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C.F.R. Pushes for Three Regional Currencies Worldwide May 22, 2007
9/11 Debunkers Hide From Undeniable Evidence of Controlled Demolition May 22, 2007
O'Reilly Still Claims No JFK Conspiracy Despite Reporting on CIA Connections with Oswald
5-23-07
Bush Declares Himself Dictator Under New Martial Law Provisions May 23, 2007
GOOGLE INVESTS IN GENETICS FIRM, PLANS PERSONAL LIFE MANAGING May 23, 2007
Bush Authorizes New Covert Action Against Iran
May 22, 2007
Brian Ross and Richard Esposito / The Blotter | May 23, 2007
The CIA has received secret presidential approval to mount a covert "black" operation to destabilize the Iranian government, current and former officials in the intelligence community tell the Blotter on ABCNews.com. The sources, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitive nature of the subject, say President Bush has signed a "nonlethal presidential finding" that puts into motion a CIA plan that reportedly includes a coordinated campaign of propaganda, disinformation and manipulation of Iran's currency and international financial transactions…..
Giuliani Confronted by 9/11 Truthers, Lies About WTC Collapse May 29, 2007
Activists Go Head on With Evil as Rockefeller Confronted May 29, 2007
Jim Tucker Heads for Istanbul
May 29, 2007
UK Considers Imposing Mandatory Vegan Diet to Fight Global Warming
May 29, 2007
Meets Bilderberg While Insider Trading Charges Mount in TX Buyout May 31, 2007
Giuliani Had Streets Closed Off to Avoid 9/11 Victim's Families Protest May 31, 2007
TEXAS GOVERNOR PERRY INVITED TO BILDERBERG MEETING
May 31, 2007
Cindy Sheehan: Twin Towers' Collapse Looked Like Controlled Demolition
May 31 , 2007

Pakistani Prime Minister Under FBI Investigation Over TxU Insider Trading June 1, 2007
Giuliani Heckled, Booed By 9/11 Family Members While Caught in Lie on WTC Collapse June 1, 2007
HPV VACCINE GARDASIL KILLS 3 GIRLS, HAS MORE THAN 1600 ADVERSE REACTION REPORTS
June 1, 2007
Al-Qaeda-Bilderberg Connection?
June 1, 2007
Ron Paul Not Intimidated by History's Attempts to Stop Patriot Presidents & Reformers June 2, 2007
UN WARNS: U.S. Debt Could Trigger Dollar Collapse June 4, 2007
JFK Airport Plot Has All the Hallmarks of Staged Terror June 4, 2007
G.O.P. Head: We Need More 'Attacks on American Soil' So Bush Will Be Appreciated
June 4, 2007
BILDERBERG 2007 COMES TO AN END
June 4, 2007

Breaking: Reporter Arrested on Orders of Mafiosa Facista Giuliani Staff at GOP Debate June 5, 2007
Experts Cast Doubt on Credibility of JFK Terror Plot June 5, 2007
COMPLICIT, COWARDLY CORPORATE MEDIA HIDES BILDERBERG
June 5, 2007
What Was Discussed at Bilderberg?
June 5, 2007

Reporter Arrested on Orders of Mafiosa Facista Giuliani Staff at  GOP Debate June 6, 2007
Corporate Media Sidelines Ron Paul Again June 6, 2007
Criminal Indictments Sought Against Police, Giuliani Staffers for Reporter's Arrest
June 6, 2007
Ex-Spy Thinks Whole Story About 9/11 Hasn't Been Told
June 6, 2007
Breaking: Reporter Arrested on Orders of Mafiosa Facista Giuliani Staff at GOP Debate June 5, 2007

Reporter Arrested on Orders of Mafiosa Facista Giuliani Staff at  GOP Debate June 6, 2007
RON PAUL ATTACKS GIULIANI'S SUPPORT OF NATIONAL ID CARD June 7, 2007
Ron Paul The Five Million Dollar Man Gains on Establishment Candidates
6-7-07
Ex-Spy Thinks Whole Story About 9/11 Hasn't Been Told
June 6, 2007

Secret CIA Jails Hosted by Poland, Romania: Watchdog June 8, 2007
Gov. Perry Signs Addition Homeland Security Bill June 8, 2007
CIA 'disappeared' seven-year-old children  June 8, 2007
Children as young as seven years old were 'forcibly disappeared' by the CIA, according to report published today jointly by six human rights groups naming 39 people who are believed to have been held in secret US custody and whose current whereabouts remain unknown.

NY Times: U.S. Arming Sunni Insurgents in Iraq June 11, 2007
Bush Amnesty to Pardon Illegal Alien Child Molesters, Gang Members & Tax Evaders June 11, 2007
PUTIN CALLS FOR NEW FINANCIAL WORLD ORDER
June 11, 2007
G8 False Flag Terror Attack Averted? 'Security Men' With C4 Caught at Checkpoint
June 11, 2007

Fed Informer Infiltrates Brown House June 12, 2007
US Army Pushes for Amnesty Bill Fast Track So It Can Recruit Illegal Aliens June 12, 2007
Man Faces 7 Year Sentence Under "Wiretapping Law" for Filming Police
June 12, 2007
Pentagon Confirms It Sought to Build a 'Gay Bomb'
June 12, 2007

Randy Weaver May Join Browns As Feds Say They Will Go In June 13, 2007
Iraqis Accuse U.S. of Bombing Shrine June 13, 2007
PRIME MINISTER BLAIR PUSHES FOR GOVERNMENT CONTROL OF ONLINE PRESS
June 13, 07
CNN Samarra 'Inside Job' Report Now Downplays Second False Flag on Golden Mosque
6-13-07

The Takeover Boom, About to Go Bust June 14, 2007
NRA, Democrats Team Up to Pass Gun Bill June 14, 2007
New SPP Records Reveal Plans to Bankroll Mexico Infrastructure & Accelerate Financial Integration
CNN Samarra 'Inside Job' Report Now Downplays Second False Flag on Golden Mosque
6-14-07

US Occupiers Complicit in Sammara Blast June 15, 2007
Clintons Selling Off Stock in Murdoch-Owned News Corp to Avoid Political Damage June 15, 2007
Blair's Plan to Sign New EU Constitution 'Secretly' Provokes Anger
June 15, 2007
FEDs Corner Tax Evader's Home-- Cutting Phone, Power, Internet
June 14, 2007

Euro Globalists: Anyone Who Resists EU Is a Terrorist June 18, 2007
NEGROPONTE BEHIND SAMARRA BLAST June 18, 2007
US Tank Bombs Yet Another Sunni Mosque, Now in Baquba
June 18, 2007
In 2001, Britain Feared U.S. Would 'Nuke' Afghanistan: Ex-Diplomat
6-18-07

9/11 Bombshell: Security Official Details Early Explosions Inside WTC7 June 19, 2007
What the "Chinese Style" Internet Will Look Like June 19, 2007
Reaction from the Press Conference: Randy Weaver Joins Ed and Elaine Brown June 19, 2007
MICHAEL MOORE: 9/11 COULD BE AN INSIDE JOB June 19, 2007

US, Israel Finalize Iran Strike Plan June 20, 2007
RON PAUL EXCLUDED FROM IOWA FORUM June 20, 2007
Interview with Mike Ryan, a Dying 9/11 First Responder June 20, 2007
Clinton Tape 'Captures Commission of Crime,' Lawyer Argues
6-20-07
Eugenics Hits Austin in Population Connection Society June 21, 2007

Bohemian Grove Member Roster Sent Anonymously to Infowars Office June 22, 2007
New 9/11 Study Has Direct Links to Government, Pentagon Black Ops June 22, 2007
CIA To Declassify Decades of Dirty Laundry and Secret Operations
June 22, 2007
Corporate America's Deadliest Secret
June 22, 2007

Cheney and Bush Declare Autonomous Dictatorial Powers June 25, 2007
Fmr. Soviet Dissident Warns: Stop EU Monster Before Totalitarianism Takes Over June 25, 2007
GOP RON PAUL RALLY ON EXCLUSIONARY IOWA DEBATE
June 25, 2007
Everyone We Fight in Iraq is Now "Al-Qaida"
June 25, 2007

Norman Mineta Confirms: Cheney Ordered Stand Down on 9/11 June 26, 2007
Bank of International Settlements Warns of 1930s-like 'Great Depression' June 26, 2007
Giuliani Acknowledged Explosions on 9/11, Didn't Believe They Were 'Gas Related'
June 26, 2007
Dow Jones-Bidder Rupet Murdoch Flattered Communist Leaders and Did Business
June 26, 2007

Norman Mineta Confirms: Cheney Ordered Stand Down on 9/11 June 27, 2007
'Care' Effigy Taken from Bohemian Grove Just Before July 15 Mock Sacrifice June 27, 2007
Giuliani Acknowledged Explosions on 9/11, Didn't Believe They Were 'Gas Related'
6-27-07
AP Smears and Sneers at Browns Yet Again
June 27, 2007

Senate Blocks Immigration Bill, But Can It Stop Further Assault? June 28, 2007
Ron Paul #1 in Republican Web Traffic; Hillary Ahead of Obama June 28, 2007
Anti-First Amendment 'Fairness Doctrine' About As Fair as Patriot Act is Patriotic
June 28, 2007
HOW TO AVOID HIRING AMERICANS: LAWYER ON VIDEO
June 28, 2007

British MI5 Had Hand in Previous Car Bombings June 29, 2007
New York Moves to BAN Public Filming and Video Taping June 29, 2007
Ex-Reagan Associate Deputy Attorney General Says Impeach Cheney
June 29, 2007
Total Proof that Bombs Were Planted in the Buildings on 9/11
June 29, 2007

Will the U.S. Be Hit Next as Another UK Attack Said to be Imminent? June 30, 2007
Era of Gordon Brown Begins With Staged Terror, Fears at 'Critical' Level June 30, 2007
Ex-Reagan Associate Deputy Attorney General Says Impeach Cheney
June 29, 2007
The Last Stand of Internet Radio?
June 30, 2007

Feds Gear Up for Summer of All Fearmongering July 2, 2007
Iraqi Terror Link a Propaganda Coup July 2, 2007
'Above the Law' Bush Wipes Away Scooter Libby Prison Sentence
July 2, 2007
Small Device Explodes in Disney World Parking Lot; None Injured
July 2, 2007

Globalist Think Tanks Call for Balkanization of Iraq July 5, 2007
VIDEO: Protesters Turn Lens on Bloomberg's Office Over NY Film Ban July 5-07
Charges Reduced for Reporter Arrested at GOP Debates on Orders of Giuliani Staff
July 5, 2007
David de Rothschild Authors Handbook Accompanying 7/7 Global Warming Concert
July 5, 2007

Embarrassing: Rothschild Says Jupiter, Saturn Closer to Sun Than Earth July 9, 2007

 

9/11 Truthers Invade Live Earth July 10, 2007
Military Analyst: West Needs More Terror to Save Doomed Foreign Policy 7-10-07
Poll Shows New High in U.S. Opposition to Iraq War
July 10, 2007
Karl Rove: 'I Make No Apologies' For Administration Mistakes, Lies
July 10, 2007
9/11 Truth Graffiti Covers Arkansas Court House; Makes Frontpage News 7-10-07

Homeland Security Chair Responds to Chertoff's 'Gut' July 11, 2007
Thinktank Says Families Should Have No More Than Two Children July 11, 2007
Bush Administration Prays for More Dead Americans
July 11, 2007
Cheney Impeachment Bill Gains Yet Another Co-Sponsor
July 11, 2007

Sheehan: Distinct Chance of Staged Attack, Martial Law July 12, 2007
U.S. Intel Warns al-Qaida Has Rebuilt July 12, 2007
Firefighters Rip Giuliani, Call Him 'Urban Legend'
July 12, 2007
RON PAUL ON TUCKER CARLSON 7/11/07
July 12, 2007

ST911 Scientist to Sue BBC for Public Deception July 16, 2007
U.S. Intel Warns al-Qaida Has Rebuilt July 12, 2007
UN Can't Feed the World, it Warns
July 16, 2007
Another Dubious Osama Tape Appears When the Neo-Cons Need It Most
7-16-07

Dallas 9-11 Truth Wins Push the Truth Video Contest July 17, 2007
Former Reagan Official: Bush May Stage False Flag Events to Reinstate Draft July 17, 2007
NEW FOOTAGE INSIDE THE BOHEMIAN CLUB
July 17, 2007
Actress Janeane Garofalo Blurts "9/11 Was an Inside Job" on Conan O'Brien Show
July 17, 2007

Newt: Anyone Who Believes 9/11 Not an Enemy Attack is "Insane" July 20, 2007
FOX's Alan Colmes Runs Away from Critics July 20, 2007
President Bush to Veto Ban on Mercury in Vaccines-- And Vaccines Are Not Suspicious Why?
July 20, 2007
The 9/11 Documentary that Can't Be Debunked: The Ultimate Con
July 20, 2007

FEMA Runs from Confrontation on WTC7 and Camps July 23, 2007
Bush's Martial Law Plan So Shocking, Congress Barred From Seeing It July 23, 2007
Total Hypocrisy of New Bush Executive Order
July 23, 2007
New Analysis of WTC Collapse Video Highlights Unmistakable Implosions
July 23, 2007

BBC: Bush's Nazi Grandfather Planned Fascist Coup in America July 24, 2007
A BBC Radio 4 investigation sheds new light on a major subject that has received little historical attention, the conspiracy on behalf of a group of influential powerbrokers, led by Prescott Bush, to overthrow FDR and implement a fascist dictatorship in the U.S. based around the ideology of Mussolini and Hitler.
D.C. Madame: "Big Names" May Be On Client List July 24, 2007
FEMA Runs From Confrontation on WTC7 and Camps
July 23, 2007
DUBAI GOING NEO-BABEL WITH ESOTERIC TEMPLES OF WEALTH?
July 23, 2007

9/11 Victim's Family Member Demands News Coverage July 25, 2007
BBC: Bush's Grandfather Planned Fascist Coup in America July 24, 2007
FEMA Runs From Confrontation on WTC7 and Camps July 23, 2007
No "Conspiracy Theory": OKC Mayor Signed North American Union Document July 25, 2007

Colbert Hopes to Join Illuminati in World Depopulation Aims July 26, 2007
Protester Removed from Fred Thompson Event after North American Union Question July 26, 2007
Korey Rowe Released from Jail After Phone Calls Pressure Army Offices
July 26, 2007
Military to Crackdown on North American Union Protesters
July 26, 2007

Pat Tillman Clearly Executed According to New Evidence July 27, 2007
Fox Sidesteps Charge that Fred Thompson is 'Not a Conservative' to Mock NAU Critic July 28, 2007
PENTAGON PLANNING FOR IRAQ PULLOUT July 27, 2007
Analysis: Gonzales Testimony Part of Broader Effort to Conceal Surveillance Programs July 27, 2007

Soltz: Bush Must Clear Up Whether Tillman Was Killed Over Politics July 30, 2007
Canadian Foreign Minister Confronted About SPP, Denies 25km Security Perimeter July 30, 2007
Americans Want to Be Surveilled, Suggests New ABC Poll July 30, 2007
Service to Bush Now Trumps Service to Country
July 30, 2007

Couple Terrorized and Arrested for Flying an Upside Down U.S. Flag July 31, 2007
9/11/01 CBS Report: Flight 93 Crashed Near Camp David July 31, 2007
Cheney Says He Is a 'Unique Creature,' Refuses to Say He Is Part of Executive Branch July 31, 2007
Bush and Brown Project Unity at Talks
July 31, 2007

Pelosi, typical mob/mafia type guinea, Says "No" to Investigating 9/11, no to impeachment, keep the crimes flowing says wopelosi since it makes her kindred criminals look ‘par’, Victims' Families Wanted Bill July 31, 2007
9/11/01 CBS Report: Flight 93 Crashed Near Camp David July 31, 2007
Cheney Says He Is a 'Unique Creature', ie., dead man walking who should be prosecuted with bush et als for war crimes, etc., Refuses to Say He Is Part of Executive Branch July 31, 2007
Bush and Brown Project Unity at Talks
July 31, 2007

Bloomberg Confronted as Film Restrictions Set for Enforcement August 2, 2007
9/11/01 CBS Report: Flight 93 Crashed Near Camp David July 31, 2007
Cheney Says He Is a 'Unique Creature,' Refuses to Say He Is Part of Executive Branch July 31, 2007
Bush and Brown Project Unity at Talks
July 31, 2007

Reporters Booted Out of Michelle Obama Event August 3, 2007
A Cinematic Look at New York's Police State and Clash with Daily Life in Mini-Doc August 2, 2007
Law of the Sea Treaty (L.O.S.T.)-- a 2007 Bilderberg Plank-- Now Before Senate August 3, 2007
Die Hard 4: News is Completely Manipulated
August 2, 2007

Fox News Attempts to Smear Ron Paul After Iowa Debate August 6, 2007
New Law Will Transform Telecom Into Permanent Spy Architecture August 6, 2007
WILL THE ECONOMY GO BUST? August 6, 2007
Edging Out English August 6, 2007

Fox News Uncovers Ron Paul's Most Shocking Skeleton in the Closet August 7, 2007
New York Police Must Turn Over Surveillance Reports August 7, 2007
WILL THE ECONOMY GO BUST? August 6, 2007
Edging Out English
August 6,

 

THE TIMELINE TO TYRANNY August 7, 2007
Reporter Arrested at Protest Had Camera Seized, Pressured to Inform on Other Press August 7, 2007
Bloomberg Confronted on Subways Over Attempt to Restrict Cameras in NYC August 7, 2007
Fox News Uncovers Ron Paul's Most Shocking Skeleton in the Closet August 7, 2007

9/11 Commission Ignored Firefighter's Account of WTC Explosions August 9, 2007
U.S.-Canada 'FAST' Trade Program Grants RFID Fly Over for Borders August 9, 2007
AT&T Censor Anti-Bush Lyrics During Live Webcast August 9, 2007
World Stocks Slide on Fresh U.S. Credit Concers
August 9, 2007

Extra Pay Incentive for NYPD to Be More "Aggressive" August 14, 2007
Learn From the Fall of Rome, US Warned August 14, 2007
Newsweek Editor Slams Magazine's Own Global Warming Coverage As "Fundamentally Misleading" August 14, 2007
ROMNEY JOKES ABOUT CHEATING IN IOWA POLL, DODGING QUESTIONS
August 14, 2007

CFR Stacked With Both Democrat and Republican Presidential Candidates August 15, 2007
China's Tallest Building Catches Fire, Does Not Collapse August 15, 2007
Credibility of Wikipedia Takes a Dive After Wired Exposé August 15, 2007
Rove Going Yes His Executive Privilege Remains August 15, 2007

Economic Expert: We Are Already In An Engineered Recession

China Launches New Crackdown on Media

 

The Attack on Free Speech Worldwide Arabic News Regional, Politics, 8/15/2007

 

Prices for key foods are rising sharply...

 

Existing Home Sales Fall in 41 States...

 

Four Suicide Bombings Kill 500 in Iraq...

 

 

War Stress Pushing Army Suicides Higher By PAULINE JELINEK 08.16.07, 6:49 PM ET Repeated and ever-longer war-zone tours are putting increasing pressure on military families, the Army said Thursday, helping push soldier suicides to a record rate.
Army suicides on the rise GovExec.com
US military suicides at highest rate for 16 years Guardian Unlimited

 

Feds Train Clergy to "Quell Dissent" During Martial Law August 16, 2007
Alex Jones Debates Crony Over Martial Law Agenda in Televised Interview August 16, 2007
Credibility of Wikipedia Takes a Dive After Wired Exposé August 16, 2007
Economic Collapse as Precursor to Open Plan for Martial Law? August 16, 2007

Neo-Cons: Make Bush Dictator of the World August 17, 2007
Bank Runs at Mortgage Giant Countrywide Financial as Worries Trigger Cash Rush August 17, 2007
Russia Restores Soviet-era Strategic Bomber Patrols: Putin August 17, 2007
FEAR THAT FED'S ACTION IS SIGN IT KNOWS OF LURKING DANGER
August 17, 2007

Protests Begin Ahead of Montebello Summit August 20, 2007
Partnership Viewed as a Threat to Sovereignty August 20, 2007
Congress Tells Bush to Back Off SPP Agenda August 20, 2007
Establishment Media Ignores Ron Paul Straw Poll Success August 20, 2007

Local Troops Deployed to Capital in Washington for Patrol August 28, 2007
Aaron Russo: Champion of Freedom August 28, 2007
US ATTORNEY GENERAL GONZALES RESIGNS August 28, 2007
Market Crash Forecast May Suggest New 9/11
August 28, 2007

Newsweek: "We Are Going to Get Hit Again" August 29, 2007
Congressman Ramstad: Friend's Death Proof al Qaeda Not Demolition Felled Towers August 29, 2007
Gonzales Changed Out Like Bird Cage Liner, Illegal Spying Stays August 29, 2007
Senator Craig Next in Line of Hypocritical Republican Gay Sex Scandals
August 29, 2007

9/11 Truth Events in New York to Be Biggest in History August 29, 2007
Upcoming APEC Summit Will Garner Australia's Largest Ever Security Operation August 29, 2007
Fidel Castro Says a Clinton-Obama Ticket Would Be Unbeatable August 29, 2007
Global Stocks in Volatile Trading
August 29, 2007
Full Moon Does It Again As Wall Street Lunatic/Frauds Spur Higher Oil Price Rally – Forget the previous day’s economic data, at least oil’s going up on lower inventories- Great for the economy…..riiiiight!

Pentagon Draws 'Three-Day Blitz' Airstrike Plan for Iran September 3, 2007
Bush Sets Framework for UN Pandemic Power Grab September 3, 2007
APEC 'Rioters' Plot to Target Bush, Threaten Violence September 3, 2007
Video: Ron Paul Rally at the Texas Straw Poll
September 3 , 2007

Protesting Bush Outlawed at APEC September 4, 2007
Dallas Morning News: Don't Fear that U.S., Canada, Mexico Will Merge September 4, 2007
Papers Please: Arrested at Circuit City September 4, 2007
10 Indications That the U.S. is Planning Military Action Against Iran
September 4 , 2007

Cheney Aide Threatened Terror to Silence DoJ Lawyer September 5, 2007
List of 9/11 Events in New York September 5, 2007
All UK 'Must Be on DNA Database' September 5, 2007
SYDNEY 'LOCKED DOWN' AS BUSH ARRIVES FOR APEC SUMMIT
September 5 , 2007

For criminal America, the song remains the same: Despite reality and a contraindicated position in Iraq, More lies, deception, war crimes, war profiteering, fraud, civilian deaths. All objective military personnel and so-called leaders have been removed. There is no dissent. What remains are the slugs from the criminals bush/clinton/bush eras. How pathetic. not even one corruption/fraud-free aspect of americana/institutions, etc., remains. What a decline/fall for america!

 

London Guardian pro-truth piece: 9/11 - the big cover-up?
9/11 Truth In NYC: Photo Album
Arizona: Dozens Gather for 9/11 Protest on I-10 Bridge
Mainstream Journalist: I Was Wrong On 9/11 Truth
Establishment Media Tries To Convince 9/11 Truthers To Give Up
Cuba accuses U.S. regarding 9/11
9-11-2007, Massive 9/11 Truth Action in NYC
Painful 9/11 truth
Meigs & Fox News Attempt To Rescue Flagging Official Story
9/11 Truthers Not So "Out Of Their Mind" After All
9/11 Families Slam Government Over Anniversary
Seed Of 9/11: U.S. Officials Begin Crafting Iran Bombing Plan
A 9/11 Widow: Disgust, Dismay

Former Assistant Secretary of the Treasury: "it is impossible to dismiss skeptics" of government's explanation of 9/11

Instead of going home, British troops headed to Iranian border: Innocent of War Mongering the brits are NOT! - Report

Iraqi reporter: Baghdad '100 times worse' than a year ago
Ayub Nuri, an Iraqi journalist residing in the United States, told CNN on Monday that even when he was last in Baghdad in 2006, "the situation was very, very dangerous," but that things are much worse now.

AP Poll: Most see Iraq war as failure

Oilman on Trial in Iraq Conspiracy Case

Dollar at record low against euro
The US dollar has fallen to a record low against the euro as investors bet that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates to help the economy.

A is Right: The banks are in trouble. How about you?
The hope of every central bank is that the real problem can be kept from public view. The truth is that the public -- even professionals on Wall Street -- have no clue what the real problem is.

American economy: R.I.P.

Oil Hits $80 a Barrel for First Time...

RECORD LOW: Dollar Fades Against Euro...

2 Soldiers Who Wrote Op-Ed Eliminated By Mobster Pentagoners in Iraq The Associated Press - TEXAS CITY, Texas (AP) — Two sergeants who helped write a New York Times op-ed article sharply critical of the Pentagon's assessment of the Iraq war were killed in a Baghdad crash this week, and one grieving mother wants the Army to explain their deaths., , and one grieving mother wants the Army to explain their ...
Soldiers who signed anti-war op-ed piece die in Iraq CNN
Soldiers Killed Wrote Opinion Piece in Newspaper abc11tv.com

Were War Critic Soldiers Killed To Send Message?The mother of a soldier who died in an apparent vehicle accident shortly after writing a New York Times op-ed critical of the war in Iraq is demanding to know the truth about what happened to her son, while another author of the piece was also shot in the head in a case that bears a sinister resemblance to the murder of Pat Tillman.


What’s the next new criminal american bull s**t story underlying the current computerized programmed trade churn-and-earn fraud. It’s certainly not economic/security analysis/valuation vis-à-vis the upswings. Then there’s the grossly understated inflation rate fuel by worthless being printed like mad…..time to focus on food/energy as well…..just buy a few things at the supermarket, etc.!

Editorial: Replay of Old Charade 9 September 2007 Washington seeks to pressure UN inspectors into quitting their search for weapons of mass destruction. Washington says a terrorist regime is bent upon WMD and poses an imminent danger to world peace. Washington makes no secret of its belief that the only option to end the threat is military action. This is how it began in Iraq and now the whole awful charade is starting to be played out again — over Iran….

 

9/11 Truthers Not So "Out Of Their Mind" After All
9/11 Families Slam Government Over Anniversary
Seed Of 9/11: U.S. Officials Begin Crafting Iran Bombing Plan
A 9/11 Widow: Disgust, Dismay
Former Assistant Secretary of the Treasury: "it is impossible to dismiss skeptics" of government's explanation of 9/11
Six years after 9-11, Congress still has no emergency plan
Reunited By 9/11, Giuliani And Kerik Keep Their Distance
A Respectful Tribute?

We Are Change TV: 9/11 Truth Live At Ground Zero
BBC: Debunked "Pancake Theory" Caused Towers To Collapse
Reason Magazine: Geraldo Bolstered 9/11 Truth

AOL Poll: Who Deserves Their Message Promoted? Geraldo or Alex Jones?
Giuliani walks fine line on 9/11 in White House bid
Hit Piece: The Ground Zero Grassy Knoll
How Did Human Remains End Up Miles From Flight 93's Crash Site?
America's Number One Collapse Expert Thought WTC Bombed
9/11 Truth In New York City 2007: News Coverage
Geraldo Gives 9/11 Truthers the Finger
Live 9/11/2007 Blogging

 

9/11 First Responder Heard WTC7 Demolition Countdown September 13, 2007
Ed & Elaine Brown Discuss Arrests of Their Supporters September 13, 2007
Researcher: Bin Laden's Beard is Real, Video is Not September 13, 2007
General Tommy Franks: Iraq May Require 10-20 More Years
September 13 , 2007

Press for Truth Packs Theater on 9/11 Anniversary September 14, 2007
Rapper Mos Def: Bin Laden a 'Boogeyman,' Didn't Bring Down Towers on 9/11 September 14, 2007
Were Soldiers Critical of the War Killed to Send a Message? September 14, 2007
New York Times: Man Confronts Giuliani at Ground Zero Ceremony
September 14 , 2007

Iran: Proxy War Could Soon Turn to Direct Conflict, Analysts Warn September17,2007
9/11 Truth Saturates The Hague After Previous Attempts to Stifle Speech September17,2007
Bill Maher is 9/11 Weary: Truthers Need Professional Help, Not Publicity September17,2007
9/11/07 Footage: March from Ground Zero to WTC7 and Wall Street
Sept 17 , 2007

Blackwater security firm banned from Iraq

Hannity Lies To War Widow To Push Her Into Promoting His Partisan Agenda

Greenspan: Euro Gains As Reserve Choice

 

Syria warns of US 'lies' over Israel air violation

 

More than 190 arrested at D.C. protest
Several thousand anti-war demonstrators marched through downtown Washington on Saturday, clashing with police at the foot of the Capitol steps where more than 190 protesters were arrested.

 

U.S. Treasury Secretary: Prepare for Prolonged Turmoil September 18, 2007
Left Cheers Student Brutally Tazered After Asking John Kerry a Question September 18, 2007
Attorney General Nominee is Pro-Patriot Act and a Giuliani Campaign Advisor September 18, 2007
Oil Trades Near Record; Bilderberg Plan to Hike Oil and Ruin Middle Class Ever Closer September 18 , 2007

AP Demonizes Tazered Student as "Prankster" to Justify Police Force September 19, 2007
Gang of Off-Duty New York Police Assault Cameraman September 19, 2007
U.S. Treasury Secretary: Prepare for Prolonged Turmoil September 18, 2007
Oil Trades Near Record; Bilderberg Plan to Hike Oil and Ruin Middle Class Ever Closer
September 18 , 2007

Schools in Oregon, Texas, California Adopting Mexican Curriculum September 20, 2007
Ron Paul Confronts Fed Chair on Deliberately Destroying the Dollar September 20, 2007
Analyst: Mystery Trades Were Profit Scam for Fearmongers September 20, 2007
Bin Laden Tape to Declare War on Musharraf After Pressure for Pakistani President
September 20 , 2007

Kissinger Admits Iran Attack is About Oil September 21, 2007
Giuliani Mocks 2nd Amendment While Ingratiating GOP on Gun Rights September 21, 2007
House Prices to Drop Much Lower: Greenspan September 21, 2007
Taser Incident Draws State Investigation
September 21 , 2007

Publicly Shamed for Intentional Destruction of Dollar September 21, 2007
Kissinger Admits Iran Attack is About Oil September 21, 2007
House Prices to Drop Much Lower: Greenspan September 21, 2007
Taser Incident Draws State Investigation
September 21 , 2007

Giuliani Confronted for Desecrating 9/11 Dead September 24, 2007
Minority Report Style Invasive Advertising Gains Traction September 24, 2007
Disillusioned Public Frighteningly Ignorant of Basic Public Issues September 24, 2007
Blackwater Faces Terrorism Charges
September 24 , 2007

Bush Quietly Advising Hillary Clinton, Top Democrats September 25, 2007
George Hunt Reveals Elitist Depopulation Agenda at '92 UNCED Earth Summit September 25, 2007
FED Projects 4-Year Recession; IMF: Global Financial Crisis Will Lead to Long Fallout September 25, 2007
MySpace Censors Anti-War Websites
September 25 , 2007

If Humans Are a Virus, Then What is the End Game? September 26, 2007
Gun Bill Rewrites Law to Disarm More Americans September 26, 2007
2008 Candidates Load Up On Cash for Final Push September 26, 2007
British MPs: EU Treaty Debate 'Must End'
September 26, 2007

Ron Paul Calls for an End to the 'War on Drugs' September 28, 2007
Shocking New Revelations on 9/11 Ground Zero Cover-up September 28, 2007
Alex Jones' New Film "Endgame" Changes Minds: Part 2 September 28, 2007
African Archbishop Says Condoms Deliberately Infected With HIV
September 28, 2007

Marvin Bush Bullhorned Over 9/11 Security Role October 2, 2007
Giuliani Lies About Suppressed EPA Reports
October 2, 2007
Alex Jones' New Film "Endgame" Changes Minds: Part 2
September 28, 2007
Why the GOP Must Nominate Ron Paul
October 2, 2007

New 9/11 Witness Saw Secondary Explosions and a First Floor Impact October 3, 2007
Giuliani Lies About Suppressed EPA Reports October 2, 2007
Seven Retards Return for War on Terror Show Trial October 3, 2007
Prince Philip 'Told MI6 to Murder Diana and Lover'
October 3, 2007

Only Two Dozen "Al-Qaeda" Left, Says Ex-CIA Man October 4, 2007
Secret U.S. Endorsement of Severe Interrogations October 4, 2007
Report: LA Deputies Held Arrest Contests October 4, 2007
One in Three Britons Considers Leaving UK
October 4, 2007

Browns Were Duped by "Trojan Horse" Marshals Posing as Supporters October 5, 2007
Ron Paul's Chances of Winning Continue to Improve October 5, 2007
Qatar & Vietnam Ditch the Dollar October 5, 2007
Peace Activists Denied Entry at Canadian Border
October 5, 2007

UK Green Lights Iran Strike October 8, 2007
Supporters Fear Ed Brown is Being Tortured October 8, 2007
Congressman: Dollar Could Collapse to Absolute Zero October 8, 2007
Peace Activists Denied Entry at Canadian Border
October 5, 2007

Vicente Fox Admits Plan for Single NAFTA Currency October 9, 2007
Mexico's former president, Vicente Fox, made an astounding admission last night on CNN's Larry King Live when he acknowledged the plan for a NAFTA single currency, a "euro-dollar" as King labeled it.
Attention Shoppers: 9/11 Truth Blasted Over Wal-Mart Intercom October 9, 2007
Ron Paul Calls Military Interventionists the Real 'Isolationists' October 9, 2007
Media Propaganda Says Lack of Illegals Responsible for Food Price Inflation
October 9, 2007

Ron Paul a 'Stranger' in the GOP October 10, 2007
Life Extension Technologies to Facilitate Elite Technocracy October 10, 2007
Giuliani Initiates Attack on Hillary, Hailing the Effective End of Scripted GOP Primaries October 10, 2007
NATO, U.S. Aiding PKK Terrorists In Turkey
October 10, 2007

Digg This! New Ron Paul Video #1 On Digg! For Entire Month October 12, 2007
Hillary Confronted on Bilderberg Involvement in Oakland October 12, 2007
New Eyewitness to WTC Basement Level Explosions October 12, 2007
Senator: WTC7's Report Omission is 'Black Helicopter Stuff'
October 12, 2007
Smear Campaign Against Ron Paul Goes Into Overdrive October 12, 2007

Condoleezza Rice & CFR Usher in Pan-American Community October 16, 2007
Media Covers 'Ron Paul Revolution' at Austin Rally October 15, 2007
How to Spread the Ron Paul Revolution to 7 Million Cars Every Month October 16, 2007
Protesters Disrupt Al Gore Event to Expose Phony-Environmentalism
October 15, 2007

'Blacks Less Intelligent' Comments Betray Dark Mindset of Eugenics October 17, 2007
NIST Admits Total Collapse of Twin Towers Unexplainable October 17, 2007
Pan-American Community Part of "Greater America" Vision? October 17, 2007
Protesters Disrupt Al Gore Event to Expose Phony-Environmentalism
October 15, 2007

Establishment Media Finally Admits Ron Paul Is Top Tier Candidate October 18, 2007
Bush warns of World War III if Iran goes nuclearOctober 18, 2007
Schwarzenegger Gets Heat For Signing 'Sexual Indoctrination' Bills October 18, 2007
Paul leads in donations from military voters, with Obama next
October 18, 2007

Sunday NY Post Blacks Out Ron Paul October 22, 2007
Loose Change Final Cut Release Date Announced October 22, 2007
Clinton and Drudge Coordinating Together? October 22, 2007
Kristol: Iran Is ‘The Only Real Threat’ To Success In Iraq
October 22, 2007

Neo-Con Podhoretz Tells Audience to "Shut Up" After Tough Questions October 23, 2007
Glen Beck Calls 9/11 Truthers as 'Insane' and 'Dangerous Anarchists' October 23, 2007
News Corp becomes largest media empire in the world October 23, 2007
Sarkozy, in Morocco, will push a regional union
October 23, 2007

Endgame Rips the Lid Off Elite's Final Masterplan October 24, 2007
Global Elite Fear Growing Chinese Power October 24, 2007
Terror watch list swells to more than 755,000 October 24, 2007
AEI's Muravchik: 'I Don't Mind If We Bomb Iran Next Month or the Month After'
October 24, 2007

Bill Clinton Targeted Again By 9/11 Truthers October 25, 2007
Endgame: Elite's Blueprint For Global Enslavement Exposed October 25, 2007
Iran "Perhaps Single Greatest" Security Risk to US: Rice October 25, 2007
Bush offers to bomb Kurds
October 25, 2007

Endgame: How Dare Alex Jones Tell the Truth October 26, 2007
"Thought Crime Bill" Could Ensnare Peaceful Activists October 26, 2007
VIDEO: Bill Clinton Takes On 9/11 Conspiracy Protesters October 26, 2007
More Academic PR Predicting Human Race Will "Split Into Two Different Species"
October 26, 2007

Martin Sheen Questions Official 9/11 Story October 29, 2007
CFR President: $200 Oil if War With Iran October 29, 2007
Saudi King Accuses UK of Ignoring Tip-Off Which Could Have Stopped London Bombings October 29, 2007
Ron Paul Set for Jay Leno & Into Mainstream America's Living Room
October 29, 2007

Actor Ruffalo "Baffled" At Collapse Of Twin Towers October 30, 2007
Gagged FBI Whistleblower Sibel Edmonds Offers to Tell All to Willing TV Network October 30, 2007
Neocons Dream Up Nefarious Alex Jones - Ron Paul Plot October 30, 2007
"Battle For The Republic" Exposes Real Immigration Agenda
October 30, 2007

O'Reilly Sends Cameras to Ambush Rosie October 31, 2007
Gagged FBI Whistleblower Sibel Edmonds Offers to Tell All to Willing TV Network October 30, 2007
RON PAUL TO JAY LENO: 'I COULD WIN' October 31, 2007
"Battle For The Republic" Exposes Real Immigration Agenda
October 30, 2007

"War Criminal" Ex-MI6 Head Dearlove Confronted At Event November 1, 2007
Official Statement Confirms Detonations on 9/11 November 1, 2007
Foreign Relations Committee Approves LOST November 1, 2007
Fighting the Bank Who Foreclosed on Sick 9/11 EMT
November 1, 2007

Genetic Advances To Pioneer Super-Human Elite? November 2, 2007
COINTELPRO Redux: Global Order Targets the 9/11 Truth and Patriot Movements November 2 , 2007
Is The Dollar's Fall Spiraling Out Of Control? November 2, 2007
Memos Prove Rumsfeld Directed Psychological Terror Campaign
November 2, 2007

Ron Paul on Course to Raise Millions in One Day November 5, 2007
Former NFL Star Latest To Question 9/11 Official Story November 5 , 2007
Bill O'Reilly's Real Target is 9/11 Truth, Not Foundation-Funded 'Loon Left' November 5, 2007
Is This 20-Year CIA Vet Crazy For Saying 9/11 Is a Probable Inside Job?
November 5, 2007

Will Ron Paul Be Excluded from the Iowa Debates? November 7, 2007
1000 Pledges to Donate to Ron Paul Veterans Day "Money Bomb" November 7 , 2007
State of Emergency: Could Bush Ever Arbitrarily Declare Martial Law Like Musharraf? November 7, 2007
Whistleblower Told 9/11 Family Member That Gov't Knew Date and Exact Targets
November 7, 2007

The American Empire is Falling With the Dollar November 8, 2007
Ron Paul Think Tank? November 8 , 2007
NFL Star Considered 9/11 a False Flag From Day One November 8, 2007
All Hard-Money Advisors Get Behind Ron Paul - Ask Maximum Client Donations
November 8, 2007

Hillary Denies She Attended Bilderberg, But Confirms Bill Did November 9, 2007
Rick Santorum Emphasizes "Fear" of Islamo-Fascism November 9 , 2007
Hillary Criticized Bush Admin for 'Suspicious' Approach to 9/11 Investigation November 10, 2007
Ex-Wall Street Journal Editor: Dollar Collapse Will Cripple European Economy
November 9, 2007

BBC To Apologize For 9/11 Truth Hit Piece? November 12, 2007
Sean Hannity Exposed as Fox Yellow Journalist November 12 , 2007
Deputy Director of National Intelligence: Kiss the Fourth Goodbye November 12, 2007
Giuliani Gave David Rockefeller UN Award, Mentioning CFR, Bilderberg 'Contributions'
November 12, 2007

Endgame Gears Up for Amazon Assault November 13, 2007
Wiesenthal Center Presents 9/11 Sites with Jihadist Sites in Terrorism Hearing November 13 , 2007
Opinion Polls Skewed To Marginalize Ron Paul November 13, 2007
Hillary Refers to Being President "Again"
November 13, 2007

U.S. National Debt Level at Record High

Democrats forecast $3.5 trillion in war costs

FBI finds Blackwater Iraq shootings unjustified: report

Russian Military Chief Calls America "Evil" Who could rationally disagree with that assessment? Based upon direct observation and experience, I wouldn’t!

Did CIA hand over Pearl murder suspect to be tortured nearly to death?

Pump price to jump 20 cents next 2-3 weeks: government

Fastest rise in food prices for 14 years

Ford sees tough U.S. market

Output Rise Not on OPEC Summit Agenda

Ron Paul's "Fringe Views" Are Supported By a Majority of Americans November 14, 2007
U.S. Dollar Will Get Stronger: Bush November 14 , 2007
Why the Media Blackout of Denzel Washington's Extraordinary Gift to a Texas Military Hospital? November 14, 2007
Zogby Predicts Ron Paul Could Get 15 to 18 Percent in New Hampshire
November 14, 2007

State Attorney Admits No Law Makes Vaccines Mandatory November 15, 2007
Feds Raid Liberty Dollar and Seize and Freeze Everything November 15 , 2007
Glenn Beck Deems Ron Paul "Domestic Threat" November 15, 2007
Guantanamo Manual Leaked on Web
November 15, 2007

9/11 Commission Chair Lee Hamilton Grilled Over Building 7 November 16, 2007
Silverstein's Building 7 Party Interrupted With 9/11 Truth November 16 , 2007
Rudy Giuliani Still 'Mr. 9/11' To You November 16, 2007
Ron Paul Dollars Soar Above $200 on eBay After Raid on Liberty Dollar
November 16, 2007

Ron Paul Wins Nationwide Zogby Blind Poll November 19, 2007
New Poll Shows Majority Want Immediate Iraq Troop Withdrawal November 19 , 2007
Rudy Giuliani Still 'Mr. 9/11' To You November 16, 2007
Ron Paul Dollars Soar Above $200 on eBay After Raid on Liberty Dollar
November 16, 2007

Zogby Analyst: Ron Paul's Timing "Almost Perfect" For a Big Move November 20, 2007
Ron Paul Wins GQ Dark Horse of the Year November 20 , 2007
Fox Host Says Dissenters Should Be Tased November 20, 2007
Fox News Chief Roger Ailes Lectures West Point on ‘The Military And The Media’
November 20, 2007

Zogby Analyst: Ron Paul's Timing "Almost Perfect" For a Big Move November 21, 2007
ABC News: Ron Paul Will Spend as Much as Giuliani in New Hampshire November 21 , 2007
Supremes to Decide if Second Amendment Means What It Says November 21, 2007
Fox's Gibson: NASCAR Likes Rudy Despite Gun Control Because He "Kicks Butt"
November 21, 2007

Glenn Beck Confronted, Protagonists Questioned By Secret Service November 26, 2007
They Live Taser Saucer To Become A Reality November 26, 2007
Internet Soon to be “Full,” Government Solution: More Taxes November 26, 2007
Ron Paul's growing poll numbers vex mainstream press
November 26, 2007

Freddie Mac to sell stock, cut dividend

Record low dollar, consumer confidence down, housing/real estate/indices/prices down, leading indicators down, record high oil/gold prices, deficits, fake/false government reports/data, etc., but newest bull s**t talking point, viz., $7.5 billion cash infusion from Abu Dhabi (a mere drop in the bucket relative to the magnitude of the problem), sparks lunatics’/suckers’ bear market rally/dead dog bounce into the close (11-27-07) to keep the suckers suckered and computerized commission trade dollars flowing, while pros/institutions are tip-toeing to the doorway leaving you with their bag of tricks/fraud/bull s**t!  Nothing has fundamentally changed regarding the descent and decline of criminal/fraud america. Remember: more contrived wasteful commissions to the wall street frauds, the level and percentage of which should be examined in light of computerization and decreased costs attendant to same especially since only A Very Small Fraction Of What wall street Does Is A Net Positive For The Economy (New Investment Capital via, ie., ipo’S), The Rest Is Tantamount To A (Economically) "Wasteful Tax" (On The Economy) via 'churn and earn' computerized programmed trades.

The time-lines below highlight the four recessions in the US economy since 1980…..While the NBER was only a little late in its recognition of the recession that began in Summer 1981, they were late to the game in the remaining three. In fact, during the last two recessions, the NBER did not officially declare the start to a recession until the recession had already ended. The u.s. is already in recession, beyond the fake data/reports, with much higher than reported inflation, etc..

CAN SHE BEAT THEM? New poll shows Clinton trails top '08 Republicans...

Clinton I haven't considered possibility of losing Dem nomination

...Putin says USA meddling in election

NYC Fire Chief: Giuliani 'Not a Hero' 'He Ran That Day'

Hillary Takes Cash From Recipients of Husband's Controversial Pardons

UK TV hits Giuliani on 9/11 record
Corrupt mob-connected guinea giuliani and his team continue to offer conflicting answers to the question of whether he will make public the names of his pay-to-play “consulting” firm's clients.
Alleged Trainer Of 9/11 Hijackers a CIA Informant

Novak: Hillary's Nixonian Tactics Against Obama...

Giuliani shows abortion danger for Republicans

Wells Fargo to take $1.4 billion charge for bad loans

Iceland best place to live, Africa worst, u.s. continues to fall: UN Tue Nov 27, 4:22 PM ET BRASILIA (Reuters) - Iceland has overtaken Norway as the world's most desirable country to live in, according to an annual U.N. table published on Tuesday that again puts AIDS-afflicted sub-Saharan African states at the bottom, with u.s. finishing lower than previous year in continued descent…..

World Anglican leader launches attack on U.S. (Reuters)  and condemns war criminal america’s modus operandi, viz., ….. a quick burst of violent action will somehow clear the decks and that you can move on and other people will put things back together again -- Iraq for example.

Economic Expert Says Global Crash Imminent
Echoes former world bank leader with prediction of global recession Steve Watson
A leading economic expert has warned that a global crash and recession is imminent on the back of record highs in real estate, stocks and energy, combined with a devaluation of the dollar and continued speculative bubble thinking. Robert Shiller, the Stanley B. Resor Professor of Economics at Yale University told an audience at the annual Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) Week that a sharp downward correction is due in the global markets. Shiller stated: Perhaps we have gotten a little too confident in the global economic growth, said Shiller. The problem is high oil, stock and real estate prices. I believe that a substantial part is speculative bubble thinking. We have gotten too confident of the prices in these markets.

Fake News and Propaganda: Shaping Our Reality

Rudy or Hillary: Pick Your Poison November 28, 2007
We Are Change Ireland Attempts to Confront Bill Clinton November 28, 2007
Consider a continental currency, Jarislowsky says November 28, 2007
Hillary Interrupted: 20+ Years of Dynasty Is Enough
November 28, 2007

McCain, a man with a false “war hero” history of his own (was referred to as the songbird by his fellow american war prisoners for trading information for better treatment), Peddles False History, Takes Cheap Shot at Ron Paul November 29, 2007
Naomi Wolf: America's Fascist Coup Owes Legacy To Bush's Nazi Grandfather November 29, 2007
New Bin Laden "Confession" Tape: Fake Like The Rest? November 29, 2007
GOP rivals tussle over immigration, the Word and Hitler in YouTube showdown
November 29, 2007

Ron Paul to Top Giuliani's 3rd Qtr. Ceiling at 2 Month Mark of 4th Qtr. November 30, 2007
Deluded McCain Thinks Americans Believe 9/11 Hoax November 30, 2007
Giuliani Will 'Hear No Evil, See No Evil' About His Own Corruption November 30, 2007
CNN: Does Ron Paul Believe in a Conspiracy to Form a North American Union?
November 30, 2007

Paul: Republicans Face Certain Defeat With Pro-War Candidate December 3, 2007
Handcuffed Woman Tased in Police Station December 3, 2007
CNN Hack Claims NAFTA Superhighway Figment Of Ron Paul's Imagination December 3, 2007
Florida GOP Official Threatens Ron Paul Straw Poll Voter with Violence
December 3, 2007

Ex-Italian President: Intel Agencies Know 9/11 An Inside Job December 4, 2007
Young Pakistanis: Bin Laden Is A CIA Creation December 4, 2007
Man Tased 15 Times and Dragged Out of Vehicle December 4, 2007
Ron Paul Charms The View
December 4, 2007

Ex-Canadian PM Next 9/11 Truther? December 5, 2007
Mall Security Demands ID From Truthers Under Patriot Act December 5, 2007
San Francisco GOP Group Cancels Straw Poll After Ron Paul Supporters Pour In December 5, 2007
Podhoretz’s ‘Dark Suspicion’: Intel Community Trying To Sabotage Bush With NIE
December 5, 2007

Ron Paul Spambot Caper: Political Sabotage and Dirty Tricks? December 6, 2007
The Unknown Dangers of Nanotech December 6, 2007
Ron Paul Slams Global Warming "Fearmongering" December 6, 2007
Another Shooter With A History Of Anti-depressant Use
December 6, 2007

Is the North American Union Conspiracy Theory Really Real? December 7, 2007
Cartel Heads Greenspan and Welch Confronted Over Grossly Concentrated Power December 7, 2007
Baer Suggests Saudis Could Stage Terror In America to Instigate Iran Attack December 7, 2007
Post-Pearl Harbor 'Jap Hunting License' All Too Similar to 'Terrorist Hunting Permit'
December 7, 2007

Chretien Loses Patience With Questions On 9/11 Truth, NAU December 10, 2007
Elite Depopulation Agenda Gains Ground December 10, 2007
O’Reilly: Fox News Turned Down Pro-Constitution Ad Because It Was ‘Anti-American’ December 10, 2007
Ambassador Dennis Ross Confronted on Bilderberg Ties and Brzezinski Warning
December 10, 2007

Londoners Interrogated Over Journey Plans December 11, 2007
Consensus Shattered As Major Scientific Study Says Global Warming Is Natural December 11, 2007
Beijing Olympics Will Use IBM High-Tech Surveillance System December 11, 2007
9/11 Truth on the Underground
December 11, 2007

Londoners Interrogated Over Journey Plans December 11, 2007
Consensus Shattered As Major Scientific Study Says Global Warming Is Natural December 11, 2007
Beijing Olympics Will Use IBM High-Tech Surveillance System December 11, 2007
9/11 Truth on the Underground
December 11, 2007

The Ties That Bind Rick Perry & Rudy Giuliani December 13, 2007
EU Chaos as Heckling MPs Chanting 'Referendum' Ordered to Leave Parliament December 13, 2007
Neocons Revise WMD Entry on Wikipedia Propaganda Portal December 13, 2007
Ron Paul Warns Middle Class Being "Wiped Out" In Final Debate
December 13, 2007

Estulin: Elitists Consider Assassinating Ron Paul December 14, 2007
The Ties That Bind Rick Perry & Rudy Giuliani December 14, 2007
7/7 Terror Exercise Manager Peter Power "Grins and Bears" Tough Questions on False-Flag December 14, 2007
Over 100 Prominent Scientists Challenge UN Move For Global Carbon Tax
December 14, 2007

Ron Paul Smashes Record With $6 Million Plus Haul December 17, 2007
Secret Service Agents Pressure 9/11 Truther to Stop Confronting Clinton December 17, 2007
Ron Paul Surpasses Fund Raising Record Held by John Kerry December 17, 2007
Texas Readies Police State Tech for Possible Hurricane Evacuees
December 17, 2007

Daddy Bush Makes Skull and Bones Pilgrimage December 18, 2007
More Hiring and Advertising Ahead for Paul Campaign as the Donations Pour In December 18, 2007
Forbes: Bloomberg to Spend Big Bucks to Derail Ron Paul December 18, 2007
Bill Clinton: George H.W. Bush will help President Hillary
December 18, 2007

Beck Complains Of Threats, Yet Wanted To "Kill Michael Moore" December 19, 2007
Rockefellers "Joked" About Controlling The World December 19, 2007
Ron Paul Doesn't Rule Out Third Party Run December 19, 2007
NASCO: Ron Paul Is "Confused" About NAFTA Superhighway
December 19, 2007

Karl Rove Worried About Ron Paul "Momentum" December 20, 2007
2,600 Pages of Clinton Records Withheld December 20, 2007
Report Says Tancredo Plans to Drop Out December 20, 2007
Ron Paul on MSNBC: Are His Supporters Even Represented in the Polls?
December 20, 2007

Ron Paul Racist Propaganda Exposed December 21, 2007
Gun Owners Group Condemns "Treacherous" Legislation December 21, 2007
Huckabee's Copy Cat Money Bomb... a Dud? December 21, 2007
Former US Intelligence official: Israel will attack Iran
December 21, 2007

Edgar J. Hoover Planned Mass Jailing in 1950 December 23, 2007
Ron Paul Shines On Meet the Press December 23, 2007
Ron Paul Tied for Third in Iowa December 23, 2007
NORTHCOM: Constitution Not Important
December 23, 2007

The New Year Begins Here (scroll down to current date)

Aldous Huxley Suggested Mind Control to Make Insane Blissful December 25, 2007
Ron Paul Shines On Meet the Press December 23, 2007
Ron Paul Tied for Third in Iowa December 23, 2007
NORTHCOM: Constitution Not Important
December 23, 2007

New York Times Retracts Ron Paul Racist Smear December 27, 2007
Former Pakistani PM Bhutto 'Killed in Blast' December 27, 2007
War Costs $15 Billion Per Month, GOP Senator Says December 27, 2007
Murdoch & Other Bush Associates Further Consolidating U.S. Media Holdings December 27, 2007

Woe to americans who Are All Prisoners Now  All Americans are now imprisoned in a world of lies and deception created by the Bush Regime and the two complicit parties of Congress, by federal judges too corrupt, timid or ignorant to recognize a rogue regime running roughshod over the Constitution, by a bought-and-paid-for media that serves as propagandists for a regime of war criminals, and by a gutless, ignorant public who have forsaken their self-respect.

Benazir Assassinated

CHEER: Ambrose Evans-Pritchard: Bank Crisis may make '29 look 'walk in park'...

Alexander Tytler: "The average age of the world's greatest civilizations has been two hundred years JonesReport.com | 12-4-07
"The average age of the world's greatest civilizations has been two
hundred years. These nations have progressed through this sequence: from
bondage to spiritual faith; from spiritual faith to great courage; from
courage to liberty; from liberty to abundance; from abundance to
selfishness; from selfishness to complacency; from complacency to
apathy; from apathy to dependence; from dependency back again into
bondage."-- Alexander Tytler

FDR: "They who seek to establish systems of government based on the regimentation of all human beings by a handful of individual rulers... call this a New Order. It is not new and it is not order."

Andrew Jackson: "There are no necessary evils in government. Its evils exist only in its abuses."

Congressman McFadden (1934) on the Fed: "This evil institution has impoverished and ruined the people of these United States, has bankrupted itself, and has practically bankrupted our Government."

AP: TOP 10 NEWS STORIES '07...

Former CIA Interrogator: We Carried Out Torture Because The White House Told Us To

Fire out at building next to White House

Kucinich's brother found dead

FBI agent threatened to arrest CIA interrogators in 2002.

Countdown: Bushed! Countdown's list of the top three Bush scandals you may have forgotten about because of all of the new Bush scandals. This week's scandals: Habeas Corpus-Gate, Air-Gate and NIE-Gate.

Bush administration: Back off says war criminal and strategist dumbya bush on CIA tape probe CNN

HUCKABEE SLAMS 'ARROGANT' BUSH WHITE HOUSE

Romney Proves to All He is Not as Smart as he appears to be by Hitting Huckabee for Appropriately Criticizing War Criminal Dumbya bush for the debacle in Iraq (, etc.,) Which Is the Greatest Foreign Policy Blunder in america’s short-lived history (while concomitantly destroying the republican party, etc.) - tush tush, bush bush Washington Post

Bill Clinton Says He Wasn’t Ready for White House When He Squandered the Cold War Victory and Consequent Peace Dividend and that by resisting the bushit team Obama isn't Ready For White House which is ridiculous based upon the substantial damage the bush-clinton-bush corrupt regimes have caused the nation and the world...

Bush-Clinton-Bush-Clinton : Two Families, Three Decades In The White House, The Very Best Of Times For Them and the Worst of Times and Decline For america are (and this should be the wake-up call)  best Friends

WYOMING DEM CHIEF: CLINTON WOULD HURT PARTY...

LA's gangland culture spreading chaos, violence into America's heartland...

AT&T engineer says Bush Administration sought to implement domestic spying within two weeks of taking office

Dodd ready to mount filibuster to block telecom immunity

The End of America

Naomi Wolf - "There hasen't been a real investigation of 9/11."

Lee Hamilton Says the CIA Obstructed the 9/11 Commission

CIA Failed To Fully Inform Congress About Destroyed Tapes CBS News

More Evidence of Obstruction of Justice in 9/11 Investigation

Neocons Revise WMD Entry on Wikipedia Propaganda Portal

Pelosi and Harman Aided and Abetted 9/11 Cover Up

The White House and Congress Knew about the CIA Interrogation Videotapes

USATODAYGALLUP POLL: Approval of Congress sinks to new low...

9/11 Victims' Lawyers Blast Ground Zero Toxic Air Lies In Court

Bush Authorizes Full Access to U.S. Roads for Even More Mexico-Based NAFTA Trucks

What is the CFR?: The Bush Clinton Bush Clinton Administration

Olbermann: Bush is a BOLD faced LIAR about NIE/Iran

Russia's well-founded and rational deep suspicion of (particularly criminal america) the West

Hillary Campaign Tactic Backfires as Top Aide Quits

REPORT: FBI Videotape shows Sharpton cutting a deal...

Victim: Gang-Rape Cover-Up by U.S., Halliburton/KBR

Greenspan sees early signs of U.S. stagflation

Poland does not need U.S. missile defense base - ex-PM

Iran Is No Threat and That’s Official “They stole our threat” goes a headline in the Israeli daily Haaretz. The author is, of course, referring to the recently published US National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) composed by 16 American intelligence.....

Gov't official: No 'smoking gun' on Iran

Egypt Govt Accuses Israel of Meddling in Its Ties With US

Paul: Israel Demanding U.S. Further Its Self-destructive Pro-israel Mode and Invade Iran

Russia warns of US missile shield retaliation

PA Economy Worst Affected by Israeli Restrictions: WB

Israeli Airstrikes in Gaza Kill 7

NASA 'on target for return to the moon for the first time by 2020'…..riiiiight!..... UFOetry: We Never Went To The Moon - The Award-Winning Documentary/Music/Video by John Lee
'The Mother of All Frauds'

History Channel Admits WTC Tower Fell At Freefall Speed

FBI Now Admits Evidence Used to Connect Oswald to Kennedy Assasination Was Bogus

Food prices rising at highest rate for 14 years

Taj Mahal Won't Accept bushit american Dollars as India Laments Lost Value

THE HILL: Dems Cave On Spending...

China's Yuan at new high vs dollar...

YEAR-ENDER: Home Sales Plunge, Feed Recession Fears...

To Understand Business/Economics for the Coming Year The New Year Starts Here (scroll down for current date)

(1-7-08) With sloth-like reflexes and speed the lazy, fallible frauds on wall street now recognize, yes we’re already in a recession. Forget Bulls/Bears. Their new mascot:
The Prehistoric Sloth. Sloths all, the lunatic/frauds on wall street are slothish on america.

Recession in the US 'has arrived': Merrill Lynch

Morgan Stanley issues full US recession alert   Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
Tuesday December 11, 2007 Morgan Stanley has issued a full recession alert for the US economy, warning of a sharp slowdown in business investment and a "perfect storm" for consumers as the housing slump spreads. In a report "Recession Coming" released today, the bank's US team said the credit crunch had started to inflict serious damage on US companies…..

Reuters House prices seen falling 30 pct 12- 6-07 By Julie Haviv NEW YORK (Reuters) - Housing markets from Punta Gorda, Florida, to Stockton, California, will crash and suffer price drops of more than 30 percent before the housing crisis is over, a report from Moody's Economy.com said on Thursday. On a national level, the housing market recession will continue through early 2009, said the report, co-authored by Mark Zandi, chief economist, and Celia Chen, director of housing economics. The report paints a worsening picture of the hard-hit housing sector, which is in the midst of its worst downturn since World War II. While activity will stabilize in 2009, it will not be until 2010 before a measurable improvement in sales, construction and pricing will emerge, the report said…..

Earnings Recession Has Arrived U.S. corporate profits are in a recession, and the entire economy can not be far behind. Slower sales and higher energy and labor costs are forcing companies from Bear Stearns Cos. to Pitney Bowes Inc. to reduce spending and hiring. Their efforts to keep earnings from eroding even further raise the risk that the economy, already weakened by the steepest housing slide since 1991, may shrink sometime next year. ‘The earnings recession has already arrived, says David Rosenberg, North America economist for Merrill Lynch & Co. in New York. We are going to see an economic recession in '08.…..’

BANK OF AMERICA Sees Bigger Writedowns (12-12-07).....

MORGAN STANLEY first loss ever; taps China for $5 Billion...

PAPER: Housing foreclosures largest since Great Depression...

Home Prices Fall for 10th Straight Month

Oil price spikes close to $97...

CITIGROUP and MERRILL face bigger writeoffs/dividend cuts, etc.....

CHEER: Ambrose Evans-Pritchard: Bank Crisis may make '29 look 'walk in park'... As central banks continue to splash their cash over the system, so far to little effect, Ambrose Evans-Pritchard argues things are rapidly spiralling out of their control Twenty billion dollars here, $20bn there, and a lush half-trillion from the European Central Bank at give-away rates for Christmas. Buckets of liquidity are being splashed over the North Atlantic banking system, so far with meagre or fleeting effects. "Liquidity doesn't do anything in this situation," says Anna Schwartz, the doyenne of US monetarism and life-time student (with Milton Friedman) of the Great Depression."It cannot deal with ….. that lots of firms are going bankrupt. The banks and the hedge funds have not fully acknowledged who is in trouble. That is the critical issue," she adds…..

NEWS FLASH: Direct from Lost Angeles Learning Annex – Presenting mobster t_rump of new yoke, new joyzey, and now caleefornia mob fame with his continuing message for the past several years: buy real estate (and watch the values go down…..riiiiight!).

(3-31-08) (DOW +46, NASDAQ +17, S&P +7) [CLOSE- OIL $101.65/ GOLD $922 / SILVER $17.31 / PLATINUM $2,006 / DOLLAR= .63 EURO, 99 YEN, .503 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/ 10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.41%]. eND OF FIRST QUARTER AND DOW –8%, nASDAQ-14%, AND S&P-10%. I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL (TAKE PROFITS) AS THE WALL STREET SCAM IS UNEARTHED BY REVELATION THAT OF 9 INVESTMENT VEHICLES S&P (MAJORITY OF 401K HOLDINGS, ETC.) WAS WORST PERFORMER (1% OR LESS AND IF YOU FACTOR IN DECLINING DOLLAR, NEGATIVE RELATIVE TO NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED ALTERNATIVES OVER DECADE).  5 REASONS WHY THE FED HAS FAILED. MIDWEST MANUFACTURING INDEX AT 48.2 INDICATES CONTRACTION BUT LESS SEVERE THAN EXPECTED…..RIIIIIGHT…..PROPOSAL BY OF ALL PEOPLE A WALL STREET FRAUD NAMED PAULSON SEEKS TO ELIMINATE SEC BY MERGING INTO SLOTHLIKE COMMODITIES ARM WITH NET EFFECT OF NO ENFORCEMENT OF EXISTING LAWS/REGS AGAINST FRAUD WHICH IS NECESSARY (ALONG DISGORGEMENT OF THEIR FRAUDULENT GAINS BY THE WALL STREET PERPETRATORS) ACCORDING TO WELL RESPECTED ECONOMIST/ANALYST. THIS IS FIRST OVERALL SINCE GREAT DEPRESSION WHICH TELLS VOLUMES ABOUT THE SEVERITY OF THE CRISIS YET SOLVES NOTHING. ONE ANALYST SAYS EYES ON WRITEDOWNS TO COME. COMMENTATOR SAYS 1929 REVISITED YET REGS DO NOTHING BUT ELIMINATE PROTECTIONS ACCORDED BY sec. ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST/AUTHOR/PROFESSOR SAYS NO ONE KNOWS HOW DEEP/DARK/AND LENGTH OF CURRENT CRISIS, SO SEVERE REQUIRING EMERGENCY ACTION YET DOING NOTHING OF SUBSTANCE AND THAT DOLLAR/DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES/ASSETS ARE HIGH RISK AND RELATIVELY LOW RETURN. ANOTHER WELL RESPECTED ECONOMIST SAYS MUST USE EXISTING LAWS AGINST FRAUD, PROSECUTE, AND GO AFTER THE HEDGE FUNDS.  3-28-08 freddie mac economist says housing prices might continue to fall through 2010 as house prices fall 29%, orders for new homes down 75%, and housing starts fall 9% to 50 year low. kb homes registers $268 million loss and offers downbeat outlook on housing crisis while j.c. penny on retail end offers equally bad outlook and worse than expected quarterly results to come. consumer spending weakest in 17 months. fake core inflation report is also meaningless (excludes food and energy) at tepid 2%. consumer sentiment index at lowest since 1992, a 16 year low. frenzy over j.p.morgan memo on how to beef up income on mortgage applications. s&p economist says we’re in a recession and points to a very bumpy year ahead. one analyst says troubled market/economy to continue and shorts stocks, is long on metals, points to failed structured finance market, failed fed and globally recognized folly of helicopter ben (bernanke), property continue down, dollar continue downward slide, and bubble in emerging markets. one reporter examining financial newsletters says vast majority bleak, pessimistic in their outlook/forecasts. socal congressman says us hole getting bigger, deeper, and darker and regarding the fed, too little too late, kind of like his caleefornia. yet another analyst says we’re in a nationwide recession (he previously had called california’s recession but stopped short of nationwide), points to job losses, higher oil/gas prices, rising debt burdens and worse on wall street than main street, not optimistic on real estate as foreclosures and supply up with prices declining with early 2009 at best the trough, and that there are other financial institutions in similar situation to that of bear stearns.   3-27-08 GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL (TAKE PROFITS) AS THE WALL STREET SCAM IS UNEARTHED BY REVELATION THAT OF 9 INVESTMENT VEHICLES S&P (MAJORITY OF 401K HOLDINGS, ETC.) WAS WORST PERFORMER (1% OR LESS AND IF YOU FACTOR IN DECLINING DOLLAR, NEGATIVE RELATIVE TO NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED ALTERNATIVES OVER DECADE). FOURTH  QUARTER ECONOMIC GROWTH REVISED UPWARD TO ANEMIC .6% (RIIIIIGHT…..SO THEY WON’T HAVE TO USE THE R FOR REALITY WORD RECESSION). OIL UP ON SUPPLY CONCERNS AND DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS AT HIGH 366,000 AND ORACLE DISAPPOINTS ON SALES AS MERRILL IS DOWNGRADED. ONE ANALYST SAYS LEHMAN (-9%) BEARS EERIE SIMILARITIES TO BEAR STEARNS, CITES SUBSTANTIAL NUMBER OF PUTS AND RUN ON BANKS WHICH WILL HELP FOREIGN BANKS (IE., SWISS, ETC.), ALSO CAUTIONS ON DRUG SECTOR/SIDE EFFECTS. OIL ANALYST EMPHASIZES $7 RUN IN TWO DAYS, BOMBING OF OIL SUPPLY LINE IN IRAQ, WEAKER DOLLAR, LIQUIDITY CRISIS, IRAQ VIOLENCE, LOWER REFINERY RUNS AND SAYS OIL/GAS PRICES HIGHER BEFORE LOWER. ONE ECONOMIST SAYS CREDIT CRISIS AND POINTS TO PURCHASING POWER FAILURE AS BORROWED FUNDS (IE., HOME EQUITY, ETC.) ARE DEPLETED AND WAGES LOWER, WHILE ANOTHER ECONOMIST WHO HAS ALREADY CALLED RECESSION SEES MORE REGULATION FOR TROUBLED  INVESTMENT BANKS AS DISTINGUISHED FROM FDIC INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS AND SAYS CREDIT CRUNCH WILL CONTINUE. AIRLINE COMMENTATOR/ANALYST CITES OLDER PLANES FOR PUBLICIZED PROBLEMS, SURCHARGES/HIGHER FUEL COSTS FOR HIGHER PRICES. 3-26-08 GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL (TAKE PROFITS) IN WHAT REMAINS OF THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY AS THE WALL STREET SCAM UNEARTHED BY REVELATION THAT OF 9 INVESTMENT VEHICLES S&P (MAJORITY OF 401K HOLDINGS, ETC.) WAS WORST PERFORMER (1% OR LESS AND IF YOU FACTOR IN DECLINING DOLLAR, NEGATIVE RELATIVE TO NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED ALTERNATIVES OVER DECADE). OIL UP ON SUPPLY CONCERNS AND DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. BANKING SECTOR DOWNGRADED CITING MORE WRITE-DOWNS AND –84% EARNINGS (CITI, ETC.). FACTORY ORDERS/DURABLES DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 1.75% AND NEW HOME SALES DOWN 1.8% ALONG WITH PRICE DECLINES (INCLUDING MEDIAN PRICE DECLINE). WSJ ARTICLE RAISES SPECTER OF FED BANKRUPTCY AND PUBLIC BAILOUT. ONE ANALYST CITES CITIBANK DIFFICULTIES, LBO TROUBLES (IE., CLEAR CHANNEL, ETC.), FED HOLDING JUNK PAPER, AND RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE (IE., CONSUMER STAPLES, ETC.) POSTURE INCLUDING MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION). OIL ANALYST SAYS RECORD OIL/ GAS PRICES (GAS UP ANOTHER 5-10 CENTS) AND CITES DECLINE IN REFINERY RUN, CONFLICT IN IRAQ, AND EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK’S FIGHT AGAINST INFLATION/LOWER DOLLAR AND SAYS NATURAL GAS AN INTERESTING PLAY. ONE REPORTER CITES DROP IN GAS SUPPLIES AND FINANCIAL SECTOR WRITEDOWNS. R.E. ANALYST POINTS TO SO. CAL. 400% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES AND SAYS NO IMPROVEMENT UNTIL AT LEAST LATE 2008/EARLY 2009. CURRENCY EXPERT SAYS FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS WILL SURVIVE BUT WON’T BE LENDING, DOLLAR RISK TO THE DOWNSIDE, FED HOLDING BAD RESERVES, HOUSING MARKET TO CONTINUE DECLINE, AND FAVORS EURO.  3-25-08 GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL (TAKE PROFITS) THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY INTO THE CLOSE  WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T AND NOTHING BUT BAD ECONOMIC NEWS AS WALL STREET FRAUDS ATTEMPT  TO WINDOW DRESS REALISTICALLY DISMAL FIRST QUARTER NUMBERS TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMPUTERIZED PROGRAM TRADE COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING. DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. earnings downgrade for merrill lynch/financials and reluctance to take mark-to-market loss (prompted bear bailout) scuttles(?) clear channel deal. GOVERNMENT HIRING NEW (FDIC) BANK REGULATORS FOR INCREASING BANK FAILURES. S&P CASE SHILLER INDEX REGISTERS SHARPEST HOUSING PRICE DECLINE ON RECORD AT –11.4%, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX DOWN TO 5 YR. LOW OF 65 WHICH IS SUBSTANTIALLY BELOW EXPECTED 73, AND EXPECTATIONS INDEX AT LOWEST SINCE 1973. KEN SHREVE OF IBD POINTS TO VOLUME (COMMISSION GENERATING COMPUTERIZED PROGRAMMED TRADES SIMULATING DEMAND) AS A GOOD SIGN…RIIIIIGHT…CITES SELLING PRESSURE ON THE WAY UP AND SAYS WAIT AND SEE AS NEW LEADERSHIP DEVELOPS…RIIIIIGHT (WHICH TRANSLATED MEANS HE DOESN’T KNOW WHERE THIS IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT MARKET IS GOING. S&P CASE SHILLER ANALYST/VP SAYS HOME PRICES IN DECLINE WHICH ACCELERATED IN THE LAST 6-9 MONTHS AND SEES –20%/TROUGH IN LATE 2008. R.E. ANALYST DOESN’T SEE BOTTOM PARTICULARLY IN SO. CALIFORNIA (IE., LA, SAN DIEGO, ETC.) (MIAMI, LAS VEGAS, PHOENIX VERY BAD). AN ECONOMIST SAYS ANOTHER YEAR OF DECLINES SINCE CONSUMER SPENDING/CONFIDENCE HAS WEAKENED SUBSTANTIALLY. CALIFORNIA BUREAUCRAT (THAT’S ALL THERE IS) SAYS TOUGH TIMES AHEAD, POINTS TO UPSIDE DOWN CONDITIONS (MORTGAGE LOANS GREATER THAN PROPERTY VALUES) AND SAYS HOUSE OF CARDS. ANOTHER ECONOMIST SAYS MORE EROSION ON THE PRICE SIDE,-20%, AND A WAYS TO GO. R.E. PROF. SAYS SLIDE TO CONTINUE UNTIL EXCESS SUPPLY IS CLEARED.  3-24-08 GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT-COVERING RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T AND NO REAL ECONOMIC NEWS AS WALL STREET FRAUDS IN LAST DITCH EFFORT TO WINDOW DRESS REALISTICALLY DISMAL FIRST QUARTER NUMBERS TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMPUTERIZED PROGRAM TRADE COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING. THE ELECTION-YEAR-INDUCED RALLY FAKE NEWS PUSHED BY THE WALL STREET FRAUDS IS A MEAGER TWO-FOLD; VIZ., EXISTING HOME SALES INCREASED (JAN.-FEB.) 2.9% EXCEEDING SUBSTANTIALLY ECONOMISTS’ PREDICTIONS AND J.P. MORGAN WILLING TO PAY $10 INSTEAD OF $2 PER SHARE FOR FAILED INVESTMENT BANK BEAR STEARNS. REALITY: INCREASED SALES DUE TO INCREASED FORECLOSURE SALES; PRICES DOWN 8.2%; MEDIAN HOME PRICE FELL MOST EVER ON RECORD; INCREASED BEAR MONEY TO PLACATE SHAREHOLDERS DESPERATE MOVE TO KEEP WORTHLESS SECURITIES FROM BEING DUMPED IN MARKET WHERE SAME CAN’T BE SOLD AND WHERE SUCH WOULD RESULT IN OTHER SUCH BEING MARKED TO MARKET (PENNIES ON A DOLLAR). ONE ANALYST SAYS NOTHING FUNDAMENTALLY HAS CHANGED, DAY TO DAY TRADING ON DAY’S NEWS AND TODAY A HAPPY (NON) NEWS DAY…RIIIIIGHT…AND RECOMMENDS FOR PROTECTION NON-U.S. ASSETS/SECURITIES, METALS, AND BIG CAP TECH/MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION). AN ECONOMIST SAYS THE FED’S CONFUSING DEAL PROTECTS ITS OWN MONEY BY ESSENTIALLY PROVIDING A “BRIDGE LOAN” TO PREVENT THE WORTHLESS SECURITIES FROM BEING DUMPED WHERE THERE IS NO MARKET FOR SAME CAUSING FURTHER WRITEDOWNS across THE BOARD ON MARK TO MARKET. ANOTHER ANALYST EMPHASIZES DISFUNCTIONAL BANKING/CONTINUED WRITEDOWNS/LOSSES/BALANCE SHEET PROBLEMS FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS/WE’VE NOT SEEN THE BOTTOM, IN RECOMMENDING TAKING SOME PROFITS WITH ELECTION YEAR STIMULUS CREATING INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS, THOUGH STILL IN BEAR MARKET THE REAL DECLINE AND REAL RECESSION (WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION) TO COME POST ELECTION/2009 AND THE INTERMEDIATE TERM IS VERY SCARY. ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ONE THIRD OF EXISTING HOME SALES WERE FORECLOSURES WITH OVERSUPPLY OF PROPERTIES WHICH WILL TAKE A LONG TIME TO WORK OUT WHILE ANOTHER r.e. ANALYST SAYS YEARS TO WORK OUT WITH ONLY LIMITED IMPROVEMENT LATE 2009.  3-20-08 FULL MOON WITH OBVIOUS EFFECT ON LUNATIC WALL STREET FRAUDS. SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT-COVERING RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T  AND EXCEEDINGLY BAD ECONOMIC NEWS VIZ., UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS UP MUCH MORE THAN EXPECTED 22,000 TO HIGH 378,000, CREDIT SWISSE TO REVISE PREVIOUS YEARS PROFITS DOWN ON FURTHER WRITEDOWNS, PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN,  AND LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN FOR FIFTH MONTH IN A ROW WHICH HAS ALWAYS SIGNALED/INDICATED/PRECEDED ECONOMIC DOWNTURN/CONTRACTION/RECESSION. ONE SOMEWHAT SENILE ANALYST WELCOMED THE MASSIVE AMOUNT OF FAKE/FIAT/PRINTED MONEY SAYING THE FINANCIALS WHICH HAVE LAGGED THE MARKET BY 20% WILL BE HELPED/INFLATED OUT OF THEIR DOLDRUMS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) BY SAME WHICH HE LIKES BECAUSE HE’S HEAVILY CONCENTRATED IN FINANCIALS (GREAT CALL) AND THAT THE MONEY HASN’T SHOWN UP YET BUT FAILS TO REALIZE THE U.S. HAS NEVER BEEN IN SUCH DIRE CIRCUMSTANCES ECONOMICALLY, FINANCIALLY, AND GEOPOLITICALLY AS NOW. A MORE RATIONAL VIEW BY ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER SAID STIMULUS THUS FAR TREATS SYMPTOMS WITH MERE BANDAIDS WHICH FAIL TO ADDRESS/CURE THE PROBLEM/CAUSE/DISEASE AND IS RATHER SIMPLISTIC TO A FAULT IN FOCUSING SOLELY ON HOUSING/REAL ESTATE VALUES ALTHOUGH CORRECTLY STATES THAT EASIER MONEY WILL NOT ENHANCE THE VALUE OF MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES WHICH REMAIN INDETERMINANT, DOWN, OR GOING DOWN AND ADVOCATES DEPRESSION ERA APPROACH SINCE HE CORRECTLY STATES  ECONOMY HAS ALREADY (DECEMBER, 2007 OR JANUARY, 2008) ENTERED THE WORST RECESSION OF THE POST-WAR ERA (DESPITE ELECTION YEAR SPIN). ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THIS IS A SHORT-COVERING RALLY AND AN OPPORTUNITY TO SELL/TAKE PROFITS (i TOTALLY AGREE), THAT THE FED DESPERATION MOVES INCLUDING PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD  HAVE LED TO A DEBASEMENT OF THE U.S. CURRENCY AND THAT THE DOLLAR WILL CONTINUE TO GO LOWER, THAT TRILLIONS HAVE BEEN BORROWED BUT THAT THEY WILL BE UNSUCCESSFUL IN REINFLATING THE BUBBLE, THAT THE FINANCIAL CRISIS IS NO WHERE NEAR BEING OVER WITH MUCH MORE CARNAGE TO COME, AND RECOMMENDS BEING TOTALLY OUT OF THE DOLLAR INCLUDING DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES AND INTO OTHER FOREIGN CURRENCIES/SECURITIES.  3-19-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY.  I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). morgan stanley earnings down 40% but better than expected…..riiiiight…..on computerized bond/stock trading commissions. merrill lynch says more loan losses. one analyst says not much optimism regarding fed moves, deepening fears about economy, wall street stuck with a lot of stuff (ie., junk bonds, junk securities, junk derivatives, subprime mortgages, etc.) which can’t be sold except at firesale prices, avoid equities particularly small/midcaps, raise cash (taking profits/selling), looking for confirmation, entered recession in february but with inflation a very tough scenario. an oil analyst says commodity bubble bursting with profit-taking/path of least resistance but still record diesel at $4.21, record home heating oil $3.80 so wait and see. another analyst says emerging markets attractive relative to developed citing p/e multiple comparison but no save haven and points to further weakness in dollar relative to other currencies. metals analyst says rate cut less than expected and etfs (and computerized trading thereof) has propped demand.  3-18-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant bubble rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). WHOLESALE/PRODUCER PRICES UP MORE THAN EXPECTED .3% WITH CORE RATE UP .5%. HOUSING STARTS DOWN 36% TO LOWEST LEVEL IN 17 YEARS. SHARPLY (MORE THAN 50%) LOWER EARNINGS AT GOLDMAN AND LEHMAN RALLIES THEIR STOCKS WITH FAMILIAR MANTRA ‘NOT AS BAD AS EXPECTED’…..RIIIIIGHT! DOLLAR DOWN AGAINST MOST CURRENCIES ON .75% PANIC CUT IN FED FUNDS RATE TO 2.25%. ONE ANALYST POINTS TO STRENGTH BY SECTOR, VIZ., FINANCIALS +8% (FOCUS OF THE BAILOUT), SMALL CAPS +5%, EMERGING MARKETS +5%, AND SAYS DOLLAR WILL BE BOTTOMING. AN OIL ANALYST SAYS OIL TO GO HIGHER WITH INFLUX OF SPECULATIVE NEW MONEY FROM RATE CUT. FORMER FED GOVERNOR GRAMLEY SAY WE’RE IN SERIOUS ECONOMIC CRISIS, IN RECESSION WITH ECONOMIC WEAKNESS SUFFICIENT TO MUTE DEMAND/SHARPER PRICE INCREASES, AND COMPARES ECONOMY TO CANCER PATIENT UNDERGOING NECESSARY CHEMOTHERAPY…..RIIIIIGHT….., FED HAS USED EMERGENCY POWERS NOT USED SINCE THE GREAT DEPRESSION BUT CAN’T RELY SOLELY ON THE FED. ANOTHER ANALYST TALKS IN TERMS OF TRADING ON A DAY-TO-DAY BASIS (FACT-THERE ARE HISTORICALLY VERY FEW SUCCESSFUL TRADERS), BELIEVES FED WENT TOO FAR WITH RATE CUT AND SEES SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM WITH INFLATION, THUMBS UP FOR METALS/OIL AND LARGE CAP TECH WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS, BUT FURTHER CAUTIONS OWING TO NEGATIVE REAL INTEREST RATES (RATES LESS THAN INFLATION, RISK, ECONOMIC FACTORS/PREMIUMS). FINALLY, THINGS ARE SO HUNKY DORY THAT AS REPORTED BY CONTINENTAL COIN AND JEWELRY PEOPLE ARE PULLING THEIR TEETH, EXTRACTING AND SELLING THE GOLD. LOVELY!  3-17-08 LUNATIC/FRAUDS 200+ point computerized BUY PROGRAM suckers’ bear market/short-covering rally to the upside based upon nothing whatsoever that hasn’t already been discounted (ie., more rate cuts by fed in panic mode, etc.). I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION FELL A GREATER THAN EXPECTED ONE-HALF OF 1%. ONE ANALYST CITES NEW LOWS FOR DOLLAR AND SUBSTANTIAL MOVE BY FED ALREADY DISCOUNTED (.75%). ANOTHER ANALYST CITES WEAKER DOLLAR AND SLOWER ECONOMY IMPACTING DEMAND (IE., FOR GOODS, ETC., AND HENCE, COMMODITY PRICES, HENCE LOWER OIL PRICE THIS DAY), CITES THIS DAYS SHORT-COVERING RALLY AND RECOMEMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND OVERSEAS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (UTILITIES, ETC.). YET aNOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST CITES BUSINESS MODELS COMPARABLE TO BEAR STEARNS IN FINANCIAL SECTOR(PROBLEMS WITH HEDGE FUNDS/INVESTMENT BANKS) WHICH HAS PROVEN INABILITY TO MANAGE THEIR OWN AFFAIRS SAYING DEREGULATION A DISASTER AND REREGULATION A CURE, NO END TO FALL IN DOLLAR AS US BECOMES WORLD’S BEGGAR, AND RECOMMENDS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (IE., EURO, SWISS FRANC, ETC., AND EMERGING FAR EAST MARKETS). aNOTHER MORE CALIFORNIA/SENILE, ANALYST/BROKER WHO LIKE OTHERS HAVE LOST SUBSTANTIAL MONIES FOR CLIENTS CITES LACK OF OF TRANSPARENCY AS VALUE OF HIS BUYS AND HOLDS CONTINUES TO FALL WITH DOLLAR BUT TALKS SOME SPECULATIVE BUYS AND CASH. A FINANCIAL TIMES EDITOR SAYS NO BOTTOM YET, THAT BY HISTORICAL STANDARDS THE SCENARIO IS QUITE BAD FOR THE US, THAT BEAR STEARNS WAS NOT ALONE AMONG US FIRMS IN THEIR PROBLEMS, THAT THE MARKET IS EXPECTING 1% PANIC CUT BY FED, AND THAT THE US ECONOMY IS IN DEEP TROUBLE. 3-14-08 early surge based on false benign inflation report (showing no change in retail inflation) from the government gives way to reality that they can’t cover up/lie about (despite intra-day suckers rally) when there is a run on large wall street investment bank bear stearns (first such since the great depression) which cites liquidity crisis as ny fed and jp morgan intervene with 28 day loan as bear is holding high risk (worthless) assets which are illiquid (thinly traded/can’t be sold) as reserves (they are not alone in this regard among the frauds on wallstreet, etc., and only 2 days ago bear said balance sheet stable), all time lows for the dollar, wsj reports majority of economists think we’re in recession, michigan (non-washington non-fed gov’t report) sentiment index at new 16 year low. One ANALYST SAYS DOLLAR WEAKNESS/LOWER YIELDS/ECONOMIC CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE DOWNWARD TREND, INFLATION REPORT SURPRISE/FOOLISH AND HIGHER INFLATION NUMBER FOR MARCH, CRESCENDO OF BAD NEWS IN COMING WEEK AND LOOK FOR NEW LOWS/BOTTOM(?). OIL ANALYST CITES WEAK DOLLAR/EASY MONEY FLOWS AND SAYS LOOK FOR OIL AT $120-$125. ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ITS TOO LATE FOR FED TO TURN THIS WRITEDOWN/SUBPRIME/ECONOMIC DOWNTURN AROUND WITH BEAR ANOTHER $35-$70 BILLION BAD AND WHAT AFTER 28 DAY LOAN-EXPECT TAKEOVER/NO MORE BEAR STEARNS.  3-13-08 SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T ALONE (NOTHING WHATSOEVER) AS STANDARD AND POORS ANALYST SAYS THE END OF WRITEDOWNS MIGHT (BUT NOT QUITE) BE IN SIGHT  (WHICH IS LIKE THAT BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYING HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP)…RIIIIIGHT….. WHICH IS MEANINGLESS COMING FROM STANDARD AND POORS WHICH SHOULD BE ACCOUNTABLE/LIABLE (FOR THIS FRAUD) ALONG WITH THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET, ETC., FOR THE TRIPLE A RATED SECURITIES ON THE BOOKS WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE IN FACT NOT TRIPLE A (WORTHLESS JUNK BONDS, ASSETS, ETC.) SPURRING 200+ POINT SWING TO THE UPSIDE. VAST MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION (EVEN DESPITE ELECTION YEAR GIMMICKS-AS GOOD AS GETS). RETAIL SALES DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED .6%, FORECLOSURES UP 60% YEAR OVER YEAR, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. ONE ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED UNEMPLOYMENT/EMPLOYMENT WEAKNESS, PREMATURE TO SAY AS DID S&P THAT WE’RE NEAR END OF WRITEDOWNS, MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION, HOUSING DOWNTURN MUCH FURTHER TO GO, VERY DEFENSIVE AS STOCKS CONTINUE TO HIT NEW LOWS IN LARGE NUMBERS, WORST OF HOUSING CRISIS AHEAD, AND THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSION ECONOMY. ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS U.S. CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS, LACK OF TRUST IN U.S. FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AND TRIPLE A RATINGS (BONDS, ETC., WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE NOT), BANKS’ NEED FOR RECAPITALIZATION, LOW SAVINGS (IE., CONSUMERS USING IE., GIFT CARDS FOR GROCERIES, ETC.), FED LOSING CREDIBILITY BY FLIP-FLOPS/WRONG MOVES, AND SEES ONLY SHORT-COVERING RALLIES AT BEST. VENEZUELA SHIFT TO PAYMENT IN EUROS FOR OIL OUT OF DOLLARS. YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST SAYS WITH MONEY SUPPLY INCREASING AT EXORBITANT 27% PER ANNUM, CITING ECONOMIST FRIEDMAN SAYS HYPER-INFLATIONARY (CONTRARY TO LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMISTS WHO THIS DAY SEE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS REAL ESTATE DOWN 17.6%, SALES DOWN 40-45%, AND MEDIAN HOME PRICES DOWN $100,000, AND BUDGET DEFICITS ACROSS THE BOARD). 3-12-08 VERY MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY ON PANICKY FED KNEE JERK FUNNY MONEY ACTION, ONE ANALYST/BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYS HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP…..RIIIIIGHT…..REFERENCES THAT THIS IS WORST R.E. DOWNTURN IN 100 YEARS AND NO BOTTOM YET IN R.E. AND WSJ SAYS WORSE TO COME IN BAD PAPER (WRITEDOWNS, ETC.), AN OIL ANALYST SAYS RECORD HIGH OIL PRICES ARE HEDGE AGAINST FALLING DOLLAR WITH A LOT OF DOLLARS RELATIVE TO GOODS (AS IE., OIL, OTHER COMMODITIES, ETC.-HYPERINFLATION) AND IF YOU HOLD DOLLARS/DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/SECURITIES YOU LOSE VALUE AND SEES $4.00 GAS NATIONWIDE WITH RECORD DIESEL, WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THAT SEEING FED GO FROM LENDER OF LAST RESORT TO LENDER (PRINTER) OF FIRST RESORT IS WORRISOME/TROUBLESOME.  3-11-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant new EPHEMERAL bubble  rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO ADD $200 BILLION IN WORLDWIDE LIQUIDITY BY TEMPORARILY REPLACING (28 DAYS) ONE TYPE OF FUNNY-MONEY (WORTHLESS SUBPRIME COLLATERALIZED DEBT) WITH ANOTHER LONGER TERM WORTHLESS FUNNY-MONEY (U.S. DEBT WHICH CAN’T BE PAID BACK) WHICH IS A GREAT B.S. TALKING POINT BUT JUST A DROP IN THE BUCKET CONSIDERING THE MAGNITUDE OF THE UNDISCLOSED WRITEDOWNS/WORTHLESS PAPER BEING HELD(AND, CURING A BUBBLE WITH A NEW BUBBLE-I DON'T THINK SO), ONE ANALYST POINTS TO THE HYPERINFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF TOO MUCH LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS AND MORE BAD NEWS TO COME IN TECH SECTOR AND EARNINGS ALONG WITH MORE WRITEOFFS/WRITEDOWNS WITH WORSE TO COME/NO BOTTOM YET AND HE REMAINS A BEAR, LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMIST SAYS BAD BUT NOT TECHNICALLY RECESSION BASED ON GOVERNMENT ELECTION-YEAR DATA (ONLY NUTS AND NUTS FROM THE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS BELIEVE SAME) WHILE TWO OTHER ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS/HIGH INFLATION/LOWER DOLLAR AS FOREIGNERS/INVESTORS GET OUT OF WORTHLESS DOLLAR WITH BIG TROUBLE FOR U.S. POST-ELECTION AS REALITY SETS IN, TRADE GAP WIDENED, AND SMART MONEY WOULD SELL THIS RALLY/TAKE PROFITS. 3-10-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, NEW BANK DOWNGRADES, MORGAN SLASHES EARNINGS ESTIMATES FOR S&P AND SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, EVEN MORE ECONOMISTS NOW SAY THE OBVIOUS/RECESSION, RUMOR THAT BEAR STERNS WITH SUBSTANTIAL LIQUIDITY ISSUES IS GOING UNDER, DOLLAR DOWN, EARNINGS ESTIMATES CUT ON CITIBANK AND BANKOFAMERICA, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) HIGH ENERGY AND FOOD PRICES (CONVENIENTLY LEFT OUT OF THE FED’S “TOUTED” CORE RATE) ARE SQUEEZING THE CONSUMER (AND HENCE, CONSUMPTION/65% OF GDP) AND THAT COMMODITIES A BUBBLE AND MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS/POSITVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO WEAKER DOLLAR PREFERRED, AN OIL ANALYST SAYS $200 OIL POSSIBLE (REITERATING GOLDMAN) WITH CONTINUED WEAKENING OF DOLLAR, ANOTHER ANALYST/JOURNALIST SAYS SELL DOLLAR DENOMINATED STOCKS/SECURITIES/ASSETS WHICH HAVE MUCH FURTHER TO FALL AND REITERATES AS DID BARRON’S THAT MORTGAGE INSURERS HAVE OVER $5 TRILLION IN DEBT/EXPOSURE AND THAT MANY OF THE NATIONS BANKS ARE ALREADY INSOLVENT SO GET OUT OF THE DOLLAR AND U.S. STOCKS.  3-7-08 BAD EMPLOYMENT/JOBS DATA across ALL SECTORS AS 63,000 JOBS LOST WITH DOWNWARD REVISIONS TO DECEMBER AND JANUARY (ACTUALLY LOST 20,000) JOBS NUMBERS, ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN A RECESSION WHILE MORE ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH ONE STATING THAT YOU ALMOST NEVER SEE BACK-TO-BACK MONTHLY DECLINE IN EMPLOYMENT WITHOUT RECESSION AS NOW, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, CONSUMERS INCREASED BORROWING TO STAY AFLOAT, WASHINGTON MUTUAL FURTHER DOWNGRADES, SUPPORT LEVELS BROKEN TO THE DOWNSIDE, sentiment- 85% believe things will get worse.  3-6-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. 23% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES IN FOURTH QUARTER NEW RECORD HIGH, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, 10% OF HOMES WITH 0 OR NEGATIVE EQUITY, MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION SAYS HOME FORECLOSURES AT ALL-TIME HIGH AND GOING HIGHER, ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ROUGH YEAR AHEAD WITH FORECLOSURES AND DEFAULTS UP, ONE ANALYST SAYS MARKET WILL TEST NEW LOWS/SUPPORT LEVELS WITH FLIGHT TO “QUALITY”/TREASURIES, LENDER THORNBURG DEFAULTS AND ALONG WITH WASHINGTON MUTUAL IS DOWNGRADED, CONTINUING CLAIMS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT AT HIGH LEVELS MEANS COMPANIES SHRINKING, IGNORE KNEE-JERK ELECTION YEAR GOVERNMENT HUNKY DORY FAKE REPORTS. 3-5-08 OIL INVENTORIES LESS THAN EXPECTED, FED BEIGE BOOK CITES ECONOMIC WEAKNESS PARTICULARLY SINCE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, LABOR COSTS ROSE, RISING PRICE PRESSURES/STAGFLATION, RECESSION/BEAR MARKET, ONE ANALYST SAYS TOUGH FIRST HALF RECOMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH 50% OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND CONSUMER STAPLES/HEALTH RELATED/DEFENSIVE STOCKS, AMBAC TO FLOAT STOCK TO SHORE UP BALANCE SHEET TO TUNE OF $1.5 BILLION/DILUTION AND  SHARES FALL $2 TO $8.70, OIL ANALYST CITES DECLINE IN OIL INVENTORIES/DIESEL/JET FUEL AND WEAK DOLLAR AND TOP $108-$110 BUT $120-$130 IF VENEZUELA/COLUMBIA CONFLICT AND MORE RECORD HIGH GAS PRICES TO COME, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DECLINE IN REAL ESTATE/HOUSING WITH STARTS DOWN 15-20-40% ON WELL DESERVED PESSIMISM/CREDIT CRUNCH.  3-4-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, 3-3-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY  TO  KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING(3-31-08) (DOW +46, NASDAQ +17, S&P +7) [CLOSE- OIL $101.65/ GOLD $922 / SILVER $17.31 / PLATINUM $2,006 / DOLLAR= .63 EURO, 99 YEN, .503 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/ 10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.41%]. I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY (TAKE PROFITS). REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts/reporters/journalists bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-28-08) (DOW -86, NASDAQ -20, S&P –10.5) [CLOSE- OIL $105.62/ GOLD $930.60 / SILVER $17.94 / PLATINUM $2,020 / DOLLAR= .63 EURO, 98 YEN, .4979 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/ 10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.44%]. GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL (TAKE PROFITS) AS THE WALL STREET SCAM IS UNEARTHED BY REVELATION THAT OF 9 INVESTMENT VEHICLES S&P (MAJORITY OF 401K HOLDINGS, ETC.) WAS WORST PERFORMER (1% OR LESS AND IF YOU FACTOR IN DECLINING DOLLAR, NEGATIVE RELATIVE TO NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED ALTERNATIVES OVER DECADE). 5 REASONS WHY THE FED HAS FAILED.  freddie mac economist says housing prices might continue to fall through 2010 as house prices fall 29%, orders for new homes down 75%, and housing starts fall 9% to 50 year low. kb homes registers $268 million loss and offers downbeat outlook on housing crisis while j.c. penny on retail end offers equally bad outlook and worse than expected quarterly results to come. consumer spending weakest in 17 months. fake core inflation report is also meaningless (excludes food and energy) at tepid 2%. consumer sentiment index at lowest since 1992, a 16 year low. frenzy over j.p.morgan memo on how to beef up income on mortgage applications. s&p economist says we’re in a recession and points to a very bumpy year ahead. one analyst says troubled market/economy to continue and shorts stocks, is long on metals, points to failed structured finance market, failed fed and globally recognized folly of helicopter ben (bernanke), property continue down, dollar continue downward slide, and bubble in emerging markets. one reporter examining financial newsletters says vast majority bleak, pessimistic in their outlook/forecasts. socal congressman says us hole getting bigger, deeper, and darker and regarding the fed, too little too late, kind of like his caleefornia. yet another analyst says we’re in a nationwide recession (he previously had called california’s recession but stopped short of nationwide), points to job losses, higher oil/gas prices, rising debt burdens and worse on wall street than main street, not optimistic on real estate as foreclosures and supply up with prices declining with early 2009 at best the trough, and that there are other financial institutions in similar situation to that of bear stearns.   3-27-08 GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL (TAKE PROFITS) AS THE WALL STREET SCAM IS UNEARTHED BY REVELATION THAT OF 9 INVESTMENT VEHICLES S&P (MAJORITY OF 401K HOLDINGS, ETC.) WAS WORST PERFORMER (1% OR LESS AND IF YOU FACTOR IN DECLINING DOLLAR, NEGATIVE RELATIVE TO NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED ALTERNATIVES OVER DECADE). FOURTH  QUARTER ECONOMIC GROWTH REVISED UPWARD TO ANEMIC .6% (RIIIIIGHT…..SO THEY WON’T HAVE TO USE THE R FOR REALITY WORD RECESSION). OIL UP ON SUPPLY CONCERNS AND DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS AT HIGH 366,000 AND ORACLE DISAPPOINTS ON SALES AS MERRILL IS DOWNGRADED. ONE ANALYST SAYS LEHMAN (-9%) BEARS EERIE SIMILARITIES TO BEAR STEARNS, CITES SUBSTANTIAL NUMBER OF PUTS AND RUN ON BANKS WHICH WILL HELP FOREIGN BANKS (IE., SWISS, ETC.), ALSO CAUTIONS ON DRUG SECTOR/SIDE EFFECTS. OIL ANALYST EMPHASIZES $7 RUN IN TWO DAYS, BOMBING OF OIL SUPPLY LINE IN IRAQ, WEAKER DOLLAR, LIQUIDITY CRISIS, IRAQ VIOLENCE, LOWER REFINERY RUNS AND SAYS OIL/GAS PRICES HIGHER BEFORE LOWER. ONE ECONOMIST SAYS CREDIT CRISIS AND POINTS TO PURCHASING POWER FAILURE AS BORROWED FUNDS (IE., HOME EQUITY, ETC.) ARE DEPLETED AND WAGES LOWER, WHILE ANOTHER ECONOMIST WHO HAS ALREADY CALLED RECESSION SEES MORE REGULATION FOR TROUBLED  INVESTMENT BANKS AS DISTINGUISHED FROM FDIC INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS AND SAYS CREDIT CRUNCH WILL CONTINUE. AIRLINE COMMENTATOR/ANALYST CITES OLDER PLANES FOR PUBLICIZED PROBLEMS, SURCHARGES/HIGHER FUEL COSTS FOR HIGHER PRICES. 3-26-08 GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL (TAKE PROFITS) IN WHAT REMAINS OF THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY AS THE WALL STREET SCAM UNEARTHED BY REVELATION THAT OF 9 INVESTMENT VEHICLES S&P (MAJORITY OF 401K HOLDINGS, ETC.) WAS WORST PERFORMER (1% OR LESS AND IF YOU FACTOR IN DECLINING DOLLAR, NEGATIVE RELATIVE TO NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED ALTERNATIVES OVER DECADE). OIL UP ON SUPPLY CONCERNS AND DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. BANKING SECTOR DOWNGRADED CITING MORE WRITE-DOWNS AND –84% EARNINGS (CITI, ETC.). FACTORY ORDERS/DURABLES DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 1.75% AND NEW HOME SALES DOWN 1.8% ALONG WITH PRICE DECLINES (INCLUDING MEDIAN PRICE DECLINE). WSJ ARTICLE RAISES SPECTER OF FED BANKRUPTCY AND PUBLIC BAILOUT. ONE ANALYST CITES CITIBANK DIFFICULTIES, LBO TROUBLES (IE., CLEAR CHANNEL, ETC.), FED HOLDING JUNK PAPER, AND RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE (IE., CONSUMER STAPLES, ETC.) POSTURE INCLUDING MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION). OIL ANALYST SAYS RECORD OIL/ GAS PRICES (GAS UP ANOTHER 5-10 CENTS) AND CITES DECLINE IN REFINERY RUN, CONFLICT IN IRAQ, AND EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK’S FIGHT AGAINST INFLATION/LOWER DOLLAR AND SAYS NATURAL GAS AN INTERESTING PLAY. ONE REPORTER CITES DROP IN GAS SUPPLIES AND FINANCIAL SECTOR WRITEDOWNS. R.E. ANALYST POINTS TO SO. CAL. 400% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES AND SAYS NO IMPROVEMENT UNTIL AT LEAST LATE 2008/EARLY 2009. CURRENCY EXPERT SAYS FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS WILL SURVIVE BUT WON’T BE LENDING, DOLLAR RISK TO THE DOWNSIDE, FED HOLDING BAD RESERVES, HOUSING MARKET TO CONTINUE DECLINE, AND FAVORS EURO.  3-25-08 GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL (TAKE PROFITS) THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY INTO THE CLOSE  WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T AND NOTHING BUT BAD ECONOMIC NEWS AS WALL STREET FRAUDS ATTEMPT  TO WINDOW DRESS REALISTICALLY DISMAL FIRST QUARTER NUMBERS TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMPUTERIZED PROGRAM TRADE COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING. DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. earnings downgrade for merrill lynch/financials and reluctance to take mark-to-market loss (prompted bear bailout) scuttles(?) clear channel deal. GOVERNMENT HIRING NEW (FDIC) BANK REGULATORS FOR INCREASING BANK FAILURES. S&P CASE SHILLER INDEX REGISTERS SHARPEST HOUSING PRICE DECLINE ON RECORD AT –11.4%, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX DOWN TO 5 YR. LOW OF 65 WHICH IS SUBSTANTIALLY BELOW EXPECTED 73, AND EXPECTATIONS INDEX AT LOWEST SINCE 1973. KEN SHREVE OF IBD POINTS TO VOLUME (COMMISSION GENERATING COMPUTERIZED PROGRAMMED TRADES SIMULATING DEMAND) AS A GOOD SIGN…RIIIIIGHT…CITES SELLING PRESSURE ON THE WAY UP AND SAYS WAIT AND SEE AS NEW LEADERSHIP DEVELOPS…RIIIIIGHT (WHICH TRANSLATED MEANS HE DOESN’T KNOW WHERE THIS IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT MARKET IS GOING. S&P CASE SHILLER ANALYST/VP SAYS HOME PRICES IN DECLINE WHICH ACCELERATED IN THE LAST 6-9 MONTHS AND SEES –20%/TROUGH IN LATE 2008. R.E. ANALYST DOESN’T SEE BOTTOM PARTICULARLY IN SO. CALIFORNIA (IE., LA, SAN DIEGO, ETC.) (MIAMI, LAS VEGAS, PHOENIX VERY BAD). AN ECONOMIST SAYS ANOTHER YEAR OF DECLINES SINCE CONSUMER SPENDING/CONFIDENCE HAS WEAKENED SUBSTANTIALLY. CALIFORNIA BUREAUCRAT (THAT’S ALL THERE IS) SAYS TOUGH TIMES AHEAD, POINTS TO UPSIDE DOWN CONDITIONS (MORTGAGE LOANS GREATER THAN PROPERTY VALUES) AND SAYS HOUSE OF CARDS. ANOTHER ECONOMIST SAYS MORE EROSION ON THE PRICE SIDE,-20%, AND A WAYS TO GO. R.E. PROF. SAYS SLIDE TO CONTINUE UNTIL EXCESS SUPPLY IS CLEARED.  3-24-08 GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT-COVERING RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T AND NO REAL ECONOMIC NEWS AS WALL STREET FRAUDS IN LAST DITCH EFFORT TO WINDOW DRESS REALISTICALLY DISMAL FIRST QUARTER NUMBERS TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMPUTERIZED PROGRAM TRADE COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING. THE ELECTION-YEAR-INDUCED RALLY FAKE NEWS PUSHED BY THE WALL STREET FRAUDS IS A MEAGER TWO-FOLD; VIZ., EXISTING HOME SALES INCREASED (JAN.-FEB.) 2.9% EXCEEDING SUBSTANTIALLY ECONOMISTS’ PREDICTIONS AND J.P. MORGAN WILLING TO PAY $10 INSTEAD OF $2 PER SHARE FOR FAILED INVESTMENT BANK BEAR STEARNS. REALITY: INCREASED SALES DUE TO INCREASED FORECLOSURE SALES; PRICES DOWN 8.2%; MEDIAN HOME PRICE FELL MOST EVER ON RECORD; INCREASED BEAR MONEY TO PLACATE SHAREHOLDERS DESPERATE MOVE TO KEEP WORTHLESS SECURITIES FROM BEING DUMPED IN MARKET WHERE SAME CAN’T BE SOLD AND WHERE SUCH WOULD RESULT IN OTHER SUCH BEING MARKED TO MARKET (PENNIES ON A DOLLAR). ONE ANALYST SAYS NOTHING FUNDAMENTALLY HAS CHANGED, DAY TO DAY TRADING ON DAY’S NEWS AND TODAY A HAPPY (NON) NEWS DAY…RIIIIIGHT…AND RECOMMENDS FOR PROTECTION NON-U.S. ASSETS/SECURITIES, METALS, AND BIG CAP TECH/MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION). AN ECONOMIST SAYS THE FED’S CONFUSING DEAL PROTECTS ITS OWN MONEY BY ESSENTIALLY PROVIDING A “BRIDGE LOAN” TO PREVENT THE WORTHLESS SECURITIES FROM BEING DUMPED WHERE THERE IS NO MARKET FOR SAME CAUSING FURTHER WRITEDOWNS across THE BOARD ON MARK TO MARKET. ANOTHER ANALYST EMPHASIZES DISFUNCTIONAL BANKING/CONTINUED WRITEDOWNS/LOSSES/BALANCE SHEET PROBLEMS FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS/WE’VE NOT SEEN THE BOTTOM, IN RECOMMENDING TAKING SOME PROFITS WITH ELECTION YEAR STIMULUS CREATING INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS, THOUGH STILL IN BEAR MARKET THE REAL DECLINE AND REAL RECESSION (WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION) TO COME POST ELECTION/2009 AND THE INTERMEDIATE TERM IS VERY SCARY. ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ONE THIRD OF EXISTING HOME SALES WERE FORECLOSURES WITH OVERSUPPLY OF PROPERTIES WHICH WILL TAKE A LONG TIME TO WORK OUT WHILE ANOTHER r.e. ANALYST SAYS YEARS TO WORK OUT WITH ONLY LIMITED IMPROVEMENT LATE 2009.  3-20-08 FULL MOON WITH OBVIOUS EFFECT ON LUNATIC WALL STREET FRAUDS. SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT-COVERING RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T  AND EXCEEDINGLY BAD ECONOMIC NEWS VIZ., UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS UP MUCH MORE THAN EXPECTED 22,000 TO HIGH 378,000, CREDIT SWISSE TO REVISE PREVIOUS YEARS PROFITS DOWN ON FURTHER WRITEDOWNS, PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN,  AND LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN FOR FIFTH MONTH IN A ROW WHICH HAS ALWAYS SIGNALED/INDICATED/PRECEDED ECONOMIC DOWNTURN/CONTRACTION/RECESSION. ONE SOMEWHAT SENILE ANALYST WELCOMED THE MASSIVE AMOUNT OF FAKE/FIAT/PRINTED MONEY SAYING THE FINANCIALS WHICH HAVE LAGGED THE MARKET BY 20% WILL BE HELPED/INFLATED OUT OF THEIR DOLDRUMS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) BY SAME WHICH HE LIKES BECAUSE HE’S HEAVILY CONCENTRATED IN FINANCIALS (GREAT CALL) AND THAT THE MONEY HASN’T SHOWN UP YET BUT FAILS TO REALIZE THE U.S. HAS NEVER BEEN IN SUCH DIRE CIRCUMSTANCES ECONOMICALLY, FINANCIALLY, AND GEOPOLITICALLY AS NOW. A MORE RATIONAL VIEW BY ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER SAID STIMULUS THUS FAR TREATS SYMPTOMS WITH MERE BANDAIDS WHICH FAIL TO ADDRESS/CURE THE PROBLEM/CAUSE/DISEASE AND IS RATHER SIMPLISTIC TO A FAULT IN FOCUSING SOLELY ON HOUSING/REAL ESTATE VALUES ALTHOUGH CORRECTLY STATES THAT EASIER MONEY WILL NOT ENHANCE THE VALUE OF MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES WHICH REMAIN INDETERMINANT, DOWN, OR GOING DOWN AND ADVOCATES DEPRESSION ERA APPROACH SINCE HE CORRECTLY STATES  ECONOMY HAS ALREADY (DECEMBER, 2007 OR JANUARY, 2008) ENTERED THE WORST RECESSION OF THE POST-WAR ERA (DESPITE ELECTION YEAR SPIN). ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THIS IS A SHORT-COVERING RALLY AND AN OPPORTUNITY TO SELL/TAKE PROFITS (i TOTALLY AGREE), THAT THE FED DESPERATION MOVES INCLUDING PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD  HAVE LED TO A DEBASEMENT OF THE U.S. CURRENCY AND THAT THE DOLLAR WILL CONTINUE TO GO LOWER, THAT TRILLIONS HAVE BEEN BORROWED BUT THAT THEY WILL BE UNSUCCESSFUL IN REINFLATING THE BUBBLE, THAT THE FINANCIAL CRISIS IS NO WHERE NEAR BEING OVER WITH MUCH MORE CARNAGE TO COME, AND RECOMMENDS BEING TOTALLY OUT OF THE DOLLAR INCLUDING DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES AND INTO OTHER FOREIGN CURRENCIES/SECURITIES.  3-19-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY.  I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). morgan stanley earnings down 40% but better than expected…..riiiiight…..on computerized bond/stock trading commissions. merrill lynch says more loan losses. one analyst says not much optimism regarding fed moves, deepening fears about economy, wall street stuck with a lot of stuff (ie., junk bonds, junk securities, junk derivatives, subprime mortgages, etc.) which can’t be sold except at firesale prices, avoid equities particularly small/midcaps, raise cash (taking profits/selling), looking for confirmation, entered recession in february but with inflation a very tough scenario. an oil analyst says commodity bubble bursting with profit-taking/path of least resistance but still record diesel at $4.21, record home heating oil $3.80 so wait and see. another analyst says emerging markets attractive relative to developed citing p/e multiple comparison but no save haven and points to further weakness in dollar relative to other currencies. metals analyst says rate cut less than expected and etfs (and computerized trading thereof) has propped demand.  3-18-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant bubble rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). WHOLESALE/PRODUCER PRICES UP MORE THAN EXPECTED .3% WITH CORE RATE UP .5%. HOUSING STARTS DOWN 36% TO LOWEST LEVEL IN 17 YEARS. SHARPLY (MORE THAN 50%) LOWER EARNINGS AT GOLDMAN AND LEHMAN RALLIES THEIR STOCKS WITH FAMILIAR MANTRA ‘NOT AS BAD AS EXPECTED’…..RIIIIIGHT! DOLLAR DOWN AGAINST MOST CURRENCIES ON .75% PANIC CUT IN FED FUNDS RATE TO 2.25%. ONE ANALYST POINTS TO STRENGTH BY SECTOR, VIZ., FINANCIALS +8% (FOCUS OF THE BAILOUT), SMALL CAPS +5%, EMERGING MARKETS +5%, AND SAYS DOLLAR WILL BE BOTTOMING. AN OIL ANALYST SAYS OIL TO GO HIGHER WITH INFLUX OF SPECULATIVE NEW MONEY FROM RATE CUT. FORMER FED GOVERNOR GRAMLEY SAY WE’RE IN SERIOUS ECONOMIC CRISIS, IN RECESSION WITH ECONOMIC WEAKNESS SUFFICIENT TO MUTE DEMAND/SHARPER PRICE INCREASES, AND COMPARES ECONOMY TO CANCER PATIENT UNDERGOING NECESSARY CHEMOTHERAPY…..RIIIIIGHT….., FED HAS USED EMERGENCY POWERS NOT USED SINCE THE GREAT DEPRESSION BUT CAN’T RELY SOLELY ON THE FED. ANOTHER ANALYST TALKS IN TERMS OF TRADING ON A DAY-TO-DAY BASIS (FACT-THERE ARE HISTORICALLY VERY FEW SUCCESSFUL TRADERS), BELIEVES FED WENT TOO FAR WITH RATE CUT AND SEES SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM WITH INFLATION, THUMBS UP FOR METALS/OIL AND LARGE CAP TECH WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS, BUT FURTHER CAUTIONS OWING TO NEGATIVE REAL INTEREST RATES (RATES LESS THAN INFLATION, RISK, ECONOMIC FACTORS/PREMIUMS). FINALLY, THINGS ARE SO HUNKY DORY THAT AS REPORTED BY CONTINENTAL COIN AND JEWELRY PEOPLE ARE PULLING THEIR TEETH, EXTRACTING AND SELLING THE GOLD. LOVELY!  3-17-08 LUNATIC/FRAUDS 200+ point computerized BUY PROGRAM suckers’ bear market/short-covering rally to the upside based upon nothing whatsoever that hasn’t already been discounted (ie., more rate cuts by fed in panic mode, etc.). I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION FELL A GREATER THAN EXPECTED ONE-HALF OF 1%. ONE ANALYST CITES NEW LOWS FOR DOLLAR AND SUBSTANTIAL MOVE BY FED ALREADY DISCOUNTED (.75%). ANOTHER ANALYST CITES WEAKER DOLLAR AND SLOWER ECONOMY IMPACTING DEMAND (IE., FOR GOODS, ETC., AND HENCE, COMMODITY PRICES, HENCE LOWER OIL PRICE THIS DAY), CITES THIS DAYS SHORT-COVERING RALLY AND RECOMEMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND OVERSEAS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (UTILITIES, ETC.). YET aNOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST CITES BUSINESS MODELS COMPARABLE TO BEAR STEARNS IN FINANCIAL SECTOR(PROBLEMS WITH HEDGE FUNDS/INVESTMENT BANKS) WHICH HAS PROVEN INABILITY TO MANAGE THEIR OWN AFFAIRS SAYING DEREGULATION A DISASTER AND REREGULATION A CURE, NO END TO FALL IN DOLLAR AS US BECOMES WORLD’S BEGGAR, AND RECOMMENDS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (IE., EURO, SWISS FRANC, ETC., AND EMERGING FAR EAST MARKETS). aNOTHER MORE CALIFORNIA/SENILE, ANALYST/BROKER WHO LIKE OTHERS HAVE LOST SUBSTANTIAL MONIES FOR CLIENTS CITES LACK OF OF TRANSPARENCY AS VALUE OF HIS BUYS AND HOLDS CONTINUES TO FALL WITH DOLLAR BUT TALKS SOME SPECULATIVE BUYS AND CASH. A FINANCIAL TIMES EDITOR SAYS NO BOTTOM YET, THAT BY HISTORICAL STANDARDS THE SCENARIO IS QUITE BAD FOR THE US, THAT BEAR STEARNS WAS NOT ALONE AMONG US FIRMS IN THEIR PROBLEMS, THAT THE MARKET IS EXPECTING 1% PANIC CUT BY FED, AND THAT THE US ECONOMY IS IN DEEP TROUBLE. 3-14-08 early surge based on false benign inflation report (showing no change in retail inflation) from the government gives way to reality that they can’t cover up/lie about (despite intra-day suckers rally) when there is a run on large wall street investment bank bear stearns (first such since the great depression) which cites liquidity crisis as ny fed and jp morgan intervene with 28 day loan as bear is holding high risk (worthless) assets which are illiquid (thinly traded/can’t be sold) as reserves (they are not alone in this regard among the frauds on wallstreet, etc., and only 2 days ago bear said balance sheet stable), all time lows for the dollar, wsj reports majority of economists think we’re in recession, michigan (non-washington non-fed gov’t report) sentiment index at new 16 year low. One ANALYST SAYS DOLLAR WEAKNESS/LOWER YIELDS/ECONOMIC CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE DOWNWARD TREND, INFLATION REPORT SURPRISE/FOOLISH AND HIGHER INFLATION NUMBER FOR MARCH, CRESCENDO OF BAD NEWS IN COMING WEEK AND LOOK FOR NEW LOWS/BOTTOM(?). OIL ANALYST CITES WEAK DOLLAR/EASY MONEY FLOWS AND SAYS LOOK FOR OIL AT $120-$125. ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ITS TOO LATE FOR FED TO TURN THIS WRITEDOWN/SUBPRIME/ECONOMIC DOWNTURN AROUND WITH BEAR ANOTHER $35-$70 BILLION BAD AND WHAT AFTER 28 DAY LOAN-EXPECT TAKEOVER/NO MORE BEAR STEARNS.  3-13-08 SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T ALONE (NOTHING WHATSOEVER) AS STANDARD AND POORS ANALYST SAYS THE END OF WRITEDOWNS MIGHT (BUT NOT QUITE) BE IN SIGHT  (WHICH IS LIKE THAT BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYING HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP)…RIIIIIGHT….. WHICH IS MEANINGLESS COMING FROM STANDARD AND POORS WHICH SHOULD BE ACCOUNTABLE/LIABLE (FOR THIS FRAUD) ALONG WITH THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET, ETC., FOR THE TRIPLE A RATED SECURITIES ON THE BOOKS WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE IN FACT NOT TRIPLE A (WORTHLESS JUNK BONDS, ASSETS, ETC.) SPURRING 200+ POINT SWING TO THE UPSIDE. VAST MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION (EVEN DESPITE ELECTION YEAR GIMMICKS-AS GOOD AS GETS). RETAIL SALES DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED .6%, FORECLOSURES UP 60% YEAR OVER YEAR, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. ONE ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED UNEMPLOYMENT/EMPLOYMENT WEAKNESS, PREMATURE TO SAY AS DID S&P THAT WE’RE NEAR END OF WRITEDOWNS, MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION, HOUSING DOWNTURN MUCH FURTHER TO GO, VERY DEFENSIVE AS STOCKS CONTINUE TO HIT NEW LOWS IN LARGE NUMBERS, WORST OF HOUSING CRISIS AHEAD, AND THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSION ECONOMY. ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS U.S. CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS, LACK OF TRUST IN U.S. FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AND TRIPLE A RATINGS (BONDS, ETC., WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE NOT), BANKS’ NEED FOR RECAPITALIZATION, LOW SAVINGS (IE., CONSUMERS USING IE., GIFT CARDS FOR GROCERIES, ETC.), FED LOSING CREDIBILITY BY FLIP-FLOPS/WRONG MOVES, AND SEES ONLY SHORT-COVERING RALLIES AT BEST. VENEZUELA SHIFT TO PAYMENT IN EUROS FOR OIL OUT OF DOLLARS. YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST SAYS WITH MONEY SUPPLY INCREASING AT EXORBITANT 27% PER ANNUM, CITING ECONOMIST FRIEDMAN SAYS HYPER-INFLATIONARY (CONTRARY TO LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMISTS WHO THIS DAY SEE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS REAL ESTATE DOWN 17.6%, SALES DOWN 40-45%, AND MEDIAN HOME PRICES DOWN $100,000, AND BUDGET DEFICITS ACROSS THE BOARD). 3-12-08 VERY MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY ON PANICKY FED KNEE JERK FUNNY MONEY ACTION, ONE ANALYST/BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYS HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP…..RIIIIIGHT…..REFERENCES THAT THIS IS WORST R.E. DOWNTURN IN 100 YEARS AND NO BOTTOM YET IN R.E. AND WSJ SAYS WORSE TO COME IN BAD PAPER (WRITEDOWNS, ETC.), AN OIL ANALYST SAYS RECORD HIGH OIL PRICES ARE HEDGE AGAINST FALLING DOLLAR WITH A LOT OF DOLLARS RELATIVE TO GOODS (AS IE., OIL, OTHER COMMODITIES, ETC.-HYPERINFLATION) AND IF YOU HOLD DOLLARS/DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/SECURITIES YOU LOSE VALUE AND SEES $4.00 GAS NATIONWIDE WITH RECORD DIESEL, WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THAT SEEING FED GO FROM LENDER OF LAST RESORT TO LENDER (PRINTER) OF FIRST RESORT IS WORRISOME/TROUBLESOME.  3-11-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant new EPHEMERAL bubble  rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO ADD $200 BILLION IN WORLDWIDE LIQUIDITY BY TEMPORARILY REPLACING (28 DAYS) ONE TYPE OF FUNNY-MONEY (WORTHLESS SUBPRIME COLLATERALIZED DEBT) WITH ANOTHER LONGER TERM WORTHLESS FUNNY-MONEY (U.S. DEBT WHICH CAN’T BE PAID BACK) WHICH IS A GREAT B.S. TALKING POINT BUT JUST A DROP IN THE BUCKET CONSIDERING THE MAGNITUDE OF THE UNDISCLOSED WRITEDOWNS/WORTHLESS PAPER BEING HELD(AND, CURING A BUBBLE WITH A NEW BUBBLE-I DON'T THINK SO), ONE ANALYST POINTS TO THE HYPERINFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF TOO MUCH LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS AND MORE BAD NEWS TO COME IN TECH SECTOR AND EARNINGS ALONG WITH MORE WRITEOFFS/WRITEDOWNS WITH WORSE TO COME/NO BOTTOM YET AND HE REMAINS A BEAR, LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMIST SAYS BAD BUT NOT TECHNICALLY RECESSION BASED ON GOVERNMENT ELECTION-YEAR DATA (ONLY NUTS AND NUTS FROM THE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS BELIEVE SAME) WHILE TWO OTHER ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS/HIGH INFLATION/LOWER DOLLAR AS FOREIGNERS/INVESTORS GET OUT OF WORTHLESS DOLLAR WITH BIG TROUBLE FOR U.S. POST-ELECTION AS REALITY SETS IN, TRADE GAP WIDENED, AND SMART MONEY WOULD SELL THIS RALLY/TAKE PROFITS. 3-10-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, NEW BANK DOWNGRADES, MORGAN SLASHES EARNINGS ESTIMATES FOR S&P AND SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, EVEN MORE ECONOMISTS NOW SAY THE OBVIOUS/RECESSION, RUMOR THAT BEAR STERNS WITH SUBSTANTIAL LIQUIDITY ISSUES IS GOING UNDER, DOLLAR DOWN, EARNINGS ESTIMATES CUT ON CITIBANK AND BANKOFAMERICA, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) HIGH ENERGY AND FOOD PRICES (CONVENIENTLY LEFT OUT OF THE FED’S “TOUTED” CORE RATE) ARE SQUEEZING THE CONSUMER (AND HENCE, CONSUMPTION/65% OF GDP) AND THAT COMMODITIES A BUBBLE AND MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS/POSITVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO WEAKER DOLLAR PREFERRED, AN OIL ANALYST SAYS $200 OIL POSSIBLE (REITERATING GOLDMAN) WITH CONTINUED WEAKENING OF DOLLAR, ANOTHER ANALYST/JOURNALIST SAYS SELL DOLLAR DENOMINATED STOCKS/SECURITIES/ASSETS WHICH HAVE MUCH FURTHER TO FALL AND REITERATES AS DID BARRON’S THAT MORTGAGE INSURERS HAVE OVER $5 TRILLION IN DEBT/EXPOSURE AND THAT MANY OF THE NATIONS BANKS ARE ALREADY INSOLVENT SO GET OUT OF THE DOLLAR AND U.S. STOCKS.  3-7-08 BAD EMPLOYMENT/JOBS DATA across ALL SECTORS AS 63,000 JOBS LOST WITH DOWNWARD REVISIONS TO DECEMBER AND JANUARY (ACTUALLY LOST 20,000) JOBS NUMBERS, ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN A RECESSION WHILE MORE ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH ONE STATING THAT YOU ALMOST NEVER SEE BACK-TO-BACK MONTHLY DECLINE IN EMPLOYMENT WITHOUT RECESSION AS NOW, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, CONSUMERS INCREASED BORROWING TO STAY AFLOAT, WASHINGTON MUTUAL FURTHER DOWNGRADES, SUPPORT LEVELS BROKEN TO THE DOWNSIDE, sentiment- 85% believe things will get worse.  3-6-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. 23% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES IN FOURTH QUARTER NEW RECORD HIGH, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, 10% OF HOMES WITH 0 OR NEGATIVE EQUITY, MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION SAYS HOME FORECLOSURES AT ALL-TIME HIGH AND GOING HIGHER, ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ROUGH YEAR AHEAD WITH FORECLOSURES AND DEFAULTS UP, ONE ANALYST SAYS MARKET WILL TEST NEW LOWS/SUPPORT LEVELS WITH FLIGHT TO “QUALITY”/TREASURIES, LENDER THORNBURG DEFAULTS AND ALONG WITH WASHINGTON MUTUAL IS DOWNGRADED, CONTINUING CLAIMS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT AT HIGH LEVELS MEANS COMPANIES SHRINKING, IGNORE KNEE-JERK ELECTION YEAR GOVERNMENT HUNKY DORY FAKE REPORTS. 3-5-08 OIL INVENTORIES LESS THAN EXPECTED, FED BEIGE BOOK CITES ECONOMIC WEAKNESS PARTICULARLY SINCE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, LABOR COSTS ROSE, RISING PRICE PRESSURES/STAGFLATION, RECESSION/BEAR MARKET, ONE ANALYST SAYS TOUGH FIRST HALF RECOMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH 50% OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND CONSUMER STAPLES/HEALTH RELATED/DEFENSIVE STOCKS, AMBAC TO FLOAT STOCK TO SHORE UP BALANCE SHEET TO TUNE OF $1.5 BILLION/DILUTION AND  SHARES FALL $2 TO $8.70, OIL ANALYST CITES DECLINE IN OIL INVENTORIES/DIESEL/JET FUEL AND WEAK DOLLAR AND TOP $108-$110 BUT $120-$130 IF VENEZUELA/COLUMBIA CONFLICT AND MORE RECORD HIGH GAS PRICES TO COME, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DECLINE IN REAL ESTATE/HOUSING WITH STARTS DOWN 15-20-40% ON WELL DESERVED PESSIMISM/CREDIT CRUNCH.  3-4-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, 3-3-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. MODEST DROP RELATIVE TO REALITY TO  KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING.  (3-28-08) (DOW -86, NASDAQ -20, S&P –10.5) [CLOSE- OIL $105.62/ GOLD $930.60 / SILVER $17.94 / PLATINUM $2,020 / DOLLAR= .63 EURO, 98 YEN, .4979 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/ 10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.44%].   I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY (TAKE PROFITS). REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts/reporters/journalists bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-27-08) (DOW -120, NASDAQ -43, S&P -15) [CLOSE- OIL $107.58/ GOLD $948.80 / SILVER $18.55 / PLATINUM $2,043.70 / DOLLAR= .63 EURO, 98 YEN, .4979 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/ 10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.54%]. GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL (TAKE PROFITS) AS THE WALL STREET SCAM IS UNEARTHED BY REVELATION THAT OF 9 INVESTMENT VEHICLES S&P (MAJORITY OF 401K HOLDINGS, ETC.) WAS WORST PERFORMER (1% OR LESS AND IF YOU FACTOR IN DECLINING DOLLAR, NEGATIVE RELATIVE TO NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED ALTERNATIVES OVER DECADE). FOURTH  QUARTER ECONOMIC GROWTH REVISED UPWARD TO ANEMIC .6% (RIIIIIGHT…..SO THEY WON’T HAVE TO USE THE R FOR REALITY WORD RECESSION). OIL UP ON SUPPLY CONCERNS AND DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS AT HIGH 366,000 AND ORACLE DISAPPOINTS ON SALES AS MERRILL IS DOWNGRADED. ONE ANALYST SAYS LEHMAN (-9%) BEARS EERIE SIMILARITIES TO BEAR STEARNS, CITES SUBSTANTIAL NUMBER OF PUTS AND RUN ON BANKS WHICH WILL HELP FOREIGN BANKS (IE., SWISS, ETC.), ALSO CAUTIONS ON DRUG SECTOR/SIDE EFFECTS. OIL ANALYST EMPHASIZES $7 RUN IN TWO DAYS, BOMBING OF OIL SUPPLY LINE IN IRAQ, WEAKER DOLLAR, LIQUIDITY CRISIS, IRAQ VIOLENCE, LOWER REFINERY RUNS AND SAYS OIL/GAS PRICES HIGHER BEFORE LOWER. ONE ECONOMIST SAYS CREDIT CRISIS AND POINTS TO PURCHASING POWER FAILURE AS BORROWED FUNDS (IE., HOME EQUITY, ETC.) ARE DEPLETED AND WAGES LOWER, WHILE ANOTHER ECONOMIST WHO HAS ALREADY CALLED RECESSION SEES MORE REGULATION FOR TROUBLED  INVESTMENT BANKS AS DISTINGUISHED FROM FDIC INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS AND SAYS CREDIT CRUNCH WILL CONTINUE. AIRLINE COMMENTATOR/ANALYST CITES OLDER PLANES FOR PUBLICIZED PROBLEMS, SURCHARGES/HIGHER FUEL COSTS FOR HIGHER PRICES. 3-26-08 GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL (TAKE PROFITS) IN WHAT REMAINS OF THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY AS THE WALL STREET SCAM UNEARTHED BY REVELATION THAT OF 9 INVESTMENT VEHICLES S&P (MAJORITY OF 401K HOLDINGS, ETC.) WAS WORST PERFORMER (1% OR LESS AND IF YOU FACTOR IN DECLINING DOLLAR, NEGATIVE RELATIVE TO NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED ALTERNATIVES OVER DECADE). OIL UP ON SUPPLY CONCERNS AND DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. BANKING SECTOR DOWNGRADED CITING MORE WRITE-DOWNS AND –84% EARNINGS (CITI, ETC.). FACTORY ORDERS/DURABLES DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 1.75% AND NEW HOME SALES DOWN 1.8% ALONG WITH PRICE DECLINES (INCLUDING MEDIAN PRICE DECLINE). WSJ ARTICLE RAISES SPECTER OF FED BANKRUPTCY AND PUBLIC BAILOUT. ONE ANALYST CITES CITIBANK DIFFICULTIES, LBO TROUBLES (IE., CLEAR CHANNEL, ETC.), FED HOLDING JUNK PAPER, AND RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE (IE., CONSUMER STAPLES, ETC.) POSTURE INCLUDING MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION). OIL ANALYST SAYS RECORD OIL/ GAS PRICES (GAS UP ANOTHER 5-10 CENTS) AND CITES DECLINE IN REFINERY RUN, CONFLICT IN IRAQ, AND EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK’S FIGHT AGAINST INFLATION/LOWER DOLLAR AND SAYS NATURAL GAS AN INTERESTING PLAY. ONE REPORTER CITES DROP IN GAS SUPPLIES AND FINANCIAL SECTOR WRITEDOWNS. R.E. ANALYST POINTS TO SO. CAL. 400% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES AND SAYS NO IMPROVEMENT UNTIL AT LEAST LATE 2008/EARLY 2009. CURRENCY EXPERT SAYS FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS WILL SURVIVE BUT WON’T BE LENDING, DOLLAR RISK TO THE DOWNSIDE, FED HOLDING BAD RESERVES, HOUSING MARKET TO CONTINUE DECLINE, AND FAVORS EURO.  3-25-08 GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL (TAKE PROFITS) THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY INTO THE CLOSE  WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T AND NOTHING BUT BAD ECONOMIC NEWS AS WALL STREET FRAUDS ATTEMPT  TO WINDOW DRESS REALISTICALLY DISMAL FIRST QUARTER NUMBERS TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMPUTERIZED PROGRAM TRADE COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING. DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. earnings downgrade for merrill lynch/financials and reluctance to take mark-to-market loss (prompted bear bailout) scuttles(?) clear channel deal. GOVERNMENT HIRING NEW (FDIC) BANK REGULATORS FOR INCREASING BANK FAILURES. S&P CASE SHILLER INDEX REGISTERS SHARPEST HOUSING PRICE DECLINE ON RECORD AT –11.4%, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX DOWN TO 5 YR. LOW OF 65 WHICH IS SUBSTANTIALLY BELOW EXPECTED 73, AND EXPECTATIONS INDEX AT LOWEST SINCE 1973. KEN SHREVE OF IBD POINTS TO VOLUME (COMMISSION GENERATING COMPUTERIZED PROGRAMMED TRADES SIMULATING DEMAND) AS A GOOD SIGN…RIIIIIGHT…CITES SELLING PRESSURE ON THE WAY UP AND SAYS WAIT AND SEE AS NEW LEADERSHIP DEVELOPS…RIIIIIGHT (WHICH TRANSLATED MEANS HE DOESN’T KNOW WHERE THIS IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT MARKET IS GOING. S&P CASE SHILLER ANALYST/VP SAYS HOME PRICES IN DECLINE WHICH ACCELERATED IN THE LAST 6-9 MONTHS AND SEES –20%/TROUGH IN LATE 2008. R.E. ANALYST DOESN’T SEE BOTTOM PARTICULARLY IN SO. CALIFORNIA (IE., LA, SAN DIEGO, ETC.) (MIAMI, LAS VEGAS, PHOENIX VERY BAD). AN ECONOMIST SAYS ANOTHER YEAR OF DECLINES SINCE CONSUMER SPENDING/CONFIDENCE HAS WEAKENED SUBSTANTIALLY. CALIFORNIA BUREAUCRAT (THAT’S ALL THERE IS) SAYS TOUGH TIMES AHEAD, POINTS TO UPSIDE DOWN CONDITIONS (MORTGAGE LOANS GREATER THAN PROPERTY VALUES) AND SAYS HOUSE OF CARDS. ANOTHER ECONOMIST SAYS MORE EROSION ON THE PRICE SIDE,-20%, AND A WAYS TO GO. R.E. PROF. SAYS SLIDE TO CONTINUE UNTIL EXCESS SUPPLY IS CLEARED.  3-24-08 GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT-COVERING RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T AND NO REAL ECONOMIC NEWS AS WALL STREET FRAUDS IN LAST DITCH EFFORT TO WINDOW DRESS REALISTICALLY DISMAL FIRST QUARTER NUMBERS TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMPUTERIZED PROGRAM TRADE COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING. THE ELECTION-YEAR-INDUCED RALLY FAKE NEWS PUSHED BY THE WALL STREET FRAUDS IS A MEAGER TWO-FOLD; VIZ., EXISTING HOME SALES INCREASED (JAN.-FEB.) 2.9% EXCEEDING SUBSTANTIALLY ECONOMISTS’ PREDICTIONS AND J.P. MORGAN WILLING TO PAY $10 INSTEAD OF $2 PER SHARE FOR FAILED INVESTMENT BANK BEAR STEARNS. REALITY: INCREASED SALES DUE TO INCREASED FORECLOSURE SALES; PRICES DOWN 8.2%; MEDIAN HOME PRICE FELL MOST EVER ON RECORD; INCREASED BEAR MONEY TO PLACATE SHAREHOLDERS DESPERATE MOVE TO KEEP WORTHLESS SECURITIES FROM BEING DUMPED IN MARKET WHERE SAME CAN’T BE SOLD AND WHERE SUCH WOULD RESULT IN OTHER SUCH BEING MARKED TO MARKET (PENNIES ON A DOLLAR). ONE ANALYST SAYS NOTHING FUNDAMENTALLY HAS CHANGED, DAY TO DAY TRADING ON DAY’S NEWS AND TODAY A HAPPY (NON) NEWS DAY…RIIIIIGHT…AND RECOMMENDS FOR PROTECTION NON-U.S. ASSETS/SECURITIES, METALS, AND BIG CAP TECH/MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION). AN ECONOMIST SAYS THE FED’S CONFUSING DEAL PROTECTS ITS OWN MONEY BY ESSENTIALLY PROVIDING A “BRIDGE LOAN” TO PREVENT THE WORTHLESS SECURITIES FROM BEING DUMPED WHERE THERE IS NO MARKET FOR SAME CAUSING FURTHER WRITEDOWNS across THE BOARD ON MARK TO MARKET. ANOTHER ANALYST EMPHASIZES DISFUNCTIONAL BANKING/CONTINUED WRITEDOWNS/LOSSES/BALANCE SHEET PROBLEMS FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS/WE’VE NOT SEEN THE BOTTOM, IN RECOMMENDING TAKING SOME PROFITS WITH ELECTION YEAR STIMULUS CREATING INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS, THOUGH STILL IN BEAR MARKET THE REAL DECLINE AND REAL RECESSION (WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION) TO COME POST ELECTION/2009 AND THE INTERMEDIATE TERM IS VERY SCARY. ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ONE THIRD OF EXISTING HOME SALES WERE FORECLOSURES WITH OVERSUPPLY OF PROPERTIES WHICH WILL TAKE A LONG TIME TO WORK OUT WHILE ANOTHER r.e. ANALYST SAYS YEARS TO WORK OUT WITH ONLY LIMITED IMPROVEMENT LATE 2009.  3-20-08 FULL MOON WITH OBVIOUS EFFECT ON LUNATIC WALL STREET FRAUDS. SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT-COVERING RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T  AND EXCEEDINGLY BAD ECONOMIC NEWS VIZ., UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS UP MUCH MORE THAN EXPECTED 22,000 TO HIGH 378,000, CREDIT SWISSE TO REVISE PREVIOUS YEARS PROFITS DOWN ON FURTHER WRITEDOWNS, PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN,  AND LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN FOR FIFTH MONTH IN A ROW WHICH HAS ALWAYS SIGNALED/INDICATED/PRECEDED ECONOMIC DOWNTURN/CONTRACTION/RECESSION. ONE SOMEWHAT SENILE ANALYST WELCOMED THE MASSIVE AMOUNT OF FAKE/FIAT/PRINTED MONEY SAYING THE FINANCIALS WHICH HAVE LAGGED THE MARKET BY 20% WILL BE HELPED/INFLATED OUT OF THEIR DOLDRUMS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) BY SAME WHICH HE LIKES BECAUSE HE’S HEAVILY CONCENTRATED IN FINANCIALS (GREAT CALL) AND THAT THE MONEY HASN’T SHOWN UP YET BUT FAILS TO REALIZE THE U.S. HAS NEVER BEEN IN SUCH DIRE CIRCUMSTANCES ECONOMICALLY, FINANCIALLY, AND GEOPOLITICALLY AS NOW. A MORE RATIONAL VIEW BY ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER SAID STIMULUS THUS FAR TREATS SYMPTOMS WITH MERE BANDAIDS WHICH FAIL TO ADDRESS/CURE THE PROBLEM/CAUSE/DISEASE AND IS RATHER SIMPLISTIC TO A FAULT IN FOCUSING SOLELY ON HOUSING/REAL ESTATE VALUES ALTHOUGH CORRECTLY STATES THAT EASIER MONEY WILL NOT ENHANCE THE VALUE OF MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES WHICH REMAIN INDETERMINANT, DOWN, OR GOING DOWN AND ADVOCATES DEPRESSION ERA APPROACH SINCE HE CORRECTLY STATES  ECONOMY HAS ALREADY (DECEMBER, 2007 OR JANUARY, 2008) ENTERED THE WORST RECESSION OF THE POST-WAR ERA (DESPITE ELECTION YEAR SPIN). ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THIS IS A SHORT-COVERING RALLY AND AN OPPORTUNITY TO SELL/TAKE PROFITS (i TOTALLY AGREE), THAT THE FED DESPERATION MOVES INCLUDING PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD  HAVE LED TO A DEBASEMENT OF THE U.S. CURRENCY AND THAT THE DOLLAR WILL CONTINUE TO GO LOWER, THAT TRILLIONS HAVE BEEN BORROWED BUT THAT THEY WILL BE UNSUCCESSFUL IN REINFLATING THE BUBBLE, THAT THE FINANCIAL CRISIS IS NO WHERE NEAR BEING OVER WITH MUCH MORE CARNAGE TO COME, AND RECOMMENDS BEING TOTALLY OUT OF THE DOLLAR INCLUDING DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES AND INTO OTHER FOREIGN CURRENCIES/SECURITIES.  3-19-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY.  I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). morgan stanley earnings down 40% but better than expected…..riiiiight…..on computerized bond/stock trading commissions. merrill lynch says more loan losses. one analyst says not much optimism regarding fed moves, deepening fears about economy, wall street stuck with a lot of stuff (ie., junk bonds, junk securities, junk derivatives, subprime mortgages, etc.) which can’t be sold except at firesale prices, avoid equities particularly small/midcaps, raise cash (taking profits/selling), looking for confirmation, entered recession in february but with inflation a very tough scenario. an oil analyst says commodity bubble bursting with profit-taking/path of least resistance but still record diesel at $4.21, record home heating oil $3.80 so wait and see. another analyst says emerging markets attractive relative to developed citing p/e multiple comparison but no save haven and points to further weakness in dollar relative to other currencies. metals analyst says rate cut less than expected and etfs (and computerized trading thereof) has propped demand.  3-18-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant bubble rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). WHOLESALE/PRODUCER PRICES UP MORE THAN EXPECTED .3% WITH CORE RATE UP .5%. HOUSING STARTS DOWN 36% TO LOWEST LEVEL IN 17 YEARS. SHARPLY (MORE THAN 50%) LOWER EARNINGS AT GOLDMAN AND LEHMAN RALLIES THEIR STOCKS WITH FAMILIAR MANTRA ‘NOT AS BAD AS EXPECTED’…..RIIIIIGHT! DOLLAR DOWN AGAINST MOST CURRENCIES ON .75% PANIC CUT IN FED FUNDS RATE TO 2.25%. ONE ANALYST POINTS TO STRENGTH BY SECTOR, VIZ., FINANCIALS +8% (FOCUS OF THE BAILOUT), SMALL CAPS +5%, EMERGING MARKETS +5%, AND SAYS DOLLAR WILL BE BOTTOMING. AN OIL ANALYST SAYS OIL TO GO HIGHER WITH INFLUX OF SPECULATIVE NEW MONEY FROM RATE CUT. FORMER FED GOVERNOR GRAMLEY SAY WE’RE IN SERIOUS ECONOMIC CRISIS, IN RECESSION WITH ECONOMIC WEAKNESS SUFFICIENT TO MUTE DEMAND/SHARPER PRICE INCREASES, AND COMPARES ECONOMY TO CANCER PATIENT UNDERGOING NECESSARY CHEMOTHERAPY…..RIIIIIGHT….., FED HAS USED EMERGENCY POWERS NOT USED SINCE THE GREAT DEPRESSION BUT CAN’T RELY SOLELY ON THE FED. ANOTHER ANALYST TALKS IN TERMS OF TRADING ON A DAY-TO-DAY BASIS (FACT-THERE ARE HISTORICALLY VERY FEW SUCCESSFUL TRADERS), BELIEVES FED WENT TOO FAR WITH RATE CUT AND SEES SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM WITH INFLATION, THUMBS UP FOR METALS/OIL AND LARGE CAP TECH WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS, BUT FURTHER CAUTIONS OWING TO NEGATIVE REAL INTEREST RATES (RATES LESS THAN INFLATION, RISK, ECONOMIC FACTORS/PREMIUMS). FINALLY, THINGS ARE SO HUNKY DORY THAT AS REPORTED BY CONTINENTAL COIN AND JEWELRY PEOPLE ARE PULLING THEIR TEETH, EXTRACTING AND SELLING THE GOLD. LOVELY!  3-17-08 LUNATIC/FRAUDS 200+ point computerized BUY PROGRAM suckers’ bear market/short-covering rally to the upside based upon nothing whatsoever that hasn’t already been discounted (ie., more rate cuts by fed in panic mode, etc.). I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION FELL A GREATER THAN EXPECTED ONE-HALF OF 1%. ONE ANALYST CITES NEW LOWS FOR DOLLAR AND SUBSTANTIAL MOVE BY FED ALREADY DISCOUNTED (.75%). ANOTHER ANALYST CITES WEAKER DOLLAR AND SLOWER ECONOMY IMPACTING DEMAND (IE., FOR GOODS, ETC., AND HENCE, COMMODITY PRICES, HENCE LOWER OIL PRICE THIS DAY), CITES THIS DAYS SHORT-COVERING RALLY AND RECOMEMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND OVERSEAS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (UTILITIES, ETC.). YET aNOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST CITES BUSINESS MODELS COMPARABLE TO BEAR STEARNS IN FINANCIAL SECTOR(PROBLEMS WITH HEDGE FUNDS/INVESTMENT BANKS) WHICH HAS PROVEN INABILITY TO MANAGE THEIR OWN AFFAIRS SAYING DEREGULATION A DISASTER AND REREGULATION A CURE, NO END TO FALL IN DOLLAR AS US BECOMES WORLD’S BEGGAR, AND RECOMMENDS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (IE., EURO, SWISS FRANC, ETC., AND EMERGING FAR EAST MARKETS). aNOTHER MORE CALIFORNIA/SENILE, ANALYST/BROKER WHO LIKE OTHERS HAVE LOST SUBSTANTIAL MONIES FOR CLIENTS CITES LACK OF OF TRANSPARENCY AS VALUE OF HIS BUYS AND HOLDS CONTINUES TO FALL WITH DOLLAR BUT TALKS SOME SPECULATIVE BUYS AND CASH. A FINANCIAL TIMES EDITOR SAYS NO BOTTOM YET, THAT BY HISTORICAL STANDARDS THE SCENARIO IS QUITE BAD FOR THE US, THAT BEAR STEARNS WAS NOT ALONE AMONG US FIRMS IN THEIR PROBLEMS, THAT THE MARKET IS EXPECTING 1% PANIC CUT BY FED, AND THAT THE US ECONOMY IS IN DEEP TROUBLE. 3-14-08 early surge based on false benign inflation report (showing no change in retail inflation) from the government gives way to reality that they can’t cover up/lie about (despite intra-day suckers rally) when there is a run on large wall street investment bank bear stearns (first such since the great depression) which cites liquidity crisis as ny fed and jp morgan intervene with 28 day loan as bear is holding high risk (worthless) assets which are illiquid (thinly traded/can’t be sold) as reserves (they are not alone in this regard among the frauds on wallstreet, etc., and only 2 days ago bear said balance sheet stable), all time lows for the dollar, wsj reports majority of economists think we’re in recession, michigan (non-washington non-fed gov’t report) sentiment index at new 16 year low. One ANALYST SAYS DOLLAR WEAKNESS/LOWER YIELDS/ECONOMIC CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE DOWNWARD TREND, INFLATION REPORT SURPRISE/FOOLISH AND HIGHER INFLATION NUMBER FOR MARCH, CRESCENDO OF BAD NEWS IN COMING WEEK AND LOOK FOR NEW LOWS/BOTTOM(?). OIL ANALYST CITES WEAK DOLLAR/EASY MONEY FLOWS AND SAYS LOOK FOR OIL AT $120-$125. ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ITS TOO LATE FOR FED TO TURN THIS WRITEDOWN/SUBPRIME/ECONOMIC DOWNTURN AROUND WITH BEAR ANOTHER $35-$70 BILLION BAD AND WHAT AFTER 28 DAY LOAN-EXPECT TAKEOVER/NO MORE BEAR STEARNS.  3-13-08 SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T ALONE (NOTHING WHATSOEVER) AS STANDARD AND POORS ANALYST SAYS THE END OF WRITEDOWNS MIGHT (BUT NOT QUITE) BE IN SIGHT  (WHICH IS LIKE THAT BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYING HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP)…RIIIIIGHT….. WHICH IS MEANINGLESS COMING FROM STANDARD AND POORS WHICH SHOULD BE ACCOUNTABLE/LIABLE (FOR THIS FRAUD) ALONG WITH THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET, ETC., FOR THE TRIPLE A RATED SECURITIES ON THE BOOKS WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE IN FACT NOT TRIPLE A (WORTHLESS JUNK BONDS, ASSETS, ETC.) SPURRING 200+ POINT SWING TO THE UPSIDE. VAST MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION (EVEN DESPITE ELECTION YEAR GIMMICKS-AS GOOD AS GETS). RETAIL SALES DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED .6%, FORECLOSURES UP 60% YEAR OVER YEAR, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. ONE ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED UNEMPLOYMENT/EMPLOYMENT WEAKNESS, PREMATURE TO SAY AS DID S&P THAT WE’RE NEAR END OF WRITEDOWNS, MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION, HOUSING DOWNTURN MUCH FURTHER TO GO, VERY DEFENSIVE AS STOCKS CONTINUE TO HIT NEW LOWS IN LARGE NUMBERS, WORST OF HOUSING CRISIS AHEAD, AND THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSION ECONOMY. ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS U.S. CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS, LACK OF TRUST IN U.S. FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AND TRIPLE A RATINGS (BONDS, ETC., WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE NOT), BANKS’ NEED FOR RECAPITALIZATION, LOW SAVINGS (IE., CONSUMERS USING IE., GIFT CARDS FOR GROCERIES, ETC.), FED LOSING CREDIBILITY BY FLIP-FLOPS/WRONG MOVES, AND SEES ONLY SHORT-COVERING RALLIES AT BEST. VENEZUELA SHIFT TO PAYMENT IN EUROS FOR OIL OUT OF DOLLARS. YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST SAYS WITH MONEY SUPPLY INCREASING AT EXORBITANT 27% PER ANNUM, CITING ECONOMIST FRIEDMAN SAYS HYPER-INFLATIONARY (CONTRARY TO LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMISTS WHO THIS DAY SEE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS REAL ESTATE DOWN 17.6%, SALES DOWN 40-45%, AND MEDIAN HOME PRICES DOWN $100,000, AND BUDGET DEFICITS ACROSS THE BOARD). 3-12-08 VERY MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY ON PANICKY FED KNEE JERK FUNNY MONEY ACTION, ONE ANALYST/BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYS HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP…..RIIIIIGHT…..REFERENCES THAT THIS IS WORST R.E. DOWNTURN IN 100 YEARS AND NO BOTTOM YET IN R.E. AND WSJ SAYS WORSE TO COME IN BAD PAPER (WRITEDOWNS, ETC.), AN OIL ANALYST SAYS RECORD HIGH OIL PRICES ARE HEDGE AGAINST FALLING DOLLAR WITH A LOT OF DOLLARS RELATIVE TO GOODS (AS IE., OIL, OTHER COMMODITIES, ETC.-HYPERINFLATION) AND IF YOU HOLD DOLLARS/DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/SECURITIES YOU LOSE VALUE AND SEES $4.00 GAS NATIONWIDE WITH RECORD DIESEL, WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THAT SEEING FED GO FROM LENDER OF LAST RESORT TO LENDER (PRINTER) OF FIRST RESORT IS WORRISOME/TROUBLESOME.  3-11-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant new EPHEMERAL bubble  rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO ADD $200 BILLION IN WORLDWIDE LIQUIDITY BY TEMPORARILY REPLACING (28 DAYS) ONE TYPE OF FUNNY-MONEY (WORTHLESS SUBPRIME COLLATERALIZED DEBT) WITH ANOTHER LONGER TERM WORTHLESS FUNNY-MONEY (U.S. DEBT WHICH CAN’T BE PAID BACK) WHICH IS A GREAT B.S. TALKING POINT BUT JUST A DROP IN THE BUCKET CONSIDERING THE MAGNITUDE OF THE UNDISCLOSED WRITEDOWNS/WORTHLESS PAPER BEING HELD(AND, CURING A BUBBLE WITH A NEW BUBBLE-I DON'T THINK SO), ONE ANALYST POINTS TO THE HYPERINFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF TOO MUCH LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS AND MORE BAD NEWS TO COME IN TECH SECTOR AND EARNINGS ALONG WITH MORE WRITEOFFS/WRITEDOWNS WITH WORSE TO COME/NO BOTTOM YET AND HE REMAINS A BEAR, LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMIST SAYS BAD BUT NOT TECHNICALLY RECESSION BASED ON GOVERNMENT ELECTION-YEAR DATA (ONLY NUTS AND NUTS FROM THE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS BELIEVE SAME) WHILE TWO OTHER ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS/HIGH INFLATION/LOWER DOLLAR AS FOREIGNERS/INVESTORS GET OUT OF WORTHLESS DOLLAR WITH BIG TROUBLE FOR U.S. POST-ELECTION AS REALITY SETS IN, TRADE GAP WIDENED, AND SMART MONEY WOULD SELL THIS RALLY/TAKE PROFITS. 3-10-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, NEW BANK DOWNGRADES, MORGAN SLASHES EARNINGS ESTIMATES FOR S&P AND SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, EVEN MORE ECONOMISTS NOW SAY THE OBVIOUS/RECESSION, RUMOR THAT BEAR STERNS WITH SUBSTANTIAL LIQUIDITY ISSUES IS GOING UNDER, DOLLAR DOWN, EARNINGS ESTIMATES CUT ON CITIBANK AND BANKOFAMERICA, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) HIGH ENERGY AND FOOD PRICES (CONVENIENTLY LEFT OUT OF THE FED’S “TOUTED” CORE RATE) ARE SQUEEZING THE CONSUMER (AND HENCE, CONSUMPTION/65% OF GDP) AND THAT COMMODITIES A BUBBLE AND MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS/POSITVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO WEAKER DOLLAR PREFERRED, AN OIL ANALYST SAYS $200 OIL POSSIBLE (REITERATING GOLDMAN) WITH CONTINUED WEAKENING OF DOLLAR, ANOTHER ANALYST/JOURNALIST SAYS SELL DOLLAR DENOMINATED STOCKS/SECURITIES/ASSETS WHICH HAVE MUCH FURTHER TO FALL AND REITERATES AS DID BARRON’S THAT MORTGAGE INSURERS HAVE OVER $5 TRILLION IN DEBT/EXPOSURE AND THAT MANY OF THE NATIONS BANKS ARE ALREADY INSOLVENT SO GET OUT OF THE DOLLAR AND U.S. STOCKS.  3-7-08 BAD EMPLOYMENT/JOBS DATA across ALL SECTORS AS 63,000 JOBS LOST WITH DOWNWARD REVISIONS TO DECEMBER AND JANUARY (ACTUALLY LOST 20,000) JOBS NUMBERS, ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN A RECESSION WHILE MORE ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH ONE STATING THAT YOU ALMOST NEVER SEE BACK-TO-BACK MONTHLY DECLINE IN EMPLOYMENT WITHOUT RECESSION AS NOW, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, CONSUMERS INCREASED BORROWING TO STAY AFLOAT, WASHINGTON MUTUAL FURTHER DOWNGRADES, SUPPORT LEVELS BROKEN TO THE DOWNSIDE, sentiment- 85% believe things will get worse.  3-6-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. 23% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES IN FOURTH QUARTER NEW RECORD HIGH, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, 10% OF HOMES WITH 0 OR NEGATIVE EQUITY, MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION SAYS HOME FORECLOSURES AT ALL-TIME HIGH AND GOING HIGHER, ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ROUGH YEAR AHEAD WITH FORECLOSURES AND DEFAULTS UP, ONE ANALYST SAYS MARKET WILL TEST NEW LOWS/SUPPORT LEVELS WITH FLIGHT TO “QUALITY”/TREASURIES, LENDER THORNBURG DEFAULTS AND ALONG WITH WASHINGTON MUTUAL IS DOWNGRADED, CONTINUING CLAIMS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT AT HIGH LEVELS MEANS COMPANIES SHRINKING, IGNORE KNEE-JERK ELECTION YEAR GOVERNMENT HUNKY DORY FAKE REPORTS. 3-5-08 OIL INVENTORIES LESS THAN EXPECTED, FED BEIGE BOOK CITES ECONOMIC WEAKNESS PARTICULARLY SINCE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, LABOR COSTS ROSE, RISING PRICE PRESSURES/STAGFLATION, RECESSION/BEAR MARKET, ONE ANALYST SAYS TOUGH FIRST HALF RECOMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH 50% OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND CONSUMER STAPLES/HEALTH RELATED/DEFENSIVE STOCKS, AMBAC TO FLOAT STOCK TO SHORE UP BALANCE SHEET TO TUNE OF $1.5 BILLION/DILUTION AND  SHARES FALL $2 TO $8.70, OIL ANALYST CITES DECLINE IN OIL INVENTORIES/DIESEL/JET FUEL AND WEAK DOLLAR AND TOP $108-$110 BUT $120-$130 IF VENEZUELA/COLUMBIA CONFLICT AND MORE RECORD HIGH GAS PRICES TO COME, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DECLINE IN REAL ESTATE/HOUSING WITH STARTS DOWN 15-20-40% ON WELL DESERVED PESSIMISM/CREDIT CRUNCH.  3-4-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, 3-3-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. MODEST DROP RELATIVE TO REALITY TO  KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING.  (3-27-08) (DOW -120, NASDAQ -43, S&P -15) [CLOSE- OIL $107.58/ GOLD $948.80 / SILVER $18.55 / PLATINUM $2,043.70 / DOLLAR= .63 EURO, 98 YEN, .4979 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/ 10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.54%].  I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY (TAKE PROFITS). REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts/reporters/journalists bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-26-08) (DOW -110, NASDAQ -17, S&P -12) [CLOSE- OIL $106/ GOLD $949.20 / SILVER $18.38 / PLATINUM $2,000 / DOLLAR= .6311 EURO, 98 YEN, .498 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/ 10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.46%]. GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL (TAKE PROFITS) IN WHAT REMAINS OF THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY AS THE WALL STREET SCAM UNEARTHED BY REVELATION THAT OF 9 INVESTMENT VEHICLES S&P (MAJORITY OF 401K HOLDINGS, ETC.) WAS WORST PERFORMER (1% OR LESS AND IF YOU FACTOR IN DECLINING DOLLAR, NEGATIVE RELATIVE TO NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED ALTERNATIVES OVER DECADE). OIL UP ON SUPPLY CONCERNS AND DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. BANKING SECTOR DOWNGRADED CITING MORE WRITE-DOWNS AND –84% EARNINGS (CITI, ETC.). FACTORY ORDERS/DURABLES DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 1.75% AND NEW HOME SALES DOWN 1.8% ALONG WITH PRICE DECLINES (INCLUDING MEDIAN PRICE DECLINE). WSJ ARTICLE RAISES SPECTER OF FED BANKRUPTCY AND PUBLIC BAILOUT. ONE ANALYST CITES CITIBANK DIFFICULTIES, LBO TROUBLES (IE., CLEAR CHANNEL, ETC.), FED HOLDING JUNK PAPER, AND RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE (IE., CONSUMER STAPLES, ETC.) POSTURE INCLUDING MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION). OIL ANALYST SAYS RECORD OIL/ GAS PRICES (GAS UP ANOTHER 5-10 CENTS) AND CITES DECLINE IN REFINERY RUN, CONFLICT IN IRAQ, AND EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK’S FIGHT AGAINST INFLATION/LOWER DOLLAR AND SAYS NATURAL GAS AN INTERESTING PLAY. ONE REPORTER CITES DROP IN GAS SUPPLIES AND FINANCIAL SECTOR WRITEDOWNS. R.E. ANALYST POINTS TO SO. CAL. 400% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES AND SAYS NO IMPROVEMENT UNTIL AT LEAST LATE 2008/EARLY 2009. CURRENCY EXPERT SAYS FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS WILL SURVIVE BUT WON’T BE LENDING, DOLLAR RISK TO THE DOWNSIDE, FED HOLDING BAD RESERVES, HOUSING MARKET TO CONTINUE DECLINE, AND FAVORS EURO.  3-25-08 GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL (TAKE PROFITS) THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY INTO THE CLOSE  WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T AND NOTHING BUT BAD ECONOMIC NEWS AS WALL STREET FRAUDS ATTEMPT  TO WINDOW DRESS REALISTICALLY DISMAL FIRST QUARTER NUMBERS TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMPUTERIZED PROGRAM TRADE COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING. DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. earnings downgrade for merrill lynch/financials and reluctance to take mark-to-market loss (prompted bear bailout) scuttles(?) clear channel deal. GOVERNMENT HIRING NEW (FDIC) BANK REGULATORS FOR INCREASING BANK FAILURES. S&P CASE SHILLER INDEX REGISTERS SHARPEST HOUSING PRICE DECLINE ON RECORD AT –11.4%, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX DOWN TO 5 YR. LOW OF 65 WHICH IS SUBSTANTIALLY BELOW EXPECTED 73, AND EXPECTATIONS INDEX AT LOWEST SINCE 1973. KEN SHREVE OF IBD POINTS TO VOLUME (COMMISSION GENERATING COMPUTERIZED PROGRAMMED TRADES SIMULATING DEMAND) AS A GOOD SIGN…RIIIIIGHT…CITES SELLING PRESSURE ON THE WAY UP AND SAYS WAIT AND SEE AS NEW LEADERSHIP DEVELOPS…RIIIIIGHT (WHICH TRANSLATED MEANS HE DOESN’T KNOW WHERE THIS IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT MARKET IS GOING. S&P CASE SHILLER ANALYST/VP SAYS HOME PRICES IN DECLINE WHICH ACCELERATED IN THE LAST 6-9 MONTHS AND SEES –20%/TROUGH IN LATE 2008. R.E. ANALYST DOESN’T SEE BOTTOM PARTICULARLY IN SO. CALIFORNIA (IE., LA, SAN DIEGO, ETC.) (MIAMI, LAS VEGAS, PHOENIX VERY BAD). AN ECONOMIST SAYS ANOTHER YEAR OF DECLINES SINCE CONSUMER SPENDING/CONFIDENCE HAS WEAKENED SUBSTANTIALLY. CALIFORNIA BUREAUCRAT (THAT’S ALL THERE IS) SAYS TOUGH TIMES AHEAD, POINTS TO UPSIDE DOWN CONDITIONS (MORTGAGE LOANS GREATER THAN PROPERTY VALUES) AND SAYS HOUSE OF CARDS. ANOTHER ECONOMIST SAYS MORE EROSION ON THE PRICE SIDE,-20%, AND A WAYS TO GO. R.E. PROF. SAYS SLIDE TO CONTINUE UNTIL EXCESS SUPPLY IS CLEARED.  3-24-08 GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT-COVERING RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T AND NO REAL ECONOMIC NEWS AS WALL STREET FRAUDS IN LAST DITCH EFFORT TO WINDOW DRESS REALISTICALLY DISMAL FIRST QUARTER NUMBERS TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMPUTERIZED PROGRAM TRADE COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING. THE ELECTION-YEAR-INDUCED RALLY FAKE NEWS PUSHED BY THE WALL STREET FRAUDS IS A MEAGER TWO-FOLD; VIZ., EXISTING HOME SALES INCREASED (JAN.-FEB.) 2.9% EXCEEDING SUBSTANTIALLY ECONOMISTS’ PREDICTIONS AND J.P. MORGAN WILLING TO PAY $10 INSTEAD OF $2 PER SHARE FOR FAILED INVESTMENT BANK BEAR STEARNS. REALITY: INCREASED SALES DUE TO INCREASED FORECLOSURE SALES; PRICES DOWN 8.2%; MEDIAN HOME PRICE FELL MOST EVER ON RECORD; INCREASED BEAR MONEY TO PLACATE SHAREHOLDERS DESPERATE MOVE TO KEEP WORTHLESS SECURITIES FROM BEING DUMPED IN MARKET WHERE SAME CAN’T BE SOLD AND WHERE SUCH WOULD RESULT IN OTHER SUCH BEING MARKED TO MARKET (PENNIES ON A DOLLAR). ONE ANALYST SAYS NOTHING FUNDAMENTALLY HAS CHANGED, DAY TO DAY TRADING ON DAY’S NEWS AND TODAY A HAPPY (NON) NEWS DAY…RIIIIIGHT…AND RECOMMENDS FOR PROTECTION NON-U.S. ASSETS/SECURITIES, METALS, AND BIG CAP TECH/MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION). AN ECONOMIST SAYS THE FED’S CONFUSING DEAL PROTECTS ITS OWN MONEY BY ESSENTIALLY PROVIDING A “BRIDGE LOAN” TO PREVENT THE WORTHLESS SECURITIES FROM BEING DUMPED WHERE THERE IS NO MARKET FOR SAME CAUSING FURTHER WRITEDOWNS across THE BOARD ON MARK TO MARKET. ANOTHER ANALYST EMPHASIZES DISFUNCTIONAL BANKING/CONTINUED WRITEDOWNS/LOSSES/BALANCE SHEET PROBLEMS FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS/WE’VE NOT SEEN THE BOTTOM, IN RECOMMENDING TAKING SOME PROFITS WITH ELECTION YEAR STIMULUS CREATING INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS, THOUGH STILL IN BEAR MARKET THE REAL DECLINE AND REAL RECESSION (WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION) TO COME POST ELECTION/2009 AND THE INTERMEDIATE TERM IS VERY SCARY. ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ONE THIRD OF EXISTING HOME SALES WERE FORECLOSURES WITH OVERSUPPLY OF PROPERTIES WHICH WILL TAKE A LONG TIME TO WORK OUT WHILE ANOTHER r.e. ANALYST SAYS YEARS TO WORK OUT WITH ONLY LIMITED IMPROVEMENT LATE 2009.  3-20-08 FULL MOON WITH OBVIOUS EFFECT ON LUNATIC WALL STREET FRAUDS. SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT-COVERING RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T  AND EXCEEDINGLY BAD ECONOMIC NEWS VIZ., UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS UP MUCH MORE THAN EXPECTED 22,000 TO HIGH 378,000, CREDIT SWISSE TO REVISE PREVIOUS YEARS PROFITS DOWN ON FURTHER WRITEDOWNS, PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN,  AND LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN FOR FIFTH MONTH IN A ROW WHICH HAS ALWAYS SIGNALED/INDICATED/PRECEDED ECONOMIC DOWNTURN/CONTRACTION/RECESSION. ONE SOMEWHAT SENILE ANALYST WELCOMED THE MASSIVE AMOUNT OF FAKE/FIAT/PRINTED MONEY SAYING THE FINANCIALS WHICH HAVE LAGGED THE MARKET BY 20% WILL BE HELPED/INFLATED OUT OF THEIR DOLDRUMS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) BY SAME WHICH HE LIKES BECAUSE HE’S HEAVILY CONCENTRATED IN FINANCIALS (GREAT CALL) AND THAT THE MONEY HASN’T SHOWN UP YET BUT FAILS TO REALIZE THE U.S. HAS NEVER BEEN IN SUCH DIRE CIRCUMSTANCES ECONOMICALLY, FINANCIALLY, AND GEOPOLITICALLY AS NOW. A MORE RATIONAL VIEW BY ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER SAID STIMULUS THUS FAR TREATS SYMPTOMS WITH MERE BANDAIDS WHICH FAIL TO ADDRESS/CURE THE PROBLEM/CAUSE/DISEASE AND IS RATHER SIMPLISTIC TO A FAULT IN FOCUSING SOLELY ON HOUSING/REAL ESTATE VALUES ALTHOUGH CORRECTLY STATES THAT EASIER MONEY WILL NOT ENHANCE THE VALUE OF MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES WHICH REMAIN INDETERMINANT, DOWN, OR GOING DOWN AND ADVOCATES DEPRESSION ERA APPROACH SINCE HE CORRECTLY STATES  ECONOMY HAS ALREADY (DECEMBER, 2007 OR JANUARY, 2008) ENTERED THE WORST RECESSION OF THE POST-WAR ERA (DESPITE ELECTION YEAR SPIN). ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THIS IS A SHORT-COVERING RALLY AND AN OPPORTUNITY TO SELL/TAKE PROFITS (i TOTALLY AGREE), THAT THE FED DESPERATION MOVES INCLUDING PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD  HAVE LED TO A DEBASEMENT OF THE U.S. CURRENCY AND THAT THE DOLLAR WILL CONTINUE TO GO LOWER, THAT TRILLIONS HAVE BEEN BORROWED BUT THAT THEY WILL BE UNSUCCESSFUL IN REINFLATING THE BUBBLE, THAT THE FINANCIAL CRISIS IS NO WHERE NEAR BEING OVER WITH MUCH MORE CARNAGE TO COME, AND RECOMMENDS BEING TOTALLY OUT OF THE DOLLAR INCLUDING DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES AND INTO OTHER FOREIGN CURRENCIES/SECURITIES.  3-19-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY.  I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). morgan stanley earnings down 40% but better than expected…..riiiiight…..on computerized bond/stock trading commissions. merrill lynch says more loan losses. one analyst says not much optimism regarding fed moves, deepening fears about economy, wall street stuck with a lot of stuff (ie., junk bonds, junk securities, junk derivatives, subprime mortgages, etc.) which can’t be sold except at firesale prices, avoid equities particularly small/midcaps, raise cash (taking profits/selling), looking for confirmation, entered recession in february but with inflation a very tough scenario. an oil analyst says commodity bubble bursting with profit-taking/path of least resistance but still record diesel at $4.21, record home heating oil $3.80 so wait and see. another analyst says emerging markets attractive relative to developed citing p/e multiple comparison but no save haven and points to further weakness in dollar relative to other currencies. metals analyst says rate cut less than expected and etfs (and computerized trading thereof) has propped demand.  3-18-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant bubble rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). WHOLESALE/PRODUCER PRICES UP MORE THAN EXPECTED .3% WITH CORE RATE UP .5%. HOUSING STARTS DOWN 36% TO LOWEST LEVEL IN 17 YEARS. SHARPLY (MORE THAN 50%) LOWER EARNINGS AT GOLDMAN AND LEHMAN RALLIES THEIR STOCKS WITH FAMILIAR MANTRA ‘NOT AS BAD AS EXPECTED’…..RIIIIIGHT! DOLLAR DOWN AGAINST MOST CURRENCIES ON .75% PANIC CUT IN FED FUNDS RATE TO 2.25%. ONE ANALYST POINTS TO STRENGTH BY SECTOR, VIZ., FINANCIALS +8% (FOCUS OF THE BAILOUT), SMALL CAPS +5%, EMERGING MARKETS +5%, AND SAYS DOLLAR WILL BE BOTTOMING. AN OIL ANALYST SAYS OIL TO GO HIGHER WITH INFLUX OF SPECULATIVE NEW MONEY FROM RATE CUT. FORMER FED GOVERNOR GRAMLEY SAY WE’RE IN SERIOUS ECONOMIC CRISIS, IN RECESSION WITH ECONOMIC WEAKNESS SUFFICIENT TO MUTE DEMAND/SHARPER PRICE INCREASES, AND COMPARES ECONOMY TO CANCER PATIENT UNDERGOING NECESSARY CHEMOTHERAPY…..RIIIIIGHT….., FED HAS USED EMERGENCY POWERS NOT USED SINCE THE GREAT DEPRESSION BUT CAN’T RELY SOLELY ON THE FED. ANOTHER ANALYST TALKS IN TERMS OF TRADING ON A DAY-TO-DAY BASIS (FACT-THERE ARE HISTORICALLY VERY FEW SUCCESSFUL TRADERS), BELIEVES FED WENT TOO FAR WITH RATE CUT AND SEES SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM WITH INFLATION, THUMBS UP FOR METALS/OIL AND LARGE CAP TECH WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS, BUT FURTHER CAUTIONS OWING TO NEGATIVE REAL INTEREST RATES (RATES LESS THAN INFLATION, RISK, ECONOMIC FACTORS/PREMIUMS). FINALLY, THINGS ARE SO HUNKY DORY THAT AS REPORTED BY CONTINENTAL COIN AND JEWELRY PEOPLE ARE PULLING THEIR TEETH, EXTRACTING AND SELLING THE GOLD. LOVELY!  3-17-08 LUNATIC/FRAUDS 200+ point computerized BUY PROGRAM suckers’ bear market/short-covering rally to the upside based upon nothing whatsoever that hasn’t already been discounted (ie., more rate cuts by fed in panic mode, etc.). I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION FELL A GREATER THAN EXPECTED ONE-HALF OF 1%. ONE ANALYST CITES NEW LOWS FOR DOLLAR AND SUBSTANTIAL MOVE BY FED ALREADY DISCOUNTED (.75%). ANOTHER ANALYST CITES WEAKER DOLLAR AND SLOWER ECONOMY IMPACTING DEMAND (IE., FOR GOODS, ETC., AND HENCE, COMMODITY PRICES, HENCE LOWER OIL PRICE THIS DAY), CITES THIS DAYS SHORT-COVERING RALLY AND RECOMEMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND OVERSEAS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (UTILITIES, ETC.). YET aNOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST CITES BUSINESS MODELS COMPARABLE TO BEAR STEARNS IN FINANCIAL SECTOR(PROBLEMS WITH HEDGE FUNDS/INVESTMENT BANKS) WHICH HAS PROVEN INABILITY TO MANAGE THEIR OWN AFFAIRS SAYING DEREGULATION A DISASTER AND REREGULATION A CURE, NO END TO FALL IN DOLLAR AS US BECOMES WORLD’S BEGGAR, AND RECOMMENDS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (IE., EURO, SWISS FRANC, ETC., AND EMERGING FAR EAST MARKETS). aNOTHER MORE CALIFORNIA/SENILE, ANALYST/BROKER WHO LIKE OTHERS HAVE LOST SUBSTANTIAL MONIES FOR CLIENTS CITES LACK OF OF TRANSPARENCY AS VALUE OF HIS BUYS AND HOLDS CONTINUES TO FALL WITH DOLLAR BUT TALKS SOME SPECULATIVE BUYS AND CASH. A FINANCIAL TIMES EDITOR SAYS NO BOTTOM YET, THAT BY HISTORICAL STANDARDS THE SCENARIO IS QUITE BAD FOR THE US, THAT BEAR STEARNS WAS NOT ALONE AMONG US FIRMS IN THEIR PROBLEMS, THAT THE MARKET IS EXPECTING 1% PANIC CUT BY FED, AND THAT THE US ECONOMY IS IN DEEP TROUBLE. 3-14-08 early surge based on false benign inflation report (showing no change in retail inflation) from the government gives way to reality that they can’t cover up/lie about (despite intra-day suckers rally) when there is a run on large wall street investment bank bear stearns (first such since the great depression) which cites liquidity crisis as ny fed and jp morgan intervene with 28 day loan as bear is holding high risk (worthless) assets which are illiquid (thinly traded/can’t be sold) as reserves (they are not alone in this regard among the frauds on wallstreet, etc., and only 2 days ago bear said balance sheet stable), all time lows for the dollar, wsj reports majority of economists think we’re in recession, michigan (non-washington non-fed gov’t report) sentiment index at new 16 year low. One ANALYST SAYS DOLLAR WEAKNESS/LOWER YIELDS/ECONOMIC CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE DOWNWARD TREND, INFLATION REPORT SURPRISE/FOOLISH AND HIGHER INFLATION NUMBER FOR MARCH, CRESCENDO OF BAD NEWS IN COMING WEEK AND LOOK FOR NEW LOWS/BOTTOM(?). OIL ANALYST CITES WEAK DOLLAR/EASY MONEY FLOWS AND SAYS LOOK FOR OIL AT $120-$125. ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ITS TOO LATE FOR FED TO TURN THIS WRITEDOWN/SUBPRIME/ECONOMIC DOWNTURN AROUND WITH BEAR ANOTHER $35-$70 BILLION BAD AND WHAT AFTER 28 DAY LOAN-EXPECT TAKEOVER/NO MORE BEAR STEARNS.  3-13-08 SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T ALONE (NOTHING WHATSOEVER) AS STANDARD AND POORS ANALYST SAYS THE END OF WRITEDOWNS MIGHT (BUT NOT QUITE) BE IN SIGHT  (WHICH IS LIKE THAT BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYING HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP)…RIIIIIGHT….. WHICH IS MEANINGLESS COMING FROM STANDARD AND POORS WHICH SHOULD BE ACCOUNTABLE/LIABLE (FOR THIS FRAUD) ALONG WITH THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET, ETC., FOR THE TRIPLE A RATED SECURITIES ON THE BOOKS WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE IN FACT NOT TRIPLE A (WORTHLESS JUNK BONDS, ASSETS, ETC.) SPURRING 200+ POINT SWING TO THE UPSIDE. VAST MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION (EVEN DESPITE ELECTION YEAR GIMMICKS-AS GOOD AS GETS). RETAIL SALES DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED .6%, FORECLOSURES UP 60% YEAR OVER YEAR, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. ONE ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED UNEMPLOYMENT/EMPLOYMENT WEAKNESS, PREMATURE TO SAY AS DID S&P THAT WE’RE NEAR END OF WRITEDOWNS, MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION, HOUSING DOWNTURN MUCH FURTHER TO GO, VERY DEFENSIVE AS STOCKS CONTINUE TO HIT NEW LOWS IN LARGE NUMBERS, WORST OF HOUSING CRISIS AHEAD, AND THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSION ECONOMY. ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS U.S. CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS, LACK OF TRUST IN U.S. FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AND TRIPLE A RATINGS (BONDS, ETC., WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE NOT), BANKS’ NEED FOR RECAPITALIZATION, LOW SAVINGS (IE., CONSUMERS USING IE., GIFT CARDS FOR GROCERIES, ETC.), FED LOSING CREDIBILITY BY FLIP-FLOPS/WRONG MOVES, AND SEES ONLY SHORT-COVERING RALLIES AT BEST. VENEZUELA SHIFT TO PAYMENT IN EUROS FOR OIL OUT OF DOLLARS. YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST SAYS WITH MONEY SUPPLY INCREASING AT EXORBITANT 27% PER ANNUM, CITING ECONOMIST FRIEDMAN SAYS HYPER-INFLATIONARY (CONTRARY TO LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMISTS WHO THIS DAY SEE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS REAL ESTATE DOWN 17.6%, SALES DOWN 40-45%, AND MEDIAN HOME PRICES DOWN $100,000, AND BUDGET DEFICITS ACROSS THE BOARD). 3-12-08 VERY MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY ON PANICKY FED KNEE JERK FUNNY MONEY ACTION, ONE ANALYST/BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYS HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP…..RIIIIIGHT…..REFERENCES THAT THIS IS WORST R.E. DOWNTURN IN 100 YEARS AND NO BOTTOM YET IN R.E. AND WSJ SAYS WORSE TO COME IN BAD PAPER (WRITEDOWNS, ETC.), AN OIL ANALYST SAYS RECORD HIGH OIL PRICES ARE HEDGE AGAINST FALLING DOLLAR WITH A LOT OF DOLLARS RELATIVE TO GOODS (AS IE., OIL, OTHER COMMODITIES, ETC.-HYPERINFLATION) AND IF YOU HOLD DOLLARS/DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/SECURITIES YOU LOSE VALUE AND SEES $4.00 GAS NATIONWIDE WITH RECORD DIESEL, WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THAT SEEING FED GO FROM LENDER OF LAST RESORT TO LENDER (PRINTER) OF FIRST RESORT IS WORRISOME/TROUBLESOME.  3-11-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant new EPHEMERAL bubble  rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO ADD $200 BILLION IN WORLDWIDE LIQUIDITY BY TEMPORARILY REPLACING (28 DAYS) ONE TYPE OF FUNNY-MONEY (WORTHLESS SUBPRIME COLLATERALIZED DEBT) WITH ANOTHER LONGER TERM WORTHLESS FUNNY-MONEY (U.S. DEBT WHICH CAN’T BE PAID BACK) WHICH IS A GREAT B.S. TALKING POINT BUT JUST A DROP IN THE BUCKET CONSIDERING THE MAGNITUDE OF THE UNDISCLOSED WRITEDOWNS/WORTHLESS PAPER BEING HELD(AND, CURING A BUBBLE WITH A NEW BUBBLE-I DON'T THINK SO), ONE ANALYST POINTS TO THE HYPERINFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF TOO MUCH LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS AND MORE BAD NEWS TO COME IN TECH SECTOR AND EARNINGS ALONG WITH MORE WRITEOFFS/WRITEDOWNS WITH WORSE TO COME/NO BOTTOM YET AND HE REMAINS A BEAR, LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMIST SAYS BAD BUT NOT TECHNICALLY RECESSION BASED ON GOVERNMENT ELECTION-YEAR DATA (ONLY NUTS AND NUTS FROM THE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS BELIEVE SAME) WHILE TWO OTHER ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS/HIGH INFLATION/LOWER DOLLAR AS FOREIGNERS/INVESTORS GET OUT OF WORTHLESS DOLLAR WITH BIG TROUBLE FOR U.S. POST-ELECTION AS REALITY SETS IN, TRADE GAP WIDENED, AND SMART MONEY WOULD SELL THIS RALLY/TAKE PROFITS. 3-10-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, NEW BANK DOWNGRADES, MORGAN SLASHES EARNINGS ESTIMATES FOR S&P AND SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, EVEN MORE ECONOMISTS NOW SAY THE OBVIOUS/RECESSION, RUMOR THAT BEAR STERNS WITH SUBSTANTIAL LIQUIDITY ISSUES IS GOING UNDER, DOLLAR DOWN, EARNINGS ESTIMATES CUT ON CITIBANK AND BANKOFAMERICA, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) HIGH ENERGY AND FOOD PRICES (CONVENIENTLY LEFT OUT OF THE FED’S “TOUTED” CORE RATE) ARE SQUEEZING THE CONSUMER (AND HENCE, CONSUMPTION/65% OF GDP) AND THAT COMMODITIES A BUBBLE AND MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS/POSITVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO WEAKER DOLLAR PREFERRED, AN OIL ANALYST SAYS $200 OIL POSSIBLE (REITERATING GOLDMAN) WITH CONTINUED WEAKENING OF DOLLAR, ANOTHER ANALYST/JOURNALIST SAYS SELL DOLLAR DENOMINATED STOCKS/SECURITIES/ASSETS WHICH HAVE MUCH FURTHER TO FALL AND REITERATES AS DID BARRON’S THAT MORTGAGE INSURERS HAVE OVER $5 TRILLION IN DEBT/EXPOSURE AND THAT MANY OF THE NATIONS BANKS ARE ALREADY INSOLVENT SO GET OUT OF THE DOLLAR AND U.S. STOCKS.  3-7-08 BAD EMPLOYMENT/JOBS DATA across ALL SECTORS AS 63,000 JOBS LOST WITH DOWNWARD REVISIONS TO DECEMBER AND JANUARY (ACTUALLY LOST 20,000) JOBS NUMBERS, ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN A RECESSION WHILE MORE ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH ONE STATING THAT YOU ALMOST NEVER SEE BACK-TO-BACK MONTHLY DECLINE IN EMPLOYMENT WITHOUT RECESSION AS NOW, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, CONSUMERS INCREASED BORROWING TO STAY AFLOAT, WASHINGTON MUTUAL FURTHER DOWNGRADES, SUPPORT LEVELS BROKEN TO THE DOWNSIDE, sentiment- 85% believe things will get worse.  3-6-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. 23% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES IN FOURTH QUARTER NEW RECORD HIGH, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, 10% OF HOMES WITH 0 OR NEGATIVE EQUITY, MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION SAYS HOME FORECLOSURES AT ALL-TIME HIGH AND GOING HIGHER, ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ROUGH YEAR AHEAD WITH FORECLOSURES AND DEFAULTS UP, ONE ANALYST SAYS MARKET WILL TEST NEW LOWS/SUPPORT LEVELS WITH FLIGHT TO “QUALITY”/TREASURIES, LENDER THORNBURG DEFAULTS AND ALONG WITH WASHINGTON MUTUAL IS DOWNGRADED, CONTINUING CLAIMS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT AT HIGH LEVELS MEANS COMPANIES SHRINKING, IGNORE KNEE-JERK ELECTION YEAR GOVERNMENT HUNKY DORY FAKE REPORTS. 3-5-08 OIL INVENTORIES LESS THAN EXPECTED, FED BEIGE BOOK CITES ECONOMIC WEAKNESS PARTICULARLY SINCE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, LABOR COSTS ROSE, RISING PRICE PRESSURES/STAGFLATION, RECESSION/BEAR MARKET, ONE ANALYST SAYS TOUGH FIRST HALF RECOMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH 50% OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND CONSUMER STAPLES/HEALTH RELATED/DEFENSIVE STOCKS, AMBAC TO FLOAT STOCK TO SHORE UP BALANCE SHEET TO TUNE OF $1.5 BILLION/DILUTION AND  SHARES FALL $2 TO $8.70, OIL ANALYST CITES DECLINE IN OIL INVENTORIES/DIESEL/JET FUEL AND WEAK DOLLAR AND TOP $108-$110 BUT $120-$130 IF VENEZUELA/COLUMBIA CONFLICT AND MORE RECORD HIGH GAS PRICES TO COME, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DECLINE IN REAL ESTATE/HOUSING WITH STARTS DOWN 15-20-40% ON WELL DESERVED PESSIMISM/CREDIT CRUNCH.  3-4-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, 3-3-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. MODEST DROP RELATIVE TO REALITY TO  KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING.  (3-26-08) (DOW -110, NASDAQ -17, S&P -12) [CLOSE- OIL $106/ GOLD $949.20 / SILVER $18.38 / PLATINUM $2,000 / DOLLAR= .6311 EURO, 98 YEN, .498 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/ 10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.46%]. I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY (TAKE PROFITS). REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts/reporters/journalists bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-25-08) (DOW -16, NASDAQ +14, S&P +3) [CLOSE- OIL $101.22 / GOLD $935 / SILVER $17.80 / PLATINUM $1,985.90 / DOLLAR= .639 EURO, 99.85 YEN, .498 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/ 10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.51%]. GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL (TAKE PROFITS) THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY INTO THE CLOSE  WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T AND NOTHING BUT BAD ECONOMIC NEWS AS WALL STREET FRAUDS ATTEMPT  TO WINDOW DRESS REALISTICALLY DISMAL FIRST QUARTER NUMBERS TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMPUTERIZED PROGRAM TRADE COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING. DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. earnings downgrade for merrill lynch/financials and reluctance to take mark-to-market loss (prompted bear bailout) scuttles(?) clear channel deal. GOVERNMENT HIRING NEW (FDIC) BANK REGULATORS FOR INCREASING BANK FAILURES. S&P CASE SHILLER INDEX REGISTERS SHARPEST HOUSING PRICE DECLINE ON RECORD AT –11.4%, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX DOWN TO 5 YR. LOW OF 65 WHICH IS SUBSTANTIALLY BELOW EXPECTED 73, AND EXPECTATIONS INDEX AT LOWEST SINCE 1973. KEN SHREVE OF IBD POINTS TO VOLUME (COMMISSION GENERATING COMPUTERIZED PROGRAMMED TRADES SIMULATING DEMAND) AS A GOOD SIGN…RIIIIIGHT…CITES SELLING PRESSURE ON THE WAY UP AND SAYS WAIT AND SEE AS NEW LEADERSHIP DEVELOPS…RIIIIIGHT (WHICH TRANSLATED MEANS HE DOESN’T KNOW WHERE THIS IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT MARKET IS GOING. S&P CASE SHILLER ANALYST/VP SAYS HOME PRICES IN DECLINE WHICH ACCELERATED IN THE LAST 6-9 MONTHS AND SEES –20%/TROUGH IN LATE 2008. R.E. ANALYST DOESN’T SEE BOTTOM PARTICULARLY IN SO. CALIFORNIA (IE., LA, SAN DIEGO, ETC.) (MIAMI, LAS VEGAS, PHOENIX VERY BAD). AN ECONOMIST SAYS ANOTHER YEAR OF DECLINES SINCE CONSUMER SPENDING/CONFIDENCE HAS WEAKENED SUBSTANTIALLY. CALIFORNIA BUREAUCRAT (THAT’S ALL THERE IS) SAYS TOUGH TIMES AHEAD, POINTS TO UPSIDE DOWN CONDITIONS (MORTGAGE LOANS GREATER THAN PROPERTY VALUES) AND SAYS HOUSE OF CARDS. ANOTHER ECONOMIST SAYS MORE EROSION ON THE PRICE SIDE,-20%, AND A WAYS TO GO. R.E. PROF. SAYS SLIDE TO CONTINUE UNTIL EXCESS SUPPLY IS CLEARED.  3-24-08 GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT-COVERING RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T AND NO REAL ECONOMIC NEWS AS WALL STREET FRAUDS IN LAST DITCH EFFORT TO WINDOW DRESS REALISTICALLY DISMAL FIRST QUARTER NUMBERS TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMPUTERIZED PROGRAM TRADE COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING. THE ELECTION-YEAR-INDUCED RALLY FAKE NEWS PUSHED BY THE WALL STREET FRAUDS IS A MEAGER TWO-FOLD; VIZ., EXISTING HOME SALES INCREASED (JAN.-FEB.) 2.9% EXCEEDING SUBSTANTIALLY ECONOMISTS’ PREDICTIONS AND J.P. MORGAN WILLING TO PAY $10 INSTEAD OF $2 PER SHARE FOR FAILED INVESTMENT BANK BEAR STEARNS. REALITY: INCREASED SALES DUE TO INCREASED FORECLOSURE SALES; PRICES DOWN 8.2%; MEDIAN HOME PRICE FELL MOST EVER ON RECORD; INCREASED BEAR MONEY TO PLACATE SHAREHOLDERS DESPERATE MOVE TO KEEP WORTHLESS SECURITIES FROM BEING DUMPED IN MARKET WHERE SAME CAN’T BE SOLD AND WHERE SUCH WOULD RESULT IN OTHER SUCH BEING MARKED TO MARKET (PENNIES ON A DOLLAR). ONE ANALYST SAYS NOTHING FUNDAMENTALLY HAS CHANGED, DAY TO DAY TRADING ON DAY’S NEWS AND TODAY A HAPPY (NON) NEWS DAY…RIIIIIGHT…AND RECOMMENDS FOR PROTECTION NON-U.S. ASSETS/SECURITIES, METALS, AND BIG CAP TECH/MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION). AN ECONOMIST SAYS THE FED’S CONFUSING DEAL PROTECTS ITS OWN MONEY BY ESSENTIALLY PROVIDING A “BRIDGE LOAN” TO PREVENT THE WORTHLESS SECURITIES FROM BEING DUMPED WHERE THERE IS NO MARKET FOR SAME CAUSING FURTHER WRITEDOWNS across THE BOARD ON MARK TO MARKET. ANOTHER ANALYST EMPHASIZES DISFUNCTIONAL BANKING/CONTINUED WRITEDOWNS/LOSSES/BALANCE SHEET PROBLEMS FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS/WE’VE NOT SEEN THE BOTTOM, IN RECOMMENDING TAKING SOME PROFITS WITH ELECTION YEAR STIMULUS CREATING INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS, THOUGH STILL IN BEAR MARKET THE REAL DECLINE AND REAL RECESSION (WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION) TO COME POST ELECTION/2009 AND THE INTERMEDIATE TERM IS VERY SCARY. ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ONE THIRD OF EXISTING HOME SALES WERE FORECLOSURES WITH OVERSUPPLY OF PROPERTIES WHICH WILL TAKE A LONG TIME TO WORK OUT WHILE ANOTHER r.e. ANALYST SAYS YEARS TO WORK OUT WITH ONLY LIMITED IMPROVEMENT LATE 2009.  3-20-08 FULL MOON WITH OBVIOUS EFFECT ON LUNATIC WALL STREET FRAUDS. SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT-COVERING RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T  AND EXCEEDINGLY BAD ECONOMIC NEWS VIZ., UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS UP MUCH MORE THAN EXPECTED 22,000 TO HIGH 378,000, CREDIT SWISSE TO REVISE PREVIOUS YEARS PROFITS DOWN ON FURTHER WRITEDOWNS, PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN,  AND LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN FOR FIFTH MONTH IN A ROW WHICH HAS ALWAYS SIGNALED/INDICATED/PRECEDED ECONOMIC DOWNTURN/CONTRACTION/RECESSION. ONE SOMEWHAT SENILE ANALYST WELCOMED THE MASSIVE AMOUNT OF FAKE/FIAT/PRINTED MONEY SAYING THE FINANCIALS WHICH HAVE LAGGED THE MARKET BY 20% WILL BE HELPED/INFLATED OUT OF THEIR DOLDRUMS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) BY SAME WHICH HE LIKES BECAUSE HE’S HEAVILY CONCENTRATED IN FINANCIALS (GREAT CALL) AND THAT THE MONEY HASN’T SHOWN UP YET BUT FAILS TO REALIZE THE U.S. HAS NEVER BEEN IN SUCH DIRE CIRCUMSTANCES ECONOMICALLY, FINANCIALLY, AND GEOPOLITICALLY AS NOW. A MORE RATIONAL VIEW BY ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER SAID STIMULUS THUS FAR TREATS SYMPTOMS WITH MERE BANDAIDS WHICH FAIL TO ADDRESS/CURE THE PROBLEM/CAUSE/DISEASE AND IS RATHER SIMPLISTIC TO A FAULT IN FOCUSING SOLELY ON HOUSING/REAL ESTATE VALUES ALTHOUGH CORRECTLY STATES THAT EASIER MONEY WILL NOT ENHANCE THE VALUE OF MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES WHICH REMAIN INDETERMINANT, DOWN, OR GOING DOWN AND ADVOCATES DEPRESSION ERA APPROACH SINCE HE CORRECTLY STATES  ECONOMY HAS ALREADY (DECEMBER, 2007 OR JANUARY, 2008) ENTERED THE WORST RECESSION OF THE POST-WAR ERA (DESPITE ELECTION YEAR SPIN). ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THIS IS A SHORT-COVERING RALLY AND AN OPPORTUNITY TO SELL/TAKE PROFITS (i TOTALLY AGREE), THAT THE FED DESPERATION MOVES INCLUDING PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD  HAVE LED TO A DEBASEMENT OF THE U.S. CURRENCY AND THAT THE DOLLAR WILL CONTINUE TO GO LOWER, THAT TRILLIONS HAVE BEEN BORROWED BUT THAT THEY WILL BE UNSUCCESSFUL IN REINFLATING THE BUBBLE, THAT THE FINANCIAL CRISIS IS NO WHERE NEAR BEING OVER WITH MUCH MORE CARNAGE TO COME, AND RECOMMENDS BEING TOTALLY OUT OF THE DOLLAR INCLUDING DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES AND INTO OTHER FOREIGN CURRENCIES/SECURITIES.  3-19-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY.  I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). morgan stanley earnings down 40% but better than expected…..riiiiight…..on computerized bond/stock trading commissions. merrill lynch says more loan losses. one analyst says not much optimism regarding fed moves, deepening fears about economy, wall street stuck with a lot of stuff (ie., junk bonds, junk securities, junk derivatives, subprime mortgages, etc.) which can’t be sold except at firesale prices, avoid equities particularly small/midcaps, raise cash (taking profits/selling), looking for confirmation, entered recession in february but with inflation a very tough scenario. an oil analyst says commodity bubble bursting with profit-taking/path of least resistance but still record diesel at $4.21, record home heating oil $3.80 so wait and see. another analyst says emerging markets attractive relative to developed citing p/e multiple comparison but no save haven and points to further weakness in dollar relative to other currencies. metals analyst says rate cut less than expected and etfs (and computerized trading thereof) has propped demand.  3-18-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant bubble rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). WHOLESALE/PRODUCER PRICES UP MORE THAN EXPECTED .3% WITH CORE RATE UP .5%. HOUSING STARTS DOWN 36% TO LOWEST LEVEL IN 17 YEARS. SHARPLY (MORE THAN 50%) LOWER EARNINGS AT GOLDMAN AND LEHMAN RALLIES THEIR STOCKS WITH FAMILIAR MANTRA ‘NOT AS BAD AS EXPECTED’…..RIIIIIGHT! DOLLAR DOWN AGAINST MOST CURRENCIES ON .75% PANIC CUT IN FED FUNDS RATE TO 2.25%. ONE ANALYST POINTS TO STRENGTH BY SECTOR, VIZ., FINANCIALS +8% (FOCUS OF THE BAILOUT), SMALL CAPS +5%, EMERGING MARKETS +5%, AND SAYS DOLLAR WILL BE BOTTOMING. AN OIL ANALYST SAYS OIL TO GO HIGHER WITH INFLUX OF SPECULATIVE NEW MONEY FROM RATE CUT. FORMER FED GOVERNOR GRAMLEY SAY WE’RE IN SERIOUS ECONOMIC CRISIS, IN RECESSION WITH ECONOMIC WEAKNESS SUFFICIENT TO MUTE DEMAND/SHARPER PRICE INCREASES, AND COMPARES ECONOMY TO CANCER PATIENT UNDERGOING NECESSARY CHEMOTHERAPY…..RIIIIIGHT….., FED HAS USED EMERGENCY POWERS NOT USED SINCE THE GREAT DEPRESSION BUT CAN’T RELY SOLELY ON THE FED. ANOTHER ANALYST TALKS IN TERMS OF TRADING ON A DAY-TO-DAY BASIS (FACT-THERE ARE HISTORICALLY VERY FEW SUCCESSFUL TRADERS), BELIEVES FED WENT TOO FAR WITH RATE CUT AND SEES SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM WITH INFLATION, THUMBS UP FOR METALS/OIL AND LARGE CAP TECH WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS, BUT FURTHER CAUTIONS OWING TO NEGATIVE REAL INTEREST RATES (RATES LESS THAN INFLATION, RISK, ECONOMIC FACTORS/PREMIUMS). FINALLY, THINGS ARE SO HUNKY DORY THAT AS REPORTED BY CONTINENTAL COIN AND JEWELRY PEOPLE ARE PULLING THEIR TEETH, EXTRACTING AND SELLING THE GOLD. LOVELY!  3-17-08 LUNATIC/FRAUDS 200+ point computerized BUY PROGRAM suckers’ bear market/short-covering rally to the upside based upon nothing whatsoever that hasn’t already been discounted (ie., more rate cuts by fed in panic mode, etc.). I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION FELL A GREATER THAN EXPECTED ONE-HALF OF 1%. ONE ANALYST CITES NEW LOWS FOR DOLLAR AND SUBSTANTIAL MOVE BY FED ALREADY DISCOUNTED (.75%). ANOTHER ANALYST CITES WEAKER DOLLAR AND SLOWER ECONOMY IMPACTING DEMAND (IE., FOR GOODS, ETC., AND HENCE, COMMODITY PRICES, HENCE LOWER OIL PRICE THIS DAY), CITES THIS DAYS SHORT-COVERING RALLY AND RECOMEMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND OVERSEAS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (UTILITIES, ETC.). YET aNOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST CITES BUSINESS MODELS COMPARABLE TO BEAR STEARNS IN FINANCIAL SECTOR(PROBLEMS WITH HEDGE FUNDS/INVESTMENT BANKS) WHICH HAS PROVEN INABILITY TO MANAGE THEIR OWN AFFAIRS SAYING DEREGULATION A DISASTER AND REREGULATION A CURE, NO END TO FALL IN DOLLAR AS US BECOMES WORLD’S BEGGAR, AND RECOMMENDS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (IE., EURO, SWISS FRANC, ETC., AND EMERGING FAR EAST MARKETS). aNOTHER MORE CALIFORNIA/SENILE, ANALYST/BROKER WHO LIKE OTHERS HAVE LOST SUBSTANTIAL MONIES FOR CLIENTS CITES LACK OF OF TRANSPARENCY AS VALUE OF HIS BUYS AND HOLDS CONTINUES TO FALL WITH DOLLAR BUT TALKS SOME SPECULATIVE BUYS AND CASH. A FINANCIAL TIMES EDITOR SAYS NO BOTTOM YET, THAT BY HISTORICAL STANDARDS THE SCENARIO IS QUITE BAD FOR THE US, THAT BEAR STEARNS WAS NOT ALONE AMONG US FIRMS IN THEIR PROBLEMS, THAT THE MARKET IS EXPECTING 1% PANIC CUT BY FED, AND THAT THE US ECONOMY IS IN DEEP TROUBLE. 3-14-08 early surge based on false benign inflation report (showing no change in retail inflation) from the government gives way to reality that they can’t cover up/lie about (despite intra-day suckers rally) when there is a run on large wall street investment bank bear stearns (first such since the great depression) which cites liquidity crisis as ny fed and jp morgan intervene with 28 day loan as bear is holding high risk (worthless) assets which are illiquid (thinly traded/can’t be sold) as reserves (they are not alone in this regard among the frauds on wallstreet, etc., and only 2 days ago bear said balance sheet stable), all time lows for the dollar, wsj reports majority of economists think we’re in recession, michigan (non-washington non-fed gov’t report) sentiment index at new 16 year low. One ANALYST SAYS DOLLAR WEAKNESS/LOWER YIELDS/ECONOMIC CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE DOWNWARD TREND, INFLATION REPORT SURPRISE/FOOLISH AND HIGHER INFLATION NUMBER FOR MARCH, CRESCENDO OF BAD NEWS IN COMING WEEK AND LOOK FOR NEW LOWS/BOTTOM(?). OIL ANALYST CITES WEAK DOLLAR/EASY MONEY FLOWS AND SAYS LOOK FOR OIL AT $120-$125. ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ITS TOO LATE FOR FED TO TURN THIS WRITEDOWN/SUBPRIME/ECONOMIC DOWNTURN AROUND WITH BEAR ANOTHER $35-$70 BILLION BAD AND WHAT AFTER 28 DAY LOAN-EXPECT TAKEOVER/NO MORE BEAR STEARNS.  3-13-08 SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T ALONE (NOTHING WHATSOEVER) AS STANDARD AND POORS ANALYST SAYS THE END OF WRITEDOWNS MIGHT (BUT NOT QUITE) BE IN SIGHT  (WHICH IS LIKE THAT BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYING HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP)…RIIIIIGHT….. WHICH IS MEANINGLESS COMING FROM STANDARD AND POORS WHICH SHOULD BE ACCOUNTABLE/LIABLE (FOR THIS FRAUD) ALONG WITH THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET, ETC., FOR THE TRIPLE A RATED SECURITIES ON THE BOOKS WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE IN FACT NOT TRIPLE A (WORTHLESS JUNK BONDS, ASSETS, ETC.) SPURRING 200+ POINT SWING TO THE UPSIDE. VAST MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION (EVEN DESPITE ELECTION YEAR GIMMICKS-AS GOOD AS GETS). RETAIL SALES DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED .6%, FORECLOSURES UP 60% YEAR OVER YEAR, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. ONE ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED UNEMPLOYMENT/EMPLOYMENT WEAKNESS, PREMATURE TO SAY AS DID S&P THAT WE’RE NEAR END OF WRITEDOWNS, MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION, HOUSING DOWNTURN MUCH FURTHER TO GO, VERY DEFENSIVE AS STOCKS CONTINUE TO HIT NEW LOWS IN LARGE NUMBERS, WORST OF HOUSING CRISIS AHEAD, AND THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSION ECONOMY. ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS U.S. CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS, LACK OF TRUST IN U.S. FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AND TRIPLE A RATINGS (BONDS, ETC., WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE NOT), BANKS’ NEED FOR RECAPITALIZATION, LOW SAVINGS (IE., CONSUMERS USING IE., GIFT CARDS FOR GROCERIES, ETC.), FED LOSING CREDIBILITY BY FLIP-FLOPS/WRONG MOVES, AND SEES ONLY SHORT-COVERING RALLIES AT BEST. VENEZUELA SHIFT TO PAYMENT IN EUROS FOR OIL OUT OF DOLLARS. YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST SAYS WITH MONEY SUPPLY INCREASING AT EXORBITANT 27% PER ANNUM, CITING ECONOMIST FRIEDMAN SAYS HYPER-INFLATIONARY (CONTRARY TO LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMISTS WHO THIS DAY SEE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS REAL ESTATE DOWN 17.6%, SALES DOWN 40-45%, AND MEDIAN HOME PRICES DOWN $100,000, AND BUDGET DEFICITS ACROSS THE BOARD). 3-12-08 VERY MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY ON PANICKY FED KNEE JERK FUNNY MONEY ACTION, ONE ANALYST/BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYS HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP…..RIIIIIGHT…..REFERENCES THAT THIS IS WORST R.E. DOWNTURN IN 100 YEARS AND NO BOTTOM YET IN R.E. AND WSJ SAYS WORSE TO COME IN BAD PAPER (WRITEDOWNS, ETC.), AN OIL ANALYST SAYS RECORD HIGH OIL PRICES ARE HEDGE AGAINST FALLING DOLLAR WITH A LOT OF DOLLARS RELATIVE TO GOODS (AS IE., OIL, OTHER COMMODITIES, ETC.-HYPERINFLATION) AND IF YOU HOLD DOLLARS/DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/SECURITIES YOU LOSE VALUE AND SEES $4.00 GAS NATIONWIDE WITH RECORD DIESEL, WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THAT SEEING FED GO FROM LENDER OF LAST RESORT TO LENDER (PRINTER) OF FIRST RESORT IS WORRISOME/TROUBLESOME.  3-11-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant new EPHEMERAL bubble  rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO ADD $200 BILLION IN WORLDWIDE LIQUIDITY BY TEMPORARILY REPLACING (28 DAYS) ONE TYPE OF FUNNY-MONEY (WORTHLESS SUBPRIME COLLATERALIZED DEBT) WITH ANOTHER LONGER TERM WORTHLESS FUNNY-MONEY (U.S. DEBT WHICH CAN’T BE PAID BACK) WHICH IS A GREAT B.S. TALKING POINT BUT JUST A DROP IN THE BUCKET CONSIDERING THE MAGNITUDE OF THE UNDISCLOSED WRITEDOWNS/WORTHLESS PAPER BEING HELD(AND, CURING A BUBBLE WITH A NEW BUBBLE-I DON'T THINK SO), ONE ANALYST POINTS TO THE HYPERINFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF TOO MUCH LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS AND MORE BAD NEWS TO COME IN TECH SECTOR AND EARNINGS ALONG WITH MORE WRITEOFFS/WRITEDOWNS WITH WORSE TO COME/NO BOTTOM YET AND HE REMAINS A BEAR, LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMIST SAYS BAD BUT NOT TECHNICALLY RECESSION BASED ON GOVERNMENT ELECTION-YEAR DATA (ONLY NUTS AND NUTS FROM THE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS BELIEVE SAME) WHILE TWO OTHER ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS/HIGH INFLATION/LOWER DOLLAR AS FOREIGNERS/INVESTORS GET OUT OF WORTHLESS DOLLAR WITH BIG TROUBLE FOR U.S. POST-ELECTION AS REALITY SETS IN, TRADE GAP WIDENED, AND SMART MONEY WOULD SELL THIS RALLY/TAKE PROFITS. 3-10-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, NEW BANK DOWNGRADES, MORGAN SLASHES EARNINGS ESTIMATES FOR S&P AND SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, EVEN MORE ECONOMISTS NOW SAY THE OBVIOUS/RECESSION, RUMOR THAT BEAR STERNS WITH SUBSTANTIAL LIQUIDITY ISSUES IS GOING UNDER, DOLLAR DOWN, EARNINGS ESTIMATES CUT ON CITIBANK AND BANKOFAMERICA, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) HIGH ENERGY AND FOOD PRICES (CONVENIENTLY LEFT OUT OF THE FED’S “TOUTED” CORE RATE) ARE SQUEEZING THE CONSUMER (AND HENCE, CONSUMPTION/65% OF GDP) AND THAT COMMODITIES A BUBBLE AND MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS/POSITVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO WEAKER DOLLAR PREFERRED, AN OIL ANALYST SAYS $200 OIL POSSIBLE (REITERATING GOLDMAN) WITH CONTINUED WEAKENING OF DOLLAR, ANOTHER ANALYST/JOURNALIST SAYS SELL DOLLAR DENOMINATED STOCKS/SECURITIES/ASSETS WHICH HAVE MUCH FURTHER TO FALL AND REITERATES AS DID BARRON’S THAT MORTGAGE INSURERS HAVE OVER $5 TRILLION IN DEBT/EXPOSURE AND THAT MANY OF THE NATIONS BANKS ARE ALREADY INSOLVENT SO GET OUT OF THE DOLLAR AND U.S. STOCKS.  3-7-08 BAD EMPLOYMENT/JOBS DATA across ALL SECTORS AS 63,000 JOBS LOST WITH DOWNWARD REVISIONS TO DECEMBER AND JANUARY (ACTUALLY LOST 20,000) JOBS NUMBERS, ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN A RECESSION WHILE MORE ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH ONE STATING THAT YOU ALMOST NEVER SEE BACK-TO-BACK MONTHLY DECLINE IN EMPLOYMENT WITHOUT RECESSION AS NOW, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, CONSUMERS INCREASED BORROWING TO STAY AFLOAT, WASHINGTON MUTUAL FURTHER DOWNGRADES, SUPPORT LEVELS BROKEN TO THE DOWNSIDE, sentiment- 85% believe things will get worse.  3-6-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. 23% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES IN FOURTH QUARTER NEW RECORD HIGH, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, 10% OF HOMES WITH 0 OR NEGATIVE EQUITY, MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION SAYS HOME FORECLOSURES AT ALL-TIME HIGH AND GOING HIGHER, ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ROUGH YEAR AHEAD WITH FORECLOSURES AND DEFAULTS UP, ONE ANALYST SAYS MARKET WILL TEST NEW LOWS/SUPPORT LEVELS WITH FLIGHT TO “QUALITY”/TREASURIES, LENDER THORNBURG DEFAULTS AND ALONG WITH WASHINGTON MUTUAL IS DOWNGRADED, CONTINUING CLAIMS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT AT HIGH LEVELS MEANS COMPANIES SHRINKING, IGNORE KNEE-JERK ELECTION YEAR GOVERNMENT HUNKY DORY FAKE REPORTS. 3-5-08 OIL INVENTORIES LESS THAN EXPECTED, FED BEIGE BOOK CITES ECONOMIC WEAKNESS PARTICULARLY SINCE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, LABOR COSTS ROSE, RISING PRICE PRESSURES/STAGFLATION, RECESSION/BEAR MARKET, ONE ANALYST SAYS TOUGH FIRST HALF RECOMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH 50% OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND CONSUMER STAPLES/HEALTH RELATED/DEFENSIVE STOCKS, AMBAC TO FLOAT STOCK TO SHORE UP BALANCE SHEET TO TUNE OF $1.5 BILLION/DILUTION AND  SHARES FALL $2 TO $8.70, OIL ANALYST CITES DECLINE IN OIL INVENTORIES/DIESEL/JET FUEL AND WEAK DOLLAR AND TOP $108-$110 BUT $120-$130 IF VENEZUELA/COLUMBIA CONFLICT AND MORE RECORD HIGH GAS PRICES TO COME, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DECLINE IN REAL ESTATE/HOUSING WITH STARTS DOWN 15-20-40% ON WELL DESERVED PESSIMISM/CREDIT CRUNCH.  3-4-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, 3-3-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY  INTO THE CLOSE TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING.  (3-25-08) (DOW -16, NASDAQ +14, S&P +3) [CLOSE- OIL $101.22 / GOLD $935 / SILVER $17.80 / PLATINUM $1,985.90 / DOLLAR= .639 EURO, 99.85 YEN, .498 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/ 10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.51%]. I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY (TAKE PROFITS). REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts/reporters/journalists bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-24-08) (DOW +187, NASDAQ +68, S&P +20) [CLOSE- OIL $100.86 / GOLD $918.70 / SILVER $17.11 / PLATINUM $1,889 / DOLLAR= .64 EURO, 100 YEN, .50 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/ 10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.55%]. GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT-COVERING RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T AND NO REAL ECONOMIC NEWS AS WALL STREET FRAUDS IN LAST DITCH EFFORT TO WINDOW DRESS REALISTICALLY DISMAL FIRST QUARTER NUMBERS TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND COMPUTERIZED PROGRAM TRADE COMMISSION DOLLARS FLOWING. THE ELECTION-YEAR-INDUCED RALLY FAKE NEWS PUSHED BY THE WALL STREET FRAUDS IS A MEAGER TWO-FOLD; VIZ., EXISTING HOME SALES INCREASED (JAN.-FEB.) 2.9% EXCEEDING SUBSTANTIALLY ECONOMISTS’ PREDICTIONS AND J.P. MORGAN WILLING TO PAY $10 INSTEAD OF $2 PER SHARE FOR FAILED INVESTMENT BANK BEAR STEARNS. REALITY: INCREASED SALES DUE TO INCREASED FORECLOSURE SALES; PRICES DOWN 8.2%; MEDIAN HOME PRICE FELL MOST EVER ON RECORD; INCREASED BEAR MONEY TO PLACATE SHAREHOLDERS DESPERATE MOVE TO KEEP WORTHLESS SECURITIES FROM BEING DUMPED IN MARKET WHERE SAME CAN’T BE SOLD AND WHERE SUCH WOULD RESULT IN OTHER SUCH BEING MARKED TO MARKET (PENNIES ON A DOLLAR). ONE ANALYST SAYS NOTHING FUNDAMENTALLY HAS CHANGED, DAY TO DAY TRADING ON DAY’S NEWS AND TODAY A HAPPY (NON) NEWS DAY…RIIIIIGHT…AND RECOMMENDS FOR PROTECTION NON-U.S. ASSETS/SECURITIES, METALS, AND BIG CAP TECH/MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION). AN ECONOMIST SAYS THE FED’S CONFUSING DEAL PROTECTS ITS OWN MONEY BY ESSENTIALLY PROVIDING A “BRIDGE LOAN” TO PREVENT THE WORTHLESS SECURITIES FROM BEING DUMPED WHERE THERE IS NO MARKET FOR SAME CAUSING FURTHER WRITEDOWNS across THE BOARD ON MARK TO MARKET. ANOTHER ANALYST EMPHASIZES DISFUNCTIONAL BANKING/CONTINUED WRITEDOWNS/LOSSES/BALANCE SHEET PROBLEMS FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS/WE’VE NOT SEEN THE BOTTOM, IN RECOMMENDING TAKING SOME PROFITS WITH ELECTION YEAR STIMULUS CREATING INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS, THOUGH STILL IN BEAR MARKET THE REAL DECLINE AND REAL RECESSION (WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION) TO COME POST ELECTION/2009 AND THE INTERMEDIATE TERM IS VERY SCARY. ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ONE THIRD OF EXISTING HOME SALES WERE FORECLOSURES WITH OVERSUPPLY OF PROPERTIES WHICH WILL TAKE A LONG TIME TO WORK OUT WHILE ANOTHER r.e. ANALYST SAYS YEARS TO WORK OUT WITH ONLY LIMITED IMPROVEMENT LATE 2009.  3-20-08 FULL MOON WITH OBVIOUS EFFECT ON LUNATIC WALL STREET FRAUDS. SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT-COVERING RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T  AND EXCEEDINGLY BAD ECONOMIC NEWS VIZ., UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS UP MUCH MORE THAN EXPECTED 22,000 TO HIGH 378,000, CREDIT SWISSE TO REVISE PREVIOUS YEARS PROFITS DOWN ON FURTHER WRITEDOWNS, PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN,  AND LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN FOR FIFTH MONTH IN A ROW WHICH HAS ALWAYS SIGNALED/INDICATED/PRECEDED ECONOMIC DOWNTURN/CONTRACTION/RECESSION. ONE SOMEWHAT SENILE ANALYST WELCOMED THE MASSIVE AMOUNT OF FAKE/FIAT/PRINTED MONEY SAYING THE FINANCIALS WHICH HAVE LAGGED THE MARKET BY 20% WILL BE HELPED/INFLATED OUT OF THEIR DOLDRUMS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) BY SAME WHICH HE LIKES BECAUSE HE’S HEAVILY CONCENTRATED IN FINANCIALS (GREAT CALL) AND THAT THE MONEY HASN’T SHOWN UP YET BUT FAILS TO REALIZE THE U.S. HAS NEVER BEEN IN SUCH DIRE CIRCUMSTANCES ECONOMICALLY, FINANCIALLY, AND GEOPOLITICALLY AS NOW. A MORE RATIONAL VIEW BY ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER SAID STIMULUS THUS FAR TREATS SYMPTOMS WITH MERE BANDAIDS WHICH FAIL TO ADDRESS/CURE THE PROBLEM/CAUSE/DISEASE AND IS RATHER SIMPLISTIC TO A FAULT IN FOCUSING SOLELY ON HOUSING/REAL ESTATE VALUES ALTHOUGH CORRECTLY STATES THAT EASIER MONEY WILL NOT ENHANCE THE VALUE OF MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES WHICH REMAIN INDETERMINANT, DOWN, OR GOING DOWN AND ADVOCATES DEPRESSION ERA APPROACH SINCE HE CORRECTLY STATES  ECONOMY HAS ALREADY (DECEMBER, 2007 OR JANUARY, 2008) ENTERED THE WORST RECESSION OF THE POST-WAR ERA (DESPITE ELECTION YEAR SPIN). ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THIS IS A SHORT-COVERING RALLY AND AN OPPORTUNITY TO SELL/TAKE PROFITS (i TOTALLY AGREE), THAT THE FED DESPERATION MOVES INCLUDING PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD  HAVE LED TO A DEBASEMENT OF THE U.S. CURRENCY AND THAT THE DOLLAR WILL CONTINUE TO GO LOWER, THAT TRILLIONS HAVE BEEN BORROWED BUT THAT THEY WILL BE UNSUCCESSFUL IN REINFLATING THE BUBBLE, THAT THE FINANCIAL CRISIS IS NO WHERE NEAR BEING OVER WITH MUCH MORE CARNAGE TO COME, AND RECOMMENDS BEING TOTALLY OUT OF THE DOLLAR INCLUDING DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES AND INTO OTHER FOREIGN CURRENCIES/SECURITIES.  3-19-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY.  I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). morgan stanley earnings down 40% but better than expected…..riiiiight…..on computerized bond/stock trading commissions. merrill lynch says more loan losses. one analyst says not much optimism regarding fed moves, deepening fears about economy, wall street stuck with a lot of stuff (ie., junk bonds, junk securities, junk derivatives, subprime mortgages, etc.) which can’t be sold except at firesale prices, avoid equities particularly small/midcaps, raise cash (taking profits/selling), looking for confirmation, entered recession in february but with inflation a very tough scenario. an oil analyst says commodity bubble bursting with profit-taking/path of least resistance but still record diesel at $4.21, record home heating oil $3.80 so wait and see. another analyst says emerging markets attractive relative to developed citing p/e multiple comparison but no save haven and points to further weakness in dollar relative to other currencies. metals analyst says rate cut less than expected and etfs (and computerized trading thereof) has propped demand.  3-18-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant bubble rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). WHOLESALE/PRODUCER PRICES UP MORE THAN EXPECTED .3% WITH CORE RATE UP .5%. HOUSING STARTS DOWN 36% TO LOWEST LEVEL IN 17 YEARS. SHARPLY (MORE THAN 50%) LOWER EARNINGS AT GOLDMAN AND LEHMAN RALLIES THEIR STOCKS WITH FAMILIAR MANTRA ‘NOT AS BAD AS EXPECTED’…..RIIIIIGHT! DOLLAR DOWN AGAINST MOST CURRENCIES ON .75% PANIC CUT IN FED FUNDS RATE TO 2.25%. ONE ANALYST POINTS TO STRENGTH BY SECTOR, VIZ., FINANCIALS +8% (FOCUS OF THE BAILOUT), SMALL CAPS +5%, EMERGING MARKETS +5%, AND SAYS DOLLAR WILL BE BOTTOMING. AN OIL ANALYST SAYS OIL TO GO HIGHER WITH INFLUX OF SPECULATIVE NEW MONEY FROM RATE CUT. FORMER FED GOVERNOR GRAMLEY SAY WE’RE IN SERIOUS ECONOMIC CRISIS, IN RECESSION WITH ECONOMIC WEAKNESS SUFFICIENT TO MUTE DEMAND/SHARPER PRICE INCREASES, AND COMPARES ECONOMY TO CANCER PATIENT UNDERGOING NECESSARY CHEMOTHERAPY…..RIIIIIGHT….., FED HAS USED EMERGENCY POWERS NOT USED SINCE THE GREAT DEPRESSION BUT CAN’T RELY SOLELY ON THE FED. ANOTHER ANALYST TALKS IN TERMS OF TRADING ON A DAY-TO-DAY BASIS (FACT-THERE ARE HISTORICALLY VERY FEW SUCCESSFUL TRADERS), BELIEVES FED WENT TOO FAR WITH RATE CUT AND SEES SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM WITH INFLATION, THUMBS UP FOR METALS/OIL AND LARGE CAP TECH WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS, BUT FURTHER CAUTIONS OWING TO NEGATIVE REAL INTEREST RATES (RATES LESS THAN INFLATION, RISK, ECONOMIC FACTORS/PREMIUMS). FINALLY, THINGS ARE SO HUNKY DORY THAT AS REPORTED BY CONTINENTAL COIN AND JEWELRY PEOPLE ARE PULLING THEIR TEETH, EXTRACTING AND SELLING THE GOLD. LOVELY!  3-17-08 LUNATIC/FRAUDS 200+ point computerized BUY PROGRAM suckers’ bear market/short-covering rally to the upside based upon nothing whatsoever that hasn’t already been discounted (ie., more rate cuts by fed in panic mode, etc.). I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION FELL A GREATER THAN EXPECTED ONE-HALF OF 1%. ONE ANALYST CITES NEW LOWS FOR DOLLAR AND SUBSTANTIAL MOVE BY FED ALREADY DISCOUNTED (.75%). ANOTHER ANALYST CITES WEAKER DOLLAR AND SLOWER ECONOMY IMPACTING DEMAND (IE., FOR GOODS, ETC., AND HENCE, COMMODITY PRICES, HENCE LOWER OIL PRICE THIS DAY), CITES THIS DAYS SHORT-COVERING RALLY AND RECOMEMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND OVERSEAS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (UTILITIES, ETC.). YET aNOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST CITES BUSINESS MODELS COMPARABLE TO BEAR STEARNS IN FINANCIAL SECTOR(PROBLEMS WITH HEDGE FUNDS/INVESTMENT BANKS) WHICH HAS PROVEN INABILITY TO MANAGE THEIR OWN AFFAIRS SAYING DEREGULATION A DISASTER AND REREGULATION A CURE, NO END TO FALL IN DOLLAR AS US BECOMES WORLD’S BEGGAR, AND RECOMMENDS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (IE., EURO, SWISS FRANC, ETC., AND EMERGING FAR EAST MARKETS). aNOTHER MORE CALIFORNIA/SENILE, ANALYST/BROKER WHO LIKE OTHERS HAVE LOST SUBSTANTIAL MONIES FOR CLIENTS CITES LACK OF OF TRANSPARENCY AS VALUE OF HIS BUYS AND HOLDS CONTINUES TO FALL WITH DOLLAR BUT TALKS SOME SPECULATIVE BUYS AND CASH. A FINANCIAL TIMES EDITOR SAYS NO BOTTOM YET, THAT BY HISTORICAL STANDARDS THE SCENARIO IS QUITE BAD FOR THE US, THAT BEAR STEARNS WAS NOT ALONE AMONG US FIRMS IN THEIR PROBLEMS, THAT THE MARKET IS EXPECTING 1% PANIC CUT BY FED, AND THAT THE US ECONOMY IS IN DEEP TROUBLE. 3-14-08 early surge based on false benign inflation report (showing no change in retail inflation) from the government gives way to reality that they can’t cover up/lie about (despite intra-day suckers rally) when there is a run on large wall street investment bank bear stearns (first such since the great depression) which cites liquidity crisis as ny fed and jp morgan intervene with 28 day loan as bear is holding high risk (worthless) assets which are illiquid (thinly traded/can’t be sold) as reserves (they are not alone in this regard among the frauds on wallstreet, etc., and only 2 days ago bear said balance sheet stable), all time lows for the dollar, wsj reports majority of economists think we’re in recession, michigan (non-washington non-fed gov’t report) sentiment index at new 16 year low. One ANALYST SAYS DOLLAR WEAKNESS/LOWER YIELDS/ECONOMIC CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE DOWNWARD TREND, INFLATION REPORT SURPRISE/FOOLISH AND HIGHER INFLATION NUMBER FOR MARCH, CRESCENDO OF BAD NEWS IN COMING WEEK AND LOOK FOR NEW LOWS/BOTTOM(?). OIL ANALYST CITES WEAK DOLLAR/EASY MONEY FLOWS AND SAYS LOOK FOR OIL AT $120-$125. ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ITS TOO LATE FOR FED TO TURN THIS WRITEDOWN/SUBPRIME/ECONOMIC DOWNTURN AROUND WITH BEAR ANOTHER $35-$70 BILLION BAD AND WHAT AFTER 28 DAY LOAN-EXPECT TAKEOVER/NO MORE BEAR STEARNS.  3-13-08 SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T ALONE (NOTHING WHATSOEVER) AS STANDARD AND POORS ANALYST SAYS THE END OF WRITEDOWNS MIGHT (BUT NOT QUITE) BE IN SIGHT  (WHICH IS LIKE THAT BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYING HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP)…RIIIIIGHT….. WHICH IS MEANINGLESS COMING FROM STANDARD AND POORS WHICH SHOULD BE ACCOUNTABLE/LIABLE (FOR THIS FRAUD) ALONG WITH THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET, ETC., FOR THE TRIPLE A RATED SECURITIES ON THE BOOKS WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE IN FACT NOT TRIPLE A (WORTHLESS JUNK BONDS, ASSETS, ETC.) SPURRING 200+ POINT SWING TO THE UPSIDE. VAST MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION (EVEN DESPITE ELECTION YEAR GIMMICKS-AS GOOD AS GETS). RETAIL SALES DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED .6%, FORECLOSURES UP 60% YEAR OVER YEAR, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. ONE ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED UNEMPLOYMENT/EMPLOYMENT WEAKNESS, PREMATURE TO SAY AS DID S&P THAT WE’RE NEAR END OF WRITEDOWNS, MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION, HOUSING DOWNTURN MUCH FURTHER TO GO, VERY DEFENSIVE AS STOCKS CONTINUE TO HIT NEW LOWS IN LARGE NUMBERS, WORST OF HOUSING CRISIS AHEAD, AND THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSION ECONOMY. ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS U.S. CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS, LACK OF TRUST IN U.S. FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AND TRIPLE A RATINGS (BONDS, ETC., WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE NOT), BANKS’ NEED FOR RECAPITALIZATION, LOW SAVINGS (IE., CONSUMERS USING IE., GIFT CARDS FOR GROCERIES, ETC.), FED LOSING CREDIBILITY BY FLIP-FLOPS/WRONG MOVES, AND SEES ONLY SHORT-COVERING RALLIES AT BEST. VENEZUELA SHIFT TO PAYMENT IN EUROS FOR OIL OUT OF DOLLARS. YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST SAYS WITH MONEY SUPPLY INCREASING AT EXORBITANT 27% PER ANNUM, CITING ECONOMIST FRIEDMAN SAYS HYPER-INFLATIONARY (CONTRARY TO LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMISTS WHO THIS DAY SEE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS REAL ESTATE DOWN 17.6%, SALES DOWN 40-45%, AND MEDIAN HOME PRICES DOWN $100,000, AND BUDGET DEFICITS ACROSS THE BOARD). 3-12-08 VERY MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY ON PANICKY FED KNEE JERK FUNNY MONEY ACTION, ONE ANALYST/BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYS HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP…..RIIIIIGHT…..REFERENCES THAT THIS IS WORST R.E. DOWNTURN IN 100 YEARS AND NO BOTTOM YET IN R.E. AND WSJ SAYS WORSE TO COME IN BAD PAPER (WRITEDOWNS, ETC.), AN OIL ANALYST SAYS RECORD HIGH OIL PRICES ARE HEDGE AGAINST FALLING DOLLAR WITH A LOT OF DOLLARS RELATIVE TO GOODS (AS IE., OIL, OTHER COMMODITIES, ETC.-HYPERINFLATION) AND IF YOU HOLD DOLLARS/DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/SECURITIES YOU LOSE VALUE AND SEES $4.00 GAS NATIONWIDE WITH RECORD DIESEL, WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THAT SEEING FED GO FROM LENDER OF LAST RESORT TO LENDER (PRINTER) OF FIRST RESORT IS WORRISOME/TROUBLESOME.  3-11-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant new EPHEMERAL bubble  rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO ADD $200 BILLION IN WORLDWIDE LIQUIDITY BY TEMPORARILY REPLACING (28 DAYS) ONE TYPE OF FUNNY-MONEY (WORTHLESS SUBPRIME COLLATERALIZED DEBT) WITH ANOTHER LONGER TERM WORTHLESS FUNNY-MONEY (U.S. DEBT WHICH CAN’T BE PAID BACK) WHICH IS A GREAT B.S. TALKING POINT BUT JUST A DROP IN THE BUCKET CONSIDERING THE MAGNITUDE OF THE UNDISCLOSED WRITEDOWNS/WORTHLESS PAPER BEING HELD(AND, CURING A BUBBLE WITH A NEW BUBBLE-I DON'T THINK SO), ONE ANALYST POINTS TO THE HYPERINFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF TOO MUCH LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS AND MORE BAD NEWS TO COME IN TECH SECTOR AND EARNINGS ALONG WITH MORE WRITEOFFS/WRITEDOWNS WITH WORSE TO COME/NO BOTTOM YET AND HE REMAINS A BEAR, LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMIST SAYS BAD BUT NOT TECHNICALLY RECESSION BASED ON GOVERNMENT ELECTION-YEAR DATA (ONLY NUTS AND NUTS FROM THE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS BELIEVE SAME) WHILE TWO OTHER ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS/HIGH INFLATION/LOWER DOLLAR AS FOREIGNERS/INVESTORS GET OUT OF WORTHLESS DOLLAR WITH BIG TROUBLE FOR U.S. POST-ELECTION AS REALITY SETS IN, TRADE GAP WIDENED, AND SMART MONEY WOULD SELL THIS RALLY/TAKE PROFITS. 3-10-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, NEW BANK DOWNGRADES, MORGAN SLASHES EARNINGS ESTIMATES FOR S&P AND SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, EVEN MORE ECONOMISTS NOW SAY THE OBVIOUS/RECESSION, RUMOR THAT BEAR STERNS WITH SUBSTANTIAL LIQUIDITY ISSUES IS GOING UNDER, DOLLAR DOWN, EARNINGS ESTIMATES CUT ON CITIBANK AND BANKOFAMERICA, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) HIGH ENERGY AND FOOD PRICES (CONVENIENTLY LEFT OUT OF THE FED’S “TOUTED” CORE RATE) ARE SQUEEZING THE CONSUMER (AND HENCE, CONSUMPTION/65% OF GDP) AND THAT COMMODITIES A BUBBLE AND MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS/POSITVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO WEAKER DOLLAR PREFERRED, AN OIL ANALYST SAYS $200 OIL POSSIBLE (REITERATING GOLDMAN) WITH CONTINUED WEAKENING OF DOLLAR, ANOTHER ANALYST/JOURNALIST SAYS SELL DOLLAR DENOMINATED STOCKS/SECURITIES/ASSETS WHICH HAVE MUCH FURTHER TO FALL AND REITERATES AS DID BARRON’S THAT MORTGAGE INSURERS HAVE OVER $5 TRILLION IN DEBT/EXPOSURE AND THAT MANY OF THE NATIONS BANKS ARE ALREADY INSOLVENT SO GET OUT OF THE DOLLAR AND U.S. STOCKS.  3-7-08 BAD EMPLOYMENT/JOBS DATA across ALL SECTORS AS 63,000 JOBS LOST WITH DOWNWARD REVISIONS TO DECEMBER AND JANUARY (ACTUALLY LOST 20,000) JOBS NUMBERS, ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN A RECESSION WHILE MORE ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH ONE STATING THAT YOU ALMOST NEVER SEE BACK-TO-BACK MONTHLY DECLINE IN EMPLOYMENT WITHOUT RECESSION AS NOW, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, CONSUMERS INCREASED BORROWING TO STAY AFLOAT, WASHINGTON MUTUAL FURTHER DOWNGRADES, SUPPORT LEVELS BROKEN TO THE DOWNSIDE, sentiment- 85% believe things will get worse.  3-6-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. 23% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES IN FOURTH QUARTER NEW RECORD HIGH, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, 10% OF HOMES WITH 0 OR NEGATIVE EQUITY, MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION SAYS HOME FORECLOSURES AT ALL-TIME HIGH AND GOING HIGHER, ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ROUGH YEAR AHEAD WITH FORECLOSURES AND DEFAULTS UP, ONE ANALYST SAYS MARKET WILL TEST NEW LOWS/SUPPORT LEVELS WITH FLIGHT TO “QUALITY”/TREASURIES, LENDER THORNBURG DEFAULTS AND ALONG WITH WASHINGTON MUTUAL IS DOWNGRADED, CONTINUING CLAIMS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT AT HIGH LEVELS MEANS COMPANIES SHRINKING, IGNORE KNEE-JERK ELECTION YEAR GOVERNMENT HUNKY DORY FAKE REPORTS. 3-5-08 OIL INVENTORIES LESS THAN EXPECTED, FED BEIGE BOOK CITES ECONOMIC WEAKNESS PARTICULARLY SINCE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, LABOR COSTS ROSE, RISING PRICE PRESSURES/STAGFLATION, RECESSION/BEAR MARKET, ONE ANALYST SAYS TOUGH FIRST HALF RECOMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH 50% OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND CONSUMER STAPLES/HEALTH RELATED/DEFENSIVE STOCKS, AMBAC TO FLOAT STOCK TO SHORE UP BALANCE SHEET TO TUNE OF $1.5 BILLION/DILUTION AND  SHARES FALL $2 TO $8.70, OIL ANALYST CITES DECLINE IN OIL INVENTORIES/DIESEL/JET FUEL AND WEAK DOLLAR AND TOP $108-$110 BUT $120-$130 IF VENEZUELA/COLUMBIA CONFLICT AND MORE RECORD HIGH GAS PRICES TO COME, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DECLINE IN REAL ESTATE/HOUSING WITH STARTS DOWN 15-20-40% ON WELL DESERVED PESSIMISM/CREDIT CRUNCH.  3-4-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, 3-3-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT-COVERING RALLY  TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING.  (3-24-08) (DOW +187, NASDAQ +68, S&P +20) [CLOSE- OIL $100.86 / GOLD $918.70 / SILVER $17.11 / PLATINUM $1,889 / DOLLAR= .64 EURO, 100 YEN, .50 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/ 10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.55%]. I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT-COVERING RALLY (TAKE PROFITS). REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts/reporters/journalists bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-20-08) (DOW +262, NASDAQ +48, S&P +31) [CLOSE- OIL $101.84 / GOLD $920 / SILVER $16.85 / PLATINUM $1,877.30 / DOLLAR AT 1.54 AGAINST EURO, 98 YEN, 1.98 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)]. FULL MOON WITH OBVIOUS EFFECT ON LUNATIC WALL STREET FRAUDS. SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT-COVERING RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T  AND EXCEEDINGLY BAD ECONOMIC NEWS VIZ., UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS UP MUCH MORE THAN EXPECTED 22,000 TO HIGH 378,000, CREDIT SWISSE TO REVISE PREVIOUS YEARS PROFITS DOWN ON FURTHER WRITEDOWNS, PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN,  AND LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN FOR FIFTH MONTH IN A ROW WHICH HAS ALWAYS SIGNALED/INDICATED/PRECEDED ECONOMIC DOWNTURN/CONTRACTION/RECESSION. ONE SOMEWHAT SENILE ANALYST WELCOMED THE MASSIVE AMOUNT OF FAKE/FIAT/PRINTED MONEY SAYING THE FINANCIALS WHICH HAVE LAGGED THE MARKET BY 20% WILL BE HELPED/INFLATED OUT OF THEIR DOLDRUMS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) BY SAME WHICH HE LIKES BECAUSE HE’S HEAVILY CONCENTRATED IN FINANCIALS (GREAT CALL) AND THAT THE MONEY HASN’T SHOWN UP YET BUT FAILS TO REALIZE THE U.S. HAS NEVER BEEN IN SUCH DIRE CIRCUMSTANCES ECONOMICALLY, FINANCIALLY, AND GEOPOLITICALLY AS NOW. A MORE RATIONAL VIEW BY ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER SAID STIMULUS THUS FAR TREATS SYMPTOMS WITH MERE BANDAIDS WHICH FAIL TO ADDRESS/CURE THE PROBLEM/CAUSE/DISEASE AND IS RATHER SIMPLISTIC TO A FAULT IN FOCUSING SOLELY ON HOUSING/REAL ESTATE VALUES ALTHOUGH CORRECTLY STATES THAT EASIER MONEY WILL NOT ENHANCE THE VALUE OF MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES WHICH REMAIN INDETERMINANT, DOWN, OR GOING DOWN AND ADVOCATES DEPRESSION ERA APPROACH SINCE HE CORRECTLY STATES  ECONOMY HAS ALREADY (DECEMBER, 2007 OR JANUARY, 2008) ENTERED THE WORST RECESSION OF THE POST-WAR ERA (DESPITE ELECTION YEAR SPIN). ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THIS IS A SHORT-COVERING RALLY AND AN OPPORTUNITY TO SELL/TAKE PROFITS (i TOTALLY AGREE), THAT THE FED DESPERATION MOVES INCLUDING PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD  HAVE LED TO A DEBASEMENT OF THE U.S. CURRENCY AND THAT THE DOLLAR WILL CONTINUE TO GO LOWER, THAT TRILLIONS HAVE BEEN BORROWED BUT THAT THEY WILL BE UNSUCCESSFUL IN REINFLATING THE BUBBLE, THAT THE FINANCIAL CRISIS IS NO WHERE NEAR BEING OVER WITH MUCH MORE CARNAGE TO COME, AND RECOMMENDS BEING TOTALLY OUT OF THE DOLLAR INCLUDING DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES AND INTO OTHER FOREIGN CURRENCIES/SECURITIES.  3-19-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY.  I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). morgan stanley earnings down 40% but better than expected…..riiiiight…..on computerized bond/stock trading commissions. merrill lynch says more loan losses. one analyst says not much optimism regarding fed moves, deepening fears about economy, wall street stuck with a lot of stuff (ie., junk bonds, junk securities, junk derivatives, subprime mortgages, etc.) which can’t be sold except at firesale prices, avoid equities particularly small/midcaps, raise cash (taking profits/selling), looking for confirmation, entered recession in february but with inflation a very tough scenario. an oil analyst says commodity bubble bursting with profit-taking/path of least resistance but still record diesel at $4.21, record home heating oil $3.80 so wait and see. another analyst says emerging markets attractive relative to developed citing p/e multiple comparison but no save haven and points to further weakness in dollar relative to other currencies. metals analyst says rate cut less than expected and etfs (and computerized trading thereof) has propped demand.  3-18-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant bubble rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). WHOLESALE/PRODUCER PRICES UP MORE THAN EXPECTED .3% WITH CORE RATE UP .5%. HOUSING STARTS DOWN 36% TO LOWEST LEVEL IN 17 YEARS. SHARPLY (MORE THAN 50%) LOWER EARNINGS AT GOLDMAN AND LEHMAN RALLIES THEIR STOCKS WITH FAMILIAR MANTRA ‘NOT AS BAD AS EXPECTED’…..RIIIIIGHT! DOLLAR DOWN AGAINST MOST CURRENCIES ON .75% PANIC CUT IN FED FUNDS RATE TO 2.25%. ONE ANALYST POINTS TO STRENGTH BY SECTOR, VIZ., FINANCIALS +8% (FOCUS OF THE BAILOUT), SMALL CAPS +5%, EMERGING MARKETS +5%, AND SAYS DOLLAR WILL BE BOTTOMING. AN OIL ANALYST SAYS OIL TO GO HIGHER WITH INFLUX OF SPECULATIVE NEW MONEY FROM RATE CUT. FORMER FED GOVERNOR GRAMLEY SAY WE’RE IN SERIOUS ECONOMIC CRISIS, IN RECESSION WITH ECONOMIC WEAKNESS SUFFICIENT TO MUTE DEMAND/SHARPER PRICE INCREASES, AND COMPARES ECONOMY TO CANCER PATIENT UNDERGOING NECESSARY CHEMOTHERAPY…..RIIIIIGHT….., FED HAS USED EMERGENCY POWERS NOT USED SINCE THE GREAT DEPRESSION BUT CAN’T RELY SOLELY ON THE FED. ANOTHER ANALYST TALKS IN TERMS OF TRADING ON A DAY-TO-DAY BASIS (FACT-THERE ARE HISTORICALLY VERY FEW SUCCESSFUL TRADERS), BELIEVES FED WENT TOO FAR WITH RATE CUT AND SEES SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM WITH INFLATION, THUMBS UP FOR METALS/OIL AND LARGE CAP TECH WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS, BUT FURTHER CAUTIONS OWING TO NEGATIVE REAL INTEREST RATES (RATES LESS THAN INFLATION, RISK, ECONOMIC FACTORS/PREMIUMS). FINALLY, THINGS ARE SO HUNKY DORY THAT AS REPORTED BY CONTINENTAL COIN AND JEWELRY PEOPLE ARE PULLING THEIR TEETH, EXTRACTING AND SELLING THE GOLD. LOVELY!  3-17-08 LUNATIC/FRAUDS 200+ point computerized BUY PROGRAM suckers’ bear market/short-covering rally to the upside based upon nothing whatsoever that hasn’t already been discounted (ie., more rate cuts by fed in panic mode, etc.). I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION FELL A GREATER THAN EXPECTED ONE-HALF OF 1%. ONE ANALYST CITES NEW LOWS FOR DOLLAR AND SUBSTANTIAL MOVE BY FED ALREADY DISCOUNTED (.75%). ANOTHER ANALYST CITES WEAKER DOLLAR AND SLOWER ECONOMY IMPACTING DEMAND (IE., FOR GOODS, ETC., AND HENCE, COMMODITY PRICES, HENCE LOWER OIL PRICE THIS DAY), CITES THIS DAYS SHORT-COVERING RALLY AND RECOMEMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND OVERSEAS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (UTILITIES, ETC.). YET aNOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST CITES BUSINESS MODELS COMPARABLE TO BEAR STEARNS IN FINANCIAL SECTOR(PROBLEMS WITH HEDGE FUNDS/INVESTMENT BANKS) WHICH HAS PROVEN INABILITY TO MANAGE THEIR OWN AFFAIRS SAYING DEREGULATION A DISASTER AND REREGULATION A CURE, NO END TO FALL IN DOLLAR AS US BECOMES WORLD’S BEGGAR, AND RECOMMENDS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (IE., EURO, SWISS FRANC, ETC., AND EMERGING FAR EAST MARKETS). aNOTHER MORE CALIFORNIA/SENILE, ANALYST/BROKER WHO LIKE OTHERS HAVE LOST SUBSTANTIAL MONIES FOR CLIENTS CITES LACK OF OF TRANSPARENCY AS VALUE OF HIS BUYS AND HOLDS CONTINUES TO FALL WITH DOLLAR BUT TALKS SOME SPECULATIVE BUYS AND CASH. A FINANCIAL TIMES EDITOR SAYS NO BOTTOM YET, THAT BY HISTORICAL STANDARDS THE SCENARIO IS QUITE BAD FOR THE US, THAT BEAR STEARNS WAS NOT ALONE AMONG US FIRMS IN THEIR PROBLEMS, THAT THE MARKET IS EXPECTING 1% PANIC CUT BY FED, AND THAT THE US ECONOMY IS IN DEEP TROUBLE. 3-14-08 early surge based on false benign inflation report (showing no change in retail inflation) from the government gives way to reality that they can’t cover up/lie about (despite intra-day suckers rally) when there is a run on large wall street investment bank bear stearns (first such since the great depression) which cites liquidity crisis as ny fed and jp morgan intervene with 28 day loan as bear is holding high risk (worthless) assets which are illiquid (thinly traded/can’t be sold) as reserves (they are not alone in this regard among the frauds on wallstreet, etc., and only 2 days ago bear said balance sheet stable), all time lows for the dollar, wsj reports majority of economists think we’re in recession, michigan (non-washington non-fed gov’t report) sentiment index at new 16 year low. One ANALYST SAYS DOLLAR WEAKNESS/LOWER YIELDS/ECONOMIC CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE DOWNWARD TREND, INFLATION REPORT SURPRISE/FOOLISH AND HIGHER INFLATION NUMBER FOR MARCH, CRESCENDO OF BAD NEWS IN COMING WEEK AND LOOK FOR NEW LOWS/BOTTOM(?). OIL ANALYST CITES WEAK DOLLAR/EASY MONEY FLOWS AND SAYS LOOK FOR OIL AT $120-$125. ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ITS TOO LATE FOR FED TO TURN THIS WRITEDOWN/SUBPRIME/ECONOMIC DOWNTURN AROUND WITH BEAR ANOTHER $35-$70 BILLION BAD AND WHAT AFTER 28 DAY LOAN-EXPECT TAKEOVER/NO MORE BEAR STEARNS.  3-13-08 SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T ALONE (NOTHING WHATSOEVER) AS STANDARD AND POORS ANALYST SAYS THE END OF WRITEDOWNS MIGHT (BUT NOT QUITE) BE IN SIGHT  (WHICH IS LIKE THAT BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYING HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP)…RIIIIIGHT….. WHICH IS MEANINGLESS COMING FROM STANDARD AND POORS WHICH SHOULD BE ACCOUNTABLE/LIABLE (FOR THIS FRAUD) ALONG WITH THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET, ETC., FOR THE TRIPLE A RATED SECURITIES ON THE BOOKS WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE IN FACT NOT TRIPLE A (WORTHLESS JUNK BONDS, ASSETS, ETC.) SPURRING 200+ POINT SWING TO THE UPSIDE. VAST MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION (EVEN DESPITE ELECTION YEAR GIMMICKS-AS GOOD AS GETS). RETAIL SALES DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED .6%, FORECLOSURES UP 60% YEAR OVER YEAR, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. ONE ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED UNEMPLOYMENT/EMPLOYMENT WEAKNESS, PREMATURE TO SAY AS DID S&P THAT WE’RE NEAR END OF WRITEDOWNS, MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION, HOUSING DOWNTURN MUCH FURTHER TO GO, VERY DEFENSIVE AS STOCKS CONTINUE TO HIT NEW LOWS IN LARGE NUMBERS, WORST OF HOUSING CRISIS AHEAD, AND THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSION ECONOMY. ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS U.S. CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS, LACK OF TRUST IN U.S. FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AND TRIPLE A RATINGS (BONDS, ETC., WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE NOT), BANKS’ NEED FOR RECAPITALIZATION, LOW SAVINGS (IE., CONSUMERS USING IE., GIFT CARDS FOR GROCERIES, ETC.), FED LOSING CREDIBILITY BY FLIP-FLOPS/WRONG MOVES, AND SEES ONLY SHORT-COVERING RALLIES AT BEST. VENEZUELA SHIFT TO PAYMENT IN EUROS FOR OIL OUT OF DOLLARS. YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST SAYS WITH MONEY SUPPLY INCREASING AT EXORBITANT 27% PER ANNUM, CITING ECONOMIST FRIEDMAN SAYS HYPER-INFLATIONARY (CONTRARY TO LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMISTS WHO THIS DAY SEE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS REAL ESTATE DOWN 17.6%, SALES DOWN 40-45%, AND MEDIAN HOME PRICES DOWN $100,000, AND BUDGET DEFICITS ACROSS THE BOARD). 3-12-08 VERY MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY ON PANICKY FED KNEE JERK FUNNY MONEY ACTION, ONE ANALYST/BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYS HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP…..RIIIIIGHT…..REFERENCES THAT THIS IS WORST R.E. DOWNTURN IN 100 YEARS AND NO BOTTOM YET IN R.E. AND WSJ SAYS WORSE TO COME IN BAD PAPER (WRITEDOWNS, ETC.), AN OIL ANALYST SAYS RECORD HIGH OIL PRICES ARE HEDGE AGAINST FALLING DOLLAR WITH A LOT OF DOLLARS RELATIVE TO GOODS (AS IE., OIL, OTHER COMMODITIES, ETC.-HYPERINFLATION) AND IF YOU HOLD DOLLARS/DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/SECURITIES YOU LOSE VALUE AND SEES $4.00 GAS NATIONWIDE WITH RECORD DIESEL, WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THAT SEEING FED GO FROM LENDER OF LAST RESORT TO LENDER (PRINTER) OF FIRST RESORT IS WORRISOME/TROUBLESOME.  3-11-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant new EPHEMERAL bubble  rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO ADD $200 BILLION IN WORLDWIDE LIQUIDITY BY TEMPORARILY REPLACING (28 DAYS) ONE TYPE OF FUNNY-MONEY (WORTHLESS SUBPRIME COLLATERALIZED DEBT) WITH ANOTHER LONGER TERM WORTHLESS FUNNY-MONEY (U.S. DEBT WHICH CAN’T BE PAID BACK) WHICH IS A GREAT B.S. TALKING POINT BUT JUST A DROP IN THE BUCKET CONSIDERING THE MAGNITUDE OF THE UNDISCLOSED WRITEDOWNS/WORTHLESS PAPER BEING HELD(AND, CURING A BUBBLE WITH A NEW BUBBLE-I DON'T THINK SO), ONE ANALYST POINTS TO THE HYPERINFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF TOO MUCH LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS AND MORE BAD NEWS TO COME IN TECH SECTOR AND EARNINGS ALONG WITH MORE WRITEOFFS/WRITEDOWNS WITH WORSE TO COME/NO BOTTOM YET AND HE REMAINS A BEAR, LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMIST SAYS BAD BUT NOT TECHNICALLY RECESSION BASED ON GOVERNMENT ELECTION-YEAR DATA (ONLY NUTS AND NUTS FROM THE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS BELIEVE SAME) WHILE TWO OTHER ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS/HIGH INFLATION/LOWER DOLLAR AS FOREIGNERS/INVESTORS GET OUT OF WORTHLESS DOLLAR WITH BIG TROUBLE FOR U.S. POST-ELECTION AS REALITY SETS IN, TRADE GAP WIDENED, AND SMART MONEY WOULD SELL THIS RALLY/TAKE PROFITS. 3-10-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, NEW BANK DOWNGRADES, MORGAN SLASHES EARNINGS ESTIMATES FOR S&P AND SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, EVEN MORE ECONOMISTS NOW SAY THE OBVIOUS/RECESSION, RUMOR THAT BEAR STERNS WITH SUBSTANTIAL LIQUIDITY ISSUES IS GOING UNDER, DOLLAR DOWN, EARNINGS ESTIMATES CUT ON CITIBANK AND BANKOFAMERICA, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) HIGH ENERGY AND FOOD PRICES (CONVENIENTLY LEFT OUT OF THE FED’S “TOUTED” CORE RATE) ARE SQUEEZING THE CONSUMER (AND HENCE, CONSUMPTION/65% OF GDP) AND THAT COMMODITIES A BUBBLE AND MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS/POSITVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO WEAKER DOLLAR PREFERRED, AN OIL ANALYST SAYS $200 OIL POSSIBLE (REITERATING GOLDMAN) WITH CONTINUED WEAKENING OF DOLLAR, ANOTHER ANALYST/JOURNALIST SAYS SELL DOLLAR DENOMINATED STOCKS/SECURITIES/ASSETS WHICH HAVE MUCH FURTHER TO FALL AND REITERATES AS DID BARRON’S THAT MORTGAGE INSURERS HAVE OVER $5 TRILLION IN DEBT/EXPOSURE AND THAT MANY OF THE NATIONS BANKS ARE ALREADY INSOLVENT SO GET OUT OF THE DOLLAR AND U.S. STOCKS.  3-7-08 BAD EMPLOYMENT/JOBS DATA across ALL SECTORS AS 63,000 JOBS LOST WITH DOWNWARD REVISIONS TO DECEMBER AND JANUARY (ACTUALLY LOST 20,000) JOBS NUMBERS, ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN A RECESSION WHILE MORE ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH ONE STATING THAT YOU ALMOST NEVER SEE BACK-TO-BACK MONTHLY DECLINE IN EMPLOYMENT WITHOUT RECESSION AS NOW, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, CONSUMERS INCREASED BORROWING TO STAY AFLOAT, WASHINGTON MUTUAL FURTHER DOWNGRADES, SUPPORT LEVELS BROKEN TO THE DOWNSIDE, sentiment- 85% believe things will get worse.  3-6-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. 23% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES IN FOURTH QUARTER NEW RECORD HIGH, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, 10% OF HOMES WITH 0 OR NEGATIVE EQUITY, MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION SAYS HOME FORECLOSURES AT ALL-TIME HIGH AND GOING HIGHER, ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ROUGH YEAR AHEAD WITH FORECLOSURES AND DEFAULTS UP, ONE ANALYST SAYS MARKET WILL TEST NEW LOWS/SUPPORT LEVELS WITH FLIGHT TO “QUALITY”/TREASURIES, LENDER THORNBURG DEFAULTS AND ALONG WITH WASHINGTON MUTUAL IS DOWNGRADED, CONTINUING CLAIMS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT AT HIGH LEVELS MEANS COMPANIES SHRINKING, IGNORE KNEE-JERK ELECTION YEAR GOVERNMENT HUNKY DORY FAKE REPORTS. 3-5-08 OIL INVENTORIES LESS THAN EXPECTED, FED BEIGE BOOK CITES ECONOMIC WEAKNESS PARTICULARLY SINCE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, LABOR COSTS ROSE, RISING PRICE PRESSURES/STAGFLATION, RECESSION/BEAR MARKET, ONE ANALYST SAYS TOUGH FIRST HALF RECOMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH 50% OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND CONSUMER STAPLES/HEALTH RELATED/DEFENSIVE STOCKS, AMBAC TO FLOAT STOCK TO SHORE UP BALANCE SHEET TO TUNE OF $1.5 BILLION/DILUTION AND  SHARES FALL $2 TO $8.70, OIL ANALYST CITES DECLINE IN OIL INVENTORIES/DIESEL/JET FUEL AND WEAK DOLLAR AND TOP $108-$110 BUT $120-$130 IF VENEZUELA/COLUMBIA CONFLICT AND MORE RECORD HIGH GAS PRICES TO COME, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DECLINE IN REAL ESTATE/HOUSING WITH STARTS DOWN 15-20-40% ON WELL DESERVED PESSIMISM/CREDIT CRUNCH.  3-4-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, 3-3-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT-COVERING RALLY  TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING.  (DOW +262, NASDAQ +48, S&P +31) [CLOSE- OIL $101.84 / GOLD $920 / SILVER $16.85 / PLATINUM $1,877.30 / DOLLAR AT 1.54 AGAINST EURO, 98 YEN, 1.98 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)]. I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). SMART MONEY WOULD SELL HERE (TAKE PROFITS). REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts/reporters/journalists bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-19-08) (DOW -293, NASDAQ -58, S&P -32) [CLOSE- OIL $104.48(-$4.94) / GOLD $942.60 (-$61.60)/ SILVER $18.56/ PLATINUM $1,892/ DOLLAR AT 1.57 AGAINST EURO, 99 YEN, BELOW 1 SWISS FRANC, ETC. (How low can you go)]. MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY.  I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). morgan stanley earnings down 40% but better than expected…..riiiiight…..on computerized bond/stock trading commissions. merrill lynch says more loan losses. one analyst says not much optimism regarding fed moves, deepening fears about economy, wall street stuck with a lot of stuff (ie., junk bonds, junk securities, junk derivatives, subprime mortgages, etc.) which can’t be sold except at firesale prices, avoid equities particularly small/midcaps, raise cash (taking profits/selling), looking for confirmation, entered recession in february but with inflation a very tough scenario. an oil analyst says commodity bubble bursting with profit-taking/path of least resistance but still record diesel at $4.21, record home heating oil $3.80 so wait and see. another analyst says emerging markets attractive relative to developed citing p/e multiple comparison but no save haven and points to further weakness in dollar relative to other currencies. metals analyst says rate cut less than expected and etfs (and computerized trading thereof) has propped demand.  3-18-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant bubble rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). WHOLESALE/PRODUCER PRICES UP MORE THAN EXPECTED .3% WITH CORE RATE UP .5%. HOUSING STARTS DOWN 36% TO LOWEST LEVEL IN 17 YEARS. SHARPLY (MORE THAN 50%) LOWER EARNINGS AT GOLDMAN AND LEHMAN RALLIES THEIR STOCKS WITH FAMILIAR MANTRA ‘NOT AS BAD AS EXPECTED’…..RIIIIIGHT! DOLLAR DOWN AGAINST MOST CURRENCIES ON .75% PANIC CUT IN FED FUNDS RATE TO 2.25%. ONE ANALYST POINTS TO STRENGTH BY SECTOR, VIZ., FINANCIALS +8% (FOCUS OF THE BAILOUT), SMALL CAPS +5%, EMERGING MARKETS +5%, AND SAYS DOLLAR WILL BE BOTTOMING. AN OIL ANALYST SAYS OIL TO GO HIGHER WITH INFLUX OF SPECULATIVE NEW MONEY FROM RATE CUT. FORMER FED GOVERNOR GRAMLEY SAY WE’RE IN SERIOUS ECONOMIC CRISIS, IN RECESSION WITH ECONOMIC WEAKNESS SUFFICIENT TO MUTE DEMAND/SHARPER PRICE INCREASES, AND COMPARES ECONOMY TO CANCER PATIENT UNDERGOING NECESSARY CHEMOTHERAPY…..RIIIIIGHT….., FED HAS USED EMERGENCY POWERS NOT USED SINCE THE GREAT DEPRESSION BUT CAN’T RELY SOLELY ON THE FED. ANOTHER ANALYST TALKS IN TERMS OF TRADING ON A DAY-TO-DAY BASIS (FACT-THERE ARE HISTORICALLY VERY FEW SUCCESSFUL TRADERS), BELIEVES FED WENT TOO FAR WITH RATE CUT AND SEES SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM WITH INFLATION, THUMBS UP FOR METALS/OIL AND LARGE CAP TECH WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS, BUT FURTHER CAUTIONS OWING TO NEGATIVE REAL INTEREST RATES (RATES LESS THAN INFLATION, RISK, ECONOMIC FACTORS/PREMIUMS). FINALLY, THINGS ARE SO HUNKY DORY THAT AS REPORTED BY CONTINENTAL COIN AND JEWELRY PEOPLE ARE PULLING THEIR TEETH, EXTRACTING AND SELLING THE GOLD. LOVELY!  3-17-08 LUNATIC/FRAUDS 200+ point computerized BUY PROGRAM suckers’ bear market/short-covering rally to the upside based upon nothing whatsoever that hasn’t already been discounted (ie., more rate cuts by fed in panic mode, etc.). I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION FELL A GREATER THAN EXPECTED ONE-HALF OF 1%. ONE ANALYST CITES NEW LOWS FOR DOLLAR AND SUBSTANTIAL MOVE BY FED ALREADY DISCOUNTED (.75%). ANOTHER ANALYST CITES WEAKER DOLLAR AND SLOWER ECONOMY IMPACTING DEMAND (IE., FOR GOODS, ETC., AND HENCE, COMMODITY PRICES, HENCE LOWER OIL PRICE THIS DAY), CITES THIS DAYS SHORT-COVERING RALLY AND RECOMEMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND OVERSEAS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (UTILITIES, ETC.). YET aNOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST CITES BUSINESS MODELS COMPARABLE TO BEAR STEARNS IN FINANCIAL SECTOR(PROBLEMS WITH HEDGE FUNDS/INVESTMENT BANKS) WHICH HAS PROVEN INABILITY TO MANAGE THEIR OWN AFFAIRS SAYING DEREGULATION A DISASTER AND REREGULATION A CURE, NO END TO FALL IN DOLLAR AS US BECOMES WORLD’S BEGGAR, AND RECOMMENDS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (IE., EURO, SWISS FRANC, ETC., AND EMERGING FAR EAST MARKETS). aNOTHER MORE CALIFORNIA/SENILE, ANALYST/BROKER WHO LIKE OTHERS HAVE LOST SUBSTANTIAL MONIES FOR CLIENTS CITES LACK OF OF TRANSPARENCY AS VALUE OF HIS BUYS AND HOLDS CONTINUES TO FALL WITH DOLLAR BUT TALKS SOME SPECULATIVE BUYS AND CASH. A FINANCIAL TIMES EDITOR SAYS NO BOTTOM YET, THAT BY HISTORICAL STANDARDS THE SCENARIO IS QUITE BAD FOR THE US, THAT BEAR STEARNS WAS NOT ALONE AMONG US FIRMS IN THEIR PROBLEMS, THAT THE MARKET IS EXPECTING 1% PANIC CUT BY FED, AND THAT THE US ECONOMY IS IN DEEP TROUBLE. 3-14-08 early surge based on false benign inflation report (showing no change in retail inflation) from the government gives way to reality that they can’t cover up/lie about (despite intra-day suckers rally) when there is a run on large wall street investment bank bear stearns (first such since the great depression) which cites liquidity crisis as ny fed and jp morgan intervene with 28 day loan as bear is holding high risk (worthless) assets which are illiquid (thinly traded/can’t be sold) as reserves (they are not alone in this regard among the frauds on wallstreet, etc., and only 2 days ago bear said balance sheet stable), all time lows for the dollar, wsj reports majority of economists think we’re in recession, michigan (non-washington non-fed gov’t report) sentiment index at new 16 year low. One ANALYST SAYS DOLLAR WEAKNESS/LOWER YIELDS/ECONOMIC CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE DOWNWARD TREND, INFLATION REPORT SURPRISE/FOOLISH AND HIGHER INFLATION NUMBER FOR MARCH, CRESCENDO OF BAD NEWS IN COMING WEEK AND LOOK FOR NEW LOWS/BOTTOM(?). OIL ANALYST CITES WEAK DOLLAR/EASY MONEY FLOWS AND SAYS LOOK FOR OIL AT $120-$125. ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ITS TOO LATE FOR FED TO TURN THIS WRITEDOWN/SUBPRIME/ECONOMIC DOWNTURN AROUND WITH BEAR ANOTHER $35-$70 BILLION BAD AND WHAT AFTER 28 DAY LOAN-EXPECT TAKEOVER/NO MORE BEAR STEARNS.  3-13-08 SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T ALONE (NOTHING WHATSOEVER) AS STANDARD AND POORS ANALYST SAYS THE END OF WRITEDOWNS MIGHT (BUT NOT QUITE) BE IN SIGHT  (WHICH IS LIKE THAT BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYING HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP)…RIIIIIGHT….. WHICH IS MEANINGLESS COMING FROM STANDARD AND POORS WHICH SHOULD BE ACCOUNTABLE/LIABLE (FOR THIS FRAUD) ALONG WITH THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET, ETC., FOR THE TRIPLE A RATED SECURITIES ON THE BOOKS WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE IN FACT NOT TRIPLE A (WORTHLESS JUNK BONDS, ASSETS, ETC.) SPURRING 200+ POINT SWING TO THE UPSIDE. VAST MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION (EVEN DESPITE ELECTION YEAR GIMMICKS-AS GOOD AS GETS). RETAIL SALES DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED .6%, FORECLOSURES UP 60% YEAR OVER YEAR, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. ONE ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED UNEMPLOYMENT/EMPLOYMENT WEAKNESS, PREMATURE TO SAY AS DID S&P THAT WE’RE NEAR END OF WRITEDOWNS, MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION, HOUSING DOWNTURN MUCH FURTHER TO GO, VERY DEFENSIVE AS STOCKS CONTINUE TO HIT NEW LOWS IN LARGE NUMBERS, WORST OF HOUSING CRISIS AHEAD, AND THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSION ECONOMY. ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS U.S. CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS, LACK OF TRUST IN U.S. FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AND TRIPLE A RATINGS (BONDS, ETC., WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE NOT), BANKS’ NEED FOR RECAPITALIZATION, LOW SAVINGS (IE., CONSUMERS USING IE., GIFT CARDS FOR GROCERIES, ETC.), FED LOSING CREDIBILITY BY FLIP-FLOPS/WRONG MOVES, AND SEES ONLY SHORT-COVERING RALLIES AT BEST. VENEZUELA SHIFT TO PAYMENT IN EUROS FOR OIL OUT OF DOLLARS. YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST SAYS WITH MONEY SUPPLY INCREASING AT EXORBITANT 27% PER ANNUM, CITING ECONOMIST FRIEDMAN SAYS HYPER-INFLATIONARY (CONTRARY TO LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMISTS WHO THIS DAY SEE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS REAL ESTATE DOWN 17.6%, SALES DOWN 40-45%, AND MEDIAN HOME PRICES DOWN $100,000, AND BUDGET DEFICITS ACROSS THE BOARD). 3-12-08 VERY MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY ON PANICKY FED KNEE JERK FUNNY MONEY ACTION, ONE ANALYST/BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYS HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP…..RIIIIIGHT…..REFERENCES THAT THIS IS WORST R.E. DOWNTURN IN 100 YEARS AND NO BOTTOM YET IN R.E. AND WSJ SAYS WORSE TO COME IN BAD PAPER (WRITEDOWNS, ETC.), AN OIL ANALYST SAYS RECORD HIGH OIL PRICES ARE HEDGE AGAINST FALLING DOLLAR WITH A LOT OF DOLLARS RELATIVE TO GOODS (AS IE., OIL, OTHER COMMODITIES, ETC.-HYPERINFLATION) AND IF YOU HOLD DOLLARS/DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/SECURITIES YOU LOSE VALUE AND SEES $4.00 GAS NATIONWIDE WITH RECORD DIESEL, WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THAT SEEING FED GO FROM LENDER OF LAST RESORT TO LENDER (PRINTER) OF FIRST RESORT IS WORRISOME/TROUBLESOME.  3-11-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant new EPHEMERAL bubble  rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO ADD $200 BILLION IN WORLDWIDE LIQUIDITY BY TEMPORARILY REPLACING (28 DAYS) ONE TYPE OF FUNNY-MONEY (WORTHLESS SUBPRIME COLLATERALIZED DEBT) WITH ANOTHER LONGER TERM WORTHLESS FUNNY-MONEY (U.S. DEBT WHICH CAN’T BE PAID BACK) WHICH IS A GREAT B.S. TALKING POINT BUT JUST A DROP IN THE BUCKET CONSIDERING THE MAGNITUDE OF THE UNDISCLOSED WRITEDOWNS/WORTHLESS PAPER BEING HELD(AND, CURING A BUBBLE WITH A NEW BUBBLE-I DON'T THINK SO), ONE ANALYST POINTS TO THE HYPERINFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF TOO MUCH LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS AND MORE BAD NEWS TO COME IN TECH SECTOR AND EARNINGS ALONG WITH MORE WRITEOFFS/WRITEDOWNS WITH WORSE TO COME/NO BOTTOM YET AND HE REMAINS A BEAR, LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMIST SAYS BAD BUT NOT TECHNICALLY RECESSION BASED ON GOVERNMENT ELECTION-YEAR DATA (ONLY NUTS AND NUTS FROM THE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS BELIEVE SAME) WHILE TWO OTHER ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS/HIGH INFLATION/LOWER DOLLAR AS FOREIGNERS/INVESTORS GET OUT OF WORTHLESS DOLLAR WITH BIG TROUBLE FOR U.S. POST-ELECTION AS REALITY SETS IN, TRADE GAP WIDENED, AND SMART MONEY WOULD SELL THIS RALLY/TAKE PROFITS. 3-10-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, NEW BANK DOWNGRADES, MORGAN SLASHES EARNINGS ESTIMATES FOR S&P AND SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, EVEN MORE ECONOMISTS NOW SAY THE OBVIOUS/RECESSION, RUMOR THAT BEAR STERNS WITH SUBSTANTIAL LIQUIDITY ISSUES IS GOING UNDER, DOLLAR DOWN, EARNINGS ESTIMATES CUT ON CITIBANK AND BANKOFAMERICA, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) HIGH ENERGY AND FOOD PRICES (CONVENIENTLY LEFT OUT OF THE FED’S “TOUTED” CORE RATE) ARE SQUEEZING THE CONSUMER (AND HENCE, CONSUMPTION/65% OF GDP) AND THAT COMMODITIES A BUBBLE AND MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS/POSITVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO WEAKER DOLLAR PREFERRED, AN OIL ANALYST SAYS $200 OIL POSSIBLE (REITERATING GOLDMAN) WITH CONTINUED WEAKENING OF DOLLAR, ANOTHER ANALYST/JOURNALIST SAYS SELL DOLLAR DENOMINATED STOCKS/SECURITIES/ASSETS WHICH HAVE MUCH FURTHER TO FALL AND REITERATES AS DID BARRON’S THAT MORTGAGE INSURERS HAVE OVER $5 TRILLION IN DEBT/EXPOSURE AND THAT MANY OF THE NATIONS BANKS ARE ALREADY INSOLVENT SO GET OUT OF THE DOLLAR AND U.S. STOCKS.  3-7-08 BAD EMPLOYMENT/JOBS DATA across ALL SECTORS AS 63,000 JOBS LOST WITH DOWNWARD REVISIONS TO DECEMBER AND JANUARY (ACTUALLY LOST 20,000) JOBS NUMBERS, ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN A RECESSION WHILE MORE ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH ONE STATING THAT YOU ALMOST NEVER SEE BACK-TO-BACK MONTHLY DECLINE IN EMPLOYMENT WITHOUT RECESSION AS NOW, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, CONSUMERS INCREASED BORROWING TO STAY AFLOAT, WASHINGTON MUTUAL FURTHER DOWNGRADES, SUPPORT LEVELS BROKEN TO THE DOWNSIDE, sentiment- 85% believe things will get worse.  3-6-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. 23% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES IN FOURTH QUARTER NEW RECORD HIGH, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, 10% OF HOMES WITH 0 OR NEGATIVE EQUITY, MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION SAYS HOME FORECLOSURES AT ALL-TIME HIGH AND GOING HIGHER, ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ROUGH YEAR AHEAD WITH FORECLOSURES AND DEFAULTS UP, ONE ANALYST SAYS MARKET WILL TEST NEW LOWS/SUPPORT LEVELS WITH FLIGHT TO “QUALITY”/TREASURIES, LENDER THORNBURG DEFAULTS AND ALONG WITH WASHINGTON MUTUAL IS DOWNGRADED, CONTINUING CLAIMS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT AT HIGH LEVELS MEANS COMPANIES SHRINKING, IGNORE KNEE-JERK ELECTION YEAR GOVERNMENT HUNKY DORY FAKE REPORTS. 3-5-08 OIL INVENTORIES LESS THAN EXPECTED, FED BEIGE BOOK CITES ECONOMIC WEAKNESS PARTICULARLY SINCE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, LABOR COSTS ROSE, RISING PRICE PRESSURES/STAGFLATION, RECESSION/BEAR MARKET, ONE ANALYST SAYS TOUGH FIRST HALF RECOMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH 50% OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND CONSUMER STAPLES/HEALTH RELATED/DEFENSIVE STOCKS, AMBAC TO FLOAT STOCK TO SHORE UP BALANCE SHEET TO TUNE OF $1.5 BILLION/DILUTION AND  SHARES FALL $2 TO $8.70, OIL ANALYST CITES DECLINE IN OIL INVENTORIES/DIESEL/JET FUEL AND WEAK DOLLAR AND TOP $108-$110 BUT $120-$130 IF VENEZUELA/COLUMBIA CONFLICT AND MORE RECORD HIGH GAS PRICES TO COME, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DECLINE IN REAL ESTATE/HOUSING WITH STARTS DOWN 15-20-40% ON WELL DESERVED PESSIMISM/CREDIT CRUNCH.  3-4-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, 3-3-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING.  (DOW -293, NASDAQ -58, S&P -32) [CLOSE- OIL $104.48(-$4.94) / GOLD $942.60 (-$61.60)/ SILVER $18.56/ PLATINUM $1,892/ DOLLAR AT 1.57 AGAINST EURO, 99 YEN, BELOW 1 SWISS FRANC, ETC. (How low can you go)]. I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). SMART MONEY WOULD SELL ON ANY STRENGTH (TAKE PROFITS). REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts/reporters/journalists bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-18-08) (DOW +420, NASDAQ +91, S&P +54) [CLOSE- OIL $109.42(+$3.74) / GOLD $1003/ SILVER $19.96/ PLATINUM $1,968/ DOLLAR AT 1.57 AGAINST EURO, 100 YEN, BELOW 1 SWISS FRANC, ETC. (How low can you go)]. Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant bubble rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). WHOLESALE/PRODUCER PRICES UP MORE THAN EXPECTED .3% WITH CORE RATE UP .5%. HOUSING STARTS DOWN 36% TO LOWEST LEVEL IN 17 YEARS. SHARPLY (MORE THAN 50%) LOWER EARNINGS AT GOLDMAN AND LEHMAN RALLIES THEIR STOCKS WITH FAMILIAR MANTRA ‘NOT AS BAD AS EXPECTED’…..RIIIIIGHT! DOLLAR DOWN AGAINST MOST CURRENCIES ON .75% PANIC CUT IN FED FUNDS RATE TO 2.25%. ONE ANALYST POINTS TO STRENGTH BY SECTOR, VIZ., FINANCIALS +8% (FOCUS OF THE BAILOUT), SMALL CAPS +5%, EMERGING MARKETS +5%, AND SAYS DOLLAR WILL BE BOTTOMING. AN OIL ANALYST SAYS OIL TO GO HIGHER WITH INFLUX OF SPECULATIVE NEW MONEY FROM RATE CUT. FORMER FED GOVERNOR GRAMLEY SAY WE’RE IN SERIOUS ECONOMIC CRISIS, IN RECESSION WITH ECONOMIC WEAKNESS SUFFICIENT TO MUTE DEMAND/SHARPER PRICE INCREASES, AND COMPARES ECONOMY TO CANCER PATIENT UNDERGOING NECESSARY CHEMOTHERAPY…..RIIIIIGHT….., FED HAS USED EMERGENCY POWERS NOT USED SINCE THE GREAT DEPRESSION BUT CAN’T RELY SOLELY ON THE FED. ANOTHER ANALYST TALKS IN TERMS OF TRADING ON A DAY-TO-DAY BASIS (FACT-THERE ARE HISTORICALLY VERY FEW SUCCESSFUL TRADERS), BELIEVES FED WENT TOO FAR WITH RATE CUT AND SEES SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM WITH INFLATION, THUMBS UP FOR METALS/OIL AND LARGE CAP TECH WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS, BUT FURTHER CAUTIONS OWING TO NEGATIVE REAL INTEREST RATES (RATES LESS THAN INFLATION, RISK, ECONOMIC FACTORS/PREMIUMS). FINALLY, THINGS ARE SO HUNKY DORY THAT AS REPORTED BY CONTINENTAL COIN AND JEWELRY PEOPLE ARE PULLING THEIR TEETH, EXTRACTING AND SELLING THE GOLD. LOVELY!  3-17-08 LUNATIC/FRAUDS 200+ point computerized BUY PROGRAM suckers’ bear market/short-covering rally to the upside based upon nothing whatsoever that hasn’t already been discounted (ie., more rate cuts by fed in panic mode, etc.). I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION FELL A GREATER THAN EXPECTED ONE-HALF OF 1%. ONE ANALYST CITES NEW LOWS FOR DOLLAR AND SUBSTANTIAL MOVE BY FED ALREADY DISCOUNTED (.75%). ANOTHER ANALYST CITES WEAKER DOLLAR AND SLOWER ECONOMY IMPACTING DEMAND (IE., FOR GOODS, ETC., AND HENCE, COMMODITY PRICES, HENCE LOWER OIL PRICE THIS DAY), CITES THIS DAYS SHORT-COVERING RALLY AND RECOMEMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND OVERSEAS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (UTILITIES, ETC.). YET aNOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST CITES BUSINESS MODELS COMPARABLE TO BEAR STEARNS IN FINANCIAL SECTOR(PROBLEMS WITH HEDGE FUNDS/INVESTMENT BANKS) WHICH HAS PROVEN INABILITY TO MANAGE THEIR OWN AFFAIRS SAYING DEREGULATION A DISASTER AND REREGULATION A CURE, NO END TO FALL IN DOLLAR AS US BECOMES WORLD’S BEGGAR, AND RECOMMENDS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (IE., EURO, SWISS FRANC, ETC., AND EMERGING FAR EAST MARKETS). aNOTHER MORE CALIFORNIA/SENILE, ANALYST/BROKER WHO LIKE OTHERS HAVE LOST SUBSTANTIAL MONIES FOR CLIENTS CITES LACK OF OF TRANSPARENCY AS VALUE OF HIS BUYS AND HOLDS CONTINUES TO FALL WITH DOLLAR BUT TALKS SOME SPECULATIVE BUYS AND CASH. A FINANCIAL TIMES EDITOR SAYS NO BOTTOM YET, THAT BY HISTORICAL STANDARDS THE SCENARIO IS QUITE BAD FOR THE US, THAT BEAR STEARNS WAS NOT ALONE AMONG US FIRMS IN THEIR PROBLEMS, THAT THE MARKET IS EXPECTING 1% PANIC CUT BY FED, AND THAT THE US ECONOMY IS IN DEEP TROUBLE. 3-14-08 early surge based on false benign inflation report (showing no change in retail inflation) from the government gives way to reality that they can’t cover up/lie about (despite intra-day suckers rally) when there is a run on large wall street investment bank bear stearns (first such since the great depression) which cites liquidity crisis as ny fed and jp morgan intervene with 28 day loan as bear is holding high risk (worthless) assets which are illiquid (thinly traded/can’t be sold) as reserves (they are not alone in this regard among the frauds on wallstreet, etc., and only 2 days ago bear said balance sheet stable), all time lows for the dollar, wsj reports majority of economists think we’re in recession, michigan (non-washington non-fed gov’t report) sentiment index at new 16 year low. One ANALYST SAYS DOLLAR WEAKNESS/LOWER YIELDS/ECONOMIC CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE DOWNWARD TREND, INFLATION REPORT SURPRISE/FOOLISH AND HIGHER INFLATION NUMBER FOR MARCH, CRESCENDO OF BAD NEWS IN COMING WEEK AND LOOK FOR NEW LOWS/BOTTOM(?). OIL ANALYST CITES WEAK DOLLAR/EASY MONEY FLOWS AND SAYS LOOK FOR OIL AT $120-$125. ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ITS TOO LATE FOR FED TO TURN THIS WRITEDOWN/SUBPRIME/ECONOMIC DOWNTURN AROUND WITH BEAR ANOTHER $35-$70 BILLION BAD AND WHAT AFTER 28 DAY LOAN-EXPECT TAKEOVER/NO MORE BEAR STEARNS.  3-13-08 SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T ALONE (NOTHING WHATSOEVER) AS STANDARD AND POORS ANALYST SAYS THE END OF WRITEDOWNS MIGHT (BUT NOT QUITE) BE IN SIGHT  (WHICH IS LIKE THAT BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYING HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP)…RIIIIIGHT….. WHICH IS MEANINGLESS COMING FROM STANDARD AND POORS WHICH SHOULD BE ACCOUNTABLE/LIABLE (FOR THIS FRAUD) ALONG WITH THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET, ETC., FOR THE TRIPLE A RATED SECURITIES ON THE BOOKS WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE IN FACT NOT TRIPLE A (WORTHLESS JUNK BONDS, ASSETS, ETC.) SPURRING 200+ POINT SWING TO THE UPSIDE. VAST MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION (EVEN DESPITE ELECTION YEAR GIMMICKS-AS GOOD AS GETS). RETAIL SALES DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED .6%, FORECLOSURES UP 60% YEAR OVER YEAR, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. ONE ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED UNEMPLOYMENT/EMPLOYMENT WEAKNESS, PREMATURE TO SAY AS DID S&P THAT WE’RE NEAR END OF WRITEDOWNS, MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION, HOUSING DOWNTURN MUCH FURTHER TO GO, VERY DEFENSIVE AS STOCKS CONTINUE TO HIT NEW LOWS IN LARGE NUMBERS, WORST OF HOUSING CRISIS AHEAD, AND THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSION ECONOMY. ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS U.S. CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS, LACK OF TRUST IN U.S. FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AND TRIPLE A RATINGS (BONDS, ETC., WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE NOT), BANKS’ NEED FOR RECAPITALIZATION, LOW SAVINGS (IE., CONSUMERS USING IE., GIFT CARDS FOR GROCERIES, ETC.), FED LOSING CREDIBILITY BY FLIP-FLOPS/WRONG MOVES, AND SEES ONLY SHORT-COVERING RALLIES AT BEST. VENEZUELA SHIFT TO PAYMENT IN EUROS FOR OIL OUT OF DOLLARS. YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST SAYS WITH MONEY SUPPLY INCREASING AT EXORBITANT 27% PER ANNUM, CITING ECONOMIST FRIEDMAN SAYS HYPER-INFLATIONARY (CONTRARY TO LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMISTS WHO THIS DAY SEE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS REAL ESTATE DOWN 17.6%, SALES DOWN 40-45%, AND MEDIAN HOME PRICES DOWN $100,000, AND BUDGET DEFICITS ACROSS THE BOARD). 3-12-08 VERY MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY ON PANICKY FED KNEE JERK FUNNY MONEY ACTION, ONE ANALYST/BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYS HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP…..RIIIIIGHT…..REFERENCES THAT THIS IS WORST R.E. DOWNTURN IN 100 YEARS AND NO BOTTOM YET IN R.E. AND WSJ SAYS WORSE TO COME IN BAD PAPER (WRITEDOWNS, ETC.), AN OIL ANALYST SAYS RECORD HIGH OIL PRICES ARE HEDGE AGAINST FALLING DOLLAR WITH A LOT OF DOLLARS RELATIVE TO GOODS (AS IE., OIL, OTHER COMMODITIES, ETC.-HYPERINFLATION) AND IF YOU HOLD DOLLARS/DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/SECURITIES YOU LOSE VALUE AND SEES $4.00 GAS NATIONWIDE WITH RECORD DIESEL, WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THAT SEEING FED GO FROM LENDER OF LAST RESORT TO LENDER (PRINTER) OF FIRST RESORT IS WORRISOME/TROUBLESOME.  3-11-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant new EPHEMERAL bubble  rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO ADD $200 BILLION IN WORLDWIDE LIQUIDITY BY TEMPORARILY REPLACING (28 DAYS) ONE TYPE OF FUNNY-MONEY (WORTHLESS SUBPRIME COLLATERALIZED DEBT) WITH ANOTHER LONGER TERM WORTHLESS FUNNY-MONEY (U.S. DEBT WHICH CAN’T BE PAID BACK) WHICH IS A GREAT B.S. TALKING POINT BUT JUST A DROP IN THE BUCKET CONSIDERING THE MAGNITUDE OF THE UNDISCLOSED WRITEDOWNS/WORTHLESS PAPER BEING HELD(AND, CURING A BUBBLE WITH A NEW BUBBLE-I DON'T THINK SO), ONE ANALYST POINTS TO THE HYPERINFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF TOO MUCH LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS AND MORE BAD NEWS TO COME IN TECH SECTOR AND EARNINGS ALONG WITH MORE WRITEOFFS/WRITEDOWNS WITH WORSE TO COME/NO BOTTOM YET AND HE REMAINS A BEAR, LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMIST SAYS BAD BUT NOT TECHNICALLY RECESSION BASED ON GOVERNMENT ELECTION-YEAR DATA (ONLY NUTS AND NUTS FROM THE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS BELIEVE SAME) WHILE TWO OTHER ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS/HIGH INFLATION/LOWER DOLLAR AS FOREIGNERS/INVESTORS GET OUT OF WORTHLESS DOLLAR WITH BIG TROUBLE FOR U.S. POST-ELECTION AS REALITY SETS IN, TRADE GAP WIDENED, AND SMART MONEY WOULD SELL THIS RALLY/TAKE PROFITS. 3-10-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, NEW BANK DOWNGRADES, MORGAN SLASHES EARNINGS ESTIMATES FOR S&P AND SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, EVEN MORE ECONOMISTS NOW SAY THE OBVIOUS/RECESSION, RUMOR THAT BEAR STERNS WITH SUBSTANTIAL LIQUIDITY ISSUES IS GOING UNDER, DOLLAR DOWN, EARNINGS ESTIMATES CUT ON CITIBANK AND BANKOFAMERICA, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) HIGH ENERGY AND FOOD PRICES (CONVENIENTLY LEFT OUT OF THE FED’S “TOUTED” CORE RATE) ARE SQUEEZING THE CONSUMER (AND HENCE, CONSUMPTION/65% OF GDP) AND THAT COMMODITIES A BUBBLE AND MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS/POSITVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO WEAKER DOLLAR PREFERRED, AN OIL ANALYST SAYS $200 OIL POSSIBLE (REITERATING GOLDMAN) WITH CONTINUED WEAKENING OF DOLLAR, ANOTHER ANALYST/JOURNALIST SAYS SELL DOLLAR DENOMINATED STOCKS/SECURITIES/ASSETS WHICH HAVE MUCH FURTHER TO FALL AND REITERATES AS DID BARRON’S THAT MORTGAGE INSURERS HAVE OVER $5 TRILLION IN DEBT/EXPOSURE AND THAT MANY OF THE NATIONS BANKS ARE ALREADY INSOLVENT SO GET OUT OF THE DOLLAR AND U.S. STOCKS.  3-7-08 BAD EMPLOYMENT/JOBS DATA across ALL SECTORS AS 63,000 JOBS LOST WITH DOWNWARD REVISIONS TO DECEMBER AND JANUARY (ACTUALLY LOST 20,000) JOBS NUMBERS, ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN A RECESSION WHILE MORE ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH ONE STATING THAT YOU ALMOST NEVER SEE BACK-TO-BACK MONTHLY DECLINE IN EMPLOYMENT WITHOUT RECESSION AS NOW, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, CONSUMERS INCREASED BORROWING TO STAY AFLOAT, WASHINGTON MUTUAL FURTHER DOWNGRADES, SUPPORT LEVELS BROKEN TO THE DOWNSIDE, sentiment- 85% believe things will get worse.  3-6-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. 23% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES IN FOURTH QUARTER NEW RECORD HIGH, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, 10% OF HOMES WITH 0 OR NEGATIVE EQUITY, MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION SAYS HOME FORECLOSURES AT ALL-TIME HIGH AND GOING HIGHER, ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ROUGH YEAR AHEAD WITH FORECLOSURES AND DEFAULTS UP, ONE ANALYST SAYS MARKET WILL TEST NEW LOWS/SUPPORT LEVELS WITH FLIGHT TO “QUALITY”/TREASURIES, LENDER THORNBURG DEFAULTS AND ALONG WITH WASHINGTON MUTUAL IS DOWNGRADED, CONTINUING CLAIMS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT AT HIGH LEVELS MEANS COMPANIES SHRINKING, IGNORE KNEE-JERK ELECTION YEAR GOVERNMENT HUNKY DORY FAKE REPORTS. 3-5-08 OIL INVENTORIES LESS THAN EXPECTED, FED BEIGE BOOK CITES ECONOMIC WEAKNESS PARTICULARLY SINCE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, LABOR COSTS ROSE, RISING PRICE PRESSURES/STAGFLATION, RECESSION/BEAR MARKET, ONE ANALYST SAYS TOUGH FIRST HALF RECOMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH 50% OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND CONSUMER STAPLES/HEALTH RELATED/DEFENSIVE STOCKS, AMBAC TO FLOAT STOCK TO SHORE UP BALANCE SHEET TO TUNE OF $1.5 BILLION/DILUTION AND  SHARES FALL $2 TO $8.70, OIL ANALYST CITES DECLINE IN OIL INVENTORIES/DIESEL/JET FUEL AND WEAK DOLLAR AND TOP $108-$110 BUT $120-$130 IF VENEZUELA/COLUMBIA CONFLICT AND MORE RECORD HIGH GAS PRICES TO COME, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DECLINE IN REAL ESTATE/HOUSING WITH STARTS DOWN 15-20-40% ON WELL DESERVED PESSIMISM/CREDIT CRUNCH.  3-4-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, 3-3-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. SUCKERS’ INTRA-DAY BEAR MARKET RALLY BASED UPON B**L S**T ALONE (NOTHING WHATSOEVER) TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. ) (DOW +420, NASDAQ +91, S&P +54) [CLOSE- OIL $109.42(+$3.74) / GOLD $1003/ SILVER $19.96/ PLATINUM $1,968/ DOLLAR AT 1.57 AGAINST EURO, 100 YEN, BELOW 1 SWISS FRANC, ETC. (How low can you go)]. Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant bubble rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). SMART MONEY WOULD SELL ON ANY STRENGTH (TAKE PROFITS). REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts/reporters/journalists bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-17-08) (DOW +21, NASDAQ -35, S&P –11.6) [CLOSE- OIL $105.68 / GOLD $1002.60 new record/ SILVER $20.11/ PLATINUM $1,959/ DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWs AGAINST EURO above $1.59 intraday, 95.72 YEN, BELOW 1 SWISS FRANC, ETC. (How low can you go)]. LUNATIC/FRAUDS 200+ point computerized BUY PROGRAM suckers’ bear market/short-covering rally to the upside based upon nothing whatsoever that hasn’t already been discounted (ie., more rate cuts by fed in panic mode, etc.). I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION FELL A GREATER THAN EXPECTED ONE-HALF OF 1%. ONE ANALYST CITES NEW LOWS FOR DOLLAR AND SUBSTANTIAL MOVE BY FED ALREADY DISCOUNTED (.75%). ANOTHER ANALYST CITES WEAKER DOLLAR AND SLOWER ECONOMY IMPACTING DEMAND (IE., FOR GOODS, ETC., AND HENCE, COMMODITY PRICES, HENCE LOWER OIL PRICE THIS DAY), CITES THIS DAYS SHORT-COVERING RALLY AND RECOMEMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS (POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND OVERSEAS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (UTILITIES, ETC.). YET aNOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST CITES BUSINESS MODELS COMPARABLE TO BEAR STEARNS IN FINANCIAL SECTOR(PROBLEMS WITH HEDGE FUNDS/INVESTMENT BANKS) WHICH HAS PROVEN INABILITY TO MANAGE THEIR OWN AFFAIRS SAYING DEREGULATION A DISASTER AND REREGULATION A CURE, NO END TO FALL IN DOLLAR AS US BECOMES WORLD’S BEGGAR, AND RECOMMENDS NON-DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES (IE., EURO, SWISS FRANC, ETC., AND EMERGING FAR EAST MARKETS). aNOTHER MORE CALIFORNIA/SENILE, ANALYST/BROKER WHO LIKE OTHERS HAVE LOST SUBSTANTIAL MONIES FOR CLIENTS CITES LACK OF OF TRANSPARENCY AS VALUE OF HIS BUYS AND HOLDS CONTINUES TO FALL WITH DOLLAR BUT TALKS SOME SPECULATIVE BUYS AND CASH. A FINANCIAL TIMES EDITOR SAYS NO BOTTOM YET, THAT BY HISTORICAL STANDARDS THE SCENARIO IS QUITE BAD FOR THE US, THAT BEAR STEARNS WAS NOT ALONE AMONG US FIRMS IN THEIR PROBLEMS, THAT THE MARKET IS EXPECTING 1% PANIC CUT BY FED, AND THAT THE US ECONOMY IS IN DEEP TROUBLE. 3-14-08 early surge based on false benign inflation report (showing no change in retail inflation) from the government gives way to reality that they can’t cover up/lie about (despite intra-day suckers rally) when there is a run on large wall street investment bank bear stearns (first such since the great depression) which cites liquidity crisis as ny fed and jp morgan intervene with 28 day loan as bear is holding high risk (worthless) assets which are illiquid (thinly traded/can’t be sold) as reserves (they are not alone in this regard among the frauds on wallstreet, etc., and only 2 days ago bear said balance sheet stable), all time lows for the dollar, wsj reports majority of economists think we’re in recession, michigan (non-washington non-fed gov’t report) sentiment index at new 16 year low. One ANALYST SAYS DOLLAR WEAKNESS/LOWER YIELDS/ECONOMIC CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE DOWNWARD TREND, INFLATION REPORT SURPRISE/FOOLISH AND HIGHER INFLATION NUMBER FOR MARCH, CRESCENDO OF BAD NEWS IN COMING WEEK AND LOOK FOR NEW LOWS/BOTTOM(?). OIL ANALYST CITES WEAK DOLLAR/EASY MONEY FLOWS AND SAYS LOOK FOR OIL AT $120-$125. ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ITS TOO LATE FOR FED TO TURN THIS WRITEDOWN/SUBPRIME/ECONOMIC DOWNTURN AROUND WITH BEAR ANOTHER $35-$70 BILLION BAD AND WHAT AFTER 28 DAY LOAN-EXPECT TAKEOVER/NO MORE BEAR STEARNS.  3-13-08 SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T ALONE (NOTHING WHATSOEVER) AS STANDARD AND POORS ANALYST SAYS THE END OF WRITEDOWNS MIGHT (BUT NOT QUITE) BE IN SIGHT  (WHICH IS LIKE THAT BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYING HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP)…RIIIIIGHT….. WHICH IS MEANINGLESS COMING FROM STANDARD AND POORS WHICH SHOULD BE ACCOUNTABLE/LIABLE (FOR THIS FRAUD) ALONG WITH THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET, ETC., FOR THE TRIPLE A RATED SECURITIES ON THE BOOKS WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE IN FACT NOT TRIPLE A (WORTHLESS JUNK BONDS, ASSETS, ETC.) SPURRING 200+ POINT SWING TO THE UPSIDE. VAST MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION (EVEN DESPITE ELECTION YEAR GIMMICKS-AS GOOD AS GETS). RETAIL SALES DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED .6%, FORECLOSURES UP 60% YEAR OVER YEAR, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. ONE ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED UNEMPLOYMENT/EMPLOYMENT WEAKNESS, PREMATURE TO SAY AS DID S&P THAT WE’RE NEAR END OF WRITEDOWNS, MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION, HOUSING DOWNTURN MUCH FURTHER TO GO, VERY DEFENSIVE AS STOCKS CONTINUE TO HIT NEW LOWS IN LARGE NUMBERS, WORST OF HOUSING CRISIS AHEAD, AND THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSION ECONOMY. ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS U.S. CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS, LACK OF TRUST IN U.S. FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AND TRIPLE A RATINGS (BONDS, ETC., WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE NOT), BANKS’ NEED FOR RECAPITALIZATION, LOW SAVINGS (IE., CONSUMERS USING IE., GIFT CARDS FOR GROCERIES, ETC.), FED LOSING CREDIBILITY BY FLIP-FLOPS/WRONG MOVES, AND SEES ONLY SHORT-COVERING RALLIES AT BEST. VENEZUELA SHIFT TO PAYMENT IN EUROS FOR OIL OUT OF DOLLARS. YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST SAYS WITH MONEY SUPPLY INCREASING AT EXORBITANT 27% PER ANNUM, CITING ECONOMIST FRIEDMAN SAYS HYPER-INFLATIONARY (CONTRARY TO LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMISTS WHO THIS DAY SEE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS REAL ESTATE DOWN 17.6%, SALES DOWN 40-45%, AND MEDIAN HOME PRICES DOWN $100,000, AND BUDGET DEFICITS ACROSS THE BOARD). 3-12-08VERY MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY ON PANICKY FED KNEE JERK FUNNY MONEY ACTION, ONE ANALYST/BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYS HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP…..RIIIIIGHT…..REFERENCES THAT THIS IS WORST R.E. DOWNTURN IN 100 YEARS AND NO BOTTOM YET IN R.E. AND WSJ SAYS WORSE TO COME IN BAD PAPER (WRITEDOWNS, ETC.), AN OIL ANALYST SAYS RECORD HIGH OIL PRICES ARE HEDGE AGAINST FALLING DOLLAR WITH A LOT OF DOLLARS RELATIVE TO GOODS (AS IE., OIL, OTHER COMMODITIES, ETC.-HYPERINFLATION) AND IF YOU HOLD DOLLARS/DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/SECURITIES YOU LOSE VALUE AND SEES $4.00 GAS NATIONWIDE WITH RECORD DIESEL, WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THAT SEEING FED GO FROM LENDER OF LAST RESORT TO LENDER (PRINTER) OF FIRST RESORT IS WORRISOME/TROUBLESOME.  3-11-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant new EPHEMERAL bubble  rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO ADD $200 BILLION IN WORLDWIDE LIQUIDITY BY TEMPORARILY REPLACING (28 DAYS) ONE TYPE OF FUNNY-MONEY (WORTHLESS SUBPRIME COLLATERALIZED DEBT) WITH ANOTHER LONGER TERM WORTHLESS FUNNY-MONEY (U.S. DEBT WHICH CAN’T BE PAID BACK) WHICH IS A GREAT B.S. TALKING POINT BUT JUST A DROP IN THE BUCKET CONSIDERING THE MAGNITUDE OF THE UNDISCLOSED WRITEDOWNS/WORTHLESS PAPER BEING HELD(AND, CURING A BUBBLE WITH A NEW BUBBLE-I DON'T THINK SO), ONE ANALYST POINTS TO THE HYPERINFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF TOO MUCH LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS AND MORE BAD NEWS TO COME IN TECH SECTOR AND EARNINGS ALONG WITH MORE WRITEOFFS/WRITEDOWNS WITH WORSE TO COME/NO BOTTOM YET AND HE REMAINS A BEAR, LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMIST SAYS BAD BUT NOT TECHNICALLY RECESSION BASED ON GOVERNMENT ELECTION-YEAR DATA (ONLY NUTS AND NUTS FROM THE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS BELIEVE SAME) WHILE TWO OTHER ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS/HIGH INFLATION/LOWER DOLLAR AS FOREIGNERS/INVESTORS GET OUT OF WORTHLESS DOLLAR WITH BIG TROUBLE FOR U.S. POST-ELECTION AS REALITY SETS IN, TRADE GAP WIDENED, AND SMART MONEY WOULD SELL THIS RALLY/TAKE PROFITS. 3-10-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, NEW BANK DOWNGRADES, MORGAN SLASHES EARNINGS ESTIMATES FOR S&P AND SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, EVEN MORE ECONOMISTS NOW SAY THE OBVIOUS/RECESSION, RUMOR THAT BEAR STERNS WITH SUBSTANTIAL LIQUIDITY ISSUES IS GOING UNDER, DOLLAR DOWN, EARNINGS ESTIMATES CUT ON CITIBANK AND BANKOFAMERICA, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) HIGH ENERGY AND FOOD PRICES (CONVENIENTLY LEFT OUT OF THE FED’S “TOUTED” CORE RATE) ARE SQUEEZING THE CONSUMER (AND HENCE, CONSUMPTION/65% OF GDP) AND THAT COMMODITIES A BUBBLE AND MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS/POSITVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO WEAKER DOLLAR PREFERRED, AN OIL ANALYST SAYS $200 OIL POSSIBLE (REITERATING GOLDMAN) WITH CONTINUED WEAKENING OF DOLLAR, ANOTHER ANALYST/JOURNALIST SAYS SELL DOLLAR DENOMINATED STOCKS/SECURITIES/ASSETS WHICH HAVE MUCH FURTHER TO FALL AND REITERATES AS DID BARRON’S THAT MORTGAGE INSURERS HAVE OVER $5 TRILLION IN DEBT/EXPOSURE AND THAT MANY OF THE NATIONS BANKS ARE ALREADY INSOLVENT SO GET OUT OF THE DOLLAR AND U.S. STOCKS.  3-7-08 BAD EMPLOYMENT/JOBS DATA across ALL SECTORS AS 63,000 JOBS LOST WITH DOWNWARD REVISIONS TO DECEMBER AND JANUARY (ACTUALLY LOST 20,000) JOBS NUMBERS, ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN A RECESSION WHILE MORE ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH ONE STATING THAT YOU ALMOST NEVER SEE BACK-TO-BACK MONTHLY DECLINE IN EMPLOYMENT WITHOUT RECESSION AS NOW, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, CONSUMERS INCREASED BORROWING TO STAY AFLOAT, WASHINGTON MUTUAL FURTHER DOWNGRADES, SUPPORT LEVELS BROKEN TO THE DOWNSIDE, sentiment- 85% believe things will get worse.  3-6-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. 23% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES IN FOURTH QUARTER NEW RECORD HIGH, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, 10% OF HOMES WITH 0 OR NEGATIVE EQUITY, MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION SAYS HOME FORECLOSURES AT ALL-TIME HIGH AND GOING HIGHER, ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ROUGH YEAR AHEAD WITH FORECLOSURES AND DEFAULTS UP, ONE ANALYST SAYS MARKET WILL TEST NEW LOWS/SUPPORT LEVELS WITH FLIGHT TO “QUALITY”/TREASURIES, LENDER THORNBURG DEFAULTS AND ALONG WITH WASHINGTON MUTUAL IS DOWNGRADED, CONTINUING CLAIMS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT AT HIGH LEVELS MEANS COMPANIES SHRINKING, IGNORE KNEE-JERK ELECTION YEAR GOVERNMENT HUNKY DORY FAKE REPORTS. 3-5-08 OIL INVENTORIES LESS THAN EXPECTED, FED BEIGE BOOK CITES ECONOMIC WEAKNESS PARTICULARLY SINCE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, LABOR COSTS ROSE, RISING PRICE PRESSURES/STAGFLATION, RECESSION/BEAR MARKET, ONE ANALYST SAYS TOUGH FIRST HALF RECOMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH 50% OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND CONSUMER STAPLES/HEALTH RELATED/DEFENSIVE STOCKS, AMBAC TO FLOAT STOCK TO SHORE UP BALANCE SHEET TO TUNE OF $1.5 BILLION/DILUTION AND  SHARES FALL $2 TO $8.70, OIL ANALYST CITES DECLINE IN OIL INVENTORIES/DIESEL/JET FUEL AND WEAK DOLLAR AND TOP $108-$110 BUT $120-$130 IF VENEZUELA/COLUMBIA CONFLICT AND MORE RECORD HIGH GAS PRICES TO COME, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DECLINE IN REAL ESTATE/HOUSING WITH STARTS DOWN 15-20-40% ON WELL DESERVED PESSIMISM/CREDIT CRUNCH.  3-4-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, 3-3-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. SUCKERS’ INTRA-DAY BEAR MARKET RALLY BASED UPON B**L S**T ALONE (NOTHING WHATSOEVER) TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. ) (DOW +21, NASDAQ -35, S&P –11.6) [CLOSE- OIL $105.68 / GOLD $1002.60 new record/ SILVER $20.11/ PLATINUM $1,959/ DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWs AGAINST EURO above $1.59 intraday, 95.72 YEN, BELOW 1 SWISS FRANC, ETC. (How low can you go)]. LUNATIC/FRAUDS suckers’ bear market/short-covering rally based upon nothing whatsoever. I WARNED AGAINST THE DEBACLE IN IRAQ, I WARNED AGAINST GIVING DUMBYA BUSH WAR POWERS, I WARNED OF THE BUBBLES IN REAL ESTATE AND STOCKS, AND NOW I WARN AGAINST INVESTING IN DOLLAR DENOMINATED SECURITIES OR HOLDING SAME (SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS/SELL). SMART MONEY WOULD SELL ON ANY STRENGTH (TAKE PROFITS). REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts/reporters/journalists bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-14-08) (DOW -195, NASDAQ -51, S&P -27) [CLOSE- OIL $110.21 / GOLD $999.50 new intra-day high ABOVE $1,009/ SILVER $20.66/ PLATINUM $2,076/ DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO NEAR $1.57, BELOW 100 YEN, BELOW 1 SWISS FRANC, ETC. (How low can you go)]. SELL INTO STRENGTH/TAKE PROFITS. early surge based on false benign inflation report (showing no change in retail inflation) from the government gives way to reality that they can’t cover up/lie about (despite intra-day suckers rally) when there is a run on large wall street investment bank bear stearns (first such since the great depression) which cites liquidity crisis as ny fed and jp morgan intervene with 28 day loan as bear is holding high risk (worthless) assets which are illiquid (thinly traded/can’t be sold) as reserves (they are not alone in this regard among the frauds on wallstreet, etc., and only 2 days ago bear said balance sheet stable), all time lows for the dollar, wsj reports majority of economists think we’re in recession, michigan (non-washington non-fed gov’t report) sentiment index at new 16 year low. One ANALYST SAYS DOLLAR WEAKNESS/LOWER YIELDS/ECONOMIC CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE DOWNWARD TREND, INFLATION REPORT SURPRISE/FOOLISH AND HIGHER INFLATION NUMBER FOR MARCH, CRESCENDO OF BAD NEWS IN COMING WEEK AND LOOK FOR NEW LOWS/BOTTOM(?). OIL ANALYST CITES WEAK DOLLAR/EASY MONEY FLOWS AND SAYS LOOK FOR OIL AT $120-$125. ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ITS TOO LATE FOR FED TO TURN THIS WRITEDOWN/SUBPRIME/ECONOMIC DOWNTURN AROUND WITH BEAR ANOTHER $35-$70 BILLION BAD AND WHAT AFTER 28 DAY LOAN-EXPECT TAKEOVER/NO MORE BEAR STEARNS.  3-13-08 SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T ALONE (NOTHING WHATSOEVER) AS STANDARD AND POORS ANALYST SAYS THE END OF WRITEDOWNS MIGHT (BUT NOT QUITE) BE IN SIGHT  (WHICH IS LIKE THAT BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYING HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP)…RIIIIIGHT….. WHICH IS MEANINGLESS COMING FROM STANDARD AND POORS WHICH SHOULD BE ACCOUNTABLE/LIABLE (FOR THIS FRAUD) ALONG WITH THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET, ETC., FOR THE TRIPLE A RATED SECURITIES ON THE BOOKS WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE IN FACT NOT TRIPLE A (WORTHLESS JUNK BONDS, ASSETS, ETC.) SPURRING 200+ POINT SWING TO THE UPSIDE. VAST MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION (EVEN DESPITE ELECTION YEAR GIMMICKS-AS GOOD AS GETS). RETAIL SALES DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED .6%, FORECLOSURES UP 60% YEAR OVER YEAR, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. ONE ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED UNEMPLOYMENT/EMPLOYMENT WEAKNESS, PREMATURE TO SAY AS DID S&P THAT WE’RE NEAR END OF WRITEDOWNS, MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION, HOUSING DOWNTURN MUCH FURTHER TO GO, VERY DEFENSIVE AS STOCKS CONTINUE TO HIT NEW LOWS IN LARGE NUMBERS, WORST OF HOUSING CRISIS AHEAD, AND THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSION ECONOMY. ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS U.S. CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS, LACK OF TRUST IN U.S. FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AND TRIPLE A RATINGS (BONDS, ETC., WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE NOT), BANKS’ NEED FOR RECAPITALIZATION, LOW SAVINGS (IE., CONSUMERS USING IE., GIFT CARDS FOR GROCERIES, ETC.), FED LOSING CREDIBILITY BY FLIP-FLOPS/WRONG MOVES, AND SEES ONLY SHORT-COVERING RALLIES AT BEST. VENEZUELA SHIFT TO PAYMENT IN EUROS FOR OIL OUT OF DOLLARS. YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST SAYS WITH MONEY SUPPLY INCREASING AT EXORBITANT 27% PER ANNUM, CITING ECONOMIST FRIEDMAN SAYS HYPER-INFLATIONARY (CONTRARY TO LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMISTS WHO THIS DAY SEE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS REAL ESTATE DOWN 17.6%, SALES DOWN 40-45%, AND MEDIAN HOME PRICES DOWN $100,000, AND BUDGET DEFICITS ACROSS THE BOARD). 3-12-08VERY MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY ON PANICKY FED KNEE JERK FUNNY MONEY ACTION, ONE ANALYST/BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYS HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP…..RIIIIIGHT…..REFERENCES THAT THIS IS WORST R.E. DOWNTURN IN 100 YEARS AND NO BOTTOM YET IN R.E. AND WSJ SAYS WORSE TO COME IN BAD PAPER (WRITEDOWNS, ETC.), AN OIL ANALYST SAYS RECORD HIGH OIL PRICES ARE HEDGE AGAINST FALLING DOLLAR WITH A LOT OF DOLLARS RELATIVE TO GOODS (AS IE., OIL, OTHER COMMODITIES, ETC.-HYPERINFLATION) AND IF YOU HOLD DOLLARS/DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/SECURITIES YOU LOSE VALUE AND SEES $4.00 GAS NATIONWIDE WITH RECORD DIESEL, WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THAT SEEING FED GO FROM LENDER OF LAST RESORT TO LENDER (PRINTER) OF FIRST RESORT IS WORRISOME/TROUBLESOME.  3-11-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant new EPHEMERAL bubble  rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO ADD $200 BILLION IN WORLDWIDE LIQUIDITY BY TEMPORARILY REPLACING (28 DAYS) ONE TYPE OF FUNNY-MONEY (WORTHLESS SUBPRIME COLLATERALIZED DEBT) WITH ANOTHER LONGER TERM WORTHLESS FUNNY-MONEY (U.S. DEBT WHICH CAN’T BE PAID BACK) WHICH IS A GREAT B.S. TALKING POINT BUT JUST A DROP IN THE BUCKET CONSIDERING THE MAGNITUDE OF THE UNDISCLOSED WRITEDOWNS/WORTHLESS PAPER BEING HELD(AND, CURING A BUBBLE WITH A NEW BUBBLE-I DON'T THINK SO), ONE ANALYST POINTS TO THE HYPERINFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF TOO MUCH LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS AND MORE BAD NEWS TO COME IN TECH SECTOR AND EARNINGS ALONG WITH MORE WRITEOFFS/WRITEDOWNS WITH WORSE TO COME/NO BOTTOM YET AND HE REMAINS A BEAR, LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMIST SAYS BAD BUT NOT TECHNICALLY RECESSION BASED ON GOVERNMENT ELECTION-YEAR DATA (ONLY NUTS AND NUTS FROM THE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS BELIEVE SAME) WHILE TWO OTHER ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS/HIGH INFLATION/LOWER DOLLAR AS FOREIGNERS/INVESTORS GET OUT OF WORTHLESS DOLLAR WITH BIG TROUBLE FOR U.S. POST-ELECTION AS REALITY SETS IN, TRADE GAP WIDENED, AND SMART MONEY WOULD SELL THIS RALLY/TAKE PROFITS. 3-10-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, NEW BANK DOWNGRADES, MORGAN SLASHES EARNINGS ESTIMATES FOR S&P AND SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, EVEN MORE ECONOMISTS NOW SAY THE OBVIOUS/RECESSION, RUMOR THAT BEAR STERNS WITH SUBSTANTIAL LIQUIDITY ISSUES IS GOING UNDER, DOLLAR DOWN, EARNINGS ESTIMATES CUT ON CITIBANK AND BANKOFAMERICA, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) HIGH ENERGY AND FOOD PRICES (CONVENIENTLY LEFT OUT OF THE FED’S “TOUTED” CORE RATE) ARE SQUEEZING THE CONSUMER (AND HENCE, CONSUMPTION/65% OF GDP) AND THAT COMMODITIES A BUBBLE AND MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS/POSITVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO WEAKER DOLLAR PREFERRED, AN OIL ANALYST SAYS $200 OIL POSSIBLE (REITERATING GOLDMAN) WITH CONTINUED WEAKENING OF DOLLAR, ANOTHER ANALYST/JOURNALIST SAYS SELL DOLLAR DENOMINATED STOCKS/SECURITIES/ASSETS WHICH HAVE MUCH FURTHER TO FALL AND REITERATES AS DID BARRON’S THAT MORTGAGE INSURERS HAVE OVER $5 TRILLION IN DEBT/EXPOSURE AND THAT MANY OF THE NATIONS BANKS ARE ALREADY INSOLVENT SO GET OUT OF THE DOLLAR AND U.S. STOCKS.  3-7-08 BAD EMPLOYMENT/JOBS DATA across ALL SECTORS AS 63,000 JOBS LOST WITH DOWNWARD REVISIONS TO DECEMBER AND JANUARY (ACTUALLY LOST 20,000) JOBS NUMBERS, ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN A RECESSION WHILE MORE ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH ONE STATING THAT YOU ALMOST NEVER SEE BACK-TO-BACK MONTHLY DECLINE IN EMPLOYMENT WITHOUT RECESSION AS NOW, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, CONSUMERS INCREASED BORROWING TO STAY AFLOAT, WASHINGTON MUTUAL FURTHER DOWNGRADES, SUPPORT LEVELS BROKEN TO THE DOWNSIDE, sentiment- 85% believe things will get worse.  3-6-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. 23% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES IN FOURTH QUARTER NEW RECORD HIGH, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, 10% OF HOMES WITH 0 OR NEGATIVE EQUITY, MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION SAYS HOME FORECLOSURES AT ALL-TIME HIGH AND GOING HIGHER, ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ROUGH YEAR AHEAD WITH FORECLOSURES AND DEFAULTS UP, ONE ANALYST SAYS MARKET WILL TEST NEW LOWS/SUPPORT LEVELS WITH FLIGHT TO “QUALITY”/TREASURIES, LENDER THORNBURG DEFAULTS AND ALONG WITH WASHINGTON MUTUAL IS DOWNGRADED, CONTINUING CLAIMS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT AT HIGH LEVELS MEANS COMPANIES SHRINKING, IGNORE KNEE-JERK ELECTION YEAR GOVERNMENT HUNKY DORY FAKE REPORTS. 3-5-08 OIL INVENTORIES LESS THAN EXPECTED, FED BEIGE BOOK CITES ECONOMIC WEAKNESS PARTICULARLY SINCE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, LABOR COSTS ROSE, RISING PRICE PRESSURES/STAGFLATION, RECESSION/BEAR MARKET, ONE ANALYST SAYS TOUGH FIRST HALF RECOMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH 50% OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND CONSUMER STAPLES/HEALTH RELATED/DEFENSIVE STOCKS, AMBAC TO FLOAT STOCK TO SHORE UP BALANCE SHEET TO TUNE OF $1.5 BILLION/DILUTION AND  SHARES FALL $2 TO $8.70, OIL ANALYST CITES DECLINE IN OIL INVENTORIES/DIESEL/JET FUEL AND WEAK DOLLAR AND TOP $108-$110 BUT $120-$130 IF VENEZUELA/COLUMBIA CONFLICT AND MORE RECORD HIGH GAS PRICES TO COME, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DECLINE IN REAL ESTATE/HOUSING WITH STARTS DOWN 15-20-40% ON WELL DESERVED PESSIMISM/CREDIT CRUNCH.  3-4-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, 3-3-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. SUCKERS’ INTRA-DAY BEAR MARKET RALLY BASED UPON B**L S**T ALONE (NOTHING WHATSOEVER) TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. (DOW -195, NASDAQ -51, S&P -27) [CLOSE- OIL $110.21 / GOLD $999.50 new intra-day high ABOVE $1,009/ SILVER $20.66/ PLATINUM $2,076/ DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO NEAR $1.57, BELOW 100 YEN, BELOW 1 SWISS FRANC, ETC. (How low can you go)]. SMART MONEY WOULD SELL ON ANY STRENGTH (TAKE PROFITS). REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts/reporters/journalists bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-13-08) (DOW +35, NASDAQ +19, S&P +6) [CLOSE- OIL $110.33  (new RECORD) / GOLD $993.80 new intra-day high ABOVE $1,000 FOR FIRST TIME AT $1,001.50/ SILVER $20.45/ PLATINUM $2,097.50/ DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.56+, BELOW 100 YEN, ETC. (How low can you go)]. SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY (TAKE PROFITS) WHICH IS BASED UPON B**L S**T ALONE (NOTHING WHATSOEVER) AS STANDARD AND POORS ANALYST SAYS THE END OF WRITEDOWNS MIGHT (BUT NOT QUITE) BE IN SIGHT  (WHICH IS LIKE THAT BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYING HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP)…RIIIIIGHT….. WHICH IS MEANINGLESS COMING FROM STANDARD AND POORS WHICH SHOULD BE ACCOUNTABLE/LIABLE (FOR THIS FRAUD) ALONG WITH THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET, ETC., FOR THE TRIPLE A RATED SECURITIES ON THE BOOKS WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE IN FACT NOT TRIPLE A (WORTHLESS JUNK BONDS, ASSETS, ETC.) SPURRING 200+ POINT SWING TO THE UPSIDE. VAST MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION (EVEN DESPITE ELECTION YEAR GIMMICKS-AS GOOD AS GETS). RETAIL SALES DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED .6%, FORECLOSURES UP 60% YEAR OVER YEAR, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY. ONE ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED UNEMPLOYMENT/EMPLOYMENT WEAKNESS, PREMATURE TO SAY AS DID S&P THAT WE’RE NEAR END OF WRITEDOWNS, MAJORITY OF ECONOMISTS NOW SAY WE’RE IN RECESSION, HOUSING DOWNTURN MUCH FURTHER TO GO, VERY DEFENSIVE AS STOCKS CONTINUE TO HIT NEW LOWS IN LARGE NUMBERS, WORST OF HOUSING CRISIS AHEAD, AND THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSION ECONOMY. ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS U.S. CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS, LACK OF TRUST IN U.S. FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AND TRIPLE A RATINGS (BONDS, ETC., WHICH EVERYONE KNOWS ARE NOT), BANKS’ NEED FOR RECAPITALIZATION, LOW SAVINGS (IE., CONSUMERS USING IE., GIFT CARDS FOR GROCERIES, ETC.), FED LOSING CREDIBILITY BY FLIP-FLOPS/WRONG MOVES, AND SEES ONLY SHORT-COVERING RALLIES AT BEST. VENEZUELA SHIFT TO PAYMENT IN EUROS FOR OIL OUT OF DOLLARS. YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST SAYS WITH MONEY SUPPLY INCREASING AT EXORBITANT 27% PER ANNUM, CITING ECONOMIST FRIEDMAN SAYS HYPER-INFLATIONARY (CONTRARY TO LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMISTS WHO THIS DAY SEE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS REAL ESTATE DOWN 17.6%, SALES DOWN 40-45%, AND MEDIAN HOME PRICES DOWN $100,000, AND BUDGET DEFICITS ACROSS THE BOARD). 3-12-08VERY MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY ON PANICKY FED KNEE JERK FUNNY MONEY ACTION, ONE ANALYST/BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYS HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP…..RIIIIIGHT…..REFERENCES THAT THIS IS WORST R.E. DOWNTURN IN 100 YEARS AND NO BOTTOM YET IN R.E. AND WSJ SAYS WORSE TO COME IN BAD PAPER (WRITEDOWNS, ETC.), AN OIL ANALYST SAYS RECORD HIGH OIL PRICES ARE HEDGE AGAINST FALLING DOLLAR WITH A LOT OF DOLLARS RELATIVE TO GOODS (AS IE., OIL, OTHER COMMODITIES, ETC.-HYPERINFLATION) AND IF YOU HOLD DOLLARS/DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/SECURITIES YOU LOSE VALUE AND SEES $4.00 GAS NATIONWIDE WITH RECORD DIESEL, WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THAT SEEING FED GO FROM LENDER OF LAST RESORT TO LENDER (PRINTER) OF FIRST RESORT IS WORRISOME/TROUBLESOME.  3-11-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant new EPHEMERAL bubble  rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO ADD $200 BILLION IN WORLDWIDE LIQUIDITY BY TEMPORARILY REPLACING (28 DAYS) ONE TYPE OF FUNNY-MONEY (WORTHLESS SUBPRIME COLLATERALIZED DEBT) WITH ANOTHER LONGER TERM WORTHLESS FUNNY-MONEY (U.S. DEBT WHICH CAN’T BE PAID BACK) WHICH IS A GREAT B.S. TALKING POINT BUT JUST A DROP IN THE BUCKET CONSIDERING THE MAGNITUDE OF THE UNDISCLOSED WRITEDOWNS/WORTHLESS PAPER BEING HELD(AND, CURING A BUBBLE WITH A NEW BUBBLE-I DON'T THINK SO), ONE ANALYST POINTS TO THE HYPERINFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF TOO MUCH LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS AND MORE BAD NEWS TO COME IN TECH SECTOR AND EARNINGS ALONG WITH MORE WRITEOFFS/WRITEDOWNS WITH WORSE TO COME/NO BOTTOM YET AND HE REMAINS A BEAR, LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMIST SAYS BAD BUT NOT TECHNICALLY RECESSION BASED ON GOVERNMENT ELECTION-YEAR DATA (ONLY NUTS AND NUTS FROM THE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS BELIEVE SAME) WHILE TWO OTHER ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS/HIGH INFLATION/LOWER DOLLAR AS FOREIGNERS/INVESTORS GET OUT OF WORTHLESS DOLLAR WITH BIG TROUBLE FOR U.S. POST-ELECTION AS REALITY SETS IN, TRADE GAP WIDENED, AND SMART MONEY WOULD SELL THIS RALLY/TAKE PROFITS. 3-10-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, NEW BANK DOWNGRADES, MORGAN SLASHES EARNINGS ESTIMATES FOR S&P AND SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, EVEN MORE ECONOMISTS NOW SAY THE OBVIOUS/RECESSION, RUMOR THAT BEAR STERNS WITH SUBSTANTIAL LIQUIDITY ISSUES IS GOING UNDER, DOLLAR DOWN, EARNINGS ESTIMATES CUT ON CITIBANK AND BANKOFAMERICA, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) HIGH ENERGY AND FOOD PRICES (CONVENIENTLY LEFT OUT OF THE FED’S “TOUTED” CORE RATE) ARE SQUEEZING THE CONSUMER (AND HENCE, CONSUMPTION/65% OF GDP) AND THAT COMMODITIES A BUBBLE AND MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS/POSITVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO WEAKER DOLLAR PREFERRED, AN OIL ANALYST SAYS $200 OIL POSSIBLE (REITERATING GOLDMAN) WITH CONTINUED WEAKENING OF DOLLAR, ANOTHER ANALYST/JOURNALIST SAYS SELL DOLLAR DENOMINATED STOCKS/SECURITIES/ASSETS WHICH HAVE MUCH FURTHER TO FALL AND REITERATES AS DID BARRON’S THAT MORTGAGE INSURERS HAVE OVER $5 TRILLION IN DEBT/EXPOSURE AND THAT MANY OF THE NATIONS BANKS ARE ALREADY INSOLVENT SO GET OUT OF THE DOLLAR AND U.S. STOCKS.  3-7-08 BAD EMPLOYMENT/JOBS DATA across ALL SECTORS AS 63,000 JOBS LOST WITH DOWNWARD REVISIONS TO DECEMBER AND JANUARY (ACTUALLY LOST 20,000) JOBS NUMBERS, ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN A RECESSION WHILE MORE ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH ONE STATING THAT YOU ALMOST NEVER SEE BACK-TO-BACK MONTHLY DECLINE IN EMPLOYMENT WITHOUT RECESSION AS NOW, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, CONSUMERS INCREASED BORROWING TO STAY AFLOAT, WASHINGTON MUTUAL FURTHER DOWNGRADES, SUPPORT LEVELS BROKEN TO THE DOWNSIDE, sentiment- 85% believe things will get worse.  3-6-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. 23% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES IN FOURTH QUARTER NEW RECORD HIGH, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, 10% OF HOMES WITH 0 OR NEGATIVE EQUITY, MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION SAYS HOME FORECLOSURES AT ALL-TIME HIGH AND GOING HIGHER, ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ROUGH YEAR AHEAD WITH FORECLOSURES AND DEFAULTS UP, ONE ANALYST SAYS MARKET WILL TEST NEW LOWS/SUPPORT LEVELS WITH FLIGHT TO “QUALITY”/TREASURIES, LENDER THORNBURG DEFAULTS AND ALONG WITH WASHINGTON MUTUAL IS DOWNGRADED, CONTINUING CLAIMS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT AT HIGH LEVELS MEANS COMPANIES SHRINKING, IGNORE KNEE-JERK ELECTION YEAR GOVERNMENT HUNKY DORY FAKE REPORTS. 3-5-08 OIL INVENTORIES LESS THAN EXPECTED, FED BEIGE BOOK CITES ECONOMIC WEAKNESS PARTICULARLY SINCE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, LABOR COSTS ROSE, RISING PRICE PRESSURES/STAGFLATION, RECESSION/BEAR MARKET, ONE ANALYST SAYS TOUGH FIRST HALF RECOMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH 50% OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND CONSUMER STAPLES/HEALTH RELATED/DEFENSIVE STOCKS, AMBAC TO FLOAT STOCK TO SHORE UP BALANCE SHEET TO TUNE OF $1.5 BILLION/DILUTION AND  SHARES FALL $2 TO $8.70, OIL ANALYST CITES DECLINE IN OIL INVENTORIES/DIESEL/JET FUEL AND WEAK DOLLAR AND TOP $108-$110 BUT $120-$130 IF VENEZUELA/COLUMBIA CONFLICT AND MORE RECORD HIGH GAS PRICES TO COME, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DECLINE IN REAL ESTATE/HOUSING WITH STARTS DOWN 15-20-40% ON WELL DESERVED PESSIMISM/CREDIT CRUNCH.  3-4-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, 3-3-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY BASED UPON B**L S**T ALONE (NOTHING WHATSOEVER) TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. (DOW +35, NASDAQ +19, S&P +6) [CLOSE- OIL $110.33  (new RECORD) / GOLD $993.80 new intra-day high ABOVE $1,000 FOR FIRST TIME AT $1,001.50/ SILVER $20.45/ PLATINUM $2,097.50/ DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.56+, BELOW 100 YEN, ETC. (How low can you go)]. SMART MONEY WOULD SELL INTO THIS SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY (TAKE PROFITS). REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts/reporters/journalists bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-12-08) (DOW -47, NASDAQ -12, S&P -12) [CLOSE- OIL $109.92  (new intra-day high $110.20) / GOLD $980.50 / SILVER $20/ PLATINUM $2,070/ DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.55+ (How low can you go)]. VERY MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY ON PANICKY FED KNEE JERK FUNNY MONEY ACTION, ONE ANALYST/BROKER WHO SELLS STOCKS FOR A LIVING SAYS HE’S TRYING TO KEEP CLIENTS IN STOCKS BECAUSE AT SOME POINT THEY’LL GO UP…..RIIIIIGHT…..REFERENCES THAT THIS IS WORST R.E. DOWNTURN IN 100 YEARS AND NO BOTTOM YET IN R.E. AND WSJ SAYS WORSE TO COME IN BAD PAPER (WRITEDOWNS, ETC.), AN OIL ANALYST SAYS RECORD HIGH OIL PRICES ARE HEDGE AGAINST FALLING DOLLAR WITH A LOT OF DOLLARS RELATIVE TO GOODS (AS IE., OIL, OTHER COMMODITIES, ETC.-HYPERINFLATION) AND IF YOU HOLD DOLLARS/DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/SECURITIES YOU LOSE VALUE AND SEES $4.00 GAS NATIONWIDE WITH RECORD DIESEL, WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS THAT SEEING FED GO FROM LENDER OF LAST RESORT TO LENDER (PRINTER) OF FIRST RESORT IS WORRISOME/TROUBLESOME.  3-11-08 Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant new EPHEMERAL bubble  rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO ADD $200 BILLION IN WORLDWIDE LIQUIDITY BY TEMPORARILY REPLACING (28 DAYS) ONE TYPE OF FUNNY-MONEY (WORTHLESS SUBPRIME COLLATERALIZED DEBT) WITH ANOTHER LONGER TERM WORTHLESS FUNNY-MONEY (U.S. DEBT WHICH CAN’T BE PAID BACK) WHICH IS A GREAT B.S. TALKING POINT BUT JUST A DROP IN THE BUCKET CONSIDERING THE MAGNITUDE OF THE UNDISCLOSED WRITEDOWNS/WORTHLESS PAPER BEING HELD(AND, CURING A BUBBLE WITH A NEW BUBBLE-I DON'T THINK SO), ONE ANALYST POINTS TO THE HYPERINFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF TOO MUCH LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS AND MORE BAD NEWS TO COME IN TECH SECTOR AND EARNINGS ALONG WITH MORE WRITEOFFS/WRITEDOWNS WITH WORSE TO COME/NO BOTTOM YET AND HE REMAINS A BEAR, LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMIST SAYS BAD BUT NOT TECHNICALLY RECESSION BASED ON GOVERNMENT ELECTION-YEAR DATA (ONLY NUTS AND NUTS FROM THE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS BELIEVE SAME) WHILE TWO OTHER ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS/HIGH INFLATION/LOWER DOLLAR AS FOREIGNERS/INVESTORS GET OUT OF WORTHLESS DOLLAR WITH BIG TROUBLE FOR U.S. POST-ELECTION AS REALITY SETS IN, TRADE GAP WIDENED, AND SMART MONEY WOULD SELL THIS RALLY/TAKE PROFITS. 3-10-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, NEW BANK DOWNGRADES, MORGAN SLASHES EARNINGS ESTIMATES FOR S&P AND SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, EVEN MORE ECONOMISTS NOW SAY THE OBVIOUS/RECESSION, RUMOR THAT BEAR STERNS WITH SUBSTANTIAL LIQUIDITY ISSUES IS GOING UNDER, DOLLAR DOWN, EARNINGS ESTIMATES CUT ON CITIBANK AND BANKOFAMERICA, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) HIGH ENERGY AND FOOD PRICES (CONVENIENTLY LEFT OUT OF THE FED’S “TOUTED” CORE RATE) ARE SQUEEZING THE CONSUMER (AND HENCE, CONSUMPTION/65% OF GDP) AND THAT COMMODITIES A BUBBLE AND MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS/POSITVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO WEAKER DOLLAR PREFERRED, AN OIL ANALYST SAYS $200 OIL POSSIBLE (REITERATING GOLDMAN) WITH CONTINUED WEAKENING OF DOLLAR, ANOTHER ANALYST/JOURNALIST SAYS SELL DOLLAR DENOMINATED STOCKS/SECURITIES/ASSETS WHICH HAVE MUCH FURTHER TO FALL AND REITERATES AS DID BARRON’S THAT MORTGAGE INSURERS HAVE OVER $5 TRILLION IN DEBT/EXPOSURE AND THAT MANY OF THE NATIONS BANKS ARE ALREADY INSOLVENT SO GET OUT OF THE DOLLAR AND U.S. STOCKS.  3-7-08 BAD EMPLOYMENT/JOBS DATA across ALL SECTORS AS 63,000 JOBS LOST WITH DOWNWARD REVISIONS TO DECEMBER AND JANUARY (ACTUALLY LOST 20,000) JOBS NUMBERS, ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN A RECESSION WHILE MORE ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH ONE STATING THAT YOU ALMOST NEVER SEE BACK-TO-BACK MONTHLY DECLINE IN EMPLOYMENT WITHOUT RECESSION AS NOW, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, CONSUMERS INCREASED BORROWING TO STAY AFLOAT, WASHINGTON MUTUAL FURTHER DOWNGRADES, SUPPORT LEVELS BROKEN TO THE DOWNSIDE, sentiment- 85% believe things will get worse.  3-6-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. 23% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES IN FOURTH QUARTER NEW RECORD HIGH, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, 10% OF HOMES WITH 0 OR NEGATIVE EQUITY, MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION SAYS HOME FORECLOSURES AT ALL-TIME HIGH AND GOING HIGHER, ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ROUGH YEAR AHEAD WITH FORECLOSURES AND DEFAULTS UP, ONE ANALYST SAYS MARKET WILL TEST NEW LOWS/SUPPORT LEVELS WITH FLIGHT TO “QUALITY”/TREASURIES, LENDER THORNBURG DEFAULTS AND ALONG WITH WASHINGTON MUTUAL IS DOWNGRADED, CONTINUING CLAIMS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT AT HIGH LEVELS MEANS COMPANIES SHRINKING, IGNORE KNEE-JERK ELECTION YEAR GOVERNMENT HUNKY DORY FAKE REPORTS. 3-5-08 OIL INVENTORIES LESS THAN EXPECTED, FED BEIGE BOOK CITES ECONOMIC WEAKNESS PARTICULARLY SINCE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, LABOR COSTS ROSE, RISING PRICE PRESSURES/STAGFLATION, RECESSION/BEAR MARKET, ONE ANALYST SAYS TOUGH FIRST HALF RECOMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH 50% OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND CONSUMER STAPLES/HEALTH RELATED/DEFENSIVE STOCKS, AMBAC TO FLOAT STOCK TO SHORE UP BALANCE SHEET TO TUNE OF $1.5 BILLION/DILUTION AND  SHARES FALL $2 TO $8.70, OIL ANALYST CITES DECLINE IN OIL INVENTORIES/DIESEL/JET FUEL AND WEAK DOLLAR AND TOP $108-$110 BUT $120-$130 IF VENEZUELA/COLUMBIA CONFLICT AND MORE RECORD HIGH GAS PRICES TO COME, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DECLINE IN REAL ESTATE/HOUSING WITH STARTS DOWN 15-20-40% ON WELL DESERVED PESSIMISM/CREDIT CRUNCH.  3-4-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, 3-3-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. (DOW -47, NASDAQ -12, S&P -12) [CLOSE- OIL $109.92  (new intra-day high $110.20) / GOLD $980.50 / SILVER $20/ PLATINUM $2,070/ DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.55+ (How low can you go)]. REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts/reporters/journalists bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-11-08) (DOW +417, NASDAQ +86, S&P +47) [CLOSE- OIL $108.75  (new intra-day high $109.72) / GOLD $973 / SILVER $19.65/ PLATINUM $2,053/ DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.54+ (near 1.55-How low can you go)]. Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant new EPHEMERAL bubble  rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO ADD $200 BILLION IN WORLDWIDE LIQUIDITY BY TEMPORARILY REPLACING (28 DAYS) ONE TYPE OF FUNNY-MONEY (WORTHLESS SUBPRIME COLLATERALIZED DEBT) WITH ANOTHER LONGER TERM WORTHLESS FUNNY-MONEY (U.S. DEBT WHICH CAN’T BE PAID BACK) WHICH IS A GREAT B.S. TALKING POINT BUT JUST A DROP IN THE BUCKET CONSIDERING THE MAGNITUDE OF THE UNDISCLOSED WRITEDOWNS/WORTHLESS PAPER BEING HELD(AND, CURING A BUBBLE WITH A NEW BUBBLE-I DON'T THINK SO), ONE ANALYST POINTS TO THE HYPERINFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF TOO MUCH LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS AND MORE BAD NEWS TO COME IN TECH SECTOR AND EARNINGS ALONG WITH MORE WRITEOFFS/WRITEDOWNS WITH WORSE TO COME/NO BOTTOM YET AND HE REMAINS A BEAR, LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS ECONOMIST SAYS BAD BUT NOT TECHNICALLY RECESSION BASED ON GOVERNMENT ELECTION-YEAR DATA (ONLY NUTS AND NUTS FROM THE LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS BELIEVE SAME) WHILE TWO OTHER ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS/HIGH INFLATION/LOWER DOLLAR AS FOREIGNERS/INVESTORS GET OUT OF WORTHLESS DOLLAR WITH BIG TROUBLE FOR U.S. POST-ELECTION AS REALITY SETS IN, TRADE GAP WIDENED, AND SMART MONEY WOULD SELL THIS RALLY/TAKE PROFITS. 3-10-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, NEW BANK DOWNGRADES, MORGAN SLASHES EARNINGS ESTIMATES FOR S&P AND SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, EVEN MORE ECONOMISTS NOW SAY THE OBVIOUS/RECESSION, RUMOR THAT BEAR STERNS WITH SUBSTANTIAL LIQUIDITY ISSUES IS GOING UNDER, DOLLAR DOWN, EARNINGS ESTIMATES CUT ON CITIBANK AND BANKOFAMERICA, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) HIGH ENERGY AND FOOD PRICES (CONVENIENTLY LEFT OUT OF THE FED’S “TOUTED” CORE RATE) ARE SQUEEZING THE CONSUMER (AND HENCE, CONSUMPTION/65% OF GDP) AND THAT COMMODITIES A BUBBLE AND MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS/POSITVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO WEAKER DOLLAR PREFERRED, AN OIL ANALYST SAYS $200 OIL POSSIBLE (REITERATING GOLDMAN) WITH CONTINUED WEAKENING OF DOLLAR, ANOTHER ANALYST/JOURNALIST SAYS SELL DOLLAR DENOMINATED STOCKS/SECURITIES/ASSETS WHICH HAVE MUCH FURTHER TO FALL AND REITERATES AS DID BARRON’S THAT MORTGAGE INSURERS HAVE OVER $5 TRILLION IN DEBT/EXPOSURE AND THAT MANY OF THE NATIONS BANKS ARE ALREADY INSOLVENT SO GET OUT OF THE DOLLAR AND U.S. STOCKS.  3-7-08 BAD EMPLOYMENT/JOBS DATA across ALL SECTORS AS 63,000 JOBS LOST WITH DOWNWARD REVISIONS TO DECEMBER AND JANUARY (ACTUALLY LOST 20,000) JOBS NUMBERS, ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN A RECESSION WHILE MORE ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH ONE STATING THAT YOU ALMOST NEVER SEE BACK-TO-BACK MONTHLY DECLINE IN EMPLOYMENT WITHOUT RECESSION AS NOW, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, CONSUMERS INCREASED BORROWING TO STAY AFLOAT, WASHINGTON MUTUAL FURTHER DOWNGRADES, SUPPORT LEVELS BROKEN TO THE DOWNSIDE, sentiment- 85% believe things will get worse.  3-6-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. 23% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES IN FOURTH QUARTER NEW RECORD HIGH, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, 10% OF HOMES WITH 0 OR NEGATIVE EQUITY, MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION SAYS HOME FORECLOSURES AT ALL-TIME HIGH AND GOING HIGHER, ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ROUGH YEAR AHEAD WITH FORECLOSURES AND DEFAULTS UP, ONE ANALYST SAYS MARKET WILL TEST NEW LOWS/SUPPORT LEVELS WITH FLIGHT TO “QUALITY”/TREASURIES, LENDER THORNBURG DEFAULTS AND ALONG WITH WASHINGTON MUTUAL IS DOWNGRADED, CONTINUING CLAIMS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT AT HIGH LEVELS MEANS COMPANIES SHRINKING, IGNORE KNEE-JERK ELECTION YEAR GOVERNMENT HUNKY DORY FAKE REPORTS. 3-5-08 OIL INVENTORIES LESS THAN EXPECTED, FED BEIGE BOOK CITES ECONOMIC WEAKNESS PARTICULARLY SINCE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, LABOR COSTS ROSE, RISING PRICE PRESSURES/STAGFLATION, RECESSION/BEAR MARKET, ONE ANALYST SAYS TOUGH FIRST HALF RECOMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH 50% OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND CONSUMER STAPLES/HEALTH RELATED/DEFENSIVE STOCKS, AMBAC TO FLOAT STOCK TO SHORE UP BALANCE SHEET TO TUNE OF $1.5 BILLION/DILUTION AND  SHARES FALL $2 TO $8.70, OIL ANALYST CITES DECLINE IN OIL INVENTORIES/DIESEL/JET FUEL AND WEAK DOLLAR AND TOP $108-$110 BUT $120-$130 IF VENEZUELA/COLUMBIA CONFLICT AND MORE RECORD HIGH GAS PRICES TO COME, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DECLINE IN REAL ESTATE/HOUSING WITH STARTS DOWN 15-20-40% ON WELL DESERVED PESSIMISM/CREDIT CRUNCH.  3-4-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, 3-3-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. Suckers’ bear market irrationally exuberant bubble  rally on fed fear and trembling panic move TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. (DOW +417, NASDAQ +86, S&P +47) [CLOSE- OIL $108.75  (new intra-day high $109.72) / GOLD $973 / SILVER $19.65/ PLATINUM $2,053/ DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.54+ (near 1.55-How low can you go)]. REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts/reporters/journalists bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-10-08) (DOW –153, NASDAQ -43, S&P –20) [CLOSE- OIL $107.92 NEW RECORD (NEW INTRA-DAY HIGH ABOVE $108)/ GOLD $971.80 / SILVER $19.79/ PLATINUM $2,039.10/ DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.54 How low can you go]. MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, NEW BANK DOWNGRADES, MORGAN SLASHES EARNINGS ESTIMATES FOR S&P AND SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, EVEN MORE ECONOMISTS NOW SAY THE OBVIOUS/RECESSION, RUMOR THAT BEAR STERNS WITH SUBSTANTIAL LIQUIDITY ISSUES IS GOING UNDER, DOLLAR DOWN, EARNINGS ESTIMATES CUT ON CITIBANK AND BANKOFAMERICA, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS (HYPERINFLATIONARY) HIGH ENERGY AND FOOD PRICES (CONVENIENTLY LEFT OUT OF THE FED’S “TOUTED” CORE RATE) ARE SQUEEZING THE CONSUMER (AND HENCE, CONSUMPTION/65% OF GDP) AND THAT COMMODITIES A BUBBLE AND MULTINATIONALS WITH OVERSEAS EARNINGS/POSITVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO WEAKER DOLLAR PREFERRED, AN OIL ANALYST SAYS $200 OIL POSSIBLE (REITERATING GOLDMAN) WITH CONTINUED WEAKENING OF DOLLAR, ANOTHER ANALYST/JOURNALIST SAYS SELL DOLLAR DENOMINATED STOCKS/SECURITIES/ASSETS WHICH HAVE MUCH FURTHER TO FALL AND REITERATES AS DID BARRON’S THAT MORTGAGE INSURERS HAVE OVER $5 TRILLION IN DEBT/EXPOSURE AND THAT MANY OF THE NATIONS BANKS ARE ALREADY INSOLVENT SO GET OUT OF THE DOLLAR AND U.S. STOCKS.  3-7-08 BAD EMPLOYMENT/JOBS DATA across ALL SECTORS AS 63,000 JOBS LOST WITH DOWNWARD REVISIONS TO DECEMBER AND JANUARY (ACTUALLY LOST 20,000) JOBS NUMBERS, ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN A RECESSION WHILE MORE ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH ONE STATING THAT YOU ALMOST NEVER SEE BACK-TO-BACK MONTHLY DECLINE IN EMPLOYMENT WITHOUT RECESSION AS NOW, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, CONSUMERS INCREASED BORROWING TO STAY AFLOAT, WASHINGTON MUTUAL FURTHER DOWNGRADES, SUPPORT LEVELS BROKEN TO THE DOWNSIDE, sentiment- 85% believe things will get worse.  3-6-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. 23% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES IN FOURTH QUARTER NEW RECORD HIGH, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, 10% OF HOMES WITH 0 OR NEGATIVE EQUITY, MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION SAYS HOME FORECLOSURES AT ALL-TIME HIGH AND GOING HIGHER, ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ROUGH YEAR AHEAD WITH FORECLOSURES AND DEFAULTS UP, ONE ANALYST SAYS MARKET WILL TEST NEW LOWS/SUPPORT LEVELS WITH FLIGHT TO “QUALITY”/TREASURIES, LENDER THORNBURG DEFAULTS AND ALONG WITH WASHINGTON MUTUAL IS DOWNGRADED, CONTINUING CLAIMS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT AT HIGH LEVELS MEANS COMPANIES SHRINKING, IGNORE KNEE-JERK ELECTION YEAR GOVERNMENT HUNKY DORY FAKE REPORTS. 3-5-08 OIL INVENTORIES LESS THAN EXPECTED, FED BEIGE BOOK CITES ECONOMIC WEAKNESS PARTICULARLY SINCE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, LABOR COSTS ROSE, RISING PRICE PRESSURES/STAGFLATION, RECESSION/BEAR MARKET, ONE ANALYST SAYS TOUGH FIRST HALF RECOMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH 50% OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND CONSUMER STAPLES/HEALTH RELATED/DEFENSIVE STOCKS, AMBAC TO FLOAT STOCK TO SHORE UP BALANCE SHEET TO TUNE OF $1.5 BILLION/DILUTION AND  SHARES FALL $2 TO $8.70, OIL ANALYST CITES DECLINE IN OIL INVENTORIES/DIESEL/JET FUEL AND WEAK DOLLAR AND TOP $108-$110 BUT $120-$130 IF VENEZUELA/COLUMBIA CONFLICT AND MORE RECORD HIGH GAS PRICES TO COME, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DECLINE IN REAL ESTATE/HOUSING WITH STARTS DOWN 15-20-40% ON WELL DESERVED PESSIMISM/CREDIT CRUNCH.  3-4-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, 3-3-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. (DOW –153, NASDAQ -43, S&P –20) [CLOSE- OIL $107.92 / GOLD $971.80 / SILVER $19.79/ PLATINUM $2,039.10/ DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.54  How low can you go]. REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts/reporters/journalists bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-7-08) (DOW –146, NASDAQ -8, S&P –11) [CLOSE- OIL $105.45 (NEW INTRA-DAY HIGH ABOVE $106)/ GOLD $974.20 / SILVER $20.14/ PLATINUM $2,025/ DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.54  How low can you go].  MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY, BAD EMPLOYMENT/JOBS DATA across ALL SECTORS AS 63,000 JOBS LOST WITH DOWNWARD REVISIONS TO DECEMBER AND JANUARY (ACTUALLY LOST 20,000) JOBS NUMBERS, ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN A RECESSION WHILE MORE ECONOMISTS SAY RECESSION WITH ONE STATING THAT YOU ALMOST NEVER SEE BACK-TO-BACK MONTHLY DECLINE IN EMPLOYMENT WITHOUT RECESSION AS NOW, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, CONSUMERS INCREASED BORROWING TO STAY AFLOAT, WASHINGTON MUTUAL FURTHER DOWNGRADES, SUPPORT LEVELS BROKEN TO THE DOWNSIDE, sentiment- 85% believe things will get worse.  3-6-08 MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. 23% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES IN FOURTH QUARTER NEW RECORD HIGH, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, 10% OF HOMES WITH 0 OR NEGATIVE EQUITY, MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION SAYS HOME FORECLOSURES AT ALL-TIME HIGH AND GOING HIGHER, ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ROUGH YEAR AHEAD WITH FORECLOSURES AND DEFAULTS UP, ONE ANALYST SAYS MARKET WILL TEST NEW LOWS/SUPPORT LEVELS WITH FLIGHT TO “QUALITY”/TREASURIES, LENDER THORNBURG DEFAULTS AND ALONG WITH WASHINGTON MUTUAL IS DOWNGRADED, CONTINUING CLAIMS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT AT HIGH LEVELS MEANS COMPANIES SHRINKING, IGNORE KNEE-JERK ELECTION YEAR GOVERNMENT HUNKY DORY FAKE REPORTS. 3-5-08 OIL INVENTORIES LESS THAN EXPECTED, FED BEIGE BOOK CITES ECONOMIC WEAKNESS PARTICULARLY SINCE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, LABOR COSTS ROSE, RISING PRICE PRESSURES/STAGFLATION, RECESSION/BEAR MARKET, ONE ANALYST SAYS TOUGH FIRST HALF RECOMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH 50% OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND CONSUMER STAPLES/HEALTH RELATED/DEFENSIVE STOCKS, AMBAC TO FLOAT STOCK TO SHORE UP BALANCE SHEET TO TUNE OF $1.5 BILLION/DILUTION AND  SHARES FALL $2 TO $8.70, OIL ANALYST CITES DECLINE IN OIL INVENTORIES/DIESEL/JET FUEL AND WEAK DOLLAR AND TOP $108-$110 BUT $120-$130 IF VENEZUELA/COLUMBIA CONFLICT AND MORE RECORD HIGH GAS PRICES TO COME, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DECLINE IN REAL ESTATE/HOUSING WITH STARTS DOWN 15-20-40% ON WELL DESERVED PESSIMISM/CREDIT CRUNCH.  3-4-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, 3-3-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. (DOW –146, NASDAQ -8, S&P –11) [CLOSE- OIL $105.45 / GOLD $974.20 / SILVER $20.14/ PLATINUM $2,025/ DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.54  How low can you go]. REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts/reporters/journalists bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-6-08) (DOW -214, NASDAQ -52, S&P –29, RUSSELL 2000 SMALL CAPS -21) [CLOSE- OIL $105.45 new record/ GOLD $979.90 / SILVER $20.23/ PLATINUM $2,177/ DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.53+ ETC. How low can you go]. MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. 23% INCREASE IN FORECLOSURES IN FOURTH QUARTER NEW RECORD HIGH, DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOWS, 10% OF HOMES WITH 0 OR NEGATIVE EQUITY, MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION SAYS HOME FORECLOSURES AT ALL-TIME HIGH AND GOING HIGHER, ONE R.E. ANALYST SAYS ROUGH YEAR AHEAD WITH FORECLOSURES AND DEFAULTS UP, ONE ANALYST SAYS MARKET WILL TEST NEW LOWS/SUPPORT LEVELS WITH FLIGHT TO “QUALITY”/TREASURIES, LENDER THORNBURG DEFAULTS AND ALONG WITH WASHINGTON MUTUAL IS DOWNGRADED, CONTINUING CLAIMS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT AT HIGH LEVELS MEANS COMPANIES SHRINKING, IGNORE KNEE-JERK ELECTION YEAR GOVERNMENT HUNKY DORY FAKE REPORTS. 3-5-08 OIL INVENTORIES LESS THAN EXPECTED, FED BEIGE BOOK CITES ECONOMIC WEAKNESS PARTICULARLY SINCE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, LABOR COSTS ROSE, RISING PRICE PRESSURES/STAGFLATION, RECESSION/BEAR MARKET, ONE ANALYST SAYS TOUGH FIRST HALF RECOMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH 50% OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND CONSUMER STAPLES/HEALTH RELATED/DEFENSIVE STOCKS, AMBAC TO FLOAT STOCK TO SHORE UP BALANCE SHEET TO TUNE OF $1.5 BILLION/DILUTION AND  SHARES FALL $2 TO $8.70, OIL ANALYST CITES DECLINE IN OIL INVENTORIES/DIESEL/JET FUEL AND WEAK DOLLAR AND TOP $108-$110 BUT $120-$130 IF VENEZUELA/COLUMBIA CONFLICT AND MORE RECORD HIGH GAS PRICES TO COME, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DECLINE IN REAL ESTATE/HOUSING WITH STARTS DOWN 15-20-40% ON WELL DESERVED PESSIMISM/CREDIT CRUNCH.  3-4-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, 3-3-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. (DOW -214, NASDAQ -52, S&P –29, RUSSEL 2000 SMALL CAPS -21) [CLOSE- OIL $105.45 new record/ GOLD $979.90 / SILVER $20.23/ PLATINUM $2,177/ DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.53+  How low can you go]. REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts/reporters/journalists bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-5-08) (DOW +41, NASDAQ +12, S&P +6) [CLOSE- OIL $104.57 new record/ GOLD $988.50 new record / SILVER $20.79/ PLATINUM $2,276.10/ DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.53 – How low can you go]. Suckers’ bear market rally into the close TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. OIL INVENTORIES LESS THAN EXPECTED, FED BEIGE BOOK CITES ECONOMIC WEAKNESS PARTICULARLY SINCE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, LABOR COSTS ROSE, RISING PRICE PRESSURES/STAGFLATION, RECESSION/BEAR MARKET, ONE ANALYST SAYS TOUGH FIRST HALF RECOMMENDS MULTINATIONALS WITH 50% OVERSEAS EARNINGS (FAVORABLE CURRENCY TRANSLATION) AND CONSUMER STAPLES/HEALTH RELATED/DEFENSIVE STOCKS, AMBAC TO FLOAT STOCK TO SHORE UP BALANCE SHEET TO TUNE OF $1.5 BILLION/DILUTION AND  SHARES FALL $2 TO $8.70, OIL ANALYST CITES DECLINE IN OIL INVENTORIES/DIESEL/JET FUEL AND WEAK DOLLAR AND TOP $108-$110 BUT $120-$130 IF VENEZUELA/COLUMBIA CONFLICT AND MORE RECORD HIGH GAS PRICES TO COME, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DECLINE IN REAL ESTATE/HOUSING WITH STARTS DOWN 15-20-40% ON WELL DESERVED PESSIMISM/CREDIT CRUNCH.  3-4-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, 3-3-08 Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. Suckers’ bear market rally into the close TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. (DOW +41, NASDAQ +12, S&P +6) [CLOSE- OIL $104.57 new record/ GOLD $988.50 new record / SILVER $20.79/ PLATINUM $2,276.10/ DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.53 – How low can you go]. REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-4-08) (DOW -45, NASDAQ +1, S&P-4) [CLOSE- OIL $99.52/ GOLD $966.30/ SILVER $19.84/ PLATINUM $2,267/DOLLAR – How low can you go]. Suckers’ bear market rally into the close based on b**l s**t alone, viz., rumor/speculation about yet another bailout for wall street/ambac/bond insurers and over 200 point swing to the upside based on nothing whatsoever, one economist/analyst notes this is the deepest housing decline since great depression, bernanke says another spike in foreclosures ahead and proposes reduction of principal amounts in existing loans (sounds like a plan…..riiiiight!), ken shreve finance editor investors business daily says bear market 6-9 months/ don’t try to catch a falling knife as institutions still selling/keep money safe in 3% money market for time being, one oil analyst says oil higher before lower as expected rate cut will further weaken dollar and drive up oil/commodities prices and problems in consumer debt in addition to mortgages and nobody wants to hold dollars, Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. Suckers’ bear market rally into the close TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. (DOW -45, NASDAQ +1, S&P-4) [CLOSE- OIL $99.52/ GOLD $966.30/ SILVER $19.84/ PLATINUM $2,267/DOLLAR – How low can you go]. REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(3-3-08) (DOW -7, NASDAQ -12, S&P-0-) [CLOSE- OIL $102.45 NEW RECORD intraday $103.95/ GOLD $984.20 NEW RECORD intraday $992+/ SILVER $20.07/ PLATINUM $2,241.60/DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO near $1.53]. Suckers’ bear market rally into the close, yes we are in a recession from someone who unlike the frauds on wall street has read security analysis by graham, dodd, and cottle and understands it (warren buffet), all news negative, ie., ism manufacturing index down to 48.3 (contraction), car sales down at gm (-12%) and ford (-7%), construction spending down most in 14 years, oil analysts point to the new highs while economist/analyst says dollar has fallen through all support levels meaning more bottoms to come, INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT, GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. Suckers’ bear market rally into the close TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. (DOW -7, NASDAQ -12, S&P-0-) [CLOSE- OIL $102.45 NEW RECORD intraday $103.95/ GOLD $984.20 NEW RECORD intraday $992+/ SILVER $20.07/ PLATINUM $2,241.60/DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO near $1.53]. REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(2-29-08) (DOW -315, NASDAQ -60, S&P-37) [CLOSE- OIL $101.84/ GOLD $974.30 NEW RECORD/ SILVER $19.81/ PLATINUM $2,161/DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.52+].  
INFLATION OUTPACING CONSUMER SPENDING (EVEN WITH SPENDING NUMBER HIGHER THAN EXPECTED WHICH PROBABLY MEANS REALITY WAS NEGATIVE), CONSUMER CONFIDENCE/SENTIMENT DOWN SHARPLY, CHICAGO MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN INDICATING CONTRACTION, $5.29 BILLION LOSS FOR AIG ON WRITEOFFS, INTRA DAY HIGH FOR OIL OVER $103, INFLATION/WEAK DOLLAR/ECONOMIC WEAKNESS=STAGFLATION, FOURTH MONTHLY DECLINE IN A ROW FOR STOCK MARKET, ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST IF NOT THEN ALMOST IN RECESSION WITH WORSE INFLATION NEWS AND INFLATION ADJUSTED INCOME/SPENDING FLAT, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION AND CITES NEGATIVE SAVINGS RATE AND FURTHER ECONOMIC WEAKNESS, ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED ECONOMIC WEAKNESS WITH FURTHER DOLLAR DECLINE SO BULLISH ON METALS AND BEARISH ON STOCKS, AND YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS INFLATION/RECESSION BUT NOT DEPRESSION…..RIIIIIGHT,
GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here),
Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME. MODEST DROP IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. (DOW -315, NASDAQ -60, S&P-37) [CLOSE- OIL $101.84/ GOLD $974.30 NEW RECORD / SILVER $19.81/ PLATINUM $2,161/DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.52+].   REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(2-28-08) (DOW -112, NASDAQ -22, S&P-12) [CLOSE- OIL $102.59 / GOLD $967.51/ SILVER $19.64/ PLATINUM $2,148/DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.52].  
GDP GROWTH REPORTED MUCH LESS THAN EXPECTED (BUT CLOSER TO REALITY) AT MINISCULE  .6%, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS JUMP 19,000 TO 373,000 AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE POST KATRINA, BERNANKE SAYS CONSUMER WORSE OFF THAN JUST AFTER 911(?) AND THAT SOME BANKS COULD (WILL) FAIL AND THAT STAGFLATION WILL NOT BE AS BAD AS THE 70’S, FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC SHOW MASSIVE LOSSES, ONE ANALYST 50 YEARS IN THE BUSINESS SEES RECESSION AND SAYS FINANCIALS HAVE BECOME IMPENETRABLE IN TERMS OF ANALYSIS/LOSSES, ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS WE’RE NOWHERE NEAR IMPROVEMENT IN R.E./HOUSING MARKET, YET ANOTHER ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS RECESSION WITH HIGHER INFLATION LOWER GROWTH (STAGFLATION) AND THAT FED FORECASTS HAVE BEEN WRONG AND ONLY RECESSION TO BRING DOWN INFLATION,  new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO AND SWISS FRANC (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.)
WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.64, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK, FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here),
Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME, MODEST DROP RELATIVE TO REALITY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. (DOW -112, NASDAQ -22, S&P-12) [CLOSE- OIL $102.59 / GOLD $967.51/ SILVER $19.64/ PLATINUM $2,148/DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.52].  REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(2-27-08) (DOW +9, NASDAQ +8, S&P-1) [CLOSE- OIL $100.85 / GOLD $961.30/ SILVER $19.18/ PLATINUM $2,136/DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $1.51]  
new record LOW FOR DOLLAR AGAINST EURO (AND EVEN WORTH LESS THAN THE LOWLY CANADIAN LOONEY, ETC.) WHICH ALONG WITH DEFICIT SPENDING IS HYPERINFLATIONARY AS OIL SEES NEW INTRADAY HIGH OF $102.08, SALES/ORDERS OF DURABLE GOODS DOWN MORE THAN EXPECTED 5.3%, BERNANKE’S NEGATIVE COMMENTS ON GREENSPAN RECESSION PROMISES RATE CUTS FOR NEW BUBBLE WHICH RALLIES STOCKS, ONE ANALYST SAYS BANKS AS THEIR OWN INSURERS INCREASES RISK, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS CONTINUED DEFICIT SPENDING INCREASES INFLATIONARY PROBLEMS/RISK,
FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALYST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here),
Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME, LUNATICS’/SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(2-26-08) (DOW +114, NASDAQ +17, S&P+9) [CLOSE- OIL $100.88 (new record) / GOLD $948.90/ SILVER $18.72/ PLATINUM $2,155.90/DOLLAR AT NEW RECORD LOW AGAINST EURO $149.98] FORECLOSURES/BANK REPO’S UP 90% YEAR OVER YEAR, REGULATORS PREDICT OVER 100 BANK FAILURES, FORECLOSURES UP 57% IN JANUARY, WHOLESALE INFLATION UP MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 7.5% (CORE RATE 4+%), 9% DROP IN HOME VALUES/PRICES, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOWN TO 17 YEAR LOW, ELECTION YEAR/PROTECT INCOMPETENT INCUMBENT GOV’T PRINTING WORTHLESS DOLLARS LIKE MAD WITH EXCESS LIQUIDITY CHASING TOO FEW GOODS (IE., FOOD UP 6%, ETC.) WHICH IS HYPER-INFLATIONARY, ECONOMIST/ANALIST DR. KELLNER SAYS EASIER MONEY/FISCAL PACKAGE WON’T REFLATE HOUSING MARKET (RECESSION), ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS IN BEAR MARKET/RECESSION RECOMMENDS DEFENSIVE/PREFERRED STOCKS/BONDS/CASH, DR. SHILLER- CASE-SHILLER INDEX- HOME VALUES CONTINUED DECLINE AND IN OR ABOUT TO ENTER RECESSION (that’s already here), Stiglitz Blames Greenspan For Recession, IBM ON $15 BILLION BUYBACK AND JAWBONING AND SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES MARKET (WHAT BULL S**T),  SHARPLY LOWER AND MORE WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, FOOD PRICES UP 6% ON ETHANOL CROWD-OUT,  HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME, LUNATICS’/SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET RALLY/FRAUD IN THE INDUCEMENT  TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(2-25-08) (DOW +189, NASDAQ +24, S&P+16) [CLOSE- OIL $99.23 / GOLD $940.50 / SILVER $18.09 / PLATINUM $2,153] GOOD MONEY AFTER BAD BAILOUT/ REAFFIRMANCE OF TRIPLE RATING ON MBIA/AMBAC BOND INSURERS (REMEMBER THOSE TRIPLE A RATE SECURITIZED SUB PRIME MORTGAGES…..MORE BULL S**T) ALONG WITH WORTHLESS DOLLAR/HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY CREATES YET ANOTHER B.S. SWING OF OVER 300 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE, HOME SALES DOWN 5.5% / MEDIAN SALES PRICE DOWN 4.6%, ONE R.E. EXPERT SAYS WITH SALES FALLING AND FORECLOSURES RISING WORSE YET TO COME, LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FELL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% TO COME, lunatics’/suckers’ bear market rally TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING. REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(2-22-08) (DOW +96, NASDAQ +3, S&P+10) NOT SINCE THE GREAT DEPRESSION HAVE MORE PEOPLE IN U.S. OWED MORE ON THEIR HOMES THAN THEY ARE WORTH (10% OR 9 MILLION WHOSE HOMES WORTH LESS THAN MORTGAGE DEBT), MORTGAGE INSURERS AMBAC, MBIA, AND FREDDIE MAC AND FANNY MAE DOWNGRADED, NEWS OF (ACCORDING TO ONE ANALYST) GOOD MONEY AFTER BAD BAILOUT CREATES B.S. SWING OF OVER 200 POINTS TO THE UPSIDE WHILE BOFA (BANKS) SEEKING BAILOUT (EVEN AS COUNTRYWIDE CULPRITS SET TO PARTY IN LAVISH STYLE IN PALATIAL SETTING), HOW ABOUT ACCOUNTABILITY AND SOURCE OF BAILOUT FROM FUNDS OF THOSE WHO FINANCIALLY BENEFITTED FROM THE FRAUD ALONG WITH PROSECUTION OF AND DISGORGEMENT FROM THE COMMISSIONEES/WALL STREET FRAUDS/EXECUTIVES, ETC., ONE R.E. ANALYST REPORTS FALL OF MEDIAN HOME SALES PRICE IN BUBBLE BANANA REPUBLIC CALIFORNIA OF OVER $100,000, DOLLAR DOWN, NOTHING HAS FUNDAMENTALLY CHANGED;  (2-21-08) (DOW -143, NASDAQ -27, S&P-18) LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FALL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% YET TO COME, COMMODITIES/METALS UP; LUNAR ECLIPSE FULL MOON EFFECT (2-20-08) SPARKS lunatics’/suckers’ bear market RALLY (200 POINT SWING TO UPSIDE) ON WORSE THAN EXPECTED NEWS, INFLATION (PROBABLY HIGHER THAN REPORTED) EXCEEDS EXPECTATIONS WITH CORE RATE UP 3% AND HEADLINE RATE UP 4.3%, KKR FOR SECOND TIME DELAYS REPAYMENT OF COMMERCIAL PAPER, FAKE REPORT ON NEW CONSTRUCTION (UNSELLABLE CONDOS/CONVERSIONS) UP .8% BUT BUILDING APPLICATIONS/PERMITS DOWN HEFTY 3% (WORSE SINCE 1991), FED MINUTES SAY ECONOMY WILL DECLINE/SLOW FASTER THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED WITH HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT AND INFLATION HENCE STAGFLATION AS WELL AS HOUSING WEAKNESS TO CONTINUE, ZOGBY POLL-MORE THAN HALF OF AMERICANS SAY RECESSION THIS YEAR BECAUSE WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE ELECTION YEAR INCUMBENT SPIN, NEW RECORD HIGH OIL PRICES AND DOLLAR WEAKNESS, THINGS SO BAD THAT MORE CONTRAINDICATED RATE CUTS (HYPERINFLATIONARY IN LIGHT OF MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS) ARE EXPECTED, ONE REAL ESTATE ANALYST SAYS OFFICE AND RETAIL NOW BEING HIT INDICATIVE OF MUCH MORE PAIN TO COME, HEWLETT PACKARD WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES NASDAQ, THIS MARKET IS FRAUD IN THE FACTUM AND INDUCEMENT; WALMART RALLIES COMMISSIONS PRODUCING UPSWING  BY MATCHING EXPECTATIONS (WHAT- FOR INCREASED TRADE DEFICIT WITH CHINA, SAYS DISCOUNTS SPURRED SALES TO RESCUE DISMAL HOLIDAY SEASON, CROWDS OUT OTHER RETAILERS, OUTLOOK CAUTIOUS) WAS BACKWARD LOOKING AGAIN TO FOURTH QUARTER FOLLOWED BY HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY AS  DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’VE NOT SEEN MARKET BOTTOM YET, WHILE ANOTHER (OIL) ANALYST SAYS WE’VE NOT SEEN MARKET TOP (FOR OIL PRICES) YET, CREDIT SWISSE TO WRITE DOWN $2.8 BILLION IN OVERVALUED ASSETS/SUSPENDS TRADERS,  Institutional Money Continues to Flow Out of Stocks, Credit Crisis Losses Will Put Black Monday in the Shade , ANALYSTS/FINANCIAL REPORTERS PUZZLED OVER CRAZY LACK OF REACTION ON WALL STREET TO UNEXPECTEDLY NEGATIVE ECONOMIC DATA/NEWS (ON 2-15-08) WHICH SURPRISE IS WHAT ONE EXPECTS WHEN WITNESSING CRAZY BEHAVIOR UNTIL THEY REALIZE THEY ARE IN THE PSYCHO WARD OF AN INSTITUTION WHICH IS WALL STREET THE INSTITUTION FOR THE CRIMINALLY INSANE PROPELLED BY GREED/FRAUD, Citigroup bars investor exits from hedge fund , Bleak economic reports signal recession, CONSUMER SENTIMENT INDEX DOWN FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS (16 YEAR LOW) AND ALWAYS HAS INDICATED RECESSION, NEW YORK MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN SHARPLY AND 3 TIMES WORSE THAN EXPECTED, IMPORTED GOODS PRICE INDEX UP MORE THAN EXPECTED 1.7%, ONE RESPECTED ANALYST SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION AND BEAR MARKETAND HOLD CASH AND DON’T TRY TO ‘CATCH THE FALLING KNIFE’, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS GLOBAL BEAR MARKET AND A LOT OF NEGATIVE NEWS HASN’T YET HIT ECONOMY AND BANKS WEAK ON WRITEDOWNS AND BORROWING COSTS, OIL ANALYST SEES $100 OIL, BEST BUY LOWERS 2008 GUIDANCE/OUTLOOK, SOBERING VIEW OF DETERIORATING ECONOMY FROM BERNANKE (WHO INHERITED SAME FROM B.S. ARTIST/INCOMPETENT GREENSPAN – REMEMBER THE ENVY OF ALL THE WORLD SPEECHES…..RIIIIIGHT…..IF MEASURED IN DEFICITS, WORTHLESSNESS OF CURRENCY, ETC.) AS ECONOMIC PROSPECTS FOR THE ECONOMY HAVE DETERIORATED BEYOND EXPECTATION AND THAT CONSUMER SPENDING WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED TO THE DOWNSIDE, UBS WITH MORE WRITEDOWNS($13BILLION)/LOSSES/NEGATIVE GUIDANCE, FGIC BOND INSURER DOWNGRADE BY MOODY’S, HOME PRICES FELL A QUARTERLY RECORD 5.8% (-17% IN BUBBLE BANANA REPUBLIC CALIFORNIA), ONE ANALYST SAYS BOTTOM FISHING IN A MARKET AS THIS IS LIKE ‘TRYING TO CATCH A FALLING KNIFE’, FALSE REPORTS FROM GOVERNMENT NO HELP, FIRST BASED ON MULTINATIONAL ‘DEFENSIVE’  STOCK WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) COCA COLA RALLIES STOCKS, THEN SCANDAL-SCARRED, CORRUPT COMMERCE DEPARTMENT OF THE LIE-PRONE U.S. GOVERNMENT (THEY LIE ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING) WHICH LIES HAVE LED TO WAR CRIMES, NATIONAL DECLINE, SUB-PRIME MELTDOWN, HUGE FRAUDS, ETC., AS STOCKS RALLY FURTHER WITH FALSE GOV’T REPORT OF JANUARY RETAIL SALES 200% (UP A WEAK .3% INSTEAD OF DOWN .3% - ALL ACTUAL REPORTS IN JANUARY WERE DOWN -  THE AUTO COMPANIES/DEALERS KNOW HOW MANY CARS AND OTHER RETALILERS HOW MANY GOODS THEY’VE SOLD) BETTER THAN EXPECTED BY ECONOMISTS, ETC., NEXT WAVE OF IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE/FURTHER/FRAUD CAME WITH BUSH SIGNING THE ECONOMICALLY  INNEFECTIVE ELECTION-YEAR STIMULOUS PLAN WHICH HAS BEEN DISCOUNTED IRRATIONALLY TO THE UPSIDE MANY TIMES ALREADY, ONE ANALYST SAYS RETAIL SALES NUMBER BY COMMERCE DEPARTMENT NOT TO BE BELIEVED AND FINANCIALS WILL REMAIN A MINEFIELD WITH MORE DOWNGRADES AND DOLLAR WILL CONTINUE TO BE UNDER PRESSURE WITH INFLATIONARY EFFECT AND NEW WALL STREET STRATEGY SEEMS TO BE BUY INTO THE BAD NEWS (RIIIIIGHT!)AND THE LOW VOLUME RALLY SUSPECT (SINCE BASED UPON NOTHING WHATSOEVER), ANOTHER R.E. ANALYST SAYS REAL ESTATE WEAKNESS WILL CONTINUE, OVER 200 POINT SWING TO THE POSITIVE (ON 2-11-08) ALONG WITH  SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT COVERING RALLIES BASED ON NOTHING BUT BULL S**T ALONE, REINSURANCE BY BERKSHIRE BUFFET TOO EXPENSIVE (AND LIMITED TO MUNICIPALS) TO HELP AND REJECTED BY SOME BOND INSURERS IS STILL B.S. TALKING POINT FOR THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET AS IS THE 30 DAY EXTENSION FOR DEFAULTS/FORECLOSURES SINCE 95% DON’T QUALIFY FOR WORKOUT AND FOR WHICH PROPERTIES HAVE NO EQUITY WHATSOEVER, ONE ANALYST SAYS GM WHICH REPORTED RECORD $38.7 BILLION 2007 LOSS ALONG WITH FORD HAVE NO BOOK VALUE AFTER REMOVING GOOD WILL (THEY’RE BROKE!), ONE BANK REPORTS FIRST LOSS EVER AND CUTS DIVIDEND RALLYING THE STOCK (RIIIIIGHT), PREVIOUS HIGH OIL PRICES RALLY STOCKS (RIIIIIGHT), AIG DOWN 11% ON DOWNGRADE/HIGHER THAN EXPECTED LOSSES IN ASSETS/SUBPRIME DERIVATIVES, ONE ANALYST/TRADER SAYS SELL INTO RALLIES WHILE ANOTHER SAYS STIMULUS PLAN JUST ELECTION YEAR SHOW AND WON’T DO ANYTHING BUT INCREASE BUDGET DEFICIT AND AT BEST INCREASE TRADE DEFICIT (PLASMA TV’S, ETC.), BOND INSURER SECURITY CAPITAL DOWNGRADED, ONE ANALYST QUOTES JOHN TEMPLETON (WHO HAPPENS TO HAVE SAID THE MARKET IS GOING TO CRASH) AND SAYS IN EFFECT THAT VOLATILE MARKETS AHEAD, EMERGING/GLOBAL MARKETS/COMMODITY EXPORTERS WILL FARE BEST, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PACKAGE WILL NOT WORK SINCE TOO SMALL AND SOME WILL NOT SPEND NOR WILL RATE CUTS WORK AS INFLATION NOT CONTROLLED AND CONSUMER/CORPORATE CONFIDENCE DOWN, DOLLAR DOWN, OIL UP TO CLOSE AT $93.27, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS INCREASE IN WHOLESALE INVENTORIES AND INCREASED MORTGAGE AND CREDIT CARD  DEFAULTS WILL SURPRISE TO THE DOWNSIDE AND OTHER THAN AN OCCASIONAL SHORT–COVERING RALLY NOT MUCH UPSIDE MOMENTUM EVEN WITH (HYPERINFLATIONARY) PUMP-PRIMING BY FED, DOLLAR DOWN,  RETAIL SALES WEAKEST IN 40 YEARS, GLOOMY OUTLOOKS FROM BOTH CISCO AND WALMART (JANUARY SALES AT .5% UP FAR LESS THAN EXPECTATIONS) RALLIES BOTH STOCKS, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, R.E. EXPERT/ANALYST SAYS ANOTHER 15% DECLINE IN HOME PRICES FOR 2008 WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS DECLINING REAL ESTATE PRICES INTO 2009, ON TODAYS UP MARKET ANALYST SAYS THEY’RE TRYING TO MAKE A SILK PURSE FROM A SOW’S EAR IN LIGHT OF BAD ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL NUMBERS, UNEMPLOYMENT ROLLS HIGHEST SINCE JUST AFTER KATRINA, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PLAN WILL NOT WORK SINCE SAME DOES NOT ADDRESS THE UNDERLYING PROBLEMS ALTHOUGH BULL S**T TALKING POINT SPIKES STOCK PRICES ON NEWS OF SENATE RESOLUTION, DOWNGRADES ON GM AND FORD CITING ACCELERATING WEAKNESS OF CONSUMERS/SPENDING, TOLL BROTHERS HOUSING CONTRACTS DOWN 46% AND CEO SAYS HE SEES NO END TO THE TURMOIL IN SIGHT, TIME WARNER NET DOWN 41% AND DISNEY NET DOWN 26% BUT BETTER THAN EXPECTED…..RIIIIIGHT…..STILL BACKWARD LOOKING AT FOURTH QUARTER WHEN SAME HAS BEEN OPTIMALLY DISCOUNTED ALREADY, TWO FED BANK PRESIDENTS SAY THEY MUST REMAIN VIGILANT AGAINST(HYPER)INFLATION (THEY KNOW FED’S BEEN PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD), MACY’S TO CUT JOBS ON POOR RESULTS/OUTLOOK, AFTER THE BELL-LESS THAN ROSY OUTLOOK BY CISCO, fake (GOVERNMENT) report on productivity down to low 1.8% from 6% previously but still better than expected, ONE ANALYST SAYS GLOBAL SELLING OF DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/StOCKS, ANOTHER SAYS BEAR MARKET AND ALL SECTORS/GROUPS DOWN, THE ism (non-government report) service sector (now 2/3 of u.s. economy) index drops in january, 2008 far below expectations to 41.9 (less than 50% indicates contraction), more downgrades of consumer finance companies and banks, ken shreve of investors business daily says significant institutional selling and stock prices have not seen bottom yet, jeff lacker of richmond fed now uttering the ‘r’ word (recession), $3 Trillion budget with $400+ billion budget deficit, oil inventories up on fake (GOVERNMENT) report, factory orders up 2.3% on fake (GOVERNMENT) report and 2007 worse year since 2003, 200 lenders went out of business in 2007, another rate cut already discounted but rates up, MONOPOLY COMPANY (WITH MONEY TO BURN AND WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS EARNINGS) MICROSOFT’S RICH TAKEOVER BID FOR YAHOO (IF THEY DO FOR YAHOO MAIL WHAT THEY DO FOR THEIR OWN HOTMAIL, DISASTER IN THE MAKING AND DON’T FORGET THE EXPERTS WHO UNIVERSALLY PAN THEIR MONEY-MAKING VISTA) SPURred IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT STOCK PRICE RALLY DESPITE UNEXPECTEDLY LARGE LOSS OF 17,000 JOBS (A GAIN OF 70-80 THOUSAND WAS EXPECTED-LOSSES IN MANUFACTURING, CONSTRUCTION, FINANCE, AND EVEN BROKE GOVERNMENT SECTOR), CONSTRUCTION SPENDING DOWN, MORE BANK AND BOND COMPANY LOSSES ACKNOWLEDGED TO COME, MORE BACKWARD-LOOKING (TO fourth quarter) earnings b.s. talking points; ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER WHO SAYS WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION FURTHER POINTS OUT THAT STIMULUS PLAN AND RATE CUTS WON’T WORK SINCE THEY DON’T ADDRESS THE PROBLEM WHICH INCLUDES VALUATION OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES AND CONSEQUENT LOSSES TO BOND INSURERS, BANKS, ETC., AND PREDICTS FURTHER PRICE EROSION (-15-20%) IN REAL ESTATE PRICES COUNTRYWIDE; stimulus plan washington incompetents and dumbya bush (protect those incumbents with more bull s**t/spin/fraud) pledging more money they don’t have (print more/borrow more – hyperinflationary and stagflation - the fact is that they couldn’t borrow/print enough to remedy ie., the subprime fraud, etc.), one analyst recently explained that even as the DOW recently had hit new highs in u.s. as measured in real money, ie., gold, foreign currencies, etc., the DOW has actually fallen 70%, all of which foreign currencies are stronger against the weak dollar which will continue to decline which creates hyperinflation and exodus from same by global investors except those who are picking up prime u.s. financial assets on the cheap owing to u.s. desperation and greed (pay packages, compensation, etc.), P/E ratio analysis/comparison no longer apposite in light of declining dollar/fake reports/inflation which should be reflected in same (but is not), DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY ON NEWS OF CUT (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING, AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), AS GOLD PREVIOUSLY HIT NEW INTRA-DAY RECORD HIGH AT $954.40 [CLOSED THIS DAY AT $940.50/SILVER $18.09/PLATINUM $2,153] AS DID PLATINUM ALONG WITH OTHER METALS/COMMODITIES AND OIL HIT OVER $100 (CLOSED AT $98.81 THIS DAY), AN ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN AN EARNINGS RECESSION AND HE IS ON THE BEAR SIDE OF THE LEGER, GOVERNMENT REPORTS LESS THAN EXPECTED GDP GROWTH IN FOURTH QUARTER AT .6% WHICH PROBABLY MEANS NEGATIVE SINCE THE GOVERNMENT LIES ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING, CASE/Shiller index-home prices fell 97% in fourth quarter, new home sales down a record 26% in 2007 (-4.7% in December, 2007), another analyst says we’re in recession while another says inflation is a significant problem moving forward (stagflation), dollar down, incumbents (just in time for the election) hoping to divert attention from their failed policies domestically, geopolitically, economically and otherwise as spending money they don’t have (they’re printing same and borrowing like crazy) will increase deficits and along with lower interest rates lower the value of the already worthless/internationally scorned dollar and dollar denominated assets including stocks (which rallied today despite the bad news) while as expected, hyperinflationary effects on oil, gold, commodity, etc., prices already immediately evident in today’s trading.  ADP, a jersey based company not unfamiliar to the fraud/crime of placing fake/non-existent employees on payrolls to facilitate (illegal/drug) money laundering plays ball (I’m sure for a price/favor) with the frauds on wall street with a figure SUBSTANTIALLY EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS of PRIVATE SECTOR JOB GAINS (130,000). MERRILL LYNCH DOWNGRADED. UBS ANOTHER $14 BILLION IN WRITE-DOWNS ALONG WITH ANOTHER $8 BILLION FROM SOCIETE GENERALE. BOND INSURERS DOWNGRADES (WHICH WILL COST BANKS ANOTHER $40 BILLION) AND SEE ANOTHER $11 BILLION IN LOSSES. The MANTRA is the so-called stimulus plan, the logistics and length of time involved in Katrina-like execution guarantee only to forestall recognition of and accountability for ineptitude/corruption that leaves america, unlike during the great depression when america was neither globally hated nor broke as today, with a Weimar-Republic-like currency and continued failed leadership/policies and obfuscation of existing unsolved problems through blatant falsehoods, false data/reports,corruption, etc.. Housing prices for the first time since the great depression have fallen significantly and nationally. ALL PROBLEMS REMAIN. NOTHING HAS BEEN SOLVED. NOTHING HAS CHANGED except to give bull s**t/spin talking points to those responsible for u.s. decline. (ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER, MERRIL LYNCH ECONOMIST, AMONG OTHERS…..ALREADY IN RECESSION), greater than expected downturn in housing starts at  –14%, mortgage insurer credit downgrades, manufacturing down, merrill lynch posts record $10 billion loss, bankruptcies up 40%, industrial production flat, inflation up and much higher than reported ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN THIRD MONTH IN A ROW, DEFAULTS UP, Housing down, inflation up, consumer confidence near lows, TRADE DEFICIT NEAR RECORD AND ABOVE EXPECTATIONS, RETAIL SALES DOWN AND FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS, ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE JAWBONING (BULL S**T) TO THE CONTRARY, 4th quarter earnings discounted long ago, fake economic reports/data, more bull s**t/spin, dollar to fall even further with fed panic and inflation to rise-hyperinflation/stagflation, lunatics’/suckers’ bear market rally TO KEEP THE SUCKERS SUCKERED AND THE COMPUTERIZED COMMISSION TRADE DOLLARS FLOWING (DOW +96, NASDAQ +3, S&P+10).  REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(2-21-08) (DOW -143, NASDAQ -27, S&P-18) LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FALL FOR FOURTH MONTH IN A ROW (-.1%), PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX UNEXPECTEDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index fell to a -24, indicating a sharp contraction in the region's manufacturing activity. Economists had anticipated a reading of -10, a less pronounced contraction. Last month the reading came in at -20.9.), ONE ECONOMIST/ANALYST SAYS SIGNIFICANT INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT-STAGFLATION-AHEAD ALONG WITH CONTINUED DEFLATION OF HOUSING BUBBLE WITH NATIONWIDE AVERAGE PRICE DECLINE OF 8-10% AND ANOTHER DECLINE OF 15-20% YET TO COME, COMMODITIES/METALS UP; LUNAR ECLIPSE FULL MOON EFFECT (2-20-08) SPARKS lunatics’/suckers’ bear market RALLY (200 POINT SWING TO UPSIDE) ON WORSE THAN EXPECTED NEWS, INFLATION (PROBABLY HIGHER THAN REPORTED) EXCEEDS EXPECTATIONS WITH CORE RATE UP 3% AND HEADLINE RATE UP 4.3%, KKR FOR SECOND TIME DELAYS REPAYMENT OF COMMERCIAL PAPER, FAKE REPORT ON NEW CONSTRUCTION (UNSELLABLE CONDOS/CONVERSIONS) UP .8% BUT BUILDING APPLICATIONS/PERMITS DOWN HEFTY 3% (WORSE SINCE 1991), FED MINUTES SAY ECONOMY WILL DECLINE/SLOW FASTER THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED WITH HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT AND INFLATION HENCE STAGFLATION AS WELL AS HOUSING WEAKNESS TO CONTINUE, ZOGBY POLL-MORE THAN HALF OF AMERICANS SAY RECESSION THIS YEAR BECAUSE WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE ELECTION YEAR INCUMBENT SPIN, NEW RECORD HIGH OIL PRICES AND DOLLAR WEAKNESS, THINGS SO BAD THAT MORE CONTRAINDICATED RATE CUTS (HYPERINFLATIONARY IN LIGHT OF MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS) ARE EXPECTED, ONE REAL ESTATE ANALYST SAYS OFFICE AND RETAIL NOW BEING HIT INDICATIVE OF MUCH MORE PAIN TO COME, HEWLETT PACKARD WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES NASDAQ, THIS MARKET IS FRAUD IN THE FACTUM AND INDUCEMENT; WALMART RALLIES COMMISSIONS PRODUCING UPSWING  BY MATCHING EXPECTATIONS (WHAT- FOR INCREASED TRADE DEFICIT WITH CHINA, SAYS DISCOUNTS SPURRED SALES TO RESCUE DISMAL HOLIDAY SEASON, CROWDS OUT OTHER RETAILERS, OUTLOOK CAUTIOUS) WAS BACKWARD LOOKING AGAIN TO FOURTH QUARTER FOLLOWED BY HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY AS  DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’VE NOT SEEN MARKET BOTTOM YET, WHILE ANOTHER (OIL) ANALYST SAYS WE’VE NOT SEEN MARKET TOP (FOR OIL PRICES) YET, CREDIT SWISSE TO WRITE DOWN $2.8 BILLION IN OVERVALUED ASSETS/SUSPENDS TRADERS,  Institutional Money Continues to Flow Out of Stocks, Credit Crisis Losses Will Put Black Monday in the Shade , ANALYSTS/FINANCIAL REPORTERS PUZZLED OVER CRAZY LACK OF REACTION ON WALL STREET TO UNEXPECTEDLY NEGATIVE ECONOMIC DATA/NEWS (ON 2-15-08) WHICH SURPRISE IS WHAT ONE EXPECTS WHEN WITNESSING CRAZY BEHAVIOR UNTIL THEY REALIZE THEY ARE IN THE PSYCHO WARD OF AN INSTITUTION WHICH IS WALL STREET THE INSTITUTION FOR THE CRIMINALLY INSANE PROPELLED BY GREED/FRAUD, Citigroup bars investor exits from hedge fund , Bleak economic reports signal recession, CONSUMER SENTIMENT INDEX DOWN FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS (16 YEAR LOW) AND ALWAYS HAS INDICATED RECESSION, NEW YORK MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN SHARPLY AND 3 TIMES WORSE THAN EXPECTED, IMPORTED GOODS PRICE INDEX UP MORE THAN EXPECTED 1.7%, ONE RESPECTED ANALYST SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION AND BEAR MARKETAND HOLD CASH AND DON’T TRY TO ‘CATCH THE FALLING KNIFE’, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS GLOBAL BEAR MARKET AND A LOT OF NEGATIVE NEWS HASN’T YET HIT ECONOMY AND BANKS WEAK ON WRITEDOWNS AND BORROWING COSTS, OIL ANALYST SEES $100 OIL, BEST BUY LOWERS 2008 GUIDANCE/OUTLOOK, SOBERING VIEW OF DETERIORATING ECONOMY FROM BERNANKE (WHO INHERITED SAME FROM B.S. ARTIST/INCOMPETENT GREENSPAN – REMEMBER THE ENVY OF ALL THE WORLD SPEECHES…..RIIIIIGHT…..IF MEASURED IN DEFICITS, WORTHLESSNESS OF CURRENCY, ETC.) AS ECONOMIC PROSPECTS FOR THE ECONOMY HAVE DETERIORATED BEYOND EXPECTATION AND THAT CONSUMER SPENDING WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED TO THE DOWNSIDE, UBS WITH MORE WRITEDOWNS($13BILLION)/LOSSES/NEGATIVE GUIDANCE, FGIC BOND INSURER DOWNGRADE BY MOODY’S, HOME PRICES FELL A QUARTERLY RECORD 5.8% (-17% IN BUBBLE BANANA REPUBLIC CALIFORNIA), ONE ANALYST SAYS BOTTOM FISHING IN A MARKET AS THIS IS LIKE ‘TRYING TO CATCH A FALLING KNIFE’, FALSE REPORTS FROM GOVERNMENT NO HELP, FIRST BASED ON MULTINATIONAL ‘DEFENSIVE’  STOCK WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) COCA COLA RALLIES STOCKS, THEN SCANDAL-SCARRED, CORRUPT COMMERCE DEPARTMENT OF THE LIE-PRONE U.S. GOVERNMENT (THEY LIE ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING) WHICH LIES HAVE LED TO WAR CRIMES, NATIONAL DECLINE, SUB-PRIME MELTDOWN, HUGE FRAUDS, ETC., AS STOCKS RALLY FURTHER WITH FALSE GOV’T REPORT OF JANUARY RETAIL SALES 200% (UP A WEAK .3% INSTEAD OF DOWN .3% - ALL ACTUAL REPORTS IN JANUARY WERE DOWN -  THE AUTO COMPANIES/DEALERS KNOW HOW MANY CARS AND OTHER RETALILERS HOW MANY GOODS THEY’VE SOLD) BETTER THAN EXPECTED BY ECONOMISTS, ETC., NEXT WAVE OF IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE/FURTHER/FRAUD CAME WITH BUSH SIGNING THE ECONOMICALLY  INNEFECTIVE ELECTION-YEAR STIMULOUS PLAN WHICH HAS BEEN DISCOUNTED IRRATIONALLY TO THE UPSIDE MANY TIMES ALREADY, ONE ANALYST SAYS RETAIL SALES NUMBER BY COMMERCE DEPARTMENT NOT TO BE BELIEVED AND FINANCIALS WILL REMAIN A MINEFIELD WITH MORE DOWNGRADES AND DOLLAR WILL CONTINUE TO BE UNDER PRESSURE WITH INFLATIONARY EFFECT AND NEW WALL STREET STRATEGY SEEMS TO BE BUY INTO THE BAD NEWS (RIIIIIGHT!)AND THE LOW VOLUME RALLY SUSPECT (SINCE BASED UPON NOTHING WHATSOEVER), ANOTHER R.E. ANALYST SAYS REAL ESTATE WEAKNESS WILL CONTINUE, OVER 200 POINT SWING TO THE POSITIVE (ON 2-11-08) ALONG WITH  SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT COVERING RALLIES BASED ON NOTHING BUT BULL S**T ALONE, REINSURANCE BY BERKSHIRE BUFFET TOO EXPENSIVE (AND LIMITED TO MUNICIPALS) TO HELP AND REJECTED BY SOME BOND INSURERS IS STILL B.S. TALKING POINT FOR THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET AS IS THE 30 DAY EXTENSION FOR DEFAULTS/FORECLOSURES SINCE 95% DON’T QUALIFY FOR WORKOUT AND FOR WHICH PROPERTIES HAVE NO EQUITY WHATSOEVER, ONE ANALYST SAYS GM WHICH REPORTED RECORD $38.7 BILLION 2007 LOSS ALONG WITH FORD HAVE NO BOOK VALUE AFTER REMOVING GOOD WILL (THEY’RE BROKE!), ONE BANK REPORTS FIRST LOSS EVER AND CUTS DIVIDEND RALLYING THE STOCK (RIIIIIGHT), PREVIOUS HIGH OIL PRICES RALLY STOCKS (RIIIIIGHT), AIG DOWN 11% ON DOWNGRADE/HIGHER THAN EXPECTED LOSSES IN ASSETS/SUBPRIME DERIVATIVES, ONE ANALYST/TRADER SAYS SELL INTO RALLIES WHILE ANOTHER SAYS STIMULUS PLAN JUST ELECTION YEAR SHOW AND WON’T DO ANYTHING BUT INCREASE BUDGET DEFICIT AND AT BEST INCREASE TRADE DEFICIT (PLASMA TV’S, ETC.), BOND INSURER SECURITY CAPITAL DOWNGRADED, ONE ANALYST QUOTES JOHN TEMPLETON (WHO HAPPENS TO HAVE SAID THE MARKET IS GOING TO CRASH) AND SAYS IN EFFECT THAT VOLATILE MARKETS AHEAD, EMERGING/GLOBAL MARKETS/COMMODITY EXPORTERS WILL FARE BEST, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PACKAGE WILL NOT WORK SINCE TOO SMALL AND SOME WILL NOT SPEND NOR WILL RATE CUTS WORK AS INFLATION NOT CONTROLLED AND CONSUMER/CORPORATE CONFIDENCE DOWN, DOLLAR DOWN, OIL UP TO CLOSE AT $93.27, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS INCREASE IN WHOLESALE INVENTORIES AND INCREASED MORTGAGE AND CREDIT CARD  DEFAULTS WILL SURPRISE TO THE DOWNSIDE AND OTHER THAN AN OCCASIONAL SHORT–COVERING RALLY NOT MUCH UPSIDE MOMENTUM EVEN WITH (HYPERINFLATIONARY) PUMP-PRIMING BY FED, DOLLAR DOWN,  RETAIL SALES WEAKEST IN 40 YEARS, GLOOMY OUTLOOKS FROM BOTH CISCO AND WALMART (JANUARY SALES AT .5% UP FAR LESS THAN EXPECTATIONS) RALLIES BOTH STOCKS, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, R.E. EXPERT/ANALYST SAYS ANOTHER 15% DECLINE IN HOME PRICES FOR 2008 WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS DECLINING REAL ESTATE PRICES INTO 2009, ON TODAYS UP MARKET ANALYST SAYS THEY’RE TRYING TO MAKE A SILK PURSE FROM A SOW’S EAR IN LIGHT OF BAD ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL NUMBERS, UNEMPLOYMENT ROLLS HIGHEST SINCE JUST AFTER KATRINA, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PLAN WILL NOT WORK SINCE SAME DOES NOT ADDRESS THE UNDERLYING PROBLEMS ALTHOUGH BULL S**T TALKING POINT SPIKES STOCK PRICES ON NEWS OF SENATE RESOLUTION, DOWNGRADES ON GM AND FORD CITING ACCELERATING WEAKNESS OF CONSUMERS/SPENDING, TOLL BROTHERS HOUSING CONTRACTS DOWN 46% AND CEO SAYS HE SEES NO END TO THE TURMOIL IN SIGHT, TIME WARNER NET DOWN 41% AND DISNEY NET DOWN 26% BUT BETTER THAN EXPECTED…..RIIIIIGHT…..STILL BACKWARD LOOKING AT FOURTH QUARTER WHEN SAME HAS BEEN OPTIMALLY DISCOUNTED ALREADY, TWO FED BANK PRESIDENTS SAY THEY MUST REMAIN VIGILANT AGAINST(HYPER)INFLATION (THEY KNOW FED’S BEEN PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD), MACY’S TO CUT JOBS ON POOR RESULTS/OUTLOOK, AFTER THE BELL-LESS THAN ROSY OUTLOOK BY CISCO, fake (GOVERNMENT) report on productivity down to low 1.8% from 6% previously but still better than expected, ONE ANALYST SAYS GLOBAL SELLING OF DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/StOCKS, ANOTHER SAYS BEAR MARKET AND ALL SECTORS/GROUPS DOWN, THE ism (non-government report) service sector (now 2/3 of u.s. economy) index drops in january, 2008 far below expectations to 41.9 (less than 50% indicates contraction), more downgrades of consumer finance companies and banks, ken shreve of investors business daily says significant institutional selling and stock prices have not seen bottom yet, jeff lacker of richmond fed now uttering the ‘r’ word (recession), $3 Trillion budget with $400+ billion budget deficit, oil inventories up on fake (GOVERNMENT) report, factory orders up 2.3% on fake (GOVERNMENT) report and 2007 worse year since 2003, 200 lenders went out of business in 2007, another rate cut already discounted but rates up, MONOPOLY COMPANY (WITH MONEY TO BURN AND WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS EARNINGS) MICROSOFT’S RICH TAKEOVER BID FOR YAHOO (IF THEY DO FOR YAHOO MAIL WHAT THEY DO FOR THEIR OWN HOTMAIL, DISASTER IN THE MAKING AND DON’T FORGET THE EXPERTS WHO UNIVERSALLY PAN THEIR MONEY-MAKING VISTA) SPURred IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT STOCK PRICE RALLY DESPITE UNEXPECTEDLY LARGE LOSS OF 17,000 JOBS (A GAIN OF 70-80 THOUSAND WAS EXPECTED-LOSSES IN MANUFACTURING, CONSTRUCTION, FINANCE, AND EVEN BROKE GOVERNMENT SECTOR), CONSTRUCTION SPENDING DOWN, MORE BANK AND BOND COMPANY LOSSES ACKNOWLEDGED TO COME, MORE BACKWARD-LOOKING (TO fourth quarter) earnings b.s. talking points; ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER WHO SAYS WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION FURTHER POINTS OUT THAT STIMULUS PLAN AND RATE CUTS WON’T WORK SINCE THEY DON’T ADDRESS THE PROBLEM WHICH INCLUDES VALUATION OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES AND CONSEQUENT LOSSES TO BOND INSURERS, BANKS, ETC., AND PREDICTS FURTHER PRICE EROSION (-15-20%) IN REAL ESTATE PRICES COUNTRYWIDE; stimulus plan washington incompetents and dumbya bush (protect those incumbents with more bull s**t/spin/fraud) pledging more money they don’t have (print more/borrow more – hyperinflationary and stagflation - the fact is that they couldn’t borrow/print enough to remedy ie., the subprime fraud, etc.), one analyst recently explained that even as the DOW recently had hit new highs in u.s. as measured in real money, ie., gold, foreign currencies, etc., the DOW has actually fallen 70%, all of which foreign currencies are stronger against the weak dollar which will continue to decline which creates hyperinflation and exodus from same by global investors except those who are picking up prime u.s. financial assets on the cheap owing to u.s. desperation and greed (pay packages, compensation, etc.), P/E ratio analysis/comparison no longer apposite in light of declining dollar/fake reports/inflation which should be reflected in same (but is not), DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY ON NEWS OF CUT (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING, AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), AS GOLD PREVIOUSLY HIT NEW INTRA-DAY RECORD HIGH AT $954.40 [CLOSED THIS DAY AT $949.20 - NEW RECORD /SILVER $17.95/PLATINUM $2,188.20-NEW RECORD] AS DID PLATINUM ALONG WITH OTHER METALS/COMMODITIES AND OIL HIT OVER $100 (CLOSED AT $98.23 THIS DAY), AN ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN AN EARNINGS RECESSION AND HE IS ON THE BEAR SIDE OF THE LEGER, GOVERNMENT REPORTS LESS THAN EXPECTED GDP GROWTH IN FOURTH QUARTER AT .6% WHICH PROBABLY MEANS NEGATIVE SINCE THE GOVERNMENT LIES ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING, CASE/Shiller index-home prices fell 97% in fourth quarter, new home sales down a record 26% in 2007 (-4.7% in December, 2007), another analyst says we’re in recession while another says inflation is a significant problem moving forward (stagflation), dollar down, incumbents (just in time for the election) hoping to divert attention from their failed policies domestically, geopolitically, economically and otherwise as spending money they don’t have (they’re printing same and borrowing like crazy) will increase deficits and along with lower interest rates lower the value of the already worthless/internationally scorned dollar and dollar denominated assets including stocks (which rallied today despite the bad news) while as expected, hyperinflationary effects on oil, gold, commodity, etc., prices already immediately evident in today’s trading.  ADP, a jersey based company not unfamiliar to the fraud/crime of placing fake/non-existent employees on payrolls to facilitate (illegal/drug) money laundering plays ball (I’m sure for a price/favor) with the frauds on wall street with a figure SUBSTANTIALLY EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS of PRIVATE SECTOR JOB GAINS (130,000). MERRILL LYNCH DOWNGRADED. UBS ANOTHER $14 BILLION IN WRITE-DOWNS ALONG WITH ANOTHER $8 BILLION FROM SOCIETE GENERALE. BOND INSURERS DOWNGRADES (WHICH WILL COST BANKS ANOTHER $40 BILLION) AND SEE ANOTHER $11 BILLION IN LOSSES. The MANTRA is the so-called stimulus plan, the logistics and length of time involved in Katrina-like execution guarantee only to forestall recognition of and accountability for ineptitude/corruption that leaves america, unlike during the great depression when america was neither globally hated nor broke as today, with a Weimar-Republic-like currency and continued failed leadership/policies and obfuscation of existing unsolved problems through blatant falsehoods, false data/reports,corruption, etc.. Housing prices for the first time since the great depression have fallen significantly and nationally. ALL PROBLEMS REMAIN. NOTHING HAS BEEN SOLVED. NOTHING HAS CHANGED except to give bull s**t/spin talking points to those responsible for u.s. decline. (ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER, MERRIL LYNCH ECONOMIST, AMONG OTHERS…..ALREADY IN RECESSION), greater than expected downturn in housing starts at  –14%, mortgage insurer credit downgrades, manufacturing down, merrill lynch posts record $10 billion loss, bankruptcies up 40%, industrial production flat, inflation up and much higher than reported ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN THIRD MONTH IN A ROW, DEFAULTS UP, Housing down, inflation up, consumer confidence near lows, TRADE DEFICIT NEAR RECORD AND ABOVE EXPECTATIONS, RETAIL SALES DOWN AND FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS, ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE JAWBONING (BULL S**T) TO THE CONTRARY, 4th quarter earnings discounted long ago, fake economic reports/data, more bull s**t/spin, dollar to fall even further with fed panic and inflation to rise-hyperinflation/stagflation, lunatics’/suckers’ bear market rally gives way to overwhelmingly bad economic news on top of previously ignored negative news (DOW -143, NASDAQ -27, S&P -18) as stocks drop modestly relative to reality.  REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   

(2-20-08) (DOW +90, NASDAQ +20, S&P+11) LUNAR ECLIPSE FULL MOON EFFECT SPARKS lunatics’/suckers’ bear market RALLY (200 POINT SWING TO UPSIDE) ON WORSE THAN EXPECTED NEWS, INFLATION (PROBABLY HIGHER THAN REPORTED) EXCEEDS EXPECTATIONS WITH CORE RATE UP 3% AND HEADLINE RATE UP 4.3%, KKR FOR SECOND TIME DELAYS REPAYMENT OF COMMERCIAL PAPER, FAKE REPORT ON NEW CONSTRUCTION (UNSELLABLE CONDOS/CONVERSIONS) UP .8% BUT BUILDING APPLICATIONS/PERMITS DOWN HEFTY 3% (WORSE SINCE 1991), FED MINUTES SAY ECONOMY WILL DECLINE/SLOW FASTER THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED WITH HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT AND INFLATION HENCE STAGFLATION AS WELL AS HOUSING WEAKNESS TO CONTINUE, ZOGBY POLL-MORE THAN HALF OF AMERICANS SAY RECESSION THIS YEAR BECAUSE WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE ELECTION YEAR INCUMBENT SPIN, NEW RECORD HIGH OIL PRICES AND DOLLAR WEAKNESS, THINGS SO BAD THAT MORE CONTRAINDICATED RATE CUTS (HYPERINFLATIONARY IN LIGHT OF MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS) ARE EXPECTED, ONE REAL ESTATE ANALYST SAYS OFFICE AND RETAIL NOW BEING HIT INDICATIVE OF MUCH MORE PAIN TO COME, HEWLETT PACKARD WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) RALLIES NASDAQ, THIS MARKET IS FRAUD IN THE FACTUM AND INDUCEMENT; WALMART RALLIES COMMISSIONS PRODUCING UPSWING  BY MATCHING EXPECTATIONS (WHAT- FOR INCREASED TRADE DEFICIT WITH CHINA, SAYS DISCOUNTS SPURRED SALES TO RESCUE DISMAL HOLIDAY SEASON, CROWDS OUT OTHER RETAILERS, OUTLOOK CAUTIOUS) WAS BACKWARD LOOKING AGAIN TO FOURTH QUARTER FOLLOWED BY HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY AS  DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’VE NOT SEEN MARKET BOTTOM YET, WHILE ANOTHER (OIL) ANALYST SAYS WE’VE NOT SEEN MARKET TOP (FOR OIL PRICES) YET, CREDIT SWISSE TO WRITE DOWN $2.8 BILLION IN OVERVALUED ASSETS/SUSPENDS TRADERS,  Institutional Money Continues to Flow Out of Stocks, Credit Crisis Losses Will Put Black Monday in the Shade , ANALYSTS/FINANCIAL REPORTERS PUZZLED OVER CRAZY LACK OF REACTION ON WALL STREET TO UNEXPECTEDLY NEGATIVE ECONOMIC DATA/NEWS (ON 2-15-08) WHICH SURPRISE IS WHAT ONE EXPECTS WHEN WITNESSING CRAZY BEHAVIOR UNTIL THEY REALIZE THEY ARE IN THE PSYCHO WARD OF AN INSTITUTION WHICH IS WALL STREET THE INSTITUTION FOR THE CRIMINALLY INSANE PROPELLED BY GREED/FRAUD, Citigroup bars investor exits from hedge fund , Bleak economic reports signal recession, CONSUMER SENTIMENT INDEX DOWN FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS (16 YEAR LOW) AND ALWAYS HAS INDICATED RECESSION, NEW YORK MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN SHARPLY AND 3 TIMES WORSE THAN EXPECTED, IMPORTED GOODS PRICE INDEX UP MORE THAN EXPECTED 1.7%, ONE RESPECTED ANALYST SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION AND BEAR MARKETAND HOLD CASH AND DON’T TRY TO ‘CATCH THE FALLING KNIFE’, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS GLOBAL BEAR MARKET AND A LOT OF NEGATIVE NEWS HASN’T YET HIT ECONOMY AND BANKS WEAK ON WRITEDOWNS AND BORROWING COSTS, OIL ANALYST SEES $100 OIL, BEST BUY LOWERS 2008 GUIDANCE/OUTLOOK, SOBERING VIEW OF DETERIORATING ECONOMY FROM BERNANKE (WHO INHERITED SAME FROM B.S. ARTIST/INCOMPETENT GREENSPAN – REMEMBER THE ENVY OF ALL THE WORLD SPEECHES…..RIIIIIGHT…..IF MEASURED IN DEFICITS, WORTHLESSNESS OF CURRENCY, ETC.) AS ECONOMIC PROSPECTS FOR THE ECONOMY HAVE DETERIORATED BEYOND EXPECTATION AND THAT CONSUMER SPENDING WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED TO THE DOWNSIDE, UBS WITH MORE WRITEDOWNS($13BILLION)/LOSSES/NEGATIVE GUIDANCE, FGIC BOND INSURER DOWNGRADE BY MOODY’S, HOME PRICES FELL A QUARTERLY RECORD 5.8% (-17% IN BUBBLE BANANA REPUBLIC CALIFORNIA), ONE ANALYST SAYS BOTTOM FISHING IN A MARKET AS THIS IS LIKE ‘TRYING TO CATCH A FALLING KNIFE’, FALSE REPORTS FROM GOVERNMENT NO HELP, FIRST BASED ON MULTINATIONAL ‘DEFENSIVE’  STOCK WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) COCA COLA RALLIES STOCKS, THEN SCANDAL-SCARRED, CORRUPT COMMERCE DEPARTMENT OF THE LIE-PRONE U.S. GOVERNMENT (THEY LIE ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING) WHICH LIES HAVE LED TO WAR CRIMES, NATIONAL DECLINE, SUB-PRIME MELTDOWN, HUGE FRAUDS, ETC., AS STOCKS RALLY FURTHER WITH FALSE GOV’T REPORT OF JANUARY RETAIL SALES 200% (UP A WEAK .3% INSTEAD OF DOWN .3% - ALL ACTUAL REPORTS IN JANUARY WERE DOWN -  THE AUTO COMPANIES/DEALERS KNOW HOW MANY CARS AND OTHER RETALILERS HOW MANY GOODS THEY’VE SOLD) BETTER THAN EXPECTED BY ECONOMISTS, ETC., NEXT WAVE OF IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE/FURTHER/FRAUD CAME WITH BUSH SIGNING THE ECONOMICALLY  INNEFECTIVE ELECTION-YEAR STIMULOUS PLAN WHICH HAS BEEN DISCOUNTED IRRATIONALLY TO THE UPSIDE MANY TIMES ALREADY, ONE ANALYST SAYS RETAIL SALES NUMBER BY COMMERCE DEPARTMENT NOT TO BE BELIEVED AND FINANCIALS WILL REMAIN A MINEFIELD WITH MORE DOWNGRADES AND DOLLAR WILL CONTINUE TO BE UNDER PRESSURE WITH INFLATIONARY EFFECT AND NEW WALL STREET STRATEGY SEEMS TO BE BUY INTO THE BAD NEWS (RIIIIIGHT!)AND THE LOW VOLUME RALLY SUSPECT (SINCE BASED UPON NOTHING WHATSOEVER), ANOTHER R.E. ANALYST SAYS REAL ESTATE WEAKNESS WILL CONTINUE, OVER 200 POINT SWING TO THE POSITIVE (ON 2-11-08) ALONG WITH  SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT COVERING RALLIES BASED ON NOTHING BUT BULL S**T ALONE, REINSURANCE BY BERKSHIRE BUFFET TOO EXPENSIVE (AND LIMITED TO MUNICIPALS) TO HELP AND REJECTED BY SOME BOND INSURERS IS STILL B.S. TALKING POINT FOR THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET AS IS THE 30 DAY EXTENSION FOR DEFAULTS/FORECLOSURES SINCE 95% DON’T QUALIFY FOR WORKOUT AND FOR WHICH PROPERTIES HAVE NO EQUITY WHATSOEVER, ONE ANALYST SAYS GM WHICH REPORTED RECORD $38.7 BILLION 2007 LOSS ALONG WITH FORD HAVE NO BOOK VALUE AFTER REMOVING GOOD WILL (THEY’RE BROKE!), ONE BANK REPORTS FIRST LOSS EVER AND CUTS DIVIDEND RALLYING THE STOCK (RIIIIIGHT), PREVIOUS HIGH OIL PRICES RALLY STOCKS (RIIIIIGHT), AIG DOWN 11% ON DOWNGRADE/HIGHER THAN EXPECTED LOSSES IN ASSETS/SUBPRIME DERIVATIVES, ONE ANALYST/TRADER SAYS SELL INTO RALLIES WHILE ANOTHER SAYS STIMULUS PLAN JUST ELECTION YEAR SHOW AND WON’T DO ANYTHING BUT INCREASE BUDGET DEFICIT AND AT BEST INCREASE TRADE DEFICIT (PLASMA TV’S, ETC.), BOND INSURER SECURITY CAPITAL DOWNGRADED, ONE ANALYST QUOTES JOHN TEMPLETON (WHO HAPPENS TO HAVE SAID THE MARKET IS GOING TO CRASH) AND SAYS IN EFFECT THAT VOLATILE MARKETS AHEAD, EMERGING/GLOBAL MARKETS/COMMODITY EXPORTERS WILL FARE BEST, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PACKAGE WILL NOT WORK SINCE TOO SMALL AND SOME WILL NOT SPEND NOR WILL RATE CUTS WORK AS INFLATION NOT CONTROLLED AND CONSUMER/CORPORATE CONFIDENCE DOWN, DOLLAR DOWN, OIL UP TO CLOSE AT $93.27, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS INCREASE IN WHOLESALE INVENTORIES AND INCREASED MORTGAGE AND CREDIT CARD  DEFAULTS WILL SURPRISE TO THE DOWNSIDE AND OTHER THAN AN OCCASIONAL SHORT–COVERING RALLY NOT MUCH UPSIDE MOMENTUM EVEN WITH (HYPERINFLATIONARY) PUMP-PRIMING BY FED, DOLLAR DOWN,  RETAIL SALES WEAKEST IN 40 YEARS, GLOOMY OUTLOOKS FROM BOTH CISCO AND WALMART (JANUARY SALES AT .5% UP FAR LESS THAN EXPECTATIONS) RALLIES BOTH STOCKS, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, R.E. EXPERT/ANALYST SAYS ANOTHER 15% DECLINE IN HOME PRICES FOR 2008 WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS DECLINING REAL ESTATE PRICES INTO 2009, ON TODAYS UP MARKET ANALYST SAYS THEY’RE TRYING TO MAKE A SILK PURSE FROM A SOW’S EAR IN LIGHT OF BAD ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL NUMBERS, UNEMPLOYMENT ROLLS HIGHEST SINCE JUST AFTER KATRINA, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PLAN WILL NOT WORK SINCE SAME DOES NOT ADDRESS THE UNDERLYING PROBLEMS ALTHOUGH BULL S**T TALKING POINT SPIKES STOCK PRICES ON NEWS OF SENATE RESOLUTION, DOWNGRADES ON GM AND FORD CITING ACCELERATING WEAKNESS OF CONSUMERS/SPENDING, TOLL BROTHERS HOUSING CONTRACTS DOWN 46% AND CEO SAYS HE SEES NO END TO THE TURMOIL IN SIGHT, TIME WARNER NET DOWN 41% AND DISNEY NET DOWN 26% BUT BETTER THAN EXPECTED…..RIIIIIGHT…..STILL BACKWARD LOOKING AT FOURTH QUARTER WHEN SAME HAS BEEN OPTIMALLY DISCOUNTED ALREADY, TWO FED BANK PRESIDENTS SAY THEY MUST REMAIN VIGILANT AGAINST(HYPER)INFLATION (THEY KNOW FED’S BEEN PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD), MACY’S TO CUT JOBS ON POOR RESULTS/OUTLOOK, AFTER THE BELL-LESS THAN ROSY OUTLOOK BY CISCO, fake (GOVERNMENT) report on productivity down to low 1.8% from 6% previously but still better than expected, ONE ANALYST SAYS GLOBAL SELLING OF DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/StOCKS, ANOTHER SAYS BEAR MARKET AND ALL SECTORS/GROUPS DOWN, THE ism (non-government report) service sector (now 2/3 of u.s. economy) index drops in january, 2008 far below expectations to 41.9 (less than 50% indicates contraction), more downgrades of consumer finance companies and banks, ken shreve of investors business daily says significant institutional selling and stock prices have not seen bottom yet, jeff lacker of richmond fed now uttering the ‘r’ word (recession), $3 Trillion budget with $400+ billion budget deficit, oil inventories up on fake (GOVERNMENT) report, factory orders up 2.3% on fake (GOVERNMENT) report and 2007 worse year since 2003, 200 lenders went out of business in 2007, another rate cut already discounted but rates up, MONOPOLY COMPANY (WITH MONEY TO BURN AND WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS EARNINGS) MICROSOFT’S RICH TAKEOVER BID FOR YAHOO (IF THEY DO FOR YAHOO MAIL WHAT THEY DO FOR THEIR OWN HOTMAIL, DISASTER IN THE MAKING AND DON’T FORGET THE EXPERTS WHO UNIVERSALLY PAN THEIR MONEY-MAKING VISTA) SPURred IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT STOCK PRICE RALLY DESPITE UNEXPECTEDLY LARGE LOSS OF 17,000 JOBS (A GAIN OF 70-80 THOUSAND WAS EXPECTED-LOSSES IN MANUFACTURING, CONSTRUCTION, FINANCE, AND EVEN BROKE GOVERNMENT SECTOR), CONSTRUCTION SPENDING DOWN, MORE BANK AND BOND COMPANY LOSSES ACKNOWLEDGED TO COME, MORE BACKWARD-LOOKING (TO fourth quarter) earnings b.s. talking points; ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER WHO SAYS WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION FURTHER POINTS OUT THAT STIMULUS PLAN AND RATE CUTS WON’T WORK SINCE THEY DON’T ADDRESS THE PROBLEM WHICH INCLUDES VALUATION OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES AND CONSEQUENT LOSSES TO BOND INSURERS, BANKS, ETC., AND PREDICTS FURTHER PRICE EROSION (-15-20%) IN REAL ESTATE PRICES COUNTRYWIDE; stimulus plan washington incompetents and dumbya bush (protect those incumbents with more bull s**t/spin/fraud) pledging more money they don’t have (print more/borrow more – hyperinflationary and stagflation - the fact is that they couldn’t borrow/print enough to remedy ie., the subprime fraud, etc.), one analyst recently explained that even as the DOW recently had hit new highs in u.s. as measured in real money, ie., gold, foreign currencies, etc., the DOW has actually fallen 70%, all of which foreign currencies are stronger against the weak dollar which will continue to decline which creates hyperinflation and exodus from same by global investors except those who are picking up prime u.s. financial assets on the cheap owing to u.s. desperation and greed (pay packages, compensation, etc.), P/E ratio analysis/comparison no longer apposite in light of declining dollar/fake reports/inflation which should be reflected in same (but is not), DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY ON NEWS OF CUT (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING, AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), AS GOLD PREVIOUSLY HIT NEW INTRA-DAY RECORD HIGH AT $942.20 [CLOSED (on 2-19-08) AT $929.80/SILVER $17.51/PLATINUM $2,153-NEW RECORD] AS DID PLATINUM ALONG WITH OTHER METALS/COMMODITIES AND OIL HIT OVER $93 (CLOSED AT $100.74 THIS DAY - NEW RECORD), AN ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN AN EARNINGS RECESSION AND HE IS ON THE BEAR SIDE OF THE LEGER, GOVERNMENT REPORTS LESS THAN EXPECTED GDP GROWTH IN FOURTH QUARTER AT .6% WHICH PROBABLY MEANS NEGATIVE SINCE THE GOVERNMENT LIES ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING, CASE/Shiller index-home prices fell 97% in fourth quarter, new home sales down a record 26% in 2007 (-4.7% in December, 2007), another analyst says we’re in recession while another says inflation is a significant problem moving forward (stagflation), dollar down, incumbents (just in time for the election) hoping to divert attention from their failed policies domestically, geopolitically, economically and otherwise as spending money they don’t have (they’re printing same and borrowing like crazy) will increase deficits and along with lower interest rates lower the value of the already worthless/internationally scorned dollar and dollar denominated assets including stocks (which rallied today despite the bad news) while as expected, hyperinflationary effects on oil, gold, commodity, etc., prices already immediately evident in today’s trading.  ADP, a jersey based company not unfamiliar to the fraud/crime of placing fake/non-existent employees on payrolls to facilitate (illegal/drug) money laundering plays ball (I’m sure for a price/favor) with the frauds on wall street with a figure SUBSTANTIALLY EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS of PRIVATE SECTOR JOB GAINS (130,000). MERRILL LYNCH DOWNGRADED. UBS ANOTHER $14 BILLION IN WRITE-DOWNS ALONG WITH ANOTHER $8 BILLION FROM SOCIETE GENERALE. BOND INSURERS DOWNGRADES (WHICH WILL COST BANKS ANOTHER $40 BILLION) AND SEE ANOTHER $11 BILLION IN LOSSES. The MANTRA is the so-called stimulus plan, the logistics and length of time involved in Katrina-like execution guarantee only to forestall recognition of and accountability for ineptitude/corruption that leaves america, unlike during the great depression when america was neither globally hated nor broke as today, with a Weimar-Republic-like currency and continued failed leadership/policies and obfuscation of existing unsolved problems through blatant falsehoods, false data/reports,corruption, etc.. Housing prices for the first time since the great depression have fallen significantly and nationally. ALL PROBLEMS REMAIN. NOTHING HAS BEEN SOLVED. NOTHING HAS CHANGED except to give bull s**t/spin talking points to those responsible for u.s. decline. (ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER, MERRIL LYNCH ECONOMIST, AMONG OTHERS…..ALREADY IN RECESSION), greater than expected downturn in housing starts at  –14%, mortgage insurer credit downgrades, manufacturing down, merrill lynch posts record $10 billion loss, bankruptcies up 40%, industrial production flat, inflation up and much higher than reported ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN THIRD MONTH IN A ROW, DEFAULTS UP, Housing down, inflation up, consumer confidence near lows, TRADE DEFICIT NEAR RECORD AND ABOVE EXPECTATIONS, RETAIL SALES DOWN AND FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS, ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE JAWBONING (BULL S**T) TO THE CONTRARY, 4th quarter earnings discounted long ago, fake economic reports/data, more bull s**t/spin, dollar to fall even further with fed panic and inflation to rise-hyperinflation/stagflation, lunatics’/suckers’ bear market rally (DOW +90, NASDAQ +20, S&P +11) to keep the suckers suckered and computerized commission trade dollars flowing.  REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   (2-19-08) (DOW –10, NASDAQ –16, S&P–1) WALMART RALLIES COMMISSIONS PRODUCING UPSWING  BY MATCHING EXPECTATIONS (WHAT- FOR INCREASED TRADE DEFICIT WITH CHINA, SAYS DISCOUNTS SPURRED SALES TO RESCUE DISMAL HOLIDAY SEASON, CROWDS OUT OTHER RETAILERS, OUTLOOK CAUTIOUS) WAS BACKWARD LOOKING AGAIN TO FOURTH QUARTER FOLLOWED BY HIGH OIL PRICE RALLY AS  DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), ONE ANALYST SAYS WE’VE NOT SEEN MARKET BOTTOM YET, WHILE ANOTHER (OIL) ANALYST SAYS WE’VE NOT SEEN MARKET TOP (FOR OIL PRICES) YET, CREDIT SWISSE TO WRITE DOWN $2.8 BILLION IN OVERVALUED ASSETS/SUSPENDS TRADERS,  Institutional Money Continues to Flow Out of Stocks, Credit Crisis Losses Will Put Black Monday in the Shade , ANALYSTS/FINANCIAL REPORTERS PUZZLED OVER CRAZY LACK OF REACTION ON WALL STREET TO UNEXPECTEDLY NEGATIVE ECONOMIC DATA/NEWS (ON 2-15-08) WHICH SURPRISE IS WHAT ONE EXPECTS WHEN WITNESSING CRAZY BEHAVIOR UNTIL THEY REALIZE THEY ARE IN THE PSYCHO WARD OF AN INSTITUTION WHICH IS WALL STREET THE INSTITUTION FOR THE CRIMINALLY INSANE PROPELLED BY GREED/FRAUD, Citigroup bars investor exits from hedge fund , Bleak economic reports signal recession, CONSUMER SENTIMENT INDEX DOWN FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS (16 YEAR LOW) AND ALWAYS HAS INDICATED RECESSION, NEW YORK MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN SHARPLY AND 3 TIMES WORSE THAN EXPECTED, IMPORTED GOODS PRICE INDEX UP MORE THAN EXPECTED 1.7%, ONE RESPECTED ANALYST SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION AND BEAR MARKETAND HOLD CASH AND DON’T TRY TO ‘CATCH THE FALLING KNIFE’, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS GLOBAL BEAR MARKET AND A LOT OF NEGATIVE NEWS HASN’T YET HIT ECONOMY AND BANKS WEAK ON WRITEDOWNS AND BORROWING COSTS, OIL ANALYST SEES $100 OIL, BEST BUY LOWERS 2008 GUIDANCE/OUTLOOK, SOBERING VIEW OF DETERIORATING ECONOMY FROM BERNANKE (WHO INHERITED SAME FROM B.S. ARTIST/INCOMPETENT GREENSPAN – REMEMBER THE ENVY OF ALL THE WORLD SPEECHES…..RIIIIIGHT…..IF MEASURED IN DEFICITS, WORTHLESSNESS OF CURRENCY, ETC.) AS ECONOMIC PROSPECTS FOR THE ECONOMY HAVE DETERIORATED BEYOND EXPECTATION AND THAT CONSUMER SPENDING WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED TO THE DOWNSIDE, UBS WITH MORE WRITEDOWNS($13BILLION)/LOSSES/NEGATIVE GUIDANCE, FGIC BOND INSURER DOWNGRADE BY MOODY’S, HOME PRICES FELL A QUARTERLY RECORD 5.8% (-17% IN BUBBLE BANANA REPUBLIC CALIFORNIA), ONE ANALYST SAYS BOTTOM FISHING IN A MARKET AS THIS IS LIKE ‘TRYING TO CATCH A FALLING KNIFE’, FALSE REPORTS FROM GOVERNMENT NO HELP, FIRST BASED ON MULTINATIONAL ‘DEFENSIVE’  STOCK WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) COCA COLA RALLIES STOCKS, THEN SCANDAL-SCARRED, CORRUPT COMMERCE DEPARTMENT OF THE LIE-PRONE U.S. GOVERNMENT (THEY LIE ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING) WHICH LIES HAVE LED TO WAR CRIMES, NATIONAL DECLINE, SUB-PRIME MELTDOWN, HUGE FRAUDS, ETC., AS STOCKS RALLY FURTHER WITH FALSE GOV’T REPORT OF JANUARY RETAIL SALES 200% (UP A WEAK .3% INSTEAD OF DOWN .3% - ALL ACTUAL REPORTS IN JANUARY WERE DOWN -  THE AUTO COMPANIES/DEALERS KNOW HOW MANY CARS AND OTHER RETALILERS HOW MANY GOODS THEY’VE SOLD) BETTER THAN EXPECTED BY ECONOMISTS, ETC., NEXT WAVE OF IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE/FURTHER/FRAUD CAME WITH BUSH SIGNING THE ECONOMICALLY  INNEFECTIVE ELECTION-YEAR STIMULOUS PLAN WHICH HAS BEEN DISCOUNTED IRRATIONALLY TO THE UPSIDE MANY TIMES ALREADY, ONE ANALYST SAYS RETAIL SALES NUMBER BY COMMERCE DEPARTMENT NOT TO BE BELIEVED AND FINANCIALS WILL REMAIN A MINEFIELD WITH MORE DOWNGRADES AND DOLLAR WILL CONTINUE TO BE UNDER PRESSURE WITH INFLATIONARY EFFECT AND NEW WALL STREET STRATEGY SEEMS TO BE BUY INTO THE BAD NEWS (RIIIIIGHT!)AND THE LOW VOLUME RALLY SUSPECT (SINCE BASED UPON NOTHING WHATSOEVER), ANOTHER R.E. ANALYST SAYS REAL ESTATE WEAKNESS WILL CONTINUE, OVER 200 POINT SWING TO THE POSITIVE (ON 2-11-08) ALONG WITH  SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT COVERING RALLIES BASED ON NOTHING BUT BULL S**T ALONE, REINSURANCE BY BERKSHIRE BUFFET TOO EXPENSIVE (AND LIMITED TO MUNICIPALS) TO HELP AND REJECTED BY SOME BOND INSURERS IS STILL B.S. TALKING POINT FOR THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET AS IS THE 30 DAY EXTENSION FOR DEFAULTS/FORECLOSURES SINCE 95% DON’T QUALIFY FOR WORKOUT AND FOR WHICH PROPERTIES HAVE NO EQUITY WHATSOEVER, ONE ANALYST SAYS GM WHICH REPORTED RECORD $38.7 BILLION 2007 LOSS ALONG WITH FORD HAVE NO BOOK VALUE AFTER REMOVING GOOD WILL (THEY’RE BROKE!), ONE BANK REPORTS FIRST LOSS EVER AND CUTS DIVIDEND RALLYING THE STOCK (RIIIIIGHT), PREVIOUS HIGH OIL PRICES RALLY STOCKS (RIIIIIGHT), AIG DOWN 11% ON DOWNGRADE/HIGHER THAN EXPECTED LOSSES IN ASSETS/SUBPRIME DERIVATIVES, ONE ANALYST/TRADER SAYS SELL INTO RALLIES WHILE ANOTHER SAYS STIMULUS PLAN JUST ELECTION YEAR SHOW AND WON’T DO ANYTHING BUT INCREASE BUDGET DEFICIT AND AT BEST INCREASE TRADE DEFICIT (PLASMA TV’S, ETC.), BOND INSURER SECURITY CAPITAL DOWNGRADED, ONE ANALYST QUOTES JOHN TEMPLETON (WHO HAPPENS TO HAVE SAID THE MARKET IS GOING TO CRASH) AND SAYS IN EFFECT THAT VOLATILE MARKETS AHEAD, EMERGING/GLOBAL MARKETS/COMMODITY EXPORTERS WILL FARE BEST, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PACKAGE WILL NOT WORK SINCE TOO SMALL AND SOME WILL NOT SPEND NOR WILL RATE CUTS WORK AS INFLATION NOT CONTROLLED AND CONSUMER/CORPORATE CONFIDENCE DOWN, DOLLAR DOWN, OIL UP TO CLOSE AT $93.27, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS INCREASE IN WHOLESALE INVENTORIES AND INCREASED MORTGAGE AND CREDIT CARD  DEFAULTS WILL SURPRISE TO THE DOWNSIDE AND OTHER THAN AN OCCASIONAL SHORT–COVERING RALLY NOT MUCH UPSIDE MOMENTUM EVEN WITH (HYPERINFLATIONARY) PUMP-PRIMING BY FED, DOLLAR DOWN,  RETAIL SALES WEAKEST IN 40 YEARS, GLOOMY OUTLOOKS FROM BOTH CISCO AND WALMART (JANUARY SALES AT .5% UP FAR LESS THAN EXPECTATIONS) RALLIES BOTH STOCKS, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, R.E. EXPERT/ANALYST SAYS ANOTHER 15% DECLINE IN HOME PRICES FOR 2008 WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS DECLINING REAL ESTATE PRICES INTO 2009, ON TODAYS UP MARKET ANALYST SAYS THEY’RE TRYING TO MAKE A SILK PURSE FROM A SOW’S EAR IN LIGHT OF BAD ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL NUMBERS, UNEMPLOYMENT ROLLS HIGHEST SINCE JUST AFTER KATRINA, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PLAN WILL NOT WORK SINCE SAME DOES NOT ADDRESS THE UNDERLYING PROBLEMS ALTHOUGH BULL S**T TALKING POINT SPIKES STOCK PRICES ON NEWS OF SENATE RESOLUTION, DOWNGRADES ON GM AND FORD CITING ACCELERATING WEAKNESS OF CONSUMERS/SPENDING, TOLL BROTHERS HOUSING CONTRACTS DOWN 46% AND CEO SAYS HE SEES NO END TO THE TURMOIL IN SIGHT, TIME WARNER NET DOWN 41% AND DISNEY NET DOWN 26% BUT BETTER THAN EXPECTED…..RIIIIIGHT…..STILL BACKWARD LOOKING AT FOURTH QUARTER WHEN SAME HAS BEEN OPTIMALLY DISCOUNTED ALREADY, TWO FED BANK PRESIDENTS SAY THEY MUST REMAIN VIGILANT AGAINST(HYPER)INFLATION (THEY KNOW FED’S BEEN PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD), MACY’S TO CUT JOBS ON POOR RESULTS/OUTLOOK, AFTER THE BELL-LESS THAN ROSY OUTLOOK BY CISCO, fake (GOVERNMENT) report on productivity down to low 1.8% from 6% previously but still better than expected, ONE ANALYST SAYS GLOBAL SELLING OF DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/StOCKS, ANOTHER SAYS BEAR MARKET AND ALL SECTORS/GROUPS DOWN, THE ism (non-government report) service sector (now 2/3 of u.s. economy) index drops in january, 2008 far below expectations to 41.9 (less than 50% indicates contraction), more downgrades of consumer finance companies and banks, ken shreve of investors business daily says significant institutional selling and stock prices have not seen bottom yet, jeff lacker of richmond fed now uttering the ‘r’ word (recession), $3 Trillion budget with $400+ billion budget deficit, oil inventories up on fake (GOVERNMENT) report, factory orders up 2.3% on fake (GOVERNMENT) report and 2007 worse year since 2003, 200 lenders went out of business in 2007, another rate cut already discounted but rates up, MONOPOLY COMPANY (WITH MONEY TO BURN AND WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS EARNINGS) MICROSOFT’S RICH TAKEOVER BID FOR YAHOO (IF THEY DO FOR YAHOO MAIL WHAT THEY DO FOR THEIR OWN HOTMAIL, DISASTER IN THE MAKING AND DON’T FORGET THE EXPERTS WHO UNIVERSALLY PAN THEIR MONEY-MAKING VISTA) SPURred IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT STOCK PRICE RALLY DESPITE UNEXPECTEDLY LARGE LOSS OF 17,000 JOBS (A GAIN OF 70-80 THOUSAND WAS EXPECTED-LOSSES IN MANUFACTURING, CONSTRUCTION, FINANCE, AND EVEN BROKE GOVERNMENT SECTOR), CONSTRUCTION SPENDING DOWN, MORE BANK AND BOND COMPANY LOSSES ACKNOWLEDGED TO COME, MORE BACKWARD-LOOKING (TO fourth quarter) earnings b.s. talking points; ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER WHO SAYS WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION FURTHER POINTS OUT THAT STIMULUS PLAN AND RATE CUTS WON’T WORK SINCE THEY DON’T ADDRESS THE PROBLEM WHICH INCLUDES VALUATION OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES AND CONSEQUENT LOSSES TO BOND INSURERS, BANKS, ETC., AND PREDICTS FURTHER PRICE EROSION (-15-20%) IN REAL ESTATE PRICES COUNTRYWIDE; stimulus plan washington incompetents and dumbya bush (protect those incumbents with more bull s**t/spin/fraud) pledging more money they don’t have (print more/borrow more – hyperinflationary and stagflation - the fact is that they couldn’t borrow/print enough to remedy ie., the subprime fraud, etc.), one analyst recently explained that even as the DOW recently had hit new highs in u.s. as measured in real money, ie., gold, foreign currencies, etc., the DOW has actually fallen 70%, all of which foreign currencies are stronger against the weak dollar which will continue to decline which creates hyperinflation and exodus from same by global investors except those who are picking up prime u.s. financial assets on the cheap owing to u.s. desperation and greed (pay packages, compensation, etc.), P/E ratio analysis/comparison no longer apposite in light of declining dollar/fake reports/inflation which should be reflected in same (but is not), DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY ON NEWS OF CUT (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING, AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), AS GOLD PREVIOUSLY HIT NEW INTRA-DAY RECORD HIGH AT $942.20 (CLOSED AT $929.80 THIS DAY/SILVER $17.51/PLATINUM $2,153-NEW RECORD) AS DID PLATINUM ALONG WITH OTHER METALS/COMMODITIES AND OIL HIT OVER $93 (CLOSED AT $100.01 THIS DAY - NEW RECORD), AN ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN AN EARNINGS RECESSION AND HE IS ON THE BEAR SIDE OF THE LEGER, GOVERNMENT REPORTS LESS THAN EXPECTED GDP GROWTH IN FOURTH QUARTER AT .6% WHICH PROBABLY MEANS NEGATIVE SINCE THE GOVERNMENT LIES ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING, CASE/Shiller index-home prices fell 97% in fourth quarter, new home sales down a record 26% in 2007 (-4.7% in December, 2007), another analyst says we’re in recession while another says inflation is a significant problem moving forward (stagflation), dollar down, incumbents (just in time for the election) hoping to divert attention from their failed policies domestically, geopolitically, economically and otherwise as spending money they don’t have (they’re printing same and borrowing like crazy) will increase deficits and along with lower interest rates lower the value of the already worthless/internationally scorned dollar and dollar denominated assets including stocks (which rallied today despite the bad news) while as expected, hyperinflationary effects on oil, gold, commodity, etc., prices already immediately evident in today’s trading.  ADP, a jersey based company not unfamiliar to the fraud/crime of placing fake/non-existent employees on payrolls to facilitate (illegal/drug) money laundering plays ball (I’m sure for a price/favor) with the frauds on wall street with a figure SUBSTANTIALLY EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS of PRIVATE SECTOR JOB GAINS (130,000). MERRILL LYNCH DOWNGRADED. UBS ANOTHER $14 BILLION IN WRITE-DOWNS ALONG WITH ANOTHER $8 BILLION FROM SOCIETE GENERALE. BOND INSURERS DOWNGRADES (WHICH WILL COST BANKS ANOTHER $40 BILLION) AND SEE ANOTHER $11 BILLION IN LOSSES. The MANTRA is the so-called stimulus plan, the logistics and length of time involved in Katrina-like execution guarantee only to forestall recognition of and accountability for ineptitude/corruption that leaves america, unlike during the great depression when america was neither globally hated nor broke as today, with a Weimar-Republic-like currency and continued failed leadership/policies and obfuscation of existing unsolved problems through blatant falsehoods, false data/reports,corruption, etc.. Housing prices for the first time since the great depression have fallen significantly and nationally. ALL PROBLEMS REMAIN. NOTHING HAS BEEN SOLVED. NOTHING HAS CHANGED except to give bull s**t/spin talking points to those responsible for u.s. decline. (ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER, MERRIL LYNCH ECONOMIST, AMONG OTHERS…..ALREADY IN RECESSION), greater than expected downturn in housing starts at  –14%, mortgage insurer credit downgrades, manufacturing down, merrill lynch posts record $10 billion loss, bankruptcies up 40%, industrial production flat, inflation up and much higher than reported ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN THIRD MONTH IN A ROW, DEFAULTS UP, Housing down, inflation up, consumer confidence near lows, TRADE DEFICIT NEAR RECORD AND ABOVE EXPECTATIONS, RETAIL SALES DOWN AND FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS, ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE JAWBONING (BULL S**T) TO THE CONTRARY, 4th quarter earnings discounted long ago, fake economic reports/data, more bull s**t/spin, dollar to fall even further with fed panic and inflation to rise-hyperinflation/stagflation, lunatics’/suckers’ bear market rally (DOW +90, NASDAQ +20, S&P+11) to keep the suckers suckered and computerized commission trade dollars flowing.  REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   (2-15-08) (DOW -28, NASDAQ –10, S&P +1.13) ANALYSTS/FINANCIAL REPORTERS PUZZLED OVER CRAZY LACK OF REACTION ON WALL STREET TO UNEXPECTEDLY NEGATIVE ECONOMIC DATA/NEWS WHICH SURPRISE IS WHAT ONE EXPECTS WHEN WITNESSING CRAZY BEHAVIOR UNTIL THEY REALIZE THEY ARE IN THE PSYCHO WARD OF AN INSTITUTION WHICH IS WALL STREET THE INSTITUTION FOR THE CRIMINALLY INSANE PROPELLED BY GREED/FRAUD, Citigroup bars investor exits from hedge fund , Bleak economic reports signal recession, CONSUMER SENTIMENT INDEX DOWN FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS (16 YEAR LOW) AND ALWAYS HAS INDICATED RECESSION, NEW YORK MANUFACTURING INDEX DOWN SHARPLY AND 3 TIMES WORSE THAN EXPECTED, IMPORTED GOODS PRICE INDEX UP MORE THAN EXPECTED 1.7%, ONE RESPECTED ANALYST SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION AND BEAR MARKETAND HOLD CASH AND DON’T TRY TO ‘CATCH THE FALLING KNIFE’, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS GLOBAL BEAR MARKET AND A LOT OF NEGATIVE NEWS HASN’T YET HIT ECONOMY AND BANKS WEAK ON WRITEDOWNS AND BORROWING COSTS, OIL ANALYST SEES $100 OIL, BEST BUY LOWERS 2008 GUIDANCE/OUTLOOK, SOBERING VIEW OF DETERIORATING ECONOMY FROM BERNANKE (WHO INHERITED SAME FROM B.S. ARTIST/INCOMPETENT GREENSPAN – REMEMBER THE ENVY OF ALL THE WORLD SPEECHES…..RIIIIIGHT…..IF MEASURED IN DEFICITS, WORTHLESSNESS OF CURRENCY, ETC.) AS ECONOMIC PROSPECTS FOR THE ECONOMY HAVE DETERIORATED BEYOND EXPECTATION AND THAT CONSUMER SPENDING WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED TO THE DOWNSIDE, UBS WITH MORE WRITEDOWNS($13BILLION)/LOSSES/NEGATIVE GUIDANCE, FGIC BOND INSURER DOWNGRADE BY MOODY’S, HOME PRICES FELL A QUARTERLY RECORD 5.8% (-17% IN BUBBLE BANANA REPUBLIC CALIFORNIA), ONE ANALYST SAYS BOTTOM FISHING IN A MARKET AS THIS IS LIKE ‘TRYING TO CATCH A FALLING KNIFE’, FALSE REPORTS FROM GOVERNMENT NO HELP, FIRST BASED ON MULTINATIONAL ‘DEFENSIVE’  STOCK WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) COCA COLA RALLIES STOCKS, THEN SCANDAL-SCARRED, CORRUPT COMMERCE DEPARTMENT OF THE LIE-PRONE U.S. GOVERNMENT (THEY LIE ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING) WHICH LIES HAVE LED TO WAR CRIMES, NATIONAL DECLINE, SUB-PRIME MELTDOWN, HUGE FRAUDS, ETC., AS STOCKS RALLY FURTHER WITH FALSE GOV’T REPORT OF JANUARY RETAIL SALES 200% (UP A WEAK .3% INSTEAD OF DOWN .3% - ALL ACTUAL REPORTS IN JANUARY WERE DOWN -  THE AUTO COMPANIES/DEALERS KNOW HOW MANY CARS AND OTHER RETALILERS HOW MANY GOODS THEY’VE SOLD) BETTER THAN EXPECTED BY ECONOMISTS, ETC., NEXT WAVE OF IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE/FURTHER/FRAUD CAME WITH BUSH SIGNING THE ECONOMICALLY  INNEFECTIVE ELECTION-YEAR STIMULOUS PLAN WHICH HAS BEEN DISCOUNTED IRRATIONALLY TO THE UPSIDE MANY TIMES ALREADY, ONE ANALYST SAYS RETAIL SALES NUMBER BY COMMERCE DEPARTMENT NOT TO BE BELIEVED AND FINANCIALS WILL REMAIN A MINEFIELD WITH MORE DOWNGRADES AND DOLLAR WILL CONTINUE TO BE UNDER PRESSURE WITH INFLATIONARY EFFECT AND NEW WALL STREET STRATEGY SEEMS TO BE BUY INTO THE BAD NEWS (RIIIIIGHT!)AND THE LOW VOLUME RALLY SUSPECT (SINCE BASED UPON NOTHING WHATSOEVER), ANOTHER R.E. ANALYST SAYS REAL ESTATE WEAKNESS WILL CONTINUE, OVER 200 POINT SWING TO THE POSITIVE (ON 2-11-08) ALONG WITH  SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT COVERING RALLIES BASED ON NOTHING BUT BULL S**T ALONE, REINSURANCE BY BERKSHIRE BUFFET TOO EXPENSIVE (AND LIMITED TO MUNICIPALS) TO HELP AND REJECTED BY SOME BOND INSURERS IS STILL B.S. TALKING POINT FOR THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET AS IS THE 30 DAY EXTENSION FOR DEFAULTS/FORECLOSURES SINCE 95% DON’T QUALIFY FOR WORKOUT AND FOR WHICH PROPERTIES HAVE NO EQUITY WHATSOEVER, ONE ANALYST SAYS GM WHICH REPORTED RECORD $38.7 BILLION 2007 LOSS ALONG WITH FORD HAVE NO BOOK VALUE AFTER REMOVING GOOD WILL (THEY’RE BROKE!), ONE BANK REPORTS FIRST LOSS EVER AND CUTS DIVIDEND RALLYING THE STOCK (RIIIIIGHT), PREVIOUS HIGH OIL PRICES RALLY STOCKS (RIIIIIGHT), AIG DOWN 11% ON DOWNGRADE/HIGHER THAN EXPECTED LOSSES IN ASSETS/SUBPRIME DERIVATIVES, ONE ANALYST/TRADER SAYS SELL INTO RALLIES WHILE ANOTHER SAYS STIMULUS PLAN JUST ELECTION YEAR SHOW AND WON’T DO ANYTHING BUT INCREASE BUDGET DEFICIT AND AT BEST INCREASE TRADE DEFICIT (PLASMA TV’S, ETC.), BOND INSURER SECURITY CAPITAL DOWNGRADED, ONE ANALYST QUOTES JOHN TEMPLETON (WHO HAPPENS TO HAVE SAID THE MARKET IS GOING TO CRASH) AND SAYS IN EFFECT THAT VOLATILE MARKETS AHEAD, EMERGING/GLOBAL MARKETS/COMMODITY EXPORTERS WILL FARE BEST, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PACKAGE WILL NOT WORK SINCE TOO SMALL AND SOME WILL NOT SPEND NOR WILL RATE CUTS WORK AS INFLATION NOT CONTROLLED AND CONSUMER/CORPORATE CONFIDENCE DOWN, DOLLAR DOWN, OIL UP TO CLOSE AT $93.27, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS INCREASE IN WHOLESALE INVENTORIES AND INCREASED MORTGAGE AND CREDIT CARD  DEFAULTS WILL SURPRISE TO THE DOWNSIDE AND OTHER THAN AN OCCASIONAL SHORT–COVERING RALLY NOT MUCH UPSIDE MOMENTUM EVEN WITH (HYPERINFLATIONARY) PUMP-PRIMING BY FED, DOLLAR DOWN,  RETAIL SALES WEAKEST IN 40 YEARS, GLOOMY OUTLOOKS FROM BOTH CISCO AND WALMART (JANUARY SALES AT .5% UP FAR LESS THAN EXPECTATIONS) RALLIES BOTH STOCKS, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, R.E. EXPERT/ANALYST SAYS ANOTHER 15% DECLINE IN HOME PRICES FOR 2008 WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS DECLINING REAL ESTATE PRICES INTO 2009, ON TODAYS UP MARKET ANALYST SAYS THEY’RE TRYING TO MAKE A SILK PURSE FROM A SOW’S EAR IN LIGHT OF BAD ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL NUMBERS, UNEMPLOYMENT ROLLS HIGHEST SINCE JUST AFTER KATRINA, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PLAN WILL NOT WORK SINCE SAME DOES NOT ADDRESS THE UNDERLYING PROBLEMS ALTHOUGH BULL S**T TALKING POINT SPIKES STOCK PRICES ON NEWS OF SENATE RESOLUTION, DOWNGRADES ON GM AND FORD CITING ACCELERATING WEAKNESS OF CONSUMERS/SPENDING, TOLL BROTHERS HOUSING CONTRACTS DOWN 46% AND CEO SAYS HE SEES NO END TO THE TURMOIL IN SIGHT, TIME WARNER NET DOWN 41% AND DISNEY NET DOWN 26% BUT BETTER THAN EXPECTED…..RIIIIIGHT…..STILL BACKWARD LOOKING AT FOURTH QUARTER WHEN SAME HAS BEEN OPTIMALLY DISCOUNTED ALREADY, TWO FED BANK PRESIDENTS SAY THEY MUST REMAIN VIGILANT AGAINST(HYPER)INFLATION (THEY KNOW FED’S BEEN PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD), MACY’S TO CUT JOBS ON POOR RESULTS/OUTLOOK, AFTER THE BELL-LESS THAN ROSY OUTLOOK BY CISCO, fake (GOVERNMENT) report on productivity down to low 1.8% from 6% previously but still better than expected, ONE ANALYST SAYS GLOBAL SELLING OF DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/StOCKS, ANOTHER SAYS BEAR MARKET AND ALL SECTORS/GROUPS DOWN, THE ism (non-government report) service sector (now 2/3 of u.s. economy) index drops in january, 2008 far below expectations to 41.9 (less than 50% indicates contraction), more downgrades of consumer finance companies and banks, ken shreve of investors business daily says significant institutional selling and stock prices have not seen bottom yet, jeff lacker of richmond fed now uttering the ‘r’ word (recession), $3 Trillion budget with $400+ billion budget deficit, oil inventories up on fake (GOVERNMENT) report, factory orders up 2.3% on fake (GOVERNMENT) report and 2007 worse year since 2003, 200 lenders went out of business in 2007, another rate cut already discounted but rates up, MONOPOLY COMPANY (WITH MONEY TO BURN AND WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS EARNINGS) MICROSOFT’S RICH TAKEOVER BID FOR YAHOO (IF THEY DO FOR YAHOO MAIL WHAT THEY DO FOR THEIR OWN HOTMAIL, DISASTER IN THE MAKING AND DON’T FORGET THE EXPERTS WHO UNIVERSALLY PAN THEIR MONEY-MAKING VISTA) SPURred IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT STOCK PRICE RALLY DESPITE UNEXPECTEDLY LARGE LOSS OF 17,000 JOBS (A GAIN OF 70-80 THOUSAND WAS EXPECTED-LOSSES IN MANUFACTURING, CONSTRUCTION, FINANCE, AND EVEN BROKE GOVERNMENT SECTOR), CONSTRUCTION SPENDING DOWN, MORE BANK AND BOND COMPANY LOSSES ACKNOWLEDGED TO COME, MORE BACKWARD-LOOKING (TO fourth quarter) earnings b.s. talking points; ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER WHO SAYS WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION FURTHER POINTS OUT THAT STIMULUS PLAN AND RATE CUTS WON’T WORK SINCE THEY DON’T ADDRESS THE PROBLEM WHICH INCLUDES VALUATION OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES AND CONSEQUENT LOSSES TO BOND INSURERS, BANKS, ETC., AND PREDICTS FURTHER PRICE EROSION (-15-20%) IN REAL ESTATE PRICES COUNTRYWIDE; stimulus plan washington incompetents and dumbya bush (protect those incumbents with more bull s**t/spin/fraud) pledging more money they don’t have (print more/borrow more – hyperinflationary and stagflation - the fact is that they couldn’t borrow/print enough to remedy ie., the subprime fraud, etc.), one analyst recently explained that even as the DOW recently had hit new highs in u.s. as measured in real money, ie., gold, foreign currencies, etc., the DOW has actually fallen 70%, all of which foreign currencies are stronger against the weak dollar which will continue to decline which creates hyperinflation and exodus from same by global investors except those who are picking up prime u.s. financial assets on the cheap owing to u.s. desperation and greed (pay packages, compensation, etc.), P/E ratio analysis/comparison no longer apposite in light of declining dollar/fake reports/inflation which should be reflected in same (but is not), DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY ON NEWS OF CUT (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING, AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), AS GOLD PREVIOUSLY HIT NEW INTRA-DAY RECORD HIGH AT $942.20 (CLOSED AT $906.10 THIS DAY/SILVER $17.13/PLATINUM $2,O63-NEW RECORD) AS DID PLATINUM ALONG WITH OTHER METALS/COMMODITIES AND OIL HIT OVER $93 (CLOSED AT $95.50 THIS DAY), AN ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN AN EARNINGS RECESSION AND HE IS ON THE BEAR SIDE OF THE LEGER, GOVERNMENT REPORTS LESS THAN EXPECTED GDP GROWTH IN FOURTH QUARTER AT .6% WHICH PROBABLY MEANS NEGATIVE SINCE THE GOVERNMENT LIES ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING, CASE/Shiller index-home prices fell 97% in fourth quarter, new home sales down a record 26% in 2007 (-4.7% in December, 2007), another analyst says we’re in recession while another says inflation is a significant problem moving forward (stagflation), dollar down, incumbents (just in time for the election) hoping to divert attention from their failed policies domestically, geopolitically, economically and otherwise as spending money they don’t have (they’re printing same and borrowing like crazy) will increase deficits and along with lower interest rates lower the value of the already worthless/internationally scorned dollar and dollar denominated assets including stocks (which rallied today despite the bad news) while as expected, hyperinflationary effects on oil, gold, commodity, etc., prices already immediately evident in today’s trading.  ADP, a jersey based company not unfamiliar to the fraud/crime of placing fake/non-existent employees on payrolls to facilitate (illegal/drug) money laundering plays ball (I’m sure for a price/favor) with the frauds on wall street with a figure SUBSTANTIALLY EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS of PRIVATE SECTOR JOB GAINS (130,000). MERRILL LYNCH DOWNGRADED. UBS ANOTHER $14 BILLION IN WRITE-DOWNS ALONG WITH ANOTHER $8 BILLION FROM SOCIETE GENERALE. BOND INSURERS DOWNGRADES (WHICH WILL COST BANKS ANOTHER $40 BILLION) AND SEE ANOTHER $11 BILLION IN LOSSES. The MANTRA is the so-called stimulus plan, the logistics and length of time involved in Katrina-like execution guarantee only to forestall recognition of and accountability for ineptitude/corruption that leaves america, unlike during the great depression when america was neither globally hated nor broke as today, with a Weimar-Republic-like currency and continued failed leadership/policies and obfuscation of existing unsolved problems through blatant falsehoods, false data/reports,corruption, etc.. Housing prices for the first time since the great depression have fallen significantly and nationally. ALL PROBLEMS REMAIN. NOTHING HAS BEEN SOLVED. NOTHING HAS CHANGED except to give bull s**t/spin talking points to those responsible for u.s. decline. (ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER, MERRIL LYNCH ECONOMIST, AMONG OTHERS…..ALREADY IN RECESSION), greater than expected downturn in housing starts at  –14%, mortgage insurer credit downgrades, manufacturing down, merrill lynch posts record $10 billion loss, bankruptcies up 40%, industrial production flat, inflation up and much higher than reported ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN THIRD MONTH IN A ROW, DEFAULTS UP, Housing down, inflation up, consumer confidence near lows, TRADE DEFICIT NEAR RECORD AND ABOVE EXPECTATIONS, RETAIL SALES DOWN AND FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS, ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE JAWBONING (BULL S**T) TO THE CONTRARY, 4th quarter earnings discounted long ago, fake economic reports/data, more bull s**t/spin, dollar to fall even further with fed panic and inflation to rise-hyperinflation/stagflation, lunatics’/suckers’ bear market rally INTO THE CLOSE (DOW -28, NASDAQ –10, S&P +1.13) to keep the suckers suckered and computerized commission trade dollars flowing as stocks drop modestly relative to reality.  REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   (2-14-08) (DOW -175, NASDAQ -41, S&P -18) SOBERING VIEW OF DETERIORATING ECONOMY FROM BERNANKE (WHO INHERITED SAME FROM B.S. ARTIST/INCOMPETENT GREENSPAN – REMEMBER THE ENVY OF ALL THE WORLD SPEECHES…..RIIIIIGHT…..IF MEASURED IN DEFICITS, WORTHLESSNESS OF CURRENCY, ETC.) AS ECONOMIC PROSPECTS FOR THE ECONOMY HAVE DETERIORATED BEYOND EXPECTATION AND THAT CONSUMER SPENDING WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED TO THE DOWNSIDE, UBS WITH MORE WRITEDOWNS($13BILLION)/LOSSES/NEGATIVE GUIDANCE, FGIC BOND INSURER DOWNGRADE BY MOODY’S, HOME PRICES FELL A QUARTERLY RECORD 5.8% (-17% IN BUBBLE BANANA REPUBLIC CALIFORNIA), ONE ANALYST SAYS BOTTOM FISHING IN A MARKET AS THIS IS LIKE ‘TRYING TO CATCH A FALLING KNIFE’, FALSE REPORTS FROM GOVERNMENT NO HELP, FIRST BASED ON MULTINATIONAL ‘DEFENSIVE’  STOCK WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) COCA COLA RALLIES STOCKS, THEN SCANDAL-SCARRED, CORRUPT COMMERCE DEPARTMENT OF THE LIE-PRONE U.S. GOVERNMENT (THEY LIE ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING) WHICH LIES HAVE LED TO WAR CRIMES, NATIONAL DECLINE, SUB-PRIME MELTDOWN, HUGE FRAUDS, ETC., AS STOCKS RALLY FURTHER WITH FALSE GOV’T REPORT OF JANUARY RETAIL SALES 200% (UP A WEAK .3% INSTEAD OF DOWN .3% - ALL ACTUAL REPORTS IN JANUARY WERE DOWN -  THE AUTO COMPANIES/DEALERS KNOW HOW MANY CARS AND OTHER RETALILERS HOW MANY GOODS THEY’VE SOLD) BETTER THAN EXPECTED BY ECONOMISTS, ETC., NEXT WAVE OF IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE/FURTHER/FRAUD CAME WITH BUSH SIGNING THE ECONOMICALLY  INNEFECTIVE ELECTION-YEAR STIMULOUS PLAN WHICH HAS BEEN DISCOUNTED IRRATIONALLY TO THE UPSIDE MANY TIMES ALREADY, ONE ANALYST SAYS RETAIL SALES NUMBER BY COMMERCE DEPARTMENT NOT TO BE BELIEVED AND FINANCIALS WILL REMAIN A MINEFIELD WITH MORE DOWNGRADES AND DOLLAR WILL CONTINUE TO BE UNDER PRESSURE WITH INFLATIONARY EFFECT AND NEW WALL STREET STRATEGY SEEMS TO BE BUY INTO THE BAD NEWS (RIIIIIGHT!)AND THE LOW VOLUME RALLY SUSPECT (SINCE BASED UPON NOTHING WHATSOEVER), ANOTHER R.E. ANALYST SAYS REAL ESTATE WEAKNESS WILL CONTINUE, OVER 200 POINT SWING TO THE POSITIVE (ON 2-11-08) ALONG WITH  SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT COVERING RALLIES BASED ON NOTHING BUT BULL S**T ALONE, REINSURANCE BY BERKSHIRE BUFFET TOO EXPENSIVE (AND LIMITED TO MUNICIPALS) TO HELP AND REJECTED BY SOME BOND INSURERS IS STILL B.S. TALKING POINT FOR THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET AS IS THE 30 DAY EXTENSION FOR DEFAULTS/FORECLOSURES SINCE 95% DON’T QUALIFY FOR WORKOUT AND FOR WHICH PROPERTIES HAVE NO EQUITY WHATSOEVER, ONE ANALYST SAYS GM WHICH REPORTED RECORD $38.7 BILLION 2007 LOSS ALONG WITH FORD HAVE NO BOOK VALUE AFTER REMOVING GOOD WILL (THEY’RE BROKE!), ONE BANK REPORTS FIRST LOSS EVER AND CUTS DIVIDEND RALLYING THE STOCK (RIIIIIGHT), PREVIOUS HIGH OIL PRICES RALLY STOCKS (RIIIIIGHT), AIG DOWN 11% ON DOWNGRADE/HIGHER THAN EXPECTED LOSSES IN ASSETS/SUBPRIME DERIVATIVES, ONE ANALYST/TRADER SAYS SELL INTO RALLIES WHILE ANOTHER SAYS STIMULUS PLAN JUST ELECTION YEAR SHOW AND WON’T DO ANYTHING BUT INCREASE BUDGET DEFICIT AND AT BEST INCREASE TRADE DEFICIT (PLASMA TV’S, ETC.), BOND INSURER SECURITY CAPITAL DOWNGRADED, ONE ANALYST QUOTES JOHN TEMPLETON (WHO HAPPENS TO HAVE SAID THE MARKET IS GOING TO CRASH) AND SAYS IN EFFECT THAT VOLATILE MARKETS AHEAD, EMERGING/GLOBAL MARKETS/COMMODITY EXPORTERS WILL FARE BEST, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PACKAGE WILL NOT WORK SINCE TOO SMALL AND SOME WILL NOT SPEND NOR WILL RATE CUTS WORK AS INFLATION NOT CONTROLLED AND CONSUMER/CORPORATE CONFIDENCE DOWN, DOLLAR DOWN, OIL UP TO CLOSE AT $93.27, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS INCREASE IN WHOLESALE INVENTORIES AND INCREASED MORTGAGE AND CREDIT CARD  DEFAULTS WILL SURPRISE TO THE DOWNSIDE AND OTHER THAN AN OCCASIONAL SHORT–COVERING RALLY NOT MUCH UPSIDE MOMENTUM EVEN WITH (HYPERINFLATIONARY) PUMP-PRIMING BY FED, DOLLAR DOWN,  RETAIL SALES WEAKEST IN 40 YEARS, GLOOMY OUTLOOKS FROM BOTH CISCO AND WALMART (JANUARY SALES AT .5% UP FAR LESS THAN EXPECTATIONS) RALLIES BOTH STOCKS, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, R.E. EXPERT/ANALYST SAYS ANOTHER 15% DECLINE IN HOME PRICES FOR 2008 WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS DECLINING REAL ESTATE PRICES INTO 2009, ON TODAYS UP MARKET ANALYST SAYS THEY’RE TRYING TO MAKE A SILK PURSE FROM A SOW’S EAR IN LIGHT OF BAD ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL NUMBERS, UNEMPLOYMENT ROLLS HIGHEST SINCE JUST AFTER KATRINA, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PLAN WILL NOT WORK SINCE SAME DOES NOT ADDRESS THE UNDERLYING PROBLEMS ALTHOUGH BULL S**T TALKING POINT SPIKES STOCK PRICES ON NEWS OF SENATE RESOLUTION, DOWNGRADES ON GM AND FORD CITING ACCELERATING WEAKNESS OF CONSUMERS/SPENDING, TOLL BROTHERS HOUSING CONTRACTS DOWN 46% AND CEO SAYS HE SEES NO END TO THE TURMOIL IN SIGHT, TIME WARNER NET DOWN 41% AND DISNEY NET DOWN 26% BUT BETTER THAN EXPECTED…..RIIIIIGHT…..STILL BACKWARD LOOKING AT FOURTH QUARTER WHEN SAME HAS BEEN OPTIMALLY DISCOUNTED ALREADY, TWO FED BANK PRESIDENTS SAY THEY MUST REMAIN VIGILANT AGAINST(HYPER)INFLATION (THEY KNOW FED’S BEEN PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD), MACY’S TO CUT JOBS ON POOR RESULTS/OUTLOOK, AFTER THE BELL-LESS THAN ROSY OUTLOOK BY CISCO, fake (GOVERNMENT) report on productivity down to low 1.8% from 6% previously but still better than expected, ONE ANALYST SAYS GLOBAL SELLING OF DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/StOCKS, ANOTHER SAYS BEAR MARKET AND ALL SECTORS/GROUPS DOWN, THE ism (non-government report) service sector (now 2/3 of u.s. economy) index drops in january, 2008 far below expectations to 41.9 (less than 50% indicates contraction), more downgrades of consumer finance companies and banks, ken shreve of investors business daily says significant institutional selling and stock prices have not seen bottom yet, jeff lacker of richmond fed now uttering the ‘r’ word (recession), $3 Trillion budget with $400+ billion budget deficit, oil inventories up on fake (GOVERNMENT) report, factory orders up 2.3% on fake (GOVERNMENT) report and 2007 worse year since 2003, 200 lenders went out of business in 2007, another rate cut already discounted but rates up, MONOPOLY COMPANY (WITH MONEY TO BURN AND WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS EARNINGS) MICROSOFT’S RICH TAKEOVER BID FOR YAHOO (IF THEY DO FOR YAHOO MAIL WHAT THEY DO FOR THEIR OWN HOTMAIL, DISASTER IN THE MAKING AND DON’T FORGET THE EXPERTS WHO UNIVERSALLY PAN THEIR MONEY-MAKING VISTA) SPURred IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT STOCK PRICE RALLY DESPITE UNEXPECTEDLY LARGE LOSS OF 17,000 JOBS (A GAIN OF 70-80 THOUSAND WAS EXPECTED-LOSSES IN MANUFACTURING, CONSTRUCTION, FINANCE, AND EVEN BROKE GOVERNMENT SECTOR), CONSTRUCTION SPENDING DOWN, MORE BANK AND BOND COMPANY LOSSES ACKNOWLEDGED TO COME, MORE BACKWARD-LOOKING (TO fourth quarter) earnings b.s. talking points; ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER WHO SAYS WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION FURTHER POINTS OUT THAT STIMULUS PLAN AND RATE CUTS WON’T WORK SINCE THEY DON’T ADDRESS THE PROBLEM WHICH INCLUDES VALUATION OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES AND CONSEQUENT LOSSES TO BOND INSURERS, BANKS, ETC., AND PREDICTS FURTHER PRICE EROSION (-15-20%) IN REAL ESTATE PRICES COUNTRYWIDE; stimulus plan washington incompetents and dumbya bush (protect those incumbents with more bull s**t/spin/fraud) pledging more money they don’t have (print more/borrow more – hyperinflationary and stagflation - the fact is that they couldn’t borrow/print enough to remedy ie., the subprime fraud, etc.), one analyst recently explained that even as the DOW recently had hit new highs in u.s. as measured in real money, ie., gold, foreign currencies, etc., the DOW has actually fallen 70%, all of which foreign currencies are stronger against the weak dollar which will continue to decline which creates hyperinflation and exodus from same by global investors except those who are picking up prime u.s. financial assets on the cheap owing to u.s. desperation and greed (pay packages, compensation, etc.), P/E ratio analysis/comparison no longer apposite in light of declining dollar/fake reports/inflation which should be reflected in same (but is not), DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY ON NEWS OF CUT (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING, AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), AS GOLD PREVIOUSLY HIT NEW INTRA-DAY RECORD HIGH AT $942.20 (CLOSED AT $910.80 THIS DAY/SILVER $17.25/PLATINUM $2,005.90) AS DID PLATINUM ALONG WITH OTHER METALS/COMMODITIES AND OIL HIT OVER $93 (CLOSED AT $95.46 THIS DAY), AN ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN AN EARNINGS RECESSION AND HE IS ON THE BEAR SIDE OF THE LEGER, GOVERNMENT REPORTS LESS THAN EXPECTED GDP GROWTH IN FOURTH QUARTER AT .6% WHICH PROBABLY MEANS NEGATIVE SINCE THE GOVERNMENT LIES ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING, CASE/Shiller index-home prices fell 97% in fourth quarter, new home sales down a record 26% in 2007 (-4.7% in December, 2007), another analyst says we’re in recession while another says inflation is a significant problem moving forward (stagflation), dollar down, incumbents (just in time for the election) hoping to divert attention from their failed policies domestically, geopolitically, economically and otherwise as spending money they don’t have (they’re printing same and borrowing like crazy) will increase deficits and along with lower interest rates lower the value of the already worthless/internationally scorned dollar and dollar denominated assets including stocks (which rallied today despite the bad news) while as expected, hyperinflationary effects on oil, gold, commodity, etc., prices already immediately evident in today’s trading.  ADP, a jersey based company not unfamiliar to the fraud/crime of placing fake/non-existent employees on payrolls to facilitate (illegal/drug) money laundering plays ball (I’m sure for a price/favor) with the frauds on wall street with a figure SUBSTANTIALLY EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS of PRIVATE SECTOR JOB GAINS (130,000). MERRILL LYNCH DOWNGRADED. UBS ANOTHER $14 BILLION IN WRITE-DOWNS ALONG WITH ANOTHER $8 BILLION FROM SOCIETE GENERALE. BOND INSURERS DOWNGRADES (WHICH WILL COST BANKS ANOTHER $40 BILLION) AND SEE ANOTHER $11 BILLION IN LOSSES. The MANTRA is the so-called stimulus plan, the logistics and length of time involved in Katrina-like execution guarantee only to forestall recognition of and accountability for ineptitude/corruption that leaves america, unlike during the great depression when america was neither globally hated nor broke as today, with a Weimar-Republic-like currency and continued failed leadership/policies and obfuscation of existing unsolved problems through blatant falsehoods, false data/reports,corruption, etc.. Housing prices for the first time since the great depression have fallen significantly and nationally. ALL PROBLEMS REMAIN. NOTHING HAS BEEN SOLVED. NOTHING HAS CHANGED except to give bull s**t/spin talking points to those responsible for u.s. decline. (ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER, MERRIL LYNCH ECONOMIST, AMONG OTHERS…..ALREADY IN RECESSION), greater than expected downturn in housing starts at  –14%, mortgage insurer credit downgrades, manufacturing down, merrill lynch posts record $10 billion loss, bankruptcies up 40%, industrial production flat, inflation up and much higher than reported ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN THIRD MONTH IN A ROW, DEFAULTS UP, Housing down, inflation up, consumer confidence near lows, TRADE DEFICIT NEAR RECORD AND ABOVE EXPECTATIONS, RETAIL SALES DOWN AND FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS, ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE JAWBONING (BULL S**T) TO THE CONTRARY, 4th quarter earnings discounted long ago, fake economic reports/data, more bull s**t/spin, dollar to fall even further with fed panic and inflation to rise-hyperinflation/stagflation, as stocks drop modestly relative to reality (DOW -175, NASDAQ -41, S&P -18).  REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   (2-13-08) (DOW +178, NASDAQ +53, S&P +18) FIRST BASED ON MULTINATIONAL ‘DEFENSIVE’  STOCK WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS SALES (AND POSITIVE CURRENCY TRANSLATION TO THE WORTHLESS DOLLAR) COCA COLA RALLIES STOCKS, THEN SCANDAL-SCARRED, CORRUPT COMMERCE DEPARTMENT OF THE LIE-PRONE U.S. GOVERNMENT (THEY LIE ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING) WHICH LIES HAVE LED TO WAR CRIMES, NATIONAL DECLINE, SUB-PRIME MELTDOWN, HUGE FRAUDS, ETC., AS STOCKS RALLY FURTHER WITH FALSE GOV’T REPORT OF JANUARY RETAIL SALES 200% (UP A WEAK .3% INSTEAD OF DOWN .3% - ALL ACTUAL REPORTS IN JANUARY WERE DOWN -  THE AUTO COMPANIES/DEALERS KNOW HOW MANY CARS THEY’VE SOLD) BETTER THAN EXPECTED BY ECONOMISTS, ETC., NEXT WAVE OF IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE/FURTHER/FRAUD CAME WITH BUSH SIGNING THE ECONOMICALLY  INNEFECTIVE ELECTION-YEAR STIMULOUS PLAN WHICH HAS BEEN DISCOUNTED IRRATIONALLY TO THE UPSIDE MANY TIMES ALREADY, ONE ANALYST SAYS RETAIL SALES NUMBER BY COMMERCE DEPARTMENT NOT TO BE BELIEVED AND FINANCIALS WILL REMAIN A MINEFIELD WITH MORE DOWNGRADES AND DOLLAR WILL CONTINUE TO BE UNDER PRESSURE WITH INFLATIONARY EFFECT AND NEW WALL STREET STRATEGY SEEMS TO BE BUY INTO THE BAD NEWS (RIIIIIGHT!)AND THE LOW VOLUME RALLY SUSPECT (SINCE BASED UPON NOTHING WHATSOEVER), ANOTHER R.E. ANALYST SAYS REAL ESTATE WEAKNESS WILL CONTINUE, OVER 200 POINT SWING TO THE POSITIVE (ON 2-11-08) ALONG WITH  SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT COVERING RALLIES BASED ON NOTHING BUT BULL S**T ALONE, REINSURANCE BY BERKSHIRE BUFFET TOO EXPENSIVE (AND LIMITED TO MUNICIPALS) TO HELP AND REJECTED BY SOME BOND INSURERS IS STILL B.S. TALKING POINT FOR THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET AS IS THE 30 DAY EXTENSION FOR DEFAULTS/FORECLOSURES SINCE 95% DON’T QUALIFY FOR WORKOUT AND FOR WHICH PROPERTIES HAVE NO EQUITY WHATSOEVER, ONE ANALYST SAYS GM WHICH REPORTED RECORD $38.7 BILLION 2007 LOSS ALONG WITH FORD HAVE NO BOOK VALUE AFTER REMOVING GOOD WILL (THEY’RE BROKE!), ONE BANK REPORTS FIRST LOSS EVER AND CUTS DIVIDEND RALLYING THE STOCK (RIIIIIGHT), PREVIOUS HIGH OIL PRICES RALLY STOCKS (RIIIIIGHT), AIG DOWN 11% ON DOWNGRADE/HIGHER THAN EXPECTED LOSSES IN ASSETS/SUBPRIME DERIVATIVES, ONE ANALYST/TRADER SAYS SELL INTO RALLIES WHILE ANOTHER SAYS STIMULUS PLAN JUST ELECTION YEAR SHOW AND WON’T DO ANYTHING BUT INCREASE BUDGET DEFICIT AND AT BEST INCREASE TRADE DEFICIT (PLASMA TV’S, ETC.), BOND INSURER SECURITY CAPITAL DOWNGRADED, ONE ANALYST QUOTES JOHN TEMPLETON (WHO HAPPENS TO HAVE SAID THE MARKET IS GOING TO CRASH) AND SAYS IN EFFECT THAT VOLATILE MARKETS AHEAD, EMERGING/GLOBAL MARKETS/COMMODITY EXPORTERS WILL FARE BEST, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PACKAGE WILL NOT WORK SINCE TOO SMALL AND SOME WILL NOT SPEND NOR WILL RATE CUTS WORK AS INFLATION NOT CONTROLLED AND CONSUMER/CORPORATE CONFIDENCE DOWN, DOLLAR DOWN, OIL UP TO CLOSE AT $93.27, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS INCREASE IN WHOLESALE INVENTORIES AND INCREASED MORTGAGE AND CREDIT CARD  DEFAULTS WILL SURPRISE TO THE DOWNSIDE AND OTHER THAN AN OCCASIONAL SHORT–COVERING RALLY NOT MUCH UPSIDE MOMENTUM EVEN WITH (HYPERINFLATIONARY) PUMP-PRIMING BY FED, DOLLAR DOWN,  RETAIL SALES WEAKEST IN 40 YEARS, GLOOMY OUTLOOKS FROM BOTH CISCO AND WALMART (JANUARY SALES AT .5% UP FAR LESS THAN EXPECTATIONS) RALLIES BOTH STOCKS, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, R.E. EXPERT/ANALYST SAYS ANOTHER 15% DECLINE IN HOME PRICES FOR 2008 WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS DECLINING REAL ESTATE PRICES INTO 2009, ON TODAYS UP MARKET ANALYST SAYS THEY’RE TRYING TO MAKE A SILK PURSE FROM A SOW’S EAR IN LIGHT OF BAD ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL NUMBERS, UNEMPLOYMENT ROLLS HIGHEST SINCE JUST AFTER KATRINA, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PLAN WILL NOT WORK SINCE SAME DOES NOT ADDRESS THE UNDERLYING PROBLEMS ALTHOUGH BULL S**T TALKING POINT SPIKES STOCK PRICES ON NEWS OF SENATE RESOLUTION, DOWNGRADES ON GM AND FORD CITING ACCELERATING WEAKNESS OF CONSUMERS/SPENDING, TOLL BROTHERS HOUSING CONTRACTS DOWN 46% AND CEO SAYS HE SEES NO END TO THE TURMOIL IN SIGHT, TIME WARNER NET DOWN 41% AND DISNEY NET DOWN 26% BUT BETTER THAN EXPECTED…..RIIIIIGHT…..STILL BACKWARD LOOKING AT FOURTH QUARTER WHEN SAME HAS BEEN OPTIMALLY DISCOUNTED ALREADY, TWO FED BANK PRESIDENTS SAY THEY MUST REMAIN VIGILANT AGAINST(HYPER)INFLATION (THEY KNOW FED’S BEEN PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD), MACY’S TO CUT JOBS ON POOR RESULTS/OUTLOOK, AFTER THE BELL-LESS THAN ROSY OUTLOOK BY CISCO, fake (GOVERNMENT) report on productivity down to low 1.8% from 6% previously but still better than expected, ONE ANALYST SAYS GLOBAL SELLING OF DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/StOCKS, ANOTHER SAYS BEAR MARKET AND ALL SECTORS/GROUPS DOWN, THE ism (non-government report) service sector (now 2/3 of u.s. economy) index drops in january, 2008 far below expectations to 41.9 (less than 50% indicates contraction), more downgrades of consumer finance companies and banks, ken shreve of investors business daily says significant institutional selling and stock prices have not seen bottom yet, jeff lacker of richmond fed now uttering the ‘r’ word (recession), $3 Trillion budget with $400+ billion budget deficit, oil inventories up on fake (GOVERNMENT) report, factory orders up 2.3% on fake (GOVERNMENT) report and 2007 worse year since 2003, 200 lenders went out of business in 2007, another rate cut already discounted but rates up, MONOPOLY COMPANY (WITH MONEY TO BURN AND WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS EARNINGS) MICROSOFT’S RICH TAKEOVER BID FOR YAHOO (IF THEY DO FOR YAHOO MAIL WHAT THEY DO FOR THEIR OWN HOTMAIL, DISASTER IN THE MAKING AND DON’T FORGET THE EXPERTS WHO UNIVERSALLY PAN THEIR MONEY-MAKING VISTA) SPURred IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT STOCK PRICE RALLY DESPITE UNEXPECTEDLY LARGE LOSS OF 17,000 JOBS (A GAIN OF 70-80 THOUSAND WAS EXPECTED-LOSSES IN MANUFACTURING, CONSTRUCTION, FINANCE, AND EVEN BROKE GOVERNMENT SECTOR), CONSTRUCTION SPENDING DOWN, MORE BANK AND BOND COMPANY LOSSES ACKNOWLEDGED TO COME, MORE BACKWARD-LOOKING (TO fourth quarter) earnings b.s. talking points; ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER WHO SAYS WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION FURTHER POINTS OUT THAT STIMULUS PLAN AND RATE CUTS WON’T WORK SINCE THEY DON’T ADDRESS THE PROBLEM WHICH INCLUDES VALUATION OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES AND CONSEQUENT LOSSES TO BOND INSURERS, BANKS, ETC., AND PREDICTS FURTHER PRICE EROSION (-15-20%) IN REAL ESTATE PRICES COUNTRYWIDE; stimulus plan washington incompetents and dumbya bush (protect those incumbents with more bull s**t/spin/fraud) pledging more money they don’t have (print more/borrow more – hyperinflationary and stagflation - the fact is that they couldn’t borrow/print enough to remedy ie., the subprime fraud, etc.), one analyst recently explained that even as the DOW recently had hit new highs in u.s. as measured in real money, ie., gold, foreign currencies, etc., the DOW has actually fallen 70%, all of which foreign currencies are stronger against the weak dollar which will continue to decline which creates hyperinflation and exodus from same by global investors except those who are picking up prime u.s. financial assets on the cheap owing to u.s. desperation and greed (pay packages, compensation, etc.), P/E ratio analysis/comparison no longer apposite in light of declining dollar/fake reports/inflation which should be reflected in same (but is not), DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY ON NEWS OF CUT (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING, AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), AS GOLD PREVIOUSLY HIT NEW INTRA-DAY RECORD HIGH AT $942.20 (CLOSED AT $910.20 THIS DAY/SILVER $17.35/PLATINUM $1,983.70) AS DID PLATINUM ALONG WITH OTHER METALS/COMMODITIES AND OIL HIT OVER $93 (CLOSED AT $93.27 THIS DAY), AN ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN AN EARNINGS RECESSION AND HE IS ON THE BEAR SIDE OF THE LEGER, GOVERNMENT REPORTS LESS THAN EXPECTED GDP GROWTH IN FOURTH QUARTER AT .6% WHICH PROBABLY MEANS NEGATIVE SINCE THE GOVERNMENT LIES ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING, CASE/Shiller index-home prices fell 97% in fourth quarter, new home sales down a record 26% in 2007 (-4.7% in December, 2007), another analyst says we’re in recession while another says inflation is a significant problem moving forward (stagflation), dollar down, incumbents (just in time for the election) hoping to divert attention from their failed policies domestically, geopolitically, economically and otherwise as spending money they don’t have (they’re printing same and borrowing like crazy) will increase deficits and along with lower interest rates lower the value of the already worthless/internationally scorned dollar and dollar denominated assets including stocks (which rallied today despite the bad news) while as expected, hyperinflationary effects on oil, gold, commodity, etc., prices already immediately evident in today’s trading.  ADP, a jersey based company not unfamiliar to the fraud/crime of placing fake/non-existent employees on payrolls to facilitate (illegal/drug) money laundering plays ball (I’m sure for a price/favor) with the frauds on wall street with a figure SUBSTANTIALLY EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS of PRIVATE SECTOR JOB GAINS (130,000). MERRILL LYNCH DOWNGRADED. UBS ANOTHER $14 BILLION IN WRITE-DOWNS ALONG WITH ANOTHER $8 BILLION FROM SOCIETE GENERALE. BOND INSURERS DOWNGRADES (WHICH WILL COST BANKS ANOTHER $40 BILLION) AND SEE ANOTHER $11 BILLION IN LOSSES. The MANTRA is the so-called stimulus plan, the logistics and length of time involved in Katrina-like execution guarantee only to forestall recognition of and accountability for ineptitude/corruption that leaves america, unlike during the great depression when america was neither globally hated nor broke as today, with a Weimar-Republic-like currency and continued failed leadership/policies and obfuscation of existing unsolved problems through blatant falsehoods, false data/reports,corruption, etc.. Housing prices for the first time since the great depression have fallen significantly and nationally. ALL PROBLEMS REMAIN. NOTHING HAS BEEN SOLVED. NOTHING HAS CHANGED except to give bull s**t/spin talking points to those responsible for u.s. decline. (ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER, MERRIL LYNCH ECONOMIST, AMONG OTHERS…..ALREADY IN RECESSION), greater than expected downturn in housing starts at  –14%, mortgage insurer credit downgrades, manufacturing down, merrill lynch posts record $10 billion loss, bankruptcies up 40%, industrial production flat, inflation up and much higher than reported ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN THIRD MONTH IN A ROW, DEFAULTS UP, Housing down, inflation up, consumer confidence near lows, TRADE DEFICIT NEAR RECORD AND ABOVE EXPECTATIONS, RETAIL SALES DOWN AND FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS, ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE JAWBONING (BULL S**T) TO THE CONTRARY, 4th quarter earnings discounted long ago, fake economic reports/data, more bull s**t/spin, dollar to fall even further with fed panic and inflation to rise-hyperinflation/stagflation, lunatics’/suckers’ bear market rally (DOW +178, NASDAQ +53, S&P +18) to keep the suckers suckered and computerized commission trade dollars flowing.  REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   (2-12-08) (DOW +133, NASDAQ -.2, S&P +9) OVER 200 POINT SWING TO THE POSITIVE YESTERDAY ALONG WITH TODAY’S SUCKERS’ BEAR MARKET/SHORT COVERING RALLY BASED ON NOTHING BUT BULL S**T ALONE, REINSURANCE BY BERKSHIRE BUFFET TOO EXPENSIVE (AND LIMITED TO MUNICIPALS) TO HELP AND REJECTED BY SOME BOND INSURERS IS STILL B.S. TALKING POINT FOR THE FRAUDS ON WALL STREET AS IS THE 30 DAY EXTENSION FOR DEFAULTS/FORECLOSURES SINCE 95% DON’T QUALIFY FOR WORKOUT AND FOR WHICH PROPERTIES HAVE NO EQUITY WHATSOEVER, ONE ANALYST SAYS GM WHICH REPORTED RECORD $38.7 BILLION 2007 LOSS ALONG WITH FORD HAVE NO BOOK VALUE AFTER REMOVING GOOD WILL (THEY’RE BROKE!), ONE BANK REPORTS FIRST LOSS EVER AND CUTS DIVIDEND RALLYING THE STOCK (RIIIIIGHT), PREVIOUS HIGH OIL PRICES RALLY STOCKS (RIIIIIGHT), AIG DOWN 11% ON DOWNGRADE/HIGHER THAN EXPECTED LOSSES IN ASSETS/SUBPRIME DERIVATIVES, ONE ANALYST/TRADER SAYS SELL INTO RALLIES WHILE ANOTHER SAYS STIMULUS PLAN JUST ELECTION YEAR SHOW AND WON’T DO ANYTHING BUT INCREASE BUDGET DEFICIT AND AT BEST INCREASE TRADE DEFICIT (PLASMA TV’S, ETC.), BOND INSURER SECURITY CAPITAL DOWNGRADED, ONE ANALYST QUOTES JOHN TEMPLETON (WHO HAPPENS TO HAVE SAID THE MARKET IS GOING TO CRASH) AND SAYS IN EFFECT THAT VOLATILE MARKETS AHEAD, EMERGING/GLOBAL MARKETS/COMMODITY EXPORTERS WILL FARE BEST, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PACKAGE WILL NOT WORK SINCE TOO SMALL AND SOME WILL NOT SPEND NOR WILL RATE CUTS WORK AS INFLATION NOT CONTROLLED AND CONSUMER/CORPORATE CONFIDENCE DOWN, DOLLAR DOWN, OIL UP SHARPLY TO CLOSE AT $93.59, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS INCREASE IN WHOLESALE INVENTORIES AND INCREASED MORTGAGE AND CREDIT CARD  DEFAULTS WILL SURPRISE TO THE DOWNSIDE AND OTHER THAN AN OCCASIONAL SHORT–COVERING RALLY NOT MUCH UPSIDE MOMENTUM EVEN WITH (HYPERINFLATIONARY) PUMP-PRIMING BY FED, DOLLAR DOWN,  RETAIL SALES WEAKEST IN 40 YEARS, GLOOMY OUTLOOKS FROM BOTH CISCO AND WALMART (JANUARY SALES AT .5% UP FAR LESS THAN EXPECTATIONS) RALLIES BOTH STOCKS, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, R.E. EXPERT/ANALYST SAYS ANOTHER 15% DECLINE IN HOME PRICES FOR 2008 WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS DECLINING REAL ESTATE PRICES INTO 2009, ON TODAYS UP MARKET ANALYST SAYS THEY’RE TRYING TO MAKE A SILK PURSE FROM A SOW’S EAR IN LIGHT OF BAD ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL NUMBERS, UNEMPLOYMENT ROLLS HIGHEST SINCE JUST AFTER KATRINA, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PLAN WILL NOT WORK SINCE SAME DOES NOT ADDRESS THE UNDERLYING PROBLEMS ALTHOUGH BULL S**T TALKING POINT SPIKES STOCK PRICES ON NEWS OF SENATE RESOLUTION, DOWNGRADES ON GM AND FORD CITING ACCELERATING WEAKNESS OF CONSUMERS/SPENDING, TOLL BROTHERS HOUSING CONTRACTS DOWN 46% AND CEO SAYS HE SEES NO END TO THE TURMOIL IN SIGHT, TIME WARNER NET DOWN 41% AND DISNEY NET DOWN 26% BUT BETTER THAN EXPECTED…..RIIIIIGHT…..STILL BACKWARD LOOKING AT FOURTH QUARTER WHEN SAME HAS BEEN OPTIMALLY DISCOUNTED ALREADY, TWO FED BANK PRESIDENTS SAY THEY MUST REMAIN VIGILANT AGAINST(HYPER)INFLATION (THEY KNOW FED’S BEEN PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD), MACY’S TO CUT JOBS ON POOR RESULTS/OUTLOOK, AFTER THE BELL-LESS THAN ROSY OUTLOOK BY CISCO, fake (GOVERNMENT) report on productivity down to low 1.8% from 6% previously but still better than expected, ONE ANALYST SAYS GLOBAL SELLING OF DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/StOCKS, ANOTHER SAYS BEAR MARKET AND ALL SECTORS/GROUPS DOWN, THE ism (non-government report) service sector (now 2/3 of u.s. economy) index drops in january, 2008 far below expectations to 41.9 (less than 50% indicates contraction), more downgrades of consumer finance companies and banks, ken shreve of investors business daily says significant institutional selling and stock prices have not seen bottom yet, jeff lacker of richmond fed now uttering the ‘r’ word (recession), $3 Trillion budget with $400+ billion budget deficit, oil inventories up on fake (GOVERNMENT) report, factory orders up 2.3% on fake (GOVERNMENT) report and 2007 worse year since 2003, 200 lenders went out of business in 2007, another rate cut already discounted but rates up, MONOPOLY COMPANY (WITH MONEY TO BURN AND WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS EARNINGS) MICROSOFT’S RICH TAKEOVER BID FOR YAHOO (IF THEY DO FOR YAHOO MAIL WHAT THEY DO FOR THEIR OWN HOTMAIL, DISASTER IN THE MAKING AND DON’T FORGET THE EXPERTS WHO UNIVERSALLY PAN THEIR MONEY-MAKING VISTA) SPURred IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT STOCK PRICE RALLY DESPITE UNEXPECTEDLY LARGE LOSS OF 17,000 JOBS (A GAIN OF 70-80 THOUSAND WAS EXPECTED-LOSSES IN MANUFACTURING, CONSTRUCTION, FINANCE, AND EVEN BROKE GOVERNMENT SECTOR), CONSTRUCTION SPENDING DOWN, MORE BANK AND BOND COMPANY LOSSES ACKNOWLEDGED TO COME, MORE BACKWARD-LOOKING (TO fourth quarter) earnings b.s. talking points; ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER WHO SAYS WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION FURTHER POINTS OUT THAT STIMULUS PLAN AND RATE CUTS WON’T WORK SINCE THEY DON’T ADDRESS THE PROBLEM WHICH INCLUDES VALUATION OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES AND CONSEQUENT LOSSES TO BOND INSURERS, BANKS, ETC., AND PREDICTS FURTHER PRICE EROSION (-15-20%) IN REAL ESTATE PRICES COUNTRYWIDE; stimulus plan washington incompetents and dumbya bush (protect those incumbents with more bull s**t/spin/fraud) pledging more money they don’t have (print more/borrow more – hyperinflationary and stagflation - the fact is that they couldn’t borrow/print enough to remedy ie., the subprime fraud, etc.), one analyst recently explained that even as the DOW recently had hit new highs in u.s. as measured in real money, ie., gold, foreign currencies, etc., the DOW has actually fallen 70%, all of which foreign currencies are stronger against the weak dollar which will continue to decline which creates hyperinflation and exodus from same by global investors except those who are picking up prime u.s. financial assets on the cheap owing to u.s. desperation and greed (pay packages, compensation, etc.), P/E ratio analysis/comparison no longer apposite in light of declining dollar/fake reports/inflation which should be reflected in same (but is not), DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY ON NEWS OF CUT (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING, AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), AS GOLD PREVIOUSLY HIT NEW INTRA-DAY RECORD HIGH AT $942.20 (CLOSED AT $911.10 THIS DAY/SILVER $17.25/PLATINUM $1,922) AS DID PLATINUM ALONG WITH OTHER METALS/COMMODITIES AND OIL HIT OVER $93 (CLOSED AT $92.78 THIS DAY), AN ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN AN EARNINGS RECESSION AND HE IS ON THE BEAR SIDE OF THE LEGER, GOVERNMENT REPORTS LESS THAN EXPECTED GDP GROWTH IN FOURTH QUARTER AT .6% WHICH PROBABLY MEANS NEGATIVE SINCE THE GOVERNMENT LIES ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING, CASE/Shiller index-home prices fell 97% in fourth quarter, new home sales down a record 26% in 2007 (-4.7% in December, 2007), another analyst says we’re in recession while another says inflation is a significant problem moving forward (stagflation), dollar down, incumbents (just in time for the election) hoping to divert attention from their failed policies domestically, geopolitically, economically and otherwise as spending money they don’t have (they’re printing same and borrowing like crazy) will increase deficits and along with lower interest rates lower the value of the already worthless/internationally scorned dollar and dollar denominated assets including stocks (which rallied today despite the bad news) while as expected, hyperinflationary effects on oil, gold, commodity, etc., prices already immediately evident in today’s trading.  ADP, a jersey based company not unfamiliar to the fraud/crime of placing fake/non-existent employees on payrolls to facilitate (illegal/drug) money laundering plays ball (I’m sure for a price/favor) with the frauds on wall street with a figure SUBSTANTIALLY EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS of PRIVATE SECTOR JOB GAINS (130,000). MERRILL LYNCH DOWNGRADED. UBS ANOTHER $14 BILLION IN WRITE-DOWNS ALONG WITH ANOTHER $8 BILLION FROM SOCIETE GENERALE. BOND INSURERS DOWNGRADES (WHICH WILL COST BANKS ANOTHER $40 BILLION) AND SEE ANOTHER $11 BILLION IN LOSSES. The MANTRA is the so-called stimulus plan, the logistics and length of time involved in Katrina-like execution guarantee only to forestall recognition of and accountability for ineptitude/corruption that leaves america, unlike during the great depression when america was neither globally hated nor broke as today, with a Weimar-Republic-like currency and continued failed leadership/policies and obfuscation of existing unsolved problems through blatant falsehoods, false data/reports,corruption, etc.. Housing prices for the first time since the great depression have fallen significantly and nationally. ALL PROBLEMS REMAIN. NOTHING HAS BEEN SOLVED. NOTHING HAS CHANGED except to give bull s**t/spin talking points to those responsible for u.s. decline. (ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER, MERRIL LYNCH ECONOMIST, AMONG OTHERS…..ALREADY IN RECESSION), greater than expected downturn in housing starts at  –14%, mortgage insurer credit downgrades, manufacturing down, merrill lynch posts record $10 billion loss, bankruptcies up 40%, industrial production flat, inflation up and much higher than reported ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN THIRD MONTH IN A ROW, DEFAULTS UP, Housing down, inflation up, consumer confidence near lows, TRADE DEFICIT NEAR RECORD AND ABOVE EXPECTATIONS, RETAIL SALES DOWN AND FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS, ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE JAWBONING (BULL S**T) TO THE CONTRARY, 4th quarter earnings discounted long ago, fake economic reports/data, more bull s**t/spin, dollar to fall even further with fed panic and inflation to rise-hyperinflation/stagflation, lunatics’/suckers’ bear market rally (DOW +133, NASDAQ -.2, S&P +9) to keep the suckers suckered and computerized commission trade dollars flowing.  REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   (2-11-08) (DOW +57, NASDAQ +15, S&P +7) HIGH OIL PRICES RALLY STOCKS (RIIIIIGHT), AIG DOWN 11% ON DOWNGRADE/HIGHER THAN EXPECTED LOSSES IN ASSETS/SUBPRIME DERIVATIVES, ONE ANALYST/TRADER SAYS SELL INTO RALLIES WHILE ANOTHER SAYS STIMULUS PLAN JUST ELECTION YEAR SHOW AND WON’T DO ANYTHING BUT INCREASE BUDGET DEFICIT AND AT BEST INCREASE TRADE DEFICIT (PLASMA TV’S, ETC.), BOND INSURER SECURITY CAPITAL DOWNGRADED, ONE ANALYST QUOTES JOHN TEMPLETON (WHO HAPPENS TO HAVE SAID THE MARKET IS GOING TO CRASH) AND SAYS IN EFFECT THAT VOLATILE MARKETS AHEAD, EMERGING/GLOBAL MARKETS/COMMODITY EXPORTERS WILL FARE BEST, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PACKAGE WILL NOT WORK SINCE TOO SMALL AND SOME WILL NOT SPEND NOR WILL RATE CUTS WORK AS INFLATION NOT CONTROLLED AND CONSUMER/CORPORATE CONFIDENCE DOWN, DOLLAR DOWN, OIL UP SHARPLY TO CLOSE AT $93.59, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS INCREASE IN WHOLESALE INVENTORIES AND INCREASED MORTGAGE AND CREDIT CARD  DEFAULTS WILL SURPRISE TO THE DOWNSIDE AND OTHER THAN AN OCCASIONAL SHORT–COVERING RALLY NOT MUCH UPSIDE MOMENTUM EVEN WITH (HYPERINFLATIONARY) PUMP-PRIMING BY FED, DOLLAR DOWN,  RETAIL SALES WEAKEST IN 40 YEARS, GLOOMY OUTLOOKS FROM BOTH CISCO AND WALMART (JANUARY SALES AT .5% UP FAR LESS THAN EXPECTATIONS) RALLIES BOTH STOCKS, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, R.E. EXPERT/ANALYST SAYS ANOTHER 15% DECLINE IN HOME PRICES FOR 2008 WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS DECLINING REAL ESTATE PRICES INTO 2009, ON TODAYS UP MARKET ANALYST SAYS THEY’RE TRYING TO MAKE A SILK PURSE FROM A SOW’S EAR IN LIGHT OF BAD ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL NUMBERS, UNEMPLOYMENT ROLLS HIGHEST SINCE JUST AFTER KATRINA, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PLAN WILL NOT WORK SINCE SAME DOES NOT ADDRESS THE UNDERLYING PROBLEMS ALTHOUGH BULL S**T TALKING POINT SPIKES STOCK PRICES ON NEWS OF SENATE RESOLUTION, DOWNGRADES ON GM AND FORD CITING ACCELERATING WEAKNESS OF CONSUMERS/SPENDING, TOLL BROTHERS HOUSING CONTRACTS DOWN 46% AND CEO SAYS HE SEES NO END TO THE TURMOIL IN SIGHT, TIME WARNER NET DOWN 41% AND DISNEY NET DOWN 26% BUT BETTER THAN EXPECTED…..RIIIIIGHT…..STILL BACKWARD LOOKING AT FOURTH QUARTER WHEN SAME HAS BEEN OPTIMALLY DISCOUNTED ALREADY, TWO FED BANK PRESIDENTS SAY THEY MUST REMAIN VIGILANT AGAINST(HYPER)INFLATION (THEY KNOW FED’S BEEN PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD), MACY’S TO CUT JOBS ON POOR RESULTS/OUTLOOK, AFTER THE BELL-LESS THAN ROSY OUTLOOK BY CISCO, fake (GOVERNMENT) report on productivity down to low 1.8% from 6% previously but still better than expected, ONE ANALYST SAYS GLOBAL SELLING OF DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/StOCKS, ANOTHER SAYS BEAR MARKET AND ALL SECTORS/GROUPS DOWN, THE ism (non-government report) service sector (now 2/3 of u.s. economy) index drops in january, 2008 far below expectations to 41.9 (less than 50% indicates contraction), more downgrades of consumer finance companies and banks, ken shreve of investors business daily says significant institutional selling and stock prices have not seen bottom yet, jeff lacker of richmond fed now uttering the ‘r’ word (recession), $3 Trillion budget with $400+ billion budget deficit, oil inventories up on fake (GOVERNMENT) report, factory orders up 2.3% on fake (GOVERNMENT) report and 2007 worse year since 2003, 200 lenders went out of business in 2007, another rate cut already discounted but rates up, MONOPOLY COMPANY (WITH MONEY TO BURN AND WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS EARNINGS) MICROSOFT’S RICH TAKEOVER BID FOR YAHOO (IF THEY DO FOR YAHOO MAIL WHAT THEY DO FOR THEIR OWN HOTMAIL, DISASTER IN THE MAKING AND DON’T FORGET THE EXPERTS WHO UNIVERSALLY PAN THEIR MONEY-MAKING VISTA) SPURred IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT STOCK PRICE RALLY DESPITE UNEXPECTEDLY LARGE LOSS OF 17,000 JOBS (A GAIN OF 70-80 THOUSAND WAS EXPECTED-LOSSES IN MANUFACTURING, CONSTRUCTION, FINANCE, AND EVEN BROKE GOVERNMENT SECTOR), CONSTRUCTION SPENDING DOWN, MORE BANK AND BOND COMPANY LOSSES ACKNOWLEDGED TO COME, MORE BACKWARD-LOOKING (TO fourth quarter) earnings b.s. talking points; ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER WHO SAYS WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION FURTHER POINTS OUT THAT STIMULUS PLAN AND RATE CUTS WON’T WORK SINCE THEY DON’T ADDRESS THE PROBLEM WHICH INCLUDES VALUATION OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES AND CONSEQUENT LOSSES TO BOND INSURERS, BANKS, ETC., AND PREDICTS FURTHER PRICE EROSION (-15-20%) IN REAL ESTATE PRICES COUNTRYWIDE; stimulus plan washington incompetents and dumbya bush (protect those incumbents with more bull s**t/spin/fraud) pledging more money they don’t have (print more/borrow more – hyperinflationary and stagflation - the fact is that they couldn’t borrow/print enough to remedy ie., the subprime fraud, etc.), one analyst recently explained that even as the DOW recently had hit new highs in u.s. as measured in real money, ie., gold, foreign currencies, etc., the DOW has actually fallen 70%, all of which foreign currencies are stronger against the weak dollar which will continue to decline which creates hyperinflation and exodus from same by global investors except those who are picking up prime u.s. financial assets on the cheap owing to u.s. desperation and greed (pay packages, compensation, etc.), P/E ratio analysis/comparison no longer apposite in light of declining dollar/fake reports/inflation which should be reflected in same (but is not), DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY ON NEWS OF CUT (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING, AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), AS GOLD HIT NEW INTRA-DAY RECORD HIGH AT $942.20 (CLOSED AT $926.70 THIS DAY/SILVER $16.98/PLATINUM NEW RECORD AT $1,939) AS DID PLATINUM ALONG WITH OTHER METALS/COMMODITIES AND OIL HIT OVER $93 (CLOSED AT $93.59 THIS DAY), AN ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN AN EARNINGS RECESSION AND HE IS ON THE BEAR SIDE OF THE LEGER, GOVERNMENT REPORTS LESS THAN EXPECTED GDP GROWTH IN FOURTH QUARTER AT .6% WHICH PROBABLY MEANS NEGATIVE SINCE THE GOVERNMENT LIES ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING, CASE/Shiller index-home prices fell 97% in fourth quarter, new home sales down a record 26% in 2007 (-4.7% in December, 2007), another analyst says we’re in recession while another says inflation is a significant problem moving forward (stagflation), dollar down, incumbents (just in time for the election) hoping to divert attention from their failed policies domestically, geopolitically, economically and otherwise as spending money they don’t have (they’re printing same and borrowing like crazy) will increase deficits and along with lower interest rates lower the value of the already worthless/internationally scorned dollar and dollar denominated assets including stocks (which rallied today despite the bad news) while as expected, hyperinflationary effects on oil, gold, commodity, etc., prices already immediately evident in today’s trading.  ADP, a jersey based company not unfamiliar to the fraud/crime of placing fake/non-existent employees on payrolls to facilitate (illegal/drug) money laundering plays ball (I’m sure for a price/favor) with the frauds on wall street with a figure SUBSTANTIALLY EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS of PRIVATE SECTOR JOB GAINS (130,000). MERRILL LYNCH DOWNGRADED. UBS ANOTHER $14 BILLION IN WRITE-DOWNS ALONG WITH ANOTHER $8 BILLION FROM SOCIETE GENERALE. BOND INSURERS DOWNGRADES (WHICH WILL COST BANKS ANOTHER $40 BILLION) AND SEE ANOTHER $11 BILLION IN LOSSES. The MANTRA is the so-called stimulus plan, the logistics and length of time involved in Katrina-like execution guarantee only to forestall recognition of and accountability for ineptitude/corruption that leaves america, unlike during the great depression when america was neither globally hated nor broke as today, with a Weimar-Republic-like currency and continued failed leadership/policies and obfuscation of existing unsolved problems through blatant falsehoods, false data/reports,corruption, etc.. Housing prices for the first time since the great depression have fallen significantly and nationally. ALL PROBLEMS REMAIN. NOTHING HAS BEEN SOLVED. NOTHING HAS CHANGED except to give bull s**t/spin talking points to those responsible for u.s. decline. (ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER, MERRIL LYNCH ECONOMIST, AMONG OTHERS…..ALREADY IN RECESSION), greater than expected downturn in housing starts at  –14%, mortgage insurer credit downgrades, manufacturing down, merrill lynch posts record $10 billion loss, bankruptcies up 40%, industrial production flat, inflation up and much higher than reported ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN THIRD MONTH IN A ROW, DEFAULTS UP, Housing down, inflation up, consumer confidence near lows, TRADE DEFICIT NEAR RECORD AND ABOVE EXPECTATIONS, RETAIL SALES DOWN AND FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS, ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE JAWBONING (BULL S**T) TO THE CONTRARY, 4th quarter earnings discounted long ago, fake economic reports/data, more bull s**t/spin, dollar to fall even further with fed panic and inflation to rise-hyperinflation/stagflation, lunatics’/suckers’ bear market rally INTO THE CLOSE (DOW +57, NASDAQ +15, S&P +7) to keep the suckers suckered and computerized commission trade dollars flowing.  REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   (2-08-08) (DOW -64, NASDAQ +11, S&P -6) AMAZON STOCK BUYBACK (IF THEY DON’T PURCHASE THEIR OWN STOCK WHO WILL?) SPARKS TECH/NASDAQ RALLY BASED ON NOTHING AT ALL, BOND INSURER SECURITY CAPITAL DOWNGRADED, ONE ANALYST QUOTES JOHN TEMPLETON (WHO HAPPENS TO HAVE SAID THE MARKET IS GOING TO CRASH) AND SAYS IN EFFECT THAT VOLATILE MARKETS AHEAD IN WHICH THEY WILL GO UP AND DOWN AND THAT INFLATION WILL RISE AND EMERGING/GLOBAL MARKETS/COMMODITY EXPORTERS WILL FARE BEST, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PACKAGE WILL NOT WORK SINCE TOO SMALL AND SOME WILL NOT SPEND NOR WILL RATE CUTS WORK AS INFLATION NOT CONTROLLED AND CONSUMER/CORPORATE CONFIDENCE DOWN, DOLLAR DOWN, OIL UP SHARPLY TO CLOSE AT $91.77, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS INCREASE IN WHOLESALE INVENTORIES AND INCREASED MORTGAGE AND CREDIT CARD  DEFAULTS WILL SURPRISE TO THE DOWNSIDE AND OTHER THAN AN OCCASIONAL SHORT–COVERING RALLY NOT MUCH UPSIDE MOMENTUM EVEN WITH (HYPERINFLATIONARY) PUMP-PRIMING BY FED, DOLLAR DOWN,  RETAIL SALES WEAKEST IN 40 YEARS, GLOOMY OUTLOOKS FROM BOTH CISCO AND WALMART (JANUARY SALES AT .5% UP FAR LESS THAN EXPECTATIONS) RALLIES BOTH STOCKS, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, R.E. EXPERT/ANALYST SAYS ANOTHER 15% DECLINE IN HOME PRICES FOR 2008 WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS DECLINING REAL ESTATE PRICES INTO 2009, ON TODAYS UP MARKET ANALYST SAYS THEY’RE TRYING TO MAKE A SILK PURSE FROM A SOW’S EAR IN LIGHT OF BAD ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL NUMBERS, UNEMPLOYMENT ROLLS HIGHEST SINCE JUST AFTER KATRINA, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PLAN WILL NOT WORK SINCE SAME DOES NOT ADDRESS THE UNDERLYING PROBLEMS ALTHOUGH BULL S**T TALKING POINT SPIKES STOCK PRICES ON NEWS OF SENATE RESOLUTION, DOWNGRADES ON GM AND FORD CITING ACCELERATING WEAKNESS OF CONSUMERS/SPENDING, TOLL BROTHERS HOUSING CONTRACTS DOWN 46% AND CEO SAYS HE SEES NO END TO THE TURMOIL IN SIGHT, TIME WARNER NET DOWN 41% AND DISNEY NET DOWN 26% BUT BETTER THAN EXPECTED…..RIIIIIGHT…..STILL BACKWARD LOOKING AT FOURTH QUARTER WHEN SAME HAS BEEN OPTIMALLY DISCOUNTED ALREADY, TWO FED BANK PRESIDENTS SAY THEY MUST REMAIN VIGILANT AGAINST(HYPER)INFLATION (THEY KNOW FED’S BEEN PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD), MACY’S TO CUT JOBS ON POOR RESULTS/OUTLOOK, AFTER THE BELL-LESS THAN ROSY OUTLOOK BY CISCO, fake (GOVERNMENT) report on productivity down to low 1.8% from 6% previously but still better than expected, ONE ANALYST SAYS GLOBAL SELLING OF DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/StOCKS, ANOTHER SAYS BEAR MARKET AND ALL SECTORS/GROUPS DOWN, THE ism (non-government report) service sector (now 2/3 of u.s. economy) index drops in january, 2008 far below expectations to 41.9 (less than 50% indicates contraction), more downgrades of consumer finance companies and banks, ken shreve of investors business daily says significant institutional selling and stock prices have not seen bottom yet, jeff lacker of richmond fed now uttering the ‘r’ word (recession), $3 Trillion budget with $400+ billion budget deficit, oil inventories up on fake (GOVERNMENT) report, factory orders up 2.3% on fake (GOVERNMENT) report and 2007 worse year since 2003, 200 lenders went out of business in 2007, another rate cut already discounted but rates up, MONOPOLY COMPANY (WITH MONEY TO BURN AND WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS EARNINGS) MICROSOFT’S RICH TAKEOVER BID FOR YAHOO (IF THEY DO FOR YAHOO MAIL WHAT THEY DO FOR THEIR OWN HOTMAIL, DISASTER IN THE MAKING AND DON’T FORGET THE EXPERTS WHO UNIVERSALLY PAN THEIR MONEY-MAKING VISTA) SPURred IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT STOCK PRICE RALLY DESPITE UNEXPECTEDLY LARGE LOSS OF 17,000 JOBS (A GAIN OF 70-80 THOUSAND WAS EXPECTED-LOSSES IN MANUFACTURING, CONSTRUCTION, FINANCE, AND EVEN BROKE GOVERNMENT SECTOR), CONSTRUCTION SPENDING DOWN, MORE BANK AND BOND COMPANY LOSSES ACKNOWLEDGED TO COME, MORE BACKWARD-LOOKING (TO fourth quarter) earnings b.s. talking points; ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER WHO SAYS WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION FURTHER POINTS OUT THAT STIMULUS PLAN AND RATE CUTS WON’T WORK SINCE THEY DON’T ADDRESS THE PROBLEM WHICH INCLUDES VALUATION OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES AND CONSEQUENT LOSSES TO BOND INSURERS, BANKS, ETC., AND PREDICTS FURTHER PRICE EROSION (-15-20%) IN REAL ESTATE PRICES COUNTRYWIDE; stimulus plan washington incompetents and dumbya bush (protect those incumbents with more bull s**t/spin/fraud) pledging more money they don’t have (print more/borrow more – hyperinflationary and stagflation - the fact is that they couldn’t borrow/print enough to remedy ie., the subprime fraud, etc.), one analyst recently explained that even as the DOW recently had hit new highs in u.s. as measured in real money, ie., gold, foreign currencies, etc., the DOW has actually fallen 70%, all of which foreign currencies are stronger against the weak dollar which will continue to decline which creates hyperinflation and exodus from same by global investors except those who are picking up prime u.s. financial assets on the cheap owing to u.s. desperation and greed (pay packages, compensation, etc.), P/E ratio analysis/comparison no longer apposite in light of declining dollar/fake reports/inflation which should be reflected in same (but is not), DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY ON NEWS OF CUT (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING, AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), AS GOLD HIT NEW INTRA-DAY RECORD HIGH AT $942.20 (CLOSED AT $922 THIS DAY/SILVER $16.98/PLATINUM NEW RECORD AT $1,884) AS DID PLATINUM ALONG WITH OTHER METALS/COMMODITIES AND OIL HIT OVER $92 (CLOSED AT $91.77 THIS DAY), AN ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN AN EARNINGS RECESSION AND HE IS ON THE BEAR SIDE OF THE LEGER, GOVERNMENT REPORTS LESS THAN EXPECTED GDP GROWTH IN FOURTH QUARTER AT .6% WHICH PROBABLY MEANS NEGATIVE SINCE THE GOVERNMENT LIES ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING, CASE/Shiller index-home prices fell 97% in fourth quarter, new home sales down a record 26% in 2007 (-4.7% in December, 2007), another analyst says we’re in recession while another says inflation is a significant problem moving forward (stagflation), dollar down, incumbents (just in time for the election) hoping to divert attention from their failed policies domestically, geopolitically, economically and otherwise as spending money they don’t have (they’re printing same and borrowing like crazy) will increase deficits and along with lower interest rates lower the value of the already worthless/internationally scorned dollar and dollar denominated assets including stocks (which rallied today despite the bad news) while as expected, hyperinflationary effects on oil, gold, commodity, etc., prices already immediately evident in today’s trading.  ADP, a jersey based company not unfamiliar to the fraud/crime of placing fake/non-existent employees on payrolls to facilitate (illegal/drug) money laundering plays ball (I’m sure for a price/favor) with the frauds on wall street with a figure SUBSTANTIALLY EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS of PRIVATE SECTOR JOB GAINS (130,000). MERRILL LYNCH DOWNGRADED. UBS ANOTHER $14 BILLION IN WRITE-DOWNS ALONG WITH ANOTHER $8 BILLION FROM SOCIETE GENERALE. BOND INSURERS DOWNGRADES (WHICH WILL COST BANKS ANOTHER $40 BILLION) AND SEE ANOTHER $11 BILLION IN LOSSES. The MANTRA is the so-called stimulus plan, the logistics and length of time involved in Katrina-like execution guarantee only to forestall recognition of and accountability for ineptitude/corruption that leaves america, unlike during the great depression when america was neither globally hated nor broke as today, with a Weimar-Republic-like currency and continued failed leadership/policies and obfuscation of existing unsolved problems through blatant falsehoods, false data/reports,corruption, etc.. Housing prices for the first time since the great depression have fallen significantly and nationally. ALL PROBLEMS REMAIN. NOTHING HAS BEEN SOLVED. NOTHING HAS CHANGED except to give bull s**t/spin talking points to those responsible for u.s. decline. (ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER, MERRIL LYNCH ECONOMIST, AMONG OTHERS…..ALREADY IN RECESSION), greater than expected downturn in housing starts at  –14%, mortgage insurer credit downgrades, manufacturing down, merrill lynch posts record $10 billion loss, bankruptcies up 40%, industrial production flat, inflation up and much higher than reported ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN THIRD MONTH IN A ROW, DEFAULTS UP, Housing down, inflation up, consumer confidence near lows, TRADE DEFICIT NEAR RECORD AND ABOVE EXPECTATIONS, RETAIL SALES DOWN AND FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS, ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE JAWBONING (BULL S**T) TO THE CONTRARY, 4th quarter earnings discounted long ago, fake economic reports/data, more bull s**t/spin, dollar to fall even further with fed panic and inflation to rise-hyperinflation/stagflation, lunatics’/suckers’ bear market rally INTO THE CLOSE FOR MIXED FINISH (DOW -64, NASDAQ +11, S&P -6) to keep the suckers suckered and computerized commission trade dollars flowing.  REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].   (2-07-08) (DOW +46, NASDAQ +14 S&P +10) SUCKERS BEAR MARKET RALLY: RETAIL SALES WEAKEST IN 40 YEARS, GLOOMY OUTLOOKS FROM BOTH CISCO AND WALMART (JANUARY SALES AT .5% UP FAR LESS THAN EXPECTATIONS) RALLIES BOTH STOCKS, ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS ALREADY IN RECESSION, R.E. EXPERT/ANALYST SAYS ANOTHER 15% DECLINE IN HOME PRICES FOR 2008 WHILE ANOTHER ANALYST SAYS DECLINING REAL ESTATE PRICES INTO 2009, ON TODAYS UP MARKET ANALYST SAYS THEY’RE TRYING TO MAKE A SILK PURSE FROM A SOW’S EAR IN LIGHT OF BAD ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL NUMBERS, UNEMPLOYMENT ROLLS HIGHEST SINCE JUST AFTER KATRINA, ECONOMIST SAYS STIMULUS PLAN WILL NOT WORK SINCE SAME DOES NOT ADDRESS THE UNDERLYING PROBLEMS ALTHOUGH BULL S**T TALKING POINT SPIKES STOCK PRICES ON NEWS OF SENATE RESOLUTION, DOWNGRADES ON GM AND FORD CITING ACCELERATING WEAKNESS OF CONSUMERS/SPENDING, TOLL BROTHERS HOUSING CONTRACTS DOWN 46% AND CEO SAYS HE SEES NO END TO THE TURMOIL IN SIGHT, TIME WARNER NET DOWN 41% AND DISNEY NET DOWN 26% BUT BETTER THAN EXPECTED…..RIIIIIGHT…..STILL BACKWARD LOOKING AT FOURTH QUARTER WHEN SAME HAS BEEN OPTIMALLY DISCOUNTED ALREADY, TWO FED BANK PRESIDENTS SAY THEY MUST REMAIN VIGILANT AGAINST(HYPER)INFLATION (THEY KNOW FED’S BEEN PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD), MACY’S TO CUT JOBS ON POOR RESULTS/OUTLOOK, AFTER THE BELL-LESS THAN ROSY OUTLOOK BY CISCO, fake (GOVERNMENT) report on productivity down to low 1.8% from 6% previously but still better than expected, ONE ANALYST SAYS GLOBAL SELLING OF DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/StOCKS, ANOTHER SAYS BEAR MARKET AND ALL SECTORS/GROUPS DOWN, THE ism (non-government report) service sector (now 2/3 of u.s. economy) index drops in january, 2008 far below expectations to 41.9 (less than 50% indicates contraction), more downgrades of consumer finance companies and banks, ken shreve of investors business daily says significant institutional selling and stock prices have not seen bottom yet, jeff lacker of richmond fed now uttering the ‘r’ word (recession), $3 Trillion budget with $400+ billion budget deficit, oil inventories up on fake (GOVERNMENT) report, factory orders up 2.3% on fake (GOVERNMENT) report and 2007 worse year since 2003, 200 lenders went out of business in 2007, another rate cut already discounted but rates up, MONOPOLY COMPANY (WITH MONEY TO BURN AND WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS EARNINGS) MICROSOFT’S RICH TAKEOVER BID FOR YAHOO (IF THEY DO FOR YAHOO MAIL WHAT THEY DO FOR THEIR OWN HOTMAIL, DISASTER IN THE MAKING AND DON’T FORGET THE EXPERTS WHO UNIVERSALLY PAN THEIR MONEY-MAKING VISTA) SPURred IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT STOCK PRICE RALLY DESPITE UNEXPECTEDLY LARGE LOSS OF 17,000 JOBS (A GAIN OF 70-80 THOUSAND WAS EXPECTED-LOSSES IN MANUFACTURING, CONSTRUCTION, FINANCE, AND EVEN BROKE GOVERNMENT SECTOR), CONSTRUCTION SPENDING DOWN, MORE BANK AND BOND COMPANY LOSSES ACKNOWLEDGED TO COME, MORE BACKWARD-LOOKING (TO fourth quarter) earnings b.s. talking points; ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER WHO SAYS WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION FURTHER POINTS OUT THAT STIMULUS PLAN AND RATE CUTS WON’T WORK SINCE THEY DON’T ADDRESS THE PROBLEM WHICH INCLUDES VALUATION OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES AND CONSEQUENT LOSSES TO BOND INSURERS, BANKS, ETC., AND PREDICTS FURTHER PRICE EROSION (-15-20%) IN REAL ESTATE PRICES COUNTRYWIDE; stimulus plan washington incompetents and dumbya bush (protect those incumbents with more bull s**t/spin/fraud) pledging more money they don’t have (print more/borrow more – hyperinflationary and stagflation - the fact is that they couldn’t borrow/print enough to remedy ie., the subprime fraud, etc.), one analyst recently explained that even as the DOW recently had hit new highs in u.s. as measured in real money, ie., gold, foreign currencies, etc., the DOW has actually fallen 70%, all of which foreign currencies are stronger against the weak dollar which will continue to decline which creates hyperinflation and exodus from same by global investors except those who are picking up prime u.s. financial assets on the cheap owing to u.s. desperation and greed (pay packages, compensation, etc.), P/E ratio analysis/comparison no longer apposite in light of declining dollar/fake reports/inflation which should be reflected in same (but is not), DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY ON NEWS OF CUT (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING, AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), AS GOLD HIT NEW INTRA-DAY RECORD HIGH AT $942.20 (CLOSED AT $910 THIS DAY/SILVER $16.77) AS DID PLATINUM ALONG WITH OTHER METALS/COMMODITIES AND OIL HIT OVER $92 (CLOSED AT $88.11 THIS DAY), AN ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN AN EARNINGS RECESSION AND HE IS ON THE BEAR SIDE OF THE LEGER, GOVERNMENT REPORTS LESS THAN EXPECTED GDP GROWTH IN FOURTH QUARTER AT .6% WHICH PROBABLY MEANS NEGATIVE SINCE THE GOVERNMENT LIES ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING, CASE/Shiller index-home prices fell 97% in fourth quarter, new home sales down a record 26% in 2007 (-4.7% in December, 2007), another analyst says we’re in recession while another says inflation is a significant problem moving forward (stagflation), dollar down, incumbents (just in time for the election) hoping to divert attention from their failed policies domestically, geopolitically, economically and otherwise as spending money they don’t have (they’re printing same and borrowing like crazy) will increase deficits and along with lower interest rates lower the value of the already worthless/internationally scorned dollar and dollar denominated assets including stocks (which rallied today despite the bad news) while as expected, hyperinflationary effects on oil, gold, commodity, etc., prices already immediately evident in today’s trading.  ADP, a jersey based company not unfamiliar to the fraud/crime of placing fake/non-existent employees on payrolls to facilitate (illegal/drug) money laundering plays ball (I’m sure for a price/favor) with the frauds on wall street with a figure SUBSTANTIALLY EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS of PRIVATE SECTOR JOB GAINS (130,000). MERRILL LYNCH DOWNGRADED. UBS ANOTHER $14 BILLION IN WRITE-DOWNS ALONG WITH ANOTHER $8 BILLION FROM SOCIETE GENERALE. BOND INSURERS DOWNGRADES (WHICH WILL COST BANKS ANOTHER $40 BILLION) AND SEE ANOTHER $11 BILLION IN LOSSES. The MANTRA is the so-called stimulus plan, the logistics and length of time involved in Katrina-like execution guarantee only to forestall recognition of and accountability for ineptitude/corruption that leaves america, unlike during the great depression when america was neither globally hated nor broke as today, with a Weimar-Republic-like currency and continued failed leadership/policies and obfuscation of existing unsolved problems through blatant falsehoods, false data/reports,corruption, etc.. Housing prices for the first time since the great depression have fallen significantly and nationally. ALL PROBLEMS REMAIN. NOTHING HAS BEEN SOLVED. NOTHING HAS CHANGED except to give bull s**t/spin talking points to those responsible for u.s. decline. (ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER, MERRIL LYNCH ECONOMIST, AMONG OTHERS…..ALREADY IN RECESSION), greater than expected downturn in housing starts at  –14%, mortgage insurer credit downgrades, manufacturing down, merrill lynch posts record $10 billion loss, bankruptcies up 40%, industrial production flat, inflation up and much higher than reported ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN THIRD MONTH IN A ROW, DEFAULTS UP, Housing down, inflation up, consumer confidence near lows, TRADE DEFICIT NEAR RECORD AND ABOVE EXPECTATIONS, RETAIL SALES DOWN AND FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS, ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE JAWBONING (BULL S**T) TO THE CONTRARY, 4th quarter earnings discounted long ago, fake economic reports/data, more bull s**t/spin, dollar to fall even further with fed panic and inflation to rise-hyperinflation/stagflation, lunatics’/suckers’ bear market rally (DOW +46, NASDAQ +14 S&P +10) to keep the suckers suckered and computerized commission trade dollars flowing.  REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].  (2-06-08) (DOW -65, NASDAQ 30, S&P –10) DOWNGRADES ON GM AND FORD CITING ACCELERATING WEAKNESS OF CONSUMERS/SPENDING, TOLL BROTHERS HOUSING CONTRACTS DOWN 46% AND CEO SAYS HE SEES NO END TO THE TURMOIL IN SIGHT, TIME WARNER NET DOWN 41% AND DISNEY NET DOWN 26% BUT BETTER THAN EXPECTED…..RIIIIIGHT…..STILL BACKWARD LOOKING AT FOURTH QUARTER WHEN SAME HAS BEEN OPTIMALLY DISCOUNTED ALREADY, TWO FED BANK PRESIDENTS SAY THEY MUST REMAIN VIGILANT AGAINST(HYPER)INFLATION (THEY KNOW FED’S BEEN PRINTING DOLLARS LIKE MAD), MACY’S TO CUT JOBS ON POOR RESULTS/OUTLOOK, AFTER THE BELL-LESS THAN ROSY OUTLOOK BY CISCO, fake (GOVERNMENT) report on productivity down to low 1.8% from 6% previously but still better than expected, ONE ANALYST SAYS GLOBAL SELLING OF DOLLAR DENOMINATED ASSETS/StOCKS, ANOTHER SAYS BEAR MARKET AND ALL SECTORS/GROUPS DOWN, THE ism (non-government report) service sector (now 2/3 of u.s. economy) index drops in january, 2008 far below expectations to 41.9 (less than 50% indicates contraction), more downgrades of consumer finance companies and banks, ken shreve of investors business daily says significant institutional selling and stock prices have not seen bottom yet, jeff lacker of richmond fed now uttering the ‘r’ word (recession), $3 Trillion budget with $400+ billion budget deficit, oil inventories up on fake (GOVERNMENT) report, factory orders up 2.3% on fake (GOVERNMENT) report and 2007 worse year since 2003, 200 lenders went out of business in 2007, another rate cut already discounted but rates up, MONOPOLY COMPANY (WITH MONEY TO BURN AND WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS EARNINGS) MICROSOFT’S RICH TAKEOVER BID FOR YAHOO (IF THEY DO FOR YAHOO MAIL WHAT THEY DO FOR THEIR OWN HOTMAIL, DISASTER IN THE MAKING AND DON’T FORGET THE EXPERTS WHO UNIVERSALLY PAN THEIR MONEY-MAKING VISTA) SPURred IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT STOCK PRICE RALLY DESPITE UNEXPECTEDLY LARGE LOSS OF 17,000 JOBS (A GAIN OF 70-80 THOUSAND WAS EXPECTED-LOSSES IN MANUFACTURING, CONSTRUCTION, FINANCE, AND EVEN BROKE GOVERNMENT SECTOR), CONSTRUCTION SPENDING DOWN, MORE BANK AND BOND COMPANY LOSSES ACKNOWLEDGED TO COME, MORE BACKWARD-LOOKING (TO fourth quarter) earnings b.s. talking points; ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER WHO SAYS WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION FURTHER POINTS OUT THAT STIMULUS PLAN AND RATE CUTS WON’T WORK SINCE THEY DON’T ADDRESS THE PROBLEM WHICH INCLUDES VALUATION OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES AND CONSEQUENT LOSSES TO BOND INSURERS, BANKS, ETC., AND PREDICTS FURTHER PRICE EROSION (-15-20%) IN REAL ESTATE PRICES COUNTRYWIDE; stimulus plan washington incompetents and dumbya bush (protect those incumbents with more bull s**t/spin/fraud) pledging more money they don’t have (print more/borrow more – hyperinflationary and stagflation - the fact is that they couldn’t borrow/print enough to remedy ie., the subprime fraud, etc.), one analyst recently explained that even as the DOW recently had hit new highs in u.s. as measured in real money, ie., gold, foreign currencies, etc., the DOW has actually fallen 70%, all of which foreign currencies are stronger against the weak dollar which will continue to decline which creates hyperinflation and exodus from same by global investors except those who are picking up prime u.s. financial assets on the cheap owing to u.s. desperation and greed (pay packages, compensation, etc.), P/E ratio analysis/comparison no longer apposite in light of declining dollar/fake reports/inflation which should be reflected in same (but is not), DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY ON NEWS OF CUT (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING, AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), AS GOLD HIT NEW INTRA-DAY RECORD HIGH AT $942.20 (CLOSED AT $905 THIS DAY/SILVER 16.55) AS DID PLATINUM ALONG WITH OTHER METALS/COMMODITIES AND OIL HIT OVER $92 (CLOSED AT $86.85 THIS DAY), AN ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN AN EARNINGS RECESSION AND HE IS ON THE BEAR SIDE OF THE LEGER, GOVERNMENT REPORTS LESS THAN EXPECTED GDP GROWTH IN FOURTH QUARTER AT .6% WHICH PROBABLY MEANS NEGATIVE SINCE THE GOVERNMENT LIES ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING, CASE/Shiller index-home prices fell 97% in fourth quarter, new home sales down a record 26% in 2007 (-4.7% in December, 2007), another analyst says we’re in recession while another says inflation is a significant problem moving forward (stagflation), dollar down, incumbents (just in time for the election) hoping to divert attention from their failed policies domestically, geopolitically, economically and otherwise as spending money they don’t have (they’re printing same and borrowing like crazy) will increase deficits and along with lower interest rates lower the value of the already worthless/internationally scorned dollar and dollar denominated assets including stocks (which rallied today despite the bad news) while as expected, hyperinflationary effects on oil, gold, commodity, etc., prices already immediately evident in today’s trading.  ADP, a jersey based company not unfamiliar to the fraud/crime of placing fake/non-existent employees on payrolls to facilitate (illegal/drug) money laundering plays ball (I’m sure for a price/favor) with the frauds on wall street with a figure SUBSTANTIALLY EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS of PRIVATE SECTOR JOB GAINS (130,000). MERRILL LYNCH DOWNGRADED. UBS ANOTHER $14 BILLION IN WRITE-DOWNS ALONG WITH ANOTHER $8 BILLION FROM SOCIETE GENERALE. BOND INSURERS DOWNGRADES (WHICH WILL COST BANKS ANOTHER $40 BILLION) AND SEE ANOTHER $11 BILLION IN LOSSES. The MANTRA is the so-called stimulus plan, the logistics and length of time involved in Katrina-like execution guarantee only to forestall recognition of and accountability for ineptitude/corruption that leaves america, unlike during the great depression when america was neither globally hated nor broke as today, with a Weimar-Republic-like currency and continued failed leadership/policies and obfuscation of existing unsolved problems through blatant falsehoods, false data/reports,corruption, etc.. Housing prices for the first time since the great depression have fallen significantly and nationally. ALL PROBLEMS REMAIN. NOTHING HAS BEEN SOLVED. NOTHING HAS CHANGED except to give bull s**t/spin talking points to those responsible for u.s. decline. (ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER, MERRIL LYNCH ECONOMIST, AMONG OTHERS…..ALREADY IN RECESSION), greater than expected downturn in housing starts at  –14%, mortgage insurer credit downgrades, manufacturing down, merrill lynch posts record $10 billion loss, bankruptcies up 40%, industrial production flat, inflation up and much higher than reported ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN THIRD MONTH IN A ROW, DEFAULTS UP, Housing down, inflation up, consumer confidence near lows, TRADE DEFICIT NEAR RECORD AND ABOVE EXPECTATIONS, RETAIL SALES DOWN AND FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS, ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE JAWBONING (BULL S**T) TO THE CONTRARY, 4th quarter earnings discounted long ago, fake economic reports/data, more bull s**t/spin, dollar to fall even further with fed panic and inflation to rise-hyperinflation/stagflation, as stocks drop modestly relative to reality (DOW -65, NASDAQ 30, S&P –10). REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].  (2-05-08) ism (non-government report) service sector (now 2/3 of u.s. economy) index drops in january, 2008 far below expectations to 41.9 (less than 50% indicates contraction), more downgrades of consumer finance companies and banks, ken shreve of investors business daily says significant institutional selling and stock prices have not seen bottom yet, jeff lacker of richmond fed now uttering the ‘r’ word (recession), $3 Trillion budget with $400+ billion budget deficit, factory orders up 2.3% on fake (GOVERNMENT) report and 2007 worse year since 2003, 200 lenders went out of business in 2007, another rate cut already discounted but rates up, MONOPOLY COMPANY (WITH MONEY TO BURN AND WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS EARNINGS) MICROSOFT’S RICH TAKEOVER BID FOR YAHOO (IF THEY DO FOR YAHOO MAIL WHAT THEY DO FOR THEIR OWN HOTMAIL, DISASTER IN THE MAKING AND DON’T FORGET THE EXPERTS WHO UNIVERSALLY PAN THEIR MONEY-MAKING VISTA) SPURred IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT STOCK PRICE RALLY DESPITE UNEXPECTEDLY LARGE LOSS OF 17,000 JOBS (A GAIN OF 70-80 THOUSAND WAS EXPECTED-LOSSES IN MANUFACTURING, CONSTRUCTION, FINANCE, AND EVEN BROKE GOVERNMENT SECTOR), CONSTRUCTION SPENDING DOWN, MORE BANK AND BOND COMPANY LOSSES ACKNOWLEDGED TO COME, MORE BACKWARD-LOOKING (TO fourth quarter) earnings b.s. talking points; ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER WHO SAYS WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION FURTHER POINTS OUT THAT STIMULUS PLAN AND RATE CUTS WON’T WORK SINCE THEY DON’T ADDRESS THE PROBLEM WHICH INCLUDES VALUATION OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES AND CONSEQUENT LOSSES TO BOND INSURERS, BANKS, ETC., AND PREDICTS FURTHER PRICE EROSION (-15-20%) IN REAL ESTATE PRICES COUNTRYWIDE; stimulus plan washington incompetents and dumbya bush (protect those incumbents with more bull s**t/spin/fraud) pledging more money they don’t have (print more/borrow more – hyperinflationary and stagflation - the fact is that they couldn’t borrow/print enough to remedy ie., the subprime fraud, etc.), one analyst recently explained that even as the DOW recently had hit new highs in u.s. as measured in real money, ie., gold, foreign currencies, etc., the DOW has actually fallen 70%, all of which foreign currencies are stronger against the weak dollar which will continue to decline which creates hyperinflation and exodus from same by global investors except those who are picking up prime u.s. financial assets on the cheap owing to u.s. desperation and greed (pay packages, compensation, etc.), P/E ratio analysis/comparison no longer apposite in light of declining dollar/fake reports/inflation which should be reflected in same (but is not), DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY ON NEWS OF CUT (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING, AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), AS GOLD HIT NEW INTRA-DAY RECORD HIGH AT $942.20 (CLOSED AT $893 THIS DAY - LOWER ON ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN) AS DID PLATINUM ALONG WITH OTHER METALS/COMMODITIES AND OIL HIT OVER $92 (CLOSED AT $88.41 THIS DAY) , AN ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN AN EARNINGS RECESSION AND HE IS ON THE BEAR SIDE OF THE LEGER, GOVERNMENT REPORTS LESS THAN EXPECTED GDP GROWTH IN FOURTH QUARTER AT .6% WHICH PROBABLY MEANS NEGATIVE SINCE THE GOVERNMENT LIES ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING, CASE/Shiller index-home prices fell 97% in fourth quarter, new home sales down a record 26% in 2007 (-4.7% in December, 2007), another analyst says we’re in recession while another says inflation is a significant problem moving forward (stagflation), dollar down, incumbents (just in time for the election) hoping to divert attention from their failed policies domestically, geopolitically, economically and otherwise as spending money they don’t have (they’re printing same and borrowing like crazy) will increase deficits and along with lower interest rates lower the value of the already worthless/internationally scorned dollar and dollar denominated assets including stocks (which rallied today despite the bad news) while as expected, hyperinflationary effects on oil, gold, commodity, etc., prices already immediately evident in today’s trading.  ADP, a jersey based company not unfamiliar to the fraud/crime of placing fake/non-existent employees on payrolls to facilitate (illegal/drug) money laundering plays ball (I’m sure for a price/favor) with the frauds on wall street with a figure SUBSTANTIALLY EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS of PRIVATE SECTOR JOB GAINS (130,000). MERRILL LYNCH DOWNGRADED. UBS ANOTHER $14 BILLION IN WRITE-DOWNS ALONG WITH ANOTHER $8 BILLION FROM SOCIETE GENERALE. BOND INSURERS DOWNGRADES (WHICH WILL COST BANKS ANOTHER $40 BILLION) AND SEE ANOTHER $11 BILLION IN LOSSES. The MANTRA is the so-called stimulus plan, the logistics and length of time involved in Katrina-like execution guarantee only to forestall recognition of and accountability for ineptitude/corruption that leaves america, unlike during the great depression when america was neither globally hated nor broke as today, with a Weimar-Republic-like currency and continued failed leadership/policies and obfuscation of existing unsolved problems through blatant falsehoods, false data/reports,corruption, etc.. Housing prices for the first time since the great depression have fallen significantly and nationally. ALL PROBLEMS REMAIN. NOTHING HAS BEEN SOLVED. NOTHING HAS CHANGED except to give bull s**t/spin talking points to those responsible for u.s. decline. (ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER, MERRIL LYNCH ECONOMIST, AMONG OTHERS…..ALREADY IN RECESSION), greater than expected downturn in housing starts at  –14%, mortgage insurer credit downgrades, manufacturing down, merrill lynch posts record $10 billion loss, bankruptcies up 40%, industrial production flat, inflation up and much higher than reported ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN THIRD MONTH IN A ROW, DEFAULTS UP, Housing down, inflation up, consumer confidence near lows, TRADE DEFICIT NEAR RECORD AND ABOVE EXPECTATIONS, RETAIL SALES DOWN AND FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS, ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE JAWBONING (BULL S**T) TO THE CONTRARY, 4th quarter earnings discounted long ago, fake economic reports/data, more bull s**t/spin, dollar to fall even further with fed panic and inflation to rise-hyperinflation/stagflation, as stocks drop modestly relative to reality (DOW -370, NASDAQ –73, S&P –44). REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street]. (2-04-08) Sell ratings on consumer finance companies Discover Financial Services (DFS 16.34, -1.62), Capital One (COF 52.65, -4.32) and American Express and other downgrades including banks, $3 Trillion budget with $400 billion budget deficit, factory orders up 2.3% on fake report and 2007 worse year since 2003, 200 lenders went out of business in 2007, another rate cut already discounted but rates up, MONOPOLY COMPANY (WITH MONEY TO BURN AND WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS EARNINGS) MICROSOFT’S RICH TAKEOVER BID FOR YAHOO (IF THEY DO FOR YAHOO MAIL WHAT THEY DO FOR THEIR OWN HOTMAIL, DISASTER IN THE MAKING AND DON’T FORGET THE EXPERTS WHO UNIVERSALLY PAN THEIR MONEY-MAKING VISTA) SPURred IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT STOCK PRICE RALLY DESPITE UNEXPECTEDLY LARGE LOSS OF 17,000 JOBS (A GAIN OF 70-80 THOUSAND WAS EXPECTED-LOSSES IN MANUFACTURING, CONSTRUCTION, FINANCE, AND EVEN BROKE GOVERNMENT SECTOR), CONSTRUCTION SPENDING DOWN, MORE BANK AND BOND COMPANY LOSSES ACKNOWLEDGED TO COME, MORE BACKWARD-LOOKING (TO fourth quarter) earnings b.s. talking points; ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER WHO SAYS WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION FURTHER POINTS OUT THAT STIMULUS PLAN AND RATE CUTS WON’T WORK SINCE THEY DON’T ADDRESS THE PROBLEM WHICH INCLUDES VALUATION OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES AND CONSEQUENT LOSSES TO BOND INSURERS, BANKS, ETC., AND PREDICTS FURTHER PRICE EROSION (-15-20%) IN REAL ESTATE PRICES COUNTRYWIDE; stimulus plan washington incompetents and dumbya bush (protect those incumbents with more bull s**t/spin/fraud) pledging more money they don’t have (print more/borrow more – hyperinflationary and stagflation - the fact is that they couldn’t borrow/print enough to remedy ie., the subprime fraud, etc.), one analyst recently explained that even as the DOW recently had hit new highs in u.s. as measured in real money, ie., gold, foreign currencies, etc., the DOW has actually fallen 70%, all of which foreign currencies are stronger against the weak dollar which will continue to decline which creates hyperinflation and exodus from same by global investors except those who are picking up prime u.s. financial assets on the cheap owing to u.s. desperation and greed (pay packages, compensation, etc.), P/E ratio analysis/comparison no longer apposite in light of declining dollar/fake reports/inflation which should be reflected in same (but is not), DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY ON NEWS OF CUT (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING, AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), AS GOLD HIT NEW INTRA-DAY RECORD HIGH AT $942.20 (CLOSED AT $913 THIS DAY) AS DID PLATINUM ALONG WITH OTHER METALS/COMMODITIES AND OIL HIT OVER $92 (CLOSED AT $90THIS DAY) , AN ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN AN EARNINGS RECESSION AND HE IS ON THE BEAR SIDE OF THE LEGER, GOVERNMENT REPORTS LESS THAN EXPECTED GDP GROWTH IN FOURTH QUARTER AT .6% WHICH PROBABLY MEANS NEGATIVE SINCE THE GOVERNMENT LIES ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING, CASE/Shiller index-home prices fell 97% in fourth quarter, new home sales down a record 26% in 2007 (-4.7% in December, 2007), another analyst says we’re in recession while another says inflation is a significant problem moving forward (stagflation), dollar down, incumbents (just in time for the election) hoping to divert attention from their failed policies domestically, geopolitically, economically and otherwise as spending money they don’t have (they’re printing same and borrowing like crazy) will increase deficits and along with lower interest rates lower the value of the already worthless/internationally scorned dollar and dollar denominated assets including stocks (which rallied today despite the bad news) while as expected, hyperinflationary effects on oil, gold, commodity, etc., prices already immediately evident in today’s trading.  ADP, a jersey based company not unfamiliar to the fraud/crime of placing fake/non-existent employees on payrolls to facilitate (illegal/drug) money laundering plays ball (I’m sure for a price/favor) with the frauds on wall street with a figure SUBSTANTIALLY EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS of PRIVATE SECTOR JOB GAINS (130,000). MERRILL LYNCH DOWNGRADED. UBS ANOTHER $14 BILLION IN WRITE-DOWNS ALONG WITH ANOTHER $8 BILLION FROM SOCIETE GENERALE. BOND INSURERS DOWNGRADES (WHICH WILL COST BANKS ANOTHER $40 BILLION) AND SEE ANOTHER $11 BILLION IN LOSSES. The MANTRA is the so-called stimulus plan, the logistics and length of time involved in Katrina-like execution guarantee only to forestall recognition of and accountability for ineptitude/corruption that leaves america, unlike during the great depression when america was neither globally hated nor broke as today, with a Weimar-Republic-like currency and continued failed leadership/policies and obfuscation of existing unsolved problems through blatant falsehoods, false data/reports,corruption, etc.. Housing prices for the first time since the great depression have fallen significantly and nationally. ALL PROBLEMS REMAIN. NOTHING HAS BEEN SOLVED. NOTHING HAS CHANGED except to give bull s**t/spin talking points to those responsible for u.s. decline. (ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER, MERRIL LYNCH ECONOMIST, AMONG OTHERS…..ALREADY IN RECESSION), greater than expected downturn in housing starts at  –14%, mortgage insurer credit downgrades, manufacturing down, merrill lynch posts record $10 billion loss, bankruptcies up 40%, industrial production flat, inflation up and much higher than reported ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN THIRD MONTH IN A ROW, DEFAULTS UP, Housing down, inflation up, consumer confidence near lows, TRADE DEFICIT NEAR RECORD AND ABOVE EXPECTATIONS, RETAIL SALES DOWN AND FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS, ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE JAWBONING (BULL S**T) TO THE CONTRARY, 4th quarter earnings discounted long ago, fake economic reports/data, more bull s**t/spin, dollar to fall even further with fed panic and inflation to rise-hyperinflation/stagflation, as stocks drop modestly relative to reality (DOW -108, NASDAQ –30, S&P –15). REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].     (2-01-08) PROVING THERE’S NO SPACE FOR RATIONALITY ON WALL STREET, NEW B.S. TALKING POINT IS MONOPOLY COMPANY (WITH MONEY TO BURN AND WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS EARNINGS) MICROSOFT’S RICH TAKEOVER BID FOR YAHOO (IF THEY DO FOR YAHOO MAIL WHAT THEY DO FOR THEIR OWN HOTMAIL, DISASTER IN THE MAKING AND DON’T FORGET THE EXPERTS WHO UNIVERSALLY PAN THEIR MONEY-MAKING VISTA) SPURS IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT STOCK PRICE RALLY ACROSS ALL SECTORS DESPITE UNEXPECTEDLY LARGE LOSS OF 17,000 JOBS (A GAIN OF 70-80 THOUSAND WAS EXPECTED-LOSSES IN MANUFACTURING, CONSTRUCTION, FINANCE, AND EVEN BROKE GOVERNMENT SECTOR), CONSTRUCTION SPENDING DOWN, MORE BANK AND BOND COMPANY LOSSES ACKNOWLEDGED TO COME, MORE BACKWARD-LOOKING (TO fourth quarter) earnings b.s. talking points; ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER WHO SAYS WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION FURTHER POINTS OUT THAT STIMULUS PLAN AND RATE CUTS WON’T WORK SINCE THEY DON’T ADDRESS THE PROBLEM WHICH INCLUDES VALUATION OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES AND CONSEQUENT LOSSES TO BOND INSURERS, BANKS, ETC., AND PREDICTS FURTHER PRICE EROSION (-15-20%) IN REAL ESTATE PRICES COUNTRYWIDE; stimulus plan washington incompetents and dumbya bush (protect those incumbents with more bull s**t/spin/fraud) pledging more money they don’t have (print more/borrow more – hyperinflationary and stagflation - the fact is that they couldn’t borrow/print enough to remedy ie., the subprime fraud, etc.), one analyst recently explained that even as the DOW recently had hit new highs in u.s. as measured in real money, ie., gold, foreign currencies, etc., the DOW has actually fallen 70%, all of which foreign currencies are stronger against the weak dollar which will continue to decline which creates hyperinflation and exodus from same by global investors except those who are picking up prime u.s. financial assets on the cheap owing to u.s. desperation and greed (pay packages, compensation, etc.), DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY ON NEWS OF CUT (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING, AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), AS GOLD HIT NEW INTRA-DAY RECORD HIGH AT $942.20 (CLOSED AT $913 THIS DAY) AS DID PLATINUM ALONG WITH OTHER METALS/COMMODITIES AND OIL HIT OVER $92 (CLOSED AT $88 THIS DAY ON ECONOMIC WEAKNESS EXPECTED) , AN ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN AN EARNINGS RECESSION AND HE IS ON THE BEAR SIDE OF THE LEGER, GOVERNMENT REPORTS LESS THAN EXPECTED GDP GROWTH IN FOURTH QUARTER AT .6% WHICH PROBABLY MEANS NEGATIVE SINCE THE GOVERNMENT LIES ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING, CASE/Shiller index-home prices fell 97% in fourth quarter, new home sales down a record 26% in 2007 (-4.7% in December, 2007), another analyst says we’re in recession while another says inflation is a significant problem moving forward (stagflation), dollar down, incumbents (just in time for the election) hoping to divert attention from their failed policies domestically, geopolitically, economically and otherwise as spending money they don’t have (they’re printing same and borrowing like crazy) will increase deficits and along with lower interest rates lower the value of the already worthless/internationally scorned dollar and dollar denominated assets including stocks (which rallied today despite the bad news) while as expected, hyperinflationary effects on oil, gold, commodity, etc., prices already immediately evident in today’s trading.  ADP, a jersey based company not unfamiliar to the fraud/crime of placing fake/non-existent employees on payrolls to facilitate (illegal/drug) money laundering plays ball (I’m sure for a price/favor) with the frauds on wall street with a figure SUBSTANTIALLY EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS of PRIVATE SECTOR JOB GAINS (130,000). MERRILL LYNCH DOWNGRADED. UBS ANOTHER $14 BILLION IN WRITE-DOWNS ALONG WITH ANOTHER $8 BILLION FROM SOCIETE GENERALE. BOND INSURERS DOWNGRADES (WHICH WILL COST BANKS ANOTHER $40 BILLION) AND SEE ANOTHER $11 BILLION IN LOSSES. The MANTRA is the so-called stimulus plan, the logistics and length of time involved in Katrina-like execution guarantee only to forestall recognition of and accountability for ineptitude/corruption that leaves america, unlike during the great depression when america was neither globally hated nor broke as today, with a Weimar-Republic-like currency and continued failed leadership/policies and obfuscation of existing unsolved problems through blatant falsehoods, false data/reports,corruption, etc.. Housing prices for the first time since the great depression have fallen significantly and nationally. ALL PROBLEMS REMAIN. NOTHING HAS BEEN SOLVED. NOTHING HAS CHANGED except to give bull s**t/spin talking points to those responsible for u.s. decline. (ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER, MERRIL LYNCH ECONOMIST, AMONG OTHERS…..ALREADY IN RECESSION), greater than expected downturn in housing starts at  –14%, mortgage insurer credit downgrades, manufacturing down, merrill lynch posts record $10 billion loss, bankruptcies up 40%, industrial production flat, inflation up and much higher than reported ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN THIRD MONTH IN A ROW, DEFAULTS UP, Housing down, inflation up, consumer confidence near lows, TRADE DEFICIT NEAR RECORD AND ABOVE EXPECTATIONS, RETAIL SALES DOWN AND FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS, ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE JAWBONING (BULL S**T) TO THE CONTRARY, 4th quarter earnings discounted long ago, fake economic reports/data, more bull s**t/spin, dollar to fall even further with fed panic and inflation to rise-hyperinflation/stagflation, lunatics’/suckers’ bear market rally (DOW +92, NASDAQ +23 S&P +16) to keep the suckers suckered and computerized commission trade dollars flowing.  REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].    (2-01-08PROVING THERE’S NO SPACE FOR RATIONALITY ON WALL STREET, NEW B.S. TALKING POINT IS MONOPOLY COMPANY (WITH MONEY TO BURN AND WITH SIGNIFICANT OVERSEAS EARNINGS) MICROSOFT’S RICH TAKEOVER BID FOR YAHOO (IF THEY DO FOR YAHOO MAIL WHAT THEY DO FOR THEIR OWN HOTMAIL, DISASTER IN THE MAKING AND DON’T FORGET THE EXPERTS WHO UNIVERSALLY PAN THEIR MONEY-MAKING VISTA) SPURS IRRATIONALLY EXUBERANT STOCK PRICE RALLY ACROSS ALL SECTORS DESPITE UNEXPECTEDLY LARGE LOSS OF 17,000 JOBS (A GAIN OF 70-80 THOUSAND WAS EXPECTED-LOSSES IN MANUFACTURING, CONSTRUCTION, FINANCE, AND EVEN BROKE GOVERNMENT SECTOR), CONSTRUCTION SPENDING DOWN, MORE BANK AND BOND COMPANY LOSSES ACKNOWLEDGED TO COME, MORE BACKWARD-LOOKING (TO fourth quarter) earnings b.s. talking points; ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER WHO SAYS WE’RE ALREADY IN RECESSION FURTHER POINTS OUT THAT STIMULUS PLAN AND RATE CUTS WON’T WORK SINCE THEY DON’T ADDRESS THE PROBLEM WHICH INCLUDES VALUATION OF MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES AND CONSEQUENT LOSSES TO BOND INSURERS, BANKS, ETC., AND PREDICTS FURTHER PRICE EROSION (-15-20%) IN REAL ESTATE PRICES COUNTRYWIDE; stimulus plan washington incompetents and dumbya bush (protect those incumbents with more bull s**t/spin/fraud) pledging more money they don’t have (print more/borrow more – hyperinflationary and stagflation - the fact is that they couldn’t borrow/print enough to remedy ie., the subprime fraud, etc.), one analyst recently explained that even as the DOW recently had hit new highs in u.s. as measured in real money, ie., gold, foreign currencies, etc., the DOW has actually fallen 70%, all of which foreign currencies are stronger against the weak dollar which will continue to decline which creates hyperinflation and exodus from same by global investors except those who are picking up prime u.s. financial assets on the cheap owing to u.s. desperation and greed (pay packages, compensation, etc.), DOLLAR WAS DOWN SHARPLY ON NEWS OF CUT (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING, AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), AS GOLD HIT NEW INTRA-DAY RECORD HIGH AT $942.20 (CLOSED AT $913 THIS DAY) AS DID PLATINUM ALONG WITH OTHER METALS/COMMODITIES AND OIL HIT OVER $92 (CLOSED AT $88 THIS DAY ON ECONOMIC WEAKNESS EXPECTED) , AN ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN AN EARNINGS RECESSION AND HE IS ON THE BEAR SIDE OF THE LEGER, GOVERNMENT REPORTS LESS THAN EXPECTED GDP GROWTH IN FOURTH QUARTER AT .6% WHICH PROBABLY MEANS NEGATIVE SINCE THE GOVERNMENT LIES ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING, CASE/Shiller index-home prices fell 97% in fourth quarter, new home sales down a record 26% in 2007 (-4.7% in December, 2007), another analyst says we’re in recession while another says inflation is a significant problem moving forward (stagflation), dollar down, incumbents (just in time for the election) hoping to divert attention from their failed policies domestically, geopolitically, economically and otherwise as spending money they don’t have (they’re printing same and borrowing like crazy) will increase deficits and along with lower interest rates lower the value of the already worthless/internationally scorned dollar and dollar denominated assets including stocks (which rallied today despite the bad news) while as expected, hyperinflationary effects on oil, gold, commodity, etc., prices already immediately evident in today’s trading.  ADP, a jersey based company not unfamiliar to the fraud/crime of placing fake/non-existent employees on payrolls to facilitate (illegal/drug) money laundering plays ball (I’m sure for a price/favor) with the frauds on wall street with a figure SUBSTANTIALLY EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS of PRIVATE SECTOR JOB GAINS (130,000). MERRILL LYNCH DOWNGRADED. UBS ANOTHER $14 BILLION IN WRITE-DOWNS ALONG WITH ANOTHER $8 BILLION FROM SOCIETE GENERALE. BOND INSURERS DOWNGRADES (WHICH WILL COST BANKS ANOTHER $40 BILLION) AND SEE ANOTHER $11 BILLION IN LOSSES. The MANTRA is the so-called stimulus plan, the logistics and length of time involved in Katrina-like execution guarantee only to forestall recognition of and accountability for ineptitude/corruption that leaves america, unlike during the great depression when america was neither globally hated nor broke as today, with a Weimar-Republic-like currency and continued failed leadership/policies and obfuscation of existing unsolved problems through blatant falsehoods, false data/reports,corruption, etc.. Housing prices for the first time since the great depression have fallen significantly and nationally. ALL PROBLEMS REMAIN. NOTHING HAS BEEN SOLVED. NOTHING HAS CHANGED except to give bull s**t/spin talking points to those responsible for u.s. decline. (ECONOMIST DR. IRVING KELLNER, MERRIL LYNCH ECONOMIST, AMONG OTHERS…..ALREADY IN RECESSION), greater than expected downturn in housing starts at  –14%, mortgage insurer credit downgrades, manufacturing down, merrill lynch posts record $10 billion loss, bankruptcies up 40%, industrial production flat, inflation up and much higher than reported ECONOMIC INDICATORS DOWN THIRD MONTH IN A ROW, DEFAULTS UP, Housing down, inflation up, consumer confidence near lows, TRADE DEFICIT NEAR RECORD AND ABOVE EXPECTATIONS, RETAIL SALES DOWN AND FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS, ALREADY IN RECESSION DESPITE JAWBONING (BULL S**T) TO THE CONTRARY, 4th quarter earnings discounted long ago, fake economic reports/data, more bull s**t/spin, dollar to fall even further with fed panic and inflation to rise-hyperinflation/stagflation, lunatics’/suckers’ bear market rally (DOW +92, NASDAQ +23 S&P +16) to keep the suckers suckered and computerized commission trade dollars flowing.  REALITY: THIS IS A BEAR MARKET IN A SECULAR BEAR MARKET IN A RECESSIVE ECONOMY IN A SECULAR (AND QUITE PERMANENT-THEY’VE MADE ALL THE WRONG CHOICES) ECONOMIC DOWNTREND IN THE U.S.   ONE ANALYST/REPORTER/ JOURNALIST FROM INSIDE SOURCES PEGS THE SUB-PRIME DOLLAR VALUE OF THE SHILLED WORTHLESS PAPER AT $516 TRILLION (EVEN A PERCENTAGE OF SAME RENDERS THE PROBLEM UNFIXABLE-HENCE, CULPABLE PARTIES MUST BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE AND DISGORGE THEIR ILL-GOTTEN GAINS FROM, IE., COMMISSIONING WORTHLESS PAPER, TAKING A POINT HERE OR THERE AND FRAUDULENTLY PASSING SAME ON, AD INFINITUM, ETC.). Time to put the wall street among other corporate frauds in jail and require fines, penalties and disgorgement of their ill-gotten gains.   [Please note: I seldom name analysts bearing not so glad tidings for fear they’ll be crucified by the frauds on wall street].    (1-31-08) NOW SUBPRIME BANK PROBLEM PEGGED AT OVER $265 BILLION (STILL JUST TIP OF THE ICEBERG), DOWNGRADES TO FOLLOW, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS UP A MUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED 69,000 TO 375,000, BOND INSURER SAYS HAS ENOUGH CASH TO COVER HIGHEST LOSSES IN COMPANY HISTORY AND WILL KEEP TRIPLE A RATING (REMEMBER THE TRIPLE A RATED subprime BUNDLED FRAUDS) WHICH IRRATIONALLY RALLIES STOCKS IN nearly 400 POINT SWING (trying to window-dress the bad january numbers with programmed commissionable buy orders/trades to help perpetuate their continuing ponzi-like fraud) based on bull s**t alone and short-covering rally, CRUCIAL HOLIDAY SHOPPING SEASON TURNS IN AN ANEMIC AND FAR BELOW EXPECTATIONS .2% INCREASE, FEAR AND PANIC BY THE FED AND EVEN LOWER DOLLAR TO COME, stimulus plan by washington incompetents and dumbya bush (protect those incumbents with more bull s**t/spin/fraud) pledging more money they don’t have (print more/borrow more – hyperinflationary and stagflation - the fact is that they couldn’t borrow/print enough to remedy ie., the subprime fraud, etc.), one analyst recently explained that even as the DOW recently had hit new highs in u.s. as measured in real money, ie., gold, foreign currencies, etc., the DOW has actually fallen 70%, all of which foreign currencies are stronger against the weak dollar which will continue to decline which creates hyperinflation and exodus from same by global investors except those who are picking up prime u.s. financial assets on the cheap owing to u.s. desperation and greed (pay packages, compensation, etc.), DOLLAR DOWN SHARPLY ON NEWS OF CUT (HYPERINFLATIONARY - IT TAKES MORE WORTHLESS DOLLARS TO BUY ANYTHING, AS PANICKY FED LOOKS THE OTHER WAY), INDEED GOLD PREVIOUSLY HIT NEW INTRA-DAY RECORD HIGH AT $942.20, AN ANALYST SAYS WE’RE IN AN EARNINGS RECESSION AND HE IS ON THE BEAR SIDE OF THE LEGER, GOVERNMENT REPORTS LESS THAN EXPECTED GDP GROWTH IN FOURTH QUARTER AT .6% WHICH PROBABLY MEANS NEGATIVE SINCE THE GOVERNMENT LIES ABOUT ALMOST EVERYTHING, CASE/Shiller index-home prices fell 97% in fourth quarter, new home sales down a record 26% in 2007 (-4.7% in December, 2007), another analyst says we’re in recession while another says inflation is a significant problem moving forward (stagflation), dollar down, incumbents (just in time for the election) hoping to divert attention from their failed policies domestically, geopolitically, economically and otherwise as spending money they don’t have (they’re printing same and borrowing like crazy) will increase deficits and along with lower interest rates lower the value of the already worthless/internationally scorned dollar and dollar denominated assets including stocks (which rallied today despite the bad news) while as expected, hyperinflationary effects on oil, gold, commodity, etc., prices already immediately evident in today’s trading.  adp, a jersey based company not unfamil