broke if assets were marked to market.

 

And Now For My Next Magic Trick… NO Inflation! And now for my next trick… I will now show you how the government steals our entire life’s work through the manipulation of the inflation numbers. These statistics/lies, may seem like “little white lies,” but they are at the core of the massive global corruption.

 

Kappa Beta Phi, Wall Street’s Secret Society, Elects New Members This weekend a tight-lipped group of power brokers elected two new members into Kappa Beta Phi, Wall Street’s secret society founded in 1929, Bloomberg reported.

 

Swiss Whistleblower to Hand Bank Data to WikiLeaks A former Swiss private banker says he plans to hand over data on hundreds of offshore bank account holders to the WikiLeaks website at a London news conference on Monday.

 

Strong Indications of Gold & Silver Shortages Since reaching new highs at the end of 2010 gold and silver have been sold off, and the selling has been particularly intense in the last few days. The news on the economy is almost exclusively bullish for the precious metals.

 

John Hussman: Borrowing Returns Hussman ‘As a reminder of how we approach market valuation, we strongly believe that securities are a claim to a stream of future cash flows that can actually be expected to be delivered to investors over time. As a result, we have little sympathy (and history demonstrates little sympathy) for the popular but misguided practice of applying arbitrary valuation multiples to forward analyst estimates of earnings. Generally, these "forward earnings" estimates fail to normalize for fluctuations in profit margins, return on equity, and other factors that have historically driven short-term earnings temporarily above and below levels that that would have a stable, proportional relationship with the present value of subsequent cash flows. Forward operating earnings estimates are more volatile and more influenced by recent short-term behavior than can properly be used as a basis for valuation, and the resulting earnings "misses" can be particularly extreme at turning points.In the graph below, you'll notice that the prior peak for S&P 500 trailing net earnings has often been a reasonable "rule of thumb" estimate of normalized earnings, but in recent years, temporary spikes in profit margins have periodically driven peak earnings briefly above properly normalized levels. For that reason, as I wrote several years ago, prior peak earnings have become increasingly unreliable. This is particularly true given the actual destruction of book value and revenue in recent years. It's certainly possible to debate the precise level of normalized earnings here, but somewhere in the $70-$75 range, which is where we are at present, is roughly accurate on a trailing net basis. Our estimates also assume continued future long-term growth of slightly more than 6% annually, as reflected by the red channels.
[chart]
Importantly, since our normalized figure tends to run with earnings peaks rather than earnings troughs, the corresponding multiple applicable to these earnings has historically been less than 14 (and was actually closer to 12 in pre-bubble data, which was typically associated with long-term total returns near 10% annually). Since "forward operating" earnings are typically about 20% higher than trailing net, the resulting historical P/E "norms" should also be adjusted accordingly (which analysts rarely do). None of this is to say that the earnings peak during the current economic cycle has to be limited to the present level of normalized earnings - just that more elevated earnings would not be an appropriate basis on which to compute the long-term value of stocks.’

 

States Warned of $2 Trillion Pensions Shortfall [ This is a very big deal! ] US public pensions face a shortfall of $2,500 billion that will force state and local governments to sell assets and make deep cuts to services, according to the former chairman of New Jersey’s pension fund.

 

Niall Ferguson On Whether The Financial Crisis Will Lead To America’s Decline And A Glimpse Of The “Post-Pax Americana” Dark Ages Two weeks after we presented Niall Ferguson’s video lecture – “Empires On The Verge Of Chaos” to tremendous reader response and almost 30,000 views, we follow up with another must watch video presentation, this time highlighting the intellectual rigor of Ferguson, David Gergen and Mort Zuckerman.

 

Food Price Inflation Threatens Global Security A few weeks ago, we highlighted the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO’s) food index, which has risen to new record heights, and wondered aloud if crises were coming. Our question has been answered; it has come… the only question now is whether or not it will be spreading.

 

Debt Bondage From The Economic Treason of Banks Between now and the end of the year, most likely in the fall, we’ll see major financial and economic problems in Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Belgium, Spain and Italy. Those events will sorely test Germany, France, Holland and Austria.

 

 

Nigel Farage on ‘Monster’ Eurozone: Bailout Reinforcing Failure In Brussels, Eurozone finance ministers are meeting to discuss whether to boost the EU bailout fund which was only set up last year.

 

 

National / World

 

Russia’s Medvedev backs independent Palestine  [ Medvedev is correct and courageous in his position which, though previously shared by ie., clinton, wobama, etc., has been back/soft peddled of late in bending to political / zionist contraindicated pressures. ] Reuters | Russian President Dmitry Medvedev endorsed a Palestinian state on Tuesday.

 

China Says the End of the Dollar is Near WSJ & AFP | Chinese President Hu Jintao emphasized the need for cooperation with the U.S. in areas from new energy to space ahead of his visit to Washington this week, but he called the present U.S. dollar-dominated currency system a “product of the past” and highlighted moves to turn the yuan into a global currency.

 

Confirmed: Stuxnet Was False Flag Launched by Israel and U.S. Kurt Nimmo | New York Times report confirms what we knew all along.

 

Israel used Stuxnet against Iran with US help AsiaNetIndia | US and Israeli intelligence services collaborated to develop a destructive computer worm to sabotage Iran.

 

Confirmed: Stuxnet Was False Flag Launched by Israel and U.S. On Saturday, the Gray Lady of establishment propaganda, the New York Times, passively admitted that the Stuxnet virus responsible for crippling Iran’s nuclear energy program was engineered by Israeli and U.S. intelligence.

 

In Tucson, thousands attend gun show one week after mass shooting “The events at the Safeway store were tragic and unprecedented, but they weren’t about lawful gun ownership,” said Bob Templeton, the president of Crossroads. “It was about a mentally ill person who gained access to a firearm he shouldn’t have.”

 

MSNBC Host: ObamaCare Opponents a Bunch of ‘Crackers’ ‘Hardball’ host lets one slip in describing outspoken opponents of the president.

 

TSA Now Forcing Opt-Outs To Walk Through Body Scanners Paul Joseph Watson | Agency claims machines are “switched off,” traveler says policy is part of psychological ploy to coerce subservience from other passengers.

 

TSA Continues to Deny Scanners Store Images Jason Douglass | TSA asserts their body scanners cannot store images even though technical specifications suggest otherwise.

 

On Gun Control and Violence Ron Paul | Our constitutional right to bear arms does not create a society without risks of violent crime, and neither would the strictest gun control laws.

 

NASA’s Hansen: Impose Chinese Totalitarianism on America Kurt Nimmo | According to Hansen, only brutal authoritarianism is capable of forcing the climate change agenda on the American people.

 

Stuxnet: Another “Conspiracy Theory” Turns Out To Be True Paul Joseph Watson | Debunkers attacked claim that US and Israel were behind worm attack – now it’s admitted

 

Sudan Next To Succumb To Bernanke’s Inflationary Experiment, As Country Threatens Revolution Over Surging Food Prices About a month ago, some took offense at our characterization of the Chair-hewlettpackard-man as a “bearded mutant-cum-supreme genocidal overlord” after we predicted to the dot that his monetary policy would eventually lead to a global, well, genocide, presumably first in the developing world.

 

Schwarzenegger: ‘I Was Addicted To Power’  [ And steroids too, at one time, taking its toll on the former male model / actor / pretender’s brain. Fortunately, it’s cold turkey for the turkey terminator. What an abject failure in office he turned out to be. ] Arnold Schwarzenegger is pulling no punches in his first formal interview since leaving office, claiming that the highest office in the state left him “addicted” to its power.

 

NASA’s Hansen: Impose Chinese Totalitarianism on America Totalitarian thugs love China. They love its authoritarian government and absolute political power. One such thug is the climatologist James Hansen of NASA. Hansen thinks America needs to adapt Chinese authoritarianism in order to force climate change down the throats of the American people.

 

Global food chain stretched to the limit Strained by rising demand and battered by bad weather, the global food supply chain is stretched to the limit, sending prices soaring and sparking concerns about a repeat of food riots last seen three years ago.

 

Bombshell: How Fluoride Is Killing You and Your Children A significant milestone in the fight against fluoride emerged quietly and without major notice from the mainstream news last week. After decades of ignoring the research about the dangers and hailing water fluoridation as one of the 10 greatest health achievements of the 20th Century (CDC), the government is calling for a reduction in the amount of fluoride it adds to public water supplies, citing its negative effect on teeth (dental fluorosis). For the first time since 1962, the standard for fluoride will be lowered from 1.2 to 0.7 milligrams per liter.

 

Peter Schiff: Washington a parasite to economy US foreclosures hit record highs in 2010, but that may not be the worst of it. 2011 may be even worse. Meanwhile, JP Morgan Chase exceeded market expectations, announcing a 47% rise in quarterly profits and released details on a $28.1 billion pay and bonus pool. Peter Schiff, the President of Euro Pacific Capital said Washington and Wall Street are becoming one force and are sucking the underlying American dry like a parasite.

 

U.S. Bills States $1.3 Billion in Interest Amid Tight Budgets As if states did not have enough on their plates getting their shaky finances in order, a new bill is coming due — from the federal government, which will charge them $1.3 billion in interest this fall on the billions they have borrowed from Washington to pay unemployment benefits during the downturn.

 

Biden Urges Pakistan To Intensify Fight Against Terrorism  [ Careful what you say, ‘lobomy joe’ (biden-those uncontrollable outbursts), because they may just figure out who in fact the real terrorists are; viz., pervasively corrupt war criminal nation america and friends (ie., illegal nuke-toting, war crimes nation israel, nato allies, et als). ]RTT | United States Vice-President Joseph Biden has urged the Pakistani government to intensify the fight against terror outfits, especially al-Qaeda, which he said continued to plot attacks against America from remote areas of the country.

 

 

Fire to the Fuel: More NATO tankers torched in latest Pakistan attack A driver was wounded in Pakistan’s south-west on Saturday when gunmen set ablaze 14 tankers carrying fuel for US and NATO troops in Afghanistan, officials said. The latest attack occurred in the Dera Murad Jamali area in Baluchistan province. Islamist militants and criminals in Pakistan frequently attack trucks carrying supplies for US and NATO troops. The attacks in Pakistan have led the US to rely more on other supply routes, including through countries north of Afghanistan.

 

Chuck Baldwin: Restoring The Republic PrisonPlanet.tv | Chuck Baldwin, former Constitution Party candidate for President, breaks down the left-right paradigm and how the globalists are in control of both major political parties.

 

Rockefeller Owned: Chileans tell him he will fail You Tube | An activist confronts David Rockefeller during his vacation to Chile, alongside with Chilean media magnate Agustin Edwards Eastman, head of El Mercurio, outside the airport.

 

Lindsey Williams: Insider Source Says Food, Gas Prices to Soar The Alex Jones Channel | Williams told Jones the price of crude oil is slated to move to $150-200 per barrel.

 

Tunisian Wikileaks Putsch: CIA Touts Mediterranean Tsunami of Coups Webster Tarpley | Arab governments must immediately expel all officials of the International Monetary Fund, World Bank, and their subset of lending institutions.

 

 

Stuxnet Worm Used Against Iran Was Tested in Israel The Dimona complex in the Negev desert is famous as the heavily guarded heart of Israel’s never-acknowledged nuclear arms program, where neat rows of factories make atomic fuel for the arsenal.

 

The First WikiLeaks Revolution? Tunisians didn’t need any more reasons to protest when they took to the streets these past weeks — food prices were rising, corruption was rampant, and unemployment was staggering. But we might also count Tunisia as the first time that WikiLeaks pushed people over the brink.

 

 

Global warming researchers says eating bugs better for environment than eating meat Ethan A. Huff | Researchers say that insects produce far less greenhouse gases than cattle and pigs do, and would thus be a viable alternative to eating meat.

 

The Witch Hunt Begins: Citizen Spy Network Targets Political Speech and Gun Owners Infowars.com | Tyrannical campaigns have been initiated and designed to break up communities and turn citizens against one another.

 

 

The Witch Hunt Begins: Citizen Spy Network Targets Political Speech and Gun Owners Infowars.com | Tyrannical campaigns have been initiated and designed to break up communities and turn citizens against one another.

 

Rachael Maddow’s Faulty Gun-Control Argument A.J. MacDonald, Jr. | I believe that an armed citizenry prevents tyranny, which is exactly why the Founders gave us the Second Amendment to the US Constitution.

 

Video: The ‘Opportunity of Crisis’: Nixon blamed the left for ’72 shooting of George Wallace Aaron Dykes | Recordings show that President Nixon attempted to plant evidence that would frame assassin Arthur Bremer as a Leftist McGovern/Kennedy supporter before Bremer’s background or affiliation was known, just as in Tuscon.

 

Reactionary Gun Laws Proposed in South Carolina After Arizona Shooting Brandon Turbeville | Those who support the Constitution and ending the private Federal Reserve are considered fringe fanatics in the eyes of the mainstream media.

 

Rachel Maddow: Enemy of Liberty and the Bill of Rights Kurt Nimmo | The limousine liberal Rachel Maddow used her MSNBC show Thursday to call for a renewed gun-grabbing effort by the government.

 

Bombshell: Government Admits Fluoride Hurting Children A significant milestone in the fight against fluoride emerged quietly and without major notice from the mainstream news last week. After decades of ignoring the research about the dangers and hailing water fluoridation as one of the 10 greatest health achievements of the 20th Century (CDC), the government is calling for a reduction in the amount of fluoride it adds to public water supplies, citing its negative effect on teeth (dental fluorosis). For the first time since 1962, the standard for fluoride will be lowered from 1.2 to 0.7 milligrams per liter.

 

Study reveals top ten violence-inducing prescription drugs The Institute for Safe Medication Practices (ISMP) recently published a study in the journal PLoS One highlighting the worst prescription drug offenders that cause patients to become violent. Among the top-ten most dangerous are the antidepressants Pristiq (desvenlafaxine), Paxil (paroxetine) and Prozac (fluoxetine).

 

‘Bush, Reagan let drugs flow free to US from Nicaragua’ – ex-dealer “Freeway” Ricky Ross, a former US street legend, who as a drug dealer was once responsible for flooding California’s streets with most of its hard drugs, spoke with RT about his activism against drugs. After making up to US$2 million a day and then spending 20 years in prison, Ross started from scratch and is now trying to make a difference by keeping kids from following into his footsteps.

 

 

Israel Tests on Worm Called Crucial in Iran Nuclear Delay New York Times - The Dimona complex in the Negev desert is famous as the heavily guarded heart of Israel's never-acknowledged nuclear arms program, where neat rows of factories make atomic fuel for the arsenal.   RT Video:  Atomic Mystery Tour: Russia says no to Iran's nuke site invite RT Iran touts tour of nuclear sites, despite absence of key critics CNN

 

 

 

 

 

Afghan drug war stumbles (Washington Post) [ Stumbles? As in ‘accidently on purpose’? Or, alternatively, among the few american wars that never was. After all, the Taliban had all but eradicated the heroin trade. Moreover, post-invasion, bush’s order to destroy the poppy fields was countermanded by the pentagon and of course, not by chance, the heroin production / trade in Afghanistan has been reinvigorated, resurgent, and never been greater (the substantial raison d’etre for u.s. war / occupation there – that ‘benefiting the few’ thang – as in Vietnam where body bags of dead u.s. soldiers were used by u.s. ops, cia, etc., to smuggle the heroin out). The tenor of this article is an insult to intelligence everywhere.  ]

  Rendition: Where the War on Terror Meets the War on Drugs Patrick Henningsen | It’s time to ditch the policies we have come to tolerate for decades before they consume what is left of our moral core. I’ve experienced the corrupt inter-relationship of the government (all 3 corrupt branches) and the illegal drug trade / obstruction of justice / bribery first hand, particularly the courts / u.s. attorneys offices (ie., alito – now u.s. supreme court justice – quid pro quo for his complicity / cover-up), feds; see immediately after article excerpt for links / summary.

…“Evidence points to aircraft – familiarly known as “torture taxis” – used by the CIA to move captives seized in its kidnapping or “extraordinary rendition” operations through Gatwick and other airports in the EU being simultaneously used for drug distribution in the Western hemisphere. A Gulfstream II jet aircraft N9875A identified by the British Government and the European Parliament as being involved in this traffic crashed in Mexico…” In 2004, another torture taxi crashed in a field in Nicaragua with a ton of cocaine aboard… Mexican soldiers found ..132 bags containing 3.3 metric tons of cocaine. The origination of the Gulfstream’s flight is unknown but it was destined for Cancun when it crash landed. Again, here is the important point: that same Gulf Stream II was one of the very same planes chartered to the CIA for the rendition of suspected terrorists prisoners. Gulf Stream II crashed in Mexico with 3 tons of cocaine on board ..it should not be surprising that this illegal practice of rendition has in some part, been used as a well-run smokescreen for another borderless illegal operation- an extremely lucrative international transfer and delivery of cash and narcotics.,,These flights are not subject to regular customs checks, inspections or normal regulations as they move seamlessly between destinations in the US, Britain, Europe, Middle East, Central Asia, Cuba and possibly through US bases in Turkey, Greece and Morocco…

Corrupt u.s. courts / judges: Their lifetime plush appointments should be abolished, which corrupt entities are unheard of in productive societies as China, Japan, etc.. Time to abolish these drags on society and eliminate their lifetime stipends and costly bureaucracies. Rules of law mean nothing to these typically corrupt americans. Most, including sam alito of the u.s. supreme court, concerning  drug money laundering and obstruction of justice in the 3rd circuit ( also maryanne trump barry who covered-up drug money laundering through her brother’s casinos in a civil RICO case) should have gone to or belong in jail. Contrary to popular belief, they do it for the money, personal money, big, cash, untraceable money. The fog of war is great for such things (360 tons $100 bills flown into Iraq and missing, etc.).

 [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm  ]. america’s just a fraudulent and failed defacto bankrupt nation.

NSA beats warrantless wiretap rap A Federal judge has dismissed a complaint against the National Security Agency’s (NSA)

Corrupt u.s. courts / judges: Their lifetime plush appointments should be abolished, which corrupt entities are unheard of in productive societies as China, Japan, etc.. Time to abolish these drags on society and eliminate their lifetime stipends and corrupt costly bureaucracies.

There must be such things as parallel universes (I don’t really believe that, because there isn’t) or how else do you explain the disconnect between reality, current and prospective, and the wet dreams posited to keep the war funding / corporate welfare programs alive in collectively what has already become a trillion dollar boondoggle (not counting prospective medical costs, etc.) and promises to go much higher. Even israel apologist Cohen of The Washington Post alludes to the Vietnam analogy. However, even if there were real goals beyond the poppy / heroin trade which the Taliban had all but eradicated (there isn’t); even if america wasn’t defacto bankrupt (america is); even if america wasn’t killing innocent civilians in large numbers (war criminal nation america is); even if america’s allies haven’t similarly helped to bankrupt themselves by way of this war (they have); even if I hadn’t told you so (I did) ….. this war still was, is, and remains a very bad idea!

Afghan war overtakes Vietnam to become the longest conflict in U.S. history  Mail Online | The war entered its 104th month yesterday, with 30,000 American troops being deployed in the first half of this year alone.



Consumer spending rises, but less than expected (Washington Post) [ Almost all the economic news has been worse than expected yet the stock market has continued its rationality/gravity-defying ascent. That ominous disconnect between wall street and main street among other current and prospective victims of the current bubble / fraud which the frauds on wall street and insiders commission, churn-and-earn at lightning computerized high-frequency trading speed and ultimately sell into. It’s the now familiar story on fraudulent but apparently immune from prosecution wall street. Moreover, all that pomo / fiat paper currency printing has just begun to take its toll (see infra)] . Giving retailers the gift of sales growth for the sixth consecutive month, consumers flex their spending power in December. Nations seek to keep lid on food prices (Washington Post) [ It’s not just food prices and one thing is certain; there’s much worse to come and resisting the insurmountable record deficit ridden, pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt american propaganda is a first step to understanding how bad, as in unprecedented. Drudgereport: $100 OIL: DEAL WITH IT
Rising Gasoline Prices Put Consumers in Sour Mood...
UK WARNING: OIL PRICES MAY KILL ECONOMY AND THE COALITION... [ No! It’s the debased, over-printed u.s. et als fiat currency which is killing the economies though masked by the fraudulent wall street feel good, for them, bubble and which lends credence to the calls for a new world reserve currency, ie., juan, etc. ]

EYES ON OPEC...[ Beyond the propaganda, the eyes should be on the complicit, fraudulent fed and the ‘printing presses’ of and for the debased currencies. This is not OPEC’s doing but rather an economic axiom which requires that a precious commodity increase in price when the debased paper currency in which it is measured decreases in value (as now with over-printing, over-creating for ultimately the exclusive benefit of the frauds on wall street). ]
Feds threaten to sue states over union laws … [ but hands off the frauds on wall street they say ] ...
Comprehensive List of Tax Hikes in Obamacare...
FT: What chance a US default?
   ]  Faced with rising international food prices, governments around the world are cooking up measures to protect domestic supplies and keep prices from rising at home.  Related News

 

 

The Teflon Market Is Here [ Just ask the ‘Teflon Don’ … oh, right … he’s dead …The pervasively corrupt frauds on wall street, the fed, and the u.s. government are desperate to evade their unequivocal responsibility and overdue punishment (prosecution, fines, jail, disgorgement) for the  last and ongoing (toxic, worthless paper assets now marked to anything) fraud diverting attention from their own culpability for the prior bubble/crash and on-going financial / economic crisis, america’s worst economy and prospects in america’s relatively short history with this contrived bubble exceeding that precursor to the last crash; “this has never happened before, in 82 years of history”, and a crash is what’s a-coming. This is nothing short of pathetic desperation that typifies the last gasp of the dead and dying, figuratively of course.  ] Roche ‘Calling this a “bullish” run might be a bit of an understatement. There has been an unprecedented bid under the market since August 2010. The Bernanke Put is well entrenched in everyone’s minds. This week ’s spike in jobless claims was not enough to cause risk appetite to temper as it likely just reminds investors that rising claims are what led to QE2 to begin with. Indeed, this is a Federal Reserve that will not allow equity prices to falter to any substantial degree. Nominal wealth creation has become the rally cry of a group of economic thinkers who truly have no idea how to create sustainable economic growth.

The stats behind this bull market are even more remarkable than the rally itself appears. As I noted in December the market literally could not decline. But the data since then shows an even more untouchable market (via ZeroHedge):

“As a point of reference the S&P has been above the 10 day average for 30 days straight, and above the 50 day average for 92 days straight. What is remarkable are some statistical findings that pertain to the average’s movement with respect to the SMAs. Sentiment Trader points out that while as part of the recent surge in the S&P, the market has gone for “92 days without closing below its 50-day average, which has been matched only 17 other times since 1928.” Where it gets scary, is that as pointed out, during this time the market has not closed below the 10 DMA once during the past 30 days. And as Sentiment Trader notes, “this has never happened before, in 82 years of history.”

Not much else needs to be said. The teflon market is here.

Update: Some additional thoughts from Jeff Saut:

Herb Stein once remarked, “If something can’t go on forever, it won’t!” And, the current “buying stampede” is now 90 sessions long, making it the longest one ever recorded in my notes of more than 40 years. Combine that with many other “finger to wallet” indicators suggesting caution and I am currently just sitting. Indeed, sometimes me sits and thinks and sometimes me just sits. As the astute Lowry’s organization opines, “Our last short term sell-signal for aggressive traders was triggered on December 30th, when the 14-day Stochastic indicator dropped from overbought levels and crossed below its moving average. A conventional short term sell-signal, for culling selective stocks [from portfolios], was registered as of today’s market close (last Friday), when our Short Term Index dropped a total of more than 6 points from its recent high of 104.” ‘

 

 

Lawmakers consider slowing Virginia foreclosure process (Washington Post) [  Yeah, and you really have to take them seriously when they say that because in alphabet soup kitchen (ie., cia, nsa, dod, doj, etc.) country (which I’ve directly experienced along with the corrupt process in at least 4 other states, see infra, the law is as malleable and arbitrarily enforced or not as they want it to be as in any defacto bankrupt banana republic as pervasively corrupt america certainly is today …Previous: Judges rule without title, lenders can't foreclose (Washington Post) [ Rules of law? I didn’t think they cared. That’s certainly the direct experience I’ve had with the pervasively corrupt american legal / judicial system (along with the other two branches of the u.s. government and defact bankrupt america generally). Court decisions could call into doubt the ownership of mortgages, raising urgent challenges for both the real estate market, wider financial system.     Connecticut, California join probe of Ally (Washington Post)  [I’d be much more impressed if they initiated a probe of more readily discernible criminal offenses in violation of the RICO Act   (Other newark / new jersey and new york, n.y. metro, viz., ie., connecticut, and of course, d.c., d.c. metro, viz., ie., virginia experience … corrupt federal judges as maryanne trump barry, sam alito, shiff, matz (california), hall, underhill, dorsey, etc.. Defacto bankrupt america’s so-called system is pervasively corrupt and broken (AP)   Abolish the corrupt, costly, economically wasteful lifetime extravagantly appointed federal courts - see RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm   )  ]   http://albertpeia.com    Frauds/Liars (sic-lawyers)Covering Up for Other Frauds/Liars (sic-lawyers). In Productive Societies as China, Japan, etc., Fraudulent Liars (sic-lawyers) and the Fraudulent u.s. System They're a Part of Are Unheard Of/Non-existent. List of Files Regarding Filed Attorney Grievance Against Fraud coan et als  Or Here For A Clearer View Of  Filed Grievance Complaint, Response, Exhibits, and Related RICO Filings  Note the Committee of Frauds/Liars (sic-lawyers). Included are DOJ Rep., State Court Rep., State Atty. General Office Rep., and even a Vegetable Garden yale law prof who probably never practiced law in his life. How Pathetic!   http://albertpeia.com/fbiofficela91310 ]   Justice: FBI improperly opened probes   (Washington Post)  [ I just hope they’re as zealous (in probing readily discernible crime) with regard to my RICO matters and the corruption in the (judicial / legal) process since, in the final analysis, it will have been the corruption within that will have brought the nation down irrevocably and totally.] Homeowners, who now face one of the fastest foreclosure processes in the country, would be given more time to defend themselves under one proposal.

 

 

 

Don't Fight the Fed: Dave's Daily  ‘To be sure, companies like Apple and Intel are doing well overall. But some companies are doing well due to ongoing Fed financial support like banks and some auto companies. QE policies are designed to prop stock markets higher, and with volume light, the job is made easier. Therefore, when worse than expected economic data is released (Jobless Claims, Consumer Confidence, Retail Sales, CPI, Chinese tightening and etc) investors toss that information aside aided by more POMO. More maddening to more thoughtful people are the lies being bandied about particularly with inflation data. Food and energy prices are much higher and eliminating them from the data due to imagined "volatility" is beyond mere spin. When I was a young college student, my statistics professor gave to each student a book: "How to Lie with Statistics." I think it must remain required reading for BLS, Treasury and Fed officials among others. Let's remember, the government has a huge entitlement liability geared to inflation statistics. They're conflicted…The Fed is just repeating what's worked for them before--another bubble…’

 

 

Bullish Sentiment Dips, But Optimism Is Still High Rotblut ‘Bullish sentiment declined 3.5 percentage points to 52.3% in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Despite the dip, optimism that stock prices will rise stayed above its historical average of 39% for the 19th consecutive week, matching the streak set in the second half of 2004.

Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will be essentially flat over the next six months, slipped 1.6 percentage points to 24.2%. This was the 23rd consecutive week that neutral sentiment has been below its historical average of 31%.

Bearish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, rose 5.2 percentage points to 23.4%. Though this is a four-week high for pessimism, pessimism is below its historical average for the 16th time in the past 18 weeks.

Though there was a decline this week, bullish sentiment remains in the range that has largely held over the past six weeks. This has resulted in the eight-week moving average reaching 53%, its highest level since January 6, 2005. High levels of bullish sentiment have been correlated with market reversals, but other indicators should be considered before making a market forecast.

As noted above, bullish sentiment has been above its historical average for 19 consecutive weeks, matching the streak set during the period of August 26 through December 30, 2004. A record streak of 42 consecutive weeks occurred during the period of May 29, 2003, through March 11, 2004, when investors realized that a recovery from the decade’s first bear market was fully underway.

This week’s special question asked AAII members about their expectations for fourth-quarter earnings. Most respondents expected profits to be good with companies continuing to experience growth. There was not a consensus on how much profits would be up, however.

{ Special Offer: Gary Shilling called the housing crash in 2006 and his readers have made a killing in bonds. Click here for his latest advice…in Gary Shilling’s Insight newsletter.  [  Gary Shilling Says Housing Will Get Much Worse - Intelligent ...

After seeing the price of gold continue to climb and reading all the ...http://blogs.forbes.com/.../gary-shilling-says-housing-will-get-much-worse     Gary Shilling Sees `Significant' Stock Selloff Within 12 Months ...Nov 12, 2010 ... Gary Shilling , who predicted the U.S. housing collapse, says the stock market is overvalued and foresees a “significant” selloff within a ...  ]   Early in 2008, in his monthly Insight report, Shilling laid out 13 investment themes for the year ahead that proved to be 100% dead-on accurate--a perfect 13-for-13--and they proved extremely profitable for his Insight readers.

Here's a scorecard to show how Shilling's forecast from 2008 has panned out:

1. Sell or sell short homebuilder stocks and bonds.

2. If you plan to sell your home, second home or investment home anytime soon, do so yesterday.

3. Sell short subprime mortgages.

4. Sell or sell short housing-related stocks.

5. Sell or sell short consumer discretionary spending companies.

6. Sell low-grade fixed-income securities.

7. Sell or avoid most commercial real estate.

8. Short commodities.

9. Sell or sell short emerging market equities.

10. Sell emerging country bonds.

11. Buy the dollar before long.

12. Sell or sell short U.S. stocks in general.

13. Buy long Treasury bonds.

Gary Shilling released 12 New Strategies for thriving during the market melt-down. We call it his "Bear Market Tool Kit." You can access his recommendations when you subscribe to Gary Shilling's Insight. And by subscribing now, you’ll ensure that you will receive Gary Shilling’s investment strategies for 2011 and beyond.

Are the brokers and television analysts who constantly parrot the "conventional wisdom" paying serious attention to any of Shilling's predictions? Probably not. Gary looks for hidden investment opportunities, which often means going against the conventional wisdom. And when you learn more about Gary's credentials and his track record, you will realize that everyone who doesn't pay attention to what he says might end up with some serious egg on their faces.

Gary has twice been ranked as Wall Street’s top economist by polls in Institutional Investor; he was also named the country’s number one Commodity Trader Advisor by Futures magazine. And in 2003, MoneySense ranked him as the 3rd best stock market forecaster, right behind Warren Buffett. He also challenges the consensus in appearances on CNBC.

Gary also has a long-standing reputation for independent thought...and for getting it right. Back in 1969, he correctly predicted, to the surprise of many, the 1969-1970 recession. In the early 1970s, he stood alone in predicting the severe 1973-1975 global recession. In the late 1970s, when double-digit inflation was raging, Gary was nearly unique in forecasting dwindling inflation rates as well as the wonderful stock and bond markets that lay ahead.

Gary has been running away from the herd for years, and he’s been nearly alone in making some early, and accurate, calls:

•In early 1999, in the midst of the Internet stock boom, Gary Shilling was nearly alone in warning of a collapse in tech stocks. In January 2000, with stocks still strong, Gary Shilling said a major bear market was at hand. In November 2000, he foresaw total declines of 30%-40% in the Dow Industrials, 40%-50% in the S&P 500 and 70%-80% in the Nasdaq—right on target with the overall decline of 35% in the Dow, 49% in the S&P and 78% in the Nasdaq.

•While bulls were talking up housing, Gary was nearly alone for years in warning of a collapse well before the rest of the crowd saw any signs that something was amiss.

Wouldn’t you have benefited from such insights? Gary Shilling's Insight readers were not only well-prepared when the bad news began to unfold, but were also equipped to make money while others suffered.

 }

Rotblut cont’d

Here is a sampling of the responses:

  • “I expect fourth-quarter earnings will be positive and companies will slowly begin to add employees.”
  • “Streamlined corporate cost structures combined with modest economic growth should equal strong fourth quarter earnings.”
  • “Good, not as good overall as the third quarter of 2010. I think everything to increase productivity has been done and now it is a wait-for-demand situation.”
  • “Surprises to both the upside and the downside. I will be looking forward to hearing the guidance, as I still don’t see the jobs in this recovery.”
  • Bullish: 52.3%, down 3.5 percentage points
  • Neutral: 24.2%, down 1.6 percentage points
  • Bearish: 23.4%, up 5.2 percentage points

Historical Averages:

  • Bullish: 39%
  • Neutral: 31%
  • Bearish: 30%

The AAII Sentiment Survey has been conducted weekly since July 1987 and asks AAII members whether they think stock prices will rise, remain essentially flat, or fall over the next six months. The survey period runs from Thursday (12:01 a.m.) to Wednesday (11:59 p.m.). The survey and its results are available online.’

 

 

Just One Bank Failure Today There was only one closure today which brings the total number of bank failures for 2011 to three. Oglethorpe Bank in Brunswick, Georgia was closed by ...

 

Chinese Yuan; A new world reserve currency? Economic Assassin | Twelve days into the New Year (2011) and China has already set the wheels in motion to use their most powerful weapon, the Yuan, in order to combat inflation.

 

Rising gasoline prices sour U.S. consumer mood Reuters | Rising gasoline prices beat down U.S. consumer sentiment in early January.

 

Dimon, Gorman, Moynihan pitch for AIG share sale Reuters | Some of the United States’ top bankers descended on a law firm in midtown Manhattan on Thursday to make a pitch for managing what could be one of the largest share sales in history.

 

Jobless claims jump, wholesale food costs surge Reuters | U.S. jobless claims jumped to their highest level since October last week while food and energy costs lifted producer prices in December.

Rising gasoline prices sour U.S. consumer mood Rising gasoline prices beat down U.S. consumer sentiment in early January, overshadowing an improved job outlook and passage of temporary federal tax breaks, a survey released on Friday showed.

 

Silver: From $30/oz to over $500 by 2020 And from $500 to $5000 by 2030!

 

Who, How and Why: $140 Oil and $5 Gas According to a loosely-organized apocalyptic Christian movement, May 21, 2011 will be the “end of days.” On or about that same date, the price of oil in the United States will begin to climb to $4 a gallon, according to two savants of the oil industry.

 

 

National / World

 

Bombshell: Government Admits Fluoride Hurting Children Alex Jones & Aaron Dykes | A significant milestone in the fight against fluoride emerged without notice last week, as the government called for a reduction in the amount of fluoride added to public drinking water.

 

‘Witch Hunt FBI’ tops google trends as gov’t critics targeted Infowars | ‘Witch Hunt FBI’ has reached #1 on Google Trends, as the feds have actually begun visiting the homes of dissenters who criticize members of Congress in the wake of the Tuscon tragedy.

 

The Witch Hunt Begins: Citizen Spy Network Targets Political Speech and Gun Owners Infowars.com | Tyrannical campaigns have been initiated and designed to break up communities and turn citizens against one another.

 

Rachel Maddow: Enemy of Liberty and the Bill of Rights Kurt Nimmo | The limousine liberal Rachel Maddow used her MSNBC show Thursday to call for a renewed gun-grabbing effort by the government.

 

Chinese Company Sinomach Poised To Takeover Boise Jason Douglass | In an effort to save themselves from ‘economic downturn’ Idaho leaves itself wide open to opportunistic foreign interests.

 

Chinese Yuan; A new world reserve currency? Economic Assassin | Twelve days into the New Year (2011) and China has already set the wheels in motion to use their most powerful weapon, the Yuan, in order to combat inflation.

 

 

Rachel Maddow: Enemy of Liberty and the Bill of Rights The limousine liberal Rachel Maddow used her MSNBC show Thursday to call for a renewed gun-grabbing effort by the government. After running an emotionally charged video segment of Barry Obama paying tribute to nine-year-old mass shooting victim Christina Taylor Green, Maddow read an anti-Second Amendment screed from her teleprompter.

 

Court Rules Government Can Keep Naked Body Scanner Images Secret A federal judge has ruled that the Department of Homeland Security can keep images produced by x-ray body scanners out of the public domain, in a blow to privacy group The Electronic Privacy Information Center’ s (EPIC) efforts to release more than 2000 of the images that show intimate details of airport travelers’ bodies.

 

The Witch Hunt Begins: Citizen Spy Network Targets Political Speech and Gun Owners A plethora of tyrannical campaigns have been initiated and designed to break up communities and turn citizens against one another. The justifications for these fascist programs are always a matter of national security. The real reason for these programs and even the events that brought them into existence is to set up a police control grid.

 

Congress, Once Again, Looks To Extend Patriot Act With Little Or No Debate So here we are in 2011, and where’s the debate and the promised effort to sunset the worst aspects of the Patriot Act?

 

Drudgereport: $100 OIL: DEAL WITH IT
Rising Gasoline Prices Put Consumers in Sour Mood...
UK WARNING: OIL PRICES MAY KILL ECONOMY AND THE COALITION... [ No! It’s the debased, over-printed u.s. et als fiat currency which is killing the economies though masked by the fraudulent wall street feel good, for them, bubble and which lends credence to the calls for a new world reserve currency, ie., juan, etc. ]

EYES ON OPEC...[ Beyond the propaganda, the eyes should be on the complicit, fraudulent fed and the ‘printing presses’ of and for the debased currencies. This is not OPEC’s doing but rather an economic axiom which requires that a precious commodity increase in price when the debased paper currency in which it is measured decreases in value (as now with over-printing, over-creating for ultimately the exclusive benefit of the frauds on wall street). ]
Feds threaten to sue states over union laws … [ but hands off the frauds on wall street they say ] ...
Comprehensive List of Tax Hikes in Obamacare...
FT: What chance a US default?

 



Downwardly mobile in D.C. area (Washington Post) [ Well said, I love this … except, not so limited to the d.c. area, but rather applicable to 21st century america in general … the ‘downwardly mobile thang’ … except as to the relatively few as to whom no laws nor rules of civilized behavior apply in any meaningful way … you know, the ones who’ve plundered this nation, this nation’s treasury, this nation’s people, and all the while plundering other peoples in other nations to facilitate the schemes used in plundering the people of this nation (wall street, the 3 strikes branches of government, war profiteers, etc.).  ] For millions of Americans, the recession has knocked them down the socioeconomic ladder. ANALYSIS | Palin's 'blood libel' comment backfires Washington Post) [  God knows I’m no fan of sarah palin’s although I am constrained to admit that as a fan of Saturday Night Live, I do appreciate her contribution to comedic content in the show.  That said, this new ‘tempest in a teapot’ of her own making is a bit overdone. After all, it should be common knowledge by now, to put it mildly, that she is quite dumb; and, like that burnt out, dumb, war criminal and moron, dumbya bush (see , ie., bushisms from bush the brain-damaged moron http://albertpeia.com/bushisms.htm), she also has trouble with words; more specifically, the meanings of words. But it is also true that wobama and his ilk have trouble with words and their meaning, particularly when those spoken words are measured against what he does, his ilk never seeming to discern the glaring difference … wobama the ‘b’ for b*** s***. Lamentably (by her) and unexpectedly for palin was her failure to fully understand ‘that jewish thing’ attached to the phrase and the tender sensibilities of those who previously have been among the ranks of what seems more and more to be a somewhat offbeat fanclub of sorts. Yeah, that ‘never hear the end of it’ jewish stereotype of paranoid sensibilities to religious / ethnic prejudice / slur behind some word, phrase, or even a sneeze (spielberg’s childhood memories) can wind up turning around and biting you in you’re a** ! Previously: Krauthammer: Beyond Ariz., a reckless charge  (Washington Post) [ If it were only that simple; viz., a palin ( I’ve previously said I’m more concerned with her level of stupidity, dumb enough in an infantile way to prove she had gonads by pressing the button – never goin’ to happen, her being in that position), a beck, a bush, a wobama (Drudgereport: OBAMA FLASHBACK: 'If They Bring a Knife to the Fight, We Bring a Gun'... ), etc., there’d be hope for pervasively corrupt defacto bankrupt america. The fact is, the problem is inherent to america / americans themselves as I previously wrote here and reiterate: Will: Half-baked explanations for tragedy (Washington Post) [ Half-baked? Charlatans? The foregoing are in no short supply in defacto bankrupt, meaningfully lawless, pervasively corrupt, fraud prevalent america. See, for example, RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm     . Moreover, Mr. Will as an oftimes apologist for war criminal, pervasively fraud-prone, defacto bankrupt, etc., america, with crime rates exceeding by far those of any other so-called civilized nations, might indeed find himself among those he’s so categorized. Among the last separate page sections to my website will be a somewhat detailed psychoanalytic evolutionary profile of the u.s. (one might ask who am I to do so which is fair comment to which I would reply, read it, or not, your choice). However, for the nonce, let me say that the it is no small coincidence that the 20th century has been dubbed ‘the american century’. That the 20th century has been considered the bloodiest is at once the natural concomitant of the foregoing reality. Keeping in mind the so-called ‘selective’ processes in both insurance (adverse) and evolutionary (Darwinian) terms, and as well, the psychology of it all from a behavioral perspective, america has indeed evolved. From the genocide of indigenous populations, to outlandish propaganda in support of same (ie., that ‘manifest destiny’ balderdash with overtones of religiosity spoonfed since elementary school, etc.), to contrived conflict / war, such, euphemistically bad behavior has been reinforced, some of which conditioning not always purposeful, ie., the ever greater frauds perpetrated on wall street for which there have been in large part no real punitive consequences to the perpetrators; but, to the contrary, great financial rewards though substantially detrimental to the majority. Despite the surface appeal, that oft asserted ‘blue-blood’ distinction doesn’t pass muster. Aside from the few seeking seeking religious freedom (ie., Puritans among some others), most then new americans were such disaffected rejects of their former homelands that desperation at best was motivation for travel to the wilds of the ‘so-called new world’ as opposed to intelligent, rational choice; criminals, mentally ill, the not-so-bright but ruthless populating the new nation in disparate numbers toward the ends consistent with greed and common criminality, corruption, and venality. As of the age of the dinosaurs, the american century has passed into the annals of a history replete with self-generating terrorism within and without (that blowback thing).     DRUDGEREPORT: NATION SHOCKED: CONGRESSWOMAN SHOT IN TUCSON
]

 

 

Clinton pushes for economic and political reforms in tour of Middle East (Post, January 13, 2011)  Clinton expresses solidarity with Arabs on Mideast tour (Post, January 13, 2011; 4:05 PM) Diehl: Mideast threats that can't be ignored (Washington Post) [ Amazing what not running for prospective office can do for balanced thinking, but still not quite. After all, who doesn’t know outside of america / israel that the biggest Mideast threats are … america / israel and those nato allies that are but lapdogs of the former. Moreover, some real scrutiny of and self-analysis by the aforesaid is in order before purporting to be advisors to any nation at all. ]

 

Tax cuts hinder Obama's plans (Washington Post) [ Plans? What plans? Wobama’s become the proverbial gumball machine; viz., put a nickel in, get a gumball of your choosing. Even his teleprompter has more integrity / credibility than he. Campaign promises, words, plans based on both, are nowhere to be found in the failed presidency of wobama in wobamaland.   ] Without deeper budget cuts or fresh revenue, officials will have a tough time meeting the president's targets for tax-code overhaul and deficit reduction.

 

U.S. urges China to open market, heed intellectual property laws (Washington Post) [ Pretty please,with a cherry on top, and lots of sugar … that’ll work … riiiiight! After all, based upon realities, economic, financial, geo-political (– that perpetual war thing and america’s pervasive corruption / fraud from wall street to all three brances of the u.s. government and ops, see, for example, RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm     ) who should be giving whom advice.  ] Commerce secretary says Beijing's policies of protecting domestic industries will no longer suffice.

 

 

Henry Kissinger: Our challenge with China (Washington Post) [ Boy … talk about playing both sides of the fence … H.A.K. as in hack … as in a blood-sucking leach of a political hack! To the point, kissinger is a self-interested, greedy zionist whose professional advice to war crimes nation israel has included cordoning off illegal israeli occupied Palestinian territories and massacreing indiscriminantly and completely the people, innocent men, woman, and children, therein. That China’s rising and pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s in ineluctable decline is a foregone conclusion; and, even more to the point, in no small part owing to kissinger’s efforts / policies on his patrons’ (that economic shift to China cheered enthusiastically by ceos and wall street alike) and particularly his own behalf. Little late to the party, mr. hak … after all, what precisely did he do … that kissinger associates thing … for the money … worse than those ‘run-of-the-mill’ lobbyists in d.c. (among the other alphabet soup kitchens, cia, nsa, et als, think stink tanks, etc.). That america will try to stop China’s rise is almost the natural concomitant to perpetual war / pervasively corrupt / defacto bankrupt america’s intractable decline is also a foregone conclusion. That either nation would be dumb enough to embark upon a collision course of self-immolation is not (although america’s self-destructive, in addition to destructive tendencies is a reality lost on no one). ]

 

 

Bond Panic to Weigh on Stocks Cadora ‘Despite the stock market's seemingly inexorable rise, clues to a coming crisis continue to build, promising not only to bring down equity prices sooner rather than later, but also to make the correction much more severe than most expect. As readers of my Member Letter know, I have been anticipating a dollar crisis to visit markets sometime in the first half of 2011, spurred by an exodus from bonds as the Federal Reserve continues its malfeasant policies. In now seems the dollar crisis will be paired with a panic in the municipal bond market.
[chart](Click to enlarge)
The Illinois legislature's decision to raise taxes as a means to fill its budget gap sets an ominous tone for the municipal bond market. The message is clear: politicians will attempt to drain taxpayer resources rather than control outrageous spending habits. In other words, the root of the budget problem will be ignored. This direction is bearish not only for munis, but also for the economy.

A muni bond meltdown will be detrimental to the dollar in more than one way, not the least of which comes from the dollar's chief persecutor, Ben Bernanke. Despite Bernanke's persistent denials that the Fed would step in to bail out a state government, pressure will grow on him to do so as the crisis worsens. It will be interesting to see if his political will fails him again.

Higher interest rates from bond markets ... both municipal and Federal ... will do no favors for the stock market. In fact, a sense of crisis will exacerbate an equity decline. I have proposed to readers that when this crisis hits, stocks will fall in tandem with the dollar rather than being supported by its decline. That period of positive correlation may be just in front of us.

The stock market itself is looking quite exhausted. According to my cycle analysis, equities are due for a dive into a yearly low. Several market indicators also suggest the time is ripe for stocks to roll over.

[chart]
(Click to enlarge)
[chart]
(Click to enlarge)
[chart]
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Consider also that the respectable work performed over at sentimentrader.com shows several sentiment extremes ... all bearish for the equity outlook ... including a very large gap between smart money and dumb money confidence. The stage is set for a significant stock market correction and this week's breakdown in the muni bond market may provide the needed catalyst.’

 

 

Merck Hurts, Stocks Stagger After Jobless Claims

 

Tech-Heavy ETF Hits Short-Term Extreme - High Probability of Reverting to Mean? Cowder ‘It was just another day in the park for the bulls. The continued push since the gap became higher on Jan. 3 has managed to push the tech-heavy QQQQ into a short-term “very overbought” extreme with an RSI (2) at 98.4. As I always state, when an ETF typically reaches an extreme of this manner, the market fades over the short-term (1-3 days). A move that pushes QQQQ lower would likely close the gap at $54.62, which would mean a 3.5% loss for the QQQQ.

A move like this would certainly be advantageous for my current open positions in both the High-Probability and Mean-Reversion strategy. Yes, I took a position later in the afternoon in the tech-heavy index and so far I like the probability on this one. All of the short-term technical indicators that I follow are reading extremes, so I had no choice but to take a position.

Intel (INTC) comes out after the bell tomorrow and should be quite the catalyst for the QQQQ’s next move. I would love to say that the next move is definitely going to be bearish over the short-term, but as we all know in trading, even when M-R probability is leaning heavily towards your side, there are no guarantees.

Short-Term High-Probability, Mean-Reversion Indicator – as of close 1/11/10

Benchmark ETFs

  • S&P 500 (SPY) – 83.7 (very overbought)
  • Dow Jones (DIA) –75.3 (overbought)
  • Russell 2000 (IWM) – 69.3 (neutral)
  • NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) – 90.2 (very overbought) / RSI (2) – 98.5

Sector ETFs

  • Biotech (IBB) – 76.8 (overbought)
  • Consumer Discretionary (XLY) – 57.0 (neutral)
  • Health Care (XLV) – 83.1 (very overbought)
  • Financial (XLF) – 74.1 (overbought)
  • Energy (XLE) – 79.8 (overbought)
  • Gold Miners (GDX) – 42.3 (neutral)
  • Industrial (XLI) – 90.9 (overbought) / RSI (2) – 98.7
  • Materials (XLB) – 81.9 (very overbought)
  • Real Estate (IYR) – 54.5 (neutral)
  • Retail (RTH) – 48.9 (neutral)
  • Semiconductor (SMH) – 88.6 (very overbought)
  • United States Oil Fund (USO) – 65.2 (neutral)
  • Utilities (XLU) – 64.6 (neutral)

International ETFs

  • Brazil (EWZ) – 69.8 (neutral)
  • China 25 (FXI) – 73.1 (overbought)
  • EAFE (EFA) – 73.5 (overbought)
  • South Korea (EWY) – 75.4 (overbought)

Commodity ETFs

  • Gold (GLD) – 56.5 (neutral)

Ultra Extremes

  • Small Cap Bear 3x (TZA) – 29.1 (oversold)
  • Small-Cap Bull 3x (TNA) – 69.4 (neutral)
  • UltraLong QQQQ (QLD) – 91.5 (very overbought) / RSI (2) – 98.8
  • Ultra Long S&P 500 (SSO) – 84.3 (very overbought)
  • Ultra Short S&P 500 (SDS) – 15.5 (very oversold)
  • UltraShort 20+ Treasury (TBT) – 62.8 (neutral)

Disclosure: I am short QQQQ.

 


Initial Jobless Claims Rise 35,000 ‘NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- The number of Americans filing unemployment claims unexpectedly rose last week, the Labor Department said early Thursday. The advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims increased by 35,000 to 445,000 in the week ended Jan.8, the highest level since October. Economists were expecting initial claims to drop to 405,000, according to consensus estimates from Bloomberg. Estimates ranged from 400,000 to 415,000…’

 

An Amazing Statistic About Our Abnormal Market [ The only thing amazing is that no one has come forth to state how preposterous this ‘modern day miracle of computerized programming technology’ can make unreality so appealingly and seemingly real that all are swept away with this tsunami of b*** s*** until it’s too late, which as preceding other crashes, seems furthest from thoughts, mind, and plausibility until invariably, grim reality comes a-calling and this scenario as before will end as before especially quite badly. ] ‘Rev Shark at Realmoney.com posted an amazing statistic which I believe he found at sentimenttrader.com.

According to Sentimentrader.com, the S&P 500 has now gone 92 days without closing below its 50-day moving average. That has only happened 17 times since 1928. But what is really amazing is that over the past 30 days, we haven't closed below the 10-day moving average even once. That has never happened in the last 82 years of market history.

As I've stated multiple times, it is not the rally we are experiencing that is strange, it is the total inability to pullback at any point that is boggling to anyone who has more than 6 months of market history under their belt.

[chart]

Don't forget in September and October we did not close below the 13 day moving average for 2 months in a row. Indeed other than a hiccup caused by Ireland, we might be working on the 5th month of no pullbacks.

This is an abnormal market. Anyone using historical context to trade is lost at sea. Congratulations to Mr. Brian Sack, the Bernank, and his POMO crew for making a mockery of traditional somewhat 'free' markets

Nevertheless, balance sheet policy can still lower longer-term borrowing costs for many households and businesses, and it adds to household wealth by keeping asset prices higher than they otherwise would be.

Amen Brian. In the future I'd just eliminate the middle man (primary dealers) and just buy SPY futures directly on a daily basis, much more efficient than our current charade. Granted that removes the Wizard of Oz effect (don't look behind the curtain - it's magic), but at least it would be intellectually honest. (I know, I know - primary dealers don't "buy stock directly" blah blah)

[Jan 6, 2010: Charles Biderman of TrimTabs Claims US Government Supporting Stock Market]

 


13% Thursday - When Will You Capitulate? Davis ‘It’s starting! [chart] The last of the bears are now capitulating. We’re hearing it in Member Chat and we’re reading it in analyst reports and we’re seeing the fund managers on TV – it is very out of vogue to be a bear.

Just a few weeks ago, I pointed out to Members how few bears remained by saying "Look to your left, look to your right, look in front of you and look behind you – you would be the only bear." That was way back when "only" 20% of investors were bearish – as of yesterday, we lost 1/3 of those poor creatures and now only 13% of the market is bearish. Now you can look diagonally as well and you’ll STILL be the only bear!

Certainly the market seems to be proving the primary axiom of "You can’t fight the Fed." Pretty much no matter what happens, the market goes up. Bryan Leighton from Traddr! makes a good point saying: "It’s a neutral to positive market and the only thing that can change that is some sort of surprise event out of Europe or out of Asia or something major out of the US that the Fed is not ready for or prepared for. If they are prepared for it – it will not happen – it will not have a major effect on the markets."

That’s the reality we’re dealing with out there. As long as the Fed and their pet IBanks are running the markets and as long as volume is at 3-year lows, allowing the TradeBots to control each move – then it is wrong to be a bear. But, is it 87% wrong? 87% bullish sentiment isn’t just "very" bullish – it’s a new, historic high. It’s like going to a fight where the entire crowd only cheers for one guy which, like professional wrestling, would be an automatic indication that the game must be fake, Fake, FAKE!

[chart]

As you can see from this longer-term chart, we are as extremely bullish now as we were extremely bearish in the two worst market events of the past quarter-century. Much the way that Black Monday of 1987 and the Crashes of 2008/9 were unique buying opportunities at 15% bullish, this may be a unique shorting opportunity at 15% bearish that you are not likely to see again for decades.

As an optimist, it was easy for me to say 'buy' when I was one of the 15% still bullish in March of 2009 – don’t expect the same conviction from me about selling in January of 2011. We are generally bullish. We are long-term bullish. BUT – and it’s a Big But (not to mention blasphemy) – I don’t think The Bernank is either all powerful or infallible and I do believe that "some sort of surprise event out of Europe or out of Asia or something major out of the US" could happen at any moment so, as I said yesterday – we remain short-term cautious between now and April, even as the rest of the market marches towards 99% bullish around us.

This does not stop us from making some bullish plays – in fact Scott of Sabrient just reviewed the 4 Dark Horse Trader’s Hedge plays we’ve been tracking in a virtual portfolio since the fall and the only problem we’ve been having is they are too successful as the stocks have been outpacing our expectations and we have to let go of both Veeco Instruments (VECO) (with a 36% profit in 5 months) and World Acceptance Corp. (WRLD) (with a 25% profit in 3 months) because the stocks performed so well that they’re not worth adjusting our hedges anymore. That’s why we like our bullish to neutral Buy/Write Strategy, we can’t be harmed to the upside, only forced to take our profits off the table and find anther partner to dance with – which isn’t a bad forced discipline on stocks that are running ahead of 100% annual gains.

Could we make more money by just "going for it" and being 100% bullish? Sure we could, and once inflation takes hold and begins to snowball the markets higher, that is exactly what we’re going to do but, as I have pointed out before – missing the first 100% move up in the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange wasn’t a big deal since it was followed by moves of 1,000%, 1,000,000%, 1,000,000,000% and 1,000,000,000,000% before the markets finally calmed down. On the other hand, people who participated in Brazil’s 100% run in 8 months that began in October of 2007 found themselves right back where they started just 4 months later.

We participated 100% bullishly since our June 26th Buy List, which was followed by July 7th’s "9 Fabulous Dow Plays Plus a Chip Shot," July 26th's "Turning $10K to $50K by Jan 21st" (halfway there), August 29th’s "Defending Your Portfolio With Dividends" and September 3rd’s "September’s Dozen." That’s how we played the rally from S&P 1,030 to 1,160 (10%).

On October 3rd, I put up "October’s Overbought Eight" and they were AMZN, BIDU, CMG, FSLR, MOS, NFLX, PCLN and TLT. Needless to say, we got stopped out of most of those pretty quickly and that led to a Q4 version of "Defending Your Portfolio With Dividends" on October 23rd (S&P 1,180) and we rode those out through December 11th, when we got tired of waiting for a correction and (at S&P 1,240) went with "Breakout Defense – 5,000% in 5 Trades or Less" and those were followed with December 25th’s (S&P 1,256) "Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2011" also with a few trades aimed at making around 500% should the rally continue.

So why is it, with only one bearish Member Portfolio in 7 months, that I feel like I might be too bearish? Well, for one thing – I’m getting lonely. I work on the Web and my colleagues in the MSM and the Blogosphere have pretty much all found religion and developed an almost unshakable faith in The Bernank, in China, in Corporate America, in Commodities – you name it, they think it can’t go wrong. So much so that the VIX, which measures the market’s expectation of stock market volatility over the next 30 day period, has dropped all the way to 16.

Now 16 isn’t "low" for the VIX, it’s actually about the historic average. It is, however a far cry from 89 in 2008 and 48 as recently as May and if you tell me I now have less to worry about today than I did in 2007 when we were still in the middle of a major rally and 60% of investors were bullish and the VIX was in the mid-20s, I have to ask you why? 10% more people are unemployed than in 2007, the World is $18Tn more in debt than it was then, Inflation has tripled (although you can argue that playing inflation IS the bullish premise), Global GDP projections are 1/2 of what they were, Banks are unstable, States are unstable and Nations are unstable yet I am supposed to buy Netflix (NFLX) (we are short) with a p/e multiple of 71.50 or AMZN with a p/e of 74.50 (we want to be short) based primarily on my faith that the Great Bernanke in the sky would not let anything bad happen to my investments?

Well sorry, call me an atheist, call it blasphemy, but I do not have 100% faith in the Great Bernanke in the sky. I may have had 60% faith and I may have even had 70% faith but I DO NOT have 87% faith that Bernanke will overcome all those MASSIVE, SCARY, DANGEROUS Global obstacles that are still littering the investing landscape and take us to the promised land of S&P 1,500. Does that make me bearish or sensibly cautious? When 87% of the market is bullish, then sensibly cautious looks a lot like bearish, doesn’t it?

Perhaps that’s why people like the right Reverend Jim Cramer and his Cult of the MoMo Stocks irritate me lately. That man has FAITH! Well, either faith or he’s being paid off by fund managers to pimp their stocks so they can dump them on Jimmy’s fanatical followers while they pick up whatever he’s chasing people out of on the cheap – it’s hard to tell….

I was the lone bullish preacher in the wilderness in March of 2009 so I have seen the promised land of recovery and, unlike Dr. King, who said "I may not get there with you" and was, unfortunately, right, I fully intend to get there and I want us all to get there with our portfolios intact so we will continue to hedge the market following the sound policy advocated by Ronald Reagan when dealing with the Russians, which was: "Trust — but verify."

I pointed out on the first trading day of 2011 that we expected January to be heavily manipulated right up to expiration. Assuming Lloyd and Co. were lazy and using the same Alpha 2 Bot program they ran last January, we were looking for a 300 point run that tops out at 11,850 on the Dow and 1,285 on the S&P and we hit goal on the S&P yesterday, to the penny of where I said we’d be on Jan 3rd – trusted and verified. Now we will see how the next 7 market sessions play out into expiration day. If we pop higher – we’re off the pattern and we’ll have to consider leaving the 13%, shouting hallelujah and joining the crowd but, if we flatline or fail to hold – then you can expect the first Member Portfolio of 2011 to be a bearish one!’



Jobless claims jump, wholesale food costs surge Reuters | U.S. jobless claims jumped to their highest level since October last week while food and energy costs lifted producer prices in December.

 

S&P, Moody’s Warn On U.S. Credit Rating Two leading credit rating companies have cautioned the U.S. on its credit rating, expressing concern over a deteriorating fiscal situation that they say needs correction.

 

‘Burst banks flood world as banksters sell water to people’ Max Keiser looks at all the scandal behind the financial news headlines.

 

Corporate Media Portrays Loughner as Gold and Silver Advocate Chadwick Matlin, a guest contributor writing for Reuters, attempts to connect Jared Lee Loughner to the growing movement for sound money in the United States.

 

The Looming Threat of National Debt As the United States hurtles closer to the 100% debt to GDP mark—95.5% as of today—it becomes important to assess whether unsustainable national debt will be a chronic problem to plague the United States for generations to come.

 

 



National / World

 

Rand Paul: Reaction To Arizona Shooting Manufactured Out Of Rahm Emanuel Playbook Steve Watson | A serious crisis should never be allowed to go to waste.

 

The Tea Party Deception Paul Joseph Watson | Political scientist Joel Skousen lifts the lid on the hidden power that controls both parties.

 

Oklahoma Homeland Security’s Says ‘Controversial Debate’ Suspicious Behavior Jason Douglass | Oklahoma Office of Homeland Security has started a new initiative ‘Red Dirt Ready’ to induct neighbors into a neighborhood spy program.

 

Attempt by Obama Operatives to Turn Memorial Into Political Rally Backfires Kurt Nimmo | The creepy zombie-like Obama supporters we endured during the election returned in force and completely overshadowed any solemnity intended for the dead.

 

‘Stop. Think. Connect’ DHS Announces New Fear Agenda Jason Douglass | Cyber Security Coordinator announces a new PSA video challenge from Department of Homeland Security for the ‘Stop. Think. Connect’ campaign.

 

Rand Paul: Reaction To Arizona Shooting Manufactured Out Of Rahm Emanuel Playbook Kentucky Senator Rand Paul has hit out at politicians and those in the media that have attempted to use the tragic shooting in Arizona as a political point scoring exercise.

 

See Something, Say Something: Loughner Bought Bullets at Walmart In December of last year, DHS boss Janet Napolitano announced a government program with the participation of the slave goods trader Walmart to report terrorists and other miscreants.

 

Attempt by Obama Operatives to Turn Memorial Into Political Rally Backfires On Wednesday night in Tucson, Arizona, Obama and the Democrats disrespected the dead and turned a memorial into a cheap and tawdry political rally for the re-election campaign of Barry Obama.

 

Third gun control bill proposed since Tucson shootings High-profile gun violence has historically renewed legislative interest in the cause of gun control, and the shootings of twenty people in Tucson, Arizona is no exception — only this time, the measures face steeper hurdles than before.

 

The Tea Party Deception Joel Skousen, editor of World Affairs Brief, was the chairman of the Conservative National Committee in the 1980′s. In this exclusive video interview for Prison Planet.tv members, Skousen talks about the hidden power structure that controls politicians of both parties from behind the scenes, the nature of the manipulated press, the reality behind the tea party, and the ongoing conspiracy to create a one world dictatorship.

 

Political Hacks Still Seek To Exploit Shootings Before Bodies Are Buried Even a broken clock is right twice a day, and just for a change President Obama got was correct in his speech last night when he said that people should stop exploiting the Tucson tragedy as a political opportunity to point the finger.

 

New Jersey Congressman Calls for Federal Reserve Audit  [ They should audit corrupt, mob infested jersey as well. ] Recently while visiting Washington D.C., members of the South New Jersey Tyranny Response Team had the opportunity to interview the Congressman for New Jersey’s 2nd District, Frank A. LoBiondo.

 

Housing Slump Worse than the Great Depression The Zillow Home Value Index has now fallen 26% since its peak in June 2006. That’s more than the 25.9% decline in the Depression-era years between 1928 and 1933.


Mexico drug wars have killed 35,000 people in four years A total of 34,612 people have died in drug-related killings in Mexico in the four years since President Felipe Calderón declared an offensive against cartels shortly after taking office, officials said tonight.

 

Riots rage in Chile as gas price hike fuels flames of anger Riots are raging in southern Chile with two women killed and four others injured. Protesters are out in anger at gas price increases, which are reportedly due to troubles experienced by the state-owned petroleum company. 21 people have been arrested. With gas one of the country’s main imports, the price rise counters promises made by the country’s President Pinera.

 

US military chief predicts ‘more violence’ in Afghanistan in 2011 The top US military officer said Wednesday he sees an increase in bloodshed in Afghanistan as allied forces step up their offensive against the Taliban.

 

New Chinese arms aimed at US: military chief China’s new weapons programs, including the J-20 stealth aircraft, appear to be directed against the UnitedStates, the highest-ranking USmilitary officer said Wednesday.

 

Drudgereport: Jobless Claims Jump, Wholesale Food Costs Surge...
EYES ON OPEC AS OIL NEARS $100
House set to vote on healthcare repeal...
Tunisian Rioters Overwhelm Police Near Capital...

FT: What chance a US default?
S&P, MOODY'S Warn On Credit Rating...
CITI still too big after 'ad hoc' bailout...
WILL THE FED NEED A BAILOUT?
Banks repossess 1 million homes in 2010...

May Jump 20% in 2011...
Biden arrives in Baghdad 'to celebrate'...
  Lobotomy Joe’s arrival as Violence kills 3, wounds 14...
Wrestling Coach Put on Leave for Insulting Obama, Challenging Him to Fight...
Politician Wants License Plates -- For Bikes…
School Hands Out Misdemeanor Tickets To Elementary School Students... [
Data shows the tickets can cost a family as much as $500. ]
81-Year-Old Woman Bodyslammed, Mugged Inside NYC Subway Station -- By Another Woman...

CHICAGOLAND: Gang rape of girl, 14, recorded on cellphone...

 

 

 

Contours of a large and lasting American presence in Iraq starting to take shape (Washington Post) [  Wow! Sounds like a plan … though hardly embraced by all; viz; the vast majorities in Iraq, Afghanistan, and defacto bankrupt america are against this with dire prospective consequences to follow.   U.S. Promises to be in Afghanistan Beyond 2014 [ Defacto bankrupt america can afford it! Riiiiight! Sounds like a plan … for enhanced heroin production, war profiteering, etc., benefiting the few to the detriment of the many. ]New York Times | Biden met with Karzai and promised a lasting American commitment to the country well beyond 2014, when NATO forces are scheduled to turn over security of the nation to Afghan forces.  ]

 

Treasury secretary urges China to accelerate currency reform  (Washington Post) [ Riiiiight! Well that sounds like something the Chinese will buy into, coming from defacto bankrupt america … sounds like a plan … for fantasyland! ] Beijing’s policy is hampering U.S. competitiveness and harming the Chinese economy, Geithner says.

 

 

Economic recovery is on track (Washington Post) [ What? That (as per fed) no-recession recession (depression) thing’s over. Certainly for the frauds on wall street who caused the thing in the first place that’s true with the new bubble and at what now insurmountable cost  (record $14 trillion plus debt – Faber: US will be using 30% of total tax revenues just to pay interest on the national debt within a few years … see, infra … )Fed's beige book reports gains in manufacturing and retail sectors. Housing industry remains weak.

 

 

E.U. seeks to expand bailout fund to calm markets (Washington Post) [Nyaradi  The Sick Man Tries to Save the Terminally Ill ( I can’t recall the specific phrase, but applied here it goes something like this, ‘Japan with a debt to GDP ratio of 200% is going to save Europe, but who’s going to save Japan’. Let’s get real here as the u.s. house-building with decks, as in Titanics and reshuffled / rearranged deck chairs, of cards, as in ‘houses of cards’, becomes insanely ubiquitous worldwide and will systemically (now globally) end quite badly. This is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits since there is much, much worse to come.  ) Nyaradi  ‘It was a quiet day yesterday for ETFs and stocks in world markets as most exchange traded funds recovered recent losses amid reduced tensions in Europe.Incredibly, Japan’s intent to buy European bonds was the catalyst for the more positive atmosphere in Europe, and as the title of this article suggests, this is truly the sick man trying to save the terminally ill…see infra… ’ ] Nations expand the scope of the euro-zone bailout fund, saying more support is necessary as investors worry about the prospects of Portugal and Spain.

 

 

ANALYSIS | Palin's 'blood libel' comment backfires Washington Post) [  God knows I’m no fan of sarah palin’s although I am constrained to admit that as a fan of Saturday Night Live, I do appreciate her contribution to comedic content in the show.  That said, this new ‘tempest in a teapot’ of her own making is a bit overdone. After all, it should be common knowledge by now, to put it mildly, that she is quite dumb; and, like that burnt out, dumb, war criminal and moron, dumbya bush (see , ie., bushisms from bush the brain-damaged moron http://albertpeia.com/bushisms.htm), she also has trouble with words; more specifically, the meanings of words. But it is also true that wobama and his ilk have trouble with words and their meaning, particularly when those spoken words are measured against what he does, his ilk never seeming to discern the glaring difference … wobama the ‘b’ for b*** s***. Lamentably (by her) and unexpectedly for palin was her failure to fully understand ‘that jewish thing’ attached to the phrase and the tender sensibilities of those who previously have been among the ranks of what seems more and more to be a somewhat offbeat fanclub of sorts. Yeah, that ‘never hear the end of it’ jewish stereotype of paranoid sensibilities to religious / ethnic prejudice / slur behind some word, phrase, or even a sneeze (spielberg’s childhood memories) can wind up turning around and biting you in you’re a** ! Previously: Krauthammer: Beyond Ariz., a reckless charge  (Washington Post) [ If it were only that simple; viz., a palin ( I’ve previously said I’m more concerned with her level of stupidity, dumb enough in an infantile way to prove she had gonads by pressing the button – never goin’ to happen, her being in that position), a beck, a bush, a wobama (Drudgereport: OBAMA FLASHBACK: 'If They Bring a Knife to the Fight, We Bring a Gun'... ), etc., there’d be hope for pervasively corrupt defacto bankrupt america. The fact is, the problem is inherent to america / americans themselves as I previously wrote here and reiterate: Will: Half-baked explanations for tragedy (Washington Post) [ Half-baked? Charlatans? The foregoing are in no short supply in defacto bankrupt, meaningfully lawless, pervasively corrupt, fraud prevalent america. See, for example, RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm     . Moreover, Mr. Will as an oftimes apologist for war criminal, pervasively fraud-prone, defacto bankrupt, etc., america, with crime rates exceeding by far those of any other so-called civilized nations, might indeed find himself among those he’s so categorized. Among the last separate page sections to my website will be a somewhat detailed psychoanalytic evolutionary profile of the u.s. (one might ask who am I to do so which is fair comment to which I would reply, read it, or not, your choice). However, for the nonce, let me say that the it is no small coincidence that the 20th century has been dubbed ‘the american century’. That the 20th century has been considered the bloodiest is at once the natural concomitant of the foregoing reality. Keeping in mind the so-called ‘selective’ processes in both insurance (adverse) and evolutionary (Darwinian) terms, and as well, the psychology of it all from a behavioral perspective, america has indeed evolved. From the genocide of indigenous populations, to outlandish propaganda in support of same (ie., that ‘manifest destiny’ balderdash with overtones of religiosity spoonfed since elementary school, etc.), to contrived conflict / war, such, euphemistically bad behavior has been reinforced, some of which conditioning not always purposeful, ie., the ever greater frauds perpetrated on wall street for which there have been in large part no real punitive consequences to the perpetrators; but, to the contrary, great financial rewards though substantially detrimental to the majority. Despite the surface appeal, that oft asserted ‘blue-blood’ distinction doesn’t pass muster. Aside from the few seeking seeking religious freedom (ie., Puritans among some others), most then new americans were such disaffected rejects of their former homelands that desperation at best was motivation for travel to the wilds of the ‘so-called new world’ as opposed to intelligent, rational choice; criminals, mentally ill, the not-so-bright but ruthless populating the new nation in disparate numbers toward the ends consistent with greed and common criminality, corruption, and venality. As of the age of the dinosaurs, the american century has passed into the annals of a history replete with self-generating terrorism within and without (that blowback thing).     DRUDGEREPORT: NATION SHOCKED: CONGRESSWOMAN SHOT IN TUCSON
]

 

 

The Sick Man Tries to Save the Terminally Ill [  I can’t recall the specific phrase, but applied here it goes something like this, ‘Japan with a debt to GDP ratio of 200% is going to save Europe, but who’s going to save Japan’. Let’s get real here as the u.s. house-building with decks, as in Titanics and reshuffled / rearranged deck chairs, of cards, as in ‘houses of cards’, becomes insanely ubiquitous worldwide and will systemically (now globally) end quite badly. This is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits since there is much, much worse to come.  ] Nyaradi  ‘It was a quiet day yesterday for ETFs and stocks in world markets as most exchange traded funds recovered recent losses amid reduced tensions in Europe.

Incredibly, Japan’s intent to buy European bonds was the catalyst for the more positive atmosphere in Europe, and as the title of this article suggests, this is truly the sick man trying to save the terminally ill.

The soap opera in Europe, like every soap opera, is getting boring. It starts with rising interest rates and credit default swap rates which is met by the concerned government proclaiming that they’re totally solvent and will never need a bailout which ends up to be exactly what happens.

Portugal will be selling 10 year notes today, Wednesday, and its ten year debt has stood largely above 7% in recent days. When rates in Greece and Ireland hit these levels, bailouts came within days in both cases. Italy and Spain go to the bond trough this week, as well, and so it will be an active few days in Europe.

Bottom line; get ready for an ECB bailout of Portugal coming soon, possibly this week.

At home, we move into earnings season, Illinois is moving towards an income tax increase to deal with its budget deficit while Governor Brown in California begins to sell his austerity plans.

Daily Moves for Major ETFs:

Dow Jones Industrials: (NYSEArca: DIA) +0.30%

Russell 2000: (NYSEArca: IWM) -0.47%

NASDAQ 100: (NasdaqGM: QQQQ) +0.41%

S&P 500 Index: (NYSEArca: SPY) +0.37%

MSCI Emerging Markets:(NYSEArca: EEM) +1.06%

MSCI China (NYSEArca: FXI) +1.13%

Gold (NYSEArca: GLD) +0.59%

7-10 Year Treasuries: (NYSEArca: IEF) -0.39%

20+ Year Treasuries: (NYSEArca: TLT) -0.56%

VIX -3.71%

U.S. Dollar (NYSE:Arca: (NYSE:Arca: UUP) -0.08%

The major indexes remain overvalued and overbought on a technical and fundamental basis and so Wall Street Sector Selector remains in “Yellow Flag” status, expecting choppy to lower prices ahead.’

 

 

Lunch with Marc Faber: Predictions and Insights  Sinn – ‘Tuesday I had the pleasure of meeting Marc Faber for the first time and I thoroughly enjoyed his detailed, logical, and smooth-flowing presentation. Faber is good on television, but he is much better live as he is more open with regard to his disdain for Bernanke, Greenspan, Krugman et al. He even ended the Q&A portion by saying ‘I hope you have a better idea of what to do with your wealth, but what you do with your client’s wealth is another story’. Below I have listed the main concepts that Faber’s presentation impressed on my thinking:

Key takeaways from Marc Faber Luncheon- January 11, 2011

The Eurozone is worse off than even the U.S. at this point because they lack a single fiscal authority. It is difficult to implement a federal/super-sovereign approach in the Eurozone due to challenge of implementing a single taxing authority with supervisory and enforcement powers.

When asked about the possibility of dividing the Eurozone into a north and south euro, he dismissed this idea as being very unlikely.

The most likely path forward for the Eurozone will be for the ECB to continue to monetize the sovereign debt of the weaker Member States. He also stressed the point that the ultimate solution will be highly political and unpredictable and that there will be plenty of ‘noise’ on the way to the final outcome.

Faber is concerned about a slowdown in China and India over the next 3-6 months. China currently has negative real interest rates and may need to raise rates over 100 basis points in order to bring the real interest rate back near zero. He also mentioned that he had recently reduced his investment exposure to China and India.

Faber seemed most bullish on the price of oil and pointed out that Chinese consumers consume only 2 barrels of oil per capita/year while US consumers consume over 20 barrels of oil per capita/year.

Faber pointed out how under leveraged Asian consumers are compared to Western European/ US consumers. He cited that only 10% of Vietnamese have a bank account which demonstrates how much room there is for leveraging in Asia.

·He was VERY bearish on U.S. government debt long term and even pointed to a chart of US 10-year note yields over the past 60 years. He then waved the laser pointer to indicate that yields will eventually go past the early 1980s highs.

·He illustrated the performance of Mexican government bonds and the peso currency from the late 1970s to 1988. The peso lost 98% of its value vs. the US dollar and Mexican bonds performed horribly while Mexican equities priced in US dollars ended the 10-year period slightly positive.

Finally, Faber pointed out that there is potential for geopolitical tensions between China and India as they compete for natural resources (oil, water). He pointed out that China and India share the Brahmaputra River. There has been continued speculation that China plans to build a dam on the river in order to divert water to the North of the country (Doug Kass also mentioned the possibility of a military conflict between China and India over this river in his year end predictions for 2011). In addition, Faber explained that China isn’t happy about the US recommendation that India join the UN Security Council.

Oddly enough, I agree with almost everything Dr. Faber discussed. However, I doubt that gold will undergo a 20% correction this year (I would say 10-15% is the maximum unless there were to be a complete paradigm shift in monetary policy from the ECB/Fed). The crowd was most amused by Dr. Faber’s disdainful comments about Messieurs Bernanke, Greenspan, and Krugman.

While I agree with the latter two, I believe Chairman Bernanke is doing the only thing he can do with the terrible hand he has been dealt. I also believe the possibility of a military confrontation between China and India is extremely remote due to the potential magnitude of the consequences. Dr. Faber managed to cause me to be even more concerned about the state of the US fiscal situation than I already was. I didn’t think that was possible, but when he explained the US would be using 30% of total tax revenues just to pay interest on the national debt within a few years, I realized the situation was more serious than even I had realized.  Disclosure: I am long GLD.’

 

 

Cupcake Capitalism Offers Hope for New Bubble: Jonathan Weil  Weil ‘The first thing every prospective investor should know about Crumbs Holdings LLC, which operates 34 cupcake shops, is that there was an error in the first sentence of its Jan. 10 press release announcing the New York retailer’s planned public listing on the Nasdaq Stock Market.

Crumbs called itself the “creator of the gourmet cupcake.” The claim is false. Crumbs didn’t create the gourmet cupcake. I did, or at least that’s how I choose to remember it.

It was a glorious Sunday morning in October 1976. I was six years old. My mom helped me follow the instructions on a box of Duncan Hines cake mix. I added Frosted Flakes to the icing, spread the sugary goo on top of my creations, and dubbed them Jonny’s Chocolate Crunchcakes. They were Gr-r-reat!

Crumbs executives say they plan to expand to 200 locations within four years, a sixfold increase. They’ll have no need for a traditional initial public offering, though. Crumbs plans to do a reverse merger with a publicly traded shell company called 57th Street General Acquisition Corp.

It’s easy to dismiss the cupcake craze’s arrival on Wall Street as just another indicator of a world gone mad, because it is. Yet there’s a serious point here, too. This may be one of the most hopeful signs in a long time that the economic boom-to- bust cycle may be returning to boom again.

Think about it. Would a chain of stores selling outsourced $4.50 cupcakes have stood a chance at luring stock-market investors three years ago, when the banking crisis was driving the world into a global recession? No way. Yet now the red velvet carpet is out for the likes of Crumbs Bake Shop. The opportunities for other entrepreneurs seem endless.

Master Plan

Before long, sophisticated investors may once again line up to throw money at sure-fire concepts like iron-on T-shirts and collectible plush toys. This must be good news, whether you’re a central banker or a maxed-out office worker buying a caramel apple on credit. It’s evidence that our global economic leaders’ master plan is working. That would be to spend our way out of the last bubble’s wreckage with money we don’t have, until we can create a new bubble to wealth-effect our troubles away.

To be sure, the news from Crumbs doesn’t signal an actual bubble, only the promise of one. But it does tempt us to consider that there may be real bubbles, even monstrous ones, soon. To accomplish this, we’ll need the titans of industry and finance to remain united in pressing for the common good. And there’s positive news on this front.

Remorse-Free Zone

This week Barclays Plc’s chief executive, Robert Diamond, told British parliamentarians it’s time for banks to stop apologizing and start rebuilding confidence. “There was a period of remorse and apology for banks. That period needs to be over,” he told a House of Commons committee in London.

When this period of remorse supposedly occurred, I’m not sure. What matters, though, is that the world now appears to be coming around to Diamond’s way of thinking, which is that we must all agree to be confident.

Similarly, last week President Barack Obama picked a top JPMorgan Chase & Co. banker and former Fannie Mae board member, William Daley, to be his new chief of staff. Amazingly, hardly anyone complained. It seems Americans are too busy trying to figure out how to buy pre-IPO shares of Facebook and Twitter. Distrust of Wall Street is so 2009.

You also can see the seeds of this new era in our corporate leaders’ math. The same day Crumbs said it would go public, Groupon Inc., which claims to have been called “the fastest growing company ever” by Forbes magazine, issued a press release under this headline: “Groupon Raises, Like, A Billion Dollars.” Actually the amount was $950 million. But we can all agree that a billion grabs more attention.

All of which shows there’s hope for the world’s economy to return quickly to rapid growth, as long as we work together to figure out how we can get in all these new bubbles and sell at just the right time, before everyone else figures out when that is. Then we can be rich again. That is, until the next bust, by which time we’ll have moved on to even bigger booms.

All we have to do is believe. Jonathan Weil is a Bloomberg News columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.) To contact the writer of this column: Jonathan Weil in New York at [email protected]

 

 

Bernanke to Broke States: Go Suck an Egg Infowars.com | Trillions for international banksters, nothing for the states.

 

Could the U.S. central bank go broke? Reuters | The U.S. Federal Reserve’s journey to the outer limits of monetary policy is raising concerns about how hard it will be to withdraw trillions of dollars in stimulus from the banking system when the time is right.

 

Gold prices at record amid reports of dollar’s demise Guardian.co.uk | Reports of secret talks over ending the dollar pricing of oil and money flows into commodities as fears of inflation grow.

 

Sanders Says Bernanke Ducks Request for Details on Fed Loans Vermont Senator Bernard Sanders, whose legislative provision forced the Federal Reserve to disclose last month the recipients of $3.3 trillion in financial-crisis aid, said Chairman Ben S. Bernanke ducked his request for more details about the loans.

 

Home price drops exceed Great Depression Home prices fell for the 53rd consecutive month in November, taking the decline past that of the Great Depression for the first time in the prolonged housing slump, according to Zillow.

 

Downturn’s Ugly Trademark: Steep, Lasting Drop in Wages In California, former auto worker Maria Gregg was out of work five months last year before landing a new job—at a nearly 20% pay cut.

 

Primary Dealers Leech Off Fed’s Currency Destruction While Estonia is burning its currency to keep warm and celebrate joining the Euro, the United States is defiling its currency in a wholly American way—by giving it to Wall Street.

 

National / World

 

Corporate Media Portrays Loughner as Gold and Silver Advocate Kurt Nimmo | Loughner’s irrational currency ramblings offer the establishment a chance to tarnish a growing movement calling for the elimination of the Federal Reserve.

 

Arizona Shooter Was On Powerful Hallucinogens Steve Watson | Friend says “He would admit to seeing the sky as orange and the grass as blue”.

 

Welcome To The Reservation Paul Joseph Watson | American Indian activist Russell Means explains how history has come full circle.

 

Was Loughner In Love With Congresswoman Giffords? Paul Joseph Watson | Gunman’s disinterest in politics fails to explain dangerous obsession that began several years ago.

 

Palin: “When was it less heated? Back in those “calm days” when political figures literally settled their differences with dueling pistols?” Sarah Palin | President Reagan said, “We must reject the idea that every time a law’s broken, society is guilty rather than the lawbreaker. It is time to restore the American precept that each individual is accountable for his actions.”

 

Arizona Shooter Was On Powerful Hallucinogens As with practically every other high profile shooting case in recent memory, it appears that the suspect was using psychotropic drugs, substances that significantly alter areas of the brain associated with perception, mood, consciousness, cognition, and behavior.

 

Was Loughner In Love With Congresswoman Giffords? Now that the contrived idea that heated political rhetoric from conservatives has been rejected as a motivation behind Jared Lee Loughner’s tragic rampage in which Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords was targeted, Loughner’s documented obsession with Giffords indicates that he may have been infatuated with the Arizona Democrat.

 

Welcome To The Reservation American Indian Russell Means gives an eye-opening 90 minute interview in which he explains how Native Americans and Americans in general are all imprisoned within one huge reservation. “The history of the American and the history of the Indian have now come full circle and are intertwined in the dictatorial policies of those that control the monetary system of America,” remarks Means.

 

He did not watch TV. He disliked the news. He didn’t listen to political radio Regarding the high-pitched talk radio and cable news political rhetoric, Osler says his friend didn’t even watch the news.

 

Officers stopped suspect on day of Ariz. shooting; Police Say They Visited Tucson Suspect’s Home Even Before Rampage TUCSON — The police were sent to the home where Jared L. Loughner lived with his family on more than one occasion before the attack here on Saturday that left a congresswoman fighting for her life and six others dead, the Pima County Sheriff’s Department said on Tuesday.

 

Arizona Shooting Suspect Wrote `Die Bitch’ on Giffords Letter Jared Loughner, accused of shooting U.S. Representative Gabrielle Giffords in the Tucson, Arizona attack that killed six people and wounded 14, wrote “die bitch” and “die cops” on a letter he received from the lawmaker in 2007, officials said.

 

U.S. Promises to be in Afghanistan Beyond 2014 [ Defacto bankrupt america can afford it! Riiiiight! Sounds like a plan … for enhanced heroin production, war profiteering, etc., benefiting the few to the detriment of the many. ]New York Times | Biden met with Karzai and promised a lasting American commitment to the country well beyond 2014, when NATO forces are scheduled to turn over security of the nation to Afghan forces.

 

‘US behind instability in Lebanon’ Press TV | Iran’s ambassador to Beirut says Washington’s interferences resulted in the failure of Saudi Arabian and Syrian efforts to stabilize Lebanon.

 

China stealth jet upstages US defence chief’s visit US Defense Secretary Robert Gates on Wednesday toured China’s nuclear command centre to end what he called a “very successful” visit — one upstaged by a bold display of Beijing’s advanced weaponry

 

 

Drudgereport: World moves closer to food price shock...
OIL NEARS $100...
Soaring commodities...
PALIN CALLS OUT MEDIA 'BLOOD LIBEL'...

VIDEO...
Death Threats at 'Unprecedented Level,' Aides Say...
ABCNEWS: She 'once again has found a way to become part of the story'...
CBSNEWS: 'Plays the victim card'...
NBCNEWS: 'Ignorant' for using 'blood libel' term...
Assange claims 'insurance' files on Rupert Murdoch; Says China Top Threat to WIKILEAKS...
 ‘In this week's New Statesman, WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange talks to John Pilger about Bradley Manning, his "insurance" files on Rupert Murdoch and Newscorp - and which country is the real enemy of WikiLeaks. To read the entire feature, pick up a copy of this week's New Statesman available on newsstands from tomorrow. Some highlights of the piece are below: The "technological enemy" of WikiLeaks is not the US - but China, according to Assange. "China is the worst offender," when it comes to censorship, says the controversial whistleblower. "China has aggressive and sophisticated interception technology that places itself between every reader inside China and every information source outside China. We've been fighting a running battle to make sure we can get information through, and there are now all sorts of ways Chinese readers can get on to our site." On Bradley Manning - the US soldier accused of leaking the diplomatic cables to WikiLeaks - Assange says: "I'd never heard his name before it was published in the press." He argues that the US is trying to use Manning - currently stuck in solitary confinement in the US - to build a case against the WikiLeaks founder: "Cracking Bradley Manning is the first step," says the Australian hacker. "The aim clearly is to break him and force a confession that he somehow conspired with me to harm the national security of the United States." Such conspiracy would be impossible, according to Assange. "WikiLeaks technology was designed from the very beginning to make sure that we never knew the identities or names of people sub¬mitting material. We are as untraceable as we are uncensorable. That's the only way to assure sources they are protected." Yesterday, Assange's lawyers warned that if he is extradited to America, he could face the death penalty - for embarrassing the leaders of the US government. "They don't want the public to know these things and scapegoats must be found," says Assange. And despite the pressure the website has been under, reports of trouble at WikiLeaks are greatly exaggerated, claims Assange. "There is no 'fall'. We have never published as much as we are now. WikiLeaks is now mirrored on more than 2,000 websites. I can't keep track of the spin-off sites - those who are doing their own WikiLeaks... If something happens to me or to WikiLeaks, 'insurance' files will be released." The contents of these files are unknown, but, according to Assange, "[t]hey speak more of the same truth to power." It is not just government that should be worried about the content of these files, however. "There are 504 US embassy cables on one broadcasting organisation and there are cables on Murdoch and News Corp," says Assange. The attempts by the US to indict Assange should worrying the mainstream press, he adds. "I think what's emerging in the mainstream media is the awareness that if I can be indicted, other journalists can, too," says Assange. "Even the New York Times is worried. This used not to be the case. If a whistleblower was prosecuted, publishers and reporters were protected by the First Amendment, which journalists took for granted. That's being lost."

 

 

 

Goldman Sachs self-eval calls for disclosure of operations (Washington Post) [  Self-evaluation? Goldman-sachs? Don’t make me laugh! … Oh, right … they don’t cheat, they just steal / defraud!    ] Goldman is trying to turn the page on a bad year (as in huge bonuses … that bad … riiiight!) .



Chinese military tests fighter jet ahead of Hu's meeting with Gates (Washington Post) [  China tests stealth aircraft before Gates, Hu meet (Post, January 11, 2011; 6:12 PM)  Chinese general to visit U.S. base in small sign of thawing military ties (Post, January 12, 2011; 1:21 AM)  Small sign of thawing? Yeah, maybe … so small you’d need a electron microscope to see it … as gates melted at the prospect of China’s latest new addition to their defensive arsenal, which they can afford, as defacto bankrupt america drowns in perpetual, contrived / self-created / self-destructive wars. ]

 

 

China's exchange reserves hit record level (Washington Post) [  Relations, relationship, reserves. I’d say proportional … as in terms of, ie., rationality … as in, ie., relative abundance; viz., China having substantially greater reserves and rationality than irrationally, pervasively corrupt, meaningfully lawless, perpetual war despite defacto bankrupt america.  ]  The thorniest problem in economic relations between the United States and China is getting worse, just as the world's two biggest economies prepare for a summit next week in Washington.

 

 

Meyerson: Culture of paranoia (Washington Post) [ That ‘for us or again’ us’ dichotomy that flourished with unbridled enthusiasm and encouragement by lesser brains typified by burnt out war criminal and moron dumbya bush & co certainly gained traction with the bushlander failed regimes; but, truth be told, to the surprise of many, the same mindless approach to all things domestic and international has under wobama’s failed regime proved to be the coup de grace, the ‘straw that broke the camel’s back, etc.. Indeed, the continuation of the perpetual war policy despite the defacto bankruptcy of the nation has made wobama’s failed presidency merely icing on what has become the american upside down cake. From no pros of the frauds on wall street to increased war spending and runaway deficits, wobama the ‘b’ for b*** s*** has proven the more america ‘changes’ the more america stays the same … in rate of decline, that is. Talk radio … all b*** s*** with a few convenient facts interspersed for relevance. I’d say liberal talk radio is worse in that if they’re not comin’ down hard on wobama (I presume they’re not), then all their rhetoric in the bush years was hot air. And hot air is what they are which is the reason d’etre for that little on/off switch which is all the censorship that’s needed. That’s what I use for the blowhards … and it works extremely well! ]

 

Krauthammer: Beyond Ariz., a reckless charge  (Washington Post) [ If it were only that simple; viz., a palin ( I’ve previously said I’m more concerned with her level of stupidity, dumb enough in an infantile way to prove she had gonads by pressing the button – never goin’ to happen, her being in that position), a beck, a bush, a wobama (Drudgereport: OBAMA FLASHBACK: 'If They Bring a Knife to the Fight, We Bring a Gun'... ), etc., there’d be hope for pervasively corrupt defacto bankrupt america. The fact is, the problem is inherent to america / americans themselves as I previously wrote here and reiterate: Will: Half-baked explanations for tragedy (Washington Post) [ Half-baked? Charlatans? The foregoing are in no short supply in defacto bankrupt, meaningfully lawless, pervasively corrupt, fraud prevalent america. See, for example, RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm     . Moreover, Mr. Will as an oftimes apologist for war criminal, pervasively fraud-prone, defacto bankrupt, etc., america, with crime rates exceeding by far those of any other so-called civilized nations, might indeed find himself among those he’s so categorized. Among the last separate page sections to my website will be a somewhat detailed psychoanalytic evolutionary profile of the u.s. (one might ask who am I to do so which is fair comment to which I would reply, read it, or not, your choice). However, for the nonce, let me say that the it is no small coincidence that the 20th century has been dubbed ‘the american century’. That the 20th century has been considered the bloodiest is at once the natural concomitant of the foregoing reality. Keeping in mind the so-called ‘selective’ processes in both insurance (adverse) and evolutionary (Darwinian) terms, and as well, the psychology of it all from a behavioral perspective, america has indeed evolved. From the genocide of indigenous populations, to outlandish propaganda in support of same (ie., that ‘manifest destiny’ balderdash with overtones of religiosity spoonfed since elementary school, etc.), to contrived conflict / war, such, euphemistically bad behavior has been reinforced, some of which conditioning not always purposeful, ie., the ever greater frauds perpetrated on wall street for which there have been in large part no real punitive consequences to the perpetrators; but, to the contrary, great financial rewards though substantially detrimental to the majority. Despite the surface appeal, that oft asserted ‘blue-blood’ distinction doesn’t pass muster. Aside from the few seeking seeking religious freedom (ie., Puritans among some others), most then new americans were such disaffected rejects of their former homelands that desperation at best was motivation for travel to the wilds of the ‘so-called new world’ as opposed to intelligent, rational choice; criminals, mentally ill, the not-so-bright but ruthless populating the new nation in disparate numbers toward the ends consistent with greed and common criminality, corruption, and venality. As of the age of the dinosaurs, the american century has passed into the annals of a history replete with self-generating terrorism within and without (that blowback thing).     DRUDGEREPORT: NATION SHOCKED: CONGRESSWOMAN SHOT IN TUCSON
SCARY FREAK!
THE DEVIL MADE HIM DO IT: TUCSON SHOOTER'S TWISTED SKULL SHRINE...
Described by Classmate as 'Left-Wing Pothead'...
Family of suspect blocks FBI access to house...
Shooter Smirks in Court, Smiles for Mug Shot...
Was registered independent; Didn't vote in Nov. '10 election...
'SHERIFF' BLAMES RUSH LIMBAUGH FOR MASSACRE?
CONGRESSWOMAN READIES GUN CONTROL BILL...
Dem planning bill that would outlaw 'threatening' lawmakers...
...'use language or symbols that could be perceived as inciting violence'

OBAMA FLASHBACK: 'If They Bring a Knife to the Fight, We Bring a Gun'...
SAFEWAY MASSACRE...
   UPDATE...
SLAIN JUDGE WANTED TO TALK TO REP. ABOUT SURGE IN BORDER CRIME...
WIRE...
Suspect scrawled: 'I planned ahead'...
Obsessed With Mind Control...
Described by Classmate as 'Left-Wing Pothead'...
Trade war looming, warns Brazil...

Tensions rise in currency wars...
Pressure on Portugal heightens...

GLOBAL ORDER: Sarkozy takes case to Obama as food prices soar...
Greece borrowing rates hit new record...
Pentagon concerned over China's rapid development of new weapons...

Economists foretell of U.S. decline, China's ascension...
SAFEWAY MASSACRE...
VIDEO...
6 Dead, 12 injured...
Dem Rep. Gabrielle Giffords shot through brain; critical after surgery, doctors 'optimistic'...
Federal Judge Killed...
WIRE...
CAPITOL POLICE URGES CONGRESS TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS...
BOEHNER: 'An attack on one who serves is an attack on all who serve'...

OBAMA: 'UNSPEAKABLE TRAGEDY'...
Gunman ID'ed as Jared Loughner, 22... YOUTUBE...PHOTOS...
Obsessed With Mind Control...
MYSPACE GENERATION: Suspect Says Goodbye Online: 'Please don't be mad at me -- I cannot rest'...
14 decapitated bodies found in Mexico resort city...
NUMBER OF COMBAT INJURIES IN AFGHANISTAN APPROACHES IRAQ-WAR LEVELS...
WIKILEAKS: US demanding our TWITTER account info...

WIKILEAKS demands GOOGLE and FACEBOOK unseal US subpoenas...
New data collected from sensors left on moon in 1971 [ Riiiiight! … and if you’ve seen the beginning of 2001:Space Odyssey (the monolith), you’ve already seen it!  ] ...
Euro Crisis Roars to Forefront...
Portugal's debt worries worsen...
UN warns Greece on anti-migrant fence...
NJ police: Man seeking 'portal to hell' stabbed 2...

]

 

 

Four Financial Farces That Will End in Disaster  Summers ‘At this point the news out of the financial world is more insane than … well, just about anything.

Farce #1: Japan Can Bail Out Anything.

First off, Japan, which has a debt to GDP ratio of 200%, is bailing out Europe, which has a smaller but equally disturbing debt problem. Yes, one broke country (Japan) is now trying to bail out an entire economic union, despite the fact that it hasn't succeeded in managing its own finances or economy in over 20 years.Indeed, the idea that Japan could bail out anyone when it’s failed to create any substantial economic growth despite spending trillions of yen should give you an idea of just how out of control the entire financial system has become. We are literally in the end game now. Unless Martians come down and start bailing out Earth, the Great Sovereign Default will be in full effect within the next six months.

Farce #2: Inflation Is at 1%.

Meanwhile, Ben Bernanke claims that inflation in the U.S. is at 1%. President Obama has to maintain that this is a fact with a straight face next week when he meets with French President Nicolas Sarkozy, who is witnessing food riots in Algeria due to soaring food prices.The Fed has claimed inflation is under control for months now, proving that its members must not eat food, drive cars, or know how to read. Indeed, in order to ignore rising prices in the U.S., you would literally have to not shop for groceries, not pump gas into your car, not read the newspaper, and not have access to the Internet or any financial news outlet.I sincerely hope that the Fed is not run by folks who fit this description, but after reading the next two farces, I’m not so sure.

Farce #3: QE Is Working.

Various Fed officials have stepped forward to claim that its Quantitative Easing program has worked. Correct me if I’m wrong, but I thought the whole purpose of QE was to lower interest rates.How then do you explain the following? [chart]As you can see, interest rates have soared since the Fed implemented QE 2. It’s not like QE has helped the U.S. economy either; food stamp usage has hit new records since it began.And yet the Fed claims that QE is not only working, but we need more of it. However, even that farce pales compared to the next and final financial farce of today’s essay.

Farce #4: The Folks Managing the Fed’s QE Efforts Have No Investing Experience.

Then, of course, there’s the recent revelation that the Fed’s monetary policies involving the purchasing of trillions of U.S. Treasuries are in the hands of folks aged 26, 29, and 34, none of whom have any investing experience whatsoever.And they’re in charge of buying up trillions in U.S. debt.If, at this point, it’s not clear that the entire financial system is not a disaster waiting to happen, then I don’t know what else to say. Indeed, our entire system is built on fraud and managed by folks who don’t know what they’re doing. And if you think they’ll steer us to safety, consider that around the globe we’re already beginning to see signs of systemic collapse.Indeed, I believe we are in fact on the verge of another round of deflation which will take prices down across the board as the U.S. dollar rallies. However, this period will be short-lived as it will be followed by a U.S. dollar collapse soon after.At that point, the next stage is the paper currency collapse, the stage at which inflation accelerates as the U.S. dollar collapses, destroying purchasing power while inflation hedges explode higher.Some, like the most popular picks (gold and silver bullion), will record strong gains. However, others (the ones that 99.9% of the investment world are currently clueless about), will go absolutely parabolic.’

 

 

Volume Still Incredibly Weak: Dave's Daily - ‘Words fail me frankly, but I'll attempt a posting here knowing volume remains incredibly weak as markets are supported primarily by Ben's POMO activities. As the Fed was buying 5-year bonds, the Treasury was selling 3-year notes--um, left hand, right hand. Markets did get a boost early by an upgrade of HPQ by UBS combined with easing tensions in the habitually troubled euro zone. To the latter, the Japanese said they'd be buyers of euro zone debt to show support for the region. Trouble is, will the EU reciprocate? Alcoa's earnings report, complex as always, was greeted by some selling. Verizon announced it would feature the iPhone which led to some light selling of VZ and AAPL--such is the level of conviction currently…’

 

 

 

Janney Technical Analyst Sees 3-5% Correction In S&P 500 'Looming'  Coleman ‘Janney Capital Markets’ technical analyst Dan Wantrobski sent a note to clients Tuesday afternoon saying that he’s moved into the bear’s camp.A 3-5% correction on the S&P 500 index is “looming,” he added, with the first stop being the benchmark’s 50-day moving average.The S&P 500’s 50-day moving average, an often-mentioned short-term indicator, is currently sitting at 1228, says the analyst.

His main points include:

  • Major technical indicators are not only sending signals of being overbought, but key metrics are already starting to “roll-over.”
  • Few bears can be found as main street investors move off the sidelines from fixed income to equities.
  • Recent margin interest on the NYSE shows a large two-month spike. That suggests, according to Wantrobski, more investors are “leveraging up.”
  • Small - and mid- cap indexes both have made lower ‘lows’ and higher ‘highs’ in the past few days as the large-cap focused S&P 500 tested the 1276-1278 range. “We think this is a sign of breadth deterioration,” Wantrobski wrote.
  • The ‘fear index’ measuring volatility moves of futures tracking the S&P 500, or the VIX, appears oversold.

“The VIX has hit levels that in the past two years accompanied corrections in the market. True, the VIX could actually breakdown and head even lower from here- but if it holds support at 15 (currently it’s 17.06), it would suggestive of a market turn, in our opinion,” Wantrobski wrote.

The worst positioned sectors, he finds, are (with a representative ETF): Retail (XRT), Consumer Staples (XLP), Telecom (IYZ) and Gold (GLD).Of course, a close proxy for the blue chip benchmark is the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY).’

 


Sam Stovall: Extreme Bullishness a Concern - Stocks Will Probably Correct Levy ‘Sam Stovall is chief investment strategist at Standard & Poor’s Equity Research as well as the author of The Seven Rules of Wall Street and the column Stovall's Sector Watch, a page on Spoutlook.com.

Harlan Levy: How do you rate the jobs situation, and what are the implications for this year?

Sam Stovall: I was disappointed from a payroll perspective but was encouraged from an unemployment rate standpoint. What’s more I was encouraged to see a decline in the number of the underemployed, because it implies that the drop in the unemployment rate was not due to job seekers giving up in frustration.

However, the jobs situation is still the biggest impediment to the stock market’s performance in 2011. S&P Chief Econoist David Wyss continues to believe that unemployment will likely remain above 9 percent for all of 2011 and that this will remain a jobless economic and stock market recovery.

If, however, we find that the payroll picture improves more rapidly than anticipated, we believe the upward trajectory in economic and market performance will accelerate.

H.L.: The level of investor optimism about the stock market seems extreme these days. How bullish are you on stocks?

S.S.: I do think that the extreme level of investor optimism is something to be concerned about in the near term, but it does not stop me from being optimistic for the longer term. The recent spate of better-than-expected economic reports combined with the still strong forecasted increase in earnings supports the seasonal tendency for the S&P 500 to be strong in both the January and the first-quarter of a president’s third year in office.

That said, the stock market usually gives investors a second opportunity to get back in at lower prices. By that I mean since World War II 89 percent of the time the S&P 500 has been lower at some point in the new year as compared with the closing level of the prior year. Of course, past performance is no guarantee of future results, and this year’s market action might fail to take a breather, but I doubt it. So I don’t think it’s wise to be chasing returns right now, because nearly nine times out of every 10 the market in the new year trades about 9 percent below the closing level of the prior year.

H.L.: Has the stock market priced in the massive debts of the states and cities and towns?

S.S.: That’s a very good question. I’m not really sure. The market seems to go back and forth between fear and complacency as it relates to debt on a variety of levels, be it sovereign, state, local, or personal. When it comes to the states’ debts, they’re facing monumental obligations that they may have a very hard time fulfilling. California is certainly substantially larger than the economies of Greece and Ireland, and if you add Illinois to the equation, there would be substantial reason to be worried should these states default on their obligations.

Based on the absence of meaningful discussion of a potential default, that leads me to believe that the market does not expect default to be a likely outcome. I’m worried that we’re putting it on the back burner, but it’s obviously not affecting the market. It’s the outlook of the bears versus the outlook of the bulls. Bears focus on structural problems , things that take years to materialize, whereas bulls tend to look at nearer term events and basically say the trend is my friend until it ends. Chances are the bears will eventually be proved correct, but people ignore the bears because it takes so long. By then a lot of people have just stopped listening. I don’t know that they should not be ignoring it. The market tends to evaluate everything and attempts to put it in perspective. Sometimes they’re wrong -- like when it came to housing and the financial crisis -- and they might be ignoring it currently at their own peril later on.

That’s why I always think it’s wise to use both fundamental and technical analysis, since fundamentals tell you what and technicals tell you when. Right now the fundamentals are positive from a mainstream Gross Domestic Product perspective as well as a corporate earnings standpoint, but there are a lot of potential pitfalls from housing, unemployment, and debt that may yet materialize. Technically speaking, however, the trend is still our friend and implies further upside. Should these worries be moved from the back burner to the front burner once again, the charts will likely give us advanced warning.

H.L.: What sectors of the economy look healthy and which don’t?

S.S.: All sectors of the S&P 500 are expected to post positive year-over year results in the fourth quarter of 2010 as well as the full year of 2010 and in 2011. The strongest earnings increases in 2011 are likely to be seen in the cyclical areas of the economy, such as industrials, technology, energy, and materials.

The defensive areas, which are also typically slow-growth areas, are likely to be just that, the laggards in corporate profit growth this year.

H.L.: Will the dollar stay strong, and if so is that bad for stocks, the way it recently has been?

S.S.: The dollar may decline from a technical perspective in the near term as it undulates between support and resistance, yet should the U.S. economy continue to improve and interest rates gradually work their way higher, that would likely cause the dollar to remain firm rather than force it into a renewed downward direction. It’s neither good nor bad, because investors will look at the firmer dollar as a confirmation that our economy is improving.

H.L.: Now that the Republicans are in control of the House of Representatives, will their promises of massive spending cuts and elimination of business regulations end up killing the recovery?

S.S.: We believe that because the Democrats still control the Senate that we probably won’t see the steamrolling effect of the Republican-controlled House and its impact on spending cuts that people worry about materializing in 2011. They will still have to get a buy-in from the Democrats. So it may curtail increased spending, but it probably won’t lead to draconian spending cuts.’



The Three Biggest Risks in Today's Market  Leeb ‘Last week I sat down with some fellow market players for an extended conversation about the opportunities and risks investors face today. The most productive questions we asked ourselves were “What could go wrong in 2011 and beyond?” and “What can we do about it?” Of the many possible disasters that emerged, here are my top three candidates.

  • RISK #1: GERMANY AND THE EURO. Germany is the strongest economy within Europe at the moment. Ironically, it's also the nation that would suffer the worst from any break-up of either the EU or the euro.

This is more than just a case of “the bigger they are, the harder they fall.” We’ve said before that Germany's greatest advantage today is its participation in the euro. Having its currency tied to many smaller and weaker European nations effectively gives Germany the most undervalued currency among developed nations. In terms of the German economy, the euro is more undervalued than even the Chinese yuan. Such a cheap currency gives Germany an edge in selling exports to other nations.

Of course, whenever you take advantage of a situation, you become vulnerable to any change in it. Germany has certainly taken advantage of the weak euro: Exports now make up 40% of the German economy and virtually all of its growth is export-driven.

If the euro were to break up, Germany would be forced to adopt a new currency that would be valued fairly on the world stage. Its exports would plunge, sending its economy into a deep recession. Such an event could provoke disharmony if not separatist movements among the 16 states that make up the German republic. (Let's recall that economic illness in Germany once led to the rise of Hitler and World War II.) The risk is that a serious German recession could cause a return of the pre-Bismarck era when competition among states made war commonplace within Europe.

Equally worrying is Germany's trade balance with China. Before 2009, China was the only significant country with which Germany ran a deficit. Now that deficit has become a surplus, but the change is not a positive, since it is the result of Germany's decision to sell high-tech goods to China.

As has happened before, China will likely seize upon the opportunity to re-engineer Germany's technology, create its own high-tech product lines, and export them at cheaper prices. Germany could then lose another big advantage.

Of course, neither of these potential events would be worse for Germany than the break-up of the EU itself. We doubt this will happen, at least not for some time, because it would take a policy mistake of gigantic proportions. The member states have a strong motivation to keep the EU together and avoid the depression that would surely follow. Nonetheless, mistakes have been made before.

  • RISK #2: OIL. As we pointed out last week, rather than thinking about whenthe world's oil will run out, we should instead think about when supply/demand pressure forces prices to escalate. Looking at oil prices as a function of demand, we see a curve that is notably convex. That is, every small increase in demand or small drop in production leads to a sharply higher oil price.

For instance, today we have a short-term interruption of the Trans-Alaskan oil pipeline which affects less than 1% of the world's oil supply. Yet it has resulted in a 1.5% jump in oil prices.

Any unexpected increase in oil demand from China or the other developing nations, or another unexpected drop in production, could send oil prices to the moon. It would be a replay of 2008, with an equally disastrous deflationary end.

We assume you are well enough off to withstand a jump in gasoline prices without a serious decline in your lifestyle. However, there are millions of Americans with incomes under $60,000 a year who could not tolerate $5 a gallon gasoline without cutting back spending in other areas. Falling consumer spending could spell curtains for the recovery.

  • RISK #3: LOSS OF THE AMERICAN DREAM. Though we talk a lot about China, it’s only because we love America and hate to see other nations taking the right measures while our leaders fall behind in their duty. Recently, two articles in the New York Times made us aware of yet another area where the U.S. is missing the boat that China is catching.

The first article discussed how much easier it is for a young person to get into a top U.S. college if one of their parents went there. In fact, the legacy advantage gives people a 7X greater likelihood of admission.

We need not remind you that the American Dream was that anyone, regardless of their background, could achieve success through hard work and/or natural talent. It was the dream of creating a meritocracy, where the biggest rewards go to the individuals who most deserve them. By contrast, the legacy advantage rewards people for simply having the right parents. It is a step towards creating a hereditary upper class, or a plutocracy – exactly the opposite of what America is all about.

China, on the other hand, doles out opportunities to young people according to how well they score on tests. The second NYT article, written by Nicholas Kristof, discussed Hou Yifan, a 16-year-old Chinese girl from a poor background who is now the top female chess player in the world. Hou's talent was supported by training and financing from the Chinese government. Kristof's point, which we agree with, is that China invests in talent, regardless of its origins.

China's government may not be democratic, but it is built upon the principles of a meritocracy. It recruits and nurtures the brightest and the best. Consequently, Xi Jinping, China's heir apparent to current leader Hu Jintao, started his career as a farm laborer. His father was a poor tea trader who spent 16 years in prison for his politics. (Offhand, we don't recall the last U.S. President who came from such humble beginnings. Certainly, there have been very few since Andrew Jackson.) Suffice it to say that fewer U.S. leaders today have come from poor backgrounds than ever before - which suggests that many highly talented young people are finding the doorway to the American Dream barred against them.

If the U.S. is to retain its standing in the world, we need to get our act together. We need to make sure the best talent is nurtured and rewarded, not wasted. We need to maintain leadership in vital technologies. We need to rethink political correctness (that is, we need to embrace ideas that are true regardless whether they serve vested interests).

As Defense Secretary Gates learned on his recent visit to China, the country has the flexibility to expand its military while the U.S. is now looking at cutbacks. China is also planning to spend $1.5 trillion on new high-tech industries that will increase its energy supplies and efficiency. The only solution the U.S. seems willing to consider is more offshore drilling. We must stop being so complacent.

Meanwhile, so long as we are looking at convex curves in not only oil prices but also copper and other commodities, we will continue to invest for the next exponential advance. Gold remains the safest long-term investment you can make today as a hedge against deflation and inflation. Buy either gold stocks or bullion ETFs.’



Could the U.S. central bank go broke? Reuters | The U.S. Federal Reserve’s journey to the outer limits of monetary policy is raising concerns about how hard it will be to withdraw trillions of dollars in stimulus from the banking system when the time is right.

 

Fed’s bond-buying could soon backfire: Plosser The U.S. Federal Reserve’s aggressive bond-buying plan could soon backfire unless the central bank gradually changes course to head off inflation, a top Fed official known for his hawkish stance said on Tuesday.

 

Toward Sensible Monetary Policy Last week the 112th Congress was sworn in. I am pleased that I will be chairing the Monetary Policy Subcommittee of the Financial Services Committee, which has oversight of the Federal Reserve. Obviously, this position will facilitate my efforts to ensure the Fed provides the American people with more information about what they have been doing with and to our money

 

‘Not Owning Gold is a Form of Insanity’: Chartist Gold will eventually rally exponentially and investors who don’t own the precious metal are “insane,” and may be showing “masochistic tendencies,” Robin Griffiths, technical strategist at Cazenove Capital, told CNBC.

 

Virginia Creates Subcommittee To Study Monetary Alternatives In Case Of Terminal Fed “Breakdown”, Considers Gold As Option In what may one day be heralded as the formal proposal that proverbially started it all, the Commonwealth of Virginia introduced House Resolution No. 557 to establish a joint subcommittee to “to study whether the Commonwealth should adopt a currency to serve as an alternative to the currency distributed by the Federal Reserve System in the event of a major breakdown of the Federal Reserve System.”

 

 

Gold prices at record amid reports of dollar’s demise Guardian.co.uk | Reports of secret talks over ending the dollar pricing of oil and money flows into commodities as fears of inflation grow.

 

America’s housing bubble still deflating Guardian.co.uk| As they failed to spot the bubble, most economists seem oblivious of the threat of further market falls to come.

 

National / World

 

 

DHS Ties Arizona Attack to “Lone Wolf” Terrorism Kurt Nimmo | DHS and the FBI sent bulletin to local law enforcement after Rep. Giffords and others were shot in Arizona.

 

 

Liberal Media was Already Prepared for Violence in Tucson Matt Ryan | The terrible shooting in Tucson, Arizona was the act of a 22-year-old that was immediately profiled as a tea party member.

 

Another Mass Animal Die-off Jason Douglass | Thousand of gizzard shad dying along the Chicago lakefront.

 

Gun Grabbing Congress Critters Come Out of Woodwork After Giffords Shooting Kurt Nimmo | Statist gun-grabbers will not rest until the Second Amendment is stricken from the Bill of Rights.

 

Tone Down The Rhetoric… Mr President The use of words and phrases like “take aim”, “reload” and “shoot down”, despite their metaphorical intention, is to blame for the random act of violence committed by one psychopath in Arizona on Sunday, according to scores of frothing media hacks and political lawmakers. If this is so why not highlight a speech given by then presidential candidate Obama in 2008, in which he triumphantly stated “If They Bring a Knife to the Fight, We Bring a Gun”?

 

WikiLeaks chief: Charge Palin, Huckabee with ‘incitements to kill’ The editor-in-chief of WikiLeaks called on US authorities to seek charges against high-profile Republicans Sarah Palin and Mike Huckabee for “incitements to kill” by the use of “violent rhetoric” against the anti- secrecy outlet.

 

Arizona Sheriff Dever Says Killer Alone Is Responsible for Shooting; ‘Frightening’ to ‘Lay Blame on Anyone Else’s Doorstep’ Cochise County Sheriff Larry Dever said he does not understand why his friend and colleague, Pima County Sheriff Clarence Dupnik, would suggest at a news conference following Saturday’s shooting in Tucson that political ideology played a role in the tragedy.

 

Pima County Sheriff Dupnik Blamed Right Wing for Slaughter But Details Emerge of Multiple Contacts between Jared Loughner and the Sheriffs office over Multiple Death Threats Only the left can get away with pointing their bloody fingers at everyone else.

 

Backup Communications System Was ‘Miraculously’ Switched on for ‘Exercise Mode’ and Ready for Use on 9/11  [ It is also especially noteworthy that NORAD was ordered to stand down that day! ] ]A special backup network that allows communications between government and military agencies to continue during emergencies was “miraculously” switched on the day before 9/11, and so was already operational when the terrorist attacks in New York and at the Pentagon took place.

 

 

Establishment Ignores Violent Rhetoric From Eco-Leftists While the establishment has invoked the supposed threat of vitriolic “right-wing rhetoric” as a tool with which to bludgeon freedom of speech in response to the Tucson shootings, it has conspired to sweep under the carpet far more extreme and threatening language and images used by leftists in the context of the climate change debate, rhetoric that has led directly to crimes and murders.

 

WikiLeaks: Julian Assange ‘faces execution or Guantánamo detention’ Julian Assange, the founder of WikiLeaks, could be at “real risk” of the death penalty or detention in Guantánamo Bay if he is extradited to Sweden on accusations of rape and sexual assault, his lawyers claim.

 

US could be in Afghanistan after 2014, says Biden US Vice President Joe Biden said Tuesday that the United States will not withdraw its troops from Afghanistan completely in 2014 if Afghans did not want his country to do so.

 

Judge Sides With GATA, Orders Fed To Present Her With Its Classified Gold Records For Private Review Our friends at GATA report an interesting development in its multi-year confrontation with the Fed, namely that the organization has “scored a small but perhaps auspicious victory over the Federal Reserve in our lawsuit seeking access to the Fed’s secret gold files.

 

Gerald Celente: Internet nuke bomb waiting to go off Gerald Celente, the founder of the Trends Research Institute, believes that the Internet will empower the youth of the world to unite to start a revolution that will overthrow the existing deadlocked elitist establishment. He predicts that in 2011 every citizen is going to realize that the Great Recession the world has been living through is actually a Great Depression, because the American establishment is “running out of schemes.”

 

William Daley’s JP Morgan Stock: Obama’s Next Chief Of Staff Has Millions Invested President Barack Obama’s next chief of staff holds more than $7.6 million worth of stock in JPMorgan Chase, according to a regulatory filing.

 

‘CIA-created Frankenstein’: US turns blind eye on terrorist? A former CIA operative, who’s wanted in Venezuela and Cuba for terrorist attacks throughout Latin America, has gone on trial in the U.S. But that’s not why Luis Posada Carriles is in court. Instead, he’s being charged with lying to immigration officers. RT’s Jihan Hafiz looks at why the U.S. is turning a blind eye to an alleged terrorist.

 

Islamic group is CIA front, ex-Turkish intel chief says Washington Post | A memoir by a top former Turkish intelligence official claims that a worldwide moderate Islamic movement based in Pennsylvania has been providing cover for the CIA since the mid-1990s.

 

 

WikiLeaks: Julian Assange ‘faces execution or Guantánamo detention’ Guardian | Skeleton argument outlined by Australian’s defence team claims he could face rendition to US if extradited to Sweden.

 

Iran claims to have smashed ‘Mossad spy ring’ The Telegraph UK | Iran claims it has broken up a ‘Mossad ring’ allegedly behind the murder of an Iranian nuclear scientist in Tehran last year.

 

U.S. Embassy Turned a Blind Eye as Suspected CIA Banker Allen Stanford Bilked Investors, Secret Cables Reveal IntelDaily.com | Secret Cables Reveals U.S. Embassy Provided Political Cover to Suspected CIA Banker Allen Stanford while he expanded his empire.

 

israeli warplanes in fresh strikes on Gaza killing freedom seeking civilians: witnesses (AFP) yet amazingly, the Christ-killers say as per netanayahu: Palestinians 'walking away' from peace (AFP)

 

Drudgereport: SILENCE: RI Gov. bans state employees from speaking on talkradio...
Dem Congressman: If Violent Rhetoric Didn't Cause This Shooting -- It Will Cause Next One!
BILL CLINTON: 'WE NEED TO BE CAREFUL ABOUT THINGS WE SAY' … [ How about, OR DO! ] ...
OBAMA FLASHBACK: 'If They Bring a Knife to the Fight, We Bring a Gun'...
Dem rep urging 'civility' had called for FL guv candidate to be shot...

NEW PUSH FOR 'FAIRNESS DOCTRINE'...
MSNBC Matthews Cites Radio Stars Mark Levin, Michael Savage As Reason For AZ Shooting...
Dem Senator Fundraises Off Murders...
PISTOL SALES SURGE AFTER AZ SHOOTING

Snow in 49 states including Hawaii…[Sounds like that ‘Global Warming Thing’…Riiiiight!] ...
Bank of China Brings Yuan Trading to USA...

China Stealth Test Upstages Gates, Hu...
France our biggest ally, declares Obama: President's blow to Special Relationship with Britain...

Sarkozy to be subject of 'hugely embarrassing' film...

 

 

 

Merger would create largest U.S. utility (Washington Post) [ Well, sounds like a plan. That trend to ‘bigger the better’ / too big to fail thing. Down only a penny in today’s trading. I’d call that a vote of confidence by fraudulent wall street. Why, you can almost hear the wall street frauds cheering to the tune of that familiar cheer, ‘We must, we must … increase the nation’s potential economic bust … the bigger the better, the lesser the vetter … the better the government boys will like us.!  ]  Duke Energy announces a $13.7 billion merger deal with Raleigh, N.C.-based Progress Energy.

 

 

Watchdog over Afghan reconstruction resigns (Washington Post) [ Wow! Sounds like he really meant business … which also meant, congress ‘hearing footsteps’ so to speak, that he had to go. After all, applying a stringent standard that promises to do something about fraud and corruption is a standard that would threaten the entire u.s. government … all three branches.  ] Arnold Fields, the head of the office charged with investigating corruption in the multibillion-dollar effort to rebuild Afghanistan has resigned, the White House said, following congressional demands that he be replaced.

 

 

Government contractor ATS shifts gears (Washington Post) [  Now granted … this is northern virginia, alphabet soup kitchen territory (part of the Washington d.c. governement mob)… rivaled in corruption only by such other pervasively mob infested states as jersey (multi-ethnic mob), new york (Italian, jewish, irish, wall street), Connecticut (whatever new york and d.c. says, mob), California (multi-ethnic mob, young gangs movin’ up, local government / bureaucracies mob), and of course the corrupt courts in all 5, but there’s somethin’ strange in the neighborhood here. I mean, 1 weak or I mean 1 week tenure and probably want to just give him some money.  "We need to do something to get those shareholders replaced by other shareholders - whether it be one big shareholder or several smaller ones," said Bersoff, ‘who was the company's previous chief executive.’ This is the first statement of its kind I’ve ever encountered in modern day finance, such as it is. Then there’s that ‘government contractor thing’. Could it be that the michael corleones of the cia want to ‘legitimize’ their enterprises which have included illicit drugs, arms, etc.? All we really know is that Sidney … Fuchs. ] CEO Sidney E. Fuchs resigns as the company announces its intention to pursue strategic alternatives, including a possible sale.

 

 

 

China as Europe's white knight?  (Washington Post) [  White knight? I don’t think so. Yellow night and day, I think yes. Not to impugn their motives, but the Book of Ecclesiastes said it well: "What has been is what will be, and what has been done is what will be done; and there is nothing new under the sun"

·  Heartland Diary of Betty B.: Confessions of an Economic Hit Man

Jun 18, 2007 ... John Perkins' career as an economic hit man (EHM) has taken him all over the globe. He details his activities as an EHM in his best-seller ...
heartlanddiaryofbettyb.blogspot.com/.../confessions-of-economic-hit-man.html   - Cached - Similar

·  Confessions of an Economic Hit Man - Cobb

Mar 23, 2007 ... Confessions of an Economic Hitman by John Perkins is an exclamation point riddled history of a few financial manipulations of the Cold War ...
cobb.typepad.com/cobb/2007/03/confessions_of_.html - Cached - Similar

·  Daily Kos: NPR: Confessions of an Economic Hit Man

Aug 9, 2006 ... rustydude's diary :: :: The reason I bring it up within the ..... I am thrilled to hear all this support for the Economic Hit Man book since ...
www.dailykos.com/story/2006/8/10/04532/7753 - Cached - Similar

·  Cinema Libre Acquires 'Economic Hit Man' | TheWrap.com

Jul 13, 2010 ... In 2008, Greek writer/director Stelios Koul made a documentary about Perkins entitled “Diary of an Economic Hit Man.” ...
www.thewrap.com/.../cinema-libre-acquires-economic-hit-man-19179 - Cached

 

 

] Traders are speculating that cash-rich China may step in and buy hard-hit European bonds.

 

 

Will: Half-baked explanations for tragedy (Washington Post) [ Half-baked? Charlatans? The foregoing are in no short supply in defacto bankrupt, meaningfully lawless, pervasively corrupt, fraud prevalent america. See, for example, RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm     . Moreover, Mr. Will as an oftimes apologist for war criminal, pervasively fraud-prone, defacto bankrupt, etc., america, with crime rates exceeding by far those of any other so-called civilized nations, might indeed find himself among those he’s so categorized. Among the last separate page sections to my website will be a somewhat detailed psychoanalytic evolutionary profile of the u.s. (one might ask who am I to do so which is fair comment to which I would reply, read it, or not, your choice). However, for the nonce, let me say that the it is no small coincidence that the 20th century has been dubbed ‘the american century’. That the 20th century has been considered the bloodiest is at once the natural concomitant of the foregoing reality. Keeping in mind the so-called ‘selective’ processes in both insurance (adverse) and evolutionary (Darwinian) terms, and as well, the psychology of it all from a behavioral perspective, america has indeed evolved. From the genocide of indigenous populations, to outlandish propaganda in support of same (ie., that ‘manifest destiny’ balderdash with overtones of religiosity spoonfed since elementary school, etc.), to contrived conflict / war, such, euphemistically bad behavior has been reinforced, some of which conditioning not always purposeful, ie., the ever greater frauds perpetrated on wall street for which there have been in large part no real punitive consequences to the perpetrators; but, to the contrary, great financial rewards though substantially detrimental to the majority. Despite the surface appeal, that oft asserted ‘blue-blood’ distinction doesn’t pass muster. Aside from the few seeking seeking religious freedom (ie., Puritans among some others), most then new americans were such disaffected rejects of their former homelands that desperation at best was motivation for travel to the wilds of the ‘so-called new world’ as opposed to intelligent, rational choice; criminals, mentally ill, the not-so-bright but ruthless populating the new nation in disparate numbers toward the ends consistent with greed and common criminality, corruption, and venality. As of the age of the dinosaurs, the american century has passed into the annals of a history replete with self-generating terrorism within and without (that blowback thing).     DRUDGEREPORT: NATION SHOCKED: CONGRESSWOMAN SHOT IN TUCSON
SCARY FREAK!
THE DEVIL MADE HIM DO IT: TUCSON SHOOTER'S TWISTED SKULL SHRINE...
Described by Classmate as 'Left-Wing Pothead'...
Family of suspect blocks FBI access to house...
Shooter Smirks in Court, Smiles for Mug Shot...
Was registered independent; Didn't vote in Nov. '10 election...
'SHERIFF' BLAMES RUSH LIMBAUGH FOR MASSACRE?
CONGRESSWOMAN READIES GUN CONTROL BILL...
Dem planning bill that would outlaw 'threatening' lawmakers...
...'use language or symbols that could be perceived as inciting violence'

OBAMA FLASHBACK: 'If They Bring a Knife to the Fight, We Bring a Gun'...
SAFEWAY MASSACRE...
   UPDATE...
SLAIN JUDGE WANTED TO TALK TO REP. ABOUT SURGE IN BORDER CRIME...
WIRE...
Suspect scrawled: 'I planned ahead'...
Obsessed With Mind Control...
Described by Classmate as 'Left-Wing Pothead'...
Trade war looming, warns Brazil...

Tensions rise in currency wars...
Pressure on Portugal heightens...

GLOBAL ORDER: Sarkozy takes case to Obama as food prices soar...
Greece borrowing rates hit new record...
Pentagon concerned over China's rapid development of new weapons...

Economists foretell of U.S. decline, China's ascension...
SAFEWAY MASSACRE...
VIDEO...
6 Dead, 12 injured...
Dem Rep. Gabrielle Giffords shot through brain; critical after surgery, doctors 'optimistic'...
Federal Judge Killed...
WIRE...
CAPITOL POLICE URGES CONGRESS TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS...
BOEHNER: 'An attack on one who serves is an attack on all who serve'...

OBAMA: 'UNSPEAKABLE TRAGEDY'...
Gunman ID'ed as Jared Loughner, 22... YOUTUBE...PHOTOS...
Obsessed With Mind Control...
MYSPACE GENERATION: Suspect Says Goodbye Online: 'Please don't be mad at me -- I cannot rest'...
14 decapitated bodies found in Mexico resort city...
NUMBER OF COMBAT INJURIES IN AFGHANISTAN APPROACHES IRAQ-WAR LEVELS...
WIKILEAKS: US demanding our TWITTER account info...

WIKILEAKS demands GOOGLE and FACEBOOK unseal US subpoenas...
New data collected from sensors left on moon in 1971 [ Riiiiight! … and if you’ve seen the beginning of 2001:Space Odyssey (the monolith), you’ve already seen it!  ] ...
Euro Crisis Roars to Forefront...
Portugal's debt worries worsen...
UN warns Greece on anti-migrant fence...
NJ police: Man seeking 'portal to hell' stabbed 2...

 

 

Options Data Suggests Topping Action - ‘What the market's rally lacks in charisma, it has made up in persistence. The stair-step, creeping type of an up grind is lulling investors to sleep as we speak. Steady and seemingly risk-free gains have rekindled optimism and created a state of euphoria not seen in years ... since late 2007 to be exact.The irony of this article is that few investors will feel compelled to read anything that resembles a warning or contains a bearish message. The few that read this piece will probably scoff at it. That's how bear market rallies work and that's why they are effective.The soothing rhythm of the VIX (NYSEArca: VXX - News) has lulled investors into a state of complacency. If you had to describe investor's alertness in sleep lingo, a state of REM sleep would probably be the closest comparison.History tells us that the (bear) market only strikes when least expected.Based on analyst polls by Bloomberg, Barron's, USA Today and a variety of sentiment measures, a stock market (NYSEArca: VTI - News) decline is as remote today as it was in 2000 or 2007.

Hedging Activity Drops

Investors and traders are content to hold on to massive long positions without hedge. One of the easiest ways to hedge your stock portfolio is via put options. Last week the CBOE Equity Put/Call Ratio dropped to 0.4, the lowest reading since April 15, 2010.The lack of hedging is dangerous for prices because the market is without a safety net. The only option for spooked investors without hedge is to sell. Selling causes prices to drop.On April 16, 2010, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter warned of the consequences of a low put/call ratio: 'Selling results in more selling. This negative feedback loop usually results in rapidly falling prices. The pieces are in place for a major decline. We are simply waiting for the proverbial first domino to fall over and set off a chain reaction.'The first domino dropped just a few days later, setting off the May 6 'Flash Crash' and ultimately resulted in a swift 15% correction for the Dow (DJI: ^DJI), 17% correction for the S&P (SNP: ^GSPC), 19% for the Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC), and 21% for the Russell 2000 (NYSEArca: IWM - News).A different measure of complacency is the premium traders willingness to pay for call options (bullish bets). Based on a three-month average, the price for put options (bearish bets) is near a 10-year low. The only other time that rivals current readings was in 2007.

This Time is Different

The spirit of 'this time is different' is one of the most fascinating phenomenons known to Wall Street. Investors' sentiment follows the ebb and flow of stock prices. When prices are up, the future is expected to be bright. When prices are down, the future is supposedly bleak (just think of the 2007 peak and 2009 bottom).This approach of linear extrapolations feeds the herding mentality, which contrarians use as effective indicators. This approach is not foolproof but, nevertheless, is one of the most accurate, if not the most accurate timing tool known to underground Wall Street aficionadosThe chart below (taken from the January 2011 ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter) illustrates the four most prominent occurrences of extreme optimism, or the 'this time is different' effect. The green line connects the price of the S&P with the timeline and various sentiment gauges. [chart] Investors thought 'this time is different' at the 2007 peak, in May 2008, in January 2010, and again in April 2010. The only thing different at all four times was the velocity of the descent, but each period of euphoria was greeted by despair.

Optimism and Bad News

If you had a chance to watch CNBC's 60 Minutes over the past two weeks, you are aware of some possible 'Black Swan' events.Scott Pelley's introduction to Ben Bernanke's interview couldn't have been more sobering: 'That is the worst recovery we've ever seen. Ben Bernanke is concerned. Chairmen of the Fed rarely do interviews, but this week Bernanke feels he has to speak out because he believes his critics may not understand how much trouble the economy is in.'The financial media, however, ignored Ben Bernanke's sobering assessment of the economy and focused on the silver lining: A bad economy may lead to QE3 and its cousins QE4 and QE5. What's better, an improving economy or more QE? Apparently QE is just as good as more jobs.Another 60 Minutes focused on the next big thing; Municipal and state defaults. In the two years since the 'Great Recession,' states have collectively spent nearly half a trillion dollars more than they collected. There's a trillion dollar hole in their public pension fund and according to New Jersey's Governor, the day of reckoning is near.Meredith Whitney, one of the few analysts who foresaw the bubble building in banks (NYSEArca: KBE - News) and financials (NYSEArca: XLF - News) believes at least part of the three trillion municipal bond market will unravel within the next year.For much of 2010 municipal bonds were brewing their own little bubble. As it is common with bubbles, they are rarely foreseen by the public eye. In the case of muni bonds, yield hungry investors ignored the red flags.On August 26, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter warned that it is time to get out of muni bonds, corporate bonds and Treasuries. Muni-bonds topped on August 26 and have since given up more than two years worth of gains.

History Rhymes

Yes, history doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes. In 2007, Merrill Lynch's Global Economics Report foresaw a bright future: 'The Merrill Lynch global economics team believes that the economy will continue to grow in 2007 - with no sign of a significant cyclical slowdown.'According to J.P. Morgan, Barclays Capital and Goldman Sachs (Merrill Lynch failed to foresee its own demise in 2007 and is no more), the S&P will gain between 15 - 20% in 2011 and the 'economy will continue to grow in 2011.'Perhaps this time will be different, but based on history, now is the time to at least be cautious and protect your investments. An ounce of protection is worth more than a pound of cure. Based on long-term valuation metrics the stock market is priced to deliver pain, not gain (see November 2011 ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter for a detailed analysis).Based on sentiment, the market is overheated and due for a correction at the very least, and how often have we seen a correction turn into something more? Timing a top is tricky, but based on support and resistance levels and seasonal patterns it is possible to narrow down when the market is ready to roll over.The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter includes the next resistance likely to mark the end of this rally and important structural support. A close below this important support level will probably break the bulls' spirit and the market's streak.’

 

 

Can the Unshortable Market Be Shorted? [ I do not consider short-selling an investment strategy, but rather a speculation that is only for the extremely few, lucky  and hence successful speculators who are also capable and prepared to lose more than their investment principal.] TraderMark ‘I have called this the unshortable market for many months as it acts very strangely. Again it is not so much the move up that is strange as the total inability for even short-term pitstops in the months of September, October, December and thus far January. November was an outlier event due to Ireland ...save for those headline events, I am sure November would have acted similar to the other months. Frankly, as a contrarian, when you hear people talking about unshortable markets you want to fade that...but doing so the past many months would have ripped your face off. So do we just give up until Jul 1 and QE2 ends? I doubt it will be that convenient. During QE1, there were at least a few pullbacks...summer 09 comes to mind. Further, almost every strategist now thinks SP 1400 to 1425 is in the bag for year end 2011. The problem is, we are about 10% away from that target just days into the year. Considering there are 11 more first days of the month this year (which are now almost always up) and 51 more Mondays (which lead to morning gap ups about 80% of the time nowadays) that does not leave much leeway for Monday afternoons through Friday for price appreciation. Unless we are headed to a repeat of fed-induced bubble mania circa 1999…’



New Ponzi Scheme: Blame Bernie [ Which one? Which ‘weak end at bernie’s’? Bernie bernanke or madoff? As usual, where’s the DOJ? ‘The SEC seeks an injunction, DISGORGEMENT and civil penalties’. Now note that that disgorgement thing has yet to be applied to the gargantuan frauds on wall street. Indeed, now flush with cash from legislative (mark to anything change in FASB rules) and fed (new bubble) help, the frauds on wall street are cashing out bonuses exceeding $144 billion. For those who think there’s no economic damage attendant to such frauds as those perpetrated by the frauds on wall street which the computer-programmed high-frequencey churn-and-earn continuing as we speak, take further note of this disaster called the defacto bankrupt u.s. economy that the slicker, though less blatant than the fraud that follows which pales in comparison to that bailed out by the u.s. taxpayers at great long-term cost to the nation. ] Singer ‘Frankly, it’s becoming a bit of a broken record. According to a Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Complaint filed on January 6, 2010, a number of Defendants perpetrated a Ponzi scheme – yet another such allegation against another group of alleged fraudsters.  Securities and Exchange Commission, Plaintiff, vs. Raymond P. Morris, E & R Holdings, LLC, Wise Financial Holdings, LLC, Momentum Leasing, LLC, James L. Haley, Cornerstone Capital Fund, LLC, Vantage Point Capital, LLC, Jay J. Linford Freedom Group, LLC, and Luc D. Nguyen, Defendants (11CV00021, Utah District Court, January 6, 20100) NOTE: The SEC Complaint contains only allegations. The Defendants are presumed innocent of the charges and it will be the government’s burden to prove the Defendants’ guilt at trial. 

Get Yer Scorecards!

  • Raymond P. Morris (“Morris”), age 42, sole owner of E & R Holdings, Wise Financial, and Momentum. Morris has never been registered with the SEC in any capacity and has never been licensed to sell securities.  Morris formed, owned and operated E & R Holdings, LLC (“E & R Holdings”), Wise Financial Holdings, LLC (“Wise Financial”), and Momentum Leasing, LLC (“Momentum”)
  • James L. Haley (“Haley”) age 49, sole owner of Cornerstone Capital Fund and Vantage Point Capital. Haley has never been registered with the SEC in any capacity and has never been licensed to sell securities.
  • Luc D. Nguyen, (“Nguyen”), age 40, member of the Utah State Bar and was counsel to Morris and Haley at all times relevant to this Complaint. Nguyen has never held any securities licenses and is not registered with the SEC in any capacity.
  • Jay J. Linford (“Linford”), age 49, sole owner of Freedom Group. Linford has never been registered with the SEC in any capacity and has never been licensed to sell securities.

In the Beginning

The Complaint alleges that Morris first approached Haley (who was in a real estate investment group with Morris), about an exclusive investment that was allegdly started by the owner of the Houston Astros and had generated 20% returns per month for nearly eight years.

Wow, that’s too good to pass up, if you ask me – I mean, geez, the Houston Astros owner started it. And, even more compelling, 20% returns for eight years. Hey, no reason to really check any of that out, right?  I mean the Houston Astros are in baseball, and baseball is as American as apple pie, and any deal offering 20% returns that’s so all-American has to be the real thing.  Batter up!Morris allegedly told Haley that this hot investment opportunity is based on a capital leasing concept (the “Fund”).  Once money is invested in the Fund, Morris purportedly represented that the money would be deposited into an account under Morris’s sole control and would never leave the account.Odd how the investors’ cash never quite seems to get directly deposited into these troubled investments but always seems to wind up offshore, in a conduit, or in some account under someone else’s control.  Sort of like when you open a brokerage account and decide to buy 1,000 shares of stock and your stockbroker insists that you write the check for the purchase price made payable to him — why?  Oh, well, if you really have to ask, it’s not for you, he says.  If you must know, he reluctantly confides in you, it’s so that the brokerage firm can first verify that you have the dollars to buy the stock. I’m doing you a favor, he says, by allowing you to first give me the money. That way you don’t have to worry about getting cleared to buy the stock. You can trust me, I’m your stockbroker.

It all sounds a bit more fishy when I put it like that, doesn’t it?

And what supposedly was the point of depositing the investors’ funds into the Morris-controlled account? 

The Complaint alleges that Morris explained to Haley that once investor capital was verified, private traders would obtain large lines of credit and then would invest the proceeds in bonds, hard money lending and small businesses. Morris advised Haley that the return from these investments would be sufficient to guarantee investors a return of 20% per month or more.

Did you get that?

Private traders are out there waiting for those ever-so-urgent phone calls that assure them that cash has been legitimately invested in some account, and once that assurance is given to the private traders, well, you know, they obtain humongous lines of credit. What do the traders do with all that credit? Well, they invest in “bonds, hard money lending and small businesses.” Again, you’d think that investors would do some hardcore homework and confirm all of those representations.  However, we would not have these stories and lawsuits if folks went through the trouble of keeping other folks honest – would we?Still – for some reason there are a lot of folks out there – I’ll call them pigeons, if you don’t mind – who seem to have a fire in their wallets and can’t wait to send dollars into yet another Fund that guarantees 20% once some supposed group of private traders obtains verification of deposit and then goes out and leverages the sums on deposit into impressive sounding investments. Apparently, Haley was hot to trot.  You understand why, don’t you? The Houston Astros connection. The 20%. The verified funds in someone else’s account. Tough to ask questions or demand proof about something so enticing. (Yes, that’s sarcasm — dripping and heavy).

Ashes to Ashes

Only one problem.Morris  told Haley they could not join the Fund unless an existing investor died.My, isn’t that too bad?  Clearly this deal is for real because folks are literally dying for other investors to get in. I mean, you know, seriously, no one would possibly make up such a precondition. Course not. You’d have to kill some investor off just to make way for another investor. That’s just nuts.

Eureka!Haley was really, really, really lucky because  Morris called Haley with the wonderful news (albeit, quite sad) that one of the few investors in the Fund just dropped dead less than a week after Morris told Haley about this amazing investment opportunity.  The Complaint asserts that Morris indicated that if Haley could raise $500,000 in three to five days, they could invest in the Fund.

Happy days!

Getting the Bucks

The Complaint alleges that without conducting any due diligence into Morris or the Fund, Haley began soliciting investments from friends and neighbors and raised $500,000, which he gave to Morris.What did Haley tell his acquaintances? Oh, the Complaint says that he simply repeated Morris’s  representations about the whole set-up and further assured the investors that their funds would only be used for “verification of deposit” purposes. I like the sound of that, don’t you?  Verifcation of deposit purposes.  Me?  I’ve only been on Wall Street for about thirty years and although I’m not sure what the hell “verification of deposit purposes” means, I must admit that it sounds pretty impressive. Of course, silly me, I would never write out a check to anyone for something like “verification of deposit purposes” without reviewing all the source documents and confirming the bona fides of the supposed traders and the trades but, then again, I’m just another stupid lawyer.The Complaint alleges that from about August 2007 through June 2008, Haley, through his entities Cornerstone Capital andVantage Point, raised at least $20 million for Morris’s Fund.Oh, and there’s this tidbit:  Morris and Haley had entered into an oral agreement that provided a payment of  20% per month on funds Haley raised.  Another thing, Haley could determine what portion of his fee he gave back to his investors. Lemme see, 20% of $20 million is like, what?, about $4 million?  Not bad for simply getting friends and acquaintances into some verification of deposit purposes thingamajig.  I wonder how much of that Haley gave back to the investors?

Enter the Lawyer

Sometime prior to June 2007, Morris and Haley hired Nguyen, a Utah attorney, to assist them with legal matters relating to soliciting investments. Nguyen set up Morris’s and Haley’s investment entities, drafted offering documents, and filed Forms D with the Commission for Morris controlled entities, E & R Holdings, Wise Financial and Momentum, and for Haley controlled entities, Cornerstone Capital and Vantage Point. After setting up the investment entities, the Complaint alleges that Nguyen stepped outside his role as counsel and began soliciting investments. Despite having conducted no due diligence on Morris or the Fund, Nguyen allegedly repeated Morris’s misrepresentations about the Fund to investors.Nguyen is also charged with knowingly making additional false representations to investors, including that he had reviewed the Fund’s documents and had personally spoken with the banks and private traders involved. Nguyen touted the Fund as “one of the best he had ever seen” and told investors he “understood the Fund better than Morris or Haley.”    Allegedly, Nguyen told investors that he was an “SEC attorney,” and that the Fund was “one of the best he had ever seen,” and  that he had done extensive due diligence into Morris’s Fund and knew the program better than Morris or Haley.  Nguyen purportedly told investors he had personally met with the attorneys representing the supposed trading companies involved in the Fund and that he had received copies of all operating agreements between the leasing companies and the trading companies. In fact, Nguyen performed no due diligence on Morris or the Fund, never met with anyone affiliatedNguyen also falsely told investors that he personally had significant assets invested in the Fund. In fact, Nguyen made no capital contributions to the Fund. Oh, and let’s not forget that Nguyen was allegedly paid at least $330,000 from Morris for raising investment funds and was paid at least an additional $58,000 in legal fees.

One More Player

Sometime during the Spring of 2007, Morris met Linford at an investment seminar , and thereafter, Linford is charged with raising about $1 million for the Fund by misrepresenting that the Fund paid returns as high as 100% in seven days with no risk to investor principal.

It’s All Madoff’s Fault

In April 2008, Morris stopped making regular interest payments to investors.  Morris gave many explanations to investors, including that Homeland Security had frozen the accounts, that the Madoff case had caused banks to hold funds and that typographical errors in wire request forms had caused delays.Oh, I see, it’s the old Homeland Security-Madoff-Typo-Dog-Ate-My-Homework explanation. Don’t they have a form for that?As investors complained and threatened to go to the SEC and other government agencies, Morris began disseminating phony bank statements falsely showing that he had over $200 million deposited with Wachovia Bank. In late October 2008, Morris gave Nguyen a purported “Bank Confirmation Letter” from Wachovia. This fraudulent letter states that Wachovia “currently holds funds in the amount of…$201,782,567.89…[and] Mr. Raymond Paul Morris is the signatory on this account.”  The letter also says “the funds are good, clean and of non-criminal origin, are unencumbered and freely disposable.”In addition to the letter, Morris gave Nguyen a phony “Verification of Depository,” also purporting to be from Wachovia Bank, showing that $201,827,067.89 was in Morris’s account.

Okay, so, let’s at least give these guys credit. It’s not like they came up with a simple round number, such as $201,000,000.00.  No, this is more convincing with every place filled with a seemingly plausible number. Can you find the whole numbers from 0 to 9 that are missing? Can you find Waldo?After Nguyen received the bogus “Bank Confirmation Letter” and “Verification of Depository,” the Complaint alleges that he agreed to draft a letter to Morris’s investors, assuring them their funds were safe. Unfortunately, Nguyen allegedly did not conduct reasonable due diligence prior to sending this October 30,2008 letter. The letter caused investors to delay their attempts to contact government authorities regarding Morris, Haley, Linford and Nguyen and their investment activities.

Carnage

By the time the Ponzi scheme unraveled, Morris, Haley, Linford and Nguyen, and their respective entities, had allegedly defrauded at least 90 investors out of at least $60 million by offering and selling unregistered and non-exempt promissory notes based on material misrepresentations and omissions.Many of the investors who lost money in the Fund were inexperienced, unsophisticated and had minimal net worth and annual income. Many investors lost their entire savings.  Some investors went so far as to borrow the money they invested and are now indebted beyond their ability to repay their lenders.In truth, the Complaint alleges that Morris did not work with private traders to obtain lines of credit that were invested.  As has become the norm with these Ponzi schemes,  Morris is accused of using investor funds to make bogus interest payments to earlier investors from capital raised from later investors.  Moreover, rather than investing the funds in debt and equity vehicles, real estate, commodities and leasing it to private traders, Morris used investor money to support a lavish lifestyle, including a luxurious home and several sports cars, and to make illusory interest payments to early investors in his scheme.Out of the approximate $20 million Haley raised, the Complaint alleges that he used at least $700,000 for personal expenses, including payments on a new home and $25,000 per month rental payments while building this new home.The Complaint charges Morris, Haley, Lindford, Nguyen, E&R Holdings, Wise Financial, Momentum, Cornerstone, Vantage Point and Freedom Group with violations of Sections 5(a), 5(c) and 17(a) of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 10(b) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (Exchange Act) and Rule 10b-5 thereunder. The complaint also charges Morris, Haley and Nguyen with violates of Section 15(a) of the Exchange Act. The SEC seeks an injunction, disgorgement and civil penalties.’

 

 

Sentiment Signaling a Call for Caution - Prieur du Plessis ‘The results of the AAII Investor Sentiment Survey are shown in the graphs below. The Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are bullish, bearish or neutral on stock market for the next six months. As the masses are usually on the wrong side of market movements, particularly at tops and bottoms, sentiment indicators fulfil a useful function as contrarian indicators. The bullish sentiment (55.9%) and bearish sentiment (18.3%) readings are at fairly extreme levels, as also seen from the bull-bear spread being quite a bit higher than the market peak of October 2007. Sentiment indicators are fairly blunt instruments from a timing point of view and can stay at high / low levels for extended periods. However, when companies are overvalued and technical indicators overbought, overbullish sentiment indicators complete a threesome of tools arguing quite strongly for a cautious approach to stock market investment.

Click to enlarge:

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Source: AAII Investor Sentiment Survey; Plexus Asset Management.’

 

 

Food Stamp Usage Hits New High Of 43.2 Million Ever wonder where all the money for equity inflows came from? Here’s the answer: with all the money saved from participating in the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, better known as foodstamps.

 

 

 

China Buys Up EU Government Debt China has been increasing its holdings of European government debt, including that issued by Spain, amid the euro-zone crisis, Chinese Vice Commerce Minister Gao Hucheng was quoted as saying.

 

 

Ron Paul Wants You! (To Take On The Fed) Zero Hedge | For all those with a penchant for crunching manipulated numbers and wish to make a change by taking on the Fed, this may be your chance.

 

New York owes $200 billion in retiree health care costs – but there’s no money David Gutierrez | New York State, along with its cities and counties, have promised $200 billion worth of retirement health care benefits to their employees, and no one knows where that money is going to come from.

 

Ron Paul: Congress Criminally Devaluing Americans’ Savings It is nothing short of cruel and criminal for Congress to stand idly by while the life savings of Americans are inflated away to nothing. It is high time Congress insist on getting complete information on what the Fed has been doing, and for whom.

 

The Silver Bears Are Back For Round Three, Explaining Two Key Recent Developments In The World Of Silver Confused by the recent downdraft in the price of (paper) silver… Even more confused by what is happening with the record open interest in the metal? Have no fear. The bears are here, and explain things in their traditionally simple and sound effect-filled way.

 

For Millions Of Senior Citizens The Only Future They Have To Look Forward To Is One Filled With Debt And Poverty In America today, millions upon millions of senior citizens are very deep in debt. In fact, more elderly Americans than ever before are going bankrupt.

 

 

Labor Force Participation Rate Drops To Fresh 25 Year Low, Adjusted Unemployment Rate At 11.7% Zero Hedge | While today’s unemployment number came at a low 9.4%, well below expectations, the one and only reason for this is that the labor force in America has plunged to a fresh 25 year low.

 

Why your local Hospital could soon shut down

Economic crisis archive

 

Presto! 9.4% Unemployment! How The Government Lies. Hooray…Happy days are here again! That is exactly what the elite would have us believe with the 9.4% unemployment number in this huge CONfidence game otherwise known as the USEconomy.

 

Fed Turns Over Record $78.4 Billion Profit to Treasury [ Totally manipulated paper with costs far exceeding those paper entries, and even greater costs prospectively even beyond the decline of the ever more worthless paper currency. ] Reuters | The Federal Reserve reported Monday its earnings jumped by more than 50 percent in 2010

 

Judge orders Fed to deliver gold records for her review GATA | GATA’s motion to order the Fed to produce in complete form for the judge’s private review 20 gold-related documents the Fed has sought to keep secret.

 

Deepening crisis traps America’s have-nots The Telegraph UK | The US is drifting from a financial crisis to a deeper and more insidious social crisis. Self-congratulation by the US authorities that they have this time avoided a repeat of the 1930s is premature.

 

 

National / World

 

Unprincipled Liberals Exploit an Insane Loughner to Condemn Political Opposition Kurt Nimmo | So called progressives are not opposed to the state’s monopoly on power and violence, so long as they are part of the state or its propaganda apparatus.

 

Washington Post Concedes: Gunman Acted On Mental Illness, Not Political Rhetoric Tucson shooter Jared Lee Loughner was not affiliated with any political party and failed to vote in the 2010 election, further bolstering the fact that his rampage was borne out of a deranged mental illness and had nothing to do with him reacting to vitriolic rhetoric put out by anti-government activists, as the establishment media and their liberal attack dog blogs have ceaselessly claimed in an effort to eviscerate the First Amendment.

 

Eyewitness “Shooter Was Ready For War!” He Had More Magazines & Attempted To Load One Joe Zamudio was one of the eyewitnesses that helped pin down the gunman. He reports that Loughner had several more magazines and was trying to reload. Another fact that the establishment media are loathe to report is that Zamudio was a responsible gun owner who was carrying his firearm and was prepared to use it to stop the carnage if necessary.

 

Leftists Attack Parents Of Murdered 9-Year-Old How low will some people stoop to play at partisan politics by exploiting the weekend’s tragic events? We’ve already seen the bar set pretty damn low by elements of the media and some public officials, yet its hard to imagine how much further anyone can go than to verbally attack the parents of the slain 9 year old Christina Taylor Green.

 

Vultures May Exploit Tragedy To Push “Subversives” Legislation Every single day, crazed lunatics claim the lives of innocent people; sometimes it’s a premeditated crime, sometimes it’s a crime of passion, sometimes it’s a complete accident, sometimes it’s an act of terror, and sometimes people are just in the wrong place at the wrong time when a 500 pound bomb is dropped over Afghanistan.

 

Another Tragedy Vulture Exploits Victims To Push Political Agenda To Kill Free Speech U.S. Rep. Jim Clyburn, the third-ranking Democrat in Congress, said Sunday the deadly shooting in Arizona should get the country thinking about what’s acceptable to say publicly and when people should keep their mouths shut.

 

Threatening To “Kick The Bums Out” Could Be Outlawed Under New Legislation Rep. Robert Brady (D-Pa.) reportedly plans to introduce legislation that would make it a federal crime to use language or symbols that could be perceived as threatening or inciting violence against a federal official or member of Congress.

 

Leftists Attack Parents Of Murdered 9-Year-Old Steve Watson | The dignity and class of the parents of Christina Taylor Green does not fit neatly into the partisan political script.

 

Washington Post Concedes: Gunman Acted On Mental Illness, Not Political Rhetoric Paul Joseph Watson | Loughner was not affiliated with Tea Party or conservatives.

 

Bombshell: Arizona Killer “Very Liberal” Kurt Nimmo | Democrats and liberal talking heads have taken Rahm Emanuel’s maxim to heart – never let good crisis go to waste – and are

Liberal Smear Machine Backfires After Gunman Found To Be Occultist, Pot-Smoking Left Winger Alex Jones & Paul Joseph Watson | Effort to conflate killer with anti-big government conservatives falls apart.

 

Establishment Media Demonizes Tea Party and Constitutionalists After Giffords Shooting Kurt Nimmo | Propaganda campaign begins with faux Tea Party queen Palin, will spread to the real movement in days ahead.

 

Arizona Assassin Obsessed With Mind Control Paul Joseph Watson | Loughner was a US military recruit who was obsessed with mind control, mirroring the circumstances of many other mass shooters in history.

 

Political Hacks Waste No Time In Shamelessly Exploiting Giffords Shooting To Demonize Political Oppositon Paul Joseph Watson | Before it’s even been confirmed that Giffords is dead, neo-lib statists are already shamelessly milking the shocking events for political gain.

 

Who’s Behind the Congresswoman’s shooting in Arizona? Infowars | Will the tragic shooting stoke anti-gun legislation, fuel the flames of War on Terror or signal random violence amid a chaotic political climate?

 

 

 

Arizona Assassin Obsessed With Mind Control Jared Loughner, the gunman who shot Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords and numerous other victims including a Federal Judge and a nine-year-old girl during a political event in Tuscon today, was a US military recruit who was obsessed with mind control, mirroring the circumstances of many other mass shooters in history.

 

Political Hacks Waste No Time In Shamelessly Exploiting Giffords Shooting To Demonize Political Oppositon Political hacks have wasted little time in exploiting the tragic shooting of Democratic Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords to demonize their political opposition despite the gunman’s motivation being completely unknown at this time.

 

Who’s Behind the Congresswoman’s Shooting in Arizona? With so many other psuedo-events in the War on Terror lately, including package bombs, FBI stings and set-ups and the like, it is entirely possible this was a false-flag event designed to clampdown on gun ownership or simply stoke the fear of radical Muslim or homegrown terrorists.

 

 

The New York Times Is One to Talk About Rhetoric and Violence Kurt Nimmo | The New York Times and Judith Miller sold mass murder to America.

 

SPLC blames Ayn Rand, David Icke and Others for Arizona Shooting Aaron Dykes | Who is to blame for Jared Loughner’s bizarre shooting yesterday? According to Mark Potok, anyone with even the vaguest links to his bizarre and disjointed online ramblings.

 

Early Cancer Screening Could Cause Millions of Deaths Liberty Doctor | Early detection of cancer at the cellular level will have us aggressively looking for the location of early cancers via full body scanning.

 

DHS Links Loughner to White Supremacists Kurt Nimmo | Fox News reports that according to Homeland Security Loughner may be connected to American Renaissance.

 

Second Man Sought In Giffords Shooting May Be Assassin’s Handler Kurt Nimmo | The official story that will become gospel for the corporate media is in the process of formulation.

 

Jared Loughner Described by Classmate as “Left-Wing Pothead” Pheonix New Times | ​A classmate of the man accused of shooting Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords this morning describes him as “left wing” and a “pot head” in a series of posts on Twitter this afternoon.

 

“Toning Down The Rhetoric” Means Obeying Big Government Despite the fact that Jared Lee Loughner was a psychotic loner with “left-wing” beliefs according to those who knew him, the establishment has hastily exploited yesterday’s tragic shooting in Tucson to demonize conservatives, libertarians and gun owners while ordering Americans to “tone down the rhetoric,” which is nothing more than a euphemism for stifling dissent and coercing people to roll over on Obamacare, bailouts and whatever big government is preparing to unleash next.

 

Establishment Media Demonizes Tea Party and Constitutionalists After Giffords Shooting Get ready for the shooting of Rep. Gabrielle Giffords to be used in a serious way against the Tea Party movement. MSNBC, CNN and the rest of the Mockingbird media are now attempting to portray millions of Americans as violence prone anti-government radicals.

 

Second Man Sought In Giffords Shooting May Be Assassin’s Handler The FBI and local law enforcement in Pima County, Arizona, are looking for a second man wanted in connection with the shooting of Rep. Giffords and the murder of a federal judge and five others.

 

UPDATED: Arizona Assassin Obsessed With Mind Control Jared Loughner, the gunman who shot Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords and numerous other victims including a Federal Judge and a nine-year-old girl during a political event in Tuscon today, was a US military recruit who was obsessed with mind control, mirroring the circumstances of many other mass shooters in history.

 

Celente: Global Youth Rebellion Simmering RT | 2011 will see uprising against the white shoe boys around the world.

 

 

Internet Identity System Said Readied by Obama Administration The Obama administration plans to announce today plans for an Internet identity system that will limit fraud and streamline online transactions, leading to a surge in Web commerce, officials said.

 

US wants Twitter details of Wikileaks activists The US government has subpoenaed the social networking site Twitter for personal details of people connected to Wikileaks, court documents show.

 

Climate Scientists Deepening Skepticism of Democracy Does a liberal democracy have sufficient resolve to stomach the economic and political sacrifices required to stabilize global warming?

 

 

Justice Department Subpoenas Birgitta Jónsdóttir’s Twitter Account in WikiLeaks Case Peter Kemp | Inherent in that subpoena is a belief by the DOJ that some sort of incriminating evidence exists to use against Julian Assange.


Royal Family granted new right of secrecy London Independent | The Royal Family is to be granted absolute protection from public scrutiny in a controversial legal reform.

 

UK Library: Cryptome Blocked for “Criminal Activity” Cryptome | Official secrecy is the very greatest threat to democracy.

 

DRUDGEREPORT: NATION SHOCKED: CONGRESSWOMAN SHOT IN TUCSON
SCARY FREAK!
THE DEVIL MADE HIM DO IT: TUCSON SHOOTER'S TWISTED SKULL SHRINE...
Described by Classmate as 'Left-Wing Pothead'...
Family of suspect blocks FBI access to house...
Shooter Smirks in Court, Smiles for Mug Shot...
Was registered independent; Didn't vote in Nov. '10 election...
'SHERIFF' BLAMES RUSH LIMBAUGH FOR MASSACRE?
CONGRESSWOMAN READIES GUN CONTROL BILL...
Dem planning bill that would outlaw 'threatening' lawmakers...
...'use language or symbols that could be perceived as inciting violence'

OBAMA FLASHBACK: 'If They Bring a Knife to the Fight, We Bring a Gun'...
SAFEWAY MASSACRE...
   UPDATE...
SLAIN JUDGE WANTED TO TALK TO REP. ABOUT SURGE IN BORDER CRIME...
WIRE...
Suspect scrawled: 'I planned ahead'...
Obsessed With Mind Control...
Described by Classmate as 'Left-Wing Pothead'...
Trade war looming, warns Brazil...

Tensions rise in currency wars...
Pressure on Portugal heightens...

GLOBAL ORDER: Sarkozy takes case to Obama as food prices soar...
Greece borrowing rates hit new record...
Pentagon concerned over China's rapid development of new weapons...

Economists foretell of U.S. decline, China's ascension...
SAFEWAY MASSACRE...
VIDEO...
6 Dead, 12 injured...
Dem Rep. Gabrielle Giffords shot through brain; critical after surgery, doctors 'optimistic'...
Federal Judge Killed...
WIRE...
CAPITOL POLICE URGES CONGRESS TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS...
BOEHNER: 'An attack on one who serves is an attack on all who serve'...

OBAMA: 'UNSPEAKABLE TRAGEDY'...
Gunman ID'ed as Jared Loughner, 22... YOUTUBE...PHOTOS...
Obsessed With Mind Control...
MYSPACE GENERATION: Suspect Says Goodbye Online: 'Please don't be mad at me -- I cannot rest'...
14 decapitated bodies found in Mexico resort city...
NUMBER OF COMBAT INJURIES IN AFGHANISTAN APPROACHES IRAQ-WAR LEVELS...
WIKILEAKS: US demanding our TWITTER account info...

WIKILEAKS demands GOOGLE and FACEBOOK unseal US subpoenas...
New data collected from sensors left on moon in 1971 [ Riiiiight! … and if you’ve seen the beginning of 2001:Space Odyssey (the monolith), you’ve already seen it!  ] ...
Euro Crisis Roars to Forefront...
Portugal's debt worries worsen...
UN warns Greece on anti-migrant fence...
NJ police: Man seeking 'portal to hell' stabbed 2...

 

 

 

Illinois faces steep tax increases to meet fiscal crisis (Washington Post) [ This is only the beginning of this continued ultimately hyperinflationary depression with much worse to come. How the recession imploded states' finances (Washington Post) [  This is truly no joke!  Municipal Debt Threatens U.S. Economy Lim ‘The debt crisis that has taken down banks, and even countries, threatens more than 100 American municipalities this year. According to Meredith Whitney, who works as a US research analyst, local and state debts are the biggest concerns to the US economy today. It is large enough to derail economic recovery.

She said that,

There’s not a doubt on my mind that you will see a spate of municipal bond defaults. You can see fifty to a hundred sizable defaults – more. This will amount to hundreds of billions of dollars’ worth of defaults.

American states and cities have a total debt load of around $2 trillion.

New Jersey government Chris Christie summarized it clearly,

We spent too much on everything. We spent money we didn’t have. We borrowed money just crazily. The credit card’s maxed out, and it’s over. We now have to get to the business of climbing out of the hole. We’ve been digging it for a decade or more. We’ve got to climb now, and a climb is harder…’  Video: State pensions face 'death spiral' Wash.Post (It’s not just state and local … it’s national, ie., social security, medicare, Medicaid, veterans, etc., and as well, some companies. ) Sept. 15 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. state pensions such as Illinois, Kansas and New Jersey are in a "death spiral," with assets at many insufficient to cover benefits, payouts consuming a growing portion of resources and costs rising twice as fast as investment gains. Bloomberg's Monica Bertran reports. (Source: Bloomberg) (Bloomberg)  ] While experts call Illinois's plight the worst in the nation, many states are grappling with the perils of air-brushing structural budget problems rather than implementing difficult tax increases or service cuts.

 

 

White House to extend more support (to overcome widespread suspicion and anti-americanism) to Pakistan (Washington Post) [ Well, there you have it. Another victory notched up for defacto bankrupt, war criminal nation america. Sounds like a plan … you know, that winning hearts and minds thing … destroy the country, kill their people, have contractors siphon off the cash (with kickbacks of course). Victory americana … Riiiiight! ]  Offer aimed at overcoming widespread suspicion and anti-Americanism in nation, which is seen as a vexing but crucial partner in anti-terror efforts

 

Data point to economy crawling out of downturn (Washington Post) [ I don’t believe anything the u.s. government et als says or reports.    What Today's Job Numbers Aren't Telling You , On Friday January 7, 2011, 6:10 pm EST

‘Another month goes by and another unemployment report deciphered. Is there more to this month's report than the 9.4% headline number? Unless you are content with the information spoon fed by the financial media, you'll find the data points revealed in this article rather interesting.The only other Wall Street ritual that tops monthly unemployment reports is earnings season. Like any other ritual, it comes with many myths and fables attached. The most common one is that unemployment directly affects stock prices.

Myth Busted

If you base your investment decisions on today's release, you may want to revisit the market's performance following last month's release (published on December 3, 2010).The U-3 unemployment rate spiked from 9.6% to 9.8%. This was a huge disappointment, yet major stock indexes a la S&P (SNP: ^GSPC), Dow (DJI: ^DJI) and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) rallied. What caused this unexpected reaction? The answer can be found in technical analysis.The technical setup going into last month's unemployment release (published on December 3) was predominantly bullish. With the S&P (NYSEArca: IVV - News) at 1,225 in early November, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter highlighted important support at 1,165 - 1,170 and on November 7 stated: 'Any correction that doesn't drop below 1,165 will likely result in new highs' with resistance at 1,267 (revised to 1,281 on December 12).As the chart below illustrates, the S&P tested support on five occasions and set the stage for future gains. That's why despite the dismal jobless numbers, stocks spiked on the day of the release and continued higher.  [chart] Before we talk about the technical set up going into today's release, let's examine some unknown but important details about today's unemployment report.

What the Headlines Won't Tell You

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS.org) publishes more data than just the heavily quoted U-3 unemployment headline number (currently 9.4%).In fact, if you do some surfing on BLS.org you will find that the headline number is deceptive at best and inaccurate at least. Below are some statistics that put America's job market in perspective.According to the BLS, the real unemployment rate (U-6), which includes workers who stopped looking for jobs or had to settle for part-time jobs - is at 16.7%.

One of the most remarkable BLS data points on the BLS site is the average number of weeks workers are now unemployed. The jobless are unemployed for an average of 34.2 weeks.  As the chart below shows, this is the second highest reading in the survey's 63-year history (all-time high was 34.8 in July 2010).                                 [chart]

Along the same lines, the number of workers unemployed for more than 27 weeks (usually unemployment benefits cease after 26 weeks) is near its May 2010 all-time high.                              [chart]

A Painful Misconception

The Bush tax-cut extension led many to believe that unemployment benefits have been extended beyond the 99 weeks (26 weeks state-funded plus 73 weeks federal benefits) available to the 25 worst hit states. This is not correct.According to CNBC, no benefits will be paid once the 99-week period is exhausted. As per the extension, however, the jobless will continue to receive up to 99 weeks of unemployment checks.Over the past three years, the unemployed have collected about $320 billion in jobless benefits. About two million '99ers' received their last benefit check around Christmas.

A Shrinking Workforce

It is estimated that about 150,000 'youngsters' enter the work force every year. That's why the work force has steadily increased since 1948. Courtesy of the 2008 bear market, the workforce has actually been shrinking as discouraged workers drop out of the statistics .Discouraged workers are those who stopped searching in the last four weeks. Excluding them from the workforce and the unemployment equation artificially lowers the U-3 unemployment rate. Discouraged workers surged to a new record high of 1.32 million which depressed the labor force participation rate to 64.3% (a 27-year low). If the participation rate had stayed the same, the U-3 unemployment rate would be 9.7%.

Making Sense of What Doesn't Make Sense

Based on U-6 numbers, since December 2006 as many 13 million Americans have either lost their jobs, or have been downgraded.  Meanwhile food stamp recipients have mushroomed by ten 10 million.Nevertheless, stocks have shrugged off an avalanche of bad news and continue plowing ahead towards new highs. Does that make sense?It does when you include the Federal Reserve and it's quantitative easing program in this lopsided equation. The Fed has a history of creating and ignoring bubbles. The 2000 tech (NYSEArca: XLK - News) bubble came and went and was followed by the 2005 real estate (NYSEArca: IYR - News) bubble.The 2005 real estate bubble was somewhat cushioned by the 2007 financial (NYSEArca: XLF - News) bubble. The 2007 bubble bust expressed itself fully until the Fed started inflating yet another bubble - the QE1 and QE2-based 'great' new bull market.

The Technical Set Up

Looking at the long-term picture, there is reason to be skeptical about the growth potential for U.S. stocks (NYSEArca: IWM - News). But if you want instant gratification - as most investors do - what's the technical set up for the coming weeks?Looking at the market's internal indicators, we note that momentum is strong but breadth is weakening. Sentiment - one of the most reliable indicators in the investment universe - is extremely bullish, which is bearish for stocks.Prior instances when the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter noted overheated excitement for stocks was in January 2009, January 2010, and April 2010. Another bearish factor is the new January effect that's seen stocks decline each January over the past three years.Additionally, the S&P is about to reach the measured upside target of a W pattern (December 12 ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter) and a host of other resistance levels.In summary, momentum and Fed induced liquidity point up, but sentiment gauges and some technical indicators convey a deeply bearish message.The best way to navigate such cross currents is to let the market speak and carefully analyze its reaction to important support and resistance levels. Failure to break resistance levels combined with an inability to remain above support have been recipes for disaster in the past, especially with bullish sentiment at extreme levels.A chain is only as strong as its weakest link. The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter monitors the market's internal strength to identify weak links before they break.’

 

 

Health-care repeal vote looms (Washington Post) [ Starting with real / unspun data / facts is the wisest course, and such should be conveyed to the taxpayers who ultimately pay, including the bloated salaries of the corrupt, incompetent ‘washingtonians, federal employees, bushies, obamanoids, etc., CBO Says Repeal Would Reduce Spending by $540 Billion...The Congressional Budget Office, in an email to Capitol Hill staffers obtained by the Spectator, has said that repealing the national health care law would reduce net spending by $540 billion in the ten year period from 2012 through 2021. That number represents the cost of the new provisions, minus Medicare cuts. Repealing the bill would also eliminate $770 billion in taxes. It's the tax hikes in the health care law (along with the Medicare cuts) which accounts for the $230 billion in deficit reduction…’   ]         Right to undo? Panel | How much should Republican House leaders focus on undoing past initiatives versus creating their own new ones? | Weigh in

 

 

Twain needs no fixin' (Washington Post) [ I quite agree with Ms. Parker, particularly in this digital age which facilitates such censorship which can be accomplished with such ease and an environment as in the self-created paranoid u.s. replete with pervasive corruption, incompetence, and criminality where perpetrators / criminals therein cry out for more cover-up / censorship all in the self-destructive name of ‘war on terror’, jingoistic patriotism, etc.. I’m against almost all censorship  (subject to very limited exceptions, ie., ‘yelling fire in a crowded theater, kiddy porn, etc., except that the u.s. courts are so corrupt and venal that they can no longer be trusted to responsibly apply those limited exceptions to narrowly defined exceptional circumstances. See, for example, RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm   )  .     DRUDGEREPORT: NYT SATURDAY: NUMBER OF COMBAT INJURIES IN AFGHANISTAN APPROACHES IRAQ-WAR LEVELS... DEVELOPING...
'WE'RE DIGGING OUT OF A HOLE' [ Example of sentiment: some comments - ‘…Barack Obama is a cooked goose. He is absolutely the most incompetent president of the U.S. ever, so he continues to spin the numbers in such a manner that might make him look good. News for him: NOTHING will make you look good. Pretty is skin deep, incompetence goes clear to the bone. "Let his days be few; and let another take his office." Psalms 109:8- RightStuff, Texas, USA, 7/1/2011 19:45

You know what happens when you keep digging a hole - you reach China and that is what is going to finish the americans and Obamarama...- Olrik, Canada, 7/1/2011 19:41

'We're digging ourselves out of a hole' - Barack Hussein Obama To get out of a hole you've dug so deep, is to STOP DIGGING, fill it up with soil so you can climb OUT OF THE HOLE. STOP SPENDING OBAMA! STOP PRINTING MONEY! The US dollar is weakening against YUAN of China. Republicans better start cutting all spending, defund/repeal Obamacare, America is flat BROKE! If Republicans can't rein all spending created by Pelosi and her peons, their DEBT would be BIGGER than their economy.- Observer, over here, over there, 7/1/2011 19:33

Well the ammo index is still down, I guess having 3,000 rounds is enough- NVBob, Richland WA USA, 7/1/2011 19:31

Fill in the hole, with Obama in it, at the bottom!- Stan, St Louis, Missouri, USA, 7/1/2011 19:30

As one would expect of a socialist, clueless to the mechanics of a capitalist system, he seeks to extricate himself from a hole by further digging.- jnsesq, minimaxi, 7/1/2011 19:29    Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1345047/Glimmer-hope-U-S-economy-jobless-rate-falls-lowest-level-19-months.html#ixzz1APmJZga7 ]

Jobs report an 'utter mess'... ‘…However, some economists were less optimistic. 'It's a bit of a mixed bag,' said Ryan Sweet, an economist at Moody's Analytics. Many analysts hoped to see larger job gains, and the drop in the unemployment rate is unlikely to be sustained, he said. 'The labour market ended last year with a bit of a thud,' he said…’
China plans $1.3 billion 'seven-star hotel'...
China Backs Europe, Euro for Investing Reserves...
REPORT: Too much fluoride in US water...
]  Parker: Why 'The Adventures of Huckleberry Finn' should not be censored.

 


January 7, 2011: Market Summary

December Jobs Miss Expectations

Unemployment Down To 9.4%, But Jobs Report Disappoints

Is a Correction Inevitable? [Short answer: YES! ] Vistesen ‘The signs are clear: risk is overloved, overbought and overextended but does this necessarily spell the inevitable correction? [Short answer: YES! ] (click for larger image) [chart] Since Augsut 2010 the SPY has barely touched its 50 day moving average. Indeed, it has stayed well clear of it. Those, like yours truly, who entered 2011 fancying some bloodletting have so far been disappointed. Plan B Economics points to the obvious that oftentimes in the world of investing, a choir chiming for an event to unfold is the best bet that it will not occur.

I’ve had a pretty good sense in the past knowing when the “correction” trade is overcrowded. I gotta say that I definitely sense that now. Bulls are on guard for a correction and bears are calling for one too. In fact, I’ve never seen such a unanimous call for a correction as I do now in a long time. Near the low of the day I saw a headline from bigcharts.com that said some portfolio manager claimed the January correction has started. The market didn’t even go in the red for the year yet and this guy’s already saying the correction has started? Talk about being over-eager. I believe this group think call for a correction means that a correction either won’t happen or will be quite shallow, well below expectations.

As a good friend of mine noted that this is like second-guessing the second-guesser. Market timing is best performed when frontrunning the crowd, not standing in the middle shouting like everyone else. On the technical side, I would like to see two (or three) straight days of declines in the SPY before calling it.The more interesting point is how deep (or shallow) it will be. A move to the 50 day MA marker would be something like 4.15% and come at around 1221 at current levels. Sounds about right to me.’ [ Vistesen’s clearly an unbridled optimist! ]

 

Drowning in Debt NyaradiEverywhere I looked yesterday, the world seemed to be drowning in debt.

In Portugal, bond spreads continue to widen as they prepare for a sale on January 12th while next door in Spain, their “D-Day” (debt day) sale comes on January 13th. France steps up on January 10th with more than $10 billion coming to market with Italy following on January 11.

The euro fell to the lowest level against the U.S. Dollar in three months in anticipation of next week’s auctions while the U.S. Dollar Index rose +0.68%.

Closer to home, Illinois struggles wtih a nearly $15 Billion hole that needs to be filled and so is pushing for a tax hike to do the job while in California, recycled Governor Jerry Brown promises to unveil a budget next week that will be “painful.”

Meanwhile, December retail sales originally ballyhooed as being the best in years turned in a lackluster performance and the pesky problem of persistent unemployment resurfaced yesterday with Initial Claims rising unexpectedly to 409,000 from 391,000 prior while Continuing Claims managed to fall.

Today comes the big report and whisper numbers are huge improvements over recent numbers.

Technically there’s no breadth and no momentum to market action and we remain in very overbought territory on nearly all indicators.

Daily Moves for Major ETFs:

Dow Jones Industrials: (NYSEArca: DIA) -0.22%

Russell 2000: (NYSEArca: IWM) -0.47%

NASDAQ 100: (NasdaqGM: QQQQ) +0.32%

S&P 500 Index: (NYSEArca: SPY) -0.20%

MSCI Emerging Markets:(NYSEArca: EEM) -1.07%%

MSCI China (NYSEArca: FXI) -0.79%%

Gold (NYSEArca: GLD) -0.40%

7-10 Year Treasuries: (NYSEArca: IEF) +0.52%

20+ Year Treasuries: (NYSEArca: TLT) +0.44%

VIX +2.23%

U.S. Dollar (NYSE:Arca: UUP) +0.77%

The major indexes remain overvalued and overbought on a technical and fundamental basis and so Wall Street Sector Selector remains in “Yellow Flag” status, expecting choppy to lower prices ahead.’



Thursday's Economic Data Roundup: Mixed News Roche ‘U.S. retailers posted weaker than expected sales in December, the Monster job index declined from last month’s highs and unemployment claims continued their steady trend lower. All in all it was a very mixed day of data.

  • U.S. retailers posted weaker than expected chain store sales. Although weak, most retailers were still able to post year over year gains. But an alarming trend is showing up in the commentary – retailers are beginning to see margin compression due to rising input costs. Mark Montagna, a retail analyst at Avondale Partners says the entire supply chain cost is on the rise and cost conscious consumers are very sensitive to higher prices. The Wall Street Journal has a good round-up of the individual retailer results here.
  • The Monster Employment Index (click to enlarge) showed a stagnant employment environment. Though year over year growth remains strong the sequential data is showing little to no sign of recovery. The index slowed to 130 in December from 134.[chart]
  • Unemployment claims ticked higher from last week’s huge drop, but remain on a steady trend lower. This likely points to growth, but slow growth in the labor market. Econoday has the details on the claims data:

“Jobless claims haven’t been too bumpy this holiday period, moving convincingly lower. Claims did rise to 409,000 in the January 1 week yet follow the prior week’s 391,000 for the second best reading of the recovery (prior week revised from 388,000). The four-week average is telling the story, down 3,500 in the week for a 410,750 level that is down nearly 20,000from a month ago…’

 

Jobs growth disappoints, but jobless rate falls (Reuters)

 

Labor Force Participation Rate Drops To Fresh 25 Year Low, Adjusted Unemployment Rate At 11.7% Zero Hedge | While today’s unemployment number came at a low 9.4%, well below expectations, the one and only reason for this is that the labor force in America has plunged to a fresh 25 year low.

 

Europe unveils sweeping plans to govern reckless banks London Telegraph | Brussels has called for sweeping powers for regulators to seize failing EU banks, sack board members, and impose haircuts on senior bank debt.

 

Doug Casey: Prepare for Social Upheaval LewRockwell.com | The big question is not, “Can it happen here?” but, “Will it?” Or maybe, simply, “When?”

 

China Buys Up EU Government Debt China has been increasing its holdings of European government debt, including that issued by Spain, amid the euro-zone crisis, Chinese Vice Commerce Minister Gao Hucheng was quoted as saying.

 

Labor Force Participation Rate Drops To Fresh 25 Year Low, Adjusted Unemployment Rate At 11.7% While today’s unemployment number came at a low 9.4%, well below expectations, the one and only reason for this is that the labor force in America has plunged to a fresh 25 year low.

 

Not Just “Inflation Versus Deflation” … We’ve Got “MixedFlation” and “ExportFlation” Many people have made persuasive arguments for inflation.

 

The Contrived Drama of the Debt Ceiling Let the contrived drama of the debt ceiling begin for the American people.

 

Gallup Finds Unemployment Increased In December, Underemployment Is At 6 Month High, Blasts Government Data Fudging Following this week’s ebullient ADP private payrolls report, the sellside has succumbed to an orgiastic frenzy suggesting that tomorrow NFP number may be as high as 580,000 (as reported earlier).

 

 

 

National / World

 

US says too much fluoride causing splotchy teeth (AP)  [ Actually, flouride’s a poison which is actually used in such things as ‘rat poison’, but has also historically been used to make ‘populations’ more docile / controllable. I guess they figure they’ve finally gotten the controlled american public zombies where they want them…mission accomplished…no need to waste more flouride. ] In a remarkable turnabout, federal health officials say many americans are now getting too much fluoride because of its presence not just in drinking water but in toothpaste, mouthwash and other ...



Deregulating ‘Frankenfoods’ Jason Douglass | Pioneer, a DuPont Company has filed with APHIS to have a particular GM corn line deregulated.

 

Eco-Nazi Orders Americans To Pay Carbon Tax On Children Paul Joseph Watson | IPCC Professor wants communist-style controls on giving birth.

 

Alex Jones & Nick Begich On Coast to Coast Infowars.com | Radio host Alex Jones and researcher Nick Begich comment on the recent bird die-off.

Alex Jones: Eco-Fascists Call For Prison Cities Infowars.com | People who resist the state controlling every aspect of their existence will be forced to live in squalid ghettos.

 

Establishment Republicans Omit Crucial Passage in Constitution Reading Stunt Kurt Nimmo | The invasion and the spill-over of violence from the Mexican narco state represents “domestic violence” against the American people.

 

Government Recommends Lowering Fluoride Levels in U.S. Drinking Water The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency are recommending changing for the first time in nearly 50 years the amount of fluoride allowed in drinking water because of an increase in fluorosis — a condition that causes spotting and streaking on children’s teeth.


Homeland Security Hasn’t Made Us Safer DHS serves only one clear purpose: to provide unimaginable bonanzas for favored congressional districts around the United States, most of which face no statistically significant security threat at all.

 

Establishment Republicans Omit Crucial Passage in Constitution Reading Stunt The Constitution reading stunt performed by establishment Republicans designed to placate a co-opted Tea Party fizzled Thursda

 

Murdered Bush Aide Was An Expert In Chemical, Biological & Cyber-Warfare, Had Highest Security Clearances Cryptome | John Wheeler III was mysteriously found in a garbage dump only hours after being seen wandering around with one shoe in a parking garage. Retired Lt. Gen. McInerney said it ‘had to be a professional hit job.’

 

DRUDGEREPORT: NYT SATURDAY: NUMBER OF COMBAT INJURIES IN AFGHANISTAN APPROACHES IRAQ-WAR LEVELS... DEVELOPING...
'WE'RE DIGGING OUT OF A HOLE' [ Example of sentiment: some comments - ‘…Barack Obama is a cooked goose. He is absolutely the most incompetent president of the U.S. ever, so he continues to spin the numbers in such a manner that might make him look good. News for him: NOTHING will make you look good. Pretty is skin deep, incompetence goes clear to the bone. "Let his days be few; and let another take his office." Psalms 109:8- RightStuff, Texas, USA, 7/1/2011 19:45

You know what happens when you keep digging a hole - you reach China and that is what is going to finish the americans and Obamarama...- Olrik, Canada, 7/1/2011 19:41

'We're digging ourselves out of a hole' - Barack Hussein Obama To get out of a hole you've dug so deep, is to STOP DIGGING, fill it up with soil so you can climb OUT OF THE HOLE. STOP SPENDING OBAMA! STOP PRINTING MONEY! The US dollar is weakening against YUAN of China. Republicans better start cutting all spending, defund/repeal Obamacare, America is flat BROKE! If Republicans can't rein all spending created by Pelosi and her peons, their DEBT would be BIGGER than their economy.- Observer, over here, over there, 7/1/2011 19:33

Well the ammo index is still down, I guess having 3,000 rounds is enough- NVBob, Richland WA USA, 7/1/2011 19:31

Fill in the hole, with Obama in it, at the bottom!- Stan, St Louis, Missouri, USA, 7/1/2011 19:30

As one would expect of a socialist, clueless to the mechanics of a capitalist system, he seeks to extricate himself from a hole by further digging.- jnsesq, minimaxi, 7/1/2011 19:29    Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1345047/Glimmer-hope-U-S-economy-jobless-rate-falls-lowest-level-19-months.html#ixzz1APmJZga7 ]

Jobs report an 'utter mess'... ‘…However, some economists were less optimistic. 'It's a bit of a mixed bag,' said Ryan Sweet, an economist at Moody's Analytics. Many analysts hoped to see larger job gains, and the drop in the unemployment rate is unlikely to be sustained, he said. 'The labour market ended last year with a bit of a thud,' he said…’
China plans $1.3 billion 'seven-star hotel'...
China Backs Europe, Euro for Investing Reserves...
REPORT: Too much fluoride in US water...
CBO Says Repeal Would Reduce Spending by $540 Billion...
The Congressional Budget Office, in an email to Capitol Hill staffers obtained by the Spectator, has said that repealing the national health care law would reduce net spending by $540 billion in the ten year period from 2012 through 2021. That number represents the cost of the new provisions, minus Medicare cuts. Repealing the bill would also eliminate $770 billion in taxes. It's the tax hikes in the health care law (along with the Medicare cuts) which accounts for the $230 billion in deficit reduction…’

 

 

Republicans reject cost estimate on health repeal (Washington Post) [  One thing’s certain … they’ll agree to disagree … $14 plus trillion and counting and wobama the b for b*** s*** and co are worried about a couple hundred billion … tax cuts to the rich …   (Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE!) ‘Then again, look at the war spending :   Drudgereport: Congresswoman calls Afghanistan 'national embarrassment'...    'Epic failure'... Rep. Lynn Woolsey (D-CA) talks about the "disastrous" war that is Afghanistan. "This war represents an epic failure, a national embarrassment and a moral blight," Rep. Woolsey said. [ True enough! Though broke, they’re still voting for more war across the board. But even more than that, this war is a blowback-creating, self-perpetuating, self-destructive, self-defeating, colossally expensive debacle benefiting only the war profiteers / lobbies and attendant frauds while diverting attention from the more ’mundane’ tasks of governance of a failing, pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt nation, viz., america. ]
PENTAGON BUDGET SLASH [ Riiiiight! … What’s $80 billion on a trillion dollar tab especially with those off-budget special items whenever they so choose.  ]: OBAMA TO CUT TROOPS ON ACTIVE DUTY
FEDS BREAK GROUND ON SUPER SPY CENTER (Riiiiight! More spending on those ultra-efficient super-spies, ie., Iraq on a lie, illegal drug ops, 9-11 NORAD ordered to stand down, etc., though u.s. defacto bankrupt)...
New Miami Police peeping drone may be first in country; ACLU approves...
Man Arrested for Having 'Suspicious' Bagel on Plane...
Ex-CIA officer charged with leak to NYT reporter...
Packages Cause 'Flash Explosions' At 2 State Gov't Buildings in MD...

One addressed to Gov...
US Treasury asks Congress to lift debt ceiling...
Obama calls Gibbs $174,000 salary 'relatively modest' ( Come on! In pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, government jobs for the otherwise unemployable at those levels are over-priced and over-valued, as are other so-called executive jobs, ie., fraudulent wall street, etc.. Look at their results! )...  ]
Boehner dismisses CBO forecast that rescinding law would raise deficit by about $230 billion and leave 32 million more Americans uninsured.

 

 

Apprehension ahead of Moqtada al-Sadr speech (Washington Post) [ What is he expected to say?: Thank you america for bombing, invading, and destroying his nation based on a lie? Thank you america for killing, maiming innocent children, women, and men? Thank you america for all the depleted uranium you’ve left behind? Thank you america for removing your america-supported mad-dog tyrant sadam hussein who foolishly played into his cia handlers’ trap regarding that green light for Kuwait invasion over the slant-drilling by the latter from April Glasspie. I don’t think so, and I don’t think the rest of the world nor his fellow Iraqis think so.   ] Lawmakers across Iraq's political and ethnic spectrums wait for word from anti-American Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr, saying his first address after returning from nearly four years of self-imposed exile in Iran would likely say a lot about his approach to Iraq's government.

 

 

Insurer claims it was misled by Goldman Sachs on investment (Washington Post) [ Talk about understatements. After all, who hasn’t been misled by goldmen sachs and fraudulent wall street generally, on investments. Don’t forget, the worthless toxic paper commissioned and cashed out by wall street is still out there in the trillions now marked to anything.  ] One of Goldman's clients says it has sued the bank seeking $120 million in damages.

 

 

Milbank: Getting creative with the Constitution (Washington Post) [ Constitution? Versions? Meaningful laws? Why, this is almost analogous or akin to the late idi amin reading the Ugandan constitution (1995) from his grave, certainly in terms of folly! ]Constitutionalism (WP) [ Come on! Constitution … meaningful american law … Don’t make me laugh! Wake up from the deep american sleep! Going through the motions, flag pins, etc., ad nauseum, like a bunch of zombies!  ] Krauthammer: It's a promising step to a conservative future.  Wash Post Staffer: Constitution Impossible to Understand Because It’s Over 100 Years Old [ In a meaningfully lawless society as pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, constitution / laws have become irrelevant in application and effect. After all, even zimbabwe has a constitution / laws, but I dare say no one would suggest they have any practical effect in reality, as is also so in america. I therefore believe Mr. Klein is correct but for reasons other than age and malleability. Indeed, anyone who has written a legal brief and researched law in support thereof, ultimately realizes that almost invariably one can find some case / law in support of almost any position. In america today, it’s the bribe, one way or another, that carries the day and makes the difference. Ask sam alito et als. That’s just the way it is in a declining, fallen society as america, zimbawe, etc.. That’s certainly my direct, sworn experience with these corrupt courts constituting (in large part along with the other 3 branches) pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s illegal system.  Senate convicts Clinton-appointed judge... [ Come on! One way or another they’re almost all getting bribed; including the initial lifetime appointment as alito, trump-barry, etc.. Abolish the corrupt, costly, economically wasteful lifetime extravagantly appointed federal courts (see RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm   )    End those lifetime licenses to steal. ] In earlier hearings, two attorneys who once worked with Porteous had testified that they gave him thousands of dollars in cash, including about $2,000 stuffed in an envelope in 1999, just before Porteous decided a major civil case in their client's favor.   ] Breitbart | On word that the House will open its next session with a first-ever reading of the U.S. Constitution, blogger Ezra Klein suggests that the Constitution is irrelevant due to its age and politically-malleable language. ]Eight key economic decisions of the Obama presidency all point in one direction.

 

 

Oh come on! Watch for the fake jobs report from the ever more desperate, pervasively corrupt, incompetent, failed, defacto bankrupt u.s. government (all 3 branches)! Who can believe anything they say? … Drudgereport: WObama the b for b*** s*** calls Gibbs $174,000 salary 'relatively modest' ( Come on! In pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, government jobs for the otherwise unemployable at those levels are over-priced and over-valued, as are other so-called executive jobs, ie., fraudulent wall street, etc.. Look at their results! )...   [video] ADP Data Still Fighting For Credibility [ Come on! Pervasively mob infested, corrupt jersey based ADP? There’s nothin’ left in desperation for those b.s. / b.e.(bad economics/finance) talking points and action to froth the market for the frauds on wall street. This is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits because there’s nothin’ there, beyond the smoke and mirrors. This market’s way over-bought and way over-valued!  ] NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Alan Valdes of DME Securities says the market focused on the job revision data as ADP is still viewed with skepticism.

 

 

1 in 6 Americans Live in Poverty  Tradermark ‘One of the biggest mega trends happening in America is the bifurcation of society between the haves and the have nots. Many of the jobs the 'underclass' once did are gone forever, while others spent freely when times were good, and when the tide turned, have little buffer. [Dec 8, 2007: Do the Bottom 80% of Americans Stand a Chance?] After all, saving for a rainy day is what boring people do. Others really never got off the ground, as the K-12 education system has degraded dramatically the past few decades.Frankly the underlying trend - as bad as it is on the surface - has been hidden by multiple bubbles, and most recently, there has been a level of government assistance never seen before. [Nov 5, 2010: USA Today - Anti-Poverty Programs Surpass Cost of Medicare] In terms of government spending. This brings up a host of issues as any changes to the social safety net are going to send millions past GO and directly to impoverished status (and yes there are people gaming the system, but not tens of millions). There are myriad societal effects of the transformation of America from a relative egalitarian society in the 1960s to a 2 or 3 class system - but those are topics for other posts we have done.The official U.S. government tally of who is living in poverty is a joke. We last looked at it about 16 months ago [Sep 19, 2009: US Poverty Rises to 11 Year High - But Still Vastly Understated] For example, if you make $23,000 for a family of 4 - you are not in poverty. If you are single and make $14,000 you are not in poverty. I'm not sure in what counties except for rural Mississippi you can accomplish that cost of living, but apparently the government believes a middle class lifestyle is available at $25K for a family of 4 in all of America. Or at least it would be inconvenient to admit otherwise. And yes once more let me put the caveat that being "poor" in America is different than being poor in Malawi, but in theory we should be comparing ourselves to other first world countries.The AP has an interesting report of a new measure of poverty in the U.S., based on the census. It has a different band of parameters and shows an increase over the government's incredibly generous definition of poverty. What is striking is the large increase in those in the over 65+ camp who fall into poverty. Due to our consumption culture (encouraged by the government at every turn, since we've transformed our economy from good producing to services and consumption) many are entering the golden years with little to nothing.Where once many had their mortgage paid off by the time they retired and hence could live on a much lower income as their largest expense was eliminated, now after a generation of serial refinancing and cash out to finance buying 'what we deserve', many still have the mortgage to worry about even at age 70+. There are many other factors we've discussed often - i.e. the move from pensions to do it yourself savings in a country where saving is a sin and spending is worshiped, the disaster that is the 401k system, etc. Unlike the mortgage crisis which is playing out in a relative short period of time (6-8 years), this grand economic experiment of running an economy on consumption & services (you do my nails, I'll cut your hair, you serve me a beer, I'll cut your lawn, you build a house, I'll default on it) is taking decades to play out. But we're starting to see the first wave of results the past 5-10 years, and it's not pretty.Bigger picture, there are enormous stresses being formed at the bottom end of the society, and more and more are being caught in the net. Anyone who truly believes there will be any serious spending cuts at the federal level does not realize the (increasing) dependency that has been created by the a multitude of poor decisions over the past few decades. Indeed we fast approach the time when 1 in every 5 dollars of "income" are government transfers. [May 25, 2010: 1 in 5.5 Dollars of American Income Now Via Government; All time High] At this point, the genie is out of the bottle and with a dysfunctional government whose only solution is layer on more debt to kick the can down the road, our modern day plutonomy only grows in power. [Sep 7, 2009: Citigroup - America; A Modern Day Plutonomy] However, there appears nothing to be worried about since we've been well trained to parrot the fact that as long as the S&P 500 only goes up, everything in America is fine. Nothing to see here, move along (buy stocks as you are moving of course).
Via AP

  • The number of poor people in the U.S. is millions higher than previously known, with 1 in 6 Americans -- many of them 65 and older -- struggling in poverty due to rising medical care and other costs, according to preliminary census figures released Wednesday.
  • At the same time, government aid programs such as tax credits and food stamps kept many people out of poverty, helping to ensure the poverty rate did not balloon even higher during the recession in 2009, President Barack Obama's first year in office.
  • Under a new revised census formula, overall poverty in 2009 stood at 15.7 percent, or 47.8 million people. That's compared to the official 2009 rate of 14.3 percent, or 43.6 million, that was reported by the Census Bureau last September.
  • Across all demographic groups, Americans 65 and older sustained the largest increases in poverty under the revised formula -- nearly doubling to 16.1 percent. As a whole, working-age adults 18-64 also saw increases in poverty, as well as whites and Hispanics. Children, blacks and unmarried couples were less likely to be considered poor under the new measure.
  • The new measure will not replace the official poverty rate but will be published alongside the traditional figure this fall as a "supplement" for federal agencies and state governments to determine anti-poverty policies. Economists have long criticized the official poverty measure as inadequate because it only includes pretax cash income and does not account for medical, transportation and work expenses. (much like inflation, as long as you don't eat, use energy, pay for healthcare, or have kids in college - you are fine. For poverty as long as you don't go to the doctor, need to drive to work, need daycare, or wear clothes at work - your income is sufficient)
  • "Under the new measure, we can clearly see the effects of our government policies," said Kathleen Short, a Census Bureau research economist who calculated the revised poverty numbers. "When you're accounting for in-kind benefits and tax credits, you're bringing many people in extreme poverty off the very bottom."
  • The official measure is based on a 1955 cost of an emergency food diet and does not factor in other living costs. (that is perverse) Nor does it consider non-cash government aid when calculating income, which surged higher in 2009 during the recession.
  • The effect was seen most notably among older Americans. Under the official poverty rate, about 8.9 percent lived in poverty, mostly because they benefit from Social Security cash payments. But when taking into account out-of-pocket medical expenses and other factors, that number rises to 16.1 percent.
  •  
  • Among the findings:
    --Without the earned income tax credit, the poverty rate under the revised formula would jump from 15.7 percent to 17.7 percent.
  • --The absence of food stamps separately would increase the poverty rate to 17.2 percent.
    --Taking into account millions of uninsured people in the U.S. had little effect in increasing poverty, mostly because those without insurance tend to forgo medical care rather than find ways to pay for it.

[Feb 20, 2009: NYT - Newly Poor Swell Lines @ Food Banks Nationwide]

[Oct 22, 2010: Reuters - The Haves, the Have Nots, and the Dreamless Dead]

[Sep 3, 2010: FT.com - The Crisis in Middle America]
[July 26, 2010: [Video] DatelineNBC - America's Increasing Ranks of Poor]

original article

 

 

Unemployment Claims Are Not What They Appear  Adler ‘First-time unemployment claims rose by 52,038 to 577,279 in the week that ended January 1. The Wall Street captive media is, as usual, fudging the reports by reporting that claims were at 409,000, based on the seasonal hocus pocus. They report an uptick of 18,000 instead of 52,000. Both Dow Jones and Bloomberg are emphasizing that the 4 week moving average dropped sharply. Again, this is based on seasonally adjusted fudge packing.The truth is that while this year's end of year rise in claims is better than the past two years, the numbers are still a lot worse than during good economic times. This week’s jump of 52k compares with a rise of 88,929 in the week that ended 1/2/10. The chart below shows that the normal seasonal uptrend is at a lower trend level than the past two years, but well above 2006-2008. The insured unemployment rate remains well above the 2004-2008 period. However, even that number may be misleading because it uses a base number comprised of a 6 month average from the period that ended in June. Because fewer people are now eligible, the actual rate should be higher.[chart]Because new claims are limited to those eligible, part of the downtrend in new claims is due to the millions of persons losing eligibility. To account for that, the next chart shows new claims as a percentage of those eligible. Here the improving trend shows evidence of leveling off. The normal seasonal spike at the beginning of January needs to hold around .053% to keep the downtrend from the peaks of the past 2 years intact. The green line connects the most recent week with the same week in prior years. Next week’s data should be the seasonal peak.[chart]The Department of Labor calculates the total number of covered employees quarterly, using a 6 month average. The current figure is based on data from the first half of 2010, which is not very useful now. However, it does imply that much of the drop in continuing claims has come from those losing eligibility.[chart]The following chart shows Continued Claims on an inverse scale, overlaid with stock prices and Fed securities holdings. The inverse Continued Claims graph is a directional proxy for total employment. The downtick at this time of year is normal. The trend remains strong which suggests that the seasonally adjusted payrolls data tomorrow should be positive. The consensus calls for a gain of 140,000. As I reported in the Wall Street Examiner Professional Edition Treasury update to subscribers this week, wage tax withholding in December ran 15% ahead of November, but that probably reflects withholding from year end bonuses rather than a significant increase in employment levels. The year to year gain was more muted.[chart]It’s pretty clear from this chart that the Fed is the driver of these trends, but that other forces are at work causing diminishing returns.Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.’

 

 

Expecting Employment Surprise: Dave's Daily  ‘There are a lot of wild estimates making the rounds for employment data Friday. Consensus estimates for new jobs added range from 150-200K, but some whisper numbers are as high as 500K and that would shock many sectors. Meanwhile stocks were hurt early by poorly received December same store sales (despite bullish headlines to the contrary) and rebound higher in Jobless Claims. Nevertheless, the dollar continued to rise as commodity markets were still selling-off. The buzz remains inflation is heating up particularly in food and energy so investors fear tightening even as the Fed is engaged in QE. Now that's interesting!! Bond prices remained rather stable. The Fed tossed in more POMO activity Thursday. As that was announced stocks immediately rallied if only briefly. What a coincidence! In advance of the all-important employment report volume remained light and breadth negative.’

 

 

Are Investors Concerned About Rising Gas Prices?   Rotblut ‘Bullish sentiment extended its streak of above-average readings to 18 consecutive weeks in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. This is the longest such streak since 2004. The percentage of individual investors expecting stock prices to rise over the next six months rose 4.3 percentage points to 55.9%. The historical average is 39%.Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will stay essentially flat over the next six months, fell 2.5 percentage points to 25.9%. Neutral sentiment has been below its historical average of 31% for 22 consecutive weeks.Bearish sentiment, expectations that stocks prices will fall over the next six months, slipped 1.8 percentage points to 18.3%. Bearish sentiment has been below its historical average of 30% for 15 out of the last 17 weeks.Bullish sentiment remains at historically high levels. One example of this is the eight-week moving average of bullish sentiment, which is above 51% for the third consecutive week. (It is at 51.4%.) This measure has not been higher since January 2005. Other measures also suggest sentiment is running hot, including the spread between bullish and bearish sentiment (37.6 percentage points) and the standard deviation (bullish sentiment is more than one standard deviation above the historical mean). High bullish readings have been correlated with market pullbacks, but other indicators should be analyzed before predicting where stocks prices are headed.Individual investors are continuing to feel optimistic about stock prices due to, in part, the sustained rally and additional signs that the economy is recovering. News of upbeat 2011 forecasts from several market strategists is also playing a role.This week’s special question asked AAII members whether they are concerned about the potential impact rising gasoline prices will have the economic recovery.About half of respondents described themselves as being somewhat worried about rising prices at the pump. Many did think the economy will grow, though the pace of the recovery might be slowed. Several members added the caveat that their concerns are dependent on how high prices actually rise. A small number thought higher prices would be good for their energy holdings or would increase demand for fuel-efficient vehicles and other green initiatives. Here is a sampling of the responses:

  • “I believe gasoline must approach $4 per gallon before having a sizable impact on other parts of the economy.”
  • “Higher inflation equals a real tax on investors. It could be a drag on the economy, but the economy will still grow.”
  • “I’m worried, but I think the recovery can still proceed, especially if Congress provides some direction for job growth.”
  • “I’m not too worried. Higher gas prices will be a slight drag, but not sufficient to significantly slow down the economy.”
  • I’m somewhat worried; higher fuel prices may slow the economy some, but they may also help the environment.”

This week’s sentiment survey results:

  • Bullish: 55.9%, up 4.3 percentage points
  • Neutral: 25.9%, down 2.5 percentage points
  • Bearish: 18.3%, down 1.8 percentage points

Historical Averages:

  • Bullish: 39%
  • Neutral: 31%
  • Bearish: 30%

The AAII Sentiment Survey has been conducted weekly since July 1987 and asks AAII members whether they think stock prices will rise, remain essentially flat, or fall over the next six months. The survey period runs from Thursday (12:01 a.m.) to Wednesday (11:59 p.m.). The survey and its results are available online.

 

Less Than 35% of All Stocks Are Undervalued Suttmeier ‘ValuEngine now shows that only 34.6% of more than 5,000 stocks are undervalued with 65.4% overvalued. A reading below 35% may persist for a while, but typically the stock market tops out when less than 35% of all stocks are undervalued. Fifteen of 16 sectors are overvalued by 8.6% for Consumer Discretionary to 33.1% for Basic Industries. Medical is the undervalued sector, but only by 1.4%. The major equity averages are extremely overbought on both daily and weekly charts. The missing ingredient for a top is the lack of nearby risky levels for the major averages. The major equity averages straddle quarterly value levels, pivots and risky levels favoring a reversal-oriented first quarter – 11,395 Dow, 1162.5 SPX, 2853 NASDAQ, 4671 Transports and 765.50 Russell 2000. The rise in the 30-year yield above 4.5% is a major drag on equity valuations. With stock market complacency as high as it is, Comex gold closed below its 50-day simple moving average at 1380.6 for the first time since August 11. Nymex crude oil is above this week’s pivot at $88.50. The euro is between its 200-day at 1.3080 and its 50-day at 1.3422, approaching a test of the 200-day. The Dow is well above my annual pivot at 11,491 without a nearby risky level as the MOJO run continues. Valuations are stretched with only 16.1% of all stocks undervalued by at least 20%, whereas 33.0% of all stocks are overvalued by more than 20%.[chart](Click to enlarge)

It is difficult to find stocks to add to the ValuTrader Model Portfolio as only 76 stocks are rated STRONG BUY or BUY with a market cap of at least five billion and average daily trading volume of 500,000 shares or more, and projected to gain at least 7.5% over the next twelve months. There are twelve stocks in the model portfolio.

Key Levels From My Proprietary Analytics

10-year Note – (3.483) Weekly, annual and semiannual value levels are 3.714, 3.791 and 4.268 with a daily risky level at 3.371. Annual, semiannual and monthly risky levels are 2.690, 2.441, 2.322 and 2.150.

Comex Gold – ($1373.7) Annual, semiannual and annual value levels are $1356.5, $1300.6 and $1187.2 with a weekly pivot at $1380.0. Daily, monthly, quarterly and semiannual risky levels are $1412.74, $1439.0, $1441.7 and $1452.6.

Nymex Crude Oil – ($90.30) Semiannual and monthly value levels are $87.52 and $75.74 with a weekly pivot at $88.50. Annual, semiannual and quarterly risky levels are $99.91, $101.92, $107.14 and $110.87.

The euro – (1.3149) Monthly and weekly value levels are 1.2805 and 1.2703 with quarterly and daily pivots at 1.3227 and 1.3358, and semiannual and annual risky levels at 1.4624, 1.4989, 1.6367 and 1.7312.

Daily Dow: (11,723) Annual, quarterly, weekly, semiannual, monthly and semiannual value levels are 11,491, 11,395, 11,334, 10,959, 10,427 and 9,449 with a daily pivot at 11,687, and annual risky level at 13,890.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.’



Retailers hold down stocks ahead of jobs data (Reuters)  - Stocks slipped on Thursday as soft retail sales and a sharp rise in the dollar left investors edgy a day before December's U.S. employment report.

 

Doug Casey: Prepare for Social Upheaval LewRockwell.com | The big question is not, “Can it happen here?” but, “Will it?” Or maybe, simply, “When?”

 

Fed May Keep Easing at ‘Full Throttle’ Until Decline in Unemployment Rate Bloomberg | Federal Reserve officials signaled they’ll probably push ahead with unprecedented stimulus until the recovery strengthens and many of the 15 million unemployed Americans find work.

 

Why Are Taxpayers Subsidizing Facebook, and the Next Bubble? The New York Times | Is another bubble being formed by ‘too big to fail’ Goldman-Sach’s valuation of FaceBook?

 

 

Record high food prices stoke fears for economy Reuters | Record high food prices are moving to the top of policymaker agendas, driven by fears they could stoke inflation, protectionism and unrest and dent consumer demand in key emerging economies.

 

White House Defends Obama’s Senate Vote against Raising Debt Ceiling But Warns of Catastrophe If GOP Doesn’t Raise Debt Ceiling The Obama administration is warning of catastrophic consequences if Congress does not increase the debt ceiling, the legal limit on how much the federal government can borrow, but Barack Obama held a different view on the issue as a senator in 2006.

 

2011: Year of the Big Default? Every week, Max Keiser looks at all the scandal behind the financial news headlines. Watch the full Episode 110 of the Keiser Report on Thursday.

 

How High Will Gold Go in 2011? Since CNBC has been issuing a non-stop barrage of its own version of reality vis-a-vis gold and other precious metals, it may be time for some counterpoint.

 

An Avalanche of Liquidity Threatens Us With Inflation With Ben Bernanke as our Shepherd how can we go wrong? He tells us quantitative easing is not inflationary.

 

 

 

National / World

 

‘Maryland Staged Terror’ and ‘Prison Cities’ Top Google Trends Aaron Dykes | Following two suspicious explosions today in Maryland, the search term “Maryland Staged Terror” topped Google’s hot trends at #1 this Thursday, January 6, 2011.

 

Alex Jones: DEA uses drug war to spy worldwide  [ Well, I don’t know about the spying, but the DEA certainly isn’t serious about putting a real dent the illegal drug trade inasmuch as they’re hands off the connected u.s. government connected illegal drug ops, ie., cia, etc., (see RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm   )      http://albertpeia.com/FBIAgentAffidavit11.jpg         http://albertpeia.com/CIAAgentAffidavit1.jpg     ] Russia Today | The United States government allegedly infused drugs into our inner cities in order to keep minorities down and destabilize world governments.

 

Maryland Staged Terror? FBI Caught Provocateuring Patsies Paul Joseph Watson | Two explosions in Maryland should be treated with a huge amount of suspicion.

 

A Nation Of Truth-Rejecters Chuck Baldwin | The rejection of truth seems ubiquitous in America today.

 

Utah Welcomes NSA Mega-Snoop Center Kurt Nimmo | The NSA’s job is to keep tabs on Americans who disagree with the government

 

Eco-Fascists Call For Prison Cities People who resist the state controlling every aspect of their existence will be forced to live in squalid ghettos while the rest of the population will be tightly controlled in high-tech prison cities – that’s the future envisaged by eco-fascists who are exploiting the contrived global warming fraud to openly flaunt their plan for the total enslavement of mankind.

 

“The Birds”: Mapping The Global Mass Animal Deaths Graveyard Full interactive map of the now global mass animal deaths outbreak.

 

Utah Welcomes NSA Mega-Snoop Center Utah will be home to NSA’s mega-surveillance program under the aegis of the formerly secret Comprehensive National Cyber-security Initiative.

 

‘Birther’ arrested during Constitution reading A woman was arrested in the House gallery Thursday after interrupting a reading of the Constitution by yelling out her belief that President Barack Obama is not a natural born citizen of the United States.

 

Planned-Opolis: Elitist Agenda For Eco-Enslavement Not content with depicting children being slaughtered in the name of preventing non-existent global warming, climate change alarmists have embarked on a new propaganda campaign lecturing us all about how we will be forced to live in a “planned-opolis,” where car use will be heavily restricted, CO2 emissions will be rationed, meat will be considered a rare delicacy, the state will decide your career, and only the mega-rich elitists enforcing all these new rules and regulations will be exempt from them.

 

 

Authors: CIA waited years to stop nuclear proliferation The US government is guilty of allowing nuclear materials and intelligence to proliferate among some of the most dangerous regimes in the world for more than 30 years, a new book alleges.

 

Pentagon Plans to Send 1,400 Extra Marines To Afghanistan Defense Secretary Robert Gates has decided to send an additional 1,400 Marine combat forces to Afghanistan.

 

In The Future You May Not Be Able To Provide The Basics For Your Family Even If Everyone In Your Family Has A Job Today, millions of American families are extremely stressed out because they are working as hard as they can and yet they find at the end of the month they still haven’t been able to pay all of the bills.

 

 

Drudgereport: Congresswoman calls Afghanistan 'national embarrassment'...
'Epic failure'...
Rep. Lynn Woolsey (D-CA) talks about the "disastrous" war that is Afghanistan. "This war represents an epic failure, a national embarrassment and a moral blight," Rep. Woolsey said. [ But more than that, this war is a blowback-creating, self-perpetuating, self-destructive, self-defeating, colossally expensive debacle benefiting only the war profiteers / lobbies and attendant frauds while diverting attention from the more ’mundane’ tasks of governance of a failing, pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt nation, viz., america. ]
PENTAGON BUDGET SLASH [ Riiiiight! … What’s $80 billion on a trillion dollar tab especially with those off-budget special items whenever they so choose.  ]: OBAMA TO CUT TROOPS ON ACTIVE DUTY
FEDS BREAK GROUND ON SUPER SPY CENTER (Riiiiight! More spending on those ultra-efficient super-spies, ie., Iraq on a lie, illegal drug ops, 9-11 NORAD ordered to stand down, etc., though u.s. defacto bankrupt)...
New Miami Police peeping drone may be first in country; ACLU approves...
Man Arrested for Having 'Suspicious' Bagel on Plane...
Ex-CIA officer charged with leak to NYT reporter...
Packages Cause 'Flash Explosions' At 2 State Gov't Buildings in MD...

One addressed to Gov...
US Treasury asks Congress to lift debt ceiling...
Obama calls Gibbs $174,000 salary 'relatively modest' ( Come on! In pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, government jobs for the otherwise unemployable at those levels are over-priced and over-valued, as are other so-called executive jobs, ie., fraudulent wall street, etc.. Look at their results! )...

 

 

As euro zone expands, tension remains between weak, strong (Washington Post) [ Sounds like a scenario analogous to that in the USSAD, united soviet states of american disunity. After all, how can you justify fraudulent (ie., wall street, etc.) national sinkholes as mob corrupted new york, mob-infested, pervasively corrupt  jersey, etc..] German deficit hawks gained an ally Saturday when Estonia became the 17th member of the euro zone.

 

 

U.N. group warns of possible food crisis (Washington Post) [ Possible? How ‘bout it’s already begun and hence, inevitable particularly since worldwide with few exceptions in looking to the u.s. as analogous to the self-destructive compulsion of an addict or drunk they’ve jumped on the american crazy train, from perpetual wars, to profligate spending, to over-printing of fiat paper currencies, to mark to anything burial and cover-up and no-pros of fraudulent paper schemes of the fraudulent wall street ilk / variety, etc.   ] The Food and Agricultural Organization said Wednesday that the world faces a "food price shock" after the agency's benchmark index of farm commodities prices shot up last month.

 

 

IRS ombudsman: Heavy hand isn't working (Washington Post) [ Heavy hand, indeed; but in reality, a weak one at that BECAUSE, you can’t pay what you don’t have … then again, many people are wondering just what they’re paying for in these admittedly hard times; viz., perpetual and protracted wars, bailouts for the opulent frauds on wall street, profligate spending, rich plushly accoutered federal jobs for slugs of different stripes and failed performance, etc.. ]  By making it harder for taxpayers to get back on their feet, the IRS might actually reduce long-term tax collections, an in-house report says.

 

 

Fed will be in watch mode  (Washington Post) [ Riiiiight! … That eternally vigilant friend only of fraudulent wall street fed … ‘watch’ … as in boob tube? How the (‘no recession’ as per fed) recession (ongoing and great as in depression) imploded states' finances see infra) After a tumultuous 2010, what's on tap for Ben S. Bernanke and the Federal Reserve in 2011?

 

How the recession imploded states' finances (Washington Post) [  This is truly no joke!  Municipal Debt Threatens U.S. Economy Lim ‘The debt crisis that has taken down banks, and even countries, threatens more than 100 American municipalities this year. According to Meredith Whitney, who works as a US research analyst, local and state debts are the biggest concerns to the US economy today. It is large enough to derail economic recovery.

She said that,

There’s not a doubt on my mind that you will see a spate of municipal bond defaults. You can see fifty to a hundred sizable defaults – more. This will amount to hundreds of billions of dollars’ worth of defaults.

American states and cities have a total debt load of around $2 trillion.

New Jersey government Chris Christie summarized it clearly,

We spent too much on everything. We spent money we didn’t have. We borrowed money just crazily. The credit card’s maxed out, and it’s over. We now have to get to the business of climbing out of the hole. We’ve been digging it for a decade or more. We’ve got to climb now, and a climb is harder.

Cities from Madrid to Detroit are struggling to pay off even just basic services such as street cleaning. Ms. Whitney’s comments are likely to put focus on municipal bonds. She is ranked as one of the most influential women in American business. While working for Oppenheimer, a New York investment bank, she predicted that Citibank will cut its dividends. Although she suffered from a lot of criticisms then, her analysis proved to be correct as the bank was forced to seek government bail-out. Ms. Whitney has since started her own consulting firm.

Deficit Already Affecting Public Spending

American states have spent almost $500 billion more than tax revenues. In addition, they face another $1 trillion hole in pension funds. Already, Detroit is cutting road repairs, cleaning services, police, and lighting expenditures which affects 20% of the population. The city has suffered from nearly two decades of decline due to US auto outsourcing. It no longer generates enough wealth to provide services to its 900,000 inhabitants. Meanwhile, Illinois is suffering from similar ills after spending twice as much as it generated in tax. It is already six months behind on creditor payments. It owes $400 million to the University of Illinois alone and has 21% chances of defaulting on its debts. According to CMA Datavision which is a derivatives information company, this percentage is more than any other state. Other states such as California and Arizona are also taking steps to solve their debt problems. California has raised university tuition fees by 32% while Arizona sold its Supreme Court and state capitol buildings before leasing them back. Florida is another state that may be hit by a default; this state is the center of a real estate boom that went best recently.

Philip Brown, the managing director of Citigroup in London said that,

It’s all part of the same parcel: public sector indebtedness needs to be cut, it needs a lot of austerity and it hit the central government first, and now is hitting local bodies.

Unlike banks and other financial institutions, “cities are their own”. According to Andres Rodriguez-Pose, a professor of economic geography at the London School of Economics, “cities will have to pay for their debts, and in some cases they will have to carry out dramatic cuts, such as Detroit’s.” If there is a city that best symbolizes distressed local finances, it is Vallejo in California. Vallejo is a former US navy town located near San Francisco. It has entered into Chapter Nine bankruptcy protection in 2008 and the effects are still resonating up to this day. The city is trying to negotiate with the unions, which has refused to accept a plan to cut salary two years ago. Vallejo has a population of around 120,000 but it carries $195 million in unfunded pension obligations. The town does not have enough local industry to sustain its finances; property tax collection dropped dramatically upon the collapse of the real estate market. Vallejo is given a C rating by Standard & Poor, the lowest level. US cities are more susceptible to defaults than their European counterparts because it relies mainly on municipal bonds while European towns depend on government bailouts and bank loans.

Gold Expectations for 2011

Now, let’s take a look at long-term gold chart (courtesy of StockCharts.com) to see how bullion fared this week:

[chart] For some time, gold has tried to break the upper border of the rising trend channel. Gold prices have been wavering from $1,340 to $1,423 since October 5 with a general upward slope. It has often just fallen by a fraction below the rising trend line. There are signs that a break-out could be seen soon. We take into account that gold is quite bullish at the onset of a new year. The $1,600 target still seems realistic for the early part of 2011. 2010 ended on a high note for precious metals. Gold ended the year at $1,421 an ounce while silver is at $30.91 an ounce. Overall, gold prices rose by 30% in 2010 while silver leaped 80%. Prognostications abound in 2011. These forecasts consider the outlook for currencies, inflation, and interest rates in the world’s largest economies. We’ll examine some of the trends that may influence gold prices:Gold prices tend to rise in times of projected or actual inflation due to the bullion’s status as a “safe haven” asset. Investors who are seeking an asset that reacts favorably to currency devaluation and inflation typically move some of their wealth into gold. Right now, the Fed is more concerned about deflation rather than inflation. As such, they show little reluctance to flood the US economy with dollars. Meanwhile, countries such as India and China want stronger economic growth. The result of this is higher inflation. China’s prices are now 5.1% higher compared to a year ago while India projects an inflation of 5.5% by March 2011. But the correlation between high inflation and high gold prices isn’t set in stone. Although more inflation will initially favor high gold prices, the countervailing policy of keeping interest rates to control inflation sometimes makes interest-bearing instruments more attractive. As of now, however, rates are not high enough to have an impact on gold prices. Historically, the first two months of the year are good for gold. Buyers seek back the gold positions they shed going into the New Year. The continuing inflationary concerns can further support prices in 2011. The Reserve Bank of India said that inflation is not slowing down as quickly as desired. In the US, there are reports that companies are experiencing higher costs for staffing and/or materials, but these costs are not yet being felt by the customers. According to Frank Holmes, the CEO of US Global Investors, “The two pillars of gold are, in any country’s currency, are negative real interest rate and deficit spending.” Mr. Holmes believes that low interest rates won’t go away anytime soon as this would be “catastrophic” to the financial system.’

 

  Video: State pensions face 'death spiral' Wash.Post (It’s not just state and local … it’s national, ie., social security, medicare, Medicaid, veterans, etc., and as well, some companies. ) Sept. 15 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. state pensions such as Illinois, Kansas and New Jersey are in a "death spiral," with assets at many insufficient to cover benefits, payouts consuming a growing portion of resources and costs rising twice as fast as investment gains. Bloomberg's Monica Bertran reports. (Source: Bloomberg) (Bloomberg)

 ] The recession blew a huge hole in the already shaky finances of state governments, causing them to lose nearly one-third of their revenue in 2009, according to a Census Bureau report released Wednesday.

 

 

 

World Food Prices Rise: Get Ready for the Riots?  [ Food Riots Next? FAO Says Food Prices Surpass Record Highs Seen During 2007-2008 Bubble  infowars.com / prisonplanet.com The last time food prices hit ridiculous levels, the immediate outcome was global food riots in places such as Haiti and Bangladesh.   ] Tradermark ‘As the 'financialization' of every commodity of earth continues at pace, and easy money pours out of almost every major central bank, we have now reached the point where food prices have surpassed the record levels of 2008. [Feb 12, 2008: Wheat is Being Ruined by ... what else... Hedge Funds and Speculators] [Apr 28, 2008: Wall Street Grain Hoarding Brings Farmers, Consumers Near Ruin] [Apr 6, 2008: Agflation Hits Rice - Prices Up 50% in 2 Weeks] What happened back then? Just some minor issues such as rioting in many '2nd' and '3rd' world countries. Looks like we need to prepare for another hot summer. And domestically those food stamps are not going to go quite so far as they used to. [Nov 10, 2009: Walmart Executive - "There are Families Not Eating at the End of the Month"]

Oh well, just consider it collateral damage in The Bernank's plan to make us (and Goldman, JPMorgan, et al) all rich via asset inflation. (I will stop by some local food banks to let them know they can make some mad money in the markets to offset the rising prices) Just remember to blame it all on China - that was a great excuse back in 08, even though we saw once leverage was taken out of the financial system prices of commodities suddenly crashed. This repeating epidemic has no relationship at all with financial speculation at all. Nope.

On a related note - a tip of the hat to Congress for the recent ethanol funding expansion, snuck in during the lame duck. If there is one thing that makes sense when we have the potential for global food crisis, it is putting inefficient corn in our cars. [Mar 27, 2008: WSJ - Farm Lobby Beats Back Assault on Subsidies] The main saving grace at this time is rice, which is massively important in the East. Too bad there is not a rice ETF or else speculators with Ben's easy money supply and demand dynamics could push it up much more quickly.

Via Bloomberg:

  • World food prices rose to a record in December on higher sugar, grain and oilseed costs, the United Nations said, exceeding levels reached in 2008 that sparked deadly riots from Haiti to Egypt.
  • An index of 55 food commodities tracked by the Food and Argiculture Organizartion gained for a sixth month to 214.7 points, above the previous all-time high of 213.5 in June 2008, the Rome-based UN agency said in a monthly report. The gauges for sugar and meat prices advanced to records.
  • Sugar climbed for a third year in a row in 2010, and corn jumped the most in four years in Chicago. Food prices may rise more unless the world grain crop increases “significantly” in 2011, the FAO said Nov. 17.
  • Last month’s year-on-year rise compares with the 43 percent jump in food costs in June 2008. Record fuel prices, weather- related crop problems, increasing demand from the growing Indian and Chinese middle classes, and the push to grow corn for ethanol fuel all contributed to the crisis that year.
  • “In 2008 we had rapid increases in petroleum prices, fertilizer prices and other inputs,” Abbassian said. “So far, those increases have been rather constrained. It doesn’t really reduce the fear about what could be in store in the coming weeks or months.”
  • In response to the 2008 crisis, countries from India and Egypt to Vietnam and Indonesia banned exports of rice, a staple for half the world. Skyrocketing food prices sparked protests and riots in almost three dozen poor nations including Haiti, Somalia, Burkina Faso and Cameroon.
  • Rough rice last traded at $13.90 per 100 pounds in Chicago, compared with $20.21 at the end of June 2008.
  • The surge in the FAO food index is principally on the back of rising costs for corn, sugar, vegetable oil and meat, which are less important than rice and wheat for food-insecure countries such as Ethiopia, Bangladesh and Haiti.’

 

 

 

Rising Asset Prices Cannibalize U.S. Growth  , On Wednesday January 5, 2011, 7:44 pm EST

‘Rising asset prices are bad for investors! At first glance this statement makes no sense at all. Upon closer examination, however, there is much truth to this statement. Bear with me for a couple of minutes and you'll see what I mean.

Rising Oil Prices - Good or Bad?

Perception seems to have a bigger influence on news coverage than facts. A recent Wall Street Journal front-page headline read that: 'Oil back at $90 as growth gains pace.'According to the WSJ reporter, 'the recovery in oil prices is an encouraging sign of world growth.' Wait a minute. Since when are rising oil prices (NYSEArca: USO - News) good for the economy?In early 2008, when oil prices were rising, economists were in agreement that the ripple effect of rising crude would sap the American consumer of precious discretionary funds.Obviously, the concept of cause and effect is subject to interpretation. The same cause (rising oil prices) had a different effect in 2008 than it has today. In 2008 it stifled the economy; in 2011 it's viewed as a sign of improvement.Because rising oil prices affect everybody, they are often compared to a flat tax - like a sales tax. More money spent on taxes means less money spent on items that help improve the economy. In fact, some economists argue that rising crude negates much or all of the monetary benefits of the tax cut extension.

Rising Commodity Prices - Good or Bad?

If you've had your money in any single commodity like gold (NYSEArca: GLD - News), silver (NYSEArca: SLV - News), agriculture (NYSEArca: DBA - News) or broad commodity funds (NYSEArca: DBC - News), count yourself happy, but don't get greedy.Commodities had a great run, but similar to high oil prices, high commodity prices cannibalize economic growth. Why? The more money needed to spend on food staples, the more careful you have to be with your discretionary spending.In a still battered real estate market, homebuilders (NYSEArca: XHB - News) have to pass on the extra cost of rising timber, iron and copper prices. What this economy needs is an uptick in real estate prices, not a bigger price tag for building or remodeling homes.

Major Growth Engines in Trouble

Despite rising commodity prices, inflation has been a non-issue domestically, largely because retailers don't have much pricing power.According to Dr. Jim Walker, Founder of Asianomics Limited, higher commodity prices are already impoverishing large parts of emerging markets (NYSEArca: EEM - News) and are sucking the demand from the poor and middle-income class of society.Demand from the middle-class is the growth engine of a healthy economy. Stifling the growth of the world's largest consumer base - China (NYSEArca: FXI - News) - can't be good for business.

The 'New Economy'

Many readers remember a time when the U.S. was a production powerhouse, when General Electric earned profits with items of tangible value not TV stations and financial products; a time where GDP was built on ingenuity, hard work and sweat.The ingenuity portion of the equation is still alive, but look at its transition. The country's biggest and most successful company - Apple - manufactures and assembles nearly all of its products in China.The country's newest and most powerful companies - Groupon and Facebook - were created out of thin air. No disrespect to Mark Zuckerberg and Andrew Mason - they came up with the right concept at the right time - but what role does Facebook and Groupon play in the 'new economy?'Facebook is valued at $50 billion, that's more than triple the market cap of Alcoa. How and what does Facebook contribute to U.S. gross domestic products (GDP) and real organic economic growth? Yes, Facebook employs about a thousand people, but what else?How about Groupon? Groupon is an ingenious business model and has changed (or is about to change) the way Americans shop. Wall Street is cheering Groupon and can't wait for the IPO. However, the new way of buying nurtures frugality and robs restaurants and retail stores of their pricing power. Consumers just won't buy unless they get a 50%+ discount.Don't get me wrong, I have an above average appreciation for coupons - probably because there was no such thing when I grew up in Germany- but Groupon is the antidote to inflation. My guess is that even Bernanke would agree.

Air-pocket Protection

I often hear that technical indicators don't work in an environment where the Fed controls the market and inflates prices at will.If you believe the Fed is pumping up major indexes like the Dow (DJI: ^DJI), S&P (SNP: ^GSPC) and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) you must be wondering how long that will work. If this rally isn't value driven - which in my humble opinion it isn't - stocks have nowhere to go but down, eventually.In essence, the Fed is creating a new bubble in an attempt to mop up the spill left behind by the previous bust. It doesn't take an investment wizard to figure out that this bubble will also burst, eventually. When it does, it will probably get ugly.How do you invest in a market where another potential meltdown lurks behind every correction? You monitor the markets vital signs. How? Technical indicators are the best way.

Technical Analysis - More Valueable than Ever

Using purely technical gauges, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter has identified various long-risk entries (to the upside) since the S&P broke above its 200-day moving average (at the time at 1,115).Technical analysis includes, but is not limited to, interpreting the effect candle formations, chart patterns (such as the ascending triangle or W pattern), acceleration bands, Fibonacci levels, and trading brackets have on prices.A technical approach to the market takes the bias out of investing. Personally, I am bearish on the market, but have learned to trust technicals and wait for high probability set ups, long or short.Despite the recent sentiment extremes, which rivaled or exceeded readings recorded at the 2007 highs, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter has been expecting prices to reach 1,285 for the S&P.   [chart]On December 12, the newsletter commented as follows on the W pattern: 'The W pattern (opposite of the bearish M pattern) is a bullish pattern. The upside target is calculated by the difference between the left side of the W and the bottom of the W (1,227 - 1,173 = 54). The difference is then added to the right breakout of 1,227 (1,227 + 54 = 1,281).'Markets tend to reverse around major resistance points, one of which surrounds the 1,281 area. What happens when stocks (or other asset classes) change direction from up to down? Will it be a temporary correction or a protracted decline?’

 



Municipal Debt Threatens U.S. Economy Lim ‘The debt crisis that has taken down banks, and even countries, threatens more than 100 American municipalities this year. According to Meredith Whitney, who works as a US research analyst, local and state debts are the biggest concerns to the US economy today. It is large enough to derail economic recovery.

She said that,

There’s not a doubt on my mind that you will see a spate of municipal bond defaults. You can see fifty to a hundred sizable defaults – more. This will amount to hundreds of billions of dollars’ worth of defaults.

American states and cities have a total debt load of around $2 trillion.

New Jersey government Chris Christie summarized it clearly,

We spent too much on everything. We spent money we didn’t have. We borrowed money just crazily. The credit card’s maxed out, and it’s over. We now have to get to the business of climbing out of the hole. We’ve been digging it for a decade or more. We’ve got to climb now, and a climb is harder.

Cities from Madrid to Detroit are struggling to pay off even just basic services such as street cleaning. Ms. Whitney’s comments are likely to put focus on municipal bonds. She is ranked as one of the most influential women in American business. While working for Oppenheimer, a New York investment bank, she predicted that Citibank will cut its dividends. Although she suffered from a lot of criticisms then, her analysis proved to be correct as the bank was forced to seek government bail-out. Ms. Whitney has since started her own consulting firm.

Deficit Already Affecting Public Spending

American states have spent almost $500 billion more than tax revenues. In addition, they face another $1 trillion hole in pension funds. Already, Detroit is cutting road repairs, cleaning services, police, and lighting expenditures which affects 20% of the population. The city has suffered from nearly two decades of decline due to US auto outsourcing. It no longer generates enough wealth to provide services to its 900,000 inhabitants. Meanwhile, Illinois is suffering from similar ills after spending twice as much as it generated in tax. It is already six months behind on creditor payments. It owes $400 million to the University of Illinois alone and has 21% chances of defaulting on its debts. According to CMA Datavision which is a derivatives information company, this percentage is more than any other state. Other states such as California and Arizona are also taking steps to solve their debt problems. California has raised university tuition fees by 32% while Arizona sold its Supreme Court and state capitol buildings before leasing them back. Florida is another state that may be hit by a default; this state is the center of a real estate boom that went best recently.

Philip Brown, the managing director of Citigroup in London said that,

It’s all part of the same parcel: public sector indebtedness needs to be cut, it needs a lot of austerity and it hit the central government first, and now is hitting local bodies.

Unlike banks and other financial institutions, “cities are their own”. According to Andres Rodriguez-Pose, a professor of economic geography at the London School of Economics, “cities will have to pay for their debts, and in some cases they will have to carry out dramatic cuts, such as Detroit’s.” If there is a city that best symbolizes distressed local finances, it is Vallejo in California. Vallejo is a former US navy town located near San Francisco. It has entered into Chapter Nine bankruptcy protection in 2008 and the effects are still resonating up to this day. The city is trying to negotiate with the unions, which has refused to accept a plan to cut salary two years ago. Vallejo has a population of around 120,000 but it carries $195 million in unfunded pension obligations. The town does not have enough local industry to sustain its finances; property tax collection dropped dramatically upon the collapse of the real estate market. Vallejo is given a C rating by Standard & Poor, the lowest level. US cities are more susceptible to defaults than their European counterparts because it relies mainly on municipal bonds while European towns depend on government bailouts and bank loans.

Gold Expectations for 2011

Now, let’s take a look at long-term gold chart (courtesy of StockCharts.com) to see how bullion fared this week:

[chart] For some time, gold has tried to break the upper border of the rising trend channel. Gold prices have been wavering from $1,340 to $1,423 since October 5 with a general upward slope. It has often just fallen by a fraction below the rising trend line. There are signs that a break-out could be seen soon. We take into account that gold is quite bullish at the onset of a new year. The $1,600 target still seems realistic for the early part of 2011. 2010 ended on a high note for precious metals. Gold ended the year at $1,421 an ounce while silver is at $30.91 an ounce. Overall, gold prices rose by 30% in 2010 while silver leaped 80%. Prognostications abound in 2011. These forecasts consider the outlook for currencies, inflation, and interest rates in the world’s largest economies. We’ll examine some of the trends that may influence gold prices:Gold prices tend to rise in times of projected or actual inflation due to the bullion’s status as a “safe haven” asset. Investors who are seeking an asset that reacts favorably to currency devaluation and inflation typically move some of their wealth into gold. Right now, the Fed is more concerned about deflation rather than inflation. As such, they show little reluctance to flood the US economy with dollars. Meanwhile, countries such as India and China want stronger economic growth. The result of this is higher inflation. China’s prices are now 5.1% higher compared to a year ago while India projects an inflation of 5.5% by March 2011. But the correlation between high inflation and high gold prices isn’t set in stone. Although more inflation will initially favor high gold prices, the countervailing policy of keeping interest rates to control inflation sometimes makes interest-bearing instruments more attractive. As of now, however, rates are not high enough to have an impact on gold prices. Historically, the first two months of the year are good for gold. Buyers seek back the gold positions they shed going into the New Year. The continuing inflationary concerns can further support prices in 2011. The Reserve Bank of India said that inflation is not slowing down as quickly as desired. In the US, there are reports that companies are experiencing higher costs for staffing and/or materials, but these costs are not yet being felt by the customers. According to Frank Holmes, the CEO of US Global Investors, “The two pillars of gold are, in any country’s currency, are negative real interest rate and deficit spending.” Mr. Holmes believes that low interest rates won’t go away anytime soon as this would be “catastrophic” to the financial system.’

 

Oil Continues Steady Climb Kurt Nimmo | Oil exec predicted $5 per gallon gas prices within two years.

 

Russia-China oil pipeline opens BBC News | The first oil pipeline linking the world’s biggest oil producer, Russia, and the world’s biggest consumer of energy, China, has begun operating.

 

Oil Continues Climb In Line With Lindsey Williams’ Prediction On December 16, Lindsey Williams told Alex Jones the price of crude oil will soon hit $150-200 per barrel and this would translate into gas prices in the range of $4-5 per gallon. Williams, an ordained Baptist minister who went to Alaska in 1971 as a missionary, was told about the price increase by insiders in the oil industry he had befriended.

 

Everything Is Falling Apart: America’s Decaying Infrastructure If you haven’t noticed lately, America is literally falling apart all around us. Decaying infrastructure is everywhere. Our roads and bridges are crumbling and are full of holes.

 

When States Default: 2011, Meet 1841 Land values soared. States splurged on new programs. Then it all went bust, bringing down banks and state governments with them.

 

Oil Prices Enter The Danger Zone High oil prices threaten to derail the fragile economic recovery among developed nations this year, the leading energy watchdog has warned, putting pressure on the Opec oil cartel to increase production.

World Food Prices Rise to Record on Sugar, Meat Costs World food prices rose to a record in December on higher sugar and meat costs, the United Nations said, exceeding levels reached in 2008 that sparked deadly riots from Haiti to Egypt.

 

 

 

National / World

 

Confirmed: Ventura’s Conspiracy Theory Episodes Disappearing from DVRs Kurt Nimmo | Concerted effort by TiVo, AT&T, Comcast to memory hole Police State FEMA show.

 

Choice Of A New World Order Jason Douglass | High fructose corn syrup is engineered to make you fat and unhealthy.

 

Recipe for a Successful 2011 Ron Paul | Will a new Congress elected on the energy of the Tea Party movement find the courage to change course?

 

Censored Jesse Ventura Show On FEMA Camps Survives On You Tube Infowars.com | During his last appearance on the Alex Jones Show, Jesse Ventura confirmed that TruTV was forced to pull the show from their schedule due to government threats.

 

Big Sis Responds In Lawsuit To Suspend TSA Scanners The DHS claims that the scanners are fully compliant with Constitutional requirements and that all other claims that the body imaging program is unlawful are “meritless”, “baseless” and “unfounded”.

 

Food Riots Next? FAO Says Food Prices Surpass Record Highs Seen During 2007-2008 Bubble The last time food prices hit ridiculous levels, the immediate outcome was global food riots in places such as Haiti and Bangladesh.

 

‘Disorientated and wearing just one shoe’: Bizarre last sighting of top White House aide found murdered and dumped in landfill The top Pentagon aide found dead at a landfill site was seen in a confused state 48 hours before his death wandering around the wrong car park and wearing only one shoe.

 

Oil Continues Climb In Line With Lindsey Williams’ Prediction On December 16, Lindsey Williams told Alex Jones the price of crude oil will soon hit $150-200 per barrel and this would translate into gas prices in the range of $4-5 per gallon. Williams, an ordained Baptist minister who went to Alaska in 1971 as a missionary, was told about the price increase by insiders in the oil industry he had befriended.

 

Mass Bird & Fish Die-Offs Go Global, Spark End Times Panic The mass bird and fish die-offs that have affected parts of the U.S. over the last week have now gone global, with Sweden, Brazil and New Zealand becoming the latest countries to experience a phenomena that has sparked both scientific intrigue and apocalyptic panic in equal measure.

 

Censored Jesse Ventura Show On FEMA Camps Survives On You Tube We urge you to watch the videos below because they might not be around for much longer. Jesse Ventura’s Conspiracy Theory show about the police state and FEMA camps, which TruTV never aired because of constant government harassment and pressure, has already been memory-holed and is now under threat of being removed from You Tube as well.

 

Israel said it would keep Gaza near collapse: WikiLeaks Israel told US officials in 2008 it would keep Gaza’s economy “on the brink of collapse” while avoiding a humanitarian crisis, according to U.S. diplomatic cables published by a Norwegian daily on Wednesday.

 

 

DOLLAR FADE: World Bank issues 1st yuan bonds in Hong Kong...
...pushing use of Chinese currency in international markets
Commodities outlook: $100 oil and $1,500 gold...
OIL PRICE 'ENTERS DANGER ZONE'...

World Food Prices Rise to Record on Sugar, Meat Costs...
19 Dems vote against Pelosi...
Worst showing for party nominee since 1923...
Angry crowd forces Netanyahu to halt speech...
THE BIG STINK: Rats Having Field Day In NYC after garbage mess...
Canadian river mysteriously turns bright green...

Hundreds of dead birds in TX...
Thousands of dead fish in FL...
Swedish birds 'scared to death'...
40,000 crabs wash up on UK beaches...
MAP...

 

 

Fed's bond-buying strategy looks likely to run its course (Washington Post) [  Neither rain, nor sleet, but only depletion of trees for current and prospective fiat paper currency printing can keep the no-recession-fed from their wall street obsessive market-frothing rounds (which will end quite badly … as such always has … and always will).  ] Federal Reserve officials appear unlikely to stop their controversial strategy of buying Treasury bonds.

 

 

Agency extends Afghan food-supply contract for firm that hired former director (Washington Post) [  Almost, but not quite as bad as what I experienced with the pervasively corrupt american illegal system:

 

  • Newly appointed judge, Maryanne Trump Barry, Donald Trump’s sister, was assigned the RICO case despite the conflict of interest in light of hundreds of thousands of dollars of illegal (drug) money being laundered through the Trump casinos by the RICO defendants, and despite my motion to recuse her which motion she heard herself and denied, and U.S. Trustee Hugh Leonard with whom I met personally refused to join or file a separate motion to recuse and not long thereafter left said office for private practice at Cole, Shotz, et als on retainer with the RICO defendants as his primary client.
  • Probative and evidentiary documents, affidavits, exhibits, including those turned over to FBI Agent Jeff Hayes in Long Beach, CA, had been given to Assistant U.S. Attorney Jonathan Lacey with whom I met personally at the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Newark, N.J., at which time Samuel Alito was U.S. Attorney, and went over said documents and their probative value with him. Within approximately a month thereafter upon inquiry I was told that Jonathon Lacey was no longer with the office, that the file/documents could not be located, and that there was no further information available concerning contacting him or his location. I thereupon delivered by hand, copies of said documents to the office of then U.S. Attorney Alito, addressed to him, with assurance they would go directly to him. In addition to being inept [ I looked in on the one mob case he had brought, bungled, lost (accidently on purpose?) since I was suing some mob-connected under RICO and the court (I had known / previously met outside of court the judge Ackerman through a client) was absolute bedlam and a total joke since incompetent corrupt Alito brought in all 20 mob defendants (rather than prosecute one or a few to flip them first) who feigning illness had beds/cots in the courtroom along with their moans during testimony and had the jury in stitches. As much as I hate the mob, it truly was funny, if not so tragic.],   Alito is also corrupt (and maybe corrupt because he is inept). After a reasonable (but still rather short) time I called to determine the status and was told that Alito was no longer with the Office of the U.S. Attorney, that he was (appointed) a federal judge, and that neither the documents nor any file or record of same could be located. Alito did parley the same / cover-up into quid pro quo direct lifetime appointment to the Court of Appeals, 3rd circuit, despite the absence of judicial experience or successful tenure as U.S. Attorney (Maryanne Trump Barry as well). This is the same Sam Alito that now sits on the purported highest court in the land. The real application of the illegal rule ‘don’t ask, don’t tell’.

 

 

                                                                                                                   October 15, 2010 (*see infra)

 

 

Steven M. Martinez, Assistant Director In Charge
Federal Bureau of Investigation, USDOJ
11000 Wilshire Blvd., Suite 1700

Los Angeles, CA 90024

 

 

Dear Sir:

 

I enclose herewith 3 copies of the within DVD rom autorun disk (which will open in your computer’s browser) as per your office’s request as made this day (the disk and contents have been scanned by Avast, McAfee, and Norton which I’ve installed on my computer to prevent viral attacks / infection and are without threat). I also include 1 copy of the DVD as filed with the subject court as referenced therein (which files are also included on the aforesaid 3 disks in a separate folder named ‘112208opocoan’). The (civil) RICO action (as you’re aware, the RICO Act is a criminal statute which provides a civil remedy, including treble damages and attorney fees, as an incentive for private prosecution of said claims probably owing to the fact that the USDOJ seems somewhat overwhelmed and in need of such assistance given the seriousness and prevalence of said violations of law which have a corrupting influence on the process, and which corruption is pervasive). A grievance complaint against Coan was also filed concurrently with the subject action and held in abeyance pending resolution of the action which was illegally dismissed without any supporting law and in contravention of the Order of The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District Connecticut. The files below the horizontal rule are the referenced documents as filed. (Owing to the damage to the financial interests of both the U.S. and the District of Congresswoman Roybal-Allard, viz., Los Angeles, the Qui Tam provisions of the Federal False Claims Act probably would apply and I would absent resolution seek to refer the within to a firm with expertise in that area of the law with which I am not familiar).

 

 

The document in 5 pages under penalty of perjury I was asked to forward to the FBI office in New Haven is probably the best and most concise summary of the case  RICO Summary to FBI Under Penalty of Perjury at Their Request (5 pages)      [  ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf   http://albertpeia.com/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf          ].

 

 

The correspondence I received from the Congresswoman by way of email attachment (apparent but typical problem with my mail) along with my response thereto is included on the 3 disks as     fbicorrespondencereyes.htm     .   With regard to the calls to the FBI’s LA and New Haven, CT offices: There was one call to the LA office and I was referred to the Long Beach, CA office where I personally met with FBI Agent Jeff Hayes to whom I gave probative evidentiary documents of the money laundering which he confirmed as indicative of same (he was transferred from said office within approximately a month of said meeting and his location was not disclosed to me upon inquiry). The matter was assigned to FBI Agent Ron Barndollar and we remained in touch for in excess of a decade until he abruptly retired (our last conversation prior to his retirement related to the case and parenthetically, Rudy Giuliani whose father I stated had been an enforcer for the mob to which he registered disbelief and requested I prove it, which I did – he served 12 years in prison, aggravated assault/manslaughter? – and no, there is no Chinese wall of separation – Andrew Maloney’s the one that prosecuted gotti).

 

 

In contradistinction to the statement in said correspondence, there is a plethora of information including evidence supporting the claims set forth in the    RICO VERIFIED COMPLAINT    (see infra). Such includes and as set forth in the case, inter alia,

 

 

  1. A judgment had been entered in my favor in the case, United States District Court Case #3:93cv02065(AWT)(USDCJ Alvin Thompson), worth approximately now in excess of $300,000 remains unaccounted for and which could be used for payment to creditors, Los Angeles, etc..
  2. Counsel Robert Sullivan on my behalf documented by way of certification upon investigation that Alan Shiff, USBCJ, had falsely stated a dismissal upon which false statement he predicated a retaliatory and spurious contempt proceeding against me causing substantial damage, and for which he sought Judicial Notice of those and related proceedings as did I in some of my filings.
  3. The Order of Dismissal With Prejudice by Alan Shiff, USBCJ, owing to Defendant Coan’s failure to file anything whatsoever by the court’s deadline causing creditors and me substantial damages:   [  Shiff Order of Dismissal With Prejudice on Coan’s Failure to File        Page 1                Page 2          ]
  4. Defendant Coan had filed an action against me to prevent me from suing him which necessitated me to fly to Connecticut for a hearing before The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District of Connecticut, who denied Coan’s requested relief as to Coan but precluded my action against Shiff (although there is no immunity, judicial or otherwise, for criminal acts, ie., fraud connected with a case under Title 11, USC, etc.) . [   transcript in pertinent part -     crossexamofcoanbypeia.pdf   ]
  5. Newly appointed judge, Maryanne Trump Barry, Donald Trump’s sister, was assigned the RICO case despite the conflict of interest in light of hundreds of thousands of dollars of illegal (drug) money being laundered through the Trump casinos by the RICO defendants, and despite my motion to recuse her which motion she heard herself and denied, and U.S. Trustee Hugh Leonard with whom I met personally refused to join or file a separate motion to recuse and not long thereafter left said office for private practice at Cole, Shotz, et als on retainer with the RICO defendants as his primary client.
  6. Probative and evidentiary documents, affidavits, exhibits, including those turned over to FBI Agent Jeff Hayes in Long Beach, CA, had been given to Assistant U.S. Attorney Jonathan Lacey with whom I met personally at the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Newark, N.J., at which time Samuel Alito was U.S. Attorney, and went over said documents and their probative value with him. Within approximately a month thereafter upon inquiry I was told that Jonathon Lacey was no longer with the office, that the file/documents could not be located, and that there was no further information available concerning contacting him or his location. I thereupon delivered by hand, copies of said documents to the office of then U.S. Attorney Alito, addressed to him, with assurance they would go directly to him. In addition to being inept [ I looked in on the one mob case he had brought, bungled, lost (accidently on purpose?) since I was suing some mob-connected under RICO and the court (I had known / previously met outside of court the judge Ackerman through a client) was absolute bedlam and a total joke since incompetent corrupt Alito brought in all 20 mob defendants (rather than prosecute one or a few to flip them first) who feigning illness had beds/cots in the courtroom along with their moans during testimony and had the jury in stitches. As much as I hate the mob, it truly was funny, if not so tragic.],   Alito is also corrupt (and maybe corrupt because he is inept). After a reasonable (but still rather short) time I called to determine the status and was told that Alito was no longer with the Office of the U.S. Attorney, that he was (appointed) a federal judge, and that neither the documents nor any file or record of same could be located. Alito did parley the same / cover-up into quid pro quo direct lifetime appointment to the Court of Appeals, 3rd circuit, despite the absence of judicial experience or successful tenure as U.S. Attorney (Maryanne Trump Barry as well). This is the same Sam Alito that now sits on the purported highest court in the land. The real application of the illegal rule ‘don’t ask, don’t tell’.

 

 

There is applicable insurance / surety coverage and neither LA, nor creditors, nor I should continue to have been damaged by this brazened corrupt and illegal scenario, which should be resolved in accordance with the meaningful rules of law apposite thereto.

 

 

Sincerely,

 

 

Albert L. Peia

611 E. 5th Street, #404

Los Angeles, CA 90013

(213) 219-**** (cell phone)

(213) 622-3745 (listed land line but there are unresolved problems with the line, computer connection may be the reason but I hesitate to chance greater non-performance / worsening by their ‘fix’ so cell phone best for contact).

 

 

                       ----------

 

*The foregoing and as indicated therein was previously send 9-14-10 but delivery confirmation was flawed as set forth below and my inquiries to the u.s. postal service rebuffed (I believe tampered with inasmuch as your office could not locate same). This cover letter (9-13-10) is on the 3 disks with navigable hyperlinks to the subject files for ease of reference, including the files in the RICO action as indicated. (10-15-10) I spoke with Rose, FBI, ADIC Secretary, who indicates once again that your office has not received the aforesaid and which can reasonably be presumed to have been tampered with, and hence, a violation of the federal statute concerning same. ]

 

 

 

Protection bureau to hire general's wife (Washington Post) [  Wow! Sounds like a plan! Talk about insiders and concentrations of power. After all, would you argue with anything sweet Holly Polly Petraeus proffered with the full weight of the military behind her. Somehow, though I’m not goin’ to talk ‘bout smell tests here (you know, that ‘weight of the military thing’), there seems to be something amiss, not quite right here, ‘cause what and why Hollywood do this or that …’  ] Holly Petraeus will lead Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's Office for Service Member Affairs.

 

 

Regional unemployment edges down in November (Washington Post) [  No surprise there with the layer upon layer of bureaucracy, including the alphabet soup kitchens, viz., cia, nsa, dod, doj, etc., whose ranks can include loads of temps, gophers, waiters, ‘runners’, (you know, make-shift / make-work jobs, etc., to froth numbers, despite the nation’s defacto bankruptcy and reality beyond the bubble. 

 

Jobless Recovery?: 25 Unemployment Statistics That Are Almost Too Depressing To Read ‘… Unemployment is up again! That’s right – even though Wall Street is swimming in cash and the Obama administration is declaring that “the recession is over”, the U.S. unemployment rate has gone even higher. So are you enjoying the jobless recovery? …  There is a sea of red ink on every level of American society.  It is only a matter of time before it destroys our economy. IF YOU THINK THAT THINGS ARE BAD NOW, JUST WAIT.  THINGS ARE GOING TO GET A WHOLE LOT WORSE.  A HORRIFIC ECONOMIC COLLAPSE IS COMING, AND IT IS GOING TO BE VERY, VERY PAINFUL.’




Howard Davidowitz on the Economy: "Here Are the Numbers ... WE'RE BROKE!"   11-25-10  The U.S. economy "is a complete disaster," Howard Davidowitz declared here in July, the most recent in a string of dire predictions from Tech Ticker's most entertaining guest.On the eve of Thanksgiving, I asked Davidowitz if he had any regrets, or was ready to throw in the towel given recent signs of economic revival. Are you kidding me? "Here are the numbers...we're broke," Davidowitz declares, noting the U.S. government goes $5 billion deeper into debt every day and is facing $1 trillion-plus annual deficits for the next decade. "In other words, we're bankrupt."As with the economy, Davidowitz is unwaveringly consistent in his views on President Obama, calling him "deranged, dysfunctional and discredited."Results of the midterm election show "the people of this country think we are in a catastrophe," he says. "I'm with them."Check the accompanying video for more of Howard's unfettered opinions and stay tuned for additional clips from this interview. And...Happy Thanksgiving! Aaron Task is the host of Tech Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at [email protected]

 

 

 

Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘

 

 



     ] The Washington region's unemployment rate dipped only slightly in November from a year ago.

 

 

New Congress, old style  (Washington Post) [  Come on! It’s articles like this, particularly lately by Mr. Milbank, that’ve been  hurting my eyes and ears. One party / administration more corrupt than another in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america? You’d need a micrometer to discern the difference. Those dogs don’t hunt no more. It’s not so long ago that one can’t remember (Reagan / bush) Iran Contra (which was just another excuse for operatives / cia / etc., to enrich themselves via illegal drug trade / arms which they’d do anyway but wrap themselves in the flag as so-called patriots for legal protection, ie., that so-called purported ‘technicality’ (bribe) that threw out knucklehead accomplice ollie north’s felony, etc., dumbya bush’s war crimes, war on a lie, wall street’s rampant and protected fraud, war profiteering, the clinton scandalous, etc., years. All three branches of the u.s. government are hopelessly and pervasively corrupt. (see RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm   )   . But, let us also grudgingly admit that any accusation of corruption in american government is at least on its face, true; because, it really is true despite the concomitant reality of the ‘pot calling the kettle black’ scenario. ]  Milbank: The new GOP majority and its leader, Eric Cantor, are acting a lot like the Dems they beat.

 

 

Short-Term, High-Probability Mean-Reversion Indicator: Overbought Readings Continue to Increase Crowder ‘It was the best start to a year in over seven years, but I am not sure how long Monday’s gain will last, at least over the short-term.According to my High-Probability, Mean-Reversion overbought/oversold indicator, most of the ETFs I follow have pushed into a short-term “overbought” to “very overbought” state. As I have stated ad nauseum, when this many ETFs hit a short-term extreme the market typically takes a short-term reprieve (1-3 days).The XLB position that is currently held in the High-Probability, Mean-Reversion strategy moved in the red Monday although it was only a slight move. The position, in my opinion, still looks rather well-positioned given the short-term extreme overbought state of the market and XLB.Since I placed the trade there have been some incredibly large positions taken in XLB. Someone sure thinks the Materials sector (XLB) is headed south. Check it out here.The year ended with some nice gains as the High-Probability, Mean-Reversion strategy made 9.7% gains for the month to follow up the 3.7% in November. Not bad for the first two months of the strategy. Hopefully 2011 will bring allow for more gains in the strategy.As I stated last week, going back over the last seven years, if you purchased QQQQ on the 8th trading day of January and held until the end of the month, you would have had returns of -2.3%, -3.1%, -2.3%, -2.7%, -4.1%, -1.6% and -7.7%. The median maximum gain during those trades was +0.7% compared to a median draw down of -5.3%.

Short-Term High-Probability, Mean-Reversion Indicator – as of close 1/03/10

Benchmark ETFs

* S&P 500 (SPY) – 86.5 (very overbought) / RSI (2) – 96.5
* Dow Jones (DIA) –79.5 (overbought)
* Russell 2000 (IWM) – 71.4 (overbought)
* NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) – 74.5 (overbought)

Sector ETFs

* Biotech (IBB) – 62.5 (neutral)
* Consumer Discretionary (XLY) – 70.5 (overbought)
* Health Care (XLV) – 72.5 (overbought)
* Financial (XLF) – 84.2 (very overbought)
* Energy (XLE) – 89.5 (very overbought) / RSI (2) – 98.8
* Gold Miners (GDX) – 48.5 (neutral)
* Industrial (XLI) – 80.1 (very overbought)
* Materials (XLB) – 91.4 (very overbought) / RSI (2) – 95.7
* Real Estate (IYR) – 85.8 (very overbought) / RSI (2) – 96.0
* Retail (RTH) – 76.2 (overbought)
* Semiconductor (SMH) – 61.8 (neutral)
* United States Oil Fund (USO) – 64.1 (neutral)
* Utilities (XLU) – 68.3 (neutral)

International ETFs

* Brazil (EWZ) – 82.0 (very overbought) / RSI (2) – 98.7
* China 25 (FXI) – 72.2 (overbought)
* EAFE (EFA) – 77.4 (overbought)
* South Korea (EWY) – 91.9 (very overbought) / RSI (2) – 99.1

Commodity ETFs

* Gold (GLD) – 64.9 (neutral)

Ultra Extremes

* Small Cap Bear 3x (TZA) – 24.6 (oversold)
* Small-Cap Bull 3x (TNA) – 74.1 (overbought)
* UltraLong QQQQ (QLD) – 75.4 (overbought)
* Ultra Long S&P 500 (SSO) – 90.2 (very overbought)
* Ultra Short S&P 500 (SDS) – 10.7 (very oversold)
* UltraShort 20+ Treasury (TBT) – 43.5 (neutral)

Disclosure: I am short XLB.’

 

 

China Stocks’ Best Forecaster Predicts Further Slump in 2011

 

Housing: A Drag on the Economy in 2011 (Part 2)

 

When the Going Gets Tough, Governments Seize Private Pensions Depew ‘If you were of an Austrian economics bent, and could read Polish, you'd find this article from Mises.pl, about governments seizing private pension funds to make up for revenue shortfalls, fascinating. But perhaps you cannot read Polish? Very well. The Christian Science Monitor has an English version of the article translated via The Adam Smith Institute Blog.

The most striking example is Hungary, where last month the government made the citizens an offer they could not refuse. They could either remit their individual retirement savings to the state, or lose the right to the basic state pension (but still have an obligation to pay contributions for it). In this extortionate way, the government wants to gain control over $14bn of individual retirement savings.

The Bulgarian government has come up with a similar idea. $300m of private early retirement savings was supposed to be transferred to the state pension scheme. The government gave way after trade unions protested and finally only about 20% of the original plans were implemented.

A slightly less drastic situation is developing in Poland. The government wants to transfer of 1/3 of future contributions from individual retirement accounts to the state-run social security system. Since this system does not back its liabilities with stocks or even bonds, the money taken away from the savers will go directly to the state treasury and savers will lose about $2.3bn a year.

I sure hope the U.S. government doesn't touch my private pension. Wait, I want a private pension!’ [They already have!]

 


Beware of the Wall Street Pump Job The Housing Time Bomb [ The old new pump and dump! ]’ Articles like the one below really bother me after the rally we have seen in the past two years:

Is the retail investor returning to stocks?

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stocks just posted back-to-back years of strong gains, yet the small U.S. investor largely remained a spectator. Now financial advisers say investors, many of whom rode out the financial crisis in cash and bonds, are slowly regaining confidence."What I'm seeing now is there's a lot more talk about getting into stocks," said David Gottlieb, a Cleveland adviser for Edward Jones, a nationwide brokerage catering to middle-class Americans.Gottlieb, who for several months has encouraged clients to increase their stock allocations, advises reducing bond holdings and buying dividend-paying stocks.The Standard & Poor's 500 Index kicked off the new year by rising 1.1 percent on Monday, reaching levels not seen since the weeks before Lehman Brothers collapsed in September 2008. Large company shares, as a group, have nearly doubled since their March 2009 lows, reflecting two years of double-digit gains.Worries of a banking system collapse and the deepest recession in more than 70 years drove many retail investors out of the stock market back in 2008. And the May 2010 "flash crash," when stocks lost 700 points in minutes for no apparent reason, further undermined confidence.
Investors showed their dismay by pulling money from stock mutual funds month after month, opting for the perceived safety of cash and bonds.

My Take:
What's your point Reuters? Are you telling investors to buy stocks because confidence is slowly coming back? Is that a solid fundamental reason to buy?Is now really the time to buy stocks after the equity markets have basically doubled since the lows?There are just as many money managers advising caution in our current investment environment as there are money managers who are advising investors to take on more risk. There are severe structural issues with our economy that are not going away, and it angers me that just about every article out of the media slants their articles into suggesting that you should buy stocks.Shouldn't the media be totally skeptical of Wall St. after watching equities plummet 50% twice within the same decade? Also, let's not forget that these are the same criminals that just finished putting of millions of Americans into homes that they cannot afford which are worth 30% less than what they paid for them.Shouldn't the press be relentlessly hammering Wall St after causing Americans so much financial pain in the last decade? I don't get it:Why does Wall St. always get a free pass when they destroy America's 401k's? Why isn't the article above titled "Is Now the time to sell stocks after a 90% rally?" The media needs to understand that they have a responsibility when they write this kinda fluff. To be fair Reuters did toss in a paragraph in the middle of the piece warning of the risks of getting into stocks:

Still, some advisers are being very cautious.William Jordan of William Jordan Associates in Laguna Hills, California, says he is telling clients not to increase their stock exposures."As good as the past two years have been, you can't say the stock market is undervalued. I'm not bailing out, but I'm advising people to take some profits."Clients also are encouraged to stick with their investment plans. Scott Smallman, a Seattle broker for Wedbush Securities, said he has been checking to see if the stock market rebound has pushed some stock exposures too high."When markets are good, our job is to talk clients down from the ceiling," said Smallman, who on Monday encouraged some clients to consider buying municipal bonds."


The Bottom Line
In my opinion, this article is far from "fair and balanced". Reuters quoted 4 "pump monkey" advisers suggesting that everyone should be piling into stocks versus only 2 advisers that were "cautious". There were zero "bears" in the piece which is ridiculous when you look at Wall Street's performance over the last 10 years. You are down 20% if you listened to these bubble makers over the last decade. There are numerous potentially catastrophic risks that remain out there and they are rarely if ever laid out by the MSM. High unemployment, bankrupt banks, and insolvent countries are just just a few that come to mind.I am amazed at how short all of our memories are when it comes to Wall St. The financial system was brought to it's knees two years ago by these pigs, and it's still sitting there crippled as the Fed runs up the credit card pretending that the economy is recovering.The MSM should be ashamed of themselves for ignoring the financial fraud and printing pieces of garbage like the one above.What ever happened to hardcore journalism? Walter Cronkite must be rolling over in his grave. Sadly, our media outlets now have the attention span of an 8 year old with ADD. If the news is a week old then it's history in their books.’ [  If it was only attention that was lacking there’d be at least a modicum of hope. The really sadly here is that most understand so little of what’s going on and those that do (understand) are want to report it; you know, mum’s the word, code omerta, no party-poopers allowed, etc.. ]

 

Dodd-Frank and the Return of the Loan Shark Wall Street Journal | In the name of consumer protection, Congress has pushed more Americans outside the traditional banking system.

 

The Rise of the New Global Elite The Atlantic | Two separate economies are emerging from the economic crisis as the elite get richer and the middle class join the ranks of poor.

 

The Never-Ending “Business of Centralization” Damon W. Root | What’s wrong with placing a few limits on federal power?

 

 

National / World

 

 

Ron Paul Talks 2012 Presidential Run: “I am Involved In A Revolution” Steve Watson | The Congressman appeared alongside his son, Senator elect Rand Paul on CNN’s Anderson Copper 360 show.

 

The Global Elite’s “ENDGAME” for Humanity Infowars | Canadian author, blogger, and philosopher Stefan Molyneux of freedomainradio.com joins the show to discuss several key issues. Big Pharma is preparing to exploit the new swine flu scare, news on the economy, and more.

 

Keiser Report: Monsanto and the Seeds of Evil RT | This time, Max Keiser and co-host, Stacy Herbert, about the US State Department’s genetically modified retaliation against France, more missing billions in Afghanistan and shopping frenzies in Britain.

 

Gladio reprise: More False Flag Operations Wayne Madsen | There are already signs that the paradigm shift from Islamist terrorism to leftist anarchism is already occurring.

 

The Madness Of A Lost Society 2: Final Warnings Youtube | We didn’t stand up for truth, we didn’t stand up for the Constitution, we didn’t stand up for the rule of law. And now the day of reckoning is upon us. Please, prepare.

 

Obama Picks Mobbed-Up Wall Street Insider For Powerful Administration Role Reports that Barack Obama is considering naming William Daley, a JPMorgan Chase & Co. executive and former U.S. Commerce secretary, to a powerful position within the White House, serve as a reminder that while posing as a squeaky-clean man of the people, Obama is the ultimate establishment lackey.

 

 

 

Falling birds likely died from massive trauma The thousands of birds that fell from the sky just before midnight New Year’s Eve in Arkansas likely died from massive trauma, according to a preliminary report released Monday.

 

Is The New Madrid Fault Earthquake Zone Coming To Life? What in the world is happening in the middle of the United States right now? Thousands of birds are falling dead from the skies, tens of thousands of fish are washing up on shore dead, earthquakes are popping up in weird and unexpected places and people are starting to get really freaked out about all of this.

 

500 Dead Birds Found In Louisiana Town Around 500 dead blackbirds and starlings have been found in Pointe Coupee Parish, according to state wildlife officials.

 

Lindsay Lohan Moves Out Of Hollywood & In To Venice, CA TV.com [  Public Enemy No. * - Right … No!  This is ridiculous! In California of all places (where crime rates, including violent serious crimes, as in america generally are understated across the board and yet america can boast the highest crime rates in world by far. After all, didn’t that pathetic former male model / actor / pretender schwarzenegger cut by more than half the sentence for murder / manslaughter to politically juice his own end of days scenario. Schwarzenegger is living proof of the substantial brain damage attendant to steroid use. The ‘tough on crime change meister’ … What a total gutless wonder and fraud schwarzenegger turned out to be … and no small wonder he’s pluggin’ for a position in the wobama administration. )  ]  Due to conflicting reports as to whether or not Lindsay Lohan is actually out of rehab right now, we aren't entirely sure where in the world the troubled starlet is at the moment.    Palm Desert PD Gunning for Lindsay From the Get-Go TMZ.com     People: Lindsay Lohan may go back to jail San Jose Mercury News

 

Drudgereport: NATIONAL DEBT TOPS $14 TRILL
OIL PRICE 'ENTERS DANGER ZONE'
FORTUNE: 2011: Year of the bank run?
Severed head hung from bridge in Tijuana...

Pakistani governor murdered -- by own guard...
Philippines politician takes photo of assassin -- moments before being killed...
POLL: Voter Concern About Economy Hits Highest Level In Over Two Years...
Unemployment up in two-thirds of metro areas; most since June...
UPDATE: BIRDS DROP FROM SKY OVER LOUISIANA...

MYSTERY...  
Tens of thousands of small fish die in Chesapeake Bay...
Kentucky woman reports dozens of dead birds in her yard...
100 tons of dead fish wash up on Brazil's shores...
House Republicans move to repeal Obama healthcare...
...may starve financial reform of cash
House Republicans plan assault on Obamacare...

BOEHNER PLANS REPEAL VOTE -- IN WEEKS...
Issa: Obama administration 'one of most corrupt in modern times'...
...vows to take on White House over spending...
New Congress sets its eyes on oversight...
COMING SOON: THE INVESTIGATIONS
Israel preparing for 'large scale war'...
Iran 'shoots down Western spy drones' in Gulf...

 

 

What it took to get the defense spending bill passed (Washington Post) [ Given the defacto bankrupt status of the nation, I’d say, like the unprecedented and insurmountably great national debt, unprecedented and insurmountably great stupidity.  Drudgereport: NATIONAL DEBT TOPS $14 TRILL

Howard Davidowitz on the Economy: "Here Are the Numbers ... WE'RE BROKE!"   11-25-10  The U.S. economy "is a complete disaster," Howard Davidowitz declared here in July, the most recent in a string of dire predictions from Tech Ticker's most entertaining guest.On the eve of Thanksgiving, I asked Davidowitz if he had any regrets, or was ready to throw in the towel given recent signs of economic revival. Are you kidding me? "Here are the numbers...we're broke," Davidowitz declares, noting the U.S. government goes $5 billion deeper into debt every day and is facing $1 trillion-plus annual deficits for the next decade. "In other words, we're bankrupt."As with the economy, Davidowitz is unwaveringly consistent in his views on President Obama, calling him "deranged, dysfunctional and discredited."Results of the midterm election show "the people of this country think we are in a catastrophe," he says. "I'm with them."Check the accompanying video for more of Howard's unfettered opinions and stay tuned for additional clips from this interview. And...Happy Thanksgiving! Aaron Task is the host of Tech Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at [email protected]

 

Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘
 ]

 

Israeli troops kill Palestinian man at checkpoint in West Bank (Washington Post) [ Could you imagine if it was a jew who was killed. Beyond the stereotype which is easily envisioned, you’d never hear the end of it. But israel sees no need to adhere to laws governing the civilized throughout the world, from illegal nukes, to u.n resolutions (ie., 343, 338, etc), international law, etc., and hence, the strife we see in the region and throughout the world.  ]

 

U.S.-built infrastructure is deteriorating (Washington Post) [ At first glance, I thought this article was miscategorized as a national story in the World section. Indeed, there’s no denying the truth of the title as to america generally, domestically. Yet, the tragedy is that the tainted, destructive, self-defeating wars for america have been a boon for war profiteers, frauds of all stripes, when this defacto bankrupt america is sorely in need of repair, replacement of its own shoddy, aging infrastructure suffering from the domestic equivalent of similar scams, kickbacks, shoddy workmanship and all. After all, it got to the point that they didn’t even go through the motions / façade and actually flew $12 billion in hundred dollar bills into Iraq which to this day is unaccounted for / unprosecuted … like the wall street frauds, since the worthless toxic paper cashed out by wall street is still out there in the trillions now marked to anything. ] Roads, canals and schools built in Afghanistan as part of a special U.S. military program are crumbling under Afghan stewardship, despite new steps imposed over the past year to ensure reconstruction money is not being wasted, according to government reports.

 

 

Bank of America settles loan dispute with Fannie, Freddie (Washington Post) [ Guess they’re just looking for some year end bonus money (maybe not, depending on the controls, if any, if enforced – they weren’t last year). After all, though I believe the wall street frauds have been cashing out, albeit somewhat surreptitiously by way of QEs 1,2, etc., and for ever more worthless over-printed fiat dollars, that ‘toxic’ worthless paper is still out there in the many trillions marked to anything. Indeed, Davidowitz adds that with record numbers of americans on food stamps, real unemployment at 17+, wall street is giving out record bonuses from their accomplished fraud (with no-recession b.s. bernanke help) of $144 BILLION …]   Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have accepted $2.8 billion from Bank of America to largely put to rest claims that the bank sold them faulty loans.

 

 

Incoming House GOP chairmen have a long list of issues to investigate (Washington Post) [ Yeah … Sounds like a plan! … One that requires backtracking at least to dumbya bush days and war based on a lie with wobama taking up where dumbya bush left off; viz, that perpetual war thing though the nation’s defacto bankrupt. Then there’s the still no pros for the largest and most massive securities fraud in the history of the world with consequences still extant to the tune of trillions in toxic / worthless paper now marked to anything they so choose as per legislative mandate via FASB rule change (bush’s and surprising to some wobama’s base) . A full plate, there is no doubt. But, butt, just posturing, politicking, don’t look for anything of consequence though there’s plenty there. Then there’s zionist peter king of the national sinkhole new york (   / new jersey- Bankrupt Government Has Plans For Your Unused Gift Cards.  [Mob infested, (and like america, generally) pervasively corrupt, meaningfully lawless and defacto bankrupt toxic, disgusting jersey is just doing what they’ve done for at least decades … no surprise here. (see RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm   )     ] Jason Douglass ‘…Saving up this years gift cards to make a large purchase? You better use them up fast because state governments like New Jersey think they have a better use for that money. In an attempt to save themselves from obvious mismanagement, state authorities have begun steps to confiscate the balance left on your unused gift cards. Arguably, gift cards are one of the biggest scams going. Most consumers have been exposed to gift card’s eccentricities and know how impossible it is to use all the money on the card. Then, once the transaction is complete, it is twice as difficult to get the remainder of the balance left on the card in cash. Now our public officials want to get in on the scam.Large amounts of unused cash are locked away in these effective little marketing devices and New Jersey thinks they have a right to seize that money from you. In fact, they’ve already taken the steps to do just that…’     ]

 

 

Profit From the Rally's Inevitable End: My Correction Wish List Invest Chief ‘As we say goodbye to 2010, we look towards the future and what 2011 will bring. As you may or may not know, bullish optimism hit historical highs for the outlook of 2011. I mean you could find the wildest outlooks, such as Dow 20,000, housing crisis solved, unemployment 6%, etc.There was certainly no shortage of ridiculous claims that will not come true. The point is, the best way for success in the markets is to simply roll with the punches. Whether the Dow goes to 6,000 or 60,000, you must roll with the punches and profit from the changes. If you are too focused on a certain Dow level or other catalyst, you may be waiting for a long time, missing out on profits along the way.The first “punch” investors are going to get is a correction. The Dow had a huge run in December and investors will be taking profits as they had begun to do in the last few trading days in 2010. It is advised that you take profits and wait for the correction. While the correction is occurring, select a “wish list” of companies that you would like to snatch up at cheaper prices. That way all you have to do is place orders. The homework to value your stocks should be your reasoning to place them on your “wish list”.I have my “wish list” ready to go. Here are a few of my stocks that I am planning on buying during the correction:

  • Royal Shell Corp (RDS.B)
  • Harford Financial (HIG)
  • Diana Shipping Inc (DSX)
  • First Niagara Financial (FNFG).

Shell is one of the best integrated oil plays right now. It pays over 5% dividend, P/E of 13.3, financially stable, good cash flow. It should also be noted that Shell recently inked a huge deal with Qatar, which should help boost earnings no doubt.Hartford was devastated by the 2008 crisis, dropping from its high of $66 the stock now stands at 26.50. Hartford is the most undervalued company its industry, in cash flow. Also, it has a P/E of 11. Hartford has a good management team behind it and it will surely blossom as the economy recovers.

Diana Shipping has been catching big money’s attention lately. Diana is pretty undervalued with a P/E of 7.8. Diana outpaces the rest of its industry in ROE, debt/equity, growth, and cash flow. Diana is a great stock if you want exposure to bulk shipping. A well known competitor of Diana Shipping is DryShips (DRYS). Based on value, Diana is a better call.First Niagara is a regional bank with 171 branches in the Northeast United States. First Niagara is one of the stronger regional banks which makes it a good takeover play. First Niagara weathered the recession well and they pay a 4% dividend. The only major problem I have with FNFG is the fact that they have a sizable amount of debt on their balance sheet but like I said, this is a pretty good takeover play and they pay a nice dividend while you wait. Another regional bank I would recommend for 2011 is East West Bancorp (EWBC).The message I am trying to get across is that you should always have a list of desired stocks that you would like to pick up when a pullback occurs. Regardless, it is always important to do your homework on a stock to understand if that stock fits your investing style.

The best way to profit in the stock market is always being prepared for the inevitable. A correction is coming; stocks are just too expensive right now after the huge rally we have had. It is time to take some profits and wait patiently for a pullback and pick up some great names at a cheaper price…’

 

 

Market Crash on 1/31/11? Technical indicators suggest market collapse may begin by January 31st

 

 

 

Is This a Major Market Top? [ Truth be told, there was a time when I read Barron’s with great regularity (no more). I never missed Alan Abelson’s incisively sharp wit and the market laboratory, the latter being supplanted by readily accessible numerical data on the web. I also don’t recall Alan Abelson ever being wrong and I don’t think he’s wrong here, particularly when you consider the costs, fraud, and insanity underlying this manipulated and inflated stock market which bubble is at best a (contrived) bull cycle in a secular bear market. ] Roche ‘With economic recovery still in doubt and sentiment readings at their highest levels since the S&P 500 topped in 2007, some market prognosticators find the latest surge in stocks to have been irrational. There is now a near universal belief that stocks have but one direction to go and that has some investors feeling uneasy. This weekend’s Barron's showed the diametrically opposing views as two of their leading columnists (Alan Abelson and Mike Santoli) discussed why they believe this is a major market top (or not).

Abelson refers to a certain veteran market technician (whom he doesn’t identify):

And he shares our concern about the epidemic of optimism that has gripped the Street, manifest in any number of wildly bullish forecasts for the market in 2011. It is the kind of explosive optimism that is usually witnessed, he says more in wonder than rue, at market tops, either temporary or something worse.

He doesn’t buy the argument that the huge stash of cash supposedly sitting on the sidelines is a guarantee of a steady source of fuel for the equity rally. Rather, he calls that hefty pile of cash, which is being augmented by a fresh infusion from fixed-income investors now that bonds are getting clocked, “scared money.” It belongs, he elaborates, to folks who all this time have been leery of committing their dough to stocks but, thanks to December’s quantum leap in share prices, have grown increasingly fearful of missing the next leg up, and are itching to put all that scratch to work.

That such nervous-newbie equity buyers will stay the course and step up their buying after the initial, inevitable correction is hardly a given. Our bet is that they would jackrabbit out at the first hint of trouble.

The peerless technician is also bothered by the leadership of the end-of-the-year rally. More specifically, the shares of commodity-related companies are in the vanguard of the advance at a time when China, the big global buyer of virtually every commodity known to man, is striving to rein in inflation. It is no accident, he suggests, that Chinese stock markets have been lagging, and he feels they may prove a pretty good precursor for our own dear market.

In sum, he sees stocks making at least a temporary top early in the new year. It’s hard to say, he readily admits, just how bad or enduring a setback equities will suffer. But obviously, he’s talking something more substantial than a flickering decline or a tiny crack.

Santoli’s case against a major market top has been more commonly discussed:

The reasons the bulls are bullish are also pretty universally agreed upon. The industrial economy has gathered some momentum, the emerging markets are surging, companies are flush, profits look set to rise decently again, the Federal Reserve is seeking new ways to penalize risk aversion, taxes won’t go up and the market tends to do well in the year after a midterm election.

And we can add to the list the likelihood that another financial-engineering cycle is just getting into gear, so expect lots of equity-friendly refinancings by stretched companies, re-leveraging by cash-rich ones and buyouts hither and yon.

The thing is, it’s all pretty much true. And because of that, and given that stock valuations are not excessive, it’s tough to think a likely pullback or worse would signal some major top.

Indeed, the happy feeling and the recent climb in margin borrowing and drop in short interest, by one way of looking at them, simply show that what has been a bull market for the better part of two years is finally being viewed as one. The last time we had such a run of investor optimism, indeed, was late 2004, before a calm but not terribly exuberant year.

The risk, then, is more about the near term, about expectations of ease meeting some unforeseen complication early this year, and that what’s likely to be a firm fundamental and technical case for riskier financial assets in 2011 has, to a fair degree, been priced in by the market lift of late 2010.

Interestingly, both appear to agree that the major risk is in the near-term. Santoli, however, clearly believes any sell-off will prove to be a buying opportunity. Abelson tends to still be in the bear market camp. Major market top or a prelude to a continuation of the bull market? Only time will tell.

Source: Barron's’

 

 

 

 

January Barometer - As January Goes, so Goes the Year? , On Monday January 3, 2011, 6:40 pm EST Did you know that there are two seasonal patterns with an accuracy ratio of 90% or higher? This is no joke. The numbers don't lie, but there is one caveat.The January Barometer has a 90% rate of success. The essence of the January Barometer is simple, as January goes, so goes the year. If January is up, the entire year will be up and vice versa.

90% Accuracy - Too Good to be True?

From 1950 to 2008 this pattern has played out most of the time. There were only five times when it outright failed and seven times when it wasn't exactly accurate. According to the Stock Trader's Almanac, the Barometer has a 90% accuracy ratio. In terms of odds, that's about as good as it gets.However, the January Barometer led investors in the wrong direction in 2001 when the S&P was down a full 13% at the end of the year after being up 3.5% in January. Again, there was a major misfire in 2003 when the S&P finished with a 26.4% gain after a 2.7% January loss.There was a minor misfire in 2005, but the Barometer couldn't have been more wrong in 2009 and 2010. In 2009 the S&P was down 8.6% in January but ended the year with a 23.5% gain.  After a 3.9% January loss last year, the S&P (SNP: ^GSPC) finished with a 12.6% gain.It seems like the January Barometer has lost its mojo. In fact, five hits and five misses bring the last decade's success rate down to 50%, in line with random odds.

A New January Pattern

Every January is different, but over the past three years a new pattern has emerged. Christmas euphoria is followed by a New Year hangover. Let's see what the numbers say.On December 24, 2007 I was invited to share my 2008 outlook with CNBC's Maria Bartiromo. At the time, the major indexes had just recovered some of their initial October/November losses and the percentage of bullish advisors polled by Investors Intelligence was 54.9%, very close to last week's 55.6%.My advice then was to employ strategies that benefit from a topping market.  On December 24, 2007, the DJIA (DJI: ^DJI) closed at 13,549, the S&P (SNP: ^GSPC) at 1,496, the Nasdaq 100 (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) at 2,128, and the Russell 2000 (NYSEArca: IWM - News) at 794.Stocks (NYSEArca: VTI - News) suffered from topping action throughout 2008 before delivering a year-end rally. In fact, the 2008 Santa Claus Rally delivered the highest return in decades, 7.4% for the S&P.On December 14, 2008, I cautioned via the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter: 'Optimistic sentiment, which should be more visible above Dow 9,000, will give way to further declines. These should draw the indexes close to or below their November 21st lows of 7,445 for the Dow and 740 for the S&P.' Early January 2008 the DJIA poked above 9,000 three times before shedding 29%.2009/2010 was not much different than the previous two years. On December 17, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter stated: 'The days leading up to and following Christmas tend to have a bullish bias for stocks. Nevertheless, bearish forces are becoming more pronounced and stocks are facing stiff resistance at Dow 10,500 and S&P 1,120.' That stiff resistance led to a swift 9% correction.The chart below illustrates the pattern of December rallies followed by January sell offs. Of course this new pattern might disappear as fast as it appears, but my analysis shows that January 2011 will follow in the footsteps of the three previous Januaries. [chart]

Looking Beyond January

Let's say we get the expected January correction, then what?We would be in a pickle because according to the long-term track record of the January Barometer, stocks should continue weak throughout the year while according to the Presidential Election Year Cycle stocks should be up.The third year of the Presidential Election Year Cycle (such as 2011) is historically the strongest of the four-year cycle. This may sound like a too good to be true statistic, but there hasn't been a major loss in a pre-election year since 1931.In an effort to get re-elected, each administration is working overtime the year before elections to buoy whatever there is to buoy in order to create a setting that's conducive to winning as many re-election votes as possible.

A Premature Pop?

Courtesy of the 2008 financial meltdown, the administration and the Fed were forced to open the money spigot earlier than during the average Presidential cycle. Does that mean that the stock market has peaked pre-maturely? We don't know yet, but based on current sentiment readings it's a possibility that shouldn't be ignored.

Correction and Pop Protection

Since the market's internals today are similar to what we saw leading up to the April 2010 high and the previous three January highs, it isn't a far stretch to expect a similar outcome - a swift and largely surprising decline between 9 - 29%.The S&P hasn't reached our upside target level yet, so it's best to let the current rally do its thing. Once reversal levels are reached, the proverbial air pocket that's been supporting this creeping up trend is likely to bust and result in a downward jolt.Momentum is a fickle force. Just as momentum has carried stocks higher than expected, it may drive prices lower than any of the ueber-bullish Wall Street analysts expect.

Eliminating Variables

The big question is whether the Federal Reserve and Wall Street banks (NYSEArca: XLF - News) can manage and control any sell off. It surely seems like they were able to do so in January and April of 2010. However, they were powerless throughout 2008 and had to watch the market swallow up fellow competitors.It's no secret that my personal outlook is fundamentally bearish, but with the influx of QE2 liquidity and the bullish bias of the Presidential Election Year Cycle, it's prudent to listen to the market's vital signs.The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter continuously monitors the market's breadth in connection with important support and resistance levels. Any trend change from up to down is most likely to occur against resistance. Once a reversal is in place, it's vital to watch how the market performs at support levels of various degrees.The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter outlines the next major resistance level along with support levels the market has established over the past weeks, months and years. Nothing expedites momentum like a break below support. We all know what momentum can do.’ 

 

 

Robert Shiller's 2020 Target for the S&P 500

 

A Look at Base Metals: Dave's Daily A FEW BULLS CHARGE OUT OF THE GATE It was an impressive ramp to start 2011 wasn't it? Inside the numbers there was again little volume. Markets are now much overbought and this low volume is worrisome as a cascade of heavy volume will no doubt appear from the sell-side as long as this continues. There was another round of POMO (nearly $8 billion) Monday to start the year which helps trading desks facilitate what the Fed wants -- higher stock prices. Of course the story making the biggest splash was Goldman Sachs wanting a piece of Facebook which would push the value of the company to $50 billion. Also, BAC settled some outstanding issues with FNM to the tune of $2 billion. Taken together this pushed the financial sector higher. Most economic news Monday like ISM Data was generally as expected, but higher prices in Europe spilled over early to New York. Most bulls believe a growing economy is in the works which should lead to better earnings and stock prices. That's the story, and bulls are sticking to it. The Interior Department will allow some deepwater drilling to resume oddly coincided with some selling in commodity markets, especially precious metals. But, the dollar was also somewhat stronger which would usually cause a decline…’

 

 

TrimTabs: “No Amount Of QE Will Be Able To Keep The Current Stock Market Bubble From Bursting” It was the night before Christmas Eve, and CNBC trucked out TrimTabs’ Charles Biderman to a de minimis audience, knowing full well that a man with his understanding of money flows would very likely repeat his statement from last year, that there is no real, valid explanation for the inexorable move in stocks higher, as equity money flows in 2010 were decidedly negative, and any explanation of the upward melt up would need to account for Fed intervention (and no-volume HFT offer-lifting feedback loops but that is a story for another day).

 

Observations On The Latest Debt “Inflection Point”, And Why Bernanke Has At Most 5 Months In Which To Announce QE3 Yesterday on Tom Keene’s always informative show, two of the world’s most important economists, Goldman’s Jan Hatzius and BofA’s Ethan Harris presented their respective defenses for why GDP in 2011 would rise by nearly 4% as per their recent predictions.

 

Oil Surges to Highest Year-End Price Since 2007 on Dollar Oil surged to its highest year-end price since 2007 as the dollar weakened and gasoline and heating oil futures climbed.

 

Is Gold – Or Fiat Currency – In a Bubble? Gold is not in a bubble, silver is not in a bubble, precious metals are in general terms not in a bubble.

 

China must Kill the Dollar Economic Assassin | In the hope of reducing their own inflation China must kill the dollar.

 

US Debt Limit Fight Would Be ‘Catastrophic’: White House Reuters | A top aide to President Barack Obama warned of catastrophic consequences if Republicans follow through on threats to reject an increase in the nation’s borrowing limit.

 

Jobs Are Trickling In, But Millions Have Given Up Looking For Work Reuters | U.S. private employers have recorded 11 consecutive months of job gains, yet the number of people who are so discouraged that they have given up searching for work stands at an all-time high.

 

War Causes Inflation … And Inflation Allows The Government to Start Unnecessary New Wars and Keep Us In Them For Longer than Needed War almost always causes inflation.

 

Never Forget The Fed Caused The Economic Downturn Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, would have us believe that if it were not for QE1 unemployment would have been considerably higher.

 

2011: Doom is Always 6 Months Away Since doom is always 6 months away, and I can write doom porn with the best of them, here we go…

 

National / World



Gerald Celente: What’s in store for 2011 RT | “Were going to see more and more cyber attacks, just like we saw with WikiLeaks,” explained Celente.‘What’s in store for the world in 2011? Trends forecaster Gerald Celente of the Trends Research Institute provided his insights on the year ahead. Will the people of the world wake up to a dire economic reality? Will the US dollar or the value of gold prevail? Will hardship-driven crimes be committed across the socioeconomic spectrum by legions of the on-the-edge desperate? Will the “War on Terror” morph into the “War on Crime,” where all Americans are suspects until proven innocent? Will governments try to eliminate free access to the web and literally shut down computers and websites they consider a threat to national security? Will the seeds of revolution be sown?Celente argued that all of the above will take place in some shape or form. There will be a wakeup call on the economy, a crack down on the people and a loss of liberty, and also an increase in Journalism 2.0, alternative energy and a growth in cyber war tactics. “Look what’s happening now. You name the city,” he said.“The people are getting hit on at every level.” The banks and governments are robbing the people and will continue to do so, he argued. “What they are going to do, is they are going to make up the slack by going after the little people at every level; licensing fees, parking fees, you name it, they’re going to squeeze every dollar out of the people,” Celente commented.“If you go five miles over the speed limit there’s a cop waiting for you.” Gold will run high in 2010, as the federal resave continues to dump US currency into the system gold will rise much higher, possibly even double in value over the next year. In the name of terror the government will clamp down on the people, crime will rise as dissatisfaction with the economy and government policies rise. “Big Brother will be watching!” Celente said. “We even have Wal-Marts as a rat for the homeland security division to call them up and let them know if anything is untore that they should know about and they are talking now about expanding homeland terrorist security in hotels and shopping malls.” The US government will be watching every move every person makes. “They are going to clamp down more and more as people continue to complain more and more about the injustices that are happening, particularly on the economic front,” he explained. “When people lose everything, and they have nothing left to lose, they lose it! As people keep losing it, the government will crack down even tighter.” Looking forward, cyber warfare will grow further, becoming a new type of warfare for the 21st century. Those in cyber industry have a strong future, he added.“Were going to see more and more cyber attacks, just like we saw with WikiLeaks,” explained Celente. “We’re going to see worldwide cyber crime. In the end, the world will end in 2011,” said Celente, but what that means exactly he wouldn’t say.’

 

 

Terrorist Watch List May Exceed US Population by 2019, World Population by 2023 A report from the Washington Post (brought to us via Infowars.com) says that the new official policy for the terrorist watch list is that a single ‘credible’ tip may deem you unworthy of (air) travel in the United States of America.

 

Pentagon’s propaganda in full view With the Afghanistan war going so poorly there has been an outpouring of emotions, an LA artist decided to make a mural depicting a dollar draped over a casket on a side of a building. Many believe this is revolting but some like Founder of Brave New Films Robert Greenwald says this indicates how brilliant the Pentagon has been at increasing censorship, so anything that goes against their propaganda will be shot down or in this case covered up.

 

 

 

Just 35 pct. of Americans support continuing Afghan occupation, poll finds A record number of Americans oppose the US war in Afghanistan, according to a recently released poll.

 

George Soros: The United States Must Stop Resisting The Orderly Decline Of The Dollar, The Coming Global Currency And The New World Order In the video you are about to see, George Soros talks about “the creation of a New World Order”, he discusses the need for a “managed decline” of the U.S. dollar and he talks at length of the global need for a true world currency.

 

30 Reasons Why 2011 Is Going To Be Another Crappy Year For America’s Middle Class Do you think that 2011 will be a good year for America’s middle class? Well, you might not be so optimistic after you read the 30 statistics posted below.

 

Preparing for the Financial Crisis The crisis in the US and world financial markets give us reason to make preparations for the foreseeable problems ahead.

 

Mass protest over Government cuts planned Unions are gearing up for a demonstration in the spring against the Government’s massive cuts in public spending, predicting it will be a “huge” national event.

 

Bankrupt Government Has Plans For Your Unused Gift Cards.  [Mob invested, (and like america, generally) pervasively corrupt, meaningfully lawless and defacto bankrupt toxic, disgusting jersey is just doing what they’ve done for at least decades … no surprise here. (see RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm   )     ] Jason Douglass ‘…Saving up this years gift cards to make a large purchase? You better use them up fast because state governments like New Jersey think they have a better use for that money. In an attempt to save themselves from obvious mismanagement, state authorities have begun steps to confiscate the balance left on your unused gift cards. Arguably, gift cards are one of the biggest scams going. Most consumers have been exposed to gift card’s eccentricities and know how impossible it is to use all the money on the card. Then, once the transaction is complete, it is twice as difficult to get the remainder of the balance left on the card in cash. Now our public officials want to get in on the scam.Large amounts of unused cash are locked away in these effective little marketing devices and New Jersey thinks they have a right to seize that money from you. In fact, they’ve already taken the steps to do just that…’

 

Big Sis Photocopies Credit Cards, Confiscates Christmas Calendars Paul Joseph Watson | The agency is now instructing its airport security screeners to make photocopies of people’s credit cards, while Big Sis is also busy fighting terrorism and protecting America by confiscating chocolate Christmas advent calendars.

 

John Lott: More Guns, Less Crime Infowars.com | John Lott explains why guns bans only serve to increase gun crime rates.

 

TrimTabs: “No Amount Of QE Will Be Able To Keep The Current Stock Market Bubble From Bursting” Zero Hedge | If the money to boost stock prices by almost $9 trillion from the March 2009 lows did not come from the traditional players, it had to have come from somewhere else. We believe that place is the Fed.

 

More TSA Lies In Attempt To Cover Up Security Failures Steve Watson | Claims that leaked security failure figures are “outdated” are easily debunked.

 

Germany Hides Spy Satellite Under ‘Global Warming’ Umbrella. Jason Douglass | Wikileaks exposes an intergovernmental pact to disquise a spy satellite array as a tool to study ‘global warming’.

 

2010 in review: Here’s what happened in the world of natural health and health freedom Mike Adams | Still, 2010 was mostly a year of expanded censorship, attacks on health freedom and expansions of government tyranny.

 

 

Happy New Year: 19 killed in US drone attacks in Pakistan US drones carried out four strikes in Pakistan’s restive tribal belt today, killing 19 militants and injuring several more in the first such attacks of the new year, officials said.

Israel arrests 2 UK consulate workers in Jerusalem (AP)

Israel preparing for 'large scale war'...

Israel's Labor: We'll quit if no progress to peace (AP)

 

 

Drudgereport: NATIONAL DEBT TOPS $14 TRILL
House Republicans move to repeal Obama healthcare...
...may starve financial reform of cash
House Republicans plan assault on Obamacare...

Piece by Piece...
BOEHNER PLANS REPEAL VOTE -- IN WEEKS...
Issa: Obama administration 'one of most corrupt in modern times'...
...vows to take on White House over spending...
New Congress sets its eyes on oversight...
Goolsbee: Failure to Raise Debt Ceiling Would Be 'Catastrophic'...
...don't 'play chicken'
COMING SOON: THE INVESTIGATIONS
Netanyahu wants 'nonstop' talks with Palestinians...
Israel preparing for 'large scale war'...
Iran 'shoots down Western spy drones' in Gulf...

 

 

Treasury Department shifts its stake in Ally Financial (Washington Post) [ Oooooh! Sounds like a plan (with only those tiny pikers fannie and freddy to follow) … till the next debacle … which will be coming soon to a theater near you …

Tipping Point: 25 Signs That The Coming Financial Collapse Is Now Closer Then Ever The financial collapse that so many of us have been anticipating is seemingly closer then ever. Over the past several weeks, there have been a host of ominous signs for the U.S. economy… ] Decision could make it easier for the bailed-out lender to launch an IPO and repay its government debt.

 

 

Pakistan's top general vexes U.S. plans (Washington Post) [  Geeh! How dare that PAKISTAN General not jump on the war criminal american crazy train by putting the interests of his nation ahead of u.s. contrived interests and preventing Pakistan from being turned into a toxic wasteland, killing fields, etc., as in Iraq, Afghanistan, etc..   ] Despite intense efforts, officials fail to persuade Gen. Ashfaq Kayani to undertake the administration's strategy of eliminating Taliban havens inside Pakistan.

 

 

Economic forecasters see growth in 2011 (Washington Post) [  Kind of like that prescient economic forecast of ‘no recession’ preceding this continuing financial / economic debacle of a magnitude exceeding that of the great depression from our ‘economist in chief’ helicopter ben … riiiiight! … And you can take that the insolvent bank! Stock markets weather a challenging 2010  (Washington Post) [  ‘Weather’, ‘forecasts’ … somehow those words taken together do not engender confidence. Yet, like today, there’s no shortage of that exuberance thing just as in 2007 preceding the last crash, or preceding the dot.com crash, etc., and this time will be no different and probably worse.  Pay Attention to New Year Market Indicators [ The problem with these anecdotal, mechanized (and sophomoric) technical guidelines is that the frauds on wall street are well aware of them and with the current computer technology can easily program to meet them with the fraudulent hope they’ll become self-fulfilling. I disagree with the ‘everything coming up roses, green shoots and all’ scenarios being painted in typical self-interested fashion and hardly objective. Even near perma-bull John Augustine (speaking with Motek) looks for at a minimum, if things go well for the economy (not at all likely and no can do with real numbers / data) a 3-5% pullback / correction near term. Keep in mind all stock prices have been inflated by amounts exceeding the gains, viz., 13-17% by the debased dollar which of course is reflected in huge price increases for commodities across the board which will impact margins or consumption or both going forward. ] Plessis ‘If Santa has not yet made his way to your investment portfolio, don’t despair. According to Jeffrey Hirsch (Stock Trader’s Almanac), the “Santa Claus Rally” normally occurs during the last five trading days of a year and the ensuing first two trading sessions of the new year. During this seven-day period stocks historically tend to advance (by 1.5% on average since 1950), but when recording a loss, they frequently trade much lower in the new year.With four of the seven sessions behind us there has been little in it, with the S&P 500 Index marginally up by 0.09% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average losing 0.03%.Another old stock market saw tells us the first five trading days of January sets the course for January (known as the “First Five Days Early Warning System”), and if the month of January is higher, there is a good chance the year will end higher, i.e. the so-called “January Barometer”. Every down January since 1950 has been followed by a new or continuing bear market or a flat year. “As January goes, so goes the year,” said Hirsch.Lastly, according to Hirsch, the “December Low Indicator" says that should the Dow Jones Industrial Index close below its December low anytime during the first quarter, it is frequently an excellent warning sign of lower levels ahead. The numbers to watch are those recorded on December 1: 1,206.07 for the S&P 500 Index and 11,255.78 for the Dow Industrial Average.The American benchmark indices will have to crash today in order to make 2010 a down year. Early indications therefore point to the January Barometer (with January having been a down month) this year failing investors. Looking ahead to 2011, time will tell whether the year-end/new-year indicators play out according to the historical pattern. Meanwhile, we’ll have some fun tracking how it pans out.’  ]  In a year of political upheaval, fiscal crisis in Europe and the threat of a double-dip recession in the United States, the stock market weathered all challenges, plodding upward. Economic forecasters see growth in 2011

 

 

Private markets make up the core of Obamanomics (Washington Post) [ I doubt there is a core at all … nothin’ there … spend more than you take in … just smoke and mirrors … more bush*t … you know, froth the markets, fraud be damned but welcomed / protected … and, as before, this will end quite badly! But regarding the now ‘Klein Controversy’, the following: Wash Post Staffer: Constitution Impossible to Understand Because It’s Over 100 Years Old [ In a meaningfully lawless society as pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, constitution / laws have become irrelevant in application and effect. After all, even zimbabwe has a constitution / laws, but I dare say no one would suggest they have any practical effect in reality, as is also so in america. I therefore believe Mr. Klein is correct but for reasons other than age and malleability. Indeed, anyone who has written a legal brief and researched law in support thereof, ultimately realizes that almost invariably one can find some case / law in support of almost any position. In america today, it’s the bribe, one way or another, that carries the day and makes the difference. Ask sam alito et als. That’s just the way it is in a declining, fallen society as america, zimbawe, etc.. That’s certainly my direct, sworn experience with these corrupt courts constituting (in large part along with the other 3 branches) pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s illegal system.  Senate convicts Clinton-appointed judge... [ Come on! One way or another they’re almost all getting bribed; including the initial lifetime appointment as alito, trump-barry, etc.. Abolish the corrupt, costly, economically wasteful lifetime extravagantly appointed federal courts (see RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm   )    End those lifetime licenses to steal. ] In earlier hearings, two attorneys who once worked with Porteous had testified that they gave him thousands of dollars in cash, including about $2,000 stuffed in an envelope in 1999, just before Porteous decided a major civil case in their client's favor.   ] Breitbart | On word that the House will open its next session with a first-ever reading of the U.S. Constitution, blogger Ezra Klein suggests that the Constitution is irrelevant due to its age and politically-malleable language. ]Eight key economic decisions of the Obama presidency all point in one direction.

 

 

Pay Attention to New Year Market Indicators [ The problem with these anecdotal, mechanized (and sophomoric) technical guidelines is that the frauds on wall street are well aware of them and with the current computer technology can easily program to meet them with the fraudulent hope they’ll become self-fulfilling. I disagree with the ‘everything coming up roses, green shoots and all’ scenarios being painted in typical self-interested fashion and hardly objective. Even near perma-bull John Augustine (speaking with Motek) looks for at a minimum, if things go well for the economy (not at all likely and no can do with real numbers / data) a 3-5% pullback / correction near term. Keep in mind all stock prices have been inflated by amounts exceeding the gains, viz., 13-17% by the debased dollar which of course is reflected in huge price increases for commodities across the board which will impact margins or consumption or both going forward. ] Plessis ‘If Santa has not yet made his way to your investment portfolio, don’t despair. According to Jeffrey Hirsch (Stock Trader’s Almanac), the “Santa Claus Rally” normally occurs during the last five trading days of a year and the ensuing first two trading sessions of the new year. During this seven-day period stocks historically tend to advance (by 1.5% on average since 1950), but when recording a loss, they frequently trade much lower in the new year.With four of the seven sessions behind us there has been little in it, with the S&P 500 Index marginally up by 0.09% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average losing 0.03%.Another old stock market saw tells us the first five trading days of January sets the course for January (known as the “First Five Days Early Warning System”), and if the month of January is higher, there is a good chance the year will end higher, i.e. the so-called “January Barometer”. Every down January since 1950 has been followed by a new or continuing bear market or a flat year. “As January goes, so goes the year,” said Hirsch.Lastly, according to Hirsch, the “December Low Indicator" says that should the Dow Jones Industrial Index close below its December low anytime during the first quarter, it is frequently an excellent warning sign of lower levels ahead. The numbers to watch are those recorded on December 1: 1,206.07 for the S&P 500 Index and 11,255.78 for the Dow Industrial Average.The American benchmark indices will have to crash today in order to make 2010 a down year. Early indications therefore point to the January Barometer (with January having been a down month) this year failing investors. Looking ahead to 2011, time will tell whether the year-end/new-year indicators play out according to the historical pattern. Meanwhile, we’ll have some fun tracking how it pans out.’

 

 

 

Happy New Year! Here Are The Final Numbers For 2010 , On Friday December 31, 2010

‘Indices mixed today, but not for the year. Stocks weren't the real winner, however, with commodity prices booming.

First, today's scoreboard:

  • DOW up 0.08%
  • S&P 500 down flat
  • NASDAQ down 0.38%

Now, the final scoreboard for 2010:

Equities:

  • 2010 DOW up 10.94%
  • 2010 S&P 500 up 12.72%
  • 2010 NASDAQ up 16.9%

Check out the best and worst performing global equity indices in 2010 >

Commodities:

Check out Societe Generale's guide to commodities in 2011 >

Bonds:

Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s Global Broad Market Index rose 4.7% this year.

  • 2010 Year end 5-year treasury yield 2.00%
  • 2010 Year end 10-year treasury yield 3.28%
  • 2010 Year end 30-year treasury yield 4.33% …’

 

 

The Shadow Banking System: A Third Of All The Wealth In The World Is Held In Offshore Banks Economic Collapse Blog | You and I live in a totally different world than the ultra-rich and the international banking elite do.

 

Entire American middle class will fall under the poverty line in five years Press TV | “The middle class, I am afraid, in the United States is not going to exist in another five years and everybody is going to be driven down to the lower poor class,” said Wayne Madsen.

 

Home foreclosures jump in 3rd quarter: regulators Reuters | U.S. home foreclosures jumped in the third quarter and banks’ efforts to keep borrowers in their homes dropped as the housing market continues to struggle.

 

Must See: Howard Davidowitz Destroys The Recovery Illusion, Debunks The Consumer Renaissance Today’s must see TV comes from the following interview of Pimm Fox on the consumer and the economy with retail expert Howard Davidowitz, who in 10 minutes provides more quality content and logical thought than we have seen from CNBC guests in probably all of 2010.

 

Oil Could Push to $110: Charts It’s “certainly possible” that the price of a barrel of oil will push above $100 a barrel, Daryl Guppy, CEO of Guppytraders.com, told CNBC Thursday. “Once you move above $100, then $110 is just clear freeway straight to that level,” Guppy added.

 

Eurozone ‘has 80% chance of losing the single currency in next decade,’ claims think-tank There is an 80 per cent chance that the euro will not survive in its current form, a leading think tank has warned.

 

Metals from copper to silver hit record highs Copper has hit yet another record high in a strong morning for metals trading, as commodities shook off China’s efforts to halt inflation by raising interest rates on Christmas Day.

 

Washington's Revolving Door: Minimalist Approach to Wall Street Reform Leaves Business as Usual, Author Says - Gross

 

Peter Schiff: Here’s Why Home Prices Have To Decline At Least 20% And Probably More House prices have to decline at least another 20.3% to come back to the historical trend and may have much further to fall, according to Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Capital.

 

 

2010 worst year for bank failures since 1992 More banks failed in the United States this year than in any year since 1992, during the savings-and-loan crisis, according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.

 

ROBERT SHILLER: If House Prices Keep Falling This Fast, The Economy Is Screwed He also says that if house prices keep falling this fast, the economy will face “serious reasons to worry” (which, for Professor Shiller, is an apocalyptic statement).

 



National / World



Washington Uses Arms Sales To Achieve Ever Fleeting Purported Global Supremacy Rick Rozoff | The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) documents that the United States accounts for 43 percent of world military spending and 30 percent of global arms exports.

 

Will It Be A Happy New Year For the Global Resistance Against the New World Order? Paul Joseph Watson | 2010 was a year of worldwide awakening, 2011 will go a long way to proving whether or not the resistance has teeth.

 

MSNBC Analyst: Constitution Has “No Binding Power On Anything” Kurt Nimmo | For the establishment political class, the Constitution is completely irrelevant.

 

What Kind Of Mood Are The American People In As We Enter 2011? The American Dream | The following is a compilation of recent poll results that show just how frustrated and angry the American people are becoming as we enter 2011.

 

10 Modern Methods of Mind Control Nicholas West | We have entered a perilous phase where mind control has taken on a physical, scientific dimension that threatens to become a permanent state.

 

Wash Post Staffer: Constitution Impossible to Understand Because It’s Over 100 Years Old [ In a meaningfully lawless society as pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, constitution / laws have become irrelevant in application and effect. After all, even zimbabwe has a constitution / laws, but I dare say no one would suggest they have any practical effect in reality, as is also so in america. I therefore believe Klein is correct but for reasons other than age and malleability. Indeed, anyone who has written a legal brief and researched law in support thereof, ultimately realizes that almost invariably one can find some case / law in support of almost any position. In america today, it’s the bribe, one way or another, that carries the day and makes the difference. Ask sam alito et als. That’s just the way it is in a declining, fallen society as america, zimbawe, etc..  ] Breitbart | On word that the House will open its next session with a first-ever reading of the U.S. Constitution, blogger Ezra Klein suggests that the Constitution is irrelevant due to its age and politically-malleable language.

 

Euro has 1-in-5 chance of lasting decade: UK think-tank Reuters | The Center for Economics and Business Research said Spain and Italy would have to refinance over 400 billion euros ($530 billion) of bonds in the spring, potentially sparking a fresh crisis within the 16-nation euro area.

 

Will It Be A Happy New Year For the Global Resistance Against the New World Order? 2010 was a year of extremes – a clear intensification of the tyranny being metered out in pursuit of a new world order, but also a tipping point in the accelerating awakening of human consciousness to the reality of the agenda for global serfdom.

 

Man strips to underwear, socks in protest at airport security checkpoint A man protesting airport security measures was arrested after he stripped down to his underwear and socks.

 

NYC Police Tightens Security for New Years Eve Hundreds of radiation detectors will be dispersed throughout the area, along with devices that can detect biological contaminants. Crowds will be shepherded into closely scrutinized pens where backpacks and big bags are banned.

 

MSNBC Analyst: Constitution Has “No Binding Power On Anything”  [ In a meaningfully lawless society as pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, constitution / laws have become irrelevant in application and effect. After all, even zimbabwe has a constitution / laws, but I dare say no one would suggest they have any practical effect in reality, as is also so in america. I therefore believe Klein is correct but for reasons other than age and malleability. Indeed, anyone who has written a legal brief and researched law in support thereof, ultimately realizes that almost invariably one can find some case / law in support of almost any position. In america today, it’s the bribe, one way or another, that carries the day and makes the difference. Ask sam alito et als. That’s just the way it is in a declining, fallen society as america, zimbawe, etc..  ]   Now that Republicans have a majority in Congress, they are pretending to be constitutionalists. In order to demonstrate this, they will theatrically read aloud the Constitution from the floor of the House next week.

 

TSA Wants To Expand Groping Of Vaginas The TSA agent used her hands to feel under and between my breasts. She then rammed her hand up into my crotch until it jammed into my pubic bone … I was touched in the pubic region in between my labia.

 

As Frustration Grows, Airports Consider Ditching TSA Some of the nation’s biggest airports are responding to recent public outrage over security screening by weighing whether they should hire private firms such as Covenant to replace the Transportation Security Administration.

 

China Makes Skype Illegal  [ China, the current creation and envy of destructive / self-destructive poppy bushies, clintonistas, wobamanoids, et als americans, is so pathetic in their own special totalitarian communistically sad way. ] THE Chinese regulator has declared Internet phone services other than those provided by China Telecom and China Unicom as illegal, which is expected to make services like Skype unavailable in the country.

 

 


Drudgereport: Medicare Bound to Bust 'by 2017' as First Boomers Hit 65...
POLL: Only 21% Want FCC to Regulate Internet...
Fear of Political Agenda...

Next Year's Wars: 16 brewing conflicts to watch...
VIDEO: Oil Could Push to $110...

Berlin sees most snow in December since 1900s...

White House Plans to Push 'Global Warming' Policy, GOP Vows Fight...
FLASHBACK: Gore Reports Snow and Ice Across World Vanishing Quickly...
Top China blogger forced to shut down magazine...
Non-US banks gain from Fed crisis fund; Half of emergency credit facility cash went to foreign institutions...

Backlash...
THE MAN WHO TOOK ON BIG SIS...  Pilot angered TSA with video... ‘…News10 established a relationship with the Liu family last July after their rental home in Sacramento's Oak Park was destroyed by an arsonist. Four firefighters were injured when the house exploded…’
Oil rises near $92...
Ex-SHELL president sees $5 gas in year...
MATTHEWS: Why Doesn't Obama Just Release The Birth Certificate?
NYT: Bundle Up, It's Global Warming...
Obama Reading List: Book on Reagan... [ Reagan would absolutely detest, hate (yes, Reagan could hate )  wobama and did detest, hate people like failed president like no other in history, wobama]

Duma Disses Obama, delays START vote...
Assange fears death in a US jail...
OPEC Members 'Target $100'...

China, following pervasively corrupt, meaningfully lawless, defacto bankrupt american example, bars political dissident access to lawyers...
Indefinite detention possible for suspects at Guantanamo Bay...
DARK SIDE OF SIS: AGENTS RAID HOME OF PILOT CRITICAL OF TSA...

Posted Video Exposing Airport Security Flaws...
PUNISHED...
DEFICIT HITS RECORD...
MINORITY REPORT: Spielberg advising on rebranding Dems... [ Come on! You can’t unring the bell on the damage they’ve done by particularly doing the opposite of what they said, from perpetual war, to no prosecutions of the wall street frauds now marked to anything as per criminal courtesy via FASB rule change, etc.. They b*** s*** like their mascot, ‘wobama the b’ (for b*** s***); not that the republicans are substantially different … they’re incompetent, corrupt, etc... They’ve embraced the ‘history of decline and fall of nation-states’. ]
TODAY: Obama pledges 'singular focus' on economy...

ONE YEAR AGO: 'Obama to focus hard on economy'...
TWO YEARS AGO: Obama to put 'renewed focus' on economy...
US press should fear being targeted: Assange...
BLOWOUT: Government liabilities rose $2 trillion for year...
PEOPLE: 308,745,538
DEBT: $13,868,461,000,000
STATE OF THE NATION: Census shows slowing US growth...
GOP-leaning states pick up seats in Congress...
NY, OH, IL, MA, NJ and PA lose seats...

FCC Gives Government Power to Regulate Web...

Agency splits along party lines...
DeMint vows to reverse 'Internet takeover'...
AP: TOP 10 STORIES OF 2010...
MOODY'S May Cut US Rating on Tax Package...
New spending bill totals $1.1 TRILLION!

Congress Job Approval Rating Worst in GALLUP History...
FLASHBACK: Obama Promised 5-Day, Public Review of Bills Before Signing; Signs Tax Bill Within Hours of House Vote...

13 million get unexpected tax bill from 'tax credit'?
Pelosi skips vote on tax bill, then shuns signing ceremony...
House votes to extend gov't funding -- through Tuesday...
OBAMA FALLS TO 40% APPROVE IN FOXNEWS POLL...
The FCC's Threat to Internet Freedom...

Dems play politics with 'net neutrality' vote...
'Sweeping new rules'...
REGULATE...
SHUT: Music Web Sites Dispute Legality of Their Closing...
UK ministers threaten: Censor web, or we will legislate 'to protect children'...
Plan to block all online porn...
Hugo Chavez defends plan for web regulations...
Venezuela tightens Internet regulation... 

THEY'RE COMING FOR THE INTERNET!
JULIUS SEIZURE

$2 trillion debt crisis threatens to bring down 100 US cities...
States face $140 billion in budget shortfalls...
32 states borrow billions from feds to cover unemployment benefits...
Friedman: America the Stupid...

French AAA Grade at Risk as Downgrades Sweep Europe...

Oil Heads Toward $100...
Chavez defends plan for Internet regulations...
UK ministers threaten: Censor web, or we will legislate 'to protect children'...
The FCC's Threat to Internet Freedom...
Dems play politics with 'net neutrality' vote...
'Sweeping new rules for the Internet'...
SKorea detains Chinese fishermen...

Security Council meets on tensions...
North Threatens More Attacks...
... says war would go nuclear
China warns of escalating arms race...

'Don't ask' repeal moves toward law...
DREAM OVER: Senate Blocks Bill for Illegal Immigrants...
Budget Brawl Looms in Congress...

Michelle wears $2,500 purchased dress to Christmas concert...
Senate Plans Weekend Votes on 'Don't Ask, Don't Tell,' Amnesty Bill...
Senator: Gay ban tied to Russia treaty...
UN PLANS INTERNET REGULATION [  Those who can’t do … work at the u.n., in the u.s.; after all, for the first time in human history, the internet has for the most part enabled an unfettered look at the truth and truthful reasons for the unequivocally sad state of the world. That a supposed world body should support and potentially facilitate the encroachment upon such global communication is reason enough to dismantle such an already discredited body which arbitrarily seeks enforcement of some ‘resolutions’ as to some but not others ( ie., israel, u.n. resolutions 242, 338, etc., israeli and american war crimes, etc..) Raison d’tre … I don’t think so!  Quite the contrary! ]
Regulators close banks in GA, FL, AR, MN... [ Regulators shutter 3 small banks in Ga., 1 each in Fla., Ark., Minn.; 157 banks closed in 2010 ]
Payrolls Drop in 28 States, Joblessness Rises in 21...
Nevada rate to 14.3%...
Rhode Island City Nears Bankruptcy...
Ireland Debt Downgrade...

IMF chief worried about Europe domino effect...
Senate clerks preparing to read 1,924-page spending bill on floor -- for 50 hours!...

Senator: 'There's No Way' To Read Entire Bill Before Vote...
KERRY: 'Why Would We Have To Read Something?'
McConnell offers 1-page resolution in place of 1,924-page spending bill...
SHOWDOWN: Gingrich Urges Fillibuster...

Biden To GOP Opposition: 'Get Out Of The Way'...
Reid: Earmarks are 'what we're supposed to do'...
Ban on Gitmo transfers vanishes...
Omnibus bill loaded with goodies for abortion industry...
PRIORITIES: House approves bill to make hybrids louder...
23% Say USA Heading in Right Direction, Lowest Since Obama Took Office...

POLL: Just 29% think Obama will be re-elected...
Is America the sick man of the globe?
BUCHANAN: Is this our America anymore?
UK Red Cross Bans Christmas to Avoid Offending Muslims...
SALVATION ARMY bell ringer caught stealing from kettle...
Deputies suspended after getting into brawl at party...
2 women charged with robbing 74-year-old...
Hundreds of gifts for kids stolen from 'Toys for Tots'...
Thousands of dollars in donated toys ruined after skunk attack...
Grocery prices grow by 1.5 times inflation rate...

Socialist president plays host to capitalism...
REPORT: Obama told lawmakers not passing tax deal could end presidency...
A $48 billion earmark...
PAPER: Year of bullying, bluff and bailouts leaves euro fighting for its life...
Reeling from riots, Italy faces uncertainty...
Greek anti-austerity strike turns violent...
VIDEO...
MORE UNREST: 2011...
$575 million PER PAGE...
6,488 earmarks...
McConnell fumes: 'No one has seen it'...
Reid threatens to keep Congress into next year...
Intelligence Reports Offer Dim Views of Afghan War...
HOLBROOKE LAST WORDS: STOP THIS WAR!

UPDATE: RUSSIA TO USE CHINA CURRENCY IN TRADES...
UK GRANTS ASSANGE BAIL; SWEDEN APPEALS...

Release delayed...
Lawyer: Secret Grand Jury Meeting Outside Washington on Leak...
CHRISTMAS CRIMES: Drive-By Purse Snatcher Terrorizing Women In NJ...
2 women charged with robbing 74-year-old...

Hundreds of gifts for kids stolen from 'Toys for Tots'...
Thousands of dollars in donated toys ruined after skunk attack...
Copper thieves burn down city's Christmas tree...
Burglar steals family's gifts -- and its dog!
Grave robbers steal 400 urns from cemetery...
'Grinch' Steals Packages Off Doorsteps, Signs For Deliveries...
Home Invaders Tie Up 12-Year-Old Boy, Take Video Games...
90-Year-Old Man Put In Choke-Hold, Robbed Of $370...
'Tea Party' anger simmers over backroom deal; Ramps up efforts...
2 Bank Failures Bring Year's Tally To 151...

COPS: Madoff's son hangs himself with dog collar in SoHo apartment...
...gave mechanic $400 tip day before suicide
Madoff Trustee Launches $19.6 Billion Lawsuit; 60 accused of participating in 'illegal scheme'...
Pump prices close in on average $3 a gallon...
FLASHBACK: $1.81 when Obama took office...
BLOW TO O: JUDGE RULES GOV'T CAN'T MANDATE CITIZENS BUY HEALTH CARE...

Cantor: Direct Appeal to Supremes...
POLL: Support For Obamacare Hits New Low...
Pelosi: 'Are You Serious?'
Obama: 'I'm itching for a fight'...
U N C O N S T I T U T I O N A L
Barbara Walters: 'This Guy (wobama) Has an Emotional Problem' [ Yes, it’s true, babawawa … wobama has substantial mental problems which along with inherent criminality are pervasive in america which also includes boner, and where were you in discussing such, babawawa regarding psychopaths bush, clinton, etc., or even former beau, senile greenspun ]...
DEFICIT HITS RECORD...
Putin Slams West for Assange Arrest...

US cable: Cuba to be insolvent within 2-3 years...
Assange Lawyers Prepare for U.S. Spying Indictment...
Teen Arrested in Hack Attacks...
Donations to WIKILEAKS are Tax Deductible -- in Germany...
Anonymous cyberwarriors stun experts...
Media outlets may be probed over WikiLeaks stories, joe ‘zelig zionist incompetent and corrupt‘ lieberman in Campaign To Trample The First Amendment claims  Can the US government prosecute media outlets that reported on the WikiLeaks cables? According to joe ‘zelig zionist incompetent and corrupt‘ lieberman  in his Campaign To Trample The First Amendment, the answer is maybe.
Home Values May Drop by $1.7 Trillion This Year...
UNEMPLOYMENT WEEK: DOWN TO 421,000; REVISED UP LAST WEEK 438,000...

POLL: Most Americans Say They’re Worse Off Under Obama...
F O [Related: Olbermann:  Obama Is ‘God Damned Wrong’ ]
REVENGE OF THE WIKIS!
Army of hackers targets the Swedish government...
Take down MASTERCARD site...
...VISA
PAYPAL...
AMAZON braces for hactivist attack...
Palin under cyber attack...
Assange's 'poison pill' file impossible to stop...
MOSCOW: Give Assange Nobel Peace Prize...
SENATE REJECTS REPEAL OF DON'T ASK DON'T TELL...

House Dems push through massive budget bill...
Final House Race Decided; GOP Net Gain: 63 Seats...
Ron Paul, Author of 'End the Fed,' to Lead Fed Oversight Panel...
Student protesters in London turn violent over tuition hikes...

Thousands try to break through police barricades at Houses of Parliament...
...attack car containing Prince Charles, Camilla...
Rolls Royce hit with paint; rear window smashed...
US Treasuries hit by biggest sell-off since LEHMAN...
Prices Plunge for 2nd Day on Deficit Fears...
Rattles investors...
Oil tipped to bubble over $100 barrel...
Food Stamp Rolls Continue to Rise...
SHOCK POLL: Americans Believe China Has Surpassed USA in Economic Strength...

'U.S. fiscal health worse than Europe's'...
Sorkin: Palin TV show is 'snuff movie'...  [ Yeah … ‘she’s really all that’ and worse … I have great difficulty getting past the fact that she’s so incredibly dumb … not just ‘nonintellectual’ … butt really dumb! ] ‘…
Sorkin, writer of the recent Facebook movie The Social Network, also accused the Fox News contributor of making a "snuff film" after the latest episode of Sarah's Palin's Alaska featured the politician going hunting with her father and shooting a caribou. He described Palin as "deranged", a "witless bully" and a "phony pioneer girl". He also said The Learning Channel, the US cable network, "should be ashamed of itself" for broadcasting her "truly awful reality show"…’
Senate convicts Clinton-appointed judge... [ Come on! One way or another they’re almost all getting bribed; including the initial lifetime appointment as alito, trump-barry, etc.. Abolish the corrupt, costly, economically wasteful lifetime extravagantly appointed federal courts (see RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm   )    End those lifetime licenses to steel. ] In earlier hearings, two attorneys who once worked with Porteous had testified that they gave him thousands of dollars in cash, including about $2,000 stuffed in an envelope in 1999, just before Porteous decided a major civil case in their client's favor.
Assange could face espionage trial in USA...
Palin under cyber attack...
1st Amendment issues...
Assange's 'poison pill' file impossible to stop...
WIKILEAKS: Stop Us? You'll Have to Shut Down Web...
Berkeley 'resolution' honoring leaker...
Scientologists outraged over spoof Christmas play...  [ Hubbard was such a total fraud! Scientologists are delusional! ]
St. Petersburg, Florida – ‘A controversial holiday musical production is set to open at American Stage Theatre in St. Petersburg. Photos: Pictures of A Very Merry Unauthorized Children's Scientology Pageant "A Very Merry Unauthorized Children's Scientology Pageant" is a musical play designed for the holiday season, but this play will not focus on Jesus Christ, but instead the story is about L. Ron Hubbard, the founder of the church Of Scientology…’ 
NO BAIL...
Assange 'sabotaged condom' during one night stand...
Refused to wear one during another...
Stockholm police: Both women are victims...
INTERPOL WARRANT FOR NOT WEARING PROTECTION?

ASSANGE UNDER ARREST:
'HE DIDN'T WEAR A CONDOM'
Under arrest, will Assange dump the Doomsday Files?
Assange: Don't shoot messenger for revealing uncomfortable truths...
FLASHBACK: HILLARY COMPLAINS GOVERNMENTS BLOCK FREE FLOW OF INFO ON INTERNET...
WIKILEAKS: LIVE UPDATES...
FCC push to regulate news draws fire...

Lieberman: NYT may have committed crime by printing WIKILEAKS docs...
US to Host World Press Freedom Day in 2011 … [ What a total travesty! The u.s. as host … What a cruel joke! ] ...
OBAMA RACES TO CUT TAXES BEFORE REPUBLICANS: 6.2% Social Security tax would drop to 4.2% for workers for one year... MORE
THE NEW OBAMA!
SURPRISE TAX CUT MOVE
   [ As with defacto bankrupt america generally, more defacto bankrupt social security system, etc.,  are distinctions without significant differences. ]
OIL HITS $89...
Pump prices hit 2-year high...
Schwarzenegger Declares Fiscal Emergency, Proposes $9.9 Billion In Cuts...

Top Democrats defect, join unified GOP...
WIKILEAKS' Assange Will Release Encrypted Files If Arrested...

Cables Reveal How US Manipulated Climate Accord...
Cable: China Leaders Ordered Hacking on GOOGLE...
Meddling by Neighbors Adds to Iraq's Woes...
Government Workers Ordered Not to Read Cables...
Gingrich: Leaks Show Admin 'Shallow,' 'Amateurish'...
McConnell: Assange a 'High-Tech Terrorist'...
List of facilities 'vital to US security' leaked...
Mirror Sites Appear by the Hundreds...
Assange Speaks...
Hillary Jokes...
US forced to shake up embassies around world...
THE DOOMSDAY FILES
PAPER: Wave goodbye to Internet freedom...
[ I’m absolutely astounded that the world is not profoundly grateful to Assange et als for providing insight into the machinations and insanity of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, et als who wreaked havoc on the world as they pillage, plunder, and destroy (lives, nations, etc.). ]
+39,000 JOBS IN NOVEMBER...

BOEHNER: Dem Leaders Should Stop Wasting Time on Tax Hike Votes...
HALPERIN: Dems 'In Midst of Nervous Breakdown'...
Obama Makes Surprise Trip to Afghanistan...

Flies 7,000 miles -- talks to Karzai for 15 minutes on phone!
Forgets the Coast Guard...
Leaves Biden behind to handle 'disappointing' jobs report...
Reid, funded by casinos, pushes online gambling...

ABCNEWS accused of breaking embargo...
2010 death toll of US troops nears that of 2001-2008 combined...
OBAMA SPEECHWRITER JOKES ABOUT TSA GROPING: Allows 'defrocked priests to give back to society'...

US Deficit-Cutting Plan Falls Short of Needed Votes...
UNEMPLOYMENT UP TO 9.8%
HILLARY: Secretary of State will be 'my last public position'...   ...  PITCHE$ $IGNED DVD ON HOME $HOPPING NETWORK..
US TO BAILOUT EU [ Riiiiight! Sounds like a plan! After all, in defacto bankrupt america money does grow on trees … derivatively (pun intended) that is … you know … that ever more worthless fiat paper currency … and ultimately, existentially, philosophically, doesn’t paper come from trees … sure it does …so, no problemo since money grows on trees.   ]
BOMBSHELL: European banks took big slice of Fed aid...
Hundreds of billions of dollars...
Fed reveals global extent of its backing... ]Funds went to stalwarts of American industry including GE and Caterpillar and household-name companies such as Verizon, new data show.
GEORGIA: HUNDREDS LINE UP IN COLD FOR HEAT HELP...
Assistance Funds Quickly Depleted...
'Almost like being in soup line during great depression'...
VIDEO...
DELAYING TAX VOTE COULD 'CRASH STOCK MARKET' STARTING 12/15 [ Come on! There’s no way to justify the tax cut to the top 1% including the frauds on wall street … their threats don’t hunt no more … the nation’s defacto bankrupt … see Davis, supra!  ]
Chase Bank orders branch to remove Christmas tree...
Cyber attack forces WIKILEAKS to change web address...

Respected media outlets collaborate with organization...  [ Said outlets and other disseminators and of course Wikileaks deserve accolades for the advancement of first amendment liberties in the name of an informed global body politick for all.]
UPDATE: Latest developments...
Foreign contractors hired Afghan 'dancing boys'...
Embassy cables portray Karzai as corrupt, erratic...
CIA drew up UN spying wishlist...
Assange speaks...
UPDATE: Latest WIKILEAKS developments...

Foreign contractors hired Afghan 'dancing boys'...
Embassy cables portray Karzai as corrupt, erratic...
CIA drew up UN spying wishlist...
SANTA CLAUSE: FED AID WENT TO COMPANIES, BANKS, OFFSHORE...

SECRETLY BAILED OUT GE -- GE NEWS OUTLETS FAILED TO REVEAL IN FED COVERAGE...
SANTA CLAUSE: FORD, BMW, TOYOTA Took Secret Government Money......

Fed Created Conflicts in Improvising Financial System Rescue...
Tax Breaks for Bailout Recipients Spark Debate...
MORE SECRETS: Fed Withholds Data for $885 Billion in Loans...
RUSSIA TO HOST '18 WORLD CUP FINALS...

Qatar selected '22 host over USA, others...
'AMERICAN PSYCHO' musical in works... [ I recommend the derivative films, American Psycho  and American Psycho 2, for insight! ]
National Board of Review: SOCIAL NETWORK named best film...
  [ National board of what? ‘Inception’ is by far and away the ‘Best Film’ across the board, in all categories, and on the list!  ]   LIST...
BANK OF AMERICA Becoming 'Bank of Asia' as Revenue Increases 30% ...
RESET: PUTIN CRITICIZES USA OVER WIKILEAKS … [ Putin deserves the greatest deference in matters of global concern in light of his greater rationality; america’s self-serving accusations are merely envy and projection / displacement (in psychoanalytic terms) of america’s pervasively corrupt, criminal, broken system which is a far cry in reality from defacto bankrupt america’s propaganda.]...
 
REWARD: [ The payoff. Bribe complete! Next bribe scenario … ] CITI to Hire Obama's Ex-Budget Chief Orszag...
FLASHBACK: Rubin and friends ride NY-DC shuttle...
ZUCKERMAN: Watching America's Decline and Fall [the moral authority of the West has dramatically declined in the face of the financial crisis. It has revealed deep fault lines within Western economies that have spread to the global economy. The majority of Western governments are running fiscal deficits of 10 percent or more relative to GDP, but it is increasingly clear that there will be no quick fixes, that big government and fiscal deficits will not bring us back to the status quo ante. Indeed, the tidal wave of red ink has meant that the leverage-led or debt-led growth model is dead. Developed countries will be forced to deal with their debt on every level, from the personal to the corporate to the sovereign. Being able to borrow may have made people feel richer, but having to repay the debt is certainly making them feel poorer, particularly since the unfunded liabilities that many governments face from aging populations will have to be paid for by a shrinking band of workers. (Ecoutez, mes amis!) Demography is destiny. As a result, there is a burgeoning consensus that we are witnessing an inevitable rise of the East and a decline of the West…( Harry Dent, Jr.  Economy will be in a Depression by 2011
The worst of this next depression is likely to hit between mid-2010 and mid-2013, especially around early 2011, but if the banking system continues to implode a deep downturn or depression could begin sometime in 2009 instead of 2010.
Dow will Fall to 3,800 – 4,500 by 2012
Nasdaq will Fall Below 1,100, its 2002 low, by late 2010 or mid-2012 at the latest.
Inflation will Increase until mid- 2010 and then turn to Deflation
Interest Rates will Increase
U.S. Dollar will Decline
Housing will Decline by 40 – 60% from Today’s Levels
Greatest Economic and Banking Crisis since the 1930s will Occur Between 2010 and 2012).
  ) ]...

Interpol issues wanted notice for Julian Assange [ They just can’t take the truth! ] ...
US cuts access to files [ Think about it. Really think about it. Their policies are in the tank, along with the nation and the rest of this world as a consequence. Don’t those so detrimentally affected (everyone) have a right to know? I think in light of the global frauds, contrived perpetual wars though defacto bankruptcy of this and other nations, pervasive corruption and crime, failed policies domestically and geo-politically while serving the very parochial interests of the self-interested few, the answer is an unequivocal, YES! I believe that world history will write Mr. Assange as a hero in the truest sense. He should be given a medal; and, certainly, since mr. b*** s*** wobama undeservingly got a ‘nobel peace prize’ (what he does, not what he says, ie., Afghanistan, etc.), who more than Julian Assange is deserving of that and more? Cover-up / propaganda … thy name is fallen america.]...
WIKILECTURE: 'HILLARY SHOULD RESIGN' ‘…Hillary Clinton, Julian Assange said, "should resign." Speaking over Skype from an undisclosed location on Tuesday, the WikiLeaks founder was replying to a question by TIME managing editor Richard Stengel over the diplomatic-cable dump that Assange's organization loosed on the world this past weekend. Stengel had said the U.S. Secretary of State was looking like "the fall guy" in the ensuing controversy, and had asked whether her firing or resignation was an outcome that Assange wanted. "I don't think it would make much of a difference either way," Assange said. "But she should resign if it can be shown that she was responsible for ordering U.S. diplomatic figures to engage in espionage in the United Nations, in violation of the international covenants to which the U.S. has signed up. Yes, she should resign over that."…’
CITY ON EDGE: Cash-Strapped Newark, new jersey Forced To Lay Off 14% Of Police Force... [ From decades old (1978-1985) direct personal experience with newark, n.j., the police are the absolute last cuts that can be afforded to be made. Indeed, while walking through Military Park (a sliver of a “park” - more a pedestrian thoroughfare/cement walks) in newark, new jersey on the way to the bank during lunch hour, I heard the clearly audible screams/cries of what turned out to be an old lady on the ground with blood streaming from her mouth. I ran toward the sound of the cries, the source of which I could not see because there were so many people in and about this thoroughfare so as to block any vision of the source of the cries. When I came to the woman, on the ground, blood streaming from her mouth, I asked what happened, to which she responded she had been hit in the mouth and knocked to the ground, her purse stolen/put inside her shopping bag, and she pointed out the criminal casually now walking across the main street. Nobody stopped to help her, many having passed her by. I slammed the thug to the ground so hard that, in light of all the blood and confusion (limbic system / adrenalin flow) I thought I had been stabbed (the blood was from his elbows hitting the pavement so hard - no one helped / a crowd gathered / an undercover cop happened along). When I testified at the Grand Jury Proceeding I made sure his threat on my life was set forth in prima facie fashion so as to maximize the DA’s position with both felonies ( he went to prison – pled out ). The other case I wrote about here ( This was included on my website in the Psychology forum discussion of ‘bystander effect’ / diffusion of responsibility. ) - Having had occasion to have run down a mugger in newark, n.j. who apparently had followed a girl from the bank on her way to the bursar to pay tuition, though in pretty good shape, I was astounded by how totally exhausting such a pursuit was, how much like rubber my arms were when I traded punches with the perpetrator, and truth be told, if I had a flashlight on my belt, I have little doubt that I would have probably used it to subdue the perp. The girl was not that seriously injured, did get her pocketbook and tuition back, and the criminal went to jail. The other thing about such a pursuit that amazed me was that no one else assisted the girl or me despite being in a position to do so). (Other newark / new jersey and new york, n.y. metro, viz., ie., connecticut, and of course, d.c., d.c. metro, viz., ie., virginia experience … corrupt federal judges as maryanne trump barry, sam alito, shiff, matz (california), hall, underhill, dorsey, etc.. Defacto bankrupt america’s so-called system is pervasively corrupt and broken (AP)   Abolish the corrupt, costly, economically wasteful lifetime extravagantly appointed federal courts - see RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm   )  ]
Nation's '2nd Most Dangerous City' (camden, new jersey) To Lay Off Nearly Half Of Police Force...
Chicagoland: Vandals torch Christmas charity van...

 

 

 

Businessman gets harsh prison term (Washington Post) [ Come on! Quality of justice concerns by pervasively corrupt / defacto bankrupt america (I’ve seen this first hand and have sworn under penalty of perjury to the readily discernible corruption in the ‘so-called judicial process’ / american illegal system; and Orwellian britain / european illegal systems little better as toadies to the criminal americans)? Don’t make me laugh? The u.s. illegal system is a cruel joke! What parallel universe / fantasy land are they living in?  ] A Moscow judge's decision to impose the harshest possible penalty on Russian oil tycoon Mikhail Khodorkovsky signaled that Prime Minister Vladimir Putin intends to keep a firm grip on power and is unwilling to bend to American and European concerns about the quality of Russian justice.

 

                                                                                                                   October 15, 2010 (*see infra)

 

 

Steven M. Martinez, Assistant Director In Charge
Federal Bureau of Investigation, USDOJ
11000 Wilshire Blvd., Suite 1700

Los Angeles, CA 90024

 

 

Dear Sir:

 

I enclose herewith 3 copies of the within DVD rom autorun disk (which will open in your computer’s browser) as per your office’s request as made this day (the disk and contents have been scanned by Avast, McAfee, and Norton which I’ve installed on my computer to prevent viral attacks / infection and are without threat). I also include 1 copy of the DVD as filed with the subject court as referenced therein (which files are also included on the aforesaid 3 disks in a separate folder named ‘112208opocoan’). The (civil) RICO action (as you’re aware, the RICO Act is a criminal statute which provides a civil remedy, including treble damages and attorney fees, as an incentive for private prosecution of said claims probably owing to the fact that the USDOJ seems somewhat overwhelmed and in need of such assistance given the seriousness and prevalence of said violations of law which have a corrupting influence on the process, and which corruption is pervasive). A grievance complaint against Coan was also filed concurrently with the subject action and held in abeyance pending resolution of the action which was illegally dismissed without any supporting law and in contravention of the Order of The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District Connecticut. The files below the horizontal rule are the referenced documents as filed. (Owing to the damage to the financial interests of both the U.S. and the District of Congresswoman Roybal-Allard, viz., Los Angeles, the Qui Tam provisions of the Federal False Claims Act probably would apply and I would absent resolution seek to refer the within to a firm with expertise in that area of the law with which I am not familiar).

 

 

The document in 5 pages under penalty of perjury I was asked to forward to the FBI office in New Haven is probably the best and most concise summary of the case  RICO Summary to FBI Under Penalty of Perjury at Their Request (5 pages)      [  ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf   http://albertpeia.com/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf          ].

 

 

The correspondence I received from the Congresswoman by way of email attachment (apparent but typical problem with my mail) along with my response thereto is included on the 3 disks as     fbicorrespondencereyes.htm     .   With regard to the calls to the FBI’s LA and New Haven, CT offices: There was one call to the LA office and I was referred to the Long Beach, CA office where I personally met with FBI Agent Jeff Hayes to whom I gave probative evidentiary documents of the money laundering which he confirmed as indicative of same (he was transferred from said office within approximately a month of said meeting and his location was not disclosed to me upon inquiry). The matter was assigned to FBI Agent Ron Barndollar and we remained in touch for in excess of a decade until he abruptly retired (our last conversation prior to his retirement related to the case and parenthetically, Rudy Giuliani whose father I stated had been an enforcer for the mob to which he registered disbelief and requested I prove it, which I did – he served 12 years in prison, aggravated assault/manslaughter? – and no, there is no Chinese wall of separation – Andrew Maloney’s the one that prosecuted gotti).

 

 

In contradistinction to the statement in said correspondence, there is a plethora of information including evidence supporting the claims set forth in the    RICO VERIFIED COMPLAINT    (see infra). Such includes and as set forth in the case, inter alia,

 

 

  1. A judgment had been entered in my favor in the case, United States District Court Case #3:93cv02065(AWT)(USDCJ Alvin Thompson), worth approximately now in excess of $300,000 remains unaccounted for and which could be used for payment to creditors, Los Angeles, etc..
  2. Counsel Robert Sullivan on my behalf documented by way of certification upon investigation that Alan Shiff, USBCJ, had falsely stated a dismissal upon which false statement he predicated a retaliatory and spurious contempt proceeding against me causing substantial damage, and for which he sought Judicial Notice of those and related proceedings as did I in some of my filings.
  3. The Order of Dismissal With Prejudice by Alan Shiff, USBCJ, owing to Defendant Coan’s failure to file anything whatsoever by the court’s deadline causing creditors and me substantial damages:   [  Shiff Order of Dismissal With Prejudice on Coan’s Failure to File        Page 1                Page 2          ]
  4. Defendant Coan had filed an action against me to prevent me from suing him which necessitated me to fly to Connecticut for a hearing before The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District of Connecticut, who denied Coan’s requested relief as to Coan but precluded my action against Shiff (although there is no immunity, judicial or otherwise, for criminal acts, ie., fraud connected with a case under Title 11, USC, etc.) . [   transcript in pertinent part -     crossexamofcoanbypeia.pdf   ]
  5. Newly appointed judge, Maryanne Trump Barry, Donald Trump’s sister, was assigned the RICO case despite the conflict of interest in light of hundreds of thousands of dollars of illegal (drug) money being laundered through the Trump casinos by the RICO defendants, and despite my motion to recuse her which motion she heard herself and denied, and U.S. Trustee Hugh Leonard with whom I met personally refused to join or file a separate motion to recuse and not long thereafter left said office for private practice at Cole, Shotz, et als on retainer with the RICO defendants as his primary client.
  6. Probative and evidentiary documents, affidavits, exhibits, including those turned over to FBI Agent Jeff Hayes in Long Beach, CA, had been given to Assistant U.S. Attorney Jonathan Lacey with whom I met personally at the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Newark, N.J., at which time Samuel Alito was U.S. Attorney, and went over said documents and their probative value with him. Within approximately a month thereafter upon inquiry I was told that Jonathon Lacey was no longer with the office, that the file/documents could not be located, and that there was no further information available concerning contacting him or his location. I thereupon delivered by hand, copies of said documents to the office of then U.S. Attorney Alito, addressed to him, with assurance they would go directly to him. In addition to being inept [ I looked in on the one mob case he had brought, bungled, lost (accidently on purpose?) since I was suing some mob-connected under RICO and the court (I had known / previously met outside of court the judge Ackerman through a client) was absolute bedlam and a total joke since incompetent corrupt Alito brought in all 20 mob defendants (rather than prosecute one or a few to flip them first) who feigning illness had beds/cots in the courtroom along with their moans during testimony and had the jury in stitches. As much as I hate the mob, it truly was funny, if not so tragic.],   Alito is also corrupt (and maybe corrupt because he is inept). After a reasonable (but still rather short) time I called to determine the status and was told that Alito was no longer with the Office of the U.S. Attorney, that he was (appointed) a federal judge, and that neither the documents nor any file or record of same could be located. Alito did parley the same / cover-up into quid pro quo direct lifetime appointment to the Court of Appeals, 3rd circuit, despite the absence of judicial experience or successful tenure as U.S. Attorney (Maryanne Trump Barry as well). This is the same Sam Alito that now sits on the purported highest court in the land. The real application of the illegal rule ‘don’t ask, don’t tell’.

 

 

There is applicable insurance / surety coverage and neither LA, nor creditors, nor I should continue to have been damaged by this brazened corrupt and illegal scenario, which should be resolved in accordance with the meaningful rules of law apposite thereto.

 

 

Sincerely,

 

 

Albert L. Peia

611 E. 5th Street, #404

Los Angeles, CA 90013

(213) 219-**** (cell phone)

(213) 622-3745 (listed land line but there are unresolved problems with the line, computer connection may be the reason but I hesitate to chance greater non-performance / worsening by their ‘fix’ so cell phone best for contact).

 

 

                       ----------

 

*The foregoing and as indicated therein was previously send 9-14-10 but delivery confirmation was flawed as set forth below and my inquiries to the u.s. postal service rebuffed (I believe tampered with inasmuch as your office could not locate same). This cover letter (9-13-10) is on the 3 disks with navigable hyperlinks to the subject files for ease of reference, including the files in the RICO action as indicated. (10-15-10) I spoke with Rose, FBI, ADIC Secretary, who indicates once again that your office has not received the aforesaid and which can reasonably be presumed to have been tampered with, and hence, a violation of the federal statute concerning same. ]

-----

 

Former president convicted of rape (Washington Post) [  Between the orgies, war crimes, assassinations, etc., what a bunch of sick perverts, criminals the israeli operatives / powers that be and their friends are; see, ie.,  Victor Ostrovsky Mossad ebook download in PDF format September: Victor Ostrovsky, a former Mossad trainee, publishes his book By Way of Deception  ... Israel's Mossad has regularly faked Australian passports for its. spies,    1 http://khup.com/keyword/victor-ostrovsky-mossad-by-way-of-deception.html     2 http://khup.com/keyword/page-2/victor-ostrovsky-mossad-by-way-of-deception.html   3 http://khup.com/keyword/page-3/victor-ostrovsky-mossad-by-way-of-deception.html      ]  An Israeli court finds former president Moshe Katsav guilty of rape, indecent assault and sexual harassment of female subordinates, the most serious conviction of a former top official in Israel's history 

 

 

A villain in foreclosure crisis (Washington Post) [  Villain … as in singular … as opposed to plural in a very big way … I don’t think so … We can hear new words ringing and put to that once popular theme, formerly of love but now of fraud, ‘Where do we begin, to tell the story of how great and massive frauds can be, that great fraud story that spreads from sea to sea, in defacto bankrupt america and the futures taken from we … Yes, ‘Fraud Story’ … the forever american story… It’s really that bad and worse than could be imagined at this immutably intractable juncture.  I mean, what isn’t fraudulent in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america today, from courts, to government, to policy, etc., ie., inter alia see infra,  Senate convicts Clinton-appointed judge... [ Come on! One way or another they’re almost all getting bribed; including the initial lifetime appointment as alito, trump-barry, etc.. Abolish the corrupt, costly, economically wasteful lifetime extravagantly appointed federal courts (see RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm   )    End those lifetime licenses to steel. ] In earlier hearings, two attorneys who once worked with Porteous had testified that they gave him thousands of dollars in cash, including about $2,000 stuffed in an envelope in 1999, just before Porteous decided a major civil case in their client's favor.  ] A registry with 67M mortgages on file shoulders much of blame in the uproar over the paperwork mess.

 

 

Economic forecasters see growth in 2011 (Washington Post) [  Growth indeed … in the deficits that is … and in insurmountable fashion at that … which masks / obfuscates in the short-term the weakness and structural shift in the worst economic terms imaginable while benefiting the self-interested few (ie., frauds on wall street, war profiteers, the ‘already campaigning for the next election’ pols, etc.. The trade-off is far from commensurate.

Tipping Point: 25 Signs That The Coming Financial Collapse Is Now Closer Then Ever The financial collapse that so many of us have been anticipating is seemingly closer then ever. Over the past several weeks, there have been a host of ominous signs for the U.S. economy.

The Economic Collapse
Dec 17, 2010

The financial collapse that so many of us have been anticipating is seemingly closer then ever.  Over the past several weeks, there have been a host of ominous signs for the U.S. economy.  Yields on U.S. Treasuries have moved up rapidly and Moody’s is publicly warning that it may have to cut the rating on U.S. government debt soon.  Mortgage rates are also moving up aggressively.  The euro and the U.S. dollar both look incredibly shaky.  Jobs continue to be shipped out of the United States at a blistering pace as our politicians stand by and do nothing.  Confidence in U.S. government debt around the globe continues to decline.  State and local governments that are drowning in debt across the United States are savagely cutting back on even essential social services and are coming up with increasingly “creative” ways of getting more money out of all of us.  Meanwhile, tremor after tremor continues to strike the world financial system.  So does this mean that we have almost reached a tipping point?  Is the world on the verge of a major financial collapse?

Let’s hope not, but with each passing week the financial news just seems to get eve worse.  Not only is U.S. government debt spinning wildly toward a breaking point, but many U.S. states (such as California) are in such horrific financial condition that they are beginning to resemble banana republics.

But it is not just the United States that is in trouble.  Nightmarish debt problems in Greece, Spain, Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Belgium and several other European nations threaten to crash the euro at any time.  In fact, many economists are now openly debating which will collapse first – the euro or the U.S. dollar.

Sadly, this is the inevitable result of constructing a global financial system on debt.  All debt bubbles eventually collapse.  Currently we are living in the biggest debt bubble in the history of the world, and when this one bursts it is going to be a disaster of truly historic proportions.

So will we reach a tipping point soon?  Well, the following are 25 signs that the financial collapse is rapidly getting closer….

#1 The official U.S. unemployment rate has not been beneath 9 percent since April 2009.

#2 According to the U.S. Census Bureau, there are currently 6.3 million vacant homes in the United States that are either for sale or for rent.

#3 It is being projected that the U.S. trade deficit with China could hit 270 billion dollars for the entire year of 2010.

#4 Back in 2000, 7.2 percent of blue collar workers were either unemployed or underemployed.  Today that figure is up to 19.5 percent.

#5 The Chinese government has accumulated approximately $2.65 trillion in total foreign exchange reserves.  They have drained this wealth from the economies of other nations (such as the United States) and instead of reinvesting all of it they are just sitting on much of it.  This is creating tremendous imbalances in the global economy.

#6 Since the year 2000, we have lost 10% of our middle class jobs.  In the year 2000 there were approximately 72 million middle class jobs in the United States but today there are only about 65 million middle class jobs.

#7 The United States now employs about the same number of people in manufacturing as it did back in 1940.  Considering the fact that we had 132 million people living in this country in 1940 and that we have well over 300 million people living in this country today, that is a very sobering statistic.

#8 According to CoreLogic, U.S. housing prices have now declined for three months in a row.

#9 The average rate on a 30 year fixed rate mortgage soared 11 basis points just this past week.  As mortgage rates continue to push higher it is going to make it even more difficult for American families to afford homes.

#10 22.5 percent of all residential mortgages in the United States were in negative equity as of the end of the third quarter of 2010.

#11 The U.S. monetary base has more than doubled since the beginning of the most recent recession.

#12 U.S. Treasury yields have been rising steadily during the 4th quarter of 2010 and recently hit a six-month high.

#13 Incoming governor Jerry Brown is scrambling to find $29 billion more to cut from the California state budget.  The following quote from Brown about the desperate condition of California state finances is not going to do much to inspire confidence in California’s financial situation around the globe….

“We’ve been living in fantasy land. It is much worse than I thought. I’m shocked.”

#14 24.3 percent of the residents of El Centro, California are currently unemployed.

#15 The average home in Merced, California has declined in value by 63 percent over the past four years.

#16 Detroit Mayor Dave Bing has come up with a new way to save money.  He wants to cut 20 percent of Detroit off from essential social services such as road repairs, police patrols, functioning street lights and garbage collection.

#17 The second most dangerous city in the United States – Camden, New Jersey – is about to lay off about half its police in a desperate attempt to save money.

#18 In 2010, 55 percent of Americans between the ages of 60 and 64 were in the labor market.  Ten years ago, that number was just 47 percent.  More older Americans than ever find that they have to keep working just to survive.

#19 Back in 1998, the United States had 25 percent of the world’s high-tech export market and China had just 10 percent. Ten years later, the United States had less than 15 percent and China’s share had soared to 20 percent.

#20 The U.S. government budget deficit increased to a whopping $150.4 billion last month, which represented the biggest November budget deficit on record.

#21 The U.S. government is somehow going to have to roll over existing debt and finance new debt that is equivalent to 27.8 percent of GDP in 2011.

#22 The United States had been the leading consumer of energy on the globe for about 100 years, but this past summer China took over the number one spot.

#23 According to an absolutely stunning new poll, 40 percent of all U.S. doctors plan to bail out of the profession over the next three years.

#24 As 2007 began, there were just over 1 million Americans that had been unemployed for half a year or longer.  Today, there are over 6 million Americans that have been unemployed for half a year or longer.

#25 All over the United States, local governments have begun instituting “police response fees”.  For example, New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg has come up with a plan under which a fee of $365 would be charged if police are called to respond to an automobile accident where no injuries are involved.  If there are injuries as a result of the crash that is going to cost extra.

 

 

Howard Davidowitz on the Economy: "Here Are the Numbers ... WE'RE BROKE!"   11-25-10  The U.S. economy "is a complete disaster," Howard Davidowitz declared here in July, the most recent in a string of dire predictions from Tech Ticker's most entertaining guest.On the eve of Thanksgiving, I asked Davidowitz if he had any regrets, or was ready to throw in the towel given recent signs of economic revival. Are you kidding me? "Here are the numbers...we're broke," Davidowitz declares, noting the U.S. government goes $5 billion deeper into debt every day and is facing $1 trillion-plus annual deficits for the next decade. "In other words, we're bankrupt."As with the economy, Davidowitz is unwaveringly consistent in his views on President Obama, calling him "deranged, dysfunctional and discredited."Results of the midterm election show "the people of this country think we are in a catastrophe," he says. "I'm with them."Check the accompanying video for more of Howard's unfettered opinions and stay tuned for additional clips from this interview. And...Happy Thanksgiving! Aaron Task is the host of Tech Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at [email protected]

 

 

 

Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘

 

 

] As 2011 begins, the U.S. is poised for its strongest year of economic growth since the recession began three years ago. Plenty of risks that could undermine the recovery remain, and it could take years of solid growth to get the nation out of its deep economic hole.

 

 

Krauthammer: How to impose a liberal agenda (Washington Post) [ I am not being sarcastic here when I say, and I believe with good reason, that liberal / conservative, republican / democrat labels, agendas, distinctions are complete fictions today in favor of the reality of total incompetence, pervasive corruption, and self-interested expedience. Indeed, with dumbya bush bush being the easiest of presidential acts to follow, wobama’s abject failure can be tied to his label-defying continuation of  contraindicated self-sustaining / self-defeating war policies, profligate spending on less revenue, etc.. Even the Reagan days are besmirched by the reality of the substantial growth, not shrinkage of the government bureaucracy. The 2 bush incompetents / war criminals were blazing bureaucrats by any standard which was what made poppy bush a ‘required’ presence on the Reagan ticket (cia, government mob, etc.). The clintons no different, and of course, ‘wobama the b’ for b*** s*** at best no different and probably worse which of course, consistent with their spend more on less revenues, particularly to favor the few (ie., frauds on wall street, war profiteers, government employees and contractors, etc., is reflected in the insurmountable budget deficits and ultimately failed policies across the board. ]

 

 

Come on! Do you really believe those employment numbers? Given their desperation, at best there was a collusive one day spike of one-day duration temp hires on the last day of the month!

 

5 More Themes for 2011 Suttmeir ‘5 themes for 2011 (6 more are on their way):

  1. Home prices will resume a decline that began in mid-2006. We had the home buyer tax credits expire in mid-2010, and government sponsored mortgage modifications provided limited help. In 2011 we face continued foreclosure issues including questionable documentation, and banks have a record high Other Real Estate Owned (OREO). OREO is up to $53.2 billion at the end of the third quarter, up 338.2% since the end of 2007. Depressed home sales are being sold at a 30% to 35% discount, which reduces property appraisals at the county level. Home builders will have to compete with these lower prices and we need a mortgage modification program for all Americans, not just those at risk of losing their homes. QE2 is not working and US Treasury yields are higher causing mortgage rates to rise. “The Great Credit Crunch” began with housing, and that foundation needs repair before Main Street can recover with sustainable job creation.
  1. Community banks still have $1.43 trillion in commercial real estate loans that require resolution. The FDIC’s List of Problem Banks rose to 860 in the third quarter of 2010, which is 11.1% of all insured institutions. My analysis shows 2,485 or 32% of all banks overexposed to commercial real estate loans, and 3,938 or 50.7% of all banks with real estate loan pipelines that are 80% to 100% funded. This stress needs to be addressed before jobs can be created on Main Street USA as housing and construction drive local economies. “The Great Credit Crunch” will not end without a program to remove toxic real estate loans from the books of community banks around the country.
  1. The banking system is supposed to de-lever risk, but it has not. When I look at the Notional Amount of Derivative Contracts I cringe at the fact that since the end of 2007 this risk category has grown $71.6 trillion since the end of 2007, that’s an increase of 43.5% to $236.4 trillion at the end of the third quarter in an environment where banks should be de-leveraging not adding to this risk where financial time bombs are ticking.
  1. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will continue to drain taxpayer money as the Treasury provides unlimited lines of credit through 2012. The cost currently is about $150 billion, by far the largest of any government bailouts. We need to unwind the activities of these GSEs, and beef up Ginnie Mae as the go to government agency that backs new mortgage issuance.
  1. Because of the housing market depression and stress in the banking system the unemployment rate will stay above 9% for all of 2011.

Tracking the US Capital Markets – US stocks are overvalued fundamentally and overbought technically on both daily and weekly charts. The snow storm causes stocks to drift lower and higher.

  • The major equity averages are below this week’s risky levels as the year draws to a close at: 11,629 Dow, 1269.4 SPX, 2682 NASDAQ, 5215 Dow Transports and 808.57 Russell 2000.
  • Fifteen of sixteen sectors are overvalued according to ValuEngine with only 37.9% of all stocks undervalued. At 35% the stock market tends to find a top. Only 17.4% of all stocks are undervalued by 20% or more.

Here are my remaining themes for 2011 – Six through Eleven (a continuation of 1-5)

6. QE2, the $600 billion program where the Federal Reserve buys long dated US Treasury Securities has been a failure so far. The yield on the 10-Year was 2.334 when Fed Chief Bernanke touted QE2 in October only to see the yield nearly 125 basis points higher in December. The primary intent of QE2 was to lower longer-dated US Treasury yields. Yields held this week’s value level at 3.494 again on Wednesday. There is risk to 3.75 to 4.25 in 2011, but with or without this weakness, the 10-Year yield will decline to 2.75 to 2.50 during 2011.

7. Comex Gold has gone parabolic, and therefore you cannot predict how high gold prices can climb. I do know that corrections will be fierce and painful for those that buy strength instead of weakness. The 2011 neutral zone is between $1350 and $1450.

8. Nymex Crude Oil is headed back above $100 per barrel according to most experts. I cannot rule that out for 2011, but the downside is more significant given weekly closes below the $87 per barrel area. If gasoline stays above $3.00 per gallon demand on Main Street will slow down and will be a drag on economic growth and job creation.

9. Problems among the PIIGS nations denominated in euros will trump problems at the state level in the USA. This will keep the euro versus the dollar in a trading range. We will begin 2011 with a quarterly pivot around 1.3150.

10. US stocks show strong technical characteristics. The S&P 500 is above the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement of the decline from October 2007 to the low of March 2009 at 1228.74. Dow Theory had a Buy Signal in early November and another confirmation in December. The Dow Industrial Average – I project downside to 9,375 in the first half with a rebound to 11,500 in the second half. Strength above 11,500 will return to 11,500, and the 2011 close will be at or below 11,500.

11.ValuEngine.com indicates that equity fundamental are not cheap. Fifteen of sixteen sectors will begin 2011 overvalued according to ValuEngine. The normal range for the percent undervalued or overvalued stocks is 35% to 65%. We will begin 2011 close to the low end of the range for undervalued stocks and towards the high end for overvalued stocks. Because of the battle between the technicals and fundamentals, stocks will be reversal-oriented in 2011 and be little changed year over year.

Tracking the US Capital Markets – US stocks are overvalued fundamentally and overbought technically on both daily and weekly charts.

  • The major equity averages remain below this week’s risky levels as the year draws to a close at: 11,629 Dow, 1269.4 SPX, 2682 NASDAQ, 5215 Dow Transports and 808.57 Russell 2000.
  • Fifteen of sixteen sectors are overvalued according to ValuEngine with only 37.7% of all stocks undervalued. At 35% the stock market tends to find a top. Only 17.5% of all stocks are undervalued by 20% or more.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.’

 

 

Struggling to the Finish Line: Dave's Daily  ‘Most economic news today (Jobless Claims, Chicago PMI and Home Sales) was, ahem, "better than expected"; still, that didn't spark any determined buying. Maybe without any POMO Thursday trading desks were running on empty. 2010 was an interesting year with lots of erratic behavior but a Fed "stick save" in the end. Flash Crashes, elections, tax issues, spending, unemployment, POMO and home prices were all center stage. Now you're probably expecting some sort of forecast from your humble pundit, but alas, all I can offer are three basic tenets to follow:

"The best laid schemes of mice and men go often askew."

-- Robert Burns

Or, if you prefer: "The best laid plans of mice and men often go awry"

-- John Steinbeck

"If you must forecast, forecast often."

--Economist Edgar Fiedler (ETF Digest Sacred Cow IX)

"Things change"

-- ETF Digest Sacred Cow X

You were expecting Dow 20,000?!?

Volume Thursday did improve a tad and breadth was flat… ‘

 

 

8 Contrarian Signs Against a 2011 Rally: My Thoughts  Mansell ‘Recently my grandfather sent me an article from DailyFinance.com. The article was listing 8 contrarian signs to suggest a stall in the current rally in 2011…Check out the article for more information on each of the points and links to charts and etc. I just list them below and my opinions on each.

1) Industrial production and capacity utilization have both stalled: This is a fair argument and one that merits some consideration. My only comment would be that just because it is slowing down does not necessarily bode poorly for the economy (though "growth" may slow). It is my understanding that much of the growth in the industrial production was in companies rebuilding inventories that they depleted during the height of the recession. It should be obvious that it would turn down at some point but I am curious to know if the recent downturn has more than accounted for the loss of restocking inventories in the equation.

2) The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) has been in a downtrend since June: The BDI is down because people the world over are worried about oversupply within the dry bulk sector. This is also why a lot of the stocks within that sector trade at single digit P/Es. My argument, though, is that low rates due to oversupply doesn't suggest anything about the overall global economy and its recovery; it is just the mismanagement of assets by industry executives.If we are making the argument that the price being lower to ship goods is bad; here is an argument for gradually raising rates.The way people are determining the oversupply is by looking at outstanding orders; however, in 2010 around 50% of orders weren't delivered due to cancellations by the companies who ordered them. I imagine a similar number will occur in 2011 (source, slides 6 and 7). Also, I have read an interview with an industry executive that suggests they have yet to see a slowdown in demand, even with the increased number of ships AND the attempts of China's government to slow its growth. The Chinese economy is still 10% larger than it was last year, has grown substantially this year, and I think that growth has taken out a large amount of the expected slack within the shipping industry. India and other emerging markets are also supposed to be doing pretty well, suggesting further demand there.Also, 21% of the current fleet (of Panamax vessels) are over the age of 20 years old. I do not know what the average scrap rate is for a panamax vessel but I know that currently there are non that appear to be over 35 and few that fall into the 30-35 range. This suggests that over the next 10 years we'll see the scrapping of 1 out of every 5 of the current fleet. While this clearly won't help short term rates, it does suggest that oversupply won't last long and will begin improving over the next five years or so.

3) Interest rates are rising: Some have actually hailed the Fed's QE2 program as a success based on this; clearly investors are expecting more inflation which is why rates are rising and this inflation expectation started largely after the Fed began that program. However, I was never a fan of this program and I don't know how inflation is supposed to help the 10% of people who are unemployed who find their savings eaten away by rising prices AND necessary living expenses.

4) Oil and gasoline have risen to levels that some analysts see as negative for growth: This makes sense; however, I do not know much about this. I know gas prices were much higher while the economy was stalling in 2008, but we didn't have the unemployment we have now and the economy WAS stalling so it would be hard to know the effect of high gasoline prices. I think we've all noticed its quick rise, though, and it will lead to less disposable income.

5) Property taxes and other state/local taxes are rising: I don't know the absolute amount of dollars for each but I know that Congress cut the social security tax for working individuals over the next year which should help them make up some of these rising costs. Also, consumers have been deleveraging and are spending less disposable income on credit, which means that this shouldn't be too entirely unbearable but will weigh on consumer spending nonetheless.

6) Retail investors are shunning the U.S. stocks: This to me suggests that it is a time to buy. Especially since companies have the most cash on balance sheets than they have had since the 1950s. As soon as the economy turns around they'll produce returns on that cash or invest it abroad and earn those returns now. Either way, you're currently getting more safety in cash, with greater growth potential, for cheaper prices than available before and this is bad because....?Also, aren't retail investors notorious for being wrong? There are investment strategies based entirely around doing the exact opposite of retail investors; while this doesn't mean we should dismiss their actions or automatically do the opposite, I do think we should consider how much weight we're placing on retail investors' behavior.

7) Margin debt is at the highest levels since September 2008: Very true, but as #6 says there are fewer dollars from investors in the market, so this affects few individuals at very large levels and doesn't appear to be pandemic for all US households.

8) Investor sentiment remains at extremely high levels: What investors? Money has been leaving the equity markets since 2008, as suggested in #6, and we've seen net outflows in equity markets even during the "recovery". So investors are saying they're excited about stocks while pulling money out of equity markets and putting it into bond markets, gold, and other investments? I think I'd rather follow the truth in people's actions as opposed to following their words. I don't think investor sentiment is REALLY that high if they are investing in other assets as opposed to stocks.Lastly, I'm really disappointed that this article didn't mention the ONE greatest threat that I believe is currently inflicting the American economy and that is the continuous struggle in housing. Don't get me wrong, I'm currently investing in REITs, but I think housing is far from the bottom and that in 2011 and 2012 we'll see further atrophy in home prices.New single home sales have fallen back to 283,000 in October 2010, which is a little lower than the 300k -320k that we were seeing at the beginning of 2000 and a far cry from the near 600,000 we saw at the peak; however, even though these numbers have normalized, other factors have not.In 2000, 300k homes for sale represented about 4 months of supply which is normal. The 283,000 number we've seen, while lower than the 300k in 2000, represents 8+ months of inventory currently. On top of this, we have waves of foreclosures that are hitting the market further exacerbating the problem. I think it's safe to say that we probably have over a year's worth of housing inventory that will be available for sale over the next year AND interest rates are rising, making it more expensive to own. The only thing that can give a little to rebalance the equation is home prices.On top of all of this, in 2011 and 2012 we'll start to see another wave of ARMs resetting. I do not believe that we'll see a pandemic of foreclosures because people are unable to afford the switch that we saw in 2008 and 2009, but I do think we'll see a lot of foreclosures because people won't want to pay that much for houses that are worth 25%-30% less than what they were when the agreed to the ARM. In fact, the scenario of people living free in their homes for a year or more has become a relatively common occurrence even now as they realize that foreclosures are so backed up that they can live rent free for some time. I imagine that raising interest rates will only make more people decided that it's better to default now on the higher rates and rent or purchase a less expensive home....In the short term, this could cause massive damage to the economy. Over the long term, it allows for greater deleveraging and a normalization of the housing industry as opposed to dragging this recovery out over a much longer period of time.Another downturn in the housing industry, which I think is likely even as the rest of the economy recovers, will likely be what makes 2011 and 2012 bleak.The only solutions for making this situation better, faster, include: creating jobs, speeding up the foreclosures process to get houses off the market and to prevent voluntary default, coming up with effective ways to allow homeowners to modify/refinance, and letting this monster run its course. Between the years 2000 and 2006, we more than doubled the amount of money in mortgages outstanding in the US. That is incredible when you consider that mortgages are 15-30 year maturities yet we doubled the amount in 6 YEARS! It's going to take the better part of a decade for us to recover from this and housing will be in trouble for awhile…’

 

Home foreclosures jump in 3rd quarter: regulators Reuters | U.S. home foreclosures jumped in the third quarter and banks’ efforts to keep borrowers in their homes dropped as the housing market continues to struggle.

 

More Dollar Declines in 2011? CNBC | The US dollar is likely to fall further during 2011, but the stock market could perform well, according to Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Avalon Partners.

 

Ratigan Calls Out Obama On Pushing The Big Tarp Lie SaveOurSovereignty3 | The Big Lie is that the banksters paid back the TARP money.

 

17 National Debt Statistics Which Prove That We Have Sold Our Children And Grandchildren Into Perpetual Debt Slavery What we have done to future generations over the past 30 years is absolutely criminal. 30 years ago the U.S. national debt was a bit under one trillion dollars, and at that time it was considered a huge national crisis.

 

Have Bankers Overthrown the U.S, Government? (Yes) John Truman Wolfe | The enemy has taken control of our very financial lives without a single shot being fired.

 

Metals from copper to silver hit record highs Copper has hit yet another record high in a strong morning for metals trading, as commodities shook off China’s efforts to halt inflation by raising interest rates on Christmas Day.

 

Bernanke Only Adds Fuel To The Fire With Quantitative Easing Mr. Bernanke, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, a private corporation, would have us believe that, quantitative easing is the only way to save the US economy and to reverse the unemployment problem.

 

 

National / World

 

Naked Wheelchair Protester Targeted by TSA Over Buttocks Steve Watson | Agents single out woman who stood up to airport tyranny, ban her from flying.

 

Feds, Police Enforce Mandatory Blood Tests At Florida Checkpoints Steve Watson & Paul Watson | “No refusal” DUI stops soon to expand nationwide.

 

Mandatory DUI Checkpoint Blood Tests Coming to Florida Kurt Nimmo | A concerted effort to raise the bar as government connives to trash the Constitution and the Bill of Rights.

 

Baby Boomers Start To Turn 65: 16 Statistics About The Coming Retirement Crisis That Will Drop Your Jaw The American Dream | The moment when the first Baby Boomers reach retirement age has arrived. ‘ … The following are 16 statistics about the coming retirement crisis that will drop your jaw…..

#1 Beginning January 1st, 2011 every single day more than 10,000 Baby Boomers will reach the age of 65.  That is going to keep happening every single day for the next 19 years.

#2 According to one recent survey, 36 percent of Americans say that they don’t contribute anything at all to retirement savings.

#3 Most Baby Boomers do not have a traditional pension plan because they have been going out of style over the past 30 years.  Just consider the following quote from Time Magazine: The traditional pension plan is disappearing. In 1980, some 39 percent of private-sector workers had a pension that guaranteed a steady payout during retirement. Today that number stands closer to 15 percent, according to the Employee Benefit Research Institute in Washington, D.C.

#4 Over 30 percent of U.S. investors currently in their sixties have more than 80 percent of their 401k invested in equities.  So what happens if the stock market crashes again?

#5 35% of Americans already over the age of 65 rely almost entirely on Social Security payments alone.

#6 According to another recent survey, 24% of U.S. workers admit that they have postponed their planned retirement age at least once during the past year.

#7 Approximately 3 out of 4 Americans start claiming Social Security benefits the moment they are eligible at age 62.  Most are doing this out of necessity.  However, by claiming Social Security early they get locked in at a much lower amount than if they would have waited.

#8 Pension consultant Girard Miller recently told California’s Little Hoover Commission that state and local government bodies in the state of California have $325 billion in combined unfunded pension liabilities.  When you break that down, it comes to $22,000 for every single working adult in California.

#9 According to a recent report from Stanford University, California’s three biggest pension funds are as much as $500 billion short of meeting future retiree benefit obligations.

#10 It has been reported that the $33.7 billion Illinois Teachers Retirement System is 61% underfunded and is on the verge of complete collapse.


#11
Robert Novy-Marx of the University of Chicago and Joshua D. Rauh of Northwestern’s Kellogg School of Management recently calculated the combined pension liability for all 50 U.S. states.  What they found was that the 50 states are collectively facing $5.17 trillion in pension obligations, but they only have $1.94 trillion set aside in state pension funds.  That is a difference of 3.2 trillion dollars.  So where in the world is all of that extra money going to come from?  Most of the states are already completely broke and on the verge of bankruptcy.

 

#12 According to the Congressional Budget Office, the Social Security system will pay out more in benefits than it receives in payroll taxes in 2010.  That was not supposed to happen until at least 2016.  Sadly, in the years ahead these “Social Security deficits” are scheduled to become absolutely horrific as hordes of Baby Boomers start to retire.

 

#13 In 1950, each retiree’s Social Security benefit was paid for by 16 U.S. workers.  In 2010, each retiree’s Social Security benefit is paid for by approximately 3.3 U.S. workers.  By 2025, it is projected that there will be approximately two U.S. workers for each retiree.  How in the world can the system possibly continue to function properly with numbers like that?

 

#14 According to a recent U.S. government report, soaring interest costs on the U.S. national debt plus rapidly escalating spending on entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare will absorb approximately 92 cents of every single dollar of federal revenue by the year 2019.  That is before a single dollar is spent on anything else.

 

#15 After analyzing Congressional Budget Office data, Boston University economics professor Laurence J. Kotlikoff concluded that the U.S. government is facing a “fiscal gap” of $202 trillion dollars.  A big chunk of that is made up of future obligations to Social Security and Medicare recipients.

 

#16 According to a recent AARP survey of Baby Boomers, 40 percent of them plan to work “until they drop”.

Companies all over America have been dropping their pension plans in anticipation of the time when the Baby Boomers would retire.  401k programs were supposed to be part of the answer, but if the stock market crashes again, it is absolutely going to devastate the Baby Boomers.

State and local governments are scrambling to find ways to pay out all the benefits that they have been promising.  Many state and local governments will be forced into some very hard choices by the hordes of Baby Boomers that will now be retiring.

Of course whenever a big financial crisis comes along these days everyone looks to the federal government to fix the problem.  But the truth is that after fixing crisis after crisis the federal government is flat broke  …’

 

Underneath the Happy Talk, Is This As Bad as the Great Depression? Washington’s Blog | Even though the government’s spending on the economic crisis dwarfs the amount spent on the New Deal, our economy is still stuck in the mud.

 

America Has Gone Away Anyone who doesn’t believe that the US is an incipient fascist state needs only to consult the latest assault on civil liberty by Fox News. Instead of informing citizens, Fox News informs on citizens. Jason Ditz reports that Fox News “no longer content to simply shill for a growing police state,” turned in a grandmother to the Department of Homeland Security for making “anti-American comments.”



Jumping ship for private sector (Washington Post) [ Nothing new here! After all, given the state of the u.s. government (pervasively corrupt, mired in failure, nation’s defacto bankupt, totally incompetent, etc.), what possible value could such experience be other than peddling influence based upon professional criminal courtesy to, ie., other criminals of course, viz., frauds on wall street, war profiteers, pay-to-play lobbyists, etc.. It’s truly the backstory to america’s decline across the board, private sector and public sector. ] Regulators, prosecutors and financial policymakers look to cash in on their government experience.

 

Constitution's new starring role in House (Washington Post) [ Riiiiight!…Whew! That was a close one…we can all rest easy now…and to think we were thinkin’ they were goin’ in the wrong direction and sinkin’…for those skeptics who hail this as yet another desperate and redundant gimmick … have no fear, the new congress is here.   ]  ‘…They will read the Constitution aloud…’

 

Iraqi police commander killed in triple suicide attack (Washington Post) [  Well, at least al-Maliki understands the ‘physics of the situation’… you know, that ‘cause and effect thing’ …    Iraq Wants the U.S. Out  Infowars.com Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki ruled out the presence of any U.S. troops in Iraq after the end of 2011, saying his new government and the country’s security forces were capable of confronting any remaining threats to Iraq’s security, sovereignty and unity. ]

 

SUVs lead U.S. auto sales growth (Washington Post) [  Sounds like a plan … ahead … for when $5 plus gas turns these eventual valued antiques into ‘luxury mobiles’  … for that Sunday spin (expensive at that) down Main Street much like the early 20th century motorcars themselves.    Oil Prices Are About To Wake Up To Peak-Production Realities?  Infowars.com ] If U.S. consumers are in the midst of a green revolution, the news hasn't reached car buyers.

 

 

Bank failures hit record in 2010 (Washington Post) [ As night follows the day:

ROBERT SHILLER: If House Prices Keep Falling This Fast, The Economy Is Screwed He also says that if house prices keep falling this fast, the economy will face “serious reasons to worry” (which, for Professor Shiller, is an apocalyptic statement).

Roubini: ‘Housing Prices Can Only Move Down’ According to economist Nouriel Roubini, the housing market is in a double dip. And negative Case-Shiller Home Price numbers out today only confirm that unpleasant truth.

Underneath the Happy Talk, Is This As Bad as the Great Depression? To find out, we’ll look at a couple comparisons to get an idea of what is going on in the rest of the economy. And then we’ll compare the government’s efforts in the 1930s to today.

Video of Bernanke and Geithner Trying to Get the Economy Unstuck Bernanke and Geithner are driving the tow truck. The bulldozer which the tow truck is so persistently trying to yank free is Wall Street, and the white SUV being repeatedly rammed without any concern whatsoever is the little guy on Main Street. ]  More banks failed in the U.S. this year than in any year since 1992, and there are more on the horizon.

Housing market forecast (Washington Post)  Expert says "house prices probably have another 20% to fall." And that may be a "conservative estimate.’

 

Disgraced ex-Israeli president convicted of rape (AP)

Israel's ex-president Katsav guilty of rape (Reuters)

 

 

 

 

Housing Is My #1 Theme as Home Prices Resume Their Decline Suttmeier ‘On Tuesday I published the first five of my eleven themes for 2011.

Number One - Home Prices will resume a decline that began in mid-2006.

  • We had the home buyer tax credits expire in mid-2010, and government sponsored mortgage modifications provided limited help.
  • In 2011 we face continued foreclosure issues including questionable documentation, and banks have a record high Other Real Estate Owned (OREO). OREO is up to $53.2 billion at the end of the third quarter, up 338.2% since the end of 2007.
  • Depressed home sales are being sold at a 30% to 35% discount, which reduces property appraisals at the county level.
  • Home builders will have to compete with these lower prices and we need a mortgage modification program for all Americans, not just those at risk of losing their homes.
  • QE2 is not working and US Treasury yields are higher, causing mortgage rates to rise.
  • “The Great Credit Crunch” began with housing, and that foundation needs repair before Main Street can recover with sustainable job creation.

On Tuesday we learned that home prices are on the decline again according to Case-Shiller, and that the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence fell to 52.5 in December. The National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index remains depressed at 16, when a reading of 50 is neutral. The Consumer Confidence reading at 52.5 is depressed considering that 90 to 120 is the neutral zone.

  • The 20-City Composite from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index fell 1.3% sequentially in October and 0.8% year over year with Atlanta, Charlotte, Miami, Portland, Seattle and Tampa hitting new lows since home prices began to fall in mid-2006.
  • Home sales are down 25% year over year and the supply of unsold homes is up 50%, and housing starts are near thirty year lows.
  • From the mid-2006 peak to current home prices are down 29.6%.
  • The 20-City Composite is still 50% above its starting point at the end of 1999.

Click to enlarge [chart]

Tracking the US Capital Markets – US stocks are overvalued fundamentally and overbought technically on both daily and weekly charts.

  • The major equity averages are below this week’s risky levels as the year draws to a close at: 11,629 Dow, 1269.4 SPX, 2682 NASDAQ, 5215 Dow Transports and 808.57 Russell 2000.
  • Fifteen of sixteen sectors are overvalued according to ValuEngine, with only 36.2% of all stocks undervalued. At 35% the stock market tends to find a top. Only 16.9% of all stocks are undervalued by 20% or more.

Click to enlarge [chart]

The Yield on the 10-Year Note (3.466) – This week’s value level is 3.494 has held on weakness with today’s risky level at 3.264.

Comex Gold ($1405.7) – Today’s value level is $1387.4 with this week’s pivot at $1401.2 and monthly risky level at $1443.5.

Nymex Crude Oil ($91.23) – Today’s pivot is $91.38 with this week’s risky level at $93.28.

The Euro (1.3116) – Today’s value level is 1.3060 with my quarterly pivot at 1.3318, which goes away at the end of the year.

The Dow Industrial Average (11,576) – Remains extremely overbought on both daily and weekly charts. The five-day modified moving average is 11,523 with daily and weekly risky levels at 11,618 and 11,629.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.’

 

 

Housing Is My #1 Theme as Home Prices Resume Their Decline Suttmeier ‘On Tuesday I published the first five of my eleven themes for 2011.

Number One - Home Prices will resume a decline that began in mid-2006.

  • We had the home buyer tax credits expire in mid-2010, and government sponsored mortgage modifications provided limited help.
  • In 2011 we face continued foreclosure issues including questionable documentation, and banks have a record high Other Real Estate Owned (OREO). OREO is up to $53.2 billion at the end of the third quarter, up 338.2% since the end of 2007.
  • Depressed home sales are being sold at a 30% to 35% discount, which reduces property appraisals at the county level.
  • Home builders will have to compete with these lower prices and we need a mortgage modification program for all Americans, not just those at risk of losing their homes.
  • QE2 is not working and US Treasury yields are higher, causing mortgage rates to rise.
  • “The Great Credit Crunch” began with housing, and that foundation needs repair before Main Street can recover with sustainable job creation.

On Tuesday we learned that home prices are on the decline again according to Case-Shiller, and that the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence fell to 52.5 in December. The National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index remains depressed at 16, when a reading of 50 is neutral. The Consumer Confidence reading at 52.5 is depressed considering that 90 to 120 is the neutral zone.

  • The 20-City Composite from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index fell 1.3% sequentially in October and 0.8% year over year with Atlanta, Charlotte, Miami, Portland, Seattle and Tampa hitting new lows since home prices began to fall in mid-2006.
  • Home sales are down 25% year over year and the supply of unsold homes is up 50%, and housing starts are near thirty year lows.
  • From the mid-2006 peak to current home prices are down 29.6%.
  • The 20-City Composite is still 50% above its starting point at the end of 1999.

Click to enlarge [chart]

Tracking the US Capital Markets – US stocks are overvalued fundamentally and overbought technically on both daily and weekly charts.

  • The major equity averages are below this week’s risky levels as the year draws to a close at: 11,629 Dow, 1269.4 SPX, 2682 NASDAQ, 5215 Dow Transports and 808.57 Russell 2000.
  • Fifteen of sixteen sectors are overvalued according to ValuEngine, with only 36.2% of all stocks undervalued. At 35% the stock market tends to find a top. Only 16.9% of all stocks are undervalued by 20% or more.

Click to enlarge [chart]

The Yield on the 10-Year Note (3.466) – This week’s value level is 3.494 has held on weakness with today’s risky level at 3.264.

Comex Gold ($1405.7) – Today’s value level is $1387.4 with this week’s pivot at $1401.2 and monthly risky level at $1443.5.

Nymex Crude Oil ($91.23) – Today’s pivot is $91.38 with this week’s risky level at $93.28.

The Euro (1.3116) – Today’s value level is 1.3060 with my quarterly pivot at 1.3318, which goes away at the end of the year.

The Dow Industrial Average (11,576) – Remains extremely overbought on both daily and weekly charts. The five-day modified moving average is 11,523 with daily and weekly risky levels at 11,618 and 11,629.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.’

 

 

The 10 Most Important Tax Tips Of 2010  Posted by Investopedia It’s the end of the year, and while holiday baking may be top of mind, that niggling little task of getting the year-end tax tasks done is still there, bothering you over the scent of the fruitcake in the oven. The following tips will give you some specifics so you can take care of taxes, and then get back to your fun holiday activities.

IN PICTURES: Top 10 Solutions For A Big Tax Bill

  1. Defer Income Until 2011
    With lower payroll taxes starting in January 2011, if you have income you can defer and report in the new year’s taxes, do so. Hold your last batch of invoices and send them out in early 2011; save that bit of money by paying the 2011 tax rate.
  2. Contribute To A Retirement Plan
    Whether you choose to convert your traditional IRA to a Roth IRA or not, make sure you contribute the maximum amount you can before the year’s over. It’s one of the easiest ways to save money on your taxes.
  3. Use Your Flexible Spending Account
    If you have a flexible spending account (also known as a health savings account or medical/health care spending account), use up what’s left in your account for 2010. And if you haven’t opened one yet, check into what your company offers. Be sure to specify the amount of your 2011 wages that you want to have placed in your flexible spending account. (Learn more in Benefits Of A Dependent Care Flexible Spending Account.)
  4. Invest In Your Business
    If you need to make investments in your business – new equipment, upgraded machinery or real estate improvements – then invest before the year’s end for the write-off on your 2010 taxes.
  5. Save Energy
    Energy-efficient improvements in your residence before year’s end can get you a tax credit of up to $1,500. Though installing a new metal or asphalt roof may be out of the question between now and January 1, you can purchase energy-efficient windows, doors and appliances. And if you’re just itching for another home improvement project to tackle over the holidays, install a solar water heater or solar panels for another credit of up to 30% of the cost.

IN PICTURES: 6 Tax Credits That Anyone Can Claim

  1. Itemize, Itemize, Itemize
    Keep track of your business expenses and put them into your itemized deductions; don’t forget home office purchases, supplies, fees for memberships in professional organizations, technological costs (web hosting, website design, internet costs). Be sure all your itemized costs are for the business and you have the receipts.
  2. Donate
    Make charitable donations before the year’s end for the write-off, but don’t make the mistake of sending out checks dated on or before December 31 and thinking they will qualify. The IRS specifies that checks mailed out must be postmarked by the last day of the year. You can also make donations through major credit cards, as long as the charges are authorized by the end of the year. (Generosity may be its own reward, but some charitable giving also provides personal tax benefits. Learn more in Deducting Your Donations.)
  3. Contribute To A College Savings Plan
    Save for your kids and save on your taxes - up to $13,000 in 2010 for a college savings plan. The magic $13,000 limit keeps you under the federal gift tax.
  4. Pay Your Next Health Insurance Premium
    If you’re self-employed, you can deduct 100% of the cost of health insurance premiums (up to the total of the net earnings of your business). That can be a rather hefty deduction, since it includes costs for your spouse and dependents as well. You can pay ahead – cover your first premium of the new year in 2010, and you can claim it on your 2010 taxes. (Find out where you can take a tax deduction on the contributions you make; see Traditional IRA Deductibility Limits For 2010.)
  5. Pay Into A Specialized Account
    Some employers offer the opportunity to contribute into specialized accounts, including dependent and commuter accounts. A dependent account covers the cost of child care, and a commuter account covers the cost of commuting expenses. Both have limits, but both can help you save on your taxes while paying for stuff you have to pay for anyway.

The Bottom Line
With taxes, you don’t know until you ask. You may be able to save much more than you think you can just by making a few simple changes, or by paying for expenses in December instead of January, February or March. It’s a little bit of forethought that can make the tax bill much more bearable.

For the latest financial news, see Water Cooler Finance: FBI Insider-Trading Bust.’

 

 

Fed Can’t Prop Up Stock Market Forever USA Watchdog | From the very beginning of QE2, it was no secret the Federal Reserve wanted the stock market to rise.

 

BofA/Countrywide Lied About Virtually Everything When Selling Mortgages Zero Hedge | A few days ago, news broke that MBIA was allowed to use statistical sampling in its ongoing Bank of America fraud lawsuit.

 

J.P Morgan, the ultimate *ankers of 2010 Economic Assassin | The contracts that Bear Stearns once held on silver have now been taken over by J.P Morgan, allowing them complete control on the paper price on silver.

 

ROBERT SHILLER: If House Prices Keep Falling This Fast, The Economy Is Screwed He also says that if house prices keep falling this fast, the economy will face “serious reasons to worry” (which, for Professor Shiller, is an apocalyptic statement).

 

Underneath the Happy Talk, Is This As Bad as the Great Depression? To find out, we’ll look at a couple comparisons to get an idea of what is going on in the rest of the economy. And then we’ll compare the government’s efforts in the 1930s to today.

 

Video of Bernanke and Geithner Trying to Get the Economy Unstuck Bernanke and Geithner are driving the tow truck. The bulldozer which the tow truck is so persistently trying to yank free is Wall Street, and the white SUV being repeatedly rammed without any concern whatsoever is the little guy on Main Street.

 

Roubini: ‘Housing Prices Can Only Move Down’ According to economist Nouriel Roubini, the housing market is in a double dip. And negative Case-Shiller Home Price numbers out today only confirm that unpleasant truth.

 

 

National / World

 

FBI Delivers Anti-terror Flyers to Farm Supply Stores Kurt Nimmo | Reader was recently visited by the FBI’s Joint Terrorism Task Force.

 

Forcing Everyone to Live with Their Heads in ‘The Cloud’ Jason Douglass | A new revolution in computing is just another means of control.

 

Poll Reveals Americans Opposed to Government Takeover of Internet Kurt Nimmo | The internet cannot be allowed to be a source of alternative information that challenges the corporate media propaganda system.

 

An Open Letter to Those Who Would Murder Julian Assange Peter Kemp | In a society where truth becomes treason, we are in big trouble.

 

Let’s Reclaim History As We Go Into 2011, And The Unknown Future Saman Mohammadi | Waking up to this new history is paralyzing at first, but it is better to be awake then to continue to live in a vegetative state, believing a false reality.

 

Hollywood and the war machine  [ I disagree. Yes, there’s plenty of propaganda to go around in Hollywood, as everywhere else; but, on balance, I believe more modern film particularly tends to paint war in the more realistically negative light. This is especially so inasmuch as there hasn’t been what anyone could call a so-called ‘good war’ to justify america’s war criminal behavior for quite some time. Of course, there’s no denying the jewish elements so stereotypical of Hollywood which does lend credence to the criticism; but such ‘pro-zionist revelatory filmmaking’ as that regurgitated by, ie., spielberg, etc., has become so predictably boring and devoid of reality that such films now pale in comparison and popularity to the anti-war films including offhand, ie., ‘Platoon’, ‘Apocalypse Now’, and more recently, ‘Hurt Locker’. It is true that in the past the military strong-armed even the likes of Frank Capra to their propaganda campaigns; and, it is also true that today’s attacks on first amendment protected speech are unprecedented in scope as a consequence of the perceived threat of truth (of america’s pervasive corruption, war crimes, fraud, etc.) leaking out all over … the internet (mainstream media is concededly totally controlled – I don’t include, ie., The Washington Post in the category of controlled media, but other papers, tv, etc., certainly should be). Yet, I think the criticism better directed at the source; viz., the criminal and corrupt elements of the american government et als, which is almost all. ( I admit to being somewhat biased and ‘I previously wrote on my site, ‘I happen to like and respect film as a rich medium which presents large amounts of audio, visual, and thematic information which can be processed in relatively small amounts of time, etc..’).  ] Al Jazeera | War is hell, but for Hollywood it has been a Godsend, providing the perfect dramatic setting against which courageous heroes win the hearts and minds of the movie going public. Russia rebuffs Western criticism of oil tycoon's trial (Washington Post) [ As right they should! After all, is anyone foolish enough to believe that america’s illegal system is anything but a farce and a means to legitimize blatantly illegal activity domestically and internationally, while arbitrarily enforcing as to some and retaliating against others … does anybody really believe Assange would get a fair trial in america, or Orwellian britain,  etc.. Pervasively corrupt america’s illegal system is a travesty and their propaganda dogs don’t hunt no more!

Army edits its history of deadly battle of Wanat  (Washington Post) [ Come on! Does anyone really think they ever get a true story from the u.s. gov’t et als about anything at all?  ] Draft put majority of blame on top commanders, but final version's focuses on lower-level leaders sparks anger among families of those killed.

 

A subtler tack to fight Afghan corruption? (Washington Post)  [ How about a not so subtler tack to fight corruption starting right here in the u.s. of a. where corruption and crime are pervasive and in fact, at the root of the Afghanistan problems, from american reinvigorated heroin trade to bribery attendant thereto to killing civilians, etc..  Defacto Bankrupt, Meaningfully Lawless, War Criminal Nation america, the leader of nations … in crime:

Though having but 5% of the world’s population, america can boast 76% of the world’s serial killers, followed by Europe with England/UK then Germany leading the way for the eu [excerpt, 6 minute video, Serial Killers: Real Life Hannibal Lechters          http://www.albertpeia.com/realifeamericaserialkillers.mpg      (as is consistent with crime generally, see infra)]. Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on offensive (defensive a misnomer / propaganda) military spending than all the nations of the world combined, and by a large margin at that. Do you see a pattern emerging here [ I unfortunately only belatedly did, and the feds, fed employees, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality in the most nefarious sense  ( http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm         )   ]:

CRIME STATISTICS > TOTAL CRIMES (MOST RECENT) BY COUNTRY  SHOWING LATEST AVAILABLE DATA (america’s No. 1).

Rank  

Countries 

Amount 

# 1  

United States:

11,877,218 

 

# 2  

United Kingdom:

6,523,706 

 

# 3  

Germany:

6,507,394 

 

  ]

 

WikiLeaks founder could be charged by Feds  (Washington Post) [ He deserves a medal!  I think they should start prosecuting american war criminals, frauds on wall street, $12 billion $100 bills flown into and missing in Iraq, RICO litigation  http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm .

Wall Street Is Laundering Drug Money And Getting Away With It Zach Carter, … etc. … Drudgereport:  CLASSIFIED NO MORE: USA RACES TO LIMIT WIKILEAKS DAMAGE   [Publishing the Wikileaks is the right thing to do; after all, one cannot possibly look to even one rationally correct strategy, domestically, globally, geopolitically that would justify continued hiding/cover-up of the failed strategies, their genesis, flawed rationale, etc., which has cost this nation and the world dearly] ...
WIKILEAKS: We've been hit with 'mass distributed denial of service attack'...
MOST EMBARRASSING, DAMAGING DISCLOSURE IN DECADES...
SENATORS: PROSECUTE THE LEAKERS!
NYT EXPLAINS: THE DECISION TO PUBLISH … [The NYT clearly did the right thing to publish; after all, one cannot possibly look to even one rationally correct strategy, domestically, globally, geopolitically that would justify continued hiding/cover-up of the failed strategies, their genesis, flawed rationale, etc., which has cost this nation and the world dearly]...
SKorea says sound of artillery heard on island...

US, SKorea start major naval drills...
China issues warning...

TO THE BRINK

DHS SEIZES DOMAIN NAMES...
EU Debt Crisis Escalates...
6 American soldiers killed in Afghanistan...

Next Debt Crisis 'May Start in Washington'...
WIKILEAKS TURNS ON OBAMA! … [ Like who hasn’t, and for good reason! Publishing the Wikileaks is the right thing to do; after all, one cannot possibly look to even one rationally correct strategy, domestically, globally, geopolitically that would justify continued hiding/cover-up of the failed strategies, their genesis, flawed rationale, etc., which has cost this nation and the world dearly] ]
] Authorities are investigating whether Julian Assange violated criminal laws, including possible charges under the Espionage Act, sources say. Afghanistan:  Gates: Progress has 'exceeded my expectations' (Post, December 8, 2010; 5:53 PM)
U.S. hurting peace chances by giving up on israeli settlement freeze, analysts say (Post, December 8, 2010; 11:00 PM)
In South Korea, Joint Chiefs chairman scolds China for its 'tacit approval' of North's aggression
(Post, December 8, 2010; 11:01 PM)
Iran talks end with little sign of progress
(Post, December 8, 2010; 1:04 AM)
Rice, on 'The View,' defends Obama on WikiLeaks
(Post, December 8, 2010; 1:00 AM) (Washington Post) [ The problems in all these regions are inextricably tied to the nation with insurmountable problems of its own and own making.  That nation quite obviously is pervasively corrupt, meaningfully lawless, defacto bankrupt america (along with such comparable enablers / allies as zionist israel, nato, etc.. How can anyone believe anything they say, least of all gates who hails from C(ottage)I(ndustries of)A(merica) based on lies, chaos, and conflict.]

 

 

 

Americans Oppose Government Efforts To Take Over Internet According to a recent Rasmussen’s poll, most Americans understand the FCC’s internet regulations will be used by the government to push a political agenda.

 

Congress to Demand Answers From TSA in Airport Security Flaws Exactly one month after Chris Liu posted videos to YouTube showing what he calls “critical security flaws,” the new chairman of a House subcommittee said he will call Transporation Security Administration (TSA) leaders to Capitol Hill for an explanation.

 

Woman Who Protested TSA Pat-Downs At OKC Airport Banned From Flying The woman who made national headlines for her near-naked protest at the airport in Oklahoma City is back and once again banned from flying.

 

2011: The Seeds Of Revolution Will Be Sown After the tumultuous years of the Great Recession, a battered people may wish that 2011 will bring a return to kinder, gentler times. But that is not what we are predicting.

 

Food Safety Bill Invokes Codex Harmonization and Grants FDA Authority to Police Food Safety of Foreign Nations Of all the talk about S.510, virtually no one has actually read the language in the bill — especially not those lawmakers who voted for it. The more you read from this bill, the more surreal it all becomes. For example, did you know there’s a global FDA power grab agenda hidden in the Food Safety Modernization Act?

 

Obscene, Threatening Comments Posted at Anti-TSA Website Traced to Homeland Security Servers According to George Donnelly, owner of WeWontFly.com, government workers appear to be posting hateful messages on his anti-TSA blog under the guise of anonymity.

 

WikiLeaks set to turn on Israel Wikileaks founder Julian Assange has promised that future documents to be published from the trove of leaked American diplomatic cables, will shed light on operations of the Mossad and Israel’s Second Lebanon War in 2006.

 

Iraq Wants the U.S. Out Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki ruled out the presence of any U.S. troops in Iraq after the end of 2011, saying his new government and the country’s security forces were capable of confronting any remaining threats to Iraq’s security, sovereignty and unity.

 

Nigeria’s deal to drop Cheney charges called illegal Lawyers and media pundits in Nigeria are accusing the government of acting illegally by agreeing to settle criminal bribery charges against Dick Cheney out of court.

 

Get Ready For A Year Of Volatility: More Flash Crashes, Fed Hating, Civil Unrest And Bad Weather Social unrest will become visible in America in 2011. There will be demonstrations in many major cities. Some will turn violent. Economics will be at the heart of the anger. The frustration that was evident in France in recent years will come to the US.

 

Exploding Bullets – Not Hairspray – Caused Bomb Scare at Miami Airport: TSA A man has been arrested after FBI and TSA officials said his luggage contained volatile gun parts, which caused his bag to explode Tuesday just before it was about to be loaded on a plane.

 


 

 

 

Looking back at 2010 (Washington Post) [ I think Mr. Sloan should run for office or be appointed ‘Head of the Fed’ or u.s. attorney general, though his lack of ‘liar’ credentials might exclude the latter!   ] I have performed a painful annual ritual ever since I began writing a column about 20 years ago: re-reading my work for the year and telling you about the things I got wrong and the things I wish I'd done differently.

 

 

U.S. home prices drop 1.3%  (Washington Post) [  Oooooh! Ouch … but no say the frauds on wall street … that’s a good thing … you know … that ‘affordability thing’ … yes, they say … sounds like a plan!   ] Six regions hit new lows, and they're not expected to rebound anytime

 

 

Budget proposal to be delayed (Washington Post) [  At this point, who’s still counting … and does it count? I mean, near $14 trillion and counting, the question is ‘can they count’ … then there’s the real debt … Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘ … Howard Davidowitz on the Economy: "Here Are the Numbers ... WE'RE BROKE!"   11-25-10  The U.S. economy "is a complete disaster," Howard Davidowitz declared here in July, the most recent in a string of dire predictions from Tech Ticker's most entertaining guest.On the eve of Thanksgiving, I asked Davidowitz if he had any regrets, or was ready to throw in the towel given recent signs of economic revival. Are you kidding me? "Here are the numbers...we're broke," Davidowitz declares, noting the U.S. government goes $5 billion deeper into debt every day and is facing $1 trillion-plus annual deficits for the next decade. "In other words, we're bankrupt."As with the economy, Davidowitz is unwaveringly consistent in his views on President Obama, calling him "deranged, dysfunctional and discredited."Results of the midterm election show "the people of this country think we are in a catastrophe," he says. "I'm with them."Check the accompanying video for more of Howard's unfettered opinions and stay tuned for additional clips from this interview. And...Happy Thanksgiving! Aaron Task is the host of Tech Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at [email protected]   ] President Obama expects to release his fiscal 2012 budget a week later than the timetable set out under the Budget Act of 1974.

 

 

2010 worst year for bank failures since 1992 (Washington Post) [ And you can safely say the worst is not over and there’s more to come …’ Suttmeier ‘5 Economic Themes for 2011  (6 more are on their way): … 3.The banking system is supposed to de-lever risk, but it has not. When I look at the Notional Amount of Derivative Contracts I cringe at the fact that since the end of 2007 this risk category has grown $71.6 trillion since the end of 2007, that’s an increase of 43.5% to $236.4 trillion at the end of the third quarter in an environment where banks should be de-leveraging not adding to this risk where financial time bombs are ticking…’   ‘Deadbeat’ TARP banks on rise (Washington Post) [ Sounds like a plan! Viz., when worthless paper / securities / toxic assets are being carried in the trillions now marked to anything (as per legislated mark to anything FASB rule change), the reality is that there’s no real surplus from which to pay dividends, etc..  ] Obama administration steps up monitoring of banks that miss required payments.   ]  The nation is closing out the year with 157 bank failures, up from 140 in 2009.

 

 

 5 Economic Themes for 2011  Suttmeier ‘5 themes for 2011 (6 more are on their way):

  1. Home prices will resume a decline that began in mid-2006. We had the home buyer tax credits expire in mid-2010, and government sponsored mortgage modifications provided limited help. In 2011 we face continued foreclosure issues including questionable documentation, and banks have a record high Other Real Estate Owned (OREO). OREO is up to $53.2 billion at the end of the third quarter, up 338.2% since the end of 2007. Depressed home sales are being sold at a 30% to 35% discount, which reduces property appraisals at the county level. Home builders will have to compete with these lower prices and we need a mortgage modification program for all Americans, not just those at risk of losing their homes. QE2 is not working and US Treasury yields are higher causing mortgage rates to rise. “The Great Credit Crunch” began with housing, and that foundation needs repair before Main Street can recover with sustainable job creation.
  1. Community banks still have $1.43 trillion in commercial real estate loans that require resolution. The FDIC’s List of Problem Banks rose to 860 in the third quarter of 2010, which is 11.1% of all insured institutions. My analysis shows 2,485 or 32% of all banks overexposed to commercial real estate loans, and 3,938 or 50.7% of all banks with real estate loan pipelines that are 80% to 100% funded. This stress needs to be addressed before jobs can be created on Main Street USA as housing and construction drive local economies. “The Great Credit Crunch” will not end without a program to remove toxic real estate loans from the books of community banks around the country.
  1. The banking system is supposed to de-lever risk, but it has not. When I look at the Notional Amount of Derivative Contracts I cringe at the fact that since the end of 2007 this risk category has grown $71.6 trillion since the end of 2007, that’s an increase of 43.5% to $236.4 trillion at the end of the third quarter in an environment where banks should be de-leveraging not adding to this risk where financial time bombs are ticking.
  1. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will continue to drain taxpayer money as the Treasury provides unlimited lines of credit through 2012. The cost currently is about $150 billion, by far the largest of any government bailouts. We need to unwind the activities of these GSEs, and beef up Ginnie Mae as the go to government agency that backs new mortgage issuance.
  1. Because of the housing market depression and stress in the banking system the unemployment rate will stay above 9% for all of 2011.

Tracking the US Capital Markets – US stocks are overvalued fundamentally and overbought technically on both daily and weekly charts. The snow storm causes stocks to drift lower and higher.

  • The major equity averages are below this week’s risky levels as the year draws to a close at: 11,629 Dow, 1269.4 SPX, 2682 NASDAQ, 5215 Dow Transports and 808.57 Russell 2000.
  • Fifteen of sixteen sectors are overvalued according to ValuEngine with only 37.9% of all stocks undervalued. At 35% the stock market tends to find a top. Only 17.4% of all stocks are undervalued by 20% or more.

The Yield on the 10-Year Note (3.345) – Tested this week’s value level at 3.494 with today’s risky level at 3.306.

Comex Gold ($1384.2) – The 50-day at $1372.1 held at the low on Monday with this week’s risky level at $1401.2.

Nymex Crude Oil ($90.79) – Reached a new high for the year at $91.88, shy of this week’s risky level at $93.28. Support is the 21-day simple moving average at $88.24.

The Euro (1.3163) – My weekly value level is 1.2906 with 200-day simple moving average at 1.3087 and quarterly pivot at 1.3318, which goes away at the end of the year.

The Dow Industrial Average (11,555) – Remains extremely overbought on both daily and weekly charts. The 21-day simple moving average is 11,384 with a daily pivot at 11,569 and this week’s risky level at 11,629.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

 

 

Market Crash on 12/31/10? Technical indicators suggest market collapse may begin by December 31st    Why Stocks Could Collapse...Beginning as Soon as December 31, 2010! The Fed has propped up the equity markets for months ... but that could soon come to a disastrous end! Dennis Slothower is one of the world’s leading technical analysts. He’s one of the few advisors whose readers completely avoided ALL losses during the disaster that was 2008. And now he’s issuing another dire warning. His technical indicators suggest that the market manipulation we’ve seen over the last several months is about to come to an end…and that means thousands of investors are about to get clobbered. This correction could begin as soon as December 31st– so it’s important that you take action now to prepare yourself. Click on the link below for immediate access to Dennis Slothower’s latest report, which will explain – in plain English – just how Dennis saw the collapse of 2008 coming…and how he’ll help you avoid disaster in the weeks ahead.   http://www.stealthstocksonline.com/reports/FreeReport4StealthStocks.pdf 

 

 

Don't Be Fooled By Investment Disinformation [ While this is axiomatically true, it is also true that one must go beneath the numbers to find the reality underlying particularly manipulated moves which, as one might expect from a forbes contributor with an indirect bobblehead nod to the u.s. market based upon, ie., ignoring such things as the debased dollar, insurmountable debt, fraud, etc.. The u.s. numbers are a joke to keep ‘fools rushin’ in’, to keep them sucked in, etc.. ]

 

 

What's Coming in 2011? More Gloom, But Not Necessarily Doom  Krasting ‘Oh boy, is 2011 going to be an exciting year! Some things that I think might happen:

  • Volatility is going up across the board. If you have the stomach for the swings that are coming across all markets, there is a ton of money to be made; balls and timing are all that are necessary. The markets will create dozens of opportunities to make and lose.
  • There will be 50 days with a swing in the S&P greater than 1 percent. There will be 10 days where gold swings $50. There will be two days with a drop greater than 100 bucks. Most of the big moves will be down moves. Bonds will not be spared the volatility.
  • Gold will be higher a year from now, but off its peak. At some time in the fall, gold will be near $1,800 and The New York Times will do a front-page story that gold is on its way to $2,000. That will be the high point of the year.
  • Copper will continue to rise. This metal will benefit as the poor man’s gold. Why buy an ounce of something for $1,600 when you can have a whole pound of something else for only $5? The logic is compelling only because there is no logic. Increasingly, it will become understood that money does not hold value. Copper will do a better job of storing value then a Treasury Bond.
  • The U.S. bond market is in for a heck of a year. The 30-year will trade at both 3% and 5 percent. Higher rates will come early in the year, then the deflation trade will come back into vogue.
  • Spain will be the next sovereign debtor that falls prey to the market. This will happen before the end of the 1st Q. The package to bail them out will exceed $500b, which will exhaust EU resources. There will be very high expectations that contagion will then move to Italy; that will not happen in 2011 (but might in 2012?). The European Central Bank (ECB) will step up to the table (finally) and support the market for Italy. Sometime between March and June, Italian bonds will be a great buy.
  • The IMF will contribute $125b to the Spanish bailout. The U.S. portion of this will be $25b. Republican Senators and Congressmen go nuts. The American people will side with them. "How can we help Spain but not California?" will be the mantra. In the end, the IMF commitment will stand. But that will be the last time the U.S. contributes to a sovereign bailout. This will prove to be very destabilizing at some point after 2011.
  • The ECB will be forced to issue bonds that are joint and several debt of the EU members. This development will stabilize the EU temporarily, but it will be hated in Germany. The amount of the new issuance of these bonds will be small. The program will be terminated in 2012.
  • The dollar versus the euro will be all over the lot. The low for EURUSD will be ~1.17. The really big surprise is that toward the end of the year, the euro will be pushing 1.50.
  • The franc will be like copper. It will attract investors as there is no good alternative. Before June EURCHF will trade below 90.
  • The market will finally wake up to the fact that the yen is not a good store of wealth. The continuing argument will be, “Yeah, the yen stinks, but everything else is worse so it should be okay." Wrong. The yen is a short. The best currency trade of the year will be long sterling/short yen. There will be better levels to put this trade on than exist today; be patient.
  • The U.S. will have a full year deficit of $1.4 trillion. This depressing reality will hang on the U.S. economy/markets. Congress will talk about the problem endlessly, but little will be accomplished. By the end of the year, the problem will be so acute that belt-tightening is put in place for 2013-15 ... but it will be too late by then.
  • QE2 will be the last QE we see. The program will end (on schedule) on June 30. Perversely, long-term interest rates will rise as long as QE continues. When the program is finished, rates will begin a rapid decline. This will not go unnoticed by academia. The result will be that QE will be a disgraced policy that will not be used again for at least five years.
  • The high for the S&P will occur before June. The S&P will fall short of 1,500. The low will be 1,100.
  • Oil will rise to $130 in the next six months. It will be above $100 at the end of the year.
  • China’s inflation rate will continue to rise. Food will be the primary driver. The central government will respond with monetary tightening and an acceleration of the yuan appreciation. It will not work. Inflation will push 7 percent. The domestic economy will continue to grow, but at a much smaller pace. 5% GDP growth will be only 5% for the year. The trade surplus will fall by a third.
  • Brazil will continue to shine as a resource-rich country that runs a trade surplus and has low budget deficits. The surprise of the year will be Argentina. Food will be the reason. Argentina’s fortunes will improve with rising wheat and soy prices.
  • The U.S. will wind down its presence in Iraq. With each step we take out the door, domestic violence will rise. Iran will assume a larger role in the south, especially in Basra. This will not go over well with the U.S. Much of the year will be spent debating what should be done. U.S. warships will be off the Iranian coast waiting for a phone call, but no shots will be fired. Russia and Germany will not go along with strong sanctions against Iran. The problem will fester toward a resolution in 2012.
  • Kim Jong-il will die. His son, Kim Jong-un, will take over. The heir is a nut; there will be more military exercises that result in shells landing on South Korean soil. China will make public statements that it is trying to bring order; behind the scenes, it will be applauding the chaos.
  • Obama’s popularity will continue to fall. The legislative “successes” at the end of 2010 will convert to a series of failures. There will be no new stimulus. Portions of the health care legislation will be dialed back. The mandatory participation feature will be found unconstitutional. Without this feature the legislation makes no economic sense, and a great debate will be initiated as to what to do about it. Nothing will be accomplished. Reason? There are no “answers” to this problem.
  • Obama will propose a means test for Social Security in his State of the Union address. Retirees who are living the high life (Warren Buffett types) are going to have their Social Security checks cut to the bone. Any senior with income of $200k will be impacted. The great socialization of Social Security will have begun. The popularity of this program will fall off a cliff.
  • The 2% reduction on worker contributions to Social Security will be extended and expanded to 3% for 2012. Rates will not go up in future years. Social Security will have to be gutted as a result. This will not happen in 2011. But the seeds will be sown for this to occur in 2014.
  • 2011 will be a stock pickers' market. Index investing will see a bad year. Some of the darlings of 2011, like Apple (AAPL) and Netflix (NFLX) will not fare so well. While I don’t see big declines in these stocks, there are much better places to put money to work. M&A will be a dominant theme; that is where the action will be.
  • There will be at least three more "flash crashes." The SEC will launch another investigation into how this could happen. The conclusion will be that ETFs and how dealers manage them are responsible for the liquidity problems in individual stock names. There is no solution to this problem. The market will be on edge looking for the next mini-crash. A stock will fall prey to this and drop 20% in seconds. Unlike prior examples, there will be no recovery in the stock. Holders will protest the losses. There will no restitution. Market confidence will fall as a result.
  • Meredith Whitney will be proven wrong in her forecast that 50-100 munis go Chapter 9 this year. The process to insolvency takes much longer than she has anticipated. Only 11 munis will make a chapter filing; the rest will be pushed to the brink in 2012.
  • The center of attention will move away from California as the most bankrupt state. In his State of the State address in January, New York’s new governor, Andrew Cuomo, will fess up to the fact that for the past year of so New York has been burying its problems. Substantial cutbacks in spending will be the result. New York State long -term GOs will trade at 6% at some point in the year.
  • Unemployment will not go down. The average for the year will be above 10 percent. The number of workers who leave the system will rise to 20mm. These workers will find part-time jobs that pay cash. The new day-workers will compete will illegals for employment. Social tensions will be the result.
  • The Chevy Volt will not sell well. Boeing (BA) will be unable to complete a single Dreamliner. GM (GM) will trade below $30; Boeing will hit the low $50s.
  • The Singapore dollar will be the strongest currency on the globe in 2011.
  • Apple will not come up with a new product this coming year. The rest of the consumer tech manufacturers will gain some market share. The problems with dropped calls with the iPhone will be an issue. Apple will respond with alliances with a number of other providers. AT&T's (T) stock will suffer as a result.
  • Headline inflation will rise a bit, and will push through 2 percent. Those numbers are meaningless. The price of a pair of jeans will be 50% higher. Food will cost us 15% more. Gas will be at $4. Bernanke’s QE will be blamed for the inflation.
  • Much to my chagrin and surprise, Tim Geithner will not be replaced as Treasury Secretary. He will continue to do a very mediocre job for us. He will be replaced in January of 2012.
  • Comcast (CMCSA) will complete its acquisition of NBC/CNBC. One of its first acts will be to fire Mark Haines. Nothing will help. The ratings will continue to fall. Becky Quick will move to Fox Business. Diana Olick will get her own show. She is being groomed to be the next Suzie Orman. Simon Hobbs will return to London.
  • Fannie (FNMA.OB) and Freddie (FMCC.OB) will be merged. Out of the ashes will come a good bank and a bad bank. The bad bank will hold $2.5 trillion in questionable mortgages. The U.S. will end the year exactly where it started on this critical issue. The federal government will be responsible for more than 95% of all new mortgages issued.
  • Washington's other mortgage lender, the Federal Housing Authority (FHA), will run into troubles. Its minimum reserve level set by Congress will be breached. A bailout will be required. The true cost is buried. The bailout will be less than $20b. As this is a problem for the Senate, the legislation will be passed quickly.
  • There will not be a "failure of a government" bond auction. But the coverage for each issuance will grow smaller. China, Russia and Brazil will reduce their holdings of U.S. reserves. The mysterious "household" sector will show a huge increase in Treasury holdings. This will be confusing, as it will not match up with other data. U.K. reserve holdings will show a decline. These are actually holdings of China that were not included in official reserves. This will bring uncertainty.
  • "Mortgage-gate" will die as a headline story. In fact, it will go the other way during the year. Increasingly, the problems in real estate will be focused on the fact that there have been too few foreclosures. The fact that too many people had been living in a home without paying a dime becomes a cost that all have to bear. As a result, there will be a much higher level of foreclosures throughout the year. Contrary to expectation, residential real estate for average-priced homes will not decline much further. However, prices for high-end homes will continue to fall. Anything with a price tag of greater than $1mm will be worth 20% less by the end of the year.
  • The narco violence in Mexico will expand to many more cities; tourism will be hurt as a result. Some of the violence will pass over our border. Anti-immigration attitudes will expand. Because the low-end economy will remain in the dumpster, the actual number of illegal aliens will decline by more than 1mm. This will add to the RE woes in some U.S. areas. It will stress the countries that they originated from as dollar remittances decline.
  • Interest rates will be higher throughout the year for corporate bonds and munis. This will bring a reversal of the mania to buy dividend stocks. Those who thought that this investment strategy would work for them will be disappointed. The number of hucksters pushing the dividend story will grow in number while the popularity of the strategy declines.
  • Jon Hilsenrath will write an article for The Wall Street Journal that is actually critical of the Fed. The unpopularity of the Fed will rise to such a level that Jon will have no choice but to follow suit.
  • The Fed will come under attack from all sides. It is truly in a no-win situation. Unemployment will continue to rise while inflation rises and the dollar declines. One side will shout that the Fed did too little (Krugman), others that it did too much (the rest of the world). Everyone will hate the Fed as a result. Bernanke will not lose his job, but his term as boss at the Fed will be forever tainted.
  • ZIRP will be with us for yet another year. Bernanke will not let go of this loser policy. Inflationary expectations will respond at some point. By the end of the year, a Fed funds rate increase will be seen as imminent even though the economy will be soft.
  • Social unrest will become visible in America in 2011. There will be demonstrations in many major cities. Some will turn violent. Economics will be at the heart of the anger. The frustration that was evident in France in recent years will come to the U.S.

Have a great year!’

 

 

Artificial intelligence to transform web: Russian tycoon (AFP)

 

J.P Morgan, the ultimate *ankers of 2010 Economic Assassin | The contracts that Bear Stearns once held on silver have now been taken over by J.P Morgan, allowing them complete control on the paper price on silver.

 

GAO Sees Problems in Government’s Financial Management Accounting Today | Government Accountability Office Can’t Hold Government Accountable.

 

War Would End the Recession? Steven Horwitz | Krugman says destruction creates wealth.

 

 

9 Signs That The Price Of Oil In 2011 Will Soar Well Beyond 100 Dollars A Barrel

Will we see the price of oil rise significantly in 2011? Unfortunately, that appears to be precisely where we are headed. Despite stubbornly high unemployment and a very sluggish economy in the United States, the price of oil continues to creep upward.    Ex-Shell president sees $5 gas in 2012  The former president of Shell Oil, John Hofmeister, says Americans could be paying $5 for a gallon of gasoline by 2012.

 

Nearly 100 bailed-out banks may collapse all the same: analysis The $700-billion bank bailout, launched in the final months of the Bush administration, was meant to save US financial institutions from a systemic collapse.

 

Andy Xie: Either America Or China Will Crash In 2011 The most likely candidates to trigger the next global crisis are the U.S.’s sovereign debt or China’s inflation. When one goes down first, the other can prolong its economic cycle.

 

Non-US Banks Gained from Fed Crisis Fund Some of the world’s strongest banks have profited from an emergency credit facility set up by the US Federal Reserve to shore up confidence in the global financial system, according to a Financial Times analysis of data released by the Fed.

 

Midas Resources: QE2 Explained Midas Resources explains how QE2 works and why it is killing the dollar and our future.

 

 

 

 

National / World

 

Chris Matthews Wants Obama to Produce Birth Certificate Kurt Nimmo | MSNBC is worried that the “birther issue” has grown legs and is about to swamp the Barry Obama administration.

 

Alex Jones’ Audio Blog: War on Common Sense – Losing Our Cultural Instincts Under the NWO THElNFOWARRlOR | Recorded during his break on Christmas Eve, Alex discusses how we are deep into a long-term agenda to conform humanity to the globalists’ system.

 

Social Security is not “Insurance” Ron Paul | Social Security does not represent an old age pension, an “insurance” program, or even a forced savings program.

 

Amerika Has Caught Up With 1984 Paul Craig Roberts | America’s future is the world of Winston Smith.

 

10 New Year’s Re-Solutions For Non-violent Rebellion Activist Post | The only reason the system is maintained is because the majority still acquiesce to it.

 

Alex Jones’ Audio Blog: War on Common Sense – Losing Our Cultural Instincts Under the NWO Recorded during his break on Christmas Eve, Alex discusses how we are deep into a long-term agenda to conform humanity to the globalists’ system. Under modern day mind control, individuals willingly defend their road to servitude while learning to shed their family, culture, values and instinctual defenses against domination by the ruling predator class.

 

Chris Matthews: Why Doesn’t Obama Just Release The Birth Certificate? On Monday night’s edition of “Hardball,” host Chris Matthews talked about putting the birth certificate controversy surrounding President Obama to rest.

 

The Secret Of Queen Elizabeth Exposed Alex Jones and Aaron Dykes discuss the British Royal Family and the Groom of the Stool.

 

Gold Surges To Two Week High As $1,400 Level Exposes Many To Pin Risk To be sure, we assumed that this merely opens the way for yet another year end rally to all time highs, in line with the prediction by John Embry from two days earlier.

 

Pilot Who Took On Big Sis Goes Public The airline pilot who lost his federally-issued gun and badge for posting video on YouTube critical of airport security has chosen to go public with his identity.

 

2011: “Dissent Is What Rescues Democracy” The year 2011 will bring Americans a larger and more intrusive police state, more unemployment and home foreclosures, no economic recovery, more disregard by the US government of US law, international law, the Constitution, and truth, more suspicion and distrust from allies, more hostility from the rest of the world, and new heights of media sycophancy.

 

With food safety bill, U.S. government will spend nearly $1 million per person to prevent food-borne illness deaths The recently-passed Food Safety Modernization Act, which was passed in order to prevent food-borne illness deaths in the USA, will cost $1.4 billion over the first five years. But nobody thinks about the economics of the issue. How many people are we going to save by spending this $1.4 billion, even assuming it works?

 

US declined to investigate suspected Mossad assassination, cable shows The US government lied about a request from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) government to probe the death of a Hamas military leader, according to a recently released US State Department cable from secrets outlet WikiLeaks.

 

 

 

High-risk insurance pools attracting few (Washington Post) [ As if we didn’t already know we can’t believe anything they say!   ] Early feature of the new health-care law isn't attracting as many customers as expected.

 

Iraq:  2 suicide bombings kill 19, wound 45 (Washington Post) [  Progress breakin’ out all over …
Britain charges 9 of 12 arrested in terror plot
(Post, December 27, 2010; 4:07 PM)  …blowback’s a bitc*h! …
Conflicting accounts of deadly raid in Kabul
(Post, December 27, 2010; 6:32 PM) WikiLeaks papers detail Iraq torture, US killings Al-Jazeera on Friday released what it called “startling new information” from US documents obtained by WikiLeaks, alleging state-sanctioned Iraqi torture and the killing of hundreds of civilians at US military checkpoints. Julian Assange to RT: WikiLeaks gives ‘most accurate picture of war’ The shocking WikiLeaks release, which has revealed thousands of unreported civilian casualties in Iraq, is the most accurate picture of war ever made, and it is food for thought, says the website’s editor-in-chief. The report, condemned by the Pentagon, claims that US commanders in Iraq ignored evidence of torture and the murder of civilians. Spiegel: WikiLeaks logs may reveal war crimes In its early analysis of the Iraq war logs released by whistleblower site WikiLeaks on Friday, the German paper Der Spiegel pointed to several accounts of what it calls “dubious attacks” by US Apache helicopters that may have amounted to war crimes.Secret Iraq war records reveal grim new details  (Washington Post) Logs released by WikiLeaks offer chilling insights about conflict's death toll and the tactics of Iraqi leaders who have taken over as U.S. troops exit. [  Now why did I think the u.s. military’s numbers were all wet?    Poll: Does WikiLeaks put soldiers in danger? I haven’t looked at this poll, but my inner poll says needless wars in other people’s lands put soldiers at risk, particularly when your nation is defacto bankrupt. ] Previous: 77,000 Iraqis killed from 2004 to August 2008, U.S. military says (Washington Post) [ And you can take that to the fraudulent american bank … riiiiight! … Come on … americans lie about everything and certainly this … A conservative estimate  from AP through only 2007: Study: 151,000 Iraqis died in conflict’s violence Surveyors face danger to count casualties from 2003 to 2006 The Associated Press  - updated 1/9/2008 7:15:50 PM ET 2008-01-10T00:15:50  About 151,000 Iraqis died from violence in the first three years after the United States invaded, concludes the best effort yet to count deaths — one that still may not settle the fierce debate over the war's true toll on civilians and others … americans are just lying war criminal american scum.    Obama’s Finest Hour: Killing Innocent People For “Made-Up Crap” Floyd  Empire Burlesque  Oct 22, 2010 If ever I am tempted by the siren songs of my tribal past as a deep-fried, yellow-dawg Democrat, and begin to feel any faint, atavistic stirrings of sympathy for the old gang, I simply think of things like the scenario below, sketched last week by Johann Hari, and those wispy ghosts of partisanship past go howling back to the depths: … Unauthorized US strike kills 4 Pakistanis A non-UN-sanctioned US strike on a house in Pakistan’s tribal region of North Waziristan has killed four civilians and injured two others.]

 

Rise in mergers may spell trouble for jobs  (Washington Post) [  Lifelines for a few, obfuscation of impending disaster for most, fraudulent wall street just loves those fees, and though contraindicated, the potential talking points thereby.  ] Some corporate mergers this year have been shadowed by fears of layoffs.

 

 

Toasting the bad economy (Washington Post) [  As indeed the Russians should since they have much to celebrate.           Russian tiger team hails success yahoo   Moscow's unprecedented military deal (Washington Post) ( France should be praised inasmuch as a strong Russia, and conversely, a weak perpetual war, war mongering, war crimes, pervasively corrupt nation, america is optimal for world peace! )   Russia is last in series of major powers to seal valuable deals with India (Washington Post) ( Bravo for India … a deal with Russia is a deal with a future!  )  ] Their country still endures the sting of economic crisis, but Russians plan to drink up this holiday season.   Applebaum: The 'decline of the West' (Washington Post) [ It really is true … and, no leftist sympathizer with his book of the same name, none other than Buchanan says as much. The reason of course is based on reality. From Orwellian Britain, to failed nation-state the pervasively corrupt and defacto bankrupt wobama-bushland america, to perpetual war ‘me-toos’ (ie., nato allies, war crimes nations israel, u.s., etc.), their frauds (wall street, etc.) protected, laws meaningless(see RICO case              http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf        http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm   )    , their ruthless suppression subtle, hidden, but odious as never before in their respective histories, the west at best has become that ‘distinction without significant difference’ and heading to worse than can be imagined. Of course they’ll lay blame to something other than the huge frauds / wealth transfers that have plundered the nation. Indeed, one could even cogently argue that said plundering gave rise to the flawed, failed communism lie in the first instance. Yet, Russia, a great nation with a rich history is not a communist nation, did not violently suppress the people as they shirked that communist yoke / albatross, is not as defacto bankrupt, meaningfully lawless, pervasively corrupt america engaging in perpetual wars of destruction to persons and property, and with a great leader of historical dimension in Putin is a far more rational choice than the bankrupt west on all levels.  As for communist china, it has truly been a self-defeating, self-destructive creation of the west out of greed which is in no short supply in the west.   PREVIOUS: 

Wikileaks founder freed on bail  (Washington Post) [  ‘… Moore (correctly) asserts that Assange is under attack solely because he had the courage to expose American war crimes. Moore writes:

We were taken to war in Iraq on a lie. Hundreds of thousands are now dead. Just imagine if the men who planned this war crime back in 2002 had had a WikiLeaks to deal with. They might not have been able to pull it off. The only reason they thought they could get away with it was because they had a guaranteed cloak of secrecy....

So why is WikiLeaks, after performing such an important public service, under such vicious attack? Because they have outed and embarrassed those who have covered up the truth…’

Though Assange’s arrest was on far more tenuous grounds owing to a CIA-linked girl, Roman Polanski was similarly targeted:

BBC News - Roman Polanski triumphs at European Film Awards Dec 5, 2010 ... Roman Polanski's thriller The Ghost Writer wins six prizes at the European ... Polanski was working on the film at the time of his arrest in ...
www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-11921048  {I strongly recommend this, of course, masterfully done film which deals with exactly that topic and the sordid, unscrupulous machinations of the cia / u.s. (no wonder the u.s. opted out of coverage by world treaty / The Hague thereby) to avoid detection of, and to further such activities as the war crimes referenced.}

Don’t forget: america has their own untouchables in the illegal sense, ie., wall street, etc., and In interview, Bush defends Iraq war and waterboarding (Washington Post)  [ Defending the indefensible … what choice does he have … then there’s the lies … ] Bush breaks silence, writes next chapter  (Washington Post)  [ As a failed president and war criminal himself, moron dumbya bush is among the few in the world that makes failed president wobama look plausibly good in comparison … wobama merely continued the failed policies of dumbya (perpetual war, no pros the frauds on wallstreet, etc.) that got pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america to this point of decline and failure. ]            Anne E. Kornblut    Your take: His most memorable moment?  [ Like regrets in that old song (his way) he’s had a few – http://albertpeia.com/evilonthetarmac.htm   here’s a few:  bushisms from bush the brain-damaged moron http://albertpeia.com/bushisms.htm :

 

Clinton Speaks: He Did It Because He Could - There Are Serial Killers On Death Row Who Have Killed Fewer People Than Unconflicted, Pathological Liar/Perjurer, Rapist, and Murderer, Psychopath criminal american clinton

·         clinton Flashed ("Dropped his Drawers") Paula Jones and Implored Her To "Kiss It" (his p***s, which owing to distinctive "marking/disfigurement" she was able to describe)

·         clinton "Cops a Cheap Feel/Grope" From Kathleen Willey In Attempting Prey Upon Her Perceived Vulnerability

·         clintonites Threaten Dolly Kyle Browning In Attempting To Intimidate Her Into Giving False Testimony

·         clinton Brutally Rapes Juanita Broaddrick

·         clinton Was Asked To Leave Oxford Owing To Sexual Assault Of A Fellow Student

He Does It Because He Can

On March 11, 1999, Investor’s Business Daily reported that at least nine (9) women have now charged that Clinton "personally assaulted them or, through his ‘agents’ or ‘people,’ threatened to do them or their families physical harm." The list includes Dolly Kyle Browning, Gennifer Flowers, Juanita Broaddrick, Paula Corbin Jones, Kathleen Willey, Monica Lewinsky, Linda Tripp, Sally Perdue, and Elizabeth Ward Gracen. "And all of them say they’re afraid for their safety so long as he remains in power."

 

 

CLINTON BODY COUNT

By: Ether Zone Staff

Here is the latest body count that we have. All of these people have been connected with the Clintons in some form or another. We have not included any deaths that could not be verified or connected to the Clinton scandals. All deaths are listed chronologically by date. This list is current and accurate to the best of our knowledge as of January 13, 1999 August 1, 2000.  (see complete list  http://albertpeia.com/bodycount.htm   ) …’  ]

 

 

Robinson: On track to nowhere in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [  I agree with Mr. Robinson and we should be thankful that he’s watching closely and, unlike so many others, he has courage enough to say so :


Obama's glaring ego (Washington Post) [ Come on! Now known for what he really is; viz., an insecure, dysfunctional, jive-talking b*** s*** artist, he’s just once again, but typically wrong, and is nothing to have an ego about.   Robinson: White House is eerily silent on taxes (Washington Post) [ Eerily? I think not! Expectantly? I think so! That is, once you get beyond the wobama b*** s*** ! And, truth be told party distinctions are merely distinctions without significant differences (no prosecution of the wall street frauds, wars raging in Afghanistan / Middle East, etc.. But alas, as to the ‘wobama whitehouse’ this was predictable early on as by David Icke : Barack Obama: The Naked Emperor Shocking but true revelations from David Icke (a must read) | ‘Vast numbers of people across the world, including many who should know better, have been duped by the mind-game called Operation Obama... (excerpts) Obama has been the chosen one for a long time, a fact known only to a few in the deep inner circle, and his relationship with Brzezinski almost certainly goes back to the start of the 1980s when he attended the Ivy League, and big-time Illuminati, Columbia University where Brzezinski was head of the Institute for Communist Affairs. Obama simply will not talk in any detail about this period. He has been covertly funded and supported ever since by the Trilateral Commission and its network of foundations connecting into the Ford Foundation, for whom Obama's mother worked. And a question: Does anyone really believe that someone, a 'man of the people', would simply appear from apparently nowhere to run the slickest and best-funded presidential campaign in American history? He was chosen long ago by those who wish to enslave the very people that Obama says he wants to 'set free'. The sources of Obama funding read like a Wall Street Who's Who - Goldman Sachs, UBS, Citigroup, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, J.P. Morgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, and so on. No wonder he went back on his pledge to accept the limitations of public funding for his campaign and instead took the no-limit option of 'private funding. Then there is the Jewish financier, George Soros, the multi-billionaire associate of Brzezinski and closely involved with the funding and marketing of Obama. Soros is a former board member of the Illuminati's Council on Foreign Relations and funds the European Council on Foreign Relations. In short, he is a major insider' You can certainly see the Soros/Brzezinski techniques in the Obama 'revolution' in the United States. It was the complex and secretive network of Soros foundations and organisations, connected to the intelligence agencies of the US and Israel, that trained and funded students in the Ukraine, Georgia and elsewhere in the art of mass protest and overthrowing governments. These manufactured protests were sold to the world as peoples' revolutions, but it just so happened that when they were over and the old regime was removed the new leaders were those waiting in the wings all along - the puppets of Soros, Brzezinski and their associated networks. Obama is just more of the same, a big smile with strings attached, and controlled completely by the Illuminati networks that chose him, trained him, sold him and provided his record funding. It was they who kept his many skeletons under wraps, like the gay sex and crack cocaine allegations of Larry Sinclair (from affidavit: 1. Who is Ron Allen that claims to be with your Presidential camp, who is alleged to claim that someone claiming to represent me called asking for $100,000, to keep me from coming forward about our (Obama and I) November 1999 encounter of sex and cocaine use?), and they will continue to do so as long as he jumps to their bidding. Obama is just another Banksters' moll prostituting himself for fame and power, and that's why he supported the grotesque bail-out of the banking system and why he will always put their interests before the people. His financial advisors are straight from the Wall Street 'A' list, including Paul Adolph Volker (Trilateral Commission, Council on Foreign Relations, Bilderberg Group), the head of the Federal Reserve from 1979 to 1987 and Illuminati to his fingertips. Obama has made him head of the Economic Recovery Advisory Board, which is dominated by insiders, including its staff director and chief economist, Austan Goolsbee, a close Obama associate from the University of Chicago. Goolsbee is an initiate of the infamous Illuminati Skull and Bones Society at Yale University, which also includes Boy and Father Bush. It was Goolsbee who told the Canadian government not to worry about Obama's attacks on the economic effects of free trade agreements because his words were just to win votes in the election campaign. Another Wall Street insider, the Zionist Timothy Geithner (Bilderberg Group, Trilateral Commission, Council on Foreign Relations), was appointed by Obama to be his Treasury Secretary. Geithner was the President of the New York Federal Reserve Bank, the most powerful in the private Federal Reserve cartel that masquerades as America's central bank, and he is a former employee of both the Council on Foreign Relations and the appalling Kissinger Associates. Obama's Treasury team locks into the inner circle around the Zionist Robert Rubin, the Director and Senior Counselor of Citigroup, co-chairman of the Council on Foreign Relations, and economic advisor to Obama. Rubin, a member of the Illuminati Bilderberg Group, was the man behind Citigroup's strategy of expanding its risk in debt markets which forced it to be rescued by taxpayers' money. The very people who caused the financial crisis are being appointed by Obama to decide how to respond to it (more taxpayers' money for them and their friends) ‘    
The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  (
UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown. ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1  – well worth a look. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

While boner and barton are indeed jokes / vegetables that bespeak the single-digit approval rate for congress, obama’s failure to deliver on promises with as well, endless war spending despite defacto bankruptcy of the nation and a watered down nothing financial regulation bill for talking points but little substance, make him as big a joker. This well researched / produced video tells the real story :  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1   ‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ – well worth the view.    [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends ]

‘The Obama Deception’ Censored  A viral You Tube upload of one of Alex Jones’ most popular feature films ‘The Obama Deception’ has been censored following a spur of the moment campaign to elevate the movie’s title to the top of the major internet search engines.      In light of this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if incomplete) http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point:     http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257#    [    youtube is often down – website archived version is available as follows:          http://www.albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv           http://www.albertpeia.com/esotericagendalinktoarchive.htm          ]

 

                                                         -------------------

 

In interview, Bush defends Iraq war and waterboarding (Washington Post)  [ Defending the indefensible … what choice does he have … then there’s the lies … ] Bush breaks silence, writes next chapter  (Washington Post)  [ As a failed president and war criminal himself, moron dumbya bush is among the few in the world that makes failed president wobama look plausibly good in comparison … wobama merely continued the failed policies of dumbya (perpetual war, no pros the frauds on wallstreet, etc.) that got pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america to this point of decline and failure. ]            Anne E. Kornblut    Your take: His most memorable moment?  [ Like regrets in that old song (his way) he’s had a few – http://albertpeia.com/evilonthetarmac.htm   here’s a few:  bushisms from bush the brain-damaged moron http://albertpeia.com/bushisms.htm :

 

Clinton Speaks: He Did It Because He Could - There Are Serial Killers On Death Row Who Have Killed Fewer People Than Unconflicted, Pathological Liar/Perjurer, Rapist, and Murderer, Psychopath criminal american clinton

·         clinton Flashed ("Dropped his Drawers") Paula Jones and Implored Her To "Kiss It" (his p***s, which owing to distinctive "marking/disfigurement" she was able to describe)

·         clinton "Cops a Cheap Feel/Grope" From Kathleen Willey In Attempting Prey Upon Her Perceived Vulnerability

·         clintonites Threaten Dolly Kyle Browning In Attempting To Intimidate Her Into Giving False Testimony

·         clinton Brutally Rapes Juanita Broaddrick

·         clinton Was Asked To Leave Oxford Owing To Sexual Assault Of A Fellow Student

He Does It Because He Can

On March 11, 1999, Investor’s Business Daily reported that at least nine (9) women have now charged that Clinton "personally assaulted them or, through his ‘agents’ or ‘people,’ threatened to do them or their families physical harm." The list includes Dolly Kyle Browning, Gennifer Flowers, Juanita Broaddrick, Paula Corbin Jones, Kathleen Willey, Monica Lewinsky, Linda Tripp, Sally Perdue, and Elizabeth Ward Gracen. "And all of them say they’re afraid for their safety so long as he remains in power."

 

 

CLINTON BODY COUNT

By: Ether Zone Staff

Here is the latest body count that we have. All of these people have been connected with the Clintons in some form or another. We have not included any deaths that could not be verified or connected to the Clinton scandals. All deaths are listed chronologically by date. This list is current and accurate to the best of our knowledge as of January 13, 1999 August 1, 2000.  (see complete list  http://albertpeia.com/bodycount.htm   )

Susan Coleman: Rumors were circulating in Arkansas of an affair with Bill Clinton. She was found dead with a gunshot wound to the head at 7 1/2 months pregnant. Death was an apparent suicide.
 

Kevin Ives & Don Henry: Initial cause of death was reported to be the result of falling asleep on a railroad track in Arkansas on August 23, 1987. This ruling was reported by the State medical examiner Fahmy Malak. Later it was determined that Kevin died from a crushed skull prior to being placed on the tracks. Don had been stabbed in the back. Rumors indicate that they might have stumbled upon a Mena drug operation.

 
Paul Olson: A Federal witness in investigations to drug money corruption in Chicago politics, Paul had just finished 2 days of FBI interviews when his plane ride home crashed, killing Paul and 130 others on Sept 8 1994. The Sept. 15, 1994 Tempe Tribune newspaper reported that the FBI suspected that a bomb had brought down the airplane.

Calvin Walraven: 24 year on Walraven was a key witness against Jocelyn Elder's son's drug case. Walraven was found dead in his apartment with a gunshot wound to the head. Tim Hover, a Little Rock police spokesman says no foul play is suspected.

Alan G. Whicher: Oversaw Clinton's Secret Service detail. In October 1994 Whicher was transferred to the Secret Service field office in the Murrah Building in Oklahoma City. Whatever warning was given to the BATF agents in that building did not reach Alan Whicher, who died in the bomb blast of April 19th 1995.
 

Ron Brown:. The Commerce Secretary died on  April 3, 1996, in an Air Force jet carrying Brown and 34 others, including 14 business executives on a trade mission to Croatia, crashed into a mountainside. The Air Force, in a 22-volume report issued in June of 1996, confirmed its initial judgment that the crash resulted from pilot errors and faulty navigation equipment At the time of Brown's death, Independent Counsel Daniel Pearson was seeking to determine whether Brown had engaged in several sham financial transactions with longtime business partner Nolanda Hill shortly before he became secretary of commerce.

Charles Meissner: died: UNK - Following Ron Brown's death, John Huang was placed on a Commerce Department contract that allowed him to retain his security clearance by Charles Meissner. Shortly thereafter, Meissner died in the crash of a small plane.   He was an Assistant Secretary of Commerce for International Economic Policy.
 



Barbara Wise: Wise a 14-year Commerce Department employee found dead and partially naked in her office following a long weekend. She worked in the same section as John Huang. Officially, she is said to have died of natural causes.

 
Mary C. Mahoney: 25, murdered at the Georgetown Starbuck's coffee bar over the 4th of July '97 weekend. She was a former White House intern who worked with John Huang. Apparently she knew Monica Lewinsky and her sexual encounters with Bill Clinton. Although not verified, it has been said that Lewinsky told Linda Tripp that she did not want to end up like Mahoney.


 

              ---------------------------------------------------------

 

Background     http://albertpeia.com/CIAAgentAffidavit1.jpg

For Those Who Wonder About the bush-clinton-bush Stranglehold on the Nation, Realize That Their Criminal Cooperation Began With Their Lucrative Relationship Vis-a-vis What Was Known as the Mena, Arkansas Drug (cocaine from Central/South America) Run As Set Forth In This CIA Agent's Affidavit/Declaration Under Penalty of Perjury.

The Vietnam war was a painful time for America. Many young Americans were drafted and died thousands of miles from their loved ones. Young men of priviledge had a clear advantage - few of them went to Vietnam, securing positions in the National Guards of their respective states. George W. Bush was one of these men, securing a place in the Texas Air National Guard in spite of a waiting list of several hundred. However, he claims that he did not receive special consideration, which is clearly a lie.

Most of the young men lucky enough to get into the Guard fulfilled their obligations. George W. Bush did not. He was absent without leave, AWOL, for over a year. Not surprisingly, this got little attention from the corporate media...

… After the hostages' release, the arms shipments to Iran continued. Profits were funneled to another pet cause of the right wing - the Nicuaraguan terrorists known as "freedom fighters" or "Contras". Another Contra source of income was trafficking in narcotics, running cocaine into the United States, with the full knowledge and cooperation of Administration officials. In the 80's there was a huge increase in the flow of cheap crack cocaine into the inner cities of America and countless lives were destroyed.

A series of investigations led to the convictions of Oliver North and Vice Admiral John C. Poindexter, head of the National Security Council, on charges of obstructing Congress and unlawfully destroying documents, but both their convictions were later reversed. In 1992 President George H.W. Bush pardoned many of the top government officials who had been charged or convicted in the scheme. The main perpetrators of Iran/Contra and associated events remain free today, and many of them work in George W. Bush's Administration.

Of the three generations of Bush men mentioned on this site, the most evil and most dangerous by far is George Bush, Sr.

The Bush family came by their wealth on the backs of 11 million dead. Prescott Bush, along with partner E. Ronald Harriman, supplied financial aid and raw materials to Hitler's Third Reich.

In 1942, Bush/Harriman companies were seized under the Trading with the Enemy Act: the Union Banking Corporation, the Holland-American Trading Corporation, the Seamless Steel Equipment Corporation and Silesian-American Corporation.

After the war, the CIA recruited many former Nazis to work for them, escaping prosecution for war crimes. Klaus Barbie, infamous for ordering the murder of French children, was among them. He was, however, eventually caught and returned to France to stand trial.

… Shortly before the 9/11 attacks, John Ashcroft stopped flying commercial and started flying on government-chartered planes. Why?

In fact, the George W. Bush received many warnings that he disregarded. Bush knew, and he did nothing. Why?

Oil, that's why. And a free rein to rape the Constitution.

…- David Blomstrom   ]

  ] Gerson: He could have taken quiet credit for the bipartisan tax deal; he chose otherwise.    ]

 

 

‘Deadbeat’ TARP banks on rise (Washington Post) [ Sounds like a plan! Viz., when worthless paper / securities / toxic assets are being carried in the trillions now marked to anything (as per legislated mark to anything FASB rule change), the reality is that there’s no real surplus from which to pay dividends, etc..  ]Obama administration steps up monitoring of banks that miss required payments.

 

 

(12-26-10) I’m constrained to eat crow here, inasmuch as I’ve previously had negative things to say regarding Time Warner Cable. But, so as not to be one of those do as I say, but not as I do hypocrites, I must state for the record here that Time Warner Cable internet is far superior to the att-based DSL, and that att can’t-do-thing means I’ll be canceling my (jersey / now dumbya bushie land) att land line (done 12-27-10, along with DSL) which wasn’t fully functional anyway but had kept same for the listing, and for internet connection which ultimately required DSL and failed at that.

 

(12-23-10) MY INTERNET CONNECTION IS DOWN AGAIN AND OF COURSE, I WILL HAVE MORE TO SAY ABOUT THE PERVASIVELY CORRUPT, DEFACTO BANKRUPT AMERICAN SCUMBAGS SHORTLY! They will be sorry they did this … I won’t forget it!

 

(12-22-10) MY INTERNET CONNECTION IS DOWN SO I’M USING A LOCAL WORKSTATION COMPUTER AND WILL HAVE MORE TO SAY ABOUT THE PERVASIVELY CORRUPT, DEFACTO BANKRUPT AMERICAN SCUMBAGS SHORTLY! They will be sorry they did this … I won’t forget!

 

 

 

 

10 Good Reasons To Be Worried About The Stock Market In 2011 , On Sunday December 26, 2010, ‘This is one of David Rosenberg's best pieces in awhile. In his latest daily note, the Gluskin-Sheff economist presents 10 reasons bulls should be worried about the stock market in 2011. And it's not just that there are all kinds of negative headlines that are being ignored, or that some economic datapoints aren't so hot, or that there is still deflation. He makes a great argument that many factors, like the level of bullishness, the relative valuation of stocks to bonds, and the unanimity in thinking are worrisome.  If anything, the list isn't taking into account everything we see right now.

 

1.       STRATEGISTS ARE UNANIMOUSLY BULLISH "In Barron’s look-ahead piece, not one strategist sees the prospect for a market decline.  This is called group-think.  Moreover, the percentage of brokerage house analysts and economists to raise their 2011 GDP forecasts has risen substantially.  Out of 49 economists surveyed, 35 say the U.S. economy will outperform the already upwardly revised GDP forecasts, only 14 say we will underperform.  This is capitulation of historical proportions. "Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/10-reasons-to-be-worried-about-the-stock-market-in-2011-2010-12#strategists-are-unanimously-bullish-1#ixzz19FzSp3Sd



2.      INVESTORS ARE GOING GAGA FOR STOCKS"The weekly fund flow data from the ICI showed not only massive outflows, but in aggregate, retail investors withdrew a RECORD net $8.6 billion from bond funds during the week ended December 15 (on top of the $1.7 billion of outflows in the prior week).  Maybe now all the bond bears will shut their traps over this “bond-bubble” nonsense."  Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/10-reasons-to-be-worried-about-the-stock-market-in-2011-2010-12#investors-are-going-gaga-for-stocks-2#ixzz19G02eyCU

 

  1. "Investors Intelligence now shows the bull share heading up to 58.8% from 55.8% a week ago, and the bear share is up to 20.6% from 20.5%.  So bullish sentiment has now reached a new high for the year and is now the highest since 2007 ― just ahead of the market slide."Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/10-reasons-to-be-worried-about-the-stock-market-in-2011-2010-12#-3#ixzz19G0EYLuH

 

  1. "It may pay to have a look at Dow 1929-1949 analog lined up with January 2000. We are getting very close to the May 1940 sell-off when Germany invaded France.  As a loyal reader and trusted friend notified us yesterday, “fighting” war may be similar to the sovereign debt war raging in Europe today. (Have a look at the jarring article on page 20 of today’s FT — Germany is not immune to the contagion gripping Europe.) "Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/10-reasons-to-be-worried-about-the-stock-market-in-2011-2010-12#-4#ixzz19G0MEGXy

 

5.      STOCK DIVIDEND YIELDS ARE NOT SO HOT "What about the S&P 500 dividend yield, and this comes courtesy of an old pal from Merrill Lynch who is currently an investment advisor.  Over the course of 2010, numerous analysts were saying that people must own stocks because the dividend yields will be more than that of the 10-year Treasury.  But alas, here we are today with the S&P 500 dividend yield at 2% and the 10-year T-note yield at 3.3%.From a historical standpoint, the yield on the S&P 500 is very low ― too low, in fact.  This smacks of a market top and underscores the point that the market is too optimistic in the sense that investors are willing to forgo yield because they assume that they will get the return via the capital gain.  In essence, dividend yields are supposed to be higher than the risk free yield in a fairly valued market because the higher yield is “supposed to” compensate the investor for taking on extra risk.  The last time S&P yields were around this level was in the summer of 2000, and we know what happened shortly after that.  When the S&P yield gets to its long-term average of 4.35%, maybe even a little higher, then stocks will likely be a long-term buy. "Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/10-reasons-to-be-worried-about-the-stock-market-in-2011-2010-12#stock-dividend-yields-are-not-so-hot-5#ixzz19G0ow2m9

  1. THE DOW PRICED IN GOLD HAS MORE TO FALL Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/10-reasons-to-be-worried-about-the-stock-market-in-2011-2010-12#the-dow-priced-in-gold-has-more-to-fall-6#ixzz19G2x0gFe"The equity market in gold terms has been plummeting for about a decade and will continue to do so.  When measured in Federal Reserve Notes, the Dow has done great.  But there has been no market recovery when benchmarked against the most reliable currency in the world.  Back in 2000, it took over 40oz of gold to buy the Dow; now it takes a little more than 8oz.  This is typical of secular bear markets and this ends when the Dow can be bought with less than 2oz of gold.  Even then, an undershoot could very well take the ratio to 1:1."Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/10-reasons-to-be-worried-about-the-stock-market-in-2011-2010-12#the-dow-priced-in-gold-has-more-to-fall-6#ixzz19G17NoeR

7.      BREADTH IS DETERIORATING "As  Bob Farrell is clearly indicating in his work, momentum and market breadth have been lacking.  The number of stocks in the S&P 500 that are making  52-week highs is declining even though the index continues to make new 52-week highs. "Source: Gluskin-Sheff Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/10-reasons-to-be-worried-about-the-stock-market-in-2011-2010-12#breadth-is-deteriorating-7#ixzz19G1KZX2Q

 

8.      VALUATIONS ARE GETTING RICH "Stocks are overvalued at the present levels.  For December, the Shiller P/E ratio says stocks are now trading at a whopping 22.7 times earnings!  In normal economic periods, the Shiller P/E is between 14 and 16 times earnings.  Coming out of the bursting of a credit bubble, the P/E ratio historically is 12.  Coming out of a credit bubble of the magnitude we just had, the P/E should be at single digits." Source: Gluskin-Sheff Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/10-reasons-to-be-worried-about-the-stock-market-in-2011-2010-12#valuations-are-getting-rich-8#ixzz19G23tGaQ

 

9.      HOUSING IS STILL A HUGE THREAT "The potential for a significant down-leg in home prices is being underestimated.  The unsold existing inventory is still 80% above the historical norm, at 3.7 million.  And that does not include the ‘shadow’ foreclosed inventory.  According to some superb research conducted by the Dallas Fed, completing the mean-reversion process would entail a further 23% decline in real home prices from here.  In a near zero percent inflation environment, that is one massive decline in nominal terms.  Prices may not hit their ultimate bottom until some point in 2015. "Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/10-reasons-to-be-worried-about-the-stock-market-in-2011-2010-12#housing-is-still-a-huge-threat-9#ixzz19G2O6qNU

 

10.  FISCAL STRAINS POSE A MAJOR THREAT "Arguably the most understated, yet significant, issue facing both U.S. economy and U.S. markets is the escalating fiscal strains at the state and local government levels, particularly those jurisdictions with uncomfortably high pension liabilities.  Have a look at Alabama town shows the cost of neglecting a pension fund on the front page of the NYT as well as Chapter 9 weighed in pension woes on page C1 on WSJ."   In the absence of Chapter 9 declarations or dramatic federal aid, fixing the fiscal problems at lower levels of government is very likely going to require some radical restraint, perhaps even breaking up existing contracts for current retirees and tapping tax payers for additional revenues.  The story has some how become lost in all the excitement over the New Tax Deal cobbled together between the White House and the lame duck Congress just a few weeks ago." Source: Gluskin-Sheff Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/10-reasons-to-be-worried-about-the-stock-market-in-2011-2010-12#fiscal-strains-pose-a-major-threat-10#ixzz19G2gqTZP

 


THE STOCK MARKET IS A BUBBLE Corson ‘The stock market is not bubbled up, you say? Well then, let's take a serious macro macro look at the situation and raise the matter as a question.How is it that from about 1950 (or 1965 at least) up to about 1985, the Dow Jones Industrial Average stayed mostly in the range from about 250 to 1200, when America was growing and doing pretty well on average, and then, from about 1985 to the year 2000 or so -- a mere fifteen years -- the Dow shot up to over 10,000, when middle class America realized almost no income gains in real terms and the economy basically cycled from one boom and bust cycle to the next?I argue we face one of the biggest bubbles of all time. Let me explain and lets address the problem by focusing on the DJIA. Here is what the DJIA has done since 1965. click to enlarge images

[chart]

What we observe is the DJIA has gone up about ten fold from 1965 to the year 2000 or so. But what has industrial production in the US done during that time frame?

[chart]

Industrial production has increased to be sure, but only by a factor of three or so. It certainly has not increased anything like the DJIA. But there is slippage, you say. To be sure, we now generate more services, the time series data have been smoothed and more importantly changed, etc., etc. But these explanations simply don't bridge the gap.
Here is another one that doesn't either.

Back in the early-to-mid 1980s macro economists noted that the risk premium being paid on equities over bonds was far higher than was warranted by standard measures of individuals’ attitudes towards risk. In short, the risk premium agents were being paid more than compensated them for the risk. This was particularly surprising since over the long run, the risk on equities was no different than that on bonds. As a result, there appeared to be an arbitrage opportunity by shifting one’s portfolio from bonds to stocks and holding the equities for a long time.

Do you believe that? We simply had a financial epiphany and corrected. More importantly, do you want to believe that or anything except we are bubbled up?As we know, Japan had this problem with its stock market and here is what happened. But that can't happen here you say. I ask, why not?

[chart]

Even GDP and profits have not caught up with this market. They too have only increased three and a half fold at best.

[chart]

(The data in these charts are smoothed to conceal recessions and ease presentation.)Why is it that we don't have a serious bubble in our stock market now? Were our valuations all wrong for years on end earlier, or do we have it wrong now? I think we have a problem and our heads are in the sand… http://www.seekingalpha.com/article/243573-is-the-dow-showing-a-major-stock-market-bubble?source=yahoo



 

 

Rockefeller Study Envisages Future Dictatorship Controlled By Elite … (Vegetables … Yes, Asparagus, not Broccoli) … Here’s the pathetic news, however; it’s called reality:   [Neanderthals, Humans Interbred, DNA Proves     Signs of Neanderthals Mating With Humans - Neanderthals mated with some modern humans after all and left their imprint in the human genome.  Genome hints humans, Neanderthals rolled in prehistoric hay     You're a Neanderthal: Genes say yes — a little bit (AP) Neanderthals and people interbred, fossil analysis finds  For more info on man’s humble beginnings, see here     http://www.albertpeia.com/anthroindex1.htm           Previously I wrote:     FOUND: MISSING LINK BETWEEN APES AND MAN.... These stories, and the many like it, are old news and I subscribe to the more studied view that there is no “missing link” per se and in my view they are distinctions without significant differences. I previously wrote: [see infra] and [Interestingly, my intuitive (but unstudied) thoughts prior to closer examination of the compelling subject of Biological Anthropology remain what I believe to be the correct scenario. Specifically, very simply stated, for the most part, the more “enlightened” (but not by much; by mutation, accident, luck, intervention, etc.) left the unvarying confines of their Sub-Saharan origins, experienced diverse new environs, challenges, etc., experienced what has been described (by neuroscientists, psychologists, etc.) as neurogenesis in varying degrees and forms thereby over time, which trait was selected for and is consistent with the purported multi-regional evolutionary model which does not overtly contradict ultimately, initial African origins. Races, sub-species, missing links, etc., are subsumed in this very humbling and sorrowful tale of the “dawn of man”.] [see infra] …]    Global pandemics that kill millions, mandatory quarantines, checkpoints, biometric ID cards, and a world of top-down government control. These things are not lifted from the latest sci-fi blockbuster movie, they’re part of the Rockefeller Foundation’s vision for what the globe might be like in 15-20 years’ time under a new world order tightly controlled by the elite. [That’s getting awfully close to the outside ‘decades, not millennia or even centuries’].

Iran accuses US and UK of supporting group behind mosque attacks Iran is vowing to hunt down a Sunni separatist group which claimed responsibility for a double suicide bombing that killed 28 people at a mosque in the south-eastern city of Zahedan.

US, NATO behind Iran bombings: MP An Iranian lawmaker slams the recent bombings in the country’s southeast as a plot by Western military forces in the Middle East to spread terror on Iran’s borders.

WASHPOST Ombudsman: Why Silence on Black Panther Story?  (Washington Post) ‘Thursday's Post reported about a growing controversy over the Justice Department's decision to scale down a voter-intimidation case against members of the New Black Panther Party. The story succinctly summarized the issues but left many readers with a question: What took you so long? For months, readers have contacted the ombudsman wondering why The Post hasn't been covering the case. The calls increased recently after competitors such as the New York Times and the Associated Press wrote stories. Fox News and right-wing bloggers have been pumping the story. Liberal bloggers have countered, accusing them of trying to manufacture a scandal. But The Post has been virtually silent. The story has its origins on Election Day in 2008, when two members of the New Black Panther Party stood in front of a Philadelphia polling place. YouTube video of the men, now viewed nearly 1.5 million times, shows both wearing paramilitary clothing. One carried a nightstick…’

Latino KKK: You are too white to be American!  ALIPAC | Tan Klan woman can scream racist comments because the Obama administration and most of the major news networks in America have her back.

‘West, israel linked to SE Iran blasts’  A ranking official with the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) has implicated “the us, israel and some european countries” in the deadly blasts in the southeastern Iranian city of Zahedan.

De-classified Vietnam-era Transcripts Show Senators Knew Gulf Of Tonkin Was A Staged False Flag Event Over 1,100 pages of previously classified Vietnam-era transcripts released this week by the Senate Foreign Relations Committee highlight the fact that several Senators knew that the White House and the Pentagon had deceived the American people over the 1964 Gulf of Tonkin incident.

Afghans march in Kabul to denounce NATO strikes that killed civilians:  Demonstrators shout anti-American slogans, denounce NATO strikes (Washington Post ) Sounds like a plan! Almost surreal was the appearance of gates on failed network ‘news’ show to shill the non-strategy of draw down (of troops) linked to success. What success? Just being there and every day they’re there is unequivocally abject failure. Celebritology Weekend: Angelina Jolie biography arrives; Heidi Montag files for divorce (Washington Post ) I usually don’t weigh in on entertainment news, but this headline concerning what appears to be a disparaging, and quite selectively so, purported biography of Angelina Jolie is very disheartening when you consider the numerous instances of failed leadership at nearly all very high levels of government having so detrimental an impact on the world, that morton deems his time appropriate to an actress who has actually tried to do good things (U.N., etc.) without having to. Indeed, even her latest film ‘Salt’ (spectacular by any standard as is her performance – there are at least 2 winning sequels there with 4 the max and stretching it owing to age – she puts all, and I mean all the ‘Bonds’ to shame) had an important message in terms of the damage to this nation by a seemingly endless, nation-bankrupting, anti-american (war criminal israelis already, and quite correctly, globally hated) sentiment producing war strategy that is neither strategy nor reasonably consistent with any positive american goal / objective; but rather is  such a debacle and folly that the same could very well be one that only an enemy of defacto bankrupt america could hatch and for the reasoning set forth in the well-written / directed film. She astutely observed and talked about the synchronicity of the film as juxtaposed to recent events revealing that  she is wiser than most in Washington.

Wall Street Is Laundering Drug Money And Getting Away With It Zach Carter | Wachovia was moving money behind literally tons of cocaine from violent drug cartels. It wasn’t an accident.

 

Drudgereport: NEW LOW FOR O: USATODAYGALLUP HAS OBAMA APPROVE AT 41%...
America Is 'Bankrupt Mickey Mouse Economy'...

WIRE: USA 'Bankrupt and We Don't Even Know It'...

YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT HITS RECORD HIGH
JOBLESS CLAIMS JUMP TO HIGHEST SINCE FEB...
California can't pay bills -- may use IOUs for August payments...

DEFICIT ADDS $165,040,000,000.00 -- IN ONE MONTH!
Homes lost to foreclosure up 6% from last year... 
Grim Voter Mood Turns Grimmer...
Claims of Afghan civilian deaths spark protest... 

Military sees heavier fighting in fall...

UPDATE: Suspected serial killer arrested in Atlanta...
Attempting to flee to israel … to be with kindred spirits ...

DEFICIT ADDS $165,040,000,000.00 -- IN ONE MONTH! 

MOB RUSH FOR FED AID DRAWS RIOT POLICE
DOW drops 265...
Feds rethink policies that encourage home ownership...
Obama: $3 Billion More in Aid for Unemployed...
US posts widest trade gap in 20 months...
Q2 GDP Growth Could Be Revised To Just 1% After Trade Data...
PUMP: FED TO BUY MORE DEBT...
DOWNGRADES OUTLOOK...
US-backed fighters in Iraq defect to al-Qaida... [Winning hearts and minds … for Al Qaida … just one too many civilian deaths for no good reason at all ]

BACK TO SPEND SOME MORE!

Republicans Suggest Names for 'Second Stimulus' Bill...
'Where do the bailouts end?'  [I feel compelled to comment here that even capital hill math would be hard-pressed to justify $26 billion taxpayer / treasury dollars they don’t really have, to save 300,000 state / local government jobs! After all, the nation is defacto bankrupt! ]

CASTRO WARNS OF IMPENDING NUCLEAR HOLOCAUST
WELCOME TO THE RECOVERY...

JULY UNEMPLOYMENT -131,000 JOBS...
Revised: May/June -97,000 jobs than first reported...

Odd mix of bad news...

CASTRO WARNS OF IMPENDING NUCLEAR HOLOCAUST
Michelle Obama 'modern-day Marie Antoinette'...

NYT: 'Leaves the taxpayers with a hefty bill'...
While Obama preaches sacrifice, his family frolics in Spain...

Gazpacho, turbot, veal and ratatouille with the king...
Lavish Obama vacation in time of economic turmoil raises eyebrows...
BAKER: 'Leaves taxpayers with hefty bill'...
Hollywood star-studded gala at first lady's luxury hotel...

MICHELLE O'S $375,000 VACATION?!
Strolls Marbella after State Dept. 'racist' Spaniards gaffe...

White House calling: Please will you make a coat for Michelle...

Boy Scouts boo Obama...
GALLUP: Blacks and Whites Continue to Differ Sharply on Obama...
JUDGE KNOCKS DOWN MARRIAGE PROP IN CA
BLOW TO O: MO SAYS NO

Voters overwhelmingly rejected federal mandate to purchase health insurance...

Americans swap passports; Desire to avoid tax leads some to renounce citizenship...
Ahmadinejad survives blast near motorcade...

'Stupid Zionists have hired mercenaries to assassinate me'...

FALTERING RECOVERY TRIPS DOLLAR...

GM, FORD and CHRYSLER Sales All Lag Estimates...

Stimulus Slammed: Republican Senators Release Report Alleging Waste...
The 100 worst stimulus projects...

SHOCK VIDEO: DEM CONGRESSMAN BRAGS: 'FEDERAL GOVERNMENT CAN DO MOST ANYTHING IN THIS COUNTRY'...
Deadliest Month Of Afghan War

Paper: Will Washington's Failures Lead To Second American Revolution

Maxine Waters faces trial over bank bailout funds...

HOT WATERS
Dems Say Sorry, Charlie...

Democrats Say Rangel Should Resign...
Obama: Time For Rangel To End Career 'With Dignity'... 

60,000 babies born to 'noncitizens' get U.S. birthright - in Texas alone...

Dutch become 1st NATO member to quit Afghanistan...

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post). Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’: Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post) Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’:  

But still it’s ‘hands off fraudulent wall street’ to theirs, the nation’s, and the world’s detriment. Firms subpoenaed in attempt to regain Fannie, Freddie losses (Washington Post). But there’s a reason:

The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  ( UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown. ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1  – well worth a look. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

While boner and barton are indeed jokes / vegetables that bespeak the single-digit approval rate for congress, obama’s failure to deliver on promises with as well, endless war spending despite defacto bankruptcy of the nation and a watered down nothing financial regulation bill for talking points but little substance, make him as big a joker. This well researched / produced video tells the real story :  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1   ‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ – well worth the view.    [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends ]

 

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257# 


Pentagon warns Congress: Accounts running dry...(Drudgereport) Isn’t this headline eerily reminiscent of that seminal B film by Roger Corman for Jack Nicholson, ‘Little Shop of Horrors’ (and remake) wherein a murderous vegetable / plant clamors incessantly and insatiably, ‘feed me’. Eight U.S. service members killed in series of attacks in southern Afghanistan (Washington Post, July 15, 2010) . This ridiculous war apparently for the sake of the american sponsored reinvigorated heroin trade was a bad idea ab initio even if america wasn’t defacto bankrupt.

Concern over smashing into the 'wall of debt' (Washington Post) Oh, they’ve hit the wall alright; and, it’s not just debt.

I believe the printing presses have been working overtime to pump out ever more worthless fiat currency and with the many trillions of worthless fraudulent paper still out there and marked to anything. I further believe the same is being surreptitiously used to supplant the fraudulent paper, the consequences of which will be devastating, of course, as is invariably so in depressions in any event. This scenario would also mean huge fraud accomplis. This market is paper on paper moving around and generating commissions at lightning computerized speed but adding no real value in real economic terms; again, the analogy of termites eating away at the (nation’s) foundation is apposite. As such, that money has to come from some real place and hence, the ever more frequent and larger crashes we are seeing. Don’t forget that the worthless paper from previous such fraudulent schemes now marked to anything is still out there in a magnitude some have placed in the hundreds of trillions.

Biggest wall will be reality:

This is a global depression. This is a secular bear market in a global depression. The past up move was a manipulated bull (s***) cycle in a secular bear market. This has been a typically manipulated bubble as has preceded the prior crashes with great regularity that the wall street frauds and insiders commission and sell into.’

Harry Dent, Jr.  Economy will be in a Depression by 2011
The worst of this next depression is likely to hit between mid-2010 and mid-2013, especially around early 2011, but if the banking system continues to implode a deep downturn or depression could begin sometime in 2009 instead of 2010.
Dow will Fall to 3,800 – 4,500 by 2012
Nasdaq will Fall Below 1,100, its 2002 low, by late 2010 or mid-2012 at the latest.
Inflation will Increase until mid- 2010 and then turn to Deflation
Interest Rates will Increase
U.S. Dollar will Decline
Housing will Decline by 40 – 60% from Today’s Levels
Greatest Economic and Banking Crisis since the 1930s will Occur Between 2010 and 2012

Economists worry women, minority business owners' gains will be lost (Washington Post) Little bit late for ‘economists worry’; talk about senile greenspan / no-recession bernanke economics / prognosticating. Does anybody recall the merciless drubbing (and pressure) that Ross Perot got for predicting the ill effects of NAFTA and standing against the tide. In america today, the best men never win; that’s reality, and also the sign of decline.

Exports are up, but where are the jobs? (Washington Post) Gone with the wind? Sorry, I must have been thinking of million dollar movies. Seriously though, I dare say everyone knows they were gone with that ‘bi-partisan executive / congressional, think-tank, cia / nsa ill wind’ that others might refer to as flatulence / passing gas, also called NAFTA, and also proudly hailed by the foregoing as ‘strategy’. They’re gone, and never to return. Moreover, the flipside of the exports, viz., imports, doesn’t bode well despite the fraudulent wall street b*** s*** and their chorus of cheerleaders in washington. Some might say self-delusion but I would say fraud covers all.

Companies pile up cash but still won't add jobs (Washington Post) Unlike the public sector (which now exceeds private sector in job gains and average compensation), the private sector attempts to mesh hiring with economic supply / demand factors to maximize  (shareholder) profits / wealth. Whatever faults american companies have, with relatively few exceptions, this still remains a very basic fundamental and building surplus (generating profits) is a necessary precept to ensure survival and the capacity to be a good ‘citizen’ so to speak. Then there’s reality:

Retail sales down for 2nd consecutive month (Washington Post) Another ‘Come on’ day on fraudulent wall street! This time it’s the unexpected downward revision to previous market-frothing retail sales report and poor retail sales and plunge in mortgage applications and then there’s the fed minutes pointing to extended bad economy. See Dave Fry’s (Daily) summary below referencing in euphemistic fashion, yet another ongoing manipulation also known as fraud. (Absent prosecutions, they’ll continue to do what comes natural to frauds on wall street). Great opportunity to sell / take profits since much worse, also called reality beyond the b*** s***, to come. Then there’s also the bad but typical news; viz.,  retail sales, mortgage apps, economic outlook down, and yesterday deficits, trade and budget, up.

 Mideast Digest: Wow! Belfast, Northern Ireland; and in the Mideast Digest Section, of all places. It’s been a long time. While I have had some difficulties with Irish mob in the context of litigation but only tangential to my primary RICO action vis-ŕ-vis the Italian mob (and similarly tangentially the jewish mob and then primarily what I learned to be ‘governmental mob’, federal, state, local, derivative thereby and the sine quo non of corruption / bribery / synergy that spells decline for any nation), it is difficult to not be empathetic to the plight of an otherwise beautiful nation tainted only by the orange stain in that northern quarter. After all, what hasn’t england not mucked up from balfour to the mideast to now even their own nation having hitched a ride on the american / israeli crazy train. As a matter of disclosure, I must admit to an affinity for the Irish and somewhat fairly recently had been asked what I thought of Philadelphia to which without hesitation I immediately replied that Grace Kelly (truly magnificent by any standard) was born there. I could think of nothing else that could parallel such a distinction.

NATION NEWS DIGEST:  J.P. Morgan Chase posts $4.8 billion profit (Washington Post) Yet another ‘Come on’ day on fraudulent wall street! This time it’s the unexpected jump in continuing claims for unemployment, yesterday the downward revision to previous market-frothing retail sales report and poor retail sales and plunge in mortgage applications and then there’s the fed minutes pointing to extended bad economy. Then there’s also now the ‘goldfinger factor’ as in goldman’s middle finger. When you defraud for many billions, paying $550 million is chump change. Goldman shares rocketed 5.5% in after-hours trading. No wonder Goldman called it "the right outcome for our firm shareholders and clients." (Absent prosecutions, they’ll continue to do what comes natural to frauds on wall street). Great opportunity to sell / take profits since much worse, also called reality beyond the b*** s***, to come. Then there’s also the bad but typical news; viz., previous retail sales, mortgage apps, economic outlook down, and continuing claims for unemployment, deficits, trade / budget, up. (Just in: 7-16-10 Poll – only 43% of Americans approve of the Afganistan War, down from 52% in January, 2010)

Pearlstein: Can regulation beget innovation? (Washington Post)  I believe the more seminal question to be, whether american companies, consistent with overall american decline and corruption in so pervasive a fashion, are capable of or inclined toward real innovation where enhancements to productivity, as well as greater profits, is the consequence as desired. Certainly there has been ‘innovation’ by the wall street frauds in the types of (ultimately worthless / fraudulent) paper and high frequency trade programs enhancing their bottom-lines but little else; and, those cutting edge ‘weapons of mass destruction’ produced or financed (israel) by america are hardly productive in the economic sense but innovative and profitable in the short run, and unwise and nation-bankrupting in the longer run which we’re in right now!

Goldman agrees to pay $550M (Washington Post) My own skepticism based on the disparate numbers (the size of the frauds compared to the relatively small fine) and as set forth in the initial reactions / headlines that immediately follow has been allayed somewhat by an interview on NBR with former SEC head Ruder who explained the very narrow scope of the settlement which in no way shelters goldman from the huge frauds they have perpetrated. So long as this is true in fact as well as law and in application, the SEC deserves praise as has been so under the auspices of ‘Mother Mary’ who appears to have the gonads lacking in prior SEC heads. The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.   

Ex-Justice official: CIA may have exceeded limits (Washington Post)  Wee doggies! This sounds like the stuff that SNL Weekend Update ‘Really’ skits are made of; also fitting into that list of queries as, ‘Is the Pope Catholic?’, ‘Do bears **** in the woods?’, etc..  Come on! Wake up! This is the kind of complicit cover-up / corruption found betwixt and between all three branches of the u.s. government leading ineluctably to america’s current decline and to which I’ve attested under penalty of perjury in the context of the RICO litigation  [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm  ].

 

For now, spew of oil into Gulf of Mexico is halted  (Washington Post) Well, thank God for small favors! I suggest they change that name, ‘integrity test’; that’s doomed to end in failure. Yes, the brits are back. They’ve clogged the well, with help from the ‘usual suspects’, the americans.  What precision! What teamwork! Victory at last … riiiiight!

What Does The Financial Reform Bill Do Other Than Being Completely And Utterly Worthless? Is it possible to write a 2,300 page piece of legislation that accomplishes next to nothing and is pretty much completely and utterly worthless? The answer is yes.

U.S. Regulatory Bill Nears Passage With Republican Support The U.S. Senate plans to pass the financial-regulation bill on July 15 as Democrats secured the 60 votes needed to enact the biggest rewrite of Wall Street rules since the Great Depression.

Bloomberg Poll Finds Americans No Longer Drinking Kool Aid, 71% See Economy “Mired In Recession”  

Fed Sees Slower Growth Wall Street Journal | Updated forecast to be released Wednesday afternoon with the minutes of the Fed’s late-June policy meeting is likely to show that officials have trimmed their second-half forecasts.

 

WHICH WAY IS THE MARKET GOING NEXT?  Gomes: ‘Having been a technical analyst for the first 10 years of my investing career and a fundamental analyst for the past 15 years, I'm a believer that technical patterns form as fundamentals unfold. As such, if you know something about both, you can confirm both against each other. At this point in time, I see a market that is technically reaching up toward its 200 day moving average (2,250 for the NASDAQ). I also see a 50 day moving average that is threatening to drop below that 200 day moving average. Technically, that is usually a very bad sign for the market. The question is, "will the 50DMA drop below the 200DMA?" I think the answer is inevitably "yes". The thing about the moving averages, is that you can see which points of data are about to fall off. Meanwhile, you can make reasonable assumptions regarding the points of data that will take their place. By doing so, you can construct a range of probabilistic scenarios. In this case, some high numbers are about to come out of the 50DMA, making it go lower. Meanwhile, some low numbers are about to come out of the 200DMA, making it go higher. Since both are VERY close to each other right now, it's safe to assume that the 50DMA will indeed fall below the 200DMA. So, that's probably bad news for the market...technically. Fundamentally, it appears that Q2 turned out well for most companies. However, most of the investing world knows this and stocks have rallied about 8% on the news. Ever hear the saying "buy the rumor, sell the news"? Well, the rumor has been bought and the news is just starting to flow in. This means that we have to look at the NEXT bit of news to figure out what rumor the market will be buying or selling. To me, it's clear that the global economic environment will come back to the front burner as the #1 driver of stock prices...and that's bad news for stocks. A good Q2 does not mean that the future is bright. Rather, I believe that Q2 will represent the peak of earnings health. Starting in Q3, good earnings will become a bit harder to come by. Why?
1) Economic indicators are dropping fast. For all intents and purposes, the unemployment rate has not budged. Meanwhile, store shelves are stocked again, PCs have been upgraded, etc. In other words, the pent-up demand that drove the current rebound has almost run its course. What little remains no longer has the power to drive the economy as it has over the past 18-months.

2) "Follow the money". This is one of the most powerfully simple rules on Wall Street. When money is flowing into the economy (i.e. via lower interest rates or stimulus $$$), it's usually good for stocks..and vice versa. At present, interest rates can't go much lower and the numerous stimulus programs are losing effectiveness. This means that the money is no longer flowing in. Worse yet, the money that was spent is not generally viewed as having been money well spent. This does not bode well for a new stimulus package to come anytime soon. In other words, money is not flowing in AND doesn't appear poised to flow in anytime soon. In fact, state and municipal budgets are being cut (money flowing OUT), while they raise local sales and income taxes (more money flowing out). if federal taxes go up in 2011, as planned, even more money will be flowing out. If you follow that, you should be flowing out of the stock market. In short, barring a new stimulus package of other major money-flowing event, I believe the economy slips back toward recession. Whether or not we double-dip, we will almost certainty slip in that direction.

3) If you follow the money in Europe, you will run for the hills. Europe has decided to spin 180-degrees and shift from stimulus to austerity (if you don't know the definition, look it up -- you'll likely hear it again -- and not just from me). Effectively the opposite of stimulus, austerity will pull money away from the European economies...which tells us to pull money away from stocks. Worse yet, the effect of the EU/IMF bailout is already wearing off. Greek yields are rising again and Portuguese credit ratings have been reduced.

4) Global bubbles are bursting. Most notably, home sales in China and Canada are starting to fall. Remember what happened when the U.S. housing market cracked? That's right -- that's what started this mess in the first place.

5) Politically, this period in time has a tendency to be bad for stocks. There is uncertainty around the mid-year elections...and the market hates uncertainty. Historically, the political picture doesn't become clear until October, at which point we might expect a rally. Until then, expect the democrats to do everything they can to retain their jobs in November. That means, "stop pissing off the public"...and the public seems pretty pissed about how the stimulus $$$ worked out for them (or more accurately, how it DIDN'T work out for them). Thus, the political pressure will lean against further stimulus until after the elections.

The Bottom Line: I believe that the market will start to reflect these concerns very soon. These are real fundamental concerns, which you can see reflected in the technicals. As the market reaches the 50DMA and the 200DMA, it will be inclined to retreat (barring some new, hugely positive news). Meanwhile, the 50DMA is 90%+ likely to cross below the 200DMA, giving the market more reason to retrench. At some point, if the economy sinks far enough and if the market drops far enough, political pressure for more stimulus will mount. At that point, money will flow back into the economy. But that time is not now. Now, money is flowing away like the tide...and so should your invested capital. I'm not always right, but I do my best, based on the information before me. Based on what I see right now, the most logical conclusion is to expect a long, ugly summer for stocks. If I see information that changes that view, I'll be sure to post an update to this post. Disclosure: I have short positions against the market


 

 

 

NAACP Resolution Designed to Wreck Tea Party Movement by Playing Race Card  Kurt Nimmo | The Tea Party movement is more popular than either the Democratic or Republican parties, so it must be destroyed.      

Majority of Americans lack faith in Obama: poll Nearly 60 percent of American voters say they lack faith in President Barack Obama, according to a public opinion poll published on Tuesday.       

Majority of Americans lack faith in Obama: poll Reuters | Nearly 60 percent of American voters say they lack faith in President Barack Obama, according to a public opinion poll published on Tuesday.       Top anti-war Democrat: Afghanistan war could ‘destroy’ Obama’s presidency  Raw Story | An outspoken anti-war Democrat said ongoing US military efforts in Afghanistan could deeply imperil the presidency of Barack Obama and the fortunes of the Democratic Party.        Obama’s debt commission warns of fiscal ‘cancer’  Washington Post | The commission leaders said that, at present, federal revenue is fully consumed by three programs: Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid.

 

DRUDGEREPORT: 'White House waving white flag'...
Panic button...
WIRE: Dems show signs of battle fatigue...
Federal deficit gap tops $1 trillion through June...
Republicans propose cutting Obama budget...
'CREDIBILITY CRISIS'

If not for the likes of ie., Dell Computer, most (ie., those die hard Mac, Iphone, Ipad, etc., aficionados among others) would say microsoft’s already in the clouds, so to speak. Microsoft takes aim at the cloud (Washington Post)

No help in sight for jobless (Washington Post) Well, from their perspective, they really don’t feel your pain, and, it gives the frauds on wall street another b*** s***, market frothing, false talking point in the form of ‘fewer continuing claims for unemployment’. Then there’s that ‘ depression thing’.

The big crash — America plunges into Depression  Alexander Cockburn

This is a global depression. This is a secular bear market in a global depression. The past up move was a manipulated bull (s***) cycle in a secular bear market. This has been a typically manipulated bubble as has preceded the prior crashes with great regularity that the wall street frauds and insiders commission and sell into. This is a typical wall street churn and earn, pass the hot potato scam / fraud as in prior crashes.’

Making millions from mowing lawns  [Sounds like a plan … riiiiight!] (Washington Post) Value Added | Entrepreneur's reinvestment and diversification … By Thomas Heath   For the less entrepreneurial at heart there’s always … flippin’ burgers … Washington, D.C.: the nation's (burger) capital? (Washington Post)  | ‘The Washington area has emerged as fertile ground for ground chuck …’     Survey: A satisfied federal workforce (Washington Post) Indeed they should be since they’re totally expendable and a waste of taxpayer money.

Return of the No-Volume Melt-Up  

Momentum Book Update: Trend Indicators Still Pointing Negative       

 Employment Picture Is Getting Bleaker

The Debt Party Is Over  ‘ In a Ponzi scheme, the end comes when the marginal investor decides to do something else with his money. Then the house of cards stars falling apart. …’

Mattis: 'It's fun to shoot people'  Washington Post - Ed O'Keefe - Jul 9, 2010 By Ed O'Keefe President Obama's pick to lead military operations in Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan and the Middle East is an experienced ground combat commander, but also earned a stern rebuke in 2005 for controversial comments about combat operations.       Gen. James Mattis is named head of US Central Command Los Angeles Times      Blunt General Appointed to Lead Forces in Mideast New York Times

 

DRUDGEREPORT: BOMBSHELL: Media Mogul Mort Zuckerman Admits He Wrote One Of Obama's Speeches...
Were White House Officials Ready to Expose Collaboration?
Zuckerman Now: Obama Barely Treading Water...
MICHELLE TELLS BLACKS TO 'INCREASE INTENSITY'

6 troops killed in Afghanistan...
DEM GOVS WARN: OBAMA SUIT VS. AZ IS 'TOXIC'
Debt panel has gloomy outlook...
Crisis Awaits World’s Banks as Trillions Come Due...
G20 looks to Beijing to drive global growth … They’re dreamin’! ...

They say ‘stocks oversold’. Preposterous! Stocks have been overbought based on bad news or nothing at all, rallying on ‘not as bad as expected’. Even if that were true (I don’t believe anything they say), who cares what the criminally insane frauds on wall street say what they expect. It’s fundamentals, economic and financial, that ultimately count; but, in the meantime, they’re like termites eating away at the nation’s foundation with lightning fast computerized trade programs, all of which excessively huge commission churn / earn revenues are a net negative for the economy in real economic terms which is evidenced by unprecedented economic decline in all productive sectors of the economy. This is a great opportunity to SELL / TAKE PROFITS since this suckers rally to suck suckers in and keep them sucked in is based on fraud and b*** s*** alone and:  ‘This is a global depression. This is a secular bear market in a global depression. The past up move was a manipulated bull (s***) cycle in a secular bear market. This has been a typically manipulated bubble as has preceded the prior crashes with great regularity that the wall street frauds and insiders commission and sell into. This is a typical wall street churn and earn pass the hot potato scam / fraud as in prior crashes.’

Technical Indicators Trigger Major Sell Signal  ‘…In summary, the bearish picture is confirmed by technical indicators, a fundamental outlook, sentiment gauges, and valuations.Based on what the market considered fair market valuations at prior historic market bottoms, one can conclude how far stocks have to drop to reach the previously attained level of fair valuations …’

: ‘On Friday July 9, 2010, 4:32 pm EDT It rarely ever happens, but when it does, it's serious. It has only happened nine times in 10 years. We are referring to crossovers between the 200-day and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs).Very few technical indicators receive as much attention and media coverage as the 50 and 200-day SMAs. The 200-day MA is perceived to be the dividing line between a stock that is technically healthy and one that is not. It's a Big Deal It's a big deal when a stock or an index drops below the 200-day SMA. It's an even bigger deal when the 50-day SMA of any given stock or index drops below the 200-day SMA. Such a crossover reflects internal weakness - at least in theory. We'll discuss in a moment how the actual numbers match up with theoretic assumptions. On June 22, 2010, the S&P 500 (SNP: ^GSPC) and Dow Jones (DJI: ^DJI) dropped below the 200-day SMA. One day later the Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) followed. On July 2, 2010, the 50-day SMA for the S&P (NYSEArca: SPY - News) dropped below the 200-day SMA. On July 6, the Dow Jones (NYSEArca: DIA - News) followed. As of today, the Nasdaq (Nasdaq: QQQQ - News) is barely hanging on. This sounds like a doomsday scenario. Does a rigid analysis show that there is validity to 200-day and 50-day SMA crossover buy/sell signals? Let's investigate.Crossovers - Lagging but Notable Many argue that the SMA crossover is a delayed signal that emphasizes past weakness more than it foreshadows future declines. To an extent, that is true. There are other warning signals that point to a market turn long before the SMA does. For example, on April 16, 2010, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter noted an extremely low put/call ratio along with other bullish sentiment extremes. The newsletter stated that 'the message conveyed by the composite bullishness is unmistakably bearish. Once prices start to fall and investors get afraid of incurring losses, the only option is to sell (due to the low put/call ratio). Selling, results in more selling. This negative feedback loop usually results in rapidly falling prices.' Prices did fall rapidly. The 22 trading days following the April 26 high, erased eight months worth of gains. It took a 17% drop for the SMA crossover to trigger a sell signal. When the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter issued a strong buy signal on March 2, 2009, it emphasized that the developing rally would be a counter trend rally followed by a steep decline and maintained this viewpoint even though prices kept rallying relentlessly into the April highs. The SMA crossover now expresses the possibility that even lower prices are ahead. 200 and 50-day SMA Crossovers - How Accurate? How about the SMA crossover track record? Over the past 10 years, there have been nine S&P SMA crossovers with five sell and four buy signals. We have yet to see the results of the most recent sell signal. However, of the eight previous signals, six were correct. Average gains following each signal were 14.91%. $10,000 invested according to the buy/sell recommendations given right after the first sell signal was triggered on October 30, 2000 at S&P 1,399, would be worth $24,769 today. More Than just Crossovers If it sounds too good to be true, it often is. As is the case with so many technical indicators, crossovers need to be viewed in context with other indicators. In other words, take a step back and evaluate how crossovers fit into the larger picture. The larger picture (going back to 2007) reveals that trading volume associated with market declines has been generally high, while trading volume seen during rallies has been generally low; a bearish sign. Does Wednesday's 3.13% Rally Invalidate the Sell Signal? On Wednesday, the S&P rallied 32 points or 3.13%. The Dow rallied 2.82%, while the Nasdaq rallied 3.13%. Does this mean the bull market is back on track?Since the April market top, we've seen about a handful of 2-3% bounces. All associated gains were erased within a matter of days. Chances are this time will be the same. In fact, some sort of bounce was to be expected. On July 5, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter stated 'considering that the S&P is butting against the 100-week SMA, lower accelerations band, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels, round number resistance at 1,000, and weekly s1 at 994, there is a good chance we will see some sort of a bounce develop from the 990 - 1,015 area. Weekly r1 at 1,066 and pivot at 1,063 should serve as resistance.' This bounce is in its later stages right now. What's Next? Let's revisit the larger picture. Out of the nine leading industry sectors, seven have seen their 50-day SMA cross below the 200-day SMA - financials (NYSEArca: XLF - News), technology (NYSEArca: XLK - News), consumer staples (NYSEArca: XLP - News), materials (NYSEArca: XLB - News), utilities (NYSEArca: XLU - News), energy (NYSEArca: XLE - News) and healthcare (NYSEArca: XLV - News). The consumer discretionary (NYSEArca: XLY - News) and industrial sector (NYSEArca: XLI - News) are the only holdouts. All nine sectors, however, trade below their 200-day SMA. Fundamentals, sentiment readings and valuations also point south. Some of the fundamentals we have discussed in these pages are crafty accounting practices designed to hide huge losses racked up by big financial institutions not yet realized along with a continually bad unemployment picture. Sentiment surrounding the April highs recorded extremes not seen since the 2000, 2007, and even 1987 market top. There are multiple sentiment measures (such as the VIX, cash allocation, put/call ratio, percentage of bullish/bearish advisors, mutual fund cash levels, etc.). Each sentiment measure is one piece of the puzzle. The more pieces of the puzzle you have, the clearer the picture becomes. Leading up to the April highs, nearly all sentiment indicators peaked, painting a complete bearish picture. In summary, the bearish picture is confirmed by technical indicators, a fundamental outlook, sentiment gauges, and valuations. Based on what the market considered fair market valuations at prior historic market bottoms, one can conclude how far stocks have to drop to reach the previously attained level of fair valuations. The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter includes a detailed analysis of four valuation metrics with a track record of accuracy, along with the implied target range for an ultimate market bottom. This is provided in addition to its short, mid and long-term forecast. When the market speaks, it behooves investors to listen. Fighting the tape has often proven to be foolish, as the market will always have the final word.

A Market Forecast That Says ‘Take Cover’  New York Times | We have entered a market decline of staggering proportions — perhaps the biggest of the last 300 years.    

Commercial Real Estate Loans Extend and Pretend ‘…Courtesy of Thomson / Reuters  Commercial Real Estate Loans Extend and Pretend Community banks have commercial real estate loans where the borrower cannot make scheduled interest and principle payments. More than 50% of all FDIC-insured institutions have loan pipelines that are 80% to 100% funded. This is a measure of how banks are stuck with noncurrent assets, but they are not classified that way. Instead, community banks are giving borrowers more time to make their payments on the theory that its better to collect zero on some loans rather than owning the real estate that collateralizes those loans. This concept is dubbed extend and pretend hoping that the borrower will eventual pay the loan back. Banks in this practice are known as Zombie Banks as they cant lend, cant lure in new investors, and wait for the FDIC to knock on their doors on Friday afternoon. This strategy includes stretching out loan maturities and allowing below-market interest rates to slow the number of defaults and preserving the capital of banks that would be expended if property had to become Other Real Estate Owned. As a result Loans 30 to 89 Days in Arrears and Noncurrent loans are not growing as fast as they should be. The net result of these practices masks the true toxicity of the Commercial Real Estate market. Its not just the small banks that are employing extend and pretend tactics. I read that the Bank of America (BAC) has extended a large real estate loan in Buckhead, Georgia the high-class area north of Atlanta. The loan finances the development of a high-end shopping and residential project in 2007 and now three years later the cranes are silent and the project is fenced in. The banking regulators are helping the banks by allowing the lenders several ways to restructure loans. While doing so the banks are allowed to keep these loans as performing even with collateral values below the loan amounts. Extend and pretend is also known as kicking the can down the road. It seems to me that we have wasted billions if not trillions in stimulus money and bank bailouts when this money could have been used to actually fund the completion of these projects. Such a plan would have cost tax payers much less and would have kept Americans working on Main Street USA, as finishing incompleted real estate projects are clearly shovel ready projects. According to Foresight Analytics banks hold $176 billion of CRE loans that could be declared toxic. This is the tip of the iceberg as the FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile shows $1.09 trillion in nonfarm nonresidential real estate loans and $418 billion in Construction & Development loans on the books of our nations banks. About two-thirds of the CRE loans are maturing between now and 2014, and are underwater. Commercial real estate property values are down 42% from the October 2007 peak. At the end of the first quarter 9.1% are delinquent up from 7% a year earlier. Bankers justify extend and pretend saying that its better than calling the loan and dumping more property on a depressed market. We need a stronger economy to entice new investors to resurrect projects and to find new demand for competed offices, hotels, condos etc which are the finished products of completed CRE projects. Without a strong economic recovery these loans will eventually have to be written off down the road. The problem is that while these loans are on hold banks cant justify new loans, which would be the engine of economic growth. And the beat goes on. Disclosure: No positions

Light Volume Temptations: Dave's Daily  ‘Volume still matters, doesn't it? It seems not as the financial media ignores our light volume market in favor of writing bullish headlines. With hedge funds mostly sidelined according to reports posted here yesterday, the primary buyers must be trading desks on Wall Street and a handful of algo traders. It's tempting to come off the sidelines and join the fun but perhaps it's just the trap they're laying for you. A headline at Reuters read this afternoon: "Weaker Economic Views Equals Stronger 3-Year Note Sale". So, if equity markets are forward-looking one must wonder what these few buyers are seeing beyond a short-term trade. Headline writers say its strong earnings growth that will prop markets coupled with rosy outlooks. That would have to be the case otherwise this is just a sucker's rally. As stated, volume was holiday-like light (40% below average) making it really easy for the machines to take over trading, and so they did ... ‘


Academics, Politicians: Pending Global Treaty Threatens Free Internet, Fundamental Rights  Steve Watson | ACTA: Flagship of the growing internet censorship armada.        Two Stories that Should Scare the Heck Out of You  Greg Hunter |  I was sitting here trying to find a way to wrap up the week and then, like a bolt of lightning, an idea hit me.Gold expert Jim Sinclair sent me this story:
Federal Budget Deficit Hits $1 Trillion For 1st 9 Months Of FY10. The story said, The shortfall, reflecting $2.6 trillion in outlays for the first three quarters and $1.6 trillion in receipts, narrowed slightly compared with the same point in fiscal 2009. So where did the shortfall come from?  Try the more that 8 million who lost their jobs.  The story went on to say, . . . individual income and payroll tax receipts were down 4% over the nine-month period, suggesting that wages and salaries have not improved to the extent that corporate profits have. Corporate profits have improved because they laid-off all those workers!!  (Click here for the entire Dow Jones Newswires story) Sinclair says, Nothing has changed. Nothing has been rescued. The can that is being kicked daily down the path is going to turn around and bite the kickers. Gold is the only insurance. When things get bad enough, there will be more stimulus cash put into the economy and more bank bailouts.  Sinclair is like legendary football quarterback Joe Montananever bet against either of them.      Academics, Politicians: Pending Global Treaty Threatens Free Internet, Fundamental Rights Over 90 academics, practitioners and public interest organizations from six continents have collectively warned that a secretive global treaty, currently being negotiated by governments of the worlds largest economies would see tight controls placed on the internet and would threaten other fundamental rights and freedoms.       

Economists, Financial Experts: U.S. Is Trapped In 1932 Size Depression  Following Nobel Laureate Paul Krugmans declaration last week that the U.S. is in entering a third period of great depression, more and more economists are following suit, comparing the scale of the crisis to that of the early 1930s.     

Ahmadinejad brands US worlds dictator ahead of summit

David Icke onTV: Humanitys Last Chance  Infowars.com | Alex talks with writer, public speaker, and former well-known BBC television sports presenter David Icke.      As the United States Collapses, Media Worships LeBron James  Infowars gives the inside scoop on basketball MVP LeBron James pivotal trade decision.       America Is In A Societal Meltdown  Chuck Baldwin | America is in the midst of a complete and total spiritual, societal, cultural, moral, and political meltdown.       Obama Selects General Who Likes Killing Muslims to Centcom  Kurt Nimmo | Gen. Mattis has the same habit of speaking his mind as McCrystal.

The Lights Are Going Out For Free Speech On The Internet  Type the keywords
Internet censorship into Google News and you will immediately understand to what degree the world wide web is under assault from attempts by governments globally to regulate and stifle free speech. From Australia to Belarus, from Turkey to Vietnam, from Pakistan to Egypt, from Afghanistan to Iran, huge chunks of the Internet are going dark as the Chinese model of Internet regulation is adopted worldwide. [Has everybody lost their minds? Referring to the china model as something to be emulated. Its true they are more productive than america, generally, but their business model is almost prehistoric and the direct consequence of the great american sell-out for money (the pass through or direct) by those whove pledged otherwise (walmart, congress, clinton, bush, wobama, etc.). Even some of their simplest products are junk (but priced incredibly low to make the relative value) and seem to have adopted that GM strategy of planned obsolescence, breakdown, etc., to spur sales. Then theres the communist faux capitalism paradox, suppression, oppression, etc., which has even the defacto bankrupt, pervasively corrupt, fallen america blindly following. Quite simply, their ancient business model is slave labor. As for Iran, they are a relatively small nation under collective siege.]       

US taxpayers Afghan aid money buys rich Afghans Dubai villas  You already might have heard that it costs the United States $1 million for each solider per year in Afghanistan, to cover the cost of the soldiers benefits, troop transports and other materiel.     Billions of dollars secreted out of Kabul  Spiegel Online | Billions of dollars are being secreted out of Kabul to help well-connected Afghans buy luxury villas in Dubai and then there are the american recipients who are a bit more careful with their stash.

DRUDGEREPORT: PAPER: Optimism on hold; Recovery economy falters...

USA marks 3rd-largest, single-day debt increase...
Deficit hits $1 trillion in June for second year...
IMF presses US to cut debt...
NSA INTERNET GRAB; SPY AGENCY SHIFTS TO DOMESTIC EAVESDROPPING...

CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...
RESET: Russia slams Clinton for 'groundless' comments...
Mortgage Delinquencies Rising Again as Home Prices Stay Flat...

Roubini: Banks Too Big to Fail, Too Big to Bail Out...
COOKED APPLE: 103...
UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...

US v. AZ...

The New Civil Wars Within the West  Gregory R. Copley | Internecine civil wars are underway almost everywhere within the West, and most virulently in the United States of America.     On Why Americas 234th Birthday May Not Have Many More To Follow  Zero Hedge | It is my firm belief that we have come to the end of the road for the financial system.

Iran says planes denied fuel in Germany, UK, UAE  Reuters | The claim could not be independently confirmed and was met abroad by skepticism. [Europe really fell fast. They make Christians look like the dumbest people in the world, along with the likes of ie., UAE if true (and defacto bankrupt america). After all, this all for israel mantra is contraindicated inasmuch as the hebrews deny the very foundation of the Christian religion and indeed were behind his crucifixion].

DRUDGEREPORT: Evans-Pritchard: It's Really Starting to Feel Like 1932 [Depression] ...
Dow Repeats Great Depression Pattern...

Investors fear risk of regional defaults...
Obama: 'The great jobs killer'...
Turkey, a leader of nations, wants war criminal israel apology, israel rejects demand ...

Threat 'to sever ties'...

Dollar Plunges After UN Call To Ditch Greenback  U.S. economy enters total freefall as double-dip recession looms.

China's Stocks Fall to 15-Month Low on Economy, Profit Outlook  China's housing prices to fall, official says

Banks are Still at the Derivatives Casino (at Seeking Alpha)        [video] Washington's Bungled Bank Bailout (at TheStreet.com)        ECRI Weekly Leading Index Growth Lowest in 13 Months        Be on the Right Side of S&P Earnings Estimate Cuts        

Inventory Cycle Has Run Its Course  Harrison ‘… This is the scenario I have been predicting for months now.

  • Double Dip Recession and the Obama 2011 Budget (February 2010): The long and short is that – come Summer – the inventory cycle’s thrust will have dissipated. And if companies are not hiring by this time and consumer spending is not increasing more robustly, then the state budgets, the strategic defaults and all of the rest of that becomes a serious obstacle. In my view, more likely than not, this will lead to another recession late in 2010 or in 2011. And nothing in the President’s budget changes this outlook.
  • The mindset will not change; a depressionary relapse may be coming (March 2010): the inventory cycle’s impact on GDP growth will attenuate. By the second half of 2010, inventories will not add considerably to GDP.
  • US GDP growth rate is unsustainable; recovery will fade (April 2010): The inventory cycle is already starting to fade. That means weak 1 or 2% growth at best by Q4 2010. Unless job growth picks up tremendously by the second half of the year, this recovery is in trouble.

David Rosenberg says the ISM leads jobs. And, the latest jobs numbers were weak.

I would be nonplused about the recent ISM data if it werent for the column highlighted in red. Notice how the momentum for everything is slowing. Not just the overall index, but new orders, production and employment …’

U.S. Economy Is a Complete Disaster  Yahoo! Finance | The U.S. economy is in shambles and Americans will continue to see high unemployment and lower living standards in the years to come.      America is sinking under Obamas towering debt  I hope the White House is paying attention to the latest annual Congressional Budget Office Long-Term Budget Outlook, which offers a truly frightening picture of the scale of Americas national debt, with huge implications for the countrys future prosperity.       7.9 million jobs lost, many forever  CNNMoney | The recession killed off 7.9 million jobs. Its increasingly likely that many will never come back.

50 Random Facts That Make You Wonder What In The World Has Happened To America The Economic Collapse | For those who still love this land (and there are a lot of us) it is heartbreaking to watch America slowly die.      BP, Homeland Security, and Cops Work Together to Deny First Amendment  Kurt Nimmo | BP, Homeland Security, the FBIs Joint Terrorism Task Force, and local cops will now decide if it is acceptable for journalists to take photographs.      Will G20 Police Succeed In Covering Up Reports of Rape and Torture?  Infowars.com | Can authorities be allowed to cover-up the Abu-Ghraib style incarceration methods Toronto police engaged in during the G20 summit this past weekend, where women were arrested and subsequently raped by male cops?       Emergency S.O.S.: America Falling to Foreign Bank Takeover Fourth of July  Alex Jones breaks down the takeover by offshore banking powers newly empowered by Congress banking reform, expanded taxes worldwide, as well as accelerated moves towards ending the Dollars reserve status, including urging from a recent United Nations report.        More than one-quarter dont know who US gained independence from  Every Fourth of July, Americans gather to celebrate the countrys declaration of independence from um, what country was that again?

DRUDGEREPORT: TORN ON FOURTH OF JULY: OBAMA DIVIDES NATION...
Great Republic in parlous state -- politically, economically...

YEAR 9: Petraeus in Afghanistan warns of tough mission...
'We are in this to win' … Win what? The fact of america’s defacto bankruptcy and being there IS failure no matter what they ultimately call this debacle ...
Illinois Stops Paying Its Bills...

Facing 'outright disaster' amid budget crisis...

Turn On, Tune In...Nah, Just Drop Out   Discouraged workers at a new cycle high And small wonder. The median unemployment duration went to a new all-time high (since the 1940s, anyway, when that series begins) and shows no signs of slowing its ascent (Chart, source Bloomberg)

YEAR 9: Petraeus in Afghanistan warns of tough mission … What mission? What plan?.What strategy? National bankruptcy?… Mission accomplished! ...

NY Times’ Krugman: We Are Entering The Third Depression  Recessions are common; depressions are rare. [Correction: we’re already in a depression].

JUNE UNEMPLOYMENT 9.5%... 125,000 JOBS LOST...
Rate dips as 652,000 give up search...
Depressing... [That’s why they’re called depressions (just kidding … but no laughing matter) …  At this rate, with all those lost jobs and jobseekers no longer seeking those lost jobs that aren’t there, by their calculations (9.5% the bright spot … riiiiight!) we should be at full employment very soon … you can’t make this stuff up … really!].

Ron Paul: 114 Flip Flop on Audit The Fed Causing Bill to Fail 229 – 198 Ron Paul’s attempt to audit the Federal Reserve, which was previously co-sponsored by 320 members of the House (HR 1207), failed by a vote of 229-198. All Republicans voted in favor of the measure with 23 Democrats crossing the aisle to vote with Republicans. 122 co-sponsors of HR 1207, all Democrats, jumped ship and voted against the measure.     The Future of Audit the Fed  Congressman Ron Paul discusses the latest in the efforts to get a full and complete audit of the Fed as well as the future of Fed transparency. Like Congressman Paul says, we’ve accomplished a lot of good with our movement, and there’s many reasons to be optimistic for the future.     Ditch the Buck! Dollar demise ‘a matter of months’  A report by the United Nations says the American dollar should be ditched as the main global reserve currency. It said that the global financial meltdown has exposed systematic weaknesses, one of which is the reliance on the greenback.      G-20 is Relying on China To Drive the World Economy … But China Isn’t Looking So Hot  The G-20 is apparently relying on China to drive the world economy.

Middle class families face a triple whammy  Edmund Conway | Falling pensions, cuts and the banking crisis will impoverish many families.

GOP chairman: Afghan 'war of Obama's choosing' (AP)  - Republican chairman Michael Steele drew criticism from within his own party Friday, including calls to resign, after saying the 9-year-old commitment of U.S. troops to Afghanistan was a mistaken ... [Steele is quite right and wobama and war facilitators deserve criticism; not Steele.]       Pelosi: Unemployment Checks Fastest Way to Create Jobs  It creates jobs faster than almost any other initiative you can name. [pelosis so in over her head, burnt out, borderline senile, etc.]       Seventy million expired flu vaccines about to be incinerated as waste  [government / corporate welfare / fraud] Forty million doses of H1N1 swine flu vaccine are about to go up in flames, and another 30 million will soon meet the same fate. Theyve expired, you see, and despite the CDCs best efforts to push flu vaccines on the american people, the industry still couldnt find a way to offload seventy million doses of a vaccine that doesnt even work.

Israel Suspected in Bogus Claim Iran Developing Nuclear Trigger  Kurt Nimmo | The bogus claim prompted a new round of support for more aggressive U.S. and European sanctions against Iran.      Ron Paul: Audit The Fed Bill Fails After Former Co-Sponsors Flip-Flop | Ron Pauls attempt to audit the Federal Reserve failed, after more than 100 former co-sponsors of the bill jumped ship and voted against the measure.      Dollar Plunges After UN Call To Ditch Greenback  | U.S. economy enters total freefall.

50 Random Facts That Make You Wonder What In The World Has Happened To America   - The Economic Collapse July 2, 2010 Our world is changing at a pace that is so staggering these days that it can be really hard to fully grasp the significance of what we are witnessing.  Hopefully the collection of random facts below will help you to connect the dots just a little bit.  On one level, the facts below may not seem related.  However, what they all do have in common is that they show just how much the United States has fundamentally changed.  Do you ever just sit back and wonder what in the world has happened to America?  The truth is that the America that so many of us once loved so much has been shattered into a thousand pieces.  The land of the free and the home of the brave has been transformed into a socialized Big Brother nanny state that is oozing with corruption and has accumulated the biggest mountain of debt in the history of the world.  The greatest economic machine that the world has ever seen is falling apart before our very eyes, and even when our politicians actually try to do something right (which is quite rare) the end result is still a bunch of garbage.  For those who still love this land (and there are a lot of us) it is heartbreaking to watch America slowly die. 

The following are 50 random facts that show just how dramatically america has changed.

#50) A new report released by the United Nations is publicly calling for the establishment of a world currency and none of the major news networks are even covering it.
#49) Arnold Schwarzenegger has ordered California State Controller John Chiang to reduce state worker pay for July to the federal minimum allowed by law
$7.25 an hour for most state workers.
#48) A police officer in Oklahoma recently tasered an 86-year-old disabled grandma in her bed and stepped on her oxygen hose until she couldn
t breathe because they considered her to be a threat.
#47) In early 2009, U.S. net national savings as a percentage of GDP went negative for the first time since 1952, and it has continued its downward trend since then.
#46) Corexit 9500 is so incredibly toxic that the UK
s Marine Management Organization has completely banned it, so if there was a major oil spill in the North Sea, BP would not be able to use it.  And yet BP has dumped over a million gallons of dispersants such as Corexit 9500 into the Gulf of Mexico.
#45) For the first time in U.S. history, more than 40 million Americans are on food stamps, and the U.S. Department of Agriculture projects that number will go up to 43 million Americans in 2011.
#44) It has come out that one employee used a Federal Emergency Management Agency credit card to buy $4,318 in Happy Birthday gift cards.  Two other FEMA officials charged the cost of 360 golf umbrellas ($9,000) to the taxpayers.
#43) Researchers at the State University of New York at Buffalo received $389,000 from the U.S. government to pay 100 residents of Buffalo $45 each to record how much malt liquor they drink and how much pot they smoke each day.
#42) The average duration of unemployment in the United States has risen to an all-time high.
#41) The bottom 40 percent of all income earners in the United States now collectively own less than 1 percent of the nation
s wealth.
#40) In the U.S., the average federal worker now earns about twice as much as the average worker in the private sector.
#39) Back in 1950 each retiree
s Social Security benefit was paid for by 16 workers.  Today, each retirees Social Security benefit is paid for by approximately 3.3 workers.  By 2025 it is projected that there will be approximately two workers for each retiree.
#38) According to a U.S. Treasury Department report to Congress, the U.S. national debt will top $13.6 trillion this year and climb to an estimated $19.6 trillion by 2015.
#37) The federal government actually has the gall to ask for online donations that will supposedly go towards paying off the national debt.
#36) The Cactus Bug Project at the University Of Florida was allocated $325,394 in economic stimulus funds to study the mating decisions of cactus bugs.
#35) A dinner cruise company in Chicago got nearly $1 million in economic stimulus funds to combat terrorism.
#34) It is being reported that a 6-year-old girl from Ohio is on the
no fly list maintained by U.S. Homeland Security.
#33) During the first quarter of 2010, the total number of loans that are at least three months past due in the United States increased for the 16th consecutive quarter.
#32) According to a new report, Americans spend twice as much as residents of other developed countries on healthcare, but get lower quality and far less efficiency.
#31) Some experts are warning that the cost of bailing out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could reach as high as $1 trillion.
#30) The FDA has announced that the offspring of cloned animals could be in our food supply right now and that there is nothing that they can do about it.
#29) In May, sales of new homes in the United States dropped to the lowest level ever recorded.
#28) In 1950, the ratio of the average executive
s paycheck to the average workers paycheck was about 30 to 1.  Since the year 2000, that ratio has ranged between 300 to 500 to one.
#27) Federal border officials recently said that Mexican drug cartels have not only set up shop on American soil, they are actually maintaining lookout bases in strategic locations in the hills of southern Arizona.
#26) The U.S. government has declared some parts of Arizona off limits to U.S. citizens because of the threat of violence from Mexican drug smugglers.
#25) According to the credit card repayment calculator, if you owe $6000 on a credit card with a 20 percent interest rate and only pay the minimum payment each time, it will take you 54 years to pay off that credit card.  During those 54 years you will pay $26,168 in interest rate charges in addition to the $6000 in principal that you are required to pay back.
#24) According to prepared testimony by Goldman Sachs Chief Operating Officer Gary Cohn, Goldman Sachs shorted roughly $615 million of the collateralized debt obligations and residential mortgage-backed securities the firm underwrote since late 2006.
#23) The six biggest banks in the United States now possess assets equivalent to 60 percent of America
s gross national product.
#22) Four of the biggest U.S. banks (Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Citigroup) had a
perfect quarter with zero days of trading losses during the first quarter of 2010.
#21) 1.41 million Americans filed for personal bankruptcy in 2009
a 32 percent increase over 2008.
#20) BP has hired private security contractors to keep the American people away from oil cleanup sites and nobody seems to care.
#19) Barack Obama is calling for a civilian expeditionary force to be sent to Afghanistan and Iraq to help overburdened military troops build infrastructure.
#18) On June 18th, two Christians decided that they would peacefully pass out copies of the gospel of John on a public sidewalk outside a public Arab festival in Dearborn, Michigan and within 3 minutes 8 policemen surrounded them and placed them under arrest.
#17) It is being reported that sales of foreclosed homes in Florida made up nearly 40 percent of all home purchases in the first part of this year.
#16) During a recent interview with Larry King, former first lady Laura Bush revealed to the world that she is actually in favor of legalized gay marriage and a woman
s right to abortion.
#15) Scientists at Columbia University are warning that the dose of radiation from the new full body security scanners going into airports all over the United States could be up to 20 times higher than originally estimated.
#14) 43 percent of Americans have less than $10,000 saved for retirement.
#13) The FDIC
s deposit insurance fund now has negative 20.7 billion dollars in it, which represents a slight improvement from the end of 2009.
#12) The judge that BP is pushing for to hear an estimated 200 lawsuits on the Gulf of Mexico oil disaster gets tens of thousands of dollars a year in oil royalties and is paid travel expenses to industry conferences.
#11) In recent years the U.S. government has spent $2.6 million tax dollars to study the drinking habits of Chinese prostitutes and $400,000 tax dollars to pay researchers to cruise six bars in Buenos Aires, Argentina to find out why gay men engage in risky sexual behavior when drunk.
#10) U.S. officials say that more than three billion dollars in cash (much of it aid money paid for by U.S. taxpayers) has been stolen by corrupt officials in Afghanistan and flown out of Kabul International Airport in recent years.
#9) According to a report by the U.S. Department of Transportation
s Bureau of Transportation Statistics, the baggage check fees collected by U.S. airlines shot up 33% in the first quarter of 2010 to $769 million.
#8) Three California high school students are fighting for their right to show their American patriotism - even on a Mexican holiday - after they were forced to remove their American flag T-shirts on Cinco de Mayo.
#7) Right now, interest on the U.S. national debt and spending on entitlement programs like Social Security and Medicare are somewhere in the neighborhood of 10 to 15 percent of GDP.  By 2080, they are projected to eat up approximately 50 percent of GDP.
#6) The total of all government, corporate and consumer debt in the United States is now about 360 percent of GDP.
#5) A 6-year-old girl was recently handcuffed and sent to a mental facility after throwing temper tantrums at her elementary school.
#4) In Florida, students have been arrested by police for things as simple as bringing a plastic butter knife to school, throwing an eraser, and drawing a picture of a gun.
#3) School officials in one town in Massachusetts are refusing to allow students to recite the Pledge of Allegiance.
#2) According to one new study, approximately 21 percent of children in the United States are living below the poverty line in 2010.
#1) Since 1973, more than 50 million babies have been murdered in abortion facilities across the United States.

Fed Made Taxpayers Unwitting Junk-Bond Buyers  Bloomberg | So-called assets included collateralized debt obligations and mortgage-backed bonds.     Dollar Plunges After UN Call To Ditch Greenback The dollar plunged today following a United Nations report which called for the greenback to be replaced as the global reserve currency by the International Monetary Funds special drawing rights (SDRs).       National debt soars to highest level since WWII  The federal debt will represent 62% of the nations economy by the end of this year.      Dollar should be replaced as international standard, U.N. report says  CNN | The dollar is an unreliable international currency and should be replaced by a more stable system, the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs said.       Double Dip Picking Up: Jobless Claims Spike To 472,000, On Expectations Of 455,000  Jobless claims were a disaster, coming in at 472k, on expectations of 455k. Prior was revised, surprise, surprise, higher to 459k from 457k. What is scariest is that between extended benefits and EUC, now that Congress has turned off the perpetual insurance spigot for the unemployed, dropped by -158,155 and -217,513.Jobless Recovery Myth as Banksters RAPE and ENSLAVE the Public! GET OFF YOUR KNEES!  Were told that this will be a jobless recovery with further job losses expected before things get better. Well, if you believe that nonsense Ive got a fantastic sundrenched beach on the growing ice packs of Antarctica to sell you. How on earth can there be anything called a jobless recovery? The simple answer is that there cant!      Study: US media redefined torture after US started practicing it  The US news media radically changed how it reported on the issue of waterboarding after it emerged that US forces had used the practice, says a new study from Harvard University.      The Toronto G20 Riot Fraud: Undercover Police engaged in Purposeful Provocation  Toronto is right now in the midst of a massive government / media propaganda fraud. As events unfold, it is becoming increasingly clear that the Black Bloc are undercover police operatives engaged in purposeful provocations to eclipse and invalidate legitimate G20 citizen protest by starting a riot. Government agents have been caught doing this before in Canada.

Obama Calls for Pentagon Civilian Component  [Wow! Sounds like a plan riiiiight!] Kurt Nimmo | Obama wants to send civilians to the occupation zones in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Drudgereport: JUNE UNEMPLOYMENT 9.5%... 125,000 JOBS LOST...
Rate dips as 652,000 give up search...
Depressing... [That’s why they’re called depressions (just kidding … but no laughing matter) …  At this rate, with all those lost jobs and jobseekers no longer seeking those lost jobs that aren’t there, by their calculations (9.5% the bright spot … riiiiight!) we should be at full employment very soon … you can’t make this stuff up … really!].

New jobless claims rise [again]...
'Surprise'...
Pending home sales plunge record 30%...

Weak economic data suggest 'recovery' fizzling...
Fears mount over slowing global demand...

UN committee calls for dumping US dollar...

YEAR 9: Petraeus in Afghanistan warns of tough mission … What mission? What plan?.What strategy? National bankruptcy?… Mission accomplished! ...

Six Months to Go Until the Largest Tax Hikes in History...

SIX MONTHS TO GO UNTIL
THE LARGEST TAX HIKES IN HISTORY

From Ryan Ellis on Thursday, July 1, 2010 4:15 PM


Read more: http://www.atr.org/six-months-untilbr-largest-tax-hikes-a5171##ixzz0sVN5aBH3

In just six months, the largest tax hikes in the history of America will take effect.  They will hit families and small businesses in three great waves on January 1, 2011:

First Wave: Expiration of 2001 and 2003 Tax Relief

In 2001 and 2003, the GOP Congress enacted several tax cuts for investors, small business owners, and families.  These will all expire on January 1, 2011:

Personal income tax rates will rise.  The top income tax rate will rise from 35 to 39.6 percent (this is also the rate at which two-thirds of small business profits are taxed).  The lowest rate will rise from 10 to 15 percent.  All the rates in between will also rise.  Itemized deductions and personal exemptions will again phase out, which has the same mathematical effect as higher marginal tax rates.  The full list of marginal rate hikes is below:

- The 10% bracket rises to an expanded 15%
- The 25% bracket rises to 28%
- The 28% bracket rises to 31%
- The 33% bracket rises to 36%
- The 35% bracket rises to 39.6%

Higher taxes on marriage and family.  The “marriage penalty” (narrower tax brackets for married couples) will return from the first dollar of income.  The child tax credit will be cut in half from $1000 to $500 per child.  The standard deduction will no longer be doubled for married couples relative to the single level.  The dependent care and adoption tax credits will be cut.

The return of the Death Tax.  This year, there is no death tax.  For those dying on or after January 1 2011, there is a 55 percent top death tax rate on estates over $1 million.  A person leaving behind two homes and a retirement account could easily pass along a death tax bill to their loved ones.

Higher tax rates on savers and investors.  The capital gains tax will rise from 15 percent this year to 20 percent in 2011.  The dividends tax will rise from 15 percent this year to 39.6 percent in 2011.  These rates will rise another 3.8 percent in 2013.

Second Wave: Obamacare

There are over twenty new or higher taxes in Obamacare.  Several will first go into effect on January 1, 2011.  They include:

The “Medicine Cabinet Tax”  Thanks to Obamacare, Americans will no longer be able to use health savings account (HSA), flexible spending account (FSA), or health reimbursement (HRA) pre-tax dollars to purchase non-prescription, over-the-counter medicines (except insulin).

The “Special Needs Kids Tax”  This provision of Obamacare imposes a cap on flexible spending accounts (FSAs) of $2500 (Currently, there is no federal government limit).  There is one group of FSA owners for whom this new cap will be particularly cruel and onerous: parents of special needs children.  There are thousands of families with special needs children in the United States, and many of them use FSAs to pay for special needs education.  Tuition rates at one leading school that teaches special needs children in Washington, D.C. (National Child Research Center) can easily exceed $14,000 per year.  Under tax rules, FSA dollars can be used to pay for this type of special needs education.  

The HSA Withdrawal Tax Hike.  This provision of Obamacare increases the additional tax on non-medical early withdrawals from an HSA from 10 to 20 percent, disadvantaging them relative to IRAs and other tax-advantaged accounts, which remain at 10 percent.

Third Wave: The Alternative Minimum Tax and Employer Tax Hikes

When Americans prepare to file their tax returns in January of 2011, they’ll be in for a nasty surprise—the AMT won’t be held harmless, and many tax relief provisions will have expired.  The major items include:

The AMT will ensnare over 28 million families, up from 4 million last year.  According to the left-leaning Tax Policy Center, Congress’ failure to index the AMT will lead to an explosion of AMT taxpaying families—rising from 4 million last year to 28.5 million.  These families will have to calculate their tax burdens twice, and pay taxes at the higher level.  The AMT was created in 1969 to ensnare a handful of taxpayers.

Small business expensing will be slashed and 50% expensing will disappear.  Small businesses can normally expense (rather than slowly-deduct, or “depreciate”) equipment purchases up to $250,000.  This will be cut all the way down to $25,000.  Larger businesses can expense half of their purchases of equipment.  In January of 2011, all of it will have to be “depreciated.”

Taxes will be raised on all types of businesses.  There are literally scores of tax hikes on business that will take place.  The biggest is the loss of the “research and experimentation tax credit,” but there are many, many others.  Combining high marginal tax rates with the loss of this tax relief will cost jobs.

Tax Benefits for Education and Teaching Reduced.  The deduction for tuition and fees will not be available.  Tax credits for education will be limited.  Teachers will no longer be able to deduct classroom expenses.  Coverdell Education Savings Accounts will be cut.  Employer-provided educational assistance is curtailed.  The student loan interest deduction will be disallowed for hundreds of thousands of families.

Charitable Contributions from IRAs no longer allowed.  Under current law, a retired person with an IRA can contribute up to $100,000 per year directly to a charity from their IRA.  This contribution also counts toward an annual “required minimum distribution.”  This ability will no longer be there.


Read more: http://www.atr.org/six-months-untilbr-largest-tax-hikes-a5171##ixzz0sVMwYIhK

Investors get more gloomy & bearish  We just had a very difficult three month stretch for stocks.  The S&P 500 fell 12% for the quarter as did NASDAQ.  The Shanghai Composite, Chinas largest stock index, fell 22.9 in its local currency, the yuan.  The MSCI EAFE Index (foreign stocks) was down 14%. Given the negative news, it is not surprising that investors are becoming more bearish on stocks.  This chart from Bespoke is based on the weekly Investors Intelligence survey, which is getting close to levels from a year ago.  This is not close the peak we reached in early 2009, but the mood is definitely more negative now: [chart]

Double Dip on the Way There were many events contributing to yesterday’s sell-off, and the most likely culprits around the globe included more protests in Greece, continued to concerns about Europe at large, and a downward revision (due to a calculation error) of a leading economic indicator reading in China for the month of April. But when it comes down to it, our own economy has yet to stand on solid ground. While the recovery has continued to be shaky at best, recent economic readings may be pointing to a double dip recession. Yesterday’s batch of economic data seemed to be confirming that, as it brought a very dismal reading on consumer confidence. June’s number stood at 52.9, far below expectations of 62.5, and pointing to the consumers’ weariness about the job market, and economic recovery in general. To go further, the previous reading for May was revised downward, to 62.7 from 63.3. But the drop from May to June really sends the message home: we’re not out of the woods yet. Earlier in the week, we saw personal savings rates rise again, even while personal income growth was meager. Americans, despite bringing home a little more cash, continued to save more for the expected rainy days, and have yet to return to their spendthrift ways. After yesterday’s precipitous selling, one would expect to see a bit of a bounce in today’s trading session. That wasn’t the case, however, as more weak data continued to dampen economic hopes. Today’s culprit was the ADP private sector job report. The report stated that private payroll gains were muted in June, with only 13,000 jobs added – far less than the 60,000 expected by economists. While May’s reading was revised slightly upwards (to 57,000 hires from previously reported 55,000), today’s release does not bode well for the much anticipated report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics due out on Friday. The non-farms payroll survey includes government workers and has been inflated in recent months due to hiring for the 2010 Census … [chart] …The June report, however, will reflect many of those workers being laid off in the past month. In May, 431,000 jobs were added, but without support from temporary government hires, economists are predicting job losses in June. Last week, consensus estimates were for a loss of 70,000 jobs for the month. By yesterday, those estimates were downgraded further, to 110,000. With the help of today’s ADP report, expectations have continued to fall: economists now expect a reading of negative 125,000 …

 

 

Barron's: Why the Market Will Keep Sliding  Perry D- Barron's has a nice summary of what the future may hold in its "Up and Down Wall Street." It summarizes as well as anything I've read recently where we're likely headed. Bugging the (stock) market is the increasingly obvious disparity between what the Street's incorrigible cheerleaders see and prophesy and what's actually happening in the real world...The double dip in housing may or may not be a template of what's in store for the economy as a whole. But at the very least, it is a precursor of other serious disappointments destined to feed the unease among the jittery populace, which most emphatically includes investors.

It cites the predictions of SDK Captial's Dee Kessler:

--the massive fiscal and monetary stimulus so liberally applied in 2008-2009 is starting to run out of steam, with financial conditions tightening and leading economic indicators pointing to a stretch of "anemic activity."

--"structural headwinds," such as public and private deleveraging, higher taxes, greater regulation and trade tensions.

--the well-publicized woes of the European bloc, which accounts for 20% of the world's GDP, as further evidence that the global economy, as he puts it, is downshifting.

--The period of easy comparisons in corporate results, he says, is coming to a close,

--"Although the fundamentals in the U.S., Europe and Japan are worse," Dee spots plenty of downside in emerging markets and doesn't fancy the notion of decoupling.

--Come another financial crisis, "the only policy response left will be to print money." Which, of course, is what the gold bugs are counting on and why bullion has glistened so brightly.

That about sums up the outlook. The nice insight here is that anxiety over future economic malaise -- and the additional money printing that'll be done to mask it -- might be a bigger factor than current inflationary pressure behind the surge in gold prices.

In other words, for the deflation-believers: deflation today? Perhaps. But big-time inflation tomorrow.

Disclosure: No positions

NY Times Krugman: We Are Entering The Third Depression  Recessions are common; depressions are rare. [Correction: were already in a depression].

Stocks: Once More Up, Then the Big Down  Smith -The ingredients for a classic head and shoulders topping pattern in the stock market are all present. That suggests one more rise and then a massive grinding move down to 2009 lows. Officially, of course, everything's peachy with the economy. Europe is fixed, China is booming, consumer confidence is rising, and we are encouraged to resume our borrow and spend ways as the economy will not "double-dip" into recession. The economy will not slide into another recession, we are reassured constantly, even though roughly 80% of Americans don't think we ever left the recessionary quicksand.  Please see "Two Scoop Special": Double-Dip Recession Guaranteed (May 21, 2010) for more Exactly what drivers are there for future gains in corporate profits? I can't think of any, short of Martians landing and going on a shopping spree with gold they manufacture in their spacecraft. On the negative side, we have:

1. The rising dollar is a huge headwind to sales in the eurozone and elsewhere.
2. The low-hanging fruit of pushing the workforce to produce more output for the same salary/wages have all been picked.
3. The inventory build-out is done for everything but the iPhone 4 and iPad.
4. So-called "fiscal austerity" (when did living within one's means become some sort of brutual "austerity"? Talk abour propaganda!) in the eurozone and U.S. states will remove tens of billions of dollars from corporate sales.
5. Global overcapacity is alive and well. There is overcapacity in everything manufactured except the iPhone 4, and that will be in glut by 2011 as well.
6. Uncle Sam is not distributing trillions of dollars quite as freely. There seems to be some glimmer of awareness that there could be consequences of squandering trillions of borrowed dollars on essentially worthless projects such as occupying Iraq, inflating the housing market by socializing the entire mortgage market, propping up Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and FHA, etc.
7. Housing is rolling over now that the socialized mortgage market has been tentatively allowed to go off life-support (it is wheezing and turning blue in the face, not signs of vibrant health).
8. There is no pricing power anywhere once stimulus-goosed demand declines to organic demand (flat to down)

Inflation, Deflation or Hyperinflation? (Part 2) (There are charts, but no matter what the scenario posited, this time the territory’s uncharted, and the debacle / crisis like no other owing to the advent of computerization will have enabled an obfuscating tool of unprecedented proportion [worthless paper, huge frauds as already extant], and a two-edged sword in the most negative sense prospectively)

GREECE UNDER NEWS BLACKOUT: Heres How An Eyewitness Describes Todays Riots There are reports this morning of violent protests/riots in Greece, once again. Heres how a source on the ground describes the situation.     Target Tehran? Israel, US prepare to attack Iran  Reports are circulating that the U.S is amassing a greater military presence in the Middle East. The alleged build up is also rumoured to involve the Israeli use of Saudi Arabian air space. Its thought by some to be in preparation for an attack on Iran.     Kucinich: We are losing our nation to lies about the necessity of war  In Afghanistan, corruption is rife. It is so abundant, in fact, that a senior US lawmaker declared on Monday that shed be freezing $3.9 billion in Afghan aid dollars until the situation is addressed.     Turkey bans Israeli military flight from its airspace as freeze deepens  Turkey has banned an Israeli military flight from its airspace in apparent retaliation for Israels interception of the Free Gaza flotilla last month, in which nine pro-Palestinian Turkish activists were killed.

Iran nuclear scientist Shahram Amiri 'flees US captors' BBC News - A man who says he is an Iranian nuclear scientist claims to have escaped after being abducted by US agents. In a video shown on Iranian state TV, he says he has escaped in the US state of Virginia and is now on the run.    Missing Iran scientist says he escaped US agents: report Reuters    Turkey Asks Iran to Return to Table Wall Street Journal

Momentum Book Update: The Market Is a Mess and the Long Bond Is About to Break Out  … Not only do us swing traders have to fight the urge to chase price action up, but lay off the keyboard trying to catch falling knives in the relative strength stocks which are holding up. If you tried to buy support in your favorite names this week, you got your hands cut up. Ill continue to rely on the understanding of my own emotions as they have served me well. When we opened higher on Monday morning I knew I was in the right place, cash, as the market was just way overbought. If you bought most relative strength names last week, by the end of this week you were well underwater. So where do we go from here? Ive got no clue, the market is a mess, the charts are a mess, and the long bond is about to break out. If that happens all bets are off, we could see an event. If the smart money is lining up at the exits and moving into bonds, theres a good chance they see something coming down the pipe …

SUITING UP FOR A POST-DOLLAR WORLD  John Browne ‘The global financial crisis is playing out like a slow-moving, highly predicable stage play. In the current scene, Western governments are caught between the demands of entitled welfare beneficiaries and the anxiety of bondholders who fear they will be stuck with the bill. As the crisis reaches an apex, prime ministers and presidents are forced into a Sophie's choice between social unrest and bankruptcy. But with the "Club Med" economies set to fall like dominoes, the US Treasury market is not yet acting the role we would have anticipated. Our argument has always been that the US benefits from its reserve-currency status, allowing it to accumulate unsustainable debts for an unusually long period without the immediate repercussions of inflation or higher borrowing costs. But this false sense of security may be setting us up for a truly monumental crash. There is fresh evidence that time is running out for the dollar-centric global monetary order. In fact, central banks outside the US are already making swift and discrete preparation for a post-dollar era.To begin, the People's Bank of China has just this week decided to permit a wider trading range between the yuan and the dollar. This is the first step toward ending the infernal yuan-dollar peg. While the impetus behind this abrupt change remains a mystery, I have a sneaking suspicion that, as my colleague Neeraj Chaudhary explained in his commentary last week, the nationwide labor strikes were a prime motivator. In response to the 2008 credit crunch, the Fed printed so many dollars that the People's Bank of China was forced to drive Chinese inflation into double digits to maintain the peg. The pain has fallen on China's workers, who have seen their wages stagnate while prices for everything from milk to apartments have skyrocketed. This week's move indicates that, regardless of its own policy motives, the Communist Party can no longer afford to keep pace with the dollar's devaluation. The result will be a shift in wealth from America to China, which may trigger a long-anticipated run on the dollar, while creating investment opportunities in China. Just days before China's announcement, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev rattled his monetary sabre by telling the press of his intention to lead the world toward a new monetary order based on a broad basket of currencies. Giving strength to his claim, the Central Bank of Russia announced that it would be adding Canadian and Australian dollars to its reserves for the first time. Analysts suggest that the IMF may follow suit. While Russia floats in the limbo between hopeless kleptocracy and emerging economy, it does possess vast natural resources and a toe-hold in both Europe and Asia. In other words, it will be a strategically important partner for China as it tries to cast off dollar hegemony. Speaking of Europe, the major powers there are moving toward a post-dollar world by rejecting President Obama's calls to jump on America's debt grenade. The prescriptions coming from Washington translate loosely to: our airship is on fire, so why don't you light a candle under yours so that we may crash and burn together. Given that dollar strength is largely seen as a function of euro weakness (as Andrew Schiff discussed in our most recent newsletter, debt troubles in the eurozone's fringe economies have created a distorted confidence in the greenback. However, as you might imagine, Europe has higher priorities than being America's fall guy. Led by an ever-bolder Germany, the European states are wisely choosing not to throw themselves on our funeral pyre, but to wisely clean house in anticipation of China's rise. In another ominous sign for the dollar, the Financial Times reported Wednesday that after two decades as net sellers of gold, foreign central banks have now become net buyers. What's more, more than half of central bank officials surveyed by UBS didn't think the dollar would be the world's reserve in 2035. Among the predicted replacements were Asian currencies and the euro, but - by far - the favorite was gold. This is supported by Monday's revelation by the Saudi central bank that it had covertly doubled its gold reserves, just about a year after China made a similar admission. There is no reason to assume these are isolated incidents, or that the covert trade of dollars for gold doesn't continue. To the contrary, this is compelling evidence that foreign governments are outwardly supporting the status quo while quietly preparing for the dollar's almost-inevitable devaluation. What people like Paul Krugman believe to be a return to medieval economics may, in fact, be the wave of the future. In peacetime, hardened troops will likely tolerate a blowhard general for an extended period; but when the artillery opens up with live ordnance, an ineffectual leader risks rapid demotion. The newspapers are now riddled with hints that foreign governments have lost faith in Washington and the dollar reserve system. It seems to me only natural that after a century of war, inflation, and socialism, the next hundred years would belong to those people who hold the timeless values of hard money and fiscal prudence. Unfortunately, our policymakers are not those people.’

China's Hu Jintao Says Group of 20 Must Coordinate to Consolidate Recovery Bloomberg … How about the G195 countries in the world collectively be considered in this task of coordination owing to the abject failure of the so-called G20 which have in lockstep coordination precipitated this global crisis including the war mongering, war criminal acts of the so-called nato allies et als, particularly the u.s., and as well the likes of war criminal nation israel which have never avoided a contra-indicated, anti-recovery war / conflict they could contrive / rationalize. The so-called G7, 8, 9, 20, etc., are a pathetic bunch of incompetent vegetables / jokers / showmen / clowns.

One of those … Daaaaah! Moments … Panetta says Afghan progress slower than expected Los Angeles Times -  Days after President Obama installed a new US military commander in Afghanistan, CIA Director Leon E. Panetta conceded Sunday that progress in the war has been "harder" and "slower than I think ...     Panetta says Afghan insurgents show no real interest in reconciliation talks Washington Post     CIA Retains Controversial Security Firm in Afghanistan Wall Street Journal       CIA: AFGHAN PROGRESS 'SLOWER' THAN ANTICIPATED Daaaaah! ...

New York Times reporter calls Zionist terrorism romantic A little-noticed comment in a New York Times interview with Israeli opposition leader Tzipi Livni has critics arguing that it shows the media has a double standard when it comes to terrorism.

States of Crisis for 46 Governments Facing Greek-Style Deficits Californians dont see much evidence that the worst economic contraction since the Great Depression is coming to an end. Unemployment was 12.4 percent in May, 2.7 percentage points higher than the national rate.       Evans-Pritchard Announces Fed Contemplating $5 Trillion QE Expansion In his latest column, the Daily Telegraphs A. Evans-Pritchard does a good job of recapping all the various reasons why Bernanke has now completely cornered himself, and facing a newly collapsing economy, is left with just one recourse: the printing of more, more, more paper.        History Tells US The Euro Will Not Survive, Greece Will Get Worse, And There Will Be A Trade Shock  With the PBoCs currency announcement last Saturday and the surge (!) in the value of RMB on Monday (all very kindly timed to add zest to my meetings this week in Boston, New York, and Washington), you would assume that todays entry would be all about the RMB and the effect of the PBoC announcement.     

The following is really the quintessential question and issue, particularly in light of america’s defacto bankruptcy and international law; but paramount humanitarian concerns alone would militate against america’s current misguided course.   Is Petraeus McChrystal’s Replacement or Obama’s?  Paul Craig Roberts | All of this drama is playing out despite the continuing lack of any valid reason for the american invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan.

Obama Can Shut Down Internet For 4 Months Under New Emergency Powers President Obama will be handed the power to shut down the Internet for at least four months without Congressional oversight if the Senate votes for the infamous Internet kill switch bill, which was approved by a key Senate committee yesterday    Congressman Rohrabacher: Almost All House Republicans Think Iraq War Illegal, Immoral  Andrew Napolitanos new Saturday show on the Fox Business Network is set to send shock waves through the political establishment this weekend when his guest Republican Congressman Dana Rohrabacher reveals that almost all House Republicans now believe that the invasion of Iraq was not only a mistake, but also illegal and immoral.         New Financial Overhaul Gives Government Broad New Powers To Seize Financial Firms  The government would have broad new powers to seize and wind down large, failing financial firms and to oversee the $600 trillion derivatives market.       Israeli Leaders Sued in Belgium for War Crimes

U.N. confirms rise in violence in Afghanistan      Obama Can Shut Down Internet For 4 Months Under New Emergency Powers       Food & Depopulation: Scams and Solutions  Cassandra Anderson | Beware of all NGOs and so-called non-profit organizations.      Congress Votes to Impose Embargo On Iran  Infowars.com | Congress believes more punitive measures are required in order to punish the Islamic state.       G20: Activists Arrested, Denied Entry into Canada  Kurt Nimmo | Charlie Veitch of The Love Police arrested, Luke Rudkowski and fellow activists denied entry in New York.

Israeli Leaders Sued in Belgium for War Crimes  Former Prime Minister Ehud Olmert, Israeli opposition leader Tzipi Livni and Defense Minister Ehud Barak were among those charged with war crimes committed during the Gaza war in the winter of 2008-09, the French daily Le Monde reported.       Congress OKs sanctions on Irans energy, banks  Congress on Thursday approved tough new unilateral sanctions aimed at squeezing Irans energy and banking sectors, which could also hurt companies from other countries doing business with Tehran.     

Cybersecurity Measures Will Mandate Government ID Tokens To Use The Internet  The move to shut down and regulate the Internet, the only source of uncensored news and truth, under a new government-controlled system has accelerated into high gear with the announcement that the governments cybersecurity strategy revolves around issuing Internet users with ID tokens without which they will not be able to visit websites, the latest salvo against web freedom which, in combination with Senator Joe Liebermans kill switch bill, will serve to eviscerate the free Internet as we know it.

Turkey, the World Leader of Nations, bans israeli military flight from its airspace as freeze deepens The Guardian -Turkey has banned an israeli military flight from its airspace in apparent retaliation for Israel's interception of the Free Gaza flotilla last month, in which nine pro-Palestinian Turkish activists were killed.  Turkey restricts israeli use of airspace CNN International  Turkey bars israeli planes ABC Online    netanayahu rules out apology to Turkey over deadly raid (AFP)

G-8 fully believes Israel will attack Iran, says Italy PM Haaretz | World leaders believe absolutely that Israel may decide to take military action against Iran.     Britain will not defeat Taliban and should open talks, says head of Army  London Telegraph | Britain and its allies will not defeat the Taliban with military force and should soon open peace talks with insurgents in Afghanistan, the head of the Army said yesterday.     

3 SIGNS OF A SUCKER RALLY AFTER EXAMINING TECHNICAL EVIDENCE, SENTIMENT INDICATORS AND VARIOUS VALUATION METRICS, IT BECOMES OBVIOUS THAT THE RECENT BOUNCE PROVIDES A SELLING, NOT BUYING OPPORTUNITY ...’

Russell: This Is One Of The Largest Tops In Stock Market History  Richard Russell has grown very vocally bearish in recent months. Earlier this year, Russell warned that the stock market was once again becoming grossly overvalued despite its relentless new highs. Pragmatic Capitalism June 24, 2010 Richard Russell has grown very vocally bearish in recent months. Earlier this year, Russell warned that the stock market was once again becoming grossly overvalued despite its relentless new highs.  He has maintained that the bear market never ended and that the world is far too indebted to exit the bear market.  He also believes the bear will not end until all fiat currencies have failed.  Although I disagree with him on many aspects of the micro I agree with his larger macro outlook.  This bear market is not over.  The secular bear market lives on.  Mr. Russell thinks we might be on the verge of a terrible collapse:
  
Were now in the process of building one of the largest tops in stock market history. The result, I think, will be the most disastrous bear market since the 30s, and maybe worse.
Question: What could possibly be behind such a bear market? you ask. The stock market is stirring up optimism on a weekly, if not daily basis, by not falling apart.
Answer: This is the rest or dead zone I was talking about. Bear markets dont conclude in a day, a week or a month. Months will go by, often adding to the bulls optimism.I think the key element behind this great bear market will be the complete destruction of all fiat currencies. This has been a long time coming. Fiat currencies are wealth created by man. They are created without sacrifice, without labor, without risk, and without sweat. Basically they are an immoral device, created by secretive bankers. If you watch the figures carefully, youll note the subtle deterioration. For instance, the advance-decline ratio, although up slightly for the week, had a relatively weak performance with the Dow up several hundred points over the course of the week. And we broke the trendline in May (see the chart below showing the cumulative advance-decline line for NYSE Common Stock only, which is what we publish in our figures (courtesy of DecisionPoint www.decisionpoint.com). The vertical lines are Jan 2008, Jan 2009 and Jan 2010 as you move to the right on the chart. [CHART] My old friend, Bob Prechter, is talking about Dow 400. I used to think this was an absurd joke. I no longer think its a joke. The ultimate result will be a primary bear market shocking in duration and extent. …’

Reports: IAF Landed at Saudi Base, US Troops near Iran Border  Arutz Sheva | The Israeli Air Force recently unloaded military equipment at a Saudi Arabia base, a semi-official Iranian news agency claimed Wednesday.      It’s time for the world to take a close look at the despotic, totalitarian regime that presently exists for the grandeur and wealth of a few while hiding behind Islam as they betray same and Muslims everywhere. The time has come for regime change in Saudi Arabia to yield a nation of and for the people of Saudi Arabia and the glory of Islam.      

 

[It should be noted, and there have been a multitude of other instances, that Im getting substantial attacks vis-ŕ-vis my internet connection which has slowed dramatically these posts. I dont think the interference is either accidental or just coincidental but consistent with that similarly experienced by critics of corrupt defacto bankrupt america of which I am one and not alone in that regard slowing, militating against the devastating truth about america. It should be noted that yet another attempt by the criminal american government and related partners in crime to silence an unwavering critic (to really understand america is to not be able to stand pervasively corrupt and defacto bankrupt america and her failed criminal cohort nations / lapdogs, ie., uk, eu, israel, etc.), in contravention of first amendment rights / protections, and as in the RICO case  [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm  ] to cover up substantial crimes in which the government was / is also involved. Some delays but a work-around is in progress. I won’t forget this and a price will be paid, as continues to be true. (6-22-10)THE WORK-AROUND-IN-PROGRESS I ALLUDED TO IS NOW FOR THE MOST PART SUCCESSFULLY COMPLETED BY WAY OF A DSL CONNECTION AND A DELL COMPUTER.]  

Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holders vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.     Drudgereport: States Take Aim at Pension Costs...      ...Bank failure pace more than double last year    REPORT: Madoff tells cellmates of $9 billion stash... they all have them Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holders vows to target financial fraud         THOMAS SOWELL: Is USA Now On Slippery Slope To Tyranny?

China To Overtake USA In Manufacturing  FT | The US remained the worlds biggest manufacturing nation by output last year, but is poised to relinquish this slot in 2011 to China thus ending a 110-year run as the number one country in factory production.

Housing Double Dip Accelerates As Existing Home Sales Plunge -2.2% In May Versus 6.0% Consensus, Down From 8% In April  

When will the SEC prosecute for market rigging?  Michael Schmidt | Are the large gold bullion banks working in collusion with the US Federal Reserve to artificially torpedo the key rival to US dollar hegemony?     China To Overtake USA In Manufacturing  FT | The US remained the worlds biggest manufacturing nation by output last year, but is poised to relinquish this slot in 2011 to China thus ending a 110-year run as the number one country in factory production.    

Connecticut vegetable lieberman: China Can Shut Down The Internet, Why Cant We (great logic from a totalitarian zionist)?  Senator joe Zelig the zionist israeli lieberman, co-author of a bill that would give President Obama a kill switch to shut down parts of the Internet, attempted to reassure CNN viewers yesterday that concerns about the government regulating free speech on the web were overblown, but he only stoked more alarm by citing China, a country that censors all online dissent against the state, as the model to which American should compare itself.

Mexican drug cartel threatens to harm U.S. police officers who bust drug shipments while off-duty  New York Daily News | Mexican cartels added a new twist to the drug war this week by threatening to kill U.S. cops who seize their goods.     Former Israeli top spy calls for strike on Iran  Israel should launch a pre-emptive strike to prevent arch-foe Iran from going nuclear, a former head of Israels Mossad intelligence agency said on Monday.      Israels Planned Attack on Iran from Caucasus Base  A week ago, Israel leaked to the press that they had permission from Saudi Arabia to use their air space to attack Iran. The Saudis quickly denied this.

$34 Billion Asset Manager Says Market Prices Are Manipulated, Accuses NYSE Of Intellectual Property Theft, Debunks HFT “Liquidity Provider” Lies  

Soros Says ‘We Have Just Entered Act II’ of Crisis  Bloomberg | Soros said the current situation in the world economy is “eerily” reminiscent of the 1930s.     Gerald Celente: U.S. Financial Markets to Collapse by End of 2010  Infowars.com | Gerald Celente is a renowned trend forecaster, publisher of the Trends Journal, business consultant and author who makes predictions about the global financial markets and other events of historical importance.      Jobless Claims in U.S. Decreased Last Week to 456,000 Bloomberg | More Americans than anticipated filed applications for unemployment benefits last week.

Market Outlook: Bearish Background to Bullish Storyline  Sean Hannon: ‘The last two weekly market commentaries have discussed how the underlying trend of the market is now bearish and all rallies should be used to sell stocks and reduce risks. With nearly every news outlet spouting the bullish storyline, these articles served as an outline of a disciplined investment strategy. Those who followed the outline have done well as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow), S&P 500, and NASDAQ each declined over 5% since my initial warning. With the Dow still stuck below the psychologically important 10,000 level and all three major U.S. markets trading beneath their 200-day moving averages (MA), the bearish backdrop is clear. Even if many are still looking for a rally, we should understand that the primary trend is lower. Instead of focusing on how high prices will rally, we should instead consider how much further prices can fall …’

Greek Default Seen by Almost 75% in Poll Doubtful About Trichet  Global investors have little confidence in Europe’s efforts to contain its debt crisis or in European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet, with 73 percent calling a default by Greece likely.      12 Reasons Why The U.S. Housing Crash Is Far From Over  Over the past several months, many in the mainstream media have hailed the slight improvement in the U.S. real estate market as a “housing recovery”.        US Needs Austerity Too: Hedge Fund Strategist  The United States will have to adopt austerity measures similar to the ones taken in Europe, because the problems faced are largely the same, Timothy Scala, macro-strategist at Sophis Investments, told CNBC.com.       Market Analyst: ‘BP’s Not Going to Last as a Company More Than a Matter of Months’  We’ve heard politicians, even conservative Republicans, suggest BP would be held completely responsible for the devastation caused by the oil spill plaguing the Gulf of Mexico, even if it means its very existence.

Israeli Official Threatens to Kill Turkish PM  Kurt Nimmo | It is unprecedented for a top level state official to threaten a head of another state with murder.     

US Media Terrified Of Mentioning USS Liberty  Do you know that an american naval vessel was attacked by israel in international waters, 43 years ago today, resulting in the deaths of dozens of american sailors      Arab lawmaker on flotilla sparks outrage in israel (AP) - An Israeli-Arab lawmaker's decision to join hundreds of activists on a pro-Palestinian flotilla has elevated her from relative political obscurity, transforming her into the poster child for the ...

Why To Question the 2010 Stock Market Rally   [Why To Question the 2010 Stock Market Rally – Web Site Archived with Charts Click Here - In the past year, we've written a lot about the similarity between the rally of early 1930 and the one we had through April of this year. The early 1930 rally came after the market had fallen nearly 50% in the fall of 1929. The spring 1930 rally took the market up nearly 50% again, to a level that was only about 20% below the previous peak. That rally, of course, was also the biggest sucker's rally in history. After the market peaked in April 1930, it crashed again, eventually ending up down 89% from the 1929 high and more than 80% from the 1930 high. The market did not reach the 1930 high again for another quarter of a century. The rally that recently ended in April 2010 came after a crash that was actually slightly more severe than the 1929 crash (53% versus 48%). It took the market up nearly 80% from the low! The recent rally also lasted longer than the 1930 rally did--a year, as opposed to 6 months … ]  

REMEMBER: In 1930, They Didn’t Know It Was “The Great Depression” Yet  In the past year, we’ve written a lot about the similarity between the rally of early 1930 and the one we had through April of this year.    Investment Banker: It’s Going To Get Nasty – Buy Land, Barbed Wire And Guns  A top investment banker has warned that the economic fallout of the sovereign debt crisis could get so nasty over the next five years that people would be wise to abandon the markets and instead buy land, barbed wire and guns.     

 

DEBT POISED TO OVERTAKE GDP       Key Indicators of a New Depression  Neeraj Chaudhary | Great Depression II developing into something far more devastating than its predecessor      You’re Being Decieved Infowars.com | We’re heading over an economic cliff and there’s nothing the government can or will do about it except lie.       The Folly of Blindly Trusting the Government

‘What Does China Want?’ They want to speak to Rosanne Rosanna Danna, of course! ‘Asian markets tumble on fears over Hungary’ …Riiiiight! Hungary’s the thing! … Rosanne Rosanna Danna, formerly of SNL fame wanted in Asia to chime in with what her mama always used to say, ‘ It’s always something ‘ . Of course, it matters little to the frauds on wall street what the something is said to be since the reality is … ‘This is a global depression. This is a secular bear market in a global depression. This was a manipulated bull (s***) cycle in a secular bear market. This has been a typically manipulated bubble as has preceded the prior crashes with great regularity that the wall street frauds and insiders commission and sell into. This is a typical wall street churn and earn pass the hot potato scam / fraud as in prior crashes.’ ( It should be noted, and there have been a multitude of other instances, that I’m getting substantial ‘attacks’ vis-ŕ-vis my internet connection which has slowed dramatically these posts. I don’t think the interference is either accidental nor just coincidental but consistent with corrupt defacto bankrupt america’s critics of which I am one and not alone in that regard – slowing, militating against the devastating truth about america.)   Europe is Heading for a Depression Despite a nearly-$1 trillion rescue operation, financial conditions in the eurozone continue to deteriorate. All the gauges of market stress are edging upwards and credit default swaps (CDS) spreads have widened to levels not seen since the weekend of the emergency euro-summit.      Key Indicators of a New Depression With the mainstream media focusing on the country’s leveling unemployment rate, improving retail sales, and nascent housing recovery, one might think that the US government has successfully navigated the economy through recession and growth has returned.     Get Ready for a Double Dip  … but many warning flags point towards significant deterioration in the U.S. and global economy going forward and so I think that by the end of the year or early 2011, we could very well be facing a new leg down in the world’s economic situation … [I’d say too optimistic since, to reiterate: This is a global depression. This is a secular bear market in a global depression. This was a manipulated bull (s***) cycle in a secular bear market. This has been a typically manipulated bubble as has preceded the prior crashes with great regularity that the wall street frauds and insiders commission and sell into. This is a typical wall street churn and earn pass the hot potato scam / fraud as in prior crashes.]

european central banks intervened to shore up the ever more worthless euro, buying into that fraudulent wall street b*** s*** story that that ‘s a good thing, rallying stocks off their lows. It is amazing how dumb europe has become so quickly. An exception is what I believe was Germany’s steps against derivatives, which market according to a derivatives trader on the radio this day is a $40 trillion market (missed his name). To reiterate as applicable to yet another fraudulent scheme previously stated, said market is paper on paper moving around and generating commissions at lightning computerized speed but adding no real value in real economic terms; again, the analogy of termites eating away at the (nation’s) foundation is apposite. As such, that money has to come from some real place and hence, the ever more frequent and larger crashes we are seeing. Don’t forget that the worthless paper from previous such fraudulent schemes now marked to anything is still out there in a magnitude some have placed in the hundreds of trillions.

The Worst Money Supply Plunge Since The Depression Means A Double Dip Is Now A ‘Virtual Certainty’  The stock of U.S. money as measured by ‘M3 money supply fell to $13.9 trillion from $14.2 trillion during the three months ending in April. [ This is still an extraordinarily high level but … I don’t buy it. I believe the printing presses have been working overtime to pump out ever more worthless fiat currency and with the many trillions of worthless fraudulent paper still out there and marked to anything. I further believe the same is being surreptitiously used to supplant the fraudulent paper, the consequences of which will be devastating, of course, as is invariably so in depressions in any event. This scenario would also mean huge fraud accomplis. ]      Fiat Money Supply Contracting at Great Depression Level  The bankster operative who helped destroy Glass-Steagall is back. Larry Summers, Obama’s top economic adviser, has told Congress to “grit its teeth” and approve a fresh fiscal boost of $200 billion to keep growth on track, reports the Daily Telegraph.       Fiat Money Supply Contracting at Great Depression Level  Kurt Nimmo | The Federal Reserve stopped publishing M3 figures back in 2006.

Sell in May and Go Away, Indeed   [ I wasn’t kidding; and, I’m still not kidding when I say: This is a great opportunity to sell / take profits because there’s much worse to come! ]

Forecasts from Dent, Napier, and then Prechter: Depression is Imminent The Dow Jones Industrial Average will go down to at least 1000, most likely to below 777 which was the starting point of its mania back in August 1982, and quite likely drop below 400 at one or more times during the bear market.

10 Reasons to Worry About Margin Growth  … a good portion of these factors will likely impact margins by the end of the year. I don’t believe this is adequately factored into earnings estimates across the board. Given this, I believe we have seen the highs for the year and next few quarters will be extremely volatile ... 

Dow Theorist Richard Russell: Sell Everything, You Won’t Recognize America By The End Of The Year Business Insider | “Pul – leeze, get out of stocks now, and I don’t give a damn whether you have paper losses or paper profits!”      

The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined and disgorgement imposed. If that were so, they wouldn’t be worrying about who wins / loses since those who fraudulently play, invariably would (and should)  pay. If they’re not prosecuted, everyone loses.

POST MORTEM AND REVIEW Ricky:
A post mortem is in order. The elements of this worldwide con game are remarkably simple, not complex at all. Apparently you only need a few things to make a mockery of the entire global economic system, and big banks garnered these few important things through “regulatory capture”:
1) Unregulated, unenforced rules (particularly for derivatives)
2) license to “mark to model” (assign your own values to your assets)
3) ability to peg present value to irrational expected future returns (based on unlimited, exponential growth)
4) infinite leverage (no effective requirements for reserve capital in unregulated “shadow” markets)
5) massive size, so that the bank is "too big to fail"
6) non-transparency and non-accountability.

SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY!

THE FORECASTS:
Harry Dent, Jr.  Economy will be in a Depression by 2011
The worst of this next depression is likely to hit between mid-2010 and mid-2013, especially around early 2011, but if the banking system continues to implode a deep downturn or depression could begin sometime in 2009 instead of 2010.
Dow will Fall to 3,800 – 4,500 by 2012
Nasdaq will Fall Below 1,100, its 2002 low, by late 2010 or mid-2012 at the latest.
Inflation will Increase until mid- 2010 and then turn to Deflation
Interest Rates will Increase
U.S. Dollar will Decline
Housing will Decline by 40 – 60% from Today’s Levels
Greatest Economic and Banking Crisis since the 1930s will Occur Between 2010 and 2012
Russell Napier is the author of the book “Anatomy of the Bear”, a professor at the Edinburgh Business School and a consultant to CLSA Ltd. which is one of the top research houses in Asia. Napier’s research indicates (and I paraphrase) that: The S&P 500 will Decline to 400 by 2014 (the Dow 30 to 3800)
The S&P 500 will then undergo a major crash that will see U.S. equity prices bottom at almost 50% below current levels (i.e. to 400 or less; the Dow 30 to 3800 or less) sometime around 2014 as Tobin’s “q” drops to 0.3 signaling the end of the bear market, as it has done at the end of the four largest U.S. market declines in 1921, 1932, 1949 and 1982.
U.S. Treasury Sales Collapse Leading to End of U.S. Dollar as Reserve Currency
Robert R. Prechter Jr. is author of a number of newsletters and books including “Elliott Wave Principle” (1978) in which he predicted the super bull market of the 1980s; “At the Crest of the Tidal Wave – A Forecast of the Great Bear Market” (1995) in which he predicted a slow motion economic earthquake, brought about by a great asset mania, that would register 11 on the financial Richter scale causing a collapse of historic proportions; and “Conquer the Crash: You can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression” (2002) in which he described the economic cataclysm that we are just beginning to experience and advised how to position one’s self financially during that period of time.
Depression is Imminent
The Dow Jones Industrial Average will go down to at least 1000, most likely to below 777 which was the starting point of its mania back in August 1982, and quite likely drop below 400 at one or more times during the bear market.

According to the Debt Clock:

Total national debt: $13 trillion
Debt per citizen: $42,026
Debt per taxpayer: $117,982
Total interest due: $1.9 trillion
Interest per citizen: $2,211

Click here to see the Debt Clock, which is updated every second.

Total personal debt: $16.5 trillion
Total mortgage debt: $14.1 trillion
Total consumer debt: $2.45 trillion
Personal debt per citizen: $53,483
Debt held by foreign countries: $4.07 trillion

        http://www.usdebtclock.org Get Real Time U.S. Debt Data

TED OLSON SEEKING TO OVERTURN CALIFORNIA'S PROPOSITION 8, WHICH LIMITS MARRIAGE TO A MAN AND A WOMAN. After shilling  for the corrupt u.s. government as solicitor general, maybe he just wanted to go straight [Just Kidding!]. There is no immunity, judicial or otherwise for criminal acts. Moreover, there is no sovereign immunity for non-governmental  acts as would include involvement  in the illegal drug and related crimes, ie., bribery, etc., and the supreme court has so held against foreign nations in the context of the RICO statute but in my RICO case olson the liar would shill otherwise, not that he really had to worry in light of the pervasively corrupt and wastefully costly federal courts which should be abolished.

Roman Polanski freed after Swiss reject U.S. extradition request (Washington Post, July 13, 2010) Without diminishing in any way the seriousness of the crime, this result is the direct consequence of the growing global recognition of the pervasiveness of corruption in american courts, state and federal, and america generally; so much so, that said corrupt american courts cannot be relied on anywhere, anytime. Indeed, my own sampling, though hardly random to be candid, is 5 for 5 (new jersey, new york, connecticut, virginia, california) pervasively and egregiously corrupt to the point where these costly, corrupt bureaucracies should be abolished and supplanted with alternatives as I’ve previously set forth in these comments.

Sen. Levin urges State Department to put Afghan Taliban on list of terror groups (Washington Post) Oooooh! … Sounds like a plan … and emanating from washington (and a thriving Michigan jew no less) … who says they don’t do anything? … And, consistent with that apocalyptic vision set forth in the Bible [albeit a book of truth from a very limited perspective (for which literal interpretations are misleading); after all, the Wise Men thought it was a movable star that was guiding them and shone the bright ‘spotlight’ upon the manger with the Christ]; the jews and some other entity against the rest of the world for that final Armageddon … oh, they’ll make that happen … it gets them through their day with every step closer to apocalypse but not to the place called heaven will they go. The end of this world? You might say america / israel / and theirs are feverishly working on just that, one way or another!

There is really no way to rationalize or attempt to justify what america is / has become since they have with open eyes chosen this contra-indicated course of ineluctable decline, from illegal wars, to war crimes, to backing war criminal nations as israel, to huge frauds, to war profiteering, to illicit drug trafficking and money laundering, and this list goes on and on …:

(Previously) I’d say this alito vs. wobama is a tempest in a teapot inasmuch as alito is more than just a lightweight, hack, liar, fraud etc., as set forth in the comments. alito is a criminal who should have served / should be serving time in prison for obstruction of justice, bribery, among other RICO violations. To alito, drug money is as green as corporate money and worth his vote as well. In addition to being an inept [I looked in on the one mob case he had brought, bungled, lost (accidently on purpose?) since I was suing some mob-connected under RICO and the court (I had known / previously met outside of court the judge Ackerman through a client) was absolute bedlam and a total joke since incompetent corrupt alito brought in all 20 mob defendants (rather than prosecute one or a few to flip them first) who feigning illness had beds/cots in the courtroom along with their moans during testimony and had the jury in stitches)] and corrupt (see below and particularly the summary provided to the FBI under penalty of perjury  [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm ] )  u.s. attorney.

You’re naďve to think that the so-called supreme court is any different from the rest of the meaningfully lawless and pervasively corrupt american ‘system’. I knew well an accomplished trial lawyer, fellow american college of trial lawyers / and a bar examiner, who pondered from time to time becoming a judge “so he’d never have to work again” – his words.

Some comments on alito…all appropriate:

Probably the worst appointment in one hundred years.

Posted by: mnjam

-----------------------

Really? That's a pretty sweeping statement to make about someone who's only been on the court a short few years.

And I thought that liberals were in universal agreement that Clarence Thomas was the worst appointment in all of history?

Posted by: blert | January 28, 2010 2:11 AM | Report abuse
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Yes. Really. Alito is a total lightweight and hack. He makes Thomas look like John Marshall or Oliver Wendell Holmes. I KNOW ALITO.
Posted by: mnjam | January 28, 2010 2:24 AM |

the loser here is alito.lost his composure not good for a judge especially afederal or supreme justice .loser big time this will live with guy for a very time.roberts and the other justices will have a talk with him that is a given.this relly larger than o one day news cycle.
Posted by: donaldtucker | January 28, 2010 1:12 AM |

Should Alito resign or be impeached?
Posted by: jdmca | January 28, 2010 1:05 AM |

Manchurian Candidates: Supreme Court allows China and others unlimited spending in US elections  Greg Palast | Our future elections may come down to a three-way battle between China, Saudi Arabia and Goldman Sachs.       Call For Immediate Arrest of 5 Supreme Court Justices for Treason  Gordon Duff | The bloated corpse we are creating in Washington is emitting a stench we can no longer abide.     The aforesaid would be shocking to anyone without a modicum of knowledge of the reality of pervasive corruption within the u.s. courts themselves and america generally, including all three branches of the u.s. government.

Ron Paul: After ‘CIA coup,’ agency ‘runs military’  US House Rep. Ron Paul says the CIA has has in effect carried out a “coup” against the US government, and the intelligence agency needs to be “taken out.”  I also personally believe there has been a defacto coup d’etat which has manifested in various substantial, blatant, brazened frauds, ie., wall street, missing 360 tons of $100 bills in Iraq, war profiteering, etc., without any fear of prosecution, and of course concomitant decline for u.s. as the treasury is looted. But I also believe its scope is beyond just the CIA with many complicit within the corrupted 3 branches of u.s. government (fed judges, us attorneys, illegal system, etc.) plus the military and private big money, ie., Goldman Sachs / wall street men, etc., among other organized crime. america is defacto bankrupt in every way!

  Rendition: Where the War on Terror Meets the War on Drugs Patrick Henningsen | It’s time to ditch the policies we have come to tolerate for decades before they consume what is left of our moral core. I’ve experienced the corrupt inter-relationship of the government (all 3 corrupt branches) and the illegal drug trade / obstruction of justice / bribery first hand, particularly the courts / u.s. attorneys offices (ie., alito – now u.s. supreme court justice – quid pro quo for his complicity / cover-up), feds; see immediately after article excerpt for links / summary.

…“Evidence points to aircraft – familiarly known as “torture taxis” – used by the CIA to move captives seized in its kidnapping or “extraordinary rendition” operations through Gatwick and other airports in the EU being simultaneously used for drug distribution in the Western hemisphere. A Gulfstream II jet aircraft N9875A identified by the British Government and the European Parliament as being involved in this traffic crashed in Mexico…” In 2004, another torture taxi crashed in a field in Nicaragua with a ton of cocaine aboard… Mexican soldiers found ..132 bags containing 3.3 metric tons of cocaine. The origination of the Gulfstream’s flight is unknown but it was destined for Cancun when it crash landed. Again, here is the important point: that same Gulf Stream II was one of the very same planes chartered to the CIA for the rendition of suspected terrorists prisoners. Gulf Stream II crashed in Mexico with 3 tons of cocaine on board ..it should not be surprising that this illegal practice of rendition has in some part, been used as a well-run smokescreen for another borderless illegal operation- an extremely lucrative international transfer and delivery of cash and narcotics.,,These flights are not subject to regular customs checks, inspections or normal regulations as they move seamlessly between destinations in the US, Britain, Europe, Middle East, Central Asia, Cuba and possibly through US bases in Turkey, Greece and Morocco…

Corrupt u.s. courts / judges: Their lifetime plush appointments should be abolished, which corrupt entities are unheard of in productive societies as China, Japan, etc.. Time to abolish these drags on society and eliminate their lifetime stipends and costly bureaucracies. Rules of law mean nothing to these typically corrupt americans. Most, including sam alito of the u.s. supreme court, concerning  drug money laundering and obstruction of justice in the 3rd circuit ( also maryanne trump barry who covered-up drug money laundering through her brother’s casinos in a civil RICO case) should have gone to or belong in jail. Contrary to popular belief, they do it for the money, personal money, big, cash, untraceable money. The fog of war is great for such things (360 tons $100 bills flown into Iraq and missing, etc.).

 [ http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm  ]. america’s just a fraudulent and failed defacto bankrupt nation.

NSA beats warrantless wiretap rap A Federal judge has dismissed a complaint against the National Security Agency’s (NSA)

Corrupt u.s. courts / judges: Their lifetime plush appointments should be abolished, which corrupt entities are unheard of in productive societies as China, Japan, etc.. Time to abolish these drags on society and eliminate their lifetime stipends and corrupt costly bureaucracies.

There must be such things as parallel universes (I don’t really believe that, because there isn’t) or how else do you explain the disconnect between reality, current and prospective, and the wet dreams posited to keep the war funding / corporate welfare programs alive in collectively what has already become a trillion dollar boondoggle (not counting prospective medical costs, etc.) and promises to go much higher. Even israel apologist Cohen of The Washington Post alludes to the Vietnam analogy. However, even if there were real goals beyond the poppy / heroin trade which the Taliban had all but eradicated (there isn’t); even if america wasn’t defacto bankrupt (america is); even if america wasn’t killing innocent civilians in large numbers (war criminal nation america is); even if america’s allies haven’t similarly helped to bankrupt themselves by way of this war (they have); even if I hadn’t told you so (I did) ….. this war still was, is, and remains a very bad idea!

Afghan war overtakes Vietnam to become the longest conflict in U.S. history  Mail Online | The war entered its 104th month yesterday, with 30,000 American troops being deployed in the first half of this year alone.

How does anyone take the u.s. seriously in light of their credibility problems, war crimes, etc.? What nuke technology israel didn’t steal from the u.s., the u.s. gave them along with missile, armaments, etc.. and paid for with taxpayer money that u.s. taxpayers and the defacto bankrupt nation don’t have.

It's time to expel israel from the UN Without doubt, the israeli attack on the Gaza-bound "Freedom Flotilla" in the dawn of Monday, May 31, 2010 is one of the most savage crimes in recent history. It seems the ruling power in Tel Aviv has been afflicted with a variant of mad cow disease; otherwise, how could it be so cruel to unleash such a beastly raid on the "Mavi Marmara," the Turkish flagship of a flotilla carrying medical and humanitarian supplies to the hapless people of Gaza Strip?

The israeli Spin-Machine in Overdrive: dershowitz to the Rescue?  Armed Israeli commandos, the elite of the elites, rappelled to the deck of a Turkish ship carrying humanitarian relief supplies to the 1.5 million prisoners in the Gaza concentration camp.

You think Iraq was bad? Invading Iran ‘would be lunacy’ Ivan Eland, Director of the Center on Peace and Liberty at the Independent Institute in Washington DC, gives his opinion on new sanctions imposed on Iran.

I include the first two comments to the foregoing headline:

Billo Says:

June 11th, 2010 at 6:15 am

Lunacy? Keep in mind that this country is run and controlled by lunatics. Our press government and military seem to take their orders from Israel. Isarel wants to be known as a pack of “mad dogs. Do we want “mad dogs” controlling us?

Here we see a bunch of phony accusations against Iran just like we did in the run up to the bogus wars in Iraq, Afghanistan and now Pakistan. The boy has cried wold ten thousand times. It’s time to identify the “lunatics” and kindly take away the car keys. If you won’t let your friends drive drunk, why do we let a bunch of “lunatic” enemies run this place.

Glen Reply:

June 11th, 2010 at 6:47 am

Lunacy it would be.

But it is also to their great credit that the Iranians have not made their own threats.

Everyone knows there are 3 WMD threats, Nuclear Biological and chemical. The scariest of which is Biological.

Any attack done under the threat of immediate biological retaliation would deter only the insane.

Watch out america home of the insane, home of the leaders who want an 80% population reduction.

General McChrystals Burning Contempt for the Puppet Obama The farce that is the war in Afghanistan is coming apart at the seams. General Stanley McChrystals sharp comments about Obama, Biden, and the administration published by Rolling Stone are not so much about disrespect, as the script-reading corporate media talking heads would have it, but rather about a policy in disarray in Afghanistan.

Gaza blockade illegal, must be lifted — UN rights official      Israeli blockade of Gaza unsustainable: White House       US Jewish opinion and the ‘Beinart moment’ The controversial book, The Israel Lobby, in which the political scientists, John Mearsheimer and Stephen Walt, argued that US foreign policy has been hijacked by organized Zionism went strangely unnoticed by the leading journal of American intellectual opinion, the New York Review of Books.      Doubts Grow Over Israel’s Value as U.S. Ally Jim Lobe | The notion is that Israel and its actions have since the Cold War increasingly become a “strategic liability” to U.S. interests in the region.

In 1948, U.S. Secretary of Defense James Forrestal, an opponent of the creation of a Jewish state in Palestine, warned that, even though failure to go along with the Zionists might cost President Truman the states of New York, Pennsylvania, and California, it was about time that somebody should pay some consideration to whether we might not lose the United States. Mr. Forrestal was absolutely correct! Isn’t that exactly what’s happened to defacto bankrupt america in intractable decline. 

TIME TO REVOKE AND NULLIFY THE BALFOUR DECLARATION AND ABROGATE THE CREATION OF THE NATION STATE OF ISRAEL IN THE INTERESTS OF FAIRNESS, JUSTICE, PEACE AND PROSPECTIVE PROSPERITY FOR THIS WORLD!

OOOOH! ISRAEL NOW IN FAVOR OF NUKES IN THE MIDDLE EAST IN SUDDEN SHIFT IN POLICY TO FAVOR IRAN IN A VERY BIG WAY! ISRAEL SEES THE LIGHT AND SIDES WITH IRAN ON NUCLEAR ISSUE; ESSENTIALLY SAYS TO THE WORLD AND IRAN ‘TO PRESS ON WITH NUCLEAR AMBITIONS’.

 

The yardarm is the remedy Dozens of our friends and comrades, of wonderful compassionate activists are dead and wounded in the pirate attack in the high seas on humanitarian aid boats. This is a dreadful crime that will forever be remembered and should be punished. The Israeli pirates attacked the humanitarian aid Freedom Flotilla in the international waters over 150 km out of their territorial waters. The boats carried no arms; the participants strictly adhered to Ghandian mode by asking the Greek and Cyprus authorities to search the boats to avoid later claims that they were armed.

 

A Plague Upon The World: The USA is a “Failed State”  Dr. Paul Craig Roberts | The American people are lost in la-la land. They have no idea that their civil liberties have been forfeited.    US citizen killed on flotilla reportedly shot four times in head  Raw Story | A forensic report said Furkan Dogan was shot at close range, with four bullets in his head and one in his chest, according to the Anatolian news agency. The explanation foisted off on the americans by war criminal israelis is probably something on the order of ‘they just wanted to make sure they missed him’.     Roberts: ‘AIPAC purchases US elections’  Russia Today | Paul Craig Roberts says that there will be nothing that is going to be done by the United States to change the relationship with Israel.

‘US funding terrorist group against Iran’  Press TV | A member of a terrorist organization operating in Iran says that a US State department radio station originally put him in touch with the group.

 

Paul Craig Roberts: Government Abandoned Vietnam POWs  Kurt Nimmo | John McCain worked overtime to make sure Vietnam POWs never came home. I think the even bigger story vis-ŕ-vis mccain is:  http://www.albertpeia.com/heroenot.htm  ‘Did you know that that so-called "american heroe" john mccain was referred to by his fellow pows in Vietnam as something akin to the "songbird" inasmuch as he was constantly "singing" to his Viet-Cong captors to curry favor and better treatment? This has been documented with authority by Colonel David Hackworth. The same violates military code/protocol (other soldiers have been court-martialed for far less) click Here, Here.  [ http://www.albertpeia.com/hackworth.htm ]  But, you see, this covered up scenario, compromizing the false facade of far less than a heroe, is exactly what a criminal (lie of a) nation as america loves and encourages (get everyone's hands dirty so no-one dares to rectify same, ie., bush, sr., clinton, bush, jr.). That is, "toe the (corrupt, propagandized) line", become a criminal, or be exposed, prosecuted, and/or ruined; and, hasn't anyone asked how "wall street" has been "spared the spotlight" (and even was accorded protective legislation from their criminal culpability) and focus of inquiry, attention, and prosecution despite being the primary beneficiaries financial and otherwise of these scams (you know the wall street motto, "churn and earn"; huge conflicts of interest if not outright fraud)…’

Coalition wants UK space lift-off [ Don’t make me laugh! ]

Israel’s Nukes Out of the Shadows  Israel faces unprecedented pressure to abandon its official policy of “ambiguity” on its possession of nuclear weapons as the international community meets at the United Nations in New York this week to consider banning such arsenals from the Middle East.

NASA wants mission to bring Martian rocks to Earth (AP) Why? They already have that and more:

Launch of secret US space ship masks even more secret launch of new weapon

 The Militarization of Outer Space: The Pentagon’s “Space Warriors”  Global Research | It’s not as if things aren’t bad enough right here on planet earth. Now the Defense Department wants to up the stakes with new, destabilizing weapons systems that will transform low- and high-earth orbit into another “battlespace.”     

buzz aldrin wants to colonize Mars Riiiiight buzzed! Better check with DePalma to see if he already has the footage in the can since you wont be able to use the moon footage for the new boondoggle video ...

OBAMA SPEECH OUTLINES PLANS FOR RETURNING DEFACTO BANKRUPT U.S. TO SPACE – OOOOOH! SOUNDS LIKE A PLAN … FOR INNER SPACE (IMAGINATION).

NASA's New Asteroid Mission Could Save the Planet  Space.com - Tariq Malik - CAPE CANAVERAL, Fla. - President Barack Obama set a lofty next goal this week for Americans in space: Visiting an asteroid by 2025. Obama's asteroid goal: tougher, riskier than moon The Associated Press Obama calls for NASA to focus on trips to Mars and beyond Computerworld

New Boondoggle promised to save NASA boondoggle defacto bankrupt budget piece of pie.
And don’t forget, Bruce Willis and Ben Affleck, et als, have already done this so it’s not as if they’re starting from ‘ground zero’, so to speak; and Brian DePalma already has ‘Mission to Mars’ in the can, but beware say the producers of ‘Species II’ since Eve, the cloned daughter of Sill, might want to mate with astronaut Paddy Ross who has returned from Mars as a space alien host body.

First fake moonwalker blasts Obama's space plan  msnbc.com - Bill Ingalls - The first man to pretend to walk on the moon blasted President Barack Obama's decision to cancel NASA's back-to-the-moon program on Tuesday, saying that not going with the new movie is “devastating” to america's boondoggle spaced out effort. Fake dutch 'moon rock' revealed a treasured piece at the dutch national museum - a supposed moon rock from the first manned lunar landing - is nothing more than petrified wood, ...bbc news bbc news | europe | fake dutch 'moon rock' revealed prized moon rock a fake - a piece of moon rock given to an overseas politician by the united states is actually a lump of petrified wood, museum authorities revealed yesterday. ... 'Moon rock' in dutch museum is just petrified wood aug 27, 2009 ... Fake moon rock at dutch national museum. Rijksmuseum / ap. This rock, supposedly brought back from the moon by american astronauts, ...    http://www.albertpeia.com/moonfraud.htm  

In reality it is just a piece of petrified wood ... Another piece of evidence that shows again that apollo program is indeed a fake and a typical american fraud!

http://www.albertpeia.com/UFOetryWeNeverWentToTheMoonPNTV.wmv     

Editorial: US in quagmire Seeing the warm welcome extended to the Afghan president on his US trip, it is hard to believe that only weeks ago Washington was seething with anger and frustration at Hamid Karzai’s behavior and there were even dark mutterings by US officials that he might be mad.

War in Afghanistan and Iraq costs America $1trillion From the Old | On May 30th at 10:06 the United States reached the point where they have spent $1trillion on the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.        Sinking of the Cheonan: A Classic False Flag Operation  Russia Today | Sinking of the warship was really intended to convince Japan not to move US forces off Okinawa as well as divert the attention of Americans from the dire economic situation at home.     .      Israel: IDF Troops Who Murdered Unarmed Innocent People Are ‘Brave Heroes’  The government of israel, aided by many quarters of the international media, is attempting to spin today’s deadly IDF assault on a humanitarian aid ship carrying supplies to Gaza as the fault of the murdered activists on board the vessel, ludicrously characterizing machine-gun carrying Israeli troops who killed over a dozen innocent people as the victims of the incident.

Murder on the high seas JERUSALEM: Israeli marines stormed aid ships bound for Gaza on Monday and at least 10 rights activists were killed, triggering a diplomatic crisis and an emergency session of the UN Security Council. European nations, as well as the United Nations and Turkey, voiced shock and outrage at the bloody end to the international campaigners' bid to break Israel's blockade of the Gaza Strip

Israeli American Microbiologist Linked to Deadly Fungus  Kurt Nimmo | A report links labs in the United States and Israel to the Cryptococcus gatti fungus that has killed several people in the United States.

Iraqi doctors demand cancer probe  Al Jazeera | Iraqi doctors believe depleted uranium from US military equipment used in the 2003 invasion is spreading cancer through the population. [This is all too true and real; and I’m surprised this hasn’t gotten more attention, coverage … well, maybe not that surprised ].

"What this means is that Neanderthals are not totally extinct. In some of us, they live on," Paabo … With regard to that extinction thing, I’d say they’re still working on it (ultimately, decades, extinction, the distinction, without a difference).  Actually, prior to studying the compelling subject of Biological Anthropology (Michael Park text), I too had some misconceptions about the group known as Neandertals (recent spelling drops the ‘h’) and actually mis-referenced same by the stereotypical image of members of said clade even as the debate continues as to whether they are within the species homo sapiens or a separate species. I believe these to be distinctions without important differences, so humble the origins and evolution of man truly are. Parenthetically, I wonder what that anthropological scientist Heidi Klum thinks on the subject.

Neanderthals, Humans Interbred, DNA Proves

Signs of Neanderthals Mating With Humans - Neanderthals mated with some modern humans after all and left their imprint in the human genome.  Genome hints humans, Neanderthals rolled in prehistoric hay     You're a Neanderthal: Genes say yes — a little bit (AP) Neanderthals and people interbred, fossil analysis finds  For more info on man’s humble beginnings, see here     http://www.albertpeia.com/anthroindex1.htm    


Previously I wrote:

FOUND: MISSING LINK BETWEEN APES AND MAN.... These stories, and the many like it, are old news and I subscribe to the more studied view that there is no “missing link” per se and in my view they are distinctions without significant differences. I previously wrote:

To Learn More About From Whence Man Came, This Link's For You

  [To the Professor at the beginning of the course]    

   10-5-09 Postscript: Professor *****,
I felt compelled to thank you again for the add; not to curry your favor but indeed to express profound thanks inasmuch as this is probably the last formal course at a formal educational institution I'll ever take; and among the most important. While I had bought at discount a library-discarded 1993 Anthropology by Embers text, though meaning to read same never quite got to it. I am astounded by the substantial amount of time involved in the evolutionary process, not that I ever stopped to think about it, and one must come away with the sense of 'and all that...for this?'. This course should be required curriculum along with psychology, sociology, etc., but probably won't be owing to what is, as it should be, a very humbling educational experience for any member of the human race.
             Regards,
                                  Al Peia

[Interestingly, my intuitive (but unstudied) thoughts prior to closer examination of the compelling subject of Biological Anthropology remain what I believe to be the correct scenario. Specifically, very simply stated, for the most part, the more “enlightened” (but not by much; by mutation, accident, luck, intervention, etc.) left the unvarying confines of their Sub-Saharan origins, experienced diverse new environs, challenges, etc., experienced what has been described (by neuroscientists, psychologists, etc.) as neurogenesis in varying degrees and forms thereby over time, which trait was selected for and is consistent with the purported multi-regional evolutionary model which does not overtly contradict ultimately, initial African origins. Races, sub-species, missing links, etc., are subsumed in this very humbling and sorrowful tale of the “dawn of man”.]


[Abolish the corrupt, costly, economically wasteful lifetime extravagantly appointed federal courts - see RICO case      
           http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm         ]    


Don’t Tread On Me: A Refresher Course on the Constitution


BUDGET CRISIS PUTS LOS ANGELES COURT SYSTEM AT RISK ...  [Judge sends Lohan to jail for probation violation (AP) – They got her! That globe-trotting danger / threat to society, the infamous public enemy Lindsey Lohan. Guess she couldn’t cough up that direct or indirect bribe. How pathetic these corrupt, kangaroo courts are! If only she was a drug dealer, armed robber, etc., she would have had the pre-paid connections to avoid this preposterous (known substantial criminals walk about freely, without fear) outcome. This, even as they are releasing substantial felons owing to budgetary considerations. ABOLISH THE CORRUPT, ECONOMICALLY WASTEFUL SO-CALLED SYSTEM, FROM MY DIRECT OBSERVATION AND EXPERIENCE .     (PREVIOUSLY ARCHIVED) HOWEVER, THIS LATEST "CALIFORNIA/LA DISTRACTION" REQUIRES ELUCIDATION AS FOLLOWS:

·                Response to App. Div. OSC

·                STATE OF CALIFORNIA ethics complaint

·                Response to Sup.Ct. OSC

·                designation of record on appeal

·                The so-called "order" appealed from.
How embarrassing for the superior court of the state of california!

·                Typical corrupt banana republic america/california court


Dirty money digitally laundered … a wall street, atlantic city, and american story … a very bad one and  [also see
RICO case   http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf           http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm         ]     Fraud: It’s Much Bigger Than Goldman Sachs       Regulatory reform debate obscures key fact: Everybody’s getting money bribes from Wall Street  


Blagojevich calls feds 'cowards and liars'…[Yes. This is a rare moment for one to say that a sleazy hypocrite like blago, who is on corrupt federale-connected mobster trump’s celebrity apprentice, happens to be correct based upon facts / reality and my own direct observation and experience and the law – Don’t forget to include corrupt federal judges as maryanne trump barry, sam alito, shiff, matz, hall, underhill, dorsey, etc.. Defacto bankrupt america’s so-called system is pervasively corrupt and broken] (AP)   [Abolish the corrupt, costly, economically wasteful lifetime extravagantly appointed federal courts - see RICO case      
           http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm         ]    

 

Drudgereport: JUNE UNEMPLOYMENT 9.5%... 125,000 JOBS LOST...
Rate dips as 652,000 give up search...
Depressing... [That’s why they’re called depressions (just kidding … but no laughing matter) …  At this rate, with all those lost jobs and jobseekers no longer seeking those lost jobs that aren’t there, by their calculations (9.5% the bright spot … riiiiight!) we should be at full employment very soon … you can’t make this stuff up … really!].
New jobless claims rise [again]...
'Surprise'...
Pending home sales plunge record 30%...
Weak economic data suggest 'recovery' fizzling...
Fears mount over slowing global demand...
UN committee calls for dumping US dollar...
Six Months to Go Until the Largest Tax Hikes in History...
KRUGMAN: 'We are now, I fear, in the early stages of a third depression'...
STOCKS HIT LOWEST OF YEAR...
DEBT SOARS TO HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE WWII...
PRIVATE SECTOR SEES WEAKER JUNE JOBS...

Sputtering...
Dow Loses 10% in Q2...
Fed Officials Express Caution on Outlook, Avoid Talk of Further Stimulus...
NEW CLASHES IN ATHENS...

Greeks Walk Off Job...
NEARLY 2,000 PAGES: The legislation would redraw how money flows through economy...

Bank stocks soar … see new old opportunities for new old frauds ...
buzz aldrin wants to colonize Mars … Riiiiight buzzed! Better check with Dipalma to see if he already has the footage in the can since you won’t be able to use the moon footage for the new boondoggle video ...
WSJNBCNEWS: Confidence Waning in Obama, U.S. Outlook...
SCARY OBAMA: 'VERY DIFFICULT CHOICES AHEAD' ON DEFICITS
CHICAGOLAND BOMBSHELL: Obama knew plot to trade Cabinet post for appointing Jarrett to Senate -- Testimony...
RAHM DELIVERED THE LIST...
BLAGO TAPE: Get Obama to fundraise from Buffett, Gates...
Greece puts its islands up for sale in futile attempt to save economy...

DEUTSCHE BANK says US financial conditions are worse...
New home sales plunge 33%...
Record low...
CIA: AFGHAN PROGRESS 'SLOWER' THAN ANTICIPATED… Daaaaah! ...
GEN. PRAYFORUS
JUNE: DEADLIEST MONTH...
Obama's choice suggests longer troop presence...
Obama doubles down on war...
New General, Old Strategy...
President's real problem: War plan in trouble...
WIRES: Gen.'s remarks echo troubled strategy...
'Doubt among soldiers that counterinsurgency will work'...
REPORT: Traded Favors with Blago...
Sticker Shock Among Dems Jeopardizing Obama's Agenda...
CHINA TO OVERTAKE USA IN MANUFACTURING...
Canada's economy suddenly the envy of world...
Germany Rejects Obama's Call on Growth, Stoking G-20 Conflict...
States Take Aim at Pension Costs...
...Bank failure pace more than double last year
REPORT: Madoff tells cellmates of $9 billion stash... they all have them …
Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud
FANNIE AND FREDDIE tab 146B and rising; Foreclosed on home every 90 seconds...
THOMAS SOWELL: Is USA Now On Slippery Slope To Tyranny?
DEBT RISE TO $19,600,000,000,000.00 BY 2015
GALLUP: NEW LOW FOR O, SLIPS TO 44%...
POLL: Voter support for Congress at all-time low...
GALLUP: Obama's Weekly Job Approval Rating Skid...

RASMUSSEN POLL...
Obama Approval Falls to New Low: 42%
Obama Approval Index: -20
Strongly Approve 24%
Strongly Disapprove 44%
Total Approval 42%
UN rebukes of Israel permitted in US policy shift...
DEBT POISED TO OVERTAKE GDP
WH PRESS QUEEN: JEWS GET OUT OF ISRAEL, GO BACK TO POLAND … UPON REFLECTION, A GOOD IDEA … AFTER ALL, THE ENGLISH BALFOUR DECLARATION WAS A PRO-COMMUNIST CONCESSION, A BAD IDEA, AND THE CREATION OF ISRAEL U.S. DOD CHIEF JAMES FORRESTAL OPPOSED IN 1948 AS AN AMERICA KILLER!
'Three Cheers for  Helen Thomas'...

Census Worker Claims Job Numbers Being Inflated...
Bilderberg 2010: Between the sword and the wall...
Protesters 'being detained, searched, questioned'...
Final List of Participants...
Stephen Hawking: Aliens exist but don't talk to them -- it's too dangerous … might not like us… Oh pshaw! … Human nature, man’s inhumanity to man? … Such humble beginnings and evolutionary history  … What’s not to like? … Besides, not to worry.  With their advanced technologies that defy human understanding, the aliens already know you’re here … to stay. So, not to worry. After all, as we know from that documentary of that same name, ‘Earth Girls Are Easy’ … and then there’s photosynthesis on earth in a very big way also going for it! ...  
Seeing Aliens Will Likely Take Centuries. Centuries? Not goin’ to happen; at best, decades.

3-31-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-   srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia  (Only up to 3-11-11 - you must be logged in -  (Washington Post) [ Comments  COMMENTS ARE CLOSED WHILE WE UPGRADE OUR SYSTEMS  ] the comments are no longer archived on their site  )  .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew (and prospectively archived by quarter):  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf       ]



Bulls Look Ahead to Inflation: Dave's Daily  'Stocks ended the quarter with a whimper. Bulls were able to "stick" a good return and portfolio managers will earn their bonuses. Most news surrounded rising commodity prices (grains and energy--you know, the stuff we don't measure and are supposed to ignore), a negative inflation outlook from WMT and the Buffett compliance breakdown. Meanwhile Minneapolis Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota cautioned interest rates will be higher by the end of the year. He's far off team talking points it seems--or, is he? Nevertheless, all eyes are focused on Non-farm Payrolls report set for Friday. Volume again was ultra-light as it's been all week so those that can prop it had a field day. Per the WSJ breadth remains positive. This will push the $NYMO (see end of posting) close to short-term overbought conditions...'

 

Then there is the b*** s*** concerning treasury turning a profit on the (ongoing fed / pomo / wall street) bailouts that taxpayers have and will continue to pay for in higher prices from oil to grains to other commodities to fewer jobs, now and in the future. There is no modern day alchemy that 'spins more paper into gold'. That value has to come from some place; viz., you! Light Volume Rally Continues: Dave's Daily  ' ...The Fed has injected $500 billion (another $7B in POMO Wednesday) to the financial system since January 2011 and that wave of liquidity is overwhelming most thoughtful analysis... Sure it's the end of the quarter and a jam-job to close things out puts a smile on investors' faces and bonuses in portfolio managers' pockets. Painting the tape and window dressing is against the law … ADP data has misled before but Wall Street is awash with cash from on high and finds little other place to invest beyond stocks...'           M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you’      19 Reasons Why The Federal Reserve Is At The Heart Of Our Economic Problems  Most Americans don't understand what the Fed Reserve is or why it is at the heart of our economic problems. When Americans get into discussions about the economy, most of them still blame either the Democrats or Republicans for inflation, for the housing crash, for our rampant unemployment and for the national debt. The Economic Collapse]

 

Will ISM Peak Portend Doom for Stocks? Iacono 'Add this to the growing list of data points foretelling a rough road ahead for stocks, last month’s 27-year high for the ISM Manufacturing Index apparently a sign of a top for equity markets as detailed in this Chart of the Day [ http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-29/manufacturers-signal-u-s-stock-rally-to-fade-chart-of-the-day.html   ] at Bloomberg Along with the monthly labor report – where hopes are high that payroll gains will keep pace with the growth in the U.S. population for the second month in a row – the latest ISM data will be released tomorrow, a rare occurrence when these two important gauges of the U.S. economy are reported on the same day, possibly producing a little extra market volatility.' [ ' U.S. manufacturers are signaling that a two-year surge in stocks may give way to smaller gains, according to Jeffrey Kleintop, chief market strategist at LPL Financial Corp. The CHART OF THE DAY compares the Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing index, based on a monthly survey of corporate purchasing managers, with the year-to-year percentage change in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. February’s ISM reading of 61.4 matched its peak in May 2004, which in turn was the highest level since 1983. The March figure will be published on April 1, and economists surveyed by Bloomberg anticipate a drop to 61 on average. Readings of more than 50 signal growth. “With momentum in the ISM at or near a peak, stock-market performance is likely to soften,” Kleintop wrote yesterday in a report. He cited the S&P 500’s performance before and after nine highs in the manufacturing gauge since 1976. In the first six months after the ISM topped out, the S&P 500 rose by an average of 1.3 percent. The comparable 12-month figure was 5.2 percent, far from the 18 percent average during the preceding 12 months. “It would be (April) foolish to expect the powerful pace of gains over the past two years to continue,” Kleintop wrote. At yesterday’s close, the S&P 500 was 94 percent higher than its March 2009 low. High-yield bonds and commodities may be more rewarding than stocks “in the near future,” he added. To contact the reporter on this story: David Wilson in New York at [email protected] To contact the editor responsible for this story: James Greiff at [email protected]  ' ]

 

Unemployment Claims: Headlines vs. Upward Revisions  Short 'The Department of Labor's Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report was released this morning for last week. As we saw in the previous week, the headline number is a decrease from the previous week (good news), but the previous week had been upwardly revised — in this case, double the headline decrease (the bracketed bold text below is my annotation). But check out the positive spin on CNBC and Bloomberg. Here is the official statement from the Department of Labor:

In the week ending March 26, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 388,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 394,000 [up 12,000 from 282,000]. The 4-week moving average was 394,250, a increase of 3,250 from the previous week's revised average of 391,000.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 3.0 percent for the week ending March 19, unchanged from the prior week's unrevised rate of 3.0 percent.

The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending March 19 was 3,714,000, a decrease of 51,000 from the preceding week's revised level of 3,765,000. The 4-week moving average was 3,765,250, a decrease of 32,750 from the preceding week's revised average of 3,798,000.

Today's number was above the Briefing.com consensus estimate of 383,000 claims. (Briefing.com's own estimate was for an extremely optimistic 370,000).

 

3-30-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-   srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia  (Only up to 3-11-11 - you must be logged in -  (Washington Post) [ Comments  COMMENTS ARE CLOSED WHILE WE UPGRADE OUR SYSTEMS  ] the comments are no longer archived on their site  )  .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew (and prospectively archived by quarter):  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf       ]



Light Volume Rally Continues: Dave's Daily  ' It may be it's the stupid person that fights this trend reversal. The Fed has injected $500 billion (another $7B in POMO Wednesday) to the financial system since January 2011 and that wave of liquidity is overwhelming most thoughtful analysis. So, give it up to the beard! Sure it's the end of the quarter and a jam-job to close things out puts a smile on investors' faces and bonuses in portfolio managers' pockets. Painting the tape and window dressing is against the law but show me someone who's been caught. ADP data indicated job growth for Thursday's Jobless Claims data and Friday's all important Unemployment report. ADP data has misled before but Wall Street is awash with cash from on high and finds little other place to invest beyond stocks. Bull's are betting on a good report to close out the week, and if not, they're just April Fools. Only a hardy few are pumping this market higher as volume remains ultra-light. Of course, volume data isn't on your monthly brokerage statement since that would only confuse you, right? No, TPTB just wants you to see higher prices to boost your confidence...' Chemist charged with insider trading  (Washington Post) [ This remains incredulous to me. Everyone but the big boys / frauds! Not just corruption, but bad time /resource management. The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed (this would also help significantly the hapless, hopeless budget scenario).  Drop in home prices raises fear of double dip  (Washington Post) [ Fear of double dip? We're in a  continuing dip that never really ended with  obfuscations of reality including more insurmountable debt and fed-based manipulations (Dave explains infra)  Case-Shiller Chairman: Here’s Why the Housing Market Recession is Not Over Wall St Cheat Sheet 'Welcome to 2003! The  S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index 10-City Composite was down 2% and the 20-City Composite fell 3.1% in January on a year-over-year basis. On a monthly basis, the 10-City Composite was down 0.9% and the 20-City Composite fell 1.0% in January versus December 2010.San Diego and Washington D.C. were the only two markets to record positive year-over-year changes. However, San Diego was up a scant 0.1%, while Washington DC posted a healthier +3.6% annual growth rate. The same 11 cities that had posted recent index level lows in December 2010, posted new lows in January.

David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor’s commented:

“Keeping with the trends set in late 2010, January brings us weakening home prices with no real hope in sight for the near future. With this month’s data, we find the same 11 MSAs posting new recent index lows. The 10-City and 20-City Composites continue to decline month-over-month and have posted monthly declines for six consecutive months now.These data confirm what we have seen with recent housing starts and sales reports. The housing market recession is not yet over, and none of the statistics are indicating any form of sustained recovery . At most, we have seen all statistics bounce along their troughs; at worst, the feared double-dip recession may be materializing. ..., but both series have moved closer to a confirmed double-dip for six consecutive months. At this point we are not too far off, and that is what many analysts are seeing with sales, starts and inventory data too...'   M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you… (see infra)’    ] False / fake data / reports galore … High oil price rally! Come on! What total b*** s***! Previous rally sparked by upward revision of GDP by the scandal-scarred commerce department? You can’t believe anything these desperate self-servers say! This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s suckers’ rally on more bad/worse than expected news (consumer confidence down) provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come!    Fed to hold regular news conferences  (Washington Post) [ Wow! Just what everyone needed … more spoon-fed b*** s*** / jawboning by the flawed, flatulent, faultful fed … for the sake of fraudulent wall street … you do remember those 'no-recession' jawbone sessions that sent the prior bubble expanding faster than 'the big bang' itself … until every got and continues to get banged from the last bubble-fraud crash.   Chairman Bernanke’s move is part of efforts by the central bank to make the institution appear less secretive.   States target jobless benefits  (Washington Post)  Durable goods (leading indicator) 200% worse than expected, stocks rally. ‘ February Durable Goods Orders Disappoint  NEW YORK (TheStreet) Bharatwaj …’     This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding     BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows    ]  The government charged a chemist at the Food and Drug Administration Tuesday with insider trading.

 

 

3-29-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-   srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia  (Only up to 3-11-11 - you must be logged in -  (Washington Post) [ Comments  COMMENTS ARE CLOSED WHILE WE UPGRADE OUR SYSTEMS  ] the comments are no longer archived on their site  )  .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew (and prospectively archived by quarter):  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf       ]



High oil price rally! Come on! What total b*** s***! Previous rally sparked by upward revision of GDP by the scandal-scarred commerce department? You can’t believe anything these desperate self-servers say! This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s suckers’ rally on more bad/worse than expected news (consumer confidence down) provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed (this would also help significantly the hapless, hopeless budget scenario).     Fed to hold regular news conferences  (Washington Post) [ Wow! Just what everyone needed … more spoon-fed b*** s*** / jawboning by the flawed, flatulent, faultful fed … for the sake of fraudulent wall street … you do remember those 'no-recession' jawbone sessions that sent the prior bubble expanding faster than 'the big bang' itself … until every got and continues to get banged from the last bubble-fraud crash. What do you expect these incompetent, fraudulent criminals / accomplices to say? That they haven't the slightest clue what they're doing and the damage they've already done? Come on! The more they speak, the less you really know; and, to borrow from that old saying / cliché … how do you know they're lying?... answer: 'their lips are moving'... They lie all the time … sometimes even when they don't have to.   M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you… (see infra)’   ] Chairman Bernanke’s move is part of efforts by the central bank to make the institution appear less secretive.   States target jobless benefits  (Washington Post) [ Sounds like a plan … from h**l … after all, beyond the rhetoric, propaganda, fake data / reports, etc., the only real manufacturing going on in pervasively corrupt / defacto bankrupt america is ever more worthless fiat paper currency, new fangled wall street paper / securities / toxic asset bubble-frauds, etc..   Unemployment numbers from the labored labor department? The ‘expiration / stopped looking, everyone’, at best. How can anyone believe anything the pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt u.s. government says. Durable goods (leading indicator) 200% worse than expected, stocks rally. ‘ February Durable Goods Orders Disappoint  NEW YORK (TheStreet) Bharatwaj …’     This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? … wise to lighten up some into strength ...  BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows       New homes are bad deals in some areas   (Washington Post) [  If it only was just the new homes being bad deals in some areas … and if it only was just real estate and not, ie., grossly over-valued u.s. stocks, which rallied on the much worse than expected news, etc.. Post 'The rise (in stocks) came in spite of record low new-home sales data and continued worry about the European debt crisis.'   Select Stocks Boost Markets: Dave's Daily   [ Dave: '...Economic data focused on New Home Sales which were down nearly 17% causing the Homebuilder ETF (XHB) to rally. I kid you not! ...' ]  ] Michigan moves to cut its unemployment program despite troubling jobless rates.

 

 

Oil Up, Stocks Up - How Long Can this Continue?  Maierhofer, On Tuesday March 29, 2011, 12:40 pm EDT

Yesterday, oil was an economic indicator promising prosperity. Today, oil is the biggest scapegoat around.

On December 22, 2010, the following headline graced the Wall Street Journal: 'Oil back at $90 as growth gains pace.' The commentary expressed this upbeat message: 'The recovery in oil prices is an encouraging sign of world growth.'

Triggered by the glaring disconnect between fact and financial reporting, I felt compelled to comment on the nuisance and point out the obvious danger of rising oil prices (see article 'Rising asset prices cannibalize U.S. growth').

Even the media has caught on by now. On March 1, Reuters ran the following article: 'Wall Street slammed as oil fuels recovery worries.' The commentary was less upbeat: 'Stocks dropped as investors worried that rising oil prices could choke the economic recovery.'

 

3-28-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-   srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia  (Only up to 3-11-11 - you must be logged in -  (Washington Post) [ Comments  COMMENTS ARE CLOSED WHILE WE UPGRADE OUR SYSTEMS  ] the comments are no longer archived on their site  )  .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew (and prospectively archived by quarter):  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf       ]

 

 

Black Swans Everywhere  Nyaradi 'Black swans seem everywhere as we have a nuclear accident in Japan, war and revolutions in the Middle East, demonstrations in Britain, and a looming U.S. Government shut down on April 8th. At Wall Street Sector Selector, we remain in the defensive mode, as black swans fly across the globe.

On My Radar
Another volatile week is now in the books and yet another lies ahead (click to enlarge).  [chart  http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/28/saupload_spx032611.png ] Chart courtesy of Stockcharts.com

 

3-25-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-   srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia  (Only up to 3-11-11 - you must be logged in -  (Washington Post) [ Comments  COMMENTS ARE CLOSED WHILE WE UPGRADE OUR SYSTEMS  ] the comments are no longer archived on their site  )  .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew (and prospectively archived by quarter):  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf       ]



Come on! Upward revision of GDP by the scandal-scarred commerce department? You can’t believe anything these desperate self-servers say! This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s suckers’ rally on more badworse than expected news provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed (this would also help significantly the hapless, hopeless budget scenario).     Fed to hold regular news conferences  (Washington Post) [ Wow! Just what everyone needed … more spoon-fed b*** s*** / jawboning by the flawed, flatulent, faultful fed … for the sake of fraudulent wall street … you do remember those 'no-recession' jawbone sessions that sent the prior bubble expanding faster than 'the big bang' itself … until every got and continues to get banged from the last bubble-fraud crash. What do you expect these incompetent, fraudulent criminals / accomplices to say? That they haven't the slightest clue what they're doing and the damage they've already done? Come on! The more they speak, the less you really know; and, to borrow from that old saying / cliché … how do you know they're lying?... answer: 'their lips are moving'... They lie all the time … sometimes even when they don't have to.   M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you… (see infra)’   ] Chairman Bernanke’s move is part of efforts by the central bank to make the institution appear less secretive.   States target jobless benefits  (Washington Post) [ Sounds like a plan … from h**l … after all, beyond the rhetoric, propaganda, fake data / reports, etc., the only real manufacturing going on in pervasively corrupt / defacto bankrupt america is ever more worthless fiat paper currency, new fangled wall street paper / securities / toxic asset bubble-frauds, etc..   Unemployment numbers from the labored labor department? The ‘expiration / stopped looking, everyone’, at best. How can anyone believe anything the pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt u.s. government says. Durable goods (leading indicator) 200% worse than expected, stocks rally. ‘ February Durable Goods Orders Disappoint  NEW YORK (TheStreet) Bharatwaj …’     This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? … wise to lighten up some into strength ...  BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows       New homes are bad deals in some areas   (Washington Post) [  If it only was just the new homes being bad deals in some areas … and if it only was just real estate and not, ie., grossly over-valued u.s. stocks, which rallied on the much worse than expected news, etc.. Post 'The rise (in stocks) came in spite of record low new-home sales data and continued worry about the European debt crisis.'   Select Stocks Boost Markets: Dave's Daily   [ Dave: '...Economic data focused on New Home Sales which were down nearly 17% causing the Homebuilder ETF (XHB) to rally. I kid you not! ...' ]  ] Michigan moves to cut its unemployment program despite troubling jobless rates.

 

 

3-24-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-   srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia  (Only up to 3-11-11 - you must be logged in -  (Washington Post) [ Comments  COMMENTS ARE CLOSED WHILE WE UPGRADE OUR SYSTEMS  ] the comments are no longer archived on their site  )  .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew (and prospectively archived by quarter):  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf       ]



Unemployment numbers from the labored labor department? The ‘expiration / stopped looking, everyone’, at best. How can anyone believe anything the pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt u.s. government says. Durable goods (leading indicator) 200% worse than expected, stocks rally. ‘ February Durable Goods Orders Disappoint  NEW YORK (TheStreet) Bharatwaj …’     This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s suckers’ rally provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed (this would also help significantly the hapless, hopeless budget scenario).    M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you… (see infra)’   Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’   BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows       New homes are bad deals in some areas   (Washington Post) [  If it only was just the new homes being bad deals in some areas … and if it only was just real estate and not, ie., grossly over-valued u.s. stocks, which rallied on the much worse than expected news, etc.. Post 'The rise (in stocks) came in spite of record low new-home sales data and continued worry about the European debt crisis.'   Select Stocks Boost Markets: Dave's Daily   [ Dave: '...Economic data focused on New Home Sales which were down nearly 17% causing the Homebuilder ETF (XHB) to rally. I kid you not! ...' ]



February Durable Goods Orders Disappoint  NEW YORK (TheStreet) Bharatwaj-- New orders for durable goods dropped in February, led by a drop in demand for machinery and defense capital goods. The Census Bureau said on Thursday that new orders dropped 0.9% to $200 billion in February, disappointing expectations for a 1.1% increase. Excluding the volatile transportation sector, new orders dropped 0.6%, following a 3.6% decrease in January. Economists were expecting new orders excluding transportation to increase by 1.8%, according to consensus estimates from Briefing.com.

New orders for defense capital goods dropped 25%, while demand for defense aircraft and parts fell 18%. Excluding defense, new orders for durable goods increased 0.4%.

New orders for machinery declined for the second consecutive month by 4.2%, the largest decrease outside of defense. Orders for primary metals dropped 2.1% and communications equipment fell 2.3%.

Nondefense new orders for capital goods- a proxy for growth in business investment- jumped 2.5% to $69.1 billion; shipments increased 1.1% to $66.2 billion.

Futures were paring gains in premarket trading. The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF(DIA_) was up 0.5%, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY_) and the PowerShares QQQ(QQQ_) were rising about 0.5% and 0.5% respectively. The SPDR Industrials ETF(XLI_) was, however, up 0.8%.--

 

 

New Home Sales at Record Low, TIPs on the Move  Inflation Trader 'The good news about housing is that it has fallen so far that a contraction in that sector doesn’t have the same impact it once did. Yesterday New Home Sales for February were reported at 250k (annualized, seasonally adjusted), yet another record low (see Chart below, click to enlarge). [chart http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/3/24/saupload_nhsl.png  ]

 

3-23-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-   srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia  (Only up to 3-11-11 - you must be logged in -  (Washington Post) [ Comments  COMMENTS ARE CLOSED WHILE WE UPGRADE OUR SYSTEMS  ] the comments are no longer archived on their site  )  .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew (and prospectively archived by quarter):  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf       ]



[I have been under constant barrage / hack / intrusions which has my antivirus working overtime and flashing saves from a multitude of threats. I think this particular thrust by what I reasonably suspect to be paranoid american / israeli criminals / lunatics was probably affected particularly by that blazing full ‘supermoon’, but continues when for now just limited moments I’m logged into windows xp, literally a virus magnet/so-called op system. I thereupon downloaded and installed linux / unbuntu 10.10 (most recent) which also makes available an ‘installer’ (separate download, both free from their official website -      http://www.ubuntu.com/desktop/get-ubuntu/download      ) that facilitates essentially a dual boot (you may choose your operating system for the session – windows or linux/ubuntu). Works like a charm and I strongly recommend it. Microsoft’s a dyingosaur american monopoly company which is an american tale and story of america as a pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt, dying / declining nation.]

 


Select Stocks Boost Markets: Dave's Daily   [ Dave: '...Economic data focused on New Home Sales which were down nearly 17% causing the Homebuilder ETF (XHB) to rally. I kid you not! ...' ] 'As you must know, many major indices are price weighted and the DJIA takes the lead in this regard. Six of the highest priced stocks Wednesday (IBM, BA, CAT, DVX, MMM & UTX) provided most of the gains. Stocks were lower most of the morning, but volume seemed light, offering an opportunity for buyers to push prices higher. The theme for bulls was reconstruction in Japan even though EWJ (iShares Japan ETF) finished the day slightly lower. ETFs like XLB (SPDR Materials Sector ETF), SLX (Van Eck Steel ETF) and XME (SPDR Metals & Miners) have the "stuff" needed for reconstruction. Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd ("I want me some more me!") Blankfein was on the witness stand today. He confirmed director Rajat Gupta violated "confidentiality" by tipping off hedge fund trader Raj Rajaratnam regarding Buffett's investment in his company. Also in the financial sector, the Fed announced it would not permit BAC to payout a dividend post the recent ("covered-up") bank stress tests. This rightly drove shares of many financial companies lower. Further, it should drive taxpayer's nuts that a Fed "gag order" restricting disclosure of stress test results exists. This is taxpayer money after all. Meanwhile, speaking of the Fed we had two days of POMO resulting in $15 billion in fire power for trading desks of Primary Dealers including GS. The poor ADBE outlook lingered over tech but traders always seem to find a way to discard bad news and shift focus elsewhere. Of course, this can only be done so long. Economic data focused on New Home Sales which were down nearly 17% causing the Homebuilder ETF (XHB) to rally. I kid you not! Energy markets were higher despite higher inventories. OPEC spokesmen stated Tuesday they're comfortable at $120. How about you? Gold and silver hit fresh highs, while the euro dropped on Portugal, base metals rallied and bonds were slightly lower. Volume was once again light while breadth per the WSJ was unremarkable...'

This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s short-covering / suckers’ rally provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come!  M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you… (see infra)’   Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’   BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows



3 Reasons to Exit the Market Now   Martchev  'NEW YORK (TheStreet) - A S&P 500 futures trader once told me: "After a sharp sell-off, the bounce leading to a first kiss of a 20-day moving average from below is a short sale." But, I had to ask, "Why?" "That's how it is," he said with a typical New York City assertiveness and did not elaborate. That very well may be "how it is" for the unwritten trading rule to look to sell the S&P 500 Index near the 20-day moving average after a sharp sell-off, but I still personally need to know the "why." Technical trading has value, but simply looking at charts is not enough for me. So, I decided to come up with some reasons behind why you should sell this particular rally.

No. 1: Oil Prices are Surging

Oil is above $100 per barrel as the bombardment of Libya has started. A missile already hit the Gaddafi residential compound -- "even though he is not a specific target" -- which, if successful, would have likely shortened the operation and brought a quicker resolution to the situation. (Click here for a related InvestorPlace.com article on investing in 3 dangerous places.) While Gaddafi has halted his attack on Benghazi after jet fighters attacked his troops directly, there is still plenty of fighting elsewhere. It looks to me that the rebels will use the situation to regroup and mount an offensive. In this situation, no foreign oil workers will return to the country anytime soon, causing Libya to further cut oil production. In addition, the situation in Yemen and Bahrain, both of which border Saudi Arabia, is rapidly deteriorating. In this scenario, I recommend taking a look at the U.S. Oil Fund(USO_) (NYSE: USO). This ETF has pulled back along with the front-month futures it tracks. Oil is likely headed higher in the short term, as all the factors that caused it to go to $107 have deteriorated notably while the price is below that level as of the time of this writing. There are liquid April, May and June options on the USO that offer numerous strategies to play the upside. Naked calls are the most risky, while any relevant option spreads will limit your risk and your rewards. (Smart traders try to minimize risk; greedy ones try to maximize the reward.)'

 

 

Lack Of Federal Fiscal Discipline Puts U.S. In Greece's League   Ganos  'The federal government stands on the brink of financial collapse.  For three years now, the federal budget deficit has been running around 10 percent of gross domestic product (GDP).  At the current rate of federal spending, our total national debt will be about 108 percent of GDP by the end of the current fiscal year in September 2011.  The Bowles-Simpson Commission warned that in three years, we will be where Greece is now. The Maastricht Treaty – which governs the euro currency system – requires member nations to exercise a certain level of fiscal discipline.  Specifically, a member nation should not have a budget deficit that exceeds three percent of GDP.  And, a member nation should not have total national debt that exceeds 60 percent of GDP. Of course, the only member nation that seems to have been telling the truth about its finances was Germany. Look where Europe is now.  Greece’s national debt is approximately 150 percent of its GDP.  At our current rate, we will be there in about three years as Bowles and Simpson have warned.  Separately, economic historians will tell us that countries whose total national debt exceeds 90 percent have tough times going forward. While Greece kicks and screams about austerity, there is a perfect example of a turn-around: Brazil.  Thirty years ago, Brazil was a financial basket case.  It defaulted on much of its debt.  After taking some tough medicine, its national debt is now about 30 to 40 percent of GDP.  Today, Brazil is growing quite well.  It has the seventh largest economy in the world and will likely overtake France and Germany in the next five years to take the number five position. The bottom line is that the federal government needs to exercise fiscal discipline.  The solution needs to work for everyone.  The folks on the left will want this or that.  The folks on the right will want a different this or that.  Everyone must share in the pain or we’ll all be in for worse pain.  And, I don’t particularly care what the “this or that” is.  That’s for the politicians.  I do particularly care about the number, that we balance our budget.  If that means one combination or another of tax increases and spending cuts, fine.  My family must balance its budget.  Your family must balance its budget. Now, I was about to say that we couldn’t pin this one on Goldman Sachs.  But, from which firm have many of our recent Secretaries of the Treasury come?'

 

 

3-22-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-   srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia  (Only up to 3-11-11 -  (Washington Post) [ Comments  COMMENTS ARE CLOSED WHILE WE UPGRADE OUR SYSTEMS  ] the comments are no longer archived on their site  )  .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf       ]

 

 

 

[I have been under constant barrage / hack / intrusions which has my antivirus working overtime and flashing savesfrom a multitude of threats. I think this particular thrust by what I reasonably suspect to be paranoid american / israeli criminals / lunatics was probably affected particularly by that blazing full ‘supermoon’, but continues when for now just limited moments I’m logged into windows xp, literally a virus magnet/so-called op system. I thereupon downloaded and installed linux / unbuntu 10.10 (most recent) which also makes available an ‘installer’ (separate download, both free from their official website-I will provide the link I used next session) that facilitates essentially a dual boot (you may choose your operating system for the session – windows or linux/ubuntu). Works like a charm and I strongly recommend it. Microsoft’s a dyingosaur american monopoly company which is an american tale and story of america as a pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt, dying / declining nation.]

 

 

 

 

I was somewhat nonplussed by the suckers’ market bounce those few days but there was also that ‘shock and awe’ Libyan thing; and then, ‘Eureka!’ … there it was, staring down for all to see … a blazing full moon. Yes, they have such affects on lunatics as in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america et als; but particularly on wall street, and it certainly doesn’t take much to push the frauds on wall street over the edge and into their predisposed fraudulent madness. In fact, you could say, ‘it’s in their genes’. This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s short-covering / suckers’ rally provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come!    Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’   BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows



Global Meltdown? [ Looks like … feels like … seems like … Yes, it is! A global meltdown! ] Nyaradi  ‘Global meltdown. Scary words, indeed. However, as we look around our world, it certainly does appear that a global meltdown is in progress…’

 

4 Phases of a Bear Market Meshkati NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- 'Almost exactly one month ago, I described the 4 phases of a bull market cycle. My reason for writing the article was to warn market participants of the impending disaster that tends to strike right around the time a certain class of investor (termed "phase 4" investors) becomes involved in the financial markets...'

 

Deal to combine AT&T, T-Mobile raises questions (AP) [Questions? Is that all? att / sbc is a horribly managed company that can't even do the simplest things well; ie., land lines and dsl thereby, my direct experience. We've seen this all before. When they can't do, they go monopoly bigger with disasterous results. This is an old story with a familiar ending. AP - AT&T's surprise announcement that it plans to acquire T-Mobile USA will force federal regulators to confront a difficult antitrust question: Can American consumers get good wireless service at a ...

 

 

M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds. POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you...'

 

3-21-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-   srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia  (Only up to 3-11-11 -  (Washington Post) [ Comments  COMMENTS ARE CLOSED WHILE WE UPGRADE OUR SYSTEMS  ] the comments are no longer archived on their site  )  .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf       ]

 

 

[I have been under constant barrage / hack / intrusions which has my antivirus working overtime and flashing savesfrom a multitude of threats. I think this particular thrust by what I reasonably suspect to be paranoid american / israeli criminals / lunatics is probably affected particularly by this blazing full ‘supermoon’. I thereupon downloaded and installed linux / unbuntu 10.10 (most recent) which also makes available an ‘installer’ (separate download) that facilitates essentially a dual boot (you may choose your operating system for the session – windows or linux/ubuntu – linux/ubuntu comes loaded with very functional software; ie., open office suite, firefox web browser, etc.). Works like a charm and I strongly recommend it. Microsoft’s a dyingosaur american monopoly company which is an american tale and story of america as a pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt, dying / declining nation.]

 

 

 

 

I was somewhat nonplussed by the suckers’ market bounce these past two (now three) days, and then, ‘Eureka!’ … there it was, staring down for all to see … a blazing full moon. Yes, they have such affects on lunatics as on wall street and it certainly doesn’t take much to push the frauds on wall street over the edge and into their predisposed fraudulent madness. In fact, you could say, ‘it’s in their genes’. This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s short-covering / suckers’ rally provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come!  M&A, Ben Resuscitate Bulls: Dave's Daily  'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money--nifty trick eh? With all the geopolitical and nuclear events going on little noticed was Fed "stress tests" of financial institutions to see if they were healthy enough to buy back shares and pay dividends. Making the matter sinister and less transparent is their gag order on the entire process. The Fed also has some toxic waste they'd like to sell you… (see infra)’   Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’   BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows



 

3-18-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-   srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia  (Only up to 3-11-11 -  (Washington Post) [ Comments  COMMENTS ARE CLOSED WHILE WE UPGRADE OUR SYSTEMS  ] the comments are no longer archived on their site  )  .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

I was somewhat nonplussed by the suckers’ market bounce these past two days, and then, ‘Eureka!’ … there it was, staring down for all to see … a blazing full moon. Yes, they have such affects on lunatics as on wall street and it certainly doesn’t take much to push the frauds on wall street over the edge and into their predisposed fraudulent madness. In fact, you could say, ‘it’s in their genes’. This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s short-covering / suckers’ rally provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come!    Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’   BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows



Global Meltdown? [ Looks like … feels like … seems like … Yes, it is! A global meltdown! ] Nyaradi  ‘Global meltdown.Scary words, indeed. However, as we look around our world, it certainly does appear that a global meltdown is in progress.At Wall Street Sector Selector, we are nearly fully positioned on the “short” side of global markets and so were fortunate to have had a pleasant day, unlike so many investors and citizens of our small world. I sincerely hope and pray that many pleasant days lie ahead for the people of Japan, Bahrain and Libya.Of course, the big news is in Japan, where the struggle to contain the potential of nuclear meltdown goes on after the tsunami and earthquake. I can’t add much to this discussion other than to say that from a human standpoint, we need to do what we can to help our allies in their time of need.I travel often to Japan and this is a modern Western country now without power and water and basic essentials for many days, and to fully understand this unthinkable tragedy, just try to imagine a 30 foot wall of water coming through your neighborhood, entire neighborhoods and towns disappearing, followed by the threat of nuclear catastrophe and no water and power for days on end during these cold early spring nights.Aside from the human catastrophe, the economic toll of this event will be felt for years. Some analysts estimate that Japan will have to import an additional 200,000 barrels of oil per day to make up for the lost output of the damaged nuclear plants, while insurance and GDP losses are only guestimates at this early hour but will be surely significant.Across the globe, unrest continues in the Middle East as Bahrain is under martial law, the Libyan government continues to quell the revolution (while the United Nations dithers) and Portugal’s credit rating is downgraded and totters again on the edge of financial collapse. At home, Congress continues putting band aids on our national budget deficit while home sales plunge to new lows…’

 

 

Gadhafi Does a Head Fake: Dave's Daily He declared an immediate cease fire to perhaps buy some time; however, he didn't stop his troops advance. The rebels also didn't stop fighting back correctly believing he was lying. It's unclear if his forces can retake important Benghazi before multinational forces enforce the "no fly zone." The UN vote was interesting with all BRIC countries plus Germany abstaining. Russia and China don't want to be on the world team and have their own agendas of global domination. The rest are a harder read. Markets were higher early on the belief Libya fighting would subside, Japan's reactor issues would be resolved and hopeful signs from GE (later a bust), CSCO and bank dividend schemes. However, as the news developed, Libya proved it wasn't about to stop its aggression and the Japan reactor issues remained heightened causing markets to decline into the close. There wasn't any economic data to speak of although the government noted (admitted?) the unemployment was higher in most of 372 markets in January throwing doubt on previous claims of lower data. The Fed is also continuing its POMO actions although Friday's buying was low. Bonds were somewhat weaker, Uncle Buck is homing in on all-time lows, commodities overall were higher as were precious metals. In the end nothing much mattered given quad-witching antics which have little to do with the news or much else--it's just a spectator sport. Volume remains elevated especially with quad-witching on Friday. Breadth per the WSJ was positive relieving much short-term oversold conditions…’

 

 

 

Why To Distrust The Snap-Back Rally  Harding ‘Thankfully the news out of Japan regarding the potential for nuclear meltdowns has subsided, and global stock markets have rallied for two days in relief. Many on Wall Street are claiming the correction in global stock markets is therefore over, and it’s a buying opportunity.

Let’s think this through and not react too quickly. The human toll and economic damage in Japan was from the earthquake, not the subsequent potential problems with nuclear plants.

Let’s consider first what was going on prior to the catastrophe.

Global markets were in quite significant corrections. For instance Brazil, China, India, and Hong Kong, topped out in November and were down 12% to 17% prior to the earthquake. Markets in Europe and the U.S. peaked in mid-February and were down 3% to 4%.

So an important question is whether the factors that had global markets already topped out prior to the earthquake have gone away. Unfortunately, the answer is that they remain in place, and if anything have worsened, and the aftermath of the disaster in Japan will likely add to them.

Those continuing problems are:

  • Rising global inflation.
  • Increasingly aggressive monetary tightening by important countries like Brazil, China, India, Hong Kong, and smaller emerging markets, in efforts to tackle the rising inflation, moves likely to also slow their economic growth.
  • Uncertainties created by political uprisings in oil-producing countries.
  • The on-going European debt crisis.
  • Austerity programs in European countries aimed at tackling the debt crisis, including cuts in government spending and jobs.
  • The coming cutbacks in U.S. federal, state, and local government spending to tackle their record budget deficits.
  • The approaching end of the Fed’s QE2 pump-priming program.

Now added to those problems is the massive natural disaster in the world’s third largest economy, Japan, a very important part of the global manufacturing and high-tech supply chain. It has come at the worst time for the struggling Japanese economy. The damage has already forced the closing of factories by Nissan, Toyota, and Sony, as well as several oil refineries, while large agricultural areas were wiped out, which can only add to concerns about rising food prices. Japan’s problems will affect other global economies.

Optimists are pointing to reconstruction as being a positive for Japan’s economy, noting that six months after the Kobe earthquake in Japan in 1995 almost all of Kobe’s factories and infrastructure had been rebuilt. They are leaving out that Japan’s stock market declined for six months after the smaller Kobe earthquake and during the re-building stage, losing 32% of its value. At the present time, the Japanese market is down only 15%.

Meanwhile, European central banks have now acknowledged inflation concerns, and the UK says it could begin raising interest rates as soon as its April meeting.

The uprisings in oil-producing countries have not gone away, and indeed have become more violent. In Libya, Dictator Muammar Gaddafi launched military operations this week to crush demonstrators, and the U.N. authorized military attacks against Gaddafi forces to assist the demonstrators. The previously peaceful uprising in Bahrain became violent after Bahrain’s royal family called in military forces from Saudi Arabia to help it put down the revolt.

The uprisings in Egypt, Tunisia, Libya, Bahrain, and Yemen, and unrest in Syria, Iran, and Saudi Arabia, reportedly even have leaders in Russia, Cuba, and China nervous.

In the European debt crisis, Portugal’s credit rating was downgraded further this week, and its Prime Minister said he will quit if Portugal’s parliament does not consent to his proposed austerity measures.

And on it goes. The previous problems that had global stock markets topped out on fears of rising inflation and concerns about the sustainability of the fragile global economic recovery, have not gone away, and if anything worsened while attention was diverted by the disaster in Japan.

On the technical analysis side, the additional five-day market plunge following the disaster in Japan had markets short-term oversold, and likely to see a short-term rally off the oversold condition, but it’s questionable whether a bottom is in yet, particularly in the U.S.

At their peaks, global stock markets, including that of the U.S., were extremely overbought above their long-term 200-day moving averages, to a degree that almost always results in a decline at least down to retest the support at that moving average. In their corrections, some of which began in November, others in mid-February, markets in Asia and Europe did decline to that moving average. In several cases the support did not hold and they broke below it.

But the U.S. market so far has pulled back only 6%, leaving it still 7% above its 200-day m.a.

Additionally, investor sentiment in the U.S. does not indicate a bottom. This week’s poll of its members by the American Association of  Individual Investors (AAII) shows bearishness has increased to 40.1%, but that is still well below the 55% to 65% bearishness usually seen prior to market lows.

So for now anyway, I still like the safe haven of treasury bonds, which I wrote up in my column last weekend. The iShares 20-yr bond etf, symbol TLT, has gained more than 5% in the five weeks since its early February low. And I still like gold bullion and the SPDR Gold etf, symbol GLD. Gold is the long-time hedge against rising inflation. I even like the idea of some downside positions against the U.S. market, and I’m looking at some toppy looking stocks that might be short-sale candidates.’

 

 

3-17-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and today’s short-covering / suckers’ rally provides an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come!    Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’   BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows



Global Meltdown? [ Looks like … feels like … seems like … Yes, it is! A global meltdown! ] Nyaradi  ‘Global meltdown.Scary words, indeed. However, as we look around our world, it certainly does appear that a global meltdown is in progress.At Wall Street Sector Selector, we are nearly fully positioned on the “short” side of global markets and so were fortunate to have had a pleasant day, unlike so many investors and citizens of our small world. I sincerely hope and pray that many pleasant days lie ahead for the people of Japan, Bahrain and Libya.Of course, the big news is in Japan, where the struggle to contain the potential of nuclear meltdown goes on after the tsunami and earthquake. I can’t add much to this discussion other than to say that from a human standpoint, we need to do what we can to help our allies in their time of need.I travel often to Japan and this is a modern Western country now without power and water and basic essentials for many days, and to fully understand this unthinkable tragedy, just try to imagine a 30 foot wall of water coming through your neighborhood, entire neighborhoods and towns disappearing, followed by the threat of nuclear catastrophe and no water and power for days on end during these cold early spring nights.Aside from the human catastrophe, the economic toll of this event will be felt for years. Some analysts estimate that Japan will have to import an additional 200,000 barrels of oil per day to make up for the lost output of the damaged nuclear plants, while insurance and GDP losses are only guestimates at this early hour but will be surely significant.Across the globe, unrest continues in the Middle East as Bahrain is under martial law, the Libyan government continues to quell the revolution (while the United Nations dithers) and Portugal’s credit rating is downgraded and totters again on the edge of financial collapse. At home, Congress continues putting band aids on our national budget deficit while home sales plunge to new lows…’

 

 

Oversold Market Rally: Dave's Daily It was time for a good oversold short squeeze and we got it today. Wednesday's large selloff took the McClellan Oscillator to sub -60 readings; the VIX nearly broached the fear level of 30; and, daily RSIs in some sectors also pushed below 30 meaning more oversold conditions. The initial stimulus for today's rally came from FedEx which actually reported results that missed, but gave a cautiously positive forecast. The stock rallied 5% on the news initially. Jobless Claims also fell just matching expectations; headline CPI was up .5% (I refuse to report the bogus "core" rate); Industrial Production was a large miss lower (-.1% vs. +.5%); Leading Indicators missed expectations (.8% vs 1% expected) but the Philly Fed knocked the cover off the ball with a reading of 43.4 vs 28 expected. Little noticed by bulls was the huge rise in prices that will surely be noted in the next PPI report. The Fed tossed-in another $7B in POMO to grease the trading desks and "wink-wink" they know what they're supposed to do with that cash. As to problems with Japan and MENA, bulls just put those aside for today. Also options expiration is at hand and can add significantly to volatility. And, what the hell, it is St. Patrick's Day after all! So let's put our worries aside and rally. Volume was still high but about 45% lower than Wednesday. Breadth was positive but moderately so…’

 

 

 

Housing Starts and the New Bear Market [ Actually, this has been a manipulated bull (s***) cycle in a (continuing) secular bear market. ] Suttmeier ‘Housing Starts and Building Permits disappoint. Part of my bear market theme is that Federal Reserve policy has failed to help cure the original catalyst that began the bear market of October 2007 to March 2009. Homebuilder stocks peaked in mid-2005, community banks peaked at the end of 2006, and regional banks including those considered "too big to fail" topped out in March 2007. Housing remains depressed, and community banks continue to fail on "Bank Failure Friday!" You would think that the zero to 0.25% federal funds rate in effect since December 16, 2008 would have helped, but it has not. You would think that QE2, which comes to an end on June 30 would have helped, but it has not. Meanwhile the FOMC ignores the rising cost of living on Main Street USA. Ben Bernanke needs to be replaced as Fed Chairman!

Wednesday morning we learned that housing starts and building permits for new home construction posted unexpected declines. Housing Starts plunged 22.5% from January to a seasonally adjusted 479,000 units, the second slowest pace on record. Building Permits fell 8.2% to a record low pace of 517,000. How come the zero percent money from the Fed and QE2 cannot get to the cause of "The Great Credit Crunch," which continues since March 2007?

 

3-16-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

(Washington Post) [ Comments  COMMENTS ARE CLOSED WHILE WE UPGRADE OUR SYSTEMS  ]

 

 

US says plant's spent fuel rods dry; Japan says no (AP) AP - Nuclear plant operators trying to avoid complete reactor meltdowns said Thursday that they were close to completing a new power line that might end Japan's crisis, but several ominous signs have also emerged: a surge in radiation levels, unexplained white smoke and spent fuel rods that U.S. officials said could be on the verge of spewing radioactive material.      Lessons from the long tail of improbable disaster (Washington Post) [ No! I disagree with the implication of the article! Modern life advantages? What, new fangled frauds? That was the bottomline to the real estate debacle; that is, the ‘pretend’ was creating an ongoing plethora of profits derived from literally worthless paper. If not for financial incentive (from fraud), and certainty of prosecution for the fraud (to date such has not occurred), this still extant debacle in the trillions would not have occurred. Moreover, and this is not 20/20 hindsight, I had no idea of the prevalence of earthquakes in Japan (but was aware of their nuclear energy commitment) and clearly, conscious decisions for the sake of extra profits were made regardless of risk. Some (ie., earthquake-prone) nations just have to suck it up and make do without nuclear (and pay more for fossil fuels, etc., which would affect margins). The BP disaster was the consequence of a known flaw, even warned against by personnel close to the debacle (the solution possibly affecting executive bonuses, yacht, plane, exotic vacation home, etc.). New Orleans? … well, who’d want to live there anyway outside of the Mardi Gras celebration…just kidding. All the attention in the world does not change the ‘facts of life’. No, not those facts of life, but reality. ] The lesson of disasters such as the one in Japan is that more attention must be paid to extra risks that come with all the advantages of modern life

 

 

A Tragedy of Epic Proportions: Dave's Daily ‘No Mr. Wise Guy today. The world is facing two crises in Japan and MENA. The nuclear issue in Japan appears out of control. At the same time, this tragedy is masking what's going in MENA as Gadhafi takes control and in Bahrain where the weird Sunni/Shiite battles rage. With the latter, it's like a primitive religious war the west experienced centuries ago (save Ireland) with Catholics fighting Protestants. Where is the president? This has been a universal question raised by both right and left. Obama appeared on ESPN to go over his NCAA basketball bracket, is hosting a $30K a plate fund raiser in Harlem and heads this weekend to Rio. The president's disconnect is beyond belief and his ears have turned to tin. Hillary Clinton meanwhile has announced she won't serve a second term as Secretary of State should Obama be reelected. Perhaps she'll serve as Vice-President to beef-up Obama's reelection chances; but, she hasn't distinguished herself in foreign affairs lately. Last night the BOJ injected many trillions of yen helping markets rebound. With rapidly changing "current" news this may not occur tonight. Bulls hope for reconstruction that will help U.S. industries within materials and manufacturing sectors providing the stuff they need to rebuild. But, that's a longer term positive for U.S. markets. For now, we need to know how this situation will play out from a humanitarian and safety view. The yen has hit fresh all-time high with repatriation paramount. Bonds are still climbing while crude oil rose and precious metals were up a touch. Other commodities were mixed…’

 

 

 

Top 3 Reasons Markets Continued to Get Hammered  Wall Street Cheat Sheet ‘On Wednesday March 16, 2011, Markets closed down on Wall Street: DJI -2.04% SP500 -1.95% Nasdaq -1.89% Gold +0.24 % Oil +1.46% .Japan ( NYSE:EWJ ) continues to spook the world and Saudi Arabia has an escalating issue with Bahrain. Moody’s ( NYSE:MCO ) also downgraded Portugal’s credit rating again and PIIGS like Spain ( NYSE:EWP ) got slammed as austerity is becoming the new normal in Europe.

Today’s markets dropped because:

1) Japan ( NYSE:EWJ ) is about as scary a situation as possible. Fukushima is the center of the world at this point, and reports on Japan’s wire indicate problems are not contained at the nuclear power plant. General Electric ( NYSE:GE ) has been dumped on fears of legal liability for the design and construction of the facility at issue, and you better believe the Japanese government will look for a scapegoat (and deep pockets) once the situation stabilizes and the blame game begins. The next BP ( NYSE:BP )? Possibly. But there is still hope for a successful rebuild .

2) US producer prices are heating up and housing starts are drastically slowing down. Ironically, the best thing that could happen to the housing market is a slowdown in adding new supply. But don’t tell that to Homebuilders ( NYSE:XHB ) who got slammed today . And the last thing producers need is higher input costs as the economy remains as fragile as a Hollywood ego at the Oscars . Hey, let’s all focus on the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament and everything will seem fine … for a few days.

3) Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) had its tiara dented. Ready for a complete shocker? The iPad2 is sold out, yet some Excel jockey over at JMP Securities (who??) downgraded Apple . On a more important note, tablet computing rival Motorola ( NYSE:MMI ) announced the new Xoom WiFi will compete at Apple’s price point and run on Google’s ( NASDAQ:GOOG ) Honeycomb OS. All this added up to a staggering 4.4% one day drop for Wall Street’s darling.

Now that you’re in the know, good luck using logic or reason to predict tomorrow’s market activity.’

 

3-15-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

Is the Bear Market Back?  [ The bear market never left … This has been a manipulated bubble-bull cycle in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone and hence, is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come! ] Michaud ‘Financial Markets at Critical Junctures’ (see infra)

 

 

U.S. Stocks in Red, Though Markets Cut Early Losses Amid Fed Optimism  [ Fed optimism? You mean ‘fed b*** s*** ‘! Yes, we’re spoon fed ‘fed b*** s*** ‘.  The same ‘no-recession’ b*** s*** that wall street frauds are made of and thrive on. What do you expect them to say? After all, it’s the fed’s incompetence, complicity and wall street’s greed, fraud!  ]  Midnight Trader (see infra)

 

 

Marc Faber On The Japanese Disaster, On A 20% Market Correction And On QE18 Marc Faber appeared earlier on CNBC in response to a plunging market, and gave his latest updated outlook on QE3… and 4, 5, 6, 7 and 8 (not to mention 18).  Tyler Durden Zero Hedge March 15, 2011 ‘Marc Faber appeared earlier on CNBC in response to a plunging market, and gave his latest updated outlook on QE3… and 4, 5, 6, 7 and 8 (not to mention 18). “We may drop 10 to 15 percent. Then QE 2 will come, (then) QE 4, QE 5, QE 6, QE 7—whatever you want. The money printer will continue to print, that I’m sure. Actually I made a mistake. I meant to say QE 18.” Faber was modestly constructive on the Japanese selloff, which at one point hit 18% down in overnight futures trading: “This huge selloff is an investment opportunity in Japanese equities, but if a meltdown occurs then all bets are off.” As usual, there is no love loss between Faber and the Chairsatan (recall that today’s Empire Manufacturing survey confirmed margins continue to be crushed due to surging input costs): “I think Mr. Bernanke doesn’t know much about the global economy but he probably watches the S&P every day.” And on Fed criticism: “”Until very recently the Feds have had very few critiques, very few people criticized the Fed’s policies under Mr. Greenspan and Mr. Bernanke. Over the last few months, a lot of critical comments have come up about the Fed and its money-printing habit. The S&P drops 20 percent (and) all the critics will be silent and they will all applaud new money-printing.” No fear of that here: Zero Hedge has been rather vocal in our opinion of the world’s most destructive central planning buro from day one. We will continue being so, regardless how low the S&P plummets… Perhaps even to its fair value south of 500.’



This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!

 

 

Poll: Support for Afghan war waning (Washington Post) [ Waning? When have these nation-bankrupting, perpetual war policies been other than ‘waning’, except among the zionists, neocons, war criminals, military industrial complex, war profiteers, etc.. It was opposition to these perpetual war policies that got ‘wobama the b’ (for b*** s***) elected, only to be revealed for the blatant liar / fraud that he truly is.  ]

 

 

Obama Laments He’s Not President Of Communist China [ Time to relieve wobama the b’ (for b*** s***) of his burden by impeaching / removing him from office without delay! He may not have been the first black president (Clinton is generally considered the first black president by blacks and whites alike, a moniker Clinton accepted and wore proudly – that 18% vote), but he is certainly the last! Drudgereport: City Lowers Police Testing Standards Because Not Enough Blacks Passed...         Under pressure from Obama administration...    Illinois mayor says Obama still owes city $55,457...    Obama to party with Washington reporters...   Golf in the afternoon...    ] Weekly Standard | “Mr. Obama has told people that it would be so much easier to be the president of China.”

 

This is the grim economic reality   http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   .  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!  

 

 

Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’

 

 

World's richest are almost $1 trillion richer [ And the other 95% trillions poorer. ]

 

 

 

Saudi troops intervene in Bahrain  (Washington Post) [ This most assuredly is exactly that; viz., a ‘declaration of war’. And, as importantly, the militant / transgressor is hardly a righteous player but rather a self-interested, totalitarian, family plutocracy whose actions cannot be supported by any criteria heretofore promulgated precluding same.  Saudi police open fire at protest (Washington Post) [ Time to revoke the saudi pass to do whatever please owing to their preposterous claim to all the oil wealth of the entire Saudi nation.   16 miles away, Saudi Arabia's watchful eye looms over Bahrain unrest (Washington Post) [ I’m sure they are… with a microscope at that.  Saudis Worried Protests Will Hit Home  -  saudi arabia; talk about do nothing hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation; I suspect only when foreign corporations say so For the sake of the saudi Arabian people, more than just protests should come to fruition!  ] AFP | Saudi royal warns Arab world uprisings could cause harm unless they reform. Bahrain authorities launch surprise attack on protesters  [There’s the america and saudi Arabia effect; far less than democratic and far more deadly in the mideast among other places; talk about hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation as the saudis; time for the saudis to go the way of dictator Mubarak and take the war criminal americans with them.   ]  Los Angeles Times Tear gas canisters bombard sleeping protesters in Manama's Pearl Square. At least two men are reported killed   Video:  Bahrain protesters look to emulate Egypt revolt euronews    Riot Police Attack Bahrain Protesters Voice of America  ‘Saudi Arabia sending troops to Bahrain’  Saudi Arabia is sending troops to Bahrain in a move to crack down on pro-democracy protesters who took to the streets in the capital Manama, a political analyst says. [SAUDIS TOLD OBAMA 'NOT TO HUMILIATE MUBARAK'] Opposition calls move to shore up monarchy and quell protests a “declaration of war.”

 

 

 

3-14-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!

 

Monday's Correction: Now That's a Black Swan Tradermark ‘The seemingly widespread issues with nuclear plants in Japan are certainly not something one typically has to deal with in the market. Generally you expect media to overplay things, so after the quake Friday, it has been a surprise to see the nuclear situation getting seemingly progressively worse as each day passes, so we definitely have this affecting sentiment. Japan fell over 6% overnight, and U.S. markets are at fresh lows as this mini 'black swan' overwhelms the normal Monday morning garbage. [chart] I said Friday it would actually be in the bears' interest for a rally to work off some of the oversold condition, and then we'd (in a normal market) see another leg back down. Certainly due to the news, we did not get more than a 1 day bounce - but this is how sell-offs usually occur. While still prone to news which can herk and jerk us around, this market definitely now seems to be in correction mode with the S&P 500 quickly fading back the 50 day. One could make bets against the index with the 50 day as your ceiling. Usually a real correction begins with everyone thankful there is a "buying opportunity" but ends when people feel actual consternation. Right now, almost everyone is just thankful they have a chance to get in, hence I'd think there is more downside ahead from a sentiment standpoint.’

 

 

Who, Besides Ben Bernanke, Wants to Buy (u.s.) Bonds? [ Well, PIMCO just voted with their feet (they’re out of them) … Japansunami will preclude same (note: despite the dire implications for defacto bankrupt america owing to their costly reconstruction preoccupation … market suckers’ rally into the close and off the lows to keep investors suckered … you can do such things, especially into the close, with those computerized high frequency trade programs which are great for generating commissions from the old ‘in-out, in-out’, and then some … these days like last crash / crisis are made for such frauds.) … don’t go looking to china to take more baths, especially with that recent trade deficit of theirs. The answer is no-one! And, one can begin to see the fed’s reluctance to alow proper scrutiny of their books ( technically ‘insolvent’ but printing ever more worthless paper); beyond their complicity in the massive wall street frauds cashed out with their help, there’s the worthless ‘paper on paper’ debacle just around the corner.]

 

 

Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’

 

 

 

 

BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Blodget ‘Investors have gotten wildly bullish of late, as the bull market that started in early 2009 keeps driving stocks to new highs. But the pigs are about to get slaughtered, says Bob Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and editor of the Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter still thinks the new bull market is just a cyclical "retracement" of some of the bear market losses that we've had since the market crashed in 2008.  Prechter expected this retracement to drive stocks 50% above the market lows, but stocks have since soared 30% higher than than he expected.  So when the day of reckoning comes, Prechter thinks, it will be even more startling.  And Prechter still thinks that stocks will eventually crash to new bear-market lows (read: below 6,800 on the DOW). What makes Prechter think this day of reckoning may come sooner rather than later? Sentiment indicators and other technical analysis. Investor bullishness has now gotten so extreme, Prechter says, that it has exceeded the levels in 2008 before the market crashed.  Investors could still get even more bullish, of course, but eventually they'll pay for this optimism. And Prechter's not just bearish on stocks: He thinks oil, silver, and other commodities are absurdly overvalued, too.  The only thing he's bullish on is the dollar. And lest he be dismissed as a perma-bear, Bob Prechter is quick to add that he hopes there will come a day when he can come on the show and tell everyone that stocks are finally so crushed and hated that it's a historic opportunity to buy them.  When will that be? Stay tuned...’ The Case for a Bear Market for Stocks  Suttmeier ‘In making a bearish call on the U.S. stock market, I base it on both fundamental and technical factors. The fundamentals show that stocks are overvalued and we have had three ValuEngine Valuation Warnings so far this year. The January warning was ignored by the market but so far stocks peaked with the warning issued on February 18 and re-iterated on March 3. During this period we have seen many days where all 16 sectors have been overvalued, with eight to 11 by double-digit percentages. Today 63.8% of all stocks are overvalued, and all 16 sectors are overvalued, 11 by double-digit percentages…’

 

 

 

 

Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’

 

 

World's richest are almost $1 trillion richer [ And the other 95% trillions poorer. ]

 

 

Utilities Are Warning the Correction Is Here Gayed ‘The utilities sector (IDU) may not be the most fascinating sector of the market to watch, but in many ways can be one of the most important. Legendary technical analyst Edson Gould, known for being one of the best market timers of all time, believed that the performance of utilities was an early indicator for broad market movements. He noted often times that when utilities performed exceptionally well, within a short period of time, markets would experience a period of volatility and declining prices…’

 

 

 

2 Years After the Bottom, the 'Smart Money' Is Selling: "It's a Bit Late to Go Long," Nenner Says Nenner ‘Wednesday's two-year anniversary of the start of the bull market proved anticlimactic as major averages fell slightly. The selling picked up steam early Thursday as renewed concerns about Europe's debt crisis offset any positive impact of falling oil prices.

 

3-11-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 


This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!

 

 

Who, Besides Ben Bernanke, Wants to Buy (u.s.) Bonds? [ Well, PIMCO just voted with their feet (they’re out of them) … Japansunami will preclude same (note: despite the dire implications for defacto bankrupt america owing to japan’s costly reconstruction preoccupation … market suckers’ rally anyway to keep investors suckered and from getting any rational selling ideas over the weakend … you can do such things, especially into the close, with those computerized high frequency trade programs which are great for generating commissions from the old ‘in-out, in-out’, and then some … these days like last crash / crisis are made for such frauds.) … don’t go looking to china to take more baths, especially with that recent trade deficit of theirs. The answer is no-one! And, one can begin to see the fed’s reluctance to alow proper scrutiny of their books; beyond their complicity in the massive wall street frauds, cashed out with their help, there’s the worthless ‘paper on paper’ debacle just around the corner.]

 

 

Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’

 

 

 

 

BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Blodget ‘Investors have gotten wildly bullish of late, as the bull market that started in early 2009 keeps driving stocks to new highs. But the pigs are about to get slaughtered, says Bob Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and editor of the Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter still thinks the new bull market is just a cyclical "retracement" of some of the bear market losses that we've had since the market crashed in 2008.  Prechter expected this retracement to drive stocks 50% above the market lows, but stocks have since soared 30% higher than than he expected.  So when the day of reckoning comes, Prechter thinks, it will be even more startling.  And Prechter still thinks that stocks will eventually crash to new bear-market lows (read: below 6,800 on the DOW). What makes Prechter think this day of reckoning may come sooner rather than later? Sentiment indicators and other technical analysis. Investor bullishness has now gotten so extreme, Prechter says, that it has exceeded the levels in 2008 before the market crashed.  Investors could still get even more bullish, of course, but eventually they'll pay for this optimism. And Prechter's not just bearish on stocks: He thinks oil, silver, and other commodities are absurdly overvalued, too.  The only thing he's bullish on is the dollar. And lest he be dismissed as a perma-bear, Bob Prechter is quick to add that he hopes there will come a day when he can come on the show and tell everyone that stocks are finally so crushed and hated that it's a historic opportunity to buy them.  When will that be? Stay tuned...’ The Case for a Bear Market for Stocks  Suttmeier ‘In making a bearish call on the U.S. stock market, I base it on both fundamental and technical factors. The fundamentals show that stocks are overvalued and we have had three ValuEngine Valuation Warnings so far this year. The January warning was ignored by the market but so far stocks peaked with the warning issued on February 18 and re-iterated on March 3. During this period we have seen many days where all 16 sectors have been overvalued, with eight to 11 by double-digit percentages. Today 63.8% of all stocks are overvalued, and all 16 sectors are overvalued, 11 by double-digit percentages…’

 

 

 

 

Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’

 

 

World's richest are almost $1 trillion richer [ And the other 95% trillions poorer. ]

 

 

Utilities Are Warning the Correction Is Here Gayed ‘The utilities sector (IDU) may not be the most fascinating sector of the market to watch, but in many ways can be one of the most important. Legendary technical analyst Edson Gould, known for being one of the best market timers of all time, believed that the performance of utilities was an early indicator for broad market movements. He noted often times that when utilities performed exceptionally well, within a short period of time, markets would experience a period of volatility and declining prices…’

 

 

 

2 Years After the Bottom, the 'Smart Money' Is Selling: "It's a Bit Late to Go Long," Nenner Says Nenner ‘Wednesday's two-year anniversary of the start of the bull market proved anticlimactic as major averages fell slightly. The selling picked up steam early Thursday as renewed concerns about Europe's debt crisis offset any positive impact of falling oil prices.

In recent trading, the Dow and S&P were down about 1.3% each while the Nasdaq was off 1.5%. 

 

3-10-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!

 

 

Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’

 

 

 

 

BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Blodget ‘Investors have gotten wildly bullish of late, as the bull market that started in early 2009 keeps driving stocks to new highs. But the pigs are about to get slaughtered, says Bob Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and editor of the Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter still thinks the new bull market is just a cyclical "retracement" of some of the bear market losses that we've had since the market crashed in 2008.  Prechter expected this retracement to drive stocks 50% above the market lows, but stocks have since soared 30% higher than than he expected.  So when the day of reckoning comes, Prechter thinks, it will be even more startling.  And Prechter still thinks that stocks will eventually crash to new bear-market lows (read: below 6,800 on the DOW). What makes Prechter think this day of reckoning may come sooner rather than later? Sentiment indicators and other technical analysis. Investor bullishness has now gotten so extreme, Prechter says, that it has exceeded the levels in 2008 before the market crashed.  Investors could still get even more bullish, of course, but eventually they'll pay for this optimism. And Prechter's not just bearish on stocks: He thinks oil, silver, and other commodities are absurdly overvalued, too.  The only thing he's bullish on is the dollar. And lest he be dismissed as a perma-bear, Bob Prechter is quick to add that he hopes there will come a day when he can come on the show and tell everyone that stocks are finally so crushed and hated that it's a historic opportunity to buy them.  When will that be? Stay tuned...’ The Case for a Bear Market for Stocks  Suttmeier ‘In making a bearish call on the U.S. stock market, I base it on both fundamental and technical factors. The fundamentals show that stocks are overvalued and we have had three ValuEngine Valuation Warnings so far this year. The January warning was ignored by the market but so far stocks peaked with the warning issued on February 18 and re-iterated on March 3. During this period we have seen many days where all 16 sectors have been overvalued, with eight to 11 by double-digit percentages. Today 63.8% of all stocks are overvalued, and all 16 sectors are overvalued, 11 by double-digit percentages…’

 

 

 

 

Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’

 

 

World's richest are almost $1 trillion richer [ And the other 95% trillions poorer. ]

 

 

Utilities Are Warning the Correction Is Here Gayed ‘The utilities sector (IDU) may not be the most fascinating sector of the market to watch, but in many ways can be one of the most important. Legendary technical analyst Edson Gould, known for being one of the best market timers of all time, believed that the performance of utilities was an early indicator for broad market movements. He noted often times that when utilities performed exceptionally well, within a short period of time, markets would experience a period of volatility and declining prices…’

 

 

 

2 Years After the Bottom, the 'Smart Money' Is Selling: "It's a Bit Late to Go Long," Nenner Says Nenner ‘Wednesday's two-year anniversary of the start of the bull market proved anticlimactic as major averages fell slightly. The selling picked up steam early Thursday as renewed concerns about Europe's debt crisis offset any positive impact of falling oil prices.

 

3-9-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

 

This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!

 

 

Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’

 

 

 

 

BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Blodget ‘Investors have gotten wildly bullish of late, as the bull market that started in early 2009 keeps driving stocks to new highs. But the pigs are about to get slaughtered, says Bob Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and editor of the Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter still thinks the new bull market is just a cyclical "retracement" of some of the bear market losses that we've had since the market crashed in 2008.  Prechter expected this retracement to drive stocks 50% above the market lows, but stocks have since soared 30% higher than than he expected.  So when the day of reckoning comes, Prechter thinks, it will be even more startling.  And Prechter still thinks that stocks will eventually crash to new bear-market lows (read: below 6,800 on the DOW). What makes Prechter think this day of reckoning may come sooner rather than later? Sentiment indicators and other technical analysis. Investor bullishness has now gotten so extreme, Prechter says, that it has exceeded the levels in 2008 before the market crashed.  Investors could still get even more bullish, of course, but eventually they'll pay for this optimism. And Prechter's not just bearish on stocks: He thinks oil, silver, and other commodities are absurdly overvalued, too.  The only thing he's bullish on is the dollar. And lest he be dismissed as a perma-bear, Bob Prechter is quick to add that he hopes there will come a day when he can come on the show and tell everyone that stocks are finally so crushed and hated that it's a historic opportunity to buy them.  When will that be? Stay tuned...’ The Case for a Bear Market for Stocks  Suttmeier ‘In making a bearish call on the U.S. stock market, I base it on both fundamental and technical factors. The fundamentals show that stocks are overvalued and we have had three ValuEngine Valuation Warnings so far this year. The January warning was ignored by the market but so far stocks peaked with the warning issued on February 18 and re-iterated on March 3. During this period we have seen many days where all 16 sectors have been overvalued, with eight to 11 by double-digit percentages. Today 63.8% of all stocks are overvalued, and all 16 sectors are overvalued, 11 by double-digit percentages…’

 

 

 

 

Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’

 

 

World's richest are almost $1 trillion richer [ And the other 95% trillions poorer. ]

 

 

Utilities Are Warning the Correction Is Here Gayed ‘The utilities sector (IDU) may not be the most fascinating sector of the market to watch, but in many ways can be one of the most important. Legendary technical analyst Edson Gould, known for being one of the best market timers of all time, believed that the performance of utilities was an early indicator for broad market movements. He noted often times that when utilities performed exceptionally well, within a short period of time, markets would experience a period of volatility and declining prices.

The theory behind utilities' performance as it relates to the S&P 500 (IVV) does have a logic behind it. Because utility companies in general are local monopolies which have high infrastructure costs, most tend to have high levels of debt and are thus especially sensitive to intermediate/long-term interest rates. Growth in revenue is not the primary source of profits, but rather costs are.

What this means is that fundamental investors in utilities would really put money to work in the sector if they expected interest rates to fall, because that lowered cost of capital would benefit profits in a substantial way. Thus, the outperformance of utilities against the broader market is because of expectation that interest rates fall (the yield curve flattens).

So while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA), the S&P 500 (IVV), and particularly the Russell 2000 (IWM) have all gone effectively nowhere in price with high volatility, the utilities sector has consistenly been up more/down less on those big up and big down days we've been experiencing. Take a look below at the price ratio of utilities (IDU) to the Dow (DIA). As a reminder, a rising price ratio means the numerator/IDU is outperforming (up more/down less) the denominator.

Click to enlarge:

[chart]

The message from utilties investors is clear: Expect lower long interest rates in the near future. And since interest rates and the yield curve are a leading indicator of the economy and the broad stock market, we may very well be in the early stages of a correction.’

 

 

3-8-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!

 

 

Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’

 

 

 

 

BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Blodget ‘Investors have gotten wildly bullish of late, as the bull market that started in early 2009 keeps driving stocks to new highs. But the pigs are about to get slaughtered, says Bob Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and editor of the Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter still thinks the new bull market is just a cyclical "retracement" of some of the bear market losses that we've had since the market crashed in 2008.  Prechter expected this retracement to drive stocks 50% above the market lows, but stocks have since soared 30% higher than than he expected.  So when the day of reckoning comes, Prechter thinks, it will be even more startling.  And Prechter still thinks that stocks will eventually crash to new bear-market lows (read: below 6,800 on the DOW). What makes Prechter think this day of reckoning may come sooner rather than later? Sentiment indicators and other technical analysis. Investor bullishness has now gotten so extreme, Prechter says, that it has exceeded the levels in 2008 before the market crashed.  Investors could still get even more bullish, of course, but eventually they'll pay for this optimism. And Prechter's not just bearish on stocks: He thinks oil, silver, and other commodities are absurdly overvalued, too.  The only thing he's bullish on is the dollar. And lest he be dismissed as a perma-bear, Bob Prechter is quick to add that he hopes there will come a day when he can come on the show and tell everyone that stocks are finally so crushed and hated that it's a historic opportunity to buy them.  When will that be? Stay tuned...’

 

 

 

Why Social Security is welfare spacer(Washington Post) [ What does it matter what you call it? Part of america’s defacto bankruptcy? Most assuredly (I haven’t even looked at the Bloomberg propaganda piece which by its very title is an insult to intelligence; after all, we all know they can continue to print evermore worthless fiat currency which in reality does not change the ultimate reality of america’s defacto bankruptcy but merely exacerbates while forestalling a realistic assessment of the magnitude of the crisis. The fact is that there are others, culpable in creating this crisis who should shouldering the burden first; ie., frauds on wall street via prosecution, fines, disgorgement; Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’ ; SEC on the hot seat (Washington Post) [ Oooooh! The capital hill hot seat … shilling for no more than a grilling. House Republicans press SEC on official's ties to Madoff (Washington Post) [ The ultimate subterfuge. Mr. small potatoes madoff the focus of so much influence … yet he’s in jail … and the only one … Boy, did mary shapiro become total b*** s*** fast … the current shibboleth of  capital hill / all 3 branches of pervasively corrupt u.s. government … joining the others: “The Financial Industry Has Become So Politically Powerful That It Is Able To Inhibit the Normal Process of Justice And Law Enforcement” The economy cannot stabilize unless fraud is prosecuted. But the folks in D.C. seem determined to turn a blind eye to Wall Street shenanigans, and is now moving to defund the enforcement agencies like the SEC and CFTC.      Market Crash 2011: It Will Hit by Christmas   Farrell, MarketWatch  SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — ‘Politicians lie. Bankers lie. Yes, they’re liars. But they’re not bad, it’s in their genes, inherited. Their brains are wired that way, warn scientists. Like addicts, they can’t help themselves. They want to sell stuff, get rich…’   Financialization and Our Increasingly Unstable Economy Roche ‘I finally got around to seeing the movie Inside Job, the story behind the credit crisis and winner of the Academy Award for best documentary. It’s very good and I highly recommend it to anyone who hasn’t seen it. It will certainly infuriate you. The movie doesn’t place nearly enough blame on homeowners, but all in all it does an excellent job of showing how Wall Street and government have become overrun by deregulation and sheer greed. A combination of flawed economic theory and greed have combined to create the beast that we now call a “functioning” economy. The worst part of it all is that President Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place. …’  ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]

  ] Official opens an investigation into allegations that the agency mishandled potential conflicts of interest in its response to Madoff's Ponzi scheme.

 ] Here is how I define a welfare program.

 

 

 

 

3-7-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

 

This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!

 

 

Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’

 

 

 

 

BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Blodget ‘Investors have gotten wildly bullish of late, as the bull market that started in early 2009 keeps driving stocks to new highs. But the pigs are about to get slaughtered, says Bob Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and editor of the Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter still thinks the new bull market is just a cyclical "retracement" of some of the bear market losses that we've had since the market crashed in 2008.  Prechter expected this retracement to drive stocks 50% above the market lows, but stocks have since soared 30% higher than than he expected.  So when the day of reckoning comes, Prechter thinks, it will be even more startling.  And Prechter still thinks that stocks will eventually crash to new bear-market lows (read: below 6,800 on the DOW). What makes Prechter think this day of reckoning may come sooner rather than later? Sentiment indicators and other technical analysis. Investor bullishness has now gotten so extreme, Prechter says, that it has exceeded the levels in 2008 before the market crashed.  Investors could still get even more bullish, of course, but eventually they'll pay for this optimism. And Prechter's not just bearish on stocks: He thinks oil, silver, and other commodities are absurdly overvalued, too.  The only thing he's bullish on is the dollar. And lest he be dismissed as a perma-bear, Bob Prechter is quick to add that he hopes there will come a day when he can come on the show and tell everyone that stocks are finally so crushed and hated that it's a historic opportunity to buy them.  When will that be? Stay tuned...’

 

 

 

 

Ellen Bente Oliver  Salary of House/Senate...$174,000. Salary of Speaker of House...$223,500. Salary of Majority/Minority Leaders...$193,400. Average US Salary...$33,000 to $77,000. Maybe our elected officials should make an average salary too...It's a time of sacrifice after all...Pass along, post on your own page if you agree…’

 

 

 

 

Investors Whiplashed: Dave's Daily ‘As stated I'm away at a family reunion in Las Vegas. It's an appropriate place from which to view markets. Since the action is so crazy, no mere mortal, even with nearly 40 years experience, can make sense of it. So, in the interest of clarity (not to mention the family), I'll make only a couple of comments and just post a few charts. Yes, the unemployment data came in about as expected but wage growth was limited (who knew?!) and banks were downgraded by another bank, BAC. Not a nice thing to do to your pals. With MENA unrest near all time highs and oil prices exploding higher who would want to be casually long the markets heading into the weekend? But, someone (let's just guess shall we?) with the power to close this week higher launched a serious "stick save" late to do just that. This was gross manipulation. Volume was higher on selling once again as no doubt stops were hit once again. Meanwhile, per the WSJ, breadth was negative. ‘

 

 

3-4-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

This is the grim economic reality   [  http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm   ].  This manipulated bubble in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!

 

 

Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’

 

 

 

 

BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Blodget ‘Investors have gotten wildly bullish of late, as the bull market that started in early 2009 keeps driving stocks to new highs. But the pigs are about to get slaughtered, says Bob Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and editor of the Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter still thinks the new bull market is just a cyclical "retracement" of some of the bear market losses that we've had since the market crashed in 2008.  Prechter expected this retracement to drive stocks 50% above the market lows, but stocks have since soared 30% higher than than he expected.  So when the day of reckoning comes, Prechter thinks, it will be even more startling.  And Prechter still thinks that stocks will eventually crash to new bear-market lows (read: below 6,800 on the DOW). What makes Prechter think this day of reckoning may come sooner rather than later? Sentiment indicators and other technical analysis. Investor bullishness has now gotten so extreme, Prechter says, that it has exceeded the levels in 2008 before the market crashed.  Investors could still get even more bullish, of course, but eventually they'll pay for this optimism. And Prechter's not just bearish on stocks: He thinks oil, silver, and other commodities are absurdly overvalued, too.  The only thing he's bullish on is the dollar. And lest he be dismissed as a perma-bear, Bob Prechter is quick to add that he hopes there will come a day when he can come on the show and tell everyone that stocks are finally so crushed and hated that it's a historic opportunity to buy them.  When will that be? Stay tuned...’

 

 

YAHOO [BRIEFING.COM]: [Suckers’ rally into the close] ‘A late flurry of buying lifted the Dow almost 90 points in less than 30 minutes, but stocks still finished the day with marked losses as participants looked past an encouraging jobs report to focus on oil's climb to a new two-year high…’

 

Employment Report: No Joy Here Denninger ‘The reaction on CNBS, in particular: "This is a very good report."

 

3-3-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

This manipulated bubble rally in this secular bear market based on b*** s*** alone is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come!

 

 

Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures...So was this week’s stumble the beginning of a more serious correction? The events and reports this week did provide more evidence that the stock market may be ahead of reality regarding prospects for the economy, and therefore corporate earnings, going forward, which should at least limit the market’s upside potential. Limited upside potential equals more downside risk? It might be wise to lighten up some into strength that may develop over the next few days during the ‘monthly strength period.’

 

 

 

 

Commerce Data Shows Personal Incomes Rising but Few Americans Believe It  [ Yeah, they don’t believe it because it’s not true. Scandal scarred commerce department of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt, and very desperate america? Come on, give us all a break.   ] Zielinski ‘American workers should be celebrating the latest numbers from the U.S. Department of Commerce that show personal income at all time highs. Since taking a rather sharp dip during the recession of 2008-2009, personal income has soared to almost $13 trillion, up from $12 trillion in early 2009.

[chart] (Click to enlarge)

Getting Americans to believe that their incomes have actually increased is another story. While the Department of Commerce is reporting all time highs in income, another survey released by Fannie Mae shows the opposite.

Fannie Mae (FNMA.OB) conducts a National Housing Survey every quarter that polls homeowners and renters in depth about their confidence in homeownership, overall confidence in the economy and the current state of their household finances.

The latest National Housing Survey for the fourth quarter of 2010 polled 3,407 Americans and the results do not reflect the rosy income numbers reported by the Department of Commerce.

The survey revealed that 62% of all respondents believe the U.S. economy is on the wrong track, 60% reported that monthly household income was the same as a year ago and 34% said that their monthly expenses were "significantly higher" than a year ago. Only 19% of those polled said their incomes were significantly higher.

Keep in mind that Americans do not normally "inflation adjust" their perception of personal income – when respondents say that their income has not changed, it means they are receiving the same absolute amount of dollars, unadjusted for inflation.

[chart] (Click to enlarge)

Total personal income may have increased but income gains seem to have been limited to a small minority of Americans.

In any event, if most Americans have not seen an increase in their monthly incomes, there is little reason for comfort going forward. As higher oil and commodity prices work their way through the system, the basic cost of living will increase for everyone. If that’s not enough, once Fed Chairman Bernanke’s obsession with creating higher inflation succeeds, we are all apt to feel poorer.’

3 Market Valuation Indicators Continue to Signal Caution Short ‘Yesterday I posted monthly updates of the three valuation indicators I routinely follow:

 

3-2-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

[ (2-26-11 et seq) Let me state for the record here that my computer has been under constant viral, hack attack, paralleling prior such foolish, paranoid actions and let me reiterate: They will be sorry and I won’t forget it! ]

 

 

The TV Column: Charlie Sheen keeps talking; CBS gets in on the conversation (Washington Post) [Wobama says daffy gaddafi’s time is up, got to go. The same can be said of wobama et als and his fraudulently failed presidency.   Sheen On Obama: “A Coward In a Cheap Suit”   [ I think Sheen to be too gentle in his criticism of wobama (Some might reflexively, defensively allege drugs (prescription or otherwise) or any number of the varied personality disorders so prevalent in america … ‘fuzzy, California laid back thinking’, ‘whatever’… Who knows? ) But, that said, wobama’s far worse than just a ‘coward in a cheap suit’. Indeed, Wobama’s a total fraud having been elected under false pretenses; viz., his total, unequivocal, and unfulfilled b*** s*** (those campaign promises) ! Moreover, there has been some persuasive documentation questioning wobama’s citizenship / birthplace placing his eligibility to even hold the office of president in question.  Drudgereport: UPDATE: Huckabee claims Obama grew up in Kenya...      The Obama Nation, by Jerome Corsi  Rezko was corrupt, and supported Obama in many campaigns as well as in Obama buying his home -- and therefore, according to Corsi, Obama is corrupt by ...www.ontheissues.org/Obama_Nation.htm  ] Amidst the controversy of his wild interview on the Alex Jones Show yesterday, actor Charlie Sheen wasted little time in confronting President Barack Obama on his failure to answer Sheen’s twenty questions concerning 9/11, calling Obama, “a coward in a cheap suit.”        A Government Shut-down Imperils the Power of Congress Paul Craig Roberts | Congress could try to protect its loss of the power of the purse by impeaching Obama.       Drudgereport: WOBAMA 'IMPEACHMENT' WARNING...   ...to announce exploratory committee 'in 10 days'         Globalist Shill Barack Obama Asks Business Leaders For Job Creation Ideas Even As He Ships More Of Our Jobs Overseas As Part Of The New One World Economy The other day, Barack Obama summoned a group of business and labor leaders to the White House and “challenged” them to come up with some great ideas for creating more jobs inside the United States.   Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post). Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’: Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post) Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’:  

But still it’s ‘hands off fraudulent wall street’ to theirs, the nation’s, and the world’s detriment. Firms subpoenaed in attempt to regain Fannie, Freddie losses (Washington Post). But there’s a reason:

The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  ( UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown. ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1  – well worth a look. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

While boner and barton are indeed jokes / vegetables that bespeak the single-digit approval rate for congress, obama’s failure to deliver on promises with as well, endless war spending despite defacto bankruptcy of the nation and a watered down nothing financial regulation bill for talking points but little substance, make him as big a joker, along with the dems. This well researched / produced video tells the real story :  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1   ‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ – well worth the view.    [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends ]

‘The Obama Deception’ Censored  A viral You Tube upload of one of Alex Jones’ most popular feature films ‘The Obama Deception’ has been censored following a spur of the moment campaign to elevate the movie’s title to the top of the major internet search engines.      In light of this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if incomplete)     http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257#           For the Same Reason I’ve Included Here a Web Site Archived FLV Version of Esoteric Agenda          http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv   

 Cohen: Time for Arabs to reject anti-semitism (Washington Post) [ Reality check … time for israelis / jews to reject zionism and all that is entailed therein, including an alternate reality that defies credulity, rationality, and facts; such as, a self-rationalizing greed, anti-arab / anti-Christian predisposition and the ‘Oedipal Effect’ (blowback) engendered thereby. No, Johnny Carson was not anti-semitic (Fred Silverman), same for Charlie Sheen (Chuck Lorre), etc. (the list is endless inasmuch as when facts are not on their side, such specious inflammatory arguments as ‘anti-semitism’, prejudice, are a convenient subterfuge distracting from their weak position; ie., illegal nukes, war crimes, ignoring u.n. resolutions, ie., 242, 338, etc., ignoring international law. At best, no … God did not give them this land … at worst, God took the land back when they with roman muscle crucified Christ. Balfour was an arbitrary, incompetent, british joke.).  ] ]  Article | Tuesday will be known as the day we heard from The Receiving End of Charlie Sheen's Scorched Earth Media Tour.

 

Lt. Gen. John Kelly, who lost son to war, says U.S. largely unaware of sacrifice (Washington Post) [ I disagree! They are very much aware; as they stand in unemployment lines, use food stamps to get by, etc.. I hate to sound cavalier and I’m sorry that Kelly lost a son to war, but along with the multitude of civilians in the nations unlucky enough to provide a source of corporate welfare to the military industrial complex and war profiteering for the few (as warned against by President General Eisenhower), they died for nothing, for no good reason beyond the false propaganda.  Six NATO troops killed in Afghanistan (Washington Post) [ Is there something wrong with the following picture? … am I missing something?       Gates's warning: Avoid land war in Asia, Middle East, and Africa Christian Science Monitor - In a speech to cadets at the United States Military Academy at West Point, Gates's message was clear: The US military services, as well as the elected and appointed civilians who send them to war, need better ways of foreseeing and preparing for ...     Gates Tells US Army to Take New Approach Voice of America    Warning Against Wars Like Iraq and Afghanistan New York Times  [ Better said, than unsaid; but, methinks a bit late for that in light of pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america’s consummate decline and fall! If only they had listened and not shot at the messenger … things could have been different!    ]    

 

 

3-1-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

 

[ (2-26-11) Let me state for the record here that my computer has been under constant viral, hack attack, paralleling prior such foolish, paranoid actions and let me reiterate: They will be sorry and I won’t forget it! ]

 

March 2011 Economic Forecast: GDP Is Disconnected From the Real Economy - Hansen ‘Last week, the second estimate of 4Q2010 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was issued. It showed a rather paltry 2.8% economic growth.

The way GDP is designed – it is not a true measure of an advanced economy. It is designed to measure economic growth of an emerging economy. An advanced economy’s growth cannot be measured necessarily by measurements of brick and mortar or investment.

This kind of approach also leaves open too many questions relative to population growth and methodology in determining change in dollar value (analysis here).

The question really is a definition of an economy. My colleague Derryl put it succinctly in "Profits for a Few Can Not Replace Real Jobs:"

"The people" need to work to earn a living. That’s called "having an economy."

An economy is the sum of trading work and goods between all the people. Modern economies use money for this trade. GDP measures the "productive" use of money. GDP measures less than half of all money flows. Econintersect believes GDP does not properly measure "productive" use of money.

Economists are saying the economy has fully recovered from the Great Recession – yet Main Street remains in a depression. The reason comes from GDP itself. Simply isolating the goods and services Joe Sixpack from GDP, the economy is no where near recovered.

[chart]

(Click to enlarge)

You see, GDP takes credit for exports and debits imports. Yet Joe Sixpack is trading what he earns for products and services. To see the economy of Joe Sixpack, you have to look at the sum of what he is trading.

[chart]

(Click to enlarge)

Go back and review the economic forecasts Econintersect made for October, November and December. We predicted the real economy – the economy of Joe Sixpack was stalling.

Econintersect uses a forward looking economic indicator which uses non-monetary pulse points that have a general – not specific correlation with Gross Domestic Product. These pulse points are geared to anticipate consumer and industrial income / spending for 30 to 60 days after the indicator is issued.

Econintersect counts units of things other then money – and is specifically designed to measure Main Street and Joe Sixpack’s world.

March 2011 Economic Forecast

The "real" economy – the economy of Joe Sixpack continues to expand. The strength of this growth is considered moderate with positive underlying trend lines. Putting this into perspective – the economy is likely improving on a per capita basis.

[chart]

(Click to enlarge)

There are "buts" to this forecast.

  • In last month’s forecast, we warned of a black swan possibility of an economic reversal due to the start of unrest in oil producing countries. This is no longer a black swan – but a known event underway – and seemingly now priced in to the economy.
  • Econintersect is unable to forecast employment levels using this methodology. There is little correlation between the Econintersect Economic Index (EEI) and employment since the beginning of the Great Recession.

The EEI has improved from +0.25 to +0.55.

[chart]

(Click to enlarge)

One major component of the EEI is transport related. Econintersect considers transport (truck, rail and sea container) counts a primary economic pulse point – and its trend represents underlying economic pressure.

This month, the transport portion of the EEI index continued its upward trend. This portion of the index is quite noisy as it quantifies the month-over-month (MoM) change (positive numbers indicate seasonally adjusted MoM growth, negative numbers represent seasonally adjusted MoM contraction).

[chart]

To Econintersect, transports represent the pulse of the real economy – the economy of Joe Sixpack. All of our man made surroundings, the clothes we wear and the food we eat are moved several times by transport during their processing/delivery cycles. A growing economy consumes more (and therefore transports more), a contracting economy consumes less.

Last month, we mentioned in passing – that there was anecdotal evidence that the transport sector of the index was weakening. Hard data over the last 30 days has been entirely contradictory to this.

For a complete explanation of the EEI, please see the October 2010 forecast.

 

 

 

Disasters Rocking the U.S. Dollar?  Merk ‘From earthquakes in New Zealand to revolutions in the Middle East, natural and man-made disasters are rocking the world. We are all too often made to believe that in times of crisis there’s a flight to the U.S. dollar. However, the U.S. dollar has instead had a rocky ride of its own thus allowing the crisis-ridden Eurozone to shine. What’s going on? Is there no crisis, or has the U.S. dollar lost its appeal as a safe haven?

Over longer periods there is little correlation between the U.S. dollar and other assets. In the past two years, however, a mentality has arisen that whenever there is a crisis the U.S. dollar benefits; as the crisis abates money flows out of the U.S. dollar and once again into currencies and markets overseas that may be deemed riskier. That may well be a skewed pendulum, however, as the U.S. dollar may have a more difficult time attracting money at each subsequent crisis. Firstly, the U.S. is simply better at spending and printing money than the rest of the world; causing the balance sheet of the U.S. to deteriorate at a faster pace than that of the rest of the world. And secondly, policy makers around the world are addressing whatever the cause of the crisis may have been i.e., the "trillion-dollar" backstop provided in the Eurozone to support weaker countries. One can argue how effective such measures are, but generally speaking, the region may be safer than before measures were taken; not safe, but "safer," meaning less money may flee back to the U.S. dollar the next time a crisis flares up.

But maybe there is no crisis? Saudi Arabia may make up for any shortfall of lost Libyan oil production and Egypt and Tunisia don’t affect U.S. markets anyway. The argument we heard in early phases of the sub-prime crisis was "it’s all contained". Intelligent people in both Libya and abroad did not think the Egyptian turmoil would swamp over to Libya. After all, the standard of living – and with it, presumably social stability - in Libya is higher due to wealth created by oil. For now, the extreme volatility in the oil markets suggests that market participants beg to differ as to how all of this unfolds. If anything, that is a healthy process; it’s when everyone agrees that bubbles are created.[picture]

To understand the dynamics unfolding we have to dig a little deeper into the "it’s all contained" argument. People don’t like autocratic rule but we have argued that people may put up with oppression as long as they can feed themselves. Escalating food prices may be a key reason revolts and revolutions are happening now. (See also our analysis of Politics of Inflation.) However, U.S. policy makers generally disregard food inflation for a couple of reasons:

  • The U.S. economy is not very dependent on food. Yes, people need to eat but only a small portion of disposable income is spent on food in the U.S.
  • Food inflation in the rest of the world is really the problem of the rest of the world. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Bernanke, when pressured on whether U.S. monetary policy exports inflation to the rest of the world, has argued that other countries have plenty of tools at their disposal to address inflationary pressures there. That is correct but in the absence of foreign policy makers heeding Bernanke’s advice, the world is less stable; $100 oil is a reminder that global instability does come home to roost.
  • Food inflation is temporary. There is a widely held belief that food inflation is due to special factors such as a plethora of bad crops throughout the world. However, the Financial Times writes: "The World faces a protracted bout of extremely high food prices, the US government has warned, overwhelming farmers’ ability to cool commodity markets by planting millions of additional hectares with crops."
  • Not only can farmers plant more, they can also farm more efficiently. Developing countries, over time, may greatly enhance the productivity of their farmland. That is correct, but let’s not forget that as the standard of living is rising in the developing world, there’s a shift towards a more protein based diet. A lot of corn will be needed to feed the cattle to produce the meat to satisfy demand.
  • Acknowledging these drivers, it’s still a question of whether we are merely seeing a bout of inflation, i.e. a reset of the price level or an era of continuously rising food prices. Even with little agreement on where we are headed in the medium term, most would agree that there is no such thing as continuity in agricultural commodity prices. As an example, Bloomberg reports that wheat prices fell 8.6% from February 18 until February 25.

While we believe food inflation will be with us for quite some time and may contribute to an unstable world possibly for years to come, the Federal Reserve appears to be firmly in the camp of heavily discounting food inflation. The European Central Bank (ECB), in contrast, has historically taken commodity inflation more seriously than the Fed – ECB President Trichet talks about his concern over "second round effects," i.e., commodity inflation stirring inflation throughout the value chain.

The relevance of all this is that in the U.S. it’s business as usual as far as monetary policy is concerned. According to Fed Chair Bernanke, the U.S. economy must grow at a rate of at least 2.5% per annum just to keep unemployment stable, however, he has made it clear that he will pursue policies to boost growth above that level. With oil prices soaring, he is facing yet another headwind. Rather than mopping up the liquidity that, in our assessment, has contributed to global commodity inflation, he may be tempted to keep the printing press in high gear to promote economic growth.

It doesn’t really matter whether we think there is a crisis. What matters is that the Fed doesn’t think its policies are contributing to global instability and continues on its expansionary path. After all, the banks continue to sit on their money and as such, the economy is certainly not in overdrive. With the exception of social instability spreading globally, the Fed may be very much on course:

  • Bernanke may want a weaker dollar. Unlike his predecessor, Bernanke embraces the U.S. dollar as a monetary policy tool to boost economic growth.
  • Bernanke wants higher inflation. Having explicitly called for higher inflation since last August, he has since praised the progress the market has made in pricing higher than inflation expectations. The challenge with raising inflation expectations is not only that it may be difficult to lower those expectations later but that it is difficult to control where that inflation appears. Bernanke, in our assessment, needs to get home price to rise and is willing to put up with rising prices in other areas.
  • We often focus on housing as a reason the Fed wants to boost growth, but we can also focus on WalMart (WMT): in the 13 weeks that ended 1/29/2010, WalMart’s sales declined 1.2%. Keep in mind that unlike government statistics, WalMart’s sales are not inflation adjusted. Also keep in mind that WalMart has been expanding its produce section in recent years; the section very much exposed to food inflation. As a result, on a real basis, sales have had rather substantial declines. Given that WalMart’s sales comprise more than 10% of total U.S. retail sales, we don’t believe there is such a thing as "company specific" problems; WalMart’s problems are those of the U.S. economy.

In contrast, the rest of the world is taking steps to stem inflationary pressures. Russia is the latest country to raise interest rates, following countries ranging from Sweden to Norway, Canada to Australia and Korea to China. In the Eurozone, the pairing down of some emergency facilities (leading to a draining of liquidity; a form of monetary tightening) and recent hawkish talk suggest interest rates may be raised later this year.

This discussion should clarify that it is perfectly possible for the world to be in turmoil without the U.S. dollar being a beneficiary. The focus of this analysis was the perceived status of the U.S. dollar as a safe haven, as well as implications of food inflation; a small, but important sliver affecting the U.S. dollar.’

 

 

 

Post Meltdown Economy Looks More Like a Pre Meltdown Economy Maierhofer ‘Based purely on the stock market, the economy should be rockin' and rollin' but while the market's performance has been stellar, the economy is flat.

 

2-28-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

 

‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ), the commentator / experts recommend getting rid of the corrupt eric holder ( now what do holder and wobama have in common … is it wall street money ………… is it a proclivity for jive-talking / b*** s*** ………all of the above, some of the above ……….. or is it something else …… here’s a hint -  UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.   ) (see this film, I strongly recommend the complete documentary – the following is a preview/summary) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffHFjlqIzKE&feature=related  

 
 [Here’s an archived version

 

 

’Inside Job’ New Documentary Exposes Wall Street Fraud And How Banksters Continue To Steal Our Money

Web site Link / Path to archived file:        
http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.flv  [45mb ]              

         http://www.albertpeia.com/insidejob.mp4          [ 65mb ]         ]

 

 

 

 

 

Wobama says daffy gaddafi’s time is up, got to go. The same can be said of wobama et als and his fraudulently failed presidency.   Sheen On Obama: “A Coward In a Cheap Suit”   [ I think Sheen to be too gentle in his criticism of wobama (Some might reflexively, defensively allege drugs (prescription or otherwise) or any number of the varied personality disorders so prevalent in america … ‘fuzzy, California laid back thinking’, ‘whatever’… Who knows? ) But, that said, wobama’s far worse than just a ‘coward in a cheap suit’. Indeed, Wobama’s a total fraud having been elected under false pretenses; viz., his total, unequivocal, and unfulfilled b*** s*** (those campaign promises) ! Moreover, there has been some persuasive documentation questioning wobama’s citizenship / birthplace placing his eligibility to even hold the office of president in question. ] Amidst the controversy of his wild interview on the Alex Jones Show yesterday, actor Charlie Sheen wasted little time in confronting President Barack Obama on his failure to answer Sheen’s twenty questions concerning 9/11, calling Obama, “a coward in a cheap suit.”        A Government Shut-down Imperils the Power of Congress Paul Craig Roberts | Congress could try to protect its loss of the power of the purse by impeaching Obama.       Drudgereport: WOBAMA 'IMPEACHMENT' WARNING...   ...to announce exploratory committee 'in 10 days'         Globalist Shill Barack Obama Asks Business Leaders For Job Creation Ideas Even As He Ships More Of Our Jobs Overseas As Part Of The New One World Economy The other day, Barack Obama summoned a group of business and labor leaders to the White House and “challenged” them to come up with some great ideas for creating more jobs inside the United States.

 

 

 

Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post). Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’: Public confidence in Obama reaches new low  (Washington Post) Six in 10 Americans lack faith in Obama and hold lower esteem for members of Congress, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. Such stats as this tend to typify scenarios as this where you break every significant  campaign promise that got you elected, from endless war (ie., Afghanistan, etc.) to not prosecuting the frauds on wall street, and the growing realization of ‘typical’:  

But still it’s ‘hands off fraudulent wall street’ to theirs, the nation’s, and the world’s detriment. Firms subpoenaed in attempt to regain Fannie, Freddie losses (Washington Post). But there’s a reason:

The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  ( UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ...’    US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Washington Post | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown. ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1  – well worth a look. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

While boner and barton are indeed jokes / vegetables that bespeak the single-digit approval rate for congress, obama’s failure to deliver on promises with as well, endless war spending despite defacto bankruptcy of the nation and a watered down nothing financial regulation bill for talking points but little substance, make him as big a joker. This well researched / produced video tells the real story :  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1   ‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ – well worth the view.    [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends ]

‘The Obama Deception’ Censored  A viral You Tube upload of one of Alex Jones’ most popular feature films ‘The Obama Deception’ has been censored following a spur of the moment campaign to elevate the movie’s title to the top of the major internet search engines.      In light of this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if incomplete)     http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257#           For the Same Reason I’ve Included Here a Web Site Archived FLV Version of Esoteric Agenda          http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv   

 

 

Ethics code urged for Supreme Court  (Washington Post) [  Sounds like a plan! Come on! Wake up! After all, what can you expect from two guidos from ‘jersey (alito and scalia, colloquial – note that I have refrained from using what some might consider disparaging terms as w*p*, gui***s, or da***s … and let me state for the record that I truly loved and respected my grandmother who was 100% Italian/Bari,Italy and as well my grandfather/Lake Como,northern Italy with greek ancestral roots and I thereby claim standing/right to posit the criticism in light of my direct experience. ). How ‘bout starting with enforcing laws as to judges, liars, etc., within the very corrupted american illegal system; and, particularly bribes which in one form or another are rampant . I don’t know about Thomas, but I do know about alito and ‘jersey … :                                                                                                                    

October 15, 2010 (*see infra)

 

 

Steven M. Martinez, Assistant Director In Charge
Federal Bureau of Investigation, USDOJ
11000 Wilshire Blvd., Suite 1700

Los Angeles, CA 90024

 

 

Dear Sir:

 

I enclose herewith 3 copies of the within DVD rom autorun disk (which will open in your computer’s browser) as per your office’s request as made this day (the disk and contents have been scanned by Avast, McAfee, and Norton which I’ve installed on my computer to prevent viral attacks / infection and are without threat). I also include 1 copy of the DVD as filed with the subject court as referenced therein (which files are also included on the aforesaid 3 disks in a separate folder named ‘112208opocoan’). The (civil) RICO action (as you’re aware, the RICO Act is a criminal statute which provides a civil remedy, including treble damages and attorney fees, as an incentive for private prosecution of said claims probably owing to the fact that the USDOJ seems somewhat overwhelmed and in need of such assistance given the seriousness and prevalence of said violations of law which have a corrupting influence on the process, and which corruption is pervasive). A grievance complaint against Coan was also filed concurrently with the subject action and held in abeyance pending resolution of the action which was illegally dismissed without any supporting law and in contravention of the Order of The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District Connecticut. The files below the horizontal rule are the referenced documents as filed. (Owing to the damage to the financial interests of both the U.S. and the District of Congresswoman Roybal-Allard, viz., Los Angeles, the Qui Tam provisions of the Federal False Claims Act probably would apply and I would absent resolution seek to refer the within to a firm with expertise in that area of the law with which I am not familiar).

 

 

The document in 5 pages under penalty of perjury I was asked to forward to the FBI office in New Haven is probably the best and most concise summary of the case  RICO Summary to FBI Under Penalty of Perjury at Their Request (5 pages)      [  ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf   http://albertpeia.com/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf          ].

 

 

The correspondence I received from the Congresswoman by way of email attachment (apparent but typical problem with my mail) along with my response thereto is included on the 3 disks as     fbicorrespondencereyes.htm     .   With regard to the calls to the FBI’s LA and New Haven, CT offices: There was one call to the LA office and I was referred to the Long Beach, CA office where I personally met with FBI Agent Jeff Hayes to whom I gave probative evidentiary documents of the money laundering which he confirmed as indicative of same (he was transferred from said office within approximately a month of said meeting and his location was not disclosed to me upon inquiry). The matter was assigned to FBI Agent Ron Barndollar and we remained in touch for in excess of a decade until he abruptly retired (our last conversation prior to his retirement related to the case and parenthetically, Rudy Giuliani whose father I stated had been an enforcer for the mob to which he registered disbelief and requested I prove it, which I did – he served 12 years in prison, aggravated assault/manslaughter? – and no, there is no Chinese wall of separation – Andrew Maloney’s the one that prosecuted gotti).

 

 

In contradistinction to the statement in said correspondence, there is a plethora of information including evidence supporting the claims set forth in the    RICO VERIFIED COMPLAINT    (see infra). Such includes and as set forth in the case, inter alia,

 

 

  1. A judgment had been entered in my favor in the case, United States District Court Case #3:93cv02065(AWT)(USDCJ Alvin Thompson), worth approximately now in excess of $300,000 remains unaccounted for and which could be used for payment to creditors, Los Angeles, etc..
  2. Counsel Robert Sullivan on my behalf documented by way of certification upon investigation that Alan Shiff, USBCJ, had falsely stated a dismissal upon which false statement he predicated a retaliatory and spurious contempt proceeding against me causing substantial damage, and for which he sought Judicial Notice of those and related proceedings as did I in some of my filings.
  3. The Order of Dismissal With Prejudice by Alan Shiff, USBCJ, owing to Defendant Coan’s failure to file anything whatsoever by the court’s deadline causing creditors and me substantial damages:   [  Shiff Order of Dismissal With Prejudice on Coan’s Failure to File        Page 1                Page 2          ]
  4. Defendant Coan had filed an action against me to prevent me from suing him which necessitated me to fly to Connecticut for a hearing before The Honorable Robert N. Chatigny, Chief Judge, USDC, District of Connecticut, who denied Coan’s requested relief as to Coan but precluded my action against Shiff (although there is no immunity, judicial or otherwise, for criminal acts, ie., fraud connected with a case under Title 11, USC, etc.) . [   transcript in pertinent part -     crossexamofcoanbypeia.pdf   ]
  5. Newly appointed judge, Maryanne Trump Barry, Donald Trump’s sister, was assigned the RICO case despite the conflict of interest in light of hundreds of thousands of dollars of illegal (drug) money being laundered through the Trump casinos by the RICO defendants, and despite my motion to recuse her which motion she heard herself and denied, and U.S. Trustee Hugh Leonard with whom I met personally refused to join or file a separate motion to recuse and not long thereafter left said office for private practice at Cole, Shotz, et als on retainer with the RICO defendants as his primary client.
  6. Probative and evidentiary documents, affidavits, exhibits, including those turned over to FBI Agent Jeff Hayes in Long Beach, CA, had been given to Assistant U.S. Attorney Jonathan Lacey with whom I met personally at the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Newark, N.J., at which time Samuel Alito was U.S. Attorney, and went over said documents and their probative value with him. Within approximately a month thereafter upon inquiry I was told that Jonathon Lacey was no longer with the office, that the file/documents could not be located, and that there was no further information available concerning contacting him or his location. I thereupon delivered by hand, copies of said documents to the office of then U.S. Attorney Alito, addressed to him, with assurance they would go directly to him. In addition to being inept [ I looked in on the one mob case he had brought, bungled, lost (accidently on purpose?) since I was suing some mob-connected under RICO and the court (I had known / previously met outside of court the judge Ackerman through a client) was absolute bedlam and a total joke since incompetent corrupt Alito brought in all 20 mob defendants (rather than prosecute one or a few to flip them first) who feigning illness had beds/cots in the courtroom along with their moans during testimony and had the jury in stitches. As much as I hate the mob, it truly was funny, if not so tragic.],   Alito is also corrupt (and maybe corrupt because he is inept). After a reasonable (but still rather short) time I called to determine the status and was told that Alito was no longer with the Office of the U.S. Attorney, that he was (appointed) a federal judge, and that neither the documents nor any file or record of same could be located. Alito did parley the same / cover-up into quid pro quo direct lifetime appointment to the Court of Appeals, 3rd circuit, despite the absence of judicial experience or successful tenure as U.S. Attorney (Maryanne Trump Barry as well). This is the same Sam Alito that now sits on the purported highest court in the land. The real application of the illegal rule ‘don’t ask, don’t tell’.

 

 

There is applicable insurance / surety coverage and neither LA, nor creditors, nor I should continue to have been damaged by this brazened corrupt and illegal scenario, which should be resolved in accordance with the meaningful rules of law apposite thereto.

 

 

Sincerely,

 

 

Albert L. Peia

611 E. 5th Street, #404

Los Angeles, CA 90013

(213) 219-**** (cell phone)

(213) 622-3745 (listed land line but there are unresolved problems with the line, computer connection may be the reason but I hesitate to chance greater non-performance / worsening by their ‘fix’ so cell phone best for contact).

  ] Group of law professors' appeal comes after controversies involving travel and appearances at political events by several justices.

 

 

 

Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)     http://www.stansberryresearch.com/pro/1011PSIENDVD/LPSILC43/PR  [ The instant  video from Stansberry and Associates is so well researched  and succinctly presented  that I’ve archived same on my website; also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views I’ve presented on my site which I believe to be correct. This is a must-view, must-see that I strongly recommend!    
The complete url:     http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv  ( 146mb – approx. 1 hr. 17 min. )         http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.mp4    (  374mb  )     Written text of presentation (without pictures  / charts)  http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrypresentation.htm ]

 

 

 

The Chicago PMI for February climbed to a 20-year high of 71.2. It had only ben expected to come in at 67.5 after a 68.8 reading in January’. [ Come on! Does anyone take anything coming out chicago capone-land seriously…maybe is the answer if you’re a fool. ]

 

 

Market Crash 2011: It Will Hit by Christmas   Farrell, MarketWatch  SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — Politicians lie. Bankers lie. Yes, they’re liars. But they’re not bad, it’s in their genes, inherited. Their brains are wired that way, warn scientists. Like addicts, they can’t help themselves. They want to sell stuff, get rich.

We want to believe they’re telling us the truth. Silly, huh? Both trapped in this eternal “dance of death” controlled by programs hidden deep in our brains, telling us what to do, telling us to ignore facts to the contrary — till it’s too late, till a new crisis crushes all of us.

Dow ends at 2 1/2-year high

Joe Bel Bruno explains why stocks climbed to 21/2-year highs and extended their winning streak to a third consecutive week.

Psychology offers us a powerful lesson: Our collective brain is destined to trigger a crash before Christmas 2011. Why? We’re gullible, keep searching for a truth-teller in a world of liars. And they’re so clever, we let them manipulate us into acting against our best interests.

In fact, behavioral science tells us that bankers and politicians are lying to us 93% of the time. It’s 13 times more likely Wall Street is telling you a lie than the truth. That’s why they win. Why we lose. Because our brains are preprogrammed to cooperate in their con game. Yes, we believe most of their lies.

One of America’s leading behavioral finance gurus, University of Chicago Prof. Richard Thaler, explains: “Think of the human brain as a personal computer with a very slow processor and a memory system that is small and unreliable.” Thaler even admits: “The PC I carry between my ears has more disk failures than I care to think about.” Easy to manipulate.

Eternal love story: Your brain’s in love with Wall Street’s brain

Thaler’s a quant, speaks mostly in cryptic algorithmics. So if you really want to know how Wall Street’s con game works on you, Barry Ritholtz, the financial genius behind “Bailout Nation,” recently summarized it in the Washington Post: “Humans make all the same mistakes, over and over again. It’s how we are wired, the net result of evolution. That flight-or-fight response might have helped your ancestors deal with hungry saber-toothed tigers and territorial Cro Magnons, but it drives investors to make costly emotional decisions.”

Humans have something “akin to brain damage,” says Ritholtz. “To neurophysiologists, who research cognitive functions, the emotionally driven appear to suffer from cognitive deficits that mimic certain types of brain injuries. … Anyone with an intense emotional interest in a subject loses the ability to observe it objectively: You selectively perceive events. You ignore data and facts that disagree with your main philosophy. Even your memory works to fool you, as you selectively retain what you believe in, and subtly mask any memories that might conflict.”

Worse, there’s no cure.

Your brain needs to believe lies; Wall Street loves telling lies

Examples: USA Today headline: “Average Bull is 3.8 years: We’re not at 2 yet.” More upside. Wall Street loves it. The Wall Street Journal: “Stock recovery in high gear … S&P500 now speeding toward its next landmark,” double its March 2009 bottom.

Other lies: Inflation and rate rises won’t push China and America over the edge into a new bear recession. That one’s real popular in Wall Street’s echo chamber. Wall Street also cheers every time cable pundits and journalists repeat their favorite statistic: That stocks rally in the third year of a presidency, often more than 20%. Yes, Wall Street loves those 93% lies.

Biggest lie? Wharton’s perennial bull, Jeremy Siegel, of “Stocks for the Long Run” fame, recently told a TD Ameritrade Institutional Conference, “There’s nothing but upside to come …the next several years are going to be good for stocks.”

Yes, one of Wall Street’s favorite co-conspirators is hypnotizing thousands of our best money managers and advisers into believing the lie that this bull market will roar indefinitely. Worse, they’ll use that message to sell naive investors on buying whatever junk Wall Street is selling.

Get the picture? A little conspiracy begins in your head, a conspiracy between your gullible brain and Wall Street’s con men selling hype, hoopla and happy-talk. Listen and you’ll lose. Warning: This little conspiracy is a retirement killer. Remember: It’s odds-on you’re being lied to. So for a few moments, listen to some highly respected contrarians. They’re short-selling this conspiracy, betting that 2011 will hit headwinds before Christmas, turn a cyclical bull rally into a cyclical bear market.

Our brains never learned 2008’s lessons, will fail again in 2011

Remember, we can’t help it. Our brains are defective, biased, manipulated by unseen forces 93% of the time. So blame all the lies, lying and liars on our brain wiring. A perfect excuse. Sure, political dogma and insatiable greed factor into our bizarre mental equations. But your brain is as susceptible to the “great con” as Ben Bernanke, Henry Paulson, Bernie Madoff.

Go back a few years: The subprime credit meltdown was widely predicted years in advance. For example, back in 2007, the IMF’s Chief Economist, Raghuram Rajan, “delivered a stark warning to the world’s top bankers: Financial markets were headed for doom. They laughed it off,” said the Toronto Star. Both Alan Greenspan and Larry Summers were there.

In April 2007, Jeremy Grantham, whose firm manages $107 billion, also warned investors: “The First Truly Global Bubble: From Indian antiquities to modern Chinese art; from land in Panama to Mayfair; from forestry, infrastructure, and the junkiest bonds to mundane blue chips; it’s bubble time. … Everyone, everywhere is reinforcing one another. … Bursting of the bubble will be across all countries and all assets … no similar global event has occurred before.”

We knew a crash was coming, Wall Street laughed.

Call it denial, or lying, or just a brain defect, late that summer as the meltdown spread like wildfire, shutting down the economy, our manipulative Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson, a former Goldman Sachs CEO, told Fortune “this is far and away the strongest global economy I’ve seen in my business lifetime.” And Fed boss Bernanke was telling us the subprime crisis was “contained.” Alan Greenspan agreed. He was on tour, making millions hustling his new book of excuses, delusions and lies, “The Age of Turbulence.”

Today, just three years later, the market’s just a shade above its 2000 peak. Adjusted for inflation, Wall Street stocks have lost roughly 20% of your retirement money the past decade. Get it? Wall Street’s a big loser the past decade. And they’ll lose another 20% by 2020. Why? Because 93% of what comes from Wall Street is suspect, can’t be trusted.

Warning: Cyclical bull ends in 2011, new cyclical bear roars back

At the beginning of 2011 USA Today reported a contrarian forecast. Ned Davis Research says the S&P 500 will make a run at the 2007 high of 1,565, but hit a “midyear peak.” Then it will crash as interest rates rise. Davis concludes: “The midyear peak could mark the end of the cyclical bull market that began in March 2009 and the start of a new cyclical bear market.”

Warning, even though your brain doesn’t want to hear it, there is a high probability a new cyclical bear market will begin this summer … and overshadow the 2012 elections.

 

2-25-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

 

Why your local Hospital could soon shut down (Ad)     http://www.stansberryresearch.com/pro/1011PSIENDVD/LPSILC43/PR  [ The instant video from Stansberry and Associates is so well researched and succinctly presented that I’ve archived same on my website; also, because the facts and views presented comport with the facts and views I’ve presented on my site which not only do I believe to be correct, but are supported by the unequivocal documented facts. This is a must-view, must-see that I strongly recommend!   The complete url  (  146 mb – approx. 1 hr. 17 min.  ) : http://www.albertpeia.com/stansberrysinvestmentadvisory.flv       ]

 

 

 

 

 

BOB PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Blodget ‘Investors have gotten wildly bullish of late, as the bull market that started in early 2009 keeps driving stocks to new highs. But the pigs are about to get slaughtered, says Bob Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and editor of the Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter still thinks the new bull market is just a cyclical "retracement" of some of the bear market losses that we've had since the market crashed in 2008.  Prechter expected this retracement to drive stocks 50% above the market lows, but stocks have since soared 30% higher than than he expected.  So when the day of reckoning comes, Prechter thinks, it will be even more startling.  And Prechter still thinks that stocks will eventually crash to new bear-market lows (read: below 6,800 on the DOW). What makes Prechter think this day of reckoning may come sooner rather than later? Sentiment indicators and other technical analysis. Investor bullishness has now gotten so extreme, Prechter says, that it has exceeded the levels in 2008 before the market crashed.  Investors could still get even more bullish, of course, but eventually they'll pay for this optimism. And Prechter's not just bearish on stocks: He thinks oil, silver, and other commodities are absurdly overvalued, too.  The only thing he's bullish on is the dollar. And lest he be dismissed as a perma-bear, Bob Prechter is quick to add that he hopes there will come a day when he can come on the show and tell everyone that stocks are finally so crushed and hated that it's a historic opportunity to buy them.  When will that be? Stay tuned...’

 

 

 

 

Looking Like A Good Time To Sell Into Strength - Harding ‘Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures.

 

2-24-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

 

 

STOCKS MAKE HUGE TURNAROUND ON STUNNING COLLAPSE IN OIL: BASED SOLELY ON NOW KNOWN TO BE FALSE TWITTER RUMOR!   [ Don’t be surprised if the frauds on wall street initiated the rumors; their fraudulent manipulations have included far worse … put them in jail where they belong, with fines, disgorgement!  ( ‘…an apparently Twitter-borne rumor started making the rounds that Qaddafi had been shot! There was no basis for it, but oil simply collapsed…’ )  ] , On Thursday February 24, 2011

Thank Twitter-borne rumors of Qaddafi's death for the fact that markets totally didn't get crushed today.

But first, the scoreboard:

Dow: -39.13
NASDAQ: +16.16
S&P 500: -1.03

And now, the top stories:

  • The "day" really started around 2:00 AM ET, when oil exploded higher in London trading. It was a vicious move, which sent instantly sent US futures sharply lower. The dollar got clubbed as well.
  • Other than the fact that generally markets were down, Europe was fairly quiet.
  • Still, stocks were down all day until just after 2:00 PM ET, when an apparently Twitter-borne rumor started making the rounds that Qaddafi had been shot! There was no basis for it, but oil simply collapsed. It helped that around the same time there was talk of the US cracking open its Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Markets turned around violently on the news. Gold and silver slid as well.
  • And that was basically it.
  • Think inflation is going to be a major problem? Click here for 10 companies that will do great if inflation skyrockets >

 

 

 

February 22, 2011: Mohamed A. El-Erian, CEO PIMCO predicts a period of, at best, stagflation; which of course is bad for stocks (and worse).

 

 

 

Narrowly Mixed Stock Finish as Oil Comes Off Highs  Midnight Trader ‘4:25 PM, Feb 24, 2011 --

  • NYSE down 16.63 (-0.2%) to 8,276.29
  • DJIA down 37.28 (-0.3%) to 12,069
  • S&P 500 down 1.30 (-0.1%) to 1,306
  • Nasdaq up 14.91 (+0.6%) to 2,738

 

2-23-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

Stocks Fall Sharply for Second Day  Midnight Trader ‘4:17 PM, Feb. 23, 2011 --

  • NYSE down 32.94 (-0.4%) to 8,292.92
  • DJIA down 107 (-0.9%) to 12,106
  • S&P 500 down 8.04 (-0.6%) to 1,307
  • Nasdaq down 33.43 (-1.2%) to 2,723

GLOBAL SENTIMENT

  • Hang Seng down 0.36%
  • Nikkei down 0.8%
  • FTSE down 1.22%

UPSIDE MOVERS
(+) VRTX announced positive results from the Phase 3 STRIVE study of VX-770, an oral medicine in development that targets the defective protein that causes cystic fibrosis.
(+) SNSSD gets FDA fast-track status for Vosaroxin in AML.
(+) YOKU upgraded.
(+) CHS sales beat as EPS just misses; hikes dividend.
(+) ZLC beats with revenue.
(+) GRMN misses with earnings, guidance.

DOWNSIDE MOVERS
(-) AMAT upgraded.
(-) TOL swings to Q1 profit.
(-) HPQ disappoints with guidance.
(-) APCVZ says CVRs linked to APP stockholders to expire worthless.
(-) CNXT down as SMSC will not raise offer.
(-) TJX down after mixed earnings, guidance.
(-) SATC missed with Q4 results issued in Tuesday after-hours; downgraded this morning.
(-) LOW beats with EPS, meets with sales, sets EPS guidance in line.
(-) NFLX downgraded.

MARKET DIRECTION

Stocks tumbled for a second day, giving up early signs for some bounce from Tuesday's slide. Oil briefly topped $100, rattling the transportation sector. Energy stocks gained. Retail earnings offered some bright spots.

2-22-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

 

 

I knew there was something especially (but typically) not right in Friday’s (and Thursday’s) trade; and, sure enough, it was a full moon Friday as per lunar calendar (a must in today’s markets owing to the prevalence of lunatics / criminally insane on wall street).

 

 

 

Have Stocks Really Moved Sideways Since 2000?  McCurdy ‘Last week, we reviewed the inverse secular relationship between stocks and the price of gold. Stocks have been in a secular downtrend since the bull market from the 1980s terminated early last decade, while gold has been in a secular uptrend. Many analysts do not like to label the current secular environment in stocks as a bear, instead referring to it as a "sideways" market. Indeed, a quick review of the S&P 500 index monthly chart shows that it has essentially bounced sideways for the past 11 years.

[Click all to enlarge]

[chart}
Since the secular peak in 2000, the S&P 500 has produced a compound annual return of 0.6%, so any long-term investors who bought at the top would appear to have broken even. Have they really? It is important to note that we are talking about nominal values and returns. When you compare stock market performance to hard assets like commodities and gold, you see a very different picture.

[chart]

[chart]

Since 2000, the S&P 500 index has experienced a persistent decline in terms of the Continuous Commodity Index (CCI) and the price of gold. The CCI ratio chart has decreased by 72% and the gold ratio chart has decreased by 82%. Suddenly that "sideways" market doesn't look so sideways. If you extend both charts back to the beginning of the previous secular bull market in equities, you see what you would expect: A persistent rise in stock market valuations until the secular peak early last decade (note that we have replaced the CCI with the CRB index in the following chart for display purposes, since the available CCI data do not cover the entire secular bull).

[chart]

[chart]
Both ratio chart downtrends are currently healthy, with the CCI ratio recently experiencing another long-term breakdown and the gold ratio forming a consolidation pattern since early 2009. Until these secular declines form confirmed bottoms, the secular bear market in stocks will remain in control.

[chart]

[chart]
Despite mainstream assertions to the contrary, the issues that led to the market crash in 2008 have not been materially addressed. Our historically excessive public and private debt remains, festering beneath the surface of this "strong" economic recovery. As usual, we have chosen the quick fix route and kicked the proverbial debt can down the road, hoping that the underlying problems will somehow cure themselves without requiring us to make the hard choices that have always been required in the past. The continuing strength in the gold market indicates that no such magic resolution process is currently underway.

[chart]

When was the last time a strong, healthy secular uptrend in gold provided an all-clear signal for the economy and suggested that the structural problems that have been plaguing it during recent years have been resolved? The answer to that question is never. Perhaps this time is different. We will see.’

 

 

 

Weighing the Week Ahead: The Beat Goes On  Miller ‘…The explanation is much simpler. The Beat Goes On.

The grocery store's the supermart, uh huh.
Little girls still break their hearts, uh huh.
And men still keep on marching off to war
Electrically they keep a baseball score
{Refrain}
Grandmas sit in chairs and reminisce
Boys keep chasing girls to get a kiss
The cars keep going faster all the time
Bums still cry, "Hey buddy, have you got a dime"

Sonny & Cher may not have been market gurus, but the song captures the current market action. The "drums keep beating."

  The Bad There was some important bad news for the economy. The story is rarely one-sided. There is a continuing problem on several fronts, a widely known "wall of worry" that is already reflected in current market prices.

  • HOUSING SALES OVERSTATED. The most important bad news of the week came from the CoreLogic Year-end Summary of Trends. I read their reports, and so should you. Calculated Risk has a nice summary, showing that the existing home sales from the National Association of Realtors may be overstated by 15%. Consistent and aggressive critic (another of our featured sources) Barry Ritholtz has this take.
  • RETAIL SALES. This was a big disappointment.
  • INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS. The highly volatile series moved higher, but the trend continues lower. It is not good enough to improve the employment picture…’

 

 

2-18-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

The Four Horsemen of the Dow: Dave's Daily  ‘No, I wasn't alive to watch the Four Horsemen of Notre Dame play football but I did watch the DJIA today. As you know this is a "price weighted" index. Four companies that rose today were among the priciest: BA, CAT, CVX and TRV. The rest were mixed to flat. Imagine if TPTB added AAPL or GOOG to the index. But, for most Americans, the DJIA is what they see most every day if they care. Cynically, as some say, it's just "window dressing for the tourists" to wit the current headline at the WSJ: "Stocks Close at 2 ˝ Year High". Does it really matter that four stocks accounted for the positive headline? If, you're looking deeper into what's really going on in markets, sure it should. But many investors aren't that curious especially when interest rates remain near zero and POMO is ubiquitous encouraging investors to take more risks. No matter unemployment shows no sign of improving, housing is still in the dumps and key strategic countries (Bahrain, Libya, Egypt, Yemen, Algeria and Tunisia) are all aflame. There wasn't any economic data today other than Bernanke defending his policies. And, there was little earnings news. The dollar was weak and most commodities were strong while bonds sold-off. In case you're interested I'll be doing a webinar for SFO Magazine "Around the World with ETFs". You may register here to listen and comment for free. Volume for an options expiration day was light but perhaps ahead of a three day weekend is understandable. Breadth was pretty flat per the WSJ.’

 

 

 

 

 

Stock Melt-Up Continues to Ignore Warnings    [ While I generally warn against short-selling as an investment strategy for all but the most successful speculators (there are very, very few), if there ever was a time to try your luck at same, that time is now! We’re now beyond the absurd in these overbought, overvalued, contrived, manipulated markets. See also, Dave infra, ‘…Further, the Philly Fed (riiiiight … that global hub of manufacturing activity) came in much higher than expected although inside the numbers the prices paid vs prices received disparity was the greatest since 1979. That wasn't a great time for corporate profits. Even though there's some "discussion" within the Fed over the effectiveness of QE operations another heavy dose of POMO was released to trading desks again Thursday.   …’ Why Isn’t Wall Street in Jail? Matt Taibbi | Financial crooks brought down the world’s economy — but the feds are doing more to protect them than to prosecute them. This is a not too big to fail, but a too willing to pay bribes to jail - reality. (This really is beyond the pale, particularly when they trumpet prosecution of $225 million in medicare frauds while wall street’s continuing fraud in the trillions remains unprosecuted – there is no excuse whatsoever – pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america is done!).  ]  Minyanville ‘Suttmeier, chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com:  The stock melt-up has the major equity averages above this week’s pivots putting the focus on the Nasdaq and its quarterly risky level at 2853. The Dow Transports broke above the potential double-top. Stocks are ignoring the ValuEngine Valuation Warning and extreme overbought technical market indicators. The 10-Year yield failed at my weekly risky level at 3.568 after holding my annual value level at 3.791 last week. Comex gold is above my annual pivot at $1356.5 and closed above its 50-day simple moving average at $1372.2. Nymex crude oil remains below my semiannual pivot at $87.52, but is now oversold. The euro is above its 50-day simple moving average at 1.3377 with this week’s risky level at 1.3636.

New Highs for the Move for the Major Equity Averages
 

  • The Dow Industrial Average (12,288) remains extremely overbought and closed above its weekly pivot at 12,274 testing 12,303.16. The 21-day simple moving average rises to 12,063 with today’s risky level at 12,399.
  • The S&P 500 (1336.3) closed above its weekly pivot at 1335.6, setting a new high for the move at 1337.61. The 21-day simple moving average rises to 1306.1 with today’s risky level at 1344.4.
  • The Nasdaq (2826) closed back above this week’s pivot at 2811 with my quarterly risky level at 2853. The 21-day simple moving average rises to 2756 with today’s risky level at 2840.
  • Dow Transports (5286) tested and held its weekly pivot at 5206 on Tuesday, then breaks above its January 18 high at 5256.80 to 5306.54 on Wednesday. Today’s risky level is 5317.
  • The Russell 2000 (828.37) is above its weekly pivot at 811.80 with its July 2007 high at 862.00. Today’s risky level is 837.39.


We continue to trade under a ValuEngine Valuation Warning -- Sixteen of 16 sectors overvalued with only 32.4% of all stocks undervalued on Wednesday, below the 35% threshold by this measure. This also means that 67.6% of all stocks are overvalued.

10-Year Note -- (3.619) Is between my annual value level at 3.791 and my weekly risky level at 3.568.

Comex Gold -- ($1375.3) My annual pivot is $1356.5 with the 50-day simple moving average at $1372.2 with my monthly risky level at $1412.4.

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($85.00) Continues to trade below my semiannual pivot at $87.52 and is now oversold on its daily chart with today’s value level at $82.85.

The Euro -- (1.3567) Still above its 50-day simple moving average at 1.3377 with my weekly risky level at 1.3636.

Housing Starts and Permits Remain Soft -- Housing Starts increased 14.6% in January, but the gain was entirely due to a 77.7% increase in the multifamily sector. Single family starts declined 1.0% to a 413,000 annual rate with single family permits down 4.8%. Overall building permits declined 10.4%.

More Information From the NAHB Housing Market Index -- If you look at the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index going back to 1985 it never went below 20 until October 2007. During the 1988 to 1992 mini-crisis the lowest reading was 20 in January 1991. For the current popping of the housing bubble this index peaked at 72 in June 2005, when the CEOs of the publicly traded home builders described the housing market as the best they have ever seen.

Back in June 2005 ValuEngine had the home builders extremely overvalued and I noted their weekly price charts were extremely overbought. I wrote a piece calling for a summer 2005 peak for the home builder stocks, which proved to be a prudent market call. The NAHB HMI has been 20 or below since September 2007 and has been between 13 and 16 the past nine months. The exception was a 22 reading in the height of the $8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit in May 2010.

The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that their weekly Mortgage Applications Survey decreased 9.5% with the Refinance Index down 11.4%, to the lowest reading since July 3, 2009. The Purchase Index decreased 5.9%, and is 18.2% lower than a year ago. A major drag is attributed to the above 5% mortgage rate, up nearly a full percentage point from the October 2010 low, in the midst of when Fed Chief Bernanke was touting that the pending QE2 program would push longer-term yields lower to help consumers. The only thing that QE2 has done is inflate an equity market to an overvalued and overbought inflating financial bubble!

The minutes from the latest Fed Meeting indicates that unemployment and tight credit conditions continues to be a drag on the housing market. History repeats: Housing peaked in mid-2005 and the recovery has been nil. Community banks peaked at the end of 2006, and Bank Failure Friday continues. Regional Banks peaked in March 2007, and toxic assets remain in the banking system. Fed policy with that ridiculously low funds rate and QE2 is masking problems that will still plague the US economy for the next several years.’

 

 

2-17-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stock Melt-Up Continues to Ignore Warnings    [ While I generally warn against short-selling as an investment strategy for all but the most successful speculators (there are very, very few), if there ever was a time to try your luck at same, that time is now! We’re now beyond the absurd in these overbought, overvalued, contrived, manipulated markets. See also, Dave infra, ‘…Further, the Philly Fed (riiiiight … that global hub of manufacturing activity) came in much higher than expected although inside the numbers the prices paid vs prices received disparity was the greatest since 1979. That wasn't a great time for corporate profits. Even though there's some "discussion" within the Fed over the effectiveness of QE operations another heavy dose of POMO was released to trading desks again Thursday.   …’ Why Isn’t Wall Street in Jail? Matt Taibbi | Financial crooks brought down the world’s economy — but the feds are doing more to protect them than to prosecute them. This is a not too big to fail, but a too willing to pay bribes to jail - reality. (This really is beyond the pale, particularly when they trumpet prosecution of $225 million in medicare frauds while wall street’s continuing fraud in the trillions remains unprosecuted – there is no excuse whatsoever – pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america is done!).  ]  Minyanville ‘Suttmeier, chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com:  The stock melt-up has the major equity averages above this week’s pivots putting the focus on the Nasdaq and its quarterly risky level at 2853. The Dow Transports broke above the potential double-top. Stocks are ignoring the ValuEngine Valuation Warning and extreme overbought technical market indicators. The 10-Year yield failed at my weekly risky level at 3.568 after holding my annual value level at 3.791 last week. Comex gold is above my annual pivot at $1356.5 and closed above its 50-day simple moving average at $1372.2. Nymex crude oil remains below my semiannual pivot at $87.52, but is now oversold. The euro is above its 50-day simple moving average at 1.3377 with this week’s risky level at 1.3636.

New Highs for the Move for the Major Equity Averages
 

  • The Dow Industrial Average (12,288) remains extremely overbought and closed above its weekly pivot at 12,274 testing 12,303.16. The 21-day simple moving average rises to 12,063 with today’s risky level at 12,399.
  • The S&P 500 (1336.3) closed above its weekly pivot at 1335.6, setting a new high for the move at 1337.61. The 21-day simple moving average rises to 1306.1 with today’s risky level at 1344.4.
  • The Nasdaq (2826) closed back above this week’s pivot at 2811 with my quarterly risky level at 2853. The 21-day simple moving average rises to 2756 with today’s risky level at 2840.
  • Dow Transports (5286) tested and held its weekly pivot at 5206 on Tuesday, then breaks above its January 18 high at 5256.80 to 5306.54 on Wednesday. Today’s risky level is 5317.
  • The Russell 2000 (828.37) is above its weekly pivot at 811.80 with its July 2007 high at 862.00. Today’s risky level is 837.39.


We continue to trade under a ValuEngine Valuation Warning -- Sixteen of 16 sectors overvalued with only 32.4% of all stocks undervalued on Wednesday, below the 35% threshold by this measure. This also means that 67.6% of all stocks are overvalued.

10-Year Note -- (3.619) Is between my annual value level at 3.791 and my weekly risky level at 3.568.

Comex Gold -- ($1375.3) My annual pivot is $1356.5 with the 50-day simple moving average at $1372.2 with my monthly risky level at $1412.4.

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($85.00) Continues to trade below my semiannual pivot at $87.52 and is now oversold on its daily chart with today’s value level at $82.85.

The Euro -- (1.3567) Still above its 50-day simple moving average at 1.3377 with my weekly risky level at 1.3636.

Housing Starts and Permits Remain Soft -- Housing Starts increased 14.6% in January, but the gain was entirely due to a 77.7% increase in the multifamily sector. Single family starts declined 1.0% to a 413,000 annual rate with single family permits down 4.8%. Overall building permits declined 10.4%.

More Information From the NAHB Housing Market Index -- If you look at the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index going back to 1985 it never went below 20 until October 2007. During the 1988 to 1992 mini-crisis the lowest reading was 20 in January 1991. For the current popping of the housing bubble this index peaked at 72 in June 2005, when the CEOs of the publicly traded home builders described the housing market as the best they have ever seen.

Back in June 2005 ValuEngine had the home builders extremely overvalued and I noted their weekly price charts were extremely overbought. I wrote a piece calling for a summer 2005 peak for the home builder stocks, which proved to be a prudent market call. The NAHB HMI has been 20 or below since September 2007 and has been between 13 and 16 the past nine months. The exception was a 22 reading in the height of the $8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit in May 2010.

The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that their weekly Mortgage Applications Survey decreased 9.5% with the Refinance Index down 11.4%, to the lowest reading since July 3, 2009. The Purchase Index decreased 5.9%, and is 18.2% lower than a year ago. A major drag is attributed to the above 5% mortgage rate, up nearly a full percentage point from the October 2010 low, in the midst of when Fed Chief Bernanke was touting that the pending QE2 program would push longer-term yields lower to help consumers. The only thing that QE2 has done is inflate an equity market to an overvalued and overbought inflating financial bubble!

The minutes from the latest Fed Meeting indicates that unemployment and tight credit conditions continues to be a drag on the housing market. History repeats: Housing peaked in mid-2005 and the recovery has been nil. Community banks peaked at the end of 2006, and Bank Failure Friday continues. Regional Banks peaked in March 2007, and toxic assets remain in the banking system. Fed policy with that ridiculously low funds rate and QE2 is masking problems that will still plague the US economy for the next several years.’

 

 

 

 

Dip Buying Is Order of the Day: Dave's Daily Markets opened lower today but the dip as before was quickly bought. Nobody really cares about unemployment data anymore since crappy numbers are baked-in for a long time. The CPI, as phony as it is, still came in higher than expected. But, since it's a rigged number bulls can ignore it. Also ignored was a "just in case" Fed report asking banks for another "stress test". Further, the Iranian Navy, such as it is, wants to sail a couple of relics through the Suez Canal heightening tensions in a region beset by unrest and contagion. Bulls seized on good earnings reports from a variety of company reports (semiconductor and energy stocks) to bid stocks higher on the lower gap open. Further, the Philly Fed came in much higher than expected although inside the numbers the prices paid vs prices received disparity was the greatest since 1979. That wasn't a great time for corporate profits. Even though there's some "discussion" within the Fed over the effectiveness of QE operations another heavy dose of POMO was released to trading desks again Thursday. Volume once again was very light but breadth positive per the WSJ. This slow steady melt-up higher, now much overbought, leaves equity markets accident-prone.

 

 

 

 

Bubble Talk: Grantham Warns Of The Paradox Of Profit Margins Reese ‘In the second half of his year-end letter, GMO’s Jeremy Grantham takes a look at numerous asset bubbles throughout history, warning investors to ignore bubbles at their own peril. Grantham’s GMO manages more than $100 billion in assets.“Responding to the ebbs and flows of major cycles and saving your big bets for the outlying extremes is, in my opinion, easily the best way for a large pool of money to add value and reduce risk,” Grantham writes. “In comparison, waiting on the railroad tracks as the ‘Bubble Express’ comes barreling toward you is a very painful way to show your disdain for macro concepts and a blind devotion to your central skill of stock picking. The really major bubbles will wash away big slices of even the best Graham and Dodd portfolios.” Grantham says that bubbles form because of a cycle in which investment managers, feeling the career risk in making bold moves, fall prey to “herding”. It also involves what he calls “double counting”. Profit margins, he says, are mean-reverting, meaning that at times when margins are high, investors should be willing to pay less per dollar of earnings. In reality, what often happens, he says, is that when margins are high, inflating earnings, investors pay more for each dollar of earnings.“It is a classic fallacy of composition,” he says. “For an individual company, having an exceptional profit margin deserves a premium P/E against its competitors. But for the market as a whole, for which profit margins are beautifully mean reverting, it is exactly the reverse. This apparent paradox seems to fool the market persistently.”Also necessary for a bubble to form: a generous money supply, Grantham adds.Grantham also shows how bubbles — from the South Sea Stock Bubble of the early 1700s to the recent U.S. housing bubble — always go back to their original trend that was in place before the bubble formed.’

 



 

Great Inflation Debate: Core Producer Prices Run Hot Phillips ‘In the monthly battle over whether inflation is in the offing, the inflationistas got something to hold onto this morning. The monthly core producer prices for January — stripping out food and energy prices — came in at 0.5%, higher than 0.2% than economists had been expecting. Miller Tabak’s Peter Boockvar notes that the main rise in the core price was a 1.4% increase in prescription drug costs.

Alan Ruskin of Deutsche Bank writes:

Core intermediates and core crude were worryingly strong. In theory this pipeline pressure is not good for risk appetite and equities one way or the other. Either it dampens profit margins, or it is passed along to consumers, hurting real disposable income and encouraging policy tightening. Given a choice the market much prefers the former to the latter, not least because profit margins are less transparent, and determined even more by labor costs than raw materials. As such, pipeline price pressures will probably only seriously dampen enthusiasm for equities and risky assets when they start to show up more obviously in CPI or less clearly in industrial earnings.CPI will be on the economic docket on Thursday, with expectations for an increase of 0.3% in the headline number and 0.1% in the core figure. That number will be a lot more important to the markets. Yields on Treasurys are up a bit after the PPI report, but nothing major.’

 

 



 

21 Signs That The Once Great U.S. Economy Is Being Gutted, Neutered, Defanged, Declawed And Deindustrialized Once upon a time… The Economic Collapse  Feb 12, 2011 ‘Once upon a time, the United States was the greatest industrial powerhouse that the world has ever seen.  Our immense economic machinery was the envy of the rest of the globe and it provided the foundation for the largest and most vibrant middle class in the history of the world.  But now the once great U.S. economic machine is being dismantled piece by piece.  The U.S. economy is being gutted, neutered, defanged, declawed and deindustrialized and very few of our leaders even seem to care.  It was the United States that once showed the rest of the world how to mass produce televisions and automobiles and airplanes and computers, but now our industrial base is being ripped to shreds.  Tens of thousands of our factories and millions of our jobs have been shipped overseas.  Many of our proudest manufacturing cities have been transformed into “post-industrial” hellholes that nobody wants to live in anymore.

Meanwhile, wave after wave of shiny new factories is going up in nations such as China, India and Brazil.  This is great for those countries, but for the millions of American workers that desperately needed the jobs that have been sent overseas it is not so great.

This is the legacy of globalism.  Multinational corporations now have the choice whether to hire U.S. workers or to hire workers in countries where it is legal to pay slave labor wages.  The “great sucking sound” that Ross Perot warned us about so long ago is actually happening, and it has left tens of millions of Americans without good jobs.

So what is to become of a nation that consumes more than it ever has and yet continues to produce less and less?

Well, the greatest debt binge in the history of the world has enabled us to maintain (and even increase) our standard of living for several decades, but all of that debt is starting to really catch up with us.

The American people seem to be very confused about what is happening to us because most of them thought that the party was going to last forever.  In fact, most of them still seem convinced that our brightest economic days are still ahead.

After all, every time we have had a “recession” in the past things have always turned around and we have gone on to even greater things, right?

Well, what most Americans simply fail to understand is that we are like a car that is having its insides ripped right out.  Our industrial base is being gutted right in front of our eyes.

Most Americans don’t think much about our “trade deficit”, but it is absolutely central to what is happening to our economy.  Every year, we buy far, far more from the rest of the world than they buy from us.

In 2010, the U.S. trade deficit was just a whisker under $500 billion.  This is money that we could have all spent inside the United States that would have supported thousands of American factories and millions of American jobs.

Instead, we sent all of those hundreds of billions of dollars overseas in exchange for a big pile of stuff that we greedily consumed.  Most of that stuff we probably didn’t need anyway.

Since we spent almost $500 billion more with the rest of the world than they spent with us, at the end of the year the rest of the world was $500 billion wealthier and the American people were collectively $500 billion poorer.

That means that the collective “economic pie” that we are all dividing up is now $500 billion smaller.

Are you starting to understand why times suddenly seem so “hard” in the United States?

Meanwhile, jobs and businesses continue to fly out of the United States at a blinding pace.

This is a national crisis.

We simply cannot expect to continue to have a “great economy” if we allow our economy to be deindustrialized.

A nation that consumes far more than it produces is not going to be wealthy for long.

 

2-16-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

Bulls Remain Undaunted: Dave's Daily  ‘Bulls liked earnings from Dell and Abercrombie & Fitch as earnings continue to make analysts' forecasts look dumb. So far earnings are beating estimates by nearly 80%. M&A deals with Family Dollar and Genzyme being acquired were also positively received. Ignored was poor housing data as starts beat expectations owing to builders trying to get ahead of new building code rules leading to a large beat. But, new permits were down sharply. Even "core" PPI showed inflation taking hold while Industrial Production declined well below estimates. And, Borders finally gave up the ghost by filing for bankruptcy. It's interesting how these things cycle. Twenty years ago you lined-up at Blockbuster for the latest video and now it's on death's door. Borders was the next hip thing and now we have ereaders and "poof!" there it goes. Fed minutes showed some "discussion" over the merits of continuing QE2 given better data probably not the result of these activities. Nevertheless they upgraded economic growth slightly which was well-received. Perhaps POMO will lighten up, it did today. Bulls are determined to keep this rally going even if all of North Africa and the Middle East blow up. Emerging markets continue to suffer relative to U.S equities which probably reflect repatriation from less stable areas and a bet on better growth prospect at home. Commodities rallied and the dollar fell which is no surprise. Bonds behaved poorly with higher inflation in view. Volume improved Wednesday but overall still remains light…’

 

 

 

Great Inflation Debate: Core Producer Prices Run Hot Phillips ‘In the monthly battle over whether inflation is in the offing, the inflationistas got something to hold onto this morning. The monthly core producer prices for January — stripping out food and energy prices — came in at 0.5%, higher than 0.2% than economists had been expecting. Miller Tabak’s Peter Boockvar notes that the main rise in the core price was a 1.4% increase in prescription drug costs.

Alan Ruskin of Deutsche Bank writes:

Core intermediates and core crude were worryingly strong. In theory this pipeline pressure is not good for risk appetite and equities one way or the other. Either it dampens profit margins, or it is passed along to consumers, hurting real disposable income and encouraging policy tightening. Given a choice the market much prefers the former to the latter, not least because profit margins are less transparent, and determined even more by labor costs than raw materials. As such, pipeline price pressures will probably only seriously dampen enthusiasm for equities and risky assets when they start to show up more obviously in CPI or less clearly in industrial earnings.

CPI will be on the economic docket on Thursday, with expectations for an increase of 0.3% in the headline number and 0.1% in the core figure. That number will be a lot more important to the markets. Yields on Treasurys are up a bit after the PPI report, but nothing major.’

 

 

2-15-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

John Hussman: Rich Valuations and Poor Market Returns Hussman ‘Last week, the S&P 500 Index ascended to a Shiller P/E in excess of 24 (this "cyclically-adjusted P/E" or CAPE represents the ratio of the S&P 500 to 10-year average earnings, adjusted for inflation). Prior to the mid-1990's market bubble, a multiple in excess of 24 for the CAPE was briefly seen only once, between August and early-October 1929. Of course, we observed richer multiples at the heights of the late-1990's bubble, when investors got ahead of themselves in response to the introduction of transformative technologies such as the internet. After a market slide of more than 50%, investors again pushed the Shiller multiple beyond 24 during the housing bubble and cash-out financing free-for-all that ended in the recent mortgage collapse. And here we are again. This is not to say that we can rule out yet higher valuations, but with no transformative technologies driving the economy, little expansion in capital investment, and ongoing retrenchment in consumer balance sheets, I can't help but think that the "virtuous cycle" rhetoric of Ben Bernanke is an awfully thin gruel by comparison. We should not deserve to be called "investors" if we fail to recognize that valuations are richer today than at any point in history, save for the few months before the 1929 crash, and a bubble period that has been rewarded by zero total return for the S&P 500 since 2000. Indeed, the stock market has lagged the return on low-yielding Treasury bills since August 1998. I am not sure that even members of my own profession have learned anything from this.

[chart]

Based on our standard methodology (elaborated in numerous prior weekly comments), we presently estimate that the S&P 500 is priced to achieve an average total return over the coming decade of just 3.15% annually. Again, we've seen weaker projected returns over the past decade. But then again, the S&P 500 lost about 5% annually in the decade following the 2000 peak, and even including the recent advance, has achieved an annual total return since 2000 of almost exactly zero. So despite periodic speculative runs, rich valuations have an annoying way of ruining the fun. Equally important, even during extended speculative periods as we observed in the late-1990's, those advances have tended to suffer deep and abrupt intermediate-term corrections once elevated valuations are joined by overbought conditions, overbullish sentiment, and rising interest rates, as we observe today.’

 

 

 

 

 

Negative Stock Session Follows Disappointing Data   Midnight Trader ‘4:30 PM, Feb 15, 2011 --

  • NYSE down 21.48 (-0.26%) to 8,383.67
  • DJIA down 41.55 (-0.3%) to 12,227
  • S&P 500 down 4.31 (-0.32%) to 1,328
  • Nasdaq down 12.83 (-0.46%) to 2,804

GLOBAL SENTIMENT
Hang Seng down 0.96%
Nikkei up 0.2%
FTSE down 0.38%

 

2-14-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

 

Could the Dow Hit 4,500? [ Short answer: YES! Prechter et als say even far lower (which I would agree with in real terms, but not in debased dollar terms.)  ] Norfolk ‘October 20, 1999: I am at a breakfast briefing run by a British investment house. Scarfing my bacon bap and croissant, washed down with the treacly and malodorous coffee that only hotels can provide, I feel quite the patronised lower-order businessman as I listen to the market overview.

Suddenly, I become uneasy. It's not the stomach registering the high fat food - nothing like it for dealing with last night's alcohol, I find - it's the strange disconnection between what the fund reps are telling me and what they want me to do. They are feeding me dead pig so I will recommend equity investment to my clients - but they're telling me (with relaxed smiles) "the American stock market could be as much as 50% too high, and a correction is overdue", as I reported in a letter to a client the next day.

We sure get bought cheaply, don't we?

It was around the same time that I attended a monthly broker network meeting in Worcester, where another fund house recruiting sergeant told us IFA doughboys how (in 1999) the tech boom was only in its first phase, and a sort of super-boom was coming next.

That's when I decided (1) to start reminding my people that most of their pensions and investments had an option to switch to cash within the wrapper - with the caveat that I had no crystal ball, and (2) to change my own business and earnings model to survival mode.

The next year, when one of our colleagues at the monthly get-together revealed that the best asset class for the last 12 months had been cash and asked hands up who'd seen that coming, I kept my hand down. I didn't want to disappear in a hail of slightly stale bread rolls.

Today I read in "The Spectator" magazine an article by Merryn Somerset Webb, editor-in-chief of "Moneyweek". She points out the inflationary boom in the East and suggests a contrarian play - invest West (counting Japan as part of the West) - but warns of overvaluation here, too:

"I refer you to two valuation measures that seek to tell us where markets will go over ten to 20 years, the cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio and the Q ratio of market value to underlying asset value. According to their biggest fan, the strategist Andrew Smithers, they now tell us that the US market is around 70 per cent overvalued."

I fear that Smithers is an optimist; or rather, when he says a market is overvalued, I assume he's using a theoretical fair value as his point of reference, and ignoring the overshoot effect. 70% overvaluation implies a 40% (ish) drop; but for a long time I've been watching for a 70% drop.

Back in October 2008, J. Kyle Bass of Hayman Advisors (.pdf here) was saying "We think we will see 10-12% unemployment, a 4-5% decline in GDP, and the equity markets could drop at least 70% from peak to trough." (I love that reassuringly conservative "at least", don't you? As Wavy Gravy said at Woodstock, "There is always a little bit of heaven in a disaster area." Maybe we will all be feeding each other again, man.)

So I had a go at drawing a picture... in December 2008, I took the Dow at close at the start of each calendar month from late October 1928 to 80 years later, and divided it by inflation (CPI-U) as announced for the end of the preceding month (I figured that even official figures for consumer prices aren't as manipulated as the gold market). Here's what I got: [chart]
Re-done today to the end of January, here's the same story updated:
[chart]
Read this way, the real peak was at the end of 1999, then the market halved until monetary inflation from 2003 blew up real estate, then it halved again until the wonders of QE, and sometime soon the Fed's lungs are going to give out once more.

Allowing for inflation, a drop of 70% from December 1999 would mean the Dow's low should be just under 4,500 today. That red dot really doesn't look so freakishly out of whack in context - not half so much as the Twin Peaks before it.

Of course, inflation is the joker in the pack. I'm talking about a deflation of the Dow in real terms; one way that could happen is a phoney boom discounted by high inflation - like 1973 - 1982, for instance:
[chart]

It took until April 1992 for the real Dow to get back to what it had been worth in December 1972; but at least it got back. The dollar lost 70% of its consumer purchasing power over the same period.

Like I said in my last SA article (This Liquidity Will Soak Us All ), it may be that we're going to wet, no matter what tree we stand under.

Meantime, I'm buying my own sandwiches.’

 

 

 

 

 

21 Signs That The Once Great U.S. Economy Is Being Gutted, Neutered, Defanged, Declawed And Deindustrialized Once upon a time… The Economic Collapse  Feb 12, 2011 ‘Once upon a time, the United States was the greatest industrial powerhouse that the world has ever seen.  Our immense economic machinery was the envy of the rest of the globe and it provided the foundation for the largest and most vibrant middle class in the history of the world.  But now the once great U.S. economic machine is being dismantled piece by piece.  The U.S. economy is being gutted, neutered, defanged, declawed and deindustrialized and very few of our leaders even seem to care.  It was the United States that once showed the rest of the world how to mass produce televisions and automobiles and airplanes and computers, but now our industrial base is being ripped to shreds.  Tens of thousands of our factories and millions of our jobs have been shipped overseas.  Many of our proudest manufacturing cities have been transformed into “post-industrial” hellholes that nobody wants to live in anymore.

Meanwhile, wave after wave of shiny new factories is going up in nations such as China, India and Brazil.  This is great for those countries, but for the millions of American workers that desperately needed the jobs that have been sent overseas it is not so great.

This is the legacy of globalism.  Multinational corporations now have the choice whether to hire U.S. workers or to hire workers in countries where it is legal to pay slave labor wages.  The “great sucking sound” that Ross Perot warned us about so long ago is actually happening, and it has left tens of millions of Americans without good jobs.

So what is to become of a nation that consumes more than it ever has and yet continues to produce less and less?

Well, the greatest debt binge in the history of the world has enabled us to maintain (and even increase) our standard of living for several decades, but all of that debt is starting to really catch up with us.

The American people seem to be very confused about what is happening to us because most of them thought that the party was going to last forever.  In fact, most of them still seem convinced that our brightest economic days are still ahead.

After all, every time we have had a “recession” in the past things have always turned around and we have gone on to even greater things, right?

Well, what most Americans simply fail to understand is that we are like a car that is having its insides ripped right out.  Our industrial base is being gutted right in front of our eyes.

Most Americans don’t think much about our “trade deficit”, but it is absolutely central to what is happening to our economy.  Every year, we buy far, far more from the rest of the world than they buy from us.

In 2010, the U.S. trade deficit was just a whisker under $500 billion.  This is money that we could have all spent inside the United States that would have supported thousands of American factories and millions of American jobs.

Instead, we sent all of those hundreds of billions of dollars overseas in exchange for a big pile of stuff that we greedily consumed.  Most of that stuff we probably didn’t need anyway.

Since we spent almost $500 billion more with the rest of the world than they spent with us, at the end of the year the rest of the world was $500 billion wealthier and the American people were collectively $500 billion poorer.

That means that the collective “economic pie” that we are all dividing up is now $500 billion smaller.

Are you starting to understand why times suddenly seem so “hard” in the United States?

Meanwhile, jobs and businesses continue to fly out of the United States at a blinding pace.

This is a national crisis.

We simply cannot expect to continue to have a “great economy” if we allow our economy to be deindustrialized.

A nation that consumes far more than it produces is not going to be wealthy for long.

The following are 21 signs that the once great U.S. economy is being gutted,  neutered, defanged, declawed and deindustrialized….

#1 The U.S. trade deficit with the rest of the world rose to 497.8 billion dollars in 2010.  That represented a 32.8% increase from 2009.

#2 The U.S. trade deficit with China rose to an all-time record of 273.1 billion dollars in 2010.  This is the largest trade deficit that one nation has had with another nation in the history of the world.

#3 The U.S. trade deficit with China in 2010 was 27 times larger than it was back in 1990.

#4 In the years since 1975, the United States had run a total trade deficit of 7.5 trillion dollars with the rest of the world.

#5 The United States spends more than 4 dollars on goods and services from China for every one dollar that China spends on goods and services from the United States.

#6 In 1959, manufacturing represented 28 percent of all U.S. economic output.  In 2008, it represented only 11.5 percent and it continues to fall.

#7 The number of net jobs gained by the U.S. economy during this past decade was smaller than during any other decade since World War 2.

#8 The Bureau of Labor Statistics originally predicted that the U.S. economy would create approximately 22 million jobs during the decade of the 2000s, but it turns out that the U.S. economy only produced about 7 million jobsduring that time period.

#9 Japan now manufactures about 5 million more automobiles than the United States does.

#10 China has now become the world’s largest exporter of high technology products.

#11 Manufacturing employment in the U.S. computer industry is actually lower in 2010 than it was in 1975.

#12 The United States now has 10 percent fewer “middle class jobs” than it did just ten years ago.

#13 According to Tax Notes, between 1999 and 2008 employment at the foreign affiliates of U.S. parent companies increased an astounding 30 percent to 10.1 million. During that exact same time period, U.S. employment at American multinational corporations declined 8 percent to 21.1 million.

#14 Back in 1970, 25 percent of all jobs in the United States were manufacturing jobs. Today, only 9 percent of the jobs in the United States are manufacturing jobs.

#15 Back in 1998, the United States had 25 percent of the world’s high-tech export market and China had just 10 percent. Ten years later, the United States had less than 15 percent and China’s share had soared to 20 percent.

#16 The number of Americans that have become so discouraged that they have given up searching for work completely now stands at an all-time high.

#17 Half of all American workers now earn $505 or less per week.

#18 The United States has lost a staggering 32 percent of its manufacturing jobs since the year 2000.

#19 Since 2001, over 42,000 U.S. factories have closed down for good.

#20 In 2008, 1.2 billion cellphones were sold worldwide.  So how many of them were manufactured inside the United States?  Zero.

#21 Ten years ago, the “employment rate” in the United States was about 64%.  Since then it has been constantly declining and now the “employment rate” in the United States is only about 58%.  So where did all of those jobs go?

The world is changing.

We are bleeding national wealth at a pace that is almost unimaginable.

We are literally being drained dry.

Did you know that China now has the world’s fastest train and the world’s largest high-speed rail network?

They were able to afford those things with all of the money that we have been sending them.

How do you think all of those oil barons in the Middle East became so wealthy and could build such opulent palaces?

They got rich off of all the money that we have been sending them.

Meanwhile, once great U.S. cities such as Detroit, Michigan now look like war zones.

Back in 1985, the U.S. trade deficit with China was about 6 million dollars for the entire year.

As mentioned above, the U.S. trade deficit with China for 2010 was over 273billion dollars.

What a difference 25 years can make, eh?

What do you find when you go into a Wal-Mart, a Target or a dollar store today?

You find row after row after row of stuff made in China and in other far away countries.

It can be more than a bit difficult to find things that are actually made inside the United States anymore.  In fact, there are quite a few industries that have completely and totally left the United States.  For certain product categories it is now literally impossible to buy something made in America.

So what are we going to do with our tens of millions of blue collar workers?

Should we just tell them that their jobs are not ever coming back so they better learn phrases such as “Welcome to Wal-Mart” and “Would you like fries with that”?

For quite a few years, the gigantic debt bubble that we were living in kind of insulated us from feeling the effects of the deindustrialization of America.

But now the pain is starting to kick in.

It has now become soul-crushingly difficult to find a job in America today.

According to Gallup, the U.S. unemployment rate is currently 10.1% and when you throw in “underemployed” workers that figure rises to 19.6%.

Competition for jobs has become incredibly fierce and it is going to stay that way.

The great U.S. economic machine is being ripped apart and dismantled right in full view of us all.

This is not a “conservative” issue or a “liberal” issue.  This is an American issue.

The United States is rapidly being turned into a “post-industrial” wasteland.

It is time to wake up America.’

 

 

2-11-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

One-Way Market Action: Dave's Daily  ‘"To the moon"(Alice) might be a better description of this nonstop bullish action. All week markets were worrying about Egypt. When things were bad there, markets rallied. When things seemed better, markets rallied. When Cisco and Credit Suisse posted lousy reports, markets rallied. When China raised interest rates, markets rallied. Every dip has been bought and every dip has been buying. All this was taking place while many emerging markets were breaking down creating some divergence from previously high inter-market correlations. Things are going so well most reliable technical indicators are getting steamrolled by what those few trading must believe is a rosy future. Market rallies have been steady but not spectacularly higher with daily .50% type moves. But, those add up. Does all this frustrate us? Partially, since active portfolios exited a couple of weeks ago but Lazy Portfolios are doing better. Making sense of Mr. Market has never been an easy proposition. I'm back from attending the annual Inside ETFs conference in Florida where I moderated a panel on technical analysis. Most panelists were bullish but couldn't pin-point why other than "price" analysis. Friday Mubarak gave up probably needing the extra time to round-up the loot before he left town for a Club Med in Dubai or some such place. Markets opened lower on Mubarak's initial determination but then rallied some on his change of heart Friday…’

 

 

 

 

Bad News and Higher Prices - Bullish Wall of Worry or Reason to Worry?  [Definitely reason to worry; this up, up and away, valuation be damned preceded the last crash and the crash before that!  ], On Friday February 11, 2011 ‘If it's too obvious, it's obviously wrong. More often than not, this proverbial Wall Street adage has the last laugh. What's the prevailing consent on Wall Street? What's suspiciously obvious today?

- The Fed is here to help. As long as there's QE2 (or QE3, 4, etc,) prices will go up.

- January was positive. As January goes, so goes the year.

- This is the third year of the Presidential Election Year Cycle. There hasn't been a negative third year since 1939.

- There's no catalyst to send stocks higher.

While Wall Street analysts are trying to one up each other's positive forecasts, the Fear Index, VIX (Chicago Options: ^VIX) has fallen to a 3 year low. The last time the VIX was at a similar level was in April 2010, just before a literally fear-inspiring 17% correction and the May 'Flash Crash' (see chart below).The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter didn't subscribe to the prevailing optimism in April 2010 and warned that: 'The message conveyed by the composite bullishness is unmistakably bearish. The pieces are in place for a major decline.'Does that mean that the bottom will fall out again within a matter of days? Not necessarily, but now is certainly not the time to be married to your holdings. Tight sell stops are warranted because any minor correction could turn into a large one. Why?

New Bull Market, or Mother of all Bear Market Rallies?

The devil's in the long-term trend. If we are in a new bull market, any dip would present a buying opportunity. If we are in the mother of all bear market rallies, every rally is a trap and represents a selling opportunity.How can one determine whether we are in a new bull market, or a bear market rally?     [chart]     It's said that bull markets climb a wall of worry. No doubt there was extreme pessimism surrounding the March 2009 lows. That's one of the reasons the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter sent out a strong buy signal on March 2, 2009.But pessimism at the bottom doesn't equal a wall of worry. In fact, following the initial bout of disbelief, investors embraced the rally rather quickly. In late 2009, sentiment readings became frothy, in January 2010 they rivaled 2007 extremes (stocks fell 9%), and in April 2010 they exceeded 2007 extremes (stocks fell 17%).About two thirds of the rally from the 2009 lows was accompanied by optimism. This is no wall of worry.

Glass Half Full Outlook

Think about it, even the truly big problems - unemployment and falling real estate (NYSEArca: IYR - News) prices - were sugar coated from the very beginning. The unemployment problem was charmingly called 'jobless recovery' and falling real estate prices were simply ignored.The Case-Shiller home price index is down four months in a row, but nobody is bothered. A few days ago, MarketWatch ran an article: '10 reasons to be bullish on housing.'Courtesy of the continuing real estate conundrum, the FDIC closed 157 banks in 2010, and 14 thus far in 2011. According to a Wall Street Journal article, the top 10 U.S. owned banks (NYSEArca: KBE - News) had $13.8 billion in unrealized losses.Those are not reflected in earnings numbers as long as financial institutions (NYSEArca: XLF - News) believe the investment will later rebound. Guess what? Banks are pretty darn sure prices will reclaim their 2006 all-time highs.In addition to the $13.8 billion in unrealized losses, the top 10 U.S. banks owned $360.7 billion in illiquid, hard to value assets (called level 3 assets). While paper earnings appear solid, it appears as if banks are hiding skeletons in their closets. But who cares, stocks (NYSEArca: VTI - News) are up.

Anomaly Explained

Ben Bernanke has openly admitted that asset inflation, or the wealth effect from rising stock prices, is the objective of QE2. Obviously, the money flow from the Federal Reserve over banks into the stock market has been the driving force behind this monster rally.Much of the Fed money has been funneled into commodities. Since QE2, net speculative positions in wheat and copper have doubled, oil soared 115%, soybeans 40% and corn 15%. Rising commodity prices (NYSEArca: DBC - News) are putting the squeeze on lower income Americans and will eventually lower profit margins for the materials sector (NYSEArca: XLB - News).It's quite likely that this ripple effect will spill over into the retail (NYSEArca: XRT - News), technology (NYSEArca: XLK - News), and consumer discretionary sector (NYSEArca: XLY - News). From there it's just a matter of time until it hits the broader Dow (DJI: ^DJI), S&P (SNP: ^GSPC) and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC).Contrary to its objective, QE2 has also sent interest rates soaring. Higher interest rates tend to encourage the money to flow from equities into bonds. Higher interest rates put pressure on bond (NYSEArca: AGG - News) and stock prices alike.

Early Detection

The trend is your friend, but the trend is a fair-weather friend and can turn at any given time. The trend doesn't announce its intention to change direction. It switches back and worth as it pleases without your permission.Courtesy of your friend the trend, everybody is a genius in a bull market ... and a nave misguided trend follower when prices drop without prior notice.There is no foolproof way to find out when the market is about to change directions. There are, however, ways to put the odds in your favor.Watching support levels has proven a very effective way. A few months ago 1,170  was a crucial support level highlighted by the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter. The S&P tested this level no less than five times, but never broker below it and rallied over 10% since.Just recently, 1,270 was such a support level. The S&P tested it twice before moving into the 1,320 range. The market is dynamic and can change swiftly; therefore, it's the market that dictates support levels, not us. We just identify and use them.At the current juncture, support levels are vital because they define the trend. As long as support remains intact, so does the rally. Once support is broken, watch out…’

 

 

 

 

Stock Market Resiliency Being Put to the Test Minyanville Suttmeier, chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com.’The test of resiliency for stocks comes from the dynamics for the US capital markets, both fundamentally and technically. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note has held my annual value level at 3.791, and these high yields are a drag on equity valuations. Comex gold has been volatile but seems to find a home at my annual pivot at $1356.5. Nymex crude oil trades on both sides of my semiannual pivot at $87.52. In this environment US stocks have become overvalued fundamentally and overbought technically. Stocks have been trading under a ValuEngine Valuation Warning for the past three days as the major averages push the envelope of new multi-year highs.I still see the warning flags flying from Egypt, Europe, and the emerging markets which are laggards as we approach mid-February. While the Dow Industrial Average is up 5.6% year to date the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index Fund (EEM) is down 5.4%, and the iShares FTSE China 25 Index Fund (FXI) is down 4.0% and is below both its 50-day simple moving average at $43.28 and its 200-day simple moving average at $42.13. These types of negative divergences suggest to me that US stocks are vulnerable once their Fed-induced bubbles pop.Thursday’s equity closes were above all of this week’s pivots at 12,142 Dow Industrial Average, 1316.2 S&P 500, 2770 Nasdaq, 5077 Dow Transports, and 800.13 Russell 2000. The S&P 500 tested and held its weekly pivot at 1316.2. The Dow Transport Average outperformed on Thursday and tested its annual pivot at 5179.
 

  • The Dow Industrial Average (12,229) -- My monthly value level is 11,759 with daily and annual risky levels at 12,404 and 13,890.
  • The S&P 500 (1321.9) -- My quarterly value level is 1262.5 with today’s risky level at 1344.5.
  • The NASDAQ (2790) -- My monthly value level is 2611 with daily and quarterly risky levels at 2850 and 2853.
  • Dow Transports (5168) -- My monthly value level is 4962 with daily and annual pivots at 5162 and 5179. Transports lag its January 18 high at 5256.80.
  • The Russell 2000 (812.70) -- My annual and quarterly value levels are 784.16 and 765.50 with a daily risky level at 829.97.


We are trading under a ValuEngine Valuation Warning -- 16 of 16 sectors overvalued with only 33.15% of all stocks undervalued on Wednesday, below the 35% threshold by this measure. This also means that 66.86% of all stocks are overvalued. Why does Wall Street think stocks are cheap?

The US Treasury 10-Year Yield
-- (3.702) My annual value level is 3.791 with a weekly risky level at 3.525.
Comex Gold -- ($1361.7) My quarterly and annual pivots are $1331.3 and $1356.5 with daily, monthly, quarterly, and semiannual risky levels are $1375.2, $1412.4, $1441.7, and $1452.6.
Nymex Crude Oil – ($87.14) My semiannual pivot at $87.52 has become a magnet with a monthly pivot at $91.83.
The Euro -- (1.3593) My quarterly value level is 1.3227 with my monthly risky level at 1.4225.

Foreclosure Lull as Repossessions Rise Again
Foreclosure paperwork issues have slowed the home foreclosure process over the past two months, but as this dilemma works its way to a solution, foreclosures will rise again, as will bank auctions of OREO (Other Real Estate Owned). As a result, more homeowners who are missing mortgage payments are staying in their homes longer, adding to the backlog of bad loans. Meanwhile, banks are picking up the pace in repossessions taking back 78,133 properties in January according to RealtyTrac. This is up 12% from December. Banks took back more than a million homes in 2010, and about five million borrowers are at least two months behind on mortgage payments.
The housing problems remain the same: high unemployment, a weak housing market, falling home prices, and tighter lending standards.’

 

 

 

Debunking the 'Debunking Myths of U.S. Collapse' Post  Ridder [ Stated another way, the collapse of the (dis)united states is at hand. Now, let me state, that doesn’t mean america will disappear from the face of the earth, but the reality truly is ‘death from a thousand cuts’. It’s not just China’s rise, but america’s decline and fall with the concomitant relative rise of other nations, regions. Quite simply, and historically factual reality has proven, nation-states cannot and have not survived the multitude of negative, destructive, and self-destructive things america has done and prosper as a leading nation. From perpetual war, to pervasive corruption, fraud, criminality across all stratum including institutions, government of american society, to what I believe as well to be an evolved genetic bias of inherent criminality/mental illness which is ill-adapted to the strictures of a more enlightened 21st Century by way of near instantaneously available information, with truth and factual reality being america’s greatest enemy. In support of the foregoing I will reiterate reasons, infra.]  ‘This is a short response to another post I recently read, "Debunking Myths of U.S. Collapse," which was a follow up to the article "The End of America? Not Quite." This post had various and numerous flaws, in my opinion, which I thought had to be addressed. I have unfortunately recently undergone shoulder surgery, so I will not be able to provide as comprehensive response as I might hope; but I will provide some basic arguments and thoughts that rebut or refute the statements given in the "Debunking" post. First, under the heading "Printing Money Does Not Create Wealth," in which the author attempts to refute this statement, there is this line of reasoning:

"How will the 'wasted' money get into the hands of the wealth creators? If the new ear pickers go into their communities and spend it at local businesses, the printed money goes from useless employees, into the accounts of productive businesses (of course the producers get less after layers of tax bites). So the act of spending printed dollars itself will get those dollars into the hands of businesses who are able to create wealth."

Quickly, I will point to Japan, which has tried this over 20 years and seems not to have created much wealth as measured by the Japanese stock market. On the face of it this is a Keynesian solution and one source to explain the Keynesian fallacies, and provide logic for its arguments, is the book, "The Failure of the New Economics: An Analysis of the Keynesian Fallacies."

Secondly, we come across this statement:

You will realize Dick Cheney got it right when he said 'Deficits don't matter,' and will rest well knowing the US will not default through non-payment, nor hyper-inflation."

The author Murray Rothbard in the book, "Making Economic Sense," rebuts this thinking where he writes:

"Myth 1: Deficits are the cause of inflation; deficits have nothing to do with inflation."

"In recent decades we always have had federal deficits. The invariable response of the party out of power, whichever it may be, is to denounce those deficits as being the cause of perpetual inflation. And the invariable response of whatever party is in power has been to claim that deficits have nothing to do with inflation. Both opposing statements are myths.

"Deficits mean that the federal government is spending more than it is taking in in taxes. Those deficits can be financed in two ways. If they are financed by selling Treasury bonds to the public, then the deficits are not inflationary. No new money is created; people and institutions simply draw down their bank deposits to pay for the bonds, and the Treasury spends that money. Money has simply been transferred from the public to the Treasury, and then the money is spent on other members of the public.

"On the other hand, the deficit may be financed by selling bonds to the banking system. If that occurs, the banks create new money by creating new bank deposits and using them to buy the bonds. The new money, in the form of bank deposits, is then spent by the Treasury, and thereby enters permanently into the spending stream of the economy, raising prices and causing inflation. By a complex process, the Federal Reserve enables the banks to create the new money by generating bank reserves of one-tenth that amount. Thus, if banks are to buy $100 billion of new bonds to finance the deficit, the Fed buys approximately $10 billion of old Treasury bonds. This purchase increases bank reserves by $10 billion, allowing the banks to pyramid the creation of new bank deposits or money by ten times that amount. In short, the government and the banking system it controls in effect "print" new money to pay for the federal deficit.

"Thus, deficits are inflationary to the extent that they are financed by the banking system; they are not inflationary to the extent they are underwritten by the public."

Third, the author is just plain wrong mathematical analysis under the heading, "Printing Money Will Cause the U.S. Dollar to Lose Reserve-Currency Status," the author writes:

"Granted, China is growing at roughly 10% a year, and we are only growing at 3%. I get that. Let's do the math though and see if we should worry. If China is a $6 trillion economy, growing at 10%, they grow by $600 billion a year. If we are a $14 trillion economy growing at 3%, we grow by $420 billion a year. In this close to reality example, China is closing the gap at $180 billion a year. At this rate - it will take China 44 years to even match the US in GDP. Can they continue to grow at 10% a year, while their largest customer grows at 3% for 44 straight year? We are a far cry from no longer being the largest economy. The biggest economy in the world should be blessed with the reserve currency."

I took $14 trillion and grew it at a 3% rate in a spreadsheet and then took $6 trillion in a spreadsheet and grew it at 10% a year. One will find that if the 3% and 10% growth rates hold then in only 13 years (from a base year of zero) the Chinese economy would surpass the U.S. economy. This is much lower than 44 years, actually less than 30% of the time! It appears the author forgot to compound the growth rates but just used the difference in the first year to compute a timeline. Finally, the OECD showed that the EU-27 had a larger economy than the U.S. in 2009.

Fourth, there is this paragraph headline, "If Money Printing is Good, Then Just Print Enough To Give Everyone $1 Million," and then tries to protect the money printing position, which starts as follows:

"If printing is not a big deal, then why not just print away? The doom and gloomers jump to the conclusion that if I think printing won't cause the collapse of America, it must be a good thing. So why not seek more of that good thing?"

The author then rambles on about how he is not calling for everyone to get a huge lump sum and therefore his money printing position is okay. Left unanswered is what is the "right" amount of money to print and how exactly does it get distributed. Rothbard provides a more thoughtful analysis of this type of situation, again, in his book, "The Mystery of Banking," where he introduces the Angel Gabriel analogy:

"To show why an increase in the money supply confers no social benefits, let us picture to ourselves what I call the "Angel Gabriel" model. The Angel Gabriel is a benevolent spirit who wishes only the best for mankind, but unfortunately knows nothing about economics. He hears mankind constantly complaining about a lack of money, so he decides to intervene and do something about it. And so overnight, while all of us are sleeping, the Angel Gabriel descends and magically doubles everyone's stock of money. In the morning, when we all wake up, we find that the amount of money we had in our wallets, purses, safes, and bank accounts has doubled.

"What will be the reaction? Everyone knows it will be instant hoopla and joyous bewilderment. Every person will consider that he is now twice as well off, since his money stock has doubled. In terms of our Figure 3.4, everyone's cash balance, and therefore total M, has doubled to $200 billion. Everyone rushes out to spend their new surplus cash balances. But, as they rush to spend the money, all that happens is that demand curves for all goods and services rise. Society is no better off than before, since real resources, labor, capital, goods, natural resources, productivity, have not changed at all. And so prices will, overall, approximately double, and people will find that they are not really any better off than they were before. Their cash balances have doubled, but so have prices, and so their purchasing power remains the same. Because he knew no economics, the Angel Gabriel's gift to mankind has turned to ashes.

"But let us note something important for our later analysis of the real world processes of inflation and monetary expansion. It is not true that no one is better off from the Angel Gabriel's doubling of the supply of money. Those lucky folks who rushed out the next morning, just as the stores were opening, managed to spend their increased cash before prices had a chance to rise; they certainly benefited. Those people, on the other hand, who decided to wait a few days or weeks before they spent their money, lost by the deal, for they found that their buying prices rose before they had the chance to spend the increased amounts of money. In short, society did not gain overall, but the early spenders benefited at the expense of the late spenders. The profligate gained at the expense of the cautious and thrifty: another joke at the expense of the good Angel." (Pages 45-46)

Fifth, it appears that the author has reintroduced the fallacy of the labor theory of value when he states:

"The U.S. Dollar Has Lost 96% of its Purchasing Power - Thus Printing Makes Us Poorer. This argument only covers one side of the story. While each individual dollar buys less goods, the argument is incomplete. To bust this myth, we just need to look at how much time it requires to pay for those goods. Instead of looking at how many dollars it takes to buy a candy bar today compared to 30 years ago, I would challenge you to instead value the candy bar in hours of labor to obtain it."

I am almost at a loss as how to respond to the labor theory of value appearing to pop up again. I think one can go to any of today’s basic economic textbooks and have that fallacy addressed. I only hope the author was intending to discuss real wages and unfortunately used poor wording that accidently came out as in favor for the labor theory of value.

Finally, the author writes:

"I want the reader to know though, you can rest confident knowing that tonight the U.S. will not collapse by the time you wake up in the morning. Sleep well because the U.S. Dollar will not be worthless when you wake up ... Fear for the collapse of America is unwarranted and rooted in misunderstanding of the monetary system in which we live under today. We are not Greece. Or Weimar. Or Zimbabwe."

I would caution the reader that author’s writing has numerous fallacies and mathematical inaccuracies. A need for clearer and more thoughtful thinking is needed to analyze the monetary and fiscal policies of Greece, Weimar, and Zimbabwe and compare them to the U.S. I do recall a while ago that the central bank head of Zimbabwe said his bank was just doing the same thing the FED was. This is not the type of neighborhood I would like to take even a short visit to.’

 

 

2-10-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

Cisco Slump, Mubarak Saga Keep Lid On Stocks  [ But guess what? The fraudulent wall street rally point … ‘news that Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak would step down’ … never happened!  ] ‘Disappointing earnings projections from Cisco and PepsiCo pressured Wall Street Friday morning, but news that Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak would step down buoyed markets by midday and the major indexes essentially flat by the closing bell.The Nasdaq actually ticked positive to gain 1 point to 2,790, despite Wednesday’s troubling report from Cisco that included a decline in gross margins along with its better than expected earnings and revenue. (See “Cisco: Prelude To Profits, Or Layoffs.”)Cisco’s shares slumped 14.2%, but the rest of the tech sector as fairly resilient. Apple was also in the news, after a sudden plunge in the 1 p.m. hour on little news before recovering to finish with a 1% decline. (See “Did Someone Have A Fat Finger On Apple Today?”)Egypt jumped back into the headlines shortly after the open, with speculation that President Hosni Mubarak would resign. In a speech that began just before the U.S. markets closed, Mubarak stopped short of confirming his departure, but did say he would transfer some of his presidential powers to Vice President Omar Suleiman until a September election.It was a tough day for companies who rang the closing bells at NYSE and Nasdaq, since all eyes were on Mubarak’s speech that ran past the end of trading. The S&P 500 added 1 point to 1,322, while the Dow Jones industrial average broke its eight-day winning streak with an 11-point decline to 12,229.Aside from Cisco, a weaker-than-anticipated forecast from PepsiCo also pressured stocks, overshadowing any enthusiasm for the latest snapshot of the job market. New jobless claims fell to their lowest level since July 2008 last week, according to the Labor Department, dropping to 383,000. The four-week moving average was down to 415,500.’

 

 

 

 

Initial Jobless Claims Drop to 383,000 [ Come on! Who believes anything they say / report! ]

 

 

 

 

Minimum 5% Correction Begins Cooper ‘Minyanville Editor's Note: The following is a free edition of Jeff Cooper's Daily Market Report…..Is it getting better?Or do you feel the same?One (U2)

“Synchronicity is no more baffling or mysterious than the discontinuities of physics. It is only the ingrained belief in the sovereign power of causality that creates intellectual difficulties and makes it appear unthinkable that causeless events exist or could ever exist. But if they do, then we must regard them as creative acts, as the continuous creation of a pattern that exists from all eternity, repeats itself sporadically, and is not derivable from any known antecedents. Continuous creation is to be thought of not only as a series of successive acts of creation, but also as the eternal presence of the ONE creative act.” -
- Carl Jung

[ Wow! … Note to myself: Never bother reading the verbose, circumlocution-prone jung. And, truth be told, while I believe it to be true there’s a substantial correction in the offing, and it’s also true that the business cycles shouldn’t be ignored (though computerization has lessened the impact of ‘inventory recessions’), and that the market is significantly overvalued; the following is a bit much and included as a matter of curiosity (those modern day alchemists thing … ie., helicopter ben spinning more fake money from paper, fraudulent wall street’s worthless assets from paper and spin, etc..) and correct for the wrong or questionable reasons but is somewhat of a ‘hoot’; and so, you may borrow and don Mickey’s sorcerer’s (apprentice) hat and hang on for the ride. Whew! … that Jungian verbosity thing must be catching! Happy halloweeny! ]

The relevance of trading with time and cycle may alone be less accurate than forecast with price; however its relevance increases as forecasted times approach, price patterns and momentum wanes showing signs of reversal.
When taken together, time/price harmonics have accurately predicted significant market turning points.
Numbers don’t mean anything until they turn the market, but numbers, not fundamentals, turn the market. It was not the fundamentals that turned the market in March 2009.
One of W.D. Gann’s major methods for market timing was to use fractions of a circle, specifically into quarters, eighths, and thirds, to count the number of days, weeks, and months between highs and lows.
For example, the circle has 360 degrees, 90 is one-quarter, 45 is one-eighth.
Rounding, one-eighth of 90 is 11, two-eighths is 22, three-eighths is 33, and four-eights is 45.
W.D. Gann was the greatest student and researcher of the market ever but he was very secretive about what he revealed and how he revealed it. He never chose his words without a distinct reason.
For example, one of Gann’s books was called 45 Years in Wall Street. Note that the title was not 45 Years on Wall Street, but in Wall Street.
The book was not about his career on Wall Street but about a cycle on Wall Street.
As well as regular cycles, there are random fluctuations in things too. The random occurrences can camouflage the periodicity of cycles and also generate what appear to be new, smaller cycles… which they may not be. This is one of the problems with market-timing signals.
In addition, many things act as if they are influenced simultaneously by several different rhythmic influences, the composite effect of which is not regular at all.
Cycles may have been present in the figures you have been studying merely by chance. The ups and downs you have noticed, which come at more or less regular intervals, may have just happened to come that way. The regularity, the cycle, is there but in such circumstances it may carry no significance
Cycles can invert, appear and disappear, and elipticalize.
When forecasting stock market cycles, they can be influenced by random events. The predictive value of cycles provide only specific probabilities when the suggested time period is approached.
Fixed time cycles are apparent in stock market tops and bottoms. But, eventually a cycle may cease to continue. For example, the four-year cycle in the US stock market held true from 1954 to 1982, producing accurate forecasts of eight market bottoms. Had an investor recognized the cycle in 1962 he could have amassed a fortune over the next 20 years. But in 1986, the cycle’s prediction of a low failed to provide a bear market and in 1987 its rising phase failed to prevent the largest crash since 1929.
When the market doesn’t do what is expected it is talking, but ultimately the regression to the mean is vicious.
Long-term cycles, such as the Kondratieff Cycle as well as Elliott Waves, suggested that the big-picture bull market was coming to an end in 2000.
The Kondratieff Cycle is a common, often-quoted cycle of financial and economic behavior that lasts about 54 years. This 54-year cycle is close to the Fibonacci 55 number.
One year is a little less than 55 weeks.
Fifty-five was an important count for W.D. Gann. He called a period of 49 to 55 days the Death Zone. February 8 was the 49th trading day from November 30, the day prior to the December 1 kickoff of this last leg up.
A Synodic Period is the length of time two planets meet in Conjunction, which means revolving 360 degrees to each other. The 360-degree period is divided into fractions known as the Sextile (60 degrees), Square (90 degrees), Trine (120 degrees), Opposition (180 degrees), and back to Conjunction again.
Many of the Synodic planetary cycles conform to the Fibonacci Summation series. Their relationship to natural harmonic vibration is not by chance.
For example Venus revolves around the sun in 61% of one year, or 225 days. Two-hundred-twenty-five was an important number for Gann because 180 + 45 = 225. These two planets possess the unique Fibonacci relationship of the 0.618 Golden Mean.
Every other conjunction of Mars/Jupiter is four-and-one-third years, or 233 weeks, another Fibonacci number. This ties to the four-year cycle mentioned above. While the four-year cycle went out of whack in 1986, there was a significant low in the fall of 1990 and late 1994, which began the parabolic move into 2000. There was a shakeout into 1998 and of course there was the 2002 low. There was a two-month shakeout into June/July of 2006 from 1326 S&P to 1219, which marked the low prior to the advance into the all-time high. Then there was the summer low in 2010. It's interesting that these same numbers from the last cycle 1326 and 1219 are so prominent four years later.
The recent S&P high this week was 1325 and the big April top in 2010 was 1219.
The Synodic period for the Saturn/Uranus combination is 45 years. One-eighth of the 360 degree circle and one-half of 90 is 45.
I bring this up because 45 years ago marked the top of the secular bull market in 1966. That bull market began in June 1949.
The powerful two-year advance from March 2009 may have been a result of the 60-year cycle exerting its influence.
One cycle of 45 years back from 1966 gives 1921, which was the big low prior to the run up into 1929.
If the four-year cycle holds up the next trough should be in 2012. Somewhere prior to then we should see an important peak. Will a two-year advance be followed by a two-year decline?
It is interesting that it was eight years from the 1921 low to the vertical peak in 1929 and that it was eight years from 2000 to the vertical drop into 2008. I can’t help but think that a mirror image foldback of sorts may be playing out with the market, making an important peak three years following the 2009 low, just as it made an important low in 1932, three years following the 1929 peak.

Conclusion: 1320 ties to March 6 and squares the 666 price low for a potential square out. The market has respected this level for two days and is gapping below 1320 this morning.
The pattern looks reminiscent of the November top, which was a grind up followed by a climatic spike. [chart]
Monday we saw a spike on the heels of a grinding move up.
The November high was at 1225. We tagged 1325 this week.
The November correction was between 4% and 5% and 152 points. I think another 4% to 5% correction is going to play out quickly into the anniversary of the March 6/9th 2009 low.
Fifty percent of the range from the November 1173 low to this week's 1325 high is 76 points. A decline to 50% of the last swing projects to 1249. There is some good DNA and symmetry there as this was the projection for the big inverse head-and-shoulders pattern from 2010. Moreover, 1248/1249 represents a 180-degree decline on the Square of 9 Chart.
Click here for square of nine chart.
A study of market history shows that corrections against the main trend are much more uniform while impulse legs in favor of the main trend can have a large degree of variability. Said in another way, it is easier to define and anticipate corrections not in favor of and against the primary trend that it is to judge the extent of the primary trend itself. In my experience, this is one of the most important lessons revealed in the study of stock market history.
Looking at the form of the advance from the September 1 kickoff, there are two legs separated by the November correction. Because of the persistence of the advance, which has seen no more than one 2% move in the last five months (compared to 14 moves of 2% or more in the preceding five-month period), the normal expectation would be to see a similar, uniform near-5% correction be bought with both hands by market participants. At the maximum I would expect the correction to extend to a backtest of the April/November 2010 highs of 1219/1227 respectively.
If the correction overbalances the November decline in time and price then the high was more significant.
If a uniform correction plays out it would give rise to a possible third drive up. Whether such a third drive into the anniversary of the April high if it plays out is a marginal new high or a significantly higher high remains to be seen. [chart]
Strategy: It looked like Elvis had left the building following the decline of January 28. However, after a genuine sell signal that players pounce on, there is often times a final squeeze. That may have been the run to 1320.
Fifty percent of the range from the 1275 low on January 28 to this week's 1325 high gives a midpoint of 1300. Any break of 1300, especially on the weekly closing basis (Friday) confirms a correction is underway from where I sit. This 1300 level ties to 1296, which is 6 X 6 X 6 X 6, resonating of the 666 price low. 1296 is in the upper right-hand corner of the Square of 9 Chart and aligns with May 6, the flash crash, so I would not underestimate how quickly a reversion to the mean in the persistency of the advance and a revulsion to sentiment could take place if everyone tried to get out of the door at the same time. [chart]
A Dow Theory non-confirmation has been ongoing for  three and a half weeks now, which is long in the tooth while the market has been overbought for months -- a situation where the chickens could come home to roost violently and quickly, despite the fact that the market has proven to be a Shrine of Boys Crying Wolf.
It may be time to yell wolf.
Trading Lessons: [chart] The following chart is mislabeled as FDX when it's actually FCX [chart]’

 

 

2-9-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

Rumors Cause Some Selling: Dave's Daily   [But more than a rumor, it is a market top] ‘A rumor making the rounds, later denied, was hedge fund kingpin Paul Tudor Jones was calling a market top. That caused a bout of selling which naturally increased volume from those weak handed investors. Nevertheless, PTJ's PR people stated: "Phooey" and that was that. There may also be some nervousness over current and impending arrests for insider trading. The bigger news is the divergence of emerging markets from previous "got to own" status to just the opposite as some $10 billion has come out of linked ETFs and markets are selling-off. With rumor denials confirmed meant a sharp late day recovery rally seemed logical as dip buyers are still ever present. The obligatory "buy program express" hit the tape late to keep losses to a minimum while the clear market leader DJIA (window dressing for the tourists) eked-out a slight gain. The Fed had tossed in another round of POMO and late in the day trading desks have to do "something" with it. Earnings continued to roll-in with impressive results. Coke came in with solid earnings that met expectations for example. Economic data was slim with more impressive stuff for Thursday. Then there was the much discussed ("what does it mean" news) that the German Bourse and NYSE will merge. The world gets smaller and perhaps more efficient while New York and perhaps Chicago lose some prestige and business…’

 

 

 

Cisco And Akamai Are Getting Crushed After Hours, So NASDAQ Futures Are Diving  , On Wednesday February 9, 2011, 4:59 pm EST  ‘It's going to be a pretty ugly day tomorrow for big tech. At least if the action right now is indicative.Two big names are diving.The first is Cisco, which is down 7% after hours on pretty meh earnings. The number was fine, but on the call the company has revealed margin pressure, and this is basically looking like a repeat of last quarter when the stock tanked after earnings.The other is Akamai, which is also down hard, on a revenue outlook that's less than impressive. The revenue outlook was well below expectations.With these two players diving, it's no surprise that NASDAQ-100 futures are getting whacked after hours, indicating a slide of more than 0.5%.Tech, of course, has been particularly hot of late.’

 

 

 

 

 

Is the Market Headed for a Sell-Off? Zaky  [ Yes … I agree, except that fundamentally the longer term prospects are even worse than his bearish outlook suggests (don’t forget the debasement of the dollar, manipulation, and spending / printing money the nation doesn’t have in real terms behind this manipulated uptick) and summarized as follows: ‘I suspect that this rally is on its very last legs. We should see a very healthy 10% or so correction within the next 1-2 week period ... This market is headed for a sell-off. ]

 

 

 

 

2011 Update: Another Lost Decade for Stocks - Are You Prepared?   [ I agree that this is but a (manipulated) bull cycle in a secular bear market with substantially worse to come! ]Kopas ‘In February 2010, we published an article on Seeking Alpha entitled “Another Lost Decade for Stocks - Are You Prepared?,” wherein we argued that the year 2000 marked a secular (long-term) peak for U.S. stocks. A secular bear market is formed when a series of business cycles are linked together, establishing an extended period of stock market under-performance. Our objective here is to bring you up-to-date on the progress of this secular bear market and help you prepare for the next ten years…’

 

 

How to Squeeze the Most Out of a Late-Stage Rally   ‘Something curious happened the last two months. In December, the investment community turned extremely bullish on stocks. By some measures optimism shot through the roof and eclipsed some of the readings seen at the 2007 all-time highs.Such extremes usually lead to some sort of a correction. In October 2007 they were followed by a 50%+ decline, in April 2010 by a near 20% decline. But not in December, prices kept climbing and curiously, sentiment starting fading away from the December extremes.In general, that is good news for anyone owning stocks, but sentiment is still elevated to a degree where being long stocks is quite risky. Testament is the fear barometer - the VIX (Chicago Options: ^VIX) fell to a 3 year low yesterday.

Technical Cracks

In addition to a constant flow of bad news domestically and abroad, some technical indicators are flashing red flags.Since the last mini sell-off on January 28 (when Egypt made front-page news), volume has dropped precipitously. Over 1.3 billion shares were traded on the NYSE when the S&P (SNP: ^GSPC), Dow Jones (DJI: ^DJI), and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) dropped about 2% on January 28.The last five trading days saw volume of less than 1 billion shares (see chart below). According to technical analysis 101, low volume up days and high volume down days isn't exactly bullish. [chart] A look at the percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day moving average also conveys weakness. Five weeks ago 80% of stocks trading on the NYSE were above their respective 50-day MA. Since then the S&P (NYSEArca: IVV - News) has tagged on 5%, but the percentage of stocks above their 50-day MA has fallen to 75%.

2011 Performance - 52%?

Year-to-date the S&P 500 is up 5% - that's 5% in five weeks or 1% a week. At this pace the S&P is on course to gain 52% in 2011. Is that realistic?At some point in the not too distant future, traders are likely to look at the year-to-date performance and say, that's too good to be true!We've seen such 'too good to be true moments' in January and April 2010. Below is a small sampling of headlines that appeared within a day or two of the April 2010 peak, and days before the May 'Flash Crash.'

Bloomberg: 'U.S. stocks cheapest since 1990'

Wall Street Journal: Consumer mojo lifts profits'

Reuters: 'Greece contagion fears unfounded'

Yahoo Tech Ticker: 'S&P could hit 3000 by 2020'

Newsweek: 'America is back - The remarkable tale of an economic turnaround'

In contrast to that warm and fuzzy feeling, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter warned on April 16: 'The message conveyed by the composite bullishness is unmistakably bearish. The pieces are in place for a major decline.'The Fed-funded money flow has kept a constant bid beneath prices, but the common expectation that this pre-Presidential election year is going to be gang busters, particularly after a strong January, is reason for suspicion.

Safety Nets

The easiest way to guard against an unwanted decline is simply to sell. This locks in profits but often comes with the annoying side effect of having to watch stocks go up, while you are sitting on the sideline.Before buying or selling anything, investors should ask themselves whether they prefer to be on the sideline while stocks go up, or be fully invested when stocks go down. One of the two scenarios is bound to happen, at least temporarily.If you are not ready to cut loose from your stocks, you may consider buying put protection. $420 buys you the right to sell SPY at 132 anytime before May 20, 2011. If you want to spend less money for an earlier expiration date, the April put sells for $320, and the March put for $230. Like an insurance policy, this gives you piece of mind for a small premium.

Eagle Eye

As per the VIX, complacency is ever present right now, but that's exactly the time you want to be on guard. Like a thief, the market strikes when least expected.An effective way to limit risk and maximize profits is to set sell stops at major support levels. The market often tests support before resuming its uptrend. If support fails, watch out.Back in November, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter highlighted the pivotal role of the 1,170 level. The S&P tested - but never broke below - that level five times before continuing its diabolical up trend.Where is today's key support level? As per the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter a failed low-risk entry would be the sign for a trend reversal. What is a failed low-risk entry? This signal is based on the percentR indicator, a measure of relative strength.In a strong market, particularly after a long up trend, percentR will hover above 80. A powerful enough decline can result in a drop below 80. Once percentR closes below 80 it will trigger a bullish low risk entry.It triggered such low-risk entries on January 19 and 28. It would have taken another down day and a close below that day's low, to get a failed low-risk entry.  In January, it would have taken a close below 1,279 and 1,275 to confirm a low-risk entry. It never happened.Since stocks have gained about 4% since the last low-risk entry, it's likely that the next low-risk entry will occur at higher prices. To pinpoint this major support now would be speculation. It's for sure, though, that no bear market will start without a failed low-risk entry…’

 

 

 

 

Stocks End Mostly Lower  Midnight Trader ‘4:32 PM, Feb 9, 2011 --

  • NYSE down 35.86 (-0.4%) to 8,343.99
  • DJIA up 6.74 (+0.06%) to 12,240
  • S&P 500 down 3.69 (-0.3%) to 1,321
  • Nasdaq down 7.98 (-0.3%) to 2,789

GLOBAL SENTIMENT

  • Hang Seng down 1.36%
  • Nikkei down 0.17%
  • FTSE down 0.64%

UPSIDE MOVERS

(+) TTWO easily beats with results.
(+) DIS beats with results.
(+) TSTC CEO buying shares.
(+) RL beats with results.
(+) CHBT beats with results.
(+) CHKP hikes buyback program.
(+) BIDU upgraded.
(+) PLAB guides higher.

DOWNSIDE MOVERS

(-) JOE exploring alternatives, including possible sale.
(-) FSLR inks new deal.
(-) WFC continues drop seen after announcing CFO retirement.
(-) BCDS misses with results, outlook.
(-) SNY warns for declining profit.

MARKET DIRECTION

Stock averages end narrowly mixed after spending a soggy session mostly in negative territory. Still, the blue-chip Dow's late-day spurt lands it barely in positive territory, just enough to extend its win streak to eight sessions. Strong consumer names such as Coca-Cola (KO) and Disney (DIS) gained, limiting the Dow's drop, after upbeat earnings reports. Wall Street is cooling off a bit as averages hit fresh multi-year highs earlier in the week. Major benchmarks are up more than 5% so far this year. Stocks also slipped as investors digested Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke's continuing testimony on the economic outlook and monetary and fiscal policy to the House Budget Committee. Speaking before the committee, Bernanke said that last month's jobless rate decline to 9% from 9.8% offers some reason for optimism, but said it would likely be several years before the unemployment rate returns to more normal levels, according to MarketWatch. Bernake said, despite economic improvements, the central bank will continue with its $600 billion stimulus plan. There were no major economic reports out today.

In company news:

Visa (V) was down on plans to buy PlaySpan, a privately held company whose payments platform handles transactions for digital goods in online games, digital media and social networks globally. According to the company, the acquisition will complement its 2010 CyberSource acquisition and extend its capabilities into one of the fastest-growing segments of eCommerce - digital and mobile commerce.

eBay (EBAY) was down following a Bloomberg report that the online auction company is planning to lay out a three-year plan tomorrow to expand its PayPal unit business and repel threats from Google (GOOG) and Apple (AAPL). PayPal is eBay's fastest-growing business. The service is set to generate more sales than eBay's e-commerce market place, the report said.

Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA) shares were lower despite positive drug trial news. Teva said results from a Phase III study of QNAZE HFA, its nasal aerosol corticosteroid in development to treat perennial allergic rhinitis (PAR) and seasonal allergic rhinitis, achieved all primary and secondary efficacy endpoints, demonstrating significantly greater relief of nasal symptoms, including runny nose, nasal congestion, nasal itching and sneezing, compared with placebo.

Goldman Sachs (GS) shares were down after Goldman Chief Financial Officer David Viniar said the company bought too many hard-to-sell assets before the financial crisis in 2008, Bloomberg reported. The comments came from a conference in Miami hosted by Credit Suisse. Viniar said that Goldman was "buying more illiquid assets than we probably should have."

French drug maker Sanofi-Aventis (SNY) was down following news that ongoing efforts to win over its takeover target U.S biotech Genzyme (GENZ) has prompted the firm to expect an earnings decline this year of between 5% and 10%. The company said it expects generic competition to accelerate next year and predicts a 5% to 10% decline in 2011 business earnings per share. The forecast does not assume a return of generic competition to cancer treatment Eloxatin in the U.S., or any benefit from the possible acquisition of Genzyme, the company said in its only reference to Genzyme in the quarterly earnings statement.

Investors are awaiting results from networking giant Cisco Systems (CSCO) due after the close today. Analysts are looking for Cisco to report EPS of $0.35 per share. In particular, analysts will be looking to see if CEO John Chambers joins other executives who are becoming more upbeat about the global economy.

Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) and BP (BP) are planning to close and sell refineries in the United States and Germany due to declining demand for fuels like gasoline, Bloomberg reports.
In earnings news:
--Alpha Natural Resources (ANR) reports Q4 EPS of $0.27, vs. Street estimates of $0.24 per share. Revenue was $993 million, better than expectations of $970 million.
--Coca-Cola (KO) reports Q4 adjusted EPS of $0.72, up 9% from the year-ago quarter and in line with the Thomson Reuters mean analyst estimate. Revenue of $10.5 billion tops the $7.5 billion seen a year ago. The Street expected $9.96 billion.
--Polo Ralph Lauren (RL) posted net income of $168 million, or $1.72 per diluted share, for the third quarter of fiscal 2011, versus net income of $111 million, or $1.10 per diluted share, for the same period in fiscal 2010. The Street view was $1.29 per share in earnings.’

 

 

 

 

 

Expanded Free Trade: Exporting Jobs [ When you come right down to it, this has been america’s most significant export. Indeed, this irrevocable structural shift, hailed by cia men hw bush and clinton (clinton couldn’t have survived without them) by way of NAFTA as the greatest  thing since sliced bread was indeed in no uncertain terms condemned and warned against by Perot, a man of honor who, unlike his opponents, could not be bought, which is the reason, in pervasively corrupt america, he could never have been elected. Interestingly, you may have noticed the good (but not great, other than the spotlight on pervasive bribery including judges, police, politicians, etc., being far too light) the film ‘The Untouchables’ getting a wide re-airing of late, purporting to be a significant part of american folklore / history / culture. However, the reality is that in america, and certainly today, the real story with impact is that of ‘The Touchables’. The reality is that Elliot Ness died a broken man; bankrupt, unable to even win election to the mayoralty of his then current hometown. He was incorruptible; and hence, in the real america, unelectable at the least if not also all but unemployable (he and his are among those few genetic anomalies in america as I’ve previously alluded to. How far america has fallen from even false perception! Pervasively corrupt, meaningfully lawless america can’t even fake it anymore. See, for example, http://albertpeia.com/CIAAgentAffidavit1.jpg     http://albertpeia.com/FBIAgentAffidavit11.jpg      , and of course, corrupt legal / judicial processes, etc.,   Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on offensive (defensive a misnomer / propaganda) military spending than all the nations of the world combined, and by a large margin at that. Do you see a pattern emerging here [ I unfortunately only belatedly did, and the feds, fed employees, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality in the most nefarious sense  ( http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf       http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm         )   ]:

CRIME STATISTICS > TOTAL CRIMES (MOST RECENT) BY COUNTRY  SHOWING LATEST AVAILABLE DATA (america’s No. 1).

Rank  

Countries 

Amount 

# 1  

United States:

11,877,218 

 

# 2  

United Kingdom:

6,523,706 

 

# 3  

Germany:

6,507,394 

 

The following youtube video is well worth the look and explains how and why the frauds on wall street have gotten away with their devastating fraud thus far.  The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.  ( UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE...         CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE... ex-Justice official quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims US v. AZ...    Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud  Obama broke promises ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&feature=PlayList&p=2EFAB57B44063742&playnext_from=PL&index=0&playnext=1. [ The Obama Deception Number 1 on U.S. Google Trends  ]

‘The Obama Deception’ Censored  ‘The Obama Deception’ has been censored      In light of this development, I provide an archived site version which appears to be complete (but will be compared with earlier version and replaced with same if incomplete)        http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Then there is the well researched, produced, and informative ‘ESOTERIC AGENDA’ which explains how we’ve gotten to this forlorn point: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7052400717834950257# 

For the Same Reason I’ve Included Here a Web Site Archived FLV Version of Esoteric Agenda    http://albertpeia.com/esotericagenda.flv

] Lounsbury ‘In January Steven Hansen observed that, through November, the trade deficit for manufactured goods was the equivalent of 1.3 million workers earning the median manufacturing wage in the U.S. Well, the trade deficit has been with us in a major way for nearly two decades. I am reminded of the 1992 presidential campaign where one of the three candidates, Ross Perot, argued against the adoption of NAFTA, The North American Free Trade Agreement. The other two candidates supported NAFTA.Perot is famous for his statement that a free trade agreement that was not a two way street would create a “giant sucking sound” of jobs going south to the cheap labor markets of Mexico. Both of Perot’s opponents (George H.W. Bush and Bill Clinton) argued that NAFTA would create jobs in the U.S. because of business expansion.However, the goods balance of trade for the U.S. with Mexico has been negative and steadily growing over the years. In 2010 it amounted to $61.6 billion, which was 9.5% of the total goods trade deficit last year.

So Perot has been vindicated in his opinion; expanded free trade has not been accompanied by an increase in jobs in the U.S. relative to the vast numbers of jobs created in the rest of the world as NAFTA became just a stepping stone on the pathway to global commerce.

 

2-8-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

This is that unmentionable reality as I alluded to earlier on close scrutiny of the data, ‘that stock prices have been manipulated to the upside beyond any and all rational basis‘ and as I previously wrote: Perception vs. Reality: Four Reasons to Remain Cautious on U.S. Equities  [ Hey, Abbott … That’s Lou Costello calling him from the other side … Wake up! … Just kidding … but I’m not kidding when I say that contrary to Abbott’s view, infra, if you’re not a successful market timer you should rethink your position as an equity investor. Moreover, in contradistinction to Mr. Abbott’s implication, if you’re not a successful speculator (there are very few), you should rethink your position as a short seller: reason…, you could be wiped out, lose more than your principal, forced to cover (that’s why the same is considered a contrary market indicator, particularly in these manipulated, contrived markets). When I did my MBA thesis (1977, NYU, GBA, Eve.Prog., Finance), a review of the data revealed even then (and much more so now with computer programmed market manipulation) that the market remained biased / propped up (artificially, especially now with computerized manipulation) to the upside for far longer periods of time than for the downside which meant that dollar-cost averaging (through regular, periodic investment, for example), meant you were accumulating shares at higher prices generally for longer periods of time skewing the average cost to the upside (dollar-cost-averaging in declining markets was ok if analysis / forecast saw resurgence based on fundamentals - now absent – which is timing, as even senile wall street / gov’t shill Buffet would attest, that ‘greedy when others are fearful thing’). Abbott discusses perception which is the psychological factor involved in security evaluation / analysis; but investors need not and should become nuts themselves, particularly when as now, the inmates are running the asylum. ] Abbott ‘Perception determines short-term market movements. The difference between perception and reality determines the direction of major market trends. Though I generally try to avoid making macro prognostications, I believe bottom-up analysis can be informative about the current level of stock prices. I want to share what my recent work tells me about where stocks are (and where they might be headed). I will outline some various nuggets of collective wisdom that are taken for granted right now by stock bulls, and I will attempt to demonstrate how reality is likely to differ from these perceptions.

 

2-7-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 



Stocks Remain Poised for Steep Decline McCurdy ‘When the second round of quantitative easing was announced late last year, Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke indicated that one of the primary objectives of the program was to inflate risk assets such as stocks. In that respect, the program has been an unqualified success, as the S&P 500 index has now gained more than 26% during the course of 5 months.

However, as a result, the index P/E ratio has increased to more than 18, and the most reliable forecasting models based upon current earnings and dividends indicate that expected 10-year annual returns are now slightly more than 3%, regardless of whether or not the economy is in fact experiencing a sustained recovery.

Thus, from a purely investment perspective, stocks are priced to deliver very poor results during the coming decade. Additionally, the short-term outlook now favors the development of a potentially violent correction.

On Friday, the S&P 500 index moved up to another marginal new high for the rally from September, pushing an overextended advance to yet another extreme.

click to enlarge images

[chart]

The current short-term cycle from the end of November is now 46 trading days old, and it has yet to enter the final decline of the beta phase, suggesting that it will likely terminate in the 55 to 60 day range. The previous cycle had a duration of 63 trading days. These are moves of extremely long duration, well above their historical average of about 39 trading days.

[chart]

Of course, to truly put the overextended nature of the move in perspective, it must be viewed in the proper context afforded by the big picture. Below is a monthly chart of the S&P 500 since the current secular bear market began in 2000.

[chart]

Notice how the character of market behavior changed materially with the crash in late 2008. Since then, stocks have been moving effectively straight up or straight down. This type of volatile price action is typical for this stage of the bear market and indicates that we are still several years away from the terminal phase of the secular decline.

Returning to the short-term view, our Cyclical Trend Score (CTS) has been negatively diverging from price action since October, and the CTS is currently holding slightly above its December low.

[chart]

Although the CTS is not a near-term timing indicator, this negative divergence reflects a gradual deterioration in underlying strength. The developing weakness is also manifested by broad market internals such as breadth and volume, as both continue to negatively diverge from price behavior.

[chart]

[chart]

Finally, our Sentiment Score continues to hold near the lowest level since late 2007, reflecting irrationally excessive bullishness that leaves the market vulnerable to an abrupt decline.

[chart]

Of course, overextended rallies of this type have a tendency to continue making marginal new highs until, at some point, an unexpected catalyst sets in motion the inevitable correction, which will likely be fast and furious, wiping out several weeks of gains in a matter of sessions.

From a big picture perspective, the character of the next correction should provide a great deal of clarity with respect to long-term direction. A relatively weak retracement followed by a return to recent long-term highs would predict a subsequent breakout and continuation of the cyclical bull market, while a powerful, sustained downtrend would suggest the development of a long-term top.’

 

 

 

 

Valuation Warning Continues for Stocks Minyanville ‘Editor's Note: This article was written by Richard Suttmeier, chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com, which is a fundamentally based quant research firm.

The yield on the 30-year bond rose to 4.74 on Friday, increasing the drag on equity valuations. Both the 10-year and 30-year yields are above their December trading ranges, raising consumer interest rates such as mortgage rates. Because of this I say QE2 is a failure. This is forcing investors to increase allocations to stocks just when they become less attractive, more overvalued fundamentally and more overbought technically. Last week the Dow Industrial Average reached a new high for the move at 12,092.42. Dow Transports and the Russell 2000 remain below the highs of mid-January.
 

  • The Dow Industrial Average (12,092) begins the week between my monthly value level at 11,759 and this week’s risky level at 12,142. The weekly chart remains extremely overbought.
  • The S&P 500 (1310.9) begins the week near my quarterly value level at 1262.5 with this week’s risky level at 1316.2. The weekly chart remains extremely overbought.
  • The Nasdaq (2769) begins the week between my monthly value level at 2611 with a weekly pivot at 2770 and quarterly risky level at 2853. The weekly chart remains extremely overbought.
  • Dow Transports (5056) begins the week between monthly and weekly pivots at 4962 and 5077 and below my annual pivot at 5179, and below the January 18 high at 5256.80. Dow Transports is below its 50-day simple moving average at 5086 and will fall out of overbought territory on its weekly chart this week.
  • The Russell 2000 (800.11) begins the week above my annual and quarterly value levels at 784.16 and 765.50 with a weekly pivot at 800.13 with the January 14 high at 807.89. The weekly chart remains extremely overbought.
  • I cannot be overly bullish or bearish in the current market environment.


We're trading under another ValuEngine Valuation Warning -- 16 of 16 sectors are overvalued and only 34.73% of all stocks are undervalued, below the 35% threshold by this measure.

The US Treasury 10-Year Yield -- (3.650) The trading range set in December has been broken to the upside with my annual value level at 3.791 and weekly risky level at 3.525.

Comex gold -- ($1349.5) Tested my annual pivot at $1356.5 last week, but could not get a weekly close above that level. My semiannual value level is $1300.6 with quarterly, weekly and annual pivots at $1300.6, $1331.3, 1342.8 and monthly, quarterly and semiannual risky levels are $1412.4, $1441.7 and $1452.6.

Nymex crude oil --
($88.90) Has not been able to sustain gains above $92 per barrel. I show weekly and monthly pivots at $91.62 and $91.83 as barriers for this week with my semiannual pivot at $87.52.

The euro --
(1.3578) Could not sustain gains above 1.38 last week. My quarterly value level is 1.3227 with a weekly pivot at 1.3511 and monthly risky level at 1.4225. The weak euro versus the dollar on Thursday was offset by perceived positive comments from Fed Chief Ben Bernanke.

Bernanke Blunders -- Fed Chief Bernanke expects the economy to improve this year with low inflation, despite the jump in commodity prices. The rise in commodities prices has been a factor for 10 years, and consumers are feeling it at the gas pump, grocery stores and utilities bills.

The Federal Reserve is more worried about unemployment, but monetary policy has not helped create jobs on Main Street USA. Main Street depends upon construction jobs and these jobs are declining month after month.

Another blunder is the $600 billion QE2, which is aimed at jump-starting lending and making stock ownership more attractive. You can not increase lending when consumer rates such as mortgages are rising, and making stocks a less attractive alternative to US Treasuries. The main purpose of QE2 is to lower long-term US Treasury yields, but the 10-Year yield is now 133 basis points higher since October. Sure stocks are higher, but buying now puts consumer capital at risk as stocks are overvalued and overbought. Consumers are buying stocks just as they bought new homes in 2005 and 2006!

Bank Failure Friday -- The FDIC closed three more banks last Friday and none were publicly traded.
 

  • 25 banks failed in 2008
  • 140 banks failed in 2009 with a peak of 50 in the third quarter
  • 157 banks failed in 2010
  • 14 banks have failed year to date in 2011
  • 336 banks have failed since the end of 2007
  • I still predict 500 to 800 bank failures in total by the end of 2012 into 2013.

 

 

 

 

Beware: True Unemployment Is Closer to 10%

 

 

The Burden of Lower Growth and More Frequent Recessions  Mauldin ‘The following is a preview of my new book, Endgame, out and in the bookstores next month. This is the beginning of chapter four, and it stands alone quite nicely. It will print out a little longer than normal, as there are a lot of graphs. My co-author Jonathan Tepper and I deal with why there will be slower growth, more volatility, and more frequent recessions in our future.

 

2-4-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

 

Ignored but Important - What Omitted Jobs Data means for Stocks  [ What it means is that when there are no jobs, and everyone has stopped looking, there will be full employment which of course, is rally time for stocks … riiiiight! ] Maierhofer, see entire article infra: ‘…The headline unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the BLS fell to 9%, the lowest level since April 2009. How can the unemployment rate drop 0.4% if only 36,000 jobs were added? (Much worse than the 140,000 expected – stocks still rallied) 36,000 aren't even enough to provide jobs for a quarter of graduates…’ Riiiiight! … that fudge factor/fraud; viz., discouraged / stopped looking … What total b*** s***! How desperate they are! Previous: Initial Claims Drop More Than Expected [ Come on! Who believes anything they say and at what cost with money not really there in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, with manipulated programmed suckers’ rally into the close. …‘In the U.S. market, Slothower concludes: “This is a hard one to gauge, given the QE2 manipulations verses skyrocketing food and energy prices, which have now reached prices levels that have choked off growth in the past and caused recessions, as we saw in 2008 when oil prices hit $100 a barrel (in March of that year).” “It is like walking in a mine field. You move very carefully now with your eyes wide open and on every move, knowing that any day something out of the blue could blow thing up, given these extreme risks.” But he’s now only 70% in cash. The balance is split equally between: iPath Dow Jones-AIG Grains Total Return Sub-Index …’   Minyanville's T3 Weekly Recap: Growing Disconnect Between Market and Economy/WorldBernanke said in his comments yesterday that he is responsible for higher stock prices, but not necessarily for sky-rocketing global food prices. Well, you can't have it both ways, Ben. By propping up asset prices when economic data doesn't match the ferocity of the stock market rally, the Fed is potentially creating another bubble of sorts.Just look at today's non-farm payrolls number: There was a gain of only 36,000 jobs when 140,000 were expected. Also, unemployment fell to 9.0% -- a positive sign for the layman, but an ominous sign for the more keen eye. Nine-hundred thousand discouraged job-hunters left the labor force this month, after 500,000 left in the previous month. It's hard to see optimism in the stock market continue unabated while so many Americans remain jobless…’   Kung Hei Fat Choy!: Dave's Daily  …Speaking of the man with printers ink stains up to his neck, Bernanke spoke Thursday to the Press Club stating, among other things, "inflation remains quite low". He continued saying, "Since August, when we announced our policy of reinvesting maturing securities and signaled we were considering more purchases, equity prices have risen significantly...") I believe that sums things up from an investing view. Silly people like me are standing by watching those that can like GS and JPM take this easy money and route it directly to the S&P futures pits, among other similar places, taking on risk the Fed expects. Oh, and speaking of JPM, the Madoff Trustees have sued the bank for complicity in helping steer client funds to Madoff despite complaints from within that his results were "too good to be true"…’  Monthly Market Valuation: Investors Are Too Bullish, Valuations Are Too High   The conclusion of the following detailed, documented analysis: ‘Wolinsky :In conclusion, the market is over-valued based on the above data. Tobin's Q, Shiller P/E and AAII data are all indicating that investors are too bullish and valuations are too high.’   ]
, On Friday February 4, 2011, ‘The monthly employment report has become one of the most anticipated and talked about, but least analyzed ritual on Wall Street.As far as the media is concerned, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) might as well just publish the headline number, because that's about the only thing anyone talks about.Not only does the core message of the 40+ page report go largely un-deciphered, the correlation between the employment reports is also somewhat deceptive.This article will extract some uncommonly reported information and point towards what is likely to move the marketThe only other Wall Street ritual that tops monthly unemployment reports is earnings season. Like any other ritual, it comes with many myths and fables attached. The most common one is that unemployment directly affects stock prices.

THE HEADLINE NUMBER ... WAIT, THERE IS MORE

The headline unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the BLS fell to 9%, the lowest level since April 2009. How can the unemployment rate drop 0.4% if only 36,000 jobs were added? 36,000 aren't even enough to provide jobs for a quarter of graduates.According to BLS data, the number of unemployed workers (not seasonally adjusted) rose from 14.83 million to 14.94 million. The work force shrunk from 153.89 million to 152.54 million. The workforce didn't actually decline, but statistically more workers are considered discouraged and are no longer considered unemployed.One of the most remarkable BLS data points on the BLS site is the average number of weeks workers are now unemployed. The jobless are unemployed for an average of 36.9 weeks, an all-time high (see chart below).[chart]

A SHRINKING POND WITH BIGGER FISH

It is estimated that about 150,000 'youngsters' enter the work force every year. That's why the work force has steadily increased since 1948. Courtesy of the 2008 bear market, the workforce has actually been shrinking, as discouraged workers drop out of the statistics.Discouraged workers are those who have stopped searching in the last four weeks. Excluding them from the workforce and the unemployment equation artificially lowers the U-3 unemployment rate. The real unemployment rate (U-6), which includes workers who stopped looking for jobs or had to settle for part-time jobs - is at 16.1%.

PLAYING DETECTIVE

Based on U-6 numbers, since December 2006 as many as 13 million Americans have either lost their jobs, or have been downgraded.The lucky few who've found a job have to accept pay cuts. According to Annette Bernhardt, policy co-direction for the National Employment Law Project, high wage sectors - such as financial services (NYSEArca: KBE - News) and construction (NYSEArca: XHB - News) - accounted for nearly half the jobs lost during the recession.Those workers made between $17.43 - $31 an hour. Only 5% of those jobs have been resurrected. 76% of new jobs are in low-to mid-wage industries with earnings between $8.92 - $15 an hour.Nevertheless, stocks have shrugged off an avalanche of bad news and continue plowing ahead towards new highs. Does that make sense?

BIG BROTHER IS HERE

It does when you include the Federal Reserve and its quantitative easing program in this lopsided equation. The Fed has a history of creating and ignoring bubbles.The real estate (NYSEArca: IYR - News) bubble was allowed to get bigger to mop up the damage of the tech (NYSEArca: XLK - News) bubble. The financial sector (NYSEArca VHF) financing bubble was encouraged to mask the damage of the real estate bubble. The new QE bubble is absolutely needed to prevent an economic collapse (based on Bernanke's assessment).How long with the Fed's quantitative easing - labeled QE2 - keep stocks afloat? We don't know for sure, but we can tell when the stock market might enter trouble spots that could lead to (severe) corrections.

A FORK IN THE FINANCIAL ROAD

Imagine a car cruising on the highway. The driver doesn't know it yet, but he's heading in the wrong direction. When will he turn around? We don't know, but the most likely place for a change of direction is the next exit.Based on various measures of historic valuation models, the stock market (NYSEArca: VTI - News) is overpriced (heading in the wrong direction). When will stocks stop rising and start falling? We don't know, but the most likely place for a reversal is the next big resistance level.The Dow Jones (DJI: ^DJI), S&P 500 (SNP: ^GSPC), Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) and Financial Select Sector SPDR (NYSEArca: XLF - News) are simultaneously pushing against major resistance. It is rare to see four major indexes at cross roads at the same time.

A HIGH PROBABILITY TRADING OPPORTUNITY

The beauty of well-documented resistance levels is that they provide a high probability, and a low risk trading opportunity for bulls and bears. A solid break above resistance means hurdle cleared. Resistance becomes support and investors can go or stay long using the prior support level as resistance.If the index (es) stays below resistance, resistance is confirmed and a trend change is likely. Investors/traders can go short using the resistance as a stop-loss level.All four indexes are within 1 - 2 % of their resistance levels, which means that either trade has a potential loss of 1 - 2%, compared to a much higher gain. Investing is about putting the odds in your favor. There is no fail-proof system, but this setup is about as good as it gets…’

 

 

House Republicans propose $32B in budget cuts (Washington Post) [ Well, there you go … all over but the shoutin’ … $14+ trillion debt problem solved … riiiiight! …   Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘] The figure represents an unprecedented rollback that would force some agencies to cut spending by as much as 20 percent, analysts say.

 

 

Egyptian protesters plan new push     Government detains foreigners, says it's willing to open talks  (Washington Post) [ Open talks? ‘bout what? Building a pyramid in mubarak’s honor before stepping down? He’s done … finito … burnt as an over-micro-waved burrito! The following from the Post is indeed the straw that broke the riders with whips he sent on camels’ and horses’ backs!  ‘Wants to die in Egypt? How touching, or the reality, he’s just plain touched as in totally ‘out of it’.   ‘…In what the U.S. State Department called a "concerted campaign to intimidate," several dozen journalists were rounded up by security forces and detained for hours, along with foreigners working as teachers, engineers and human rights researchers. Across the city, angry bands of supporters of President Hosni Mubarak also beat journalists; several reporters said that they were threatened with death…’   ]  Cairo seeks to shift blame for clashes by rounding up journalists; U.S. worries renewed protests could spark more violence from Mubarak supporters.

 

 

Amid Arab protests, U.S. influence has waned (Washington Post) [ And that’s just the way israel likes it … and to america’s detriment, of course … which is not lost on even George Soros … Drudgereport: Soros: 'The main stumbling block is Israel'...

Egyptian protesters plan new push     Government detains foreigners, says it's willing to open talks  (Washington Post) [ Open talks? ‘bout what? Building a pyramid in mubarak’s honor before stepping down? He’s done … finito … burnt as an over-micro-waved burrito! The following from the Post is indeed the straw that broke the riders with whips he sent on camels’ and horses’ backs!  ‘Wants to die in Egypt? How touching, or the reality, he’s just plain touched as in totally ‘out of it’.   ‘…In what the U.S. State Department called a "concerted campaign to intimidate," several dozen journalists were rounded up by security forces and detained for hours, along with foreigners working as teachers, engineers and human rights researchers. Across the city, angry bands of supporters of President Hosni Mubarak also beat journalists; several reporters said that they were threatened with death…’   ]  Cairo seeks to shift blame for clashes by rounding up journalists; U.S. worries renewed protests could spark more violence from Mubarak supporters. Demonstrations in Egypt take bloody turn    In Cairo square, Mubarak backers confront anti-government crowds  (Washington Post) [  Not too difficult for desperate and done mubarak to contrive:   Mubarak Says Egyptians Have to Choose Between “Chaos” and Him … Then Sends In His Thugs to Stir Up Chaos  (Infowars.com) In order to justify staying in power until elections are held in September, President Mubarak said on tv that the people had to choose between him and “chaos”.    ]  The coordinated nature of day's events suggested that Mubarak's supporters were determined to show, as he had warned, that the country faced a "choice between chaos and stability."   [  Previous:    Mubarak's pledge seen as not enough   Egyptian president plans to stay in office to transfer power  (Washington Post) [ Let me put it another way: Mubarak is as done as an over-cooked tamale … He seems to be stalling for time and even in his age impaired mind certainly knows his position is untenable, unsustainable, and even more irrational as each second passes. There is a possibility that he’s using same to move money / treasure for himself and others, literally as well, buying time. See infra …  Previous:  Mubarak seeks dialogue, shows no sign of relenting   Demonstrators call for massive protest but lack leadership  (Washington Post) [ He relented when he resorted to media / internet blackout. Indeed, this lack of sign thing is a testament to how far from reality 30 years has taken him, not to mention the other 52 years that have taken their toll on his cognitive processes. Whether it is plaques ‘on the brain’ or outright senility, that he is so disengaged from the events unfolding around him, one may only wonder how he lasted this long. Nor did his choice of cia standin / shill, new VP Suleiman enhance his now untenable position which leaves him as ‘done as a burnt enchilada’.  Kissinger on Egypt unrest – “This is only the first scene of the first act of a drama that is to be played out”   [ The import of this so-called interview, and it is here that I part company with alex jones, et als (who by the way, censored me for this very thesis, which puts him and his at the top of my hypocrite list), is that the so-called elite have orchestrated these events and ‘are in control’. First, there are no elites in this world; you can’t derive elites from apes, notochordates, and initially single celled organisms. Second, almost by definition and certainly by history, there are no elites in america even if you were to accept the first proposition (though true) as untrue. What you do have, in this world and america particularly (with few exceptions as I’ve discussed elsewhere / comments / my website), are inherent criminals and mentally ill people of varying degrees of unscrupulousness and insanity who do commit crimes, both small and large, to further their interests or fortunes (sociopaths / psychopaths). The ’so-called alpha-dogs’ of the human species at most, but still incompetent vegetables who, if you look at anything they touch (to use a term term of such incompetent vegetables as historically pertains to their role in the mideast – and generally the state of the world) it invariably goes ‘pear shaped’ (english term). What hasn’t zionist kissinger not messed up as appointee or ‘consultant’ – what does he get paid for? No! The fact is, they have absolutely no idea how this unfolds and as with most of their lives, they will predictably choose the most sordid, despicable, and diabolical course at every turn because … that is their inherently criminal, mentally ill / unstable nature to do so. ]

 ]

 

 

2-3-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

Initial Claims Drop More Than Expected [ Come on! Who believes anything they say and at what cost with money not really there in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, with manipulated programmed suckers’ rally into the close. …‘In the U.S. market, Slothower concludes: “This is a hard one to gauge, given the QE2 manipulations verses skyrocketing food and energy prices, which have now reached prices levels that have choked off growth in the past and caused recessions, as we saw in 2008 when oil prices hit $100 a barrel (in March of that year).” “It is like walking in a mine field. You move very carefully now with your eyes wide open and on every move, knowing that any day something out of the blue could blow thing up, given these extreme risks.” But he’s now only 70% in cash. The balance is split equally between: iPath Dow Jones-AIG Grains Total Return Sub-Index …’     Kung Hei Fat Choy!: Dave's Daily  …Speaking of the man with printers ink stains up to his neck, Bernanke spoke Thursday to the Press Club stating, among other things, "inflation remains quite low". He continued saying, "Since August, when we announced our policy of reinvesting maturing securities and signaled we were considering more purchases, equity prices have risen significantly...") I believe that sums things up from an investing view. Silly people like me are standing by watching those that can like GS and JPM take this easy money and route it directly to the S&P futures pits, among other similar places, taking on risk the Fed expects. Oh, and speaking of JPM, the Madoff Trustees have sued the bank for complicity in helping steer client funds to Madoff despite complaints from within that his results were "too good to be true"…’  Monthly Market Valuation: Investors Are Too Bullish, Valuations Are Too High   The conclusion of the following detailed, documented analysis: ‘Wolinsky :In conclusion, the market is over-valued based on the above data. Tobin's Q, Shiller P/E and AAII data are all indicating that investors are too bullish and valuations are too high.’   ]

 

 

Market Crash on 2/28/11? Technical indicators suggest market collapse may begin by February 28th

 

 

 

Investment Themes for the Next Decade , February 3, 2011, ‘Calm seas don't make sailors. Bull markets don't make investors. Will the coming years be calm seas or the calm before the storm?Judging by various developments brewing in the pipeline, investors will get a chance to prove their worth in the decade following the 'lost decade.'Investing is not a sprint it's a marathon. So it behooves us to look beyond just the next earnings season, unemployment report, or FOMC meeting and address what could be the biggest opportunities or stumbling blocks of this decade.
Generational Shift
Starting this year, more than 10,000 baby boomers a day will turn 65, a pattern that will continue for the next 19 years. As baby boomers age, the traditional population pyramid is becoming top-heavy with retirees, while the workforce is shrinking.Social Security will be strained by the growing number of baby boomers retiring and applying for benefits. New congressional projections show Social Security running deficits every year until its trust funds are eventually drained around 2037.A debt commission appointed by President Obama recommended a series of changes such as increasing the retirement age and lowering benefits. With the disappearance of pension guarantees, flat 10-year investment returns and upside down mortgages, retirees depend on Social Security more than ever.As a sum total, this generational shift will result in higher taxes for younger generations (generations X and Y) and less income for baby boomers. This in turn will shrink spendable income.A consumer that doesn't consume and/or a shrinking consumer base is bad for business and should provide a steady headwind for the economy and broad indexes a la the Dow Jones (DJI: ^DJI), S&P 500 (SNP: ^GSPC) and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC).Sectors that might be adversely affected include consumer discretionary (NYSEArca: XLY - News) and retail (NYSEArca: XRT - News).
The Full Faith and Credit of the United States - Worth how Much?
If the debt ceiling was a real ceiling and deficit was water, we'd have drowned by now. But since the deficit ceiling is imaginary it's easier to kick the can down the road and raise the ceiling.Investors of U.S. debt have taken note and are demanding more interest to loan their money to the United States government. Interest rates for Treasury bonds have gone up, even though the Federal Reserve's QE2 bond buying program was supposed to do the opposite.The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter saw the onset of rising interest rates (in the bond world, rising interest means falling prices) and warned subscribers on August 26, 2010:'Our technical analysis, along with fundamentals suggests that T-Bonds are getting ready to roll over. A look at the overall picture suggests that this is more than just a minor correction. The rally in municipal, corporate, and high yield bonds is showing signs of weakness too. Investors should start exiting from those markets.'30-year T-Bonds, along with municipal bonds (NYSEArca: MUB - News), recorded their top tick on that very day and have since erased more than three years worth of gains.A weak economy in need of more government stimulus is likely to keep the pressure on interest rates. It would be prudent to avoid interest sensitive, long-term maturities such as the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond (NYSEArca: TLT - News) and stick with short-term debt such as iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (NYSEArca: SHY - News).
Valuations
To many, using valuations to determine the stock market's (NYSEArca: VTI - News) real worth is about as antiquated as using smoke signals. Those ancient smoke signals may cloud the perception of most, but they are nevertheless signals for those willing to listen and learn.Valuations have been ignored before. Ideas and promises eclipsed profits at the height of the technology (NYSEArca: XLK - News) boom, but just temporarily. A few years later, real estate tried to defy the notion of fair value.It seems that periods where valuations are out of favor are particularly susceptible to price corrections. So, where are valuations at today?There are three main ways to measure valuations. The first one - P/E ratios - is somewhat flawed because it is subject to financial engineering. Accounting rule changes have made it possible for banks to inflate their earnings by hiding real estate related losses (see June 2010 ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter for details).But even with artificially engineered profits, the current P/E ratio is historically rich.The second valuation measure - the Dow Jones measured in gold - takes the Federal Reserve's money spigot out of the equation and values stocks in real money - gold (NYSEArca: GLD - News). Ever since its 1999 high, the Gold Dow has been declining. Based on historical patterns, the Dollar Dow always catches up with the Gold Dow - eventually.The third valuation measure - dividend yields - is near an all-time low. Unlike P/E ratios, you can't fudge dividend yields. Either a company has cash to spread among investors or it doesn't. Despite dividend increases by some companies, cumulative dividends paid by the 500 S&P constituents are about the same today as in March 2009. In general, low dividend yields coincide with major market tops.
What Valuations Do for You TODAY
Valuations are a long-term indicator, so what can they do for you TODAY?Valuations set the trend. In an overvalued market the larger trend is down. That doesn't mean you have to be out of the market all the time. On March 2, 2009 the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter foresaw the biggest counter trend rally since the 2007 all-time high.This counter trend rally is still going on. In fact, it has gone much further than initially expected, but the higher prices rally the more dangerous it becomes to hold positions.Knowing that stocks are at least 30% overvalued, it would be prudent to monitor any decline carefully and pull the trigger before a minor correction turns into something financially painful…’

 

 

 

 

Kung Hei Fat Choy!: Dave's Daily The above tribute to the "metal rabbit" was not the cheer from Tahrir Square Thursday. But, U.S. investors are ignoring that in favor of making money with some dip buying abetted by focusing on good news (retail results) and ignoring any negative news from Egypt or even MRK's results. The Fed tossed in another round of POMO to the tune of nearly $9 billion which encouraged buying from trading desks. Speaking of the man with printers ink stains up to his neck, Bernanke spoke Thursday to the Press Club stating, among other things, "inflation remains quite low". He continued saying, "Since August, when we announced our policy of reinvesting maturing securities and signaled we were considering more purchases, equity prices have risen significantly...") I believe that sums things up from an investing view. Silly people like me are standing by watching those that can like GS and JPM take this easy money and route it directly to the S&P futures pits, among other similar places, taking on risk the Fed expects. Oh, and speaking of JPM, the Madoff Trustees have sued the bank for complicity in helping steer client funds to Madoff despite complaints from within that his results were "too good to be true".   Again dip buying was dominant with an "Egypt be damned" attitude although it looked like some bought gold perhaps as insurance. Rumors of bank runs throughout North Africa are present. Volume was just average with most coming early and late. Breadth per the WSJ was mixed to positive. (You'll note the Nasdaq share volume data means investors buying the bigger names.) … See also re: bernanke’s folly-If You're Going to Do Economics, Don't Do Macro  [ Truth be told, I find Mr. Falkenstein’s article a bit too subtle and somewhat shy about getting to the point, but have included same here solely for the reprint of William Buckley’s famous quote which comports with my own view of the ivy league vegetable gardens which turn out as you would expect, vegetables; viz., ‘he would prefer the first 100 names in the Boston phonebook to the Harvard faculty‘. The reality is that ‘harvard professor’, ‘no-recession bernanke’ has given an obfuscating, ephemeral feel good but lucrative to the few gift to the frauds on wall street with ultimately devastatingly great cost / pain to come. ]  

 

 

2-2-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

Monthly Market Valuation: Investors Are Too Bullish, Valuations Are Too High  [ The conclusion of the following detailed, documented analysis: ‘In conclusion, the market is over-valued based on the above data. Tobin's Q, Shiller P/E and AAII data are all indicating that investors are too bullish and valuations are too high.’  ] Wolinsky ‘I update market valuations on a monthly basis. The point of this article is to measure the stock market based on seven different metrics. This article does not look at the macro picture and try to predict where the economy is headed. It only uses these several metrics which have been very good past indicators of whether the market is fairly valued.This month I added in GMO’s chart at the bottom. The GMO chart shows what the firm expects different asset classes to return over the next seven years.I collaborate with two colleagues of mine for some of the data in this article, Doug Short of dshort.com and my friend who runs seekingdelta. Both are great sites, and I encourage readers to check them out.As always, I must mention that just because the market is over or undervalued does not mean that future returns will be high or low. From the mid to late 1990s the market was extremely overvalued and equities kept increasing year after year. However, as I note at the end of the article, I expect low returns over the next ten years based on current valuations. In addition, individual stocks can be found that will outperform or underperform the market regardless of current valuations.To see my previous market valuation article from last month, click here.Below are six different market valuation metrics as of February 2nd, 2011:The current P/E TTM is 16.8, which is slightly higher than the TTM P/E of 16.6 from last month (This specific data is from the market close February 1st).click to enlarge[chart]This data comes from my colleague Doug Short of dshort.com.Based on this data the market is fairly valued. However, I do not think this is a fair way of valuing the market since it does not account for cyclical peaks or downturns. To get an accurate picture of whether the market is fair valued based on P/E ratio, it is more accurate to take several years of earnings.
Numbers from Previous Market lows:
Mar 2009 110.37
Mar 2003 27.92
Oct 1990 14.21
Nov 1987 14.45
Aug 1982 7.97
Oct 1974 7.68
Oct 1966 13.96
Oct 1957 12.67
Jun 1949 5.82
Apr 1942 7.69
Mar 1938 10.63
Feb 1933 14.92
July 1932 10.16
Aug 1921 14.02
Dec 1917 5.31
Oct 1914 14.27
Nov 1907 9.35
Nov 1903 11.67

Historic data courtesy of [multpl.com]
Current P/E 10 (Shiller) Year Average 23.94
[chart] http://seekingalpha.com/article/250273-monthly-market-valuation-investors-are-too-bullish-valuations-are-too-high?source=yahoo
The current ten year P/E is 23.94; this is much higher than the P/E of 22.94 from the previous month. This number is based on Robert Shiller’s data evaluating the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. Robert Shiller stated in an interview last week that he believes the S&P500 will be at 1430 in 2020. Shiller believes that based on his metric the market is overvalued, and will offer subpar returns over the next 10 years.
Based on my colleague, Rob Bennett’s market return calculator, the returns of the market should be as follows:
[chart]
My colleague Doug Short thinks this numbers are a bit inaccurate, because the number I used does not include the past several months of earnings, nor revisions. Doug calculates P/E 10 at 23.3.
[chart]
Mean: 16.39
Median: 15.77
Min: 4.78 (Dec 1920)
Max: 44.20 (Dec 1999)
Numbers from Previous Market lows:
Mar 2009 13.32
Mar 2003 21.32
Oct 1990 14.82
Nov1987 13.59
Aug 1982 6.64
Oct 1974 8.29
Oct 1966 18.83
Oct 1957 14.15
June 1949 9.07
April 1942 8.54
Mar 1938 12.38
Feb 1933 7.83
July 1932 5.84
Aug 1921 5.16
Dec 1917 6.41
Oct 1914 10.61
Nov 1907 10.59
Nov 1903 16.04
Data and chart courtesy of [multpl.com]
This is moderately over valued from the average P/E as shown above.
Current P/BV 2.30
[chart]
The number is obtained using data from the SPY ETF, and updated using the latest change in the price of SPY. This number will therefore not be 100% accurate since the book value has likely changed (slightly) since the numbers were last updated on November 30th, 2010. The current P/BV is 2.30; this is lower than the P/B of 2.20 I measured in my previous article. The average price over book value of the S&P over the past 30 years has been 2.41. This indicates the market is slighlty undervalued. Book value is considered a better measure of valuation than earnings by many investors, including legendary investor Martin Whitman. He states that book value is harder to fudge than earnings. In addition, book value is less affected by economic cycles than one year earnings are. P/BV therefore provides a longer term accurate picture of a company’s value than a TTM P/E.
Current Dividend Yield 1.74  [chart]
The current dividend yield of the S&P is 1.74. This number is lower than the 1.78% yield from last month.It is hard to determine on this basis whether the market is overpriced. The dividend yield for stocks was much higher in the beginning of this century than the later half. The dividend yield on the S&P fell below the yield on Ten-Year treasuries for the first time in 1958. Many analysts at the time argued that the market was overpriced and the dividend yield should be higher than bond yields to compensate for stock market risk.For the next 50 years, the dividend yield remained below the treasury yield and the market rallied significantly. In addition, the dividend yield has been below 3% since the early 1990s. While I personally favor individual stocks with high dividend yields, I must admit that the current tax code makes it far favorable for companies to retain earnings than to pay out dividends. Finally, as I noted above, the current economic environment has zero percent interest rates and low bond yields. During periods where yields are low, it is logical for income oriented investors hungry for yield to bid on the market, and dividend yields to decrease. I think it is hard to claim the market is overbought based on the low dividend yield.

Mean: 4.35%
Median: 4.29%
Min: 1.11% (Aug 2000)
Max: 13.84% (Jun 1932)
Numbers from Previous Market lows:
Mar 2009 3.60
Mar 2003 1.92
Oct 1990 3.88
Nov1987 3.58
Aug 1982 6.24
Oct 1974 5.17
Oct 1966 3.73
Oct 1957 4.29
Jun 1949 7.30
Apr 1942 8.67
Mar 1938 7.57
Feb 1933 7.84
July 1932 12.57
Aug 1921 7.44
Dec 1917 10.15
Oct 1914 5.60
Nov 1907 7.04
Nov 1903 5.57

Data and chart courtesy of [multpl.com]

Market Cap to GDP is currently 92.8%, which is higher than the 91.1% from last month.

Ratio = Total Market Cap / GDP

Valuation

Ratio < 50%

Significantly Undervalued

50% < Ratio < 75%

Modestly Undervalued

75% < Ratio < 90%

Fair Valued

90% < Ratio < 115%

Modestly Overvalued

Ratio > 115%

Significantly Overvalued

Where are we today (02/01/2011)?

Ratio = 92.8%, Modestly Overvalued

Stock Market Capitalization as a percentage of GDP is another metric, albeit less commonly used than other metrics, to value the market. Between 90-115% market capitalization as percentage of GDP is considered modestly overvalued (we are at the low end of the range). Based on Guru Focus data, the market should return about 4.6% per year based on the current value.

GuruFocus calculates the 4.6% returns as follows:

The returns of investing in an individual stock or in the entire stock market are determined by these three factors:

1. Business growth

If we look at a particular business, the value of the business is determined by how much money this business can make. The growth in the value of the business comes from the growth of the earnings of the business growth. This growth in the business value is reflected as the price appreciation of the company stock if the market recognizes the value, which it does, eventually.If we look at the overall economy, the growth in the value of the entire stock market comes from the growth of corporate earnings. As we discussed above, over the long term, corporate earnings grow as fast as the economy itself.

2. Dividends

Dividends are an important portion of the investment return. Dividends come from the cash earning of a business. Everything equal, a higher dividend payout ratio, in principle, should result in a lower growth rate. Therefore, if a company pays out dividends while still growing earnings, the dividend is an additional return for the shareholders besides the appreciation of the business value.

3. Change in the market valuation

Although the value of a business does not change overnight, its stock price often does. The market valuation is usually measured by the well-known ratios such as P/E, P/S, P/B etc. These ratios can be applied to individual businesses, as well as the overall market. The ratio Warren Buffett uses for market valuation, TMC/GNP, is equivalent to the P/S ratio of the economy. What Returns Is the Market Likely to Deliver From This Level? Putting all the three factors together, the return of an investment can be estimated by the following formula:

Investment Return (%) = Dividend Yield (%)+ Business Growth (%)+ Change of Valuation (%)

The first two items of the equation are straightforward. The third item can be calculated if we know the beginning and the ending market ratios of the time period (T) considered. If we assumed the beginning ratio is Rb, and the ending ratio is Re, then the contribution in the change of the valuation can be calculated from this:

(Re/Rb)(1/T)-1

The investment return is thus equal to:

Investment Return (%) = Dividend Yield (%) + Business Growth(%) + (Re/Rb)(1/T)-1

This equation is actually very close to what Dr. John Hussman uses to calculate market valuations. From this equation we can calculate the likely returns an investment in the stock market will generate over a given time period. In the calculation, the time period we used was 8 years, which is about the length of a full economic cycle. The calculated results are shown in the final chart. The green line indicates the expected return if the market trends towards being undervalued (TMC/GNP=40%) over the next 8 years from current levels, the red line indicates the return if the market trends towards being overvalued (TMC/GNP=120%) over the next 8 years. The brown line indicates the return if the market trends towards being fair-valued (TMC/GNP=80%) over the next 8 years.The thick light blue line in the bottom chart is the actual annualized return of the stock market over 8 years. We can see the calculations largely predicted the trend in the returns of the stock market. The swing of the market’s returns is related to the change in interest rates.It has been unfortunate for investors who entered the market after the late 1990s. Since that time, the market has nearly always been overvalued, only dropping to fairly valued since the declines that began in 2008. Since Oct. 2008, for the first time in 15 years, the market has been positioned for meaningful positive returns.As of 02/01/2011, the stock market is likely to return 4.6% a year in the next 8 years.Warren Buffett has stated that market capitalization as a percentage of GNP is “probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment.”According to Barron’s, the ratio got as low as 40% in the late 1940s, when investors feared another depression, and in the inflationary 1970s.

Historic Data:
Min 35% in 1982
Max 148% in 2000.
Data and charts courtesy of Gurufocus.com
Current Tobin’s Q 1.17

[chart]

Tobin's Q is 1.17 compared to 1.15 from last month.

[chart]

[chart]

As can be seen from the above charts, the market is significantly over-valued based on Tobin's Q.The data comes from Doug Short. This is the most accurate data that is available. It is impossible for the data to be 100% precise because the Federal Reserve releases data related to Tobin’s Q on a quarterly basis. The best that can be done is to extrapolate the data and try to provide the most accurate data possible based on the change in the Willshire 5000. This is what Doug and I did to get the current number. This method has proven extremely accurate for calculating Tobin's Q on any given day.The current level of 1.17 compares with the Tobin's Q average over several decades of data of approximately .72. This would indicate that the market is extremely overvalued.In the past, Tobin’s Q has been a good indicator of future market movements. In 1920, the number was at a low of .30, the next nine years included phenomenal gains for the market. In 2000, Tobin’s Q almost reached a record high of nearly 2, and the market declined subsequently about 50% by 2003.

Historic Tobin's Q:

Market Low 1932 0.30

Market High 1929 1.06(this is not the highest number ever reached, just the number reached before the 1929 crash).

Average historic Tobin's Q .72 (source: Stocks for the Long Run by Jeremy Siegel

In my next monthly article, I will have more Tobin’s Q historical data.

AAII Survey-42.00% Bullish, 23.70% Neutral, and 34.30% Bearish: (Data from January 26th 2011)

With the collaboration of my colleague at seekingdelta, I have now added a seventh metric for valuing the market. This data comes from the survey conducted by the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) conducted on a weekly basis. According to the AAII:

The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are bullish, bearish, and neutral on the stock market for the next six months; individuals are polled from the ranks of the AAII membership on a weekly basis. Only one vote per member is accepted in each weekly voting period.

[chart]

[chart]

As mentioned above, the survey results indicate investors are quite bullish. The fact that so many investors are bullish is a contrarian warning signal. Investors tend to get the most bullish at market tops, and bearish at market lows.Below is AAII data from previous market bottoms (the AAII began the survey in 1987).The charts essentially show that on average, returns have been more favorable when bullish sentiment is below 28% vs above 50%. The 1yr avg return when sentiment is above 50% is 1.9% vs 13.6% when sentiment is below 28%.

[chart]

[chart]

Chart and data courtesy of seekingdelta
See GMO chart here (.pdf).
To Recap:

1. P/E (TTM) - Fairly Valued

2. P/E 10 year - Very Overvalued

3. P/BV - Undervalued

4. Dividend Yield - Indeterminate/ overvalued

5. Market value relative to GDP - Moderately Overvalued

6. Tobins Q - Extremely overvalued

7. AAII Sentiment - Too bullish (overvalued)

8. GMO - Overvalued

In conclusion, the market is over-valued based on the above data. Tobin's Q, Shiller P/E and AAII data are all indicating that investors are too bullish and valuations are too high.However, the historical data fails to take into account current record low interest rates. I know not many investors take issue with my inclusion of interest rates in the equation. However, I think that investors should look at the stock/bond alternative. Right now, you can get some blue chip stocks with dividend yields close to the ten year treasury yield.However, eventually the market will likely returns to normal valuation ratios as interest rates reach more normal levels. I believe returns over the next 10 years will be sub-par (far below the 9.5% average market return). I think we will likely see returns equal to inflation over the coming decade.Note: I have received numerous suggestions on how to improve my monthly series. I tried to incorporate these ideas in my current article. Please email me or leave a comment if you would like to provide further suggestions. Stay tuned till the beginning of next month for the next monthly valuation article.’

 

 

 

The Dow at 12,000 is 'Buyer Beware' Territory Meyer ‘Well, we finally hit the 12,000 mark and beyond on the Dow Jones Industrials Average and the end-of-the-year rally is still upon us, as many of us on Seeking Alpha forecast. However, this is now officially a buyer's beware market. Long term investors probably don't need to start selling unless they need the money for short-term purchases and debt reduction. But new investors considering buying into the market now are fulfilling the odd-lot theory, at best, and will have a long wait before those newly purchased shares are increasing in value enough to pay back your broker's fees.Does anyone think we are going to eek out another 5% in the averages this quarter? That would bring the DJIA up by more than 600 points to 12,636.The Dow is now at pre-crash levels of 2008. Yet, we still have high unemployment, near zero job growth, an ongoing foreclosure crisis with home ownership at its lowest level since 1998. This wouldn't be so much of a problem if the vast majority of Americans garnered their wealth from their real estate. They surely do not owe their wealth to their 401k or savings accounts. Remember when home prices were rising and rates were low? What were Americans doing? They were going on a ludicrous shopping spree. We are still the world's largest consumer driven economy, so as long as Main Street isn't spending, company profits will eventually suffer. Even though that doesn't seem to be the case now. One can imagine that companies cannot continue posting solid top line growth if their basic customers are struggling to make ends meet. That problem still exists in this economy, as Robert Reich pointed out his blog Wednesday.We also have a municipal debt bomb the Feds and banks are trying to defuse. The fundamentals are not that sound, and that tells me that this is not the time to buy the market. Stock picking strategies of U.S. equities might work, and certain commodity and some emerging market plays are still favorable. But index and ETF investors looking to buy entire markets like the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) should definitely wait for a correction before buying at these levels. I don't see any indication now that this market can go much higher, given those aforementioned fundamental restraints.Here are a couple more:
The BDI: Ever Hear of It?
Take a look at the Baltic Dry Index chart. It measures the worldwide price of shipping various bulk items across the ocean. It's trading way below its 50 and 200 day moving averages. The BDI is not a leading indicator, or a lagging indicator, of the U.S. economy. But it warrants some attention when the BDI chart looks like a really bad roller coaster like it has since last summer. BDI topped out in June, bounced in July, and began a serious decline in November. The only thing that tends to track the BDI is the Shanghai Composite Equity Index. China is one of the world's biggest exporters, but with costs of capital rising there, importers of Chinese goods are being asked to pay more for their orders, causing many buyers to slow imports. If this slower growth out of China pans out, then economists will be revising their global GDP numbers downward. This indicator could pose to be quite bad for equities simply because it is telling you the growth story of the economy, which has driven the fundamentals behind the current rally, is not sustainable at these levels. The rally continues to be a liquidity driven momentum rally thanks to QE2. The lynchpin of the whole advance was the theme the global economy was in recovery, but I am concerned that this important trade index is showing us something different for the time being.
DJIA vs. Gold Bull Market Peaks
Is the Dow overbought? I think so, and technically speaking we are now seeing less stocks advancing than we have when we were approaching Dow 12k. Corporations are also busy selling their own stock over the last month and a half. There is an important correlation between the Dow and the price of gold in previous bull market peaks. The Dow, as priced in gold, is losing value as the precious metal bull continues to drive to higher prices. For example, in 1980, one ounce of gold bought the Dow. So the ratio of one ounce of gold to the Dow was simple: 1. Said in another way, we had an 850 Dow Jones Industrials Average and $850.00 per ounce gold. The Dow as priced in gold is not making new recovery highs as most people would want to believe.The first peak in the Dow occurred on January 14, 2000 at 11,723. In late 1999 it took 45 ounces of gold to buy the Dow. Gold bottomed at $255.00 per ounce. Everyone wanted equities and the gold-Dow ratio proved it.The second peak in the Dow occurred on October 9, 2007 at 14,164 points. It took just 19 ounces of gold at $750.00 per ounce to buy the market.The Dow is now trading at the 12,000 level again on Wednesday and gold is currently $1325.00 per ounce. It now takes just 9 ounces of Gold to buy the Dow. I don't think we go to a one to one ratio, but I would say we cut the 9 ounces ratio in half and that would likely single a top in at least one of these markets.If we go on the premise that gold is the ultimate money and both a storage of wealth and a hedge against inflation, then the Dow priced in gold has been eroding in value since late 1999 when you needed at least 45 ounces of gold to have the equivalent of the gains in the Dow. The buying power of the dollar propelling the Dow 12k continues to lose value as reflected in the current price of gold at $1,340.00 per ounce, and expectations are for the euro to rebound a bit. The Dow 12k is also occuring in an economy where job growth remains impressively sluggish. This is a buyer beware market when buying broad based indexes like the Dow and S&P 500. Overall, when this market does correct 5% or more, I believe it will drag a lot of the more liquid assets down with it. I'd recommend a hold for long term investors and a sell at these levels for investors with short-term cash needs. We're not seeing an expansion of volume on the advance. This market is resisting any kind of sell-off. I think the pros are fully invested and this market is up two years in a row from the lows so this market looks to me that it's now setting up for a reversal. Don't add at these prices. Get your shopping list together for your sector favorites and wait for a pull back.’

 

 

 

If You're Going to Do Economics, Don't Do Macro  [ Truth be told, I find Mr. Falkenstein’s article a bit too subtle and somewhat shy about getting to the point, but have included same here solely for the reprint of William Buckley’s famous quote which comports with my own view of the ivy league vegetable gardens which turn out as you would expect, vegetables; viz., ‘he would prefer the first 100 names in the Boston phonebook to the Harvard faculty‘. The reality is that ‘harvard professor’, ‘no-recession bernanke’ has given an obfuscating, ephemeral feel good but lucrative to the few gift to the frauds on wall street with ultimately devastatingly great cost / pain to come. ]  Falkenstein ‘MIT had a celebration of their 150th birthday, a Symposia on Economics and Finance: From Theory to Practice to Policy. Here's Bob Hall's solution to our problems (see around 50:00):

What we really like is for people to perceive that now is a great time to buy stuff instead of later, well there's nothing like inflation to get that mentality going. Normally we don't like to see that, we want to keep inflation under control because it's a sign of an overheated economy, well, we'd like a bit of that overheated economy now ...

When the government buys more stuff, every model agrees that stimulates the economy...any economist who suggests that it doesn't stimulate the economy hasn't looked at a wide range of models, all of which agree ...

Hey, the models all agree! In other words, if you look at the aggregate data, all we have here is a lack of demand. Just replace the missing private sector investment with government purchases, or by confusing investors and hoping they mistake nominal price increases for real demand, and all will be well. Most of the macroeconomists suggested that all we need to do is double down on the stimulus -- only the political will is lacking for this obvious solution.What we had was a misallocation -- too much housing -- and so now must move labor and capital to other areas, which creates temporary unemployment. To try to cover this up via having the government spend more on backfilling teacher's pensions, or have everyone buy an unsustainable amount of everything, would not solve this problem faster. Notice they don't spend any time discussing what government would spend this stimulus on because it doesn't matter to them. It's fun to think a solution to a hangover is more of a different type of alcohol, but I've tried it, and it doesn't work.Unfortunately Keynesians don't have any intuition for this, because everything's all just "aggregate demand," not housing, technology, energy, etc. Aggregation leads to simplifcation, but clearly it has a cost, and I think any macro theory that ignores the fact that an economy is a network of firms and individuals is pointless.Hayek's early work on business cycles focused on misalignments in the structure of production. Alas, this was basically impossible to formalize. Keynes' model, meanwhile, was adopted into the Hansen-Hicks synthesis that looked a lot like the simple Supply/Demand equations economists were used to, so everything seemed copacetic. A bad idea, in a tractable model, has a long life, because everyone forgets about all the hand waiving assumptions that underlie such models.Joshua Bell is a famous violinist, but when he did an experiment, and played his $3.5MM violin at a train station, he made only $32. Reputation matters. In Bell's case, passersby did not realize he was truly a gifted violinist. In this case, while this was supposedly our best and brightest giving insight on the big issue of the day, the audience was treated to standard diagnoses and recommendations you hear everywhere on the left: we had a collapse in demand, so the government needs to spend more, or trick people into spending more via money illusion. If one wanted a better anecdote for William F. Buckley's famous remark that he would prefer the first 100 names in the Boston phonebook to the Harvard faculty, I can't think of one. As Cicero said, the purpose of wisdom is to know the good, in which case these people would have done better with the proverbial dollar fifty in late charges at the public library, rather than attend the esteemed establishment they were celebrating.On the other hand, Google's (GOOG) chief economist, Hal Varian noted that Yahoo! (YHO), Microsoft (MSFT) and the rest are all hiring economists to design services based on game theory and other microeconomic specialties. This is in contrast to banks, that basically all went from having a large economic staffs in the 1970s, but a flak PR guy today for CNBC interviews. Bottom line: if you are going to do economics, don't do macro.’

 

 

 

 

 

Stock Averages Straddle Flat Line, Dow Up for Third Day   [ Note: ‘…The economy added 187,000 private-sector jobs in January, the 12th consecutive month of private-sector employment growth, according to Automatic Data Processing. BUT ADP LOWERED ITS DECEMBER FIGURE TO 247,000 NEW JOBS FROM A PREVIOUS ESTIMATE OF 297,000…’ (That’s near 20%, do you how many upside points were based on that fudged inflated figure?).  ] Midnight Trader ‘4:26 PM, Feb 2, 2011 --

 

2-1-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

Avoid China, short the U.S. market instead Kee ‘…The subject of international investing begs the buy and hold theme as a result, but because that is dead, and because risk controls are more cumbersome in foreign markets, my focus is on proactive strategies in U.S. markets, on risk controls, and my longer term Periodic Oscillator tells me that the economy, thanks to stimulus, is in bubble-like territory not seen since 2000 and 2007…’

 

 

 

New Monthly Value Levels, Pivots, and Risky Levels  Editor's Note: This article was written by Richard Suttmeier, chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com

The US Capital Markets are under the influence of new monthly value levels, pivots and risky levels from my proprietary analytics. Today I add them to my risk / reward statements for the markets that I follow; The US Treasury 10-Year yield, Comex gold, Nymex crude oil, the euro, and the major equity averages focusing on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

The US Treasury 10-Year Yield -- (3.380) The monthly chart favors higher yields with the 120-month simple moving average at 4.121. The daily chart still shows the trading range set in December between 3.568 and 3.247. Today’s value level is 3.444.

Comex Gold -- ($1331.0) The monthly chart continues to dhow an overbought parabolic bubble. The daily chart shows gold trying to rise out of an oversold condition. This week’s value level is $1319.7 with quarterly and annual pivots at $1331.3 and $1356.5 and new monthly risky level at $1412.4.

Nymex Crude Oil – ($91.91) The monthly chart favors higher oil prices ahead. Oil traded above $92 per barrel again but closed below that chart resistance. My semiannual value level is $87.52 with weekly and monthly pivots at $89.91 and $91.83 and annual risky levels at $99.91 and $101.92.

The Euro -- (1.3685) The monthly chart favors a higher European currency. The daily chart continues to show an overbought condition. Weekly and quarterly value levels are 1.3265 and 1.3227 with a daily risky level at 1.3859 and monthly risky level at 1.4225.

Stocks remain overvalued fundamentally according to ValuEngine with 15 of 16 sectors overvalued and only 38.8% of all stocks undervalued. On December 19th we had a ValuEngine Valuation Warning with 33.3% of all stocks undervalued, below the important 35% threshold, and all 16 sectors were overvalued.

All major averages remain overbought on their weekly charts and my Proprietary Analytics show new monthly value levels and weekly risky levels, which should keep stocks balanced in February.
 

  • The Dow Industrial Average shows monthly and annual value levels at 11,759 and 11,491 with weekly and daily risky levels at 11,959 and 12,005.
  • The S&P 500 has quarterly and monthly value levels at 1262.5 and 1247.6 with daily and weekly risky levels at 1293.7 and 1308.5.
  • The Nasdaq has a monthly value level at 2611 with a daily pivot at 2700 and weekly and quarterly risky levels at 2769 and 2853.
  • The Dow Transports has a quarterly value level at 4671 with monthly and daily pivots at 4962 and 4991 and weekly and annual risky levels at 5104 and 5179.
  • The Russell 2000 shows quarterly and monthly value levels at 765.50 and 741.74 with daily and annual pivots at 777.01 and 784.16 with a weekly risky level at 809.88.
  • Following the Dow look for continued strength as long as closes are above my monthly value level at 11,759. A close below 11,759 targets the annual value level at 11,491.


Bank Failure Friday -- The FDIC closed four more banks last Friday and one was publicly traded and on the ValuEngine List of Problem Banks.
 

  • The FDIC closed a total of 157 banks in 2010; 41 in the first quarter, 45 in the second quarter, 41 in the third quarter and 30 in the fourth quarter.
  • 25 banks failed in 2008
  • 140 banks failed in 2009 with a peak of 50 in the third quarter
  • 157 banks failed in 2010
  • 11 banks have failed year to date in 2011
  • 333 banks have failed since the end of 2007
  •  I still predict 500 to 800 bank failures in total by the end of 2012 into 2013.


The publicly traded bank was First Community Bank, Taos, New Mexico (FSNM). This bank is on the ValuEngine List of Problem Banks with overexposures to both C&D and CRE loans: The C&D ratio to risk-based capital at 651.8% versus the 100% maximum guideline, and 1946.4% for CRE loans versus the 300% maximum guideline. The bank’s real estate loan pipeline is stuffed at 96.9% where 60% is a healthy pipeline. It’s amazing to me how slow the FDIC has been in closing banks that no longer deserve to service Main Street, USA.’

 

 

1-31-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

Shiller Ratio Points to U.S. Equities Being Significantly Overvalued   [ Yes they are indeed; so take this especially great opportunity to sell, take profits since there’s much, much worse to come! That computer-programmed spike into the close to keep suckers suckered does not change the aforesaid. This is particularly evident in their attempt to cash in on that superstitious scam known as the ‘January effect’ by way of these manipulated bubble-making buy programs; you know, loosen / soften the suckers up for the coming year’s new fraud / scam. ] The 'January Effect' Is More Market Myth Than Sound Analysis ...  Kumar ‘…January of 1929, for example, was off to a brisk start as the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed to 317 from 307. But investors would be slammed later in the year by a historic stock market crash that heralded the start of the Great Depression. January of 1987, too, began nicely. The Dow climbed to 2160 at the end of the month after starting out at 1927. But Black Monday would hit investors in October of that year, leading to the sharpest historical stock market decline in percentage terms. More recently, January 2001 had a strong showing when the Dow Jones finished the month at 10,887 after starting at 10,646. Those reading it as an auspicious beginning would be hit first by the further fallout from collapse of the dot-com bubble and then the massive decline following the September 11 terrorist attacks. See full article from DailyFinance: http://srph.it/cyaPDT ‘… Then, more recently there’s ‘The stock market scored a strong gain and locked in its first positive finish for January since 2007 (we all know what happened after that! Crash!) with help from the energy sector, which climbed sharply in response to a spike in oil prices.(Yahoo/Briefing.com) … Higher oil prices … riiiiight! … that sounds bull(s***)ish … on fraudulent wall street. ]

 

 

 

 

Morgan Stanley: ETFs Post $2.8 Billion Net Outflows Last Week  Coleman ‘With unrest in Egypt and fading technical signals in many key emerging markets, it’s not surprising that Morgan Stanley’s (MS) Smith Barney analysts has found that ETFs attracted net outflows of $2.8 billion last week, the first pullback of a young 2011.

In a new report this afternoon, MSSB listed net outflows in the week were led by emerging markets stocks and commodities ETFs. Investors pulled more than a combined $5 billion from those two categories.

ETFs showing net inflows were: U.S. broad markets stocks ($89 million); U.S. mid-cap stocks ($278 million); U.S. dividend income ($574 million); leveraged/inverse ($125 million); international developed markets ($354 million).

Perhaps just as noteworthy, though, were stock categories that had big outflows:

  • Emerging markets, just over $3 billion.
  • Commodities, more than $2.2 billion.
  • U.S. Large-Cap, nearly $370 million in net outflows.

Bond funds also had a good week, attracting $705 million, according to MSSB.

The biggest net outflows by a single ETF came from the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Fund (EEM). It had nearly $2.7 billion outflows last week. The ETF now has posted the largest net outflows in one- , four - and 13- week periods.

The biggest gainer in terms of net inflows was the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA). It had $776 million net inflows, says MSSB. The second most popular was the Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG).’

 

 

 

 

Don't Blame Egypt for Friday's Sell-Off  Janjigian ‘…many problems remain. The federal budget deficit is too large and the government is carrying too much debt. States and municipalities are drowning in public pension obligations. The unemployment rate is improving, but much too slowly. Mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures remain too high, there are too many homes available for sale, and housing prices remain depressed. Worldwide inflation is on the rise. There are even problems at the corporate level. Yes, corporate profits are strong, but the same cannot be said for sales. Many companies are reporting anemic growth on the top line at best. Others continue to see revenues decline. Corporations are squeezing more profits from fewer sales only by aggressively cutting costs. This kind of cost cutting cannot go on forever. All businesses eventually reach a point where more profits can be produced only from more sales. Most are probably at that point already... A 10 percent correction should not surprise anyone...’

 

 

 

Is the Market Headed for a Sell-Off? [ Yes … I agree, except that fundamentally the longer term prospects are even worse than his bearish outlook suggests (don’t forget the debasement of the dollar, manipulation, and spending / printing money the nation doesn’t have in real terms behind this manipulated uptick) and summarized as follows: ‘I suspect that this rally is on its very last legs. We should see a very healthy 10% or so correction within the next 1-2 week period ... This market is headed for a sell-off. ] Zaky ‘As the market scrutinizes President Obama's State of the Union Address, and looks to Bernanke & Co. for any signs as to when the Federal Reserve's inflationary stance toward monetary policy might be coming to an end, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) will be attempting its 9th consecutive weekly gain for the first time since 1995.For the past 20 years, the Dow has managed countless 8-week rallies which have tended to almost always end very poorly on the 9th week. The only other time we've seen the Dow rally for 9 straight weeks was in the period between January and March 1995. Before that, we would have to go to the 1980's to find a 9 week period of consecutive gains.So the big question this week will be whether the Dow can buck the 8-week trend or whether we'll see a sell-off to end the week and the Dow streak at 8. What one should notice is how incredibly weak the overall market tends to become after 8 weeks of straight gains.

Below is a list of all the times the Dow gained 8 straight weeks since the mid-1990's, starting with the most recent:

1. March 2001 to April 2001

The Dow gained 8 straight weeks before experiencing a 100% retracement of the gains in a 20% correction which lasted all summer.

2. November 2003 to January 2004

The Dow gained exactly 8 weeks before topping out, trading sideways for 6 weeks and then traded down for nearly 10 months before rallying into year end. That 8-weeks period topped a nearly 9 month which was met with very heavy selling throughout the year.

3. October 2002 to December 2002

The Dow gained 8 straight weeks before putting in a decisive top and losing the entire move over the next 14 week period. The Dow experienced a near 30% slide after putting in a top at 8 consecutive up weeks.

4. January - March 1998

The Dow gained for 8 weeks straight, paused and then rallied a few more weeks before putting in a decisive top which led to a correction that retraced the entire move over the following 15 weeks. The Dow experienced a 25% correction after rallying relentlessly for 5 months.

5. January - March 1995

The Dow rallied 9 straight weeks, had a slight pull-back and then rallied all the way until year end. The market didn't see even a minor correction in all of 1995. The Dow rallied nearly 60% in 1995 alone.This history should outline just how over-extended this rally is becoming. There are only a few occasions in modern history where the Dow closed up for 8 consecutive weeks, and only 1 occasion in the last 16 years where the Dow closed in the green for 9 consecutive weeks.There is almost no profit taking in this market, which suggests that a lot of people and institutions have significant built-in gains. One piece of bad news and we're likely to see everyone heading to the exits at once. Rallies that have pull-backs tend to last significantly longer than those where we have months of consecutive weekly gains such as this one.Without consolidation and profit taking, these rallies tend to end very poorly. It is much healthier to see rallies where the DJIA pulls back every 2-3 weeks than these rallies where the Dow just shoots to the sky for 8 straight weeks. The above cases demonstrate this clearly.I suspect that this rally is on its very last legs. We should see a very healthy 10% or so correction within the next 1-2 week period. In fact, I believe it's quite possible that the highs of this rally can be put in during the next 1-2 trading sessions. Whatever the case may be, good buying opportunities present themselves in February and March. This market is headed for a sell-off.’

 

 

 

2011 Update: Another Lost Decade for Stocks - Are You Prepared?   [ I agree that this is but a (manipulated) bull cycle in a secular bear market with substantially worse to come! ]Kopas ‘In February 2010, we published an article on Seeking Alpha entitled “Another Lost Decade for Stocks - Are You Prepared?,” wherein we argued that the year 2000 marked a secular (long-term) peak for U.S. stocks. A secular bear market is formed when a series of business cycles are linked together, establishing an extended period of stock market under-performance. Our objective here is to bring you up-to-date on the progress of this secular bear market and help you prepare for the next ten years.

The first benchmark we monitor is U.S. stock prices adjusted for inflation. In this chart below, we compare the U.S. stock market to the Shiller 10-year Price/Earnings ratio. This P/E ratio is an indication of investor confidence; a lack of that signals extreme valuation levels. Our conclusion is that investor psychology is still too optimistic and has a long way to go before reaching an undervalued stock market level.

[chart] click to enlarge

Updating our duration and valuation benchmarks, again we find progress, but not yet achieving the truly undervalued levels we expect to see toward the end of a secular bear market. Based upon previous cycles, it appears we are only slightly past the half way mark in terms of years, number of recessions, and valuations. A look at our chart and table comparing this to earlier secular bear markets illustrates our conclusion. We expect that a major bottom for inflation adjusted stock prices is still years away before stocks finally gravitate toward the target area outlined below.

[chart]

New Benchmark: Tobin Q Ratio

In this update we introduce another relative valuation benchmark created by Yale economics professor and Nobel laureate James Tobin, hence the name Tobin’s Q Ratio. The Q ratio is calculated as the total value of the stock market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies. Values greater than 1 indicate stock prices sell above their replacement cost and are therefore “expensive.” A reading below 1 indicates stocks can be bought below replacement cost and therefore indicates that it is cheaper to buy a company than to build one.

A long-term view of the Q ratio gives investors a good understanding of value, information about current risk levels and a method to assess probable returns for the long term. Secular bear markets historically bottom when the Q ratio declines to a bargain level less than .4, meaning stock prices sell for just 40% of replacement value. Today’s reading of 1.03 is above the average reading of .75 and considerably higher than the average secular low reading of .33. Investors beware; stocks have considerable more downside potential before the Q ratio truly reflects a great valuation. Buy and Hold tactics will continue to frustrate investors, just as they have in the past decade.

[chart]

In conclusion, none of the benchmarks we evaluate indicate we are anywhere close to a secular stock market bottom yet. In the meantime, a prudent and profitable investment strategy should be flexible enough to actively adjust portfolio asset allocation, depending on where we are in the business cycle and the direction of the secular trend.’

 

 

 

Home Prices Declining as Expected Minyanville/ Suttmeier ‘Reviewing My No.1 Theme for 2011: Home prices will resume a decline that began in mid-2006. We had the homebuyer tax credits expire in mid-2010, and government-sponsored mortgage modifications provided limited help. In 2011 we face continued foreclosure issues including questionable documentation, and banks have a record high Other Real Estate Owned (OREO). OREO is up to $53.2 billion at the end of the third quarter, up 338.2% since the end of 2007. Depressed home sales are being sold at a 30% to 35% discount, which reduces property appraisals at the county level. Homebuilders will have to compete with these lower prices and we need a mortgage modification program for all Americans, not just those at risk of losing their homes. QE2 (quantitative easing) is not working and US Treasury yields are higher, causing mortgage rates to rise. “The Great Credit Crunch” began with housing, and that foundation needs repair before Main Street can recover with sustainable job creation.

The S&P / Case-Shiller Home Price Index -- Points to lower home prices through November. [chart]

  • The 20-City Composite is down 1.6% year over year in November and down 1.0% sequentially.
  • The 20-City Composite is up only 3.3% from its April 2009 low, but remains about 50% above where it began in January 2000.
  • Atlanta, Charlotte, Detroit, Las Vegas, Miami, Portland (OR), Seattle, and Tampa hit new lows, below the levels set in April 2009.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) also shows a year-over-year house price decline of 4.3% in November. [chart] [chart]
House prices will continue to decline as long as the Conference Board’s reading on Consumer Confidence remains weak. The Conference Board's reading on Consumer Confidence jumped to 60.6 in January from 53.3 in December, but keep in mind that the neutral zone for this measure is 90 to 120, so consumer confidence remains extremely weak. Show me readings between 90 and 120 and home prices will stabilize.

Stocks will peak this week, or will confirm recent highs as a peak over the next few weeks

Stocks remain overvalued fundamentally according to ValuEngine with 15 of 16 sectors overvalued and only 38.9% of all stocks undervalued. This follows last week’s ValuEngine Valuation Warning where just 33.3% of all stocks were undervalued. Below 35% is the warning. All major averages are extremely overbought on there weekly charts and my Proprietary Analytics show weekly risky levels at 12,162 Dow, 1333.9 S&P 500, 2805 Nasdaq, 5321 Dow Transports, and 828.86 Russell 2000. There is an 85% chance that the Dow will decline to my annual pivot at 11,491 and the Dow Transports and Russell 2000 ended last week below their annual pivots at 5179 and 784.16 respectively.

10-Year Note -- (3.317) The yield continues to trade in a range set in December -- between 3.568 on December 16 and 3.247 set on December 20.

Comex Gold -- ($1333.3) Gold is now oversold on its daily chart with daily and semiannual value levels at $1316.1 and $1300.6 with quarterly and annual pivots at $1331.3 and $1356.5. Gold is trending below its 50-day simple moving average now at $1378.5.

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($87.82) Crude oil is now trending below its 50-day simple moving average at $87.96 with the 200-day at $80.48. My semiannual pivot remains at $87.52.

The Euro -- (1.3643) This week’s value level is 1.3398 with chart resistance at 1.3786 as the euro becomes overbought on its daily chart.

Daily Dow -- (11,977) The daily chart is overbought after setting a new high for the move at 11,985.97 Tuesday morning. This week’s risky level is 12,162. My annual value level remains at 11,491. There are negative divergences for the S&P 500, Nasdaq, Transports, and Russell 2000. Dow Transports are flirting with a close below its 50-day simple moving average at 5047.’

 

 

 

Economist: United States Worse Off than Greece Dr. Laurence Kotlikoff is an economics professor at Boston University. He says the Treasury and the government are fudging the national debt numbers. Kotlikoff says the United States is bankrupt and we don’t even know it.

 

 

1-28-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

Dow Will Find Top With a 12,000 Handle Minyanville ‘Editor's Note: This article was written by Richard Suttmeier, chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com, which is a fundamentally based quant research firm in Princeton, New Jersey, that covers more than 5,000 stocks every day.

The yield on the US Treasury 10-Year note has formed a trading range between 3.568 and 3.247 balanced by supply, fears of inflation, and QE2 buying by the Federal Reserve. Comex gold declined as expected and now faces my semiannual value level at $1300.6. Nymex crude oil failed below its semiannual pivot at $87.52 as the $92.00 a barrel barrier proved to be resistance. The euro has become stronger than expected after holding 1.3225, but faces a daily risky level at 1.3828 today. Stocks are overvalued fundamentally and overbought technically. The Dow Industrial should find a top above 12,000 just as 14,000 was a barrier in October 2007.

10-Year Note -- (3.385) Daily, weekly, annual, and semiannual value levels are 3.438, 3.758, 3.791, and 4.268 with annual, semiannual, and monthly risky levels at 2.690, 2.441, 2.322, and 2.150.

10 Year Note

Source: Thomson / Reuters

Comex Gold -- ($1311.3) Semiannual and annual value levels are $1300.6 and $1187.2 with a daily pivot at $1319.2, quarterly and annual pivots at $1331.3 and $1356.5, and weekly, monthly, quarterly, and semiannual risky levels at $1390.9, $1439.0, $1441.7, and $1452.6.

Comex Gold

Source: Thomson / Reuters

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($85.42) My monthly value level is $75.74 with daily and semiannual pivots at $84.80 and $87.52, and weekly, annual, semiannual, and quarterly risky levels at $95.34, $99.91, $101.92, $107.14, and $110.87.

Nymex Crude Oil

Source: Thomson / Reuters

The Euro -- (1.3725) Weekly, quarterly, and monthly value levels are 1.3398, 1.3227, and 1.2805 with a daily risky level at 1.3828. Semiannual and annual risky levels are 1.4624, 1.4989, 1.6367 and 1.7312.

Euro Chart

Source: Thomson / Reuters

Daily Dow: (11,990) Annual, quarterly, semiannual, monthly, and semiannual value levels are 11,491, 11,395, 10,959, 10,427, and 9,449 with daily, weekly, and annual risky levels at 12,053, 12,162, and 13,890.

Dow Chart

Source: Thomson / Reuters

 

Stocks remain overvalued fundamentally according to ValuEngine with all 16 sectors overvalued and only 35.6% of all stocks undervalued. This follows last week’s ValuEngine Valuation Warning, which will renew if less than 35% of stocks are undervalued.

 

All major averages are extremely overbought on their weekly charts...'

 

 

 

 

U.S. Markets Hit With Sharp Declines on Earnings, Middle East Turmoil Midnight Trader ‘4:10 PM, Jan 28, 2011 --

  • DJIA down 166.13 (-1.39%) to 11,823.70
  • S&P 500 down 23.20 (-1.79%) to 1,276.34
  • Nasdaq down 68.36 (-2.48%) to 2,686.92

GLOBAL SENTIMENT

  • Hang Seng down 0.68%
  • Nikkei down 1.13%
  • FTSE down 1.4%

UPSIDE MOVERS
(+) BGP continues evening surge seen after company secures refinancing commitment from GE Capital.
(+) TMRK sold to Verizon.
(+) RVBD rebounds from evening decline; results beat.
(+) CSR interest expressed in taking company private.

DOWNSIDE MOVERS
(-) F results weaken from last year's.
(-) MSFT results slow from year-ago period, beat Street view.
(-) AMZN beats with EPS but sales miss and guidance shows upcoming quarter may disappoint.
(-) PMCS continues evening decline that followed earnings miss.
(-) SNY reports disappointing breast cancer study results.
(-) SNDK gives up evening gain; beats with Q4 results.
(-) CVX misses sales estimates.
(-) SLE confirms plans to split in two.

MARKET DIRECTION

A slate of disappointing earnings from the likes of Amazon.com (AMZN) and Ford (F) combined with middling economic data and worries over protests in the Middle East drive U.S. markets lower. The main indices were under pressure from the start today as Amazon and Ford came in with quarterly financials that were shy of Street estimates. Reaction was muted to Q4 GDP data that was just below economists' expectations, but a flurry of headlines out of Egypt depicting the country in a state of crisis fueled by street protests was enough to give sellers the upper hand and pin the indices near their day lows by session's end.

Real gross domestic product, the broadest measure of the U.S economy, rose at a 3.2% annualized rate in the fourth quarter, up from a 2.6% rate in the third quarter. Economists polled by MarketWatch expected Q4 GDP to rise of 3.5%.

On the upside, consumer spending rose at a 4.4% annual rate in the final three months of the year, the fastest pace since the first quarter of 2006. Inventories were a big drag on growth in the fourth quarter but this was largely offset by a positive contribution from net exports. For the year, GDP advanced 2.9%, compared with a 2.6% drop in 2009. This is the strongest growth rate in five years.

In other economic data, the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index fell to 74.2 from 74.5 in December.

Looking out to next week, earnings season continues to roll on, with Baidu.com (BIDU) and Gannett (GCI) slated to post financials on Monday, followed by Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), Broadcom (BRCM), Electronic Arts (ERTS) and UPS (UPS) on Tuesday. On Wednesday, traders will see results from BMC Software (BMC), Hartford Financial (HIG), News Corp. (NWS) and Visa (V). GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), International Paper (IP), Las Vegas Sands (LVS) and JDSU (JDSU) will report on Thursday, with Aetna (AET) and Tyson Foods (TSN) coming in on Friday.

On the economic front next week, personal income/spending data, PCE Prices and Chicago PMI are slated for release Monday. Construction spending, the ISM index, and truck and auto sales will be distributed on Tuesday, followed by Challenger job cuts, ADP employment change and crude inventories on Wednesday. Initial claims, factory orders, and ISM services data are due on Thursday, and unemployment data will close out the week on Friday.

In company news today:

ADRs of Sanofi-Aventis (SNY) were down after the drug maker saw disappointing results from an experiment breast cancer drug it was developing. Sanofi's BSI-201 did not slow a certain type of aggressive breast tumor, Sanofi said in a statement. The news comes as a setback for Sanofi, which has been trying to acquire Genzyme (GENZ).

Borders (BGP) was up sharply after it said late Thursday it has received a commitment from GE Capital, Restructuring Finance to provide a $550 million senior secured credit facility. Upon completion, it will include $125 million of additional junior debt financing via the conversion of vendor payables and/or external sources. And, it will provide Borders with the financial flexibility and an appropriate level of liquidity to move forward with its strategy to reposition its business model and the Borders brand.

Boston Scientific Corp. (BSX) declined after the the U.S. Justice Department reportedly sued the medical device manufacturer, alleging it sold defective cardiac devices. The government, in an email statement to Bloomberg news, said Boston Scientific didn't fully reveal problems with the devices.

Savvis Inc. (SVVS) surged after Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) moved to acquire a Savvis rival for $1.4 billion. The deal for Terremark Worldwide, Inc. (TMRK) had other firms in the cloud-computing security space higher, including Equinix Inc. (EQIX) and Rackspace Hosting Inc. (RAX).

Sara Lee (SLE) shares were down after confirming plans to split into two entities focusing on North American meats and international coffee and tea. The separation would include a $3-per-share special dividend and should be completed early in 2012.

In the latest earnings news:

--Jefferies (JEF) was down after it says revised Q4 EPS was $0.31, a penny below the Thomson Reuters mean of $0.32.

--Microsoft (MSFT) reported Q2 revenue of $19.95 billion, better than the analyst consensus of $19.1 billion on Thomson Reuters. EPS was $0.77 per share, vs. expectations of $0.68 per share. But profit eased from the year-ago quarter.

--Amazon.com (AMZN) was down after reporting Q4 sales of $12.95 billion, below the analyst consensus of $13 billion on Thomson Reuters. EPS was $0.91, vs. expectations of $0.88 per share. For Q1, the company is guiding for sales of $9.1 to $9.9 billion, vs. the Street view of $9.3 billion.

--Chevron (CVX) said it earned $2.64 per share in Q4, including items. Sales were $52 billion. The Thomson Reuters mean was for $55.96728 billion in sales and $2.41 per share in earnings, usually less items.

--Ford (F) reported Q4 earnings of $0.30 per share, down from year ago levels. Revenue was $32.5 billion, down from $34.8 billion last year. The Street view was earnings of $0.48 per share on revenue of $30.3 billion. Looking forward, Ford said it plans to deliver continued improvement in pre-tax operating profit and Automotive operating-related cash flow in 2011.

--Oplink (OPLK) was sharply higher after reporting Q2 revenue of $52 million, better than the Street view of $50 million. EPS was $0.52, vs. expectations of $0.41 per share. For Q3, the company sees revs of $52 to $56 million and EPS of $0.49 to $0.55 per share. The Street view is $48 million in revenue and earnings of $0.38 per share

Commodities finished trading higher with crude oil and gold futures jumping as the violent protests in the Middle East raised concern about oil supplies and economic stability.

Light, sweet crude oil for March delivery finished up 4.3%, or $2, to $89.34 a barrel. In other energy futures, heating oil was up 1.2% to $2.68 a gallon while natural gas was up 0.12% to $4.32 per million British thermal units.

Meanwhile, gold futures climbed as unrest in Egypt drove investors to the perceived safety of bullion.

Gold for February delivery finished up $22.30 to $1,340.70 an ounce. In other metal futures, silver was up 2.68% to $27.75 a troy ounce while copper rose 0.32% to $4.35 a pound.’

 

 

 

 

 

Regulators shut banks (11 so far in 2011)  in Colo, NM, Okla, Wis

 

 

 

 

The day part of the Internet died: Egypt goes dark [I disagree! Part of the internet didn’t die, but rather the order to so darken the nation heralded the demise, at 30 years and counting, of the so-called leadership in the persona of Mubarak. Time for him to go! After all, he’s been in a position, with Egypt among the only Mideast nations to have signed a peace treaty with israel, to have stepped up with substantial credibility in taking a strong position against israeli transgressions, violations of international law / u.n. resolutions, war crimes, etc., which beyond soft-touch, he failed to do. And, of all places, he sends his family to Orwellian england; he still loves those colonial masters … how pathetic. I mean, 30 years … how free-flowing does anyone think the election process is at this point … and one could ask the same regarding the entrenched powers that be in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, to be fair. Then there’s saudi arabia; talk about do nothing hypocrites. How does one family claim ownership of all the oil reserves of a sovereign nation; I suspect only when foreign corporations say so. The only Mideast nations showing backbone are Turkey, Lebanon, and Syria, and, of course the perennially propaganda painted bad-boy Iran among possibly some of the smaller emirates, ie., Qatar, etc., (I lack sufficient information regarding these other nations).  ] (AP)         Internet cutoff fails to silence Egypt protests (AP) - AP - In its effort to silence protesters, Egypt took a step that's rare even among authoritarian governments: It cut off the Internet across the entire country.       Mubarak fires Cabinet, defends army’s efforts   Sat, 29 Jan 2011 00:20:58 GMT  Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak dismisses his Cabinet, calls on the army to help put down rising potests...     Egypt's Mubarak sends in army, resists demands to quit (Reuters) - 1 hour agoReuters - Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak refused on Saturday to bow to demands that he resign after ordering troops and tanks into cities in an attempt to quell an explosion of street protests again...      

 

 

 


 

 

 

Egypt riots knock Wall St to biggest drop in 6 months (Reuters) – [ No! That’s not correct! They probably would like you to think that … some unforeseeable problem from out of nowhere deflating their contrived fraudulent bubble that they always manage to sell into. But the fact is the market’s overvalued to a point again beyond the pale … another inflated point that the wall street frauds always seem to find some reason other than the reality of a fraudulently manipulated overvalued bubble to sell into. ] Reuters - Stocks suffered their biggest one-day loss in nearly six months on Friday as anti-government rioting in Egypt prompted investors to flee to less risky assets to ride out the turmoil.

 

 

 

 

GOP senator favors cutting US aid to Israel (AP)  [ Now this is a great and long overdue idea that might also lead to enhanced peace efforts for the region; b e c a u s e , israel will have less money to waste on provocative and costly (particularly to america financially and geopolitically) war games. ]  AP - Tea party-backed Republican Sen. Rand Paul favors cutting U.S. aid to Israel as part of a deficit-driven effort to slash government spending by $500 billion this year, drawing criticism from Dems (and capital hill generally as Buchanan once described as israeli occupied territory, to america’s detriment) ...  Rand Paul: End Aid to Israel Pressed on CNN’s Situation Room about details on his budget cut plans, Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) says end all foreign aid–and when pressed further says that includes to Israel.

 

 

 

 

FCIC Done; Lets Banksters Skate: Dave's Daily ‘The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (FCIC), after months of investigation, concluded this entire mortgage crisis was avoidable. Whew! Who knew?!? Bank stocks were up today despite some suggestion from the commission report of some criminal referrals. It must not have been any of Da Boyz at Goldman unless they're going after maintenance staff. Some of the elite are getting steamed as Jamie Dimon lost his cool while sipping Perrier at a panel in Davos. He didn't say he was doing "God's work," just not Satan's. Meanwhile back at Wall & Broad markets did little overall with most excitement centered on NFLX which beat the pants off earnings estimates and rose a modest 15%. Also higher were semi's and GE. More POMO on Thursday which is something we'll just have to get used to until June unless there's QE3. Economic data was disappointing as Jobless Claims soared and Durable Goods orders fell. Pending Home Sales were high but on must wonder how much of these were foreclosure resales as this activity reached new highs last month. Gold was knocked down sharply through what we've estimated as technical support as investors are scrambling out of its safe-haven appeal and into stocks...so it's said. Most commodities were dragged lower by this action. Just at the close MSFT reported disappointing results and after the close AMZN did the same with the stock now down over 10% as this is written. We did an interview with Tony Davidow, Managing Director, Portfolio Strategist, Rydex SGI Investments where we discuss equal weight sectors including their new emerging market equal weights which should prove interesting. Volume was once again quite light but breadth was positive per the WSJ.’

 

 

 

 

 

Paulson's $5 billion payout shocks, raises questions (Reuters) [ Shock? Come on … everyone knows that crime in america pays … and pays well! ]

 

 

 

 

 

Fed Continues Failed Monetary Policy Suttmeier, chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com

‘Fed Is Continuing a Failed Monetary Policy (And, amazingly, their rationale is the same failed rationale that preceded the last bubble, as now, crash, as will, that was spun by senile greenspan that wall street frauds / insiders sold into; you know, that so called wealth effect which in reality is theirs not yours; viz., their gain, your pain.)
 

  • Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December confirms that the economic recovery is continuing, though at a rate that has been insufficient to bring about a significant improvement in labor market conditions.
  • Growth in household spending picked up late last year, but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit.
  • Business spending on equipment and software is rising, while investment in nonresidential structures is still weak.
  • Employers remain reluctant to add to payrolls. The housing sector continues to be depressed. Although commodity prices have risen, longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable, and measures of underlying inflation have been trending downward.


Fed policy includes the continuation of QE2, which is the purchase of $600 billion of longer-dated US Treasuries to be completed by the end of the second quarter. We are in the midst of this program that is failing to bring down US Treasury yields as intended. The yield on the 10-Year US Treasury was at 2.334 on October 8 in anticipation of QE2 then traded as high as 3.568 on December 16. This keeps the housing market depressed, which is a Fed concern.

Fed Policy has kept the funds rate at 0% to 0.25% since December 16, 2008, and expects to maintain that rate for a continued extended period. I have argued for years that the FOMC should never have pushed the funds rate below 3%. Lower rates hurt citizens living on a fixed income, and invites Wall Street speculation. Monetary policy focuses on creating and popping asset bubbles, which has destroyed consumer confidence and leaves businesses reluctant to create jobs.

New Home Sales rose 17.5% in December to an annual rate of 329,000, but this is skewed by an unexplained 71.9% gain out West. For 2010 as a whole, single-family home sales fell 14.4% to a record low 321,000 units. The Commerce Department began tracking this statistic in 1963. The inventory of new homes is now at the lowest level in more than 40 years as home builders cannot obtain the credit needed to meet potential higher demand in 2011. The National Association of Home Builders indicated that the 71.9% rise in sales in the West may have been caused by contracts signed ahead of costly new building codes going into affect in some states this month.

The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage loan applications decreased 12.9% on a seasonal basis last week. The Refinance Index decreased 15.3% and reached the lowest level since last January. The Purchase Index fell 8.7%, to its lowest level since October, and 20.8% lower year over year…’


 

 

 

 

Jobless Claims Rise to Highest Level Since October [ Jobless claims much worse than expected … stocks rally. ] NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- The number of Americans filing unemployment claims rose to its highest level since October last week, the Labor Department said early Thursday. The advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims increased by 51,000 to 454,000 in the week ended Jan.22 after dropping to 403,000 in the previous week. Economists were expecting initial claims to rise to 410,000, according to consensus estimates from Briefing.com. The number of Americans filing continuing claims -- those who have been receiving unemployment insurance for at least a week -- came in higher than expected as well at 3.99 million for the week ended Jan.15, an increase of 94,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 3.89 million. Consensus estimates projected continuing claims to drop slightly to 3.83 million from 3.86 million reported the previous week…’

 

Earnings Drag Dow Down to Another 12000 Closing Miss…Orders for goods expected to last at least three years fell and a reading of manufacturing activity in the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City's district slowed sharply in January…Japan's long-term credit rating to double-A-minus from double-A, citing concerns over the country's high debt levels…better-than-expected reading of pending sales of existing homes (foreclosures / distressed sales – Drudgereport: Foreclosure activity up across metro areas...  ), coupled with a surprisingly large jump in jobless claims didn't add clarity to the economic outlook (dismal) …

 

 

Microsoft's Windows disappoints as PC sales wane (Reuters)

 

 

Is the Market Headed for a Sell-Off? [ Yes … I agree, except that fundamentally the longer term prospects are even worse than his bearish outlook suggests (don’t forget the debasement of the dollar, manipulation, and spending / printing money the nation doesn’t have in real terms behind this manipulated uptick) and summarized as follows: ‘I suspect that this rally is on its very last legs. We should see a very healthy 10% or so correction within the next 1-2 week period ... This market is headed for a sell-off. ] Zaky ‘As the market scrutinizes President Obama's State of the Union Address, and looks to Bernanke & Co. for any signs as to when the Federal Reserve's inflationary stance toward monetary policy might be coming to an end, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) will be attempting its 9th consecutive weekly gain for the first time since 1995.For the past 20 years, the Dow has managed countless 8-week rallies which have tended to almost always end very poorly on the 9th week. The only other time we've seen the Dow rally for 9 straight weeks was in the period between January and March 1995. Before that, we would have to go to the 1980's to find a 9 week period of consecutive gains.So the big question this week will be whether the Dow can buck the 8-week trend or whether we'll see a sell-off to end the week and the Dow streak at 8. What one should notice is how incredibly weak the overall market tends to become after 8 weeks of straight gains.

 

1-27-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

Fed Continues Failed Monetary Policy Suttmeier, chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com

‘Fed Is Continuing a Failed Monetary Policy (And, amazingly, their rationale is the same failed rationale that preceded the last bubble, as now, crash, as will, that was spun by senile greenspan that wall street frauds / insiders sold into; you know, that so called wealth effect which in reality is theirs not yours; viz., their gain, your pain.)
 

  • Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December confirms that the economic recovery is continuing, though at a rate that has been insufficient to bring about a significant improvement in labor market conditions.
  • Growth in household spending picked up late last year, but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit.
  • Business spending on equipment and software is rising, while investment in nonresidential structures is still weak.
  • Employers remain reluctant to add to payrolls. The housing sector continues to be depressed. Although commodity prices have risen, longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable, and measures of underlying inflation have been trending downward.


Fed policy includes the continuation of QE2, which is the purchase of $600 billion of longer-dated US Treasuries to be completed by the end of the second quarter. We are in the midst of this program that is failing to bring down US Treasury yields as intended. The yield on the 10-Year US Treasury was at 2.334 on October 8 in anticipation of QE2 then traded as high as 3.568 on December 16. This keeps the housing market depressed, which is a Fed concern.

Fed Policy has kept the funds rate at 0% to 0.25% since December 16, 2008, and expects to maintain that rate for a continued extended period. I have argued for years that the FOMC should never have pushed the funds rate below 3%. Lower rates hurt citizens living on a fixed income, and invites Wall Street speculation. Monetary policy focuses on creating and popping asset bubbles, which has destroyed consumer confidence and leaves businesses reluctant to create jobs.

New Home Sales rose 17.5% in December to an annual rate of 329,000, but this is skewed by an unexplained 71.9% gain out West. For 2010 as a whole, single-family home sales fell 14.4% to a record low 321,000 units. The Commerce Department began tracking this statistic in 1963. The inventory of new homes is now at the lowest level in more than 40 years as home builders cannot obtain the credit needed to meet potential higher demand in 2011. The National Association of Home Builders indicated that the 71.9% rise in sales in the West may have been caused by contracts signed ahead of costly new building codes going into affect in some states this month.

The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage loan applications decreased 12.9% on a seasonal basis last week. The Refinance Index decreased 15.3% and reached the lowest level since last January. The Purchase Index fell 8.7%, to its lowest level since October, and 20.8% lower year over year.

Market Reaction to the Federal Reserve Statement
 

  • The yield on the 10-Year US Treasury moved higher by about 10 basis points to 3.430. So what’s the point of QE2?
  • Comex gold and Nymex crude oil rallied as that extended period of a 0% funds rate provides Wall Street with a license to speculate.
  • The dollar and US stocks were little changed.


Stocks will peak this week, or will confirm recent highs as a peak over the next few weeks. In Dow terms, failing above 12,000 just as the Dow peaked above 14,000 in October 2007.

Stocks remain overvalued fundamentally according to ValuEngine with all 16 sectors overvalued and only 35.1% of all stocks undervalued. This follows last week’s ValuEngine Valuation Warning, which will renew if less than 35% of stocks are undervalued.

All major averages are extremely overbought on their weekly charts and my Proprietary Analytics show weekly risky levels at 12,162 Dow, 1333.9 S&P 500, 2805 Nasdaq, 5321 Dow Transports, and 828.86 Russell 2000. There is an 85% chance that the Dow will decline to my annual pivot at 11,491 at some point in 2011.

10-Year Note -- (3.422) The yield continues to trade in a range set in December -- between 3.568 on December 16 and 3.247 set on December 20. Today’s pivot is 3.454.

Comex Gold -- ($1345.9) Gold shows daily and semiannual value levels at $1325.1 and $1300.6 with quarterly and annual pivots at $1331.3 and $1356.5. Gold is trending below its 50-day simple moving average now at $1377.9.

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($87.57) Crude oil is now trending below its 50-day simple moving average at $88.00 with the 200-day at $80.48. My semiannual pivot remains at $87.52.

The Euro -- (1.3710) This week’s value level is 1.3398 with chart resistance at 1.3786 as the euro becomes overbought on its daily chart.

Daily Dow -- (11,985) The daily chart is overbought after setting a new high for the move at 12,020.52 on Wednesday. Daily and weekly risky levels are 12,062 and12,162. My annual value level remains at 11,491.’

 

 

 

 

Jobless Claims Rise to Highest Level Since October [ Jobless claims much worse than expected … stocks rally. ] NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- The number of Americans filing unemployment claims rose to its highest level since October last week, the Labor Department said early Thursday. The advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims increased by 51,000 to 454,000 in the week ended Jan.22 after dropping to 403,000 in the previous week. Economists were expecting initial claims to rise to 410,000, according to consensus estimates from Briefing.com. The number of Americans filing continuing claims -- those who have been receiving unemployment insurance for at least a week -- came in higher than expected as well at 3.99 million for the week ended Jan.15, an increase of 94,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 3.89 million. Consensus estimates projected continuing claims to drop slightly to 3.83 million from 3.86 million reported the previous week…’

 

Earnings Drag Dow Down to Another 12000 Closing Miss…Orders for goods expected to last at least three years fell and a reading of manufacturing activity in the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City's district slowed sharply in January…Japan's long-term credit rating to double-A-minus from double-A, citing concerns over the country's high debt levels…better-than-expected reading of pending sales of existing homes (foreclosures / distressed sales – Drudgereport: Foreclosure activity up across metro areas...  ), coupled with a surprisingly large jump in jobless claims didn't add clarity to the economic outlook (dismal) …

 

 

Microsoft's Windows disappoints as PC sales wane (Reuters)

 

 

See-Saw Session Lands Stock Averages Just in the Black  Midnight Trader ‘4:26 PM, Jan 27, 2011 --

  • NYSE up 13.42 (+0.2%) to 8,207.06
  • DJIA up 4.39 (+0.04%) to 11,990
  • S&P 500 up 2.91 (+0.2%) to 1,300
  • Nasdaq up 15.78 (+0.6%) to 2,755

GLOBAL SENTIMENT

  • Hang Seng down 0.27%
  • Nikkei up 0.74%
  • FTSE down 0.07%

UPSIDE MOVERS
(+) NFLX continues evening gain that followed earnings beat.
(+) CAT beats with results.
(+) PLD in merger talks.
(+) SBUX continues evening drop that followed disappointing earnings.

DOWNSIDE MOVERS
(-) NOK has sharply pared early decline as investors ignore earnings beat to focus on outlook.
(-) RCL misses with sales.
(-) PSTI continues evening drop as stock offering set.
(-) T beats by a penny on Q4 EPS, revs in line.
(-) RPC gets exchange non-compliance letter.
(-) LDK selling shares.
(-) PG disappoints with results.

MARKET DIRECTION

Stock averages end with narrow gains after crossing between positive and negative territory today following disappointing economic data and a mixed batch of earnings from a range of blue-chips and tech shares. The Nasdaq's 0.6% rise at its preliminary close leads the averages.

First-time claims for unemployment benefits rose to 454,000 in the latest week, the highest level since late October. Economists had expected the number to rise to 407,000; weather was believed to be a factor in the latest report.

Also reported, orders for U.S.-made durable goods sank in December, falling 2.5%. Excluding transportation, orders rose 0.5%. The decrease was unexpected. Economists polled by MarketWatch expected a 1.0% rise in durables. This is the fourth drop in durables in the last five months.

Blue-chip earnings were mixed. Caterpillar (CAT) shares were just firmer late in the day after a sharp rise in profit there. AT&T (T) fell 3% on weakness in demand for new wireless contracts. Procter & Gamble (PG) fell 2.9% after an earnings miss. Netflix (NFLX) jumped sharply after reporting upbeat earnings.

Crude oil dropped to its lowest price in around two months after the disappointing economic data. March futures ended down $1.69, or 1.9%, at $85.64 a barrel, its lowest close since November 30. Gasoline and heating oil futures also slid.’

 

 

 

 

Is the Market Headed for a Sell-Off? [ Yes … I agree, except that fundamentally the longer term prospects are even worse than his bearish outlook suggests (don’t forget the debasement of the dollar, manipulation, and spending / printing money the nation doesn’t have in real terms behind this manipulated uptick) and summarized as follows: ‘I suspect that this rally is on its very last legs. We should see a very healthy 10% or so correction within the next 1-2 week period ... This market is headed for a sell-off. ] Zaky ‘As the market scrutinizes President Obama's State of the Union Address, and looks to Bernanke & Co. for any signs as to when the Federal Reserve's inflationary stance toward monetary policy might be coming to an end, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) will be attempting its 9th consecutive weekly gain for the first time since 1995.For the past 20 years, the Dow has managed countless 8-week rallies which have tended to almost always end very poorly on the 9th week. The only other time we've seen the Dow rally for 9 straight weeks was in the period between January and March 1995. Before that, we would have to go to the 1980's to find a 9 week period of consecutive gains.So the big question this week will be whether the Dow can buck the 8-week trend or whether we'll see a sell-off to end the week and the Dow streak at 8. What one should notice is how incredibly weak the overall market tends to become after 8 weeks of straight gains.

 

1-26-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

Is the Market Headed for a Sell-Off? [ Yes … I agree, except that fundamentally the longer term prospects are even worse than his bearish outlook suggests (don’t forget the debasement of the dollar, manipulation, and spending / printing money the nation doesn’t have in real terms behind this manipulated uptick) and summarized as follows: ‘I suspect that this rally is on its very last legs. We should see a very healthy 10% or so correction within the next 1-2 week period ... This market is headed for a sell-off. ] Zaky ‘As the market scrutinizes President Obama's State of the Union Address, and looks to Bernanke & Co. for any signs as to when the Federal Reserve's inflationary stance toward monetary policy might be coming to an end, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) will be attempting its 9th consecutive weekly gain for the first time since 1995.For the past 20 years, the Dow has managed countless 8-week rallies which have tended to almost always end very poorly on the 9th week. The only other time we've seen the Dow rally for 9 straight weeks was in the period between January and March 1995. Before that, we would have to go to the 1980's to find a 9 week period of consecutive gains.So the big question this week will be whether the Dow can buck the 8-week trend or whether we'll see a sell-off to end the week and the Dow streak at 8. What one should notice is how incredibly weak the overall market tends to become after 8 weeks of straight gains.

Below is a list of all the times the Dow gained 8 straight weeks since the mid-1990's, starting with the most recent:

1. March 2001 to April 2001

The Dow gained 8 straight weeks before experiencing a 100% retracement of the gains in a 20% correction which lasted all summer.

2. November 2003 to January 2004

The Dow gained exactly 8 weeks before topping out, trading sideways for 6 weeks and then traded down for nearly 10 months before rallying into year end. That 8-weeks period topped a nearly 9 month which was met with very heavy selling throughout the year.

3. October 2002 to December 2002

The Dow gained 8 straight weeks before putting in a decisive top and losing the entire move over the next 14 week period. The Dow experienced a near 30% slide after putting in a top at 8 consecutive up weeks.

4. January - March 1998

The Dow gained for 8 weeks straight, paused and then rallied a few more weeks before putting in a decisive top which led to a correction that retraced the entire move over the following 15 weeks. The Dow experienced a 25% correction after rallying relentlessly for 5 months.

5. January - March 1995

The Dow rallied 9 straight weeks, had a slight pull-back and then rallied all the way until year end. The market didn't see even a minor correction in all of 1995. The Dow rallied nearly 60% in 1995 alone.This history should outline just how over-extended this rally is becoming. There are only a few occasions in modern history where the Dow closed up for 8 consecutive weeks, and only 1 occasion in the last 16 years where the Dow closed in the green for 9 consecutive weeks.There is almost no profit taking in this market, which suggests that a lot of people and institutions have significant built-in gains. One piece of bad news and we're likely to see everyone heading to the exits at once. Rallies that have pull-backs tend to last significantly longer than those where we have months of consecutive weekly gains such as this one.Without consolidation and profit taking, these rallies tend to end very poorly. It is much healthier to see rallies where the DJIA pulls back every 2-3 weeks than these rallies where the Dow just shoots to the sky for 8 straight weeks. The above cases demonstrate this clearly.I suspect that this rally is on its very last legs. We should see a very healthy 10% or so correction within the next 1-2 week period. In fact, I believe it's quite possible that the highs of this rally can be put in during the next 1-2 trading sessions. Whatever the case may be, good buying opportunities present themselves in February and March. This market is headed for a sell-off.’

 

 

 

2011 Update: Another Lost Decade for Stocks - Are You Prepared?   [ I agree that this is but a (manipulated) bull cycle in a secular bear market with substantially worse to come! ]Kopas ‘In February 2010, we published an article on Seeking Alpha entitled “Another Lost Decade for Stocks - Are You Prepared?,” wherein we argued that the year 2000 marked a secular (long-term) peak for U.S. stocks. A secular bear market is formed when a series of business cycles are linked together, establishing an extended period of stock market under-performance. Our objective here is to bring you up-to-date on the progress of this secular bear market and help you prepare for the next ten years.

The first benchmark we monitor is U.S. stock prices adjusted for inflation. In this chart below, we compare the U.S. stock market to the Shiller 10-year Price/Earnings ratio. This P/E ratio is an indication of investor confidence; a lack of that signals extreme valuation levels. Our conclusion is that investor psychology is still too optimistic and has a long way to go before reaching an undervalued stock market level.

[chart] click to enlarge

Updating our duration and valuation benchmarks, again we find progress, but not yet achieving the truly undervalued levels we expect to see toward the end of a secular bear market. Based upon previous cycles, it appears we are only slightly past the half way mark in terms of years, number of recessions, and valuations. A look at our chart and table comparing this to earlier secular bear markets illustrates our conclusion. We expect that a major bottom for inflation adjusted stock prices is still years away before stocks finally gravitate toward the target area outlined below.

[chart]

New Benchmark: Tobin Q Ratio

In this update we introduce another relative valuation benchmark created by Yale economics professor and Nobel laureate James Tobin, hence the name Tobin’s Q Ratio. The Q ratio is calculated as the total value of the stock market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies. Values greater than 1 indicate stock prices sell above their replacement cost and are therefore “expensive.” A reading below 1 indicates stocks can be bought below replacement cost and therefore indicates that it is cheaper to buy a company than to build one.

A long-term view of the Q ratio gives investors a good understanding of value, information about current risk levels and a method to assess probable returns for the long term. Secular bear markets historically bottom when the Q ratio declines to a bargain level less than .4, meaning stock prices sell for just 40% of replacement value. Today’s reading of 1.03 is above the average reading of .75 and considerably higher than the average secular low reading of .33. Investors beware; stocks have considerable more downside potential before the Q ratio truly reflects a great valuation. Buy and Hold tactics will continue to frustrate investors, just as they have in the past decade.

[chart]

In conclusion, none of the benchmarks we evaluate indicate we are anywhere close to a secular stock market bottom yet. In the meantime, a prudent and profitable investment strategy should be flexible enough to actively adjust portfolio asset allocation, depending on where we are in the business cycle and the direction of the secular trend.’

 

 

 

Home Prices Declining as Expected Minyanville/ Suttmeier ‘Reviewing My No.1 Theme for 2011: Home prices will resume a decline that began in mid-2006. We had the homebuyer tax credits expire in mid-2010, and government-sponsored mortgage modifications provided limited help. In 2011 we face continued foreclosure issues including questionable documentation, and banks have a record high Other Real Estate Owned (OREO). OREO is up to $53.2 billion at the end of the third quarter, up 338.2% since the end of 2007. Depressed home sales are being sold at a 30% to 35% discount, which reduces property appraisals at the county level. Homebuilders will have to compete with these lower prices and we need a mortgage modification program for all Americans, not just those at risk of losing their homes. QE2 (quantitative easing) is not working and US Treasury yields are higher, causing mortgage rates to rise. “The Great Credit Crunch” began with housing, and that foundation needs repair before Main Street can recover with sustainable job creation.

The S&P / Case-Shiller Home Price Index
-- Points to lower home prices through November. [chart]

  • The 20-City Composite is down 1.6% year over year in November and down 1.0% sequentially.
  • The 20-City Composite is up only 3.3% from its April 2009 low, but remains about 50% above where it began in January 2000.
  • Atlanta, Charlotte, Detroit, Las Vegas, Miami, Portland (OR), Seattle, and Tampa hit new lows, below the levels set in April 2009.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) also shows a year-over-year house price decline of 4.3% in November. [chart] [chart]
House prices will continue to decline as long as the Conference Board’s reading on Consumer Confidence remains weak. The Conference Board's reading on Consumer Confidence jumped to 60.6 in January from 53.3 in December, but keep in mind that the neutral zone for this measure is 90 to 120, so consumer confidence remains extremely weak. Show me readings between 90 and 120 and home prices will stabilize.

Stocks will peak this week, or will confirm recent highs as a peak over the next few weeks

Stocks remain overvalued fundamentally according to ValuEngine with 15 of 16 sectors overvalued and only 38.9% of all stocks undervalued. This follows last week’s ValuEngine Valuation Warning where just 33.3% of all stocks were undervalued. Below 35% is the warning. All major averages are extremely overbought on there weekly charts and my Proprietary Analytics show weekly risky levels at 12,162 Dow, 1333.9 S&P 500, 2805 Nasdaq, 5321 Dow Transports, and 828.86 Russell 2000. There is an 85% chance that the Dow will decline to my annual pivot at 11,491 and the Dow Transports and Russell 2000 ended last week below their annual pivots at 5179 and 784.16 respectively.

10-Year Note
-- (3.317) The yield continues to trade in a range set in December -- between 3.568 on December 16 and 3.247 set on December 20.

Comex Gold -- ($1333.3) Gold is now oversold on its daily chart with daily and semiannual value levels at $1316.1 and $1300.6 with quarterly and annual pivots at $1331.3 and $1356.5. Gold is trending below its 50-day simple moving average now at $1378.5.

Nymex Crude Oil -- ($87.82) Crude oil is now trending below its 50-day simple moving average at $87.96 with the 200-day at $80.48. My semiannual pivot remains at $87.52.

The Euro -- (1.3643) This week’s value level is 1.3398 with chart resistance at 1.3786 as the euro becomes overbought on its daily chart.

Daily Dow
-- (11,977) The daily chart is overbought after setting a new high for the move at 11,985.97 Tuesday morning. This week’s risky level is 12,162. My annual value level remains at 11,491. There are negative divergences for the S&P 500, Nasdaq, Transports, and Russell 2000. Dow Transports are flirting with a close below its 50-day simple moving average at 5047.’

 

 

 

 

Fed's Broken Record: Recovery Too Weak For Job Growth  Schaefer ‘The Federal Reserve left its benchmark federal funds rate unchanged Wednesday and made no change to its plan to purchase $600 billion in longer-term Treasury securities by the end of June.According to the afternoon statement issued by the Federal Open Market Committee, “the economic recovery is continuing, though at a rate insufficient to bring about a significant improvement in labor market conditions.”A confluence of factors continue to constrain household spending, including high unemployment (9.4% at last check), modest income growth, lower housing wealth and tight credit. The central bank addressed the rising prices in commodity markets, chiefly oil and food, noting that “although commodity prices have risen, longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable and measures of underlying inflation have been trending downward.”January’s vote passed without dissent, but that was due more to a change in the makeup of the committee than any shift in the support for the path of Chairman Ben Bernanke. Inflation hawk Thomas Hoenig, who has dissented against the Fed’s easy monetary policy and asset purchase programs, is no longer a voting member after his FOMC term ended at year’s end.Given the lack of anything new in the Fed statement, it came as little surprise that major U.S. equity indexes held their ground after the release. The Dow was up 26 points at 12,003, the S&P 500 7 points to 1,298 and the Nasdaq set the pace rallying 22 points to 2,742. The euro was on hold in the high $1.36 range, while oil prices maintained their earlier advance above $87 a barrel and gold was narrowly positive on the day at $1338 an ounce.’

 

Narrow Gains for Stock Averages, Off Earlier Highs   Midnight Trader  ‘ 4:27 PM, Jan 26, 2011 --

  • NYSE up 52.51 (+0.7%) to 8,193.64
  • DJIA up 8.32 (+0.1%) to 11,986
  • S&P 500 up 5.45 (+0.4%) to 1,297
  • Nasdaq up 20.25 (+0.8%) to 2,740

GLOBAL SENTIMENT

  • Hang Seng up 0.23%
  • Nikkei down 0.6%
  • FTSE up 0.87%

UPSIDE MOVERS
(+) JNPR rebounds from evening drop; company beats with earnings.
(+) GLW upgraded.
(+) ERIC inks new deals.
(+) APCVZ secures deal with Teva.
(+) UAL beats earnings estimates.
(+) CSX upgraded.
(+) RHT upgraded.

DOWNSIDE MOVERS
(-) UTX beats with earnings.
(-) JASO upgraded.
(-) GD beats with earnings.
(-) STJ beats with earnings.
(-) ABT beats with earnings.
(-) GIGM guides for return to Q2 profitability.
(-) XRX EPS beat by a penny.
(-) LM results top year-ago levels.
(-) TM announces recall.
(-) EK misses with Q4 results.
(-) YHOO continues evening decline that followed revenue warning.
(-) RFMD continues evening decline that followed revenue warning.
(-) MIPS continues sharp evening slide that followed revenue miss.
(-) BA misses with revenue.

MARKET DIRECTION
Stock averages end with narrow gains, well off earlier highs. The Street showed a mixed reaction to the Federal Reserve's decision to keep up its bond-buying program, while leaving rates alone as expected. The Fed also expressed mixed feelings on the economy, which soured Wall Street's mood a bit. The DJIA ends with a slim gain, pulling back after clearing the 12,000 line. The S&P is up 0.4%. The Nasdaq adds 0.7%.

The Fed noted that commodity prices had risen but repeated its position that underlying inflation is still trending lower. The Fed also mentioned better economic conditions but stressed that the rate of growth "has been insufficient to bring about a significant improvement in labor market conditions," according to news reports. Some observers thought some members might begin to show more reluctance to keep the pace of bond buying as is.

Commodities finished trading higher as crude oil and gold futures rose after the Fed said it would not change its current monetary policy.

Light, sweet crude oil for March delivery finished up 1.3%, or $1.14, to $87.33 a barrel. In other energy futures, heating oil is up 2.93% to $2.66 a gallon while natural gas is up 0.36% to $4.48 per million British thermal units.

Gold for February delivery finished up $2.60 to $1,333.00 an ounce. In other metal futures, silver was up 1.1% to $27.10 a troy ounce while copper rose 0.95% to $4.26 a pound.

The U.S. dollar index is down 0.05% to $78.01.

In the most recent data from the real estate sector, the US Commerce Department said sales of new single-family homes rose in December to an annual rate of 329,000. That is the highest level seen since April, when a federal tax credit gave housing a shot in the arm. November sales, however, were revised down 280,000 from 290,000.

In company news:

Abbott Laboratories (ABT) announced today that it plans to restructure its pharmaceutical business and cut 1,900 jobs or 2% of its workforce. This is in addition to 3,000 job cuts, or 3.2% of its global workforce, in September due to its purchase of Solvay Pharmaceuticals last year, the company stated. The changes are also in response to U.S. health-care reform and the challenging regulatory environment. Also, Abbott just beat the Street's Q4 view.

ADRs of Toyota Motor (TM) were lower after the automaker said it was recalling more than 1.7 million vehicles worldwide to fix problems including fuel-system defects. The recall affects approximately 1.2 million cars, according to reports. The second recall is for 280,000 units and involves a pressure sensor on the fuel delivery pipe.

Starbucks (SBUX) shares was down despite market expectation of an 18% jump in 2010 Q4 earnings. The company is set to report its earning after the market close today. Analysts' mean estimate is earnings of $294.5 million, or $0.39 per share. Revenue is expected to be $2.93 billion.

Shares of WellPoint (WLP) were higher as the healthcare company reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.33 compared to $1.16 a year earlier and above the Street view for $1.23. Revenue fell 3.9% to $13.44 billion against $13.98 billion in the year-ago period. The company sees full-year 2011 net income of at least $6.30 per share. The Street is at $6.58. WellPoint saw a boost from frugal Americans who deferred doctor visits and medical treatment due to the economy, Bloomberg noted. The trend has trimmed expenses for all health insurers in the past two years.

In M&A news, Cisco (CSCO) announced today that it plans to purchase privately-held Pari Networks, a provider of network configuration and change management (NCCM) and compliance management solutions. The acquisition is expected to complement CSCO's smart service capabilities. Pari Networks' technology is planned to integrate into the company's smart services and help accelerate the ability of CSCO and its partners to manage the health and stability of customer networks through proactive, personalized services.

ADRs of Barclays (BCS) were lower as the bank says it plans to cut about 1,000 jobs in the U.K. as it looks to stop offering financial planning advice in its branch locations, Reuters reports. The move is seen as another example of the bank making cuts to improve lagging profitability. The cuts are reportedly to occur across the U.K. The bank will focus financial advice to online customers.

Shares of computer maker Dell Inc. (DELL) were trending higher as Bloomberg reported comments made by company founder Michael Dell regarding Hewlett-Packard's (HPQ) acquisition of storage company 3Par. Dell had engaged in a bidding battle with HP for 3Par. Dell acquired another storage company, Compellent Technologies, for $960 million. HP paid $2.35 billion for 3Par. "We showed a good discipline and didn't take an emotional decision," Bloomberg quoted Dell as saying to a crow at the World Economic Forum in Davos. "I think HP paid way too much for 3Par."

Elsewhere in earnings news:

--Xerox Corp. (XRX) was down after providing Q1 guidance that was below analyst consensus opinion. It said earnings should be in a range between $0.20 to $0.22 a share - or $0.01 under the Street call. Full-year 2011 guidance was in-line with forecasts as were Q4 earnings and revenues.

--ConocoPhillips (COP) says Q4 adjusted EPS were $1.32, meeting estimates.

--Valero Energy (VLO) reports Q4 ex items earnings of about $0.39 per share, ahead of the Street view of $0.34 per share. Revenue was $22.1 bln, vs. expectations of $21.2 bln.

--St. Jude Medical (STJ) reports Q4 adjusted EPS of $0.75 compared to $0.64 a year earlier and just topping the Thomson Reuters mean analyst estimate for $0.74. Q4 sales of $1.35 billion top the $1.2 billion reported a year earlier. The Street looked for $1.32 billion.

--Flagstar Bancorp (FBC) says its Q4 net loss widened to $0.74 per share from a loss of $0.15 in Q3.

--First Cash Financial Services (FCFS) says Q4 EPS from continuing operations were $0.59, above the Thomson Reuters mean for $0.54. Sales were $129.6 million, beating forecasts for $122 million. FY11 EPS are seen between $2.02 to $2.10 per share, above estimates for $1.71.

--Shares of SAP AG (SAP) were up after it released its fourth quarter results, with revenue surpassing estimates. Fourth quarter revenue was up 27% at $4.09 billion, year-over-year, surpassing the average estimate of $3.81 billion.’

 

 

 

 

 

Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission Slams Greenspan, Bernanke, Geithner, Paulson, Summers, SEC, Rating Agencies and Big Banks for Causing Crisis The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission is releasing its report Thursday.

 

Marc Faber’s Most Provocative Interview Ever: Compares Obama To A Prostitute, Goes Long Treasurys Earlier, Marc Faber appeared on Bloomberg TV, in what may go down in history as his most scandalous interview ever.

 

 

1-25-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

Shiller Ratio Points to U.S. Equities Being Significantly Overvalued   [ Yes they are indeed; so take this especially great opportunity to sell, take profits since there’s much, much worse to come! That computer-programmed spike into the close to keep suckers suckered does not change the aforesaid. ]

 

 

 

The Great Debt Shift: No Wonder Currencies Are Under Pressure Browne ‘If one were asked to describe the major global economic changes that have unfolded since the financial crisis began, a good starting place would be the massive shift of debt from the private to the public sector. Attempting to arrest a deepening crisis, governments all around the world have bailed out businesses and companies by transferring bad debts to the public books. Although these moves have provided some current stability (after all, governments are much less likely to default), the long-term consequences may be dire.

Two of the world's largest economies, the EU ($16 trillion) and the US ($14 trillion), have become the leading practitioners of private-to-public debt shifting. The US has assumed the debts of banks, insurers, mortgage holders, and even entire industrial sectors. The European Union has done the same for entire states. The resulting public debt levels are, predictably, placing strains on both the dollar and the euro.

Worse still, the bailouts have created a spirit of apathy toward debt accumulation. Western governments have embarked on a debt binge for the ages. Already, the credit ratings of the United States and some of the EU's core countries, such as France and the UK, are being questioned.

While this socialization of private debt has created deep citizen resentment, it remains to be seen whether political pressure is enough to hold back the tide. In the US, the forces of fiscal restraint appear to have the upper hand at present; but, this late in the game, it is far from certain that the newly elected fiscal hawks will be able to avert civil unrest and debt default.

It is worth noting that the debt shift has offered some near-term benefits. Relieved of repayment anxiety, many companies have posted very promising earnings reports in recent months (one needs to only glance at Detroit). Despite continued demand weakness, these companies have worked hard to improve their balance sheets and raise operating margins. The resulting rally in share prices has given rise to a belief that recovery is at hand.

However, despite buoyant share prices, unemployment continues at dangerously high levels, depressing tax revenues and leading to much greater entitlement spending. This has made public debt levels rise even faster.

Total world direct sovereign debt, excluding guarantees and unfunded medical and pension obligations, is some $41.6 trillion dollars. When the $2.9 trillion owed by global municipalities is included, total direct public sector debt is over $50 trillion. Against this total, even the wealth of cash-rich nations such as China ($2.85 trillion in foreign-exchange reserves) and Japan ($1.1 trillion in reserves) pale into insignificance.

With so little credit to soak up the future financing needs of the US and the EU, it is no wonder that both their currencies are coming under pressure. It should be no surprise that Chinese President Hu began his state visit to the US by warning that the debased dollar was causing much of the world's monetary problems - and was thus no longer credible as the world's reserve. Once unshielded by that great privilege, I forecast that the US dollar will plummet.

In many ways, the euro may fare little better. The EU has organized a $1 trillion rescue package for its smaller members, but, in practice, there is not enough money for all the troubled peripherals, let alone a core state like France or Spain. Last week, the EU suggested that Greece should be allowed to default and restructure much of its debt. The Irish Times reported that the EU has allowed Ireland to print its own euros to settle the debts of its banks. Will it allow Portugal, Spain, Belgium, Italy and France to do the same? If so, what credibility will remain for the euro?

Possible because a major currency collapse is unprecedented in living memory, investors have been slow to react. While the markets are calm at present, we mustn't forget that the nature of panic is that it is sudden. It can erupt quickly and overwhelm the unprepared. When it does, even supposedly rock-solid assets like Treasury bonds may be discounted severely.

In such a climate, gold and silver are as faithful as Old Yeller.’

 

 

 

 

Bad Omens: Stocks Get Bad Breadth, Small Caps Lose Steam Dobosz ‘ “Jump on the bus or get left behind,” shouted Mr. Market last September as stocks began a persistent ascent without much of a pause that has continued into 2011. In recent weeks, however, we’re starting to see slippage under the surface that suggests the overall market has trouble ahead…’

 

 

 

1-24-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

 

 

Shiller Ratio Points to U.S. Equities Being Significantly Overvalued   [ Yes they are indeed; so take this especially great opportunity to sell, take profits since there’s much, much worse to come!  ]

 

 

Bad Omens: Stocks Get Bad Breadth, Small Caps Lose Steam Dobosz “Jump on the bus or get left behind,” shouted Mr. Market last September as stocks began a persistent ascent without much of a pause that has continued into 2011. In recent weeks, however, we’re starting to see slippage under the surface that suggests the overall market has trouble ahead.

Specifically, the breadth of the market is starting to stink, and the there is an ominous divergence in the performance of small and large capitalization stocks that has preceded weakness each time it’s occurred in the past 31 years.

In 2010, shares of smaller companies in the Russell 2000 Index produced a total return of 26.9%. That was nearly double the 14.1% total return for the biggest of the big in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the 15.1% return for the S&P 500 Index. When smaller, more speculative stocks outperform the blue chips it’s usually a good sign because it indicates that people are willing to take risks and supports higher stock prices.

Now that trend might be turning as smaller stocks lose ground while a comparatively few large caps roll higher.

“Both the DJIA and Russell 2000 closed at a 52-week high two weeks ago, and then the DJIA closed at another high last week while the Russell 2000 lost more than 1%,” says Jason Goepfert in his Monday SentimenTrader Morning Report. “Going back to 1979, this has occurred only three other times.”

Goepfert’s scan of market history shows that on the three prior occasions when the Dow and Russell diverged like this, the road ahead was a rocky one for stocks: “April 1, 1998, after which the DJIA lost more than 15% during the next six months, while never gaining more than 2.5%; January 7, 2000, after which the DJIA lost more than 14% during the next two months, while never gaining more than 1.8%, and January 19, 2007, after which the DJIA lost more than 4% during the next two months, while never gaining more than 1.8%.”

A rising VIX and CS Fear Barometer (reflecting price of SPX puts), along with a sharp rise in buying climaxes last week (stocks hitting 52-week highs but then closing lower for the week) add to Goepfert’s bearish outlook for the next several weeks.

[chart]

Furious uptrend

“The equity-only put-call ratios and the breadth oscillators are all on sell signals at this time, ” says options guru Larry McMillan in his Monday morning Daily Volume Alert, noting the deteriorating advance-decline ratio within the S&P 500. On the rising VIX, McMillan says a “clear breakout close above 18-1/2 would be a big negative for the stock market.” Watch to see how support holds on the S&P 500 at 1262, he advises.

Some stocks are already showing signs of fresh technical damage or bullish trends under serious pressure. After gapping higher on Friday morning, Google (GOOG) slipped all day with a nearly 30-point intraday reversal to close near the low at $611.83. Also, Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD) hit a five-month low on Friday with put option volume more than 3.5 times call volume.’

 

 

 

Can You Hear the Waterfall? Nyaradi  ‘One of the most intriguing aspects of financial writing is the various colorful aphorisms that abound in this business. We enjoy comments like “the trend is your friend,” and we hope to “let our winners run” while we watch “bulls and bears” struggle for control of the hearts and minds of the markets.One of my favorites and I think the one most applicable for today is the concept of the “waterfall” or the “waterfall decline.” It’s certainly a visual image and one that can clearly be seen on charts like the recent Shanghai Composite that we’ll take a look at in a moment.

With each passing day, the probability of a waterfall decline in U.S. markets becomes more likely.

On My Radar

On a technical basis, the markets remain overstretched and ripe for a correction, while fundamentally, we saw selling on good news and earnings that are “good” now suddenly don’t appear to be “good enough.” By many analysts’ measurement, the market is overvalued by as much as 50-60% with one of my favorites, Tobin’s Q, developed by Nobel Prize Winner, James Tobin, currently indicating an overvaluation of 63% (Doug Short) [chart]  In this chart of the S&P 500, we can see that we’re still in a definite uptrend with prices above the 20, 50 and 200 day moving averages, however, RSI is in the oversold, “red zone,” and MACD has recently switched to a “sell” signal [chart]  Looking at the chart of the Shanghai Composite, we see it in the red and black candlesticks with the overlay of the S&P 500 in black bars. It’s easy to see how the two have been closely correlated until just early December and the “waterfall declines" last April and more recently since November in the Shanghai are clearly visible. This recent negative divergence between the two indexes is an alarming development and one which most likely will need to be resolved with either a rally in China or a correction in the U.S. market. Finally taking a look at the “health” of the overall market, we see a definite case of “Bad Breadth” which could definitely be worse than bad breath and not easily cured with a breath mint. [chart] Here we see a chart of the NYSE Summation index, and here, too, we see a negative divergence between the S&P in black and the Summation in red. The Summation is a measurement of market breadth, comparing the number of advancing stocks to declining stocks, and here we see that while the S&P has continued its recent climb, the Summation Index has been in decline, indicating that a smaller and smaller number of stocks in the universe of the New York Stock Exchange is participating in the current rally.

The View From 35,000 Feet

Last week’s news was mostly good with existing home sales up 12%, job claims down and building permits advancing 17%, but still from historically moribund levels.Overall, earnings have been positive, particularly in the tech sector, and this week will be the test of earnings seasons with over 100 reports coming from S&P 500 companies.On the bad news side of things, the 10 Year Treasury yield hit a six week high while the 30 year hit an eight month high as the rout in the bond market continued. The spread between the 5 and 10 year notes is extremely steep at current levels and indicates the bond market’s concern about the prospects of future inflation. Of course, rising yields are bad news for stocks in general, for credit, lending and economic growth and for the Fed’s current drive to lower interest rates through their ongoing quantitative easing programs.Further bad news came in the bond market with last week’s TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities) sale bringing a record dollar amount to market that was met by the lowest demand in almost two years.Four banks failed on Friday, bringing the year’s total to 7 and we could see an ongoing stream of failures as 860 banks currently reside on the FDIC problem bank list.Overseas, Ireland’s government was thrown into turmoil this weekend as the Greens left the government, destroying Brian Cowen’s majority and likely triggering an early election and more uncertainty over the Irish bailout package and attempts to return to fiscal solvency.Whispers abound over the possibility of Greece restructuring its debt while the European Union presses ahead with various ideas to beef up their economic rescue efforts on the Continent.At home, the debate over raising the debt ceiling is sure to heat up as the March target date for reaching the ceiling rapidly approaches and President Obama delivers his State of the Union message on Tuesday. This will come against the backdrop of the debt ceiling, renewed calls for “austerity” in Congress and the not so quiet whispering of Newt Gingrich that Congress will soon be considering a bill to allow states to declare bankruptcy as a way to alleviate their gargantuan credit woes. With California and Illinois in junk status and many other states facing gaping budget deficits, such talk, not to mention action, could be a major earthquake in the supposedly rock solid municipal bond market which has largely been considered to be the ultimate safe haven.

What It All Means

Interesting times indeed as the roar of the waterfall grows louder.

The Week Ahead

This week will see a rash of earnings reports as we previously mentioned, including reports from closely watched corporations like ATT (T), American Express (AXP), Yahoo (YHOO), Boeing (BA), Caterpillar (CAT), D.R. Horton (DHI), Procter & Gamble (PG), Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT). With reports coming from nearly every sector of the economy, we should have a much clearer picture by week’s end about how these companies are faring in the current environment.And on Wednesday we hear from Chairman Bernanke and his colleagues at the Federal Reserve whose every word will be sliced and diced for hints of their outlook on the economy and planned future actions by their august body.

Economic Reports
Tuesday: Case/Shiller Home Price Index, January Consumer Confidence
Wednesday: December New Home Sales, FOMC meeting
Thursday: Initial Unemployment Claims, Continuing Unemployment Claims, December Durable Goods, November Pending Home Sales

Sector Spotlight
Winners: (NYSEArca: EWI) Italy, (NYSEArca: EWP) Spain, (NYSEArca: VXX) CBOE Volatility Index
Losers: (NYSEArca: USO) Oil, (NYSEArca: MOO) Agriculture, (NYSEArca: XLB) Materials’

 

 

 

U.S. Trade Deficit Exports 1.3M Jobs Hansen ‘In Dr. Michael Pettis Econintersect article - Currency Wars and Trade Woes but China Marches On - he concluded:

So that leaves the U.S. Either it can accept rising trade deficits as it absorbs the employment problems of the rest of the world, or it can move to intervene in trade. I don’t know what it will do, but I am pretty confident that the domestic debate will intensify. One way or the other the crisis in international trade is far from over. In fact the day after I finished this entry the Financial Times, again, had a new headline: “Trade war looming, warns Brazil.”

The burr under my saddle is jobs. I may leave that theme for a time but always return. Trade deficits export jobs. Some think it is only money on balance sheet - but it is jobs that are exported when when a country imports manufactured goods.

Some quick facts using unadjusted data:

  • Through November 2010 according to U.S. Census, the USA has manufactured $4.55 trillion of goods in 2010.
  • Total employment in the manufacturing industry is 11,660,000 according to the BLS. This means that for every $1,000,000 of production in 2010, 2.56 people were employed.
  • Through November 2010 according to US Census data, the USA has exported $0.8 trillion of manufactured goods - or 17.5% of manufacturing.
  • The total import of manufactured goods through November 2010 is a little more than $1.3 trillion making the manufactured goods trade gap more than $0.5 trillion.
  • The manufacturing trade gap of $500,000,000,000 ($0.5 trillion) times 2.56 people per $1 million of manufacturing equals approximately 1.3 million jobs.

 

1-21-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

Four U.S. bank failures bring year's total to 7

Do You Believe in the Bernanke Put?   [ Yes! I agree with the dire assessment infra except that it will be more than tears as in that, ‘There Will Be Blood (film name)’ … and not just in the streets.  ] Hui ‘Earlier this week Gluskin Sheff Chief Economist David Rosenberg wrote an article in the Globe and Mail entitled Why this rally will end in tears.
Last week, Rosenberg called the current state of the financial market a Wile E. Coyote market, or a market that seemingly ignores the major macro-economic risks that could blow up the global economy.

We have an incredible bear market rally on our hands. History shows that these spasms can go further than anyone thinks. But after the U.S. market staged a monstrous 80-per-cent-plus rally from its March, 2009, lows (the most pronounced bounce in such a short time since 1955), it has become seriously overextended. Meanwhile, practically every pundit is extrapolating the recent trend into the future because that is the easy thing to do.

Most investors see only the recent returns; they do not see the nearly invisible risks. But the risks are there. I recall all too well the 2003-07 bear market rally – yes, that is what it was. It was no long-term bull run such as 1949-1966 or 1982-2000. It was a classic bear market rally, and it ended in tears because what drove the market upward was phony wealth generated by a non-productive asset called housing alongside widespread financial engineering, which triggered a wave of artificial paper profits. [picture]

 

He went on to detail his concerns about the future (which I paraphrase):

  • Rising oil prices may derail the fragile US economic recovery
  • US housing fundamentals are poor and deteriorating
  • US unemployment is skyrocketing and remains a social and economic problem
  • US State and local government cutbacks will be a drag on the American economy
  • US debt ceiling and possible default
  • Excessive debt in the global economy, with the European periphery a special concern
  • Food inflation in the emerging market economies, especially in China, which could lead to the Chinese authorities taking steps to cool down its overheated economy – leading to a global recession.

When will it be time for QE3?
While I would tend to agree with many of Rosenberg’s concerns about the macro-economic risks to this upturn, most of the risks in his outline are economic in nature and could be addressed by central bank action. In such a case, the question for investors has to be: Were any of these negative outcomes were to occur, would the Bernanke Fed respond with another round of quantitative easing? In other words, is there a Bernanke Put in the market?

I believe that the future trajectory of the global economy and asset prices are highly policy dependent. While I have my opinion, I am not confident enough in them to be a basis for investment decisions. That’s why I depend on the discipline of the Inflation-Deflation Timer Model, as the underlying philosophy is to allow market prices to tell us the likely direction of policy and price trends, which in turn, allows us to be more tactical and able to capitalize on the intermediate swings in the markets’

 

 



 

Market Outlook: 10 Reasons to Expect a Correction   Seeking Delta ‘The S&P 500 is down a little more than 1% in the last two days despite largely positive economic data. As Cullen Roche so eloquently stated earlier this month:

But the market isn’t the economy. Main Street isn’t Wall Street. And the market is a heartless beast that desires one thing and one thing only- PROFITS!

What follows are the ten reasons (in no particular order) why I am cautious here, as I see the 1% dip over the last two days to be the beginning of a larger correction.

1. Another Earnings Season Sell-Off?

During some point in the past four earnings seasons the S&P 500 has sold off significantly. The trend has been to rally into earning, then to sell the news. Chart, via WSJ.

click to enlarge

[chart]

2. Investor Sentiment

Both individual and professional sentiment remains high, as measured by AAII and NAAIM, respectively. Both readings are currently higher than one standard deviation above historical average bullish readings. Contrary indicator: historically returns are less favorable when sentiment readings are high.

3. Too Far Too Fast?

The current 22 month rally from the March 2009 lows has been 90.1% (click on chart to enlarge). The average 24 month rally to start bull markets is 56.1% with the next closest rally being 65.7% starting in October 1974. Have we come too far too fast? Chart and data via The Big Picture.  [chart]

4. Low and Declining Put/Call Ratio

Since late 2003, when the 20 day rolling average put/call ratio has fallen below .55 (roughly 1 standard deviation from average) the average 30 day returns are -2.2% (-0.7% median) versus a series average of 0.2% (0.8% median). The current 20 day average put/call ratio is .52. The last time the ratio dropped below .55 (April ’10) the market sold-off roughly 14% over the next month-and-a-half. Chart here.

5. Equities Running Out of Breadth?

The ratio of the number of stocks gaining versus the number declining is struggling to regain 2010 levels. Data Diary suggests:

that the market has been gaining ground on the backs of fewer and fewer stocks. We could interpret this as more and more stocks are bumping up against valuation constraints – or put another way, valuation multiples can only move so far ahead of earnings growth.

6. Short Selling of Securities in the S&P 500 at 1 Year Low

Per Data Explorers. Potentially a contrary indicator – have the shorts thrown in the towel?

7. Tom DeMark Says U.S. Stocks Near Significant Decline.

Mr. DeMark, the creator of a set of Market-timing indicator, is calling for a decline of “at least 11%.” The last time his indicators gave a sell signal was mid-2007. Needless to say, the last quarter of '07 and '08 were not a good time to be in equities.

8. Consensus of 11 Strategists Surveyed by Bloomberg Says S&P 500 to Rise by 11% in 2011.

Contrary indicator?

9. QE Ending in June, Maybe earlier?

There is some pressure, as the economy recovers, that QE is no longer needed. I would be surprised if QE2 ends in June, as scheduled, let alone early. But if it does, watch out.

10. Low Volume Rally

Volume has consistently trended down since the beginning of the March 2009 rally (click to enlarge).

[chart]

 

 

 



Freaky Friday - Alpha 2 Says 'Cliff Ahead'    Davis ‘This is fun, right? We had a nice opportunity to buy the effing dip yesterday as well as an interesting opportunity to test the prudishness of the hundreds of web sites that syndicate my articles as I saw every possible variation of "F’ing" popping up in titles that were pinged back to me. Social mores aside, the move was so well telegraphed that we were able to take a non-greedy exit on our QID position – leaving us, thankfully, with just the DIA shorts in our $10,000 Portfolio. That means we are going to be able to start our brand new $25,000-$100,000 Virtual Portfolio right on schedule next week.We began "Turning $10,000 into $50,000 by January 21st" on June 11th and we’re not done yet but we’re well over $30,000 – even looking at our wrong-way (so far) short bet on the Dow. We could have killed that one yesterday as well but, as today’s title says – we just have to give the old Alpha 2 a chance to fully play out as we would just hate ourselves if we get that 500-point drop in the Dow right after we bail on the shorts as that would be our $50K right there!So up only 200% or so in 7 months is a failure but, to be fair, we did take a couple of months off as I didn’t like the market enough in October and November and we already had $26,000 so it didn’t seem worth risking 260% to make another 100%. In the final month, we decided to "go for it" but it was a messy way to make another 20% as our overall premise – that a drop was "right around the corner" – simply did not pan out. Frankly, looking back at the original 5 picks makes me want to cry as we could have just left those on the table and gone on vacation! They were:

  • 10,000 YRCW at .21 (we doubled down at .11), now $3.76, up $35,500 (a Bazillion percent, I think but there was a reverse split…)
  • 20 C Dec $3/4 bull call spreads at .62, closed at $1, up $760 (up 61%)
  • 20 short C Dec $4 puts at $1.08, close at $0, up $2,160 (up 100%)
  • 20 TASR Jan $5/7.50 bull call spreads for .35, now $0, down $700 (down 100%)
  • 10 short TASR Jan $5 puts at $1.30, now .35, up $950 (up 73%)
  • 10 BP Jan $30/34 bull call spreads at $2.20, now $4, up $1,800 (up 81%)
  • 20 FAS Jan $21/29 bull call spreads at $1, now $8, up $14,000 (up 700%)
  • 10 short XLF Jan $15 puts at $2, now $0, up $2,000 (up 100%)

So there’s $56,470 in profits for a $66,470 total IF WE HAD JUST LEFT THE DAMNED THING ALONE! [Actually (8:30 update) I realize that the reverse split on YRCW means that it didn't go up that far on an adjusted basis - so maybe we didn't do all that badly compared to leaving it alone.] Oh well, we didn’t leave it alone because when we make a lot of money early (as we did with YRCW) we take it off the table and then we hedge to protect our profits and some of our later plays were not as clever as our first set but $30,000 is nothing to be ashamed of, is it? Still, it’s a very good lesson that we can take with us into the new portfolio and I urge Members to go through the Portfolio tab and review all the moves we made over the past 6 months, as the $25K Portfolio won’t be much different at first since it’s also a small portfolio where we have to manage our small bets very carefully.Aside from today being our target date to close these trades out, I mention the portfolio this morning to remind our Members that we are NOT missing anything by waiting to be sure of the breakout. We waited for a nice dip and what we felt was a solid move up before initiating that $10KP and we had a rocky start as the market did take another 10% dip in late June but that was GOOD news as we hadn’t over-committed and we doubled up on YRCW and pressed some other bets and by October we had $26,000 and decided we’d rather lock in those gains (the purpose of the portfolio was to have a nicer Christmas than planned) than risk our gains right into holiday shopping season. Was our $10KP responsible for America’s strong holiday shopping numbers???We intend to do better in 2011 than we did in 2010, and step one in hitting our $100,000 goal is BEING CAREFUL WITH OUR ENTRIES! As noted in last week’s Stock World Weekly, we have been rolling along this month right in line with the TradeBot’s Alpha 2 pattern that they ran last year, and Elliot sent me an advanced copy of this week’s newsletter where he cleaned up the chart to match out the expiration dates. I believe you will see why I still have a slight concern:[chart] Spooky, isn’t it? Don’t forget, we identified this pattern on the 3rd and we targeted 11,850 on the Dow and 1,285 on the S&P as the adjusted tops of our ranges and, so far, Lloyd and da Boyz have been firing on all cylinders to paint a picture that is just as pretty as the one they painted last January, right into expiration day, when the VIX ran all the way down to 17.50 (from 30 in November) as complacency reached extreme levels. The tip-off at the time, that we were about to drop, was a sudden pop in the VIX on that Friday, back to 17.99, and by the next Tuesday we were back to 18.68 and, by Tuesday the 21st, panic was back in fashion and the VIX finished the day at 22.27 – on the way to 27 the next day. Now THAT’s a sell-off!Is it "different" this time? How much are you willing to bet on that? We’re not betting much, we’re cashing out the $10KP and we’ll see what happens next week, confident that we KNOW that if the market goes down we can make money and if the market goes up we can make money, but we can make so much more if we wait for the right opportunity before placing our bets.As David Fry notes on his DIA chart, POMO does make this time different and it does seem like we are being hard-wired to buy those effing dips. That’s OK, we can accept that if that’s how we have to play it, but please, Lloyd, show us that you are willing to break the pattern first – then we’ll be willing to step a little closer to the edge of the cliff. Forgive us, of course, if the idea of standing next to you at a cliff when we know that you might make a Dollar for pushing us over gives us the creeps – it’s just that, well, we know you!Speaking of people who are willing to sell their country out for a Dollar – GE had excellent earnings and I got my daily "WHUCK?!?" moment this morning when Obama named Jeff Immelt the head of his Economic Advisor Panel, replacing Paul Volcker who quit when he realized this country is totally being controlled by Souless Corporate Interests who are embodied by none other than – Jeff Immelt. Yes, it’s the same Jeff Immelt who just signed a deal to transfer America’s Avionics Technology to China’s State-owned Commercial Aircraft Corp. of China who (and I mean who, not Hu, althogh it’s easy to see how this is confusing) intends to go into direct competition with Boeing (BA), who is not only a top US military supplier but our nation’s largest manufacturing exporter BY A MILE – so much so that Durable Goods have to be measured ex-Aircraft to smooth out their shipping cycle. Boeing sells $68Bn worth of airplanes per year and has over $300Bn worth of orders for the 787 backlogged. The company directly employs 157,000 employees, mainly in the USA and, as they build their planes here and tend to use American parts, they in turn employ roughly 1M more people, accounting for close to 10% of our nation’s total manufacturing employees. As I mentioned when the deal first broke – the technology GE is turning over to China represents 100 years worth of advances in American avionics and, just because GE legally got their hands on the patent rights over the years, that does not give them the right to put a bow around them and hand them to Hu (not "who," this time I literally mean Hu). There’s a word for what GE is doing. It’s right at the tip of my tongue... Oh yes, TREASON!!! Oran’s Dictionary of the Law (1983) defines treason as "…[a]…citizen’s actions to help a foreign government overthrow, make war against, or seriously injure the [parent nation]." Well, the Supreme Court just decided that our Corporations are citizens and have the right to give politicians unlimited bribes contributions as they exercise their right to free speech. Why then do we not hold them to a citizen’s standards when they clearly take actions that are against the best interests of the United States of America? I wonder if a Paulson-like immunity from prosecution comes with Immelt’s job as head of the President’s Economic Council and I also wonder if Hu benefits from having their main man firmly inserted at a desk in the White House? Surely the timing of the appointment to coincide with China’s visit is not a coincidence. As an M&A consultant, I have seen this happen a million times – a company (or country, in this case) is having trouble paying its bills and its balance sheet winds up in breach of loan covenants which prompts a visit from the president of the bank (in this case the PBOC) who wrangles some additional concessions and guarantees and, in extreme cases, the Bank asks that one of their boys be given a seat on the board so they can "keep tabs" on your progress.[picture]That scenario is bad enough when your bank is just a bank but when you borrow money from a competitor and put yourself in that position, you may as well pack it in because you essentially just spilled blood in the shark tank. It’s only a matter of time before all your thrashing around, trying to stay afloat, turns into a selachimorpha version of a pińata game.Is this the beginning of a long and glorious partnership with our Chinese Masters or simply step 2 in the dismantling of America as Immelt presides over the transfer of the rest of America’s Intellectual Property to China so we can cut out the middle (class) man as our Global Corporations expedite their operational shifts more and more overseas? With only two years until the next election – there is the danger that the American people will wake up and demand action so, as happened during the final days of the Soviet empire – we can expect big moves like GE’s partnership with China to come fast and furious over the next 24 months.What are we doing about it? Well, as I told you yesterday, we’re BUYING GE, as well as JPM and, if you can find any more loathsome Corporate bastards who have top-level access to the White House and a pocketful of Congressmen and Judges – we’ll invest in them too because the first step towards working your way up the ladder in a Corporate Kleptocracy is to realize you are living in a Corporate Kleptocracy. Once you accept that – the rest is obvious…So have a great weekend – the news doesn’t matter – we’ll just keep an eye on the Bots and continue to go with the flow, even if we have to hold our noses while we’re riding it out. Be careful out there,- Phil’

 

 

1-20-11

 

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

Equities Have Come Very Far Very Fast - Some Conservatism Is Warranted ‘With nothing but bullish news and earnings releases prompting the biggest fall rally since 2006, it is timely and conservative to be cautious in equities going forward, according to many market participants with good long term track records. Valuations are showing signs of divergence, where high P/E ratio stocks are rising without a follow through from statistically cheap stocks in many industries.This “reach for yield” has engendered a new ethos in the stock market where taking greater risk is more important in equity selection than corporate net worth, earnings, discounted cash flow analysis, and net asset values. Many times in the past this tendency has led to large market declines, as valuations on the major averages become extended. Shares of technology firms, and especially small cap technology stocks, have risen on metrics we have not seen since the heady days of 1999 and 2000 – things like eyeballs, mouse clicks, and 70 P/E ratios are back in fashion.In the latest public interview with Ben Bernanke, the Fed Chief played down the notion that rising food and energy prices outweighed the economic gains that QE has created, saying with a smile that “the Russell 2000 is up 30% plus" since the announcement of additional stimulus at Jackson Hole last summer. What bothers many fundamental investors about this statement is the fact that the valuation and earnings for the Russell were not mentioned by Mr. Bernanke (does he actually believe in efficient market theory?), but simply that the nominal price of the index fund is up. We all remember when price got ahead of fundamentals in the housing market. While the Fed Chief is excited about the stock market, no mention of the benefits to private business or the unemployed was given.

[chart]/

Whether or not this possibly short lived rise in nominal stock prices actually helps small business owners over the long haul, I am obviously pulling for a full economic recovery and believe in US capital markets over the longer term. If the markets are now 30% more overvalued then they were last summer, many putting capital to work here after the 90% rally could be badly hurt when Ron Paul begins his scrutiny over the Fed’s actions. If QE is eventually wound down (or the expectation of the wind down begins hitting stock prices), stocks could be badly hurt going forward. Many feel the rise in the Russell 2000 was from an already expensive base for many issues, and that risks of another flash crash are now greatly heightened even if the overall benefit to the market means such action was warranted.The last time oil prices rose from $40 to $91 we had major stock market problems, and a continued rise in commodity prices could threaten the global recovery and our stock market returns, at least when measured in Swiss Francs or Norwegian Kroner. Greater leverage and money issuance could exacerbate these issues and the short term gains may not be worth the longer term damage overvalued markets could create when everyone runs for the exits at the same time.

click to enlarge [chart]

In addition to the high valuations of many stock indicies, the latest news about Steve Jobs is disconcerting when you factor in Apple’s 20% position in the QQQQ (Nasdaq 100). Experienced Investors know that the QQQQ generally leads technology shares, and technology shares generally lead the broader markets. A fall in AAPL to $300 could easily start a 3-7% correction in the overall equity markets based on the weighting of Apple in the QQQQ, and the past behavior of Apple stock when Jobs has been in the headlines for medical reasons.The man is truly a genius, crediting a large part of his success to experiences with LSD in the 1970s and his belief in making each customer more creatively effective. Of course, I am pulling for Jobs (wishing him well, as he has a fantastic passion to make the world a better place) and for the markets overall here, but I am cautious on these developments from an investment perspective. Whether more stimulus and forward earnings growth mean “any correction is a buying opportunity” is for the reader to decide, but taking your cues from Mr. Market and being fearful when others are greedy seems to make a lot of sense here.Just last year, the US equity markets declined over 10% in less than three hours on May 6, 2010 and many believe this decline was more than just a glitch. The same type of decline hit equities on September 29, 2008 and more of these market jolting events could be looming in our future. So, in light of the fact that we have come very far, very fast in equities, I believe some degree of conservatism is likely well worth the opportunity cost. Corrections never come when people expect them to, and stocks don’t go straight up forever.’

[chart]




Parallel Universe DIA vs. QQQQ: Dave's Daily The big names just don't want to break down. Remembering the DJIA is a price weighted index -- companies like IBM keep things well-propped. In the meantime, tech struggles over the past few days especially with the breakdown in "cloud" sectors. Commodity markets were hit hard on worries China's inflation situation will warrant more tightening. This, should it happen, is never friendly for commodity markets and precious metals as we posted earlier with GLD (SPDR Gold ETF). Economic data was mixed with better Jobless Claims and Housing data while the Philly Fed report was disappointing with current report and the previous report adjusted lower. Earnings continue to flow and most beat expectations handily once again reminding us of the ineptitude of most analysts. It's a hard job, but somebody has to do it at least making sure companies "beat" for the M&A goodwill. Through the first half of the day stocks stayed lower but crept higher abetted by more POMO and a recovery in some financial stocks. It may be very difficult for any meaningful sell-off or correction as long as Ben is printing. Volume improved significantly today which is typical on down days. Breadth, per the WSJ, was decidedly negative.

 

 

Retreat Unfolding? Inflation Trader ‘Markets recently have been reversing Mackay’s classic observation that “Men…think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one.” Instead, the slow march of stocks higher has meant that people have been going mad one by one, and joining the crowd. Does the maxim hold true in reverse? Will they recover their senses in herds?This would be a bad thing, and I am relieved to observe that while the 1% decline in equities yesterday was the largest single-day selloff since November 23rd, the volume was not appreciably different from Tuesday’s volume. A bear might growl that this shows how much lower even a little selling might push prices, but classic technical analysis would expect to see a swelling of volume to confirm a trend change.My suspicion, techies or no, is that this is more than a one-day respite in a relentless march. The negative earnings surprises and/or downbeat announcements from Goldman (GS), Wells Fargo (WFC), Northern Trust (NTRS), Citigroup (C), and American Express (AXP) (cutting 550 jobs) helped drive the NASDAQ Bank Index down 2.6%. Barclays (BCS) just laid off a number of people, many of them very senior, with essentially no warning. Anecdotally, I can report friends at other dealers who are starting to size up their options/escape hatch as well. This is all very strange if you read the economic headlines, or even the earnings reports which, while downbeat, weren’t exactly the big losses of 2008-09. Is there some signal here about the economy, or is the financial reform bill just damaging prospects for financial institutions? Or am I reading too much into narrow anecdotal evidence? I will just say the state of the banking sector just feels less bumptious than it did just a couple of months ago.Homebuilders were also down, some 3.5% as measured by the S&P 500 Homebuilding Index. Surely this cannot be simply a reaction to the weak New Home Sales number (529k vs 550k expected). After all, the inventory of new homes (which isn’t in the Housing Starts report, but is relevant here) is at the lowest level since 1968 (see Chart, click to enlarge), and adjusted for population it is probably at the lowest level ever.[chart] Inventory of New Homes. Yes, they compete with the high inventories of EXISTING homes, but this picture is reasonably upbeat for the home building industry in the long-term.Both banking and homebuilding, of course, were sectors that cratered and were bailed out in the housing crisis. Could they be canaries in the coal mine now? I doubt it on the homebuilder side, but I have long held that the mega-bank is going to be an expensive use of capital now that the social costs of being big have resulted in legislation that will have the effect of lower volumes, lower margins, and lower leverage. All three legs of the ROE formula, in other words, will be under pressure; the future should belong to the boutiques and partnerships…just as the past once belonged to Merrill, Lynch, Pierce, Fenner, and Smith instead of Merrill/BOA.The tiny tremor in stocks yesterday – which, granted, feels like a massive earthquake since it has been so long since the last tiny tremor – is only a warning. But it is a warning echoed in the breakdown of the dollar below its trading range for the last two months (see Chart, click to enlarge).[chart] Dollar is looking soggy again.None of these little hints and wiggles would matter much in the normal course of events. They’re not big news. The problem is that there are a lot of people waiting for a Sign to Get Out. Several of these things could be construed to be enough of a warning for a nervous investor to flee. The question is whether these investors regain their senses one by one, or in herds.It is far too early to make this suggestion, but I think a reasonably gentle 2.5% further selloff to 1250 on the S&P would be welcomed by many. A more-rapid decline, say if yesterday’s 1% turns into today’s 1.5% and Friday’s 2%, would cause more concern and widen the range of possible outcomes thereafter. In this circumstance I think it isn’t whether you wake up the giant, or when you wake up the giant, but how you wake him up, and jumping on his chest is unlikely to produce the results you would like.I am not sure that economic data will have anything to do with the unfolding retreat, but if Initial Claims (Consensus: 420k from 445k) fails to drop back onto the improving trend or if Existing Home Sales (Consensus: 4.87mm versus 4.68mm last) goes down instead of up, those will be additional irritants for the investing public. Today also brings the Philly Fed Index (Consensus: 20.8, unchanged), which is expected to stay near the 2010 highs. There is plenty of scope for disappointment, in my view.By the way, I am not terribly sanguine about bonds, either. Yields are very low, and although weak economic data is typically good for bonds I think that is less clear when the government plainly needs growth in order to be able to redeem those bonds some day (at least, in the absence of debt monetization). Given that we are still struggling with the deficit from the 2008-09 crisis, is it good for bonds if we enter another recession or even a period of choppy near-zero growth? I think the answer there is unclear. Commodity indices for me still look like the best medium-term bet although they have certainly come far themselves in the last few months.However, the Treasury is going to issue $13bln of a new 10y TIPS bond today, with a real yield that will be near 1%. That is pretty uninteresting unless your alternative is the 10y nominal note at 3.33%. I am not fond of the duration, even in real bonds, but I suspect the auction will go fine. The TIPS market continues to be in a zero-net-supply situation with the Fed essentially providing all the new cash that the Treasury raises through the TIPS auctions. It is hard to be bearish on auction results in that situation.’

 

 

 

Is the Up Trend Broken? , On Thursday January 20, 2011, ‘We published this article a few days ago and decided to re-run it because it answers today's most-asked question: Is the up trend broken? Since the article first ran, we offered this conclusion in the January 14th ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter: 'Based on the confluence of overhead resistance, optimistic sentiment extremes, short-term bearish seasonality and waning breadth, the end of this rally seems near. According to resistance levels, the odds for a reversal at S&P 1,300 +/- 10 points are high.' Whether the final top is in place remains to be seen, but here is what might be expected over the coming weeks. Original article starts here:What the market's rally lacks in charisma, it has made up in persistence. The stair-step, creeping type of an up grind is lulling investors to sleep as we speak. Steady and seemingly risk-free gains have rekindled optimism and created a state of euphoria not seen in years ... since late 2007 to be exact.The irony of this article is that few investors will feel compelled to read anything that resembles a warning or contains a bearish message. The few that read this piece will probably scoff at it. That's how bear market rallies work and that's why they are effective.The soothing rhythm of the VIX has lulled investors into a state of complacency. If you had to describe investor's alertness in sleep lingo, a state of REM sleep would probably be the closest comparison.History tells us that the (bear) market only strikes when least expected.Based on analyst polls by Bloomberg, Barron's, USA Today and a variety of sentiment measures, a stock market (NYSEArca: VTI - News) decline is as remote today as it was in 2000 or 2007.
Hedging Activity Drops
Investors and traders are content to hold on to massive long positions without hedge. One of the easiest ways to hedge your stock portfolio is via put options. Last week the CBOE Equity Put/Call Ratio dropped to 0.4, the lowest reading since April 15, 2010.The lack of hedging is dangerous for prices because the market is without a safety net. The only option for spooked investors without hedge is to sell. Selling causes prices to drop.On April 16, 2010, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter warned of the consequences of a low put/call ratio: 'Selling results in more selling. This negative feedback loop usually results in rapidly falling prices. The pieces are in place for a major decline. We are simply waiting for the proverbial first domino to fall over and set off a chain reaction.'The first domino dropped just a few days later, setting off the May 6 'Flash Crash' and ultimately resulted in a swift 15% correction for the Dow (DJI: ^DJI), 17% correction for the S&P (SNP: ^GSPC), 19% for the Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC), and 21% for the Russell 2000 (NYSEArca: IWM - News).A different measure of complacency is the premium traders willingness to pay for call options (bullish bets). Based on a three-month average, the price for put options (bearish bets) is near a 10-year low. The only other time that rivals current readings was in 2007.
This Time is Different

The spirit of 'this time is different' is one of the most fascinating phenomenons known to Wall Street. Investors' sentiment follows the ebb and flow of stock prices. When prices are up, the future is expected to be bright. When prices are down, the future is supposedly bleak (just think of the 2007 peak and 2009 bottom).This approach of linear extrapolations feeds the herding mentality, which contrarians use as effective indicators. This approach is not foolproof but, nevertheless, is one of the most accurate, if not the most accurate timing tool known to underground Wall Street aficionados.The chart below (taken from the January 2011 ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter) illustrates the four most prominent occurrences of extreme optimism, or the 'this time is different' effect. The green line connects the price of the S&P with the timeline and various sentiment gauges.[chart]Investors thought 'this time is different' at the 2007 peak, in May 2008, in January 2010, and again in April 2010. The only thing different at all four times was the velocity of the descent, but each period of euphoria was greeted by despair.

History Rhymes

History doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes. In 2007, Merrill Lynch's Global Economics Report foresaw a bright future: 'The Merrill Lynch global economics team believes that the economy will continue to grow in 2007 - with no sign of a significant cyclical slowdown.'According to J.P. Morgan, Barclays Capital and Goldman Sachs (Merrill Lynch failed to foresee its own demise in 2007 and is no more), the S&P will gain between 15 - 20% in 2011 and the 'economy will continue to grow in 2011.'Perhaps this time will be different, but based on history, now is the time to at least be cautious and protect your investments. An ounce of protection is worth more than a pound of cure. Based on long-term valuation metrics the stock market is priced to deliver pain, not gain (see November 2011 ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter for a detailed analysis).Based on sentiment, the market is overheated and due for a correction at the very least, and how often have we seen a correction turn into something more? Timing a top is tricky, but based on support and resistance levels and seasonal patterns it is possible to narrow down when the market is ready to roll over. End of original article.We don't make up structurally important support/resistance levels, the market does, so it behooves us to listen. The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter monitors the market's vital signs and highlights important support/resistance levels. If the next important support fails, we might be looking at an April-like decline.’

 

 

Relevance of EU’s new ESRB watchdog questioned Reuters | Europe’s proposed solution to avoid a repeat of the financial crisis holds its first meeting on Thursday with some analysts questioning its relevance.

 

Europe faces a new crisis The Voice of Russia | UN depressing forecast was made in report on the World Economic Situation and Prospects-2011.

 

Bank giant Goldman rewards staff with €11.4bn Independent.ie | Wall Street banking giant Goldman Sachs revealed today that staff earned a total of $15.4bn (€11.4bn) in pay and bonuses last year.

 

Debt Continues To Accumulate As The Economic Climate Worsens When you stop and think about it, the Fed’s main instrument of monetary policy, the manipulation of interest rates has been lost to it. That is two years with the same rate. What has become very obvious is that an official rise in rates would create all kinds of havoc.

 

The Great Depression II One basis for deciding whether we are in a “recession” or a “depression” is distinguishing how recessions become depressions. With the hindsight of history, we already know.

 

 

1-19-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

Possible Earnings Season Potholes  , On Wednesday January 19, 2011, 6:58 pm EST  ‘Earnings season is upon us and according to 10 strategists and investment managers polled by Barron's, there's no cloud in the sky. The future's looking bright.If you've followed Wall Street forecasts for a few years, you must have discerned a pattern: Forecasts are always rosy. If Wall Street analysts were meteorologists, their outlook would always be 'sunny' unless it is actually raining.Therein lies the problem; Wall Street never sees hard rain coming and only offers an umbrella after investors have gotten trenched. The purpose of this article is to provide an out of the box forecast with analysis you won't hear on the Street.

Insiders vs. Analysts

Analysts have their optimistic disposition implanted by the companies they cover. Corporate managers have every incentive to stay positive for as long as they can.Ironically, as CEOs project record high earnings, insider selling has picked up. In December, Investors Intelligence reports that: 'there was a sharp acceleration in the pace of insider selling over the last week, as if they suddenly all received word that the index highs would end.'Who would you rather believe - analysts (and their sources) with an agenda or the action of insiders with skin in the game? Something doesn't seem right if insiders want you to do as they say but not as they do.

Unbridled Enthusiasm

Mark Twain said that: 'When I find myself on the side of the majority, I know it's time to find a new place to side.' The majority of investors (and analysts) now believe in rising stock prices.Sentiment gauges have recorded readings not registered since the 2007 all-time highs, or before the May 'Flash Crash.' This is usually a sign of a market that's getting ready to roll over.

Trap #1

This brings us to the first investment trap for Q1 2011 - equities. After rallying more some 90%, the major indexes a la Dow (DJI: ^DJI), S&P (SNP: ^GSPC) and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) are simply overbought, over loved and overvalued. This doesn't mean that they have to crumble tomorrow, but NOW is the time to think about protection.In each of the past three years, January trading has delivered a surprise shot of reality. Don't be surprised if it happens again in 2011.Sectors with the biggest gains include retail (NYSEArca: XRT - News), consumer discretionary (NYSEArca: XLY - News), materials (NYSEArca: XLB - News), and technology and these are also the most vulnerable to correction.Even though it defies Wall Street's approach of linear extrapolation, sectors that do well one year, rarely top the list the following year. It would make sense to either buy put protection - which is historically cheap due to a low VIX - or set mental stop-loss safety levels to avoid suffering through a painful correction.In an effort to keep this article brief, we won't delve into the Europe crisis. One of the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter's predictions for 2010 was an increase in sovereign debt defaults. The Europe crisis will be with us for a while and will turn into a big drag for developed markets (NYSEArca: EFA - News) eventually.

Trap #2

A rush for tax-free yield drove investors into municipal bonds. Chasing yields can be a pricey mistake. If you plot dividend yields against stock prices over the past 100 years, you'll quickly notice that periods of low yields are generally a good time to sell, not buy stocks.The muni bond market has been an obvious, but ignored, house of cards. California is nearly bankrupt and every other state or municipality has seen their tax revenue dwindle. Loaning money to municipalities is like giving a car loan to someone who just lost their job. The default risk is high.On August 26, the very day Treasuries and muni bonds topped - the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter told its subscribers to get out of muni bonds, corporate bonds and Treasuries. Prices for bonds have tumbled since and the danger isn't over. The three trillion muni bond market is in serious danger. Now is the time to worry about return of your money, not return on your money.

Trap #3

Not all is as it seems and if you put your trust in the Fed, you may soon be disappointed. Quantitative easing in general, and QE2 in particular, was supposed to stimulate the economy, increase inflation and the money supply.[chart]As the chart above shows, it didn't do any of the above. QE2 also was intended to lower interest rates to increase lending and make mortgages more affordable. The chart below shows what the interest of the 10-Yr Treasury has done since QE2 was launched.[chart]The Fed is treating the previous indulgence in debt by taking on even more debt. This is like taking more heroin to kick a drug addiction. It will keep you functioning for a while, but eventually your system will shut down. The only chance of success is to detox.

The Minefield Looks Pretty

To sum up, we are looking at a minefield covered by a beautiful blanket of flowers. The Fed - although it's failed to jolt the economy - has succeeded in inflating stocks (NYSEArca: VTI - News) and commodities (NYSEArca: DBA - News). It has served as fertilizer for fake growth.But sentiment is indicative of a market ready to roll over. Similar sentiment readings and warnings by the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter in December 2008, January 2010, and April 2010 led to declines from 9 - 29%. Aside from Fed induced liquidity, there's not been much reason to believe this time will be different. The market's internal strength has been waning as various breadth indicators failed to confirmed the recent price highs.

Enjoy the Sight, Mind the Feel

Creeping up trends like the current one can go on for weeks. But take a look at the price action leading to the April highs and it becomes clear that such stair stepping up trends tend to end very abruptly and without warning.That doesn't mean that a correction has to turn into a meltdown, but if you maneuver through trap-infested territory, it pays to be careful and protect yourself.’

 

 

Disappointing Earnings Dent Stocks  Midnight Trader 4:20 PM, Jan 19, 2011 – ‘

  • NYSE down 85.99 (-1.1%) to 8,104.92
  • DJIA down 12.64 (-0.1%) to 11,825
  • S&P 500 down 13.10 (-1%) to 1,282
  • Nasdaq down 40.49 (-1.5%) to 2,725

GLOBAL SENTIMENT

  • Hang Seng up 1.1%
  • Nikkei up 0.36%
  • FTSE down 1.32%

UPSIDE MOVERS

(+,-) AAPL loses after-hours gain after easily beats with Q1 and guides for Q2 above Street.
(+) IBM continues evening gain that followed upbeat Q4 results, 2011 guidance.
(+) ISPH upgraded.
(+) ADM upgraded.
(+) AEO upgraded.
(+) ATHX to publish joint study on spinal cord injury.

DOWNSIDE MOVERS

(-) DSCOD secures new patent in pulmonary conditions.
(-) GS misses with revenue, tops with earnings.
(-) WFC meets with earnings, beats with revenue.
(-) BK says Q4 tops year-ago quarter.
(-) USB beats with Q4 earnings.
(-) CREE continues evening slide that followed.
(-) DRH pricing shares.
(-) C names new COO.
(-) NGLS selling shares.

MARKET DIRECTION

Stock averages traded at or near the day's lows inside the final hour of trading. Financials depressed the broader market after Goldman Sachs (GS) disappointed with revenue and American Express (AXP) guided for Q4 results below Wall Street expectations. More earnings are due in the after-hours.

Bank of America (BAC) and AXP fronted blue-chip declines, while IBM gains in the wake of its earnings and guidance beat. Wells Fargo (WFC) also fell after disappointing results.

In the broader S&P 500, financials and natural resource stocks are the biggest decliners.

The Nasdaq Composite ended near its lows of the day. Apple (AAPL) rose initially but had turned lower late in the day after beating with earnings out late Tuesday.

Treasuries edged between minor gains and losses after the Federal Reserve Bank of New York bought $7.7 billion in debt on Wednesday. The 10-year note yield rose to 3.35% but was as high as 3.40% earlier.

Crude futures fell 0.6% at $90.86 a barrel.

Gold futures rose, while copper settled lower after hitting a record high in London trading, as metals got some support from a weaker dollar.

Gold for February delivery added $2, or 0.2%, to $1,370.20 an ounce. The metal pared gains as the session progressed; the February contract had earlier risen to $1,378.90 an ounce. March high-grade copper futures moved as high as $4.47 a pound, after having touched a record in London trade. The contract settled lower, however, as oil and stocks added to earlier losses. Copper declined 6 cents to finish at $4.37 a pound.

On the economic front, construction of new U.S. homes fell 4.3% to an annualized rate of 529,000 in December, according to Commerce Department data, a sharper drop than Wall Street economists expected. But the forward-looking portion of the report proved sunnier. Building permits jumped 16.7% to an annualized rate of 635,000 in December - the highest level since last March - from a revised 544,000 in November.’



Financials Lay an Egg: Dave's Daily If I don't post every day it's easy to forget how the routine goes, but that's not your problem. Anyway, most disappointment Wednesday surrounded financials and perhaps materials. Investors were pretty energized regarding bank prospects but were disappointed with GS and AXP reports. The DJIA was propped higher by IBM's earnings keeping in mind it's a "price weighted" index with the company being the big dog there. Oddly, the rest of the tech sector saw sharp declines led by semis and networking. Commodity markets were mixed to down on the day while the dollar sold-off. Bonds rallied some as stocks were lower and home building data was weak. Volume continues to be incredibly light and it's hard to put your finger on why. Connected obliquely was news that hedge fund assets reached and exceeded their prior highs now at $1.9 trillion. With an unknown percentage of these assets involved in HFT (High Frequency Trading) it only enhances the impact of this activity. As some may know we utilize DeMark indicators to assess timing exits from long or short positions. DeMark is usually quiet but today he posted a note suggesting an "imminent" decline in markets was at hand. With POMO ongoing (more today) it's the wind behind bulls' sails that could defeat many technical indicators. In any event, volume picked up on selling while breadth was decidedly negative per the WSJ.’

 


Europe faces a new crisis The Voice of Russia | UN depressing forecast was made in report on the World Economic Situation and Prospects-2011.

 

Bank giant Goldman rewards staff with €11.4bn Independent.ie | Wall Street banking giant Goldman Sachs revealed today that staff earned a total of $15.4bn (€11.4bn) in pay and bonuses last year.

 

Home Construction Declines WSJ | Home construction in the U.S. fell to its lowest level in more than a year in December as builders cut back on new single-family homes, the latest sign of a moribund market.

 

China ‘logs double-digit growth in 2010′ China’s economy grew 10.3 percent last year but inflation exceeded the government’s full-year target, Hong Kong-based Phoenix Television said on its website Wednesday.

 

Housing Starts in U.S. Decreased in December to One-Year Low Builders began work on fewer homes than projected in December, a sign the industry that triggered the recession continued to struggle more than a year into the U.S. economic recovery.

Trade With China?: 25 Facts That Prove That China Is Kicking Our Rear Ends Do you believe that trade with China is a good thing? Well, you might not be so sure after you read the 25 facts listed below. The truth is that China is kicking our rear ends all over the planet.

 

US Mint Reports January Silver Sales Hit 26 Year High When we had last checked on the total silver sales by the US Mint earlier today, the amount given was 3,407,000 ounces, a number which we had earlier speculated would be a monthly record if sales were maintained at the current pace.

 

 

1-18-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

[  It should be noted that the paranoid american criminals have once again, this time by way of hack via microsoft  (willing accomplice as was att of jersey / dumbya bushland – deleted / I caught the problem and have also installed opensource.org which I strongly recommend (at least a look – won’t disappoint – I used same for the archived PDF post files) is free and a breeze to use and though compatible with word and a multitude of other formats, for now on these specific web site documents (I have image folders already linked which would require at least a look) it’s easier and faster for the time-being for me to add to the existing documents with word; but as is so of america, microsoft’s a dinosaur) gave me a few problems, serious enough to require a redo, which I have corrected / overcome; but believe me, I won’t forget it! They will be sorry! ]

 

Perception vs. Reality: Four Reasons to Remain Cautious on U.S. Equities  [ Hey, Abbott … That’s Lou Costello calling him from the other side … Wake up! … Just kidding … but I’m not kidding when I say that contrary to Abbott’s view, infra, if you’re not a successful market timer you should rethink your position as an equity investor. Moreover, in contradistinction to Mr. Abbott’s implication, if you’re not a successful speculator (there are very few), you should rethink your position as a short seller: reason…, you could be wiped out, lose more than your principal, forced to cover (that’s why the same is considered a contrary market indicator, particularly in these manipulated, contrived markets). When I did my MBA thesis (1977, NYU, GBA, Eve.Prog., Finance), a review of the data revealed even then (and much more so now with computer programmed market manipulation) that the market remained biased / propped up (artificially, especially now with computerized manipulation) to the upside for far longer periods of time than for the downside which meant that dollar-cost averaging (through regular, periodic investment, for example), meant you were accumulating shares at higher prices generally for longer periods of time skewing the average cost to the upside (dollar-cost-averaging in declining markets was ok if analysis / forecast saw resurgence based on fundamentals - now absent – which is timing, as even senile wall street / gov’t shill Buffet would attest, that ‘greedy when others are fearful thing’). Abbott discusses perception which is the psychological factor involved in security evaluation / analysis; but investors need not and should become nuts themselves, particularly when as now, the inmates are running the asylum. ] Abbott ‘Perception determines short-term market movements. The difference between perception and reality determines the direction of major market trends. Though I generally try to avoid making macro prognostications, I believe bottom-up analysis can be informative about the current level of stock prices. I want to share what my recent work tells me about where stocks are (and where they might be headed). I will outline some various nuggets of collective wisdom that are taken for granted right now by stock bulls, and I will attempt to demonstrate how reality is likely to differ from these perceptions.

First, a disclaimer. This is not a market timing call. At all times, I stay away from market timing predictions. I think that's a loser's game in the long run. Even if I'm correct about the discrepancies between the following perceptions and realities, there's no saying when people will change their minds or shift their focuses. That said, let's dive in.

Perception vs. Reality #1
Perception: Low Interest Rates, Questionable Bond Outlook Means Stocks are Attractive
Reality: Interest Rates Are Being Artificially and Deliberately Manipulated

It's no secret that the Federal Reserve's low interest rate policy and quantitative easing efforts have held interest rates very low for very long. However, when people talk about stock market implications of bond yields, they rarely mention the fact that bond yields are artificially low. In an unmanipulated market, bond prices and stock valuations should be related, but I regard that connection as highly dubious right now. Investors who say that stocks deserve higher multiples (lower earnings yields) because bond yields are so low may well be setting themselves up for disappointing returns/frustrating losses when bond prices normalize. Again, this isn't a market timing call, and yields may remain low for quite some time. But, eventually this discrepancy will correct itself, and stock performance is likely to suffer at that time.

Perception vs. Reality #2
Perception: Earnings Growth Has Been Strong and Will Remain That Way
Reality: Top-Line Growth Will Have to Pick Up; Cost-Cutting has Run Its Course

Earnings growth has certainly been robust, but much of the strength has come from companies running lean cost structures and wringing as much efficiency as possible out of their employees and their assets. Though the recession has ended, the economy is not yet healthy enough to fuel strong sales growth. Companies can only boost profits by cutting costs and increasing productivity for so long. Therefore, top-line growth will have to play a larger role going forward than it has over the past 4-6 quarters. Whether or not economic growth is strong enough to drive revenue increases is unsure, but the current level of stock prices undoubtedly assumes it is. Any stagnation of the recovery and concomitant sluggish sales will likely hit stock prices.

Perception vs. Reality #3
Perception: European Debt Crisis Drives Short-Term Volatility, but It's Not a Long-Term Concern
Reality: Crisis May Be a Harbinger of What's to Come in the U.S. if States, the Feds Don't Improve Balance Sheets

So far, turmoil in Greece and Ireland has served only as a temporary headwind to U.S. stocks. In keeping with the investment world's increasingly short-term focus, people seem more concerned with what fiscal crises in Europe mean for U.S. stocks over the coming days and months than with what they might mean down the road. I believe that this interpretation misses the mark. Since the U.S. fiscal situtation is generally considered to be stronger than that in many European countries, U.S. federal and municipal debt issuance has been relatively smooth, and interest rates have only risen modestly. If the U.S. doesn't get serious about its fiscal woes, eventually the crisis will arrive on American shores. There's no way of telling when this might happen, but the current level of stock prices seems to imply that it never will.

Here's the problem with that. To fix the federal balance sheet and/or to improve state and municipal balance sheets, legislators will have to raise taxes and/or cut spending. Tax hikes and spending cuts both reduce consumer spending. This hurts growth. There's no way around this. Stocks can certainly continue to rise for some time, but austerity will be bearish if/when it comes. If it doesn't come, we're in for a much bigger crisis some time down the road.

Perception vs. Reality #4
Perception: Everywhere You Look, You See Good Companies at Cheap Prices
Reality: It's Hard to Find Genuine Bargains, but There are Intriguing Short Prospects Everywhere

There is no shortage of stock market commentators who claim that they see bargains everywhere they look. Perhaps I'm not looking in the right places, but I've been having a difficult and increasingly impossible time finding good companies at reasonable prices. I use similar criteria to assess long and short investments, and I find intriguing shorts in lots of sectors right now. This tells me that valuations are stretched. Certainly they can become more so before we get a selloff, but every day that stocks rally, they get more expensive.

I've written on Seeking Alpha about a number of stocks which I regard as expensive (CRM, OPEN, GMCR), and take my word for it: there are plenty more than these whose shares I do not want to own at present levels. A few weeks ago, I also mused about the Facebook-Goldman deal and argued that this valuation is indicative of excessive investor enthusiasm. Bargains are hard to find, and as valuations go up, so does positive sentiment. While this is not a prediction of an impending correction or bear market, it is a message of caution for people who think stocks are cheap right now.

 

1-14-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

The Teflon Market Is Here [ Just ask the ‘Teflon Don’ … oh, right … he’s dead …The pervasively corrupt frauds on wall street, the fed, and in the u.s. government are desperate to evade their unequivocal responsibility and overdue punishment (prosecution, fines, jail, disgorgement) for the  last and ongoing (toxic, worthless paper assets now marked to anything) fraud diverting attention from their own culpability for the prior bubble/crash and on-going financial / economic crisis, america’s worst economy and prospects in america’s relatively short history with this contrived bubble exceeding that precursor to the last crash; “this has never happened before, in 82 years of history”, and a crash is what’s a-coming. This is nothing short of pathetic desperation that typifies the last gasp of the dead and dying, figuratively of course.  ] Roche ‘Calling this a “bullish” run might be a bit of an understatement. There has been an unprecedented bid under the market since August 2010. The Bernanke Put is well entrenched in everyone’s minds. This week ’s spike in jobless claims was not enough to cause risk appetite to temper as it likely just reminds investors that rising claims are what led to QE2 to begin with. Indeed, this is a Federal Reserve that will not allow equity prices to falter to any substantial degree. Nominal wealth creation has become the rally cry of a group of economic thinkers who truly have no idea how to create sustainable economic growth.

The stats behind this bull market are even more remarkable than the rally itself appears. As I noted in December the market literally could not decline. But the data since then shows an even more untouchable market (via ZeroHedge):

“As a point of reference the S&P has been above the 10 day average for 30 days straight, and above the 50 day average for 92 days straight. What is remarkable are some statistical findings that pertain to the average’s movement with respect to the SMAs. Sentiment Trader points out that while as part of the recent surge in the S&P, the market has gone for “92 days without closing below its 50-day average, which has been matched only 17 other times since 1928.” Where it gets scary, is that as pointed out, during this time the market has not closed below the 10 DMA once during the past 30 days. And as Sentiment Trader notes, “this has never happened before, in 82 years of history.”

Not much else needs to be said. The teflon market is here.

Update: Some additional thoughts from Jeff Saut:

Herb Stein once remarked, “If something can’t go on forever, it won’t!” And, the current “buying stampede” is now 90 sessions long, making it the longest one ever recorded in my notes of more than 40 years. Combine that with many other “finger to wallet” indicators suggesting caution and I am currently just sitting. Indeed, sometimes me sits and thinks and sometimes me just sits. As the astute Lowry’s organization opines, “Our last short term sell-signal for aggressive traders was triggered on December 30th, when the 14-day Stochastic indicator dropped from overbought levels and crossed below its moving average. A conventional short term sell-signal, for culling selective stocks [from portfolios], was registered as of today’s market close (last Friday), when our Short Term Index dropped a total of more than 6 points from its recent high of 104.” ‘

 

 

 

 

1-13-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]



Bond Panic to Weigh on Stocks Cadora ‘Despite the stock market's seemingly inexorable rise, clues to a coming crisis continue to build, promising not only to bring down equity prices sooner rather than later, but also to make the correction much more severe than most expect. As readers of my Member Letter know, I have been anticipating a dollar crisis to visit markets sometime in the first half of 2011, spurred by an exodus from bonds as the Federal Reserve continues its malfeasant policies. In now seems the dollar crisis will be paired with a panic in the municipal bond market.
[chart](Click to enlarge)
The Illinois legislature's decision to raise taxes as a means to fill its budget gap sets an ominous tone for the municipal bond market. The message is clear: politicians will attempt to drain taxpayer resources rather than control outrageous spending habits. In other words, the root of the budget problem will be ignored. This direction is bearish not only for munis, but also for the economy.

A muni bond meltdown will be detrimental to the dollar in more than one way, not the least of which comes from the dollar's chief persecutor, Ben Bernanke. Despite Bernanke's persistent denials that the Fed would step in to bail out a state government, pressure will grow on him to do so as the crisis worsens. It will be interesting to see if his political will fails him again.

Higher interest rates from bond markets ... both municipal and Federal ... will do no favors for the stock market. In fact, a sense of crisis will exacerbate an equity decline. I have proposed to readers that when this crisis hits, stocks will fall in tandem with the dollar rather than being supported by its decline. That period of positive correlation may be just in front of us.

The stock market itself is looking quite exhausted. According to my cycle analysis, equities are due for a dive into a yearly low. Several market indicators also suggest the time is ripe for stocks to roll over.

[chart]
(Click to enlarge)
[chart]
(Click to enlarge)
[chart]
(Click to enlarge)

Consider also that the respectable work performed over at sentimentrader.com shows several sentiment extremes ... all bearish for the equity outlook ... including a very large gap between smart money and dumb money confidence. The stage is set for a significant stock market correction and this week's breakdown in the muni bond market may provide the needed catalyst.’

 

 

Merck Hurts, Stocks Stagger After Jobless Claims

 

Tech-Heavy ETF Hits Short-Term Extreme - High Probability of Reverting to Mean? Cowder ‘It was just another day in the park for the bulls. The continued push since the gap became higher on Jan. 3 has managed to push the tech-heavy QQQQ into a short-term “very overbought” extreme with an RSI (2) at 98.4. As I always state, when an ETF typically reaches an extreme of this manner, the market fades over the short-term (1-3 days). A move that pushes QQQQ lower would likely close the gap at $54.62, which would mean a 3.5% loss for the QQQQ.

A move like this would certainly be advantageous for my current open positions in both the High-Probability and Mean-Reversion strategy. Yes, I took a position later in the afternoon in the tech-heavy index and so far I like the probability on this one. All of the short-term technical indicators that I follow are reading extremes, so I had no choice but to take a position.

Intel (INTC) comes out after the bell tomorrow and should be quite the catalyst for the QQQQ’s next move. I would love to say that the next move is definitely going to be bearish over the short-term, but as we all know in trading, even when M-R probability is leaning heavily towards your side, there are no guarantees.

Short-Term High-Probability, Mean-Reversion Indicator – as of close 1/11/10

Benchmark ETFs

  • S&P 500 (SPY) – 83.7 (very overbought)
  • Dow Jones (DIA) –75.3 (overbought)
  • Russell 2000 (IWM) – 69.3 (neutral)
  • NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) – 90.2 (very overbought) / RSI (2) – 98.5

Sector ETFs

  • Biotech (IBB) – 76.8 (overbought)
  • Consumer Discretionary (XLY) – 57.0 (neutral)
  • Health Care (XLV) – 83.1 (very overbought)
  • Financial (XLF) – 74.1 (overbought)
  • Energy (XLE) – 79.8 (overbought)
  • Gold Miners (GDX) – 42.3 (neutral)
  • Industrial (XLI) – 90.9 (overbought) / RSI (2) – 98.7
  • Materials (XLB) – 81.9 (very overbought)
  • Real Estate (IYR) – 54.5 (neutral)
  • Retail (RTH) – 48.9 (neutral)
  • Semiconductor (SMH) – 88.6 (very overbought)
  • United States Oil Fund (USO) – 65.2 (neutral)
  • Utilities (XLU) – 64.6 (neutral)

International ETFs

  • Brazil (EWZ) – 69.8 (neutral)
  • China 25 (FXI) – 73.1 (overbought)
  • EAFE (EFA) – 73.5 (overbought)
  • South Korea (EWY) – 75.4 (overbought)

Commodity ETFs

  • Gold (GLD) – 56.5 (neutral)

Ultra Extremes

  • Small Cap Bear 3x (TZA) – 29.1 (oversold)
  • Small-Cap Bull 3x (TNA) – 69.4 (neutral)
  • UltraLong QQQQ (QLD) – 91.5 (very overbought) / RSI (2) – 98.8
  • Ultra Long S&P 500 (SSO) – 84.3 (very overbought)
  • Ultra Short S&P 500 (SDS) – 15.5 (very oversold)
  • UltraShort 20+ Treasury (TBT) – 62.8 (neutral)

Disclosure: I am short QQQQ.

 

 

Stocks Slip on Economic Data Disappointment, Oil Pullback Midnight Trader ‘4:10 PM, Jan 13, 2011 --

  • NYSE down 3.76 (-0.1%) to 8,119.22
  • DJIA down 23.54 (-0.2%) to 11,732
  • S&P 500 down 2.20 (-0.2%) to 1,284
  • Nasdaq down 2.04 (-0.1%) to 2,735

GLOBAL SENTIMENT

  • Hang Seng up 0.47%
  • Nikkei up 0.73%
  • FTSE down 0.44%

UPSIDE MOVERS
(+) JDSU gains on analyst price target hike.
(+) XCO exploring strategic alternatives.
(+) AAPL gets analyst price target hike.
(+) MU upgraded.
(+) TM upgraded.
(+) MRO moving forward with plans to spin off downstream.

DOWNSIDE MOVERS
(-) INFY misses profit estimate.
(-) LEDS warns for sequential decline in revenue.
(-) WSM slips despite raising guidance.
(-) DRWI continues sharp evening drop that followed
(-) BBBB continues evening dip seen after announcing acquisition, backing guidance.

MARKET DIRECTION

Stock averages close modestly lower, having recovered from fresh session lows hit late in the chopping trading session. Declines followed economic uncertainty. Stocks had improved around midday as oil crossed into positive territory before it ended back in the red. Rising jobless benefits claims stumped stocks out of the gate this morning.

Blue-chip issue Merck & Co. (MRK) fell 6.7% to $34.63 after announcing that clinical trials of its cardiovascular drug vorapaxar would be discontinued for some patients. Merck fell the most among the 30 stocks that make up the DJIA.

Despite broad S&P weakness, Whole Foods Market Inc. (WFMI) jumped over 5%, and is up some 80% over the past year, after an analyst said that the company's shares would continue to rise because its customers are willing to pay higher costs for food.

The U.S. economy should grow around 3% to 4% this year, a healthier clip than in 2010 but not enough to bring down unemployment as much as policymakers would like, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Thursday in a speech.

The number of U.S. workers who filed new applications for jobless benefits jumped 35,000 last week to 445,000, the highest level in more than two months. Government official attributed the sharp increase largely to administrative backlogs, MarketWatch reported. Economists polled by MarketWatch had expected initial claims in the week ended Jan. 8 to fall to a seasonally adjusted 405,000. Last week s claims were revised up by 1,000 to 410,000. The less-volatile four-week average of new claims rose a much smaller 5,500 to 416,500.

U.S. wholesale prices climbed 1.1% in December, largely owing to a spike in gasoline prices, the Labor Department reported Thursday. The seasonally adjusted increase in producer prices last month was the biggest since last January, according to government data. Core producer prices, which exclude the volatile food and energy categories, rose 0.2% - in line with Wall Street expectations.

The last of the trio of reports, the U.S. trade deficit narrowed for a fourth straight month in November, defying economist predictions for a rebound. The nation's trade deficit contracted a slight 0.3% to $38.3 billion from a revised $38.4 billion in October, the Commerce Department said.

Overseas, the Bank of England and European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged. European markets have been unable to extend yesterday's rally, as investors digest large bond issues across the region.

Crude futures settled modestly lower, finishing under $92 after spending most of the session in positive territory. Oil for February delivery retreated 46 cents, or 0.5%, to $91.40 a barrel after hitting a fresh two-year high. Gold ends higher after a reversal late in the day. February futures close up $1.20 or 0.1% at $1,387 an ounce.

In company news:

Target (TGT) shares are higher after it announced today that it is set to open stores in Canada beginning in 2013 after signing an agreement to purchase 220 leases from Zellers, a unit of Hudson Bay. The purchase agreement is valued at C$1.825 billion.

Marathon Oil Corp. (MRO) is higher following news it is moving forward with plans to spin off its downstream business, creating two highly focused energy companies.

Shares of American International Group (AIG) gained as a Bloomberg report said that new investors in the bailed-out insurance giant may want the firm to be ready to pick a successor. The current CEO, Robert Benmosche, began treatment for cancer in October. Benmosche doubled shareholders' money in his first 17 months in office.

Shares of Oilsands Quest (BQI) are down sharply after saying a detailed review of its core assets at Axe Lake, Wallace Creek and Raven Ridge show the resource base in these areas could support three projects with the potential for producing, in aggregate, 100,000 barrels a day of bitumen.

General Electric (GE) slips after inking a deal to buy Lineage Power Holdings, a privately held company. The deal, which is the latest in a string of acquisitions by GE, is valued at $520 million and is expected to help tap into the growth in data centers, electronic devices and telecommunications, the company stated.

In other company news, Blackboard Inc. (BBBB) continued its evening drop after moving to acquire Presidium Inc. for about $53 million in cash, excluding transaction costs. Blackboard previously owned a 10% equity stake in Presidium. It also reaffirmed its Q4 and FY10 financial guidance and provided initial financial guidance for the Q1 and FY11, saying it anticipates a $0.24-a-share adjusted Q1 profit on about $114.1 mln in revenues, topping the Thomson Reuters consensus for revenues but missing EPS estimates.

Infosys Technologies (INFY) fell after it said Q3 profit was 17.8 billion rupees, below estimates for 18.2 billion, according to a Reuters poll. It expects its dollar revenue to rise 25.7% to 26.1% in the year ending March, below analysts' expectations of 27% to 28%, Reuters reports. The revenue growth forecast was, however, higher than the 24% to 25% rise estimated previously by the company.

Research in Motion (RIMM) gained after it said it had given a solution ahead of a Jan. 31 target date that enables Indian wireless carriers lawful access to consumer services including the BlackBerry Messenger, but excludes access to corporate emails.’

 


Initial Jobless Claims Rise 35,000 ‘NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- The number of Americans filing unemployment claims unexpectedly rose last week, the Labor Department said early Thursday. The advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims increased by 35,000 to 445,000 in the week ended Jan.8, the highest level since October. Economists were expecting initial claims to drop to 405,000, according to consensus estimates from Bloomberg. Estimates ranged from 400,000 to 415,000…’

 

An Amazing Statistic About Our Abnormal Market [ The only thing amazing is that no one has come forth to state how preposterous this ‘modern day miracle of computerized programming technology’ can make unreality so appealingly and seemingly real that all are swept away with this tsunami of b*** s*** until it’s too late, which as preceding other crashes, seems furthest from thoughts, mind, and plausibility until invariably, grim reality comes a-calling and this scenario as before will end as before especially quite badly. ] ‘Rev Shark at Realmoney.com posted an amazing statistic which I believe he found at sentimenttrader.com.

According to Sentimentrader.com, the S&P 500 has now gone 92 days without closing below its 50-day moving average. That has only happened 17 times since 1928. But what is really amazing is that over the past 30 days, we haven't closed below the 10-day moving average even once. That has never happened in the last 82 years of market history.

As I've stated multiple times, it is not the rally we are experiencing that is strange, it is the total inability to pullback at any point that is boggling to anyone who has more than 6 months of market history under their belt.

[chart]

 

1-12-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

The Sick Man Tries to Save the Terminally Ill [  I can’t recall the specific phrase, but applied here it goes something like this, ‘Japan with a debt to GDP ratio of 200% is going to save Europe, but who’s going to save Japan’. Let’s get real here as the u.s. house-building with decks, as in Titanics and reshuffled / rearranged deck chairs, of cards, as in ‘houses of cards’, becomes insanely ubiquitous worldwide and will systemically (now globally) end quite badly. This is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits since there is much, much worse to come.  ] Nyaradi  ‘It was a quiet day yesterday for ETFs and stocks in world markets as most exchange traded funds recovered recent losses amid reduced tensions in Europe.

Incredibly, Japan’s intent to buy European bonds was the catalyst for the more positive atmosphere in Europe, and as the title of this article suggests, this is truly the sick man trying to save the terminally ill.

The soap opera in Europe, like every soap opera, is getting boring. It starts with rising interest rates and credit default swap rates which is met by the concerned government proclaiming that they’re totally solvent and will never need a bailout which ends up to be exactly what happens.

Portugal will be selling 10 year notes today, Wednesday, and its ten year debt has stood largely above 7% in recent days. When rates in Greece and Ireland hit these levels, bailouts came within days in both cases. Italy and Spain go to the bond trough this week, as well, and so it will be an active few days in Europe.

Bottom line; get ready for an ECB bailout of Portugal coming soon, possibly this week.

At home, we move into earnings season, Illinois is moving towards an income tax increase to deal with its budget deficit while Governor Brown in California begins to sell his austerity plans.

Daily Moves for Major ETFs:

Dow Jones Industrials: (NYSEArca: DIA) +0.30%

Russell 2000: (NYSEArca: IWM) -0.47%

NASDAQ 100: (NasdaqGM: QQQQ) +0.41%

S&P 500 Index: (NYSEArca: SPY) +0.37%

MSCI Emerging Markets:(NYSEArca: EEM) +1.06%

MSCI China (NYSEArca: FXI) +1.13%

Gold (NYSEArca: GLD) +0.59%

7-10 Year Treasuries: (NYSEArca: IEF) -0.39%

20+ Year Treasuries: (NYSEArca: TLT) -0.56%

VIX -3.71%

U.S. Dollar (NYSE:Arca: (NYSE:Arca: UUP) -0.08%

The major indexes remain overvalued and overbought on a technical and fundamental basis and so Wall Street Sector Selector remains in “Yellow Flag” status, expecting choppy to lower prices ahead.’

 

 

Lunch with Marc Faber: Predictions and Insights  Sinn – ‘Tuesday I had the pleasure of meeting Marc Faber for the first time and I thoroughly enjoyed his detailed, logical, and smooth-flowing presentation. Faber is good on television, but he is much better live as he is more open with regard to his disdain for Bernanke, Greenspan, Krugman et al. He even ended the Q&A portion by saying ‘I hope you have a better idea of what to do with your wealth, but what you do with your client’s wealth is another story’. Below I have listed the main concepts that Faber’s presentation impressed on my thinking:

Key takeaways from Marc Faber Luncheon- January 11, 2011

The Eurozone is worse off than even the U.S. at this point because they lack a single fiscal authority. It is difficult to implement a federal/super-sovereign approach in the Eurozone due to challenge of implementing a single taxing authority with supervisory and enforcement powers.

When asked about the possibility of dividing the Eurozone into a north and south euro, he dismissed this idea as being very unlikely.

The most likely path forward for the Eurozone will be for the ECB to continue to monetize the sovereign debt of the weaker Member States. He also stressed the point that the ultimate solution will be highly political and unpredictable and that there will be plenty of ‘noise’ on the way to the final outcome.

Faber is concerned about a slowdown in China and India over the next 3-6 months. China currently has negative real interest rates and may need to raise rates over 100 basis points in order to bring the real interest rate back near zero. He also mentioned that he had recently reduced his investment exposure to China and India.

Faber seemed most bullish on the price of oil and pointed out that Chinese consumers consume only 2 barrels of oil per capita/year while US consumers consume over 20 barrels of oil per capita/year.

Faber pointed out how under leveraged Asian consumers are compared to Western European/ US consumers. He cited that only 10% of Vietnamese have a bank account which demonstrates how much room there is for leveraging in Asia.

·He was VERY bearish on U.S. government debt long term and even pointed to a chart of US 10-year note yields over the past 60 years. He then waved the laser pointer to indicate that yields will eventually go past the early 1980s highs.

·He illustrated the performance of Mexican government bonds and the peso currency from the late 1970s to 1988. The peso lost 98% of its value vs. the US dollar and Mexican bonds performed horribly while Mexican equities priced in US dollars ended the 10-year period slightly positive.

Finally, Faber pointed out that there is potential for geopolitical tensions between China and India as they compete for natural resources (oil, water). He pointed out that China and India share the Brahmaputra River. There has been continued speculation that China plans to build a dam on the river in order to divert water to the North of the country (Doug Kass also mentioned the possibility of a military conflict between China and India over this river in his year end predictions for 2011). In addition, Faber explained that China isn’t happy about the US recommendation that India join the UN Security Council.

Oddly enough, I agree with almost everything Dr. Faber discussed. However, I doubt that gold will undergo a 20% correction this year (I would say 10-15% is the maximum unless there were to be a complete paradigm shift in monetary policy from the ECB/Fed). The crowd was most amused by Dr. Faber’s disdainful comments about Messieurs Bernanke, Greenspan, and Krugman.

While I agree with the latter two, I believe Chairman Bernanke is doing the only thing he can do with the terrible hand he has been dealt. I also believe the possibility of a military confrontation between China and India is extremely remote due to the potential magnitude of the consequences. Dr. Faber managed to cause me to be even more concerned about the state of the US fiscal situation than I already was. I didn’t think that was possible, but when he explained the US would be using 30% of total tax revenues just to pay interest on the national debt within a few years, I realized the situation was more serious than even I had realized.  Disclosure: I am long GLD.’

 

 

Cupcake Capitalism Offers Hope for New Bubble: Jonathan Weil  Weil ‘The first thing every prospective investor should know about Crumbs Holdings LLC, which operates 34 cupcake shops, is that there was an error in the first sentence of its Jan. 10 press release announcing the New York retailer’s planned public listing on the Nasdaq Stock Market.

Crumbs called itself the “creator of the gourmet cupcake.” The claim is false. Crumbs didn’t create the gourmet cupcake. I did, or at least that’s how I choose to remember it.

 

 

1-11-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

Four Financial Farces That Will End in Disaster  Summers ‘At this point the news out of the financial world is more insane than … well, just about anything.

Farce #1: Japan Can Bail Out Anything.

First off, Japan, which has a debt to GDP ratio of 200%, is bailing out Europe, which has a smaller but equally disturbing debt problem. Yes, one broke country (Japan) is now trying to bail out an entire economic union, despite the fact that it hasn't succeeded in managing its own finances or economy in over 20 years.Indeed, the idea that Japan could bail out anyone when it’s failed to create any substantial economic growth despite spending trillions of yen should give you an idea of just how out of control the entire financial system has become. We are literally in the end game now. Unless Martians come down and start bailing out Earth, the Great Sovereign Default will be in full effect within the next six months.

Farce #2: Inflation Is at 1%.

Meanwhile, Ben Bernanke claims that inflation in the U.S. is at 1%. President Obama has to maintain that this is a fact with a straight face next week when he meets with French President Nicolas Sarkozy, who is witnessing food riots in Algeria due to soaring food prices.The Fed has claimed inflation is under control for months now, proving that its members must not eat food, drive cars, or know how to read. Indeed, in order to ignore rising prices in the U.S., you would literally have to not shop for groceries, not pump gas into your car, not read the newspaper, and not have access to the Internet or any financial news outlet.I sincerely hope that the Fed is not run by folks who fit this description, but after reading the next two farces, I’m not so sure.

Farce #3: QE Is Working.

Various Fed officials have stepped forward to claim that its Quantitative Easing program has worked. Correct me if I’m wrong, but I thought the whole purpose of QE was to lower interest rates.How then do you explain the following? [chart]As you can see, interest rates have soared since the Fed implemented QE 2. It’s not like QE has helped the U.S. economy either; food stamp usage has hit new records since it began.And yet the Fed claims that QE is not only working, but we need more of it. However, even that farce pales compared to the next and final financial farce of today’s essay.

Farce #4: The Folks Managing the Fed’s QE Efforts Have No Investing Experience.

Then, of course, there’s the recent revelation that the Fed’s monetary policies involving the purchasing of trillions of U.S. Treasuries are in the hands of folks aged 26, 29, and 34, none of whom have any investing experience whatsoever.And they’re in charge of buying up trillions in U.S. debt.If, at this point, it’s not clear that the entire financial system is not a disaster waiting to happen, then I don’t know what else to say. Indeed, our entire system is built on fraud and managed by folks who don’t know what they’re doing. And if you think they’ll steer us to safety, consider that around the globe we’re already beginning to see signs of systemic collapse.Indeed, I believe we are in fact on the verge of another round of deflation which will take prices down across the board as the U.S. dollar rallies. However, this period will be short-lived as it will be followed by a U.S. dollar collapse soon after.At that point, the next stage is the paper currency collapse, the stage at which inflation accelerates as the U.S. dollar collapses, destroying purchasing power while inflation hedges explode higher.Some, like the most popular picks (gold and silver bullion), will record strong gains. However, others (the ones that 99.9% of the investment world are currently clueless about), will go absolutely parabolic.’

 

 

1-10-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

14 Eye Opening Statistics Which Reveal Just How Dramatically The U.S. Economy Has Collapsed Since 2007 Most Americans have become so accustomed to the “new normal” of continual economic decline that they don’t even remember how good things were just a few short years ago. ‘The Economic Collapse Jan 10, 2011

’Most Americans have become so accustomed to the “new normal” of continual economic decline that they don’t even remember how good things were just a few short years ago.  Back in 2007, unemployment was very low, good jobs were much easier to get, far fewer Americans were living in poverty or enrolled in welfare programs and government finances were in much better shape.  Of course most of this prosperity was fueled by massive amounts of debt, but at least times were better.  Unfortunately, things have really deteriorated over the last several years.  Since 2007, unemployment has skyrocketed, foreclosures have set new all-time records, personal bankruptcies have soared and U.S. government debt has gotten completely and totally out of control.  Poll after poll has shown that Americans are now far less optimistic about the future than they were in 2007.  It is almost as if the past few years have literally sucked the hope out of millions upon millions of Americans.

Sadly, our economic situation is continually getting worse.  Every month the United States loses more factories.  Every month the United States loses more jobs.  Every month the collective wealth of U.S. citizens continues to decline.  Every month the federal government goes into even more debt.  Every month state and local governments go into even more debt.

Unfortunately, things are going to get even worse in the years ahead.  Right now we look back on 2005, 2006 and 2007 as “good times”, but in a few years we will look back on 2010 and 2011 as “good times”.

We are in the midst of a long-term economic decline, and the very bad economic choices that we have been making as a nation for decades are now starting to really catch up with us.

So as horrible as you may think that things are now, just keep in mind that things are going to continue to deteriorate in the years ahead.

But for the moment, let us remember how far we have fallen over the past few years.  The following are 14 eye opening statistics which reveal just how dramatically the U.S. economy has collapsed since 2007….

#1 In November 2007, the official U.S. unemployment rate was just 4.7 percent.  Today, the official U.S. unemployment rate is 9.4 percent.

#2 In November 2007, 18.8% of unemployed Americans had been out of work for 27 weeks or longer.  Today that percentage is up to 41.9%.

#3 As 2007 began, there were just over 1 million Americans that had been unemployed for half a year or longer.  Today, there are over 6 million Americans that have been unemployed for half a year or longer.

#4 Nearly 10 million Americans now receive unemployment insurance, whichis almost four times as many as were receiving it back in 2007.

#5 More than half of the U.S. labor force (55 percent) has “suffered a spell of unemployment, a cut in pay, a reduction in hours or have become involuntary part-time workers” since the “recession” began in December 2007.

#6 According to one analysis, the United States has lost a total of approximately 10.5 million jobs since 2007.

#7 As 2007 began, only 26 million Americans were on food stamps.  Today, an all-time record of 43.2 million Americans are enrolled in the food stamp program.

#8 In 2007, the U.S. government held a total of $725 billion in mortgage debt.  As of the middle of 2010, the U.S. government held a total of $5.148 trillion in mortgage debt.

#9 In the year prior to the “official” beginning of the most recent recession in 2007, the IRS filed just 684,000 tax liens against U.S. taxpayers.  During 2010, the IRS filed over a million tax liens against U.S. taxpayers.

#10 From the year 2000 through the year 2007, there were 27 bank failures in the United States.  From 2008 through 2010, there were 314 bank failures in the United States.

#11 According to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, the number of U.S. families with children living in homeless sheltersincreased from 131,000 to 170,000 between 2007 and 2009.

#12 In 2007, one poll found that 43 percent of Americans were living “paycheck to paycheck”.  Sadly, according to a survey released very close to the end of 2010, approximately 55 percent of all Americans are now living paycheck to paycheck.

#13 In 2007, the “official” federal budget deficit was just 161 billion dollars.  In 2010, the “official” federal budget deficit was approximately 1.3 trillion dollars.

#14 As 2007 began, the U.S. national debt was just under 8.7 trillion dollars.  Today, the U.S. national debt has just surpassed 14 trillion dollars and it continues to soar into the stratosphere.

So is there any hope that we can turn all of this around?

Unfortunately, the massive amount of debt that we have piled up as a society over the last several decades has made that impossible.

If you add up all forms of debt (government debt, business debt, individual debt), it comes to approximately 360 percent of GDP.  It is the biggest debt bubble in the history of the world.

If the federal government and our state governments stop borrowing and spending so much money, our economy would collapse.  But if they keep borrowing and spending so much money they will continually make the eventual economic collapse even worse.

We are in the terminal stages of the most horrific debt spiral the world has ever seen, and when the debt spiral gets stopped the house of cards is going to finally come down for good.

So enjoy these times while you still have them.  Yes, today is not nearly as prosperous as 2007 was, but today is most definitely a whole lot better than 2015 or 2020 is going to be.

Sadly, we could have avoided this financial disaster completely if only we had listened more carefully to those that founded this nation.  Once upon a time, Thomas Jefferson said the following….

I wish it were possible to obtain a single amendment to our Constitution. I would be willing to depend on that alone for the reduction of the administration of our government to the genuine principles of its Constitution; I mean an additional article, taking from the federal government the power of borrowing.’

 

 

Options Data Suggests Topping Action - ‘What the market's rally lacks in charisma, it has made up in persistence. The stair-step, creeping type of an up grind is lulling investors to sleep as we speak. Steady and seemingly risk-free gains have rekindled optimism and created a state of euphoria not seen in years ... since late 2007 to be exact.The irony of this article is that few investors will feel compelled to read anything that resembles a warning or contains a bearish message. The few that read this piece will probably scoff at it. That's how bear market rallies work and that's why they are effective.The soothing rhythm of the VIX (NYSEArca: VXX - News) has lulled investors into a state of complacency. If you had to describe investor's alertness in sleep lingo, a state of REM sleep would probably be the closest comparison.History tells us that the (bear) market only strikes when least expected.Based on analyst polls by Bloomberg, Barron's, USA Today and a variety of sentiment measures, a stock market (NYSEArca: VTI - News) decline is as remote today as it was in 2000 or 2007.

Hedging Activity Drops

 

1-7-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

What Today's Job Numbers Aren't Telling You , On Friday January 7, 2011, 6:10 pm EST

‘Another month goes by and another unemployment report deciphered. Is there more to this month's report than the 9.4% headline number? Unless you are content with the information spoon fed by the financial media, you'll find the data points revealed in this article rather interesting.The only other Wall Street ritual that tops monthly unemployment reports is earnings season. Like any other ritual, it comes with many myths and fables attached. The most common one is that unemployment directly affects stock prices.

Myth Busted

If you base your investment decisions on today's release, you may want to revisit the market's performance following last month's release (published on December 3, 2010).The U-3 unemployment rate spiked from 9.6% to 9.8%. This was a huge disappointment, yet major stock indexes a la S&P (SNP: ^GSPC), Dow (DJI: ^DJI) and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) rallied. What caused this unexpected reaction? The answer can be found in technical analysis.The technical setup going into last month's unemployment release (published on December 3) was predominantly bullish. With the S&P (NYSEArca: IVV - News) at 1,225 in early November, the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter highlighted important support at 1,165 - 1,170 and on November 7 stated: 'Any correction that doesn't drop below 1,165 will likely result in new highs' with resistance at 1,267 (revised to 1,281 on December 12).As the chart below illustrates, the S&P tested support on five occasions and set the stage for future gains. That's why despite the dismal jobless numbers, stocks spiked on the day of the release and continued higher.  [chart] Before we talk about the technical set up going into today's release, let's examine some unknown but important details about today's unemployment report.

What the Headlines Won't Tell You

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS.org) publishes more data than just the heavily quoted U-3 unemployment headline number (currently 9.4%).In fact, if you do some surfing on BLS.org you will find that the headline number is deceptive at best and inaccurate at least. Below are some statistics that put America's job market in perspective.According to the BLS, the real unemployment rate (U-6), which includes workers who stopped looking for jobs or had to settle for part-time jobs - is at 16.7%.

One of the most remarkable BLS data points on the BLS site is the average number of weeks workers are now unemployed. The jobless are unemployed for an average of 34.2 weeks.  As the chart below shows, this is the second highest reading in the survey's 63-year history (all-time high was 34.8 in July 2010).                                 [chart]

Along the same lines, the number of workers unemployed for more than 27 weeks (usually unemployment benefits cease after 26 weeks) is near its May 2010 all-time high.                              [chart]

A Painful Misconception

The Bush tax-cut extension led many to believe that unemployment benefits have been extended beyond the 99 weeks (26 weeks state-funded plus 73 weeks federal benefits) available to the 25 worst hit states. This is not correct.According to CNBC, no benefits will be paid once the 99-week period is exhausted. As per the extension, however, the jobless will continue to receive up to 99 weeks of unemployment checks.Over the past three years, the unemployed have collected about $320 billion in jobless benefits. About two million '99ers' received their last benefit check around Christmas.

A Shrinking Workforce

It is estimated that about 150,000 'youngsters' enter the work force every year. That's why the work force has steadily increased since 1948. Courtesy of the 2008 bear market, the workforce has actually been shrinking as discouraged workers drop out of the statistics .Discouraged workers are those who stopped searching in the last four weeks. Excluding them from the workforce and the unemployment equation artificially lowers the U-3 unemployment rate. Discouraged workers surged to a new record high of 1.32 million which depressed the labor force participation rate to 64.3% (a 27-year low). If the participation rate had stayed the same, the U-3 unemployment rate would be 9.7%.

Making Sense of What Doesn't Make Sense

Based on U-6 numbers, since December 2006 as many 13 million Americans have either lost their jobs, or have been downgraded.  Meanwhile food stamp recipients have mushroomed by ten 10 million.Nevertheless, stocks have shrugged off an avalanche of bad news and continue plowing ahead towards new highs. Does that make sense?It does when you include the Federal Reserve and it's quantitative easing program in this lopsided equation. The Fed has a history of creating and ignoring bubbles. The 2000 tech (NYSEArca: XLK - News) bubble came and went and was followed by the 2005 real estate (NYSEArca: IYR - News) bubble.The 2005 real estate bubble was somewhat cushioned by the 2007 financial (NYSEArca: XLF - News) bubble. The 2007 bubble bust expressed itself fully until the Fed started inflating yet another bubble - the QE1 and QE2-based 'great' new bull market.

The Technical Set Up

Looking at the long-term picture, there is reason to be skeptical about the growth potential for U.S. stocks (NYSEArca: IWM - News). But if you want instant gratification - as most investors do - what's the technical set up for the coming weeks?Looking at the market's internal indicators, we note that momentum is strong but breadth is weakening. Sentiment - one of the most reliable indicators in the investment universe - is extremely bullish, which is bearish for stocks.Prior instances when the ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter noted overheated excitement for stocks was in January 2009, January 2010, and April 2010. Another bearish factor is the new January effect that's seen stocks decline each January over the past three years.Additionally, the S&P is about to reach the measured upside target of a W pattern (December 12 ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter) and a host of other resistance levels.In summary, momentum and Fed induced liquidity point up, but sentiment gauges and some technical indicators convey a deeply bearish message.The best way to navigate such cross currents is to let the market speak and carefully analyze its reaction to important support and resistance levels. Failure to break resistance levels combined with an inability to remain above support have been recipes for disaster in the past, especially with bullish sentiment at extreme levels.A chain is only as strong as its weakest link. The ETF Profit Strategy Newsletter monitors the market's internal strength to identify weak links before they break.’


January 7, 2011: Market Summary

December Jobs Miss Expectations

Unemployment Down To 9.4%, But Jobs Report Disappoints

Is a Correction Inevitable? [Short answer: YES! ] Vistesen ‘The signs are clear: risk is overloved, overbought and overextended but does this necessarily spell the inevitable correction? [Short answer: YES! ] (click for larger image) [chart] Since Augsut 2010 the SPY has barely touched its 50 day moving average. Indeed, it has stayed well clear of it. Those, like yours truly, who entered 2011 fancying some bloodletting have so far been disappointed. Plan B Economics points to the obvious that oftentimes in the world of investing, a choir chiming for an event to unfold is the best bet that it will not occur.

I’ve had a pretty good sense in the past knowing when the “correction” trade is overcrowded. I gotta say that I definitely sense that now. Bulls are on guard for a correction and bears are calling for one too. In fact, I’ve never seen such a unanimous call for a correction as I do now in a long time. Near the low of the day I saw a headline from bigcharts.com that said some portfolio manager claimed the January correction has started. The market didn’t even go in the red for the year yet and this guy’s already saying the correction has started? Talk about being over-eager. I believe this group think call for a correction means that a correction either won’t happen or will be quite shallow, well below expectations.

As a good friend of mine noted that this is like second-guessing the second-guesser. Market timing is best performed when frontrunning the crowd, not standing in the middle shouting like everyone else. On the technical side, I would like to see two (or three) straight days of declines in the SPY before calling it.The more interesting point is how deep (or shallow) it will be. A move to the 50 day MA marker would be something like 4.15% and come at around 1221 at current levels. Sounds about right to me.’ [ Vistesen’s clearly an unbridled optimist! ]

 

Drowning in Debt NyaradiEverywhere I looked yesterday, the world seemed to be drowning in debt.

In Portugal, bond spreads continue to widen as they prepare for a sale on January 12th while next door in Spain, their “D-Day” (debt day) sale comes on January 13th. France steps up on January 10th with more than $10 billion coming to market with Italy following on January 11.

The euro fell to the lowest level against the U.S. Dollar in three months in anticipation of next week’s auctions while the U.S. Dollar Index rose +0.68%.

Closer to home, Illinois struggles wtih a nearly $15 Billion hole that needs to be filled and so is pushing for a tax hike to do the job while in California, recycled Governor Jerry Brown promises to unveil a budget next week that will be “painful.”

Meanwhile, December retail sales originally ballyhooed as being the best in years turned in a lackluster performance and the pesky problem of persistent unemployment resurfaced yesterday with Initial Claims rising unexpectedly to 409,000 from 391,000 prior while Continuing Claims managed to fall.

Today comes the big report and whisper numbers are huge improvements over recent numbers.

Technically there’s no breadth and no momentum to market action and we remain in very overbought territory on nearly all indicators.

Daily Moves for Major ETFs:

Dow Jones Industrials: (NYSEArca: DIA) -0.22%

Russell 2000: (NYSEArca: IWM) -0.47%

NASDAQ 100: (NasdaqGM: QQQQ) +0.32%

S&P 500 Index: (NYSEArca: SPY) -0.20%

MSCI Emerging Markets:(NYSEArca: EEM) -1.07%%

MSCI China (NYSEArca: FXI) -0.79%%

Gold (NYSEArca: GLD) -0.40%

7-10 Year Treasuries: (NYSEArca: IEF) +0.52%

20+ Year Treasuries: (NYSEArca: TLT) +0.44%

VIX +2.23%

U.S. Dollar (NYSE:Arca: UUP) +0.77%

The major indexes remain overvalued and overbought on a technical and fundamental basis and so Wall Street Sector Selector remains in “Yellow Flag” status, expecting choppy to lower prices ahead.’



Thursday's Economic Data Roundup: Mixed News Roche ‘U.S. retailers posted weaker than expected sales in December, the Monster job index declined from last month’s highs and unemployment claims continued their steady trend lower. All in all it was a very mixed day of data.

  • U.S. retailers posted weaker than expected chain store sales. Although weak, most retailers were still able to post year over year gains. But an alarming trend is showing up in the commentary – retailers are beginning to see margin compression due to rising input costs. Mark Montagna, a retail analyst at Avondale Partners says the entire supply chain cost is on the rise and cost conscious consumers are very sensitive to higher prices. The Wall Street Journal has a good round-up of the individual retailer results here.
  • The Monster Employment Index (click to enlarge) showed a stagnant employment environment. Though year over year growth remains strong the sequential data is showing little to no sign of recovery. The index slowed to 130 in December from 134.[chart]
  • Unemployment claims ticked higher from last week’s huge drop, but remain on a steady trend lower. This likely points to growth, but slow growth in the labor market. Econoday has the details on the claims data:

“Jobless claims haven’t been too bumpy this holiday period, moving convincingly lower. Claims did rise to 409,000 in the January 1 week yet follow the prior week’s 391,000 for the second best reading of the recovery (prior week revised from 388,000). The four-week average is telling the story, down 3,500 in the week for a 410,750 level that is down nearly 20,000from a month ago…’

 

Jobs growth disappoints, but jobless rate falls (Reuters)

 

Labor Force Participation Rate Drops To Fresh 25 Year Low, Adjusted Unemployment Rate At 11.7% Zero Hedge | While today’s unemployment number came at a low 9.4%, well below expectations, the one and only reason for this is that the labor force in America has plunged to a fresh 25 year low.

 

 

1-6-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

Oh come on! Watch for the fake jobs report from the ever more desperate, pervasively corrupt, incompetent, failed, defacto bankrupt u.s. government (all 3 branches)! Who can believe anything they say? … Drudgereport: WObama calls Gibbs $174,000 salary 'relatively modest' ( Come on! In pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, government jobs for the otherwise unemployable at those levels are over-priced and over-valued, as are other so-called executive jobs, ie., fraudulent wall street, etc.. Look at their results! )...   [video] ADP Data Still Fighting For Credibility [ Come on! Pervasively mob infested, corrupt jersey based ADP? There’s nothin’ left in desperation for those b.s. / b.e.(bad economics/finance) talking points and action to froth the market for the frauds on wall street. This is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits because there’s nothin’ there, beyond the smoke and mirrors. This market’s way over-bought and way over-valued!  ] NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Alan Valdes of DME Securities says the market focused on the job revision data as ADP is still viewed with skepticism.

 

1 in 6 Americans Live in Poverty  Tradermark ‘One of the biggest mega trends happening in America is the bifurcation of society between the haves and the have nots. Many of the jobs the 'underclass' once did are gone forever, while others spent freely when times were good, and when the tide turned, have little buffer. [Dec 8, 2007: Do the Bottom 80% of Americans Stand a Chance?] After all, saving for a rainy day is what boring people do. Others really never got off the ground, as the K-12 education system has degraded dramatically the past few decades.Frankly the underlying trend - as bad as it is on the surface - has been hidden by multiple bubbles, and most recently, there has been a level of government assistance never seen before. [Nov 5, 2010: USA Today - Anti-Poverty Programs Surpass Cost of Medicare] In terms of government spending. This brings up a host of issues as any changes to the social safety net are going to send millions past GO and directly to impoverished status (and yes there are people gaming the system, but not tens of millions). There are myriad societal effects of the transformation of America from a relative egalitarian society in the 1960s to a 2 or 3 class system - but those are topics for other posts we have done.The official U.S. government tally of who is living in poverty is a joke. We last looked at it about 16 months ago [Sep 19, 2009: US Poverty Rises to 11 Year High - But Still Vastly Understated] For example, if you make $23,000 for a family of 4 - you are not in poverty. If you are single and make $14,000 you are not in poverty. I'm not sure in what counties except for rural Mississippi you can accomplish that cost of living, but apparently the government believes a middle class lifestyle is available at $25K for a family of 4 in all of America. Or at least it would be inconvenient to admit otherwise. And yes once more let me put the caveat that being "poor" in America is different than being poor in Malawi, but in theory we should be comparing ourselves to other first world countries.The AP has an interesting report of a new measure of poverty in the U.S., based on the census. It has a different band of parameters and shows an increase over the government's incredibly generous definition of poverty. What is striking is the large increase in those in the over 65+ camp who fall into poverty. Due to our consumption culture (encouraged by the government at every turn, since we've transformed our economy from good producing to services and consumption) many are entering the golden years with little to nothing.Where once many had their mortgage paid off by the time they retired and hence could live on a much lower income as their largest expense was eliminated, now after a generation of serial refinancing and cash out to finance buying 'what we deserve', many still have the mortgage to worry about even at age 70+. There are many other factors we've discussed often - i.e. the move from pensions to do it yourself savings in a country where saving is a sin and spending is worshiped, the disaster that is the 401k system, etc. Unlike the mortgage crisis which is playing out in a relative short period of time (6-8 years), this grand economic experiment of running an economy on consumption & services (you do my nails, I'll cut your hair, you serve me a beer, I'll cut your lawn, you build a house, I'll default on it) is taking decades to play out. But we're starting to see the first wave of results the past 5-10 years, and it's not pretty.Bigger picture, there are enormous stresses being formed at the bottom end of the society, and more and more are being caught in the net. Anyone who truly believes there will be any serious spending cuts at the federal level does not realize the (increasing) dependency that has been created by the a multitude of poor decisions over the past few decades. Indeed we fast approach the time when 1 in every 5 dollars of "income" are government transfers. [May 25, 2010: 1 in 5.5 Dollars of American Income Now Via Government; All time High] At this point, the genie is out of the bottle and with a dysfunctional government whose only solution is layer on more debt to kick the can down the road, our modern day plutonomy only grows in power. [Sep 7, 2009: Citigroup - America; A Modern Day Plutonomy] However, there appears nothing to be worried about since we've been well trained to parrot the fact that as long as the S&P 500 only goes up, everything in America is fine. Nothing to see here, move along (buy stocks as you are moving of course).
Via AP

  • The number of poor people in the U.S. is millions higher than previously known, with 1 in 6 Americans -- many of them 65 and older -- struggling in poverty due to rising medical care and other costs, according to preliminary census figures released Wednesday.
  • At the same time, government aid programs such as tax credits and food stamps kept many people out of poverty, helping to ensure the poverty rate did not balloon even higher during the recession in 2009, President Barack Obama's first year in office.
  • Under a new revised census formula, overall poverty in 2009 stood at 15.7 percent, or 47.8 million people. That's compared to the official 2009 rate of 14.3 percent, or 43.6 million, that was reported by the Census Bureau last September.
  • Across all demographic groups, Americans 65 and older sustained the largest increases in poverty under the revised formula -- nearly doubling to 16.1 percent. As a whole, working-age adults 18-64 also saw increases in poverty, as well as whites and Hispanics. Children, blacks and unmarried couples were less likely to be considered poor under the new measure.
  • The new measure will not replace the official poverty rate but will be published alongside the traditional figure this fall as a "supplement" for federal agencies and state governments to determine anti-poverty policies. Economists have long criticized the official poverty measure as inadequate because it only includes pretax cash income and does not account for medical, transportation and work expenses. (much like inflation, as long as you don't eat, use energy, pay for healthcare, or have kids in college - you are fine. For poverty as long as you don't go to the doctor, need to drive to work, need daycare, or wear clothes at work - your income is sufficient)
  • "Under the new measure, we can clearly see the effects of our government policies," said Kathleen Short, a Census Bureau research economist who calculated the revised poverty numbers. "When you're accounting for in-kind benefits and tax credits, you're bringing many people in extreme poverty off the very bottom."
  • The official measure is based on a 1955 cost of an emergency food diet and does not factor in other living costs. (that is perverse) Nor does it consider non-cash government aid when calculating income, which surged higher in 2009 during the recession.
  • The effect was seen most notably among older Americans. Under the official poverty rate, about 8.9 percent lived in poverty, mostly because they benefit from Social Security cash payments. But when taking into account out-of-pocket medical expenses and other factors, that number rises to 16.1 percent.
  •  
  • Among the findings:
    --Without the earned income tax credit, the poverty rate under the revised formula would jump from 15.7 percent to 17.7 percent.
  • --The absence of food stamps separately would increase the poverty rate to 17.2 percent.
    --Taking into account millions of uninsured people in the U.S. had little effect in increasing poverty, mostly because those without insurance tend to forgo medical care rather than find ways to pay for it.

[Feb 20, 2009: NYT - Newly Poor Swell Lines @ Food Banks Nationwide]

[Oct 22, 2010: Reuters - The Haves, the Have Nots, and the Dreamless Dead]

[Sep 3, 2010: FT.com - The Crisis in Middle America]
[July 26, 2010: [Video] DatelineNBC - America's Increasing Ranks of Poor]

1-5-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

[video] ADP Data Still Fighting For Credibility [ Come on! Pervasively mob infested, corrupt jersey based ADP? There’s nothin’ left in desperation for those b.s. / b.e.(bad economics/finance) talking points and action to froth the market for the frauds on wall street. This is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits because there’s nothin’ there, beyond the smoke and mirrors. This market’s way over-bought and way over-valued!  ] NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Alan Valdes of DME Securities says the market focused on the job revision data as ADP is still viewed with skepticism.

 

 

World Food Prices Rise: Get Ready for the Riots?  [ Food Riots Next? FAO Says Food Prices Surpass Record Highs Seen During 2007-2008 Bubble  infowars.com / prisonplanet.com The last time food prices hit ridiculous levels, the immediate outcome was global food riots in places such as Haiti and Bangladesh.   ] Tradermark ‘As the 'financialization' of every commodity of earth continues at pace, and easy money pours out of almost every major central bank, we have now reached the point where food prices have surpassed the record levels of 2008. [Feb 12, 2008: Wheat is Being Ruined by ... what else... Hedge Funds and Speculators] [Apr 28, 2008: Wall Street Grain Hoarding Brings Farmers, Consumers Near Ruin] [Apr 6, 2008: Agflation Hits Rice - Prices Up 50% in 2 Weeks] What happened back then? Just some minor issues such as rioting in many '2nd' and '3rd' world countries. Looks like we need to prepare for another hot summer. And domestically those food stamps are not going to go quite so far as they used to. [Nov 10, 2009: Walmart Executive - "There are Families Not Eating at the End of the Month"]

Oh well, just consider it collateral damage in The Bernank's plan to make us (and Goldman, JPMorgan, et al) all rich via asset inflation. (I will stop by some local food banks to let them know they can make some mad money in the markets to offset the rising prices) Just remember to blame it all on China - that was a great excuse back in 08, even though we saw once leverage was taken out of the financial system prices of commodities suddenly crashed. This repeating epidemic has no relationship at all with financial speculation at all. Nope.

On a related note - a tip of the hat to Congress for the recent ethanol funding expansion, snuck in during the lame duck. If there is one thing that makes sense when we have the potential for global food crisis, it is putting inefficient corn in our cars. [Mar 27, 2008: WSJ - Farm Lobby Beats Back Assault on Subsidies] The main saving grace at this time is rice, which is massively important in the East. Too bad there is not a rice ETF or else speculators with Ben's easy money supply and demand dynamics could push it up much more quickly.

Via Bloomberg:

  • World food prices rose to a record in December on higher sugar, grain and oilseed costs, the United Nations said, exceeding levels reached in 2008 that sparked deadly riots from Haiti to Egypt.
  • An index of 55 food commodities tracked by the Food and Argiculture Organizartion gained for a sixth month to 214.7 points, above the previous all-time high of 213.5 in June 2008, the Rome-based UN agency said in a monthly report. The gauges for sugar and meat prices advanced to records.
  • Sugar climbed for a third year in a row in 2010, and corn jumped the most in four years in Chicago. Food prices may rise more unless the world grain crop increases “significantly” in 2011, the FAO said Nov. 17.
  • Last month’s year-on-year rise compares with the 43 percent jump in food costs in June 2008. Record fuel prices, weather- related crop problems, increasing demand from the growing Indian and Chinese middle classes, and the push to grow corn for ethanol fuel all contributed to the crisis that year.
  • “In 2008 we had rapid increases in petroleum prices, fertilizer prices and other inputs,” Abbassian said. “So far, those increases have been rather constrained. It doesn’t really reduce the fear about what could be in store in the coming weeks or months.”
  • In response to the 2008 crisis, countries from India and Egypt to Vietnam and Indonesia banned exports of rice, a staple for half the world. Skyrocketing food prices sparked protests and riots in almost three dozen poor nations including Haiti, Somalia, Burkina Faso and Cameroon.
  • Rough rice last traded at $13.90 per 100 pounds in Chicago, compared with $20.21 at the end of June 2008.
  • The surge in the FAO food index is principally on the back of rising costs for corn, sugar, vegetable oil and meat, which are less important than rice and wheat for food-insecure countries such as Ethiopia, Bangladesh and Haiti.’

 

 

 

Rising Asset Prices Cannibalize U.S. Growth  , On Wednesday January 5, 2011, 7:44 pm EST

‘Rising asset prices are bad for investors! At first glance this statement makes no sense at all. Upon closer examination, however, there is much truth to this statement. Bear with me for a couple of minutes and you'll see what I mean.

Rising Oil Prices - Good or Bad?

Perception seems to have a bigger influence on news coverage than facts. A recent Wall Street Journal front-page headline read that: 'Oil back at $90 as growth gains pace.'According to the WSJ reporter, 'the recovery in oil prices is an encouraging sign of world growth.' Wait a minute. Since when are rising oil prices (NYSEArca: USO - News) good for the economy?In early 2008, when oil prices were rising, economists were in agreement that the ripple effect of rising crude would sap the American consumer of precious discretionary funds.Obviously, the concept of cause and effect is subject to interpretation. The same cause (rising oil prices) had a different effect in 2008 than it has today. In 2008 it stifled the economy; in 2011 it's viewed as a sign of improvement.Because rising oil prices affect everybody, they are often compared to a flat tax - like a sales tax. More money spent on taxes means less money spent on items that help improve the economy. In fact, some economists argue that rising crude negates much or all of the monetary benefits of the tax cut extension.

Rising Commodity Prices - Good or Bad?

If you've had your money in any single commodity like gold (NYSEArca: GLD - News), silver (NYSEArca: SLV - News), agriculture (NYSEArca: DBA - News) or broad commodity funds (NYSEArca: DBC - News), count yourself happy, but don't get greedy.Commodities had a great run, but similar to high oil prices, high commodity prices cannibalize economic growth. Why? The more money needed to spend on food staples, the more careful you have to be with your discretionary spending.In a still battered real estate market, homebuilders (NYSEArca: XHB - News) have to pass on the extra cost of rising timber, iron and copper prices. What this economy needs is an uptick in real estate prices, not a bigger price tag for building or remodeling homes.

Major Growth Engines in Trouble

Despite rising commodity prices, inflation has been a non-issue domestically, largely because retailers don't have much pricing power.According to Dr. Jim Walker, Founder of Asianomics Limited, higher commodity prices are already impoverishing large parts of emerging markets (NYSEArca: EEM - News) and are sucking the demand from the poor and middle-income class of society.Demand from the middle-class is the growth engine of a healthy economy. Stifling the growth of the world's largest consumer base - China (NYSEArca: FXI - News) - can't be good for business.

The 'New Economy'

Many readers remember a time when the U.S. was a production powerhouse, when General Electric earned profits with items of tangible value not TV stations and financial products; a time where GDP was built on ingenuity, hard work and sweat.The ingenuity portion of the equation is still alive, but look at its transition. The country's biggest and most successful company - Apple - manufactures and assembles nearly all of its products in China.The country's newest and most powerful companies - Groupon and Facebook - were created out of thin air. No disrespect to Mark Zuckerberg and Andrew Mason - they came up with the right concept at the right time - but what role does Facebook and Groupon play in the 'new economy?'Facebook is valued at $50 billion, that's more than triple the market cap of Alcoa. How and what does Facebook contribute to U.S. gross domestic products (GDP) and real organic economic growth? Yes, Facebook employs about a thousand people, but what else?How about Groupon? Groupon is an ingenious business model and has changed (or is about to change) the way Americans shop. Wall Street is cheering Groupon and can't wait for the IPO. However, the new way of buying nurtures frugality and robs restaurants and retail stores of their pricing power. Consumers just won't buy unless they get a 50%+ discount.Don't get me wrong, I have an above average appreciation for coupons - probably because there was no such thing when I grew up in Germany- but Groupon is the antidote to inflation. My guess is that even Bernanke would agree.

Air-pocket Protection

I often hear that technical indicators don't work in an environment where the Fed controls the market and inflates prices at will.If you believe the Fed is pumping up major indexes like the Dow (DJI: ^DJI), S&P (SNP: ^GSPC) and Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) you must be wondering how long that will work. If this rally isn't value driven - which in my humble opinion it isn't - stocks have nowhere to go but down, eventually.In essence, the Fed is creating a new bubble in an attempt to mop up the spill left behind by the previous bust. It doesn't take an investment wizard to figure out that this bubble will also burst, eventually. When it does, it will probably get ugly.How do you invest in a market where another potential meltdown lurks behind every correction? You monitor the markets vital signs. How? Technical indicators are the best way.

Technical Analysis - More Valueable than Ever

 

1-4-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

Short-Term, High-Probability Mean-Reversion Indicator: Overbought Readings Continue to Increase Crowder ‘It was the best start to a year in over seven years, but I am not sure how long Monday’s gain will last, at least over the short-term.According to my High-Probability, Mean-Reversion overbought/oversold indicator, most of the ETFs I follow have pushed into a short-term “overbought” to “very overbought” state. As I have stated ad nauseum, when this many ETFs hit a short-term extreme the market typically takes a short-term reprieve (1-3 days).The XLB position that is currently held in the High-Probability, Mean-Reversion strategy moved in the red Monday although it was only a slight move. The position, in my opinion, still looks rather well-positioned given the short-term extreme overbought state of the market and XLB.Since I placed the trade there have been some incredibly large positions taken in XLB. Someone sure thinks the Materials sector (XLB) is headed south. Check it out here.The year ended with some nice gains as the High-Probability, Mean-Reversion strategy made 9.7% gains for the month to follow up the 3.7% in November. Not bad for the first two months of the strategy. Hopefully 2011 will bring allow for more gains in the strategy.As I stated last week, going back over the last seven years, if you purchased QQQQ on the 8th trading day of January and held until the end of the month, you would have had returns of -2.3%, -3.1%, -2.3%, -2.7%, -4.1%, -1.6% and -7.7%. The median maximum gain during those trades was +0.7% compared to a median draw down of -5.3%.

Short-Term High-Probability, Mean-Reversion Indicator – as of close 1/03/10

Benchmark ETFs

* S&P 500 (SPY) – 86.5 (very overbought) / RSI (2) – 96.5
* Dow Jones (DIA) –79.5 (overbought)
* Russell 2000 (IWM) – 71.4 (overbought)
* NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) – 74.5 (overbought)

Sector ETFs

* Biotech (IBB) – 62.5 (neutral)
* Consumer Discretionary (XLY) – 70.5 (overbought)
* Health Care (XLV) – 72.5 (overbought)
* Financial (XLF) – 84.2 (very overbought)
* Energy (XLE) – 89.5 (very overbought) / RSI (2) – 98.8
* Gold Miners (GDX) – 48.5 (neutral)
* Industrial (XLI) – 80.1 (very overbought)
* Materials (XLB) – 91.4 (very overbought) / RSI (2) – 95.7
* Real Estate (IYR) – 85.8 (very overbought) / RSI (2) – 96.0
* Retail (RTH) – 76.2 (overbought)
* Semiconductor (SMH) – 61.8 (neutral)
* United States Oil Fund (USO) – 64.1 (neutral)
* Utilities (XLU) – 68.3 (neutral)

International ETFs

* Brazil (EWZ) – 82.0 (very overbought) / RSI (2) – 98.7
* China 25 (FXI) – 72.2 (overbought)
* EAFE (EFA) – 77.4 (overbought)
* South Korea (EWY) – 91.9 (very overbought) / RSI (2) – 99.1

Commodity ETFs

* Gold (GLD) – 64.9 (neutral)

Ultra Extremes

* Small Cap Bear 3x (TZA) – 24.6 (oversold)
* Small-Cap Bull 3x (TNA) – 74.1 (overbought)
* UltraLong QQQQ (QLD) – 75.4 (overbought)
* Ultra Long S&P 500 (SSO) – 90.2 (very overbought)
* Ultra Short S&P 500 (SDS) – 10.7 (very oversold)
* UltraShort 20+ Treasury (TBT) – 43.5 (neutral)

Disclosure: I am short XLB.’

 

 

China Stocks’ Best Forecaster Predicts Further Slump in 2011

 

 

1-3-11

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm      or PDF formatted version   
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf           ]

 

 

Profit From the Rally's Inevitable End: My Correction Wish List Invest Chief ‘As we say goodbye to 2010, we look towards the future and what 2011 will bring. As you may or may not know, bullish optimism hit historical highs for the outlook of 2011. I mean you could find the wildest outlooks, such as Dow 20,000, housing crisis solved, unemployment 6%, etc.There was certainly no shortage of ridiculous claims that will not come true. The point is, the best way for success in the markets is to simply roll with the punches. Whether the Dow goes to 6,000 or 60,000, you must roll with the punches and profit from the changes. If you are too focused on a certain Dow level or other catalyst, you may be waiting for a long time, missing out on profits along the way.The first “punch” investors are going to get is a correction. The Dow had a huge run in December and investors will be taking profits as they had begun to do in the last few trading days in 2010. It is advised that you take profits and wait for the correction. While the correction is occurring, select a “wish list” of companies that you would like to snatch up at cheaper prices. That way all you have to do is place orders. The homework to value your stocks should be your reasoning to place them on your “wish list”.I have my “wish list” ready to go. Here are a few of my stocks that I am planning on buying during the correction:

  • Royal Shell Corp (RDS.B)
  • Harford Financial (HIG)
  • Diana Shipping Inc (DSX)
  • First Niagara Financial (FNFG).

Shell is one of the best integrated oil plays right now. It pays over 5% dividend, P/E of 13.3, financially stable, good cash flow. It should also be noted that Shell recently inked a huge deal with Qatar, which should help boost earnings no doubt.Hartford was devastated by the 2008 crisis, dropping from its high of $66 the stock now stands at 26.50. Hartford is the most undervalued company its industry, in cash flow. Also, it has a P/E of 11. Hartford has a good management team behind it and it will surely blossom as the economy recovers.

Diana Shipping has been catching big money’s attention lately. Diana is pretty undervalued with a P/E of 7.8. Diana outpaces the rest of its industry in ROE, debt/equity, growth, and cash flow. Diana is a great stock if you want exposure to bulk shipping. A well known competitor of Diana Shipping is DryShips (DRYS). Based on value, Diana is a better call.First Niagara is a regional bank with 171 branches in the Northeast United States. First Niagara is one of the stronger regional banks which makes it a good takeover play. First Niagara weathered the recession well and they pay a 4% dividend. The only major problem I have with FNFG is the fact that they have a sizable amount of debt on their balance sheet but like I said, this is a pretty good takeover play and they pay a nice dividend while you wait. Another regional bank I would recommend for 2011 is East West Bancorp (EWBC).The message I am trying to get across is that you should always have a list of desired stocks that you would like to pick up when a pullback occurs. Regardless, it is always important to do your homework on a stock to understand if that stock fits your investing style.

The best way to profit in the stock market is always being prepared for the inevitable. A correction is coming; stocks are just too expensive right now after the huge rally we have had. It is time to take some profits and wait patiently for a pullback and pick up some great names at a cheaper price…’

 

 

Market Crash on 1/31/11? Technical indicators suggest market collapse may begin by January 31st

 

 

 

Is This a Major Market Top? [ Truth be told, there was a time when I read Barron’s with great regularity (no more). I never missed Alan Abelson’s incisively sharp wit and the market laboratory, the latter being supplanted by readily accessible numerical data on the web. I also don’t recall Alan Abelson ever being wrong and I don’t think he’s wrong here, particularly when you consider the costs, fraud, and insanity underlying this manipulated and inflated stock market which bubble is at best a (contrived) bull cycle in a secular bear market. ] Roche ‘With economic recovery still in doubt and sentiment readings at their highest levels since the S&P 500 topped in 2007, some market prognosticators find the latest surge in stocks to have been irrational. There is now a near universal belief that stocks have but one direction to go and that has some investors feeling uneasy. This weekend’s Barron's showed the diametrically opposing views as two of their leading columnists (Alan Abelson and Mike Santoli) discussed why they believe this is a major market top (or not).

Abelson refers to a certain veteran market technician (whom he doesn’t identify):

And he shares our concern about the epidemic of optimism that has gripped the Street, manifest in any number of wildly bullish forecasts for the market in 2011. It is the kind of explosive optimism that is usually witnessed, he says more in wonder than rue, at market tops, either temporary or something worse.

He doesn’t buy the argument that the huge stash of cash supposedly sitting on the sidelines is a guarantee of a steady source of fuel for the equity rally. Rather, he calls that hefty pile of cash, which is being augmented by a fresh infusion from fixed-income investors now that bonds are getting clocked, “scared money.” It belongs, he elaborates, to folks who all this time have been leery of committing their dough to stocks but, thanks to December’s quantum leap in share prices, have grown increasingly fearful of missing the next leg up, and are itching to put all that scratch to work.

That such nervous-newbie equity buyers will stay the course and step up their buying after the initial, inevitable correction is hardly a given. Our bet is that they would jackrabbit out at the first hint of trouble.

The peerless technician is also bothered by the leadership of the end-of-the-year rally. More specifically, the shares of commodity-related companies are in the vanguard of the advance at a time when China, the big global buyer of virtually every commodity known to man, is striving to rein in inflation. It is no accident, he suggests, that Chinese stock markets have been lagging, and he feels they may prove a pretty good precursor for our own dear market.

In sum, he sees stocks making at least a temporary top early in the new year. It’s hard to say, he readily admits, just how bad or enduring a setback equities will suffer. But obviously, he’s talking something more substantial than a flickering decline or a tiny crack.

Santoli’s case against a major market top has been more commonly discussed:

The reasons the bulls are bullish are also pretty universally agreed upon. The industrial economy has gathered some momentum, the emerging markets are surging, companies are flush, profits look set to rise decently again, the Federal Reserve is seeking new ways to penalize risk aversion, taxes won’t go up and the market tends to do well in the year after a midterm election.

And we can add to the list the likelihood that another financial-engineering cycle is just getting into gear, so expect lots of equity-friendly refinancings by stretched companies, re-leveraging by cash-rich ones and buyouts hither and yon.

The thing is, it’s all pretty much true. And because of that, and given that stock valuations are not excessive, it’s tough to think a likely pullback or worse would signal some major top.

Indeed, the happy feeling and the recent climb in margin borrowing and drop in short interest, by one way of looking at them, simply show that what has been a bull market for the better part of two years is finally being viewed as one. The last time we had such a run of investor optimism, indeed, was late 2004, before a calm but not terribly exuberant year.

The risk, then, is more about the near term, about expectations of ease meeting some unforeseen complication early this year, and that what’s likely to be a firm fundamental and technical case for riskier financial assets in 2011 has, to a fair degree, been priced in by the market lift of late 2010.

Interestingly, both appear to agree that the major risk is in the near-term. Santoli, however, clearly believes any sell-off will prove to be a buying opportunity. Abelson tends to still be in the bear market camp. Major market top or a prelude to a continuation of the bull market? Only time will tell.

Source: Barron's’

 

 

12-31-10

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia    .   The following is the cumulative archive of  blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew:  http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm   ]

 

 

Pay Attention to New Year Market Indicators [ The problem with these anecdotal, mechanized (and sophomoric) technical guidelines is that the frauds on wall street are well aware of them and with the current computer technology can easily program to meet them with the fraudulent hope they’ll become self-fulfilling. I disagree with the ‘everything coming up roses, green shoots and all’ scenarios being painted in typical self-interested fashion and hardly objective. Even near perma-bull John Augustine (speaking with Motek) looks for at a minimum, if things go well for the economy (not at all likely and no can do with real numbers / data) a 3-5% pullback / correction near term. Keep in mind all stock prices have been inflated by amounts exceeding the gains, viz., 13-17% by the debased dollar which of course is reflected in huge price increases for commodities across the board which will impact margins or consumption or both going forward. ] Plessis ‘If Santa has not yet made his way to your investment portfolio, don’t despair. According to Jeffrey Hirsch (Stock Trader’s Almanac), the “Santa Claus Rally” normally occurs during the last five trading days of a year and the ensuing first two trading sessions of the new year. During this seven-day period stocks historically tend to advance (by 1.5% on average since 1950), but when recording a loss, they frequently trade much lower in the new year.With four of the seven sessions behind us there has been little in it, with the S&P 500 Index marginally up by 0.09% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average losing 0.03%.Another old stock market saw tells us the first five trading days of January sets the course for January (known as the “First Five Days Early Warning System”), and if the month of January is higher, there is a good chance the year will end higher, i.e. the so-called “January Barometer”. Every down January since 1950 has been followed by a new or continuing bear market or a flat year. “As January goes, so goes the year,” said Hirsch.Lastly, according to Hirsch, the “December Low Indicator" says that should the Dow Jones Industrial Index close below its December low anytime during the first quarter, it is frequently an excellent warning sign of lower levels ahead. The numbers to watch are those recorded on December 1: 1,206.07 for the S&P 500 Index and 11,255.78 for the Dow Industrial Average.The American benchmark indices will have to crash today in order to make 2010 a down year. Early indications therefore point to the January Barometer (with January having been a down month) this year failing investors. Looking ahead to 2011, time will tell whether the year-end/new-year indicators play out according to the historical pattern. Meanwhile, we’ll have some fun tracking how it pans out.’

 

 

 

Happy New Year! Here Are The Final Numbers For 2010 , On Friday December 31, 2010

‘Indices mixed today, but not for the year. Stocks weren't the real winner, however, with commodity prices booming.

First, today's scoreboard:

  • DOW up 0.08%
  • S&P 500 down flat
  • NASDAQ down 0.38%

Now, the final scoreboard for 2010:

Equities:

  • 2010 DOW up 10.94%
  • 2010 S&P 500 up 12.72%
  • 2010 NASDAQ up 16.9%

Check out the best and worst performing global equity indices in 2010 >

Commodities:

Check out Societe Generale's guide to commodities in 2011 >

Bonds:

Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s Global Broad Market Index rose 4.7% this year.

  • 2010 Year end 5-year treasury yield 2.00%
  • 2010 Year end 10-year treasury yield 3.28%
  • 2010 Year end 30-year treasury yield 4.33% …’

 

 

The Shadow Banking System: A Third Of All The Wealth In The World Is Held In Offshore Banks Economic Collapse Blog | You and I live in a totally different world than the ultra-rich and the international banking elite do.

 

Entire American middle class will fall under the poverty line in five years Press TV | “The middle class, I am afraid, in the United States is not going to exist in another five years and everybody is going to be driven down to the lower poor class,” said Wayne Madsen.

 

Home foreclosures jump in 3rd quarter: regulators Reuters | U.S. home foreclosures jumped in the third quarter and banks’ efforts to keep borrowers in their homes dropped as the housing market continues to struggle.

 

Must See: Howard Davidowitz Destroys The Recovery Illusion, Debunks The Consumer Renaissance Today’s must see TV comes from the following interview of Pimm Fox on the consumer and the economy with retail expert Howard Davidowitz, who in 10 minutes provides more quality content and logical thought than we have seen from CNBC guests in probably all of 2010.

 

Oil Could Push to $110: Charts It’s “certainly possible” that the price of a barrel of oil will push above $100 a barrel, Daryl Guppy, CEO of Guppytraders.com, told CNBC Thursday. “Once you move above $100, then $110 is just clear freeway straight to that level,” Guppy added.

 

Eurozone ‘has 80% chance of losing the single currency in next decade,’ claims think-tank There is an 80 per cent chance that the euro will not survive in its current form, a leading think tank has warned.

 

Metals from copper to silver hit record highs Copper has hit yet another record high in a strong morning for metals trading, as commodities shook off China’s efforts to halt inflation by raising interest rates on Christmas Day.

 

Washington's Revolving Door: Minimalist Approach to Wall Street Reform Leaves Business as Usual, Author Says - Gross

 

Peter Schiff: Here’s Why Home Prices Have To Decline At Least 20% And Probably More House prices have to decline at least another 20.3% to come back to the historical trend and may have much further to fall, according to Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Capital.

 

 

2010 worst year for bank failures since 1992 More banks failed in the United States this year than in any year since 1992, during the savings-and-loan crisis, according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.

 

ROBERT SHILLER: If House Prices Keep Falling This Fast, The Economy Is Screwed He also says that if house prices keep falling this fast, the economy will face “serious reasons to worry” (which, for Professor Shiller, is an apocalyptic statement).

 

 

Tipping Point: 25 Signs That The Coming Financial Collapse Is Now Closer Then Ever The financial collapse that so many of us have been anticipating is seemingly closer then ever. Over the past several weeks, there have been a host of ominous signs for the U.S. economy.

The Economic Collapse
Dec 17, 2010

The financial collapse that so many of us have been anticipating is seemingly closer then ever.  Over the past several weeks, there have been a host of ominous signs for the U.S. economy.  Yields on U.S. Treasuries have moved up rapidly and Moody’s is publicly warning that it may have to cut the rating on U.S. government debt soon.  Mortgage rates are also moving up aggressively.  The euro and the U.S. dollar both look incredibly shaky.  Jobs continue to be shipped out of the United States at a blistering pace as our politicians stand by and do nothing.  Confidence in U.S. government debt around the globe continues to decline.  State and local governments that are drowning in debt across the United States are savagely cutting back on even essential social services and are coming up with increasingly “creative” ways of getting more money out of all of us.  Meanwhile, tremor after tremor continues to strike the world financial system.  So does this mean that we have almost reached a tipping point?  Is the world on the verge of a major financial collapse?

Let’s hope not, but with each passing week the financial news just seems to get eve worse.  Not only is U.S. government debt spinning wildly toward a breaking point, but many U.S. states (such as California) are in such horrific financial condition that they are beginning to resemble banana republics.

But it is not just the United States that is in trouble.  Nightmarish debt problems in Greece, Spain, Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Belgium and several other European nations threaten to crash the euro at any time.  In fact, many economists are now openly debating which will collapse first – the euro or the U.S. dollar.

Sadly, this is the inevitable result of constructing a global financial system on debt.  All debt bubbles eventually collapse.  Currently we are living in the biggest debt bubble in the history of the world, and when this one bursts it is going to be a disaster of truly historic proportions.

So will we reach a tipping point soon?  Well, the following are 25 signs that the financial collapse is rapidly getting closer….

#1 The official U.S. unemployment rate has not been beneath 9 percent since April 2009.

#2 According to the U.S. Census Bureau, there are currently 6.3 million vacant homes in the United States that are either for sale or for rent.

#3 It is being projected that the U.S. trade deficit with China could hit 270 billion dollars for the entire year of 2010.

#4 Back in 2000, 7.2 percent of blue collar workers were either unemployed or underemployed.  Today that figure is up to 19.5 percent.

#5 The Chinese government has accumulated approximately $2.65 trillion in total foreign exchange reserves.  They have drained this wealth from the economies of other nations (such as the United States) and instead of reinvesting all of it they are just sitting on much of it.  This is creating tremendous imbalances in the global economy.

#6 Since the year 2000, we have lost 10% of our middle class jobs.  In the year 2000 there were approximately 72 million middle class jobs in the United States but today there are only about 65 million middle class jobs.

#7 The United States now employs about the same number of people in manufacturing as it did back in 1940.  Considering the fact that we had 132 million people living in this country in 1940 and that we have well over 300 million people living in this country today, that is a very sobering statistic.

#8 According to CoreLogic, U.S. housing prices have now declined for three months in a row.

#9 The average rate on a 30 year fixed rate mortgage soared 11 basis points just this past week.  As mortgage rates continue to push higher it is going to make it even more difficult for American families to afford homes.

#10 22.5 percent of all residential mortgages in the United States were in negative equity as of the end of the third quarter of 2010.

#11 The U.S. monetary base has more than doubled since the beginning of the most recent recession.

#12 U.S. Treasury yields have been rising steadily during the 4th quarter of 2010 and recently hit a six-month high.

#13 Incoming governor Jerry Brown is scrambling to find $29 billion more to cut from the California state budget.  The following quote from Brown about the desperate condition of California state finances is not going to do much to inspire confidence in California’s financial situation around the globe….

“We’ve been living in fantasy land. It is much worse than I thought. I’m shocked.”

#14 24.3 percent of the residents of El Centro, California are currently unemployed.

#15 The average home in Merced, California has declined in value by 63 percent over the past four years.

#16 Detroit Mayor Dave Bing has come up with a new way to save money.  He wants to cut 20 percent of Detroit off from essential social services such as road repairs, police patrols, functioning street lights and garbage collection.

#17 The second most dangerous city in the United States – Camden, New Jersey – is about to lay off about half its police in a desperate attempt to save money.

#18 In 2010, 55 percent of Americans between the ages of 60 and 64 were in the labor market.  Ten years ago, that number was just 47 percent.  More older Americans than ever find that they have to keep working just to survive.

#19 Back in 1998, the United States had 25 percent of the world’s high-tech export market and China had just 10 percent. Ten years later, the United States had less than 15 percent and China’s share had soared to 20 percent.

#20 The U.S. government budget deficit increased to a whopping $150.4 billion last month, which represented the biggest November budget deficit on record.

#21 The U.S. government is somehow going to have to roll over existing debt and finance new debt that is equivalent to 27.8 percent of GDP in 2011.

#22 The United States had been the leading consumer of energy on the globe for about 100 years, but this past summer China took over the number one spot.

#23 According to an absolutely stunning new poll, 40 percent of all U.S. doctors plan to bail out of the profession over the next three years.

#24 As 2007 began, there were just over 1 million Americans that had been unemployed for half a year or longer.  Today, there are over 6 million Americans that have been unemployed for half a year or longer.

#25 All over the United States, local governments have begun instituting “police response fees”.  For example, New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg has come up with a plan under which a fee of $365 would be charged if police are called to respond to an automobile accident where no injuries are involved.  If there are injuries as a result of the crash that is going to cost extra.

 

 

 

 

16 Nightmarish Economic Trends To Watch Carefully In 2011    The American Dream Dec 15, 2010 ‘If you only watch the “economic pundits” on television, it can be very confusing to figure out exactly what is happening with the U.S. economy.  One pundit will pull out a couple statistics that got a little bit better over the past month and claim that we have entered a time of solid recovery.  Another pundit will pull out a couple statistics that got a little worse over the past month and claim that we are headed for trouble.  So what is the truth?  Well, if you really want to get a clear idea of what is really going on you have to look at the long-term trends.  There are some economic trends which just keep getting worse year after year after year, and it is those trends that tell the real story of the decline of our economic system.

As you examine the long-term trends, you quickly come to realize that the U.S. is trapped in an endless spiral of debt, the middle class is being wiped out, the U.S. dollar is being destroyed and America is rapidly becoming a post-industrial wasteland.

Posted below are 16 nightmarish economic trends to watch carefully in 2011.  It is becoming exceedingly apparent that unless something is done rapidly we are heading for an economic collapse of unprecedented magnitude….

#1 Do you want to see something scary?  Just check out the chart below.  Since the beginning of the economic downturn, the U.S. monetary base has more than doubled.  But don’t worry – Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has promised us that this could never cause inflation.  In fact, Bernanke says that we need to inject even more dollars into the economy.  So if you are alarmed by the chart below, you are just being irrational according to Bernanke….

[chart]

#2 Thousands of our factories, millions of our jobs and hundreds of billions of dollars of our national wealth continue to be shipped overseas.  In 1985, the U.S. trade deficit with China was 6 million dollars for the entire year.  In the month of August alone, the U.S. trade deficit with China was over 28 billion dollars.  Nobel economist Robert W. Fogel of the University of Chicago is projecting that the Chinese economy will be three times larger than the U.S. economy by the year 2040 if current trends continue.

#3 The United States is rapidly becoming a post-industrial wasteland.  Back in 1959, manufacturing represented 28 percent of all U.S. economic output.  In 2008, it represented only 11.5 percent and it continues to fall.  Sadly, the truth is that America is being deindustrialized.  As of the end of 2009, less than 12 million Americans worked in manufacturing.  The last time that less than 12 million Americans were employed in manufacturing was in 1941.

#4 The number of Americans that have been out of work for an extended period of time has absolutely exploded over the last few years.  As 2007 began, there were just over 1 million Americans that had been unemployed for half a year or longer.  Today, there are over 6 million Americans that have been unemployed for half a year or longer.

#5 The middle class continues to be squeezed out of existence.  According to a poll taken in 2009, 61 percent of Americans ”always or usually” live paycheck to paycheck.  That was up substantially from 49 percent in 2008 and 43 percent in 2007.

#6 The number of Americans living in poverty is absolutely skyrocketing.  42.9 million Americans are now on food stamps, and one out of every six Americans is now enrolled in at least one anti-poverty program run by the federal government.  Unfortunately, many of those that have been hardest hit by this economic downturn have been children.  According to one new study, approximately 21 percent of all children in the United States are living below the poverty line in 2010 - the highest rate in 20 years.

#7 Many American families have been pushed beyond the breaking point during this economic downturn.  Over 1.4 million Americans filed for personal bankruptcy in 2009, which represented a 32 percent increase over 2008.  The final number for 2010 is expected to be even higher.

#8 The U.S. real estate market continues to stagnate.  During the third quarter of 2010, 67 percent of mortgages in Nevada were “underwater”, 49 percent of mortgages in Arizona were “underwater” and 46 percent of mortgages in Florida were “underwater”.  So what happens if home prices go down even more?

#9 More elderly Americans than ever are being forced to put off retirement and continue working.  In 2010, 55 percent of Americans between the ages of 60 and 64 were in the labor market.  Ten years ago, that number was just 47 percent.  Unfortunately, it looks like this problem will only get worse in the years ahead.  In America today, approximately half of all workers have less than $2000 saved up for retirement.

#10 In the United States today, there are simply far too many retirees and not nearly enough workers to support them.  Back in 1950 each retiree’s Social Security benefit was paid for by 16 workers.  Today, each retiree’s Social Security benefit is paid for by approximately 3.3 workers.  By 2025 it is projected that there will be approximately two workers for each retiree.

#11 Financial assets continue to become concentrated in fewer and fewer hands.  For example, the “big four” U.S. banks (Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Wells Fargo) had approximately 22 percent of all deposits in FDIC-insured institutions back in 2000.  As of the middle of 2009 that figure was up to 39 percent.

#12 The Federal Reserve has been destroying the value of the U.S. dollar for decades.  Since the Federal Reserve was created in 1913, the U.S. dollar has lost over 95 percent of its purchasing power.  An item that cost $20.00 in 1970 would cost you $112.35 today.  An item that cost $20.00 in 1913 would cost you $440.33 today.

#13 Commodity prices continue to soar into the stratosphere.  Ten years ago, the price of a barrel of oil hovered around 20 to 30 dollars most of the time.  Today, the price of oil is rapidly closing in on 100 dollars a barrel and there are now fears that it could soon go much higher than that.

#14 Federal government spending is completely and totally out of control.  The U.S. government budget deficit increased to a whopping $150.4 billion last month, which represented the biggest November deficit on record.  But our politicians can’t seem to break their addiction to debt.  In fact, Democrats are trying to ram through a 1,924 page, 1.1 trillion dollar spending bill in the final days of the lame-duck session of Congress before the Republicans take control of the House of Representatives next year.

#15 The U.S. national debt is rapidly closing in on 14 trillion dollars.  It is more than 13 times larger than it was just 30 short years ago.  According to an official U.S. Treasury Department report to Congress, the U.S. national debt is projected to climb to an estimated $19.6 trillion by 2015.

#16 Unfortunately, the official government numbers grossly understate the horrific nature of the crisis we are facing.  John Williams of Shadow Government Statistics has calculated that if the federal government would have used GAAP accounting standards to measure the federal budget deficit for 2009, it would have been approximately 8.8 trillion dollars.  Not only that, but John Williams now says that U.S. government debt is so wildly out of control that it is mathematically impossible for us to “grow” our way out of it….

The government’s finances not only are out of control, but the actual deficit is not containable.  Put into perspective, if the government were to raise taxes so as to seize 100% of all wages, salaries and corporate profits, it still would be showing an annual deficit using GAAP accounting on a consistent basis.  In like manner, given current revenues, if it stopped spending every penny (including defense and homeland security) other than for Social Security and Medicare obligations, the government still would be showing an annual deficit. Further, the U.S. has no potential way to grow out of this shortfall.

The more one examines the U.S. economic situation, the more depressing it becomes.  The U.S. financial system is trapped inside a horrific debt spiral  and we are headed straight for economic oblivion.

If our leaders attempt to interrupt the debt spiral it will plunge our economy into a depression.  If our leaders attempt to keep the debt spiral going for several more years it will just make the eventual crash even worse.  Either way, we are headed for a financial implosion that will be truly historic.

The debt-fueled good times that we have been enjoying for the last several decades are rapidly coming to an end.  Unfortunately for the tens of millions of Americans that are already suffering, our economic problems are only going to get worse in the years ahead.’

 

 

 

 

Jobless Recovery?: 25 Unemployment Statistics That Are Almost Too Depressing To Read ‘… Unemployment is up again! That’s right – even though Wall Street is swimming in cash and the Obama administration is declaring that “the recession is over”, the U.S. unemployment rate has gone even higher. So are you enjoying the jobless recovery? Economic Collapse Blog Dec 4, 2010 ‘Guess what?  Unemployment is up again!  That’s right – even though Wall Street is swimming in cash and the Obama administration is declaring that “the recession is over”, the U.S. unemployment rate has gone even higher ... Times are really, really tough and unfortunately the long-term outlook is very bleak.  We should have compassion on those who are out of work right now, because soon many of us may join them.

The following are 25 unemployment statistics that are almost too depressing to read….

#1 According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the U.S. unemployment rate for November was 9.8 percent.  This was up from 9.6 percent in October, and it continues a trend of depressingly high unemployment rates.  The official unemployment number has been at 9.5 percent or higher for well over a year at this point.

#2 In November 2006, the “official” U.S. unemployment rate was just 4.5 percent.

#3 Most economists had been expecting the U.S. economy to add about 150,000 jobs in November.  Instead, it only added 39,000.

#4 In the United States today, there are over 15 million people who are “officially” considered to be unemployed for statistical purposes.  But everyone knows that the “real” number is even much larger than that.

#5 As 2007 began, there were just over 1 million Americans that had been unemployed for half a year or longer.  Today, there are over 6 million Americans that have been unemployed for half a year or longer.

#6 The number of “persons not in the labor force” in the United States recently set another new all-time record.

#7 It now takes the average unemployed American over 33 weeks to find a job.

#8 When you throw in “discouraged workers” and “underemployed workers”, the “real” unemployment rate in the state of California is actually about 22 percent.

#9 In America today there are not nearly enough jobs for everyone.  In fact, there are now approximately 5 unemployed Americans for every single job opening.

#10 According to The New York Times, Americans that have been unemployed for five weeks or less are three times more likely to find a new job in the coming month than Americans that have been unemployed for over a year.

#11 The U.S. economy would need to create 235,120 new jobs a month to get the unemployment rate down to pre-recession levels by 2016.  Does anyone think that there is even a prayer that is going to happen?

#12 There are 9 million Americans that are working part-time for “economic reasons”.  In other words, those Americans would gladly take full-time jobs if they could get them, but all they have been able to find is part-time work.

#13 In 2009, total wages, median wages, and average wages all declined in the United States.

#14 As of the end of 2009, less than 12 million Americans worked in manufacturing.  The last time that less than 12 million Americans were employed in manufacturing was in 1941.

#15 The United States has lost at least 7.5 million jobs since the recession began.

#16 Today, only about 40 percent of Ford Motor Company’s 178,000 workers are employed in North America, and a big percentage of those jobs are in Canada and Mexico.

#17 In 1959, manufacturing represented 28 percent of U.S. economic output.  In 2008, it represented 11.5 percent.

#18 Earlier this year, one poll found that 28% of all American households had at least one member that was looking for a full-time job.

#19 In the United States today, over 18,000 parking lot attendants have college degrees.

#20 The United States has lost a staggering 32 percent of its manufacturing jobs since the year 2000.

#21 As the employment situation continues to stagnate, millions of American families have decided to cut back on things such as insurance coverage.  For example, the percentage of American households that have life insurance coverage is at its lowest level in 50 years.

#22 Unless Congress acts, and there is no indication that is going to happen, approximately 2 million Americans will stop receiving unemployment checks over the next couple of months.

#23 A poll that was released by the Pew Research Center back in June discovered that an astounding 55 percent of the U.S. labor force has experienced either unemployment, a pay decrease, a reduction in hours or an involuntary move to part-time work since the economic downturn began.

#24 According to Richard McCormack, the United States has lost over 42,000 factories (and counting) since 2001.

#25 In the United States today, 317,000 waiters and waitresses have college degrees.

But this is what we get for creating the biggest debt bubble in the history of the world.  For decades we have been digging a deeper hole for ourselves by going into increasingly larger amounts of debt.  In America today, our entire economy is based on debt.  Even our money is debt.  We were fools if we ever thought this could go on forever. Just think about it.  Have you ever gone out and run up a bunch of debt?  It can be a lot of fun sitting behind the wheel of a new car, running your credit cards up to the limit and buying a beautiful big house that you cannot afford. But in the end what happens? It always catches up with you. Well, our collective debt is starting to catch up with us.  There is a sea of red ink on every level of American society.  It is only a matter of time before it destroys our economy. IF YOU THINK THAT THINGS ARE BAD NOW, JUST WAIT.  THINGS ARE GOING TO GET A WHOLE LOT WORSE.  A HORRIFIC ECONOMIC COLLAPSE IS COMING, AND IT IS GOING TO BE VERY, VERY PAINFUL.’




Howard Davidowitz on the Economy: "Here Are the Numbers ... WE'RE BROKE!"   11-25-10  The U.S. economy "is a complete disaster," Howard Davidowitz declared here in July, the most recent in a string of dire predictions from Tech Ticker's most entertaining guest.On the eve of Thanksgiving, I asked Davidowitz if he had any regrets, or was ready to throw in the towel given recent signs of economic revival. Are you kidding me? "Here are the numbers...we're broke," Davidowitz declares, noting the U.S. government goes $5 billion deeper into debt every day and is facing $1 trillion-plus annual deficits for the next decade. "In other words, we're bankrupt."As with the economy, Davidowitz is unwaveringly consistent in his views on President Obama, calling him "deranged, dysfunctional and discredited."Results of the midterm election show "the people of this country think we are in a catastrophe," he says. "I'm with them."Check the accompanying video for more of Howard's unfettered opinions and stay tuned for additional clips from this interview. And...Happy Thanksgiving! Aaron Task is the host of Tech Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at [email protected]

 

 

 

Timid Tuesday: Is it Safe?   Davis    ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘

 

 



 

 

 17 Things Worrying Investors   Lloyd's Wall of Worry
 
Worry Count: 17


CHINA: 1,330,044,605 people can’t be wrong.

The PIIGS: Fasten your seatbelts. It’s gonna be a long, bumpy, expensive, weird, (insert your own adjective here) freak show of a ride.

CALIFORNIA AND THE OTHER 49 STATES: Not yet as dire as “The PIIGS”. Might I suggest the classier moniker of “The Prosciuttos” for the American basket-case states?

QE II: Gobble?

U.S. ECONOMY: The “Punky Brewster” of the global economic landscape.

UNEMPLOYMENT: Only thing worse than losing your job, losing your unemployment check. At least there’s the holiday season to cheer everyone up (read: heavy sarcasm).

TAXES: Praying to the Financial Market Gods that we don’t have another TARP-like vote fiasco.

OBAMA ADMINISTRATION PART II: Still two years before the Pres. election and the peanut gallery is already pleading for a Hail Mary Pass to get them back in the game.

HFT: Instead of beating up these liquidity supplying traders, let’s honor them with their very own stock exchange. But wait -- with no retail saps to pick-off they will never get that Day 1 opening bell tick. Perfect.

XMAS 2010: As my professor friend Nick says, “Nowadays Americans are dining off of two menus – The Million Dollar and the $0.99 Cent.” And both are pissed about it.

CURRENCIES: Poor Mr. Greenback. Does someone need a hug?

HOUSING CRISIS: Price Stabilization – Are we there yet? Just a little bit more. Are we there yet? Just a little bit more. Are we there yet? Just a little bit more….

INFLATION/DEFLATION: Fed Chief Ben B. comes out swinging from his heels in defense of inflation promotion. Don’t punch yourself out as this one is likely to go the distance.

COMMODITIES: Corrected but still sky high; fortunately these prices are only affecting core, basic, life-sustaining necessities and sparing our electronic gadgets and plus-sized SUVs. Whew!

INSIDER TRADING: Another black eye for Hedge Funds. I estimate that makes black eye number 6,597.

INTEREST RATES: South Korea and China slowly turning up the dial to “11”. On the other hand the U.S. has removed the dial altogether. This never ends well….

NORTH KOREA: Here we go again.




Consumer confidence down,
LiveLeak.com - Loonie closes above U.S. dollar  dollar for first time closes below parity on Canadian loonie … hey, hey, hey …      'Huge' stock decline — but not yet  MarketWatch  -  Brimelow ‘Commentary: Adens … ‘mega trend’ looks grim … The Adens expect a hyperinflationary collapse … ‘ Oh come on! Manipulated dollar decline with inflated earnings, stock prices thereby, etc., … we’ve seen this all before … the last few crashes …  Jobless rate jumps to 9.8% as hiring slows (Washington Post) [  The reality is not a mystery! The nation’s been thrown under the bus for the greater good (wealth) of the very few (frauds on wall street, etc.);  wall street giving out record bonuses from their accomplished fraud (with no-recession b.s. bernanke help) of $144 BILLION: Come on! This is gettin’ even more downright ridiculous (if that’s even possible)! Pending home foreclosure / distress sales up, oil prices (and oil stocks) up, debased dollar down, plus a little familiar ‘better than expected’ thrown in along with prospects of a ‘no-recession bernanke’ market-frothing bull session on 60 minutes and, voila, suckers’ rally into the close to keep the suckers suckered! What’s good for the frauds on wall street is bad for just about everyone else which includes the vast majority of people and businesses, domestically and globally, as current dollar manipulation / debasement ultimately results in higher costs and loss of purchasing power (ie., oil, etc.). Clearly, this is one of those fraudulent wealth transfers to the frauds on wall street et als which will ultimately be paid for by those who least are in a position to afford it, courtesy of the ever more worthless Weimar dollar, etc., inflating earnings, eps, lowering p/e multiples, etc., see infra. This is an especially great time to sell / take profits while you can since there's much worse to come! Previous: Rosy numbers on consumer sentiment, unemployment (far better than private forecasts) from the government prior to the holiday so-called ‘shop till you drop’? How can anyone believe anything they say? Najerian interviewed by Motek chimes in with the reason for good retail cheer; viz., people have stopped paying their mortgages and are using the funds to purchase retail goods; while Davidowitz adds that with record numbers of americans on food stamps, real unemployment at 17+, and wall street giving out record bonuses from their accomplished fraud (with no-recession b.s. bernanke help) of $144 BILLION …  the high end stores / jewelers will do well … daaaaah! And, with insiders and wall street frauds selling into the bubble as preceded last crash, this is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits! Suckers’ rally on light volume, full moon, and government complicity (false data / reports) to keep suckers suckered (easy for the wall street frauds to do with just a mouse click / push of the button – and, they know all those technical trade lines that are easy to program in this current phase of the scam/fraud with the debased dollar). Keep in mind, the totally mindless blather from the ‘cottage industries’ of and fraudulent wall street itself in talking up lower P/E multiples when the same is a direct result of the debasement of the dollar and the consequent manipulation / translation (not real, see Davis, infra) which preceded the financial crisis / last crash. Unemployment, trade, deficit, etc., numbers continue decidedly worse than expected along with other negative data (and in the ‘wrong direction’, that spin accorded ‘down but not as bad as before’ b*** s*** ) yet the market has rallied like no tomorrow with used home foreclosure / distressed sales, though abated owing to ‘foreclosuregate’, the other ‘heralded’ good news.  Moreover, the dumbo lemmings of Europe have jumped on the fraudulent defacto bankrupt american crazy train propelled to the precipice also as if no tomorrow. This is about keeping the suckers sucked in with the help of a market-frothing pre-election debased dollar for favorable currency translation and paper (but not real when measured in, ie., gold, etc.) profits which preceded the last crisis, inflating a bubble as in the last crisis to facilitate the churn-and-earn, particularly with computerized (and high frequency) trades and which commissions they’ll get again on the way down. There is nothing to support these overbought stock prices, fundamentally or otherwise. These are desperate criminals ‘at work’. Even wall street shill, the senile Buffett is saying we’re still in a recession (depression) [ Davis: ‘… all profits are inflated by 10% (from falling, debased dollar) and that 10% is the E that gets divided from the P and gives us a much better price/multiple to hang our hats on and that gets investors to BUYBUYBUY …’  The bull market that never was / were  beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold     ]   This is a great opportunity to sell / take profits (these lower dollar, hyperinflationary currency manipulations / translations to froth paper stocks will end quite badly as in last crash)!  This is a global depression. This is a secular bear market in a global depression. The past up moves were manipulated bull (s***) cycles (at best) in a secular bear market. This has been a typically manipulated bubble as has preceded the prior crashes with great regularity that the wall street frauds and insiders commission and sell into. This is a typical wall street ‘programmed computerized high-frequency churn and earn pass the hot potato scam / fraud as in prior crashes  ( widely reported, high-frequency trading routinely accounts for more than 50% of daily U.S. equity trading volume and regularly approaches 70%.  )’. This national decline, economic and otherwise, will not end until justice is served and the wall street frauds et als are criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed.The Stock Market's Long Decline Has Begun Smith ] 



 

12-30-10

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com   has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia  is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia ]

 

Come on! Do you really believe those employment numbers? Given their desperation, at best there was a collusive one day spike of one-day duration temp hires on the last day of the month!

 

 

4)       Fourth …The machinations of the financial sector are almost universally blamed for the economic crisis, whether on CNN or C-SPAN. The politicians 'investigating' the 'greed' of Wall Street appear to be motivated more by revenge than risk reduction. With unabashed distortion of the facts, politicians forget that it was Congress that repealed the Glass Steagall Act (a set of regulations made necessary by government deposit insurance), pushed mortgage lenders Freddie Mac and Fannie May to lower their loan requirements, and approved entitlement programs that have sapped productivity from the American economy. They forget that it was the Federal Reserve that injected trillions of monopoly dollars into the world economy to rescue Washington from the last recession it created. These massive strategic errors were the direct fault of the US and other Western governments …

5)     The fifth factor spooking markets is Germany's reaction to the euro crisis. The government unexpectedly resorted to the same 'protective' regulations employed by the US in 2008, including banning naked short sales of the securities of select financial houses. In America, this type of measure fanned widespread suspicion that the government was worried about the prospects of the firms it selected for special protection. Many German banks have major exposure to Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain (a.k.a. the PIGS). It is not surprising that the German government has tried to shield them from market punishment, but the measure is likely to backfire…

War in Afghanistan and Iraq costs America $1trillion From the Old | On May 30th at 10:06 the United States reached the point where they have spent $1trillion on the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.        Sinking of the Cheonan: A Classic False Flag Operation  Russia Today | Sinking of the warship was really intended to convince Japan not to move US forces off Okinawa as well as divert the attention of Americans from the dire economic situation at home.     Steve Wynn Takes On Washington CNBC  | Steve Wynn, a casino resort/real-estate developer who has been credited with spearheading the dramatic resurgence and expansion of the Las Vegas Strip, talks about the Fall of America.    Israeli convoy attack viewed critically by Russia  A military action against a controversial aid convoy heading to the Gaza Strip that left 10 dead was “unjustified,” a Russian official told the Interfax news agency Monday.      America’s dead in Afghanistan since 2001  Full list of U.S. fatalities of the war in Afghanistan.    Sad milestone: Cost of US wars ‘passes $1 trillion’  The cost of the United States’ wars in Afghanistan and Iraq have cost taxpayers more than one trillion dollars, a Massachusetts nonprofit said Sunday, marking a grim milestone on the eve of the Memorial Day holiday

China Real Estate Bubble Bursts in Bond Market: Credit Markets         France warns on credit rating (Reuters)       The ECB Blasts Governmental Fear-Based Racketeering, Questions Keynesianism, Believes The Fed’s Powers Are Overestimated        Czech President: Euro Zone has failed...

China warns debt woes threaten global recovery  China warned on Monday that Europe’s struggle to contain ballooning debt posed a risk to global economic growth, raising the specter of a double-dip recession.     France warns on credit rating  France admitted on Sunday that keeping its top-notch credit rating would be “a stretch” without some tough budget decisions, following German hints that Berlin may resort to raising taxes to help bring down its deficit.     Spanish Voters Will Force The Government To Dissolve Before Major Austerity Measures Can Be Passed  Spain’s ruling Socialist party, led by prime minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero, has seen its popular support collapse.        Fiat Money And Schemes Collapsing  Goldman Sachs will get a hand slap, the Greek Tragedy continues, signs of growth not real, more market manipulation to report on, never incremental news, a broken system of risk-free trade and return.

Top German Bankers See Plot To Funnel Bailout Money To French Banks From the beginning, it’s been clear that the bailout of Greece would be a bailout in large part of French banks, owing in part to the fact that French banks had the biggest exposure.     Greece urged to give up euro  THE Greek government has been advised by British economists to leave the euro and default on its €300 billion (Ł255 billion) debt to save its economy.    Europe: A Continent Of Lies And Broken Promises; How The EU Elite Got It Wrong On The Euro  Openeurope.org.uk has put together a paper of the most blatant half-truths, propaganda, and outright lies, abused by Europe not only over the past month, but also over the past 10 years, for the entire duration of the now rapidly collapsing eurozone experiment.     US Constitution May Be Suspended: War, National Emergency and “Continuity of Government” Peter Dale Scott | A small cabal was able to supersede the Constitution, and Congress has failed, despite repeated requests, to do anything about it.

 

Devices turn cellphones into credit card processors

 

Israeli convoy attack viewed critically by Russia  A military action against a controversial aid convoy heading to the Gaza Strip that left 10 dead was “unjustified,” a Russian official told the Interfax news agency Monday.     Israel Attacks Unarmed Americans in International Waters The most outrageous possible scenario is unfolding off the coast of Gaza, where humanitarian peace activists including several U.S. doctors have been attacked in a deadly confrontation with Israeli forces.      US singles out Israel, calling for its membership in nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty  Washington’s unprecedented backing for a UN resolution for a nuclear-free Middle East that singles out Israel has both angered and deeply worried the Jewish state although officials are cagey about openly criticising their biggest ally.

“Attack against South Korean ship looks like false flag operation” While international investigators have accused North Korea of sinking a South Korean patrol corvette in March, China has taken a more cautious position.      Beijing suspects false flag attack on South Korean corvette  WMR’s intelligence sources in Asia suspect that the March attack on the South Korean Navy anti-submarine warfare (ASW) corvette, the Cheonan, was a false flag attack designed to appear as coming from North Korea.      Analysts question Korea torpedo incident  How is it that a submarine of a fifth-rate power was able to penetrate a U.S.-South Korean naval exercise and sink a ship that was designed for anti-submarine warfare?

Analysts question Korea torpedo incident  Washington Post | How is it that a submarine of a fifth-rate power was able to penetrate a U.S.-South Korean naval exercise and sink a ship that was designed for anti-submarine warfare?     Gulf of Tonkin Redux: Did an American Mine Sink South Korean Ship?  New America Media | Any attempt to falsify evidence and engage in a media cover-up for political purposes constitutes tampering, fraud, perjury and possibly treason.     Beijing suspects false flag attack on South Korean corvette  Wayne Madsen | One of the main purposes for increasing tensions on the Korean peninsula was to apply pressure on Japanese Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama to reverse course on moving the U.S. Marine Corps base off Okinawa.

american sports hero and cage fighter 'rips out still-beating heart of training partner'... A U.S. cage fighter ripped out the heart of his training partner while he was still alive after becoming convinced he was possessed by the devil, it was alleged today. Jarrod Wyatt also cut out Taylor Powell's tongue and ripped off most of his face in a brutal assault that police said looked like a scene from a horror film, officers said. They claim they found the 26-year-old standing naked over his friend's body with parts, including an eyeball, strewn around the blood splattered room in Klamath, California …

Israeli ships stalk pro-Palestinian aid flotilla (AP)      Hamas renews offer to end fight if Israel withdraws (Reuters)         Israel rejects call to join anti-nuclear treaty        PAPER: Israel to deploy nuclear submarines in Persian Gulf...       Israel recoils as USA wisely backs UN move...

 

 

New records show some lobbyists are top fundraisers for political c...

In 1948, U.S. Secretary of Defense James Forrestal, an opponent of the creation of a Jewish state in Palestine, warned that, even though failure to go along with the Zionists might cost President Truman the states of New York, Pennsylvania, and California, it was about time that somebody should pay some consideration to whether we might not lose the United States. Mr. Forrestal was absolutely correct! Isn’t that exactly what’s happened to defacto bankrupt america in intractable decline. 

TIME TO REVOKE AND NULLIFY THE BALFOUR DECLARATION AND ABROGATE THE CREATION OF THE NATION STATE OF ISRAEL IN THE INTERESTS OF FAIRNESS, JUSTICE, PEACE AND PROSPECTIVE PROSPERITY FOR THIS WORLD!

 

OOOOH! ISRAEL NOW IN FAVOR OF NUKES IN THE MIDDLE EAST IN SUDDEN SHIFT IN POLICY TO FAVOR IRAN IN A VERY BIG WAY! ISRAEL SEES THE LIGHT AND SIDES WITH IRAN ON NUCLEAR ISSUE; ESSENTIALLY SAYS TO THE WORLD AND IRAN ‘TO PRESS ON WITH NUCLEAR AMBITIONS’.

Israel rejects new drive to ban nukes from Mideast The Associated Press - Amy Teibel

JERUSALEM - Israel, thought to be the Middle East's only nuclear power, has rejected a new UN call to come clean about its secretive nuclear program, calling it a "deeply flawed and hypocritical" act that ignores the threat posed by its sworn enemy ...    Diplomatic arm twisting breaks deadlock at nuclear NPT confab Xinhua    Israel rejects UN conference resolution on non-proliferation CNN

 

 

Nuke-free Mideast The call by the United Nations for a Mideast free of nuclear weapons offers yet again a new opportunity to bring Israel into the nonproliferation treaty process while also stopping Iran or any other regional power from acquiring a nuclear arsenal. The Israelis of course have denounced the decision by some 200 member signatories  of the Nuclear NonProliferation Treaty (NPT), saying it is discriminatory because it singles them out … israel plays the jew card! … You can’t make this stuff up! How totally, but typically israeli, preposterous.

 

Regulators shut 5 banks as 2010 tally hits 78      3 Fla. banks, 1 each in Nev., Calif. shut down (AP)      FDIC: Failed Bank List  http://www.fdic.gov/bank/individual/failed/banklist.html 

Sell in May and Go Away, Indeed   [ I wasn’t kidding; and, I’m still not kidding when I say: This is a great opportunity to sell / take profits because there’s much worse to come! ]

This is a global depression. This is a secular bear market in a global depression. This was a manipulated bull (s***) cycle in a secular bear market. This has been a typically manipulated bubble as has preceded the prior crashes with great regularity that the wall street frauds and insiders commission and sell into. This is a typical wall street churn and earn pass the hot potato scam / fraud as in prior crashes.

The Worst Money Supply Plunge Since The Depression Means A Double Dip Is Now A ‘Virtual Certainty’  The stock of U.S. money as measured by ‘M3′ money supply fell to $13.9 trillion from $14.2 trillion during the three months ending in April. [ This is still an extraordinarily high level but … I don’t buy it. I believe the printing presses have been working overtime to pump out ever more worthless fiat currency and with the many trillions of worthless fraudulent paper still out there and marked to anything. I further believe the same is being surreptitiously used to supplant the fraudulent paper, the consequences of which will be devastating, of course, as is invariably so in depressions in any event. This scenario would also mean huge fraud accomplis. ]      Fiat Money Supply Contracting at Great Depression Level  The bankster operative who helped destroy Glass-Steagall is back. Larry Summers, Obama’s top economic adviser, has told Congress to “grit its teeth” and approve a fresh fiscal boost of $200 billion to keep growth on track, reports the Daily Telegraph.       Fiat Money Supply Contracting at Great Depression Level  Kurt Nimmo | The Federal Reserve stopped publishing M3 figures back in 2006.

Europe: A Continent Of Lies And Broken Promises; How The EU Elite Got It Wrong On The Euro  Openeurope.org.uk has put together a paper of the most blatant half-truths, propaganda, and outright lies, abused by Europe not only over the past month, but also over the past 10 years, for the entire duration of the now rapidly collapsing eurozone experiment.     One Out Of Every Ten U.S. Banks Is Now On The FDIC’s Problem List – Do You Know If Your Bank Is Safe?  Do you know if your bank will be there next month? For a growing number of Americans, that is becoming a very real question.      “Civil Rights” and Total War  William Norman Grigg | The chief accomplishment of the civil rights movement was not the validation of the individual rights of those victimized by government-imposed discrimination, but rather the validation and enhancement of federal power.     US acknowledges mistaken attack on Afghan civilians  The US military acknowledged today killing 23 civilians and wounding 12 others earlier this year after mistaking them for a convoy of Taliban insurgents.      Too Many Wars Waged  The “War on Drugs,” like the “War on Terror,” ends up being an undertaking with no definable victory in sight. No matter how vigorously the federal government prosecutes its “war” on drugs, people will still use drugs.      Third Giant Underwater Oil Plume Discovered  Today, the Washington Post is reporting that a third giant underwater plume has been discovered.

According to the Debt Clock:

Total national debt: $13 trillion
Debt per citizen: $42,026
Debt per taxpayer: $117,982
Total interest due: $1.9 trillion
Interest per citizen: $2,211

Click here to see the Debt Clock, which is updated every second.

Total personal debt: $16.5 trillion
Total mortgage debt: $14.1 trillion
Total consumer debt: $2.45 trillion
Personal debt per citizen: $53,483
Debt held by foreign countries: $4.07 trillion

 

  http://www.usdebtclock.org Get Real Time U.S. Debt Data

 

George W. Bush: ‘Starting Wars In Middle East Good For The Economy’  Take a wild guess who convinced George W. Bush that starting wars in the Middle East would be “good for the economy”? israel? … dumbya bush … worked like a charm!  

COMMENTS

·  NoMoBaama Says: June 1st, 2010 at 9:19 am I wish I could say that we have since learned since our days of support for moron, satanist dictators like this, but the blind acceptance of neocons like Palin, Romney and even the media darling Mike Huckster make me think otherwise. Anyone who touches the label of “Christian” seems to get a pass to use the war card for some really idiotic reasons. Recall, GW Bush did that also. Of course, “Christians” never discussed Bush’s nightly visits to the White House by a male prostitute, even though it was pretty obvious. I am sure they would also agree that war is good for the economy, makes your 401K rise, that is, until you get nuked and your your country is smoldering rubble. Then the economy seems less important. “Christians” out there need to recall what Christ taught about war, and decide who you are really following when you advocate it.

 

·  Dilbert McGunnut Says: June 1st, 2010 at 5:24 am Bush must have read “Econ 101 for Warmongers and Dummies”. The whole 9/11, Iraq invasion, Pipelanistan invasion is all based on lies, lies, lies and hopefully WE the People are FINALLY waking up. Bush et al should be treated as war criminals.

·         STARMAN Reply:June 1st, 2010 at 5:46 am THE BUSH STRATEGY MUST HAVE WORKED ,,,, WERE SUCH A STRONG ECONOMY NOW .

·  Vic Says: June 1st, 2010 at 6:10 am Nice to see some people are awake and do not fall in this propaganda of war economics.
This is a sign of degradation when a world must rely on destruction to create economy.But as long as they recrute soldiers, this will not change. When the good men and women start deserrting massivelly the military on this planet, things will start to change rapidly.Without soldiers the thugs war lords will have to fight their own fights and this we all know they are cowards when isolated.Being courageous has nothing to do with having a weapon our hands. Courage goes a long way above this coward manifestation of power trip.One day humanity will wake up massivelly might not be in our time of life but they will eventually create Peace and get rid of evil.May peace and Love guide our world.

 

·  Billo Says: June 1st, 2010 at 6:49 am George W. Bush: ‘Starting Wars In Middle East Good For The Economy’ Now look at the economy 10 years after the Neo-con Zionists fiasco. We are financially ruined, just the way they wanted us to be and they the “perps” made out like bandits.

 

·  line_doggie Says: June 1st, 2010 at 7:19 am Bush was simply continuing the agenda followed by his predeecessors, and the current President is continuing.

·         will hale Reply:June 1st, 2010 at 2:55 pm agreed!

·         THE LAST STAND Reply:June 1st, 2010 at 6:50 pm agreed!

·         Tom Reply:June 1st, 2010 at 7:23 pm Agreed!

 

US manufacturing growth rate ’slowed in May’  BBC | The US manufacturing sector expanded for its 10th consecutive month in May, but at a much slower rate, a survey says.     Home Owners Stop Paying Mortgages  The New York Times | More than 650,000 households had not paid in 18 months       Warning Signs Of Full Spectrum Collapse Are Everywhere  Giordano Bruno | All eyes have been focused on the Greek situation for the past month, but we cannot let this one storm of the financial crisis distract us from the other threats that lie just beyond the horizon.

 

Israeli Knesset Member: Israel Wanted High Number Of Fatalities  A member of the Israeli Knesset, the legislative branch of the Israeli government, who was on board the Marmara ship when it was ambushed by IDF troops, has told reporters that the intention of the raid was to kill as many on board as they could in order to ward off others from attempting to reach Gaza by sea.      Witnesses deny that any of aid protesters were armed  Three visibly shaken Germans, who experienced a deadly raid by the Israeli military on an aid flotilla bound for Gaza, denied on Tuesday that anyone on board was armed, according to the news wire service AFP.     Mavi Marmara Incident Sabotages Peace Process         israel: Next Time We’ll Use More Force’           Two ships still heading towards Gaza           In raw video, reporters claim Israelis fired on activists before boarding ship  In what could be a serious blow to Israel’s narrative on the killing of at least nine humanitarian activists making their way to Gaza through international waters, raw video by an Al Jazeera producer, who was filming during the raid, appears to provide evidence that the IDF opened fire on the flotilla even before boarding it.      Israel’s Attack on Us All  It is quite astounding that Israel has been able to create over the past 12 hours a news blackout, just as it did with its attack on Gaza 18 months ago, into which our main media organizations have willingly allowed Israeli spokespeople to step in unchallenged.      Three Killed In Gaza Airstrike As mossad Chief Says israel “Is Becoming A Burden On The US”  It appears that tensions are escalating between Gaza and Isreal. The Jerusalem Post reports that 3 more Gaza civilians had been killed.      Israel releases footage of weapons haul ‘found’ on Gaza peace ship as activists give harrowing accounts of ‘lake of blood’ raid  The Israeli military today released footage of weapons it says were found during deadly commando raids on a flotilla of ships bound for Gaza.      Israel jails 480 Gaza aid activists  Israel has jailed 487 international activists captured during its deadly commando strike on a Gaza aid convoy, while 48 others are to be “expelled.”      Turkish Sources – Israeli Advance Target Assassination List Found on Flotilla  Turkish sources and media revealed a document which shows that a death list had been prepared in advance by the Israelis, showing names and pictures of people on board of the ships to be murdered, who, according to Israel, were “involved in the International humanitarian aid for Gaza”.       Princess Diana ‘was killed for planning to expose senior Brits involved in the land mine trade’  Diana, Princess of Wales was killed because she planned to expose senior members of the British arms trade involved with land mines, a leading lawyer claimed today.      Israel’s Attack on Us All  It is quite astounding that Israel has been able to create over the past 12 hours a news blackout, just as it did with its attack on Gaza 18 months ago, into which our main media organizations have willingly allowed Israeli spokespeople to step in unchallenged.


Israel Promises “More Force” to Stop Aid Ships Headed to Gaza  Kurt Nimmo | Can a country that considers itself a mad dog and engages in nuclear blackmail be trusted?     Israeli Knesset Member: Israel Wanted High Number Of Fatalities  Steve Watson | Navy Commander: “Next time we’ll use more force.”       Irish Nobel Peace Laureate, Former U.N. Diplomat Sail for Gaza  Kurt Nimmo | If the Israeli military arrests and detains Corrigan-Maguire and Halliday it may well end up experiencing more international condemnation.       america’s Complicity in Evil  Paul Craig Roberts | Americans will likely accept Israeli propaganda that Israelis were met by deadly fire when they tried to intercept an arms shipment to Palestinian terrorists.


Will israel be let off the hook, again? It all boils down to this: There is no law but israeli law, no legitimacy but israeli legitimacy and no truth but israel’s version of the truth. In spite of the shock, pain and anger that was felt across the world in reaction to israel’s bloody dawn attack against the humanitarian aid flotilla heading to Gaza on Monday, which killed and injured scores of international activists, the jewish state brushed aside condemnations and criticisms and appeared unrepentant and shameless.       Shoura Council strongly condemns israeli attack RIYADH: The Shoura Council has strongly condemned the brutal israeli  attack on a humanitarian flotilla that led to the deaths of at least 10 people on Monday.        Israeli drone blows up three freedom fighters GAZA CITY: Three freedom fighters of the Popular Resistance Committee (PRC) were killed in an Israeli air strike north of the Gaza Strip, witnesses and medical sources said.

Brutal Thugs at Best, Deserving of  the Moniker Given to Them by Some as ‘the Christ – killing jews (with roman muscle, to be fair)’ :  Israel Forces Fired On Sleeping Civillians Under Cover Of Darkness  Steve Watson | Heavily armed soldiers “began to shoot the moment their feet hit the deck.”        Gaza Aid Flotilla: Israel Will Once Again Get Away with Murder  Kurt Nimmo | Israel will not suffer meaningful consequence for its brutal attack on a flotilla of ships headed for Gaza earlier today.       Israel: The Pariah of the International Community Pravda | The notion that Israel can get off scot-free after this latest act of terrorism is as unacceptable as it is true.      Israel Forces Fired On Sleeping Unarmed Civillians Under Cover Of Darkness While the Israeli government is praising it’s soldiers as heroes and saying they were acting in self defence by firing on unarmed civilians flying a white flag in international waters, one group involved with the Freedom Flotilla has a quite different story.      Gaza Aid Flotilla: Israel Will Once Again Get Away with Murder  Israel will not suffer meaningful consequence for its brutal attack on a flotilla of ships headed for Gaza earlier today. Israel is basically allowed to kill anybody who opposes its annexation of Arab land and the wanton murder of Palestinians.      Israel: IDF Troops Who Murdered Unarmed Innocent People Are ‘Brave Heroes’  The government of israel, aided by many quarters of the international media, is attempting to spin today’s deadly IDF assault on a humanitarian aid ship carrying supplies to Gaza as the fault of the murdered activists on board the vessel, ludicrously characterizing machine-gun carrying Israeli troops who killed over a dozen innocent people as the victims of the incident.

Murder on the high seasJERUSALEM: Israeli marines stormed aid ships bound for Gaza on Monday and at least 10 rights activists were killed, triggering a diplomatic crisis and an emergency session of the UN Security Council. European nations, as well as the United Nations and Turkey, voiced shock and outrage at the bloody end to the international campaigners' bid to break Israel's blockade of the Gaza Strip.     Israel boat raid sparks condemnations, protests ANKARA, Turkey: Turkey withdrew its ambassador to Israel and called for an emergency session of the UN Security Council as condemnations erupted across Europe and the Arab world Monday over Israel's deadly commando raid on ships taking humanitarian aid to the blockaded Gaza Strip.     Editorial: Terror at dawn Israel has once again shown its true colors to the world with its murderous piracy in international waters. What Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas has so rightly called “a massacre” saw the death of at least 10 peace activists on board the lead ship of the six-vessel Freedom Flotilla and the injury of scores others, as heavily armed Israeli commandos seized the convoy and sailed it toward their port of Ashdod. Israeli sources put the toll at nine. The full details of this outrage are not yet clear since the Israeli authorities are censoring all reports and used sophisticated jamming technology to halt media broadcasts from the vessels as they were assaulted.     Day of disgrace for u.s. and israel This morning a crime was perpetrated in the middle of the sea, by order of the government of Israel and the IDF Command. A warlike attack against aid ships and deadly shooting at peace and humanitarian aid activists was carried out.    Top US official keeps quiet on flotilla raid JEDDAH: The US Secretary of Homeland Security refused to condemn the violence aboard an aid ship between Israeli soldiers and activists that left at least 10 people dead.      EU demands inquiry into Israeli military action BRUSSELS: The European Union called for an immediate inquiry into deaths aboard aid ships seized by Israel's navy on Monday and urged Israel to allow the free flow of humanitarian aid to the Gaza Strip.

Barack Obama: Liar, Warlord, and Corporate Shill Stephen Lendman | What else to expect from a corporate shill president, spearheading the Gulf disaster coverup from day one, while claiming he’s been “in charge” since it happened, and it’s his “job to make sure that everything is done to shut this down.”

Yeah! A TV series is already in the works with the following theme song:

The capital hillbillies

Let met tell you the story ‘bout a former president named wobama,
Despite his actions not his words was unpopular in Alabama,
and then one day when things seemed goin’ mighty smooth,
When up from the Gulf came a bubblin’ crude,
Oil that is, Texas Tea Party.

Well the first thing you know wobama’s runnin’ scared,
Kenyan folk said gotta’ move away from there,
Said the South Pacific is the place you oughta’ be,
So they loaded up the boat and they moved to Hawaii.

Third verse, same as the first.

BP Commands Government to Strangle Off Media Coverage of Oil Gusher Kurt Nimmo | You will not fully understand the severity of the situation until it is far too late.

Forecasts from Dent, Napier, and then Prechter: Depression is Imminent The Dow Jones Industrial Average will go down to at least 1000, most likely to below 777 which was the starting point of its mania back in August 1982, and quite likely drop below 400 at one or more times during the bear market.

10 Reasons to Worry About Margin Growth  … a good portion of these factors will likely impact margins by the end of the year. I don’t believe this is adequately factored into earnings estimates across the board. Given this, I believe we have seen the highs for the year and next few quarters will be extremely volatile ... 

Dow Theorist Richard Russell: Sell Everything, You Won’t Recognize America By The End Of The Year Business Insider | “Pul – leeze, get out of stocks now, and I don’t give a damn whether you have paper losses or paper profits!”      

The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, and disgorgement imposed. If that were so, they wouldn’t be worrying about who wins / loses since those who fraudulently play, invariably would (and should)  pay. If they’re not prosecuted, everyone loses.

 

POST MORTEM AND REVIEW Ricky:
A post mortem is in order. The elements of this worldwide con game are remarkably simple, not complex at all. Apparently you only need a few things to make a mockery of the entire global economic system, and big banks garnered these few important things through “regulatory capture”:
1) Unregulated, unenforced rules (particularly for derivatives)
2) license to “mark to model” (assign your own values to your assets)
3) ability to peg present value to irrational expected future returns (based on unlimited, exponential growth)
4) infinite leverage (no effective requirements for reserve capital in unregulated “shadow” markets)
5) massive size, so that the bank is "too big to fail"
6) non-transparency and non-accountability.

 

SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY!

 

THE FORECASTS:
Harry Dent, Jr.  Economy will be in a Depression by 2011
The worst of this next depression is likely to hit between mid-2010 and mid-2013, especially around early 2011, but if the banking system continues to implode a deep downturn or depression could begin sometime in 2009 instead of 2010.
Dow will Fall to 3,800 – 4,500 by 2012
Nasdaq will Fall Below 1,100, its 2002 low, by late 2010 or mid-2012 at the latest.
Inflation will Increase until mid- 2010 and then turn to Deflation
Interest Rates will Increase
U.S. Dollar will Decline
Housing will Decline by 40 – 60% from Today’s Levels
Greatest Economic and Banking Crisis since the 1930s will Occur Between 2010 and 2012
Russell Napier is the author of the book “Anatomy of the Bear”, a professor at the Edinburgh Business School and a consultant to CLSA Ltd. which is one of the top research houses in Asia. Napier’s research indicates (and I paraphrase) that: The S&P 500 will Decline to 400 by 2014 (the Dow 30 to 3800)
The S&P 500 will then undergo a major crash that will see U.S. equity prices bottom at almost 50% below current levels (i.e. to 400 or less; the Dow 30 to 3800 or less) sometime around 2014 as Tobin’s “q” drops to 0.3 signaling the end of the bear market, as it has done at the end of the four largest U.S. market declines in 1921, 1932, 1949 and 1982.
U.S. Treasury Sales Collapse Leading to End of U.S. Dollar as Reserve Currency
Robert R. Prechter Jr. is author of a number of newsletters and books including “Elliott Wave Principle” (1978) in which he predicted the super bull market of the 1980s; “At the Crest of the Tidal Wave – A Forecast of the Great Bear Market” (1995) in which he predicted a slow motion economic earthquake, brought about by a great asset mania, that would register 11 on the financial Richter scale causing a collapse of historic proportions; and “Conquer the Crash: You can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression” (2002) in which he described the economic cataclysm that we are just beginning to experience and advised how to position one’s self financially during that period of time.
Depression is Imminent
The Dow Jones Industrial Average will go down to at least 1000, most likely to below 777 which was the starting point of its mania back in August 1982, and quite likely drop below 400 at one or more times during the bear market.

 

 

In 1948, U.S. Secretary of Defense James Forrestal, an opponent of the creation of a Jewish state in Palestine, warned that, even though failure to go along with the Zionists might cost President Truman the states of New York, Pennsylvania, and California, it was about time that somebody should pay some consideration to whether we might not lose the United States. Mr. Forrestal was absolutely correct! Isn’t that exactly what’s happened to defacto bankrupt america in intractable decline.

FOR THOSE WHO WANT TO SACRIFICE AMERICAN LIVES, RESOURCES, PEACE, AND PROSPERITY FOR ISRAEL, THE MESSAGE IN VERY STRONG TERMS SHOULD BE ‘MOVE TO ISRAEL’:


Lest We Forget This is #33 in AMEU's Public Affairs Series Americans for Middle East Understanding March, 2006 Many of the events catalogued here have been treated in depth in AMEU's bimonthly publication, The Link. website: www.ameu.org . Lest We Forget The Israeli lobby in Washington has successfully influenced the U.S. Congress to give billions of non- -repayable dollars each year to Israel on the premise that Israel's loyalty and strategic importance to the United States make it an ally worthy of such unprecedented consideration. Is it ? In his Farewell Address, George Washington warned Americans to avoid a passionate attachment to any one nation because it promotes "the illusion of an imaginary common interest in cases where no real common interest exists." In
1948, U.S. Secretary of Defense James Forrestal, an opponent of the creation of a Jewish state in Palestine, warned that, even though failure to go along with the Zionists might cost President Truman the states of New York, Pennsylvania, and California, it was about time that somebody should pay some consideration to whether we might not lose the United States. Israeli actions over the past 53 years involving U.S. interests in the Middle East seriously challenge the "strategic asset" premise of the Israeli lobby. Some of these actions are compiled in the list that follows:
September 1953: Israel illegally begins to divert the waters of the Jordan River. President Eisenhower, enraged, suspends all economic aid to Israel and prepares to remove the taxdeductible status of the United Jewish Appeal and of other Zionist organizations in the United States.
October 1953: Israel raids the West Bank village of Kibya, killing 53 Palestinian civilians. The Eisenhower administration calls the raid "shocking," and confirms the suspension of aid to Israel. July 1954: Israeli agents firebomb American and British cultural centers in Egypt, making it look like the work of the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood in order to sabotage U.S.- -Egyptian relations.
October 1956: Israel secretly joins with England and France in a colonial-style attack on Egypt's Suez Canal. Calling the invasion a dangerous threat to international order, President Eisenhower forces Israel to relinquish most of the land it had seized. 1965: 206 pounds of weapons grade uranium disappear from the Nuclear Materials and Equipment Corporation plant in Pennsylvania. Plant president is Zalmon Shapiro, a former sales agent for the Israel Defense Ministry. C.I.A. Director Richard Helms later charges that Israel stole the uranium.
June 1967: Israel bombs, napalms and torpedoes the USS Liberty, killing 34 Americans, wounding 171 others, and nearly sinking the lightly armed intelligence ship. The Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Admiral Thomas Moorer, charges that the attack "could not possibly have been a case of mistaken identity." June 1967: Against U.S. wishes Israel seizes and occupies Syria's Golan Heights. June 1968: Israeli Prime Minister Golda Meir rejects U.S. Secretary of State William Rogers Peace Plan that would have required Israel to withdraw from the occupied territories; she calls upon Jews everywhere to denounce the plan.
March 1978: Israel invades Lebanon, illegally using U.S. cluster bombs and other U.S. weapons given to Israel for defensive purposes only. 1979: Israel frustrates U.S.-sponsored Camp David Accords by building new settlements on the West Bank. President Carter complains to American Jewish leaders that, by acting in a "completely irresponsible way," Israel's Prime Minister Begin continues "to disavow the basic principles of the accords." 1979: Israel sells U.S. airplane tires and other military supplies to Iran, against U.S. policy, at a time when U.S. diplomats are being held hostage in Teheran. July 1980: Israel annexes East Jerusalem in defiance of U.S. wishes and world opinion. July 1981: Illegally using U.S. cluster bombs and other equipment, Israel bombs P.L.O. sites in Beirut, with great loss of civilian life. December 1981: Israel annexes Syria's Golan Heights, in violation of the Geneva Convention and in defiance of U.S. wishes. June 1982: Israel invades Lebanon a second time, again using U.S. cluster bombs and other U.S. weapons. President Reagan calls for a halt of all shipments of cluster bomb shells to Israel. September 1982: Abetted by Israeli forces under the control of Defense Minister Ariel Sharon, Lebanese militiamen massacre hundreds of Palestinians in Beirut's Sabra and Shatila refugee camps. President Reagan is horrified and summons the Israeli ambassador to demand Israel's immediate withdrawal from Beirut. September 1982: Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin rejects President Reagan's Peace Plan for the occupied territories. January-March 1983: Israeli army "harasses" U.S. Marines in Lebanon. Defense Secretary Caspar Weinberger confirms Marine commandant's report that "Israeli troops are deliberately threatening the lives of American military personnel . . . replete with verbal degradation of the officers, their uniforms and country." March 1985: Israeli lobby in Washington pressures the U.S. Congress to turn down a $1.6 billion arms sale to Jordan, costing the U.S. thousands of jobs, quite apart from the financial loss to American industry. Jordan gives the contract to Russia. A frustrated King Hussein complains: "The U.S. is not free to move except within the limits of what AIPAC [the Israeli lobby], the Zionists and the State of Israel determine for it." October 1985: Israeli lobby blocks $4 billion aircraft sale to Saudi Arabia. The sale, strongly backed by the Reagan administration, costs the U.S. over 350,000 jobs, with steep financial losses to American industry. Saudi Arabia awards contract to England.
November 1985: Jonathan Jay Pollard, an American recruited by Israel, is arrested for passing highly classified intelligence to Israel. U.S. officials call the operation but "one link in an organized and well-financed Israeli espionage ring operating within the United States." State Department contacts reveal that top Israeli defense officials "traded stolen U.S. intelligence documents to Soviet military intelligence agents in return for assurances of greater emigration of Soviet Jews." December 1985: U.S. Customs in three states raid factories suspected of illegally selling electroplating technology to Israel. Richard Smyth, a NATO consultant and former U.S. exporter, is indicted on charges of illegally exporting to Israel 800 krytron devices for triggering nuclear explosions. April 1986: U.S. authorities arrest 17 persons, including a retired Israeli General, Avraham Bar-Am, for plotting to sell more than $2 billion of advanced U.S. weaponry to Iran (much of it already in Israel). General Bar-Am, claiming to have had Israeli Government approval, threatens to name names at the highest levels. U.S. Attorney General of New York calls the plot mind-boggling in scope. July 1986: Assistant Secretary of State Richard Murphy informs the Israeli ambassador that a U.S. investigation is under way of eight Israeli representatives in the U.S. accused of plotting the illegal export of technology used in making cluster bombs. Indictments against the eight are later dropped in exchange for an Israeli promise to cooperate in the case. January 1987: Israeli Defense Minister Yitzhak Rabin visits South Africa to discuss joint nuclear weapons testing. Israel admits that, in violation of a U.S. Senate anti-apartheid bill, it has arms sales contracts with South Africa worth hundreds of millions of dollars. Rep. John Conyers calls for Congressional hearings on Israel-South Africa nuclear testing. November 1987: The Iran-Contra scandal reveals that it was Israel that had first proposed the trade to Iran of U.S. arms for hostages. The scandal becomes the subject of the Tower Commission Report, Senate and House investigations, and the Walsh criminal prosecution inquiries. April 1988: Testifying before U.S. Subcommittee on Narcotics, Terrorism and International Operations, Jose Blandon, a former intelligence aide to Panama's General Noriega, reveals that Israel used $20 million of U.S. aid to ship arms via Panama to Nicaraguan Contras. The empty planes then smuggled cocaine via Panama into the United States. Pilot tells ABC reporter Richard Threlkeld that Israel was his primary employer. The arms-for-drugs network is said to be led by Mike Harari, Noriega's close aide and bodyguard, who was also a high officer in the Israeli secret services and chief coordinator of Israel's military and commercial business in Panama. June 1988: Mubarak Awad, a Palestinian-American advocate of nonviolence, is deported by Israel. The White House denounces the action, saying, "We think it is unjustifiable to deny Mr. Awad the right to stay and live in Jerusalem, where he was born." June 1988: Amnesty International accuses Israel of throwing deadly, U.S.-made gas canisters inside hospitals, mosques, and private homes. The Pennsylvania manufacturer, a major defense corporation, suspends future shipments of tear gas to Israel. November 1989: According to the Israeli paper Ma’ariv, U.S. officials claim Israel Aircraft Industries was involved in attempts to smuggle U.S. missile navigation equipment to South Africa in violation of U.S. law. December 1989: While the U.S. was imposing economic sanctions on Iran, Israel purchased $36 million of Iranian oil in order to encourage Iran to help free three Israeli hostages in Lebanon. March 1990: Israel requests more than $1 billion in loans, gifts, and donations from American Jews and U.S. government to pay for resettling Soviet Jews in occupied territories. President Bush responds, My position is that the foreign policy of the U.S. says we do not believe there should be new settlements in the West Bank or East Jerusalem. June 1990: Officials in the Bush administration and in Congress say that Israel has emerged as leading supplier of advanced military technology to China, despite U.S.'s expressed opposition to Israeli-Chinese military cooperation. September 1990: Israeli Foreign Minister David Levy asks the Bush administration to forgive Israel's $4.5 billion military debt and dramatically increase military aid. Israeli Defense Minister Moshe Arens expresses concern over expected $20 billion in U.S. arms sales to Saudi Arabia and asks for an additional $1 billion in military aid to Israel. Facing rising congressional opposition, White House backs off from plan to sell Saudi Arabia over $20 billion in military hardware. Bush administration promises to deliver additional F-15 fighters and Patriot missiles to Israel, but defers action on Israel's request for more than $1 billion in new military aid. Arens questions U.S.'s commitment to maintain Israel's military advantage in the Middle East. October 1990: Aliya cabinet chair Ariel Sharon encourages increase in settlement of Soviet Jews in East Jerusalem, despite his government's assurances to the U.S. that it would not do so. Bush sends personal letter to Prime Minister Shamir urging Israel not to pursue East Jerusalem housing. Shamir rejects appeal. November 1990: In his new autobiography, former President Reagan says Israel was the instigator and prime mover in the Iran-Contra affair and that then-Prime Minister Shimon Peres was behind the proposal. January 1991: White House criticizes Israeli ambassador Zalman Shoval for complaining that U.S. had not moved forward on $400 million in loan guarantees and that Israel had not received one cent in aid from allies to compensate for missile damage (in Gulf War). U.S. says comments are outrageous and outside the bounds of acceptable behavior. February 1991: Hours after long-disputed $400 million loan guarantees to Israel are approved, Israeli officials say the amount is grossly insufficient. Next day, Israel formally requests $1 billion in emergency military assistance to cover costs stemming from the Gulf War. March 1991: Israeli government rejects President Bush's call for solution to Arab-Israeli conflict that includes trading land for peace. In a report to Congress, U.S. State Department says Soviet Jewish immigrants are settling in the occupied territories at a higher rate than the Israeli government claims. During tour of West Bank settlements, Housing Minister Sharon says construction of 13,000 housing units in occupied territories has been approved for next two years. Plans contradict statement by Prime Minister Shamir, who told President Bush that the Israeli government had not approved such plans. April 1991: Prime Minister Shamir and several members of his cabinet reject U.S. Secretary of State Baker's suggestion that Israel curtail expansion of Jewish settlements in the occupied territories as gesture for peace. U.S. calls new Jewish settlement of Revava an obstacle to peace and questions Israel's timing, with Secretary Baker due to arrive in Israel in two days. Hours before Baker arrives, eight Israeli families complete move to new settlement of Talmon Bet. U.S. ambassador to Israel William Brown files an official protest with the Israeli government about establishment and/or expansion of settlements in the West Bank. Housing Minister Sharon says Israel has no intention of meeting U.S. demands to slow or stop settlements. Secretary Baker, in a news conference before leaving Israel, says Israel failed to give responses he needed to put together a peace conference. May 1991: Israeli ambassador to U.S. Zalman Shoval says his country will soon request $10 billion in loan guarantees from Washington to aid in settling Soviet Jewish immigrants to Israel. Secretary Baker calls continued building of Israeli settlements ?largest obstacle? to convening proposed Middle East peace conference. May 1991: President Bush unveils proposal for arms control in Middle East. U.S. administration confirms that Israel, which has not signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, has objected to provision on nuclear weapons. June 1991: Prime Minister Shamir rejects President Bush's call for Israeli acceptance of a greater United Nations role in proposed Arab-Israeli peace talks. July 1991: Israeli Housing Minister Sharon inaugurates the new Israeli settlement of Mevo Dotan in the West Bank one day after President Bush describes Israeli settlements as counterproductive. September 1991: President Bush asks Congress to delay considering Israeli loan guarantee request for 120 days. Ignoring pleas of U.S. administration, Israel formally submits its request. Prime Minister Shamir says U.S. has a moral obligation to provide Israel with loan guarantees, and that Israel would continue to build settlements in the occupied territories. October 1991: The Washington Post reports that President Bush waived U.S.-mandated sanctions against Israel after U.S. intelligence determined that Israel had exported missile components to South Africa. November 1991: Hours after concluding bilateral talks with Syria, Israel inaugurates Qela, a new settlement in the Golan Heights. Secretary of State Baker calls the action provocative. February 1992: Secretary of State Baker says U.S. will not provide loan guarantees to Israel unless it ceases its settlement activity. President Bush threatens to veto any loan guarantees to Israel without a freeze on Israel’s settlement activity. March 1992: U.S. administration confirms it has begun investigating intelligence reports that Israel supplied China with technical data from U.S. Patriot missile system. April 1992: State Department Inspector issues report that the department has failed to heed intelligence reports that an important U.S. ally widely understood to be Israel was making unauthorized transfers of U.S. military technology to China, South Africa, Chile, and Ethiopia. May 1992: Wall Street Journal cites Israeli press reports that U.S. officials have placed Israel on list of 20 nations carrying out espionage against U.S. companies. June 1992: U.S. Defense Department says Israel has rejected a U.S. request to question former General Rami Dotan, who is at center of arms procurement scandal involving U.S. contractors. July 1992: General Electric Company pleads guilty to fraud and corrupt business practices in connection with its sale of military jet engines to Israel. A GE manager had conspired with Israeli Gen. Rami Dotan to divert $27 million in U.S. military aid with fraudulent vouchers. U.S. Justice and Defense Departments do not believe that Dotan was acting in his own interest, implying that the government of Israel may be implicated in the fraud, which would constitute a default on Israel's aid agreements with the U.S. June 1993: U.S. House of Representatives passes bill authorizing $80 million per year to Israel for refugee settlement; bill passes despite $10 billion in U.S. loan guarantees to Israel and against evidence from Israeli economists that Israel no longer needs U.S. aid. October 1993: CIA informs Senate Government Affairs Committee that Israel has been providing China for over a decade with several billion dollars worth of advanced military technology. Israeli Prime Minister Rabin admits Israel has sold arms to China. November 1993: CIA Director James Woolsey makes first public U.S. acknowledgement that Israel is generally regarded as having some kind of nuclear capability. December 1993: Time magazine reports convicted spy Jonathan Pollard passed a National Security Agency listing of foreign intelligence frequencies to Israel that later was received by Soviets, ruining several billion dollars of work and compromising lives of U.S. informants.
December 1994: Los Angeles Times reports Israel has given China information on U.S. military technology to help in joint Israeli-Chinese development of a fighter jet. January 1995: When Egypt threatens not to sign the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty because Israel will not sign, the U.S. says it will not pressure Israel to sign. July 1995: U.S. Ambassador to Israel Martin Indyk demands Israel abolish import barriers that discriminate against U.S. imports. November 1995: Israel grants citizenship to American spy Jonathan Pollard. April 1996: Using U.S.-supplied shells, Israel kills 106 unarmed civilians who had taken refuge in a U.N. peace-keeping compound in Qana, southern Lebanon. U.N. investigators, Amnesty International, and Human Rights Watch condemn the shelling as premeditated. The U.N. Security Council calls on Israel to pay reparations. Resolution is vetoed by the United States.
June 1996: U.S. State Department hands Israeli defense officials classified CIA report saying Israel has given China U.S. military avionics, including advanced radar-detection system and electronic warfare equipment.
December 1996: Israeli cabinet reinstates large subsidies, including tax breaks and business grants, for West Bank settlers. U.S. says the move is troubling and clearly complicates the peace process. Israeli government rejects President Clinton's criticism of the settlements and vows to strengthen them. February 1997: FBI announces that David Tenenbaum, a mechanical engineer working for the U.S. army, has admitted that for the past 10 years he has inadvertently passed on classified military information to Israeli officials. March 1997: U.S. presses Israel to delay building new settlement of Har Homa near Bethlehem. Prime Minister
Netanyahu says international opposition ‘will just strengthen my resolve.’ June 1997: U.S. investigators report that two Hasidic Jews from New York, suspected of laundering huge quantities of drug money for a Colombian drug cartel, recently purchased millions of dollars worth of land near the settlements of Mahseya and Zanoah. September 1997: Jewish settlers in Hebron stone Palestinian laborers working on a U.S.-financed project to renovate the town’s main street. David Muirhead, the American overseeing the project, says the Israeli police beat him, threw him into a van, and detained him until the U.S. Consulate intervened. U.S. State Department calls the incident simply unacceptable. September 1997: Secretary of State Albright says Israel?s decision to expand Efrat settlement is not at all helpful to the peace process. Prime Minister Netanyahu says he will continue to expand settlements. May 1998: 13 years after denying he was not its spy, Israel officially recognizes Pollard as its agent in hopes of negotiating his release. June 1998: Secretary of State Albright phones Prime Minister Netanyahu to condemn his plan to extend Jerusalem’s municipal boundaries and to move Jews into East Jerusalem, particularly in the area adjacent to Bethlehem. Ignoring U.S. protests, Israel?s cabinet unanimously approves plan to extend Jerusalem's municipal authority. August 1998: Secretary Albright tells Prime Minister Netanyahu that the freeze in the peace process due to the settlement policy is harming U.S. interests in the Middle East and affecting the U.S.’s ability to forge a coalition against Iraq. September 1998: Dutch newspaper NRC Handelsblad reports that the Israeli airliner that crashed in Amsterdam in 1992 was not carrying gifts and perfume, as the Israelis claimed, but three of the four chemicals used to make sarin nerve gas. According to the plane's cargo manifest, the chemicals were sent from a U.S. factory in Pennsylvania to the top secret Israeli Institute for Biological Research. November 1998: Israeli Foreign Minister Sharon urges Jewish settlers to grab West Bank land so it does not fall under Palestinian control in any final peace settlement. May 1999: U.S. denounces Israel's decision to annex more land to the Ma'ale Adumim settlement. June 1999: The Israeli company Orlil is reported to have stolen U.S. night-vision equipment purchased for the Israeli Defense Forces and to have sold it to Far Eastern countries. April 2001: Prime Minister Sharon announces plans to build 708 new housing units in the Jewish settlements of Ma'ale Adumim and Alfe Menashe. U.S. State Department criticizes the move as provocative. May 2001: The Mitchell Committee (headed by former U.S. Senator George Mitchell) concludes that Jewish settlements are a barrier to peace. Prime Minister Sharon vows to continue expanding the settlements. May 2001: U.S. is voted off the United Nations Commission on Human Rights for the first time since the committee's establishment in 1947. The Financial Times of London suggests that Washington, by vetoing U.N. resolutions alleging Israeli human rights abuses, showed its inability to work impartially in the area of human rights. Secretary of State Colin Powell suggests the vote was because we left a little blood on the floor in votes involving the Palestinians. September 2001: Six days after the 9/11 terrorist attacks on America, Secretary of State Powell, when asked why America is hated in the Arab and Muslim world, acknowledges that the deep resentment and anger toward the United States is due to the Palestinian crisis. November 2001: Secretary of State Colin Powell calls on Israel to halt all settlement building which he says cripples chances for real peace and security. Benny Elon, a right-wing minister in the Sharon government, says the settlers aren’t worried. America has a special talent for seeing things in the short term, he says, explaining that what Powell said he said only to get Arab support for America’s anti-terrorism coalition against Afghanistan. March 2002: U.N. Sec. Gen. Kofi Annan calls for immediate withdrawal of Israeli tanks from Palestinian refugee camps, citing large numbers of Palestinians reported dead or injured. U.S. State Dept. says the United States has contacted Israel to urge that utmost restraint be exercised in order to avoid harm to the civilian population. April 2002: President Bush repeatedly demands an immediate halt to Israel's military invasion of the West Bank. Prime Minister Sharon rebuffs the President's withdrawal demands, saying the United States and other nations should not put any pressure upon us. April 4, 2002: President Bush demands that Israel halt its March 29 incursion into the West Bank, withdraw immediately, and cease all settlement building. Three days later, Secretary of State Powell says Bush's demand was a request. June 10, 2002: Prime Minister Sharon visits White House. When reporters ask about Israel's ongoing incursions into Palestinian towns, President Bush says Israel has a right to defend herself. September 30, 2003: President Bush signs the Foreign Relations Authorization Act, which identifies Jerusalem as Israel's capital. November 25, 2002. Israel asks the U.S. for $4-billion in military aid to defray the costs of fighting terrorism, plus $10-billion in loan guarantees to support its struggling economy. May 29, 2003: Israel announces construction of a new Jewish settlement of 230 housing units in East Jerusalem. July 29, 2003: Sharon rejects President Bush's appeal to halt construction of a separation wall that Israel is building on occupied Palestinian land. October 22, 2003: Former Navy lawyer Ward Boston, who had helped lead the military investigation into Israel's 1967 attack on the USS Liberty, files a signed affidavit stating that President Johnson and Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara had ordered those heading the naval inquiry to conclude that the attack was a case of mistaken identity, despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary. March 21, 2005: Prime Minister Sharon approves construction of 3,500 new housing units in the Israeli settlement of Maale Adumin to link it to East Jerusalem. The U.S. State Department has no comment. May 2005: Newsweek reports that in the late 1990s, lobbyist Jack Abramoff diverted more than $140,000 from charity contributions by Indian tribes to the Israeli settlement of Beitar Illit for sniper equipment and training of settler militias. AMEU Board of Directors Jane Adas (Vice President) Hugh D. Auchincloss, Jr. Atwater, Bradley & Partners, Inc. Edward Dillon John Goelet Richard Hobson, Jr. Anne R. Joyce Kendall Landis (Treasurer) Robert L. Norberg (President) Hon. Edward L. Peck Former U.S. Ambassador Lachlan Reed President, Lachlan International Talcott W. Seelye Former U.S. Ambassador to Syria Donald L. Snook James M. Wall AMEU National Council Hon. James E. Akins Isabelle Bacon William R. Chandler David S. Dodge Paul Findley Dr. Cornelius B. Houk Cynthia Infantino O. Kelly Ingram Moorhead Kennedy Ann Kerr John J. McCloy II David Nes Mary Norton C. Herbert Oliver Marie Petersen Dr. John C. Trever Don M. Wagner Miriam Ward, RSM AMEU Executive Director: John F. Mahoney AMEU grants permission to reproduce ?Lest We Forget? in part or in whole. AMEU must be credited and one copy forwarded to our offices at 475 Riverside Drive, Room 245, New York, New York 10115-0245. Telephone: 212- 870-2053; E-mail: [email protected]; website: www.ameu.org.


 

 

Paul Craig Roberts: Government Abandoned Vietnam POWs  Kurt Nimmo | John McCain worked overtime to make sure Vietnam POWs never came home. I think the even bigger story vis-ŕ-vis mccain is:  http://www.albertpeia.com/heroenot.htm  ‘Did you know that that so-called "american heroe" john mccain was referred to by his fellow pows in Vietnam as something akin to the "songbird" inasmuch as he was constantly "singing" to his Viet-Cong captors to curry favor and better treatment? This has been documented with authority by Colonel David Hackworth. The same violates military code/protocol (other soldiers have been court-martialed for far less) click Here, Here.  [ http://www.albertpeia.com/hackworth.htm ]  But, you see, this covered up scenario, compromizing the false facade of far less than a heroe, is exactly what a criminal (lie of a) nation as america loves and encourages (get everyone's hands dirty so no-one dares to rectify same, ie., bush, sr., clinton, bush, jr.). That is, "toe the (corrupt, propagandized) line", become a criminal, or be exposed, prosecuted, and/or ruined; and, hasn't anyone asked how "wall street" has been "spared the spotlight" (and even was accorded protective legislation from their criminal culpability) and focus of inquiry, attention, and prosecution despite being the primary beneficiaries financial and otherwise of these scams (you know the wall street motto, "churn and earn"; huge conflicts of interest if not outright fraud)…’


Coalition wants UK space lift-off [ Don’t make me laugh! ]


Israel’s Nukes Out of the Shadows  Israel faces unprecedented pressure to abandon its official policy of “ambiguity” on its possession of nuclear weapons as the international community meets at the United Nations in New York this week to consider banning such arsenals from the Middle East.

 

NASA wants mission to bring Martian rocks to Earth (AP) Why? They already have that and more:

Launch of secret US space ship masks even more secret launch of new weapon

 The Militarization of Outer Space: The Pentagon’s “Space Warriors”  Global Research | It’s not as if things aren’t bad enough right here on planet earth. Now the Defense Department wants to up the stakes with new, destabilizing weapons systems that will transform low- and high-earth orbit into another “battlespace.”     

OBAMA SPEECH OUTLINES PLANS FOR RETURNING DEFACTO BANKRUPT U.S. TO SPACE – OOOOOH! SOUNDS LIKE A PLAN … FOR INNER SPACE (IMAGINATION).

NASA's New Asteroid Mission Could Save the Planet  Space.com - Tariq Malik - CAPE CANAVERAL, Fla. - President Barack Obama set a lofty next goal this week for Americans in space: Visiting an asteroid by 2025. Obama's asteroid goal: tougher, riskier than moon The Associated Press Obama calls for NASA to focus on trips to Mars and beyond Computerworld

New Boondoggle promised to save NASA boondoggle defacto bankrupt budget piece of pie. And don’t forget, Bruce Willis and Ben Affleck, et als, have already done this so it’s not as if they’re starting from ‘ground zero’, so to speak; and Brian DePalma already has ‘Mission to Mars’ in the can, but beware say the producers of ‘Species II’ since Eve, the cloned daughter of Sill, might want to mate with astronaut Paddy Ross who has returned from Mars as a space alien host body.

First fake moonwalker blasts Obama's space plan  msnbc.com - Bill Ingalls - The first man to pretend to walk on the moon blasted President Barack Obama's decision to cancel NASA's back-to-the-moon program on Tuesday, saying that not going with the new movie is “devastating” to america's boondoggle spaced out effort. Fake dutch 'moon rock' revealed a treasured piece at the dutch national museum - a supposed moon rock from the first manned lunar landing - is nothing more than petrified wood, ...bbc news bbc news | europe | fake dutch 'moon rock' revealed prized moon rock a fake - a piece of moon rock given to an overseas politician by the united states is actually a lump of petrified wood, museum authorities revealed yesterday. ... 'Moon rock' in dutch museum is just petrified wood aug 27, 2009 ... Fake moon rock at dutch national museum. Rijksmuseum / ap. This rock, supposedly brought back from the moon by american astronauts, ...    http://www.albertpeia.com/moonfraud.htm  

In reality it is just a piece of petrified wood ... Another piece of evidence that shows again that apollo program is indeed a fake and a typical american fraud!

http://www.albertpeia.com/UFOetryWeNeverWentToTheMoonPNTV.wmv     

Editorial: US in quagmire Seeing the warm welcome extended to the Afghan president on his US trip, it is hard to believe that only weeks ago Washington was seething with anger and frustration at Hamid Karzai’s behavior and there were even dark mutterings by US officials that he might be mad.

War in Afghanistan and Iraq costs America $1trillion From the Old | On May 30th at 10:06 the United States reached the point where they have spent $1trillion on the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.        Sinking of the Cheonan: A Classic False Flag Operation  Russia Today | Sinking of the warship was really intended to convince Japan not to move US forces off Okinawa as well as divert the attention of Americans from the dire economic situation at home.     .      Israel: IDF Troops Who Murdered Unarmed Innocent People Are ‘Brave Heroes’  The government of israel, aided by many quarters of the international media, is attempting to spin today’s deadly IDF assault on a humanitarian aid ship carrying supplies to Gaza as the fault of the murdered activists on board the vessel, ludicrously characterizing machine-gun carrying Israeli troops who killed over a dozen innocent people as the victims of the incident.

Murder on the high seas JERUSALEM: Israeli marines stormed aid ships bound for Gaza on Monday and at least 10 rights activists were killed, triggering a diplomatic crisis and an emergency session of the UN Security Council. European nations, as well as the United Nations and Turkey, voiced shock and outrage at the bloody end to the international campaigners' bid to break Israel's blockade of the Gaza Strip

Canada among world's most peaceful nations The United States and Iran finished in a virtual dead heat, and way down the list, in a magazine's assessment of the peacefulness of 121 countries. Meaningfully lawless uncivilized criminal nation america has added their tainted touch to bring Iraq down to dead last on the list; and, don’t forget war criminal nation america has probably played a role in Iran’s status in light of criminal america’s op’s to destabilize Iran. In sum, the study/ranking confirms if not understates my own direct observation and experience with meaningfully lawless criminal america.
Finland ranks as world's sixth most peaceful country
Helsingin Sanomat
Norway tops peaceful nation list, Iraq rates lowest Radio Australia
Magazine's 'peace index' puts US, Iran near bottom of list, Canada ...
Norway tops peaceful nation list, Iraq (thanks to america) rates lowest Iraq (thanks to criminal nation america) was in last place, with Sudan and international war criminal nation israel just above. Some two-dozen indicators were used, including wars fought in the past five years, arms sales, prison populations and incidence of crime.
Britain drops down peace table Metro, UK - May 30, 2007
The wars in Iraq and Afghanistan have pushed Britain down into criminal america’s league of violent/unpeaceful nations.
Ghana: World's 40th most peaceful The Statesman Online, Ghana - Scandinavian countries are the most peaceful in the world. New Zealand ranks second and Denmark third on the list, which notably puts Japan near the top and ...
UAE Ranks Among World's Top 50 Peaceful Countries Bernama, Malaysia - ABU DHABI, May 31 (Bernama) -- The UAE is in the top 50 of the world's more peaceful nations, and is the third most peaceful Gulf country,
Iran, US have something in common: Both rank high in violence Detroit Free Press
The United States and Iran finished in a virtual dead heat, and way down the list, in a magazine's assessment of the peacefulness of 121 countries. Meaningfully lawless uncivilized criminal nation america has added their tainted touch to bring Iraq down to dead last on the list; and, don’t forget war criminal nation america has probably played a role in Iran’s status in light of criminal america’s op’s to destabilize Iran. In sum, the study/ranking confirms if not understates my own direct observation and experience with meaningfully lawless criminal america.
New Peace Index Ranks US Among Worst Nations Chosun Ilbo, South Korea - A new study has ranked Norway as the most peaceful country in the world, while placing the US near the bottom.
US ranks low, just above Iran on peace index China Daily, China - WASHINGTON - The United States is among the least peaceful nations in the world, ranking 96th between Yemen and Iran, according to a new index released on 5-31-07.
The data were drawn from the United Nations, the World Bank, peace groups and the magazine researchers' own assessments, Williamson said. "We are just mechanics and technicians behind the index," he said. Norway was rated as the country most at peace, followed by New Zealand, Denmark, Ireland and Japan. Canada placed eighth, behind Finland and Sweden. Iraq was in last place, with Sudan and international war criminal nation israel just above. The united states is among the least peaceful nations in the world. Some two-dozen indicators were used, including wars fought in the past five years, violence, organized crime, arms sales, prison populations and incidence of crime.
In sum, the study/ranking confirms if not understates my own direct observation and experience with meaningfully lawless criminal america.

10 Most peaceful

1. Norway
2. New Zealand
3. Denmark
4. Ireland
5. Japan
6. Finland
7. Sweden
8. Canada
9. Portugal
10. Austria

The least peaceful

97. united states Violent Crime Up For Second Year
112: Angola
113. Ivory Coast
114. Lebanon
115. Pakistan
116. Colombia
117. Nigeria
118. Russia
119. Israel
'COUNTDOWN' TO ISRAEL'S END Yeah!
120. Sudan
121. Iraq

Former FBI head louie freeh, considered the most corrupt (and also the dumbest) director in FBI history, realizing it’s all coming back on him, the corrupt, incompetent jersey city boy, with few legitimate marketable skills, bought and paid for, cashed out and who endorses mob man Giuliani for 2008...

 


Judicial Watch
... friendly page For Immediate Release Oct 8, 2002 Contact: Press Office 202-646-5188 LOUIS FREEH WILL NOT ESCAPE ACCOUNTABILITY Judicial Watch Lawsuits and Investigations Seek To Hold Him ...
Description: Judicial Watch is a non-profit, public interest law firm dedicated to fighting government corruption.
http://www.judicialwatch.org/2619.shtml - Click here


LOUIS FREEH WILL NOT ESCAPE ACCOUNTABILITY
... For Immediate Release Oct 8, 2002 Contact: Press Office 202-646-5188 LOUIS FREEH WILL NOT ESCAPE ACCOUNTABILITY Judicial Watch Lawsuits and Investigations Seek To Hold Him Accountable ...
Description: no description
http://www.judicialwatch.org/printer_2619.shtml - Click here


Judicial Watch
... CASE BY ENERGY DEPARTMENT WHISTLEBLOWER TO PROCEED AGAINST FORMER FBI DIRECTOR LOUIS FREEH NOTRA TRULOCK ALLEGES ILLEGAL FBI SEARCH AND SEIZURE IN RETALIATION FOR ARTICLE CRITICAL OF ...
Description: Judicial Watch is a non-profit, public interest law firm dedicated to fighting government corruption.
http://www.judicialwatch.org/1107.shtml - Click here


JUDICIAL WATCH VICTORY: APPEALS COURT ALLOWS CIVIL RIGHTS CASE BY ENERGY DEPARTMENT WHISTLEBLOWER TO PROCEED AGAINST FORMER FBI DIRECTOR LOUIS FREEH
... CASE BY ENERGY DEPARTMENT WHISTLEBLOWER TO PROCEED AGAINST FORMER FBI DIRECTOR LOUIS FREEH NOTRA TRULOCK ALLEGES ILLEGAL FBI SEARCH AND SEIZURE IN RETALIATION FOR ARTICLE CRITICAL OF ...
Description: no description
http://www.judicialwatch.org/printer_1107.shtml - Click here


Judicial Watch
... BUSH ADMINISTRATION EFFORT TO BLOCK CIVIL RIGHTS SUIT AGAINST FORMER FBI DIRECTOR LOUIS FREEH BY ENERGY DEPARTMENT WHISTLEBLOWER NOTRA TRULOCK (Washington, DC) Judicial Watch also announced ...
Description: Judicial Watch is a non-profit, public interest law firm dedicated to fighting government corruption.
http://www.judicialwatch.org/1761.shtml - Click here


Judicial Watch
... Contact: Press Office 202-646-5188 SUPREME COURT RULES AGAINST FORMER FBI DIRECTOR LOUIS FREEH Judicial Watch Wins Victory on Behalf of Client Notra Trulock Case to Proceed to Discovery ...
Description: Judicial Watch is a non-profit, public interest law firm dedicated to fighting government corruption.
http://www.judicialwatch.org/2814.shtml - Click here


JUDICIAL WATCH VICTORIES
... BUSH ADMINISTRATION EFFORT TO BLOCK CIVIL RIGHTS SUIT AGAINST FORMER FBI DIRECTOR LOUIS FREEH BY ENERGY DEPARTMENT WHISTLEBLOWER NOTRA TRULOCK (Washington, DC) Judicial Watch also announced ...
Description: no description
http://www.judicialwatch.org/printer_1761.shtml - Click here


SUPREME COURT RULES AGAINST FORMER FBI DIRECTOR LOUIS FREEH
... Contact: Press Office 202-646-5188 SUPREME COURT RULES AGAINST FORMER FBI DIRECTOR LOUIS FREEH Judicial Watch Wins Victory on Behalf of Client Notra Trulock Case to Proceed to Discovery ...
Description: no description
http://www.judicialwatch.org/printer_2814.shtml - Click here


Judicial Watch
... directed against him by Clinton administration officials, former FBI Director Louis Freeh, and the now thoroughly discredited FBI. Trulock’s First Amendment rights were violated by ...
Description: Judicial Watch is a non-profit, public interest law firm dedicated to fighting government corruption.
http://www.judicialwatch.org/3431.shtml - Click here


JUDICIAL WATCH VICTORY: JUDGE ORDERS CIA TO PRODUCE TRULOCK DOCUMENTS FOR REVIEW
... directed against him by Clinton administration officials, former FBI Director Louis Freeh, and the now thoroughly discredited FBI. Trulock’s First Amendment rights were violated by ...
Description: no description
http://www.judicialwatch.org/printer_3431.shtml - Click here


Judicial Watch
... Circuit. This reinstated case involves Trulock's claims against former FBI Director Louis Freeh for violating his constitutional rights. “The Bush Justice Department feared that if the Trulock ...
Description: Judicial Watch is a non-profit, public interest law firm dedicated to fighting government corruption.
http://www.judicialwatch.org/1431.shtml - Click here


Judicial Watch
... wiretap warrant applications by FBI agents (signed-off by the former FBI Director, Louis Freeh) to the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) Court. Prior to September 11th, SA Wright ...
Description: Judicial Watch is a non-profit, public interest law firm dedicated to fighting government corruption.
http://www.judicialwatch.org/2469.shtml - Click here


Judicial Watch
... waiting for documents to be produced by the government. Notra Trulock’s case against Louis Freeh was settled in early 2004. Notra Trulock’s case against Wen Ho Lee ended with a summary judgment ...
Description: Judicial Watch is a non-profit, public interest law firm dedicated to fighting government corruption.
http://www.judicialwatch.org/ntrulock.shtml - Click here


TRULOCK CASE AGAINST WEN HO LEE DISMISSED AT REQUEST OF PRESIDENT BUSH
... Circuit. This reinstated case involves Trulock's claims against former FBI Director Louis Freeh for violating his constitutional rights. “The Bush Justice Department feared that if the Trulock ...
Description: no description
http://www.judicialwatch.org/printer_1431.shtml - Click here


FBI AGENT ROBERT WRIGHT SAYS FBI AGENTS ASSIGNED TO INTELLIGENCE OPERATIONS CONTINUE TO PROTECT TERRORISTS FROM CRIMINAL INVESTIGATIONS AND PROSECUTIONS
... wiretap warrant applications by FBI agents (signed-off by the former FBI Director, Louis Freeh) to the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) Court. Prior to September 11th, SA Wright ...
Description: no description
http://www.judicialwatch.org/printer_2469.shtml - Click here


Notra Trulock v. Wen Ho Lee, et al.
... waiting for documents to be produced by the government. Notra Trulock’s case against Louis Freeh was settled in early 2004. Notra Trulock’s case against Wen Ho Lee ended with a summary judgment ...
Description: no description
http://www.judicialwatch.org/printer_ntrulock.shtml - Click here

It's Year Five, Do You Know Where Your Senators Are? OpEdNews


They're Killing the Microbiologists/Scientists List by Quayle Updated August, 2009

Wall Street Lunacy 2006

Current Topics 2006

Financial Lunacy 2006

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